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74: Heart of a Gambler

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0:00:00yoko is jeopardy things when they I got my speech I super nice guy just I was

0:00:08hating the fact that people give him all this crap for actually playing the game

0:00:11well if you see the backlash I have actually seen this where he is or are

0:00:17this is actually interesting yeah he's sort of like a Moneyball you know hehehe

0:00:22jeopardy like Moneyball is to baseball yeah alright I asked him I was like how

0:00:27much did you spend on strategy how much memorizing her time is like totally

0:00:31strategy like ed memorize some stuff but he basically figured out how to play

0:00:35daily doubles during the games which is the people miss that you can win during

0:00:41the game you don't get Final Jeopardy and so you basically wins during the

0:00:44game and the most the highest grossing winners have also played the game that

0:00:50way I mean Ken Jennings was a little different but he was early after the

0:00:54change some of the rules and yeah but I actually who's the new guys name

0:00:57what's-his-name our third shoe r32 I actually became aware of him cuz I saw a

0:01:02piece that Jennings Road about him defend you is great it was really nice

0:01:06so they do sort of like the traditional way to play jeopardy the gentleman style

0:01:12if you would

0:01:13is you you pick a category if you have control of the board you pick a category

0:01:17that appeals to you and you pick the the lowest tonight you know go from the top

0:01:23down so in the first round your pic $200 than the $400 if you keep getting it

0:01:28right and work your way down to the wire money and you know I guess there's some

0:01:33correlation between higher money and harder questions

0:01:37well little bit I think the actually we are they do make the they do make the

0:01:42questions a little harder as it goes down as it goes down the board not

0:01:45always but typically and the producers asked you to go from top to bottom and

0:01:49they don't tell you to do instead of rule but they say look most people do

0:01:53best this way it's less confusing the audience prefers a

0:01:57it's probably a better way to play we're gonna make you do it and it's just in

0:02:01the heat of the moment it's very hard to make the right judgment but daily

0:02:04doubles are occur predominantly unpredictable locations right they're

0:02:09not randomly located that there is if you study the game and look at where

0:02:13they've been

0:02:14you can you know there's some spots that are higher percentage significantly

0:02:18higher percentage chance of being a daily Double than others and its if you

0:02:22have control of the board it is to your advantage to 200 yeah he's he's got the

0:02:28right combination of buzzer timing domain knowledge it's fairly broad and

0:02:33deep in like trivia categories and the strategy I think he's winning against

0:02:38sometimes stronger overall players who can master the strategy that's very

0:02:42Moneyball it's and it's great and I think the thing is he comes across as a

0:02:46feckless on-screen because you know I do this when I'm thinking really hard I go

0:02:51slack is playing the game so there is this like this geeky at all tonight

0:02:56Asian guys as bentsen racism is is winning the game it's like really is

0:03:01very funny so is his Twitter handle is Arthur underscore a theft and I think

0:03:07it's hilarious because he's clearly making fun of like the effortless thing

0:03:11about it is very funny on Twitter he's very personable in the interview and I

0:03:16know for all we know is just one like 20 more games because it's right

0:03:20tape months ago so you can talk about it but it is very enjoyable I just like

0:03:24playing the game always like to point of the game is to win is not to you at home

0:03:30may not like what he's doing great right thing they can Jennings pointed out in

0:03:34his piece on him is in addition to the fact that it's to your advantage to get

0:03:38the debt huge advantage to get the daily doubles it also by skipping around the

0:03:46board from category the category it gives you an advantage over opponents

0:03:49because you know if you get it right where you're going next

0:03:53and you are ready for that category where is your opponents are don't even

0:03:56know which category to be thinking about whereas if you play that traditional way

0:04:00and somebody picks you know potent quotables for 200 even if you don't

0:04:05doesn't get it you're ready for the next one to be potent quotables for 400 yeah

0:04:10it's totally true with so it's a bit since I think it plays into the game

0:04:13theory thing and and people have their own preset notions about what they they

0:04:18want but you know I am enjoying enjoying watching my boys and I watch them play

0:04:23it's very fun yeah it reminds me anything with game 3 but like one of my

0:04:28favorites is the history of blackjack yeah we're blackjack it's kind of funny

0:04:37because it's like the rules date at least back to the 1800's and were

0:04:44apparently you know came about without the help of any sort of computer

0:04:48modeling whatsoever and without computer modeling there's really no way to tell

0:04:52what perfect strategy is and whether the house actually has an advantage or not

0:04:58and so for decades

0:05:01decades and decades you know through the until the 1960's typical players in a

0:05:07casino like what was considered here's the right way to play actually we're

0:05:11playing at a tremendous disadvantage to the house the basic gist of the way most

0:05:17people played in a casino and and if you you know and if you sat down and were

0:05:21unfamiliar with the game and we're sitting next to somebody who was you

0:05:25know clearly a season blackjack player in and ask for help from this is the way

0:05:29you would learn to play is that you should never dust whenever you get to 12

0:05:35or 13 you just stop because you could bust and busting is an automatic loss

0:05:40and it's you know you know the dealer just takes your chips and it doesn't

0:05:44matter what the dealer does you know that's part of what makes the game a

0:05:47little complicated is

0:05:49if you bust the dealer takes your bad and it's gone and even if the dealer

0:05:53subsequently goes on to bust you don't you know there's no time in that

0:05:56situation even though in theory it's a tie because you both busted and so

0:06:02that's so devastating that the players you know developed this strategy never

0:06:08never never take a card if you can bust with the pot you know and in some people

0:06:12would play well maybe if they had a 12 maybe they would hit on 12 because

0:06:16attend the bus but it ends up that so horrendous horrendous strategy for the

0:06:21player in this case ya edwards who worked at I think IBM is he was the

0:06:26first guy to beat the game and he did it with not by like working it out through

0:06:32formulas but just through brute force computation that he just programmed in a

0:06:37simple game of blackjack and just ran it millions and millions of times you know

0:06:42given this hand you know if you play this way what you know what happened and

0:06:46came up with you know the basic strategy and it's you know it's very different

0:06:50from that but what happened then is players who would read the book and

0:06:54Thorpe also invented card counting which gave the play actually gave the player

0:06:59you know an advantage of 23 percent which is which is huge but even without

0:07:03the county park even just the basic strategy where you could just learn

0:07:07these simple rules if you have a fourteen and the dealer has a 16 you

0:07:11stay if you have a 15 in the dealer has 10 cards showing you have to hit the

0:07:18players who had that strategy would do very well and before the casino sort of

0:07:21adjusted the game you could maybe even have a slight advantage in the in like

0:07:25the sixties you can actually play the game without counting cards have a

0:07:28slight advantage but it was like a social thing though where where if these

0:07:33other guys at the table we're playing the traditional way and then there's a

0:07:37guy who's actually playing the mathematically right way they they would

0:07:41some of them would get angry you know they'd be like what the hell you doin

0:07:44hit 15

0:07:45because it would seem to be random it would seem to be counter-intuitive it

0:07:49seems like you're playing the game wrong even though I mean this is this is the

0:07:53the Indiana Jones moment when he shoots the guy we just got the whip like you're

0:07:58like wait a minute that's not fair 2008 the point is it's not you're there to

0:08:04play the game this is reality TV now I want some seasons of survivor and that

0:08:08was the thing that was fascinating I think it all developed into a pattern

0:08:11eventually but it was passing it was something like Boston Rob who is much

0:08:15reviled he figured out a new way to play the game a few seasons in and it

0:08:19transformed the game dynamics and everyone watching him how to play the

0:08:22game differently after that but it pisses you off if you're in the middle

0:08:26of the situation because it's an evolving game dynamic in which

0:08:29everything in your head that you built your strategy around the suddenly wrong

0:08:33and you hate that other person because they've changed your not playing the

0:08:36same game anymore

0:08:37yeah because I watched survivor in a couple years but I did watch first

0:08:41couple of years and then I do remember Boston Rob he was great he was the best

0:08:46villain he was exactly who he was and I think of all the people and i think i

0:08:50watch for five seasons like the guy on the very first season

0:08:56Richard Hatch Richard Hatch who he really thought I'd take the plea deal he

0:09:03went to jail because he thought he was sprayed on larry is unlike its

0:09:06straightforward tax situation but I bet he as the winner of the first series and

0:09:12you know seemingly played it pretty smart became like the one that's how you

0:09:17play the game

0:09:18yeah you know Richard Hadlee then he came back in the day whatever the

0:09:22tournament was the all-stars thing a few seasons into it he comes back he tries

0:09:27to play the game the same way and he is not like a few days in his favor

0:09:33statement was I was bamboozled there is a game changer you're out but the kids

0:09:38walk around with your wang wang looking at people and we'll get right well and

0:09:43the other thing he seemed unprepared for the fact that the first season

0:09:47nobody knew a nobody knew the game and be nobody knew what he was doing

0:09:52where else when he came back for the you know what was it like the jeopardy

0:09:57champions champions it was clearly everybody there you know as a survivor

0:10:02player had watched the first season of Survivor aware of is you know he really

0:10:08needed like a new strategy and you know there's a thing called the Markov chain

0:10:13and I talked I found out about it because of the game chutes and ladders

0:10:16of all things to someone wrote this whole area

0:10:18shoots and ladders are snakes or is called stakes letters someone years ago

0:10:22wrote this hilarious review / analysis of that kids came looking at it from

0:10:27this mathematical standpoint a Markov chain is a mathematical system that

0:10:34undergoes transitions from one state to another in the state gonna state space

0:10:38it's random things so it's the next action is not followed up on it because

0:10:43of the previous action and there are games that are the games are most

0:10:49interesting are the ones in which it is there's not a predictable outcome based

0:10:53on the sequence of things in which you do so chutes and ladders the diced are

0:10:58everything it's really a game that teaches kids how to play games but in

0:11:01poker the number of possibilities are two huge outdoor crowd counting they

0:11:07still become too huge to be predictable as an outcome from starting states and

0:11:12so there's this issue about the tension between games that have Markovian

0:11:16properties and non Markovian properties about which ones are fun or not because

0:11:20you know as a parent you know shits about her socks and Candyland sucks

0:11:24because they're they're

0:11:27chain on Marco V and the worst Candyland isn't even really a game because it's

0:11:34entirely deterministic you know that there's a deck of cards once the cards

0:11:38have been shuffled in you've decided what order the players gonna play in it

0:11:42the outcome is already determined that there's a day spa component to it which

0:11:46is ostensibly Markovian but the chain Markovian

0:11:49each car's plate and sequence so it's just it is horrible but it teaches kids

0:11:55how to its simple method he just kids how to play rules and follow the game

0:11:59and there's winners I don't think I don't think you can get a lot of his

0:12:05lessons whenever we lucked out Jonas ever play for cancer too long but now

0:12:11we're to sellers of Catan which is much better if anything Candyland it you have

0:12:18no choices and there are devastating you know bad cards you know they get the

0:12:27candy cane and send you all the way back to the beginning like you know I don't

0:12:32know it doesn't seem like you get any good lessons out of it you don't learn

0:12:35any strategy and you learn that you know something terrible happened to you at

0:12:41any moment he teaches you the essential hopelessness of life or not the working

0:12:45world is like as well yeah it's it's sort of a full of philosophical

0:12:52depressing game because it's sort of like you know it's like going back to

0:12:57college

0:12:58philosophy 101 and you know do you is there such a thing as free choice you

0:13:02know in Candyland there is there is no free choice it's reinforces the

0:13:06elementary school and college and the job and there's the house near ticky

0:13:11tacky about it but the hill is your life did this is the future you know like

0:13:17with sufficient knowledge you can already you know you could predict

0:13:20exactly when and where you're going to die and you're never gonna get the

0:13:23governor only piece of paper given play blackjack game

0:13:31a little bit I like the elected instincts you want to win now it's

0:13:36actually but I just lose inches like I don't have any I don't have any playing

0:13:42jeopardy jeopardy is a different kind of battle but I I just never happen don't

0:13:46have the I can't stick to wander off and look at the other things ready for some

0:13:52reason when you were on Jeopardy did you do to get daily doubles yeah I think i'd

0:13:59i'd never I didn't get a lock I was I was so IBM researchers know Watson one

0:14:06of things they do they did this one group in all this game theory and

0:14:09analysis and they found that people who were in jeopardy if in three categories

0:14:13are sort of regular Champions masters in Grand Masters and I was clearly in the

0:14:18regular I eat out a couple wins I'm happy that I want but I wasn't like a

0:14:24natural player like some people are so I did I did ok that's the Daily Double

0:14:30you know it ties in with blackjack as it is is the one part of jeopardy thats

0:14:35well the final Jeopardy is a bit of a gamble but you know it's a gamble where

0:14:39where you don't know the question you know where is the regular questions it's

0:14:44it's a combination of skill like your actual ability to recall the answer

0:14:49know the answer and physically to hit the buzzer first but you do you know you

0:14:55get the question so it's not your not gambling i mean you do in n you can

0:14:59maybe see you are if you only have certain of the answer and you get a buzz

0:15:04in any way and take a chance you got it right as you lose the money if you get

0:15:08it wrong in the daily challenges never buzzing when you don't know the answer

0:15:11for sure because you lose the money you have in someone else's most likely get

0:15:16it right and he backs you must double the different cuz you they've had it

0:15:19they've had the time to think about someone misspoke and then the other

0:15:24person disposed and got it and they need said almost exactly the right thing I

0:15:27remember as a kid when it was newer when when

0:15:30you know when it wasn't so ingrained in the culture of marijuana regularly

0:15:34anymore but it's been years since I've seen one where somebody forgot to put

0:15:38the answer in the form of a question is when I was a kid that happened fairly

0:15:41regularly and inevitably somebody else would buzz in with the same answer in

0:15:47the question to take the dollars there's actually a tiny rule which is in regular

0:15:53jeopardy in the first half of the game they will alert you and you can we

0:15:57stayed in double jeopardy you cannot if you say it without being questioned its

0:16:02automatic wrong is that a new role I don't remember a couple years I've got a

0:16:07couple years ago I know it's funny they just because the second half he later

0:16:11became get it but that's your problem doesn't and you have to have the heart

0:16:16of a gambler to the really play aggressively on the daily doubles like

0:16:20this is it richard too hard to see you

0:16:24yeah he's in cuz you if you can it's more likely you are to know the category

0:16:27you may have answered questions in the category C you know the kind of

0:16:30direction they're taking and then you can go all out and so Roger Craig who is

0:16:35now the number that for where authors display stand so far

0:16:39number four all-time regular-season winner Roger Craig he won $77,000 in one

0:16:44day because Daily Double

0:16:46and they got another and it made sense because he knew the category and he

0:16:51could have lost but daily doubles twice in a row but it didn't it's funny it

0:16:57didn't I don't think it was a bad game decision because he was competent enough

0:17:02and he could have much money at that point so there's a point where you've

0:17:06already won enough money when enough days like you know you're gonna be in

0:17:09the term Tournament of Champions

0:17:11you have to psychologically want to win more than you were afraid to lose you

0:17:18have that's exactly right and do something about that like we're sitting

0:17:21position and you're like I could get the highest score writer like let's say

0:17:24you've got thirteen thousand and I've got eight thousand

0:17:28and you get the daily WTO and normal conservative person is gonna think we'll

0:17:33have all i'm up by five thousand already I don't want to risk it I wanna stay up

0:17:37even if I get it wrong whereas it's probably a better game theory strategy

0:17:41to just go for it you know you know the other players play you know you're doing

0:17:47you look at the board if there's time left because you can win the game right

0:17:50there on that play

0:17:51yeah I mean I lost I did at Wrigley Doublemint the game and I thought I lost

0:17:55at five grams and I was going close the enemies of terrible game we're all

0:17:58playing we're all off my debt all five grand and I said George Sand's instead

0:18:03of George Sand I will never forget you know also tall but I still came back

0:18:07after a bit I got another daily double doubles in a row and if I had said

0:18:12saying I would have won the game so it was the right choice it was a category I

0:18:16knew I'd answered I think the other three or four questions correctly so is

0:18:20absolutely right choice and I lost in exactly the right way to lose the thing

0:18:33they just finished the five minutes ago a black day the thing that drives the

0:18:40blackjack players not if they think that they know the right way to play somebody

0:18:44else is playing differently is that then after the guy plays wrong according to

0:18:51them whether it's the modern era if you don't play the mathematical basic

0:18:55strategy are back in the sixties when people started to and then the next card

0:18:59comes out and if it had been the other way around would have you know busted

0:19:04the dealer and everybody would have won or whatever they blame the player as

0:19:08opposed to as opposed to excite you know like so you know let's say I've got a

0:19:16fifteen on the last player to go I've got a fifteen and the dealer as it

0:19:21twenty and its 1968 and everybody thinks I should just stay because I could bust

0:19:25but I know that I should what I should do is hit because 15 against it dealers

0:19:3010 I'm probably gonna lose anyway to terrible hand but I'm gonna lose less if

0:19:35I hit lose less out of a play the same here and a thousand times

0:19:39I'll lose fewer time so I hit and I take let's say seven and I bus 22 now then

0:19:47the dealer turns over their cards and and updated the dealer has 16 and

0:19:53they're so the DRS to hit and pulls a 42 have 20 and the dealer wins whereas if I

0:19:58had just done what everybody thought I should do and stay on this particular

0:20:02hand the dealer would have busted and everybody else who is still in the game

0:20:06with a 10 ICC statistically gonna annoy people because that's going to happen

0:20:09frequently enough so you come out ahead right and in specific games are going to

0:20:13be leaving people and most people don't you know they they don't have any

0:20:18concept of you know statistical what's the what's the phrase at large enough

0:20:25sample said to be statistically valid right now you know one hand anything

0:20:30could happen right some asshole could have it twenty and hit and get an ace to

0:20:34make 21 mean it's like the stupidest thing you could do but you know

0:20:37sometimes it's gonna work right when I was 13 cards in the deck is an ace it

0:20:43doesn't make the right play but then somebody will say we'll see if you won

0:20:46its proof that you did the right thing and if you lost its own

0:20:50into insanity is people develop their theories in the areas of their not

0:20:54statistically valid I mean gets back to the Moneyball thing right Moneyball is a

0:20:58battle between people going by their gut which is often wrong and by the

0:21:02statistics which which are statistically you know we're in this piece the

0:21:07magazine and Michaels wrote a great article called three strikes you shot

0:21:12about ten years after Moneyball and what it changed in baseball and there's tons

0:21:17of people who still reject ten years later watching the results of it they

0:21:21still think everything is a flu shots right there in the big game you know the

0:21:24big show they know what's going on and so you obviously don't know cause you to

0:21:29play baseball in whatever it's like I'm sorry the statistics are right they are

0:21:32and it kind of sucks but they are actually correct yeah absolutely

0:21:38less romance

0:21:39statistics yeah you still hear about that they're still like old-time

0:21:42baseball scouts who just you know don't look at the numbers and just look at how

0:21:46the guy looks you know judge eventually they will be and there's a there's a

0:21:52little things to like there's a surprising you know it's one of those

0:21:55things it's kind of hard to measure because it's it's effectively subjective

0:22:00but that better-looking players handsomer young men tend to be scouted

0:22:06hired then home layer players sure right and that's you know just you know one of

0:22:12those ways you know that good-looking people just have you know better fortune

0:22:18in all aspects of life but even in like sports they end up getting better

0:22:22scouting reports then players this is a cross I haven't been forced to bear

0:22:27there's a site called jeopardy hotties but i wanna tell you what's funny about

0:22:33it is it is it is I went to this site and I was like I'm not on it so boring

0:22:40boring article which is funny I was no picture of me there's a link to me but I

0:22:44look through it I gotta say things about it was non hetero normative and it was

0:22:49not on gender normative so the people that the person who had posted these

0:22:53pictures for years and years it is not like I only like certain aspects of

0:23:01society attractive blonde women it's all kinds of people and I agree the men the

0:23:07women the people of different you know

0:23:09orientations and so forth like it's also next is a celebration of his duty across

0:23:15the lot of different storms but I'm not so terrible analyst of talk show the

0:23:23talk shows so we're talking about mark off and all these statistics whatever I

0:23:30know you and some questions we hinted around yeah let me do the first sponsor

0:23:36in that will get dig into it because that's really why I feel like it's the

0:23:41whole bit clinton has reached a breaking point and then build up we have to

0:23:44establish credibility members

0:23:48this kind of related as the Laughing Man so there's a lot of gambling our first

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0:26:27ok

0:26:28so I've been putting it off I am vaguely familiar with it but I need you to do I

0:26:36really do I need you to explain this to me because I kinda am and I you know and

0:26:42I was good at math I really you know more mathematically that kind of kind of

0:26:47get the basics of math but I don't know I feel like and it's it clearly I mean

0:26:57it's maybe even with the the criminal stuff going on at the Mount dioxin the

0:27:01other place now it would still be in the news more and more you know it seems

0:27:08like it's a rising tide regardless of those things but then you know what I

0:27:15want that too so we'll start from the top

0:27:18ok I think there's three things you break it down to three things that you

0:27:23have to understand all of which are relatively easy to understand

0:27:26ok so big queen has like I guess it's three different aspects one is that the

0:27:34bitcoins themselves are just a bundle of cryptographic information of which the

0:27:38person who possesses it's sensibly has a secret that only they know about

0:27:43whatever quantity of bitcoins are in a particular address as it's called the

0:27:49second is that only transfer bitcoins other people you don't receive them you

0:27:54only send them and that is again a cryptographically signed transaction and

0:27:59that he becomes permanent in a way that I could talk about so you have a Bitcoin

0:28:04in you wanna give it to me so I never receive it

0:28:07you not technically what's interesting is a transactions are all one way only a

0:28:12transaction sends money from one addressed to another and the big wedding

0:28:16dresses and wallets are interchangeable terms like the address is this like the

0:28:20destination it contains some some of bitcoins from you once at OC which is

0:28:25the tiniest up to whatever quantity have so so I've got an address and you send

0:28:33me money and I send you money but I don't receive money per se so there's

0:28:38there's a big way address

0:28:40there's a transaction and then there's the issue of how transactions become

0:28:45permanent which is Bitcoin mining those are sort of the three pieces think each

0:28:50of them like when you lump it all together it's like what the hell so

0:28:54fundamentally what between is about is decentralized trust so no two parties in

0:29:01a bit quiet transaction or in any aspect the big quake was system need to have

0:29:06any implicit trust in each other like the system itself handles trust by using

0:29:11public key cryptography which essentially assures that once you create

0:29:16a secret a public keep it publicly peer uses one of multiple different formulas

0:29:21but let's say uses a diff is one that people as the diffie-hellman key that

0:29:28works and what would you do when you create public-private key pair is using

0:29:31very very large prime numbers and you went with two pieces at the end so I

0:29:36don't have to I mean you can look up the details of what he wanted her to pieces

0:29:39in one piece is a private key that you possess and you keep it absolutely

0:29:44secret no one else may never have access to it onto store anywhere has access

0:29:48because this private key proves your identity

0:29:51the possession or in the possession part of it like you being able to deploy the

0:29:55key gives you all the power over a transactions that involve that

0:30:00particular public key public-private key pair of you if you got your hands on my

0:30:06private key you could send my bitcoins to somebody else

0:30:13exactly and this is truly public key cryptography is used all over the place

0:30:17as the basis of SSL TLS used for web encryption is used in age transactions

0:30:23in the same way so for example to if you had my private keys for SSH

0:30:28you could log into during fireball over SSH exactly can't get on the command

0:30:35line on daring fireball done that if you had my private keys yeah and the notion

0:30:40with public key cryptography is that the public part of this you can be freely

0:30:44distribute it and no one can of computation power in the world over I

0:30:50forget how many years of its the heat death of the universe

0:30:52or not that would allow you to use any known technique to reverse engineer

0:30:59brute force attack and recovered the private key so resistant it's an

0:31:03asymmetrical key system and so the public he gets used broadly I get any

0:31:08system this is this is how you can sign something with the public case you take

0:31:14your data and you sign up with the public hearing results result is a

0:31:19cryptographic hash that only the recipient with the private key ally

0:31:24owner the private key can decrypt that so it's a way for a one-way method for

0:31:28someone to send you something securely that only you are the possessor that

0:31:32private he can read that's how it gets used you know a lot of time it's true of

0:31:36web pages when you do a web transaction the first thing that happens asshole

0:31:40digital certificate thing of which we've now found that was recently last three

0:31:44days

0:31:45not just go to fail but there's a new one that dates back many years and is

0:31:48also suspicious and how safe that says let's keep that in mind let's come back

0:31:54but the idea that you're

0:31:57you have information you want to pass in general the way cryptography is used to

0:32:02secure a secret in in Bitcoin it's not securing a secret it's proving ownership

0:32:07and identity so in the Bitcoin system you know there is no inherent value

0:32:13what's the value is that a set of numbers representing some quantity of

0:32:18bitcoins can only provably belong to a person who owns the private key that

0:32:23corresponds to that address that contains a number of bitcoins so nobody

0:32:28else so no one else can do anything with those crazy cannot prove ownership

0:32:33because they cannot because the private key can be used to sign transactions

0:32:39that by using the publicly available he can be proven to only have been signed

0:32:44by someone who possesses a private key so there's an absolute way to prove that

0:32:48you own a thing because you have the private key and there's I don't think

0:32:52any other systems things that are parallel but there's no method in the

0:32:57real world that corresponds that there's no physical method you know biometric

0:33:03identification is one of things but there are ways to fool that

0:33:05and you know to the curve I got nothin cutting off and pickling people and so

0:33:10forth

0:33:10joked about the iPhone 5s so big queen the idea that there is no way to because

0:33:18of the process by which they're made there's no way to forge a Bitcoin you

0:33:22can't counterfeit and you can't fraudulently transferred from one party

0:33:27to another with the access to that first parties private key so that'll be

0:33:34surprised if I had a copy of a Bitcoin belong to you now have the I can copy

0:33:41the Bitcoin and I can have it on my my computer I can't do anything with it

0:33:45because i dont have you were private key that's right what's weird is big claims

0:33:50are not store any where some level at the weird thing is let's get to the

0:33:54transaction work this explains the next thing so so big win at some level is

0:33:59it's a series of transactions is not actually late term banking system is

0:34:06ridiculous of course but so you know I do things as weird as like when I was

0:34:10serving office space with Jeff Carlson he would send me rent check I paid the

0:34:14rent for the whole office and he would go to our credit union he would fill out

0:34:17a thing it would make a check and ship it from the Midwest in an envelope it

0:34:22would wind up at the office I would take it I would scan the check and a scanner

0:34:25electronically deposited destroy the check and that's our banking system

0:34:29right like that's the USA USA USA as I mean people are our listeners in europe

0:34:35like what I don't think most people in Europe I i most people our age in Europe

0:34:41have never even like sent it check yes exactly like checks in in this is

0:34:46America checks of now the volume of texts gone way way down because a whole

0:34:52bunch of reasons including electronic deposit but so let's to wire transfers

0:34:59easier case so because my my my credit union has added three wire transfers a

0:35:04couple years ago from person to person stuff so when I don't wire transfer you

0:35:08know it's a ledger transactions my bank has a record that its story know it owns

0:35:13a certain amount of money and it transfers at another bank of that bank

0:35:16agrees that you know yes and that value is transferred forgetting the federal

0:35:20the Federal Reserve involved forget there's like some weird thing but like

0:35:25they're just transferring money in numbers around but there's no security

0:35:27in that process and it's abused all the time you hear all the stories about

0:35:30money being transferred out people's bank accounts Ashley companies being

0:35:34happy money being transferred in Western Union things and checks being cut the

0:35:38system is a secure but in essence it is just that is it is a decrement occurs in

0:35:44one banks ledger increment occurs in another that's the transaction between

0:35:48doesn't work that way but Quinn has this thing called the public block chain in

0:35:52this is distributed worldwide and its gigabytes in size now it is a record of

0:35:57every single transaction has occurred since Bitcoin went live like for over 45

0:36:02years ago now and the transaction ledger if you wanna figure who owns a Bitcoin

0:36:07you can trace back the address to its origin and the most the current owner is

0:36:12the person who is most recently signed it with their private key they've they

0:36:15are versatile person who is most recently received it by virtue of the

0:36:20Queen being signed over with the previous owners private key so and so I

0:36:27have an address addresses you know one-two-three-four a be CDF right and

0:36:32you can transfer money to me at that address by signing a set of bitcoins

0:36:38with your private key that corresponds to this but Quins that transaction

0:36:43occurs it's locked into the block and i own those there's no transfer from 2.22

0:36:49recognized globally by analyzing the chain that I now possess those and have

0:36:53the authority to spend them in some way and that's why all this very very

0:36:56different than any monetary system or transaction basis before and it's

0:37:01definitely novel yeah it's almost like a central ledger except that it's not

0:37:05recording deficits in addition

0:37:07transfers and that's what's baffling so you have to

0:37:09entire sequence of transfers and the most recent transfer winds essentially a

0:37:14surprise ownership so this is where you get into the third part which is like

0:37:17our transfers made permanent how do they become a permanent record and that's

0:37:22where you get to Bitcoin mining which defeats some people because it seems

0:37:25it's so we are at some level mining is the process of finding a so so miners

0:37:33run extremely specialized hardware that all they do is they generate tons of

0:37:37shock one cryptographic hashes based on specific numbers so the system works

0:37:45like this

0:37:46people are constantly engaged in between transactions and they generate these

0:37:52transactions to say johnnie the city one bit quiet so I use my software its signs

0:37:57over 120 your public-address sign in with my private key that transaction is

0:38:03then broadcast on the global set of peer to peer nodes and are used by Bitcoin

0:38:08miners and other people involved in ecosystem miners are constantly grabbing

0:38:12a set of transactions and they get a small fee small to large be sometimes no

0:38:17fee for each transaction that they grabbed still take let's save the number

0:38:20of thousands transactions they'll take those and they combine that with some

0:38:26other information that's unique to me it's randomly generated and they start

0:38:30churning away on creating Shah one shoes so a shot one hash hash is where you

0:38:37take input it runs algorithm that performs a number of transformations on

0:38:42it and the number that comes out the end is predictable it's always the same

0:38:45based on the same input but any change to the input no matter how slight

0:38:50results in a non deterministic Lee highly variant outwards so if I put in

0:38:57John Gruber into child when I get one thing if I put johnnie Graber the result

0:39:02is you cannot predict what will be will be so vastly different and there is no

0:39:06known way to easily predict how

0:39:09to reproduce the same hash from different input so i cant just create a

0:39:13slightly different record the same hash so the actor hashing proves that I did

0:39:19it because you can take the same inputs run into the same algorithm and produce

0:39:23the same results so here's what mining is mining is you're trying to find a

0:39:30certain hash but you don't know how to create a hash that match that pattern

0:39:33you just have to create billions upon billions of them in Bitcoin you're

0:39:37looking for a house that has a certain number of an starting zeros and the more

0:39:42computation power that enters into the Bitcoin ecosystem because it's now a

0:39:47ridiculous amount the harder the level of finding that number is a keep

0:39:51increasing the difficulty is a dynamic thing that's reset every two weeks by

0:39:54the system and you have to find like like a hash that's less than you know

0:39:59the numbers incredibly long as her meet its long you have to find a half that

0:40:04has a certain number of leading zeros and you could churn for you know you

0:40:09could run through a trillion transactions and you might not find one

0:40:12that meets those parameters

0:40:13III since I think so I've heard it described not mathematically similar but

0:40:20in layman's terms similar to looking for prime numbers it's a needle in a

0:40:25haystack search you're looking for prime numbers each one gets harder and harder

0:40:31to find because he has accepted this is random is the problem prime numbers you

0:40:36know what you're looking for and you don't there's no I think at this point

0:40:40they don't know where the next prime numbers right there's no prime number

0:40:44space in this case there's a space of all possible hashes and because you

0:40:48don't know which inputs will these two parameters one is you don't know which

0:40:52inputs produce which crashed so you don't know how to predict getting one

0:40:55with a bunch of zeros and the other is that you're taking up a whole bunch of

0:40:59material as a minor and sticking it together it has to be that material

0:41:03isn't set by you can't define the starting point of the transactions that

0:41:07your mining so but involves a real amount of computational power the last

0:41:14time I checked it was I think it was two hundred times the computation power of

0:41:18the top 500 supercomputers in the world to find to mind but claims worldwide and

0:41:26at this point I've read that it it's much more expensive to power the

0:41:36computer that's doing like you said most of the people doing now have specialized

0:41:40hardware if I just put software on my side like a brand new Mac and just had

0:41:46it start mining for bitcoins I my expectation is that I would spend more

0:41:51on electricity running a computer than the value of the Bitcoin might

0:41:54eventually trying that's that's right I don't know what it is exactly the same

0:41:58exact price a bit fallen but this thing about difficulty lake so big queen

0:42:03started on PCs right and then people got more powerful PCs in stock more the

0:42:07mining and so I stuck more processors and then they started using graphical

0:42:11processing units of course GPUs are very efficient at certain kinds of

0:42:15calculations then they started using these things for programmable gate

0:42:19arrays I think I forgot the name from there is a specialized term there like a

0:42:23programmable chip that you can program even more speed then they went to a 60

0:42:29which are custom circuitry designed specifically to do char one calculations

0:42:35a 600 and 1000 metre process to I think they're down 28 29 or something to a

0:42:40financial crisis now whatever the smallest things at that level it speeds

0:42:44up in speeds up the tab the efficiency ratio of power to calculations not only

0:42:49can you calculate faster but the power for calculation get slower you cannot

0:42:54compete on a PC or even a field programmable gate array it is called

0:42:58against custom

0:43:01dynamometer race in other words though that in just four years we've we've gone

0:43:06through several generations

0:43:09of Computer Engineering hardware computer engineering

0:43:14devoted specifically to Bitcoin mining year and it's it's not generalizable to

0:43:21modernizing hardware for this one specific so here I just found the number

0:43:26here's the numbers at this exact second there are three hundred and fifty-five

0:43:30thousand had a flops trillion that's quadrillion operations per second

0:43:38355 Quinn chilean floating point operations per second are being used

0:43:43globally to mine bitcoins and the top supercomputer in the world has what is

0:43:50it has like under a hundred terrified so this is this is here to add them all

0:43:56together the 500 or not 3000 teraflops this is hundreds of times more than the

0:44:03top 500 supercomputers in the world combined being used for the specialized

0:44:07purpose consuming god knows how many gigawatts energy just to find this

0:44:13needle in the haystack that lets them in a kind so when when a minor Mensa coin

0:44:17when they find this number they broadcast their solution there proof of

0:44:20work worldwide across the peer-to-peer network it happens on average in less

0:44:25than 10 minutes every 10 minutes every 10 minutes a new Bitcoin is found on

0:44:29average somebody finds in fact there are these concerns because it was too hard

0:44:33for any individual to bear this so there are groups of minors worldwide that band

0:44:37together no one of which has more than I think still twenty or thirty percent as

0:44:41a concession all worldwide capacity which is a whole other issue there and

0:44:47so some minor in this construction is found in the broadcasting it out there

0:44:51to get out there as fast as possible

0:44:54someone else and the next microsecond might find a different needle in the

0:44:57haystack the moment that's broadcast it gets a broadcaster block and the block

0:45:03is a break that that's placed on top of the ball or more during the break

0:45:07includes a reward to you as a minor which is 25 bitcoins and that still

0:45:11current exchange rates is not

0:45:13horrible right now thats whats exchanges like 600 bucks where's that she get 25

0:45:19of them when you finally every four years on average that that we would have

0:45:26so was fifty bitcoins for the first four years or so and I was 25 it'll be twelve

0:45:30and a half in a few years and this is part of the decreasing money supply is a

0:45:34finite number of bitcoins I will ever be mined in the current protocol system

0:45:38about 21 million so you're a minor you go boom I found one but that's still you

0:45:43don't win you don't win when you find a Bitcoin it's great but you then you have

0:45:47to broadcast this out your blog that has all the transactions that are in your

0:45:52block and some other numbers and information in it has to be accepted by

0:45:58notes all over the world who thin immediately begin calculating the next

0:46:02block in each block is cryptographically tied to the one before it

0:46:06this is the wonderful secret sauce of Bitcoin this is actually almost more

0:46:10important than the public key cryptography lets you protect each

0:46:14Bitcoin quantities identity and and ownership the block chaining is it

0:46:21builds upon each transaction each block so if you so what can happen in this

0:46:27happens frequently is minor in yo Africa

0:46:32finds a pic when they transmit their block out and its worldwide

0:46:35simultaneously within some short period time another minor has also found based

0:46:40on the same previous block they have found a new a new magic number eight and

0:46:45they broadcast Thurs so now you have two different chains which have each have

0:46:50different ending blocks all the rest of the same going back to 2009 and initial

0:46:55deployment but this the variance in what could happen though is different nodes

0:46:59on the Bitcoin network because they're still centralized hit accept different

0:47:04chains so you can have two different chains that are growing parallel but one

0:47:08of them but they don't have the same information for the last block in this

0:47:12can go on sometimes for one or two blocks and at a certain point one of

0:47:15them has probably shown to do more work like it's clear that it happened faster

0:47:20and more work was consumed

0:47:22and then they'll be this reconciliation which I believe is automatic in which

0:47:26all the nodes in the world except the longer chain that is the chain that has

0:47:30more blocks on it faster when that happens all the variants chains which

0:47:35may have one or two blocks that are not the same as the one that's been accepted

0:47:40those are discarded all the transactions that were exclusively in those blocks

0:47:45and did not get minted into these new blocks have to be committed against New

0:47:51blocks and you see why this gets complicated so somebody who founded

0:47:55found one of those blocks ends up with with nothing because I expected because

0:47:59it was a smaller chains precisely and this is a is a process that's that's

0:48:05actually this is part of the elegance of you know it's a little crazy at one

0:48:09level but it is also a really beautiful idea that then no one has to agree on

0:48:14anything you don't have to go into a reconciliation bill which block whatever

0:48:17it's no longer block wins and I think yeah I think whatever anybody would

0:48:21think about Bitcoin whether you think it's really super is going to

0:48:24revolutionize all of digital commerce in may be real world commerce and that it's

0:48:29maybe you think it's a great even with the recent stuff it's a great place to

0:48:33invest your money or you think the whole thing has gotten ridiculous scam I think

0:48:41everybody would agree that mathematically it's beautiful it's a

0:48:44beautiful system it's it's gorgeously designed if you disregard any the

0:48:49currency speculation part of it I just admire in the paper that you know

0:48:53so-called photo she is maybe a composite multiple people but is still preserved

0:48:58his or her they are in on it

0:49:00anonymity that paper is actually incredibly legible I've read it and I am

0:49:05NOT a I'm not a cryptographer and I my math background is not deep enough to

0:49:10really really get it but it's actually model of clarity about what's going

0:49:15about what the antennas and how it works and all of the

0:49:19attributes and that people have have persisted and the idea so so you know

0:49:23this is you understand but this has been quite as you have a quantity of currency

0:49:29that's protected in a public key which we all understand how public-private

0:49:33he's working so only the owner private he can do it

0:49:35a transaction transfers value from one party to another miners make their money

0:49:40by doing these fiendishly large number of calculations but they have to be on

0:49:46the winning side if multiple blocks are being minted it once the longest chain

0:49:51for it to be perfect so here's the other part is beautiful and again doesn't

0:49:55really relate to whether it's valid as a currency or anything else but it is a

0:50:00fantastic transaction system if you don't care about the value at all

0:50:03there's no contradicting is a beautiful transit system so here's the deal the

0:50:08amount of computation I described is ridiculous right after a few blocks go

0:50:13by you would need more computational power than exists in the Bitcoin network

0:50:18to go back a few blocks and create a new chain so if the longer chain always wins

0:50:23if any entity like a consortium controlled more than 50% in some people

0:50:28say the threshold is lower but let's say just at the Dr practical level but the

0:50:33theory is if you own under control more than 50% of the bit Queen mining

0:50:40capacity worldwide you will always win you will always have the longest chain

0:50:44because you can always calculate faster you can outpace everyone else put

0:50:48together so this would let you do things like to start the system and double

0:50:51spend in a mess of transactions you could do all kinds of bad things the

0:50:55Consorzio don't like this and so when anyone consortium has reached a point

0:51:00where they're worried about having too much capacity they voluntarily split off

0:51:05the breakdown hope things are do all sorts of stuff because it's not in the

0:51:09benefit of the system's integrity even for them to real that much control it

0:51:13would destabilize

0:51:15the validity of the system but it also means that it's a government entity

0:51:19let's see iraq says we hate between Russia primary simple says it's going to

0:51:25stay W us destroy Bitcoin and you know Putin maybe he's got whatever they would

0:51:29have to spend an enormous amount of money ridiculous amount of money to

0:51:33build up the capacity just to match the current system then they would have to

0:51:37be out there meeting like crazy in you know and be able to overtake everyone

0:51:42else in the world and continue their free time and also people would notice

0:51:47this is an anonymous process they know where the traffic coming from the know

0:51:50what the addresses are so there's really it's not that there's no way for someone

0:51:55to subvert the system by gaining control of more than 50% or even a lower

0:51:59threshold of mining capacity more that the bar is so high and so expensive now

0:52:03it's just very very unlikely one lie I wanna keep gone but here's one last

0:52:11question I have about this before we do thanks a bunch of break which is that my

0:52:16understanding of its common knowledge that one of the other things about the

0:52:23Bitcoin system from the get-go is that there's an upper bound on the eventual

0:52:28total global bitcoins that will exist that at a certain point that's it

0:52:33the last Bitcoin block will be mind is a trait yeah this is this is the the

0:52:40twenty its 21 is approximately 21 million it's just below 21 million and

0:52:45this is big queen is clearly influenced by Ludvig when he says that he was the

0:52:50Austrian economist that affects a lot of people with specific economic views and

0:52:56one level is a test of economic theory by not allowing there's no inflation

0:53:03Bitcoin per say you can't print new money the money gets released at regular

0:53:08intervals by the by the minors and we should also point out there's this thing

0:53:14I was mentioning that as as more computational capacity enters the system

0:53:18the difficulty factors adjusted because it's the system rebalances to try to

0:53:23take about 10 minutes between each block being rented

0:53:26and if because she's been increasing so fast it's more like seven or eight

0:53:33minutes but if for instance like everybody involved in this is stupid 99%

0:53:39of people got their equipment off the difficulty factor then reduces so

0:53:44everyone could be using CPUs again or whatever so you're not you not dependent

0:53:48on ever increasing computational papers pencils

0:53:51there because a shot one thing by hand so I mention that in part because the

0:53:57the Queen creation isn't a factor of computation the computation is intended

0:54:03to keep production at a steady pace instead of having inflationary thing

0:54:08where someone could certainly be green Queens every five seconds is also the

0:54:12system is there a layman's explanation for how there can be an upper limit like

0:54:17how there can be a last but Quinn mind yet they do them of the algorithm

0:54:22actually should say that there's there's the original paper that she wrote

0:54:26there's an implementation that he or they created in the first couple of

0:54:32years I understands very deeply involved before he disappeared and then there's

0:54:36the Bitcoin foundation other parties that engage in saudi and protocol

0:54:39improvements and software updates so the nodes the big cleanup workers have to

0:54:49agree to a software upgrade in the roll it out and deprecated previous version

0:54:53so there have been changes and improvements over time so right now the

0:54:58way the protocol works is that mining delivers 25 bitcoins every 10 say 10

0:55:04minutes on average less and the protocol states that on a certain point after a

0:55:09certain number of coins are generated and you can see a table you go to Lake

0:55:12Oahe PTAs a table of it will show you what the point is actually estimate the

0:55:16date for when this happens suddenly instead of 25 twelve and a half and then

0:55:21in the equivalent of roughly four years or a certain number of blocks blocks

0:55:25go by it'll be 6.25 and then it will be three point you know 125 and down yeah

0:55:33exactly so you'll you'll get closer and closer to 21 million never quite achieve

0:55:37it but most coins we mind within I think it was at 12 or 16 years almost all the

0:55:42Queen's will be mind and I'll show in other words it's sort of like a calculus

0:55:45thing where you know they're never may never exactly be a blast Bitcoin but

0:55:50eventually it'll approach this limit of 20 1,000,000 and get ever and ever

0:55:55closer and and there'll be ever so fractionally less value in getting a new

0:56:02Bitcoin

0:56:03here's the last thing free response but here's the thing that what's good what

0:56:06this system the system suspect will happen every transaction can have a

0:56:12mining fee attached I think some must have a mining fee attached and others

0:56:16can be done for free

0:56:17however miners preferentially take transactions that have these attached

0:56:21they're not required to take empty transactions are typically those get cue

0:56:25to me wait longer before their Premier League committed so this is an

0:56:28interesting bit of microeconomics microphones Bishop of like a microscale

0:56:33thing that goes on his arms in your money john but i dont wanna be a mining

0:56:36fees I mark 0 on that it might take like a couple hours worked to get big dinner

0:56:42maybe longer sometimes and until it's peaked in then more blocks oriented

0:56:46after its not really permanent so that idea of instantaneous transfer his true

0:56:51except that until the transaction is permanently baked into a block and at

0:56:56least a few blocks of it added after it to ensure that the chain is the correct

0:57:00chain we we can't really count that it's true there are some ways around in some

0:57:04predictability for it but what the idea that over time those mining fees will

0:57:08increase so that as the or decreases people have to pay more per transaction

0:57:14fee which right now is calm the argument that the transaction fees it does not

0:57:19have required ones most cases but transaction fees will be likely much

0:57:24smaller compared to say credit card transaction fees or wire transfers or

0:57:28other especially international money transfer that they will be increasing

0:57:31number of transaction fees

0:57:32that are given to minors to keep them actually engaged in the system and

0:57:36making new blocks even when we were disappointed 00001 Bitcoin you get a

0:57:44working example of free market economics yeah because if you can't get your

0:57:50transaction notice your blog mandatories no mandatory you can just put it out

0:57:56there and somebody wants to they can verify it put in the chain for free or

0:58:00no fee but if you want to motivate people to prioritize your transaction

0:58:08you can offer them yeah and if it's high enough they'll choose to do it and then

0:58:12you really will be some there will be some mandatory fees very likely but

0:58:17they'll be exceedingly tiny the mandatory ones when those and this this

0:58:21sort of pure free market economics at work you could see how this draws

0:58:28libertarian minded people to the whole Bitcoin world yes we take a break we'll

0:58:37come back and is more I wanna talk about it quite well I do thank our second

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1:00:36the DNS stuff all the stuff we need to do to move a transfer registered domains

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1:00:48it's because we're not experts even I have a bunch of domain names but I

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1:00:56the people that however are this is what they do all day every day so you're in

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1:01:03everybody I know and I know a bunch of friends abuses rally service they swear

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1:01:11do all the work for you but it actually that's actually how it works where do

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1:01:31really just go check them out and you'll be happy to back to be a couple of

1:01:43things I want to ask you about we should talk about why I wanted to but yeah I

1:01:49want as part of it

1:01:50tell me about it so you may not even be one individual names said the credit for

1:02:03creating Bitcoin goes to a Japanese mathematician named said Toshi

1:02:12Nakamoto nobody knows an end the very least it's a pseudonym if it is one

1:02:21person if it is the work of one person it's Santoshi Nakamoto is apparently a

1:02:25pseudonym yeah it's i mean that's the way it's weird because you're not

1:02:31anonymous I guess it has to be sitting there is no one has no one has proved

1:02:36proven who this person is or if a single person today there's a suspicion and you

1:02:42know when you read stuff you know is often when it's the work of one person

1:02:45that way it's written and read the paper the paper reads like one person wrote it

1:02:50so it's a group one person drafted it does not have the feel is a very

1:02:54specific style doesn't have a feeling of a committee yeah I mean it's not a

1:02:58citizen in the statement of a very specific there's a style to his person

1:03:01posted prob someone as expected to be just an individual because this person

1:03:07was actively participating in the early between us

1:03:09sessions for years and you know there's a typical things would happen with the

1:03:13guy who was arrested for Silk Road the Silk Road Silk Road was arrested in the

1:03:21Bay Area he had posted something I know but you know in this is putting this is

1:03:27like this is a purely a very common friend 62 forensics technique and I

1:03:31heard about like oh this is so brilliant white you know I shoulda guessed what

1:03:36they do is they look at the first time someone post under an identity on some

1:03:40online thing and they traced back and see who fucks who follow them on Twitter

1:03:44who reference them who link to a website who favorite like so they went back and

1:03:49they found the Silk Road guy because they were fingerprints all over him

1:03:52pointing to the entity that you know he eventually became so that's really a big

1:03:58part of how they found it and you have to be very careful about so anyway that

1:04:03no ones found that kind of pain was with you know they even though the guy posted

1:04:09a guy probably another in other words you're saying like if somebody wanted to

1:04:13uncover the Mac elope goin actually think predates Twitter but I say or

1:04:19somebody else created a Mac elope like you know pseudonymous colin is the first

1:04:25person who retweeted it linked to it did you go to Tumblr and in favor of it love

1:04:30it under which is very clever so no one has found his fingerprints and a lot of

1:04:34people have looked in some very clever journalists have looked after get there

1:04:38is it wired someone did a piece with a look through a lot of likely subjects

1:04:41they talked to a ton of people and they're pretty sure it might be this one

1:04:45person but it's just there's not enough evidence to show that is the reason

1:04:51people care who Satoshi Nakamoto is is because Satoshi Nakamoto has like five

1:04:55million bitcoins I think it's it's it's a 45 percent of the outstanding but

1:05:01Quins it's a huge number because they were the only person mining initially

1:05:05and so whoever that is tryna money even with the current you know the drop to 50

1:05:12dollars Bitcoin this person conceivably has like I don't know what it's like a

1:05:16billion dollars eight hundred million dollars it's a huge amount of money if

1:05:19they wanted to convert it slowly

1:05:21cash now because between all the addresses are public people now watch

1:05:26those early bitcoins and see if they get transferred you know to get two

1:05:30exchanges are cashed out are used for things and apparently they're all very

1:05:33static so that's another aspect of bitcoins that all the transactions are

1:05:37done in public the identities are not tied to the bitcoins a person's identity

1:05:41isn't but the big coins you can see them move through time and that's an aspect

1:05:47of both like and hate about it so you can get somebody who owned like you said

1:05:54maybe some five million maybe five million probably too big a number of

1:05:56these only 21 it's a big percentage though let's just call it a million

1:06:04a lot of money somebody can watch those a million you know look at the Beverly

1:06:08bitcoins and if a bunch of them start moving you could you could safely assume

1:06:13that it's no wonder whether Nakamoto is a group of some sort of entity or

1:06:20something like that but this is the part that to me makes it seem most like a

1:06:26science fiction film probably a novel because I think the math is not his

1:06:32cinematic is you know but either way it's like a science fiction story is

1:06:39that there's a a sort of heroic mystery figure at the top of it you know an

1:06:47individual who wrote this paper and made this system and then disappeared very

1:06:53cinematic in that sense and it's almost now like a mythic figure yeah not to

1:07:02exaggerate in the least right that there's this mythic figure who created

1:07:05this beautiful system stands to be enriched personally tremendously by if

1:07:12if they so choose

1:07:14and then and and was very very very active at the outset and I wasn't just

1:07:20like the white paper dropped in the system within the place there's you know

1:07:24I guess was it mailing lists I don't know but there's a lot of online

1:07:28communication from Satoshi Nakamoto

1:07:33just disappeared and the dog did he did he write like ok I or did he just like a

1:07:43goodbye letter now and I enjoy her number I think they just stopped hosting

1:07:49is not funny I you know that I think that they just don't think they actually

1:07:59say goodbye they basically stopped posting and then but an anointed was

1:08:05somebody the person is Gavin Edwards something was the head of the bed queen

1:08:11foundation Gavin and Andreessen scientists at the Bitcoin foundations

1:08:16again very soon as I understand I believe he was sort of anointed as the

1:08:20person to carry on the software work but my recollection is that is that it

1:08:26wasn't like okay and now I've done my work and I'm leaving was more like like

1:08:31just stop posting and I found the numbers 1.5 million coins and so that's

1:08:36like eight hundred million dollars in today's exchange rate of 5% of the ones

1:08:41outstanding it's about 5% of the ones that will ever exist a little a little

1:08:45more so it's it's a it's a big chunk and there's still one of the rumors is that

1:08:52a so here's the thing with bitcoins you have to keep that private key secure but

1:08:57if you lose the Prodigy put coins are gone forever

1:09:01you can't spend that we can transfer them I'm in a Bitcoin miner and he were

1:09:05chatting and two interesting things one is I did not know initially but he was a

1:09:11few months before he and I met he was generating a significant single-digit

1:09:15percentage of all homes worldwide which was interesting and the other was he

1:09:20said I've gotta drive over there it's completely dead it is for you

1:09:24never recover those and I was at a time when I think it was $100 like a drive

1:09:29that has a two million dollars tried everything he could spending $1,000 on

1:09:36Dr savers or whatever and so when you lose the key they're not a sponsor this

1:09:43week but talking about you too bad Backblaze is hard drives people you know

1:09:51there are there issues about storing private keys for Bitcoin so there's

1:09:57something called cold storage and you transfer your private key either you've

1:10:01never had an internet-connected machine you sign on your transactions on a not

1:10:06ever connected you know glue and the USB port WiFi radio removed whatever your

1:10:14stuff on a non connected machine and then you signed transactions and you see

1:10:19them out but you're extremely careful you move those the public Internet and

1:10:24this is critical because if your private key stolen as as happened on a mass

1:10:29scale over the last few years at multiple online wallet services and

1:10:33exchanges if someone steals your private key they can transfer the money to

1:10:37anywhere they want to and in the same thing so the cold storages are some

1:10:41places I understand someone actually printed out the key information is like

1:10:46a pile of paper as an additional backup in case the spinning media hora sixties

1:10:51makes sense so there is no one you know one of the coin services went down and

1:10:57forgetting which one another one

1:10:59shut down and they did lose some number of coins but they said almost all of the

1:11:03coins were in cold storage and they will be transferring them back to their

1:11:06owners

1:11:07the ones they lost their lives storage was modest and those are gone forever

1:11:10for whatever reason but the ones that are cold storage are totally preserved

1:11:15ok so tell me about these exchanges wow what is it what what's the point of this

1:11:25gets in the basic nature of like you know since I lose money if you try to

1:11:29explain this to join unlike a generous and he said as he said to you and he's

1:11:33old enough

1:11:34like what is actually money i transfer my kids sometimes you know and they know

1:11:39that money buys things they can be exchanged for a great line from there is

1:11:43a beatles parody group called the rebels that Eric Idle and some other people

1:11:47involved in someone said you're just in it for the money and their joke

1:11:51responses no no we're not in it for the money so much as the the goods and

1:11:54services that money purchases

1:11:56you know it's Jonas is still at the point where money is like gravity and

1:12:02it's something he accepts and understands the gist of but that it's

1:12:09sort of it's at the bottom of you know those why you know kids are so it's the

1:12:19greatest thing about childhood is is the natural inclination of almost all

1:12:23children to just keep asking why why why they get you know parents of course you

1:12:28know you get sick of it but it's actually it you know it shows how what a

1:12:34fantastic state their brains are in their trust seeking answers you know and

1:12:38they're coming up at the you know whyyy gravity is one of those things that he's

1:12:41never he's never asked me about how exactly is it that we stick to the earth

1:12:47and money i think is exactly the same sort of thing it's just there and he

1:12:52accepts it and never has gotten to the point where you wonder why I still think

1:12:57I'm not sure the kids ask her we volunteer we like to the series of

1:13:01parenting lectures at some point came up it was like I tried to explain it and

1:13:06money

1:13:07sounds ridiculous when you explain it why does this piece of paper I'm giving

1:13:11you peace of paper with George Washington case on it and you can go

1:13:14anywhere and exchange it for something and people always accepted as legitimate

1:13:18and that's ridiculous it's completely ridiculous right so when you start to

1:13:23explain but according to people why there's value in it you're like this is

1:13:27just crazy and it was easier than money is crazy to is a little bit less crazy

1:13:32and I you know again that to get into the political aspects event I guarantee

1:13:37you with technical minded show somebody out there is gonna be offended by what

1:13:41I'm about to say

1:13:42but it it was a lot easier to explain when the EUS was on the gold standard

1:13:48yes you could say a correspondent to a specific amount of gold that had an XP

1:13:53USA government-owned a tremendous still does own it but I found this tremendous

1:13:57amount of gold gold has no true value real value on you know because it's a

1:14:03rare mineral that people consider to be beautiful and etc and dollar bill was

1:14:09the us- government promising that this dollar bill represented dollars worth of

1:14:14gold

1:14:15exchanges if you wanted to hear that and that I am i understand you know there's

1:14:20a whole bunch of there's always been a political political friends that thinks

1:14:24the US-made a true mistake getting off the gold standard get back onto it and I

1:14:29owe it not that I think that that's actually a good economic theory I think

1:14:32the explanation is that it appeals to many people because it's understandable

1:14:36and was its supposedly prevents inflation there's a lot of reasons why

1:14:40people like its inflation it's a real thing it prevents printing money it

1:14:44controls governments women's game go to war is usually necessarily because they

1:14:48can't do all these things that a lot of people here and they think that the gold

1:14:53standard answer to them returning to it having the route I just think a big part

1:14:58of the appeal is that it's there's no dot dot dot step in which is what you

1:15:06have with our current system here so here's the thing that would

1:15:10fundamentally what fiat currency or like it was like a 1000 cash money what money

1:15:15proved by governments backed by governments has is that you can pay your

1:15:19taxes in it and the government pays its bills and it was doing the economist

1:15:25articles about becoming and fundamentally that's what a lot of them

1:15:28said was was it's the government to use of legal tender as a means of exchange

1:15:33not just that it establishes value you know and there's there's the extra angle

1:15:38that some people that talk about coercion the recent weeks that money is

1:15:41because you know governments have militaries in the forces to if you

1:15:44didn't accept money you know they're backed by the police say the body of the

1:15:48police military and

1:15:49you go to jail there's a penalty you know for how you use it so there you can

1:15:54get to a political argument about that but fundamentally it's when you pay the

1:16:00american government most governments you have to pay in the currency that they

1:16:04accepted the issue that currency to pay all of their bills and so that starts a

1:16:09virtuous cycle that gives it value right it's a barter system in which the

1:16:13government is the dollar bills are is a former barter we just accept the value

1:16:18of the government puts on it and the USA government least with some intervention

1:16:22allows the dollar to flow to represent what the market actually thinks it's

1:16:25worth is a means of exchange so pick which is weird because that's where you

1:16:30get them out of the box and these other exchanges as one aspect of the ecosystem

1:16:34is that is moving money in and out of it clean so it's one thing if you are a

1:16:38minor in the early days you could run like you can running like a Mac Pro and

1:16:42making coins are actually having coin suspended they might not have been worth

1:16:46damage each but you know there was some people accepting them they were you can

1:16:50use it to exchange that's what some people but you need to move money in and

1:16:53out of the system has no inherent value as more and more merchants accept

1:16:57Bitcoin which is still going on Overstock will accept Bitcoin through

1:17:01intermediaries that establishes value for it but the more you can buy within

1:17:07the system less you have to transact in and help but the exchanges exist as a

1:17:10way to take dollars and turn them into bitcoins in and vice versa up with some

1:17:16good reason I had this one or two mark andreessen

1:17:19netscape really interesting guy guy I think was was seen has not very break

1:17:25for a while about how we invest in what he did and then it all started to pay

1:17:28off and then everyone thinks he's brilliant I think he's brilliant I think

1:17:32he was so far ahead of his time as investor that it took a lot like with

1:17:37Paul Allen where everyone thought pollen was an idiot for about a decade and that

1:17:40everything he thought would happen happened you know satellite television

1:17:44and everything just about so he'll the Seahawks even won a Super Bowl so back

1:17:55to like 1985 and people that the Seattle Seahawks are gonna

1:17:59so you can see you can see that you could say look in two thousand people

1:18:02but Marc Andreessen upon we're not very smart in 2014 like in terms of where

1:18:09technology when and how they make money so Marc Andreessen wrote this piece cuz

1:18:12he's involved with base he's his Andreessen Horowitz they invest in

1:18:19between companies and it's part of part of their you know what they're into and

1:18:24I think it's it's a pretty sure it's using Vista I hate to see the wrong

1:18:28companies are so many bit because we acquit based Andreessen Horowitz put in

1:18:33twenty five million dollars as part of the show that was part of the lead

1:18:38investor with them but when $5,000,000 few months ago so I go to Queen base and

1:18:42I say I want to buy $50 with the Bitcoin and the late great ok verifies

1:18:46information do this will text you this thing you should I say I'm like this is

1:18:51okay it's like setting up a banking thing or whatever and they're like your

1:18:54bitcoins will be available like three to five business days like this its sister

1:19:00what's going on in the problem is Bitcoin despite a lot of claims I hear

1:19:05this from people who say it's incredibly liquid is not very liquid when you want

1:19:09to go into legal tender and so exchanges exist to make that happen but between

1:19:15banking regulation where a lot of these exchanges amount Cox fell afoul this

1:19:19they have to actually have to deal with certain banking laws in some cases not

1:19:23all depends how they construct themselves and there's like reporting

1:19:26requirements and whatever between that and just some aspects of like how many

1:19:31people participate in the system how you move the coins around to be able to

1:19:35exchange value without being too heavily

1:19:39exchange can't take so many bitcoins MPs so much you don't have actual legal

1:19:43tender and that would be bad change in the volatile place a bit quiet and they

1:19:49could be quite sure and maybe a run on the exchange which has happened

1:19:51essentially the same way a divided state law says that a casino must have the

1:19:59cash in the building

1:20:02as they have casino chips in circulation which makes sense right

1:20:08perfect sense if everybody in the casino all at once wanted to cash in the chips

1:20:13that they have in front of them

1:20:15casinos legally obligated have enough cash to cover and this is why the

1:20:19wonderful the FDIC is one of the best agencies we have in america I'm

1:20:25confident the former head of the FDIC I'm confident even though she did not

1:20:29get her role extolled as much she was not one of the boys in the room

1:20:32Sheila she is the reason that the entire American economy Sheila Bair which has

1:20:40left the FDIC she cut deals that prevented the USS economy from falling

1:20:44apart by keeping banks open and she made that happen and the FDIC's

1:20:492002 and 2008 right she she display everyone talking about all these other

1:20:56people she is actually the reason our economy did not collapse and we do not

1:21:01actually go into depression I'm confident history will prove that

1:21:03because the top of the people in the top name all these guys are crapping shit so

1:21:11anyway the FDIC exists as an entity because we had bank runs in the regular

1:21:15the depression happen thanks did not have enough money your money is in he

1:21:18wrote mr Thompson's house and it's it's it's the Bailey savings and loan the

1:21:23scene so what's my money doing over there so when you have a run to the bank

1:21:27banks are not obliged to keep a hundred percent of their deposits on hand they

1:21:30lend them out and make money the FDIC is the backstop and see the Federal Deposit

1:21:37Insurance Commission they said they take premiums from banks and they use that to

1:21:41have a fund that backstops certain amount of loss thanks go under and the

1:21:46FDIC's out their clothes in Bankstown it's kind of cool if you've heard the

1:21:49FDIC no it's cool I think Planet Money do they basically they show up on a

1:21:57Friday they're all dressed in plain clothes and they show off their

1:22:01credentials and they shut down and they take it over and no one of the bank has

1:22:04allowed to talk about it they spend the weekend on the books whatever it opens

1:22:07on Monday it's like is like it is like a spy operation because they do not want

1:22:13to know

1:22:14they'll come into town I understand the rent rooms in hotels now the same hotel

1:22:17they do people that do not want to run on the bank is the accounting version of

1:22:22gangster movie called the cleaner and that's what they do they do it I tell in

1:22:30pulp fiction right yeah you know we all sit here and I don't want any attention

1:22:35and no no no not Reservoir Dogs Pulp Fiction when they go look we just want

1:22:40to clean this mess up

1:22:41nobody's gonna know the better right but it's it's a 10 numbers are alleging the

1:22:48bank apart into small pieces in the top so I don't make sure but the FDIC

1:22:56backstops banks of banks don't have enough money on hand the FDIC is there

1:23:00to pay depositors up to a certain amount which is you know you're so small

1:23:05depositors never get and so people don't panic don't know we don't runs on the

1:23:10bank because people believe that the US government in the form of the FDIC will

1:23:15backstop thanks and we saw that in the 2008 crisis there is no FDIC for Bitcoin

1:23:20and maybe one will be created but when when there's a run on an operation

1:23:25exchange has some of the big win some money cash and they cannot cash

1:23:28everything out once and are not obliged to the way they run so let's get down

1:23:34like you said that the government you know and it really does annoy me in

1:23:38Marco had a good piece this week about it doesn't make any sense to talk about

1:23:42the government as a single entity and complain that the government is also the

1:23:46government is you know is comprised of of thousands of individual organizations

1:23:54from the federal to the state level FDIC is a great example of the government

1:23:59work because the main point of it is if you had to see a bank and you see that

1:24:04the bank is in the ICU and I believe it's probably not even legal they open a

1:24:09bank that part of the FDIC you can't do it like it is open I think tank that's

1:24:15all you have to do is to be like a governing regulator there's different

1:24:18choices the FDIC insurance but it seems that all of us every single citizen

1:24:23can just you don't have to worry about doing the research and figuring out is

1:24:27this bank legit is you know if I go in there and put my paycheck in deposit you

1:24:32know created checking account and put my whole paycheck in there is that money

1:24:36safe you have to worry about it just is you really mean I have to do is have

1:24:40faith in the USA government and at one point you remember for a long time the

1:24:44FDIC said she noted by the commercial on TV for bank deposits are insured up to

1:24:48the maximum $100,000 by the FDIC and then during the crisis they lifted that

1:24:53amount of forget to 19 Oakland now because there are enough people who like

1:24:58you know you're my parents other house and hundreds of thousands of dollars in

1:25:02the house which they plan to live on for the slides in the bank and more than a

1:25:06hundred grand in one account and if a bank fails you only ensured in some

1:25:11other countries they immediately lifted it to unlimited because they did not

1:25:14want any depositors to not be made whole they felt it was a better risk to

1:25:19prevent a run on the bank especially by high net worth individuals who might

1:25:22have a million bucks and then to worry about the problem of reclaiming my later

1:25:28it worked out and the limit I think that that limit was pretty old it you know it

1:25:36was like a hundred thousand dollars in nineteen fifty dollars I don't know

1:25:41which you know is a far cry from $100,000 in 2008 it's very easy for

1:25:47people who are in the age range from like 50 to 80 to 100 grand in the bank

1:25:52because of house sales basically they downsize people's parents lived in the

1:25:57Bay Area and they've got a million dollars for their house they never

1:26:00expected windfall and they might have like a tiny pension whatever they don't

1:26:05even know how to handle it so there is nothing there's no backstop and so with

1:26:09mount gods so bangkok's has all kinds of weird things you may know it started as

1:26:13they called Magic the Gathering online exchange teach you know that I did yes

1:26:22so they thought they were going to be a man and what I read the other day

1:26:27pointed out that if they'd actually invested in Magic the Gathering coins

1:26:30back when they started they would

1:26:32cards rather they would probably have a better return than what's happened if

1:26:36some cards are worth like to that so many cocks people been documenting for

1:26:43years the deficiencies in their programming their security their

1:26:47response they they had they didn't find the right paperwork her acting the way

1:26:52in the united states and the USS see is that it was five million dollars from

1:26:56them because they didn't have they were operating as essentially a kind of

1:27:00entity that they were in and they just didn't do the right work like I think

1:27:03they could have been operating as identity there are between exchanges of

1:27:06operated states that have filed the paperwork correctly so the the earth's

1:27:13tilt whole unclear what happened because they have a release enough information

1:27:19they claim they've lost what was the number it's a crazy number it's like

1:27:23seven percent of all outstanding bitcoins is $750,000 in Queens owned by

1:27:33its users and a hundred thousand its own and the issue is we don't know what lost

1:27:37means yet because we haven't done a forensics thing in Japan there are based

1:27:41in Japan for their offices where it could be they lost all the private keys

1:27:45they didn't do a good job and they didn't recover gone from the system

1:27:49right and there's some suspicion that there are potentially hundreds of

1:27:53thousands or maybe even as many as millions of bitcoins that will never be

1:27:57recovered because the private keys are lost there's no recovery process where

1:28:01they can be reclaimed so that's one concern the other is it might have been

1:28:04left someone got access one party was saying is article recently couple days

1:28:09ago about how included all the SSH he is like its private keys in its server code

1:28:17and things like that so so it's crazy so like theirs they just are not you know

1:28:25they clearly without you know alleging anything it's clear they were not

1:28:30rigorously technically technically they were not competent the other thing is

1:28:36always that and again I can verify but I saw the other day that they apparently

1:28:40the whole system that computer system they were not using any sort of source

1:28:46control software was like so so there's that save all kinds of technical

1:28:53deficiency but so one suspicion is there's a problem call transaction

1:28:57malleability that is suspected might be the cause of a really good analysis

1:29:02couple days ago that that suggested that the scale what happened it couldn't be

1:29:06so there is a flaw in between in the big Queens software clients and some of the

1:29:12implementations I understand it's not a protocol but well she said so this

1:29:18transaction thing I was talking about what should happen is I am sending you

1:29:22one between John and the transaction that my software generates which

1:29:26probably is a standard between library that the Bitcoin foundation essentially

1:29:30maintains its open source that Transocean transaction has a transaction

1:29:34and even some unique information I signed it and boom so what should be

1:29:38impossible for someone else to generate a transaction that is looks like mine

1:29:43and validated and even has the same destination so it doesn't hijack who the

1:29:49money is going to rate it just looks valid and has the same recipients under

1:29:54that should not be possible and it is in fact possible to create fake

1:29:59transactions

1:29:59transactions

1:30:00after a legitimate one is created so other parties can allegedly create bad

1:30:05transactions in there have even been denial of service attempts were many bad

1:30:09transactions are created for each good one if the bad transactions are taken up

1:30:13first they get back into the record and the problem is some software didn't

1:30:20validate whether the transaction I D had changed and if they know dorothy was

1:30:24just the idea if they notice it had changed it would have invalidated that

1:30:29transaction or some other aspect there like so so the coins are actually

1:30:33transferred but the exchange for instance this case would not recognize

1:30:38it because the transaction I D didn't match so I've done everything right I've

1:30:42sent you a coin you say never got it

1:30:45exchange say it says in go through and I look and I'm like my software says it

1:30:49doesn't look in the block the block says it was minted and you say no my chances

1:30:53never went through an ego and mount box apparently had an automated system that

1:30:58when a transaction appear to not go through they would send it again it's

1:31:02unclear how often would send it again so if you were a malicious party you could

1:31:06concoct away in transactions with Matt mountain gods to create false ones and

1:31:11get the same money multiple times but because you can't change all the

1:31:14printers you can't the seal the coins it's more away to leak money out from

1:31:18transactions that are that had some legitimate basis to start with and then

1:31:22you can sort of suck money out or people intentionally send more money than they

1:31:27meant to end the recipient doesn't even know that more money was sent so that

1:31:31was one suspicious does not appear like that the scale of it would make sense

1:31:34it's more likely they're bad security led to someone still hold the private

1:31:38keys

1:31:39well what's the solution to this

1:31:42you know how if somebody wanted to get involved

1:31:45and buy some bitcoins in have these

1:31:49I mean I guess the solution is to find a reputable and technically competent

1:31:53exchange but how how how is a normal person supposed to figure out to

1:31:58determine what is a reputable and technically competent exchange well I

1:32:04think this is what the market trying to do now is you know even though the

1:32:08valuation of bitcoins arbitrators enough people involved the system using it that

1:32:12even with Matt Cox failure and and all this stuff happening value has not we're

1:32:19talking right now to see those 60 hasn't crashed I'm talking and 20 but but the

1:32:28the the market and go from $1,000 a Bitcoin 220 you know it went from

1:32:33looking right now the current standard as we talk is somewhere in the $600

1:32:38range I actually think and again I am Bitcoin dummy but as you know I've never

1:32:46put a nickel into it and then still not tempted to but this is a curious

1:32:51observer I would actually say that that what's happened to the value of between

1:32:55in the last few weeks actually shows a significant amount of stability you know

1:33:00like going from a thousand to 600 is a pretty significant crash but not what I

1:33:05would have expected when I first heard about the mailbox and I thought well

1:33:08there goes that's the toilet flush you know bitcoins gonna drop down to $25 a

1:33:14Bitcoin should have happened if it actually made a fatal event or near

1:33:18field event is the value should have just gone off by like 50 percent what

1:33:22should happen is people will be trying to get liquidity out of it they would

1:33:25have been unable to and they would have accepted lower lower amounts until it

1:33:28was like $10 a Bitcoin and in the market collapse instead it went down like a

1:33:33five hundred and it's rebounded a bit which means that there are people who

1:33:37believe they have enough value in the system and retaining their big win in

1:33:40the system that they weren't panicked and tried to exchange around 900 and

1:33:45I've sort of avoided linking to a lot of the Big Concept they just don't

1:33:48understand it but I know that there's a lot

1:33:50of you know sort of hey this is actually a good thing for Bitcoin and then

1:33:55there's the skeptics which I kind of agree with this is no this is not now

1:33:59cops is not a good thing for Bitcoin you can argue that I I think it's it's sort

1:34:04of halfway in the middle which is no its not good that it happened i mean and no

1:34:08matter whether it was crime or just incompetent it bad either way but the

1:34:11fact that after this bad thing happened which was bad that it was relatively

1:34:17stable value wise I think should is a good thing it shows that you know

1:34:22there's a certain stability to it you have to all the volatility I think this

1:34:27was actually pretty remarkable in some of that comes now because you have

1:34:30people like the the Winklevoss twins who have put a pile of money in and they own

1:34:35it is a on a single digit percentage of their other parties and so this is one

1:34:42of the things that came out the other day I think it was a few hundred people

1:34:47on fifty percent of all the coins in which is an undue strain were big

1:34:52winners of democratizing you're like ok you know and then like he was like a few

1:34:56thousand people on 75 percent so there's this issue about always mentioned

1:35:03earlier samarkand rhesus 01 the company's you can look at and I have no

1:35:06connection to it in fact might even be seen as a skeptic because I had all this

1:35:10back and forth with Marc Andreessen who is incredibly funny on Twitter in a

1:35:13really great sparring partner by the way is really a good sport and we'll talk

1:35:17about all this stuff which is impressive as most people who have piles of money

1:35:21and think there were no everything and they don't want to talk to you but they

1:35:24don't listen he listened to the talks he's very funny and so he wrote the

1:35:27op-ed piece for The New York Times that the deal book section about why the

1:35:32Queen was so wonderful because it reduced transaction fees to practically

1:35:36nothing or nothing it would be a great thing for all these parties I i disagree

1:35:39with a bunch of his statements I rode along thinking he and I went back for

1:35:42that it was very it was elusive to me his thinking about how you make between

1:35:47the two a stable thing that this becomes part of the international banking system

1:35:52like he is not a political rabble rouser what he wants in the wake of Aussie

1:35:56vaccine

1:35:57him and the rest of the folks who are trying to make this work is they want a

1:36:02system that's outside the inefficiencies that had known as the security of

1:36:05Bitcoin is outside of the inefficiency the banking system but doesn't need to

1:36:09be above the law and not subject to regulation scrutiny they basically want

1:36:13something that makes money move as fast as email and I get that there's a reason

1:36:18so marks invested in his base that's where I put 50 bucks in no way between

1:36:23dropped in value health because I put 50 bucks worth $25 my faults like washing

1:36:28your car so corn-based is clearly a place to start because they're trying to

1:36:33do everything right and they're not trying to be chartered in a boat off the

1:36:38coast of Iceland and under somali law they're trying to do it so it's

1:36:42interesting place to start from a group that's trying to see how they can comply

1:36:46work within the system

1:36:47Quentin hardy wrote this piece based partly on market my exchange rate this

1:36:54thing for the new york times I recommend reading in which he talked about the

1:36:57rise of a kind of super rich transnational class he said I threw down

1:37:02he said he was sitting with some very very wealthy people he said if I threw

1:37:05down passports from was three or five countries all them stay like singapore

1:37:09united states whatever which one would you pick up and the guy started the

1:37:12debate which one they didn't say the country that I from the Tamil

1:37:14nationalist influence he worries in part that pic when less people become it

1:37:20takes money outside of the spirit of national influence and make it lets

1:37:24people were extremely wealthy sort of live in a cloud above the world so there

1:37:28is some of that thinking especially when you see that you know between is

1:37:32controlled by relatively small number of people there controlled by a relatively

1:37:36small number of people is one reason why the currency remains stable because they

1:37:39have the economic wherewithal to not need to pull them out of the system at

1:37:43all over

1:37:44I would say this though I mean who knows where them and you'll value of it is

1:37:48going to go right now though $600 Bitcoin if there's a limited 21 million

1:37:55that's somewhere around 12 billion dollars for ivory Bitcoin there could

1:38:01ever be human if you double that or triple it you're talking 2550 billion

1:38:08dollars now who knows maybe it'll go up tenfold twenty-fold 30 fold and then

1:38:12become more and more but as it stands a tired the entirety of Bitcoin is only

1:38:20worth ten twenty thirty billion dollars I don't see that as a global dis I can

1:38:30see why governments are in that ready to jump in and try to regulate

1:38:35brake inflation within the Bitcoin system to make the coins liable enough

1:38:40individually they can divide them into tiny pieces explain to me the actual

1:38:45bitcoins how is that how can you put $50 in the coin base and have anything

1:38:50a Bitcoin 600 bucks this is the ridiculous part so it's almost like

1:38:55owning a fraction of a share of stock at some level because be queens are only

1:38:59essentially therefore transactions I can only send you money so if I have 50

1:39:05bitcoins in a in my wallet and I want to send you 49 I have to do exchange

1:39:12transactions I actually seen you 49 and I sent myself one and this is the way

1:39:17the fact that I have to send changed myself there's a flaw in most current

1:39:21clients that makes those transactions essentially trackable and researchers

1:39:25have shown they can do this thing that even after hundreds of transactions they

1:39:29can actually trackback between city origin by unappealing all these change

1:39:33transactions see where the money went so I can send you a tiny tiny amount of

1:39:38curse of the current smallest unit is one times tend to the negative 88001

1:39:45that's called a set of sheets the basic and the protocol could easily be adapted

1:39:51to have smaller fractions or even reverses one between his ass Atocha or

1:39:57something there's no there's nothing that prevents that from happening

1:40:00without lets me send tiny amounts of money but I sent essentially the things

1:40:06people can wind up with all these wallets like you can have piles of

1:40:10Bitcoin addresses and then eventually may consolidate them so you take one

1:40:13addresses got 43 but there is one of those points 05 and you essentially pay

1:40:18yourself all of the small ones he wanted one address and has you know 750,000 so

1:40:25there is a lot of mucking around and people typically use client software

1:40:29that handles the details but the client software masks a lot of transaction that

1:40:33can leak some of the anonymity and there's also even talk about those coin

1:40:40I've heard of it i dont getting so and Ars Technica just launched our Scorpio

1:40:47dozed Wednesday oge coin yeah it's real thing it's a real thing actually is

1:40:53has value and it was a parody was launched two months ago in December 31

1:40:58three months ago december and people are investing it's big it's got different

1:41:05properties then it's it's a code for it from Bitcoin which is open source it is

1:41:10different properties including mining technique that is not consumed

1:41:13eventually the power of our son occupations it's got a non scaling

1:41:20discuss whatever is using it using something that does not require the

1:41:26scaling capabilities you need to do

1:41:28engines actions and and there's late coin which is a different standard

1:41:33standard there's something called 0 coin where one guy who's a researcher who

1:41:38wanted to create pure anonymity that you could put into Bitcoin after being sort

1:41:44of rebuffed about embedding inside that claimed he and other folks are going to

1:41:48launch a Bitcoin like currency that will allow Bitcoin like coins and totally

1:41:53anonymous coins that no two transactions can be connected to one another to be

1:41:58exchanged in so there's always an explosion of crypto currency as well

1:42:02those quite as the funniest one but has it it's real people started as a parody

1:42:08yeah and it turns out that like it's actually got some properties people like

1:42:12including the initial it's the number of very funny just like the initially a

1:42:18hundred billion coins can be mined by the end of this year but there is a

1:42:22fixed rate of five billion coins after that so there's a built-in inflation and

1:42:25it does not shrink over time you're losing me well if it is no time limit on

1:42:34how many those coins can IC IC I know it's crazy but crazy love it it's sort

1:42:40of funny and it's sort of weird but it's back to I think some of the points you

1:42:44had earlier in is that is why I like to make sure everyone listening to this no

1:42:52matter whether you're in Europe or America banking is ridiculous bank is

1:42:56ridiculous banks existed to the bank's existing structure fees from us and they

1:43:01run the most insecure system in the world the booths care system i think is

1:43:05like chip and pin is actually and why he's here but that's great for doing

1:43:08that kind of transaction but like wire transfers are totally unsecured as its

1:43:12past in the clear ATM has the ATMs have certain kinds of encryption and security

1:43:17they're really good others at a ridiculous so you can't you know when

1:43:21you can add a dollar bill you don't know if it's real what percentage of some

1:43:24number about the percentage of $100 bills and circulation the world that are

1:43:27that are

1:43:28counterfeit fraudulent yeah so the the fact is Bitcoin in systems like the

1:43:35something like it will get incorporated into the banking and transaction system

1:43:39if not into our currency system because of this property that because that the

1:43:46cryptographic nature of it prevents a whole bunch of bad behavior

1:43:50France doubles spending Prince counterfeiting it prevents legitimacy

1:43:55and ownership it's very hard I mean so people have to these exchanges and

1:44:00wallet services in stolen private keys but if you do security correctly which

1:44:04people can do then it doesn't matter she get hacked into the keys are still

1:44:09protected by another layer of passphrase and their unrecoverable by the thief so

1:44:13there's ways to do it correctly it so there is a way where instead of doing a

1:44:17credit card transaction the way we do now which is you know ridiculously

1:44:20unsecured and just do the numbers and times to do it over the phone that you

1:44:26be able to see ya so what if you know what if he's released a web based you

1:44:31know signing thing that used that let you use permit was very much like

1:44:36Bitcoin but was entirely on their system you'd love it because you said

1:44:40Verified by Visa which i think is still in use you go to the merger would pop up

1:44:44the visa window and you can check that was a secure connection and you punch

1:44:49your password into visa site and it would then confirming you are legitimate

1:44:52but your password never went to was like an extra step in that was it's

1:44:56reasonable to me that you we could change the credit card system so that

1:45:00you couldn't do a transaction over the phone in the same way that we accept you

1:45:07can't send cash over the phone right like a vial you 25 bucks I there's no

1:45:12way that I can do it right now talking to you over Skype there's no number I

1:45:15can read to you that could do it

1:45:17I think it's reasonable that we would lose the ability to call somebody over

1:45:21the phone and give them a credit card number and have it count because our

1:45:25phones more and more are computers with an IP connection that you can run a nap

1:45:32or connect to a website and do cryptographic communication will be as

1:45:39simple as you know like to factor kind of thing is I could be registered with

1:45:43different coins systems or credit card systems in my phone and I call to make a

1:45:47transaction that like great ok we like to process that can you read us the six

1:45:51digit number that's just been texted to your phone or burundi

1:45:54obese authenticator app and you pulled up and you go it's improbable blood and

1:45:58that verifies my identity or at least five stolen information is still a lot

1:46:02of information from somebody is not just a routine drive by credit card theft and

1:46:07but so there's lots of aspects of Bitcoin that I believe this is why you

1:46:11know they had a congress held hearings last year about Bitcoin in a friend of

1:46:16mine attended them and he was stunned in in the coverage indicated this is well

1:46:19how positive in interested senators instead staffers worrying and

1:46:24congressmen and women were about the positive aspects of it and the banks are

1:46:30very very interested in the regulators are interested in it they don't just

1:46:32want to prevent activity or captured taxol that's certainly part of it it's

1:46:38also that they do actually see the positive parts of having a

1:46:43cryptographically robust I didn't eat secured system that we don't have now

1:46:48into those kinda cool I did not expect to see that much openness the people who

1:46:52work or between users he the notion typically the government would get

1:46:55involved the new people coming in like andreessen the Winklevoss and so forth

1:46:59they're much more than having government involvement at a certain level to

1:47:04provide both like trust and to remove more the criminal element as well I mean

1:47:08I think like any government regulation is like almost everything in life

1:47:13everything where you know moderation is the key

1:47:17you know there's too little and there's too much and so on and the polar ends of

1:47:22politics there's always going to be people

1:47:24pushing for the extreme you know do it true you know almost anarchist

1:47:28libertarians who want almost no government regulation over every any

1:47:34aspect of life period and on the other end people you know who push for too

1:47:39much and I think you know I think Bitcoin and government regulation over

1:47:46these sort of Bitcoin in other things like it is no regard for the right

1:47:52amount of government regulation is not zero if you've ever tried to pay

1:47:56somebody in another country

1:47:58anything except through Paypal which has its own issues and problems and its

1:48:04weird actually PayPal works as well yeah because every other method is horrible

1:48:09to pay you have to pay huge piece or it's impossible takes a long time never

1:48:13gets there and there's some there's a huge thing about remittances this is one

1:48:16thing that increasing mentioned I think it's worth bringing up is that there is

1:48:19a potential benefit for poor people for the poorest people the world especially

1:48:23immigrants who live in far-flung countries from other parts of family

1:48:27there's a huge amount of money extracted when if you live in America and you say

1:48:32money back to you on something like this there's a huge fee that comes out this

1:48:36and it's it's not 10 percent I think it's typically multiple percentage

1:48:40points and then there's often banks have remittance and other views

1:48:43plus the government me take a child as well for incoming money so just like

1:48:47Voice over IP at the crack earliest Lake 1200 bps dial-up you could still get a

1:48:53voice over it or whatever like the minute Voice over IP became a real thing

1:48:57that changed the relationship between all these far-flung people and people

1:49:02were able to talk to the family and then Skype video even at low bandwidth let

1:49:06them see their families again and so there's as hundreds of billions of

1:49:10dollars in the system that are that are sucked out because each year hundreds of

1:49:14billions dollars are transferred among countries by poor people essentially

1:49:17sending money back home and there is an advantage there and in just in for a

1:49:20buddy in the show you in the middle class and above or you know things like

1:49:23the unbanked and the non-bank the people who can't or the unbanked unless bank or

1:49:29something its

1:49:30people have a hard time having a bank account because of the chemical

1:49:33imbalance or because they didn't leave that doesn't have bank right like this

1:49:38food deserts push in the us- what's your name from the great senator from

1:49:46Massachusetts has brought this up to push to turn post offices in the bank's

1:49:55let people do simple simple banking at the post offices because there is a Post

1:50:01Office accessible to everybody in low-income urban areas so it's only

1:50:10three people opposed to her existing banks commercial it's it's expensive to

1:50:15be poor

1:50:16this is a horrible thing if you're the working poor it's one the most expensive

1:50:19things one was expensive ways of life because you have to check cashing

1:50:23outfits to get your money

1:50:25excessive fees because you don't qualify for the level of things don't have fees

1:50:28you pay subprime mortgages you pay like every part of the system is designed to

1:50:32keep you down and say it's unintentional it may just be systematic is systemic

1:50:37but there's all this predatory action it's and it's it's actually a time gone

1:50:44long but the us- post offices anybody's curies Google in read about it's

1:50:50actually pretty clever because it works two ways one it would help a lot of

1:50:54people who don't have access like you said underbanked non-bank people to it

1:50:59would actually help the post office because the post office is

1:51:03self-sufficient financially they r operate on the postage that they sell a

1:51:10lot of people who are sort of opposed to the post office that day you know should

1:51:13just go private or whatever because they think it's sucking up tax money but it's

1:51:18not

1:51:18but the problem they're running into is that as the world goes digital the

1:51:22people are sending less unless mail and so that you know it's getting harder for

1:51:27them to keep postage rates low and stay in the black if they got into banking it

1:51:32would be it would infuse them with you know funds to be solving sure you know

1:51:40the post office not to get too deep to the post of a scam is that the congress

1:51:43even though it's essentially a private agency run its own funds congress forces

1:51:48them to find their pension at a level that is so far ahead the post office

1:51:53required to contribute a level that's far I have solvency and essentially no

1:51:57corporation no other part of government no steady state or federal is required

1:52:01to fund the pensions their way into the post office actually in better shape

1:52:05than it seems accepted obligated to put money away that it does not need to it's

1:52:09the weirdest thing it's it's part of the it's it's a longstanding political

1:52:13problem but but yeah be great for us to far-field there but it's there are great

1:52:18benefits to something like Bitcoin that relies on that doesn't rely on using

1:52:22physical pieces of paper or parts of the banking system that are designed to

1:52:26extract money at every step that the bars are putting the way not to not for

1:52:31sensible reasons like reducing fraud or reducing I don't know the country's know

1:52:38where my is moving to pay tax at these things in place for that but a lot of

1:52:41the banking system the private banking system is set up for the purpose of

1:52:44extracting the most bees from the most people as banks make massive profits off

1:52:49typical banking operations so bitcoins potential or things like big way would

1:52:54be to break some of the monopoly of banks holding money so you know about

1:52:59this thing called hawala rate this a longstanding transfer system ok so we're

1:53:06very long haul is a system a chain wala is then it's it's sure you've heard

1:53:15about the system it's it's it's not the storm system but it's originated a lot

1:53:21of Islamic countries and the ideas that you have people now all around the world

1:53:24but used to be traders all around this region's they have account books

1:53:28and so now you here's what you do you go to a place you live in Pakistan he said

1:53:32he got a hundred dollars to my brother in indiana and goes great and he breaks

1:53:37the thing is legit has some codes he calls it the Gunners in DNA says give

1:53:41that guy hundred bucks when a guy says okay yeah and then they transfer some of

1:53:48the some point of some reconciliation like them there is no somebody in

1:53:52burundi

1:53:53they work it out its yeah it's a lot of people involved in this I'm sure those

1:54:00abuses of with the times but it's a system it's instantaneous money transfer

1:54:05based on you know there's some sort of feel like that $101 to send $100 yeah

1:54:16it's actually it's but it's there's no other ppl she's actually very

1:54:20informative of course as you get the idea is that it's it's in in the

1:54:27communities like that even when they're spread out across the world there is a

1:54:30lot of trust because there are huge consequences because they're based on

1:54:33familial relationships or cultural ones and some countries might be killed if

1:54:39you violate the system other countries it's not clear to go to jail or not but

1:54:42you be breaking this

1:54:43outcasts lost your life from your entire community you would never be able to do

1:54:47anything so there's a social component but declined as hawala it's just done

1:54:52cryptographically so there's no trusted you can work with untrusted so there is

1:54:56a model for this actually has existed just without the cryptographic component

1:55:00a lot of people point to halt as something that's a way to bypass banks

1:55:04you bypass there are fees but you bypass all the infrastructure put in place and

1:55:08as a sort of existence proof that the system could work

1:55:11sustainably and if you take trust if the if the one who all is that you need to

1:55:16enough people to trust each other

1:55:18absolutely that you take trust up by using cryptography

1:55:22me take one last break her third final sponsor answer good friends at

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1:56:21they sponsor they always want the host of the show to make a pic to pick up

1:56:26interesting book I have 1 I've been reading about halfway through on the

1:56:34advice of my good friend Scott Simpson spiral author name rich Cohen CEO AGN

1:56:41and the book is called monsters the 1985 Chicago Bears wild heart of football

1:56:49ostensibly to look back I was just written a just-released think about a

1:56:53month ago maybe six weeks ago so it's a new book looking back at the 1985 Bears

1:56:58anybody who grew up in the eighties you remember the 1985 Bears they won the

1:57:02Super Bowl but there was more than just a football team that was the team had

1:57:06the Super Bowl shuffle that Klein oh yeah there was a great day they had a

1:57:12video that was like it was like a number one video on MTV they were in a made it

1:57:17during the season it would have William the refrigerator Perry he was like a

1:57:23three hundred and seventy five pound defensive guy who they would bring bring

1:57:27any given handoffs when they needed one yard because he was so big he could

1:57:31never fail not to get one yard huge number of colorful characters just as it

1:57:38was it was almost like that

1:57:401985 Bears were almost like the World Wrestling Federation brought to

1:57:45legitimate sports and it's not a special thing about this book is not a sports

1:57:51sports book it's sort of a port says pop culture book and again if you guys know

1:57:59anybody know Scott Simpson follow his Twitter whatever you know he's not a

1:58:02sports head my wife had to not a football fan and really enjoying the

1:58:09book really really interesting book and and it's it's just one of those things

1:58:13where I was 12 when the 85 Bears were around in it I just took him for granted

1:58:17but now hindsight in reading the book it's like it's a recall what an oddball

1:58:24crazy ass team that they were and they were also tremendously successful that's

1:58:30my recommendation they've got the unabridged version of it on audible

1:58:34check it out

1:58:35Monsters by Rick on and just in general where do you go to find out more about

1:58:43audible you want to listen to audio books here's where you go

1:58:47the URL is audible podcast dot com slash the talk-show audible podcast dot com

1:58:55slash the talk show and they'll know you got there from from this podcast show my

1:59:01thanks to check them out if you like books here one last thing I thought we

1:59:07could talk about before we sign off is no go to fail

1:59:11situation which is interesting in and of itself because it's a really i mean you

1:59:17know all security updates and security problems in the in a popular OS are

1:59:21important but this is a pretty bad and it's also so just he would be bad no

1:59:27matter what the actual nature of the bugless but the fact that the nature of

1:59:32the bug was it's superfluous line of code that said go to fail is almost

1:59:40unimaginably it is too neat rate like if you put that in a movie be like oh come

1:59:46on go to fail my initial reaction was this is absolutely a plant rate Marco

1:59:56army has to the good question which was if Apple employee I don't exactly this

2:00:01way but this is my version of it is if an Apple employee worse aborn let's say

2:00:05they were on a plant they weren't hired by the NRC to be coming up employee in

2:00:09whatever but the SAU go you not gonna do when they come with the government is my

2:00:14whatever you can we talk and you can talk about this because I would be a

2:00:19national security violation you go to jail for a huge Matt I'm a huge penalty

2:00:23felony in fact you might actually be reminded or we know god knows what I

2:00:26couldn't even though american citizens are or disappeared but more like there

2:00:30are rules now that we don't totally understand about under which people are

2:00:33charged in which the information is not become public right so someone comes and

2:00:37says whatever you need to put Atletico do with the analyzed this and you can

2:00:41tell it work if it comes up you know maybe be fired thats your problem

2:00:44whatever

2:00:46like that is not implausible scenario I have heard

2:00:52but I've read again you know a lot of this is speculation how we can improve

2:00:58it but what I've read is that the way that the NSA goes about this and it's

2:01:04sort of an open secret is that it's not so much threatening and it's not so much

2:01:09like you gonna do this or you want to but that it's an appeal to patriotism

2:01:13and that they may identify people within companies who you know and now how they

2:01:20identify them I don't know but there they do and who knows maybe you know in

2:01:25the modern era

2:01:26you know a lot of that come out of Facebook and Twitter a social-networking

2:01:33where they are you know somehow see what their interests are and try to identify

2:01:37people who are going to have a sort of pro law enforcement or pro an essay

2:01:45minds and that they appeal to them on a patriotic basis and that it's that

2:01:51there's really no coercion I mean I think maybe the only part that's

2:01:54coercive is probably the UK you know we'd like to talk to you and you can't

2:01:59tell anybody about this conversation and so that part is you know you love it

2:02:06would be that because they'd be like re just for them talking to me I'm not

2:02:09gonna make a stand because they'd find people who are very tricky though for

2:02:14the NSA spying but it makes sense to appeal to their patriotism see here's

2:02:18what we would like you to do and here's why we it would help your country here's

2:02:24you know what would be able to do know you do this it will help us because

2:02:28we'll be able to use it to identify

2:02:31you know bad guys who are planning bad things to do in the USA and that

2:02:35although I thought that was initially I thought that seem more likely but as

2:02:40it's come out if you like Marco in and his gang talked about it on my cell take

2:02:47podcast quite a bit too is that it doesn't pass the smell test in that this

2:02:52particular flaw is probably was probably a mistake because for two reason the

2:02:57point is it's extremely broad once you know about you can exploit it and anyone

2:03:02can and so the NSA doesn't get it exclusively and that seems like a big

2:03:07deal and Stephen relevant to his blog he was the longtime Peter science professor

2:03:18teacher is responsible for the tool he created one of the early tools that we

2:03:24used to use on UNIX systems in the early days to scan for stuff he's a really

2:03:27smart encryption guy very well-respected the FTC is chief technology officer

2:03:33chief technologist four-year recently and he said you know the problem with

2:03:37the sea manana si did this is just too clumsy it's too easy to spot you know it

2:03:41once you find it is gone anywhere else could get to it he said what's much more

2:03:44likely in this is why I hear on the idea that that it was just an emerging trees

2:03:52or something is that it's so it's a weird thing so I'm testing which is why

2:03:57it wasn't spotted its remember this this this has been misrepresented its not

2:04:01that it validates a certificate incorrectly bad certificates fail the

2:04:06problem is that once you've led the certificated doesn't validate that the

2:04:09key for the session was signed by that certificate so you had UK so the key can

2:04:15be any can be from any party so your earlobe and you pass along all the

2:04:20certificate stuff and everyone's happy with that they need to send a key signed

2:04:23by something else and he goes through that's very very weird exploit its very

2:04:29effective if you want to use it as you can see how quickly people came up with

2:04:33proofs to show you the the problem but his thing was relevant thing which makes

2:04:36less sense if he does something like this they put in some weird random

2:04:40number thing that they take her with something so they only they're the only

2:04:43ones who know the number that triggers it and you can't figure it out unless

2:04:46you do some deep analysis we figure there's actually a flaw in the degree of

2:04:50entropy or whatever so one key will work and they know the key right they put in

2:04:55a back door that they have the key to not that they would put in a back door

2:04:59that doesn't have a working walk they don't want everyone I mean you know I do

2:05:04actually believe that their mission I think from their standpoint

2:05:07their mission is not just to its both offensive and defensive is like they may

2:05:11want back doors but they don't want government something like this would

2:05:16seem like bill so I yeah I don't think that the goto fail bug in Apple's SSL

2:05:23code

2:05:23was planted by the NSA buying anything I do they did a very likely that they do

2:05:30have morals I don't think this is one because it's a you said they expect you

2:05:34think I do I do think that the end and say you said you know it's the sort of

2:05:40bug when you look at the source code where if you're not looking for bugs

2:05:43it's real I can see how you overlook and it's again like I I blogged about what I

2:05:48wrote about it and not to get an argument about C coding style but it's

2:05:52why I think that the no braces if statement the basic gist of if

2:05:57statements and see is if you say if this then if there's only one statement you

2:06:02don't need to Brabin curly braces and if there is more than one then you have to

2:06:06put curly braces to begin and end the block of what's going to happen if that

2:06:11conditional is true and I've always felt having been bitten about bitten by that

2:06:15laziness and almost gonna do one thing but you invented and then you come back

2:06:20to the code a week two weeks later and you've you just quick hit return your

2:06:27text editor auto indent and you write the next line it's easy to make that bug

2:06:33and once the bug is in there it's easy to overlook it but if you're looking for

2:06:39bugs that really jumps out the go to go to everybody like when it when this came

2:06:43out everybody who can program even a little bit is i whoa how would that ever

2:06:47get in there like if you're actually looking for a bug it its glaring there's

2:06:51nothing clever million reviewed it auto merge tool created this problem and no

2:06:56one looked yeah and that's the thing is I cannot comes raisin razor argument

2:07:02where that's the sort of thing that happens from a diff gone bad you know

2:07:06that it when they emerged you know the diff told gets confused by the two

2:07:13versions it's trying to merge together a lot of times you'll get a duplicate line

2:07:17like that and it just so happened but I do think I do think and it's just just

2:07:23based on the way Apple wrote the bug up in a way that they they fixed it

2:07:27days before

2:07:29during or shortly not days before but a week or two Iowa 7.1 was gonna come out

2:07:37anyway I really do think I think that Apple founded in an audit and figured

2:07:43you know figured out that it explains how the NSA was claiming to do what they

2:07:49were doing the timing is that time you suspicious though like you see the

2:07:53PowerPoint thing Apple says we are gonna go through every line coach this is what

2:07:58you really the Microsoft to this one of the reasons that Vista actually had a

2:08:01superior security model 22 Windows XP was not time it was because Bill Gates

2:08:09heat you know everything the company was doing for months to go through it on it

2:08:13and it worked because Windows Vista was much more secure allow the XP stuff and

2:08:17he never sense and it's actually outpaces Apple typically and that's why

2:08:22they're one of the reasons that exploits have moved to new applications and weak

2:08:26points like flash and things like that because Windows is more secure so you

2:08:31know in so here's another bit of time in which is interesting as well as

2:08:33researchers just found I think it's like while recording this that like there's

2:08:37another cryptographic flaw that can be exploited involves client certificates

2:08:43and TLS SLT last transaction so if you connect to web server and you have a

2:08:47client certificate which most people do not you know you get issued a client

2:08:52certificate when you log in this specific way so like a normal

2:08:56transaction you just going to get the server certificate your browser

2:09:00validates that it's accurate to make a secure connection but if you get issued

2:09:04one that stored in your browser that brought that certificate apparently bu

2:09:08reused by other people and let's be impersonated things like any other

2:09:14website in which the same certificates used they can they can use that

2:09:20certificate she wears that what what system has this but everything is parts

2:09:25actually if I know it's horrible to its a protocol layer flaw that apparently

2:09:30will not be difficult to fix but then it's gotta be rolled out but the deal is

2:09:34that there are only specific cases in which a client certificates use of some

2:09:38kind of WiFi login things where

2:09:41you know you take your username and password to login over WiFi throughout

2:09:4580221 X all those those systems are using corporations that they've got a

2:09:50flaw so it's not like a general problem using my bank but it's in the case

2:09:54especially in the enterprise where you may be out in the wild you making a

2:09:58secure connection using a client certificate that actually is the

2:10:01opportunity for Melissa's malicious interception in a way that would let

2:10:05that man the middle use your credentials elsewhere and so a lot of enterprise

2:10:11software will need to get fixed as well as web servers just to be on the safe

2:10:14side but the enterprise people will probably on it pretty fast but some

2:10:17weird again you're like did somebody in all the NSA stuff they got released it

2:10:22someone notice it seems like they have a way to do something that seems to be

2:10:26implying client certificates maybe we should go back to the protocol and then

2:10:29boom something that dates back to think they're saying 2005 and affects the

2:10:34entire protocol I know there's a lot of people out there who really do think

2:10:37that these big companies are all in cahoots that when the NSA came knocking

2:10:40and say can we come in your data center this sure come on and do it every one

2:10:44and it is not you know there's no way to disprove it right and it's good in some

2:10:49sense it's good that there's some people who are skeptical like that right but I

2:10:53I don't think it's true I actually take these companies at their words when they

2:10:57say things like no we did not allow the NSA literally physically into our data

2:11:03center and the main reason why and it's not just Apple I believe all of these

2:11:08companies is that it's it's not in their interests to lie about it if they had

2:11:13done it they could just say nothing and they could even say we're not even

2:11:18allowed to say we can answer yes or no

2:11:20they could just say that and you know and then and then leave it at that

2:11:24but by saying by denying it if they're lying about that it opens them up to it

2:11:30profound in tremendous loss of trust if it ever turns out otherwise and as we've

2:11:37seen with the Snowdon thing anything you know can leak you know there's no just

2:11:41because the NSA says you can lie about it will you can trust us you can't trust

2:11:45them to have a mistaken leak

2:11:48so I just don't see why anybody would lie about it really don't and I think it

2:11:52makes sense with the odds with what we're seeing uncovered is what they've

2:11:55done is said ok we didn't let them they say they can do it how how is that even

2:12:01part where do we need to audit to see that it would be possible for them to do

2:12:06it behind our backs without our help to do this I think that's most likely

2:12:10because if you got the NSA what they did clearly in let you know it's funny it's

2:12:16like as much as I may just like they did this is kind of this is what they've

2:12:20been tasked with doing as they went through to find all the flaws in like in

2:12:23an ideal world what would have happened since he would have found flaws and they

2:12:27would have gone through work privately with every american company to replace

2:12:31them and eventually stuff would have trickled out like something like that

2:12:34that actually would have been a really great cyber strategy was to not

2:12:38implement flaws but he working assiduously to find them maybe exploit

2:12:41them at times but also be working to repair them because that would actually

2:12:45be good for the country and for what do you make of the one that just came out

2:12:51the other day yesterday the day before where it was a very similar to Apple's

2:12:56but in the new code oh that's the way this is this is another TLS thing right

2:13:02now you don't even see I miss them so the client certificate one what is this

2:13:07one said you know that people are looking at its oddly so much more see

2:13:13her for this is the thing that makes me wonder though about them all because

2:13:17it's oddly similar to Apple's even involves goto statements but it's a lot

2:13:24it's looking at the code it's a lot more subtle though it's not as glaring as you

2:13:33can create a certificate that would be accepted even though it shouldn't be

2:13:36that funny yeah I mean I think I think what it comes down to is that there may

2:13:42be a new one it seems really bad me because Apple one I forget how many

2:13:48people have already upgraded to 7.2 iOS devices are already on 706 below is one

2:13:53of those web

2:13:55networks showed that is something like forty percent of iOS devices were

2:14:00already on 70 sex is just a tremendous uptake whereas so much stuff is embedded

2:14:09systems and routers you know all these things that don't get software updates

2:14:14are running this code and will they give you think the Fortune thing is that I

2:14:18don't think they're gonna run that code until the until the Howard you know it's

2:14:25the AC adapter burns out it's true but the new one like the click the

2:14:29fundamental one that was just found two is it has to do with his client

2:14:34certificate so it's only in specific cases where like a server in this case

2:14:40like the new one a server would accept a certificate should not so you can attack

2:14:46a site if it was running the new and you knew it so that's a symmetrical and that

2:14:50there's fewer servers update then added Linux devices and the same thing like

2:14:54client the client certificate for all of that can be fixed in a few different

2:14:57ways the Apple what is particularly horrible because you could have any

2:15:02point of intersection though like right you can create a fake session key by

2:15:06being a man the middle you can put software to router matters

2:15:11hundreds of thousands or you know if you presume that the NSA while they don't

2:15:16have access to Apple's data center or Google's let's say but let's say Apple

2:15:20AAPL has written this book so they're not and apples building at all but if

2:15:26there anywhere on the Internet backbone between that remote device like that

2:15:33your iPhone and Apple's data center anywhere in that backbone in between

2:15:40this bug opens it up for them to you know it's like a classic man

2:15:45man-in-the-middle attack right and you could do it in the country wide basis of

2:15:48your iraq someone with an Apple device and whatever you could have been

2:15:54countrywide attacks

2:15:56well I think about how centralized the internet isn't China yeah exactly right

2:16:00so this is this is when these things it's like it's not a back

2:16:03you know I don't I think the Sunni where it was an error

2:16:07it's it's a sweet I think with this highlights I think what's going to

2:16:11happen is you see a lot more bizarre testing I'm surprised that

2:16:15implementations are in more thoroughly tested them in certain things like the

2:16:20idea to create a malformed client certificate of a certain type of that's

2:16:25one weird thing like you can't test every kind of ticket but Apple's one in

2:16:30particular its like I would have thought the test we would have checked to make

2:16:33sure that when you sent into session he wasn't signed by the same certificate

2:16:37that it failed because they test for like self-signed certificates they test

2:16:41for lots of kinds of failures and someone asked on Twitter even though

2:16:45Chris pepper you know the proper proof reader in an extraordinary program are

2:16:49crisp was like will should may also sign certificates pass the test has

2:16:55acknowledged leader in the process but that was a good point is if the soup in

2:16:58a flaw in a certificate validation tons of programmers would have said why did

2:17:02my self signed certificate not generate an error there

2:17:05require signing or approvals so this one was a just the point at which most

2:17:10people who test this kind of thing or work with security didn't see it and

2:17:14that's that may be dubious but it is why I think it went underground for so long

2:17:19and clearly there gonna be some apple everyone else the world will be beefing

2:17:23up the kinds of automated testing they do whenever they make change libraries

2:17:27the sort of thing again

2:17:28yeah I definitely think so i think you know I think everybody like you said

2:17:33this is what the NSA is tasked with so you know in some sense nothing has been

2:17:38surprising with all of the NSA related leaks

2:17:42but on the other hand and knowing in your bag a reminder dennis is doing

2:17:48something like this is different than getting seen these slides it say here's

2:17:51exactly what they're doing and then you know I don't know it somehow they could

2:17:56jolt everybody system and I don't think there's any doubt that you know for

2:18:02better or for worse and I'll even and play both sides of the coin here and say

2:18:06you know there's obviously there could be some downsides to this general I i

2:18:10think that it's good news that we've woken up to this but you know who knows

2:18:14maybe you know in terms of actually doing with the NSA is tasked with doing

2:18:19an actually finding genuine bad guys planning genuinely bad things that this

2:18:26is made their job a lot more difficult because it's close gonna end up in

2:18:29closing an awful lot of these back doors

2:18:32well there's there's that standpoint there's also the lake I wish to say

2:18:35there's it's widely stated by many parties that countries like Israel

2:18:40France China so far how's that there there's back to him to quit made by

2:18:47stones at Israeli companies makes up for that make that work equipment there's a

2:18:50long held and often voiced suspicions that every country built back doors and

2:18:55stuff that ships out of the country in america where she is being more

2:18:59independent Israel even the national security apparatus is more they have

2:19:03your constitutional protections and there's more of a state of siege

2:19:06mentality there france has a different relationship between business and

2:19:10commerce corporate espionage the thing that your government assisted corporate

2:19:15espionage the big thing and China so what I was seeing if they were doing was

2:19:20constantly working to find report and release information about these kinds of

2:19:25laws that affect american companies or companies around the world that are in

2:19:29products that are shipping that we're using like that would be a better use of

2:19:31resources at some level to secure America on top of their mission have you

2:19:37know finding the flaws in exploiting that I don't know it's that would have

2:19:41more impact on business to not have you know boeing's plans ripped off Google's

2:19:44servers broken into

2:19:46yeah I do some of the other some parts

2:19:49well that's a good point to wrap up

2:19:53clan there's great show I appreciate your time when he won't tell people to

2:19:59check out to find more Glenn Fleishman well it's also follow him on Twitter

2:20:03whatever you don't think people if you're bad in life you're required to

2:20:11follow me

2:20:11well the magazines book is actually it's at the printers now shipping soon in the

2:20:18eBook version is is more or less done and we've released the PDF format to

2:20:22backers were fishing or other flavors the prison is about 1,500 acres small

2:20:27print run we have about 1150 1200 committed to backers and other people

2:20:32and you can go to the magazine dot com slash book and pre-order a copy of

2:20:39either the ebook or e book or a bundle and shipping out books probably a week

2:20:47or ten days the books will actually be in some people's hands because it's a

2:20:51future books get pretty fast I don't use digital textbooks get pretty fast and

2:20:54it's very exciting it's got wait for oil embossing on the spine and things like

2:21:01that

2:21:01exciting looks good yeah I've seen all the person of color proofs and jacket

2:21:06proof's in its gonna be a really nice looking good stories and there'll be

2:21:12something to cherish for general know it'll be nice it'll be great it's what I

2:21:16was hoping is going to have a really nice we did it we try to do everything

2:21:21right so the print version would really be something that was a keeps aiken and

2:21:24we something you would actually enjoy having a copy of as a thing as well as

2:21:27all the stories inside and i feel like i tweeted something to the effective oh my

2:21:34god you guys there's a story here there's a huge story here filled with

2:21:39nothing but shelves of printed out e-books it's amazing

2:21:44ads so many people got it and laugh but it was probably one of those you know I

2:21:50probably got more people who told him miss that it was a joke than any tweet

2:21:56here's what's the name of it here's the crazy thing about modern times we were

2:22:01doing it was actually much easier to get the book printed it to the ebook part

2:22:04wow wow part is a mess

2:22:08we ascended PDF and they kill budgetary is and squeeze in cows or something in

2:22:15the book but the election but what we're doing is we're gonna have the hardcover

2:22:20book offset print well the eBook which will be 300 pages hardcover books toward

2:22:2616th we have a bigger book because we're able to find that are and then I'm also

2:22:30producing a print on demand version will be a larger size because our hardcover

2:22:34books for my small have made a different document in InDesign that's the eBook

2:22:39version three hundred and two pages that will be available print on demand

2:22:42because it's so god damn expensive to ship overseas but ebooks are printed

2:22:47banner printed locally so people in Europe and in Canada at least we'll be

2:22:52able to get the full color but they'll be able to get an affordable version of

2:22:57the ebook as a parent mantle's ebooks are much more like print is incredibly

2:23:03easy now has a deal with the stuff I just given the PDF eBooks you like in

2:23:09there like making sausage so it really isn't a joke anymore

2:23:15books it's like an industry then there's different chains of command but it's

2:23:21like is improving my ebook we're all it's just it's all it's a weird world in

2:23:27which having giant chunks of paper wrapped in printed is easier than ebooks

2:23:32with that as well I'm glad to hear it I look forward to seeing it

2:23:36all right thank you pleasure