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292: ‘Not the Batman We Want or Need’, With Rene Ritchie

 

00:00:00 ◼   ► Nothing going on this August. I don't know. It's like the worst DC Universe movie ever and I'm just afraid what the Snyder Cut's gonna be

00:00:07 ◼   ► What's going on with that thing that's that's crazy right is that nuts I only following that loosely and it's like I

00:00:16 ◼   ► Have I'm like the rare person like and I think that this is going to be the theme of the episode

00:00:21 ◼   ► Is that we're going to talk about a lot of things that have very polarizing opinions

00:00:26 ◼   ► Yeah, and Zack Snyder seems to be a very polarizing filmmaker and my take on Zack Snyder is sort of in the middle

00:00:33 ◼   ► Like I feel like I'm like the one fan of superhero movies who's like, I guess I mostly like them

00:00:39 ◼   ► But I kind of see why you know, he's yes

00:00:41 ◼   ► No, I think to me it highlights exactly what you said except

00:00:45 ◼   ► Everybody can be wrong is my takeaway. I think Twitter hates the idea that multiple people can be right and or wrong

00:00:52 ◼   ► They want a clear-cut, you know sides on everything

00:00:55 ◼   ► But I think Justice League was a bad movie and I think this lighter cut gonna be a bad movie

00:00:59 ◼   ► I can't remember I honest to God. This is the truth. I can't remember if I watch Justice League

00:01:04 ◼   ► Like I like the Superman movie I didn't love it

00:01:09 ◼   ► I don't still don't think I still think that the only good Superman movie ever made was Richard Donner's original. Yes, man

00:01:15 ◼   ► Still think it was the only one

00:01:17 ◼   ► But I kind of liked moments of Zack Snyder's and you know

00:01:24 ◼   ► and it's like what a bold move just doing away with the theme music and going with a new one and it worked for me and

00:01:30 ◼   ► I you know

00:01:32 ◼   ► Kind of like the the feel of it, which to me is often a lot more important

00:01:36 ◼   ► But then you know, it's the false apart. So anyway, the whole thing with the Zack Snyder cut of the movie is that

00:01:43 ◼   ► He's making Justice League a couple years ago

00:01:47 ◼   ► Something happens in his personal life. I don't know

00:01:51 ◼   ► It was two things there was like a DC the DC brass decided

00:01:55 ◼   ► They didn't want him doing this anymore because his previous movies were doing so badly both, you know

00:02:00 ◼   ► not in terms of box office

00:02:01 ◼   ► But in terms of public reaction and then his father passed away and they sort of used that as a way to move him aside

00:02:07 ◼   ► In the middle of production who'd made the X Avengers right, but that's in the middle of production. Yes

00:02:13 ◼   ► Yeah, or maybe more than past the middle of production. Yes. It was before the reshoots, right?

00:02:19 ◼   ► And Joss Whedon isn't just a director if anything he's better known as a writer. I mean, he's a filmmaker

00:02:26 ◼   ► I don't mean to I don't mean to take away from his skills as a director, too

00:02:30 ◼   ► And he's obviously helmed as directors and inordinately beloved in popular movies, but he is a writer. So, you know that he's not gonna

00:02:37 ◼   ► He's not at somebody's just gonna come in and say okay. Give me the script. I'll start I'll just pick it up, you know

00:02:43 ◼   ► you know perhaps contributed to it being a

00:02:47 ◼   ► mismatch mishmash and now the cast are coming forward and just saying he was terrible and the producers were terrible and the whole thing was a

00:02:54 ◼   ► Giant mess so right on the one end. I do want to you know

00:02:58 ◼   ► You judge the final work right that you should be able to

00:03:02 ◼   ► ignore all of the backstory not even pay attention and then the movie comes out and

00:03:07 ◼   ► I was gonna say you take your seat and let the film star but nobody does that anymore, right?

00:03:14 ◼   ► We live we literally can't we hit play

00:03:17 ◼   ► you watch the movie and then you can make an opinion but

00:03:20 ◼   ► but

00:03:22 ◼   ► There's some back story

00:03:24 ◼   ► stories that

00:03:26 ◼   ► Are just petty politics and gossip and you know people get into digs in and then there's some where it's like

00:03:34 ◼   ► Well, this sounds like it's impossible for a coherent movie to come out of it

00:03:38 ◼   ► Yes, and then you watch it and it's like yep

00:03:41 ◼   ► There is no way a coherent movie could come out of that

00:03:44 ◼   ► and for example, I'm thinking of solo which was a

00:03:48 ◼   ► Disaster behind the scenes and that's not even like gossip. That was just like just flat-out

00:03:53 ◼   ► We have to Disney we have to say we fired these guys. We hired Ron Howard where

00:03:58 ◼   ► Probably never should have made this movie in the first place. I think Disney said that

00:04:03 ◼   ► And the movie came out and it was it was horrendous

00:04:06 ◼   ► It was I don't know if you saw it, but there's this movie came out on Disney Plus it

00:04:11 ◼   ► I believe it averted the cinemas called Arlo Finch. No, I'm so it's not Arlo Finch. I'm sorry

00:04:16 ◼   ► It's Artemis Fowl, not not Arlo Finch and it was hugely controversial for not being a like the book

00:04:22 ◼   ► The book is basically like Harry Potter

00:04:24 ◼   ► But Harry Potter is a supervillain and towards the end of it you start to see some redeeming qualities

00:04:29 ◼   ► And that was the actual movie they made but then when they realized they were putting it on streaming

00:04:34 ◼   ► They knew they couldn't just put it up like that because in a movie theater you pay your money up front and you're forced to

00:04:39 ◼   ► Put up with the movie until the end and they figured that gave them time to redeem the character

00:04:44 ◼   ► But on streaming if the kid was unlikable in the beginning people would just click off immediately

00:04:50 ◼   ► So they redid the entire first half of the movie by overdubbing

00:04:54 ◼   ► By overdubbing dialogue over scenes where you can't see anyone talking

00:04:59 ◼   ► So through the entire first half of the movie you almost never see anyone say anything on screen. Yeah, that's that's an interesting story

00:05:06 ◼   ► That is interesting that you kind of have to write streaming stuff in a different way, right? Yeah

00:05:10 ◼   ► Anyway, we shouldn't be talking about any of this we have too much no

00:05:15 ◼   ► too much to go on

00:05:18 ◼   ► So you there's a bit of news breaking at least for me. I guess it's 24 hours old

00:05:23 ◼   ► I don't know but the apples changing the name of beats one

00:05:27 ◼   ► Yeah, they're kind of finally getting away from the beat. Is there anything left beats branded other than their beats headphones?

00:05:34 ◼   ► No, I think that's it. It's just a few headphones left

00:05:37 ◼   ► So what do we so the gist is that the until recently or until yesterday the big station on Apple music was beats one

00:05:46 ◼   ► Yeah, now they're renaming it Apple music one. Is that the new name?

00:05:50 ◼   ► Yeah

00:05:51 ◼   ► Which is odd because when they meant when they said beats one originally a lot of us thought that meant there was going to be a beats

00:05:56 ◼   ► Two and it beats three like BBC one BBC two fairly quickly

00:05:59 ◼   ► But it's been four years and and this is the only the beginning of it

00:06:04 ◼   ► Yeah, but I wonder if that's why they're doing this now. I don't know. Maybe that's still

00:06:08 ◼   ► When they bought beats

00:06:11 ◼   ► 2013 I

00:06:14 ◼   ► Want to say which is all of a sudden seems like a long time ago. They had they got two things

00:06:20 ◼   ► They got a big profitable headphone business and they got a streaming music service that they parlayed into

00:06:27 ◼   ► What we now call Apple music. I

00:06:31 ◼   ► always thought and still think that they bought it primarily for the streaming thing and in both in terms of a

00:06:38 ◼   ► Sort of and I don't know how much of this was sort of a licensing coup

00:06:42 ◼   ► where

00:06:45 ◼   ► Like the record labels who grew suspicious of Apple because in

00:06:51 ◼   ► 2001 2002 when Apple launched the iTunes music store. I'm not gonna say they hoodwinked the music labels, but they

00:07:00 ◼   ► You know, which sounds like they they they misdirected them

00:07:04 ◼   ► But the the music labels underestimated Apple because Apple

00:07:08 ◼   ► Negotiated terms that would have allowed them to sell these music the music everywhere and the music labels

00:07:14 ◼   ► Just wrongfully assumed. Well, they've got this iPod thing

00:07:19 ◼   ► But it only works on the Mac and the Mac is a niche market with like under 5% market share. So why not?

00:07:26 ◼   ► Experiment with Apple at the most this will ever be 5% of the market if everybody on a Mac

00:07:32 ◼   ► buys music through it, which probably won't happen so it'll be less than 5% and

00:07:37 ◼   ► Instead, you know

00:07:40 ◼   ► The iPod became a little bit more popular than that

00:07:42 ◼   ► But anyway apples then, you know growing influence in the music industry led them to be grew

00:07:50 ◼   ► Viewed with suspicion rightfully so right like well, let's be careful negotiating with Apple. So I've always thought Apple

00:07:57 ◼   ► wanted to start their streaming music service by buying beats or

00:08:03 ◼   ► Maybe somebody else so that they could get a leg in and say well

00:08:06 ◼   ► Maybe you didn't want to negotiate with us

00:08:09 ◼   ► But you negotiated with them and we can buy them and so now we've bought them and now we have these licensing deals that were

00:08:15 ◼   ► Already in place. I

00:08:16 ◼   ► Don't know how much of that is true. I just assume it is

00:08:20 ◼   ► To some degree. I've always heard that the licensing deals in many

00:08:23 ◼   ► I don't know for the specific one

00:08:25 ◼   ► But in many cases are broken when they're sold or the least have to be renegotiated

00:08:30 ◼   ► I don't think they also just really like Jimmy Iovine and relationships and his vision for curated music because it was very anti

00:08:37 ◼   ► Algorithm that seemed to really appeal to Apple at a deep level, right?

00:08:42 ◼   ► and that's where I was going next was that even if those deals were severed or severable or

00:08:47 ◼   ► Expired which at this point again if it's six seven years since it happened probably did

00:08:53 ◼   ► that they wanted Jimmy Iovine on their side to

00:08:57 ◼   ► Negotiate he had great relationships with them. And again his whole that whole sort of

00:09:03 ◼   ► DJ slash producers ear towards

00:09:07 ◼   ► You know

00:09:11 ◼   ► Collecting the music whatever. Yeah, just and talent, right?

00:09:15 ◼   ► And it's interesting because they they've had beats one for a while now and they're launching beats hits

00:09:20 ◼   ► might be said sorry Apple music hits and Apple music country and

00:09:25 ◼   ► They seem to feel like they already have a lock on the hip-hop market or not a lot but a huge share

00:09:30 ◼   ► Or a huge community around the hip-hop market

00:09:34 ◼   ► But that's very modern hits or neck or what's tomorrow's hits driven and the hits channel is gonna focus on

00:09:40 ◼   ► music hits from the sixth and seventies eight sorry eighties nine eighties nineties and two thousands and

00:09:46 ◼   ► Country is going to be based in Nashville and focusing on a very different music scene for them. Hmm

00:09:52 ◼   ► Yeah, you know, I guess that's just the nature of the game. What do you think about what's the deals now with Beats headphones?

00:09:59 ◼   ► Do you think that that just continues or do you think that this does this make this is raise your?

00:10:04 ◼   ► Spidey sense to make you think maybe the Beats brand is

00:10:08 ◼   ► No more or on the way out the door

00:10:10 ◼   ► Yeah, I mean there were a couple rumors about that

00:10:14 ◼   ► I think John Prosser published something a while back saying that they were actively deprecating it

00:10:17 ◼   ► But if just if you look at the evidence that we have they're replacing more and more of the Beats line with AirPods branded

00:10:24 ◼   ► Devices and AirPods branded devices are far more popular than any of the Beats branded devices

00:10:30 ◼   ► I think initially they liked the Beats brand because it had a very good demographic for them. They were very there was popular

00:10:37 ◼   ► Culturally significant they were selling a lot but then AirPods came along and there I don't know what else to say it

00:10:44 ◼   ► But they're meme worthy

00:10:44 ◼   ► They've just become an entire subculture and that has greater value than I think them keeping the Beats

00:10:50 ◼   ► Label around and if rumors of new over the year and around the ear AirPods are true then it seems

00:10:57 ◼   ► useless to keep Beats around

00:11:00 ◼   ► Yeah, and there's always there's a part of me too that always thought and I think it's almost certainly true

00:11:08 ◼   ► that to some degree the Beats brand was

00:11:12 ◼   ► inherently Apple like in that it was a very

00:11:16 ◼   ► brand first

00:11:19 ◼   ► polarizing

00:11:21 ◼   ► Yeah thing and it was sold at a premium, you know that it was, you know, you know juicy profit margins

00:11:28 ◼   ► Devoted fans

00:11:31 ◼   ► You know that that people who got into Beats, you know

00:11:34 ◼   ► We're if they lost their headphones or wanted a new pair they were gonna buy another pair of Beats

00:11:38 ◼   ► You know, it's that they start by saying, you know, what Beach should I buy as opposed to which headphones should I buy?

00:11:44 ◼   ► Which is you know Apple like fundamentally?

00:11:47 ◼   ► But it's just weird for Apple to have a subsidiary like that, right? It's just not something they do

00:11:53 ◼   ► They're not a conglomerate that owns a bunch of sub brands. There's like file maker in this right and even file maker

00:12:01 ◼   ► You know a file maker as an independent company is truly ancient history by anyone's standards of this industry, right?

00:12:08 ◼   ► I mean you'd have to talk about other industries to

00:12:11 ◼   ► Not qualify that as ancient history and even then there's a certain

00:12:16 ◼   ► Very Apple enos to the file maker brand, right? They for a long time

00:12:22 ◼   ► They even had a website that sort of just looked like the Apple website. Yeah

00:12:27 ◼   ► It's you know and then again if you go around and just pull a thousand people and how many of them have heard of Beats headphones

00:12:34 ◼   ► And how many of them have heard of file maker?

00:12:36 ◼   ► Yeah, you know in the general public you might get a very decided split

00:12:41 ◼   ► If you talk to people who are listening to me and you right now on this show. Yeah, sure

00:12:45 ◼   ► They've heard of file maker, but even there I mean how many people do you know who are still using file maker on a regular basis?

00:12:51 ◼   ► I'm not saying it's obscure but it's just sort of you know

00:12:55 ◼   ► Legacy in a sense legacy, but still going strong

00:12:58 ◼   ► You know anything with beats for me is that they've always done things that I think is beyond what Apple would do like they have

00:13:04 ◼   ► Headphones in every Olympic team color. Yeah, or Mickey Mouse branded headphones, which are deals. I don't see Apple making with AirPods

00:13:11 ◼   ► Yeah, totally and it gets them it also I think gets them a certain segment of the market who you know

00:13:17 ◼   ► Let's just face it like on a mobile sense probably has an Android phone

00:13:21 ◼   ► Wouldn't buy wouldn't buy an an Apple pair of headphones, even if it worked it was advertised as working with Android

00:13:29 ◼   ► and

00:13:31 ◼   ► Would buy beats and so it is you know, it's but but on the whole I just don't see it as going away

00:13:38 ◼   ► And I kind of think the vague, you know, not that there's a specific

00:13:41 ◼   ► whiteboard somewhere at Apple where here's the plan to get rid of beats but as a

00:13:48 ◼   ► sort of loosely held notion the cooler the AirPods brand gets and the

00:13:54 ◼   ► More products that fall within the AirPods brand. I mean we're up to two

00:13:59 ◼   ► But supposedly at least a third, you know, the big new one the over the ears type thing

00:14:05 ◼   ► You know has been rumored for a long time and you know the sports ones, right?

00:14:10 ◼   ► So two two holes in the market for AirPods, so we've got regular ones

00:14:15 ◼   ► You've got the AirPods Pro which are noise cancelling but the same basic idea as regular AirPods

00:14:21 ◼   ► so the two holes would be the over the ear type and the

00:14:26 ◼   ► Sports ones. Yeah, right and you know somewhere Marco's listening to this and me

00:14:31 ◼   ► Qualifying the entire concept of over the ears headphones is one category

00:14:36 ◼   ► It's for me is just saying like AirPods X because I try to say this with the processors

00:14:43 ◼   ► I was trying to say a 12x yesterday and I kept saying a 1210 and apples destroyed any ability for me to distinguish what that

00:14:48 ◼   ► symbol means at any given time

00:14:50 ◼   ► It's very true

00:14:55 ◼   ► Leah at least Microsoft's very consistent. They use a lot of X's but they're always access

00:14:59 ◼   ► Although I guess what did know Windows 10 is it is a 1-0. Yeah. Yeah, blessed 1-0

00:15:04 ◼   ► Yeah, so I think that beats probably aren't going away but they're fading away

00:15:13 ◼   ► Yes, so I think

00:15:15 ◼   ► All right

00:15:16 ◼   ► Let me take a break before we dig into the meat of the show and thank our first sponsor

00:15:20 ◼   ► It's our good friends our old friends at Squarespace

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00:17:29 ◼   ► Thought I would have thought that Phil Schiller stepping aside stepping up

00:17:35 ◼   ► Advancing in Apple's verbiage to an Apple fellow. That would be a whole show. Yeah

00:17:42 ◼   ► Something we got to get out of the way John we got to get out of the way quickly

00:17:47 ◼   ► He's

00:17:50 ◼   ► Step he's long time. I don't even know they don't even say how long he's been the senior vice president of worldwide marketing

00:17:56 ◼   ► That's his title now used to be worldwide product marketing. I

00:17:59 ◼   ► Don't know when they lost the product, but it's the same job. I think when jaws became VP of product marketing. Hmm, maybe

00:18:06 ◼   ► I'm not quite sure what that means. But like a lot of companies that probably mean something inside Apple

00:18:11 ◼   ► Yeah

00:18:13 ◼   ► at a product

00:18:15 ◼   ► What does it mean is the one foot out the door is this just the graceful easy way of

00:18:23 ◼   ► Phil Schiller heading into retirement or is he really going to be around for years to come with the App Store and

00:18:31 ◼   ► Events still on his plate

00:18:34 ◼   ► We don't know. I don't know

00:18:37 ◼   ► Phil Schiller probably does know

00:18:40 ◼   ► But they're not I mean Mansfield try to get out and they brought him back in so I really know

00:18:44 ◼   ► I thought that like I don't I think that

00:18:50 ◼   ► In certain terms of being well known by people who follow the company

00:18:56 ◼   ► Schiller's up there at the top of the list

00:19:01 ◼   ► You know not probably not quite certainly nobody's up there with Steve Jobs. Nobody anymore is up there with Tim Cook

00:19:08 ◼   ► He's the CEO. He is the face of the company a brightly. So Johnny I've unique

00:19:13 ◼   ► You know Schiller is next on that list I think without question I would say fourth

00:19:19 ◼   ► You know fourth on the list. I

00:19:21 ◼   ► Think when Johnny phone intros for years that yeah most popular visible positions to do

00:19:27 ◼   ► Every time whether there were a couple of years were early on, you know, where Steve Jobs was out on medical leave

00:19:35 ◼   ► I

00:19:37 ◼   ► believe the

00:19:38 ◼   ► 3gs

00:19:40 ◼   ► Yes. Yes the 3gs. So the third iPhone

00:19:43 ◼   ► Which was still introduced at?

00:19:47 ◼   ► DC yeah

00:19:49 ◼   ► Schiller took the took the job. So there was a while where every single iPhone

00:19:55 ◼   ► In fact, maybe still to some degree that's true that every single iPhone has either been introduced on stage by Steve Jobs or Phil Schiller

00:20:03 ◼   ► Yeah, I ended the 11 last year, right?

00:20:07 ◼   ► I think that's the first variant client grants the right president not new vice president of iPhone marketing, right?

00:20:13 ◼   ► Oh, so she's got the she took Josh Joss's old title. Is that true? I didn't know though Joss was VP of product marketing

00:20:19 ◼   ► And he had a bunch of VPS under him like Stan was vice president of Apple watch marketing cayenne's vice president of iPhone

00:20:25 ◼   ► marketing, right

00:20:28 ◼   ► I think they just have their own divisions now. Yeah, I guess that this sort of

00:20:34 ◼   ► basic idea of who introduced the new iPhone each year is sort of stale anyway because

00:20:41 ◼   ► Yeah, the product line has expanded, you know, and what is the main iPhone?

00:20:45 ◼   ► Is it the iPhone 11 or is it the iPhone 11 Pro right?

00:20:49 ◼   ► The pro is obviously the one that's the hero in the lineup. But the iPhone 11 is the one that's the

00:20:54 ◼   ► Actually the better product for most people and the best-selling one

00:20:58 ◼   ► Yeah, absolutely

00:20:59 ◼   ► And I think you know

00:21:01 ◼   ► I think just Schiller loved the cameras so much too and the 11 Pro was all mostly about the cameras. Yeah

00:21:07 ◼   ► Yeah, because it was the first one to have three. Is that right? Yeah. Yeah and the sweater mode

00:21:13 ◼   ► That's right sweater mode

00:21:16 ◼   ► Yeah, I don't want to because you know and it's weird it's you know, I don't know what you call it

00:21:23 ◼   ► We have a word when somebody dies call it a eulogy

00:21:26 ◼   ► I

00:21:28 ◼   ► Don't know what you call it when somebody retires, you know, but it's weird

00:21:31 ◼   ► I don't feel I honestly don't feel like it's time to talk about Phil Schiller in the past tense

00:21:36 ◼   ► I really don't especially

00:21:38 ◼   ► With and you know, I don't know. I don't know if you looked at the show notes

00:21:42 ◼   ► I have here for the rest of this podcast the App Store is go where are going to mention it once or twice

00:21:48 ◼   ► Yeah, it's not exactly like his

00:21:52 ◼   ► limited

00:21:54 ◼   ► Plate of our limited selection of things still on his plate are are obscure

00:21:59 ◼   ► You know, the thing is that the senior vice presidents at Apple are all overloaded. They would all be presidents

00:22:06 ◼   ► If not CEOs of their own companies those divisions are huge

00:22:09 ◼   ► And if you look at Eddie's desk or Phil's desk previously the the sheer quantity of things they had to deal with

00:22:15 ◼   ► Was ridiculous, which is why I think they were aggressive in getting a whole new range of vice presidents under them

00:22:21 ◼   ► But even jaws taking this job

00:22:24 ◼   ► You know the the senior vice president of worldwide marketing and not having to deal with the App Store and with events in

00:22:30 ◼   ► 2020 I think is just a

00:22:34 ◼   ► If I was you know, it would be a huge thank you, you know

00:22:36 ◼   ► There's gonna be a lot going on right now you keeping those two things just much appreciated, right?

00:22:41 ◼   ► So the two things that are still on Phil Schiller's plate as an Apple fellow are the App Store and Apple events

00:22:47 ◼   ► Which are in order the most controversial

00:22:51 ◼   ► Aspect of Apple's business. I think I think it's fair to say that it's obviously up for argument and the highest profile

00:22:59 ◼   ► Aspect which I think is inarguable right the Apple introduction events, especially the fall one for new iPhones

00:23:05 ◼   ► But WWDC is a close second

00:23:07 ◼   ► And you know any other special events they deem necessary throughout the year are obviously the highest proof

00:23:14 ◼   ► They're literally that's the whole point of them is to be high profile

00:23:17 ◼   ► Right. I mean it's and that's only the events we see but that organization also is huge and does a ton of other things from developer

00:23:24 ◼   ► kitchens to

00:23:25 ◼   ► Like mainstream media things to now with Apple TV plus Hollywood sort of things

00:23:30 ◼   ► Right. Well and speaking of Hollywood sort of things I

00:23:33 ◼   ► Had Adam Lisa Gore on the show a couple of weeks ago. We talked about the keynote

00:23:38 ◼   ► And I think I get my dates mixed up

00:23:43 ◼   ► I don't know about you in 2020, but I think the Samsung event came after that

00:23:47 ◼   ► yeah, and

00:23:49 ◼   ► it

00:23:51 ◼   ► the longer we go from

00:23:53 ◼   ► WWDC and the more we settle in to the

00:23:56 ◼   ► At least temporary, you know, it is temporary at some point

00:24:00 ◼   ► We'll get back to having public events without I mean, you know for the long way or the short way eventually

00:24:05 ◼   ► Covert 19 is going to dissipate

00:24:07 ◼   ► But in the meantime the longer we go from WWDC the better it looks I mean

00:24:15 ◼   ► I don't think anybody really complained about it when it happened. It was like wow, this is you know, maybe there were things we were surprised

00:24:20 ◼   ► They did it this way or that way but now watching is more time has gone on and more companies have done things

00:24:26 ◼   ► That are have to be remote that were previously in person

00:24:29 ◼   ► Boy, it really it stands apart. I mean so Facebook and Google just canceled theirs

00:24:35 ◼   ► They just said we're not even doing it

00:24:38 ◼   ► We're just not there. So there is no that the and I feel like it's fair to say, you know that that's

00:24:44 ◼   ► You can't say they did a bad job with their developer conferences

00:24:48 ◼   ► But it's a way of judging how important they are to the companies

00:24:51 ◼   ► Like yeah, I don't think it was ever even on the table for Apple not to have WWDC in some way online

00:24:59 ◼   ► like yeah, and

00:25:02 ◼   ► They tie their new releases so closely to the event which Google

00:25:05 ◼   ► Doesn't always do like the new version of Android is just announced at some point and they do three betas and then it's live

00:25:10 ◼   ► And over the next eight years people adopt it

00:25:13 ◼   ► Right and Facebook, you know, I'm not saying that you know, their developer conference has developers and there are things that

00:25:21 ◼   ► Facebook offers that are API's and integrations that

00:25:26 ◼   ► Developers follow and they have even a hardware platform that's relevant with oculus

00:25:32 ◼   ► But it's just not central to what they do, you know

00:25:37 ◼   ► and again this will tie in to the remainder of this episode but the App Store and the message from Apple to third-party

00:25:44 ◼   ► developers and the way that they convey those same

00:25:47 ◼   ► tent pole features of their platforms to users -

00:25:52 ◼   ► is really it's just a

00:25:57 ◼   ► It's a tent pole aspect of Apple's annual calendar that just cannot be

00:26:02 ◼   ► overstated

00:26:06 ◼   ► Samsung's event I saw mixed reviews of Samsung's event. I couldn't watch the whole thing, but I saw some clips

00:26:12 ◼   ► I thought it was I mean it wasn't unprofessional, but I thought it was really bad. I thought there were aspects of it that were just I

00:26:20 ◼   ► Like I can't believe that this is real

00:26:23 ◼   ► No, the thing is and a lot of people say oh, it's because it's 2020 or it's because you know

00:26:29 ◼   ► It's it's Samsung

00:26:30 ◼   ► But I was at a Samsung event at Radio City Music Hall years ago, and it was a disaster

00:26:36 ◼   ► And I knew some of the people who were working at Samsung at the time and they said basically

00:26:39 ◼   ► They got the script on the teleprompter was the first time they ever saw it and they tried their best to say it out loud

00:26:44 ◼   ► And that's apparently what happened again this time and just it must be five or six years later

00:26:50 ◼   ► You can make that mistake once after that. It's just not caring right and you know

00:26:55 ◼   ► There were there were two main co-hosts sort of like news anchors at a desk there there was an Asian woman on the left and

00:27:04 ◼   ► a young black man on the right and

00:27:06 ◼   ► You know lots of points for diversity with you know a woman and a man and an Asian and a black

00:27:16 ◼   ► man

00:27:18 ◼   ► But they clearly weren't Samsung

00:27:21 ◼   ► Executives, you know, they weren't people with knowledge of the products

00:27:26 ◼   ► I mean and some of what they were reading where I mean they were clearly just reading and it was very, you know

00:27:32 ◼   ► It really seemed like was it was this take one. I mean what is going on here?

00:27:36 ◼   ► I believe it was I believe that's the first time I saw that stuff because the script keeps getting and there also

00:27:40 ◼   ► Samsung America fights with Samsung Korea over who's gonna be in charge of things or who's gonna do things and you can't run a company

00:27:48 ◼   ► That way it's not a unified vision for an event right and that it it highlights to me and I you know that

00:27:57 ◼   ► Apple's WWDC was certainly more diverse and who got screen time then you know in there and their

00:28:02 ◼   ► Presentations are getting more diverse and they're getting more people

00:28:06 ◼   ► Into the events and they use the unique sort of pre-taped version of this

00:28:12 ◼   ► I think in a very good way to get more people involved without making it seem

00:28:18 ◼   ► Like at a lot of other companies if you know to look for it

00:28:23 ◼   ► You can see it that it's a political argument between companies that are organized

00:28:27 ◼   ► Divisionally where each division is are arguing for time in the keynote whether they deserve whether that works for the company's benefit or not

00:28:36 ◼   ► You know and it's time for somebody from the Xbox division to come up and speak even though there's nothing new for the Xbox this year

00:28:43 ◼   ► To do it, but they don't want to give up their 20-minute spot in the keynote

00:28:47 ◼   ► And and sometimes that's very transparent and the lack of a divisional nature within Apple sort of has always helped them avoid that

00:28:54 ◼   ► But the thing about Apple and the people you see in their events is that it's always people who are responsible

00:29:03 ◼   ► Yes directly for the thing that they are telling you about, you know, and if it's somebody telling you about the new

00:29:14 ◼   ► Wireless technology that helps the two air pods talk to each other with no latency

00:29:19 ◼   ► It's somebody who's directly involved in the development of the air pods product. It's not just let's pick somebody to talk about it

00:29:26 ◼   ► It's somebody else pick somebody who is involved with it to talk about it

00:29:30 ◼   ► If the power went out and you were stuck in an elevator with them and they had no prep like no preparation time

00:29:36 ◼   ► They could still give you an incredible education about that product, right?

00:29:39 ◼   ► Right, that is it's very true, right and you know that they're they're obviously involved in picking out these sort of bullet points

00:29:48 ◼   ► What's the best way to make somebody understand this product?

00:29:50 ◼   ► So I really do think that you know having seen a couple of other things and I'll throw in the Democratic National Convention

00:29:58 ◼   ► That's going on this week as we record which isn't bad, you know

00:30:02 ◼   ► But it is it's another thing like a product introduction keynote

00:30:06 ◼   ► that is traditionally held on a stage in front of thousands of people and

00:30:11 ◼   ► Interspersed with occasional pre-taped things

00:30:15 ◼   ► Whereas now it has to be entirely remote with no crowd, which is very unusual

00:30:21 ◼   ► And they're doing you know, it's to me a credible job, you know, basically you're not putting on a live show anymore

00:30:29 ◼   ► You're putting you're making a TV show

00:30:31 ◼   ► They're doing okay, but it's not they're not doing great. I think what Apple did with WWDC like

00:30:37 ◼   ► WWDC is the only thing that's happened so far in 2020 that used to be live wasn't live at all and

00:30:45 ◼   ► Afterwards had a lot of people saying oh, this is probably what they're gonna do forever. Even when COVID is over

00:30:51 ◼   ► That's the only one so far. Nobody is looking at this Democratic National Committee

00:30:56 ◼   ► Convention and saying oh four years from now, they'll do it the same way. No

00:31:00 ◼   ► Exactly that like and Samsung had terrific products like they like you you can either like them or not like them think they're boring or

00:31:06 ◼   ► iterative or they're fantastic

00:31:08 ◼   ► But their products were all super solid and it was just the event that let them down

00:31:12 ◼   ► Where Apple didn't have any like no products that required atoms like at this life in the developer kit

00:31:18 ◼   ► it was all software, but their production value and storytelling was just

00:31:22 ◼   ► Expertly done. Yeah, and it you know things that were awkward or just I don't remember anything, you know

00:31:29 ◼   ► It was all very smooth and rehearsed and well tight and tightened up like I with the Samsung

00:31:35 ◼   ► Co-hosts I I did I think it was very clear that they weren't together

00:31:39 ◼   ► You know and it would hopefully they weren't because I think it would you know, they were too close, you know

00:31:45 ◼   ► So they simulated them being close together

00:31:47 ◼   ► But there were times where their banter back and forth was just so poorly edited where it's like I really hope that this is just

00:31:54 ◼   ► Poorly edited back and forth banter because if they really were together, this is excruciating

00:32:00 ◼   ► It was well usually like there's a couple things that I always dunk on Samsung for every year and one is they they're very different

00:32:07 ◼   ► Than Apple but not in always a good way

00:32:08 ◼   ► They always do pre briefings which means like if it was me and you we would go to Samsung a week or two weeks before

00:32:15 ◼   ► We'd get time in a room. We'd get to ask them questions take photos film the devices

00:32:20 ◼   ► Maybe you know get review units then two weeks before the event

00:32:24 ◼   ► Then when the event starts the exact moment the event starts the embargo lifts

00:32:28 ◼   ► So like Marquez and everybody's videos go live and now I no longer know if I should be watching the event

00:32:32 ◼   ► Or watching the videos which are gonna be way more concise than the event

00:32:36 ◼   ► Where typically they spend like a they have a 20-minute speech about how they're the most innovative company in the world

00:32:41 ◼   ► And if Tim Cook did that I would change the channel

00:32:44 ◼   ► I don't hear that from any CEO when I'm a captive audience and they had like a two-person interview this time

00:32:48 ◼   ► Which which wasted my time in exactly the same way. I I just don't I just show me the products and tell me why I should

00:32:55 ◼   ► Buy them. Yeah, I don't know and why not just put the

00:32:58 ◼   ► Embargo a day afterwards. It's very strange. Yeah. Yeah, we're after the show anything that makes it just more literally possible like a

00:33:05 ◼   ► Sequential. Yeah, just you know, even just after the show

00:33:08 ◼   ► so anyway, do you think that we've seen the last of Phil Schiller on stage I

00:33:13 ◼   ► Hope not just because I it's one of the things where you just want to see it's like when Batman comes out one last time

00:33:20 ◼   ► It just gives you that rush and if he was had the opportunity to do something that he loved

00:33:25 ◼   ► Like talk about new photographic technology or new audio technology or a big change to the App Store

00:33:31 ◼   ► Which I'm sure we'll get into soon and he could do that on stage. I think it would be terrific

00:33:35 ◼   ► seeing him knowing that would be one of the last times instead of

00:33:38 ◼   ► You know sort of enjoying the past ones not knowing that that way they were gonna be that yeah

00:33:43 ◼   ► And I don't know I I could see it, you know, and he's certainly yeah

00:33:47 ◼   ► I think it was obvious as it happened that there was a

00:33:53 ◼   ► And it's a broader argument we don't have time to get into but

00:33:57 ◼   ► Apple's events have evolved over time and and when you go back and watch the Steve Jobs era ones

00:34:05 ◼   ► It it's a lot easier to notice by jumping back

00:34:09 ◼   ► 11 12 years than it was to notice

00:34:13 ◼   ► Incrementally year after year event after event, but they've gotten a lot more polished. They've gotten a lot more Hollywood

00:34:23 ◼   ► For better or for worse, you know, and I think you can make both cases

00:34:26 ◼   ► But one of the other differences is that there's a lot more people who get stage time now

00:34:37 ◼   ► like there were times in the past where it really, you know, especially in the jobs era where it was

00:34:43 ◼   ► The only people who might come on stage were people from outside Apple, right?

00:34:48 ◼   ► You know, it's like when the iPhone got introduced and it's like well, let's bring Eric Schmidt from Google

00:34:53 ◼   ► And Jerry Yang from Yahoo to talk about the weather app that we're using Yahoo weather for oh and who can forget?

00:35:00 ◼   ► Stan

00:35:02 ◼   ► Last name the guy from singular. Oh

00:35:06 ◼   ► God, I'm blanking on it. Oh, yeah, that was those are always terrible Stan the man with the worst the worst on stage

00:35:14 ◼   ► Presence in an Apple keynote ever

00:35:21 ◼   ► But it you know

00:35:23 ◼   ► There's a lot more people from within the company who are involved now in recent years

00:35:28 ◼   ► And this is a pet peeve of mine had been but I love it now to me

00:35:33 ◼   ► this is one of the things that to me is a

00:35:35 ◼   ► Change that I've noticed but most people don't seem to comment on but I think it's only for the better

00:35:40 ◼   ► It's not just that you see more people

00:35:42 ◼   ► Throughout Apple on

00:35:45 ◼   ► On stage or on screen as the case may be but they get credit by name

00:35:51 ◼   ► You know, here's cayenne drants

00:35:54 ◼   ► here's you know and and just down the line and and the WWDC coach keynote credited every single person who appeared by name and

00:36:01 ◼   ► You know just you know with a title that told you that they work on whatever it is

00:36:06 ◼   ► they're you didn't really have to see their title because whatever they're talking about is what they work on but I

00:36:10 ◼   ► Think that's a big change and I think you could you know

00:36:13 ◼   ► there's a certain strategy to that to become less reliant on Phil Schiller individually and

00:36:19 ◼   ► You know Craig Federighi and you know, it's not just Tim Craig and Phil doing everything every time

00:36:25 ◼   ► And the occasional Eddie like the occasional Eddie cube, you know bright shirt

00:36:30 ◼   ► Well, it's so different because you would if you I watched the old events quite a lot and when they were at Town Hall at

00:36:39 ◼   ► Infinite Loop

00:36:40 ◼   ► Steve would just say and Phil's gonna tell you about it or even Johnny's gonna tell you about the new unibody and you'd literally see them

00:36:46 ◼   ► Step up from the chair. Yeah up on stage and turn around

00:36:50 ◼   ► It's very true

00:36:52 ◼   ► Yeah, I don't know I if I had to bet I would say we'll still see Schiller again

00:37:01 ◼   ► You know possibly in the exact same role. I mean it has been

00:37:05 ◼   ► And people just don't notice but like I even mentioned, you know

00:37:10 ◼   ► and it makes me a little annoyed because they're obviously not paying close attention to my WWDC talk shows, but

00:37:16 ◼   ► It started a few years ago when Phil Schiller didn't appear on stage at WWDC and yeah

00:37:22 ◼   ► And I and but he was on my show afterwards and I brought it up and I remember that which it was

00:37:27 ◼   ► I think we were still at 111 minute in San Francisco. In fact, I know we were

00:37:31 ◼   ► We're not 111 minute the wherever the other place was in San Francisco

00:37:37 ◼   ► But we were still in San Francisco and I asked Phil about hey, this is the first time I think in a long time

00:37:44 ◼   ► You haven't been at WWDC and he was like, yeah, it's like 20 years

00:37:46 ◼   ► Like he's been on stage every time

00:37:49 ◼   ► and I you know, I think it was strategic to broaden it out, you know, and and

00:37:55 ◼   ► it it does also follow with the whoever is saying it is responsible for it and

00:38:01 ◼   ► Craig Federighi in charge of software is

00:38:04 ◼   ► the number two after Tim Cook at WWDC where they're talking about their software platforms and

00:38:13 ◼   ► It's hardware people like Phil and Kayan talking about the iPhones when it's September

00:38:20 ◼   ► middle September and the iPhones come out I

00:38:22 ◼   ► Think Phil the last I remember him at WWDC was the home pod in 2017

00:38:27 ◼   ► He just had so many hardware products at that show and he capped it off. I think with the home pod

00:38:33 ◼   ► Yeah

00:38:33 ◼   ► I remember that that was a tough demo because I remember he even acknowledged that it was a tough demo because it's like

00:38:38 ◼   ► We've done all this advanced stuff to make it sound good in the living room and now we have to simulate it for you and have

00:38:43 ◼   ► Yeah, in a room full of six thousand people

00:38:46 ◼   ► But he was really deep on that product

00:38:48 ◼   ► But he was there for everything and you could tell he loved it

00:38:51 ◼   ► And I think that's why he was the one who did it at dub-dub

00:38:54 ◼   ► So anyway, let me take a break before we dive into the App Store

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00:40:48 ◼   ► App store. Oh, yeah

00:40:54 ◼   ► Boy it's a lot John. Hey, you know what before we go on to app so we should just say I I think that in addition to

00:40:59 ◼   ► Because he's been on stage so much the Phil Schiller moving on from being in charge of product marketing to its title of Apple fellow

00:41:08 ◼   ► With a limited number of things on his plate

00:41:10 ◼   ► Gets got all the a lot of publicity

00:41:13 ◼   ► Jaws getting promoted to the senior vice president of worldwide marketing is

00:41:21 ◼   ► It was very obvious to anybody who's known anything about the company for 10 15

00:41:26 ◼   ► Maybe longer years that jaws was number two under under Phil

00:41:30 ◼   ► And it you know, I'm not just saying this in the self-serving way that jaws has been on my show a couple of times

00:41:36 ◼   ► but he is

00:41:39 ◼   ► Really it it just

00:41:44 ◼   ► The amount of time he's been on stage is not proportionate to his influence within that marketing division

00:41:51 ◼   ► You know, he's just you know, humbly allowed himself to be mostly offstage over the years

00:41:57 ◼   ► But he's good when he's on stage he's amazing

00:42:01 ◼   ► He did the 10.2 inch

00:42:04 ◼   ► iPad at the last September event

00:42:06 ◼   ► Yeah, and he's also one of the smart like in my old career when I worked in product marketing

00:42:11 ◼   ► I was an enterprise but most of the marketing people that you dealt with were salespeople

00:42:16 ◼   ► And all they would do is try to sell you on a product

00:42:18 ◼   ► They would tell you it had any feature and if it didn't have it that you know that the sky was limit

00:42:22 ◼   ► They just wanted to make sales and Apple's marketing is not like that at all. He's an engineer

00:42:28 ◼   ► He can explain battery chemistry processor architecture

00:42:31 ◼   ► Everything like three layers deep and they really have an ownership of products

00:42:36 ◼   ► That's almost unheard of in general marketing organizations, right?

00:42:40 ◼   ► And I've said this before often maybe specifically about Phil Schiller

00:42:47 ◼   ► individually, but really is more about the entire division that people's the layperson's

00:42:54 ◼   ► Conception of what quote-unquote marketing means is

00:42:59 ◼   ► Absolutely, not what marketing means at Apple

00:43:03 ◼   ► Like if you think marketing means that you design the packaging and the advertising

00:43:09 ◼   ► For products, you know that other people ready jingles, right?

00:43:13 ◼   ► Do you you know that you know that you're like the in-house ad agency for the products that you know?

00:43:18 ◼   ► They come to you and say here and now sell this

00:43:20 ◼   ► That is how marketing works at some companies and maybe how marketing works at a lot of companies

00:43:25 ◼   ► It is nothing how marketing works at Apple marketing

00:43:29 ◼   ► I always said they got rid of the word product

00:43:31 ◼   ► But I always said that when his title was direct or senior vice president of worldwide product marketing

00:43:37 ◼   ► The product was more important than the marketing. Yes, and they're involved from the conception forward

00:43:42 ◼   ► Like you said jaws knows his stuff inside it out battery chemistry stuff like that

00:43:47 ◼   ► Cayenne Drants, you know her knowledge of the camera systems is so

00:43:54 ◼   ► intricate and she's absolutely a

00:43:58 ◼   ► Tremendous person to have like I've spoken to her in the off-the-record briefings after events, but it's always in the context of

00:44:06 ◼   ► You're talking to an expert and it's and it's it's not that she's talking down to you

00:44:12 ◼   ► But it's she's explaining

00:44:14 ◼   ► intricate

00:44:16 ◼   ► amounts of detailed knowledge

00:44:18 ◼   ► To how do I how do I take that?

00:44:20 ◼   ► Intricate knowledge of how this really works to explain it to you in the way that I know will answer your question, you know

00:44:26 ◼   ► But she handled the a-12 announcement two years ago in September and she knows the SOC everything on deeply technical levels

00:44:33 ◼   ► Yeah, the technical stuff is just from and so like when you speak to the people in

00:44:38 ◼   ► product marketing

00:44:40 ◼   ► And you ask a sort of technical question

00:44:44 ◼   ► There is never a it's not like, you know

00:44:47 ◼   ► Testifying before Congress and they're like, let me take a note of that and I'll have someone get back to you

00:44:51 ◼   ► Like it is how do I explain this to you?

00:44:54 ◼   ► Right, it is never like I need to get I need to talk to somebody and I'll get back to you with an answer

00:45:01 ◼   ► It's they know the answer and they're just you know, like good teacher figuring out how do they had you know pedagogically?

00:45:07 ◼   ► How do they explain this in a genuine way?

00:45:10 ◼   ► It always seems to me like you know

00:45:12 ◼   ► like the industrial design team like they they feel an ownership of the iPhone's design and the hard engineering team feels an ownership of how

00:45:19 ◼   ► It gets produced and the software and interface people feel ownership of how it runs and how it looks

00:45:24 ◼   ► but the marketing team has to

00:45:27 ◼   ► Keep in constant contact with all of it and make sure all those components end up to be a cohesive thing

00:45:32 ◼   ► That somebody wants to buy which is a really important part at the end

00:45:36 ◼   ► Yeah, and I do think you know in a broad sense it it gets to the advertising part the packaging part

00:45:43 ◼   ► the brand

00:45:46 ◼   ► Management part which you know is inherently nebulous right? Like what is the Apple brand worth?

00:45:52 ◼   ► I mean that is I know that you know

00:45:54 ◼   ► Forbes or somebody comes up with a number every year and says, you know, here's here's what these top brands are worth

00:45:59 ◼   ► You can't that's just BS right? I mean, but you can't really put a dollar amount on it. It is so nebulous

00:46:06 ◼   ► But there is but it's also undeniable that it's incredibly valuable

00:46:10 ◼   ► It does get to the heart though of what I think good marketing is good marketing is inherently honest

00:46:19 ◼   ► And it is informed, you know that that by helping to conceive of the scope

00:46:24 ◼   ► the design the nature the intended purpose the price of

00:46:32 ◼   ► a product

00:46:34 ◼   ► the advertising

00:46:36 ◼   ► Ideas the way to present it to the public falls out of that because you just describe it, you know

00:46:42 ◼   ► You just say here's what it's good for. Here's why the new iPhone 11 Pro camera is

00:46:46 ◼   ► Better than any camera we've ever shipped before and it's not

00:46:51 ◼   ► Made up nonsense it is actual technical

00:46:58 ◼   ► User relevant this will actually change what you do in your personal life when you take photos of your friends and families

00:47:05 ◼   ► And the places you go

00:47:07 ◼   ► Back when you were allowed to go places

00:47:10 ◼   ► Yeah

00:47:12 ◼   ► Photos, you know, but it's exactly that it's like a good bad marketers will take a product

00:47:17 ◼   ► No one wants and try to con them people into buying it right and you know bad good marketers

00:47:22 ◼   ► We'll take a good product and just let it die on the vine

00:47:24 ◼   ► but Apple has a lot of really good good marketers who have solid products and are

00:47:28 ◼   ► Highly capable in explaining to people why they're relevant for them

00:47:32 ◼   ► And that's why I think they've had the success that they have right and it is also very contrary to these sort of

00:47:38 ◼   ► Apple hater

00:47:40 ◼   ► view of the company which is that broadly speaking the company's products are

00:47:45 ◼   ► Overrated overpriced and sold by hype. I mean, I'm not trying to a bunch of diluted cultists

00:47:53 ◼   ► Yeah, or you know even to a lesser to ground trying to trying to be a little bit more generous to the viewpoint

00:47:59 ◼   ► And I'm not using

00:48:01 ◼   ► the cult or

00:48:03 ◼   ► What are some I'm trying to avoid?

00:48:05 ◼   ► Phrasing like that, but the idea that it's you know, you're you're buying on hype

00:48:09 ◼   ► I mean, I've there's some people I've seen some people say that like

00:48:13 ◼   ► You know argue that like a Lexus or an Acura is just a bunch of better plastic on a Honda or Toyota

00:48:21 ◼   ► Yeah, you know and that if you really know what's go, you know what you're buying

00:48:24 ◼   ► You just buy the Honda Accord instead of the the Acura you're just paying for hype or whatever

00:48:29 ◼   ► Whether that's true or not. I don't know about cars to say but you know

00:48:32 ◼   ► There's that mindset towards Apple and I really think that that's that's I disagree with it

00:48:39 ◼   ► But I also think you're if you start with that perspective you're going to misunderstand with what this entire

00:48:46 ◼   ► Division within Apple does and what their role is and why they're the ones on stage telling us about these products

00:48:51 ◼   ► Well, I think people also have different personal beliefs on what is valuable

00:48:56 ◼   ► But also an intolerance of what other people or how other people see value

00:49:00 ◼   ► So for some like an absolute and we'll get to this in a minute an absolute open computing environment is incredibly valuable

00:49:06 ◼   ► and if you deny them that you then your product is a joke and for other people an

00:49:11 ◼   ► Open computing system is a nightmare and they just want something that works for them

00:49:15 ◼   ► And if you give them that nightmare, they're gonna hate you

00:49:16 ◼   ► But they also don't understand why anybody would want that and I think the the hard part is understanding your subjective view

00:49:23 ◼   ► Not mistaking it for an objective view, but also understanding and respecting that other people have very different views and priorities and values

00:49:30 ◼   ► So, yeah, let's get into it, you know, it's the App Store is in a lot of news

00:49:38 ◼   ► How do we start I mean the Xbox thing already seems like old news

00:49:44 ◼   ► Yeah, but I guess I'm going but let's start with it as go in chronological order where

00:49:50 ◼   ► Microsoft had toiled for a long time to get their new Xbox game pass

00:49:57 ◼   ► working on iOS as well as Android

00:49:59 ◼   ► This is a

00:50:04 ◼   ► product that

00:50:06 ◼   ► It it is game streaming and so effectively in a sense and you know

00:50:11 ◼   ► you I think you know more about this than me, but it is it

00:50:15 ◼   ► Is almost more like the app is a video player that takes

00:50:22 ◼   ► You know, the game is running on hardware somewhere in the cloud

00:50:26 ◼   ► There is still a native Xbox game running on an Xbox

00:50:31 ◼   ► operating system on a machine and

00:50:34 ◼   ► that machine is not your phone or your iPad it is somewhere in the cloud and

00:50:41 ◼   ► Your app is just effectively a video player

00:50:44 ◼   ► but it takes the input from your game controller and it effectively turns your net connection to the Xbox into the

00:50:53 ◼   ► HDMI connection that you have with a real, you know, it's just replay if you think of it as replacing

00:50:59 ◼   ► Sort of and I guess that's not right because like Netflix for video games

00:51:03 ◼   ► It really is it just the bits they're streaming aren't like a single stream

00:51:07 ◼   ► You can even then like you can press play and pause and do even like our Bandersnatch on Netflix

00:51:12 ◼   ► You could interact with it is really just the bits and and the video and audio is for a gaming experience

00:51:18 ◼   ► that's the only real difference right and

00:51:20 ◼   ► They you know, they were working on it

00:51:24 ◼   ► It was somewhat highly publicized test flight beta where I presume they filled up the 10,000 spots very easily

00:51:31 ◼   ► But they could only do one game even in the test box environment. They could only do Master Chief for the halo game

00:51:37 ◼   ► Right because on

00:51:39 ◼   ► Android they did have multiple games. Yeah, and they will in the eventual service is going to ship with hundreds of games

00:51:44 ◼   ► And I guess presumably it's because test flight still has to go through

00:51:51 ◼   ► This is something I don't know enough about I don't think that test flight betas still go through

00:51:58 ◼   ► approval in some way and it's just what less a lot less scrutiny and they don't really

00:52:05 ◼   ► They'll let stuff fly like this, you know, I mean presumably if it's

00:52:10 ◼   ► I mean just to pick the most glaring example if it's something to do with pornography

00:52:15 ◼   ► They're just not even gonna let the test like yeah go through. Yeah, I

00:52:20 ◼   ► Would guess if it was actual online gambling, you know, if you could play real money blackjack in the app

00:52:28 ◼   ► They're not gonna even let that through in test flight

00:52:34 ◼   ► So it goes through but even there the rules against having like I forget the exact app store

00:52:41 ◼   ► Guideline rule but effectively you cannot have a game an app that contains multiple games

00:52:46 ◼   ► You know because you can't have an app store in the App Store

00:52:49 ◼   ► You can have like a video store a bookstore

00:52:51 ◼   ► You can have any sorts of stories except for an app or game store and we know where they draw the line on that

00:52:57 ◼   ► I don't know. I mean obviously there are for just to name an example. There's solitaire games

00:53:03 ◼   ► There's you know a hundred different ways to play solitaire. You can have a solitaire game that offers a hundred game options

00:53:10 ◼   ► You know that are different types of solitaire games that doesn't run afoul of it, but you can't have a solitaire game. That also

00:53:17 ◼   ► Is a pac-man game? I don't know where the line is drawn. I don't know this distribution

00:53:24 ◼   ► I think like you can have your own options

00:53:25 ◼   ► Maybe even if you're Hasbro, you could have a couple of your own games in an app, right?

00:53:30 ◼   ► I can't be distributing third-party content, right? Right makes it a store so you could make a casino game

00:53:36 ◼   ► You know that a doesn't use real money

00:53:38 ◼   ► But offers craps and blackjack and roulette in the same game

00:53:43 ◼   ► But you know, there's obviously a line they draw even in test flight beta

00:53:48 ◼   ► They Apple apparently either Apple drew the line I presume or Microsoft voluntarily drew it

00:53:55 ◼   ► But it seems a lot more likely that Apple was like, how about one?

00:53:58 ◼   ► Yeah, they seem salty enough that it sounds like it was a good choice

00:54:00 ◼   ► And you know it came out and

00:54:05 ◼   ► Bottom line is Microsoft said well, we don't see a path forward for this. So it's gonna be Android only and we're giving up

00:54:13 ◼   ► And a lot of people were very disappointed in this decision and at Microsoft

00:54:19 ◼   ► iOS users who wanted to play their Xbox games

00:54:26 ◼   ► We don't really know exactly what happened though, right like I've

00:54:30 ◼   ► You know and it's fallen off the radar with the epic fortnight thing

00:54:34 ◼   ► But I don't think that this was about the money the 30%

00:54:38 ◼   ► You know and it I'll just save the financial deal with Xbox game passes

00:54:43 ◼   ► It's $15 a month and then you pay Microsoft your $15 a month

00:54:48 ◼   ► And then you have Xbox game pass and like you said, I think at launch next month

00:54:52 ◼   ► They're gonna have like a hundred games, you know, Halo and this and that and they're all real Xbox games

00:54:57 ◼   ► And you can play them and you just keep paying

00:54:59 ◼   ► $15 a month and you can keep playing all these games and they'll add more games as they become available. I don't think this is about

00:55:07 ◼   ► Apple wanting

00:55:10 ◼   ► Microsoft to offer in-app purchase for that subscription and Apple would get 30% and

00:55:18 ◼   ► You know, I think everybody's jumps to the conclusion then, you know, not wrongly. It's not it's not idiot

00:55:23 ◼   ► Idiotic just to just start with the assumption that it's about money. That's actually usually a good assumption, right? You're good

00:55:31 ◼   ► You'll be right more often than wrong if in any of these disputes your first guess is I'll bet it's about money

00:55:38 ◼   ► You're probably I think in this case ultimately about money. Is it short term about money? Is it long term about money?

00:55:43 ◼   ► Is it about the immediate transaction? Right? Yes

00:55:48 ◼   ► I don't think it is I don't you know, and I think that at first thought you're thinking like well

00:55:52 ◼   ► One way to do it like what Apple you know

00:55:56 ◼   ► like the way Netflix used to work for years and years was you could sign up for Netflix at

00:56:01 ◼   ► Netflix.com and have a Netflix account and then get the Netflix app on your iPhone and sign in and then you're into Netflix and

00:56:09 ◼   ► Apple doesn't see a penny and you're watching movies for years to come and that's that or

00:56:14 ◼   ► You could download the Netflix app on your iPhone and you don't have a Netflix account yet and you could sign up in the app

00:56:21 ◼   ► Through the in-app purchasing and you've got a subscription to Netflix and that subscription works

00:56:27 ◼   ► Everywhere else where Netflix works on the website on other devices on Android

00:56:32 ◼   ► But your monthly subscription goes through your Apple account. I was gonna say iTunes account

00:56:39 ◼   ► I guess we're sort of getting away from calling them iTunes account

00:56:41 ◼   ► But you know, it's just another subscription those subscriptions are still there. I know for a long time

00:56:47 ◼   ► I they don't really publish top-grossing but for a while after Netflix said, you know what?

00:56:53 ◼   ► We're not going to offer in-app subscriptions anymore. We're just gonna do this on our own

00:56:56 ◼   ► Netflix remained for obvious reasons the top grossing or eight, you know

00:57:02 ◼   ► One or two on the list of the top grossing apps in the App Store because so many people signed up for their Netflix

00:57:09 ◼   ► Subscriptions in app and I don't think Netflix will ever get rid of it because it would be so disruptive

00:57:14 ◼   ► You know, why take the risk?

00:57:16 ◼   ► You know, but then obviously with that Netflix traditional situation the deal was that

00:57:22 ◼   ► You know you lots

00:57:24 ◼   ► I don't know what the breakdown is but lots of people who watch Netflix on their iOS devices already had their Netflix subscription

00:57:30 ◼   ► Outside the Apple ecosystem and some of them got it within

00:57:36 ◼   ► Is that what my Apple wanted from Microsoft I don't think so

00:57:40 ◼   ► I don't think that was it at all. Let alone going more hardcore and saying we're only gonna let this on

00:57:46 ◼   ► iOS if

00:57:48 ◼   ► Everybody who uses on iOS signs up in app and we get 30%

00:57:52 ◼   ► Yeah, I don't because now there I I don't think I think even Microsoft would be like well, that's that's you're asking too much

00:57:59 ◼   ► You know, we're gonna sign up a gazillion of these people right on our Xbox. I don't think I had anything to do with any of that

00:58:05 ◼   ► I think they've already done it haven't they for the Microsoft has other subscription services like

00:58:09 ◼   ► For office 365 and I believe they've come to agreement with Apple about that. So it's not like it's something that's more like

00:58:16 ◼   ► Unusual for them. Yeah. Yeah, and and I think that is a I think it's contentious

00:58:22 ◼   ► And I don't think it is ever sat right with app with Microsoft that the Microsoft 365 stuff does offer in-app

00:58:29 ◼   ► subscriptions at some level

00:58:31 ◼   ► You know and some percentage of the users using them have signed up that way and Apple is seeing

00:58:36 ◼   ► 30 to 15 percent of that money

00:58:39 ◼   ► Even though a lot of other users almost certainly most by you know overwhelmingly most I would assume

00:58:46 ◼   ► 365 users who do use iOS devices aren't paying through iTunes

00:58:51 ◼   ► They're getting it through work or they signed up on their computer or something

00:58:57 ◼   ► You know again, that's a dangerous thing to say to call something a computer in this discussion. Yeah

00:59:02 ◼   ► They're they're PC or Mac

00:59:05 ◼   ► I don't think that was it at all. And I think that everybody has sort of come to the conclusion that you know

00:59:12 ◼   ► There probably isn't and I think I have Microsoft statement on this sort of made it clear

00:59:17 ◼   ► I know you had a great video on this. So anyway, I'll leave it to you to pick this up. I

00:59:23 ◼   ► know thank you, but it seems like just

00:59:27 ◼   ► Streaming video for some reason. Sorry, let me start that again apps in general and games in

00:59:33 ◼   ► Specifics seem to be treated differently just in general even on Android which is famous for allowing side loading and allowing different payment options

00:59:41 ◼   ► Has very strict policies about games, you know, which again really we'll get to in a minute

00:59:46 ◼   ► But streaming games are going to be hugely disruptive because you're paying $15 of a month

00:59:52 ◼   ► and you're getting a hundred games and there's a lot of

00:59:56 ◼   ► I feel like calling them excuses why we can't let it on their platform

01:00:00 ◼   ► Like we can't think what Apple said is they can't review every single title

01:00:04 ◼   ► but they don't need to because it really is no different than Netflix or

01:00:08 ◼   ► Spotify and they don't review every song and they don't review every movie or every TV show and all of those have parental guidance ratings

01:00:15 ◼   ► already, you know, they're either have mature lyrics or they have adult content or they have PG or or whatever it is and

01:00:21 ◼   ► Anyone that gets respected within parental guidance controls, so that's not an issue either

01:00:26 ◼   ► it's just that these are streaming games instead of streaming video or or streaming audio and I

01:00:33 ◼   ► Honestly think and just overall, you know, like there's no mustache twirling villains in this

01:00:39 ◼   ► It's not like Apple is sitting there going. Ah ha ha ha we're gonna we're gonna rule this universe and and

01:00:44 ◼   ► Microsoft or epic are twirling their mustaches back in return

01:00:47 ◼   ► It's everybody has their own best interest in mind and projects those into what's best for the customer

01:00:54 ◼   ► Even if we as customers sometimes think that's that's not really best for us. So I think they're being

01:00:59 ◼   ► conservative they're being careful in how they

01:01:02 ◼   ► approach game streaming and Apple doesn't have a game streaming service and some people say that's why but

01:01:09 ◼   ► Apple didn't have a music streaming service when they allowed Spotify on and didn't have a video streaming service when they had Netflix on

01:01:16 ◼   ► I think that's really irrelevant as well

01:01:18 ◼   ► It's just I don't think I don't it's one of those things where we discussed just between us earlier

01:01:23 ◼   ► They were not prepared for like it was not built with these sorts of services in mind

01:01:27 ◼   ► Apps were very different when the App Store was created and games were very different

01:01:32 ◼   ► They were all discrete binary blobs that were largely seen like paid for upfront

01:01:37 ◼   ► They were expensive at first the prices dropped

01:01:39 ◼   ► but just the idea of in-app purchases and the idea of streaming video is nothing that anybody really thought of and

01:01:46 ◼   ► Apple tends to be a measure 20 times cut once company, even if they're being

01:01:50 ◼   ► Obliterated in the media during the two or three weeks. It takes them to think these things through

01:01:55 ◼   ► Yeah, I I I think that people just aren't hooked up

01:02:01 ◼   ► Just it's human nature and it's you know, and it is

01:02:04 ◼   ► political and it's political in the sense of the broadest sense of the word where it's both

01:02:12 ◼   ► Electoral politics and it's what a lot of people say they hate about politicians in general

01:02:17 ◼   ► regardless of where they these politicians fall along party lines and

01:02:22 ◼   ► It's why people get frustrated with

01:02:25 ◼   ► corporations and the way corporations

01:02:28 ◼   ► even Apple even Microsoft even Google even companies that people

01:02:34 ◼   ► Amazon companies that rank very highly on people's

01:02:39 ◼   ► Brand affinity rankings right that they don't they people aren't hooked up for the way they communicate

01:02:45 ◼   ► To the public where they just they they get they're very good

01:02:49 ◼   ► that's it's a very difficult job to be in comms for a company like that and

01:02:54 ◼   ► Part of it is that it is hard to give a credible non answer

01:03:00 ◼   ► To a question you don't want to answer right and politicians ready to answer yet, right?

01:03:06 ◼   ► Well, whatever whatever the reason of why you don't want to answer it

01:03:09 ◼   ► but you do need to give some sort of answer you give a non answer and

01:03:14 ◼   ► That's where and was it a bad answer

01:03:18 ◼   ► No, maybe not. I thought at first maybe but maybe it's fine

01:03:23 ◼   ► And I the fact that it actually dates back to this this Apple

01:03:29 ◼   ► statement on Xbox game pass

01:03:31 ◼   ► Which went to Business Insider and everybody just quoted Business Insider, but they were giving it to other outlets

01:03:37 ◼   ► I actually did ask Apple and they gave me the same statement

01:03:40 ◼   ► It's you know for whatever reason in this case people didn't a lot of news outlets

01:03:46 ◼   ► Just went with the Business Insider version, but it was the same but it wasn't new

01:03:50 ◼   ► It was it was new for in the context of Xbox game pass

01:03:53 ◼   ► But Apple had given it to Mark Gurman back in March in the context of was it stadia was a Google stadia

01:03:59 ◼   ► I forget which it was some other game streaming thing

01:04:02 ◼   ► So you ask a question and

01:04:07 ◼   ► Somebody gives you an answer and you just assume their answer is an answer to the question

01:04:12 ◼   ► And so you say why isn't Xbox game pass allowed on the App Store and Apple's answer

01:04:18 ◼   ► Includes this phrasing here. I'll read

01:04:21 ◼   ► They can absolutely

01:04:24 ◼   ► Gaming services can absolutely launch on the App Store as long as they follow the same set of guidelines

01:04:30 ◼   ► applicable to all developers including submitting games individually for review and

01:04:35 ◼   ► Appearing in charts and search and so everybody, you know, that is Apple's statement and everybody read that and thought well

01:04:42 ◼   ► That means if you need to review each app individually

01:04:45 ◼   ► How does that possibly work for a streaming service and everybody immediately went to the streaming video like Netflix and Spotify?

01:04:52 ◼   ► And you know just to name the two big ones which by the size of their libraries. It's impossible, right? It really would be a

01:05:00 ◼   ► Sisyphean task to try to

01:05:03 ◼   ► Individually review every video on Netflix. There's it's impossible

01:05:06 ◼   ► And everybody, you know thinks well this doesn't even make sense

01:05:10 ◼   ► But if you take that whole phrase, this is my take on it

01:05:13 ◼   ► I really I think I'm 100% right that if you take the whole phrase

01:05:17 ◼   ► That they follow the same guidelines applicable to all developers including submitting games individually for review and appearing in charts and search

01:05:25 ◼   ► Well, what what charts what search they mean App Store start? Yes charts and search

01:05:31 ◼   ► So it's really just a non answer way of saying why why can't Xbox?

01:05:36 ◼   ► Game Pass be in the App Store what Apple saying is native iPhone games can be in the App Store

01:05:42 ◼   ► Yeah, which is another way of saying

01:05:46 ◼   ► We don't allow game streaming, but they don't want to say this. They don't want to say it

01:05:50 ◼   ► Like they've solved this for other media

01:05:53 ◼   ► For example, like the things on Spotify don't show up in App Store in the Apple music charts, obviously, right?

01:05:59 ◼   ► But you know they if they choose and Netflix famously chooses not to but if they choose

01:06:03 ◼   ► They can integrate and have it show up in Siri search and have it show up in up next and do all sorts of things

01:06:08 ◼   ► on

01:06:09 ◼   ► Like the TV app interface for example. Yeah, but it's always there's ways of handling this

01:06:13 ◼   ► It's almost like that that the whole thing is beside the point, right? It's not really what they're saying is

01:06:19 ◼   ► it's it's less about a

01:06:22 ◼   ► Reviewing individual titles or being in charts and search. It's they're just saying there. Here's some good things about native iPhone games

01:06:30 ◼   ► Yes, right native iPhone games are reviewed individually and they do appear in our charts and search

01:06:35 ◼   ► Yeah, and that's not an answer to why can't the X why isn't the Xbox game allowed and?

01:06:42 ◼   ► It's you know, I think it's mostly about control and there once you start to talk about platform control

01:06:48 ◼   ► Then you're a couple of steps a couple of chess moves away from talking about money

01:06:53 ◼   ► so yes, there is money involved in what Apple is looking at here, but I

01:06:58 ◼   ► Really think that and let's just say this about the Xbox game pass

01:07:03 ◼   ► idea Xbox game pass specifically is not a threat to

01:07:09 ◼   ► native iPhone and iPad gaming

01:07:12 ◼   ► Right other than the fact that every minute somebody spends playing

01:07:18 ◼   ► Xbox game pass on their iPhone or iPad if it were available is a minute they wouldn't spend playing a

01:07:25 ◼   ► Native iPhone game and there's only a limited amount of attention in the day

01:07:30 ◼   ► But it's not these aren't made these aren't really iPhone games

01:07:36 ◼   ► These are games that all require Xbox controllers and yeah, and Apple is the one who allowed iOS to have great

01:07:42 ◼   ► You know first-class support for literally the Xbox controller and the PlayStation controller

01:07:47 ◼   ► But like you're on the bus going to work and you take out your phone to play a game for a while

01:07:55 ◼   ► You can't use the Xbox game pass for that unless you have a controller with you

01:08:01 ◼   ► And yes, there's like a thing that you can snap on to the sides of an iPhone to turn it, you know

01:08:05 ◼   ► Basically the switch model where you can put hardware controls on the edge

01:08:09 ◼   ► But again in in a lot of contexts where a lot of people spend a lot of time playing games even people who love

01:08:15 ◼   ► Xbox games that require the controller aren't going to do that, right?

01:08:20 ◼   ► You're not going to just you know while you're waiting in line to buy something at a store where there's a long queue

01:08:25 ◼   ► You're not going to set up your phone as a switch for 90 seconds to play a little bit of Xbox

01:08:34 ◼   ► You're just gonna play something else, you know, that's meant for the phone

01:08:37 ◼   ► Also, everybody's like well now it's it's all about Apple arcade because Apple has a subscription thing

01:08:45 ◼   ► Yeah, and they want you to they want you to spend five dollars a month on Apple arcade not this but then again now

01:08:52 ◼   ► we're talking about direct money and apples 30% of 15 is

01:08:56 ◼   ► Like four dollars or is exactly four dollars and fifty cents

01:09:00 ◼   ► Which is almost five dollars a month for a thing that they don't have any production costs for at all

01:09:05 ◼   ► And yes money it would drop to 15% after a year

01:09:10 ◼   ► so it would only be two dollars and twenty five cents instead of but two dollars and twenty five cents a month as

01:09:15 ◼   ► their share of

01:09:17 ◼   ► Xbox game pass is in the ballpark of the five dollars a month for

01:09:23 ◼   ► Apple arcade when you consider that they they don't have to do anything

01:09:27 ◼   ► right, it's

01:09:30 ◼   ► The thing that gets me with all of these analysis and it's gonna bleed into epic too is that

01:09:34 ◼   ► These a lot of things that people accuse Apple of being in it for the money or turn to these massive

01:09:40 ◼   ► conspiracies

01:09:43 ◼   ► It's this fundamental error of always assuming that you are the majority and it happens on Twitter a lot too where anyone who has a strong

01:09:49 ◼   ► opinion thinks that by definition 90% of other people have the same circumstances and

01:09:53 ◼   ► opinion and it's it's these are not big numbers for Apple and I've joked about this before like when people accuse Apple of doing

01:10:00 ◼   ► things to maintain their MFI they're made for iPhone accessory profit that that is

01:10:05 ◼   ► Literally cushion change for Apple compared to iPhone profits most of these things like the the Xbox game pass thing is not a mainstream concern

01:10:13 ◼   ► I fully believe streaming gaming is inevitable the same way streaming video and audio is and they'll have massive mainstream appeal

01:10:19 ◼   ► eventually, but right now Apple's problem isn't understanding and coming up with policy and

01:10:26 ◼   ► Structure for it for Xbox game pass or for Google

01:10:30 ◼   ► Stadia it's just figuring out handle handle it how to handle it in general and once that happens all of this will be folded in

01:10:37 ◼   ► but these are these are like the

01:10:39 ◼   ► like the smallest the smallest niche

01:10:42 ◼   ► Concerns and the lowest amount of margin problems. They just get an incredible amount of online attention

01:10:50 ◼   ► Yeah

01:10:50 ◼   ► I do think though that Microsoft must have thought that it was going to be about the money

01:10:55 ◼   ► Because they clearly thought they had a pretty good chance and I kind of think they assumed that this was going to be worked out

01:11:01 ◼   ► I really do think and I have no inside information on it

01:11:05 ◼   ► And I think the number of people who are privy to the actual negotiations is very small and on both sides

01:11:10 ◼   ► Aren't the sort of people who blab?

01:11:12 ◼   ► You know probably Phil Schiller personally, yes, honestly and Satya Nadella, yeah

01:11:22 ◼   ► But I really think that Microsoft went into this thinking it would be a fight over where between 30 and 15

01:11:28 ◼   ► And what level of prominence the in-app signup needs to have and those sort of things and then Apple was like no

01:11:35 ◼   ► We really we don't even want your money. You know, we don't want it. We don't want if we don't even want 30% of this

01:11:40 ◼   ► We're not allowing it

01:11:43 ◼   ► and

01:11:44 ◼   ► I think Microsoft was taken aback by that I do

01:11:48 ◼   ► Because I think if they'd known it going in I think that you know, they wouldn't have wasted the time developing it

01:11:54 ◼   ► And I don't know how much time they spend on the iOS version

01:11:56 ◼   ► Particularly that wasn't applicable just as much to the Android version

01:12:01 ◼   ► But you can definitely see the other thing you know is by all accounts

01:12:07 ◼   ► iPhone and Android aren't really equivalent demographics. I mean not even that that's

01:12:14 ◼   ► I'm underselling the differences, you know iOS users are more willing and likely to spend money than Android users

01:12:22 ◼   ► And so just counting up the number of Android devices in use versus the number of iPhone and iPad devices in use

01:12:29 ◼   ► Doesn't give you an accurate picture of all of the market and to me the the real eye-opening number recently was David hannemeyer Hansen's

01:12:39 ◼   ► Posted last month that was part of his testimony to Congress in the antitrust hearings about hey and

01:12:45 ◼   ► That now this is post launch of hey and after they had you know a month or six weeks of

01:12:52 ◼   ► You know market data

01:12:55 ◼   ► And they have you know, they have an Android version that I use I still use. Hey the email

01:13:00 ◼   ► I have it on my phone and I have it on my pixel 4 and it is as good. It's very similar app because

01:13:08 ◼   ► The base camp company they the way they develop software is sort of a web app first and that especially the iPhone version

01:13:15 ◼   ► I know this is a whole discussion

01:13:16 ◼   ► I don't want to have but it's not quite a web app and wrapped in an iPhone thing the iPhone app in particular is

01:13:22 ◼   ► native in a lot of ways

01:13:24 ◼   ► but

01:13:25 ◼   ► If you it's very very similar design you can see how they the Android version in the iPhone version are it's like

01:13:32 ◼   ► You know the way the games are often the same if the game is on both platforms

01:13:36 ◼   ► It's you know, very very minor differences

01:13:38 ◼   ► That they're the number of people paying for hey who are using an Apple device

01:13:44 ◼   ► I think they I think it was like 90% of their users use at least one Apple device now

01:13:50 ◼   ► I'm not sure what that number means because it could mean that they have an Android phone but use a Mac which I think would probably

01:13:57 ◼   ► Especially for their audience is quite possibly a large number of their Android users because they're using Android phones

01:14:04 ◼   ► But their developer types nerds who use a MacBook for like web app development

01:14:10 ◼   ► But it was and something like 75% of their mobile payers are on iOS devices

01:14:17 ◼   ► Which isn't what you think of as the market share for you know, this certainly it's not

01:14:23 ◼   ► It's not the market share for iPhone versus Android phones 75% being iPhones

01:14:28 ◼   ► You know that the number of people who pay for services like a $99 a year email service is way higher on

01:14:35 ◼   ► on iOS

01:14:37 ◼   ► Yeah, absolutely. Well the market that's that's one of the things you get into and you're discussing how much dominance someone has over a market

01:14:42 ◼   ► right, so like globally

01:14:44 ◼   ► Apple share is tiny. I think it's like 20 something percent in some countries in Europe. It's

01:14:50 ◼   ► Infinitesimal there's some countries where just Android is vastly vastly more used and it goes down

01:14:55 ◼   ► I think into the teens of usage and then in North America, they have a

01:14:59 ◼   ► Majority of usage like there's more people using iPhones with American teens

01:15:03 ◼   ► You never know how good the data is

01:15:05 ◼   ► but one of the research firms said it's like 83 percent of American teens have them and the other and two more percent want them or

01:15:12 ◼   ► don't have them and

01:15:14 ◼   ► So you do by defining those markets?

01:15:16 ◼   ► Oh

01:15:16 ◼   ► Who does who does Xbox streaming gaming appeal to if they really want to attach to North American teens?

01:15:22 ◼   ► Then they obviously really badly want on the iOS market, right? So skip the age

01:15:26 ◼   ► Demographics and just go by who spends money. Well, you want to be on the iPhone and if you go by the age demographics

01:15:33 ◼   ► Who do you want? Well, you probably want teenagers then you want the iPhone, you know

01:15:37 ◼   ► So whatever their internal spreadsheet was on the number of people they expect to be playing Xbox game pass on

01:15:43 ◼   ► their mobile phones

01:15:46 ◼   ► The iPhones role in that Excel spreadsheet

01:15:50 ◼   ► Was certainly not based on unit sales of devices and it was far more

01:15:56 ◼   ► You know and if they could pick if you just went to Satya Nadella and said well

01:16:00 ◼   ► I can't explain why but you have a decision

01:16:03 ◼   ► All I can tell you is you have a choice you can either have Xbox game pass on iPhone or have it on Android

01:16:08 ◼   ► And he would before you even finish the sentence. He'd say oh, I thought yeah, because there's more with their own apps, right?

01:16:15 ◼   ► Like they've been making mobile versions of their products or iPad before they've been picking them from right? There's more money

01:16:20 ◼   ► You know, there's more money to be had

01:16:22 ◼   ► So I think that from Apple's perspective

01:16:27 ◼   ► It's not you know

01:16:29 ◼   ► I think there's part of this idea that the gaming is so lucrative and it is you know

01:16:34 ◼   ► And we can get into this idea that iOS in the broad sense is a console like system for apps

01:16:40 ◼   ► Period but when it comes to games specifically is a one-to-one comparison

01:16:45 ◼   ► You know that it is like a gaming platform that also does a whole lot more

01:16:51 ◼   ► yeah, and

01:16:54 ◼   ► No gaming platform

01:16:56 ◼   ► That's a console like system allows game streaming

01:17:01 ◼   ► You know, nobody is irate that the Nintendo switch doesn't have

01:17:06 ◼   ► Xbox game pass, you know and even Microsoft didn't you know as far as I know there was no

01:17:13 ◼   ► 10,000 person beta of Xbox game pass for switch

01:17:17 ◼   ► Or a PlayStation for them. Yeah, or PlayStation and Xbox, you know

01:17:22 ◼   ► They're not taking Xbox and Xbox doesn't have a version of PlayStations game streaming thing

01:17:27 ◼   ► Which is very cool. That's the first place I've ever seen game streaming

01:17:32 ◼   ► My son has a PlayStation 4 and he has I forget what PlayStation calls their thing

01:17:37 ◼   ► But he can play a lot of old and and there's his mix their service

01:17:41 ◼   ► It's the same subscription fee some of the games you download to your PlayStation and you play them as a downloaded game like other

01:17:48 ◼   ► PlayStation games but some you can just stream especially the older ones that are smaller and he can just

01:17:52 ◼   ► Stream games and if he just gets like an inkling to play an old game

01:17:57 ◼   ► He doesn't have to wait for it to download

01:17:59 ◼   ► You can just like go pick it and stream it and I'm like really you're and it was like the first time I saw somebody

01:18:04 ◼   ► Doing it and I was like, this is very impressive and I'm you know

01:18:08 ◼   ► It shows my age that I just assumed the latency of a network is you know going to make

01:18:13 ◼   ► Twitch like gaming not twitch the video streaming service, but twitchy

01:18:17 ◼   ► reflexes

01:18:20 ◼   ► You know, it works, you know

01:18:21 ◼   ► But there's no way Xbox is going to host game streaming from another company and yet people you know

01:18:27 ◼   ► And here we get into the contentious argument where some people are saying yes

01:18:30 ◼   ► So it makes sense and what the hell was Microsoft thinking that Apple was going to allow a game streaming service on their game platform

01:18:37 ◼   ► And whereas others are just saying what are you nuts iOS is nothing like a game platform

01:18:44 ◼   ► Yeah, I mean we all bring our own personal desires to it

01:18:48 ◼   ► But you know if you go back and watch the introduction, you know when Steve Jobs introduced the App Store

01:18:52 ◼   ► He was incredibly clear from the beginning that he was using a console model

01:18:56 ◼   ► yeah, and that's so I I've you know, I've been talking about this on dithering with Ben Thompson and

01:19:03 ◼   ► Arguing with people very nicely. It's actually been a very fun and it's you know, it reinvigorated my belief that human beings are capable of

01:19:10 ◼   ► respectful intelligent open-minded argument

01:19:14 ◼   ► The problem that I've gotten into by making this argument that not really that iOS is like a console

01:19:23 ◼   ► But it is a console system

01:19:25 ◼   ► Conceptually and was right from the beginning is that some people hear console as a word and they immediately

01:19:32 ◼   ► Go to game console that you don't have to say that it that game consoles aren't a type of computing console. They are

01:19:40 ◼   ► It's it's like dropping the teller from telephone. It's the same word. I say I'm gonna call you on the phone

01:19:47 ◼   ► I'm gonna call you on the telephone

01:19:49 ◼   ► It's the same thing. I say iOS is a console and there's a lot of people who hear me saying I've

01:19:56 ◼   ► iOS is exactly like switch and Xbox and PlayStation 4 no more than that no less than that exactly like that and they say that's

01:20:04 ◼   ► Nonsense and that is that would be nonsense if that's the way you hear it. That's not the way I mean it

01:20:10 ◼   ► I mean console in a broader term and it's just that game consoles are the ones that have been around for decades and have

01:20:16 ◼   ► popularized the

01:20:18 ◼   ► basic business model

01:20:21 ◼   ► Well, and also it's how we view it as opposed to how the vendor views it Apple clearly views

01:20:26 ◼   ► There's a console and yet don't have to agree with them

01:20:28 ◼   ► You can think they're completely wrong and out to lunch and bananas and you can view it as it should be an open console

01:20:35 ◼   ► Just just to touch briefly on epic like they were super angry that Microsoft's

01:20:39 ◼   ► HoloLens was closed and they couldn't have the Unreal Engine on it and they went to war with Microsoft over that

01:20:45 ◼   ► because Microsoft viewed it as a console like the Xbox and

01:20:49 ◼   ► We look at the Xbox like it's okay to be a console but most of these game consoles have web browsers

01:20:53 ◼   ► You can get Skype you can get Netflix you can get a host of apps that aren't video games on them as well

01:20:59 ◼   ► And they are literally inside almost the same as any computer that you would use to run general-purpose apps

01:21:05 ◼   ► It's just the philosophy behind them is different right and with the Xbox in particular and again, right?

01:21:11 ◼   ► I don't want to get into like a college, you know sit around smoking dope, you know talking about the philosophy nature of what's the nature?

01:21:18 ◼   ► What's the nature of a computer man?

01:21:20 ◼   ► But like the Xbox in particular going back to the very first Xbox was literally

01:21:27 ◼   ► the the basic idea is

01:21:29 ◼   ► Let's take gaming PC that we can put together into it into a size that would fit in

01:21:36 ◼   ► somebody's entertainment system underneath most TVs and

01:21:40 ◼   ► replace the PC connectors in the back with home entertainment connectors and

01:21:48 ◼   ► And sell Windows games using the console model and if you took the Xbox even today if you took it out of the

01:21:55 ◼   ► box or the the the pack, you know, what do you call it the

01:21:59 ◼   ► Just took it out of the case

01:22:02 ◼   ► And just took the internal components out and took a gaming PC out of its case

01:22:07 ◼   ► Which is a lot easier to do and put it out. You couldn't tell them apart

01:22:12 ◼   ► You you used to do that. We used to mod the original Xbox all the time, right?

01:22:15 ◼   ► You you know, you'd have to like look at the actual green boards and see if there's some small print that says that

01:22:20 ◼   ► It's the might, you know, it says something is stamped Xbox, you know before you could tell it apart

01:22:25 ◼   ► Conceptually I had Linux on mine for a while, right and

01:22:29 ◼   ► Much like I didn't even know that was possible but much like how much like how Apple shares operating system

01:22:36 ◼   ► Core a core OS across its platforms the Xbox runs a variant of Windows 10, you know, and so people say, okay

01:22:44 ◼   ► So there's a web browser, but nobody uses it as their main web browser, but that's just by design, right?

01:22:51 ◼   ► There's no reason that a kid couldn't go to college with their Xbox as their computer

01:22:58 ◼   ► you know go with the computer and a monitor and put the Xbox on their desk and

01:23:03 ◼   ► have the Xbox run things like an email client and they're a good version of a web browser and

01:23:09 ◼   ► Do all of their work on the same, you know that one device that's just by design

01:23:14 ◼   ► that they don't let things like that go through and that they don't it isn't designed to run in a

01:23:20 ◼   ► Context where you're going to open up a bunch of browser tabs and read it, you know

01:23:24 ◼   ► Read the news on your Xbox, but it certainly could it's just limiting, you know, it's sort of like an alternate universe where?

01:23:31 ◼   ► Circa

01:23:34 ◼   ► 2008 Steve Jobs who was still on the fan or I guess it would have been 2007 Steve Jobs is still on the fence of

01:23:42 ◼   ► Whether they should have third-party native apps at all. What if Apple has said okay, but only games

01:23:48 ◼   ► Where you know, no native apps was the original iPhone message you we have a sweet solution where you can write web apps

01:23:56 ◼   ► What if they had said instead? Okay, we are going to allow

01:24:01 ◼   ► Third-party apps, but we're not a games company. So we'll let games, you know, here's

01:24:06 ◼   ► Same will partner with Netflix like we do with YouTube and you'll have like a Netflix app, right?

01:24:12 ◼   ► Yeah, and we'll have you know, it's stuff like that

01:24:14 ◼   ► There's the you know, it obviously would have been leaving a lot of opportunity on the table

01:24:20 ◼   ► But in theory, there's no reason they couldn't have done that, you know, and then what would be the argument now?

01:24:25 ◼   ► There's really very little argument

01:24:27 ◼   ► Yeah, and all I'm parsing out is that it's it's a different argument to say

01:24:31 ◼   ► It isn't a console that then saying it shouldn't be a console and I think that's what right sometime it does

01:24:37 ◼   ► But I the other thing that I've noticed so I've noticed that the word console

01:24:41 ◼   ► Means something specific to games to some people and when I explained that I don't mean games specifically

01:24:47 ◼   ► I mean the model then they say oh, okay. I see what you mean now. I thought you just an infotainment center

01:24:52 ◼   ► Yeah, that's also a console

01:24:54 ◼   ► I don't but if you know and somebody looked at the some of some smartass looked in the dictionary and the dictionary has an entry

01:25:00 ◼   ► that says

01:25:01 ◼   ► You know console like definition 3 is a computer device primarily for playing games

01:25:07 ◼   ► And they're like well that you know, that means a dictionary says it's just for games and I said well, okay the same dictionary

01:25:12 ◼   ► Merriam-websters look up at the phone

01:25:15 ◼   ► Yeah, and trust me the Merriam-webster entry for phones as a telephone

01:25:20 ◼   ► So but they're dedicated consoles like air people who control aircraft and stuff in there are purpose-built consoles for almost everything across industries

01:25:28 ◼   ► They're just not usually consumer related, right and you know, I

01:25:34 ◼   ► Get it but there's also the other way that I have lost people with this argument is

01:25:38 ◼   ► And and again and you're very right that there is the should

01:25:41 ◼   ► Angle which again that is a whole thing that we could talk about for hours and will be talking about for hours and hours

01:25:48 ◼   ► to come and on videos and you in columns and

01:25:53 ◼   ► Podcasts to come and it's a great argument and then what makes it a great argument is there's validity to multiple

01:25:59 ◼   ► arguments with across the spectrum on that

01:26:02 ◼   ► But even without the argument of whether Apple should be treating it the thing that I have noticed is

01:26:07 ◼   ► There is a significant number of people with very strong opinions about

01:26:12 ◼   ► iOS

01:26:15 ◼   ► who

01:26:17 ◼   ► Don't hadn't been under hadn't really opened their eyes to how much it is a console

01:26:24 ◼   ► Yeah, and when you point this out, they are

01:26:28 ◼   ► Angry about it. It is very it's an electric reaction and they are offended and it really does

01:26:35 ◼   ► date back

01:26:37 ◼   ► 25 years

01:26:39 ◼   ► to

01:26:40 ◼   ► Mid to late 90s arguments there where Richard Stallman was talking about

01:26:44 ◼   ► you know certain chips that Microsoft wanted introduced into PCs for safe boot, you know, and

01:26:49 ◼   ► Well jobs and was were arguing about whether it should be a sealed appliance right open computing platform decades ago. Yeah

01:26:57 ◼   ► Yeah, and you know, I've heard I saw some people say well, you know, you shouldn't use the word console that means games

01:27:02 ◼   ► You should call it an appliance. But to me appliance of

01:27:05 ◼   ► You know like your refrigerator might have a computer in it, but you don't install apps on it, right?

01:27:11 ◼   ► To me the console model is is the expandability notion

01:27:15 ◼   ► You know that that it's sure my dishwasher. I have my dishwasher actually is some sort of computer and I hate it

01:27:21 ◼   ► I really do saying that I'm sure there must be an Android fridge out there and someone's installing apps on it right now

01:27:26 ◼   ► Well, there is remember Tim Cook made fun of Samsung for making it or maybe I forget if they came out with the fridge after

01:27:32 ◼   ► he made fun of it or not, but he called them on it, but

01:27:35 ◼   ► Appliance to me implies and I'm talking in broad terms

01:27:39 ◼   ► I don't know

01:27:39 ◼   ► Maybe we don't have a great word

01:27:41 ◼   ► But I think console works as long as you say that Xbox PlayStation and switch are game

01:27:46 ◼   ► Consoles and there are the consoles that have been established for longer iOS is an app console. It always has been and

01:27:54 ◼   ► But a lot of you hate that word. I mean you could call it unmanaged versus managed computing environments

01:27:59 ◼   ► You can choose whatever word you want, right?

01:28:00 ◼   ► But it's there's a lot of people out there who really see that the that iOS is

01:28:06 ◼   ► like the Mac

01:28:09 ◼   ► but for like a little

01:28:11 ◼   ► Asterisk like a footnote that says but right now Apple makes everything go through the App Store if they would just like erase this

01:28:17 ◼   ► Asterisk then they'd be it would be the same and that's what they want very much

01:28:23 ◼   ► they want the iPhone and iPad to be like the Mac in terms of

01:28:28 ◼   ► Being able to run software from anywhere

01:28:31 ◼   ► that does things that aren't going through the App Store that Apple would never approve and

01:28:36 ◼   ► You know, it's it is they're completely missing how Apple has talked about it

01:28:43 ◼   ► Ever since it came out

01:28:46 ◼   ► They're completely not really looking at how it's been run every single step of the way since it came out

01:28:52 ◼   ► What they're looking at and where they're not necessarily crazy is that at a technical level?

01:28:58 ◼   ► Yeah, you can look at it and see that it's not like

01:29:02 ◼   ► Not that it wouldn't take work. Not that Apple has to erase like one line of code. That's like an if statement if

01:29:08 ◼   ► If iOS then yeah if iOS then this and just erase that and then all of a sudden it's exactly like the Mac

01:29:16 ◼   ► But you can see how yes technically, you know the work

01:29:21 ◼   ► you know to make iOS have something like

01:29:24 ◼   ► You know the Mac where you can just download an app package from a website and click one

01:29:30 ◼   ► You know permission dialog and have it installed you could see that

01:29:35 ◼   ► But that's not how Apple's ever talked about it

01:29:38 ◼   ► And the other thing people often say is they say Apple never called it a console

01:29:41 ◼   ► Well, of course, they don't you know, that's not really a pleasant word. I don't really think you hear Xbox and

01:29:47 ◼   ► Nintendo talk about their platforms as consoles

01:29:52 ◼   ► Yeah, I think it's also really important to point out that most of the time when we have these discussions is with incredibly technologically savvy computer-literate people and

01:30:01 ◼   ► Going back to what I said earlier everyone mistakes themselves for a majority and they just believe

01:30:06 ◼   ► Deeply that what they say reflects the opinions of most people even when it's totally not the case and we've had open computing environments for

01:30:15 ◼   ► Decades and one of the things that Steve Jobs was most ardent on was making computers ever more accessible to ever more

01:30:21 ◼   ► the greater amounts of people of mainstreaming computing technology and

01:30:25 ◼   ► his vision of doing that was making them easier to use by making them more controlled and when you when you step through Apple to

01:30:32 ◼   ► Mac

01:30:33 ◼   ► To the iPhone and iPad which which he thought were far more important to mainstream people then then the Mac even

01:30:39 ◼   ► Was that providing that controlled managed experience opened them up?

01:30:43 ◼   ► He wasn't restricting their rights

01:30:45 ◼   ► He was relieving their burden

01:30:46 ◼   ► They like he didn't think that humans should have to manage or deal with that complexity and he believed that a lot of people found that

01:30:53 ◼   ► Off-putting if not alienating it made them feel dumb and that they deserve to have these as tools not as

01:31:00 ◼   ► Sort of workbenches, but as as tools that they shouldn't have to worry about, you know

01:31:06 ◼   ► Finding other sources can they trust it?

01:31:08 ◼   ► And it's also an important part of this argument that I think gets left behind is whether the iPhone as a platform is

01:31:15 ◼   ► Successful whether people are more willing to spend money on it whether it's adopted by users who are more willing to spend money on it

01:31:22 ◼   ► Because it is users who appreciate

01:31:24 ◼   ► the way that it works largely because of how Apple has managed the platform and

01:31:29 ◼   ► I always test against Android I always look and say well Android doesn't have these things

01:31:35 ◼   ► So show me the app that can exist under Android that can't exist under iOS that is changing the world and improving lives

01:31:42 ◼   ► And I'm sure there are a bunch of apps that are on Android that aren't on iOS

01:31:46 ◼   ► Emulators and all sorts of things but all the big ones like Instagram and Lyft and you know

01:31:53 ◼   ► Just any almost any app you can think of is on the iPhone almost always first quite often still

01:31:58 ◼   ► More polished than it is on Android and more available to people and by changing it by making it

01:32:04 ◼   ► I joke about this. I always talk to developers and

01:32:07 ◼   ► They tell me what they want and I said, but so you want the Google Play Store and they say yes

01:32:11 ◼   ► I said well, why aren't you on that and they say because I hate it and

01:32:13 ◼   ► Reconciling those statements. It seems to be really hard for people to me one of the concepts

01:32:19 ◼   ► That we're talking about is encapsulates encapsulation that you encapsulate

01:32:25 ◼   ► Complexity in a way that is easier understood and managed and

01:32:34 ◼   ► When you do and again, it comes back to one of the most recurring themes and everything

01:32:39 ◼   ► I ever talk about or write about is trade-offs and

01:32:42 ◼   ► People it's like you said earlier about Twitter if people want it there to be an answer

01:32:47 ◼   ► That's zero or a hundred and they don't want to hear that

01:32:50 ◼   ► The answer is actually 57 and it's mostly towards a hundred but there's actually 43 good points on the other side

01:32:57 ◼   ► You know and that's just the way it is, but that's where the answer is

01:33:00 ◼   ► they just don't want to hear it, but in

01:33:04 ◼   ► encapsulating

01:33:05 ◼   ► complexity in

01:33:07 ◼   ► inherently involves trade-offs

01:33:09 ◼   ► It's just but one of the positives is it makes it more accessible to people who don't understand the

01:33:17 ◼   ► technical underpinnings

01:33:20 ◼   ► And

01:33:23 ◼   ► People who do understand them often don't see the downsides to it, you know

01:33:28 ◼   ► But I think that that's sort of and I think this I think a lot of people who are arguing that iOS

01:33:35 ◼   ► Should be should not is but should be less of a console and should be more open or are just completely

01:33:42 ◼   ► overlooking completely the advantages that it has to many many people that it's not that it's I think there's so many people making the

01:33:52 ◼   ► Argument that Apple is very wrong and as an indefensible

01:33:55 ◼   ► ethical and perhaps legal position on this whole thing

01:33:58 ◼   ► That on the ethical side they don't really they just completely assume that

01:34:05 ◼   ► Apples that the iOS has succeeded despite Apple's tight-fisted control and not

01:34:12 ◼   ► Because of the tight-fisted control but think about you know

01:34:16 ◼   ► And and the console model if you go back and again this also comes to one of my big themes

01:34:21 ◼   ► Is that where you start from matters because it colors how people see things going forward

01:34:28 ◼   ► And if you think about game consoles you think about like the Atari 2600 and the original Nintendo NES system

01:34:35 ◼   ► yeah, where they were actual cartridges that the game was on chips in hardware and

01:34:41 ◼   ► the

01:34:44 ◼   ► The concept to the user was exactly what you saw, right?

01:34:49 ◼   ► You you had the game console in front of you hooked up to your TV

01:34:54 ◼   ► And if you turned it on without a cartridge in nothing happened, you didn't even there wasn't like a system, you know

01:35:00 ◼   ► I forget it

01:35:01 ◼   ► I don't think NES had one but I know Atari 2600 didn't you didn't even get a picture

01:35:05 ◼   ► Without a cartridge in the cartridge slot. There was nothing and you put asteroids in and

01:35:11 ◼   ► I think yeah with the 2600 they used to even recommend strongly that you turn it off take the cartridge out

01:35:19 ◼   ► put a new cartridge and turn it back on and my sister would just

01:35:22 ◼   ► Yank cartridge out and put it back in and I was so deathly afraid that she was gonna break you

01:35:27 ◼   ► Because I was like, oh my god

01:35:28 ◼   ► I was like I wasn't even it wasn't even like my parents won't buy us a new one

01:35:33 ◼   ► I was like we might have to go three days without it

01:35:35 ◼   ► whatever

01:35:36 ◼   ► I

01:35:37 ◼   ► Was like, you know listen

01:35:39 ◼   ► Yeah, exactly, but I still have that with the stupid SD cards on Macs today, right?

01:35:45 ◼   ► But the name original trauma the idea of how do you install asteroids was very obvious you put the cartridge in the slot

01:35:51 ◼   ► Yeah, how do you uninstall it? Well, you take it out and then you put Space Invaders in

01:35:57 ◼   ► that and

01:35:59 ◼   ► Where we've gotten today with the Xbox PlayStation and switches obviously incredibly more powerful

01:36:05 ◼   ► Computer systems and you can install things in more complicated ways, but that basic model is still there where you get the app

01:36:14 ◼   ► From an official source and it's completely encapsulated and the assumption that the game even on a completely

01:36:21 ◼   ► modern not even out yet

01:36:24 ◼   ► Xbox X

01:36:26 ◼   ► System X coming later this year

01:36:28 ◼   ► Which is the most you know in the PlayStation 5 the most advanced game console computers ever made

01:36:35 ◼   ► The idea is that no matter what you do when you get a new game

01:36:38 ◼   ► The game isn't going to like overwrite the system and create a launch item so that the next time you turn on your PlayStation 5

01:36:46 ◼   ► whatever game you just bought now puts up a pop-up menu every time your system starts up and

01:36:53 ◼   ► It's oh and when you delete the game because you don't even like it

01:36:56 ◼   ► It leaves behind a bunch of files that you have to clean up and stuff like you

01:37:01 ◼   ► People are like no no games consoles don't work like that. You're right

01:37:05 ◼   ► It's they're all and everything's neatly encapsulated and if you delete the game you delete all traces of the game

01:37:10 ◼   ► But it's not like a voluntary compliance thing

01:37:12 ◼   ► You can't even get your game into the platform unless you comply with the rules, you know that that are

01:37:19 ◼   ► Voluntary or otherwise whether they're sandboxing hardware things people just assume that that's the case because that's where game consoles came from because they used

01:37:27 ◼   ► to literally be enforced by the fact that it was a hardware cartridge and the fact that iOS and Android look like

01:37:35 ◼   ► Mac OS 10 and Linux

01:37:37 ◼   ► derivative computers that just happen to run in your pocket and you know that there's a Linux kernel on the

01:37:44 ◼   ► Android and a Darwin kernel and you know UI

01:37:48 ◼   ► Kit and app kit are similar and a lot of the frameworks like Swift UI are literally exactly the same

01:37:55 ◼   ► It's you know

01:37:58 ◼   ► Technically, yeah, there's a lot of similarities

01:38:00 ◼   ► But yet the the neatness of iOS where you cannot mess up your iPhone

01:38:07 ◼   ► By installing an app you can't do it

01:38:09 ◼   ► There's nothing that can be done through an app you get through the App Store that will mess up your system or leave behind

01:38:15 ◼   ► Traces or all of a sudden you get weird pop-up menus every time you get a phone call because you installed a thing from Facebook

01:38:23 ◼   ► Doesn't happen right and whereas on our Macs and PCs stuff like that happens all the time

01:38:30 ◼   ► I

01:38:32 ◼   ► Don't think people

01:38:34 ◼   ► Understand just how much of an appeal that is, you know, yeah, it's that it's that joking cliche

01:38:40 ◼   ► It just works thing but for like I had

01:38:42 ◼   ► Right now it's also in vogue to say that you know

01:38:45 ◼   ► Apple really didn't do much with the App Store that there were ways to download apps and there were ways to buy apps

01:38:50 ◼   ► Previously and I but I was one of those people I had you know

01:38:53 ◼   ► since the handspring visor and the palm trio and the windows mobile phones

01:38:58 ◼   ► I've had all of them and I have

01:39:00 ◼   ► receipts for buying like the

01:39:02 ◼   ► $48 sticky app that crashed constantly and me trying to remember which of the eight different web stores I bought it off of

01:39:09 ◼   ► It was just it was not a model where most people were doing it

01:39:14 ◼   ► It was a very very very niche activity and what Apple did is what they've done

01:39:19 ◼   ► That's generated their success for four years is that they figured out a way to package

01:39:25 ◼   ► To package technology in a way that had massive mainstream appeal and the App Store is or an Apple product in the same way that

01:39:31 ◼   ► The iPhone is did the same thing

01:39:32 ◼   ► it's like a bunch of sort of quirky hard to use disparate technologies and made a cohesive product out of it and

01:39:38 ◼   ► Huge accessible business and they did the same thing with app distribution

01:39:41 ◼   ► I think looking at it differently than that is non helpful and I'm not saying that I agree with how it's run

01:39:47 ◼   ► I think that

01:39:48 ◼   ► 2020 is very different than 2008 and that there are strong arguments for changing the percentage base because

01:39:55 ◼   ► It's really not that much money for Apple people have this idea that Apple's fighting over this

01:40:00 ◼   ► It is it is literally pocket change for Apple

01:40:03 ◼   ► I forget how many billions it moves the needle but it's like it's sing

01:40:06 ◼   ► It's very low single digit for a company that makes hundreds of billions of dollars all the time

01:40:11 ◼   ► And I also think that side loading is important

01:40:14 ◼   ► Especially in an age where China can block VPN apps and America might block tick-tock

01:40:19 ◼   ► But it's it's not because I think there's anything fundamentally broken with the App Store

01:40:23 ◼   ► It's because I think that we're living in a time that requires

01:40:26 ◼   ► Requires a more flexible approach just because the world is becoming a more chaotic place

01:40:32 ◼   ► But I think a lot of this and this is where I get into a lot of trouble from a lot of people

01:40:37 ◼   ► I think there's a lot of frustration about apps and games moving from

01:40:42 ◼   ► valuable expensive niche scarce products into

01:40:47 ◼   ► abundant commodity if not unit-based then rapidly becoming subscription

01:40:53 ◼   ► based the same way we've seen news transformed by Google and

01:40:57 ◼   ► Movies and videos transformed by Netflix and music by Spotify the same forces are being applied to apps and games

01:41:05 ◼   ► And I don't even think Apple understands it yet

01:41:07 ◼   ► But I think it's making a lot of developers who want to have successful apps angry in the same way

01:41:13 ◼   ► It makes a lot of youtubers who want to have huge audiences and don't have them really angry and all of these things

01:41:20 ◼   ► Serves serve as very good targets for channeling that anger

01:41:23 ◼   ► Yeah, I think so

01:41:26 ◼   ► And just I don't think it would change like I think Apple could give developers almost everything they want

01:41:30 ◼   ► I still think developers would have to work really really hard to figure out how to find a valuable niche or become a breakout

01:41:37 ◼   ► Mainstream sensation and it wouldn't just magically make any developer super affluent overnight. Yeah

01:41:44 ◼   ► I really do think though just to tie off the Xbox game pass thing that it's in some ways about games

01:41:52 ◼   ► specifically where they don't want these meta games that are games within an app and

01:41:58 ◼   ► even though Xbox game pass isn't

01:42:00 ◼   ► mobile first

01:42:02 ◼   ► The technology once you're talking about streaming the technology is there where somebody could easily make one if they it's that

01:42:10 ◼   ► Opening the door to streaming and so I think if they were going to make an exception and they made it for Xbox game pass

01:42:16 ◼   ► specifically the fact that you're still playing Xbox games that require a hardware controller and

01:42:21 ◼   ► Aren't really meant for the sort of mobile context that most mobile games are including Apple arcade games. It's not really

01:42:30 ◼   ► disruptive to Apple's no current game market for iOS but

01:42:35 ◼   ► Opening the door to streaming software in general streaming from the cloud is

01:42:41 ◼   ► and I really think that it's

01:42:44 ◼   ► It's almost the inverse of the epic argument where the epic argument they're trying to say it's about everything

01:42:50 ◼   ► But they're really talking about games

01:42:52 ◼   ► The Xbox one everybody's talking about games and the competition with the Apple arcade

01:42:58 ◼   ► But I really think that from Apple's perspective

01:43:00 ◼   ► It's the broader perspective of they don't have a policy in place yet for streaming software, which is clearly coming

01:43:08 ◼   ► It's coming to games first. It's here for games. It's the present tense thing for games

01:43:12 ◼   ► it's obviously as as cloud computing is more prominent and latency and

01:43:18 ◼   ► Ubiquitous 5g and good LTE networking is in more places

01:43:24 ◼   ► It's it's coming and Apple isn't doesn't have an answer for it yet, you know and how in terms it

01:43:30 ◼   ► What what does it mean for a company that wants to have control over all of the apps on this platform?

01:43:37 ◼   ► You know, it's sort of like Microsoft when the web browser started becoming a thing. It's they only understood

01:43:43 ◼   ► Windows as office apps. They didn't have any

01:43:46 ◼   ► Understanding at all of what Google Docs would be and it took like 30 years

01:43:52 ◼   ► But Scott McNeely's thin client future is finally getting closer to reality, you know and

01:43:57 ◼   ► Our you know our mutual dear friend guy English sent me something about that when this whole thing broke

01:44:04 ◼   ► He'd sent me, you know and guys like us for he has a long memory and remember stuff like that

01:44:09 ◼   ► But it is true the thin client from that era and you know Oracle was a big player in that too

01:44:17 ◼   ► It it always did make sense that it would happen eventually

01:44:23 ◼   ► You know just not it's people weren't thinking it through at the time, right?

01:44:27 ◼   ► Same way that the web became you know web apps would be a future

01:44:31 ◼   ► But everybody at the time thought that the web would be the new windows and you'd run apps that were just like the apps you

01:44:37 ◼   ► Ran on Windows, but they go through your web browser and it's like that doesn't really make sense

01:44:41 ◼   ► Because it's just not good for it and the payload grew faster than the delivery system every time right and just

01:44:47 ◼   ► You could just look at it

01:44:49 ◼   ► You know, I mean like there's the reason Gmail is very super super duper popular and doesn't look like

01:44:54 ◼   ► Windows or Mac app at all, you know, yeah, it's just you know, hey doesn't look like a Mac app or a Windows app

01:45:01 ◼   ► It looks like a web app and that's you know, you know, not good or bad in and of itself

01:45:07 ◼   ► It just is what it is. But did you know it did become the de facto?

01:45:13 ◼   ► Lowest common denominator software platform. Yeah. All right. Let's take a break. I'm gonna thank our third and final sponsor

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01:46:50 ◼   ► So now we've got epic and I feel like I do at least feel the news happened in the right order

01:46:56 ◼   ► like the hold my beer order

01:46:58 ◼   ► Right, like wow this fight with Microsoft and Apple over the future of iOS gaming and Apple's tight-fisted control over

01:47:07 ◼   ► the App Store and what type of games and stuff can be on it is

01:47:10 ◼   ► fascinating what drama and

01:47:13 ◼   ► Tim Sweeney is like, oh hold my beer hold hold a keg of beer. Yes

01:47:18 ◼   ► Yeah, good old Tim Sweeney

01:47:21 ◼   ► You know and so it's fun like somebody

01:47:24 ◼   ► You know, why are we so interested in this? Why is it getting so much attention?

01:47:28 ◼   ► Well, it's a lot of drama and it is you know, I don't think it's and it is complex

01:47:34 ◼   ► It's not a simple clear-cut argument

01:47:37 ◼   ► There's a lot of money at stake. There's two big companies with or three if you count Google

01:47:44 ◼   ► People have very strong opinions that run a gamut. It's not just two binary positions

01:47:50 ◼   ► Yeah

01:47:53 ◼   ► It's a lot of drama

01:47:54 ◼   ► And it was engineered to be dramatic. I mean I had videos and it was just designed to be dramatic from the start

01:48:00 ◼   ► Yeah, it's you know, it's I've drawn the analogy dithering to a chess game and I'd you know, it's it very much so right

01:48:07 ◼   ► but there's like

01:48:09 ◼   ► Certain chess openings where it's like you already

01:48:11 ◼   ► You know

01:48:12 ◼   ► You got to get like three moves in before you start making choices because it's like oh

01:48:16 ◼   ► This is the whatever gambit and that's how you open

01:48:18 ◼   ► And if you know, you know that you're your opening move is this that might be a surprise

01:48:26 ◼   ► your opening move is a surprise, you know, and I think

01:48:30 ◼   ► Fortnight sneaking in their own custom payment processing into an app. They'd submitted to Apple a week before that didn't have it exposed

01:48:37 ◼   ► Definitely was a surprise

01:48:40 ◼   ► And epic clearly thought Apple is almost certainly going to pull fortnight from the store in response

01:48:47 ◼   ► That happened hours later and within minutes of that the lawsuit dropped and the video dropped

01:48:53 ◼   ► Yeah, they had that move ready to go

01:48:55 ◼   ► So that's like you're playing white you make a surprising opening move Apple spend some time to think makes their move and a second they do

01:49:02 ◼   ► You're like I knew it and then you have your move ready to go and it's and they had a Google lawsuit ready, too

01:49:07 ◼   ► So I'm assuming they like so they must have figured that Google would pull the app, too

01:49:10 ◼   ► But they didn't have a video right there was no don't be evil video, right? Right and you know, I think part of that is

01:49:17 ◼   ► Apples the juicier target. I mean, what would the Google version of it be?

01:49:23 ◼   ► But then why do the lost like so that that was the thing for me and we can get at this later, too

01:49:27 ◼   ► It's that it would almost have been worse for Apple if they hadn't sued Google immediately as well. I

01:49:32 ◼   ► Wonder and I wonder if they thought you know if they thought to themselves maybe Google would like to

01:49:41 ◼   ► Play both sides of this and they'll let they'll let fortnight slide, you know

01:49:48 ◼   ► You know that maybe their epics thinking was maybe Google would like to make hay at Apple's expense, too

01:49:54 ◼   ► I mean it at times Google does right I mean and you know Microsoft made

01:49:59 ◼   ► It put out a pithy statement about the Xbox game thing

01:50:03 ◼   ► I mean, they're not above these big companies that play within our expectations of corporate decorum

01:50:08 ◼   ► Aren't above taking jabs at each other

01:50:15 ◼   ► So I think maybe they didn't know I didn't know I wasn't I felt very certain

01:50:19 ◼   ► I would have bet a lot of money not my house

01:50:22 ◼   ► But I would have bet a lot of money that Apple was going to pull fortnight

01:50:26 ◼   ► Same however crazy that seems given how popular it is. But what else could they do?

01:50:30 ◼   ► I would not have bet so much on Google

01:50:33 ◼   ► I would have made a much smaller bet on Google and I think that they're just you know, that that epic sort of okay

01:50:39 ◼   ► We'll file a lawsuit against you - we kind of have to

01:50:43 ◼   ► But they're there everything they've done since has been less about Google and more about Apple

01:50:48 ◼   ► the curious thing to me though and it touches on a lot of the arguments people made is

01:50:53 ◼   ► And I think when a lot of these things happen a lot of the feelings that get expressed are more generic or more

01:50:59 ◼   ► Personal and they sort of get attached to like epic

01:51:02 ◼   ► So people who have had grudges or fundamental philosophical disagreements about the way the app store

01:51:07 ◼   ► It gets run sort of voice those in support of epic

01:51:11 ◼   ► Regardless of whether they have anything to do with the specifics of epic or not

01:51:14 ◼   ► And in this case, we saw a bunch of people saying like, you know, the s the app store is a monopoly

01:51:18 ◼   ► Apple needs to open it up. They should allow side loading and the interesting thing to me. Is that

01:51:23 ◼   ► epic shut that it should have effectively shut that down immediately because

01:51:28 ◼   ► They had side loading on Android they used it. They hated it so much

01:51:33 ◼   ► They had to go back to the Google Play Store and in their lawsuit

01:51:38 ◼   ► They argue that it's insufficient and for people aren't familiar with it

01:51:42 ◼   ► The way it works on Android is basically like gatekeeper in that you have to go in turn it on

01:51:46 ◼   ► Tap through a bunch of warning messages and then install the app and they said that that is enough

01:51:52 ◼   ► To make sure that almost nobody ever uses it. So it's effectively not there anyway

01:51:58 ◼   ► So when you argue that Apple should just allow gatekeeper on the iPhone that is an argument, you know

01:52:03 ◼   ► I will make that argument too, but it is nothing that would make epic any happier than they are right now

01:52:08 ◼   ► well, I but I I think I

01:52:12 ◼   ► Correct me if I'm wrong. I actually did the research on this and now I've already forgotten and of course, I don't have the notes but

01:52:18 ◼   ► The way that epic did it wasn't that they pulled at fortnight from the Play Store they debuted

01:52:25 ◼   ► Android the Android version of fortnight outside the Play Store and they tried to do it only on their own

01:52:33 ◼   ► only through side loading and like a year later were like

01:52:37 ◼   ► Didn't really work that well. So yeah, it is exactly storm and now it complies

01:52:42 ◼   ► and it is still available outside the Play Store, so I actually went through on my

01:52:48 ◼   ► pixel and

01:52:51 ◼   ► Installed it and it's actually I this is actually I have to say I just hadn't been curious until this point how side loading worked

01:52:58 ◼   ► On Android it is different than gatekeeper in a certain basic sense

01:53:04 ◼   ► Where at least on the latest version of Android? I think it's Android 10 whatever I'm running on my pixel

01:53:10 ◼   ► That's up to pixel 4 that's up to date. It's not a system-wide thing where you say allow apps from other sources

01:53:17 ◼   ► What you do is you pick apps that can?

01:53:21 ◼   ► install

01:53:24 ◼   ► apps

01:53:25 ◼   ► To they and they call them sources and it's a little empty case worse

01:53:30 ◼   ► It's confusing because you you're in so the way that you go about it is I'm in Chrome with the default browser on

01:53:38 ◼   ► Android and I go to the epic site and I say I want to get fortnight and they say okay start by downloading

01:53:43 ◼   ► the epic games store or I think that's what they call it and

01:53:47 ◼   ► You download it an APK file, which is like the dot app bundle for them

01:53:53 ◼   ► And Chrome says do you want to allow app installations from this source?

01:53:59 ◼   ► You know might might be dangerous blah blah blah. I wasn't sure what that dialogue. I'm not trying to be obtuse here

01:54:06 ◼   ► I honestly didn't know what it meant

01:54:08 ◼   ► Like do they mean the source is epic games calm or the source is?

01:54:13 ◼   ► Chrome the Chrome app on my phone what they mean is the Chrome app

01:54:19 ◼   ► That's the source and so what you do then there's like a security section in the

01:54:24 ◼   ► Android settings where you can say here are the sources you're allowed to install

01:54:28 ◼   ► apps from and there it's a list of apps and so

01:54:33 ◼   ► the path for getting fortnight on your Android phone is first use your browser to get epic games and

01:54:40 ◼   ► And first you have to allow your browser to install apps

01:54:44 ◼   ► Then you can run epic games and you have to run through the same set of permission dialogues to let the epic game store install

01:54:52 ◼   ► Apps because the epic game store is how you get fortnight

01:54:54 ◼   ► so

01:54:57 ◼   ► And there's no notarization requirement like there is for the standard gatekeeper

01:55:01 ◼   ► Like you can turn off that requirement for gatekeeper, but there's no signed or notarized as far as I know

01:55:06 ◼   ► Those Android apps. Yeah, maybe

01:55:10 ◼   ► Here's the dialog box. It says Chrome for your security. Your phone is not allowed to install unknown apps from this source

01:55:17 ◼   ► And then your to your two options are cancel or settings

01:55:22 ◼   ► So again, I think that that exact and this is on I'm on the epic games.com slash fortnight website and the dialog box

01:55:31 ◼   ► Just says Chrome for your security. Your phone is not allowed to install unknown apps from this source

01:55:35 ◼   ► I don't think it was a bad guess for me to say that the source is epic games calm but they mean

01:55:40 ◼   ► Chrome but if you just tap settings then you go through and it's a very clear dialogue

01:55:45 ◼   ► The next screen is your you jumps you right to settings says Chrome allow from this source

01:55:50 ◼   ► It's off by default and it says your phone and personal data are more vulnerable to attack by unknown apps

01:55:56 ◼   ► By installing apps from this source you agree that you are responsible for any damage to your phone or loss of data that may result

01:56:03 ◼   ► From their use and then you can turn it on. So I think there's a couple of things here number one

01:56:09 ◼   ► I think epics little a/b test on that. What what is their success outside?

01:56:14 ◼   ► the Play Store is

01:56:17 ◼   ► Corrupted by the fact that they don't let you download fortnight directly

01:56:21 ◼   ► Anyway, they make you download epic games and then through epic games get fortnight, right?

01:56:25 ◼   ► So it was on the Samsung store as well

01:56:27 ◼   ► But I think that also just shows us the marketing back to the Amazon store versus Google Play

01:56:31 ◼   ► Yeah, I definitely think so which is confusing too, right and it gets into the level of

01:56:37 ◼   ► Okay, you have more choices more choices is good

01:56:40 ◼   ► Well, not necessarily because if you have a Samsung phone and you have access to the Play Store and the Samsung store

01:56:45 ◼   ► Where are you supposed to go?

01:56:47 ◼   ► Well, it's also goes beyond that like when people say Android is open. Android is open to the vendors

01:56:51 ◼   ► There's very little about Android that's open to the end consumer unless you build it yourself from the open source project and very few human

01:56:57 ◼   ► Beings are capable of doing that to make a functional consumer phone

01:57:00 ◼   ► And you for example, you can't get the L

01:57:03 ◼   ► like if there was an LG store you couldn't get the LG store on on Samsung or the Samsung store on

01:57:07 ◼   ► on

01:57:09 ◼   ► 1+ and that was part of their argument was that Google was sort of

01:57:12 ◼   ► forcing 1+ not to include the epic game launcher built in which would make it easier for customers and we're forcing LG not to include it

01:57:19 ◼   ► Which would make it easier for customers

01:57:21 ◼   ► And I don't think that these dialogue boxes are particularly

01:57:29 ◼   ► Alarming in their language. I mean, honestly, I'm not trying to be again

01:57:33 ◼   ► I keep saying I'm not trying to be obtuse, but I'm really not I think that these are very reasonable

01:57:36 ◼   ► Paths to turn on side loading. It's very difficult

01:57:41 ◼   ► You wouldn't happen by accident

01:57:43 ◼   ► Which is important and I think correct and if we really want to get fortnight the path to do

01:57:50 ◼   ► it is pretty obvious, but it's epics own fault that it is a

01:57:55 ◼   ► To level first install the epic game store then install fortnight. It's their own dumbass fault

01:58:00 ◼   ► However, many people they've lost

01:58:03 ◼   ► By not just allowing the fortnight dot APK to be downloaded directly from the web and only granting your web browser this

01:58:10 ◼   ► Super ability to install apps. That's their own fault for putting their their desire to have an epic game store

01:58:17 ◼   ► Ahead of making it as easy as possible to install fortnight. So if they've left that's sort of like I'm

01:58:24 ◼   ► Spoiler here, but that's why I'll get to later

01:58:26 ◼   ► Is that epic is not the Batman we want or need here because their goal is not to have you install

01:58:31 ◼   ► Fortnight their goal is to get the epic store right on like they're there

01:58:35 ◼   ► Their problem is not so much they hate the App Store and hate the Google Play Store in that they want to be an app

01:58:41 ◼   ► Store or a Google Play Store, they don't want to they don't want to give 30% of their income to Apple or Google

01:58:46 ◼   ► They want to charge 12% or whatever it ends up being to other game developers

01:58:50 ◼   ► All right, and I'm gonna be on the opposite side of that fence right and much like a lot of the stuff with

01:58:55 ◼   ► President Trump where it's like just listen to him right?

01:58:58 ◼   ► He'd literally said I'm trying to keep the post office underfunded so they can't count the millions of ballots, you know

01:59:04 ◼   ► And they're like you weren't supposed to say that out loud. He's like, oh, yeah, that's what I'm doing

01:59:08 ◼   ► It's the same way where Tim Sweeney has said

01:59:11 ◼   ► Yes

01:59:12 ◼   ► He even said like wouldn't it be great if you could buy once and have the same game on your PlayStation

01:59:19 ◼   ► And your switch and your phone and again, I'm not even disagreeing that from a user's perspective. That would be great

01:59:25 ◼   ► It would be fantastic

01:59:26 ◼   ► If you could buy a $60 app once and run it on two platforms and your phone with one purchase

01:59:32 ◼   ► I agree from the consumers perspective totally agree

01:59:36 ◼   ► But what what is he talking about as the mechanism for that he's talking about the epic store

01:59:41 ◼   ► I mean and his games right? He's not fighting any other developers battles, but his own

01:59:45 ◼   ► so

01:59:48 ◼   ► So Google I I'm not surprised that they kicked fortnight off I

01:59:53 ◼   ► Wouldn't have bet heavily on it I can see why they're not making a big stink about it because it

02:00:00 ◼   ► the existence of Android I think this would be a lot easier on Android if

02:00:06 ◼   ► The Play Store were a lot more like the iOS App Store and had a lot more

02:00:11 ◼   ► increasingly becoming like that though

02:00:12 ◼   ► It's like Google has moved away from the open Android model towards a far more controlled Google Play Services model over the years

02:00:18 ◼   ► But even with games they are far more controlling with games than they are with random software

02:00:22 ◼   ► But there's an awful lot of people who are what they're saying they want from iOS at a user's perspective is

02:00:29 ◼   ► Something like gatekeeper or what Android calls

02:00:33 ◼   ► I don't know if they have a name for it

02:00:35 ◼   ► But something that would let you install apps by clicking, you know off by everybody Oh, everybody reasonable agrees

02:00:41 ◼   ► It would be off by default

02:00:43 ◼   ► Because it even is on the Mac and everybody and yes

02:00:45 ◼   ► There's some diehards on the issue who maybe would say that's somehow philosophically offensive

02:00:51 ◼   ► Off by default easily turned on with a warning that is not that is truthful and not yes

02:01:00 ◼   ► unnecessarily alarming

02:01:03 ◼   ► And therefore it would give you the user freedom to get things that either aren't allowed or otherwise

02:01:09 ◼   ► They're just optional through their platforms App Store

02:01:12 ◼   ► They have it on Google right? That's the so there's a part of this

02:01:17 ◼   ► Thing where it's very uncomfortable for epic in my opinion to say well, what do you want Apple to do?

02:01:24 ◼   ► What could Apple do to just say? Okay, you know what Tim Sweeney and epic you're right. We're wrong

02:01:30 ◼   ► That's you know, we'll just

02:01:33 ◼   ► Do whatever you want. What do you want us to do? And I think there's a lot of people

02:01:39 ◼   ► on the iOS side of the

02:01:42 ◼   ► Debate here who are saying that iOS should be like Android but they are

02:01:46 ◼   ► That's obviously not the answer because they're they're suing it Google - they want something more and if you read their lawsuit against Google

02:01:55 ◼   ► they

02:01:57 ◼   ► complain

02:01:58 ◼   ► vociferously that those warning dialogues that I just read are

02:02:02 ◼   ► Are the whole reason they were a failure outside the play for Play Store and that they're unfair

02:02:08 ◼   ► and

02:02:10 ◼   ► Overly alarming. I I think they want like a one tap thing

02:02:14 ◼   ► we're all of a sudden there's an epic game store on your phone and that's it with no warning by default and

02:02:19 ◼   ► That is a bad idea

02:02:22 ◼   ► They want basically the epic game store to be on the App Store on the Google Play Store where you can tap it install it

02:02:28 ◼   ► And from then on you never have to go back to the App Store the play right and you know

02:02:31 ◼   ► And then that the games installed by the epic game store or every bit, you know

02:02:35 ◼   ► native apps on the platform that are on your home screen etc and so forth and then when

02:02:41 ◼   ► Because they run the epic game store very similar. So the epic game store people aren't familiar with it

02:02:45 ◼   ► Tim Sweeney gets angry at so many people he got angry at valve steam because they charge 30% the industry standard is 30%

02:02:53 ◼   ► You can love it or hate it, but it's the industry standard

02:02:56 ◼   ► They were charging 30% and he didn't think he was getting value from that. So he made his own store and he's aggressive

02:03:02 ◼   ► so he's tried to assign a lot of games to exclusive agreements that would keep them out of the steam store as a way to compete and

02:03:08 ◼   ► He only charges 12% that he epic only charges 12%

02:03:13 ◼   ► They do charge a licensing fee for the Unreal Engine

02:03:16 ◼   ► But if you use the Unreal Engine inside the epic store you get that 5% back

02:03:20 ◼   ► So it's a little more complicated

02:03:22 ◼   ► But I'd also caution saying that

02:03:25 ◼   ► He's delivering fundamentally less than what most like he's not delivering anywhere near the value that an App Store

02:03:32 ◼   ► Or a Play Store is I'm not sure compared to steam because he doesn't have the reach

02:03:36 ◼   ► He doesn't he doesn't have the ability to feature games doesn't have the the scope of the of the user commitment to it

02:03:41 ◼   ► But also that can change at any time. There's no law that says what a game store has to charge. So

02:03:46 ◼   ► He effectively just like people say it's David versus Goliath, but it's it's a young hungry Goliath who wants to be the Goliath

02:03:53 ◼   ► Can I just say also as an aside that the epic game store for Android that I did go ahead and install only has two games

02:04:00 ◼   ► It has fortnight and battle breakers, which I've never heard of so they make you jump through the hoop of

02:04:05 ◼   ► Installing their game store first before you can get fortnight

02:04:09 ◼   ► Which is the thing everybody is surely going there this week for just to have the option to install one of the game

02:04:14 ◼   ► I mean for now, I think the windows for I forget how many you're on the windows version

02:04:17 ◼   ► But they do have a bunch of apps that they're that they're effectively doing what the App Store does. They're brokering those apps, right?

02:04:22 ◼   ► Obviously with the Apple it's more of a fight obviously is you know, and it's a true it's a Trojan horse not

02:04:30 ◼   ► in the sense of being a you know, the the security industry term of a Trojan horse, but in the

02:04:36 ◼   ► Allegorical sense of the the story of the the original Trojan horse. They built this functionality into fortnight

02:04:44 ◼   ► Didn't have it enabled submitted the update got it approved and then turned it on remotely and boom

02:04:50 ◼   ► Fortnight is taking credit cards from outside the store and is right now to this day

02:04:56 ◼   ► You know, if you have fortnight on your iPhone, you can do it right now

02:05:00 ◼   ► You know and in terms of

02:05:02 ◼   ► Apple not being as heavy-handed as they could be, you know, they're allowing it to stay up at least through August 28th

02:05:08 ◼   ► I guess is their deadline

02:05:10 ◼   ► Yeah, and

02:05:12 ◼   ► If it sounds like you know, I'm being hard harder on epic than I am on Apple

02:05:16 ◼   ► That's only because epic won't stop talking if Apple and Google put out apples put out two statements Google one statement

02:05:22 ◼   ► Sweeney is tweeting and it's just it's so much easier when you have things that you can respond to

02:05:28 ◼   ► Because I you know, I think that there's much better ways that Apple can handle this and I do think to your point earlier

02:05:33 ◼   ► It's absolutely reckless that epic has a game engine attached to them

02:05:38 ◼   ► This isn't like unity which is a standalone engine and it's not like hey, which you know base camp which has an app that

02:05:45 ◼   ► Not a framework that everyone depends on and an Android isn't in this discussion because nobody creates

02:05:52 ◼   ► Unreal games on Android but on on Apple's platforms they both Apple and epic have developers who are dependent upon this

02:06:01 ◼   ► Relationship being mature and being managed and it's that's not what it is right now

02:06:06 ◼   ► And so what my most of my usually all my sympathy is not with epic

02:06:10 ◼   ► It's not with Apple is with the indie devs, but here it's also with the people who are

02:06:14 ◼   ► whose businesses depend on the Unreal Engine and right now are

02:06:18 ◼   ► Nervous if not terrified about what's happening

02:06:21 ◼   ► Yeah, I did, you know and I looked into this

02:06:23 ◼   ► There's not a lot of Unreal Engine games for iOS

02:06:28 ◼   ► I mean there have been some high-profile ones including infinity blade which is from epic and actually got them on stage at keynotes

02:06:35 ◼   ► Probably not gonna be on stage at future keynotes for a while

02:06:39 ◼   ► It's not that old gears award on Microsoft

02:06:44 ◼   ► But it is it even if you don't plan it on

02:06:49 ◼   ► if you don't have direct plans for launching your

02:06:51 ◼   ► in the works title for iOS the fact that it's a

02:06:55 ◼   ► possibility is certainly there right and

02:06:58 ◼   ► Platforms that really need to be stable and predictable, you know, and you can say what you want

02:07:06 ◼   ► And you know, that's a lot of what the predictability is

02:07:10 ◼   ► You mentioned hey there that's a real issue with the App Store

02:07:16 ◼   ► Guidelines is and it makes the platform

02:07:19 ◼   ► unreliable right like yes, I

02:07:23 ◼   ► Think this is so funny that

02:07:26 ◼   ► when hey

02:07:29 ◼   ► launched and Apple

02:07:32 ◼   ► Initially let the first version through and then the second version before they officially launched

02:07:37 ◼   ► they were like, oh you need to implement in-app purchasing this isn't in compliance and

02:07:44 ◼   ► Rather than sit there and stew quietly

02:07:47 ◼   ► Jason Fried and David Hahnemeyer Hanson collectively, you know went public with it in a very effective way

02:07:55 ◼   ► Right there. There isn't do anything quietly

02:07:58 ◼   ► No, he doesn't you know and there's such a good duo because there is sort of a it's not good cop bad cop

02:08:04 ◼   ► But like a loud cop quiet cop

02:08:06 ◼   ► dramatic and

02:08:10 ◼   ► But it was a very effective campaign and as so many people accused them of engineering the whole thing as a stunt for publicity

02:08:17 ◼   ► And you know and DHS in particular is like that's insane

02:08:22 ◼   ► How in the world would we possibly have predicted that you know, but all people saw was that oh you're getting a lot of publicity

02:08:30 ◼   ► Public sentiment is almost entirely on your side

02:08:33 ◼   ► Therefore this was all a publicity stunt. Whereas they're like, no we really just wanted to fit the ham app in the store

02:08:40 ◼   ► The launch wasn't the stunt there really the the litigation about the blockage was like they have a very prominent article on their website

02:08:46 ◼   ► That talks about the value of rage in in getting your opinion across online

02:08:52 ◼   ► and they are very effective at once something happens that they don't think is right and proper of

02:08:57 ◼   ► Marshalling that sort of internet rage in their direction to help them get what they want, right? And that's just good clean

02:09:04 ◼   ► Yes advocacy for yourself, you know

02:09:07 ◼   ► And it shows that however disproportionate the financial might of Apple versus the base camp company

02:09:13 ◼   ► LLC is in terms of righteous indignation and

02:09:17 ◼   ► Publicity you can fight them on equal grounds, right?

02:09:21 ◼   ► That's it's a fascinating story

02:09:23 ◼   ► but these these people who accused them of a stunt and

02:09:26 ◼   ► and their story at their their side of the argument is we thought hey was a lot like base camp and we've been doing this with

02:09:32 ◼   ► Base camp on iOS for 12 years

02:09:34 ◼   ► So we just and and our first 1.0 went through and that's all true

02:09:40 ◼   ► It's exactly what they developer who's not doing something outlandish should ever have to worry about whether their app gets on the store or not

02:09:46 ◼   ► Whereas what epic is done with fortnight literally is a publicity stunt. Yes. They had a publicity stunt

02:09:53 ◼   ► video ready to go and they

02:09:56 ◼   ► deliberately epic

02:09:59 ◼   ► Deliberately violated the clear rules of the store and they knew it

02:10:04 ◼   ► I mean they admit it nobody is in denial of it fortnight says oh, yeah

02:10:08 ◼   ► We we put a feature in our app for the App Store that completely violates one of the core rules

02:10:13 ◼   ► Not like an easy Apple and Google's App Store

02:10:16 ◼   ► Right a rule that everybody is aware of and talks about all the time not like oh you never knew about rule

02:10:22 ◼   ► 29 D

02:10:24 ◼   ► Section F. Oh

02:10:26 ◼   ► I didn't know. Yeah. No, this is like, you know rule it might be rule 3.3

02:10:31 ◼   ► But it might as well be rule 1 which is that if you do online, you know

02:10:35 ◼   ► 1's and 0 digital content transactions they go through Apple and you pay Apple thou shalt put no payment system before me, right?

02:10:43 ◼   ► exactly

02:10:45 ◼   ► but in terms of predictability that

02:10:48 ◼   ► What happened with hey gets to actual problems?

02:10:53 ◼   ► honest indie

02:10:56 ◼   ► Developers large and small have with the App Store is that it's not predictable and look

02:11:01 ◼   ► I think it ties in with Microsoft and the Xbox game pass is that I think they thought they were going to be able to work

02:11:08 ◼   ► This out by writing a check effectively

02:11:11 ◼   ► Let's just figure out what percentage you want and we'll agree to it and when Apple was like no

02:11:15 ◼   ► This is actually about salt, you know control of the platform going forward not money

02:11:19 ◼   ► It was unpredictable and that makes weird. That's a problem

02:11:24 ◼   ► No, it totally there's this weird thing inside Apple and I don't know why it exists this way where they would they prefer not to say

02:11:31 ◼   ► No to an app up front

02:11:32 ◼   ► Yeah

02:11:33 ◼   ► But when they find something they don't like they want to make an example out of a very public app immediately as a way of

02:11:37 ◼   ► Setting policy they don't have to write down and I think that I

02:11:42 ◼   ► think maybe that is a lot of legal legal ass covering or it's a way of

02:11:47 ◼   ► AC it as a way of maintaining flexibility, but I think it's absolutely detrimental to

02:11:52 ◼   ► To developer confidence in the platform and I really wish they wouldn't do that. It just

02:11:57 ◼   ► It takes their most ardent supporter and turns them into a disgruntled angry individual and it is just no reason for it, right?

02:12:05 ◼   ► I think in terms of sort of

02:12:07 ◼   ► Breaking free of some of the I don't know

02:12:10 ◼   ► What are they barnacles?

02:12:10 ◼   ► You know things that are stuck the way that the argument is sort of gotten rusty

02:12:14 ◼   ► And we're sort of making the same arguments over and over again

02:12:17 ◼   ► And if you really just want to let's break let's break this off snap this off and find a new perspective

02:12:23 ◼   ► Like one of the ways Apple could like let's rethink the App Store is how can we make this a lot more predictable?

02:12:30 ◼   ► now and

02:12:32 ◼   ► anticipating future trends

02:12:34 ◼   ► I think that the whole reader app category is

02:12:39 ◼   ► Unpredictable because it's it's it's clearly what they're just the plain terminology

02:12:45 ◼   ► Calling Netflix a reader app, you know, it's it just speaks to the fact that the rule is

02:12:50 ◼   ► Ambiguous in terms of what qualifies and what doesn't you know, and if you want to say games definitely don't qualify

02:12:56 ◼   ► Games are one of those things like pornography where there's a I know it when I see it, right?

02:13:01 ◼   ► It's you know, you can say games and people know what games are right bandersnatch is game like video

02:13:08 ◼   ► But everybody knows it's not a game. Yeah

02:13:13 ◼   ► So I I think that that unpredictability I don't think in terms of what chess moves

02:13:18 ◼   ► One side or the other may or may not have anticipated or predicted

02:13:21 ◼   ► I'm not entirely sure epic foresaw Apple saying we're going to sever your Apple developer agreement

02:13:28 ◼   ► Maybe they did maybe they didn't but this is the thing and like you pointed it out. This is what puts Unreal Engine at risk

02:13:34 ◼   ► Because it has nothing to do with iOS it's because they develop it using max so that it can run on

02:13:43 ◼   ► iOS

02:13:45 ◼   ► You know presumably, you know the PC development where it's bread and butter of the unreal target audience of games

02:13:52 ◼   ► Are it isn't done on a Mac?

02:13:53 ◼   ► But they need to be able to do the development on a Mac to keep it compiling

02:13:57 ◼   ► Even if it you don't even count the Mac as a target

02:14:00 ◼   ► it's

02:14:02 ◼   ► Although that's probably less relevant as time goes on and Apple and Mac's move to Apple silicon that the Mac will

02:14:08 ◼   ► As a byproduct of being more architecturally similar to iOS, but that's neither here nor there

02:14:13 ◼   ► But if they want it to run on iOS

02:14:16 ◼   ► they need to compile it on a Mac and if they need to compile it on a Mac they need an Apple developer license and

02:14:21 ◼   ► It's it, you know

02:14:24 ◼   ► Technically, yeah, they could just say well, you know Renee they could let you sideload it

02:14:30 ◼   ► I mean, yeah, they hate that whole idea or they could register a new Apple developer license

02:14:36 ◼   ► Agreement and it's somebody else's name, you know that you know the Renee Richie, you know personal thing

02:14:42 ◼   ► But that's that's actually against the rules

02:14:44 ◼   ► If you want to say we're sticking to rules and we're looking at these and we have lawyers involved the license agreement

02:14:49 ◼   ► Also says that if you're a company you can't play shenanigans by registering

02:14:54 ◼   ► developer lights

02:14:55 ◼   ► you know if they said they make a subsidiary and

02:14:58 ◼   ► License the engine to themselves in perpetuity and have a developer account for the subsidiary. There's all sorts of legal shenanigans, right?

02:15:04 ◼   ► There's all sorts of stuff they could do but in the meantime basically they put

02:15:08 ◼   ► Unreal Engine as a platform for targeting iOS at risk for a fight that has nothing to do with Unreal Engine specifically at all

02:15:16 ◼   ► Yeah

02:15:16 ◼   ► and that is not a good move as a platform vendor and

02:15:21 ◼   ► It should have been predictable because that is exactly what the other clause in the App Store thing says

02:15:25 ◼   ► I mean like maybe they would have thought that Apple wouldn't enforce it

02:15:28 ◼   ► But they had to know that it was a possibility because it is in that same agreement that they signed, right?

02:15:33 ◼   ► So what should Apple have done in response to fortnight doing this, right?

02:15:36 ◼   ► That's if we're gonna wrap up the show and and I think that there's a sentiment that I've seen from a lot of people and I

02:15:43 ◼   ► Think it's reasonable which is that Apple

02:15:45 ◼   ► threatening to pull epics entire developer license and therefore

02:15:49 ◼   ► Putting Unreal Engine at risk to is heavy-handed and uncalled for and a bullying tactic

02:15:59 ◼   ► I could preface this quickly by saying like there's a lot of things I think people look at as individuals and not as companies and we

02:16:04 ◼   ► Saw that like a week or so ago when Apple is suing this company that has a pear-shaped logo and everyone's like

02:16:09 ◼   ► Oh, look Apple's evil, but the law literally says if you don't defend trademarks you lose them

02:16:15 ◼   ► I mean, there's things that happen as a company that are morally, you know, I don't say reprehensible

02:16:19 ◼   ► But you know, they know sane person would do them

02:16:21 ◼   ► But because of the way laws are written and if they don't enforce the App Store agreement as written

02:16:27 ◼   ► I mean they obviously have discretion

02:16:29 ◼   ► but if they don't enforce it as written it becomes very hard to enforce it the next time when maybe it is and

02:16:34 ◼   ► Maybe they catch a new social network literally stealing everyone's data and they want to pull their license and the lawsuit says well

02:16:40 ◼   ► You didn't pull epics license. So why are you gonna pull ours? This is obviously not fair dealing

02:16:44 ◼   ► So you have to always look at these things in terms of companies not individuals, right?

02:16:48 ◼   ► And the pear-shaped license one is maybe a good example

02:16:52 ◼   ► Actually, it's maybe it's a bad example and that's what makes it a good example where the logo really isn't confused with the Apple logo

02:16:58 ◼   ► At all, right like the way I say it is it would be a problem if a company

02:17:02 ◼   ► Said to their designer. Okay, we want a pear logo make it look like the Apple logo

02:17:09 ◼   ► But a pear instead of an apple and there's different ways you can interpret that basic art direction

02:17:15 ◼   ► But however, it came out if they did a good job

02:17:17 ◼   ► You could say well, that's something Apple needs to sue to defend the logo we're talking about with this pear company is not that at all

02:17:23 ◼   ► it does not so

02:17:25 ◼   ► Looking at the two logos

02:17:28 ◼   ► I think most reasonable people including me would say Apple didn't need to go after this company

02:17:32 ◼   ► but you can see how somebody in Apple legal who's looking after their interests in their job and the company's interests would say

02:17:43 ◼   ► Anything even vaguely involved with computers and a piece of fruit and a leaf on top. We're gonna say you can't do it. I

02:17:49 ◼   ► Disagree, but it's not like out of left field, right? It's not like it's not even that like it's it's not like they're suing them

02:17:57 ◼   ► They're just filing an objection and the person who gets the objection will just say no you're out of your minds

02:18:01 ◼   ► But you did because they filed the objection, right?

02:18:03 ◼   ► Whereas with this with the the guidelines that's you know

02:18:08 ◼   ► You're you're way, you know that whoever filed that for Apple legal is way out on the edge of protecting their Apple logo trademark. Yeah

02:18:15 ◼   ► Apple's saying we're going to remove your we're gonna cut you off from the Apple developer program is

02:18:21 ◼   ► Again, it's not an obscure violation

02:18:24 ◼   ► It is a direct assault and the nature of it and if they want to be able to do that for other reasons

02:18:30 ◼   ► I think that they might have to do it here and if they didn't do it, like what else could they do?

02:18:34 ◼   ► What else could Apple do in the interim while this lawsuit is being fought and I will say I'm

02:18:40 ◼   ► by all accounts both sides there is no indication that epic needs to

02:18:47 ◼   ► Drop their lawsuit Apple isn't saying you have to drop your lawsuit or else we're not letting you

02:18:54 ◼   ► You were canceling your developer agreement

02:18:56 ◼   ► They're all Apple is saying that they have to do is submit a new version of fortnight that complies with the guidelines meaning takes out

02:19:02 ◼   ► Their payment processing and all's good

02:19:05 ◼   ► Meaning all's good. You can continue with your lawsuit. You can do Apple and be in the App Store

02:19:10 ◼   ► So it's they're not that spiteful, right?

02:19:13 ◼   ► What else could Apple do if they don't threaten to take the developer licensing agree away? I guess what they could do is just

02:19:20 ◼   ► Hit not just take fortnight out of the store, but make fortnight stop working on installed devices

02:19:29 ◼   ► Just fortnight instead of the license overall. I mean, yeah

02:19:34 ◼   ► But does that mean then that they take away, you know

02:19:37 ◼   ► That's I think where you're going is does that mean that in future cases with other companies where they really want to take away?

02:19:43 ◼   ► Their developer license agreement does it set a bad precedent where the company can say? Well the last time they just kicked the app out

02:19:50 ◼   ► Yeah, I mean precedent is everything that's why like like I'm not saying the pair thing wasn't ridiculous

02:19:55 ◼   ► It was but it's pro forma. It's like and I'm not saying this is a huge threat to the business, but it

02:20:01 ◼   ► Everything is based on precedent and if it says in the agreement, this is what happens 28 days after you do that

02:20:07 ◼   ► This is what happens 28 days after you do that

02:20:09 ◼   ► And if you start not doing those things as a company

02:20:11 ◼   ► You're setting a precedent that in who who knows what egregious case comes up next it gets litigated saying well your honor

02:20:18 ◼   ► They didn't do it in these three other cases. Why are they doing it now?

02:20:20 ◼   ► They're being punitive right and it gets to the nature of the word anti-competitive

02:20:24 ◼   ► Which is weird

02:20:26 ◼   ► Ben Thompson's been mentioning lately that the the lace the case with Qualcomm brings up the time the difference between

02:20:33 ◼   ► anti-competitive and hyper competitive which is interesting, but the thing about anti-competitive is that in a lot of sense

02:20:40 ◼   ► Whenever we bring up anti-competitive what you're really also talking about is just being competitive. You know anti-competitive behavior and

02:20:50 ◼   ► competitive behavior is often the same thing right and it's not really anti meaning the opposite like

02:20:56 ◼   ► Anti-competitive is sort of like socialist communist everybody, you know

02:21:01 ◼   ► You know everybody hold hands and share collectively and the common good for everybody, right?

02:21:07 ◼   ► Or your illegal monopoly like some cable companies are where you you give up some form of regulation and in exchange for owning a market

02:21:14 ◼   ► Right anti matter and matter just cancel each other out anti competition and competition aren't opposites really

02:21:20 ◼   ► And so what are you if you're saying that Apple shouldn't?

02:21:24 ◼   ► shouldn't yank or put the kill switch on fortnight and

02:21:29 ◼   ► Disable fortnight on all the phones that are out there and they shouldn't revoke their developers cert

02:21:34 ◼   ► Well, then what what should they do? There's nothing there is nothing left what they just sit and take it and let fortnight

02:21:39 ◼   ► completely flagrantly violate

02:21:43 ◼   ► the terms of the agreement

02:21:45 ◼   ► For and then when the next app does it what can they do then because they just they're not gonna do anything when force night

02:21:50 ◼   ► Did it so like every game like it look like the company that owns farm like Facebook owns

02:21:54 ◼   ► Farmville and the company that owns Candy Crush King, I think it is they will just switch to the same thing immediately

02:21:59 ◼   ► well

02:22:01 ◼   ► Would they I don't know because you know

02:22:04 ◼   ► Then the lawsuit gets settled and it's settled in Apple's favor and all of a sudden there's a reckoning for all of these

02:22:09 ◼   ► Yeah, I know I guess yeah, no a fair point

02:22:10 ◼   ► But I mean, it's like it's it's hard to have someone it's basically it's Occupy Wall Street for the App Store at that point

02:22:15 ◼   ► Yeah, but anybody who does want to take their chances the way epic is certainly be free game for it

02:22:20 ◼   ► So, I don't know. I don't think it's uncalled for for Apple to do it

02:22:24 ◼   ► I think it's actually just shows how reckless it was in the first place for epic to wage the battle this way

02:22:29 ◼   ► They certainly could have they could have pulled fortnight, right? They could have done that instead

02:22:33 ◼   ► They could have just said we're not gonna put fortnight on iOS devices until Apple changes their policy

02:22:37 ◼   ► And if you're upset about that, here's Apple's communication numbers, right? Well or

02:22:41 ◼   ► the the far less dramatic

02:22:44 ◼   ► alright, so they could have pulled it and then that disrupts all of the

02:22:49 ◼   ► customers the mutual customers of fortnight and iOS

02:22:54 ◼   ► Which again?

02:22:56 ◼   ► I don't want to lose them in your in my discussion of this right like Apple and epic and the courts can sort of

02:23:03 ◼   ► Omit them as best they can or use them as pawns to only make their side of the argument, but let's just face it

02:23:08 ◼   ► You know people who like playing fortnight on their devices should get to keep playing fortnight

02:23:13 ◼   ► And right now they are there get to keep playing fortnight and it is still hosted in the App Store

02:23:18 ◼   ► yeah, so if you

02:23:21 ◼   ► Reset your iPhone or get a new iPhone and need to redownload fortnight. It's there

02:23:25 ◼   ► I got it on my phone even though I never had it because my son had it and we have family sharing and so I could

02:23:31 ◼   ► Go to the App Store

02:23:34 ◼   ► purchased

02:23:35 ◼   ► Family member Jonas. Yeah and find fortnight and I got it

02:23:39 ◼   ► So it is still there include in it's the version that has the you know against the rules payment processing

02:23:46 ◼   ► That's to make the anti-competitive argument specifically with games because

02:23:53 ◼   ► You know people will say there's no choice but games are games. We were making that point earlier

02:23:59 ◼   ► You can play fortnight on Android you can play it on Xbox you can play it on PlayStation you can play it on switch

02:24:04 ◼   ► There are several markets available to to epic for selling fortnight

02:24:10 ◼   ► They don't and then one of the best ways to again

02:24:14 ◼   ► It does hurt the customers who want to play it specifically in iOS

02:24:16 ◼   ► But in a traditional market if you're not happy with the terms of one store

02:24:20 ◼   ► You go to the other stores and hopefully that's what Apple did with Verizon Verizon wasn't happy with their terms

02:24:25 ◼   ► They sold so many phones on AT&T Verizon came begging for an iPhone, right?

02:24:29 ◼   ► And again, that's competition, you know and again

02:24:33 ◼   ► I'll make the point I would go on the aside

02:24:36 ◼   ► there is this the sense that the Xbox game pass thing is anti-competitive on Apple's part because it is

02:24:44 ◼   ► Blocking Microsoft from doing this thing that Microsoft wants to provide and that a lot of iOS users want to use but in another sense

02:24:53 ◼   ► It's extremely competitive because now if you care about playing Xbox game pass

02:24:58 ◼   ► Games on your phone. There's a huge new competitive reason to buy an Android phone instead of an iPhone. So in a sense it's

02:25:05 ◼   ► competitive

02:25:07 ◼   ► Absolutely, but in terms of blaming me ultimately blaming epic for the putting unreal engine at risk and not blaming

02:25:14 ◼   ► Apple for saying that come August 28th. If you haven't fixed this we're gonna cancel sever your your developer account

02:25:21 ◼   ► They're the ones who decided to open this by flagrantly

02:25:27 ◼   ► violating the rules of the store with a Trojan horse

02:25:30 ◼   ► implementation of the feature the way that they could have done this and had the same lawsuit is

02:25:37 ◼   ► Submit the app on the up-and-up with that feature

02:25:41 ◼   ► Fully exposed have app store tap through and say whoa

02:25:46 ◼   ► This is against the rules. No, no way you I don't know what you were thinking

02:25:51 ◼   ► You cannot put your own payment in here as an alternative

02:25:54 ◼   ► It's rejected

02:25:56 ◼   ► file the lawsuit because the app was rejected and

02:26:00 ◼   ► There you go. You've got your lawsuit you

02:26:04 ◼   ► Submitted the app with the feature on the on its face so the Apple could see it

02:26:09 ◼   ► They rejected it

02:26:10 ◼   ► You can make your case publicly that this would have allowed them to pass 20% or 30% savings on to the you know users

02:26:17 ◼   ► and Apple would have no grounds to

02:26:22 ◼   ► Cancel their developer license agreement not only I don't think Apple would do it

02:26:28 ◼   ► They did I don't believe there'd be any grounds for them to do it according to the terms

02:26:32 ◼   ► It's all epics own doing they gave Apple the ability to do it. So I think that the people who think Apple is being a

02:26:38 ◼   ► Bully in this regard. Well, it's epic

02:26:42 ◼   ► Who's the one who started it by doing something that they knew would open the door to it?

02:26:47 ◼   ► And it's reckless reckless behavior as the platform

02:26:52 ◼   ► provider for Unreal Engine

02:26:54 ◼   ► Yeah, and I think that goes to a lot of the motivation behind this because I think it really was

02:26:58 ◼   ► Really well planned like that people have asked why they're not suing

02:27:01 ◼   ► Xbox or PlayStation or switch because again 30% is the industry standard and

02:27:06 ◼   ► You can say like Tim Sweeney will say it's because he believes that those platforms sell

02:27:12 ◼   ► Hardware at cost or a loss and also do better partnering deals with big studios

02:27:17 ◼   ► So they better earn their 30% and again, that's that's something that people can rightfully argue about

02:27:23 ◼   ► Also Sony owns 1.4 percent of epic 10 cent owns 40% of epic and 10 cent wants their own stores as well

02:27:30 ◼   ► Microsoft they made up famously and Nintendo licenses the Unreal Engine's they don't have a normal developer platform relationship with Nintendo

02:27:39 ◼   ► But beyond that, I think they know that under current US law and I don't know about the EU but under current US law

02:27:45 ◼   ► They would probably lose because there's no duty to deal you it's very hard to force a company

02:27:51 ◼   ► To to do business that they don't want to do so they would probably law lose a lawsuit under the current laws

02:27:57 ◼   ► But there is so much scrutiny, you know

02:28:00 ◼   ► Tim Cook and Sundar Pachai and everybody just testified in front of Congress and there is so much

02:28:06 ◼   ► momentum towards the regulation the breakup the the involvement in the tech industry that

02:28:13 ◼   ► If you wanted a story to slap down in front of Congress that would hurt Apple and probably help you

02:28:21 ◼   ► This is sort of like I wish I had a look at the end result and then reverse engineer how I get there and that

02:28:26 ◼   ► To me seems like what epic wants out of this is to change the game enough that they can become part of it

02:28:32 ◼   ► And I think from that lens this is a good strategy for them. I

02:28:35 ◼   ► Don't know. I'm not sure I think it is good and if in in broad terms

02:28:41 ◼   ► Are you saying that in terms of their battling this out in the court of public opinion? Yeah, I think also

02:28:46 ◼   ► Yeah, I think because I don't think they'd win a lawsuit

02:28:48 ◼   ► But I think that they that they're creating a huge controversy that plays into the idea that people who are technologically

02:28:55 ◼   ► Illiterate will eventually be able to regulate companies like Apple

02:28:59 ◼   ► Yeah, and I think that one of the things that sort of gets lost and I again

02:29:04 ◼   ► I don't want to teach a high school civics course, but you know

02:29:07 ◼   ► The judicial branch of the government is a lot less political than again

02:29:14 ◼   ► And it's very political but it's less political than the legislative branch who are literally elected politicians and

02:29:21 ◼   ► the court of public opinion

02:29:24 ◼   ► Doesn't hold any sway in a court of law, right?

02:29:28 ◼   ► Like if you don't have the law you got nothing to argue about when you do and you're arguing, you know this case legally

02:29:35 ◼   ► When you're arguing is no jury to nullify and these kind of courses

02:29:38 ◼   ► It's literally like a judge sitting there looking at you, right?

02:29:41 ◼   ► But when you're arguing before Congress the way things should be holds a lot of sway because what Congress can do is write laws

02:29:48 ◼   ► The way they should be right that you know, and again, it's we have a whole discussion that yeah

02:29:54 ◼   ► Well, there's certain judges have certain perspectives and they interpret laws in different ways. And yeah, yeah. Yeah, it's not you can't remove it

02:30:00 ◼   ► It's not absolute that Congress is completely political and the judicial branch is not but

02:30:05 ◼   ► the court of public opinion arguments definitely have more sway when

02:30:09 ◼   ► Legislators and regulators are involved not judges

02:30:13 ◼   ► Where do you think it's going I think I'm a little surprised it hasn't happened yet

02:30:19 ◼   ► but I expect I expect fortnight to have an update that removes the

02:30:24 ◼   ► Thing they'll say epic will say look what mean Apple the monopolist forced us to do and now everybody on iOS

02:30:32 ◼   ► Has to pay the higher prices for V bucks, which again aren't legal arguments at all

02:30:37 ◼   ► They're completely court of public opinion arguments, but they're good ones. You know, they work they certainly work for fortnight players

02:30:42 ◼   ► But that they'll do that and then for fortnight players who aren't paying attention

02:30:50 ◼   ► the only way they even knew about it is that they

02:30:53 ◼   ► Maybe they saw the video when they launched fortnight because I don't know if anybody else knows that but I did I found it amusing

02:30:58 ◼   ► that

02:30:59 ◼   ► 1984 style video actually is like the startup video now when you launch fortnight

02:31:04 ◼   ► Yeah, they made it in game and they wanted to they wanted to weaponize the fortnight audience against Apple

02:31:11 ◼   ► Well, they should but they show it they even show it on all the other platforms

02:31:15 ◼   ► I didn't try it on the other I tried it on switch and I tried it on Android and you see it they had an

02:31:20 ◼   ► In-game debut for it as well. Yeah, it's it's in yeah, it's in game and on switch and Android an anti-apple message

02:31:27 ◼   ► It's almost like they have monopoly control over the fortnight market. I found it amusing

02:31:32 ◼   ► I don't know where it's going to end up. I don't know but I do think I the other point

02:31:39 ◼   ► I'll point out though is I think that

02:31:41 ◼   ► Okay, they they picked their targets

02:31:43 ◼   ► They picked Google and Apple and I think they are juicier public court of public opinion targets

02:31:48 ◼   ► but if they were to win and

02:31:50 ◼   ► You never know how these things will turn out in court right look at Qualcomm which had like a terrible, you know

02:31:56 ◼   ► You know, you're an anti-competitive monopolist who broke the law

02:31:59 ◼   ► They appealed and the appeal was like three to zero who said no. Nope. That's all wrong, right?

02:32:04 ◼   ► So, you know, I don't know we skipping the argument

02:32:07 ◼   ► One of the fascinating things is those Qualcomm lawyers who almost always fight against antitrust are now fighting for it

02:32:12 ◼   ► They're the same lawyers that epic hired to fight for it for them if this goes to a judge

02:32:17 ◼   ► You don't know how it's going to turn out

02:32:19 ◼   ► But if it turns out more in epics favor than apples

02:32:24 ◼   ► I I would be shocked if they don't epic doesn't turn around and then use it against

02:32:30 ◼   ► Xbox PlayStation and Nintendo

02:32:32 ◼   ► Not maybe not in a quite the same way because as you mentioned they have partnerships with those companies

02:32:38 ◼   ► But it gives you know, I think in terms of getting trying to get the epic play store on those platforms

02:32:45 ◼   ► They're definitely going to use it if they win some kind of everything came up Milhouse epic judgment

02:32:51 ◼   ► Why wouldn't they write they can say screw our previous arrangement screw your 1.4 percent ownership of our company

02:32:57 ◼   ► We want the epic store on PlayStation 5 and you have to do it because here's the here's the law is our president

02:33:03 ◼   ► Here's our president was interesting to me is

02:33:05 ◼   ► I did a community poll on my youtube channel because I wanted five options and Twitter only allows

02:33:10 ◼   ► For four because I wanted like I think apples right? I think epics, right? I think they both have points figured out

02:33:16 ◼   ► I think they're both dumb just stop it. And also honestly, I have way bigger problems in 2020 than this

02:33:21 ◼   ► And people would assume that my audience is super pro Apple but with the Microsoft

02:33:26 ◼   ► Xbox streaming some people did say, you know, it's Apple Store

02:33:30 ◼   ► They can do what they want, but almost everybody thought that Apple was being stupid and wrong about it

02:33:33 ◼   ► Like it wasn't even close

02:33:35 ◼   ► Nobody's affinity for Apple stopped them from thinking that it wasn't dumb for Apple to block Xbox streaming

02:33:40 ◼   ► But here like 40 41 percent of people are on Apple side 18 on epics

02:33:44 ◼   ► 17 think that they're both right third 3 percent think they're both wrong and

02:33:49 ◼   ► 20% think they're way bigger problems in the world right now

02:33:51 ◼   ► So it's like it's one of those things where I think epic had a good initial strategy

02:33:56 ◼   ► But they made some mistakes along the way that took away the momentum

02:33:59 ◼   ► Like I think the Google lawsuit was one of those mistakes and just them tweeting so much

02:34:04 ◼   ► I think was one of or just being so overly communicative. It's like a friend of mine Devon who runs a legal Eagle Channel

02:34:10 ◼   ► He just keeps saying like stop talking, you know, just don't talk. That's why you have a lawyer and they really I think should stop talking

02:34:17 ◼   ► But I think your assessment is is spot-on

02:34:19 ◼   ► The best thing they could do right now is to put the game back say that Apple forced them to do it

02:34:23 ◼   ► Gin up more negative sentiment against Apple try to litigate it in the courts where they may not win probably won't win

02:34:30 ◼   ► but then go full-on at Congress and the EU because

02:34:34 ◼   ► The EU and Congress have both shown a massive under misunderstanding of how tech works

02:34:40 ◼   ► right and I bring this up as an example, but you look at the

02:34:44 ◼   ► Browser ballot from Microsoft famously they wanted to help out opera and Slepnir and these other browsers

02:34:49 ◼   ► Which now we have like two and a half two and a fork rendering engines left

02:34:54 ◼   ► it's just these decimated the browser industry and

02:34:57 ◼   ► I don't think it'll do better for the app industry

02:35:00 ◼   ► I think we'll get results that all of us look on thinking what why did we let this happen instead of doing anything?

02:35:05 ◼   ► We can to stop it. Do you think that it do you think it's interesting?

02:35:09 ◼   ► To to look at that decision in the the the conquest of the browser market by

02:35:14 ◼   ► Chrome and the blink engine

02:35:17 ◼   ► Do you think without that if Microsoft were as free as ever or as free as Apple is with iOS to have their?

02:35:25 ◼   ► default engine in the default browser that

02:35:30 ◼   ► That

02:35:33 ◼   ► Edge would still be using them. You know, I'm not so sure that that would have stopped Chrome's

02:35:38 ◼   ► Rampage over Windows as the default browser

02:35:40 ◼   ► No, but I don't think it helped opera and it could help like I don't think it achieved what they want

02:35:45 ◼   ► It's the same way like the e-book case where now Amazon has 83% of the e-book market

02:35:49 ◼   ► I don't think that helps necessarily it was it was a huge distraction that didn't actually help the

02:35:53 ◼   ► Fundamental notion that it we'd in theory would be a lot better with a healthy market of multiple

02:35:59 ◼   ► Rendering engines for the web and no matter what we seem to do or try

02:36:06 ◼   ► We get down to look at Firefox these last couple weeks and geckos not I mean, who knows right?

02:36:11 ◼   ► Yeah, and the last thing just one thing I wanted to add to is that I really do mean that that epic is not the

02:36:17 ◼   ► Batman that we want or need because like if you just I

02:36:20 ◼   ► Would have more confidence in epic if you if they ran their store better if they ran their store the way they wanted Apple to

02:36:26 ◼   ► There are still ongoing lawsuits including Carlton from the Fresh Prince of Bel-Air

02:36:31 ◼   ► Over epic take because epic said that they want to they want to get rid of the intermediation they want to let game creators sell

02:36:38 ◼   ► Directly to other gamers they want to make sure that the people who do the work get the money

02:36:41 ◼   ► but at the same time they're famously being sued for taking other people's stuff and

02:36:46 ◼   ► Selling it as like emotes and other things in the epic store and giving the creators zero money

02:36:51 ◼   ► They are their behavior is more egregious than Apple in many of these circumstances well

02:36:57 ◼   ► it well and it ties into with the Xbox game pass where there's the mature way to do it in the immature way and

02:37:03 ◼   ► Yes, sneaking this thing in as a Trojan horse is immature

02:37:07 ◼   ► It's good for me and you because it's a lot more fun to comment about

02:37:11 ◼   ► You know podcaster and a youtuber and a writer

02:37:15 ◼   ► But it is clearly on its face a lot more childish behavior in terms of Xbox

02:37:22 ◼   ► you know, it's not like Xbox had a halo game for iOS and then it got approved and then

02:37:28 ◼   ► through an over-the-air update to the app turned the halo game into Microsoft game pass and there's a hundred games inside and

02:37:35 ◼   ► What are you gonna do now Apple right which would have been exactly analogous, you know, it's I think

02:37:40 ◼   ► Yeah, no and every like Netflix. I wasn't aware of this until I saw it yesterday

02:37:45 ◼   ► but Netflix is being scrutinized because of the way that they

02:37:48 ◼   ► People are actually saying that Netflix has a monopoly over Netflix content and aren't on

02:37:52 ◼   ► Don't deal well with other creators and demand all the rights and and the same arguments are going on there

02:37:58 ◼   ► We and I think there's just an upsell up swell of independence and creator ownership

02:38:03 ◼   ► That is surging and I just want to be real clear that epic does not represent any of that

02:38:08 ◼   ► So like I want the app store to change. I think the app store has to change

02:38:12 ◼   ► I think there's a whole conversation about what what the app stores can do to be better for indie developers

02:38:17 ◼   ► This isn't that at all. Yeah. Yeah, it's just some it's some very interesting striking and very, you know

02:38:25 ◼   ► similarities because Xbox and

02:38:27 ◼   ► Fortnight are all about games and the hay thing is interesting because it's not even Spotify where they have to pay artists

02:38:32 ◼   ► Like it's not like epic is literally refusing to pay the people whose money they're making me

02:38:36 ◼   ► It's an argument over who gets to keep all of the profits from casino like businesses. Yeah. Yeah. All right, Renee

02:38:43 ◼   ► That's that call it a wrap. I mean, we've got plenty more to go an episode short episode. It's short year

02:38:50 ◼   ► Everybody can of course find your fine work at YouTube

02:38:56 ◼   ► YouTube.com slash Renee Ritchie, right? Yes the channel you've got you broke a

02:39:02 ◼   ► What'd you break on the subscribers? I know you hundred thousand hundred thousand subscribers. We can make it a hundred and one thousand if everybody here

02:39:11 ◼   ► Subscribes you're doing great work there. I don't know how the hell you make so many videos a week

02:39:15 ◼   ► I say it every time you're on but keep it up. You're doing good work

02:39:18 ◼   ► And of course on Twitter same handle Renee Ritchie

02:39:22 ◼   ► Keep up with you there

02:39:25 ◼   ► my thanks to our sponsors

02:39:27 ◼   ► backwards order Raycon wireless earbuds feels CBD

02:39:31 ◼   ► Delivered right to your door and of course Squarespace make a new website

02:39:35 ◼   ► Talk to you soon Renee. Thank you, John

02:39:39 ◼   ► [ Silence ]