34: I Don`t Want To Put Down My Drink
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what a week it's been a really crazy one for a number of reasons so did just
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before we came on the air here there's an announcement from the mailbox guys
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yes is so this is a breaking news I'm a never know how to handle that on the
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show because it's a weekly show but the mailbox guys are joining Dropbox yes so
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of course I should mention that was an investor in in mailbox and I know you
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and I both tested it before it came out and I think I know you and I had
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differing opinions on that you know you you wrote about some viewers few weeks
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ago I guess talking about how it didn't really work into your workflow mainly I
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think you know you made a lot of good points I think but mainly cuz you don't
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use Gmail primarily right right we have more or less I use Gmail in a weird way
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and it didn't fit with Mel by then it was one of the neatest email I still I
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really you know my compliments for sincere I think it's a great app just
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what it implies a certain way of doing email that didn't fit with the way I use
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all my other clients yeah I think there was a big part and will be will remain a
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big part of my life because of course are not shutting it down this is going
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to remain a product under the Dropbox brand but a big part of it was kind of
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letting go of the way that you did previously do email and I think that's
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why the people who had a hard time getting into it I talked to a number of
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them of course and once some of those people were able to just like totally
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let go of their previous ways that they were doing email and almost Lake archive
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everything and then just wait for new stuff to come in and then keep archiving
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in Turkey pushing it then they sort of got into it and and I sort of I got into
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it immediately because I had actually done that by myself before mailbox even
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existed I just decided well you know email was getting way out of control I
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just said the archive everything and then I was starting kind of fresh and
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then I would
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buxton exists I would almost at the end of every week and on the weekend go
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through all my email that came in and just go through it as quickly as
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possible and then archived in anything I didn't need and then respond to anything
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I needed to this just let me to do it in a much more simple way on the iPhone
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itself now it's a I think it's a really interesting way to do email on a small
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screen device and the other thing now one of the reasons I think it works so
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well and and what they're almost infamous for is that to use the app
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you've got a sign up and you gotta wait for your turn in people crack a lot of
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jokes about how long it's taking for people to get let in but it's not like
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just an arbitrary we're trying to be exclusive to be cool it's because
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there's a server-side component and this is part of what makes it work so well is
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you you give your Gmail credentials to mailbox and they check your mail from
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them right right and an appt interfaces with them and so it makes it way more
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efficient yeah and I think they really did nail that you know if they were
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really worried about rolling out too quickly that this would crash and bring
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the whole thing so I think you know it really was a necessity that they did
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that the system that they that they made and I think it's a pretty ingenious
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system I know a lot of people are upset just because the way it has been so long
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you still have been letting everyone even now but yet was totally out of
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necessity and they worked a lot on the back end of that system to make it all
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work as seamlessly as it doesn't really doesn't mean I ain't no use it to on my
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iPad is done both iPods the big one and the many even though it's of course not
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tailored specifically for those but it's great how justice is constantly in sync
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between all of them and it's great that you can also use it with regular Gmail
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when you're on your desktop because they do a smart things with folders within
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Gmail so they have you know mailbox / later / weekend and all the different
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labeling system so it was a really smart way that they went about doing it
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obvious here is a huge fan of the product and I will remain a huge fan I
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think that the Dropbox deal is very smart from drop boxes perspective you
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know you think about what dropbox is there now moving
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towards it looks like becoming sort of a cloud based OS in their own right
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yeah and the Dropbox there's a couple of things on a totally funny coincidence
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that you're the guest on the show this weekend that you're you know the mailbox
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Kaiser Investor because this literally broke like an hour ago
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yeah but what you know clearly one of the things the Dropbox com everybody
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knows is that good they could obviously bring them expertise with scaling
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large amounts of information large amounts of concurrency huge number of
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users and a terrific almost you know maybe unparalleled reputation for
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reliability yeah and it's so I think I think tropics they've over a hundred
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million users something like that a god knows how many files they're actually
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working with but I think the mailbox guys you know I think they realize that
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they had a huge hit on their hands but I think also they knew that in order for
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this to to keep working as well as it has been working there needs to be a
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need to really get to scale pretty quickly as a number of other people I
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soon will be coming after them you know who knows what would Google is doing
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itself with Gmail and this this gets them right to where they need to be in
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in in a Dropbox now all the sudden how do I do a lot of people still send still
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send attachments it's over email and so they can a perfect system to do that now
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so let me let me pressure a little bit though as an investor isn't this a
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little early for somebody to sell you know it is it is pretty quick we've
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we've had this happen a number of times now you know the last hit example is the
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kind of video the quick video sharing service that that's what are acquired
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actually before they launched and that's going to be a record that might be hard
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to you know the good news is that that I think you know
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fine or a General Partner at his is doing a good job of picking some
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services that are pretty compelling in and end up being a good things the
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downside is you know it's it is a little bit bittersweet to see these things you
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know just be taken under someone else's wing so quickly after they launched her
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like mine before they launched you know because you always want to see a startup
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try to do it by themselves see what skills they can get to see if they can
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become you know the next giant company on their own and I think that's why you
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know they think that's why every investor kind of makes their initial
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investment to begin with you know of course they're great outcomes and then
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that's you know that's the way that it works but I think that you don't make an
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initial investment hoping that someone's going to sell the company within six
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months because he would be an awful overall investor if you did that well
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and why you say it's bittersweet the big difference between both of those
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acquisitions and a lot of the acquisitions that I've had my eye on in
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the last couple of years which is it's not the they're both fine was acquired
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and so they could launch fine and divine invite is what was meant to be and
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mailbox like we said is continued no dropouts bought it so they can continue
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doing it this isn't those one of those talent acquisitions were right the bear
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company takes the product in but all they really wanted was the team and the
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product immediately goes into shutdown mode I mean perfect a perfect parallel
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cuz it's also was a popular iOS Mac email client was pero of course right
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and now and right that's that's sort of I don't want to say that sort of the
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nightmare scenario that that you kinda dread but I think that by all accounts
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that's not been the greatest exit and I don't know I don't know from an insider
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perspective would not invest on that or anything I just think that you know that
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that was a pure aqua higher the product is still working but they said to
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immediately right after you know that they're basically gonna stop developing
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for it or they're going to open source some of it I think they said yeah
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but you know yet who talks about the barrel right and so that yes you're
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right that is like the worst case scenario where that happens quite often
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and it's great that both vine in their mailbox are going to live on and you
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know I think I think we're already seeing that one finds case there were
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some numbers earlier this week that they're getting to a scale that's that's
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really impressive pretty quickly and that's something that Twitter enables
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you know who knows if they would've been able to do that on their own you'd like
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to think that they could have done that on their own but you know I think that I
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think there's no question that Twitter gets them to a place that they want to
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be faster than they could possibly do it if they if they remained independent I I
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would also again I'm not trying to put on the spot and have you reveal things
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to do not ready to reveal but in addition to scaling dropbox is doing
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really well financially might help the mailbox team expand a little bit so that
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they can get to i mean i think what's obviously you know would be coming next
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would be an iPad native client and maybe even a Mac client sure yeah I mean I
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think that everyone has been clamoring for those since since I started using
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the the iPhone version something to you said that if they had a Mac line might
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even that would make it sort of interesting to you because then you
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could use it more seamlessly with your workflow right because it seems that's
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the gist of Michael
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not named in a complaint just an observation with the workbook as I know
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a lot of people when they're on your Mac when they do email there in a browser on
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gmail.com and if that's how you do e-mail I think mailbox on your iPhone is
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a no brainer but it's really something you should look at but i dont I use
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Apple Mail I really don't like the Gmail interface and so I used Gmail back email
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addresses but primarily just as IMAP with really good spam filtering yeah
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yeah I got I got that and you know I do use Gmail on the web
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actually I only use its basically for search and it kinda look at things
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quickly as a coming into a day when I respond to email before mailbox used to
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be I would just use the iPad with with the Logitech Keyboard because it's so
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much faster than trying to use the web based email
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so I don't know you know but but you know if I could use mailbox everywhere
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it would be a bit would make a big difference you know that's really the
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bottom of my complaint but I am excited about this this does seem like it seems
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like good news overall yeah I think it's it's it's two great companies that will
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only help box and it gets to the point where they need to be with all these
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different clients and Dropbox seems you know i mean you never know but Dropbox
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really does seem from the outside 22 almost like Twitter they're they're
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determined to stay independent like you know you never say never but it doesn't
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seem my dropbox is interested in selling right we had of course there are the
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rumors are talked a long time ago about that the meeting with Steve Jobs between
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you know sort of trying to bully them into into selling or what not and yeah I
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mean they've raised a huge amount of money and I think that they have I think
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that they're making a huge amount of money I don't know I'm not privy to
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their to their actual finances but yeah I think that they'll be fine staying
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independent and I think that's the plan so that's great lots of other news this
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week but we have a couple of sponsors this week so let me let me do one right
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now I'm gonna tell you about things and things clouds think everybody knows
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things things have been a popular Mac and iOS to do
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system for a couple of years but the big news thing that they've launched fairly
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recently as things clouds and it was in the works for a while almost was
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notorious for you know hey when you guys gonna get sink but it's out now and it
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really does work great and so if you use things on your Mac and on your iPhone
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you login with things clouds sink and it all just works now part of the thing
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that makes it great that they develop their own system rather than waiting for
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say Apple is all of the problems a lot of people are having with iCloud sync
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and core data you know most notorious we could almost do a whole show on
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they're not using it and I think it shows as their sink works instantly and
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they also have a really cool feature and this would never happen through iCloud
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but one of the things they have with things cloud is what they call local
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push and 11 device sends an update to the cloud also broadcasts and encrypted
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notification over the local network telling other clients that are logged in
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at the same time in the same account I got that say in your little on your home
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wi-fi network that they should check for updates now and so when you try this out
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and I did it it's almost bizarre it's like you type something on your Mac and
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you have your iPhone open and it it's almost like you're typing on your iPhone
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from your Mac you hit return and there it shows up really really great other
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notable features they've got they've got integration with Siri so you can speaker
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to do is directly into things they have a new daily review feature that
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streamlines your daily decision-making sort of take a look at your hope I love
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to do is when am I gonna do today and they have a new custom-designed
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scrolling datepicker really really nice UI much I think they really have sort of
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build something better than a standard for picking dates to assign data to your
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to do's so check out things to give it a spin but you've really gotta think about
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the cloud sync it to understand just how great the system and they have right now
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is checking out at cultured code dot com see ult you are ed CEO de dot com in my
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thanks to them for sponsoring the show this week it's interesting that things
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was was one of your sponsors you know that going to check mailbox for a second
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their original product was orchestra which was also had to do a to do list
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just never really I think was was pretty interesting they were doing before
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series instead they were doing some of the
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the voice techniques to kind you know just be able to hit a button and speak
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your to do list yet just never really took off in in the same way that some of
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those are there to do is have yeah I feel like they the end and the orchestra
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thing was sort of a everybody's using their inboxes a to-do list is there a
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way that we can go with that and then something and I remember looking at it
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and thinking interesting but didn't quite click right but it's it's it's
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gonna end up being you know it already is one of those fascinating stories
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where what they were doing early on where it while it didn't quite click
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really did lead to the idea of what mailbox was because when you look at the
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mailbox is basically is why I think that they realize the the notion of your
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email inbox is a to-do list that someone else makes for you so why don't we just
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kind of take that to the next you know logical step in making an actual sort of
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to-do list pushed up off to do later to bring back that kind of stuff yeah it's
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an it's an interesting way of not staying too attached to your first idea
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letting it take you to the next new idea don't stay too attached so what else
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would you want to do next about the shoulder interviews sure so on the eve I
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could guess it was actually two days before but it's so that the articles
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would hit the day before the galaxy s4 launch Phil Schiller did two interviews
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with one with the wall street journal one with the writers are we sure there
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were only two also cause I know both you and I didn't see that Reuters want to
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begin with I think we all know neither now and I think it hit later
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you know maybe it was conducted later to and why Reuters went to a Reuters like I
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don't know I it's all a little little knew I don't know curious yeah I don't
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think either really went well at least it didn't play out I think the way that
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Apple wanted to go ahead and I do think and you know I think you'd you're a
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little bit more
[TS]
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this was a mistake when I am I don't put words but I just say the headlines the
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00:16:49
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headline in the wall street journal was in rare move Apple goes on the defensive
[TS]
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against Samsung that's clearly not what Apple you know was going for flight by
[TS]
00:17:00
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speaking if anything they would want the opposite write a program the offices
[TS]
00:17:04
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exactly well and that's what Reuters headline was Reuters headline is Apple's
[TS]
00:17:09
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schiller blasts Android comma Samsung on galaxies Eve so at least thats I think
[TS]
00:17:15
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the headline that Apple was going for ya yeah I i assume with the reuters saying
[TS]
00:17:21
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the only the only sense I can make it is that they knew that this was going to be
[TS]
00:17:27
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sort of a huge press events I think one of the first ones that Samsung has done
[TS]
00:17:32
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in the United States true for these types of things and so with Reuters they
[TS]
00:17:36
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wanted to get the the biggest widest mainstream media reaches possible and
[TS]
00:17:41
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same with Wall Street Journal and also for a little bit more from the business
[TS]
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perspective I imagined but it's still don't know I do think it was a mistake
[TS]
00:17:52
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for them to do that just because you know in hindsight of course the the Wall
[TS]
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Street Journal headline is is bad for them but I also just think I don't know
[TS]
00:18:00
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I don't think that they needed to do it like what's the benefit of doing it
[TS]
00:18:03
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versus versus not saying anything you know what ended up happening is that you
[TS]
00:18:10
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know same sort of I think everyone would agree shot themselves in the foot with
[TS]
00:18:14
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that with that kind of weird presentation and so if Apple had said
[TS]
00:18:17
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noting it would be you know the same outcome I think I know I just don't see
[TS]
00:18:21
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what what the major benefit was of of shelter trying to talk to these guys I
[TS]
00:18:26
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called it an unforced error because schiller had one technical Aaron and his
[TS]
00:18:31
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writers interview where he based on rumors said that god she was gonna
[TS]
00:18:36
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launched with a year old operating system which I write meant for Android
[TS]
00:18:39
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4.1 right which shipped in July but it doesn't it's actually on the latest it's
[TS]
00:18:45
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the first Android phone I can ever remember that other than a nexus that
[TS]
00:18:49
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shit that shipped with the law currently latest version of
[TS]
00:18:53
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Android which is four point to which is from November yeah I just assume that
[TS]
00:18:57
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everyone thought they were there wouldn't be possible given their they
[TS]
00:19:00
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have to redesign or whatever
[TS]
00:19:03
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TouchWiz they're they're awful interface on top of it I don't think they call it
[TS]
00:19:07
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that they didn't mention it I watched the whole presentation and i dont i dont
[TS]
00:19:11
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remember that the word TouchWiz even showed up I think that they're just
[TS]
00:19:14
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calling it got you know galaxy
[TS]
00:19:17
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well that's that's smart that's what they should do if they want to break
[TS]
00:19:20
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away you know it seems like all indications are they are sort of
[TS]
00:19:23
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creating their own brand around these galaxy phones not mentioning Android
[TS]
00:19:28
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mentioning it as little as possible and touch with you just so it's good to do
[TS]
00:19:34
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Galaxy think but yeah I'm kind of coming around TI mine I thought that was the
[TS]
00:19:40
◼
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only error the children made his shoulder said that now you can pick on
[TS]
00:19:43
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something that he said and say no that's not even true and and it was risky I
[TS]
00:19:47
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think he obviously didn't know I thought maybe he had some intel on it and knew
[TS]
00:19:53
◼
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and and attributed it to rumors that he is gonna be your own operating system
[TS]
00:19:57
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but that the only way he would have said it publicly as if he somehow knew like a
[TS]
00:20:02
◼
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source at a carrier like that but you know and that's not even true but maybe
[TS]
00:20:08
◼
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why do you think he did it why do you think that that he's going forward see
[TS]
00:20:13
◼
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going forward by saying anything it just doesn't seem like the the the Apple we
[TS]
00:20:17
◼
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all know well usually what they do is if they want to take a little air out of
[TS]
00:20:24
◼
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and certainly not unique to Apple but you know everybody kind of places game
[TS]
00:20:29
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that if one of your opponents competitors it's a is gonna is on the
[TS]
00:20:33
◼
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cusp of the big announcement do something right before it take a little
[TS]
00:20:37
◼
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air out distract a little bit from it so Apple with Apple would usually do is can
[TS]
00:20:44
◼
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off the top of my head and think of it but announced some sort of minor update
[TS]
00:20:47
◼
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you know you know like 10.83 but something for the iPhone I don't know
[TS]
00:20:53
◼
►
minor update to something speed bumps to the MacBook Airs I don't know have
[TS]
00:20:59
◼
►
something to announce the day after the day before just to get take some of the
[TS]
00:21:03
◼
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top spots at Tech Neiman and the equivalent right but not say anything
[TS]
00:21:08
◼
►
just announced a product and let you think well maybe it's a coincidence
[TS]
00:21:12
◼
►
could be you know and I get I don't know maybe it's that they had nothing to
[TS]
00:21:17
◼
►
release and still wanted to somehow insert themselves into the news this
[TS]
00:21:24
◼
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yeah that I mean that strikes me as as the right as the right thought if there
[TS]
00:21:29
◼
►
is anything if there is any strategic thinking here it it probably is the fact
[TS]
00:21:34
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that they they do usually do some sort of incremental update stuff right before
[TS]
00:21:39
◼
►
and they may just not everything because we're in this this very extended weird
[TS]
00:21:44
◼
►
law of of know of no real product updates because that's so many at the
[TS]
00:21:49
◼
►
end of last year and the other thing and it's loose it's not I can't I can't make
[TS]
00:21:54
◼
►
it completely logical cohesive argument for it but I think it's loosely related
[TS]
00:21:59
◼
►
to the stuff that I've been writing about lately about just the plain
[TS]
00:22:04
◼
►
bullshit that a lot of the business press has been writing you know like
[TS]
00:22:09
◼
►
this that the Reuters interview in the second paragraph 40 wrote a whole piece
[TS]
00:22:12
◼
►
last night about this this paragraph which is the second paragraph in his
[TS]
00:22:18
◼
►
story which is pretty important marketing Chiefs rare attack on arrival
[TS]
00:22:22
◼
►
on the eve of the galaxy s4 is global premiere in New York underscores the
[TS]
00:22:27
◼
►
extent of the pressure piled upon a company that once stood the undisputed
[TS]
00:22:32
◼
►
leader of the smart phone or smartphone arena comma so far so good right there
[TS]
00:22:37
◼
►
is more pressure on Apple Cazares longer undisputed and then the rest of the
[TS]
00:22:42
◼
►
cause the rest of the sentences but ceded its crown to Samsung in 2012 and
[TS]
00:22:47
◼
►
that's just again this is a news this is what you know it boggles my mind because
[TS]
00:22:51
◼
►
I mean I honestly could maybe to skip the whole article I wrote and just point
[TS]
00:22:55
◼
►
out that Apple had seventy percent of the profit and the industry last year
[TS]
00:23:00
◼
►
and Samsung you know had 32 of it you know so they're both doing really well
[TS]
00:23:05
◼
►
it's an amazing statistic that two companies have the entirety of the
[TS]
00:23:10
◼
►
profits of the industry
[TS]
00:23:11
◼
►
and that all the other companies combined are losing money maker Samsung
[TS]
00:23:15
◼
►
and Apple share out over a hundred that's pretty amazing I think that it's
[TS]
00:23:21
◼
►
sort of if I had to guess why these stories keep happening I think you're I
[TS]
00:23:25
◼
►
think you're exactly right and I said this in a in a much more subtle way I'm
[TS]
00:23:29
◼
►
even tweeted about a few months ago where it's just at the tech press is
[TS]
00:23:32
◼
►
more or less bored because they've written the same thing that Apple is
[TS]
00:23:35
◼
►
winning Apple you know like like oh my god how much money as well making all
[TS]
00:23:39
◼
►
that over and over again and so the only reason you know it's almost like
[TS]
00:23:42
◼
►
blogging journalism 101 you you build something up to knock it down later and
[TS]
00:23:47
◼
►
there's no way to really knock Apple down other than to say the market share
[TS]
00:23:51
◼
►
thing right i mean there's and it's like it is sort of a silly metric when you
[TS]
00:23:55
◼
►
think about it as compared to the profit thing because what matters at the end of
[TS]
00:24:00
◼
►
the day in how healthy accompanied is does is not the market share even though
[TS]
00:24:04
◼
►
it seems like it should be correlated to the to the actual profit into the
[TS]
00:24:09
◼
►
revenue it's actually not and so it doesn't make a lot of sense and so some
[TS]
00:24:14
◼
►
of these guys maybe thinking still along the lines of you know the Wintel days
[TS]
00:24:19
◼
►
and so eventually Samsung with this huge market share will just turn a few screws
[TS]
00:24:24
◼
►
and really kinda Dr apple into the ground and then the Prophet you know
[TS]
00:24:29
◼
►
we'll just have a parade overnight because because of that and I think
[TS]
00:24:32
◼
►
that's ridiculous
[TS]
00:24:34
◼
►
the only way you could argue that that wasn't ridiculous as if somehow the
[TS]
00:24:39
◼
►
carrier subsidy model changes in the United States or if worldwide that
[TS]
00:24:46
◼
►
market become so much more important and if Apple doesn't do anything to kind of
[TS]
00:24:49
◼
►
come out to more strongly meet some of the the Android competition in places
[TS]
00:24:55
◼
►
like India and China I think that's the only way you could make the argument
[TS]
00:24:59
◼
►
that the market share stuff does matter but it doesn't seem like any of that
[TS]
00:25:03
◼
►
stuff is changing now and one of the points I have made in the past is that
[TS]
00:25:07
◼
►
you can keep to gain market share and and maybe cheating isn't quite the right
[TS]
00:25:11
◼
►
word but you get what you can do is do unsustainable take unsustainable actions
[TS]
00:25:18
◼
►
like charge for a thing below cost
[TS]
00:25:21
◼
►
you know and eventually though you've got to figure out a way to to turn to
[TS]
00:25:27
◼
►
make money on it you know famously likened the console business of video
[TS]
00:25:32
◼
►
games like everybody knew that when the new Xbox 360 came out and Microsoft is
[TS]
00:25:38
◼
►
losing money on each unit sold right and there was a way of gaining market share
[TS]
00:25:43
◼
►
but you there's really no way to cydia cheap to gain profits right so somebody
[TS]
00:25:50
◼
►
could sell phones it costs and gain market share but they can't self there's
[TS]
00:25:55
◼
►
no way to cheat game profit share profit shares them more accurate measure
[TS]
00:25:58
◼
►
especially over a long period of time right so I just sent you a link from
[TS]
00:26:04
◼
►
Benedict
[TS]
00:26:07
◼
►
you know Twitter DMS just so great how how wonderfully fast it is it's it's a
[TS]
00:26:13
◼
►
chart from Benedict Evans are a couple of charge but it's the bottom line that
[TS]
00:26:16
◼
►
to me is more interesting where he compares two units sold revenue and
[TS]
00:26:23
◼
►
operating profits of three entities Apple Samsung and all others in this is
[TS]
00:26:29
◼
►
the global handset market share and I'll put it in the shellings cause I think
[TS]
00:26:35
◼
►
that this chart says a lot and what you see is in terms of units other has like
[TS]
00:26:42
◼
►
60 percent right Apple has only ten percent real small and Samsung has
[TS]
00:26:48
◼
►
somewhere around twenty to thirty percent then in revenue other only has
[TS]
00:26:55
◼
►
about 30 and Samsung has about 30 and Apple has about 40 but it's close to a
[TS]
00:27:02
◼
►
sort of three way tie in revenue but then you look at profits and it's the
[TS]
00:27:07
◼
►
complete inverse of the first one it's it's really kind of symmetric where
[TS]
00:27:12
◼
►
other has almost nothing
[TS]
00:27:17
◼
►
son has about 30 and Apple has like 70 and I feel like so one of the things
[TS]
00:27:24
◼
►
there is I feel like lazy thinkers who really do think that market share
[TS]
00:27:29
◼
►
equates to profit share and revenue share they understand Samsung because
[TS]
00:27:35
◼
►
Samsung is right around 30 each way they saw about 30 percent of the phones make
[TS]
00:27:39
◼
►
about thirty percent of the revenue and make about thirty percent of the profit
[TS]
00:27:42
◼
►
in the industry and that everybody thinks without a normal business and
[TS]
00:27:47
◼
►
then there's apple juice all over the you know who the complete Denver's they
[TS]
00:27:51
◼
►
only sell 10% of the phones but they get about thirty forty percent of the
[TS]
00:27:55
◼
►
revenue but they make seventy percent of the profit and it just doesn't it just
[TS]
00:27:59
◼
►
doesn't register in people's minds as possible and so they think it's
[TS]
00:28:03
◼
►
unsustainable and you know you know the the other side of this that people have
[TS]
00:28:07
◼
►
been railing on for a few years now is that win someone else
[TS]
00:28:12
◼
►
dominates the market share and in this case now Samsung and Android overall
[TS]
00:28:19
◼
►
that developers will just flock to them and that's not sustainable for Apple
[TS]
00:28:23
◼
►
because people will just go for you know that the huge quantity of numbers
[TS]
00:28:29
◼
►
developers will go for where the market is and the problem there as you know as
[TS]
00:28:34
◼
►
well as I do is that while yes there is some legitimacy to that argument you're
[TS]
00:28:39
◼
►
already seeing you know you see more developers go more quickly to injury
[TS]
00:28:43
◼
►
they're still doing primarily I was first mailbox being a great example of
[TS]
00:28:46
◼
►
that because if you do want to do something that's an actual business and
[TS]
00:28:50
◼
►
you're making money off of it you know whether or not necessarily a
[TS]
00:28:55
◼
►
venture-backed business even but if you're trying to do just a small shop in
[TS]
00:28:58
◼
►
your making your own your own apps that you intend to sell it still you know so
[TS]
00:29:02
◼
►
much better to do that within the iOS ecosystem that it is within Android and
[TS]
00:29:07
◼
►
so that plays against the market share argument as well
[TS]
00:29:11
◼
►
totally and another affiliate to so many facets here but it's not that hard to
[TS]
00:29:18
◼
►
understand it and other one is the idea if you value market share above all else
[TS]
00:29:22
◼
►
then you're assuming that one user is as good as another or almost that they're
[TS]
00:29:28
◼
►
roughly equivalent and they're not it's really nice especially in the phone
[TS]
00:29:33
◼
►
market it really is not true and that's why and I again I wrote this on a branch
[TS]
00:29:39
◼
►
a while back but people don't want to say it because by saying that somebody's
[TS]
00:29:43
◼
►
a better customer then another right they feel like they're coming
[TS]
00:29:48
◼
►
dangerously close to saying they're better person than another
[TS]
00:29:51
◼
►
that's not what I mean at all like a person an individual who just goes into
[TS]
00:29:55
◼
►
a Verizon store and says just wanna do I want a new phone and gets talked into an
[TS]
00:30:00
◼
►
Android in a droid whatever and just uses it to make phone calls and answer
[TS]
00:30:05
◼
►
texts which is which by the way it's up to you because this is exactly the story
[TS]
00:30:12
◼
►
of my father when I went to go visit him over Thanksgiving holidays there in
[TS]
00:30:16
◼
►
florida my parents he he pulls up the phone and I'm like oh you finally got a
[TS]
00:30:21
◼
►
new phone or whatever for all these years he has this Android phone I forget
[TS]
00:30:26
◼
►
what it was I tweeted about it because it was the funniest thing he just says
[TS]
00:30:29
◼
►
like I hate this fucking piece of shit is he just says always like all I wanna
[TS]
00:30:33
◼
►
do is make a phone call on this so they gave me this phone because I picked this
[TS]
00:30:37
◼
►
phone because it was the free one that Verizon was pushing it me you know and
[TS]
00:30:41
◼
►
he happen to know of course he follows me is like I knew that in an iPhone was
[TS]
00:30:45
◼
►
on the verge of being launched you know when he's so we got it in in september
[TS]
00:30:50
◼
►
or something like that so I knew the new iPhones I didn't want to get that one
[TS]
00:30:53
◼
►
even though you know I probably happy would have gotten oh what a big fan you
[TS]
00:30:56
◼
►
are of it but this was just the free one inside said yes sure why not and so they
[TS]
00:31:00
◼
►
give this means like got it's got all this crap on it I don't know their stuff
[TS]
00:31:03
◼
►
that's preloaded all I wanna do is make a phone call and they make it so hard to
[TS]
00:31:07
◼
►
do that so my dad is a perfect example of that
[TS]
00:31:10
◼
►
absolutely i mean that's canonical and now he's probably not using it to browse
[TS]
00:31:14
◼
►
the web no serious he's not installing apps on it and so yes it counts towards
[TS]
00:31:20
◼
►
Android market share but it also counts
[TS]
00:31:23
◼
►
away from these bizarre seemingly bizarre statistics that show that iPhone
[TS]
00:31:28
◼
►
users by way more apps download way more free apps browse the web more all of
[TS]
00:31:35
◼
►
these usage statistics that show that iPhone users use their phones more than
[TS]
00:31:39
◼
►
Android makes them it's because they're better customers they're people who knew
[TS]
00:31:43
◼
►
what they wanted and the people who knew what they wanted to make a choice are
[TS]
00:31:47
◼
►
more likely to choose an iPhone and they're better customers insofar as
[TS]
00:31:51
◼
►
they're more willing to spend money because they had to spend money or or I
[TS]
00:31:55
◼
►
get you can get a free iPhone now but I run users disproportionately by the
[TS]
00:32:00
◼
►
highest end model the best selling iPhone isn't the free one it's the
[TS]
00:32:04
◼
►
iPhone 5 and it last year the best selling iPhone was the 40 S
[TS]
00:32:09
◼
►
the top selling one which is more expensive sells more units than the $99
[TS]
00:32:16
◼
►
1 from a year ago in the free one from two years ago and the $99 1 sells more
[TS]
00:32:20
◼
►
units than any other phone made by anyone else right right it's the top two
[TS]
00:32:25
◼
►
are always its iPhone 5 in an iphone4s and then it's wanted I think the Galaxy
[TS]
00:32:29
◼
►
III s3 I think was the latest stats and what the top actual smartphones worry me
[TS]
00:32:35
◼
►
and then I don't know I don't want to say that I we should look it up in may
[TS]
00:32:39
◼
►
have been that the iPhone was a top three top-selling ones maybe not but it
[TS]
00:32:43
◼
►
was closed and I think that all three are in the top five at least in the
[TS]
00:32:46
◼
►
united states right again
[TS]
00:32:48
◼
►
worldwide it only accounts to apples for all iPhones only account for 10% of all
[TS]
00:32:54
◼
►
phones that just shows though how long the tail is of how many phones are out
[TS]
00:33:00
◼
►
there right that there's so many gazillion phones on the market that you
[TS]
00:33:05
◼
►
know that have you know 2002 attended the market and so Google accounts the
[TS]
00:33:11
◼
►
ones that access to Google Play Store right in their statistics for the
[TS]
00:33:13
◼
►
breakdown of the OS stuff but there's that I think those other guys count all
[TS]
00:33:17
◼
►
different kinds of things to people who do the surveys and stuff like that and
[TS]
00:33:20
◼
►
someone had the great the great way of putting an extra kid who this was but
[TS]
00:33:25
◼
►
basically it's almost like some of those Android phones out there are are the
[TS]
00:33:29
◼
►
equivalent of dark matter where they're out there and you know they're out there
[TS]
00:33:32
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and they're small little signals that indicate you can infer that the
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00:33:36
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out there but there's no real drag signals caused the people aren't using
[TS]
00:33:39
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them in a way that you can measure directly I totally agree and I think you
[TS]
00:33:44
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know a big example of that is a lot of the ones in China which are you know
[TS]
00:33:48
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none of them I think I don't think very few of them are hooked up with the
[TS]
00:33:53
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regular Google Play Gmail Google Maps set of apps that Google wants Android
[TS]
00:34:00
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phones to be using their all set up with the Chinese equivalents by do you know
[TS]
00:34:07
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whatever map service they have over there so how long do you think until
[TS]
00:34:11
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Samsung moves away from the that that stack the Google stack you know we
[TS]
00:34:16
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already got the news yesterday I think one of the same one of the now three
[TS]
00:34:20
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Sampson CEO's gave a interview with someone saying that their their first
[TS]
00:34:25
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tyson that a pronounced it ties in phone is coming later this year right so
[TS]
00:34:30
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that's their own operating system at the co-developed with Intel and some others
[TS]
00:34:33
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how long do you think Samsung remains loyal to Google's actual stack I think
[TS]
00:34:42
◼
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not much longer although I would say I honestly I know that they're talking
[TS]
00:34:46
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about tyson but and this is to me is just going on a complete hunch but
[TS]
00:34:51
◼
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whenever I hear about a new OS from a company that's never shipped a computer
[TS]
00:34:56
◼
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operating system before I automatically assume it is never gonna get the hit the
[TS]
00:35:01
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light of day because it's just so hard and there's so few companies who have
[TS]
00:35:06
◼
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ever successfully launched an operating system i mean I would right now there's
[TS]
00:35:11
◼
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only three I think that are in business there's apple there's microsoft and now
[TS]
00:35:15
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Google and to their credit you know Android was new and you know they did
[TS]
00:35:21
◼
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they did something very very difficult but they pulled it off it took awhile
[TS]
00:35:29
◼
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for them to do it right and we're pretty bad I presume that ties in his never
[TS]
00:35:34
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really gonna hit and even if they launched a phone that it's not going to
[TS]
00:35:37
◼
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take off I think what's more likely is that they pull on Amazon and fork
[TS]
00:35:43
◼
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Android I totally agree and the reason for that and do their own store ship
[TS]
00:35:48
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with the
[TS]
00:35:48
◼
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own Samsung bargouti they probably thought the Galaxy store and you know
[TS]
00:35:53
◼
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have developers to submit their Android apps to the Galaxy store do their own
[TS]
00:35:58
◼
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books and music and stuff like that but the reason I think that's more likely
[TS]
00:36:05
◼
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than tyson taking off is that I think will be so much easier to get developers
[TS]
00:36:10
◼
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on board because just like with Amazon you don't have to recompile your app I
[TS]
00:36:15
◼
►
am I saying there's no technical differences and that is not a pain in
[TS]
00:36:19
◼
►
the ass to be an Android developer and have to deal with certain differences
[TS]
00:36:23
◼
►
between developing for the Kindle Fire age the and you know I don't have the
[TS]
00:36:29
◼
►
Nexus 7 or something like that and going through there might be some sure there's
[TS]
00:36:34
◼
►
some technical differences but for the most part though you write your apt one
[TS]
00:36:37
◼
►
of the Android API you say bro go to API level 15 you know it's equates to jelly
[TS]
00:36:44
◼
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bean or something like that and it should work on any of these Android
[TS]
00:36:49
◼
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platforms but I think that's more likely than than tyson taking off because
[TS]
00:36:54
◼
►
presumably with Tyson they would either have to have it on new API get
[TS]
00:36:58
◼
►
developers to totally rewrite their apps or do something like have an Android
[TS]
00:37:03
◼
►
emulation layer at which point you're already gonna have that you have a
[TS]
00:37:06
◼
►
massive performance problem on mobile and why not just stick with Android at
[TS]
00:37:13
◼
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that point yet and I i think you're exactly right there because I also think
[TS]
00:37:17
◼
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like the only way that that works at tyson will work would be if samsung said
[TS]
00:37:22
◼
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look we're only doing ties and we're gonna we're gonna cut off Android I'm
[TS]
00:37:25
◼
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gonna cut off Windows Mobile because then then we go back to the market sure
[TS]
00:37:30
◼
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thing where it's like the scale of Samsung would still make it interesting
[TS]
00:37:33
◼
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to some developers but if they're going to keep doing Android and that's the
[TS]
00:37:38
◼
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majority of their scale why would any developer can to waste their resources
[TS]
00:37:42
◼
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their limited resources that they already have chosen so that probably
[TS]
00:37:46
◼
►
tyson's twofold actually one is actually shipping it getting it to the point
[TS]
00:37:50
◼
►
where it gets complete enough to say this is a disc is a reasonable modern
[TS]
00:37:55
◼
►
mobile OS with an API for developers and everything else you need
[TS]
00:37:59
◼
►
a I doubt that they can even pull that off I really do but be even if they do
[TS]
00:38:06
◼
►
how do you get developers to write for it and there's the problem that
[TS]
00:38:10
◼
►
Blackberry faces right now because the new BlackBerry 10 is real they shipped a
[TS]
00:38:15
◼
►
real modern operating system you know that if they had shipped this exact same
[TS]
00:38:19
◼
►
thing for five years ago might have set the industry on fire but nobody's
[TS]
00:38:23
◼
►
writing apps for it and so they're stuck with this you know stupid idea of
[TS]
00:38:27
◼
►
running Android app simulation or something like that which nobody wants
[TS]
00:38:30
◼
►
to do and it's we see it with Windows Microsoft has been offering to pay
[TS]
00:38:34
◼
►
everyone every developer I talked to these days says you know offering to pay
[TS]
00:38:38
◼
►
you know ten grand or whatever happens just not it's not that interesting to
[TS]
00:38:42
◼
►
them because there's a number of reasons first of all it's like yeah week we
[TS]
00:38:46
◼
►
could do it or we could have Microsoft do it but then we still have to support
[TS]
00:38:49
◼
►
that app going forward and it's like we just don't have the resources to do it
[TS]
00:38:52
◼
►
and the scale this is an interesting enough and so even with all of
[TS]
00:38:56
◼
►
Microsoft's resources in their cash being offered to developers people still
[TS]
00:39:00
◼
►
aren't doing it you know and so imagine if you know I don't know it just you
[TS]
00:39:06
◼
►
know it's like so the s4 launches last night and whatever you want to say about
[TS]
00:39:11
◼
►
it it's at least at the very least its better version of the s3 s3 is a
[TS]
00:39:17
◼
►
well-respected phone and it runs on the Android apps you know and it's because
[TS]
00:39:20
◼
►
it's so popular it's not gonna be overlooked by most app-developers
[TS]
00:39:25
◼
►
they're going to make sure that their app works on as three they're gonna make
[TS]
00:39:28
◼
►
sure it works on the ice for ya so whatever the fragmentation problems on
[TS]
00:39:33
◼
►
Android buying a galaxy s4 you're probably gonna see the least of the
[TS]
00:39:38
◼
►
fragmentation problems as a user admin six months from now they launched the
[TS]
00:39:44
◼
►
Galaxy blah blah blah another galaxy tyson the galaxy ti don't call it
[TS]
00:39:49
◼
►
something like that and it runs tyson I mean it runs no haps I mean I don't get
[TS]
00:39:53
◼
►
it right or they if they can maybe get a couple of developers on board I I don't
[TS]
00:39:58
◼
►
know but I don't even see them doing that i mean one of these weird things to
[TS]
00:40:01
◼
►
me about last night should just call it a shitshow was that they had no
[TS]
00:40:07
◼
►
third-party developers no mention of any third party software what's up
[TS]
00:40:11
◼
►
yeah so to other wild cards in there cos I do think you're right that that if
[TS]
00:40:17
◼
►
they do something and if they do something in the plan to be successful
[TS]
00:40:20
◼
►
it is forking Android because the two wild cards in our what Google is doing
[TS]
00:40:26
◼
►
with Motorola rights of rumors of that X phone or whatever it is and then what
[TS]
00:40:31
◼
►
Amazon is doing in the phone space so they already have Corsicana tablets and
[TS]
00:40:35
◼
►
those have been successful to some degree at least and now what they're
[TS]
00:40:39
◼
►
gonna do with the phone which again is just rumor but it seems like that's
[TS]
00:40:42
◼
►
pretty likely that they're going to do that and soda Samsung sit back and wait
[TS]
00:40:46
◼
►
for those two things to happen before they fork Android and do their own thing
[TS]
00:40:50
◼
►
or do they preempted that's kind of the big question in my mind I don't know I'm
[TS]
00:40:56
◼
►
not quite sure what their it's hard to tell because it's all about being a mean
[TS]
00:41:01
◼
►
if Google really does make their own flagship phone that's beyond Nexus you
[TS]
00:41:09
◼
►
know because it's a company that they actually own a Motorola phone and they
[TS]
00:41:14
◼
►
just tend to put their their marketing muscle these are pushing it on
[TS]
00:41:17
◼
►
google.com and and they start to have more strained relationships with Samsung
[TS]
00:41:22
◼
►
Samsung does not want to be in that position obviously one of the most
[TS]
00:41:26
◼
►
interesting charts that you that you put up in your last post last night and
[TS]
00:41:31
◼
►
someone else tweeted about I saw this the notion that Samsung is making more
[TS]
00:41:38
◼
►
profit off of their smartphones that Google is making as an entire company
[TS]
00:41:43
◼
►
which which is just fascinating because all of that profit you have to assume
[TS]
00:41:46
◼
►
for Samsung is from Android I mean they're probably making a little bit off
[TS]
00:41:49
◼
►
of some of the other things because of Samsung's business or mobile business at
[TS]
00:41:55
◼
►
least of selling anything you know everything from cheap candy bar phones
[TS]
00:41:59
◼
►
to truly high end i mean some of the galaxy s4 models have a core processors
[TS]
00:42:04
◼
►
and without another weird thing about the galaxy s4 just as an aside there is
[TS]
00:42:09
◼
►
no single galaxy s4 at least in a way and I know there's a couple of different
[TS]
00:42:13
◼
►
iPhone SK use around the world for different antenna bands but like the
[TS]
00:42:16
◼
►
system on a chip is the same you get the same performance whereas depending on
[TS]
00:42:21
◼
►
what country you're in you get a row
[TS]
00:42:22
◼
►
Ackley different system on a chip with the Galaxy phones like an apparently the
[TS]
00:42:27
◼
►
us- isn't getting the eight-core one that all the spektr nerds are slobbering
[TS]
00:42:33
◼
►
over there yet why you ask is gonna do now as I don't know why I did this makes
[TS]
00:42:40
◼
►
no sense to me I don't know but anyway what you think about that from from
[TS]
00:42:46
◼
►
Google different second that he has a company if there are public company they
[TS]
00:42:52
◼
►
need to keep growing the bottom line just like us just like every public
[TS]
00:42:55
◼
►
company does they have a company out there that is showing them exactly how
[TS]
00:43:01
◼
►
to do that because they're making more money off of a product that Google
[TS]
00:43:04
◼
►
created that Google is making is an entire company itself so at some point
[TS]
00:43:08
◼
►
you have to think that it's their fiduciary duty to cut that off and start
[TS]
00:43:13
◼
►
taking those that profit and those revenues themselves right right and it
[TS]
00:43:17
◼
►
hasn't seemingly hasn't worked out like the PC industry did where Intel and HP
[TS]
00:43:28
◼
►
and back in the day
[TS]
00:43:30
◼
►
compaq that the people who made the PC hardware that ran Windows made a lot of
[TS]
00:43:36
◼
►
money you know Intel particularly but you know Dell and HP and Compaq all had
[TS]
00:43:41
◼
►
really good year is making a lot of money selling PCs and microsoft made
[TS]
00:43:46
◼
►
more than any of them by providing the operating system and software and Google
[TS]
00:43:51
◼
►
obviously wasn't gonna make it the same way by selling the software but they I
[TS]
00:43:58
◼
►
think that they assumed that by giving away the software but having it with all
[TS]
00:44:02
◼
►
these Google services that they would profit as handsomely by through all the
[TS]
00:44:07
◼
►
ads that they could show and you know in a search results and etcetera and it
[TS]
00:44:11
◼
►
does it does seem like they're doing better I don't know what the numbers are
[TS]
00:44:15
◼
►
off the top of my head but it does seem like they are monetizing increasingly
[TS]
00:44:19
◼
►
better on mobile as you might expect certainly with the scale again and you
[TS]
00:44:23
◼
►
know just getting better ads in and getting better about figuring out how to
[TS]
00:44:26
◼
►
do this mobile but it's nowhere near the profit that Samsung is seen by selling
[TS]
00:44:31
◼
►
devices
[TS]
00:44:33
◼
►
now definitely that's did not even close I think began as a little hard with
[TS]
00:44:38
◼
►
Samsung because Samsung doesn't reveal their handset sales numbers at all
[TS]
00:44:45
◼
►
famously stopped a while back so they don't say how many galaxy phones have
[TS]
00:44:49
◼
►
been sold then so whenever you do see a comparison of and I think it's important
[TS]
00:44:55
◼
►
thing that's always overlooked is when you see a comparison between how many
[TS]
00:45:00
◼
►
iPhone 5's were sold last quarter and how many galaxies fours were sold in the
[TS]
00:45:08
◼
►
same quarter that number for the iPhones comes from Apple in an SEC filing that
[TS]
00:45:15
◼
►
is like they're legally mandated to to tell the truth
[TS]
00:45:19
◼
►
well I guess Apple Apple doesn't break down by the agency I phones over alright
[TS]
00:45:25
◼
►
but at least it's there's a legal number it whereas what Samsung does is nothing
[TS]
00:45:32
◼
►
it's all based on analyst conjecture or an analyst says there was this many you
[TS]
00:45:39
◼
►
can kind of back it out with the OP without below by based on average they
[TS]
00:45:43
◼
►
do reveal the average selling price and so you can kind of a reasonable informed
[TS]
00:45:49
◼
►
guess where is the endless numbers really seem like they're just pulled out
[TS]
00:45:51
◼
►
of the air for Samsung but what they do give is a number for their entire mobile
[TS]
00:45:57
◼
►
and telecom division now that there's they sell some other stuff from that
[TS]
00:46:01
◼
►
division other than mobile phones but I can't believe that it's that much to to
[TS]
00:46:07
◼
►
make that big of a den and that that division makes more make more profit
[TS]
00:46:11
◼
►
last quarter than all of Google
[TS]
00:46:13
◼
►
that that is that is crazy an untenable I think for the Google Samsung
[TS]
00:46:18
◼
►
relationships so I want to do it another sponsor break but let's parlay after the
[TS]
00:46:25
◼
►
break let's go and talk about what that means with Andy Rubin is that so I was
[TS]
00:46:30
◼
►
second sponsor I wanna thank you I want to thank Pixelmator whereas as we call
[TS]
00:46:35
◼
►
it here
[TS]
00:46:35
◼
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Pixelmator and what they want me to tell you about is their new version
[TS]
00:46:40
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Pixelmator 2.2 blueberry not out yet
[TS]
00:46:44
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coming out at the end of March a kind of can't believe they're calling it to
[TS]
00:46:47
◼
►
point to this really seems like a three point out is what they've done is
[TS]
00:46:51
◼
►
they've added a ton of new factor shape features and have sort of it's really
[TS]
00:46:56
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sort of adding almost like an actor / illustrator type aspect to the app going
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00:47:05
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way beyond just pixel image editing really great state of the art shape
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tools that let you create gorgeous compositions you can use it for things
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00:47:16
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like logos posters web layouts easy to use drawing tools anybody's familiar
[TS]
00:47:25
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with vector-based drawing tools from other apps is gonna find a lot of stuff
[TS]
00:47:31
◼
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in there that's exactly the same all sorts of shapes rectangles ellipses
[TS]
00:47:36
◼
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rounded rectangles polygons lines all these things are vector not pixel you've
[TS]
00:47:43
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got filled stroke shadow mode shape settings you can assign shapes styles
[TS]
00:47:48
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create a style for a shape save it as a saved almost like a stylesheet then
[TS]
00:47:54
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create a new shape and then instantly apply the style that you painstakingly
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00:47:58
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made for the first one smart shapes have easy to use controls that let you
[TS]
00:48:06
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quickly adjust the shapes a line to get just the look they are after custom
[TS]
00:48:11
◼
►
shapes I mean it's these things look like hand-drawn icons but they're vector
[TS]
00:48:15
◼
►
so they scale
[TS]
00:48:18
◼
►
the other thing is shaped sharing so when you create a new custom shape you
[TS]
00:48:23
◼
►
can export it dragged him out to the desktop send it to your friend your
[TS]
00:48:27
◼
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friend dragged it into their shapes palette and they've got the shape that
[TS]
00:48:30
◼
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you made over on your machine it's a really great feature I really like I
[TS]
00:48:37
◼
►
said I cannot believe that they're calling it a 2.2 instead of a 3.0 with
[TS]
00:48:40
◼
►
all of this stuff they've also added a whole bunch of other improvements
[TS]
00:48:44
◼
►
they've improved their type tool they've improved their gradient presets all
[TS]
00:48:50
◼
►
sorts of performance upgrade so go check it out at Pixelmator dot com VIX yell
[TS]
00:48:58
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►
and the ATO are dot com and get get Pixelmator big fan of Pixelmator
[TS]
00:49:09
◼
►
or whatever you wanna kick some later don't don't let me throw you off its
[TS]
00:49:13
◼
►
really Pixelmator yeah but that's now it's it's I mean how can I not stick
[TS]
00:49:17
◼
►
with the running yeah it is it's a phenomenal and so any room
[TS]
00:49:24
◼
►
Andy Rubin so what is it a bombshell I think it's a bombshell yeah although I'm
[TS]
00:49:32
◼
►
not is just into Google as so my understanding is that have talked to a
[TS]
00:49:37
◼
►
few people about this now this was a complete surprise
[TS]
00:49:42
◼
►
pretty much across the company I think of few people probably knew about it you
[TS]
00:49:46
◼
►
know in the days leading up to it but certainly not the weeks and they just
[TS]
00:49:49
◼
►
look at his schedule he was scheduled to talk at like the deal eleven conference
[TS]
00:49:53
◼
►
and all these other places you know the far in the future
[TS]
00:49:57
◼
►
obviously as a on behalf of Android and now he's no longer going to be speaking
[TS]
00:50:02
◼
►
on behalf of Android is no longer doing that so he's taken off the D 11
[TS]
00:50:08
◼
►
conference I don't know why I actually don't know what's going on with that I
[TS]
00:50:12
◼
►
don't know if they would put maybe they put in Sundargarh who took over for him
[TS]
00:50:16
◼
►
to see ya but yes the understanding is that this was a huge shock within the
[TS]
00:50:21
◼
►
company as well I always thought that
[TS]
00:50:26
◼
►
within Google and I you know it's curious that they had these to host PC
[TS]
00:50:30
◼
►
operating systems
[TS]
00:50:32
◼
►
Android and Chrome OS and I always thought it was sort of I think you're
[TS]
00:50:37
◼
►
gonna love this you're gonna love this its sorta like the scene in the Batman
[TS]
00:50:42
◼
►
movie with the Joker the Joker goes into the black guys gang pretending to be
[TS]
00:50:49
◼
►
pops out of the bag fills the leader and there's two guys left knapsack you'll
[TS]
00:50:55
◼
►
stick you stick in half and says we've got room for one more guy in our gang
[TS]
00:50:59
◼
►
steps right I've always thought that was chrome vs Android
[TS]
00:51:04
◼
►
they've got room for one post PC operating system you two guys fight it
[TS]
00:51:08
◼
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out and now so you know it
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00:51:13
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following that along it looks like in some way one at least their their leader
[TS]
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one because now he's in charge of both right and that's that gets the
[TS]
00:51:24
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surprising thing to me is that it seems to me like Android is the one that is
[TS]
00:51:27
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doing better but maybe that's because I've been blinded by your market share
[TS]
00:51:30
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right cause there's a hundred things out there and I'm nowhere near as many
[TS]
00:51:35
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Chrome OS devices right yeah I don't know I think that I do I mean I think
[TS]
00:51:41
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there's no question that he is doing significantly better than Chrome OS I it
[TS]
00:51:46
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is curious as to why they would do that you know part of it is maybe the fact
[TS]
00:51:51
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that sundar Pichai who's going to be the new head of both units is very
[TS]
00:51:59
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well-regarded within Google like everyone I've talked to loves him I've
[TS]
00:52:02
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met him a few times he's a really really nice guy really level-headed we got into
[TS]
00:52:05
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it you know I used to get into it with him over bundling flash and chrome you
[TS]
00:52:11
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know how many they automatically they make you download it in the end and
[TS]
00:52:15
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automatically enable it and you know he's just like he he would give his
[TS]
00:52:19
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viewpoint i'd give mine we disagree but he was open-minded and very thoughtful
[TS]
00:52:23
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about the way that he would think about all the stuff and the fact that he would
[TS]
00:52:26
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come into Lake have these conversations you know just with just was some random
[TS]
00:52:29
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blogger at the Times is kinda talked about some of these these bigger ideas
[TS]
00:52:34
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so I think part of it is that he's very well-regarded and also
[TS]
00:52:39
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over there were the stories I guess it was last year maybe even almost two
[TS]
00:52:43
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years ago now where he was sort of one of the guys who is being hotly recruited
[TS]
00:52:48
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by almost every startup you think you know the reports are that sweater was
[TS]
00:52:51
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trying to hire him and I think was actually carrington who who broke the
[TS]
00:52:56
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news that in order to keep Sunday around they gave him something like 50 75
[TS]
00:53:02
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million dollars worth of you know restricted stock or something like that
[TS]
00:53:05
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and so you know there I think that he's clearly someone that Google really
[TS]
00:53:12
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wanted to keep around and really wanted to make happy and again as we're really
[TS]
00:53:15
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highly regarded and while this may not be setting the world on fire or chrome
[TS]
00:53:20
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certainly has its large browser in the world now it is pretty remarkable and so
[TS]
00:53:25
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you know why not just put a fresh set of eyes on it that's Kennedy only thing I
[TS]
00:53:30
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can I can imagine is going on I doubt that Andy Rubin was was pushed out in
[TS]
00:53:37
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the kind of in a bad way I mean he is alway yeah because he is staying with
[TS]
00:53:44
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the company its not announced what he's doing yet but it seems like he's going
[TS]
00:53:48
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to stay there and you know there may have been some some sort of you know
[TS]
00:53:54
◼
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let's just get a fresh set of eyes on this thing you've been doing it for a
[TS]
00:53:57
◼
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long time either somebody's gonna find out if there is a leak and we'll find
[TS]
00:54:03
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out sooner or we'll have to wait and see what Andy Rubin does cause I know one
[TS]
00:54:07
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and yeah it could be that he wasn't quite pushed and maybe he was bored and
[TS]
00:54:11
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maybe he really does have a new idea for a new thing he really wants to start
[TS]
00:54:17
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►
from scratch in Google acts you know incubator so maybe he really you know
[TS]
00:54:23
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this is all reading too much into it and Andy Rubin really just said I'm kinda
[TS]
00:54:28
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done with this is feeling like a chore I want to go do something new right and
[TS]
00:54:33
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Larry page's I that's great have at it you know and and son are you take over
[TS]
00:54:38
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you know we totally trust you
[TS]
00:54:41
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on the other hand know if he was kind of pushed then maybe going to Google acts
[TS]
00:54:48
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is the Google equivalent of serving as an adviser to write like I mean I don't
[TS]
00:54:57
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even know like forestall technically might still be I don't know how long
[TS]
00:55:01
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that lasts like I never quite noticed when you know that's what they did to
[TS]
00:55:04
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Tony Fadell right now like to see actually there right and they never
[TS]
00:55:08
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really it's like a gradient right they don't put out a press release saying
[TS]
00:55:13
◼
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Tony Fadell has has stopped being a special adviser to Steve Jobs now right
[TS]
00:55:17
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and and then you know all of a sudden two years later nasa comes out as I can
[TS]
00:55:22
◼
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tell when did he stop being so like I'm pretty sure though that Scott Forstall
[TS]
00:55:28
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still technically a full-time employees and its special adviser to Tim Cook who
[TS]
00:55:34
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you know right it's a maybe that's the equipment I don't know we'll see you
[TS]
00:55:41
◼
►
know let's see if if Andy Rubin estella Google year from now I really I have no
[TS]
00:55:46
◼
►
clue my guess is that I think that he is going to do something else with just a
[TS]
00:55:52
◼
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pure guess my other my other thought which again is is based on nothing is
[TS]
00:55:56
◼
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that I could see that this played out in a way where you know Larry Page has has
[TS]
00:56:03
◼
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taken over control of the company for however long it's been now it's been two
[TS]
00:56:06
◼
►
years been a year in something and so his thing was all about kind of
[TS]
00:56:12
◼
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streamlining the processes getting everyone on the same page and you know
[TS]
00:56:17
◼
►
cutting off some of some of the bureaucracy and so a lot of indications
[TS]
00:56:22
◼
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about Andy Rubin were that while people who are under him loved working for him
[TS]
00:56:27
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►
and you know he was obviously a brilliant guy and did a great job with
[TS]
00:56:31
◼
►
Android he wasn't the easiest person to get along with in there are a lot of
[TS]
00:56:34
◼
►
politics involved within the Android system just look how long it took to get
[TS]
00:56:38
◼
►
chrome on Android like why was there a different browser for all that time now
[TS]
00:56:42
◼
►
you probably even know this better if you in fact I know that you know about
[TS]
00:56:47
◼
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do but even I know that that was a political thing within the Caroni right
[TS]
00:56:51
◼
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there was possibly between Andy and and son sardaar could have been but there's
[TS]
00:56:57
◼
►
definitely that they had the chrome guys have chrome version of Chrome that ran
[TS]
00:57:02
◼
►
on Android better than the Android just blandly named browser
[TS]
00:57:07
◼
►
long before they put it into Android like really did seem a little and I
[TS]
00:57:15
◼
►
think that I think that chrome and regime is still separate from the end
[TS]
00:57:20
◼
►
redeem itself and that will obviously change under under center but so so
[TS]
00:57:25
◼
►
anyway I think that I do think that I could see how that is is the situation
[TS]
00:57:31
◼
►
that went down it was just you know everything's going great but things are
[TS]
00:57:35
◼
►
still a little bit too political
[TS]
00:57:37
◼
►
we really do we have this rocket ship we don't want to slow it down at all you
[TS]
00:57:42
◼
►
know if you're if you're open to it you know you can we'd love to have you to
[TS]
00:57:47
◼
►
something else then Google and love to have you stick around but maybe we can
[TS]
00:57:51
◼
►
you know just really see where we can take this now with the foundation that
[TS]
00:57:55
◼
►
you've built for it and you know another part is I put this up when when you when
[TS]
00:58:00
◼
►
you mention we're going to be talking about then you really think it's like so
[TS]
00:58:03
◼
►
I would imagine that he's probably not be in the best person to work with from
[TS]
00:58:11
◼
►
a negotiating standpoint with the carriers just look at the fact that
[TS]
00:58:14
◼
►
remember it was in May 2011 at IO and we're coming up on the next Google i/o
[TS]
00:58:19
◼
►
now it was May 2011 so two years ago had Google announced their their Android app
[TS]
00:58:25
◼
►
initiative where they were going to have all of the Android partners were going
[TS]
00:58:29
◼
►
to commit to getting the newest version of Android on the Android devices within
[TS]
00:58:35
◼
►
18 months this is the promises were set on stage Indira announced this was a big
[TS]
00:58:40
◼
►
deal that we haven't heard a word about it since I know it's really called them
[TS]
00:58:46
◼
►
out for it which is sure to haven't heard a word out to end clearly has not
[TS]
00:58:48
◼
►
come true and clearly has not come true right and so make you know that's
[TS]
00:58:53
◼
►
another part of it may be that Google realizes that coming up now that they
[TS]
00:59:00
◼
►
under their wing if they're going to if they're going to keep operating within
[TS]
00:59:06
◼
►
with these carriers in with worldwide carriers they really need a force that's
[TS]
00:59:11
◼
►
not so abrasive towards working with these guys that could be and you know i
[TS]
00:59:18
◼
►
i if this is all true it is perhaps oddly parallel to the forestall
[TS]
00:59:25
◼
►
situation that Apple
[TS]
00:59:26
◼
►
internal politics
[TS]
00:59:30
◼
►
sort of hard to get a lot of great leader and and clearly successful over
[TS]
00:59:34
◼
►
the last few years but hard to get along with Jeff and like you know just silos
[TS]
00:59:41
◼
►
his team into like you know fiefdom of sorts and replaced by somebody who is
[TS]
00:59:47
◼
►
you know seemingly better to get along with at least at Apple Federici is one
[TS]
00:59:52
◼
►
thing is replaced him on a technical side I Jony ive don't know I've never
[TS]
00:59:56
◼
►
heard anything about what it's like to get along with him although he doesn't
[TS]
00:59:58
◼
►
really seem confrontational right I think he clearly has very high standards
[TS]
01:00:02
◼
►
but it doesn't do you know I've never heard anybody call him an asshole right
[TS]
01:00:07
◼
►
about that I think taking over is that he really doesn't like to be on stage
[TS]
01:00:13
◼
►
right so he never has that he does the video stuff that he does not be as agent
[TS]
01:00:17
◼
►
for snow was always on stage right but yes so going back to remain again that's
[TS]
01:00:24
◼
►
all pure speculation but I wouldn't be shocked if it was something along those
[TS]
01:00:28
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►
lines because it's a psych you think about what kind of logically what the
[TS]
01:00:33
◼
►
most obvious answer is something like that you know there could have been some
[TS]
01:00:36
◼
►
bombshell maybe something happened maybe some partner deal got badly screwed up
[TS]
01:00:41
◼
►
that will hear about or something well do you think it you think the timing on
[TS]
01:00:44
◼
►
that announcement is a little weird with regard to it coming on the eve of the
[TS]
01:00:49
◼
►
galaxy s4 yeah that's sort of is that sort of the Google equivalent of the
[TS]
01:00:54
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►
Phil Schiller interviews of let's take some piss out of Samsung's think it's
[TS]
01:00:59
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interesting I hadn't really thought about that yeah the timing is strange
[TS]
01:01:04
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just because it seems like there's nothing there's no other reason to
[TS]
01:01:09
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announce it then and for that change to happen then right other then
[TS]
01:01:13
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►
then this is the only Android related thing that that's coming up right right
[TS]
01:01:18
◼
►
work well and it's possible yeah you know and it kind of got looped into we
[TS]
01:01:24
◼
►
can come back to this later you have a little time but there are a whole bunch
[TS]
01:01:27
◼
►
of Google were making some changes this week announcements
[TS]
01:01:30
◼
►
you know stuff with their calendar API that all everybody listen to show that
[TS]
01:01:36
◼
►
is that they've their their shit Canon Google Reader come July but they mix
[TS]
01:01:40
◼
►
today they they the official Google Blog had this post with a here's the eight
[TS]
01:01:45
◼
►
changes were making and they just like three through some of these things in
[TS]
01:01:48
◼
►
the middle it's like calendar API owned by the way Andy Rubin is no longer there
[TS]
01:01:54
◼
►
have been a great bullet point number for our search results
[TS]
01:01:57
◼
►
percent faster oh by the way Google readers can be dead in july but I can't
[TS]
01:02:04
◼
►
help but think that I don't know it and it I do think it comes down to like that
[TS]
01:02:09
◼
►
observation that you know that Samsung's be making more from Android and there is
[TS]
01:02:14
◼
►
the Wall Street Journal story that is a major concern that maybe Samsung is you
[TS]
01:02:18
◼
►
surfing Android from Google that might be a problem that that as popular as
[TS]
01:02:25
◼
►
Android is it may not be as it's evolving as aligned with Google's
[TS]
01:02:31
◼
►
interests as chrome in Chrome OS are right or maybe any room and is going to
[TS]
01:02:38
◼
►
become the fourth CEO Samsung
[TS]
01:02:43
◼
►
so what about the galaxy s4 event did you watch it
[TS]
01:02:48
◼
►
no I didn't watch it I was following along with it sweet sorry I didn't watch
[TS]
01:02:53
◼
►
the live stream of it though so I didn't actually get to experience firsthand
[TS]
01:02:57
◼
►
what a fiasco was but I read a lot of the coverage of it to talk about how do
[TS]
01:03:02
◼
►
is sort of sexist in a way misogynist and and not just in a lot of ways but
[TS]
01:03:08
◼
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well one thing good thing I can say about it is that it was an hour long so
[TS]
01:03:15
◼
►
yeah it's really bizarre a mean it I I saw a couple people into enormous say
[TS]
01:03:22
◼
►
the same thing that it's you know that it that bizarre Qualcomm CES came out
[TS]
01:03:29
◼
►
how to add a short life as the winner to tack keynote
[TS]
01:03:37
◼
►
drug dealers or something I didn't see the CSR at the Samsung the Samsung know
[TS]
01:03:43
◼
►
then see jugglers they might I started my I started getting kinky but it was on
[TS]
01:03:49
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►
in Radio City Music Hall had a big orchestra and a lot of Broadway style
[TS]
01:03:54
◼
►
theatrics but then it opens with it open with a lot of specs it open with the
[TS]
01:04:02
◼
►
president of the company coming out I forget his name but he came out and and
[TS]
01:04:08
◼
►
just sort of introduced all the features they were going to talk about but said
[TS]
01:04:12
◼
►
nothing about them he just sort of red like the H one level outline of the new
[TS]
01:04:17
◼
►
features they were gonna introduce and said that you know leading innovation
[TS]
01:04:22
◼
►
and thank you very much and got off the stage and you know and I think I don't
[TS]
01:04:27
◼
►
know I think he wanted to come out but English is clearly a second language so
[TS]
01:04:31
◼
►
he he wasn't going to be able to to emcee the show the ANC was some actor I
[TS]
01:04:35
◼
►
don't know his name is something chase but he has not famous is just like a
[TS]
01:04:40
◼
►
stage actor 15 minutes of specs him this actor talking to Samsung america's
[TS]
01:04:48
◼
►
equivalent of Phil Schiller I guess VP of Marketing and talking about specs and
[TS]
01:04:56
◼
►
then that's about 15 minutes so far so good not really weird is sort of the
[TS]
01:05:02
◼
►
opposite of the way Apple does shows where Apple does shows and talks about
[TS]
01:05:06
◼
►
features and then and we'll tell you the specs that they want to reveal like the
[TS]
01:05:12
◼
►
specs is sort of the one sheet that they give you at the end of the show like you
[TS]
01:05:16
◼
►
know and here's the price and here's the you know here's the carriers that we're
[TS]
01:05:21
◼
►
gonna be on in here is the bands of you know such-and-such ever going to support
[TS]
01:05:25
◼
►
bob they did the specs first and 15 minutes and they display said they're
[TS]
01:05:29
◼
►
gonna switched their gonna tell us about the phone with a series of skits and it
[TS]
01:05:38
◼
►
was just kept getting weirder and weirder than the first one is is i think
[TS]
01:05:44
◼
►
it was the first one but it's like here's an elementary school in New York
[TS]
01:05:48
◼
►
and they're having the school play and there's a girl on as a little girl on
[TS]
01:05:53
◼
►
stage dancing and her dad doesn't have a galaxy s4 so the pictures he's taking
[TS]
01:05:59
◼
►
won't be thirteen megabytes and all of a sudden the girl breaks out of character
[TS]
01:06:04
◼
►
and comes out and addresses the MCN says what and then she turns to her dad and
[TS]
01:06:09
◼
►
berates him for not having a 13 megapixel s4 and that what is she how is
[TS]
01:06:16
◼
►
why is she practiced you know and it's like God right it's an awful childlike
[TS]
01:06:22
◼
►
what kind of like it's an awful awful Braddy spoiled child and the dad is
[TS]
01:06:30
◼
►
apologizing and he's instantly apologizes to his daughter and says I'm
[TS]
01:06:34
◼
►
don't worry I'm gonna get an ass for tomorrow and our next show you know
[TS]
01:06:40
◼
►
these great ask for pictures so I got it I gotta watch it now so is this like is
[TS]
01:06:45
◼
►
this a cultural thing is assuming this poorly translated from South Korean its
[TS]
01:06:49
◼
►
culture somebody tweeted me and said and
[TS]
01:06:53
◼
►
and is something on Twitter who i think is Korean or south korean and said that
[TS]
01:06:57
◼
►
it it clearly to him seems like it was written by South Koreans and just
[TS]
01:07:02
◼
►
translated to English although I don't know is that right that in in korea you
[TS]
01:07:06
◼
►
you father expects his 13 year old girl to berate him publicly next was long
[TS]
01:07:17
◼
►
gone but next with this boy it's the same boy who is in there there little
[TS]
01:07:21
◼
►
commercials and he was tap-dancing earlier in the show you step dancing on
[TS]
01:07:26
◼
►
the thing and get back with his parents was that they're using this new picture
[TS]
01:07:30
◼
►
in picture photo thing which seems terrible but the idea is that the major
[TS]
01:07:36
◼
►
new feature one of the major new features are trying to advertise is that
[TS]
01:07:39
◼
►
when you the dad are taking pictures instead of just your wife and kids in
[TS]
01:07:46
◼
►
the picture you can get a in the corner just like it when you do a Skype chat or
[TS]
01:07:51
◼
►
are there in the corner from the front facing camera your face shows up to you
[TS]
01:07:56
◼
►
and you can take a picture that way so that you can be in the picture but if
[TS]
01:08:00
◼
►
you really consider that being in the picture I mean that's I heard it was
[TS]
01:08:05
◼
►
more I heard was more along the lines of like you're watching a sports moment and
[TS]
01:08:08
◼
►
then you take a picture of your reaction shot along with whatever happened I
[TS]
01:08:12
◼
►
guess that makes more sense than what they were showing yeah there was the
[TS]
01:08:16
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►
school forget I started really started getting my life I we're going was the
[TS]
01:08:23
◼
►
act and they said here's we've shown that showed something else and then the
[TS]
01:08:27
◼
►
actors said the guy was the emcee said all right we've shown you what the
[TS]
01:08:31
◼
►
galaxy s4 means to normal people he says let's see what it's like for someone
[TS]
01:08:38
◼
►
who's really special
[TS]
01:08:39
◼
►
a new york city actor and he took a role but if he had someone what kind of
[TS]
01:08:44
◼
►
attitude just Slagter customers in the said you know moms and dads you know you
[TS]
01:08:50
◼
►
guys are boring let's see how it affects me an awesome actor and we're supposed
[TS]
01:08:54
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►
to all of a sudden descent is supposed to be his New York City apartment
[TS]
01:09:00
◼
►
and cut out of the ground in the stage rises a red convertible sports car but I
[TS]
01:09:08
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swear to you it's on it's side it is sideways and the actor and everybody
[TS]
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looked at any point to any goes hey you know parking state New York City and
[TS]
01:09:20
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that was the only explanation for why the Karzai's I can only assume that it
[TS]
01:09:25
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was because whatever elevator they had on the stage wasn't wide enough for the
[TS]
01:09:28
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car to come up right way so rather than not have the car they had the car come
[TS]
01:09:33
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up sideways when they discussed the current half and then he had like this
[TS]
01:09:41
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incredibly ignorant conversation with his agent and the guy also honest to god
[TS]
01:09:51
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this is like when he was like talking about like the family using the s4 to do
[TS]
01:09:55
◼
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something
[TS]
01:09:56
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DMC would literally say let's go back to our fake family and see how they use the
[TS]
01:10:01
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new video thing in the phone or whatever just say let's go back to our fake
[TS]
01:10:06
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family wish I went to this total of July 23 I i kind if you wish I was literally
[TS]
01:10:15
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was there I think it was but then the one that really got the one like really
[TS]
01:10:19
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made me almost break out just watching it at home into a flop sweat was this
[TS]
01:10:23
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bridal party in Miami and the skit was about five or six women who've been
[TS]
01:10:31
◼
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longtime friends one of them is getting married this weekend and they're having
[TS]
01:10:34
◼
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her bridal shower and and they're talking about all the things they love
[TS]
01:10:41
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about the galaxy s4 and the different cases that they have
[TS]
01:10:48
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and it was so sexist it was ridiculous and these women are interested in things
[TS]
01:10:55
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like calories and losing weight and Mary A B doctors right when they found out
[TS]
01:11:03
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about the health features these health tracking features in the phone the one
[TS]
01:11:06
◼
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moment says my mother always wanted me to marry a doctor
[TS]
01:11:10
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well this is the next best thing and then the actor breaks into an immediate
[TS]
01:11:15
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disclaimer that he just he just cut to the actor is emceeing he goes the galaxy
[TS]
01:11:19
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s4 is no replacement for a medical doctor and and then there's one of the
[TS]
01:11:27
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women and and I know that Molly Wood from CNET really just ripped apart my
[TS]
01:11:30
◼
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link to it today and she just rip this thing apart perfectly but it she
[TS]
01:11:34
◼
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described the one of these women as the comically drunk cougar
[TS]
01:11:42
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Dead Season literally no exaggeration as it is not like oh she's she exaggerated
[TS]
01:11:48
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for the past it was a woman older you know I'd say in her mid forties or
[TS]
01:11:54
◼
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something like that with a drink in her hand and heard galaxy s4 any other and
[TS]
01:11:59
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they were talking about this new feature they have this this no-touch tracking
[TS]
01:12:02
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where you can kind right let's see how it works I mean we have no idea but
[TS]
01:12:06
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anyway but their time I why you would want to use it and her reason was she
[TS]
01:12:09
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didn't want to put her drink down and then they used her for this eye tracking
[TS]
01:12:16
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feature now there's this features is supposed to be there like when you're
[TS]
01:12:20
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reading an article if you look down the screen is gonna start scrolling
[TS]
01:12:23
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automatically and if you're watching a movie or video and you look away from
[TS]
01:12:28
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the screen it will instantly and then when you look back it will go and I
[TS]
01:12:33
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swear to you I'm not making this up he called her over her character's name is
[TS]
01:12:38
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Dee Dee Dee Dee come on over here and she's still got a drinker and so she's
[TS]
01:12:42
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watching a movie
[TS]
01:12:44
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and greens keeper comes out a young they said that these women role in Miami
[TS]
01:12:53
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young latino stud comes out with a leaf blower and that's what catches her eye
[TS]
01:13:01
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and takes her away from the movie she's watching this younger very attractive
[TS]
01:13:05
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man and she sort of stunned and then he MCA has to remind her that she has to
[TS]
01:13:12
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look back at the screen to pretend that the video starts playing again and she
[TS]
01:13:16
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says oh yeah and then she does it in a guy takes his shirt off and she
[TS]
01:13:20
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immediately looked over at him again like in all I'd well I mean you really
[TS]
01:13:27
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have to see it to believe and I guess you know maybe the explanation I've
[TS]
01:13:31
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heard is that that sort of thing is considered like that that's what a
[TS]
01:13:34
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typical show TV show is like South Korea but I don't know anything so just
[TS]
01:13:40
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compare and contrast that to you know like I think we both really like the the
[TS]
01:13:47
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one and failing that Apple did where it was at the iPad and it's just it's Steve
[TS]
01:13:51
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Jobs on stage with a chair its could it be any any more different than than what
[TS]
01:13:57
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you're describing their right and they did introduce the other thing is that
[TS]
01:14:01
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they introduced a bunch of features and I you know I'm not going to judge them
[TS]
01:14:05
◼
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because I haven't used them and they didn't even really show them they just
[TS]
01:14:08
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talked about them like so with like the this eye tracking feature there didn't
[TS]
01:14:14
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actually show it working I do I doubt that the woman's phone really was even
[TS]
01:14:18
◼
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on I think she was just pantomime you know there was no video that you could
[TS]
01:14:22
◼
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see on the screen showing it in actual use or anything like that you just had
[TS]
01:14:26
◼
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to pretend that these things were working ok no we just had characters
[TS]
01:14:29
◼
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pointing fingers at it but they gave each one of them like 30 seconds like
[TS]
01:14:34
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they introduced like eight features and gave none of the features any breathing
[TS]
01:14:38
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room to actually like understand how it would actually work that sounds amazing
[TS]
01:14:44
◼
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that's what
[TS]
01:14:46
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to talk about the the finger tracking thing like you said a woman didn't wanna
[TS]
01:14:52
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put down a drink like why is that a good feature for a phone when will there be
[TS]
01:14:56
◼
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useful I don't know it sounds to me terrible i guess im not going to
[TS]
01:15:02
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prejudge it and say that it is terrible but it sounds terrible to me I guess one
[TS]
01:15:06
◼
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of the explanations that you makes the phone easier to use with gloves that you
[TS]
01:15:11
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could point a gloved finger at it and scroll the screen but even in to brief
[TS]
01:15:15
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them on they showed it it seemed it it seemed to work about as well as you
[TS]
01:15:20
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think it would like it was nowhere near tracking the finger the way a finger on
[TS]
01:15:24
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the actual glass tracks the scrolling and so I love I love the the dichotomy
[TS]
01:15:32
◼
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of a lot of people in the media giving Apple a hard time because they haven't
[TS]
01:15:36
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come out with new and innovative features you know what what are deemed
[TS]
01:15:40
◼
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like giant tent pole features the thing and look at like a look at what the s4
[TS]
01:15:45
◼
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has its its finger tracking like what what is that
[TS]
01:15:48
◼
►
who spends time working on that and why why on earth does anyone think that
[TS]
01:15:53
◼
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that's going to be a really selling point of that device
[TS]
01:15:57
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well and the one that struck me was the one of the examples they get I guess
[TS]
01:16:01
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cold weather with gloves is one where you can't touch the one where the woman
[TS]
01:16:07
◼
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had a drink in her hand why not just use your thumb on your other hand except for
[TS]
01:16:10
◼
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the fact that because the phone is five inches be good for one-handed use right
[TS]
01:16:15
◼
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like i mean again I'm biased I really like the smaller size of the iPhone I've
[TS]
01:16:20
◼
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tried 5 inch phones really don't like them very much specifically because I do
[TS]
01:16:23
◼
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I use my iPhone one handle yeah but that seems to give you have a drink in one
[TS]
01:16:28
◼
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hand and still want to use your phone in the other that seems like you know I
[TS]
01:16:32
◼
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just use your thought I joked on Twitter that it's great if you're murdering
[TS]
01:16:36
◼
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someone in your blood all over your hands and that you get so use your phone
[TS]
01:16:41
◼
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to clean it up
[TS]
01:16:46
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let me do a sponsor of quick and we'll talk about Google Reader and I'll a
[TS]
01:16:53
◼
►
sponsor's studio need these guys behind the glass bunch of other great products
[TS]
01:16:58
◼
►
whether newest product is an iPhone app called simple bracket I bet you've heard
[TS]
01:17:03
◼
►
of this energy it's an iPhone app for filling in your March Madness NCAA
[TS]
01:17:08
◼
►
college basketball braclet brackets and competing with friends and family
[TS]
01:17:13
◼
►
super easy login how do you identify yourself your friends and families easy
[TS]
01:17:18
◼
►
you login with your Twitter I D and it's built right into the iOS eat you don't
[TS]
01:17:22
◼
►
even have to know your password is authorized it to use one of your Twitter
[TS]
01:17:24
◼
►
account so you've already got set up an iOS has a beautiful you I i mean
[TS]
01:17:28
◼
►
everybody knows I'm a huge fan of future of these guys know how to use future and
[TS]
01:17:34
◼
►
I think they've done some really innovative thinking with the way that
[TS]
01:17:38
◼
►
the actual brackets anybody out there who knows when talking about filling in
[TS]
01:17:42
◼
►
the NCW brackets no one talked about there's a standard looked at them those
[TS]
01:17:46
◼
►
of you out there who have no idea what it into double what the NCAA tournament
[TS]
01:17:50
◼
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is this app is probably not gonna have interest to you but if you know what the
[TS]
01:17:53
◼
►
tournament is you've got to check it out and I think they've done something
[TS]
01:17:55
◼
►
really clever with the way the bracket is laid out where the traditional at
[TS]
01:18:00
◼
►
would you think that that would fit on an iPhone screen what they thought the
[TS]
01:18:03
◼
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same thing and they've come out with a really neat layout I think it works
[TS]
01:18:06
◼
►
perfect for something as complicated as a 64 team elimination bracket really
[TS]
01:18:14
◼
►
really clever user interface and layout they've got their own scoring system and
[TS]
01:18:20
◼
►
it's you know how do you how do you judge who wins one of these bracket
[TS]
01:18:23
◼
►
twenty minutes where they they went to a mathematician and got a new formula for
[TS]
01:18:27
◼
►
computing the winner and it gives proper way to upset picks based on the
[TS]
01:18:32
◼
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probability of outcome so in other words if you pick a bunch of upsets you get
[TS]
01:18:36
◼
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more credit than someone who maybe had the same number of wins in the first
[TS]
01:18:40
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round but their wins were all from favorites which to me does seem fair
[TS]
01:18:45
◼
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it's available now just go to the AppStore search for simple bracket
[TS]
01:18:51
◼
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it's one buck which is unbelievable to me as I think it's a great app and
[TS]
01:18:56
◼
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everybody is going to use it you know what you're gonna do you gonna
[TS]
01:18:58
◼
►
betting pools where more than a buck or you can use this to manage your porn and
[TS]
01:19:03
◼
►
gambling is not legal in your state now but you can use it you can set up your
[TS]
01:19:09
◼
►
own pools with your friends and invite people in August managed through this
[TS]
01:19:13
◼
►
app if you're going to set up a pool and everybody in pool has an iPhone I mean I
[TS]
01:19:18
◼
►
can't imagine a better way to do it a lot of fun you can even do it for fun
[TS]
01:19:22
◼
►
without the gambling grab the app now though cause the teams are gonna be
[TS]
01:19:26
◼
►
announced on Sunday you gonna want to have it by then too
[TS]
01:19:29
◼
►
to start making your pics so go to the AppStore search for simple bracket if
[TS]
01:19:34
◼
►
you have any interest in the NCAA tournament and my thanks to studio
[TS]
01:19:42
◼
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yes I know Michigan where I went to school they just lost today in the Big
[TS]
01:19:47
◼
►
Ten tournament so thrilled about that but they'll still be a relatively high
[TS]
01:19:50
◼
►
seed in the in the NCW tournament so excited to do the same thing I do my
[TS]
01:19:55
◼
►
favorite team the school to Drexel seldom in the tournament starts very
[TS]
01:20:00
◼
►
exciting but my favorite big big name team is is always been North Carolina
[TS]
01:20:04
◼
►
and so I always whenever I thought my bracket the first thing I do is just
[TS]
01:20:08
◼
►
fill in North Carolina right through it doesn't matter whether they're having a
[TS]
01:20:11
◼
►
good season or bad season I always film into the end and I've never once not
[TS]
01:20:16
◼
►
done it and here's the reason why from me I'm less interested in winning the
[TS]
01:20:21
◼
►
thing that I am in the end the agony I would cause myself if I didn't and they
[TS]
01:20:26
◼
►
actually want yeah I would like to know how can I doubt my own favorite team so
[TS]
01:20:30
◼
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I always just start by just filling them in right to the end and then I go back
[TS]
01:20:34
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and start filling in all the other yeah you do the same thing unfortunately
[TS]
01:20:39
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Michigan has been awful for about a decade because they were on probation
[TS]
01:20:42
◼
►
for the whole chris webber fab five types stuff including when I was at
[TS]
01:20:46
◼
►
school so they're finally good again so I'm excited for the tournament this year
[TS]
01:20:51
◼
►
now that they're gonna get now that they are in the tournament there there last
[TS]
01:20:54
◼
►
year but now that I can actually sell them for the bracket you know I never
[TS]
01:20:57
◼
►
thought about I'm not trying to rub it in but it occurred to me that probably
[TS]
01:21:01
◼
►
the biggest moment and Michigan basketball history was against North
[TS]
01:21:06
◼
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Carolina yeah the false timeout right chris webber has done a lot of good for
[TS]
01:21:15
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missing
[TS]
01:21:15
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you know what though as even as a North Carolina man it was sort of an
[TS]
01:21:21
◼
►
ignominious way to win like it was waiting for this firecracker to go off
[TS]
01:21:26
◼
►
of an exciting down to the last second basketball game and the way that it
[TS]
01:21:31
◼
►
finished was oh one of the guys in the team poured water on the fire so you win
[TS]
01:21:37
◼
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that's not allowed you're not allowed to put water on the fire cracker what
[TS]
01:21:44
◼
►
happened if anybody who doesn't know and can only an abrupt but was a close game
[TS]
01:21:49
◼
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I think North Carolina was like up by 12 be an hour on but North Michigan could
[TS]
01:21:54
◼
►
have won and had the ball but they had no timeouts left and one other star
[TS]
01:21:59
◼
►
players probably the star player tried to call a timeout and in basketball if
[TS]
01:22:03
◼
►
you don't have time out and try to call a timeout it's a technical foul the
[TS]
01:22:07
◼
►
other team gets to shoot some free throws and they got the ball back and
[TS]
01:22:10
◼
►
that sort of ended the game right there there was the most anti climatic ending
[TS]
01:22:18
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alright Google Reader so I think you and I are gonna maybe disagree on yes well I
[TS]
01:22:25
◼
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i think that you will think that we will because I was being sort of funny
[TS]
01:22:28
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yesterday about it but I am fairly annoyed by this just because I C you
[TS]
01:22:35
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know I see my my traffic logs and suffered a lot of you know where the
[TS]
01:22:39
◼
►
people are reading from its a ton of people still reading from Google Reader
[TS]
01:22:44
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so I don't know where they are obviously a lot of people in our saying that
[TS]
01:22:48
◼
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they're going to step up and fill the void but it's still it's an underlying
[TS]
01:22:51
◼
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layer that a lot of these other services were using yeah that's what this to
[TS]
01:22:57
◼
►
there's two aspects to Google Reader there's the Google Reader the
[TS]
01:23:00
◼
►
traditional Google Reader interface we go to the web and you to go to read or
[TS]
01:23:03
◼
►
die google.com you are always in and read Google Reader there and tons of
[TS]
01:23:08
◼
►
people definitely do that because I see that from my referral logs people coming
[TS]
01:23:12
◼
►
from Google Reader URLs all the time I know a lot of our readers do is and I
[TS]
01:23:18
◼
►
think that they you know I don't know I don't know what is going to mean for
[TS]
01:23:20
◼
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Darren fireball because i think is most of my stuff mailinglist stuff they read
[TS]
01:23:25
◼
►
in an hour
[TS]
01:23:26
◼
►
click the headline and I never see them right they just go to our employment
[TS]
01:23:30
◼
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which is fine with me you know it's your attention that I want more than I don't
[TS]
01:23:33
◼
►
want the pageviews because I don't sell ads by pages and I just glad to have you
[TS]
01:23:38
◼
►
reading my feed and that's why sell sponsorships that go into the field they
[TS]
01:23:42
◼
►
pay for it so it's great but what a lot of people do is when I read a full
[TS]
01:23:46
◼
►
article like the one I wrote last night then instead of reading and reader then
[TS]
01:23:50
◼
►
they come to my site because they want to read it on during fireball and when I
[TS]
01:23:55
◼
►
write a full article I get you almost always the number one referral is Google
[TS]
01:23:59
◼
►
Reader and if not it's you know it's some tea Co URL from Twitter and yet
[TS]
01:24:05
◼
►
those are going to go away I mean so I have not used I used to be a Google
[TS]
01:24:12
◼
►
Reader junkie like maybe I think there was a service I use the most I was like
[TS]
01:24:17
◼
►
I was so so adamant about making sure that I read every single thing whether
[TS]
01:24:23
◼
►
you know not necessarily reading but at least seeing and skimming every single
[TS]
01:24:26
◼
►
thing that was in there I'd like over a hundred feeds that I was doing that for
[TS]
01:24:31
◼
►
and i was just very diligent throughout a day that was like my go-to thing
[TS]
01:24:35
◼
►
especially in you know in the in my prime time of of doing tech blogging
[TS]
01:24:40
◼
►
that's like how I would stay on top of every little thing and now my life is
[TS]
01:24:44
◼
►
different now of course but it just seems like I never use Google Reader
[TS]
01:24:50
◼
►
anymore I would use occasionally reader the iOS app which both iPhone and iPad
[TS]
01:24:58
◼
►
in this is great but uses Google Reader is a as as Canada under layer for it
[TS]
01:25:03
◼
►
right that's the second using google reader is as an API and a sinking
[TS]
01:25:08
◼
►
sinking API for client and that to me and Brent Simmons pointed out yesterday
[TS]
01:25:13
◼
►
is at least in like referral logs is dark matter right because it doesn't
[TS]
01:25:18
◼
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show up right but it don't underestimate how many people are using apps for feed
[TS]
01:25:24
◼
►
reading
[TS]
01:25:25
◼
►
and a lot of those apps use Google Reader is their way of thinking and so
[TS]
01:25:28
◼
►
people say a few of these guys so dig has come out
[TS]
01:25:31
◼
►
feedly Flipboard like a number of them have come out and said that they're
[TS]
01:25:35
◼
►
going to recreate or eight cool reader but a few of them have said that they're
[TS]
01:25:39
◼
►
going to try and recreate the API is well it's not clear to me how they're
[TS]
01:25:43
◼
►
doing that it they are they just going to scrape the kind of your what is an
[TS]
01:25:50
◼
►
OPML is not what the I don't know I don't know enough about how the Google
[TS]
01:25:55
◼
►
Reader API work that must be more than just OPML because there has to be away
[TS]
01:25:59
◼
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for clients like hey this one's been read yeah right you're right and pull
[TS]
01:26:04
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more its but I've also heard though you know and Brent Simmons is hurt but that
[TS]
01:26:13
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it's not a great API with a reason everybody adopted it is that it worked
[TS]
01:26:17
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you know it's a kind of a crummy API but it worked and it was never really a
[TS]
01:26:22
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published as an official API API uses all sort of and was never really
[TS]
01:26:27
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official Google never really blocked it never said don't use it but they never
[TS]
01:26:31
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said hey here's an API you can use for sinking people sort of backwards
[TS]
01:26:35
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engineered it and for example I you know some of the best documentation for Brent
[TS]
01:26:40
◼
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Simmons net newswire fame but he doesn't do not newswire anymore that's a black
[TS]
01:26:46
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pixel but while he was doing that newswire
[TS]
01:26:50
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NewsGator he and the guy behind feed demon I'm blanking on his name right now
[TS]
01:26:58
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but sorry about that but
[TS]
01:27:00
◼
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the feed demon app which is a newswire for Windows they he sort of backwards
[TS]
01:27:07
◼
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engineer lot of their API and documented it for their own news NewsGator for
[TS]
01:27:11
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their apps but Google never really published docs for it so all these
[TS]
01:27:15
◼
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people who say they're going to duplicate it or duplicating an API that
[TS]
01:27:18
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was never really fully published interesting yeah I don't know the
[TS]
01:27:26
◼
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response to it was amazing I i think that is like just look at my Twitter
[TS]
01:27:30
◼
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feed everyone was so pissed off and I do wonder and so I actually I got into a
[TS]
01:27:36
◼
►
little bit with someone yesterday wondering if this is the first time
[TS]
01:27:40
◼
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under the Larry Page that that Google goes back on something it almost seems
[TS]
01:27:44
◼
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like there's a chance they could do that right because the backlash has just been
[TS]
01:27:48
◼
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so great like google has to see this and look like we did have something there
[TS]
01:27:53
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maybe we just didn't put enough resources maybe we made a mistake and
[TS]
01:27:56
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like I don't think anyone would think poorly on them if they said they came
[TS]
01:28:00
◼
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out and said exactly that like Marco Arment made the argument that it would
[TS]
01:28:04
◼
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be the worst thing they could do that maybe the best thing that could have
[TS]
01:28:06
◼
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done was just stick with it and improve it but now once they've announced that
[TS]
01:28:10
◼
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its dead and all these other people start building competitors and trying to
[TS]
01:28:13
◼
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break out of the ecosystem the worst thing they could do it he called it a
[TS]
01:28:16
◼
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dick move would be the then say nevermind we're gonna we're gonna keep
[TS]
01:28:20
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going and then have all that wasted effort in the meantime I guess but if
[TS]
01:28:24
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unless it's a reverse yeah if they reversed course quickly enough though
[TS]
01:28:28
◼
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I'm not quite sure that that applies yeah I thought his other point Marquez
[TS]
01:28:31
◼
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other points better where it's sort of I think this is his win at least that you
[TS]
01:28:36
◼
►
know Google Reader while everyone you know all these people are up in arms
[TS]
01:28:40
◼
►
about it and rightfully so in some ways it's also it really did courts or to
[TS]
01:28:44
◼
►
stifle innovation in the RSS because it just became such a dominant player and
[TS]
01:28:50
◼
►
sort of that mean that killed off some of the other guys but they all had to
[TS]
01:28:53
◼
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either be compatible with it and so it really didn't help that space at all and
[TS]
01:29:00
◼
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some now maybe there will be animation area at a certain point free and good
[TS]
01:29:05
◼
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enough and you know and with Google behind it
[TS]
01:29:09
◼
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is enough to it's almost impossible to overcome
[TS]
01:29:13
◼
►
that's quite true but in this case in the case of the RSS market as it stood
[TS]
01:29:18
◼
►
around 2005 it was impossible for anybody to really over and everybody who
[TS]
01:29:23
◼
►
who sort of survived like apps like reader and that newswire survived by
[TS]
01:29:30
◼
►
getting on board with it as their sinking and generate it would you how do
[TS]
01:29:34
◼
►
you view though RSS overall I mean this is sort of the point were we may
[TS]
01:29:39
◼
►
disagree it's like obviously both of our our readers are are fairly still
[TS]
01:29:45
◼
►
addicted to it and use it in and you and I both in the past if not now we're
[TS]
01:29:49
◼
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addicted to using it but it never really been a mainstream thing I think everyone
[TS]
01:29:55
◼
►
would agree on that even if people I think that it you can make the argument
[TS]
01:29:58
◼
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that it's a mainstream thing in that
[TS]
01:29:58
◼
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that it's a mainstream thing in that
[TS]
01:30:00
◼
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people use things like Flipboard and stuff maybe but they don't realize
[TS]
01:30:03
◼
►
they're using RSS but no one like her parents have no idea what r assesses and
[TS]
01:30:07
◼
►
now Twitter and Facebook and the social services have sort of replace the need
[TS]
01:30:13
◼
►
for it but to some extent some of them still using I gotta know how do you say
[TS]
01:30:17
◼
►
indicate out your the daring fireball Twitter account you just sink from RSS
[TS]
01:30:22
◼
►
feeds that are you doing yeah I wrote a little thing that does read my RSS feed
[TS]
01:30:26
◼
►
I know there's other services that do it but I wanted to do it my own way so I
[TS]
01:30:30
◼
►
could truncate if if I happen to write a title that was that plus the URL was
[TS]
01:30:35
◼
►
greater than a hundred and forty characters I wanted to try to get it yet
[TS]
01:30:39
◼
►
so I do the same thing and I just wanted control over I just wanted control over
[TS]
01:30:42
◼
►
yeah that makes sense but yeah and you know what it's also that was the only
[TS]
01:30:47
◼
►
way I can figure out to get my custom link shortener and the tweets so
[TS]
01:30:51
◼
►
like to during the at during fireball account is a little I don't only like 40
[TS]
01:30:55
◼
►
lines of Perl code ok but so happy viewers like since it never is
[TS]
01:31:01
◼
►
become a means to right there's too well I think there's two ways to view it
[TS]
01:31:06
◼
►
one is as technical plumbing and I don't think Google reader's disappearance
[TS]
01:31:11
◼
►
changes that at all
[TS]
01:31:12
◼
►
plague Google Reader disappears and people who like you said who read
[TS]
01:31:16
◼
►
footboard and Flipboard just keeps working as ever it's not like websites
[TS]
01:31:21
◼
►
are gonna pull their feeds I'm not going to just because Google reader's down
[TS]
01:31:24
◼
►
even if if those tens I don't even know how many I'd really don't know how many
[TS]
01:31:31
◼
►
people but lots and lots of during Fall Ball readers read it through Google
[TS]
01:31:34
◼
►
Reader even if those readers don't subscribe to the feed again in another
[TS]
01:31:38
◼
►
app and they just go away I'm still not taking my feet away you know cuz I know
[TS]
01:31:43
◼
►
there's enough people use it elsewhere in people who read it through clipboard
[TS]
01:31:45
◼
►
and stuff like that i mean it's still worth having a feed so the way that RSS
[TS]
01:31:50
◼
►
is just plumbing that other apps using people don't even know they're reading
[TS]
01:31:54
◼
►
RSS Google Reader really I don't think has any relevance to that I don't think
[TS]
01:31:58
◼
►
it changes that all I think where does though I think the other aspect of RSS
[TS]
01:32:03
◼
►
is among the people who do know what r assesses and its
[TS]
01:32:08
◼
►
clearly a minority of the overall public but who they are are the news junkies
[TS]
01:32:13
◼
►
and I think news junkies are it's again it's it's just sort of like with the
[TS]
01:32:21
◼
►
phones where every reader is not equivalent right it's not like well if
[TS]
01:32:26
◼
►
only three percent of overall readers use RSS and know what RSS says that it
[TS]
01:32:32
◼
►
doesn't really matter of Google Reader goes away but those three percent of
[TS]
01:32:35
◼
►
readers are the best readers because they're junkies and they're gonna come
[TS]
01:32:38
◼
►
back multiple times a day they're the ones who are likely to read like every
[TS]
01:32:41
◼
►
single thing I post there like the most avid readers of daring fireball yeah so
[TS]
01:32:47
◼
►
I think that's incredibly valuable like sometimes you know it's the same way
[TS]
01:32:52
◼
►
that the Mac could be an important part of the computer industry with 45 percent
[TS]
01:32:59
◼
►
market share right and that's sort of what that sort of like this confuses me
[TS]
01:33:02
◼
►
about why Google first of all there obviously they haven't put resources
[TS]
01:33:06
◼
►
into it in a long time the entire team that built it is long gone they probably
[TS]
01:33:10
◼
►
had a few people like literally a few people working on it you know in their
[TS]
01:33:14
◼
►
spare time or whatever but it did but that's all they needed right click it
[TS]
01:33:17
◼
►
didn't need anything they were going to build a new features for it I I have to
[TS]
01:33:21
◼
►
wonder like if they're doing it just as a as a signal to we really are behind
[TS]
01:33:26
◼
►
you know again Google+ and we want people to read the news that way and we
[TS]
01:33:30
◼
►
don't want it but it seems like to shooting themselves in the foot with
[TS]
01:33:33
◼
►
just pure bad PR for no real reason because again not taking up a lot of
[TS]
01:33:39
◼
►
resources or whatever it's it's yes it's a it's a great noble cause to say that
[TS]
01:33:43
◼
►
you want to be focused and have fewer products and I think that has helped
[TS]
01:33:47
◼
►
Google in a lot regards but this is something where it's such a passionate
[TS]
01:33:52
◼
►
user base that he was gonna never be anything but but a negative for them it
[TS]
01:33:56
◼
►
sort of reminds me of when Yahoo sunset it delicious right it was like they
[TS]
01:34:01
◼
►
ended up having to spend it out and sell it it's like this Google do that there's
[TS]
01:34:07
◼
►
a lot I bet it's a lot of overlap between like the people who are diehard
[TS]
01:34:10
◼
►
delicious users are better
[TS]
01:34:12
◼
►
largely overlap with people who are very avid Google Reader users yeah and and
[TS]
01:34:17
◼
►
and Google had to know that it's like the heavy Google Reader users are also a
[TS]
01:34:22
◼
►
lot probably every single tech bloggers out there and they knew they were just
[TS]
01:34:26
◼
►
gonna get pounded and pounded and pounded on things but they did it anyway
[TS]
01:34:31
◼
►
but I think he retreated that that was funny to hear it's like so who wants to
[TS]
01:34:36
◼
►
focus on Google glass good Google cars good self-driving cars magic class the
[TS]
01:34:45
◼
►
Brazilian Social those day Google Reader yeah it's pretty funny yeah I don't know
[TS]
01:34:56
◼
►
so I'm surprised that they did this at least that way that they did it and it's
[TS]
01:35:02
◼
►
happening very soon to its you know it's only a few months which doesn't give
[TS]
01:35:06
◼
►
those other teams that are working on things from scratch like dig a lot of
[TS]
01:35:09
◼
►
time to come up with something well and sometimes you know I do wonder what
[TS]
01:35:15
◼
►
Google sees as valuable like they know there's clearly what they can sell ads
[TS]
01:35:20
◼
►
against is valuable to them that's where their revenue and that's a nice point
[TS]
01:35:24
◼
►
because they tried to do that with Feedburner and then they had feed sense
[TS]
01:35:28
◼
►
right and they just never took off when they still in Feedburner is still around
[TS]
01:35:33
◼
►
but the fact that they're doing this to our to Google Reader would make if I
[TS]
01:35:39
◼
►
ever had night never put a feeding Feedburner specifically because I never
[TS]
01:35:43
◼
►
wanted to trust even though they give you some good analytics I have always
[TS]
01:35:48
◼
►
thought I'd rather control my feed then then have the analyst so I image in in
[TS]
01:35:55
◼
►
Feedburner and I do wonder now like what does that mean like why would I i
[TS]
01:35:59
◼
►
Feedburner has been probably in my mind one of the most neglected Google
[TS]
01:36:03
◼
►
products in the last at least five years six years whatever it's been a body and
[TS]
01:36:10
◼
►
just stopped doing it right and you know the sort of humor said Dick Costolo was
[TS]
01:36:14
◼
►
the yeah it's one of the founders of the to the point of view Merseyside he used
[TS]
01:36:19
◼
►
to actually I would have problems with my personal blog feed
[TS]
01:36:22
◼
►
I would email Google about it and it would be Dick Costolo on the email IMG
[TS]
01:36:27
◼
►
let me look into that for you he was sort of funny have times changed but so
[TS]
01:36:33
◼
►
yeah they really didn't do anything with it in like you should if you ever want
[TS]
01:36:37
◼
►
to hear someone just complain non stop about Feedburner just talked to Gabe
[TS]
01:36:41
◼
►
Rivera of text me because he sees its not only that Feedburner was neglected
[TS]
01:36:45
◼
►
it would like really mess up feeds in some way point where like when he was
[TS]
01:36:50
◼
►
trying to call them for for tech media headlines on there'll be all kinds of
[TS]
01:36:53
◼
►
problems and create his own system to FeedBurner feeds yeah and part of that
[TS]
01:37:00
◼
►
I've heard that too about Feedburner that Feedburner mangels feet and that's
[TS]
01:37:04
◼
►
so far it's so almost ironic because one of the best things about Google Reader
[TS]
01:37:11
◼
►
is a Google Reader is famously good at understanding mangled feed ya right that
[TS]
01:37:19
◼
►
mismanaged you know feeds with Miss formed you know XML Google Reader was
[TS]
01:37:25
◼
►
famous for being able to I understand what you really wanted like in the way
[TS]
01:37:31
◼
►
that web browsers have always sort of dealt grace as gracefully as they can
[TS]
01:37:36
◼
►
with with mangled HTML part of the whole idea behind RSS RSS XML is a hole at the
[TS]
01:37:45
◼
►
beginning was and I know when I get into a big grin on the web standards but the
[TS]
01:37:50
◼
►
XML guys were sort of idealists and they looked at HTML and said this is this is
[TS]
01:37:56
◼
►
a nightmare the way that all the browsers have to support mangled
[TS]
01:37:59
◼
►
invalidates team now let's make it a rule that XML parsers if they encounter
[TS]
01:38:04
◼
►
an XML error have to break right right and that was the that's actually in the
[TS]
01:38:09
◼
►
spec and RSS is a form of XML so if if you have bad RSS the whatever the app
[TS]
01:38:14
◼
►
that reading is supposed to throw up an error and everybody who write software
[TS]
01:38:18
◼
►
was like that's like the worst user error I'm not going to do that I'm going
[TS]
01:38:23
◼
►
to do my best to read it
[TS]
01:38:25
◼
►
and I think overall RSS is a lot better formed in more valid than HTML but it's
[TS]
01:38:30
◼
►
you know it's just the nature of the world people are gonna write bad XML in
[TS]
01:38:35
◼
►
Google Reader did a great job of making sense of it and that meant that like
[TS]
01:38:40
◼
►
apps like reader or net news wire that goes through Google Reader for sinking
[TS]
01:38:46
◼
►
could get the advantages of that sort of parsing smartness so I do I wonder now
[TS]
01:38:54
◼
►
if as a result of this like there's either going to be one of two things
[TS]
01:38:59
◼
►
have been like either people like you and I get a significant number of
[TS]
01:39:03
◼
►
readers coming in from Google Reader just lose those guys like you said and
[TS]
01:39:07
◼
►
they don't come back or does it help blake's a few of the new guys like that
[TS]
01:39:14
◼
►
can actually innovate on top of what would a news reader should be sort of
[TS]
01:39:19
◼
►
like re-invigorate the space to think that that will happen or do you think it
[TS]
01:39:22
◼
►
will be like that's it all done now read through Twitter and so read less
[TS]
01:39:28
◼
►
you never know I think there's an opportunity clearly there's an
[TS]
01:39:30
◼
►
opportunity here for a reinvigoration of the entire RSS market and if you're
[TS]
01:39:35
◼
►
really a news junkie I mean I do I really do worry about it in terms of the
[TS]
01:39:40
◼
►
overall traffic is horrible because anytime you have to make a choice you
[TS]
01:39:43
◼
►
can make a choice not to do it you know whereas like so like a die hard during
[TS]
01:39:47
◼
►
fireball reader who subscribe through Google Reader and reserving I write once
[TS]
01:39:50
◼
►
Google Reader goes away that reader has a choice of you know that this that the
[TS]
01:39:56
◼
►
other replacement for Google Reader but another one of the choices they have is
[TS]
01:40:00
◼
►
just not to subscribe and just think in the back of their mind our check during
[TS]
01:40:04
◼
►
fireball out on the Web whenever I think of right and you hit me and you have to
[TS]
01:40:07
◼
►
imagine that that's going to be at least some percentage or not it's gonna be
[TS]
01:40:11
◼
►
more than 20 right that's you know and who knows how big it is
[TS]
01:40:15
◼
►
so I'm worried but it's certainly something I'm concerned about other
[TS]
01:40:21
◼
►
things too is I have no idea how many people returning fire ball through
[TS]
01:40:24
◼
►
Google Reader I posted the other day where it where when they hit your feed
[TS]
01:40:28
◼
►
they put in the user agent string how many subscribers there are two your feet
[TS]
01:40:33
◼
►
in Google Reader and for Darren fireball its three hundred and seventy some
[TS]
01:40:36
◼
►
thousand plus a bunch of other hundred and some that are subdued for some
[TS]
01:40:41
◼
►
reason Google Reader sometimes put your feet in under a different right I D but
[TS]
01:40:46
◼
►
it's you know somewhere in the order of of close to 400,000 but there's no way
[TS]
01:40:51
◼
►
that there's actually 400,000 active readers because that counts
[TS]
01:40:55
◼
►
everybody who's ever subscribe to my feed in Google Reader whether they're
[TS]
01:40:58
◼
►
still using google reader are not right when when somebody who uses any feed
[TS]
01:41:03
◼
►
reader Google Reader or anything when they stopped using it when they do sort
[TS]
01:41:07
◼
►
of fade away from using google reader and don't really check in anymore
[TS]
01:41:11
◼
►
nobody goes in and unsubscribe from all their feeds first right there still
[TS]
01:41:15
◼
►
subscribed right so I have no idea
[TS]
01:41:18
◼
►
hundred thousand active readers of daring fireballs freedom Google Reader
[TS]
01:41:21
◼
►
is it actually close to that 370,000 number is it really only 25,000 I I have
[TS]
01:41:27
◼
►
no idea and so do you also think that someone put us for it I think it was on
[TS]
01:41:31
◼
►
Twitter yesterday the notion that because feed sense the monetization of
[TS]
01:41:39
◼
►
the feeds never really took off in the way that it was hoping Google viewed
[TS]
01:41:42
◼
►
this is like it's almost like they entered into the system what they want
[TS]
01:41:49
◼
►
to do because they they want people to be on the web they want people to be
[TS]
01:41:52
◼
►
using Google and they want people to be on websites where their shirt showing up
[TS]
01:41:55
◼
►
Google ads and a lot of people you know like I would just few things through the
[TS]
01:42:00
◼
►
feed reader if it had a full feed and I would never hit those sites cause I'm
[TS]
01:42:03
◼
►
not gonna go there to comments and do other things and so you know there's an
[TS]
01:42:08
◼
►
argument that could be made that I was in a way you know if you want to call it
[TS]
01:42:13
◼
►
mooching or whatever
[TS]
01:42:14
◼
►
off of those sites that were making no advertising money off of me and so since
[TS]
01:42:19
◼
►
Google being the largest by far web advertiser Google to some extent than
[TS]
01:42:23
◼
►
was losing money as a result of that
[TS]
01:42:25
◼
►
I guess so maybe I can help it today must be part of the equation that they
[TS]
01:42:30
◼
►
put you know to decide to stop this that Thursday couldn't you know they didn't
[TS]
01:42:34
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think it was a way to make money but the thing that surprises me is that they
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didn't see it as a way to collect interesting information about people
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yeah what you know that maybe they can't put ads on it while you're reading in
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Google Reader but they do know what you're reading and Google Reader yeah
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that seems to me like it would inform the ads they can show you elsewhere when
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they can show you and yes that's what surprises me is it seems to me that
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knowing what a couple of million news junkies are reading seems like really
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interesting information from Google perspective like something that they
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could do something that just seems like prime Google material and then I just
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always assume that's why they built it in the first and that reminds me of
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something which I thought about until right now but someone had always
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BuzzFeed BuzzFeed about three months ago has a link to it and so I just searched
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01:43:22
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for it quickly BuzzFeed had the story that goes in depth about the night that
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01:43:29
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Google shut off the social features within Google Reader and switched over
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01:43:33
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to Google+ integration and this was like a giant think for a lot of these users
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01:43:38
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who is really like the first step when everyone knew like the type that is
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01:43:42
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coming or whatever but there's like there's this whole thing called like
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01:43:45
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share Bros sounds ridiculous but there's some kind of community called share Bros
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01:43:51
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within the Google Reader community that were just like using google reader just
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to share with one another and it really was like a very tight knit community I
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01:44:01
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guess of people who around news and and Google could have had all of this
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interesting information around that that kind of data but instead that they'd be
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tried to go for the Google+ integration and an alienated all of those users and
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then later took off or or they were just pissed off and now but it speaks to what
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01:44:20
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you were getting at where you could have done a lot more interesting things like
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01:44:23
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they had a really great social network for news and they never really did
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01:44:29
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anything with it just doesn't quite I've always thought that Google had two types
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01:44:35
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of things their inner city
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01:44:36
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one that things that they actually sell ads against and then to the type of
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01:44:41
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things where they can collect information about you if you're signed
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01:44:45
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into Google that would be useful for selling ads against you of your interest
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01:44:50
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later like one level away from advertising and so to me maps is like
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01:44:55
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that like to me they don't I'd never see many ads on maps very few certainly know
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01:44:59
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I've never seen enough ads on Google Maps that would ever justify the value
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01:45:03
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I've gotten out of it but presumably when I'm signed into Google and use maps
[TS]
01:45:09
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the location data that they've collected about me is useful to them right right
[TS]
01:45:14
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that it's more the aggregate use it the aggregate location data of their users
[TS]
01:45:19
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is what's valuable to Google Maps for them not the ads they're actually
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01:45:22
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selling through apps yeah and I was at the same thing about Google Reader yeah
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01:45:28
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I saw the only thing that sticks in my head that is just said they feel like
[TS]
01:45:32
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once again they need to push Google+ in to be that source of information
[TS]
01:45:38
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well and that's you know I guess that that's the other factor and the other
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01:45:42
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thing I thought Google Reader be interesting for it wouldn't and I maybe
[TS]
01:45:45
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it already is maybe this is a source of information is going away but I always
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01:45:48
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presumed that Google Reader would be important for driving the algorithms
[TS]
01:45:53
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behind Google News right and what's what's a top story what's going to get
[TS]
01:45:57
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people interested
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01:45:59
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like a lot of people interested in this you know galaxy s4 launch kids are
[TS]
01:46:05
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reading these things about it so let's promote that story on Google News to the
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01:46:09
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mass market
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01:46:10
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of people who just check out Google News yeah and there was out there was an
[TS]
01:46:13
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ocean way back in the day probably five years ago or something that people that
[TS]
01:46:18
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Google was going to create a quote unquote big killer by using the Google
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01:46:22
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Reader information right to say what people were starring because it was like
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01:46:26
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a big part of it you could star all the things people would subscribe to save
[TS]
01:46:30
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you know squabbles yeah that's right right right so you could surface then
[TS]
01:46:35
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the top news the day that and they never did it it was like an easy way to
[TS]
01:46:40
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particularly Iran link blog where ya you you would go through Google Reader when
[TS]
01:46:45
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you saw something interesting you'd start it and
[TS]
01:46:47
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anybody if you're if you're I guess I think you had control over whether that
[TS]
01:46:50
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was published yeah you did designs for it right at one then you could you know
[TS]
01:46:55
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you were started links through Google Reader was you know like a link plug
[TS]
01:47:00
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yeah I that's the thing that you're saying about Google+ as I also I do
[TS]
01:47:04
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wonder whether this was like this political spot fungus of that they've
[TS]
01:47:08
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been trying to get people to use Google+ for a lot of the same things discovery
[TS]
01:47:13
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of interesting links and sharing links and it just isn't taking off right and
[TS]
01:47:20
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that somebody else made the point that if the reason they're there for their
[TS]
01:47:23
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reason for killing Google Reader is it just isn't popular enough and wise
[TS]
01:47:28
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Google+ is clearly fewer people are using Google Plus reader and someone has
[TS]
01:47:33
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anyone had the stats yesterday that they're still seeing way more inbound
[TS]
01:47:37
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traffic from Google Reader Google+ everybody is everybody is the only
[TS]
01:47:41
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reason that when they quote Google+ numbers that there they called a huge
[TS]
01:47:44
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number is the account Gmail users Google+ so if you use Gmail it's like 50
[TS]
01:47:49
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million people account is active Google+ user but nobody's actually using Google+
[TS]
01:47:54
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is cooler not nobody but relatively few compared to Google Reader I carried
[TS]
01:47:58
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outside of Google Voice but Google+ is like the baby that's the the prized the
[TS]
01:48:04
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favorite child that's the one Larry Page you know that's his baby is CEO that's
[TS]
01:48:09
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the one that what's his name the guy from Microsoft is always a keno quiet
[TS]
01:48:18
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Vic Gundotra yeah Vic Gundotra
[TS]
01:48:22
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he is you know he's you know obviously very influential there and you know
[TS]
01:48:26
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Google+ is sort of his baby and I kinda can't help but feel that they've they
[TS]
01:48:33
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like Coke some sticks like come on move to Google+ Google+ and none of the
[TS]
01:48:38
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diehard Google Reader movers users dead and now it's like wow now you're gonna
[TS]
01:48:42
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have to ya which I haven't heard one single person say they did this to
[TS]
01:48:48
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Google Reader but I guess I'll move to Google+ its if anything the opposite
[TS]
01:48:52
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will happen to be more spiteful of it and just not go there right because you
[TS]
01:48:56
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can't even do i mean there's the sharing stuff you can do but you can subscribe
[TS]
01:49:00
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to feeds me that's what most people want to do these things I'm interested in I
[TS]
01:49:06
◼
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wanted to see every single thing that they post right and you can I mean you
[TS]
01:49:10
◼
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could do it in the same convoluted way that you do that for Twitter which is
[TS]
01:49:12
◼
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that you would set up some kind of automated thing where it you create a
[TS]
01:49:16
◼
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page for your site or whatever and then you then you do an RSS to Google+ right
[TS]
01:49:22
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had sort of a boil the ocean plan know where everybody who has our news
[TS]
01:49:25
◼
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publishing RSS his gayness publisher Google+ I don't know me I'm not gonna do
[TS]
01:49:31
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that yeah that's going to be your future all Google+ yeah so how do you see a
[TS]
01:49:42
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plan before we sign up do you think that that this again it's not know there's
[TS]
01:49:48
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zero chance that RSS as technical plumbing is going away and I think when
[TS]
01:49:52
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they reach a time or called it take the file system of news right and I think
[TS]
01:49:57
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that's a great analogy insofar as it's like iOS users in post-pc I'll post PC
[TS]
01:50:04
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platform sort of obfuscate the file system from the user's that doesn't mean
[TS]
01:50:08
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the file system isn't there though is so they're in the code uses it that's our
[TS]
01:50:12
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going away but is news reading for news junkies going on so I guess I guess the
[TS]
01:50:17
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way I would answer that is I wonder what this means is relative to the world just
[TS]
01:50:22
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continuing to shift towards mobile computer right it's like the RSS readers
[TS]
01:50:27
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and at the Google Reader in particular work great on the desktop but on mobile
[TS]
01:50:33
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while reader and there are some other good
[TS]
01:50:35
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ones feedly in some other good ones out there it's not the same and I don't feel
[TS]
01:50:41
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like people use it in the exact same way because you just can't it's a small
[TS]
01:50:44
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screen you know your your you can't multitask really in the same way of
[TS]
01:50:49
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doing as you can on a computer and so i i think that this is an opportunity for
[TS]
01:50:55
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something new to come about or for something someone like Flipboard or
[TS]
01:50:59
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dagger someone else to take advantage and really innovate on top of what has
[TS]
01:51:03
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come before it but I do think it's going to have to be different from what it was
[TS]
01:51:07
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I don't think that we just get this straight up news reader as we had with
[TS]
01:51:12
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Google Reader because it just you know everyone's on the phone all the time and
[TS]
01:51:16
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I mostly links I clicked through on Twitter and then I either save them to
[TS]
01:51:20
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read later and Instapaper whatever and then but I i'm just not using a feed
[TS]
01:51:25
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reader anywhere I do on my desktop but I don't on my phone because twitter fills
[TS]
01:51:33
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up the entirety of my I'm on my phone and I'm bored waiting in a line or have
[TS]
01:51:39
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a couple of minutes to blow what's new
[TS]
01:51:41
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I never get to the end of what's new in Twitter and then think well alright
[TS]
01:51:45
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maybe I'll switch to get to that's exactly right I'm exact same way and and
[TS]
01:51:51
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I assume you still click on links with into attorney reads stories as your
[TS]
01:51:54
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going but it's it's just a different way of its different mentality because it's
[TS]
01:51:58
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a different use cases so I do think that it's just going to be different going
[TS]
01:52:02
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forward but clearly there's I died not sure there's a lot of people listening
[TS]
01:52:06
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right now who do you use reader or net newswire something you know
[TS]
01:52:10
◼
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their phones and iPads in a reader and certainly is very popular yeah on the
[TS]
01:52:15
◼
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phone and you know what are they going to use for sinking I don't know and I do
[TS]
01:52:22
◼
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that's the one thing that's the thing that Google Reader had that's essential
[TS]
01:52:25
◼
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to mobile is it really nobody wants to use an RSS readers that don't sink right
[TS]
01:52:33
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it's the same way that nobody wants to use III email that doesn't think like if
[TS]
01:52:37
◼
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you read 10 emails on your phone
[TS]
01:52:40
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nobody wants to sit down at their desktop and marked those 10 messages
[TS]
01:52:44
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read again drive you nuts right same thing with RSS you don't want to see all
[TS]
01:52:49
◼
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these articles to read on your phone we sit down you gotta have sync but
[TS]
01:52:52
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everybody was using google reader forcing so what's gonna happen yes I one
[TS]
01:52:56
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of these guys I don't know I don't know who will win i'd I would imagine that
[TS]
01:53:00
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there won't be just one that becomes massive cos I think they'll go about a
[TS]
01:53:04
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different way right there will be a visual one there'll be a more
[TS]
01:53:07
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streamlined quick one so yeah I think it's a it's a good opportunity for a lot
[TS]
01:53:13
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of people but it does its gonna hurt for a while until someone builds yeah and it
[TS]
01:53:18
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also seems to me like nm first thought if anybody thinks well they're giving us
[TS]
01:53:22
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till July you know that's pretty generous I you know from an engineering
[TS]
01:53:25
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standpoint boy from now to july is not a long time to build a reliable scalable
[TS]
01:53:30
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platform you're right it's gonna be it's going to be tough one last final point I
[TS]
01:53:38
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want to make its ok you brought up you brought up going back to my roots going
[TS]
01:53:42
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back to earlier think she wrote a Google i/o with with Vic Gundotra talk about
[TS]
01:53:46
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that I wonder if maybe that has to do with the timing right because they know
[TS]
01:53:50
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that Google i/o is coming up its go and reason to be a huge part of it maybe
[TS]
01:53:54
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even half of it say and they need it to be they need to nail that presentation
[TS]
01:53:59
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right and they can't have any rubin you know on his way out the door
[TS]
01:54:05
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you know having just stepped down two weeks earlier whatever up there on stage
[TS]
01:54:09
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giving that presentation they need like cohesive leadership and in everyone to
[TS]
01:54:15
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be on the same page so maybe that does have something to do it
[TS]
01:54:17
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yeah but they could have done it today that's true and even if they didn't want
[TS]
01:54:21
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to burden on a Friday
[TS]
01:54:22
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day then you know couldn't Monday that's a really good post I just don't know
[TS]
01:54:29
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just verbalizing it made me think that it's not a it really is not a
[TS]
01:54:32
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coincidence that they did it the day before the day of I forget but before
[TS]
01:54:37
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that s for lunch maybe that was either the ultimate middle finger or ultimate
[TS]
01:54:43
◼
►
olive branch to Sams on hard to say could be either way but I don't think it
[TS]
01:54:48
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was unrelated yeah very interesting oMG see their thanks for being our Paris
[TS]
01:54:55
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11.com at Paris lemon on Twitter
[TS]
01:54:59
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thank you for having me again my thanks to my sponsors to deal with simple
[TS]
01:55:03
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bracket the great iPhone app Pixelmator
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01:55:06
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Pixelmator dot com and and things and things cloud sync it cultured code dot
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