38: Up To The Creepy Line
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so you get your wbez ticket you know me yeah i dont i dont i dont need to take
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it take it you're not going about that I was only event that was pretty amazing I
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mean we have his medical back to see what the Jodi predictions were from last
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year to see if they were actually beaten right like as everybody was sort of
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looking at this late exponential when you quit sold out
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never having sold out to selling out in I don't know why I actually of those
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written down on you look it up in the mobile sound smart it was up through
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2008 never sold out in 2008 was the first sellout
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was announced March 13th sold out two months later the 14th of May 2009 was
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the 26th of March they announced it and it's sold out one month 28th of April 12
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months 1 month the next year was about a week
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28th of April 26 to May 2010 and 2011 is when it started getting not announced in
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the morning
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128 the March sold out 12 hours later than last year two hours two hours two
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hours yesterday it's all down half a second I was predicting a total nerd
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shit show I thought that they'd flip a switch at 1 p.m. Pacific and say we're
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starting to take tickets and then I thought everything was just the entire
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internet would collapse on itself and wasn't quite like that I i didnt know I
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i I did security and I wasn't you didn't know no secret system I just 11 p.m. my
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reloaded the page and then it still said you know night or whatever the things
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said and I hit reload again and it was a little button showed up that said sign
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in sign in and it auto filled my ADC credentials should continue and there
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was something else and it said continue and then it's now time to pay and it
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auto filled my eyes sorry auto filled my have different to different we call
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those things there
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Apple I D has my payment information in it
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pre-filled in my credit card all I had to do is type the secret four-digit code
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he continued and then it said thank you you've purchased the WBC ticket and I
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was like wow that was really easy and the meantime overnight when I am when
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the couple of rope in pocket fascist was like sold out and I just thought he was
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joking about and I dunno I just presumed there because it was like four clicks
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and I credit card confirmation number for me that it was the same way for
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everybody but apparently not get where they go from here I don't know how do I
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really don't think it's you know I don't know what you know I guess this is
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better I think this is better than than last year
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you know where if they start selling at the moment they announced it somebody
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somewhere around the world it's the middle of the night in their sleep and
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it's you know it's too late so keep asking for a lottery system people keep
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asking for a lottery system yeah I feel kind of feel like what they did
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yesterday was a defacto lottery well that's what i was wondering what I was
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thinking too you know I don't know how else I don't know how else they could
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make it more luck based on a random
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everybody show up at a certain time and whoever gets there first gets in first
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and it's it's it's like that it is obviously more need than there is room
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but the problem is capacity and mostly it's an issue
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capacity of Apple resources right right it's a couple of things like you know
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they could they could rent the bigger parts of Moscone north or south of
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something like that and have more room but that doesn't get them that much
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further I don't think and they can't really like when I think I lots and lots
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of people suggest is why don't they just split off Mac and iOS I think two
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problems with that is the biggest problem is they can't do to what they
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could do two weeks they can do whatever they want but every week of WBC is a
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week where Apple's engineering effectively shuts down the actual the
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actual people making Apple products released the software are there wEDC
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doing these presentations and stuff and to do it for two weeks would be you know
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an additional drain on Apple actually working on their products and stuff like
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that I think the other problem with that is that iOS so dwarfs Mac OS 10 even
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know that Pakistan has never been as popular as it is you know developer
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platform I just don't think it makes a big difference I think that if some of
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the resources of the same the board the way they could split it might make it a
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little bit more double capacity would be if they split off games as a separate
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conference like I think if there's one group that couldn't be half but one
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group that would split off the most people who are interested in something
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else specific that could sort of its own conference would be like iOS gaming
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I mean it seems like some people are trying to fill the gap at Apple can't
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fill by creating side conferences and even trying to run them during the same
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week which i think is kind of clever yeah it is kind of interesting because
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one thing too about to be the BBC I mean even know itself sold out instantly and
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it's as big as Apple can make in moscow me west it's not that big of a
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conference by moscow knees standards you know compared to you know I don't even
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know if Apple's made this official but everybody just passes the number around
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its captain about 5,000 people and I know that that's about right
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it somewhere around four or five thousand attendees at WWDC but like I
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know that the JavaOne conference that son used to run against Oracle runs now
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I think it's over 20,000 attendees you know it's almost more like a convention
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you know like a trade show type thing too and there's a couple of other trade
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shows and I know that that there's a GDC conference the game developer conference
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that's huge because it used to be
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tickets in March or something like that or February in last couple of years
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coincided with when Apple was having introduction events for new iPads and so
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I was out in San Francisco for the event and I it was hard to get a hotel room
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and I'm totally unfamiliar with that usually like for like macworld and for
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WBC it's not that hard to get a hotel room there's tons of hotels around Las
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going but like GDC is so big that it actually like fills up the hotel's you
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can get a room so WBC is not like that at all so there is room for you know
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little alternative tunes
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yeah and seems to be a part of the the great thing about WBC is getting
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personal contact with the Apple developers right absolutely getting it
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in the sessions are part of the point but also part of the point is being able
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to go up to the guy or woman after the session and say I got this particular
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problem and you know I don't have a solid and they give you a clue as to
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maybe they will sometimes and sometimes you can get them to say something to you
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that they were
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would not put in writing an Email rate you know something and you might feel
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they're not going to sit there are four would get them in trouble but there are
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also a host of good Apple developers who are not working apple and it seems like
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a lot of people can benefit from going to something else that might be less
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expensive and you can actually give it to ya I wonder as I wander if these
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alternative things I know there's a coke on that I think they're trying to get up
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cocom fault or something like that and yeah all WWDC yeah which I guess they
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get away with by the fact that they're not charging yeah that's kind of concern
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some jack-booted Apple folks come into the middle shut the whole thing down
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fraud March everybody out so the other big thing this week and it does seem now
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I gets caught two times in a row I call a pattern is two times in a row they've
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announced WWDC the day after Apple's second quarter earnings come out and I
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think I don't know that it's quite the plan like they knew all along I think
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that it's that they don't announce to be the BDC because they're not a hundred
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percent sure they're going to be ready and they want to wait till they're a
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hundred percent sure that you know they're gonna have no new versions of
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iOS ready to show for developers and stuff and then by the time they're ready
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if it's close enough to their earnings date then there in that quiet period and
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I feel like you know they just figured we might as well wait till it's over I
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hope quiet period thing I don't understand it seems like it's like it's
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sort of Michelle Lee defined to understand then yes I understand the
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principle but i don't understood I don't know if there is anything that's set in
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stone as to how far in advance they can talk
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talk and those earnings when god what a shitshow this is one of those things and
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is one of his I want to have you show this week has its I feel like it's
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become the second thing that people there's a good contingent of people and
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I realized I truly believe that they're annoyed but the one thing that often
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comes up is there's a contingent of people who don't like it when people
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like us
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linked to stupid articles and point out specifically how stupid that they are
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because we're quote-unquote feeding the trolls and we're giving them exactly
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what they want which is page views in making Rob Enderle Hilty staff and i'd
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kind of understand the principle there but I did you know and I i try not to
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link to stupid people who are security but somebody write some really stupid
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like let's say forbes' or something like that
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like I feel like if you can point out how stupid it is there's a there's a
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point to it right because I mean I know forbes has always been sort of the
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serious financial publications but it still it's it's relatively well
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respected and some cards right and you think that they would know better and
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the other thing that people are starting to complain about is why does everybody
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right about Apple's finances who cares about the finances in the stock price
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just you know we want to read about the products and what they're doing and
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stuff like that and I understand that too but I kind of feel like it's such an
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absurd story that it demands attention it's just it's a bizarre story like if
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their stock prices were what i think is even vaguely aligned with how well
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they're doing well then I wouldn't be writing about it right and there was a
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time when I think it was four years where it was loosely sane and I didn't
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write about it I feel like what makes it interesting is how insane it yeah
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its people have become detached from reality and some absolutely and some of
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it seems to be it is so hard to figure freedoms for me anyway to figure out the
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workings of Wall Street but there's so much 12 dimensional chess going on that
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but some of it seems like it's deliberate right you know there's
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there's a deliberate campaign and what you know we've not had enough to think
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that it's an organized campaign but there are there are very good reasons
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for financial reasons for some of these people to try and ride the stock down
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just like speculators or people shorting the stock stuff like that somebody any
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reader sent me a quote today from a guy one of the European carriers I don't
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know Sweden or something like that it was speaking at a conference and the guy
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was like the CEO of one of the major carriers there and he just flat out said
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on stage it would be great for us I really hope Apple falls on its face and
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collapses and you know and I think the thinking there is a Apple isn't such a
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strong position of course the carriers have this contentious relationship with
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them because they want to dominate the relationship with the customers and
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Apple has sort of the serb that we're with the iPhone Apple controls it right
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and you know famously just stuff like the fact that Apple controls the
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software updates I mean over the phone still has that every other phone around
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the world you still get your software updates to the carrier and so that's you
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know if not for Apple apples like the Scooby Doo gang you know who you know if
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not for the way with the night but then you see then this guy at least had the
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balls to say to be honest and say it you know just come out and say it on stage
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but you know that their lot of those guys are the unnamed sources they know
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that his business record
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reporters quote you know when they say sources close to the familiar with the
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blah blah blah say you know component orders are down throughout
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whatever its people who have you know a stake in the game and now this this this
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is actually even before they announced record results but there was a four
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piece about how days were numbered as they come out and it was widely cited
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and then the thing that happens and it's so dastardly is like this that the old
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game a telephone where it's like after this guy does and he's not even like a
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columnist at forbes he's like a contributor which is like what forbes'
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means by that is shit that anybody can throw up against the wall and see what
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sticks and they get rewarded for writing stuff that gets a lot of page views and
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then that guy Doug Kass who he just tweeted apparently just purposefully and
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and apparently completely legally just tweets things that aren't true and then
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bets the way that that is famously was wasn't the day of their quarterly
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results oh that's right before their stock stockholders meeting right before
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Apple's annual stockholder meeting a couple of months ago couple weeks ago
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the day before Doug Kass says my my noms up in the mountains say Apple's about to
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announce a stock split and I don't know if it was good news or bad news and
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investors speak but whichever way it was he bet the other way he liked because he
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knew it wasn't true and then like two hours later he's like well what is my
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kind I don't know then the next day comes and goes in there is no stock
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split and nobody cares and then now you know two months later two days or one
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day right before Apple releases its financial results heat weeds 90 min says
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Tim Cook's Tim Cook is cooked
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right and then all of a sudden with this guy who made up a thing about a stock
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split two months ago and we know we made it up or if he didn't make it up whoever
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told him made it up you know same guy who made that up two months ago says
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that Tim Cook is Cook and one guy in Forbes says that executives at the
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companies say the board is looking for a replacement attempt the thing that
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happens and is now you can finally 20 30 40 things around the web of people
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saying people are saying rain Cook is notable word is Tim Cook is in trouble
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and it is complete nonsense his wording so some Wall Street sources close to
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some apple executives say such a move is afoot
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so this guy on one says he knows who says that it's happening and it it just
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beggars belief like who who in a World Series CEO who in the world there's what
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is their seven billion people on the planet at up to seven billion out of all
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seven billion people who are walking faces here who could replace who could
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Apple's board sanely replaced him cook with right now right now in all honesty
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anybody in the world I mean I can come up with maybe two or three answers I
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would say Jony ive maybe Phil Schiller I think if they announced that they said
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we fired Tim Cook and replace them with Phil Schiller I think everybody would
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think that's that's what's the point right now might be the one who's some
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people would say well that's good
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here's why that's nonsense what does anybody actually think that Jony ive has
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less control right now today than he would if his title were changed to see
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he has exactly the right amount of control for the things that he's an
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expert in his title is but he's effectively product designer chief
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design officer to get tickets now chief design officer
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to describe it but especially given what happened with Scott Forstall last year
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were where johnnie I was put in charge of software designed to use effectively
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in charge of all product design hardware and software which is exactly like what
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steve Jobs was really in charge of the few know the ultimate arbiter of taste
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in product design for the company so it wouldn't it wouldn't make any change but
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does anybody actually think that like Jony ive has this late game changing
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world shaking it's it's like the next thing that is amazing is the first
[TS]
00:19:24
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iPhone and Tim Cook is like no I don't think so just keep so that we have that
[TS]
00:19:31
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one in labs we don't need anything like that and the other thing is it will put
[TS]
00:19:36
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in charge of stuff that he's not competent to be in charge of right now
[TS]
00:19:42
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we need him cut rate operations hired they come in the morning and leave at
[TS]
00:19:50
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night doing nothing but look at work and refining her a product exactly so like
[TS]
00:19:56
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there'd be a credibility of saying Jony ive is the CEO of Apple where you know
[TS]
00:20:00
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the people who are at Apple's clearly respect him and if not you know love him
[TS]
00:20:06
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and he's there he knows and understands our pool but exactly it would just be
[TS]
00:20:10
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burning him with responsibilities that would distract him from what he does
[TS]
00:20:14
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best and he doesn't seem like the kind of guy who really wants that spotlight
[TS]
00:20:17
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anyway no he gets up on stage heats to do that stuff right so people often do
[TS]
00:20:23
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you know right to me and said you think johnnie I will do the key noted that
[TS]
00:20:27
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could in theory I mean it's only have the credibility but my understanding and
[TS]
00:20:31
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it certainly seems to be from years and years of watching it he just doesn't
[TS]
00:20:36
◼
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enjoy that he doesn't like public speaking he likes you know easy and he
[TS]
00:20:40
◼
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certainly acquits himself very very well in those designed videos they always
[TS]
00:20:43
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show yeah but I don't think he you know he likes being in front of a crowd right
[TS]
00:20:48
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you know I'd like to see a pic Bob Mansfield man Big Bob Mansfield would
[TS]
00:20:54
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kill you imagine
[TS]
00:20:56
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stage time it that yeah but I was thinking a CEO yeah I could see and talk
[TS]
00:21:10
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about gravitas right he's really looks just like the type of guy to where did
[TS]
00:21:17
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you know some of it some of it is like negotiations you know where you know
[TS]
00:21:20
◼
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it's it's you know you're negotiating with record labels or movie companies or
[TS]
00:21:24
◼
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something like that yeah parts suppliers you know would you like to see I don't
[TS]
00:21:29
◼
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see Bob Mansfield in the negotiating room actually is there actually if you
[TS]
00:21:34
◼
►
think about what he does is the ones with Samsung where they're negotiating
[TS]
00:21:39
◼
►
over the the CPUs in this stuff that Samsung makes I think those have got to
[TS]
00:21:45
◼
►
be the best meetings that Apple has where they're dealing with Samsung over
[TS]
00:21:50
◼
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the components they were he walks in and he has a bowling ball in his hand and he
[TS]
00:21:53
◼
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just crashes like he probably ways and it's not a corpulent man he's just he's
[TS]
00:22:05
◼
►
he's a very imposing figure that these guys from Korea are not physically
[TS]
00:22:10
◼
►
imposing I guess he probably weighs as much as three of them the other person
[TS]
00:22:16
◼
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would forestall
[TS]
00:22:19
◼
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I think that I think that would play very poorly I think we played poorly too
[TS]
00:22:25
◼
►
but I would imagine that that somebody that people think of all right I think
[TS]
00:22:30
◼
►
if he hadn't been ousted if that hadn't happened you know theory could have been
[TS]
00:22:39
◼
►
see it seems like you got a lot of it be the next one or something like that and
[TS]
00:22:43
◼
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I i probably you know I don't know that much about like intrigued at that level
[TS]
00:22:47
◼
►
but I would be surprised if that's what forced all thought in the back of his
[TS]
00:22:50
◼
►
mind not that he was going to bootcamp cookout but that if if and when cook
[TS]
00:22:55
◼
►
stepped aside say ten years from now fifteen years from now that he might be
[TS]
00:22:58
◼
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next in line
[TS]
00:22:59
◼
►
yeah but the main point though is that there is nobody outside Apple could have
[TS]
00:23:05
◼
►
any credibility whatsoever as CEO of Apple nobody not one person in the world
[TS]
00:23:10
◼
►
could possibly come in at this point and CEO of Apple nobody and nobody within
[TS]
00:23:17
◼
►
the company will have any faith and that move that would that would be if you
[TS]
00:23:20
◼
►
think that there's any kind of brain drain now engineers I mean they would
[TS]
00:23:24
◼
►
all I mean it would just be like rats leaving the sinking ship type thing the
[TS]
00:23:29
◼
►
board when not fired him cookin hired anybody outside
[TS]
00:23:35
◼
►
but it just doesn't it doesn't even seem like it
[TS]
00:23:38
◼
►
this question in reality is being approached whatsoever that this whole
[TS]
00:23:43
◼
►
thing is just complete and utter fabrication
[TS]
00:23:47
◼
►
it makes either either maliciously its it is logical equivalent of somebody
[TS]
00:23:54
◼
►
saying that we can solve climate change by just everybody just turn your vacuum
[TS]
00:23:59
◼
►
and just vacuumed up the co2 in the atmosphere and then keep it you know
[TS]
00:24:05
◼
►
make sure the bags sealed type problem solved
[TS]
00:24:08
◼
►
like get it makes that much sense it's a there's no logic to it whatsoever as I
[TS]
00:24:14
◼
►
guess what they're saying I guess if you want to pretend and just play along with
[TS]
00:24:18
◼
►
them that the board is actually think about kicking given the boot attempt
[TS]
00:24:21
◼
►
cooking hiring somebody outside the company to take over is that the Board
[TS]
00:24:26
◼
►
of Apple is not just gonna fire Tim Cook but that they are going to completely
[TS]
00:24:31
◼
►
changed what Apple does and the way Apple does things and do things
[TS]
00:24:36
◼
►
completely differently and I guess more like what other companies do you know
[TS]
00:24:42
◼
►
like an apple be more like a regular normal computer which makes no sense
[TS]
00:24:47
◼
►
when you look at the actual numbers they reported their cities like insane
[TS]
00:24:52
◼
►
amounts of revenue and profit
[TS]
00:24:56
◼
►
why in the world would you want to change that makes no sense whatsoever
[TS]
00:25:00
◼
►
and the degree to which the overblown analysis is going to give you another
[TS]
00:25:10
◼
►
quote this is somebody writing for Yahoo Finance regardless of what Apple stock
[TS]
00:25:15
◼
►
doesn't near-term yesterday's performance left little doubt that Cook
[TS]
00:25:18
◼
►
is not only a pale imitation of should Steve Jobs
[TS]
00:25:22
◼
►
but a low rent version of john sculley make any sounds as if it were true if it
[TS]
00:25:35
◼
►
were true that would be devastating
[TS]
00:25:37
◼
►
it's just it's just a cheap shot right that has no basis in fact Apple was
[TS]
00:25:43
◼
►
losing money when sculley was was in charge I don't think they were a look at
[TS]
00:25:49
◼
►
them off I looked at the day they had one of at least one was that he really
[TS]
00:25:55
◼
►
left him in bad shape for the future
[TS]
00:25:57
◼
►
was under sculley they did ship the Newton Newton you know was a real thing
[TS]
00:26:03
◼
►
and very well-regarded and you know it's really do a whole show about how much
[TS]
00:26:08
◼
►
how far ahead of its time it was in terms of host PC computing and stuff
[TS]
00:26:14
◼
►
like that a great great thing love my noon in a lot of ways but was not a
[TS]
00:26:18
◼
►
financial hit so it didn't help out financially and they wasted all this
[TS]
00:26:23
◼
►
time on the Mac on these things pink intelligent and all these things that
[TS]
00:26:27
◼
►
never amounted to anything but I do think that he left them profitable if
[TS]
00:26:32
◼
►
they did they had had a wonder what the guys get not kill the German guy you
[TS]
00:26:38
◼
►
used to hide under desks michael spindler michael spindler
[TS]
00:26:43
◼
►
hell is he the one apple CEO who is still alive but nobody ever tried them
[TS]
00:26:49
◼
►
out you know like sculley gets tried it out every couple of months and and his
[TS]
00:26:54
◼
►
two cents on what Apple's up to nobody ever talks to Michael spin I think he's
[TS]
00:26:59
◼
►
he's in his venture capitalists I think it's been a great guest again but I
[TS]
00:27:08
◼
►
looked this up previously and the colleague got ousted in october
[TS]
00:27:15
◼
►
ninety-three and in the second calendar quarter Apple reported its worst
[TS]
00:27:22
◼
►
quarterly loss ever hundred and eighty eight million which now right
[TS]
00:27:28
◼
►
regular right
[TS]
00:27:32
◼
►
here's a peers are gone I found it is the same things now this is in the
[TS]
00:27:38
◼
►
Harvard Business Review now I i believe the harvard is still a respected college
[TS]
00:27:45
◼
►
and university there still is there still in the Ivy League rate yes
[TS]
00:27:50
◼
►
alright Harvard Business Review and its by Vijay I i'm gonna do a very poor job
[TS]
00:27:54
◼
►
on their names Vijay
[TS]
00:27:58
◼
►
vintage art and 33 camp Srinivas we might both be of Indian descent but at
[TS]
00:28:07
◼
►
my apologies to them you're the worst person in the world to be trying to spur
[TS]
00:28:11
◼
►
announced earnings in article called finding your place in the competitive
[TS]
00:28:14
◼
►
jungle and they're saying that there's there's four types of innovators you can
[TS]
00:28:21
◼
►
and it goes by whether your size is higher low and your speed is lower high
[TS]
00:28:26
◼
►
and so if you're low low size small size low speed your Curtis tortoise
[TS]
00:28:34
◼
►
below if you're small and and high-speed your rabbit ears large and slow
[TS]
00:28:44
◼
►
elephant large and faster Jaguar the iPhone was a Jaguar and then I mean she
[TS]
00:28:55
◼
►
says Apple's iPhone was a Jaguar big and years ahead of the competition got there
[TS]
00:29:03
◼
►
through a series of breakthrough innovations that touch screen and
[TS]
00:29:06
◼
►
integrated smartphone pricing where the customer pays 199
[TS]
00:29:12
◼
►
the iPhone invented that the iPhone invented getting an expensive phone for
[TS]
00:29:16
◼
►
199 idea I was not aware of that and the App Store and the App Store the dinner
[TS]
00:29:21
◼
►
that actually is true it was moving fast but the competition is moving faster it
[TS]
00:29:24
◼
►
slipped from Jaguar to elephant rather swiftly and Samsung took over that spot
[TS]
00:29:29
◼
►
with its Galaxy
[TS]
00:29:31
◼
►
we don't this we know this is a fact the right that the Apple the iPhone still
[TS]
00:29:37
◼
►
get seventy percent of the profit
[TS]
00:29:39
◼
►
total Hansen industry right but that's it's in second place to Samsung yeah but
[TS]
00:29:45
◼
►
Samsung overall the iPhone still outsells the Galaxy right that's the
[TS]
00:29:50
◼
►
other thing even if you want to just talk market share it's like somehow
[TS]
00:29:53
◼
►
because Samsung has totaled more total market share because they sell an awful
[TS]
00:29:57
◼
►
lot of low-end phones everybody just count among those galaxies yeah and now
[TS]
00:30:05
◼
►
people seem to count them all as like Galaxy Notes because everybody seems to
[TS]
00:30:09
◼
►
think how customers want larger screens well actually customers buy more iPhones
[TS]
00:30:13
◼
►
than they by Samsung's large screen phones I mean that some of the change
[TS]
00:30:18
◼
►
because you know i mean some more because now the Galaxy S series is huge
[TS]
00:30:24
◼
►
too but previously it was just the Galaxy Note and a couple other ones that
[TS]
00:30:29
◼
►
they did not come close to adding up to the iPhone sales but yet it gets
[TS]
00:30:37
◼
►
reported over and over again as if as if a blitz or are beating the pants off the
[TS]
00:30:44
◼
►
iPhone so here's the here's their conclusion of how their explanation for
[TS]
00:30:48
◼
►
how the Galaxy became the Jaguar in the iPhone an elephant even know that you
[TS]
00:30:53
◼
►
know the funny thing is that the Galaxy doesn't doesn't simpson have a samsung
[TS]
00:30:57
◼
►
galaxy elephant at seven inches over a four-year period the Galaxy caught up
[TS]
00:31:05
◼
►
with all that Apple had to offer an added several innovations the key ones
[TS]
00:31:09
◼
►
being a bigger screen there you go
[TS]
00:31:11
◼
►
better GPS functionality is that true I don't even know what that would be a
[TS]
00:31:16
◼
►
range of phones to cover all segments from low-end to high-end better
[TS]
00:31:20
◼
►
rendering of websites with flash players better working relationships with
[TS]
00:31:27
◼
►
partners operating system partners like Google and Android carriers like Verizon
[TS]
00:31:31
◼
►
and retailers like Best Buy
[TS]
00:31:35
◼
►
it didn't help that in addition to complacency Apple was also an arrogant
[TS]
00:31:40
◼
►
and failed to listen to wall street recognize this shift early in his
[TS]
00:31:45
◼
►
published punished Apple stock in spite of great quarterly financial foreman's
[TS]
00:31:50
◼
►
so what was there in the quad conference call now I know it's their iPad not the
[TS]
00:31:54
◼
►
iPhone but I think Tim Cook cited that with the iPad and iOS vs Android not
[TS]
00:32:00
◼
►
just found that 96 percent of people who buy an iPhone are satisfied with their
[TS]
00:32:04
◼
►
purchase yeah but they're not listening to testimony and I think you link to
[TS]
00:32:11
◼
►
that thing today about the customer satisfaction
[TS]
00:32:14
◼
►
sixteen thousand persons survey conducted by Carl how was actually
[TS]
00:32:19
◼
►
pretty good analysts right that you know any numbers are in bad for Android it
[TS]
00:32:27
◼
►
was something like seventy four percent of current Android users plan to buy
[TS]
00:32:31
◼
►
another Android phone with their next phone but ninety-one percent of iPhone
[TS]
00:32:35
◼
►
users plan to buy another iPhone with their next to apples to apples the one
[TS]
00:32:40
◼
►
who's not listening to its customers
[TS]
00:32:42
◼
►
you know when one of the things that drives me nuts is about this whole stock
[TS]
00:32:50
◼
►
price is that they're really does seem to be a significant contingent of people
[TS]
00:32:57
◼
►
who who really do think that would ever happen ever Wall Street does with the
[TS]
00:33:02
◼
►
stock is right and sane and therefore you you know any explanation you can
[TS]
00:33:07
◼
►
come up to justify that is reasonable so right so that's what these guys at the
[TS]
00:33:11
◼
►
Harvard Business Review you know it's it's proof positive that Apple is not
[TS]
00:33:15
◼
►
listening to customers now because of sales numbers not because of surveys
[TS]
00:33:20
◼
►
that show customer satisfaction but because the stock one that's the proof
[TS]
00:33:25
◼
►
I mean any do the first concert in my first month I wanna thank Windows Azure
[TS]
00:33:37
◼
►
mobile services that's right Microsoft and they've got it's it's everybody and
[TS]
00:33:45
◼
►
I know they sponsor daring fireball the other week everybody was a little
[TS]
00:33:47
◼
►
surprised actually shouldn't be surprising that they're sponsoring us
[TS]
00:33:51
◼
►
because they know that a lot of developers listen to my show read the
[TS]
00:33:55
◼
►
website and Windows Azure mobile services is it's truly a great great
[TS]
00:34:00
◼
►
platform for iOS developers who want to provide cloud services for their apps
[TS]
00:34:06
◼
►
their mobile services they take care of the glue code necessary for storing data
[TS]
00:34:10
◼
►
in the cloud and that is a huge this is absolutely huge they take care of
[TS]
00:34:15
◼
►
authenticating users and they do it either by Facebook or Twitter and
[TS]
00:34:20
◼
►
sending push notifications so in other words what you can do is you sign up
[TS]
00:34:25
◼
►
with us or services and instead of setting up your own user system which is
[TS]
00:34:30
◼
►
a huge pain in the ass
[TS]
00:34:32
◼
►
let's face it you know user names passwords sending out email people lose
[TS]
00:34:36
◼
►
their passwords of aid that forget it all
[TS]
00:34:38
◼
►
let people sign in using either Twitter or Facebook and Microsoft the mobile
[TS]
00:34:44
◼
►
services takes care of it all and you've got him that's it they've already got
[TS]
00:34:48
◼
►
accountant who doesn't have either Facebook or Twitter nobody everybody has
[TS]
00:34:51
◼
►
that it's all set then you've got a user system in place
[TS]
00:34:55
◼
►
push notifications you don't have to set up your own server for push
[TS]
00:34:58
◼
►
notifications Microsoft already has it for you it's easy for anybody who's
[TS]
00:35:03
◼
►
tried sending push notifications before you know it can figure in that can get
[TS]
00:35:07
◼
►
really complex fairly quickly with mobile services adding push to your iOS
[TS]
00:35:12
◼
►
app is as simple as typing push . APNs dots that source code you just read
[TS]
00:35:18
◼
►
there is it's heating characters pushed APNs dots and and specify the device
[TS]
00:35:24
◼
►
token for where the push notification is going the payload in other words what's
[TS]
00:35:30
◼
►
the message what are you sending to him and that's it
[TS]
00:35:32
◼
►
boom it goes off in the user's phone pings
[TS]
00:35:35
◼
►
and there's the push notification if you're looking to build an iOS app or
[TS]
00:35:39
◼
►
connect an app that you already have to the cloud take a look at their stuff you
[TS]
00:35:43
◼
►
can get started today for free
[TS]
00:35:45
◼
►
absolutely free here's where you go WWW dot Windows Azure dot com slash iOS and
[TS]
00:35:54
◼
►
you need the WWW do the WWW don't skip WWW dot Windows Azure dot com slash iOS
[TS]
00:36:06
◼
►
I'd really check it out i mean you know the videos they have the show you how to
[TS]
00:36:09
◼
►
use the stuff it's all done by Brent Simmons Simmons is using the stuff you
[TS]
00:36:13
◼
►
know it's good I mean I can't think of a higher compliment to pay and they're
[TS]
00:36:18
◼
►
good videos to really really good stuff so check it out if you're an iOS
[TS]
00:36:21
◼
►
developer that was the first was the first time I saw as he linked to those
[TS]
00:36:25
◼
►
videos and take a look I was surprised too and so I heard it you know and I was
[TS]
00:36:31
◼
►
like you know what they're really killin it they really are a smart move on their
[TS]
00:36:36
◼
►
part what it is it's the same reason that developers love cocoa and the
[TS]
00:36:42
◼
►
reason I love writing iOS apps is that so much of the the busy work of getting
[TS]
00:36:47
◼
►
a new app off the ground scaffolding the framework that's a framework is there
[TS]
00:36:52
◼
►
and that you can just you want to make an appt the well I don't know what that
[TS]
00:36:57
◼
►
is but you know you don't have to worry about all this stuff of getting an app
[TS]
00:37:03
◼
►
that draws and does a list and has smooth scrolling Coco gives you all that
[TS]
00:37:06
◼
►
well Windows Azure is like that but for the cloud services where you don't have
[TS]
00:37:10
◼
►
to be a united to set up your own server and do all this programming that's all
[TS]
00:37:13
◼
►
there they already have a push notification thing really good check it
[TS]
00:37:17
◼
►
out so ably backed Apple's financial result so the thing that they're getting
[TS]
00:37:26
◼
►
dinged on is that the updated the standout numbers is that earnings were
[TS]
00:37:32
◼
►
down profit was down year over year and as the first time since I think 2003
[TS]
00:37:36
◼
►
that earnings dropped in any quarter compared to the same quarter a year ago
[TS]
00:37:41
◼
►
so that I mean that's obviously that's worth noting that there's no burying the
[TS]
00:37:46
◼
►
fact that you know it's not a good thing but revenue was up and I think you know
[TS]
00:37:52
◼
►
I know who did you of course as much smarter and deeper analysis about this
[TS]
00:37:57
◼
►
but I think it long story short this story is simply that in the year ago
[TS]
00:38:03
◼
►
quarter they had 47 percent profit margins and now this quarter in 37
[TS]
00:38:08
◼
►
percent profit margins which is a huge drop but it's not that they dropped and
[TS]
00:38:12
◼
►
now they have bad profit margins they still have profit margins that are the
[TS]
00:38:16
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envy of the entire industry right there almost as high as Microsoft and
[TS]
00:38:20
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Microsoft software company not a hardware company like the hardware
[TS]
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companies are discussed and profit margins that I so it's it's it's really
[TS]
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that last year year ago it was just like a fluke for Asian high profit margin
[TS]
00:38:35
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yeah I mean they had an amazing quarter a year ago right I was looking at some
[TS]
00:38:41
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of the some of the yeah it's sort of like basketball player who like has a
[TS]
00:38:46
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game you know it's like michael jordan has a game where he makes 27 out of 28
[TS]
00:38:55
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shots makes every free throw and a bunch of three-pointers in scores 64 points
[TS]
00:38:59
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and then the next game scores 32 points and then you know it's a huge drop it
[TS]
00:39:05
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scoring 32 points is still you know it's great you can't have that perfect
[TS]
00:39:10
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quarter every time they also introduced more lower margin products right and
[TS]
00:39:17
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they expressly admitted that the iPad Mini is yeah I love margin product by
[TS]
00:39:24
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Apple's standards for profit margins are still selling and checking the numbers
[TS]
00:39:29
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here but I'm pretty sure that everything other than max went up right
[TS]
00:39:36
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more iPads or iPhones Macs were basically flat down just a tiny bit
[TS]
00:39:43
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and iPods down but the right kind of disappearance share it but it's you know
[TS]
00:39:51
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I think it's because you know what I also think is really big part of that is
[TS]
00:39:56
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because of iPhone four years now the decline in iPod has been because people
[TS]
00:40:00
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are buying iPhones and they're just using their iPhone everywhere they would
[TS]
00:40:03
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use an iPod and I think the other nail in the coffin for the iPod line as the
[TS]
00:40:08
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iPad Mini right cuz I think that the thing you buy for playing games and
[TS]
00:40:13
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stuff like that
[TS]
00:40:14
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think there's an awful lot of people who maybe we're buying iPod Touches for for
[TS]
00:40:18
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that and now they're just buying the minions so I don't really think the iPod
[TS]
00:40:24
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anybody's really worried you know I don't say it's irrelevant but it's just
[TS]
00:40:29
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it almost irrelevant it's no longer and it's not a very big slice of their
[TS]
00:40:35
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revenue anyway and the iPad numbers are huge it went from like 11 points some
[TS]
00:40:40
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million a quarter ago to 19.5 million almost twenty millions which is huge
[TS]
00:40:46
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growth and I know yes that you know a big part of that is a lower margin
[TS]
00:40:50
◼
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profit lower profit margin iPad Mini but I still think that went out and they
[TS]
00:40:57
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don't they don't reveal they don't say what the profit margins are on any
[TS]
00:41:00
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individual product all they did was acknowledged it to lower than their
[TS]
00:41:03
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usual standard I'll bet it's still better than almost anybody else in the
[TS]
00:41:07
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industry gets for their tablets oh yeah most of these guys aren't even making
[TS]
00:41:12
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anything after seven inch ones are basically being sold almost a cost for
[TS]
00:41:20
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the hopes that people will buy movies and stuff so one thing that to me is
[TS]
00:41:25
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interesting about that is if the iPad Mini is low margin and they said it is
[TS]
00:41:30
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and it still costs more than what a lot of us were kind of expected to cost them
[TS]
00:41:35
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into service 329 as the starting price and I know a lot of us before it came
[TS]
00:41:40
◼
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out weird kind of thinking they would it make maybe like 249 or something so aid
[TS]
00:41:47
◼
►
how unrealistic where our predictions that it would only be two 4999 right
[TS]
00:41:53
◼
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people were thinking wow if Amazon has a hundred ninety-nine tablet Apple 599
[TS]
00:41:57
◼
►
tablet but if it's already low margin at 3:29 that was clearly we were vastly
[TS]
00:42:03
◼
►
underestimated how much these things cost and NBA how how crappy or the
[TS]
00:42:09
◼
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tablets that other people make the do cost one night you said I didn't know
[TS]
00:42:17
◼
►
that you are a buy a Kindle Fire and Nexus 7 but an exercise for my wife
[TS]
00:42:26
◼
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because she wanted something she she does the ipad is to the tenant shape it
[TS]
00:42:30
◼
►
was too large for her to read in bed and she wanted something with a back-lit
[TS]
00:42:34
◼
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screen jury and I wanted to try it so I about the Nexus 7 and it was fine for
[TS]
00:42:43
◼
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her she basically used it for a few months for a reading device and plans
[TS]
00:42:49
◼
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you know basic games and it worked fine and then the iPad Mini came out and that
[TS]
00:43:00
◼
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was given to me so I got an iPad Mini and then I'd I took it I take the Nexus
[TS]
00:43:07
◼
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7 and I was going to use it on my desk is just like a thing to play music and
[TS]
00:43:10
◼
►
watch netflix on or something and I went to start it up and it was just it was
[TS]
00:43:17
◼
►
completely completely dead and I tried to recharge it and it took an ad to plug
[TS]
00:43:22
◼
►
it in and take more than 24 hours of charging for the thing to come back to
[TS]
00:43:27
◼
►
the point where we do anything
[TS]
00:43:29
◼
►
and the battery and now I've reconditioned in a little bit and so the
[TS]
00:43:35
◼
►
battery is better now than it was but it still is not you know it doesn't hold a
[TS]
00:43:40
◼
►
charge that my pedals and it's only like oh yes and then I found out I did put it
[TS]
00:43:50
◼
►
on my desk the sound was coming through when I put headphones on
[TS]
00:43:55
◼
►
was just a scratchy because of interference from other my iPhone or we
[TS]
00:44:00
◼
►
have a result is we're still on AT&T is it that we heard like yeah yeah it's
[TS]
00:44:06
◼
►
like that yeah so basically they couldn't do what I wanted to do how hard
[TS]
00:44:16
◼
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that stuff is like late then never think about that but it used to be more of a
[TS]
00:44:19
◼
►
problem with my consumer electronics that that we are those interference
[TS]
00:44:23
◼
►
sounds and I yeah you pointing that out made me realize that I can't remember
[TS]
00:44:26
◼
►
the last time I've had that problem I i cant either I seem to remember getting
[TS]
00:44:30
◼
►
that a lot particularly doing stuff like this if I had my phone on the desk it
[TS]
00:44:35
◼
►
would it would interfere was recording but that's another one of those things
[TS]
00:44:40
◼
►
that Apple spends a lot of time in those those weird anabolic chambers in
[TS]
00:44:44
◼
►
addition to testings like cell phone and why fights and tennis string they must
[TS]
00:44:50
◼
►
go in there and work on cutting down the nets sort of interference yeah but I
[TS]
00:44:55
◼
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don't have it anymore I mean I've got my phone on the table I don't have a lot of
[TS]
00:45:01
◼
►
stuff here at the desk with many as a TV I watch baseball games at Minute yeah so
[TS]
00:45:10
◼
►
anyway there's a there's in my experience anecdotally there's there's a
[TS]
00:45:19
◼
►
difference between a $200 device and $330 right and you know and you can say
[TS]
00:45:27
◼
►
what you want about Apple's margins I know are a good friend Paul Theroux
[TS]
00:45:32
◼
►
through it often makes the case that Apple's margins are immoral that it
[TS]
00:45:39
◼
►
somehow immoral charged with people
[TS]
00:45:42
◼
►
willing to pay the United States other people to that you know you should
[TS]
00:45:45
◼
►
charge like a good honest 10 percent profit margin than I don't quite sure
[TS]
00:45:54
◼
►
that logic there goes but if they admit that it's elope margin products selling
[TS]
00:46:03
◼
►
at 3:29 in lets you know that the average price of an iPad Mini is
[TS]
00:46:06
◼
►
probably more like 400 bucks because people get the cellular version or the
[TS]
00:46:10
◼
►
32 gigabyte version or something like that how it is and you know that Apple
[TS]
00:46:19
◼
►
is very efficient and then making these things in great quantity right Apple has
[TS]
00:46:24
◼
►
the best deals on flash memory the best deals on screen components because they
[TS]
00:46:28
◼
►
make them you know they they sell the most of them so yeah there must be a
[TS]
00:46:31
◼
►
huge drop-off in quality to sell something for 199 even if you're like
[TS]
00:46:37
◼
►
Amazon and willing to do it at no profit because if the iPad Mini actually cost
[TS]
00:46:44
◼
►
$199 to make then they wouldn't it would wouldn't they wouldn't be saying it as
[TS]
00:46:50
◼
►
lower margins that Apple averages that would be like right in line I would be
[TS]
00:46:54
◼
►
like 33 35 percent so it must cost more than $199 to make money while you think
[TS]
00:47:04
◼
►
but then those guys at a company called they told me that the iPad Mini only
[TS]
00:47:11
◼
►
cost me $17 those guys like every time you human bodies only made up of 90%
[TS]
00:47:19
◼
►
water well let's get some water they always do that headlines every time like
[TS]
00:47:28
◼
►
two days after an iPhone hit stores they take it apart
[TS]
00:47:30
◼
►
cost $6 the base metals in the side door practically free and there's another one
[TS]
00:47:40
◼
►
of those things where nobody ever takes apart anybody else's device and does
[TS]
00:47:44
◼
►
that nobody ever says that you know these guys they do it but nobody ever
[TS]
00:47:51
◼
►
says the Samsung Galaxy costs $7 components so here's my other thought I
[TS]
00:48:02
◼
►
took away when I was listening to the call is another one of the note I made
[TS]
00:48:05
◼
►
when I was listening to the conference call this week
[TS]
00:48:08
◼
►
Tim Cook and his pals is that if it's a low margin thing and they're still
[TS]
00:48:14
◼
►
talking about it being a little more thing I am not holding out hope for a
[TS]
00:48:17
◼
►
retina iPad Mini this year that makes makes me think it's a next year type
[TS]
00:48:23
◼
►
thing an especially good 22 points to make on that one is if it's already a
[TS]
00:48:29
◼
►
low margin product it's like i three arguments I keep thinking of argument so
[TS]
00:48:35
◼
►
first is the margins of its already low margin putting the really expensive
[TS]
00:48:39
◼
►
Retina Display there's just gonna make it worse
[TS]
00:48:41
◼
►
gonna do it number two it's clearly having it's clearly super popular they
[TS]
00:48:47
◼
►
said it was popular they couldn't keep in stock the last quarter and it's
[TS]
00:48:51
◼
►
affected you know it's clear that it's affected their average selling price on
[TS]
00:48:54
◼
►
iPad because it's nothing out there is no other iPad that could be point in
[TS]
00:48:58
◼
►
price down so its popular as is and then three when they added the retina display
[TS]
00:49:06
◼
►
it regular iPad they made it thicker and heavier and I think they really
[TS]
00:49:11
◼
►
regretted that I don't think they would do that with the many yea even just the
[TS]
00:49:17
◼
►
name sort of makes that impossible and they kinda you know they had to do that
[TS]
00:49:21
◼
►
to put a bigger battery in their powers all the extra graphic power to do four
[TS]
00:49:25
◼
►
times the pixels as they don't sell they don't sell the iPad 2 still yeah they do
[TS]
00:49:33
◼
►
I want you to be interesting
[TS]
00:49:36
◼
►
the next time they do a product refresh what happens to that if they keep that
[TS]
00:49:39
◼
►
slot there because I think the whole reason they kept around was that they
[TS]
00:49:44
◼
►
weren't sure why the old iPad was selling was it that people wanted a
[TS]
00:49:50
◼
►
cheaper iPad and didn't cheaper iPad but wanted to tenants eyes
[TS]
00:50:00
◼
►
or was it the day just wanted a cheaper iPad and they're now they're buying the
[TS]
00:50:04
◼
►
minions my god I think they kept around because they just didn't know I think it
[TS]
00:50:09
◼
►
a little bit tell if they do the same thing like introduced a new generation
[TS]
00:50:14
◼
►
of iPad and then keep the current generation 1 16 gigabyte model around at
[TS]
00:50:21
◼
►
a low price point for people who do want the big size that are willing to buy
[TS]
00:50:25
◼
►
last year's tech to save $100
[TS]
00:50:28
◼
►
the year before I guess they did that they would I i did it again this year it
[TS]
00:50:39
◼
►
would they would take that one out and put the iPad for whatever we call the
[TS]
00:50:43
◼
►
current ones and maybe I'm wrong
[TS]
00:50:45
◼
►
yeah I know that the theory that I've heard and I don't remember where is that
[TS]
00:50:51
◼
►
it's the it's the business iPad that a lot of companies buy it because it's
[TS]
00:50:58
◼
►
cheaper but they want a larger screen but they don't care if its Retina
[TS]
00:51:02
◼
►
Display like the fleet ones right at guys like if they've setting up a thing
[TS]
00:51:06
◼
►
in a warehouse where the guy walking around me be carrying an iPad instead of
[TS]
00:51:10
◼
►
a clipboard now you know it might get banged up and stuff like that who did on
[TS]
00:51:16
◼
►
they don't care it's not like a personal device that you get from the company too
[TS]
00:51:19
◼
►
late uses your device it's like a part of the work environment you're saying
[TS]
00:51:23
◼
►
something like that yeah I mean or just where I don't point of sale terminals
[TS]
00:51:29
◼
►
right yeah that's true I don't even think about that actually got me most of
[TS]
00:51:33
◼
►
my my vision of this is colored by what my experience was where we were working
[TS]
00:51:38
◼
►
where they were talking about rolling these out to deliver reporting because
[TS]
00:51:43
◼
►
for years we we were still putting everything in PDFs and then a lot of the
[TS]
00:51:49
◼
►
executives in they would end up printing
[TS]
00:51:54
◼
►
we're giving them to you electronically to get PDF will deliver a near your
[TS]
00:52:01
◼
►
inbox or its on this website you can go to to know they would get the PDF and
[TS]
00:52:07
◼
►
then they print them out like ok well that's a waste when we give them I beds
[TS]
00:52:12
◼
►
because you know that pays for itself as opposed to the printing I guess so but I
[TS]
00:52:18
◼
►
do you know that the one that they're giving up though it's not really that
[TS]
00:52:21
◼
►
night giving out but does the low-cost full-size iPad is not written right to
[TS]
00:52:28
◼
►
die I can't wait I just feel like you know and again it's gonna be awhile
[TS]
00:52:33
◼
►
because I do think I I expect I would love love love to be wrong is one of
[TS]
00:52:39
◼
►
those things where if I'm wrong I will actually be a delighted and I'll be in
[TS]
00:52:43
◼
►
line to buy one if they come out with a Retina iPad Mini this year would be
[TS]
00:52:47
◼
►
great yeah but i dont expected but that means that you know developers are going
[TS]
00:52:52
◼
►
to be supporting non-threatening iPads for a while because I think they're
[TS]
00:52:57
◼
►
gonna be selling nan Ren iPads at least until 2014 but I would love to see him
[TS]
00:53:05
◼
►
get rid of all the last nine read the full-size iPad yeah just a few
[TS]
00:53:15
◼
►
it doesn't hurt me but I just can't wait to get to the world where all of
[TS]
00:53:19
◼
►
everything
[TS]
00:53:20
◼
►
yeah I want right now I max all of the laptops all the MacBooks to be read all
[TS]
00:53:25
◼
►
the iPad's all the iPhones it so the iPhones the first one to go
[TS]
00:53:29
◼
►
already was the first one you can't buy one that's not right now I just think it
[TS]
00:53:34
◼
►
is going to be a total win for everybody when everything's and then you don't
[TS]
00:53:38
◼
►
have to worry about when you're making a website or making an appt you don't have
[TS]
00:53:43
◼
►
to worry about doing to to set the graphics and you know we've picked this
[TS]
00:53:47
◼
►
great custom web fund and we don't have to pick from Verdun in Georgia anymore
[TS]
00:53:51
◼
►
and it looks beautiful and it's great and all let's go see what it looks like
[TS]
00:53:55
◼
►
on a 3G
[TS]
00:53:56
◼
►
no you can't read it terrible it's you know it's a huge pain in the ass I think
[TS]
00:54:04
◼
►
especially that the retina the non-revenue Bigz die pad cuz it's only
[TS]
00:54:10
◼
►
like a hundred and thirty-three pixels per inch it's like really kind of stands
[TS]
00:54:14
◼
►
out on ya so what were the other numbers from the Corso the Mac one i think is
[TS]
00:54:22
◼
►
interesting is max Elsword a little bit down slightly down reporter oh this is
[TS]
00:54:28
◼
►
going to the verge this is one of my favorite little by little Apple AAPL
[TS]
00:54:33
◼
►
fairness radar so when the verge reported apple's results iPhone sales
[TS]
00:54:41
◼
►
went from 35 million 237 million year over year they they called that flat
[TS]
00:54:48
◼
►
iPhone sales were flat and Mac sales went from four million to 3.95 million
[TS]
00:54:56
◼
►
and they called those down
[TS]
00:55:01
◼
►
flying magazine and I think Tim Cook really emphasize this it's in the face
[TS]
00:55:12
◼
►
of the whole PC industry declining 14% year over year which is like kind of
[TS]
00:55:20
◼
►
terrifying if if you're in the PC industry so it's in like one of those
[TS]
00:55:27
◼
►
weird ways where it's like in a way it's kind of up like if the whole industry
[TS]
00:55:32
◼
►
was down 14 percent and you were only down 1.2% we're in the face of an
[TS]
00:55:40
◼
►
industry that was down 14 percent so that's kind of a win
[TS]
00:55:45
◼
►
well I guess it increases their share and it continues that street where they
[TS]
00:55:51
◼
►
outgrew the industry I guess it's weird you can't really call it out growing but
[TS]
00:55:55
◼
►
they outpaced the industry you know fruit something like every single order
[TS]
00:56:00
◼
►
for eight consecutive years you know they're still outpacing the PC industry
[TS]
00:56:06
◼
►
are doing better than everybody else yeah and what was last look and see what
[TS]
00:56:13
◼
►
last year's results were if they were in order high five million yeah yeah it was
[TS]
00:56:27
◼
►
a it was sort of an average quarter it's just that's the way this is going
[TS]
00:56:34
◼
►
price and you know and and call it cannibalization if you want but I think
[TS]
00:56:40
◼
►
it's more of this transition from PCs deposed PCs but I just really think that
[TS]
00:56:44
◼
►
a lot of this you know from the high-water mark of 5 million Macs order
[TS]
00:56:49
◼
►
everybody knows I mean they've been saying Apple has been saying this for
[TS]
00:56:53
◼
►
years I mean I think even since before even the iPhone came out that looked the
[TS]
00:56:58
◼
►
this industry is shifting towards laptops laptops are you know that the
[TS]
00:57:04
◼
►
the main max now are the MacBooks you know
[TS]
00:57:07
◼
►
the iMac and Mac Pro and Mac Mini and stuff for sort of the the niche max
[TS]
00:57:13
◼
►
because everybody know that's just the numbers the numbers don't lie and i
[TS]
00:57:18
◼
►
think thats why the iPad is is more easily cannibalizing PC sales now than
[TS]
00:57:23
◼
►
it would have ten years ago because it's replacing laptops whereas if you really
[TS]
00:57:29
◼
►
thought you needed an iMac the iPod isn't even really something you're gonna
[TS]
00:57:33
◼
►
think about you know if you really are thinking I had want this giant 27 inch
[TS]
00:57:37
◼
►
display and I really want a lot of RAM and I'm gonna be doing these demanding
[TS]
00:57:42
◼
►
things that I need you know SuperPro computer for you know the iPad isn't
[TS]
00:57:47
◼
►
that but if you're thinking hey I was gonna get an 11 inch MacBook Air when I
[TS]
00:57:51
◼
►
just buy an iPad instead I think there's an awful lot of people who are doing
[TS]
00:57:54
◼
►
that i think thats how you go from 11 million to 20 million iPads in the
[TS]
00:57:59
◼
►
quarter yeah do you think you spent
[TS]
00:58:03
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examples as this but I was kind of wondering if people are spending more
[TS]
00:58:08
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now than they used to I guess people in general probably spending more now than
[TS]
00:58:12
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they used to on computer devices more money or more times more money they used
[TS]
00:58:21
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to be more expensive very quick very often I i've never really I've always
[TS]
00:58:27
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liked to use my Mac until they feel way too slow and then I get a new one and
[TS]
00:58:32
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it's like wow really improve this my desktop Mac is still a 2008 I you know
[TS]
00:58:39
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the time that's best MacBook Pro you could buy but it's you know by today's
[TS]
00:58:44
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standards I think its engine yeah yeah
[TS]
00:58:49
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but we buy more devices I do you know if I pass by US I pets I have to give them
[TS]
00:58:56
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away right right and we end phones and smart but we used to spend all the
[TS]
00:59:03
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computers used to be much more expensive right that's the other thing too is
[TS]
00:59:07
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routinely spend $2,000 $3,000 right you buy a Mac MacBook we'd like 2500 bucks
[TS]
00:59:19
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to get in the door almost getting 1024 by 768 that are pretty quick let me
[TS]
00:59:30
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thank the second sponsor before ok here I guess our second sponsor is great very
[TS]
00:59:35
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excited their first time sponsor for the show and it's a glue I G L 00 just like
[TS]
00:59:40
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the glue is an internet you actually like I know you say internet and I i
[TS]
00:59:50
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hear 1997 and that's exactly what they've set out to like rethink and
[TS]
00:59:56
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replace is the the whole idea of a private sharing website for your company
[TS]
01:00:04
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your team your team within the company whatever you want to do but something
[TS]
01:00:09
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private you is just great you can upload and share documents but you can also
[TS]
01:00:13
◼
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create content with their absolute built into the system they've got out through
[TS]
01:00:18
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blogging shared calendars forums they have their own little twitter-like
[TS]
01:00:23
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micro-blog corporate week he's not think about that if you had a team or a
[TS]
01:00:28
◼
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company how great would it be to have your own little private Twitter where
[TS]
01:00:32
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everybody can post little twitter-like status messages but you're not you know
[TS]
01:00:36
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do you know that it's private because it's completely within your own company
[TS]
01:00:40
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and a general model thing you're not risking sharing
[TS]
01:00:43
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details are secrets with the outside world that would be fantastic
[TS]
01:00:48
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well that's what it gives you it's easy to work with your team because they've
[TS]
01:00:52
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collaboration tools built in commenting their version control you can add
[TS]
01:00:58
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mention your co-workers again just like your own little private version of
[TS]
01:01:03
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Twitter and its secured they totally into the whole enterprise security thing
[TS]
01:01:09
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and they've got client big big clients RSA kimberly-clark kimberly-clark there
[TS]
01:01:14
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the tissue people right they make kleenex IDC and the main reason you're
[TS]
01:01:19
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gonna love the platform if you're the sort of person who works you know you're
[TS]
01:01:23
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the decision maker you're the nerd at the company is in charge of something
[TS]
01:01:26
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like this right you're gonna love it because you can configure the whole
[TS]
01:01:29
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thing with drag-and-drop widgets anybody could do it right you just set this
[TS]
01:01:33
◼
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thing up and you just drag the things you want to use up take things you don't
[TS]
01:01:37
◼
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want to use down look at all of its great and if you're even more technical
[TS]
01:01:42
◼
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it's great for you to everything is 100% customizable the whole igloo website
[TS]
01:01:47
◼
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when you go to check it out
[TS]
01:01:49
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►
is built using their platform right it's the whole eating your own dog food thing
[TS]
01:01:53
◼
►
so when you check out the software realized that they're using a glue to
[TS]
01:01:58
◼
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build the talk to the public website that you're seeing you have full control
[TS]
01:02:03
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over the CSS you can inject global per page JavaScript in there anything you
[TS]
01:02:09
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can do is a nerd you could you'd want to do you can do and they even have an open
[TS]
01:02:14
◼
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API so you can bring content into or out of it from other sources like you could
[TS]
01:02:19
◼
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bring in the actual Twitter from the public where you can get a 30 day free
[TS]
01:02:27
◼
►
you go to a clue software dot com slash the talk-show igloo software dot com
[TS]
01:02:33
◼
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slash the talk show and as a side note this is great and I've already seen
[TS]
01:02:38
◼
►
cheated they've already shown them to me but they've got a bunch of videos
[TS]
01:02:41
◼
►
sandwich videos and they're coming out soon I think I think they might actually
[TS]
01:02:49
◼
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be there by the time this episode airs at least the first one and it's really
[TS]
01:02:54
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really funny
[TS]
01:02:55
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is spoiling my gonna say damn about it but i i laughed and I thought my God
[TS]
01:03:02
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made me want to create my own software companies so that I could have a
[TS]
01:03:07
◼
►
sandwich video that I anybody who hires a sandwich for you you know that it's a
[TS]
01:03:12
◼
►
good product so at least go check them out to see the same which video and the
[TS]
01:03:16
◼
►
sandwich it's gonna have you signing up you get a 30 day free trial so why not
[TS]
01:03:22
◼
►
sign up checking out these guys have also sponsored by say and the past and
[TS]
01:03:27
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every time they do I always think I wish I had this when I was working I T
[TS]
01:03:34
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because we had all these problems yeah it's it is it's absolutely you know I
[TS]
01:03:41
◼
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checked out it's really really good stuff really they've clearly thought
[TS]
01:03:44
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this thing it's like hey let's make something that people like a real usable
[TS]
01:03:54
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product for people
[TS]
01:03:56
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yeah my kids to love the check mark
[TS]
01:03:59
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remember that one which one was that the guy the sort of announcer guy that
[TS]
01:04:07
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follows him around with a funny accent yeah it was good I like the twenty
[TS]
01:04:14
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different they did for cronica yeah good Jonas really hung on that one too and he
[TS]
01:04:23
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kept asking why do you why do you always punched the eagle
[TS]
01:04:30
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the other thing that Tim Cook talked about was new products yes not until
[TS]
01:04:41
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fall but he said not until fall but in the fall and then throughout 2014 and I
[TS]
01:04:52
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saw so I don't know if it was unusual to say that they usually don't say a damn
[TS]
01:04:58
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thing about when you should expect anything now and I think that it's
[TS]
01:05:01
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gotten to the point with the stock price being depressed that they want to set
[TS]
01:05:04
◼
►
accurate and reasonable expectations I think that's also why they've switched
[TS]
01:05:09
◼
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to instead of severely low balling their forecasts being pretty accurate for
[TS]
01:05:16
◼
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about a year now I feel like they feel like by being accurate and a little bit
[TS]
01:05:21
◼
►
forthright about what to expect it will hopefully inject some sanity into the
[TS]
01:05:27
◼
►
stock market right so don't expect a new iPhone in June at WABC and they sorted
[TS]
01:05:35
◼
►
out last year to win the WBC last year there you know Apple PR put it out there
[TS]
01:05:44
◼
►
i mean there wasn't even a whisper campaign but they pretty much put out
[TS]
01:05:49
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there that this year's WWDC is going to be about software and read between the
[TS]
01:05:57
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lines and that it means therefore there is not going to be new hardware so they
[TS]
01:06:01
◼
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did last year they didn't quite come out and say there's no new hardware but they
[TS]
01:06:04
◼
►
said WWDC is going to be all about software right it was because it was the
[TS]
01:06:09
◼
►
year before that they didn't say anything right and then the rest in
[TS]
01:06:14
◼
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crime out until October and everybody was pulling their hair and right
[TS]
01:06:17
◼
►
everybody likes there were like when the keynote is over everybody's filing out
[TS]
01:06:22
◼
►
of the room there were people screaming and pulling hair out of their heads
[TS]
01:06:26
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►
screaming where people are panicking as though the building run
[TS]
01:06:31
◼
►
there was no I for one of my other favorite things of the last week or two
[TS]
01:06:39
◼
►
of insane Apple coverage was the I think it was the wall street journal one of
[TS]
01:06:45
◼
►
them was in the wall street journal or Reuters are one of them voted an analyst
[TS]
01:06:50
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from from Samsung Samsung finance Samsung forget the name of it but its
[TS]
01:06:58
◼
►
wholly owned subsidiary of Samsung financial coming they quoted from
[TS]
01:07:05
◼
►
Samsung who said that the iPhone was scheduled for June or July and is now
[TS]
01:07:11
◼
►
going to be late I from samsung says it it must be true
[TS]
01:07:18
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►
what kind of what kind of biases you know certainly nothing wrong with that
[TS]
01:07:25
◼
►
here's my here's my thing is the third paragraph from jungle lee's report for
[TS]
01:07:33
◼
►
bloomberg I'm sorry to The Wall Street Journal and Reuters Bloomberg but I knew
[TS]
01:07:37
◼
►
it was one of those guys it was LG Display profit misses estimates on
[TS]
01:07:41
◼
►
stalling Apple's sales Apple is losing dominant this is the quote Apple is
[TS]
01:07:47
◼
►
losing dominance and will likely delay launching a successor to the iPhone
[TS]
01:07:52
◼
►
until at least September show an analyst for seoul-based Samsung securities
[TS]
01:07:57
◼
►
companies like a bonus this year is gonna be huge but somebody had Twitter
[TS]
01:08:08
◼
►
post it to be coca-cola taste like dog urine sample
[TS]
01:08:20
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►
stock down right where you at last week UN mike lupica lot Michael we're talking
[TS]
01:08:33
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►
about the rumors of what we might expect yeah actually working on something for
[TS]
01:08:42
◼
►
teasing teasing something will come out next week but just that you guys like
[TS]
01:08:51
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►
everybody seems to have the same kind of feeling just that no ones that excited
[TS]
01:08:56
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►
about what we heard about the rumors are cheaper iPhone television and watch yeah
[TS]
01:09:09
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►
and and my point is kind of that that to a certain degree or four 4 first first
[TS]
01:09:17
◼
►
of all the rumor devices that we had previously the type you know the tablet
[TS]
01:09:24
◼
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the phone and the set-top box were like the big three devices of the previous
[TS]
01:09:30
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►
decade but we had those for a decade that stuff that stuff got started some
[TS]
01:09:37
◼
►
of that stuff get started in the late nineties
[TS]
01:09:40
◼
►
and we had a long time to think about that stuff before it came out are you
[TS]
01:09:46
◼
►
saying that other companies had like cell phones since the nineties or you're
[TS]
01:09:50
◼
►
saying that no I'm the rumors rumors that Apple at least the rumors about
[TS]
01:09:58
◼
►
Apple date back that far
[TS]
01:09:59
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►
tablet and at least the tablet in the in the set-top box yeah they back that far
[TS]
01:10:05
◼
►
the phone gotta get started a little bit later and then the other thing I was
[TS]
01:10:09
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►
thinking is that even though I mean even then people will didn't necessarily
[TS]
01:10:16
◼
►
think that they would be that great that Apple would have that much too I mean I
[TS]
01:10:22
◼
►
know people who really like Apple who didn't think that really was gonna bring
[TS]
01:10:27
◼
►
that much to a phone so on the other hand the other difference I see too
[TS]
01:10:32
◼
►
though is that there were there was there were a lot of people said I don't
[TS]
01:10:36
◼
►
see what I was going to be a new phone but there was also the large consensus
[TS]
01:10:39
◼
►
that all phone sucked yes right that my god these phones are terrible especially
[TS]
01:10:45
◼
►
phones that tried to do anything more than just be friends and nothing more
[TS]
01:10:51
◼
►
than telephone calls
[TS]
01:10:53
◼
►
anything that they were abysmal so there is this consensus oh my god this is
[TS]
01:10:58
◼
►
horrible and Apple com rescuers whereas i det why I think there's so little
[TS]
01:11:02
◼
►
excitement about right watches for example like nobody is saying my god I
[TS]
01:11:06
◼
►
can't find a good what I can find a wide
[TS]
01:11:11
◼
►
yeah but as you've noted it may not be a watch it all right I think that's the
[TS]
01:11:18
◼
►
best way to think of it if it's any truth to it is that something that you
[TS]
01:11:23
◼
►
might where you might even wear it on your wrist but I don't think is the
[TS]
01:11:27
◼
►
right way and it's probably true in hindsight that you shouldn't think of
[TS]
01:11:30
◼
►
the iPhone has a phone right right it's really you know it goes back to that
[TS]
01:11:36
◼
►
Clayton Christensen danger he admits that it was a huge area made ready when
[TS]
01:11:42
◼
►
the iPhone was introduced that that's the innovator's dilemma guy where he
[TS]
01:11:46
◼
►
didn't think it was gonna change the industry because the disruption always
[TS]
01:11:50
◼
►
comes from the low end and the iPhone was this super high-end phone but then
[TS]
01:11:53
◼
►
he realized that the mistake was it wasn't really I thought it was a super
[TS]
01:11:56
◼
►
low end portable computer is just way too small way to Krabi portable computer
[TS]
01:12:02
◼
►
that because it was so crazy small and you have it everywhere
[TS]
01:12:06
◼
►
completely disrupted the computer industry right by way of the phone
[TS]
01:12:09
◼
►
industry right I think it's that sort of thing so it might tell you time but it's
[TS]
01:12:14
◼
►
not really hardly ever talk to my I really a serious thing to do other
[TS]
01:12:20
◼
►
things and that's the other than to say I told you before I can even hear people
[TS]
01:12:25
◼
►
in Excel networks even like when you do you like upgrade over I upgraded from
[TS]
01:12:30
◼
►
AT&T to Verizon iPhone 5 came out and my phone calls all sounded better as a yes
[TS]
01:12:35
◼
►
I now have better sounding phone calls consistently and then I realized that
[TS]
01:12:39
◼
►
they still sound like a perfect connection on a cell phone call it still
[TS]
01:12:45
◼
►
is like really crap audio
[TS]
01:12:48
◼
►
but in in researching this this piece that has running water for a while it's
[TS]
01:12:55
◼
►
here and so this is back in 2002 as that was likely jump to the punch line john
[TS]
01:13:07
◼
►
markoff wrote this piece and I think this is like the first mention of an
[TS]
01:13:10
◼
►
iPhone and her piece in the New York Times about it and was talking about how
[TS]
01:13:17
◼
►
you know we have apps for you know email and ensure liking things like that and
[TS]
01:13:22
◼
►
and looked for applications not technologies the article seems to
[TS]
01:13:27
◼
►
insinuate that Apple could make sure like run on a cell phone that's
[TS]
01:13:30
◼
►
impossible unless the cell phone regularly running Mac OS X which is
[TS]
01:13:34
◼
►
definitely impossible you know a lot of people tried that's right that's
[TS]
01:13:39
◼
►
actually the one I was worried you're gonna bring people tried that and I
[TS]
01:13:42
◼
►
don't want to seem defensive but I meant it was an article that claimed that that
[TS]
01:13:46
◼
►
device was like in the labs and like ready to come out in 2003 and that's
[TS]
01:13:51
◼
►
where you're right is that it was 2002 and 2003 was not I was saying it was
[TS]
01:13:58
◼
►
impossible in 2003 to make a phone cut down version and I still stand by that I
[TS]
01:14:05
◼
►
was right and it certainly didn't come out right the difference between 2002
[TS]
01:14:10
◼
►
and 2007 was huge in terms of what was possible so I don't think that counts I
[TS]
01:14:15
◼
►
think people loved it I just wanted to bring that up because to get you back
[TS]
01:14:23
◼
►
for Ichiro crack
[TS]
01:14:28
◼
►
planning that for like two or three weeks whatever member Sherlock
[TS]
01:14:35
◼
►
yeah which was kind of like asking for sports scores and weather and stuff like
[TS]
01:14:48
◼
►
that like sort of component eyes data that was an idea that they kind of
[TS]
01:15:01
◼
►
people said that they come from somebody else
[TS]
01:15:07
◼
►
Watson yeah so you want to talk about the paper I guess so I don't know what
[TS]
01:15:20
◼
►
to say about it really i mean
[TS]
01:15:22
◼
►
Marco announced yesterday that he is old Instapaper to quote unquote controlling
[TS]
01:15:29
◼
►
interest in Instapaper I don't even know what that means to beta works guys who
[TS]
01:15:33
◼
►
bought big doing yeah I don't know some people said I had really paid attention
[TS]
01:15:39
◼
►
I haven't paid attention to it either but that's what I keep hearing and it
[TS]
01:15:42
◼
►
seems like there they want to step in to fill the gap that Google made by killing
[TS]
01:15:47
◼
►
reader ray and I do it if that's true and that they're going to make something
[TS]
01:15:53
◼
►
that people would consider a replacement for Google Reader in other words reading
[TS]
01:15:57
◼
►
people's feeds in the aggregate RSS feed it certainly makes a lot of sense it
[TS]
01:16:05
◼
►
really does I hate to use the word I think for the second time this week but
[TS]
01:16:08
◼
►
it does seem like there's an awful lot of synergy there with something like
[TS]
01:16:13
◼
►
Instapaper articles consistent because it seems like you could cut down on the
[TS]
01:16:23
◼
►
whole jumping through hoops to actually get the thing into your Instapaper yeah
[TS]
01:16:28
◼
►
so I always get nervous when these things happen but you never know how
[TS]
01:16:37
◼
►
it's going to end up
[TS]
01:16:39
◼
►
right and you know i mean you know Mark Owen his typical style you know is very
[TS]
01:16:43
◼
►
honest about it I thought you know his explanation was look this you know and I
[TS]
01:16:48
◼
►
forgot I told it's it's one of those things were like 45 years goes by and
[TS]
01:16:52
◼
►
you forget just how different things where I've totally forgot that
[TS]
01:16:56
◼
►
Instapaper started as a website and I didn't I never used it I don't I don't
[TS]
01:17:03
◼
►
think I ever used it to me it's always been about reading on the iPhone in
[TS]
01:17:10
◼
►
eventually the iPad yeah totally forgot to me the app was Instapaper I really
[TS]
01:17:16
◼
►
forgot that he started his website first and then did the appt you know but he
[TS]
01:17:23
◼
►
said that in the years since it's gotten so competitive and he's up against you
[TS]
01:17:29
◼
►
know BC funded dipshits who who are giving every way everything away for
[TS]
01:17:37
◼
►
free and have like 45 million dollars in VC money to fund it all so there's
[TS]
01:17:43
◼
►
definitely a tough competitive angle right i mean this is great this is gonna
[TS]
01:17:49
◼
►
love this if you have no somebody pointed out yesterday in the aftermath
[TS]
01:17:52
◼
►
of marcos announcement about this
[TS]
01:17:54
◼
►
Hacker News threat and you know it's gonna be good on Hacker News where
[TS]
01:17:59
◼
►
somebody on Hacker News was comparing Instapaper which i think is like $3.99
[TS]
01:18:05
◼
►
to one of the other competitors that is they're giving the whole thing way for
[TS]
01:18:11
◼
►
free I don't those pocket or readability and one of them but they were like is so
[TS]
01:18:16
◼
►
pocket is free and Instapaper is $4 is it really if it costs four times as much
[TS]
01:18:23
◼
►
is it really four times better
[TS]
01:18:29
◼
►
because if it's not I don't see how that's justified it is really good
[TS]
01:18:38
◼
►
because you know those guys on Hacker News think there and even it it's funny
[TS]
01:18:44
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because it would be a little it would be like a slight chuckle from me even if it
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01:18:47
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was $1 to $4 comparison and the guy tried to make it argues it would have to
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be four times better app to justify being four dollars versus $1 is not the
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01:19:00
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way decisions are made but you know the four times are things pretty good night
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four times as much rain I do get nervous because it's you know I'm are going to
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01:19:17
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compete he need he did he would to seriously compete against these guys
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01:19:20
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he'd kind of need to hire a team and expand as one person can't really keep
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up with these other competitors that have teams of people working on and
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01:19:30
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that's not what he wants to do he does not want to become a manager and higher
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team and have employees and stuff like that I mean I certainly appreciate you
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01:19:39
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know firsthand what it do you know the advantages of being a one-person
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operation in not having any employees and stuff like that and number two that
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01:19:50
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he just you know wanted to move on and do something new that he wants to do
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something new so hopefully you know he did pick a good home for the app and I
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01:19:59
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certainly use it enough where I you know I'm gonna be somewhat upset if it
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01:20:03
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somehow falls into yeah this is there's a difference i mean for better or worse
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01:20:09
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there's a different mentality between being able to create an app like that
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01:20:13
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and then you know wanting to maintain it for ever
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01:20:17
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right and it seems like a lot of the ability to market but that's what
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01:20:30
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happens when these guys a lot of fun to make something and then it was fun to
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01:20:34
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just sit there and listen to paper whenever I if I ever get on an airplane
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01:20:41
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wifi this airplane and then realized as they take my devices that I hadn't
[TS]
01:20:47
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turned them on before getting on the plane and then my Instapaper is not up
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01:20:52
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to date I just sit there with my no no connection just sit there and hit the
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01:20:58
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reload but instead I don't know what else to say about it I mean I hope it
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01:21:11
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works out
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01:21:12
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yeah yeah good for Marco yeah and I do think you know and I suspect that it was
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01:21:20
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aight I don't know I trust Marco I trust his judgment you know I think he you
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01:21:26
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know it wasn't like he was forced to do this so I feel like you know I was
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01:21:32
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measured and deliberate so I think it'll probably worked out pretty well yeah you
[TS]
01:21:41
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don't want to end up like George Lucas
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01:21:45
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I don't know about that we think will have you mean by that
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01:21:49
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just hanging on to something for too long and ruining the jar Jar Binks
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version of it yeah
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01:21:56
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Instapaper there's a little hard to mediate I don't even over there would be
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01:22:05
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with charger Phantom Menace version of a paper I don't want to think about it too
[TS]
01:22:14
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horrible the bold and the paper on your watch is there anything I guess there
[TS]
01:22:28
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are other things you want to go back to the call is that Tim Cook did he is a
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01:22:32
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quote or do you say categories poorer new proud product categories
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01:22:37
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yeah which I don't got as much attention as it deserved like I kind of feel like
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01:22:43
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people glossed over that late he did that does not mean a new iPhone or new
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01:22:47
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iPad that means you know a new vision of a new thing like the iPad but I think
[TS]
01:22:55
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it's cuz everybody knows it's not true because innovations did it so thats why
[TS]
01:22:59
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nobody thats why nobody paid attention did you listen to the call
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01:23:03
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yeah I work from home it's what's-his-name the team nothing else
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01:23:11
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Gene Munster yeah that was a funny game it's like he came in late as he asked
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01:23:20
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this question you know these guys get like one question a quarter and
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01:23:25
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basically that's what he said earlier did you say earlier there would be new
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01:23:33
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products new product categories like he was a new product category and yes
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01:23:43
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that's what I say
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guy from the the thing years ago
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01:23:52
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event that was there was some of them in Apple's town hall for like imaxr
[TS]
01:23:55
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something in the question about why they don't put Intel incites Gene Munster
[TS]
01:24:04
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that great did you see my tweet probably which one after the Commerce Clause
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01:24:12
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tweeted
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01:24:14
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how Howard Hughes type scenario
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01:24:22
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23rd 2037 all alone and darkroom grade long gray beard surrounded by bottles of
[TS]
01:24:31
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his own Apple TV way of the future he answered me on twitter is a good sport
[TS]
01:24:39
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he gave his best thing is if you don't know is that Gene Munster Africa who
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01:24:49
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works for a reason Apple analysts he's been an apparatus for a long time he's
[TS]
01:24:53
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been saying that Apple is going to come out with their own TV sets not Apple TV
[TS]
01:24:58
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but Apple branded TV sets for 67 years as then and you know never he's never
[TS]
01:25:05
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coming next month but he's more or less been saying that next year is the year
[TS]
01:25:10
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that was gonna do a TV set for about six or seven years and has never ever lost
[TS]
01:25:16
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the fervor for it which
[TS]
01:25:22
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consistency
[TS]
01:25:25
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well and it's another one of the same sort of like that the clam chowder you
[TS]
01:25:29
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pulled on me where you know if they did come out with an Apple branded
[TS]
01:25:35
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television said next year
[TS]
01:25:37
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everywhere CCG monster was right when he wasn't right and 2007 when he said that
[TS]
01:25:42
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they're coming out with an Apple TV next year
[TS]
01:25:45
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rate like everybody sort of condenses history but no imagine I said in 2007
[TS]
01:25:50
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that you're coming out of the TV next year and then it comes out in 2014
[TS]
01:25:53
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that's that's not right that's my theory of the infallibility of Apple rumors as
[TS]
01:26:00
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long as Apple comes out with something remotely like what you said it would
[TS]
01:26:03
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come out with next year even if it's forty years later then you can you can
[TS]
01:26:09
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claim that you're you know and I'd say the same thing to some degree possibly
[TS]
01:26:16
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applies with Google glass too and I have to write about it because I keep making
[TS]
01:26:22
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sure that and I don't mean to say that I don't think heads-up displays are ever
[TS]
01:26:28
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going to be a thing and that they're not cool technology and I'm never gonna buy
[TS]
01:26:32
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one or whatever you know it sounds you know obviously clearly there's a lot of
[TS]
01:26:37
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everybody's seen Minority Report is a lot of potential there I'm saying these
[TS]
01:26:41
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Google glasses the ones that they've got right now that they're selling is to
[TS]
01:26:45
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$1500 developer units and stupid thing that it put up in a corner er i the way
[TS]
01:26:51
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they look i'm saying these Google glasses the ones right now the first
[TS]
01:26:57
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bats are coming out are stupid and no one's gonna buy their creepy whether to
[TS]
01:27:02
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expect the price stays where it is too expensive that really right but then I'm
[TS]
01:27:09
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oculus rift thing comes out and you can play xbox games on it really cool heads
[TS]
01:27:15
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up display and have this incredibly immersive experience people are going to
[TS]
01:27:19
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say see you're wrong about you know heads-up displays are and that's you
[TS]
01:27:23
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know I'm not saying then that is never going to be a user purposes there's not
[TS]
01:27:26
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any cool I'm saying these Google these this specific product that they've shown
[TS]
01:27:30
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us in this is the difference
[TS]
01:27:32
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this is the difference between Apple and Google is that Google does a lot of its
[TS]
01:27:37
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product development out in the open
[TS]
01:27:40
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kinda drags us all through the through the massive critical product before
[TS]
01:27:47
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we're in Apple does all this behind the scenes and only ships it when it's
[TS]
01:27:52
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finished in polished so you know and you know all credit to them if you want to
[TS]
01:27:57
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show it you know you can I mean I don't think that's a bad necessarily you know
[TS]
01:28:01
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it's just the way they do it it's like the people there still people who hang
[TS]
01:28:05
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on to the idea that Bill Gates was right about tablets and nobody was saying he
[TS]
01:28:11
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was wrong that in theory a tablet computer would be cool you know the way
[TS]
01:28:16
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of the future
[TS]
01:28:17
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Howard Hughes but you know you don't really get credit for the Windows
[TS]
01:28:22
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tablets that came out in 2002 because I mean you know there's some sort of
[TS]
01:28:29
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credit for being on the record in trying early but you don't you know you don't
[TS]
01:28:34
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get credit for the iPad because you ship that whatever the thing was called in
[TS]
01:28:38
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2003 yeah with the other one today
[TS]
01:28:43
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Eric Schmidt at some conference admitted that weird inappropriate if you have to
[TS]
01:28:54
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give the guy credit he is in some ways he's actually amazingly honest he is the
[TS]
01:29:01
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most honest thing he's ever said and it's you know it is a gets exactly to
[TS]
01:29:05
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what I don't like about Google it was that the thing he said a year or two ago
[TS]
01:29:08
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about that Google's Google's purpose is to get right up against the creepy line
[TS]
01:29:14
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right i mean at least he admitted it I mean credit to him you know who to
[TS]
01:29:21
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Google for towing the creepy line but at least he does admit it
[TS]
01:29:27
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yeah yeah I definitely remember that I thought I saw this someplace other than
[TS]
01:29:37
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Eric Schmidt the CEO of Google has described his company's policy Google
[TS]
01:29:41
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policy is to get right up to the creepy line and not cross it
[TS]
01:29:45
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I do feel like there's this big divide and there's a lot of people who really
[TS]
01:29:54
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do like Google and you know and I i'm glad to read my site and stuff I feel
[TS]
01:29:59
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like they read it
[TS]
01:29:59
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like they read it
[TS]
01:30:00
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just to get angry but you know if you don't if you don't see how that's a
[TS]
01:30:06
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weird thing for the CEO and or former CEO and chairman of the board of a
[TS]
01:30:11
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company to say then I i mean we were never really don't agree on much did he
[TS]
01:30:19
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say something about how also it like if you think that it's creepy be too bad
[TS]
01:30:24
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cuz it's coming anyway I saw something about teenagers changing their name
[TS]
01:30:33
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get out while you know you gotta read my keyboards to every young person one day
[TS]
01:30:44
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talking about this did our job is to get right up to the creepy line and not
[TS]
01:30:49
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cross it was talking about the possibility of chip implants that you
[TS]
01:30:53
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would put under your skin that Google would provide you in the future with
[TS]
01:30:57
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your permission you give us more information about you about your friends
[TS]
01:31:00
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we can improve the quality of our searches we don't need you to type at
[TS]
01:31:04
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all we know where you are
[TS]
01:31:06
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we know where we can more or less know what you're thinking about
[TS]
01:31:11
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that's over the creepy line now that's right up again that's the best part is
[TS]
01:31:19
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he thinks thats not yet he predicts apparently seriously that every young
[TS]
01:31:27
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person one day will be entitled automatically to change his or her name
[TS]
01:31:30
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on reaching adulthood in order to do so and youthful hijinks stored on their
[TS]
01:31:35
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friends social media sites I do think I mean I do think that I am glad that I
[TS]
01:31:42
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grew up before technology was available
[TS]
01:31:48
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because it would have been bad I would've been pretty right now I've let
[TS]
01:31:55
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me know I got it you know I got in right at the right time we're all this stuff
[TS]
01:31:59
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became available and I was already told you know I think that is so ubiquitous
[TS]
01:32:07
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though I don't feel though that like the future politicians of American need the
[TS]
01:32:13
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15 year old today who's going to be running for the Senate in california
[TS]
01:32:19
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thirty five years from now I don't think he has to worry about his tweets because
[TS]
01:32:23
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who you know who the hell is yeah who's not everybody is going to have some
[TS]
01:32:28
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fifteen you know I would like to know if he thinks knowing where we've been where
[TS]
01:32:39
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we are and more or less knowing what we're thinking about is up to but not
[TS]
01:32:43
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over the creepy I would love to know what's the discussions that they've had
[TS]
01:32:47
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where they're like well that's over the creepy like I would love to see that the
[TS]
01:32:51
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whiteboard with that's over the creepy line we can't do that would love to know
[TS]
01:32:56
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I want to have a specification we have gas we have a pretty good guess what you
[TS]
01:33:04
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look like naked a little bit like this
[TS]
01:33:12
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I say we call it a show anything else nothing else to cover Jon Moulton very
[TS]
01:33:19
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nice website dotnet thank you thanks for having me that's where everybody can get
[TS]
01:33:25
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their holes five of you
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