263: ‘The Dumbest Thing Possible’ With Dan Frommer
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Dan Fromer, I think it's been a while
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since you've been on the show.
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- It has, thanks for having me back, always fun.
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- We got an Apple event coming up next week.
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We're recording on Friday, the 6th of September.
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Tuesday is the event out in California.
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We can talk about that, obviously.
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We've got other stuff to talk about.
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Why don't we just start though, by talking about you, Dan.
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- Oh sure, all right, let's do it.
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- You've bounced around, you've left.
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You were at Recode for a while.
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You were editor-in-chief.
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What were you at at Recode?
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- Yeah, editor-in-chief for about two and a half years
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until end of last year, late last year.
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- Now you're on your own again, which makes me happy.
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Makes me feel like I'm less alone.
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- Yeah, I've always admired and yearned
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for the indie publisher lifestyle.
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And those who've heard me on this show before
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may remember, what was it, eight years ago,
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I started an indie site called Splat F,
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which was covering Apple and the greater Apple ecosystem.
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But that was during the era of banner ads
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and it proved not to be a great business model
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for a small indie publication,
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even one with a really high-end audience.
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And so I had some really amazing job opportunities
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that I ended up taking for basically six years.
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And in the meantime, the subscription model
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has really taken off.
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I give all credit to, I think, I'm pretty sure
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in all industries, not just tech, but Ben Thompson
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is really the one with Stratechery who was just
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kind of getting started as I was kind of shutting down Splat F.
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But this model of charging people $100 or $200 or $300
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a year for access to, in theory, a newsletter, but also
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a website, and probably much more, has really taken off,
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especially for things that are professionally oriented,
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that people can expense to their business,
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or at least right off their taxes.
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And so I started one.
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I left Recode end of last year
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and beginning of this year started something
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called The New Consumer,
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which you can find out at newconsumer.com.
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It takes my almost 15 years as a journalist
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covering technology and applies those lessons
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to kind of the field that I'm most interested in personally,
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which is consumer.
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It's a golden era of e-commerce, a golden era of consumer.
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You see all these new direct-to-consumer brands launching.
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You see big companies like Amazon taking over the world.
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You see really interesting new brands,
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many of which sponsor podcasts like this one.
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- Very true.
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- Yeah, it's very true.
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Yeah, and many of them have been enabled by technology
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in a way that earlier brands have not,
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whether that is literally selling
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a technology-based product or service or using technology and digital marketing as the way
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that they attract their customers and even using technology culture to iterate on their
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Anyway, I launched the new consumer in March actually at the Apple event where I think
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I sat next to you at the Apple services event and have been doing it since then. It's been
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going great. It is designed for professionals. It's $200 a year, which gets you two emails
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a week from me. The model is very similar to…
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How much is it again?
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It's $200 a year. For now, I only offer an annual membership. Part of that was to
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get that money up front to almost as a Kickstarter for my business.
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But, uh, you know, I, I am,
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I'm an ambitious person and I see it over time as being much more than just a
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newsletter, um, you know, and,
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and a membership at a community that I really want people who are focused on
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the big picture in the longterm to be a part of. So I might, um, you know,
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Ben, Ben and many others, it's funny,
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I subscribed to probably four or five of these now. Um, you know,
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I'm sure many of the listeners to this show know about
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Above Avalon from Neil Seibart,
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which is a really great Apple kind of financial--
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- Investor focused.
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- Yeah, investor focused financial analysis of Apple
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and also the tech world through the lens of Apple.
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But there's a great one that I get by Jon Ostrower
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covering the aviation industry.
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There's a bunch of them.
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I guess the athletic is kind of,
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the athletic is like a consumer version of this, right?
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covering sports, it's less expensive.
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Few people are expensing the athletic.
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I am because I write about the media industry,
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but most people are not expensing the athletic.
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And of course the model is do some free articles
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here and there.
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I would love to get to the pace of doing one free article
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a week in addition to the two paid ones
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and try to do something that no one else is doing.
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So it's not, I'm not writing straight news articles.
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I'm doing analysis, I'm doing commentary,
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I'm following up.
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So it's so interesting how you can just follow up
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on something and be the only person
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who's following up on something.
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Companies make these big announcements all the time
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and a lot of them don't really work out
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or work out differently than people imagine.
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So I try to focus on the why and the how.
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And it's a lot about e-commerce.
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The tag is kind of a publication about how and why people spend their time and money.
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Almost six months in, it's great.
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I'm sticking with it.
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The caliber of the membership is really fantastic.
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I really believe in the model.
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And it's perfect for someone like me who really wants to control all aspects of the
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publication and the business.
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I designed the WordPress template myself.
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I made the logo, I love doing all that sort of stuff.
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I wish I had--
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- You're a man after my own heart.
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- Yeah, I mean, I wish I had more time to make the charts
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and do all that stuff, but part of it is just
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the craziness of, and really the opportunity to do all of it
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and I love this model, I love seeing people jump into it
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and it's been really great so far.
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- We are of a, like when we look back on it,
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It's like, all right, me, I have an interesting,
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I've carved out an interesting career,
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but I have not bounced around.
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Somehow I made it work
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and then I just keep doing the same thing.
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But I'm keenly tuned in to what's going on
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with solo practitioners, for lack of a better word,
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like you and Ben and Jason Kottke.
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But also, just the whole media landscape,
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like the people who you and I would consider peers,
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roughly of our rough generation,
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like what a crazy period to be in the media, right?
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Like it's so different
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from just when Daring Fireball started in 2002.
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And some of the new sites,
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places like Recode and The Verge
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and all of the various Vox properties.
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Like I love them and I spend an awful lot of time.
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I mean, anybody who reads "Daring Fireball"
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knows how often I wind up linking to Recode
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and Buzzfeed News and Vox.
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And these are all pop publications that I don't think
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any of the ones I just mentioned were around 10 years ago.
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Maybe "The Verge," I forget when that happened.
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But, and they're great.
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And you know, and I know so many people,
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and it's no quite, it's just the way careers go, but someone like John Patzkowski, who's one of the
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great Apple beat writers, has been at both Buzzfeed News and at Recode, was previously at the, I think
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he was at the Wall Street Journal, right? He was there with the…
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Trenton Larkin He was part of All Things D,
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which became Recode. So Recode in some ways is young, but also in some ways is almost 13 years
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old. But it's just an interesting time. But there was a period there where I wouldn't say I was
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depressed. But there was a period where the solo practitioners really seemed to be drying
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up. And I really thought that, like when I made Daring Fireball work, I thought, "This
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is the future and there's going to be so many people doing this." And then I just happened
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to have a leg up by a few years because in 2002, you still needed to be a bit of a web
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developer to run your own website. And it was great that there were things like
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movable type. But even just installing movable type was beyond the ken of somebody who didn't
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have some kind of web development background. And then, I don't know, at some point it
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seemed like it dried up, and now it really seems like it's back on the upswing. And
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it's fascinating to me that it's not really through blogs. It's, like you just said,
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largely or significantly through subscription newsletters. I hate to say it—I hope he
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doesn't listen because he's on the show all the time—but Ben Thompson has done an
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amazing job. And truly, I marvel at his output. He's a machine in terms of getting his daily
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updates out and getting his free to the public to read, call him out every Tuesday. I think
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Tuesdays is when his free one drops. I mean, week after week after week.
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Trenton Larkin Yeah. Like scary consistency.
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And it's always good too. It's, you know, it's obviously jealousy inducing, but also an inspiration.
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And, um, you know, and, and by the way, not everyone can keep that pace up or even,
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you know, my pace, um, you know, you see a lot of people starting newsletters and,
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you know, even my free newsletter points party, which we're talking about that
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later, but like, I haven't kept up with that nearly as much as I want to.
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This model where you are, where your customers are literally, you know, the
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people you're writing for and there's a direct two way relationship.
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Um, I think it's great.
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It really keeps me going.
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I long to be as consistent as Ben.
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And if I'm still doing this,
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and I think he's been doing Stratechery now
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for five or six years, and many of those full-time,
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I would be so happy to be doing this in six or 10 years.
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To me, it's amazing.
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So huge credit to him, but also to you,
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and everyone else who's doing this.
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- The other thing that it plays into is,
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And there was a talk that Merlin Mann and I, like a,
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I don't know, God, it must have been like 2006 or 2007
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at South by Southwest.
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People still watch it all the time.
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I think it's evergreen content,
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but we're just talking about it and it's--
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- I think I was there live.
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- You might've been.
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I think you might've been.
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But then it was Merlin's point more than mine,
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but it was more or less just finding your passion
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and pursuing it.
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I don't know, I'll find it for the show notes,
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but it's always exciting and interesting
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and very obvious to me when somebody is writing
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about what they're passionate about.
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Where, you know, like the worst is like going back to school
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and like I, you know, I've turned out to be a quote unquote
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professional writer and people seem to be a fan
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of my writing, and sometimes I feel like I'm actually doing it pretty well. But I think
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if you went back and read a lot of my stuff in high school that I handed in as assignments,
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it was dreadfully dull because I was bored out of my mind. That's the worst. And sometimes
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even when you're reading a newspaper or something, you can just kind of tell that
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whoever wrote this, it's homework to them. And I think the opposite when you can find
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writing about something that if money were no object, if they were independently wealthy,
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they'd still want to be writing about blank. And as the reader, that passion,
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it's just this symbiotic relationship where you want to read more from this person and the person
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writing it wants to keep writing it because they've got this obsession. I think the way
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Merlin put it was obsession times voice.
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That's great. Yeah, exactly. To your earlier point, I think newsletters make it easy for
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two reasons. One is it's very easy to set up a paywall for a newsletter that works.
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You sign up once and you just get the email. Yes, there's a website that you can log into
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and Memberful, the service that I use and that Ben uses and Jason Snell uses and Kottke
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uses, it actually does a pretty good job at keeping you logged in.
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However, guess what?
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Everybody still reads their email and if your goal is to be essential to someone's professional
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life, you better be in their email.
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Of course, there will be a point where people are getting too much email and too many newsletters
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and I've probably unsubscribed from a few,
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even from people I like.
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But right now it's working
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and I love seeing Substack and other services
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get investment and become popular.
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To me it's a really interesting,
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really great time as you say.
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- Yeah, and Snell's,
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I don't think Kottke charges for his newsletter,
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but like the Six Colors model that Jason Snell has carved out
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is sort of a hybrid model where there's a, you know, just a traditional blog with sponsors
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and, you know, content daily and links and original articles. And, uh, but also a members,
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members only program that gets you something like a exclusive to the members paying members
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weekly newsletter, you know, and that hybrid model. I, I've always, I probably don't try
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enough things. As I teeter towards old age, I was more successful in the early days of
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Daring Fireball when I would just try stuff. I tried the membership thing way back when
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I first went full-time with Daring Fireball in 2006. I figured there had to be something—I
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don't want to repeat myself because I've spoken about this before—but my idea wasn't
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to have original exclusive content. It was that what I call link list entries, which
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is funny because it's like 90% of what I do now during fireball like that. That was the
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new thing. Like for the first two years, all I had were the full articles, like the columns,
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two or three a week. And then I thought, well, there's always a couple of little things I'd
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like to link to, but I don't want to write a full article about it. And then I thought,
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Well, what I could do is I could charge people members and they'd get an exclusive RSS feed
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that would have the links as I posted them. And 24 hours after I posted each one, it would
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go up on the website for everybody to see free of charge. So if you wanted to follow
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what I linked to as I wrote it, you'd have to have the RSS feed. That didn't really work
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out and then I switched to, I thought, just for technical reasons, basically because Google
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Reader didn't work with subscription only RSS feeds or private RSS feeds. That's when
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I came up with the idea for sponsorship for the RSS feed, which is basically how I feed
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my family for the last—how I fed my family for the last 13 years.
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But anyway, I think that's great. I talked about it last week on my show with Brent Simmons,
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I think that the resurgence of newsletters, it goes hand in hand with a bit of the resurgence
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of interest in RSS readers. Because I think that there's just a, a pleasure in the reading
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experience where if I sign up for the new consumer, when a new issue comes into my email
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box, I see it, I know exactly what it's going to be. And when I click on it or tap on it,
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depending on what device I am.
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There it is.
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And it is nicely, it looks nice.
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It is ready for me to read and I can start scrolling.
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And there's nothing, no pop-ups come up telling me
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that there's a fricking cookie policy
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and I've got to say it, I'm okay with this.
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There's no pop-up that comes up covering the content,
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telling me I have to log in again,
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like the goddamn Wall Street Journal,
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which I pay a fortune for, right?
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Like it makes it, reading stuff on the web that's paid
00:17:45
◼
►
It's so annoying. It really is.
00:17:49
◼
►
There's a Wall Street Journal in particular.
00:17:51
◼
►
I mean, I don't know what the hell kind of cookie system
00:17:55
◼
►
they have, but I get logged out of the Wall Street Journal
00:17:58
◼
►
all the time and I pay, it's like probably one of my most,
00:18:01
◼
►
if not the most expensive subscription I have.
00:18:04
◼
►
It's ridiculous.
00:18:05
◼
►
Like you wouldn't put up with it in the real world.
00:18:08
◼
►
Like imagine if you paid, you know, whatever, you know,
00:18:11
◼
►
a couple hundred bucks a year,
00:18:13
◼
►
which is I think what I pay for the Wall Street Journal
00:18:14
◼
►
to be like a member of a club. And every time you show up at
00:18:19
◼
►
the every other time you show up at the club, they're like, Who
00:18:21
◼
►
are you? Yeah. And you have to like, you'd be like, show them
00:18:24
◼
►
your ID, you got to like sign in, you got to type a password
00:18:27
◼
►
or something like that. Like you'd never tolerate it. Whereas
00:18:30
◼
►
like with RSS, and RSS still isn't great for in my opinion,
00:18:34
◼
►
and I don't think it ever will be forced for paywall stuff for
00:18:37
◼
►
subscription for member only stuff. But that like you said,
00:18:40
◼
►
that's why email and newsletters are fantastic. Right? Like, I've
00:18:44
◼
►
subscribed to Stereotecory for years. I've never once had to reenter my credentials. Every time
00:18:49
◼
►
Ben publishes something, there it is in my email box, ready to read. And I think that that is a big
00:18:57
◼
►
part of this resurgence in, in email, the like oldest of old parts of the internet,
00:19:02
◼
►
which is it's so fascinating to me, right? Like just the oldest thing on the internet that's still
00:19:11
◼
►
thriving and it's like still growing. And honestly, you know, and I'm, I know I'm one of
00:19:16
◼
►
the rare people. I mean, you and I are among the rare people. Like I actually really, really care
00:19:21
◼
►
about the reader experience. And, you know, side note, it's driving me crazy how hard it is to,
00:19:28
◼
►
I have to mess with my MailChimp template and I just haven't done it yet. But, you know, even
00:19:33
◼
►
working at, and Vox media was great about this, like Rico, the verge, the sites in our, in our
00:19:39
◼
►
our networks, like they also highly prioritize the reader,
00:19:43
◼
►
but you read half the sites nowadays and you have to find like
00:19:48
◼
►
three or four modal little tiny X's or click off these,
00:19:52
◼
►
these passive aggressive email,
00:19:55
◼
►
pop-up forums that are increasingly like, no,
00:19:59
◼
►
I don't want free stuff from you jerk. You know, that kind of stuff.
00:20:02
◼
►
It's like the X is like a 50% gray X on a,
00:20:05
◼
►
on a 25% gray box. It is like,
00:20:10
◼
►
I don't wanna live like that.
00:20:11
◼
►
So it's great to be able to have a medium and a site
00:20:16
◼
►
where there are no pop-ups,
00:20:20
◼
►
there's no, you don't have to click off anything.
00:20:23
◼
►
The typography is nice, it's from New Zealand.
00:20:26
◼
►
I picked it out specifically for you.
00:20:29
◼
►
And I don't know, to me it just feels great.
00:20:33
◼
►
- There's no ads that are creeping me out,
00:20:38
◼
►
just trying to sell me pants with me.
00:20:40
◼
►
- Just a picture of me trying to sell you a subscription.
00:20:43
◼
►
- With me knowing that I just bought two pairs of pants
00:20:46
◼
►
two days ago on a website and now every goddamn site I go to
00:20:49
◼
►
is trying to sell me pants.
00:20:51
◼
►
It's like, I just bought pants.
00:20:53
◼
►
- Oh my God.
00:20:55
◼
►
- Yeah, anyway.
00:20:56
◼
►
- Anyway, newsletters.
00:20:58
◼
►
- Yeah, it's been great and I'll be writing
00:21:00
◼
►
about the iPhone next week, so.
00:21:02
◼
►
Or I guess this week, whenever this drops, but.
00:21:06
◼
►
- Well, let me take a break.
00:21:06
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take a break and hit the money button and tell you about our first sponsor. It's a brand
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a bigger marketing budget. Clear Bank believes that founders shouldn't give up a piece of
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What should we move on to? I guess we should cover this event before we run out of time.
00:23:23
◼
►
- Yeah, nothing important, just the iPhone event.
00:23:28
◼
►
- Just the biggest event of the year.
00:23:31
◼
►
I don't know what the biggest event of the year.
00:23:33
◼
►
For me personally, it's probably WWDC
00:23:35
◼
►
'cause I'm a little bit more on the software side.
00:23:38
◼
►
I do my live show, which has turned into a big deal.
00:23:42
◼
►
For the greater world, clearly the September iPhone event
00:23:49
◼
►
is the bigger deal because it's hardware.
00:23:51
◼
►
and financially for Apple it is because that's still,
00:23:55
◼
►
that's still what the company is.
00:23:57
◼
►
- And also kind of historically,
00:23:59
◼
►
or at least in the last decade,
00:24:00
◼
►
where they've also kind of had the,
00:24:04
◼
►
where they've showed off the big new stuff,
00:24:07
◼
►
like the Apple Watch and--
00:24:08
◼
►
- Yeah, yeah, true.
00:24:10
◼
►
It's also a little interesting though,
00:24:12
◼
►
because they hold it at the Steve Jobs Theater,
00:24:15
◼
►
which is bigger than,
00:24:16
◼
►
for years they'd hold the iPhone event
00:24:21
◼
►
at weird, or not weird places, but just various,
00:24:25
◼
►
they couldn't hold it on Apple's campus
00:24:27
◼
►
because the old town hall is way, way too small.
00:24:30
◼
►
So they would hold it at places
00:24:32
◼
►
like the Bill Graham Civic Auditorium.
00:24:34
◼
►
I think the last few years, that's where they had it
00:24:36
◼
►
before they opened the Steve Jobs Theater.
00:24:40
◼
►
They used to hold it at the Yerba Buena Theater
00:24:46
◼
►
right there on the same block as Moscone,
00:24:50
◼
►
which was still, that was pretty tight.
00:24:52
◼
►
But even the Steve Jobs Theater,
00:24:53
◼
►
I forget how many people can fit in there,
00:24:55
◼
►
but it's not huge.
00:24:56
◼
►
Whereas the Bill Graham Civic Auditorium was humongous.
00:25:01
◼
►
And WWDC's keynote is humongous,
00:25:05
◼
►
just an enormous cavernous space.
00:25:09
◼
►
So it's interesting to me,
00:25:11
◼
►
just at a meta level, how tight seating is
00:25:17
◼
►
and how a little bit,
00:25:18
◼
►
I know more people in the media who get invited, you know, can get a press invitation to the
00:25:23
◼
►
WWDC than the iPhone event just be. And it's simply a factor of how many, how many butts
00:25:30
◼
►
they can fit in the theater. So anyway, what are we expecting next week? That's the other
00:25:34
◼
►
weird thing about the September event is that there's often not much of a surprise other
00:25:39
◼
►
than details. Like, and so it's weird because I'm fascinated by the details, but it's in
00:25:47
◼
►
in a large sense, the press will all,
00:25:48
◼
►
it seems to always like the mainstream press will usually
00:25:52
◼
►
just say, well, this is everything, you know,
00:25:55
◼
►
three new iPhones, that's what we expected, no surprises.
00:25:59
◼
►
- Right, and gripe about pricing and something else.
00:26:04
◼
►
But I think that we can start with the iPhones.
00:26:07
◼
►
I mean, it seems like we pretty much know
00:26:12
◼
►
what we're gonna get, right?
00:26:15
◼
►
Yeah, I think yeah, pretty much. It sounds, you know, and I think, I think it's unavoidable
00:26:21
◼
►
given the leakiness of the supply chain, basically. And we've known this for my or we think we've
00:26:28
◼
►
known it, let's, you know, put it whenever we speak with certainty of what we know. Let's
00:26:33
◼
►
just put an asterisk that says, we're 98% sure that we're just going to get successors
00:26:38
◼
►
to what we got last year. So there'll be a new phone that's like the 10 are a new phone
00:26:42
◼
►
like the 10 S and a new phone like the 10 S max with the a 13 chip and that the the
00:26:48
◼
►
two 10 S successors are going to have three camera systems on the back, which is the big
00:26:54
◼
►
physical change instead of two cameras. So it'll be a big square back there instead of
00:26:58
◼
►
a Tylenol capsule shape thing. Um, and new colors apparently supposedly maybe, uh, I've
00:27:10
◼
►
I've heard, I don't know if this, I don't know.
00:27:12
◼
►
I forget if this leaked or not,
00:27:13
◼
►
or if I only heard this through the fence
00:27:14
◼
►
that there might, that the 10 S models,
00:27:17
◼
►
which I think are gonna be called Pro iPhone 11 Pro,
00:27:21
◼
►
I don't know, but that the iPhone 11 Pro
00:27:23
◼
►
will be offered in a new color, like a blue.
00:27:26
◼
►
I don't know if that's true or not, but that's what I heard.
00:27:28
◼
►
So it'd be, so it'd be the white with the silver trim,
00:27:32
◼
►
the black, of course, can't not have black, gold and blue.
00:27:37
◼
►
I don't know if that's true or not.
00:27:40
◼
►
New 10 are also correspond to a blue watch. I wonder and we could talk about the watch
00:27:47
◼
►
later because I wonder, you know, there's, you know, we'll talk about this, but that
00:27:50
◼
►
there's rumors that they're going to have titanium ceramic in addition to stainless
00:27:54
◼
►
steel and aluminum. And I wonder, I mean, aluminum to me would be the easiest to tint.
00:28:01
◼
►
I don't know that. I don't know if I guess they could do titanium in any color they want
00:28:05
◼
►
ceramic. I guess they could do and I ceramic, I guess you could do any color under the sun
00:28:08
◼
►
because you're not even coating it, like you just make the ceramic in the material.
00:28:12
◼
►
But anyway, let's talk about watches later. The big thing that I'm most interested in
00:28:17
◼
►
is the three camera system for the pro models. And the idea is that in addition to the two lenses
00:28:25
◼
►
we have now, like the regular lens and the 2X "telephoto lens," which isn't really telephoto,
00:28:31
◼
►
but I get why Apple calls it telephoto because it's zoomed in at its natural resolution,
00:28:36
◼
►
that there'll be the third camera that they're adding will be a wide angle lens that's significantly
00:28:43
◼
►
wider than the standard lens. So there'll be the new one, you know, there's still be the default
00:28:48
◼
►
one, which is what everybody, which is kind of a wide angle lens. I think it's like a 28 millimeter
00:28:53
◼
►
equivalent for 35 millimeter cameras. The telephoto, which is the equivalent of a 50
00:29:00
◼
►
and then a wider angle lens, which at least in terms of the rumors, nobody knows exactly how
00:29:05
◼
►
wide wider angle is. I think that's interesting because I'm a camera enthusiast. The thing
00:29:13
◼
►
I'm most interested though is how the, and again, this is the sort of thing that at least
00:29:20
◼
►
so far hasn't leaked at all and tends not to because I think that it, the, the iOS 13
00:29:28
◼
►
that go out to the public don't have the code that you know there it's a different fork within Apple
00:29:36
◼
►
from the version that has the code that supports the new hardware features on new hardware right
00:29:43
◼
►
so I'm most interested in what the camera team had has done software wise with that third camera
00:29:50
◼
►
because there it's not just like a simple like
00:29:54
◼
►
The on the phones with that we already have with the two cameras
00:29:59
◼
►
it's not just well you're either using the one lens or you're using the other and
00:30:03
◼
►
It just switches like like is though it was like a hardware switch between the two lenses
00:30:08
◼
►
The software does some very interesting stuff, you know
00:30:14
◼
►
It's like the fact that you can start a video with the 1x lens and it'll switch to the 2x lens if you zoom while you're
00:30:20
◼
►
shooting and yet the video doesn't have like a skip where it looks like you've suddenly
00:30:25
◼
►
flipped lenses. Um, the way that the portrait mode works and it uses the two X lens for
00:30:32
◼
►
the photo but uses the one X lens to get the depth masks to help create that fake bokeh
00:30:39
◼
►
effect. Like I've strongly, I have no idea. I have no insight information on it, but I
00:30:44
◼
►
strongly suspect that they'll, they'll use this extra wide angle lens for similar stuff
00:30:49
◼
►
to make photos better even when you're not actually shooting the photo with that lens?
00:30:53
◼
►
I don't know.
00:30:55
◼
►
That could be really interesting. If you look at where software has been
00:31:00
◼
►
the most fun and interesting in photography, it's certainly not in the stock camera apps these days.
00:31:09
◼
►
It's like the Instagram super zoom in stories and all the AR stuff that Snapchat and Instagram
00:31:16
◼
►
have been doing. I always wonder how much Apple lets itself be inspired by stuff like
00:31:23
◼
►
that that is more fun than practical. If there's a super zoom type effect or even just a suite
00:31:33
◼
►
of special effects where it zooms in very quickly on someone switching between the different
00:31:41
◼
►
cameras or something like that. That could be kind of fun. They've added some effects
00:31:47
◼
►
over the years. I just wonder how wacky they will let themselves get.
00:31:52
◼
►
I'm also sure there's probably things that we can't just imagine here on the fly that
00:31:57
◼
►
when they show them off will be interesting and impressive. Once you've been developing
00:32:07
◼
►
with multiple cameras for that long.
00:32:09
◼
►
I imagine they've figured out some neat tricks
00:32:11
◼
►
that could be cool.
00:32:15
◼
►
Otherwise though, I don't know, you know,
00:32:19
◼
►
what else, you know, with the phones.
00:32:21
◼
►
I mean, I can't wait to see it,
00:32:23
◼
►
but I don't know what else to conjecture about now,
00:32:27
◼
►
three days in advance.
00:32:28
◼
►
- Yeah, I mean, the pro thing is kind of interesting.
00:32:31
◼
►
You know, how, is this gonna be the venue
00:32:35
◼
►
to kind of talk about what it means to be a pro? Or is that
00:32:38
◼
►
just straight up a marketing term? And then part B of that is
00:32:43
◼
►
does it is it become the only pro item without a USB C port in
00:32:47
◼
►
the lineup? I think that I think that one's been busted, right?
00:32:51
◼
►
It's it's probably gonna be lightning still. So,
00:32:53
◼
►
yeah, that's a good question. That's actually a really good
00:32:56
◼
►
question. Because I and I say it's a good question. I know
00:32:59
◼
►
it's a good question. Because I actually have at least three
00:33:01
◼
►
different people have asked me that on Twitter in the last 24 hours based on my daring fireball
00:33:08
◼
►
article guessing that they're going to call it the iPhone 11 Pro. So I have two answers
00:33:16
◼
►
to that. One is according to the rumor mill from the supply chain, they're still all lightning.
00:33:24
◼
►
And that's the sort of thing that would very likely leak just because there's nothing
00:33:32
◼
►
Apple can do about it, right?
00:33:33
◼
►
Because the actual—I don't know how many of the phones are actually in North America
00:33:39
◼
►
already, but certainly some of them already are.
00:33:41
◼
►
And prototypes have certainly been in the hands of Apple employees for months now.
00:33:47
◼
►
And the review units that'll start getting seeded next week, I'm guessing, are already
00:33:52
◼
►
that they would want to cut it so close that they're—but who knows? I don't know
00:33:57
◼
►
how that works. But if they're not here, they're on their way here because the review
00:34:01
◼
►
units typically start getting seeded to people the day of the event. It's just no way to
00:34:10
◼
►
hide something like that.
00:34:12
◼
►
And then my other answer would be strategically, I think there's a very big difference. There
00:34:16
◼
►
There is a correlation between the current Pro devices and USB-C ports, but on the Mac,
00:34:24
◼
►
it never really made sense to have a Lightning port. So USB-C is just the next generation
00:34:29
◼
►
of USB. So I feel like the fact that all the Mac Pros and MacBook—well, I guess the Mac
00:34:36
◼
►
Pro actually doesn't have USB-C yet because the Mac Pro is from 10 years ago the one that
00:34:42
◼
►
can buy today, but like the iMac Pro does and MacBook Pro does, and surely the new Mac
00:34:47
◼
►
Pro that's coming out soon will have USB-C ports. I guess we even know that. We've
00:34:53
◼
►
seen it already when it was previewed at WWDC.
00:34:58
◼
►
The one that makes people who want to see the iPhone get a USB-C port hopeful is the
00:35:04
◼
►
iPad Pro. That's the one. So when the iPad changed from iPad to iPad Pro, the Pro has
00:35:13
◼
►
USB-C instead of Lightning, and they continue to make other iPads that are just called iPad
00:35:19
◼
►
Air or iPad Mini, and they still have Lightning. And so I can see there's a certain logic
00:35:26
◼
►
to the notion that if Apple is going to start calling some iPhones Pro and some are not
00:35:31
◼
►
that the pro ones would have USB-C and the other ones would not. So I get that. But strategically,
00:35:38
◼
►
I don't think there's I don't think Apple has ever even considered switching the iPhone to USB-C.
00:35:43
◼
►
No, it's a fun exercise. But I can't imagine that would happen. There's the lightning ecosystem is
00:35:49
◼
►
just too big. And, and also like for the iPad Pro, I think a lot of it was for the power delivery.
00:35:58
◼
►
and the fast charging of something that has a giant battery in it. Whereas even an iPhone Pro,
00:36:05
◼
►
I think, is still going to have a normal-ish battery and probably even continue to have a
00:36:10
◼
►
smaller battery than whatever the XR becomes. So yeah. My money's on Lightning.
00:36:19
◼
►
Yeah. And it would be even if the rumor mill were silent on it, I would say Lightning. And I'm going
00:36:25
◼
►
going to say so the rumor mill, it doesn't go that far ahead.
00:36:29
◼
►
I honestly still believe that every iPhone
00:36:33
◼
►
will have lightning from now through the end of time
00:36:39
◼
►
until they don't even have a port.
00:36:42
◼
►
As long as there's a port that you plug into,
00:36:45
◼
►
it'll be lightning, I think.
00:36:47
◼
►
Yeah, that makes sense.
00:36:49
◼
►
I don't know.
00:36:50
◼
►
I'll at least say for the next five years.
00:36:51
◼
►
I don't know who knows what would happen five years from now.
00:36:53
◼
►
The cool thing. Oh, people don't believe me. People don't, I say this,
00:37:00
◼
►
and I know some people are so skeptical and think that every corporation,
00:37:04
◼
►
no matter which one that you did,
00:37:06
◼
►
that they're full of shit with everything they say. But with Apple,
00:37:10
◼
►
a lot of the time you really can take them at their word and their explanation
00:37:14
◼
►
when the iPad pro switched to USB-C was that these,
00:37:19
◼
►
The iPad Pro is meant as an alternative
00:37:24
◼
►
to a traditional laptop PC,
00:37:27
◼
►
and therefore they're using, including USB-C,
00:37:31
◼
►
so that you can use PC peripherals.
00:37:34
◼
►
That's what they said.
00:37:36
◼
►
They also mentioned specifically
00:37:38
◼
►
that it supports higher, faster charging rates,
00:37:41
◼
►
and it comes with a, hmm, what is that iPad charger?
00:37:45
◼
►
I forget how many watts.
00:37:47
◼
►
- I think it's 18.
00:37:48
◼
►
It ships with an 18 watt, but it can take advantage of up to a 30 watt charger
00:37:53
◼
►
To charge even faster
00:37:56
◼
►
So if you spend more money or the smarter thing go to somebody like anchor and buy a third-party
00:38:02
◼
►
30 watt charger
00:38:04
◼
►
You could charge your iPad pro faster
00:38:06
◼
►
And those things are tiny. They're amazing tiny anchors in particular are really really tiny
00:38:17
◼
►
That's what they said and I think that's what they mean well
00:38:20
◼
►
I don't think the iPhone will be able to take advantage of 30 watt charging. I mean, it's it would be interesting
00:38:25
◼
►
I guess that's one small thing that we can conjectures is will Apple finally ship it with more than a 5 watt charger
00:38:30
◼
►
Like a plaster is still shipped with 5 watt chargers and I know I know the nerds out there that and you know
00:38:39
◼
►
I know a lot of you who are listening to my show are in that think that that's outrageous
00:38:43
◼
►
but there really is a
00:38:46
◼
►
Flip side to it which is that a lot of people like that chart the charger that they ship with iPhones because it's so small
00:38:51
◼
►
And because therefore it fits anywhere. There's a plug it will fit and it fits in a
00:38:57
◼
►
woman's purse
00:38:58
◼
►
even if it's a very small perverse so they can carry a charger with them everywhere they go and
00:39:02
◼
►
There's there really are and I've talked to people at Apple about this and I know people think it's because Tim Cook is
00:39:09
◼
►
Is a tight wad and wants to squeeze an extra five dollars out of every?
00:39:15
◼
►
iPhone sold by shipping a cheaper charger, but there really are millions and millions and millions
00:39:20
◼
►
of iPhone users who prefer the little square five watt charger because it's because it's small and
00:39:27
◼
►
they don't care if it's slower. And I know people don't. People who listen to the show don't believe
00:39:33
◼
►
me, but I know that that's true. So hopefully what they'll do is ship it with a higher capacity
00:39:37
◼
►
charger that's relatively small. Yeah, if they could get, you know, a faster or whatever you
00:39:43
◼
►
I call it a higher capacity charge in that same exact size or keep it five whopper make it even smaller
00:39:49
◼
►
I'm not sure how possible that is either but
00:39:52
◼
►
I don't think it's funny. You know, I just spent four months overseas and the chargers are so big there. Yes
00:39:59
◼
►
The UK ones look like some kind of like
00:40:07
◼
►
There's something out of a Terry Gilliam film like it's meant to
00:40:12
◼
►
- Meant to look silly.
00:40:14
◼
►
- It's crazy, I mean, you can't put that in your pocket.
00:40:16
◼
►
But yeah, although the ones in France were bigger,
00:40:21
◼
►
but they were kind of skinny.
00:40:22
◼
►
It was kind of a good shape.
00:40:24
◼
►
But yeah, here's the thing.
00:40:27
◼
►
The other thing is I think that,
00:40:29
◼
►
and Apple probably knows this too,
00:40:30
◼
►
that probably 90% of charging occurs at nighttime
00:40:35
◼
►
while people are sleeping.
00:40:39
◼
►
So the speed of the charge
00:40:41
◼
►
is probably less important than.
00:40:42
◼
►
What's obviously a bigger problem
00:40:45
◼
►
is when you're almost out of battery
00:40:47
◼
►
and you need a quick charge.
00:40:49
◼
►
And that's where both of these things,
00:40:52
◼
►
both the five watt and also the wireless charging,
00:40:55
◼
►
which is increasingly common,
00:40:57
◼
►
neither of those things really help with that.
00:40:58
◼
►
- They don't help in that, oops, holy crap,
00:41:00
◼
►
I forgot to charge my phone.
00:41:02
◼
►
Or like every once in a while,
00:41:04
◼
►
like I have the bedside wireless charging thing.
00:41:09
◼
►
and the one I have, I forget, I think it's the Mophie.
00:41:12
◼
►
You know, it's okay, the sweet spot isn't too small,
00:41:17
◼
►
but it, you know, once every two months or so,
00:41:20
◼
►
I'll have a night where I didn't quite hit it
00:41:23
◼
►
and I'll wake up in the morning
00:41:24
◼
►
and my phone didn't charge at all.
00:41:25
◼
►
It would be nice, now usually with the way I live my life,
00:41:29
◼
►
working here, it doesn't really matter,
00:41:30
◼
►
but if I had to leave the house every day for, you know,
00:41:33
◼
►
a commute or something like that, it would be nice.
00:41:36
◼
►
It's nice every once in a while when you really,
00:41:38
◼
►
your phone's already under 20% to charge it to at least like 80% pretty quickly. So fast
00:41:45
◼
►
charging definitely has a use. And it would be nice if it came in the box.
00:41:48
◼
►
Yeah, I love it with the with a 30 watt, anchor charger and then the USB C to lightning. Especially
00:41:55
◼
►
if I you know, if I check into a hotel or something, I just I need to give me as much
00:41:59
◼
►
charges I can get in 10 minutes before I have to leave. It's great for that. The thing that
00:42:05
◼
►
I'm intrigued by is this rumor of wireless reverse charging
00:42:09
◼
►
where you can theoretically charge your AirPods
00:42:13
◼
►
off of the back of the new iPhone,
00:42:16
◼
►
whether it's Qi or, you know, Qi plus Apple magic.
00:42:22
◼
►
- Yeah, like will there be other things
00:42:24
◼
►
that you can also put on the back of your phone
00:42:27
◼
►
that would charge like?
00:42:28
◼
►
- Could you bum a charge off someone else's phone
00:42:31
◼
►
on your phone?
00:42:32
◼
►
- Well, the Samsung ones that have this similar feature,
00:42:36
◼
►
or at least conceptually the same feature,
00:42:38
◼
►
definitely let you charge another phone
00:42:40
◼
►
because they even, and they even advertise it
00:42:42
◼
►
as like a, you know, like their TV ads show people like,
00:42:46
◼
►
you know, this guy meets a girl in a coffee shop
00:42:49
◼
►
and, you know, introduces himself by letting her
00:42:52
◼
►
charge her phone on his phone.
00:42:56
◼
►
- I don't think, from what I've heard,
00:42:58
◼
►
I don't think Apple's is gonna do that.
00:42:59
◼
►
I wouldn't be surprised if it's AirPods only.
00:43:02
◼
►
And I don't think they could do the watch
00:43:04
◼
►
because the watch needs like the magnetic connection.
00:43:06
◼
►
Whereas the AirPods you could just put side by side.
00:43:09
◼
►
But who knows, maybe they will, I don't know.
00:43:12
◼
►
- Well, did the watch ever get,
00:43:14
◼
►
did the watch ever ship with whatever it needed
00:43:17
◼
►
to charge off of the power mat?
00:43:20
◼
►
Was that thing called the AirPad?
00:43:23
◼
►
- Supposedly AirPower was just going to work
00:43:26
◼
►
with all existing watches.
00:43:27
◼
►
I remember when it was still a product,
00:43:30
◼
►
I remember asking, and it wasn't gonna be like,
00:43:32
◼
►
oh yeah, it'll only work with the new watch.
00:43:34
◼
►
It supposedly would work with any watch.
00:43:36
◼
►
- So maybe that would work, I don't know.
00:43:38
◼
►
Although the watch, my problem is never the watch
00:43:41
◼
►
running out of battery, it's only the phone, really.
00:43:44
◼
►
- Yeah, same with AirPods, really.
00:43:46
◼
►
I can't remember the last time I even heard the bloop, bloop,
00:43:51
◼
►
that little sad sound.
00:43:52
◼
►
- No, especially the new ones.
00:43:55
◼
►
- Yeah, so I don't know.
00:43:56
◼
►
To me, it's a neat feature, but it's not a big feature.
00:43:59
◼
►
I'll tell you one thing I'm looking forward to on the new phone, supposedly. And again,
00:44:03
◼
►
you know, it doesn't, it's only like words that have leaked. It's nobody seems to have
00:44:07
◼
►
pictures yet. I mean, who knows? The last weekend is always, it's always dangerous recording
00:44:12
◼
►
on a Friday before the event. And it's supposed, it's like, I want to get it out. So people
00:44:16
◼
►
traveling and stuff like that, I could listen to it, but it's always surprising what might
00:44:20
◼
►
leak on Sunday. Um, but one of the things people have said, sources have said is that
00:44:25
◼
►
the glass back of the new phones might have a matte finish, at least in certain colors.
00:44:32
◼
►
That would be very appealing to me. My least favorite thing about these phones over the
00:44:37
◼
►
last three years, really, because I would leave it include the jet black iPhone 8 that
00:44:44
◼
►
I carried for a year, is the way that you can't tell which side is which by touch. Like,
00:44:50
◼
►
I think I said on a recent episode of the show, my one regret over the years of buying
00:44:54
◼
►
iPhones is that I didn't get the matte black iPhone eight instead of the jet black because
00:45:00
◼
►
I think I would have I think I liked the aesthetic better overall in the long term. I think I
00:45:04
◼
►
was just infatuated by the glossy jet black at first the Darth Vader ish sort of finish.
00:45:11
◼
►
But I just I really dislike the way that when you're and I tell you know, I I always try
00:45:17
◼
►
to put the phone in my pocket the same way glass facing my thigh as opposed to the screen
00:45:22
◼
►
out just in case something hits me in the thigh. Hopefully, it will crack the back,
00:45:27
◼
►
not the front. But every once in a while, your phone is flipped around or it's on
00:45:33
◼
►
the table or something like that. I don't know. To me, it's just generally… And
00:45:38
◼
►
it also, to me, makes it more slippery. I would presume that a matte glass finish for
00:45:42
◼
►
the back would literally have more texture. So I hope that's true.
00:45:51
◼
►
On the lightning versus USB C front before we move on even further. The other thing that
00:45:55
◼
►
I just, I cannot emphasize enough is among our crowd, people who listen to this show,
00:46:02
◼
►
people who read this site, people who, people who really know, understand the difference,
00:46:06
◼
►
like know what USB C is. They want USB C on the iPhone because they really are. And I
00:46:14
◼
►
see it, I get it. They're enamored with the idea that they could carry fewer cables around.
00:46:20
◼
►
it be neat if you could just, you could, even if you travel with an iPad and a phone and
00:46:26
◼
►
a MacBook, if all you needed were USB-C cables and maybe you could just use the same charger,
00:46:32
◼
►
just charge your phone overnight, then leave your iPad Pro plugged in in your hotel room
00:46:37
◼
►
during the day and plug the MacBook in when you need it. That's great. I see the appeal
00:46:41
◼
►
of that. That would really simplify the world in a way that you could just have it and maybe
00:46:48
◼
►
you're a nerd and you carry, you try out Android phones throughout the year too. The more devices
00:46:54
◼
►
you use, the more that appeals to you as a nerd. But normal people hated when Apple switched
00:47:01
◼
►
from the 30 pin to lightning. They hated it. Hated it and everybody chalked it up to, or
00:47:08
◼
►
not, everybody in the normal world chalked it up to Apple did this to get everybody to
00:47:13
◼
►
buy the $30 lightning cables. It was a money grab. And if they switched to USB-C, even
00:47:21
◼
►
though in the nerd world they would say they would praise Apple for switching to the industry
00:47:28
◼
►
standard, the hundreds of millions of regular iPhone users out there who don't already have
00:47:38
◼
►
lightning cables around their house and everywhere they need for their phone would see it as
00:47:42
◼
►
a money grab that Apple's trying to get even though you we know you can buy USB C cables
00:47:47
◼
►
from anywhere anybody. They would chop this up to you know, they would complain about
00:47:51
◼
►
it. I can't tell you how many people in my family bitch to me when Apple switched to
00:47:57
◼
►
lightning. And I would say don't you see how much more elegant it is that 30 pin cable
00:48:01
◼
►
was gross and ugly. It was so bad. But they didn't see it that way. All they saw it was
00:48:07
◼
►
that the cables they already owned and that the stands they already had or whatever didn't
00:48:11
◼
►
work with their new phone and they had to throw them out or like people who like like
00:48:20
◼
►
a married couple where somebody gets the new iPhone one year and the other spouse has the
00:48:26
◼
►
old iPhone. Now they need two cables. People hate that. I cannot, the number of people
00:48:32
◼
►
who would hate, hate a change to USB-C on a new iPhone vastly, I would say 10 times
00:48:41
◼
►
outweighs the number of people who would be happy about it. And I realized that there's
00:48:47
◼
►
people, nerds who are listening to me say this, and they're getting angry at me because
00:48:52
◼
►
they don't believe it. But I'm telling you, in the real world, it's true.
00:48:55
◼
►
Yeah, change is hard, man. Although I did pick up one of those 30-pin chords this week,
00:49:00
◼
►
and I'm glad we're not using those right now.
00:49:04
◼
►
It's sort of ludicrous-looking when you really think about it. It's really, they really were.
00:49:10
◼
►
I mean, it was, it seemed like a breakthrough at the time, but yeah,
00:49:12
◼
►
the time compared to a scuzzy pin or something like that. Right. But, but there were,
00:49:16
◼
►
and they were like sharp clips in there to keep it, keep it in. Yeah.
00:49:23
◼
►
Anything else on the iPhones that we expect next week? No, I just, every time the iPhone naming
00:49:29
◼
►
comes up, I just, I always think back to the iPhone math and laugh my ass off. Remember that one?
00:49:34
◼
►
It's like a terrible supply chain rumor that there was going to be an iPhone called the iPhone
00:49:40
◼
►
math. I haven't thought about that in years. I think about all the time, I think it ended
00:49:46
◼
►
up being the plus maybe or something like that. So maybe someone saw a plus sign or
00:49:50
◼
►
the word plus. Maybe I never thought of that. Right. Right. Yeah, I love it. Yeah. Maybe
00:49:57
◼
►
this will be the year that iPhone math. You know what? That actually is a very logical
00:50:04
◼
►
explanation that they saw the plus sign and it's some kind of mistranslation from Chinese
00:50:10
◼
►
to English turned it into math because it was plus.
00:50:15
◼
►
Maybe. I don't know. I love it though. I want something like that again.
00:50:23
◼
►
I will not devolve into politics, but there's somebody on Twitter with this thing with Trump
00:50:28
◼
►
being obsessed with the, his, his statement five days ago that Alabama was in the path of the
00:50:34
◼
►
hurricane. Uh, what Dorian? Yeah. Uh, and that he spent the last five days defending it and trying
00:50:41
◼
►
to make up the, that's right. Somebody on Twitter conjectured that what happened was that the thing
00:50:46
◼
►
that he saw said Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, and all Bahamas, all Bahamas, read it as Alabama.
00:50:56
◼
►
And I think that's so possible. I think that is so possibly where this whole thing came from.
00:51:01
◼
►
And that's why he's convinced that he really was told that he's really told that really was told
00:51:06
◼
►
that Alabama was was in the path of the hurricane. I love it all Bahamas. Amazing.
00:51:11
◼
►
Yeah, I don't have anything else on the iPhone. I'm interested. I, you know, I think mostly
00:51:19
◼
►
it'll be, you know, do you, uh,
00:51:24
◼
►
do you think that they'll change the upgrade program at all either to, uh,
00:51:29
◼
►
include it in some of the bundles that they're doing and,
00:51:33
◼
►
or make it exclusive for the, uh, Apple card?
00:51:37
◼
►
Or do you think that they'll just kind of stick with it?
00:51:39
◼
►
In other words, would they do some kind of like,
00:51:43
◼
►
for lack of a better word, Apple prime, let's just say,
00:51:48
◼
►
I don't think they would call it that because Al Amazon so owns it, but for lack of, to
00:51:52
◼
►
avoid trying to think of a better name, let's just call it Apple prime. There's a whole
00:51:56
◼
►
bunch of daring fireball readers and talk show listeners have emailed me. So with this
00:52:01
◼
►
idea you sign up, you pay Apple, I don't know, X hundred dollars a year and you get all of
00:52:09
◼
►
it. You get all of their subscription stuff, the TV plus and the, uh, the news, you get
00:52:15
◼
►
Apple music, you get Apple arcade and you get into some kind of upgrade program for
00:52:22
◼
►
the iPhone, you know, which and they have that already. There is the upgrade program.
00:52:26
◼
►
Right. And that's what I was curious about is specifically that upgrade program. But
00:52:30
◼
►
the other, the other bundle too, I mean, that's a good question as well. I wonder, I like,
00:52:36
◼
►
I see the appeal of it where, and I, there's definitely, you know, in terms of people who've
00:52:40
◼
►
emailed me, there's definitely people out there who are interested in it. And I know,
00:52:43
◼
►
I know firsthand from friends that a lot of friends I have used the upgrade program to
00:52:48
◼
►
get a new phone every year.
00:52:51
◼
►
I mean there's three strategies if you want a new phone every year, which I and number
00:52:55
◼
►
one you're you're an oddball if you want a new iPhone every year because normal people
00:52:59
◼
►
buy them and keep them now for longer and longer terms than ever because they're still
00:53:05
◼
►
so useful longer than ever.
00:53:09
◼
►
But I buy one every year I do.
00:53:12
◼
►
And I'm, I do the dumbest thing possible, which is I keep all of my old ones so that
00:53:17
◼
►
I can just say that I have them all.
00:53:21
◼
►
Which is financially ridiculously stupid.
00:53:25
◼
►
The other thing that I know a lot of people do is they, if they buy a new phone every
00:53:30
◼
►
year, they just buy it, pay for it upfront.
00:53:32
◼
►
And then when the new one comes out, they sell the old one.
00:53:35
◼
►
And typically if it's in good condition or very good condition, it still has an awful
00:53:41
◼
►
lot of value like a year old iPhone 10 S probably that might've sold for around $1,000 you could
00:53:47
◼
►
you might be able to sell for 600 500 $600 and so you're not paying $1,000 a year to
00:53:54
◼
►
get a new iPhone top of the line you're only paying like five four or $500 a year and then
00:54:01
◼
►
but I do know a lot of people who use the upgrade program and I don't even know how
00:54:04
◼
►
that works because I want to keep my old ones but could they combine it with media subscriptions
00:54:09
◼
►
I honestly don't even know. I don't know if they would want to I don't know if they don't
00:54:12
◼
►
want to cross streams on hardware sales and subscriptions. Clearly, I mean, one of the
00:54:20
◼
►
things they didn't mention at the media event in March was any kind of they didn't even
00:54:24
◼
►
mention the idea of a bundle. Let you know, leaving aside that they didn't tell us how
00:54:30
◼
►
much a lot of this these things would cost. They didn't tell us what arcades going to
00:54:33
◼
►
cost. They didn't mention what TV plus is going to cost. Uh,
00:54:36
◼
►
clearly they should have a bundle right for just for the subscriptions alone.
00:54:43
◼
►
Could they have a level of the bundle that includes the upgrade? They could.
00:54:47
◼
►
And I think it would appeal to some people,
00:54:48
◼
►
but I don't know if they would want to cross streams on that. I don't know how.
00:54:51
◼
►
And if that's like some kind of accounting problem, I don't know.
00:54:54
◼
►
What do you think? And apple cart only.
00:54:59
◼
►
That's another thing that people are conjecturing. I don't know.
00:55:02
◼
►
Yeah, I think probably not this year for that. Although it's interesting how much they've been
00:55:07
◼
►
advertising the apple card. And I saw it on on baseball game yesterday. I've seen Twitter ads
00:55:15
◼
►
for it. They're really going. I haven't seen it on a game yet. But maybe that's because I only
00:55:20
◼
►
want do you watch on the MLB TV or Yeah, that's where I was watching. Well, maybe I'll start
00:55:26
◼
►
I'll start seeing them soon, I don't know.
00:55:29
◼
►
- Yeah, I mean, I assume they're doing this
00:55:33
◼
►
to make it a truly mainstream thing,
00:55:35
◼
►
and it really has the possibility,
00:55:37
◼
►
if you think about it, to become like the single
00:55:39
◼
►
most popular credit card in America,
00:55:41
◼
►
just by virtue of how fragmented that market is.
00:55:44
◼
►
But anyway, the bundle thing, I mean,
00:55:46
◼
►
that was definitely one of the things that I thought about
00:55:48
◼
►
when we were sitting there in March was, wow,
00:55:50
◼
►
they, A, they haven't given the prices
00:55:52
◼
►
for a bunch of these things, and B,
00:55:55
◼
►
Is everyone just going to have to pick and choose which one of these things they get
00:56:01
◼
►
or are they going to do a big bundle?
00:56:04
◼
►
I think that the products are kind of different enough that a bundle doesn't really make
00:56:12
◼
►
a ton of sense.
00:56:15
◼
►
The person who wants arcade games and the person who wants magazine content is probably
00:56:19
◼
►
not the same person.
00:56:21
◼
►
Maybe that is a reason to make them, to incentivize them with a discount.
00:56:28
◼
►
Music has the broadest appeal, right?
00:56:31
◼
►
I mean, because I don't know what percentage of people who own Apple products like listening
00:56:38
◼
►
to music, but surely it's as high as almost anything you could say people subscribe to,
00:56:45
◼
►
I don't know.
00:56:46
◼
►
It just seems like music is a universal thing.
00:56:50
◼
►
- So right, will Apple Music and Apple TV+
00:56:54
◼
►
get some sort of bundle opportunity?
00:56:57
◼
►
Maybe the answer is no, we make things easy enough
00:57:01
◼
►
to sign up for that, you know,
00:57:03
◼
►
we don't need whatever mechanics come with the bundle
00:57:06
◼
►
to make it work.
00:57:10
◼
►
But, you know, there's also this bigger idea
00:57:15
◼
►
of an overall like Apple+ or whatever you would call it,
00:57:19
◼
►
Obviously I agree with you,
00:57:21
◼
►
they're not gonna use the word prime,
00:57:23
◼
►
but something that gets you all this stuff
00:57:25
◼
►
and that's the question,
00:57:28
◼
►
and the new iPhone every year, I don't know.
00:57:33
◼
►
- Yeah, we'll see.
00:57:34
◼
►
The other one that stands out is,
00:57:36
◼
►
and I don't wanna go too long on it,
00:57:38
◼
►
'cause we'll find out, I think Tuesday,
00:57:40
◼
►
I do think that the services stuff
00:57:41
◼
►
is gonna be a big part of the event,
00:57:44
◼
►
is the one that people are conjecturing about
00:57:46
◼
►
the fact that TV plus, which is Apple's original content, just how are they going to, you know,
00:57:52
◼
►
how could they sell it for $10 a month if Disney is selling a thing for $8 a month that
00:57:57
◼
►
has the entire Disney library and Apple says, here, you will charge you $10 a month and
00:58:02
◼
►
we've got, we're starting with five shows. I get that. Uh, and no content library either.
00:58:10
◼
►
Uh, right, right. With no content library. Right. Which is like, you know, the, well,
00:58:15
◼
►
Disney owns a massive content library. Netflix. By this time, Netflix has so much original
00:58:22
◼
►
content with comedy specials and original shows that they do. They own a big content
00:58:27
◼
►
library and they pay to get stuff. You know, they had friends for a long time, et cetera,
00:58:32
◼
►
et cetera, all sorts of stuff. And HBO has all these movies and stuff that aren't original
00:58:38
◼
►
to them. Apple plot TV plus isn't going to have that. I feel like there's gotta be something
00:58:42
◼
►
more to TV plus in terms of how Apple is going to sell it than just $10 a month and you get
00:58:48
◼
►
our shows and that's it. They could do that I guess and just say we're that's how confident
00:58:54
◼
►
we are and that these shows are good that we're charging this premium compared to everybody
00:58:58
◼
►
else but I think there's more to it and TV plus to me is the one that really seems like
00:59:03
◼
►
it could go a long way by them just saying, Hey, if you're an Apple music subscriber,
00:59:09
◼
►
get TV plus you've already got it just you don't have to do anything if you know these
00:59:15
◼
►
shows the the morning show with Jennifer Aniston and Reese Witherspoon and Steve Carell it's
00:59:18
◼
►
coming out it's debuting in October and if you're an Apple music subscriber you've already
00:59:22
◼
►
got it I don't know if that's what they're gonna do and I know you know that and just
00:59:27
◼
►
use it as a way to drive Apple music subscriptions right I don't know there's got to be something
00:59:33
◼
►
more to it with that then it had I think there has to be some kind of right they can't just
00:59:37
◼
►
I mean, they can do whatever they want, but it's a hard sell to say, "Hey, it's 10
00:59:41
◼
►
bucks a month and we have these three shows for you to watch."
00:59:45
◼
►
And sorry, we just lost two of them, too.
00:59:50
◼
►
Yeah, it'll be interesting.
00:59:55
◼
►
I think that's one of the parts that we know the least about.
00:59:59
◼
►
There was a rumor, though, that the Apple Arcade is only going to be—and this was
01:00:03
◼
►
was uncovered by Guy Rambeau, the hacker extraordinaire who writes at 9to5Mac and somehow got prerelease
01:00:10
◼
►
access to the internal version of Apple Arcade that's being tested by Apple employees.
01:00:15
◼
►
And once he got his hands on that, poked around the APIs, and it's by poking at those APIs
01:00:21
◼
►
and getting responses, he, you know, at least at the time he was poking around, it seemed
01:00:26
◼
►
like it was going to cost $4.99 a month to subscribe.
01:00:31
◼
►
And I think everybody was thinking that they said, "Hey, Apple News is $10 a month."
01:00:40
◼
►
Everybody tends to think, for good reason, that whatever you think Apple is going to
01:00:44
◼
►
charge for something, double it and maybe that's right.
01:00:48
◼
►
But sometimes they surprise us.
01:00:49
◼
►
Remember the original iPad, everybody thought it was going to be $999 and everybody thought,
01:00:53
◼
►
"Yeah, that sounds about right.
01:00:54
◼
►
They've charged $1,000 for this amazing tablet."
01:00:57
◼
►
And then it debuted, started at $499.
01:00:59
◼
►
It was half the price.
01:01:01
◼
►
So sometimes they surprise us.
01:01:02
◼
►
I think the idea that Apple Arcade
01:01:04
◼
►
might only be $5 a month would,
01:01:06
◼
►
and the response I saw to that like on Twitter
01:01:09
◼
►
and from readers was, "Wow, that's great.
01:01:11
◼
►
"I was on the fence about it,
01:01:12
◼
►
"but if it's only $5 a month, count me in."
01:01:16
◼
►
So I don't know.
01:01:17
◼
►
I wouldn't be surprised if the overall,
01:01:21
◼
►
"Hey, even if you wanna subscribe to everything,
01:01:23
◼
►
"it's not gonna cost as much as you're worried.
01:01:25
◼
►
"They're not gonna charge you $50 a month for all of it."
01:01:28
◼
►
- Yeah, that would be a huge splash.
01:01:31
◼
►
I mean, I think that would definitely take the steam
01:01:33
◼
►
out of a lot of the games that are not in there.
01:01:35
◼
►
So that could be interesting.
01:01:37
◼
►
The one I always wonder too about is iCloud,
01:01:39
◼
►
which continues to stay the same price,
01:01:42
◼
►
but not get more compelling.
01:01:45
◼
►
- I got, I hope they, I don't know.
01:01:48
◼
►
I think they would have said it at WWDC,
01:01:50
◼
►
but boy, I don't know.
01:01:51
◼
►
I would love, I just would love to see them
01:01:54
◼
►
make it more of a no brainer for people
01:01:56
◼
►
to upgrade their iCloud storage
01:01:57
◼
►
so that they can upgrade, you know, back up their devices
01:02:00
◼
►
and have the massive photo library backed up in the cloud
01:02:04
◼
►
without concern.
01:02:06
◼
►
But anyway, we'll see.
01:02:07
◼
►
- I wonder if that, 'cause you still can't back up a Mac
01:02:09
◼
►
to iCloud, right? - No.
01:02:10
◼
►
- I wonder if that's like next year's Mac OS
01:02:15
◼
►
and iCloud update, I don't know, who knows?
01:02:18
◼
►
- Apple Watch, everybody for good reason presumes
01:02:22
◼
►
will see Series 5 Apple Watches.
01:02:25
◼
►
One of the rumors is that a new feature is going to be sleep tracking.
01:02:29
◼
►
But it's not clear to me whether the sleep tracking is going to be for the new Series
01:02:33
◼
►
5 watch or if it's going to be in the OS and available to people who already own watches.
01:02:43
◼
►
You can already, there are a bunch of good sleep tracking apps that use the Apple Watch.
01:02:49
◼
►
It's just not built into the system software that comes with the watch.
01:02:52
◼
►
But there's all sorts of good third-party watch apps for sleep tracking, which I've
01:02:57
◼
►
been using for a couple of months now since I talked about it on the show with Merlin.
01:03:04
◼
►
So we'll see how that goes.
01:03:05
◼
►
But the bigger news, I guess, is on the hardware front, the idea that there's going to be
01:03:08
◼
►
titanium and ceramic options for the watch.
01:03:15
◼
►
After your show, I used the Sleep Tracker once, and it told me my sleep sucked.
01:03:20
◼
►
So I stopped using it. I think that's probably why you're supposed to use it though, right?
01:03:25
◼
►
I guess. I don't know. I started using it—I don't want to go too far into it—but
01:03:30
◼
►
it was a couple months ago, and Merlin Mann was on the show, and I was under the weather.
01:03:34
◼
►
I had some kind of bug, and I was sleeping really poorly. Now I'm back to normal. But
01:03:39
◼
►
it is interesting. I do sleep—now that I have the tracker, I find that I sleep differently
01:03:42
◼
►
than I expected. I sleep a little bit less than I've always thought I did. But also,
01:03:46
◼
►
It varies day by day.
01:03:49
◼
►
So if I get less sleep than usual,
01:03:51
◼
►
if I only sleep seven hours,
01:03:52
◼
►
I often sleep like 10 hours the next night if I can,
01:03:56
◼
►
but on average it's about nine hours a night.
01:03:59
◼
►
- Yeah, that's nice.
01:04:00
◼
►
That's good, man.
01:04:03
◼
►
- Indie publisher lifestyle, love it.
01:04:06
◼
►
- Titanium ceramic.
01:04:08
◼
►
They already had the ceramic edition watches
01:04:10
◼
►
from a couple years ago,
01:04:11
◼
►
and then there weren't any last year.
01:04:12
◼
►
Now the rumor is they're coming back,
01:04:15
◼
►
along with titanium. Titanium is a very interesting material for a watch. I know some people are
01:04:22
◼
►
skeptical about it because way back, what, in 2002 or whenever, when the titanium G4
01:04:28
◼
►
power books came out, the titanium flaked after usage especially didn't do very well
01:04:34
◼
►
on the palm rest part with some people's, you know, the secretions from your hands.
01:04:41
◼
►
I think Apple's material engineering has come a very long way since then. And just knowing
01:04:46
◼
►
what I know about the watch world, titanium is an excellent material for watches and watch
01:04:51
◼
►
grade titanium. They could color it and it wouldn't be as something that would flake
01:04:56
◼
►
off. It would be baked into the material. And that the big difference between one of
01:05:00
◼
►
the big difference between titanium and stainless steel is that titanium is significantly lighter.
01:05:06
◼
►
So I don't know, it'd be interesting to see.
01:05:10
◼
►
I'm curious how they're gonna fall price point wise.
01:05:12
◼
►
Presumably titanium and ceramic, especially ceramic,
01:05:16
◼
►
would both be more expensive than the stainless steel ones.
01:05:19
◼
►
We shall see.
01:05:22
◼
►
- Yeah, I think it's smart what they're doing with the,
01:05:25
◼
►
my guess is the case design
01:05:27
◼
►
probably doesn't change this year.
01:05:29
◼
►
- Yeah, I don't think so.
01:05:30
◼
►
'Cause it changed subtly with series four last year
01:05:34
◼
►
and it got a little closer to the wrist
01:05:36
◼
►
and they increase the size of the display
01:05:38
◼
►
to go edge to edge.
01:05:39
◼
►
But for the most part,
01:05:40
◼
►
when you pass somebody on the street,
01:05:43
◼
►
I can't tell if it's a series four or series three, two, one.
01:05:47
◼
►
It's at an arm's distance.
01:05:49
◼
►
It's just the iconic Apple Watch round-wreck shape.
01:05:53
◼
►
So I don't think it would change again.
01:05:55
◼
►
- Yeah, probably not.
01:05:56
◼
►
I mean, obviously, you always want it to be thinner,
01:06:01
◼
►
but it's totally fine.
01:06:04
◼
►
And my guess is that,
01:06:07
◼
►
so if the differences are mostly cosmetic or the material,
01:06:13
◼
►
does the processor get faster
01:06:15
◼
►
and that sort of stuff change too, you think?
01:06:17
◼
►
- Yeah, oh yeah, I think--
01:06:19
◼
►
- Battery life. - Yeah, definitely.
01:06:22
◼
►
I think that team, and there's so much headroom to gain.
01:06:25
◼
►
Like every single year, eventually, you know,
01:06:28
◼
►
like I don't expect the new iPhones
01:06:33
◼
►
to be significantly faster than last year's iPhones.
01:06:35
◼
►
Like the iPhone A series chips have,
01:06:40
◼
►
you know, it'd be like 10, 13%.
01:06:42
◼
►
Somebody had a leaked benchmark from Geekbench
01:06:46
◼
►
that was supposedly maybe the new 10R,
01:06:50
◼
►
and it was like 13% faster or something like that.
01:06:52
◼
►
And on multi-threaded, it was about the same.
01:06:56
◼
►
It's just, you know, you can't keep making them
01:07:00
◼
►
50% faster every year.
01:07:02
◼
►
run into the, you know, the laws of physics, but the watch processors are getting faster
01:07:08
◼
►
and faster every year. So I'm sure it will be faster and have longer battery life, et
01:07:12
◼
►
cetera. What about the rumor of a tile tracking dingus? Something like a little, there's this
01:07:18
◼
►
rumor that they're going to come out with some kind of little things that you could
01:07:22
◼
►
like put one in your wallet and then you can find your wallet from the find my whatever
01:07:28
◼
►
app. I love it. Because, and actually when they announced the new Find My Mac thing that used that
01:07:38
◼
►
kind of point to point mesh network, so that even when your Mac is offline, my mind immediately
01:07:48
◼
►
jumped to that rumor of the tile thing and went, "Oh, is that how they're going to get the tile to
01:07:54
◼
►
to work when it's theoretically offline.
01:07:56
◼
►
I can't imagine it would have an LTE connection to it.
01:07:59
◼
►
- I have tile trackers.
01:08:04
◼
►
I got them for Christmas a few years ago.
01:08:07
◼
►
I never really used them.
01:08:08
◼
►
I keep one in my backpack and so I can find, you know,
01:08:10
◼
►
but I've never lost my backpack.
01:08:12
◼
►
To me, they weren't quite small enough
01:08:15
◼
►
and it wasn't quite convenient enough.
01:08:17
◼
►
So I didn't put one on my keys or anything.
01:08:22
◼
►
last words. I don't really lose stuff. So I, but I have a dog who's small and likes to escape. So
01:08:28
◼
►
I'm really excited for him to have one of these. Um, that would be a cool, that would be a cool
01:08:33
◼
►
use case. I'd never, I didn't even think about that. You know what I lose? I lose things that I
01:08:37
◼
►
can't possibly put a tracker on like, uh, my pen. Yeah. And, um, it's like one of the ways that I'm
01:08:45
◼
►
slightly obsessive is I
01:08:47
◼
►
Swear by these pens
01:08:50
◼
►
Zebra Sarasa's gel pens they cost like three bucks each
01:08:55
◼
►
They're very nice gel pens, but they're like three bucks each, but I and I you know, and I have a drawer full of them here
01:09:03
◼
►
I I've already got I have dozens of them
01:09:05
◼
►
But I like to get one and use it for a long time like years
01:09:08
◼
►
And and I'll just replace the in cartridge and if I lose my current pen
01:09:14
◼
►
It rather than do what I should do is just go get a new one out of the drawer
01:09:18
◼
►
I'll spend an hour searching the house for it because I want to know where it is. Where is it?
01:09:27
◼
►
I'm still interested what apples angle on this because it seems like such an odd thing for Apple to get into that
01:09:34
◼
►
Would think the only reason they would do it is if it's really compelling
01:09:39
◼
►
So it reminds me of the the double-a battery charger
01:09:43
◼
►
it's like you know what these things are out there, but we think we can do them ten times better and
01:09:47
◼
►
It fits into the software which by the way will keep people, you know
01:09:51
◼
►
if if it if it works once it's paid for itself, right and if
01:09:57
◼
►
You know if you got 12 things tagged in your house
01:10:01
◼
►
Then I guess you're sticking with the iPhone and not and not going to a to a Google pixel or something like that
01:10:07
◼
►
that. Yeah. And you know, and then Scott to have, you know, it conceivably, it has to
01:10:11
◼
►
be some kind of thing where it, it wouldn't just tell you, like, if I do find my iPhone,
01:10:17
◼
►
like where the hell's my phone? It doesn't tell me where it is in my house. It doesn't
01:10:24
◼
►
say it's in your bedroom dummy. It just says, Hey, it's in your house, right? Like, presumably
01:10:29
◼
►
with these tags, it, you know, if you're going to find your keys, it's not good enough to
01:10:33
◼
►
tell you it's in your house. It has to, it has to help you find
01:10:36
◼
►
it, you know, in your couch cushions or wherever it actually
01:10:38
◼
►
is. So I don't know how that'll work. But
01:10:41
◼
►
well, that's where so that there's the AR mode, right?
01:10:44
◼
►
Supposedly leaked. And if like, maybe you can look in it or show
01:10:47
◼
►
up in your couch cushion, that would be like a killer demo if
01:10:50
◼
►
they could do that. Right? Yeah, that seems like a cool thing. So
01:10:53
◼
►
in other words, you go to the find my app, and you say find my
01:10:56
◼
►
keys, and then it says like, just hold this up, and it
01:10:59
◼
►
it switches to an AR mode and it points an arrow
01:11:03
◼
►
towards your kitchen and you're like, oh yeah,
01:11:05
◼
►
I left them on the kitchen counter, of course.
01:11:06
◼
►
I remember now I put them down when I was putting,
01:11:09
◼
►
you know, cream in my coffee or whatever.
01:11:12
◼
►
That would be really cool.
01:11:15
◼
►
And it would definitely be, and Apple is so
01:11:18
◼
►
almost inexplicably all in on AR
01:11:23
◼
►
that you can definitely see them demoing
01:11:24
◼
►
the hell out of it on stage.
01:11:27
◼
►
- Yeah, and again, this is the kind of thing
01:11:30
◼
►
where they could probably sell them at a super high margin.
01:11:32
◼
►
You'll probably end up accidentally spending a few hundred
01:11:35
◼
►
dollars on them over the course of a couple years.
01:11:37
◼
►
It keeps you locked into the ecosystem.
01:11:39
◼
►
It keeps you using the Find My app.
01:11:41
◼
►
And it's not like that money was gonna go anywhere else
01:11:46
◼
►
on their stuff.
01:11:49
◼
►
You're not gonna buy them instead of buying an iPad.
01:11:53
◼
►
And it's cool, so why not do it?
01:11:56
◼
►
And one of the things that I think Apple doesn't get enough credit for is their industry-leading
01:12:02
◼
►
prowess at making really, really small gadgets. I know Serenity Caldwell, before she left
01:12:10
◼
►
and joined Apple, wrote about it extensively on an annual basis, is, "Why don't other
01:12:16
◼
►
smartwatch makers make watches that are meant to fit on women's smaller wrists?" And
01:12:23
◼
►
I don't think it's because they don't care about the market.
01:12:25
◼
►
I think that Apple is so much better at making tiny, small wrist computers that really only
01:12:30
◼
►
Apple is able to make them at the 38-millimeter size and still have reasonable battery life
01:12:36
◼
►
and all the same functionality and performance.
01:12:38
◼
►
AirPods are tiny.
01:12:41
◼
►
And I know there's other competing ones now, but there's a reason that Apple came out with
01:12:44
◼
►
the first really great, tiny, not connected to each other by a wire under your chin or
01:12:51
◼
►
behind your neck wireless AirPods is that they're really, really good at making tiny
01:12:56
◼
►
little computers that could fit in something the size of an AirPod. So I think Apple's
01:13:01
◼
►
tile could be remarkably small and very, very effective because I think they're really,
01:13:07
◼
►
really good at that.
01:13:08
◼
►
Dave Asprey Which is why I haven't used the tile I got
01:13:10
◼
►
for free. It's just too big, right?
01:13:12
◼
►
Jon Moffitt Yeah, that's what I thought, too. It was
01:13:13
◼
►
too big for too many cases. And it would have—I carry so few keys, typically, that it would
01:13:17
◼
►
have been like the, it would have been bigger than the rest of everything else I carry.
01:13:21
◼
►
Yeah. Yep. Here's a question I got on Twitter right before we started recording. I think
01:13:26
◼
►
it's fascinating per the event itself. Will Johnny I've be in attendance? I think, yeah,
01:13:34
◼
►
he still works there. So I think so too. I think he'll be there for years to come. Actually.
01:13:40
◼
►
I think. Ah, interesting. Uh, but it's a good question. And I, I would,
01:13:44
◼
►
I would read into it if he weren't there and it would,
01:13:49
◼
►
my interpretation and I don't know how we'll know if he's there. I mean,
01:13:52
◼
►
cause it's, you know, it's not like he's going to be on stage, but typically,
01:13:57
◼
►
I don't know how often he shows up like on the feed just when they show the
01:14:00
◼
►
audience and stuff like that.
01:14:01
◼
►
He's usually in the front row. He shows up in the,
01:14:04
◼
►
no, he's usually in the second row. Oh really? Oh yeah. Better than me. Yeah.
01:14:09
◼
►
because I've had I've sat up close a couple times. I don't I'm not going to say always
01:14:14
◼
►
but because I don't know I don't I don't necessarily sit where I can see him every time. But at
01:14:19
◼
►
least every time I have seen him he's he's in the second row usually but the one thing
01:14:26
◼
►
that's very consistent is for like the last 10 years every single time I've seen him in
01:14:30
◼
►
an Apple event he is seated right next to Laureen Powell. Oh, yes. Steve Jobs is
01:14:39
◼
►
wife. Every time I have, and the only time I can't, the only time I would say that I
01:14:46
◼
►
didn't see him seated next to her is because I didn't, I wasn't close enough to tell.
01:14:52
◼
►
Interesting. I think they're friends.
01:14:55
◼
►
Oh, they're, I think they're dear friends. I really do. I think that's why he sits next to her.
01:14:59
◼
►
I think that they are genuinely close, very, very close. And for the same reason that she
01:15:07
◼
►
keeps attending events is the same reason I think Johnny I've might still keep attending events is
01:15:13
◼
►
because in some sense, whether he works there or not, there's there's so almost like a familial
01:15:17
◼
►
relationship. You know, I see Bertrand surlay at the events still, year after year. I'm again,
01:15:26
◼
►
I don't know if he goes to everyone, but I've seen him at them frequently. And he hasn't worked at
01:15:30
◼
►
Apple since, I don't know, 2006. There are a lot, you know, people who leave on good terms,
01:15:37
◼
►
you know, Scott Forstall doesn't show up at the events, but people who leave on their own terms
01:15:43
◼
►
often keep coming back, you know, just because it's just part of the culture of being at Apple,
01:15:49
◼
►
that they really, the people who, the executives who are there, they really do love these events.
01:15:56
◼
►
So my guess is he will, and I would read into it if he wasn't.
01:16:00
◼
►
Do you think he'll keep bringing his pals who fly in from overseas and all that kind of stuff?
01:16:06
◼
►
Yeah, probably. He could probably bring as many people as he wants.
01:16:08
◼
►
A bunch of the random guys I follow from Tokyo are
01:16:11
◼
►
frequent guests of Johnny Ive at the Apple event. It's always funny.
01:16:17
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It's a much bigger deal in Asia, particularly in Japan. It's just in the West where it's sort of
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01:19:02
◼
►
How about long term iPhone rumors? Touch IDs coming back supposedly within an in screen
01:19:08
◼
►
sensor in addition to face ID and a new and what do you think about that? That's it's
01:19:15
◼
►
a little weird to me and I'm a face ID believer and one of the rumors this year about the
01:19:19
◼
►
new phones is that the face ID system is going to improve such that it's going to have a
01:19:23
◼
►
much wider angle in particular to solve the problem of waking up your phone when it's
01:19:31
◼
►
face up flat on a table. And it's funny because when that leaked a couple of weeks ago, it
01:19:37
◼
►
was literally the day after my family had gone to eat at a restaurant and my wife was
01:19:43
◼
►
complaining in particular about that because at the restaurant she had her phone on the
01:19:47
◼
►
table and she even said, "The one thing I hate about this is that I can't look at my
01:19:51
◼
►
phone just the way I could with the old one by putting my finger on it when it's on the
01:19:57
◼
►
table." So it'd be cool if they solved that by having a wider angle. But other than making
01:20:05
◼
►
face ID work even better. I can't see why I would want touch ID again. Some people,
01:20:12
◼
►
when I linked to this the other day, said that the one thing they still hate about face
01:20:15
◼
►
ID is using it with Apple Pay, that they hate to double-click the side button and that they
01:20:22
◼
►
feel that's awkward and feel that that's the one thing that was better with touch ID, that
01:20:27
◼
►
you just put your finger on the phone and get it near the NFC reader and beep, you're
01:20:31
◼
►
And yeah, I don't know what to make of it.
01:20:36
◼
►
I don't know.
01:20:37
◼
►
- I wonder if there's more to it
01:20:41
◼
►
than just what we have historically used
01:20:44
◼
►
Touch ID and Face ID for.
01:20:48
◼
►
If it, you know, it could be part of a more sophisticated
01:20:53
◼
►
authentication scheme for two-factor or something like that.
01:20:57
◼
►
Or I don't know, something seems weird.
01:21:00
◼
►
I mean, I guess if you're daisy chaining
01:21:03
◼
►
those two technologies together,
01:21:05
◼
►
like there's almost zero percent.
01:21:07
◼
►
Yeah, totally.
01:21:08
◼
►
- But on the other hand, it's also more setup, right?
01:21:10
◼
►
Because now when you get a new phone
01:21:12
◼
►
or you restore your phone from the factory settings
01:21:14
◼
►
or whatever, now you've got two things to set up, right?
01:21:17
◼
►
And I've done it enough, like I've just reset an old iPad
01:21:20
◼
►
to run the beta on and it's like touch ID,
01:21:23
◼
►
even with like iOS 13, still,
01:21:25
◼
►
it takes significantly longer to set up than face ID.
01:21:27
◼
►
Like the face ID is remarkably quick
01:21:29
◼
►
where you just move your head in a circle
01:21:31
◼
►
and then they're like, do it again.
01:21:32
◼
►
And they're like, okay, you're good.
01:21:33
◼
►
And it's like, really?
01:21:34
◼
►
That was it?
01:21:35
◼
►
Like touch ID, it's like you touch, touch, touch,
01:21:37
◼
►
and then they're like, change your grip.
01:21:38
◼
►
And it's like, okay, touch, touch, touch.
01:21:41
◼
►
I'm not gonna say it was, touch ID takes too long,
01:21:43
◼
►
but everything you have to do,
01:21:46
◼
►
there's enough stuff going on in that
01:21:48
◼
►
you're setting up a new iPhone first run experience
01:21:52
◼
►
that adding another one seems like,
01:21:55
◼
►
I don't know, not that great.
01:21:57
◼
►
And is the extra security worth that much?
01:21:59
◼
►
I don't know.
01:22:00
◼
►
I like you said, I think there's truth to this.
01:22:04
◼
►
And the rumors, the Gurman rumor puts it at
01:22:09
◼
►
maybe for next year's phones, but maybe not till 2021.
01:22:13
◼
►
And then there was some other analyst
01:22:15
◼
►
who I just linked to last night
01:22:17
◼
►
who put out a report back in May,
01:22:20
◼
►
pretty much saying the same two things
01:22:23
◼
►
Gurman reported yesterday,
01:22:24
◼
►
which is that Touch ID is coming back,
01:22:27
◼
►
possibly in a sensor that would work on the whole screen.
01:22:30
◼
►
So you wouldn't even have to put it on a circle
01:22:31
◼
►
at the bottom, you could just put your finger
01:22:33
◼
►
anywhere on the screen.
01:22:34
◼
►
And this other rumor that there's gonna be a new SE,
01:22:39
◼
►
small, cheap, smaller, cheaper iPhone coming in March
01:22:44
◼
►
like the SE did back in 2016.
01:22:47
◼
►
- I mean, maybe if this is part of like,
01:22:50
◼
►
okay, they get rid of the notch
01:22:52
◼
►
and the selfie camera is so small that
01:22:56
◼
►
that a lot of the other stuff that they put in there
01:22:59
◼
►
to do face ID no longer fits.
01:23:02
◼
►
And the camera itself is less secure
01:23:07
◼
►
than the old infrared camera,
01:23:09
◼
►
but when it matches up with touch ID is secure.
01:23:12
◼
►
I don't know, now I'm just making stuff up,
01:23:14
◼
►
but there's gotta be something more to it, I think.
01:23:18
◼
►
- Yeah, I sorta do too.
01:23:20
◼
►
But it's interesting, I don't know.
01:23:25
◼
►
And is there anybody, like in the real world now
01:23:28
◼
►
that we're two years into the Face ID era,
01:23:31
◼
►
at least two years, as of next week it'll be two years
01:23:35
◼
►
since the iPhone X was announced.
01:23:37
◼
►
And everybody, like when Touch ID first came out,
01:23:41
◼
►
and it's good that people tested it,
01:23:43
◼
►
but people figured out that there's technically a way
01:23:46
◼
►
that if somebody made a perfect print of your finger
01:23:49
◼
►
and did like a little Mission Impossible thing
01:23:52
◼
►
to put a silicon fake copy of your fingerprint,
01:23:56
◼
►
they could get into your touch ID.
01:23:58
◼
►
And people did testing two years ago
01:24:02
◼
►
where they'd find identical twins
01:24:03
◼
►
and see if they could get into their face ID.
01:24:06
◼
►
And I remember there was a story
01:24:07
◼
►
where some teenage boy could unlock his mom's,
01:24:11
◼
►
he looked enough like his own mother
01:24:12
◼
►
that he could unlock her phone with his face.
01:24:15
◼
►
And Apple warned that twins are definitely a problem.
01:24:20
◼
►
siblings might—like if you have two teenagers, like a 12-year-old and a 14-year-old, and
01:24:26
◼
►
they're both the same gender, they might be able to unlock each other's phones.
01:24:33
◼
►
But overall, Apple touted the fact that it was face IDs way more significant. I forget
01:24:38
◼
►
the exact numbers Phil Schuler said on stage, but it wasn't a little bit more secure.
01:24:42
◼
►
It was like one in 50,000 people could unlock a touch ID device, and it was like one in
01:24:47
◼
►
million for face ID. Presumably if they use both, it would be 50,000 times a million. I don't know.
01:24:56
◼
►
The thing I worry more about, and we saw this week what can happen is the
01:25:04
◼
►
SIM card swapping with Jack Dorsey. I'm not sure if you've been SIM swapped yet,
01:25:13
◼
►
But no, I was this summer and really tell you it's not fun. Really tell me how that happened
01:25:18
◼
►
well, I was living in Paris for a few months and
01:25:23
◼
►
Still have my US phone and woke up and I just read an article about a guy who had
01:25:29
◼
►
Who had been sim swapped and
01:25:33
◼
►
Got a hundred thousand dollars of Bitcoin stolen from him. Oh man, so I was already
01:25:42
◼
►
- That's like losing cash because it's not,
01:25:45
◼
►
you can't go and get a refund or whatever.
01:25:47
◼
►
- Exactly, and so I was already worried about it.
01:25:49
◼
►
I don't have any Bitcoin, so, you know,
01:25:52
◼
►
but it still was not fun.
01:25:55
◼
►
And I had written a post about crypto,
01:26:00
◼
►
so I wonder if that's how someone, I don't know,
01:26:03
◼
►
I'm even reluctant to even talk much about it,
01:26:07
◼
►
and I haven't tweeted about it or anything,
01:26:08
◼
►
but I'll talk a little bit about it here
01:26:10
◼
►
because it happened.
01:26:11
◼
►
Um, anyway, I woke up one morning already paranoid about this SIM swapping stuff.
01:26:17
◼
►
And, um, you know, I had to get up at six for a flight and I noticed that my.
01:26:22
◼
►
Network connection had been turned off, which was weird.
01:26:25
◼
►
Um, and I had gotten a text overnight from my carrier saying, uh, your, your
01:26:33
◼
►
SIM card has been changed, let us know if this isn't you or something like that.
01:26:39
◼
►
And I was like, oh shit, I don't have time for this right now.
01:26:43
◼
►
I have to go to the airport.
01:26:44
◼
►
Um, so I immediately grabbed my wife's phone and called my carrier and said,
01:26:50
◼
►
you idiots, um, and it's, I'm so frustrated cause I, I proactively
01:26:55
◼
►
reached out to them and said, Hey, I'm really worried about this.
01:27:00
◼
►
Will you make sure that my account is locked down?
01:27:02
◼
►
And they're like, yeah, sure.
01:27:03
◼
►
No, no worries.
01:27:05
◼
►
And they still did it.
01:27:06
◼
►
Uh, it still got hacked.
01:27:08
◼
►
And they haven't conclusively told me why.
01:27:12
◼
►
If you look at most of these things,
01:27:16
◼
►
it's someone goes into a store and my hunch is that
01:27:20
◼
►
it's someone who works at a store,
01:27:23
◼
►
gets a list from a friend of 10 accounts
01:27:27
◼
►
that they want turned over or something like that.
01:27:30
◼
►
And it may not even be an owned and operated store.
01:27:32
◼
►
It might be one of those third party stores,
01:27:34
◼
►
which seem even sketchier.
01:27:37
◼
►
but they've got access to the ability,
01:27:40
◼
►
like if it's a store with carrier,
01:27:44
◼
►
let's not name any particular carrier, I guess,
01:27:47
◼
►
but carrier X, if you can get a carrier X SIM card there,
01:27:51
◼
►
that just the retail clerk can go in there
01:27:54
◼
►
and type a phone number and print a new SIM card
01:27:56
◼
►
and say, okay, that number is now on this card.
01:27:59
◼
►
- I think so.
01:28:00
◼
►
- And they're supposed to ask all sorts of questions
01:28:03
◼
►
and verify it, but they could just,
01:28:05
◼
►
they don't really have to.
01:28:06
◼
►
all that stuff and that's what I didn't that's what I'd love to know like did someone
01:28:09
◼
►
Make a fake ID with my name on it or do they just have a friend who works at one of those stores
01:28:14
◼
►
You know wherever and said hey, let's swap these
01:28:17
◼
►
Ten numbers did they look me up because I had written about Bitcoin or totally random. I don't know
01:28:24
◼
►
Or was you know was I in one of the did they have a password of mine from a previous
01:28:33
◼
►
hack of some sort of you know, whatever system I had, I don't
01:28:37
◼
►
know. And I'm not sure if there's even a way to find out
01:28:40
◼
►
for any of them. But at any rate, I got my number back
01:28:46
◼
►
within, you know, five minutes of calling them. And it had only
01:28:49
◼
►
been compromised for a few hours.
01:28:51
◼
►
But were you able to get it back on the card you already had in
01:28:53
◼
►
your phone? Yes. So you didn't have to like go, you didn't give
01:28:56
◼
►
me your empower. So you can't go to us carrier. So wow, that's
01:28:59
◼
►
exactly that's pretty smooth that it worked that well for
01:29:02
◼
►
It worked pretty well. However, I then and I made my flight
01:29:06
◼
►
But then I spent the rest of the week in an absolute just state of paranoia
01:29:11
◼
►
Right at my at my bars every five minutes like oh did I lose signal again? Did I lose signal?
01:29:16
◼
►
And weren't you also weren't you also worried like which of any of my accounts been compromised?
01:29:23
◼
►
Because maybe they were using the phone number is the second factor or something like that bingo
01:29:27
◼
►
and in fact, the first thing they had done is try to
01:29:32
◼
►
get into my two-factor account because that you can look up the
01:29:38
◼
►
texts that your number has received.
01:29:40
◼
►
And one of them was from the two-factor service I use.
01:29:46
◼
►
And so they were able to at least see the accounts that I have two-factor
01:29:51
◼
►
for, but they didn't know my password for that.
01:29:53
◼
►
So they didn't actually get to decrypt them.
01:29:55
◼
►
But my, my guess is that they were looking for Coinbase or something like that.
01:30:01
◼
►
And I don't have any Bitcoin, so don't--
01:30:06
◼
►
- Don't rob me.
01:30:08
◼
►
- Don't even try, there's nothing there, I promise.
01:30:10
◼
►
But it was crazy.
01:30:13
◼
►
But what I did do then is a full security audit
01:30:16
◼
►
and there's some really great guides on,
01:30:20
◼
►
I think the one I found was on Medium,
01:30:21
◼
►
of ways that you can really lock down your accounts,
01:30:26
◼
►
including taking your phone number
01:30:29
◼
►
off of your Google account and stuff like that.
01:30:32
◼
►
And doing clever things with Google Voice.
01:30:34
◼
►
So it sucked and it was more an emotional thing
01:30:39
◼
►
than anything else.
01:30:41
◼
►
I did get to see that the texts,
01:30:43
◼
►
I didn't get to see the content of the text messages
01:30:46
◼
►
they received, but I knew that there weren't a lot
01:30:50
◼
►
and that they were not,
01:30:51
◼
►
none of my actual accounts had been compromised
01:30:54
◼
►
and I'm thankful for that.
01:30:57
◼
►
This has happened to a dozen of the people
01:31:00
◼
►
I know this summer, and it's crazy.
01:31:02
◼
►
It's just an epidemic, and I don't think the carriers
01:31:05
◼
►
are doing enough about it.
01:31:07
◼
►
- No. - It's really not.
01:31:09
◼
►
- And it's such an important part of your ID.
01:31:11
◼
►
And there's so many places default to using your cell phone
01:31:15
◼
►
as your second factor.
01:31:17
◼
►
I'm often very lazy about such things,
01:31:21
◼
►
and I was late to do two-factor on lots of things,
01:31:24
◼
►
But over the last two years, I've cleaned up my act a lot.
01:31:29
◼
►
And one of the things, my friend Mac Jay Ceglowski,
01:31:33
◼
►
the pinboard guy, is really, he's so smart about it,
01:31:38
◼
►
and he's really good at explaining it.
01:31:39
◼
►
And he spends a lot of time talking to
01:31:43
◼
►
people running for Congress.
01:31:47
◼
►
He ran a thing that I supported last year
01:31:49
◼
►
called the Great Slate, which is trying to get
01:31:51
◼
►
Democrats elected in Republican districts, you know around like 10 great candidates around
01:31:56
◼
►
the country. And in addition to like fundraising and trying to help them and stuff, he had
01:32:01
◼
►
like a whole guide to what campaigns should do for information security, you know, and
01:32:08
◼
►
one of the big things is don't use your, don't put your cell phone number on your Google
01:32:14
◼
►
account. Do use Gmail, that Gmail is very secure and Google has very good security stuff,
01:32:21
◼
►
but don't even give Google your phone number.
01:32:23
◼
►
Use something else like Google Authenticator,
01:32:26
◼
►
which has third-party options,
01:32:28
◼
►
but then you get these one-time codes and stuff
01:32:30
◼
►
because your SIM card just cannot be defended.
01:32:33
◼
►
It really is dangerous.
01:32:35
◼
►
And the same thing that you just said,
01:32:36
◼
►
if you do have to use a phone number,
01:32:38
◼
►
use a Google Voice number, which you can use
01:32:41
◼
►
and you can get text messages too,
01:32:44
◼
►
and then it's all that your Google Voice number
01:32:46
◼
►
is as protected as your Google account,
01:32:49
◼
►
and there's no SIM card that they can hack
01:32:52
◼
►
to change the number or something like that.
01:32:54
◼
►
So they can't take over your Google Voice number
01:32:56
◼
►
unless they take over your Google account
01:32:57
◼
►
and they can't, you know, all sorts of stuff.
01:32:59
◼
►
Anyway, scary times, glad it worked out for them.
01:33:01
◼
►
- Just make it hard, make it complicated.
01:33:03
◼
►
And yeah, I mean, again, lucky that nothing was compromised
01:33:08
◼
►
that I know of, but it was,
01:33:13
◼
►
there were three or four days there
01:33:15
◼
►
where that's basically all I was thinking about.
01:33:16
◼
►
So everyone, be careful.
01:33:18
◼
►
- Oh, why I started talking about this,
01:33:23
◼
►
I wish that was something that Apple
01:33:25
◼
►
could do something about with the phone.
01:33:27
◼
►
And that's why I had high hopes for eSIM,
01:33:31
◼
►
although, you know, when you think about it,
01:33:32
◼
►
eSIM doesn't actually make it that much harder
01:33:35
◼
►
for them to actually--
01:33:36
◼
►
- 'Cause the SIMs are still assigned by the carriers.
01:33:39
◼
►
- Yeah, but man, it's been what, a year now,
01:33:42
◼
►
and eSIM really doesn't seem like much has happened with it.
01:33:47
◼
►
you know, especially this summer, I was traveling a lot
01:33:49
◼
►
and, you know, the carriers that had it,
01:33:52
◼
►
they would have it for one of their types of accounts,
01:33:56
◼
►
but not others.
01:33:57
◼
►
A lot of times they wouldn't support it for prepaid.
01:33:59
◼
►
So it's not like you could go into a Vodafone shop
01:34:02
◼
►
in London and get a eSIM second line
01:34:05
◼
►
as your prepaid account there.
01:34:07
◼
►
I wonder if they'll talk about eSIM at all for the iPhone,
01:34:12
◼
►
but I really wish actually the full hardware dual SIM
01:34:16
◼
►
seem like it's actually still more useful
01:34:20
◼
►
than having the eSIM.
01:34:22
◼
►
It's no good, eSIM's no good for me.
01:34:25
◼
►
I've figured out because as somebody who reviews iPhones
01:34:29
◼
►
and also sometimes Android, or at least tries Android phones
01:34:33
◼
►
and maybe wants to try using my main number with them,
01:34:36
◼
►
but especially with just using several iPhones a year
01:34:39
◼
►
based on getting review units,
01:34:41
◼
►
just being able to pop out an actual SIM card
01:34:44
◼
►
pop it into another phone is just, I kind of need it. But for most people, the eSIM
01:34:50
◼
►
thing should be better. But I wish it were more secure. Anyway, it's not secure. If
01:34:56
◼
►
you're out there, don't use your phone number as, your cell phone number as second factor.
01:35:01
◼
►
It's really dangerous.
01:35:02
◼
►
Yeah, that's the main thing.
01:35:03
◼
►
Yeah. And if you have to use a phone number, get a Google Voice number. And, you know,
01:35:09
◼
►
And if you run a service that requires a phone number as a second factor, push the people
01:35:16
◼
►
at your service to support something like Google Authenticator and Authy and those things
01:35:23
◼
►
that give you these one-time codes and stuff like that. Anything other than phone numbers.
01:35:30
◼
►
Let me take another break right here and I'll thank our third and final sponsor of the show,
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So no more dead spot in the master bedroom
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or something like that.
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Really great.
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My thanks to them.
01:37:54
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I can't let you go. You're my points guy. You run the actual points party. Can't go
01:38:00
◼
►
without talking a little bit about Apple Card. One thing I have a bit of follow-up where
01:38:07
◼
►
a couple of weeks ago when I was talking about Apple Card, I think with Jim Dalrymple, and
01:38:11
◼
►
I was talking about how I prefer cash back to points. I've had Amex for like 10 years
01:38:17
◼
►
and we've got a gazillion points.
01:38:20
◼
►
But that my, and I know,
01:38:23
◼
►
I talk to you about this every year, Dan,
01:38:26
◼
►
about how do I figure out how much money
01:38:28
◼
►
an Amex point is worth?
01:38:29
◼
►
It is maddeningly hard.
01:38:32
◼
►
I, speaking out of my ass a few weeks ago on the show,
01:38:36
◼
►
said I tend to think of them as being worth two cents each,
01:38:39
◼
►
and a whole bunch of readers were like, you're nuts.
01:38:41
◼
►
They're nowhere near two cents each.
01:38:42
◼
►
Although, depending on what you do, like through Amex Travel,
01:38:45
◼
►
you can maybe make them worth that.
01:38:47
◼
►
But the way that Amazon lets you use your Amex points
01:38:52
◼
►
just to buy stuff from Amazon,
01:38:53
◼
►
you're only getting like 7/10 of a cent per point
01:38:57
◼
►
or something like that.
01:38:58
◼
►
So me valuing them at 2 cents each,
01:39:01
◼
►
which would be the equivalent of 2% cash back,
01:39:03
◼
►
is probably wrong.
01:39:05
◼
►
- It's a little ambitious,
01:39:07
◼
►
although I think that is what the point,
01:39:09
◼
►
and the points guy is thepointsguy.com,
01:39:12
◼
►
which is probably the biggest points site.
01:39:17
◼
►
And it's like 100 employees now or something like that.
01:39:21
◼
►
So if you look on their site,
01:39:22
◼
►
it says MX membership rewards are worth two cents each.
01:39:26
◼
►
And same as Chase Points.
01:39:29
◼
►
That is very, very ambitious.
01:39:34
◼
►
- Optimistic.
01:39:37
◼
►
- Optimistic based on a very specific thing,
01:39:41
◼
►
which is transferring them to a partner.
01:39:46
◼
►
So one of the things you can do with the AmEx points
01:39:49
◼
►
and Chase points and some other points programs
01:39:51
◼
►
is transfer them sometimes on a one-to-one basis,
01:39:55
◼
►
sometimes on a slightly different ratio to other programs.
01:39:59
◼
►
- Like an airline or something.
01:40:02
◼
►
- Exactly, and then use them to book award travel
01:40:07
◼
►
in first class or business class.
01:40:10
◼
►
and then use the theoretical value of that ticket
01:40:14
◼
►
based on a cash fare that you would never actually pay,
01:40:17
◼
►
like a $10,000 ticket.
01:40:20
◼
►
And then you do the math and then you get to,
01:40:23
◼
►
and it can be more than two points, two cents,
01:40:25
◼
►
it could be five cents, it could be three to four cents.
01:40:29
◼
►
And that, when I get that kind of rate, it's usually,
01:40:33
◼
►
and I have a Amex too, I mostly do chase points,
01:40:36
◼
►
When I get that rate, it's when I transfer points usually to,
01:40:42
◼
►
often to a Hyatt Hotel account or something like that and book a room in
01:40:48
◼
►
Tokyo that would cost $800 or something like that. And that's when I'm getting
01:40:52
◼
►
more than 2 cents a point. It's rare though, to do that. And Amex actually
01:40:58
◼
►
gives you a worse deal than Chase when you're just using their booking site.
01:41:03
◼
►
which I didn't know. I got this Amex early this year or late last year and I didn't realize
01:41:10
◼
►
that the points would be worth so little when you're booking through their system. Chase
01:41:16
◼
►
actually gives you a better deal. If you have the reserve, it gives you one and a half cents
01:41:21
◼
►
per point guaranteed basically. Amex is I think one cent per point if you're booking
01:41:28
◼
►
a flight and even less if you're booking a hotel. But it really depends on the thing.
01:41:33
◼
►
So yeah, the maximum value again is transferring it, which is totally doable if you specifically
01:41:41
◼
►
know what you want. And then again, if you're going to really believe that the cash value is
01:41:47
◼
►
how much it's worth, I mean, I don't think either of us are going to spend 10 grand, even on a first
01:41:53
◼
►
class flight to Hong Kong or something like that. Some people do. People do every day.
01:41:58
◼
►
It's amazing. What was that terrible leak that Apple was sending?
01:42:04
◼
►
Yeah, on United. I think it was … Or that they just have a standing order for like 40
01:42:09
◼
►
… A lot of business class tickets.
01:42:11
◼
►
… 40 seats every single day on flights to Beijing.
01:42:15
◼
►
Shenzhen or something.
01:42:16
◼
►
Yeah, Shenzhen or something like that.
01:42:19
◼
►
It's nice if you can do it, I guess.
01:42:21
◼
►
So yeah, so that's where that two cents.
01:42:24
◼
►
I try not to get less than one and a half cents per point from Chase and Amex and those
01:42:29
◼
►
types of things.
01:42:30
◼
►
This summer, I used some Amex points very well to take some last minute flights that
01:42:38
◼
►
for whatever reason were priced inexpensively in points.
01:42:42
◼
►
I think I was flying from Paris to Milan for the furniture festival.
01:42:47
◼
►
But if you had paid cash for them, it was like 800 euros or something.
01:42:50
◼
►
Well, that was one of the things that I heard from a couple of readers or listeners, I guess,
01:42:54
◼
►
since I only talked about it.
01:42:55
◼
►
But a couple of listeners who obviously know way more about it than I do said the same
01:42:58
◼
►
thing that if you ever make last minute travel or flights—and I tend to because stuff like
01:43:05
◼
►
Apple events, invitations don't tend to come far in advance.
01:43:11
◼
►
It just happens.
01:43:13
◼
►
When you book with points, typically—not always because they're airlines, so always
01:43:17
◼
►
never applies—but typically, the points value doesn't go up when you book last minute.
01:43:24
◼
►
Like a Paris to Milan flight might be the same number of points whether you book three
01:43:29
◼
►
months in advance or three days in advance.
01:43:32
◼
►
You can really score some deals that way in terms of what you would actually pay because
01:43:38
◼
►
a lot of the times when you book last minute and you're just paying for the flight, you're
01:43:42
◼
►
oh my god, I can't believe what I'm paying for this flight for a
01:43:45
◼
►
seat and coach.
01:43:45
◼
►
Totally. And the the maddening thing about points is that
01:43:51
◼
►
there's no hard and fast rule like that could actually be more
01:43:54
◼
►
points, it could be fewer. One crazy thing that tends to happen
01:43:58
◼
►
is that sometimes airlines open up cheap points tickets right
01:44:02
◼
►
away, right before the flight goes. Yeah, day before. And I of
01:44:07
◼
►
course, am a jerk. So if I noticed that last year, I had an
01:44:11
◼
►
an expensive points ticket booked
01:44:13
◼
►
and I noticed that like the day before
01:44:16
◼
►
that they had opened up a cheaper points ticket.
01:44:18
◼
►
So I called in and had half my points refunded to me.
01:44:21
◼
►
But hey, gotta do it, right?
01:44:26
◼
►
- So yeah, that's a great strategy
01:44:27
◼
►
is using points for last minute.
01:44:29
◼
►
One thing that I didn't know until I got the Amex card
01:44:33
◼
►
was I didn't realize it took a whole statement,
01:44:36
◼
►
basically two statements before you get your points,
01:44:40
◼
►
which makes the Apple Cash thing actually really,
01:44:43
◼
►
really compelling because you literally get the cash
01:44:45
◼
►
the next morning.
01:44:46
◼
►
- I'm finding that now that I've had my card
01:44:50
◼
►
for a couple of weeks now, my Apple card,
01:44:53
◼
►
I find that very satisfying.
01:44:55
◼
►
And it's irrational because, you know,
01:44:57
◼
►
it's, you know, sometimes it's like I just bought
01:45:00
◼
►
a six pack of beer and I'm getting 70 cents back
01:45:04
◼
►
or I don't even know what it is, you know,
01:45:05
◼
►
but sometimes it's like a quarter or something like that.
01:45:10
◼
►
But I still find it satisfying.
01:45:13
◼
►
It's like, here, here's some cash.
01:45:14
◼
►
It's just right there, there you go.
01:45:16
◼
►
- Yep, yeah, and I think, again,
01:45:19
◼
►
if you're gonna invest a lot of time and energy
01:45:23
◼
►
into and collect points and put together
01:45:26
◼
►
the trip of a lifetime or the trip of a year
01:45:29
◼
►
once or twice a year,
01:45:30
◼
►
you can totally get a lot of value out of it.
01:45:34
◼
►
Someday I'll actually do the math
01:45:36
◼
►
and remember to write everything down
01:45:38
◼
►
and see what my total redemption value for the year is.
01:45:42
◼
►
It could be as high as 5% of my spend.
01:45:44
◼
►
It could be even more, I don't know.
01:45:46
◼
►
But if you're not, and if you just want some rewards
01:45:50
◼
►
and you want them quickly and you want them to be useful,
01:45:54
◼
►
I've already earned two free coffees from Apple Card
01:45:57
◼
►
and I barely use it.
01:45:58
◼
►
And just use it right away.
01:46:01
◼
►
And I think for a lot of people,
01:46:02
◼
►
that'll be super compelling.
01:46:04
◼
►
- So basically what I've concluded is that,
01:46:08
◼
►
like you said, it's optimistic to treat Amex points,
01:46:11
◼
►
and you do get a point per dollar spent.
01:46:13
◼
►
So if I buy a dollar on my Amex, I get a point.
01:46:18
◼
►
Two months later.
01:46:19
◼
►
- I believe you, and you, I think you still have
01:46:21
◼
►
the Platinum, so you probably get five points per dollar
01:46:23
◼
►
on airplane tickets and stuff like that.
01:46:26
◼
►
- Yeah, but we also got the American card,
01:46:29
◼
►
so now we're using that for the tickets.
01:46:32
◼
►
But basically, if it's optimistic to treat an Amex point as worth two cents, on a day-to-day
01:46:45
◼
►
basis, just going out buying groceries and doing all these things where I can use Apple Pay,
01:46:50
◼
►
and day-to-day, my life here in Philadelphia, I can use Apple Pay just about everywhere,
01:46:58
◼
►
know, just running errands. I just use the Apple Card now because getting 2% cash back
01:47:06
◼
►
to me, it's like, well, then there's no optimism about it. I'm just getting 2% back in a cash
01:47:11
◼
►
account. So why not? So anything where I actually have to hand the card over, I still use the
01:47:15
◼
►
Amex and anything where I can use Apple Pay, I just use Apple Card.
01:47:20
◼
►
Yup. Yeah. It ends up being a pretty decent deal, especially relative to most, I think,
01:47:29
◼
►
half of the spending. So I wrote about this a bit on the new consumer. I wrote a couple
01:47:34
◼
►
pieces on—I wrote one piece on Apple Card so far. And I should write my new points party
01:47:40
◼
►
on Apple Card soon. The 2% is actually pretty good. I mean, half of all spending is still
01:47:46
◼
►
on debit cards where people are getting nothing. A lot of that is because people either do
01:47:50
◼
►
not want or can't get credit cards, although. So that's part of what Apple's trying to do
01:47:55
◼
►
is make it easier to get a credit card and make it less punishing. I mean, you still
01:47:59
◼
►
can spiral into debt, which is not good, but the fee structure, at least for the Apple
01:48:05
◼
►
card, no late fees, no overcharge fees, all that kind of stuff is a lot friendlier than
01:48:10
◼
►
than most cards, period.
01:48:12
◼
►
But 2% is not bad.
01:48:17
◼
►
And what's interesting is this little economy
01:48:20
◼
►
that started to happen.
01:48:22
◼
►
They've already reached,
01:48:23
◼
►
they had the launch deal with Uber.
01:48:25
◼
►
I'm not sure how long it goes for.
01:48:28
◼
►
- Uber, if you use Uber and the Apple card through,
01:48:31
◼
►
the Uber, I think it's only through Apple Pay.
01:48:34
◼
►
I'm not entirely sure.
01:48:35
◼
►
- Yeah, you know what, I'm not sure how that works either.
01:48:38
◼
►
- Well, either way, they give you 3% back
01:48:40
◼
►
instead of two, so that's 50% more reward spending on Uber.
01:48:45
◼
►
Thought it was interesting they did it with Uber
01:48:47
◼
►
even though they're shareholders in Lyft,
01:48:49
◼
►
or at least were, anyway, doesn't matter.
01:48:51
◼
►
And then on the other end, the Apple Cash economy,
01:48:55
◼
►
and I don't know how much they're gonna talk
01:48:58
◼
►
about Apple Cash because I think Apple Card
01:49:01
◼
►
is probably the main message at least for now,
01:49:04
◼
►
but you could see a world in which redeeming your Apple Cash
01:49:07
◼
►
You could also get a deal whether you're spending it at a partner or on the iTunes store or
01:49:16
◼
►
whatever where they could multiply your Apple cash by some certain amount in exchange for
01:49:23
◼
►
using it toward something.
01:49:28
◼
►
That hasn't really started yet.
01:49:30
◼
►
Right now Apple cash is just worth whatever it is.
01:49:33
◼
►
but I could see some,
01:49:35
◼
►
I could imagine an interesting economy
01:49:37
◼
►
picking up around Apple Cash at some point,
01:49:40
◼
►
the way that Square Cash and some of the other ones
01:49:43
◼
►
have built bonus programs.
01:49:46
◼
►
Although Square has since ruined the--
01:49:49
◼
►
- Oh, this, I wanted to, this is the thing.
01:49:51
◼
►
So where, I forget when I was in New York
01:49:53
◼
►
and you and I, and you introduced me to this.
01:49:56
◼
►
Sometimes you-- - I think it was like,
01:49:58
◼
►
it was almost a year ago, man. (laughs)
01:50:00
◼
►
- Well, you introduced me. - Yeah, it was last fall.
01:50:02
◼
►
I've had the Square Cash account.
01:50:04
◼
►
That's where you use it.
01:50:07
◼
►
They just call it cash.
01:50:08
◼
►
It's the little green--
01:50:09
◼
►
- Cash app. - Cash app.
01:50:10
◼
►
And I've been using that to send money to friends,
01:50:14
◼
►
to square up deals where one person puts a credit card in,
01:50:17
◼
►
you'd send, you know, use Square Cash.
01:50:18
◼
►
And it's easy to hook it up to your bank account
01:50:20
◼
►
and move money in either direction,
01:50:23
◼
►
without paying any fees at all,
01:50:25
◼
►
just to put more money in my Square Cash account,
01:50:27
◼
►
blah, blah, blah.
01:50:28
◼
►
But what you can do with the Square Cash is you can say,
01:50:30
◼
►
give me a debit card, not a credit card, a debit card. And
01:50:34
◼
►
they send you a debit card. And it's nice because you can like
01:50:39
◼
►
sign your name and then they actually like it laser embed the
01:50:41
◼
►
signature right on the front of the card or you could draw like
01:50:44
◼
►
a funny face, you could do whatever you want with it. Make
01:50:48
◼
►
your own little design. But anyway, the reason you turned me
01:50:50
◼
►
on to this was that they have these things, they actually do
01:50:53
◼
►
have rewards, even though it's a debit card, they call them
01:50:55
◼
►
boosts. And it's a weird system. And it's just the only way it
01:51:00
◼
►
would pot like no bank could ever offer this this could only happen from a
01:51:03
◼
►
startup with VC money coming in through a fire hose like no bank could ever do
01:51:09
◼
►
this they're a public company now which is crazy but yeah yeah but no no no sane
01:51:15
◼
►
bank would ever do this right like in the same way that no traditional
01:51:20
◼
►
retailer could just take all of their profits and pump it back into the
01:51:24
◼
►
business like Amazon did forever you know as opposed to actually turning a
01:51:29
◼
►
profit. But the boosts actually pay. And the one boost—the idea is that every month or
01:51:38
◼
►
so they change the boosts that are offered. And I guess they have partnerships with some
01:51:42
◼
►
of these companies, and some of them they just do on their own. But they had for a while
01:51:45
◼
►
they had like a Shake Shack boost. And you can only have one boost on your account at
01:51:49
◼
►
a time. You go in the app and you say, "Here's the boost I want. I want Shake Shack." And
01:51:52
◼
►
if you go to Shake Shack, you'd get like, I don't know, 15% off your order or something
01:51:57
◼
►
like that. They still have Whole Foods on there. I think what they offer is like 5%
01:52:05
◼
►
up to $200 or something like that. So it's equivalent to getting like the Amazon or the
01:52:11
◼
►
Whole Foods card or whatever it is that you can get 5% at Whole Foods. But the one that
01:52:16
◼
►
made me get the card is they had a—it was a coffee shop boost. And any coffee shop you
01:52:22
◼
►
could buy, they would give you $1 back, not like a percentage,
01:52:26
◼
►
$1. And I tend to buy just plain drip coffee. So it's like $2.50
01:52:31
◼
►
or $3. I go in, get a coffee for $2.50. And using that card, I
01:52:37
◼
►
would get a full dollar back every time. And I use that I got
01:52:42
◼
►
the card as soon as you told me to I've used it for a year and
01:52:44
◼
►
now that the bastards have taken it away. I don't understand how
01:52:49
◼
►
it works anymore.
01:52:50
◼
►
Well, now, I'm looking at it right now. Now you have to use
01:52:53
◼
►
the card five times to unlock the boost. So basically, they're
01:52:57
◼
►
trying to get you because people like me who only use it on boost
01:53:01
◼
►
I ever used it for a year. The car is totally worn out. Because
01:53:07
◼
►
because the the the nearest coffee shop to me doesn't take
01:53:13
◼
►
Apple Pay. So I'd have to hand the card over and so they're
01:53:16
◼
►
scanning it, all I used it for was buying coffee. I was getting the equivalent of a
01:53:24
◼
►
40% cash back.
01:53:26
◼
►
It was a great deal. I mean, the Whole Foods used to be 10%, now it's 5%. But 10% back
01:53:32
◼
►
at Whole Foods is crazy. That's a way better deal than the Amazon card was giving you.
01:53:37
◼
►
You can't get 10% on any credit card. It's insane.
01:53:40
◼
►
No. No. Unless, no.
01:53:43
◼
►
even 5% is a really good deal, especially on a debit card where
01:53:46
◼
►
you're not, you know, you there's no even if you're
01:53:49
◼
►
resistant to credit cards on principle or something like
01:53:52
◼
►
that. 5% is great.
01:53:55
◼
►
Yeah, I know how to get 10% back at Whole Foods, but it only
01:54:00
◼
►
happens sometimes. Anyway, points party.com. I talked about
01:54:05
◼
►
it there, I think but yeah, basically, they just want you to
01:54:09
◼
►
use the card more to get that boost back.
01:54:12
◼
►
And then I think it's only valid for five times after that.
01:54:15
◼
►
It's still basically good for five bucks
01:54:17
◼
►
every once in a while too.
01:54:18
◼
►
- Yeah, but I don't wanna use that card anywhere else.
01:54:20
◼
►
- No, what they have, and now it's,
01:54:23
◼
►
so I'm looking at mine right now,
01:54:24
◼
►
10% off at Sweetgreen, 5% off at Ticketmaster,
01:54:28
◼
►
10% off Bed Bath and Beyond.
01:54:31
◼
►
But the one that is an official partnership now actually
01:54:35
◼
►
is 15% off every order at DoorDash.
01:54:38
◼
►
and they just did a big deal with DoorDash.
01:54:42
◼
►
They sold Caviar to DoorDash.
01:54:44
◼
►
Caviar was the food delivery service that Square had owned.
01:54:47
◼
►
- Oh, I didn't know that Square owned that, okay.
01:54:50
◼
►
- Yeah, so they sold it to DoorDash
01:54:51
◼
►
and they're doing this marketing partnership
01:54:54
◼
►
with the Boost as well.
01:54:56
◼
►
So if you look at most of the Boosts,
01:54:59
◼
►
it says at the bottom,
01:55:00
◼
►
Whole Foods has nothing to do with this.
01:55:04
◼
►
Boost provided solely by Cash App.
01:55:08
◼
►
The one with DoorDash does not say that.
01:55:10
◼
►
So that is an official partnership.
01:55:12
◼
►
But it's a very clever idea because again,
01:55:14
◼
►
much like the Apple Cash and even actually
01:55:17
◼
►
more than the Apple Cash,
01:55:18
◼
►
it's money that you get back instantly.
01:55:20
◼
►
And it's actual money.
01:55:21
◼
►
It's not points that will show up in a month and a half
01:55:25
◼
►
that you can use for something else.
01:55:26
◼
►
So very clever. - No, it's literal cash.
01:55:28
◼
►
Literal cash in a debit card account that you,
01:55:30
◼
►
if you choose to, you can just transfer at no fee
01:55:33
◼
►
right to your checking account
01:55:35
◼
►
or whatever else you have hooked up
01:55:36
◼
►
or send it to your friend.
01:55:37
◼
►
I can send my friend Dan money and it's just right there from the money I got for buying
01:55:44
◼
►
stuff with these boosts. So anyway, it's a cool thing to have and again, you don't pay
01:55:50
◼
►
anything. You sign up, you get your cash account, it's free and then you transfer money to start
01:55:55
◼
►
funding it free, get the card free and so I still recommend it even though they took
01:56:02
◼
►
away my beloved coffee shop boost or at least they took it away from applying every single
01:56:07
◼
►
time, but it's still a cool thing to have.
01:56:11
◼
►
Cash App is one of those things where among the tech nerd or media Twitter, people don't
01:56:18
◼
►
really use it that much.
01:56:19
◼
►
Venmo, especially in New York, is very popular.
01:56:22
◼
►
Cash App is huge.
01:56:24
◼
►
The Square said in their earnings last quarter, I think that three and a half million people
01:56:28
◼
►
were using the cash card alone in the month of June.
01:56:33
◼
►
That's a lot of people.
01:56:34
◼
►
I think it's only in America too.
01:56:35
◼
►
Yeah, I think so too.
01:56:37
◼
►
huge success. It's one of the top apps. If you look in the app store download rankings,
01:56:41
◼
►
especially on the weekend, it's always in the top, I don't know, 25 or something like
01:56:45
◼
►
that. So yeah, because it's got a big success. It's got the built in almost social media
01:56:50
◼
►
viral effect where of course you're going to get more people who join in like especially
01:56:54
◼
►
on weekends for the I think that the check sharing thing is just gotta be so it's so
01:56:59
◼
►
obvious, right? So you go out with a bunch of pals and a couple of you already have the
01:57:03
◼
►
the cash app. And then you can say, "Oh, what's the cash app?" And they say, "Oh, it's a free
01:57:07
◼
►
app." And if you do it, then you can send me 15 bucks to square up the meal, no pun
01:57:13
◼
►
intended. So you can totally see how it spreads. And you can tell people, "Hey, no fees. There
01:57:18
◼
►
is no fee to sign up, no fee to transfer money, and it's super easy to use." It's actually
01:57:23
◼
►
a really nicely designed app, in my opinion. There's one or two things that are hidden
01:57:29
◼
►
behind like you have to like tap your avatar or something like that to get it. It's a little,
01:57:34
◼
►
but for the most part it's designed for millennials who read with their fingers or something like that.
01:57:40
◼
►
Yeah, but you know and it and much like apple card it's totally modern and when you buy something you
01:57:46
◼
►
get a little notification that it was used immediately, which is I love you know because
01:57:53
◼
►
it gives you that reassurance that if somebody does skim your number or something like that and
01:57:57
◼
►
And you're as soon as they try, as soon as they use your number to buy something,
01:58:00
◼
►
you're going to get a notification on your phone that tells you it was used.
01:58:03
◼
►
Uh, uh, so anyway, I recommend it and all thanks to you.
01:58:07
◼
►
I had the cash account, but the card, you know, I have to think, I have to thank you.
01:58:11
◼
►
Yeah, it's cool.
01:58:13
◼
►
The other funny thing is, uh, it's one of those things where, you know, I
01:58:16
◼
►
never really see ads for it, but the minute you leave a big city and turn
01:58:20
◼
►
the radio on somewhere, there's ads ads for cash app all the time on the radio.
01:58:25
◼
►
Which is kind of funny.
01:58:26
◼
►
It's like one of those things
01:58:27
◼
►
where it's a truly mainstream product
01:58:29
◼
►
that the tech elite just don't really use as much.
01:58:33
◼
►
- Yeah. - Whatever, good.
01:58:35
◼
►
- Square's still doing a good job too on the other end,
01:58:37
◼
►
on the retail end, where I see more and more shops,
01:58:39
◼
►
where places where I do use Apple Pay,
01:58:43
◼
►
where they've got the Square readers for doing it,
01:58:48
◼
►
for doing your transaction.
01:58:52
◼
►
They've got the cool thing like the La Colombe,
01:58:55
◼
►
which is my favorite coffee shop here in Center City, Philly.
01:58:58
◼
►
They've got those ones where it's like two tablets.
01:59:02
◼
►
And so there's a bigger tablet
01:59:04
◼
►
that faces the person behind the counter
01:59:06
◼
►
and a smaller tablet facing the customer
01:59:08
◼
►
so that they don't have to,
01:59:09
◼
►
like a lot of the iPad-based point of sale things
01:59:12
◼
►
where there's just the one iPad,
01:59:14
◼
►
they have to pivot it around for you to see it
01:59:17
◼
►
and tap how much of a tip you want or whatever,
01:59:19
◼
►
which isn't onerous, onerous,
01:59:23
◼
►
however you pronounce the word,
01:59:25
◼
►
But the little dual tablet system that the square terminals have is really elegant.
01:59:31
◼
►
And in my experience, I don't know, it could just be like the placebo effect that I think
01:59:35
◼
►
that they are good and faster.
01:59:37
◼
►
To me, they seem to work faster, where the NFC reader is very, very fast with the iPhone
01:59:44
◼
►
and the transaction goes through faster.
01:59:46
◼
►
But that could just be my imagination.
01:59:50
◼
►
The first responsive Android tablet in history?
01:59:52
◼
►
I guess they're Android I guess they have to be because it would be insane if they wrote their own
01:59:56
◼
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operating system from scratch scratch, but I see well, maybe
02:00:00
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Yeah, it would it would presumably be Android based right at any rate
02:00:05
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But with you know with their own complete control over everything that goes into it
02:00:08
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It's it is it's very iPad like in terms of responsiveness and accuracy of the touch and stuff like that
02:00:13
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Yeah, and the build quality not to be that guy but the build quality seems very nice too. Yeah. Yeah
02:00:19
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Yeah, it's a very nice thing. I think square overall is
02:00:22
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in some ways it seems
02:00:25
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More well, I think I think I think there's good reason for it to square of the two Jack Dorsey companies seems the more Jack Dorsey
02:00:33
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Whereas Twitter went through so many weird
02:00:37
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total upheavals where Dorsey was out and
02:00:41
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They brought in dick and there was the times when
02:00:48
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What's-his-name was the CEO?
02:00:50
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the medium guy
02:00:52
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have Williams Williams was you know, they they and then Ev was in and then he was out and then dick was gone and Jack is
02:00:58
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back and and
02:01:00
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Twitter is such a weird mishmash
02:01:02
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Of everything, you know like I in my opinion. No one would look at Twitter's stuff and think that's a really elegant design
02:01:10
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It's not bad. It's not ugly, but it's there's a lot of complex stuff. Whereas everything from Square is
02:01:16
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Very very tidy in my experience from their hardware to their apps
02:01:21
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It's a company. I really admire. Yeah
02:01:25
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Anything else I
02:01:29
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Think we've run the gamut there. Yeah, I don't expect anything else from the event. I know that there's Mac stuff coming
02:01:36
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I don't expect them to do it. I think that the whole event will be
02:01:39
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phones watches and
02:01:42
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services. Some wacky thing happened this week where people are like, Oh, AR glasses. Now.
02:01:47
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I also wouldn't be surprised if the tile tracker thing isn't in next week's event that it's just
02:01:55
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could be but I you know, I don't know. I just feel like I feel like the phones, watches and
02:02:03
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services alone would be enough to fill the event and then why dilute it with further stuff.
02:02:09
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Right? Have there been hardware leaks of that or anything like that? Or is it just the software?
02:02:14
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Just the software, I think. And the only hardware that's leaked is the diagrams of the things,
02:02:20
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the little circles that are in the software, you know, that if you talk about the iOS 13 beta,
02:02:24
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there's things that suggest it's like a little like a coin type thing with an apple logo in the
02:02:29
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middle. So I know they've probably learned their lesson. But this could this be one of those things
02:02:34
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where they're like, "And we're working on these little taggers."
02:02:39
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No, I hope not. I think that they've learned a lesson. I've heard—I've actually,
02:02:43
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you know, you're referencing AirPower and that they announced that prematurely. I've heard—
02:02:47
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I mean, AirPods too were delayed quite a bit after the initial announcement.
02:02:51
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But I don't think that they regret it. I think that they announced—I feel like they wished they—because
02:02:57
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they did come out before Christmas, so I feel like that's as late as they could come out.
02:03:01
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Like the day before, but yeah.
02:03:03
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Right. But I kind of feel like they needed to announce, you know, like they needed to be
02:03:09
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announced with the phones that dropped the headphone jack.
02:03:13
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Totally. Yeah.
02:03:13
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Yeah. So I don't think they regret it. I know from talking to several people at Apple that
02:03:18
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there's a real, it's not just, "Hey, we screwed up with AirPower." It was, "This was screw up
02:03:27
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in terms of gambling on a product that we didn't know we could build yet."
02:03:32
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Yeah, you know, man, I still want it. But yeah, so yeah, I could, I don't know the,
02:03:39
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because the hardware is the stuff that often is the thing that leaks, which is crazy. So
02:03:45
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I don't know. I don't, I'm not sure what a, when a better time to, I guess when it's ready
02:03:51
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►
is the right answer, but I'm not sure when a better time to roll that out would be,
02:03:55
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do you think there'll be new AirPods? No, I don't. I think because I think these second
02:04:00
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generation ones just came out. And I know that there are some rumors. I know Gurman
02:04:04
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said that they're working on future ones, but I can't imagine that they would come
02:04:07
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out before Christmas. I really don't. I think that would be a next year thing.
02:04:11
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Cool. All right, then it sounds like a pretty simple thing. I guess the HomePod is the one
02:04:18
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thing that seems like there would be a hardware leak from that too if there was something
02:04:25
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Well, there's a rumor that they're coming out with one with only two tweeters instead
02:04:28
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►
of seven, which I was talking to Jim Dalrymple about it. He's a bigger music guy than me,
02:04:34
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but I can only imagine that that would be a new lower cost HomePod in addition to the
02:04:41
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►
existing HomePod because I just can't see the HomePod. The whole appeal of the HomePod
02:04:44
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►
is how good it sounds. No matter how smart it is, there's no way a two-tweeter one could
02:04:49
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►
be better than the seven-tweeter ones. So I don't know. That would be cool. But again,
02:04:53
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I don't expect it. I would expect that later, you know that like an October event like yeah in October next year
02:04:58
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Yeah, but like even if all that stuff's ready like the October events are always a little bit lower key in
02:05:05
◼
►
Every regard and they they can therefore jump around more and say here's the new Mac. Here's the Mac Pro
02:05:12
◼
►
We promised at WWDC and here's a new MacBook Pro 16 inch size
02:05:16
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►
That's like this and here's the tile tracker and we've got two new iPad pros and you know
02:05:22
◼
►
and jump around and do that. Whereas the September one, I feel like they don't want to cram a lot of
02:05:27
◼
►
stuff in there. And the services narrative is so important to them in terms of the story that
02:05:36
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►
they're selling to Wall Street that I'd be shocked. I would be absolutely shocked if they
02:05:43
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►
don't unveil all of the details for the services they announced back in March on Tuesday,
02:05:50
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►
including pricing, including dates, and doing that at their highest profile event of the
02:05:58
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year, they're going to want to distract from that as little as possible. And therefore,
02:06:02
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the only other thing I expect would be the phones and the watches.
02:06:07
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Makes sense.
02:06:08
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►
That's what I think. But, you know, who knows? I had one more idea, but I forgot it. Yeah,
02:06:16
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►
Yeah, it probably wasn't good. Anyway, Dan Fromer, thank you. So the new consumer is
02:06:26
◼
►
at newconsumer.com. Excellent newsletter. I enjoy every single issue of it. I feel like
02:06:33
◼
►
also I enjoy the pace. If I want to complain, you know, we were Pat and Ben Thompson on
02:06:38
◼
►
the back. I sometimes can't keep up with Stratechery. Not because I feel like he's writing needless
02:06:44
◼
►
words, but because he writes too many good words. Whereas I really enjoy the couple times
02:06:49
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►
a week pace of the new consumer.
02:06:51
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Tom Bilyeu (01h00): Thank you. Yeah. And if you care about e-commerce
02:06:56
◼
►
or consumer brands or marketing or just the future, give it a shot. NewConsumer.com.
02:07:00
◼
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Jay Famiglietti (01h00): Yeah. I really enjoy it. And people can follow
02:07:04
◼
►
you on Twitter. You're an excellent Twitter follower @fromdome, F-R-O-M-E-D-O-M-E on Twitter.
02:07:11
◼
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I enjoy you there too. My thanks to you. Let me thank our sponsors. Sometimes I forget
02:07:16
◼
►
to thank them at the end of the show. I'll go backwards. Eero, where you can go to get
02:07:21
◼
►
Wi-Fi that'll saturate your whole home. Hello, Pillow, Buckwheat Pillow that might change
02:07:26
◼
►
the way you sleep forever. And then last but not least, Clear Bank with a C for the bank
02:07:33
◼
►
where you can go to raise money for your company. Really, really interesting sponsor of the
02:07:41
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►
show. They obviously think there's a lot of entrepreneurs out there and they probably
02:07:43
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are listening to the show. My thanks to them. Dan, thanks. See you soon.