159: ‘Phil Z’ With Marco Arment
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Here's what I got for us to talk about.
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The live talk show at WWDC.
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Mac OS, or what's it called?
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Mac OS 10.12.
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- I've lost track.
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Taking the headphone jack off the iPhone.
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Covering your laptop cameras with tape.
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Podcast ads, the future of podcasting and mid-roll.
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Buying Stitcher.
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And then at the end we can talk about cars
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talk about the shitty Shifter design that led to the guy from Star Trek stuff. So let's
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get started. WWDC. We don't have to talk about the actual announcements.
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Nah, everyone's heard about those already. I want to talk about your show.
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Because, you know, I have some to say about it and you probably won't be saying all
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this so I will say it because you won't. So, number one is, you know, first of all,
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I greatly enjoyed it.
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You began the show by posing the question of like,
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you know, you had Phil on last year, how do you top that?
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You know, there's only so far you can go up the chain
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to top having Phil on the show.
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And you ended up having Phil and Craig on the show this year
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and I put forth now this theory that that is the top,
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that is the best you can do for that show in that week.
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- I agree with that.
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I think that's actually probably true.
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because, and this is, I know that it,
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I think I successfully kept it secret, number one.
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I don't know what the people were whispering
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out in the audience.
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- I was guessing Tim, but I had no idea.
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- Yeah, Tim, that was by far the most common guess,
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that like, and people were,
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and people were bugging me like that they,
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not bugging me, I shouldn't say that.
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Everybody who come up and said hi to me at WWDC,
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I always enjoy it, and sometimes I see people on Twitter
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who say, "Hey, I saw you somewhere,
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"and I thought, ah, I won't bother you."
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No, just come say hi, I like to say hi to people,
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it's great, it's one of my favorite parts of WWDC.
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And it was really weird for me in the early years because it does not come naturally to
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But I've learned over the years how to make those things go pretty well.
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Pretty much what I did was the one year at South by Southwest I was hanging out.
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It was the year Merlin and I spoke together at South by.
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And I just noticed that when people would come up to us, whether they knew Merlin, Merlin
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He's absolutely amazing when someone comes up and says, "Hey, are you Merlin, man?"
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obviously never met them. They're a fan. He's so good at it. And I just suddenly
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went into like, "I'm just gonna copy his moves and just do what he does." And it's
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gotten a lot better. So anyway, people would come up to you. They'd say blah blah blah.
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But then they'd say, "Who's gonna be on your show?" And I would just say, I started
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saying to them, "You don't really want me to tell you, right? I mean, you want to be
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surprised." Yeah, and like you and you know, I don't know what the listeners think,
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but like, you know, so you and I are friends. I didn't know either last year
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or this year. Like, you don't even tell your friends. Like, you don't, as far as I
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know the only people you tell are like Amy and Paul who are working the event
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with you like you don't tell anybody I didn't tell Paul Amy did and Caleb
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Sexton knew as of like three or four in the afternoon of the day and I did tell
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Caleb that you know to prepare three lav mics so he knew there would be two to
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two guests but no I did not tell anybody because that's how you keep a secret how
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How do you keep a secret? It's easy. Don't tell anybody. I swear to God, it is the...
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It sounds stupid, but most people don't do that.
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Amy tells me a great story. I'm going to butcher this in some way. But when she was in law
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school, she had a criminal defense course that was taught by a former FBI agent. And
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He told them, he said, "You want to know how to get away with a murder?
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It's actually very easy.
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Don't leave any evidence.
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Don't leave any evidence behind.
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Don't tell anyone what you did, and don't ever do it again, and you'll get away with
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AARON LINDQUIST >> Useful information for law students.
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JEFF ZELENY >> Most murderers do not get away with it because most murderers either leave
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something behind or, most commonly, they tell somebody.
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It's very, very easy.
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I didn't murder anybody, but I did not tell anybody who was going to be on the show.
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And I agree with your assessment that the duo of Phil and Craig is, I think, unbeatable.
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Tim Cook would be a bigger get.
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Johnny Ive would be a big get.
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But I don't think that the combination of my interviewing skills combined with their
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personalities I don't think would be as enjoyable.
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Well, especially in this setting, too.
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You are there and you want to talk about what was just said in the keynote.
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seen interviews of Tim, Tim doesn't really stray from the talking points.
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He's very well prepared, very well controlled, and he says what he wants to
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say and nothing more. And what you really want at the BBC is, and in the
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talk show, is like the live talk show is still your show. It's still the talk show
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and you know the the mood of it takes on what you set there. So it really it's
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kind of like you know like you like you say that this is the director's
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commentary for Daring Fireball. You know when you have these Apple execs on
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on your show, which I love that now two years in,
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it just has become like, oh, this is just what you do now.
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Last year it was like, holy crap,
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this year it's like, oh yeah, again, okay.
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But when you have them on the show,
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it kind of becomes the director's commentary for WWDC.
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'Cause it is like, mood-wise, it's like the closest
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that any of us will ever get to sitting down
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and having a beer with Apple executives.
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And I think Phil and Craig not only have
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very good personalities that mesh well with that.
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But also like topic wise at WWDC,
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if there's any two Apple execs you can pick
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to ask questions to that are gonna be interesting
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and relevant to developers after having heard
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that keynote that day, it's gonna be those two.
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Because you have Phil who now runs the entire app store,
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policy wise at least, he runs the whole app store
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and then he's also kind of like,
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I don't know what his role is unofficially
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but it seems like he is in many ways
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like heavily involved or possibly the head of a lot of product decisions. Yeah,
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I've always said, and I mean, just maybe I should have asked. I've always had this
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on my list. What would you say you do here? Well, I have had that, and I've run
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out of time. I've both ears, you know, it's better that way, but I have more stuff
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to talk to them about than I have time to ask them. And I tend to favor,
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"Hey, let's fill this up with questions from the keynote," because I think it's
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that's more relevant to now than forever.
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But I have ideas, I go into it with a couple ideas
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for things to talk about just in case the keynote
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doesn't really have a lot of stuff.
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But I've always said, and from my perspective on the outside,
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the best way to understand Schiller's role at Apple
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would be to take the word marketing out of his name
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and edit title and edit senior vice president of product.
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'Cause the marketing is in and of itself,
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it's part of the product, it's not a separate thing,
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it's not like the products are developed
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and then Schiller's group figures out how to advertise them or what pictures to take
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to put on the box. It's all of a piece. That's the type of marketing that gives, especially
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engineers who are analytical, and they roll their eyes when they think about marketing.
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Bad marketing is when you start with a bad product and somebody is told, "Here's a kind
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of crappy product or a thing with a bunch of problems. Figure out a way to sell it."
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Well, the marketer still has to do their job, but whereas if you have a good product, you
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just let the product speak for yourself and figure out how do we let the product speak
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for itself. And I think that's ideally what, you know, at their best, that's how Apple's
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marketing works.
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And it seems too like...
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He is intimately familiar with all of their products.
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Oh, clearly. And also, and you know, having Craig there too, like, it's amazing because,
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you know, you think of like, you know, what is an executive? And you think of like, what
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kind of person is it? What do they know? What kind of involvement do they have? And to have
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the kind of incredibly deep knowledge that these two executives have about
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what they apparently oversee with pillar you know and what and what Craig does
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officially oversee you know like Craig was throwing out deep technical
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implementation details and and I know from talking to people in the company
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that that's genuine like Craig is really a genuine like hardcore engineer and
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he's really he really knows his stuff and he gets deeply involved in it and and
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is, but at the same time is a really good leader. I mean, I don't think I've met
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anybody who has worked under Craig or anywhere near Craig and has a single bad thing to say
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about the experience of working with him. I mean, he seems incredibly good at his job
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and very well suited to that leadership role, but also, like Phil, having this incredibly
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deep knowledge of the product and the decisions. And to have that there, this is why I think
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this is better than having Tim for your show.
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Because not only, not only like I think you have,
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you'd have a better personality mesh with these guys,
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but also I think, you know,
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Tim doesn't take that kind of deep knowledge
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of like the little details of how these things
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are engineered or product decisions like,
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and 'cause I think Tim kind of knows
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that he's not like ahead of product the way Steve was,
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and so he has delegated that to some of the other SVPs,
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and you know, different combinations.
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And honestly, I think it's a little bit vague as to what the combination is right now, and that might be a bit of a problem.
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But overall, you know, it's, you know, Tim is not really a product person, and Phil very clearly is.
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And honestly, I mean, from just my point of view, I am very happy you had those two people on.
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And I would say Phil and Craig are my favorite Apple executives.
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And I think the ones that most closely align with my priorities, it seems.
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Yeah, I think that's fair to say. So I don't know why I'm screwed for next year.
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Yeah, well just have them on again or have moles. That's it. Those are your
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I think Eddie, Eddie Q, uh, when he was on this show with Craig was good and I
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think he would be good, but his personality wise, uh,
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but his domain isn't a good fit,
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especially for the WWDC show.
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If I had something where I did like a quarterly show or a twice a year show and
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like maybe if I did a live show after the September, you know,
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iPhone event or something like that.
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Eddy Cue might be good then,
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but I feel like WWDC in particular,
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when the news is supposed to,
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and in late, most years recently really is,
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mostly about software, it's, you know,
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there's, it wouldn't really make any sense
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just to have him on because it's not his domain.
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- Yeah, also, I would also say like,
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one of the greatest things we saw
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at the live talk show this year
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is that we on the outside got to see,
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in a very, very rare circumstance,
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we got to see two Apple SVPs interacting with each other.
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And if you think about it,
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what other chances do we ever have to see that?
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And from what I understand,
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again, talking to some people inside the company,
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even most people who work in the company
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rarely see two SVPs in the same room,
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'cause usually you're presenting to at most one of them.
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So to see two execs who have clearly worked together
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for a very long time and know each other really well
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and clearly respect each other very much,
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who are also good in all these other ways,
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it really brought a lot of amazing humanity
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and just insight into just who these people actually are.
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And this is something that you're not gonna get
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in a carefully scripted keynote
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or any kind of carefully planned event.
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And this is why I love this show so much,
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because you get to do this
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and you get to reveal this to the world,
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and you do it in a way that, because it's a podcast,
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I love podcasting because if you write something
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on a blog or on a news site,
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that spreads all over the place really quickly
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if there's anything about it that's controversial
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or inflammatory or anything else.
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Believe me, I know that better than a lot of people.
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And that can often be prohibitive
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to encouraging people to continue writing.
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With a podcast, it seems like just because podcasts,
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they just don't really spread like wildfire
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the way text spreads.
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You can quote someone's post or paraphrase someone's post,
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stick an inflammatory headline on it
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and it just spreads like wildfire.
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Podcasts, that just doesn't happen.
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I thought last year when you had Phil on,
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which, let's anybody forget,
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that was remarkable at the time,
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I thought that was gonna be literally world news.
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I thought it was gonna be reported on CNN
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that this happened and everything that was said
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would have been scrutinized and reported on
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just as much as an Apple press release would have.
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And instead, there was one MacRumors article about it.
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It was almost nothing, almost nothing happened.
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And then the same thing happened this year,
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where again, it's like now you have two Apple executives.
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Now you should have CNN and the New York Times
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reporting on it, double the coverage.
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And again, you had one MacRumors article
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and basically nothing else.
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- Yeah, I thought the same thing last year.
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Not necessarily that I was disappointed, I was just curious.
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And I think one measure of it would be tech meme.
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And it's like, I write blog posts that get more attention
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on tech meme than this.
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The good thing is that I found with my experience,
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like I've been writing a lot less in part because
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of this problem of just like any slip up
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and it spreads like wildfire.
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And in podcasting, that just doesn't happen.
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But also because of that effect, the podcasting kind of--
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and because of the conversational nature of it just being more casual, podcasting is kind
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of like a safe space. And you can go on a podcast, you can talk off script and answer
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questions that you didn't get in advance or that were unplanned or whatever. You can accept
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that gig because it really isn't dangerous. People give you the benefit of the doubt,
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it doesn't really spread like wildfire if you screw something up in some kind of minor
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way. It's a conversational context, so it doesn't seem as official or as like, you
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know, coded in stone. And I feel like, you know, that's, again, that's something that
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Apple never gets in any kind of public way. So it's, and for the listeners or the attendees
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of the live show, it's almost like being led into like an exclusive club. Like, you
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know, it's like, it's a club of obscurity, basically. Like, you know, we get to be here
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and listen to this and get to know these people
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and get these great insights into things,
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but it's not a big problem for them
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and they don't get in trouble for things they say.
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It's kind of amazing.
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- I was thinking about what you said before
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about how we don't get to see Apple's executives
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interact with each other in a personal way.
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And one evidence of proof of that,
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and again, I often bring up Scott Forstall.
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And I have met him and I liked him, you know, like backstage after a keynote.
00:15:02
◼
►
And I think he did fantastic work for the company.
00:15:05
◼
►
And so, you know, I bring him up not to dump on him because I really think the
00:15:09
◼
►
guy did a great job. But, famously, I mean, it was, you know,
00:15:15
◼
►
he did not get along well with the rest of the
00:15:17
◼
►
leadership team. I mean, the press release announcing his,
00:15:20
◼
►
I forget what they called it, but, you know, that he was no longer...
00:15:25
◼
►
He was quit fired.
00:15:26
◼
►
Well, his promotion to Tim Cook's assistant or whatever, special advisor.
00:15:33
◼
►
That the title of the press release was something about enabling collaboration or something like
00:15:41
◼
►
that. It was very clear. And my sense since that, but on stage you'd never know it. Shiller to
00:15:50
◼
►
Forrestal handing off in a keynote, and here to tell you all about it is Senior Vice President
00:15:56
◼
►
Scott Forrestal, is exactly the same as his interaction with Federighi now, because they're
00:16:04
◼
►
pros. They're total pros. They're polished. From the outside, you'd never have any idea
00:16:09
◼
►
whether there was a difference, whereas on stage, with those two, you could tell that
00:16:13
◼
►
they like each other.
00:16:14
◼
►
Yeah, totally.
00:16:15
◼
►
The way they razzed each other, especially Phil Razzing, Federighi.
00:16:19
◼
►
Yeah, I thought it went pretty well.
00:16:22
◼
►
And you know me, I'm not gonna sit here and say how good my show was, but...
00:16:25
◼
►
Yeah, I will.
00:16:26
◼
►
It was really good.
00:16:28
◼
►
I love how uncomfortable this makes you.
00:16:31
◼
►
It really does.
00:16:32
◼
►
Let's talk about the problems with the show.
00:16:33
◼
►
We had audio problems.
00:16:34
◼
►
We had this feedback at the beginning.
00:16:37
◼
►
And anybody who's watching the video, watch the video, the recorded one on Vimeo or listen
00:16:42
◼
►
to the podcast.
00:16:43
◼
►
You won't hear it.
00:16:44
◼
►
I don't know.
00:16:45
◼
►
I don't think Caleb had to clean that up.
00:16:48
◼
►
I don't think he had to remove it.
00:16:49
◼
►
I think that the audio, like the mics didn't pick it up.
00:16:52
◼
►
But what happened, and it wasn't Caleb's fault,
00:16:56
◼
►
it was during the, and they definitely did a sound check,
00:17:00
◼
►
but Caleb let the house sound guy at Mezzanine,
00:17:05
◼
►
who was new, he wasn't the same guy as last year,
00:17:07
◼
►
talk him out of a, I don't know what, I don't even know,
00:17:10
◼
►
I didn't wanna know what the details were,
00:17:12
◼
►
but Caleb let the guy talk him out of something
00:17:14
◼
►
against Caleb's better judgment,
00:17:16
◼
►
and then the fix, five or 10 minutes into the show,
00:17:19
◼
►
was exactly what Caleb wanted to do at the outset.
00:17:23
◼
►
It violates the number one rule of sound equipment, which is get it working and then don't touch
00:17:28
◼
►
Yeah, I'm not sure where that went wrong, but it did get straightened out.
00:17:31
◼
►
It wasn't too bad.
00:17:35
◼
►
If anybody watched the video and I look a little bit like I'm looking around, it was
00:17:40
◼
►
because of the feedback.
00:17:43
◼
►
But you won't hear it when you watch on the show.
00:17:47
◼
►
The other thing I think that I wonder how it affects the immediate, "Holy shit, these
00:17:51
◼
►
two guys are on Gruber's show," is that the show doesn't come out right away.
00:17:56
◼
►
This year it didn't come out till Friday, so I feel like on my list for what can I fix
00:18:00
◼
►
for next year is figure out who do I have to pay, what do I have to do to get the video
00:18:04
◼
►
out hopefully like 24 hours.
00:18:06
◼
►
Well, on the other hand though, why?
00:18:09
◼
►
If the show doesn't make national news and they don't get in trouble for anything they
00:18:14
◼
►
then that makes it easier to get them back. The main reason to turn to get the
00:18:20
◼
►
turnaround quicker is just to make people who want to watch it happier. I
00:18:23
◼
►
don't think it would have... I don't think it would really make a big difference in
00:18:27
◼
►
terms of publicity. The main reason is that I know just from my tweets and the
00:18:32
◼
►
emails that people were like chomping at the bit to get it. And I would be too if
00:18:36
◼
►
there were two of me and one who does the show and the other one who just
00:18:38
◼
►
listens to the show and really likes it. I would have been too if I couldn't get
00:18:42
◼
►
to the live show. You know what you should do? You should hire the Apple
00:18:46
◼
►
W2C video team because they get stuff out the next morning. I know, that's
00:18:50
◼
►
amazing. They've really upped that. It's really incredible how quickly
00:18:55
◼
►
they get it out. Yeah. The live stream broke this year. Last year it stayed up,
00:18:59
◼
►
but this year it broke. I would suggest maybe doing an audio only live stream
00:19:03
◼
►
because it's, I mean, unless you go to something like YouTube live, which should
00:19:06
◼
►
also be probably an easier way to do it, but audio is a lot easier to scale up.
00:19:11
◼
►
And we did that two years ago when you and your ATP pals were the guest.
00:19:17
◼
►
That's how I know that.
00:19:19
◼
►
Because we were streaming it off of my iPad in the back on Verizon and it was fine.
00:19:25
◼
►
Absolutely true.
00:19:28
◼
►
The thing I love about that, I don't know if it helped you because then you wouldn't
00:19:32
◼
►
be nervous, it gave you something to do, or if it just made you even more nervous because
00:19:38
◼
►
instead of thinking about the show, you were fiddling with it.
00:19:40
◼
►
But the back story on that was that literally,
00:19:44
◼
►
right up until we opened the doors to let people in,
00:19:47
◼
►
you were back there.
00:19:48
◼
►
And we weren't planning it.
00:19:49
◼
►
You were just like, well, why don't we livestream it?
00:19:50
◼
►
I can do it.
00:19:51
◼
►
And you just took out your iPad and were plugging it
00:19:54
◼
►
into the board.
00:19:56
◼
►
It was worse than that.
00:19:57
◼
►
You said, oh, by the way, we don't
00:19:58
◼
►
have a way to record this.
00:20:00
◼
►
So I was providing the only recording of it
00:20:03
◼
►
and also the livestream.
00:20:04
◼
►
That was a poorly planned show.
00:20:06
◼
►
Poorly planned show.
00:20:08
◼
►
That's funny that we've gone from there to here
00:20:10
◼
►
in two years, I do keep pretty good notes
00:20:12
◼
►
about what to improve for the next year.
00:20:15
◼
►
- No, I'd say you now have a pretty good,
00:20:19
◼
►
you have the Kings worked out,
00:20:20
◼
►
and I would say just repeat this,
00:20:22
◼
►
and maybe change the way you stream the video,
00:20:24
◼
►
and that's about it.
00:20:26
◼
►
Seemed like people had a good time.
00:20:29
◼
►
- Yeah, oh yeah, it was good, it was a good event,
00:20:31
◼
►
and yeah, again, I mean, you won't say it, but I will.
00:20:35
◼
►
It was great, and you should definitely
00:20:38
◼
►
keep doing it if you can.
00:20:39
◼
►
Yeah, I'll see what I can do, hopefully.
00:20:41
◼
►
I thought it went well.
00:20:42
◼
►
How about I take a break right here
00:20:45
◼
►
and I thank our first sponsor.
00:20:48
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And our first sponsor this week is Wealthfront.
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And then you have to pay at least 1% per year
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Wealthfront is nothing like that.
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They're completely free for accounts under $10,000.
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You can get started with just like a couple hundred bucks.
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And in fact, they say that's how most
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They just put a couple hundred bucks in
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just to see how it works, sign up, look at the interface,
00:21:40
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and then once they get to like it and say,
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"Okay, this is good, I trust this,"
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then put in the quote unquote real money,
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which could be anything.
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and that's only on the assets above $10,000.
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that goes to $15,000, and you get $5,000 free management
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00:22:07
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So if you send your code to your brother-in-law
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and a couple other people, you can get 10, 20, 25,
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however many extra thousand dollars managed for free.
00:22:20
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And then even then, you only pay 0.25% above that
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They have all sorts of stuff.
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It's a long-term investment thing.
00:22:30
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This is the total opposite of day trading.
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This is a place where you put money in for the long run
00:22:36
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and they have so many options,
00:22:38
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so many different types of accounts.
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in the length of a podcast ad.
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00:22:49
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for the long run Wealthfront,
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and the URL is wealthfront.com/thetalkshow.
00:22:56
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Anything else on the live show?
00:23:01
◼
►
I feel like that covers it.
00:23:02
◼
►
Anyway, I had a good time.
00:23:03
◼
►
I have not watched it.
00:23:04
◼
►
I can't bring myself to watch it yet.
00:23:06
◼
►
I watched last year's at some point,
00:23:07
◼
►
but I didn't watch this year's yet.
00:23:09
◼
►
So maybe I should have watched it
00:23:11
◼
►
before we started talking about it here.
00:23:13
◼
►
- I listened to it again.
00:23:14
◼
►
- macOS, here's my thing about macOS.
00:23:18
◼
►
I can't believe that they changed the name to macOS,
00:23:21
◼
►
but kept the 10.12 version numbering.
00:23:25
◼
►
What is that 10 now?
00:23:26
◼
►
Why, is this 10 forever?
00:23:28
◼
►
- Well, you know, I think it's a lot like,
00:23:30
◼
►
like, you know, like the dumb Windows kernel version thing
00:23:32
◼
►
where Windows 2000 was NT 5.0, I think,
00:23:36
◼
►
and then XP was 5.1, and it stayed at five for a while.
00:23:40
◼
►
Just the numbers doesn't mean anything
00:23:42
◼
►
relative to the marketing name and the marketing sequence.
00:23:47
◼
►
So I think that it just doesn't really matter.
00:23:49
◼
►
I'm kind of surprised, though,
00:23:50
◼
►
that they kept the California names,
00:23:52
◼
►
and I'm kind of surprised they didn't just call this
00:23:55
◼
►
It seemed like even though people would have made fun
00:23:57
◼
►
of them, oh, you skipped 11,
00:23:58
◼
►
I think that would have made a lot more sense
00:24:00
◼
►
to just say, all right, this is now Mac OS 12,
00:24:02
◼
►
and then next year Mac OS 13 or whatever.
00:24:03
◼
►
But I guess those numbers don't scale very well.
00:24:06
◼
►
Nobody wants like Mac OS 17, I don't know.
00:24:08
◼
►
- It did seem weird that they give,
00:24:11
◼
►
I think they could have done both though.
00:24:12
◼
►
They could have called it Mac OS 12 Sierra.
00:24:15
◼
►
- Yeah, maybe, that's a lot of tokens.
00:24:17
◼
►
- I don't know why.
00:24:18
◼
►
Why does Mac OS get a code name and iOS doesn't?
00:24:21
◼
►
I don't get that.
00:24:23
◼
►
- Well, and maybe because of the high numbering problem,
00:24:26
◼
►
like once you get into the teens,
00:24:27
◼
►
it kind of is less cool sounding.
00:24:30
◼
►
maybe they're going to transition iOS
00:24:32
◼
►
onto a code name system.
00:24:33
◼
►
And maybe they would unify the code.
00:24:35
◼
►
Maybe they would say, you know,
00:24:36
◼
►
this year we have iOS Sierra and Mac OS Sierra.
00:24:39
◼
►
I don't know.
00:24:40
◼
►
There's a lot of things they could do there,
00:24:41
◼
►
but I do think the numbers are really nice
00:24:43
◼
►
and clean and simple now because they're relatively low.
00:24:46
◼
►
But once you get into the teens and stuff, it's less cool.
00:24:50
◼
►
- Anything else?
00:24:55
◼
►
- I love that.
00:24:56
◼
►
I love that it's all we can talk about about Mac OS,
00:25:00
◼
►
Well, have you used it yet?
00:25:01
◼
►
I actually have.
00:25:02
◼
►
I actually have it on a MacBook Pro downstairs.
00:25:05
◼
►
And it's exactly the sort of thing I would like--
00:25:11
◼
►
I'd like to see Apple do, which is it doesn't feel--
00:25:15
◼
►
you could easily convince me that it wasn't even
00:25:17
◼
►
a new version of Mac OS X. And it's like, oh, yeah, yeah,
00:25:20
◼
►
look, that looks a little different.
00:25:21
◼
►
They've changed a little bit here and there.
00:25:23
◼
►
But it is such a minor refinement
00:25:26
◼
►
in terms of everything I'm used to.
00:25:28
◼
►
and then they've just added some nice new features.
00:25:31
◼
►
- Yeah, and I'm happy with that too.
00:25:32
◼
►
I mean, from a developer's point of view,
00:25:34
◼
►
I would love to see some modernization of AppKit
00:25:38
◼
►
and possibly some kind of cross-platform AppKit,
00:25:40
◼
►
UIKit kind of hybrid.
00:25:42
◼
►
So I basically wouldn't have to learn AppKit.
00:25:47
◼
►
But I understand also why that's kind of a big job
00:25:50
◼
►
and probably not worth doing necessarily.
00:25:53
◼
►
- Ah, that's a good question. - Or maybe waiting until,
00:25:56
◼
►
presumably in the future,
00:25:57
◼
►
there's gonna be some kind of rewrite or refactoring
00:26:01
◼
►
of a lot of the frameworks to better optimize for Swift.
00:26:04
◼
►
And beyond just renaming.
00:26:07
◼
►
Right now they've basically renamed them
00:26:08
◼
►
when you're using them from Swift and that's about it.
00:26:10
◼
►
But there's more that you could do there
00:26:13
◼
►
to really optimize these things for Swift.
00:26:15
◼
►
So maybe down the road they're planning on
00:26:18
◼
►
a bigger change to the frameworks
00:26:20
◼
►
and maybe they would unify them then.
00:26:21
◼
►
'Cause as you talk about it often,
00:26:23
◼
►
Apple's a very patient company.
00:26:25
◼
►
And when it comes to long-term technical decisions
00:26:27
◼
►
like this, they're willing to wait five, 10 years
00:26:30
◼
►
to do what they need to do if they think
00:26:32
◼
►
it'll be better later to do it then.
00:26:34
◼
►
So I think it would be interesting to see
00:26:37
◼
►
if they ever do tackle this problem
00:26:38
◼
►
or if they just kinda consider, you know,
00:26:40
◼
►
AppKit's the right tool for this job
00:26:41
◼
►
and UIKit's the right tool for that job,
00:26:43
◼
►
which there's some basis for that.
00:26:45
◼
►
Not 100%, but there's some basis for that.
00:26:47
◼
►
And maybe they just kinda consider the Mac
00:26:48
◼
►
to be kind of like a completed platform.
00:26:51
◼
►
We don't need to do much on this anymore.
00:26:53
◼
►
I don't know.
00:26:54
◼
►
- Yeah, sort of like the way I treat Markdown.
00:26:56
◼
►
- Yeah, right.
00:26:57
◼
►
- I mean, no joke.
00:26:58
◼
►
I mean, it's seriously like, you know,
00:27:00
◼
►
it is what it is, you know, move on with the other stuff.
00:27:02
◼
►
Maybe, I don't know.
00:27:03
◼
►
I think you're right though that if they do do it,
00:27:05
◼
►
it would probably coincide
00:27:06
◼
►
with a swiftification of frameworks.
00:27:10
◼
►
- Right, or if all these rumblers I keep hearing about,
00:27:12
◼
►
they're like being like a single unified OS
00:27:14
◼
►
coming down the road with new everything,
00:27:17
◼
►
you know, for the car and God knows what else, you know,
00:27:19
◼
►
then if that is actually true
00:27:22
◼
►
and coming in the next five years,
00:27:25
◼
►
then that would be the time to do it.
00:27:27
◼
►
- Yeah, I don't know.
00:27:29
◼
►
- I don't give that rumor a lot of weight, honestly,
00:27:31
◼
►
because it seems really grand, and I don't know.
00:27:35
◼
►
- It just seems to me, like, when I study it
00:27:37
◼
►
and think about it, and it's like,
00:27:38
◼
►
I'm trying to think about what to write
00:27:40
◼
►
about the Mac OS beta.
00:27:42
◼
►
I keep thinking about something Guy English,
00:27:45
◼
►
friend of the show Guy English, said to me
00:27:47
◼
►
last week when I was asking just friends,
00:27:51
◼
►
I didn't say who, I just said, hey, let's just say if I got to interview somebody, interesting.
00:27:56
◼
►
What are some questions?
00:27:57
◼
►
Do you guys have any questions that you wish I would ask?
00:27:59
◼
►
And Guy had pointed out that when Steve Jobs introduced the Mac OS X 10.0 back in 2001,
00:28:09
◼
►
he framed it as saying, this is the operating system for the next 15 years.
00:28:14
◼
►
Well, that was 15 years ago.
00:28:19
◼
►
And I think it's almost, you know, he was trying to say this is the operating system for the, you know, the long term for Apple.
00:28:25
◼
►
This is something that Apple can really, so what, Apple was, what, they're 40 years old now, so they were a 25 year old company then.
00:28:31
◼
►
This is, you know, it was as far away from the original Mac as we are today.
00:28:38
◼
►
I think, if anything, in hindsight, Jobs clearly undersold the longevity of the platform.
00:28:44
◼
►
that's the thing I look at when I look at Mac OS 10.12 is that this doesn't feel
00:28:47
◼
►
like an operating system on its last legs. This feels like an operating system
00:28:51
◼
►
that is still in its prime and doing it's exactly what it wants to be and
00:28:55
◼
►
really doesn't need anything major. I mean it could and it's someday something
00:29:01
◼
►
like a you know your example about doing a lot of UI kitification to AppKit or
00:29:08
◼
►
bringing UIKit to Mac OS 10 in some way to sit there alongside AppKit or who
00:29:14
◼
►
There are major changes someday,
00:29:16
◼
►
but at the moment it's really just fine
00:29:18
◼
►
and does its job very well.
00:29:20
◼
►
And the way I put it a couple years ago,
00:29:21
◼
►
and it's funny too because I said something
00:29:24
◼
►
about the next five years,
00:29:25
◼
►
but it was like five years ago.
00:29:27
◼
►
So I undersold it as much five years ago as Jobs did, 15,
00:29:31
◼
►
was that the heaviness of the Mac, conceptually,
00:29:35
◼
►
that it's so, you can have so many windows open
00:29:38
◼
►
and you can go so deep and you have all these options
00:29:40
◼
►
like services and control, right-clicking
00:29:43
◼
►
and getting these contextual menus,
00:29:45
◼
►
and even just the existence of the menu bar.
00:29:47
◼
►
That heaviness is what lets iOS remain so lightweight.
00:29:52
◼
►
That you couldn't have it like the iPad
00:29:55
◼
►
and make it as simple as it is
00:29:57
◼
►
without having a platform to go with it
00:30:00
◼
►
that is as complicated as the Mac.
00:30:02
◼
►
- I mean, the downside of that logic though,
00:30:06
◼
►
which I think is mostly sound,
00:30:08
◼
►
but the downside of that is that kind of assumes
00:30:11
◼
►
that they will be both maintained over time
00:30:14
◼
►
and will both succeed over time.
00:30:16
◼
►
And I'm not sure that's a safe assumption to make.
00:30:20
◼
►
- I wonder if it doesn't also conversely tie into
00:30:23
◼
►
the fact that there's some productivity tasks
00:30:28
◼
►
that just still aren't that great to do on an iPad.
00:30:31
◼
►
You know, that it works both ways.
00:30:34
◼
►
That it's like, they just haven't been,
00:30:38
◼
►
they haven't felt forced to enable the iPad
00:30:40
◼
►
to be good at X, because yeah, you could just use
00:30:43
◼
►
your MacBook for that.
00:30:45
◼
►
- Well, but also, as they have added more productivity
00:30:49
◼
►
features to iOS, and especially to the iPad,
00:30:52
◼
►
you're kind of seeing them basically try to address
00:30:54
◼
►
the same problems, like basically trying to make it
00:30:56
◼
►
closer to a Mac kind of environment.
00:30:58
◼
►
So now you have things like a basic form of windowing,
00:31:01
◼
►
and multiple windows on screen.
00:31:03
◼
►
You have these document pickers that are a simplified view
00:31:07
◼
►
of a file system that are still files.
00:31:09
◼
►
They're having to solve the same problems
00:31:13
◼
►
and oftentimes the solutions they come up with
00:31:16
◼
►
are actually not substantially better than the solutions
00:31:19
◼
►
that the PC and Mac world figured out years ago.
00:31:22
◼
►
Sometimes they are, but it seems like
00:31:25
◼
►
they're both kind of aiming for the same thing
00:31:28
◼
►
where they try to make Mac OS easier to use
00:31:31
◼
►
and more iOS-like in ways.
00:31:33
◼
►
At the same time, they're trying to make iOS
00:31:36
◼
►
more productive and more suited for pro use.
00:31:39
◼
►
and by doing that they're kind of making iOS
00:31:41
◼
►
a little more Mac-like in these certain areas.
00:31:44
◼
►
And I'm not sure either effort
00:31:47
◼
►
is a huge success necessarily.
00:31:49
◼
►
I think the effort to proify iOS
00:31:54
◼
►
is probably more successful
00:31:55
◼
►
than the effort to iOSify the Mac.
00:31:58
◼
►
- I think that if you think about it,
00:31:59
◼
►
I can't think of anything this year
00:32:00
◼
►
that really was iOSification of the Mac.
00:32:03
◼
►
I feel like maybe they're done with that,
00:32:05
◼
►
and they've done enough of it that they wanted to,
00:32:09
◼
►
and now they're just letting the Mac be the Mac.
00:32:10
◼
►
I mean, maybe I'm overlooking something,
00:32:13
◼
►
but I can't think of anything.
00:32:15
◼
►
- No, you might be right.
00:32:16
◼
►
I mean, maybe it does seem like they've kind of
00:32:19
◼
►
figured out that the Mac doesn't need to be iOS,
00:32:22
◼
►
that it can stand on its own.
00:32:24
◼
►
Maybe they've gained more confidence in it
00:32:26
◼
►
as being its own thing.
00:32:27
◼
►
- Yeah, I can't think of anything.
00:32:30
◼
►
I mean, there are features that are obviously
00:32:31
◼
►
in parallel with iOS,
00:32:34
◼
►
like the fancy new messages, animations,
00:32:37
◼
►
and stuff like that.
00:32:38
◼
►
But that's not really iOS-ifying the Mac,
00:32:40
◼
►
that's just getting the same stuff at the same time.
00:32:43
◼
►
- Yeah, but ultimately, in the long haul,
00:32:47
◼
►
I think having iOS be this juggernaut
00:32:50
◼
►
that is most of the market for Apple,
00:32:53
◼
►
it will hurt the Mac, it will cost the Mac,
00:32:55
◼
►
because you have situations,
00:32:57
◼
►
like Messages apps are a great example of this,
00:32:59
◼
►
where you can now have, until iOS 10,
00:33:04
◼
►
iMessage worked basically the same way
00:33:07
◼
►
on all three platforms, iPad, iPhone, Mac.
00:33:10
◼
►
It worked the same way,
00:33:11
◼
►
it had the same capabilities roughly.
00:33:13
◼
►
With the new version of Messages,
00:33:14
◼
►
now you're gonna have this large amount of functionality,
00:33:17
◼
►
especially if the app thing takes off,
00:33:19
◼
►
which other Messages services have had apps
00:33:22
◼
►
that have taken off, so they probably will.
00:33:24
◼
►
And Apple's pretty good at apps and making apps take off,
00:33:27
◼
►
as long as you weren't talking about the TV.
00:33:29
◼
►
So by having this big app environment
00:33:33
◼
►
that's going to take off on iOS,
00:33:35
◼
►
and having almost none of it available on the Mac,
00:33:38
◼
►
and having no easy technical bridge there
00:33:42
◼
►
because the Mac is not UIKit and is not iOS
00:33:46
◼
►
and is not running all these same frameworks
00:33:47
◼
►
and does not have the same kind of extension system
00:33:49
◼
►
and binary support and everything else,
00:33:51
◼
►
I suspect that the Mac is gonna have some trouble
00:33:54
◼
►
in the next few years if this stuff takes off
00:33:56
◼
►
because it's going to feel even more
00:33:59
◼
►
like a second-class citizen than it does now.
00:34:04
◼
►
I don't know, maybe. I mean, and that does tie in. This is a good, it's a good segue, I think,
00:34:08
◼
►
because it does tie into, I can't believe I almost forgot to bring this up, is I have one major
00:34:14
◼
►
regret from the live show. There was one question from my list. Like I said, there were a bunch that
00:34:19
◼
►
I didn't get to that were fine, that were just sort of like, "Hey, if we have time, I'll get to
00:34:22
◼
►
these, and if not," but there was one on that I had above the line of definitely want to ask
00:34:27
◼
►
that I didn't get to, and it was on the tip of my tongue at one point, but it didn't seem
00:34:34
◼
►
like the right moment and then after that it was like out of my mind and I'd forgotten it.
00:34:38
◼
►
And the question would have been for Phil and it would have been more or less along the lines of
00:34:43
◼
►
the Mac Pro hasn't been updated in over 900 days. I think as of the showtime it was 908 days.
00:34:50
◼
►
And the Mac Mini hasn't been updated in over 600 days. And why do you hate pro customers?
00:35:00
◼
►
And but it you know insert audience laughter there, but the true thing is I know for a fact talking to
00:35:08
◼
►
developer friends and just reading email from from DF the Daring Fireball audience which has
00:35:17
◼
►
in addition to developers I definitely have a lot of readers and listeners who are professionals in
00:35:22
◼
►
video and photography and other things where you they want a new Mac Pro and they the concern is
00:35:28
◼
►
is palpable that they worry that Apple's phenomenal success
00:35:33
◼
►
selling consumer products has left them disinterested
00:35:39
◼
►
in professional products.
00:35:41
◼
►
- Yeah, and I think that concern is warranted
00:35:43
◼
►
based on a lot of the stuff that's happened
00:35:44
◼
►
over the last few years.
00:35:45
◼
►
Like a lot of, yeah, I mean, first of all,
00:35:46
◼
►
losing things like Aperture and then seeing,
00:35:50
◼
►
even the Final Cut transition to Final Cut,
00:35:53
◼
►
now is that one X or 10?
00:35:54
◼
►
I honestly don't know.
00:35:56
◼
►
- I don't know.
00:35:57
◼
►
- I'm gonna say 10, I'm gonna guess 10.
00:36:00
◼
►
That, I know, a lot of pros are still sore about that.
00:36:03
◼
►
And from what I understand, that's mostly been kinda,
00:36:05
◼
►
people now are okay with it.
00:36:07
◼
►
But the software side, Apple has definitely backed away
00:36:10
◼
►
from the pro market to a large degree.
00:36:12
◼
►
The hardware side, I think it's been even more dramatic.
00:36:16
◼
►
And granted, a lot of pros get away just fine with iMacs.
00:36:19
◼
►
A lot of pros use the MacBook Pro,
00:36:21
◼
►
and they're mostly fine with that too,
00:36:22
◼
►
although it's pretty old.
00:36:24
◼
►
I think one of the problems we have now,
00:36:26
◼
►
and which ties into the Thunderbolt display thing also.
00:36:29
◼
►
But one of the problems we have now is that
00:36:33
◼
►
it seems like Apple has,
00:36:34
◼
►
whoever is responsible for deciding these,
00:36:38
◼
►
like, you know, these hardware generations
00:36:40
◼
►
and when to ship things and what makes the cut
00:36:42
◼
►
and what gets pushed to the next release,
00:36:45
◼
►
it seems like their sensibility for,
00:36:49
◼
►
do we ship now with the new stuff we've accumulated so far
00:36:52
◼
►
or do we wait and do a bigger update in X time
00:36:56
◼
►
with this stuff that's imminent, that we're soon,
00:36:59
◼
►
if we wait now, we'll be able to do a bigger update
00:37:02
◼
►
in six months that has X, Y, and Z.
00:37:04
◼
►
And it seems like their sensibility for that
00:37:07
◼
►
is just a little bit off in recent years.
00:37:10
◼
►
'Cause there are new components they could have used
00:37:13
◼
►
for the Mac Pro.
00:37:14
◼
►
And the Mac Pro uses Xeon CPUs, Intel's server line.
00:37:17
◼
►
Xeon's don't get released that often.
00:37:19
◼
►
They get released, I think, roughly every 18 months.
00:37:21
◼
►
There's a new generation of Xeon's that would be suitable
00:37:23
◼
►
to use in the Mac Pro.
00:37:25
◼
►
GPUs get released even more often than that.
00:37:28
◼
►
And for Apple to say that this is a,
00:37:31
◼
►
like they redesigned this entire machine
00:37:33
◼
►
to be entirely like GPU focused,
00:37:36
◼
►
that you can't even buy this with only one GPU anymore.
00:37:40
◼
►
You can only get it with two GPUs
00:37:42
◼
►
and they're gonna be server-ish
00:37:44
◼
►
or workstation-ish grade GPUs.
00:37:46
◼
►
There's some asterisks on that,
00:37:47
◼
►
but basically they're gonna be workstation GPUs.
00:37:49
◼
►
And this is the future of how we see pro computing
00:37:54
◼
►
is these heavy GPU operating machines.
00:37:57
◼
►
Well, the GPU world moves really quickly,
00:38:00
◼
►
way faster than the CPU world ever did,
00:38:02
◼
►
and it's still moving at that speed.
00:38:04
◼
►
You can't say your vision for pro computing
00:38:07
◼
►
is tons of GPU power, and then not update the GPUs
00:38:10
◼
►
that you're selling for three years.
00:38:13
◼
►
Like, it seems like they set on this course of,
00:38:16
◼
►
we're gonna, you know, this is our vision
00:38:17
◼
►
of the future of computing, and then they just
00:38:19
◼
►
didn't follow through at all, and to the point now where,
00:38:23
◼
►
A year in it was kind of like,
00:38:26
◼
►
eh, I wish these GPUs were faster.
00:38:28
◼
►
Two years in it was like, ah, is everything okay?
00:38:30
◼
►
Three years in, people are looking for the exits
00:38:32
◼
►
and looking to switch to Windows for their pro needs.
00:38:35
◼
►
And that's a problem.
00:38:36
◼
►
- It definitely is because,
00:38:37
◼
►
and I think that in an ideal world,
00:38:42
◼
►
well, maybe not ideal, 'cause ideal would be updated very,
00:38:44
◼
►
you know, we'd see lots of updates.
00:38:46
◼
►
I would say in a realistically ideal world,
00:38:49
◼
►
the Mac Pro could still be on a greater than one year cycle.
00:38:54
◼
►
I think, you know, it could, like 18 months though
00:38:57
◼
►
is about the upper limit of some kind of update.
00:39:00
◼
►
- And fortunately, that's about as often
00:39:02
◼
►
as Intel makes new Xeons.
00:39:03
◼
►
So all Apple has to do is stop skipping generations.
00:39:06
◼
►
'Cause right now, like in recent times,
00:39:09
◼
►
the Mac Pro for maybe the last, I don't know,
00:39:11
◼
►
six, seven years, they've released roughly
00:39:15
◼
►
every other Xeon generation.
00:39:17
◼
►
Like they just kind of skip every other one.
00:39:19
◼
►
And I don't, you know, I'm sure there,
00:39:21
◼
►
maybe there's good reasons why,
00:39:22
◼
►
but I'm not aware of what those are.
00:39:24
◼
►
And it appears from the outside
00:39:26
◼
►
like they just don't feel like it.
00:39:27
◼
►
And that's not a good reason if that's the reason.
00:39:29
◼
►
And again, like even if for some reason
00:39:32
◼
►
you have to keep the same CPUs,
00:39:35
◼
►
if this computer's really gonna be a GPU focused machine,
00:39:38
◼
►
release new GPUs for it.
00:39:39
◼
►
And by the way, this is a pro machine,
00:39:41
◼
►
make those GPUs upgradeable.
00:39:44
◼
►
Because that's what pros who need a lot of GPUs need.
00:39:47
◼
►
They need upgradable, powerful, recent GPUs.
00:39:50
◼
►
- Right. - And if that's not
00:39:52
◼
►
the focus of the machine, then make it cheaper
00:39:55
◼
►
by making a single GPU option and give more CPU options.
00:39:59
◼
►
Maybe redesign it so it can support two sockets again.
00:40:01
◼
►
Then you can have then double the amount
00:40:04
◼
►
of very high-speed cores, double the number of RAM slots.
00:40:07
◼
►
It's like they designed this machine to accomplish a goal
00:40:11
◼
►
that they are seemingly unable or unwilling
00:40:14
◼
►
to actually fulfill.
00:40:17
◼
►
It's just funny because it's a striking design
00:40:21
◼
►
and obviously it wasn't designed as a second thought.
00:40:26
◼
►
It was designed as let's redefine what it means
00:40:29
◼
►
to make a kick-ass professional high-performance desktop.
00:40:34
◼
►
But then it was, again, it's almost like they figured,
00:40:38
◼
►
well, we're done.
00:40:39
◼
►
We came up with a new Mac Pro and now we're done.
00:40:42
◼
►
Let's work on the iPhone 6s.
00:40:44
◼
►
- Yeah, and it's sad because it does seem like,
00:40:48
◼
►
from the outside, having no answers from Apple on this,
00:40:51
◼
►
it does seem like they just don't care.
00:40:53
◼
►
And the whole Mac lineup kinda looks like that right now,
00:40:57
◼
►
or at least the vast majority of it.
00:40:59
◼
►
And it's, I know they do care,
00:41:01
◼
►
like I know that's not actually the case,
00:41:04
◼
►
but it sure looks bad.
00:41:05
◼
►
- It does, and it definitely doesn't.
00:41:07
◼
►
And maybe it's not even entirely rational.
00:41:09
◼
►
I think people's professionals' concerns
00:41:11
◼
►
about Apple's long-term interest in this,
00:41:13
◼
►
It's just that if your personal livelihood is based on
00:41:17
◼
►
what you do at your computer, and that's probably true,
00:41:20
◼
►
it's certainly true for me and you,
00:41:21
◼
►
and it's true for a lot of people who listen,
00:41:23
◼
►
I think, to this show.
00:41:24
◼
►
It's reasonable to be concerned that the only company
00:41:28
◼
►
that makes the tools that you use
00:41:30
◼
►
may not be interested in serving you anymore.
00:41:32
◼
►
- Right, 'cause like, that's like, you know,
00:41:33
◼
►
one thing pro users hate with very good reason
00:41:36
◼
►
is being forced to change what they use to their job,
00:41:39
◼
►
either their workflow, their hardware,
00:41:40
◼
►
their software, whatever.
00:41:41
◼
►
They hate doing that because it sucks.
00:41:43
◼
►
Because when you're using something to get your work done,
00:41:46
◼
►
you don't want to have to spend a bunch of time and money
00:41:48
◼
►
to change systems, to relearn something else,
00:41:51
◼
►
to update everything and fix everything that breaks
00:41:53
◼
►
and deal with missing functionality for a while
00:41:55
◼
►
or have to buy new hardware, buy new software.
00:41:57
◼
►
It's very disruptive to pros to have their platform
00:42:02
◼
►
and their workflow messed with or be forced to change it.
00:42:05
◼
►
So when you're buying something for pro use,
00:42:07
◼
►
you want to be buying into a system
00:42:08
◼
►
that's going to be stable long term.
00:42:11
◼
►
You don't want to have to be learning an app now
00:42:13
◼
►
that is going to be discontinued next year.
00:42:15
◼
►
And oh, by the way, you have to also switch to Windows
00:42:18
◼
►
if you want to be competitive with your video encoding rig
00:42:20
◼
►
or whatever.
00:42:21
◼
►
Nobody wants that.
00:42:22
◼
►
And it kind of feels like this is
00:42:25
◼
►
going to be like a downward spiral, where Apple will keep
00:42:30
◼
►
really neglecting the pro hardware, which will then
00:42:33
◼
►
make people trust it less, and they won't sell as many.
00:42:36
◼
►
And then Apple can justify discontinuing those,
00:42:39
◼
►
or neglecting them further.
00:42:40
◼
►
and then they can say, well, we just don't sell
00:42:41
◼
►
very many of these, so why should we pay attention to these?
00:42:43
◼
►
- Yeah, it's, you know, I feel like it doesn't take
00:42:46
◼
►
a genius to analyze the situation,
00:42:48
◼
►
where the Mac is the pro platform,
00:42:51
◼
►
and iOS is the consumer platform,
00:42:54
◼
►
and especially with the iPhone, that's where the,
00:42:59
◼
►
you know, there's, what, I don't know,
00:43:02
◼
►
20-fold, 30-fold more of them sold per quarter,
00:43:06
◼
►
all around the world.
00:43:08
◼
►
It's their expansion into all these other countries
00:43:11
◼
►
like India and especially China.
00:43:14
◼
►
So of course, of course it's their most important priority.
00:43:19
◼
►
Of course they're never going to be late on an iPhone.
00:43:22
◼
►
Or if they are, it's a catastrophe,
00:43:24
◼
►
not as a result of, eh, we can wait.
00:43:27
◼
►
Like imagine if the iPhone didn't get updated for 900 days.
00:43:30
◼
►
You can't, I mean, literally,
00:43:32
◼
►
I know people make these jokes that,
00:43:34
◼
►
the stock's down 10%, Tim Cook should be fired.
00:43:36
◼
►
Or I shouldn't even say they make jokes.
00:43:38
◼
►
I know there's jackasses who actually say that.
00:43:40
◼
►
- They're serious. (laughs)
00:43:42
◼
►
- But with no hyperbole, if Apple got even close to that,
00:43:48
◼
►
if Apple went two years without an iPhone update,
00:43:52
◼
►
I think it would be reasonable for the board
00:43:54
◼
►
to maybe call Tim Cook in and say, "It's time, you're out."
00:43:57
◼
►
- Yeah, that would be cause for serious concern.
00:44:00
◼
►
- Right, it's like you can't even,
00:44:01
◼
►
really it's unfathomable.
00:44:04
◼
►
So 900 days for the Mac Pro,
00:44:05
◼
►
you know, it's not gonna get anybody fired,
00:44:08
◼
►
but it certainly looks bad.
00:44:09
◼
►
And I can even see it with the Mac Mini,
00:44:10
◼
►
where the Mac Mini's never been updated quickly.
00:44:12
◼
►
And maybe that's not really a pro machine,
00:44:14
◼
►
although I do know that there are some people
00:44:16
◼
►
who use it in pro sort of ways by like, you know,
00:44:19
◼
►
setting up like build machines and stuff like that.
00:44:22
◼
►
- Yeah, or like servers for offices,
00:44:24
◼
►
or even web servers in some cases.
00:44:25
◼
►
- Right, and you know, my friend Brian Stuckey,
00:44:28
◼
►
formerly of Mac Mini, colo, and now at Mac Stadium,
00:44:33
◼
►
is the new company that he combined with.
00:44:35
◼
►
- Yeah, they bought them, right?
00:44:36
◼
►
- Yeah, well they merged.
00:44:38
◼
►
And he even, I know he sent me like,
00:44:41
◼
►
hey please ask, if you get any,
00:44:43
◼
►
I don't know who you've got on the talk show,
00:44:45
◼
►
but if you get anybody good,
00:44:46
◼
►
can you please ask him about my poor Mac Mini?
00:44:48
◼
►
So there is a pro angle on the Mac Mini.
00:44:52
◼
►
- Yeah, but also it's worth pointing out too,
00:44:53
◼
►
like the current generation Mac Mini
00:44:56
◼
►
and the current generation Mac Pro
00:44:58
◼
►
both do a lot less than their previous hardware designs.
00:45:03
◼
►
So they've taken these products and not only have they made them, in the case of the Mac
00:45:08
◼
►
Pro it's actually more expensive now because now you have to pay for two GPUs, so now it's
00:45:11
◼
►
more expensive and it has less flexibility and less upgradability and fewer configuration
00:45:18
◼
►
options and less stuff you can put into it, less maximum capacity in a lot of areas.
00:45:23
◼
►
And the Mac Mini too, the Mac Mini used to have a quad core option and it was a really
00:45:27
◼
►
great way to get a decent amount of power in this little headless server and occasionally
00:45:33
◼
►
they go up for sale on the Apple refurb store
00:45:36
◼
►
and they just disappear in like a minute.
00:45:39
◼
►
Like there is still incredible demand
00:45:42
◼
►
for I believe it was a 2012 era CPU
00:45:46
◼
►
in these roughly 2012 era Mac minis
00:45:48
◼
►
because they happen to be quad core
00:45:50
◼
►
and that's a lot more processing power in total
00:45:53
◼
►
in parallel than the current model's dual core
00:45:57
◼
►
highest configuration.
00:45:59
◼
►
- Yeah and a lot of what people wanna do
00:46:01
◼
►
is these things that are parallelizable.
00:46:02
◼
►
Right, especially in a server.
00:46:04
◼
►
Or even if you're using it at home,
00:46:06
◼
►
like for a media thing for your TV,
00:46:08
◼
►
or if you're using it as a build server, all those things
00:46:10
◼
►
use all the cores.
00:46:12
◼
►
Almost everything that a pro would want to do with it
00:46:15
◼
►
is parallel.
00:46:16
◼
►
And even for home users, at least make the option.
00:46:19
◼
►
So Apple has these machines now where they're actually
00:46:22
◼
►
making them worse, and in some cases worse and more expensive
00:46:27
◼
►
over time, and updating them almost never.
00:46:31
◼
►
And then so of course sales are gonna go down,
00:46:34
◼
►
which again, it's gonna make that downward spiral start,
00:46:36
◼
►
where then they won't be able to justify updating them.
00:46:39
◼
►
And it's just gonna get worse.
00:46:40
◼
►
And I feel like, you know, and we're gonna get to this,
00:46:43
◼
►
I think if we ever get to the headphone jack,
00:46:44
◼
►
and you probably shouldn't let us get to that,
00:46:47
◼
►
'cause I have a lot to say about that.
00:46:49
◼
►
But-- - We're definitely
00:46:50
◼
►
gonna get to that.
00:46:51
◼
►
- It seems like Apple, somewhere in Apple
00:46:53
◼
►
there's like this obsession with getting rid of things,
00:46:56
◼
►
getting rid of options, getting rid of ports,
00:46:57
◼
►
getting rid of hardware, getting rid of something,
00:47:01
◼
►
just getting rid of things.
00:47:02
◼
►
And I can see how you get that way.
00:47:05
◼
►
I've gotten that way before in my software development,
00:47:07
◼
►
where it feels really good to get rid of stuff.
00:47:10
◼
►
And oftentimes there are benefits.
00:47:13
◼
►
But not always.
00:47:14
◼
►
It isn't always worth it.
00:47:15
◼
►
And sometimes the costs outweigh the benefits.
00:47:18
◼
►
And it seems like, similar to how I question
00:47:20
◼
►
the decision making that has led to,
00:47:23
◼
►
oh, we'll just wait until thing in the near future
00:47:26
◼
►
to update this computer, I also question the judgment
00:47:29
◼
►
recently of, oh, we can just take this out,
00:47:31
◼
►
or we can just make this worse,
00:47:33
◼
►
or we can just make this more expensive or whatever,
00:47:35
◼
►
and it'll be worth it in the end
00:47:36
◼
►
because we're moving forward.
00:47:37
◼
►
It's the future, the vision of the future
00:47:39
◼
►
is things can do less and cost more.
00:47:41
◼
►
Like, no, but that's actually what we're seeing
00:47:44
◼
►
in some of these products, and that does concern me.
00:47:48
◼
►
- I think so, too.
00:47:51
◼
►
It would've been interesting to ask,
00:47:52
◼
►
so I regret not asking that question.
00:47:54
◼
►
I don't know how we could've gone that long on stage
00:47:56
◼
►
with it, but probably not.
00:47:57
◼
►
I would've been interested in hearing--
00:47:58
◼
►
that you didn't. There were, prior to WWDC, up until a couple of weeks, there were a lot of
00:48:04
◼
►
expectations that there might be hardware announcements and if there would, you know,
00:48:07
◼
►
Mac. People were thinking maybe new Mac books, maybe a new Mac Pro. I don't really think that
00:48:12
◼
►
new Mac Pro ever really heated up too much, but there were whispers that the supply constraint
00:48:21
◼
►
train of Thunderbolt displays was going down.
00:48:24
◼
►
And it's just one of these like catch-22 chicken
00:48:28
◼
►
and the egg problems, right?
00:48:30
◼
►
Like which comes first, like, well, if they're gonna,
00:48:33
◼
►
you know, they need a, desperately need
00:48:36
◼
►
a retina standalone display.
00:48:38
◼
►
Like at this point, once you're used to retina
00:48:40
◼
►
on all of your devices, from the watch to your phone
00:48:43
◼
►
to your iPad, and the iMac has this beautiful,
00:48:47
◼
►
beautiful display, it just sticks out like a sore thumb
00:48:50
◼
►
that their best display for a Mac Pro is not Retina.
00:48:53
◼
►
And it's like, for me at this point,
00:48:55
◼
►
it's like, I almost can't believe how,
00:48:57
◼
►
I can't believe I lived my whole life
00:48:58
◼
►
before Retina displays.
00:48:59
◼
►
They're so fuzzy.
00:49:02
◼
►
And so it sticks out, but if they make it,
00:49:07
◼
►
what drives it, you know,
00:49:08
◼
►
does, can they, you know,
00:49:09
◼
►
if they came out with a 5K Retina display,
00:49:11
◼
►
I think that the existing Mac Pro
00:49:13
◼
►
wouldn't be able to drive it.
00:49:14
◼
►
- Well, there's like, again,
00:49:15
◼
►
there's like a whole bunch of asterisks on that.
00:49:16
◼
►
it could with dual cables maybe and with certain hacks.
00:49:21
◼
►
Basically, the way that displays are driven
00:49:25
◼
►
over Thunderbolt ports is way more complicated.
00:49:29
◼
►
The more, as time goes on, I learn even more about it
00:49:32
◼
►
and I learn how little I know about it.
00:49:34
◼
►
And basically there's an asterisk on everything
00:49:36
◼
►
and it's not as simple as well,
00:49:39
◼
►
Thunderbolt doesn't have enough bandwidth for this
00:49:40
◼
►
because it isn't technically a Thunderbolt,
00:49:42
◼
►
it's a DisplayPort that runs that.
00:49:43
◼
►
And it's like, there's all these little asterisks
00:49:45
◼
►
and like, well, you can make a bridge chip that did this,
00:49:47
◼
►
you can use this hack over the cable to do this,
00:49:49
◼
►
and it's basically a mess right now,
00:49:52
◼
►
and it will be much cleaner and simpler with Thunderbolt 3.
00:49:56
◼
►
- I remember when the original 5K iMac came out,
00:49:59
◼
►
the first one, which is what I'm using right now.
00:50:02
◼
►
- Me too. - Do you have the new one,
00:50:03
◼
►
or do you have the original one?
00:50:04
◼
►
- I have the same one you do.
00:50:05
◼
►
- Yeah, so I have the exact same one that you do.
00:50:07
◼
►
And I was talking after that was announced,
00:50:11
◼
►
and I got to talk and I had like a product briefing,
00:50:13
◼
►
and they explained to me,
00:50:15
◼
►
like some of the product marketing people explained
00:50:17
◼
►
exactly how they're driving it inside,
00:50:19
◼
►
and it's just amazing.
00:50:20
◼
►
It's such a hack.
00:50:21
◼
►
I mean, not like a bad hack, like a dirty hack,
00:50:23
◼
►
but it's just crazy.
00:50:25
◼
►
But it totally makes sense as to,
00:50:27
◼
►
it's like the embodiment of why Apple likes to make
00:50:30
◼
►
an all-in-one product.
00:50:32
◼
►
Because all of that ugliness,
00:50:33
◼
►
they can just encapsulate it inside the thing,
00:50:36
◼
►
and we'll just take care of it,
00:50:37
◼
►
and we'll write our own,
00:50:39
◼
►
I mean, they mentioned this on the event,
00:50:40
◼
►
what do they call it, the custom--
00:50:42
◼
►
- The T-Con, the timing controller.
00:50:44
◼
►
- Yes, the timing controller,
00:50:45
◼
►
because it's like they have to have these,
00:50:47
◼
►
the reason they have a custom timing controller,
00:50:49
◼
►
I think I have it in lay terms,
00:50:51
◼
►
but because they need like two cables to do it,
00:50:55
◼
►
they need this timing controller
00:50:56
◼
►
so that the two signals coming in
00:50:59
◼
►
look like you're just getting one picture.
00:51:01
◼
►
- Yeah, it's basically it, yeah.
00:51:02
◼
►
- It's two pictures that are being combined in once
00:51:05
◼
►
out of Apple's very high frame rate
00:51:07
◼
►
so that you don't notice anything.
00:51:09
◼
►
They needed to write a custom timing controller.
00:51:12
◼
►
It just perfectly embodies why Apple likes to make devices
00:51:15
◼
►
like the iMac rather than the Mac Pro
00:51:17
◼
►
with a standalone display.
00:51:19
◼
►
So I think what's going on, I think what's going on
00:51:22
◼
►
is that they're going to release a 5K cinema display
00:51:26
◼
►
and they're gonna release new Mac Pros
00:51:28
◼
►
and they're gonna release new MacBook Pros.
00:51:30
◼
►
But it's like they can't release any of them
00:51:34
◼
►
until they're all ready, I think.
00:51:36
◼
►
- Honestly, that's probably just like a choice
00:51:39
◼
►
that they want to release them all together.
00:51:41
◼
►
I mean, they probably could stagger them a little bit
00:51:43
◼
►
if they really felt like it,
00:51:45
◼
►
but the fact is it doesn't really matter.
00:51:46
◼
►
We don't really know.
00:51:48
◼
►
- Yeah, I guess they obviously could, for example,
00:51:49
◼
►
they could release new Mac Pros
00:51:50
◼
►
that are capable of driving this thing
00:51:52
◼
►
and just say, "Just use your old crappy Dell monitor,"
00:51:55
◼
►
or whatever.
00:51:56
◼
►
So that's, you know, probably sometime
00:51:59
◼
►
in the next six months,
00:52:00
◼
►
we're probably getting all of these things.
00:52:01
◼
►
If I would hazard a guess, I'm guessing,
00:52:04
◼
►
well, the Mac Pro is a bit of a problem
00:52:05
◼
►
because the, well, of course,
00:52:08
◼
►
it's always a bit of a problem,
00:52:08
◼
►
but the type of Xeon it would use,
00:52:12
◼
►
if it's being released this fall,
00:52:13
◼
►
would most likely be the Broadwell Xeon.
00:52:16
◼
►
The Skylake Xeon is coming out sometime next year,
00:52:19
◼
►
and it's a really big improvement for the Xeon platform.
00:52:22
◼
►
There's a lot of other stuff that goes along with that.
00:52:25
◼
►
So I'm kind of afraid that Apple's gonna wait for that.
00:52:28
◼
►
- And if they do, or if they don't wait,
00:52:31
◼
►
will Syracuse await? (laughs)
00:52:33
◼
►
- Well, he's always gonna wait. (laughs)
00:52:35
◼
►
- Syracuse's back is to the wall.
00:52:37
◼
►
People who don't listen to ATP,
00:52:38
◼
►
And I bet the overlap here is like 90%.
00:52:40
◼
►
- Yeah, probably.
00:52:41
◼
►
- But the macOS Sierra doesn't officially run on John's.
00:52:46
◼
►
He's using like a 1998 Bondi Blue Power Mac.
00:52:52
◼
►
Doesn't run on it.
00:52:57
◼
►
It's finally been dropped.
00:52:59
◼
►
So now he's in the conundrum
00:53:01
◼
►
where he's been waiting for all of these years,
00:53:03
◼
►
20, 22 years or something like that to upgrade his Mac Pro.
00:53:06
◼
►
and now he either has to,
00:53:10
◼
►
or he won't be able to run macOS Sierra on it.
00:53:12
◼
►
- Or there's one of those hack bootloader programs
00:53:15
◼
►
that will modify Sierra to actually work,
00:53:17
◼
►
'cause it actually does work,
00:53:19
◼
►
they just don't feel like supporting it, basically.
00:53:21
◼
►
So you actually could install it
00:53:23
◼
►
through this unofficially supported hack.
00:53:26
◼
►
So what do you think is more offensive to Syracuse?
00:53:29
◼
►
- No, I think that-- - Running the hack?
00:53:31
◼
►
Or not running it, or buying a new Mac Pro?
00:53:33
◼
►
- That he knows is gonna be obsolete, it's in.
00:53:35
◼
►
- Right, like I, this is a really tough position
00:53:38
◼
►
to put him in.
00:53:39
◼
►
- Boy, it's almost like a perfect,
00:53:41
◼
►
a perfect-- - And it has
00:53:43
◼
►
a new file system. (laughs)
00:53:44
◼
►
- Yeah. (laughs)
00:53:46
◼
►
(bell dings)
00:53:49
◼
►
And it's the only way that he could use it.
00:53:51
◼
►
- Yeah, exactly. - No, no, no,
00:53:52
◼
►
they are gonna come out with a file system
00:53:54
◼
►
for El Capitan, right?
00:53:58
◼
►
- No. (laughs)
00:53:59
◼
►
Why would they do? (laughs)
00:54:01
◼
►
- I thought that they were going to,
00:54:03
◼
►
that you could like plug a disk into LCAP, but maybe by the time the file system actually
00:54:07
◼
►
ships that Sierra will be the old release. I don't know.
00:54:11
◼
►
I don't know. It's very funny though.
00:54:14
◼
►
I mean this really was like a masterful trolling of Syracuse this year.
00:54:18
◼
►
It really was. It really is. But it's his own fault for not buying. He should have bought
00:54:22
◼
►
the Mac Pro as we know it as soon as it came out.
00:54:24
◼
►
Yeah, and I even offered to sell him, when I sold my 2010 era one, which does run this,
00:54:29
◼
►
which is decently better than his 2008,
00:54:32
◼
►
I offered to sell to him for a really good price,
00:54:34
◼
►
like well below market, just 'cause I wanted to get rid of it,
00:54:36
◼
►
I don't wanna deal with selling it.
00:54:37
◼
►
And he was like, "No, I'll just wait.
00:54:40
◼
►
"I'm happy with my 2008.
00:54:42
◼
►
- The best time to buy a computer is when it's brand new.
00:54:46
◼
►
And maybe if you're really smart,
00:54:48
◼
►
buy it just a little after it comes out
00:54:51
◼
►
so you can read initial reviews
00:54:52
◼
►
and just make sure there's not something really stinky about.
00:54:55
◼
►
- Right, buy it like a month or two in.
00:54:57
◼
►
Yeah, like six weeks in.
00:54:59
◼
►
Because like Apple doesn't, they don't lower their prices over time as the computers get older.
00:55:02
◼
►
Like you're paying the same price and getting the same computer on day number 900 of the Mac Pro as you were paying on day zero.
00:55:09
◼
►
Like who's, I just can't even imagine who's buying a Mac Pro right now.
00:55:14
◼
►
I mean if you have to, yeah, I just imagine that almost everyone they're selling right now is through gritted teeth.
00:55:19
◼
►
Like somebody who's old one broke or they've made a new hire, you know, we've got a new guy on the staff,
00:55:26
◼
►
"we gotta get him a Mac Pro," or something like that.
00:55:31
◼
►
- Right, I mean, it's like if you drop your iPhone
00:55:33
◼
►
on a toilet in like August.
00:55:35
◼
►
- Yes, exactly. - You're like, "Damn it."
00:55:37
◼
►
But like, you know, that makes people mad.
00:55:39
◼
►
Like, this is yet another reason why Apple needs
00:55:42
◼
►
to really look at this and see if they could do this better
00:55:44
◼
►
and release things more often, because like,
00:55:46
◼
►
right now, if you buy any Mac Pro, and even, you know,
00:55:50
◼
►
yeah, not a lot of people buy the Mac Pro,
00:55:52
◼
►
but you know what a lot of people buy?
00:55:53
◼
►
The MacBook Pro.
00:55:55
◼
►
and that is also really outdated.
00:55:57
◼
►
And to have people knowing that these things
00:56:01
◼
►
are old and outdated, and I think a lot of people,
00:56:03
◼
►
I mean not every buyer knows that,
00:56:05
◼
►
but I think a lot of buyers do,
00:56:07
◼
►
and they're gonna go a whole other summer now
00:56:08
◼
►
of all these back to school sales,
00:56:10
◼
►
or kids going to college,
00:56:12
◼
►
buying a whole bunch of MacBook Pros again,
00:56:14
◼
►
like that everyone kinda knows
00:56:15
◼
►
are basically like three year old hardware.
00:56:18
◼
►
Man, this is making people unhappy
00:56:21
◼
►
about buying Apple products.
00:56:24
◼
►
That is not where you want them to be.
00:56:26
◼
►
- Yeah, because I think Apple's mojo is the fact
00:56:30
◼
►
that people love buying Apple products.
00:56:35
◼
►
- It's like everybody, it's like your Christmas,
00:56:37
◼
►
people who don't even do unboxing videos
00:56:41
◼
►
save the unboxing video.
00:56:43
◼
►
- Yeah, and when I got my cylinder Mac Pro
00:56:47
◼
►
like a couple months after it was released,
00:56:49
◼
►
I don't know, like February or something of that year,
00:56:50
◼
►
when I got that, I was really happy with it.
00:56:52
◼
►
It was amazing.
00:56:53
◼
►
But if I went to buy one today,
00:56:56
◼
►
now that I've already replaced it with an iMac
00:56:59
◼
►
almost two years ago,
00:57:00
◼
►
like it's still the same computer today that I bought,
00:57:06
◼
►
that I ordered in December 2013.
00:57:09
◼
►
- It's really kind of strange, it really is.
00:57:13
◼
►
And you know, it's like I think I was saying before,
00:57:15
◼
►
it's like you can even go down the line
00:57:16
◼
►
and just show that the,
00:57:18
◼
►
even within the MacBook family,
00:57:21
◼
►
the MacBook One has gotten a year over year update,
00:57:25
◼
►
less overdue, like the more consumer friendly device
00:57:30
◼
►
is updated more regularly than the professional one.
00:57:33
◼
►
Even within the MacBook lineup,
00:57:35
◼
►
the Pro end seems to get short shrift.
00:57:38
◼
►
- Yeah, and that's what I'm saying.
00:57:40
◼
►
Like whatever Apple decides, you know what,
00:57:43
◼
►
we need to hold back and wait for X, that needs tweaking.
00:57:46
◼
►
And if for a long time it was just like,
00:57:48
◼
►
oh, we'll just ship whenever Intel gives new laptop CPUs.
00:57:51
◼
►
But in recent years Intel has had a lot of delays
00:57:54
◼
►
and has gotten less reliable.
00:57:55
◼
►
So maybe decouple that or definitely don't skip any
00:58:00
◼
►
or figure out ways to give more frequent updates.
00:58:04
◼
►
Like last year when they brought the Force Touch trackpad
00:58:08
◼
►
to the 15 inch MacBook Pro,
00:58:10
◼
►
so it has technically been updated
00:58:13
◼
►
but notice that almost nothing else about it changed.
00:58:16
◼
►
From what I heard the reason why is that
00:58:18
◼
►
the GPU it was using was so old that Nvidia stopped making it,
00:58:22
◼
►
or ATI, whichever one it was.
00:58:24
◼
►
Like, they just stopped making the part.
00:58:26
◼
►
And Apple was still selling these brand new,
00:58:28
◼
►
in the 15-inch MacBook Pro, their highest end laptop.
00:58:32
◼
►
And if that's true, I mean, that's really embarrassing.
00:58:35
◼
►
Hey, we just crossed the one-hour marker
00:58:37
◼
►
a little bit ago.
00:58:37
◼
►
So I think we're on pace for a two-hour show.
00:58:40
◼
►
You haven't seen the length of my notes for the headphone
00:58:43
◼
►
I made an outline.
00:58:44
◼
►
You're in trouble.
00:58:45
◼
►
Let me take another break here and thank
00:58:47
◼
►
our very good friends, longtime sponsor of the show, Audible.
00:58:50
◼
►
Audible.com has an unmatched selection of audio books,
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original audio shows, news, comedy, and more.
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Get a free 30-day trial at audible.com/talkshow.
00:59:04
◼
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They've been advertising on podcasts forever,
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◼
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and I always say it's duh because anybody who's listening
00:59:10
◼
►
to me tell you right now about Audible
00:59:11
◼
►
is somebody who enjoys spoken word content,
00:59:13
◼
►
and that's what Audible has.
00:59:15
◼
►
They've got gobs and gobs untold count.
00:59:18
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►
You don't have enough hours left in your life probably
00:59:20
◼
►
to listen to everything that Audible has.
00:59:22
◼
►
I used to think, here's one thing about Audible
00:59:25
◼
►
that is eye-opening to me,
00:59:27
◼
►
is that I always thought of them as the audiobooks company,
00:59:31
◼
►
and they do have thousands and thousands of audiobooks.
00:59:35
◼
►
But the other types of content they have,
00:59:38
◼
►
like I just said, the original audio shows,
00:59:41
◼
►
news, the comedy, and stuff like that,
00:59:44
◼
►
tons of stuff like that too. So even if you're not into audio books like hearing a novel read out
00:59:51
◼
►
loud or something like that, there is tons of stuff there if you like spoken word content. And
00:59:55
◼
►
if you don't like spoken word content, I don't understand how you are hearing me talk to you
01:00:00
◼
►
right now. So go there, check them out. You can get a 30-day free trial and you just sign up at
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at audible.com/talkshow. No "the," just /talkshow. Go there. Thanks to
01:00:13
◼
►
Audible for sponsoring our show. Go there and fill up your phone with
01:00:17
◼
►
audio content. All right, let's talk about the headphone jack.
01:00:23
◼
►
You sure? You wanted a short show. Let's see. I'm fascinated by this. I wanted to write
01:00:29
◼
►
about this a few months ago, and it was one of those things where I'd collected
01:00:33
◼
►
a lot of notes and had some thoughts on it, and just now I think it's one of
01:00:36
◼
►
those ones where having a podcast sort of hurts my column at Daring Fireball
01:00:41
◼
►
because it was like I talked about it with a couple people on this show over a
01:00:44
◼
►
week or two and then it's like I felt like I got it out of my system so I
01:00:47
◼
►
never wrote about it. See this is this is where you're in trouble now because you
01:00:51
◼
►
know a few months ago when the rumor first started started going around we
01:00:53
◼
►
all talked about it like I talked about on ATP. I remember. And so I probably
01:00:57
◼
►
won't get a chance to talk about it on ATP this week so therefore I'm gonna dump
01:01:01
◼
►
this all on you. Okay. Because it's interesting like you know so this kind
01:01:06
◼
►
flamed up again this week because Neelai Patel at The Verge wrote the big thing
01:01:09
◼
►
about it. Well, it goes back one step though. It started with Daisuke Wakabayashi,
01:01:14
◼
►
published his story in the Wall Street Journal Monday, more or less confirming
01:01:18
◼
►
all the stuff that we've heard. That the next iPhone is going to largely look
01:01:24
◼
►
like the iPhone 6 and 6s, and yeah removal of the headphone port would be
01:01:32
◼
►
one of the main features. I will happily rescind that and change it to changes.
01:01:41
◼
►
I forget. But just a whole bunch of things that we've heard rumored for a while coming out of
01:01:48
◼
►
the supply chain. And Wakabayashi had sources familiar with the matter who couldn't speak for
01:01:54
◼
►
whatever reason confirm them. Which is worthwhile. There's nothing in it that I hadn't seen before.
01:02:01
◼
►
But it's always worthwhile when somebody with the stature
01:02:05
◼
►
and the track record of the Wall Street Journal confirms it.
01:02:09
◼
►
But then after that, that's when Neelai published,
01:02:12
◼
►
what was the headline?
01:02:15
◼
►
- I forget, it was something like,
01:02:17
◼
►
Six Reasons Why You Don't Want the Removal of Headphone Jack
01:02:19
◼
►
and he even said in his Twitter link to it--
01:02:22
◼
►
- Taking the headphone jack off iPhones
01:02:24
◼
►
is user hostile and stupid.
01:02:26
◼
►
- And he even kind of like disclaimed
01:02:30
◼
►
in his Twitter link to it, like,
01:02:31
◼
►
"I was really angry when I wrote this,
01:02:33
◼
►
"so it probably sucks."
01:02:33
◼
►
Like, it was something like that.
01:02:35
◼
►
So, you know, I give him the benefit of the doubt on that.
01:02:36
◼
►
And a lot of his points I thought were valid and good.
01:02:41
◼
►
Not all, I didn't agree with all of it,
01:02:43
◼
►
but I think I agree with most of it.
01:02:45
◼
►
And then you wrote this rebuttal piece,
01:02:48
◼
►
mostly rebutting him, I think,
01:02:50
◼
►
that was basically like, you know,
01:02:53
◼
►
it's progress, it's going to happen, why not now?
01:02:55
◼
►
Is that a fair summary?
01:02:56
◼
►
- Yes, it's going to happen eventually.
01:03:00
◼
►
Maybe, why not now?
01:03:01
◼
►
If there's one thing that seems like people misread in it,
01:03:04
◼
►
I think Steve Strese had a piece on Medium,
01:03:07
◼
►
and his assumption is that I was arguing
01:03:10
◼
►
that this is a good change for iPhone users.
01:03:14
◼
►
And I never said that.
01:03:14
◼
►
If you read my thing, I never said that,
01:03:16
◼
►
because I don't know.
01:03:17
◼
►
I have no idea what they're replacing it with.
01:03:19
◼
►
I don't know, and Wakabayashi didn't either.
01:03:22
◼
►
I think people assume that the default earbuds
01:03:26
◼
►
will be lightning.
01:03:28
◼
►
if they're getting rid of the audio port, what do we call it?
01:03:31
◼
►
What is it called?
01:03:31
◼
►
Standard headphone jack?
01:03:32
◼
►
It doesn't even have a name.
01:03:33
◼
►
- It has a few names.
01:03:34
◼
►
Technically, it's one of the family of phone plugs,
01:03:37
◼
►
and it is specifically a 3.5 millimeter TRRS jack.
01:03:42
◼
►
- Well, the TRRS jack.
01:03:45
◼
►
- You're welcome.
01:03:46
◼
►
- I think most people assume that the standard earpods
01:03:48
◼
►
are gonna be lightning,
01:03:49
◼
►
because then they don't have to have batteries,
01:03:51
◼
►
and there's no latency.
01:03:54
◼
►
There's all sorts of good reasons why you'd still want
01:03:56
◼
►
a wired set of earphones, earpods,
01:04:00
◼
►
whatever you wanna call 'em.
01:04:02
◼
►
Could be that the defaults will be Bluetooth
01:04:04
◼
►
or some other new proprietary wireless thing.
01:04:07
◼
►
- Bluetooth seems like an upsell.
01:04:09
◼
►
- That does to me too.
01:04:10
◼
►
- Also, if they were gonna have a proprietary wireless thing,
01:04:13
◼
►
that would've been using the Apple Watch,
01:04:15
◼
►
'cause Bluetooth sucks for the Apple Watch.
01:04:17
◼
►
So they definitely would've used it there if they had one.
01:04:19
◼
►
- Well, maybe it wasn't ready yet.
01:04:22
◼
►
It's possible. - Maybe it's up there
01:04:23
◼
►
with the Skylake Xeons.
01:04:24
◼
►
- Right, I don't know, but.
01:04:26
◼
►
Who knows? But I just don't know. I don't know what the story is. And so my argument is more,
01:04:30
◼
►
I think that the removal of this port is inevitable. Will it be there in 50 years? I just,
01:04:38
◼
►
no way. So what is the time frame? Well, it was there 50 years ago. That is true. And I think it's,
01:04:44
◼
►
you know, it has had a remarkable, you know, run. But I feel like the time is up. So just for the
01:04:51
◼
►
sake of argument here, I looked this up before the show. There's a Wikipedia article on the phone
01:04:54
◼
►
plug. The large, like the, have you ever seen like a stereo from like the 70s or
01:05:00
◼
►
if you're a high-end headphone nerd and you've seen like the quarter inch
01:05:03
◼
►
version of the plug, it's basically, it looks just like the regular one but it's
01:05:05
◼
►
about twice as big in both dimensions. Yes. That version was invented in 1878 for
01:05:12
◼
►
use in phone exchanges and the stereo version that we mostly know
01:05:18
◼
►
today that has the two rings halfway through so it has like
01:05:22
◼
►
three total areas of plug and it's smaller,
01:05:25
◼
►
the 3.5 millimeter one.
01:05:26
◼
►
That one appeared roughly in 1964
01:05:30
◼
►
and became popular with the original Sony Walkman in 1979.
01:05:34
◼
►
- So we're talking about at least a good 40 years.
01:05:38
◼
►
- Yeah, yeah.
01:05:39
◼
►
So this thing is old and you know,
01:05:43
◼
►
the reason it has lasted so long is because it is universal,
01:05:49
◼
►
it is very simple electrically,
01:05:51
◼
►
It's very, very simple.
01:05:52
◼
►
There's no smarts to it.
01:05:54
◼
►
It's just like, it's just pure analog signal
01:05:55
◼
►
going over these, you know, two or three wires
01:05:58
◼
►
inside the cable, or in the case of the headphone remote,
01:06:00
◼
►
four wires inside the cable.
01:06:02
◼
►
Very, very simple, electrically.
01:06:04
◼
►
They're very reliable, for the most part.
01:06:07
◼
►
Like, the port can get gunked up with dust,
01:06:09
◼
►
but so can the lightning port, so can any port.
01:06:12
◼
►
So, you know, compared to other ports,
01:06:14
◼
►
it's not particularly bad for reliability.
01:06:16
◼
►
It's very, very durable, and it's very, very cheap.
01:06:20
◼
►
So you have this combination of like standard,
01:06:22
◼
►
universal, cheap, durable, simple,
01:06:24
◼
►
like it's really great for all these things.
01:06:27
◼
►
And by the way, if you think it's too thick,
01:06:29
◼
►
there is also a thinner version.
01:06:31
◼
►
So this version is 3.5 millimeter,
01:06:33
◼
►
there's a 2.5 millimeter version that used to be
01:06:36
◼
►
on like some like answering machines
01:06:38
◼
►
and then like more recently it's often used
01:06:40
◼
►
like on the ear end of removable headphone cables
01:06:44
◼
►
where like you'll have like the end that plugs
01:06:46
◼
►
into the phone and the other end plugs into like
01:06:47
◼
►
your ear cup, sometimes that end will be the skinnier one,
01:06:50
◼
►
and you might have a couple of those.
01:06:51
◼
►
- I've seen that.
01:06:52
◼
►
I used to own something that had that.
01:06:54
◼
►
I don't know what the hell it was though.
01:06:56
◼
►
- Yeah, it doesn't matter.
01:06:57
◼
►
- Well, the other thing about making the devices thinner
01:06:59
◼
►
with the standard headphone jack,
01:07:01
◼
►
I keep pointing this out over and over again,
01:07:02
◼
►
but the iPod touch still has it,
01:07:04
◼
►
and the iPod touch is significantly thinner
01:07:06
◼
►
than the current iPhones.
01:07:08
◼
►
- And the Nano too, I believe it's also thinner,
01:07:10
◼
►
and it also has it.
01:07:10
◼
►
So like, the reason to remove it now
01:07:14
◼
►
isn't a thickness barrier,
01:07:16
◼
►
because there are,
01:07:18
◼
►
we see Apple makes thinner devices with this.
01:07:20
◼
►
So that's not the reason.
01:07:22
◼
►
I would also say, so like in my category of reasons
01:07:25
◼
►
it doesn't have to go yet, assuming it has to go
01:07:28
◼
►
at some time, one of the reasons this might not be the time
01:07:31
◼
►
is like what are we gaining by removing it,
01:07:33
◼
►
'cause there's cost removing it.
01:07:34
◼
►
So I think one thing we're gaining would be
01:07:37
◼
►
a lot of people assume space for the battery, right?
01:07:40
◼
►
Except that if you look at the tear downs
01:07:42
◼
►
of where this port is on the phone,
01:07:45
◼
►
down there at the bottom next to the lightning assembly
01:07:47
◼
►
and everything and then on the other side you have the speaker next to it, you have
01:07:49
◼
►
the microphone and everything. Down there, like that's not where you need space for
01:07:53
◼
►
the battery. I mean, they could go to some kind of crazy system like the MacBook One
01:07:57
◼
►
where they have like different shapes of battery things all over the place, but this is a phone
01:08:02
◼
►
and they have to replace a lot of phone batteries under warranty and people replace them aftermarket
01:08:06
◼
►
and you know when they're old and in different countries and everything. You need the battery
01:08:10
◼
►
to be easily serviceable, replaceable and cheap. And so keeping it as one regular rectangle
01:08:16
◼
►
of a battery is way more practical for them.
01:08:19
◼
►
And also, the total amount of space you would save,
01:08:23
◼
►
or a space you would gain by invading that little
01:08:27
◼
►
rectangle of area at the bottom of the phone,
01:08:29
◼
►
where the headphone jack is,
01:08:30
◼
►
you can just make the battery some minuscule amount thicker
01:08:33
◼
►
and keep it in the same footprint,
01:08:35
◼
►
and it would have that same volume increase
01:08:37
◼
►
and be way cheaper and easier to deal with.
01:08:38
◼
►
So, battery life is probably not the reason either,
01:08:44
◼
►
because of just like where it is in the phone
01:08:46
◼
►
and what else is down there.
01:08:47
◼
►
Like I don't really see a massive internal redesign
01:08:51
◼
►
of the phone layout inside where that space
01:08:54
◼
►
would suddenly become space you could expand
01:08:56
◼
►
the battery into.
01:08:57
◼
►
It might, but I think it's unlikely.
01:08:59
◼
►
- Well, I think it goes far enough in that
01:09:01
◼
►
the space is significant, but I don't think it's huge.
01:09:03
◼
►
I think the biggest space-saving argument
01:09:06
◼
►
or three-dimensional, you know, this thing is just too big
01:09:09
◼
►
or too thick or too long argument,
01:09:11
◼
►
probably have to do with next year's new iPhone, which I believe, and as you know,
01:09:16
◼
►
I mentioned it on the show and I know there's rumors about it too, that if it
01:09:20
◼
►
goes to more of an edge-to-edge display, which would be like the top and bottom
01:09:24
◼
►
of the display go to the edge as close as the sides do now, then I think it's a
01:09:29
◼
►
problem because I don't, I think it's a lot harder to have the, the jack
01:09:33
◼
►
would therefore have to be underneath the display. Yeah, so remove it then. Well,
01:09:38
◼
►
Well, that's what I'm saying.
01:09:39
◼
►
It is a good point.
01:09:41
◼
►
That doesn't count for why now, unless they just possibly
01:09:46
◼
►
just want to eat the shit sandwich now of putting up
01:09:50
◼
►
with people's complaints about this a year in advance
01:09:53
◼
►
of unveiling that phone so that people don't complain about it
01:09:56
◼
►
when the amazing new industrial design is unveiled.
01:09:59
◼
►
And that might be the reason, but that's a crappy reason.
01:10:02
◼
►
I don't think that's the reason, though.
01:10:03
◼
►
I do think that there is a reason.
01:10:05
◼
►
All I'm saying-- and this is the secondary thrust
01:10:07
◼
►
my argument, which is, "Well, we don't know. How about we just wait and find out what the story is before we complain?"
01:10:14
◼
►
Like, it's to me that it's too soon to say this is user hostile and stupid.
01:10:20
◼
►
Right, although it's also too late to change it.
01:10:22
◼
►
Right. But we don't have proof that it's not user hostile and stupid. It might be.
01:10:25
◼
►
I guess that, if there's anything that I wish I would have emphasized more, it's like, "Okay, maybe it is."
01:10:30
◼
►
But we certainly don't know that yet, and it may well not be.
01:10:33
◼
►
I'm wondering and you know you definitely know more about headphones than I do is I'm wondering about
01:10:38
◼
►
If it switches to lightning something digital
01:10:43
◼
►
How much better could the input be not just the output right right now you think of a headphones
01:10:49
◼
►
Output you put them in and you listen right but like the whole input stuff like voice
01:10:55
◼
►
You know through the microphone and the little clicks like when you you know what there's like play/pause and fast forward and stuff like that
01:11:01
◼
►
I mean, you know, you write a podcast player.
01:11:04
◼
►
That stuff is all, that's just like a serious hack.
01:11:07
◼
►
- It is a hack, but it also works.
01:11:10
◼
►
- Yeah, but maybe-- - And it is,
01:11:11
◼
►
the main thing that you can say from that point of view
01:11:13
◼
►
is that it's limiting.
01:11:14
◼
►
Like, for example, you can only have mono input right now,
01:11:17
◼
►
'cause there's only one pin for the microphone return.
01:11:20
◼
►
So like, you can only have one channel.
01:11:22
◼
►
So if you wanted to have like a nicer microphone setup,
01:11:25
◼
►
maybe if you wanted to podcast or record something
01:11:27
◼
►
from your device, you can, if you're using that port,
01:11:30
◼
►
you can only record in mono.
01:11:32
◼
►
And lightning adapter, you know,
01:11:33
◼
►
lightning devices can add much more than that.
01:11:36
◼
►
They can have all sorts of inputs and outputs,
01:11:38
◼
►
and especially if they have custom apps to deal with them,
01:11:41
◼
►
then they can do a lot, and most of them do.
01:11:43
◼
►
But that also isn't a good argument,
01:11:44
◼
►
because like, well, we already have that now.
01:11:46
◼
►
Like, you don't have to remove the headphone port
01:11:49
◼
►
to have lightning audio.
01:11:50
◼
►
We have lightning audio already,
01:11:52
◼
►
and we also have the headphone port.
01:11:53
◼
►
- Yeah, but, uh. (laughs)
01:11:59
◼
►
And there's also, by the way, while we're on this topic,
01:12:01
◼
►
there's a huge argument going around
01:12:05
◼
►
with the pro side of this,
01:12:06
◼
►
that this could enable better audio quality.
01:12:10
◼
►
And let me tell you, as an audio file,
01:12:12
◼
►
that is complete garbage.
01:12:14
◼
►
First of all, you have the same problem of like,
01:12:18
◼
►
well, if lightning headphones can be better,
01:12:20
◼
►
great, we can have that now.
01:12:22
◼
►
We don't need to remove the headphone jack
01:12:23
◼
►
to make that happen.
01:12:24
◼
►
And the way iOS handles audio devices,
01:12:27
◼
►
if any other device is connected via Lightning or USB
01:12:30
◼
►
or whatever, that device just takes over
01:12:33
◼
►
from the built-in microphone and speakers
01:12:35
◼
►
and headphones and everything else.
01:12:36
◼
►
So you don't even have to,
01:12:38
◼
►
the software doesn't have to do anything
01:12:39
◼
►
to take advantage of Lightning connected audio devices.
01:12:41
◼
►
It just works.
01:12:42
◼
►
So there's basically no downside from that point of view
01:12:45
◼
►
to keeping the headphone jack around.
01:12:48
◼
►
And the idea that some people have
01:12:50
◼
►
that a Lightning connected headphone
01:12:52
◼
►
would have better audio quality
01:12:53
◼
►
because you could have a really nice DAC and amp
01:12:56
◼
►
that DAC is the DAC digital audio converter
01:12:59
◼
►
that converts, literally converts the digital signal
01:13:01
◼
►
to the sound that you hear, and then of course
01:13:03
◼
►
the amp amplifies that to different volumes for you.
01:13:06
◼
►
- At some point it has to go to analog.
01:13:08
◼
►
There's no-- - Right.
01:13:09
◼
►
- 'Cause it's actually going to put sound waves
01:13:12
◼
►
into your ear.
01:13:13
◼
►
- Right, and so I wouldn't worry about the DRM angle
01:13:15
◼
►
like Nilay did, because it would be trivial to,
01:13:18
◼
►
if you're actually relying on analog output
01:13:21
◼
►
to capture, to re-record, to pirate something,
01:13:24
◼
►
it would be trivial to just take apart the headphones
01:13:26
◼
►
and connect a couple things to the wires
01:13:28
◼
►
that go to the drivers and that'd be it.
01:13:30
◼
►
So that part of the DRM is not a concern.
01:13:32
◼
►
Licensing the connector is, but I'll get to that.
01:13:36
◼
►
But the idea that you get better audio quality
01:13:38
◼
►
out of having separate premium headphones
01:13:42
◼
►
that have premium DACs and amps in them, that is possible.
01:13:46
◼
►
However, it's extremely unlikely in reality.
01:13:49
◼
►
Because in reality, it is very difficult
01:13:52
◼
►
to distinguish differences between DACs and amps,
01:13:56
◼
►
especially once you've crossed a minimum threshold.
01:13:58
◼
►
And people who make this argument are often talking
01:14:01
◼
►
about how DACs and computers are always crappy.
01:14:03
◼
►
And the fact is they were really crappy in the 90s.
01:14:07
◼
►
That's when they were crappy.
01:14:08
◼
►
And most built-in headphone jacks and sound cards
01:14:12
◼
►
that are in computers and our phones and tablets today
01:14:16
◼
►
are pretty decent, they're fine.
01:14:17
◼
►
And the limiting factor to how good they can sound
01:14:21
◼
►
is not the quality of the DAC and the amp in the phone.
01:14:24
◼
►
it's almost always limiting factor is the headphones
01:14:28
◼
►
that you're using and the environment you're listening in.
01:14:30
◼
►
Like that's it, like when you're listening on your phone,
01:14:33
◼
►
like you might be commuting, you might be outside,
01:14:35
◼
►
you might be in a loud shared office,
01:14:37
◼
►
and you're probably listening on headphones
01:14:38
◼
►
that are like, you know, at best decent,
01:14:42
◼
►
probably not amazing, probably not like the big,
01:14:44
◼
►
full-sized, open-backed ones that audio files
01:14:47
◼
►
like to listen critically with.
01:14:49
◼
►
And those headphones you're listening on,
01:14:52
◼
►
Like there's so much room for improvement in the sound,
01:14:55
◼
►
just by better headphones, better drivers,
01:14:57
◼
►
better tuning of the sound to make it, you know,
01:15:00
◼
►
less trying to imitate beats badly
01:15:02
◼
►
and more just trying to sound good.
01:15:04
◼
►
You know, like that is where improvement comes from.
01:15:07
◼
►
It does not come from in the portable realm,
01:15:09
◼
►
but does not usually come from different DACs and amps.
01:15:12
◼
►
DACs and amps are just a really nice way
01:15:14
◼
►
to sell overpriced stuff to people who want better sound,
01:15:17
◼
►
but never consider the fact
01:15:19
◼
►
that they should just buy better headphones.
01:15:21
◼
►
I saw somebody today and I don't remember who.
01:15:24
◼
►
No, that's okay, this is good.
01:15:25
◼
►
Somebody today was speculating that maybe they will switch,
01:15:30
◼
►
they'll do like a noise canceling thing
01:15:32
◼
►
and they'll have the stuff on the phone doing it.
01:15:36
◼
►
Like right now when you buy noise canceling headphones,
01:15:38
◼
►
you have to put batteries in the actual headphones,
01:15:40
◼
►
like when you buy them from Bose or whatever,
01:15:41
◼
►
'cause it takes power to actually do the noise canceling.
01:15:46
◼
►
So the phone could do it.
01:15:48
◼
►
But I find that unlikely.
01:15:51
◼
►
Like it sounds good when you think, oh, noise canceling.
01:15:53
◼
►
Some people like noise canceling headphones.
01:15:55
◼
►
And in certain scenarios, like being on an airplane,
01:15:57
◼
►
it really is very useful.
01:16:00
◼
►
But that sounds very unlikely to me
01:16:02
◼
►
that anybody is gonna find it a good idea
01:16:05
◼
►
to have headphones that draw power from your iPhone.
01:16:08
◼
►
Like when you're using the headphones,
01:16:11
◼
►
you'll get worse battery life.
01:16:12
◼
►
Like that doesn't sound like something
01:16:15
◼
►
people are gonna sign up for.
01:16:16
◼
►
like there is a like one of Eli's things was...
01:16:21
◼
►
Yeah, I mean in reality like it isn't that much power but it's still you know it's
01:16:26
◼
►
still not trivial but the reality is like the high-end headphones like noise
01:16:31
◼
►
cancelling and everything those are all moving to Bluetooth now and I believe I
01:16:35
◼
►
have things to say about Bluetooth as well but I think like a whole other side of this
01:16:39
◼
►
argument is like oh well lightning headphones would be great but you know
01:16:42
◼
►
what lightning headphones are very expensive like their premium price right
01:16:45
◼
►
Right now there's very few of them,
01:16:47
◼
►
and the few of these are very expensive.
01:16:48
◼
►
They will always be more expensive than other headphones
01:16:51
◼
►
because they're gonna have the Apple licensing,
01:16:53
◼
►
the MFI stuff, and then they're gonna wanna be sold
01:16:56
◼
►
on Apple retail stores.
01:16:57
◼
►
They're gonna have these, you know,
01:16:58
◼
►
I'm guessing most lighting headphones
01:17:00
◼
►
are gonna be above $300 in all likelihood.
01:17:03
◼
►
And so you're gonna have this stuff,
01:17:05
◼
►
but the problem is if you look at the headphone market,
01:17:07
◼
►
everyone's kinda freaking out
01:17:08
◼
►
and trying to rush out Bluetooth models
01:17:10
◼
►
in the last couple years
01:17:10
◼
►
because everybody wants noise canceling and Bluetooth
01:17:15
◼
►
the high end. Like if you're looking at high end headphones like headphones that cost more
01:17:19
◼
►
than 200 bucks that are for iPhones or for portable use like everybody wants Bluetooth
01:17:26
◼
►
and noise canceling. And so that is, you know, in many ways that's an argument for the headphone
01:17:33
◼
►
jack removal because you can say well, you know, if everyone's going Bluetooth then,
01:17:37
◼
►
you know, we don't need this, right? And this is why I think like, you know, Bluetooth is
01:17:44
◼
►
In many ways it is worse than wired headphones.
01:17:48
◼
►
In many ways it's a lot worse than wired headphones.
01:17:50
◼
►
Like the sound quality is usually pretty rough.
01:17:54
◼
►
By the way, the reason the sound quality is pretty rough
01:17:56
◼
►
is not usually because of lossy compression over Bluetooth.
01:18:00
◼
►
It is usually because the headphones
01:18:03
◼
►
are kind of mediocre or garbagey.
01:18:06
◼
►
And they have, guess what?
01:18:08
◼
►
They have a built in DAC and amp
01:18:10
◼
►
in every Bluetooth headphone because it has to,
01:18:12
◼
►
because it is not powered by your phone,
01:18:14
◼
►
and the signal's transmitted digitally from your phone.
01:18:16
◼
►
So we already have a world full of aftermarket
01:18:19
◼
►
DACs and amps in headphones, and they're all garbage.
01:18:24
◼
►
And the most sophisticated things they do
01:18:27
◼
►
are they tweak the audio, they tweak the EQ curve
01:18:31
◼
►
of the audio coming out of the headphones
01:18:32
◼
►
to make up for crappy headphone drivers.
01:18:35
◼
►
So if you have headphones that say,
01:18:37
◼
►
suppose they have really weak bass,
01:18:40
◼
►
and they know that everybody wants strong bass,
01:18:43
◼
►
they'll just use the DAC amp chip in the Bluetooth headphone.
01:18:48
◼
►
They will tweak the sound before they send it out
01:18:50
◼
►
to the driver to just artificially boost the bass.
01:18:54
◼
►
And these are like cheap components doing things
01:18:57
◼
►
in a very basic way.
01:19:01
◼
►
And it sounds pretty rough.
01:19:02
◼
►
And you can hear this yourself.
01:19:04
◼
►
If you have like noise canceling headphones,
01:19:06
◼
►
like any Bose headphones that also can operate
01:19:09
◼
►
with a wire passively, if you can turn off
01:19:12
◼
►
the noise canceling and use them with the wire,
01:19:15
◼
►
turn it off and listen to how much worse everything sounds.
01:19:18
◼
►
That, what you're hearing when it's off,
01:19:20
◼
►
that's what the headphones in an app actually sound like.
01:19:23
◼
►
And when you turn it on, they're applying this big EQ curve
01:19:26
◼
►
to try to boost it and make it sound better artificially,
01:19:28
◼
►
but it's never quite right,
01:19:30
◼
►
it never sounds great or natural.
01:19:33
◼
►
That's the world we're going towards.
01:19:34
◼
►
If we're going towards more Bluetooth, more lightning,
01:19:39
◼
►
headphones that are not just passive analog devices
01:19:41
◼
►
but actually have active circuitry in them,
01:19:43
◼
►
it's not going towards a world of like amazing dacs and amps
01:19:46
◼
►
in portable headphones,
01:19:47
◼
►
it's going towards a world of mediocre headphones
01:19:49
◼
►
that have their flaws papered over
01:19:51
◼
►
by kind of these DSP hacks.
01:19:55
◼
►
- So what are they gonna do?
01:19:55
◼
►
I feel like if they switch,
01:19:57
◼
►
if Apple's story is, okay, buy this new iPhone
01:20:00
◼
►
and when you open it up,
01:20:01
◼
►
you get a pair of our new Bluetooth AirPods
01:20:05
◼
►
or whatever they're gonna call them.
01:20:07
◼
►
somebody had a there was like a trademark filing on the word AirPod oh
01:20:10
◼
►
there's no way that's that's in the package you know I'm thinking in the
01:20:14
◼
►
package you get like you get the the cable adapted version of them just like
01:20:18
◼
►
today and then they will tell you with a lightning port in some form you know
01:20:23
◼
►
whether it's like a dongle and then head no headphones there's no way there's
01:20:27
◼
►
probably not go no way probably they'll definitely sell you one but they might
01:20:31
◼
►
put one in the box I don't know no probably not well not either way they
01:20:35
◼
►
They might give you a dongle so that you can use your existing headphones if you'd prefer
01:20:40
◼
►
not to, but the headphones they give in the box have to just plug right in.
01:20:43
◼
►
And that means it has to be plugged in.
01:20:44
◼
►
Yeah, that's probably right.
01:20:46
◼
►
So I'm guessing that they will gladly sell you a set of AirPods, if that's going to be
01:20:51
◼
►
a real product name, they will sell you a Bluetooth version of those headphones for,
01:20:54
◼
►
I don't know, $150, $100 maybe.
01:20:57
◼
►
That's going to be an add-on.
01:20:58
◼
►
That's not going to be in the box.
01:21:00
◼
►
Because let's not forget that Apple's really good at making you spend a little bit more
01:21:04
◼
►
money at the point of sale and get all those attachment sales like they've
01:21:07
◼
►
mastered this now I think both of these both of these ideas qualify as of course
01:21:12
◼
►
that's what they're going to do their Apple of course Apple isn't gonna make
01:21:15
◼
►
you use a dongle their Apple there's no way they're gonna make you use a dongle
01:21:19
◼
►
and of course of course the air wireless ones are gonna be a expensive upsell
01:21:25
◼
►
because they're out exactly so that's sold and and the idea of like moving
01:21:31
◼
►
towards the world of Bluetooth,
01:21:33
◼
►
'cause let's be honest, it's gonna be mostly Bluetooth.
01:21:35
◼
►
It's not gonna be mostly lightning headphones,
01:21:37
◼
►
except for the ones that come in the box.
01:21:38
◼
►
Those will be very popular,
01:21:39
◼
►
but aftermarket headphones, I think,
01:21:42
◼
►
are gonna be way more often Bluetooth than not
01:21:45
◼
►
in the near future.
01:21:47
◼
►
We're almost there now.
01:21:49
◼
►
- If the story is go with Bluetooth,
01:21:53
◼
►
it solves some of the problems
01:21:55
◼
►
in terms of why would they get rid of the headphone jack?
01:21:58
◼
►
Well, we got rid of it because the future's wireless.
01:22:01
◼
►
And it also solves the how do I listen to music
01:22:04
◼
►
while I charge my phone problem, which is a real problem.
01:22:08
◼
►
I mean, and I--
01:22:09
◼
►
- The solution is you discharge the other device
01:22:11
◼
►
that you're wearing on your head at the same time.
01:22:13
◼
►
- Well, how would you do that?
01:22:15
◼
►
- No, you're right.
01:22:16
◼
►
I mean, the solution is either they ship
01:22:17
◼
►
and kind of pass through adapter,
01:22:19
◼
►
which would be pretty clunky.
01:22:22
◼
►
- Or you just use Bluetooth.
01:22:24
◼
►
And when you're using Bluetooth,
01:22:26
◼
►
the iPhone is not concerned with the battery level
01:22:29
◼
►
of your headphones.
01:22:31
◼
►
Yeah, and it does seem it seems weird to me.
01:22:35
◼
►
I have to admit, I mean, this is one of these things ever since the thing started.
01:22:38
◼
►
I don't see how they're going to sell this.
01:22:41
◼
►
And you know, what's the story going to be?
01:22:43
◼
►
Because I totally acknowledge like I see Jonas doing it all the time where he's got like
01:22:47
◼
►
an iPad at 3% and he's charging it while he's still listening to the YouTube stuff that
01:22:53
◼
►
is on it while he plays the PlayStation.
01:22:56
◼
►
I totally recognize that.
01:22:58
◼
►
I know lots and lots of people, they do it on airplanes.
01:23:00
◼
►
If you're lucky enough to fly on an airline that has USB or power adapters,
01:23:04
◼
►
people charge their phone while they listen to music on the flight.
01:23:08
◼
►
I know people do it at their desks.
01:23:09
◼
►
People will charge their phone while they're listening to music on it.
01:23:13
◼
►
I understand it and if there's just one lightning port,
01:23:19
◼
►
and of course they're not going to put two lightning ports on the thing,
01:23:22
◼
►
how do you listen with lightning headphones?
01:23:24
◼
►
I mean, and that's the one idea that people were
01:23:27
◼
►
kicking around when the rumors were that the new iPhones were going to have the
01:23:30
◼
►
smart connector type thing on the back that maybe there'd be like a Apple watch
01:23:35
◼
►
style magnetic charger but I don't know it doesn't seem right
01:23:40
◼
►
especially like you know we already got like you know the as they as they ship
01:23:45
◼
►
more and more other things that charge via lightning it's pretty clear like we
01:23:50
◼
►
have now a world where lightning is like the universal Apple charger for all
01:23:55
◼
►
Apple products except the watch annoyingly but everything else it's like
01:23:59
◼
►
everything charges by lightning and I don't I don't see them throwing that
01:24:03
◼
►
away so soon yeah like the pencil charges by it the
01:24:07
◼
►
rumored that I forget if somebody just pulled this out of their ass or if it
01:24:12
◼
►
was a real leak that the air pods would have like a little some kind of little
01:24:15
◼
►
lightning thing that comes out or goes I don't know Bluetooth I'm lucky that I
01:24:20
◼
►
don't I don't actually use earbuds or in-ear monitors that I just can't wear
01:24:24
◼
►
them like pain-wise I can't wear them Bluetooth is you know it's annoying for
01:24:30
◼
►
full-size headphones but it's not that bad Bluetooth for earbuds has a whole
01:24:35
◼
►
bunch of challenges like well where do you put the battery and how do they
01:24:39
◼
►
connect to each other and like there's all sorts of like weird hacks that
01:24:42
◼
►
people have devised like well you have this like thing behind your neck or
01:24:45
◼
►
something you know like there there's always some some kind of trick but it's
01:24:48
◼
►
tricky to get Bluetooth into you into earbuds in a way that doesn't suck but
01:24:53
◼
►
But overall, moving towards the world of Bluetooth headphones,
01:24:58
◼
►
in so many ways, it's worse.
01:25:01
◼
►
Number one problem is, of course, this
01:25:03
◼
►
is one more thing you have to charge.
01:25:05
◼
►
And if you're traveling, that might mean one more cable
01:25:07
◼
►
to bring or something, and one more battery that could just
01:25:09
◼
►
die at inopportune times.
01:25:11
◼
►
And it's just kind of annoying.
01:25:13
◼
►
They tend to be substantially more expensive
01:25:15
◼
►
than other headphones of similar quality and attributes.
01:25:19
◼
►
And Bluetooth is slightly unreliable.
01:25:22
◼
►
Like it works most of the time,
01:25:24
◼
►
but like every time I'm walking with my Bluetooth,
01:25:28
◼
►
you know, little portable headphones
01:25:29
◼
►
for walking and listening to podcasts,
01:25:31
◼
►
every time I have like a little clip out of the audio
01:25:33
◼
►
during some part of the walk,
01:25:34
◼
►
if I like turn, if I like put my hand in the wrong spot,
01:25:37
◼
►
like in my pocket or something,
01:25:39
◼
►
like it like blocks the signal just enough
01:25:41
◼
►
that oh, can't quite make it, I get a little static
01:25:43
◼
►
and I gotta move my hand.
01:25:43
◼
►
Like, and I've tested so many pairs of Bluetooth headphones,
01:25:46
◼
►
they all have that problem.
01:25:47
◼
►
It's always, some of them are better than others,
01:25:49
◼
►
but they all have that problem to some degree.
01:25:51
◼
►
And then there's the big problem of using
01:25:53
◼
►
whatever headphones you come up with,
01:25:54
◼
►
Bluetooth and lightning,
01:25:56
◼
►
this would actually be substantially worse,
01:25:58
◼
►
using the same headphones for multiple devices.
01:26:01
◼
►
So suppose, like when I'm on a plane,
01:26:04
◼
►
I'm always switching my headphones
01:26:06
◼
►
to whatever device I'm using.
01:26:07
◼
►
So if we're like, you know, taking off or whatever,
01:26:09
◼
►
I'm just gonna try to sleep,
01:26:10
◼
►
I'll have my iPhone in my pocket.
01:26:12
◼
►
But then if I'm gonna like take out my laptop or an iPad
01:26:15
◼
►
to try to get something done on the tray,
01:26:16
◼
►
I'm gonna switch the headphones to that.
01:26:18
◼
►
And a lot of people, they use the same headphones
01:26:22
◼
►
between work and home at their work computer
01:26:24
◼
►
or either work and iPod, like, excuse me,
01:26:27
◼
►
iPhone, iPods are ancient.
01:26:29
◼
►
So with Bluetooth, because of Bluetooth pairing
01:26:33
◼
►
and everything, it's just such a pain
01:26:36
◼
►
to share Bluetooth headphones between multiple devices
01:26:40
◼
►
that in practice, nobody really does it.
01:26:42
◼
►
You can't, some of them have a multiple pairing memory,
01:26:46
◼
►
but they're always weird and hard to use.
01:26:48
◼
►
Effectively, Bluetooth headphones, in practice,
01:26:51
◼
►
they just kinda get locked to their primary device.
01:26:53
◼
►
So nobody ever really changes it.
01:26:54
◼
►
So that sucks.
01:26:56
◼
►
Lightning would be even worse,
01:26:57
◼
►
because yes, you could swap Lightning
01:26:59
◼
►
between your iPhone and your iPad,
01:27:01
◼
►
but then what are you gonna do when you go to your Mac?
01:27:03
◼
►
Like, you can't plug your Lightning headphones
01:27:05
◼
►
into your Mac.
01:27:06
◼
►
- And that seems crazy.
01:27:08
◼
►
I mean, I threw it out there as a spitball this week
01:27:11
◼
►
that what if that's the reason the MacBook Pros
01:27:13
◼
►
are being delayed, 'cause they're gonna put
01:27:15
◼
►
lightning port on them just so that you can plug your headphones in but it
01:27:20
◼
►
doesn't you know in every other way other than the idea that I would like to
01:27:24
◼
►
be able to use the headphones the same headphones with my iPhone and my Mac
01:27:29
◼
►
which is a very reasonable desire other than that it doesn't make any sense to
01:27:33
◼
►
put a lightning port on a Mac but I'd you know I I don't know maybe I don't I
01:27:39
◼
►
mean it doesn't seem I wouldn't I wouldn't faint if that was announced but
01:27:43
◼
►
but it doesn't seem right.
01:27:45
◼
►
Again, the only thing that really makes sense is Bluetooth,
01:27:48
◼
►
but like you said, Bluetooth sharing between devices
01:27:50
◼
►
is really weird, you gotta like,
01:27:52
◼
►
I mean it's just like click, click, click,
01:27:54
◼
►
or tap, tap, you know, settings, Bluetooth,
01:27:56
◼
►
unpair, pair, type this code.
01:27:57
◼
►
- Yeah, it's just, yeah, it's crappy.
01:28:00
◼
►
And like, on the Android side,
01:28:02
◼
►
they have this whole NFC system
01:28:03
◼
►
to make pairing faster and easier.
01:28:06
◼
►
It's possible Apple could add that to the next iPhone,
01:28:08
◼
►
they already have the NFC antenna for Apple Pay.
01:28:10
◼
►
I don't know much about NFC,
01:28:11
◼
►
but it's probably the same antenna.
01:28:13
◼
►
so it's possible they could do something like that,
01:28:14
◼
►
but honestly, I don't see that.
01:28:17
◼
►
- It's hard to beat the pairing process
01:28:21
◼
►
of headphones as we know them.
01:28:23
◼
►
- Yeah, you plug 'em in.
01:28:24
◼
►
- And when it clicks, you're done.
01:28:26
◼
►
- Yeah, and then if you wanna all of a sudden
01:28:29
◼
►
have the headphones be playing output
01:28:31
◼
►
from a different device, you know what you do?
01:28:32
◼
►
You just unplug it and you plug it into the other device
01:28:35
◼
►
and because they all have the same port.
01:28:37
◼
►
Even the MacBook One has no other ports
01:28:40
◼
►
except it has a headphone port.
01:28:42
◼
►
- Besides the USB-C, that's like the one other port
01:28:46
◼
►
they deemed worthy of including on that computer
01:28:48
◼
►
was a headphone port.
01:28:49
◼
►
That just kind of shows how ubiquitous and important
01:28:53
◼
►
and how compelling it is for this port to continue to exist.
01:28:56
◼
►
Ultimately though, if this thing about the iPhone is true,
01:29:01
◼
►
I think the world of lightning headphones
01:29:05
◼
►
is generally a terrible idea
01:29:08
◼
►
and is probably not gonna be very healthy.
01:29:11
◼
►
- Yeah, but maybe-- - It's probably gonna be
01:29:12
◼
►
mostly adapters to regular headphones or Bluetooth.
01:29:15
◼
►
- Maybe though it'll kickstart it,
01:29:17
◼
►
because it hasn't taken off to date, because why?
01:29:20
◼
►
Why would you bother getting Lightning headphones
01:29:22
◼
►
when you can get regular headphone jack headphones
01:29:25
◼
►
that have the same audio quality and they're cheaper?
01:29:29
◼
►
- Right, by the way, I should point out too,
01:29:30
◼
►
I love this so much, the headphones that are pictured
01:29:33
◼
►
in every article about Lightning headphones on the Verge
01:29:36
◼
►
are the Audizay EL8 Titanium or Platinum or something.
01:29:41
◼
►
They're $800 and they sound terrible.
01:29:45
◼
►
Just putting that out there.
01:29:47
◼
►
They look really cool.
01:29:48
◼
►
We're gonna have lots of Lightning headphones
01:29:50
◼
►
that look really cool and cost a lot of money,
01:29:53
◼
►
but hopefully they'll sound better than the EL8.
01:29:55
◼
►
Sorry, Audizay, there goes one sponsor
01:29:57
◼
►
I'm never gonna get.
01:29:58
◼
►
- Let's dispel the notion that maybe,
01:30:02
◼
►
I've seen this kicked around,
01:30:03
◼
►
and I think it is total nonsense, never gonna happen,
01:30:06
◼
►
is that the solution, 'cause one of the problems
01:30:08
◼
►
people have with Lightning,
01:30:10
◼
►
The idea of using Lightning as the port for wired headphones
01:30:13
◼
►
is that now you're stuck with an Apple proprietary solution
01:30:15
◼
►
that has to get a licensing fee,
01:30:17
◼
►
has to meet Apple's approval,
01:30:18
◼
►
and therefore has to be more expensive
01:30:20
◼
►
than it would be otherwise
01:30:21
◼
►
because whatever the licensing fee is,
01:30:23
◼
►
it's, if it's even a penny,
01:30:25
◼
►
that means the thing's gonna cost a penny more.
01:30:27
◼
►
And it's not gonna be a penny. (laughs)
01:30:31
◼
►
- Well, but-- - So the idea that people
01:30:32
◼
►
are, I've seen kicking about is,
01:30:33
◼
►
well, okay, well, if a headphone port is should be open
01:30:36
◼
►
and everybody likes having an open standard,
01:30:39
◼
►
why not USB-C?
01:30:41
◼
►
Maybe that's the idea, is that the iPhone will switch to USB-C.
01:30:43
◼
►
And guess what?
01:30:44
◼
►
Headphone port aside, the iPhone is not going to switch to USB-C.
01:30:47
◼
►
No, there's no chance of that.
01:30:49
◼
►
First of all, it's thicker than lightning.
01:30:51
◼
►
Then that alone is a deal breaker.
01:30:53
◼
►
And I'll put it in the show notes, hopefully.
01:30:55
◼
►
But I got a good link.
01:30:56
◼
►
Somebody did a really nice, precise diagram showing just
01:31:01
◼
►
how much thicker it is.
01:31:02
◼
►
And it actually would be pretty close to a gating factor
01:31:05
◼
►
already on the iPhone 6.
01:31:07
◼
►
and everybody knows Apple likes to make devices
01:31:10
◼
►
thinner over time.
01:31:11
◼
►
So like when you just eyeball them side by side,
01:31:13
◼
►
you can say, oh yeah, they're like more or less the same.
01:31:15
◼
►
But when you get right down to it
01:31:17
◼
►
and start measuring the tenths of a millimeter,
01:31:21
◼
►
it's too big of a difference.
01:31:23
◼
►
- Yeah, definitely.
01:31:23
◼
►
- And strategically, Apple is not gonna give up
01:31:26
◼
►
their proprietary port that they've had
01:31:28
◼
►
on the iPhone all along for a non-proprietary port
01:31:31
◼
►
just so that they can have quote unquote open headphones.
01:31:35
◼
►
yeah they i mean they couldn't possibly care less
01:31:37
◼
►
uh... so yeah i mean
01:31:38
◼
►
and andy the could be cost increase i mean
01:31:41
◼
►
headphones already especially you know especially headphones that are targeted
01:31:46
◼
►
smartphone use
01:31:48
◼
►
and enough would be to cut the result in apple store like
01:31:51
◼
►
the price of the headphone
01:31:53
◼
►
has so little to do with the cost of its components in this market
01:31:57
◼
►
uh... that that would not like
01:31:59
◼
►
the cost of an apply certification
01:32:01
◼
►
would probably not be the reason why the headphones cost a lot
01:32:04
◼
►
These headphones cost a lot because they know they're selling into a premium market that's
01:32:08
◼
►
based mostly on brand recognition and being sold in a high-end retail store.
01:32:12
◼
►
That is why these headphones cost what they do.
01:32:16
◼
►
Lightning headphones will be expensive, but it won't be because of the raw component
01:32:20
◼
►
cost increase.
01:32:21
◼
►
It'll be because of everything else about them.
01:32:23
◼
►
So that's that.
01:32:24
◼
►
Ultimately, though, I really do believe that we are heading towards a world of Apple pushing
01:32:31
◼
►
you know, assuming this is true,
01:32:34
◼
►
the real push is gonna be towards Bluetooth.
01:32:36
◼
►
It's not gonna be towards the new cabling standard.
01:32:39
◼
►
It's going to be Bluetooth because that,
01:32:41
◼
►
again, we're already moving there so much
01:32:42
◼
►
because the reality is, like, as a user,
01:32:45
◼
►
like, look, I have a whole closet and a couple of drawers
01:32:48
◼
►
full of way better headphones
01:32:51
◼
►
than my little Bluetooth walking pair.
01:32:53
◼
►
And yet, the little Bluetooth walking pair
01:32:55
◼
►
is the one I am using most often with my iPhone
01:32:58
◼
►
because even though it is worse in so many different ways,
01:33:03
◼
►
it's more complicated, it's more expensive,
01:33:06
◼
►
it needs to be charged, it's a little bit flaky
01:33:08
◼
►
with that connection when I move my hand worse.
01:33:10
◼
►
It sounds worse, like the sound quality is worse.
01:33:13
◼
►
So much about it is worse.
01:33:15
◼
►
However, it is more compelling.
01:33:18
◼
►
And if you look at, like, you know,
01:33:20
◼
►
worse but more compelling is like the theme
01:33:23
◼
►
of modern computing advances.
01:33:24
◼
►
Like so many things we have, you know,
01:33:27
◼
►
we have given up reliability, simplicity, openness, cost,
01:33:32
◼
►
so many good attributes, we've given those up
01:33:35
◼
►
for a new thing that is just nicer in some way,
01:33:40
◼
►
or I want it more, or it's just more compelling
01:33:43
◼
►
for some reason, and that's how Bluetooth is,
01:33:45
◼
►
that's why I don't know anybody who has started
01:33:50
◼
►
using Bluetooth headphones and then ever wanted
01:33:52
◼
►
to use wired headphones again.
01:33:54
◼
►
- Well, it's like WiFi versus ethernet,
01:33:55
◼
►
worse but more compelling.
01:33:57
◼
►
Especially in the early years of WiFi.
01:34:00
◼
►
- Yeah, I mean, WiFi now is pretty decent.
01:34:02
◼
►
It was really not so in the early years, but again--
01:34:05
◼
►
- And the speed difference was really, really dramatic
01:34:07
◼
►
in the early years.
01:34:09
◼
►
You didn't even need to have
01:34:10
◼
►
a terrific internet connection,
01:34:11
◼
►
and you could easily saturate your WiFi connection,
01:34:13
◼
►
and the ethernet would be the other way around.
01:34:16
◼
►
Like, you couldn't buy an internet connection
01:34:19
◼
►
that would saturate even 100 base T.
01:34:24
◼
►
Bluetooth will, whatever argument we can have
01:34:26
◼
►
about the headphone jack now,
01:34:28
◼
►
it will be worse not having it.
01:34:31
◼
►
It will suck not having it sometimes.
01:34:34
◼
►
For some people, it'll be more than sometimes,
01:34:36
◼
►
but in general, we are better off if we can keep it,
01:34:39
◼
►
but in general, the market is moving
01:34:42
◼
►
towards Bluetooth headphones,
01:34:44
◼
►
and it is worse, and that's okay.
01:34:47
◼
►
- What about latency?
01:34:48
◼
►
That's one thing that bothers me,
01:34:49
◼
►
and I'm one of those weirdos.
01:34:50
◼
►
I realize, it's like I tell people this,
01:34:52
◼
►
and they look at me, and they think I'm joking,
01:34:54
◼
►
but I generally run with key clicks on.
01:34:57
◼
►
Like when I'm typing on the iPhone keyboard,
01:34:59
◼
►
I like to hear the clicks.
01:35:01
◼
►
But I can't, I mean, it's like just the cognitive,
01:35:04
◼
►
trying to make sense of the lag
01:35:07
◼
►
when I have Bluetooth headphones on, it's like impossible.
01:35:10
◼
►
I can't because-- - Well also, I mean,
01:35:11
◼
►
it's hard to also ignore the fact
01:35:13
◼
►
that some pretty common tasks for people to do on phones
01:35:16
◼
►
include watching videos and playing games,
01:35:18
◼
►
and both of those really suck
01:35:20
◼
►
if there's noticeable audio latency.
01:35:22
◼
►
Yeah, the video problem, they seem to have solved.
01:35:25
◼
►
I don't notice any kind of lip sync problem.
01:35:28
◼
►
That's really when you can tell with audio
01:35:30
◼
►
is off if it looks like lips aren't moving in sync.
01:35:33
◼
►
And they've done something where I think that they--
01:35:35
◼
►
sort of like what Federighi was saying with the speed of light
01:35:42
◼
►
calculations with the--
01:35:45
◼
►
on stage last week, he said, where
01:35:46
◼
►
they can tell just how close the watch is
01:35:49
◼
►
to the MacBook that's being unlocked with that new feature.
01:35:52
◼
►
They do something where the video is lags
01:35:57
◼
►
by the exact same amount that the audio has to lag
01:35:59
◼
►
because of Bluetooth and it's in sync.
01:36:01
◼
►
But games are like the keyboard,
01:36:03
◼
►
like all the beeps and boops and blops
01:36:06
◼
►
are a half second behind.
01:36:07
◼
►
- You know, but ultimately I think what's going to happen
01:36:10
◼
►
is we're just gonna deal with that.
01:36:12
◼
►
'Cause like, I mean, one thing is like,
01:36:13
◼
►
I learned this when I tried to buy
01:36:14
◼
►
wireless digital microphones for our recording this year
01:36:18
◼
►
at WBC and that failed miserably.
01:36:20
◼
►
If you're transmitting audio wirelessly,
01:36:23
◼
►
if you're doing it in like a pure analog sense,
01:36:27
◼
►
like the way old cordless mics worked
01:36:29
◼
►
and a lot of old cordless phones worked,
01:36:31
◼
►
analog sucks in a lot of ways.
01:36:32
◼
►
You pick up static and everything,
01:36:33
◼
►
but analog is basically latency free.
01:36:37
◼
►
If you're doing it digitally,
01:36:38
◼
►
which is what Bluetooth is doing,
01:36:40
◼
►
transmitting audio digitally wirelessly
01:36:43
◼
►
from some device in your hand to headphones on your head
01:36:46
◼
►
and then having those headphones then convert that audio
01:36:48
◼
►
digitally into the analog sounds,
01:36:51
◼
►
just because of the nature of digital transmission,
01:36:53
◼
►
there's like buffers in different places and everything,
01:36:55
◼
►
there's always going to be some degree of latency.
01:36:58
◼
►
And even the best latency,
01:37:00
◼
►
like even the lowest we've managed to get it as an industry
01:37:04
◼
►
is still noticeable for things like lip syncing lining up
01:37:07
◼
►
and for things like that.
01:37:09
◼
►
And that's like the best stuff.
01:37:10
◼
►
Most of what you're getting in Bluetooth headphones
01:37:12
◼
►
is not top notch equipment.
01:37:14
◼
►
You know, it's not like the best of the best,
01:37:16
◼
►
It's consumer grade cheapo stuff.
01:37:19
◼
►
And so you're never gonna get digital transmission of sound
01:37:23
◼
►
from a phone to your headphones that is latency free.
01:37:27
◼
►
I don't think we know how to do that as a science.
01:37:30
◼
►
So I think this is gonna be one of those things
01:37:32
◼
►
where it's just always going to be worse
01:37:35
◼
►
and we will just, as a society, we will just move to,
01:37:39
◼
►
well, I guess we just won't play games with headphones on
01:37:42
◼
►
or I guess we'll turn off our keyboard sounds or something.
01:37:46
◼
►
Because again, the advantage is once you get used
01:37:48
◼
►
to using Bluetooth headphones,
01:37:50
◼
►
using a wire feels barbaric.
01:37:52
◼
►
'Cause I know whenever I travel on a plane,
01:37:57
◼
►
my Bluetooth ones suck on a plane
01:37:58
◼
►
'cause they're small and they don't isolate.
01:38:00
◼
►
So I usually bring a nicer pair of wired headphones
01:38:04
◼
►
for planes and it just feels so weird
01:38:06
◼
►
to have this wire going down my side into my pocket.
01:38:09
◼
►
Once you're not used to that, getting it again is crazy.
01:38:13
◼
►
Once I got used to having the track forward,
01:38:16
◼
►
track back volume controls on the ear cup as buttons
01:38:20
◼
►
on my Bluetooth pair, rather than having the clicker
01:38:23
◼
►
and have, all right, click twice for four,
01:38:25
◼
►
click three times for back, and try to do,
01:38:28
◼
►
again, once you get used to the convenience of it,
01:38:29
◼
►
it really is so much better that you tolerate
01:38:32
◼
►
all the crap about Bluetooth.
01:38:34
◼
►
- Yeah, I got them for running, for listening to podcasts,
01:38:38
◼
►
and well, really just listening to podcasts while I run.
01:38:41
◼
►
And the tethered, being tethered to the headphones
01:38:46
◼
►
always bothered me.
01:38:47
◼
►
It never once figured out.
01:38:49
◼
►
I tried all sorts of stuff.
01:38:50
◼
►
Holding the phone, an armband, putting it in a pocket.
01:38:55
◼
►
I tried everything and no matter what,
01:38:57
◼
►
that the wire gets in your way.
01:38:59
◼
►
That's why I bought it.
01:39:00
◼
►
But then I, this was like, I don't know, nine months ago,
01:39:04
◼
►
something like that when I got these, the Beats ones.
01:39:06
◼
►
But the thing I noticed was over the winter,
01:39:08
◼
►
how nice it was in the East Coast winter
01:39:11
◼
►
when I could wear them all bundled up with a coat
01:39:13
◼
►
and still have my phone in the pocket.
01:39:16
◼
►
Because with a winter coat on and a hat and stuff like that,
01:39:19
◼
►
it was just another type of mess, having a cable.
01:39:22
◼
►
- Try to like sneak it through different layers.
01:39:24
◼
►
- Yeah, exactly, like sneak it through the button.
01:39:26
◼
►
It's almost like when you wire yourself up with a lav mic.
01:39:30
◼
►
- And then trying to get it out, it's even worse.
01:39:34
◼
►
All right, here's one last topic on the headphone thing
01:39:36
◼
►
and the headphone port being gone that I have in my notes
01:39:39
◼
►
is the waterproofing angle.
01:39:42
◼
►
- See, that's kind of a bad one,
01:39:43
◼
►
because there are already phones out there
01:39:45
◼
►
that other people make that have headphone ports
01:39:47
◼
►
and are waterproof.
01:39:49
◼
►
- And that's, I,
01:39:51
◼
►
that's true.
01:39:55
◼
►
I wonder if it would be just part of the story, though.
01:39:59
◼
►
And then there's an angle where maybe
01:40:02
◼
►
it's a little bit of BS, because hey, well,
01:40:05
◼
►
okay, you're saying that the phone is water-resistant now,
01:40:07
◼
►
And one of the reasons is you got rid of this ancient headphone port, but there's these
01:40:14
◼
►
other phones that are water resistant and they have it.
01:40:17
◼
►
Do the other phones that have it, do they make you plug it up with a little rubber cover?
01:40:22
◼
►
Or are they just like, "Nope, you can just..."
01:40:24
◼
►
Oh, I don't know.
01:40:25
◼
►
I think that the...
01:40:26
◼
►
You assume I've ever seen an Android phone.
01:40:28
◼
►
Well, there's a funny commercial.
01:40:30
◼
►
It's obnoxious, but there's a funny commercial or a series of commercials for Samsung where
01:40:36
◼
►
There's a guy who's, I think I'm supposed to know who he is.
01:40:38
◼
►
I think he's like a rap star, but I don't know who he is.
01:40:41
◼
►
And he's got a new Samsung, whatever, top of the line,
01:40:45
◼
►
Galaxy Edge or whatever, and he's just pouring champagne
01:40:48
◼
►
on it, and he comes into a convenience store
01:40:50
◼
►
and he asks the guy, and he's pouring champagne
01:40:52
◼
►
on his phone while he comes into the store,
01:40:55
◼
►
and he says, "Where's your champagne?"
01:40:56
◼
►
And the guy points back there, and the bottle's empty,
01:41:00
◼
►
and he throws it away, and he goes by a Nuba bottle
01:41:02
◼
►
of champagne, pops the cork, and then just starts
01:41:04
◼
►
pouring it on his phone again,
01:41:06
◼
►
and that's the end of the commercial.
01:41:09
◼
►
- What a bizarre company that is.
01:41:10
◼
►
- It is, but it is such an obnoxious commercial.
01:41:13
◼
►
- They're very good at that.
01:41:16
◼
►
- Like can you even imagine if Apple had a commercial
01:41:18
◼
►
that just showed somebody wasting two bottles of champagne
01:41:23
◼
►
to pour on their phone?
01:41:25
◼
►
But I can only presume that the Samsung one
01:41:26
◼
►
must be waterproof with a headphone jack.
01:41:28
◼
►
- I think it is, yeah, from what I've heard.
01:41:30
◼
►
I don't know the details,
01:41:31
◼
►
but all I know is that these phones exist, right?
01:41:32
◼
►
So there are reasons that Apple could say on stage
01:41:37
◼
►
to why they did this, but if you look down
01:41:40
◼
►
the list of reasons why they might do this,
01:41:42
◼
►
the better audio, the thickness, the waterproofing,
01:41:47
◼
►
all of these are not strong reasons,
01:41:49
◼
►
because either they are totally unnecessary
01:41:51
◼
►
or there's enough ways around that or enough asterisks
01:41:55
◼
►
on it that it's not really that valid.
01:41:57
◼
►
So if you look at, there are some cynical reasons
01:42:00
◼
►
why Apple would want to do this.
01:42:02
◼
►
I mean, they would stand to make more money.
01:42:04
◼
►
They would save on component costs.
01:42:05
◼
►
They would save on warranty repair stuff
01:42:07
◼
►
when they have to pull lint out of people's headphone jacks
01:42:08
◼
►
and fix the ones that jam up.
01:42:10
◼
►
Which, by the way, again,
01:42:12
◼
►
is also a problem with Lightning ports.
01:42:14
◼
►
So, like, you know, there are lots of reasons
01:42:16
◼
►
why Apple wanted to do this.
01:42:17
◼
►
I mean, it would cause a wave of headphone upgrades
01:42:22
◼
►
and Apple sells a lot of their own headphones
01:42:25
◼
►
with their name and Beats's name on them.
01:42:27
◼
►
In addition, many of those headphone upgrades
01:42:29
◼
►
would apply at the point of sale when you buy your iPhone.
01:42:33
◼
►
Hey, why not also treat yourself to this $200 pair of Beats
01:42:37
◼
►
because you're gonna need to do headphones with this phone.
01:42:39
◼
►
So that would help their attachment sale rate
01:42:41
◼
►
with sale of new iPhones.
01:42:42
◼
►
It's like Apple would tend to make quite a lot
01:42:45
◼
►
of additional money by doing this.
01:42:47
◼
►
I hope that's not the reason.
01:42:48
◼
►
That probably isn't the reason, but I bet that's a reason.
01:42:52
◼
►
- What if they do ship a pair of white in-ear just pods
01:42:59
◼
►
with the phone, you just get them with the phone.
01:43:01
◼
►
Wireless Bluetooth things that come with the phone.
01:43:04
◼
►
But then they also have a whole lineup
01:43:08
◼
►
of new Beats stuff ready to go.
01:43:10
◼
►
Like the upsell is for Beats.
01:43:12
◼
►
- That's possible, but I think it's very unlikely.
01:43:14
◼
►
I think it's way more likely what we said earlier
01:43:16
◼
►
that what you get in the box is either nothing,
01:43:19
◼
►
like maybe they will just decide, you know what,
01:43:21
◼
►
we don't need to ship headphones in the box anymore,
01:43:22
◼
►
you can buy any of the things.
01:43:24
◼
►
We're doing you a favor, we're offering you the choice.
01:43:26
◼
►
So maybe that's the angle.
01:43:27
◼
►
Or more likely, they ship wired lightning headphones
01:43:31
◼
►
in the box, and it's just a wired lightning version
01:43:33
◼
►
of the ones they ship now.
01:43:34
◼
►
That's way more likely, I think.
01:43:36
◼
►
And it's possible that the way that,
01:43:40
◼
►
what's that Japanese rumor site?
01:43:42
◼
►
Like, Okator, I don't know, I don't know how to pronounce
01:43:46
◼
►
Japanese words, I will just embarrass myself, unfortunately.
01:43:48
◼
►
But they reported months ago when we first started
01:43:51
◼
►
talking about this that the next iPhone would have
01:43:53
◼
►
a special, some extra pins on the lightning port
01:43:57
◼
►
and special secretary inside of it,
01:43:58
◼
►
would actually send analog audio out over the port
01:44:01
◼
►
to be able to power passive devices
01:44:03
◼
►
that don't have a built-in DAC and AMP,
01:44:06
◼
►
and that would be how the next cheap Apple earbuds
01:44:09
◼
►
would receive the audio.
01:44:10
◼
►
So it's physically over the Lightning port,
01:44:12
◼
►
but they're receiving analog audio.
01:44:14
◼
►
That seems very plausible to me.
01:44:16
◼
►
I said it even back then,
01:44:17
◼
►
that sounds extremely likely to be
01:44:19
◼
►
how they solve this problem for their own earbuds.
01:44:22
◼
►
And if they wanted to offer a dongle,
01:44:24
◼
►
they could do one very cheaply
01:44:26
◼
►
and it could be a very simple device
01:44:28
◼
►
if they have that kind of setup.
01:44:29
◼
►
- Yes, that sounds possible.
01:44:31
◼
►
And that's one of the reasons I've seen people toss out,
01:44:33
◼
►
hey, maybe they'll switch the iPhone to USB-C
01:44:35
◼
►
because I think part of the official USB-C
01:44:38
◼
►
SPAC is analog audio pass through on one of the pins
01:44:43
◼
►
or something like that, I could be wrong.
01:44:46
◼
►
- Probably. - And Lightning
01:44:47
◼
►
doesn't have that.
01:44:48
◼
►
But the difference is that Apple can change Lightning
01:44:50
◼
►
whenever it wants to.
01:44:51
◼
►
- Exactly. - It doesn't have to.
01:44:53
◼
►
- And they can so easily say like,
01:44:55
◼
►
well, you know, we didn't need this part
01:44:57
◼
►
of the Lightning port on any previous phone
01:44:58
◼
►
because they all had headphone jacks.
01:44:59
◼
►
Now this one, we've helped everyone out.
01:45:02
◼
►
So I think to me, I guess my final for now comment
01:45:05
◼
►
on the headphone jack thing is like,
01:45:08
◼
►
is there any reason I can come up with
01:45:11
◼
►
why this would be a positive thing for customers?
01:45:13
◼
►
It's obviously good for Apple.
01:45:14
◼
►
Why is it good for customers?
01:45:16
◼
►
And I can come up with one reason.
01:45:17
◼
►
And that would be if they replace the space
01:45:21
◼
►
used by the headphone jack with another speaker.
01:45:24
◼
►
and if by doing this they can dramatically improve
01:45:28
◼
►
the quality of the built-in speaker output of the iPhone.
01:45:31
◼
►
Because as I learn more about how people use iPhones,
01:45:36
◼
►
so I do my own analytics in Overcast
01:45:39
◼
►
of what is the current output device type?
01:45:42
◼
►
And the audio API is pretty coarse-grained on that,
01:45:46
◼
►
but it can tell you whether it's internal speaker
01:45:48
◼
►
or wired headphones or Bluetooth or AirPlay.
01:45:50
◼
►
And that helps me to figure out,
01:45:52
◼
►
hey, what kind of features do I work on next?
01:45:54
◼
►
That's one of the reasons why I did the speaker optimized voice boost in a recent version
01:45:58
◼
►
because I learned that tons of people use the iPhone built-in speaker and I always have
01:46:05
◼
►
but I thought I was just like a weird freak who worked at home.
01:46:08
◼
►
I didn't know anyone else did but it turns out tons of people use the iPhone speaker
01:46:12
◼
►
all the time even though it slaughters your battery but it doesn't matter.
01:46:16
◼
►
Everyone does it anyway and a lot of people do it like in cars.
01:46:19
◼
►
They play music from their phone in their car that they don't have a better connection
01:46:23
◼
►
we'll do it around the house.
01:46:24
◼
►
I mean, it's so common.
01:46:27
◼
►
So, and that's one of the reasons why I ended up buying
01:46:30
◼
►
the new Baby Pro, the new 9.7 inch iPad, because--
01:46:33
◼
►
- It sounds so much better.
01:46:34
◼
►
- Oh my god, it's night and day.
01:46:36
◼
►
I mean-- - It's unbelievable.
01:46:37
◼
►
- And like, I use it as a kitchen speaker most of the time,
01:46:39
◼
►
plus like a couch iPad, and oh my god,
01:46:41
◼
►
it's massively different.
01:46:42
◼
►
So what if they were able to do a large improvement
01:46:46
◼
►
to the internal speaker of the iPhone
01:46:48
◼
►
by replacing the headphone jack with a second speaker?
01:46:51
◼
►
- I like your thinking.
01:46:53
◼
►
That sounds compelling to me.
01:46:55
◼
►
- The only, my only hesitation on that
01:46:58
◼
►
is that the reason they're able to do it with the iPad
01:47:00
◼
►
is when you look at how you're allocating space
01:47:04
◼
►
inside of a computer device these days,
01:47:06
◼
►
these mobile, modern, ultra-thin, awesome devices,
01:47:09
◼
►
you like to think, oh, well, figure out
01:47:12
◼
►
what components you need and then fill
01:47:13
◼
►
the rest of the space with battery.
01:47:15
◼
►
The problem is batteries are really heavy.
01:47:17
◼
►
So my theory is that, you know, we talk about Apple
01:47:21
◼
►
pushing everything to be super thin and everything,
01:47:23
◼
►
and in some ways that goes too far,
01:47:24
◼
►
like the MacBook One keyboard.
01:47:26
◼
►
But I think what they really are doing
01:47:28
◼
►
is they're trying to target a weight goal.
01:47:31
◼
►
And the weight goal is limited by how much battery
01:47:34
◼
►
you're willing to carry, like how much battery
01:47:37
◼
►
are you willing to devote weight to.
01:47:39
◼
►
And then you can just kind of shrink the enclosure
01:47:41
◼
►
around that and be like, what's the smallest enclosure
01:47:43
◼
►
we can make that fits only this amount of battery
01:47:46
◼
►
and nothing else, you know?
01:47:48
◼
►
And with the iPad, they've kind of reached this point
01:47:51
◼
►
where, well, the enclosure is this thin, flat thing,
01:47:54
◼
►
and they basically can't make it a lot thinner
01:47:58
◼
►
and keeping the same amount of battery
01:48:01
◼
►
and still have it be a flat back.
01:48:03
◼
►
Like they'd have to like kind of make it like a bulge
01:48:04
◼
►
where the battery sticks out,
01:48:05
◼
►
kind of like their battery case for the phone,
01:48:07
◼
►
or you know, something like that.
01:48:08
◼
►
That would look dumb.
01:48:09
◼
►
So basically with the iPad,
01:48:11
◼
►
because of this like battery weight trade off,
01:48:14
◼
►
they end up having a lot of extra space in the case.
01:48:17
◼
►
So they spent that extra space on big speaker cavities
01:48:20
◼
►
to like tunnel the sound and make it sound better
01:48:23
◼
►
and everything.
01:48:24
◼
►
On the phone, they don't have that kind of volume to spare.
01:48:28
◼
►
So they might get some of it with the headphone jack
01:48:30
◼
►
removal and that might be enough to just basically
01:48:33
◼
►
like double the speaker we have now, which would help,
01:48:35
◼
►
that would be nice.
01:48:36
◼
►
But in order to make a really big improvement,
01:48:39
◼
►
I feel like they would have to do like one of those
01:48:41
◼
►
four speaker arrangements like they have on the iPad
01:48:43
◼
►
or like have any phones on that?
01:48:44
◼
►
Probably some Android phones on that.
01:48:46
◼
►
Like to have like a speaker on every corner basically
01:48:48
◼
►
instead of just the bottom half.
01:48:49
◼
►
- I don't think they would have to do that.
01:48:51
◼
►
'Cause I think everybody holds the phone.
01:48:53
◼
►
Although I guess when you watch video,
01:48:55
◼
►
it's always, it is a little weird
01:48:56
◼
►
that the sound's only coming out of one side.
01:48:58
◼
►
- I mean if they did that it would be great.
01:49:00
◼
►
But I just don't think they have enough space.
01:49:02
◼
►
I don't think they have enough free volume
01:49:04
◼
►
inside the phone to do that.
01:49:06
◼
►
- It also raises the question of the idea of the notion of
01:49:09
◼
►
hey let's make the speakers bottom,
01:49:11
◼
►
let's use the space on the bottom for the speakers,
01:49:13
◼
►
do it on both sides, you could have stereo.
01:49:15
◼
►
Well then why not put the headphone back at the top
01:49:18
◼
►
where it used to be for years?
01:49:21
◼
►
Yeah, I mean, that's the thing.
01:49:24
◼
►
My most plausible, most optimistic version of this,
01:49:28
◼
►
well, first of all, my most optimistic version
01:49:29
◼
►
is that the headphone jack doesn't go away.
01:49:31
◼
►
But if it's gonna go away,
01:49:32
◼
►
my most optimistic version of this that is plausible
01:49:36
◼
►
is that they're just gonna put a second speaker there
01:49:38
◼
►
that's roughly as good as the one we have now
01:49:39
◼
►
or maybe a little bit better,
01:49:41
◼
►
And that will still be a big improvement to the speaker,
01:49:43
◼
►
but not as big of an improvement as we have on the iPad.
01:49:46
◼
►
- I enjoy that there's 300,000 people
01:49:48
◼
►
who've signed a petition not to do this.
01:49:53
◼
►
- That's amazing.
01:49:54
◼
►
That'll help.
01:49:55
◼
►
- Well, it's already done.
01:49:57
◼
►
If it's true--
01:49:57
◼
►
- I know, that's the thing, it's too late.
01:49:59
◼
►
- It's already done.
01:50:00
◼
►
It's getting to the point where I think it's too late
01:50:01
◼
►
to change next year's iPhone, let alone this year's.
01:50:03
◼
►
Like, that's the thing.
01:50:04
◼
►
- Yeah, it might be.
01:50:05
◼
►
- People do not understand, like,
01:50:07
◼
►
this is how Apple ships 70 million iPhones
01:50:10
◼
►
in the first quarter, it's because the production ramp up
01:50:13
◼
►
is months in advance.
01:50:14
◼
►
- Yeah, I mean, they're probably already
01:50:15
◼
►
being manufactured right now.
01:50:18
◼
►
- It is. - This year's model.
01:50:19
◼
►
- All this speculation, it is still,
01:50:20
◼
►
I'm damn curious to hear them tell me why.
01:50:24
◼
►
I can't wait.
01:50:25
◼
►
But I do know that, and again, they could make mistakes,
01:50:28
◼
►
Apple does make big mistakes sometimes,
01:50:30
◼
►
and this could be one, but in general,
01:50:32
◼
►
the company has a very strong,
01:50:39
◼
►
I don't know what you would call it, like a rule,
01:50:41
◼
►
but just a policy, it's just the way they work,
01:50:43
◼
►
is they don't make changes for changes' sake.
01:50:45
◼
►
They only make changes if the change is for the better.
01:50:48
◼
►
Now the question is, better for whom?
01:50:50
◼
►
I mean, and sometimes changes are what's better for Apple.
01:50:54
◼
►
- I would maybe argue the ForceTux trackpad
01:50:57
◼
►
on all the computers that aren't the MacBook One,
01:50:59
◼
►
where the thinness isn't necessary is,
01:51:01
◼
►
maybe on the wrong side of that, but that's just me.
01:51:03
◼
►
- Can I just tell you, we disagree on that,
01:51:04
◼
►
because I have my regular 13 inch MacBook Pro
01:51:09
◼
►
has the old physically clicky one.
01:51:13
◼
►
I love the Force Touch one.
01:51:15
◼
►
I like it so much that I would almost,
01:51:17
◼
►
it would be such a waste of money,
01:51:19
◼
►
but I almost wanna get a new MacBook Pro
01:51:21
◼
►
just to get the Force Touch Pro.
01:51:23
◼
►
I like it that much better.
01:51:24
◼
►
I really do. - Well, I will say though
01:51:25
◼
►
that the one on the 13 inch MacBook Pro,
01:51:28
◼
►
which would be I guess the one you'd probably be getting.
01:51:31
◼
►
- Without question, that's the one I would be getting.
01:51:32
◼
►
Yeah, that one is the best one that I've felt.
01:51:36
◼
►
Like, a lot of people don't realize
01:51:38
◼
►
that every Force Talks trackpad feels a little bit different
01:51:40
◼
►
because they're all like different sizes,
01:51:42
◼
►
slightly different components, I think.
01:51:43
◼
►
The one in the MacBook One is the worst.
01:51:45
◼
►
It is, I mean, just like everything else
01:51:47
◼
►
but the MacBook One, it's like, you know,
01:51:49
◼
►
horrible for input, but really great for portability.
01:51:51
◼
►
Right, so it's fine.
01:51:53
◼
►
The desktop one, which I actually have one,
01:51:56
◼
►
I use it as my left hand pointing thing
01:51:57
◼
►
for like when I'm scrubbing through logic projects
01:51:59
◼
►
when editing podcasts.
01:52:01
◼
►
The desktop one is decent.
01:52:03
◼
►
The 15 inch one is decent.
01:52:05
◼
►
The 13 inch MacBook Pro one is actually pretty good.
01:52:07
◼
►
None of them I would call great,
01:52:10
◼
►
but the 13 inch MacBook Pro I would say feels the best.
01:52:13
◼
►
But honestly, I dislike the Force Touch so much
01:52:18
◼
►
that I'm just converting myself to be a tap to click person,
01:52:20
◼
►
which I hate, but I hate it less.
01:52:22
◼
►
- Anything else on the headphone port?
01:52:28
◼
►
- I think that's it.
01:52:29
◼
►
we're not gonna make this to our mark because we just crossed we just crossed
01:52:32
◼
►
it yeah I have another speaker to thank it is our new speaker sponsor a new our
01:52:38
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sponsor sorry I'd love to get a new speaker this we get a new speaker - I've
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What else is on our agenda before we sign off?
01:55:18
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We're almost done, right?
01:55:20
◼
►
- Yeah, I mean, there were only four or five more topics
01:55:22
◼
►
that you had that were giant, like the entire conference
01:55:24
◼
►
or whole platforms like iOS and watchOS and tvOS.
01:55:28
◼
►
- You know what, the watchOS thing is so fascinating to me
01:55:32
◼
►
because I just linked to a thing today where David Sparks,
01:55:35
◼
►
So the hiccup with upgrading to watchOS 3,
01:55:39
◼
►
if I could just upgrade my watch to watchOS 3,
01:55:41
◼
►
I would do it in a heartbeat.
01:55:42
◼
►
Because I don't really,
01:55:45
◼
►
I have so many issues with watchOS 2
01:55:47
◼
►
that watchOS 3 exactly tackles.
01:55:50
◼
►
I would, betas and all,
01:55:52
◼
►
and if my watch gets stuck, it gets stuck or whatever.
01:55:56
◼
►
That's fine, I could totally live with that.
01:55:57
◼
►
But the problem is you can't upgrade to watchOS 3
01:56:00
◼
►
unless the paired iPhone you have it with
01:56:01
◼
►
is upgraded to iOS 10.
01:56:03
◼
►
And I understand why that is.
01:56:04
◼
►
It makes a lot of sense, but I am definitely not ready
01:56:07
◼
►
to upgrade my daily iPhone to iOS 10,
01:56:09
◼
►
and probably won't be until later in the summer.
01:56:12
◼
►
- Yeah, I mean, like typically, like I think
01:56:13
◼
►
for regular people, the best advice is
01:56:17
◼
►
just don't use the betas, but if you insist
01:56:19
◼
►
on using the betas, you know, wait until at least
01:56:22
◼
►
like public beta two or so, and for like people
01:56:25
◼
►
who wanna write about it and talk about it,
01:56:27
◼
►
or developers, I think a good rule of thumb
01:56:30
◼
►
is roughly beta three of the developer side,
01:56:33
◼
►
which roughly correlates to beta one of the public side usually.
01:56:35
◼
►
Right, and summer just is like the worst time of year for me to like take risks with my phone
01:56:40
◼
►
because we're traveling, we're going on vacations and just going away for weekends to see family
01:56:46
◼
►
and stuff, we just are out more and so I rely on my phone more in the summer than any other time.
01:56:51
◼
►
Like if it was like time shifted by six months and we got like the betas in September,
01:56:56
◼
►
I'd probably put it on my phone. Still wouldn't put the first one on, but I definitely would
01:57:01
◼
►
wait and listen to what everybody says about developer beta 2 and probably go from there.
01:57:05
◼
►
But I can't do it in the summer. But anyway, David Sparks bravely did. And really just had nothing,
01:57:13
◼
►
you know, it's true. I mean, effectively, what Apple said in the keynote, because I
01:57:18
◼
►
was really skeptical, honestly, watching the keynote.
01:57:21
◼
►
**Matt Stauffer:** Oh, I think we all were.
01:57:22
◼
►
**Ezra Klein:** I mean, like super skeptical to the point where I was sitting with Ben Thompson,
01:57:27
◼
►
and I was like
01:57:28
◼
►
If he's full of shit, this is gonna be so much worse like
01:57:31
◼
►
but you know
01:57:33
◼
►
I got to play with them in hands-on and they were is
01:57:35
◼
►
Every bit as fast as promised and now that people brave people in the real world are trying it there
01:57:40
◼
►
They can vouch that what Apple said is true that it has enough RAM to keep you know
01:57:46
◼
►
Half a dozen apps suspended in memory, which makes them
01:57:49
◼
►
Instant, you know when you switch back to them they they're right there instantly and the background updates
01:57:55
◼
►
this is why it requires iOS 10 on your paired iPhone.
01:57:58
◼
►
The background updates really do update in the background.
01:58:02
◼
►
- Yeah, and there's a lot of things that you still can't do
01:58:05
◼
►
in real time, or there's still a lot of limits
01:58:09
◼
►
to conserve power and stuff, but it's substantially
01:58:13
◼
►
different and way better than how it was before.
01:58:16
◼
►
And by the way, to help people not feel too bad
01:58:20
◼
►
they can't run this yet, or they shouldn't run this yet
01:58:22
◼
►
on their main phone and watch, keep in mind
01:58:24
◼
►
that a lot of these benefits, you're not really gonna see
01:58:27
◼
►
as a user until the apps can be updated for it,
01:58:29
◼
►
which can't happen until the release.
01:58:32
◼
►
- So like, you know, you could have like your dock
01:58:33
◼
►
full of like Apple's apps, but you're not gonna have
01:58:36
◼
►
any of those benefits for third party apps
01:58:37
◼
►
unless you're like on their beta maybe,
01:58:39
◼
►
but I don't even know if we can send out
01:58:41
◼
►
test flight builds for iOS 10 yet, I don't even know.
01:58:43
◼
►
- Yeah, I don't know either.
01:58:44
◼
►
- But it's gonna be a while if we can,
01:58:46
◼
►
like it's gonna be probably later in the summer
01:58:47
◼
►
if that when that happens, and then you know,
01:58:49
◼
►
any app you're not in the beta for,
01:58:50
◼
►
you literally can't use the watchOS 3,
01:58:53
◼
►
enhancements to that app until like October or whenever,
01:58:56
◼
►
you know, whenever it's released.
01:58:57
◼
►
- It's, at a zoom out and at a high level,
01:59:00
◼
►
it's interesting to me in a couple of ways.
01:59:01
◼
►
And one is that, especially with iOS,
01:59:04
◼
►
and watchOS is a variant of iOS, so I think it qualifies.
01:59:07
◼
►
Apple has, for years, had the knock against it
01:59:11
◼
►
that older devices upgraded to the new OS
01:59:15
◼
►
instantly gets lower, to the point where, you know,
01:59:17
◼
►
there was the Catherine Ramble article
01:59:20
◼
►
in the New York Times of all places
01:59:21
◼
►
that was accusing them of doing it deliberately to spur upgrade sales. I mean, that's something
01:59:26
◼
►
people believe. And there is...
01:59:27
◼
►
Your times really come downhill recently, huh?
01:59:29
◼
►
For some, for some people, you know, there are, you know, and some of that is actually true. I
01:59:33
◼
►
don't think it was ever deliberate. I really don't. It's antithetical to Apple. And most of the people
01:59:38
◼
►
I know at Apple who are engineers, if they were told to do something like that, they would quit.
01:59:42
◼
►
They would actually quit their jobs rather than purposefully make an upgrade run slower on a
01:59:47
◼
►
a certain device. The problem is more that they didn't spend enough time
01:59:51
◼
►
optimizing it because everybody was working on the new version of iOS, was
01:59:55
◼
►
using the latest and greatest hardware. And then like at the end it's like, well
01:59:58
◼
►
quick try to make this run fast on an iPad mini too. And it's like... Turn off some
02:00:05
◼
►
stuff, it'll be fine. Yeah, I don't know, dial down the animation. Well, it's time to ship. Here it is.
02:00:11
◼
►
I don't think it was purposeful, I really don't, but it was true that there have
02:00:15
◼
►
been versions of iOS that come out for older devices and it does make them slow.
02:00:19
◼
►
And it's so funny that with this one it is going to make your year-old watch
02:00:25
◼
►
faster. And way faster. Right. Like noticeably faster. Like I did I haven't
02:00:33
◼
►
spent a day using it because I don't have you know yeah but in the hands-on
02:00:37
◼
►
area for the press that I got to play with it you know it really feels like a
02:00:42
◼
►
at new hardware.
02:00:44
◼
►
It's really kind of hard to believe
02:00:45
◼
►
that this is the same hardware as the old one.
02:00:48
◼
►
- Yeah, I got to, at WBC, I got to play with it
02:00:52
◼
►
with underscore David Smith's watch,
02:00:53
◼
►
a friend of the show, my friend underscore David Smith.
02:00:55
◼
►
And, 'cause he's a big watchOS developer.
02:00:59
◼
►
He has a bunch of watch apps, and so he had, of course,
02:01:02
◼
►
because he's incredibly productive
02:01:04
◼
►
and embarrasses all of us, he had already built
02:01:07
◼
►
like two of his apps for the watch,
02:01:08
◼
►
and like already had the complications installed,
02:01:10
◼
►
and had him like, so he was showing me,
02:01:12
◼
►
This was on Tuesday or Wednesday of WDC,
02:01:15
◼
►
an amazing time.
02:01:16
◼
►
- It blows me away.
02:01:18
◼
►
- Yeah, and I got to play with it.
02:01:21
◼
►
He was showing me on his, of course he had two watches.
02:01:23
◼
►
He had a second one to run the beta on
02:01:24
◼
►
because he's amazing.
02:01:26
◼
►
And it really is real.
02:01:31
◼
►
It wasn't just PR, it wasn't just a presentation.
02:01:34
◼
►
The gains are real.
02:01:36
◼
►
I too was just as skeptical.
02:01:39
◼
►
I was like, oh come on, there's no way
02:01:41
◼
►
it's gonna be that fast in reality.
02:01:42
◼
►
And it really is that fast in reality.
02:01:43
◼
►
It's not perfect, some of the animations still
02:01:46
◼
►
skip a little bit here and there.
02:01:48
◼
►
It's still very slow hardware,
02:01:50
◼
►
but it just seems like it was being used very poorly
02:01:54
◼
►
in watchOS 1 and 2.
02:01:56
◼
►
The hardware that's there, it's not as bad as it seemed.
02:01:59
◼
►
It's still very slow and very rudimentary hardware,
02:02:02
◼
►
but the software was seemingly making
02:02:05
◼
►
a lot of bad life choices before,
02:02:07
◼
►
and now they've really had a lot of time.
02:02:09
◼
►
And I mean, you know, I've been kind of cool on the watch
02:02:13
◼
►
in recent months and I don't really wear it anymore.
02:02:17
◼
►
But this, like, this is a huge update.
02:02:20
◼
►
This is a way bigger update and I'm way more impressed
02:02:24
◼
►
by it than I thought I would be with, you know,
02:02:26
◼
►
whatever watchOS 3 turned out to be this summer.
02:02:28
◼
►
I was not expecting this big of an update
02:02:30
◼
►
and this big of a change.
02:02:31
◼
►
And, you know, for them to reconsider and rethink
02:02:35
◼
►
some of the design of the watch software environment.
02:02:38
◼
►
and to get rid of the stupid friend circle,
02:02:39
◼
►
or at least move it somewhere else,
02:02:40
◼
►
and to get rid of glances,
02:02:42
◼
►
and to unify apps with glances,
02:02:44
◼
►
and to make, you know, all that stuff,
02:02:46
◼
►
you know, I've been thinking for a while,
02:02:47
◼
►
like, some of these things would be nice to do,
02:02:50
◼
►
but they're not gonna do it,
02:02:51
◼
►
because they already built this whole thing,
02:02:52
◼
►
and it's too late.
02:02:53
◼
►
And it turns out, it wasn't too late,
02:02:55
◼
►
and they changed their mind,
02:02:56
◼
►
'cause they saw how things were actually used,
02:02:58
◼
►
and they saw ways to make it better,
02:02:59
◼
►
and that's great.
02:03:01
◼
►
And as a developer of, you know,
02:03:03
◼
►
like I'm gonna make Overcast for the watch,
02:03:05
◼
►
you know, at some point soon,
02:03:06
◼
►
I don't know if I'll make it in time for day one,
02:03:08
◼
►
but I'm gonna try.
02:03:09
◼
►
'Cause my old watch app, based on WatchKit 1,
02:03:13
◼
►
it was just terrible.
02:03:14
◼
►
It was just too slow, too unreliable.
02:03:16
◼
►
And I didn't upgrade it to watchOS 2
02:03:18
◼
►
because it was gonna be a ton of work.
02:03:20
◼
►
'Cause watchOS 2 was not too different for users,
02:03:23
◼
►
but it was very different for developers.
02:03:25
◼
►
So it was gonna be a ton of work to do,
02:03:28
◼
►
and the gains just were not really there.
02:03:30
◼
►
So I decided not to do it,
02:03:32
◼
►
and to just wait and see what OS 3 brought.
02:03:34
◼
►
And I'm sure that I did because--
02:03:36
◼
►
- OS 3 is a major, major upgrade for users and developers,
02:03:40
◼
►
and now it's possible to actually make decent apps.
02:03:43
◼
►
Like before, even the best app you could make
02:03:45
◼
►
for watchOS 1 and 2, it was pretty mediocre to actually use.
02:03:49
◼
►
Now it's actually possible to make good, compelling apps
02:03:53
◼
►
for the watch, and it's still not easy,
02:03:54
◼
►
and there's still plenty of limitations,
02:03:56
◼
►
but it's at least possible,
02:03:58
◼
►
and there's good stuff to be done there.
02:04:00
◼
►
- I can't think of anything else to compare it to,
02:04:02
◼
►
except maybe when Mac OS X first came out,
02:04:04
◼
►
I know this predates you as a Mac user,
02:04:06
◼
►
but Mac OS 10.0 was so dreadfully slow.
02:04:11
◼
►
It was everything.
02:04:13
◼
►
I mean, just clicking on a menu
02:04:15
◼
►
and having the menu drop down was slow
02:04:17
◼
►
because it just, what Aqua was doing,
02:04:21
◼
►
what the user interface was doing
02:04:22
◼
►
was so far ahead of the hardware that it was just slow.
02:04:27
◼
►
And it was, what made that so painful was one thing
02:04:32
◼
►
that was not a problem with the classic Mac OS was,
02:04:35
◼
►
for lack of a better word, snappiness.
02:04:38
◼
►
The UI, there were lots of technical problems
02:04:40
◼
►
with the old Mac OS, but it was very snappy,
02:04:43
◼
►
because, and part of that was simply because
02:04:45
◼
►
it was so far behind the hardware,
02:04:47
◼
►
because it was this OS, the problems with the OS
02:04:50
◼
►
was that it had low-level parts that dated to the '80s,
02:04:54
◼
►
and here we are running it on 2000, 2001
02:04:58
◼
►
Power Mac G3 hardware.
02:05:00
◼
►
the hardware was way more powerful than what the software was originally designed for,
02:05:05
◼
►
and it made it real fast.
02:05:06
◼
►
And so, you know, most of us at the time were either dual-booting between the two for different
02:05:10
◼
►
tasks or we had, like, I used to run Mac OS 9 on my desktop and I'd have Mac OS 10 on
02:05:17
◼
►
my PowerBook.
02:05:19
◼
►
And it was so painful to switch.
02:05:21
◼
►
And 10.1 came out, like, five months later, six months later, something like that, like,
02:05:27
◼
►
way less than a year later, and was a pretty big improvement.
02:05:30
◼
►
It was still slow, but it had obviously gotten a lot of low-hanging fruit out of the what's
02:05:34
◼
►
making this feel so slow.
02:05:37
◼
►
But it was nowhere near as dramatic as this watchOS 2 to 3.
02:05:41
◼
►
It was a nice improvement, but it was really like a series of iterative improvements over
02:05:46
◼
►
like four years.
02:05:47
◼
►
As I recall, sometime around like 10.4 was when Mac OS X finally felt like, "Okay, this
02:05:54
◼
►
It may not be fast yet, but it's at least not slow."
02:05:57
◼
►
I'm trying to figure out what is going on with watchOS 3.
02:06:00
◼
►
How is this possible?
02:06:01
◼
►
- Well, I mean, I think Federighi's explanation
02:06:03
◼
►
last week on the talk show was great,
02:06:05
◼
►
which is basically many of the things
02:06:09
◼
►
that were making watchOS so slow before
02:06:12
◼
►
were just extreme conservatism
02:06:15
◼
►
about how things are kept in memory,
02:06:18
◼
►
what apps can do, what they can't do,
02:06:21
◼
►
what kind of background operations they can and can't do.
02:06:23
◼
►
That's one of the reasons why,
02:06:24
◼
►
basically with watchOS 1 and 2,
02:06:26
◼
►
every time you launch an app,
02:06:27
◼
►
it was basically launching from scratch.
02:06:29
◼
►
And it was not really able to do much, if anything,
02:06:33
◼
►
in the background in the meantime.
02:06:34
◼
►
So you'd have to launch it,
02:06:35
◼
►
then you'd have to wait for it to get new data
02:06:37
◼
►
'cause the data it had was out of date.
02:06:38
◼
►
And it was just slow and it was a pain.
02:06:41
◼
►
And then you'd go and you'd try to launch it again,
02:06:43
◼
►
like a few minutes later,
02:06:44
◼
►
after the watch turned off to save power,
02:06:46
◼
►
you'd go to launch it again like a few minutes later
02:06:48
◼
►
or a few seconds later,
02:06:49
◼
►
and you'd be back to the clock face or the home screen.
02:06:51
◼
►
You have to go back to the app again,
02:06:52
◼
►
or double click on the button
02:06:54
◼
►
to get the last used app or whatever.
02:06:56
◼
►
And it was just, it was way too aggressive
02:06:59
◼
►
about kicking apps out of memory
02:07:00
◼
►
and about researching what they could do in the background.
02:07:03
◼
►
And so, and Federighi explained it very well.
02:07:05
◼
►
It's basically like, the explanation was basically like,
02:07:08
◼
►
oh, we had extra RAM.
02:07:09
◼
►
Like we overshot our budget on RAM and power
02:07:11
◼
►
and it turns out, you know,
02:07:12
◼
►
the way people use the watch is different
02:07:13
◼
►
and it works better than we thought it would
02:07:15
◼
►
for RAM and power.
02:07:17
◼
►
So we spent some of it.
02:07:18
◼
►
So, you know, the watch now, like with OS 3,
02:07:22
◼
►
if you use any of these new features
02:07:24
◼
►
of having these apps in the dock
02:07:25
◼
►
and having them be updated more often,
02:07:27
◼
►
or especially if you put them in complications,
02:07:28
◼
►
then they can update a lot more often.
02:07:30
◼
►
You are going to get less battery life,
02:07:32
◼
►
but I think it can,
02:07:35
◼
►
when I wear the watch every day,
02:07:37
◼
►
most days I'd go to bed and the battery would be at 50%.
02:07:40
◼
►
So I'd be willing to spare a little bit of battery life
02:07:43
◼
►
to make the thing more useful to me.
02:07:45
◼
►
- I think that's all true,
02:07:48
◼
►
and again, I think Federighi's explanation was interesting,
02:07:51
◼
►
and I think very honest.
02:07:52
◼
►
I think that being stingy with RAM was probably very much true.
02:07:58
◼
►
But strategically, here's my theory.
02:08:00
◼
►
I think what we're seeing is that Apple released the watch too early and that this is what
02:08:08
◼
►
they should have launched with.
02:08:09
◼
►
And that the process that they went through of having what we know as watchOS 1 and then
02:08:17
◼
►
and watchOS 2 was what they should have
02:08:20
◼
►
and in the past usually went through internally
02:08:23
◼
►
before they got to, okay, this is good enough.
02:08:26
◼
►
That they were probably like a version of the iPhone
02:08:29
◼
►
that was every bit as crappy as the user experience
02:08:33
◼
►
of watchOS 1 and maybe not even crappiness,
02:08:37
◼
►
but maybe like the confusing nature of the UI paradigm
02:08:40
◼
►
and the convolutedness and like there's like,
02:08:44
◼
►
there were like some yada, yada, yada parts of it
02:08:46
◼
►
where there's no real spatial thing.
02:08:48
◼
►
It's like, well, you drag, you know,
02:08:49
◼
►
these glances are down there and you drag them up
02:08:51
◼
►
and the apps are, you know, like behind the watch face,
02:08:54
◼
►
you click this button and you get to the apps
02:08:56
◼
►
and then they pop forward.
02:08:57
◼
►
And the apps, the glances are sort of like an app,
02:08:59
◼
►
except they're limited, but they're always there.
02:09:01
◼
►
And it's like, well, why are they down?
02:09:03
◼
►
What's, why is this other thing underneath?
02:09:05
◼
►
I feel like everything probably goes through that.
02:09:08
◼
►
And again, I always hate to bring out the,
02:09:13
◼
►
you know, Steve Jobs card,
02:09:15
◼
►
but that one of his gifts was,
02:09:18
◼
►
of course he was great at motivating people
02:09:20
◼
►
to work really hard and ship things ahead of their time,
02:09:22
◼
►
but I also think that he had an uncanny ability
02:09:25
◼
►
to keep saying not good enough, not good enough,
02:09:29
◼
►
even if it meant shipping years after he wanted to ship.
02:09:33
◼
►
- Yeah, and as we talked about earlier,
02:09:37
◼
►
with Tim versus Phil and everybody else
02:09:39
◼
►
for product direction,
02:09:40
◼
►
Steve was the head of product direction.
02:09:44
◼
►
He was the chief editor,
02:09:45
◼
►
and I think he played large roles
02:09:48
◼
►
in product choices and direction.
02:09:51
◼
►
And you can't have somebody like that
02:09:55
◼
►
just removed and gone forever and have things not change.
02:09:59
◼
►
Things are going to change,
02:10:00
◼
►
and not all of it's gonna be for the better.
02:10:02
◼
►
A lot of it's gonna be better,
02:10:03
◼
►
a lot of it's gonna be worse,
02:10:04
◼
►
a lot of it's just gonna be different.
02:10:05
◼
►
One of the things that changed is the role
02:10:07
◼
►
of that product editing and the head of product direction
02:10:11
◼
►
has now apparently, from what we can tell,
02:10:13
◼
►
kind of split up between these people.
02:10:15
◼
►
And the watch, from what I understand,
02:10:17
◼
►
the watch was kind of like a satellite project,
02:10:20
◼
►
and it seemed, there was a lot about the watch
02:10:22
◼
►
that was kind of bizarre, like some of the weird,
02:10:25
◼
►
creepy stretchy face emoji, and the whole Friends,
02:10:28
◼
►
the ring of Friends, you're supposed to digitally touch,
02:10:30
◼
►
I mean, the whole thing was weird.
02:10:32
◼
►
And again, some of the spatial things
02:10:36
◼
►
and why Watch Kit 1 was just so incredibly bad
02:10:39
◼
►
and why they decided to ship that,
02:10:40
◼
►
it does seem like that might have been partially because
02:10:44
◼
►
of this kind of split product responsibility.
02:10:47
◼
►
This was kind of relegated as a satellite project
02:10:50
◼
►
or a skunkworks kind of thing.
02:10:52
◼
►
Maybe not because it was considered low priority,
02:10:55
◼
►
but just because it was something new
02:10:56
◼
►
and everyone else was busy.
02:10:57
◼
►
I don't know, I don't know the reason,
02:10:58
◼
►
but it was clearly something
02:11:01
◼
►
from a side project division of Apple.
02:11:03
◼
►
It suffered in a number of ways because of that,
02:11:07
◼
►
and it seems like they've maybe realized
02:11:10
◼
►
this was not as good as we wanted it to be at first,
02:11:12
◼
►
so let's fix it, let's put some more into it,
02:11:14
◼
►
and let's actually fix it.
02:11:16
◼
►
- I think that they would have gotten
02:11:17
◼
►
to this point inevitably.
02:11:18
◼
►
I just think that it's almost like we've gotten
02:11:20
◼
►
an amazing behind-the-scenes look
02:11:21
◼
►
at how Apple goes through designs and iterates.
02:11:26
◼
►
And this makes so much more sense,
02:11:30
◼
►
just a basic fundamental level,
02:11:31
◼
►
and it works so much better.
02:11:33
◼
►
You have to remember, too, that two years ago,
02:11:35
◼
►
so two years ago at this point,
02:11:36
◼
►
The watch hadn't been announced yet.
02:11:39
◼
►
It was announced in September two years ago.
02:11:42
◼
►
But it was rumored.
02:11:43
◼
►
And at the time Apple was under inordinate scrutiny
02:11:47
◼
►
for Apple can't innovate anymore
02:11:51
◼
►
because Steve Jobs isn't there.
02:11:53
◼
►
And they haven't had a new product since the iPod,
02:11:56
◼
►
or iPad in 2010, and now it's been forever,
02:11:59
◼
►
and they're overdue for a product.
02:12:01
◼
►
So they were under tremendous scrutiny for,
02:12:05
◼
►
hey, how about you release something new
02:12:06
◼
►
and show us that you can still amaze us.
02:12:09
◼
►
And I think part of that was pressure on Tim Cook, the CEO,
02:12:12
◼
►
and I think part of that was definitely pressure on Johnny
02:12:14
◼
►
Ive as, well, let's see what Johnny Ive can do now
02:12:17
◼
►
that he doesn't have Steve Jobs.
02:12:18
◼
►
And ultimately, we don't know who it is who got to say,
02:12:23
◼
►
OK, let's ship the watch this year.
02:12:25
◼
►
We'll announce it in September and ship it sometime later,
02:12:29
◼
►
probably next year.
02:12:31
◼
►
I don't know who made that decision that this is
02:12:33
◼
►
good enough to ship, but I think in hindsight,
02:12:35
◼
►
especially now that we've seen watchOS 3,
02:12:37
◼
►
it was clearly too soon.
02:12:38
◼
►
I think that the watch should have been announced this year.
02:12:41
◼
►
And maybe I'm wrong because two more years of where's,
02:12:46
◼
►
you know, how about a new product?
02:12:47
◼
►
How about a new product?
02:12:48
◼
►
How about a new product?
02:12:49
◼
►
Maybe that would have been too much to bear.
02:12:51
◼
►
But I just feel like this really feels to me
02:12:54
◼
►
like what watch 1.0 should have been.
02:12:56
◼
►
- Yeah, oh, and no question.
02:12:58
◼
►
I mean, it's, it's still not perfect.
02:13:02
◼
►
I mean, nothing ever is really.
02:13:03
◼
►
But it is such an improvement,
02:13:06
◼
►
and to have such an improvement after,
02:13:10
◼
►
what is a relatively short time, really,
02:13:12
◼
►
I mean, heck, the hardware is feeling pretty old
02:13:15
◼
►
at this point, I wish they'd update that,
02:13:16
◼
►
but to have the software go from where it was last year
02:13:20
◼
►
to this in one year is very impressive.
02:13:23
◼
►
But on the other side of that,
02:13:25
◼
►
do you think they actually would have reached
02:13:27
◼
►
this conclusion internally?
02:13:28
◼
►
'Cause one of the things they can't do really internally
02:13:30
◼
►
is learn what people will do and what developers will do
02:13:35
◼
►
with like, how many apps will you use?
02:13:37
◼
►
What will apps want to do?
02:13:39
◼
►
What apps will end up being compelling
02:13:40
◼
►
and which apps won't?
02:13:42
◼
►
They kind of can't do that very well
02:13:44
◼
►
without just releasing it and seeing what the app market
02:13:46
◼
►
and what the users actually do with it.
02:13:47
◼
►
But there is a lot of stuff about like the initial release
02:13:50
◼
►
of the watch that you look at and you're like,
02:13:53
◼
►
did they test this much internally?
02:13:55
◼
►
Like, did they really think this was gonna be good?
02:13:59
◼
►
I don't know.
02:14:00
◼
►
- Yeah, some of the stuff that is in watchOS 3
02:14:02
◼
►
definitely wouldn't have been there
02:14:04
◼
►
if they hadn't launched and observed
02:14:06
◼
►
what people really use it for.
02:14:08
◼
►
And a big one is fitness tracking,
02:14:10
◼
►
that an awful lot of Apple Watch purchasers,
02:14:14
◼
►
I think maybe they told me in a briefing
02:14:17
◼
►
what the percentage is, but it's big.
02:14:19
◼
►
I don't know if it's public or not,
02:14:20
◼
►
but a big percentage that they have found
02:14:22
◼
►
if people buy it primarily as a fitness tracking device,
02:14:25
◼
►
that it is just a one-to-one competitor
02:14:28
◼
►
with like a Fitbit or something like that.
02:14:30
◼
►
And therefore, they really, really focused
02:14:33
◼
►
on the fitness and activity tracking in watchOS 3.
02:14:38
◼
►
I think that the new default watch face
02:14:40
◼
►
is the one that shows the circles as the dial.
02:14:44
◼
►
I think that's how big of a deal fitness tracking is,
02:14:46
◼
►
that it's now the default watch face.
02:14:49
◼
►
- It was, I mean, when I used it,
02:14:53
◼
►
I was all about the fitness rings.
02:14:55
◼
►
And if I cared less about watch face design,
02:14:59
◼
►
I would gladly say that as my home screen.
02:15:02
◼
►
Right now I'm just too much of a picky jerk
02:15:04
◼
►
to wanna use that, but--
02:15:05
◼
►
- So that's there too.
02:15:08
◼
►
I mean, there is, in some ways, Apple is benefiting
02:15:10
◼
►
from the release early and often.
02:15:13
◼
►
And especially in the way,
02:15:15
◼
►
I think the other thing we're seeing,
02:15:17
◼
►
and I think it makes sense to me,
02:15:19
◼
►
that software takes longer than hardware in some ways.
02:15:24
◼
►
Oh yeah, easy.
02:15:25
◼
►
Especially like to design, because it's too nebulous.
02:15:30
◼
►
There's too many infinite possibilities.
02:15:34
◼
►
It's the constraints of hardware.
02:15:36
◼
►
Like, well, look, it has to look good.
02:15:39
◼
►
Johnny's made this design.
02:15:40
◼
►
It can't be any bigger than this.
02:15:42
◼
►
It has to be this small so that there's like a model that people
02:15:45
◼
►
with smaller wrists and like women and children
02:15:47
◼
►
can wear without looking ridiculous.
02:15:50
◼
►
And the most energy efficient screen we have
02:15:55
◼
►
is gonna consume this much power
02:15:57
◼
►
and take all these constraints
02:15:58
◼
►
and figure out what the best thing is,
02:16:00
◼
►
is almost, it makes it faster to come up with the design
02:16:03
◼
►
than the infinite possibilities of software.
02:16:06
◼
►
- Yeah, although to be fair, I mean,
02:16:08
◼
►
I think as we're seeing the Apple Watch hardware
02:16:12
◼
►
get somewhat long in the tooth now,
02:16:15
◼
►
if you look around the smartwatch landscape,
02:16:17
◼
►
when the Apple Watch first came out,
02:16:18
◼
►
the smartwatch landscape looked pretty miserable.
02:16:20
◼
►
There was almost nothing else of value.
02:16:23
◼
►
There was, like, on the low end you had Pebble,
02:16:26
◼
►
and Pebble watches are basically the modern day
02:16:29
◼
►
geeks quartz watch.
02:16:30
◼
►
So it's like, you know, it's not like that,
02:16:35
◼
►
like, you know, high fashion, it's not particularly
02:16:38
◼
►
glamorous or even graceful or even, you know,
02:16:42
◼
►
necessarily even nice, but it served a very useful purpose
02:16:45
◼
►
and it was like a great utility.
02:16:48
◼
►
and it looked like it, but it was priced like it too,
02:16:50
◼
►
and it was fine.
02:16:51
◼
►
Then you had like--
02:16:52
◼
►
- I still, I root for them.
02:16:53
◼
►
I don't like Pebble.
02:16:54
◼
►
I bought one and I did not like it,
02:16:56
◼
►
but I still root for them as a company
02:16:57
◼
►
because I really enjoy the fact
02:16:59
◼
►
that they have a very different set of priorities
02:17:01
◼
►
than anybody else.
02:17:02
◼
►
They're definitely appealing to nerds.
02:17:04
◼
►
They're definitely appealing to people
02:17:07
◼
►
who wanna get notifications from apps and stuff,
02:17:08
◼
►
but they value practicality above anything else
02:17:12
◼
►
to a ridiculous degree,
02:17:14
◼
►
and that's very different than Apple.
02:17:16
◼
►
- And also, again,
02:17:17
◼
►
I gotta give them credit, their pricing is really low
02:17:19
◼
►
for what you're getting, it's a very good value.
02:17:21
◼
►
And then, so we had that and then we had like
02:17:23
◼
►
the initial batch of Android Wear watches
02:17:26
◼
►
which were just horrible, like they were just the worst.
02:17:29
◼
►
But that was now, what, almost two years ago.
02:17:33
◼
►
They've moved on, Pebble has gotten better,
02:17:36
◼
►
they're still not my style but I greatly respect
02:17:40
◼
►
the progress they've made in that time.
02:17:41
◼
►
And the Android Wear watches, like I'm now seeing
02:17:44
◼
►
Android Wear watches in person, in the world, like around.
02:17:48
◼
►
And occasionally, I'll be somewhere,
02:17:49
◼
►
like I was getting my windshield replaced,
02:17:52
◼
►
thanks Highway Rocks, and the service guy I was talking to
02:17:56
◼
►
had an Android Wear, I'm like, what is that watch?
02:17:58
◼
►
And I asked him about it, and it was,
02:18:00
◼
►
I forget which one he said it was,
02:18:01
◼
►
it was, is the LG Urbane a thing, is that a watch?
02:18:06
◼
►
It might have been that one
02:18:07
◼
►
that's sticking out my head for some reason.
02:18:08
◼
►
But I've seen now a number of Android Wear smartwatches
02:18:12
◼
►
in person that look decent.
02:18:15
◼
►
They're all pretty big for me,
02:18:17
◼
►
but they look decent.
02:18:19
◼
►
And I think they might even look more modern
02:18:24
◼
►
than the Apple Watch, possibly,
02:18:25
◼
►
just because it's a fresher look.
02:18:28
◼
►
Again, just like with the Mac Pro,
02:18:30
◼
►
Apple set the bar for this is gonna be the future
02:18:34
◼
►
and it's gonna be all this GPU power,
02:18:35
◼
►
then they just didn't follow through.
02:18:37
◼
►
With the Apple Watch, they set a big bar on fashion.
02:18:40
◼
►
and to have this object that is supposed to be
02:18:43
◼
►
like this fashionable accessory that you wear
02:18:47
◼
►
and then to not update the hardware for a long time
02:18:51
◼
►
is, I don't know, I worry about that with the Apple Watch,
02:18:54
◼
►
but I think it'll be all right in the long term.
02:18:58
◼
►
- I think we're seeing a pattern that repeated
02:18:59
◼
►
that started with the original iPhone where,
02:19:02
◼
►
so the iPhone 3G did come out a year
02:19:05
◼
►
after the original iPhone, but it was barely an upgrade.
02:19:09
◼
►
I mean, it was really just the 3G.
02:19:11
◼
►
And I always forget, there's something else.
02:19:13
◼
►
Maybe it was like GPS.
02:19:14
◼
►
- It had a GPS, yeah.
02:19:15
◼
►
- Yeah, so it wasn't just the 3G,
02:19:18
◼
►
but the 3G is the one that affected me on a daily basis.
02:19:20
◼
►
Like, I just remember thinking like,
02:19:22
◼
►
"Wow, I really hate the way this phone feels
02:19:25
◼
►
"compared to my old one, but oh my God,
02:19:26
◼
►
"3G is so much better than Edge."
02:19:29
◼
►
But otherwise, they really didn't get
02:19:31
◼
►
like a performance upgrade until the 3GS two years later.
02:19:34
◼
►
And so it's looking like the performance,
02:19:36
◼
►
the serious performance upgrade for the watch
02:19:38
◼
►
come two years after the announcement, a year and a half after it was released.
02:19:44
◼
►
I think ultimately what the Apple Watch needed from the beginning, and we're seeing some
02:19:50
◼
►
of that now with OS 3, and we'll see what happens on the hardware side, what it needed
02:19:54
◼
►
from the beginning was just like focus and editing.
02:19:56
◼
►
You know, like at the beginning it was like, "Oh, I can do all these different things,
02:19:59
◼
►
and we have this crazy gold version."
02:20:01
◼
►
You know, the number of like rough edges that got sanded off, you know, as the product found
02:20:05
◼
►
its place in the market. I think though like I don't know I mean you know you
02:20:12
◼
►
and I are both watch nerds also and I I'm not sure that the right formula for
02:20:19
◼
►
something that's supposed to be a mass-market watch is to have everybody
02:20:24
◼
►
wearing the same shape the same looking rectangle with different bands like
02:20:29
◼
►
physically I think there needs to be more variety in the physical attributes
02:20:35
◼
►
of the watch itself, for that to succeed in that way,
02:20:37
◼
►
if they want to, and they might not have a chance.
02:20:41
◼
►
Like, fashion and watch nerds might just move too quickly
02:20:44
◼
►
or be too picky, or, you know,
02:20:46
◼
►
it just might not work for them,
02:20:48
◼
►
but if they're gonna go for that, like,
02:20:51
◼
►
high-end or even mid-range fashionable angle for this,
02:20:55
◼
►
it needs more variety in the actual watch body.
02:20:59
◼
►
- I don't know about that. - And that requires
02:21:00
◼
►
a different kind of software focus that they're not taking,
02:21:03
◼
►
so I'm guessing they're not going in that direction,
02:21:04
◼
►
- Yeah, there doesn't seem to be anything in watchOS 3
02:21:06
◼
►
that would hint at a circular face, for example.
02:21:09
◼
►
- Yeah, or even just like, you know, maybe have,
02:21:11
◼
►
maybe have like a passive mode, or some,
02:21:14
◼
►
or where you're always showing something on screen,
02:21:16
◼
►
or maybe have, maybe have some that are, maybe not round,
02:21:19
◼
►
but like, maybe have like a thin model
02:21:21
◼
►
that maybe doesn't have the heart rate tracker on the back.
02:21:23
◼
►
If for people who don't want that, but want, you know,
02:21:25
◼
►
a dressier version or something, like,
02:21:28
◼
►
just having more hardware variety,
02:21:29
◼
►
'cause like bands are nice, and they do make amazing bands.
02:21:33
◼
►
Overall, Apple's watch bands are excellent.
02:21:35
◼
►
And some of them, like the Link bracelet,
02:21:37
◼
►
I think I've never seen anything better than that
02:21:39
◼
►
in the rest of the watch world.
02:21:40
◼
►
But, but like, there's still like,
02:21:44
◼
►
you're still basically everyone's wearing the same watch.
02:21:47
◼
►
And when it comes to fashion, the one thing,
02:21:49
◼
►
I don't know a lot about fashion,
02:21:51
◼
►
but the one thing I do know is that you don't wanna be
02:21:53
◼
►
wearing literally the exact same thing
02:21:54
◼
►
everybody else is wearing.
02:21:57
◼
►
- You want some kind of variety there,
02:21:58
◼
►
some kind of individuality,
02:22:00
◼
►
and putting on a different band is not enough.
02:22:02
◼
►
That helps, it's better than nothing, but it's not enough.
02:22:04
◼
►
- While at WWDC, I had a very enjoyable afternoon
02:22:09
◼
►
with CGP Grey, a good friend of yours.
02:22:14
◼
►
- That guy's an enigma.
02:22:16
◼
►
- It was, it was funny.
02:22:17
◼
►
I was gonna bring up coffee, but we met,
02:22:20
◼
►
we started with coffee, and we met at Blue Bottle,
02:22:23
◼
►
and it was very, very funny,
02:22:25
◼
►
'cause I didn't know what he looked like.
02:22:27
◼
►
It was like, "Oh, what about Blue Bottle?
02:22:29
◼
►
"I'll meet you there, I need coffee."
02:22:30
◼
►
And he's like, "I need coffee too."
02:22:31
◼
►
So I got there and as right as I got to the line,
02:22:36
◼
►
and the line was very long,
02:22:38
◼
►
I mean like long even by blue bottle standards,
02:22:41
◼
►
I got a DM from Gray that just said,
02:22:43
◼
►
"No man should stand on the line this long."
02:22:45
◼
►
And I turned around and there he was.
02:22:48
◼
►
And it was exquisitely pulled in.
02:22:49
◼
►
It was an amazing introduction 'cause he timed the text
02:22:53
◼
►
and as soon as I turned around, there he was.
02:22:55
◼
►
And I just said, "Yeah, this sucks, let's go to Pete's."
02:22:58
◼
►
And he was like, "Fine."
02:22:59
◼
►
And we just walked over to the,
02:23:01
◼
►
I can't even tell you during WWDC how often that happens.
02:23:04
◼
►
I like Blue Bottle, but I don't like Blue Bottle,
02:23:06
◼
►
wait half an hour in line,
02:23:08
◼
►
and then wait another 10 minutes for the drip.
02:23:11
◼
►
- No, it is good coffee, but it's not that good.
02:23:13
◼
►
It isn't good enough to wait on that line.
02:23:15
◼
►
- So we got, you knew were there with me
02:23:17
◼
►
the day of the keynote.
02:23:19
◼
►
We went to Phil's, or Phil's E,
02:23:21
◼
►
I don't know how you pronounce it.
02:23:21
◼
►
- I think it's just Phil's.
02:23:22
◼
►
I liked it, honestly.
02:23:23
◼
►
I had a good cup of coffee there.
02:23:26
◼
►
I would say that was the best cup of coffee
02:23:27
◼
►
I had that week.
02:23:28
◼
►
- Well, I also liked their system,
02:23:30
◼
►
where you don't just order and then it goes in a queue.
02:23:33
◼
►
It's like you wait for a barista to become available
02:23:36
◼
►
and then you place your order and then they make your,
02:23:40
◼
►
I always get drip coffee,
02:23:41
◼
►
and then they make your drip coffee
02:23:43
◼
►
and it takes like two or three minutes.
02:23:44
◼
►
I got worried 'cause I skipped out of the keynote
02:23:47
◼
►
about 20 minutes before it started
02:23:49
◼
►
because they ran out of, they didn't have--
02:23:50
◼
►
- It was like 10 minutes.
02:23:52
◼
►
You were late, weren't you?
02:23:53
◼
►
- No, I was there with plenty,
02:23:55
◼
►
I was there with a couple minutes to spare.
02:23:56
◼
►
So what happened is I got to the Bill Graham Center
02:23:59
◼
►
at like 9.05 in the morning.
02:24:01
◼
►
And I think they let people in before nine o'clock,
02:24:04
◼
►
the press people at least.
02:24:05
◼
►
And I got there at like 9.05, 9.10, I said hello,
02:24:08
◼
►
I saw some people I knew and some Apple PR people
02:24:11
◼
►
and said hello, hello, went over to the coffee
02:24:13
◼
►
and it was all gone.
02:24:14
◼
►
It was all gone at like 9.10.
02:24:17
◼
►
And I was like, what the hell's going on?
02:24:19
◼
►
And I went in and I found a seat and--
02:24:21
◼
►
- I mean, granted, if that was the same coffee
02:24:24
◼
►
they were serving outside on the line,
02:24:25
◼
►
they were doing you a favor.
02:24:27
◼
►
I guess, because it probably was the same coffee.
02:24:31
◼
►
It just threw me off, because my normal way
02:24:34
◼
►
is to go to Blue Bottle.
02:24:36
◼
►
And then I go with my Blue Bottle,
02:24:38
◼
►
and then go to Moscow-- when I used to be at Moscone--
02:24:40
◼
►
and then go say hi to all my friends who
02:24:43
◼
►
are waiting in line for the keynote while I've done it
02:24:47
◼
►
Yes, every year.
02:24:49
◼
►
You're waiting in line, and you've been up
02:24:51
◼
►
since like 5 in the morning.
02:24:53
◼
►
And I just woke up, and I have delicious coffee,
02:24:55
◼
►
and I'm gonna use my magic press pass
02:24:57
◼
►
to go right to the front of the line and get in.
02:24:59
◼
►
- And get a front row seat.
02:25:00
◼
►
- And I've always enjoyed that.
02:25:02
◼
►
Well, I didn't know what to do this time.
02:25:03
◼
►
I had to get a cab to get to the build,
02:25:06
◼
►
I didn't have to get a cab,
02:25:07
◼
►
but to get there as soon as I could, I wanted to get there.
02:25:10
◼
►
So anyway, 20 of or so I told Ben, I was like,
02:25:12
◼
►
"Screw this, I'm gonna go find coffee."
02:25:14
◼
►
So I ran out of the building
02:25:15
◼
►
and found the Phil Z about two blocks away.
02:25:18
◼
►
And I didn't know anything about Phil Z
02:25:22
◼
►
except I'd heard good things,
02:25:23
◼
►
but I just wanted to drip coffee.
02:25:24
◼
►
And Ben wanted one too.
02:25:26
◼
►
So Ben didn't have the guts to go.
02:25:27
◼
►
He just said, "Get me one."
02:25:29
◼
►
And I saw that they were gonna make it pour over
02:25:32
◼
►
and that they didn't have pre-made coffee
02:25:34
◼
►
that they could just pour into a cup for me.
02:25:36
◼
►
And I thought, oh, this, at Blue Bottle,
02:25:39
◼
►
this would take too long.
02:25:40
◼
►
I'd missed the opening of the keynote.
02:25:41
◼
►
I said, "How long is this gonna take?"
02:25:42
◼
►
And she goes, "Oh, just two or three minutes."
02:25:44
◼
►
And two minutes later, I had my two coffees
02:25:46
◼
►
and I was out the door.
02:25:51
◼
►
I was so sad because I had just met Federico Vatici
02:25:55
◼
►
late the night before.
02:25:57
◼
►
And he's really into, he's Italian for one,
02:26:00
◼
►
and he's really into coffee.
02:26:01
◼
►
And so I had to have my first coffee with Federico Vatici
02:26:06
◼
►
as the crappy coffee in the line at Bill Graham.
02:26:11
◼
►
And I was like, I'm so sorry, I'm like,
02:26:13
◼
►
we shouldn't really drink this, like please.
02:26:15
◼
►
And to have that be the first coffee that I have
02:26:19
◼
►
with Federico Vatici is just heartbreaking.
02:26:21
◼
►
- And so fortunately, we went with you after the keynote,
02:26:24
◼
►
we met you outside and we went with you
02:26:26
◼
►
and we went back to Pete's and got better coffee there.
02:26:28
◼
►
- Phil Z we went to.
02:26:29
◼
►
- Yeah, right, yeah, sorry, Phil Z, yeah.
02:26:32
◼
►
And that was so much better, I feel like that made up for it
02:26:34
◼
►
like I'm just gonna forget about the urn coffee
02:26:38
◼
►
that we had in the line and just hope nobody
02:26:42
◼
►
got a picture of it and, oh man, it was such a shame.
02:26:45
◼
►
But you know, the Phil's or Phil Z actually made up for it
02:26:49
◼
►
that was really good coffee and I had that for the line going back into the
02:26:52
◼
►
State of the Union and that was like I feel like that was like the forgiveness
02:26:55
◼
►
for the morning. I kind of can't believe how honest their system is like you go
02:27:00
◼
►
to a barista you wait you wait till a barista calls you and it's sort of like
02:27:04
◼
►
a barbershop system where you wait in line until a barista says okay I'm ready
02:27:08
◼
►
next and then you go to the barista they make whatever you ordered then they call
02:27:12
◼
►
your name when it's ready and they give you the drink you haven't paid for
02:27:15
◼
►
anything yet. They just give you the drink and then you are—it's just on you to go
02:27:19
◼
►
over to where the register is, which is separate, and then just tell them what's in the cup,
02:27:23
◼
►
and then you pay what you owe them. I'm glad, because it seems like it makes it very efficient,
02:27:29
◼
►
but it seems to rely on the honor policy to a degree that you don't really see in retail
02:27:36
◼
►
I'm also curious to hear if you get any flack about us talking up fills on this episode,
02:27:42
◼
►
when I tweeted a few days back that Phil's was the best
02:27:46
◼
►
cup of coffee I had in San Francisco that week,
02:27:49
◼
►
I got a lot of responses that seemed to indicate
02:27:52
◼
►
this is not a widespread opinion.
02:27:54
◼
►
And that apparently Phil's is looked down upon
02:27:58
◼
►
by a lot of coffee snobs in San Francisco.
02:28:00
◼
►
And I gotta say, I only had one cup of coffee there
02:28:03
◼
►
'cause it was only near Bill Graham.
02:28:06
◼
►
I don't think there was one closer to where we were.
02:28:08
◼
►
- Yeah, I don't think so either.
02:28:09
◼
►
- I only had the one cup there,
02:28:11
◼
►
But that one cup was definitely way better
02:28:14
◼
►
than what I had at Blue Bottle,
02:28:16
◼
►
what I had at other places, like way better.
02:28:18
◼
►
- I'm not, I don't have the fine palette that you do,
02:28:21
◼
►
but I had one, I think I only had one Blue Bottle this week
02:28:24
◼
►
and it was good, but the combined experience was worse
02:28:27
◼
►
because even in the best case scenario,
02:28:29
◼
►
you have to wait so much longer.
02:28:30
◼
►
- Right, I have never gone to Blue Bottle in San Francisco
02:28:33
◼
►
and decided, you know what, that was worth it.
02:28:34
◼
►
Because it's like, I always, you know, I try to go,
02:28:37
◼
►
I try to go like before going to the first session
02:28:40
◼
►
Moscone. And so I'm in kind of a rush and I never leave enough time when I wake up in
02:28:46
◼
►
the morning because who wants to wake up earlier than you have to. So you know, it's certainly
02:28:50
◼
►
So like, you know, I go down the blue bottle, there's this huge line, I'm like, "Oh, you
02:28:53
◼
►
got to be kidding me." I wait in the line, I wait, I wait, I wait. Eventually I get the
02:28:57
◼
►
coffee after way too long and I'm sitting there and then I had like, you know, something
02:29:00
◼
►
cost fallacy halfway through the line like, "God, I really, this is, I'm going to be late
02:29:04
◼
►
to the session, I'm going to miss the first 20 minutes of it if I wait in this line, but
02:29:07
◼
►
I've already weighed on this line for the last 15 minutes. It seems like I'm getting close to the beginning, you know
02:29:11
◼
►
So all the all those fallacies and stresses finally get the coffee and then I have a problem on my hands because now I have this
02:29:19
◼
►
Huge full cup of very very hot liquid. They don't double cup there the best you could
02:29:25
◼
►
They don't have those little jackets
02:29:27
◼
►
The best you can do is wrap a napkin around to try to insulate your hand from this scorching hot cup of coffee that
02:29:33
◼
►
Like I saw then I have to walk from there to Moscone which is you know a medium walk a few blocks
02:29:39
◼
►
Trying to spill this coffee on my hand or anywhere else as I'm walking with it
02:29:43
◼
►
But it's way too hot to begin drinking
02:29:45
◼
►
then I finally get to Moscone and I have again this
02:29:48
◼
►
giant cup of hot liquid that I have to just like still be carrying with me and doing something with
02:29:52
◼
►
Until I finally go into a session at which point there's nowhere to put it in the session
02:29:56
◼
►
You know, you can put it on the floor
02:29:58
◼
►
But that's a big risk getting kicked over and you don't want to be that guy who spills hot coffee on the on the rug
02:30:03
◼
►
in Moscone. So like you're basically left like holding this thing for like the
02:30:07
◼
►
next half hour as it cools down to a drinkable temperature and then you have
02:30:11
◼
►
this giant cup of coffee that you basically have to finish and usually
02:30:14
◼
►
that's too much caffeine for me even at even their small size usually I only
02:30:17
◼
►
drink like two-thirds of it but I feel kind of pressured to finish the whole
02:30:20
◼
►
thing is like well I have nowhere to put this then I'm like buzzed over the whole
02:30:23
◼
►
person it's just every time I say you know what that wasn't worth it next time
02:30:28
◼
►
I should just either like you know grab an espresso somewhere you know anywhere
02:30:32
◼
►
anywhere can serve a reasonable espresso in that area. So like, just grab a quick espresso,
02:30:37
◼
►
or just tolerate the Moscone coffee, or just drink tea. Every time I think that, and every
02:30:42
◼
►
time I forget to do it the next time.
02:30:44
◼
►
John Greenewald They need those things that Gray and Brady
02:30:47
◼
►
are always talking about, the hot stoppers. Isn't that what they call them?
02:30:49
◼
►
Ben de la Torre Yeah, that would solve one of those problems.
02:30:51
◼
►
John Greenewald It would solve the travel problem.
02:30:52
◼
►
Ben de la Torre Yes, but that's it.
02:30:53
◼
►
John Greenewald Philz gives out hot stoppers because there
02:30:55
◼
►
was, I actually kind of jogged back from Philz to the keynote with two coffees. And so without
02:31:01
◼
►
hot stoppers I would have two mangled scarred hands anyway but you would have
02:31:07
◼
►
good coffee though the whole reason I brought or was reminded to mention gray
02:31:11
◼
►
was I know one of his pet bugaboos with the watch as he wants third-party watch
02:31:17
◼
►
faces yeah I love that I broke it to him and I'm gonna break it to you that that
02:31:21
◼
►
is never gonna happen it is not gonna happen and this is gonna make sense to
02:31:26
◼
►
you and it made sense to Gray but it's this weird crevice that Apple and only
02:31:31
◼
►
Apple is in in the smartwatch world where they do fancying themselves to be
02:31:37
◼
►
a real watch company and as a real watch company they have there's certain things
02:31:44
◼
►
that everything anything that you can see is always going to be San Francisco
02:31:47
◼
►
now they could maybe enforce that for third parties possibly any analog dial
02:31:53
◼
►
is going to use those hands. That's the Apple style of watch hands.
02:31:58
◼
►
The big ovals. I don't know what you call them, but those big ovals, the
02:32:02
◼
►
capsule-shaped hands. I guess they're... are they? Yeah, they are ovals. Yeah.
02:32:06
◼
►
Yeah. And, you know, in the real world, high-end watch companies
02:32:12
◼
►
typically have things like that, like the hands on a Rolex. They're not all
02:32:16
◼
►
identical. There might be like two or three different styles of Rolex hands,
02:32:19
◼
►
but they're all Rolexes are have hands that are instantly recognizable as Rolex hands.
02:32:25
◼
►
Yeah, they're kind of all like in a family.
02:32:27
◼
►
Yeah, in a family. And the dials are all unmistakably Rolex style dials. And insert
02:32:35
◼
►
name of your favorite high-end watch company here. And those things are true for all of them,
02:32:41
◼
►
because anybody if it wasn't true for them, they wouldn't be a high-end watch company.
02:32:44
◼
►
And Apple fancies itself a high-end watch company and therefore,
02:32:47
◼
►
And if you look at all of their dials, other than the Mickey one, which is sort of an exception,
02:32:52
◼
►
the Mickey ones are a little different.
02:32:57
◼
►
They're unmistakably Apple watchy.
02:32:59
◼
►
There's an Apple watchiness to all of their analog ones and the digital ones too.
02:33:05
◼
►
So therefore there's no way they're going to open that up to third parties and have
02:33:08
◼
►
people making watches that look like, I don't know, Omegas or something like that.
02:33:14
◼
►
It's never going to happen.
02:33:15
◼
►
- There's so many, yeah, I mean,
02:33:17
◼
►
there's the intellectual property infringement problem.
02:33:20
◼
►
And if you look at other smartwatch platforms,
02:33:22
◼
►
you know, Pebble, Android, like, they do have this problem
02:33:24
◼
►
where there are tons of, like, knockoff faces
02:33:28
◼
►
of, like, popular watch brands.
02:33:29
◼
►
Like, there's just copyright and trademark infringement
02:33:32
◼
►
all over the place.
02:33:32
◼
►
Like, it's a mess.
02:33:34
◼
►
And so, of course, Apple wouldn't want that,
02:33:35
◼
►
and certainly wouldn't want the liability
02:33:37
◼
►
of dealing with that, nor the kind of, like,
02:33:38
◼
►
you know, lowbrow nature of that.
02:33:40
◼
►
But also, you know, technically speaking,
02:33:42
◼
►
I think there's a lot of technical reasons
02:33:44
◼
►
why Apple would want to control the face app.
02:33:47
◼
►
And they could overcome these barriers
02:33:50
◼
►
if they really wanted to.
02:33:50
◼
►
They could make like, basically like a watch face kit
02:33:54
◼
►
and have you kind of like supply certain custom behaviors
02:33:58
◼
►
or certain graphics or whatever else
02:34:00
◼
►
but have them kind of still run the code.
02:34:02
◼
►
They could do a system like that if they wanted to.
02:34:05
◼
►
But I think they don't want to for these reasons.
02:34:07
◼
►
And I think you're right
02:34:08
◼
►
that we're probably never gonna get that.
02:34:09
◼
►
And honestly, the reason I want it is completely selfish.
02:34:13
◼
►
The reason I want it is because I want to design my own watch face is because I'm a huge like watch face design critic nerd.
02:34:20
◼
►
Like, I nitpick every watch face I see and there are very few that I'm happy with.
02:34:25
◼
►
And even the ones I'm happy with I'm usually like only mostly happy with because I'm that kind of nerd.
02:34:30
◼
►
And I think you are probably similar in that regard. Is that safe?
02:34:34
◼
►
Yeah, there's watches that I like except I find if I find that the hour hand is just too close to the size of the minute hand, it's out.
02:34:43
◼
►
- Yeah, I mean like, yeah, 'cause that's legitimate.
02:34:46
◼
►
That impacts legibility of telling the time quickly.
02:34:48
◼
►
- Yeah, and, or vice versa.
02:34:50
◼
►
Maybe the hour hand strikes me as too small.
02:34:52
◼
►
Now there's, it's, there's no confusion,
02:34:55
◼
►
but to me it just looks ungainly.
02:34:58
◼
►
- Right. - Has to be in proportion.
02:34:59
◼
►
- And I'm in trouble with watch faces
02:35:01
◼
►
because I've been affected by,
02:35:03
◼
►
I've been bitten by the like,
02:35:05
◼
►
getting annoyed by poor placement of date windows bug.
02:35:09
◼
►
- Yeah. - Where like,
02:35:10
◼
►
There's like this design virus
02:35:13
◼
►
destroying the watch industry right now
02:35:14
◼
►
'cause everyone's putting date windows all over the place
02:35:16
◼
►
'cause it turns out most people who buy a watch
02:35:18
◼
►
want to have the date on it somewhere.
02:35:20
◼
►
And so you have to kind of like shove it somewhere
02:35:22
◼
►
on the dial and there's lots of easy
02:35:25
◼
►
but bad places to do it.
02:35:26
◼
►
Like oh, we'll just cut the three in half
02:35:28
◼
►
and kind of stick it there.
02:35:30
◼
►
Or we're gonna stick it diagonally
02:35:31
◼
►
between the four and the five and it's like,
02:35:33
◼
►
oh, it just looks so bad.
02:35:35
◼
►
- I'm picky about things like that,
02:35:37
◼
►
But the date complication in particular,
02:35:41
◼
►
you opened my eyes to the fact
02:35:43
◼
►
that there's a lot of watches coming out
02:35:44
◼
►
where it's in a bad place.
02:35:45
◼
►
And then once you start looking for it, you see it.
02:35:47
◼
►
And I think one of the reasons why is the,
02:35:50
◼
►
so many watches don't make their own movements.
02:35:54
◼
►
And so they're using like an ETA movement
02:35:57
◼
►
or the Japanese company now that ETA isn't really
02:36:01
◼
►
selling their movements on the open market.
02:36:04
◼
►
But if you're limited by what you can do
02:36:07
◼
►
to the standard movement, you're limited in certain ways
02:36:10
◼
►
as to where the date can go,
02:36:11
◼
►
and all of a sudden it just sticks out like,
02:36:13
◼
►
well, they didn't wanna put the date there,
02:36:15
◼
►
but they had to, and you can just see it.
02:36:19
◼
►
- It bothers me.
02:36:21
◼
►
- So many otherwise great watch face designs
02:36:23
◼
►
are ruined by a bad date window.
02:36:26
◼
►
Anything else you wanted to talk about this week?
02:36:27
◼
►
What else do you have on the list?
02:36:29
◼
►
- I mean, we've definitely lost all the listeners
02:36:31
◼
►
talking about watch design, so don't worry.
02:36:33
◼
►
Everyone's gone. - No, I don't think so.
02:36:34
◼
►
I think it ties in with watchOS 3.
02:36:36
◼
►
I really do.
02:36:37
◼
►
- I bet you have just lost more listeners
02:36:39
◼
►
during the last five minutes than you lose
02:36:40
◼
►
when you talk about baseball.
02:36:44
◼
►
- I don't wanna talk about the podcast thing
02:36:46
◼
►
with the midroll.
02:36:47
◼
►
- Nah, it's too late.
02:36:48
◼
►
I don't wanna talk about it.
02:36:51
◼
►
What about this car shifter thing?
02:36:52
◼
►
Do you see that?
02:36:53
◼
►
- I know the story, I know the whole recall thing.
02:36:56
◼
►
I have not actually seen the shifter,
02:36:58
◼
►
but I saw all the anecdotes of the complaints
02:37:01
◼
►
people had filed about like you know this this exact model of car or you know
02:37:05
◼
►
something with the same shit like this it started rolling backwards when I got
02:37:09
◼
►
out because I thought it was in park and I guess it shifts itself into neutral or
02:37:12
◼
►
something. I've never seen a car like this before I don't I guess I don't find
02:37:15
◼
►
myself in new cars all that often but it so the the car so the terrible traffic
02:37:20
◼
►
a picture of it this Anton Yelchin the guy who played Chekhov in the new Star
02:37:24
◼
►
Trek movies died in a terrible freak accident where is his Jeep Cherokee he
02:37:30
◼
►
got out of it, he thought he had it in park, apparently got out of it and it was in either
02:37:35
◼
►
in neutral or reverse and ran down the hill and pinned him against his own gate and he
02:37:40
◼
►
got killed. The design of this shifter is so bad. It just goes up and down. It's like
02:37:44
◼
►
a paddle. Think of it like a paddle shifter. So like if you're like in different mode,
02:37:49
◼
►
just kind of like, you know, up, up, up, down, down, that kind of thing. Yeah, it's exactly,
02:37:52
◼
►
it's like thinking of like it's so it's like you just hit up three times to put it in park,
02:37:57
◼
►
but if you hit up two times, you're in neutral.
02:37:59
◼
►
Or maybe it's like how hard you press it or something.
02:38:01
◼
►
But you're not actually moving it and clicking it
02:38:04
◼
►
into these positions like you do on a traditional one.
02:38:06
◼
►
And so it's so easy, I just cannot believe
02:38:09
◼
►
that this design shipped because I think I would see
02:38:14
◼
►
what a problem this design is, even without having
02:38:17
◼
►
the benefit of this tragic news story to put it in context.
02:38:20
◼
►
Because it just seems to me like this is a design
02:38:23
◼
►
where you have to be paying very close attention
02:38:25
◼
►
to the indicator light of what gear you're on.
02:38:27
◼
►
Whereas with the traditional one, I don't even look.
02:38:31
◼
►
I just hit the brake, push all the way up,
02:38:34
◼
►
and I know I'm in park.
02:38:35
◼
►
I can absolutely, with 100% certainty,
02:38:38
◼
►
put my car into park every single time blindfolded.
02:38:42
◼
►
- Right, I mean, this is, I think,
02:38:45
◼
►
I've seen in a lot of cars recently,
02:38:47
◼
►
especially higher-end cars and newer cars,
02:38:49
◼
►
a lot of the makers are kind of playing
02:38:51
◼
►
with the shifter lever and redesigning them
02:38:53
◼
►
different ways to make them electronically control
02:38:55
◼
►
instead of a direct linkage.
02:38:58
◼
►
And I apologize in advance to John Siracusa
02:39:01
◼
►
for getting any of this wrong
02:39:02
◼
►
'cause he's way more of a car nerd than I am.
02:39:04
◼
►
But basically everyone is messing with the shifter design
02:39:07
◼
►
and the parking brake designs.
02:39:10
◼
►
And there's so many of them are electronic now
02:39:11
◼
►
and so they have these weird controls
02:39:13
◼
►
that are of poor design.
02:39:16
◼
►
The good ones I've seen, it's weird at first to get used to,
02:39:20
◼
►
but it's actually better long-term,
02:39:22
◼
►
which is like the BMW ones,
02:39:25
◼
►
park is a button on top of the shifter.
02:39:28
◼
►
So the shifter moving up and down
02:39:29
◼
►
switches you between reverse neutral drive,
02:39:31
◼
►
but if you wanna put it in park,
02:39:32
◼
►
it's actually a button on top.
02:39:33
◼
►
So you can't, it's very clear
02:39:36
◼
►
which one of those things you're doing.
02:39:37
◼
►
Tesla's the same way, where Tesla, it's a column shifter,
02:39:40
◼
►
which this is the first time I've ever had a column shifter,
02:39:43
◼
►
but I got used to it pretty quick
02:39:45
◼
►
because it's like down is drive,
02:39:47
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and then there's a button on the end to hit it for park,
02:39:49
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and you have to hit that button every time.
02:39:50
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and the physical action of pushing that button in
02:39:55
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is nothing like any other operation on that lever.
02:39:57
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So you're very unlikely to accidentally do it.
02:40:00
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- Right, whereas on this Jeep design,
02:40:03
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putting it in park is just pushing a little bit long,
02:40:06
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►
either, I'm not quite sure if it's how long you press up
02:40:08
◼
►
or how many times you press up,
02:40:10
◼
►
but it's only ever so slightly different
02:40:12
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►
than putting it into neutral.
02:40:13
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►
And I'm laughing, and it's terrible that this guy died
02:40:16
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►
and that other people have obviously been hurt too
02:40:18
◼
►
because there's a product recall.
02:40:20
◼
►
But it's just mind-boggling that you would make
02:40:23
◼
►
putting it in park something that's hard to distinguish.
02:40:26
◼
►
- Yeah, I mean, it's, the bad design that goes into
02:40:31
◼
►
car interiors and that actually ships in car interiors
02:40:35
◼
►
boggles my mind.
02:40:36
◼
►
Like, there's so, and this is like way worse
02:40:39
◼
►
than date windows on watches.
02:40:40
◼
►
There is so much horrible design in car interiors
02:40:44
◼
►
and the controls in car interiors these days.
02:40:46
◼
►
- I don't think anybody's ever been killed
02:40:48
◼
►
by a poor placement of a date window on a watch dial?
02:40:50
◼
►
- Probably not.
02:40:52
◼
►
It's horrible, 'cause you know, as we see with this,
02:40:57
◼
►
design flaws in cars, that can cause
02:41:01
◼
►
actually fatal consequences.
02:41:03
◼
►
That can actually get people killed,
02:41:04
◼
►
and often they do actually get people killed.
02:41:07
◼
►
And it's, they gotta take design seriously,
02:41:10
◼
►
and when you have something like this,
02:41:11
◼
►
it's like, does anybody actually think about this?
02:41:14
◼
►
Do they do any testing?
02:41:15
◼
►
I mean, like, ah, it's just a tragedy.
02:41:18
◼
►
- Yeah, I do see the origins of why they would ship
02:41:23
◼
►
this horrible design was just the basic idea of,
02:41:25
◼
►
we wanna switch to an electronic system
02:41:28
◼
►
instead of a analog system of where this is.
02:41:32
◼
►
But, so okay, there's the why,
02:41:34
◼
►
but this was not the answer.
02:41:36
◼
►
This is terrible.
02:41:38
◼
►
Anything else?
02:41:41
◼
►
- No, I think that's it.
02:41:41
◼
►
we've definitely put most of the audience to sleep
02:41:45
◼
►
or lost them in the watch discussion.
02:41:47
◼
►
- I don't think so.
02:41:48
◼
►
I think people are gonna love the watch discussion.
02:41:50
◼
►
All right, well, we are under three hours,
02:41:52
◼
►
so that's exactly as predicted.
02:41:54
◼
►
I wanna thank our sponsors in reverse order,
02:41:56
◼
►
Ministry of Supply, Audible, and Wealthfront.
02:42:01
◼
►
And I wanna thank you, Marco Arment,
02:42:04
◼
►
your podcast, Accidental Tech Podcast, is at ATP.fm.
02:42:09
◼
►
You've also got, what else do you got?
02:42:11
◼
►
I got more podcasts now.
02:42:12
◼
►
- I got Under the Radar with _DavidSmith,
02:42:14
◼
►
relay.fm/radar, Top Four with my wife,
02:42:17
◼
►
relay.fm/topfour.
02:42:19
◼
►
- The wonderful Tiff Arment.
02:42:21
◼
►
- Yeah, she's the best.
02:42:23
◼
►
- Do you feel bad with the developer one
02:42:26
◼
►
where _ was totally up to date and knew all the APIs
02:42:29
◼
►
by Tuesday of WWDC week?
02:42:31
◼
►
Or do you just feel like, no, this is great,
02:42:35
◼
►
_ will fill me in on what I need to know?
02:42:38
◼
►
- Basically the latter.
02:42:39
◼
►
When you first become friends with Underscore,
02:42:42
◼
►
if you're a developer, you just feel incredibly lazy
02:42:45
◼
►
and inadequate by comparison.
02:42:46
◼
►
You're like, my God, what I did during this time
02:42:49
◼
►
was have a steak and edit a few photos and go to sleep.
02:42:54
◼
►
And what he did during this time was make four new apps
02:42:57
◼
►
and learn everything about all the APIs.
02:42:59
◼
►
And yeah, you definitely feel like, wow,
02:43:02
◼
►
I waste a lot of time compared to this guy.
02:43:03
◼
►
- He runs at a higher metabolism, clearly.
02:43:05
◼
►
We ran into him on Sunday, the first day we were out
02:43:08
◼
►
for WWDC and me and Amy and Paul,
02:43:12
◼
►
friend of the show Paul Kufasos,
02:43:16
◼
►
walked over to the Bill Graham Center
02:43:18
◼
►
so I could get my credentials and stuff.
02:43:20
◼
►
And we ran into Underscore on the way.
02:43:22
◼
►
We ran into a bunch, it was amazing,
02:43:23
◼
►
we ran into so many people on the way.
02:43:25
◼
►
Underscore is there, we're all freezing.
02:43:27
◼
►
It is like 61 degrees and windy
02:43:29
◼
►
and everybody is just frozen to bone.
02:43:31
◼
►
Underscore is wearing shorts and a t-shirt
02:43:32
◼
►
and looks totally comfortable.
02:43:35
◼
►
- Yeah, I mean, no, he's,
02:43:36
◼
►
The frustrating thing about Underscore is that he's just a really great person and there's
02:43:41
◼
►
basically no downsides.
02:43:45
◼
►
When somebody's super together in life, it's tempting to think, "Man, at least they're
02:43:51
◼
►
a jerk or something."
02:43:52
◼
►
You try to find something that makes you feel less bad about how you are less productive
02:43:57
◼
►
than them or something.
02:43:58
◼
►
With him, you just can't find that because he is just a really good guy.
02:44:02
◼
►
He's also very productive and it's very frustrating.
02:44:05
◼
►
The other thing that killed me is he was wearing a really big backpack.
02:44:07
◼
►
And so it looked like it was, you know, it was like,
02:44:10
◼
►
why are you wearing a big backpack? And it turns out that that was,
02:44:12
◼
►
it actually wasn't a really big backpack. It was a really small, uh,
02:44:16
◼
►
this is everything he had for the entire week. Like he is,
02:44:20
◼
►
he was just getting at, he hadn't checked into his hotel yet.
02:44:23
◼
►
So like everything he brought for an entire week in San Francisco was in the,
02:44:28
◼
►
you know, when I was thinking of just walking around for the afternoon,
02:44:32
◼
►
look like a very big backpack. When it realized that it was everything he had for the week,
02:44:36
◼
►
it's like, "I cannot believe how efficient he is. He's got to know one of those secret
02:44:40
◼
►
techniques for folding t-shirts or something."
02:44:42
◼
►
Marc Thiessen Yeah, we all have a lot to learn from him.
02:44:45
◼
►
Dave Asprey All right, thank you, Marco.
02:44:47
◼
►
Marc Thiessen Thanks.