43: All The Leaks Are Wrong
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last day of school oh big day talk about a big day that's it's like the greatest
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holiday in the world so you get a half day you know what they do and it's awful
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I think is is it's like a not a quite a half day it's like an early dismissal
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and then there's a sing a quote unquote thing where you the parents are invited
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to go to the gym the gymnasium great acoustics there and the kids sing like
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three songs and then they get to go home. I skipped. I'm missing it right now as we
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Mike: Well, my kid's got another week. I don't know why. Your kid goes to like a...
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Dave: Private school.
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Mike; A fancy military academy.
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Academy yeah it's a military a lot of marching it's nice though because
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usually it's one of those things that last most years it coincides with WWDC
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so I don't get to be here for last day of school but this year it's it's a week
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early so so I think usually his schedule would be next week - it's I don't know
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why I don't know you know it's it seems like all sorts of early June stuff has
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been moved around this year?
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Tim Cynova Well, some of those private schools use older
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Dave Asprey Like ones like Gregorian calendars or something?
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Tim Cynova Yeah, something.
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Yeah, Julian.
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Is there a Julian calendar?
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Dave Asprey Just to maintain their tradition.
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Tim Cynova That's right because they've been using
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them for years.
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They don't want to switch.
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That's why it's a private school.
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They didn't want the government telling them which calendar to use.
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You know, I had a conversation with my son.
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He's really into the Harry Potter books now.
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And I couldn't be prouder, because I didn't read books of that length
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when I was in third grade.
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I never read for pleasure.
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I was-- I don't know.
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It's amazing I turned out to be a writer.
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So I'm super proud of him, and he's really into them.
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And at one point, he said something about, wouldn't it be great if this were real
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and I could go to Hogwarts?
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And I said, well, it sounds like fun.
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But think about it.
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You'd have to move away from me and your mom.
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You'd have to go there.
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And he just looked at me, and he was like, and your point is--
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and I was like, wow.
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That was most of the idea.
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It's like he doesn't even care about the Defense
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Against the Dark Arts crap.
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He just wants to get out of the house already.
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I just want to live in a dorm somewhere.
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I really thought we could wait until he
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was a teenager for that.
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I guess they really do that in Britain, or at least they used to, right?
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They used to have schools like that where they go away at like 11.
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Yeah, I think it was a-- they have a weird thing too where a public school in Britain
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is what we call a private school.
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And I don't know what they call it, what we call a public school.
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But like a public--
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I believe they call it a lorry.
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So I made an app.
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Yeah, I read about it.
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It was on the internet.
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I read about it on your site.
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It was a very nice thing.
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Oh, I also used it for two weeks before it came out.
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I use it every day.
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Do you really?
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I mean, that's how I knew that.
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That's how I felt like I told myself in the lead up to releasing.
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Every time I get real nervous, I'd be like, "You know what?
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I like it, so it's got to be something."
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I mean, of course, I'm on your podcast, so I have to suck up to you.
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But I do like it.
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>> No, you don't really.
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I think it would be dynamite.
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It would be great if we had an argument over if you said, "You know what?
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This is a real turd."
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>> It's the worst app I've ever used.
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I use it to – I wrote on my website.
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I use it to track story ideas for the most part, just things that I want to write about
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and possibly stuff that I might want to pitch to Macworld or some other place.
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and I just keep track of it. I tag it by who I might want to pitch it to, and they got
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ten really shitty ideas in there right now.
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Dave So I built it. I don't know if everybody
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knows. Probably everybody knows by now, but I worked on it with Brent Simmons, legendary
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developer, and Dave Whiskus, a very, very good designer. But let's face it. Whiskus
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is no Simmons.
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Tim Who is, though.
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Dave No, not really.
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Tim That may be an unfair comparison.
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Yeah, you know Brent really is amazing
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I mean Dave is super talented and Dave's the one who I worked with the most like I had the most
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interaction like it is a funny thing with the three-man team, but
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Dave ended up being sort of the hub where
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Dave and I would go back and forth on design and I mean like literally I'll bet we have tens of thousands of instant messages
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since December when we started
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I mean, I should figure out a way to write a script to like go through the message logs
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and count them.
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But I mean, thousands of iMessages.
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And then we'd settle on something and Dave would be the one who would give it to Brent
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in a form that, "Here, this is what we want you to make.
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This is what it should look like."
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But, you know, I certainly had interactions with Brent.
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You know, we were using the glassboard internally.
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But he's amazing.
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He truly is.
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Like, working with Brent Simmons is exactly what you think it might be like.
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Like things he'll, you know, be like, "Look, we want you to change this to be like this."
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And he'd be like, "Whew.
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It's going to take two days."
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And 30 minutes later, he's like, "Uh, I figure…"
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Yeah, it's literally.
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He'd be like, "You know what?
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I was stupid.
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We could use the blah, blah, blah.
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I never used it before.
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I never looked at it, but it was really easy to hook up and now it works."
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We'd be like, "Oh, okay."
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It must be nice to be able to do that.
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I made a number of false starts at trying to learn how to program just anything, really.
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I always hit a wall, but I always dreamed that it would be nice to be able to have that
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Dave: Me too.
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I'll tell you what it's like with having Brent and Dave to combine, really, for me.
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I used to use, remember the real basic?
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- Yeah, yeah.
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- It's still around, but it's sort of shifted
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in terms of its focus.
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But back when it first came out and it was Mac only,
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it was really great for someone like me who can program,
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but is not really good at programming,
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and it sort of does all the scaffolding for you,
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and you can just sort of put a button in a thing
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and drag it around and make it look right,
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and then click on the button and say,
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here's the code that the button should run.
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It was a lot, or a hypercard for people who are older
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have longer memories. It's a lot like that. Yeah. And I've read so often on during fireball
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over the years, I've, you know, bemoaned the lack of, for lack of a better sake, a modern
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hypercard, right? Like, let's say something for iPhone or iPad, where you could, you know,
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drag stuff around and sort of wouldn't be a replacement for Xcode, it would be sort
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of a higher level Xcode for, you know, less, you know, talented people. I don't know how
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us to say it. I don't know. You know, I mean, well, but like the difference between iPhoto
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and Lightroom or Aputure, right? Like, you know, something that's not for pros. And if you are a
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pro, if you're taking professional caliber photography, you're not gonna use iPhoto to,
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to, you know, take out the red eye, you're going to use Photoshop and Lightroom, you know, the
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equivalent of that for programming. Working with Brent and Dave is like having that, except from
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like a hundred years in the future where you just talk to the thing and it's like
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it's like no I here's the idea I think that when you slide the hamburger button
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over to get to the sidebar there should be like this parallax effect on the
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sidebar as it drags out instead of just being there it would kind of and and ten
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minutes later it's like I just do a pull from the source you know the the
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the Mercurial source code thing and do a build and it's on my phone and it works. And it's
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like what? It is amazing. It really has been a tremendous amount of fun for me.
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So everyone should just have their own Brent Simmons.
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That's exactly my point. Everybody should go out and buy it. You should probably buy
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Vesper. Go to the Vesperapp.co website. Can you believe some son of a bitch has been sitting
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on Vesperapp.com? It's just like a placeholder. What the hell is that? It's just a thing.
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like somebody 10 years ago randomly bought that yeah so we had to settle for
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Vesper app didn't that co well that's not so bad but he didn't he didn't
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contact you and contacted yet and tried to sell it to you for five thousand ten
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thousand no not yet maybe he will I don't know seems like that that would be
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likely the next shoe to drop so my smart right I mean yeah I guess I don't know
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who knows I never tell you about the guy who has newspaper calm now go to
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newspaper calm is it alright yeah it is safe for work I guarantee you it is the
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in fact it is the safest for work website on the internet everybody out
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there listening to the show open or I'll open up your phone and go to newspaper
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Which is why it's taking so long.
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I see what you did there.
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Did it work?
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Newspapers dot com?
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I thought it was newspaper dot com.
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That could be.
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Well anyway it points to...
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We're not having good technology days.
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Well, here's the spoiler.
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It points to DaringFireball.net.
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And it's not mine.
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I don't own it.
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Whoever owns it though knows that it's valuable.
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And I don't even know his name.
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I think he did email me.
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I might have his name.
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What happened is I started getting offers from people who wanted to buy it. And I was
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like, "Why are people doing this? Why am I getting offers for this domain that I don't
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have?" And then I went to it and I saw that it pointed to darinkfireball.net and I got
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very confused. And so somehow I got in touch with the guy. And long story short, he's had
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it for years. He knows it's valuable. He doesn't really want to sell it though and doesn't
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don't want to give it to jerks." And he said, "I just – but I really like your website,
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so I figured I'd just point it there for now. I have nothing better to put there."
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And I was like, "Okay. That's cool with me." And he was like, "If you don't want it, I'll
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take it away." And I was like, "No, I don't care."
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Tim Cynova That explains all your page views.
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Dave Asprey Yeah. Wouldn't that be funny if that actually
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is? Tim Cynova
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Oh, there it works. I did it. I tried it again. I just went – it came right out.
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Dave Asprey Yeah. It was like some kind of hiccup on the
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redirect. Tim Cynova
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The first – yeah. Dave Asprey
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Wouldn't that be hilarious if he sold it and something else went there and then all
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of a sudden my traffic just completely dried up. It ends up that my website is not that
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popular at all. That would be hilarious.
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Yeah, I'm sure that would be really funny for you. So, by the time this episode comes
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over the weekend. I want this episode.
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Oh, yeah. Okay. So, we can talk. We can talk WWDC.
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Yeah. WWDC is coming up. You know what's amazing about WWDC is – oh, you know what
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I should tell everybody? I want to tell everybody before we move on that – so, why do I have
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John Moltz on the show instead of Brent and Dave? I'll have Brent and Dave on the show
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eventually anyway. But they've got podcast too. Brent has the one he does with Michael
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Simmons, the identical cousins. Michael Simmons is a guy behind Fantastic Al and a bunch of
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other great, great apps. But Brent and him, who are not related, just because their last
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name is the same, they have to have a podcast together. And that's cool. And Dave, of course,
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right here on Mule Radio, has The Unprofessional with Lex Friedman, which is a pretty good
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podcast. I don't know. I've never listened to it.
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but they get some pretty good guests.
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- They do, they do, you've been on it, right?
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- Apart from me and your wife.
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- Well, they did, yeah, well, do they have other guests?
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No, they get amazing guests, that's actually their shtick.
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- They really get great guests.
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- I don't know how they do it, but they get great guests.
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- But we figured, hey, you know what would be fair,
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would be maybe we'll do the talk show eventually,
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but why don't we do somebody else's show?
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And so we did Renee Ritchie and Guy English's Debug Podcast.
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And they were beta testers too, so they knew about them.
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We recorded it a few days ago, and that's out.
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So you can just Google it.
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But anybody who likes the talk show,
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you're going to love this episode of Debug.
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It is two hours of us talking everything Vesper,
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and collaboration, and how do people--
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three guys who work in Seattle, Denver, and Philadelphia
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collaborate and make an app. I thought it really turned out great. So look for that.
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It's the Bug Pod Debug. It's over there at the iMore website, but it's really, really
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good. I think people here are going to like it.
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Tim Cynova You know that Rene Ritchie? He's a smart guy.
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Dave Asprey Oh, my God. He's just incredibly smart.
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Tim Cynova Yeah. And Guy English is good looking.
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Yeah, he is bastard
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So, you know, what's amazing? I think it's amazing. We're recording this on Friday. There is like nothing
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Like there's a little is there did I miss well? Well, there's the okay Mac Pro, right, right and
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MacBook Air right those two seem pretty sure
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For next week, right? Yeah
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And then everything else is kind of a...
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The Mac Pro. So what do you think is going on with that? I saw Marco had like a detailed
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thing. Some of these guys get real into it.
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Yeah, Marco is really into it.
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Right, because Marco gets... I guess that's because he really needs it. But Marco really
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gets into it with the Intel roadmap and knowing what Intel has and therefore what's possible.
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I don't know. Maybe I'm just losing it as I get older. I just can't do that level of
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research. I'm just going to wait for Apple to tell me what's in the damn thing.
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Yeah. Would you really buy one?
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I would consider it because I've still been putting this off for years and years of just
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breaking down and getting a new computer. My computer is ancient. I still call it a
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My display is ancient.
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It's only 20 inches.
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I think it's like eight, nine years old.
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I don't know.
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So I'm due for a nice big upgrade here on my desk.
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And I've just been waiting for the right one.
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And I just keep putting off buying an iMac
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because I just feel like it's--
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I don't know, I'm just resistant to tying my display
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to the computer.
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And I don't think the Mini--
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I don't want the Mini.
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I want something better.
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If it's going to be on my desktop,
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I want something that's going to be fast for years to come.
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It does seem more though that it really is a pro, it's more of a pro machine than it
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Even much more than, what's it called now?
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The MacBook Pro.
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Because the laptop seems like more people get it than just really professionals.
00:16:26
◼
►
Whereas only professionals are really interested in the Mac Pro these days.
00:16:31
◼
►
It used to be that it was not an uncommon thing to get a machine that you wanted to
00:16:36
◼
►
use for gaming or whatever and you would upgrade it.
00:16:38
◼
►
So you wanted something that you could upgrade all the parts inside of.
00:16:42
◼
►
And now the prices have come down to the point where it's just like you just buy a new one
00:16:47
◼
►
every few years.
00:16:48
◼
►
You keep up that way.
00:16:50
◼
►
Because I always ran into this problem.
00:16:51
◼
►
I haven't had a pro since my last one was like a 1999 Sawtooth.
00:16:58
◼
►
And I used it for years and kept upgrading components on the inside.
00:17:02
◼
►
But then eventually you run into the problem where third-party peripheral makers won't
00:17:07
◼
►
support adding cards.
00:17:09
◼
►
They only want to…
00:17:12
◼
►
If you're not plugging the device into an Apple-supplied USB 3.0 card, they're not
00:17:20
◼
►
going to help you.
00:17:23
◼
►
So if you put a PCI, third-party PCI card that gives your older Mac USB 3, you're out
00:17:34
◼
►
So it doesn't seem like it's worth it anymore.
00:17:38
◼
►
And it sounds like from the rumors that what they're going to do, if they really do have
00:17:42
◼
►
Mac Pros to announce, is that they're going to change from internal, you know, it's still
00:17:47
◼
►
going to be the upgradable machine, but it's going to be all about the, what's it called,
00:17:51
◼
►
the Thunderbolt.
00:17:52
◼
►
Thunderbolt.
00:17:53
◼
►
and it's going to be so I think I can only assume if it's external rather than
00:18:00
◼
►
internal therefore the actual Mac Pro will therefore shrink in size
00:18:05
◼
►
tremendously yeah and then you'll just you know connect whatever external stuff
00:18:10
◼
►
you need through Thunderbolt yeah which is interesting it would be I mean is that
00:18:18
◼
►
I guess that's possible I guess I should have I guess Syracuse it would know he's
00:18:21
◼
►
He's probably rolling his eyes at our ignorance.
00:18:24
◼
►
He's probably having a stroke as he listens to this episode.
00:18:29
◼
►
Would it be possible to have an external video card?
00:18:32
◼
►
I guess that's the whole point.
00:18:34
◼
►
If you wanted to add an extra video card to add another Al Gore-style 30-inch display
00:18:38
◼
►
to your desk, you'd have some kind of external thing that you would connect.
00:18:43
◼
►
That seems crazy.
00:18:45
◼
►
It's a whole new world.
00:18:49
◼
►
I think that's the gist of the expectations that Mac Pro hardware Macbook Airs
00:18:53
◼
►
Well, will they will they or not be retina? I don't know I guess that's the big question
00:18:59
◼
►
But most you know, I think most of the thing is gonna be about the software it's gonna be about Mac OS 10
00:19:05
◼
►
10.9 and iOS 7 right and nobody seems to know Jack about anything about it. Yeah
00:19:12
◼
►
Which is kind of exciting. So is it Monday? Yes, it's Monday morning, right?
00:19:18
◼
►
because the WWDC runs all week
00:19:22
◼
►
so that keynote is monday even though they usually prefer Tuesday
00:19:26
◼
►
announcements and stuff
00:19:28
◼
►
now i'm super excited i know absolutely almost absolutely nothing i don't think
00:19:33
◼
►
i've been this ignorant of what's coming
00:19:36
◼
►
software-wise
00:19:38
◼
►
for a keynote
00:19:40
◼
►
since the iphone one back in
00:19:42
◼
►
two thousand seven
00:19:44
◼
►
which is great i'm super excited about it
00:19:47
◼
►
unless they get up there and they don't have anything to announce.
00:19:52
◼
►
Wouldn't that be great?
00:19:56
◼
►
The one thing I keep hearing over and over again from friends who would know is the one
00:20:02
◼
►
word I keep hearing is that some of the stuff they're going to show is "polarizing."
00:20:08
◼
►
No, polarizing.
00:20:13
◼
►
I also heard from somebody that just, quote, "All the leaks are wrong," which is interesting.
00:20:21
◼
►
I have no idea what to make of it.
00:20:26
◼
►
One way that could be, wouldn't it be great if it was like the new look couldn't be more
00:20:33
◼
►
extravagantly skeuomorphic?
00:20:35
◼
►
It's like a liberal – like the entire OS looks like the Liberace house in that Candelabra
00:20:42
◼
►
It's all like gold and shiny.
00:20:47
◼
►
We got rid of all the felt and leather and replaced it with gold and platinum.
00:20:51
◼
►
They have a whole bunch of skins.
00:20:54
◼
►
And then you do an in-app purchase to upgrade.
00:20:57
◼
►
To get more.
00:20:59
◼
►
To get like a better, you know, like it comes with diamonds, but they're like low on, what
00:21:05
◼
►
are those things?
00:21:06
◼
►
Clarity and the color.
00:21:08
◼
►
Cut and clarity.
00:21:09
◼
►
Cut and clarity.
00:21:10
◼
►
You kind of do an in-app upgrade to get a better diamond better and bigger diamonds
00:21:13
◼
►
You remember all those remember those skins that they had and was it a West eight
00:21:19
◼
►
That ever actually come that ever did that did that ever actually come out? Oh my god John
00:21:27
◼
►
I can't believe you remember used to get kaleidoscope, right?
00:21:30
◼
►
There was that kaleidoscope for years right and then they did put they did put that in yeah
00:21:34
◼
►
But what happened is and then jobs took it back out when he got back before it actually shipped
00:21:40
◼
►
So they shipped OS 8 with the appearance manager. It was what it was called. It was the shift where it was called the appearance manager. Capital A, capital M.
00:21:54
◼
►
And that was a big pain in the ass for developers to support a lot of rewriting. Which was all about making it themable.
00:22:04
◼
►
And then Jobs got there and said, "These other themes all look like garbage.
00:22:07
◼
►
We're not shipping them.
00:22:08
◼
►
Take them out.
00:22:09
◼
►
You know, we're – the user doesn't design the system.
00:22:14
◼
►
This is what it looks like."
00:22:15
◼
►
So they had – they shipped the OS with this appearance manager that supported multiple
00:22:18
◼
►
themes that never had more than one theme.
00:22:21
◼
►
And I guess the other ones leaked, you know, that – what was it?
00:22:25
◼
►
And Tecmo or something like that.
00:22:27
◼
►
Tecmo was like a dark black one, you know.
00:22:30
◼
►
It's like a kids' one.
00:22:31
◼
►
Was that Gizmo?
00:22:32
◼
►
I think that was Gizmo. Gizmo looked like Nickelodeon. It was asymmetrical and had little
00:22:38
◼
►
squiggly spiral straws and stuff like that. But they never shipped it. I don't remember
00:22:49
◼
►
if hackers, I think hackers, like enthusiasts, ended up backwards engineering the theme format
00:22:54
◼
►
and so you could, in a way that you could get kaleidoscope themes, you could get appearance
00:22:58
◼
►
manager themes but I don't think it ever overtook I think the people who are into
00:23:03
◼
►
that still stuck with kaleidoscope because it actually yeah yeah it was
00:23:06
◼
►
better right and more they had more themes right so what do you expect well
00:23:17
◼
►
other than this there's two hardware things that I mentioned I don't know
00:23:20
◼
►
either it would be nice to see something about the iPhone hardware wise but
00:23:28
◼
►
It doesn't seem like that's the… unless they come out… unless they're doing a
00:23:34
◼
►
launch of a cheaper phone.
00:23:35
◼
►
Yeah, I just don't see it.
00:23:42
◼
►
I mean, it would certainly be a big drop out of nowhere.
00:23:43
◼
►
I mean, would it be shocking?
00:23:46
◼
►
But it just seems like that sort of thing, if it were coming, would be braced for it.
00:23:53
◼
►
And I do think that the thing Tim Cook said at the-- was it D11?
00:23:59
◼
►
I think that was the only place he really spoke.
00:24:01
◼
►
But where he said, we've got great stuff in the line later in the year and next year.
00:24:05
◼
►
I think that means I know iOS devices till later in the year.
00:24:11
◼
►
Mac doesn't even count anymore, really.
00:24:14
◼
►
Well, it doesn't in terms of what drives the market at large.
00:24:19
◼
►
Like, you know, it doesn't matter.
00:24:21
◼
►
Like, let's just say Monday, come Monday, they announce a new Mac Pro.
00:24:24
◼
►
And it makes everybody happy.
00:24:27
◼
►
John Siracusa is happy.
00:24:29
◼
►
Marco is happy.
00:24:30
◼
►
You know, it's super powerful.
00:24:32
◼
►
It is super expandable.
00:24:34
◼
►
It is at a great price.
00:24:36
◼
►
And it looks cool.
00:24:38
◼
►
That does nothing to Apple's stock.
00:24:40
◼
►
And it does nothing.
00:24:41
◼
►
It shouldn't actually.
00:24:42
◼
►
That's this is one case.
00:24:43
◼
►
It's not a complaint because I think, you know, the most possible Mac Pros they would
00:24:46
◼
►
sell at the best price with great margins and it's an amazing product is almost negligible
00:24:52
◼
►
to their bottom line.
00:24:56
◼
►
That's why Tim Cook, I think, has to say that.
00:25:01
◼
►
They can't oversell the Mac Pro as being an important product.
00:25:06
◼
►
Yeah, there I mean it seems like the Mac line is
00:25:09
◼
►
Caught up with the the malaise that's affecting the PC industry as a whole. Yeah, I definitely think so
00:25:18
◼
►
Speaking of stock price though. Do you see this? I just saw this today on
00:25:23
◼
►
Strat tech Gary that's the the new website from Ben
00:25:27
◼
►
Ben Thompson
00:25:33
◼
►
Been reading that site. I have it's a good site. Yeah
00:25:35
◼
►
He's got a thing here.
00:25:39
◼
►
Samsung Electronics lost $12 billion in market value on smartphone worries.
00:25:44
◼
►
So it seems like they're copying everything from Apple.
00:25:47
◼
►
Tim Cynova Shamelessly.
00:25:49
◼
►
Dave Asprey Now they're even copying irrational investor
00:25:53
◼
►
panic that loses billions of dollars in market cap in a single day.
00:25:59
◼
►
Tim Cynova On slowing sales of flagship Galaxy S4 smartphone.
00:26:03
◼
►
phone. Right, which I don't know because I don't know. Again, and this is, you know,
00:26:09
◼
►
here's, here's, you know, here's me trying to be, or hopefully showing that I'm not,
00:26:14
◼
►
you know, blindly pro-apple. Like, this makes no sense to me. This, you know, Samsung is,
00:26:22
◼
►
everybody, for everything I saw is that the Galaxy S4 is selling exactly as they wanted
00:26:26
◼
►
the Galaxy S4 to sell. It seemed like it was selling fairly well, but at the same time,
00:26:31
◼
►
I think some of the analysts, all this stuff is about Wall Street expectations. What they
00:26:35
◼
►
had expected was something like 30 million a quarter, and it was only selling like 20
00:26:42
◼
►
million a quarter. They had to cut their expectations.
00:26:45
◼
►
Dave: Yeah, I guess. I don't know.
00:27:00
◼
►
It's a wildly competitive business and traditionally fortunes do change every few years.
00:27:06
◼
►
So I'm not saying that Samsung and Apple's positions are locked in and a sure thing going
00:27:12
◼
►
forward forever and ever.
00:27:13
◼
►
Of course not.
00:27:14
◼
►
But $12 billion in market cap in a day doesn't seem anywhere near rational.
00:27:21
◼
►
Seems like anybody investing in mobile technology, tablets and cell phones at all, pretty much
00:27:28
◼
►
treats it like being drunk at the blackjack table.
00:27:32
◼
►
"Ah, double down.
00:27:35
◼
►
I don't know where…
00:27:38
◼
►
I always think that they try to keep that money in the same sort of industry in general.
00:27:46
◼
►
So if you're not investing in Apple and Samsung, who the heck are you going to take
00:27:49
◼
►
your money out of?
00:27:50
◼
►
You should take your money out of those two.
00:27:52
◼
►
Where are you putting it?
00:27:56
◼
►
The other thing that Ben Thompson had talked about, I think maybe it was last week that
00:28:00
◼
►
I wanted to talk to you about, was Apple TV predictions because he has predicted an SDK
00:28:07
◼
►
for the Apple TV on Monday.
00:28:10
◼
►
We had talked about this.
00:28:11
◼
►
I feel like you and I talked about this a while ago.
00:28:15
◼
►
No one's been talking about that recently, but he brought that back up.
00:28:18
◼
►
That's a good topic.
00:28:20
◼
►
Let's get to it, but let's do the first sponsor break first and then we'll do that.
00:28:24
◼
►
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00:28:29
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00:28:34
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Now this is one of the things that's great about An Event Apart is they don't just do
00:28:38
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00:28:41
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They bring the show around the country.
00:28:43
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00:28:54
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00:29:00
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00:29:06
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00:29:17
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00:29:22
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Aneventapart.com/talkshow to learn more.
00:29:46
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I've been to several Event Aparts.
00:29:50
◼
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And they're one of the best run, smoothest conferences I've ever been at.
00:29:56
◼
►
I was actually at the very first one.
00:29:58
◼
►
The first one was actually in Philadelphia, I think back in, I want to say 2007, 2008-ish,
00:30:05
◼
►
something like that.
00:30:06
◼
►
It was right here in Philadelphia.
00:30:07
◼
►
And I was at one a couple of years ago in Chicago.
00:30:09
◼
►
It was fantastic.
00:30:12
◼
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Amazing conference.
00:30:14
◼
►
And they always have some of our pals speaking.
00:30:17
◼
►
Speaking. Oh, yeah, great speakers. Really really great. See Mike Monteiro's mug on their page
00:30:23
◼
►
Yeah, Mike's been there
00:30:25
◼
►
Jason Santa Maria is a longtime speaker there man. Does that guy know how to talk about typography and stuff like that?
00:30:32
◼
►
Great great stuff. So Apple TV next week boy, that would be a good surprise. That would be exciting. Yeah
00:30:39
◼
►
Here's why I think he's wrong though
00:30:44
◼
►
Unless I think and and guy English and I have talked this over, you know, you know, it's no deja vu
00:30:50
◼
►
But we've talked about on the show
00:30:52
◼
►
I think that he's right that there is an SDK coming for Apple TV and apps and that it'll be a third-party thing. I
00:31:00
◼
►
Don't think it's coming to the Apple TV that we have today. I think it requires
00:31:05
◼
►
Next generation hardware and the reason I think that is that I think it requires some sort of next generation
00:31:13
◼
►
remote. And the current one just doesn't have the support for that.
00:31:19
◼
►
No, you can't do anything with the current one.
00:31:21
◼
►
You could do—the only thing you could do—it's fine for play/pause and seek, up/down/left/right,
00:31:28
◼
►
play/pause, but it's not good for any—so it really wouldn't be good for apps that
00:31:33
◼
►
did anything more than just deliver video content, which alone is a big deal. I mean,
00:31:39
◼
►
let's face it, things are TV. But I think that thing needs games and stuff like that.
00:31:46
◼
►
And I think that needs a next generation remote. And I don't think that the remote can be,
00:31:51
◼
►
well, just use this app on your iPhone or iPod or iPad or something like that.
00:31:57
◼
►
**Matt Stauffer:** Why not?
00:31:58
◼
►
**Ezra Klein:** Because I think it's clumsy. I think it's
00:32:01
◼
►
weird to think that you've got to fish your iPhone out of your pocket just to do anything
00:32:05
◼
►
on the TV. I think you need a remote that sits there on your coffee table and it's ready
00:32:09
◼
►
to go. And it doesn't cost $600 or $700. I mean, I guess iPod Touch is 220 now that they
00:32:19
◼
►
have the new one. But you can't sell a $99 set-top box that requires a $220 remote. It
00:32:26
◼
►
just doesn't work. And I just don't think an app is the right thing. I don't think because
00:32:31
◼
►
apps. This is the other thing is I think that the, you know, iPhone is all about looking
00:32:38
◼
►
at the screen and touching things right TV is about looking not at your remote, it's
00:32:43
◼
►
about looking at the screen. Right, you need a remote that that you don't look at to use.
00:32:51
◼
►
And the iPhone is not it a piece of glass is, you know, it gives you no affordance for
00:32:55
◼
►
for knowing what you're doing.
00:32:58
◼
►
Gosh, it seems weird to think of Apple shipping
00:33:01
◼
►
a remote with physical keys for gaming.
00:33:07
◼
►
Yeah, this is where my imagination fails me.
00:33:10
◼
►
And maybe I'm wrong.
00:33:11
◼
►
Maybe I'm all wet, and it really is something about apps,
00:33:15
◼
►
an app that you control it with.
00:33:17
◼
►
Or maybe it's like a Kinect type thing,
00:33:19
◼
►
and you wave your hand and talk to it.
00:33:21
◼
►
I don't know.
00:33:21
◼
►
I lack the imagination to even think about what it is.
00:33:25
◼
►
but I just know that it just seems to me in my gut though,
00:33:28
◼
►
like I can't imagine what the new thing
00:33:31
◼
►
that I think they have to make to make this happen is,
00:33:34
◼
►
but I do know that the one I have downstairs isn't it.
00:33:38
◼
►
Right, you can't just have that little crummy remote.
00:33:41
◼
►
- Yeah, but really just the remote.
00:33:43
◼
►
It's not so much anything with the device.
00:33:46
◼
►
- Yeah, I don't think that in terms of,
00:33:48
◼
►
now that they've got 1080p output,
00:33:50
◼
►
they're set in terms of like hardware,
00:33:54
◼
►
and I don't think it needs to be all that computationally. Although maybe it needs better
00:33:58
◼
►
graphics for games. I don't think that they're obviously not going to, well not obviously,
00:34:03
◼
►
but I think we know Apple isn't going to get in a graphics horsepower race with Xbox and
00:34:09
◼
►
PlayStation and sell $300, $400 things that are at a loss. But more graphics power is
00:34:20
◼
►
always better. But I don't know how different it is than the Retina iPad. I think that these
00:34:29
◼
►
A6 or A7 or whatever the next one's going to be are already pretty graphically powerful.
00:34:37
◼
►
Tim Cynova So that's sort of the dark horse.
00:34:41
◼
►
Dave Asprey What do you think?
00:34:42
◼
►
Well, I don't see why they couldn't deliver a remote next week and the SDK.
00:34:53
◼
►
But I certainly haven't heard anything.
00:35:00
◼
►
He was the only one that I noticed talking about it, and I just jog my memory that that
00:35:04
◼
►
was something, seemed like something that was on our list of possibilities and then
00:35:07
◼
►
dropped off the radar. Because it didn't happen for a while.
00:35:13
◼
►
Yeah, and I guess the other thing that I, you know, maybe he's right is, is I guess
00:35:21
◼
►
the other thing I think in my head is it would be weird if they announced it and
00:35:25
◼
►
said, "Hey, we have this great new app store," and said, "You have to buy a new
00:35:28
◼
►
Apple TV and all of you guys who've already bought an Apple TV, you know,
00:35:32
◼
►
tough noogies." You know, like, that's a hard... Not that Apple never does that. Not
00:35:37
◼
►
Not that Apple never is afraid to give you tough noogies news,
00:35:42
◼
►
lovers of floppy drives.
00:35:43
◼
►
But it seems a little--
00:35:47
◼
►
I don't know.
00:35:48
◼
►
It seems like that's a tough thing to--
00:35:50
◼
►
Well, why couldn't they just sell the remote separately, too?
00:35:53
◼
►
Yeah, maybe.
00:35:53
◼
►
Does that-- I guess I can--
00:35:55
◼
►
It comes with a new one.
00:35:59
◼
►
And you probably-- I mean, if you're going to have--
00:36:01
◼
►
it's going to be like--
00:36:02
◼
►
Bluetooth is what it would be.
00:36:03
◼
►
that Bluetooth level four that's low power.
00:36:07
◼
►
- And if it's gonna be like the Wii or whatever,
00:36:09
◼
►
you're probably gonna want six of them.
00:36:11
◼
►
- Yeah, maybe, I don't know.
00:36:14
◼
►
Yeah, I didn't even think about that,
00:36:18
◼
►
that if it's like a combination remote game controller,
00:36:21
◼
►
you'd want multiple ones.
00:36:22
◼
►
- You guys have a, you have a Wii U.
00:36:27
◼
►
- And that does have, that has a screen,
00:36:30
◼
►
but it actually has physical buttons.
00:36:32
◼
►
on the remote. Yes. It's a weird thing. Jonas really likes it. Just by coincidence, it really
00:36:44
◼
►
is funny. Our old Wii crapped out a couple of days before Christmas. We actually needed
00:36:54
◼
►
something. I guess I could have bought a new Wii. It does seem, though, like the Wii U
00:37:01
◼
►
it's just not getting a lot of games. And the controller is interesting, but it is weird.
00:37:05
◼
►
Yeah. The weirdest thing about it is that it currently only supports one. Like, you
00:37:12
◼
►
can use as many – for – to play multiplayer games, you just use the old Wii controllers.
00:37:17
◼
►
But the new – the new touch screen, the one that gets all the things, the system can
00:37:21
◼
►
only support one of those at a time. Huh. Because that's not what the – I'm pretty
00:37:28
◼
►
pretty sure that's not what the intro, you know, like the videos showed when the thing
00:37:33
◼
►
I don't know. I don't think that they showed multiple. I don't know. But it does. It was
00:37:37
◼
►
a surprise to me. It's because it just seemed to me like, yeah, just seems no fair. You
00:37:44
◼
►
know, here, I play a two player game and I get this fancy new touchscreen thing here,
00:37:48
◼
►
you get a joystick. But I guess all the multiplayer games that we have so far when you do play
00:37:52
◼
►
multiplayer at both people have to use the the old school Wii remote. And it's just single
00:37:57
◼
►
player games where you get the touch screen one.
00:38:01
◼
►
You know, and there's some cool games that take advantage of it.
00:38:03
◼
►
He's got this Batman Arkham Asylum game, which is a questionable content level for a nine-year-old.
00:38:10
◼
►
I was going to say, they're the one that's rated for like 14 and up.
00:38:14
◼
►
My wife heard him.
00:38:18
◼
►
But he's seen, you know, he's seen The Shining, so.
00:38:24
◼
►
But it does have some cool stuff where the gimmick is that the touch screen is...
00:38:34
◼
►
Batman has built a new thing on his suit where he's sort of got like an iPhone built into his wrist
00:38:39
◼
►
on his armor and I'm so old. He's got an iWatch? Yeah, sort of. Yeah, he's got like a... yeah,
00:38:46
◼
►
yeah, he's got like a big four-inch iWatch and the the remote is the iWatch.
00:38:52
◼
►
So like, you know, you so you know the game is first-person perspective.
00:38:58
◼
►
Right, and it's it seems like well done but it's I you know I'm not
00:39:05
◼
►
surprised that Nintendo's not doing too well. Yeah, I think you know I do think
00:39:11
◼
►
the potential there is for the sort of explosive vibrance in gaming that you see in the App Store
00:39:21
◼
►
from iPhone and iPad where two guys can just go and make games. And I know that there's things
00:39:28
◼
►
like that for PlayStation and there's a marketplace or something like that. But Apple does that better
00:39:34
◼
►
than anybody else. Like everybody will say, "Hey, PlayStation's had the, what do you call it,
00:39:39
◼
►
and Xbox has the 360 market or Xbox Live or whatever the hell it's called where you can
00:39:44
◼
►
download indie games. So like everything else, Apple won't be first, but they'll be.
00:39:50
◼
►
>> Yeah. On the Wii, they seem like they're older. I don't know what it's like on the
00:39:59
◼
►
Xbox, but it seems like they're older games on the Wii and usually not. The indie ones
00:40:04
◼
►
are not necessarily as good as the stuff that you get on the disk.
00:40:08
◼
►
Right. Whereas I foresee with Apple, it would be a type of thing where an indie game might
00:40:13
◼
►
turn out to be the hit game of the year. The biggest game. You're not in this little ghetto
00:40:19
◼
►
where EA and the big publishers like that are all the flagship titles and you're over
00:40:25
◼
►
here in the little market. I would foresee it like the app store where two guys can make
00:40:35
◼
►
Doodle jump and the thing is like the top grossing app and the whole thing for the year
00:40:43
◼
►
on the world
00:40:45
◼
►
it seems like and that's you know that kind of
00:40:50
◼
►
almost a whole new platform is would be a great thing for Apple right now given the
00:40:56
◼
►
whining and complaining
00:40:58
◼
►
yeah it kind of would be I still think and I've said this before many times and our poor
00:41:03
◼
►
friend Gene Munster, who I really think is losing his mind. You see he tweeted at me
00:41:12
◼
►
Yeah. Yeah. You told me that.
00:41:14
◼
►
Yeah. Good spirit. Good ticket and stride. Gene Munster, for those of you who don't
00:41:21
◼
►
know, is an Apple analyst. He's somewhere out of like Minneapolis or something like
00:41:25
◼
►
that, long-term follower of the company, oft-quoted. He's always available to media looking for
00:41:31
◼
►
a quote on Apple. And for the most part, I think he gets the company. He's not a jackass.
00:41:37
◼
►
He's a pretty astute analyst. But he's obsessed. I would say, I think for about five or six
00:41:46
◼
►
years with the idea of Apple selling a TV set. In his world, the Apple TV is an actual
00:41:54
◼
►
screen, the 50, 60-inch LCD or whatever it would be, screen. And he's been saying that
00:42:00
◼
►
it's coming in a year for about five years. Would you say that's right?
00:42:06
◼
►
I think that's about right. And as time goes on, and they might be working, but
00:42:10
◼
►
his obsession is just palpable, like where, you know, he'll chime in every
00:42:17
◼
►
time on a conference call, when it's time for Gene Munster, you know it's gonna be
00:42:22
◼
►
something about Apple TV. And he hears stuff, you know, that just isn't
00:42:28
◼
►
there. It's like when Tim Cook on the last one said, more or less, I mean this isn't
00:42:35
◼
►
a quote, but he said, "We've got some great products that we're working on for later
00:42:39
◼
►
this year and next year." Right? More or less is what he said. Gene Munster heard that
00:42:47
◼
►
as, "We're going to have an Apple TV later this year or next year." Right? I mean,
00:42:53
◼
►
like well maybe you know it could be but that's not what he said but I think I
00:43:01
◼
►
still think I think that Apple's TV strategy is what we see I think it's
00:43:06
◼
►
right in front of us it's a $99 box that you hook up to any TV that you want and
00:43:12
◼
►
you know and there's some iteration some iteration of that right but not not it
00:43:17
◼
►
yeah I don't it doesn't seem like there's value and in trying to get into
00:43:21
◼
►
making thousand dollar huge screens right or you know and I've said this
00:43:29
◼
►
before too maybe they would but only as like in addition to a box that you can
00:43:37
◼
►
put into anybody's TV right that they would still sell the $99 box and maybe
00:43:42
◼
►
they would also sell an Apple branded TV set that has it built in but so you can
00:43:47
◼
►
get on the platform and buy the apps and use your Apple TV with your existing TV set. And
00:43:52
◼
►
if you're in the market for a new TV set, you could just buy the Apple one and have
00:43:56
◼
►
one less box. But I don't think that they would go TV set only because it seems to me
00:44:01
◼
►
like they'd be purposefully taking only a very small part of the market, which is the
00:44:05
◼
►
people in the market for a new TV set.
00:44:08
◼
►
I mean, like look at the iPhone, right? The iPhone has been a tremendous hit. But people
00:44:15
◼
►
didn't buy them all at once. People bought them over time as they needed or wanted a new cell
00:44:22
◼
►
phone. It's a huge hit, but Apple doesn't make – I mean, idiots like us go get in line and buy
00:44:27
◼
►
stuff on day one, but that's not normal people. Normal people bought their iPhone when their old
00:44:32
◼
►
iPhone – when their old phone broke or they finally got fed up with it or just kind of got
00:44:36
◼
►
in the mood or especially when their contracts were up.
00:44:39
◼
►
Yeah, the contract. It's the contract.
00:44:42
◼
►
So I think the TV industry had a great decade because just about everybody I know has shifted
00:44:51
◼
►
from big old clunky glass CRTs to nice flat screen plasma or LCD or whatever, wide screen
00:45:02
◼
►
TVs. But everybody, I think normal people think, "Well, now I'm set. It's like the Fight
00:45:08
◼
►
club thing. I had a nice couch. I solved the couch problem. Now, I don't need to worry
00:45:13
◼
►
about a couch. Well, now, I feel like my TV set is set. I'm not in the market for a new
00:45:19
◼
►
Mike: Yeah. It's the same thing with cars. People also sometimes speculate that Apple
00:45:30
◼
►
release a car. You can't just get into that. You got to wait a long time in order to make
00:45:40
◼
►
any money out of either one of those businesses because people aren't just going to up and
00:45:44
◼
►
run out and buy another one.
00:45:45
◼
►
Dave Asprey But if they sold it as a $99 box that you attach
00:45:49
◼
►
to anybody's TV, all of a sudden, it's a new thing and you don't have to replace anything
00:45:54
◼
►
and you don't have to outlay a large amount of cash and boom, you're in.
00:45:58
◼
►
I've got a couple of other things I want to talk about.
00:46:04
◼
►
But let's do the second sponsor and then we'll do that and then we'll finish up.
00:46:09
◼
►
I want to talk about the eBook, Price Fixing.
00:46:12
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Man, I like that.
00:46:14
◼
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Isn't it getting funny?
00:46:18
◼
►
I can't wait to talk about it.
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But our second sponsor, long-time friend of the show, our good friends at Squarespace.
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do get email like this and you say it over and over again and I finally needed a website
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out how those codes work. The 6 stands for June. It's the 6th month. So I'm not sure
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a website you're not if you don't check out Squarespace yeah the great thing
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about them is that you don't there's no you know you're probably visiting a
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whole bunch of great Squarespace sites and you don't even know it that is a
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great point that's a great point it's not like you sign up for Squarespace and
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now you've got a Squarespace site and there's yeah I was based off all over it
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It's not squarespace.com. There's no logo. There's nothing. It's your site. It's just
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it's easy to put together with their tools.
00:49:00
◼
►
Absolutely. E-book price fixing case. So that's gone to trial. It's kind of interesting. Now,
00:49:13
◼
►
I've had a busy week with Vesper,
00:49:15
◼
►
so I'm not as versed on this as I would be in a normal week,
00:49:20
◼
►
but I've been following,
00:49:21
◼
►
and Philip Elmer DeWitt has had some good coverage,
00:49:24
◼
►
as have some others.
00:49:26
◼
►
My perspective at the outset of this is that,
00:49:29
◼
►
and again, and critics of me
00:49:36
◼
►
who think I have a pro-Apple bias,
00:49:38
◼
►
maybe this is a case where they're right,
00:49:40
◼
►
because my thought going into this
00:49:42
◼
►
is that this seems like bullshit.
00:49:44
◼
►
Because, and you know, I'm not alone.
00:49:48
◼
►
Scott Turow, the president of the Authors Guild months ago
00:49:51
◼
►
had an op-ed in the New York Times
00:49:53
◼
►
in saying that the authors are on Apple's side of this,
00:49:56
◼
►
that they were opposed to Amazon,
00:49:58
◼
►
which had either a monopoly or a near monopoly on ebooks
00:50:03
◼
►
and were selling books at a loss.
00:50:07
◼
►
Like Scott Turow or anybody, big name novelist,
00:50:11
◼
►
comes out with a new novel.
00:50:12
◼
►
Publisher wants the ebook version at $15.
00:50:16
◼
►
So Amazon would buy it for $15 from them
00:50:19
◼
►
and sell it for $9.99.
00:50:22
◼
►
And now that's, you know, from a consumer point,
00:50:24
◼
►
now that's great.
00:50:24
◼
►
I can see and I know there's a lot of fans
00:50:26
◼
►
of Amazon for doing this,
00:50:27
◼
►
'cause consumers think that's great.
00:50:29
◼
►
I don't care if Amazon sells at a loss.
00:50:31
◼
►
I've saved five bucks on a book.
00:50:34
◼
►
That's great.
00:50:35
◼
►
Authors don't like it though,
00:50:37
◼
►
even though they get paid the wholesale price they wanted,
00:50:39
◼
►
because what they could see
00:50:40
◼
►
is that if Amazon solidified a long-term monopoly,
00:50:44
◼
►
then all of a sudden Amazon's going to say,
00:50:47
◼
►
okay, now your wholesale cost is $6
00:50:52
◼
►
because we're gonna keep selling them at 9.99
00:50:53
◼
►
and now we'd like to have a profit.
00:50:55
◼
►
And they'd have to acquiesce because there's a monopoly
00:50:58
◼
►
and there's no other way to do it.
00:51:00
◼
►
And so instead of $15 books, it would be $6 books.
00:51:03
◼
►
And consumers would be left out of it
00:51:05
◼
►
because they'd still be buying 9.99 books.
00:51:07
◼
►
all of a sudden the revenue generated by these books would be decimated.
00:51:11
◼
►
I'm not saying that's exactly what would happen, but that's the point of view of the authors
00:51:15
◼
►
and publishers of Amazon's selling at a loss thing.
00:51:22
◼
►
And this agency model is a way to make sure that publishers can't sell, resellers can't
00:51:29
◼
►
sell books at a loss.
00:51:31
◼
►
It's this app store model that's exactly like the app store where whatever the price is,
00:51:36
◼
►
the store gets 30%, and that's it.
00:51:43
◼
►
It's an interesting case because there are several ways to look at it.
00:51:47
◼
►
Because you could say, "Oh yeah, Apple's the bad guy because they're trying to drive
00:51:51
◼
►
the prices up."
00:51:53
◼
►
But at the same time, Amazon, so it's price fixing because Apple's trying to go in and
00:51:58
◼
►
get all these publishers to collude in fixing the prices of these books.
00:52:03
◼
►
At the same time, Amazon, because it's a monopoly, doesn't have to do collusion in
00:52:09
◼
►
order to have price fixing.
00:52:10
◼
►
It just fixes the price because it just does it itself.
00:52:15
◼
►
It's power as a basic – I mean, it's arguably – it's pretty close to a monopoly.
00:52:23
◼
►
There are other ways to get books.
00:52:26
◼
►
You know, and Apple – and it's not that Apple wanted to raise prices.
00:52:30
◼
►
It's that Apple wanted to let publishers set prices.
00:52:32
◼
►
So, like for example, with Vesper, we chose the price.
00:52:37
◼
►
We could have charged 99 cents.
00:52:39
◼
►
We could have charged – what was that I'm rich app?
00:52:45
◼
►
I think that's the maximum.
00:52:46
◼
►
I forget how much that was.
00:52:48
◼
►
The maximum price in the app store.
00:52:51
◼
►
We picked the price and whatever price – it has to end at 99 cents.
00:52:56
◼
►
So any integer from 0 to 99 or 999 and then Apple takes 30 percent off every sale and
00:53:05
◼
►
We picked the price.
00:53:06
◼
►
Why shouldn't the people who make books have that same privilege or right to set the price
00:53:12
◼
►
of their book?
00:53:14
◼
►
It doesn't seem unreasonable to me.
00:53:16
◼
►
But here's another way of putting it.
00:53:22
◼
►
to me another way of putting it is that Apple's proposal to booksellers is why don't we sell
00:53:28
◼
►
ebooks like we sell apps. You set the price, we take 30% and handle the distribution in
00:53:36
◼
►
the DRM. And you know, so I don't see how that's anymore price fixing than it's price
00:53:42
◼
►
fixing with the app store.
00:53:45
◼
►
And yet all these publishers rolled over.
00:53:48
◼
►
Right. I don't think they wanted to fight.
00:53:52
◼
►
Yeah, yeah, yeah, and there's a lot there's lots of reasons why they might have done that but apparently they did
00:53:57
◼
►
Yeah, they just didn't want to deal with it
00:53:59
◼
►
And they're still they are still have what they wanted which is the agency model
00:54:03
◼
►
Right that they've sort of given in to the DOJ, but they still have the agency model, right? Isn't that how the Kindle thing works?
00:54:09
◼
►
Is an Amazon Amazon on the same page with that now, yes, yeah
00:54:19
◼
►
So then yesterday, this is the thing that to me is just amazing is
00:54:26
◼
►
There's two good stories well, the one is this is the first one is an Amazon executive took the stand and
00:54:38
◼
►
Wouldn't answer any questions. This is Russell
00:54:43
◼
►
Brandon Eddy, Amazon's vice president for Kindle content, was asked in court about a
00:54:48
◼
►
meeting he attended in Jeff Bezos' boathouse.
00:54:53
◼
►
And he said, "I'm not comfortable discussing the contents of that meeting."
00:54:56
◼
►
And he wouldn't even say whether Bezos was there.
00:55:03
◼
►
How weird is that?
00:55:05
◼
►
What was that picture that you had retweeted?
00:55:12
◼
►
Was that a joke?
00:55:13
◼
►
Yeah, that was a joke. It was a retweet of...
00:55:17
◼
►
Okay, I didn't get it.
00:55:18
◼
►
Well, it was a scene from The Godfather.
00:55:22
◼
►
Somebody... The picture I retweeted was...
00:55:24
◼
►
I didn't place it.
00:55:25
◼
►
Here's a picture from the meeting at Bezos' house, and it was...
00:55:29
◼
►
It was the lake house in The Godfather II, where Michael decides to take care of...
00:55:36
◼
►
Take care of his brother, Fredo.
00:55:44
◼
►
So there's that, yeah, which is very strange.
00:55:48
◼
►
And well, anyway, it's very strange.
00:55:52
◼
►
And then today, there's another story about, this is on the verge, about Google's testimony.
00:56:01
◼
►
No, I didn't see that.
00:56:03
◼
►
I haven't seen it.
00:56:07
◼
►
They basically got the Google guy up on the stand and he initially said that publishers
00:56:20
◼
►
were telling him directly that Apple, told him directly that they were switching to the
00:56:27
◼
►
agency model because contracts they entered into with Apple required it.
00:56:32
◼
►
And then when they started cross-examining him, he said, "Well," basically said,
00:56:39
◼
►
"Who told you that?"
00:56:41
◼
►
He said, "I can't remember who told me that."
00:56:43
◼
►
And then he said, "Well, it might have been somebody on my team that they told."
00:56:47
◼
►
And he basically just admitted that he did not know of any instances of publishers telling
00:56:52
◼
►
anybody that.
00:56:53
◼
►
That's bizarre.
00:56:54
◼
►
He completely, completely collapsed.
00:57:02
◼
►
seems like a very strange why would you go in saying that if you weren't able to
00:57:08
◼
►
back it up that is very very strange so I asked about the guy the Amazon guy who
00:57:14
◼
►
wouldn't answer the questions I thought that was so bizarre and and in a way it
00:57:18
◼
►
was explained to me is well a it could have been sort of a taking the Fifth
00:57:22
◼
►
Amendment invoking the the the right not to incriminate yourself and which you
00:57:27
◼
►
shouldn't I I you know it's a amazing part of our Constitution and I fully
00:57:32
◼
►
support it. But, you know, when you invoke it, it does imply that, you know, that you're
00:57:39
◼
►
acknowledging a crime may have been committed, you know.
00:57:44
◼
►
Like, and I really...
00:57:46
◼
►
Well, not necessarily.
00:57:48
◼
►
Right. But it's, you know, effectively he's a hostile witness. But I guess what the other
00:57:51
◼
►
thing that, you know, not being a lawyer, I didn't really think through, is that your
00:57:56
◼
►
obligation when you're on the stand and under oath in a court case, you are absolutely,
00:58:01
◼
►
law are, you know, with serious repercussions, you must tell the truth. But that doesn't
00:58:07
◼
►
mean you have to answer. So, I, see, I thought like yes/no questions you had to answer, but
00:58:13
◼
►
you don't. So they could say, "Was Jeff Bezos there?" And you can just say, "I'm not comfortable
00:58:17
◼
►
answering that. That's the truth. You're not lying." But they can't make you answer. And,
00:58:25
◼
►
you know, make of that what you will if you're on the jury or the judge. So, like, if, let's
00:58:30
◼
►
say Bezos was there. You can't say no, that's perjury. Now you've committed a felony. You
00:58:35
◼
►
can refuse to answer though, which is kind of just, I don't know. I would be so...
00:58:41
◼
►
>> They have to invoke some kind of law in order to compel you to answer the question.
00:58:48
◼
►
And in this instance, I don't think... They would have to... I guess they would have to
00:58:58
◼
►
evidence that a crime was being committed at the meeting.
00:59:03
◼
►
And then they will be able to say, well, if you're withholding evidence about what happened
00:59:07
◼
►
at this meeting, you're withholding evidence of a crime.
00:59:12
◼
►
And they have no evidence that a crime was committed at the meeting.
00:59:17
◼
►
Other than the murder of Fredo.
00:59:23
◼
►
We know there was a murder at the meeting, but other than that, we don't know what else
00:59:27
◼
►
It just really seems to me like a bad deal.
00:59:33
◼
►
And the other thing too is that it, you know, by all, everybody seems to suggest that this
00:59:37
◼
►
case was prompted by Amazon.
00:59:39
◼
►
That it was Amazon that got the DOJ, the Department of Justice to investigate this.
00:59:46
◼
►
But it seems as though Amazon did the exact same thing Apple did.
00:59:50
◼
►
They negotiated contracts with the publishers with the same terms.
00:59:57
◼
►
They're very strange to me. It really seems like a waste of time.
01:00:00
◼
►
I got to assume that Amazon spends a lot of money lobbying.
01:00:04
◼
►
I guess. It really just seems though...
01:00:07
◼
►
A lot more than Apple.
01:00:08
◼
►
Yeah. And that brings back that thing from a couple of weeks ago when Tim Cook was down
01:00:13
◼
►
there in front of the Senate testifying on taxes. And the guy at Politico had the thing
01:00:18
◼
►
that... Or I think it was Politico. I don't know where it was. Maybe it was the Washington
01:00:21
◼
►
Examiner or something. But more or less, the message really was nothing about Apple's taxes.
01:00:25
◼
►
It was really, "Hey, you guys should spend a lot more money on taxes."
01:00:27
◼
►
money on that. Otherwise, we're going to drag you down here again in a couple of months.
01:00:34
◼
►
It's a nice business you have here. I'd be ashamed of something you have to do with it.
01:00:43
◼
►
No, it's an ugly business. The last thing in the news, I think, I mean, again, I'm behind
01:00:49
◼
►
with the Vesper, but there's this whole, let's just call it what it is, a shitstorm about
01:00:55
◼
►
about the US government and national security agency and a couple of things actually. Two
01:01:04
◼
►
separate ones, at least two separate things but they're of the same piece. A couple of
01:01:10
◼
►
days ago, the Guardian got a tremendous scoop where they found a thing that shows that Verizon
01:01:18
◼
►
wireless in the US turns over to the NSA the phone records of everybody.
01:01:25
◼
►
They don't turn over the phone calls according to this.
01:01:28
◼
►
It's just the records and that the NSA, the darkest of the spook organizations in the
01:01:34
◼
►
US, the one that does all the electronic eavesdropping has phone records of everybody, every call
01:01:43
◼
►
you've made, every call everybody's made.
01:01:47
◼
►
you know, you're everybody. So just the, just the who called and who they called, right?
01:01:54
◼
►
Which is, you know, a huge, it's, you know, don't think, wow, who cares about that? That's huge.
01:02:00
◼
►
Incredible. I mean, you can draw all sorts of, oh, and location data, all the metadata associated
01:02:07
◼
►
with your cell phone account, which is a lot. And I would presume, I think it's, you know,
01:02:15
◼
►
I don't know that you could even find anybody to take this bet.
01:02:18
◼
►
I can only presume that it just so happens that it's the Verizon thing that leaked.
01:02:22
◼
►
It doesn't mean that only Verizon's doing it.
01:02:25
◼
►
If you think AT&T and Sprint and T-Mobile, et cetera, haven't too, you know, I've got
01:02:33
◼
►
a bridge to sell you.
01:02:35
◼
►
And I don't blame -- I can't believe these words are coming out of my mouth.
01:02:40
◼
►
I don't blame the carriers.
01:02:43
◼
►
I think this is like a godfather situation.
01:02:48
◼
►
I think the NSA came to them with an offer they could not refuse.
01:02:53
◼
►
You're going to give us everything and you're also not going to tell anybody that this is
01:02:59
◼
►
going on and you're going to like it.
01:03:04
◼
►
I don't know that they had an option.
01:03:05
◼
►
I don't think this was like, "Hey, would you mind giving us all of your customers'
01:03:11
◼
►
data and Verizon was like, "Sure."
01:03:14
◼
►
Well, they say that this was done under the Protect America Act.
01:03:19
◼
►
And that they're-
01:03:20
◼
►
So they probably walked in there waving the act and saying, "You have to give us this
01:03:27
◼
►
And the act of the law, in addition to authorizing them to do it, also indemnifies the carriers.
01:03:36
◼
►
that there is no basis for anybody to sue Verizon for doing it, that the law says they
01:03:42
◼
►
are in the clear.
01:03:45
◼
►
And then the next piece is the Washington Post came out with this thing about this thing
01:03:50
◼
►
called PRISM, P-R-I-S-M, it's an acronym, that all sorts of companies like Google, Apple,
01:04:00
◼
►
Facebook, I don't know who else, you name them, but the big ones are...
01:04:05
◼
►
Microsoft, YouTube, Skype, AOL.
01:04:09
◼
►
Everybody but Twitter, the big ones.
01:04:11
◼
►
And Dropbox.
01:04:12
◼
►
They said Dropbox is coming, I guess.
01:04:15
◼
►
And they also said about Apple that Apple resisted and that whether it's a coincidence
01:04:19
◼
►
or not that they got on it shortly after Steve Jobs died.
01:04:24
◼
►
Oh yeah, you're right. You're right about Dropbox. Yeah, coming.
01:04:27
◼
►
You know, whether that's just a coincidence that Apple got on board after Steve Jobs died
01:04:33
◼
►
whether Jobs personally was resisting, we don't know.
01:04:38
◼
►
But it also is one of those things where it seems like
01:04:42
◼
►
part of the deal isn't just that they're giving the data,
01:04:45
◼
►
it's also that they are not allowed to talk about it.
01:04:47
◼
►
And a lot of companies today have issued statements,
01:04:52
◼
►
but there's a lot of, they're not blanket denials.
01:04:55
◼
►
They are, they're saying--
01:04:57
◼
►
- I was gonna say, this would be,
01:04:59
◼
►
this would be, it would have been a good week
01:05:00
◼
►
to buy stock in weasel words.
01:05:03
◼
►
Yes, there's a lot of statements that the NSA or that the US federal government does
01:05:09
◼
►
not have direct access to our servers.
01:05:15
◼
►
That the NSA doesn't have a box connected to Google data centers or Apple data centers
01:05:20
◼
►
or Facebook data centers.
01:05:23
◼
►
And somebody on Twitter, I think it was, I don't know, I saw some people talking about
01:05:27
◼
►
One very, very easy work around that does not contradict any of these denials from these
01:05:35
◼
►
companies would be, well, do they send a copy of the data to the NSA?
01:05:40
◼
►
Not that the NSA has a box that's connected, but do these companies have something in place
01:05:45
◼
►
where everything gets copied and then sent to the NSA?
01:05:49
◼
►
If that's what's going on, none of the denials would contradict it.
01:05:53
◼
►
And the other statement that came out was they said, I can't remember if it was the
01:05:57
◼
►
NSA or the administration said that they are not targeting US citizens.
01:06:06
◼
►
And my reading of that is, well, if we're collecting everything, we're not targeting
01:06:12
◼
►
US citizens.
01:06:13
◼
►
We're just getting it all.
01:06:19
◼
►
We go to Verizon and we ask them for all their records and they give us all their records.
01:06:23
◼
►
we have not targeted US citizens.
01:06:25
◼
►
And then later what we do is we go in and they target certain individuals who are of
01:06:39
◼
►
And I didn't see Obama's press conference today, but I read some of the quotes from
01:06:44
◼
►
and it was really it was about everything that you would expect of
01:06:51
◼
►
somebody not really seemingly enough concerned about the but the problem here
01:07:01
◼
►
yeah I gotta say I'm pretty disappointed I think yeah yeah I am too Pauline here
01:07:08
◼
►
I am now I've got to agree this is so bad I'm in agreement with Mike Arrington
01:07:13
◼
►
My guarantee is I had a blog post today on this.
01:07:17
◼
►
I guess I'll put it in the show notes, but it's – here's what he says on the Washington
01:07:24
◼
►
Because what they had, what the Washington Post based this on was an NSA presentation,
01:07:29
◼
►
like a keynote deck or a – what's the one from Microsoft?
01:07:33
◼
►
PowerPoint deck.
01:07:34
◼
►
Probably PowerPoint.
01:07:35
◼
►
That leads to Washington.
01:07:36
◼
►
I'm sure it's PowerPoint.
01:07:40
◼
►
And it stated that the NSA is tapping direct quote.
01:07:43
◼
►
This is what the presentation said, "Tapping directly into the central servers of nine
01:07:47
◼
►
leading U.S. Internet companies to collect information on users."
01:07:50
◼
►
And as Arrington says on the story, one of these must be true.
01:07:55
◼
►
One, the NSA presentation is fake and the Washington Post got duped.
01:07:59
◼
►
Two, Microsoft, Yahoo, Google, Facebook, Apple, et cetera, are lying in terms of their denials.
01:08:08
◼
►
Or three, the presentation is real and the companies are carefully drafting responses
01:08:13
◼
►
so that they aren't technically lying. I believe the third option is the truth.
01:08:17
◼
►
Yes. It seems like that's got to be it.
01:08:18
◼
►
Look at this. We're stuck saying we agree with Mike Arrington. I think it shows…
01:08:23
◼
►
That's really the most hurtful part of this whole thing, isn't it?
01:08:25
◼
►
It really is. But it's…
01:08:27
◼
►
Even more so than the government having your Verizon records.
01:08:31
◼
►
Exactly. Here's the thing here I saw. I'm going to link up on the site, but this is
01:08:37
◼
►
the editorial board at the New York Times. Let me see the passage I wanted to...
01:08:49
◼
►
Here it is. "The administration has now lost all credibility on this issue. Mr.
01:08:54
◼
►
Obama is proving the truism that the executive branch will use any power it
01:08:59
◼
►
it is given and very likely abuse it. And I couldn't agree more. Yeah. The answer is,
01:09:09
◼
►
"Hey, terrorists, scary, scary, scary stuff going on out there. You should trust us. We've
01:09:15
◼
►
And, you know, I don't know. That doesn't fly with me.
01:09:20
◼
►
I mean, the terrible thing is all of this stuff was approved by Congress.
01:09:25
◼
►
So, it just doesn't seem like we'll ever get any rectification of this, because the
01:09:34
◼
►
people who would investigate it were the people who have approved it.
01:09:38
◼
►
And even though Republicans love to investigate and try and find fault with the administration,
01:09:45
◼
►
they probably won't.
01:09:46
◼
►
I just don't see them doing anything about this.
01:09:47
◼
►
I guess the best—
01:09:48
◼
►
Because they're knee-deep in it too.
01:09:51
◼
►
would be for them to sort of have an about face on this and figure out a way to unite
01:10:01
◼
►
their dislike and their obstinance of anything Obama does and make this the central part
01:10:07
◼
►
of it because it would actually be good for the country.
01:10:10
◼
►
A perfect example of that is the quote unquote Obamacare, the healthcare legislation that
01:10:17
◼
►
Obama pushed through, which is actually based on proposals that used to come from Republicans.
01:10:24
◼
►
Like back in the 90s when Clinton was president and they tried to rejigger everything, their
01:10:30
◼
►
proposal was far more, well let's just say progressive, liberal, you know, more like
01:10:36
◼
►
what other people have around the world.
01:10:39
◼
►
And the Republican answer wasn't, you know, you can't just say, "Well, no."
01:10:42
◼
►
You know, you have to have a counter proposal.
01:10:44
◼
►
And their counterproposal, which was more based on working with the existing insurance
01:10:48
◼
►
companies and et cetera, was pretty much exactly what Obamacare is.
01:10:51
◼
►
And it's just that by the time Obama got to it, they were like, "Well, no.
01:10:55
◼
►
We don't want it."
01:10:56
◼
►
Well, they should do that with the -- see, now that -- here's a case where I could get
01:11:01
◼
►
They should get behind -- they should do that.
01:11:02
◼
►
Where, yeah, you were -- sure, you were on board with it a decade ago.
01:11:06
◼
►
Just find some technicality to say, "Well, but it's different just because," and fight
01:11:11
◼
►
bite this tooth and nail and get some of this stuff dismantled.
01:11:13
◼
►
Tim Cynova Or just say enough is enough.
01:11:16
◼
►
Dave Asprey Enough is enough, right.
01:11:18
◼
►
Tim Cynova Even if you said that the real danger has
01:11:22
◼
►
passed or something, we needed it then, but we don't need it anymore.
01:11:27
◼
►
Dave Asprey Right. And a big part of it to me is at least
01:11:29
◼
►
be transparent about what is going on. There was a great article. I wish I could. I've
01:11:36
◼
►
looked for it before, but there was an article I read a long time ago in Wired Magazine from
01:11:41
◼
►
somebody like a futurist type person who's specialized in thinking about privacy.
01:11:47
◼
►
And his stance, he's very, very pro-privacy, but his stance was like on a specific issue
01:11:53
◼
►
of security cameras.
01:11:57
◼
►
Let's say like the one that the government installs, like municipalities, like let's
01:12:01
◼
►
say the ones at stoplights.
01:12:04
◼
►
That if the government is going to have security cameras, then everybody should be able to
01:12:09
◼
►
access them. That if there's a camera at the intersection of Sixth and Spruce, anybody
01:12:15
◼
►
should be able to access it. And so if law enforcement wants to use it to see if a crime
01:12:20
◼
►
was committed there, they can use it and use it as evidence, but anybody can get it. If
01:12:25
◼
►
there's an archive of it, then it all has to be publicly available.
01:12:29
◼
►
You know? And if you say, "Well, no, no, no. Everybody
01:12:31
◼
►
shouldn't have it." Well, then you shouldn't have a camera there. Right? And that, you
01:12:36
◼
►
know, and then it goes back to the idea that they're really, you know, we
01:12:39
◼
►
shouldn't be thinking of the government as a separate entity, that the government
01:12:42
◼
►
is us. It's, you know, it's our elected officials. And it makes it, it makes a
01:12:47
◼
►
tremendous amount of sense. You think, well, you know, that seems creepy if
01:12:51
◼
►
everybody could just look and see what's going on at, you know, this street
01:12:54
◼
►
intersection. Well, then don't put cameras there. But if a camera is there, everybody
01:12:57
◼
►
should have access to it. It's not exactly the same as... I'm not saying
01:13:01
◼
►
everybody should have access to everybody's phone records, but if you're...
01:13:05
◼
►
Everybody should have access to everybody else's Google Glass records.
01:13:08
◼
►
That's now that I can get behind.
01:13:14
◼
►
Because if there's nothing wrong with Google Glass then...
01:13:18
◼
►
Or if you know if there is something wrong don't don't put it on your face.
01:13:23
◼
►
I actually saw a surprising number of people on Twitter yesterday because Vesper 1.0 does not
01:13:34
◼
►
It does not sink to any service in the cloud.
01:13:38
◼
►
What you put in Vesper is on your phone.
01:13:40
◼
►
I saw a lot of people draw the connection between that and this Prism stuff and say,
01:13:44
◼
►
"You know what?
01:13:45
◼
►
I like that it doesn't sink," which is not why it doesn't sink.
01:13:49
◼
►
This is not a tinfoil hat thing.
01:13:54
◼
►
But you know what?
01:13:55
◼
►
It's funny because I was thinking about it.
01:13:56
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They kind of have a point.
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You can put that in the notes.
01:14:02
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Use that as an advertising point.
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It protects your data by…
01:14:06
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Paints us in a corner about future sync options.
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Because it's everybody, too.
01:14:16
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You can't go right.
01:14:17
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You can't go iCloud.
01:14:18
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You can't go Azure.
01:14:21
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You can't go…
01:14:22
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Is Amazon listed?
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I can't believe that.
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I didn't see Amazon. It seems like everybody else is on the list. It seems like they would
01:14:39
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I didn't see it. I don't know. It's an interesting and depressing thing. I hope that this is
01:14:49
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not one of those things that blows over. I kind of hope that this is something that sticks
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because it's worrisome.
01:14:55
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Again, I don't really blame the companies so much.
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I don't think that any of these companies, I don't think that Apple or Google or Microsoft
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just jumped on this and gleefully, I think that they were given offers they could not
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But we'll see.
01:15:13
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I think it would be good to see this stuff investigated and see.
01:15:16
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Mike: I suppose you could try and challenge the constitutionality of the law, but then
01:15:23
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you really set yourself up for trouble.
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Yeah. And the NSA is, you know, the more you read about it, it really is sort of a spooky
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organization where there's a lot less oversight over them than the FBI or the CIA. They operate,
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I'm not going to say autonomously, but more autonomously than any other similar organization
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in our government. They're right behind you right now.
01:15:50
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Oh, I'm sure they're listening to this. I mean, we know they're hooked into Skype.
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Yeah, right, right. They're at least collecting it.
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They may not actually listen to it, but they're collecting.
01:16:03
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Dave Asprey Right. Like the guys at the NSA, and they probably are. I mean,
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they're chock full of computer guys. I mean, I wouldn't be surprised if the majority of their
01:16:10
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employees are computer programmers. I mean, there's probably a lot of people at the NSA who listen to
01:16:15
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the show. They get to listen to it early. Hello.
01:16:19
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Hello NSA listeners of the talk show.
01:16:26
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They're all having a good laugh right now.
01:16:32
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We hate you.
01:16:34
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We hate you.
01:16:36
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We're very angry at you right now.
01:16:38
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How spooked would you be if our Skype call dropped?