128: Turn Left at the Big Tree!
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You have a lot of AA batteries.
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Oh. Have you been spying on me, Myke?
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I was like, how does Myke know that?
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I wouldn't say I've been spying on you. I have been rummaging through the drawers in your apartment, yes.
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Oh! I don't like that at all. You're not supposed to do that.
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Hey look, sometimes a friend needs a smoke alarm changed.
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You know what I'm saying? And you gotta help him out.
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Oh, is the smoke alarm beeping when you checked on my apartment?
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Yeah, so my wife and I went and checked in on your abode.
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abode and it was just very funny to me. I was doing DIY in your house. I was just sorting
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some stuff out for you. Thank you. I was like, oh this is beeping, which I'm sure is driving
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your neighbour insane at this point, because who knows how long that's been going on for.
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Because I could hear it in the hallway. Oh, oh god, oh no, we've made some enemies then
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I guess. Yeah, so I was like, oh, smoke alarm! But it's like first it's like, alright, get
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in a cabinet, turn on the water.
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So we could turn all the taps and then like,
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all right, now surely there's a step ladder
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in here somewhere, 'cause I'm not gonna stand on any chairs
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'cause I'll only break the chairs.
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So I found the step ladder.
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It was in the first place I looked,
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so I enjoyed the logic in that.
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Whoever decided to put it in the Coke cabinet,
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it's perfect, grabbed it, got it.
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- Yep, that would be my wife.
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She's in charge of the entire house inventory.
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- I couldn't work out how to get the smoke alarm
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off the ceiling, so I had to Google
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for an instruction manual.
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Because it was one of these ones, I mean you probably know this, it's like attached to a plate and the plate is screwed into the ceiling
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so there's like a specific way to get it off the plate.
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Yeah it's like a funny combination lock that you need to do. It's like oh two turns left and one turn right.
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Yeah and then like pressing the tab when the moon strikes at the right moment and you can get the thing down.
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And then lots of batteries, you have lots of batteries.
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Yes. Well, yes.
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That was a disagreement between the wife inventory management system and the
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husband inventory management system about we need some new batteries and whether
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or not the old batteries were too old or whether weren't.
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A long story short, we ended up with a lot of batteries and mixed up the colors
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and we don't know which ones are the new ones and which ones are the old ones.
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So everyone has ended up unhappy.
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So maybe the smoke alarm's dead already. Cause I don't know what,
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I just got batteries and put them in there, you know?
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I don't know how old they are.
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- Yeah, so if you put the white batteries in,
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my guess is those are the old batteries.
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If you put the black batteries in,
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my guess is those are the new batteries,
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but it's not 100% sure.
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There's also sparkle batteries.
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Well, thank you for checking up on my apartment.
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It sounds like you might have to do this again.
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I also especially appreciated it
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because there's nothing you like getting more
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when you're going on a long vacation
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than while you are at the airport,
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a notification from your bank that they have decided
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to reissue all of your cards for no reason.
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- You had more mail than I've ever seen anyone get.
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There was so much mail.
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It was astounding.
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It was like in movies.
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You know, you can see it in a movie
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where someone like can't open the door.
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It was like that.
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It was so much mail.
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And then so I think Adina just like collected up
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a bunch of it.
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And then that started a whole thing of how on earth
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to get male courier to Hawaii was like,
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that was like a whole project.
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It took her the best part of a week to work that one out.
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- I can't even believe I'm getting started on this already.
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You've hit upon one of my great Hawaii pain points.
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- This whole episode is this.
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I mean, I have like 6,000 points of Hawaii follow up
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to get through anyway.
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So we might as well start with this one.
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- Okay, let me just,
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there's a lot of small frustrations in life.
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And one of them for me is, hey, I'm in Hawaii.
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You know what I would like?
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I would like packages.
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How can those packages get to me?
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Because, okay, so here's the situation.
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I was like, okay, Amazon, let's make a deal.
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I'm gonna buy something and you're gonna send it to me.
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Great, everybody's happy.
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So if you want something sent to you,
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there's a simple piece of information
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that you need to know.
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What's the mailing address?
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Now, before I go any further,
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just so people can get some sense
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of what I'm dealing with here.
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Some of the addresses,
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including addresses that I'm involved with,
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include things like, "Take a left at the big tree."
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That's what you write on the envelope.
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- No, you're (beep) me, that's not true.
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I 100% am not.
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- You swear. - I swear to you.
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- Like if someone was gonna mail you a letter,
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they would write on the envelope,
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"Take a left at the big tree."
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Where I currently am, no.
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But this is what addresses are like around here.
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- Okay. - So this is like,
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you need you to understand the baseline.
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I have sent envelopes where I write,
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"Take a left at the big tree on them."
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And that's how the mail gets to them.
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- Do you just throw it out the window
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when you write mail like that?
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Like, you just write, and then you just hope
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a bird comes and gets it?
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Like, how does that work out?
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You sound like you're in a Miyazaki movie right now,
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is what I'm saying.
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Like this is what I'm imagining for you.
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- Well, yeah, I mean, yeah,
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'cause you write it on the envelope
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and then you hand it to a hermit crab
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and the hermit crab scuttles off with the letter
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and follows the instructions
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on how to get it to where it needs to go.
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So this is, again, like there's so much,
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I don't even know where to start.
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I feel like every time I try to talk about this,
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I'm just exploding with all kinds of details
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because no one here ever sees any of this as a problem.
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And I'm like, I'm the crazy person,
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but I'm not the crazy person because listen,
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here's the basic problem.
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The United States Post Office and private carriers in rural areas are often not friends with each other.
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And they don't work with each other.
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And so here's the issue.
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If someone is sending you a package, if they don't use the mail...
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All right, let me phrase it this way.
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Let me, let me, what's the best way to start this?
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Someone wants to send you a package.
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Like it should be so simple.
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- It should be so simple. - I just need you to understand.
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That point where you said, "Hell is best,"
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that's all staying in, man.
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I mean, come on.
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This is too good as it is.
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You're just tying yourselves in knots,
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just trying to understand how do you send a package
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- Okay, okay, so, all right, all right, all right, all right.
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So in rural, okay.
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In rural areas, the deal is often everybody gets a PO box
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Because in rural areas, basically it's like the post office doesn't have adequate funding
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to actually send a mailman to the four corners of the earth with how spread out everybody
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is in a rural environment.
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Just the amount of time to actually deliver the mail is crazy.
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And so the US federal mail is like, "LOL, nope, you're coming to us.
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We're not delivering the mail to you.
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That's logistically impossible.
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So you have to come to the post office."
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But here's the thing.
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What the post office doesn't accept is packages from private carriers.
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So if someone uses UPS or FedEx or any of these various things, they can't send it to
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your PO box.
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So the basic situation is the US mail will not deliver to your house.
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Private carriers will deliver to your house if you give them adequate instructions as
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as to where that house is,
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but they won't deliver to your PO box.
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Now, everyone seems to be like,
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yeah, that's quite reasonable.
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But my position is, you don't know
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what the person sending you the thing is using.
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Like you don't know.
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It's impossible for you to know.
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And especially for you, Myke, trying to send me something,
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you yourself don't even know what the hell's gonna happen
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on the other end when you send something.
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Well the bigger problem for us is, lots of carriers will not send to PO Boxes.
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They won't do it.
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So we had to use FedEx, which would have been my preferred one anyway, but it cost a hundred
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pounds to send.
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I didn't know that.
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I'm so sorry.
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Because they were the only ones that would do it.
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Nobody else would take it.
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I mean what did happen, which is kind of incredible, is like we sent it Wednesday, you had it Thursday,
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I don't even know how this is possible.
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It was like, I imagine like there's just a guy
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and he picked it up at her house
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and immediately went to Heathrow and got on a plane
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and just took it to your PO box.
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But like we, like Edina was struggling for days.
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Like can, will anyone take this mail?
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And like she was contacting companies
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'cause they said they would take it.
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And she's like, yeah, but I've been in this situation before
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where you say you'll do it.
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And then it gets returned to me
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because you won't take it to the PO box.
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So we went with FedEx.
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I mean, I think she shopped around
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because it costs a hundred pounds, right?
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So it's like, will anyone do it for less than a hundred pounds?
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The answer was no.
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And this is why FedEx could charge you a hundred pounds, because they're
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the only ones that will do it.
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They've got the local hermit crab connection.
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Like it's us or nobody, right?
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But so, so, okay.
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So you're a human who I can talk to and you're even having a problem.
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But if you're doing something like ordering through Amazon, you have no idea
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how it's going to be sent to you, right?
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So you don't know if they're going to use the mail or if it's going to be a private carrier.
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So I was just like, "Well, I don't know. I'm going to just roll with it, hope it's a private carrier,
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and order a bunch of the stuff that I need while I'm here."
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And I tried so many different variations of the address, and I don't know what happened.
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But I had like 10 packages. I could see them on the App Tracker, right? I'm using Parcel.
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It's like, "Okay, it's in New York. It's made it to California. Great.
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It's made it from California to Honolulu.
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It's made its way from Honolulu to the island I'm on.
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Undeliverable.
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Why, why is it undeliverable?
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And then I sadly watch it slowly make its way back across.
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Where it's like, there were times where I'm like,
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this package is 20 miles for me.
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Can I like run and try to get it before they load it
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on this boat to send back to Honolulu,
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to send back to the continent?
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Can I try to intercept this package?
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So anyway, I had so many packages returned to Amazon,
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and I'm like trying every combination of the address.
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What's gonna work, man?
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How can I make this situation happen?
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And long story short,
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Amazon won't let me buy anything anymore.
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Every single item says,
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"We will not ship to your location."
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I think I triggered some flag in their system
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where they're like, this guy,
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now that I know it could cost like $100 every time,
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it's like, this guy cost us two grand
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trying to ship him a flashlight?
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No, as long as his address is anywhere in Hawaii,
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we're not going to do it.
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So I've been trying to be like sneaky, right?
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Like I'm changing the address.
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It's like, I'm trying to like move things around
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to my Amazon account.
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I switched the credit cards from like a UK credit card
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to the US credit card.
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No, everything I click on, Amazon goes,
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"We won't ship to your location."
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I was like, "God damn it, Amazon!"
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Like 100%, my account was flagged.
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We can't send you things.
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- You let me know what you want.
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We'll put it in a box.
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four grand later and FedEx will bring it to you.
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- Okay, so listen, you know how you like,
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you just want things to be consistent and correct.
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Oh, there's a system for things
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and it should just be consistent and it should be correct.
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And the thing that I have stumbled upon
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is the highest success percentage of getting packages to me,
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not a hundred percent success by the way,
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but the highest rate of success is to do a thing
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which kills my soul that wants order.
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And the thing is, I must write the address of where I am,
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the PO box of a relative,
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and then a zip code that doesn't match
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the address where I am, but instead matches the PO box.
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I know you have not written letters in America.
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If there is one thing that they teach you in school
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is how to properly format an address.
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And rule number one is PO boxes and street addresses,
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they never mix.
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You don't put those two things on a letter,
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'cause that's not how the system is supposed to work.
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Like these are two totally different locations.
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Like it's just, it's not supposed to happen,
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but it's like, but that's what I have to do.
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I have to tell people if they're starting
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to send me something like, okay,
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write this street address, write this PO box,
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and then the zip code just really gets me.
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It's like, oh, the zip code only matches one of these things
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And the reason is because the PO box is in like another town
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from where we are to go get the packages.
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And it just, it basically all depends on,
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literally talk to the lady in the post office,
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who's like, we'll keep an eye out.
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And it's like, oh my God. - You're tricking the system
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and relying on the regional mail carrier
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to know what that means and then hold it aside for you.
00:13:03
◼
►
- We are depending on whoever is the second to last mile,
00:13:07
◼
►
not the last mile person, to make a reasonable decision
00:13:11
◼
►
on how to send this package to wherever it's supposed to go.
00:13:15
◼
►
So sometimes that means it's the PO box,
00:13:17
◼
►
sometimes it means it comes to our actual door.
00:13:20
◼
►
But it's like, it's such a small thing,
00:13:22
◼
►
but it is infuriating.
00:13:24
◼
►
And for other stuff that I've tried to order
00:13:26
◼
►
and have sent to the house, plenty of companies
00:13:29
◼
►
will simply not let you format an address in this way.
00:13:32
◼
►
No, that's an incorrect address.
00:13:34
◼
►
Everyone knows you can't do this.
00:13:36
◼
►
The street address doesn't match the zip code
00:13:38
◼
►
that you've put there.
00:13:39
◼
►
I know, I know, but you don't understand.
00:13:43
◼
►
We're depending on three people on the island
00:13:46
◼
►
to catch this and know what to do.
00:13:48
◼
►
I know it's not formatted correctly, but just send it.
00:13:52
◼
►
Just send it.
00:13:53
◼
►
And when it gets to the island,
00:13:55
◼
►
80% chance it's gonna make it to me.
00:13:57
◼
►
And only a 20% chance it's gonna get shipped back to you.
00:14:01
◼
►
So that's how the mail works in Hawaii.
00:14:03
◼
►
- This episode of Cortex is brought to you
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by our friends at Squarespace, the all-in-one platform for you to build your brand and grow
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I pay for my own Squarespace websites and I've been doing this for over 10 years.
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first purchase and show your support for the show. Our thanks to Squarespace for the support
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of this show and all of Relay FM.
00:16:06
◼
►
There were a number of people in the subreddit and on twitter
00:16:11
◼
►
and in the Relay FM discord as well who were saying
00:16:15
◼
►
"Oh you didn't put any of those spider photos in the show notes"
00:16:20
◼
►
Let me tell you, Cortexians, what you don't want is for Gray to send you spider photos because
00:16:28
◼
►
the last month of my life has gone like this. Message from CGP Gray, "Pop quiz!"
00:16:34
◼
►
That's how he starts every message he sends me now. Pop quiz and then an image.
00:16:40
◼
►
Spot the spider!
00:16:41
◼
►
But they know it, no, but you never say that. You just say "Pop quiz!"
00:16:45
◼
►
And then I have to look at this image and try and decipher, because sometimes there's no spiders.
00:16:50
◼
►
and just try and decipher what it is I'm looking for.
00:16:53
◼
►
And I think my problem was I was engaging with you
00:16:56
◼
►
because they got increasingly horrifying
00:17:00
◼
►
as time has gone on and they've continued to.
00:17:03
◼
►
And now, I'm looking at a lot of people who would have said,
00:17:06
◼
►
hey, I wanted to see one of those.
00:17:08
◼
►
If these people follow you on Twitter,
00:17:10
◼
►
they will have seen the kinds of images
00:17:12
◼
►
that you've been sending me.
00:17:13
◼
►
I will put them in the show notes too,
00:17:14
◼
►
in case people wanna go subject themselves
00:17:17
◼
►
to just abject horrors that you've been dealing with.
00:17:20
◼
►
- Yeah, see the problem for you, Myke,
00:17:22
◼
►
is that you are sympathetic to my situation.
00:17:26
◼
►
- And no one here is sympathetic to my situation.
00:17:28
◼
►
- This is where it's like,
00:17:30
◼
►
there is nothing in the world I want less than these images,
00:17:35
◼
►
but my care for you is one of my closest friends.
00:17:40
◼
►
I know why these images are being sent to me,
00:17:43
◼
►
so I'm allowing it, right?
00:17:46
◼
►
Because if you were at home and was just Googling pictures of spiders and kept sending them
00:17:52
◼
►
to me, I would block you.
00:17:53
◼
►
I'd be like, "Until you can learn to stop, I'm blocking you.
00:17:58
◼
►
You can send me an email when you're ready to be unblocked.
00:18:00
◼
►
But for now, you're blocked."
00:18:02
◼
►
I think you have sent me more messages in the last month than the rest of the maybe
00:18:06
◼
►
last 18 months.
00:18:08
◼
►
And so I know that you need it.
00:18:09
◼
►
Oh, that's easily true.
00:18:10
◼
►
That's easily true.
00:18:11
◼
►
So like, I'm here, you know, like whenever you need to send me stuff, you send me stuff
00:18:16
◼
►
and we can joke about it or I can commiserate with you.
00:18:19
◼
►
I've been getting a lot of use out of two new emoji.
00:18:22
◼
►
One is the face melting one
00:18:24
◼
►
and one is the dotted line grimacing one.
00:18:27
◼
►
They've been doing good for me right now.
00:18:29
◼
►
Yeah, you've been, oh boy, some of that nature.
00:18:33
◼
►
- Yeah, but see, the thing is,
00:18:34
◼
►
you validate that my opinions are not crazy, right?
00:18:37
◼
►
Where it's like, oh great, I can show Myke.
00:18:40
◼
►
And the thing that I've tuned into is that
00:18:43
◼
►
when I point out stuff to locals,
00:18:46
◼
►
I always get some variation on,
00:18:49
◼
►
"Oh, that's unusual."
00:18:50
◼
►
"No, it's not. Look everywhere."
00:18:53
◼
►
Like, it's everywhere.
00:18:55
◼
►
What's unusual is you're noticing
00:18:57
◼
►
because I'm pointing it out,
00:19:00
◼
►
but your brain is like photoshopping all of this away.
00:19:03
◼
►
I've actually thought of,
00:19:04
◼
►
like we sort of mentioned on the show before,
00:19:06
◼
►
that I think selection effects are really quite powerful.
00:19:09
◼
►
And one thing, say, a jungle environment selects for is lack of sensitivity to arthropods.
00:19:18
◼
►
Like, Hawaii is selecting for that.
00:19:21
◼
►
And so here I am just showing up like, "Oh, this guy should never be on this island."
00:19:25
◼
►
And I'm looking around and seeing all the things and I point them out
00:19:28
◼
►
and it is maddening that people go, "Oh, that's unusual."
00:19:32
◼
►
It's like, okay, so we have now caught a double digit number of centipedes in the house
00:19:37
◼
►
and every one of them is remarked as being unusual.
00:19:41
◼
►
And I'm like, "It isn't! It's not unusual at this point!"
00:19:44
◼
►
So what do you think is the situation?
00:19:46
◼
►
Are people just ignoring them and not noticing them?
00:19:49
◼
►
Yeah, I don't know.
00:19:49
◼
►
I really do think, like, people who live on Hawai'i –
00:19:52
◼
►
again, I am, like – hear me, listeners.
00:19:55
◼
►
I'm the weirdo here, right?
00:19:56
◼
►
Like, I'm the exception.
00:19:58
◼
►
Everybody else on Hawai'i – literally everyone else –
00:20:01
◼
►
is having a great time.
00:20:02
◼
►
Like, I'm the only person who isn't,
00:20:05
◼
►
And I just think that there's a lack of sensitivity, right?
00:20:10
◼
►
Or people who've lived here their whole lives, like they're just totally used to it
00:20:13
◼
►
and just don't really think about it.
00:20:15
◼
►
Whereas for me, it's like, I can't get used to it.
00:20:18
◼
►
And that's the frustration.
00:20:19
◼
►
We can come back to this, but this is actually veering towards something
00:20:22
◼
►
that I've been wanting to talk about for the last couple of weeks.
00:20:26
◼
►
I feel like we need to once again address resort Hawaii
00:20:31
◼
►
before we start to receive formal complaints from the Hawaii Tourism Board.
00:20:35
◼
►
Because there have been so many people that have contacted us and said,
00:20:39
◼
►
"I'm never going to Hawaii."
00:20:41
◼
►
And I feel like something has been lost,
00:20:43
◼
►
because I really need to impress upon people here.
00:20:47
◼
►
I have spent two of the best weeks of my life in Hawaii.
00:20:51
◼
►
You're going to go to Resort Hawaii.
00:20:54
◼
►
You're going to go where the hotels are, which is in all of these areas.
00:20:58
◼
►
Are you going to go where the vacation rental homes are,
00:21:01
◼
►
which are like by the beach.
00:21:02
◼
►
I had a couple of people who contacted me
00:21:04
◼
►
to give me a bit more good context for this.
00:21:06
◼
►
'Cause you were saying about, you know,
00:21:08
◼
►
in resort Hawaii, people come around
00:21:10
◼
►
and they like sweep the spiders away, right?
00:21:13
◼
►
Which is like a nice way of putting it.
00:21:14
◼
►
But like I had someone say,
00:21:16
◼
►
like the resort Hawaii is incredibly manicured.
00:21:19
◼
►
The grass is cut really short on the lawns
00:21:22
◼
►
and like the areas, the trees are all cut down.
00:21:25
◼
►
Everything's perfectly planted.
00:21:27
◼
►
The manicuring and sculpting of these areas naturally removes a lot of the nature and
00:21:35
◼
►
the wildlife that you are experiencing because these things grow in places where it's mostly
00:21:43
◼
►
So if you go to Hawaii and stay in any of the places you would stay in when you're on
00:21:47
◼
►
Hawaii because that's where you would stay because that's what it's made for, for the
00:21:53
◼
►
tourists, you're not going to experience any of these horrors.
00:21:56
◼
►
Yeah, and again, like this is this is why I'm on Twitter and for some people I'm like no no go to Hawaii
00:22:01
◼
►
Like you'll have a great time
00:22:03
◼
►
I just saw so many people say oh I wanted to go I'm never gonna go now and I just I
00:22:08
◼
►
Feel like we really you know
00:22:10
◼
►
We did a disservice to people if that's what they took away people should come people should come because the entire
00:22:16
◼
►
Economy depends on people coming and it can be that way because everyone loves it
00:22:21
◼
►
Yeah people I spoke to there. It was like this is what we do. We're a tourism
00:22:25
◼
►
our entire economy is based on tourism,
00:22:27
◼
►
so I don't want to be, considering how much I love Hawaii,
00:22:30
◼
►
I don't want to be responsible at all
00:22:32
◼
►
for any less people going there.
00:22:34
◼
►
- This is actually quite, this is quite selfish
00:22:36
◼
►
from Myke's perspective.
00:22:37
◼
►
His main concern is he doesn't want to come back
00:22:39
◼
►
and discover that the resort has been shut down
00:22:42
◼
►
and there's just tumbleweeds blowing across the landscape.
00:22:45
◼
►
- Well, to be fair, Grey, what it might mean
00:22:47
◼
►
is that the hotel rooms would be a little cheaper
00:22:48
◼
►
for me next time I want to go,
00:22:50
◼
►
'cause that it is not either, you know?
00:22:52
◼
►
Even when you pass through the little towns,
00:22:55
◼
►
it's like, oh, they all look very great,
00:22:57
◼
►
but you're also seeing the storefronts
00:22:59
◼
►
that are set up for tourists right on the road.
00:23:01
◼
►
Those are always very nicely kept.
00:23:03
◼
►
And for some of them, if you walk just slightly behind
00:23:08
◼
►
where those storefronts are,
00:23:09
◼
►
you can start bumping into a very different sort of world.
00:23:11
◼
►
But you never will when you're on vacation,
00:23:13
◼
►
and that's totally fine.
00:23:14
◼
►
That's the point of a vacation, right?
00:23:16
◼
►
It's supposed to be nice, and you just see stuff,
00:23:19
◼
►
and it's set up for tourists, and it's great.
00:23:21
◼
►
So since our last episode, how has work stuff been for you?
00:23:25
◼
►
Have you had any changes?
00:23:26
◼
►
Are you remaining productive?
00:23:28
◼
►
- Yeah, so when we spoke, I was fairly optimistic,
00:23:33
◼
►
I would say, with my, I will get 80% of the work done.
00:23:38
◼
►
That was my life.
00:23:39
◼
►
I'm only gonna give up 20% of the work,
00:23:43
◼
►
and I'm only gonna give up the 20 unimportant percent, right?
00:23:46
◼
►
and it'll just be 80% and blue skies and rainbows from here on out.
00:23:52
◼
►
I would say I'm probably hitting a lot closer to like 40% of the work.
00:23:59
◼
►
I think that's a reasonable estimate for how it's actually gone over the last six weeks, I guess?
00:24:06
◼
►
I mean, to be fair, I'm still gonna count that as a major win
00:24:10
◼
►
because my assistant, who was around the last time I was in Hawaii,
00:24:15
◼
►
Her baseline was zero percent of work occurred.
00:24:19
◼
►
And so she was extremely concerned about, you know, we're just going to lose two months.
00:24:25
◼
►
And I'm like, no, no, it's going to be fine.
00:24:27
◼
►
We're going to get 80 percent of the work done.
00:24:28
◼
►
And she was like, I'm sorry, the base rate of this is you will get zero percent of the work done.
00:24:33
◼
►
So I am not going to plan for that.
00:24:35
◼
►
So I'm still going to take 40 percent as a big win.
00:24:37
◼
►
So I am reasonably happy about that.
00:24:40
◼
►
People have been mostly good.
00:24:42
◼
►
But the problem is that while people can be informed of schedules,
00:24:49
◼
►
cows and chickens and all sorts of other creatures cannot be informed of schedules.
00:24:57
◼
►
And they don't really care what time it is if there's something that they need.
00:25:01
◼
►
So yeah, my life has been disrupted by animals very often for the working times.
00:25:08
◼
►
I noticed there's a chicken in the mix now.
00:25:10
◼
►
Well, no, so I can't even with this whole story. There's six chickens. There's not a chicken.
00:25:16
◼
►
There's six chickens that we'll just say arrived in our lives and are here to stay.
00:25:22
◼
►
But yes, so while I sit down these rules of like, "I will not be disturbed before 1 p.m.
00:25:27
◼
►
I'm not available before 1 p.m." and like, "Please don't tell me about a problem with the chickens.
00:25:32
◼
►
I need to be working." But here's the thing. What happens, Myke, when one of the chickens gets sick?
00:25:38
◼
►
- Becomes a sicken.
00:25:40
◼
►
- No, that is terrible.
00:25:42
◼
►
I absolutely refuse to allow that in the podcast.
00:25:44
◼
►
That is awful.
00:25:46
◼
►
- Hey, it's late.
00:25:48
◼
►
What do you want from me?
00:25:50
◼
►
It's 10 p.m. right now.
00:25:50
◼
►
- It's early, Myke.
00:25:51
◼
►
It's 10 a.m.
00:25:52
◼
►
Like, what do you mean it's late?
00:25:53
◼
►
We're only exactly as far as we can be.
00:25:56
◼
►
But yes, so one of the chickens got sick,
00:25:59
◼
►
and a sick chicken making sad,
00:26:03
◼
►
cheeping noises is the most heartbreaking thing
00:26:06
◼
►
in the whole wide world.
00:26:07
◼
►
And so she needed to be separated from her litter mates and she needed medicine and basically
00:26:14
◼
►
24 hour care around the clock.
00:26:17
◼
►
And so yes, I ended up losing quite a lot of time because I ended up taking care of
00:26:23
◼
►
a sick chicken.
00:26:24
◼
►
And so that's the kind of thing that can really blow a hole in your working day is trying
00:26:30
◼
►
to arrange, "Hey chicken, I know you're sick and sad, but also I need to work."
00:26:35
◼
►
But like, chicken don't care.
00:26:37
◼
►
don't care at all like chickens got other things to do so yes this has been
00:26:41
◼
►
one of the one of the interruptions in my life is taking care of a little
00:26:44
◼
►
chicken I am happy to report that she has pulled through and she's now been
00:26:49
◼
►
returned to her brood and so all six chickens are now happy and back together
00:26:54
◼
►
and everything is fine it was it was a week of like oh poor chicken we just we
00:26:59
◼
►
just need to make you comfortable in your final hours like how can I say no
00:27:02
◼
►
to that only a monster would say no to that it's like no we just we gotta make
00:27:05
◼
►
the chicken comfortable. But yeah, so she's all fine now. Not conducive to I'm just
00:27:11
◼
►
gonna get up and get straight to work. It's like, oh no, my wife hands me a chicken after
00:27:17
◼
►
pulling the night shift with chicken medicine and she goes to sleep and it's like, "Well,
00:27:22
◼
►
okay buddy, this is what we're gonna do. I'm gonna put you in my hoodie and we're
00:27:26
◼
►
gonna try to do work." And it's gonna be at a very low productivity rate.
00:27:30
◼
►
This episode of Cortex is brought to you by Wealthfront. Wealthfront builds simple, easy
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I 100% believe that there is a correlation between Sick Chicken and you breaking the top 1000 in Magic the Gathering again.
00:29:05
◼
►
Uh, I don't know what you're talking about, but yes, that did happen during the same time.
00:29:14
◼
►
Uh, oh, you noticed that overlap, that Gray was not able to work as well as he could,
00:29:19
◼
►
and also Gray broke into the top 1000 ranked Magic players.
00:29:23
◼
►
Those might be related, that might be a correlation, I don't know.
00:29:26
◼
►
Congratulations.
00:29:27
◼
►
Yeah, thanks. I know it's dumb, but I do feel ridiculously pleased with myself over that.
00:29:32
◼
►
Being in the top 1000 in any popular thing is always good. It doesn't matter what it is.
00:29:38
◼
►
How many hundreds of thousands of people play Magic the Gathering? Do you have like an idea?
00:29:43
◼
►
Yeah, so the company doesn't give an estimate for Arena, which is the online version. Their numbers
00:29:49
◼
►
are that there's something like 5 million players worldwide, but that includes the paper version.
00:29:54
◼
►
I've tried to ballpark it. I'm gonna say I think there's about a million players and I would be surprised if the actual number is either 50% smaller or 50% bigger than that.
00:30:07
◼
►
That's kind of my rough estimate, but I'm basing that on I use a like a tracking program to kind of automatically keep track of stats.
00:30:14
◼
►
And that gives reports about how many people are playing games using this tracking system.
00:30:20
◼
►
And the number of games taking place just for the obsessive weirdos like me who like it enough to pay extra for a program to run on your computer only to track your stats,
00:30:31
◼
►
the number of games they're tracking is like hundreds of thousands of games.
00:30:35
◼
►
So it is a big number of people because there can't be 1% of players are using like an add-on system in the way I am.
00:30:44
◼
►
I just think it's got to be basically 0% of players are doing that, so it is a big number.
00:30:49
◼
►
It sounds ridiculous but I was thinking about it. I was like,
00:30:52
◼
►
I think this might actually be, in absolute numbers,
00:30:56
◼
►
the thing that I've been the best at in my whole life?
00:31:00
◼
►
No, that can't be true. No, I-
00:31:02
◼
►
There must have been a time where you were in the top 800 YouTube channels.
00:31:10
◼
►
I'm not confident about that. I also like-
00:31:14
◼
►
Going all the way back in the day? Come on.
00:31:17
◼
►
I don't know. I don't know if that's true.
00:31:19
◼
►
Here's my thought is like, I'm also saying absolute terms as in like top 1000.
00:31:24
◼
►
I'm not saying percentage terms because especially now it's like, I don't know,
00:31:28
◼
►
50% of people worldwide like wants to do YouTube and have YouTube channel.
00:31:33
◼
►
Like the number is just enormous.
00:31:35
◼
►
So percentage wise, the thing that I actually earned my living at, it's like,
00:31:38
◼
►
oh yes, I've been a very small percentage number of that.
00:31:41
◼
►
But in terms of absolute terms, I don't know.
00:31:43
◼
►
Maybe I was in the top 800 at the very beginning, but I'm just not confident about that.
00:31:49
◼
►
I feel like even when I started, YouTube was still already quite big.
00:31:54
◼
►
And I remember having what I thought were ridiculous conversations with people at some of the very first conferences I ever went to,
00:32:01
◼
►
where this is like 10 years ago, people were already saying,
00:32:05
◼
►
"Oh, it's too late for people to get started on YouTube.
00:32:08
◼
►
Like the people who are big now have such a head start."
00:32:11
◼
►
I always thought that was just the world's worst advice in thinking about it.
00:32:15
◼
►
It's like, no, that's not how any of these things work.
00:32:18
◼
►
Like there's this thing is totally going to get bigger.
00:32:20
◼
►
Yeah, but what about this show?
00:32:21
◼
►
What about the show?
00:32:22
◼
►
A thousand podcasts, right?
00:32:25
◼
►
Because I don't know.
00:32:27
◼
►
I mean, I know that there are more podcasts in the world created than I could ever imagine.
00:32:31
◼
►
But podcasts with listenerships of our size, they aren't that many.
00:32:37
◼
►
And if the fact that we are successful and successful with advertisers and successful
00:32:41
◼
►
with advertisers that advertise on the most popular podcasts, so you know, advertise every
00:32:46
◼
►
episode, Squarespace is, I think, advertises basically every episode of the show.
00:32:50
◼
►
I can't imagine, I'd have to ask them, but I can't imagine Squarespace advertise on 1000
00:32:56
◼
►
podcasts, right?
00:32:58
◼
►
Yeah, okay, yeah, I see what you're saying, but also, okay, I mean, it does seem like
00:33:04
◼
►
Squarespace advertises on every podcast that exists but that's also that's also a selection
00:33:09
◼
►
effect of I think I'm the sort of person who listens to the sort of podcast that Squarespace
00:33:15
◼
►
is way more likely to advertise on.
00:33:18
◼
►
Right but so so Squarespace isn't advertising on a thousand like they're not going down
00:33:25
◼
►
the list of like one two three four five and then they get to Cortex and they still have
00:33:29
◼
►
money left they're picking some subset of that so I don't think the fact that Squarespace
00:33:34
◼
►
advertises on the show is an indicator that the show is in the top 1000.
00:33:38
◼
►
I don't mean this specifically but like a thousand is a very large number.
00:33:46
◼
►
And I just I don't know I mean maybe we're like 1700th most popular podcast in the world,
00:33:51
◼
►
I don't know. But like I just a thousand, a thousand shows where the hosts can make a living
00:34:00
◼
►
I just don't know if the market is big enough.
00:34:04
◼
►
- Yeah, it's funny you mention that,
00:34:05
◼
►
'cause I think I'm in my head now
00:34:08
◼
►
having to try to scale what is the actual size
00:34:13
◼
►
of different worlds.
00:34:15
◼
►
I wonder which is true.
00:34:16
◼
►
Do more people make a living at podcasts,
00:34:20
◼
►
or do more people make a living at YouTube channels?
00:34:23
◼
►
- It's gotta be YouTube.
00:34:24
◼
►
It's gotta be YouTube.
00:34:25
◼
►
- I feel like it has to be YouTube,
00:34:27
◼
►
but I'm suddenly unsure.
00:34:29
◼
►
just law of large number stuff.
00:34:32
◼
►
Like there's just more YouTubers than there are podcasters.
00:34:36
◼
►
- Is that true?
00:34:38
◼
►
I wonder if that's true.
00:34:40
◼
►
I'm not super confident.
00:34:42
◼
►
Like I think it is.
00:34:43
◼
►
I think if I had to take an even money bet,
00:34:46
◼
►
I would say that there's more people
00:34:48
◼
►
who are trying to do YouTube than trying to do podcasts.
00:34:52
◼
►
But I don't know.
00:34:54
◼
►
I feel like I've wandered into the jungle of like no data.
00:34:59
◼
►
Teenagers aren't trying to be podcasters.
00:35:01
◼
►
Why, Myke? It's so cool.
00:35:03
◼
►
Like, isn't everything about being a podcaster really cool?
00:35:06
◼
►
What's cool about being a vlogger? Nothing, right?
00:35:09
◼
►
What's cool about being a podcaster?
00:35:11
◼
►
Everything. You get to talk about microphones,
00:35:14
◼
►
you get to have all your aux cables.
00:35:16
◼
►
One of the biggest advantages, no one sees you.
00:35:19
◼
►
That's what people want, right, is to not be seen.
00:35:22
◼
►
So, like, that's a huge advantage for podcasts.
00:35:24
◼
►
It's gotta be true that there's more podcasters.
00:35:28
◼
►
Man, I can't stop running that number in my brain now a
00:35:31
◼
►
Thousand I don't know any right. I don't know if I've if I've said something that's wrong here
00:35:37
◼
►
no, but like but so this this is actually quite a good thing with
00:35:40
◼
►
like the way humans think about stuff a
00:35:43
◼
►
Thousand is one of those numbers where if like it just crosses the human ability to
00:35:50
◼
►
Conceptualize in a real way. I feel like numbers that are still in the hundreds
00:35:55
◼
►
you can think about in terms of objects and actual things, like how many people.
00:36:02
◼
►
You can imagine 200 people in a room, but I think once you cross the 1000 mark,
00:36:09
◼
►
it starts becoming hard to really think about what that number means.
00:36:17
◼
►
Like, this is just our limited monkey minds.
00:36:19
◼
►
So that's why I'm feeling extremely uncertain now about
00:36:23
◼
►
How do podcasts and YouTube channels rank? I just don't know.
00:36:28
◼
►
What we've actually stumbled in here is the whole power law question about how everything works in media.
00:36:35
◼
►
It's all just related to a power law for audience sizes.
00:36:40
◼
►
You keep multiplying by 10% every time you want to go down an order of magnitude in audience size for how many people are at this scale.
00:36:49
◼
►
Right? So it's like, "Oh, how many podcasts get tens of millions of listeners?"
00:36:55
◼
►
I don't know, like, ten?
00:36:57
◼
►
How many podcasts get millions of listeners?
00:37:00
◼
►
Probably hundreds?
00:37:02
◼
►
How many podcasts get hundreds of thousands of listeners?
00:37:05
◼
►
Thousands? Is that about right?
00:37:08
◼
►
That would be like a power law distribution?
00:37:10
◼
►
And then, you know, what, tens of thousands is tens of thousands as well?
00:37:15
◼
►
I don't know, I lost track of it in my head.
00:37:16
◼
►
I'm desperately googling. I'm trying to get some kind of indications to the numbers, but I don't think I'm going to get it.
00:37:22
◼
►
Yeah, see this is also the thing for listeners, which may not be obvious, is that the podcast industry is shrouded in mystery.
00:37:30
◼
►
Like, no one ever talks about the numbers since it's not centralized like something with YouTube. You have no idea how anybody else is doing.
00:37:40
◼
►
I think there's also a lot of shenanigans with listeners being conflated with just downloads that are happening.
00:37:47
◼
►
Well that's just a thing you can't, it's really hard to know.
00:37:50
◼
►
Yeah, there's just so much going on, whereas with something like YouTube it's better.
00:37:56
◼
►
YouTube actually does a very good job of not inflating the view numbers.
00:38:00
◼
►
I think YouTube is just about the only platform where you can quite trust those view numbers.
00:38:06
◼
►
is like, "Oh, an actual person watched this for some amount of time." And like, they're,
00:38:11
◼
►
I think they're quite good about that.
00:38:12
◼
►
But it's the "some amount of time" thing too, though, right?
00:38:15
◼
►
What do you mean?
00:38:16
◼
►
Well, it's like, do people ever consider that? Like, if you had like a 10-minute YouTube
00:38:20
◼
►
video, but 50% of the people stopped watching it in the first two minutes and it counted
00:38:24
◼
►
as a view, you know what I mean?
00:38:26
◼
►
Yeah, but like, I think YouTube does a good job of that, precisely because in the back
00:38:31
◼
►
end they're they're really focused on what is the retention rate and so
00:38:36
◼
►
Like they start counting things as views
00:38:40
◼
►
Fairly soon into watching the video, but then if that person bails it counts against your retention rate
00:38:47
◼
►
And so I think you can see because like oh retention rates are actually I think quite reasonable at least in my experience for
00:38:54
◼
►
Videos of decent length. It's like yeah
00:38:56
◼
►
No, this view number means something.
00:38:58
◼
►
Like, I'm not expecting 100% of the people make it to the end,
00:39:01
◼
►
but I think like, "Oh, when you see a video has X number of views..."
00:39:05
◼
►
I'm basically comparing this to other platforms like
00:39:09
◼
►
Facebook in particular and all sorts of other things.
00:39:12
◼
►
No, no, no, their view numbers are just like garbage and you cannot trust them.
00:39:15
◼
►
But the podcast world, just because of the way it works,
00:39:18
◼
►
download numbers and how many listeners there are,
00:39:21
◼
►
it's just intrinsically more difficult to get a good answer to what that is.
00:39:25
◼
►
I can give you something here, right?
00:39:27
◼
►
Just to try and help put it in perspective.
00:39:29
◼
►
So this American life, it seems like looking at
00:39:34
◼
►
we company called Podtrack,
00:39:36
◼
►
who have statistics that I will trust,
00:39:38
◼
►
they estimate or publish that they have
00:39:40
◼
►
about three and a half million listeners.
00:39:44
◼
►
That is their US unique monthly audience.
00:39:48
◼
►
And they are the ninth most popular podcast in the charts.
00:39:53
◼
►
So number nine has three and a half million downloads.
00:39:58
◼
►
- But when you say in their charts,
00:40:00
◼
►
they're the ninth most popular that this company tracks?
00:40:03
◼
►
- But Podtrack have most of the live shows.
00:40:06
◼
►
So all of NPR, all of Wondery, all of Disney, all of BBC,
00:40:11
◼
►
Barstool, Fox, CNN, they have all of these numbers.
00:40:16
◼
►
- So if number nine is three and a half million,
00:40:20
◼
►
what would number 1,000 be?
00:40:22
◼
►
You know what I mean?
00:40:23
◼
►
Yeah, maybe.
00:40:24
◼
►
Okay, so we just need to go around and ask the top 1000 podcasts to see where their listenerships
00:40:33
◼
►
are so we can create a rank.
00:40:35
◼
►
And they'll say, "Why are you doing this?"
00:40:37
◼
►
And the answer will be, "Oh, we want to compare this to CGP Grey's rank in Magic the Gathering."
00:40:45
◼
►
That's why we're going on this data exposition.
00:40:49
◼
►
I don't think we should record the show at these times anymore.
00:40:55
◼
►
Myke, what's wrong with this 12 hour time difference? Nothing!
00:40:59
◼
►
I've forgotten why we were even talking about this.
00:41:05
◼
►
I'm casting slip out the back and we can move on.
00:41:08
◼
►
Let's try and get this episode back onto some kind of course here.
00:41:13
◼
►
If anybody does know the answer to this thing, by the way, I would love to know.
00:41:16
◼
►
You can reach out to me.
00:41:17
◼
►
I can keep it secret if you need it.
00:41:20
◼
►
I just really want to know now.
00:41:23
◼
►
I feel pretty confident in it,
00:41:25
◼
►
but it's also one of those things that now I've said it,
00:41:27
◼
►
I'm like, am I gonna regret having said that?
00:41:30
◼
►
I don't know.
00:41:32
◼
►
- I can also feel like this is one of those things
00:41:33
◼
►
that's just gonna, it's just gonna like,
00:41:35
◼
►
it's wormed its way into your brain
00:41:37
◼
►
and you're gonna be thinking about it all the time now.
00:41:40
◼
►
So if you happen to be a person
00:41:42
◼
►
who has secret podcast stats,
00:41:45
◼
►
please get in touch with Myke
00:41:46
◼
►
and relieve him of his constant thinking about this,
00:41:49
◼
►
which is inevitably going to happen.
00:41:51
◼
►
- Myke wants to know.
00:41:52
◼
►
- Myke wants to know.
00:41:54
◼
►
- This episode of Cortex is brought to you by LinkedIn Jobs.
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and all of Relay FM.
00:43:32
◼
►
So you posted your first YouTube short.
00:43:36
◼
►
- Yes, a thing I actually have data on.
00:43:39
◼
►
Yes, I posted a YouTube short.
00:43:41
◼
►
- I wanna know about this
00:43:43
◼
►
and I hope that you have some stuff you can share
00:43:45
◼
►
because everyone's doing this now.
00:43:48
◼
►
I mean, and really on YouTube,
00:43:50
◼
►
all I'm seeing is people reusing their TikToks, right?
00:43:53
◼
►
Or like it's content is being created
00:43:55
◼
►
for multiple avenues, right?
00:43:58
◼
►
So like I'm seeing a lot of like content creators now,
00:44:01
◼
►
they are creating short vertical video
00:44:03
◼
►
that they are posting on TikTok and YouTube and/or Instagram
00:44:08
◼
►
and possibly Twitter as well, right?
00:44:10
◼
►
Like this is definitely a thing
00:44:13
◼
►
that I am coming into contact more with now
00:44:17
◼
►
than I have been before.
00:44:19
◼
►
- Of like the content creators that I follow,
00:44:21
◼
►
I'm seeing more of them post this stuff,
00:44:24
◼
►
like tech and gaming focused YouTube channels.
00:44:29
◼
►
I'm seeing them either post YouTube shorts
00:44:31
◼
►
or I'm seeing them post them on their Twitter or Instagram accounts.
00:44:35
◼
►
Okay, so since I'm in research mode, I feel like with regard to shorts,
00:44:42
◼
►
what do you think of this?
00:44:44
◼
►
Like, not as a content creator.
00:44:46
◼
►
- As a consumer? - As a content consumer, right?
00:44:51
◼
►
As a content muncher.
00:44:54
◼
►
I didn't like that when I said it.
00:44:56
◼
►
- But I said it now. - So much work.
00:44:59
◼
►
As you munch your way through content, how do you like it?
00:45:02
◼
►
- I'm like the cookie monster for video.
00:45:05
◼
►
- That's what consumers are.
00:45:07
◼
►
Nom, nom, nom, nom, nom, nom, nom, nom, nom, nom.
00:45:09
◼
►
Right, and it goes everywhere.
00:45:11
◼
►
He eats none of the cookies.
00:45:12
◼
►
- I should preface this by saying I am not a TikTok user.
00:45:16
◼
►
- 'Cause I think that, not I think.
00:45:17
◼
►
It's obvious that that is where this drive has come from.
00:45:20
◼
►
TikTok created this new format, this new system
00:45:24
◼
►
of this algorithmically generated content, right?
00:45:27
◼
►
and now Instagram wants a piece of it
00:45:30
◼
►
and YouTube want a piece of it.
00:45:32
◼
►
So the only place I ever see this content
00:45:35
◼
►
is on the social media platforms that I'm already a part of.
00:45:38
◼
►
And for me, it's very much additional, right?
00:45:42
◼
►
So like when I'm on YouTube, I'm not looking for shorts.
00:45:47
◼
►
- When I'm on Twitter, I'm not looking for quick video.
00:45:50
◼
►
And when I'm on Instagram, I'm not looking for reels.
00:45:53
◼
►
So for me, I see this content
00:45:56
◼
►
mixed in with the stuff that I'm already looking at
00:46:00
◼
►
or looking for.
00:46:02
◼
►
So for me as a consumer,
00:46:03
◼
►
there has to be something about it that grabs me enough
00:46:06
◼
►
to take me out of what I was doing to watch that video,
00:46:10
◼
►
which is very different to somebody who is using TikTok
00:46:14
◼
►
or using Instagram Reels and just like watching the videos
00:46:19
◼
►
just fly by on their own, right?
00:46:20
◼
►
- Right, right.
00:46:21
◼
►
- So I'm not an average consumer,
00:46:23
◼
►
But what I will say is the people whose content I enjoy
00:46:28
◼
►
that do this, I like it.
00:46:31
◼
►
So for me, one of the channels that I see do this the best
00:46:35
◼
►
is Kinda Funny.
00:46:37
◼
►
Kinda Funny is a selection of gaming culture podcasts,
00:46:40
◼
►
which I've gotten into in a big way in the last few months.
00:46:44
◼
►
Like I watch basically all of their shows.
00:46:46
◼
►
But like they are podcasts, but they have video versions
00:46:49
◼
►
and I watch them mostly.
00:46:51
◼
►
So I'm very used to engaging with them through video
00:46:55
◼
►
and they publish lots of content.
00:46:56
◼
►
And so what they do, which I really like,
00:46:58
◼
►
they pick out funny things that have happened
00:47:01
◼
►
either recently or in their past,
00:47:03
◼
►
and they just make a short out of those.
00:47:06
◼
►
And they also make shorts out of game reviews.
00:47:10
◼
►
- Right, so they'll do like a 30 second video game review,
00:47:13
◼
►
which I watch that before I watch their longer review
00:47:16
◼
►
on one of their podcasts or whatever, right?
00:47:18
◼
►
Like, you know, this is like the snackable version
00:47:20
◼
►
of this content that you're about to go and get.
00:47:22
◼
►
It's like a trailer really for the longer conversation.
00:47:25
◼
►
- Yeah, you're using it like a trailer.
00:47:27
◼
►
- Yeah, or a best of kind of thing.
00:47:29
◼
►
And that content's working for me,
00:47:31
◼
►
but I really only think it's working for me
00:47:33
◼
►
because I'm already so engaged with them
00:47:36
◼
►
that at the moment I'll watch anything
00:47:38
◼
►
that the Kinda Funny crew make, right?
00:47:40
◼
►
Like I'll just watch all of it.
00:47:41
◼
►
So I will watch the shorts the same
00:47:43
◼
►
as I'll watch their two hour breakdowns
00:47:46
◼
►
of a movie trailer or whatever, you know?
00:47:48
◼
►
Like I'm just in on that content.
00:47:51
◼
►
So I think for me, I don't consider myself
00:47:54
◼
►
an average consumer because the shorts that I'm watching
00:47:58
◼
►
or the short form videos that I'm watching
00:48:02
◼
►
are for content creators I'm already really engaged with,
00:48:05
◼
►
which is not what TikTok is about, right?
00:48:08
◼
►
TikTok is like, you don't even know these people
00:48:10
◼
►
most of the time, like, and you don't need to.
00:48:13
◼
►
And that's their whole thing.
00:48:14
◼
►
It's just like, our algorithm is so good,
00:48:16
◼
►
we're just gonna keep serving you this stuff.
00:48:18
◼
►
I'm assuming you're not a TikTok person either.
00:48:21
◼
►
- I have never installed the app.
00:48:23
◼
►
- And for me, I don't have a problem with it.
00:48:26
◼
►
I just don't need it.
00:48:28
◼
►
I don't need another thing personally to suck time away.
00:48:33
◼
►
And I already can't keep up with the social networks
00:48:38
◼
►
that I already like or the content that I already like.
00:48:40
◼
►
Between YouTube, Instagram and Twitter and podcasts,
00:48:45
◼
►
there's already, I am already behind on everything.
00:48:47
◼
►
I don't need to add another one in, right?
00:48:49
◼
►
That's just how I feel.
00:48:50
◼
►
And I'm very much, you know,
00:48:53
◼
►
we spoke about this on the show
00:48:54
◼
►
and I think there are a lot of our listeners are the same.
00:48:56
◼
►
I'm very much the kind of person where
00:48:59
◼
►
I don't personally want an algorithm trying to tell me
00:49:04
◼
►
what content creators to consume.
00:49:07
◼
►
I've already made those decisions, however I've made them.
00:49:11
◼
►
And I want to watch content from people
00:49:13
◼
►
I already know I like.
00:49:14
◼
►
Like I'm not so much of a, hey algorithm,
00:49:17
◼
►
who do you think I'm gonna be into today?
00:49:19
◼
►
So I like that for me, actually,
00:49:22
◼
►
I like the way that YouTube's given me this content
00:49:24
◼
►
maybe the most out of all of them or maybe Twitter maybe,
00:49:27
◼
►
because it's people just posting videos like their tweets.
00:49:29
◼
►
And I also, by the way, I like shorts.
00:49:31
◼
►
I think that's the best brand name.
00:49:32
◼
►
I like it better to Reels.
00:49:34
◼
►
I like it better to TikToks.
00:49:36
◼
►
Like I think shorts, I actually really liked that.
00:49:38
◼
►
'Cause I think it does a very good job
00:49:39
◼
►
of explaining what the content is.
00:49:41
◼
►
They're short videos.
00:49:43
◼
►
Like I actually, I think for once YouTube has landed
00:49:46
◼
►
on the best branding for me.
00:49:48
◼
►
- Yeah, I didn't think about that, but you're right.
00:49:49
◼
►
Yeah, they do have the best name for it, for sure.
00:49:51
◼
►
- Do you ever see any of this content?
00:49:53
◼
►
- Yeah, so this has been on my mind for a long time
00:49:58
◼
►
is trying something with a YouTube short.
00:50:01
◼
►
And I can say just from anecdotal experience,
00:50:05
◼
►
every YouTuber I've spoken to who hasn't done a short,
00:50:09
◼
►
it's the same thing.
00:50:09
◼
►
It's on everybody's mind about,
00:50:11
◼
►
Is this something that we should do?
00:50:14
◼
►
- For like, for YouTubers, I assume the problem there is,
00:50:17
◼
►
you don't have to say anything one way or another,
00:50:19
◼
►
there is either YouTube will ask you to do it,
00:50:22
◼
►
incentivize you to do it,
00:50:24
◼
►
or you think YouTube wants it so you have to.
00:50:26
◼
►
- Yeah, exactly.
00:50:27
◼
►
So YouTube hasn't tried to incentivize me to do it.
00:50:31
◼
►
- I know they are incentivizing some people though.
00:50:33
◼
►
- Yes, but they're definitely incentivizing some people.
00:50:35
◼
►
- The same as how they're incentivizing podcasters.
00:50:38
◼
►
We haven't spoken about this,
00:50:39
◼
►
but since we spoke about this, I don't know,
00:50:41
◼
►
a couple of months ago.
00:50:42
◼
►
- Oh, right, yeah, that's right.
00:50:44
◼
►
- Apparently YouTube is giving money to people
00:50:48
◼
►
to make video versions of their podcasts.
00:50:51
◼
►
This is like apparently a thing.
00:50:53
◼
►
I'll put some links in the show notes.
00:50:54
◼
►
This is something YouTube does, right?
00:50:55
◼
►
It's like, we have this medium,
00:50:57
◼
►
we want you to come and be a part of it,
00:50:59
◼
►
we'll give you money.
00:51:00
◼
►
Spotify is doing it for podcasts too, right?
00:51:02
◼
►
Big platforms do it as they give people money
00:51:05
◼
►
and in the hope that they'll come and produce content
00:51:07
◼
►
in the place that they wanted to produce it.
00:51:09
◼
►
And I'm sure, and I think I've seen reference to this,
00:51:12
◼
►
that there is like a YouTube Shorts fund.
00:51:14
◼
►
I know Instagram has one for reals.
00:51:16
◼
►
You can get bonus payments for publishing this content.
00:51:21
◼
►
- Yeah, so it's important to this conversation
00:51:23
◼
►
that I'm not a part of any of that.
00:51:25
◼
►
Like I just decided to do this thing.
00:51:27
◼
►
YouTube didn't ask me to do it.
00:51:29
◼
►
I'm not getting any extra money from YouTube for doing it.
00:51:32
◼
►
I just thought, okay.
00:51:33
◼
►
A thing came along with our place like this.
00:51:38
◼
►
apparently now every other year maybe or every four years.
00:51:42
◼
►
I don't remember what last time they did it, like little event.
00:51:44
◼
►
Oh, did they say they were bringing it back?
00:51:45
◼
►
Cause I know they brought it back for April falls, right?
00:51:47
◼
►
But like I didn't know if they were like,
00:51:49
◼
►
they're bringing it back on a schedule now.
00:51:51
◼
►
There is no way that they're not bringing it back again.
00:51:53
◼
►
Like it seems so much more popular this time than last time.
00:51:57
◼
►
It was way more popular this time because people knew what the deal was for
00:52:00
◼
►
anyone listening who doesn't know.
00:52:02
◼
►
Basically Reddit had a kind of collaborative canvas that everybody could paint
00:52:07
◼
►
using pixels one at a time. So like every 10 minutes you could put down a little pixel.
00:52:11
◼
►
Technologically this time it was so much better than the time before.
00:52:16
◼
►
Yeah I think it's great. It's honestly the sort of thing that lifts my heart about what the internet
00:52:22
◼
►
should be. It just feels like this is what I thought the whole internet was going to be like.
00:52:26
◼
►
It's like oh pixel rainbows and also fun shenanigans is like oh it didn't turn out that
00:52:33
◼
►
way, but our place is like the best of what the internet can be.
00:52:37
◼
►
A fun way for like millions of people to collaborate on a thing that just
00:52:41
◼
►
wouldn't be possible in the real world.
00:52:43
◼
►
Like it was just great, but it's just a big collaborative art project.
00:52:46
◼
►
And so that came along and it was delightful.
00:52:49
◼
►
And I happened to have this little fact about the Albert Memorial in London
00:52:55
◼
►
having messed up the reconstruction.
00:52:57
◼
►
And long story short, I'd been kind of angling for a long time to try to do
00:53:02
◼
►
something about the Albert Memorial, but as we have discussed on previous shows, sometimes
00:53:08
◼
►
institutions are really uninterested in working with you if you are not a gigantic corporation,
00:53:14
◼
►
and if you're like but a humble YouTuber, they have a whole bunch of GTFO for you if
00:53:20
◼
►
you come along with like, "Hey, I have an interesting project!"
00:53:22
◼
►
So I kind of had a fact that I was like, "This is never gonna go anywhere."
00:53:27
◼
►
Like I think this video about the Albert Memorial is never gonna happen, but this is one like
00:53:31
◼
►
fun fact from that thing.
00:53:33
◼
►
And so, I don't know, it just popped into my head one morning.
00:53:36
◼
►
I thought, "Oh! Everybody's griefing on the Canadian flag
00:53:40
◼
►
and messing it up on our place."
00:53:42
◼
►
And it just sort of made me think about this pixel art in the Albert Memorial.
00:53:46
◼
►
I was out for my morning walk with the cows who were following me around,
00:53:50
◼
►
and this popped into my head, and I thought,
00:53:53
◼
►
"Okay, I'm gonna spend my work morning working on this,
00:53:58
◼
►
and like, whatever I have at the end, it's just done.
00:54:01
◼
►
I'm not gonna spend any more time on it. I'm just gonna upload it and we'll see how it does.
00:54:04
◼
►
Mainly because I wanted to start getting some data about how do shorts do on my channel?
00:54:12
◼
►
Because I know again from talking to other youtubers that my channel has a lot of...
00:54:17
◼
►
It's a bit of an outlier in a way that a lot of the statistics work.
00:54:22
◼
►
And so I just knew I couldn't really depend on anybody else's data about how shorts have worked for them.
00:54:28
◼
►
I needed to do something for myself and just see because my channel always ends up just being a bit weird when I compare the
00:54:34
◼
►
Numbers to other people. So yeah, I put it up. I had just no
00:54:37
◼
►
Expectations of how would this do I just didn't really have any thoughts
00:54:42
◼
►
I'm just like I'm just gonna collect some data and see and at the time of recording it's at about
00:54:47
◼
►
1.7 million views right now, which I'm very happy with because that means like oh I have
00:54:54
◼
►
Actual reliable data about this short like I can try to make some decisions about it and that would be you know
00:55:01
◼
►
Correct me if I'm wrong if you made a video a typical gray video
00:55:05
◼
►
Even like a gray explains video and you got those numbers you'd be like, I'm happy with that. Oh, yeah
00:55:11
◼
►
Yeah, you come away and be like, yep. That was worth my time, right?
00:55:15
◼
►
so oh why I was keen to know kind of more about the kind of as you say that the stats and the deets of this because
00:55:23
◼
►
This is obviously vastly different in a production process
00:55:27
◼
►
And I'm really keen to know if you think that like having now achieved those numbers
00:55:32
◼
►
What does that actually mean on the other side?
00:55:35
◼
►
Yeah, and for just for a frame of reference for the listener roughly my median video on the channel is about two million views
00:55:43
◼
►
So this lands it like very solidly in the middle because it's gonna get there right like yeah, it's only two weeks old
00:55:50
◼
►
Yeah, I think it's gonna hit two million views.
00:55:52
◼
►
So this this makes it very very solidly like right in the middle of the pack for a video
00:55:57
◼
►
which is actually perfect for making a decision about statistics.
00:56:01
◼
►
And I guess the summary that I can give is my experience with shorts is
00:56:09
◼
►
It is unbelievably bad.
00:56:12
◼
►
And so now if you are not in the business,
00:56:15
◼
►
you're hearing me say a thing like "I spent a morning making a video.
00:56:19
◼
►
It's done about two million views and that was awful. Like it sounds crazy
00:56:25
◼
►
but so let me just talk through why is this just
00:56:29
◼
►
abysmal. When you make a video, there's a bunch of things that matter.
00:56:34
◼
►
There's the obvious stuff that matters like how much money did the video make and
00:56:40
◼
►
I'm in the position now where it's like, this is not just a question about paying myself.
00:56:45
◼
►
I have to make decisions about paying all the people I work with and so how much money does the video make?
00:56:52
◼
►
Versus how much time did I spend on it is very different now from how it was when I was starting so
00:56:59
◼
►
Revenue can't be a like trivial consideration
00:57:04
◼
►
This is kind of at the top of the pile was that did this financially make sense or would I go bankrupt if I kept doing?
00:57:09
◼
►
This there's other things that you care about
00:57:11
◼
►
So one of the things that you can care about is how many new people saw this video
00:57:18
◼
►
versus how many of people in my existing audience saw this.
00:57:23
◼
►
Which is slightly different from another thing that you can care about which is how many subscribers did you get?
00:57:29
◼
►
So YouTube, they do a pretty good job of trying to track viewers who are basically like
00:57:34
◼
►
non-subscriber subscribers, so people who watch all of your stuff, but just haven't subscribed.
00:57:40
◼
►
So you can kind of get a metric of roughly how many people who haven't seen one of my videos in like the last year
00:57:48
◼
►
watched this video. So it's new people. One of the other things I care about is
00:57:53
◼
►
engagement. Like how many people who watched this video watched another one of my videos?
00:58:00
◼
►
So they watched this thing and they thought, "Ooh interesting. I want to see more from this guy.
00:58:04
◼
►
Let me see another one of his things." And as
00:58:08
◼
►
Listeners to the show will know I love spreadsheets
00:58:11
◼
►
and I put all of this stuff into a spreadsheet to try to give me an overall view of like
00:58:17
◼
►
How well does this video do against a bunch of metrics that I care about?
00:58:22
◼
►
let me try to combine everything together and think about it and make comparisons and
00:58:27
◼
►
the bottom line comparison is that for me to be happy with the way this video is performing
00:58:38
◼
►
It would have to do somewhere between 10 to 20 times as many views as it has done to be worthwhile.
00:58:48
◼
►
Which is to say, every metric I care about is like 1/20th what I would want to see in terms of a video.
00:58:59
◼
►
And so it's just abysmal looking at the stats. Like, across the board for everything.
00:59:05
◼
►
The revenue is, even though I only spent but a morning working on this,
00:59:10
◼
►
it's like, "Oh, if I just made shorts, I would go out of business."
00:59:14
◼
►
Like, paying all my expenses and doing all of that kind of stuff.
00:59:18
◼
►
It's like, "No, I literally couldn't make a living doing shorts."
00:59:21
◼
►
So then you can ask questions like,
00:59:23
◼
►
"Oh, but is it worthwhile because you're reaching a new audience?"
00:59:27
◼
►
No. Like, as far as I can tell,
00:59:30
◼
►
maybe 90% of the views have come from people who have watched my other videos
00:59:38
◼
►
and maybe 10% of the people who saw this were actually new people.
00:59:44
◼
►
And that's like, what are the subscriber numbers?
00:59:47
◼
►
They're like 1/30th what I would expect from a video.
00:59:51
◼
►
They're just brutally bad.
00:59:54
◼
►
And the absolute worst one is,
00:59:57
◼
►
Has someone who watched this video, have they gone on to watch another video?
01:00:03
◼
►
I think that number, it's a little bit hard to estimate, but that may be a literal like,
01:00:09
◼
►
four digit number, right? So like this video got two million views,
01:00:14
◼
►
and maybe a thousand times someone watched another one of my videos after this.
01:00:20
◼
►
Like, it's just savage. It's so bad.
01:00:24
◼
►
I don't know if I would have assumed differently, if I'm being honest with you.
01:00:30
◼
►
If you would have said to me, "Hey, I'm going to do this short video.
01:00:33
◼
►
How well do you think this is going to turn out for me?"
01:00:37
◼
►
I think my assumption would have been like, "You'll get a bunch of views on it,
01:00:41
◼
►
but it's not going to make you any money."
01:00:43
◼
►
Because there are less ads on it, I'm sure, if there are any.
01:00:45
◼
►
And I'm sure the ads are cheaper anyway, so the CPMs will be lower.
01:00:52
◼
►
so any cut you would get is already tiny. And on YouTube, I don't know...
01:00:57
◼
►
I mean maybe it's being served to people. Honestly, maybe like you ended up in the best
01:01:03
◼
►
place situation because you were doing it about R/place because people may have seen that in their
01:01:10
◼
►
recommendations and they were like "what is that thing? I've been seeing people talk about it."
01:01:14
◼
►
Like you may have actually ended up doing best case scenario for you, for a short,
01:01:19
◼
►
which I think makes this even worse.
01:01:21
◼
►
I think that's very possible.
01:01:23
◼
►
I think it's very possible this is best case scenario for a short, yeah.
01:01:26
◼
►
And I think that if this is the situation you're seeing,
01:01:29
◼
►
I don't really know why people are doing it.
01:01:32
◼
►
I think by and large my expectation is...
01:01:35
◼
►
So I'm talking about the content creators I'm seeing, right?
01:01:39
◼
►
So tech and gaming and culture YouTubers, right?
01:01:42
◼
►
Why are they publishing this stuff?
01:01:45
◼
►
My expectation is they're making it for TikTok
01:01:47
◼
►
And because they've made it for TikTok, they're also just going to put it on YouTube anyway,
01:01:51
◼
►
because if you get any benefit, like it's not even made for this platform, so anything else,
01:01:55
◼
►
it's just sprinkles right on top. I think that's what we're seeing everywhere, right? Like if
01:02:01
◼
►
you're seeing this content anywhere, it's because it started on TikTok. I bet if you put this on
01:02:05
◼
►
TikTok, you would have got 100 million views, but you would have made even less money probably.
01:02:09
◼
►
But for some people, I mean, understandably, the most important thing is views at the start.
01:02:15
◼
►
The money is not important. It's about trying to build an audience. And some people have
01:02:19
◼
►
successfully built audiences in TikTok. I think it's harder to build audiences in TikTok because
01:02:24
◼
►
you don't have a feed as such of like, these are the people I've chosen to see.
01:02:28
◼
►
I think you can follow people and I think that increases your likelihood of seeing their content,
01:02:33
◼
►
but it's not the same, right? And you see a lot, like the most popular TikTokers, they are trying
01:02:39
◼
►
eventually to shovel you off somewhere else. They want you to subscribe to their YouTube channel or
01:02:45
◼
►
or their podcast or whatever, right?
01:02:47
◼
►
Because they know TikTok is not the place
01:02:50
◼
►
for them long term.
01:02:51
◼
►
I mean, this happens everywhere.
01:02:53
◼
►
Then at a certain point,
01:02:54
◼
►
YouTubers wanna get television shows, right?
01:02:56
◼
►
Because they know that YouTube's not the thing
01:02:59
◼
►
for them long term, right?
01:03:00
◼
►
Like you see this a lot, like people,
01:03:02
◼
►
they move you from place to place, right?
01:03:04
◼
►
Like, "Hey, check out this other thing that I'm doing.
01:03:06
◼
►
We do it, I do it, right?
01:03:07
◼
►
Like, hey, I'm doing this other thing.
01:03:08
◼
►
Come check this out."
01:03:09
◼
►
- There are very natural career progressions.
01:03:12
◼
►
And it's one of the reasons why,
01:03:14
◼
►
Like I wanted to start this off by emphasizing,
01:03:17
◼
►
I'm in a different position now for making content
01:03:20
◼
►
and I have to think about things differently.
01:03:22
◼
►
So if you are at the start of your content creation career,
01:03:27
◼
►
views is the only thing you care about
01:03:30
◼
►
because you're not making any money off of it anyway.
01:03:34
◼
►
But when you fast forward and you are running a business
01:03:39
◼
►
and there's people whose livelihood depends
01:03:41
◼
►
on that business, then the views question changes
01:03:46
◼
►
because it's like, yeah, views are great,
01:03:50
◼
►
but it matters that they translate
01:03:52
◼
►
into things that actually matter.
01:03:55
◼
►
And that's where I did not expect
01:03:58
◼
►
to make a bunch of money off of shorts.
01:04:01
◼
►
Like, that was never in my dreams.
01:04:04
◼
►
I mean, the fact that I made less than minimum wage
01:04:07
◼
►
was quite surprising to me.
01:04:08
◼
►
Like, I didn't expect it to be that bad.
01:04:11
◼
►
I wasn't looking at this as a money maker, but what I wanted to see primarily was,
01:04:16
◼
►
okay, views for me matter if they're translating as "new audience". Then, like, that's a thing that
01:04:26
◼
►
really matters, is bringing more people into the extended CGP Grey universe. And so, like, ooh,
01:04:33
◼
►
do shorts accomplish that as a goal?
01:04:36
◼
►
And my experience so far has been no, like even that thing, which I would say YouTube and
01:04:46
◼
►
many YouTubers the way they talk about it, that's sort of the dangled promise is,
01:04:51
◼
►
oh, shorts will gain you new audience.
01:04:54
◼
►
Look at these huge view numbers.
01:04:56
◼
►
They'll translate into new viewers.
01:04:59
◼
►
and my initial foray into this has said, "No."
01:05:02
◼
►
Like, that does not hold true.
01:05:04
◼
►
And so that is the part that I am a little bit more surprised at.
01:05:08
◼
►
I expected that, like, at a bare minimum,
01:05:11
◼
►
it would be something like 50% new viewers and 50% existing viewers,
01:05:16
◼
►
but it's just not close.
01:05:18
◼
►
And then that really calls into question, like,
01:05:20
◼
►
"Man, I don't know about this."
01:05:22
◼
►
There is an asterisk here, which is just that
01:05:25
◼
►
I am going to do some more shorts
01:05:28
◼
►
because I do think that there's like a self-feeding nature to this.
01:05:34
◼
►
So the only question that I have left is,
01:05:37
◼
►
does it matter if you have three shorts or if you have four shorts?
01:05:42
◼
►
Because from having browsed around on YouTube and using the actual short system,
01:05:47
◼
►
it's like, boy, one thing I have learned is,
01:05:50
◼
►
if you watch a short from one person,
01:05:52
◼
►
YouTube will go way out of their way to show you every single short
01:05:56
◼
►
that that person has ever made.
01:05:57
◼
►
Yeah, I mean they do that with anything.
01:05:59
◼
►
Like if you watch a video from someone on their recommended page,
01:06:02
◼
►
or at least I find this on the rare occasion that I do it on the homepage,
01:06:06
◼
►
well then I'm gonna get a string of everything that these people have made for as long as possible, you know?
01:06:13
◼
►
Yeah, I just think the way that it works on the phone, the way you browse through,
01:06:16
◼
►
it's just a much more, it's way more aggressive.
01:06:18
◼
►
Right? They're not presenting you with options,
01:06:20
◼
►
they're just literally showing you like every single thing that the person has made.
01:06:24
◼
►
So that's the question. It was like, maybe there is a way in which one short is not great,
01:06:30
◼
►
but there's a kind of—the reverse of a power law distribution—there's an exponential effect
01:06:35
◼
►
that having two shorts is four times better than having two, and three is nine times better than
01:06:41
◼
►
having two. So that's the only thing that I do kind of want to see before I can make a final
01:06:47
◼
►
judgment on this, but my initial foray is like, "Oof!" This may literally be the worst
01:06:54
◼
►
video I have ever made across every metric I could ever care about, even after you divide
01:07:01
◼
►
by the amount of time I spent on it. It's just brutal.
01:07:05
◼
►
All right, so if one of the things is increased new people that you're looking for, would
01:07:13
◼
►
Would you consider then publishing them on TikTok?
01:07:17
◼
►
Yeah, I don't know.
01:07:19
◼
►
I think part of the problem there for me is like, that's just a platform that I have no
01:07:23
◼
►
experience with.
01:07:24
◼
►
But it doesn't really matter.
01:07:26
◼
►
You're making the content that that system wants.
01:07:28
◼
►
I mean, I may just, if I make more shorts, I may just put them on TikTok.
01:07:31
◼
►
Yeah, that's what I mean.
01:07:33
◼
►
But again, I think the issue is my experience from talking to people and just from seeing
01:07:38
◼
►
a little bit of this world is the thing that you're saying like, "Oh, people on TikTok
01:07:42
◼
►
try to push you to YouTube doesn't seem to be very successful except in quite unusual
01:07:51
◼
►
Oh I have no doubt that it's really unsuccessful but my point more is just like if you're doing
01:07:56
◼
►
it anyway, why not try because you could end up being one of those people where it's weirdly
01:08:03
◼
►
successful for them in some strange way.
01:08:06
◼
►
To me it's just more like if you're putting the effort in you may as well just do it.
01:08:11
◼
►
them for YouTube, but then just put them on TikTok too. Just because you could at least
01:08:17
◼
►
then compare.
01:08:18
◼
►
Yeah, yeah, I might as well do that.
01:08:21
◼
►
You might as well just see what happens, right? Because the content's exactly the same. Like
01:08:26
◼
►
you don't really need to do anything different for either of them. And then you can just
01:08:30
◼
►
publish it there and just see what happens.
01:08:32
◼
►
Yeah, okay, I'll do that. I'll just throw it up on TikTok and just see what happens.
01:08:36
◼
►
I guess the reason why I'm just so meh about that is again this issue of I care about views
01:08:43
◼
►
that connect to something real and I just see that as like, man, I could easily imagine
01:08:49
◼
►
even in the most dream case on TikTok of like, oh, this gets a hundred million views.
01:08:54
◼
►
It still doesn't translate to anything real and I'm not at the stage of my career where
01:08:59
◼
►
that part of it, the view number is the thing that is paramount.
01:09:02
◼
►
But then it's like, why even tweet links to videos?
01:09:04
◼
►
You know what I mean?
01:09:07
◼
►
Yeah, yeah, you're not wrong.
01:09:09
◼
►
- We will do it, right?
01:09:11
◼
►
But how many people are like,
01:09:13
◼
►
"Oh man, I never even known about this."
01:09:16
◼
►
I would just be keen to see if you just made
01:09:20
◼
►
a TikTok account, publish video, what would happen?
01:09:23
◼
►
Would you get 100 views or would you get 100 million?
01:09:26
◼
►
I think it would just be intriguing.
01:09:27
◼
►
And because you've already made the content anyway,
01:09:30
◼
►
you might as well just try it.
01:09:32
◼
►
And then if you ended up getting,
01:09:34
◼
►
say 50 million views on a TikTok video,
01:09:38
◼
►
then there's questions, right?
01:09:39
◼
►
I don't know if you can find the answers to them,
01:09:41
◼
►
but like, why?
01:09:43
◼
►
Why is it more popular on TikTok
01:09:45
◼
►
when these people don't even necessarily know who I am
01:09:48
◼
►
because they have no relationship to me?
01:09:50
◼
►
So this is kind of stuff that I've seen.
01:09:51
◼
►
Like, I think it was MKBHD was talking about this
01:09:55
◼
►
at one point, like when they set up a TikTok account
01:09:58
◼
►
and he published like something about like an LG phone
01:10:01
◼
►
that wasn't even new at the time.
01:10:02
◼
►
time, you got like 70 million views on it.
01:10:04
◼
►
He was like, this is my most watched piece of content ever.
01:10:08
◼
►
And he does.
01:10:10
◼
►
And it's like, why did this even happen?
01:10:12
◼
►
Well, I do have serious doubts about TikTok's view numbers, but if it pleases
01:10:16
◼
►
you to know, I have sent a message saying, please post my short up on TikTok and
01:10:21
◼
►
please don't involve me in this as much as possible, just make it happen.
01:10:24
◼
►
I just think it would be a fascinating little thing to just do some comparisons
01:10:29
◼
►
on after you've done maybe a couple more of them.
01:10:31
◼
►
And I also do, like, I was gonna suggest
01:10:34
◼
►
don't just do it as a one and done,
01:10:36
◼
►
like, 'cause you don't know, right?
01:10:37
◼
►
You don't know what it could end up being like.
01:10:40
◼
►
And, you know, maybe the next one
01:10:43
◼
►
you make truckloads of money from, you won't,
01:10:45
◼
►
but you never know, right?
01:10:46
◼
►
Or it might be like, if you say that second one
01:10:49
◼
►
or that third one, that's when you start
01:10:51
◼
►
to see positive changes towards the lead-on
01:10:54
◼
►
to further videos, right?
01:10:56
◼
►
- Yeah, and the weird thing about shorts
01:10:59
◼
►
and all of this content that I do think
01:11:00
◼
►
captures everybody's mind who is in this business is...
01:11:05
◼
►
So when I say something like,
01:11:06
◼
►
"Man, this video would need to do numbers
01:11:08
◼
►
that were 20 times bigger in order for it to make sense."
01:11:11
◼
►
That's possible.
01:11:12
◼
►
- That's the thing, right?
01:11:13
◼
►
- That's the thing that's unbelievable is, right?
01:11:17
◼
►
So if there's no universe in which I would go like,
01:11:19
◼
►
"Oh, if I spent a morning just working on a video
01:11:22
◼
►
and I published it as a regular YouTube video,
01:11:24
◼
►
could I get 30 million views on that?"
01:11:26
◼
►
No, no, you're not gonna get 30 million views.
01:11:28
◼
►
Like that's never gonna happen.
01:11:30
◼
►
But having just scrolled around on the Shorts viewer,
01:11:34
◼
►
it's like, man, the number of videos I see
01:11:36
◼
►
that have 50 million views.
01:11:38
◼
►
- On YouTube?
01:11:39
◼
►
- Yeah, on YouTube.
01:11:40
◼
►
- Who's watching them? - Like there's huge ones
01:11:41
◼
►
on there, I don't know.
01:11:43
◼
►
I have no idea.
01:11:44
◼
►
But like there are gigantic numbers
01:11:46
◼
►
even on the Shorts channel.
01:11:47
◼
►
- Like I get it on TikTok, and I even get it on Instagram.
01:11:51
◼
►
But like who's spending time on YouTube Shorts?
01:11:54
◼
►
Like, that's so intriguing to me.
01:11:56
◼
►
- Yeah, so here's the thing where I give credit to YouTube.
01:12:00
◼
►
So when I publish the video, from the backend, everything is the same.
01:12:04
◼
►
There's no special button to tick that says like, Oh, this is a YouTube short.
01:12:08
◼
►
YouTube is just automatically inferring it's under a minute and it's vertical.
01:12:12
◼
►
It's a short.
01:12:13
◼
►
They've just done that automatically, even if you don't label things as shorts.
01:12:17
◼
►
Which I don't know if you labeled our, our one short on the cortex channel as a short.
01:12:22
◼
►
I thought you did it.
01:12:22
◼
►
I didn't do it.
01:12:23
◼
►
And if you didn't do it, that means YouTube picked up that one video where I scare you in VR on cortex.
01:12:30
◼
►
like it just retroactively declared that's a short.
01:12:33
◼
►
- The reason that I came across this is recently,
01:12:35
◼
►
I was like, that used to be our most viewed video.
01:12:39
◼
►
And I was thinking, how many views did that get?
01:12:41
◼
►
And I didn't see it.
01:12:42
◼
►
And I was like, oh, where's it gone?
01:12:43
◼
►
It's like, oh, cause in the YouTube studio,
01:12:44
◼
►
it's now in the Shorts tab, not the Videos tab.
01:12:47
◼
►
- My assistant has replied back with OMG to my request
01:12:51
◼
►
to put a video up on TikTok.
01:12:54
◼
►
I told her it's for Cortex, that's why we're doing it.
01:12:57
◼
►
- Well, here's the thing.
01:12:58
◼
►
This is where we can find out.
01:13:00
◼
►
Is it because she is a TikTok viewer herself
01:13:04
◼
►
and is now like, I can't believe what's happening here
01:13:07
◼
►
or she's just genuinely just surprised?
01:13:09
◼
►
You know what I mean?
01:13:10
◼
►
It's like, I'm wondering from her perspective,
01:13:12
◼
►
why is this a surprise, you know?
01:13:14
◼
►
- It's a mystery, we'll find out later.
01:13:16
◼
►
So the reason I'm mentioning about,
01:13:17
◼
►
oh, you just publish it as a regular video,
01:13:19
◼
►
there's no special button to push,
01:13:21
◼
►
is YouTube has said that when you publish a video
01:13:26
◼
►
that they identify as a short.
01:13:29
◼
►
They are doing their best to not notify your subscribers
01:13:34
◼
►
if those subscribers have not already watched shorts
01:13:38
◼
►
and if they don't regularly watch short content.
01:13:42
◼
►
So YouTube is doing something to identify
01:13:45
◼
►
the subset of their whole audience
01:13:48
◼
►
that wants to watch shorts.
01:13:51
◼
►
And while I have been extraordinarily vocal
01:13:54
◼
►
complaining about YouTube not notifying subscribers,
01:13:58
◼
►
I think this is 100% the right decision.
01:14:01
◼
►
I would have been so much more hesitant publishing this
01:14:04
◼
►
if it was going to be sent as a normal notification
01:14:07
◼
►
to everyone like, "Hey, CGP Grey has uploaded a video."
01:14:09
◼
►
It's like, no, no, no.
01:14:11
◼
►
They're just trying to shovel this
01:14:13
◼
►
to people who do like shorts.
01:14:15
◼
►
And so I think that's correct.
01:14:17
◼
►
I am glad that they have done that
01:14:19
◼
►
because part of the reason why I asked you
01:14:22
◼
►
about what's your experience with these things
01:14:23
◼
►
is I don't watch a lot of TV, but I watch a lot of YouTube.
01:14:27
◼
►
And I feel really annoyed when I click on a video
01:14:32
◼
►
and, oh, it's a short, it's not an actual video.
01:14:35
◼
►
I'm quite frustrated by that experience as a YouTube viewer,
01:14:38
◼
►
but because I was watching shorts to figure them out,
01:14:41
◼
►
YouTube thinks I'm a shorts viewer now,
01:14:43
◼
►
and so now they're just showing up
01:14:45
◼
►
in the recommendations for video.
01:14:47
◼
►
Big shorts fan.
01:14:48
◼
►
I don't even wear shorts in Hawaii.
01:14:50
◼
►
I'm not a big shorts fan at all.
01:14:52
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But like, so I don't like them from like all of my subscribers.
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I would greatly prefer not to be notified and shown the short.
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One of the things that does bother me about YouTube shorts is they are entirely
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the energy of the beginning of a YouTube video.
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And I don't always want that, you know, like sustained for a 20
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minute period of me watching.
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One after another, after another.
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Welcome to the Smash the Like!
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That's what they're like, you know, because they are their entire thing is they need to catch you and grab you and keep you which is
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I actually think is different to YouTube videos, right?
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Like you get those first few seconds when you might catch someone and they're gonna leave
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But you let that calm down most of the time not always but a lot of youtubers like you get that
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Immediate bump and then it calms down into the rest of the video
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But most of the shorts content that I've seen is like it is that energy for the entire length of the short
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however long it is. Right, which is a bit exhausting after 20 minutes. I find it. Yeah.
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One of the other things for me about shorts, which is tricky, is whenever you talk about
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spreadsheets, right, you use spreadsheets to help you make decisions, but the spreadsheet is not
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your boss and there are things that the spreadsheet cannot capture. And there's one thing that I
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really feel like is actually the way in which the short may perform worse than everything I have
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previously mentioned that a spreadsheet can't capture, but I think is really important. And that thing is
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really engaged fans does this video create?
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And so one of the things we have talked about many times is at
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at large scales, when you post a video,
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it's going to be guaranteed that it is many people's
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favorite video you have ever made,
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and it's very many people's final straw
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where they unsubscribe, and they're like,
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"I can't deal with this," right?
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You get both ends of that.
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And people who unsubscribe, like, that's fine.
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That's no problem.
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Like, preferences change, or you subscribe to a thing,
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and you realize, "Oh, I don't actually like this
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"as much as I thought that I would."
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What matters is people who are really engaged.
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And I think one of the reasons why, for a lot of analytics,
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my channel is a real outlier on YouTube
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is that I think I create more people who
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are super engaged with my videos than an average YouTube
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Again, this is the kind of content that I like.
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I like stuff that I am super engaged in and I don't like middle of the road.
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So it's like, why did I put off getting back into magic?
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Because I knew I was going to be incredibly engaged when I got back in.
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It's like YouTube channels that I watch.
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I'm really engaged with those things and I want to create that kind of stuff for people too.
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Videos where when they watch them multiple times it's like,
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"Oh, I got more out of this the second time than the first time."
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But I think the Shorts format, it's fundamentally opposed to the ability to even create that sort of thing.
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I think with less than a minute, you simply cannot create an engaged audience.
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I think you can create stuff that's like fun to watch once.
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I think you can create stuff that's really funny in a minute.
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I think there's a lot of stuff that you can do in that constraint.
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But what you can't do is create fans who are really into something.
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I think it's just too small of a format.
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So the metric that can't go on a spreadsheet is how many people saw this and it's the favorite
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thing I've ever made that they saw.
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I think the answer to that question for this short is literally zero.
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There's no one who saw this and thought, "Wow, that's amazing."
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And that's a really important metric and I just think shorts, even if I continue to do
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them in the future, like let's say everything turns up sunshine and roses and it's like,
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"Oh, I am bringing in new audience members and all of the shorts are feeding into each
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other so the view numbers make sense for them to do, blah, blah, blah."
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Let's say all of that works.
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I still think no one will ever become really engaged because of the shorts.
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The short's whole purpose is to funnel them over into the actual main thing.
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That's the way in which I think the shorts actually perform the worst.
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This is no one's favorite video I have ever made.
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It's just not going to happen with the nature of the format.
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- You know you wish you could ever gonna have said that.
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Someone's gonna be in the Reddit and gonna be like, "Gray, this is my favorite video
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you ever made."
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- Yeah, sure.
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- But I know what you mean.
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I know what you mean.
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In a weird way, my wife is a particular exception because she loves that thing where I point
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out that the towels aren't real.
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It's her favorite video I've ever made.
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Is that not a short?
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Yeah, it is a short.
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Surely it has been classed as a short on the channel.
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It's not filmed vertically.
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I should just re-crap and upload it to the main channel.
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That's what I should do.
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Actually, maybe I should do that.
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That's not a terrible idea.
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I think you should do that.
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I think you should do that.
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I feel like you're right.
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I think the asterisk I would maybe make is like, it probably takes time, like a frequent
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uploading getting into the system and then you have the ability as a short video creator
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to break through to someone and be like "I like this person" but I would hazard to say
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say it is harder than YouTube. It is harder than long-form content. I would expect it
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is easier with longer-form content to develop that bond.
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And it's also, genre really matters here. Like, pure comedy can do a lot better in the
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shorts format than anything that is even vaguely trying to explain something.
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Comedy and dancing, that's what the short-form video is best at. And that's what all the
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popular TikToks are, the comedy and its dancers.
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That's what I'll do for my next short, comedy dance.
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Great, if you made the stick figure character do a TikTok dance,
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I swear to you it'd be the most popular thing you've ever made.
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This is again, you put me in again like this no-win situation
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of if I do it I will be so depressed I can't possibly tell you if it's
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successful and if I do it and it's not successful
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I'll also feel better. It's like there's no winning there so no.
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- Well, I tell you, it would be amazing, man.
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It would be so good.
01:21:44
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- So we actually have an interesting comparison point here
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for Cortex, which is the Cortex animated stuff,
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which all of those animations,
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they're not much more than a minute,
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and almost every single one of them
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is actually two little scenes,
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so they could easily be cut down into two videos
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that are 30 seconds each, right, every single one of them.
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But I just don't think if they were shorts,
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they would be as good at getting people into the Cortex show
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as they are as actual videos on YouTube.
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And this is just anecdotal my using shorts,
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but it's like YouTube really seems to treat
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the shorts browser and the regular YouTube browser,
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I'll say almost completely as totally separate worlds
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with the little asterisk that the main YouTube browser
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does try to funnel you into shorts
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by putting stuff in the recommended side
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and then like you're in the shorts browser.
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But there's no way going back.
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And one thing I found quite interesting is,
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so again, I've spent time using shorts
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and just watching them.
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And even the channels where it's like,
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oh, I clearly have watched a ton of their shorts.
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When I am on my computer or I'm on my iPad
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and I'm just using YouTube,
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YouTube is not recommending me the real videos
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from those creators.
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I'm just very aware of that.
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It's like, guys, there's channels where you know
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I have watched 20 or 30 shorts from these guys
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and you've never put them on the actual main YouTube channel.
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- Like on the homepage?
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- Yeah, on the actual homepage.
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Like it just doesn't show up in browse.
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And like again, maybe that's just some peculiarity
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of the way that I'm doing stuff.
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But like I have for some channels literally gone to check.
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Do they have any real videos?
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And the answer is, oh yes, they have a bunch.
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All of which are performing way worse
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in terms of view numbers than their shorts.
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I would not recommend like, "Oh, we should do the Cortex Animated stuff as shorts because
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maybe this will convert more people over."
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It's like, "No, I don't think that will."
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I think YouTube will just show people all of the shorts that we would put up as Cortex
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Animateds and never in any way recommend that like, "Oh, hey, maybe you go listen to one
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of the whole episodes on YouTube the way that they do on the actual main youtube.com or
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in the YouTube app."
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So yeah, I don't know.
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I just think it's interesting that we have content that easily could be a short, but
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I just don't think it's a good idea to do it.
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But yeah, I don't know.
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Maybe we cut them up and we put them on TikTok, Myke.
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There we go.
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We could do that.