142: Scrying Your List
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Hi Mike. Oh, hello. We're here. It's like a regular episode of Cortex. Ah, yes. Just a normal, non-special episode. Normal-tex.
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We just ended up having two very particular episodes back to back. Yeah, this is one of those things where when you make stuff,
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sometimes you have this little moment where it's like, oh, it just so happens to work out that we ended up with two special episodes in a row.
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But then what always happens is if you do two of something in a row, people are like,
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oh my god, is this what it's going to be like forever? I was like, no, no, it's okay guys. Like sometimes this just happens.
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We've been talking
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vaguely for like a year now maybe about trying to do
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more what we're thinking of as like single topic episodes. We're like trying to create these episodes that are maybe
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easier jumping on points for the show.
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Yeah. Because we kind of feel like we had them already naturally, like state of the apps and yearly themes became these
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singular things which aren't part of the month by month timeline of the show where we've kind of run
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through a whole year talking. This day, like on this episode, we're going to do follow-up from previous episodes,
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but those episodes don't have any of that and we noticed that people seem to really like them.
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So we were trying to find ways to add more
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special things throughout the year. The goal really is to add more episodes as opposed to
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turning more of our like regular episodes into these specials.
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Yeah, it's one of these things just like thinking about the show.
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One of the things that's been
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interesting to see that we talked about before is just like the YouTube channel is doing really well
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and I feel like the YouTube channel has become a way to onboard people to the whole rest of the show.
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you know me, Mike. I love a good spreadsheet. I love looking at some data and I was just really aware of like,
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oh a lot of our shows that tend to be
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dominated by a single topic seem like they're significantly better for new people.
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And so this was also realizing like we've been kind of doing a lot of
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half special episodes without even realizing it. So like a lot of our like book reviews, right?
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Or like talking about a documentary. That kind of stuff was like basically half a special.
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And as with many things it seems so obvious in retrospect, but you discover, oh, right when there's a clear topic
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it's just a much easier place for people to start with a podcast that they're not familiar with.
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And I feel like this is always the fundamental problem for podcasts is discovery. And so many podcasts you have the issue of,
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oh god, there's like hundreds of episodes. Do I need to start at the beginning? Where do I go?
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Any individual episode is dominated by everything else that came before right at the start.
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And so like just jumping in at a random point is hard. So we thought like, okay, let's just follow the data here
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and see if we can do some more of these like
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individual episodes that are clearly focused on a thing as a way to get people on board
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nice and easy with the show.
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And as you said, I really want to underscore this. These are extra.
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We're not going to make the show like lose all of its through line.
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Because that's important to me too because I also think that this might be a reason somebody comes to the show
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but then they end up sticking around for our audio issues.
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You know what I mean? Like because that just becomes a thing.
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And I would just say to you now talking about putting the episode in time,
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I wasn't listening to you for about 25 seconds there because I just got my invite to go to Apple Park for WWDC.
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Congratulations. Oh my god.
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We're going to try and do it again.
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We create the prayer circle amongst all cortexes. We all join hands that Mike actually f***ing makes it this time.
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And doesn't sit in a hotel room for two weeks.
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Oh, dude, I'm so excited for you. Oh, that's really great.
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It says you're invited.
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Like I'm not gonna lie, like when we were talking before and the invite hadn't come through.
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Like I wasn't gonna say anything but I had a big cloud of "oh no" fill the room.
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So, oh, I'm so pumped. Oh, that's great. That is like that is the best news all week.
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I am so happy you got that invitation.
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So I'm gonna do it. I'm doing it. Nothing's gonna stop me now. I'm gonna be there. So what are your plans?
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What's gonna happen? What can you share that you're gonna be doing?
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Well, all I know right now is it says I will be in person to watch the keynote address at Apple Park.
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Like that's all I have. That will be if I actually can do it the realization of 15 years of work.
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Like this is my bucket list item, which is why it was so soul crushing last year.
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It's like this is for me in that part of my work of like Apple focus podcasting the one thing left.
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It's the one goal, the one dream left to achieve is get to it.
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Pretty much every single one of my colleagues at this point has done it and I nearly had it and I couldn't do it last year.
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Because in case you're new to the show because you just found state of the hardware.
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Last year I was invited to WWDC. I made it out and I tested positive coronavirus the day before so I couldn't go.
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And this time I'm locking myself down. No one's coming near me and I'm gonna go and I'm gonna be there and I'm so excited.
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I want to get some photos of Mike Bubble Wrap Boy on the airplane.
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Just my whole head covered in 95 masks.
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This is the time to be a lunatic and buy all of the eight seats around your seat.
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Like you buy a middle seat and buy all of the immediate seats around you.
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I mean like nobody's here right when people move over and they go "Oh we're a family we wanted to sit together there's a free row how delightful."
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You say "No I purchased those seats get out of here."
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Oh man I'm so relieved and so happy.
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Oh that's fantastic Mike. I've been so nervous about it right.
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Because it's just like I just want to do it you know.
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And like it felt like it was gonna happen today and it's happened today and I feel like a weight has been lifted off my shoulders.
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I just want to get there. I'm gonna go to Apple Park. I'm gonna see the presentation.
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All I'm gonna be doing is sitting in a chair and watching a screen.
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But I will be doing it inside the venue. That's all I want to do.
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To like I am a media professional going to the thing.
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Like I will be in the media area with the other media professionals.
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I have worked so hard for so long to achieve this thing.
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To be recognized as someone who should be there.
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And my hope Grey like that I will my first keynote is going to be one of the defining keynotes right.
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Like the introduction of a brand new platform.
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And if that's the case right and I get that I kind of feel like you know what.
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Missing out on last year's worth it because I will be able to say like my first one was this one.
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Oh man yeah.
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I'm trying to think of a way to phrase something right.
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Which is like Apple doesn't owe anything to anyone right.
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Like they can do whatever they want. They can invite whoever they want.
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For whatever wacky and whimsical arbitrary reasons fills their little Apple heart with joy.
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Whatever like they can do what they want.
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But at the same time I can think of no one else in the tech industry who deserves to be there more.
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Who hasn't been there yet right.
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It's like it's the intersection of these three things.
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So our next episode we're going to be recording after WWDC.
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Oh right right of course yes.
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So not only will it be our WWDC episode.
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Remember that the last half of last year's which was really sad.
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And this year it should be really happy.
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I really have the feeling that I just keep like blocking this story out of my brain.
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Because it's too sad to think about.
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A couple of months ago I went back and listened.
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Because like there were three shows that I did right.
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So I did like Upgrade, Connected and Cortex.
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And I just went back and listened to like the intro of them all.
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Because I just wanted to like remind myself of that moment.
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And it was just like listening back to it was like wow.
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Like that just feels like a completely different time.
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Like a different person in a way.
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It was just such a strange set of circumstances where I had to.
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I've never really had something like this happen to me before.
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Where especially with Upgrade.
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Because that was on keynote day right.
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Where I just had to dig deep and pull it together and get the work done.
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You have a job to do and you just gotta do that job.
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You are very sad but you've got to make it happen.
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I just was like trying to recall like how did I sound.
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Like and I actually think I did a good job like listening back to it.
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And just getting on with it.
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So this year will be very different I think.
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We're in the timeline now.
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- I was really hoping this was going to happen today.
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That it would come during our recording.
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Like I was really hoping this is a good moment.
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And then I hope we'll follow it up in a few weeks with another good moment.
00:09:40
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00:12:14
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I have some follow up for you.
00:12:17
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So I used the backpack.
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Which backpack?
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So in the last episode I told you about my new Bellroy Venture Ready backpack.
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So I've used it now as my traveling bag to replace the Peak Design bag.
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What did you think of it?
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Super in, this bag is fantastic.
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I'm really happy with it.
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It is way better for me for what I want out of a bag like this.
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I could get more in it.
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It was more logical for me where like all of the pockets are inside.
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So like it's not like where's this, where's that?
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Like it was just much simpler.
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What I will say is, you know, works for me.
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It wouldn't work for you with the way you were describing it as like you didn't want
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just a big open space.
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100% is that.
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But I like that because a lot of the stuff I'm putting in the bag goes in its own little
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pouch or whatever.
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It's just like a bunch of blocks and I just grab the ones that I need, right?
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I have the case that has my AirPods Max in.
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I have the Bellroy Tech Pouch that has my cables in.
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I have my Nintendo Switch case that has my Nintendo Switch in.
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Right, like I don't need that in pockets because it's all very protected and it just
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makes sense.
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And then I can also just like, I have a sweatshirt and just throw it in there.
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I was never able to get that to work with the Peak Design.
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I could never have put a sweatshirt in that bag with the way that I packed it.
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Like it was just not going to happen.
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But this one was much more simple.
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Like the water bottle pocket was easy.
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I hate the side pockets on the Peak Design.
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Trying to get a water bottle in there is almost impossible for me.
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But this just was easier.
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I really liked the little secret pocket to put my passport and my keys in and it has
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the little thing I could clip my keys to.
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These are all simple things.
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Yeah, but it's what makes the difference in backpacks though.
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It's like, it's the backpacks are entirely the sum of small details.
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So yeah, yeah.
00:14:00
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And Cortex and Adam wrote in to Cortexfeedback.com to let us know about a line of Bellroy bags
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that I didn't even know existed called the Transit Workpack line.
00:14:10
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They do a 20, 28 and 38 litre of these.
00:14:13
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This is very similar to the bag that I have, but is more focused on the daily commute rather
00:14:21
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than the, like the bag I got is more like a, you're going out into the world.
00:14:26
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But that was kind of perfect for me for general travel, like as a travel bag.
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But this is a commuter's backpack that you can put overnight clothes in.
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They even have compression straps in the backpack, which is like very smart, I think.
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Because I've never seen that in a backpack before for people putting clothes in the bag.
00:14:46
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Right, right.
00:14:47
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And also there's, I think there's a little bit more structured organization in this bag
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than the one that I have.
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I don't know why I didn't think to look for a Bellroy backpack before now.
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Like I have so many products, including my daily commuter bag.
00:15:02
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I don't know why it never struck me to look at them to replace my travel bag.
00:15:08
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So I will thank Instagram ads for making this possible.
00:15:11
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It seems like you have gotten quite a lot of value in your life out of Instagram ads.
00:15:15
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This is a very normal thing.
00:15:18
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Like if you use Instagram enough, their advertising system really just gets to know you.
00:15:24
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I would say like Instagram ads are the most effective and my favorite way to receive advertising.
00:15:30
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Because I've found so many things on there that are genuinely useful and helpful to me.
00:15:35
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Like I'm happy with advertising if it feels like a two-way street.
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You're going to show me the ads anyway.
00:15:42
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I at least want them to work for me.
00:15:44
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Yeah, it is always weird when people complain about targeting advertising.
00:15:48
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Like I partly understand it, but I also have the feeling of like,
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but I want the ads to be relevant to me.
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Like if I have to see them anyway, I would way prefer that the ads
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have something to do with me than are just about random products.
00:16:03
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I don't know anyone who thanks an advertising platform as much as I hear you
00:16:09
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thank Instagram ads for bringing things into your life.
00:16:12
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It just works, man.
00:16:14
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Like this is one of, you know, when like Apple did the app tracking thing?
00:16:18
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When it said like, "Hey, do you want to..."
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You know, like the person, I was like, "No, I want the ads to remain personalized for Instagram."
00:16:26
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Right, right.
00:16:26
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Most of the time I say, "Don't track me because it's like you're opening some app for the first
00:16:30
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It's like, "Why would I...
00:16:32
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I have no relationship with you, app.
00:16:33
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Like why am I going to let you track me?"
00:16:35
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But with Instagram, it's like, "No, I want the tracking to continue because I'm getting
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value out of this."
00:16:40
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If they're still going to show me the ads anyway, if they become less relevant to me,
00:16:45
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then it's an annoyance.
00:16:46
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Yeah, very happy with the Bellroy backpack, the Venture Ready backpack.
00:16:50
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So I'm going to mark this up again of like, for me, if you buy, you know, if you want
00:16:56
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something and it's on Bellroy, this is how I feel like I'm just going to get it because
00:16:59
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I know I'm going to like it because every single Bellroy product I've owned, I have
00:17:05
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really enjoyed and used and I'm very happy with it.
00:17:09
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Yeah, they're good.
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I also like their little logo.
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Their logo is very pleasing to me.
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Yeah, no, this Transit work pack is intriguing to me.
00:17:16
◼
►
I like this, I guess they're calling it like "clam shell" thing where the whole thing opens
00:17:20
◼
►
if you lay it flat.
00:17:21
◼
►
I find that very draw-some as a product.
00:17:24
◼
►
This design is the same as on my one and what I really liked about it, it might be a little
00:17:28
◼
►
complicated here because I have a pocket on the front, but I can just open half and just
00:17:33
◼
►
like roll half of the bag down and it was like an easy way to get in and out.
00:17:37
◼
►
But I guess if you put things in that front pocket, you might not be able to fold it in
00:17:41
◼
►
half the same.
00:17:41
◼
►
Yeah, I feel like I might be drawn to this one.
00:17:46
◼
►
Since again, backpacks, infinite market like we discussed last time.
00:17:49
◼
►
I neglected to mention, I'll just mention it here because it is worth it.
00:17:52
◼
►
The other backpack that I do have is the Tom Bihn Daylight backpack.
00:17:58
◼
►
And I'll say right away, I do not love this backpack, but this is one of these cases where
00:18:05
◼
►
I'm trying to optimize for light and this is like the perfect backpack for that.
00:18:11
◼
►
If like my primary concern is just it being light, like this backpack works.
00:18:16
◼
►
This is interesting.
00:18:18
◼
►
This looks to me like I think it's in the way they're marketing it as like the backpack
00:18:23
◼
►
you have in your suitcase for when you go to the place.
00:18:26
◼
►
Which is exactly how I have used it, yes.
00:18:28
◼
►
So this rolls up to nothing like when it is empty, it takes up zero space in a suitcase.
00:18:34
◼
►
And it's funny since that show, I kind of remembered like, "Oh, right!
00:18:39
◼
►
I can go out with my laptop."
00:18:42
◼
►
And so I've actually taken this a couple of times out into the city to just like work
00:18:45
◼
►
in some random spots, which I haven't done since before COVID.
00:18:49
◼
►
Wait, did it take State of the Harbor to remind you of this?
00:18:51
◼
►
Yes, it did.
00:18:52
◼
►
Yeah, I honestly think this is one of these things where I just gotten into a habit from
00:18:59
◼
►
the past several years of like, "Oh, you just can't go anywhere."
00:19:03
◼
►
And somehow there's like lodged it in my brain.
00:19:06
◼
►
I'm like, "Oh, no, I like I totally can.
00:19:09
◼
►
I can just throw my laptop into my backpack and go somewhere sometimes."
00:19:14
◼
►
And so it's like, "Oh, it's been a lovely afternoon at the British Museum just like
00:19:18
◼
►
working on a script in their little cafe."
00:19:20
◼
►
It's like, this is delightful, right?
00:19:22
◼
►
This is the advantage of living in a major city and just being able to like go somewhere.
00:19:25
◼
►
And for that purpose, this is like the perfect backpack.
00:19:29
◼
►
I only want it to be light.
00:19:31
◼
►
That is my primary concern because I'm pretty much just putting a laptop in there and maybe
00:19:36
◼
►
like a charger and a bottle of water and that's it.
00:19:38
◼
►
That's all I want for it.
00:19:39
◼
►
Congratulations on your promotion.
00:19:42
◼
►
Do we have a job title for you?
00:19:44
◼
►
I don't know.
00:19:45
◼
►
Do we have a job title for me?
00:19:47
◼
►
I mean, we could come up with one.
00:19:48
◼
►
Maybe you could be like Chief Logistics Officer.
00:19:52
◼
►
I'll take CLO.
00:19:53
◼
►
That works for me.
00:19:54
◼
►
Is that a C-level office?
00:19:56
◼
►
I don't know how C-level offices work.
00:19:58
◼
►
It seems like they just pick a word, right?
00:19:59
◼
►
Everybody's like, "Yes."
00:20:01
◼
►
The whatever and companies are just making up whatever they want for the C-level stuff.
00:20:05
◼
►
Yeah, you could just make whatever you want.
00:20:06
◼
►
It can be whatever you want it to be.
00:20:07
◼
►
Yeah, so I'll take CLO.
00:20:09
◼
►
I'll take Chief Logistics Officer.
00:20:10
◼
►
That works for me.
00:20:12
◼
►
Actually, I'm just having a funny moment here.
00:20:14
◼
►
I think this is the first promotion I have ever gotten in my whole life, which I'm just
00:20:22
◼
►
I'm just trying to think of all of my jobs.
00:20:23
◼
►
I either never got promoted and I got one demotion, which was my very first job where
00:20:32
◼
►
I worked as a page at a library as a kid.
00:20:35
◼
►
I started, I think because of some favors my dad pulled, in the very prestigious reference
00:20:41
◼
►
department of the library, working as a page and helping people look up stuff.
00:20:44
◼
►
And then like an idiot, I needlessly antagonized my boss and got demoted to the children's
00:20:53
◼
►
Wow, what were you doing at the children's library?
00:20:57
◼
►
I was mostly just hiding and trying to avoid the shame of it, which as a tall teenager
00:21:04
◼
►
was really hard because in the children's library, all the bookshelves were really short.
00:21:09
◼
►
So it was like there was nowhere to hide in the children's library.
00:21:12
◼
►
It was terrible.
00:21:13
◼
►
I was mainly just like restocking books that little kids were returning and that kind of
00:21:17
◼
►
But yeah, so I'm just thinking, yeah, all of my other jobs, like when I worked as a
00:21:22
◼
►
teacher, I was aggressively avoiding promotions.
00:21:25
◼
►
I was offered it a couple of times and like, please know I would just rather stay a frontline
00:21:30
◼
►
So yeah, this is my very first promotion ever.
00:21:33
◼
►
Thanks, Mike.
00:21:34
◼
►
Chief Logistics Officer at Cortex Brand.
00:21:36
◼
►
I don't even remember how this started, but you made a spreadsheet.
00:21:40
◼
►
Yeah, this is one of these funny things.
00:21:43
◼
►
I don't really know what this is like from your perspective.
00:21:45
◼
►
I kind of feel like I have been bullying you for the past month and a half in some ways,
00:21:53
◼
►
slash also being a real overly explaining nerd is this is like my perception of it.
00:22:00
◼
►
But yeah, it's a thing that I've just had in the back of my mind for a long time that
00:22:04
◼
►
as soon as we had a second project that was of similar or larger size than the theme system
00:22:13
◼
►
journal, I thought, oh, at this point, it makes sense because there's enough things
00:22:19
◼
►
and enough data to start building a spreadsheet to try to assist the business.
00:22:24
◼
►
Whereas before with just the theme system, it always felt to me like there wasn't really
00:22:29
◼
►
enough there to work with.
00:22:31
◼
►
So from my perspective, what happened is the Sidekick notepad was a surprise success, which
00:22:37
◼
►
had the good problem to have if we were running out of stock way too fast.
00:22:42
◼
►
This is how it started.
00:22:45
◼
►
Basically, I built a little spreadsheet to try to give you some estimates about what
00:22:51
◼
►
was happening with the stock because I just I know from experience that when you're looking
00:22:55
◼
►
at data like daily sales numbers, it's very hard to accurately predict where this ends
00:23:03
◼
►
up over a long period of time that what seemed like small variations in daily sales over
00:23:08
◼
►
the space of two months can make a huge difference in like when are you actually going to run
00:23:13
◼
►
So that's what it was.
00:23:14
◼
►
I made this spreadsheet as starting as a piece of evidence to show you to try to talk to
00:23:21
◼
►
you about like, hey, we've got to change the way we do logistics around here.
00:23:25
◼
►
So that's my perspective on how it got started.
00:23:27
◼
►
And then I feel like I was basically bullying you and slowly improving this over time is
00:23:34
◼
►
how it feels like to me.
00:23:35
◼
►
But how does it feel like to you?
00:23:36
◼
►
What like what happened from your perspective here?
00:23:38
◼
►
So it I mean, it kind of started with a little spreadsheet and a bunch of phone calls where
00:23:43
◼
►
you were quite manic in explaining to me what you were doing.
00:23:48
◼
►
Is that fair?
00:23:49
◼
►
I don't know.
00:23:49
◼
►
I probably was.
00:23:50
◼
►
Yes, you were very excited.
00:23:51
◼
►
But I loved the excitement and I love the excitement.
00:23:54
◼
►
And it's turned out to be, I think over like a six week period or so, you've created like
00:24:00
◼
►
three spreadsheets.
00:24:01
◼
►
They just keep that's how it feels to me.
00:24:04
◼
►
Like it looks like this and now it's all gone and it looks like this.
00:24:07
◼
►
And now we have the restockotron is a thing that you've built now, which is like a dashboard
00:24:13
◼
►
showing all of the stuff.
00:24:14
◼
►
So we now have this huge spreadsheet where I input the daily sales figures for all of
00:24:20
◼
►
our products and it's doing some very, I assume, intense mathematics to work out what is our
00:24:28
◼
►
expected daily sales rate like kind of flattened out, right?
00:24:31
◼
►
Rather than just all the peaks and stuff.
00:24:33
◼
►
What are the dates that we expect a product's going to be in stock until?
00:24:37
◼
►
How many months of stock do we think we have?
00:24:39
◼
►
Like it's doing a bunch of smart stuff to predict things.
00:24:41
◼
►
But what I want to explain from my side is when you make a change to the spreadsheet,
00:24:46
◼
►
you like to explain it to me.
00:24:48
◼
►
And so you tell me what's going on and I get these Slack messages from you that have the
00:24:56
◼
►
vibe to me of you're at the train station.
00:25:00
◼
►
There are two trains coming towards each other.
00:25:03
◼
►
One is at 60 miles an hour and one is at 40 miles an hour.
00:25:06
◼
►
Which one will find its way to Albuquerque quickest?
00:25:09
◼
►
That is how every single message you have sent me about the spreadsheet reads to me.
00:25:12
◼
►
I cannot understand the, I know all of the words.
00:25:19
◼
►
But when you put them together, I don't understand any of it.
00:25:27
◼
►
What I understand is the output.
00:25:31
◼
►
Oh God, I feel shame.
00:25:31
◼
►
So like the output is fantastic.
00:25:34
◼
►
And like just the spreadsheet itself is incredible.
00:25:38
◼
►
But as you're trying to explain things to me, I don't understand what it means.
00:25:46
◼
►
I just don't, it doesn't make any sense to me at all.
00:25:51
◼
►
But I love that you love it.
00:26:01
◼
►
Well, that's interesting to take on board because, yeah.
00:26:07
◼
►
I've been basically kind of treating this as like extremely lightweight app developments
00:26:14
◼
►
and giving Mike like change logs, right?
00:26:17
◼
►
Of like, oh, here's what's changed on the spreadsheet.
00:26:19
◼
►
Here's what's changed on the spreadsheet.
00:26:21
◼
►
So here's what I said.
00:26:21
◼
►
When you give me those, it's good.
00:26:24
◼
►
But I want, can I read an example?
00:26:27
◼
►
About 10 days ago, you completely redid the spreadsheet and exploded us like with explaining
00:26:33
◼
►
things to me, right?
00:26:34
◼
►
I woke up with some good ideas.
00:26:37
◼
►
It was fantastic.
00:26:37
◼
►
Look, I need you to understand.
00:26:40
◼
►
I am over the moon that you have made this and that you want to be like this engaged
00:26:45
◼
►
with such specific things like this, right?
00:26:47
◼
►
Like I'm super excited about that.
00:26:52
◼
►
Pen data is still new, which the error range column is telling you by being a shorthand
00:26:57
◼
►
for how unconfident it is in all of the numbers in that row.
00:27:00
◼
►
Edited to add, I should probably reverse that to be more human readable.
00:27:05
◼
►
Like I did, I'm reading these things and I'm like, hmm.
00:27:09
◼
►
And I get this feeling of like, should I understand what that means?
00:27:15
◼
►
I don't, I don't know.
00:27:17
◼
►
Should understand what it means.
00:27:19
◼
►
You don't need to know, but I will just point out that the new predictors starts out on
00:27:26
◼
►
So column C through BM were all hidden calculations.
00:27:29
◼
►
I'm like, ah, yes, of course.
00:27:32
◼
►
You must hide the calculations.
00:27:34
◼
►
See, like, okay.
00:27:35
◼
►
I'm trying to like articulate, like what is it that I've been trying to express here?
00:27:39
◼
►
And I think what it is is a little bit of my concern level is very high that you won't
00:27:46
◼
►
take the spreadsheet seriously.
00:27:48
◼
►
And in some ways the spreadsheet is the manifestation of my panic over not running out of stock.
00:27:57
◼
►
Like I think as a company, there's a couple of things that are just major problems that
00:28:02
◼
►
people often don't consider.
00:28:04
◼
►
And like, we've talked about this on the show before that like running out of stock
00:28:07
◼
►
is a thing that sounds like it's great because you've sold all your things, but it's
00:28:12
◼
►
a real business problem to like not have stock in.
00:28:16
◼
►
And since I've taken over as like chief logistics officer here, putting things together
00:28:22
◼
►
in terms of numbers to me has been like, Oh my God, like being out of stock for a month
00:28:28
◼
►
is a disaster.
00:28:29
◼
►
Cause we have actual numbers of what that means.
00:28:32
◼
►
And then I'm trying to predict like, Ooh, I think it is non obvious that we need to
00:28:38
◼
►
have much more stock on hand than we previously thought.
00:28:43
◼
►
And so my feeling is like, I'm trying to put together a document of evidence that shows
00:28:48
◼
►
this and like make some recommendations about how much stock we should be buying when, but
00:28:52
◼
►
I'm constantly afraid that when I change something, you're going to be like, Hey,
00:28:57
◼
►
wait, this is a good idea.
00:28:59
◼
►
Hey, wait, that estimate changed by 50%.
00:29:01
◼
►
Like what's even happening over here in this like clown logistics department.
00:29:05
◼
►
If like the estimates are going up and down by 50%.
00:29:08
◼
►
They're like, these guys in the logistics department, they're going wild over here.
00:29:11
◼
►
Yeah, exactly.
00:29:12
◼
►
Like I'm like down at the coffee machines slacking you off to the other employees.
00:29:17
◼
►
But like you're, you're, you're going to look at it and you end like, so I think the
00:29:21
◼
►
thing with that, like that message about the error rate, I know exactly what I was thinking
00:29:24
◼
►
where I was like, I was trying to express like, Oh, Hey, this, this is trying to show
00:29:29
◼
►
you what the anticipated error rate in these calculations is.
00:29:32
◼
►
So like the real value is this value plus or minus 45%.
00:29:36
◼
►
Like that's just something that we need to keep in mind.
00:29:39
◼
►
So I think that's what it is.
00:29:42
◼
►
Like, I feel the need to explain every time I've changed something because I don't want
00:29:47
◼
►
you to feel like I'm just making random changes over here.
00:29:52
◼
►
And it's like, Oh, these numbers keep going like up and down.
00:29:55
◼
►
And like today he says, I need to order X many units.
00:29:58
◼
►
And then tomorrow he says, I need to order twice X units.
00:30:01
◼
►
And it's like, why, like what changed between yesterday and today?
00:30:05
◼
►
And then that's where I'm coming in going like, well, let me tell you what changed between
00:30:09
◼
►
yesterday and today.
00:30:09
◼
►
Like I'm using a different method to try to estimate what the resubscribe rate is for
00:30:15
◼
►
theme system journals, like that kind of thing.
00:30:16
◼
►
Here's the thing that you need to know, right?
00:30:19
◼
►
I feel like we're having, this is like business therapy at the moment.
00:30:22
◼
►
I trust you.
00:30:27
◼
►
That's what you need to know.
00:30:27
◼
►
Like this thing that you're making, I trust you.
00:30:29
◼
►
If you tell me it's this and this is the day, I will just trust you.
00:30:33
◼
►
Because what I know is I don't understand how to do this.
00:30:37
◼
►
Like I have been doing this stuff on gut.
00:30:41
◼
►
And we've done okay.
00:30:44
◼
►
But I'm doing it on gut and that's not a sustainable long-term thing.
00:30:48
◼
►
And I know that at some point we had to get smart about this.
00:30:52
◼
►
I didn't know that this would be something you would be so engaged in.
00:30:55
◼
►
And now I'm super happy that one of us is doing this.
00:30:59
◼
►
And I guarantee you the best person for the job is the guy who's currently doing it because
00:31:05
◼
►
I don't understand like you tell me these terms and like, and I get what they mean,
00:31:11
◼
►
but I don't know how you get there.
00:31:13
◼
►
So like one of the things you're talking about a lot is like a confidence rate of like the
00:31:18
◼
►
amount of data that you're putting into the system is allowing you to be able to predict
00:31:23
◼
►
things confidently.
00:31:24
◼
►
And each product has a confidence rating in the restockotron about how confident you are
00:31:31
◼
►
in the dates that you're giving, right?
00:31:33
◼
►
Of like when it needs to be restocked.
00:31:34
◼
►
I don't understand how you are able to calculate that.
00:31:40
◼
►
Like I know what goes in and I know what comes out, but like this is everything in the middle.
00:31:45
◼
►
I don't get it.
00:31:46
◼
►
I've never been able to understand things like this, like the calculations required.
00:31:50
◼
►
And so like you can please feel free to continue giving me this information, but like there
00:31:56
◼
►
are things of it that are very helpful.
00:31:58
◼
►
Like when we had a conversation today about subscriber numbers and how they're being
00:32:03
◼
►
calculated and like that I understand, but like when you're like, so this is how I did
00:32:08
◼
►
And if you want to tell me, because I know that like sometimes you just want to like
00:32:14
◼
►
and I'm like this, like people just want to say things aloud, right?
00:32:17
◼
►
Because it like just helps with going through a thing.
00:32:20
◼
►
Did you know, did I do this right?
00:32:21
◼
►
How does this feel when I explain it to someone?
00:32:24
◼
►
And maybe you're able to work through some problems if I'm asking you questions, but
00:32:29
◼
►
like I just need you to know I don't understand it.
00:32:31
◼
►
It's also funny that you mentioned about like what you put in and like what comes out.
00:32:38
◼
►
So for any aspiring spreadsheet makers out there, like this is one of my basic pieces
00:32:44
◼
►
Is the thing I've done on the spreadsheet for Mike, especially if you're working in
00:32:48
◼
►
a team, but even on your own, you need to have two colors on your spreadsheet.
00:32:53
◼
►
Make the background of some cells green and that's where information comes in and then
00:32:58
◼
►
some cells are blue and that's where information comes out.
00:33:02
◼
►
And I think like, I don't know if this is exactly your experience, but I feel like that's
00:33:06
◼
►
one way to try to make a spreadsheet clear of like what's happening because yeah, ultimately
00:33:11
◼
►
it's just a machine where you want to put some numbers in and then you should get some
00:33:16
◼
►
meaningful actionable information out and everything else in the middle doesn't matter,
00:33:23
◼
►
especially if.
00:33:24
◼
►
Yeah, because again, like we're in this position of I'm performing a job where I'm trying
00:33:28
◼
►
to give you a tool because you're ultimately the person who is working way more closely
00:33:35
◼
►
with the manufacturers than I ever will.
00:33:38
◼
►
And so you're always going to be the person making the final call about orders and how
00:33:44
◼
►
much are you willing to pay and like when is it going to come or if we have it shipped
00:33:48
◼
►
this way or that way, like what will happen?
00:33:50
◼
►
Eventually these are all data points, right?
00:33:52
◼
►
After a certain period of time, we'll know exactly how long it takes to reproduce every
00:33:57
◼
►
So then it can just maybe put into the system.
00:33:59
◼
►
You know what I mean?
00:33:59
◼
►
Like, oh, well, I mean, yes, that's one of the things that I want to have as an upgrade
00:34:03
◼
►
at some point in the future.
00:34:03
◼
►
And I was trying not to bug you earlier today, but I was like, Mike, I need historical data
00:34:07
◼
►
about how long is it between when you send the first email and when like the thing arrives
00:34:12
◼
►
at the warehouse?
00:34:13
◼
►
Like, I just want to start having historical data about that.
00:34:15
◼
►
But yeah, so there is this thing with all spreadsheets of input, output, and then calculations
00:34:22
◼
►
And I think for lots of people when they make spreadsheets, it's not visually clear.
00:34:27
◼
►
Like you need to separate out these parts and then all of the quote normal cells a user
00:34:34
◼
►
can just completely ignore like all of the crazy stuff that's happening in the middle.
00:34:38
◼
►
But yeah, I think you're partly right.
00:34:41
◼
►
Even that little thing that you just read there, you can see that I edited to add that
00:34:46
◼
►
I was like, oh, wait a minute, this number that I'm giving you, it's more human readable
00:34:50
◼
►
if it's the opposite direction.
00:34:52
◼
►
I think it's just funny to me now to hear you say like, gray, either way, I don't know
00:34:57
◼
►
what the hell this number means.
00:34:59
◼
►
But I please, I don't, I want to create a good working environment.
00:35:06
◼
►
Please continue sharing all of the information.
00:35:09
◼
►
There is some stuff in there that is genuinely helpful to me, but some of it, it's going
00:35:15
◼
►
over my head.
00:35:15
◼
►
But I am and I have where like I need feel like I need to understand, I am asking for
00:35:21
◼
►
more clarification.
00:35:22
◼
►
This is just not my skill set.
00:35:24
◼
►
Like it just isn't.
00:35:25
◼
►
I don't understand how to make a spreadsheet like the one that you've made.
00:35:29
◼
►
Like I know how to make very simple spreadsheets.
00:35:32
◼
►
Like I just made one a couple of days ago to help me calculate the overall cost of a
00:35:38
◼
►
thing because you wanted that.
00:35:39
◼
►
And so I figured, well, I've been doing it all manually.
00:35:41
◼
►
So I'm actually just made a number spreadsheet that would just do a bunch of the calculations
00:35:45
◼
►
But that's kind of where my experience starts and ends.
00:35:49
◼
►
You know, I know how to take this cell, multiply it by that cell.
00:35:52
◼
►
But I know that there's a bunch of things going on in this spreadsheet that I just don't
00:35:58
◼
►
know how anyone could understand.
00:36:01
◼
►
You showed me this book that you bought.
00:36:03
◼
►
Which is just like maybe the worst book for me ever written.
00:36:08
◼
►
But you seem very excited about it.
00:36:11
◼
►
I was very excited.
00:36:12
◼
►
It was a book on statistics, right?
00:36:13
◼
►
Or something like logistic statistics.
00:36:15
◼
►
Yeah, well, so this is kind of embarrassing.
00:36:21
◼
►
What's the actual book title?
00:36:23
◼
►
Because my wife had a completely different reaction to that.
00:36:25
◼
►
Like, so both you and my wife were like, what the hell is this book that you just purchased?
00:36:31
◼
►
Okay, so the exact title of the book is called Understanding Variation, the Key to Managing
00:36:39
◼
►
And it has a little picture of like a nebula on the front, you know, in like a spacey kind
00:36:46
◼
►
And my wife took one look at this, and she goes, what the hell is this new age crap that
00:36:54
◼
►
you just bought?
00:36:55
◼
►
It does look like that.
00:36:56
◼
►
The font on the front cover is very new agey.
00:37:00
◼
►
Yeah, so if you didn't know anything about it, it was a completely acceptable judgment
00:37:05
◼
►
to make of like, what happened to my husband that he bought this dumb book, right?
00:37:09
◼
►
Like, she's used to weird books getting shipped to the house all the time because of my job.
00:37:15
◼
►
But even among someone who buys outlier books, this one caught her attention as extremely
00:37:20
◼
►
worrying for I can't believe this arrived.
00:37:23
◼
►
When I saw this, I'm like, what has happened to my co-founder Weiss?
00:37:26
◼
►
He bought this book!
00:37:28
◼
►
I don't understand.
00:37:30
◼
►
And even when you explained what it did, or what it was for, and you sent me some screenshots
00:37:34
◼
►
of some pages.
00:37:35
◼
►
And I don't know what it means.
00:37:37
◼
►
I don't know what any of it means.
00:37:39
◼
►
How would you describe what you think this book is?
00:37:41
◼
►
Like, The Lord of the Rings for statistics.
00:37:47
◼
►
What an interesting description there.
00:37:51
◼
►
Maybe that's also saying about how I feel about Lord of the Rings.
00:37:54
◼
►
Yeah, I feel like you've disparaged two things at once very close to my heart with Lord of
00:38:00
◼
►
"Every count has an area of opportunity.
00:38:03
◼
►
Here, the area of opportunity is the number of closings each month.
00:38:07
◼
►
If the area of opportunity remains constant over time, then one may directly compare the
00:38:12
◼
►
I don't know what it means.
00:38:15
◼
►
Okay, so to explain for listeners, right?
00:38:21
◼
►
So no, I'm going to explain in like a broad way, right?
00:38:26
◼
►
Which is, so what's happening and why did I buy this book and what's the deal with this
00:38:30
◼
►
spreadsheet?
00:38:31
◼
►
So, longtime listeners will know I am a big booster of getting a physics degree if you
00:38:38
◼
►
Like, I think if you're the kind of person who is interested in physics at all, I highly
00:38:42
◼
►
recommend you get a physics degree.
00:38:45
◼
►
And one of the main reasons for that is that people with a physics degree are just highly
00:38:52
◼
►
in demand in the world of employment.
00:38:54
◼
►
Like, I know people who will hire someone for a job with zero qualifications for that
00:39:01
◼
►
actual job just because they have a physics degree and it's like, I don't know, they'll
00:39:04
◼
►
be able to like figure it out, right?
00:39:05
◼
►
They can apply stuff that they've learned.
00:39:07
◼
►
And that's kind of what's going on here is like, "Oh, I did this physics degree, you
00:39:14
◼
►
know, back in college."
00:39:15
◼
►
And by the nature of the subject is that it teaches you all of the useful parts of math.
00:39:25
◼
►
It's like, it's the useful parts of math as they're applied to the physical world, but
00:39:30
◼
►
you can just take any of these things and apply them to other stuff.
00:39:35
◼
►
And so this is one of these cases where like what I'm doing with this spreadsheet, it's
00:39:42
◼
►
very much like, "Oh, a lot of stuff that you would do in physics if you were like running
00:39:46
◼
►
an experiment and you wanted to try to publish a result and then also publish error bars
00:39:52
◼
►
on that result."
00:39:53
◼
►
Like it's the exact same thing.
00:39:54
◼
►
It's like, "Oh, well, whether I've just taken a hundred measurements for like the
00:39:59
◼
►
weight of an electron or it's the like sum of daily sales volume for our company, it
00:40:06
◼
►
doesn't really matter what the data is.
00:40:09
◼
►
There's just like a bunch of tools that you can apply."
00:40:12
◼
►
And just like general principles about how to think about data.
00:40:15
◼
►
And so I'd made this spreadsheet just sort of off the top of my head with a bunch of
00:40:21
◼
►
like old knowledge about mathematics and statistics.
00:40:24
◼
►
And I bought this book because I just sort of happened to come across it also at the
00:40:30
◼
►
exact moment I was just thinking about this, which was I'm looking for a book which is
00:40:36
◼
►
kind of like the equivalent of when I switched over to trying to do an economics minor.
00:40:41
◼
►
I'm like, "Oh, can someone just give me an overview of what the mathematics in economics
00:40:46
◼
►
And then I can just like immediately translate all the physics stuff here.
00:40:50
◼
►
And if there's something that they're doing in a different way, it's more obvious.
00:40:54
◼
►
And so this book, Understanding Variation, Key to Managing Chaos, as best I can tell
00:41:01
◼
►
and like having skimmed through it, it seems to be the case of like, "Oh, this is someone
00:41:05
◼
►
who's just recently written a book that is basically business math.
00:41:10
◼
►
Like here's just a bunch of business math."
00:41:12
◼
►
And so I want to kind of read through it and just see like how are people in this field
00:41:19
◼
►
using various statistical tools?
00:41:22
◼
►
And this is one of those kind of things of like, if there's a single idea in here that
00:41:28
◼
►
is novel to me, like the book is completely worth it instantly.
00:41:31
◼
►
So anyway, that's why I was kind of excited.
00:41:33
◼
►
It was like, "Oh, let me just see," because almost all of these tools I'm already familiar
00:41:38
◼
►
with in a different context, and it's just a bit of like, "Let me see how does someone
00:41:42
◼
►
apply this to business stuff in general?"
00:41:46
◼
►
So this book, the title is the way that it is, which like sounds very airy-fairy, but
00:41:52
◼
►
it's trying to get across the concept of like, how do you get your business under control
00:41:57
◼
►
using graphs and spreadsheets, right?
00:41:59
◼
►
How do you not be surprised?
00:42:01
◼
►
And like, and that's exactly the thing that I'm trying to do here.
00:42:05
◼
►
Which is what we need.
00:42:06
◼
►
Yeah, like how do we not be surprised?
00:42:08
◼
►
So important.
00:42:09
◼
►
This is so important because we spent the first kind of 18 months realistically of our
00:42:14
◼
►
business being very surprised.
00:42:16
◼
►
I mean, and we were surprised again, and I do feel like there is no way to apply this
00:42:23
◼
►
kind of thinking to a brand new product, right?
00:42:25
◼
►
Like, because there's no data.
00:42:27
◼
►
That's exactly it.
00:42:28
◼
►
I mean, I'd have to like double check the way it went, but I feel like the first three
00:42:32
◼
►
or four times we restocked the journal, we just had no idea.
00:42:36
◼
►
And that data would also have been complete garbage.
00:42:39
◼
►
Like it just wouldn't have been very helpful at all.
00:42:41
◼
►
So it's, there's a lot that goes on with data where it's like, you need a bunch for
00:42:48
◼
►
it to be useful at all.
00:42:50
◼
►
And just like having too little and especially having a thing where you're running up against
00:42:55
◼
►
a limit, but you don't have even the foggiest idea of like, did we just sell out or not?
00:43:01
◼
►
We couldn't have done it from the start.
00:43:02
◼
►
I think one of the things that I like that you're doing with the spreadsheet is eliminating
00:43:06
◼
►
spikes from some of the data, which I think is helpful.
00:43:10
◼
►
But like, if we have two days where we get a bunch more sales than usual, that it's
00:43:16
◼
►
not going to be considered like, well, this is the new normal.
00:43:20
◼
►
Like I feel like that would be such an easy way for someone to do it if they weren't
00:43:24
◼
►
trying to eliminate chaos.
00:43:26
◼
►
And again, that's like just straight from a bunch of physics stuff is like, oh, you
00:43:30
◼
►
know, when you conduct an experiment, you're going to have some portion of the data is
00:43:34
◼
►
like outlier data and it just makes sense to get rid of that.
00:43:37
◼
►
Or you just know that some results was weird for various reasons.
00:43:43
◼
►
And that result doesn't help you get to what the true thing is.
00:43:46
◼
►
Because in some sense, like, what is the goal of this?
00:43:50
◼
►
It's really trying to figure out in kind of a platonic ideal world, how many units
00:43:59
◼
►
of each product do we sell every day?
00:44:02
◼
►
And actually, even just explaining things to you earlier today, I realized like, oh,
00:44:05
◼
►
actually, I should bin the data by week.
00:44:07
◼
►
That makes totally more sense because our data points are actually weekly sales.
00:44:10
◼
►
They're not daily sales.
00:44:11
◼
►
Daily sales are introducing too much variation.
00:44:13
◼
►
What does bin the data mean?
00:44:14
◼
►
What are we going to do in the next version of the spreadsheet is right now you're entering
00:44:19
◼
►
the data points of like, each product each day, how many sold.
00:44:23
◼
►
But so one of the things that we can see is that there's a really big variation between
00:44:29
◼
►
Monday to Saturday.
00:44:31
◼
►
Saturday's a disaster.
00:44:32
◼
►
It's so interesting.
00:44:34
◼
►
Like no one buys the products on Saturdays, every Saturday.
00:44:39
◼
►
So this is also where like, we sort of knew this by just like talking about and casually
00:44:46
◼
►
looking at the data.
00:44:46
◼
►
Like this is a thing you told me is like, oh, Saturdays are bad.
00:44:50
◼
►
But then what you can do with spreadsheets and graphs is be like, how bad?
00:44:54
◼
►
And it's like, oh, very bad.
00:44:56
◼
►
Like the set that it's just so strange.
00:44:58
◼
►
Like Monday is great.
00:45:00
◼
►
It drops a little through to Friday and then Saturday it just like plunges to the center
00:45:04
◼
►
of the earth and then it recovers on Sunday.
00:45:06
◼
►
And it really is like, where does everybody go on Saturday?
00:45:10
◼
►
No one's thinking about work on Saturday, I guess.
00:45:13
◼
►
But then like, are they on Sunday?
00:45:14
◼
►
Like, I don't get it.
00:45:16
◼
►
Shouldn't Fridays also be bad?
00:45:18
◼
►
Like, I don't get it.
00:45:19
◼
►
I would think like Friday and Saturday should look the same, but they don't.
00:45:23
◼
►
But okay, so whenever you're trying to figure out anything, there's like a true number,
00:45:30
◼
►
but all you can do in the real world is you can take measurements and the measurements
00:45:36
◼
►
are just like an indication of what is the real number.
00:45:40
◼
►
It's a bit like even if you take your own weight, right?
00:45:42
◼
►
You can step on a scale twice in a row and it can be a little different, right?
00:45:46
◼
►
So like, oh, there is some real number that is your weight at any point in time.
00:45:52
◼
►
But how precisely do you care about that?
00:45:55
◼
►
And how many measurements do you want to take?
00:45:57
◼
►
Like that's part of the question here.
00:45:59
◼
►
So there's always variation.
00:46:00
◼
►
And the bigger the variation, the more uncertain you are about what the real number is.
00:46:07
◼
►
Now, most time, if you step on a scale, for example, it's like, oh, the weight will only
00:46:11
◼
►
vary by like a tenth of a pound or two tenths of a pound on a good scale.
00:46:16
◼
►
So you can be like, all right, I know my weight within this small range.
00:46:20
◼
►
So that's like, good enough.
00:46:21
◼
►
You only ever step on the scale once and see what the actual number is.
00:46:24
◼
►
But it's just not like that with things like sales data.
00:46:28
◼
►
You can't say like, how many units are sold on a Monday?
00:46:32
◼
►
Because they're all over the place.
00:46:33
◼
►
And the problem with looking at our data and trying to predict a daily sales number is
00:46:42
◼
►
that the variation between Monday and Saturday is really big.
00:46:48
◼
►
And so that like, artificially creates more uncertainty than there really is.
00:46:54
◼
►
Because if we were just comparing Saturdays to Saturdays, the variation between the sales
00:46:59
◼
►
would be smaller.
00:47:00
◼
►
So what I mean is, it dawned on me today that we can get more accurate measurements of when
00:47:08
◼
►
we're going to run out of stock.
00:47:09
◼
►
If instead of running all of my analysis on a, what is the average day?
00:47:16
◼
►
Instead say, what is the average week?
00:47:19
◼
►
Because the variation between weeks should be much smaller.
00:47:24
◼
►
Because we're combining together the best sales day every time and the worst sales day
00:47:32
◼
►
So this is what I'm saying.
00:47:33
◼
►
It's like, okay, I should redo that.
00:47:35
◼
►
Because there's just less variation between those two measurements.
00:47:40
◼
►
So in some sense, it's like our real data is actually weekly, even though you're
00:47:46
◼
►
entering in daily data.
00:47:48
◼
►
And so that's the thing that you can do in the spreadsheet is like have it filter out
00:47:51
◼
►
like, okay, before we run all the data analysis, just take the average number for the week,
00:47:57
◼
►
and then do everything else that's going to happen afterwards with that.
00:48:01
◼
►
So that's going to be the next upgrade to the spreadsheet, Mike.
00:48:04
◼
►
Weekly binning.
00:48:05
◼
►
That's what's happening there.
00:48:06
◼
►
But again, I would say too, I really love the spreadsheet.
00:48:09
◼
►
But I don't have a brain for this stuff.
00:48:12
◼
►
But I have been thinking recently, like, it's part of another reason why I think it was
00:48:16
◼
►
such a perfect partnership, because you understand this and I don't.
00:48:19
◼
►
And so like, you are bringing to the business this really important thing that I just would
00:48:25
◼
►
not be able to do.
00:48:26
◼
►
So I think you've totally reframed for me what problem I'm trying to solve a lot of
00:48:31
◼
►
times when I explain it, because my mental framing of this is not, you should trust me.
00:48:37
◼
►
It's like, well, that's ridiculous.
00:48:39
◼
►
Like the whole reason to make the spreadsheet is to not trust me.
00:48:41
◼
►
To not be like, oh, Gray says we should buy some amount of stock and then you just do
00:48:47
◼
►
It's like, no, no, I want to show you.
00:48:49
◼
►
Here's where this is all coming from.
00:48:51
◼
►
But in a partnership, I think I can reframe this.
00:48:54
◼
►
Like, you can just trust me that I'm doing the best job on this kind of thing that I
00:48:59
◼
►
can in exactly the same way that I don't.
00:49:03
◼
►
So Mike, when you tell me a lot about what's happening with glue binding for particular
00:49:11
◼
►
I don't know what you're talking about half the time.
00:49:14
◼
►
But it's the same thing.
00:49:17
◼
►
Like, I trust you to make an amazing notebook.
00:49:20
◼
►
That's your skill set.
00:49:22
◼
►
Maybe it's the same thing.
00:49:23
◼
►
Like I do ask some questions about what's happening, but I think, yeah, I think maybe
00:49:30
◼
►
that's similar.
00:49:31
◼
►
Like I'm just kind of probing your thought process on how it is you're putting a thing
00:49:36
◼
►
A lot of the time you kind of ask me like, why are we making that choice or why do you
00:49:41
◼
►
want it done this way?
00:49:42
◼
►
Like, what are the benefits of doing it this way?
00:49:44
◼
►
Does it feel nicer?
00:49:45
◼
►
Like that kind of stuff you need to ask me, which is helpful, right?
00:49:48
◼
►
Because then if I can explain it to you, that's good.
00:49:50
◼
►
If I can't explain it to you, then why am I making the decision?
00:49:55
◼
►
I think we're a good partnership.
00:49:57
◼
►
I think that I have this with Relay too.
00:50:00
◼
►
Like if you can find someone who between the two of you, you can make a hole, then you're
00:50:07
◼
►
Because I think that's what it takes to run a business.
00:50:09
◼
►
You need good people around you because nobody can do everything.
00:50:15
◼
►
It's just not possible.
00:50:18
◼
►
And I think you are best off finding a group of people, whether it's two or three or four
00:50:23
◼
►
or more, who are all good at certain things and you put them together and you become better
00:50:31
◼
►
Like, I think that's what's truly valuable.
00:50:35
◼
►
There is no such thing as an excellent all rounder.
00:50:38
◼
►
You can get someone who might be good at a bunch of things, but you would be able to
00:50:42
◼
►
get a set of individual people who are all individually better at each thing.
00:50:46
◼
►
That's what I believe.
00:50:47
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►
This episode is brought to you by Fitbod.
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So I just made a 100% year of the weekend focus decision.
00:53:13
◼
►
Where in it I was like, oh, I'm super happy about the theme that I've chosen.
00:53:18
◼
►
So right now I actually think I'm in the busiest month of my year.
00:53:25
◼
►
Maybe with the exception of September because of podcastathon stuff, right?
00:53:29
◼
►
But for regular work this month, wild, right?
00:53:35
◼
►
So two episodes of Cortex, that's enough.
00:53:37
◼
►
Like put two episodes of Cortex in one month, that's enough for me.
00:53:43
◼
►
Let alone all of the other stuff that I'm doing and preparing for WWDC, right?
00:53:47
◼
►
So I have big episodes of my regular Apple focus shows where we turn both of our predictions
00:53:54
◼
►
episodes into games.
00:53:55
◼
►
They take a lot of work to do.
00:53:57
◼
►
They're really important to me.
00:53:58
◼
►
I love doing them, but it's big stuff, right?
00:54:00
◼
►
This is like trying and then trying to get ready for like a basically a two week trip.
00:54:04
◼
►
There's a lot going on right now.
00:54:06
◼
►
But I took a mini vacation in the middle of it.
00:54:09
◼
►
Which is on paper to me, like previous Mike, terrible idea.
00:54:14
◼
►
Like if you're that busy, would you take four days out of your week to go and join somebody
00:54:20
◼
►
on a vacation?
00:54:22
◼
►
Those are four days where you could be preparing more, where you could be editing, where you
00:54:27
◼
►
could be recording.
00:54:29
◼
►
We could have recorded this show last week rather than this week, which would have given
00:54:32
◼
►
me longer before we got to get it out.
00:54:34
◼
►
Like these are things where previous me on paper would have been like, no way.
00:54:40
◼
►
Take the time to work.
00:54:41
◼
►
The year of the weekend, Mike, is realizing the value in taking breaks.
00:54:47
◼
►
And what has ended up happening is taking a three to four day vacation in the middle
00:54:53
◼
►
of one of the busiest months in the year has put a split down the middle.
00:54:57
◼
►
So instead of being a really busy four weeks, it was busy two, busy two.
00:55:01
◼
►
And I was able to recharge in the middle of it.
00:55:04
◼
►
So friend of ours, friend to the world, underscore David Smith, the maker of Widgetsmith.
00:55:09
◼
►
He just celebrated a big birthday in Scotland and he invited me and Idina to come along
00:55:16
◼
►
and spend it with him as a family and friends.
00:55:18
◼
►
And so that was one of these things.
00:55:20
◼
►
I was like, that is an honor.
00:55:21
◼
►
You can't turn down something like that.
00:55:23
◼
►
If a friend asks you, I feel if it's somebody that you care about and they want you to join
00:55:27
◼
►
them on something that's important to them, you do everything you can to try and do it.
00:55:31
◼
►
And so I did it.
00:55:32
◼
►
And I was a couple of days into this wonderful time in the Scottish Highlands and this beautiful
00:55:37
◼
►
home of all these, this wonderful nature around me.
00:55:40
◼
►
And I was like, this was a good idea because it's allowed me to have this recharge to now
00:55:48
◼
►
this final stint before heading off to San Francisco for WWDC.
00:55:55
◼
►
I feel like you've taken your theme very seriously.
00:55:58
◼
►
I don't know if I could have done that in your position.
00:56:00
◼
►
You're right.
00:56:01
◼
►
When you get a serious invitation, I think you're right.
00:56:03
◼
►
You have to take it seriously and say yes.
00:56:05
◼
►
But man, I would, I would have been very nervous about that.
00:56:11
◼
►
And I understand it.
00:56:12
◼
►
This doesn't fit with you right now.
00:56:13
◼
►
This is the exact opposite of the year of work.
00:56:16
◼
►
But what I have realized is that I'm just at a point where that kind of burning the
00:56:23
◼
►
candle at both ends is just not good for me right now.
00:56:26
◼
►
And it has been.
00:56:27
◼
►
And in the future, it will be again.
00:56:28
◼
►
I have no doubt about that, but I believe that our lives roll in these cycles and the
00:56:33
◼
►
cycle that I'm in right now demands of me to take better care of myself.
00:56:39
◼
►
So this was like a perfect example of that where I will now be in a couple of weeks getting
00:56:44
◼
►
ready to go on a plane and I'm going to feel nice and prepared and ready and fresh where
00:56:49
◼
►
I would have felt at my wits end, I think otherwise, if I would have been working solid
00:56:56
◼
►
all the way through.
00:56:57
◼
►
I mean, it does help that I am taking my weekends, but similarly, because we've got two episodes
00:57:03
◼
►
of cortex in a month, they are reduced weekend times a little bit because I do edit mostly
00:57:08
◼
►
on the weekends.
00:57:09
◼
►
So again, like having these few days is making sure I still make up for those days that I
00:57:14
◼
►
otherwise be losing, which is I've been very good at that.
00:57:17
◼
►
If I'm taking a work day on the weekend, I am still taking my weekdays.
00:57:21
◼
►
But this has been like a little life hack for me now where I've banked four days so
00:57:26
◼
►
I can now spend those weekend days throughout the rest of the month.
00:57:30
◼
►
Also, I saw something I've never seen before.
00:57:33
◼
►
The most incredible rainbow I have ever experienced.
00:57:37
◼
►
I'm sending you a couple of pictures of this rainbow.
00:57:39
◼
►
- In Scotland?
00:57:40
◼
►
- In Scotland.
00:57:41
◼
►
- Even better than Hawaii rainbows?
00:57:44
◼
►
I was like, you've been to Hawaii?
00:57:45
◼
►
- I have never been this close to a rainbow where I genuinely felt like I could see where
00:57:53
◼
►
And I also, I sent another picture, could see the entire arc of the rainbow, which again
00:58:01
◼
►
is like another thing I have never experienced before.
00:58:04
◼
►
- That's a really good one.
00:58:05
◼
►
- It's a good rainbow, right?
00:58:06
◼
►
- I guess I don't really think of Scotland as rainbow territory, but of course it's very
00:58:11
◼
►
misty so it's gotta be great rainbow territory.
00:58:13
◼
►
- Well, the weather was surprisingly incredible the entire time.
00:58:18
◼
►
Like nice and warm, just only a little bit windy, no rain.
00:58:23
◼
►
So we didn't get, I don't think we got the full Highland experience, but overall, excellent.
00:58:29
◼
►
And that rainbow, man, come on.
00:58:31
◼
►
- Does look like just past the tree line is a pot of gold.
00:58:37
◼
►
- It actually looks like it's on top of the house in this image because the rainbow is
00:58:42
◼
►
in front of those trees.
00:58:43
◼
►
You can see the colors of the rainbow is affecting the way those trees look.
00:58:46
◼
►
- This is very charming, Mike.
00:58:51
◼
►
- I had a great time and it was so helpful for me.
00:58:54
◼
►
And I think that like, this is a really, really good thing for me to consider in the future.
00:59:01
◼
►
- I was gonna ask, like, it sort of sounded crazy to me when I knew that you were going
00:59:04
◼
►
to do this, like right before and right in the middle of this really busy time, but it
00:59:10
◼
►
does seem to have worked out great for you.
00:59:11
◼
►
So I think if you're thinking that this was a good thing and you want to do it in the
00:59:18
◼
►
future, this is something you've got to lock into the calendar now because future Mike
00:59:25
◼
►
will have plenty of reasons why it's not a good time to take a break.
00:59:29
◼
►
But that's why I feel like current Mike needs to lock future Mike in, in a way, where it's
00:59:37
◼
►
hard to say no.
00:59:37
◼
►
Like, that's the favor that Underscore did for you here, which is, it was not just that,
00:59:42
◼
►
like, oh, he whisked you away to a magical rainbow land.
00:59:46
◼
►
It's that you also just like couldn't say no.
00:59:49
◼
►
And so like that makes the trip like, this is gonna happen.
00:59:51
◼
►
I'm gonna make it happen.
00:59:52
◼
►
- Yeah, I think what I would take away from this is like, if I have something like this
00:59:55
◼
►
going on and I will try and apply this for, say the podcast is on, is to, before like
01:00:02
◼
►
a huge trip like this, where I'm under a lot of pressure and there's a lot of expectation,
01:00:07
◼
►
maybe take a little short city break, go to London for the weekend, the weekend before,
01:00:11
◼
►
and just use it as an opportunity to just like switch off for a couple of days, you
01:00:16
◼
►
know, and like get out of home, right?
01:00:18
◼
►
Don't just spend the weekend at home, like go and just like be in a different environment
01:00:23
◼
►
and not have to think about work, try and get out of the work mode, get out of that
01:00:29
◼
►
I think that that is like a nice little addition to this like year of the weekend mentality
01:00:34
◼
►
of in these high intense scenarios, create a little special weekend in a way.
01:00:41
◼
►
So I think I'm gonna try and think about more about how that will be because when I,
01:00:46
◼
►
you know, some of these things, they can be so intense, like WWDC is gonna be intense.
01:00:52
◼
►
September will be super intense, you know, because again, it's like the podcast is on
01:00:55
◼
►
and the iPhone tend to line up with each other.
01:00:57
◼
►
It's just like two really important things.
01:01:00
◼
►
So trying to find ways to take these breaks, I think is gonna be a nice little addition
01:01:07
◼
►
and an important thing to ensure that the year of the weekend is being observed.
01:01:11
◼
►
This really is a beautiful rainbow.
01:01:13
◼
►
I'm just like leaving it on my screen.
01:01:16
◼
►
I've never seen one like that.
01:01:18
◼
►
Like I've seen some great rainbows in Hawaii, but that has got some strong colors.
01:01:23
◼
►
Like that's the thing about it is the colors are so strong.
01:01:26
◼
►
So in the first image that I sent you, I have boosted the color a bit to like really show
01:01:31
◼
►
it, but this is akin to how it looked to my eye when I saw it.
01:01:35
◼
►
But the thing is also you can like if you look at it, you've got the ROYGBIV colors,
01:01:40
◼
►
but you can see them start to repeat again, which is like really shows the strength of
01:01:45
◼
►
the rainbow, right?
01:01:46
◼
►
That like rainbows, I forget the exact details of this, but it's like every rainbow you're
01:01:51
◼
►
looking at is a multiple rainbow.
01:01:53
◼
►
It's just that the colors are too faint for you to be able to see, but it's like it's
01:01:57
◼
►
a repeated effect, but you can only ever see the one.
01:02:01
◼
►
But that's why it really catches my eye here of like, it must have been very strong in
01:02:05
◼
►
person to be able to see like immediately below the start of the pattern again.
01:02:11
◼
►
Very magical.
01:02:11
◼
►
And it was just one of those things where like 12 adults were turned into children because
01:02:17
◼
►
we're just like this thing.
01:02:19
◼
►
There's just this unbelievable because it really like seeing the end like that made
01:02:25
◼
►
it feel fake.
01:02:27
◼
►
In a way like I've never experienced a rainbow that felt so physically close to me.
01:02:32
◼
►
It was kind of awesome.
01:02:34
◼
►
I'm going to imagine you and Underscore as the double rainbow across the sky guy taking
01:02:39
◼
►
a look at this in Scotland.
01:02:41
◼
►
I've been asking cortexans to submit questions over at cortexfeedback.com where they can
01:02:47
◼
►
submit Ask Cortex Questions for us with our fancy form.
01:02:50
◼
►
Jamie wrote in to ask, do you have any advice on how to keep a daily task list shorter?
01:02:57
◼
►
I'm thinking about not just the most important tasks, but also the one time tasks.
01:03:01
◼
►
At the moment, I end up having an entire walkthrough of my day, along with a wish list of nice
01:03:06
◼
►
to have things that I want to do.
01:03:08
◼
►
Overall, I'm looking at over 20 task items per day and it's just unrealistic that I'm
01:03:13
◼
►
going to get to them all.
01:03:16
◼
►
So I think for all of us, it's just completely unavoidable that you always feel like my task
01:03:23
◼
►
list is way too long, basically, no matter what you're doing.
01:03:26
◼
►
So I think I would suggest two ideas here.
01:03:31
◼
►
One for me, the main idea, which I think I first talked about in my time management for
01:03:36
◼
►
teachers video, which is still up on my YouTube channel.
01:03:38
◼
►
Is it still there?
01:03:39
◼
►
Yeah, it's still there.
01:03:40
◼
►
It's still survived.
01:03:42
◼
►
Is it a public video?
01:03:44
◼
►
Yeah, it's a public video.
01:03:45
◼
►
It's also very funny to see like, oh, it still hasn't hit a million views.
01:03:51
◼
►
It's like my oldest video.
01:03:53
◼
►
Any day now.
01:03:53
◼
►
Any day now.
01:03:55
◼
►
But there's an idea that I sort of talk about in there, which I want to like elaborate on
01:03:59
◼
►
a little bit, which is your to-do list is functionally infinite in many ways, but there's
01:04:05
◼
►
like a clear dividing line in my mind that's critical.
01:04:10
◼
►
That dividing line is the like, I can't go home today, or I can't finish the work day
01:04:18
◼
►
until these items are done.
01:04:20
◼
►
Like that's, that's the one really hard boundary for looking at to-do list items.
01:04:28
◼
►
Like, it just has to be mission critical that this gets done today.
01:04:32
◼
►
I cannot go home.
01:04:34
◼
►
And the thing that you can kind of like mentally use to try to identify those items is like,
01:04:39
◼
►
these are the things that I would stay late at work for or keep working longer to finish
01:04:46
◼
►
because they're just like absolutely vital.
01:04:49
◼
►
But of course, you don't want to just do those items.
01:04:53
◼
►
So a thing that I didn't mention in that old video, but I think is also useful for the
01:04:57
◼
►
like, what things have to be on the list is it's not just those, but it's also the
01:05:03
◼
►
tasks that you know save you a significant amount of time and stress the following day.
01:05:12
◼
►
So like, I think whenever I'm talking to people about to-do lists, it's like, those
01:05:17
◼
►
are the two things that I'm looking for, for like when someone's trying to put together,
01:05:22
◼
►
like, what am I going to do today?
01:05:23
◼
►
It's like absolutely mission critical and the stuff that is going to save you a significant
01:05:30
◼
►
amount of time and stress tomorrow, even if it doesn't have to happen today.
01:05:36
◼
►
And I don't know, for me, like again, in my old teaching job, the classic example of
01:05:41
◼
►
saving time and stress tomorrow for me was always like, if you need to make photocopies
01:05:47
◼
►
of anything for tomorrow's classes, don't wait until tomorrow because it's just always
01:05:52
◼
►
a nightmare, right?
01:05:53
◼
►
And like causes you these problems of like, oh, there's a big line at the copier or
01:05:58
◼
►
the copier isn't working, right?
01:05:59
◼
►
Like you can really screw yourself over by waiting until the last minute with something
01:06:04
◼
►
I think those are like the two things that you really want to focus on.
01:06:09
◼
►
But for the rest of the list, I'm going to suggest a kind of mental reframing of what
01:06:16
◼
►
to-do lists are.
01:06:18
◼
►
And in order to do this, I'm going to use an example from one of my favorite things
01:06:25
◼
►
to pull examples from ever, Magic the Gathering.
01:06:28
◼
►
- Of course, this doesn't come up in a while.
01:06:31
◼
►
That's how you know, by the way, if we're doing a special episode or a regular episode,
01:06:35
◼
►
just great reference Magic the Gathering as a metaphor or not.
01:06:38
◼
►
- That might not be unfair.
01:06:40
◼
►
Yeah, that might not be unfair at all.
01:06:42
◼
►
Okay, so in Magic the Gathering, my absolute favorite mechanism of the game is something
01:06:50
◼
►
that most players consider quite banal and boring, but it is something
01:06:54
◼
►
called Scry.
01:06:56
◼
►
And Scry is the ability to look at the top cards of your deck and rearrange their order
01:07:05
◼
►
or put some of them on the bottom.
01:07:07
◼
►
And I love this so much in the game.
01:07:10
◼
►
And I love this as a concept that I think is just applicable everywhere.
01:07:15
◼
►
It's one of the very few words of the game that I like has so dug itself into my brain.
01:07:23
◼
►
I sometimes just use it in conversation without clarification and then feel real awkward when
01:07:29
◼
►
someone is like, "What the hell did you just say about like scrying your list?"
01:07:33
◼
►
Like, "Oh no, this is very embarrassing."
01:07:35
◼
►
But the thing about this is like the concept that it's trying to express here is in most
01:07:42
◼
►
games of Magic, you're never getting to the bottom of your deck.
01:07:45
◼
►
The thing that you're really concerned about is like, what is the order of the next
01:07:52
◼
►
two to five things that's going to happen?
01:07:55
◼
►
And I think people should just think about their to-do lists as a list of cards that
01:08:03
◼
►
they're scrying through.
01:08:04
◼
►
Your job is not to get through all of these to-do items.
01:08:07
◼
►
Your job is to arrange them in the correct order.
01:08:13
◼
►
And sometimes that means like, "Oh, you're looking at something and just like in Scry,
01:08:17
◼
►
you put a card on the bottom of the deck because you don't want it right now."
01:08:21
◼
►
It's like, you're going to take this to-do list item and you're going to put it at the
01:08:24
◼
►
bottom of the deck and probably you're going to die before you get to that to-do list item,
01:08:31
◼
►
But that's fine, right?
01:08:32
◼
►
Like that's just what life is.
01:08:34
◼
►
Like, I think you're doing life wrong if you're consistently getting to the bottom
01:08:41
◼
►
of your to-do list.
01:08:43
◼
►
Oh, that's good.
01:08:45
◼
►
- There is something about that that is really interesting to me where I don't know if you're
01:08:50
◼
►
saying it this way, but like, if it's like an ambition thing, if you've done all of your
01:08:55
◼
►
to-do items, then you're not reaching for something else.
01:08:58
◼
►
- That's exactly the way I mean it is if your to-do list is empty, something about
01:09:04
◼
►
your life is wrong and it's probably that you're not reaching hard enough or you're
01:09:10
◼
►
just not thinking about the, just like the scope of things that you can actually do.
01:09:15
◼
►
So this might be like in a game of magic, the games always end and like most games, players
01:09:21
◼
►
still have cards in their deck.
01:09:23
◼
►
You know that like in an average game, you're only going to ever get through like at most,
01:09:28
◼
►
you're only going to see 40% of the cards in your deck in a normal game, but you still
01:09:34
◼
►
have more cards in the deck than that and it's just like, it's the same with life.
01:09:38
◼
►
- I would imagine you have some in your hand, right?
01:09:40
◼
►
It's like, oh, I had some plans here.
01:09:42
◼
►
Like I was going to do some cool stuff if it came around, but I just never got the chance.
01:09:46
◼
►
- Yeah, exactly.
01:09:47
◼
►
- I like this.
01:09:48
◼
►
This is a good way of thinking about it.
01:09:49
◼
►
- I feel very confident about this of like, people are framing this wrong and I used to
01:09:55
◼
►
frame this wrong.
01:09:56
◼
►
Feeling guilty that at the end of every day, I didn't complete my to-do list, but I just,
01:10:03
◼
►
I think that's totally wrong.
01:10:05
◼
►
Your actual job is like arranging the correct order of the next things that you want to
01:10:11
◼
►
work on and that means putting some things at the bottom of the list, which you're just
01:10:17
◼
►
never going to get to and that's fine.
01:10:20
◼
►
That's totally fine.
01:10:22
◼
►
In fact, it's way better than the alternative of having an empty to-do list.
01:10:27
◼
►
- Man, I love that.
01:10:29
◼
►
I really, I'm going to be thinking about that a lot.
01:10:31
◼
►
That's like a really good metaphor.
01:10:33
◼
►
Like it's not too dissimilar to how I am because I'm just realistic about like, I know
01:10:38
◼
►
I always have more on my to-do list and I have time to fit into a day, but I'm able
01:10:43
◼
►
to look at my list and I know what is like absolutely must be done and everything else
01:10:48
◼
►
is movable or like I can do a little bit of it today.
01:10:52
◼
►
I won't finish it.
01:10:53
◼
►
So I'll get it closer to the point where I can check it off.
01:10:55
◼
►
I don't feel guilty about there being things because I know I have come to accept that
01:11:02
◼
►
I never have a day where I complete every item on my to-do list.
01:11:07
◼
►
It just doesn't happen because I just know that there's always more to go if I want to
01:11:12
◼
►
find time for it and that works for me great.
01:11:14
◼
►
But I know, I just know by being able to look at things, what is the most important and
01:11:19
◼
►
sometimes I flag them, you know, like in to-do list, I can change the color of a thing if
01:11:23
◼
►
I need to be able to have something stand out to me, I can do that.
01:11:27
◼
►
But I do think it's a skill that you have to learn over time.
01:11:31
◼
►
There are some truths about the world you have to accept first and I think what you
01:11:35
◼
►
have perfectly encapsulated is one of those of like, it's realistically just not possible
01:11:40
◼
►
for you to do it all.
01:11:41
◼
►
Once you've accepted that, you can then start to better prioritize.
01:11:45
◼
►
And I still want to say like, there's just a slightly different framing here, which is
01:11:49
◼
►
the like, it's not that you don't feel guilty for not having completed the thing.
01:11:55
◼
►
This is the way it should be.
01:11:57
◼
►
Like you should end every day with more things on your to-do list than you were able to do.
01:12:04
◼
►
The real question is, did you order things properly for the day?
01:12:09
◼
►
Not, did you get everything done for the day?
01:12:13
◼
►
This episode of Cortex is brought to you by Squarespace, the all-in-one platform for
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They make it so incredibly easy and the functionality that they have is best in class and only getting
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You should use it too.
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Our thanks to Squarespace for the continued support of this show and Relay FM.
01:14:27
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Jens asks, Apple is rumored to be working on a journaling app.
01:14:32
◼
►
Have you ever considered making your own digital journaling app?
01:14:36
◼
►
Have we, Mike?
01:14:37
◼
►
We'd be doing a lot of work with the word "considered".
01:14:42
◼
►
So let me just, I will reference this by saying there is a suggestion that Apple is going
01:14:46
◼
►
to be making a brand new app, which will be journaling focused.
01:14:49
◼
►
It will prompt you to write down things in the day, but also like collect up information
01:14:54
◼
►
about where you've been and who you've been with and like pre-populate some of that stuff.
01:14:58
◼
►
It's an interesting idea, like I actually like it as an idea for a journaling app.
01:15:02
◼
►
Although I do have some questions about like, will anybody else be able to use this information
01:15:08
◼
►
that Apple's putting into their own journaling app?
01:15:11
◼
►
But we'll see about that one.
01:15:13
◼
►
And so I'm super intrigued to see what that's all about.
01:15:15
◼
►
In regards to making a theme system journal app, no.
01:15:20
◼
►
Like, I mean, have we considered it in a sense of making a decision on it?
01:15:26
◼
►
And the decision is we're not interested in doing it.
01:15:29
◼
►
Yeah, we've discussed it, but I think every discussion has been a rather unambiguous no.
01:15:36
◼
►
That this just doesn't make sense for us to do in this company as a project for a whole bunch of reasons.
01:15:44
◼
►
The main one for me personally is I just think that this stuff is better when you are making
01:15:49
◼
►
an intentional decision to sit down with a set of things, a pen and a notepad or a book or a journal of some kind.
01:15:57
◼
►
Like get your phone away from you and sit and write down how you're feeling, what you're thinking about.
01:16:03
◼
►
Like, I think that that is important and there's like, honestly, for me, the act of doing that thing
01:16:11
◼
►
is part of what is important about doing it anyway, that you are choosing to sit down and do this thing.
01:16:18
◼
►
Where I feel like if my phone is sending me a notification to remind me to write in a journal
01:16:24
◼
►
and then I tap that and I write in my journal and press like set, like it just feels like any
01:16:29
◼
►
thing that I have on my phone.
01:16:31
◼
►
I have a daily to do task to write in my journal, but that doesn't then mean that I open GoodNotes
01:16:38
◼
►
and start writing with the Apple Pencil.
01:16:41
◼
►
Like, I've never done that.
01:16:42
◼
►
I like to be able to sit down with this item that I care about, that I look after,
01:16:48
◼
►
that it's mine and that I can see it's got my handwriting in it and it's filled up at the end.
01:16:52
◼
►
I think that that is an important practice, like a thing to do.
01:16:57
◼
►
So that is one of the reasons.
01:16:59
◼
►
The other is just, have you heard about the economics of the App Store?
01:17:03
◼
►
- It would take a lot of time and money to make an app which has a high enough quality
01:17:10
◼
►
that we will put our name on.
01:17:11
◼
►
This is similar to the physical product stuff, right?
01:17:14
◼
►
Me and you are going to have an app that's Cortex brand.
01:17:17
◼
►
It's got to be really good that we would be happy with it.
01:17:21
◼
►
So that's going to be expensive to make.
01:17:22
◼
►
And then like trying to run that as a business, I don't know if I want to do that, to be honest.
01:17:31
◼
►
I feel confident in being able to work with people to produce these products that we have.
01:17:36
◼
►
Making an app to a high quality just feels like a completely different thing.
01:17:41
◼
►
But also is not a thing that I particularly want to put my energy into because it would feel
01:17:49
◼
►
like there's no good way of saying this without me sounding like, look at this guy.
01:17:55
◼
►
But it would feel like it wasn't true to what I believe for the theme system.
01:18:01
◼
►
I believe it is best used when using our journal or another notebook and thinking in this way.
01:18:12
◼
►
I have a yearly theme and every day I'm going to sit and write in my thing that is focused
01:18:18
◼
►
around my theme and it's going to help guide me because I'm taking the intentional time every day
01:18:23
◼
►
to think about it and just write down how I'm feeling, how I'm getting on.
01:18:26
◼
►
I think that that is important and I think the act of writing it down is the important part
01:18:32
◼
►
by sitting and making that intention rather than just being like, let me open my app.
01:18:37
◼
►
I don't know.
01:18:38
◼
►
I can imagine so many people are listening to me and they don't see a difference.
01:18:42
◼
►
That's fine.
01:18:43
◼
►
But I feel this way and I'm part of the decision making of the things that we're doing.
01:18:50
◼
►
Yeah, and I back you on this.
01:18:52
◼
►
I agree there's a lot of problems with the economics of this.
01:18:56
◼
►
Again, largely stemming from how would the two of us want this to be done.
01:19:03
◼
►
It's not a question of like, is it possible to make an app that is vaguely this?
01:19:08
◼
►
It's a question of making it the way that we would want to be, which is very different.
01:19:15
◼
►
But I do also agree with you that I think behavior change is really hard for people.
01:19:21
◼
►
It's especially difficult in absence of signals to yourself that you're really trying to
01:19:28
◼
►
do something differently.
01:19:32
◼
►
And for most people in the current modern world, having a notebook that is a physical object,
01:19:41
◼
►
I think is a real signal to their own brain to pay attention that something is different here.
01:19:46
◼
►
Sometimes you try to think about like, who are you making products for?
01:19:51
◼
►
And like, who are you trying to help with things?
01:19:53
◼
►
And I sometimes imagine a kind of customer that I can easily imagine as like a younger
01:19:59
◼
►
version of myself as well, like someone who is like really tech oriented and spends a
01:20:07
◼
►
lot of time around electronics, like just like I did, but is also dissatisfied with
01:20:13
◼
►
life in various ways and is having a hard time like changing themselves.
01:20:18
◼
►
And to buy a physical notebook, which itself acts as a physical reminder in your real life
01:20:27
◼
►
space about something that you're trying to do, I think it really shows your brain like,
01:20:32
◼
►
this is different from all of the other things in your environment.
01:20:36
◼
►
Take it seriously.
01:20:37
◼
►
And so I think for that kind of customer, the fact that it is a physical object is much
01:20:44
◼
►
more helpful to them in terms of enacting actual change.
01:20:48
◼
►
And that I can kind of imagine that selling an app, even if it is profitable, might be
01:20:56
◼
►
a disservice to that exact kind of customer because it would be less helpful to them because
01:21:03
◼
►
it is less distinct.
01:21:04
◼
►
And like, something needs to be different is the whole thing about why you might be
01:21:10
◼
►
buying this, which is why it helps that it's a physical product.
01:21:14
◼
►
So I think we're in agreement.
01:21:16
◼
►
No app of the theme system.
01:21:18
◼
►
And we sell the theme system journal, use any notebook you like.
01:21:21
◼
►
We're not using this as a time to try and sell you on it.
01:21:23
◼
►
Like watch Grey's video, he explains it.
01:21:26
◼
►
But like that is an important part to the two of us.
01:21:28
◼
►
And that's also why like, I've talked about that.
01:21:31
◼
►
We've talked about that.
01:21:32
◼
►
We obviously sell a notebook, but I like, I don't know.
01:21:36
◼
►
I don't want to get all cheesy here, but I really do feel it.
01:21:39
◼
►
Like I feel very strongly about wanting to try and help people to be happier and to live
01:21:49
◼
►
more satisfied lives because I know I could have had a really bad time in life.
01:21:55
◼
►
And these kinds of things, if you catch someone at the right time with them are literally
01:22:02
◼
►
life-changing.
01:22:03
◼
►
It's important to me that people try this kind of stuff.
01:22:06
◼
►
Obviously we want to sell notebooks, but I care a lot more that someone who needs it
01:22:11
◼
►
like gives this a try and maybe it's helpful to them and you can just do it on anything.
01:22:15
◼
►
But not an app.
01:22:22
◼
►
Ian asks, a fairy or member of the appropriate government agency grants you an extra employee
01:22:29
◼
►
at no cost to you that has whatever skillset you need.
01:22:33
◼
►
What part of what you do now would you offload to them and why?
01:22:39
◼
►
What would you say to this?
01:22:43
◼
►
So this is the key of why like it's a fairy.
01:22:48
◼
►
Cause it's like there's magic involved.
01:22:50
◼
►
There's magic involved.
01:22:52
◼
►
What I would want is someone who could help me with show production in like finding interesting
01:22:59
◼
►
stories to talk about, helping me think about and expand on certain topics.
01:23:04
◼
►
Like what's some interesting stuff that we could talk about.
01:23:07
◼
►
The reason we need a fairy for this is because this person needs to think and work like me.
01:23:12
◼
►
Because I wouldn't want to work with anyone like this if they didn't share my exact thinking.
01:23:18
◼
►
Which is why I have no actual desire to find a producer because I like the way that I think
01:23:24
◼
►
about topics for my shows.
01:23:26
◼
►
Would I like it if there were two of me?
01:23:29
◼
►
Other than that, this isn't a role that I would be looking to fill because I want to still be
01:23:36
◼
►
But if there's someone who already thinks like me, then I'm already doing it.
01:23:40
◼
►
That's why that's the fairy part.
01:23:42
◼
►
If there's okay, if there's magic involved, this is in some sense an easier, but.
01:23:46
◼
►
That's why I pick this question because there's magic involved.
01:23:51
◼
►
So if there's magic involved, what I would want is a first draft script writer.
01:23:59
◼
►
That would be the thing that I would want.
01:24:01
◼
►
See, there we go.
01:24:02
◼
►
You know, again, it's like, do the first part, but think like me.
01:24:06
◼
►
Yes, exactly.
01:24:08
◼
►
It's like, I mentioned this before, but like my skill is not writing.
01:24:11
◼
►
My skill is editing.
01:24:13
◼
►
And so getting to the point where there's the first, what I think of as readable draft is
01:24:19
◼
►
so much work and it's so hard.
01:24:22
◼
►
And the problem is like that first draft, it's the same thing you have.
01:24:27
◼
►
But like there's, there's a certain kind of quality that I'm looking for.
01:24:29
◼
►
And I know people are always like, oh, but you can hire writers.
01:24:34
◼
►
And it's like, look, I'm just going to say, like, I know YouTube channels who have brought
01:24:39
◼
►
on other writers.
01:24:40
◼
►
And even when they're reasonably good, it's like, but they're just never quite the same
01:24:46
◼
►
as the person who started the thing.
01:24:48
◼
►
And like, you can just feel channels getting a little bland or it's just like, it's just
01:24:55
◼
►
feels a little different.
01:24:56
◼
►
And very often it's like, ah, they brought on more writers.
01:24:59
◼
►
And it's like, it's just changed.
01:25:01
◼
►
So I think that's the thing that I would want most if there was like a magic employee, it
01:25:06
◼
►
would be the like, I'll give you, that's like, I'll keep doing the selection.
01:25:09
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Like I'll pick something, but if you can give me like a first draft that I can start editing
01:25:15
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from, that would be amazing.
01:25:17
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But that would also be basically magic.