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The Talk Show

407: ‘Pinkie Swear’, With Chance Miller

 

00:00:00   Chance Miller, it's good to have you on the show. You are the one of the ace reporters over at 9to5Mac,

00:00:05   and I've been meaning to have you on for a while. You've started, you've been doing great work over,

00:00:10   I'd say 9to5Mac as a whole has really, really been doing great, and I just wanted to get that out

00:00:17   there. And I think Apple is starting to, or not starting to, but is recognizing it even further,

00:00:24   right? You've started getting, like, some statements and exclusive releases from Apple

00:00:31   that go to you. What are some examples? They're the sort of thing Apple doesn't want to write

00:00:37   a newsroom post about, but still wants out there.

00:00:40   Ben 2.00 They're the biggest one is probably the Apple Watch ban thing,

00:00:44   where they pulled the Apple Watch because of the blood oxygen center stuff, and for whatever reason,

00:00:49   they came to us to break that story. And I guess I can probably say it now, but it was like a

00:00:54   Saturday night briefing. They were clearly down to the wire trying to figure out what was going

00:00:59   to happen with that case, and for whatever reason, they came to us. And there's been a shift for sure.

00:01:04   I don't exactly know why. It's probably, it's, I mean, when you do the grunt work for so long,

00:01:11   I like to think that they realize it and they're more accepting to work with you. I don't know.

00:01:15   I like to think that it's not just completely random.

00:01:18   Tom Bilyeu Yeah, I don't think so either. I really do mean it as deserving, and it's

00:01:24   sort of a, I would love to be a fly on the wall inside Apple PR for how they made that decision.

00:01:33   Why go to Chance Miller at 9 to 5 Mac with significant news? And again, what's the,

00:01:39   give everybody, for people who aren't paying close attention, the backstory on the

00:01:44   ban, which is actually still ongoing. It's still ongoing. But what they gave to us was,

00:01:49   the ITC had ruled that the Apple Watch blood oxygen sensor infringed on a patent from a health

00:01:55   tech company, Massimo, Massimo, Massimo, one or the other, whatever. And basically when they came

00:02:02   to us and when we broke the story, they had a week or so, I think, for the Biden administration to

00:02:08   veto the ITC ruling. And if Biden didn't do it, then the Apple Watch would be pulled because of

00:02:13   that infringement. And they were clearly trying to get the statement to us and get it out there,

00:02:19   like playing checkers with the Biden administration somewhat, trying to get them to blink and say,

00:02:24   "This is what's going to happen. The Apple Watch saves lives. Look, Joe Biden, veto it, veto it."

00:02:31   And he didn't. And that's, yeah, like you said, it's still, you can buy an Apple Watch today still,

00:02:36   obviously, but it doesn't have the blood oxygen sensor turned on.

00:02:39   Tom: Yeah, let's hold that because let's revisit that and just think about it in the context of

00:02:44   next month's event. But yeah, just the little media world,

00:02:50   insular, navel gazing, let's say. I could see why they didn't want to put it on Apple Newsroom,

00:02:56   right? For the most part, Apple Newsroom is for good news or neutral news, right?

00:03:04   Like the thing yesterday where they announced that Luca Maestri, the CFO, is going to,

00:03:10   there's going to be a transition. He's not leaving Apple. He's going to take a lesser role.

00:03:15   His deputy is Kevin Parekh, I believe his name is, is going to take over as CFO.

00:03:24   Seems very normal. I would say of Apple's, certainly of their C-level executives,

00:03:30   the CFO is the least interest to us, right? I mean, it's more of a shareholder business world.

00:03:37   In newspaper parlance, business section news, not techno section news. So that goes on Newsroom.

00:03:44   But I think that this Apple Watch ban is not something they want to write a blog post about

00:03:51   on their own site. So why go to 9to5Mac instead of the Wall Street Journal or instead of the New York

00:03:59   Times or the Financial Times? I don't know. I think part of their strategy was maybe that

00:04:06   those places were too big or they didn't want to shake it up that much. And I don't know if they

00:04:12   knew that it would get picked up by the Wall Street Journal and the New York Times and everybody

00:04:17   after we posted it. It wasn't just going to fly on the 9to5Mac radar and that's all. It was going

00:04:22   to spread. Right. And by the unwritten, unofficial rules of the news media, 9to5Mac needed credit for

00:04:32   originally breaking the news, which is fair. And you got it deservedly so. Yeah, I think it's sort

00:04:38   of a strategic way of Apple PR trying to, trying through their choice of media outlet, trying to

00:04:53   pre-size the news. They want it out there. They certainly wanted the Biden administration to know

00:05:00   and to hopefully rule in their favor, which didn't happen. They kind of needed to announce it in

00:05:07   general. I mean, because if it worked out the wrong way for Apple, which in fact it did, Apple watches

00:05:13   were going to be removed from market. And I think at the time was the thing you had where they also

00:05:19   got to say that they can continue selling them through December 24th, every night or something.

00:05:25   The Christmas deadline was right there. Right. But they somehow either through luck or negotiating,

00:05:31   probably maybe a combination of the two, were able to continue selling the Apple watch as it stood

00:05:38   with the blood oxygen sensor enabled through the end of when any reasonable person would try to buy

00:05:44   a Christmas gift. I mean, I say that being the guy who has occasionally been looking around for who's

00:05:53   still open at 6.30 on Christmas Eve. Yeah, I thought that was a pretty good, I thought that

00:05:59   was a great scoop for you. And again, deserved. And I think it's, I don't know, it just speaks to

00:06:04   the sort of stature that 9to5Mac has at this point in the community on Apple news. Very good.

00:06:13   So on the watch, I think it's sort of interesting to think about with this sensor that I kind of am

00:06:21   surprised. I'm not surprised that the Biden administration didn't veto it. But I wouldn't

00:06:27   have been surprised if they did either. I suspect it was probably considered a close call in there.

00:06:31   But I think that the Biden administration once wanted to and still does want to sort of

00:06:37   convey legitimacy on the international, what does the ITC stand for? International Trade Commission?

00:06:45   Tim Cynova Trade Commission. Yeah.

00:06:45   David Schanzer That that's how they ruled, let the system sort itself out. Obviously, the way Apple

00:06:52   could settle this is by writing some sufficient check to Massimo, right, to either buy the company

00:06:57   to get all of their IP or just write them a check that gives them a right to the patent that they're

00:07:03   disputing. I am surprised that here we are at the end of August, on the cusp of the new Apple watches

00:07:13   coming out in what, two weeks, and it still isn't settled. That's kind of surprising to me.

00:07:19   Tim Cynova And even like Mark Gurman has reported that like one of the features

00:07:23   that was originally supposed to debut with the Series 10 is the sleep apnea detection.

00:07:27   And that he says, has relies on the blood oxygen sensor so much that they probably won't be able

00:07:34   to do it because they can't use that sensor, at least in the United States.

00:07:38   David Schanzer Yeah, that's also it in general,

00:07:41   being an Apple user in the United States. And again, we can we'll get to this

00:07:45   soon enough, the debate. In general, though, being an Apple user, the best place to live is the United

00:07:52   States. And with this particular patent dispute, it's the worst place to be because I believe it's

00:07:59   the only country that's yep, that the ban applies. And the way it's been adjudicated so far is if you

00:08:07   own an Apple Watch, and bought it before the ban went into place, and you're have a new enough Apple

00:08:14   Watch that it has a blood oxygen sensor, then it you don't even have to know about this dispute.

00:08:19   It's your watch still has a working blood oxygen sensor. And if you bought an Apple Watch in the

00:08:25   United States after the ban, because it took a couple weeks for Apple to put this software fix

00:08:30   in place. WatchOS now, if you're in the US disables the blood oxygen sensor for units that were bought

00:08:42   after the ban was put in place, some kind of serial numbers starting with this are the ones

00:08:49   from January 2024 onward. And if your watch has one of these serial numbers, then it doesn't and

00:08:55   it gets complicated when it comes to repairs. I actually just wrote about this recently,

00:09:02   and I've already forgotten the details. But it's if your watch has the blood oxygen sensor,

00:09:07   and you bought it before the deadline, and you're getting warranty service like yes, just broke or

00:09:14   you still have Apple Care, you get a replacement watch and the blood oxygen sensor on the

00:09:20   replacement watch will work because you bought it. But if your watches out of warranty has a blood

00:09:28   oxygen sensor and until it broke you were using it. If you pay for warranty or out of warranty

00:09:35   service, you don't get a blood oxygen sensor now. It's confusing and irritating. It's not a message

00:09:45   Apple wants to promote. I wonder how they're going to talk about this at the event. I really do. I

00:09:50   guess if assuming it doesn't get settled beforehand, and this could be one of the things that because

00:09:56   the event is coming up on September 10th, 9th, 9th, 9th, maybe now there's sort of a fire lit

00:10:06   under their butts for these negotiations and it could be the sort of thing that gets settled Sunday

00:10:12   night, September 8th, and then they can talk about it. It does remind me a little bit of the Qualcomm

00:10:19   situation where they were in that big royalty battle. And eventually Apple, I can't remember

00:10:24   what exact deadline or what exact launch app was coming up on where Apple basically had to say,

00:10:29   we need modems. We got to pay Qualcomm whatever they want. And it was like a Friday night news dump

00:10:34   and here we are. The blood oxygen sensor just isn't that big of a deal for the Apple watch

00:10:42   to the point where I feel like Apple's need or want to settle just isn't there.

00:10:48   Because it came out in 2020, right? And so it was COVID and everybody jumped to the conclusion that,

00:10:56   oh, you can use it to track your blood oxygen if you get COVID or see it go down if you might get

00:11:01   COVID. But Apple was very clear like, this is just like a frame of reference. Don't use it for that

00:11:07   there. They don't see it as essential to the watches like the heart rate stuff, I think.

00:11:11   Tom Bilyeu (01h00s): Yeah, I definitely don't. And I think very few users do. Because I think anybody

00:11:18   who has a condition that already knows they have some kind of medical condition where they need to

00:11:26   monitor their blood oxygen, they're using a proper blood oxygen monitoring device. They're not

00:11:31   relying on an Apple watch for it. And whatever, hey, this is a nice little extra measurement that

00:11:37   I get in my health stuff from my watch, like sleep hours and everything else. It's nice to have,

00:11:44   but it really is just a bullet point on a slide. So I guess if nothing happens legally to settle

00:11:51   this and the event comes, I'm guessing the event will come. They just don't talk about blood

00:11:57   oxygen monitoring in the keynote because it's not a new feature, right? So that's not really

00:12:02   something to reiterate. And the sleep apnea detection or monitoring, whatever that rumored

00:12:11   feature would be, if they can't announce it because they can't talk about it. I don't know,

00:12:18   it's kind of interesting. It's kind of an interesting call. Would they still talk about it

00:12:22   but admit that nobody in the United States of all countries gets to use it? Or do they leave

00:12:28   the whole feature out and presume that if and when it gets settled in the next year, they'll just

00:12:34   announce it in watchOS 10.2 or whatever the verb. What's the number this year, 11 or 11?

00:12:40   So yeah, 11. Yeah.

00:12:42   It robs them of being able to talk about it in the keynote, but it doesn't keep them from doing it.

00:12:49   I guess the other weird thing I find about the whole legal situation is that whoever made the

00:12:55   decision, I guess at the ITC, that Apple is still shipping watches that have the sensor.

00:13:01   It just is disabled in software for people geofenced within the United States.

00:13:08   Yeah. So theoretically, they can just flip the switch back on whenever it happens.

00:13:13   With a software update, presumably. I mean, I guess that they—I don't know. I've asked

00:13:19   these questions to Apple PR. They wouldn't even answer at first when they first put the Apple

00:13:24   watch back on sale with this feature disabled. They wouldn't even confirm that the sensor is

00:13:32   present in hardware but disabled in software. They would just point to their newsroom post,

00:13:38   which was ambiguous on that point. But it made no sense to me that they would take the actual

00:13:42   physical sensor out other than the fact that if I owned the patent, if I were Mr. Massimo,

00:13:50   and I really felt like, "Hey, this patent is legit and Apple is screwing me," I would still feel like

00:13:56   I'm being ripped off that they're shipping the physical sensor in these devices in the

00:14:02   United States. I have a patent on it. If you have a patent on X, you can't give people a device with

00:14:08   X. It seems to me you shouldn't be able to give people a device with X in it but just turned off

00:14:14   in software. I think the patent might be for the software algorithm or whatever Apple's—because

00:14:21   you have to think that the actual blood oxygen sensor, you see it light up on the back of your

00:14:26   wrist when it turns red. That's probably just an off-the-shelf part of some sort that Apple is

00:14:33   using their algorithms to perfect, and that's what Massimo's so bad about. I guess. But yeah,

00:14:43   we have no idea. I don't know. Just a little side note to remind people, if you're live watching the

00:14:50   event on September 9th, just pay attention during the watch segment. Do they ever mention blood

00:14:54   oxygen sensing or whatever? Because watchOS 11 has a new vitals app too that correlates

00:15:02   what your respiratory rate, your heart rate, your sleep time, wrist temperature, and if you have an

00:15:08   Apple Watch that supports it, your blood oxygen. But if you have a watch that's not available,

00:15:13   it's blocked because of the lawsuit stuff, it just doesn't include that data point. So that's—they

00:15:17   clearly don't mind to ship a feature without it for that subset of people.

00:15:22   Tom

00:15:22   Yeah, it's not like they've lost a patent dispute. Let's just say with Qualcomm again,

00:15:28   and that there was something about the micro cellular antenna that lets you get cellular

00:15:34   connectivity in an Apple Watch-sized device. If they weren't able to ship that, they'd be in

00:15:40   trouble because that's a major selling point for some people for the Apple Watch, right? It is a

00:15:45   huge thing for many people to go leave their house for a hike or a jog or something like that with

00:15:51   just their watch and know that they're still connected to the internet even though they don't

00:15:54   have their phone with them. That would be a huge, huge problem for Apple, something they couldn't

00:16:00   ignore, like they've seemingly ignored the blood oxygen thing. I don't know. All right, let me take

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00:17:39   for the show. Just go to workos.com to find out more. Before we talk about the event and rumors

00:17:45   and stuff like that, let's do the EU DMA stuff first.

00:17:48   Tim Cynova - Fun. Okay.

00:17:50   John Green - Kind of is fun in a weird way, right?

00:17:54   Tim Cynova - It was fun for the first three or four months, but at this point it's

00:17:58   John Green - Apple last week had another of its somewhat regular but unpredictable updates

00:18:08   to compliance plans with the DMA. Let's see. There's the browser choice screen changes.

00:18:15   And what else? There was also

00:18:19   Tim Cynova - The ability to delete more default apps. You can delete Apple apps,

00:18:27   rather. So you can delete App Store messages, camera, photos, and Safari for the first time.

00:18:32   John Green - Right.

00:18:33   Tim Cynova - Other default apps.

00:18:34   John Green - Defaults. Right. Set other default apps for some of those things, including

00:18:38   password management, keyboards, translating text, navigation, call spam filters. We'll talk about

00:18:46   all of this. And the other news perhaps related is that long time, probably second in command of

00:18:54   the App Store, Matt Fisher announced that he's going to step down. He announced it on LinkedIn

00:19:01   and sent an email out to everybody on the team. He's going to be replaced by Carson. I'm forgetting

00:19:07   Carson's last name. Carson Oliver, who is sort of hit, I guess, third in command. And they're

00:19:13   splitting the inside Apple. This isn't something users really need to care about, but inside Apple,

00:19:20   under Phil Schiller, they're splitting into two teams. One that Carson Oliver is going to manage,

00:19:26   which is the App Store, the Apple's App Store. And a second one by Anne, I believe her last name is

00:19:34   pronounced Ty. It's spelled T-H-A-I. And Ty is going to lead a new second, like a fork inside

00:19:43   Apple of being responsible for more or less all the DMA stuff. And I guess anywhere other country

00:19:51   like Japan, who seems to be moving towards at least some of this third party App Store type

00:19:57   stuff, marketplaces in Apple's parlance. I don't think it's impossible to tell. I mean,

00:20:03   I don't think Matt Fisher is leaving because under duress. I honestly, he's been there since 2003,

00:20:13   do you know, back started doing like iTunes business management and sort of

00:20:17   as iTunes grew and became bigger and more and iTunes evolved into the App Store for better or

00:20:27   for worse. And you can definitely talk about the better and worse aspects of it. The App Store

00:20:33   still clearly is derived from what was once the iTunes store for music. I, my hunch, my very

00:20:41   strong hunch is that he really is just done, been there a long time moving on to something else.

00:20:47   I don't think this is a sign that, "Hey, we had to make all these changes again." You're fired.

00:20:52   I don't think so. No. I mean, if Phil Schiller says he's going to restructure things and split

00:20:58   things into two, and Matt Fisher was already maybe thinking about going, that's the best time to say,

00:21:03   "Hey, I'm out. I'm tired of this. 21 years. I'm incredibly rich and I want to go spend time with

00:21:09   my family." Right. I don't know how much fun it ever was to run the App Store. But it seems like

00:21:16   less fun now, even if you got to only run the App Store part like Carson Oliver is now, the anti

00:21:25   part seems like less fun. Yeah. I just think he's moving on. And also, it's probably not a bad time

00:21:31   to mention it alongside this news, but it's, can't rule out based on how secret App it was that

00:21:37   perhaps there's more to it than that. But I don't think so. Let's talk about the browser choice

00:21:42   screen changes first. So there's a big focus on the design. That's the whole thing is the EU is

00:21:49   unhappy with the design. One of the things that gets me is the one where you have to,

00:21:53   now in order to select one of the default browsers, you have to scroll through the entire

00:21:58   list. Like when you're reading a quote unquote, reading like the terms of conditions on a website,

00:22:02   it won't let you accept until you actually scroll. That's the design that's now coming to the screen,

00:22:08   which I don't understand. I can't remember what app or website it was, but I know that it was on

00:22:18   my phone just within the last, I'd say about a month ago. I was doing something and got presented

00:22:23   with a very long term, legal terms and conditions. And I'm on the phone and I hit some kind of

00:22:30   buttons and I just want to do what everybody does with those things is just say accept, right?

00:22:35   Even if it was just the one screen, I'm not going to read it. And I don't see how to do it. I'm

00:22:42   like, I don't get it. And I'm like, oh, is this one of those things where I got to scroll to the

00:22:47   bottom and I start scrolling. And even with the accelerated scrolling on the iPhone, it's just

00:22:54   absurdly long. The longer it went, the more I'm thinking this can't be. And then I get to the

00:23:01   bottom and lo and behold, then there's the button, accept. And I'm like, I cannot believe you made me

00:23:06   do that. But I know that came up and I believe it was mentioned at the public hearing. And I think

00:23:16   Matt Fisher was representing Apple there, but it was like back in June or May or something like

00:23:22   that. They had the workshop for, it was like the first time for companies. I know Riley Tested was

00:23:29   there, the guy behind the alt store. And I think it was the hearing where he mentioned that Riley

00:23:38   mentioned that like when he first came up with the, what's his NES emulator?

00:23:44   Matt Fisher (01:01): It was GBA for all, I think was the GBA for iOS and now it's Delta.

00:23:52   Yeah, Delta. But whenever it became popular as a jailbreak type thing and it became very popular,

00:23:58   he just more or less said that the core technology fee for him, he's not a nonprofit,

00:24:02   he's not a charity, he was just a teenager, but paying a dollar per download would be a big

00:24:09   problem if he got a million downloads as a teenager making just a cool Game Boy emulator.

00:24:16   And I think it was Matt Fisher, it might've been Carson Oliver, I don't know, but I think it was

00:24:20   Matt Fisher who just, I think gave the answer of, well, you know what, that's a good point,

00:24:25   we'll look into it. But at that hearing, this whole issue about do you have to scroll through

00:24:31   the whole list came up. Like for whatever reason in Europe, this is like a recurring issue with

00:24:38   these choice screens. I think Microsoft had to do the same thing with their browser choice screen on

00:24:43   Windows. It came up and I just remember seeing in the transcript of the meeting, like for whatever

00:24:51   reason, it sounds slightly trivial. So it's a list of 11 browsers. The list is not that long,

00:25:00   right? So there's only three browsers below the fold, as they say, off screen. But it took up a

00:25:08   surprising amount of time at this public meeting about it. So I took away from the meeting that

00:25:16   Apple's definitely going to have to switch to that. So apparently though, it's like reading

00:25:21   between the lines. They've made a bunch of changes, but the stuff that hasn't changed,

00:25:26   I can only presume is okay. Like the fact that they've, I don't know where the number 11 came

00:25:32   from, but that's how many browsers they show to each user. I guess that's okay. 'Cause I get the

00:25:37   other way out of this would be to switch to seven browsers and then there is no scrolling. So they've

00:25:44   stuck with 11. The order is randomized, which is, I think if you're going to mandate a browser choice

00:25:52   screen by regulation or law for antitrust or for gatekeeping, whatever, this company is too big and

00:26:04   powerful reasons. That randomizing the list, I think is actually, has to be part of the law

00:26:11   because it's very, if Safari were listed first, it would get chosen disproportionately. Like if

00:26:18   they didn't have to randomize it, then they obviously wouldn't put Safari first. And I don't

00:26:24   know if they put Chrome second, 'cause it's probably the one most people want to choose,

00:26:29   or if they would put Chrome last, I don't know. Or would that be too, I don't know what Apple

00:26:34   would do if they didn't have to randomize it. But requiring them to randomize it does make sense

00:26:40   if you're going to force a, for antitrust reasons. I'll just say antitrust, even if this isn't

00:26:46   technically antitrust, because the order really does matter. But having to scroll, it is confusing.

00:26:53   If you see the one you want, whatever the browser, like, "Oh, Safari, I know I just want Safari."

00:26:58   There it is. But you can't tap anything to move on. I actually think it's sort of confusing that

00:27:05   you have to scroll down. I've already made my choice. I've chosen Safari. What do I have to do?

00:27:10   I'm stuck on this screen. I see why Apple didn't make people scroll. But I sort of see why people

00:27:19   complain that you had to scroll. I don't know. Chris: They should have just cut it off at seven,

00:27:24   I feel like. What you said, that's the best solution, 'cause we don't know where that

00:27:27   11 number came from. It certainly seems arbitrary. They should just increase the

00:27:33   density of the interface so you don't have to scroll. And they are still doing the,

00:27:39   do they list this, the current, here's from Apple's own browser choice screen on developer.apple.com.

00:27:45   "The current list of browsers shown on the browser choice screen per country for iOS or below.

00:27:51   The lists below are in alphabetical order. On a user's device, browsers will be shown

00:27:56   in a randomized order. Click on a country to jump to it." And supposedly, these are the

00:28:01   11 most popular browsers from the App Store over the last year. I guess part of the,

00:28:08   I don't know what they're going to do on an ongoing basis. I guess maybe they've even said

00:28:12   so clearly that they'll, in the future, they'll just count browsers, period, not just from the

00:28:19   App Store, but because obviously it's legal now in the EU to make a browser that you only offer

00:28:28   in the EU and that uses its own browser engine, perhaps, which you can only do in the EU.

00:28:33   I don't think there exists such a thing as a popular web browser that's only distributed

00:28:39   outside Apple's App Store, but there could be. So having it in the rules be that it only counts if

00:28:46   it's from, we're only counting popularity from the App Store, doesn't make sense. I think even

00:28:50   people at Apple would agree that doesn't make sense. So let's presume that it'll just be

00:28:55   popular browsers from any source. Have you looked at the list? It's per, and again, I don't know

00:29:00   that you requested this. I don't know if it was Apple's idea. Each of the 27 member states of the

00:29:05   EU has their own list. And they are mostly the same. There's a couple of exceptions.

00:29:13   Have you looked at the list? Yeah. And it, I think what I come back to is what happens when a browser

00:29:20   rockets, let's say Arc, for instance, if Arc really takes off and somehow ends up in the top

00:29:26   charts, Apple has to update this list and they have to update it on a country by country basis.

00:29:31   They have to update it on everybody's phone. And then you get into a murky situation where

00:29:36   does Apple need to present a pop-up again saying that there's more browser options now?

00:29:42   How often are they going to have to reprompt? They're saying once a year, I guess, or they'll

00:29:48   update this list once a year. And well, we'll get to more. I have more to say about this. I'm

00:29:56   looking, I don't think Arc is on the list for any of these countries. Which speaks to

00:30:02   how like our world, me, you, Chance, the people who listen to this podcast, the people who read

00:30:11   Daring Fireball, the people who read 9to5Mac. I think amongst all of us, we would say, "Oh, Arc

00:30:17   is one of the most interesting alternative browsers on iOS and Mac and surely ought to be on

00:30:25   a list of the top 11, right?" If I had to pick a browser other than Safari, Arc would definitely

00:30:32   be one that I look at for sure, yet isn't on the list for any of these countries measured by

00:30:39   popularity. I'll just go to, I don't know who's most representative, but here's Ireland. Their

00:30:45   list of browsers start, and this is in alphabetical order, Access from the BlackBerry Corporation.

00:30:52   I have never heard of the Access browser and I did not realize, I have heard of the BlackBerry

00:30:57   Corporation. Did not realize they were still around. And that one is only on three of these

00:31:04   countries. So it's clearly very niche for some reason. It's not on all of them.

00:31:08   Yeah. Aloha by Aloha Mobile, which I looked at recently. It's got like a built-in VPN.

00:31:15   It looks like an iOS browser. It's on Android too. It has a built-in VPN though, including

00:31:21   whatever you call geo-relocating by VPN. So you could watch, you could travel to Ireland and watch

00:31:29   American Netflix by VPNing from an American VPN access point or something like that.

00:31:36   Adblock built-in. Brave from Brave Software. I've heard of that and used it. Chrome. I don't know if

00:31:43   you heard of this one. Chrome. Up and comer. From a company called Google LLC. DuckDuckGo. Ecosia,

00:31:51   which is sort of an eco-minded search engine/browser where they plant trees or something.

00:32:00   Edge from Microsoft. Firefox from Mozilla. I'm going to skip one. Opera from Opera Software.

00:32:07   Safari from Apple. And then UYOU from Suse Incorporated. I've never heard of that one.

00:32:14   The one I skipped is Onion Browser from Mike Teiges. I will admit I've never heard of this,

00:32:21   but it's on almost all these lists. Maybe every one of them. Onion Browser is on all of these,

00:32:28   at least most if not all of the countries in the EU. And the thing that really is like one of these

00:32:36   things is not like the others is it's not from a company. It's from a guy named Mike Teiges.

00:32:40   I've never heard of it, but it apparently is very popular. But it's a Tor browser.

00:32:44   I've never used Tor, honestly. Maybe if I were younger, I still would. I mean, I used what I

00:32:53   guess were the equivalent of Tor-like platforms 20-some years ago when I was younger. My

00:33:01   understanding is that Tor is a place where you can find copyright material that's fallen off the back

00:33:06   of a truck. I remember in high school, people would have to use Tor to be able to go to the

00:33:13   websites where you would buy fake IDs. That's how I learned about Tor is people doing that in high

00:33:18   school. So that tells you probably what you need to know about most of it.

00:33:23   Darrell Bock When I was in college, you got your fake ID by going to a certain bar.

00:33:27   Penn and Drexel have adjacent campuses. There was a bar on Penn's campus that A, would let people

00:33:34   sometimes, some nights of the week, would let people in without checking ID. And B,

00:33:40   if you talked to the bouncer on certain nights, he would tell you who else to talk to. He'd give you

00:33:45   a phone number to call to get a fake ID. And then would not look too hard at it when you came back

00:33:54   with it. Yeah, yeah. Tor simplifies that process to some extent. I am not surprised that this

00:34:00   product is popular. It does seem to be highly rated. I understand why people would want to use

00:34:05   it. I do think it is a very strange choice to offer as one of only 11 options for 100-some

00:34:14   million iOS users in the EU. Because it's not the equivalent of, you can say Safari, Chrome, Brave,

00:34:24   Edge, DuckDuckGo. If somebody picks one of those by mistake, they don't know what a browser is.

00:34:31   And I know some people, some nerds are like, "Oh, who are these people who don't know what a browser

00:34:36   is?" I'm telling you, there are a lot of people who don't know what a web browser is. There's a

00:34:42   lot of people who don't know what Safari is, but have been using it happily for 10, 15, 20 years.

00:34:48   I don't know how much of an issue it is, but it does occur to me that it's, I think it's always

00:34:55   been true literally since the first iPhone in 2007, that the apps in the dock on your home screen

00:35:01   don't have names below them. If you look at the home screen, all the other apps on your grid have

00:35:08   the names like Calendar, Photos, Maps. But the four that you put in the dock just have the icons.

00:35:14   And Safari has always been one of those apps. So you actually don't see the name Safari on your

00:35:19   phone. I'm not trying to be a jerk here and overestimate how many people don't know that

00:35:29   they actually are Safari users. But I actually don't think it's that ridiculous. I think

00:35:35   they recognize the icon, but they may not know the name Safari. But if you pick DuckDuckGo by

00:35:40   accident, or you just don't know what to do, you don't know what to do. You don't know who to ask

00:35:44   for help. I don't know. I'll just pick this and go forward. Some things are different. The button

00:35:50   for how to get to tabs is different. Your bookmarks, if you've made bookmarks over the years,

00:35:56   aren't going to be there. But you're not going to be confused as to what the hell this is. It does

00:36:02   work like Safari does on the phone. I think if you end up with the Onion browser and you're on the

00:36:07   Tor dark web, you're like, "How did I get here?" It's a very strange browser to be on this list.

00:36:12   But it is a browser. And I think it's based on popularity, isn't it? It's the top 11.

00:36:18   So I feel like once you get out of the top five or six or seven popular browsers, that's when you

00:36:24   start to get into the weeds. And that, again, who determined the 11 number? Was it the EU? Was it

00:36:30   Apple? It's just so arbitrary. Yeah. It's very strange in some ways. But I get it if they're

00:36:37   just going to say, "Well, the 11 most popular browsers in each country are the 11 we'll list."

00:36:41   And the Onion browser, as obscure as it is and as nerdy as a Tor browser is, if it's one of the 11

00:36:51   most popular in every country, should be on the list. And I guess it also speaks to how popular

00:36:58   Tor is overall. So what else are they doing policy-wise that's different with the browser

00:37:05   choice screen? So it seems like part of the concessions are to further... It's Safari in

00:37:14   particular that is being targeted. So the choice screen... So they've already shown the choice

00:37:20   screen in iOS 17.4 or something whenever they first debuted this. So for EU users who've

00:37:28   already upgraded to iOS 17, they or you, kind EU listeners who still listen to my podcast,

00:37:38   you've already gone through the first... Apple's first attempt at a compliant browser choice screen.

00:37:44   And if you, in that screen, chose Safari, at some point later this year, you're going to have to

00:37:51   choose again. If you made another choice or if you've already been using Chrome as your default

00:37:58   browser ever since Apple let you change the default browser years ago, worldwide, something

00:38:04   everybody can do, it's not an EU thing to have a default browser. The EU thing is being forced to

00:38:10   make a selection. If you already chose Safari, you're going to have to choose again. I guess...

00:38:18   I'm laughing, but it kind of makes sense that if what Apple first shipped and is currently shipping

00:38:24   has been deemed non-compliant, it makes sense that the whole point of this is that Apple's...

00:38:31   That the idea that Safari is unfairly favored and used by too many people who would otherwise use a

00:38:41   different browser because of Apple's market dominance. And so therefore, if their first

00:38:47   attempt at a choice screen was deemed non-compliant, it makes sense that if you chose

00:38:51   Safari, you have to choose again. But let's face it, it's kind of... Is it a big deal? Is it going

00:38:58   to take you more than 10 seconds? No. But if you want Safari and you knew it, you knew it before

00:39:06   the DMA went into effect, you knew it when you first saw the browser choice screen in iOS 17.4,

00:39:12   and now you've upgraded later this year. I'm going to guess this is like an iOS 18.1 thing,

00:39:18   maybe iOS 18.2. And now you have to choose again. And they're saying, as I read this,

00:39:25   I don't know what you think, Chance, but I think what they're saying is every time you migrate to

00:39:29   a new device, if and only... This is Apple's wording. When migrating to a new device,

00:39:35   if and only if the user's previously chosen default browser was Safari, the user will be

00:39:39   required to reselect a default browser, i.e. unlike other settings in iOS, the user's choice

00:39:45   of default browser will not be migrated if that choice was Safari. Sounds to me like they're

00:39:50   saying that's in perpetuity. Yes, I think so. It's every time you set up a new iPhone and it's per...

00:39:56   Before these changes, it was per account, per Apple ID, and now it's also per device. So every time

00:40:02   you buy a new iPhone and migrate, if you chose Safari, you have to confirm and choose something

00:40:07   else or whatever. If you buy a new iPad, it's over and over again. That bullet point is the one I was

00:40:12   specifically gonna call out because it just doesn't make sense. And I think Apple knows it doesn't

00:40:17   make sense. I think the fact that they say, i.e. unlike other settings in iOS, it will not be

00:40:22   migrated if your choice was Safari. Right. Part of this seems to be the EU is forcing them to say

00:40:29   that even if a user has asserted they want to use Safari, they need to keep checking on a regular

00:40:35   basis, at least every time they update to... They buy a new iPhone or iPad and making a choice on

00:40:43   your iPhone will not apply to your iPad if you have both. And so this is one of those areas where

00:40:48   the iPad being ruled to be a gatekeeping platform to... I forget if there's ruled to be a separate

00:40:55   gatekeeping platform or it's just, come on, who are you kidding? This is all one platform.

00:41:00   Either way, here's where it matters 'cause I think it's very unusual for people to have two iPhones.

00:41:06   I mean, I do. I've got like a whole shelf full of them. Most people do not for obvious reasons,

00:41:12   makes no sense. But having an iPhone and an iPad, something a lot of people do.

00:41:17   Kind of annoying. I think choice screen will not be displayed if a user already has a browser other

00:41:24   than Safari set as default. So that's the flip side of if you chose Safari, you're gonna see it

00:41:31   again. The other thing is if you've chosen any other browser and made it the default in settings,

00:41:36   you won't be shown this again. - I don't get that logic because if you pick...

00:41:41   Say you pick Chrome as your browser. It's not you're using some small little upstart

00:41:47   startup browser made by a single guy. You're using a browser from Chrome from Google. How

00:41:52   is that really any better? You're just locking people into Google's ecosystem instead of Apple.

00:41:58   - I would argue that Chrome is... I was thinking about this last night, thinking about

00:42:04   doing this show with you. I would argue that maybe I don't know what the numbers show,

00:42:10   but I think using percentage numbers are either totally how many users use X or what percentage

00:42:19   of users use X instead of Y. Just as a gut feeling, I would say Chrome is the most dominant

00:42:32   monopoly installable software in the world. I think Google search is the single biggest

00:42:42   monopoly as a product in terms of when people search the web around the globe or in the United

00:42:49   States or in the EU. The share of people who use Google search for web search is bigger than the

00:42:55   share of people who use Chrome as their web browser on a device. But you don't install a

00:43:00   search engine in terms of things where you decide what you're going to install or use or a product

00:43:06   or something like that. I'd say Chrome is the biggest one. And so I can't help but think that

00:43:11   who does this mandatory browser choice screen help? Honestly, I think the single biggest

00:43:18   beneficiary of this choice screen is Google and Chrome. I agree. Yeah, of all of those

00:43:26   browsers on the list, the odds of somebody picking one they've never heard of, I would say,

00:43:31   it's pretty slim. The odds of somebody picking Microsoft Edge, not small, but pretty small

00:43:38   comparatively. The choice is Safari or Chrome. Most people, not a lot of people, especially if

00:43:44   they use Windows, they're more familiar with Chrome. They're going to pick Chrome. It benefits

00:43:49   Google. Right. If you're, and again, this is hard to not be condescending to the people that we're

00:43:57   talking about. I mean, obviously me and you and the people who listen to the talk show

00:44:02   know exactly what browser they want to use and aren't going to be confused by this. And I don't

00:44:09   think the choices, I don't think, and even if you did, even if you're going so fast and you ended up

00:44:15   tapping Brave and then going to the bottom and hitting next, and now Brave is your default

00:44:21   browser and you didn't even mean to do that. Everybody listening to the show knows how to fix

00:44:26   it. They know how to go back to Safari. I think for another, at the other end of the spectrum,

00:44:33   people like my dad, my mother-in-law, people who really just are technically, I really don't think

00:44:41   my dad knows. I think he would recognize the Safari icon. I think if you said, "What web browser do

00:44:47   you use?" I'm not sure he would say Safari. I really don't. And he's been using a Mac for over

00:44:51   20 years and he loves his iPad. Now he has an iPhone. I'm not sure he knows that that's his

00:44:58   web browser. I asked my mother-in-law, who's smart, she's just not a technical person,

00:45:03   but I asked her when the choice screen first came out. I showed her a screenshot of it. And I said,

00:45:09   "If you saw this the next time you turned on your iPhone," because let's say, you know,

00:45:14   and she has automatic software updates on, and she's familiar with, "Hey, sometimes when you

00:45:19   restart after an iOS update, you get like a first run screen where you have to okay some permission

00:45:24   or something like that." I said, "Let's say an iOS update came in and you saw this screen.

00:45:29   Would you know what to do?" And she like texted me, "Lol, no." I said, "Would you call me?" And

00:45:36   she goes, "Yes." And I said, "Well, that's a good answer and I'm always happy to take her calls on

00:45:41   stuff like this." But she honestly didn't understand what it meant. She just didn't. And she knows.

00:45:46   And I said, "Do you know what web browser you use?" And she said, "Safari?" And I was like,

00:45:51   "Yes, you were correct." She thought I was trying to trick her or something. So she knew her web

00:45:55   browser is Safari. So she might manage it on her own. But the overall issue of what web browser do

00:46:01   you want to use by default, it just confused her. I think at that extreme, I think most people will

00:46:09   just, even if they are what the heck, I think they'll scroll around, see Safari, tap it, move

00:46:16   on and stick with Safari. So no harm done. So let me just say this. I don't think this browser choice

00:46:22   screen is a catastrophe in any way. I just think it's an annoyance. But in the middle, there might

00:46:30   be some people who are just so confused or something. And they'll, like you said, they'll

00:46:38   scroll through this list and maybe the one they recognize is Chrome, right? Because there's a very

00:46:43   good chance they use Chrome at work. There's a very good chance they use Chrome at home if they're

00:46:48   a PC user with an iPhone, right? Chrome by far, how it just said, I think is the biggest dominant

00:46:54   installed market share of any software product in the world. I think they might see Chrome and

00:47:00   think, "I guess Chrome, that's what I use," right? And even if they weren't using it, and even if

00:47:04   they don't want to switch and then they're mad or angry or confused why now when they surf the web,

00:47:10   it looks different and their bookmarks aren't there, now they're using Chrome. I think Chrome

00:47:15   stands to benefit from this more than anybody else. And I think it's almost perverse that a bigger,

00:47:24   more dominant monopolist is being rewarded. Even if you think iOS is a monopoly that needs to be,

00:47:31   needs and ought to be constrained, and that the DMA overall does a good job rectifying it,

00:47:38   I think on this particular issue, it's kind of weird.

00:47:40   - And the other design, confusing design aspect of this is from Apple's notes. They say,

00:47:46   "If Safari is currently in the user's Docker on the first page of the home screen,

00:47:51   and the user selects a browser that is not currently installed on their device,

00:47:54   the selected browser will replace Safari in the Docker on the home screen."

00:47:58   So let's say you go through that screen, you make the wrong selection or you regret your selection,

00:48:03   you say, "Okay, I'll just go back. I know where the Safari icon is on my dock." And you go back

00:48:07   to the home screen. So shit, it's not there anymore. And that's another very not well

00:48:13   thought out effect of this change. - I read that one as being forced on Apple

00:48:20   by the EU. That they're like, and I think Apple probably made the case in whatever back channel

00:48:26   communications they have with them as best they can, that this is confusing and that it,

00:48:34   when an app gets renamed, like messages way back in the day used to be called SMS, I think,

00:48:41   or was it called texts? I forget. It might've been called SMS and the first iPhone. I can look it up,

00:48:48   but who cares? But when they changed the name to messages, then it updated automatically,

00:48:54   obviously. Companies, every single developer who's ever changed their app icon will tell you,

00:49:00   users notice and they have opinions about app icon. So even if it's the same app,

00:49:06   if it gets a new icon, some users get angry, some users get confused. I would say actually

00:49:12   changing the app on your home screen, which is a very spatial interface, right? Like people are

00:49:19   used to, and it's one of the nice features in iOS 18 that it's finally going to let you sort of snap

00:49:26   them wherever you want on the grid as opposed to always going from the top left over and filling

00:49:33   out, right? 18 versions in and we can finally put icons wherever we want on the home screen.

00:49:39   But once you stick it in a spot on your first home screen or a certain spot on your second home

00:49:44   screen, it sticks there. So making Apple change their Safari icon to a different browser is

00:49:52   possibly, I don't think it's helping anybody who understands what's going on at all. I think anybody

00:49:59   who really does want to switch to Chrome or Brave or DuckDuckGo as their browser default browser has

00:50:04   already done it, right? You could do this everywhere else in the world. I think this is only going to

00:50:09   make it worse for people who've made a mistake on the browser choice screen. And then they're like,

00:50:13   "Well, I know how to get back to Safari. It's the bottom right icon on my home screen." Nope,

00:50:18   not anymore. Now it's the onion browser. I fielded tech support stuff from like family and friends

00:50:24   where they're rearranging their home screen and an icon for some reason or another flies to the

00:50:30   second page, the third page, and they don't realize what happened. And they say, "Oh,

00:50:34   I think I deleted that app or something." And so now it's just on the other page.

00:50:37   Yeah. Yeah. When your first home screen is full and you're... It is actually, it's one of the

00:50:43   worst experiences Apple has ever, in my opinion, that they've ever had, let alone stuck with for

00:50:48   18 years. It is very fiddly and annoying and feels like you're building a house of cards out of a

00:50:56   rickety old greasy deck of cards even. You know, you can... It's hard to get your icons where you

00:51:02   want, but when the screen is already full and you're dragging a new icon in, the bottom right

00:51:09   icon shoots over to the other screen. And again, if you don't know what just... If you don't know that,

00:51:14   then yeah, it's like it disappeared. I presume that it doesn't save. I presume that when this

00:51:22   happens, this Apple doesn't remove the Safari icon from all of your home screens. It just puts

00:51:28   the Safari icon like top left or top... Yeah, top left on your second home screen.

00:51:34   Brian Kardell Yeah, because they specify first screen. So it wouldn't be the...

00:51:38   They're moving it out of the Docker off of the first page and presumably, yeah, just onto page

00:51:42   two or whatever. Right. But I honestly think how many iOS users realize they have more than one

00:51:49   home screen is shockingly... I think it would surprise an awful lot of nerds just how many

00:51:55   people don't even know that there's other home screens or that once they get to one, they don't

00:51:59   know how to get back. And I know you just swipe, but people... When your user base is a billion

00:52:08   people, you really... This whole debate, I don't wanna get sidetracked on it, but this whole thing

00:52:14   over Mac security tightening and stuff like that really just gets to this conflict between what is

00:52:21   best for the non-technical user while not inconveniencing people who do know exactly what

00:52:28   they're doing. It's incredibly difficult. And I feel like this browser choice screen

00:52:33   craps all over it.

00:52:35   Ben T

00:52:39   For the bottom tier of users who don't understand everything, there's a balance that can be struck.

00:52:44   But what the problem that jumps out to me is when it is changed for the sake of regulatory reasoning

00:52:53   or alleged regulatory reasoning, if that makes sense. It's not... If Apple makes a change from

00:52:59   a design standpoint that is different, but it's for a good reason, it's for... They're adding a

00:53:02   new feature, they're changing the visual look of something because they think it's better.

00:53:07   That also causes confusion for people, but presumably for most people, even the people

00:53:12   who aren't super technical, there is a trade-off. For stuff like this, there's really not a benefit

00:53:19   for a lot of people. All right. So we'll see.

00:53:23   Steven Tingman It doesn't seem... And again, a spoiler.

00:53:26   I'll jump to my overall conclusion. I am interested. I wanted to have you on to talk about

00:53:35   this. I'm going to continue writing about it. I'm going to continue podcasting about it.

00:53:40   I do think overall though, I think Apple is sort of... I do think they're overall winning this DMA

00:53:48   fight over compliance in terms of, is the world really changing for iOS users overall? And is it

00:54:00   even changing that much for iOS users in the EU overall? And I think the answer is no so far.

00:54:07   My mind is open that we're still only a couple months in of any version of iOS supporting the

00:54:14   DMA. The DMA only went into effect in March of this year. And I totally understand how some

00:54:20   changes like this accrete slowly over years. And maybe five years from now,

00:54:27   the whole platform will seem different worldwide or it will seem truly forked between the rest of

00:54:34   the world and the EU. I'm open to that. I'm just saying so far, I'm not really seeing it. And

00:54:39   I think even with the browser choice screen that's already shipped, I don't really think

00:54:44   it's changed the iOS browsing landscape very much.

00:54:48   Adam Boffa No. I think for the big picture of the DMA,

00:54:51   it's just too early to know whether Apple's winning it or losing it because we haven't seen

00:54:57   the full impact of things like the alternative app marketplace stuff. Like only last week,

00:55:01   Epic Games finally launched theirs and added Fortnite. And that's the first big name that

00:55:08   people recognize. And people might want to figure out how do I get Fortnite back on my iPhone?

00:55:13   And that's when they become aware of alternative app stores. And all it's going to take is a

00:55:18   company like Spotify pulling their app from the app store or whatever. And that's when

00:55:23   Apple starts to lose. Right. Fortnite is such a—it's almost hard to make up a better hypothetical

00:55:30   example because Spotify would be good to think about as the other alternative. But the thing

00:55:36   that's so unique about Fortnite is it is, A, incredibly popular in the mainstream gaming world.

00:55:45   It was very popular on iOS when it was available in the app store. And even though that was four

00:55:53   years ago, and there was certainly a time where a four-year-old video game was not relevant anymore,

00:55:59   but that's not really—as the game industry has evolved, games have sort of become perpetual IP

00:56:08   in a way. Like Mickey Mouse is still Mickey Mouse 100 years after the first cartoon, famously,

00:56:17   now that the copyright expired on Steamboat Willie. Fortnite is still Fortnite, and it's not

00:56:24   available in the app store. Right? That's what makes it so unique. If Epic hadn't pulled that

00:56:31   stunt with the in-app purchase switcheroo to trigger the legal battle that they knew was going

00:56:39   to come from doing it and get kicked out of the app store, I don't even know what would be. I

00:56:45   guess Delta literally would be the biggest draw, but Delta, it's probably why Apple changes their

00:56:52   mind on app store policy. When Delta was going to—poised to become exclusively available either

00:57:01   through jailbreaking, where it's always been, TestFlight, I guess, which is limited in how many

00:57:06   users Riley can distribute it to via TestFlight, or only through the alt store in the EU, then Apple

00:57:15   changes their policy on game emulators in the app store, and Riley put it in the app store, and now

00:57:20   you can get it there. So I can't even think of what second place as an exclusive app that could

00:57:29   exist, let alone does exist, only in a third-party marketplace. I'm coming up blank.

00:57:35   The thing that might happen, the thing that I've thought about maybe happening would be if

00:57:40   Meta pulled from the app store and decided to do the Meta marketplace, but I just don't think

00:57:47   that's going to happen. Apple's made the terms of doing the alternative app marketplace stuff just so

00:57:53   onerous that financially, for most people, it doesn't make sense to leave the app store,

00:57:58   and that's exactly what Apple wants, and it's kind of the DMA not accomplishing what it set

00:58:05   out to accomplish, whether again that's because of the EC or because of Apple's being Apple, but…

00:58:10   Well, it depends. I'm not quite sure who else is motivated to make an EU-only app. I guess that's

00:58:18   where I was going. I don't know. I couldn't tell you one. The one that certain people are hoping

00:58:23   will get made is like a version of Chrome that uses Chromium as the web engine under the hood,

00:58:29   because the DMA mandates that that has to be allowed in the EU, and it's contentious amongst

00:58:35   web developers that Apple's rules have always been you can make another third-party web browser,

00:58:41   but you have to use the system version of WebKit for performance and security reasons.

00:58:46   I've written about that at length. That actually is not nonsense. The security angle is not

00:58:51   nonsense, but it's obviously contentious, but it's only contentious amongst web developers.

00:58:57   I really don't think normal people have any idea. Even people who actually do prefer using Chrome on

00:59:05   their Mac versus Safari, which if you could study them and detail why it is they prefer Chrome,

00:59:13   it could be because there's websites they visit, like the one you and I are using to

00:59:19   record this podcast right now, StreamYard, which only works in Chrome or Chromium browsers.

00:59:24   And you could say, "Oh, it's because Chrome uses a different rendering engine under the

00:59:28   hood than Safari." Their eyes are just rolling. They just know they feel like Chrome.

00:59:32   But it seems as though none of... I mean, who knows? Maybe Google is sort of like Apple,

00:59:38   and they're just going to be quiet about it until they ship it. But if any of those browser makers

00:59:42   like them or Mozilla are working on releasing iOS versions of their browsers that use their own

00:59:50   custom rendering engine under the hood, that's not public information yet, right?

00:59:54   No one's... "Ooh, Chrome's already checked this in. You can follow along at chromium.org,"

00:59:59   where they've... Because, like you said, it's just one of the... Speculating about meta,

01:00:05   starting the meta app store, just seems like it's not worth it, right? Because it's only in the EU.

01:00:10   It's obviously a huge technical undertaking to port a web rendering engine to another platform.

01:00:18   Mobile has its own device constraints, screen size. Battery is obviously more... It's an issue

01:00:24   on every laptop, but it's way more important on the phone. And there's stuff like the core

01:00:28   technology fee, right? So Chrome could only ship that. Google could only ship that if they opt into

01:00:35   the new terms, which puts them on the hook for the core technology fee. But then they're paying

01:00:41   Apple 50 cents a year for everybody who downloads that version of Chrome, which would have to be a

01:00:48   different version of Chrome than the one that ships to the rest of the world because the rest

01:00:52   of the world uses WebKit. Or I guess it could still be the same app and just... Nah, I don't

01:00:57   think they could ship such a browser to the rest of the world. Because even if it defaulted outside

01:01:03   the EU, as I think allowed here, to using the system version of WebKit because they're not in

01:01:08   EU, I don't think they're, by the terms of the App Store, allowed to ship the Chromium engine in the

01:01:14   bundle, right? I think they have to be separate bundles, yeah, completely. Right. You can't just

01:01:20   ship this web rendering engine with a just-in-time compiler and pinky swear that you're not going to

01:01:26   enable it. It's not allowed to be there. So they'd only be on the hook for the core technology fee...

01:01:32   No, I guess because if you opt into the terms, then you're still on the hook for the core

01:01:38   technology fee for all of your apps, not just the app that you want to use the new web rendering

01:01:43   engine. So does Sundar Pichai really want to send Apple 50 cents for every iOS user who installs

01:01:49   Chrome around the world? Probably not. I don't know. It just doesn't seem to matter. The European

01:02:00   Commission gets to say, "We've made these rules the law of the land," but it doesn't really change

01:02:06   the practical reality on the ground of what people actually use. Yeah. The other announcements,

01:02:13   the default app stuff, this was an interesting issue. Much like the, "Hey, you have to scroll

01:02:19   to the bottom before you're allowed to move forward in the choice screen list," the issue of

01:02:25   defaults is a huge deal in the European Commission. Margaret Vestager is always talking about defaults.

01:02:32   It seems to be a... I don't know why. It's like an almost obsession with them about default this,

01:02:38   default that. And long-time iOS users will remember that it wasn't until... I don't know,

01:02:45   it doesn't matter. Iowa 7, 8, something like that, where you got to change any of the defaults.

01:02:50   Anytime you clicked a URL in another app, whether it was a messaging app or like an email app,

01:02:56   it would always open in Safari because iOS didn't have the concept of

01:03:01   other defaults. The default for opening a URL was always Safari. The default for a mail to URL,

01:03:09   mail to colon, here's your email address at example.com, would always open in mail or open

01:03:17   the sheet in mail. There were no third-party keyboards, let alone default third-party keyboards,

01:03:24   right? So, Apple added some of that stuff, not seemingly from regulatory pressure, but just from

01:03:31   well, finally got around to it. People want this. People are using other email clients.

01:03:35   People are using other web browsers. So, we'll let you set a default for the web browser,

01:03:40   default for email. And that all makes sense. And I don't know anybody who thinks that it

01:03:45   was anything other than about time, finally. But some of these things, it's like, what is

01:03:50   a default messaging app? I don't get it.

01:03:51   David Tompkins I don't... Because that's one of the things with the DOJ lawsuit in the United

01:03:58   States too, is it's partially, it's kind of obsessed with the fact that, and it's like,

01:04:03   what is it? SMS can't integrate with WhatsApp. So, people can't really switch to WhatsApp because

01:04:08   they still have to use messages for SMS. And Apple didn't give us any clarification on how or if

01:04:14   that's going to change with this stuff in the EU. Like you can maybe switch your default to WhatsApp,

01:04:19   but not for everything. But you can also be able to delete your messages app. So, I don't understand

01:04:26   how that balance is going to be struck. Dave

01:04:45   Handel incoming SMS messages. And I'm using SMS as a catch-all here for SMS, MMS, and now RCS.

01:04:52   David Tompkins RCS.

01:04:53   Dave Handel Carrier-based messaging comes in, it only goes to messages.

01:04:57   Is that what they're saying default is? Because you know what I mean? There is no

01:05:01   send a message to chance, and then it just knows to open the messages app, right? Like I'm choosing

01:05:09   to send an iMessage. And WhatsApp and Facebook Messenger and in other countries line are famously

01:05:20   popular on iOS, right? They're dominant. Country by country, there is a dominant text messaging

01:05:28   platform. And the US is not unique in iMessages strength and therefore the messaging messages app,

01:05:38   but it is a bit of an outlier country if you just go by countries. It's not quite like metric versus

01:05:46   imperial units, not quite as extreme. But it's one of those things that's like that. So, it's not

01:05:53   like WhatsApp isn't not just popular, but it's dominant on iOS throughout Europe. Line is dominant

01:06:02   on iOS in Japan and I think Taiwan and other countries. China obviously has its own universe

01:06:09   of apps with WeChat. I don't know what this default is. And when it comes to, oh no, it's all

01:06:15   about SMS and it's about how unfair it was that Apple got to parlay the popularity of SMS in the

01:06:23   early days of the iPhone into building out the iMessage network by using your phone number as

01:06:29   the same identifier for green texts that were SMS and blue texts that were iMessage. I'm still

01:06:36   sending the phone number to 555-1234, same identifier, no fair. But as it's turned out,

01:06:43   I actually looked into this WhatsApp on Android. Android supports having a third party app handle

01:06:48   SMS. And it's one of the pages I got to was Samsung's description of how to do this.

01:06:55   Samsung's app for messaging is called Messages. And Google's is called Messages. And so,

01:07:05   it's a support document from Samsung explaining how to switch from messages to messages.

01:07:09   The messages.

01:07:10   Yeah, on your Samsung Galaxy phone. But WhatsApp doesn't support SMS, even on Android,

01:07:19   by choice. When you use WhatsApp, you're only communicating over the WhatsApp protocol.

01:07:25   Facebook Messenger does support SMS on Android. Signal supports SMS on Android. But Signal

01:07:33   has published a blog report, I'll put it in the show notes, where they clearly regret it.

01:07:38   And either they've already taken it out or I think it was like a November 2022 blog post.

01:07:44   They've told their users, "We're going to take it out." And I understand why. It's

01:07:50   such a neater, more easily understood idea that if you're using Signal, every single message you

01:08:01   send or receive is over the ultra-secure Signal protocol and has all of the guarantees of end-to-end

01:08:08   security of any other message on the device. With messages, Apple's messages, as

01:08:16   controversial as I guess it now is, you know, in the whole green bubble.

01:08:20   Not I guess. It is controversial that iMessage users look down upon Android users in a group

01:08:29   chat because they're the green bubble and they ruin the group text experience and blah, blah,

01:08:35   blah. It is actually though confusing to non-technical users whether Apple messages

01:08:43   secure or not. The answer is, well, it is if you're sending iMessages and it's not if you're

01:08:49   sending anything else. And that's the exact reason RCS is still a green bubble. Because if you had

01:08:56   even a third color or if you had RCS lumped in with iMessage and be a blue bubble,

01:09:02   that distinction about what's encrypted versus not encrypted is even more confusing.

01:09:05   And…

01:09:06   Tom: Well, I don't think… I don't know what they would do if the EU said you have to make them all

01:09:12   blue. I mean, I wouldn't put it past them. But I honestly think Apple would… I don't know. I just

01:09:17   don't see that happening. But unless they literally had to comply with the law, there's no

01:09:25   way that… I don't even think they considered for a second making RCS blue. Blue doesn't mean secure.

01:09:30   Blue means iMessage. And iMessage just happens to be secure. So I think even in the hypothetical

01:09:39   world where the official RCS spec gets end-to-end encryption in the spec and Apple implements it and

01:09:46   Google implements it according to the spec, RCS is still going to be green. Because green means

01:09:52   carrier message. In theory, if they were going to do something else, they would give it a new color

01:09:58   like purple or red or I don't know, orange, pick a color. But they'd never make it blue. Blue means

01:10:05   iMessage not secure. So even if RCS becomes secure… And in fact, if it does become secure,

01:10:10   I would hope Apple would give it a different color or some sort of visual indication to show,

01:10:17   "Okay, now this conversation is over RCS and it's secure," is not just useful information,

01:10:24   it's important information. So it would be useful to color it somehow. I don't know,

01:10:28   put a lock on the screen, something. But I don't know, they're not going to.

01:10:34   I just don't know what else it means though to be default. And I've asked people at Apple,

01:10:40   I've been in briefings talking about, not recently, not like in light of last week's news,

01:10:45   but throughout the year. And when this whole default thing came up, I asked about some of

01:10:50   these. What are some of the other ones? Default, translating text, default for dialing phone

01:10:57   numbers. But just dialing phone numbers? I don't even understand what that means because the phone

01:11:02   apps is one of the few apps that won't be deleteable. I don't know. This seems… And this,

01:11:08   to me, the fact that the other… That's another bugaboo of the European Commission is deleteable

01:11:15   apps, making apps "deletable." I think that the list in the EU after this update comes,

01:11:22   the only undeletable apps will be settings and phone.

01:11:26   I think so.

01:11:27   I can totally see this. I mean, it makes sense that settings has to be there. I'm not quite

01:11:36   sure about phone, but I think that's probably that somehow a third-party app could be like…

01:11:44   I guess if there's a data detector, I send you an email with a phone number,

01:11:47   you're in your email app, doesn't matter which email app, you tap the phone number,

01:11:52   which data detectors turns into a link, and you say call, that, I guess, is what the new default

01:11:59   phone call thing will do. And so it could be like Skype or something. But I think the reason the

01:12:06   Apple-branded green icon phone app has to stay there and can't be deleted, I'm guessing, is for

01:12:14   emergency purposes. I think so.

01:12:17   In the same way… And this makes sense. I don't think anybody does this begrudgingly, but any old

01:12:21   iPhone on your shelf, even one that no longer has a SIM card, let alone an active SIM card,

01:12:28   can still make a 911 call or whatever the equivalent emergency phone number is. If it has

01:12:34   power and the cellular antenna still works on a network that has service, like an old enough

01:12:40   iPhone that only has edge, maybe they can't even connect to AT&T anymore. But if the phone could

01:12:47   connect to Verizon or AT&T or Sprint, it will and to place a 911 call. So I think that's why the

01:12:54   phone app can't be deleted because the phone… And even the EU, I guess, agrees, yeah, that's

01:12:59   a good reason to keep it around. I don't know. But this, to me, seems like a disaster waiting

01:13:05   to happen for accidentally deleted apps in jiggle mode or something like that.

01:13:11   Ben de la Torre

01:13:13   With the default stuff, it's not… Setting the defaults for the phone calls, the messaging,

01:13:16   all of that, even though we don't know exactly how it's going to work, that's fine. It's whatever.

01:13:20   Because you have to explicitly go into settings and make that change. There's not going to be a

01:13:27   prompt when you open the messages app and say, "Pick your default messaging app." You have to

01:13:31   explicitly go make that decision. So it's very hard for somebody to accidentally make a change

01:13:36   for that. But the deleteable app stuff, yeah. We were just talking about how messy and confusing

01:13:40   jiggle mode is. Now you throw in this weird equation where you delete your photos app and…

01:13:45   Tom Scott Right.

01:13:46   Ben de la Torre

01:13:47   What are you supposed to do? You might not even have another photos app installed.

01:13:51   Tom Scott Right. And the two that, to me, are real head scratchers on this list are photos and

01:13:56   camera that you can now not just pick a different default camera app, but you can delete the built

01:14:01   in camera app. I don't know what that means for one of the special graces that the camera,

01:14:08   the official camera app from Apple has, is that slide, you know, from your home screen,

01:14:12   just slide over to the side and you jump right to the camera. iOS 18 worldwide is making it so that

01:14:20   the flashlight and camera buttons on the home screen are now configurable. Again, finally, right?

01:14:26   It's kind of weird that they gave us buttons up top that we can configure with shortcuts and stuff

01:14:32   and widgets a couple years ago, but didn't make those two buttons part of the configurable widget

01:14:39   process. But now they are, which is great. But there's that slide to the right,

01:14:45   jump right into the camera app. Will third party camera apps take that spot or will it be like if

01:14:53   you delete the Apple camera app, will sliding to the right do nothing now? Because that isn't

01:15:00   something I think a third party app can quite do. Like the camera app is magic in a lot of ways and

01:15:06   is written under extremely tight memory constraints in terms of the fact that the camera app is sort

01:15:15   of always running to my understanding. The iPhone is famously RAM, you know, short on RAM. I mean,

01:15:25   it's, you know, the whole architecture of iOS is built around the idea that apps in the background

01:15:31   get frozen and frozen apps might be just pushed out of memory completely. Yet you want to be able

01:15:38   to take a picture as soon as you can when you see, "Oh my God, look at this thing going on right now."

01:15:42   And so the camera app is sort of always ready to go in a way that makes it way more than an app and

01:15:50   is legitimately, I think, part of the system software, not an app. You know, I'm friends with

01:15:56   the developers of Halide. There are very, very popular camera apps, third-party camera apps,

01:16:02   ever since the App Store debuted, right? There was two of them called Camera Plus,

01:16:06   one that spelled out the P-L-U-S and one that spelled it with a plus symbol that were like 99

01:16:13   cents and made lots and lots of money. There's lots of camera apps. My phone is, I probably got

01:16:18   a dozen of them on my phone. I have never had a problem using one instead of the Apple camera app.

01:16:25   I'm not quite sure what default means other than that slide from the home screen and the slide from

01:16:29   the home screen isn't really an app, it's part of the system. So I don't get it. What happens

01:16:36   if you delete the Photos app? How do you get to your photo library?

01:16:39   Tim Cynova, "

01:16:50   I guess? I don't know. I mean, I have talked to Apple about these changes and

01:16:55   all they say is, "Later this year with iOS 18," and then they just read their notes again.

01:17:02   They won't say.

01:17:03   Right. And it's exactly what I was talking about earlier when I was asking them about,

01:17:09   "What do you even mean by default?" or whatever. And they're just like, "We don't know, but we have

01:17:14   a blog post up and that's where it has all the information you need." And it's, "No, I read that

01:17:17   and that's why I'm asking you this." I don't think it's clear from what Apple is saying,

01:17:22   whether it actually means that the default storage for Photos changes. Before,

01:17:30   there was a Files app and there were file providers on iOS. There was no access to anything

01:17:37   vaguely resembling Files, but there was always the camera rule, right? So like the item picker,

01:17:44   "Oh, if you're in a Safari and you need to upload a image or something, the upload button doesn't

01:17:52   go to a file picker. It went to an image picture from the phone's camera rule." I'm not sure what

01:17:59   Apple is saying. I kind of think that doesn't change. The image is like if you delete every app

01:18:07   on your phone except for Settings, Phone, and Halide, and Halide becomes your default camera app,

01:18:14   I still think the images will go to your camera rule. And what you just have no app to manage them

01:18:23   except to go back to Settings and fish through to the app section and reinstall the Photos app.

01:18:30   I think they just want, just because the European Commission wants you to be able to say you deleted

01:18:37   the app and removed all traces of it from everywhere except the Settings app. It seems

01:18:42   very strange to me. I mean, as a hypothetical, Matt, all right, let's say you go and you buy

01:18:48   a $1,000 or $2,000 Sony SLR, digital SLR, and you turn it on and what do you see? You see Sony

01:19:00   software on the screen and Sony does all of the image processing when you take images with this

01:19:06   camera. Well, what if Sony were to say, and we've added this next generation of our award-winning

01:19:14   cameras, software development kit so that third parties can make image processing camera apps

01:19:21   and so that the phone turns into a device that allows Halide to make an app for a Sony camera

01:19:30   and do their processing. And if you want, and you could go to the Sony camera app store and download

01:19:38   apps for your Sony camera and they'll do the processing they want. And one of them could do

01:19:43   like retro film emulation. One of them could maybe integrate directly with a service like Flickr and

01:19:51   just if the camera's on Wi-Fi, because you're using this camera app on your camera, it automatically

01:19:59   uploads images to an online service. I don't know what else it could do. So, I don't think many

01:20:05   people would want that. I think there's a reason camera companies don't do that. But if they did,

01:20:11   I think everybody would say, well, that's just nice to have if you want it. I don't think anybody

01:20:18   would think that you also therefore should be able to delete Sony's own software from the device

01:20:25   and delete the factory shooting mode that it shipped with. It's just add on. It's just better

01:20:33   that you could use a third party camera app on your camera than not being able to.

01:20:40   Like the iPhone is arguing for more people, it's more of a camera than it is a phone,

01:20:46   right? The shot on iPhone advertising campaign gets a lot more billboards than the

01:20:53   talk to your dad on the phone with a phone app, right? It's bananas to me to say that the maker

01:21:01   of a camera, which the iPhone is, it is a camera, isn't allowed to provide their own or has to make

01:21:07   their own camera software removable. And I don't know who this helps. I literally don't know

01:21:14   anybody who thinks, yeah, I wish I lived in the EU or I'm glad I live in the EU so I can get rid of

01:21:19   Apple's cursed camera app. It's very strange. It is very strange. It's and I guess I think I

01:21:27   might've misspoke because I guess you won't be able to set a default for a photos app or the

01:21:32   camera app, which makes it even weirder. What happens if you delete the camera app and you

01:21:39   can't set a default. So you use a third party app, but like you said, what are you missing out on by

01:21:44   not being able to set a third party app as your default or you don't get photos app? It's.

01:21:49   I don't think they're actually solving any problems that any users have or that any

01:21:55   developers of would be competing apps have. I just think they think that it's monopolistic for a

01:22:02   gatekeeper to not let you delete the apps they ship on their phone. That's it. And that all apps

01:22:08   are crap apps in the same way that Windows users are annoyed if you buy a pre-made Windows PC and

01:22:17   it comes with a version of Norton antivirus or something in your taskbar. And it's sort of,

01:22:23   you can't just right click on it and delete it. You have to run an uninstaller or something like

01:22:28   that. That all apps, every single app Apple ships other than settings and phone is in that category

01:22:34   and should be deleteable. It's your device. You should be able to delete it. And I kind of put it

01:22:39   that way and it sounds good on the surface, but it's Apple's platform. They should be able to

01:22:45   define, here's the stuff that you can't remove from it because these are sort of the fundamental

01:22:49   features of the app. And that's exactly what they've done over the past, what, six or seven

01:22:54   years where they've gradually made different apps deleteable. He used to not be able to delete

01:22:58   anything from Apple. But now even before this change, there were, you could delete the notes

01:23:02   app. You could delete the reminders app. Apple had made that calculus that you, yeah, we'll let you

01:23:07   delete those, but no, you're not going to delete your photos app. Now in the EU, you will be.

01:23:12   Steven: But again, I come back to, is this a catastrophe? I don't think so. I honestly

01:23:18   think it's just making Apple jump through a bunch of annoying hoops. And Apple's doing this, I think,

01:23:24   as best they can. I know so many people use this term malicious compliance, but to me, the

01:23:29   malicious compliance route to complying with the DMA would be to do the least possible technically

01:23:39   and just say, okay, if you're in the EU and you download in a browser, anything, you know,

01:23:46   like a dot app bundle or a zip file containing a dot app, it will get installed in your applications

01:23:53   folder. And now you have any app you want from any developer, including malware and scamware

01:24:00   and annoyance where, and just wash their hands of it. And I think that would be disastrous for

01:24:07   many typical, most, many, if not most typical users in Europe, but I think it would be completely

01:24:13   compliant with the DMA. Apple's trying to make these things and you, you know, what people

01:24:20   who are critical of Apple want them to do is just say, we'll let you develop apps, whatever you want,

01:24:25   we'll let you develop apps for this platform free of charge, like the Mac. We're not going to,

01:24:31   if you want to use your own payment processing, you can just use your own payment processing and

01:24:35   we're not going to charge you something like the core technology fee. Just go and do it.

01:24:40   And that's a separate argument. I think in terms of all of this stuff, like the browser choice

01:24:46   screen and these defaults and stuff like that, they're trying to make the experience as good

01:24:51   as they can. And so that it's as unlikely as possible that users will be, will wind up

01:24:58   in an unwanted situation. And I think that's where we are. I don't really think this is going to be,

01:25:03   I mean, I've just chosen to spend over an hour talking about it with you here on the show,

01:25:10   but I think ultimately this isn't really going to change the life of iOS users in the EU much

01:25:15   at all. Cause I don't think anybody's going to do any of this stuff. No. And I think the biggest

01:25:20   shoe hasn't dropped quite yet on the stuff that I think Apple really cares about more. And the EU

01:25:26   certainly seems to care about more, which is, is the core technology fee allowed under the DMA

01:25:30   is Apple's whole structure for linking out and their fee structure. Like we just,

01:25:35   I don't know if you've talked about it yet, but the store services fee and the initial acquisition

01:25:40   fee, like it's all of that going to stand under the DMA. Right. We don't know yet. We don't know.

01:25:46   Right. And here we can sit and critique the browser choice screen for an hour because

01:25:50   things to critique about it. Sort of gotten a hint, I think before the European commission

01:25:57   took off for their leisurely three month holiday break over the summer. But I think I'd sort of

01:26:03   feel like there's, I don't know how they're going to say it's not allowed, but I kind of feel like

01:26:10   that's where they were heading about these fees that these fees are. Cause these, if these fees

01:26:17   make developers not want to do this, they're going to say that or forward that it's not compliant

01:26:21   with the DMA because the DMA has to be appealing to developers to use. So that's all to be

01:26:27   determined. I don't know where that's going to come out. I, for a while, I thought that Apple

01:26:33   was going to be fine with the core technology fee, but then like around June, some of the comments

01:26:38   from Vestager and others made me think, I don't know. But I do think though, I think part of their

01:26:45   annoyance with Apple is that I do think they realize that by the letter of the DMA, the core

01:26:53   technology fee is clearly not disallowed. And I know that's a double negative, but it's just a

01:27:00   huge and they don't, they do the EU overall, the whole point of the EU basically is to create an

01:27:10   economic marketplace commensurate with, or roughly commensurate with the United States and China and

01:27:18   others that on their own, each individual 27 member state pre EU of Europe was losing economic

01:27:29   clout globally because of how large the US is, how large China already was and was obviously growing

01:27:37   to become in the nineties. They are overall capitalists, right? They're trying to be,

01:27:44   and they're trying to argue that this is pro competition, which is good for business. That's

01:27:48   their argument. And so they don't really want to come out and say that the owner of a platform is

01:27:56   not allowed to monetize the platform that they own. That's why they specifically targeted things.

01:28:02   And I think they kind of thought they gotcha, gotcha Apple, because the only way you guys can

01:28:08   monetize all these apps is through payment processing through the app store. So we're

01:28:12   going to say, you can't make the app store the only way to get software. And that even in the

01:28:16   app store, you can't say your own payment processing is the only way to process payments

01:28:20   for digital goods. Gotcha. And Apple was like, well, we'll just charge everybody 50 cents for

01:28:26   download. And I also think that Apple took this opportunity, and I've said this before, but I

01:28:33   really do think it's true. And as time goes on, I think it's more and more true to, okay, we're being

01:28:38   forced to reconsider some decisions. Even if we didn't want to reconsider them, we have to.

01:28:43   So what would we do if we had to do this all over again? And I think the biggest thing Apple missed

01:28:50   with the app store and how big mobile computing became is I just don't think Apple foresaw in 2007,

01:29:01   2008, 2009 even, how big companies like Facebook and—they knew Google was big, but how big

01:29:10   the platforms that they're building through freely downloadable apps on the phone would become.

01:29:18   Meta is the prime example, though, because their entire business is based on the blue app,

01:29:24   Facebook, Instagram, Now Threads, which isn't monetized yet, but then Facebook Messenger,

01:29:31   WhatsApp. All of these things are apps that every billion users of each one, all for free,

01:29:38   with no payments, and they don't—they want to sell certain things, and they're sort of—Zuckerberg

01:29:44   often complains about the app store payment thing, but none of their business really depends on

01:29:49   getting money from users through the app, right? It's ads. And so they've built like the fourth

01:29:57   or fifth biggest company in the world by market cap entirely on—almost entirely through the

01:30:05   distribution of native apps on iPhone and Android. I mean, yes, Facebook started as a website and

01:30:11   people still go there and use the website, but if Facebook was only on the web, I mean, it would be—

01:30:16   we'd be talking about it now like we talked about MySpace, right? I mean, no relevance at all if not

01:30:23   for the phone. And I don't think Apple ever saw it. I think from Apple's perspective in 2007,

01:30:28   2008, when they're like, "Okay, now we'll make this app store thing," they're coming from the

01:30:33   world of Mac software, where even they were selling things like pages and numbers and they

01:30:38   used to sell the annual Mac OS X updates. They were $129. So if you were on Mac OS X.2 and you

01:30:45   wanted to go to X.3, you went to the store and bought a box full of DVDs and spent $129 for it.

01:30:51   Apple was coming from a world where the way you monetize software was by selling the software.

01:30:58   And so that's why it's called—that's why it's called the App Store. It's a store to buy apps.

01:31:03   I just don't think they ever foresaw the rise of truly dominant, huge rival companies to them for

01:31:10   user time and attention based on giving away the software. And so the core technology fee,

01:31:17   I think, is sort of a, "Hey, we probably would have been smart to have started with this."

01:31:22   Tom Bilyeu, Jr. Yeah. I'm sure they wish that. Yeah.

01:31:24   Kevin Anthony 50 cents per app download from Meta would be, even by Apple standards, a meaningful

01:31:33   amount of money. Tom Bilyeu, Jr. Oh, yeah.

01:31:34   And for Meta, I think we hear them complain some about the App Store fees, but not as much as a

01:31:40   company like Spotify. And that's the interesting dichotomy, I think, is you have Spotify, which is

01:31:44   a purely subscription-based app that's feuding with Apple in addition to the DMA stuff. There's

01:31:50   the whole separate lawsuit in the EU, which Apple just got fined like a billion dollars for, but

01:31:56   Apple's appealing. And Spotify has repeatedly said that they wouldn't be able to have launched

01:32:02   Spotify today because of the terms of the App Store, because of the dominance of the iPhone.

01:32:06   You have that type of company complaining about the App Store and those rules.

01:32:11   Then the other side of the coin, there still is Facebook, which isn't as affected by the 30% or

01:32:18   the 15% or whatever, but they're affected by what they believe is Apple's general dominance of

01:32:24   app-tracking transparency. Apple can make a change with iOS 14. That just destroyed their ad business.

01:32:31   It's... And I don't think the full story we know about... I think that's going to be more of a DOJ

01:32:39   thing here in the United States than a DMA thing. Apple's got both of these battles, and that's

01:32:44   where Facebook's anger comes from. Right. It's like on a computer, on a Mac or a Windows machine,

01:32:51   you can... Any app, not through the App Store, because the App Store has rules, but when you

01:32:55   download software over the web and install it on your own, the software can do things like install

01:32:59   a background agent that even when you quit the app, keeps running. So... And it sounds nefarious,

01:33:05   but all sorts of software I use relies on that. I love and have used Fantastical for years and

01:33:11   years and years. Say they've sponsored the show, they sponsored the live show a couple months ago.

01:33:17   So disclaimer, but I love Fantastical, but I'm almost never running the main Fantastical app.

01:33:22   I just had... There's a background app that puts a little menu in the menu bar,

01:33:26   and that's how I use it. Facebook wants to be able to do that on the phone.

01:33:32   So I have background software or background interchange of data, and have a framework that

01:33:39   other apps can embed that shares data with them. That's the whole thing that app tracking

01:33:43   transparency put the kibosh on. And they're just annoyed by that. Who's Apple to say what our

01:33:49   software can do on people's devices? Philosophically, I get it, but I can't help but think

01:33:55   that if Facebook owned the phone platform, they wouldn't be anywhere near as irate about Apple's

01:34:01   inability to communicate between apps that aren't even theirs on the Facebook phone that had iOS.

01:34:09   In the hypothetical world where Facebook's phone has the market share that iOS has today.

01:34:13   And I will also add that whatever degree that you can say that there's third party software on

01:34:22   Facebook apps and games and stuff like that, they don't really get to do whatever they want behind

01:34:27   the scenes. They're pretty limited APIs, but you know. All right, let me take a break here and

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01:36:36   save 10% off your first purchase of a website or domain. All right. There's a big Apple event

01:36:43   coming up next two weeks. On a Monday, is anybody from 9 to 5 Mac going?

01:36:50   Yes. My colleague, Zach Hall, he is going. He will be there. So, back to back years,

01:36:55   we've gotten an invite, like we were saying at the start, hopefully a sign of some change.

01:36:59   Pete L

01:37:05   simply because it's the iPhone and by far the biggest product Apple makes, the one with the

01:37:13   most attention globally. It's also the only place, I think, for the media to attend. There are times

01:37:20   past they would hold sort of viewing parties in Europe. Maybe they still do. I don't know. Do you

01:37:25   know? They'd have something in Asia and something in London and people could fly there instead of

01:37:32   flying all the way to California. I don't think they do that. My experience…

01:37:36   Last year was my first iPhone event and I was amazed at how many people from outside the United

01:37:43   States were there. That's the conclusion. I think that's where you and I first met in person.

01:37:47   I think so. Either that or WWDC. I don't remember.

01:37:49   Yeah, but I think it might have been the iPhone. Yeah.

01:37:51   Yeah, it's especially… It was kind of evident pre-COVID how international the media section

01:38:01   had become and then there's this two-year gap from COVID where there were no in-person things.

01:38:07   And coming back to it, it was one of the first things that hit me. The first thing was,

01:38:13   "Hey, it's just good to go. It's nice to go somewhere and mingle and see my other friends

01:38:18   in the media." And then the second thing is, "Holy crap, are there a lot of people from

01:38:22   other countries here." And because it's held in the Steve Jobs Theater, which is much bigger than

01:38:30   the old Town Hall Theater at the old Infinite Loop Campus, is still not that big of a theater.

01:38:36   What was your thought being in there? Were you surprised at the size? Was it about the size you

01:38:41   thought it was or was it…? I still think it's a little bit… I still think it's smaller than

01:38:47   I thought it would be when Apple first announced Apple Park.

01:38:51   I think it was smaller than I expected. And because of my first time at Apple Park was WWDC

01:38:58   last year. And that's just a completely different crowd. It's so much bigger.

01:39:01   I think there's more press at WWDC in addition to all of the developers.

01:39:07   There's no question about it.

01:39:09   Going to the iPhone event, not only was Steve Jobs Theater smaller than I expected,

01:39:14   and that reflects on the fact there's just fewer media there. I was hung out with Steve and Hackett.

01:39:21   We were both looking around. We were like, "Where is everybody? This doesn't seem… Seems like

01:39:26   Apple didn't sell out or something." It was like, "No, the UNC Jobs Theater, then it's full."

01:39:30   It's a very different vibe compared to WWDC.

01:39:33   Yeah. When you're mingling around upstairs before they let people go down and sit in the theater,

01:39:40   it's easy to think, "This doesn't seem like enough people."

01:39:42   And WWDC, because it's outdoors, they just give out press passes like candy to WWDC.

01:39:52   But then getting… There's smaller and smaller circles like who gets post-keynote briefings is

01:39:58   obviously the smallest list because it's not necessarily one-on-one, but very small groups,

01:40:03   like two or three media people at a time talking to somebody from Apple product marketing.

01:40:08   I'm not quite sure for WWDC this year with the iJustine interview post-keynote.

01:40:17   That didn't even come close to filling the Steve Jobs Theater. I'm not quite sure how many people

01:40:22   who got press badges were invited to that, how many people just ignored it. But it was clearly

01:40:28   only a fraction of the people who had press/analyst, something other than, "I won the lottery as a

01:40:36   developer to attend passes." Now, the iPhone event is unique on that regard. I mean, and even going

01:40:43   back to old WWDCs in Moscone or the San Jose Convention Center, those are big rooms that sat

01:40:52   5,000 people. So giving out 500 press badges wasn't that big a deal, right? It just… Like that story I

01:41:01   told you about the time Jobs went bananas because of the Wi-Fi. There really were hundreds of people

01:41:06   in the press, way more people were live blogging against his stated desires than would possibly fit

01:41:13   in the Steve Jobs Theater. It's a tough ticket. Do you know at Steve Jobs Theater what the breakdown

01:41:19   is for the iPhone event? Apple employees versus press? Because obviously, historically, Apple

01:41:25   events, the first 10 rows are employees, and those are the people who stand up and scream.

01:41:31   But I think that section's smaller at Steve Jobs Theater than it used to be.

01:41:34   I think that the whole front section, there's sort of two halves to the Steve Jobs Theater.

01:41:40   And the whole front section is not press. And I think the whole upstairs, like you start going up

01:41:48   steps section, is all press. And it's not just Apple employees, it's Apple employees plus

01:41:55   special guests. Laureen Powell Jobs is often there. I don't know if she is anymore, though,

01:42:02   because she used to always attend with… She always, when she did, after Steve Jobs died,

01:42:08   always, I noted, was sitting right next to Johnny Ive. Johnny doesn't come anymore. I don't know

01:42:15   what his relationship with Apple is exactly. I think it's a little bit more contentious than

01:42:22   not contentious, but I also don't think it's acrimonious. So I wouldn't be shocked if I saw

01:42:28   Johnny Ive at the event two weeks from now. I wouldn't be shocked.

01:42:31   Tim Cynova 'cause he apparently was somewhat involved with Vision Pro, which is why

01:42:36   kind of what I've expected to see him at WWDC last year, but no.

01:42:41   Joe

01:42:44   That might be one of the last ones. I don't know if he had anything to do with Apple Watch Ultra.

01:42:49   I wouldn't be surprised if it's based, but maybe they were noodling ideas like that 10 years ago.

01:42:54   Who knows? Obviously, they're very secretive about stuff like that. But they do have lots

01:42:59   of special guests, Pixar people, although I don't recognize as many Pixar people anymore,

01:43:03   just because so many of the people who I did have left the company. That's where I've met

01:43:10   Lee Unkrich there, and we share an affinity for The Shining. But I don't think he gets invited

01:43:17   anymore 'cause he's not a Pixar employee anymore. I don't know. But there's any other special guest,

01:43:22   people from Nike, Tim Cook's Nike board member friends, who knows? But that's all upfront,

01:43:27   the first half and the second half is all press. And you can kind of hear it 'cause like you said,

01:43:32   people cheer. And the people who cheer are not... And it's not even the press being,

01:43:39   "Oh, we're serious. We're not cheerleaders. We're just here to observe." It's honestly

01:43:44   because they're live vlogging or taking notes. But in general, there's just a sort of consensus

01:43:51   amongst "journalists" or people in the media that we're not there to cheer Apple. So things like,

01:43:58   I don't know, if they show a movie about a little kid who invents a cure for disease by using their

01:44:08   iPad and everybody might clap. I mean, how do you not cheer for that? But when it's just,

01:44:12   "How awesome are the specs on the A18 Pro chip?" The media isn't gonna cheer. And you can hear it

01:44:20   in the room, the cheers come from the front, but it's just not that many people.

01:44:24   - I remember walking in to WWDC and I guess I won't say who it was, but I was walking with a

01:44:30   member of the press and you walk through and Apple employees, the people standing along the sides,

01:44:35   trying to hype you up at 9 a.m. in the morning to get you to cheer. They don't know who's press,

01:44:40   who's developer, who's who. And he's just, "We're press, we're press, we're press, we're press.

01:44:44   Don't cheer." And it was a very clear separation between, "Please don't cheer for me. I'm press."

01:44:50   Or, "Yes, hype me up. I'm a developer." Because there's a different line too with some of the

01:44:55   influencers, not to use that term derogatory, but it's just different. How they treat Apple

01:45:02   and how Apple treats them is different than how somebody who worked at Macworld for so many years

01:45:07   treats Apple. - Well, there's no better example than iJustine, right? Did you see the recent

01:45:13   video, Becca Versace? I'm not sure. - Yeah, I did. - I know, but Becca, who's leaving the verge to go

01:45:21   out on her own as a creator, did a nice little 10-minute profile of Justine Azarek, who's been

01:45:27   doing her thing for 19 years, I mean, which is amazing. But Justine is a perfect example,

01:45:35   because I think she's honestly, she doesn't just exemplify being a creator. She's honestly defined,

01:45:40   helped define in large part what it means to be an influencer/creator. And she has,

01:45:48   part of what makes her so incredibly popular and successful in the longevity that she has

01:45:55   is her demeanor on camera in her videos, which is that of an enthusiast. It just is what it is.

01:46:02   Nobody's going to accuse me of being an influencer or a YouTube celebrity with my once-a-year

01:46:10   YouTube videos. But I don't begrudge at all the rising number of YouTube creators who get the

01:46:21   media passes to these events. But there is definite resentment amongst the people of more of

01:46:27   mine, your cohort, people who type for a living. There is a contingent who are very

01:46:36   annoyed that spots that might go to reporters who are writing for publications aren't available,

01:46:45   because more and more of them are going to YouTube creators who have a different purpose. They're

01:46:51   doing a different thing. And so they might cheer along with the Apple employees as you enter the

01:46:57   Steve Jobs tier, and they're probably filming it. And it's not like, "Oh, they're embarrassed. Oh,

01:47:03   I got in. I wasn't really thinking I'd never been to one of these before. And I got caught up clapping

01:47:08   and I guess I shouldn't have been clapping because I'm supposed to be a serious member of the press."

01:47:13   No, they're filming it, and then they're going to put it in the YouTube video that somehow they're

01:47:16   going to get out two hours after the keynote is in. They're not hiding it. It's just a different

01:47:22   business. It really is. But it's, I don't know. I wonder if internally Apple regrets the size of the

01:47:31   Steve Jobs Theater. I can only imagine they wish it were bigger, but maybe not. Maybe they like

01:47:36   the artificial constraint of it. But this event, and they could hold this event anywhere, right?

01:47:41   I mean, they could rent a bigger facility. They could put it on the lawn. For all I know,

01:47:47   it will be on the lawn this year. And unbeknownst to me, there are, here you and I have just said

01:47:53   how hard it is to get a press invitation to this. Maybe there's going to be 5,000 of them,

01:47:57   and it's going to be like WWDC out on the lawn. I don't know. Apple's not going to say.

01:48:01   Mad Fientist With the iPad Pro event in March, remember they did the bulk of it in London,

01:48:08   and then they had the satellite. They had their New York City Tribeca loft thing where they had

01:48:13   some people.

01:48:13   Jon Moffitt Right. I was in New York.

01:48:15   Mad Fientist Yeah.

01:48:15   Jon Moffitt I would say 50 people, maybe a little more.

01:48:20   Mad Fientist That loft is small. It's small.

01:48:22   Jon Moffitt Yeah. They somehow made a viewing area. No, the loft is, A, it's not small.

01:48:28   It's small if you wanted to put 1,000 people in there. It is not small as a home or a…

01:48:37   Mad Fientist Especially for New York City.

01:48:39   Jon Moffitt No, especially for New York City. I think, I'm going to guess there were somewhere

01:48:44   between 50 and 75 members of the media. I don't know. I guess we should talk about what we expect

01:48:48   to see, which I guess is the most predictable annual event. And what else is Apple going to do?

01:48:55   But what do we expect? iPhone 16.

01:48:57   Jon Moffitt I think it's the most predictable. This is always the most predictable event,

01:49:02   but this year, especially for the iPhone, it's the most predictable iPhone ever. It's just,

01:49:07   we know everything, and it's nothing too exciting, I feel like.

01:49:11   Pete Laskowski Yeah. The most exciting thing, if you could torture Greg Jasviek and get him to

01:49:20   admit, what's the one thing you wish that has already gotten out that you wish could be the

01:49:25   main secret? I guess it's the camera button, you know?

01:49:29   Jon Moffitt I think it's the camera button, but not just the existence of the camera button. It's

01:49:33   the fact that you'll be able to swipe on it to zoom in and out or softly press to bring it into

01:49:39   focus and then push all the way down to take the picture. Like, that gesture is what will be the

01:49:45   wow factor for that.

01:49:47   Pete Laskowski So for those who aren't following along, but I presume everybody listening has seen

01:49:51   this because it's so widely reported, but the idea is pretty much the catacorner from where the action

01:49:56   button or the old mute switch is, there will be a new extra button. Is it going to be on all models

01:50:03   or just the iPhone 16 Pro?

01:50:04   Jon Moffitt All models, all of them.

01:50:06   Pete Laskowski All models are going to have a camera button over there. We don't know what

01:50:10   they're going to call it. Marketing is the, marketing names are one thing that sometimes can

01:50:14   remain secret. Shutter button, camera button, I don't know. Action button's already taken,

01:50:20   so it's not the action button. But there will be a button up there.

01:50:23   I think we know all of this through Gurman's reporting, but Gurman has certainly reported

01:50:28   that much like a dedicated hardware camera, half-press to do autofocus or exposure adjustment,

01:50:35   and if you continue holding down, the focus and the exposure will stay the same

01:50:39   while you rejigger the frame and then press fully to take the shot. Again,

01:50:45   Gurman is at least where I learned it, where if you slide your finger over the button,

01:50:50   it's going to zoom in and out. That sounds really clever, cool. I would guess that they wish that

01:50:55   that was secret, but it's not a surprise that it's not. Colors, there's going to be a new color this

01:51:01   year supposedly in titanium that's sort of zoonish? Brownish is something. It might be called desert

01:51:10   titanium. It'll replace the blue. Now I saw the picture of this zoon desert titanium thing and I

01:51:17   was like, I don't care for this. If somebody wants to buy it, it's fine. Then other people were

01:51:23   vehemently against it in our community, in like the Apple world. This is the ugliest color Apple's

01:51:27   made. So I took a picture, there's photos of all four dummy units, the white titanium, black

01:51:33   titanium, natural titanium, and desert titanium. And I showed it to my wife. I said, which one of

01:51:38   these do you like? And she goes, oh, that desert titanium looks great. And I said, really? And she

01:51:43   informed me that that's like the hot color of the year, like the super in trend color. So it makes

01:51:49   sense. Apple knows that stuff. We in the Apple community aren't necessarily fashion experts.

01:51:57   No, we definitely are not. I've been told even, just got informed today by my wife that my socks

01:52:02   are no longer in style. I didn't even know that there was a style for ankle length socks.

01:52:07   Apparently higher socks are now in style. I've spoken to people at Apple and they even,

01:52:13   it's some people who you might think would know, they're like, yeah, I don't really know why,

01:52:17   you know, they have color people. Yeah. Our job is to identify hot trending colors. And for all

01:52:25   of our consternation where I are, it's the same group of podcasters and bloggers and writers like

01:52:32   me and you and everybody, the ATP guys, for all of us who bemoan year after year, the lack of

01:52:38   vibrant colors in iPhones and Apple products in general, there's this part of me that's,

01:52:44   I don't know, I would like to see it, but I don't know fashion. And maybe Apple knows exactly what

01:52:50   they're doing and these pale colors are actually, this is part of why the iPhone and their other

01:52:56   products are so popular. I don't know. I know what I would like to see, but I also fully am aware

01:53:04   that what I would like to see may not be stylish or faddish at all. I don't know. So let's see.

01:53:10   And I also trust that Apple's brown will actually, or sand or desert or whatever they call it,

01:53:18   is really not going to look like the Zune, which really was in person and very unattractive

01:53:25   color of brown. One of the most baffling design choices I can recall in the entire history of

01:53:31   consumer technology, that it was the only choice. I mean, it was bold and it is memorable. Here we

01:53:38   are making jokes about it 20 years later, but new chips, all phones, not unlike last year,

01:53:45   all phones get a new chip. I presume that the pro ones will be binned somehow with more GPU

01:53:51   or something like that. More RAM because Apple, eventually they had to add RAM anyway, but

01:53:58   Apple intelligence, they've even said on the record at my show, very RAM hungry. And so devices

01:54:05   that are overdue for RAM upgrades are getting RAM upgrades. Screens are getting bigger on the

01:54:13   pro models, which I think means that the bezels are shrinking even further. I look at my phone now

01:54:20   and I don't really see much of a bezel. And I think in two weeks, I'm going to look at this

01:54:24   iPhone 15 pro and think, why is there a big black border all around the edges? What else? Anything

01:54:30   else from the iPhone? New colors, new button. The action button on the 16 and 16 plus instead of

01:54:37   just the pro and the pro max, right? The five X optical zoom camera that came to the right 15 pro

01:54:44   max will come to the 16 pro the standard pro. And that does fit the pattern, right? There's not,

01:54:50   it's hard to predict when the big ass phone is going to get a camera feature that's not in the

01:54:55   regular size, right? But every time they've ever done it, where there was something, an extra lens

01:55:01   or whatever, a bigger sensor that was only on the plus models, the next year it shrunk and came to

01:55:08   the other model. So one thing that they've been consistent about is if they ever ship a hardware

01:55:13   camera feature only on the biggest physical size possible, the next year it comes to the smaller

01:55:19   one. And apparently that's true of the five X. Anything else? I think that's about it.

01:55:23   Ben 2 (01h00s): Ultra wide camera on the,

01:55:25   I think just the pro and the pro max is apparently going to be 48 megapixel instead of 12.

01:55:30   Oh, right. Right. Which is good. But I guess probably using the same sort of treat the 48

01:55:36   megapixel sensor as a 12 megapixel sensor with groups of full two by two, four pixel squares as

01:55:43   meta pixels for lack of a better word, should improve the low light performance of the ultra

01:55:49   wide significantly and just overall sharpness. Good. You know, camera gets better every year,

01:55:55   right? Camera gets better. Camera gets better. Apple watch, we are expecting series 10,

01:56:04   which really doesn't seem like it's going to be that radical. It's just a little bit thinner.

01:56:10   The screen goes edge to edge more. The weird thing about the watch rumors is that the

01:56:16   41 and 45 millimeter will increase to be 45 and 49 millimeter.

01:56:23   I don't know about that. It's it doesn't add up. I don't. And that's the case height too. It's not

01:56:28   the screen size. That's obviously the case height, which is different than the screen size.

01:56:32   Right. Cause that would, it would, it would mean that what we now think of as the larger

01:56:38   putting aside the ultra, what we now think of as the larger ultra watch or Apple watch

01:56:42   would become the smaller Apple watch. I don't buy that. And that didn't come from German that came,

01:56:48   I think Ming Chi Kuo, right? I think, and there were some leaked schematics, but I think

01:56:53   German has said there'll be bigger and thinner. And he said, Oh, I said, I want to get his words,

01:56:59   right. The Apple watch series, the bigger version of the Apple watch series 10 will feature a two

01:57:04   inch display, which is slightly bigger than the Apple watch ultra is 1.93 inch display.

01:57:09   So maybe cause that is a much bigger display. I don't know. We'll see that Apple watch rumors

01:57:16   are notoriously right. Even Garmin. Yeah. The gold standard of rumor rumors.

01:57:22   Rumor reporting for years now, even he fell for the flat sided one a couple of years ago.

01:57:28   Somebody Oh yeah. Me loves, loves to remind him up. I don't know. That seems so weird to me though,

01:57:37   that they would get rid of the 41 ish millimeters. We started at 38 and 42. So that's it. And that's

01:57:44   again, the overall watches though, just don't look that much bigger on a wrist. So if you go to the

01:57:50   Apple store today and don't do this because they're going to have new ones in two weeks,

01:57:54   but if you bought a series nine today and compare it compared it to the original series zero 38

01:58:01   millimeter, unless you get really close to it, it doesn't look much different inside. Yeah. It's

01:58:06   a little bit thinner and a little bit bigger, but it's really only a little and at a couple

01:58:12   feet distance, I think you'd have to have really good eyesight and be intimately familiar with the

01:58:16   different watches over the years to spot the difference on somebody's wrist. But it's been

01:58:21   such a huge selling point for Apple, especially in the earlier years of Apple watch that so many

01:58:27   other smartwatches started so much bigger and chunkier on a wrist. And let's just face it.

01:58:35   It's obviously a huge thing for women who tend to have smaller risks and also more self-conscious

01:58:42   about jewelry and how things look don't really, aren't often, aren't really looking for a tactical

01:58:48   look in their watch. It's been such a selling point and it's been so long that the best article

01:58:54   about it was written by Serenity Caldwell. Oh, wow. Who's been at Apple and obviously hasn't been

01:59:00   blogging for years now, but basically why doesn't any other company make smartwatches for women's

01:59:05   children's size wrists? I can't see them moving away from that. I could see them go into a third

01:59:10   size. Yeah, that would make more sense. I think small, medium, and large. And because the large

01:59:16   would give the user so much more battery life, it seems like that is an enormous selling point for

01:59:22   the Apple watch ultra is the extra days of battery life that Apple, I think has undersold. I think

01:59:30   Apple undersells the battery life of the ultra and ultra too, because I think if they really said

01:59:37   how long the battery lasts, it makes the other Apple watches look bad in comparison.

01:59:41   Yeah. And the battery life is why I wear the ultra. I don't put the extreme durability design

01:59:47   to the test, but I like the battery life and I like the bigger screen, which makes the series

01:59:51   10 debate a little bit different because if you make the screen on the standard series 10,

01:59:56   just as big, if not a little bigger than the ultra, you're kind of undercutting the ultra,

02:00:03   if that makes sense. It's people who currently buy the ultra because of the big screen

02:00:08   and the battery life might be enticed to go back to the non ultra.

02:00:12   But I just kind of feel, I get that they do an annual update and I think Apple loves annual

02:00:18   updates in general. I think they feel like it's a healthy way for the company to stay focused

02:00:23   and that deadlines help keep a company on track. And if they had said, I don't know,

02:00:31   is like a series nine all that different from a series seven? Not really. But if they had just

02:00:37   stuck with the series seven and said, hey, let's just wait three years and do a mega update,

02:00:42   that's going to be amazing. That's the sort of thinking that leads to the Windows Vista,

02:00:47   where all of a sudden it's like this thing, big major development project that was supposed to

02:00:53   come out in 2004, it's already 2007 and it's not out yet. It's the annual updates help, but

02:01:01   I, it's been a long time since there's been an annual update to Apple watch. That's

02:01:05   all that appealing. No, it overall is the most exciting one was the edition of the ultra.

02:01:12   And that was two years ago, sort of a new product. I do. I've detected, he hasn't really mentioned

02:01:18   it, but it's like a year or so ago, Gurman was hinting that just like with the iPhone 10,

02:01:25   as the 10 year anniversary got the most significant rethinking of the iPhone hardware and software

02:01:33   that they might be thinking of something like that for Apple watch. But

02:01:36   he doesn't really mention that anymore. And it never really made sense to me because watch

02:01:42   OS 10 last year was the one where they rethought how the button, right? Pressing, pressing the crown

02:01:48   does something different. Now you do a different, there's a different way to get to notification

02:01:53   center. Widgets play a much bigger role. They did all that last year and it was all in software.

02:01:58   And I just don't see hardware wise how there's a moment like the iPhone 10 for a watch. So we'll

02:02:05   see what else are we expecting? AirPods, AirPods 4, maybe. And this is kind of interesting because

02:02:12   apparently they're going to, cause right now they sell AirPods 2, AirPods 3 and AirPods Pro.

02:02:18   And according to Gurman AirPods 2 and AirPods 3 will be discontinued and replaced by two

02:02:24   different versions of AirPods 4, one lower end and one higher end and the higher end one will have

02:02:30   some sort of noise cancellation and a case that has Find My Support and the lower end version

02:02:36   will be more like AirPods 2, AirPods 3 as they exist today. And it'll be a design new chips.

02:02:44   Yeah. And the design that Gurman says will be a blend of the AirPods 3 and AirPods Pro,

02:02:50   including like the shorter stems, but they, the AirPods 4 still won't go in here like the AirPods

02:02:56   Pro. So then it's because Gurman's angle on it is that the AirPods 3 haven't sold very well at all.

02:03:03   And right now people primarily choose between the AirPods 2 because they have the original AirPods

02:03:08   design or the AirPods Pro. Right. Or it's really more that everybody is sort of funneled between

02:03:18   being price sensitive or being, "No, give me the best one." And everybody wants the best one is

02:03:23   obviously getting AirPods Pro and everybody who's price sensitive is getting the cheapest one that

02:03:28   Apple offers. And so it kind of makes sense that they don't want to keep selling years old

02:03:33   technology and things like Find My, et cetera, et cetera. I don't know. It makes, that passes this,

02:03:39   in addition to Gurman's unbelievably accurate record in recent years, it just passes the sniff

02:03:47   test of, "Oh, that makes sense." It's actually, yeah. It's actually, and it just seems so much

02:03:52   less confusing coming into the store. Right. Good, better, best. Right. Yep. AirPods 4 are both good.

02:03:59   And then there's an upgraded version that's better. And then AirPods Pro is best. Yep.

02:04:04   There's a rumor now that you, I'm sure I'm going to ask Chance Miller, did you see this?

02:04:11   Maybe not. You see everything. There's a shortage of iPad minis. And the last time there was an

02:04:23   update to the iPad mini, it actually did happen at the iPhone event. Yep. September 2021, I think.

02:04:29   Yeah. Yeah. I would be surprised if we see the iPad mini in September this year.

02:04:36   I believe it. But here's why. Because I think that it's just a place, an event to put it at,

02:04:42   and it's not being compared to any other iPads because there's no other iPads at the iPhone

02:04:47   event. Whereas if they held it for the fall for an iPad or an iPad combo MacBook event,

02:04:54   then the new iPad mini would be compared against whatever other new iPads come out.

02:04:59   And I don't think the iPad mini is going to be up to the same level of the chips.

02:05:04   So I think it gives the iPad mini this brief two-month moment where it can catch up to the

02:05:10   iPad Air or some other iPad model in terms of which A-series chip is in it and how bright the

02:05:17   screen is and whatever the features. Now it's just like an iPad Air except mini. And two months later,

02:05:22   there's a new iPad Air with the M4 or something like that. Yeah. Because I think some people

02:05:27   want the iPad mini to get like a... They want an iPad mini Pro or an iPad Pro mini or whatever.

02:05:33   Right.

02:05:34   Get a better screen. You get the fastest chip. You get ProMotion. And that's not what we're

02:05:38   gonna get. It's going to be a spec bump. And I guess they will improve the display slightly

02:05:43   because of the jelly scrolling problem that people are talking about. But it's not gonna...

02:05:48   It just sort of disappeared after people started. I don't know. It didn't really...

02:05:51   Yeah. It didn't stick.

02:05:52   I don't know. But I do think it makes sense from JAWS's perspective why they

02:05:57   put the last one in the iPhone event rather than doing it in an iPad event. It's just the weird way

02:06:02   that the iPad mini is a product in their lineup and it's popular enough and has this devoted

02:06:07   code for whatever reason. It's taken hold in a way that the iPhone minis didn't, unfortunately,

02:06:14   much to the angst of everybody who loves the smallest possible iPhone and is desperately

02:06:20   holding on to their iPhone 13 mini and hoping they don't crack the screen for as many years

02:06:25   as they can. The iPad mini somehow made it and the iPhone minis didn't, but it's made it in a weird

02:06:32   way that's unlike any other iPad where a three-year update cycle is, "Yeah, that's the mini. That

02:06:37   sounds about right."

02:06:38   Yeah. And I guess they could add Apple Pencil Pro support if they really wanted to because that's...

02:06:44   Yeah. I hope... I would like to see them do that. That would be great. Why not, right?

02:06:51   Yeah.

02:06:51   Other than fitting it with the buttons and everything and letting it...

02:06:55   It's the same size as the Apple Pencil...

02:06:58   Right.

02:06:59   ...second generation that the iPad mini supports, I think. So they could do it if they wanted to.

02:07:03   Right. And I could see that. And the other reason I could see doing it is that...

02:07:08   Because they probably already know they're not going to update it again until 2027.

02:07:12   And so you might as well give it the most forward-looking pencil support possible rather

02:07:18   than, I don't know, the weird one that you have to stick into the USB-C port with a dongle.

02:07:22   Yeah.

02:07:23   Right?

02:07:23   Yep.

02:07:24   That was sort of a concession. This would be... This would give it, "Hey, we can leave this

02:07:28   untouched for another three or four years. Nobody's gonna complain except for us."

02:07:35   Anything else that we expect for the iPhone event in September?

02:07:39   Not that comes to mind. Obviously, the release dates for the software, apparently Sequoia.

02:07:44   Right.

02:07:44   A Sequoia might come out at the same time as iOS 18.

02:07:47   It did last year, right?

02:07:48   Did it?

02:07:49   Sort of. Yeah, I think so.

02:07:50   I thought it was October still. Either way, yeah.

02:07:52   I think everybody was sort of counting, again, that Apple's a company of patterns and repeats

02:07:57   itself. But I'm pretty sure last year that macOS Sonoma came out coincident with iOS 18,

02:08:03   and it's the surprise of many Mac developers. So, yeah, 17. You're right. I get my numbers mixed.

02:08:09   Oh, yeah. So Sonoma last year came out about a week and a half after iOS 17. So, yeah.

02:08:16   Yeah. But it was still September or…

02:08:18   Yeah.

02:08:18   It just was earlier than a lot of Mac developers had been preparing for.

02:08:22   Yeah. But I also think, yeah, we'll get those release dates. And I think Apple's recent year

02:08:31   strategy of breaking out features to deliver every couple of months in dot updates to the OSs

02:08:40   throughout the year, I think it's been a success for Apple. I think it's been a success for the

02:08:45   reliability, especially of the dot O release in September and October. But I also think it takes

02:08:51   a lot of the excitement out of the first release of them, right? Because instead of… Part of the

02:08:57   excitement was they tried to give as many of the features they advertised to WWDC at once in the

02:09:02   big update in the fall. And then the other part of the excitement is how much of this is actually

02:09:07   going to work. And so they've fixed both problems, right? They're a lot more reliable, but also

02:09:15   you get these updates throughout the year. So there's never one update that's as big a thrill

02:09:21   as the others. This year, it's especially interesting because of the Apple intelligence stuff.

02:09:25   Right.

02:09:26   And Garmin says Apple intelligence will be a big part of the iPhone 16 unveil and marketing,

02:09:31   but Apple intelligence isn't available in 18.0, which is what's going to ship on the new phones.

02:09:37   So that's another thing to put on the Jaws hat and think through how they're going to market that

02:09:43   and not make it seem like you're buying an iPhone 16 based on the promise of future

02:09:48   Apple intelligence features.

02:09:49   Yeah, that is a Jaws problem, but they've done it before, right? I can think specifically of

02:09:55   portrait mode for iPhone, where it was a big part of the event and they were showing it and

02:10:02   they said it was coming in an update later this fall to all, whatever the version of iPhone was.

02:10:08   And I remember in particular, they gave an exclusive early access to Matthew Panzorino,

02:10:13   who's of course then still at TechCrunch. And he got to, he got like an exclusive early access beta

02:10:21   to the portrait mode after a week after the iPhone shipped to customers or something and two weeks

02:10:27   before the update came. So they can solve that and just say, they're coming to an update later

02:10:33   this fall. I mean, but it does bring us home to talking about the EU, which as of this moment,

02:10:42   still is, when is Apple intelligence coming to iOS in the EU? Don't know. And I'm really,

02:10:50   really curious in terms of things to listen for in the keynote. Will they talk about that in the

02:10:55   keynote in two weeks? That to me is the question. Also, iPhone mirroring in Sequoia, right?

02:11:02   **Matt Stauffer** OS 18 is also not in the EU.

02:11:03   **Robert Stauffer** Right. So that one, I can't, yeah. I mean, I would love it. And again,

02:11:10   I'm not spiteful about it. So I hope that JAWS or Tim Cook or whoever is going to take that segment

02:11:17   of the keynote can just say, and now we're happy to announce that iPhone mirroring and Apple

02:11:22   intelligence will be coming in an update to EU users in later this year. Just say later this year,

02:11:32   and yes, 18.1 will probably ship in October. And I'm almost certain that one won't go to the EU,

02:11:40   or in the EU, they'll get 18.1, but it won't have Apple intelligence. But I'd love for them to be

02:11:45   able to say that they've worked it out and it's coming in 18.2 to the EU. But I also would not be

02:11:52   surprised at all if they don't comment on it at all. And if the new year comes and Apple intelligence

02:11:59   and iPhone mirroring still aren't available in the EU. **Matt Stauffer** I think Apple intelligence

02:12:03   is a bigger undertaking, presumably, than iPhone mirroring in terms, because the question, I mean,

02:12:11   the question as is always the question with this stuff is what does the EU think? What does the EU

02:12:15   want? And we don't know if Apple even talked to the EU about those two things or if Apple's being

02:12:23   proactive and saying, we don't want to get dinged for this. We need to figure out what's going on.

02:12:27   **Robert Wiblin** It's a whole separate rant. And I have ranted, I have made it, I will make it again.

02:12:33   But I know that there's a contingent of people out there who think Apple is only doing this out of

02:12:37   spite, and that they somehow want to punish people in the EU for having passed the DMA. And so for

02:12:43   spite, they're just going to withhold new cool new features like Apple intelligence and iPhone

02:12:47   mirroring, because obviously that has nothing to do with the DMA because the DMA is all about the

02:12:52   App Store. And it is true that what we've seen from Apple in response to the DMA is largely about

02:12:59   the App Store and alternative distribution, because it's the one, it's all that stuff that's actually

02:13:04   specified specifically in the DMA. And it's this whole thing that's worth a lot of money. And it's

02:13:12   this whole thing that already exists, and therefore Apple has to adjust. Whereas I do, I understand

02:13:18   there's nothing to do with spite. It's about the fact that if you're a gatekeeping platform,

02:13:22   you can't preference your own other products and services. This is the whole reason that they have

02:13:28   to make the camera app deleteable. Because the iPhone is a gatekeeping platform, they can't even

02:13:33   preference their own camera app on the iPhone by making it so you can't delete it from the

02:13:39   home screen. That's, it's obviously not allowed under the DMA because Apple's doing it based on

02:13:46   feedback from the EU. So I think part of why they still, why is iPhone mirroring not allowed? You

02:13:51   don't have to pay for it. There's no App Store. It's because it only works with Macs. So they

02:13:56   can't preference their own line of laptops and desktop computers from their gatekeeping iOS

02:14:04   platform by making this cool feature only work on their own laptops. Is the answer that they have to

02:14:11   make iPhone mirroring available on Windows or any other platform? I don't think they would do it.

02:14:18   I don't even think they could do it because I think having talked to Apple about iPhone mirroring,

02:14:23   it's a lot more than just like VNC. It's not just a VNC connection showing you the window.

02:14:29   There's a lot of security stuff, and it's one of the reasons why, correct me if I'm wrong,

02:14:34   Chance, but it doesn't work on Intel Macs. It only works on Apple Silicon Macs because there's

02:14:40   like a handshake that goes on with the secure enclave, et cetera, et cetera, and so forth.

02:14:44   So I wouldn't be surprised if that feature never comes to the EU. Unless the European Commission

02:14:50   were to tell Apple, "We don't care about that feature. You can ship it." And I don't know that

02:14:56   they will. And it's the same thing with Apple Intelligence. I think that what Apple sees as

02:15:02   being contrary to the DMA is that Apple Intelligence put aside the whole partnership with OpenAI,

02:15:07   but all of the stuff below the OpenAI stuff only works with Apple's own large language model,

02:15:15   right? There is no…not even OpenAI gets to work at that level. And I think that what Apple sees

02:15:24   is that the EU could flag the whole thing in the same way that, again, they're literally making

02:15:29   Apple delete the…let you delete the camera app. I think to be compliant, they would make you want to

02:15:36   swap out the default LLM and have another default LLM. And I don't think Apple's going to want to

02:15:42   do that. So again, I hope that they just say the European Commission says, "No, we're going to

02:15:48   tell you that we're not concerned about that. You can ship that." But if they don't, I wouldn't be

02:15:54   surprised if Apple Intelligence never comes to the EU. Never. And I mean that sincerely because I

02:16:00   think that's a feature Apple is never going to build a third-party layer because they actually

02:16:04   don't trust it and think it would be better to never ship it than to build out an infrastructure

02:16:10   that would allow third parties that level of system integration.

02:16:14   Tim Cynova, Chief Information Officer, Google Analytics Especially for the more advanced

02:16:16   personal…Siri with personal context stuff where you'll be able to say, for example,

02:16:21   "When's my mom's flight get in?" And it goes and looks at your email, looks at your calendar,

02:16:24   looks at your location. Apple's not going to…even if…

02:16:28   David Erickson Open that up to a third party.

02:16:30   Tim Cynova And if they do, it'll take them

02:16:31   five, ten years to build the APIs or whatever that they feel they need to do.

02:16:34   David Erickson Right. Everybody's up until WWDC was banging the

02:16:38   drum that Apple is late to AI, late to AI, late to AI, but they were late to AI if they were…if

02:16:43   you want to still say they were late because they were building out all of these privacy protections

02:16:47   and stuff like that. But then it has to be at the system level. So, well, we'll see. But again,

02:16:52   something to keep our ears open for at the event. That about wraps things up in terms of my agenda

02:16:58   for the show. I think I've taken more than enough of your time, Chance. So everybody can, of course,

02:17:03   we've mentioned 9to5Mac several times where you work as an ACE reporter. They can follow you there.

02:17:08   And then social media wise, what do you want to promote? Threads?

02:17:11   Chance Miller I'm @ChanceHMiller. I'm on Threads. I'm on Mastodon. I'm on Instagram. I will point

02:17:17   on 9to5Mac, we do our…me and Benjamin Mayo do our 9to5Mac Happy Hour podcast, and we just crossed

02:17:22   500 episodes. So…

02:17:24   Steven Pinker Congratulations. 500 episodes of the Mac Happy Hour.

02:17:28   Chance Miller Then I also do the 9to5Mac Happy Hour. Yeah.

02:17:32   Steven Pinker 9to5Mac Happy Hour.

02:17:35   Chance Miller And I do the 9to5Mac Daily podcast too,

02:17:38   which you can check out.

02:17:39   Steven Pinker Happy Hour. I'm just going to call it the Happy Hour.

02:17:41   Chance Miller Yes.

02:17:41   Steven Pinker And what's the other one? The Daily podcast?

02:17:45   Chance Miller 9to5Mac Daily. Yep. Every day or every Monday through Friday.

02:17:49   Steven Pinker Just like my podcast, Daily.

02:17:51   Chance Miller Daily.

02:17:54   Steven Pinker I let me also thank our two sponsors of the show,

02:17:58   Squarespace, where you can build your own website, and WorkOS, where you can sign up if you're into

02:18:03   business-to-business software as a service. Go check them out for authenticated login APIs.

02:18:08   Thank you, Chance. Talk to you soon.