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631: Nessie Beneath the Waves

 

00:00:09   From relay, this is Upgrade episode number six.

00:00:12   Three, one, that's a big number.

00:00:15   It is brought to you this time by Factor Squarespace and Backblaze.

00:00:19   I am your regular host, Jason Snell, but I'm reading the introduction, which means

00:00:23   Mike Hurley is gone on assignment.

00:00:25   We did an episode out of time last week.

00:00:28   This week we are doing an episode in time.

00:00:31   And joining me just in time is our special guest host this week, Dan

00:00:36   Morin.

00:00:37   Hi, Dan.

00:00:38   Hi, Jason.

00:00:38   I was ready to be introduced as your irregular co-host.

00:00:43   Well, you are the first one.

00:00:44   I don't know.

00:00:44   I don't want to judge the host, just not on not on this show.

00:00:47   I don't want to judge you.

00:00:48   We so we do the Six Colors podcast almost every Friday.

00:00:52   And if you're you could you have to be a member to do this,

00:00:54   to become a member of Six Colors, and you get that hear us every

00:00:57   Friday.

00:00:57   Uh except for last Friday, where we were both traveling.

00:01:00   And uh the promise was that we would come on upgrade instead and give

00:01:04   everybody uh a whole episode of us talking about stuff.

00:01:08   As the prophecy has foretold, here we are.

00:01:11   As far as I know, Mike is like in the air right now, and

00:01:13   if not, he will soon be in the air.

00:01:15   He's flying home.

00:01:15   In a plane.

00:01:16   I don't know, maybe a hot air balloon.

00:01:18   We'll see.

00:01:18   Oh.

00:01:19   Um, and of course, this is the summer of fun.

00:01:22   Summer of fun!

00:01:23   Summer of fun!

00:01:24   And uh, what's more fun than Apple?

00:01:26   Financial results, those are coming up later on the show.

00:01:28   Well, it's fun if you're Apple, I guess.

00:01:31   Super fun.

00:01:32   I mean, and lucrative.

00:01:34   Less less fun for us.

00:01:35   Less fun for others, I suppose that's true.

00:01:38   Um, so uh we'll let's start with a little bit.

00:01:43   There's no time for any of this, Jason.

00:01:44   We don't, because it's time for Snell Talk.

00:01:46   Do you want to read the Snell Talk question to me?

00:01:48   I would love to read the Snell Talk question.

00:01:50   This is from Will.

00:01:51   Will says, Jason, on Upgrade Plus recently, you recommended a plethora of TV shows.

00:01:55   By the way, Will, extra credit for the word plethora.

00:01:57   Yeah, word.

00:01:58   Plethera of TV shows, and then you also talk about all the books you

00:02:01   read, both for design in California and for fun, as well as all the

00:01:59   work for all the various writing and recording you do.

00:02:07   How do you actually have time to do all of these things?

00:02:10   I love I love these questions.

00:02:12   And I'm glad that you got to ask it because part of my answer

00:02:15   I think is near and dear to your heart, and then I'm gonna turn

00:02:17   the tables on you.

00:02:19   Okay.

00:02:19   Uh like, okay, for for design in California, I am not reading all the

00:02:24   books.

00:02:25   I because I have a database full of the text of all the books,

00:02:28   and I can search around and I can find the relevant chapters for the

00:02:31   story I'm trying to tell.

00:02:33   But there are books that I do read, and I have to put them

00:02:35   in my book reading queue.

00:02:36   But I do read a lot of books.

00:02:38   So I just finished a book last night on the plane, coming home.

00:02:40   I love reading books.

00:02:41   I do read a very large number of books by some people's standards, although

00:02:45   there are other people we know, Dan, who read way more books than we

00:02:48   do.

00:02:48   Yeah.

00:02:48   Scott McNulty.

00:02:50   Yeah.

00:02:50   Um, Fred Kiesh.

00:02:52   I think he writes reads like a book a day or something.

00:02:54   It's just wild, these people who read.

00:02:56   So I I guess I see how people see me when I say I

00:02:59   wrote read like 80 books.

00:03:01   Is they're like, how is that possible?

00:03:02   It's like, well, here's my my Pat answer, but it's true.

00:03:06   I don't play games.

00:03:08   I think that that's the real answer is I I listened to my friends

00:03:12   talk about the games they're playing and the thing.

00:03:15   Like our our dear friend, Tony Sindalar.

00:03:18   Yes.

00:03:19   Was just having a conversation about the new Lego Batman game.

00:03:26   Uh yes, yes.

00:03:27   And he said that he 100% did it.

00:03:30   He did every single thing in it.

00:03:32   A massive, massive game.

00:03:34   It's a big game.

00:03:35   It's a very big game.

00:03:36   And that was when I at that moment where I was like, yeah, see,

00:03:39   I like video games.

00:03:41   Fine, but I am one of those people who it's it's gonna be very

00:03:45   hard for me to commit to playing a video game for I'm I'm like,

00:03:49   I'm not gonna play a video game for 30 hours.

00:03:44   It's just never gonna happen.

00:03:52   So I really like those, what John Saracusa calls the artsy fartsy games that

00:03:56   are like five.

00:03:58   Like I did um Hurdling, which Panic published, which is a journey, it's kind

00:04:02   of like journey vibes a little bit.

00:04:04   And it I think it I think it was a total of about five

00:04:06   hours.

00:04:07   Yeah, it's like a it's like it's a little longer than watching a movie.

00:04:10   It's like a mini-series.

00:04:12   Yeah, yeah, exactly.

00:04:14   So that was um uh that was a time commitment I could do.

00:04:21   I I wouldn't do it regularly.

00:04:22   I mean, we do we watch, we watch a lot of uh movies and

00:04:25   TV and I read a lot of books.

00:04:27   And that I mean that kind of covers it.

00:04:29   And so it's very hard for me to find time.

00:04:31   Also, I I really try to prioritize stuff I can do with Lauren when

00:04:38   it's when she's home and I'm home and it's our entertainment time, and and

00:04:43   there are games that you can play.

00:04:44   We I think we just hand it off the controller for hurling, and there's

00:04:47   some games I was reading about um was it Big Walk that Panic it's

00:04:52   from the people who did Untitled Goose Game.

00:04:54   There was just a report, a uh review of it this morning, I think

00:04:56   in the merch because I sent it to my wife saying this could be

00:04:59   our next game.

00:05:00   Yeah, and I looked at that and I thought, well, that even though it's

00:05:02   a very long, open-ended game, it's a co-op game.

00:05:06   And that's part for me, that's part of it too, is a um it

00:05:11   is stuff like we can do together.

00:05:12   Like we played Journey together and it was the same thing.

00:05:14   We like with Hurtling, we just handed the controller back and forth for various

00:05:17   levels.

00:05:18   So I only I watched half the levels and played half the levels, but

00:05:21   it was great.

00:05:22   Um so I I I don't know how my so my turning the tables

00:05:26   question is how do you find time to do all the stuff you do

00:05:29   and play games and you've got a little kid?

00:05:32   How Dan?

00:05:33   How is it possible?

00:05:34   See, I'm taking Will's side here now.

00:05:35   Oh, how the turntables have turned.

00:05:37   Yes.

00:05:38   Um I don't play that many games.

00:05:41   I think I view games as kind of fungible with uh like TV for

00:05:46   me, in terms of a thing that I often do, like when I'm yeah,

00:05:50   like there's TV shows I watch with my wife, and there's TV shows I

00:05:53   watch by myself because she's not interested.

00:05:55   And there's games that I play with my wife, and then there's games I

00:05:57   play by myself because she's not interested.

00:05:59   Like you, I really enjoy doing co-op games with my wife.

00:06:02   We played Baldur's Gate 3.

00:06:03   We put in like 120 hours on that game.

00:06:06   And that's because for like several months, it was our largely instead of watching

00:06:10   TV thing.

00:06:11   Like we put our kid to bed, we have like an hour, maybe two

00:06:15   to like stay up before we go to bed, and that was like what

00:06:18   we did.

00:06:18   You know, we sit down and we play the game for a couple hours,

00:06:20   and we worked our way through the entire game.

00:06:22   It was super fun.

00:06:23   But I also it was interesting.

00:06:24   I was having this conversation with some of the people that we were hanging

00:06:27   out with on vacation last week, because a lot of them are married couples,

00:06:30   a little bit younger than some of them have kids, some of them don't.

00:06:32   And so we were discussing that, and it it there's a lot of people

00:06:35   who are like, you know, my partner is not interested in playing in playing

00:06:38   video games.

00:06:39   Um, and so that's a thing that I do by myself.

00:06:42   Uh, and I think it really just depends on on what people are interested

00:06:46   in.

00:06:46   I I don't play that many games.

00:06:48   I've been playing the there was a recent uh James Bond game called First

00:06:52   Light, which I've played a bunch of, but haven't finished, and it's just because

00:06:57   I got busy and I just don't have that much time to like spend

00:07:02   I I like break it up.

00:07:03   Like I do like hour chunks here and there.

00:07:05   I don't sit down and play a 30-hour game, you know, in 30 hours.

00:07:08   Shirts.

00:07:08   That would be that would be real bad.

00:07:10   Yeah, don't do that.

00:07:11   Um, but like before that, I was playing um Ghost of Yote, which is

00:07:14   a sequel to like a samurai game on the PS5, and it's a very

00:07:14   long game, and I was like picking away at it.

00:07:22   I played it for months, and then I just got like to a point

00:07:25   of being, I'm just tired and I need something else, and then I've started

00:07:28   playing the James Bond game.

00:07:29   It's like, I'll go back to it at some point.

00:07:31   But I had put so much time into it because I I feel like

00:07:34   I get like Tony, get very detail-oriented, like I'm gonna check off all these

00:07:37   boxes.

00:07:38   But yeah, it's a thing I do instead of watching TV.

00:07:41   If like my wife is just, you know, I'm gonna watch this show that

00:07:44   I'm into, or she's doing some work or something like that.

00:07:46   That'll be my like I'll burn an hour playing this game.

00:07:48   But I don't read nearly as many books as you do, so I probably

00:07:52   read about half as many books as you do.

00:07:53   So you write more books than I do, though.

00:07:55   So that's I probably do, yes.

00:07:57   I will also say, you know, we do podcasts here in the evenings, and

00:08:02   so Lauren watches a bunch of stuff that I don't watch because she's got

00:08:07   shows she she has as her, like when I'm in here doing a podcast,

00:08:11   she's yeah, she's watching that show.

00:08:12   But there's so much good TV on, it's also very hard to like I

00:08:15   I feel like we have an enormous backlog of um good TV shows right

00:08:20   now.

00:08:21   That is the biggest challenge too, because my wife gets very like she's she

00:08:25   runs hot and cold on like shows.

00:08:27   She'll get really into it and we'll do nothing but like binge a show

00:08:29   for and then still taper off.

00:08:32   So like we still have the last half of last season of silo.

00:08:35   Oh wow.

00:08:36   Yeah, and I'm just like, we should just finish this because the new season's

00:08:39   coming up.

00:08:39   We just blasted through the whole season of silo because we I got the

00:08:42   have the screeners, and that was like yeah, that picked up speed as it

00:08:46   went, where we were like watching one every day.

00:08:47   But like we finally last night, again, after a week of vacation, so we

00:08:51   were hanging out with people and stuff.

00:08:52   We weren't really watching TV.

00:08:54   We finally watched the season opener of Strange New Worlds last night.

00:08:57   Oh yeah.

00:08:57   Which is like a week and a half old.

00:08:59   Oh yeah.

00:08:59   My God, a Star Trek show I haven't watched in like a week and

00:09:02   a half.

00:09:02   This is wild.

00:09:03   That's it.

00:08:59   Yeah.

00:09:04   I mean, there's just we do live in a in a world where there

00:09:07   is uh there is there are so many entertainment options and there's only so

00:09:12   much time in the day.

00:09:14   And oh the other thing I was gonna say to Will is the other

00:09:16   my other big time hole is that I'm a sports fan.

00:09:22   Yeah, and so I don't have that.

00:09:23   I escape on that front.

00:09:25   Yeah, and and like the Giants are having a terrible year this year, but

00:09:28   like when the Giants are having a good year, you know, a baseball game

00:09:33   is like three hours long, two and a half hours long.

00:09:36   And if I want to sit down, and I enjoy sitting down and watching

00:09:39   a baseball game, but you know, that blows a hole in your evening right

00:09:43   there.

00:09:43   Like that's what you're doing that evening.

00:09:45   You're not reading a book, you're not watching a TV show, you're watching a

00:09:48   baseball game for the whole time.

00:09:50   The Red Sox were having a real bad season, and then they turned it

00:09:53   around, yeah.

00:09:53   Something happened.

00:09:54   Yeah, that didn't happen.

00:09:55   The Giants are just trading all their players and they're done.

00:09:57   But um, and I have not as a I mean, the funny thing is

00:10:01   it's actually kind of optimal in a way, where back in 2021, the Giants

00:10:07   won like 107 games, and like that was such an entertaining season, and we

00:10:11   watched so many games that year because it was so entertaining.

00:10:14   The good news is when the product is bad, you get your time back.

00:10:18   Yeah, don't watch.

00:10:19   So it's kind of nice.

00:10:20   We watched a bunch of World Cup games, as I know you did.

00:10:23   So that was also like a time limit.

00:10:25   And we did the Olympics earlier this year too.

00:10:26   So like it's got like there's time limited events too sometimes that come up,

00:10:30   and yeah, that that eats a whole lot.

00:10:32   Yeah, yeah.

00:10:32   Sports is sports can really be, you know, and I'm a college football fan

00:10:35   in the fall and and uh there and the baseball playoffs, I'll absolutely but

00:10:39   I mean the baseball playoffs really do kind of capture us for a month

00:10:42   where it's it's a lot less likely to watch stuff and the World Cup

00:10:44   was a lot of fun.

00:10:47   Um being a uh Premier League fan in the US is actually nice because

00:10:51   it's all like on weekend mornings so it doesn't interfere with the rest of

00:10:55   my life but um but yeah that's so that that eats up time too.

00:10:58   So there's lots of places it goes.

00:11:00   Um but I feel like the one that is a thing that I theoretically

00:11:03   would like to do but I I never do is play video games because

00:11:06   I I have I have bought so many video games and consoles and things

00:11:11   over the years and yet I never use even like four percent of oh

00:11:16   yeah I still have a I have a switch too that I got for

00:11:18   Christmas and I haven't played it in months because I just again there's just

00:11:22   no time like there's other stuff.

00:11:24   Yeah I have a switch too and I I've actually bought a couple of

00:11:26   games for us to play on the Switch too and we still haven't played

00:11:28   them yet but maybe sometime I don't know uh well thank you Will for

00:11:32   your question and if you want to uh go to upgradefeedback.com and leave a

00:11:36   snow talk question of course you can do that too um by just going

00:11:40   to the website I just mentioned that's how that works it's the internet come

00:11:43   on I remember the first time I saw a URL on a billboard it

00:11:46   was in the 90s driving up one on one in San Francisco the place

00:11:49   where it's all like the mind blowing AI billboards now.

00:11:52   Yep.

00:11:52   And somebody I don't even remember what it was but somebody had a like

00:11:55   a maybe it was like Yahoo or something but it was like somebody had

00:11:57   a URL on a billboard and I was like what is happening and now

00:12:01   now it's like QR QR codes on billboards.

00:12:04   Yeah well not and it's also like literally would you like this completely basic

00:12:08   thing?

00:12:09   Go to a website.

00:12:10   Like like there's no no talking to people there's no phone numbers anymore and

00:12:13   there's nothing it's just or it's scan this QR code.

00:12:16   Would you like to order food at this airport restaurant?

00:12:19   Scan the QR code.

00:12:21   I drove from Boston to Delaware last week.

00:12:24   And when you are driving through New Jersey, like the New York, New Jersey

00:12:28   area, Connecticut too, there is a the genre of like legal injury billboard is

00:12:36   insane.

00:12:37   That's the one thing about the weird AI billboards in the Bay Area, especially

00:12:42   in San Francisco and down the Silicon Valley, like the 101 corridor.

00:12:46   The nice thing about it is it is a real break from the law

00:12:50   firms.

00:12:51   It's yeah, real breaks.

00:12:53   So many.

00:12:53   We have all these weird um electronic billboards in the East Bay.

00:12:57   When I'm driving to Oakland, which I do pretty frequently, um we have all

00:13:01   these electronic billboards.

00:13:03   They're, you know, they they rotate.

00:13:04   They're there's giant screens.

00:13:06   And um sometimes they get like all fancy and they're like, oh, we like

00:13:10   we're the official law firm of the Giants.

00:13:12   Here's the Giants score, or we're the official law firm of the 49ers, here's

00:13:16   the 49ers score, which is fun that they can do that when the game

00:13:19   is going on.

00:13:20   Although I did see a billboard the other day that was for somebody who

00:13:24   was uh it was it was like Bay Area get excited, the World Cup

00:13:28   is coming to the Bay Area, and it said it's coming in minus 38

00:13:32   days.

00:13:33   Someone, someone no one was ready to release that billboard, I guess.

00:13:37   And I I keep thinking, what was the catastrophic chain of events that led

00:13:40   to that that screen being shown?

00:13:42   And I kind of feel like it was like underneath a layer of a

00:13:44   bunch of other stuff that timed out.

00:13:46   And so it was and it ended up being visible when obviously nobody ever

00:13:50   intended to be visible two months after the World Cup.

00:13:53   I I also just really have to share this.

00:13:55   This is not from this most recent trip, but I think last year's trip,

00:13:58   um, some gu, some lawyer got Christopher McDonald to be on his billboard, which

00:14:06   a mute in like Connecticut or something.

00:14:08   Oh, doing another like I have Hillmore.

00:14:10   Yes, and I kept passing all of these billboards.

00:14:13   I'm like, I hope he got paid real well.

00:14:16   I bet he did.

00:14:17   Or it's his need.

00:14:14   Also, the absurdity.

00:14:20   Yeah, the absurdity of Christopher McDonald is like, yeah, sure, I'll do a billboard

00:14:24   thing.

00:14:24   Yeah.

00:14:24   I mean, this is funny.

00:14:25   This is all people.

00:14:26   I want to.

00:14:27   I I since I love the show hacks, I want to see him on

00:14:29   a casino billboard.

00:14:30   That's what I want.

00:14:31   I'm you know what?

00:14:32   It can be a good one.

00:14:33   Or Christoph McDonald's place where you can see it anywhere.

00:14:35   Also, he was on um Star Trek, and nobody should forget that.

00:14:38   He's he usually plays a CAD, but he was actually a sweet guy on

00:14:41   that next generation episode.

00:14:43   All right, let's move on to a little bit of follow-up.

00:14:45   Just a little bit.

00:14:46   This is uh the segment, Dan, when when uh you don't have to take

00:14:49   any of the blame because you weren't here when we did this.

00:14:51   Yeah, I didn't do nothing.

00:14:52   Uh Dave wrote in.

00:14:53   Um we were talking about the iPhone upgrade program, which we're gonna talk about

00:14:56   on this show.

00:14:57   Oh boy, are we?

00:14:58   Um, because I got somebody here who's in the program.

00:15:01   Hello.

00:15:02   So uh we'll get to that.

00:15:03   But Dave wrote in and said, I have great news for the guy.

00:15:06   We had a we had a person who wrote in who's using Mint Mobile

00:15:09   but thinks he can't join the iPhone upgrade format program.

00:15:12   Now the bad news is the iPhone upgrade program can no longer be joined.

00:15:15   But the good news is that Dave uses Mint and is on the upgrade

00:15:19   program.

00:15:20   Uh, and now literally, Dave points out on this upgrade program as well, by

00:15:24   picking a T-Mobile phone because uh Mint is owned by T Mobile and is

00:15:28   an MVNO T Mobile, and it may be that that's the case.

00:15:31   This is not news you can use though, unfortunately, because the upgrade program is

00:15:38   being discontinued, and we will talk about that in a little bit, because there's

00:15:43   things happening there, and I think Dan has feelings about it.

00:15:46   I do.

00:15:46   But before we do that, I would like to tell you about our first

00:15:49   sponsor.

00:15:49   This episode of Upgrade is brought to you by Factor.

00:15:52   The summer of fun is in full swing.

00:15:54   Travel is in full swing.

00:15:55   Dan was traveling, I was traveling, Mike is traveling.

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00:17:57   Rumor Roundup time, Dan.

00:17:59   Yeehaw!

00:18:00   Thank you.

00:18:01   Thank you.

00:18:01   Very nice.

00:18:02   Very nice.

00:18:03   Mark German, the sheriff of Rumortown is back with more.

00:18:08   We had two weeks of Mark German.

00:18:10   So that's good because we were pretty light.

00:18:14   Yeah.

00:18:15   Yeah, it was.

00:18:16   This week was pretty pretty light.

00:18:17   But last week, I so he he actually reported last week about the kind

00:18:23   of onslaught of home tech.

00:18:25   He's sort of resetting, he's reported a lot of this before, but kind of

00:18:28   resetting what's going to happen this fall and maybe into early next year.

00:18:31   He says the much, much rumored by him home pod with a screenslash home

00:18:37   controller tablet product, whatever it is.

00:18:39   I've seen some people call it the home pad.

00:18:41   I don't know what they're gonna call it.

00:18:43   Who knows?

00:18:44   Uh could be coming this fall alongside a new Apple TV 4K and HomePod

00:18:49   Mini.

00:18:49   The idea being that they will all be upgraded so that they work with

00:18:53   some version of Siri AI.

00:18:56   Um set to release, he says the Apple TV and Home Pod Mini this

00:19:00   fall for sure, and the home hub between October and early next year.

00:19:05   And of course, he's reported previously that the John Turnis uh era is fitting

00:19:10   for all of this because John Turnis is one of the people who sort

00:19:13   of like championed Apple pushing into the smart home.

00:19:17   So it we may be we may finally be there.

00:19:19   I I actually keep picturing in my mind the idea of like a like

00:19:22   a home event almost in October where they roll out their home strategy.

00:19:26   Because it feels like they've got a lot of the pieces here.

00:19:28   They just have failed to put it together.

00:19:31   I wonder if they will so if they release a new home pod mini

00:19:34   and Apple TV and like kind of an event and like you know that

00:19:37   in itself is maybe you know a little sparse but I wonder if they

00:19:41   would tease this you know home pad or something there as well.

00:19:45   Oh like you know well they do that sometimes right they especially things that

00:19:49   require some developer buy-in it might be like hey and next you know month

00:19:53   to early spring we're gonna ship this product that has a screen I think

00:19:59   there's an argument there that it might be a case where they pre-announce something

00:20:02   to give a little more critical mass to this whole genre yeah um and

00:20:07   say like look it's not just the home pod mini in the Apple TV

00:20:10   look that's fine and there's no new those are big yeah that's not a

00:20:13   big tent pole product that's with the screen that's a big deal especially if

00:20:17   I I'm very curious to see what the Siri AI integration is going to

00:20:21   be because we have a couple models right now in terms of things like

00:20:26   you know uh the phone versus right the watch does it run on the

00:20:30   watch or is it only run like sort of on the watch.

00:20:33   I mean it's it's it's leaning hard on the iPhone that's attached to the

00:20:37   iPhone yeah so so there's a couple different possibilities right I can see something

00:20:41   like a home pod mini following that same chart like because it doesn't have

00:20:45   the horsepower like even if they upgrade the chip in it it's not gonna

00:20:48   be it's not gonna be a brand new chip for reasons.

00:20:52   And so you're gonna need to sort of offload some of that computing.

00:20:55   But fundamentally the challenge is that you have these devices right now that are

00:20:59   supposed to be entry points into your smart home and they're not very smart.

00:21:03   And if you start like in September, you know, people start getting uh Siri

00:21:07   AI on their phones, and then they go to their home pod and they're

00:21:10   like, why is this thing so dumb?

00:21:12   And that's a frustrating experience because you have to remember which Siri you're talking

00:21:17   to.

00:21:17   And if you get used to this, oh, there's all these great new features

00:21:19   that Siri AI can do and all this stuff it can do.

00:21:22   And if your home pod mini is still key, I found some web results

00:21:24   for you.

00:21:25   Look at them on your iPhone, you're gonna be annoyed.

00:21:28   Yeah, it is the I think we called this a couple years ago when

00:21:31   we thought there would be Apple Intelligence and there wasn't really.

00:21:34   Yeah.

00:21:34   Um, it was like Siri fragmentation, the idea that you've got smart Siri in

00:21:39   some places and dumb Siri in other places.

00:21:40   And I what I want to say is you can't do that.

00:21:42   Now they can do it.

00:21:44   Yeah, it's it's unavoidable because everybody's own who owns a home pod mini, you're

00:21:47   probably not getting sorry, your your Siri stays dumb, probably.

00:21:51   Yeah, I mean, I I I wish that they could do something as simple

00:21:54   as a I mean, a simple, okay, I'm overstating it, but like a software

00:21:57   update that basically says don't if there's a if there's a Siri AI capable

00:22:00   device around, don't answer the question on the home pod.

00:22:03   Like just don't do it.

00:22:05   But I'm not sure that they can even do that.

00:22:06   I don't think so.

00:22:07   And it's a way to sell new home pods or whatever.

00:22:09   I wonder about the Apple TV 4K, just because one of the advantages of

00:22:13   having a product like that, they already use it as the home hub for

00:22:16   automation and thread and or matter and whatever else they're doing there.

00:22:19   There's a lot of stuff that you can you can rely on an Apple

00:22:22   TV for.

00:22:23   I wonder if it if you've got devices that are incapable of doing Siri

00:22:27   AI, I wonder if they bulk up the Apple TV 4K so that it

00:22:32   is so that your other home devices don't necessarily have to go to your

00:22:38   phone.

00:22:38   They could go to your Apple TV, or maybe this new this new screen,

00:22:43   this this new home pad or whatever you want to call it, that might

00:22:46   also be another way to be one of those kind of controllers because you

00:22:50   want to have the problem with having everything go to your your phone is

00:22:54   first off, different people have different phones and they will have different capabilities.

00:22:57   And second, sometimes you those people leave.

00:23:01   Yeah.

00:23:01   I have this problem with you know, my wife and I have you both

00:23:03   use the home pod mini, and you know, uh sometimes it doesn't recognize one

00:23:08   of the other and it tells you like, oh, you have to go re-authenticate.

00:23:11   Tell us once again that who you are.

00:23:13   Um and I think the Apple TV thing is really interesting too because one

00:23:18   of the other so we saw that price increase for it.

00:23:21   And a lot of people speculated this is to sort of, you know, adjust

00:23:26   people before a new Apple TV comes out.

00:23:29   And one of the ways they could justify that price tag if they felt

00:23:32   like they had to was okay, now it's got Siri AI and it does

00:23:35   all this other ancillary stuff too.

00:23:37   It also helps compensate for the fact that uh TV OS27 basically did not

00:23:42   get any new features, right?

00:23:44   Nothing, nothing really of note this year.

00:23:47   And so that could help bulk up that product because the people who have

00:23:50   an Apple TV are gonna be like, I it's barely worth it to upgrade

00:23:54   the software, much less buy a new box at this point.

00:23:57   So yeah, if you want to sell some more Apple TVs and some home

00:24:00   pod minis, then you need to make them do something that they don't already

00:24:03   do.

00:24:03   Right.

00:24:04   The AI enabled stuff might be a way to do that.

00:24:07   I do wonder, I I mean, German said that the this homepad for lack

00:24:12   of a better word, uh, is is gonna have some facial recognition so you

00:24:15   or or voice recognition features so that you're gonna be able to, you know,

00:24:19   the way he puts it, it might be plausibly more of a multi-user product,

00:24:25   which is good, right?

00:24:26   Like they they've done some steps in this way where where it's like voice

00:24:29   recognition and things like that.

00:24:30   But like really, if you're in a house and you have personal information from

00:24:34   various people, knowing which data source to access on a query, knowing which phone

00:24:41   to look at, whatever it is, would make the product better.

00:24:44   And it makes me think that maybe that product is also smarter than a

00:24:44   home pod.

00:24:51   And if that's the case, then maybe you know it's an alternative.

00:24:55   You don't want an Apple TV, this thing will also be your hub.

00:24:58   And I, you know, there's a lot of skepticism about that about this product.

00:25:03   And um, like when I'm on MacBreak Weekly, I definitely get there's a lot

00:25:06   of people are like, why do you even need well?

00:25:08   Why does there need to be another home pod?

00:25:09   And it's like I first off, having had an Echo Show and a Google

00:25:14   Nest home, whatever, the bar is on is not even, there's no bar.

00:25:18   Those products are so terrible.

00:25:20   Uh, David Pogue wrote a piece today on his Substack about how bad Alexa

00:25:24   Plus is, by the way, that's hilarious, where he had to do all the

00:25:26   things that Amazon says you should try, and they it failed at all, but

00:25:30   like four of them.

00:25:31   It's uh just amazing.

00:25:32   And we'll see how Siri AI does with that too.

00:25:34   But my point is that these other products with screens that let you do

00:25:38   theoretically voice control and show some widgets and let you control things in your

00:25:41   home, they're not in the Apple ecosystem and they're bad.

00:25:44   So there's a real ripe opportunity there for people to have, even if it's

00:25:49   just like pretty basic, like show me my photos and turn on these lights

00:25:54   or adjust the thermostat or whatever.

00:25:56   Like it the bar is super low.

00:25:58   I see this whole category of products now, you know, kind of like the

00:26:02   terminal and things like that, where it's like, hey, here's your calendar and it's

00:26:05   on your fridge or whatever.

00:26:06   You know, here's some photos.

00:26:08   I just saw another one today.

00:26:10   Um Skylight, I think is one.

00:26:13   Anyways, it's the idea of having a screen that shows stuff that's like visual

00:26:16   information that people in your household need to like refer to.

00:26:19   And it's maybe a smaller market, but it is a market.

00:26:22   There are all these products that have cropped up to do this kind of

00:26:25   thing.

00:26:26   And the the advantage of Apple doing it itself is it lowers the barrier

00:26:31   to entry, right?

00:26:29   A lot of those products are like setting it up is going to be

00:26:34   kind of technical.

00:26:29   You're gonna have to jump through some hoops, et cetera.

00:26:36   Whereas if Apple approaches it with its usual Apple system, it's like you know,

00:26:41   you you plug it in, you wave your phone near it or something, and

00:26:45   you're basically done, probably.

00:26:46   Yeah.

00:26:46   So I I think there's a lot there.

00:26:48   And I think, you know, the promise of all those screen-based systems were high.

00:26:53   I mean, when I first got I got an echo show, I think the

00:26:55   very first one, and you know, simple things like I can see all the

00:26:58   timers I've set, you know, that is legit useful because that was one of

00:27:02   the places that these voice assistants were really good, but it was frustrating to

00:27:06   like, oh, it would be really nice if I could see all these things.

00:27:09   Um, and so I think you know, the place they aired is in I

00:27:12   think taking them too far out of what was useful.

00:27:15   It's like, oh, now you're gonna watch YouTube videos while you cook dinner.

00:27:19   I was like, only if I don't want to keep my fingers because I'm

00:27:23   cutting something off if I'm paying attention to a video while I'm cutting vegetables.

00:27:27   Yeah, it's I mean, people do have like TVs in their kitchen and stuff,

00:27:30   but I never really got the appeal of that.

00:27:32   No, it's it I I can't wait.

00:27:33   I I mean we we've talked before about how um all of those mysterious

00:27:39   upgrades to video cameras in home kit secure video seem to suggest that Apple

00:27:43   suddenly cares about video cameras, which seems to suggest Apple's gonna make a video

00:27:47   camera.

00:27:47   And German has said he's he's squirrely about it.

00:27:50   He said, I think that his latest report was an indoor video camera, which

00:27:55   I am much less interested in than an outdoor video camera, but also a

00:27:59   doorbell like a ring-like thing, which is that's your outdoor something.

00:28:03   I don't, I don't my house is so small, I do not need a

00:28:05   doorbell, but I do have a video camera outside.

00:28:08   I have the Accara, which is home Kit Secure Video, and it has benefited

00:28:11   greatly from the new features.

00:28:12   So that, yeah, I I really want an event.

00:28:14   Look, Apple events are about storytelling.

00:28:14   Otherwise, you just do a press release.

00:28:19   Storytelling is part of the reason you do a whole event, and Apple will

00:28:23   invite people somewhere and they'll have like press demos and they will have a

00:28:26   video and they will be able to tell their story.

00:28:29   And if they have a new home strategy and it includes some products that

00:28:33   that don't exist yet, which means you can't you can't use the, you know,

00:28:37   uh suppress sales of the existing ones because they don't exist to lay out

00:28:41   their whole strategy and say, we're doing these now, and coming later this year,

00:28:44   we'll have these other products and and have a more expansive view of Apple's

00:28:49   home strategy.

00:28:50   Like I want to hear them, if they're gonna do this, they need to

00:28:52   tell that story.

00:28:53   And I I hope they do it.

00:28:55   To your earlier point about John Turnus being a good tie-in for that, it's

00:28:59   also a good opportunity for him to put his stamp on something, right?

00:29:02   Like to say, okay, here's an event, you know, would would Tim have done

00:29:06   this event?

00:29:07   Who knows?

00:29:07   But like it feels fresh and new when it's a different CEO coming out

00:29:11   and being like, hey, I've got this exciting new initiative to tell you all

00:29:14   about, right?

00:29:14   Like that's a good moment for you as a CEO in the early days

00:29:18   of your leadership, is to be able to come out and say, here's a

00:29:21   bunch of new products.

00:29:22   And you're like, whoa, this guy.

00:29:24   Yeah, clearly, he built all these products himself in the last two months.

00:29:27   Yeah.

00:29:28   Yeah, he's that he's just a busy guy.

00:29:29   He's just doing doing he's killing it.

00:29:32   All right, well, we will keep an eye on that.

00:29:35   Let's talk about the uh Apple upgrade program, which Apple has announced.

00:29:40   It is a new Apple upgrade program.

00:29:42   It is not to be confused with this, the original upgrade program that you're

00:29:47   listening to right now.

00:29:48   It replaces the existing iPhone upgrade program with one that covers not just the

00:29:52   iPhone, but the Mac, the iPad, the Apple Watch.

00:29:55   Turns it from a loan into a lease.

00:29:58   You have been an iPhone upgrade program user for many, many years.

00:30:03   Since the beginning, I think.

00:29:59   I think I was there first year.

00:30:05   So you wrote a piece on six colors about like all your concerns about

00:30:08   what it might be.

00:30:09   Now that we know what Apple's doing here, this is a deal with Klarna,

00:30:14   although it's really kind of branded as Apple.

00:30:16   And the idea is that you are going to choose a length and you

00:30:20   get an amount to pay, and then at the end, you either turn in

00:30:23   the device or you buy out the rest of the lease.

00:30:27   Um, what are you thinking now, especially about I mean, we it goes beyond

00:30:32   the iPhone and we should talk about that, but let's start with just sort

00:30:35   of compared to the product that they were selling, which was the iPhone upgrade

00:30:39   program that you've been on and that is now going to be ending next

00:30:43   year.

00:30:44   How you know what what strikes you about what's different about Apple's approach here?

00:30:49   Yeah, I mean, look, there's a few things here, right?

00:30:51   There's the mechanics of it, and then there's some stuff that's more vibe-based.

00:30:55   I think if you sit down and look at the numbers, the numbers are

00:30:58   comparable.

00:30:59   Um, you know, you you look at the the I looked at my uh

00:31:03   iPhone, I've got a 17 Pro, it's just the base level 256.

00:31:08   For the last year on the iPhone upgrade program, I've been paying, I think

00:31:10   $57 a month, which is, you know, it's divided by 24 or whatever.

00:31:16   But you can upgrade after 12.

00:31:17   All right.

00:31:18   Under the new program, if I go and look at like, okay, I want

00:31:20   to buy the same exact phone I've got now, how much is it gonna

00:31:23   cost me to lease that?

00:31:25   It's a little bit cheaper.

00:31:27   It's like uh, I want to say 40, $40 dollars or so for a

00:31:31   12-year lease.

00:31:32   This is one of the, or a 12 um month lease.

00:31:35   This is one of the interesting facts is like nominally the price you're paying

00:31:39   over the course of time is divided up into like 24 payments, I think.

00:31:43   But if in a 12-month lease, you're still only paying only part of the

00:31:44   value of the phone, essentially.

00:31:49   Um $46 is the 12-month lease now through the Apple upgrade program.

00:31:55   Now that's cheaper, but in large part that's because the previous iPhone upgrade program

00:32:00   bundled Apple Care with it.

00:32:01   So for that $57, I was paying $11 more per month, but I got

00:32:05   Apple Care Plus, I believe, with theft and loss.

00:32:08   That's now they also Apple tweaked the prices of Apple Care stuff.

00:32:12   So that's now $14.

00:32:14   So if you wanted to get Apple Care on top of that, setting aside

00:32:18   one thing I'll talk about in a second, then you're gonna pay more.

00:32:21   Not a lot more, but a little more.

00:32:23   Um obviously there's also Apple Care One, which they introduced uh late last year,

00:32:28   early this year, um, which essentially is your monthly thing that covers several different

00:32:33   devices.

00:32:34   So you could, if you have multiple Apple devices, maybe you would save some

00:32:38   money if you have Apple Care in all of them.

00:32:40   Uh like many people, I think including you, I do not tend to be

00:32:44   an Apple career subscriber.

00:32:45   I got it with the phone, which was nice.

00:32:48   I don't think I have ever used it in the decade, right?

00:32:50   This is insurance.

00:32:51   This is what happens.

00:32:52   I paid uh for that because I did not really have a choice to

00:32:55   not pay for it, and I never used it.

00:32:57   Um so yeah, I could save money on this plan.

00:33:00   That would be nice.

00:33:01   Um, but now we enter into a couple other things that I think are

00:33:06   tricky.

00:33:06   The upgrade path is a question.

00:33:08   I mean, so they say you can upgrade at the end of your term

00:33:10   of your month, the term of your uh lease.

00:33:13   So that's 12 months for this particular one.

00:33:15   Um you can upgrade sooner with a fee.

00:33:18   There is like on the current system, which is a loan, not a lease,

00:33:22   you can sort of buy out your loan.

00:33:24   Um there's questions of what are the additional fees.

00:33:27   I poked around a little bit to see if I could find the you

00:33:29   know nitty-gritty details of this.

00:33:33   And I had not been able to find like a place that just laid

00:33:36   all out all of the like here is the terms of the Apple upgrade

00:33:39   program.

00:33:39   I'm sure it's in there, but you might have to go further down the

00:33:42   process to get there.

00:33:43   And so that is kind of one question for me is there are a

00:33:46   couple places that allude to fees that you might have to play pay if

00:33:50   you want to do things like terminate your lease early.

00:33:53   Um that is a question to me.

00:33:55   And as always, with these kinds of programs, you always kind of wonder, well,

00:34:00   how are the people making their money, right?

00:34:03   Um that was always a question with, you know, in the case of the

00:34:07   uh the previous iPhone upgrade program, this was a loan underwritten by Citizens Bank.

00:34:12   Um, and you essentially like, you know, they lent you money to buy a

00:34:17   phone, but it was your phone.

00:34:18   In this case, you are essentially renting a phone.

00:34:21   It may be to a certain degree a distinction difference, but I think there

00:34:24   is slightly something there because you are more, I think, beholden to the terms

00:34:28   of this deal potentially.

00:34:30   And I think this is where the question of Clarna comes in because I

00:34:33   think this is this is more of a vibes thing.

00:34:35   It's like, I don't associate anything great with Claren.

00:34:38   Right.

00:34:38   Mainly because one of the things they're known for are those buy now pay

00:34:41   later ideas, right?

00:34:42   Where it's like you pay something and sort of finance it over the short

00:34:45   term.

00:34:45   And in theory, it's all cheap.

00:34:46   It's a zero interest loan, but you got to read the fine print.

00:34:49   And if you miss plans or mispayments, you potentially rack up some costs.

00:34:54   So I think I have some questions about that before I would sort of

00:34:58   step in and immediately be like, okay, this is a great substitute.

00:35:01   Um I I think Apple is still working hard to try and make sure

00:35:06   that they're uh the Apple brand promise is still delivered by this.

00:35:11   Right.

00:35:11   But it's tricky because there is a different partner.

00:35:15   And I think the thing about citizens having like a bank involved was like,

00:35:14   well, it's a bank, you know.

00:35:20   Like I don't need to be like, how does the bank make its money?

00:35:23   I know how the banks make their money.

00:35:25   And I felt like in that case, the loan was very well managed.

00:35:29   I never really had a problem with any of them.

00:35:31   You know, I had some problems like mechanically with the upgrade program.

00:35:34   Every once in a while you'd run into something weird where it's like, hey,

00:35:37   you didn't ship your phone back to us.

00:35:38   And I was like, yes, I did.

00:35:40   Um, but I I worked it all got worked out.

00:35:43   And so I guess the question is in the future, if something goes wrong,

00:35:47   am I gonna have to talk to Apple or am I gonna have to

00:35:49   talk to Klarna?

00:35:50   Because I know which of those I'd rather do.

00:35:52   Um and it it has me a little wary of this program.

00:35:57   I'm not gonna say it's a bad deal because I think anybody who's run

00:36:00   the numbers has been like, it's very comparable.

00:36:03   Um, but I I do have some questions about the implementation.

00:36:06   And my biggest experience with the iPhone upgrade program over the course of it

00:36:10   was that it started very rough and it got better over time.

00:36:14   So a part of me is a little worried about the prospect of being

00:36:18   a guinea pig with an unknown partner in the mix.

00:36:23   Because if something does go wrong, it how difficult is it going to be

00:36:27   for me to untangle all of that?

00:36:29   Because time has a value as well.

00:36:31   So, you know, like I said, some of this is very vibes based, where

00:36:36   it's like, I feel a slightly uneasy of it or just wary about it.

00:36:41   And I'm not quite ready to dive right in, but I I do appreciate

00:36:45   that it is a it is not sort of overtly a like much worse

00:36:51   deal, from what I can tell.

00:36:53   It's just different.

00:36:54   And it's different.

00:36:55   And you're right, vibes is part of it.

00:36:57   I think uh uh all the analysis I've seen from people who've kind of

00:36:59   run the numbers are saying, look, and this is true of literally everything that's

00:37:04   ever been the case with buying, even buying outright a device, which is if

00:37:09   you put in the work, you buy it yourself, you've got the money to

00:37:12   buy it up front, and then you use it, and then at that perfect

00:37:15   moment where you want to get something new, you sell it to someone, you

00:37:19   can make you it will be better off than using a program like this.

00:37:24   But the thing is, you have to have the money up front and you

00:37:26   have to put in the effort to sell it.

00:37:28   And I know for a lot of people, um, this is why, okay, why

00:37:31   did why does the Apple trade in not pay off as well as some

00:37:34   other trade-ins do?

00:37:35   And the answer is because you're you're giving money away for convenience because then

00:37:39   you just do it as part of your Apple transaction when you buy your

00:37:42   new phone is give them your old phone and they buy it back and

00:37:44   they give you credit, and it's easy.

00:37:46   And like, could you sell that phone for more on you know Craigslist or

00:37:51   eBay or to a friend or from a third-party buyback service that has slightly

00:37:57   better rates than Apple's?

00:37:58   Yes, you could, but most people are not going to because it's just more

00:38:02   effort.

00:38:03   And so it's a little bit more to do it this way.

00:38:06   But most people, I think the argument goes, um, are gonna be either not

00:38:12   gonna look or are going to say that I'm not gonna go down that

00:38:15   path.

00:38:16   It's just too complicated.

00:38:17   It does sound that ultimately, I mean, I think a lot of our listeners,

00:38:21   especially, the reason that the a program like this appeals, and I think it's

00:38:24   why it appeals to you, is you get a new phone every year.

00:38:27   And the the part of that is you give your old phone back and

00:38:30   get the new phone.

00:38:31   Exactly.

00:38:31   You don't have to worry.

00:38:32   And there is something, as you said, like the selling it comes with a

00:38:35   cost because there's an idea that like uh what happens if you've slightly dinged

00:38:40   up your phone, right?

00:38:41   Like how much damage is it before Apple will accept it back versus how

00:38:45   much damage is it before somebody else who wants to buy that phone will

00:38:47   be like, that's a little too dinged up for me.

00:38:49   And there and there is there is a cost there.

00:38:51   Yeah.

00:38:51   Yeah.

00:38:52   So that that's all part of the challenge.

00:38:53   But I I think like the appeal of this, because I know the other

00:38:57   part of this is I know that a lot of people are like, well,

00:39:00   I just buy it every year.

00:39:01   And that's what I do.

00:39:02   I just buy a buy a phone.

00:39:04   Um, but it's not just, oh, I don't have the money in the bank.

00:39:06   That is part of it for some people, but it's it's what um I

00:39:10   think you get out of it, which is it is reliability.

00:39:15   It in that that for some people who are looking at their budgets, they

00:39:19   like the idea of spending a fixed amount that they know they're gonna be

00:39:23   spending for the next year.

00:39:24   Not that every September they're gonna get a bill for a thousand and something

00:39:29   dollars, and that there's value in saying I would rather not, and it's it's

00:39:34   essentially interest-free, right?

00:39:35   So it's not I anything other than I just want to spread this out

00:39:39   so it's the same number every month because then my expenses are flat every

00:39:42   month.

00:39:43   Yeah.

00:39:44   And there are still alternatives if you have the Apple card, you can finance

00:39:47   it over the Apple card on sort of the same plan where you kind

00:39:52   of just pay in installments, but you're essentially buying outright, but like paying an

00:39:57   installments.

00:39:58   Slightly different, you don't get the same upgrade like treadmill from that because you

00:40:02   aren't immediately like it's not part of a program.

00:40:06   You're still gonna have to trade it back into Apple.

00:40:08   But like, you know, you can do that with Apple, right?

00:40:10   When you buy a new phone from Apple, they they're like, Do you want

00:40:13   to trade one in?

00:40:13   Like the Apple card, uh, this is all US only, right?

00:40:16   By the way, it's just part of it too.

00:40:17   Is it and that there's, I mean, it's just financial stuff is so restrictive

00:40:21   and it it obviously it shows the limits of Apple's powers that they at

00:40:25   least initially there are only certain places, this is their number one market, and

00:40:28   so they're gonna choose it, but also it's their home market and they're more

00:40:29   comfortable with the with the regulations and all of that.

00:40:34   But obviously also not according to German, not so comfortable that they wanted to

00:40:38   set up their own bank or whatever, right?

00:40:40   Like they really like having financial partners.

00:40:43   Yeah, they briefly had like a financial like company that they kind of created

00:40:47   and then they wound it down.

00:40:49   Yeah, I think because they decided it was more trouble than it's worth.

00:40:51   And I can't blame them for that.

00:40:52   I mean, well, it goes to the whole Tim Tim Cook doctrine of like

00:40:56   you need to control the stuff that that is in inherent and inimical to

00:41:00   your business.

00:41:00   And uh, you know what?

00:41:01   I think they decided this finance stuff is not.

00:41:04   It's it's just we don't need to be the ones who own this.

00:41:07   It's like we could just let do we want to do spread it over

00:41:09   four payments?

00:41:10   Let's just let Klarna do that.

00:41:11   We don't need to do that.

00:41:12   Or we do we need a financial backer.

00:41:14   And and so Klarna here is not a silent partner, but it is vibes

00:41:18   aside, it is basically just the the engine powering this from a financial and

00:41:25   regulatory perspective.

00:41:26   And I think that's reasonable.

00:41:27   Now now we gotta expand this.

00:41:30   This also covers the Mac, the iPad, the Apple Watch, the big tick, the

00:41:34   big ticket items.

00:41:36   Vision Pro, uh the big ticket items are covered in this as well.

00:41:41   And this is uh I want to read a couple of of quotes from

00:41:43   Mark German's take on this because I thought we're out of the room around

00:41:46   up now, but like uh German, I you know that I thought were cynical,

00:41:53   maybe.

00:41:53   I don't know.

00:41:54   German as a pundit is interesting, and then also the worldview of Bloomberg, right,

00:41:58   and all financial journalism is fascinating because they often have a very different worldview

00:42:02   than somebody who's more of a technology person.

00:42:05   Uh but he said that Apple could be could end up building turning its

00:42:09   hardware business into, quote, potentially the largest subscription provider in history.

00:42:14   And ultimately, Apple is changing the psychology of the purchase.

00:42:18   Now, I think this is interesting because on one level, I actually kind of

00:42:24   like where he's going here.

00:42:27   Where prices are going up.

00:42:29   Prices have gone up or and are about to go up and may go

00:42:33   up for a while.

00:42:33   Everything is more expensive than it used to be.

00:42:36   And there are a lot of people in Apple's ecosystem who are, in fact,

00:42:40   I think a lot of our listeners, and we are like this too, where

00:42:44   the way we live our lives is we go from Apple device to Apple

00:42:47   device to Apple device, right?

00:42:50   And this is sort of Apple's opportunity to say, why don't you not buy

00:42:58   products anymore?

00:43:00   Why don't you just get them and add them to your bill?

00:43:04   And if you think about it, they already got Apple One, they've got Apple

00:43:07   Care One.

00:43:08   Now they're going to add this program that has gives you the ability to

00:43:12   basically say, send me, like we said about the iPhone program, send me a

00:43:17   monthly bill.

00:43:18   I know what it's going to be.

00:43:19   And when I reach the point where I want a new whatever, and they

00:43:23   all have terms, right?

00:43:24   So if you say, well, what if I want to keep that map quickare

00:43:26   for three years?

00:43:27   Well, at a certain point, you either upgrade it or you just pay it

00:43:30   off.

00:43:31   You buy it out, yeah.

00:43:31   And then you have it.

00:43:33   So there is a decision point, but it could be 24 or 36 months

00:43:36   out.

00:43:37   Like, I look, I'm somebody who just buys this stuff up front.

00:43:40   So it's it's not for me, but I kind of see the appeal on

00:43:45   a on one level of like if you're just always gonna get a new

00:43:48   Mac every couple years and a new iPhone every year, having a just put

00:43:53   it on my bill, my Apple tithe that is now whatever it is a

00:43:58   month, but you just have the Apple stuff and it's an understandable number that

00:44:03   hits your credit card every month.

00:43:59   I get it.

00:44:06   I I mean I knew people, as I'm sure you have, who you know

00:44:10   always leased cars, right?

00:44:12   They they're like I'm gonna put a car lease for I've never done that

00:44:16   either.

00:44:16   But it's like I'm gonna get a car for three years, I'm gonna get

00:44:18   a new car.

00:44:19   Um and right.

00:44:20   Some people are gonna be that, and some people are gonna be the me

00:44:22   uh thing where uh and you, which is I'm gonna buy a car and

00:44:25   then I'm gonna keep that car a very long time.

00:44:28   Yeah, I and I but I get the appeal.

00:44:30   I mean, if you're a person who is like likes cars and like doesn't

00:44:33   want to deal with like ongoing maintenance as cars, you know, age and break

00:44:36   down once you get a new car.

00:44:38   Um and it's kind of interesting.

00:44:40   I mean, you know, one of German's points was also about sort of the

00:44:42   marketing of it.

00:44:43   And I just was, you know, in our uh went to the iPhone page

00:44:46   and it says right up front, so from 10.9, this iPhone 17 Pro from

00:44:49   1099 or 40, 45.79 cents a month for 24 months, next line, lease from

00:44:56   31.99 for 24 months with Apple upgrade.

00:44:59   And it's like, boy, right?

00:45:02   Like, I see those numbers and I'm like, well, why is it why is

00:45:05   it so much cheaper?

00:45:05   But I can only just pay, I could pay $32 a month and get

00:45:09   it and get this great iPhone, this top of the line iPhone.

00:45:12   Like, yeah, you know, there's a lot of work going into that.

00:45:15   And I think, you know, it's also nice for Apple because not just in

00:45:19   terms of services revenue, but in terms of smoothing their revenue a bit, right?

00:45:23   They get these giant quarters when the new iPhone comes out.

00:45:25   Yeah.

00:45:25   And you're like, well, what if we could take some of that income and

00:45:27   divide it up so that every month we get paid a little bit?

00:45:31   Just spread it out.

00:45:32   There's something to that to the from their financial perspective.

00:45:35   And we should say they're also carrier deals.

00:45:37   So there are other, if you're thinking about this, um your carrier also has

00:45:42   deals, they're different, and you may prefer to work with Apple than work with

00:45:44   your carrier because there's probably greater trust.

00:45:47   Although I I would I I think I said on a Mac break last

00:45:50   week that like I've been on ATT since it was singular.

00:45:55   Um in fact, I think I've been on ATT since it was ATT before

00:45:58   it was singular, and then it became singular and then it became ATT.

00:46:01   I think I just missed the singular years.

00:46:03   And I only have one cell phone service that gives me bars at my

00:46:09   house and it's ATT.

00:46:11   So I'm never leaving ATT.

00:46:12   I'm just never leaving ATT.

00:46:14   And yet I never ever, ever look, even look at their offers.

00:46:19   And like I know I know the cell phone companies are evil and bad.

00:46:24   I I know, but I probably am not saving money I could save because

00:46:30   they're gonna give me the same offer that they'd give to retain a customer

00:46:33   who might churn, and I know I'm never gonna churn.

00:46:36   And yet, so people should look.

00:46:38   I I guess what I'm saying is I know you don't like your carrier,

00:46:40   uh, or you like them less than Apple, maybe, but uh also a thing

00:46:44   to consider.

00:46:45   There are there are lots of there are lots of companies that would like

00:46:47   to, in exchange for a commitment, get a monthly fee from you.

00:46:50   I guess that's why you want your business.

00:46:52   And yeah, absolutely.

00:46:53   But beyond the phone, though, I think like the Mac, it gets really interesting.

00:46:56   The Mac, the iPad, the Apple Watch, where you could just say, you know,

00:47:01   I always want to have an Apple Watch.

00:47:03   I always wanted to be relatively new.

00:47:06   Do I want to go through it it's back to convenience again?

00:47:09   The trouble of buying an Apple Watch and then trying to gauge when its

00:47:12   battery is bad, and do I want to buy full price a new Apple

00:47:16   Watch?

00:47:17   Or do I want to commit to an Apple Watch for two years or

00:47:20   three years, and then know that when it's over, it goes away, and I

00:47:24   commit to a new one for two or three years.

00:47:26   I can see the appeal.

00:47:27   I do.

00:47:27   I mean, and I think, look, it's not an exact analogy, but like if

00:47:32   you're nice, if you are lucky enough and privileged enough to be in the

00:47:35   position to be able to choose, do I want to rent this apartment or

00:47:38   buy a house?

00:47:39   There are different considerations that go into that.

00:47:42   And I think obviously more considerations in the case of renting versus buying a

00:47:45   house.

00:47:46   But yeah, there is something to be said for if you're renting a place,

00:47:49   it's like, well, you can terminate your lease and walk away and rent someplace

00:47:53   else, generally.

00:47:54   Whereas if you got a house, well, now you gotta sell a house.

00:47:57   Um, you know, it it changes the dynamics.

00:47:59   Uh the prices, you know, change.

00:48:01   You have to worry about things like financing.

00:48:04   Um, if you miss a payment, right, like that is an issue as well.

00:48:07   Like, and that's where, again, where companies like Klarna are and probably to a

00:48:12   certain extent the citizens one loan that you got, like they want or assume

00:48:18   some number of people will miss payments and they will make some money on

00:48:21   those people, whether it's via interest or via fees or whatever.

00:48:26   And so, you know, if you are somebody who feels like, well, I can

00:48:29   very confidently make 45 dollars a month payments, then maybe this is a good,

00:48:34   a good plan for you.

00:48:35   I I don't know.

00:48:36   I I on the face of it, I feel like there's no reason I

00:48:39   shouldn't be willing to just switch to this program, but I also feel like

00:48:44   I just don't just not sure.

00:48:47   Like you said, the vibes are weird.

00:48:49   Vibes.

00:48:49   And then I mean, you've got because you're already in the iPhone upgrade program,

00:48:52   you've got a year to think about it before they wind down this program,

00:48:55   right?

00:48:56   Well, I mean, I I I have to, I can't, I have to change

00:49:00   now because if I'm going to get a new phone this fall, I have

00:49:04   to get out.

00:49:04   And so this, and this is the other part of this equation, right?

00:49:07   Like, A, prices are getting you mentioned this before, but prices are getting higher.

00:49:11   Yes.

00:49:11   B, Apple is poised to unveil the most expensive iPhone that it has ever

00:49:16   made.

00:49:16   Yes.

00:49:14   And that, and by a lot.

00:49:19   And so there's an interesting question there, right?

00:49:21   Do you want to pay 2,000 plus dollars, you know, for a brand new

00:49:25   phone?

00:49:26   Or would you rather just pay $70 a month?

00:49:29   Exactly.

00:49:30   And I I, you know, $7 a month seems like a lot better deal.

00:49:34   But where I always think to myself, and I I'm sure you do too,

00:49:37   where's the catch?

00:49:38   Yeah.

00:49:38   And and I I don't, I can't find it, and that makes me warier.

00:49:42   Like if I know what the catch is, I feel like, okay, I'm fully

00:49:45   informed and I'll go in, like knowing that's gonna be the issue, and I

00:49:49   know that it's not gonna be an issue for me, or I'll know how

00:49:51   to avoid it.

00:49:52   But when I can't tell what the catch is, I'm like, well, am I

00:49:55   gonna get got right?

00:49:56   Like, am I going to miss something in the fine print and realize, you

00:49:59   know, when a year comes around, it's like, oh, well, you owe us this

00:50:02   money, or no, you can't do this.

00:50:04   And so, you know, I had a lot of concerns when this report first

00:50:06   came out because we also saw a similar report at the same time that

00:50:09   said, like, Apple's building these features in that can restrict the use of a

00:50:12   phone.

00:50:13   Now, they came out very publicly, I noted, including with attributed statements to people

00:50:18   saying we're not going to do that for this program.

00:50:21   And I think that was real smart to get in front of that because

00:50:24   you know there was a lot of concern around it.

00:50:25   Yeah, quite rightly.

00:50:27   But but yeah, absolutely.

00:50:28   If they're building those features, they're for somebody else in some other market that

00:50:31   is probably gonna be pretty ugly.

00:50:33   Yeah, I mean, the good news is you've got, you know, I guess six

00:50:36   weeks to figure it out.

00:50:37   The bad news, the bad news is I think for Apple is you're taking

00:50:42   people out of a program and you're making them reconsider their options, and they're

00:50:45   not always gonna throw down with you and your new option.

00:50:47   You're giving everybody a chance to rethink it.

00:50:49   I think it's a great opportunity for the people who are in that program

00:50:52   and people who have thought about that program to think, what how do I

00:50:55   want to approach this, especially as these prices go up?

00:50:59   Does this work better for me?

00:50:59   Because look, I'm somebody who pays my credit card off every month, right?

00:51:05   But I use a credit card, but I pay it off every month, which

00:51:07   means other than a credit card fee, annual fee for some of the cards

00:51:10   that we've got.

00:51:12   I'm not ever hitting their interest rate.

00:51:14   And these are zero interest rate loans or their leases at basically the same

00:51:19   kind of terms.

00:51:21   So there, if you're responsible and do what you need to do, it's actually

00:51:27   your financial benefit because instead of you could take the money that you're not

00:51:32   paying up front and have it earn interest or whatever elsewhere at a rate

00:51:39   that, you know, because it's in your pocket instead of being in their pocket.

00:51:43   So you could make that argument, but there's a lot of catches, and you

00:51:47   got to think about it and you got to be smart about it.

00:51:49   And a lot of people, a lot of these companies, this goes back to

00:51:51   your vibes.

00:51:52   A lot of these companies make their bank on people who fall through those

00:51:57   cracks, who don't make the payments.

00:52:00   Yeah, or out over their skis, you know, or aren't great at managing their

00:52:04   money.

00:52:04   And that's I think that's the struggle with it is it it's it feels

00:52:08   gross at times, but it is also the world that we live in.

00:52:11   So yes, the world is gross.

00:52:13   So great.

00:52:13   Yeah, the world is gross at times.

00:52:14   So amazing.

00:52:15   Yeah.

00:52:16   Just a little uh heartwarming moment there from your upgrade program.

00:52:21   The good anyway, I I got six weeks.

00:52:23   I'll be I'm definitely gonna be thinking about this.

00:52:25   I think it's gonna be a big question, especially when I see the price

00:52:28   tag on that folding phone because I am interested in the folding phone.

00:52:31   Yeah.

00:52:31   And am I gonna be able to cough up however many thousands of dollars

00:52:34   it will be?

00:52:35   Or am I gonna think to myself, well, it's just so much easier if

00:52:38   I only have to pay them 70 bucks a month or whatever.

00:52:40   And I think it's a tough, tough question.

00:52:42   We'll have to see.

00:52:44   This episode of Upgrade is brought to you by Backblaze.

00:52:47   Here's the thing that comes up a lot.

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00:54:10   Money, money, money, money, who has all the money?

00:54:14   Money, money, money, money.

00:54:16   Who has all the money?

00:54:18   Money, money, money, money.

00:54:20   Who has all the money?

00:54:24   It's Apple.

00:54:26   Apple results time.

00:54:28   Everybody's favorite time of the quarter.

00:54:30   We get to hear the song.

00:54:32   When I'm not on my show, I can still hear the dulcet tones of

00:54:34   Lex Friedman.

00:54:35   That's right.

00:54:29   My good friend and co-host.

00:54:36   You can't escape Lex uh because he made the greatest earworm he'll ever make,

00:54:40   which is the Apple Money song.

00:54:42   Um lyrics by me, by the way, but they're not many lyrics.

00:54:47   Yeah, that word is going to be uh well deserved.

00:54:51   It's my poetry.

00:54:52   It's like that's my slam poetry is the money, Apple Money poetry.

00:54:56   Um yet another record quarter, Dan.

00:54:58   Well, uh now I feel like you and I, because we do this usually

00:55:01   on YouTube uh every quarter.

00:55:03   We didn't do it this time, so here it is.

00:55:05   Yet another record quarter, Dan, 109.4 billion continuing their streak.

00:55:09   Will we ever have a quarter under 100 billion from Apple again?

00:55:12   I don't know.

00:55:13   Uh not unless something goes real wrong.

00:55:15   Yeah, real bad.

00:55:15   That would be bad for John Turnus.

00:55:17   Up 16% year over year.

00:55:18   It's the third straight quarter of double digit year over year revenue growth.

00:55:22   I don't know if anybody saw that coming.

00:55:23   Their ninth straight quarter of year over year growth.

00:55:26   They made $9.8 billion in profit, and their gross margins were above 50%, although

00:55:34   a lot of that was driven a few points of it by tariff refunds,

00:55:39   which then they promised the president they would uh invest back in America.

00:55:43   Uh we're like we're good, we're good, we promise we'll be good.

00:55:47   Um, third straight quarter of strong growth in China and iPhone up 22%, Mac

00:55:52   up 29%, services up 12%, wearables up six percent, and the iPad down six

00:55:58   percent.

00:55:59   Uh but uh again, just an incredibly strong quarter of performance from Apple here.

00:56:06   Yeah, I you know, like we said, the 100 million or 100 billion, excuse

00:56:11   me.

00:56:11   Now we're talking about real money, has quickly become just the default for Apple

00:56:16   for revenue.

00:56:17   And that's astounding because it was not that long ago that we were talking

00:56:21   about, oh, when when is 100 billion going to be just the normal quarter?

00:56:24   And I that was like a year less than a year ago, Jason.

00:56:27   I think we were talking about that.

00:56:29   And so uh, you know, somebody pointed out that Tim like the it was

00:56:34   a hundred and like they made like a hundred and eight billion in revenue

00:56:37   the first year Tim was CEO.

00:56:38   Yeah.

00:56:39   And they made that and in a quarter in a non-holiday quarter.

00:56:43   Yeah, kind of, I mean, yeah, we're going into uh uh a couple big

00:56:47   quarters coming up, so it feels like watching that graph change is gonna be

00:56:52   kind of fascinating.

00:56:54   Um there's a there's a lot to unpack here.

00:56:57   Um that that growth, particularly, I think in in was it the iPhone and

00:57:01   the Mac?

00:57:02   Yeah, yeah.

00:57:03   Was it 22 and 29% growth, I think, respectively.

00:57:06   Year over year.

00:57:07   It's and and they specifically called out the MacBook Pro and the MacBook Neo

00:57:10   as strong performers, and they said the Neo has been especially popular and strongly

00:57:15   suggested that they are struggling to meet meet demand for the Neo, and that

00:57:21   um I've got a great line here about the Mac and the iPhone because

00:57:25   those numbers, right, are huge.

00:57:27   And they asked, and they're supply constrained, like they can't make enough.

00:57:31   The they they they could have sold more, but they are having these problems.

00:57:34   And we know that some of that is is will, which we'll talk about

00:57:38   in a second, is about the RAM shortages and issue issues with volume at

00:57:42   TSMC for the systems on the chip.

00:57:45   Advanced nodes.

00:57:46   But this is what, yeah, we've gone from the legacy nodes.

00:57:48   Now the legacy nodes are not the problem.

00:57:50   It's the advanced nodes that are the problem.

00:57:52   Tim Cook said the root cause of this is not a supply issue.

00:57:57   Because everybody's like, oh yeah, you know, the problem is supply.

00:57:59   And he's like, it's a demand forecast issue.

00:58:01   Our bad, he says.

00:58:03   The iPhone and the Mac are both doing remarkably better than we thought they

00:58:07   would do.

00:58:08   And we had high expectations.

00:58:10   It wasn't that our expectations were low.

00:58:12   We we we really tried everybody.

00:58:14   But as you can see, these are extraordinary numbers, and the supply chain just

00:58:19   has less flexibility in it than normal.

00:58:21   We've been pulling supply ahead.

00:58:23   At some point there's a limit to that.

00:58:25   And so we've got a quarter that we're gonna be scrambling on the supply

00:58:28   side, essentially.

00:58:29   This isn't a partner or supplier issue.

00:58:32   The issue is an incredibly strong iPhone and Mac product cycle that has yielded

00:58:37   a demand beyond our expectations.

00:58:39   And he's right, like the iPhone 17 cycle has been way up, and I

00:58:43   think beyond because up isn't the problem, up beyond what Apple thought it would

00:58:47   be up.

00:58:47   And the MacBook Neo, doing well, I'm sure Apple thought it would do well.

00:58:51   It did way more than even they expected it would do.

00:58:54   This is also Tim Cook not throwing TSMC under the bus, right?

00:58:59   Right.

00:58:59   It's a double-barreled problem, right?

00:59:02   It is high demand and supply constraints.

00:59:07   I think the less flexibility line is so key there.

00:59:10   Because I I think what he's implying, and I think this is true, is

00:59:15   if you miss with your expectations, you're basically saying I didn't order enough, right?

00:59:20   I thought we would sell a thousand, we sold two thousand.

00:59:22   I didn't, I only ordered a thousand.

00:59:24   So what are we?

00:59:25   How do we so that's part of it?

00:59:28   But the other part of it is, right?

00:59:29   Perhaps in another era, TSMC would have more flexibility to increase their orders, but

00:59:35   they don't because they are maxed out everywhere with AI chips and stuff in

00:59:41   addition to Apple.

00:59:42   So it's it's not TSMC's fault, is what he's saying.

00:59:46   But we have to say one of the consequences of it, TSMC having all

00:59:52   of these other clients is that they can't turn the dial on Apple's order

00:59:58   and Apple underordered.

00:59:59   So Apple has to pay for it.

01:00:01   If you, as you said, if you forecast you're gonna sell a thousand and

01:00:04   you sell 2,000, you're in trouble.

01:00:06   If you can't then go to your supplier and be like, hey, how much

01:00:09   should we pay you for another thousand?

01:00:11   And they're just like, we can't do it.

01:00:13   We do not have the space to make these things, then you're really in

01:00:16   trouble.

01:00:17   And so I'm kind of fascinated by this because some of this, so I

01:00:21   don't know your read on this, but like we they talk a little bit

01:00:23   about the memory shortages and stuff like that.

01:00:25   Obviously, a lot of this is getting driven by AI related stuff.

01:00:28   Yes, right.

01:00:28   There's a all the Ramgeddon, Ram Armageddon stuff is is driven by that.

01:00:32   But I'm also trying to wonder how much of the demand for stuff is

01:00:35   AI driven, right?

01:00:36   For certainly for higher end stuff like the MacBook Pro, and they talked about

01:00:39   demand on that, or the Mac Studio or the Mac Mini, there is definitely

01:00:44   some demand from people using them for AI workflows, right?

01:00:48   We know people who bought a ton of Mac minis and they started taking

01:00:50   models off sale, right?

01:00:51   And like that is it is fascinating to watch a singular inflection point that

01:00:58   has shifted in and affected both supply and demand because the demand is so

01:01:04   high that the supply can't keep up.

01:01:06   And so they're two sides of the same coin to a certain degree, and

01:01:11   it means that they are kind of like a like a wave amplification thing

01:01:15   where you get two waves that like intersect and it like makes the wave

01:01:18   even bigger.

01:01:19   You're dealing with this thing that, as he, you know, Cook has has called

01:01:23   it a hundred-year flood.

01:01:24   Um it just doesn't happen very often.

01:01:27   So it is fascinating to see why what things have drive driven demand and

01:01:29   why they're driving demand and why supply is not able to keep up.

01:01:37   And Apple is usually a company that, as they said, they do a really

01:01:40   good job of forecasting these things.

01:01:42   Uh, the iPhone one in particular, I am I am especially fascinated by because

01:01:45   it wouldn't seem to me that there is a clear driver there, right?

01:01:50   Like, there's not like, oh, it's this one thing that these products do that

01:01:55   no old products could do, and therefore people want to buy them to do

01:01:59   X, right?

01:02:01   There's a lot of good things in this product line.

01:02:03   I think that's what's doing it, is like the 17's a really good phone.

01:02:07   It it is a strong, I mean, at the time we knew it, right?

01:02:11   As reviewers, we were like, wow, iPhone 17, 17 Pro, like this is a

01:02:15   really good product line.

01:02:16   Other than people being like, oh no, the iPhone Air is no good.

01:02:18   Well, like it hasn't hurt them at all.

01:02:21   But like pulling all of those pro features down into the 17, and then

01:02:24   the new that aluminum body and the orange one and all like it it

01:02:29   didn't feel at the time, it felt like a really solid upgrade, but I

01:02:32   felt it was it was almost like we real ones know that this is

01:02:35   a good year for the iPhone.

01:02:36   Turns out real ones knew everybody else knew too.

01:02:38   And that's like it's 30% increase, right?

01:02:42   Like that that is beyond the like, oh, this is a good product.

01:02:45   It's not a wholesale redesign of the product line, right?

01:02:49   Or or a killer new feature, right?

01:02:51   Right.

01:02:51   There's not one killer new feature in this.

01:02:53   And so I I kind of looked at that and thinking to myself, like,

01:02:56   are people buying iPhones to chain them together and use them in AI workflows?

01:03:00   Like, what is going on?

01:03:01   Like iPhone Air, it's gonna be great for it.

01:03:03   Just everybody get on it.

01:03:05   Stack of them.

01:03:06   Yeah, it's just it is, and and I remember talking about this about the

01:03:09   Neo, um, when there are all the stories about, oh, they're not gonna how

01:03:12   many Neos can they make?

01:03:13   And I do wonder how many choices they make that are like make more

01:03:17   of this one, make uh German wrote at one point that Apple's pushing people

01:03:20   toward the low-end MacBook Pro instead of the MacBook Air right now for like

01:03:24   back to school and stuff.

01:03:25   And it's like, well, it's kind of an inventory issue, isn't it?

01:03:27   And and I know that you know, if you've only got a finite number

01:03:30   of chips, you can make decisions like which product will you produce.

01:03:35   Yeah, and so that's fascinating.

01:03:37   But um, you know, uh the the Neo success is a great example of

01:03:42   this, uh and and maybe the MacBook Pro too, where Apple I just I'm

01:03:48   fascinated by the fact that Apple's decision making generally seems pretty careful and uh

01:03:54   and knowledgeable, and they don't miss and they don't lack confidence in their own

01:04:01   products, not by this much, yeah.

01:04:03   Exactly.

01:04:04   They don't sandbag and they don't, you know, they're not like they're not modest

01:04:09   about it.

01:04:09   Oh no, it's a nice product.

01:04:10   Maybe people the Neo, like I'm sure people at Apple believe the Neo is

01:04:14   gonna be a huge hit.

01:04:15   I'm fascinated by the fact that they still undersold it.

01:04:19   Yes, and what does that say about their decision making and will it change

01:04:22   in the future?

01:04:23   And and similarly, um, the iPhone 17.

01:04:26   Like, I'm sure they thought it was great, but clearly they had no idea

01:04:33   that there would be a sales surge on the 17 because it really isn't

01:04:36   like like you said, it's better in lots of ways.

01:04:40   Uh we were talking in the previous segment about like expensive phones coming and

01:04:45   about buying programs.

01:04:46   And I've got to be honest, the more I read about that, the more

01:04:50   I think, little orange iPhone 17 Pro, I love you.

01:04:53   I'm never gonna let you go.

01:04:55   Yeah.

01:04:56   Like on one level, it's like maybe I'll just keep this phone for uh

01:04:59   for a while because I love it so much.

01:04:59   So it it's strong.

01:05:03   I just am fascinated by the fact that even Apple, a company that does

01:05:06   not lack confidence, didn't understand how much people were gonna want to buy these

01:05:11   products.

01:05:11   It's fascinating.

01:05:12   It also casts into sort of fascinating like retrospect now the price raising decisions.

01:05:19   Because somewhere in there, they're looking at the data and they're saying the Neo

01:05:24   has done so well that if we bump, even if we bump the price

01:05:27   by a hundred bucks and we will lose some customers because of that, it

01:05:32   will not matter because we are selling so many.

01:05:35   Like I think, I think they allowed them more elasticity in their pricing because

01:05:40   they could look at these results and be like, look, this stuff is selling

01:05:43   like hotcakes.

01:05:45   And if we charge a little bit more, yeah, we'll we'll fuse some people

01:05:49   will say that's too rich for my blood, but a lot of them won't.

01:05:53   And uh that's a really interesting position to be in for them.

01:05:57   Uh, because they are not a company that to, you know, the the Neo

01:06:00   we all talked about is this is not a company that plays in this

01:06:03   part of the market.

01:06:04   And they walked in and immediately were like, we are selling this like it

01:06:08   is bananas, right?

01:06:09   Uh, and then they jacked the price a little bit after like six months,

01:06:13   less than six months.

01:06:14   Um just a fascinating ability.

01:06:17   I I was drawn, you know, so you do a bunch of charts over

01:06:19   at Six Colors, uh a couple of them grab my attention.

01:06:22   I thought the one that really has kind of a fascinating look to it

01:06:26   is that uh your product versus services total profit.

01:06:30   Ah, yes, the march.

01:06:31   This has yes, it's the lot, it's Nessy, Nessy beneath the waves.

01:06:35   I always think of it because the services as this nice gradual ramp, and

01:06:40   then the product is this spiky, like, you know, dorsal fins of sharks.

01:06:45   Um, and you can kind of look at it over a long period and

01:06:44   think to yourself, okay.

01:06:49   What are the trends?

01:06:50   What are we seeing, right?

01:06:50   Like fascinating to me that in this most recent quarter, the services actually took

01:06:55   a little bit of a dip.

01:06:56   It did.

01:06:57   But the product line, like, and we're used to seeing those peaks get higher

01:07:00   and higher.

01:07:01   And that peak from the last holiday quarter is high.

01:07:04   Yeah.

01:07:04   Like, look at that.

01:07:05   Way up there.

01:07:06   But then when it came back down, it's still pretty high.

01:07:09   That's the thing that got me is it's like it's still in the what,

01:07:13   like 30, low 30s, 30s for total profit.

01:07:16   This one went up when they usually go down in Q3.

01:07:18   Although they exact some of that's the tariffs, right?

01:07:20   I like the tariffs.

01:07:21   Tariff refunds fed that push that up by uh I think one or two

01:07:26   points, essentially.

01:07:28   Yeah.

01:07:28   But but it's still high.

01:07:30   And I mean And the services being soft, because the services was down sequentially,

01:07:35   which hasn't happened in like four years.

01:07:37   I look three or three or four years.

01:07:39   It's up year over year, but it was down sequentially.

01:07:42   And what Apple will tell you, they got lots of excuses.

01:07:46   Um I think foreign exchange headwinds.

01:07:49   I love it, love a headwind.

01:07:51   Love a headwind is probably a big part of it.

01:07:55   I enjoyed how they tried to throw a lot of uh uh chum in

01:08:00   the water, or maybe it's chaff.

01:08:01   It's like what is it in a submarine movie?

01:08:03   They gotta blow the chaff, yeah.

01:08:04   They blow the chaff out of the bag so that the the torpedo doesn't

01:08:07   hit them.

01:08:07   The trip is moving.

01:08:08   So they're like, the one that made me laugh the most is they're like,

01:08:10   well, you know, last year we released F1 and it made a lot of

01:08:13   money.

01:08:14   Yes.

01:08:14   And this year we didn't release a movie, and so that's one reason why

01:08:17   services might be a little softer.

01:08:19   And I'm like, really?

01:08:20   I mean, they're like, it was one of the most profitable movies last year.

01:08:22   Like, I mean, even then, it only made a few hundred million, probably.

01:08:26   Like, um, and then they also tried to blame regulations for mean old judges

01:08:29   and regulators that made them share things and not that one text links.

01:08:29   Link out.

01:08:35   Yeah, that one got me the most, right?

01:08:37   Because uh Kevin Perek was talking, and he mentioned, like, look at all this.

01:08:43   They have they have hit us so well.

01:08:44   This is in the same section.

01:08:45   We had the theatrical release of F1, one of the highest grossing sports films

01:08:48   in history.

01:08:48   And this year we didn't have a theatre release.

01:08:50   We also had some factors on the app store.

01:08:52   Like we said, headwinds and mobile gaming.

01:08:54   Keep in mind we also made some changes to App Store business model in

01:08:56   certain countries.

01:08:57   But in the US, we do continue to operate under a court ruling impacting

01:09:00   link out transactions.

01:09:02   We're pleased the Supreme Court will hear our deal.

01:09:04   Then there's a beat.

01:09:05   And then he says, Despite this, the app store did set a June quarter

01:09:08   revenue record.

01:09:09   I'm like, Well, what are you complaining about?

01:09:11   That got me.

01:09:12   I know, I know, I know.

01:09:14   I I did the one note that I sounded like it had the ring

01:09:17   of truth about it, is headwinds in mobile gaming that they saw.

01:09:20   Because that's kind of random.

01:09:21   They saw some issues with mobile gaming.

01:09:24   There's huge app store revenue ratifications for mobile gaming, and that there were issues

01:09:28   with mobile gaming, but still the app store set a quarter record.

01:09:32   So I mean, I love that they pitch it like, well, we persevered.

01:09:36   Yeah, we persevered buckled down and we still set a record.

01:09:39   Mean old judge we just kept collecting the money.

01:09:41   Made allowed people to link to the internet from their apps, and uh despite

01:09:47   that, and it didn't hurt our business.

01:09:49   Nevertheless, we we persisted.

01:09:52   Yeah, I I thought that was pretty pretty rich for uh if you'll excuse

01:09:57   the expression.

01:09:58   Um everything Apple does is pretty rich these days, so that's fair.

01:10:02   That's fair.

01:10:03   Oh, um, we talked about systems on chips, but uh RAM obviously is the

01:10:07   other thing that's being driven by uh the AI boom and RAM shortages are

01:10:12   are causing problems, and I just thought I I thought Tim Cook made it

01:10:16   very clear that, and this is one of the reasons that Apple stock actually

01:10:20   took a tumble afterward, even though they did have all these successes, because he

01:10:23   basically said, in addition to the having to scramble on the supplier side for

01:10:28   for systems on chips for advanced nodes, you know, basically memory, the prices keep

01:10:34   going up.

01:10:35   He said they went up.

01:10:36   Yeah, we said they'd go up more last time and they did.

01:10:39   Next time they're gonna go up more and they're gonna keep going up for

01:10:41   the foreseeable future.

01:10:43   And he said, I think most chillingly, that Apple has been pulling stuff from

01:10:49   its carryover inventory.

01:10:50   Basically, they've got stuff on hand that they've been using to make it make

01:10:56   a little more sense financially, but we're gonna run out of that stuff.

01:11:01   Yeah, because at some point they they have everything.

01:11:03   Yeah, they've sold everything.

01:11:05   Yeah.

01:11:05   Right.

01:11:05   That that is a challenge.

01:11:07   We have not seen the end of this demand issue because yeah, you they

01:11:11   talked about the carry-in inventory being one of the things that offset uh the

01:11:15   problems, you know, these quarters, and they they say, like, okay, we had that

01:11:18   the last quarter and the quarter before, we you know, we benefited from that.

01:11:22   But yeah, there's only a certain amount of time that that stuff you have

01:11:25   in the warehouse stays there because eventually you will sell it all, and then

01:11:29   you will not have as much carry-in inventory, or at least as not carrying

01:11:33   inventory that you paid last quarter's prices for.

01:11:36   Right.

01:11:36   Right.

01:11:36   That's the key, is like we bought this.

01:11:38   It's you know, arbitrage sort of like we bought this like you know, six

01:11:42   months ago, and the RAM prices were not that bad, but eventually we will

01:11:45   sell that.

01:11:46   We will book the invent the you know revenue from it, and now we're

01:11:49   gonna have to start selling all the stuff that we paid more for.

01:11:51   Yeah.

01:11:52   And now that's the stuff, yeah.

01:11:53   That's why we raised prices when we did, right?

01:11:55   Because they're trying to sort of soften that blow.

01:11:58   It's like, well, we uh, you know, paid more for it, so let's sell

01:11:59   it for more.

01:12:02   Um, but you know, that's a that's a difficult treadmill too, right?

01:12:06   Because I I have to assume the pricing changes were done with a with

01:12:10   some foresight here and thinking about like, right, we can weather this storm if

01:12:14   it's six months.

01:12:16   But if it's like we don't know, you know, a year, two years, might

01:12:18   be more, like you presumably rose the you know, raise the prices enough so

01:12:24   that you don't have to raise them again.

01:12:26   Yeah, I don't know.

01:12:27   I it may also be challenged.

01:12:28   They raised it maybe enough so that the next time they do a new

01:12:31   version of something, they'll raise it again.

01:12:33   That's yeah, that's their they do have a little bit of possibility there.

01:12:36   And I think we're all waiting to see what those you know, iPhone prices

01:12:39   look like in the fall.

01:12:40   He also did a Cook did an oblique, and this was his last, right?

01:12:43   Last earnings call.

01:12:44   This is his 90th and final earnings call.

01:12:46   Um, he did a little oblique reference to basically there are only three manuf

01:12:51   m memory manufacturers.

01:12:53   Yes.

01:12:53   And uh it would be sure be nice if there were more, which is

01:12:56   the you know, Apple trying to get a a a RAM provider in China

01:13:00   into the mix at least temporarily as a stopgap here, and how that has

01:13:04   all sorts of uh uh political fallout.

01:13:07   There are lots of senators who want to make hay on how you're funding

01:13:10   the communist party and um and you're gonna destroy uh American RAM manufacturing by

01:13:17   doing this.

01:13:17   And it's like, you know, I look, I my opinion is that if if

01:13:23   you get uh the government to say we'll give you two years, I don't

01:13:27   think it does anything other than maybe reduce the harm of all this.

01:13:30   But I guess if you're if you're concerned that the other RAM manufacturers will

01:13:34   not have as much leverage over the entire market, I I guess that's a

01:13:36   government decision to make.

01:13:38   Is do you are you more concerned about Apple um struggling to release products?

01:13:42   Are you more concerned with a a couple years of um good revenue going

01:13:46   to a Chinese RAM manufacturer that's tied in with the government there.

01:13:49   I don't know that I guess that's for the for the US government to

01:13:52   decide but um but he did at least obliquely reference the thing that's been

01:13:59   reported in lots of places that Apple's trying I still feel like um in

01:14:03   the end this comes down to is there a is there a quid pro

01:14:06   quo here is is this is this where Tim Cook calls on Donald Trump

01:14:12   and says look we're putting a lot of money into the U.S.

01:14:15   We're committed to the U.S.

01:14:16   we're committed to building more RAM factories in the US but yeah right now

01:14:21   we are bleeding help us takes too long yeah and I I've seen people

01:14:25   say yeah but it's not going to happen because the senators are really grumpy

01:14:28   about it and you know Chuck Schumer and Ted Cruz are angry about it.

01:14:32   And it's like I I in a normal functioning US government I would agree

01:14:37   that that might be an issue but I don't know I kind of feel

01:14:40   like if Donald Trump was like fine then who's gonna stop him yeah I

01:14:45   think that I think that's fair.

01:14:46   I mean I I don't know I mean you know I I look at

01:14:50   some of this and think to myself they've tried a lot of things like

01:14:53   I I also noted they had um one of Ben Wright's he's asked them

01:14:57   like about the like fabs in Arizona.

01:14:59   Yeah.

01:15:00   Uh and and this was Tim came back and be like look it's not

01:15:02   the suppliers like we just have too much and I it to my and

01:15:05   we're spending money in Arizona lines on that one.

01:15:07   Yeah my read between the lines on that is like look we see he

01:15:09   says we source do source over a hundred million components this year out of

01:15:12   Arizona.

01:15:13   Um I think they are basically getting as much as they can out of

01:15:16   those, right?

01:15:17   Like those are kind of limited.

01:15:18   There're spinning up small fabs, they're still spinning up new fabs there, and in

01:15:22   Colorado too.

01:15:23   And yeah.

01:15:24   And Apple's, you know, investing whatever they're saying 30 billion yeah in US manufacturing

01:15:28   and and they talked about that a lot.

01:15:30   And you know, that's great.

01:15:32   But like, I feel like part of their argument is we are invested in

01:15:35   the future of manufacturing.

01:15:37   He said, Cook actually said, look, we're doing this thing in Houston where we're

01:15:41   bringing in people from our suppliers and other suppliers and showing them how they're

01:15:46   they're trying to set up a thing where they're literally like, we're gonna show

01:15:49   you how we manufacture things because we want to invest in American manufacturing.

01:15:55   But and he said the goal is over the long term to increase the

01:15:59   capacity of American companies and American factories to do this production work, but it

01:16:04   will take time.

01:16:05   And so the argument is while we're doing that, it would sure be nice

01:16:08   if we could buy some RAM from over here in China to save us

01:16:13   from the current, you know, temporary peril that we're in.

01:16:16   The counter argument would be um, well, yeah, but you're enabling, you know, if

01:16:21   there's a big glut, the American factories are going to be in trouble in

01:16:24   the future.

01:16:24   Maybe you shouldn't do that.

01:16:25   Sure.

01:16:26   Right.

01:16:26   And just as your point, you said 30 billion.

01:16:28   That was just their deal with broadcom.

01:16:30   You're right.

01:16:30   They're 600 billion.

01:16:31   600 billion in the US for the American manufacturing program.

01:16:33   You're right.

01:16:34   The broadcomb those terra-free funds, so enjoy that.

01:16:37   Broadcom alone.

01:16:38   Finally, for this, I just had a favorite thing that Tim Cook said that

01:16:42   I thought was funny.

01:16:44   And uh I put it in my piece at six colors, but I want

01:16:46   to read it here.

01:16:47   Somebody asked about the price increases, right?

01:16:49   You you and I have talked about this.

01:16:50   Mike and I have talked about it on the show.

01:16:52   It's like, if you're Apple, how do you choose?

01:16:54   What's your methodology for choosing to raise the Apple TV by that, or raise

01:16:58   the the the iPad mini by that, and raise the the MacBook Air by

01:17:03   that?

01:17:03   And somebody asked him, and so Cook said, in terms of our philosophy on

01:17:09   dollars or percentages, we look at units, revenue, and margin, and then come to

01:17:14   a business judgment as to how to handle that.

01:17:14   And so it's not a mathematical formula that gets us to a specific result.

01:17:22   We're just looking at one dimension of that.

01:17:24   We look at all three dimensions and think about it over the long term

01:17:28   instead of a 90-day clock.

01:17:30   Hopefully that helps.

01:17:32   And I'm like, I felt like Morpheus was explaining the matrix to me a

01:17:36   little bit.

01:17:37   One can think of it three-dimensionally.

01:17:39   You've been thinking, get out of your two-dimensional perspective.

01:17:41   Or it's like Captain Kirk realizing that Khan is not going to go up

01:17:45   and down, that he's thinking in two dimensions.

01:17:47   It's that Tim Cook is playing 3D chess out here.

01:17:50   He's playing 3D chess.

01:17:51   Yeah.

01:17:52   I I laughed at that.

01:17:54   And I also thought, I don't know if you thought to like this as

01:17:57   well, Jason, but I was like, it's Tim's last call.

01:17:59   And it seems fitting that everything is about the supply chain.

01:18:02   Right.

01:18:03   Like, uh send him off to play the hits, right?

01:18:05   This is Tim Cook's opportunity.

01:18:07   He's like, ah, I this is a pitch right down the middle for me.

01:18:11   This is my jam.

01:18:12   Uh, and if you ask John Turnis about anything, he'll just smile and nod

01:18:17   and say uh two lines of platitudes, which I thought was also my favorite

01:18:21   moment.

01:18:22   Turnis was on the call and he didn't say a word.

01:18:24   And then as we're getting toward the end, somebody is like, hey John, how

01:18:26   do you feel about all this?

01:18:27   And he's like, hey, everybody, great to be here.

01:18:30   I believe everything that Tim says is great.

01:18:31   And I'll see you next time.

01:18:32   Bye.

01:18:33   And it's like, yeah, I I thought that was an amazing moment because I

01:18:36   they there's this hesitation, right?

01:18:38   And you're like sitting there going, like, well, they must have been prepared for

01:18:42   someone to ask him something.

01:18:44   He was then also, yeah.

01:18:46   Also, also I had that moment of they're gonna be like, well, John's not

01:18:49   really taking questions.

01:18:49   I was like, we can't do that.

01:18:50   He's gonna be the CEO.

01:18:51   He needs to be able to say his legs.

01:18:53   Yeah.

01:18:53   Uh but I thought it was a great moment of John Turnus being like,

01:18:57   Me.

01:18:58   Um, Tim's moment, right?

01:19:01   I thought that was important.

01:18:59   No, obviously not.

01:19:03   He's very diplomatic.

01:19:04   I will be I am fascinated because this answered a question that we had

01:19:07   last time, which is will John Turnus be on the calls?

01:19:09   And the answer seems to be yes, he said.

01:19:11   He is going to take the Tim.

01:19:12   Yeah, like they said basically in the future, he will be taking these calls.

01:19:15   Um fascinating.

01:19:17   Let's be clear.

01:19:18   Steve Jobs is not always on the calls.

01:19:20   He was not.

01:19:21   Yeah.

01:19:21   And I I don't blame him.

01:19:23   I remember the the thrill.

01:19:25   Yeah, because I have also been here, too.

01:19:27   I don't want to, I don't want to say I've done 90 analyst calls,

01:19:30   but I've done a lot.

01:19:31   It's approaching that.

01:19:32   And Tim used to run the analyst call.

01:19:35   Um I remember the thrill when you'd get on the call and they'd be

01:19:40   like, Steve Jobs is here and he wants to talk to you.

01:19:43   And it's like, whoa, what is he gonna do?

01:19:44   What's that guy gonna do now?

01:19:45   To me?

01:19:46   He wants to talk to me.

01:19:47   Well, I mean, all of us collectively.

01:19:48   Yeah, Jason, I I will say, I think I I'm gonna tube my own

01:19:53   my own heart a little bit, which is I think back in when I

01:19:55   was at MacUser.com or at blog at Macworld, I think I started live blogging

01:20:01   these financial calls because generally Macworld would have like a like a story about

01:20:05   it.

01:20:05   Yeah.

01:20:05   But like I started live blogging them, and I think that was early, fairly

01:20:09   early on in people like actually transcribing them.

01:20:13   Um I remember that too, like being like, Steve's here.

01:20:17   And I felt like once Steve would show up a few times, I feel

01:20:19   like that's when everybody else kind of also got into live vlogging it because

01:20:22   they're like, oh, it's not just a boring financial call.

01:20:24   Steve Jobs is here.

01:20:25   Yeah.

01:20:25   He's doing 10 a tight 10 on whatever he's mad about this month.

01:20:29   Yeah.

01:20:30   Yeah, absolutely.

01:20:32   Fun, fun stuff.

01:20:33   I also want to call out my other favorite line from this, which made

01:20:35   me laugh as I was walking, I was like walking to the drugstore at

01:20:38   the beach, and I'm listening to my airport.

01:20:40   This is how messed up we are, bit, by the way, everybody.

01:20:42   It's like for us, for us, this is like the with Tim Cook leaving,

01:20:46   it's like a major cast member of a favorite TV show leaving.

01:20:49   Because it's like all of these stupid financial analysts are like characters in the

01:20:54   drama.

01:20:55   You get to know them over time.

01:20:57   Uh, and here they're all saying goodbye to Tim.

01:21:00   And then, yes, you end up in this deranged situation where you're on vacation

01:21:04   near the beach listening to an earnings talk.

01:21:07   Chuckling at somebody asking for some more color.

01:21:10   Yeah, it was Kevin Perick doing the overview and saying wearables, home and accessory

01:21:13   revenue was 7.9 billion, up 6% year of year driven by strength and wearables

01:21:17   and accessories.

01:21:18   And I had a moment thinking, isn't that the whole category?

01:21:22   Like that's driven by strength and I forgot that home was there.

01:21:26   I forgot home is a thing in that moment.

01:21:28   Because I thought I heard him say wearables and accessory was up driven by

01:21:31   strength and wearables and accessories.

01:21:33   And I was like, what?

01:21:34   No, that was a that was the uh that's their little teaser, a little

01:21:37   foreshadowing the whole home analysis.

01:21:39   What of home?

01:21:40   Lurking, like the Death Star rising over Scara.

01:21:44   Yeah, exactly.

01:21:44   There's my Star Wars analysis.

01:21:46   Thank you.

01:21:46   I appreciate it.

01:21:46   I knew we I knew we'd get some Star Wars in there eventually.

01:21:50   Oh boy.

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01:23:52   Time now for Ask Upgrade.

01:23:57   Whoa.

01:23:59   I brought my own laser.

01:24:00   It's a blaster.

01:24:01   It was a blaster.

01:24:02   I had to grab it off my shelf, but there it is.

01:24:04   Very nice.

01:24:05   Very nice.

01:24:05   Thank you.

01:24:06   Um, real lasers flying.

01:24:09   Or blaster bolts.

01:24:10   Real quote unquote real lasers.

01:24:12   In Star Wars, are those is the implication those are basically energy beams?

01:24:16   Or do they have like little things that fly?

01:24:18   No, there's little I it's like Bonagas that's little pellets of energy.

01:24:23   I don't know.

01:24:24   It's not like phasers where like a phaser beam shoots out, right?

01:24:27   And like you see like little packets of energy.

01:24:30   I'm not I'm sure I have a technical manual over here on my shelf

01:24:33   somewhere.

01:24:34   And is it a wave or a particle?

01:24:36   Nobody really knows anyway.

01:24:37   Either one.

01:24:38   Um Nate writes in and says, I've been holding onto my iPhone 13 mini

01:24:43   for a while, but I feel like it may be finally time to let

01:24:45   it go before prices increase.

01:24:47   Jason as a former lover of the mini.

01:24:49   I mean, I still love it.

01:24:50   I just don't have it anymore.

01:24:51   Will the air give the same feeling of a small phone?

01:24:54   Or am I better off with an orange pro that has smaller overall dimensions

01:24:58   for the screen size?

01:24:59   John also writes in, I'm someone who's clinging desperately to my iPhone 13 mini.

01:25:03   I'd love to know if I'm going to be completely SOL for an iPhone

01:25:07   that could do Siri AI that isn't huge.

01:25:09   I've tried larger phones and I just find that I cannot use any of

01:25:13   them single-handed.

01:25:15   And Joel wrote in and said, I got an iPhone 13 mini because I

01:25:18   was getting RSI pain from trying to stretch and use a 12 Pro one-handed.

01:25:23   Since the mini phones aren't an option anymore, I'm seriously considering going to the

01:25:26   17 Pro Max so that it's so ridiculously large that one handed use isn't

01:25:31   an option.

01:25:31   Do you think that'll work?

01:25:33   So we have this is I'm coming out of the woodwork, Jason.

01:25:36   13 mini roundup.

01:25:37   Uh and I do have multiple.

01:25:40   I don't know.

01:25:40   In blue.

01:25:41   It's beautiful, but I don't use it anymore.

01:25:43   A bunch of questions.

01:25:44   I love Joel saying maybe I should just get the largest phone possible because

01:25:51   then I can't do that.

01:25:51   Screen myself out of it.

01:25:53   Yeah.

01:25:53   I kind of like that.

01:25:55   Um that might be good.

01:25:57   You could also get the 17 plus, which would be cheaper, but also huge.

01:26:03   Ergonomics are weird, right?

01:26:05   Like I didn't even realize how I type until I took video of my

01:26:10   hands typing, and I was like, I do what?

01:26:12   Because you just don't even think about it.

01:26:14   And small changes can completely change how you use uh a device.

01:26:19   So like if you can't use it one-handed, I think that's actually a pretty

01:26:23   clever option to like make it so you can't, and then you won't.

01:26:27   And then you won't hurt your hand, which is what was happening to Joel.

01:26:31   Um for the others, I mean, in terms of the current products that are

01:26:35   out there, I do love my 17 Pro.

01:26:37   I was gonna mention the air.

01:26:39   The air is thin and light, which is nice, but it's actually wider than

01:26:45   the 17 Pro.

01:26:46   Yeah, yeah.

01:26:48   So I think depending on your sensitivity, there's some things about the air I

01:26:52   think are really nice.

01:26:53   In fact, it might even be good for Joel.

01:26:56   Um, because it it it is wider, so it's nice and light in your

01:27:00   pocket, but then when you take it out, it's like you're using, I mean,

01:27:03   it's appreciably larger than the than the 17 Pro.

01:27:06   It feels it feels wider to me.

01:27:07   I use it ergonomically very differently.

01:27:09   I do a lot of hold it in one hand, poke with the other

01:27:12   hand with that.

01:27:13   Whereas on my iPhone 17 Pro, I do a lot more kind of like

01:27:16   hold it and kind of graze with my thumb, which is that how Joel

01:27:19   got RSI.

01:27:21   So maybe.

01:27:22   The the the chat is pointing out there is not a 17 plus.

01:27:26   Oh, is there not?

01:27:27   Oh, because it's the air.

01:27:28   Well, you got a 16 plus.

01:27:29   So try that.

01:27:30   Pro Max Joel knows pretty good.

01:27:32   Joel knows.

01:27:33   Um, so I'm gonna do, Dan.

01:27:36   Are you ready for my big brain, my Galaxy Brain idea?

01:27:39   Yeah, please open up that big brain.

01:27:41   Nate, John, Joel, galaxy Brain idea here, folding iPhone.

01:27:47   I believe you mean Galaxy Brain S.

01:27:44   Yeah, it could be.

01:27:50   Galaxy Fold S brain.

01:27:53   Sorry.

01:27:53   Yeah.

01:27:54   Yeah, in fact, because we there we now have an idea of what screen

01:27:57   Apple's going to use because Samsung released or announced a phone that's got the

01:28:02   same dimensions as the ones that everybody 3D finds.

01:28:05   Because it's probably the same.

01:28:06   Because they made the literally make the screens.

01:28:08   They made the panel.

01:28:09   They get to go first.

01:28:10   It's not ideal for these guys may not want this.

01:28:14   But what I will say about it is, and it's going to be wide,

01:28:17   but it's not going to be tall.

01:28:19   And it's going to be thick, right?

01:28:21   Because it's a folding thing.

01:28:23   But what I will say is it will be smaller in your pocket, and

01:28:27   it will be small when you hold it like a phone, right?

01:28:30   Like that's one of the issues that the Samsung phone has that the Apple

01:28:34   phone is going to have to deal with, which is Apple has, as iPhone

01:28:38   mini users know very well, it for a while now, apps have just assumed

01:28:42   that iPhones are tall.

01:28:44   And the iPhone mini, sometimes you'd use an app and you're like, uh, I

01:28:47   can't tap that button.

01:28:49   It's not on the screen because the phone is not that as big as

01:28:54   the app thinks it is.

01:28:55   And Apple's gonna have to deal with that.

01:28:56   But the folded up version of the screen, it will be wide, so maybe

01:29:00   not ideal for Joel, but it will be small in footprint.

01:29:05   And then you can open it up and you got a little like almost

01:29:08   iPad mini that you can use two handed, which is also a nice ergonomic

01:29:12   thing.

01:29:12   I know it's gonna cost a lot of money.

01:29:13   It's not gonna be for everybody.

01:29:15   For the price of only three iPhone 13 minis, you can get a small

01:29:19   phone again.

01:29:19   Buy three of them and tape them together and see how that feels.

01:29:23   I look forward to Apple uh announcing this as the most ergonomic iPhone they've

01:29:28   ever built.

01:29:28   I mean, I love my Pro Max, but if we're just talking ergonomics here,

01:29:32   um it's worth holding an iPhone Air in your hand if you haven't, because

01:29:37   what do you like about the mini?

01:29:39   Is it the size?

01:29:40   Is it the lightness?

01:29:41   You may find a different set of trade-offs is interesting, that it's this light

01:29:45   thin phone and it's got a big screen.

01:29:48   Maybe that's a nicer feature.

01:29:50   Um, I do like my iPhone 17 Pro.

01:29:53   The idea of going and getting a Pro Max is very interesting in terms

01:29:56   of just making it not an option to use it one-handed for Joel.

01:30:01   And I don't know, like I am kidding, but I'm also not kidding.

01:30:06   I wonder in the long run if the folding phone will actually be something

01:30:11   that appeals to fans of smaller phones because when it's folded, it's small.

01:30:16   Maybe.

01:30:17   I mean, my good pal John Moltz is a longtime mini phone stand.

01:30:22   And I think if it were not for the price tag, I think would

01:30:25   seriously consider it.

01:30:26   I got a I got a payment plan for him that he should look

01:30:29   into.

01:30:31   Uh but anyway, I I I don't know.

01:30:33   I look, as somebody who always liked the little phone, and as somebody who

01:30:37   loves my iPad as my as my like primary personal Apple device.

01:30:43   Like I sit at my desk and I use a Mac, right?

01:30:45   But like when I'm not sitting at my desk, I am the iPad is

01:30:49   primarily what I'm using.

01:30:50   I don't, I'm I I'm not a phone primary, I'm really an iPad primary

01:30:54   person.

01:30:54   The idea that my phone could be my iPad, and I don't know if

01:30:59   this'll work because it's going to be a small iPad, right?

01:31:02   But like that idea s really intrigues me that I may actually be dead

01:31:07   center at the uh at the target for this product because it would give

01:31:12   me a phone that kind of folds up nice and little, but then it

01:31:15   opens up and it's an iPad, gives me an iPad kind of experience.

01:31:18   I'm intrigued.

01:31:19   Depends how iPad y it is, yeah.

01:31:14   It really does.

01:31:21   I mean, yeah, I I know it's not going to do like multi-windows and

01:31:24   stuff.

01:31:24   It'll do split screen at most, but like, I don't know.

01:31:26   Maybe that's enough for me.

01:31:28   Maybe it's not.

01:31:29   I I honestly don't know.

01:31:30   The last two trips I've taken, by the way, I um did iPad only.

01:31:34   Again, it's been a little while.

01:31:36   I um that worked pretty well.

01:31:38   I um I brought my keyboard both times so I could go into like

01:31:41   multi-window.

01:31:42   iPad OS 27, when you're in multi-window mode with a keyboard attached, it's it's

01:31:46   practically like you're using a Mac.

01:31:48   I got the windows up, I got the menu bar.

01:31:50   It's pretty wild.

01:31:51   I was able to do a podcast with local recording.

01:31:55   Mm-hmm that worked pretty well.

01:31:57   Like it it was, and it was mostly these are short trips, and I

01:32:00   didn't I didn't need to take my laptop, so I didn't bring it because

01:32:03   it adds a bunch that's the thing about having a MacBook Pro is it

01:32:06   does add a lot of weight.

01:32:07   So I have an out I have an 11-inch iPad Pro and a 13-inch

01:32:11   MacBook Air, and the difference between them is often so close that I think

01:32:16   to myself, maybe I'll just bring my Mac.

01:32:17   Yeah, but that's the thing is I'm never last time.

01:32:19   For me, I'm never gonna travel without my iPad.

01:32:22   Like I'm never gonna take a trip with only a laptop.

01:32:25   It's never gonna happen.

01:32:26   I'm always because I am so iPad forward.

01:32:29   But what if it was a phone?

01:32:30   Anyway, we'll find out.

01:32:32   Uh Lorenzo wrote in and said, I was listening to you talk about Siri

01:32:36   AI and how useful it is in getting data from messages.

01:32:40   But where I live in the Netherlands, most people use WhatsApp.

01:32:43   Will Siri AI be able to index third party apps?

01:32:46   Most of my useful data is in that app.

01:32:48   Not like we can use Siri AI anytime soon here on iPhone, but I

01:32:52   was wondering anyway.

01:32:53   Yeah, we should mention Siri AI will work fine in the EU on the

01:32:56   Mac.

01:32:57   Yeah.

01:32:58   Because the Mac is not a gatekeeper platform.

01:33:00   So you will be able to do it there.

01:32:59   I think it is per app.

01:33:05   You have to be indexed by Spotlight, essentially.

01:33:09   And so that's up to WhatsApp, I think, to do that.

01:33:12   I would think they would, though.

01:33:14   I assume they would.

01:33:15   I mean, I it's meta, so you got only sometimes.

01:33:19   But uh the general, I mean, if people are using it and they get

01:33:23   annoyed at WhatsApp for not supporting it, I think WhatsApp will support it.

01:33:26   That's my theory.

01:33:27   Yeah.

01:33:27   Uh, but I think they'll probably support it.

01:33:29   Most, most people want to be relevant and implement Apple's latest features, right?

01:33:34   They want to not look like they're lagging behind.

01:33:36   So I I imagine I would be sh very surprised if there is not

01:33:40   an update to WhatsApp, you know, day one release of 27.

01:33:44   That's like we'll and use it with Siri AI.

01:33:47   Yeah.

01:33:47   Because why wouldn't you?

01:33:49   It's useful.

01:33:50   I so we were in Denver over the weekend, seeing my um, it's Lawrence

01:33:54   brother and his family, and they've got two little kids who are adorable.

01:33:58   And we we were gonna get, we got to their house at like one

01:34:03   in the morning.

01:34:04   We flew late on Thursday night, got in at one in the morning.

01:34:08   And I you I thought this is a good opportunity because we visited them

01:34:15   a bunch of times, and they have a smart door lock with a code.

01:34:18   So we're gonna let ourselves at one in the morning, we're letting ourselves in

01:34:21   with the code.

01:34:22   And I asked Siri AI, what's the code at Mike and Cayley's house?

01:34:28   And it pulled a text message from Thanksgiving of 2025.

01:34:36   So last year, I think, which with the code.

01:34:41   And, you know, you then you tap and it's got the code, it's got

01:34:44   their address in that message, which is tappable so I can just add it

01:34:44   to Apple Maps and navigate there.

01:34:52   Um Lauren pointed out that that's not the code they sent to her.

01:34:57   So she's like, aha, take that Siri AI.

01:34:59   That they must have changed the code.

01:35:00   But then when we told this story to them, they're like, oh, that code

01:35:03   works too.

01:35:03   That other code also works.

01:35:05   So either way, Siri knew.

01:35:07   But um that's that's the stuff, right?

01:35:10   Like it's stuff like that where you're like, I know that they sent us

01:35:13   the code.

01:35:14   It was probably in messages.

01:35:16   I said Mike and Kaylee to give it just enough information that they would,

01:35:20   and then it said, I'm searching your mail, now I'm searching your messages, and

01:35:23   it's like, oh, I found it.

01:35:24   Here it is, there's the code.

01:35:25   And it totally, that was the code.

01:35:26   So um it's it's good.

01:35:29   You know, it doesn't always work, but being able to plumb the depths of

01:35:33   your mail and messages alone plus other apps is gonna be great.

01:35:37   It is, it is pretty killer when it works.

01:35:39   I mean, not perfect, but uh, you know, the I find myself turning to

01:35:43   it for things that I would have turned to chat GPT or Claw.

01:35:46   Oh, yeah.

01:35:47   For that stuff, for the basic like knowledge lookup stuff.

01:35:50   It works.

01:35:51   I I had this moment the other day.

01:35:53   I was walking down the hill to pick up my kid from daycare, and

01:35:55   I looked over as I'm looking down the hill, and you can see the

01:35:58   prudential center, which is one of the tallest buildings in Boston, Boston, from from

01:36:02   where I was walking down the hill.

01:36:03   And I just kind of idly was thinking, it's like, I wonder how far

01:36:05   away it is.

01:36:06   I can see it from here.

01:36:07   And I was walking with my AirPods in, and I just asked, like, hey,

01:36:10   how far away is the prudential center from where I am right now?

01:36:13   And it's like, oh, it's 3.1 miles away or something.

01:36:16   I was like, Seems a little far.

01:36:18   I said, How far is it as the crow flies?

01:36:20   And it gave me a short, oh, as the crow flies, it's 2.4 miles

01:36:24   or something.

01:36:25   And I was like, that was a wild interaction I just had with a

01:36:28   robot walking down the hill.

01:36:29   Didn't even break my stride.

01:36:30   I just talked to it on my AirPods.

01:36:32   It was very, very cool.

01:36:34   Yeah.

01:36:34   Crows are very efficient, you see.

01:36:38   Efficient.

01:36:39   All right.

01:36:40   Well, uh, that brings us to the end of this show.

01:36:42   But before we go, I wanted to point out you can hear me and

01:36:46   Dan talking about stuff on Fridays in a podcast by becoming a six colors

01:36:52   member at sixcolors.com slash subscribe.

01:36:55   People like it.

01:36:57   Yeah.

01:36:58   Big big show.

01:36:59   We don't have we don't have notes.

01:37:01   No.

01:37:02   Sometimes I'm doing laundry.

01:37:03   It's pretty, it's chill.

01:37:04   It's just like a hangout.

01:37:06   Yeah, we're just what happened this week.

01:37:07   What are we doing?

01:37:08   Dan hosts Clockwise here at Relay.

01:37:11   And uh the rebound, as mentioned with John Moltz and Lex Friedman at Rebound.

01:37:17   Even the more iconic trio.

01:37:18   I'll wait.

01:37:19   Yeah.

01:37:19   Reboundcast.com.

01:37:21   And thanks to Lex for the Apple Money song, by the way, as always.

01:37:26   And if you missed Mike and you missed my interactions with Mike, I have

01:37:31   great news for you.

01:37:32   I will be a guest on the Connected program this week, later this week,

01:37:37   with Mike and Steven.

01:37:39   Filling in for Federico.

01:37:41   So check that out.

01:37:42   I will have less to say about AI than Federico does.

01:37:45   Everybody take one seat to the left and be on a different podcast.

01:37:49   It seems like that.

01:37:50   Well, I was on clockwise last week.

01:37:52   I think I'm on clockwise next week.

01:37:54   So yeah, congratulations.

01:37:55   This is vacation time.

01:37:56   It is summer of fun.

01:37:58   Summer of the uh anyway, you can send uh feedback here.

01:38:02   Follow up, questions, Snelltalk, upgrade feedback.com is the place to do that.

01:38:06   Thank you to our members who support us with Upgrade Plus.

01:38:09   This week we are going to be talking about the XT Inc.

01:38:12   weird e-readers that are getting better and better all the time.

01:38:16   Uh getUpgradePlus.com.

01:38:14   Find us on YouTube by searching for Upgrade Podcast.

01:38:21   Thanks once again to our sponsors, Factor, Squarespace, and Backblaze.

01:38:25   But most of all, thanks to you for listening.

01:38:28   Until we meet again, Dan, say goodbye.

01:38:32   Goodbye, Jason.