103: ‘Robotitize the Assembly’, With Guest Dan Frommer
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you really want to talk about college baseball away that's why we're here
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Chicago Cubs 2015 national league champs I gotta tell you I am delighted to have
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dad Joe Maddon out at the Elysee that I think he is i think is the best manager
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in baseball I really do well I i heard similar things about Don Baylor Dusty
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Baker and Lou Piniella before they signed with the Cubs to sell it looks
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sweet Lou was a good manager he I i think i mean you got it like you know he
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he's got a certain style and intensity but he was good manager with the Yankees
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I thought he was a good manager with Seattle
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did actually succeed fairly well with the Cubs but they are so you know not
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every year
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yeah they were better than the Cubs usually are but they weren't they never
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got up to good now don't add that it hurt me because loop in Ala unless I'm
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my memories really shut he was managing Seattle in 95 the year right before the
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Yankees started their their dynasty but if you're headed Mariners had right and
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Mattingly was Mattingly's last season in his first time he got in the postseason
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and when he played mattingly played great he had a great series but just
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with salt in the wound that it was Yankee legend well we'll see I'm
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actually so I'm actually going to CES for the first time I remember this is
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something we talked about either a year or two ago yeah I might actually put a
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little money on the Cubs will see ya you know you got to do that to you gotta
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gotta make a profit that I was gonna do it
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profits are fine for two reasons one you get great odds I don't know what the
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cuts are a bit about their probably like 15 2010 at least maybe more
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something I don't know number two you have the challenge of keeping track of
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that little piece of paper in my right and it's like i don't even think they
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print them on the super high quiet like
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that heat transfer in a regular paper receipts you get from retail stores and
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if you like lead out in the Sun or something it'll fade to nothing or in
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your wallet for ya you know it's so you can I find that so weird cuz you would
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think you know I guess it's because they don't lose if your ticket but breakage
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and there's a Kickstarter casino receipts preserver get ya
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jet or something you know something's gonna last you should get good odds on
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that when did you decide to go to see yes a few weeks ago it was presented as
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an option for me here at courts and I've never been and I figured this is the
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perfect year to go you know when I have the the name of a big news agency behind
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me to get good meetings and that kind of stuff but also work for a site that
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doesn't turn out you know hundreds of of stories today so I won't have to file an
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article every half an hour that sounds like the way to do it yes can be great
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it's a perennial topic it's like my my second week of January topic every year
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on this show is why I thought last year I should maybe go to see one of these
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years I gotta go and I didn't do it this year
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yeah I think that was us last year graduated I do it every year I have them
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thought well I'll let you know how it is and it's it's it's one of those things
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where my natural inclination towards procrastination is just fails because
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it's really can't do it at last what you could do it at the last minute but it
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was super expensive yeah and it's kind of annoying like they make you book your
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hotels through their centralized system in the flights are expensive are sold
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out so even you know not when I booked a month and a half hour was still kind of
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annoying but yeah there's a ton of people from New York so yes I got think
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if you lived in you know Joe random city like I bet philadelphia's biggest fight
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probably aren't that different that week
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people from here they go but I tells ya can't wait to hear your report now and I
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told you think that's the way to do it is to do it as a publication that has a
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measured tone not a bombardment of we gotta have 30 post today and you know
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yeah that's what I was talking to someone from a large consumer
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electronics company the other day and they like so you coming to our press
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conference you come into who are media day and I'm like nope I'm not even
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getting there until Tuesday after all that crap has already happened so we do
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it yet so no waiting in line for you know stupid wherever they're gonna show
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big big TVs and home automation stuff probably had no idea that's a good
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question I wonder what the big thing will be TV's are always I think my sense
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yeah I mean TVs but my sense is that this is the year that all the connected
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home stuff starts to jail so you know home automation stuff and refrigerators
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that talk to your pet about watches watches gonna be huge
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oh yeah watching us too because a and Apple watchers side and right where is
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out it's a real thing and it's already starting to accelerate where there you
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know like when they first announced it back it and I O in June there were two
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watches and they both really cranky they sucked then the motor 360 or as I call
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the 270 and now there's been a trickle of watches that are dead you know that
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seem reasonable they seem like something that people might want to consider yeah
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we'll see that that'll be interesting I've gotten a few pitches on like a
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shirt that have sensors built in so you can measure your heart rate through your
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shirt so we'll see about that because the other thing that makes it has to be
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watches is then going back to Applewhite without a watch and we're clearly not
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gonna hear anything new about
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what's before say yes right and probably not during either unless they do one of
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those silly Apple leak type things were ok but that means any consumer
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electronics company that wants to bet on smart watches because you know right
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betting on what Apple is interested in is pretty good way forward
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they're going to want to get that stuff out before as soon as they can write to
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each piece chance to show off their slate St bombers last came over right
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sweet yeah I have a little bit of follow-up from previous episodes of this
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of this broadcast Star Wars follow up a little bit of Star Wars follow have to
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go back to the Merlin episode was $99.99 for episode two go so we talked about
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Roman numerals in the Super Bowl and then in a subsequent week followed up
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that they are the NFL is indeed dropping the Roman numerals for not this year's
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Super Bowl next year's 50 which would have been just tell and it looks stupid
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so they're just going to put Super Bowl 50 and I was happy about the end up
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they're only doing that for Super Bowl 50 because I look so stupid
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starting with Super Bowl 51 going back to the stupid Roman numerals so bad news
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on the Roman numeral
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Star Wars and I don't follow up on Star Wars otherwise I really funny that from
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Stephen Colbert defending the new set lightsaber oh nice operate in the show
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but it was really really funny what do you think of it
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well I don't really know much about Star Wars I know I'm sorry although I saw my
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first exposure so I don't know my dad showed me Caddyshack and those types of
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movies instead so we really has a poor household not a not a beatles household
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so but the first time ever saw Star Wars was when they re-released them in the
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mid-nineties probably the biggest screen that existed in Chicago at that point it
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at this movie theater downtown called McClurg Court was like you know five
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times bigger than any other movie screen so that was kinda cool and we saw those
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and i've seen that and still never seen jet I am bad I need to do this that's
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crazy I thought I get it now anyway I can say but I I thought the new light
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saber looks fine that's cool you don't have an opinion you know it's just that
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can have no opinion either bit of this is really unusual but why not let's be
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his last week's episode whiskas we were talking about Bond movies and and I
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brought up that the last and be one on Her Majesty's Secret Service David under
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the impression that it was universally everybody hated it everybody news
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mistake and it turns out I am correct on this that it's very divisive most people
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seem not to like it and agree it was a dud but there's a fairly sizable
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contingent upon movie fans who who think it's our favorite or one of their
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favorites one of the better ones and
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and have not seen that one is it what is polarizing about it
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well I think it's I think it's a weird story I think I think lies in bees take
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on the character was off I just I just don't buy them as other people think
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he's great though it's it's you know he's definitely not sean connery that's
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for sure and I don't know about the story the way the stories written that I
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just think it died but some people really like the the direction some
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people think the action sequences are are some of the best of that era and I
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think I should hunt and in the earlier movies he was the editor of the movies
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and he got to direct this one and some people think that that helped make the
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action sequences better because he knew how to shoot them to give the editing
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the footage that they would need you know that in editors perspective on
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directing makes for better action sequences from Chris Holt every drunk
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Redhawk I don't but I am aware of it and I appreciate its existence of God he's
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he's a big fan he didn't think he wrote about all the bunnies he really liked
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anyway friend of the show
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nations' I think he's at nations' on Twitter great guy who works at black
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pixel really smart guy longtime friend of the show long time during fireball
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reader I mean like back in 2002 the skypes enemy typos and stuff like that
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great guy I said it was his favorite Bond movie and in fact he directed at me
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on Twitter said it is in the top six is a fan of the movie but he would not he
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would not call it his favorite and I wouldn't want somebody in such a way so
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it's clear the record for that last thing which has made a mistake
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the Chris Cornell song I forget the name of it but it was the theme of it was not
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the theme of quantum solace that was the theme for Casino Royale and I was tired
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or something let it slide I didn't catch you take that the team for Quantum of
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Solace was the jack white one which is kinda hard for a while though I got old
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ones you have seen James Bond oh yeah I've been watching the old ones I you
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know I started seeing all the nuances that come out and I never to know once
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and then after you and and started doing the shows I started watching them and
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actually you know as you know they're so annoying to stream so it had to end up
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buying a bunch of them but yeah i dont them this streaming rights on those
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boundaries are the craziest thing in the world like it somebody tweeted me the
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other day that a bunch of the connery wonder back on Netflix but they're not
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all of their own I think a punchline HBO Go which is where I watched one recently
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but not all of them not all of them and not the ones I wanted to watch wow ok
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yeah I who knows but those negotiations alike but you just think though that it
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would be like a blanket deal they all want company
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all except for never say never again which is entirely separate long story
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but all the other Bond movies are from Eon Productions beyond the grave the
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abbreviation everything or nothing so it's just bizarre I must just be
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that you know that in which conglomerate owns those Sony or one of those who
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won't MGM and are now being crazy it very well have more fun I think it's one
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of those things like its big like a piece of butter toast is always going
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well and faced down its like whatever Bond movie you're in the mood to watch
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it all he's not gonna be available for free on netbooks totally actually when I
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just take a break right here and do the first sponsor and I will get started on
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and it's a brand new sponsor I'm very very excited about this
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called hullo hu lol 000 used to say hello to the Rings movies have you ever
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tried a buckwheat whole hello every damn now well I never even heard of such a
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thing but popular for centuries throughout Asia buckwheat pillows
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conform to your body and provide cool comfortable support hello suit every
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person sleeping style side sleeper back sleeper stomach sleeper how low can be
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adjusted to conform perfectly to the shape of your head and neck providing
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ideal support that's just for you I'm usually a back sleeper I just sleep
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sometimes I C you know how we got air flows freely through clothes buckwheat
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whole bill keeping it cool long adjust the thickness to your personal
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preference by adding or removing the holes anytime it made in the USA with
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quality construction materials and improves on traditional buckwheat
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pillows by incorporating only the highest quality materials 3 shrunken
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durable twill cotton case high-quality dunlap hidden zipper and the buckwheat
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whole Phil is grown and milled in North Dakota
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chemical organically friendly environmentally friendly I should say
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organic product no chemical based phones or bird feathers hundred-percent
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unbleached certified organic cotton these guys sent me one of these are
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actually two so we could both try these out and I opened it up and I thought
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that they were out of their minds because it seemed as though I it's like
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a pillow stuffed full of coffee beans and it's it is definitely not like a
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normal pillow it is entirely different it's not like oh wow that's weird led to
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a full of holes buckwheat holes would you like a pillow doesn't feel like a
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very heavy much heavier and it makes a crinkly sent that only has a sound like
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you're sleeping on it like a setback for coffee beans figured I'd try it out and
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that was like two weeks ago and I've still got it on my bed pretty cool
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every day I wake up every morning I still think it was wild but I like it
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it's definitely gives me a better night's sleep with a regular not at all
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like memory phone if i dont i dont care for the memory foam pillows may seem
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like a weird way they can put your head this thing the conforming to your head
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it's not it's not at all like a phone or anything like that just like sleeping
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bag of beans I don't know nature yeah so here's the deal sounds crazy seems like
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a weird thing you'd buy off podcast but here's their deal you try it for 60
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nights and if you're not satisfied they will give you a full refund no questions
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so you can do this
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the small under 49 bucks standard 79 king-size 129 so there are cheap but you
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can save money I need additional one you can save five ten or twenty on each
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additional 18 you buy and its sixty days no risk no questions asked money back so
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if you got any curiosity and I think it sounds crazy Gruber says it works just
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go try it sign up by the thing and if you don't like it just send it back to
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him for free you have to pay a damn thing so try it here we go to find out
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more hello hello each you lol 000000 W dot com slash talk show just / talk show
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in the last bit 1 percent of all of their profits are contributed to the
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nature conservancy so my thanks to hello pillow government trying to really crazy
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in the box
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sounds cool yeah and we're loading free for sale on a talk about I want to talk
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about these things
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send you the link was article by Eric Jackson writing at Fortune it was Ford's
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its forms and as a former forbes employee we love it when you confuse
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firms and Fortune I know what I just did it the other day with there is a story
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by a fortune writer and I are situated at ford's it really is as simple as in
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my mind they're both business magazines and they start or are and that's it that
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way just remember that fortune is the boring one it's like the index in my
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mind the hashing index it only has like three letters yeah those are
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anyway about this earlier in the year two and then I politely rebutted it but
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his point is he he wants to see Apple use their massive cash reserves to make
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big acquisitions and my take earlier in the year was more or less he was saying
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just do something with which seems to me ill advised like it seems to me like
[TS]
00:19:26
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he's articulated in the viewpoint that Apple has to do something with this
[TS]
00:19:30
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money and you know I just disagree I think doing just doing something for the
[TS]
00:19:36
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sake of doing something is going to hit a follower be disposed of it was at the
[TS]
00:19:40
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very end of the month for Thanksgiving and a summarized I would say he's he
[TS]
00:19:47
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thinks that the what they are doing with their money with the stock buybacks
[TS]
00:19:51
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which is i think most things about seventy percent of what they're doing
[TS]
00:19:54
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and then the dividends internal pain are a waste of money and they did they're
[TS]
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not really that the the stock rise that we've seen since Apple's instituted this
[TS]
00:20:04
◼
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would have happened anyway just because Apple's financials are doing better and
[TS]
00:20:10
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the vague they're not going to be able to survive without Steve Jobs fear that
[TS]
00:20:15
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might have been depressing the stock is gone nobody really seems to think that
[TS]
00:20:18
◼
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they're in bad hands under Tim Cook's leadership anymore which i think
[TS]
00:20:22
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everybody would agree with that so what he thinks they should do even if he
[TS]
00:20:28
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doesn't think they should have done that and what he thinks they should do and
[TS]
00:20:30
◼
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how is he indeed is dead serious matters he thinks they should by Tesla which he
[TS]
00:20:36
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thinks will cost about forty five billion Twitter which would be about
[TS]
00:20:41
◼
►
forty billion by Pinterest for fifteen billion then spend ten billion better
[TS]
00:20:48
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batteries through R&D and spend ten billion to make iCloud work properly so
[TS]
00:20:57
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when hitting about the cell and this also happens so I also published a story
[TS]
00:21:04
◼
►
today Friday called you know whatever 10 things I learned about Apple this year
[TS]
00:21:08
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on courts and one of the copy of one of the things I touched on is was a little
[TS]
00:21:14
◼
►
commentary about Apple's you know basically doing their first big by ever
[TS]
00:21:20
◼
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this year which was Beats Audio beats music and her Beats Electronics or
[TS]
00:21:25
◼
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whatever it's called which was three billion dollars which is not forty
[TS]
00:21:29
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billion but it's still pretty big and you know with the context of people over
[TS]
00:21:35
◼
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the years saying Apple should by all these companies
[TS]
00:21:40
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the one that's been thrown about a lot actually in years past was Adobe that
[TS]
00:21:45
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Apple should buy adobe so that it owns the you know professional desktop
[TS]
00:21:50
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software market and if one of the articles I found while researching this
[TS]
00:21:56
◼
►
was during fireball 14 May 2008 why Apple won't buy adobe and I think the
[TS]
00:22:04
◼
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the post he wrote here if you could if you want to do a find and replace with
[TS]
00:22:08
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with almost every company on that list
[TS]
00:22:12
◼
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you know you could pretty much pasted in there you know and and you also made a
[TS]
00:22:17
◼
►
you've also written about you know why Apple buying Tesla wouldn't necessarily
[TS]
00:22:23
◼
►
be the craziest thing because it kind of fits fits the model a little bit of what
[TS]
00:22:28
◼
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they do but you know if you look at at Pinterest and Twitter and Tesla first of
[TS]
00:22:34
◼
►
all you can't buy three companies that bigger the same time and that's even
[TS]
00:22:38
◼
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possible for logistical or regulatory standpoint like imagine if you announce
[TS]
00:22:43
◼
►
a hundred billion dollars and acquisitions in a week I my guess is
[TS]
00:22:47
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that the government would say yeah very funny ok now we're gonna make you wait
[TS]
00:22:53
◼
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for two years while we sift through all this stuff yet there's let's let's go
[TS]
00:22:59
◼
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beyond that and yeah let's put that aside for now but in particular for
[TS]
00:23:04
◼
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example I think that trying to acquire Twitter and Pinterest simultaneously
[TS]
00:23:08
◼
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would definitely be
[TS]
00:23:09
◼
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very complicated getting approval much more complicated than buying one of them
[TS]
00:23:16
◼
►
or the other
[TS]
00:23:17
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more than twice as complicated because it would be seen as you know anti
[TS]
00:23:22
◼
►
competitive because in some ways Pinterest is it social network and
[TS]
00:23:26
◼
►
therefore it competes with Twitter but beyond that even if you had like you
[TS]
00:23:30
◼
►
know even if all that stuff was was totally doable then your Apple ID you
[TS]
00:23:35
◼
►
have to integrate Pinterest and Twitter into your company and you know first of
[TS]
00:23:41
◼
►
all how and second of all why like what do you know what do you do at that and
[TS]
00:23:45
◼
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it just seems to me like that is not what Tim Cook needs to be doing right
[TS]
00:23:51
◼
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you know twitter is not gonna change Apple in a way that would make it you
[TS]
00:23:56
◼
►
know solve all the problems I think there are there are much much bigger
[TS]
00:23:59
◼
►
problems that Apple that have nothing to do with spending cash to acquire new
[TS]
00:24:04
◼
►
companies that have some relation to you know potential future businesses for
[TS]
00:24:09
◼
►
apple or something like that I am the Y is the bigger question than the house
[TS]
00:24:15
◼
►
because the easiest answer to how would be to acquire them and kind of let them
[TS]
00:24:20
◼
►
run independently but then you know you mean like there how to me has it why
[TS]
00:24:26
◼
►
though it is the first question which by the way is is harder than it sounds
[TS]
00:24:30
◼
►
because the people who made Pinterest and Twitter by the people who made
[TS]
00:24:35
◼
►
Pinterest what it is don't necessarily want to keep making it under the
[TS]
00:24:39
◼
►
ownership of a bigger company so this is a very common problem anyway the wise is
[TS]
00:24:44
◼
►
ultimately more interesting because I don't see how Twitter or focus on
[TS]
00:24:52
◼
►
Twitter but only owning Twitter to me doesn't help Apple do anything that
[TS]
00:24:57
◼
►
Apple already does there's no that it solves nothing you know that in terms of
[TS]
00:25:03
◼
►
Apple's core businesses which is really selling computing hardware and now an
[TS]
00:25:10
◼
►
array of form factors traditional PCs and laptops
[TS]
00:25:15
◼
►
tablets and off course cell phones and coming soon
[TS]
00:25:20
◼
►
the watch which are all computers that's really no fun to me as well as they make
[TS]
00:25:25
◼
►
computers and the way that they succeed is by making computers that are the best
[TS]
00:25:32
◼
►
in the world as perceived by a significant number of people who are
[TS]
00:25:37
◼
►
therefore willing to pay a premium for them to me that Apple in a nutshell and
[TS]
00:25:44
◼
►
there's almost nothing that the company does that matters that isn't in service
[TS]
00:25:49
◼
►
that which is why it has all this cash to spend in the first place so for
[TS]
00:25:55
◼
►
example yeah exactly and that's how I got so for example the whole thing of
[TS]
00:25:59
◼
►
items isn't at first at least it like a one level of indirection has nothing to
[TS]
00:26:05
◼
►
do with selling computers but I think like two levels of indirection it does
[TS]
00:26:11
◼
►
because one type of computer and that's no longer really a significant part of
[TS]
00:26:17
◼
►
the company's business but one type of computer is iPods computers that are
[TS]
00:26:22
◼
►
computing devices that are meant as portable music and video players and
[TS]
00:26:28
◼
►
sell those it really really helped I would say it was essential to make it
[TS]
00:26:34
◼
►
easy to buy content for them therefore it that way
[TS]
00:26:37
◼
►
iTunes exists I think you're selling I chose a little short I mean edit speak
[TS]
00:26:43
◼
►
of utility in the early two thousands like it was way easier to use than
[TS]
00:26:48
◼
►
winning or something like that for managing a music library and and ripping
[TS]
00:26:53
◼
►
CDs and that sort of stuff and then you know arguably more importantly it became
[TS]
00:26:59
◼
►
the the home of sync sinking your devices two-year to each other to your
[TS]
00:27:05
◼
►
iPod and eventually your iPhone to Mac which you know that's a that's a really
[TS]
00:27:10
◼
►
great place to be if you can I was a Michael Gartenberg I think once tweeted
[TS]
00:27:15
◼
►
something if you own sink you own everything yeah I don't know something
[TS]
00:27:19
◼
►
you know and that's what I cloud is supposed to do right now so i tunes
[TS]
00:27:23
◼
►
actually price so lot of Max I would say yeah I don't mean to sell it short but
[TS]
00:27:29
◼
►
it's all in service of selling into selling Mac selling iPod selling phones
[TS]
00:27:33
◼
►
you know definitely it that they had the infrastructure in place both the cloud
[TS]
00:27:39
◼
►
infrastructure of having the store and cloud servers that could send content
[TS]
00:27:44
◼
►
over and can do
[TS]
00:27:46
◼
►
activation member you have to activate your phone through iTunes and the
[TS]
00:27:52
◼
►
desktop software which was on hundreds of millions of Macs and Windows PCs it
[TS]
00:27:57
◼
►
let them ship the iPhone sooner than they would have been able to otherwise
[TS]
00:28:00
◼
►
if they didn't have it in place because for years you know three or four more
[TS]
00:28:04
◼
►
years before I cloud really became an independent thing you've really you know
[TS]
00:28:08
◼
►
they needed it to have the you know just for things like software update they
[TS]
00:28:14
◼
►
didn't have the infrastructure in place to do over the air software updates to
[TS]
00:28:17
◼
►
the iPhone and so if they wanted to do what they definitely wanted to do which
[TS]
00:28:21
◼
►
was controlled the software updates to the phone as opposed to the carrier they
[TS]
00:28:26
◼
►
needed items work so I'm not trying to sound short I'm just say no it wasn't
[TS]
00:28:30
◼
►
service of that fundamental business of selling the best computing devices yet
[TS]
00:28:34
◼
►
and now that of course the acquisition estate would say well now Apple should
[TS]
00:28:40
◼
►
buy Spotify because that's the future iTunes so why does an apple just spend
[TS]
00:28:46
◼
►
the cash it has by Spotify that's it not that I would not disagree with I don't
[TS]
00:28:50
◼
►
think they have to buy Spotify I don't think they have to buy rather than build
[TS]
00:28:55
◼
►
their own streaming music solution but if if the news came out you know after
[TS]
00:29:00
◼
►
we you and I get off this show and the news comes out late on Friday that Apple
[TS]
00:29:05
◼
►
isn't you know made an offer to buy Spotify I wouldn't be surprised at all
[TS]
00:29:08
◼
►
with you
[TS]
00:29:10
◼
►
well I was just making fun of it so maybe I don't think about it
[TS]
00:29:16
◼
►
now it was aight well I might be surprised I wouldn't be shocked
[TS]
00:29:20
◼
►
wouldn't seem out of character in the same way that beats pete was definitely
[TS]
00:29:24
◼
►
surprised but it you know it doesn't seem totally out of character right and
[TS]
00:29:32
◼
►
Spotify like it has it seems to have survived long enough to actually be
[TS]
00:29:36
◼
►
something important
[TS]
00:29:37
◼
►
on its own both in terms of usage and kind of a community and the product it's
[TS]
00:29:44
◼
►
built so yeah that wouldn't you know it I don't know if I guess the questions I
[TS]
00:29:50
◼
►
okay does that then there's always dork questions like does that become the
[TS]
00:29:55
◼
►
iTunes App I don't know the answer to that and I don't know that even matters
[TS]
00:30:02
◼
►
but yeah I think that like something like that which you know the question
[TS]
00:30:09
◼
►
for all these deals would be like if even if Apple shut all the Android users
[TS]
00:30:14
◼
►
off of these products in the planet and I made them I Apple only does that make
[TS]
00:30:19
◼
►
the Apple product that much better that people would buy that instead of
[TS]
00:30:23
◼
►
something else
[TS]
00:30:26
◼
►
no outcry if they bought Twitter and made it Apple only it would you know the
[TS]
00:30:33
◼
►
outcry would be phenomenal I mean it would lose most of its users I would
[TS]
00:30:38
◼
►
guess the majority some majority of Twitter users are you know using devices
[TS]
00:30:44
◼
►
or at least one device that's not an Apple product just wouldn't even you
[TS]
00:30:49
◼
►
know I don't know why would you buy a car window or the web even just the web
[TS]
00:30:55
◼
►
it just you know and then what would be the point it's just it almost seems like
[TS]
00:31:00
◼
►
to me buying Twitter would just be that it would be a sign that Apple sees
[TS]
00:31:04
◼
►
itself now as I could you know like like Berkshire Hathaway yeah by companies and
[TS]
00:31:10
◼
►
their like a medic company on top of them right and I'm not liking an expert
[TS]
00:31:15
◼
►
in in kind of financial tricks in that kind of stuff but someone explain to me
[TS]
00:31:20
◼
►
by back Saturday as you know if you have this money and you think that the the
[TS]
00:31:25
◼
►
best investment you can make it in yourself if you think that
[TS]
00:31:29
◼
►
Apple shares are gonna go up then that's probably the best investment you can
[TS]
00:31:33
◼
►
make it just you know by our own shares instead of buying shares in something
[TS]
00:31:37
◼
►
else yet I've read that too that's that's very close to Warren Buffett's
[TS]
00:31:46
◼
►
Berkshire Hathaway Warren Buffett's advice and take on buybacks is that it's
[TS]
00:31:52
◼
►
you know it's like most of his docking by then again I'm no expert but you know
[TS]
00:31:57
◼
►
it's as simple as that
[TS]
00:31:58
◼
►
that if you if you think you said if you think that your stock is underpriced
[TS]
00:32:04
◼
►
then it's you know it's a good buy at a good to good use of your money that he
[TS]
00:32:10
◼
►
actually does help your shareholders and inflate the value of the company and who
[TS]
00:32:15
◼
►
better than the leadership of Apple 22 have accent as to whether they think
[TS]
00:32:20
◼
►
that their stock is underpriced right right I mean this is again an area where
[TS]
00:32:28
◼
►
I'm not an expert but you know finance reporters that i've talked to have said
[TS]
00:32:32
◼
►
that Tim Cook has actually done a really good job at converting apple from being
[TS]
00:32:39
◼
►
a fast growth growth growth growth company to more of a blue-chip where yet
[TS]
00:32:44
◼
►
have a dividend and buy back its shares and you know does things with its cash
[TS]
00:32:49
◼
►
that a growth company probably wouldn't do but that into you know big
[TS]
00:32:54
◼
►
institutional investors really respect the way that Tim Cook is done that
[TS]
00:32:58
◼
►
yeah and ATS I do I i i as an outside observer who who follows up on those
[TS]
00:33:03
◼
►
leads from the product and design side not the business side you know I
[TS]
00:33:10
◼
►
completely agree with that and it does feel like like the stock has settled
[TS]
00:33:14
◼
►
because the market as a whole has accepted that transition that they're
[TS]
00:33:18
◼
►
not looking for I don't see people trying to to figure out ways to make
[TS]
00:33:23
◼
►
watch and iPhone sized business in any near-term future you know it seems like
[TS]
00:33:30
◼
►
expectations are reasonable
[TS]
00:33:32
◼
►
whereas like two years ago I feel like if they denounced watch the watch then
[TS]
00:33:37
◼
►
expectations would have been 22 while because people you know
[TS]
00:33:43
◼
►
business writers people looking at it from a financial perspective we're
[TS]
00:33:47
◼
►
asking how can Apple keep growing at this crazy rate that they've grown the
[TS]
00:33:51
◼
►
last seven years especially having seen the first couple years of the iPad come
[TS]
00:33:57
◼
►
out right out the gate super strong and look like maybe that was it right and
[TS]
00:34:02
◼
►
look like oh wow this is gonna be as big as the iPhone right away and then you
[TS]
00:34:06
◼
►
know ok here comes to watch now it's got to be that big too and I'm guilty as
[TS]
00:34:10
◼
►
charged on a front I i've I'm on the record as speculated I didn't pick a
[TS]
00:34:15
◼
►
year but I i'm was on the record as saying that I thought iPad would be a
[TS]
00:34:18
◼
►
bigger business than iPhone soon meaning you know by now and clearly that was
[TS]
00:34:23
◼
►
wrong it's not it's settled in far lower its actually growth in stopped that I
[TS]
00:34:29
◼
►
disagree with this dog forever but you know for about a year and maybe even
[TS]
00:34:33
◼
►
longer right can you count the court four of the last six quarters it's
[TS]
00:34:37
◼
►
actually shrunk year over year so this year it will almost certainly be smaller
[TS]
00:34:42
◼
►
than it was last year not even just strong growth but actually where the
[TS]
00:34:46
◼
►
trailer hitch whereas iPhone which is holders is still continues to grow right
[TS]
00:34:51
◼
►
never had a stronger launched in the head with the this year's models and of
[TS]
00:34:55
◼
►
course the iPod has been shrinking for several years and you know until very
[TS]
00:34:59
◼
►
recently was still a line on laughable business so you know it's it's perfectly
[TS]
00:35:05
◼
►
reasonable for things to eventually declined but I don't think anyone would
[TS]
00:35:10
◼
►
have expected that the iPad iPad iPad would be in its decline already and you
[TS]
00:35:16
◼
►
know it's probably not permanent I don't think that tablets are you know where
[TS]
00:35:21
◼
►
we're a fad now I don't think so I think what it was
[TS]
00:35:25
◼
►
I've been thinking about this and i know this is a little bit of an aside on on
[TS]
00:35:28
◼
►
this game let spendable money but
[TS]
00:35:31
◼
►
no one gonna spend his money in a minute so yeah yeah if we you know we didn't
[TS]
00:35:35
◼
►
have a long digression it wouldn't really be I might my gut feeling on the
[TS]
00:35:41
◼
►
iPad sales starring is that in the early years where it was growing in and this
[TS]
00:35:51
◼
►
is what made me think it's gonna be bigger than iPhone is in the first two
[TS]
00:35:54
◼
►
years of iPad it's like iPad year one was bigger than iPhones your one and
[TS]
00:35:59
◼
►
iPad year to is bigger than iPhones your to it never was bigger than iPhone but
[TS]
00:36:04
◼
►
it was bigger than the iPhone in 27 28 29 you know in years 12 30 and then it
[TS]
00:36:12
◼
►
fell behind the curve and I think it's because the two markets are entirely
[TS]
00:36:16
◼
►
different the phone market is literally every person on the planet who can
[TS]
00:36:21
◼
►
afford a phone that's where we're headed is that however many billion people
[TS]
00:36:26
◼
►
there on the planet if they are in a you know country you know and you have you
[TS]
00:36:33
◼
►
know hundred bucks and you can afford some monthly service charge you're gonna
[TS]
00:36:38
◼
►
have a cell phone if you don't already and it's so it's an enormous market it's
[TS]
00:36:42
◼
►
almost capped by the number of people on the plane and I think the market for
[TS]
00:36:49
◼
►
tablets is really a submarket of the PC market I think what it is is is that
[TS]
00:36:56
◼
►
it's it's really just part I think the iPad is best seen as part of the PC
[TS]
00:37:01
◼
►
market and what what happened in the early years is that the market was
[TS]
00:37:04
◼
►
vastly underserved by PCs portable PCs that are simpler more portable and get
[TS]
00:37:18
◼
►
way better battery life like the things that made the iPad the iPad
[TS]
00:37:22
◼
►
that it just it just sucked all the air out of the growth in laptop sales
[TS]
00:37:27
◼
►
including the MacBooks for a while that the iPad style of laptop portable
[TS]
00:37:34
◼
►
computing is just way better for so many use cases than than laptops are and that
[TS]
00:37:42
◼
►
it had go-go growth while it fulfilled that unmet need and then it just reached
[TS]
00:37:48
◼
►
the point where you know everybody who didn't really wanted one got one and
[TS]
00:37:53
◼
►
they still work you know and that there's no then the second factor is
[TS]
00:37:57
◼
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that iPads continued to 34 year old iPad continue to work just great from his
[TS]
00:38:03
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people's needs and so they don't replace them every two years like they do so
[TS]
00:38:08
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that smile but my digression and iPad our growth decline yeah I think that's
[TS]
00:38:15
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right you know I'm not sure you know this is this is like an example where
[TS]
00:38:20
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it's tempting to use your own personal example but I don't know how well you
[TS]
00:38:27
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know so I still using an iPad one every day to watch video on my house but we're
[TS]
00:38:35
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about to have to replace it because time warner cable is finally ending support
[TS]
00:38:39
◼
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for the their app iOS 5 or whatever it runs so maybe maybe Apple ask them to do
[TS]
00:38:49
◼
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that so that we would buy a new iPad
[TS]
00:38:52
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my dad has an iPad 1 tell and technology but he swears he does not want a newer
[TS]
00:38:59
◼
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one had just find it in perfect shape but now candy crush doesn't run yeah it
[TS]
00:39:07
◼
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is like crashes at a certain point and I'm sure to be you know I said I
[TS]
00:39:11
◼
►
probably just the type of bug that slips in because they don't test on the iPad
[TS]
00:39:16
◼
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and now they're gonna get complained about it in the next update but you just
[TS]
00:39:20
◼
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have to wait for them to update it yeah
[TS]
00:39:22
◼
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iPad 1 it the iPad one is sort of an exception to cause there's a lot of
[TS]
00:39:27
◼
►
things that have dropped support for iPad 1 right but iPad 2 is effectively
[TS]
00:39:31
◼
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still on the market it's because it's like the guts of that cheap other many
[TS]
00:39:38
◼
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non-threatening many as effectively and iPad 2 and half the cash registers at
[TS]
00:39:44
◼
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coffee shops of America so yeah like if anything the opposite problem with iPad
[TS]
00:39:49
◼
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2 developers are gonna be saddled with supporting that level of you know CPU
[TS]
00:39:55
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and RAM
[TS]
00:39:57
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gonna be years and I you know I think the fact that there's a lot of people
[TS]
00:40:03
◼
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really complain about the fact that they're still selling that because it's
[TS]
00:40:06
◼
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you know it's holding back that level of baselines port you know where you really
[TS]
00:40:15
◼
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only have to support X number of years of iPhones going back
[TS]
00:40:19
◼
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iPad is sort of stretching that a lot further because they're keeping that
[TS]
00:40:22
◼
►
iPad 2 level of of device around but on the other hand I think it's a sign that
[TS]
00:40:28
◼
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in the real world millions of people that's good enough
[TS]
00:40:30
◼
►
totally in you know I think that maybe I just got a little ahead of itself like
[TS]
00:40:37
◼
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people were ever on bada tablet and then some people but two or three because
[TS]
00:40:41
◼
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they were you know getting better or coming in at smaller sizes and that kind
[TS]
00:40:46
◼
►
of stuff and now you know combine that with the probably longer much longer
[TS]
00:40:50
◼
►
replacement cycle than a cell phone and a smaller market now we're seeing the
[TS]
00:40:55
◼
►
results of that and you know maybe in a year to as people grow tired or or as
[TS]
00:41:02
◼
►
their current iPads become less useful to replace them I think a lot of it is
[TS]
00:41:08
◼
►
on Apple to and you know I don't want to repeat a million people who've talked
[TS]
00:41:15
◼
►
about this but is it really on Apple now to to further define what the iPad is
[TS]
00:41:22
◼
►
and I think that they're starting to do that yeah I expected to grow sort of
[TS]
00:41:28
◼
►
like the way the Mac as you know like slowly but surely if they can keep if
[TS]
00:41:33
◼
►
they can keep it ahead of you know the market which is central I mean there's a
[TS]
00:41:38
◼
►
lot of times when I talk and make the assumption that Apple's going to
[TS]
00:41:43
◼
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continue thriving and and sometimes critics of you know my writing or just
[TS]
00:41:49
◼
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you know readers who with critic crips thinking critically will will point out
[TS]
00:41:53
◼
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in and assume that it's some kind of bias there that I think Apple is magic
[TS]
00:41:59
◼
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and that they you know magically just no matter what they do they're going to
[TS]
00:42:02
◼
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succeed it's all based on the fundamental assumption that they can
[TS]
00:42:05
◼
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keep doing what they've been doing for close to twenty years which is making
[TS]
00:42:09
◼
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superior products whether everybody agrees that their superior not you know
[TS]
00:42:13
◼
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some number of people have seen their devices is superior in significant ways
[TS]
00:42:18
◼
►
and that's assuming they can keep doing that I think they can keep trying you
[TS]
00:42:22
◼
►
know there's there is an assumption there but I think it's gonna grow like
[TS]
00:42:25
◼
►
the Mac where the Mac has done great US few years and it's growing in an overall
[TS]
00:42:29
◼
►
shrinking market but it's very slow growth compared to the iPhone yes I did
[TS]
00:42:35
◼
►
not mean an end this print this and I'm gonna say ok now you're Tim Cook with a
[TS]
00:42:39
◼
►
hundred billion dollars how do you spend it to keep making those products grade
[TS]
00:42:44
◼
►
and I don't it's not buying Twitter and Pinterest I think it's you know and I
[TS]
00:42:50
◼
►
wrote this in my piece today like what what would be ideal that they could if
[TS]
00:42:54
◼
►
they had a year where they could just focus on making iOS and Mac OS and all
[TS]
00:42:59
◼
►
their software better that's not feasible but if they could increase
[TS]
00:43:03
◼
►
their engineering organization so that there were enough people to a building
[TS]
00:43:07
◼
►
new stuff they want to build and be keep refining the old stuff that that would
[TS]
00:43:14
◼
►
be a good use of money obviously it's hard to hire engineers and they're
[TS]
00:43:17
◼
►
having open up new offices and other places to do that kind of thing but
[TS]
00:43:21
◼
►
that's right like to see Apple spend their money right and then there's the
[TS]
00:43:26
◼
►
whole mythical man month factor where you can't even if you can get
[TS]
00:43:31
◼
►
more good engineers you can't solve individual projects problems just by
[TS]
00:43:37
◼
►
throwing more engineers at them true more engineers would definitely help I
[TS]
00:43:41
◼
►
don't think there's a single company in technology today that's not doesn't real
[TS]
00:43:46
◼
►
talent starved I really don't I mean I think it's I think it's universal Google
[TS]
00:43:52
◼
►
Apple Microsoft Twitter any of those companies my Facebook and healers
[TS]
00:43:58
◼
►
companies know everything I've seen is that the the recruiting market is as
[TS]
00:44:04
◼
►
important as tenacious or more tenacious than it's ever been but it's not about
[TS]
00:44:09
◼
►
throwing more people at the same projects it having more people to spread
[TS]
00:44:13
◼
►
and you know the size of a team is not going to grow but it's being able to
[TS]
00:44:17
◼
►
have more teams yet right so maybe Apple should buy one of those coding schools
[TS]
00:44:22
◼
►
they go now I just you know and I've been watching you know when using Apple
[TS]
00:44:30
◼
►
products for twenty-five years now more and you know nothing was ever perfect
[TS]
00:44:36
◼
►
but it does certainly feel now like there are some holes in their products I
[TS]
00:44:41
◼
►
use every day where you know nothing is really really bad but it's it could be
[TS]
00:44:47
◼
►
better to be its rights to Littleton yeah I think and that they've you know
[TS]
00:44:51
◼
►
and maybe that's a good thing maybe in the grand scheme of things if you can't
[TS]
00:44:57
◼
►
achieve perfection and you you know and let's just assume you know it's human
[TS]
00:45:01
◼
►
nature that nobody's perfect it's a little better to err on the side going
[TS]
00:45:06
◼
►
too fast and err on the side of going too slow
[TS]
00:45:10
◼
►
totally right that you want to be on that too fast side and not too slow side
[TS]
00:45:16
◼
►
and you know I think what we've seen in the last year is that Apple's being a
[TS]
00:45:21
◼
►
little too fast as their little too far away from that optimal you know things
[TS]
00:45:27
◼
►
like all the continuity features and stuff like that most of them were crazy
[TS]
00:45:31
◼
►
but there are none of them feel quite to me
[TS]
00:45:35
◼
►
like perfect one thing that did has definitely changed my daily computing is
[TS]
00:45:41
◼
►
especially between phone and Mac in you know in the house is downstairs and get
[TS]
00:45:48
◼
►
more coffee and I'll take my phone out and see something and now I'm on
[TS]
00:45:53
◼
►
LinkedIn enduring fireball and I used to do something like send it to pin board
[TS]
00:45:58
◼
►
and come up to my Mac and load pinboard and do that now I use airdrop I airdrop
[TS]
00:46:02
◼
►
to myself everyday multiple times and usually it's perfect
[TS]
00:46:06
◼
►
HEDIS a share their my other device shows up on air drop by tap it in a
[TS]
00:46:12
◼
►
second or two later it's there and then i dont have like an extra bookmark on
[TS]
00:46:16
◼
►
pinboard they really didn't want there permanently to do something with you
[TS]
00:46:20
◼
►
know there's no you know I don't you call it
[TS]
00:46:24
◼
►
digital detritus leftover it's great but then there sometimes we're on the right
[TS]
00:46:29
◼
►
there next to my Mac with my phone and I go to air drop in my Mac just doesn't
[TS]
00:46:32
◼
►
show up I have in turn Bluetooth off or anything like that just doesn't show up
[TS]
00:46:36
◼
►
in this is my experience as well and it's it's frustrating
[TS]
00:46:41
◼
►
frustrating because I don't know why it's not working you know and then it
[TS]
00:46:48
◼
►
seems like I'm not in my own contacts file or something like that so I have to
[TS]
00:46:52
◼
►
change the airdrop settings to share with everyone and not just contacts but
[TS]
00:46:57
◼
►
it should know I'm me because you know I'm the same I don't know how it knows
[TS]
00:47:02
◼
►
I'm me or not some people right that it really doesn't work well for them at all
[TS]
00:47:06
◼
►
for me I would say works at least 95% of the time I'm like in the twenty five
[TS]
00:47:11
◼
►
percent range maybe I just need to let loose with a permissions and let it
[TS]
00:47:17
◼
►
share with everyone but even trust trying to sync with my own Mac or with
[TS]
00:47:21
◼
►
you know my wife's iPhone where we're definitely in each other's contact vials
[TS]
00:47:26
◼
►
it still never wants to to find them when we want to use it
[TS]
00:47:32
◼
►
another example i mean it's not a new 2014 thing it's actually a little bit
[TS]
00:47:36
◼
►
older but don't get me started on my experience with iTunes
[TS]
00:47:39
◼
►
match which it's just I don't know I so white had it turned onto and we got our
[TS]
00:47:48
◼
►
new iPhones couple months ago and and it's like she was just passed she came
[TS]
00:47:53
◼
►
back from the gym the one day and she at one point she had the new phone and she
[TS]
00:47:57
◼
►
had all of her music and it was on the phone
[TS]
00:47:59
◼
►
territory thing with a new phone she would have checked before she went to
[TS]
00:48:02
◼
►
the gym the first time to listen to music she had it she listened to music
[TS]
00:48:06
◼
►
and then like the next day she got to the gym and her phone had no songs 0
[TS]
00:48:09
◼
►
just no songs are just gone that's yeah well I just did something immensely
[TS]
00:48:15
◼
►
stupid which was nice I put a new hard drive in my iMac and try to start from
[TS]
00:48:21
◼
►
scratch but my itunes of course through iTunes Match already had all this that
[TS]
00:48:27
◼
►
metadata from my songs in its own set of trying to download them all from Apple
[TS]
00:48:31
◼
►
servers I drop the music folder on top of the iTunes icon in the dock to you
[TS]
00:48:39
◼
►
know real you know theoretically we associate all those song files with him
[TS]
00:48:44
◼
►
with the app and then it duplicated everything in the listings and shit now
[TS]
00:48:51
◼
►
I have two copies of every song and have to figure out how to go through and an
[TS]
00:48:56
◼
►
unduplicated and I tweeted something to that extent and people like me you know
[TS]
00:49:01
◼
►
that and then you know it's so funny I came back the next day and it had
[TS]
00:49:05
◼
►
totally fixed itself was duplicated so I have no idea how that worked but write
[TS]
00:49:11
◼
►
some of these features are supposed to be there like like airdrop I don't even
[TS]
00:49:18
◼
►
know quite how I know it's some combination of Bluetooth WiFi you know
[TS]
00:49:22
◼
►
that there's like invisible wi-fi networks that don't show up as WiFi
[TS]
00:49:27
◼
►
networks but its encapsulating a lot of complexity to make all the handshaking
[TS]
00:49:32
◼
►
and then presented itself in a very simple interface but it's gotta be
[TS]
00:49:35
◼
►
bulletproof gotta be that if I'm
[TS]
00:49:38
◼
►
devices are clearly within range of each other and they're both on
[TS]
00:49:42
◼
►
it should be you know it should be every bit as consistent as when you open the
[TS]
00:49:47
◼
►
finder and you go to your home folder that your home folder has all of your
[TS]
00:49:52
◼
►
stuff in it right every time you go to the finder and you go to your home
[TS]
00:49:55
◼
►
folder you know the connection between OS 10 and the files on your hard drive
[TS]
00:50:02
◼
►
is 200% consistent you know airdrops gotta get that could write like magic
[TS]
00:50:09
◼
►
and that's you know and that's right rather see Apple interests in you know
[TS]
00:50:13
◼
►
kind of perfecting that I'm sure it's tricky you know bluetooth for years
[TS]
00:50:19
◼
►
seemed like it was just a joke of a technology and it seems to have gotten
[TS]
00:50:23
◼
►
better and more recently
[TS]
00:50:25
◼
►
definitely gotten better battery life with low energy is aptly named it's you
[TS]
00:50:33
◼
►
know I used to never keep Bluetooth I turned it off I the only thing I really
[TS]
00:50:37
◼
►
could have used it for what we have speakers that Bluetooth but I didn't use
[TS]
00:50:42
◼
►
them and Mike are you can connect it to the cars cost but it was such a hassle
[TS]
00:50:49
◼
►
to remember to turn Bluetooth off before I got the car that I never did and if I
[TS]
00:50:54
◼
►
left it on which I always would if I did remember to turn it on it would forget
[TS]
00:50:57
◼
►
to turn it off and i got out of the car and I feel like geez I didn't use my
[TS]
00:51:01
◼
►
phone for a while why the battery life travelers cos I do too but it doesn't
[TS]
00:51:04
◼
►
you know now it just seems so you can leave bluetooth on your phone and it's
[TS]
00:51:07
◼
►
you know it's good I would say the biggest thing that Apple could do with
[TS]
00:51:11
◼
►
the cash that they have is focusing on ways that give them competitive edges
[TS]
00:51:18
◼
►
that can't be matched by anyone else or bias few other companies as possible
[TS]
00:51:26
◼
►
because I think that's the key to their success for you know for twenty years is
[TS]
00:51:33
◼
►
that they've had design jobs that couldn't be matched and arguably still
[TS]
00:51:39
◼
►
aren't right and but the focus on more and more of those things I think that
[TS]
00:51:44
◼
►
the whole safire tobacco in Arizona was an attempted that yes and they buy it
[TS]
00:51:50
◼
►
I think that you know the idea was that they were going to work out a deal with
[TS]
00:51:57
◼
►
a company that I remember but yeah well you know they worked out a deal where
[TS]
00:52:02
◼
►
they were going to you know supply the capital to create an unheard-of number
[TS]
00:52:07
◼
►
of sapphire furnaces and they would have the right to buy is you know you know
[TS]
00:52:13
◼
►
all of the South fire that the facility produced which if it worked or if they
[TS]
00:52:18
◼
►
can somehow salvage this and it does eventually work they'll have something
[TS]
00:52:22
◼
►
that nobody else will have nobody else you know samp Samsung won't be able to
[TS]
00:52:26
◼
►
make a phone you know in in in quantity with the Sapphire display because there
[TS]
00:52:32
◼
►
won't be anywhere in the world by them i think is a perfect example of the sort
[TS]
00:52:35
◼
►
of thing that Apple should be doing with its money yet and it is something that I
[TS]
00:52:39
◼
►
can do now that it couldn't do in the old days before they had this giant
[TS]
00:52:44
◼
►
massive sum of cash you know in 2002 2003 Appleton have the ability to spend
[TS]
00:52:51
◼
►
ten or twenty billion dollars on x because they don't have ten or twenty
[TS]
00:52:54
◼
►
billion dollars sitting in a bank right now and instead they they famously like
[TS]
00:52:59
◼
►
negotiated just crazy great terms on deals with suppliers and the flash or
[TS]
00:53:06
◼
►
whatever right there in a position to bankroll the creation of an entire new
[TS]
00:53:12
◼
►
basically industry I mean this by the way the company is called GTE advanced
[TS]
00:53:17
◼
►
technologies and the staff that I found crazy is that Apple already is using
[TS]
00:53:24
◼
►
one-fourth of the entire world supply of sapphire just for the iPhone camera lens
[TS]
00:53:30
◼
►
and fingerprint reader and I was a wall street journal so they've already
[TS]
00:53:35
◼
►
promised that the top two tiers of Apple watcher gonna doubtfire covered displays
[TS]
00:53:41
◼
►
right so that's a crazy amount of of the market that they already control for
[TS]
00:53:46
◼
►
these two tiny components granted on hundreds of millions of products but you
[TS]
00:53:52
◼
►
can imagine now take those hundreds of millions of iPhones and multiply the
[TS]
00:53:55
◼
►
Sapphire by
[TS]
00:53:57
◼
►
twenty or something like that and you were literally are creating an entire
[TS]
00:54:01
◼
►
new market and that's what you can do it when you have a hundred billion dollars
[TS]
00:54:05
◼
►
secondary digression is under sapphire and one of the things I've been thinking
[TS]
00:54:11
◼
►
about lately is one of the things that come out of the court filings with the
[TS]
00:54:15
◼
►
bankruptcy of GTP advanced technology is that we now know what we suspected all
[TS]
00:54:20
◼
►
along but we know for sure now that at some point Apple had hoped to use a fire
[TS]
00:54:25
◼
►
in this year's new iPhones for the displays not just for the camera back
[TS]
00:54:30
◼
►
there if everything had gone perfectly or at least according to plan or
[TS]
00:54:35
◼
►
something some measure like that Apple iPhone 6 in six-plus would have fired
[TS]
00:54:39
◼
►
this place and they don't which makes me wonder how much whether they're there
[TS]
00:54:48
◼
►
now the fact that GTE advanced failed whether they're in trouble now with the
[TS]
00:54:53
◼
►
Sapphire displays for watches and not that they would have to change it could
[TS]
00:55:00
◼
►
have already promised that I would be shocked if they switched to class for
[TS]
00:55:06
◼
►
the addition in the stainless but I'm wondering if we might not see one of
[TS]
00:55:12
◼
►
those apple launches where midnight everybody's madly clicking and you know
[TS]
00:55:18
◼
►
by like 1215 easterner to go on sale Pacific I don't know but you know
[TS]
00:55:24
◼
►
fifteen minutes after the pre-orders go online
[TS]
00:55:27
◼
►
people are already seeing quotes of four to six weeks and the next day you're
[TS]
00:55:32
◼
►
already seeing you know six seven weeks you know estimated delivery necessarily
[TS]
00:55:38
◼
►
because it's so many people buying them but because it's the the Sapphire if if
[TS]
00:55:43
◼
►
they were banking on gt2 advanced technology the Sapphire might be a
[TS]
00:55:47
◼
►
significant constraint just in in supply and maybe even in price so although I at
[TS]
00:55:56
◼
►
this point in price the money and make the watches I have no idea
[TS]
00:56:01
◼
►
yeah but I'm not to cook so yeah exactly I think that this is the sort of thing
[TS]
00:56:06
◼
►
though that Tim Cook
[TS]
00:56:07
◼
►
is the best in the world that so far but the other thing I thought that I'm
[TS]
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probably wrong about that that the Sapphire will be significant gating
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issue on production is that they're gonna need a lot less a fire for Apple
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watch then they would have the phones because the phones are you know where I
[TS]
00:56:29
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don't know but I'm not make up a number and say fifty million yeah and figure
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maybe thirty to forty million of those are iPhone 6 is something could be has
[TS]
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to say at least 30 million iPhones sixes which are bigger and in the case of 6 +1
[TS]
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whole lot bigger than the watch whereas the watch you know nobody knows how many
[TS]
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gonna sell but especially in the more expensive stainless in addition levels
[TS]
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are not thirty million in its border and it's not a five inch display and are not
[TS]
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going to be told how many sold no true yeah so that's that's a great example
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and other one which they did do is test flight I mean I think that's that's a
[TS]
00:57:12
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that's the sort of thing that day that they actually probably know they should
[TS]
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have done sooner and probably were just being snobby about it you know why why
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are all these developers using testify when they should be using our built-in
[TS]
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drag-and-drop email attachments app testing system so you know any time you
[TS]
00:57:30
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see a bunch of of app developers jumping onto a third party to like that like
[TS]
00:57:36
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just pick it up I mean yeah you know they've certainly try to build a few of
[TS]
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them like Cloud kit which I haven't used is very similar to parse which I do use
[TS]
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which Facebook owns you know that's the kind of thing that you know they should
[TS]
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just keep an eye out for that kind of stuff
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and none of those are billion dollar deals are all much smaller I think
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manufacturing in general
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deal and I can't help but wonder if there's another purely hypothetical but
[TS]
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we know that they're building like the Mac Pros in the USSR assembling them and
[TS]
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if they have grand plans to shift more and more of their assembly to the united
[TS]
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states if they do I my guess would be that it would be more along the lines of
[TS]
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robotic izing the assembly line is if you ever look like this you know
[TS]
00:58:32
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surprise it was surprising to me like we first started getting behind the scene
[TS]
00:58:36
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looks at Foxconn health under assembled and I Petters embolden how much of it is
[TS]
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done by hand by just people at a bench you know putting you know putting these
[TS]
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pieces together I think if they brought that to the United States to make it
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cost-effective it would probably not be like a bonanza of manufacturing jobs it
[TS]
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would probably be about figure out a way to monetize sampling and then they could
[TS]
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bring it internally and they have these robotic size assembly lines that no one
[TS]
00:59:07
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else in the world would have right like Foxconn gains the ability to do acts
[TS]
00:59:11
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than anybody who usess Foxconn gets the ability to do X Foxconn itself to I'm
[TS]
00:59:18
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say exactly which is a little surprised they have not been more competitive
[TS]
00:59:21
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already right and for example just look at the Nokia tablet that looks like I've
[TS]
00:59:28
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had many look alike and it's every you know drilled aluminum all this stuff
[TS]
00:59:33
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it's really like a relabeled Foxconn product at a Foxconn tablet that Nokia's
[TS]
00:59:38
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putting their name on where do you think Foxconn learning tablet looks like that
[TS]
00:59:43
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well he learned it from Apple you know I don't think it sent you know incident
[TS]
00:59:49
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that Samsung which makes
[TS]
00:59:50
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know a lot of components and until recently made all the CPUs for iPhone
[TS]
00:59:55
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and iPad
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00:59:56
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you know got better at making cell phones after the you know worked with a
[TS]
01:00:01
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plan that I wouldn't be surprised to see that that would be an interesting way
[TS]
01:00:06
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for Apple to spend money and I think gtgt advanced deal was a sign of that
[TS]
01:00:11
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it's not just about materials but maybe assembly in general but maybe for some
[TS]
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reason there are like why did why did they do the whole thing would be to
[TS]
01:00:18
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advance instead of apple just making making in owning their own safire
[TS]
01:00:23
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fairness I don't know for some reason they seemed resistant to they want to
[TS]
01:00:27
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decrease the risk you know and then looked at the the court filings on the
[TS]
01:00:32
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terms like boy did they ever decrease the risk like it's crazy how basically
[TS]
01:00:38
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Apple has complete control over everything and you know GTE basically
[TS]
01:00:45
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can't do anything and she teases a court filing was kind of pathetic as they've
[TS]
01:00:50
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they've made this is offer that was horribly unbalanced and everybody was
[TS]
01:00:55
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really mean you know they even there is even a phrase with a you know quoted a
[TS]
01:00:58
◼
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guy that in a phone call that guy from Apple told them to put your big boy
[TS]
01:01:02
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pants yeah it was dismissive but my take on it is it wasn't like GTA events had
[TS]
01:01:10
◼
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to say yes to this they agreed to all rights it's sort of like unsaid in their
[TS]
01:01:14
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filings is well of course we said yes because if it worked out look at how
[TS]
01:01:18
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much money we would have made totally right
[TS]
01:01:20
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yeah meanwhile there's a fifty million dollar NDA penalty yeah that was an
[TS]
01:01:26
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interesting thing that came out of it and it was got worse like for subsequent
[TS]
01:01:30
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ones that's grabbed one day I noticed and if you look at the list of suppliers
[TS]
01:01:35
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and stuff that we know about Apple watch it's a it's a different list then that
[TS]
01:01:42
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makes five iPhone and iPad just like the component makers it's coming from a lot
[TS]
01:01:48
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of different companies and can't help but think that because Apple is
[TS]
01:01:51
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dissatisfied with their manufacturing partners for those things because of
[TS]
01:01:55
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rampant leaks and could be yeah in a way that you know competing products into BB
[TS]
01:02:01
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banking on their innovations so I think that the one thing they could do with
[TS]
01:02:05
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their resources now try to make those try to make those things you know
[TS]
01:02:12
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something that I think you know an interesting example of that already I
[TS]
01:02:18
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would say are the a series systems on a chip which it's like they've turned the
[TS]
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whole we use different CPUs then the standard components that everybody else
[TS]
01:02:33
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does things on its head in the old days when Apple was on the Motorola 68000
[TS]
01:02:37
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chips and later power PC chips and the Wintel industry was on x86 Apple was
[TS]
01:02:44
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selling lesser quantities and they could never heard the quantities were never
[TS]
01:02:48
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enough to keep up right there is no way for Motorola and IBM partners are making
[TS]
01:02:55
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power PC chips to really sustain the advances that were necessary to keep up
[TS]
01:03:01
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with Intel because the numbers just weren't there and Apple couldn't have no
[TS]
01:03:05
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resources to do it on her own
[TS]
01:03:07
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whereas now by making you know these wildly popular massively selling devices
[TS]
01:03:12
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they're using these chips they're they're getting the economy of scale
[TS]
01:03:16
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advantages with their a five Series 678 and by all accounts you know I get in on
[TS]
01:03:24
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Tekken those places faster and far more power-efficient chips then the
[TS]
01:03:29
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snapdragons that everybody else in the you know they're not sharing nobody else
[TS]
01:03:34
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gets to make the phone with these amazing systems-on-chip how can they do
[TS]
01:03:39
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more things like that
[TS]
01:03:41
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yeah and and so there's a hardware element to that then there's the
[TS]
01:03:44
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software element and I think a lot of people in a services element to i mean
[TS]
01:03:50
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what can you know I keep going back to iCloud and I'm trying to think like
[TS]
01:03:55
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bigger picture is is iCloud a success so far
[TS]
01:03:58
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are and there's you know there's a lot of griping about little things here and
[TS]
01:04:02
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there I think it is sort of a success I mean you know it backs up my phone every
[TS]
01:04:07
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night and I don't even think about it it seems like they they're trying to do
[TS]
01:04:11
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more with it but that's the kind of thing where you know that could easily
[TS]
01:04:16
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be a huge advantage over over everyone else like you know just back people
[TS]
01:04:24
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stuff you know make sharing super easy that's going to be hard to be it should
[TS]
01:04:30
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be it should get better they should key I think it is I think it quietly getting
[TS]
01:04:33
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a lot better I think that there at the problems around the edges but it's never
[TS]
01:04:37
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going to be a sustaining advantage as a lock-in advantage were once you're there
[TS]
01:04:42
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in your backups are already there it's a lot easier to just buy an iPhone and a
[TS]
01:04:46
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►
backup restore to the new iPhone than it is to switch to Android but it's not
[TS]
01:04:50
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really that big of a competitive advantage because Google stuff is so
[TS]
01:04:54
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good at those things that your Gmail and Google Calendar and Google Hangouts a
[TS]
01:05:01
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really good but I don't know if Google Drive is really catching on like that so
[TS]
01:05:06
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anyway I think that there is a better chance I think that cloud stuff in
[TS]
01:05:14
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general the best they can hope for is to be as good as the state of the art right
[TS]
01:05:19
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now I think a lot of that actually a lot of people saying that they should by all
[TS]
01:05:22
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these companies are saying oh they'll learn how to be better at the cloud if
[TS]
01:05:26
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they own Twitter or Pinterest or something like that and I mean there was
[TS]
01:05:33
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a point where I used to think that I don't think that would help right now no
[TS]
01:05:35
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I don't know I don't think that the problem is fundamental
[TS]
01:05:40
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just generic loud I think the problem is just specific problems
[TS]
01:05:44
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yeah I'm interested him saying that they should buy Pinterest Pinterest is a good
[TS]
01:05:47
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company and are doing interesting things but it's doesn't make any again does
[TS]
01:05:52
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seem the same thing with Twitter I just don't see how that gives Apple any
[TS]
01:05:56
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advantage in what they do you know if they think that you know Pinterest is a
[TS]
01:06:01
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good investment today it would make far more sense for like rayburn capital you
[TS]
01:06:07
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know the secret of Nevada company that
[TS]
01:06:09
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controls Apple's investments
[TS]
01:06:14
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some of the stuff they do do you know with the cash you know it makes sense
[TS]
01:06:19
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for Braeburn
[TS]
01:06:20
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by stocking interest and just you know you know they don't make money on it but
[TS]
01:06:26
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rather than have Apple by them in and control yet well next time I talk to em
[TS]
01:06:33
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next time you talk to mgs came running Apple benchers instead of working Google
[TS]
01:06:39
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Ventures what he be doing with a hundred bill yeah we take a break here and thank
[TS]
01:06:46
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our second sponsor of the show are very good friends at Squarespace you guys
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01:06:52
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know it's gross basis it's the all in one place to build and host your website
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01:06:58
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what kind of website any website you can use Squarespace blog you can you square
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and drop right there on the site itself couldn't be easier it's it's the way
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01:07:34
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like when people said the web
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01:07:35
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the problem with the web originally as conceived back in the nineties was that
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01:07:40
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it wasn't editable in itself that's a good basis for space is editable web or
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01:07:47
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you're just there and if your your site you just added anything you want right
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there in place super super easy no technical knowledge whatsoever is
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01:07:59
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01:08:03
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to the show do you can get into the code and you can trigger on JavaScript in
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pages you can change templates and stuff like that
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incredibly I don't even know how they died and how they can do to offer this
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his check out Squarespace and see for yourself when you sign up you can get a
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show and then when you do pay your free trials up here like man this is just as
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awesome as as river said it was gonna buy it just make sure to use this code
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Jay gee that's my initials and you'll get 10% and show your support for the
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01:09:31
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talk show my thanks to Squarespace talk about 20 well something I want to talk
[TS]
01:09:38
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to you about
[TS]
01:09:39
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for a while and that's the idea of institutional taste and I think this
[TS]
01:09:43
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might be a grouper term I'm not sure but I've been thinking about it and you know
[TS]
01:09:50
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as i've been kind of taking a look at companies this year and writing about
[TS]
01:09:53
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the McCourts and I'm curious like you know about a bunch of things but I guess
[TS]
01:10:01
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first haha how do you define institutional taste I would say cultural
[TS]
01:10:08
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value like a shared cultural value that you see things the same way and you
[TS]
01:10:14
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value things the same way one of the points are a recurring theme in my work
[TS]
01:10:20
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in recent years is the idea that it's not just what your priorities are your
[TS]
01:10:27
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top three priorities but it matters what order those top three priorities and
[TS]
01:10:32
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matters which one you can say that you value you know good just pic material
[TS]
01:10:42
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you use the shape and the weight without a value value wait they value battery
[TS]
01:10:53
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life they value elegance they value how it feels
[TS]
01:10:57
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but it's clear that a ball institutionally values then this and
[TS]
01:11:04
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wait more than a value battery life because otherwise they you know they've
[TS]
01:11:11
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here's here's my old iPhone four right here by my desk which is you know I
[TS]
01:11:19
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think when it came out was billed as being the world's thinnest from and if
[TS]
01:11:22
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it wasn't it was pretty darn close her tits couple years ago so you know if
[TS]
01:11:28
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they valued battery more than thinness I think that today's iPhone sixes would be
[TS]
01:11:33
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maybe not as thick as the iPhone 4 but they'd be thicker than they are
[TS]
01:11:36
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and they would have used that techniques to put more battery in there it just
[TS]
01:11:41
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matters what you know which order those priorities are not that they don't care
[TS]
01:11:45
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about battery life but they obviously value than this weight above that I
[TS]
01:11:49
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think institutional taste that's just a sign of it and it it propagates that its
[TS]
01:11:54
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people who share those values and that tastes that are drawn to work at the
[TS]
01:11:59
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company and the Company recruit people who share those guys and then you know
[TS]
01:12:04
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it sustains itself I think it tends to
[TS]
01:12:11
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and obviously like this is something that Apple excels at you know whether
[TS]
01:12:16
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whether we can really define it or not a really explain everything that applies
[TS]
01:12:22
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to this is kind of a pro Apple argument to be made
[TS]
01:12:26
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are there other companies you see that that you think have good institutional
[TS]
01:12:30
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taste I know we can name a bunch they have bad you know historically have had
[TS]
01:12:34
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bad taste are there others that do you think have good taste I think Google
[TS]
01:12:41
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clearly does and I think that's why they have as rabid fans as Apple does but
[TS]
01:12:48
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that they tend to be different people you know most people who truly say they
[TS]
01:12:52
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love Google either about apple or that mixed feelings about Apple probably
[TS]
01:12:58
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mixed feelings is more common with a probably do use the MacBook a lot of
[TS]
01:13:01
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►
them used MacBooks but that they feel more affinity for Google but Google's
[TS]
01:13:07
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good taste is in things like simplicity and minimalism I mean I think the fact
[TS]
01:13:14
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►
that if you just go to google.com and what you see on that page here in 2014
[TS]
01:13:21
◼
►
is so close to what you saw back in you know 2002 whenever you know when Google
[TS]
01:13:30
◼
►
is a beta at Stanford where it's just a box and two buttons and you know i mean
[TS]
01:13:36
◼
►
minimal crap they've added there
[TS]
01:13:40
◼
►
and and for all you know we complain about Google advertising it today the
[TS]
01:13:44
◼
►
day still resisted the urge to really put advertising on that home page that
[TS]
01:13:49
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►
they still only showing results match what they charge for just one add you
[TS]
01:13:54
◼
►
know something like the deck
[TS]
01:13:56
◼
►
you know just one thing up in the corner on that page imagine what they could
[TS]
01:13:59
◼
►
charge and they don't and it's you know I think it's a sign of Google's taste
[TS]
01:14:04
◼
►
you think so I'll just us out there I think that historically a company with
[TS]
01:14:10
◼
►
with bad taste has been Microsoft which shows in everything from their kind of
[TS]
01:14:18
◼
►
visual design to you know the awkwardness of their stage presentations
[TS]
01:14:23
◼
►
to product decisions now that concept but I've actually been surprisingly I
[TS]
01:14:32
◼
►
guess surprised at how even little things like their file format like when
[TS]
01:14:39
◼
►
you read how when somebody's backward engineered an old version of war in
[TS]
01:14:43
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►
other word doc docx file its so it's just horrible it's nobody would design a
[TS]
01:14:49
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file format like that and had taste yeah I don't know if it was satire but like
[TS]
01:14:55
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the Microsoft Bob logos pretty much like emblematic of Microsoft seems like it's
[TS]
01:15:03
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getting a little better I don't know maybe you know they're making some smart
[TS]
01:15:06
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decisions now can taste be taught or changed or is it in any sort of
[TS]
01:15:15
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timeframe that would matter or is that the kind of thing that's kind of too
[TS]
01:15:19
◼
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deeply ingrained in a company that to change I think you have to go through
[TS]
01:15:25
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some sort of stressful transition to change and I think that's what we're
[TS]
01:15:29
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seeing with Microsoft think you know
[TS]
01:15:31
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and it's even bubbled up to the point where you know not the bomb I don't but
[TS]
01:15:37
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he was pretty close it's about as close as you can get to forcing out a CEO of a
[TS]
01:15:43
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wildly profitable major corporation right i mean an end without any sort of
[TS]
01:15:50
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impropriety or anything like that nobody accused unabomber of any kind of you
[TS]
01:15:55
◼
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know just going propriety or crimes or anything of the sort it was really
[TS]
01:16:01
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honestly I think it really eventually his lack of taste caught up with him and
[TS]
01:16:05
◼
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the market had moved on right and so I think microsoft is going through that
[TS]
01:16:10
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sort of transition and we definitely see it I think I mean its windows you know
[TS]
01:16:15
◼
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the new version of Windows on the surface is you know it's absolutely
[TS]
01:16:22
◼
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positively not copy of iOS and it's good I I don't think I would prefer that I
[TS]
01:16:30
◼
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really don't know it's been a long time in a couple years since I tried living
[TS]
01:16:33
◼
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with Windows Phone but I don't think it's to my liking but it certainly is
[TS]
01:16:37
◼
►
certain it wherever it ranks in the world of design right now it certainly
[TS]
01:16:44
◼
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shows a taste that Microsoft never had any old yeah and and and at the same
[TS]
01:16:49
◼
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time we've gone from a company that used to say you know why would anyone buy
[TS]
01:16:53
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their kids and iPod to hey we've got office for iPad and why would anyone buy
[TS]
01:16:58
◼
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their kids an iPod or whatever right to now there's office for iPad
[TS]
01:17:03
◼
►
and integrating Dropbox into PowerPoint and you know this kind of stuff and it
[TS]
01:17:10
◼
►
seems really maybe it's maybe it's too short a time frame
[TS]
01:17:16
◼
►
juice I'm a little excited about what I see there I would go so far as to tie a
[TS]
01:17:22
◼
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tie it together with the first half of the show and say that it's actually not
[TS]
01:17:26
◼
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even so much about taste but that Microsoft is institutionally backing
[TS]
01:17:31
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away from the view that they can do it all themselves and that they should do
[TS]
01:17:35
◼
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it all themselves like the Microsoft at its peak of industry dominance did
[TS]
01:17:41
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everything other than the hardware and they know and they really kind of
[TS]
01:17:45
◼
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defined PC hardware you know in a way that without making any peace without
[TS]
01:17:50
◼
►
making any PCs themselves they had enormous influence on it but they
[TS]
01:17:55
◼
►
literally did everything they wrote their own operating system they broke
[TS]
01:18:00
◼
►
all of the major apps for that our operating system they had their own
[TS]
01:18:05
◼
►
developer tools they had their own debentures sharp their own developer in
[TS]
01:18:10
◼
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Visual Basic their own languages they went their own way and a route that is
[TS]
01:18:16
◼
►
just unprecedented you know then that nobody else has ever really tried to do
[TS]
01:18:21
◼
►
again and in this right time with the first half of the show is to me that
[TS]
01:18:26
◼
►
warning sign for Apple biggest canary in the coal mine as we you know how it is
[TS]
01:18:32
◼
►
Apple they're going to be looking for this eve apples may be starting to lose
[TS]
01:18:37
◼
►
their edge are signs of hubris right I think that's the word that Microsoft and
[TS]
01:18:42
◼
►
that that that the today's Microsoft doesn't have that anymore and all those
[TS]
01:18:47
◼
►
things you just listed
[TS]
01:18:49
◼
►
you know where their advertising the iOS ABS there
[TS]
01:18:54
◼
►
integrating with Dropbox I just like any other day this week we're now that you
[TS]
01:18:59
◼
►
can do they have a thing where they're running on Google's cloud service oh
[TS]
01:19:04
◼
►
yeah right you can run exchange and
[TS]
01:19:07
◼
►
you know run Windows servers and Google's cloud all of those things are
[TS]
01:19:14
◼
►
signs that they now they're they're they're off of that you know Microsoft
[TS]
01:19:18
◼
►
only all the way down the stack and I guess we should also disclosed they've
[TS]
01:19:25
◼
►
also sponsored your podcast and you're a yeah yeah yeah you know totally exactly
[TS]
01:19:32
◼
►
two good point now absolutely yeah and the fact that azor and all the windows
[TS]
01:19:37
◼
►
of their all their cloud-based services are absolutely positively not designed
[TS]
01:19:42
◼
►
as cloud services for Microsoft client devices they are designed as cloud
[TS]
01:19:49
◼
►
what's the word agnostic yeah you know they're just they're just good cloud
[TS]
01:19:55
◼
►
services yes I'm very interested to see what what some of the most unabomber e
[TS]
01:20:02
◼
►
Microsoft stuff what happens to that like those those stores that were kind
[TS]
01:20:07
◼
►
of crappy rip-offs of Apple stores you know what happens to those now that kind
[TS]
01:20:13
◼
►
of stuff but we'll see it's you know it's only been two less than a year so
[TS]
01:20:18
◼
►
company has been bad institutional taste is Amazon oh yeah oh yeah totally I
[TS]
01:20:25
◼
►
think that's what that's exactly what inspired me to ask you about this was
[TS]
01:20:30
◼
►
thinking about that that that found my phone oh yeah did you use one now I
[TS]
01:20:39
◼
►
haven't yet I haven't either but Boyd the reviews were bad and now that it's
[TS]
01:20:44
◼
►
been on the market for a while and I've seen a little bit more like random a few
[TS]
01:20:49
◼
►
random people who just pick one up on a lark it's it's even worse like the
[TS]
01:20:55
◼
►
things I've seen from people who aren't like gadget reviewers from the merger
[TS]
01:20:59
◼
►
would ever say people who view lot of phones where the fire phone was in my
[TS]
01:21:05
◼
►
opinion very poorly reviewed general but the just real people who don't do it who
[TS]
01:21:10
◼
►
just bought it to see what it's like really just scorched
[TS]
01:21:13
◼
►
its patent every way that's funny because I like Amazon as a service like
[TS]
01:21:19
◼
►
I try spend more money on Amazon than any other place besides my you know
[TS]
01:21:25
◼
►
whoever owns my apartment building but just they've never had a good looking
[TS]
01:21:31
◼
►
website all their hardware stuff just screams out you know either we're just
[TS]
01:21:36
◼
►
doing this to do it or we don't really care that much about how good it is to
[TS]
01:21:40
◼
►
use you know the scathing reviews of the Kindle the newest Kindle saying you know
[TS]
01:21:47
◼
►
look this is supposed to be at the top end e-reader in the world why don't you
[TS]
01:21:51
◼
►
treat it like that they've never had good page turning on a Kindle ever yeah
[TS]
01:21:56
◼
►
it's the most astounding thing in all of consumer electronics that and it's not a
[TS]
01:22:02
◼
►
standing at the first one or the second one or maybe even the third one didn't
[TS]
01:22:05
◼
►
have great page-turning but it's a standing me that it really has never
[TS]
01:22:10
◼
►
gotten you know just edited we better year after year and at this point after
[TS]
01:22:15
◼
►
you know I seven or eight years on the market that they don't have paid turning
[TS]
01:22:20
◼
►
down is crazy or even like justifying the text you know forcing it to be fully
[TS]
01:22:27
◼
►
you know the full width of the screen and are not letting you left justify it
[TS]
01:22:31
◼
►
I just a few weeks ago it solved computational problem it's not easy but
[TS]
01:22:37
◼
►
it's solved and they're even open source solutions to it
[TS]
01:22:41
◼
►
attack the TV lowercase II capital acts typesetting system that Donald Knuth
[TS]
01:22:48
◼
►
created you know back in the seventies there's an open a link to an academic
[TS]
01:22:56
◼
►
paper that one of his students wrote in like nineteen eighty that just you know
[TS]
01:23:00
◼
►
and it's not solve problems to do proper justification without unseemly gaps
[TS]
01:23:09
◼
►
between words and with intelligent use of hibernation it's it's a small problem
[TS]
01:23:14
◼
►
yet they don't do it
[TS]
01:23:16
◼
►
yeah they don't you know they're fine selection is atrocious and indeed it's
[TS]
01:23:24
◼
►
not like it's not like having good finds good line you know layout isn't a core
[TS]
01:23:31
◼
►
part of what the device it's the whole point of the device
[TS]
01:23:35
◼
►
it would be like if the iPod's didn't really have good music playback yeah
[TS]
01:23:41
◼
►
although maybe some argue that they didn't but still you know if you're if
[TS]
01:23:45
◼
►
you're trying to make the best reading device in the world which I guess
[TS]
01:23:49
◼
►
they're not you know they would they would certainly act more like it or
[TS]
01:23:53
◼
►
maybe they're doing the best they can which is the institutional taste comes
[TS]
01:23:57
◼
►
in Asia said they don't the difference is that most people view a book as a
[TS]
01:24:04
◼
►
string meaning you know you mean like in programming terms that it's right i
[TS]
01:24:10
◼
►
string of texts and that if you review somebody's novel it doesn't really
[TS]
01:24:15
◼
►
matter what no but I've never seen before and it just indicate when I've
[TS]
01:24:23
◼
►
never seen a book review that includes a review of the layout of the book
[TS]
01:24:26
◼
►
whereas if I reviewable guide I would I'd be tempted to do like to me I would
[TS]
01:24:31
◼
►
certainly is clearly is not the main reason and I guess in general I would
[TS]
01:24:36
◼
►
rather read an interesting well-written novel that poorly typed said then read a
[TS]
01:24:41
◼
►
terrible novel that is beautifully types of course that's the different but then
[TS]
01:24:46
◼
►
even me as somebody obsessed with typography would agree with that
[TS]
01:24:49
◼
►
whereas with music nobody ever says I don't care for music sounds better you
[TS]
01:24:53
◼
►
know the technical and fundamental to listening to music but as the person
[TS]
01:24:58
◼
►
making the device it should be used that should be the obsession
[TS]
01:25:02
◼
►
you know the people making candles lead at the top level of the design team
[TS]
01:25:06
◼
►
should be people who are obsessed with good typography its criminal but I think
[TS]
01:25:12
◼
►
it's a sign of Amazon institutional taste their priorities
[TS]
01:25:18
◼
►
I think their nails it would take a moment here and thank our good friends
[TS]
01:25:22
◼
►
at Harry's your regular listener the show you know what harry's makes they
[TS]
01:25:26
◼
►
make high quality men's shaving products become an amazing packages they make
[TS]
01:25:32
◼
►
their own blades they built their own razor blade factory or they bought a
[TS]
01:25:35
◼
►
razor blade factory in Germany they make their own blades they've got great high
[TS]
01:25:39
◼
►
quality handles shaving creams gels aftershave
[TS]
01:25:46
◼
►
you name it if it is a shame product they make it and it's great quality at
[TS]
01:25:51
◼
►
amazing prices compared to the mass market stuff you buy in drugstores
[TS]
01:25:57
◼
►
really great stuff well look at the holidays and if you're listening to the
[TS]
01:26:03
◼
►
show on or before December 17th they have a fantastic holiday offer for you
[TS]
01:26:08
◼
►
use this code talk show holiday all one word talk show holiday that's not the
[TS]
01:26:15
◼
►
regular code that someone just for this holiday offer what that code get use to
[TS]
01:26:20
◼
►
get you five bucks off their winter winston that winter Winston said comes
[TS]
01:26:25
◼
►
with a chrome handle three of their high quality blades and either they're
[TS]
01:26:32
◼
►
shaving gel over the phone
[TS]
01:26:35
◼
►
your choice it's already wrapped and you know how call their packaging is it is a
[TS]
01:26:41
◼
►
fantastic gift you might never think to give gaming products as a gift you know
[TS]
01:26:47
◼
►
regular Jalandhar crap like that carries though I think this would make a
[TS]
01:26:52
◼
►
fantastic gift so go to Harry's dot com use this code talk show holiday and
[TS]
01:26:59
◼
►
order the winner in Winterton save five bucks for anybody on your shopping list
[TS]
01:27:06
◼
►
great deal great product great offer my thanks to Perry's last bit so less bet
[TS]
01:27:13
◼
►
so let's let's take my Instagram which just announced three hundred million
[TS]
01:27:17
◼
►
active users which is almost entirely likely more than Twitter has at this
[TS]
01:27:26
◼
►
twitter has not yet released their December quarter numbers and a little
[TS]
01:27:31
◼
►
different as they do the quarterly average but if you look at the graphs
[TS]
01:27:34
◼
►
though it's pretty clear that Instagram is growing faster and it's pretty
[TS]
01:27:40
◼
►
amazing I think it's certainly the number-two and number-three out that I
[TS]
01:27:45
◼
►
check after I wake up and it's it's kind of cool that you know even after
[TS]
01:27:51
◼
►
Facebook bought them although that kind of maybe gives them an edge to other
[TS]
01:27:56
◼
►
Facebook hasn't really integrated as much as it could have been growing so
[TS]
01:28:01
◼
►
quickly I still feels like very much of its own thing I think it totally does I
[TS]
01:28:05
◼
►
would say is somebody who doesn't use Facebook and therefore it was very
[TS]
01:28:09
◼
►
specific reasons it just doesn't appeal to me when they bought Instagram I am a
[TS]
01:28:13
◼
►
big fan of Instagram I was very worried and they said oh but we're not going to
[TS]
01:28:18
◼
►
mess with it we're not going to Facebook I sit where did you let Kevin Systrom in
[TS]
01:28:22
◼
►
his team you know we bought them cause we love what they're doing and we're
[TS]
01:28:26
◼
►
gonna have them keep doing what they're doing and say I've heard that before it
[TS]
01:28:29
◼
►
right you hear that every time there's a popular thing it required you hear it's
[TS]
01:28:33
◼
►
not going to get we're not gonna mess it up and most of the time he gets messed
[TS]
01:28:37
◼
►
up eventually and its I would save from the outside as an Instagram user it's
[TS]
01:28:44
◼
►
completely true if you did if I didn't follow tech news I would have no idea
[TS]
01:28:48
◼
►
that Instagram was bought by my facebook so I made a kind of jerky to eat the
[TS]
01:28:55
◼
►
other day but one of the things that surprised me the most is you know you
[TS]
01:28:59
◼
►
could say like oo they just kind of napping over there they've changed it so
[TS]
01:29:04
◼
►
little that it almost could seem like its negligence now that I think that
[TS]
01:29:09
◼
►
they should throw a bunch of features at it but there's a lot of little things
[TS]
01:29:12
◼
►
that I think are still missing from Instagram that they were really actually
[TS]
01:29:18
◼
►
make it better for example you know something as simple as be able to have
[TS]
01:29:23
◼
►
multiple users in the apt so that you know i i kno woman who runs for
[TS]
01:29:28
◼
►
Instagram accounts for three restaurants and her personal one in every time you
[TS]
01:29:32
◼
►
want to switch accounts you literally have to sign out
[TS]
01:29:35
◼
►
and then sign in with your username and password conceptually Instagram is very
[TS]
01:29:40
◼
►
similar to Twitter its it in in comparing Twitter to Facebook is
[TS]
01:29:43
◼
►
difficult because it's just different purposes
[TS]
01:29:47
◼
►
very different design but fundamentally Instagram Twitter for pictures
[TS]
01:29:51
◼
►
yep and combined with that instead of having replies you have comments on the
[TS]
01:29:58
◼
►
picture and so it's like
[TS]
01:29:58
◼
►
picture and so it's like
[TS]
01:30:00
◼
►
Lee different ordered the pictures are still Twitter order newest at the top
[TS]
01:30:03
◼
►
oldest at the bottom the only real conceptual difference in the mean time
[TS]
01:30:07
◼
►
line is that comments go under the picture their commenting on as opposed
[TS]
01:30:11
◼
►
to Twitter where the replies are all in a chronological stream as well yeah very
[TS]
01:30:16
◼
►
very similar and so therefore I completely agree with you it makes every
[TS]
01:30:20
◼
►
bit of sense that you can have multiple accounts and Instagram that it does in
[TS]
01:30:24
◼
►
Twitter right and it's something like that where another one is like
[TS]
01:30:29
◼
►
hyperlinks like you you can you can even Lake you know a comment which you can't
[TS]
01:30:35
◼
►
put a link in a comment or or anywhere really which you know on one hand cuts
[TS]
01:30:40
◼
►
down spam unite you don't have as much people spamming links on the other hand
[TS]
01:30:44
◼
►
you see people like you know both humans and companies saying here's something we
[TS]
01:30:51
◼
►
did to access it go to our bio and click the link in our body yeah that's that's
[TS]
01:30:56
◼
►
cool that's a very it's a clever half but still it's like you know these are
[TS]
01:31:01
◼
►
places where competitor could eventually catch catch hold another one a shopping
[TS]
01:31:05
◼
►
like they're in now there in in the USSR company called spring and in Japan
[TS]
01:31:10
◼
►
there's a company called origami that you know are basically Instagram with a
[TS]
01:31:14
◼
►
BUY button attached to it and even just a hyperlink from Instagram would do so
[TS]
01:31:19
◼
►
much to make services like that unnecessary and I wonder if it's
[TS]
01:31:24
◼
►
Instagram just keeping things really simple because that's what work since
[TS]
01:31:28
◼
►
really hard to argue with that you know you know they've done so well or if you
[TS]
01:31:34
◼
►
know a little few little features like that could really have gone a long way
[TS]
01:31:38
◼
►
yeah and if the if the hyperlinks work the way they do in almost all Twitter
[TS]
01:31:43
◼
►
clients where instead of bouncing you out to a third party browser it opens a
[TS]
01:31:47
◼
►
web you right there in the apt you're not even losing the engagement because
[TS]
01:31:51
◼
►
when they close the web you they're probably gonna be right back where they
[TS]
01:31:55
◼
►
were and Instagram so I don't think it's about like
[TS]
01:31:58
◼
►
engagement Chapman right right can only guess that it's a spam
[TS]
01:32:04
◼
►
but even then I feel like thats making us the users suffer for a problem that
[TS]
01:32:09
◼
►
they're supposed to solve yeah right i mean imagine if Twitter said we're
[TS]
01:32:14
◼
►
getting rid of all links because I mean just know you can't do that sorry yeah
[TS]
01:32:20
◼
►
yeah I would think that the way that they would do it would be to follow
[TS]
01:32:23
◼
►
Twitter's lead and do their own Tico think that's that's fundamental to
[TS]
01:32:27
◼
►
Twitter's in tight I know that they do other things too in that you know they
[TS]
01:32:31
◼
►
track all sorts of analytics through all the links that go through Twitter now
[TS]
01:32:34
◼
►
that they're all redirected through TDOT Co but part of it too is it let some
[TS]
01:32:39
◼
►
centralized spam and malware and write any kind of anything I I C span meaning
[TS]
01:32:46
◼
►
anything that would that is like that and identify the user as a No
[TS]
01:32:53
◼
►
yep turning out the light and you know I haven't been kicked out you know it's
[TS]
01:32:57
◼
►
funny they're supposed to be another meeting in here right now
[TS]
01:32:59
◼
►
email the person asked if I can use the room so they might show up angrily any
[TS]
01:33:02
◼
►
minute now so decided he could sign off on a moment's notice I heard a loud
[TS]
01:33:07
◼
►
clicking missing the garbage can with my seltzer sorry about that so another
[TS]
01:33:14
◼
►
feature is the equivalent of the reblogged the re- Graham and I could
[TS]
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totally see why they don't why they don't have that feature because you know
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that it's all your photos and it's it's more authentic and it's not a bunch of
[TS]
01:33:28
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junk but other hand people are hacking net and there are apps that will let you
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01:33:33
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you know do this re- Graham even a video with an overlay and that kind of stuff
[TS]
01:33:37
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have you seen those now I haven't ok well I see if I know it's not even like
[TS]
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five percent of the pictures in my feet and I'm sure if they're worried cramming
[TS]
01:33:50
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be more than that but it's still interesting that that's the kind of
[TS]
01:33:53
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thing we're pretty much every other stream based social network has added
[TS]
01:33:59
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that feature you know whether it's tumblers reblog or on vine you can
[TS]
01:34:03
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refine on Twitter you can retweet on Instagram
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01:34:07
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you basically have to upload a photo I would almost say is the defining feature
[TS]
01:34:11
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of tumblr yeah yeah probably yeah that's interesting and it's hard you have to NM
[TS]
01:34:16
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from a phone you're kind of stuck as you can to save and Instagram to your local
[TS]
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thing and pick it out and put it back in you've gotta do stuff like most
[TS]
01:34:25
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screenshot screenshot and there are apps that do this it's like three gram or
[TS]
01:34:32
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something like that and you know they're all insured decisions that they've made
[TS]
01:34:37
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in that they seem to have just decided no fraud them and again it's really hard
[TS]
01:34:41
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to argue with with them they've whatever they're doing is working so well that
[TS]
01:34:47
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you almost can't argue that they could be doing better in the end they've made
[TS]
01:34:51
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little changes like to explore screen is so much more interesting now that there
[TS]
01:34:56
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are basing it on your friends and and yeah you follow so that's great that the
[TS]
01:35:02
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image tools that they've built the you know not just the filters but the the
[TS]
01:35:07
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different image tools are really really really good you know I also think that
[TS]
01:35:11
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they have excellent notification controls because I easily and without
[TS]
01:35:18
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any confusion set up Instagram so they're only notified when people who I
[TS]
01:35:24
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follow do something of interest like I don't want notifications when any show
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01:35:30
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on the internet
[TS]
01:35:31
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favorite twenty my instagrams I only one ones you know i i get very few can you
[TS]
01:35:35
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believe people leave that on pick up someone's phone sometimes in the forties
[TS]
01:35:40
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I will not name names because I find it to be such curiously needy Peter but I
[TS]
01:35:47
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do I have definitely seen people who have that turned on I look at see who
[TS]
01:35:53
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you know who likes my photos that's I think that's one of the most interesting
[TS]
01:35:56
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parts of that oh yeah but I don't know physicians don't know I i'm i'm not
[TS]
01:36:01
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gotten care and I don't like look back at yesterday's thing and then open up
[TS]
01:36:05
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the rest and see it but i dont notifications for it totally and then
[TS]
01:36:08
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another one is that they don't have an iPad app
[TS]
01:36:11
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yeah that's a huge crazy because it's actually my first serve people were like
[TS]
01:36:16
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well I would you use Instagram on an iPad who's taking photos on an iPad well
[TS]
01:36:20
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the answer is a lot of people take photos on an iPad and I look at a ton of
[TS]
01:36:24
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Instagram on the iPad and it's actually gotten better sex it was really great on
[TS]
01:36:29
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the iPhone six-plus and it's gotten a little better over the years as the two
[TS]
01:36:35
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acts multiplication set up on the iPad has has gotten a little better but still
[TS]
01:36:41
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like mine is it really isn't that hard to make an iPad maybe it is I don't know
[TS]
01:36:45
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now not broad strokes not yet once you can be depending on how Europe was
[TS]
01:36:53
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architected but if you're able to support the new iPhone 6 sizes then
[TS]
01:36:58
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you're doing stuff that makes it really easy to do iPad 2 and fact it's so easy
[TS]
01:37:05
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that with this whole size class and you know there was a huge huge point of
[TS]
01:37:11
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emphasis at WWDC this year two huge part of Iowa see all of it clearly was you
[TS]
01:37:16
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know about setting things up so that absurd ready for the iPhone 6 with the
[TS]
01:37:19
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new to new sizes but it's so great an iPad app now is really almost almost
[TS]
01:37:28
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like just creating another bigger I from size if you can do this six and success
[TS]
01:37:34
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you can do the iPad and I say that even though Vestberg which does support the
[TS]
01:37:37
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six and success don't have an iPad version but if we really wanted to drop
[TS]
01:37:42
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everything else we're doing and do that it actually wouldn't be that much work
[TS]
01:37:45
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and Marco even talked about that with overcast where he got it
[TS]
01:37:49
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an actor you call it accidental version of an iPad version of overcast oh yeah
[TS]
01:37:56
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member here because there was a bug where if you used a storyboard for your
[TS]
01:37:59
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startup screen didn't matter if you also specified in your XML that hate me this
[TS]
01:38:05
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app I'm I'm iphoneonly so if I'm running on an iPad 1 mean the iPhone that always
[TS]
01:38:13
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had a bummer if you had that story board as your startup image it would say oh
[TS]
01:38:17
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you're a modern nap so I'll run you as an iPad out and actually without him
[TS]
01:38:22
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ever even intending it to trying it actually was usable so yes it there's
[TS]
01:38:26
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this point it seems like there's no technical reason why Instagram should
[TS]
01:38:32
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not have an iPad and then one more is the icon I mean you know every literally
[TS]
01:38:37
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every app on my iPhone home screen has done something a little more I was
[TS]
01:38:44
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inspired I can almost see I'm not an icon are artists but I can almost see
[TS]
01:38:49
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what the flat Instagram icon would look like
[TS]
01:38:54
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keep the colors keep the basic gimmick that it looks like a Polaroid and just
[TS]
01:39:01
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flatten it right so is this you know that they're not not doing these things
[TS]
01:39:06
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to spite people so I just wonder and I i guess I should probably a good
[TS]
01:39:10
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journalist and ask and maybe I will but it still is is a frequent user is that
[TS]
01:39:18
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has puzzled me over the years and yes she recently as you see that it is
[TS]
01:39:21
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arguably the second or third most important social network in the world
[TS]
01:39:27
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that you know and I totally am on the side of simplicity and saying no and all
[TS]
01:39:33
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that stuff but yeah well I think that your your bucket list right there your
[TS]
01:39:38
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checklist of what Instagram would should do is excellent because it does to me it
[TS]
01:39:44
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doesn't add any complexity like supporting the iPad doesn't make using
[TS]
01:39:48
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Instagram more complex it just makes it better you know
[TS]
01:39:50
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yeah and and in addition I'll just throw this point in addition to the fact that
[TS]
01:39:54
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you're right
[TS]
01:39:55
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that a lot of people and Apple even admits it now that a lot of people use
[TS]
01:39:58
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their iPad as a camera for producing iPad Instagram content but clearly photo
[TS]
01:40:05
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photography is something that always looks better beer always so it would be
[TS]
01:40:09
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better if you had both you know side-by-side will always be better to
[TS]
01:40:13
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look at Instagram on the iPad I think when they eventually do I think they
[TS]
01:40:18
◼
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will write their gonna come out that I think when they do people are gonna be
[TS]
01:40:22
◼
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like wow this is amazing I can't believe that they didn't do this before
[TS]
01:40:25
◼
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totally alright so you're Kevin Systrom get on it
[TS]
01:40:30
◼
►
understand like that as part of Facebook they've had to build out and advertising
[TS]
01:40:37
◼
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business and I find their ads to be totally finally they're not look at them
[TS]
01:40:42
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and I see all that's kind of Jesus so that's an ad but I'm not mad that it's
[TS]
01:40:46
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there and I know that they have to build business i'm happy that they're doing
[TS]
01:40:50
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that and maybe that's why you know maybe they're waiting on adding hyperlinks
[TS]
01:40:53
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until they have a commerce business of some sort but it just makes me maybe
[TS]
01:41:02
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like them a little less I guess holding out for that you're only gonna get you
[TS]
01:41:09
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only get links if you pay for it I don't know about this
[TS]
01:41:12
◼
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just don't know if that helps anyone either so why why Love Instagram and I'm
[TS]
01:41:19
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not know not trying to be a jerk but I think one way that you can measure and I
[TS]
01:41:24
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know that this monthly active viewers things like the industry standard
[TS]
01:41:27
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numerically but actually like the way that you can do better way to measure
[TS]
01:41:31
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social networks is when you're out in the real world and you look at like the
[TS]
01:41:36
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menu at the restaurant or the window of the place we're gonna buy you know baked
[TS]
01:41:42
◼
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goods or something like that which I constantly have their right and it for a
[TS]
01:41:47
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long time it was just Facebook and Twitter a lot of places I saw your
[TS]
01:41:52
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YouTube yeah yeah yeah
[TS]
01:41:55
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depending on you know sometimes you too but usually when it was Facebook and
[TS]
01:41:59
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Twitter that pairing
[TS]
01:42:01
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man I see Instagram everywhere now I don't know why I said I'll actually I'm
[TS]
01:42:07
◼
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gonna make an effort now that if I see Facebook and Twitter but don't see
[TS]
01:42:12
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Instagram I'll take a picture of it and start collecting it and I'll bet I don't
[TS]
01:42:15
◼
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I bet I don't get many IC Instagram everywhere is clearly on par with
[TS]
01:42:21
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Twitter in terms of that and I would even had time going back to Eric Jackson
[TS]
01:42:27
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►
I do see the Pinterest logo a lot of more places now it's not as much as
[TS]
01:42:32
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those as Facebook Twitter and Instagram but it's growing yet
[TS]
01:42:36
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yeah I think so especially anything with a good visual component to it
[TS]
01:42:39
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shopping food you know that sort of stuff I think you know not to get too
[TS]
01:42:49
◼
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deep on this back she think that companies make better instagramers then
[TS]
01:42:54
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they make Twitter users I think that you know I follow a lot of restaurants and
[TS]
01:43:00
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stores that I've been to vacations in that kind of thing on Instagram you know
[TS]
01:43:04
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even even places I may never go back to just the kind of remember them that I
[TS]
01:43:10
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would never follow on Twitter us on Twitter they're talking you know here
[TS]
01:43:13
◼
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our daily specials or something like that are here is a link to a story that
[TS]
01:43:18
◼
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we were mentioned in whereas on Instagram they're showing photos of
[TS]
01:43:21
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their shop where their neighborhood of their products or of their customers and
[TS]
01:43:25
◼
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that kind of stuff actually a really interesting I followed the official
[TS]
01:43:28
◼
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Yankees account on Instagram and Twitter and on Twitter a lot of the time when
[TS]
01:43:34
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they tweet my my finger starts covering towards the unfollow button and on
[TS]
01:43:40
◼
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Instagram it's almost always great it's like some kind of picture of you know
[TS]
01:43:44
◼
►
either something going on in the current Yankee season and promise from a staff
[TS]
01:43:49
◼
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member with incredible access right like you know on the field at batting
[TS]
01:43:53
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practice like a great angle of something
[TS]
01:43:58
◼
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or it's like a piece of history like history and and it always makes me smile
[TS]
01:44:02
◼
►
like exactly why I wanted to follow them on Instagram whereas on Twitter that's
[TS]
01:44:06
◼
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has tags and shit yeah where you know and this is like maybe they close out
[TS]
01:44:11
◼
►
you know having volumes yesterday was quoted I think in fortune saying I don't
[TS]
01:44:17
◼
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give a shit if Twitter has more users and Instagram which is put in by the
[TS]
01:44:22
◼
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wayside aside Evan Williams is working harder than everyone seems to be working
[TS]
01:44:28
◼
►
is really done a great job with medium and yeah and I'm really impressed by
[TS]
01:44:33
◼
►
that anyway but i think is right I think that Twitter and Instagram by comparing
[TS]
01:44:38
◼
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them because you have the same metric monthly active users sure that's that's
[TS]
01:44:42
◼
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fair but they really are different products
[TS]
01:44:45
◼
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yeah you know and and there's there's obviously bad blood because twitter
[TS]
01:44:49
◼
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probably could have and should have bought Instagram and Facebook should
[TS]
01:44:56
◼
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that kind of thing but yeah and I think in their buyers remorse over not having
[TS]
01:45:01
◼
►
bought them that's why they bought fine and rain is you know I don't get a
[TS]
01:45:06
◼
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failure but it's not at that level yet but still exists but it's doing some
[TS]
01:45:10
◼
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interesting stuff but it's not Instagram nobody's putting fine logos on their
[TS]
01:45:13
◼
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restaurant I mean I'm
[TS]
01:45:16
◼
►
joke but it's in really good sign of real world you know awareness I I'll
[TS]
01:45:21
◼
►
take another thing I noticed about Instagram is I when I go to like pouring
[TS]
01:45:27
◼
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like a Yankee game or something like that I see people taking Instagram's in
[TS]
01:45:30
◼
►
using Instagram more on their found more than I see them
[TS]
01:45:34
◼
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tweeting joining hear something funny is that while we've been taping this
[TS]
01:45:38
◼
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podcast about 20 people I work with have stopped by this conference room and
[TS]
01:45:45
◼
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taking pictures of me through the glass and I and I bet they're gonna wind up on
[TS]
01:45:49
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Instagram and not on Twitter if you see it together
[TS]
01:45:55
◼
►
very strange like you know the first couple as I have very funny and like 10
[TS]
01:46:00
◼
►
people have taken pictures but anyway the point is like Twitter and Instagram
[TS]
01:46:06
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I would not really the same thing I mean is like breaking news from the from the
[TS]
01:46:11
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fronts in the war fronts in in Ferguson although I guess Instagram you know
[TS]
01:46:18
◼
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people are posting photos and that kind of stuff but Twitter's like the global
[TS]
01:46:22
◼
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pulse of information and Instagram is you know look how cool my life is that
[TS]
01:46:27
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kind of thing so yeah look at this
[TS]
01:46:31
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yeah I look at this thing look at where I hear anything
[TS]
01:46:35
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instagram has destroyed something like Foursquare more than it more than it has
[TS]
01:46:39
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really affected Twitter and Twitter
[TS]
01:46:42
◼
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problems are its own problems you know there there are so many things that
[TS]
01:46:45
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►
Twitter needs to figure out but competing with Instagram I don't think
[TS]
01:46:50
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is the answer
[TS]
01:46:51
◼
►
and being upset that you know or or people trying to make them look small
[TS]
01:46:56
◼
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because instagram has more users I don't think that has anything to do with it
[TS]
01:47:00
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►
yeah I guess it's the same concept it's just you pick a list of people or
[TS]
01:47:05
◼
►
certain companies and you'll see a chronological stream of what they post
[TS]
01:47:10
◼
►
same concept as Twitter but in practice because of the differences in what it is
[TS]
01:47:14
◼
►
you know photos versus text it is having a very different purpose and this fact
[TS]
01:47:20
◼
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what you just said is actually kind of interesting because it's almost like
[TS]
01:47:22
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Instagram is a better fulfillment of Twitter's original idea of its purpose
[TS]
01:47:27
◼
►
the what am i doing right now right it used to be like was not what was the
[TS]
01:47:32
◼
►
original prompt for Twitter in a few oh I don't know what you know what are you
[TS]
01:47:37
◼
►
doing what's going on maybe that's what it is now you know when people used to
[TS]
01:47:41
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treat you like at at at the dentist or something like that yeah nobody would
[TS]
01:47:49
◼
►
tweet that anymore right nobody's going to tweet at the dentist just those words
[TS]
01:47:53
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but Steve Wozniak well but I have definitely see like when I see like
[TS]
01:48:02
◼
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friends I see friends who take like
[TS]
01:48:04
◼
►
a first-person perspective of their feet in the dentist's chair yeah you know
[TS]
01:48:09
◼
►
he's you know you no problem yet totally in effect today you know you don't mind
[TS]
01:48:17
◼
►
if you can compose it artistically now I said this week that when that news hit
[TS]
01:48:22
◼
►
when the news broke and again like you said I don't think it's any kind of bad
[TS]
01:48:25
◼
►
news for Twitter that Instagram's bigger just it's just an interesting sign it
[TS]
01:48:29
◼
►
just you know and doesn't mean that they're even more valuable than Twitter
[TS]
01:48:33
◼
►
it's just interesting but I do think though that they're part of their
[TS]
01:48:39
◼
►
success is that they've kept that simplicity and and and there's like they
[TS]
01:48:44
◼
►
know the people running Instagram in designing it and keeping it they know
[TS]
01:48:48
◼
►
exactly what it is and they get whereas to me part of Twitter's problem in
[TS]
01:48:52
◼
►
recent years is that the people running Twitter don't seem to get what Twitter
[TS]
01:48:56
◼
►
is there just seems to me they seemed lost and I think part of it is that they
[TS]
01:49:02
◼
►
have this ambition to be as big as Facebook and I think the problem is is
[TS]
01:49:08
◼
►
that what Twitter is good for is fundamentally never going to be as big
[TS]
01:49:14
◼
►
as profitable as what Facebook and so it can you live with that you know why not
[TS]
01:49:20
◼
►
if you could still profitable yeah I think that's a great way of putting it
[TS]
01:49:25
◼
►
like like if you make I don't know toaster ovens and you find out that the
[TS]
01:49:34
◼
►
toaster oven business is not as profitable as the automobile industry
[TS]
01:49:37
◼
►
should you start making cars no I don't you know just keep making good toaster
[TS]
01:49:42
◼
►
ovens if you know and just let it be let it be the business that is you know and
[TS]
01:49:47
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►
i just think that Twitter is so obsessed with Facebook that they've lost their
[TS]
01:49:51
◼
►
way to leadership level yea or or why don't know if it's a 90 day if they
[TS]
01:49:57
◼
►
think that way internally I think that the outside perspective especially among
[TS]
01:50:04
◼
►
the investor community is a well why isn't Twitter becoming as big as well my
[TS]
01:50:08
◼
►
my my evidence that I think that there's
[TS]
01:50:11
◼
►
that they do internally as the way that first person first person first party
[TS]
01:50:16
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►
Twitter clients meaning if you go to twitter.com you used the Twitter app
[TS]
01:50:19
◼
►
that your timeline is now has is no longer just the simple chronological
[TS]
01:50:25
◼
►
order here the people you follow in their tweets you know that there's all
[TS]
01:50:29
◼
►
sorts of other stuff that's injected in there
[TS]
01:50:32
◼
►
yeah but I don't think that stems from trying to be more like Facebook I think
[TS]
01:50:37
◼
►
that is trying to solve the problem that most people have a shitty timeline
[TS]
01:50:41
◼
►
because they don't follow enough people they signed up for Twitter they may be
[TS]
01:50:45
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►
some may be followed auto follow this people that are suggested to them but
[TS]
01:50:50
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►
getting people to keep following more Twitter accounts is kind of a central to
[TS]
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building a really great time line I love my timeline I also follow 3,300 people
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you know and I even run out of stuff to read so how do you automatically like
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reinstall a really great time line for someone that's based on what they like
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and that's i think thats what they're trying to get out with this stuff and
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what I would like to see from Twitter is exactly this like pre-installed hit like
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if you could go to the homepage and say show me
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soccer Twitter right now booming i'm following a thousand accounts that have
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people are talking about really great soccer or let me see tech media Twitter
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you know around an Apple event or something like that yeah and don't be as
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simplistic as a hashtag right like what they've gotten as if you use the exact
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right hash tag you can do it but only if all the tweets are using the hashtag
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whereas it seems that you know Google Google web search seems distant proof
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that you can build something where you could just say soccer and just get a
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figure out like here's some great soccer cleats to fall so I think that's what
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they're trying to get out and you know as is typical for Twitter the worst
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thing they have they ever do is explain themselves so they've done a typically
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poor job explaining why they're doing any of this stuff
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and you know and now with new with yet another product leader who knows what
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they're going to keep working on what they're not gonna keep doing although I
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will say the new guy in charge of product kevin has been there forever and
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you know if there's anyone I as a user trust to not be a hoser it's him so it's
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alright can't beat that damn from her thank you very much for your time and
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01:52:49
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where can people find out more from Dan Frommer follow me on Twitter from down
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or on Instagram if you wanna see a cute dog photos I guess yeah those are the
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01:53:03
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best places to follow me know right now I'm writing it courts which is QZ dot
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com but you'll find all the best it from the link from linking to the court stuff
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everything everything I do you know wherever it is
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owners yea and they're getting rid of all the spam accounts so we'll see how
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many spam followers I have end up I was not following you on Instagram yeah it's
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like hey look at me I'm in tokyo but so what
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you know I think they have with us for yeah I like it
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yeah she didn't and now right now I know looking at the picture you have some
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01:53:46
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really great stories and working on from Tok that I was reporting in Tokyo it'll
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be publishing over the next few weeks I did two already 11 was you did you see
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that new OK Go Video yes the one with the double shot from a drone yeah yeah
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so I went to so I wasn't Tokyo I think now three weeks ago maybe some like that
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so e-mail Honda and said hey can I can I ride one of those things and so I got to
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meet the guy who invented it
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and right around one of those little scooters their call the unique club and
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that was awesome I was super fun
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so if you if you search I don't even know how you would find this I should
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put a link on my website to these stories sooner than later and other
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thing is Toshiba like like most japanese old Japanese tech companies is
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struggling with growth so they took an old floppy disk factory in the suburbs
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of Tokyo and turned it into a clean room indoor let us farm so I heard that and
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posted a bunch of photos of that now is super cool I had to put on a kind of a
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half bunny suit and sterilize my camera and it was awesome it's a great shot
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yes so that stuff is on my Instagram I guess actually it is and you can't link
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through to the stories links because they're not listening to Dan from
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whatever
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