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599: Where Did Salad Go?

 

00:00:00 ◼   ► We never decided if we had a preshow.

00:00:02 ◼   ► - Oh apparently we don't.

00:00:03 ◼   ► (laughs)

00:00:05 ◼   ► - I have a very boring preshow.

00:00:06 ◼   ► - It's perfect, perfect for the summer.

00:00:09 ◼   ► Let's give it a shot.

00:00:10 ◼   ► What do you got?

00:00:11 ◼   ► - Let me put it this way.

00:00:11 ◼   ► There are times that I'll find out or notice

00:00:13 ◼   ► that Marco has removed something that I've said

00:00:15 ◼   ► from the show.

00:00:17 ◼   ► I would say 70 to 80% of the time.

00:00:19 ◼   ► It's a good call.

00:00:21 ◼   ► It's for the best.

00:00:22 ◼   ► 10 to 15% of the time I'm like what the hell, man?

00:00:25 ◼   ► And then 5% of the time it's something else entirely.

00:00:28 ◼   ► But this is one of those things where you are probably

00:00:31 ◼   ► going to remove it and it's for the best.

00:00:34 ◼   ► But no, so--

00:00:35 ◼   ► - Wait, is your preshow something that you think

00:00:37 ◼   ► Marco's gonna remove?

00:00:38 ◼   ► - Yes.

00:00:39 ◼   ► - 'Cause that's not a good preshow 'cause we can't use

00:00:41 ◼   ► that as the preshow.

00:00:42 ◼   ► - Look at it this way.

00:00:42 ◼   ► Anytime I try to come up with a preshow,

00:00:44 ◼   ► we end up going off on the rails, off the rails,

00:00:46 ◼   ► not on the rails, it's opposite of that, off the rails.

00:00:48 ◼   ► And then we find something actually interesting

00:00:50 ◼   ► to talk about.

00:00:51 ◼   ► So here we go.

00:00:52 ◼   ► (upbeat music)

00:00:54 ◼   ► And that's the preshow that's only for the bootleg

00:00:56 ◼   ► 'cause Marco's gonna remove it.

00:00:57 ◼   ► - Absolutely.

00:00:58 ◼   ► Exactly as promised.

00:01:00 ◼   ► (upbeat music)

00:01:02 ◼   ► - Let's start with an apology tour.

00:01:03 ◼   ► Let's do some follow up.

00:01:05 ◼   ► What happened with the theme song there, Marco?

00:01:08 ◼   ► - Okay, so last episode I accidentally put in the old

00:01:10 ◼   ► theme song about Twitter rather than the new theme song

00:01:13 ◼   ► about Mastodon.

00:01:14 ◼   ► My bad.

00:01:15 ◼   ► Ending theme one which I used for 10 years or whatever

00:01:19 ◼   ► it's been.

00:01:20 ◼   ► Have a bit of a habit on that one and I accidentally

00:01:22 ◼   ► picked that one instead of picking endingtheme2024.af.

00:01:26 ◼   ► So my bad, sorry.

00:01:28 ◼   ► It happens to the best of us.

00:01:30 ◼   ► The offending parties have been sacked as they say.

00:01:32 ◼   ► No big deal.

00:01:33 ◼   ► I would also like to go on an apology tour.

00:01:35 ◼   ► Last episode we were talking about overcast and call sheet.

00:01:39 ◼   ► And coincidentally today is the day, is the one year

00:01:41 ◼   ► anniversary of call sheet.

00:01:42 ◼   ► - Hey, congrats.

00:01:43 ◼   ► - Hey, thanks.

00:01:44 ◼   ► - Are you looking forward to the App Store Connect report

00:01:46 ◼   ► tomorrow morning?

00:01:48 ◼   ► - Yeah, I don't even know how this works.

00:01:49 ◼   ► I've never had a subscription app before.

00:01:50 ◼   ► So I'm scared to look to be honest with you.

00:01:53 ◼   ► Mike on analog, we talked about this and Mike had advised.

00:01:57 ◼   ► Just expect like half of what you had originally.

00:02:00 ◼   ► And I thought, you know what?

00:02:01 ◼   ► He's probably right.

00:02:02 ◼   ► That's probably a good place to start.

00:02:04 ◼   ► Is that whatever money I made a year ago,

00:02:05 ◼   ► just expect half that.

00:02:06 ◼   ► And hopefully that's a good place to reach.

00:02:08 ◼   ► And hopefully I'll achieve that.

00:02:11 ◼   ► - Wait, don't you have to wait more than just like,

00:02:12 ◼   ► I know it's like the anniversary, but like isn't there kind

00:02:15 ◼   ► of, wasn't there several days between like the announcement

00:02:18 ◼   ► and the publication of the episode where you talked about it

00:02:21 ◼   ► and when people got around to listening to the episode?

00:02:22 ◼   ► Isn't this gonna be kind of smeared out over

00:02:24 ◼   ► at least a week?

00:02:25 ◼   ► - Although that's part of the reason why I didn't plan

00:02:26 ◼   ► on looking tomorrow.

00:02:27 ◼   ► I figured whenever we hit like September-ish

00:02:31 ◼   ► is when I'll start like looking into it

00:02:33 ◼   ► or just wait for, you know, hopefully a check from Apple

00:02:35 ◼   ► that hopefully is more than $10 and say, you know,

00:02:38 ◼   ► oh, that went well or, oh, wow, that really stinks,

00:02:41 ◼   ► you know, one way or the other.

00:02:42 ◼   ► So, but I digress.

00:02:44 ◼   ► So we were talking about Call Sheet and Overcast

00:02:47 ◼   ► and I had made a comment that I thought was very clear

00:02:51 ◼   ► what I was saying and it appears that a lot of people

00:02:53 ◼   ► did not understand 'cause I saw a lot of grumpy people

00:02:56 ◼   ► on Reddit, which is arguably redundant, but here we are,

00:02:58 ◼   ► and a handful of people reached out via Mastodon.

00:03:02 ◼   ► And what I was talking about was, and admittedly,

00:03:05 ◼   ► I used kind of like a mocky, you know, dorky voice,

00:03:07 ◼   ► but what I was trying to say was whenever an app

00:03:10 ◼   ► changes its interface, no matter if the change is better,

00:03:13 ◼   ► worse or whatever, just by virtue of the fact

00:03:16 ◼   ► that it is different, that pisses a lot of people off.

00:03:19 ◼   ► And a lot of times what those people will do

00:03:22 ◼   ► is they'll run to the App Store and do a one-star review.

00:03:24 ◼   ► Oh, it's different, one star.

00:03:26 ◼   ► I stand by that.

00:03:28 ◼   ► Now, maybe my delivery wasn't exactly the best,

00:03:30 ◼   ► but I stand by that, I still believe it.

00:03:32 ◼   ► But a lot of people seem to hear me say,

00:03:35 ◼   ► oh, anyone who whines about it being different is wrong,

00:03:39 ◼   ► which is not at all what I was trying to say.

00:03:40 ◼   ► There are legitimate reasons why one could complain

00:03:43 ◼   ► about Overcast, about Call Sheet.

00:03:46 ◼   ► You know, John's apps are so simple,

00:03:47 ◼   ► nobody could complain about them, but--

00:03:49 ◼   ► - If only that were true.

00:03:51 ◼   ► - Right?

00:03:52 ◼   ► But all kidding aside, you know,

00:03:53 ◼   ► there are very legitimate reasons to complain

00:03:55 ◼   ► about the changes that Marco has made,

00:03:57 ◼   ► or anything that I have done on Call Sheet.

00:03:58 ◼   ► Like, they are not above reproach,

00:04:00 ◼   ► and I think that that's what people got

00:04:02 ◼   ► from what I was saying, which I'm not really sure how or why,

00:04:05 ◼   ► but here we are, but I just wanted to be absolutely clear.

00:04:07 ◼   ► - I think it was the funny voice.

00:04:08 ◼   ► I think most people-- - I guess.

00:04:09 ◼   ► - The funny voice, you're putting yourself

00:04:10 ◼   ► in the place of the person complaining by saying,

00:04:12 ◼   ► these people sound like this.

00:04:14 ◼   ► That's, I think that's the main source of the complaint.

00:04:16 ◼   ► If you hadn't done the funny voice,

00:04:18 ◼   ► I think it would have worked out a lot better,

00:04:19 ◼   ► because it's like you're making fun of the people

00:04:21 ◼   ► who have this complaint.

00:04:22 ◼   ► When you do that voice, you're saying these people

00:04:24 ◼   ► are not justified in their complaints.

00:04:26 ◼   ► - What if they do sound like that, though?

00:04:28 ◼   ► (laughing)

00:04:30 ◼   ► - You still shouldn't make fun of them,

00:04:31 ◼   ► 'cause that's just their regular voice, then.

00:04:32 ◼   ► (laughing)

00:04:33 ◼   ► - Yeah, I mean, to be fair, like,

00:04:35 ◼   ► there are a lot of people who do sound like that

00:04:37 ◼   ► in their interviews, but also, like,

00:04:39 ◼   ► I see why people do the one-star thing,

00:04:42 ◼   ► because if you think about, like,

00:04:43 ◼   ► the perspective of a typical iPhone user,

00:04:49 ◼   ► what they are accustomed to is big companies

00:04:53 ◼   ► redoing their apps all the time, messing up their habits,

00:04:56 ◼   ► messing up their, you know, making their apps worse

00:04:59 ◼   ► for their customers, with their customers

00:05:01 ◼   ► having basically no power whatsoever.

00:05:03 ◼   ► Like, so customers feel powerless and kind of helpless,

00:05:08 ◼   ► and the one tool they have, the one lever they can pull

00:05:11 ◼   ► that they know will have some effect on every single app

00:05:16 ◼   ► is the one-star nasty review.

00:05:17 ◼   ► Like, they know that.

00:05:18 ◼   ► And so, I understand why people jump to that,

00:05:21 ◼   ► because the entire rest of the market and industry

00:05:24 ◼   ► has told them, has trained them, like,

00:05:26 ◼   ► that is your only power.

00:05:27 ◼   ► And, by the way, we don't care

00:05:30 ◼   ► about anything else you might do.

00:05:31 ◼   ► Like, you know, if you just write into support

00:05:32 ◼   ► for most companies, that's going to be, you know,

00:05:35 ◼   ► even less effective than emailing me,

00:05:38 ◼   ► which is really saying something.

00:05:40 ◼   ► But, so, you know, so I get why people do it.

00:05:45 ◼   ► I still think it's not the nicest thing to do if,

00:05:49 ◼   ► you know, so the one-star review,

00:05:51 ◼   ► what they are often saying is,

00:05:55 ◼   ► "I dislike a change that's been made to this app."

00:05:58 ◼   ► But what one-star, you know, like,

00:06:01 ◼   ► the lowest rating you can give an app,

00:06:03 ◼   ► what that means, ostensibly, is,

00:06:07 ◼   ► this is a horrible, like, broken or dysfunctional app.

00:06:11 ◼   ► Like, this means this app is, like,

00:06:13 ◼   ► 0% useful to you or to me or to whatever.

00:06:17 ◼   ► And so I feel like it is, it's part of the problem

00:06:20 ◼   ► with the star rating scale.

00:06:21 ◼   ► We see this all over everything

00:06:22 ◼   ► that uses star ratings, not just apps.

00:06:24 ◼   ► You tend to get a lot of people who use

00:06:27 ◼   ► five stars and one star, and what they really,

00:06:30 ◼   ► I think, probably mean is, like, thumbs up or thumbs down.

00:06:34 ◼   ► But the scale, the rating scale gives the impression

00:06:39 ◼   ► of more granularity and more, kind of, you know,

00:06:42 ◼   ► consideration on what, is this a two-star,

00:06:44 ◼   ► is it a three-star, like, it gives the impression of that

00:06:47 ◼   ► and kind of the math is assuming that,

00:06:50 ◼   ► but what people actually do does not really reflect that.

00:06:53 ◼   ► So what I get annoyed by is when people are like,

00:06:57 ◼   ► this app that I use every day changed something

00:07:00 ◼   ► that I don't like, one star.

00:07:02 ◼   ► Well, you use the app every day?

00:07:05 ◼   ► And it's literally, you're giving it

00:07:08 ◼   ► the worst rating you can give it.

00:07:09 ◼   ► Like, that seems like an overreaction

00:07:12 ◼   ► or a misrepresentation of the feelings that you're feeling

00:07:15 ◼   ► or what you're trying to communicate.

00:07:17 ◼   ► But I understand, again, why people do it,

00:07:19 ◼   ► because they think this is the only chance I have

00:07:22 ◼   ► to maybe do something that works,

00:07:24 ◼   ► that gets noticed, that gets, you know,

00:07:26 ◼   ► that affects change.

00:07:28 ◼   ► So I see why people do it.

00:07:29 ◼   ► It's a crap system, but it is the system we have.

00:07:32 ◼   ► And so we have to deal with it as app developers,

00:07:35 ◼   ► and we have no choice, maybe,

00:07:36 ◼   ► because of the way the app store works.

00:07:37 ◼   ► Like, you know, if you do what Apple thinks never existed

00:07:41 ◼   ► and sell software on your website, for instance,

00:07:43 ◼   ► you can choose whether you display star ratings

00:07:47 ◼   ► from users or not, and you can kind of sell your products

00:07:50 ◼   ► however you want to sell them.

00:07:51 ◼   ► When you're on iOS, your only choice,

00:07:54 ◼   ► outside of the EU, I guess, but your only choice

00:07:57 ◼   ► is you have to accept that there's gonna be a star rating

00:08:00 ◼   ► and random reviews from random people

00:08:03 ◼   ► very prominently displayed on your app page

00:08:05 ◼   ► before anybody downloads it.

00:08:07 ◼   ► So you're stuck with the system that we have,

00:08:09 ◼   ► and you kind of have to play in it.

00:08:11 ◼   ► So that being said, like, the one star review dynamic

00:08:16 ◼   ► is incredibly dysfunctional, extremely harmful

00:08:19 ◼   ► to lots of developers, but also it's the tool people have

00:08:22 ◼   ► and they use it for a reason.

00:08:24 ◼   ► I wish they would use it with a little bit

00:08:26 ◼   ► more consideration.

00:08:27 ◼   ► I wish they would actually use the other ratings

00:08:30 ◼   ► that are not just one or five more often,

00:08:33 ◼   ► but hey, it's the system we got, we gotta live with it.

00:08:36 ◼   ► - Yeah, I would agree with that.

00:08:37 ◼   ► Although I will say, and I think I'm probably speaking

00:08:40 ◼   ► for you, Marco, but you can jump in and correct me if not.

00:08:43 ◼   ► For me, I don't actually pay close attention

00:08:47 ◼   ► to like reviews and star ratings and whatnot.

00:08:49 ◼   ► I do glance from time to time, but to me,

00:08:52 ◼   ► the best way to affect change in my apps

00:08:54 ◼   ► is to use the in-app contact form,

00:08:57 ◼   ► or which is really just sending an email,

00:08:58 ◼   ► but they effectively send me an email

00:09:00 ◼   ► and tell me what's bothering you and why it's bothering you.

00:09:02 ◼   ► And for triple bonus points, if you have a suggestion

00:09:05 ◼   ► as to what to do differently, like I don't like this.

00:09:09 ◼   ► Well, that's not necessarily actionable.

00:09:11 ◼   ► I don't like this because, well, okay, now we're talking.

00:09:14 ◼   ► Or even better, I don't like this because whatever,

00:09:17 ◼   ► and I suggest, well, you're my new best friend,

00:09:20 ◼   ► because now, even if I don't agree,

00:09:23 ◼   ► now I at least understand what the problem is,

00:09:25 ◼   ► why it's a problem, and here is what you consider to be,

00:09:28 ◼   ► and I don't mean this to be dismissive,

00:09:29 ◼   ► like I mean this genuinely, what you consider to be

00:09:32 ◼   ► a worthwhile and reasonable fix for the problem.

00:09:35 ◼   ► And that, to me, is way better and way more actionable.

00:09:39 ◼   ► And I agree with what you were saying, Marco,

00:09:41 ◼   ► that in terms of leverage, the only real leverage

00:09:45 ◼   ► anyone has other than stopping a subscription or something

00:09:48 ◼   ► is a one-star review, and I agree with that.

00:09:50 ◼   ► But in terms of actually achieving the goal

00:09:53 ◼   ► you're looking for, then to me anyway,

00:09:56 ◼   ► the best thing you can do is email me

00:09:58 ◼   ► or use the in-app feedback or what have you

00:10:00 ◼   ► in order to give me the justification for it,

00:10:04 ◼   ► not because I'm the king and I don't wanna be bothered,

00:10:07 ◼   ► but because I don't understand otherwise.

00:10:09 ◼   ► If you don't give me that justification and just say,

00:10:11 ◼   ► well, I don't like the way this works,

00:10:13 ◼   ► well, I don't know what to do with that.

00:10:15 ◼   ► Obviously, this was the best option I could come up with,

00:10:18 ◼   ► so explain to me why, or like I said, even better,

00:10:20 ◼   ► give me a suggestion.

00:10:22 ◼   ► - Yeah, and the problem is, the one-star review thing

00:10:26 ◼   ► does work in the sense that, like,

00:10:29 ◼   ► I saw some news earlier, like Sonos is really,

00:10:32 ◼   ► they're still kind of reeling from their big app thing,

00:10:35 ◼   ► which scared the crap out of me when I saw it,

00:10:37 ◼   ► and now I'm still seeing, like,

00:10:39 ◼   ► my overcast reviews are terrible since the redesign.

00:10:43 ◼   ► Like, they are awful, to the point where, like,

00:10:46 ◼   ► my business is on fire.

00:10:48 ◼   ► It's a small fire on a pretty big building,

00:10:52 ◼   ► but it is on fire.

00:10:53 ◼   ► I need to react, I need to take action.

00:10:56 ◼   ► This is not optional.

00:10:57 ◼   ► If I do not take action, my business will go away soon.

00:11:00 ◼   ► Like, not too soon.

00:11:02 ◼   ► I have a lot of, you know, it turns out,

00:11:03 ◼   ► over, you know, when you don't reset your star ratings

00:11:05 ◼   ► over 10 years, the math works pretty well in your favor,

00:11:08 ◼   ► that, like, it takes a lot to move the average down,

00:11:10 ◼   ► because it's like, even, you know,

00:11:12 ◼   ► even a few straight weeks of one-star reviews,

00:11:14 ◼   ► there's, you know, thousands of reviews to balance it out

00:11:17 ◼   ► from the last 10 years, mathematically, with the average.

00:11:20 ◼   ► But all of these one-star reviews that I'm getting

00:11:23 ◼   ► are forcing me to take action.

00:11:25 ◼   ► I am being forced to make changes,

00:11:28 ◼   ► to, like, you know, consider, you know,

00:11:30 ◼   ► I had to re-add, you know, one-tap play,

00:11:33 ◼   ► I'm having to make design changes,

00:11:35 ◼   ► I'm going to have to add more options to the app,

00:11:37 ◼   ► I'm going to have to, like, add more buttons,

00:11:40 ◼   ► compromise my design, compromise my simplicity.

00:11:43 ◼   ► I'm actually going to have to make the app,

00:11:45 ◼   ► in certain ways, worse, in my opinion,

00:11:49 ◼   ► in order to placate the one-star review people,

00:11:51 ◼   ► because I have no choice.

00:11:53 ◼   ► As an iOS developer, if you're getting a ton

00:11:55 ◼   ► of one-star reviews over something, you have to fix it.

00:11:58 ◼   ► If you care about the future of your app,

00:12:00 ◼   ► because if your star rating goes down, like,

00:12:03 ◼   ► in a meaningful way on the average,

00:12:06 ◼   ► you will get way fewer downloads,

00:12:08 ◼   ► and it's really bad for your business.

00:12:10 ◼   ► So, the fact is, like, this method works,

00:12:13 ◼   ► and I kind of hate that it works,

00:12:15 ◼   ► but, again, this is the system we're in.

00:12:18 ◼   ► We have no choice.

00:12:19 ◼   ► If there are that many people leaving you one-star reviews,

00:12:22 ◼   ► you have to fix whatever they're complaining about,

00:12:25 ◼   ► whether you agree with it or not.

00:12:26 ◼   ► So, it is kind of frustrating, as a developer,

00:12:29 ◼   ► to have to give your customers that much power

00:12:31 ◼   ► over what you do, 'cause, you know,

00:12:33 ◼   ► your app design is not a democracy,

00:12:35 ◼   ► but they kind of turn it into one in a way.

00:12:38 ◼   ► And so, I can, again, I understand why people

00:12:42 ◼   ► use the one-star review lever,

00:12:45 ◼   ► because it's the only lever they have, as users,

00:12:48 ◼   ► but I also understand why developers are like,

00:12:51 ◼   ► I kind of hate that they hold this over me,

00:12:54 ◼   ► because it is quite a dysfunctional system,

00:12:58 ◼   ► and there is no way to opt out of it.

00:13:00 ◼   ► - Yeah, just to put a bow on this, though,

00:13:01 ◼   ► and to be absolutely clear, you know,

00:13:03 ◼   ► I am sorry that I came across in a not-so-kind way.

00:13:07 ◼   ► I try to be a decent guy, and I think I failed there.

00:13:10 ◼   ► But, you know, again, there's plenty of things

00:13:12 ◼   ► that are worth complaining about.

00:13:14 ◼   ► Just don't complain just because it's different,

00:13:15 ◼   ► and that's all I was asking.

00:13:17 ◼   ► - We are sponsored this week by Revenue Cat.

00:13:21 ◼   ► Now, last week, you might recall in the after show,

00:13:23 ◼   ► Casey brought up that if he could start Call Sheet

00:13:25 ◼   ► all over again, he'd consider using Revenue Cat

00:13:27 ◼   ► for managing his in-app purchases.

00:13:29 ◼   ► And then he jokingly challenged them to sponsor the show.

00:13:32 ◼   ► Well, Revenue Cat's developer advocate is Charlie Chapman,

00:13:35 ◼   ► who you might know from his launch podcast,

00:13:37 ◼   ► which I think is great, and you should go listen to it.

00:13:38 ◼   ► It's wonderful.

00:13:39 ◼   ► And so, he's a listener of this show,

00:13:41 ◼   ► and he said maybe let's actually sponsor them.

00:13:43 ◼   ► So, they got in touch, and here they are.

00:13:46 ◼   ► This might be the first sponsored follow-up in a way.

00:13:48 ◼   ► So, here's the deal with Revenue Cat.

00:13:50 ◼   ► They build an SDK and backend infrastructure

00:13:53 ◼   ► to make adding in-app purchases and subscriptions

00:13:55 ◼   ► to your iOS or Android apps incredibly easy.

00:13:58 ◼   ► So, let Revenue Cat's engineers keep track

00:14:00 ◼   ► of the constant changes to the store APIs,

00:14:02 ◼   ► and they can even handle your paywall UI

00:14:05 ◼   ► with their backend configurable,

00:14:06 ◼   ► but fully native paywall UI framework.

00:14:10 ◼   ► So, you can do stuff with this,

00:14:11 ◼   ► like run A/B tests with the experiments feature,

00:14:14 ◼   ► and that's, again, with a native UI.

00:14:15 ◼   ► You configure it on the backend,

00:14:16 ◼   ► but then it's using native code in the app.

00:14:19 ◼   ► So, you can do full A/B tests with that feature.

00:14:21 ◼   ► You can also use Revenue Cat charts

00:14:23 ◼   ► to go way beyond what App Store Connect offers

00:14:25 ◼   ► for understanding your business,

00:14:26 ◼   ► and they're constantly improving.

00:14:28 ◼   ► In fact, just this morning, they released a new chart

00:14:31 ◼   ► called the Prediction Explorer

00:14:33 ◼   ► that uses a predictive model to project

00:14:34 ◼   ► how much revenue to expect from users in the future,

00:14:37 ◼   ► which is exactly the kind of information

00:14:39 ◼   ► Casey was interested in last week.

00:14:41 ◼   ► Also, if you're an indie dev,

00:14:43 ◼   ► consider joining their hackathon they just launched this week

00:14:45 ◼   ► they call the Shipathon.

00:14:47 ◼   ► They're giving cash prizes, swag,

00:14:49 ◼   ► and even some digital billboard space in San Francisco

00:14:51 ◼   ► for the winning apps, really.

00:14:53 ◼   ► So, this is a great thing.

00:14:54 ◼   ► This is way beyond what I would ever be able to build myself.

00:14:57 ◼   ► So, check it out.

00:14:58 ◼   ► Come see why thousands of top apps

00:15:00 ◼   ► trust Revenue Cat to power their subscriptions

00:15:02 ◼   ► at revenuecat.com.

00:15:04 ◼   ► And if you're interested in that hackathon,

00:15:06 ◼   ► go over to their blog for the latest info on that.

00:15:08 ◼   ► So, once again, revenuecat.com

00:15:10 ◼   ► to power your in-app purchases and subscriptions.

00:15:12 ◼   ► Thank you so much to Revenue Cat for sponsoring the show.

00:15:15 ◼   ► (upbeat music)

00:15:18 ◼   ► - All right, so we had a lot of genuinely

00:15:21 ◼   ► interesting feedback with regard to curbside charging

00:15:24 ◼   ► in the United States.

00:15:25 ◼   ► And I will try to make this as quick as possible,

00:15:27 ◼   ► but a bunch of people wrote in and said, surprise, surprise,

00:15:30 ◼   ► in some bigger cities, there is curbside charging.

00:15:33 ◼   ► So, it turns out Gareth Edwards pointed us to Plug NYC,

00:15:37 ◼   ► which was apparently in August, 2021.

00:15:40 ◼   ► Reading from untappedcities.com,

00:15:44 ◼   ► some neighborhoods in New York City

00:15:45 ◼   ► are welcoming Plug NYC,

00:15:46 ◼   ► the city's new curbside electric vehicle chargers

00:15:48 ◼   ► that are being tested as a pilot program

00:15:50 ◼   ► run as a partnership between NYC DOT, Con Edison, and FLO,

00:15:54 ◼   ► one of the largest electric vehicle charging networks

00:15:56 ◼   ► in North America, which is interesting

00:15:57 ◼   ► 'cause I've never heard of it, but that's right.

00:15:59 ◼   ► And an initial 34 stations with 100 plugs

00:16:01 ◼   ► are coming across the five boroughs.

00:16:03 ◼   ► - I do wonder, like this is just starting from 2021

00:16:05 ◼   ► where they had an initial 34 stations.

00:16:07 ◼   ► How many stations are there now in 2024?

00:16:09 ◼   ► I don't know.

00:16:10 ◼   ► But anyway, it seems like there's a pilot program

00:16:12 ◼   ► in New York City, at least one.

00:16:13 ◼   ► Then James Brown, presumably not the godfather of soul,

00:16:16 ◼   ► from Berkeley writes, "Berkeley launched a pilot program

00:16:19 ◼   ► in 2018 for homeowners to install curbside EV chargers.

00:16:23 ◼   ► Part of why it's so impractical,

00:16:24 ◼   ► they recommend a homeowner's budget

00:16:26 ◼   ► between $5,000 and $20,000 for the install,

00:16:30 ◼   ► including," that's like, what, half a Rivian repair?

00:16:32 ◼   ► Hey-o, "for the install, including $2,500 of permit fees.

00:16:36 ◼   ► I've seen exactly one of these, ever."

00:16:38 ◼   ► And we'll link in the show notes

00:16:40 ◼   ► something that James provided

00:16:41 ◼   ► with regard to how to make this happen.

00:16:44 ◼   ► Kiel from Seattle writes, "I drive an EV in Seattle,

00:16:47 ◼   ► and we have some city-sponsored

00:16:48 ◼   ► curbside fast charging, very convenient."

00:16:50 ◼   ► We'll put a link in the show notes for that.

00:16:53 ◼   ► Vault is a great podcast about green technology.

00:16:55 ◼   ► They recently had an episode

00:16:56 ◼   ► about expanding curbside charging in the US.

00:16:58 ◼   ► They provided a overcast link, which 404s,

00:17:01 ◼   ► so I think I've dug up the right link,

00:17:04 ◼   ► and I'll put that in the show notes.

00:17:06 ◼   ► But if it's wrong, I guess blame me and not Kiel.

00:17:10 ◼   ► Seth Karras writes, "Baltimore has been

00:17:12 ◼   ► installing curbside electric chargers.

00:17:14 ◼   ► See the photo of the chargers along Boston Street

00:17:15 ◼   ► in Baltimore's Cannon neighborhood."

00:17:17 ◼   ► And I don't know if we're gonna include the photo,

00:17:19 ◼   ► but we saw it, and it looked cool.

00:17:21 ◼   ► Juan Boyce writes, "Pole vault," P-O-L-E-V-O-L-T.

00:17:24 ◼   ► That's very clever.

00:17:25 ◼   ► Curbside charging in North Carolina is a thing,

00:17:27 ◼   ► and included a link to Plugshare,

00:17:29 ◼   ► where you can see a photograph of that.

00:17:32 ◼   ► And finally, Sam Grover writes,

00:17:34 ◼   ► "Neighborhood EV charging also exists in Portland,"

00:17:36 ◼   ► which I think we've kind of talked about already,

00:17:38 ◼   ► but that's all right.

00:17:39 ◼   ► No, we didn't, never mind.

00:17:40 ◼   ► It exists in Portland,

00:17:41 ◼   ► and there's a link to the information on that

00:17:44 ◼   ► from the city of Portland as well.

00:17:46 ◼   ► - Seeing all these things of programs

00:17:48 ◼   ► that were started many years ago

00:17:50 ◼   ► makes me feel like there was some effort

00:17:52 ◼   ► to get curbside charging in some US cities,

00:17:55 ◼   ► and it just maybe didn't quite get critical mass, right?

00:17:59 ◼   ► But it's good that they're trying.

00:18:00 ◼   ► It's good that they're doing it.

00:18:03 ◼   ► Every little bit helps.

00:18:04 ◼   ► I just hope it really starts to snowball somewhere.

00:18:07 ◼   ► - Yeah, the problem with charging infrastructure

00:18:09 ◼   ► is that I think it's kind of like when companies hired

00:18:14 ◼   ► a bunch of consultants to make their iOS apps,

00:18:16 ◼   ► and then said, "All right, thanks, bye."

00:18:18 ◼   ► And then a couple years later, like,

00:18:20 ◼   ► "Wait, we need to update the app now,

00:18:22 ◼   ► "'cause iOS changed, and we have no idea.

00:18:25 ◼   ► "We didn't budget for ongoing maintenance of this expense.

00:18:29 ◼   ► "We just thought it was a one-time thing.

00:18:30 ◼   ► "We make an app, check, done."

00:18:32 ◼   ► And that's curbside,

00:18:34 ◼   ► or any kind of EV charging infrastructure.

00:18:36 ◼   ► The problem is it takes maintenance and follow-through,

00:18:40 ◼   ► and it isn't just like a one-time,

00:18:41 ◼   ► "Hey, let's put a bunch of chargers there,"

00:18:42 ◼   ► and then profit.

00:18:44 ◼   ► You know, it takes more than that.

00:18:45 ◼   ► It takes ongoing maintenance,

00:18:47 ◼   ► as we will get to maybe in the after show.

00:18:49 ◼   ► It's more difficult than you might expect

00:18:52 ◼   ► to maintain these things over time,

00:18:54 ◼   ► and at least it seems to be according to the failure rate

00:18:58 ◼   ► I'm seeing on Electrify America chargers.

00:19:01 ◼   ► - Yeah, so the curbside ones is an interesting case of that,

00:19:04 ◼   ► and I kind of understand why Berkeley

00:19:06 ◼   ► was doing the thing of basically making the homeowners

00:19:08 ◼   ► essentially pay for it and own it,

00:19:09 ◼   ► because if it's a thing that you paid for,

00:19:11 ◼   ► you have some stake in keeping it going,

00:19:14 ◼   ► 'cause presumably you're using it for your car.

00:19:16 ◼   ► That's why you did it, and it's your charger,

00:19:18 ◼   ► you know what I mean?

00:19:19 ◼   ► And so that's sort of distributing

00:19:21 ◼   ► the responsibility for maintenance.

00:19:23 ◼   ► For chargers where you, like destination chargers,

00:19:25 ◼   ► I don't know what the right term is,

00:19:26 ◼   ► like chargers that are like gas station.

00:19:27 ◼   ► There's a place where you go that's a charger,

00:19:29 ◼   ► and there's a whole bunch of chargers lined up

00:19:30 ◼   ► just like there'd be a whole bunch of gas pumps.

00:19:32 ◼   ► For those type of charger things--

00:19:34 ◼   ► - DC fast chargers, also called level three chargers.

00:19:36 ◼   ► - Right, but what I'm saying is they're not curbside

00:19:39 ◼   ► where it's just like they're dotting the streets.

00:19:40 ◼   ► There's a place you go where a bunch of cars

00:19:42 ◼   ► park and charge, right?

00:19:44 ◼   ► - Yeah, destination chargers are actually something else.

00:19:46 ◼   ► That's like the ones in the hotel parking lot

00:19:47 ◼   ► at some hotels. - Yeah, okay, got it.

00:19:49 ◼   ► - Those are level twos, yeah.

00:19:50 ◼   ► - Yeah, although I would say for the hotel ones,

00:19:52 ◼   ► that's an example of where you feel like the hotel

00:19:54 ◼   ► presumably pays for and owns those chargers,

00:19:55 ◼   ► or maybe gets rent for them or whatever.

00:19:57 ◼   ► There's some responsible body.

00:19:58 ◼   ► For the ones that are like a place that you go

00:20:00 ◼   ► that's like a gas station, we would hope,

00:20:03 ◼   ► and I think this was the hope,

00:20:04 ◼   ► but apparently there are economics

00:20:06 ◼   ► that don't work out for this,

00:20:08 ◼   ► that whoever owns that place where the chargers are

00:20:13 ◼   ► would maintain them in the same way

00:20:14 ◼   ► that someone who owns a gas station maintains the pumps.

00:20:17 ◼   ► How often do you go and see pumps

00:20:19 ◼   ► out of order at gas stations?

00:20:20 ◼   ► It happens, but if you live near one, for example,

00:20:22 ◼   ► and one of the pumps is out of order,

00:20:23 ◼   ► you would expect like by next week,

00:20:25 ◼   ► the pump's not out of order anymore.

00:20:26 ◼   ► The people who own the gas station got it fixed, right?

00:20:30 ◼   ► And I know the economics of gas stations,

00:20:32 ◼   ► at least I've read, I think the economics of gas stations

00:20:33 ◼   ► very often has to do with selling things

00:20:35 ◼   ► from the convenience store,

00:20:36 ◼   ► and the gas is like a loss leader

00:20:37 ◼   ► to get people to buy potato chips or whatever, right?

00:20:40 ◼   ► And maybe there's just not enough places

00:20:41 ◼   ► where you can buy potato chips at like Tesla chargers,

00:20:43 ◼   ► and it's a bad example 'cause they maintain theirs,

00:20:45 ◼   ► but I feel like the failure rates on electric chargers

00:20:48 ◼   ► are so bad it's because people had that mindset.

00:20:50 ◼   ► It's like, oh, it's electricity.

00:20:51 ◼   ► It's not like a gas pump that has to be maintained

00:20:54 ◼   ► and inspected, you see those inspection stickers

00:20:56 ◼   ► and everything, and it's like all this whole infrastructure

00:20:58 ◼   ► of the big trucks come and they fill the big tanks

00:21:01 ◼   ► and the pumps are inspected and signed off on

00:21:03 ◼   ► and the people own things.

00:21:04 ◼   ► It's not like that, it's just a plug.

00:21:06 ◼   ► So like the iOS app you just described,

00:21:08 ◼   ► once we install the plugs, we're done, right?

00:21:10 ◼   ► It's like, no.

00:21:11 ◼   ► Someone needs to be looking at every single plug

00:21:13 ◼   ► every single day, just like at a gas station.

00:21:15 ◼   ► Someone who works at the gas station

00:21:17 ◼   ► notices if one of the pumps stops working

00:21:19 ◼   ► because they work at the gas station and someone says,

00:21:21 ◼   ► hey, the pump's not working, and they're there all day,

00:21:23 ◼   ► and they say, oh, pump number three is out,

00:21:25 ◼   ► and then they arrange to get pump number three fixed.

00:21:27 ◼   ► And it seems like an electric charger thinks,

00:21:29 ◼   ► A, there's nobody there,

00:21:30 ◼   ► and B, when it breaks, it just sits there

00:21:32 ◼   ► for months and months and months, and it's just like,

00:21:33 ◼   ► is anyone ever gonna notice that this plug has not working,

00:21:37 ◼   ► that the cord got yanked out, that it's fraying,

00:21:39 ◼   ► that the machine is on the fritz,

00:21:41 ◼   ► that the software update failed or whatever?

00:21:43 ◼   ► They just need someone to take ownership.

00:21:46 ◼   ► I'm holding up gas stations.

00:21:49 ◼   ► This is a paragon of responsible stewardship

00:21:52 ◼   ► of infrastructure, but honestly,

00:21:54 ◼   ► I don't think it's asking too much.

00:21:56 ◼   ► Gas stations, we're able to maintain those,

00:21:58 ◼   ► and they're just, I would argue,

00:22:00 ◼   ► mechanically more complex than chargers,

00:22:03 ◼   ► if not technologically more complex.

00:22:04 ◼   ► So I hope this does get better.

00:22:06 ◼   ► It seems like it could,

00:22:07 ◼   ► but maybe the economics needs to work out

00:22:08 ◼   ► to pay someone to sit there and sell you potato chips

00:22:10 ◼   ► at the Tesla charging station.

00:22:11 ◼   ► (laughing)

00:22:13 ◼   ► - All right, moving along,

00:22:14 ◼   ► we've got some color information.

00:22:17 ◼   ► Apparently, there's been some leaks over the last few weeks,

00:22:20 ◼   ► or week or so, with regard to iPhone 16 and 16 Pro colors.

00:22:25 ◼   ► So we've got a couple of posts from 9to5Mac

00:22:27 ◼   ► that include some pictures.

00:22:29 ◼   ► For the iPhone 16 and 16 Plus,

00:22:32 ◼   ► we've got white, very, very black,

00:22:36 ◼   ► blue, green, and pink.

00:22:38 ◼   ► And interestingly, this camera bump is different, right?

00:22:41 ◼   ► Because it's vertically up and down

00:22:43 ◼   ► with a flash kind of separated and not in the camera.

00:22:46 ◼   ► - That's what I was saying last week.

00:22:47 ◼   ► If you were expecting that just,

00:22:48 ◼   ► "Oh, it's great when there's gonna be top and bottom,

00:22:50 ◼   ► "it'll be a narrow opening."

00:22:51 ◼   ► But no, 'cause you gotta have that flash exposed.

00:22:53 ◼   ► And unless you wanna do a punch hole cutout for the flash,

00:22:55 ◼   ► which you probably don't wanna do

00:22:56 ◼   ► 'cause it won't be exact and it'll throw shadows,

00:22:58 ◼   ► it's gonna end up being like a triangular cutout,

00:23:00 ◼   ► don't you think, for cases on this design?

00:23:02 ◼   ► - Yeah, probably.

00:23:03 ◼   ► - Yeah, I think so.

00:23:04 ◼   ► But the colors look good.

00:23:06 ◼   ► The black and blue in particular look very good to my eyes.

00:23:09 ◼   ► I can see why one would like the green.

00:23:11 ◼   ► It's a little bit on the bluey, turquoisey side,

00:23:14 ◼   ► just a touch, but it's, I mean,

00:23:15 ◼   ► actually all of them look pretty good.

00:23:17 ◼   ► - They are more saturated than all,

00:23:18 ◼   ► but they seem kind of pale, still a little bit pale to me.

00:23:22 ◼   ► And I kind of miss, my daughter's got the purple phone.

00:23:24 ◼   ► I think that's more fun.

00:23:25 ◼   ► There's no yellow, there's no red, but you know,

00:23:27 ◼   ► at least, like you said,

00:23:29 ◼   ► at least the black is black and the white is white.

00:23:30 ◼   ► Like those seem to be more solid and saturated.

00:23:33 ◼   ► And you know, anyway, not a great color year,

00:23:36 ◼   ► but not the worst.

00:23:37 ◼   ► But that's of course the 16 and the 16 Plus,

00:23:40 ◼   ► the phones for people who like colors.

00:23:42 ◼   ► - Mm-hmm, but if you are a professional,

00:23:44 ◼   ► you don't like color. - No.

00:23:46 ◼   ► - You still will not like color this September

00:23:48 ◼   ► because according to 95 Mac,

00:23:51 ◼   ► your choices are natural titanium, which is what I chose

00:23:54 ◼   ► and actually does look really good,

00:23:55 ◼   ► but that's neither here nor there.

00:23:56 ◼   ► You get natural titanium, rose titanium,

00:23:58 ◼   ► white titanium or black titanium.

00:24:01 ◼   ► Now in the defense of these colors,

00:24:03 ◼   ► I do genuinely think, and I am biased,

00:24:05 ◼   ► that natural looks really damn good.

00:24:07 ◼   ► And this black is freaking black.

00:24:09 ◼   ► Like this is a mighty black, black titanium,

00:24:12 ◼   ► but still can we not have fun colors on professional devices?

00:24:15 ◼   ► - Yeah, not very colorful.

00:24:17 ◼   ► Like I do like the black and white

00:24:18 ◼   ► and I do like the natural titanium

00:24:20 ◼   ► and the rose one presumably is red tinted.

00:24:22 ◼   ► We don't have like a picture of that,

00:24:23 ◼   ► but that's not really colors.

00:24:26 ◼   ► It's just shades of gray.

00:24:28 ◼   ► And a nice set of shades of gray

00:24:29 ◼   ► and one of the shades of gray has a tint of color in it.

00:24:32 ◼   ► But that's it. - Mm-hmm.

00:24:33 ◼   ► - I mean, just like all the pro phones

00:24:35 ◼   ► that pretty much have ever existed,

00:24:37 ◼   ► it's like, well, you can have very light gray,

00:24:39 ◼   ► which they call white, very dark gray,

00:24:41 ◼   ► which they call some form of black or space or whatever.

00:24:44 ◼   ► Then you can have maybe a medium gray

00:24:47 ◼   ► that has a color whiffed by it, but it's not,

00:24:50 ◼   ► it's basically like, and this year was even,

00:24:52 ◼   ► this year was like comically bad, but the 15 Pro line,

00:24:55 ◼   ► like now we have like four different shades of gray

00:24:57 ◼   ► and then a blue gray. (laughs)

00:24:59 ◼   ► - Yeah, I mean, people put cases on most time anyway,

00:25:01 ◼   ► it's not a big deal,

00:25:01 ◼   ► though like I said on my daughter's phone,

00:25:03 ◼   ► she has a purple 12 that she had a clear case on

00:25:07 ◼   ► and we recently got a new clear case

00:25:09 ◼   ► to replace the old yellowed one.

00:25:11 ◼   ► Looks really good in a clear case.

00:25:12 ◼   ► Clear cases do show off the color of the phone.

00:25:14 ◼   ► You know, it's like that purple is a great color.

00:25:16 ◼   ► She's gonna be sad when eventually

00:25:18 ◼   ► she has to replace that phone and her choice.

00:25:20 ◼   ► If she had to pick from these colors,

00:25:22 ◼   ► I don't know what she would do.

00:25:23 ◼   ► I mean, maybe she would like the pink or the pale green,

00:25:25 ◼   ► but that purple was great, I miss it.

00:25:28 ◼   ► - I wonder like if, I mean, this is wish casting

00:25:30 ◼   ► more than actual prediction, but I wonder if,

00:25:34 ◼   ► assuming that the iPhone slim rumor actually

00:25:37 ◼   ► has something behind it for next year,

00:25:39 ◼   ► I wonder if they would take advantage of the likelihood

00:25:42 ◼   ► that like I think slim owners might be less likely

00:25:45 ◼   ► to use cases than everyone else,

00:25:47 ◼   ► just 'cause they would wanna like kinda show off

00:25:49 ◼   ► the slimness of it.

00:25:50 ◼   ► Maybe it wouldn't need a case as much

00:25:52 ◼   ► because it would be much lighter, who knows.

00:25:54 ◼   ► Or maybe people would use more clear cases

00:25:56 ◼   ► to help show it off, you know.

00:25:57 ◼   ► But I wonder if they would take the opportunity

00:25:58 ◼   ► to maybe have some more desirable or more flashy colors

00:26:03 ◼   ► in the slim line, we'll see.

00:26:06 ◼   ► - Well, I guess that last week,

00:26:07 ◼   ► if it is going to be the most expensive phone,

00:26:09 ◼   ► that means no colors.

00:26:10 ◼   ► - That's true, I guess, yeah, following their trend,

00:26:12 ◼   ► like the less expensive phones have the most color,

00:26:15 ◼   ► the pros have only many shades of gray.

00:26:18 ◼   ► So I guess maybe the slim would only come

00:26:21 ◼   ► in like just an average, you know, 50% gray shade.

00:26:23 ◼   ► Like that's it, just the most average color

00:26:26 ◼   ► that is no color.

00:26:27 ◼   ► - Yeah, I mean ultimately the pro phones

00:26:29 ◼   ► have about as much color in them

00:26:31 ◼   ► as my martinis have removed.

00:26:32 ◼   ► You just wave it nearby and call it a day.

00:26:34 ◼   ► All right, CrowdStrike, we're there.

00:26:37 ◼   ► So we have a lot of feedback about CrowdStrike

00:26:39 ◼   ► from various anonymous peoples.

00:26:41 ◼   ► And I will read at least a little bit of one.

00:26:45 ◼   ► One anonymous person writes,

00:26:47 ◼   ► "I am not a lawyer, but I have quite a bit of experience

00:26:50 ◼   ► in negotiating and then enforcing software agreements

00:26:52 ◼   ► between security vendors like CrowdStrike

00:26:53 ◼   ► and large organizations.

00:26:55 ◼   ► I can say definitively the type of click-through EULA

00:26:58 ◼   ► or end user license agreement individuals are subject to

00:27:01 ◼   ► are not in play when multinational giants do deals.

00:27:04 ◼   ► Each contract is spoke with vendors and customers

00:27:07 ◼   ► going back and forth over months

00:27:08 ◼   ► before inking deals lasting multiple years

00:27:10 ◼   ► and millions of dollars.

00:27:11 ◼   ► So any CrowdStrike lawsuits won't add or subtract

00:27:14 ◼   ► to case law about EULAs.

00:27:16 ◼   ► CrowdStrike Falcon isn't something they sell to just anyone

00:27:18 ◼   ► and for sure not to individuals

00:27:20 ◼   ► who would click through a one-sided EULA.

00:27:22 ◼   ► The final contracts between giants always have clauses

00:27:25 ◼   ► about things like software development life cycles,

00:27:27 ◼   ► supply chain management, security practices

00:27:29 ◼   ► and service level agreements.

00:27:30 ◼   ► It's very common to see these phrases like quote,

00:27:32 ◼   ► "Reasonable efforts" quote,

00:27:33 ◼   ► and quote, "Consistent with industry best practices" quote

00:27:36 ◼   ► scattered around.

00:27:38 ◼   ► One of the deals are in, excuse me,

00:27:39 ◼   ► once the deals are in place,

00:27:40 ◼   ► there are often squabbles

00:27:42 ◼   ► about what reasonable efforts look like,

00:27:43 ◼   ► but customers generally win

00:27:45 ◼   ► because vendors want to keep customers happy

00:27:47 ◼   ► and have a hope of renewal.

00:27:48 ◼   ► It's rare for disputes to see the inside of a courtroom

00:27:50 ◼   ► since litigation is so expensive.

00:27:52 ◼   ► Most of the time,

00:27:53 ◼   ► if a vendor isn't meeting their obligations

00:27:54 ◼   ► under the contract and shows no sign of improving,

00:27:57 ◼   ► it's much cheaper to just migrate to a different vendor,

00:27:59 ◼   ► providing similar capabilities

00:28:00 ◼   ► and then bad mouth them to your entire security network.

00:28:03 ◼   ► I guess that's the equivalent of a one star, huh?

00:28:05 ◼   ► This is not a typical outage

00:28:06 ◼   ► and there will be tons of litigation,

00:28:08 ◼   ► both by customers directly

00:28:09 ◼   ► and by their cybersecurity insurance underwriters,

00:28:11 ◼   ► today I learned that's a thing,

00:28:13 ◼   ► seeking to recover damages.

00:28:14 ◼   ► CrowdStrike clearly fell down

00:28:16 ◼   ► on the reasonable efforts part of many clauses

00:28:18 ◼   ► around their development and release practices,

00:28:21 ◼   ► so there's a pretty strong case.

00:28:23 ◼   ► - Yeah, I remember from my jobby job,

00:28:24 ◼   ► we had a contract that basically said

00:28:27 ◼   ► that sort of the downtime stuff of like,

00:28:29 ◼   ► hey, I'm paying for you to do the service

00:28:32 ◼   ► and you're like a web based company,

00:28:33 ◼   ► but what if your site goes down?

00:28:35 ◼   ► That hurts my business.

00:28:36 ◼   ► What's the deal there?

00:28:37 ◼   ► And the deal was basically like,

00:28:39 ◼   ► okay, we guarantee X amount of uptime per unit

00:28:44 ◼   ► for a month, a week or whatever,

00:28:46 ◼   ► and if we fall below the amount that we guarantee,

00:28:48 ◼   ► we start paying you money for every minute that we're down

00:28:52 ◼   ► and it's just the negotiation,

00:28:54 ◼   ► just saying like, okay, well,

00:28:55 ◼   ► how many hours per month do we need to be up?

00:28:58 ◼   ► Like you can have one hour of downtime a month,

00:29:01 ◼   ► five minutes of downtime a month,

00:29:03 ◼   ► and how much do we have to pay

00:29:04 ◼   ► for every minute that we're down after that?

00:29:06 ◼   ► And that is clarifying to all involved,

00:29:08 ◼   ► both to the engineers who are running the sites

00:29:10 ◼   ► and also to the organization

00:29:12 ◼   ► to try to have quality control

00:29:13 ◼   ► and very often we would come close to,

00:29:15 ◼   ► I forget what the phrase was,

00:29:17 ◼   ► we would come close to our threshold

00:29:18 ◼   ► of the downtime for a month for a particular client

00:29:21 ◼   ► or a particular contract or all of our contracts or whatever

00:29:23 ◼   ► and you have the classic change freeze,

00:29:26 ◼   ► which is like, you know what,

00:29:27 ◼   ► let's just wait for the next two days to run out

00:29:28 ◼   ► so we can clear the end of the month and reset the clock

00:29:31 ◼   ► on the service level agreement, right?

00:29:33 ◼   ► And that's one way to do it,

00:29:34 ◼   ► but this type of thing is like,

00:29:37 ◼   ► in case of catastrophic failure like CrowdStrike,

00:29:40 ◼   ► what is the remedy there?

00:29:42 ◼   ► What was written into the contract?

00:29:43 ◼   ► What contracts did people agree to?

00:29:45 ◼   ► Does CrowdStrike have the same contract

00:29:47 ◼   ► with every single person that it sells to?

00:29:49 ◼   ► Probably not, so this is gonna be quite a mess.

00:29:52 ◼   ► - Yep, Marius writes,

00:29:54 ◼   ► the update was not released by timezone,

00:29:57 ◼   ► it was released globally at the same time.

00:29:59 ◼   ► I thought that's what we said last episode,

00:30:00 ◼   ► but I guess not. - No,

00:30:01 ◼   ► we were thinking that people in New Zealand

00:30:03 ◼   ► were noticing it first,

00:30:03 ◼   ► so my assumption at the time

00:30:05 ◼   ► was that it was released by timezone.

00:30:07 ◼   ► So one part of the world got it first

00:30:09 ◼   ► and then slowly as it went across timezones,

00:30:11 ◼   ► but according to Marius, that is not the case.

00:30:13 ◼   ► - Marius continues, the update propagation

00:30:15 ◼   ► took a few minutes to almost all their customers.

00:30:17 ◼   ► The source of this is the Risky Business Podcast,

00:30:19 ◼   ► episode 756, which we will link in the show notes.

00:30:22 ◼   ► But anyways, Marius writes,

00:30:24 ◼   ► I'm not sure why Australia and New Zealand reacted first.

00:30:26 ◼   ► Maybe it was during their afternoon,

00:30:27 ◼   ► but all the customers were affected at the same time.

00:30:30 ◼   ► - Yeah, this seems even more bonkers to me.

00:30:32 ◼   ► (laughs)

00:30:33 ◼   ► - Yeah, I feel like,

00:30:35 ◼   ► maybe we didn't say this on the show,

00:30:36 ◼   ► but I feel like we knew this even last week.

00:30:39 ◼   ► - I didn't know it, so that's why I put it in there.

00:30:40 ◼   ► But anyway, we have a source for it

00:30:41 ◼   ► from the Risky Business Podcast.

00:30:43 ◼   ► You can listen to the podcast inside,

00:30:44 ◼   ► but that's, you know, I believe it.

00:30:46 ◼   ► - All right, so another anonymous person writes,

00:30:48 ◼   ► a phased rollout approach for CrowdStrike updates

00:30:50 ◼   ► has its risks unique to the nature of CrowdStrike's product,

00:30:54 ◼   ► that bad actors will obtain the early rollout update

00:30:56 ◼   ► and through reverse engineering,

00:30:58 ◼   ► obtain information about ongoing attacks or vulnerabilities

00:31:00 ◼   ► and take that information and use it to attack

00:31:02 ◼   ► un-updated CrowdStrike customers and also everyone else.

00:31:05 ◼   ► CrowdStrike does a great deal of research

00:31:07 ◼   ► on the most sophisticated threat actors in the world.

00:31:09 ◼   ► They take that research funded by customers

00:31:11 ◼   ► who are at extremely high risk,

00:31:13 ◼   ► you know, government, news organizations, finance, et cetera,

00:31:16 ◼   ► and funnel the results into the Falcon sensor product.

00:31:18 ◼   ► The exploits used to get the malicious code running

00:31:21 ◼   ► are captured and sent back to the CrowdStrike mothership.

00:31:24 ◼   ► It's a virtuous cycle.

00:31:25 ◼   ► That cycle is disrupted if CrowdStrike

00:31:27 ◼   ► cannot respond to new threats in unison.

00:31:29 ◼   ► By not having patches shoved down to all high risk customers,

00:31:32 ◼   ► blog posts with data signatures, sample binaries,

00:31:34 ◼   ► ready for the entire industry,

00:31:36 ◼   ► then CrowdStrike expands access to really bad vulnerabilities

00:31:40 ◼   ► to everyone who wants them.

00:31:42 ◼   ► All a bad actor needs to do

00:31:43 ◼   ► is have a bunch of different CrowdStrike subscription accounts

00:31:45 ◼   ► on a bunch of different machines

00:31:46 ◼   ► and monitor those machines for updates.

00:31:48 ◼   ► If you get lucky and get selected

00:31:49 ◼   ► for an early update program, analyze the update.

00:31:51 ◼   ► I get that.

00:31:52 ◼   ► - Yeah, this is an argument against the phased rollout,

00:31:55 ◼   ► but I feel like that maybe we weren't specific enough

00:31:58 ◼   ► for this, phased rollout doesn't have to mean

00:32:00 ◼   ► like how Apple does it or some companies do it

00:32:01 ◼   ► where you release to like 1% on the first day

00:32:04 ◼   ► and 10% on the second day and whatever.

00:32:06 ◼   ► Phased rollout can be over the course of 30 minutes

00:32:08 ◼   ► for the globe, right?

00:32:10 ◼   ► It doesn't have to be, or an hour or whatever it is.

00:32:12 ◼   ► Whatever window is too small for someone to get your update,

00:32:16 ◼   ► analyze your binary, figure out the exploit like this,

00:32:19 ◼   ► you're racing against that.

00:32:20 ◼   ► How fast can they figure that?

00:32:21 ◼   ► If they can figure that out in 10 seconds,

00:32:23 ◼   ► then yeah, phased rollout is difficult.

00:32:24 ◼   ► But honestly, any kind of phased rollout,

00:32:27 ◼   ► even if it's 10 second gaps between time zones, right,

00:32:30 ◼   ► and you just do 24 time zones or whatever,

00:32:33 ◼   ► even if it's just like any,

00:32:35 ◼   ► I know from experience, like when you're monitoring

00:32:37 ◼   ► during a release and something goes wrong,

00:32:40 ◼   ► especially something this catastrophic,

00:32:42 ◼   ► everything lights up within seconds.

00:32:44 ◼   ► You don't have to wait for a long time, right?

00:32:47 ◼   ► Phones start ringing, emails start coming,

00:32:50 ◼   ► alerts start turning red on the board, like things happen.

00:32:53 ◼   ► It's not, you know, this is what you're looking for

00:32:55 ◼   ► and rolling out with a 30 second gap between time zones,

00:33:00 ◼   ► you'll know four time zones in that this is catastrophic

00:33:03 ◼   ► and you pull the big stop everything thing.

00:33:06 ◼   ► And you can say, well, you stopped everything,

00:33:07 ◼   ► now they learned about your exploits.

00:33:08 ◼   ► Like it's better than bricking all of your customers

00:33:11 ◼   ► like CrowdStrike did.

00:33:12 ◼   ► So I still think that a phased rollout

00:33:15 ◼   ► is exactly what CrowdStrike should be doing.

00:33:17 ◼   ► I can't tell them exactly what those phases should be

00:33:19 ◼   ► and how long the gap should be

00:33:21 ◼   ► and what the risk is or whatever,

00:33:22 ◼   ► but all at once the entire world

00:33:24 ◼   ► is a capability they should have in cases of emergencies,

00:33:27 ◼   ► but should not be their standard practice.

00:33:29 ◼   ► That's just my opinion.

00:33:30 ◼   ► - No, I completely agree.

00:33:31 ◼   ► - Well, and it also seems like they didn't even have

00:33:33 ◼   ► like a staging environment.

00:33:36 ◼   ► Like before you roll out to anybody public,

00:33:38 ◼   ► why don't you try rolling out to some test servers

00:33:40 ◼   ► or some test clients?

00:33:42 ◼   ► - Yeah, no, obviously their QA process

00:33:44 ◼   ► all fell down or whatever.

00:33:45 ◼   ► I'm just saying like this, as with all security things,

00:33:47 ◼   ► it's a multi-level thing.

00:33:48 ◼   ► You have staging environments, you have test customers,

00:33:51 ◼   ► you have a QA plan, you have automated testing,

00:33:53 ◼   ► you have validation, you have people signing off

00:33:55 ◼   ► and you have a phased rollout.

00:33:57 ◼   ► Those are many different layers of trying to make it

00:33:59 ◼   ► so you don't screw something up, right?

00:34:01 ◼   ► And yeah, they fell down lots of ways.

00:34:03 ◼   ► I mean, you look at their analysis, like clearly,

00:34:06 ◼   ► hey, you pushed out a thing that didn't work.

00:34:07 ◼   ► That's a thing that you could have determined

00:34:08 ◼   ► before you pushed it out.

00:34:09 ◼   ► That is obviously what we're wrong here.

00:34:11 ◼   ► But like, we're always looking at like the very last thing.

00:34:13 ◼   ► Like the last line of defense is if it gets past

00:34:16 ◼   ► all your other systems and you messed up your QA

00:34:18 ◼   ► and all that other stuff, your last line of defense is

00:34:21 ◼   ► watch as you roll it out and see if you're hosing customers

00:34:24 ◼   ► as it goes up.

00:34:25 ◼   ► - Another anonymous person writes,

00:34:27 ◼   ► "CrowdStrike's driver is not the NVIDIA driver."

00:34:30 ◼   ► I'm sorry, I should give some context here.

00:34:31 ◼   ► This is with regard to how do you disable

00:34:33 ◼   ► a crashing kernel extension?

00:34:34 ◼   ► So back to anonymous.

00:34:36 ◼   ► "CrowdStrike's driver is not the NVIDIA driver.

00:34:38 ◼   ► If the NVIDIA driver keeps crashing, sure,

00:34:39 ◼   ► unload it and continue to boot.

00:34:41 ◼   ► But not the cybersecurity driver.

00:34:42 ◼   ► I imagine every IT admin's head exploded

00:34:46 ◼   ► upon reading Tom Warren's quote unquote brilliant idea

00:34:48 ◼   ► to just unload endpoint protection

00:34:51 ◼   ► if it crashes enough times in a row.

00:34:52 ◼   ► That machine not booting is a much better outcome

00:34:54 ◼   ► than flying blind with my entire organization on the line."

00:34:57 ◼   ► That's very much the vibe of a security professional,

00:35:00 ◼   ► but I do understand what they're saying.

00:35:02 ◼   ► - But yeah, I mean, you still,

00:35:04 ◼   ► we're talking about what can Microsoft do?

00:35:06 ◼   ► Microsoft isn't responsible for CrowdStrike's thing,

00:35:09 ◼   ► but they make the OS,

00:35:10 ◼   ► and the OS could be resilient against failure by,

00:35:13 ◼   ► if something keeps crashing on load,

00:35:15 ◼   ► don't load that thing next time.

00:35:17 ◼   ► But it doesn't mean silently don't load that thing.

00:35:20 ◼   ► It could immediately send out some kind of alert

00:35:23 ◼   ► through some kind of Windows thing to say,

00:35:24 ◼   ► "Hey, I just booted into safe mode

00:35:28 ◼   ► because this thing kept crashing."

00:35:29 ◼   ► And that should light up somebody's board somewhere anyway.

00:35:31 ◼   ► So you don't have to,

00:35:33 ◼   ► this doesn't have to imagine that the worst case scenario

00:35:35 ◼   ► of like it silently doesn't load your endpoint protection

00:35:37 ◼   ► and you're running unprotected for months at a time

00:35:39 ◼   ► because you don't realize,

00:35:40 ◼   ► like a smart implementation of this feature

00:35:43 ◼   ► would light up people's boards in the knock

00:35:46 ◼   ► just like any other thing would.

00:35:49 ◼   ► It's just that your machine wouldn't be down, right?

00:35:51 ◼   ► Maybe it would just be booted into safe mode

00:35:53 ◼   ► where it doesn't actually load anything,

00:35:54 ◼   ► but it just says, "I'm sitting here waiting for you

00:35:55 ◼   ► to update me because I couldn't boot all the way."

00:35:57 ◼   ► And that is, for some people,

00:35:59 ◼   ► preferable to it not booting at all.

00:36:01 ◼   ► And on that topic is the next item.

00:36:03 ◼   ► - Right, so what happens if you need to recover

00:36:05 ◼   ► an unbootable Windows machine?

00:36:07 ◼   ► Enterprise Windows machines often have

00:36:08 ◼   ► lights-out management technology.

00:36:11 ◼   ► An IT department can reach out

00:36:12 ◼   ► and touch Windows clients from anywhere.

00:36:14 ◼   ► Just pull up the ILO, integrated lights-out,

00:36:16 ◼   ► management product you use

00:36:17 ◼   ► and remote into your non-functioning client.

00:36:20 ◼   ► You can push out an EFI application

00:36:22 ◼   ► that boots the machine, decrypts the disk

00:36:23 ◼   ► with the boot locker key,

00:36:24 ◼   ► deletes the bad CrowdStrike update and reboots the host.

00:36:27 ◼   ► You can script Windows itself,

00:36:28 ◼   ► have your Windows clients boot into safe mode,

00:36:30 ◼   ► log in, delete the bad file and reboot.

00:36:31 ◼   ► All via integrated lights-out.

00:36:33 ◼   ► - Yeah, that is a cool feature that you can have,

00:36:35 ◼   ► which is essentially like,

00:36:36 ◼   ► when they say pushing an EFI application,

00:36:38 ◼   ► that's like the firmware.

00:36:39 ◼   ► That's like before the OS boots.

00:36:40 ◼   ► It's just the firmware that's bringing up the computer

00:36:42 ◼   ► before it even starts loading an OS from a volume somewhere.

00:36:45 ◼   ► So if you have the ability to sort of

00:36:48 ◼   ► remotely push something, push out an EFI application,

00:36:51 ◼   ► you can get that part of the machine up and running,

00:36:54 ◼   ► get the EFI program to run,

00:36:56 ◼   ► and as they said, decrypt the disk and do the video.

00:36:58 ◼   ► That is complicated and invasive,

00:37:00 ◼   ► but the thing is, not everybody has that.

00:37:01 ◼   ► Yes, maybe it's industry best practice,

00:37:03 ◼   ► but as I think we're learning the Delta lawsuit,

00:37:05 ◼   ► even big companies sometimes don't follow

00:37:07 ◼   ► industry best practices that are up to date

00:37:09 ◼   ► within the current decade.

00:37:10 ◼   ► That was what Microsoft's big slam on Delta was.

00:37:12 ◼   ► They said, you know,

00:37:13 ◼   ► because Delta's yelling at Microsoft,

00:37:14 ◼   ► and Microsoft was like,

00:37:16 ◼   ► Delta, unlike some of its competitors,

00:37:17 ◼   ► has not updated its IT infrastructure.

00:37:19 ◼   ► I think something, I'm paraphrasing what they said,

00:37:21 ◼   ► but yeah, best practices may provide a solution

00:37:24 ◼   ► to a non-booting machine,

00:37:25 ◼   ► but they're not ubiquitous,

00:37:26 ◼   ► and even just reading this description,

00:37:28 ◼   ► it seems fairly sophisticated and complicated,

00:37:30 ◼   ► so I would imagine there are a lot of companies

00:37:32 ◼   ► that don't have that capability,

00:37:34 ◼   ► even though they technically could.

00:37:36 ◼   ► - And then finally, with regard to CrowdStrike,

00:37:37 ◼   ► Michael Cook writes,

00:37:39 ◼   ► "Do you think there is any chance the CrowdStrike incident

00:37:41 ◼   ► "will lead to requirements for heterogeneous systems

00:37:43 ◼   ► "in companies, either in OSs or security software,

00:37:46 ◼   ► "to try to prevent future incidents

00:37:47 ◼   ► "from taking out all systems at once,

00:37:49 ◼   ► "or would it be judged too risky/expensive for the benefit?"

00:37:52 ◼   ► I am not the most recent actually employed person,

00:37:56 ◼   ► that would be John,

00:37:57 ◼   ► but to my eyes, knowing IT folks to the degree that I do,

00:38:02 ◼   ► I feel like this is a perfectly reasonable question,

00:38:05 ◼   ► but I think most IT security professionals

00:38:09 ◼   ► that I've ever worked with emphasize simplicity

00:38:12 ◼   ► more than anything else,

00:38:13 ◼   ► and making their jobs and lives simpler.

00:38:15 ◼   ► So yes, what Michael's saying makes sense,

00:38:18 ◼   ► like if you have a bunch of Macs

00:38:19 ◼   ► as well as Windows computers,

00:38:20 ◼   ► and if you have CrowdStrike

00:38:21 ◼   ► as well as one of their competitors,

00:38:22 ◼   ► that does cover this base

00:38:25 ◼   ► so that if CrowdStrike breaks everything Windows,

00:38:28 ◼   ► you either have Macs that you can use

00:38:30 ◼   ► or something that's not on CrowdStrike,

00:38:32 ◼   ► but I just don't see that juice being worth the squeeze

00:38:34 ◼   ► from the perspective of IT folks.

00:38:36 ◼   ► - Yeah, so there's two kinds of heterogeneity here.

00:38:38 ◼   ► One is across the industry,

00:38:41 ◼   ► and I think we kind of have that,

00:38:42 ◼   ► like this affected like 1% of Windows machines,

00:38:46 ◼   ► which there's obviously not some,

00:38:49 ◼   ► CrowdStrike was not a 99% of machines, right?

00:38:51 ◼   ► So I think across different companies

00:38:54 ◼   ► across the entire world,

00:38:55 ◼   ► there's enough heterogeneity

00:38:57 ◼   ► that not everybody is running CrowdStrike.

00:38:59 ◼   ► Maybe they're running one of CrowdStrike's competitors,

00:39:00 ◼   ► maybe they're running nothing at all.

00:39:02 ◼   ► So I think we have that.

00:39:03 ◼   ► Within a given company, like should Delta Airlines

00:39:06 ◼   ► not use CrowdStrike on all their machines?

00:39:08 ◼   ► No IT person wants to do that, right?

00:39:10 ◼   ► They really want a unified solution

00:39:13 ◼   ► because running something CrowdStrike

00:39:15 ◼   ► plus a CrowdStrike competitor on half your machines,

00:39:18 ◼   ► now you have two places where things can go wrong, right?

00:39:20 ◼   ► And also, it's not like the company

00:39:22 ◼   ► can keep running successfully

00:39:23 ◼   ► if only half of its computers are affected, right?

00:39:26 ◼   ► You know, 100%, half, any significant percentage,

00:39:29 ◼   ► even just a few in key areas is bad.

00:39:32 ◼   ► And I think in general, people don't want to,

00:39:35 ◼   ► which is why like why CrowdStrike is available

00:39:37 ◼   ► for Mac and Linux and everything too.

00:39:38 ◼   ► They don't want to have seven different

00:39:40 ◼   ► endpoint protection solutions deployed in their company.

00:39:43 ◼   ► It's a hassle to manage,

00:39:44 ◼   ► it's difficult to keep up with all those different things.

00:39:47 ◼   ► You have to sign seven different contracts,

00:39:49 ◼   ► and now your user base slash machine base

00:39:52 ◼   ► are divided into sevenths,

00:39:54 ◼   ► all of which can fail for different reasons.

00:39:56 ◼   ► I don't think this will change much.

00:39:58 ◼   ► It may make vendors consider,

00:40:01 ◼   ► make companies consider other vendors

00:40:03 ◼   ► than CrowdStrike, obviously,

00:40:04 ◼   ► and the contact renegotiations for CrowdStrike

00:40:07 ◼   ► will probably be very interesting

00:40:08 ◼   ► in the coming year for the company.

00:40:10 ◼   ► - If the company still exists in a year.

00:40:13 ◼   ► - But I think that,

00:40:15 ◼   ► I think that actually the world of computing

00:40:19 ◼   ► showed some resilience given that this company

00:40:22 ◼   ► and this update was just as catastrophic

00:40:23 ◼   ► as you can imagine it,

00:40:24 ◼   ► and it was only like a story for a week

00:40:26 ◼   ► and only affected 1% of Windows PCs.

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00:42:29 ◼   ► - There's been a whole kerfuffle as we record this today

00:42:36 ◼   ► about macOS Sequoia.

00:42:39 ◼   ► And it apparently has added a weekly permission prompt

00:42:43 ◼   ► for anything, any app that takes a screenshot

00:42:46 ◼   ► or does a screen recording or anything along those lines.

00:42:48 ◼   ► So reading from 9to5Mac,

00:42:51 ◼   ► with macOS Sequoia this fall,

00:42:52 ◼   ► using apps that need access to screen recording permissions

00:42:55 ◼   ► will become a little bit more tedious.

00:42:56 ◼   ► Apple's rolling out a change that will require you

00:42:57 ◼   ► to give explicit permission on a weekly basis.

00:43:01 ◼   ► And every time you reboot your Mac,

00:43:04 ◼   ► multiple developers who spoke to 9to5Mac

00:43:06 ◼   ► say they've received confirmation from Apple

00:43:07 ◼   ► that this is not a bug.

00:43:08 ◼   ► In the current macOS Sequoia beta, this prompt says,

00:43:11 ◼   ► whatever the name of the app is,

00:43:13 ◼   ► can access this computer screen and audio.

00:43:14 ◼   ► Do you want to continue to allow this access?

00:43:16 ◼   ► This application may be able to collect information

00:43:18 ◼   ► from any open applications on your desktop

00:43:19 ◼   ► while the app is running.

00:43:21 ◼   ► Users can choose to continue to allow that app

00:43:24 ◼   ► to have screen recording access

00:43:25 ◼   ► where they can click open system settings

00:43:27 ◼   ► and immediately be taken to the preferences pane

00:43:29 ◼   ► for screen recording permissions.

00:43:30 ◼   ► This prompt is designed to appear on a weekly basis.

00:43:35 ◼   ► This has made a lot of people, justifiably,

00:43:38 ◼   ► very, very, very upset.

00:43:40 ◼   ► And Jason Snell did the Lord's work.

00:43:42 ◼   ► He did the thing that nobody wants to do.

00:43:46 ◼   ► He filed a feedback.

00:43:47 ◼   ► - Oh no.

00:43:48 ◼   ► - I know.

00:43:49 ◼   ► Which generally speaking is an entire waste of time

00:43:52 ◼   ► for anyone outside of Apple, but here we are.

00:43:54 ◼   ► Jason filed a feedback number 14689927,

00:43:58 ◼   ► asking for one week permissions is untenable and insulting,

00:44:01 ◼   ► which Jon then duped as feedback 14698922.

00:44:04 ◼   ► We'll put links in the show notes.

00:44:06 ◼   ► And then, or I guess the numbers in the show notes,

00:44:08 ◼   ► I should say.

00:44:09 ◼   ► And then finally, Jason was so fired up

00:44:11 ◼   ► and my favorite Jason is Salty Jason,

00:44:13 ◼   ► was so fired up that he wrote an entire post

00:44:15 ◼   ► about all these features

00:44:16 ◼   ► because it's basically the Windows Vista-ing of Mac OS.

00:44:20 ◼   ► And it's gotten bad.

00:44:22 ◼   ► It's gotten real bad.

00:44:23 ◼   ► But before we discuss it, the rest of the news

00:44:26 ◼   ► with regard to this is a dear friend of the show,

00:44:28 ◼   ► Craig Hockenberry, came up with a possible solution.

00:44:32 ◼   ► There's a new API, or I guess a new entitlement really.

00:44:35 ◼   ► - It's an entitlement, yeah.

00:44:36 ◼   ► - Com.developer.

00:44:38 ◼   ► Excuse me, com.apple.developer.persistent-content.

00:44:41 ◼   ► -capture.

00:44:42 ◼   ► This is an entitlement for persistent content capture.

00:44:45 ◼   ► Craig writes, "The issue here is that Apple's provided

00:44:47 ◼   ► "no documentation."

00:44:48 ◼   ► Imagine that.

00:44:50 ◼   ► Or any other guidance on how to get this entitlement

00:44:52 ◼   ► to prevent an app from becoming NagWare.

00:44:55 ◼   ► In the defense of Apple,

00:44:55 ◼   ► they've actually gotten much, much better

00:44:57 ◼   ► with their documentation,

00:44:58 ◼   ► but I feel triggered whenever I see something like this.

00:45:01 ◼   ► - Yeah, click through on the page.

00:45:02 ◼   ► That's why, the thing I quoted there,

00:45:03 ◼   ► persistent content capture,

00:45:04 ◼   ► that is the extent of the documentation

00:45:06 ◼   ► of what this entitlement is for or does

00:45:08 ◼   ► or anything about that.

00:45:09 ◼   ► - Well, is it no overview provided or something like that?

00:45:11 ◼   ► - I forget what it is.

00:45:12 ◼   ► - No, it's not that bad, but you can click on the link.

00:45:13 ◼   ► Take a look at the page for this.

00:45:14 ◼   ► It's not particularly informative.

00:45:16 ◼   ► So on this whole topic,

00:45:17 ◼   ► just to give a brief review for people

00:45:19 ◼   ► who are less familiar with this

00:45:21 ◼   ► or just familiar with it from the perspective of an end user

00:45:23 ◼   ► being annoyed by these dialog boxes,

00:45:25 ◼   ► the thinking behind stuff like this,

00:45:28 ◼   ► and it happens on iOS with a different system as well,

00:45:30 ◼   ► is Apple's trying to prevent the case

00:45:33 ◼   ► where someone gets an application,

00:45:36 ◼   ► and that application asks for some very

00:45:38 ◼   ► potentially invasive permissions,

00:45:40 ◼   ► screen recording permission is a great one,

00:45:42 ◼   ► because that's like you're allowing this thing

00:45:43 ◼   ► to record your screen,

00:45:44 ◼   ► and you can imagine all the things

00:45:46 ◼   ► an evil application could do with that ability.

00:45:48 ◼   ► So they get this application,

00:45:50 ◼   ► and on their initial run up to,

00:45:51 ◼   ► they were highly motivated to get it

00:45:53 ◼   ► because it seemed like some cool game or thing or whatever,

00:45:55 ◼   ► and they're like, yeah, yeah, yeah, whatever, whatever.

00:45:57 ◼   ► The prompts come up, they're like, allow, allow, go, go,

00:46:00 ◼   ► and they wanna play the thing,

00:46:00 ◼   ► and they're like, do it,

00:46:01 ◼   ► and then they find out it's a scam app or it's stupid

00:46:03 ◼   ► or they don't like it, or they're just like,

00:46:04 ◼   ► all right, they leave it and don't think about it again.

00:46:06 ◼   ► But unbeknownst to them,

00:46:08 ◼   ► they gave that permission, that app,

00:46:10 ◼   ► screen recording permission,

00:46:12 ◼   ► and on the Mac, maybe it installed a background agent

00:46:14 ◼   ► that they also said, yeah, allow, fine, or whatever.

00:46:16 ◼   ► Now there's this thing that's on their computer

00:46:18 ◼   ► that has the ability to record their screen,

00:46:20 ◼   ► and they completely forget about it.

00:46:21 ◼   ► And so what Apple's trying to do is every once in a while

00:46:23 ◼   ► and go, hey, I know maybe you forgot about this,

00:46:26 ◼   ► but a while ago, you said that this app

00:46:29 ◼   ► could do this extremely invasive thing.

00:46:31 ◼   ► Do you still want it to be able to do that?

00:46:33 ◼   ► And I think on iOS, it says no,

00:46:34 ◼   ► uninstall the app or whatever.

00:46:36 ◼   ► It's kind of like preventing people from clicking

00:46:39 ◼   ► through something and then forgetting about it.

00:46:41 ◼   ► That's the motivation for features like this.

00:46:43 ◼   ► Why wouldn't they just take my answer and just say,

00:46:45 ◼   ► I told you, it's supposed to be allowed.

00:46:47 ◼   ► Don't bother me about it again.

00:46:48 ◼   ► Because human nature is that people will sometimes

00:46:50 ◼   ► click through those things without reading

00:46:52 ◼   ► and they want to remind you.

00:46:53 ◼   ► The reverse side of that is,

00:46:56 ◼   ► and Apple made fun of this in its famous Windows Vista ad,

00:46:59 ◼   ► the more of these dialogues you throw in someone's face,

00:47:01 ◼   ► the more you are training them to just say,

00:47:03 ◼   ► okay, allow, okay, allow, whatever, okay,

00:47:06 ◼   ► just let me use my computer.

00:47:08 ◼   ► And doing it once a week, plus on every system reboot,

00:47:11 ◼   ► is way, way, way too frequently.

00:47:14 ◼   ► That is annoying people to death.

00:47:16 ◼   ► Not only will that make people click through dialog boxes

00:47:18 ◼   ► and say, okay, okay, okay, they're gonna be so annoyed

00:47:21 ◼   ► and related to our previous topic,

00:47:23 ◼   ► they're probably gonna think it's the developer doing it.

00:47:26 ◼   ► And the developer has no choice

00:47:28 ◼   ► 'cause this is an Apple thing or whatever.

00:47:31 ◼   ► This is way too frequent.

00:47:32 ◼   ► I just, I can't even believe that they would think

00:47:34 ◼   ► that this is okay.

00:47:35 ◼   ► And this is on a system, like Jason and I

00:47:37 ◼   ► have been riding this hobby horse for a while.

00:47:39 ◼   ► On the Mac, where in recent years,

00:47:41 ◼   ► they've been getting worse and worse

00:47:42 ◼   ► throwing more and more dialogs.

00:47:44 ◼   ► At least when iOS does it,

00:47:45 ◼   ► I don't know what algorithm it uses,

00:47:46 ◼   ► but it's like, just so you know,

00:47:49 ◼   ► Google Maps is allowed to use your location

00:47:51 ◼   ► while on the background.

00:47:52 ◼   ► You want it to keep doing that?

00:47:53 ◼   ► I see stuff like that occasionally,

00:47:55 ◼   ► but it's not every week.

00:47:56 ◼   ► It's not every time I reboot my phone

00:47:58 ◼   ► and it seems to basically take my word for it

00:48:00 ◼   ► after I've said yes to it maybe once or twice.

00:48:03 ◼   ► So it's a balancing act.

00:48:06 ◼   ► That's what the title of Jason's blog post about this is,

00:48:08 ◼   ► that Apple's permissions features are out of balance.

00:48:12 ◼   ► It's not saying that they're good, bad, indifferent.

00:48:15 ◼   ► There's a balance to be struck

00:48:16 ◼   ► between making something secure

00:48:18 ◼   ► while still not annoying people

00:48:21 ◼   ► and also not inducing alert fatigue, approval fatigue.

00:48:26 ◼   ► And they're just way over that line on Mac OS.

00:48:28 ◼   ► And I really hope, that's why I duped the feedback.

00:48:30 ◼   ► Like I wrote my own feedback and I didn't reference this,

00:48:32 ◼   ► but I basically filed the exact same bug.

00:48:34 ◼   ► They said, this thing where you ask every week

00:48:36 ◼   ► and every reboot, it's terrible.

00:48:38 ◼   ► You need a way to allow someone to say,

00:48:41 ◼   ► you know, allow permanently.

00:48:42 ◼   ► And when Jason was really angry about it on Maston,

00:48:45 ◼   ► I was basically saying, and I agree with him,

00:48:47 ◼   ► what you're basically saying Apple,

00:48:48 ◼   ► is that I as a user can never be trusted

00:48:52 ◼   ► to give an application permission

00:48:53 ◼   ► to record my screen permanently.

00:48:55 ◼   ► That's what you're saying to me,

00:48:56 ◼   ► that I am so infantile that I am not a fully,

00:48:59 ◼   ► I cannot never make this,

00:49:00 ◼   ► not that I have to be asked twice, fine.

00:49:02 ◼   ► Ask me twice, ask me are you sure or whatever,

00:49:04 ◼   ► but that at no point will I ever be qualified to say yes.

00:49:08 ◼   ► I swear to you Mac OS,

00:49:09 ◼   ► it is okay for this application to record my screen.

00:49:11 ◼   ► It is my preferred screenshotting application.

00:49:15 ◼   ► I've been using it for years.

00:49:16 ◼   ► I'm saying yes.

00:49:17 ◼   ► What you're saying Apple is you are never going to be able to,

00:49:20 ◼   ► you never are never competent to make that decision.

00:49:23 ◼   ► And that's insulting.

00:49:24 ◼   ► That's insulting your users.

00:49:25 ◼   ► Your users aren't babies.

00:49:26 ◼   ► Like yes, your users are human and fallible or whatever,

00:49:29 ◼   ► but there's a difference between making sure people

00:49:32 ◼   ► are aware of what's going on

00:49:33 ◼   ► and deciding that they are not legally capable,

00:49:36 ◼   ► not mentally capable of ever making that decision.

00:49:39 ◼   ► That's absurd.

00:49:41 ◼   ► - Yeah, it's real bad.

00:49:43 ◼   ► And it's incredibly frustrating when you have a new computer

00:49:47 ◼   ► and at least last time I did an OS upgrade,

00:49:50 ◼   ► it was the same story.

00:49:50 ◼   ► Just okay, I'm finally ready to go.

00:49:53 ◼   ► I'm excited.

00:49:54 ◼   ► - The user's brand new machine is so pretty and beautiful.

00:49:56 ◼   ► Oh, oh, oh yep, yes, that's loud.

00:49:59 ◼   ► Oh, that's loud, all right.

00:50:00 ◼   ► - There's good news here on that front though.

00:50:02 ◼   ► - Well, apparently yes.

00:50:04 ◼   ► So Jason writes on Mastodon,

00:50:06 ◼   ► I haven't verified it yet, but it's my understanding

00:50:07 ◼   ► that permissions now survive a system migration,

00:50:10 ◼   ► meaning that when you migrate,

00:50:11 ◼   ► you won't have to approve 200 dialog boxes

00:50:13 ◼   ► and check boxes and settings to get apps up and running.

00:50:15 ◼   ► - That'll be great 'cause that is one huge source

00:50:17 ◼   ► of a barrage of these dialogs.

00:50:19 ◼   ► 'Cause you kind of do them gradually over time

00:50:20 ◼   ► as you install apps, but then you migrate to another Mac

00:50:23 ◼   ► or something and suddenly you get them all at once.

00:50:25 ◼   ► And this is what we were saying

00:50:26 ◼   ► when we discussed this topic last time.

00:50:28 ◼   ► If they can migrate these settings to say,

00:50:30 ◼   ► okay, if you already approved these on your old Mac,

00:50:32 ◼   ► they're also approved on your new Mac, that will be great.

00:50:34 ◼   ► So hopefully if they did that work

00:50:37 ◼   ► and that seems like it would be a lot of work,

00:50:38 ◼   ► hopefully they are willing to hear feedback on this

00:50:41 ◼   ► and are trying to make changes,

00:50:43 ◼   ► but this weekly screen recording thing, right?

00:50:45 ◼   ► And the entitlement, right?

00:50:48 ◼   ► If they're doing this weekly screen recording thing,

00:50:50 ◼   ► they should have A, documented it,

00:50:52 ◼   ► B, announced it and C said,

00:50:53 ◼   ► and by the way, if you don't like this,

00:50:55 ◼   ► please request the new persistent content capture thing.

00:50:57 ◼   ► 'Cause I don't even know

00:50:58 ◼   ► if that persistent content capture thing

00:51:00 ◼   ► is the entitlement that will stop these things from coming.

00:51:02 ◼   ► And how hard is it to get that entitlement?

00:51:04 ◼   ► How long would it take to get that entitlement?

00:51:06 ◼   ► Sequoia is gonna come out, I don't know,

00:51:08 ◼   ► maybe not soon, maybe in October, but whatever.

00:51:10 ◼   ► This seems like people who have applications

00:51:12 ◼   ► that require screen recording permissions

00:51:14 ◼   ► are kind of getting caught with their pants down here

00:51:17 ◼   ► of like, wait, what are we doing?

00:51:18 ◼   ► What is my app throwing up now?

00:51:20 ◼   ► What can I get?

00:51:20 ◼   ► Can I get this entitlement?

00:51:22 ◼   ► Is this undocumented entitlement?

00:51:22 ◼   ► Is that the thing I should be asking for?

00:51:24 ◼   ► This is just not a great way to support your developers

00:51:29 ◼   ► in their applications.

00:51:30 ◼   ► And if there is this one that allows you to do persistent,

00:51:33 ◼   ► what's the whole point of alerting for weekly?

00:51:34 ◼   ► 'Cause won't all the bad actors have requested this one?

00:51:36 ◼   ► How will you stop them from getting it?

00:51:38 ◼   ► Maybe this will all be resolved by next week,

00:51:41 ◼   ► but it is an upsetting regression

00:51:43 ◼   ► in Apple's handling of permissions on macOS.

00:51:48 ◼   ► - Yeah, it's just,

00:51:50 ◼   ► it's one of the things where I don't think

00:51:53 ◼   ► any of this happened spitefully or anything like that.

00:51:56 ◼   ► But if you look at security professionals,

00:51:59 ◼   ► we've spoken a lot about this episode,

00:52:00 ◼   ► a security professional's job is to come up with

00:52:04 ◼   ► effectively infinite amounts of dialogues and nag screens

00:52:08 ◼   ► and so on and so forth, because their job is to make sure

00:52:10 ◼   ► that their users are as safe as possible.

00:52:13 ◼   ► But as you said, it's a balancing act.

00:52:15 ◼   ► And ultimately, I think this pendulum has swung

00:52:18 ◼   ► way too far in the bad direction,

00:52:21 ◼   ► to the point that I don't often pay attention to these.

00:52:25 ◼   ► And I'm the kind of nerd that usually reads every dialogue

00:52:28 ◼   ► and reads every word of every dialogue.

00:52:29 ◼   ► And most of the time, I'm just like,

00:52:30 ◼   ► yeah, whatever, whatever, whatever.

00:52:32 ◼   ► It's just so disruptive and so frustrating.

00:52:34 ◼   ► And Apple was right to poke fun at Vista,

00:52:36 ◼   ► because it really was that bad.

00:52:39 ◼   ► I mean, I think Marco was mostly gone at this point.

00:52:41 ◼   ► I was half in that world. - I never used Vista.

00:52:44 ◼   ► - Okay, I was half in that world at this point.

00:52:46 ◼   ► It was real bad, it was real, real bad.

00:52:48 ◼   ► And my recollection anyway,

00:52:51 ◼   ► and admittedly I have a terrible memory,

00:52:52 ◼   ► but my recollection is that this is worse.

00:52:55 ◼   ► It's just incessant, and it's not helping anyone.

00:52:58 ◼   ► And hopefully, somebody with a little bit of,

00:53:02 ◼   ► I was going to say design sense,

00:53:03 ◼   ► but really just empathy for the user.

00:53:05 ◼   ► Hopefully, someone will be the voice of reason

00:53:07 ◼   ► within Apple and say, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa,

00:53:09 ◼   ► let's pump the brakes on this

00:53:10 ◼   ► and figure out a better approach.

00:53:11 ◼   ► - As I said, it's not just empathy for the user.

00:53:13 ◼   ► It is in the service of better security,

00:53:15 ◼   ► because alert fatigue or approval fatigue reduces security.

00:53:20 ◼   ► It's a thing you want to avoid for security purposes.

00:53:22 ◼   ► So if you're in the security team,

00:53:24 ◼   ► your job is to increase security,

00:53:25 ◼   ► you should know enough, and I'm sure they do,

00:53:27 ◼   ► that too many dialogs reduces security.

00:53:29 ◼   ► It doesn't increase it

00:53:30 ◼   ► because that's how people react to them, right?

00:53:33 ◼   ► People don't react the same way to one alert

00:53:37 ◼   ► as they do to 100.

00:53:38 ◼   ► It changes how they deal with alerts,

00:53:40 ◼   ► and it changes that on a going forward basis

00:53:43 ◼   ► so that from now on, they will be less inclined

00:53:46 ◼   ► to read any alert that you put in.

00:53:47 ◼   ► Even if you reduce the number massively,

00:53:49 ◼   ► you've trained them, I never want to read these,

00:53:51 ◼   ► okay, okay, okay, you make them angry about it, right?

00:53:54 ◼   ► That's the last thing you want.

00:53:55 ◼   ► That's bad for security.

00:53:58 ◼   ► - Well, and I can see why,

00:54:00 ◼   ► I'm sure Apple's engineers and product people

00:54:04 ◼   ► who are making these decisions to add these alerts,

00:54:07 ◼   ► I'm sure they have all the best intentions

00:54:09 ◼   ► because the reality is, yeah, some of these alerts,

00:54:11 ◼   ► especially on iOS, you look at the possible attack surface,

00:54:14 ◼   ► the possible damage done, some of the actual sleazy things

00:54:18 ◼   ► that companies, big and small, have done,

00:54:22 ◼   ► you can kind of see why they think they have to do this

00:54:25 ◼   ► or why they think this is the best approach moving forward.

00:54:27 ◼   ► But because there are these downsides and these costs

00:54:32 ◼   ► to having these controls and warnings and everything,

00:54:35 ◼   ► both to the user experience and, as Jon was just saying,

00:54:37 ◼   ► to security itself, I feel like there has to be

00:54:41 ◼   ► a known amount of damage that was being done

00:54:45 ◼   ► or that we've seen in the wild being done

00:54:48 ◼   ► to prompt this kind of change.

00:54:50 ◼   ► And I just don't, I've never heard of that level of damage

00:54:54 ◼   ► happening on the Mac that would cause anyone,

00:54:57 ◼   ► any user to say, oh, thank God they're making this

00:55:01 ◼   ► harder for me.

00:55:02 ◼   ► I don't think we're seeing where is the justification

00:55:07 ◼   ► out there in the wild for tightening these things down.

00:55:10 ◼   ► Now obviously, you don't want to just let security problems

00:55:15 ◼   ► happen to your users and then only react to them afterwards.

00:55:19 ◼   ► But I feel like there has to be some balance of

00:55:22 ◼   ► is there really a significant threat that's really actually

00:55:27 ◼   ► even ever being seen to have happened here?

00:55:30 ◼   ► Is there a lot of Mac malware that's using

00:55:33 ◼   ► screen recording permissions and not just security holes

00:55:37 ◼   ► to cause problems for people?

00:55:40 ◼   ► I don't know, we've never recently ever heard of that.

00:55:42 ◼   ► Maybe it happened or was starting to happen

00:55:45 ◼   ► and Apple tamped down on it and that nip it in the bud,

00:55:48 ◼   ► who knows, but we've never seen any evidence of that.

00:55:51 ◼   ► So it's hard for us to see as the users,

00:55:54 ◼   ► what justifies this level of annoyance and alert fatigue?

00:55:59 ◼   ► - I think the right tool for that, if you have,

00:56:03 ◼   ► if there was that type of outbreak, and again,

00:56:05 ◼   ► maybe Apple would be quiet about it.

00:56:06 ◼   ► I think the right tool for that is Apple having the ability

00:56:10 ◼   ► and they probably either already have this ability

00:56:12 ◼   ► or could make it easily to essentially cause all the Macs

00:56:15 ◼   ► to reprompt for a screen recording permission

00:56:19 ◼   ► because due to an acute outbreak,

00:56:21 ◼   ► to nip it in the bud, but that's so different

00:56:24 ◼   ► than every week and every reboot forever.

00:56:27 ◼   ► That's situational, that's like here's a situation,

00:56:29 ◼   ► everyone, here's a one-time push to every Mac out there

00:56:32 ◼   ► that's on the network,

00:56:33 ◼   ► re-approve the apps for screen recording.

00:56:37 ◼   ► Maybe you could even have a system where you could put

00:56:38 ◼   ► a message to that effect that says just, you know,

00:56:41 ◼   ► due to a recent outbreak or whatever,

00:56:43 ◼   ► I don't know how you're gonna do it,

00:56:44 ◼   ► but anyway, like a one-time thing, it's understandable,

00:56:47 ◼   ► it's justifiable, even Apple doesn't wanna talk about it.

00:56:49 ◼   ► Everyone would just be like, huh, it's weird,

00:56:50 ◼   ► I got reprompted for screen recording,

00:56:52 ◼   ► but anyway, going on with my life.

00:56:53 ◼   ► It's so different than as Jason was snarkily putting it,

00:56:57 ◼   ► making a schedule on your weekly,

00:56:59 ◼   ► making a slot on your weekly schedule

00:57:00 ◼   ► to re-approve screen recording of the application

00:57:02 ◼   ► you've been using since the '90s, right?

00:57:04 ◼   ► It's just, it's absurd to say,

00:57:06 ◼   ► then the solution is weekly and on every reboot,

00:57:08 ◼   ► that's the wrong frequency.

00:57:10 ◼   ► I don't know what the right frequency is,

00:57:11 ◼   ► but that ain't it, right?

00:57:12 ◼   ► So think again.

00:57:13 ◼   ► - Yeah, somebody just wrote in and wondered,

00:57:16 ◼   ► could this be in response to rewind.ai or Limitless

00:57:18 ◼   ► or whatever they're calling themselves right now?

00:57:20 ◼   ► - No.

00:57:21 ◼   ► - Okay, good talk.

00:57:22 ◼   ► - I mean, I don't think Apple has anything against rewind,

00:57:24 ◼   ► and that's like, that product is so clear.

00:57:26 ◼   ► Like, you know it's recording your screen,

00:57:28 ◼   ► it's part of the functionality.

00:57:29 ◼   ► You go back and look at the recordings to find things.

00:57:31 ◼   ► Like, that is not the threat actor

00:57:34 ◼   ► that Apple is worried about, right?

00:57:37 ◼   ► And that would make using rewind super annoying,

00:57:39 ◼   ► but still, like, I love rewind, I use it all the time,

00:57:41 ◼   ► it's important to my workflow,

00:57:42 ◼   ► and I have to approve it every week.

00:57:43 ◼   ► And every time I reboot, like, if you're like Jason,

00:57:45 ◼   ► who I think still, which boggles my mind,

00:57:48 ◼   ► reboots his Mac every single day,

00:57:49 ◼   ► you're approving it every single day, not every week.

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00:59:52 ◼   ► (upbeat music)

00:59:55 ◼   ► - Google is apparently a monopolist in a US antitrust case.

01:00:00 ◼   ► This is reading from The Verge.

01:00:02 ◼   ► A federal judge ruled that Google violated US antitrust law

01:00:05 ◼   ► by maintaining a monopoly

01:00:06 ◼   ► in the search and advertising markets.

01:00:08 ◼   ► Quote, "After having carefully considered and weighed

01:00:10 ◼   ► "the witness testimony and evidence,

01:00:12 ◼   ► "the court reaches the following conclusion.

01:00:14 ◼   ► "Google is a monopolist and it has acted as one

01:00:17 ◼   ► "to maintain its monopoly," according to the court's ruling.

01:00:20 ◼   ► It has violated section two of the Sherman Antitrust Act.

01:00:24 ◼   ► Google's fate will be determined

01:00:25 ◼   ► in the next phase of proceedings,

01:00:26 ◼   ► which could result in anything from a mandate

01:00:28 ◼   ► to stop certain business practices

01:00:29 ◼   ► to a breakup of Google search businesses.

01:00:32 ◼   ► Judge Amit Mehta rejected Google's arguments

01:00:35 ◼   ► that its contracts with phone and browser makers like Apple

01:00:38 ◼   ► were not exclusionary and therefore shouldn't qualify it

01:00:41 ◼   ► for liability under the Sherman Act.

01:00:42 ◼   ► The prospect of losing tens of billions

01:00:45 ◼   ► in guaranteed revenue from Google,

01:00:46 ◼   ► which presently comes at little to no cost to Apple,

01:00:49 ◼   ► disincentivizes Apple from launching its own search engine

01:00:51 ◼   ► when it otherwise has built the capacity to do so.

01:00:55 ◼   ► Time and again, there's another quote,

01:00:57 ◼   ► "Time and again, Google's partners have concluded

01:00:58 ◼   ► "that it is financially infeasible to switch

01:01:01 ◼   ► "the default general search engines

01:01:03 ◼   ► "or seek greater flexibility in search offerings

01:01:06 ◼   ► "because it would mean sacrificing the hundreds of millions,

01:01:08 ◼   ► "if not billions of dollars

01:01:09 ◼   ► "that Google pays them as revenue share," the judge wrote.

01:01:12 ◼   ► In 2022, Google paid Apple $20 billion

01:01:16 ◼   ► to be the default search engine in Safari.

01:01:19 ◼   ► During the closing arguments,

01:01:20 ◼   ► the judge honed in on these payments,

01:01:22 ◼   ► wondering how other players in the market

01:01:24 ◼   ► could possibly displace Google from that position.

01:01:26 ◼   ► Quote, "If that's what it takes for somebody

01:01:28 ◼   ► "to dislodge Google as the default search engine,

01:01:31 ◼   ► "wouldn't the folks that wrote the Sherman Act

01:01:33 ◼   ► "be concerned about it?"

01:01:34 ◼   ► Then continuing in a different post from The Verge,

01:01:40 ◼   ► according to Eddie Q, Apple's senior vice president

01:01:42 ◼   ► of services, there's no other meaningful alternative

01:01:44 ◼   ► to Google.

01:01:45 ◼   ► During the trial, he said that quote,

01:01:46 ◼   ► "There's no price that Microsoft could ever offer,"

01:01:48 ◼   ► to Apple to get the company to preload Bing and Safari.

01:01:51 ◼   ► Quote, "I don't believe there's a price in the world

01:01:53 ◼   ► "that Microsoft could offer us," Q said at another point.

01:01:55 ◼   ► "They offered to give us Bing for free.

01:01:58 ◼   ► "They could give us the whole company."

01:02:00 ◼   ► Geez, Eddie. - Sick burn.

01:02:02 ◼   ► - I think you might wanna talk to Tim about that,

01:02:03 ◼   ► 'cause I'm pretty sure Microsoft is worth

01:02:05 ◼   ► more than $20 billion, but maybe before you turn down

01:02:10 ◼   ► Microsoft offering to give you the whole company,

01:02:12 ◼   ► Eddie may be right there.

01:02:12 ◼   ► Obviously, he was humorously exaggerating there,

01:02:14 ◼   ► although it is a quote that ended up in a bunch of stories.

01:02:17 ◼   ► - I love Eddie Q.

01:02:18 ◼   ► - According to the judge, it's not just that Google

01:02:21 ◼   ► pays Apple not to challenge its search supremacy,

01:02:23 ◼   ► it would be unbelievably difficult for Apple

01:02:25 ◼   ► to get in on the action at all.

01:02:27 ◼   ► Unsurprisingly, both Google and Apple have looked into this,

01:02:28 ◼   ► and their own internal estimates came out at trial.

01:02:31 ◼   ► Apparently, Apple has calculated that, quote,

01:02:33 ◼   ► "It would cost $6 billion annually,"

01:02:35 ◼   ► on top of what it already spends developing

01:02:37 ◼   ► search capabilities to run a general search engine.

01:02:40 ◼   ► Meanwhile, in late 2020, Google estimated how much

01:02:42 ◼   ► it would cost Apple to create and maintain

01:02:44 ◼   ► a general search engine that could compete with Google.

01:02:45 ◼   ► Apple would have to spend something in the rough order

01:02:47 ◼   ► of $20 billion in order to reproduce

01:02:50 ◼   ► Google's technical infrastructure dedicated to search.

01:02:53 ◼   ► - I do like that.

01:02:54 ◼   ► I love the stuff that comes out in trial,

01:02:55 ◼   ► like the fact that both Apple and Google

01:02:57 ◼   ► had done some math to say, you know,

01:02:58 ◼   ► if we did, if Apple did make a competitor to Google search,

01:03:02 ◼   ► how much would that cost?

01:03:02 ◼   ► And Apple's estimate is like $6 billion a year,

01:03:04 ◼   ► and Google's estimate is $20 billion.

01:03:07 ◼   ► And you would think Google would know more,

01:03:08 ◼   ► 'cause Google has built Google,

01:03:10 ◼   ► and Apple's like, "Ah, probably $6 billion,

01:03:13 ◼   ► "like not even as much as the car we never shipped."

01:03:16 ◼   ► So, this is, I mean, these things take years and years

01:03:20 ◼   ► to go, so there'll be more about this trial or whatever,

01:03:23 ◼   ► but this is a verdict, and the verdict is,

01:03:25 ◼   ► does Google have a monopoly in search,

01:03:26 ◼   ► and did they abuse it?

01:03:27 ◼   ► Yes, that's the straight up, like,

01:03:29 ◼   ► there was even quotes in the thing of like,

01:03:30 ◼   ► I think some Google argument in court was like,

01:03:33 ◼   ► you know, "This isn't illegal,

01:03:35 ◼   ► "'cause we've been doing this for years."

01:03:36 ◼   ► And the judge pointed out, it's like,

01:03:37 ◼   ► "Things that you did when you weren't a monopoly were okay,

01:03:39 ◼   ► "but when you become a monopoly, they become illegal,

01:03:41 ◼   ► "and guess what, you're a monopoly."

01:03:42 ◼   ► And this is like the Windows antitrust case,

01:03:45 ◼   ► where it's like, there is no question

01:03:47 ◼   ► that Google has monopoly-sized market share.

01:03:51 ◼   ► Like, how many people run Windows?

01:03:53 ◼   ► It was like, everybody, right, 90-something percent.

01:03:55 ◼   ► Google search has just the massively dominant play,

01:03:58 ◼   ► like 90-plus percent in search.

01:04:00 ◼   ► It's fine to be a monopoly.

01:04:02 ◼   ► Did you abuse that monopoly to extend or maintain it?

01:04:04 ◼   ► And the courts say, "Yes, you totally did

01:04:06 ◼   ► "by various things that you do,

01:04:08 ◼   ► "including making contracts that, for example,

01:04:11 ◼   ► "dissuade Apple to the tune of $20 billion a year."

01:04:14 ◼   ► You shouldn't make a Google search competitor now.

01:04:16 ◼   ► They've been rumors for years that Apple

01:04:18 ◼   ► was considering making a Google search competitor,

01:04:20 ◼   ► and I always looked at those,

01:04:21 ◼   ► especially in the early days of like,

01:04:23 ◼   ► that is not Apple's strength.

01:04:25 ◼   ► But one of the strongest arguments with respect to that

01:04:28 ◼   ► is the very early spat between Apple and Google over Maps.

01:04:31 ◼   ► And Apple said, "You know what?

01:04:33 ◼   ► "We're gonna make our own Maps."

01:04:34 ◼   ► And they were bad, and Apple wasn't good at it.

01:04:37 ◼   ► But Apple kept plugging away,

01:04:39 ◼   ► because there was apparently no reconciliation

01:04:42 ◼   ► between Apple and Google with regard to Maps.

01:04:44 ◼   ► And today, Apple Maps is a viable competitor to Google Maps.

01:04:48 ◼   ► Who would've thunk that?

01:04:50 ◼   ► I mean, it took years and years, right,

01:04:51 ◼   ► and still some people like Google Maps better,

01:04:53 ◼   ► but I use both of them on a regular basis.

01:04:55 ◼   ► And I'm not gonna say Apple Maps is better than Google Maps.

01:04:58 ◼   ► I'm not even gonna say it's as good as Google Maps,

01:04:59 ◼   ► but it is definitely a viable competitor.

01:05:02 ◼   ► It does some things better, it does many things worse,

01:05:04 ◼   ► but Apple built that with tons of money,

01:05:07 ◼   ► and that's a competing product to Google.

01:05:09 ◼   ► What if Google had been paying Apple $20 billion a year

01:05:12 ◼   ► to make Google Maps the default mapping service?

01:05:14 ◼   ► Apple would've never made that.

01:05:15 ◼   ► That's anti-competitive, right?

01:05:17 ◼   ► I mean, we're not talking about mapping,

01:05:18 ◼   ► we're talking about search, but like,

01:05:20 ◼   ► that's what, you know, the judge isn't saying,

01:05:22 ◼   ► there's no remedies here.

01:05:23 ◼   ► It's not like, what are we gonna do about this?

01:05:24 ◼   ► That's a whole other phase, and they're gonna appeal,

01:05:26 ◼   ► and they could appeal all the way to the Supreme Court,

01:05:27 ◼   ► and they might be overturned, and like,

01:05:30 ◼   ► with court cases, you don't know what's gonna come of this,

01:05:32 ◼   ► if anything.

01:05:33 ◼   ► Change in administration could change stuff.

01:05:34 ◼   ► Like, there's so many factors here,

01:05:37 ◼   ► but this is a significant finding and victory

01:05:39 ◼   ► for the Department of Justice of saying,

01:05:42 ◼   ► Google, you're a monopoly.

01:05:43 ◼   ► You did stuff that's against the Sherman Antitrust Act

01:05:45 ◼   ► to maintain it, and we're gonna figure out

01:05:48 ◼   ► what that means for you.

01:05:50 ◼   ► And the reason this is fun to talk about

01:05:53 ◼   ► is because Apple's over there going, wait, what?

01:05:55 ◼   ► (laughing)

01:05:57 ◼   ► We get $20 billion a year for Google

01:06:00 ◼   ► for having like, a URL and a P-list somewhere, right?

01:06:05 ◼   ► It's the easiest money we ever made.

01:06:06 ◼   ► It has essentially 100% profit margins.

01:06:09 ◼   ► And this is relevant because Apple's services revenue,

01:06:13 ◼   ► and the story about services,

01:06:15 ◼   ► service is where the growth is for Apple.

01:06:17 ◼   ► As it came out in the earlier trials,

01:06:19 ◼   ► when we all kind of learned the magnitude of this,

01:06:22 ◼   ► a huge chunk of Apple's services revenue,

01:06:25 ◼   ► and also, services profit, services income,

01:06:29 ◼   ► is that 20 billion.

01:06:30 ◼   ► It's like 25% of their services profit.

01:06:33 ◼   ► That's not a small amount.

01:06:34 ◼   ► It's not like a 2% thing or whatever,

01:06:36 ◼   ► and if Apple's whole story for their company is like,

01:06:39 ◼   ► yeah, the phones aren't growing anymore,

01:06:40 ◼   ► and other stuff is kind of stable too,

01:06:42 ◼   ► but services is growing like gangbusters year over year,

01:06:45 ◼   ► what if I told you, Apple, that potentially in five years,

01:06:49 ◼   ► some court decision could say,

01:06:52 ◼   ► yeah, 25% of your services revenue,

01:06:55 ◼   ► that's going to zero, starting now.

01:06:57 ◼   ► That would be bad for Apple, for their stock,

01:07:00 ◼   ► for their story about services growth.

01:07:02 ◼   ► I mean, that, I mean,

01:07:03 ◼   ► and what did Apple do to bring that about?

01:07:06 ◼   ► Like, did Apple do anything wrong by taking that 20 billion?

01:07:09 ◼   ► Like, the courts would say no.

01:07:10 ◼   ► Apple, you know, the courts would potentially say,

01:07:13 ◼   ► they could say, agreements like the one

01:07:15 ◼   ► you made with Apple, those are illegal,

01:07:16 ◼   ► so you gotta cut off that deal,

01:07:17 ◼   ► and Apple's like, oh, they have to cut out that deal.

01:07:19 ◼   ► We like that money.

01:07:20 ◼   ► But according to the courts, and I can see their point,

01:07:24 ◼   ► that money is Google using its monopoly in search

01:07:29 ◼   ► to prevent competition, to say,

01:07:31 ◼   ► we are dominant and we are going to use that dominance

01:07:34 ◼   ► to make sure nobody else ever challenges our dominance.

01:07:36 ◼   ► We're gonna make sure that Bing doesn't get to be the default

01:07:38 ◼   ► because they can't match our 20 billions

01:07:40 ◼   ► that we're paying Apple.

01:07:41 ◼   ► We're gonna make sure Apple never makes a competitor,

01:07:43 ◼   ► one of the few companies in the world

01:07:45 ◼   ► that could potentially even have the funds

01:07:47 ◼   ► to try to make a competitor.

01:07:48 ◼   ► We're gonna make sure they don't do that

01:07:49 ◼   ► because we'll literally pay them off every single year

01:07:51 ◼   ► to the tune of 20 billion dollars

01:07:52 ◼   ► to make sure they don't even think

01:07:54 ◼   ► about making a competitor.

01:07:55 ◼   ► That's anti-competitive.

01:07:56 ◼   ► But looking at it from Apple's perspective,

01:08:00 ◼   ► it's like, this sucks.

01:08:01 ◼   ► We like getting 20,

01:08:03 ◼   ► 'cause I don't think Apple wants to make a search engine,

01:08:05 ◼   ► and Eddy Cue's there in court saying,

01:08:07 ◼   ► I don't know what his motivation was,

01:08:08 ◼   ► but he's basically saying, honestly,

01:08:09 ◼   ► it's like, from his perspective,

01:08:11 ◼   ► Apple thinks, or Eddy Cue thinks,

01:08:13 ◼   ► that Google is better than Bing.

01:08:15 ◼   ► And Apple's saying, we wanna ship the best product

01:08:17 ◼   ► to our users, when it comes time

01:08:19 ◼   ► to choose the default search for Safari,

01:08:21 ◼   ► we're gonna pick what we think is the best one,

01:08:23 ◼   ► and we think Google is the best one.

01:08:25 ◼   ► And the 20 billion dollars doesn't hurt,

01:08:26 ◼   ► but he's making the argument that,

01:08:29 ◼   ► Microsoft could give it to us for free,

01:08:30 ◼   ► and we wouldn't take it,

01:08:31 ◼   ► because it would be making a worse experience

01:08:33 ◼   ► for users on our phone.

01:08:34 ◼   ► And obviously, the EU would say,

01:08:38 ◼   ► why not give them a choice screen

01:08:39 ◼   ► where they get to pick what their thing is?

01:08:40 ◼   ► And honestly, that's always been a question

01:08:42 ◼   ► about the 20 billion.

01:08:43 ◼   ► Like Google, if Apple just gave people a choice

01:08:45 ◼   ► of what they want their default search engine to be,

01:08:47 ◼   ► even if they randomized the list,

01:08:49 ◼   ► most people are gonna pick you anyway,

01:08:50 ◼   ► because you got to your dominant place,

01:08:53 ◼   ► not through illegal deals or anything,

01:08:55 ◼   ► but because people love Google search.

01:08:57 ◼   ► So if you just let everybody pick,

01:08:58 ◼   ► 95% of the people are probably gonna pick Google anyway,

01:09:01 ◼   ► but still, good business is like,

01:09:03 ◼   ► why would I give them that chance?

01:09:05 ◼   ► Why would I take that risk?

01:09:06 ◼   ► That 20 billion dollars is money well spent,

01:09:08 ◼   ► because it prevents Apple from ever wanting to do this,

01:09:10 ◼   ► it puts us as the default search engine,

01:09:12 ◼   ► in the handheld platform where people spend the most money,

01:09:15 ◼   ► it's no brainer that we should do this.

01:09:16 ◼   ► So if the remedies of this court case,

01:09:20 ◼   ► if one of the remedies is that they can't do deals

01:09:22 ◼   ► like that anymore, I think it makes sense,

01:09:24 ◼   ► and I think it kind of sucks for Apple,

01:09:25 ◼   ► but honestly, we've talked about Apple's,

01:09:28 ◼   ► how services revenue have been distorting Apple for a while,

01:09:31 ◼   ► not with respect to this so much,

01:09:32 ◼   ► much more with respect to what are your incentives

01:09:35 ◼   ► when your growth is service revenue,

01:09:38 ◼   ► in terms of product design,

01:09:40 ◼   ► and how many ads you throw on people faces,

01:09:41 ◼   ► how many come ons you have,

01:09:42 ◼   ► but this is another aspect of it,

01:09:44 ◼   ► it's like, what is this money preventing Apple from doing?

01:09:49 ◼   ► How is this money causing Apple to become misshapen

01:09:52 ◼   ► in its decision making to say,

01:09:54 ◼   ► well, we could do X and we think it would be better,

01:09:57 ◼   ► but 20 billion dollars,

01:09:58 ◼   ► like 20 billion dollars is a big counterweight

01:10:00 ◼   ► to lots of people who might have notions about things

01:10:02 ◼   ► inside Apple, like, oh, what about this, what about that?

01:10:05 ◼   ► And someone says, 20 billion dollars,

01:10:06 ◼   ► and you're like, okay, nevermind, right?

01:10:08 ◼   ► Little things like that,

01:10:09 ◼   ► how many little things just never got going

01:10:11 ◼   ► because 20 billion dollars, right?

01:10:13 ◼   ► So I think, in the end,

01:10:15 ◼   ► although it will be painful

01:10:16 ◼   ► to remove this 20 billion dollars from Apple,

01:10:19 ◼   ► it will make them a more effective organization

01:10:22 ◼   ► that makes better decisions.

01:10:24 ◼   ► It doesn't at all solve the problem

01:10:26 ◼   ► of Apple being motivated to throw stupid come ons

01:10:28 ◼   ► for their services interface constantly,

01:10:30 ◼   ► which I think is the worst aspect of their services revenue,

01:10:33 ◼   ► like sort of focusing on

01:10:34 ◼   ► how can we extract more money from people

01:10:36 ◼   ► on a monthly basis rather than how can we satisfy people,

01:10:39 ◼   ► but that's a whole separate issue.

01:10:41 ◼   ► - Yeah, I feel bad, not for Apple,

01:10:43 ◼   ► but for, I think Mozilla people have said repeatedly

01:10:47 ◼   ► that almost all their revenue

01:10:48 ◼   ► comes from their own Google search deal,

01:10:51 ◼   ► and even though I haven't personally used Firefox

01:10:55 ◼   ► in 20 years or something like that,

01:10:58 ◼   ► nevertheless, it's just, it's too bad.

01:11:01 ◼   ► Like, I think Mozilla, by and large,

01:11:02 ◼   ► is doing pretty good work, and for them to--

01:11:04 ◼   ► - No, like, you haven't been keeping up

01:11:05 ◼   ► with the Mozilla thing.

01:11:06 ◼   ► They've been-- - Oh!

01:11:07 ◼   ► - They've been building adware into their browser

01:11:09 ◼   ► to try to essentially get money from, like,

01:11:11 ◼   ► they're, the same thing happened to them.

01:11:15 ◼   ► This revenue sort of enabled a set of leadership

01:11:19 ◼   ► that's like, we got the Google gravy train,

01:11:21 ◼   ► and now we can get the whole ad tech

01:11:24 ◼   ► built into our browser gravy train,

01:11:25 ◼   ► and Firefox users are like, we hate this.

01:11:28 ◼   ► The reason we use this Firefox

01:11:29 ◼   ► is not to have to deal with this stuff.

01:11:31 ◼   ► You're betraying us or whatever,

01:11:32 ◼   ► and it's like, if Mozilla didn't have that money from Google

01:11:36 ◼   ► and had to find some other way to fund itself,

01:11:38 ◼   ► one argument is, like, they'd be gone,

01:11:39 ◼   ► and there'd be no Firefox, doesn't that suck?

01:11:41 ◼   ► But the other argument is they would've been forced

01:11:43 ◼   ► to find some other way to make money,

01:11:45 ◼   ► and maybe that would've led them down

01:11:46 ◼   ► this ad tech thing faster, I don't know,

01:11:48 ◼   ► but like, having this amount of money from monopolists

01:11:51 ◼   ► just swayed you from ever thinking about doing anything

01:11:54 ◼   ► except for using them is not healthy for anybody involved,

01:11:58 ◼   ► even though it seems like it is.

01:11:59 ◼   ► Like, oh, it's keeping Firefox alive, that's good,

01:12:01 ◼   ► and you know, it's kind of, from Google's perspective,

01:12:05 ◼   ► it's a double benefit of kind of the same way

01:12:07 ◼   ► that like, Microsoft invested in Apple to keep Apple alive,

01:12:10 ◼   ► so they could say, see, we have a competitor.

01:12:12 ◼   ► We're not a monopoly, didn't work out really for them,

01:12:14 ◼   ► but you know, Chrome being able to say, Firefox exists,

01:12:18 ◼   ► see, we're not the only browser, people have lots of choices.

01:12:20 ◼   ► You could use Edge, you could use Firefox, and you know,

01:12:23 ◼   ► but I don't, like, getting that kind of money,

01:12:26 ◼   ► it's not healthy to be getting that money

01:12:28 ◼   ► for essentially doing nothing from a monopolist, right?

01:12:31 ◼   ► And I think it just, it makes an unhealthy organization,

01:12:34 ◼   ► if only because it's, now your organization is susceptible

01:12:37 ◼   ► to like, guess what, if that money went away,

01:12:39 ◼   ► do you no longer have a business?

01:12:40 ◼   ► And what were you getting that money for anyway?

01:12:42 ◼   ► We were getting that money because Google thinks

01:12:44 ◼   ► it's important for there to be some tiny browser

01:12:47 ◼   ► that they can think of, that they can point to that says,

01:12:49 ◼   ► see, there are competitors, and also to make sure

01:12:51 ◼   ► no one will ever, ever, ever compete

01:12:52 ◼   ► with their Google search monopoly, right?

01:12:55 ◼   ► And that's not healthy, like, it's, you know,

01:12:58 ◼   ► ripping that money away is gonna be bad,

01:12:59 ◼   ► but again, this is gonna be a multi-year case

01:13:01 ◼   ► and it might even get overturned,

01:13:02 ◼   ► and who knows what will happen,

01:13:03 ◼   ► so maybe this will all come to nothing,

01:13:05 ◼   ► but Apple, Mozilla, all these companies now have a lot

01:13:09 ◼   ► of time to think about this, and although I did,

01:13:11 ◼   ► I don't think these are connected, I don't know,

01:13:13 ◼   ► I don't know if these are connected at all,

01:13:14 ◼   ► so take this as pure speculation,

01:13:16 ◼   ► but a related story that I forgot to put in the notes

01:13:18 ◼   ► is that Warren Buffett, who owns a just absolutely

01:13:22 ◼   ► tremendous amount of the Berkshire Hathaway Company,

01:13:24 ◼   ► owns a tremendous amount of Apple stock,

01:13:26 ◼   ► sold half of his Apple stock like a few days

01:13:28 ◼   ► before this verdict came out, and for years he'd been saying

01:13:31 ◼   ► like, I love Apple, I'm gonna hold it, nothing, you know,

01:13:33 ◼   ► unless something extraordinary happens,

01:13:34 ◼   ► I would never get rid of it or whatever,

01:13:36 ◼   ► then he sold half his Apple stock,

01:13:37 ◼   ► and then this verdict comes out,

01:13:39 ◼   ► and I don't know if they related,

01:13:42 ◼   ► but if Apple's story for the past many years

01:13:44 ◼   ► has been service revenue, it's where the growth

01:13:46 ◼   ► for the company is, and this one story says,

01:13:48 ◼   ► maybe 25% of that service revenue is now gone.

01:13:52 ◼   ► - Yeah. - Is that a reason

01:13:53 ◼   ► for Warren Buffett to sell half his stock?

01:13:54 ◼   ► I don't, I don't even pretend to know

01:13:56 ◼   ► what goes through the mind of someone like Warren Buffett

01:13:58 ◼   ► when deciding to sell, and why would he only sell 50%

01:14:00 ◼   ► and not all of it, and he's really old,

01:14:02 ◼   ► and how much money does he need,

01:14:03 ◼   ► and it just confuses me in many ways, right?

01:14:06 ◼   ► But I don't think this is good news

01:14:10 ◼   ► for Apple's services narrative,

01:14:12 ◼   ► and I hope it makes them reconsider.

01:14:15 ◼   ► I really, honestly, I wish they would break that out

01:14:17 ◼   ► somewhere else, I'm not even included in service revenue,

01:14:20 ◼   ► 'cause what service are they providing there?

01:14:21 ◼   ► It's like monopoly agreement, monopoly maintenance payments,

01:14:25 ◼   ► right, it's not a service that Apple is providing.

01:14:28 ◼   ► Even without that money, they can leave that same value

01:14:30 ◼   ► in the P list and still have Google searches their default.

01:14:33 ◼   ► - It makes sense if you are a professional investor.

01:14:36 ◼   ► This suggests that Apple's revenue in a high growth area

01:14:41 ◼   ► has a pretty high chance of going down all of a sudden.

01:14:45 ◼   ► So I see why somebody would sell the stock.

01:14:47 ◼   ► That being said, I think it would be better for Apple

01:14:50 ◼   ► as a whole in the long run to not have this giant chunk

01:14:55 ◼   ► of this revenue being on their books in this place,

01:14:57 ◼   ► because again, as you're saying,

01:14:59 ◼   ► it kind of suggests a different source of revenue

01:15:02 ◼   ► than what it actually is.

01:15:03 ◼   ► I'd say it's actually somewhat misleading.

01:15:06 ◼   ► Even calling it services revenue,

01:15:08 ◼   ► I would suggest as kind of misleading shareholders.

01:15:10 ◼   ► I mean, I don't know if that legally qualifies as that,

01:15:13 ◼   ► I'm not a shareholderologist, but it definitely seems like

01:15:17 ◼   ► it is a little misleading to say,

01:15:20 ◼   ► we are providing all these wonderful services to our users,

01:15:22 ◼   ► things like Apple TV Plus and iCloud,

01:15:24 ◼   ► and it's like, well, where does it come from?

01:15:26 ◼   ► A huge amount comes from the Google Commission

01:15:28 ◼   ► and App Store taxes.

01:15:30 ◼   ► Is that services?

01:15:32 ◼   ► - And at least the App Store taxes, you can say,

01:15:34 ◼   ► well, this is, we run the App Store

01:15:36 ◼   ► and this is the commission we charge.

01:15:38 ◼   ► At least there is a service there,

01:15:39 ◼   ► which is the App Store and the in-app payment thing,

01:15:41 ◼   ► and Apple will tell you a million different ways

01:15:43 ◼   ► about how that's such a wonderful service,

01:15:44 ◼   ► but at least it's a thing that Apple is doing and made.

01:15:46 ◼   ► This is just like we accept the check,

01:15:48 ◼   ► and in exchange for the check,

01:15:49 ◼   ► we do not change this string in our source code.

01:15:52 ◼   ► - I think it is not good for Apple,

01:15:55 ◼   ► like kind of psychologically almost,

01:15:58 ◼   ► and certainly, it creates some weird incentives

01:16:02 ◼   ► that I think it would be better for them

01:16:04 ◼   ► if they didn't make a huge chunk of this money this way.

01:16:07 ◼   ► So even though, if there is a transition away from this

01:16:10 ◼   ► that is forced by the government or whatever,

01:16:12 ◼   ► I think that will be some short-term pain

01:16:14 ◼   ► for the stock and the earnings and things like that,

01:16:16 ◼   ► but I think longer term, it will be better for them.

01:16:19 ◼   ► But unless the government intervenes,

01:16:22 ◼   ► this will never change.

01:16:24 ◼   ► It's kind of like an addiction for them,

01:16:27 ◼   ► but it's understandable why, of course,

01:16:30 ◼   ► they would take this money if they can,

01:16:32 ◼   ► but it would be better off if they were forced not to.

01:16:34 ◼   ► - Yeah, and the whole point of this thing is like,

01:16:36 ◼   ► so, you know, Eddy Cue was saying,

01:16:38 ◼   ► Microsoft could give us Bing for free

01:16:40 ◼   ► and we wouldn't take it, right?

01:16:41 ◼   ► But say this money goes away, right?

01:16:42 ◼   ► Say this actually does happen,

01:16:43 ◼   ► which is, again, still not a foregone conclusion.

01:16:46 ◼   ► At that point, I think Apple would be receptive

01:16:49 ◼   ► to accepting a few hundred million from Microsoft

01:16:53 ◼   ► for, to be in a choice screen, for example,

01:16:56 ◼   ► or to be an option in settings, right?

01:16:58 ◼   ► Like, deals could be made.

01:16:59 ◼   ► Like, one of the things deals like this do

01:17:01 ◼   ► is they don't even allow competitors to get a foothold.

01:17:04 ◼   ► And suddenly, if Google is legally forbidden

01:17:07 ◼   ► from paying off Apple to stay as the default,

01:17:09 ◼   ► the door opens to other people being willing to pay Apple

01:17:13 ◼   ► more than zero dollars to say,

01:17:15 ◼   ► just put us in a choice screen.

01:17:16 ◼   ► Just let us have an extension that, you know,

01:17:18 ◼   ► like anything, like how much money can we give you

01:17:21 ◼   ► in exchange for how much?

01:17:22 ◼   ► Leave Google as a default, fine, right, whatever.

01:17:24 ◼   ► But like, can we have like a one button press way

01:17:27 ◼   ► to switch us where we can put it on our website?

01:17:28 ◼   ► Do you wanna use Bing as your default?

01:17:30 ◼   ► Press this, and we'll pay you 100 million dollars

01:17:32 ◼   ► for that or whatever.

01:17:33 ◼   ► Because Bing is not a monopoly in the search market, right?

01:17:36 ◼   ► How do you ever get more competition, right?

01:17:39 ◼   ► Google has abused its monopoly, you know,

01:17:41 ◼   ► has used its monopoly to maintain and extend itself

01:17:43 ◼   ► in ways that are legal according to this act,

01:17:45 ◼   ► according to the judge or whatever.

01:17:47 ◼   ► And the remedy is let's try to bring more competition

01:17:50 ◼   ► back to the search market.

01:17:51 ◼   ► It doesn't mean Apple's gonna suddenly make a search engine,

01:17:53 ◼   ► 'cause I still think that it's not Apple's strength

01:17:55 ◼   ► and it'll be very, very, very difficult, right?

01:17:57 ◼   ► But Microsoft already made one, right?

01:17:59 ◼   ► It's called Bing, it exists, and it's not as good as Google,

01:18:02 ◼   ► but it's never gonna get anywhere if it's like boxed out

01:18:06 ◼   ► of even being a choice on platforms like iOS, right?

01:18:09 ◼   ► So I mostly agree with the verdict here

01:18:14 ◼   ► that what Google was doing was distorting the market

01:18:18 ◼   ► and reducing competition, and they shouldn't be allowed

01:18:20 ◼   ► to do it despite the fact that it's gonna end up,

01:18:22 ◼   ► you know, hurting Apple.

01:18:24 ◼   ► And, you know, I agree with Marco that like,

01:18:26 ◼   ► it's that Apple should take this pain

01:18:28 ◼   ► and move forward from it.

01:18:29 ◼   ► And, you know, Jason Stell has a bunch of charts

01:18:31 ◼   ► on his story about this that we'll link,

01:18:33 ◼   ► showing just how big, this is revenue, not income,

01:18:36 ◼   ► but just how big services revenue is for the company now.

01:18:39 ◼   ► Used to be when you look at the graph of

01:18:41 ◼   ► where does Apple's money come from?

01:18:42 ◼   ► It was like the biggest piece is iPhone,

01:18:44 ◼   ► and it used to be, I think, even closer

01:18:46 ◼   ► to bigger than 50% or whatever.

01:18:48 ◼   ► And then you'd see like the Mac and iPad

01:18:50 ◼   ► and whatever the other categories were.

01:18:51 ◼   ► And it used to be this little wedge called services

01:18:53 ◼   ► that was a similar size, and services started growing

01:18:55 ◼   ► and growing and growing, and now it's like iPhone,

01:18:58 ◼   ► and the second biggest category, services.

01:19:01 ◼   ► Now this, you know, to the earlier point,

01:19:04 ◼   ► what Apple lumps into these categories, you know,

01:19:06 ◼   ► Mac makes sense, it's Macs, iPhones make sense, it's iPhones,

01:19:09 ◼   ► but wearables contains a lot of stuff, iPad makes sense

01:19:13 ◼   ► there, and then services a whole bunch of other things,

01:19:14 ◼   ► right, but services is getting worryingly large

01:19:17 ◼   ► if you don't like the things that Apple has been doing

01:19:19 ◼   ► in response to its services.

01:19:20 ◼   ► And remember, services is really $20 billion from Google,

01:19:24 ◼   ► in-app purchase for games, other App Store stuff,

01:19:29 ◼   ► and then that's most of services, and then, oh,

01:19:32 ◼   ► everything else, a whole bunch of little pie wedges

01:19:33 ◼   ► for like Apple TV+, and blah, blah, blah.

01:19:35 ◼   ► People hear services and they think it's like,

01:19:36 ◼   ► it's Apple Music and Apple TV+, it's not.

01:19:38 ◼   ► It's App Store, it's this $20 billion payment,

01:19:41 ◼   ► and it's mostly games on the App Store stuff, right?

01:19:43 ◼   ► So it's not even what it appears to be.

01:19:46 ◼   ► And then the other graph was products,

01:19:48 ◼   ► profits versus services products.

01:19:50 ◼   ► If you combine all the products, profit from all the products

01:19:53 ◼   ► Mac, iPad, wearables, iPhone, that profit,

01:19:56 ◼   ► and compare it to the services profit,

01:19:58 ◼   ► the product profit is spiky because it's like

01:20:00 ◼   ► holiday season and stuff, or iPhone launch,

01:20:02 ◼   ► I don't even honestly know what the spikes are.

01:20:03 ◼   ► But anyway, the products thing is spiky.

01:20:05 ◼   ► And then when the product line spikes up,

01:20:07 ◼   ► it's way higher than services.

01:20:09 ◼   ► But at the current state where we're not in a spike

01:20:11 ◼   ► in the yearly product thing, the services line

01:20:14 ◼   ► is getting real close to the product line.

01:20:16 ◼   ► So as Snell said in his article,

01:20:19 ◼   ► Apple made 22 billion in profit from products

01:20:21 ◼   ► and 18 billion from services.

01:20:22 ◼   ► This is in the last quarter.

01:20:24 ◼   ► 22 billion versus 18 billion.

01:20:25 ◼   ► I think services are a thing that Apple should provide.

01:20:29 ◼   ► And I agree with their new slogan of like,

01:20:32 ◼   ► the best providers are hardware, software, and services.

01:20:35 ◼   ► I just think they need to be more careful about

01:20:38 ◼   ► not distorting the other two, the hardware and software,

01:20:43 ◼   ► in service of the services.

01:20:45 ◼   ► Like services should be, it's a prerequisite.

01:20:48 ◼   ► You sell hardware and software, today that's not enough.

01:20:51 ◼   ► You have to also sell services.

01:20:52 ◼   ► Because just as hardware is useless without software,

01:20:56 ◼   ► hardware and software these days in the internet age

01:20:58 ◼   ► are also essentially useless without services.

01:21:00 ◼   ► And if you're not gonna provide them, somebody else will.

01:21:02 ◼   ► So why not make your own services that work the best

01:21:06 ◼   ► with your hardware and your software?

01:21:08 ◼   ► It's a thing they should do.

01:21:09 ◼   ► They should do it even better

01:21:10 ◼   ► than they're currently doing it, right?

01:21:12 ◼   ► Doesn't mean they have to make Apple TV+,

01:21:13 ◼   ► but all the iCloud stuff, all those APIs,

01:21:17 ◼   ► the email address they provide, the Apple ID system,

01:21:20 ◼   ► and expanding onto the developer program,

01:21:23 ◼   ► and yes, Apple TV+, and Apple Music,

01:21:26 ◼   ► Apple should be making those things.

01:21:28 ◼   ► But they should be careful,

01:21:29 ◼   ► the values that led them to make great products

01:21:31 ◼   ► and great software on those products,

01:21:33 ◼   ► they should be careful to say,

01:21:35 ◼   ► those values don't matter anymore

01:21:36 ◼   ► because services are growing.

01:21:37 ◼   ► So screw those values,

01:21:39 ◼   ► whatever we need to do to make services grow,

01:21:40 ◼   ► we're gonna do it, so we're gonna start putting ads

01:21:42 ◼   ► for our own stuff in settings, right?

01:21:44 ◼   ► That is the anti-pattern they should be avoiding.

01:21:46 ◼   ► So I don't really care that the services line

01:21:48 ◼   ► is getting close to the product line,

01:21:50 ◼   ► I care what that services line represents.

01:21:53 ◼   ► I care if that services line represents a new set of values

01:21:57 ◼   ► that are not the values that led them to become the Apple

01:22:00 ◼   ► that has these great products, right?

01:22:01 ◼   ► Because services can infect the products

01:22:03 ◼   ► with an incompatible set of values and philosophy.

01:22:07 ◼   ► That's the problem.

01:22:08 ◼   ► I don't care if this graph looks like services

01:22:10 ◼   ► are more than 50% in 10 years.

01:22:12 ◼   ► That's great, let them be a services company

01:22:14 ◼   ► that sells hardware and software that work on them.

01:22:16 ◼   ► I just want the whole unit to work together

01:22:20 ◼   ► based on the values that led to the creation

01:22:22 ◼   ► of the original iPhone.

01:22:24 ◼   ► - And I think also, just continuing to call the services,

01:22:28 ◼   ► I think is really fundamentally dishonest and misleading.

01:22:31 ◼   ► I think a better word for most of this money,

01:22:36 ◼   ► which is the App Store taxes and the Google search deal,

01:22:39 ◼   ► 'cause remember, keep in mind, the Google search deal,

01:22:42 ◼   ► the way it is apparently structured

01:22:44 ◼   ► is not a flat $20 billion a year.

01:22:48 ◼   ► It is a commission from Google's ad income

01:22:52 ◼   ► that results from Safari searches

01:22:54 ◼   ► from being the default in Safari.

01:22:56 ◼   ► And I think maybe part of that contract,

01:22:57 ◼   ► which is part of the DOJ's problem,

01:23:00 ◼   ► I think part of that contract is that Google is the default.

01:23:03 ◼   ► But the way it's structured, also,

01:23:07 ◼   ► Apple has $20 billion of motivation to keep them default

01:23:10 ◼   ► because it is a commission from ad income

01:23:15 ◼   ► from Google searches.

01:23:16 ◼   ► So I would actually call this category,

01:23:19 ◼   ► I would not call this services.

01:23:20 ◼   ► When you look at, it's coming from the commission

01:23:22 ◼   ► from Google searches and it's coming from the App Store tax,

01:23:25 ◼   ► I would call this category commissions, not services.

01:23:29 ◼   ► Now, if they wanna call it commissions and services, great.

01:23:33 ◼   ► But calling it services when seemingly at least

01:23:35 ◼   ► the majority of the money seems to be from commissions

01:23:39 ◼   ► on activity generated by other people, not serving.

01:23:43 ◼   ► Again, services is a very misleading word here.

01:23:46 ◼   ► This category should be called commissions

01:23:48 ◼   ► and they should either break it out separately

01:23:51 ◼   ► from services, which would look real bad,

01:23:53 ◼   ► or call it what it is, commissions and services

01:23:55 ◼   ► or just commissions.

01:23:56 ◼   ► - I think they could leave App Store stuff in services

01:23:58 ◼   ► 'cause that's a service they run, though.

01:24:00 ◼   ► At least like App Store, they run that.

01:24:01 ◼   ► - Yeah, I think that's a very tough call

01:24:03 ◼   ► to say the App Store tax is considered a service.

01:24:07 ◼   ► Again, I think this is fundamentally misleading.

01:24:08 ◼   ► - I don't think they would like the characterization

01:24:10 ◼   ► of calling it an App Store tax, by the way.

01:24:12 ◼   ► I think their preferred terminology would be different.

01:24:15 ◼   ► - And Tim Cook's terminology was our commission.

01:24:18 ◼   ► So I say, hey, let's call it what it is.

01:24:20 ◼   ► It's commissions.

01:24:22 ◼   ► 'Cause otherwise, I really do think

01:24:23 ◼   ► you're misleading investors into thinking that

01:24:25 ◼   ► things like Apple Music and iCloud and Apple TV+,

01:24:30 ◼   ► you're misleading investors into thinking

01:24:31 ◼   ► that that's driving a bunch of revenue to the company

01:24:33 ◼   ► that it's really not.

01:24:34 ◼   ► While those are successful services,

01:24:36 ◼   ► that is not 28% of their revenue.

01:24:38 ◼   ► That is not even close to making all that up.

01:24:41 ◼   ► So I really do think this continued quote,

01:24:45 ◼   ► services narrative is fundamentally misleading

01:24:48 ◼   ► to investors and to analysts like us

01:24:50 ◼   ► who don't look too much into it.

01:24:51 ◼   ► Because when you look into where this money's coming from,

01:24:55 ◼   ► I think most people would be hard pressed

01:24:56 ◼   ► to describe that as services.

01:24:58 ◼   ► - I don't think they would consider it misleading,

01:25:00 ◼   ► both legally and just practically speaking.

01:25:02 ◼   ► Because one of the things that all companies do,

01:25:04 ◼   ► including Apple, is they don't necessarily

01:25:07 ◼   ► break down their finances to the granularity

01:25:10 ◼   ► that you as an analyst might want.

01:25:12 ◼   ► For every company, this is true.

01:25:13 ◼   ► They don't tell you exactly of how many of each widget,

01:25:15 ◼   ► of each color, of each style, of each whatever, right?

01:25:17 ◼   ► And so by lumping things into these larger categories,

01:25:20 ◼   ► always the analyst's job is to try to suss out

01:25:23 ◼   ► what percentage of that is X, Y, and Z.

01:25:25 ◼   ► And they can have guesses,

01:25:27 ◼   ► and their guesses may be wildly wrong,

01:25:29 ◼   ► but I don't think you can say that Apple is misleading.

01:25:31 ◼   ► It's a form of like, look,

01:25:32 ◼   ► how much information are we gonna give you?

01:25:33 ◼   ► Apple could say, you're lucky we're telling you

01:25:35 ◼   ► what iPhone, Mac, you know, hey, we break it down at all.

01:25:37 ◼   ► We don't have to do that.

01:25:38 ◼   ► We could just say, here's our profits, here's our revenue,

01:25:40 ◼   ► here's our margins, and we can let you figure it out.

01:25:42 ◼   ► And there is a trade-off there of like,

01:25:45 ◼   ► the more Apple tells analysts,

01:25:47 ◼   ► the more control over they have

01:25:49 ◼   ► what analysts say about them,

01:25:50 ◼   ► and the more control they have

01:25:52 ◼   ► over what analysts think about them,

01:25:54 ◼   ► but the less they tell them,

01:25:55 ◼   ► the more they can hide a bad thing here,

01:25:57 ◼   ► a bad, you know, a product that didn't sell well there,

01:26:00 ◼   ► or whatever, like where is Vision Pro hiding in this thing?

01:26:02 ◼   ► I guess it's in wearables or whatever, right?

01:26:04 ◼   ► So like, you don't wanna tell them everything

01:26:07 ◼   ► 'cause that highlight, that can cause them to like,

01:26:09 ◼   ► you know, zoom in on your weaknesses or whatever,

01:26:12 ◼   ► but if you tell them nothing,

01:26:13 ◼   ► if you just said, here's our profits, here's our revenue,

01:26:15 ◼   ► here's our margins, just as one big pie thing,

01:26:17 ◼   ► and we're not gonna break it down any farther,

01:26:19 ◼   ► then they're left to wildly speculate

01:26:21 ◼   ► about how everything is doing,

01:26:22 ◼   ► and they could have weird notions

01:26:23 ◼   ► that cause the stock to go way down.

01:26:24 ◼   ► So this is a dance that Apple has always been playing,

01:26:27 ◼   ► and in general, as Apple has become more successful,

01:26:31 ◼   ► they have reduced the granularity

01:26:32 ◼   ► of the stuff that they tell.

01:26:33 ◼   ► Like a while ago, I think they even used

01:26:34 ◼   ► to give unit sales on stuff,

01:26:36 ◼   ► and they don't do that anymore at all, right?

01:26:38 ◼   ► So I, you know, you could say it's,

01:26:42 ◼   ► it is not as informative as if they broke it down more,

01:26:44 ◼   ► and the name is misleading

01:26:45 ◼   ► because of things they put in the categories,

01:26:47 ◼   ► but the names of the categories,

01:26:48 ◼   ► and the categories themselves,

01:26:49 ◼   ► have changed so much over the years.

01:26:51 ◼   ► Like this is just, this is part of the analyst game of like,

01:26:53 ◼   ► can I back solve to figure out this stuff?

01:26:56 ◼   ► And what we know about this from the billions

01:26:58 ◼   ► in service revenue from the Google search thing,

01:27:01 ◼   ► we only know that because it came out

01:27:03 ◼   ► in discovery in court cases, right?

01:27:05 ◼   ► Like Apple didn't offer that up,

01:27:07 ◼   ► like it was wrenched from them by the law.

01:27:09 ◼   ► That's the only reason we even know that,

01:27:10 ◼   ► and now suddenly we can see into that pie wedge,

01:27:12 ◼   ► and be like, oh, that wouldn't have been my guess.

01:27:14 ◼   ► Like people didn't think it was that high, right?

01:27:16 ◼   ► That wouldn't have been my guess to what it is,

01:27:17 ◼   ► but now we know that,

01:27:18 ◼   ► and now we're like peering into it or whatever.

01:27:20 ◼   ► So again, I don't think it's specifically misleading,

01:27:23 ◼   ► and I agree the name is not great.

01:27:24 ◼   ► The Google thing definitely doesn't belong in there.

01:27:27 ◼   ► Maybe App Store is arguable,

01:27:29 ◼   ► but things like Apple TV and Apple TV Plus

01:27:32 ◼   ► and Apple Music certainly are in there,

01:27:35 ◼   ► and iCloud and stuff like that.

01:27:37 ◼   ► Like anything that like,

01:27:38 ◼   ► do you pay Apple for iCloud storage, right?

01:27:39 ◼   ► So you can use iCloud photo library.

01:27:41 ◼   ► That's a service.

01:27:41 ◼   ► They run a bunch of servers.

01:27:42 ◼   ► It's a service that works with the hardware and software.

01:27:44 ◼   ► That should be services revenue,

01:27:45 ◼   ► but yeah, without knowing about this stuff,

01:27:48 ◼   ► a lot of people can look at that services revenue,

01:27:50 ◼   ► and like you said before, like just think like Apple TV

01:27:52 ◼   ► and Apple Music must be doing great.

01:27:54 ◼   ► - You're killing it.

01:27:55 ◼   ► - Not that great.

01:27:56 ◼   ► Yeah, but the thing is like, you're right.

01:27:58 ◼   ► Obviously, they control the messaging around this

01:28:01 ◼   ► for lots of reasons,

01:28:02 ◼   ► and they try to figure out what they have to

01:28:05 ◼   ► and should break out and what they don't,

01:28:07 ◼   ► and they keep a lot close to the vest, of course.

01:28:10 ◼   ► The thing is though, like by making a lot of your money

01:28:14 ◼   ► in a way that's kind of cagey and not what people expect

01:28:18 ◼   ► can actually work against you as well.

01:28:20 ◼   ► So for instance, now first of all,

01:28:21 ◼   ► I should go back and clarify.

01:28:23 ◼   ► Because the Google revenue is a commission

01:28:27 ◼   ► on Google search revenue, if Apple is forced,

01:28:32 ◼   ► or if Google is forced to stop the exclusivity clause,

01:28:35 ◼   ► that doesn't mean $20 billion needs to go away

01:28:38 ◼   ► from Apple's books.

01:28:39 ◼   ► What that means is probably something like Apple

01:28:41 ◼   ► has to have some kind of choice screen

01:28:43 ◼   ► like they do in the EU.

01:28:44 ◼   ► It's probably gonna be something like that

01:28:46 ◼   ► as the remedy to fix this violation.

01:28:48 ◼   ► - Yeah, guesses about remedies are like,

01:28:51 ◼   ► remember, one of the guesses about remedies

01:28:52 ◼   ► is like on the table is Google could be broken up.

01:28:55 ◼   ► Obviously that's probably not gonna happen,

01:28:56 ◼   ► but I'm saying the spectrum is wide of possibilities.

01:29:00 ◼   ► So yeah, they could say you have to have a choice screen,

01:29:02 ◼   ► or they could say Apple and Google can't do any kind

01:29:04 ◼   ► of deal related to search, or they could say

01:29:06 ◼   ► Google is broken up, or they could say nothing

01:29:07 ◼   ► 'cause this gets overturned on appeal.

01:29:09 ◼   ► So the possibilities are numerous and wide,

01:29:12 ◼   ► but you're right, one of the possibilities is

01:29:14 ◼   ► that it could be like, oh, you can still have the deal,

01:29:15 ◼   ► you just need a choice screen.

01:29:16 ◼   ► Which as I said before, everyone would pick Google anyway.

01:29:18 ◼   ► - Exactly, and so if that's how this goes,

01:29:21 ◼   ► if Google just can't be exclusively the provider anymore,

01:29:25 ◼   ► then Apple puts up a choice screen,

01:29:27 ◼   ► and almost everyone picks Google,

01:29:28 ◼   ► and then Google continues to pay Apple a commission

01:29:31 ◼   ► on the ad rates, they probably won't lose much at all.

01:29:34 ◼   ► So obviously maybe Google's willing to pay a lower rate

01:29:37 ◼   ► per user if it's not exclusive,

01:29:39 ◼   ► 'cause it's long-term less valuable to them.

01:29:42 ◼   ► - Or if Google is smart, maybe Google would say,

01:29:44 ◼   ► our price is this, nothing.

01:29:46 ◼   ► We're not gonna pay you anything.

01:29:48 ◼   ► What are you gonna do now?

01:29:49 ◼   ► Just give people the choice,

01:29:50 ◼   ► they're not gonna pick us anyway, right?

01:29:51 ◼   ► 'Cause the whole thing is we were paying you

01:29:53 ◼   ► to be exclusive, and now if we can't be exclusive,

01:29:56 ◼   ► we'll take the 90% we're gonna get anyway.

01:29:58 ◼   ► - Right, exactly.

01:29:59 ◼   ► So there's lots of things that could go there,

01:30:00 ◼   ► but here's the problem with Apple calling this services

01:30:04 ◼   ► when it's clearly commissions.

01:30:07 ◼   ► Then, if they do lose a big chunk of money from this,

01:30:11 ◼   ► then the analyst narrative that they have been crafting

01:30:13 ◼   ► for years that Apple services are a big revenue-based

01:30:17 ◼   ► and growth area for the company,

01:30:19 ◼   ► then everyone starts saying the wrong thing.

01:30:21 ◼   ► Everyone starts saying Apple services took a huge hit.

01:30:25 ◼   ► - Oh, but the analysts would know,

01:30:26 ◼   ► and Apple would explain to them,

01:30:27 ◼   ► Apple would say, we have a 25% decline

01:30:30 ◼   ► in services income this quarter

01:30:31 ◼   ► because of the DOJ Google thing,

01:30:34 ◼   ► and analysts would know that and subtract it out,

01:30:35 ◼   ► and then what analysts would be doing is saying,

01:30:38 ◼   ► okay, we understand where that hit came from

01:30:39 ◼   ► and your stock's gonna go down, so tough luck,

01:30:41 ◼   ► but also, next quarter, what we're gonna look at is,

01:30:44 ◼   ► of the remaining pie wedge, is that growing?

01:30:47 ◼   ► And that's where they would take the hit.

01:30:48 ◼   ► If that's not growing.

01:30:50 ◼   ► And I don't actually honestly know,

01:30:51 ◼   ► and I don't think anybody knows,

01:30:52 ◼   ► 'cause we just have these points in time of like,

01:30:54 ◼   ► you know, what percentage of that pie wedge

01:30:56 ◼   ► is Google's revenue, and is the Google percentage

01:30:59 ◼   ► of the pie wedge growing or shrinking?

01:31:01 ◼   ► I don't think we actually know.

01:31:02 ◼   ► If you subtract out the Google payment from services,

01:31:06 ◼   ► what has the rate of Apple service growth been

01:31:09 ◼   ► over the past three years?

01:31:10 ◼   ► Maybe it's been declining minus that,

01:31:12 ◼   ► and maybe that's been keeping it up,

01:31:13 ◼   ► or maybe actually the Google revenue has been declining,

01:31:16 ◼   ► and it's been growing faster than that,

01:31:18 ◼   ► but we won't know that until it's subtracted out.

01:31:19 ◼   ► So the first time it disappears,

01:31:22 ◼   ► they're gonna explain it, and the analysts are gonna be,

01:31:24 ◼   ► yeah, this is the OG thing, you didn't get the money,

01:31:25 ◼   ► you didn't renegotiate a deal,

01:31:27 ◼   ► we're gonna punish your stock for it,

01:31:28 ◼   ► because you lost $20 billion or whatever, fine,

01:31:31 ◼   ► but the next time, they're gonna say,

01:31:32 ◼   ► now we can look at the remaining services and say,

01:31:35 ◼   ► is it actually growing?

01:31:36 ◼   ► And I don't actually know,

01:31:39 ◼   ► and I'm not sure anybody actually knows,

01:31:41 ◼   ► again, maybe services is growing faster

01:31:43 ◼   ► than it has been on a percentage basis

01:31:45 ◼   ► without the Google thing,

01:31:46 ◼   ► or maybe it's been growing much slower

01:31:47 ◼   ► than all the growth has been in Google,

01:31:49 ◼   ► but we'll find that out only after it is removed.

01:31:51 ◼   ► - Yeah, I mean, ultimately,

01:31:53 ◼   ► I don't think the classification is really that big a deal,

01:31:56 ◼   ► because any investors worth their salt,

01:32:00 ◼   ► or any analyst, I should say, that's worth their salt,

01:32:02 ◼   ► is going to be able to figure out what this is about,

01:32:04 ◼   ► and average day-to-day investors, like the individuals,

01:32:09 ◼   ► if they decide to sell because the revenue is down,

01:32:11 ◼   ► then so be it.

01:32:11 ◼   ► I don't really think they're gonna sweat that part of this.

01:32:15 ◼   ► I mean, I think they're gonna sweat losing that money,

01:32:17 ◼   ► but I feel like they can talk their way through it

01:32:20 ◼   ► in a way that would probably be satisfactory,

01:32:22 ◼   ► at least at first, to anyone that's paying attention.

01:32:25 ◼   ► And then, like John just said,

01:32:26 ◼   ► the rubber will hit the road the following quarter

01:32:28 ◼   ► to see, you know, can they make up some of that space?

01:32:31 ◼   ► And that's fine.

01:32:32 ◼   ► I mean, ultimately,

01:32:33 ◼   ► I don't have terribly strong opinions about this.

01:32:35 ◼   ► I think people choose Google,

01:32:38 ◼   ► like you both have been saying.

01:32:39 ◼   ► Like, they choose Google

01:32:40 ◼   ► because Google is in many ways the best,

01:32:42 ◼   ► and I think where it becomes gross,

01:32:44 ◼   ► and this is what Ben Thompson's been saying

01:32:46 ◼   ► on like dithering and on his own website,

01:32:48 ◼   ► where it becomes gross is when Google is contractually,

01:32:53 ◼   ► you know, entrenching themselves as a monopolist.

01:32:56 ◼   ► Like, if you got to be a monopolist by being really good,

01:32:58 ◼   ► then, well, okay, so be it.

01:32:59 ◼   ► But if you stay there by way of, you know,

01:33:02 ◼   ► contracts and law, that's, or maybe not law, but contracts,

01:33:06 ◼   ► you know, that's where it becomes gross

01:33:08 ◼   ► and apparently illegal.

01:33:09 ◼   ► - Yeah, and also, like, Google is the best,

01:33:12 ◼   ► partially because they have done everything they can

01:33:15 ◼   ► to box out competition.

01:33:16 ◼   ► So they'll stay the best if you never let anybody

01:33:18 ◼   ► who could potentially compete with you from getting better.

01:33:21 ◼   ► If you, you know, that like, it's sort of,

01:33:23 ◼   ► you can't just say like, well,

01:33:25 ◼   ► Google is the best 'cause everyone picks them,

01:33:26 ◼   ► and everyone picks them because they're the best.

01:33:28 ◼   ► If you don't also acknowledge, like, okay,

01:33:29 ◼   ► well then how is someone supposed to get better

01:33:31 ◼   ► and start competing with Google

01:33:32 ◼   ► when those exclusive contracts exist

01:33:33 ◼   ► that prevent competition?

01:33:34 ◼   ► And so I think things like this have been holding back Bing.

01:33:38 ◼   ► It's all speculative.

01:33:38 ◼   ► You can say, well, Bing would suck no matter what.

01:33:40 ◼   ► Maybe, maybe Bing would suck

01:33:42 ◼   ► even if these things didn't happen, right?

01:33:43 ◼   ► But we don't know, right?

01:33:44 ◼   ► The whole point is we actually want to have

01:33:46 ◼   ► a more level playing field.

01:33:48 ◼   ► Do not let the dominant player use their dominance

01:33:51 ◼   ► to prevent you from ever getting good enough, right?

01:33:53 ◼   ► And so even though we're all dismissively saying,

01:33:55 ◼   ► well, if you put a choice here,

01:33:56 ◼   ► and everyone's gonna pick Google anyway,

01:33:57 ◼   ► it's like maybe part of the reason that's true

01:34:00 ◼   ► is because Google has made sure

01:34:01 ◼   ► no one can compete with them.

01:34:03 ◼   ► - Yep, that's a really good point.

01:34:04 ◼   ► And I think the thing that I'm most interested in

01:34:09 ◼   ► about this is what it means for Apple's perspective

01:34:12 ◼   ► on services.

01:34:13 ◼   ► We glanced off this a few minutes ago,

01:34:14 ◼   ► but this is what Jason's post was largely about.

01:34:16 ◼   ► And I think the thing that kind of gives me pause

01:34:21 ◼   ► and creeps me out isn't really the right turn of phrase,

01:34:24 ◼   ► but I can't think of a better way to phrase it,

01:34:26 ◼   ► is that we just had a discussion

01:34:27 ◼   ► about how the security dialogues,

01:34:29 ◼   ► which are user hostile,

01:34:31 ◼   ► are constantly being thrown in our faces,

01:34:35 ◼   ► and there's becoming more and more and more of them.

01:34:37 ◼   ► And as we discussed already,

01:34:39 ◼   ► at a detriment to the user,

01:34:42 ◼   ► we're seeing more and more of these.

01:34:43 ◼   ► And whoever used to fight against these sorts of things

01:34:46 ◼   ► isn't winning that fight anymore.

01:34:48 ◼   ► We're also seeing more and more and more,

01:34:50 ◼   ► hey, have you heard about dark matter?

01:34:52 ◼   ► Hey, have you heard about that thing with Jake Gyllenhaal?

01:34:54 ◼   ► Hey, have you heard about MLS, whatever, whatever?

01:34:57 ◼   ► Hey, have you heard about Friday Night Lights?

01:34:59 ◼   ► We're getting more and more and more of these advertising,

01:35:01 ◼   ► and push notifications and things in settings and whatnot,

01:35:05 ◼   ► in a way that that doesn't feel like the Apple that,

01:35:08 ◼   ► not that I grew up on,

01:35:09 ◼   ► but for lack of a better turn of phrase, that I grew up on.

01:35:11 ◼   ► And the fact that all these things are happening,

01:35:14 ◼   ► that the people who used to say no to these things

01:35:19 ◼   ► apparently can't or won't say no anymore,

01:35:21 ◼   ► or maybe just aren't there anymore,

01:35:23 ◼   ► that's what gives me pause and gives me the heebie-jeebies,

01:35:26 ◼   ► is that I don't want Apple,

01:35:28 ◼   ► and this was the thesis of Jason's post,

01:35:29 ◼   ► I don't want Apple to lose sight

01:35:31 ◼   ► of what makes Apple so great,

01:35:32 ◼   ► and why we are so enthusiastic about Apple,

01:35:34 ◼   ► that we have done damn near 600 episodes of this show,

01:35:37 ◼   ► largely about this silly company.

01:35:40 ◼   ► I don't want them to lose that,

01:35:42 ◼   ► and I fear that I'm starting to see a little bit of smoke

01:35:46 ◼   ► around them losing sight of what makes them so special.

01:35:50 ◼   ► And things happen, sometimes mistakes are made,

01:35:55 ◼   ► and maybe they'll course correct, and maybe it'll be fine,

01:35:57 ◼   ► but I don't love this feeling that I just got this like,

01:36:00 ◼   ► ugh, that they're prioritizing services

01:36:04 ◼   ► to the detriment of other things,

01:36:06 ◼   ► that they're prioritizing security in some ways

01:36:09 ◼   ► to the detriment of other things like the user experience.

01:36:11 ◼   ► And I just, I don't love that,

01:36:12 ◼   ► and I feel like they're going too far

01:36:15 ◼   ► on a few of these things,

01:36:16 ◼   ► and I want there to be a better balance,

01:36:19 ◼   ► and this is one of those things where I want a better balance.

01:36:21 ◼   ► - Yeah, it was one of the places where

01:36:23 ◼   ► some aspects of Apple's corporate structure

01:36:26 ◼   ► have helped it in this way,

01:36:28 ◼   ► and I'm not quite sure how this works with the services

01:36:30 ◼   ► things, I mean, in a company that was really divided up

01:36:33 ◼   ► by like division, you could say, well,

01:36:34 ◼   ► the people in the services department

01:36:35 ◼   ► are totally incentivized to throw ads on our face

01:36:37 ◼   ► 'cause their whole point is make the line go up

01:36:40 ◼   ► on their services, right?

01:36:41 ◼   ► It makes sense, but like Apple has had counterbalances

01:36:45 ◼   ► against that by, for example, having back in the old days,

01:36:49 ◼   ► despite some of his bad decisions,

01:36:50 ◼   ► Johnny Ive as the head of user experience or UI or whatever

01:36:54 ◼   ► for the whole company, for everything,

01:36:56 ◼   ► every single product, hardware and software,

01:36:58 ◼   ► at one point it was like Johnny Ive and his department,

01:37:01 ◼   ► it's like, there's no division like,

01:37:03 ◼   ► oh, you're an Apple TV, oh, I can't tell you anything.

01:37:05 ◼   ► No, I cut across the whole company,

01:37:08 ◼   ► and I am in charge of the user experience,

01:37:10 ◼   ► of the Apple experience of using our product,

01:37:12 ◼   ► so whether it's a Mac, an iPhone, a pencil,

01:37:16 ◼   ► the music app on Mac OS, like software, hardware, anything,

01:37:24 ◼   ► someone was overseeing that and that group had expertise

01:37:28 ◼   ► and incentives to make good user experience

01:37:30 ◼   ► because they were judged on,

01:37:32 ◼   ► do people like Apple's products?

01:37:35 ◼   ► Do they think they're easy to use and pleasant to use?

01:37:38 ◼   ► Do they induce surprise and delight, right?

01:37:41 ◼   ► That's what they're motivated to do,

01:37:43 ◼   ► and maybe you in the Apple TV+ thing

01:37:45 ◼   ► is motivated to get more subscriptions,

01:37:46 ◼   ► but guess what, you gotta go through them

01:37:48 ◼   ► because you don't have your own UI team,

01:37:50 ◼   ► you gotta go through the Apple-wide UI team,

01:37:52 ◼   ► I forget what they call that type of organization,

01:37:54 ◼   ► but it's like, it's the opposite of divisions,

01:37:55 ◼   ► it's the opposite of having the Mac division,

01:37:58 ◼   ► the iPhone division, the iPad division,

01:37:59 ◼   ► and having them just have their own little kingdoms

01:38:02 ◼   ► and their own little worlds and own motivations

01:38:03 ◼   ► because that can distort each one of those products

01:38:07 ◼   ► because the people in that group are motivated

01:38:09 ◼   ► to like sell more iPhones or sell more iPads or whatever,

01:38:11 ◼   ► and for example, if you had the iPod as a division,

01:38:14 ◼   ► they'd be motivated to sell more iPods,

01:38:16 ◼   ► but sometimes the best thing to do

01:38:17 ◼   ► is not to sell more iPods,

01:38:18 ◼   ► it's to have the iPhone totally cannibalize the iPod.

01:38:21 ◼   ► That's the best for the company,

01:38:22 ◼   ► but if you had the iPod as a division,

01:38:24 ◼   ► they'd be fighting tooth and nail

01:38:24 ◼   ► to prevent that from happening,

01:38:25 ◼   ► and that's not healthy, right?

01:38:27 ◼   ► And I look at things like,

01:38:28 ◼   ► how the hell do come-ons about like,

01:38:31 ◼   ► you know, Apple payment and the Apple card and MLS

01:38:34 ◼   ► get into the settings app?

01:38:36 ◼   ► Like where is the cross-cutting user interface

01:38:39 ◼   ► design team on that?

01:38:42 ◼   ► 'Cause I know why like the Apple card people

01:38:44 ◼   ► want that to be there,

01:38:46 ◼   ► but to your point, Casey, like,

01:38:48 ◼   ► shouldn't there be the user experience team saying,

01:38:51 ◼   ► you may want that, but you can't have that,

01:38:53 ◼   ► and how are they losing that fight now?

01:38:54 ◼   ► Like how is that not taking place?

01:38:56 ◼   ► Where is that?

01:38:57 ◼   ► Like, I know Johnny Ive's gone,

01:38:59 ◼   ► and maybe they just know,

01:38:59 ◼   ► but like that department still exists,

01:39:01 ◼   ► and it still, as far as I know,

01:39:02 ◼   ► cuts across hardware and software.

01:39:04 ◼   ► Does it not cut across services?

01:39:06 ◼   ► This is a structural thing that's too much

01:39:08 ◼   ► like sort of inside baseball about how Apple works

01:39:11 ◼   ► that I'm too far removed from that I don't actually know,

01:39:13 ◼   ► but I would hope that the structures that prevented this

01:39:17 ◼   ► when with the hardware software divide

01:39:19 ◼   ► with like not having the iPod team, you know,

01:39:21 ◼   ► fighting to keep that product alive

01:39:22 ◼   ► when it was so clear that the iPhone

01:39:23 ◼   ► should sweep it away, right?

01:39:25 ◼   ► Whatever allowed that to happen,

01:39:27 ◼   ► I would hope those same checks and balances

01:39:28 ◼   ► are still in place,

01:39:29 ◼   ► but everything from the services side makes me think

01:39:32 ◼   ► that somehow they are excluded

01:39:35 ◼   ► from these checks and balances,

01:39:38 ◼   ► and that somehow are able to infect

01:39:39 ◼   ► the rest of the products, which is not great.

01:39:41 ◼   ► And like I said, it's not about the revenue.

01:39:43 ◼   ► I'm not worried about the services line going up

01:39:45 ◼   ► and the product line going down.

01:39:46 ◼   ► I would love it if the products were sold at cost

01:39:48 ◼   ► or were loss leaders,

01:39:49 ◼   ► and they made all their profit from high margin services

01:39:51 ◼   ► as long as the holistic experience

01:39:55 ◼   ► was the Apple experience that I know and love, right?

01:39:58 ◼   ► And it wasn't the throw ads in your face,

01:40:00 ◼   ► you know, crappy experiences

01:40:02 ◼   ► that the services people seem to want.

01:40:04 ◼   ► - All right, thank you to our sponsors this week,

01:40:06 ◼   ► Revenue Cat, Squarespace, and Delete Me,

01:40:08 ◼   ► and thanks to our members who support us directly.

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01:40:19 ◼   ► This week, members are going to hear about COSA,

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01:40:23 ◼   ► and the role of government in keeping kids safe online.

01:40:28 ◼   ► It's a pretty interesting kind of thorny topic.

01:40:30 ◼   ► We'll be talking about that in overtime.

01:40:30 ◼   ► You can hear it by joining as a member,

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01:40:37 ◼   ► (upbeat music)

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01:41:39 ◼   ► - So Marco doesn't really believe in the show notes

01:41:43 ◼   ► for the most part.

01:41:44 ◼   ► And every great once in a while,

01:41:46 ◼   ► little snippets will arrive.

01:41:47 ◼   ► And sometimes I just, I don't even know.

01:41:51 ◼   ► And sometimes I don't even wanna know what they're about.

01:41:53 ◼   ► In the after show section of our internal show notes,

01:41:56 ◼   ► I see the following, Marco's Rivian drama.

01:41:59 ◼   ► I'm sitting down, I'm leaning back.

01:42:03 ◼   ► All right, Marco, what's going on?

01:42:05 ◼   ► - I feel like we already did Rivian drama.

01:42:07 ◼   ► Could there possibly be more Rivian drama?

01:42:10 ◼   ► - Narrator says, "Oh wait, there's more."

01:42:12 ◼   ► All right, so there's two areas of drama.

01:42:15 ◼   ► One is, remember when John said

01:42:19 ◼   ► after I got half of my car disassembled,

01:42:21 ◼   ► he's like, at some point if that happened to my car,

01:42:24 ◼   ► there'd be like rattles and stuff everywhere.

01:42:26 ◼   ► - I don't think that's a fair paraphrase,

01:42:29 ◼   ► but I always said I worry about if a large amount

01:42:32 ◼   ► of a complicated product is disassembled, like in the shop,

01:42:35 ◼   ► I worry that it's not gonna go back together

01:42:37 ◼   ► the same way it was.

01:42:38 ◼   ► - Well, I now have a substantial amount more wind noise

01:42:42 ◼   ► coming from the right side of my car than I did before.

01:42:44 ◼   ► - Oh no, oh no.

01:42:46 ◼   ► - So I'll have to get that looked at.

01:42:47 ◼   ► It was not perfect before.

01:42:48 ◼   ► Before the repair, if Tiff ever rolled down

01:42:51 ◼   ► the passenger side window while the vehicle was in motion,

01:42:54 ◼   ► when she rolled it back up again, you'd hear wind noise.

01:42:57 ◼   ► Until we stopped, she would open the door

01:43:00 ◼   ► and close the door, and that would fix it.

01:43:01 ◼   ► So there's obviously somewhat of a seal issue on that window.

01:43:05 ◼   ► - So strange, it seems like such an error

01:43:07 ◼   ► to have a vehicle.

01:43:08 ◼   ► (laughing)

01:43:09 ◼   ► It's brick-shape, it cheats the wind.

01:43:12 ◼   ► (laughing)

01:43:13 ◼   ► - Now there is substantially more wind noise

01:43:16 ◼   ► from the right side and some occasional hums

01:43:19 ◼   ► at certain speeds, so.

01:43:20 ◼   ► - You just need to back into a stump

01:43:21 ◼   ► with your other side of the bumper.

01:43:23 ◼   ► - Yeah, that'll fix it.

01:43:23 ◼   ► (laughing)

01:43:24 ◼   ► - Then you balance out the wind noise,

01:43:25 ◼   ► it will cancel out like force-canceling woofers.

01:43:28 ◼   ► - Yeah, so I have to deal with that at some point.

01:43:30 ◼   ► God knows if it's gonna be a mess of like,

01:43:32 ◼   ► who deals with it, the body shop or Rivian service?

01:43:35 ◼   ► Who knows?

01:43:36 ◼   ► We'll find that out.

01:43:37 ◼   ► That's part of the problem.

01:43:40 ◼   ► So I took a long trip with the Rivian this past weekend.

01:43:45 ◼   ► After the first fast charge at a Rivian charger,

01:43:50 ◼   ► the Rivian Adventure Network charger, which is very good,

01:43:53 ◼   ► I pulled away from the charger and I got a bunch of warnings

01:43:57 ◼   ► on the dash saying, "Battery fault, service SUV immediately."

01:44:01 ◼   ► - Oh, that's definitely reassuring

01:44:04 ◼   ► as you're presumably two to three to four hours

01:44:06 ◼   ► away from home.

01:44:07 ◼   ► - On a multi-hour trip that I intend to keep going on,

01:44:11 ◼   ► going to an event that, you know,

01:44:12 ◼   ► we were going to a friend's wedding in Canada,

01:44:15 ◼   ► so it's a bit of a drive.

01:44:17 ◼   ► So I'm like, well, let's see if I can just defer this service

01:44:22 ◼   ► 'til I get home, try to go,

01:44:24 ◼   ► and I notice the car's going extremely slowly.

01:44:29 ◼   ► - This sounds all too familiar

01:44:30 ◼   ► and I am having real bad flashbacks right now.

01:44:33 ◼   ► - It's running on half the number of cylinders.

01:44:36 ◼   ► (laughing)

01:44:37 ◼   ► - So I pulled into a gas station and I'm like,

01:44:39 ◼   ► it's barely usable, I'm like, what do I do?

01:44:43 ◼   ► So I thought, let me try, this is a computer product.

01:44:47 ◼   ► - Yeah, you gotta reboot it.

01:44:48 ◼   ► - I'll try rebooting it, that's it.

01:44:50 ◼   ► - Never fails, never fails, number one diagnostic technique.

01:44:53 ◼   ► - Yep, and I had to do this for Tesla

01:44:56 ◼   ► on a fairly regular basis as well.

01:44:58 ◼   ► You figure out, oh, you push the steering wheel button

01:45:00 ◼   ► and something else for a few seconds.

01:45:01 ◼   ► With Rivian, it's so funny, it's like you push

01:45:03 ◼   ► the left steering wheel button and the emergency flasher

01:45:07 ◼   ► button on the roof, so it feels just like

01:45:10 ◼   ► control alt delete for a car.

01:45:11 ◼   ► - You should have to hold down the horn as part of it.

01:45:14 ◼   ► (laughing)

01:45:14 ◼   ► You hold down the power button and the horn is like,

01:45:16 ◼   ► ha, what is that, oh, somebody's just rebooting the Rivian.

01:45:19 ◼   ► - Right, exactly.

01:45:20 ◼   ► So it's this ridiculous process, but I did the full reboot

01:45:24 ◼   ► and they even warn you when doing that,

01:45:27 ◼   ► there's a couple of minor reboots,

01:45:28 ◼   ► but if you do the big reboot, they even say,

01:45:31 ◼   ► don't do this more than once an hour

01:45:33 ◼   ► because certain subsystems might take that long

01:45:36 ◼   ► to come back up.

01:45:38 ◼   ► Like, okay, that's a little disconcerting as well,

01:45:41 ◼   ► but fine, we'll deal with that.

01:45:43 ◼   ► So anyway, I do the full reboot, the car,

01:45:46 ◼   ► it takes like five minutes to reboot.

01:45:47 ◼   ► It comes up, it's fine, okay.

01:45:50 ◼   ► - This is basically what happened with us,

01:45:52 ◼   ► if I recall correctly.

01:45:53 ◼   ► When it came back up, it was not fine for just a moment

01:45:56 ◼   ► and then within moments of you driving away,

01:45:58 ◼   ► if I recall correctly, it was fine.

01:46:00 ◼   ► - Yeah, this was fine immediately this time.

01:46:02 ◼   ► So I'm like, okay, well, I guess I need to get service,

01:46:04 ◼   ► but maybe I can continue this trip

01:46:05 ◼   ► and get service like next week

01:46:07 ◼   ► and not right now and canceling this trip

01:46:10 ◼   ► or getting a rental car and leaving my car

01:46:12 ◼   ► in Newburgh or whatever.

01:46:13 ◼   ► So anyway, so, continue on the trip, fine.

01:46:17 ◼   ► At the next charging stop,

01:46:21 ◼   ► when I plugged in the fast charger,

01:46:24 ◼   ► now I should clarify, at the next charging stop,

01:46:27 ◼   ► this was the only charger in a pretty big area.

01:46:32 ◼   ► I knew it was there and so I kinda took a risk to get to it.

01:46:37 ◼   ► I arrived at it with like 10% charge.

01:46:40 ◼   ► It's a pretty low amount of charge

01:46:41 ◼   ► and it was like, if I really had to go to another charger,

01:46:44 ◼   ► I could maybe make it, but it would be a stretch.

01:46:48 ◼   ► I really needed to charge here.

01:46:50 ◼   ► So I get there, 10% and I plug in

01:46:53 ◼   ► and the charger will not start.

01:46:55 ◼   ► Every time it's about to start,

01:46:58 ◼   ► the car shows a message saying,

01:46:59 ◼   ► battery fault, please service immediately.

01:47:02 ◼   ► - Oh no.

01:47:03 ◼   ► - So I'm like, oh, now my car won't charge

01:47:07 ◼   ► on a trip when I'm in the middle of nowhere at 10%.

01:47:11 ◼   ► This is not good.

01:47:12 ◼   ► So I try, let me reboot again.

01:47:18 ◼   ► After the reboot, it comes back up,

01:47:20 ◼   ► the problem is fixed, I can charge again.

01:47:22 ◼   ► Okay, woo!

01:47:24 ◼   ► On the way home, I arrive at this charger.

01:47:28 ◼   ► Now I should clarify what this charger is.

01:47:30 ◼   ► This is an Electrify America charger.

01:47:31 ◼   ► Now I have, when I first got the Rivian a year ago,

01:47:35 ◼   ► I believe I said on this show,

01:47:37 ◼   ► Electrify America chargers are fine.

01:47:39 ◼   ► They're plentiful, they work, some of them are pretty fast.

01:47:43 ◼   ► So it's fine and it's competitive with the superchargers

01:47:47 ◼   ► in terms of like utility that it offers on a long road trip

01:47:51 ◼   ► and a vehicle that has a CCS plug

01:47:53 ◼   ► and has no supercharger access is fine to own

01:47:56 ◼   ► because Electrify America stations are pretty decent.

01:47:59 ◼   ► And I believe I gave an update to that statement

01:48:01 ◼   ► a few months ago that my experience with them

01:48:05 ◼   ► was declining rapidly, that it seemed like

01:48:08 ◼   ► even within the span of one year

01:48:11 ◼   ► that Electrify America's chargers,

01:48:13 ◼   ► which are the primary decent fast chargers

01:48:17 ◼   ► that are not Tesla's port in the US,

01:48:21 ◼   ► but that Electrify America's chargers were,

01:48:23 ◼   ► in my experience, declining quickly,

01:48:25 ◼   ► that there were way more breakages of them.

01:48:27 ◼   ► Like you show up and half of them aren't working

01:48:30 ◼   ► to our earlier conversation.

01:48:32 ◼   ► And way longer lines, you have to actually wait

01:48:35 ◼   ► to get to them sometimes because there's been so many EVs

01:48:38 ◼   ► sold in the last couple of years in the US,

01:48:41 ◼   ► which is great, EVs are taking off.

01:48:43 ◼   ► They're everywhere, especially in wealthy areas

01:48:45 ◼   ► like New York, they're getting very, very common.

01:48:49 ◼   ► But the problem is that the Electrify America network

01:48:53 ◼   ► and chargers not only have not scaled

01:48:57 ◼   ► to address the growth, but also are actually getting worse

01:49:02 ◼   ► because they keep breaking and it seems like

01:49:04 ◼   ► no one is fixing them.

01:49:05 ◼   ► So this is what this station was.

01:49:08 ◼   ► I stopped there, on the way up, it has four chargers

01:49:12 ◼   ► in the middle of this giant parking lot surrounded

01:49:14 ◼   ► by big box retail stores, four chargers.

01:49:16 ◼   ► On the way up, only three of them were working.

01:49:19 ◼   ► And I had to wait 20 minutes.

01:49:21 ◼   ► And then when I actually finally plugged in,

01:49:24 ◼   ► it advertised that it could go up to 350 kilowatts

01:49:27 ◼   ► and it went 90.

01:49:28 ◼   ► So okay, not a great showing.

01:49:30 ◼   ► When I get to the same station on the way home,

01:49:33 ◼   ► only two of them are working.

01:49:35 ◼   ► - Why would you go to the same one?

01:49:36 ◼   ► Go to a different one.

01:49:37 ◼   ► - There's nothing else around.

01:49:39 ◼   ► That's why.

01:49:41 ◼   ► So I get there, only two of the four are working.

01:49:45 ◼   ► They're all full, of course, when I get there.

01:49:47 ◼   ► Now of course, I do what everyone does

01:49:50 ◼   ► when they pull up to Electrify America charger

01:49:52 ◼   ► that has two open bays because the things are dead.

01:49:55 ◼   ► I pull into one of them and say, let's try it.

01:49:58 ◼   ► What the heck?

01:49:58 ◼   ► Maybe it'll work for me.

01:50:00 ◼   ► And of course, I pull in and it doesn't work for me,

01:50:02 ◼   ► so I back out and I kind of get in a position

01:50:05 ◼   ► that suggests I'm in line.

01:50:08 ◼   ► 'Cause see, this is the problem with car chargers.

01:50:11 ◼   ► - It's like the Apple store.

01:50:12 ◼   ► - Yeah. (laughs)

01:50:13 ◼   ► Imagine the Apple store, but with way higher stakes

01:50:17 ◼   ► and everyone's mad and there's no one working it.

01:50:20 ◼   ► - And they're the size of cars.

01:50:22 ◼   ► - Right.

01:50:22 ◼   ► - So you can't easily jockey for jostling around

01:50:25 ◼   ► to form some amorphous blob of checkout.

01:50:27 ◼   ► Imagine that, but with pieces of steel,

01:50:28 ◼   ► they can't touch each other.

01:50:29 ◼   ► - Exactly, or it'll cost $20,000.

01:50:32 ◼   ► So anyway, so the problem with EV charging.

01:50:35 ◼   ► Now again, before this I had Teslas, of course,

01:50:38 ◼   ► so I've done a lot of EV charging.

01:50:40 ◼   ► EV charging logistics, when you're at a fast charger

01:50:43 ◼   ► on a highway trip, again, these are unstaffed.

01:50:46 ◼   ► No one is working the chargers.

01:50:48 ◼   ► No one is watching the chargers.

01:50:49 ◼   ► No one is policing the chargers.

01:50:51 ◼   ► It is just unstaffed, almost public infrastructure.

01:50:55 ◼   ► You show up and you hope that nothing bad happens

01:50:59 ◼   ► and you hope your car can get there

01:51:01 ◼   ► and people won't mess with it

01:51:03 ◼   ► and other people won't be a problem,

01:51:05 ◼   ► because again, there's no one working it.

01:51:07 ◼   ► - That's why they should be selling potato chips

01:51:08 ◼   ► in a little hut with a strolling teenager in there,

01:51:10 ◼   ► 'cause then he at least knows, hey,

01:51:11 ◼   ► one of the things went out and send an email

01:51:14 ◼   ► to somebody who comes and fix it eventually,

01:51:15 ◼   ► but with nobody there and with Target doesn't care.

01:51:18 ◼   ► You know what I mean?

01:51:19 ◼   ► It's just there's literally zero people to notice,

01:51:21 ◼   ► hey, everything is breaking.

01:51:23 ◼   ► Call the people who come and fix it.

01:51:26 ◼   ► That probably happens on a week or a month lag

01:51:29 ◼   ► when just enough people get angry about showing up there

01:51:31 ◼   ► and having it not work and send some angry email

01:51:33 ◼   ► when they get home.

01:51:34 ◼   ► - Right, exactly.

01:51:35 ◼   ► And so, the thing is, when I was first in the EV,

01:51:40 ◼   ► first in the EV world, it was pretty much only Teslas

01:51:45 ◼   ► that were getting any kind of traction,

01:51:47 ◼   ► and certainly at Tesla's own chargers, it was only Teslas.

01:51:49 ◼   ► Superchargers tend to be built with lots of bays.

01:51:53 ◼   ► Even back when I first got Tesla,

01:51:55 ◼   ► I mean, 2016 I think was my first one, it was a while ago.

01:51:59 ◼   ► So even back then, the superchargers that would be built

01:52:02 ◼   ► with like six, eight, 12 bays,

01:52:05 ◼   ► so there were a lot of bays,

01:52:06 ◼   ► and because it was only Teslas

01:52:08 ◼   ► and because it was so long ago, there was never a wait.

01:52:11 ◼   ► There was always capacity, and you would show up,

01:52:14 ◼   ► and the only other car that would be there

01:52:16 ◼   ► would be some other nerd or hippie who bought a Tesla.

01:52:20 ◼   ► So it was a very different crowd,

01:52:23 ◼   ► and a much smaller one than what is at

01:52:28 ◼   ► a modern Electrify America charger today.

01:52:32 ◼   ► So today, you show up to these chargers,

01:52:34 ◼   ► and they are almost always full or almost full.

01:52:39 ◼   ► Now, the entire idea of an unmonitored, unstaffed,

01:52:44 ◼   ► unpoliced charger totally falls apart when you have to wait,

01:52:50 ◼   ► 'cause now it's anarchy.

01:52:53 ◼   ► Like when you have to wait, now it's like,

01:52:55 ◼   ► okay, we're gonna kind of form a weird queue,

01:52:58 ◼   ► and everyone's gonna kind of keep track,

01:52:59 ◼   ► oh, you were here first, then you, then you,

01:53:02 ◼   ► but what happens if someone jumps the line

01:53:05 ◼   ► or is a jerk or has a dispute over who was first?

01:53:09 ◼   ► - You should just put your quarter up on the charger.

01:53:11 ◼   ► (laughing)

01:53:13 ◼   ► Kids listening, a quarter is a unit of currency

01:53:16 ◼   ► that comes in coin form.

01:53:17 ◼   ► (laughing)

01:53:18 ◼   ► See, I thought I was gonna explain the arcade thing,

01:53:20 ◼   ► but now I'm trying to explain coins.

01:53:21 ◼   ► - Yep, I sure did.

01:53:22 ◼   ► - 'Cause how many kids know what coins are?

01:53:24 ◼   ► - Fair enough.

01:53:26 ◼   ► They barely know what cash is anymore.

01:53:28 ◼   ► Anyway, so we arrive at this charger on the way home.

01:53:31 ◼   ► Again, I have something like 12%,

01:53:34 ◼   ► like I'm not gonna make it to the next one.

01:53:37 ◼   ► And the two that are working are, of course, taken,

01:53:40 ◼   ► and there's another car waiting.

01:53:41 ◼   ► So I'm gonna be the second in line for the next one.

01:53:45 ◼   ► And of course, there's nowhere to park

01:53:47 ◼   ► that would form a natural line.

01:53:49 ◼   ► It's just like these things on the side of a parking lot

01:53:51 ◼   ► with one of those kind of parking lot through streets

01:53:54 ◼   ► right in front of it, so there's not even really space

01:53:56 ◼   ► around it to form a weird queue.

01:53:59 ◼   ► So we just kind of pull up near it and hope for the best.

01:54:02 ◼   ► The car on the end, one of the active cars,

01:54:05 ◼   ► is parked comically diagonally across two spots.

01:54:09 ◼   ► Like, it's chaos.

01:54:12 ◼   ► So I'm like, all right, I'll wait.

01:54:14 ◼   ► And because EV charging takes a half hour or whatever,

01:54:18 ◼   ► most people who charge their car don't stay in it.

01:54:21 ◼   ► They get out of the car and they go over

01:54:23 ◼   ► to one of the big box stores that's nearby

01:54:25 ◼   ► and go to the bathroom, do some shopping, whatever.

01:54:29 ◼   ► - Now it's the communal laundry machine at college

01:54:31 ◼   ► where it's like, the person's not there,

01:54:33 ◼   ► but their load is done, so you take those wet clothes out

01:54:35 ◼   ► and you shove it on top of the machine

01:54:36 ◼   ► and you put your clothes in,

01:54:37 ◼   ► but kind of hard to do that with a car.

01:54:39 ◼   ► - Interesting that you mention that.

01:54:41 ◼   ► So, as we're sitting there waiting,

01:54:44 ◼   ► this becomes, this is a pretty long wait,

01:54:46 ◼   ► and so everyone's upset.

01:54:48 ◼   ► So the one car waiting is upset, everyone else is upset.

01:54:51 ◼   ► Eventually, one of the cars finishes,

01:54:55 ◼   ► the one person in front of me,

01:54:56 ◼   ► they get to take that spot.

01:54:58 ◼   ► Okay, so now I'm next in line.

01:55:00 ◼   ► The diagonally parked car is still there.

01:55:01 ◼   ► It's been there for a while.

01:55:03 ◼   ► So I'm like, I wonder how close they are to finish.

01:55:06 ◼   ► Let me get out and look.

01:55:06 ◼   ► I get out, I walk over, their screen says 81%.

01:55:10 ◼   ► I'm like, great, that means this person

01:55:12 ◼   ► is gonna be done really soon.

01:55:15 ◼   ► I'm gonna get this spot next, this'll be great.

01:55:17 ◼   ► And a few minutes later, a woman walks up to this car

01:55:20 ◼   ► and I'm like, yes, this is it, finally gonna be us.

01:55:23 ◼   ► She walked over the car, she opens the door,

01:55:25 ◼   ► pulls out of the car, one of those clear, square

01:55:28 ◼   ► to-go containers full of salad, opens it up

01:55:32 ◼   ► and starts eating the salad and closes the car door

01:55:34 ◼   ► and walks away with the salad to disappear

01:55:37 ◼   ► into the nearby shopping center.

01:55:40 ◼   ► - No, no. - Yeah, and I'm like, uh-oh.

01:55:42 ◼   ► She's not leaving, but her car's, at this point,

01:55:45 ◼   ► probably well into the 80s.

01:55:47 ◼   ► Like, what's gonna happen?

01:55:48 ◼   ► Like, what, where is she going?

01:55:49 ◼   ► No, go! - She wants that 100%.

01:55:52 ◼   ► And so Tiff and I are like, where, like,

01:55:55 ◼   ► and of course, so we name her Salad.

01:55:56 ◼   ► We're like, where did Salad go?

01:55:58 ◼   ► Like, when's Salad coming back?

01:56:00 ◼   ► And like, surely the car has to be like,

01:56:01 ◼   ► in the 90s by now.

01:56:02 ◼   ► And then, as we're wondering where Salad went,

01:56:05 ◼   ► another car pulls up and two dudes get out.

01:56:09 ◼   ► And I use the term dudes with some emphasis here.

01:56:13 ◼   ► These are the kind of guys who, if they walk up

01:56:16 ◼   ► to a bunch of people at an elevator,

01:56:18 ◼   ► who are standing waiting for the elevator to come,

01:56:20 ◼   ► they're the kind of guys who will tap the button

01:56:22 ◼   ► like this.

01:56:23 ◼   ► Like, really, like, just like tap it a thousand times,

01:56:26 ◼   ► just 'cause they assume, of course,

01:56:27 ◼   ► none of you thought to push the button.

01:56:29 ◼   ► And not only do you not think to push the button,

01:56:31 ◼   ► but if you push the button very aggressively,

01:56:32 ◼   ► maybe the elevator will come faster.

01:56:34 ◼   ► It's those kinds of dudes who come up.

01:56:37 ◼   ► They come up, of course, they try both of the other spots

01:56:40 ◼   ► that don't work, 'cause again, it doesn't work

01:56:43 ◼   ► for anyone else.

01:56:44 ◼   ► The app says it doesn't work, but hey, maybe,

01:56:46 ◼   ► maybe it'll work for these dudes.

01:56:48 ◼   ► Of course not.

01:56:49 ◼   ► Then, they look over at Salads' car,

01:56:52 ◼   ► and they unplug it.

01:56:55 ◼   ► - Wait, that's possible?

01:56:57 ◼   ► I didn't think that was possible.

01:56:58 ◼   ► Some of them have locking mechanisms, but not all of them.

01:57:01 ◼   ► - Exactly.

01:57:01 ◼   ► Some of them, the cables lock in, for this reason.

01:57:05 ◼   ► (laughs)

01:57:06 ◼   ► Keep in mind, and this is one of the things,

01:57:07 ◼   ► all Teslas lock their cables in.

01:57:09 ◼   ► The reason why is because, first of all,

01:57:12 ◼   ► things like this, but when Tesla was first

01:57:14 ◼   ► entering the market, there was, and still in some places is,

01:57:18 ◼   ► but especially back then, there was a lot of,

01:57:21 ◼   ► let's say, conservative people who would even vandalize,

01:57:26 ◼   ► or try to vandalize EVs.

01:57:28 ◼   ► Their mere existence angered certain people in the US.

01:57:32 ◼   ► Tesla had to design their systems

01:57:36 ◼   ► to be a little bit defensive.

01:57:38 ◼   ► That's one of the reasons why the Tesla plug

01:57:40 ◼   ► locks into the vehicle, and why you can't stop a Tesla

01:57:44 ◼   ► from charging if the car is locked

01:57:46 ◼   ► and the person's not there.

01:57:48 ◼   ► I mean, you can try to cut the cable, I guess,

01:57:50 ◼   ► but that would be quite an operation.

01:57:52 ◼   ► - Don't do that, please.

01:57:53 ◼   ► - Yeah, for lots of reasons.

01:57:55 ◼   ► You will probably kill yourself,

01:57:56 ◼   ► and also you shouldn't do it for lots of other reasons.

01:57:58 ◼   ► But anyway, Salad's car is unplugged.

01:58:01 ◼   ► Now, we are in line right behind Salad,

01:58:03 ◼   ► and we're like, when she comes back,

01:58:06 ◼   ► she's gonna think we unplugged it.

01:58:08 ◼   ► - Sure is.

01:58:09 ◼   ► - And then there's gonna be a conflict

01:58:11 ◼   ► that I really don't want, and I'm like, oh, God.

01:58:13 ◼   ► This makes me look really bad,

01:58:16 ◼   ► 'cause these dudes came and unplugged it.

01:58:18 ◼   ► And oh, and the dudes motioned to me to say,

01:58:20 ◼   ► oh, come pull up next to her and start plugging into it.

01:58:23 ◼   ► They want me to pull up diagonally next

01:58:25 ◼   ► to her diagonally parked car.

01:58:26 ◼   ► - Oh, no.

01:58:27 ◼   ► - Which, of course, I'm like, then I'm gonna walk away.

01:58:30 ◼   ► She's gonna come back thinking I did this,

01:58:32 ◼   ► and maybe vandalize my car or something.

01:58:34 ◼   ► There's another $20,000.

01:58:36 ◼   ► (laughing)

01:58:37 ◼   ► There's so many parts of this that I do not want this.

01:58:40 ◼   ► I'm like, now what?

01:58:41 ◼   ► So I told these guys, no, I'm gonna wait for her to come back.

01:58:45 ◼   ► I'm not taking that, I'm not doing that.

01:58:47 ◼   ► But they had unplugged it.

01:58:50 ◼   ► They even then closed her flap to the plug.

01:58:55 ◼   ► And I'm like, I can't believe the gall of these dudes.

01:58:59 ◼   ► - What were they driving?

01:59:01 ◼   ► - The Kia thing that I like, the hatchback-y one.

01:59:05 ◼   ► - The EV6? - EV6?

01:59:07 ◼   ► - No, the good one, the five, I think.

01:59:09 ◼   ► - The Ionic 5? - Yeah, that's it.

01:59:11 ◼   ► Yeah, okay, Nokia, right, okay.

01:59:13 ◼   ► Whatever, yeah, the head of the Ionic 5.

01:59:15 ◼   ► Anyway, now the car's unplugged.

01:59:18 ◼   ► It's starting to rain.

01:59:19 ◼   ► We're like, where the heck is Salad?

01:59:21 ◼   ► Now it's raining, she's stuck in the mall somewhere.

01:59:23 ◼   ► I'm like, now what do we do?

01:59:25 ◼   ► Oh God, she's gonna come back, she's gonna see us.

01:59:28 ◼   ► We're gonna have to explain to her.

01:59:29 ◼   ► Tiff's like, don't worry, I'll explain to her.

01:59:31 ◼   ► I'm a woman, she'll get it.

01:59:32 ◼   ► No, that's not, I don't want any of this.

01:59:34 ◼   ► I'm freaking out.

01:59:36 ◼   ► - Tiff's gonna get beat up.

01:59:37 ◼   ► - If there was any other charger nearby,

01:59:40 ◼   ► I would've just left.

01:59:40 ◼   ► I'm like, I don't wanna deal with this,

01:59:41 ◼   ► but I couldn't go anywhere else.

01:59:43 ◼   ► Eventually, the other car, eventually,

01:59:48 ◼   ► the other one that was working, that car finishes.

01:59:52 ◼   ► Thank God, I'll take that spot.

01:59:54 ◼   ► I position myself, I would say extremely aggressively

01:59:58 ◼   ► as they pull out so that the dude car

02:00:01 ◼   ► does not take this spot.

02:00:03 ◼   ► - Suddenly you don't care about another $20,000 repair.

02:00:05 ◼   ► - Yeah, I'm like, I am not gonna have a conflict

02:00:08 ◼   ► with Salad over this unplugging incident

02:00:10 ◼   ► that I would never do.

02:00:12 ◼   ► So finally, I pull in, I get my spot, I start.

02:00:16 ◼   ► Of course, the dudes immediately go diagonally

02:00:19 ◼   ► parked next to Salad and take her cable.

02:00:21 ◼   ► I'm like, if you don't, fine.

02:00:22 ◼   ► But you're plugged in, we got out,

02:00:24 ◼   ► the dudes get over there.

02:00:25 ◼   ► And of course, Tiff was like, the way the dudes

02:00:29 ◼   ► use their car was the car version of manspreading.

02:00:33 ◼   ► Like, they opened, they parked next to Salad diagonally,

02:00:36 ◼   ► and they opened up every door and the trunk,

02:00:39 ◼   ► and the car was just like spread out across the whole,

02:00:42 ◼   ► and we're like, of course these dudes.

02:00:45 ◼   ► But anyway, so we get out and we're like, this is perfect.

02:00:51 ◼   ► Now, when Salad comes back, she can deal with these dudes

02:00:54 ◼   ► who actually did it.

02:00:55 ◼   ► We are outta here.

02:00:58 ◼   ► So we go do some shopping ourselves.

02:01:01 ◼   ► - Wait, you went to do some shopping?

02:01:02 ◼   ► I would be in that car waiting for Salad to come back.

02:01:04 ◼   ► There's no way I'd wanna miss that.

02:01:05 ◼   ► - Yeah, I would wanna watch, absolutely.

02:01:07 ◼   ► I want the, I'm so conflict avoided.

02:01:09 ◼   ► I'm like, I don't even wanna see this.

02:01:11 ◼   ► I don't want any part of this.

02:01:12 ◼   ► - You could get splash damage from the conflict though.

02:01:16 ◼   ► Get to defend your car.

02:01:18 ◼   ► - So anyway, we're shopping.

02:01:20 ◼   ► The charge is going actually impressively fast.

02:01:22 ◼   ► That time it went to 150 kilowatts.

02:01:23 ◼   ► Like, all right, that's good.

02:01:25 ◼   ► And then I get a notice as I am shopping

02:01:29 ◼   ► that charging has stopped on my car at about 82%.

02:01:34 ◼   ► - Oh, well that's not so bad.

02:01:35 ◼   ► - I'm like, well, I mean, I need it.

02:01:37 ◼   ► I was hoping to get until like 85, 90, but okay.

02:01:40 ◼   ► That's weird though.

02:01:41 ◼   ► Why did the charger stop charging my car?

02:01:43 ◼   ► And the app just said like waiting on charger or something.

02:01:46 ◼   ► I'm like, I bet they tried to unplug me.

02:01:49 ◼   ► - Does the Rivian lock in?

02:01:50 ◼   ► - It sure does.

02:01:52 ◼   ► But if you push the release button

02:01:55 ◼   ► on Electrify America charger, it stops charging.

02:01:58 ◼   ► So you are able to stop someone's charge,

02:02:01 ◼   ► but if their cable's locked in, you just can't take it.

02:02:04 ◼   ► So you've just now stopped it for no reason

02:02:06 ◼   ► and then you're just wasting time.

02:02:08 ◼   ► So, (laughs)

02:02:10 ◼   ► so sure enough, I go back to the car.

02:02:13 ◼   ► Those dudes have since left.

02:02:15 ◼   ► Now there are two new vehicles waiting.

02:02:20 ◼   ► One of them is of course a giant truck

02:02:23 ◼   ► with a guy who is exactly what you'd expect

02:02:25 ◼   ► the kind of guy to be driving a giant truck.

02:02:28 ◼   ► And the other one is just some other dude.

02:02:29 ◼   ► And you could tell they are having a heated discussion,

02:02:33 ◼   ► possibly over who goes next.

02:02:36 ◼   ► And I walk up and Tiff and I get in the car

02:02:39 ◼   ► and I unplug my charger and we just get

02:02:43 ◼   ► the hell out of there.

02:02:44 ◼   ► I said nothing, I didn't look at them.

02:02:47 ◼   ► I said nothing to them.

02:02:48 ◼   ► I'm just like, you know what?

02:02:49 ◼   ► Screw these guys.

02:02:50 ◼   ► They can fight it out themselves.

02:02:52 ◼   ► I am getting the hell out of here.

02:02:54 ◼   ► We went to the next charger down the road to top off.

02:02:58 ◼   ► And it was one of those that's a combo supercharger

02:03:02 ◼   ► and Electrify America in the same parking lot.

02:03:04 ◼   ► And there were 12 chargers.

02:03:07 ◼   ► Four were occupied.

02:03:09 ◼   ► There was a family playing catch in a field next to them.

02:03:13 ◼   ► It was like an oasis of peace.

02:03:15 ◼   ► (both laughing)

02:03:18 ◼   ► Anyway, that's all that is to say.

02:03:20 ◼   ► The Electrify America charging experience

02:03:23 ◼   ► is really I think degrading quite a lot

02:03:28 ◼   ► to the point where even as my car is breaking,

02:03:32 ◼   ► oh and I did have to reboot it two more times

02:03:34 ◼   ► at different chargers on the trip.

02:03:35 ◼   ► Even as my car is weirdly breaking

02:03:38 ◼   ► and I have to maybe get it serviced.

02:03:39 ◼   ► - Maybe get it serviced?

02:03:41 ◼   ► You have to get it serviced.

02:03:42 ◼   ► I hope it's already in the shop.

02:03:43 ◼   ► - Yes, seriously. - Well, it's not yet.

02:03:44 ◼   ► I have to schedule it now.

02:03:45 ◼   ► But I've been traveling until yesterday.

02:03:48 ◼   ► So it's been an ordeal.

02:03:51 ◼   ► But I will never buy any EV for the foreseeable future

02:03:57 ◼   ► that cannot at least also use Tesla's superchargers.

02:04:02 ◼   ► There's so many great options on the market right now

02:04:05 ◼   ► that only have CCS plugs for the next year

02:04:07 ◼   ► or two or three maybe.

02:04:08 ◼   ► And then they'll convert to NACS.

02:04:11 ◼   ► There are certain brands that have deals with Tesla

02:04:13 ◼   ► or can use adapters.

02:04:15 ◼   ► I will not buy any other EV.

02:04:17 ◼   ► And I cannot recommend that anybody else buy any EV

02:04:22 ◼   ► that cannot somehow either natively or through an adapter

02:04:25 ◼   ► use Tesla superchargers in the US.

02:04:28 ◼   ► Because the rest of the charging scene

02:04:30 ◼   ► is getting bad very quickly.

02:04:32 ◼   ► It's only going to keep getting bad.

02:04:34 ◼   ► And what if you were in a situation

02:04:36 ◼   ► where you have to stand up for yourself in a charger

02:04:39 ◼   ► and say you're a woman.

02:04:41 ◼   ► And the other people at charger

02:04:42 ◼   ► are aggressive seeming dudes.

02:04:44 ◼   ► This could be really bad.

02:04:45 ◼   ► This could cause bad situations for sure.

02:04:48 ◼   ► Again, I have had only positive experiences

02:04:52 ◼   ► with Tesla superchargers.

02:04:54 ◼   ► And I have had so far only quite negative experiences

02:04:58 ◼   ► with Electrify America and other CCS chargers.

02:05:01 ◼   ► And so I gotta say, use Tesla chargers whenever you can

02:05:05 ◼   ► people out there with EVs.

02:05:06 ◼   ► And do not buy any more EVs that can't use them.

02:05:10 ◼   ► - I hope this whole experience has made you more prepared

02:05:12 ◼   ► for the coming water wars.

02:05:14 ◼   ► - Oh God.

02:05:15 ◼   ► - I'm sorry, what?

02:05:16 ◼   ► - Climate change, you know, water wars.

02:05:18 ◼   ► Come on, keep up, science fiction.

02:05:20 ◼   ► But not really science fiction.

02:05:21 ◼   ► Now it's science fact.

02:05:22 ◼   ► Yeah, resource scarcity.

02:05:24 ◼   ► Brings out the best in everyone, said no one ever.

02:05:26 ◼   ► (door slams)