480: Three Wise Admins
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I guess we have to talk about him this week, huh?
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Okay, so here's the thing.
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Every year I say over and over again, you gotta order, you gotta order, you gotta order. And every time all of you
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justifiably roll your eyes, "Oh sure, Casey, whatever, ho ho ho, we've heard this before."
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Really, this is your last warning. If you're driving
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signal, because you're an adult and you know what a damn turn signal is, signal and then pull off the road.
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open up ATP.fm/store and take a look at our wares,
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our merchandise, that's W-A-R-E-S.
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- Oh yes. - Mind you.
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- Not our wares.
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- Not our wares.
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So yeah, so here's the spread one last time real quick.
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We've got the M1 Ultra shirt,
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which is exactly as you would expect.
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The M1 Interposer shirt, which,
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follow-up is far and away in the lead of our new offerings.
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I am very pleased by this.
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If you don't know what we're talking about,
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this is the M1 logo that we've kind of created,
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and then underneath it, it says Max,
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and then adjacent to that with a kind of interposer
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in between them is an upside down Max.
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So I am in love with this shirt,
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I am so excited to get one, I have ordered mine.
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We additionally have M1 Ultra in monochrome,
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which is a little bit cheaper,
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because we're not doing 34 passes to print them.
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And then, and that comes in many, many different colors.
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We also of course have the traditional ATP shirts,
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and we have brought back the embroidered zip hoodie as well,
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which I quite like. I actually, to be honest with you, I prefer not to have the hood on my hoodie.
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I know this is very controversial, but it's still an excellent, excellent sweatshirt/hoodie.
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And then finally we have brought back the ATP Pankglass and you might ask, "Well, what do you mean finally? You said they're mugs."
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No, no, you should have ordered. You should have listened to Casey and you should have ordered because guess what? Mugs are sold out.
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I'm so sorry. There is a slim chance we will have some extras after returns and things of that nature.
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Maybe, and we might be able to put it up later, but no promises. You should have listened to me.
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You should have pulled the car over, stepped to the side of the sidewalk, done whatever you needed to do
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to go to ATP.fm/store. Your time is running out as we record this, which is presumably
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hours before you hear it. There's only a couple days left. It will end, the store sales will end
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on the 30th of April at eight in the evening ATP time.
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So that is Saturday at 8 p.m. ATP or New York time.
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That is your last chance.
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So now is your moment.
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Signal or say, "Excuse me," and pull the car
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or pull your butt over, do whatever you gotta do.
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Go to ATP.fm/store, please, and thank you.
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- Consider buying our pint glasses.
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We've got plenty of them left.
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- And they're actually-- - You'll be seeing them
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on the on-demand store for sure,
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'cause it looks like we are not going to sell out of those.
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And the funny thing is, hand to deity of your choice.
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I love these pine glasses. - Deity?
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- Deity, is that what I meant to say?
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Sorry, whatever.
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Hand to God, fine. - Affluent.
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What is that, bezel, but that was John's.
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Anyway, so yeah, hand to a thing that you consider holy.
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These pine glasses are excellent.
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They really, really are.
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They're dishwasher safe, they're engraved, they're excellent.
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I have four of them, I haven't broken any yet,
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and I actually have ordered two more
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'cause I love them so darn much.
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So all of my pronunciation mistakes aside,
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I apologize, the offending people have been sacked,
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but please, ATP.fm/store.
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- Not one store-related thing.
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I did another blog post.
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I'm out of control.
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I'm just like, "Foast into--" - It's a whole new world.
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It's a whole new world.
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- I would say not only did you write a blog post,
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you launched a new app, sort of.
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- Kind of. (laughs)
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- Anyway, the post is about,
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the thing I do on Twitter when the store is,
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when we have the ATP store up,
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I do this thing I call Frame Game
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I post little snippets of frames from movies or TV shows and I ask you to guess what it's
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from and the first person who guesses it gets a free t-shirt in the ATP store.
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I've been doing that for several years now.
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It's a fun little game.
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I finally did a post about it to explain the game for people who don't know.
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This was really unrelated as I started doing this before the holy animus twitter thing
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where I was like, you know, I've been playing this game for years on twitter and it's kind
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It's kind of hard to follow on Twitter if you go back in time and try to look at it
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because of the way I've chose to thread the tweets together.
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It's just not easy to go back in time and look at it for even my own purposes.
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Did I ever do this movie before?
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Did somebody guess it?
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It's not easy to look at.
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I was afraid having all this stuff locked up in Twitter isn't great.
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I do the thing where you download your Twitter archive periodically too, but that just gives
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you a local copy that's hard to follow.
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So I wanted to have my own copy of the history of Frame Game, which is stupid, whatever.
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But I saved all the images in a folder on my Mac, so I'm like, I should put a web version
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So there's the post explaining it, and then there's a big shiny candy button on the post,
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just because I always need something to distract myself with when I'm doing a blog post, and
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this time it was, can I make a shiny button?
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Anyway, you follow that button and it will take you to the Frame Game history viewer.
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Is that a place where you can go and play Frame Game?
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Kind of in your head if you want but really it's a history of you or if you want to see all the frames that
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We've ever done
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There's a surprising number of things like more than 50 of them all the frames you've ever done the person who won them
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How long it took them to win because I put that in there just because it's so surprising like I think the best one is
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The I'm not gonna ruin the movie in case you haven't seen it
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But there's one with I think the smallest little piece of a frame I've ever posted it was 64 by 64 pixels
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out of like a 1920 by 1200 frame.
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That's how much I posted with the frame
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and someone got it in like a minute.
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- It looks like 48 seconds for one of them.
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- Yeah, oh, and sometimes they're kind of easy,
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but, and as I noted in the post,
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there's a good chance that people will figure out
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how to brute force this with computers,
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but I like to think that most people
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are trying to play it legit.
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So anyway, read the post, play the game, it's lots of fun.
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One other aside I want to throw in here
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for a little dev corner thing.
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I ran, when making this thing,
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which is, oh, it's a history viewer
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that shows a bunch of pictures.
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How hard could that be, right?
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I ran into a classic of layout that I've certainly
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run into before on the web.
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And I imagine people with more experience doing iOS and Mac
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apps have also run into it.
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Tell me if this sounds familiar.
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So if you go to the frame game--
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game-- hypercritical.co/frame-game,
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you'll see that it's trying to show the frame.
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And it shows a small snippet of the frame.
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And then it shows the full frame.
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And when it's showing the small snippet,
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it's in a container that's the size of the full frame.
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And of course, every full frame is different aspect ratio,
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probably because movies and TV shows
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are different aspect ratios, and partially
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because I'm taking screenshots of video players
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and I'm not pixel accurate.
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So they're all over the place.
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So I have to change the aspect ratio.
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And it's like a single page web app or whatever.
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But something that you may not know
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if you're not a long suffering web developer
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is that when you get what we call the viewport width, which
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is the width of the browser window from the left
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to the right edge, that returns the same value,
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whether the scroll bar is visible or not.
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Now, most people who run their Macs
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in a default configuration don't even have scroll bars.
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They just have that thing where like,
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oh, when you're scrolling,
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like a little lozenge appears or whatever,
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but old people like me have it set
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in the general preferences and system preferences set
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to always show scroll bars, which is a confusing setting.
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It's kind of like the cache control, no cache header,
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which tells it it's okay to cache.
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But anyway, always show scroll bars means,
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it doesn't mean that always shows the scroll bar.
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means if there's stuff that you need to scroll to,
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then it will always show the scroll bar, right?
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So if you're looking at a very long web page
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and it's way taller than your monitor,
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you will see on the right side of your browser a scroll bar,
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you know, a Mac OS X or whatever Mac OS scroll bar,
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and it will always be there.
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When that scroll bar is there,
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the viewport width does not change,
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but part of the viewport is blocked by the scroll bar.
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So what if you want to have, like I did,
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want to have a frame for a movie
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that spans from edge to edge, okay?
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Well, you could get the viewport width and you could say,
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okay, I'm going to make this image
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the same width as the viewport.
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But of course, you know, frames have a width and a height
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and an aspect ratio.
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So if you make it the same width as the viewport,
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then you can calculate what the height would be
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based on the aspect ratio, right?
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And then you make it that height.
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But oops, what if making it that height
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pushed the crap on the bottom of the page
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down below the bottom of the browser window?
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Now you need a scroll bar
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and suddenly the scroll bar appears.
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And now the scroll bar is covering some of the content,
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which also means that a horizontal scroll bar now appears
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because there's some part of the content
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that you can't see that you need
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to horizontally scroll for.
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And so you're like, okay, well, if that happens,
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I'll figure out that the scroll bar is visible
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through an annoying hacky technique.
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And then I'll shrink the picture
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so that it moves out from under the scroll bar.
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And I'll say, make the picture the viewport width
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minus the width of the scroll bar,
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which I can also calculate using some hacky ass way
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to do it, right?
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And now you think you're all clever.
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So you shrink the thing, but when you shrink it,
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of course the height shrinks too, right?
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Because you have to maintain the aspect ratio.
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What if the height shrinks so that now the content
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doesn't roll off the end of the screen
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and you don't need the vertical scroll bar anymore?
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Do you see what the problem is here?
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So you made it too big and a vertical scroll bar appeared
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because it pushed the content down.
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Then you move it out from under the scroll bar
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and now in certain scenarios, the vertical content
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is no longer big enough to require vertical scroll,
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now you have a blank space on the right side
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of your picture.
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This is a classic layout problem of like,
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changing my metrics to avoid things that pop in
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and out on the sides, also changes the metrics,
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because you have to maintain an aspect ratio.
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And so I had fun chasing my tail about this
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and sort of cursing and saying,
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like, I don't know why I didn't think of this,
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'cause I've run into this exact same problem so many times,
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but you just forget about it.
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It's like childbirth amnesia, right?
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You just forget about the pain, right?
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And so I have to do-- any programmer who's dealt with this
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probably knows what I did, because this is not
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a really important application.
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That's just throw ugly hacks at it.
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Isn't that all of web development ever?
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No, it's all of all development ever.
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Because if you think about this, there's no actual solution.
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In this edge case, which if you get a window that
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sides just right and a content that sides just right,
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both of those settings don't work.
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One of them, it's hidden underneath the scroll bar.
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The other one is an empty space.
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There is nothing in between that you can get.
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They're both wrong, right?
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So the only way to do it is to figure out
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how much did the content have to grow
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to cause the scroll bar to become visible
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and add a blank space that's that size
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so that you make sure that when I resize this image
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and it gets a little bit shorter,
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I shove enough white space in there
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such that the vertical scroll bar,
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I'm sure the vertical scroll bar is not gonna go away.
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Then you can shrink the image and shove in the white space.
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And so don't look at the code for this, it's horrendous.
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But you know, I just got sick of it
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and just wanted to get it done.
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So while you're playing the game,
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you can appreciate the edge case layout nuances
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that I had to suffer,
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all so I could get the image to go exactly
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from one edge to the other.
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And please don't look on a red and display
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and look for half pixels because they're there.
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- All right, let's do some follow up.
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The Apple Studio Display has a beta firmware
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that is available that fixes all of the camera problems.
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It is now perfect in every measurable way.
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There's nothing else to talk about.
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- Oh, I wish.
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- This is interesting that this change,
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like we were saying, like, oh, the screen runs iOS, right?
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So I guess the next time the screen is gonna get
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new quote unquote firmware is the next iOS update.
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But of course this update is part of the next macOS beta.
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Now, you know, I'm sure there's an iOS beta
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to go along with this and this,
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maybe this beta is the same build number as the iOS beta.
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We don't know yet.
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Anyway, if you want to try out if you have a studio display you want to try this out
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Which I don't recommend by the way, but if you're really desperate to try it out, it's in the Mac OS 12.4 beta
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So a friend of the show Jason Snell has
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possibly the best
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Reasonable setup to show before and afters for this a lot of people like other friend of the show James Thompson
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Had you know taking some photos before and after or compared them to like an iMac Pro or what have you but?
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Jason still has a review unit which he didn't update and then updated his his actual unit or perhaps vice versa
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So he has two studio displays sitting right next to each other one at one updated one not and so he put a video on
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YouTube where he filmed and linked up, you know the both of them and have has them side by side
00:12:25
◼
►
So I am biased because I'm looking at a studio display and it's in my best interest not to think it's a piece of garbage
00:12:32
◼
►
Because I've been waiting for it for like six years. So consider your source here
00:12:35
◼
►
I have not installed the firmware update,
00:12:37
◼
►
but of course I've looked at all these different,
00:12:40
◼
►
you know, examples and whatnot,
00:12:41
◼
►
and it's not great, I mean, it's not fixed
00:12:45
◼
►
by any stretch of the imagination.
00:12:47
◼
►
I do think it's better from what I can tell,
00:12:49
◼
►
but it's not fixed, but I was talking with Jason briefly
00:12:52
◼
►
on Twitter, and having had only one experience
00:12:57
◼
►
with, what's the, not the front and center,
00:13:00
◼
►
that's your thing, what's the little--
00:13:02
◼
►
- Center stage.
00:13:03
◼
►
- Thank you, center stage, I couldn't think
00:13:04
◼
►
darn name. So I've had one experience with center stage and I loved it. I thought it was amazing. I
00:13:09
◼
►
thought it made being on a call when people are flipping in and out of the call, you know, just
00:13:14
◼
►
that much better. And perhaps if I was just sitting on Zoom by myself all day, I would have a very
00:13:18
◼
►
different opinion about it. But for my needs, I think I would take an imperfect camera with center
00:13:25
◼
►
stage over a flawless camera without it. I am not saying that anyone has to agree with me. In fact,
00:13:30
◼
►
In fact, I bet most people don't.
00:13:31
◼
►
But for me, I'm willing to make that trade,
00:13:34
◼
►
and I am happy to see that this is getting better,
00:13:38
◼
►
but I mean, I never expected this webcam
00:13:39
◼
►
to be particularly stupendous.
00:13:41
◼
►
I wish it was better.
00:13:42
◼
►
I think it should be better,
00:13:45
◼
►
especially for a company that seems to pride themselves
00:13:47
◼
►
on being so great at imaging and so on,
00:13:49
◼
►
but it doesn't look like this is fixed yet.
00:13:52
◼
►
And now people are starting to wonder,
00:13:53
◼
►
well, is this really hardware?
00:13:54
◼
►
Is this as good as it's gonna get?
00:13:56
◼
►
And I don't know, it's hard to say.
00:13:59
◼
►
I mean, I think it's pretty clear that the hardware here
00:14:01
◼
►
is very limited.
00:14:03
◼
►
When this first hit the news, whenever
00:14:06
◼
►
that was a few weeks back or a couple months back,
00:14:10
◼
►
my guess then was like, I think the software might
00:14:12
◼
►
be able to be tweaked a little, but you have this relatively
00:14:17
◼
►
low-resolution camera that's being cropped significantly
00:14:20
◼
►
to achieve center stage.
00:14:22
◼
►
And it's at quite a distance from people
00:14:25
◼
►
compared to the iPad that has similar hardware.
00:14:27
◼
►
So it just seems like this was doomed to always be pretty mediocre to poor.
00:14:33
◼
►
And so far this bears that out, that the tweaks that we're seeing now are seemingly fairly
00:14:40
◼
►
And I think one of my favorite comparisons was, and I mentioned it a second ago, the
00:14:44
◼
►
James Thompson comparison.
00:14:45
◼
►
This is our friend who makes PCALC, you know, great programmer and a great member of our
00:14:51
◼
►
And James, he posted the before and after from the old software and the new software
00:14:55
◼
►
that him posted the similar shot from his iMac Pro
00:14:59
◼
►
built-in webcam, which may I remind you is I believe
00:15:03
◼
►
a something like a two megapixel.
00:15:04
◼
►
It's a very low-resolution camera.
00:15:06
◼
►
It's from 2017 and has no super fancy image processing.
00:15:11
◼
►
It probably has whatever kind of basic stuff
00:15:13
◼
►
would come in any webcam, any commodity thing
00:15:16
◼
►
up to at least a couple years ago.
00:15:18
◼
►
So no ML stuff.
00:15:20
◼
►
So in my opinion, and many others who saw this,
00:15:24
◼
►
The iMac Pro built-in webcam looks way better
00:15:27
◼
►
than the studio webcam, before or after.
00:15:30
◼
►
And it's not that it looks super great,
00:15:33
◼
►
but it seems like it was working with more
00:15:36
◼
►
on the hardware side and didn't need to do
00:15:39
◼
►
so much software processing to get it to look right.
00:15:42
◼
►
And there's only so much you can do in software
00:15:46
◼
►
when you have a little tiny sensor and a little tiny lens,
00:15:49
◼
►
and especially with these new center stage cameras,
00:15:52
◼
►
then you're further cropping it down
00:15:54
◼
►
to do the center stage effect.
00:15:56
◼
►
I think center stage in this context was a mistake.
00:16:00
◼
►
It makes a little more sense on the iPad
00:16:02
◼
►
in the sense that again, you're holding it closer to you,
00:16:05
◼
►
it is more consumer targeted,
00:16:06
◼
►
you might have those situations where like,
00:16:08
◼
►
you know the family's coming in and out,
00:16:09
◼
►
like they demoed in the background.
00:16:10
◼
►
But for a professional display like this
00:16:12
◼
►
that's mostly being bought for workplaces
00:16:14
◼
►
and power users and nerds like us,
00:16:17
◼
►
I don't think center stage is necessary
00:16:19
◼
►
and it's definitely not necessary
00:16:21
◼
►
if it comes at the expense of whatever hardware resolution
00:16:25
◼
►
is necessary to have a decent picture.
00:16:27
◼
►
And in this case, it seems very clear,
00:16:29
◼
►
putting this camera in here was a mistake.
00:16:33
◼
►
And if you look at the built-in webcams
00:16:35
◼
►
of all of Apple's recent hardware,
00:16:37
◼
►
I mean, look, they're never good.
00:16:38
◼
►
They're clearly relying very heavily on image processing,
00:16:43
◼
►
in all of them, including the brand new MacBook Pros.
00:16:45
◼
►
People also say, why don't you put the iPhone camera,
00:16:48
◼
►
you know, the iPhone front camera even
00:16:50
◼
►
in the MacBook Pro cameras.
00:16:52
◼
►
And you know, the answer there usually is depth
00:16:54
◼
►
of those screenlets being very, very limited.
00:16:56
◼
►
And you know, we had to get the notch now
00:16:58
◼
►
and you don't want the notch to be bigger
00:16:59
◼
►
and stuff like that.
00:17:00
◼
►
But again, in a desktop display,
00:17:03
◼
►
you have significantly more depth.
00:17:06
◼
►
Now, they did have to keep the margins thin
00:17:08
◼
►
to make it look nice and look modern.
00:17:10
◼
►
So agreed, you know, there's not a lot of like depth
00:17:13
◼
►
or not a lot of like width and height
00:17:15
◼
►
in the screen bezel that I put it,
00:17:16
◼
►
but I have to imagine there was better hardware available
00:17:19
◼
►
that could have fit, and they just picked wrong here.
00:17:22
◼
►
They just made the wrong choice.
00:17:24
◼
►
This webcam and this display was the wrong choice,
00:17:27
◼
►
and if they have to give up center stage
00:17:29
◼
►
to have a better one,
00:17:30
◼
►
I think that's the path they should have taken.
00:17:32
◼
►
- I think it's kinda weird that, as you noted,
00:17:34
◼
►
Apple has always had crappy cameras,
00:17:36
◼
►
crappy front-facing cameras in all its products.
00:17:39
◼
►
We used to complain about the two megapixel
00:17:40
◼
►
one and the iMac Pro, we were just saying it was good.
00:17:42
◼
►
It just seemed like they didn't care about them that much.
00:17:45
◼
►
We didn't think they would make it worse.
00:17:47
◼
►
- Yeah, same thing for the MacBook Air or the MacBook Pro.
00:17:49
◼
►
They have like a 640 by something camera
00:17:52
◼
►
in like the original MacBook Air.
00:17:54
◼
►
They were always just kind of not good behind the times.
00:17:57
◼
►
And we'd complain about them and nothing would happen.
00:17:59
◼
►
And I think the silver lining
00:18:00
◼
►
to this Apple Studio display thing
00:18:01
◼
►
is I think this is the first time
00:18:03
◼
►
that sort of the Apple tech review community
00:18:06
◼
►
has latched onto the idea that the camera sucks
00:18:09
◼
►
in such a way that Apple might notice.
00:18:10
◼
►
'Cause we all said it about the other ones.
00:18:12
◼
►
Like, oh, the new laptops are out.
00:18:14
◼
►
Oh, does it still have a non-HD camera?
00:18:17
◼
►
We meant like, is it not up to 1080p yet or whatever?
00:18:19
◼
►
Like we'd make these snarky comments,
00:18:21
◼
►
but it was never like a story, a big story.
00:18:24
◼
►
And the studio display, the front-facing camera
00:18:26
◼
►
has suddenly become a story.
00:18:27
◼
►
So I have to imagine, especially with the Mac hardware team
00:18:32
◼
►
that has produced the last few years of products,
00:18:34
◼
►
that they have taken notice
00:18:36
◼
►
that we all think their cameras suck.
00:18:38
◼
►
And the next version of anything that they put out
00:18:41
◼
►
that starting from now, right?
00:18:43
◼
►
so that's probably three years from now,
00:18:44
◼
►
like whatever the pipeline is where they are making
00:18:47
◼
►
decisions about future products now,
00:18:49
◼
►
I hope that they will say, oh, we don't want a repeat
00:18:51
◼
►
of the Apple Studio display thing,
00:18:52
◼
►
so let's actually put a decent camera in this.
00:18:55
◼
►
That's my hope anyway, we'll circle back in three years
00:18:57
◼
►
and see how it is.
00:18:58
◼
►
And the second thing is about this software update,
00:19:00
◼
►
I still continue to think that the processing they're doing
00:19:03
◼
►
in software is not as good as it could be, right?
00:19:07
◼
►
Because it's not as if we're looking at it and saying,
00:19:11
◼
►
oh, there's not enough light or it's too noisy or whatever.
00:19:14
◼
►
If you look at James Thompson's thing,
00:19:16
◼
►
some people were looking at the histograms of them
00:19:18
◼
►
and someone said, did they not have the iPhone camera
00:19:22
◼
►
image processing team look at this?
00:19:23
◼
►
'Cause the histogram is crap.
00:19:25
◼
►
You haven't processed it to,
00:19:27
◼
►
you could do a better job of processing this,
00:19:29
◼
►
it wouldn't look as gross.
00:19:30
◼
►
It still wouldn't look great,
00:19:31
◼
►
like it's not a good camera or whatever.
00:19:32
◼
►
And by the way, one of their solutions to like,
00:19:34
◼
►
oh, we have a big fisheye camera
00:19:36
◼
►
that you're taking a small crop of,
00:19:38
◼
►
they just took a bigger crop.
00:19:40
◼
►
So it makes it look less bad because you're not sort of
00:19:43
◼
►
throwing out more pixels.
00:19:44
◼
►
Of course, you are smaller in the frame than you were before
00:19:47
◼
►
and you can decide if that's a feature or benefit.
00:19:48
◼
►
But that's one solution.
00:19:52
◼
►
Like, okay, we'll just zoom back out.
00:19:53
◼
►
So now you can't see how ugly it is.
00:19:54
◼
►
But the processing, especially on James Thompson's one,
00:19:58
◼
►
If you look at Jason Snell, I agree he has the best example
00:20:01
◼
►
because he's literally like in front of both cameras at once
00:20:03
◼
►
so he gets to move and you can see how the camera moves
00:20:05
◼
►
around or whatever.
00:20:06
◼
►
And the one with the firmware update or the one without,
00:20:09
◼
►
at various times look very similar to each other.
00:20:12
◼
►
So I don't think it's a particularly big change.
00:20:15
◼
►
I still think they could do better with better firmware.
00:20:19
◼
►
And I do wonder if it's like, again,
00:20:21
◼
►
like I was saying in the camera, I think a policy choice,
00:20:24
◼
►
where they've decided that the most important thing
00:20:27
◼
►
is to have every pixel on a human being's face
00:20:29
◼
►
as bright as possible, even if it makes them look
00:20:31
◼
►
like a wax death mask.
00:20:33
◼
►
I think that's the wrong choice,
00:20:34
◼
►
but that sure seems like what they're trying to do,
00:20:36
◼
►
like eliminate shadows on people's faces.
00:20:39
◼
►
And they don't need to because like in James Thompson he had a ring light on him.
00:20:42
◼
►
He had plenty of light on his face and the image processing was like I've detected the
00:20:46
◼
►
Brighten that sucker up because I guess most people like you know in front of their webcams
00:20:51
◼
►
and they all otherwise look like they're in a dark dungeon so that the processing is really
00:20:54
◼
►
trying to brighten the face up.
00:20:56
◼
►
They need to detect that they don't need to make certain faces brighter because they're
00:20:59
◼
►
already bright enough.
00:21:00
◼
►
So anyway we'll see in future firmware updates but yeah if you're buying this display for
00:21:05
◼
►
camera you're gonna get what you're gonna get and you're probably gonna be upset.
00:21:11
◼
►
Meanwhile, you know, when I first got the XDR, which as you know does not have a
00:21:15
◼
►
built-in webcam, you know, I bought the little Logitech magnetically attaching
00:21:20
◼
►
thing that goes on top of it. As I've said before, that's a pretty good webcam
00:21:24
◼
►
and when I first set that up I was kind of disappointed that I had to look at
00:21:29
◼
►
this giant black blob on top of my monitor all the time. But I've gotten
00:21:34
◼
►
used to it now and I'm really happy that I have a really good webcam for whenever I have
00:21:37
◼
►
to appear on a zoom call. I kind of wish like maybe, you know, the webcam now is pretty
00:21:43
◼
►
important of a feature and that seems to be only growing over time. You know, there's
00:21:48
◼
►
obviously a big a big bump during COVID of everyone all of a sudden working from home
00:21:52
◼
►
who wasn't before. But I think obviously a lot of that's going to stick around, even
00:21:56
◼
►
as COVID kind of, you know, goes into an endemic and waning state where a lot of people go
00:22:01
◼
►
go back to work.
00:22:01
◼
►
So to have designed this product,
00:22:04
◼
►
which chances are this studio display
00:22:06
◼
►
was probably designed almost entirely
00:22:09
◼
►
or entirely during the COVID era.
00:22:12
◼
►
And so to have designed this product
00:22:14
◼
►
with a really crappy webcam situation
00:22:17
◼
►
in this day and age, it was a misstep.
00:22:21
◼
►
And the more I look at the studio display,
00:22:23
◼
►
the more I think, you know, they put it in like,
00:22:25
◼
►
you know, the A13, it runs iOS, it's kind of buggy.
00:22:29
◼
►
I'm kind of thinking like, hmm,
00:22:31
◼
►
did they have to make this product,
00:22:33
◼
►
did they have to design this with all this complexity?
00:22:36
◼
►
Did they have to give it a whole like phone OS
00:22:38
◼
►
in there to control stuff?
00:22:39
◼
►
Did they have to do this fancy center stage thing
00:22:42
◼
►
with this crap hardware when the iMac Pro
00:22:46
◼
►
with its five year old basic webcam looks better than it?
00:22:50
◼
►
The XDR works as a perfectly great display
00:22:52
◼
►
without having to boot an OS that occasionally crashes.
00:22:55
◼
►
Like I just, I have to wonder like,
00:22:56
◼
►
Was all of this weird engineering they did in this
00:22:59
◼
►
the right choice when what they really just needed to do
00:23:03
◼
►
was make a smaller XDR?
00:23:05
◼
►
- I think it was the right choice to have all the features
00:23:07
◼
►
that it has, good speakers, camera, whatever.
00:23:10
◼
►
I mean, obviously we just wish they were better,
00:23:11
◼
►
but that's what you want out of,
00:23:13
◼
►
it's more of a middle of the road $1600 monitor thing.
00:23:17
◼
►
The really expensive one doesn't have any extraneous crap
00:23:19
◼
►
'cause you just, you know, you just buy that stuff,
00:23:22
◼
►
you're gonna have external speakers,
00:23:23
◼
►
you're gonna have a fancy external camera.
00:23:24
◼
►
Like it makes more sense on the pro end
00:23:26
◼
►
and this thing.
00:23:27
◼
►
And also for them doing the iOS thing,
00:23:29
◼
►
that was probably the fastest, cheapest way to do it.
00:23:32
◼
►
Because I think about it, if they didn't do that, OK,
00:23:34
◼
►
so we're going to have a camera, we're going to have speakers.
00:23:35
◼
►
And we want to do center stage.
00:23:37
◼
►
I can imagine them wanting to do that.
00:23:39
◼
►
Pretend the camera was good.
00:23:40
◼
►
We would all be saying, great, center stage is cool.
00:23:44
◼
►
How do you control center stage?
00:23:46
◼
►
You have to have some way to thread through your M-whatever
00:23:50
◼
►
chip in your Mac, and all of its image processing,
00:23:52
◼
►
and all of those smarts, and all that code that you wrote
00:23:55
◼
►
now has to control a camera that is not in the same piece of hardware as the
00:23:59
◼
►
system on a chip but is actually connected externally and so you have to
00:24:02
◼
►
write drivers to do all that and it's just like the the shortest distance to
00:24:07
◼
►
getting something working is that we already have an incomplete system that
00:24:09
◼
►
does this just put an a13 in there and then the a13 acts like it would in an
00:24:13
◼
►
iPad the cameras in the same case and the speakers are there and it's like
00:24:15
◼
►
it's it seems like it might even be less work I don't know probably people who
00:24:19
◼
►
worked on this project are laughing at me now but it seems to me that could
00:24:21
◼
►
the conceivable would be less work to do what they did.
00:24:24
◼
►
Like, because you don't have to do as much brand new stuff.
00:24:27
◼
►
You already have the pieces that know how to do
00:24:29
◼
►
the things you want it to do.
00:24:30
◼
►
And then it's a smaller amount of communication
00:24:33
◼
►
between the host Mac and the things there.
00:24:35
◼
►
If it wasn't less work, if it was in fact more work,
00:24:38
◼
►
and it's buggier, then it's definitely the wrong choice.
00:24:40
◼
►
But I look at this and I think, you know,
00:24:42
◼
►
it's part spin engineering.
00:24:44
◼
►
And part spin engineering is, you know,
00:24:46
◼
►
a dirty word in the car industry, but it shouldn't always be
00:24:48
◼
►
because if you have something that works, you know,
00:24:50
◼
►
If you have door handles that work on your cars,
00:24:52
◼
►
you don't need to reinvent the door handle with every car.
00:24:54
◼
►
Just put the good door handle on every car, it's fine.
00:24:56
◼
►
- We're talking about him already.
00:24:57
◼
►
- Yeah, right? - Yeah.
00:24:59
◼
►
(upbeat music)
00:25:00
◼
►
- We are sponsored this week by Sanity.
00:25:02
◼
►
What is Sanity, you ask?
00:25:03
◼
►
It's a content platform that powers exceptional
00:25:06
◼
►
digital experiences for many companies,
00:25:08
◼
►
including National Geographic, Figma, Nike, and more.
00:25:12
◼
►
Developers, designers, content professionals,
00:25:14
◼
►
and digital leaders rely on Sanity to collaborate
00:25:17
◼
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in real time, ship new experiences quickly,
00:25:19
◼
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and delight their customers with rich media content.
00:25:22
◼
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It takes less than 10 minutes to get set up and running
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with Sanity, and then your content will flow across APIs,
00:25:27
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and there's no limit to how and where you can display it
00:25:30
◼
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on any of your channels, websites, mobile apps, kiosks,
00:25:33
◼
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anywhere you need it to go.
00:25:34
◼
►
You can use Sanity for free for low-scale projects,
00:25:37
◼
►
and it's pay-as-you-go if you need more API usage after that.
00:25:40
◼
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And they have great price plans and features for larger
00:25:43
◼
►
businesses as well.
00:25:44
◼
►
So now let's talk about their inaugural conference happening
00:25:47
◼
►
this May called Structured Content 2022.
00:25:50
◼
►
Teams from around the world will be coming together
00:25:52
◼
►
to discover new approaches to creating rich, connected
00:25:54
◼
►
digital experiences.
00:25:56
◼
►
There will be a mix of talks, panels, and conversations,
00:25:59
◼
►
covering topics like foundations for building a content
00:26:01
◼
►
system, real-life applications for structured content
00:26:03
◼
►
from well-known brands like AT&T or The New York Times,
00:26:06
◼
►
proven collaboration methods to better connect everyone
00:26:08
◼
►
who works on content.
00:26:10
◼
►
And here's a few of the sessions, for example.
00:26:12
◼
►
Reflections on the Future of the Web,
00:26:13
◼
►
with digital leaders Guillermo Roque from Vercel
00:26:16
◼
►
and Michael Sippy from outside.
00:26:18
◼
►
Overcoming the challenges of digital transformation
00:26:20
◼
►
with Sanity CEO Magnus Hillestad and AT&T's Director
00:26:23
◼
►
of Technology Strategic Platforms Scott Gents.
00:26:26
◼
►
Improv consulting.
00:26:27
◼
►
A panel of content strategy consultants
00:26:28
◼
►
will improvise solutions to real life problems.
00:26:30
◼
►
That's pretty cool.
00:26:31
◼
►
So there's more than one way to attend as well.
00:26:33
◼
►
You can join in person in San Francisco on May 24th to 25th,
00:26:38
◼
►
or you can attend virtually for free.
00:26:41
◼
►
Space is limited for the in-person location,
00:26:42
◼
►
so if you want to attend, be sure to reserve your spot soon.
00:26:45
◼
►
To learn more about Sanity and the Structured Content 2022
00:26:49
◼
►
conference, go to sanity.io/atp.
00:26:53
◼
►
That's sanity.io/atp.
00:26:55
◼
►
Thank you so much to Sanity and the Structured Content 2022
00:26:58
◼
►
conference for sponsoring our show.
00:27:00
◼
►
[MUSIC PLAYING]
00:27:04
◼
►
Tell me, Jon, about your Sonos Roam power button.
00:27:06
◼
►
I was complaining about my Sonos Roam,
00:27:07
◼
►
that I didn't like the power button because to turn
00:27:09
◼
►
the stupid thing off, you needed to hold it down
00:27:11
◼
►
for a ridiculous amount of time and listen
00:27:13
◼
►
through a series of beeps.
00:27:14
◼
►
and it was hard to hold the button
00:27:15
◼
►
'cause the button was very skinny
00:27:16
◼
►
and it was on the edge of a triangle
00:27:17
◼
►
and you had to just keep holding it and holding it
00:27:19
◼
►
and it was terrible.
00:27:21
◼
►
Anyway, brilliant thingy, I noted on Twitter
00:27:23
◼
►
that the Sonos Roam software was updated a few months ago
00:27:26
◼
►
and now a quick press of the button on the back
00:27:28
◼
►
turns it off, so I updated my firmware
00:27:30
◼
►
and lo and behold, I can turn it off by pressing the button
00:27:32
◼
►
and it immediately turns off, so that's much nicer.
00:27:35
◼
►
The plus, minus and play buttons on the end still suck though.
00:27:40
◼
►
- And then tangentially related, Patrick Niemeyer writes,
00:27:43
◼
►
"Hearing Jon talk about the power button
00:27:44
◼
►
on his shower speaker reminded me of a topic that I can't believe I've never heard him
00:27:47
◼
►
discuss. The fact that a few generations ago the lock button on the iPhone went from being
00:27:51
◼
►
instantaneous to more of a suggestion. It currently takes almost a second for the phone
00:27:55
◼
►
to lock after hitting the button, during which time the screen and touch input are fully
00:28:00
◼
►
active. I find myself constantly falling into the following trap. I prepare to pocket by
00:28:04
◼
►
making a quick volume adjustment, then lock the phone, and attempt to put it in my pocket,
00:28:08
◼
►
however in the movement to put the phone down I accidentally swipe down the on-screen volume
00:28:11
◼
►
gadget and mute the phone. Is this because the lock button became all things to all people?
00:28:17
◼
►
Because it used to be that the lock button was the lock button, but now it, well, even
00:28:21
◼
►
with guided access turned off, or sorry, accessibility turned off, you still have like Apple Pay
00:28:27
◼
►
and Siri if you hold it down. And so I think this, that's what this is, is because when
00:28:31
◼
►
you hit the button once, there needs to be some amount of time for Apple to wait and
00:28:36
◼
►
say, "Are they hitting it a second time? You know, is this really a double tap?" And we've
00:28:39
◼
►
only seen the first of the two taps. And so there's no way for them to divine what it
00:28:46
◼
►
is you're going to do. They just have to wait it out and wait whatever the amount of time
00:28:48
◼
►
is to time out, if you will, and know, "Oh, that was definitely a single tap we should
00:28:54
◼
►
That's exactly right. And so if you think about the different, you know, holding it
00:28:57
◼
►
down, they don't have to wait really for that. As soon as you release the button, they know
00:29:00
◼
►
you're not holding it down. But they do have a delay to see, are you double-clicking it
00:29:06
◼
►
or triple clicking it or just single clicking it.
00:29:08
◼
►
So the interesting thing is,
00:29:10
◼
►
if you disable the things that it might be waiting
00:29:13
◼
►
for double or triple clicks for,
00:29:14
◼
►
so that's Apple Pay,
00:29:16
◼
►
and if you have the accessibility shortcut
00:29:18
◼
►
as the triple click,
00:29:20
◼
►
if you turn those things off,
00:29:21
◼
►
which you can do in settings,
00:29:23
◼
►
and you hit the button, it sleeps instantly.
00:29:25
◼
►
So if you care that much about that being a thing
00:29:29
◼
►
and if you can live without double tap to Apple Pay,
00:29:33
◼
►
now I actually, I tried this,
00:29:34
◼
►
And I couldn't figure out how to go
00:29:37
◼
►
to that Apple Pay screen otherwise.
00:29:38
◼
►
Like I opened up the Wallet app.
00:29:40
◼
►
- That's what I was gonna ask, if I turn this off,
00:29:42
◼
►
then how do I Apple Pay?
00:29:43
◼
►
- Yeah, you go into Wallet
00:29:44
◼
►
and then you tap on a card, right?
00:29:45
◼
►
- No, it didn't bring up the,
00:29:48
◼
►
well, I don't know, maybe I did it wrong,
00:29:49
◼
►
but I tried that and it didn't bring up
00:29:50
◼
►
like the payment confirmation.
00:29:52
◼
►
- Oh no, you're right.
00:29:53
◼
►
- Yes, anyway, if you turn off those things,
00:29:55
◼
►
you can get instantaneous sleep again.
00:29:58
◼
►
But yeah, unfortunately, you'd have to like
00:29:59
◼
►
never use Apple Pay.
00:30:00
◼
►
- There's gotta be a way.
00:30:01
◼
►
- Oh, apparently the chat's saying
00:30:03
◼
►
that if you hover the phone over the active NFC terminal
00:30:07
◼
►
at the store, then it will prompt it to open up that screen.
00:30:11
◼
►
So you can't pre-approve it with your face,
00:30:13
◼
►
but you can at least open it up,
00:30:15
◼
►
move over the terminal first, then Face ID approve it.
00:30:18
◼
►
- I do wonder if, for the double tap thing,
00:30:22
◼
►
if they could immediately sleep,
00:30:24
◼
►
but then if you hit the button again
00:30:26
◼
►
within the double tap interval, unsleep it,
00:30:28
◼
►
and do Apple Pay, you know what I mean?
00:30:30
◼
►
- Oh, that's interesting, yeah.
00:30:31
◼
►
- That is wild, I had no idea that
00:30:32
◼
►
That was the only obvious way to get into payments.
00:30:36
◼
►
That's very interesting.
00:30:37
◼
►
Anyway, Apple's self-service repair site is live.
00:30:40
◼
►
So if you recall, they announced--
00:30:41
◼
►
I don't know, it was a few months ago or something like
00:30:43
◼
►
that-- that you will be able to buy parts and repair things
00:30:49
◼
►
yourself if you so desire.
00:30:50
◼
►
And apparently, that has gone live, particularly
00:30:53
◼
►
for the iPhone.
00:30:54
◼
►
I don't believe there's anything for the Mac yet.
00:30:56
◼
►
And the website is weird.
00:31:00
◼
►
It is super weird.
00:31:02
◼
►
It's selfservicerepair.com and it looks super janky.
00:31:07
◼
►
I don't know what's going on here, but it's weird.
00:31:11
◼
►
And apparently it's version, what is this?
00:31:14
◼
►
It says on the bottom, on the bottom left,
00:31:16
◼
►
it's Spot version 8145.5.
00:31:20
◼
►
I feel like I'm looking at the little pie symbol
00:31:21
◼
►
in the corner now.
00:31:22
◼
►
And there's a little doggy in the icon, which is very cute.
00:31:25
◼
►
But anyway, I guess they just outsource this whole thing,
00:31:27
◼
►
this whole website, which is super weird,
00:31:29
◼
►
but you can go ahead and order parts.
00:31:32
◼
►
You can look at the repair manuals,
00:31:33
◼
►
and you can get general info, and so on and so forth.
00:31:36
◼
►
So that is something you can now do.
00:31:38
◼
►
Is it something that I would do?
00:31:39
◼
►
Heck no, because that scares the poop out of me.
00:31:42
◼
►
Trying to repair my phone, just the thought of it
00:31:44
◼
►
sounds terrible in my personal opinion.
00:31:45
◼
►
But I am genuinely glad that this
00:31:46
◼
►
exists for people who are not scaredy cats like me.
00:31:49
◼
►
Steven Hackett did an investigation
00:31:50
◼
►
of this whole external website and looked
00:31:52
◼
►
at the company that did it.
00:31:54
◼
►
Apparently, they've done some other work for Apple as well.
00:31:56
◼
►
We'll link to his blog post where he explains it.
00:31:58
◼
►
The service manuals themselves are on Apple's website.
00:32:01
◼
►
and we'll put a link to that, it's just support.apple.com/manual/repair-manual.
00:32:07
◼
►
And the website's fine.
00:32:08
◼
►
Like, the complaint is it doesn't look like it was Apple designed, which is for sure,
00:32:11
◼
►
it just looks like someone used, you know.
00:32:13
◼
►
It's a simple, it's perfectly fine, it's a perfectly reasonable website.
00:32:17
◼
►
It's got three boxes with icons and buttons and you know, it's like a template from a
00:32:22
◼
►
bootstrap website, I don't know.
00:32:24
◼
►
It's not terrible, but it certainly doesn't look like an Apple site.
00:32:27
◼
►
And it's not, to Steven's point, it's not an apple.com anywhere.
00:32:32
◼
►
It's not self-service-repair.com, it's self-service-repair.com, right?
00:32:35
◼
►
So it's not even an Apple's domain.
00:32:37
◼
►
You could be forgiven for thinking it's some kind of weird scam site or like not affiliated
00:32:41
◼
►
with Apple anyway, but it totally is.
00:32:43
◼
►
This is Apple's official, like, we'll link to the press release.
00:32:47
◼
►
Apple's press release links to this site.
00:32:48
◼
►
This is not a scam, right?
00:32:50
◼
►
And that I feel like is a slight problem for Apple, but on the other hand, I bet there's
00:32:54
◼
►
probably all sorts of not particularly nice looking websites
00:32:58
◼
►
that you have to go to if you're an Apple authorized dealer
00:33:01
◼
►
to deal with stuff.
00:33:02
◼
►
I mean, Steven obviously knows about these things
00:33:03
◼
►
having worked in an Apple store at least,
00:33:05
◼
►
but those ones still probably are under
00:33:08
◼
►
the apple.com umbrella.
00:33:09
◼
►
But yeah, if you want to dive in
00:33:11
◼
►
and start repairing your stuff,
00:33:12
◼
►
if your thing is one of the supported devices,
00:33:15
◼
►
check it out.
00:33:17
◼
►
- All right, moving right along.
00:33:18
◼
►
There's been a lot of discussion,
00:33:19
◼
►
mostly led by John Gruber about
00:33:22
◼
►
Would Apple do this WWDC thing inside the ring of Apple Park?
00:33:27
◼
►
And I think it's a very reasonable--
00:33:29
◼
►
- How is that discussion led by John Gruber?
00:33:30
◼
►
We recorded an episode where we said the exact same thing
00:33:32
◼
►
before he released his, so--
00:33:34
◼
►
- Yeah, but he really deep dove, did a deep dive, whatever.
00:33:37
◼
►
- We just said the same thing.
00:33:38
◼
►
We did just longer and later.
00:33:40
◼
►
I reject this notion.
00:33:41
◼
►
We have primacy about whether or not
00:33:43
◼
►
people are allowed in the ring.
00:33:44
◼
►
- So having nothing to do with John Gruber at all,
00:33:46
◼
►
copyright 2022, John Syracuse.
00:33:48
◼
►
- Copyright ATP, you were all there.
00:33:50
◼
►
We were talking about it, remember?
00:33:51
◼
►
"Hey, would they let people into the ring?
00:33:52
◼
►
"Doesn't it seem weird?
00:33:53
◼
►
"Have they ever had people in the ring?
00:33:54
◼
►
"That was us.
00:33:55
◼
►
"It was this show."
00:33:57
◼
►
- Moving right along.
00:33:59
◼
►
- One thing.
00:33:59
◼
►
I just wanna remember it from one thing.
00:34:00
◼
►
- Just wanna be remembered for one thing.
00:34:03
◼
►
- I just wanna remember two episodes ago
00:34:05
◼
►
when we talked about people being let in to Apple Park ring
00:34:07
◼
►
and then the talk show episode came out a week later
00:34:08
◼
►
and everyone's like, "Led by John Gruber?"
00:34:10
◼
►
No, no, Casey.
00:34:11
◼
►
- Two episodes ago, it was like three months.
00:34:13
◼
►
We haven't recorded in forever.
00:34:14
◼
►
Anyway, all right, so regardless of who it was,
00:34:18
◼
►
gosh darn it, people familiar with the matter
00:34:21
◼
►
have been wondering about whether or not Apple would bring civilians, regular schmoes, into
00:34:27
◼
►
the inside the ring of Apple Park. And Anonymous wrote us the following, "You guys wondered
00:34:32
◼
►
if there had been any large events where visitors were able to go into the Apple Park Ring Courtyard.
00:34:37
◼
►
There was a series of Friends and Family Saturdays in summer of 2019. Employees could bring up
00:34:40
◼
►
to four people, the theaters, some lobbies, and some of the inner and outer hallway of
00:34:43
◼
►
the ground floor. Nearly all of the green space inside and outside the ring and all
00:34:47
◼
►
All of giant Cafe Max were accessible.
00:34:50
◼
►
The majority of staff keeping people going where they were allowed seemed to be contract
00:34:53
◼
►
event staff that had experience working with other Apple events like WWDC and Keynotes.
00:34:57
◼
►
Some people brought picnics, they served gelato pops (Apple doesn't do things as plebeian
00:35:01
◼
►
as the pros and novelties, you get an ice cream truck), and a beverage I don't recall.
00:35:06
◼
►
Officially no photos were allowed, but Twitter had plenty of photos from the days before
00:35:09
◼
►
Unofficially, the staff seemed to direct people toward photos of outside spaces rather than
00:35:13
◼
►
inside spaces.
00:35:14
◼
►
So apparently it has happened.
00:35:17
◼
►
Yeah, and I think the Cafe Max thing answers another question of like, how are they going
00:35:22
◼
►
to feed people and where will people go to the bathroom and stuff like that?
00:35:24
◼
►
Apparently they do have a subset of the the the ring and the space in the building, you
00:35:31
◼
►
know, the inside of the ring and also the space in the actual building where they allow
00:35:34
◼
►
the public at least allowed the public to go once or twice that they can sort of cordon
00:35:38
◼
►
off with people and feel safe enough that, you know, there's places for people to be
00:35:43
◼
►
taken care of but that they're not going to just wander into the ring and you know.
00:35:46
◼
►
All the doors are locked in there anyway with key cards and stuff so it's not,
00:35:50
◼
►
I don't think it's a real problem but I also don't think they want strange people just wandering
00:35:53
◼
►
around. Indeed and then Benedict Evans tweeted, "An idle observation. I have no idea what this
00:35:59
◼
►
kind of fencing costs but it's very not cheap and it extends around the entire Apple Park site."
00:36:05
◼
►
And so I've not seen this in person but judging on this picture, I'll paint you a word picture here,
00:36:09
◼
►
It seems like there are many, many, many vertical metal rods,
00:36:14
◼
►
each of which I would guesstimate is like four
00:36:16
◼
►
to six feet tall, but they're completely freestanding.
00:36:19
◼
►
Like if you think of an average fence,
00:36:20
◼
►
you would put some posts down and then have some stuff
00:36:22
◼
►
linking from one post to the other,
00:36:24
◼
►
but you wouldn't put a post every six inches,
00:36:27
◼
►
which is apparently what they've done here.
00:36:29
◼
►
Like there must be either like a river of concrete
00:36:33
◼
►
that went through the ground, I don't know.
00:36:35
◼
►
- Yeah, I'm guessing they're bound together
00:36:37
◼
►
underground somehow.
00:36:38
◼
►
There's something supporting them.
00:36:40
◼
►
- But this is like the most expensive kind of fence
00:36:43
◼
►
you can ever imagine you're making.
00:36:44
◼
►
Very Apple-like, right?
00:36:45
◼
►
So in case you're having trouble picturing,
00:36:47
◼
►
I'll put a link to his tweet in the show notes
00:36:49
◼
►
with the photo, but it's like, you know like the bars
00:36:51
◼
►
of a jail cell, just vertical bars?
00:36:53
◼
►
Like that, but they just come out of the ground.
00:36:55
◼
►
There are no horizontal members whatsoever.
00:36:57
◼
►
It's just vertical bars.
00:36:59
◼
►
- Yeah, nothing bridges across the top.
00:37:01
◼
►
- Or the bottom.
00:37:02
◼
►
- Well, as far as we can see.
00:37:03
◼
►
- It's just a vertical bar.
00:37:05
◼
►
Now here's the thing about just vertical bars like this.
00:37:06
◼
►
Now first of all, yes, obviously there needs to be
00:37:08
◼
►
something underground to make it so these aren't just stuck into the earth
00:37:10
◼
►
they're probably in cement or something but the second thing is the precision
00:37:13
◼
►
required to make this fence not look terrible it's extremely high because
00:37:19
◼
►
these sticks are like probably look like they're at least six or seven feet tall
00:37:22
◼
►
the tops of these things need to be even with each other so the fence makes a
00:37:26
◼
►
line and not like a wavy thing right every one of these sticks needs to be in
00:37:30
◼
►
concrete and aligned up just so the correct distance from each other and
00:37:33
◼
►
they and it needs to be sturdy enough that you couldn't just go and like pull
00:37:37
◼
►
the tops of the bars apart, but think of the leverage
00:37:39
◼
►
that you have at the top of those bars.
00:37:40
◼
►
If these are stiff, you know, metal bars,
00:37:43
◼
►
just do the math and the physics,
00:37:45
◼
►
of how much leverage do you have down there?
00:37:46
◼
►
You have to not be able to bend them apart,
00:37:48
◼
►
and they have to not be able to be bent forward
00:37:50
◼
►
or backwards, and if this goes around all of Apple Park,
00:37:54
◼
►
how much does this cost per like, linear foot?
00:37:57
◼
►
I don't even understand, and I don't think it's any more
00:38:00
◼
►
particularly secure than any other kind of fence,
00:38:02
◼
►
'cause you know, you throw a carpet over this thing,
00:38:04
◼
►
and hop over like they do in every action movie,
00:38:06
◼
►
it's not like there's barbed wire on it, right?
00:38:08
◼
►
It's just as susceptible to hopping over
00:38:10
◼
►
by a bunch of kids or like climb a tree and hop over.
00:38:12
◼
►
They see the tree that's over there.
00:38:14
◼
►
If there's a tree near the fence,
00:38:15
◼
►
you climb up the tree, hop over it.
00:38:16
◼
►
Kids know how to get over fences.
00:38:17
◼
►
But it just boggles my mind.
00:38:19
◼
►
This is a Johnny Ive special.
00:38:22
◼
►
I would like a fence that looks like this.
00:38:23
◼
►
And they say, "Johnny, this is gonna cost
00:38:25
◼
►
"$250,000 per linear foot."
00:38:27
◼
►
It's like, I don't care, just do it.
00:38:29
◼
►
- Well, I mean, in all fairness,
00:38:31
◼
►
I've been fortunate, maybe, as a question mark
00:38:35
◼
►
at the end of that enough in life
00:38:36
◼
►
to have once purchased custom windows.
00:38:38
◼
►
And oh my God.
00:38:42
◼
►
And so if you look at the amount of glass
00:38:45
◼
►
that is custom made in Apple Park,
00:38:47
◼
►
this fence is a drop in the bucket
00:38:51
◼
►
compared to what they must have spent on glass, trust me.
00:38:55
◼
►
- Well, I mean, so the big doors on the cafeteria,
00:38:57
◼
►
like the height of the whole building
00:38:58
◼
►
and they go out or whatever,
00:39:00
◼
►
I think those are only a few million each
00:39:02
◼
►
and maybe this fence is more expensive than those two doors.
00:39:05
◼
►
Maybe, maybe.
00:39:06
◼
►
I mean, there's certainly, you know, if it's going through on the whole site, like,
00:39:08
◼
►
they had, like, how many miles of, like, it's probably, like, a couple of miles
00:39:11
◼
►
worth of fence, right?
00:39:12
◼
►
Yeah, that's what I'm saying.
00:39:13
◼
►
So if you were in the fencing industry, maybe this is just a standard kind of fence that
00:39:16
◼
►
we don't know, and there's been an advance in fencing technology that makes it cheap
00:39:20
◼
►
to manufacture, and it's actually not that hard to line these things up.
00:39:22
◼
►
Like, maybe they're all made in a factory, and they just come and you just bury them
00:39:25
◼
►
in units or whatever, but it looks expensive.
00:39:28
◼
►
It looks fancy and expensive and maybe not particularly functional.
00:39:32
◼
►
So very Apple-like.
00:39:34
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We are sponsored this week by Trade Coffee.
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00:41:35
◼
►
All right, a very quick follow up. I had made offhanded comment, I think early on in the
00:41:42
◼
►
last episode that I was not a fan of the Radiohead song "Creep" and I think John, you were giving
00:41:46
◼
►
me a little bit of flack about that. Dozens of people, dozens I tell you, wrote in to
00:41:51
◼
►
to say I too love Radiohead and I dislike the song Creep,
00:41:54
◼
►
but most interestingly of all, my friend Spencer,
00:41:57
◼
►
a friend of the show really, Spencer Wohlers wrote in
00:41:59
◼
►
and said, "Hey, Tom York, the lead singer and songwriter
00:42:02
◼
►
"of Radiohead also hates Creep."
00:42:04
◼
►
And so I'll put a link into a short article
00:42:09
◼
►
that Spencer had sent that basically talks about
00:42:11
◼
►
how he always thought it was kind of garbage too.
00:42:13
◼
►
So there, Jon.
00:42:14
◼
►
- Bands always hate their big breakout hit
00:42:16
◼
►
because they just get sick of it.
00:42:17
◼
►
I can feel them.
00:42:19
◼
►
I think if you're asked any band how much they like the song that made them famous, they're probably over it now, too.
00:42:24
◼
►
Yeah, imagine like being Tham York and having to go to any party and like "Hey man, play creep, here's a guitar."
00:42:30
◼
►
Like it's just yeah, and yes, I know about the whole piano man comic or whatever the was it on The Onion or something?
00:42:36
◼
►
I don't know. I have no idea what you're talking about, but that's fine. All right. Why don't you tell me about your game streaming setup, please?
00:42:41
◼
►
Yes, so I mentioned I believe it was last show or the one before that. I was looking at some new
00:42:47
◼
►
video capture hardware and trying to get some video capture recommendations for the Team
00:42:52
◼
►
Arment video game streaming setup that we have here, where there are three gaming PCs
00:42:57
◼
►
being captured over HDMI, three webcams, and they're all shown on screen at once in like,
00:43:02
◼
►
you know, three video screens or three webcams. So there's six little viewports being shown
00:43:06
◼
►
on screen at once for our game streaming for our family.
00:43:08
◼
►
And to jump in real quick, I gotta say, we got a lot of feedback about this and more
00:43:12
◼
►
More than possibly any other time in ATP's history, the feedback was universal about
00:43:18
◼
►
Blackmagic stuff.
00:43:19
◼
►
And you can tell me whether or not it's good or not, but it seems like anyone who had touched
00:43:23
◼
►
Blackmagic stuff was like, "Oh, this stuff is great."
00:43:26
◼
►
We did get a couple who said it had some issues, but for the most part.
00:43:30
◼
►
So quickly, before I go to the hardware route, I did mention briefly that I looked into NDI.
00:43:36
◼
►
This is basically sending video and audio over the network, running software on the
00:43:40
◼
►
the PCs to do capture and stuff in software.
00:43:43
◼
►
And I tried that, we had a couple of people write in,
00:43:47
◼
►
actually more than a couple, who wrote in
00:43:48
◼
►
with experience with NDI.
00:43:50
◼
►
Basically for me to use NDI to do all this over the network,
00:43:55
◼
►
it probably would require me to hardwire
00:43:58
◼
►
the gaming PCs with ethernet,
00:44:00
◼
►
and have possibly even like 2.5G or 10G ethernet,
00:44:05
◼
►
because the data rates for the amount of data
00:44:08
◼
►
I'd be capturing would be pretty high.
00:44:10
◼
►
I might still do that at some point,
00:44:11
◼
►
or maybe I'll do it for part of it,
00:44:12
◼
►
like the webcams maybe,
00:44:14
◼
►
'cause they're much lower bandwidth stuff.
00:44:15
◼
►
But I don't know, that seems more finicky
00:44:18
◼
►
than I wanna get into right now.
00:44:20
◼
►
Because the thing is, what I want here out of the setup
00:44:23
◼
►
is when we want to stream,
00:44:25
◼
►
to be able to basically turn it on and have it just work.
00:44:29
◼
►
However, because the setup is massive
00:44:31
◼
►
and lives on our kitchen counter basically,
00:44:34
◼
►
I have to be able to take it apart sometimes
00:44:37
◼
►
and put stuff away, and then take it back out,
00:44:39
◼
►
and have it work somehow without having to like
00:44:42
◼
►
reset up a bunch of stuff.
00:44:44
◼
►
So the more complex it is, the more finicky it is,
00:44:46
◼
►
the more things can change between invocations,
00:44:49
◼
►
the less appealing that is to me.
00:44:51
◼
►
And also, the more stuff is required to be out
00:44:55
◼
►
and to be used and to be bought and everything.
00:44:57
◼
►
Again, that also makes it less appealing to me.
00:44:59
◼
►
So anyway, so NDI I'm keeping on the back burner
00:45:02
◼
►
as an option, but right now I'm not using it.
00:45:04
◼
►
By far and away, the top recommendation
00:45:07
◼
►
was the Blackmagic, I don't know if it's ATEM or A-T-E-M,
00:45:11
◼
►
however you say that, ATEM Mini Pro.
00:45:14
◼
►
This was by far and away the most common recommendation.
00:45:16
◼
►
What this is is basically a little hardware video switcher
00:45:20
◼
►
and compositor thing and it has a bunch of great features.
00:45:23
◼
►
You can basically have it do,
00:45:26
◼
►
and the feature I need is called multi-view,
00:45:27
◼
►
where you show different view ports
00:45:29
◼
►
all at once on the screen.
00:45:30
◼
►
So the ATEM Mini Pro could show the three,
00:45:34
◼
►
it has four input multi-view.
00:45:36
◼
►
So it could theoretically show the three big game screens
00:45:40
◼
►
and then it can be a USB input to the computer running OBS.
00:45:45
◼
►
And so I could theoretically have that be the main input
00:45:48
◼
►
on the main background of the OBS composition
00:45:50
◼
►
and then put in the webcams myself manually.
00:45:53
◼
►
There's also a higher end ATEM Mini Extreme
00:45:57
◼
►
that has eight ports.
00:45:59
◼
►
I could theoretically use that and have it all in one box
00:46:02
◼
►
being done on hardware if I just replace the webcams
00:46:05
◼
►
with something that output HDMI instead of USB.
00:46:07
◼
►
So that's an option I might go with in the future.
00:46:09
◼
►
I don't really want to.
00:46:11
◼
►
Because this thing is this giant control panel
00:46:15
◼
►
covered in buttons with a thousand features
00:46:17
◼
►
I wouldn't use and don't need.
00:46:19
◼
►
And it's also super high end in its capabilities
00:46:24
◼
►
and so it's also like $1,000 for the big multi-input one
00:46:27
◼
►
or $500 for the only four-input one.
00:46:29
◼
►
So these are big chunks of money
00:46:31
◼
►
for a lot of features I wouldn't use.
00:46:33
◼
►
and I think it would actually make my setup
00:46:36
◼
►
physically more complicated,
00:46:38
◼
►
which is a little unappealing to me.
00:46:40
◼
►
So I'm also back-burnering that idea.
00:46:42
◼
►
I might go to that in the future, we'll see.
00:46:44
◼
►
But what I decided to try first
00:46:45
◼
►
was a PCI Express Thunderbolt enclosure
00:46:50
◼
►
and using the Blackmagic DeckLink Quad HDMI recorder,
00:46:54
◼
►
which is a four HDMI input PCI Express card.
00:46:58
◼
►
And I put it in the Sonnet Echo Express
00:47:01
◼
►
Thunderbolt enclosure that has three slots
00:47:03
◼
►
because once I started going into looking for this,
00:47:05
◼
►
I was thinking, well, hey, wait a minute.
00:47:08
◼
►
If I have the, if I could get a PCI Express enclosure,
00:47:12
◼
►
if I just get one that has more than one slot,
00:47:13
◼
►
I can also get one or two USB cards
00:47:17
◼
►
and get rid of the whole hub entirely,
00:47:19
◼
►
stop using a Thunderbolt hub and just use this one box
00:47:23
◼
►
with all these ports that I need all built into it.
00:47:25
◼
►
So that's what I did.
00:47:26
◼
►
I bought the one box, I got the three slot enclosure,
00:47:29
◼
►
I got the HDMI quad input from Blackmagic
00:47:32
◼
►
and I got two Sonnet USB cards.
00:47:34
◼
►
One that has four USB-Cs and one that has four USB-As.
00:47:39
◼
►
This is, so far, it looks like it has a lot of promise.
00:47:43
◼
►
I was very, very impressed that the enclosure
00:47:47
◼
►
and the USB cards don't need drivers.
00:47:50
◼
►
This is a huge appeal to me,
00:47:52
◼
►
because every single time I'm looking at these things,
00:47:55
◼
►
I have to first figure out, try to go to their site
00:47:57
◼
►
or they go to their support page and see,
00:47:58
◼
►
all right, does it support Macs, number one.
00:48:01
◼
►
When you're buying PC style hardware,
00:48:04
◼
►
you gotta really make sure, number one,
00:48:05
◼
►
does it support Macs?
00:48:06
◼
►
Number two, does it support Apple Silicon Macs?
00:48:09
◼
►
That's a huge question mark on a lot of these things.
00:48:12
◼
►
And the answer is not always yes,
00:48:13
◼
►
or the answer is sometimes like,
00:48:15
◼
►
well, it supports some features,
00:48:17
◼
►
or it supports some configuration,
00:48:18
◼
►
or it supports some of the hardware, but not all of it.
00:48:20
◼
►
- You forgot number three.
00:48:22
◼
►
Number three, does it look gross on the back of my Mac Pro?
00:48:25
◼
►
Nobody makes color matched cards.
00:48:29
◼
►
I was looking at USB cards and I was like,
00:48:30
◼
►
- Yeah, I have all these ports, I could put--
00:48:32
◼
►
- Are the brackets the wrong,
00:48:33
◼
►
what color are your PCI brackets?
00:48:35
◼
►
- Yeah, everything on the back of the Mac Pro
00:48:37
◼
►
is like matte black, like the part,
00:48:40
◼
►
the part that has the ports in it, right,
00:48:42
◼
►
that kinda needs to be matte black to match,
00:48:44
◼
►
and all these are shiny silver,
00:48:46
◼
►
and you just can't have that, what is this, a PC, come on.
00:48:51
◼
►
Anyway, so the enclosure and the USB cards
00:48:55
◼
►
require no drivers, they just worked instantly.
00:48:57
◼
►
I was very, very happy.
00:48:58
◼
►
So the Sonnet enclosure and the two Sonnet
00:49:00
◼
►
Allegra USB cards, fantastic.
00:49:02
◼
►
And I love the fact that I could just add this.
00:49:04
◼
►
I was also very pleased that the fan is not super loud
00:49:08
◼
►
relative to being in my kitchen.
00:49:10
◼
►
Now, I wouldn't really want this thing in my office.
00:49:14
◼
►
Oh, and also, I was impressed when I took it apart,
00:49:16
◼
►
the fan they use is a Noctua 80 millimeter fan.
00:49:19
◼
►
That's a really good fan.
00:49:21
◼
►
Noctua is an enthusiast fan brand
00:49:24
◼
►
that specializes in very quiet fans.
00:49:26
◼
►
So I was very impressed to see that in there.
00:49:28
◼
►
That's not something you usually see
00:49:29
◼
►
in someone else's hardware.
00:49:31
◼
►
So that was pretty cool.
00:49:33
◼
►
Anyway, so very impressed with the enclosure
00:49:35
◼
►
and the USB cards.
00:49:37
◼
►
The Blackmagic DeckLink Quad HDMI card,
00:49:40
◼
►
I did have to install their software.
00:49:41
◼
►
It is comically difficult to figure out
00:49:44
◼
►
where exactly you go on their website
00:49:46
◼
►
to download the software.
00:49:48
◼
►
It ends up being called desktop video something.
00:49:50
◼
►
Like it isn't called what you think it'll be called.
00:49:52
◼
►
You can't just go to the page from this card
00:49:54
◼
►
and click download.
00:49:55
◼
►
The manual doesn't, it's hilarious how opaque
00:49:59
◼
►
this process is.
00:50:00
◼
►
Eventually got it in there, got it working.
00:50:02
◼
►
The problem is, you know, this card said it works with Macs.
00:50:07
◼
►
It said it works with Apple Silicon Macs.
00:50:12
◼
►
It said you can capture things, and you know what?
00:50:15
◼
►
You open up any kind of capture app,
00:50:17
◼
►
including the one that comes with it,
00:50:18
◼
►
or OBS or anything like that,
00:50:20
◼
►
and all four ports show up
00:50:22
◼
►
as four different capture devices, great.
00:50:25
◼
►
Unfortunately, the card, while it says,
00:50:28
◼
►
it will capture audio from the HDMI signals,
00:50:32
◼
►
and while it will attempt to capture said audio,
00:50:37
◼
►
it will also crappily do that by overlaying
00:50:41
◼
►
a whole bunch of noise and repeated blocks of audio,
00:50:44
◼
►
so like, if you click a button in Minecraft,
00:50:46
◼
►
it'll play the click, and then a half second later,
00:50:48
◼
►
it'll play it again, and the whole time,
00:50:49
◼
►
they're static playing.
00:50:51
◼
►
And no matter what I did,
00:50:52
◼
►
tried searching their support forums and all that crap,
00:50:56
◼
►
could not get past this issue.
00:50:57
◼
►
I cannot figure out why it's doing that.
00:50:59
◼
►
It's difficult with Blackmagic stuff
00:51:01
◼
►
if something doesn't work right
00:51:03
◼
►
because they have so many different products
00:51:06
◼
►
that it's really hard to search for things
00:51:08
◼
►
that are relevant to what you are doing with them.
00:51:10
◼
►
But anyway, for whatever reason,
00:51:11
◼
►
the audio capture does not work on this card.
00:51:15
◼
►
So I'm going back to the drawing board on some of this stuff.
00:51:18
◼
►
I ordered a Magewell card,
00:51:21
◼
►
which is like a, I guess one of their rivals in this area.
00:51:24
◼
►
I already wanted those to try.
00:51:26
◼
►
Elgato does make a PCI express card called the Cam Link Pro
00:51:29
◼
►
with four inputs, but it's Windows only,
00:51:31
◼
►
so I can't use that one without, again,
00:51:33
◼
►
doing a whole PC based setup,
00:51:34
◼
►
which I really don't wanna do.
00:51:36
◼
►
So we'll see if the Magdwell card is any better,
00:51:39
◼
►
and then I guess I'll go from there.
00:51:40
◼
►
The Magdwell card also claims to support Macs,
00:51:42
◼
►
claims to support M1 Macs,
00:51:44
◼
►
so we'll see if it actually does,
00:51:45
◼
►
claims to support audio capture, we'll see if that works.
00:51:48
◼
►
But I'm very, very happy with most of the setup,
00:51:51
◼
►
except for the video capture card.
00:51:54
◼
►
Which is unfortunately kind of important.
00:51:56
◼
►
So we'll see.
00:51:57
◼
►
- I know, far be it from me to recommend
00:51:59
◼
►
that you not bend over backwards to use a Mac
00:52:01
◼
►
for something that it's not well suited for,
00:52:03
◼
►
but I'm telling you, if you just made,
00:52:04
◼
►
use the PC as your capture machine,
00:52:07
◼
►
I think you'd have a lot easier time.
00:52:09
◼
►
But keep plowing bravely forward, I guess.
00:52:14
◼
►
- You're spending some serious money on this.
00:52:16
◼
►
Like, I mean-- - I'm aware.
00:52:17
◼
►
- Well, he's gonna return a lot of this stuff,
00:52:18
◼
►
I'm assuming.
00:52:19
◼
►
- Well, I mean, I'm hoping to keep the enclosure.
00:52:23
◼
►
The only thing I might be returning
00:52:24
◼
►
is the Black Magic card,
00:52:24
◼
►
'cause the audio capture literally does not work
00:52:26
◼
►
the way they say it will.
00:52:27
◼
►
- Well, but eventually, when you give up on this
00:52:29
◼
►
and get a PC to do it, like all this stuff will come back.
00:52:32
◼
►
- Well, not necessarily.
00:52:34
◼
►
Presumably the PC could use a lot of it, right?
00:52:37
◼
►
- A PC with Thunderbolt?
00:52:39
◼
►
- But I will say, this is the first time
00:52:40
◼
►
I've ever used a Thunderbolt enclosure,
00:52:41
◼
►
and I'm very pleased with how nice and easy it was.
00:52:45
◼
►
Now granted, I'm not using it for GPUs,
00:52:47
◼
►
which is I think what a lot of people use them for,
00:52:49
◼
►
but for this kind of thing, it was very nice to see.
00:52:52
◼
►
And this really solidified, if anything,
00:52:55
◼
►
this solidified my opinion that if we don't need
00:52:59
◼
►
external GPU support, or rather,
00:53:02
◼
►
if we don't need additional GPU support,
00:53:05
◼
►
then future Mac Pros are totally able
00:53:08
◼
►
to use Thunderbolt enclosures for other types
00:53:11
◼
►
of PCI card needs if they don't want to have internal slots.
00:53:15
◼
►
because this is great, this is all running off
00:53:16
◼
►
a 13 inch MacBook Pro, like I don't even need a desktop
00:53:19
◼
►
to have full bandwidth PCI cards in there.
00:53:21
◼
►
That's fantastic, and that works great.
00:53:24
◼
►
So certainly it at least has been educational
00:53:28
◼
►
in the sense that I now know what these enclosures are
00:53:31
◼
►
and how they work and the kinds of things they can do.
00:53:33
◼
►
We are brought to you this week by remote.
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00:55:18
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All right, I have some news.
00:55:21
◼
►
At long last, I am finally off of Gmail for my email.
00:55:26
◼
►
I switched my MX records like a week ago, maybe a week and a half ago,
00:55:30
◼
►
and I am receiving my email at Fastmail, as the prophecy foretold.
00:55:34
◼
►
foretold. So if you too are looking to move off of Gmail and would like a
00:55:38
◼
►
referral link where I believe both of us get some money off and I get some free
00:55:42
◼
►
time it is going to be in the show notes it's ref.fm/theosomemorableU2818-3245
00:55:47
◼
►
It's like an ICQ number. Right? 1202572. I still don't think I get a lot...
00:55:54
◼
►
2-5-7-4-4-2-9-4. There you go. Why does that get drilled into every nerd's head? I don't understand.
00:56:00
◼
►
I mean I had an ICQ account but I did not memorize the number I don't know I
00:56:04
◼
►
I wasn't young enough to want to memorize it.
00:56:06
◼
►
Like, I never had a reason to memorize it,
00:56:09
◼
►
because if anyone wanted, I would just
00:56:10
◼
►
copy and paste it to them.
00:56:11
◼
►
- I don't know what my deal is, or Marko's for that matter,
00:56:14
◼
►
but I don't know, I memorize mine.
00:56:16
◼
►
- I'm kind of sad that I don't remember
00:56:17
◼
►
what my ICQ number was.
00:56:18
◼
►
I think I could dig out one of my classic Macs
00:56:19
◼
►
that probably still has the account information in there,
00:56:22
◼
►
just launch ICQ and see what it tries to log in with.
00:56:25
◼
►
- A couple years ago, I think I tried logging into ICQ
00:56:27
◼
►
with 1202572, and it was not happening.
00:56:30
◼
►
And God knows what email address
00:56:32
◼
►
associated with that account. So yeah so many new friends for Blista now. That wasn't Blista, that was AIM.
00:56:39
◼
►
So many new friends. Anyway we're getting sidetracked as per usual. So yeah so I did the
00:56:45
◼
►
migration for Fast Mail. So to fill you in in case you're not keeping up, I was on the Google Apps
00:56:50
◼
►
for Your Domain free plan which had come out somewhere around like 2004, 2006, something like that.
00:56:56
◼
►
And if you wanted to you could sign up for you know Gmail and then eventually you know Google
00:57:01
◼
►
Docs and all these other things were kind of stabled on the side. You can get it for free
00:57:04
◼
►
You thought for life and a couple of months ago. They've said oh no not for life
00:57:08
◼
►
We're gonna end of life this free thing and you're gonna have to start paying us which I mean, okay fair
00:57:13
◼
►
I mean, I've freeloaded for like 10 15 years at this point, so I can't entirely fault them
00:57:16
◼
►
But I would already been trying to wean myself off of most things Google as it was
00:57:23
◼
►
And so this seemed like a pretty good opportunity to wean myself off of Gmail
00:57:27
◼
►
So I went to fast mail. I signed up for an account and I paid for a year and I told it, okay
00:57:35
◼
►
Take all my things from Google and put them into fast mail
00:57:40
◼
►
Expecting that this would be a 42 month endeavor that never ends and and presumably will not work
00:57:46
◼
►
So what they have you do is you know sign in via OAuth and it looks at Gmail says I have about 20 gigabytes
00:57:56
◼
►
and so I started it at something like 930 in the morning like a week ago and
00:58:02
◼
►
It took all of my calendar entries, which was almost 5,000 calendar events
00:58:08
◼
►
It took that in I think it was literally two minutes or something like that
00:58:12
◼
►
It was absurdly fast, which like if you think about it, that's the way it should be right?
00:58:15
◼
►
Like you would hope that it would be able to download, you know from internet phone to internet backbone if you will
00:58:21
◼
►
extremely quickly, but I didn't expect it to actually happen and
00:58:25
◼
►
and even more so to work.
00:58:27
◼
►
And it seemed like it did.
00:58:30
◼
►
It did happen, and it did work.
00:58:32
◼
►
But that was calendars.
00:58:34
◼
►
What about my email?
00:58:35
◼
►
So sure enough, I'm buckled up for like two weeks
00:58:39
◼
►
of transferring and so on and so forth.
00:58:41
◼
►
And it took two hours.
00:58:45
◼
►
In two hours, I got an email that said, hey,
00:58:47
◼
►
all your past emails here now, we have downloaded 149,409
00:58:53
◼
►
of 149,396 messages.
00:58:56
◼
►
And you might ask, well, why does that number not match?
00:58:58
◼
►
Well, I think because at the time it started,
00:59:00
◼
►
which was 149,396, I had gotten like 20 emails.
00:59:04
◼
►
So it ended up with 149,409.
00:59:08
◼
►
- Well, that brings up a point.
00:59:09
◼
►
Is there a catch-up mode?
00:59:10
◼
►
Like how do you deal with the gap?
00:59:13
◼
►
- So I think it does.
00:59:15
◼
►
I think I could have it refresh,
00:59:18
◼
►
but once it was clear that it was actively working,
00:59:21
◼
►
I pretty much immediately flipped my MX records
00:59:23
◼
►
and was like, screw it, this is gonna work,
00:59:25
◼
►
I'm just going for it.
00:59:25
◼
►
Which is a bit cavalier, I'll be the first to admit.
00:59:27
◼
►
- I mean, you could've flipped down
00:59:29
◼
►
an MX record first, right?
00:59:31
◼
►
- I could have, theoretically, yeah.
00:59:33
◼
►
But I was a little--
00:59:34
◼
►
- But you just wanted to make sure
00:59:35
◼
►
there was still a race condition.
00:59:36
◼
►
- Yes, exactly right.
00:59:39
◼
►
No, I really just wanted to make sure
00:59:41
◼
►
that something was being transferred
00:59:42
◼
►
and that it was working in some way, shape, or form.
00:59:45
◼
►
And once I saw the transfer was starting to work,
00:59:47
◼
►
I was like, okay, this is gonna be a mess.
00:59:49
◼
►
And so there was, maybe I lost five minutes of email
00:59:51
◼
►
because I was too slow on the MX record change.
00:59:53
◼
►
But one way or another, yeah, so the chat is asking,
00:59:57
◼
►
did I give FastMail my username and password?
00:59:59
◼
►
No, no, no, like I said, this is OAuth.
01:00:00
◼
►
So it has me log in via Google.
01:00:03
◼
►
Google gives them some sort of token back.
01:00:05
◼
►
It's been so long since I've done an OAuth implementation.
01:00:08
◼
►
So there's magic tokens that are exchanged,
01:00:10
◼
►
and then that's that.
01:00:11
◼
►
So I never actually gave FastMail my username and password.
01:00:15
◼
►
So yeah, so in the span of two hours,
01:00:16
◼
►
I got literally 15 years of email or something like that
01:00:20
◼
►
that went through Lickety Split, no problem.
01:00:22
◼
►
All of my folders, which are really labels in Gmail world,
01:00:27
◼
►
that came through.
01:00:28
◼
►
I had the option of importing the rules that I set up in
01:00:31
◼
►
Gmail, of which I had a not insignificant amount of them.
01:00:34
◼
►
But I wanted to take this as an opportunity to clean Slate
01:00:37
◼
►
and start anew.
01:00:39
◼
►
One thing that I did try was Fastmail, by default, is IMAP.
01:00:44
◼
►
And so it uses folders as folders rather than labels,
01:00:49
◼
►
which is what Gmail does.
01:00:51
◼
►
And I tried for a few days, maybe a week, to see if I
01:00:55
◼
►
could go back to the world of folders.
01:00:57
◼
►
And for me, I couldn't do it.
01:01:01
◼
►
And so what I did was, very nicely, Fastmail has an option
01:01:04
◼
►
that says, hey, instead of organizing your messages with
01:01:07
◼
►
folders, you can organize them with labels.
01:01:09
◼
►
And then it's basically what I would call Gmail mode.
01:01:12
◼
►
And so now it behaves much like Gmail does,
01:01:16
◼
►
which is super great.
01:01:16
◼
►
And not for everyone, of course, but for someone who's
01:01:19
◼
►
been used to Gmail, that worked out excellently.
01:01:21
◼
►
And like I said, all the folders came through,
01:01:22
◼
►
everything was great.
01:01:24
◼
►
- Sorry, so is the idea here that you can basically
01:01:26
◼
►
have a message in multiple folders,
01:01:27
◼
►
like it's kind of like a tag instead of a--
01:01:29
◼
►
- Yes, exactly, it's like a tag, yeah.
01:01:32
◼
►
And when you add a tag, it doesn't necessarily mean
01:01:37
◼
►
that it is no longer in the inbox.
01:01:39
◼
►
So part of the reason I went back to labels was,
01:01:42
◼
►
I like to label, say, ATP feedback with an ATP label.
01:01:47
◼
►
And that was all well and good,
01:01:49
◼
►
but what was happening was,
01:01:50
◼
►
and maybe this was user error on my part,
01:01:52
◼
►
but I don't think so.
01:01:54
◼
►
But what was happening was when I set up my rule
01:01:56
◼
►
that said, okay, put this in the ATP folder,
01:01:59
◼
►
that's literally what it did,
01:02:01
◼
►
is it moved it out of my inbox and into the ATP folder.
01:02:04
◼
►
And I personally prefer any new email,
01:02:07
◼
►
regardless of where it came from or why it's there,
01:02:09
◼
►
I wanna see it in my inbox.
01:02:10
◼
►
It's the only place I wanna check.
01:02:11
◼
►
Then I will file it away as necessary,
01:02:13
◼
►
but I only wanna have to look at my email.
01:02:15
◼
►
And with the way folders were set up,
01:02:17
◼
►
or perhaps the way I set up the rules,
01:02:19
◼
►
I would have to go into the ATP folder
01:02:20
◼
►
to look at the new ATP email.
01:02:22
◼
►
And so I said, now the hell with this.
01:02:23
◼
►
I'm just going back to labels.
01:02:24
◼
►
And now it works exactly as I want.
01:02:26
◼
►
I have a rule that says, hey, when an ATP email comes in,
01:02:28
◼
►
mark it with the ATP label, but leave it in the inbox,
01:02:32
◼
►
which is exactly what I wanna do.
01:02:33
◼
►
Again, not for everyone, but that's how I like it.
01:02:36
◼
►
So all good news on things that FastMail can control.
01:02:40
◼
►
The web app is surprisingly good.
01:02:43
◼
►
Now I'm not like John.
01:02:44
◼
►
I never use a Gmail web app.
01:02:46
◼
►
And I know the Gmail web app, if you like it,
01:02:48
◼
►
you really like it.
01:02:50
◼
►
I really enjoyed it when it was new.
01:02:51
◼
►
Over time, I decided it was not for me.
01:02:54
◼
►
I'm not saying Jon's wrong.
01:02:55
◼
►
It's just not for me.
01:02:57
◼
►
And the Fast Mail web app is really good.
01:02:58
◼
►
I don't have it open in front of me, but I believe there's
01:03:01
◼
►
even a way to make it use Gmail key shortcuts, or
01:03:05
◼
►
keystrokes, if you will.
01:03:06
◼
►
I'm not 100% sure about that.
01:03:08
◼
►
You'll have to check me on that.
01:03:09
◼
►
But I believe that to be true.
01:03:11
◼
►
So everything Fast Mail related, the web app is great.
01:03:13
◼
►
The email comes in super fast.
01:03:15
◼
►
I haven't had two, I've had a couple pieces
01:03:17
◼
►
of spam breakthrough, but not a lot.
01:03:19
◼
►
There's also a neat feature where you can set up a folder
01:03:22
◼
►
or a label and say, hey, when I put something in here,
01:03:26
◼
►
tell your spam thing that this is something
01:03:30
◼
►
it should have caught a spam,
01:03:31
◼
►
and so you can help train it.
01:03:32
◼
►
Or what's even more interesting is,
01:03:34
◼
►
there's a, you can set up a second label that you say,
01:03:38
◼
►
hey, if I put something in here, this is not spam.
01:03:41
◼
►
Like this is something that you thought was spam, but isn't.
01:03:43
◼
►
And that's not the only way to do that.
01:03:45
◼
►
Like if you're in the web interface,
01:03:47
◼
►
you can say, oh, not spam.
01:03:48
◼
►
But I just thought that was a very clever approach,
01:03:50
◼
►
especially if you're using a third party client.
01:03:52
◼
►
The other interesting thing about FastMail,
01:03:53
◼
►
which I feel like we said this on the show at some point,
01:03:56
◼
►
but FastMail seems to have some sort of
01:03:59
◼
►
certification or entitlement or something,
01:04:03
◼
►
such that it is one of the very, very few
01:04:05
◼
►
third party email providers that actually
01:04:08
◼
►
can do push email on iOS.
01:04:12
◼
►
I don't necessarily need that, but I turned it on
01:04:14
◼
►
'cause it's cool.
01:04:16
◼
►
And so, in fact, I can make an argument why it's not cool,
01:04:18
◼
►
but because it's new and shiny, I turned it on.
01:04:21
◼
►
And you can get push email via iOS, which is cool.
01:04:25
◼
►
And oh, and to log into your email in iOS,
01:04:29
◼
►
one of the ways you can do it,
01:04:32
◼
►
they do have their own bespoke iOS app,
01:04:34
◼
►
but the way I did it is I logged into Fastmail
01:04:38
◼
►
on the computer, and then they give you
01:04:40
◼
►
a convenient little QR code,
01:04:42
◼
►
and you scan the QR code with your phone,
01:04:45
◼
►
and that installs a profile, which sounds sketchy,
01:04:47
◼
►
but all the profile does is put in the account for you,
01:04:51
◼
►
which is super neat.
01:04:52
◼
►
And so, again, like, FastMail's a prior sponsor.
01:04:56
◼
►
It wouldn't surprise me if there's,
01:04:57
◼
►
they're going to be a future sponsor, I haven't looked.
01:05:00
◼
►
So I'm at least slightly biased,
01:05:02
◼
►
but they didn't pay me to say any of this stuff.
01:05:04
◼
►
Like, this was all me on my own.
01:05:06
◼
►
And it's been really great.
01:05:08
◼
►
So if you're interested in moving away from Gmail
01:05:10
◼
►
for any reason or from whatever your current
01:05:12
◼
►
email provider is, I really do recommend Fastmail.
01:05:15
◼
►
It's really been really good so far.
01:05:17
◼
►
I mean, Marco, you've been there for forever, right?
01:05:19
◼
►
- Yeah, for, I mean, geez, probably over 10 years now.
01:05:23
◼
►
It's been fantastic, I have no complaints.
01:05:26
◼
►
- Yeah, I cannot say enough good things
01:05:27
◼
►
about how this process has gone.
01:05:29
◼
►
So then, by comparison, I went back to Gmail
01:05:33
◼
►
and was like, okay, what do I need to do
01:05:35
◼
►
to tell them I wanna get on the list of people
01:05:37
◼
►
that would like to maybe not do email anymore
01:05:40
◼
►
but I don't wanna lose like what little YouTube stuff
01:05:43
◼
►
I have saved, I don't wanna lose Google Docs,
01:05:45
◼
►
I don't wanna lose the shared ATP calendar,
01:05:49
◼
►
even though we should probably move it to Apple Calendar,
01:05:51
◼
►
I'm just gonna leave that here.
01:05:53
◼
►
I don't wanna lose any of that.
01:05:54
◼
►
- Move it to Apple Calendar, that's madness.
01:05:56
◼
►
What are you talking about? - No, it's not.
01:05:57
◼
►
No, it's, it's, right now what I have to do
01:06:00
◼
►
is do it via freakin' CalDAV, which is absurd,
01:06:04
◼
►
just because you're on Google, John, not that I'm bitter.
01:06:06
◼
►
- I'm the one who moves the calendar rent anyway,
01:06:07
◼
►
don't worry about it.
01:06:08
◼
►
Anyway, the point is, so I think the way this works is,
01:06:12
◼
►
if Google blesses me, which they're not guaranteeing,
01:06:16
◼
►
with, I forget what they call it, but like,
01:06:18
◼
►
if I'm allowed to have one of their freebie accounts,
01:06:21
◼
►
then I think I can keep all of the Google Docs calendars,
01:06:25
◼
►
et cetera, and YouTube and whatnot,
01:06:27
◼
►
and I just lose my email, which is fine by me.
01:06:29
◼
►
But when I went to go do that, you know,
01:06:32
◼
►
they sent all these scare grams about,
01:06:34
◼
►
"Oh, everything's gonna be expensive,
01:06:36
◼
►
"and you gotta pay, you gotta pay, you gotta pay,
01:06:37
◼
►
"Oh my gosh, oh my gosh, oh my gosh."
01:06:38
◼
►
Or you can sign up for this thing,
01:06:40
◼
►
but that's probably not what you want.
01:06:42
◼
►
And so I went to sign up for the thing,
01:06:43
◼
►
and for the life of me, I couldn't find it.
01:06:46
◼
►
And of course, the Google website has gone,
01:06:49
◼
►
especially Google Apps website, is so full-on enterprise,
01:06:53
◼
►
which means everything is confusing.
01:06:54
◼
►
It's all using verbiage that even I'm far enough removed
01:06:57
◼
►
from real jobs that I don't know what they're talking about.
01:07:00
◼
►
It was a mess.
01:07:01
◼
►
And eventually I finally found my way into an online chat
01:07:04
◼
►
where someone was genuinely very helpful and was like,
01:07:06
◼
►
"Yeah, I'll take care of it.
01:07:06
◼
►
put it on the list for you. But oh my word, it was just like the biggest F you on the
01:07:12
◼
►
way out the door. Like, Oh, you want to leave? Oh no, no. This is like canceling cable, baby.
01:07:18
◼
►
You got to work for it. And it was a mess, but fast mail. Great Google. I'm over you.
01:07:23
◼
►
And if you're interested in fast mail, please check out my referral code. It would make
01:07:27
◼
►
me very happy. John, tell me about your security camera.
01:07:30
◼
►
I feel when I sit on the show about this, did I just say I was getting one? I think
01:07:35
◼
►
were talking about how you had intended it as a home project and I don't think we went
01:07:41
◼
►
too much further than that, but I thought we talked about how you didn't want to put
01:07:45
◼
►
any holes in your house and I'm pretty sure a little birdie told me that involved in this
01:07:50
◼
►
process was putting a hole on the outside, through the outside of your house.
01:07:53
◼
►
I mean, I knew it would, I just wish the hole had worked out a little better, but anyway,
01:07:59
◼
►
that wasn't that bad. So I talked about this a bit more on a yet-to-be-released episode
01:08:04
◼
►
of our console differences which we would link in the show it's if we could
01:08:07
◼
►
but we can't but maybe we will later the camera that I got is this the latest
01:08:12
◼
►
nest camera it's called nest cam outdoor indoor comma battery great product name
01:08:17
◼
►
and I have a bunch of nest cams already and I the reason I got this one is
01:08:24
◼
►
because I realized that I'm already paying for whatever the fancy plan is it
01:08:27
◼
►
lets you add cameras without having to pay anymore so if I bought another
01:08:32
◼
►
camera I didn't have to like it doesn't increase my monthly fee. I used to have a ring camera and
01:08:35
◼
►
I got rid of that one so I could stop paying for that and I could you know just buy this camera and
01:08:40
◼
►
you know it's going to be an outdoor security camera and I had a place where I wanted to put
01:08:45
◼
►
it especially where the old ring camera was but I didn't want to have to deal with batteries. Now
01:08:50
◼
►
this camera as the description indicates has a battery so you can run it on battery but from
01:08:57
◼
►
experience I don't like you know using cameras and batteries no matter how long
01:09:01
◼
►
the battery lasts first of all the batteries degrade especially if they're
01:09:03
◼
►
outdoors all year long in New England and the freezing in the winter and hot
01:09:07
◼
►
in the summer that really kills the battery and second I don't want to have
01:09:10
◼
►
to recharge it right so why not get one of the ones that you can plug in well
01:09:14
◼
►
this camera you can also plug in and if you plug it in it just so it kind of has
01:09:18
◼
►
like a little it's like a USB C type cable or whatever but you can also get
01:09:23
◼
►
one that has a an AC plug wall wart thing and then a little cable runs so
01:09:27
◼
►
the camera and so even though the camera is battery powered it's still plugged in
01:09:30
◼
►
and if you lose power then the battery takes over right and the battery lasts
01:09:34
◼
►
like a month or whatever so this is great it's it's essentially power powered
01:09:39
◼
►
by wire all the time except when if the power goes out you don't lose your
01:09:42
◼
►
camera so I had to find a place to run the wire this is near a light that I had
01:09:48
◼
►
that kind of shines where like my garbage cans are so I can scare away the
01:09:51
◼
►
raccoons when I go out there to deal with that at night in the winter or
01:09:54
◼
►
whatever and so there was already like you know electrical wire running to the
01:10:00
◼
►
outdoor lights they're just plain old regular lights right so I knew there was
01:10:04
◼
►
a way to get a cable from where I wanted to go you know from from inside my house
01:10:09
◼
►
to outside my house and I figured what I could do was make another small hole and
01:10:14
◼
►
then fish a wire in the same place where the the wire that goes to lights go but
01:10:20
◼
►
instead of going out the hole where the lights are I would go out a different
01:10:23
◼
►
hole and I spent a long time trying to get that to work without tearing everything apart.
01:10:30
◼
►
In the end I had to tear apart a little bit more than I wanted to to get at the guts because
01:10:34
◼
►
this is like the eaves by my garage and the inside wall of the garage and the outside
01:10:39
◼
►
eaves and I drilled, here's my big mistake, I was trying to drill a hole that I was going
01:10:44
◼
►
to be able to fit this little wire through and so I was looking at my drill bits and
01:10:48
◼
►
I'm looking at the little adapter going is this drill bit big enough, is this drill bit
01:10:51
◼
►
big enough, whatever, and comparing it.
01:10:54
◼
►
And the little plug that I had to get through is not,
01:10:57
◼
►
it's not symmetrical, it's like the plug goes
01:11:01
◼
►
and then the sort of socket that's on the end of the plug
01:11:03
◼
►
is on an angle, and I think I miscalculated.
01:11:07
◼
►
It's kind of like if you have a square,
01:11:09
◼
►
you measure the dimensions of the square, that's fine,
01:11:12
◼
►
but if you tilt the square and the angle
01:11:13
◼
►
suddenly gets bigger because the diagonal
01:11:14
◼
►
is much bigger than the legs of the square, right?
01:11:17
◼
►
That's kind of the situation I was in.
01:11:18
◼
►
So I drilled a nice, neat hole that was about,
01:11:21
◼
►
half of a millimeter too small.
01:11:23
◼
►
Like, you could fit the plug into there,
01:11:26
◼
►
but it was like, the hole went in a ways,
01:11:28
◼
►
and so it would get like, it would get bound up and jammed,
01:11:31
◼
►
and so I had to make the hole bigger,
01:11:33
◼
►
and making an existing hole bigger is difficult to do.
01:11:37
◼
►
Didn't do a great job of it.
01:11:38
◼
►
It got bigger.
01:11:39
◼
►
But anyway, you can't see it.
01:11:42
◼
►
I'll, you know, I'll paper over it.
01:11:44
◼
►
Luckily, it's hidden behind a downspout,
01:11:45
◼
►
so you can't actually see my horrible job I did.
01:11:47
◼
►
But I did get it plugged in, and it works.
01:11:51
◼
►
and it's doing its thing.
01:11:53
◼
►
Two bits that I want to talk about with this camera.
01:11:56
◼
►
The first one is, if you look at the webpage of Lincoln,
01:12:00
◼
►
Google's website, you'll see that one of the things
01:12:04
◼
►
that they advertise about this camera,
01:12:05
◼
►
in fact, it's in the little animation,
01:12:07
◼
►
is that it is magnetically attached to the base.
01:12:10
◼
►
So the camera is just like a unit,
01:12:12
◼
►
like a little semi-circular thing or whatever,
01:12:14
◼
►
that's the camera, and it's got a really powerful magnet
01:12:17
◼
►
in it, and then the base also has a really powerful magnet
01:12:19
◼
►
and you screw the base to whatever surface you want,
01:12:21
◼
►
and you stick the camera on with the battery.
01:12:23
◼
►
And if you look their installation instructions,
01:12:25
◼
►
they say, "If you're putting this camera outdoors,
01:12:27
◼
►
"we recommend that you put it six to six and a half feet
01:12:29
◼
►
"off the ground for best operation, blah, blah, blah."
01:12:33
◼
►
Well, if you've got a supposed security camera,
01:12:36
◼
►
six to six and a half feet off the ground,
01:12:38
◼
►
that's connected only with a magnet,
01:12:40
◼
►
someone can just walk right up to it
01:12:42
◼
►
and yank your security camera off the wall,
01:12:45
◼
►
and A, now you don't have a security camera,
01:12:48
◼
►
And B, now they have your camera.
01:12:50
◼
►
Right, now obviously you probably got a recording
01:12:52
◼
►
of them doing that because it's sending the data
01:12:54
◼
►
to the internet constantly,
01:12:55
◼
►
but what good is that gonna do you
01:12:56
◼
►
when they've got your camera?
01:12:58
◼
►
It's like taking $200 bills and thumbtacking them
01:13:01
◼
►
to the side of your house, right?
01:13:03
◼
►
It's like, I don't want somebody to be able to take that.
01:13:05
◼
►
So there's this sub-market of products
01:13:08
◼
►
to try to take Google's stupid design
01:13:10
◼
►
and make it slightly more secure.
01:13:12
◼
►
So you can buy a little kit that connects one of those
01:13:16
◼
►
metal security wire things, you know?
01:13:19
◼
►
I mean, security wire, right?
01:13:22
◼
►
Little metal wire, right?
01:13:24
◼
►
And so one end of it is kind of screwed behind the base
01:13:26
◼
►
so you can't get to it, and the other end is screwed
01:13:28
◼
►
to the camera with like one of those security screwdriver
01:13:32
◼
►
tips that's like a weird shape.
01:13:33
◼
►
It's not a Torx wrench, it's not a normal shape, right?
01:13:37
◼
►
So you buy one of these little kits and it comes
01:13:39
◼
►
with a little 2 cent weird security screwdriver tip
01:13:42
◼
►
and a screwdriver, and anyway, at least now it's harder
01:13:46
◼
►
for someone to casually take the camera off my house,
01:13:49
◼
►
that if they tried to do it, they would say,
01:13:50
◼
►
"Oh, it's stuck with something."
01:13:51
◼
►
And then they'd have to have also brought with them
01:13:54
◼
►
a pair of nail clippers or something
01:13:55
◼
►
to cut through the metal security wire.
01:13:57
◼
►
- Or just pull harder.
01:13:59
◼
►
This is not a thick wire.
01:14:00
◼
►
- Yeah, or just, exactly.
01:14:01
◼
►
Or just pull, but if they pulled harder,
01:14:02
◼
►
they might break the camera too.
01:14:03
◼
►
So they should really just, you know.
01:14:05
◼
►
And no, it's not pentalobe.
01:14:06
◼
►
It's like, it's got a little nub.
01:14:08
◼
►
- It's a star with a dot in the middle.
01:14:10
◼
►
- Yeah, the dot in the middle is the security feature, right?
01:14:12
◼
►
So a Torx wrench doesn't have a hole in the middle.
01:14:14
◼
►
I guess probably some of them do.
01:14:15
◼
►
But anyway, it's stupid.
01:14:17
◼
►
But that's what I did.
01:14:18
◼
►
I mean, I don't think, I'm not in a neighborhood
01:14:20
◼
►
where people are routinely steering security cameras
01:14:22
◼
►
off of the wall.
01:14:23
◼
►
So, so far so good at that.
01:14:24
◼
►
But the real thing I want to complain about,
01:14:26
◼
►
and I went into more depth on this than on RecDiffs,
01:14:28
◼
►
but it's worth at least mentioning here.
01:14:31
◼
►
This camera, like the other Nest camera,
01:14:32
◼
►
has a feature where it can identify faces.
01:14:36
◼
►
And so you can teach it, like it'll, you know,
01:14:37
◼
►
you can have a prompt, you look at this face, who is this?
01:14:39
◼
►
Who is this?
01:14:40
◼
►
And you could just tell it who all the people are.
01:14:41
◼
►
So it attaches a name to a face.
01:14:44
◼
►
It calls that feature familiar faces, right?
01:14:46
◼
►
And so, you know, I already have this from like my cameras
01:14:50
◼
►
that are in my house that I know as all my family
01:14:51
◼
►
and stuff like that.
01:14:52
◼
►
And it's pretty good with the facial recognition,
01:14:56
◼
►
even at weird angles and with, you know,
01:14:57
◼
►
bad resolution and in the dark and all sorts of other things
01:15:00
◼
►
it can identify who it is and, you know,
01:15:02
◼
►
identify the face.
01:15:03
◼
►
And one of the features of that is
01:15:06
◼
►
if you have notifications turned on,
01:15:07
◼
►
instead of saying person was spotted in the kitchen,
01:15:10
◼
►
it will say, you know,
01:15:11
◼
►
so-and-so was spotted in the kitchen by name, right?
01:15:13
◼
►
it'll tell you the name of the person.
01:15:15
◼
►
But what I wanted from this,
01:15:19
◼
►
and I just assumed I would be able to get, silly me,
01:15:22
◼
►
is that, okay, if I have a camera
01:15:24
◼
►
that's facing outside my house,
01:15:26
◼
►
and it knows all about all the familiar faces, right?
01:15:29
◼
►
Then it also knows if it sees a face
01:15:32
◼
►
that's not a familiar face.
01:15:33
◼
►
Like, I saw a face, but it's not one of the five
01:15:36
◼
►
that's in my familiar face list.
01:15:39
◼
►
What I would like is for the outdoor camera to say,
01:15:42
◼
►
oh, hey, I saw somebody, and it's not
01:15:44
◼
►
on your familiar face list.
01:15:45
◼
►
So here's a push notification.
01:15:47
◼
►
And as far as I've been able to determine,
01:15:50
◼
►
even though they built this facial recognition
01:15:52
◼
►
system into their cameras, they have no way
01:15:54
◼
►
to tell it to notify you when it sees
01:15:56
◼
►
a face that is not familiar.
01:15:58
◼
►
Your choices are no notifications
01:16:00
◼
►
for people whatsoever or notifications
01:16:03
◼
►
of every single person.
01:16:04
◼
►
Those are the only two choices.
01:16:07
◼
►
And if you have a camera notify you of every single person
01:16:10
◼
►
and it's at your house, it's gonna constantly
01:16:12
◼
►
notify you, your son is by the camera,
01:16:14
◼
►
your daughter's by the camera, your wife is by the camera,
01:16:16
◼
►
you're by the camera, like that's too many notifications.
01:16:19
◼
►
But I don't want zero notifications.
01:16:22
◼
►
The camera knows whether it's familiar face
01:16:25
◼
►
because it tells me who's in front of the camera by name
01:16:27
◼
►
or it says a person.
01:16:29
◼
►
It knows, but there is no mode that I could find
01:16:32
◼
►
that says just send a push notification to my phone
01:16:35
◼
►
if it's an unfamiliar face.
01:16:36
◼
►
That seems like the feature that a security camera
01:16:39
◼
►
what happened, this thing doesn't seem to do it.
01:16:42
◼
►
And I Googled for it and I found one of those sad
01:16:44
◼
►
Google help pages, you ever see these ones?
01:16:45
◼
►
Like Google doesn't actually have any humans helping you,
01:16:47
◼
►
they just have like this community forum
01:16:49
◼
►
where users just wail into the void.
01:16:50
◼
►
Are you familiar with these pages?
01:16:52
◼
►
Like if you're looking for the answer
01:16:53
◼
►
to anything Google related, you'll find like,
01:16:55
◼
►
I don't know what it is, like a,
01:16:57
◼
►
it's like a sick twisted version of a web bulletin board
01:16:59
◼
►
where people are like, help me, I can't figure out
01:17:01
◼
►
this thing with Google and other users,
01:17:03
◼
►
commits are right, yeah, I can't figure out either,
01:17:04
◼
►
I can't figure out either.
01:17:05
◼
►
And at the bottom of the thread is always some Google
01:17:06
◼
►
employee saying, yeah, we don't support that,
01:17:09
◼
►
you should file a ticket and maybe we'll look at it.
01:17:10
◼
►
And then you look at the date, it's like 2015.
01:17:13
◼
►
No, right, so I found a page where somebody said,
01:17:17
◼
►
can I only get push notifications for unfamiliar faces?
01:17:20
◼
►
And they're like, yeah, you can't do that yet,
01:17:21
◼
►
you should file a feature request.
01:17:23
◼
►
Oh my God, I don't understand how they ship this product
01:17:25
◼
►
without that feature.
01:17:26
◼
►
Like what is the point of familiar faces
01:17:28
◼
►
if this feature doesn't exist for an outdoor security camera
01:17:31
◼
►
just so you can know exactly which person it saw
01:17:34
◼
►
but you still want notifications for everybody?
01:17:36
◼
►
Boggles my mind.
01:17:37
◼
►
So anyway, I don't have person notifications on,
01:17:40
◼
►
because otherwise I'd be notified every single day,
01:17:42
◼
►
every single time anyone in my family came
01:17:44
◼
►
and went from my house or walked in front of my house.
01:17:47
◼
►
Good job, Google.
01:17:48
◼
►
- That's amazing.
01:17:50
◼
►
This is the kind of thing I would assume
01:17:53
◼
►
Google would be very good at.
01:17:54
◼
►
- They're good at identifying faces.
01:17:56
◼
►
They're not good at understanding
01:17:58
◼
►
what to do with that information,
01:17:59
◼
►
which is tell me when it's not familiar.
01:18:02
◼
►
- Honestly, I don't find this surprising at all,
01:18:03
◼
►
but whatever.
01:18:04
◼
►
- And if this is a brand new product,
01:18:06
◼
►
"Oh, it's just version 1.0? Fine, whatever. It'll come in the next version." This is years and years
01:18:10
◼
►
they've had Nest security cameras. I've owned them for years and years, right? And inside my house,
01:18:15
◼
►
it never occurred to me that this would be an issue because my inside the house cameras aren't
01:18:18
◼
►
even on when we're home. They're only on when nobody's home. And so being notified when it
01:18:23
◼
►
sees any human is appropriate. If nobody's in the house and there's a human in the house, notify me,
01:18:27
◼
►
right? So I never went looking for the feature that I just assumed exists, which is just tell
01:18:31
◼
►
Tell me if you see an unfamiliar face.
01:18:33
◼
►
- I'm too lazy to look right now,
01:18:36
◼
►
but I wonder if the Synology surveillance station,
01:18:39
◼
►
which is there.
01:18:40
◼
►
(phone ringing)
01:18:41
◼
►
For third camera, I just had no idea what that noise was.
01:18:44
◼
►
It startled me.
01:18:45
◼
►
Anyway, I wonder--
01:18:46
◼
►
- You need to get closer to the mic.
01:18:47
◼
►
You need to figure out how to mic a VibraSlap.
01:18:50
◼
►
- I can get closer.
01:18:52
◼
►
(phone ringing)
01:18:53
◼
►
- How's that, better?
01:18:54
◼
►
- That was better.
01:18:55
◼
►
- I can keep the bell really far away.
01:18:56
◼
►
It's nice and sharp.
01:18:58
◼
►
But I guess I gotta bring the VibraSlap closer.
01:18:59
◼
►
- You need to mic it.
01:19:01
◼
►
Like you need to like have it as in like an instrument setup
01:19:03
◼
►
where there's a separate little mic,
01:19:04
◼
►
little wire going, you know.
01:19:06
◼
►
- What black magic box will fix you?
01:19:08
◼
►
- Yeah, right.
01:19:09
◼
►
I got a PCI express capture card
01:19:10
◼
►
to capture the sound of the virus.
01:19:12
◼
►
(both laughing)
01:19:14
◼
►
Anyway, I wonder if Surveillance Station does any of this.
01:19:17
◼
►
And I honestly don't know.
01:19:18
◼
►
It may be the dumbest thing in the world.
01:19:19
◼
►
- It has to because the facial recognition
01:19:21
◼
►
is like table stakes.
01:19:22
◼
►
And once any product other than this,
01:19:24
◼
►
I assume has facial recognition,
01:19:25
◼
►
the first feature we implement is semi-notifications
01:19:28
◼
►
of his unfamiliar face.
01:19:29
◼
►
Unless you're Google,
01:19:30
◼
►
in which case you just let it sit there for years,
01:19:31
◼
►
without this feature.
01:19:32
◼
►
- Yeah, so I can say for whatever it's worth,
01:19:35
◼
►
I continue to have only very good experiences
01:19:38
◼
►
with HomeKit Secure Video and with the Logitech Circle View.
01:19:40
◼
►
I know it's a really weird specialized niche thing
01:19:44
◼
►
that no one besides me appears to be using.
01:19:46
◼
►
However, this is a pretty good product.
01:19:49
◼
►
I actually, we recently took a trip
01:19:51
◼
►
and so we had found on our previous trips
01:19:55
◼
►
that there were a couple of areas of our house
01:19:58
◼
►
that we wanted eyes on.
01:20:00
◼
►
I bought a couple of additional Logitech Circle views
01:20:04
◼
►
right before this trip.
01:20:05
◼
►
It's fantastic, like I set them up in two seconds.
01:20:08
◼
►
John, they are outdoor rated, John.
01:20:11
◼
►
And also, if you wanted to drill one through your house,
01:20:16
◼
►
you only need to fit a USB-A plug,
01:20:17
◼
►
a regular little rectangular USB-A plug through the wall.
01:20:20
◼
►
- My hull is bigger, smaller than a USB-A plug already.
01:20:23
◼
►
I was hoping it would be really tiny
01:20:25
◼
►
and I had to make it a little bigger,
01:20:26
◼
►
but it still wouldn't fit USB-A.
01:20:28
◼
►
Anyway, they have been fantastic.
01:20:30
◼
►
I have had perfectly fine luck with them.
01:20:33
◼
►
I think I now own something like four or five.
01:20:37
◼
►
HomeKit, like if you have much of an iCloud plan,
01:20:41
◼
►
if you have like the medium plan,
01:20:43
◼
►
you have I think five cameras worth of stuff.
01:20:45
◼
►
If you have the really big plan, you have unlimited cameras.
01:20:49
◼
►
Although I question like, what does unlimited mean exactly?
01:20:53
◼
►
The only, the major downside, and I mentioned this
01:20:55
◼
►
back months ago when I first talked about this,
01:20:57
◼
►
the only downside is that Nest actually gives you
01:20:59
◼
►
continuous recording and none of the HomeKit stuff does that.
01:21:02
◼
►
HomeKit stuff is like, if it detects motion
01:21:05
◼
►
or whatever conditions you set,
01:21:06
◼
►
it will start recording a clip
01:21:08
◼
►
and it will record a clip until that motion
01:21:10
◼
►
or whatever is gone for a few seconds.
01:21:12
◼
►
So you don't have continuous recording,
01:21:15
◼
►
but you do have a lot.
01:21:16
◼
►
- Yeah, that was kind of one of the features
01:21:17
◼
►
that I like about the Nest is that it's internet,
01:21:21
◼
►
so everything's going up to the internet.
01:21:22
◼
►
So again, if someone steals the camera,
01:21:23
◼
►
I'll have a video of that and it is continuous
01:21:25
◼
►
because for things that are facing outside,
01:21:27
◼
►
even if there's no interesting events,
01:21:29
◼
►
like you can cordon off areas that you're not interested in.
01:21:31
◼
►
Sometimes you just want to see,
01:21:32
◼
►
did the UPS truck come?
01:21:34
◼
►
Did, you know, when did this Amazon thing?
01:21:36
◼
►
Does the neighbor walk in their dog?
01:21:37
◼
►
If the tree falls across the street,
01:21:39
◼
►
like just having it, just recording all the time
01:21:41
◼
►
and saving or whatever, it saves like 60 hours or 60 days.
01:21:45
◼
►
It saves a lot of video.
01:21:46
◼
►
- I think it's like 60 days.
01:21:47
◼
►
I mean, it depends on what plan you have, I think.
01:21:49
◼
►
- Yeah, but anyway, like it's just one less thing
01:21:51
◼
►
because I had, the Ring camera was the same type of like,
01:21:54
◼
►
oh, I only turn on when I detect
01:21:55
◼
►
something interesting happening or whatever,
01:21:57
◼
►
and that's cheaper and it's nicer on battery,
01:21:59
◼
►
but that's why I wanted this to be plugged in.
01:22:00
◼
►
So it's just recording all the time
01:22:02
◼
►
'cause it's facing out of the house.
01:22:04
◼
►
And it's plugged in so I don't have to worry about it
01:22:06
◼
►
and about it running out.
01:22:07
◼
►
- But I will say also, for whatever it's worth,
01:22:09
◼
►
because it's only recording via Eclipse,
01:22:11
◼
►
I haven't missed anything because it does have,
01:22:14
◼
►
it seems to be recording a rolling buffer
01:22:15
◼
►
because it doesn't, I've had certain ones,
01:22:18
◼
►
I think the Eufy ones, where if somebody walks
01:22:21
◼
►
into the frame, it wouldn't record the first couple
01:22:24
◼
►
of seconds of them being there because it would take
01:22:26
◼
►
a couple seconds for it to notice, wake up,
01:22:28
◼
►
and start the recording.
01:22:29
◼
►
Whereas the Logitech Circle View,
01:22:32
◼
►
and I don't know if HomeKit always works this way or what,
01:22:34
◼
►
but the Circle View, it seems to be recording
01:22:37
◼
►
a rolling buffer all the time, and if you text motion,
01:22:40
◼
►
the clip you get includes a couple of seconds
01:22:42
◼
►
before the person enters the frame.
01:22:44
◼
►
So you have the complete entrance, activity, and exit,
01:22:48
◼
►
and then a few seconds after the exit,
01:22:49
◼
►
all recorded, which is nice.
01:22:50
◼
►
So in practice, I haven't actually,
01:22:52
◼
►
it only recording clips has not been a problem for me.
01:22:55
◼
►
It also does have all similar features
01:22:57
◼
►
of like you can draw out an activity zone
01:22:59
◼
►
to pay attention to in the frame.
01:23:01
◼
►
All this within the home app,
01:23:02
◼
►
I mean it's by far the nicest part of the home app.
01:23:04
◼
►
And it's like for as much crap as HomeKit gets
01:23:07
◼
►
for a lot of other stuff,
01:23:09
◼
►
this has worked extremely reliably for me.
01:23:11
◼
►
And this hardware has worked great.
01:23:12
◼
►
I only wish there was more hardware available
01:23:14
◼
►
like with maybe a few different things
01:23:16
◼
►
like maybe a less expensive indoor cam that was good.
01:23:19
◼
►
There's not very many options.
01:23:20
◼
►
But overall the Circle View and HomeKit secure videos
01:23:23
◼
►
have been great for me.
01:23:24
◼
►
It detects people, it detects animals, packages.
01:23:28
◼
►
It's just fantastic.
01:23:29
◼
►
I can strongly recommend HomeKit Secure Video.
01:23:32
◼
►
I only have experiences with Nest with their older hardware,
01:23:36
◼
►
but my experiences with Nest have been very mediocre.
01:23:40
◼
►
Whereas HomeKit Secure Video with Circle View
01:23:42
◼
►
has been pretty good so far.
01:23:43
◼
►
- Yeah, this hardware seems good,
01:23:45
◼
►
and the recognition, like animal person, vehicle,
01:23:48
◼
►
like it all seems dead on.
01:23:50
◼
►
Like I don't have notifications,
01:23:51
◼
►
but I can still go and look at the events
01:23:53
◼
►
for the last, you know, whatever many days and see that, yeah, that is a person, that
01:23:57
◼
►
is an animal, you did hear a dog bark, you know, and it has all the other stuff like
01:24:00
◼
►
if it hears a fire alarm, if it hears glass breaking, I'm assuming all this stuff works
01:24:04
◼
►
well, I just don't want to find out.
01:24:05
◼
►
Hey, so I'm looking at the Circle View camera website and there's a, you know, a bunch of
01:24:12
◼
►
general marketing material and then like halfway down, unparalleled privacy, and there's three
01:24:18
◼
►
images side to side, side by side, tilt to hide, need instant privacy at a moment's notice,
01:24:23
◼
►
Simply tilt the camera down to instantly shield yourself from view.
01:24:26
◼
►
Simple turn off.
01:24:27
◼
►
A rear mounted button immediately cuts off both audio and video so you're not left fumbling
01:24:31
◼
►
during private moments.
01:24:32
◼
►
- Oh, that's what that button does?
01:24:35
◼
►
- Do people put these in their bedrooms?
01:24:37
◼
►
Is that what's going on here?
01:24:38
◼
►
- If they wanna go have intimate moments underneath Marco's house, they need to be able to turn
01:24:42
◼
►
the camera off.
01:24:43
◼
►
- That's true, that's a good point.
01:24:46
◼
►
That was a much better joke I did not even see.
01:24:48
◼
►
Well done, John.
01:24:50
◼
►
Alright, so since we last recorded a week and a half ago or whatever it was
01:24:53
◼
►
Elon Musk has said no really I would like to buy Twitter and Twitter was like no and then they were like
01:24:59
◼
►
Okay, sure. Yeah, let's do it
01:25:02
◼
►
Last week we remember he had just bought like
01:25:07
◼
►
9.2% of Twitter and then we said, you know, we don't even know what could happen by next week
01:25:11
◼
►
So he hadn't even offered to buy the company
01:25:14
◼
►
He had just bought a percentage and they offered him seen on the board and eventually turned that down because it seemed you know
01:25:19
◼
►
My guess was that it seemed too restrictive.
01:25:22
◼
►
And then after he recorded, he said,
01:25:23
◼
►
"You know what, forget about being on the board.
01:25:25
◼
►
"I want the whole company."
01:25:26
◼
►
- Yeah, so he has put together the financing,
01:25:29
◼
►
and this is, all the financing stuff,
01:25:32
◼
►
I just plumb don't understand it.
01:25:34
◼
►
I will tell you the summary,
01:25:36
◼
►
but the particulars about who's paying what,
01:25:38
◼
►
and what is giving--
01:25:40
◼
►
- I can strongly recommend,
01:25:41
◼
►
if you're a Stratecker A subscriber,
01:25:43
◼
►
Ben Thompson did a really great job
01:25:45
◼
►
with the last two daily updates.
01:25:46
◼
►
I guess we'll link to them in the show notes.
01:25:48
◼
►
They do require a subscription to read.
01:25:50
◼
►
But the last two daily updates for Anjan Thakare
01:25:52
◼
►
were fantastic at explaining all of this stuff.
01:25:54
◼
►
- So, first of all, yes, I completely agree.
01:25:57
◼
►
But coming back to what we know,
01:26:00
◼
►
as of right now, it is 9.30-ish
01:26:04
◼
►
on the evening of Wednesday the 27th of April.
01:26:08
◼
►
And so who knows what'll happen tomorrow.
01:26:11
◼
►
- I gotta edit this show really fast
01:26:12
◼
►
before it gets out of date.
01:26:14
◼
►
So as we know, Elon has said he was going to buy Twitter,
01:26:18
◼
►
So from Twitter's PR announcement,
01:26:21
◼
►
Twitter announced that it has entered
01:26:22
◼
►
into a definitive agreement to be acquired
01:26:24
◼
►
by an entity wholly owned by Elon Musk
01:26:26
◼
►
for $54.20 per share in cash in a transaction valued
01:26:29
◼
►
at approximately $44 billion.
01:26:32
◼
►
Upon completion of the transaction,
01:26:33
◼
►
Twitter will become a privately held company.
01:26:34
◼
►
Under the terms of the agreement,
01:26:35
◼
►
Twitter stockholders will receive 54.20 in cash
01:26:38
◼
►
for each share of Twitter common stock that they own
01:26:40
◼
►
upon closing of the proposed transaction.
01:26:43
◼
►
The purchase price represents a 38% premium
01:26:45
◼
►
to Twitter's closing stock price on April 1, 2022,
01:26:48
◼
►
which was the last trading day
01:26:49
◼
►
before Mr. Musk disclosed his approximately 9% stake
01:26:53
◼
►
Note, that's not when he got it,
01:26:54
◼
►
it's just when he talked about it, but moving on.
01:26:57
◼
►
Quote, "Free speech is the bedrock
01:26:59
◼
►
of a functioning democracy,
01:27:00
◼
►
and Twitter is the digital town square
01:27:01
◼
►
where matters vital to the future of humanity are debated,"
01:27:05
◼
►
said Mr. Musk.
01:27:06
◼
►
Quote, "I also wanna make Twitter better than ever
01:27:09
◼
►
by enhancing the product with new features,
01:27:10
◼
►
making the algorithms open source to increase trust,
01:27:13
◼
►
defeating the spam bots and authenticating all humans.
01:27:16
◼
►
Twitter's tremendous potential.
01:27:18
◼
►
I look forward to working with the company
01:27:19
◼
►
and the community of users to unlock it.
01:27:24
◼
►
Let's go with that.
01:27:26
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- I actually, I am kind of okay with this.
01:27:31
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►
Twitter as a company has always been a disaster.
01:27:36
◼
►
Twitter's leadership has always been
01:27:40
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►
weird libertarian tech bro billionaires.
01:27:43
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►
They've always been that.
01:27:45
◼
►
And Elon Musk is another one of those.
01:27:47
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►
Twitter's leadership has always been really crappy
01:27:51
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►
and inconsistent with how they handle political problems,
01:27:54
◼
►
how they handle abuse problems.
01:27:56
◼
►
They've done a pretty crappy job of spam control,
01:28:00
◼
►
bot control, they do a really inconsistent job
01:28:05
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►
of dealing with abuse.
01:28:08
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►
They have really opaque and confusing
01:28:12
◼
►
and inconsistently applied policies
01:28:15
◼
►
regarding certain types of speech that are controversial
01:28:18
◼
►
or that are just outright illegal or hateful,
01:28:21
◼
►
they've always been really crappy at all that stuff.
01:28:25
◼
►
They've always been run by these tech dude bros.
01:28:28
◼
►
If you look at anything wrong with Elon Musk
01:28:31
◼
►
running this company, look at Jack Dorsey,
01:28:33
◼
►
and be like, well, why is he better?
01:28:35
◼
►
- I can answer that question.
01:28:38
◼
►
- Well, okay. - Other than Elon Musk.
01:28:39
◼
►
I get what you're getting at,
01:28:40
◼
►
that Twitter has been poorly run, and I agree with that.
01:28:44
◼
►
But I think there's a difference in degree for sure.
01:28:48
◼
►
Like, who is the bigger jerky tech bro, Jack Dorsey or Elon
01:28:52
◼
►
No contest, right?
01:28:55
◼
►
Is it no contest?
01:28:56
◼
►
Oh, no contest, right?
01:28:57
◼
►
I mean, I don't think that high a Jack Dorsey, I guess.
01:29:00
◼
►
Yeah, Jack Dorsey still wants to think of himself
01:29:02
◼
►
as a good person.
01:29:02
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►
And I think he's trying to do the right thing.
01:29:04
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►
Jack Dorsey spearheaded the Blue Sky Project
01:29:07
◼
►
of trying to do the right thing years later,
01:29:10
◼
►
of trying to make a protocol as a replacement for Twitter.
01:29:13
◼
►
- Right, so far that's very much still in the blue sky.
01:29:15
◼
►
- Yeah, no, but I'm just saying Elon Musk
01:29:17
◼
►
would never even think about doing anything like that.
01:29:19
◼
►
Elon Musk is definitely a difference in degree.
01:29:22
◼
►
I think he's also a difference in type,
01:29:25
◼
►
just because Jack Dorsey didn't buy Twitter
01:29:30
◼
►
because on a whim, sort of, like Elon Musk is doing.
01:29:34
◼
►
He's the company that he, was he a founder?
01:29:39
◼
►
He was there at the beginning at the very least,
01:29:41
◼
►
and has a tie to the company,
01:29:43
◼
►
and has high-minded ideals
01:29:44
◼
►
about what he wants the company for.
01:29:46
◼
►
So I think, and Elon Musk does not, as far as we can tell,
01:29:50
◼
►
despite the incoherent statements that he throws out,
01:29:52
◼
►
and then just goes and does whatever the hell he wants
01:29:54
◼
►
that isn't totally in conflict with the statements, right?
01:29:56
◼
►
But I wanna say that, like, I mean,
01:29:58
◼
►
so first let me just get this out there.
01:30:00
◼
►
I think it's obvious all the terrible things
01:30:01
◼
►
that could happen, like, we'll see,
01:30:02
◼
►
but everyone knows the terrible things.
01:30:04
◼
►
Why do people not like it?
01:30:05
◼
►
Elon Musk could make Twitter worse for everybody, right?
01:30:09
◼
►
We use Twitter, and if he makes it worse for us, that's sad.
01:30:13
◼
►
He can make it worse for the world
01:30:15
◼
►
by making Twitter do more evil and less good in the world.
01:30:17
◼
►
That's definitely a thing that he could do.
01:30:19
◼
►
And he would do that by allowing more bad behavior
01:30:23
◼
►
that is currently now not allowed.
01:30:25
◼
►
And despite what Margaret said,
01:30:27
◼
►
like that Twitter has done a bad job
01:30:29
◼
►
of controlling bad behavior, they've at least been trying.
01:30:32
◼
►
Elon Musk's stated goal is to do less of that,
01:30:35
◼
►
to essentially allow more bad behavior
01:30:37
◼
►
than they're currently allowing.
01:30:38
◼
►
So if you think it's crappy now, he's already said,
01:30:40
◼
►
I wanna make it crappier.
01:30:41
◼
►
But setting all that aside,
01:30:42
◼
►
because I think we could spend too long talking about
01:30:45
◼
►
how Elon Musk could make Twitter worse,
01:30:48
◼
►
there are parts of this deal that have the potential
01:30:51
◼
►
to make things better, right?
01:30:54
◼
►
First one is Twitter becoming privately held,
01:30:58
◼
►
which is, you know, Casey read before,
01:30:59
◼
►
that means there'll be no stock,
01:31:00
◼
►
no one is looking at the stock price,
01:31:02
◼
►
no one involved in the thing has to be
01:31:05
◼
►
worrying about what this move is going to mean
01:31:08
◼
►
for the stock price tomorrow morning,
01:31:09
◼
►
because there is no stock prices, privately held.
01:31:11
◼
►
Now it doesn't mean you just get to lose money forever then,
01:31:14
◼
►
but privately held gives you more leeway to do things
01:31:17
◼
►
that the quote unquote stock market would frown upon.
01:31:20
◼
►
The second thing that's good about private ownership
01:31:22
◼
►
and Elon Musk in particular is,
01:31:24
◼
►
when a single person controls your company,
01:31:27
◼
►
they can do things, like get things done.
01:31:29
◼
►
It's not the sort of middle of the road,
01:31:33
◼
►
you know, now now let's not be too hasty,
01:31:36
◼
►
big committee full of people,
01:31:38
◼
►
none of whom can make a decision.
01:31:39
◼
►
That's why Twitter stagnated for so long.
01:31:41
◼
►
That's why Twitter has just sort of spent years and years
01:31:44
◼
►
just not really getting any better
01:31:46
◼
►
and fumbling towards maybe making some things
01:31:49
◼
►
a little better.
01:31:50
◼
►
When you have a singular person in control,
01:31:52
◼
►
they can get things done.
01:31:53
◼
►
And Elon Musk in particular,
01:31:54
◼
►
one of the things he has going for him
01:31:56
◼
►
along with Steve Jobs is when they get it into their head
01:31:59
◼
►
or any strong leader, when they get it into their head
01:32:01
◼
►
they want to do a thing they make that thing happen. if you're lucky that thing
01:32:06
◼
►
is good like I think it would be cool to have an electric car powered by lithium
01:32:11
◼
►
ion batteries designed from the ground up to be electric. luckily that was a
01:32:16
◼
►
good idea and he made sure that it happened right? you can also have
01:32:21
◼
►
terrible ideas and then make them happen and that's not as good right but at the
01:32:25
◼
►
very least the just the years that Twitter went like not really changing
01:32:30
◼
►
their product at all.
01:32:31
◼
►
I was reading some articles today talking about like,
01:32:34
◼
►
people don't remember this if you haven't been on Twitter
01:32:36
◼
►
for ages like we all have, but like,
01:32:38
◼
►
so many things that are part of Twitter now,
01:32:40
◼
►
Twitter didn't even think of themselves.
01:32:42
◼
►
They were things the community was doing
01:32:44
◼
►
and they adopted them like, you know,
01:32:46
◼
►
it's going all the way back to like,
01:32:48
◼
►
the fact that an individual thing on Twitter
01:32:50
◼
►
is called a tweet, Twitter didn't even come up with that.
01:32:52
◼
►
It was like, what was it, Craig Hockenberry and Twitteriffic
01:32:54
◼
►
or whatever like? - Yeah, I believe so.
01:32:55
◼
►
- Yeah, retweets, that was the thing the community did.
01:32:59
◼
►
we would type capital R, capital T, space,
01:33:01
◼
►
and then paste the content of another tweet.
01:33:03
◼
►
And we did that for a while, and Twitter was like,
01:33:05
◼
►
huh, I guess that's a good idea, we should probably do that.
01:33:08
◼
►
@mentions, replying, so many features
01:33:11
◼
►
that people think are part of Twitter,
01:33:12
◼
►
Twitter didn't even think of and do themselves.
01:33:15
◼
►
They had to wait for people to sort of
01:33:16
◼
►
use in-band signaling to do them.
01:33:19
◼
►
You know, all the innovations that the clients came up with,
01:33:21
◼
►
Tweety, one of the original Twitter clients,
01:33:24
◼
►
invented pull to refresh.
01:33:25
◼
►
Have you ever pulled to refresh an iOS app?
01:33:27
◼
►
That came from a third party app that was used on Twitter,
01:33:30
◼
►
not from Twitter itself.
01:33:32
◼
►
And on and on for all the years of like,
01:33:33
◼
►
people who use Twitter,
01:33:34
◼
►
wanting them to add features in Twitter being like,
01:33:36
◼
►
I don't know, maybe we'll do ads I guess, I don't know.
01:33:41
◼
►
You know, we should do a little bit more to fight spam,
01:33:44
◼
►
but I don't want to annoy people, I don't know.
01:33:47
◼
►
They just, I just always see the Twitter board as like,
01:33:50
◼
►
and the CEO is just like hemming and hawing
01:33:52
◼
►
and not doing anything.
01:33:54
◼
►
And having a single leader who is known
01:33:57
◼
►
for getting things done and who will be running
01:34:01
◼
►
a private company where he's unanswerable
01:34:03
◼
►
to shareholders or whatever,
01:34:05
◼
►
means that at the very least things will happen.
01:34:07
◼
►
It all depends on what things will happen.
01:34:10
◼
►
If he has terrible ideas, then terrible ideas
01:34:12
◼
►
will come to fruition really quick.
01:34:14
◼
►
Or if he decides he doesn't want to do anything
01:34:17
◼
►
and just the fun of it is owning it
01:34:18
◼
►
so he can just sort of make the, satisfy his whims,
01:34:23
◼
►
that could happen too.
01:34:24
◼
►
I'm not making any prediction about what will happen,
01:34:25
◼
►
but I will say that it is not a relief.
01:34:29
◼
►
it could potentially be terrifying
01:34:33
◼
►
for him to be able to do all sorts of things,
01:34:35
◼
►
but at the very least, watching Twitter flail
01:34:38
◼
►
for the past decade and a half
01:34:41
◼
►
has always kind of been frustrating.
01:34:42
◼
►
And so now I kind of feel like,
01:34:44
◼
►
I feel this way about government a lot too.
01:34:46
◼
►
One of the worst things that can happen is
01:34:50
◼
►
that the thing you're trying to make better
01:34:52
◼
►
is too hard to change.
01:34:54
◼
►
So it can never get much worse,
01:34:57
◼
►
but also can't get much better.
01:35:00
◼
►
And it's just this war of these tiny,
01:35:01
◼
►
incremental ratcheting things.
01:35:03
◼
►
And it feels, in some ways it's better to say,
01:35:06
◼
►
to give a democracy example, right?
01:35:08
◼
►
If you vote for somebody and they wanna do X,
01:35:13
◼
►
and they just can't get X done
01:35:14
◼
►
because it's too hard to change government,
01:35:17
◼
►
then they get voted out because you're gonna say,
01:35:19
◼
►
hey, you said you were gonna do X and you didn't,
01:35:20
◼
►
so they get voted out.
01:35:21
◼
►
And then people come in and they want to do Y,
01:35:23
◼
►
and then they can't make Y happen
01:35:24
◼
►
because it's too hard to change anything,
01:35:25
◼
►
and they get voted out,
01:35:26
◼
►
and just nothing ever gets done, right?
01:35:28
◼
►
That's kind of been the case with Twitter,
01:35:31
◼
►
where there's been a lot of complaints about it
01:35:33
◼
►
and say, "You should do this.
01:35:34
◼
►
"You should do whatever things we think you should do."
01:35:36
◼
►
And they would just never really do them that well.
01:35:39
◼
►
I mean, you could say over the past several years,
01:35:41
◼
►
like the sort of the trust and safety team
01:35:43
◼
►
trying to make it better for harassment or whatever,
01:35:45
◼
►
has been making progress
01:35:47
◼
►
and making slow incremental changes,
01:35:48
◼
►
but it's taken so long.
01:35:50
◼
►
Like, Gamergate was a long time ago.
01:35:52
◼
►
It's not like this is like fresh,
01:35:53
◼
►
and oh, this is a new problem we have to face.
01:35:55
◼
►
They've had years and years to tackle it,
01:35:56
◼
►
and they've gotten better than they were,
01:35:58
◼
►
but not fast enough, right?
01:36:01
◼
►
So I'm hoping that whatever happens here,
01:36:05
◼
►
if Elon Musk decides to do literally anything with Twitter,
01:36:08
◼
►
that something will happen,
01:36:10
◼
►
and maybe that something will be disastrous,
01:36:12
◼
►
and we'll all hate it, but at least the disaster
01:36:13
◼
►
will just get it over with.
01:36:15
◼
►
Like, get the disaster over with.
01:36:16
◼
►
Burn it to the ground, destroy it.
01:36:17
◼
►
Whatever's gonna happen, make it happen.
01:36:19
◼
►
or do something that makes it better,
01:36:21
◼
►
or do something that turns out really bad
01:36:23
◼
►
and then make a hard right turn and then fix it, right?
01:36:26
◼
►
As opposed to a sort of slow motion,
01:36:29
◼
►
sort of floating dumpster on fire
01:36:31
◼
►
just floating down the river,
01:36:33
◼
►
which is like what Twitter has been for the past decade.
01:36:36
◼
►
So I'm not trying to give you the optimistic taste
01:36:38
◼
►
because I really think Elon Musk is a total jerk
01:36:41
◼
►
and has terrible ideas about almost everything,
01:36:44
◼
►
but at the very least his terrible ideas
01:36:45
◼
►
should come to fruition very quickly
01:36:48
◼
►
if he's doing anything at all.
01:36:49
◼
►
The other possible take I just read recently,
01:36:51
◼
►
I'll try to find the link for notes,
01:36:54
◼
►
is that there's a potential that he doesn't do anything.
01:36:56
◼
►
And the whole point is that he just wants to control it
01:36:57
◼
►
so he can make decisions like a king.
01:37:00
◼
►
But if there's nothing for him to decide about,
01:37:03
◼
►
he'll just let it run the way it is
01:37:04
◼
►
and not do anything at all.
01:37:07
◼
►
In which case, that's probably the worst case scenario
01:37:09
◼
►
where that means things won't get better
01:37:11
◼
►
and they'll maybe slowly, slowly get worse.
01:37:14
◼
►
And that I think would be a total waste
01:37:15
◼
►
of private ownership and single person control.
01:37:17
◼
►
I really hope something happens to Twitter.
01:37:20
◼
►
I can't bring myself to hope that the something that will happen will be good, but I kind
01:37:24
◼
►
of hope that the something bad, like let's just get it over with.
01:37:27
◼
►
Like just make it terrible now as fast as possible so we can all collectively push back
01:37:34
◼
►
against it probably futilely.
01:37:36
◼
►
I mean maybe what will happen is we'll get round steering wheels back on Tesla cars and
01:37:41
◼
►
something terrible will happen to Twitter and we'll complain so much about it that he'll
01:37:44
◼
►
change it because he'll just be too annoyed.
01:37:46
◼
►
- I agree with a lot of that, but I think,
01:37:49
◼
►
I don't know, when you look at what Twitter has,
01:37:54
◼
►
how Twitter has run over the last 10 years,
01:37:58
◼
►
what all those improvements that you mentioned
01:38:00
◼
►
to the product, like they have really not improved
01:38:04
◼
►
the core product in a very long time.
01:38:08
◼
►
All the things they've worked on over time,
01:38:10
◼
►
like feature wise or product wise,
01:38:12
◼
►
have been basically trying to rip off
01:38:14
◼
►
the hot thing of the day.
01:38:15
◼
►
So, oh, look, Clubhouse exists,
01:38:16
◼
►
we're gonna make our own Clubhouse.
01:38:18
◼
►
Oh, look, you know, Substack exists,
01:38:21
◼
►
we're gonna make our own Substack.
01:38:22
◼
►
- That's every social media company, every.
01:38:24
◼
►
I mean, and Twitter has been even doing that
01:38:26
◼
►
more slowly and worse than their competitors.
01:38:28
◼
►
I mean, not that I'm saying that's a thing
01:38:31
◼
►
that they should be doing,
01:38:32
◼
►
but that's kind of par for the course.
01:38:33
◼
►
But I think about like, so they made tweets longer.
01:38:35
◼
►
They used to be one forwarding another 280.
01:38:37
◼
►
How long did that take to do?
01:38:39
◼
►
Like, it's just, it's too long.
01:38:42
◼
►
- There's so much they could do to make the product better,
01:38:45
◼
►
And this is why, all right, if you'll permit me
01:38:47
◼
►
a bit of a thought experiment here.
01:38:49
◼
►
One of the reasons why, as I've thought about this,
01:38:52
◼
►
I am less down on it.
01:38:54
◼
►
I mean, look, I think the idea of Twitter going private,
01:38:58
◼
►
getting out of the issues that come with being
01:39:01
◼
►
in the public market, especially since their business
01:39:03
◼
►
is just not a very good business.
01:39:05
◼
►
- Yeah, they're not good at being a public company.
01:39:06
◼
►
Like, the people who run the company never figured out
01:39:10
◼
►
how to make money, and so if you're gonna be
01:39:12
◼
►
a public company and you can't figure out how to make money,
01:39:14
◼
►
like what's the point? Yeah and I do by the way I do think this deal is going to
01:39:19
◼
►
go through. Now it isn't definite yet and everyone's like oh maybe he's you know
01:39:23
◼
►
he's gonna get tired of it and just like move on and just back out. I don't think
01:39:27
◼
►
he is. If you look at first of all how much of his personal wealth he has on
01:39:31
◼
►
the line here it's pretty clear he's thought a lot about this. You know say
01:39:35
◼
►
what you want about the guy but when he does have a big idea he tends to try to
01:39:40
◼
►
to do it. His track record is that he does achieve many of those big ideas. Not all of
01:39:45
◼
►
them. I think his self-driving promises have been grossly overblown, and there's a lot
01:39:53
◼
►
of problems there. But generally, electric cars, big solar company, rockets, all that
01:39:59
◼
►
stuff, he's done very, very well on most of his big promises. And so I think he is going
01:40:04
◼
►
to go through with this.
01:40:05
◼
►
There's a whole category of thing that he talks about and Twitter buying Twitter used to be in that category of just things that he says
01:40:11
◼
►
He just says things sometimes right and so you can find tweets from years ago or someone was like
01:40:16
◼
►
Hey, you know and you should buy Twitter and he said how much is it? Right? That was like years ago, right?
01:40:21
◼
►
52 minutes ago. He tweeted the following next. I'm buying coca-cola to put the cocaine back in
01:40:27
◼
►
He'll say things like this like he'll say Oh Flint Michigan has a problem with water
01:40:35
◼
►
I'll just just tell me I'm gonna pay to replace all the pipes. Oh kids are trapped in a cave. Don't worry
01:40:40
◼
►
I'm gonna send this up in there. Oh, there's a there's a power problem in Australia
01:40:43
◼
►
I'm just gonna send you a bunch of batteries, you know, oh you can solve solve world hunger for six million dollars
01:40:49
◼
►
Just tell me your plan. I'll give you the six billion like
01:40:51
◼
►
But he constantly says things that sound like you know
01:40:56
◼
►
what the the thing that we get from is like he'll say that he's gonna replace all the pipes in Flint, Michigan and
01:41:02
◼
►
His fans will latch on to that and say see Elon saves a day and never look at it again and just assume that that happened
01:41:07
◼
►
When it actually didn't happen, right?
01:41:09
◼
►
you know and he so fine, whatever he's a
01:41:12
◼
►
Brazilian there who just says random crap on Twitter buying Twitter could have been one of those things and in fact
01:41:19
◼
►
He did make jokes about buying quote-unquote jokes about buying Twitter before this time though. It's not a joke. And so I feel like
01:41:26
◼
►
Of all those things that he says some of them, you know, very often they sound like good things like hey
01:41:32
◼
►
I've got a lot of money. You've got a problem. Here's a solution. Let me just do it
01:41:35
◼
►
But they usually don't happen usually don't happen for this category of things. The only things that he's made happen
01:41:41
◼
►
SpaceX Tesla
01:41:43
◼
►
Maybe solar roof, but if you look at stories and that it's not doing too hot, right?
01:41:46
◼
►
He said so many other things some of which were jokes
01:41:50
◼
►
Some of which were half jokes some which would have been like yeah do fix all the pipes in Flint
01:41:55
◼
►
But nah lost interest right and so I feel like buying Twitter falls into that category of like
01:42:01
◼
►
like, thing that could have been a joke,
01:42:04
◼
►
but turns out to be real,
01:42:06
◼
►
but I don't know whether once he owns Twitter,
01:42:09
◼
►
he's actually going to do anything with it
01:42:10
◼
►
other than, you know, enjoy the control that he has,
01:42:14
◼
►
because Twitter is important for, you know,
01:42:16
◼
►
has outsized importance compared to the people
01:42:18
◼
►
who are on it, right?
01:42:19
◼
►
So one of the things he could do with it is, you know,
01:42:22
◼
►
continue the destruction of American democracy
01:42:24
◼
►
by allowing right-wing nut jobs
01:42:26
◼
►
to have free reign over the thing
01:42:27
◼
►
and make sure that Trump gets elected in 2024.
01:42:29
◼
►
Like, if that's what he wants to do,
01:42:30
◼
►
He can make that happen, or at least make it much more likely.
01:42:34
◼
►
But maybe he doesn't care.
01:42:35
◼
►
Maybe he just wants to be able to find the one or two people who he likes and give them
01:42:39
◼
►
a thumbs up and ban the one or two people he doesn't like, and that's the extent of
01:42:43
◼
►
him owning Twitter.
01:42:44
◼
►
But I can't tell now.
01:42:45
◼
►
It seems clear to me, despite his high-minded talking, that Twitter is not Tesla and Twitter
01:42:50
◼
►
is not SpaceX.
01:42:51
◼
►
Twitter seems more like, one, a cool toy, and two, an undervalued asset.
01:42:58
◼
►
Like as a businessman, he can see that Twitter has made him a lot of money and is a powerful
01:43:03
◼
►
tool to have control over.
01:43:05
◼
►
And why shouldn't he have control over that?
01:43:07
◼
►
He can probably use it to make a lot of money.
01:43:09
◼
►
We do have to think too, like, he has so many things going on, he has so many projects,
01:43:13
◼
►
he runs so many companies, he's not going to be running Twitter day to day.
01:43:17
◼
►
He's going to have to hire somebody.
01:43:18
◼
►
It looks like Jack Dorsey's kind of sucking up to him, maybe he's hoping to have the CEO
01:43:22
◼
►
job, who knows?
01:43:23
◼
►
He did so well the other two times.
01:43:24
◼
►
I know, right?
01:43:25
◼
►
But we're assuming that if this goes through,
01:43:30
◼
►
I think it probably will again,
01:43:31
◼
►
we're assuming that changes will happen.
01:43:33
◼
►
He's talking about changes.
01:43:35
◼
►
Honestly, some of the changes he's talking about
01:43:37
◼
►
sound pretty good if he can pull them off.
01:43:40
◼
►
- Which ones though?
01:43:41
◼
►
And I can tell you the contradictory ones.
01:43:43
◼
►
Which ones sound good?
01:43:45
◼
►
Defeating Spambot sounds good.
01:43:46
◼
►
Open sourcing the algorithm is not compatible
01:43:48
◼
►
with defeating Spambots,
01:43:50
◼
►
because if you tell them what the algorithm is,
01:43:52
◼
►
the Spambots will game it.
01:43:53
◼
►
He knows that, or at least I hope he knows that,
01:43:55
◼
►
but he just says random crap.
01:43:56
◼
►
- Yes, and the thing is, when you look at the things
01:43:59
◼
►
he's been good at, things like building pretty great
01:44:03
◼
►
electric cars overall, and the SpaceX stuff,
01:44:07
◼
►
a lot of these things are problems that I think involve
01:44:10
◼
►
different types of engineering and different types
01:44:13
◼
►
of challenges than the kind of really messy crap
01:44:17
◼
►
you get into with running a social network.
01:44:19
◼
►
Running a social network, you don't understand
01:44:22
◼
►
the level that you have to deal with this stuff.
01:44:24
◼
►
Like, everyone out there who thinks they have
01:44:26
◼
►
a silver bullet to solve the problems
01:44:30
◼
►
of moderating content and controlling people
01:44:33
◼
►
and spam and abuse on a social network, you don't know.
01:44:36
◼
►
It's way more complicated than you think it is,
01:44:38
◼
►
and there are so many instances where
01:44:41
◼
►
you're between a rock and a hard place,
01:44:42
◼
►
where there is no good solution
01:44:44
◼
►
to a certain type of problem or a certain situation.
01:44:47
◼
►
- The type of problem that it's most comparable with,
01:44:49
◼
►
that Elon does have experience with,
01:44:52
◼
►
It's not comparable to, like I said,
01:44:53
◼
►
the idea of, his big innovation for Tesla is like,
01:44:57
◼
►
it's a good idea to use modern battery technology
01:45:01
◼
►
to make a purposeful electric car, right?
01:45:03
◼
►
That's a good idea, make that happen.
01:45:06
◼
►
But the thing that's close to content moderation is,
01:45:08
◼
►
okay, so how do you build a whole bunch of cars
01:45:11
◼
►
reliably in a cost-effective manner?
01:45:14
◼
►
That is way more complicated than you think it is.
01:45:17
◼
►
It seems like, ah, just people build things all the time,
01:45:19
◼
►
how hard could it be, right?
01:45:20
◼
►
Turns out it's pretty hard.
01:45:21
◼
►
Like there's a reason Apple and all its manufacturing partners,
01:45:24
◼
►
part of their power and their strength
01:45:25
◼
►
is their expertise in building millions and millions
01:45:28
◼
►
of things precisely, without spending too much money,
01:45:33
◼
►
making a good product, making it reliable consistently.
01:45:36
◼
►
There's a whole auto industry that
01:45:38
◼
►
has spent decades and decades figuring out
01:45:39
◼
►
how can we build cars.
01:45:41
◼
►
So they all come off the assembly line,
01:45:42
◼
►
and they're all identical or whatever.
01:45:44
◼
►
And if you just think, ah, it's the detail, whatever.
01:45:47
◼
►
Just the big idea is we should make electric cars.
01:45:49
◼
►
and everyone's cheering you on and they think it's great.
01:45:52
◼
►
And Elon is like, what if we use robots?
01:45:54
◼
►
That would be cool.
01:45:55
◼
►
And it's like, Elon, people have spent a long time
01:45:58
◼
►
figuring out how to build cars.
01:45:59
◼
►
It doesn't mean they're all right.
01:46:00
◼
►
Like, you don't have to do everything that they do,
01:46:02
◼
►
but they do have some knowledge that you don't have.
01:46:05
◼
►
So maybe consider that you coming into this field fresh
01:46:08
◼
►
and reading a few books or articles,
01:46:10
◼
►
and you're just gonna say, I'm doing everything my way
01:46:12
◼
►
and I think it would be cool to have robots.
01:46:14
◼
►
You know, that's what I feel like
01:46:16
◼
►
what content moderation is like,
01:46:17
◼
►
where it maybe has a good big idea about Twitter,
01:46:20
◼
►
but the detail of like, I think we shouldn't allow bots.
01:46:23
◼
►
Well, great, you're the first one to think of that, Elon.
01:46:26
◼
►
If you think that's your big idea,
01:46:28
◼
►
like that is a good idea, we all agree, get rid of bots.
01:46:30
◼
►
Like no one wants bots, right?
01:46:32
◼
►
That's not, you're not bringing any value here.
01:46:35
◼
►
Okay, but how do you get rid of bots?
01:46:36
◼
►
Lots of people have looked at this before
01:46:38
◼
►
and you say, I think we should use robots to get rid of bots.
01:46:40
◼
►
I don't know, I'm just making an example.
01:46:42
◼
►
He gets in his head like, I don't care about details,
01:46:44
◼
►
just do this thing that's cool
01:46:45
◼
►
and I know everyone else does it differently.
01:46:46
◼
►
I know everyone else is using LiDAR on their cars,
01:46:48
◼
►
but we don't need to just use cameras.
01:46:49
◼
►
But Elon, what makes you think we can do it
01:46:51
◼
►
all with cameras?
01:46:52
◼
►
I don't know, it seems like we can, just go.
01:46:53
◼
►
Right, that's where his mindset falls down, right?
01:46:57
◼
►
That there's nothing he can learn from anyone else,
01:47:00
◼
►
and the details aren't that important,
01:47:01
◼
►
just make it happen, and I'll just drive you
01:47:03
◼
►
until you make it happen, and that's why a lot of people
01:47:05
◼
►
don't like working for Elon Musk,
01:47:06
◼
►
and it's difficult to deal with him.
01:47:08
◼
►
Again, much like Steve Jobs, it all depends
01:47:11
◼
►
on how good your idea is and how right you are.
01:47:13
◼
►
Is it true that you don't need LiDAR
01:47:14
◼
►
and just need cameras?
01:47:15
◼
►
If so, you're a genius.
01:47:16
◼
►
It turns out not to be true, you wasted many, many years
01:47:19
◼
►
and had many, many promises of a thing
01:47:20
◼
►
that's just literally never gonna work
01:47:21
◼
►
because you can't do it with cameras
01:47:23
◼
►
or current technology, you need LiDAR.
01:47:24
◼
►
We don't know how that one's gonna turn out yet.
01:47:26
◼
►
So far it's not looking great.
01:47:28
◼
►
But content moderation is much more like
01:47:31
◼
►
how do you build cars reliably?
01:47:33
◼
►
And Tesla has not figured that out, they just haven't.
01:47:36
◼
►
And other car companies are better than they were
01:47:39
◼
►
despite Tesla saying we're doing everything our way
01:47:42
◼
►
and we don't look at you stodgy companies,
01:47:44
◼
►
you are stuck in the old mindset,
01:47:46
◼
►
the new mindset is better and it is better in lots of ways,
01:47:49
◼
►
but he's not able to synthesize the best of the past
01:47:52
◼
►
with new ideas, he's more like, ah, just do it.
01:47:55
◼
►
And so I feel like content moderation, he's gonna be like,
01:47:57
◼
►
I know lots of people looked at this problem for years,
01:47:59
◼
►
including Twitter, but I have an idea,
01:48:01
◼
►
we should just do this.
01:48:02
◼
►
And he's gonna like start from like,
01:48:04
◼
►
he's gonna start relearning mistakes that people learned
01:48:06
◼
►
in like 1994, if he falls down that route.
01:48:09
◼
►
So I am not optimistic that he has anything to bring
01:48:15
◼
►
to the table when it comes to implementing his vision
01:48:19
◼
►
of, for example, a Twitter free from spam bots.
01:48:23
◼
►
- I know this is very, very difficult for everybody.
01:48:26
◼
►
If we can step back for a second from the person himself
01:48:30
◼
►
and just think like, do we think it is possible
01:48:35
◼
►
to have a different balance between,
01:48:39
◼
►
I hate to use the term free speech,
01:48:43
◼
►
But let's use the term jerks,
01:48:47
◼
►
because that's the people who are yelling the loudest
01:48:49
◼
►
about demanding free speech,
01:48:51
◼
►
even though that doesn't even apply here.
01:48:52
◼
►
But the people who are demanding that the most
01:48:54
◼
►
are largely jerks, and what they're saying is,
01:48:57
◼
►
I want my jerkitude to have a publishing platform
01:48:59
◼
►
and an audience.
01:49:00
◼
►
But I wonder how much of this problem,
01:49:04
◼
►
'cause this is, again, this is a really hard problem,
01:49:07
◼
►
really hard, because everyone thinks
01:49:10
◼
►
that certain types of speech should be allowed
01:49:12
◼
►
and certain types of speech shouldn't be allowed
01:49:13
◼
►
on this platform, but they don't agree
01:49:16
◼
►
on what the types are, any decision they make,
01:49:18
◼
►
even if they decide we're gonna allow everything,
01:49:21
◼
►
is going to anger a large group of people,
01:49:23
◼
►
or break laws, or cause really horrible things in real life.
01:49:27
◼
►
And so maybe they're trying to tackle at a policy level,
01:49:32
◼
►
which can only ever be reactive to problems.
01:49:36
◼
►
Anything that they're gonna solve
01:49:39
◼
►
with a health and safety kind of team,
01:49:42
◼
►
or whatever those are called.
01:49:43
◼
►
If you're relying on the community moderation team
01:49:46
◼
►
or structure to respond to people who are jerks,
01:49:50
◼
►
what has to happen is first someone has to be a jerk
01:49:53
◼
►
and post something horrible,
01:49:55
◼
►
and then you respond by trying to get them kicked off
01:49:58
◼
►
and maybe a day or two in, maybe you get them kicked off.
01:50:02
◼
►
That's only ever gonna be so good
01:50:04
◼
►
and that's really inconsistent and hard to get right.
01:50:07
◼
►
So I wonder if it would be a better idea
01:50:10
◼
►
to tackle the problem more on the client side
01:50:15
◼
►
of basically, so I think a combination of two things here.
01:50:18
◼
►
Number one, we have to distinguish between
01:50:21
◼
►
what content is allowed to exist on the platform
01:50:25
◼
►
versus what content the platform will promote.
01:50:29
◼
►
Those are very different things.
01:50:31
◼
►
Like I face this issue in Overcast.
01:50:33
◼
►
You know, Overcast is a podcast platform
01:50:34
◼
►
and there's a lot, you know, I don't have
01:50:37
◼
►
any control over what people add to it
01:50:38
◼
►
it's all the Apple directory.
01:50:41
◼
►
But I will occasionally have people write in
01:50:43
◼
►
who are very upset that something has reached a point
01:50:46
◼
►
in a top list where it shows up in my directory categories.
01:50:49
◼
►
And it's something usually, some weird like ultra,
01:50:53
◼
►
alt-right kind of thing.
01:50:54
◼
►
And I have to decide, is this thing bad enough
01:50:58
◼
►
that it should not be available in Overcast?
01:51:02
◼
►
Or is it bad enough that I should not promote it
01:51:06
◼
►
in top lists and recommendations?
01:51:08
◼
►
Or is it neither and I should just leave it alone
01:51:11
◼
►
because people who are seeking this kind of stuff out,
01:51:13
◼
►
you know, they're seeking it out, you know.
01:51:14
◼
►
And so those are very hard decisions to make,
01:51:16
◼
►
even on my level as one person looking at
01:51:19
◼
►
the world of podcasts which is way, way, way smaller
01:51:21
◼
►
than the kind of thing they're dealing with.
01:51:22
◼
►
So like I see these issues and so I think,
01:51:25
◼
►
you know, the way I usually fall on this is
01:51:28
◼
►
stuff has to be pretty bad for it to not be allowed
01:51:32
◼
►
to exist at all on a publishing platform like this.
01:51:36
◼
►
But you can exert much more editorial control
01:51:39
◼
►
and have much more of an opinion as the platform.
01:51:42
◼
►
First of all, if you're small like me,
01:51:43
◼
►
then it doesn't matter.
01:51:44
◼
►
But even somebody like Twitter,
01:51:46
◼
►
they have much more control over what they promote
01:51:49
◼
►
in things like ranking algorithms,
01:51:51
◼
►
recommendation algorithms, stuff like that.
01:51:53
◼
►
And so I actually think most people
01:51:56
◼
►
should be allowed to post most stuff
01:51:58
◼
►
that is not outwardly illegal
01:52:00
◼
►
or like threatening harm to people.
01:52:01
◼
►
Most of that I think, having that be allowed to be posted
01:52:05
◼
►
is usually okay, again, with those exceptions.
01:52:08
◼
►
And even, I mean, I know a lot of people
01:52:10
◼
►
don't even agree with those exceptions.
01:52:11
◼
►
Those people are ridiculous and naive.
01:52:13
◼
►
But if somebody's posting something
01:52:15
◼
►
that is not like a threat, and is not harassment,
01:52:19
◼
►
and is not illegal in some other way,
01:52:21
◼
►
I don't see anything wrong with that,
01:52:22
◼
►
but I don't believe they deserve an audience.
01:52:26
◼
►
And I do think that the people who they're trying
01:52:29
◼
►
to be in communication with, if they're trying to like,
01:52:32
◼
►
some guy's writing in, calling somebody an (bleep)
01:52:35
◼
►
or whatever, you know.
01:52:37
◼
►
I don't think it's necessarily the platform's job
01:52:41
◼
►
to actively prevent everyone from being a jerk.
01:52:45
◼
►
It is the platform's job to give people the tools
01:52:50
◼
►
to not see most of that most of the time
01:52:53
◼
►
and to let people have way more control than we do now
01:52:56
◼
►
over how many jerks we allow access to us,
01:53:01
◼
►
how many jerks posts that we allow
01:53:04
◼
►
even to show up in our timelines.
01:53:05
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►
We have right now only extremely rudimentary controls
01:53:09
◼
►
over those things.
01:53:11
◼
►
You know, we have like blocking and muting
01:53:12
◼
►
and you can, in certain contexts,
01:53:14
◼
►
you can disable replies, I think.
01:53:15
◼
►
But for the most part, we have very little control
01:53:18
◼
►
over that relative to the platform's age
01:53:21
◼
►
and alleged maturity.
01:53:22
◼
►
If Twitter really focuses on that end of things,
01:53:26
◼
►
I think it would be less controversial, first of all.
01:53:31
◼
►
It would still be controversial
01:53:32
◼
►
because the jerks still believe that everything oppresses them because their politics are
01:53:38
◼
►
like factually wrong and factually dangerous and factually full of hate and abuse and horrible
01:53:45
◼
►
things and they call it politics and they think it's okay.
01:53:49
◼
►
And a quick aside back to him, it disturbs me greatly all of his tweets about basically
01:53:54
◼
►
both sides-ism.
01:53:55
◼
►
That's a clear warning sign that he doesn't really think right about this stuff.
01:54:00
◼
►
Anyway, going back to the product itself,
01:54:02
◼
►
if we can get to a point where the jerks
01:54:07
◼
►
are able to have their post on the platform within reason,
01:54:12
◼
►
but most people don't see them,
01:54:15
◼
►
and if you don't want to see jerks,
01:54:17
◼
►
you have very easy and obvious controls,
01:54:20
◼
►
probably hopefully that are on by default,
01:54:22
◼
►
that filter a lot of that stuff out
01:54:23
◼
►
from even being shown to you or your followers,
01:54:26
◼
►
that can go a long way.
01:54:28
◼
►
And this is the kind of area that I think Twitter
01:54:32
◼
►
so desperately should have been investing in all these years
01:54:35
◼
►
instead of building freaking Clubhouse and Instagram Stories
01:54:39
◼
►
and whatever else they were ripping off
01:54:41
◼
►
from other companies.
01:54:42
◼
►
Their core product is full of garbage
01:54:45
◼
►
because they haven't tackled problems like this.
01:54:48
◼
►
Whatever change in leadership has to happen
01:54:51
◼
►
to make them start looking at their product differently
01:54:54
◼
►
and maybe prioritizing different parts of it,
01:54:56
◼
►
I really hope they tackle that
01:54:58
◼
►
because that I think is so much more powerful
01:55:01
◼
►
than relying on letting a jerk post and become a jerk
01:55:05
◼
►
and then having to report them
01:55:06
◼
►
and then having to wait for the report to be seen
01:55:09
◼
►
and hoping the report is dealt with correctly.
01:55:11
◼
►
Like that whole thing leaves a bunch of jerks
01:55:13
◼
►
on the platform and lets a lot more people
01:55:15
◼
►
see their jerkitude.
01:55:16
◼
►
Whereas if you have filters up front
01:55:18
◼
►
and smarter filters and more controls for people
01:55:20
◼
►
to not see abuse in the first place,
01:55:22
◼
►
you're doing way more good for way more people
01:55:25
◼
►
and the jerks can still have their jerk Twitter
01:55:27
◼
►
if they wanted.
01:55:28
◼
►
- So one of the dumbest things Twitter ever did
01:55:30
◼
►
was when they cracked down on third party clients.
01:55:33
◼
►
So we already said earlier that like a lot of the new
01:55:36
◼
►
features, the new features, the features that we all take
01:55:38
◼
►
for granted on Twitter, like retweets and replies
01:55:42
◼
►
and you know, all that good stuff, came from users
01:55:47
◼
►
and client applications and there was a story recently
01:55:50
◼
►
of it explaining like one of the things that motivated
01:55:51
◼
►
Twitter cracking down on third party clients
01:55:53
◼
►
because there was some, a person was buying up
01:55:56
◼
►
all the third-party clients to try to hijack Twitter's network by making those clients
01:55:59
◼
►
work with Twitter and also his own new network or whatever.
01:56:02
◼
►
And then Twitter caught wind of this and they bought TweetDeck and then they shut down third-party
01:56:07
◼
►
And anyway, turning off third-party clients killed all innovation on the client side.
01:56:12
◼
►
And I think a lot of what you're talking about, Marco, is like, and this was in Ben Thompson's,
01:56:15
◼
►
one of Ben Thompson's recent posts on Mr. Decker, the idea that, I'm not going to say
01:56:20
◼
►
it's an abdication of responsibility, but it is an outsourcing of certain responsibilities.
01:56:23
◼
►
It's saying, look, we, Twitter, are never
01:56:25
◼
►
going to get it perfectly right.
01:56:26
◼
►
So why not let third-party developers
01:56:29
◼
►
have a crack at this?
01:56:30
◼
►
We'll run the service.
01:56:31
◼
►
We'll have all the tweets and features and everything
01:56:33
◼
►
But third-party clients will reopen our API.
01:56:35
◼
►
And we'll say, if you want to make a client,
01:56:38
◼
►
build on top of our API.
01:56:40
◼
►
We'll add more sophisticated features.
01:56:42
◼
►
We'll actually improve our API.
01:56:44
◼
►
We'll give you access to all the good stuff
01:56:45
◼
►
that only the first-party client has access to.
01:56:47
◼
►
And we'll add new features.
01:56:48
◼
►
And then you, third-party clients,
01:56:50
◼
►
can work on making clients that are better at--
01:56:53
◼
►
you know, hiding tweets that you don't want to see,
01:56:56
◼
►
or quality filtering and stuff like that.
01:56:58
◼
►
I think that is a good idea, and that is potentially
01:57:01
◼
►
one of the good things that could come out of Elon Musk,
01:57:03
◼
►
because if somewhere in his weirdo head,
01:57:06
◼
►
he has decided that having an API is cool and good,
01:57:09
◼
►
he'll make it happen.
01:57:11
◼
►
And he'll just say, and by the way,
01:57:12
◼
►
give the API all the features
01:57:13
◼
►
that the first-party client has,
01:57:14
◼
►
and that will be an improvement over the status quo.
01:57:17
◼
►
If he doesn't care about it, it won't happen.
01:57:18
◼
►
But it's possible that somewhere in his little brain,
01:57:21
◼
►
He'll be like, oh yeah, libertarian, API, good, whatever,
01:57:25
◼
►
just do it, and that will be like
01:57:26
◼
►
an accidental good side effect of this, right?
01:57:29
◼
►
But setting that aside, I feel like that is not
01:57:31
◼
►
the solution to the quality problem,
01:57:34
◼
►
because a lot of the things that you were describing
01:57:37
◼
►
are sort of just redefining the problem and say,
01:57:40
◼
►
oh, we'll see less bad stuff and more good stuff.
01:57:42
◼
►
The problem is always, what's the bad stuff?
01:57:44
◼
►
What's the good stuff, and who decides?
01:57:46
◼
►
And having third-party clients decide that
01:57:50
◼
►
is just asking each one of them to do something
01:57:51
◼
►
that Twitter, the company with 7,500 employees,
01:57:53
◼
►
hasn't been able to do over 15 years,
01:57:55
◼
►
where you think two people making a Twitter client
01:57:57
◼
►
are gonna be able to figure it out.
01:57:59
◼
►
I mean, maybe there's larger third-party companies,
01:58:01
◼
►
but there's no business model there.
01:58:02
◼
►
I don't understand how anyone would ever be able
01:58:04
◼
►
to staff up to the point where they can do any good here.
01:58:07
◼
►
Kind of like car manufacturing,
01:58:10
◼
►
it's not like no one has ever run a community
01:58:12
◼
►
on the internet before.
01:58:13
◼
►
There is tons of prior art on what works and what doesn't.
01:58:16
◼
►
There's academic papers on it.
01:58:18
◼
►
There's real examples of real communities.
01:58:19
◼
►
This is real communities that we've been in, personally,
01:58:22
◼
►
each individual person has been on the internet
01:58:23
◼
►
for a couple of decades or whatever.
01:58:25
◼
►
We've been in communities that have gone well,
01:58:27
◼
►
that have burned themselves down.
01:58:29
◼
►
It's not like this is totally new territory.
01:58:31
◼
►
It's a hard problem to be sure,
01:58:33
◼
►
but it's not like this is the first time
01:58:34
◼
►
anyone's ever looking at this.
01:58:36
◼
►
Even Twitter before Elon did a bad job
01:58:39
◼
►
of looking at other internet communities
01:58:41
◼
►
and learning from them what works and what doesn't work.
01:58:44
◼
►
The reactive thing where you were talking about is like,
01:58:46
◼
►
well, we have blocking and muting and you can report, right?
01:58:49
◼
►
that is such a rudimentary system and it doesn't scale well
01:58:52
◼
►
and any community that's reached this scale
01:58:55
◼
►
that has done a better job has differed in ways
01:58:58
◼
►
that are not mysterious.
01:58:59
◼
►
Like there's been tons of people writing articles
01:59:01
◼
►
about this for years, right?
01:59:03
◼
►
What distinguishes these big communities
01:59:05
◼
►
that work better from this one?
01:59:06
◼
►
Usually what distinguishes them is, first of all,
01:59:09
◼
►
they have much more restrictive rules,
01:59:11
◼
►
which I know people who are like,
01:59:13
◼
►
"Oh, I wanna be able to say whatever I want,
01:59:14
◼
►
wherever I want."
01:59:15
◼
►
The fact is communities with more restrictive rules
01:59:18
◼
►
and norms do better.
01:59:20
◼
►
Maybe those rules are rules you don't like
01:59:22
◼
►
or do like or whatever, but at least it defines the community.
01:59:25
◼
►
If you don't like that community,
01:59:27
◼
►
you'll know you don't like it because you'll say,
01:59:28
◼
►
"I don't like these rules, I'm gonna go elsewhere."
01:59:30
◼
►
You'll know, is this the place for me
01:59:32
◼
►
or is this not the place for me?
01:59:33
◼
►
Fairly strictly harshly defined rules.
01:59:37
◼
►
If you're the type of person who wants to be somewhere
01:59:41
◼
►
where there aren't harshly defined rules,
01:59:42
◼
►
you will go elsewhere, but that leaves only the people
01:59:44
◼
►
who are willing to work within those rules.
01:59:46
◼
►
Second thing that works is context.
01:59:49
◼
►
Twitter always seems to me that if you report
01:59:52
◼
►
someone's tweet, it's like they look at that tweet,
01:59:55
◼
►
they look at their set of rules,
01:59:56
◼
►
their whatever their set of rules is this week,
01:59:58
◼
►
and they try to make a decision.
01:59:59
◼
►
Even then it's hard 'cause the rules are,
02:00:01
◼
►
you know, whatever, are fuzzy, right?
02:00:03
◼
►
Communities that work well at scale don't just say,
02:00:07
◼
►
okay, I've got an incident, I've got a set of rules,
02:00:10
◼
►
I'm gonna smush 'em together
02:00:11
◼
►
and say thumbs up or thumbs down.
02:00:13
◼
►
You have to look at the context,
02:00:14
◼
►
and the context is, who is this person?
02:00:17
◼
►
Has this person been reported 100 times in this past week?
02:00:20
◼
►
Is this person a known bad actor?
02:00:23
◼
►
Is this a bot account?
02:00:24
◼
►
What is the larger context of this conversation, right?
02:00:29
◼
►
That's really hard to do at scale,
02:00:31
◼
►
but the way communities that have been more successful
02:00:34
◼
►
have done it is by having some kind of reputation
02:00:36
◼
►
type system that lets you build up and build down reputation.
02:00:39
◼
►
Look at Stack Overflow, for example, or look at Red,
02:00:40
◼
►
or any other kind of community where they have
02:00:43
◼
►
a sort of persistent, ongoing, gamified reputation system
02:00:46
◼
►
where the behavior that the system wants you to do
02:00:48
◼
►
gets rewarded and the behavior the system
02:00:50
◼
►
doesn't want you to do gets punished.
02:00:53
◼
►
And any time any action is taken,
02:00:55
◼
►
they look at the context of your history and activity
02:00:58
◼
►
in the community to decide what should be done.
02:01:00
◼
►
Not just, here's a tweet, I don't know who posted it,
02:01:03
◼
►
I don't know anything about them,
02:01:04
◼
►
and then here's a set of rules.
02:01:06
◼
►
Except of course, if it's the president of the United States
02:01:08
◼
►
and then the rules go out the window
02:01:09
◼
►
because it's all noteworthy, you know, anyway.
02:01:12
◼
►
I'm not saying this is an easy problem,
02:01:14
◼
►
but whenever I see Elon Musk talk about it,
02:01:16
◼
►
it's like he's never been in an online community before.
02:01:18
◼
►
And for years and years, when I've read articles
02:01:20
◼
►
about things that Twitter is doing poorly
02:01:23
◼
►
and here's these communities to do better,
02:01:25
◼
►
like there are a bunch of obvious things
02:01:27
◼
►
that they could be doing that would make things better,
02:01:29
◼
►
but almost all of them would anger people
02:01:32
◼
►
who think the real problem
02:01:33
◼
►
is that there are too many restrictions.
02:01:34
◼
►
That's just not the way online communities work.
02:01:37
◼
►
Online communities that are free for all
02:01:39
◼
►
burn down real quick,
02:01:40
◼
►
because when anyone can do anything,
02:01:43
◼
►
the only people who are happy to stay there
02:01:45
◼
►
are the people who just wanna tear everything down
02:01:49
◼
►
and everyone else leaves.
02:01:50
◼
►
It's like if you're at a party and someone comes in
02:01:52
◼
►
and they start screaming and shooting flames in the air,
02:01:54
◼
►
everyone who does not enter screaming in flames
02:01:56
◼
►
leaves pretty quickly and you're just left
02:01:57
◼
►
with a room full of people screaming
02:01:59
◼
►
and shooting flames in the air, right?
02:02:00
◼
►
That's why all these right-wing networks
02:02:01
◼
►
can't get off the ground,
02:02:02
◼
►
'cause you get a bunch of people together
02:02:05
◼
►
who just wanna scream at things.
02:02:06
◼
►
No one else wants to be there except for them
02:02:09
◼
►
and then they just look around
02:02:10
◼
►
they all see each other and they get bored and leave.
02:02:13
◼
►
- Also they have no ability to attract good talent
02:02:16
◼
►
to build them, none.
02:02:18
◼
►
- Well, I don't know, there's probably some people
02:02:20
◼
►
who will do something for the right price or whatever.
02:02:23
◼
►
But anyway. - Not good people.
02:02:25
◼
►
- I know people don't wanna hear that.
02:02:28
◼
►
What they wanna hear is, someone told me
02:02:31
◼
►
I couldn't post something once and now I'm angry
02:02:33
◼
►
so I think everything should be allowed, right?
02:02:36
◼
►
And if you feel that way, start a blog, right?
02:02:39
◼
►
You can write whatever you want and then no one can read it.
02:02:41
◼
►
But if you wanna be, if Twitter wants to run a community,
02:02:44
◼
►
especially, we haven't even talked about this,
02:02:46
◼
►
like Elon in theory eventually has to do something
02:02:50
◼
►
to make Twitter make some kind of money.
02:02:52
◼
►
I mean, first thing he'll probably do
02:02:53
◼
►
is lay a bunch of people off
02:02:54
◼
►
or maybe they'll get laid off before the buyout goes through
02:02:56
◼
►
like watch Twitter's earnings,
02:02:57
◼
►
probably by next week's show,
02:02:59
◼
►
maybe we'll see what happens here.
02:03:00
◼
►
But like one way you can make Twitter more profitable
02:03:02
◼
►
is to get rid of a lot of costs
02:03:03
◼
►
and most of those costs are people.
02:03:04
◼
►
So you can lay off a bunch of people
02:03:06
◼
►
and suddenly the balance sheet looks a lot better.
02:03:08
◼
►
But you probably do have to figure out some way
02:03:11
◼
►
to make money.
02:03:12
◼
►
Like Elon could probably run Twitter for the rest
02:03:13
◼
►
of his life just burning cash,
02:03:14
◼
►
but I don't think he wants to do that.
02:03:16
◼
►
I think he wants it to make money.
02:03:19
◼
►
So how do you figure out how to make money?
02:03:20
◼
►
One way you can make money is to, you know,
02:03:25
◼
►
do something to make it grow.
02:03:26
◼
►
That's the whole problem that Twitter has to be able to do.
02:03:28
◼
►
Like we're gonna need more people to be on Twitter.
02:03:30
◼
►
The way you grow a service, a social network service,
02:03:33
◼
►
you have to make it be a place where people want to be.
02:03:37
◼
►
And Twitter has not been as successful at that as,
02:03:39
◼
►
for example, Facebook.
02:03:40
◼
►
That has billions of users, and Twitter
02:03:42
◼
►
has a small number of hundreds of millions or whatever.
02:03:46
◼
►
Twitter has like-- is it like 20% of the US population
02:03:50
◼
►
or something?
02:03:50
◼
►
Anyway, they're not as big as Facebook.
02:03:53
◼
►
How do you make a place where people want to be?
02:03:55
◼
►
You have to make something that is pleasant for the majority
02:04:01
◼
►
And the way you make a community that
02:04:03
◼
►
is a place where people want to be and is generally pleasant
02:04:06
◼
►
is not by removing rules.
02:04:08
◼
►
You have to add more rules.
02:04:10
◼
►
You have to make the rules well understood,
02:04:11
◼
►
and you have to make it restrictive,
02:04:13
◼
►
and you have to make it so that behavior you don't want
02:04:16
◼
►
that makes it an unpleasant place for people,
02:04:18
◼
►
that behavior is disincentivized.
02:04:21
◼
►
And good behavior, however you define that,
02:04:23
◼
►
that makes a nice place for people to be, is incentivized.
02:04:26
◼
►
There are lots of ways to go about doing it,
02:04:28
◼
►
but that's what you have to do.
02:04:29
◼
►
You have to add rules
02:04:30
◼
►
to make it a more pleasant place for people to be.
02:04:33
◼
►
If that's not your goal,
02:04:34
◼
►
if you don't want it to be a pleasant place
02:04:35
◼
►
for people to be,
02:04:36
◼
►
you wanted to adhere to some high-minded ideal about anything goes, you're not going
02:04:39
◼
►
to get new users that way.
02:04:41
◼
►
People are going to flee, and you're going to be left with a room full of loud jerks.
02:04:45
◼
►
That is not a money-making proposition, getting back to, "Do you want this to succeed?
02:04:50
◼
►
You're just going to narrow it down to the 500,000 loudest jerks and charge each of them
02:04:54
◼
►
$10 a month?"
02:04:55
◼
►
I don't think that's a good business plan.
02:04:57
◼
►
So far, I haven't seen anything as Elon said that made me think that any of these changes,
02:05:02
◼
►
he to implement them would suddenly make Twitter make more money.
02:05:06
◼
►
Every single one he said is going to make it a less pleasant place to be, which will
02:05:10
◼
►
translate for it making less money than it does now.
02:05:13
◼
►
But that's all assuming he's actually going to do any of these things.
02:05:15
◼
►
So if I had to give some advice either to the current owners of Twitter or the future
02:05:19
◼
►
owner of Twitter is you need to look at online communities that have been more successful
02:05:23
◼
►
and copy some of the things that they do.
02:05:25
◼
►
And then maybe imagine this, maybe add some innovations of your own with your millions
02:05:29
◼
►
of dollars and thousands of really super smart employees.
02:05:32
◼
►
you can do something better than a web forum did in 1997.
02:05:35
◼
►
I know that's hard to imagine,
02:05:36
◼
►
but you haven't even caught up to web forums
02:05:39
◼
►
with three wise admins from 1997.
02:05:41
◼
►
Like Twitter is below that level.
02:05:43
◼
►
Obviously scale is different, I understand that,
02:05:44
◼
►
but like the model of how to make a community
02:05:49
◼
►
that is a pleasant place for the people
02:05:51
◼
►
that you want to be there to be in the community,
02:05:53
◼
►
Twitter has utterly failed that,
02:05:55
◼
►
and so far I don't see Elon doing any better.
02:05:58
◼
►
- Thanks to our sponsors this week.
02:06:00
◼
►
Remote, Sanity, and Trade Coffee.
02:06:03
◼
►
And thanks to our members who support us directly.
02:06:05
◼
►
You can join atp.fm/join.
02:06:07
◼
►
And we'll talk to you next week.
02:06:10
◼
►
(upbeat music)
02:06:13
◼
►
♪ Now the show is over ♪
02:06:15
◼
►
♪ They didn't even mean to begin ♪
02:06:18
◼
►
♪ 'Cause it was accidental ♪
02:06:20
◼
►
♪ Accidental ♪
02:06:20
◼
►
♪ Oh, it was accidental ♪
02:06:22
◼
►
♪ Accidental ♪
02:06:23
◼
►
♪ John didn't do any research ♪
02:06:25
◼
►
♪ Marco and Casey wouldn't let him ♪
02:06:28
◼
►
'Cause it was accidental, it was accidental
02:06:33
◼
►
And you can find the show notes at ATP.fm
02:06:38
◼
►
And if you're into Twitter, you can follow them
02:06:43
◼
►
@c-a-s-e-y-l-i-s-s
02:06:47
◼
►
So that's Casey Liss, M-a-r-c-o-a-r-m
02:07:13
◼
►
I think if there's any bit of consolation I can give people when dealing with this jerk
02:07:18
◼
►
is, so I was explaining to my kid the other day,
02:07:23
◼
►
there's this one kid that always will say or do something
02:07:30
◼
►
to provoke a response, like that's just the kind of kid
02:07:33
◼
►
he is, he's like the provocateur kind of personality.
02:07:37
◼
►
I was explaining to my son, like look,
02:07:40
◼
►
he's going to keep pushing buttons until he gets
02:07:44
◼
►
a negative reaction, that's what he's doing,
02:07:47
◼
►
You can see it, once you see it that way,
02:07:50
◼
►
you see that's what he's doing every single time,
02:07:52
◼
►
he wants that negative reaction.
02:07:54
◼
►
And he's gonna keep pushing buttons until he gets it.
02:07:57
◼
►
That's Elon Musk.
02:08:00
◼
►
If you see all the crap he posts on Twitter all the time,
02:08:03
◼
►
that's what he does.
02:08:04
◼
►
For all of the good ideas and implementation he has
02:08:09
◼
►
with some of his companies and stuff,
02:08:11
◼
►
he also is just that same kind of provocateur,
02:08:14
◼
►
kind of just, as people say, shit poster.
02:08:17
◼
►
Like what he's doing is provoking a reaction.
02:08:19
◼
►
He's, all of the good things, he's also extremely juvenile
02:08:24
◼
►
and a jerk in a lot of ways.
02:08:26
◼
►
That's what he's doing here.
02:08:28
◼
►
And so for all of us to pick apart any particular tweet
02:08:33
◼
►
that he posts and basically let it set us all on fire,
02:08:39
◼
►
you're just giving him exactly what he wants.
02:08:41
◼
►
You're feeding the trolls, as I said last week.
02:08:44
◼
►
I don't find that productive,
02:08:47
◼
►
and I think if I can advise all of you,
02:08:51
◼
►
well-meaning people out there,
02:08:53
◼
►
you're giving the bully what they want,
02:08:56
◼
►
you're giving the provocateur the negative reaction
02:08:59
◼
►
that they were literally seeking.
02:09:01
◼
►
He doesn't post these tweets
02:09:03
◼
►
because he thinks they're good ideas.
02:09:05
◼
►
He posts them to get that reaction.
02:09:07
◼
►
That is the entire point.
02:09:09
◼
►
So don't engage, don't let yourself get set on fire.
02:09:13
◼
►
Don't give him the reaction.
02:09:14
◼
►
Don't let him make you that mad
02:09:15
◼
►
because that's literally what he's going for.
02:09:17
◼
►
Ignore him like the troll that he is trying to be.
02:09:20
◼
►
My chapter title for the whole thing
02:09:23
◼
►
when you last talked to him last time
02:09:24
◼
►
was the roll eyes emoji.
02:09:25
◼
►
Give him that.
02:09:26
◼
►
Give him, not even respond.
02:09:27
◼
►
Just roll your eyes in real life and move on.
02:09:30
◼
►
Don't give him anything.
02:09:32
◼
►
Do not feed this negative energy that he wants
02:09:34
◼
►
because it's not gonna help anybody
02:09:37
◼
►
and you are literally making him win by doing that.
02:09:40
◼
►
And I know it's the hardest thing in the world
02:09:42
◼
►
not to get mad when someone's being a jerk like that.
02:09:44
◼
►
It's super hard.
02:09:46
◼
►
I know all this.
02:09:47
◼
►
I just gave this speech three days ago.
02:09:49
◼
►
It's super hard. (laughs)
02:09:52
◼
►
But trust me, don't engage.
02:09:54
◼
►
Don't feed the troll.
02:09:56
◼
►
Let him get the reaction from other people.
02:09:58
◼
►
Don't make it you.
02:09:59
◼
►
- He is getting the reaction from other people.
02:10:02
◼
►
Anyway, I mostly ignore him too.
02:10:03
◼
►
But the weird thing about him buying Twitter,
02:10:05
◼
►
and I mentioned this, I think,
02:10:07
◼
►
when we were talking about him investing,
02:10:09
◼
►
it's not like he's on Twitter getting banned and stuff.
02:10:11
◼
►
Yeah, he says stupid juvenile things, but they're all fine.
02:10:14
◼
►
Like, he's just-- he's just-- like, he
02:10:16
◼
►
posted that picture of, like, making
02:10:17
◼
►
fun of Bill Gates's gut.
02:10:19
◼
►
That's a jerk move, but there's nothing wrong with it.
02:10:21
◼
►
Like, that's not-- he's not going
02:10:22
◼
►
to get banned from Twitter for making fun of Bill Gates.
02:10:24
◼
►
He's just making a dumb joke.
02:10:25
◼
►
Like, you know what I mean?
02:10:26
◼
►
Like, he's not-- except for when he occasionally
02:10:28
◼
►
is leading harassment campaigns against people, right?
02:10:31
◼
►
But for the most part, you know, Musk's problem
02:10:34
◼
►
is he tweets things on the SEC, maybe gets mad at them
02:10:37
◼
►
or whatever.
02:10:38
◼
►
Like, he's done stuff on Twitter that
02:10:40
◼
►
has run afoul of various laws.
02:10:41
◼
►
but I don't think he has this long history
02:10:44
◼
►
of wanting to tweet things and then getting his account banned
02:10:47
◼
►
and having to delete tweets and stuff like that.
02:10:49
◼
►
So it's kind of like,
02:10:52
◼
►
it's not like he's buying Twitter
02:10:57
◼
►
so that he can finally say what he wants to say.
02:10:59
◼
►
He says what he wants to say all the time anyway,
02:11:01
◼
►
and most of it is just silly juvenile stuff.
02:11:05
◼
►
Some of it is harmful,
02:11:07
◼
►
some of it is just stock market manipulation,
02:11:10
◼
►
hyping up Dogecoin, like he uses the power of Twitter
02:11:13
◼
►
to whatever amuses him or whatever,
02:11:15
◼
►
but it's not like he's taking it over it
02:11:16
◼
►
so he's like, finally I can say what I want to say.
02:11:19
◼
►
The thing that I think a lot of people are afraid of is like,
02:11:22
◼
►
he would like to make it easier for people
02:11:24
◼
►
who are getting banned to come back
02:11:27
◼
►
and say what they want to say,
02:11:28
◼
►
like his Reinstate Trump's account,
02:11:30
◼
►
or this person was banned for saying something
02:11:32
◼
►
that I think, oh, you know, well it doesn't bother me,
02:11:35
◼
►
so I think he should probably come back, right,
02:11:37
◼
►
you know, 'cause I'm not a trans person
02:11:39
◼
►
so this anti-trans harassment doesn't bother me,
02:11:41
◼
►
so I feel like they should be allowed to come back.
02:11:42
◼
►
It's kind of funny, isn't it, right?
02:11:45
◼
►
No, it's not funny.
02:11:46
◼
►
And those kind of regressive attitudes that he has,
02:11:49
◼
►
it's not like he's doing that.
02:11:50
◼
►
He's spending most of his time doing random jerky things
02:11:54
◼
►
and occasionally either accidentally on a purpose
02:11:57
◼
►
initiating harassment campaigns
02:11:58
◼
►
just because he's got millions and millions of followers.
02:12:00
◼
►
But even that, half the time,
02:12:02
◼
►
it's probably just by accident, right?
02:12:04
◼
►
But to the degree that he has regressive attitudes
02:12:09
◼
►
that he mostly has kept under wraps that slip out,
02:12:14
◼
►
that's the degree to which his policy changes
02:12:17
◼
►
are just gonna make it worse when the people
02:12:19
◼
►
who are not afraid to say the things out loud
02:12:22
◼
►
that he is wise enough not to say,
02:12:25
◼
►
come on board and bring their army of bots or whatever.
02:12:27
◼
►
But of course he's gonna ban bots
02:12:28
◼
►
who don't have to worry about that.
02:12:31
◼
►
It's just easy, just ban bots, what's the problem?
02:12:33
◼
►
I know why no one thought of that before.
02:12:34
◼
►
- I wonder, so I know this is a big throwback,
02:12:37
◼
►
but I mentioned before that when I was a teenager,
02:12:40
◼
►
I was on the Something Awful forums.
02:12:42
◼
►
One of the things that worked really well
02:12:44
◼
►
was that this was like 2000.
02:12:46
◼
►
This was a long time ago, 2002, that kind of range.
02:12:49
◼
►
To have an account, you had to pay,
02:12:53
◼
►
I think it was five or 10 bucks.
02:12:54
◼
►
But if you violated any of the rules,
02:12:56
◼
►
your account would get banned,
02:12:57
◼
►
and you'd have to pay another 10 bucks
02:12:59
◼
►
if you wanna come back.
02:13:00
◼
►
- MetaFilter did the same thing.
02:13:01
◼
►
- Right, and I wonder,
02:13:04
◼
►
Like I've always thought, you know,
02:13:07
◼
►
for a modern social network to do that,
02:13:08
◼
►
it's just too much of a hindrance to new signups.
02:13:12
◼
►
- But Twitter is so small already,
02:13:13
◼
►
like I was totally thinking of this too.
02:13:15
◼
►
Like hey, you know what, another way you make money,
02:13:16
◼
►
just charge everyone who uses Twitter.
02:13:18
◼
►
But you know, of course, that would destroy the market.
02:13:22
◼
►
- Well, but he already said that he wants to quote,
02:13:25
◼
►
authenticate humans, well, a pretty good way to do that
02:13:29
◼
►
is like a $1 credit card charge for a new account
02:13:31
◼
►
or something, you know?
02:13:32
◼
►
And I know there's a lot of challenges for doing that,
02:13:35
◼
►
that kind of thing.
02:13:36
◼
►
There's a lot of people you'd be artificially keeping out
02:13:38
◼
►
and that's not good.
02:13:39
◼
►
But one of the reasons why,
02:13:43
◼
►
those old forums that charged money back then,
02:13:46
◼
►
those were pretty well under control for the basic rules.
02:13:50
◼
►
Occasionally you'd have somebody come in and violate them
02:13:52
◼
►
and then the moderator would handle it.
02:13:54
◼
►
Now granted, this is a very different problem today.
02:13:56
◼
►
Very, very different problem today.
02:13:58
◼
►
Hugely different scales, massively different situation.
02:14:01
◼
►
I recognize all of that.
02:14:03
◼
►
However, it worked really well.
02:14:06
◼
►
Now, Twitter is already not and never will be
02:14:10
◼
►
the biggest social network.
02:14:12
◼
►
It is not appealing for most people.
02:14:14
◼
►
Most people look at Twitter and they don't see
02:14:15
◼
►
why they should be there, and part of that's
02:14:17
◼
►
because of their crappy product direction
02:14:19
◼
►
over the last decade, part of that's just inherent
02:14:21
◼
►
to the product that I don't think will be solved.
02:14:23
◼
►
It's kind of the social network for,
02:14:25
◼
►
I wouldn't necessarily say smart people,
02:14:28
◼
►
but it's the social network for more engaged people,
02:14:31
◼
►
possibly, in certain ways, especially in things like media,
02:14:34
◼
►
compared to other networks.
02:14:37
◼
►
So it is already kind of a specialized audience,
02:14:39
◼
►
and I wonder, might that model work
02:14:43
◼
►
on some kind of level here,
02:14:45
◼
►
where many problems about spam and about abuse
02:14:48
◼
►
and about mass account creation and fraud,
02:14:51
◼
►
many of those problems get easier to deal with
02:14:53
◼
►
if the creation of accounts has a cost,
02:14:56
◼
►
and if the loss of an account has a cost.
02:14:58
◼
►
One of the reasons why people are a little more civil
02:15:03
◼
►
in real life compared to the internet
02:15:05
◼
►
is because in real life you have something to lose.
02:15:08
◼
►
You have your face in your community,
02:15:11
◼
►
you have a reputation, you have the safety
02:15:13
◼
►
of your physical body.
02:15:15
◼
►
If you say something,
02:15:16
◼
►
you might have somebody like punching the face.
02:15:18
◼
►
So you have something to lose in real life
02:15:20
◼
►
and so people tend to be a little more civil.
02:15:24
◼
►
One of the reasons why people tend to be jerks in cars
02:15:27
◼
►
is because they have a little bit less to lose
02:15:29
◼
►
because you can't really see who it is behind the wheel
02:15:32
◼
►
and you're out of there in two seconds anyway.
02:15:34
◼
►
And you look online and people are infinitely jerkier
02:15:37
◼
►
everywhere online in part because everything
02:15:40
◼
►
they created online is free.
02:15:42
◼
►
They have an account with no followers.
02:15:44
◼
►
They created it in two seconds.
02:15:46
◼
►
They have nothing to lose.
02:15:48
◼
►
Whereas you have a lot fewer people on Twitter
02:15:52
◼
►
who have like built up followings,
02:15:54
◼
►
like strong, you know, a valuable account basically.
02:15:57
◼
►
You have a lot fewer of those people
02:15:59
◼
►
being extreme jerks to others.
02:16:01
◼
►
And so I wonder if there is some way
02:16:03
◼
►
in this future product direction/revenue direction,
02:16:06
◼
►
maybe you involve something like paid account creation
02:16:09
◼
►
on some level, I don't know.
02:16:11
◼
►
I think this is the kind of thing
02:16:13
◼
►
that not being a public company anymore
02:16:15
◼
►
does give them the freedom to experiment
02:16:17
◼
►
with something that's that dramatic.
02:16:19
◼
►
because that kind of thing would absolutely crush
02:16:22
◼
►
quote growth, like that would crush new member growth.
02:16:26
◼
►
But that actually might be good in a lot of other ways
02:16:30
◼
►
for the people who are already on the platform
02:16:32
◼
►
and even if you crush much of the new member growth,
02:16:35
◼
►
you would probably still get like quote good people
02:16:39
◼
►
on a lot of levels, like people who are more valuable,
02:16:41
◼
►
who actually add to the conversation
02:16:42
◼
►
or who are actually intending to use it well
02:16:44
◼
►
instead of using it to crap all over people.
02:16:47
◼
►
So I don't know, I think that's the kind of thing
02:16:49
◼
►
that is worth considering.
02:16:51
◼
►
When you give people a cost to being jerks,
02:16:56
◼
►
when they are trying to protect something
02:16:58
◼
►
they have either paid for or built up over time,
02:17:01
◼
►
you tend to have better outcomes.
02:17:03
◼
►
- Well, I mean, the problem with that,
02:17:06
◼
►
probably a lot of it is like authenticating human things
02:17:08
◼
►
is that past experience with many online communities
02:17:11
◼
►
has shown that making people authenticate as themselves
02:17:15
◼
►
does not make them behave better, right?
02:17:17
◼
►
So the removing anonymity does not increase the,
02:17:20
◼
►
does not make people act more nicely.
02:17:22
◼
►
They're just as big a jerk as they always were.
02:17:25
◼
►
And of course anonymity and pseudo-animity
02:17:27
◼
►
or whatever you wanna call it,
02:17:28
◼
►
is super important online for a lot of people
02:17:30
◼
►
who don't want their identity to be shown
02:17:32
◼
►
because they're in an unsafe situation
02:17:33
◼
►
or they don't, you know,
02:17:34
◼
►
they don't wanna be outed for something or whatever.
02:17:36
◼
►
So it's very difficult to do that
02:17:37
◼
►
and has a lot of downsides.
02:17:38
◼
►
But the other side of that,
02:17:39
◼
►
of like making there be a cost for account creation,
02:17:42
◼
►
has proven its utility,
02:17:44
◼
►
but only in communities that have never needed
02:17:46
◼
►
to be all that big.
02:17:47
◼
►
Because the only way you get that done
02:17:49
◼
►
is not for like, hey, new account creation costs money.
02:17:51
◼
►
I suppose you could do it that way,
02:17:52
◼
►
but you kinda have to say, every account needs money.
02:17:55
◼
►
And it's very difficult to go to Twitter and say,
02:17:58
◼
►
okay, all, you know, whatever, 100 million active users,
02:18:01
◼
►
starting tomorrow, all your accounts are locked
02:18:03
◼
►
until you each pay a dollar.
02:18:05
◼
►
- What if it only applied to new accounts?
02:18:08
◼
►
- I know, but like if you only do it for new accounts,
02:18:09
◼
►
you kind of have your existing problem
02:18:11
◼
►
and you gotta weed out these giant bot networks,
02:18:12
◼
►
'cause like-- - Yeah, but that's way,
02:18:14
◼
►
I mean, that's so much easier of a problem to deal with
02:18:16
◼
►
than if they're still coming in the door, you know?
02:18:18
◼
►
- There's giant armies of bot accounts
02:18:20
◼
►
that get traded around the whole economy
02:18:22
◼
►
of having accounts that have existed for X number of years.
02:18:25
◼
►
Y accounts that have existed for X number of years
02:18:27
◼
►
and have Z followers, right?
02:18:28
◼
►
That's a thing that you can buy and sell on Twitter, right?
02:18:32
◼
►
That is a commodity, and the fact that Twitter
02:18:34
◼
►
hasn't been able to weed them out over a decade and a half
02:18:36
◼
►
shows that it's probably not a super easy problem,
02:18:39
◼
►
or maybe they just haven't been really into it
02:18:41
◼
►
because they don't want their daily
02:18:42
◼
►
active account numbers to go down.
02:18:43
◼
►
But either way, I feel like being authenticated
02:18:47
◼
►
as a specific human is a loser idea.
02:18:50
◼
►
It's not gonna make people behave any better
02:18:51
◼
►
and it cuts off a lot of people
02:18:52
◼
►
who would need to have access to it.
02:18:54
◼
►
Anonymity is an important part of being online.
02:18:57
◼
►
- But making there a barrier to entry,
02:18:59
◼
►
like charging for accounts, is a great idea
02:19:02
◼
►
as long as you don't really care about growing
02:19:05
◼
►
or being or staying big.
02:19:07
◼
►
And as long as you also don't care about people
02:19:09
◼
►
who can't afford that money being locked out
02:19:11
◼
►
of your network and it's just,
02:19:13
◼
►
like it works great for MetaFilter,
02:19:15
◼
►
works great for something awful.
02:19:16
◼
►
Twitter I feel like is probably on the other side of that.
02:19:20
◼
►
Probably a little bit too big, but hey,
02:19:21
◼
►
but like this gets into the idea of like just again,
02:19:23
◼
►
setting aside Elon, pretend you, you know,
02:19:25
◼
►
you're gonna have a conversation about Twitter or whatever,
02:19:27
◼
►
what kind of community do you want?
02:19:29
◼
►
If part of your definition of community is
02:19:31
◼
►
I would like a community where everybody in the community
02:19:34
◼
►
had at least one dollar that they could spend
02:19:35
◼
►
on Twitter once, that suddenly becomes a definition
02:19:38
◼
►
of your community, so like okay, so if that,
02:19:40
◼
►
If someone doesn't meet that criteria,
02:19:42
◼
►
I don't want them in my community.
02:19:44
◼
►
That's what you're saying.
02:19:44
◼
►
And you may be fine with that, right?
02:19:46
◼
►
That's maybe a perfectly good idea for like,
02:19:48
◼
►
you know, I don't want anybody in my model train club
02:19:51
◼
►
who couldn't pay the annual union dues of five bucks.
02:19:55
◼
►
Then if there's someone who's super into model trains
02:19:57
◼
►
who you'd love to have in your thing,
02:19:58
◼
►
but they don't have five bucks a year to pay for it,
02:19:59
◼
►
they're not gonna be in your community
02:20:01
◼
►
and you have to be okay with that, right?
02:20:03
◼
►
Coming up with that set of rules
02:20:04
◼
►
for something like Twitter is tricky, right?
02:20:07
◼
►
And this is assuming the answers that you come up with
02:20:09
◼
►
are going to be satisfactory.
02:20:14
◼
►
Again, Elon says nothing particularly coherent,
02:20:16
◼
►
but ask any of the current people on Twitter,
02:20:18
◼
►
what kind of community do you want Twitter to be?
02:20:22
◼
►
If you could snap your fingers and make it happen,
02:20:24
◼
►
what would it be like?
02:20:25
◼
►
And thus far, anything that has created a barrier
02:20:29
◼
►
to creating an account, like charging an amount of money
02:20:32
◼
►
or making it sort of slowing down
02:20:34
◼
►
the bot creation type stuff or making it
02:20:36
◼
►
so that people have something to lose,
02:20:38
◼
►
just hasn't been in their definition,
02:20:40
◼
►
or if it wasn't in their definition,
02:20:41
◼
►
they were doing nothing about it.
02:20:42
◼
►
It's so hard to tell with current Twitter management.
02:20:44
◼
►
Is this something that you want,
02:20:45
◼
►
or is this just something that you haven't bothered
02:20:48
◼
►
- Yeah, is this a choice or a neglect?
02:20:51
◼
►
- Yeah, it's really hard to tell.
02:20:53
◼
►
What is your vision for Twitter?
02:20:54
◼
►
And someone may say, "Well, it's 'cause we're a public
02:20:56
◼
►
"company, we can't do anything like that,
02:20:57
◼
►
"because our daily active users would go down like a cliff
02:21:00
◼
►
"and our stock price would fall,
02:21:01
◼
►
"but they don't have to worry about that anymore," right?
02:21:03
◼
►
- Yeah, well, beyond being a public company,
02:21:04
◼
►
I think a lot of this is like,
02:21:06
◼
►
Twitter's leadership has seemed to almost never understand
02:21:10
◼
►
their own product.
02:21:11
◼
►
They like create all these weird little side features
02:21:16
◼
►
that nobody wants basically,
02:21:19
◼
►
while not creating any of the features
02:21:22
◼
►
that people who have used Twitter for a while
02:21:23
◼
►
have been needing for years.
02:21:26
◼
►
- Musk said he's gonna bring an edit button,
02:21:27
◼
►
so we can just add that to the Flint water pipes
02:21:30
◼
►
or maybe it'll be a thing that really happens.
02:21:32
◼
►
- Maybe, but like the point is like I think the,
02:21:35
◼
►
we've seen the current direction,
02:21:39
◼
►
'cause they haven't changed in a very long time,
02:21:41
◼
►
and they haven't done anything.
02:21:43
◼
►
They don't understand the product,
02:21:44
◼
►
and so we've seen what they have now,
02:21:46
◼
►
and if they change it in some significant way,
02:21:51
◼
►
I think we've seen how the current direction,
02:21:54
◼
►
how it grows or doesn't.
02:21:56
◼
►
We've seen what retains users and what doesn't,
02:22:01
◼
►
and we've seen what works,
02:22:03
◼
►
And we've seen if you have the way things are now
02:22:06
◼
►
where everything's free and open to create accounts
02:22:07
◼
►
as much as you want, we see the problems with that.
02:22:11
◼
►
They have this huge number of employees,
02:22:15
◼
►
many of whom are having to deal with all this crap
02:22:17
◼
►
that results from all these bots and abusers and stuff
02:22:22
◼
►
being able to create 5,000 accounts
02:22:23
◼
►
and then spam the crap out of people.
02:22:25
◼
►
I feel like that is not free to them.
02:22:30
◼
►
It's free to the world.
02:22:31
◼
►
It's not free to them by a long shot
02:22:33
◼
►
and it creates all these problems
02:22:35
◼
►
that drive a lot of people off the platform
02:22:36
◼
►
or keep them off in the first place.
02:22:38
◼
►
And so if they do things that they might,
02:22:42
◼
►
in the short term, inhibit growth by doing things,
02:22:45
◼
►
and by the way, I fully agree,
02:22:47
◼
►
I'm not saying they should require real names.
02:22:50
◼
►
I'm not saying that at all.
02:22:52
◼
►
That causes way too many problems.
02:22:53
◼
►
I mean, look, look at what I did at Tumblr.
02:22:55
◼
►
That was very intentionally set up
02:22:57
◼
►
so that people could create anonymous blogs,
02:23:01
◼
►
any number of them on their own account,
02:23:03
◼
►
And you could never tell, like if you had an account
02:23:05
◼
►
with like five Tumblr logs on it,
02:23:07
◼
►
you could never tell, like the audience of those Tumblr logs
02:23:10
◼
►
could never tell which user had created that blog.
02:23:14
◼
►
That was always kept secret.
02:23:16
◼
►
And that was a very intentional decision.
02:23:18
◼
►
So if you wanted to have five blogs,
02:23:20
◼
►
and one of them was your meme blog,
02:23:23
◼
►
and one of them was your main blog,
02:23:24
◼
►
where you posted political quotes, whatever,
02:23:25
◼
►
and you wanted to have something totally different,
02:23:27
◼
►
something totally private that was like a sex blog
02:23:30
◼
►
or something, you could have that.
02:23:31
◼
►
That was all separate and nobody could see
02:23:34
◼
►
that that was the same person running all those things.
02:23:35
◼
►
Like anonymity by default,
02:23:39
◼
►
and you can choose whether to use your name or not,
02:23:42
◼
►
which is how Twitter is now, that is the right choice.
02:23:45
◼
►
However, that's separate from requiring
02:23:48
◼
►
possibly a small payment to create an account,
02:23:50
◼
►
or things like that.
02:23:52
◼
►
Now granted, yes, if you,
02:23:53
◼
►
in whatever payment method you choose,
02:23:56
◼
►
there are certain people who won't have that payment method
02:23:59
◼
►
or who literally can't afford the dollar it would cost
02:24:02
◼
►
or whatever, I agree.
02:24:03
◼
►
- Or there are certain people for whom the payment method
02:24:05
◼
►
is immaterial and then just billionaires will keep
02:24:08
◼
►
by unlimited number of accounts.
02:24:09
◼
►
Anyway, it's actually a pretty tricky problem.
02:24:11
◼
►
Again, works for MetaFilter.
02:24:12
◼
►
Doesn't work when some Koch brother decides
02:24:14
◼
►
that they're gonna put $17 million to burn
02:24:17
◼
►
into 17 million accounts right around election season.
02:24:20
◼
►
- Maybe, but the point is that that does overall
02:24:24
◼
►
dramatically cut down on the crap you have to deal with.
02:24:27
◼
►
And if Twitter is no longer going to be chasing
02:24:31
◼
►
user growth at any cost, which is what they have to do
02:24:34
◼
►
as long as they're a public social network company,
02:24:36
◼
►
like if they can pull back a little bit on that
02:24:39
◼
►
and try some things, and this is one of the things
02:24:41
◼
►
they end up trying, I actually think that could be really,
02:24:45
◼
►
that could work really well.
02:24:46
◼
►
And that's the type of thing that again,
02:24:48
◼
►
like if they're public, they could never do that.
02:24:51
◼
►
But now that they have a random jerk possibly owning them
02:24:55
◼
►
soon who does crazy things on a whim all the time,
02:24:59
◼
►
even if they are in the short term not very profitable.
02:25:02
◼
►
I mean look, we're gonna have the jerk running it
02:25:05
◼
►
regardless, we might as well have some good ideas
02:25:06
◼
►
come out of it.
02:25:07
◼
►
And I think that kind of thing is a possibility
02:25:10
◼
►
of the kind of thing they might try.
02:25:13
◼
►
I think that could be really good.
02:25:16
◼
►
Twitter has so many problems the way it is now
02:25:18
◼
►
and I don't see a lot of solutions that are gonna
02:25:21
◼
►
massively make a change to things like abuse
02:25:24
◼
►
and spam and everything like that.
02:25:26
◼
►
Unless you do something drastic like that.
02:25:28
◼
►
Hey, it's worth trying, you know?
02:25:30
◼
►
It's certainly worth a try.
02:25:31
◼
►
- Yeah, speaking of the edit button,
02:25:32
◼
►
just to foreclose and any people are gonna say this,
02:25:35
◼
►
Twitter's already working on the edit button.
02:25:36
◼
►
They already announced it on their official Twitter account.
02:25:39
◼
►
If it happens after Elon Musk buys it,
02:25:41
◼
►
it wasn't because of him, just FYI.
02:25:43
◼
►
They were already doing it.
02:25:45
◼
►
If it doesn't happen, I'm gonna blame him
02:25:46
◼
►
because they're already just, naturally.
02:25:49
◼
►
- No, I don't know.
02:25:50
◼
►
I feel like leaving Elon aside,
02:25:52
◼
►
I really have come around to the Ben Thompson idea
02:25:56
◼
►
that Twitter being private is a good thing.
02:25:58
◼
►
And I think while I wholly agree
02:26:02
◼
►
with what both of you were saying,
02:26:03
◼
►
that the company has just been chasing its own tail
02:26:05
◼
►
for as long as I've been a member,
02:26:07
◼
►
I do think that at least some of that was self-imposed
02:26:11
◼
►
because like you said just a moment ago, Marco,
02:26:13
◼
►
growth, growth, growth.
02:26:14
◼
►
All we care about is growth.
02:26:15
◼
►
That's all that matters.
02:26:16
◼
►
Growth, we need growth.
02:26:17
◼
►
We need it now.
02:26:18
◼
►
We need it yesterday.
02:26:19
◼
►
We need it tomorrow.
02:26:20
◼
►
We need growth.
02:26:20
◼
►
Yes, all the growth.
02:26:21
◼
►
- And they were bad at getting it.
02:26:22
◼
►
They didn't pursue growth to the exclusion of everything else and then and they grow really they grew really really fast and got huge
02:26:27
◼
►
No, they kind of topped out and I stagnated. Yeah, their growth has sucked
02:26:31
◼
►
They're a terrible business and they and they kept pursuing the strategy of growth at any course
02:26:35
◼
►
At any cost even when they had stopped growing really fast, right?
02:26:39
◼
►
So it's like we're just gonna keep doing this because we really need to grow. What else can we try to grow?
02:26:44
◼
►
it's like maybe you know, you could say maybe this is the natural size for the community you've created or
02:26:50
◼
►
Maybe you should try like, you know, it's a little Apple thing
02:26:53
◼
►
Oh, we'll just make really good products and that will help us grow and the other strategy is let's figure out
02:26:57
◼
►
What needs to grow and who cares if it makes the product worse? Yeah, but either way the idea of
02:27:02
◼
►
Twitter being able to focus on something other than growing that sounds super appealing to me and you know
02:27:09
◼
►
The the optimistic take on this is you know, we'll see that Twitter design Twitter apps becoming a design playground all over again
02:27:16
◼
►
we'll see Tweetbot and Twitterific no longer being neutered by crummy APIs or limited APIs
02:27:23
◼
►
or whatever the case may be. Like in so many ways, there's so many things that could be better
02:27:28
◼
►
if Twitter doesn't have to focus on growth. And I mean, I could argue that maybe being better at
02:27:34
◼
►
whatever sort of moderation or I mean, I guess the extreme version of this is censorship,
02:27:41
◼
►
but one way or another, cleaning up Twitter. Because I mean, why does everyone refer to
02:27:45
◼
►
Twitter as the hell site. Doesn't that indicate that there's a problem somewhere? If they
02:27:50
◼
►
don't have to focus on growth, if kicking thousands of bots off the network is suddenly
02:27:58
◼
►
okay, maybe we'll see some of that now. Maybe it'll be better for everyone. And again, the
02:28:04
◼
►
optimist in me, I'm really hopeful that we're going to see a lot of positive changes for
02:28:10
◼
►
or the social network that I love so much,
02:28:12
◼
►
even though I don't really know why anymore.
02:28:14
◼
►
So I'm hopeful, I'm really hopeful that
02:28:18
◼
►
if they go private through Elon or through someone else,
02:28:22
◼
►
I'm really hopeful they get to concentrate on the things
02:28:24
◼
►
that make the experience better for those of us who are here
02:28:28
◼
►
and not necessarily here for 10 years, just here in general,
02:28:31
◼
►
rather than always chasing the next new person.
02:28:35
◼
►
- Yeah, the downside of private ownership, of course,
02:28:37
◼
►
is like, let's say Twitter does something now.
02:28:39
◼
►
during Game Brigade, with people harassing everybody
02:28:41
◼
►
and these giant brigades of things.
02:28:43
◼
►
People complained about it, and the complainers
02:28:46
◼
►
had some leverage, because if Twitter becomes
02:28:50
◼
►
a hostile environment for certain classes of people
02:28:52
◼
►
and those classes of people leave, their numbers go down.
02:28:56
◼
►
And we know the numbers go down, because they
02:28:57
◼
►
have to report, and they're earning reports of,
02:28:59
◼
►
here's how we're looking in terms of user growth
02:29:01
◼
►
or user stagnation or whatever.
02:29:03
◼
►
And that means that the mass movement of users on Twitter
02:29:08
◼
►
and how they're feeling about using Twitter
02:29:10
◼
►
can change what Twitter does.
02:29:12
◼
►
Private ownership, that becomes much less powerful lever
02:29:16
◼
►
because the whole point of private is,
02:29:18
◼
►
I don't have to tell you how our daily active users
02:29:20
◼
►
are doing, what do you care?
02:29:21
◼
►
It's not your problem, I'll figure out how to make money.
02:29:24
◼
►
And if things get really bad on Twitter,
02:29:26
◼
►
because Elon does what some of the things he says
02:29:29
◼
►
he's gonna do, which everyone agrees is gonna make things
02:29:31
◼
►
worse for a lot of people, and people leave,
02:29:34
◼
►
he's like, good, that's what I wanted.
02:29:35
◼
►
The kind of community I want is where people like you leave
02:29:37
◼
►
because you can't take being harassed
02:29:41
◼
►
because of who you are, get off my network.
02:29:43
◼
►
And there's nothing you can do about that
02:29:44
◼
►
because it's a private company.
02:29:45
◼
►
If you don't like it, go somewhere else.
02:29:47
◼
►
And you leaving causes my numbers to go down,
02:29:50
◼
►
but I don't have to show those numbers to anybody
02:29:51
◼
►
and that's my problem to deal with,
02:29:52
◼
►
so don't worry about it.
02:29:54
◼
►
So, and now we're trying to be optimistic,
02:29:55
◼
►
like, oh, single ownership means they're free
02:29:57
◼
►
to do things they couldn't do before
02:29:58
◼
►
because Twitter was sort of, you know,
02:29:59
◼
►
not going anywhere and they were treading water
02:30:01
◼
►
and now they can make bold moves and they can,
02:30:03
◼
►
but it also means that our ability
02:30:05
◼
►
as the collective users of Twitter
02:30:07
◼
►
who enjoy it enough to keep using it today,
02:30:10
◼
►
have much less power to influence the direction it goes
02:30:13
◼
►
because if changes happen that make us like it less,
02:30:18
◼
►
that could be by design.
02:30:21
◼
►
And they could be showing us the door
02:30:22
◼
►
and saying, "We don't want people like you here, so leave.
02:30:24
◼
►
And I don't care if you leave
02:30:25
◼
►
'cause I don't need to meet any daily actor user numbers."
02:30:29
◼
►
- Yeah, I'm also interested to see
02:30:30
◼
►
what Elon really actually wants out of this
02:30:33
◼
►
because obviously the terrible (bleep) poster
02:30:37
◼
►
that we see says, "Oh, I just want edit button,
02:30:40
◼
►
"I just want an edit button, and I want all the bots
02:30:43
◼
►
"off the network, blah, blah, blah."
02:30:44
◼
►
But what does he really want?
02:30:45
◼
►
Like, is this-- - And why does he care
02:30:46
◼
►
about the bots?
02:30:47
◼
►
Are bots bothering him?
02:30:48
◼
►
- Yeah, who knows. - It seems, I haven't
02:30:49
◼
►
ever really seen him care much about anything
02:30:51
◼
►
that doesn't affect him personally.
02:30:53
◼
►
- I mean, for whatever it's worth,
02:30:54
◼
►
there, a huge amount of the harassment on Twitter
02:30:59
◼
►
and has been Russian bots.
02:31:02
◼
►
That's been a huge thing.
02:31:04
◼
►
And the whole thing with the Trump
02:31:07
◼
►
and all the original meaning of the word fake news
02:31:09
◼
►
and all this stuff, that's a big thing.
02:31:11
◼
►
A ton of what you see on Twitter that's crappy or negative
02:31:16
◼
►
is actually Russian bots.
02:31:18
◼
►
Now, there's also a lot of bad people
02:31:20
◼
►
that are legitimately posting those things,
02:31:22
◼
►
but I think it's more than you think that are actually bots.
02:31:25
◼
►
- Well, either way, what is his goal?
02:31:27
◼
►
Is his goal pump and dump?
02:31:28
◼
►
Is his goal to remove all the bots?
02:31:31
◼
►
What is his actual goal?
02:31:32
◼
►
because if his goal is to just make Twitter profitable
02:31:36
◼
►
and otherwise keep it mostly as is,
02:31:38
◼
►
then the difference to Twitter employees, I reckon,
02:31:43
◼
►
is that rather than having to convince
02:31:47
◼
►
thousands upon thousands upon thousands of shareholders
02:31:49
◼
►
that what they're doing is smart,
02:31:50
◼
►
they have to convince Elon and maybe a handful
02:31:52
◼
►
of other people, and I guess the board or whatever,
02:31:54
◼
►
but it can change the math dramatically,
02:31:58
◼
►
or maybe it doesn't change it that much.
02:32:00
◼
►
What if Elon says I want a 2x monthly active users
02:32:03
◼
►
because that's what the king wants
02:32:05
◼
►
and that's what the king will get.
02:32:07
◼
►
- Why would he want that?
02:32:08
◼
►
- I don't know.
02:32:09
◼
►
I don't, because he feels like it'll make Twitter
02:32:11
◼
►
more profitable, maybe because he could,
02:32:13
◼
►
he could bring it public again.
02:32:15
◼
►
This is pretty well outside my comfort zone,
02:32:17
◼
►
this is probably obvious, but it just,
02:32:19
◼
►
I can't help but wonder what is his goal with Twitter?
02:32:22
◼
►
Is it simply to make more than zero dollars?
02:32:25
◼
►
Is it to make gazillions of dollars?
02:32:27
◼
►
Is it just to pay off all the loans
02:32:30
◼
►
into the debts and whatnot and then walk away?
02:32:32
◼
►
Is it to IPO again and make a whole shed load more money?
02:32:36
◼
►
Like, I just, I wonder what he's really actually after.
02:32:40
◼
►
And I don't think anyone will ever know.
02:32:41
◼
►
But I wonder what he's after because, you know,
02:32:44
◼
►
our thinking, including very much my own thinking
02:32:47
◼
►
just a moment ago about, oh, you know,
02:32:48
◼
►
the API will get better 'cause who cares?
02:32:50
◼
►
And they don't have to worry about growth 'cause who cares?
02:32:52
◼
►
- Have you ever heard Elon mention the API?
02:32:54
◼
►
I mean, we're just saying that
02:32:55
◼
►
'cause it's the thing that we want
02:32:56
◼
►
and it's the thing that can happen now, right?
02:32:57
◼
►
- No, exactly, that's my point.
02:32:59
◼
►
But our theory is, oh, well,
02:33:01
◼
►
if they don't have the shareholders breathing down
02:33:03
◼
►
their necks more and more and more, growth, growth, growth,
02:33:05
◼
►
then everything will be perfect now.
02:33:07
◼
►
And that may not actually be the case.
02:33:09
◼
►
It may be that Elon says, no, I still want growth
02:33:11
◼
►
because that's what I want.
02:33:12
◼
►
And I don't know why, but he could say that.
02:33:14
◼
►
- I mean, I think he probably wants a lot of those things
02:33:17
◼
►
or all of those things.
02:33:18
◼
►
I've read this great article on New York Magazine today
02:33:21
◼
►
basically interviewing Kara Swisher,
02:33:23
◼
►
who knows Elon Musk pretty well,
02:33:26
◼
►
interviewing Kara Swisher about him
02:33:28
◼
►
and basically asking like, what is he like,
02:33:30
◼
►
what is he, how does he think, stuff like that.
02:33:33
◼
►
It's pretty short, it's worth reading,
02:33:35
◼
►
because the thing is, he's not a one-sided caricature.
02:33:40
◼
►
He is, for all of his faults, a very smart person,
02:33:44
◼
►
and he does seem to have complex and multiple thoughts
02:33:49
◼
►
on this kind of stuff.
02:33:50
◼
►
What does he want from Twitter?
02:33:52
◼
►
Lots of things.
02:33:53
◼
►
I'm sure he wants to make money eventually on it,
02:33:55
◼
►
But if you look at the kinds of things that he creates,
02:33:59
◼
►
the ways he invests his money, the companies he starts,
02:34:02
◼
►
he's not trying solely to make money.
02:34:05
◼
►
If he wanted to just make money,
02:34:07
◼
►
he could probably find out much better ways to do it
02:34:09
◼
►
instead of doing really risky businesses
02:34:11
◼
►
or buying a very unprofitable social network.
02:34:14
◼
►
- I don't think he needs to make money on Twitter.
02:34:17
◼
►
I think he just needs to make money by using Twitter.
02:34:20
◼
►
Which is, like you say, what does he want out of Twitter?
02:34:22
◼
►
Look at what he's ever used Twitter for.
02:34:24
◼
►
Twitter is a powerful way for him to influence the world.
02:34:27
◼
►
It is a powerful megaphone.
02:34:29
◼
►
Just think of something simple like hyping up Dogecoin.
02:34:33
◼
►
Barely hyping up, right?
02:34:35
◼
►
When you have that many followers
02:34:36
◼
►
and people hang on everything that you say,
02:34:38
◼
►
and you say something about Dogecoin
02:34:40
◼
►
and the price of Dogecoin goes up by X percent
02:34:42
◼
►
and you had a bunch of Dogecoin,
02:34:44
◼
►
Twitter is suddenly a powerful tool for you to make money.
02:34:46
◼
►
Even if Twitter itself loses money,
02:34:48
◼
►
even if you are the owner of Twitter
02:34:50
◼
►
and it loses money for you,
02:34:52
◼
►
you can make that up just by hyping up other things.
02:34:54
◼
►
And if you wanted to say like,
02:34:56
◼
►
Elon is very good at having things that he owns
02:35:00
◼
►
and controls be valued well beyond
02:35:02
◼
►
the supposed rational worth.
02:35:04
◼
►
Look at Tesla, look at how much Tesla is,
02:35:06
◼
►
I think isn't Tesla worth more than like the entire rest
02:35:08
◼
►
of the audio industry combined or something?
02:35:10
◼
►
Like, it's not, Tesla is not value based on its fundamental
02:35:14
◼
►
in terms of how much profit do they make
02:35:16
◼
►
selling cars each year.
02:35:17
◼
►
It's valued based on its potential value, you know,
02:35:20
◼
►
Like what could it be, right?
02:35:22
◼
►
That's all what all stocks are valued, right?
02:35:24
◼
►
Elon is good at making assets that he owns and controls,
02:35:28
◼
►
making you believe that they will be
02:35:30
◼
►
and are even more valuable than the hard numbers show.
02:35:34
◼
►
So he could do that to Twitter to say,
02:35:37
◼
►
now Twitter, this asset that we all basically believe
02:35:40
◼
►
is more valuable than the numbers show, right?
02:35:43
◼
►
But he could just use Twitter as he has in the past
02:35:46
◼
►
to continue to influence the world.
02:35:49
◼
►
And it's like a loss leader for him.
02:35:50
◼
►
It's like, I control it so I don't have to worry
02:35:52
◼
►
about anyone ever taking away this megaphone.
02:35:54
◼
►
I don't have to worry about this megaphone
02:35:55
◼
►
to do anything that screws me up.
02:35:57
◼
►
And I'm just gonna use it as it slowly drains money
02:35:59
◼
►
as a private company as long as I stay above
02:36:01
◼
►
where I need to so I don't have to repay
02:36:03
◼
►
that giant loan that I took over
02:36:04
◼
►
the hell the financing crap is.
02:36:07
◼
►
And I can use it to, it's like,
02:36:09
◼
►
it's one of the most powerful tools he's found
02:36:12
◼
►
to help him accomplish his other goals.
02:36:15
◼
►
And he has a lot of them, right?
02:36:16
◼
►
So, I mean, who knows?
02:36:18
◼
►
It's so hard to tell what he's gonna do,
02:36:21
◼
►
and he's got so many different things going on.
02:36:23
◼
►
We're supposed to be going to Mars now too, by the way.
02:36:25
◼
►
I don't know why people don't think about that.
02:36:26
◼
►
And he's got satellite, internet.
02:36:28
◼
►
He's got a lot of things that he thinks are cool
02:36:31
◼
►
that he would like to see happen,
02:36:32
◼
►
but how many of them will actually get his attention?
02:36:36
◼
►
I don't know.
02:36:37
◼
►
And so far, what he's used Twitter for
02:36:39
◼
►
is whatever he's currently concentrating on,
02:36:41
◼
►
Twitter has been a component of that push.
02:36:45
◼
►
And it seems like controlling Twitter
02:36:46
◼
►
is a way to ensure that that continues to be the case.
02:36:49
◼
►
Setting completely aside,
02:36:51
◼
►
yeah, but what about Twitter itself?
02:36:52
◼
►
Is that a business where you're going to somehow make money
02:36:55
◼
►
or make it grow or whatever?
02:36:57
◼
►
Maybe, maybe merely by owning Twitter,
02:36:59
◼
►
everyone will suddenly believe it is way more valuable
02:37:01
◼
►
and who will be able to sell it for a profit.
02:37:03
◼
►
But he's not the type of person who like buy something
02:37:05
◼
►
and quickly sells it when it's more valuable.
02:37:07
◼
►
He didn't sell Tesla when it was worth more
02:37:09
◼
►
than he bought it for.
02:37:10
◼
►
He didn't sell SpaceX when it was worth more
02:37:12
◼
►
than he bought it for.
02:37:13
◼
►
He held them for way longer than anyone thought he should.
02:37:16
◼
►
and refused to sell and kept finding ways
02:37:19
◼
►
to keep them above water by financing them or whatever.
02:37:21
◼
►
And you don't do that when you're trying to just,
02:37:23
◼
►
you know, buy a company, make it more profitable,
02:37:26
◼
►
and dump it like the other private equity investors.
02:37:28
◼
►
So I can't imagine him doing that with Twitter.
02:37:29
◼
►
I think he's in it for the long haul
02:37:32
◼
►
until, nonetheless, it becomes super unfun for him.
02:37:35
◼
►
- I think his motivations are much more complex
02:37:38
◼
►
than anything.
02:37:39
◼
►
In the same way, like, I always say,
02:37:42
◼
►
when you have anything complex like a social network,
02:37:46
◼
►
Everyone has their hot take on what they have to do
02:37:49
◼
►
to fix their problem.
02:37:51
◼
►
And it always begins with, if they would just.
02:37:54
◼
►
If you would just X, if you would just do this,
02:37:58
◼
►
you'd fix, all you have to do is just this,
02:38:01
◼
►
and everyone has some simple thing,
02:38:03
◼
►
and the reality is much more complex than that, right?
02:38:05
◼
►
And I think that's, you know, he's a person,
02:38:08
◼
►
he's clearly a very smart person,
02:38:09
◼
►
again, for all of his faults,
02:38:11
◼
►
he's clearly a very smart person.
02:38:12
◼
►
He has achieved a lot of very lofty things,
02:38:15
◼
►
And so I don't think, if you say what does he want Twitter
02:38:18
◼
►
for, it's not just anything.
02:38:20
◼
►
He wants Twitter for lots of reasons,
02:38:22
◼
►
and I don't think it's as small as he wants a platform
02:38:26
◼
►
to pump up Dogecoin or whatever.
02:38:28
◼
►
I don't think that's it at all.
02:38:29
◼
►
I think he's been doing that for free.
02:38:31
◼
►
- I mean, but he uses it for everything,
02:38:33
◼
►
not just for pumping up Dogecoin,
02:38:35
◼
►
talking about Tesla, for talking about SpaceX,
02:38:37
◼
►
for saying he wants a platform where people can hear him
02:38:39
◼
►
say that he's gonna fix the pipes in Flint.
02:38:41
◼
►
Like that is valuable to him as a person.
02:38:44
◼
►
- Yeah, but he doesn't have to own it to do that.
02:38:45
◼
►
He's been doing it for free for years.
02:38:47
◼
►
- But he has to own it to make sure no one stops him
02:38:49
◼
►
from ever using it that way.
02:38:50
◼
►
- Yeah, but I mean, was that ever a risk?
02:38:51
◼
►
I mean, I think the worst case outcome here
02:38:54
◼
►
that's likely to happen, I mean, there's lots of worst cases
02:38:58
◼
►
that are unlikely to happen, I think,
02:38:59
◼
►
but I think the most likely bad outcome here
02:39:03
◼
►
is that his acquisition goes through
02:39:07
◼
►
and he appoints frickin' Jack Dorsey as the CEO
02:39:09
◼
►
and he doesn't really actively manage anything,
02:39:10
◼
►
and that's it, and then nothing else ever changes.
02:39:13
◼
►
And so then we have-- - You think that's
02:39:13
◼
►
the worst one?
02:39:14
◼
►
The worst one is he immediately reinstates Trump,
02:39:17
◼
►
Trump wins in 2024, our country is destroyed.
02:39:19
◼
►
I think that's the easy-- - No, frankly, no.
02:39:22
◼
►
First of all, I think this is the worst outcome
02:39:25
◼
►
that is likely, that is like the worst
02:39:27
◼
►
and most likely outcome is he puts Jack back
02:39:31
◼
►
and then nothing else really ever gets better.
02:39:33
◼
►
- Why would he put Jack back?
02:39:34
◼
►
Does he think, I know there are buds in everything,
02:39:36
◼
►
but like, man, I just don't--
02:39:39
◼
►
- Well, that's why, there are buds in everything.
02:39:40
◼
►
But ultimately I think, and again,
02:39:43
◼
►
'cause Elon can't run it himself 100% of the time,
02:39:46
◼
►
he's not gonna be a super active involved CEO.
02:39:51
◼
►
But worst case I think that is likely to happen is that.
02:39:54
◼
►
It becomes a jack vehicle again and everything gets,
02:39:58
◼
►
continues to just be finance tech bro BS and that's it.
02:40:02
◼
►
But hopefully more changes in a positive way.
02:40:07
◼
►
And again, I think the reason why I am not super down
02:40:12
◼
►
on this is just because I have so little faith
02:40:15
◼
►
in Twitter's leadership up 'til now.
02:40:16
◼
►
Like they have just shown themselves to be totally inept
02:40:19
◼
►
and weirdly guided and misguided
02:40:22
◼
►
and to not understand their own product at all,
02:40:25
◼
►
to not understand what it needs, what it doesn't need,
02:40:28
◼
►
like to not be able to properly moderate anything
02:40:31
◼
►
on their platform.
02:40:33
◼
►
I have zero faith in their,
02:40:35
◼
►
oh, and also to have it be a bad business.
02:40:37
◼
►
So I have zero faith in their current and past leadership.
02:40:41
◼
►
So to have somebody else come in, it's like,
02:40:43
◼
►
"Eh, I guess, let's see what happens."
02:40:46
◼
►
- No, I'm still thinking it definitely has to be worse
02:40:50
◼
►
'cause the attitudes of the people who have run Twitter
02:40:52
◼
►
are better, like what they were trying to do
02:40:54
◼
►
is better than everything I've heard Ian say
02:40:57
◼
►
he's trying to do.
02:40:57
◼
►
There's still, like I said, I'd much rather like fail fast.
02:41:00
◼
►
Like if you're gonna try to do some bad things,
02:41:02
◼
►
I want them to be bad immediately.
02:41:03
◼
►
I don't want them to be slowly bad
02:41:04
◼
►
over the course of a decade through neglect.
02:41:06
◼
►
Neglect is worse, right? And so that's my optimistic scenario is that all the bad
02:41:12
◼
►
things happen super fast and hopefully maybe after the election.