224: Yearning for Reflection
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This is the show that will not end.
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Kuba Boguchowicz—Kuba said that Apple used to have many edits of one original.
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This is within the context of photos.
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Aperture had it and called it versions.
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You could have many versions of one master and it worked.
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This is with regard to what Jon was asking for last episode.
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That's a nice reminder.
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of what we've lost. You know, for people who are in the Apple ecosystem and remember the days when
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Apple had a pro video, a pro photo editing app, and then one day they didn't anymore. And Lightroom
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is great and you can get it and it's by Adobe and it's good that there's competition in that market.
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But very often I forget that Aperture even existed. If you had reminded me that Aperture
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existed I probably would have remembered this multi-version thing because I did try Aperture
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a few times, especially when they got like that, where you used to share its library
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with iPhoto in some weird way that never really worked quite right.
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Yeah, I kind of miss that.
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I wish that stuff would come—I wish iPhoto stuff would come back to Photos, and if you
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run out of iPhoto stuff to steal, you can bring stuff from Aperture.
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Like it's all in the family.
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They've got that source code.
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Those people are still there somewhere, right?
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All right, an anonymous person wrote in and said, "I was speaking with an Apple Mac OS
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And they said they will or have been making better versions of the new MacBook Pro keyboard
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and using them in newly produced units without any public acknowledgement or change of model
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By implication, Apple will also be using these refined keyboards in any MacBook Pro keyboards.
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They said that this refinement of component designs is very common, and they said that
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it is often good to wait a few months after a new product is released so that you can
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get the revised versions of any components that were found to have had issues after release.
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Why do they have to prove Jon right?
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I like the idea of them modifying the product but not changing the model number.
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Just to add an air of mystery, kind of like, "Oh, these are the good ones.
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Yeah, I know it's exactly the same part and it looks exactly the same and the model number
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is the same, but these are the good ones."
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We learned so much about assembling the old ones that we put magic special dust in it.
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I mean, they do.
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You do refine your manufacturing process.
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Like you refine the assembly, you could even refine some of the materials for the pieces,
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you could source them from different places.
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This happens in the manufacturer of any remotely complicated good, and I imagine you don't
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always change the model number, but as a consumer, this is like telling us what we want to hear.
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If you buy later, they're better.
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I always believe that voodoo too, and it's always good to wait a little bit.
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Even if only from the old style American car battle days of American car manufacturing,
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where you don't buy the cars that were assembled on a Friday because the workers don't care
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that much and they just want to go off for the weekend, and so they don't do a good job
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assembling your car. The idea that after some company has been building a thing for some
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period of time, every part of the process of building it becomes refined and the people/machines/whatever
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get better at building the thing, even if every single part of it is the same. And so
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you kind of don't want like the very first Playstation 4 off the assembly line. Maybe
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you want the 7,000th or 100,000th versus the first three. But all those are things that
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are just kind of like modern day folk tales I tell myself to make myself feel better about
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delaying purchases for a small amount of time. It's kind of the opposite of Margo's folk
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tales that he tells himself to make himself feel better about buying things immediately.
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But we all have our stories to make us feel good about our decisions. Honestly, I would
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like to believe this, but I just don't know.
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And by the way, in my defense, the MacBook Escape came out in October. I bought it in
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Oh, look at you waiting six months.
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Wait, which one? The first one or the second one? Because you did buy it before, you did
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order it before it even was shipping to anybody, if I recall.
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Yes, that's true. But the one I actually own, the one that I didn't cancel, that I let deliver
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to me, the MacBook Escape, I ordered it in March.
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- Well that's good because the one you got,
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they've totally sorted out the sticky keyboard situation.
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- This anonymous person would say,
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"Oh, Marco got the last bad one,
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"but now they're using all these refined ones
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"that have the same model number."
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- Let's start the show proper.
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Let's do what we really need to do.
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Let's do what we've been waiting on for several months now.
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Let's talk about software methodologies.
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Marco, why don't you start?
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- I believe in fully test-driven,
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agile stand-up parking lot development.
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Oh, God, stop. Okay, so let's talk about WWDC. So for some reason you don't know what we're
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talking about. WWDC is a worldwide developer conference. It is happening next week as we
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record this in San Jose, California. First time that any of us have been to San Jose
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for Dub-Dub. It did happen there back in the days before anyone really cared about Apple.
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Don't write me. But now we're coming back to San Jose. It's going to be a new experience
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for all of us. And there's a lot to talk about. There's a lot of stuff going on. And there's
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been surprisingly little chatter about what's forthcoming. And I bet you if you were to
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listen to past episodes, I bet you I've said that the last several years. But man, sitting
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here now, the way I remember the chatter leading up to iOS 10, iOS 9, and 8 and 7, I feel like
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it's like we knew a lot more about what was going into
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those releases than we do what's going into iOS,
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well, what presumably will be iOS 11.
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Do you guys feel the same way?
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- Yeah, I mean, especially because,
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I mean, first of all, it's a little bit weird,
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like we've heard a lot of kinda like weak,
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second tier rumors, but very little of much credibility,
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or of much certainty, and it seems like, you know,
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And the rumors are so spread out
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and relatively diverse in their nature,
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like it isn't like all about one product
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or all about one thing,
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that it's looking like it's gonna be a pretty,
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potentially pretty big WWDC,
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but that nobody can really say for sure exactly why,
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which is kind of interesting.
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It's kind of fun that way.
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Like we have a whole bunch of things
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that we've heard might happen
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or are supposed to or intended to happen maybe,
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but really nothing as concrete as a lot of previous leaks
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and reports have been.
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- We can make it up in volume.
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You're right, there's no big spearhead,
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like the one big thing everyone's looking for
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and then the ancillary things.
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It's just a bunch of other things.
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It kind of reminds me, well, maybe I'm misremembering,
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was it iOS 8, the year iOS 8 was announced?
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They announced all those features
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that we thought would never come to iOS,
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and no one of them was the thing that we all hope to see.
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all held up, but just the fact that there were so many things in iOS 8 that I was so
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desperately needed and they all came, that it gave you the satisfaction of sort of being
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overwhelmed with the sheer number of things that Apple was doing to improve its product.
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We would all like that, right? But the problem with these big laundry lists where there's
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no one thing, it's just a bunch of other stuff, is it's not all going to be there. We've heard
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rumors of everything. They can't possibly all be there, so there's going to be some
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disappointments mixed in, depending on what you care about the most mixed in with the
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other stuff.
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So, let's go through this.
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Somebody has done a little bit of preparation in the show notes, and since I don't know
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who it is, and it couldn't possibly have been Marco, that by process of elimination
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means it must have been John, who shouldn't be doing any prep or research at him.
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But I'm not sure—I haven't even noticed I fill this document out before every single
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You think elves do that?
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Oh, yes, I did.
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I thought it was the Keebler elves when they were done baking.
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you should now honor my organization here because what I have written as the heading
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for the section that we're getting into here is, "WWC hopes and dreams." Because, as Marco
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pointed out, the rumors are all kind of wishy-washy, like, "They'll probably do some iOS stuff,
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man!" Like, alright, yeah, okay. I'm not that interested in predictions, because if there's
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one big thing, we'd be like, "Are they gonna introduce the hoverboards or not? It's been
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super heavily rumored, let's talk about the hoverboards." Instead I feel like it's, "What
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do we want or what do we think Apple should do in each of these areas?" And obviously
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we'll talk about predictions in terms of handicapping them, how they go, but I feel ill-equipped
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this year to offer any kind of prediction about what will be announced at WWDC, but
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I feel reasonably well-equipped to talk about what I would like to see and then secondarily
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I think Apple should do and then like I said inevitably will say well could they possibly
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All right so we're going to start and we're going to go through software and then we'll
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go through hardware and then we'll go through I don't know kind of miscellaneous stuff.
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Can I offer an opening statement?
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Well since you seem eager to then please proceed.
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Well John did.
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Someone's ready for the incomparable.
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No that's way too intimidating.
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Basically I slightly disagree with the hopes and dreams angle of this.
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I have kind of prepared my expectations to be things that I would like to happen, but
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that I also think will happen. Things that are realistic, that are plausible, that fit
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within Apple's recent...
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- Hopes and Dreams fits within that.
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I'm not saying like you want a hoverboard
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or you want them to roll the car out on the stage
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and do a donut.
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I mean, we're all gonna be within the realm of reason here,
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That was implied, that wasn't clear.
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- Right, and I do think, before we get into specifics,
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I would say the general trend I expect this year,
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what I'm pretty sure will happen,
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like overarching themes, the most powerful messages
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that are being delivered,
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I think we're gonna have a very heavy focus on Siri
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first and foremost.
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And it's gonna take all sorts of different forms,
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which we'll get to down the road.
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But heavy focus on Siri,
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also a heavy focus on iPad productivity,
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and kind of integrated with that, iCloud Drive.
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And then I think secondarily, we'll see things like
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the iOS potential redesign.
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I think the Mac is gonna be kind of mid-range priority,
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and then relatively quiet years for watchOS and tvOS.
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but really heavy focus everywhere on Siri, number one.
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And then iPad productivity and iCloud drive,
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like kind of number two.
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- So you're predicting that,
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but since you're just talking about overall theme,
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do you also hope for that?
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And secondarily, do you think
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that's what Apple should be focusing on?
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- Well, it depends.
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I mean, this is, not only is this like,
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here's all the cool stuff that we've made this year.
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But like every Apple event and like every Apple launch,
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There is a certain degree of marketing strategy
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that goes into how they present things,
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what they even present at all,
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what they name things, how things are structured.
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And I think Apple is facing a very, very strong
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competitive force right now on the voice assistant front
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from both Google and Amazon and maybe even Microsoft.
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That Siri has been criticized for being behind,
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most of it rightfully so in various areas here.
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Also, Apple doesn't yet have a Siri cylinder/standalone
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speaker thing, and we'll get to that,
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'cause that's rumored to possibly be announced this week,
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or next week, I guess.
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So that might happen, but anyway.
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It just seems like Siri is an area in which
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kind of the current trend of the tech sphere
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that Apple operates in, this is like the hot thing
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to be working on, is to have really awesome
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voice assistant stuff, and Apple is widely perceived,
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mostly fairly as being behind in that area.
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So I expect this to be kind of like the way last year,
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Apple was perceived to be behind in machine learning,
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AI, big data kind of problems.
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And so last year, you heard them say machine learning
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like a billion times.
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They named everything machine learning.
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They bragged about how awesome their machine learning was.
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It was a hugely driven home talking point.
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And it was, everything was kind of marketed around
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their version of saying, we are doing machine learning
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in this awesome way.
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and here's why and here's how we're doing it
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and look at all the machine learning we're doing.
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Similarly, that's what I think Siri is gonna be this year.
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It's gonna be like the overall theme
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of basically everything being called Siri,
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just like last year where everything
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was called machine learning,
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everything's gonna be named Siri,
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even features that aren't necessarily
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what we think of as Siri today.
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So like maybe Spotlight will be renamed to Siri.
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Maybe search in mail or messages will be renamed to Siri.
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who knows, like there could be a lot of angles to this.
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I actually think it's possible that HomeKit
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will be renamed to Siri.
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So you would just say things like,
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this light switch works with Siri.
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You know, like I think there's a big chance
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of stuff like this happening.
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That Siri is what Apple is going to be beating us
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over the head with this year.
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This is gonna be like the talking point theme of the year,
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and they're gonna be all about how awesome Siri is,
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how far they've come, and how incredibly more advanced
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it is than everything else out there.
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- I think they're gonna be throwing machine learning
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us some more. I don't think Machine Learning's day in the sun is over. Like in addition to Siri,
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like, oh, here's the thing about the Siri focus. That, you know, that's what I was getting at with
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like, do you, is this something you want to see and do something you think they should do? Well,
00:14:41
◼
►
so by saying they're behind, and I agree, or they're both perceived to be behind,
00:14:45
◼
►
and actually are a little behind in a lot of these areas, it's something they should do
00:14:49
◼
►
if they're actually concerned with keeping up with the Joneses. Many times in history,
00:14:53
◼
►
Apple seems totally unconcerned with doing the same thing as other companies, as its competitors
00:14:58
◼
►
are doing. In this situation, because Apple was pretty early out of the gate with Siri,
00:15:02
◼
►
it's not like they just didn't touch this area at all. They're in it. They're in that market of
00:15:07
◼
►
smart assistant thing that you talk to, and they were in it very early, and they have a brand and
00:15:11
◼
►
so on and so forth. So I think it's a situation where they can't say, "Oh, Apple's not interested
00:15:16
◼
►
in that market," or "We'll enter it when we think there's something." They're already there,
00:15:19
◼
►
right? They're just behind. So if they can have a Siri focus, I think it is something they should.
00:15:26
◼
►
if they can means, do they have the APIs and new, you know,
00:15:31
◼
►
software things to do?
00:15:32
◼
►
Do they have Siri in a tube or, you know,
00:15:34
◼
►
like you have to have something behind it.
00:15:36
◼
►
You can't just sort of float on,
00:15:37
◼
►
oh, we've made Siri a little bit better
00:15:39
◼
►
and here's some demos.
00:15:39
◼
►
You have to have something.
00:15:40
◼
►
You have to have new APIs, this WWDC,
00:15:43
◼
►
new ways for apps to integrate it.
00:15:44
◼
►
A new product would be awesome, right?
00:15:46
◼
►
And rebranding, you know,
00:15:47
◼
►
I'm not sure they're gonna ditch HomeKit in that way.
00:15:51
◼
►
And I don't think they care enough about the Mac
00:15:52
◼
►
to rebrand any part of it with Siri.
00:15:54
◼
►
I mean, you know, Mac OS just got Siri recently.
00:15:57
◼
►
It's like, be happy for a couple of years, Mac OS.
00:15:59
◼
►
We'll pay attention to you later.
00:16:01
◼
►
- We'll get there.
00:16:02
◼
►
- Yeah, I think it is something they should do.
00:16:04
◼
►
And I think it's also something
00:16:07
◼
►
that I would want to see them do
00:16:09
◼
►
because I like, you know, all of us except for Casey,
00:16:12
◼
►
the holdout, have cylinders in our houses that we talk to.
00:16:15
◼
►
And I still occasionally talk to Siri on my phone
00:16:19
◼
►
and other things like that.
00:16:21
◼
►
And I would love for Siri to get better.
00:16:22
◼
►
And I would love for there to be other products
00:16:24
◼
►
and other APIs that incorporate Siri.
00:16:26
◼
►
Like I said last show, I would like to talk to Overcast
00:16:28
◼
►
and have it play things for me.
00:16:29
◼
►
So that kind of Siri kid integration
00:16:31
◼
►
with that kind of intent would be great as well.
00:16:32
◼
►
So that theme, you know, and again, this is not,
00:16:35
◼
►
we haven't delved into the specifics.
00:16:36
◼
►
We're just saying, broadly speaking, iOS, MacOS,
00:16:38
◼
►
hardware, software, Siri, machine learning,
00:16:42
◼
►
that type of thing.
00:16:43
◼
►
It's maybe not my biggest hope,
00:16:46
◼
►
well, you know, hopes and dreams for it,
00:16:48
◼
►
but it is plausible.
00:16:49
◼
►
It is a thing I think they should do
00:16:51
◼
►
and I hope they do do it.
00:16:53
◼
►
- So we might as well actually finish the Siri segment now.
00:16:55
◼
►
'Cause I think--
00:16:56
◼
►
- How are you getting away with this?
00:16:58
◼
►
John usually stops all over us
00:16:59
◼
►
if we don't follow the show notes.
00:17:01
◼
►
- Well, no, because he framed it correctly as a broad,
00:17:03
◼
►
it cuts across all these things.
00:17:04
◼
►
We're not talking about just iOS or just macOS
00:17:06
◼
►
or just hardware, just new products.
00:17:08
◼
►
It's an overall theme.
00:17:09
◼
►
He framed it well with his opening statement.
00:17:11
◼
►
The overall theme of the show, if you come away,
00:17:13
◼
►
and it is kind of a prediction,
00:17:15
◼
►
but I've brought it back to, is it something you hope for?
00:17:18
◼
►
And is it something that you think they should do?
00:17:21
◼
►
Since I sort of have the mic now, I will say that Siri does not do much for me either way.
00:17:29
◼
►
It doesn't actively make me angry terribly often, although that certainly happens, and
00:17:33
◼
►
it doesn't actively help my day terribly often, although that also certainly happens.
00:17:38
◼
►
So right now I'm pretty uninterested in all of this.
00:17:42
◼
►
That being said, if history tells me anything, any time I tell you that I am completely underwhelmed
00:17:48
◼
►
and uninterested in something, which may or may not also be me being nonplussed about
00:17:53
◼
►
something depending on who you ask.
00:17:56
◼
►
I always end up becoming the world's biggest fan.
00:17:59
◼
►
For example, would you wait one moment while I check the time on my beloved Apple Watch?
00:18:04
◼
►
So we'll see what happens if they do release a Syrian Canister, but sitting here now, I
00:18:10
◼
►
just don't care.
00:18:13
◼
►
Let's talk about the Siri in a canister,
00:18:14
◼
►
because this is very heavily rumored.
00:18:17
◼
►
It really does seem like not only is this a real product,
00:18:21
◼
►
but that this really might be announced next week.
00:18:23
◼
►
That is what the current most common rumors are saying.
00:18:27
◼
►
So first of all, I think,
00:18:30
◼
►
let's assume for the sake of this discussion,
00:18:32
◼
►
let's assume that this thing is real.
00:18:34
◼
►
I'm gonna call it the Siri speaker for now,
00:18:37
◼
►
'cause I don't even know if it's gonna be cylindrical shape.
00:18:40
◼
►
If it's gonna have a screen,
00:18:42
◼
►
A cylinder doesn't really make a lot of sense,
00:18:43
◼
►
so it might not be cylindrical, who knows?
00:18:46
◼
►
So I'll call it the Siri speaker.
00:18:47
◼
►
Although I do think that there's actually a small chance,
00:18:50
◼
►
kind of a long shot, that it might be Beats branded.
00:18:53
◼
►
But I think probably not.
00:18:54
◼
►
I think Siri is the stronger brand for them
00:18:56
◼
►
and they're gonna wanna use that here.
00:18:59
◼
►
Or at least that's the one that they want to drive more.
00:19:02
◼
►
So first of all, the way I picture this project,
00:19:05
◼
►
if you think through, how would you do things
00:19:08
◼
►
like configure apps on it?
00:19:10
◼
►
What kind of apps would there even be on it?
00:19:12
◼
►
How would you set it up?
00:19:13
◼
►
What would manage it?
00:19:14
◼
►
The way that the Amazon family of products does this
00:19:17
◼
►
is there is a Lady in the Tube named app on your phone.
00:19:22
◼
►
And it's not that different from Apple's watch app
00:19:26
◼
►
on the iPhone.
00:19:27
◼
►
So it's like the companion app for the hardware product,
00:19:29
◼
►
which means this hardware product
00:19:31
◼
►
would need to be paired with an iPhone.
00:19:33
◼
►
That's what I think Apple's gonna do with this product.
00:19:35
◼
►
I suspect that it's gonna be like,
00:19:37
◼
►
there's going to be a Siri app,
00:19:39
◼
►
much like the Amazon Lady Name app,
00:19:42
◼
►
and this will be like a centralized control panel,
00:19:45
◼
►
and I do think this is gonna be iOS in general.
00:19:49
◼
►
Like you're gonna be able to access the Siri app
00:19:51
◼
►
for other things as well.
00:19:52
◼
►
Like that could be a centralized control panel
00:19:54
◼
►
for HomeKit devices, which might be in Siri devices.
00:19:58
◼
►
Any kind of integrations, apps, et cetera.
00:20:01
◼
►
I expect that to also then be,
00:20:04
◼
►
just like the watch app is for the watch,
00:20:06
◼
►
that'll be how you manage apps and configuration,
00:20:09
◼
►
you know, advanced configuration of the Siri speaker device.
00:20:13
◼
►
Because if you have like a small,
00:20:16
◼
►
you know, it's probably gonna be like a small
00:20:17
◼
►
OLED screen on there.
00:20:19
◼
►
And it probably will be a touch screen and everything,
00:20:21
◼
►
but it's probably gonna be too small and not that great
00:20:23
◼
►
for things like a full keyboard.
00:20:25
◼
►
I don't think it's gonna be that size screen.
00:20:27
◼
►
It's probably gonna be more like small status displays,
00:20:30
◼
►
maybe for things like timers,
00:20:31
◼
►
and maybe room for a few buttons,
00:20:33
◼
►
like a few big touch targets on screen,
00:20:34
◼
►
but not like, you know, probably bigger than a watch,
00:20:36
◼
►
but smaller than a phone.
00:20:37
◼
►
- What makes you think it'll have a screen at all?
00:20:39
◼
►
Have you read more recent rumors than I have?
00:20:42
◼
►
- No, but most of the rumors have said
00:20:44
◼
►
it will have a screen, so I'm inclined
00:20:47
◼
►
to believe that it will.
00:20:47
◼
►
I also, having used the Amazon cylinders
00:20:52
◼
►
without screens all this time,
00:20:55
◼
►
I do think it would be nicer with a screen
00:20:57
◼
►
for some basic tasks.
00:20:59
◼
►
There's still like, you know,
00:21:02
◼
►
the primary interface will still be voice,
00:21:06
◼
►
but it's nice to have a screen
00:21:08
◼
►
as a secondary information output device
00:21:10
◼
►
or an ambient information output device.
00:21:13
◼
►
So for things like watching a timer countdown
00:21:16
◼
►
or displaying the weather all the time
00:21:18
◼
►
or things like that,
00:21:19
◼
►
it's nice to have a screen for things like that.
00:21:21
◼
►
I don't know if they're gonna go full blown
00:21:23
◼
►
like video screen for video calls the way Amazon has.
00:21:27
◼
►
I don't know about that,
00:21:28
◼
►
'cause that whole idea kind of makes
00:21:31
◼
►
not that much sense to me.
00:21:32
◼
►
It's kind of ungraceful and I don't know.
00:21:35
◼
►
I'm not sure I see Apple,
00:21:36
◼
►
even though they already have like FaceTime and everything,
00:21:38
◼
►
I'm not sure I see them doing the video call market
00:21:41
◼
►
with this device because they already have it
00:21:43
◼
►
on all their other devices.
00:21:44
◼
►
But anyway, I do suspect that they're going to have
00:21:48
◼
►
an iPhone companion app named Siri
00:21:50
◼
►
that will encompass all this stuff,
00:21:52
◼
►
probably even replace what is now called the Home app.
00:21:56
◼
►
That'll be just like the new Home app.
00:21:57
◼
►
Now it's called Siri and it comps all the stuff
00:21:59
◼
►
and it lets you manage your Siri cylinder.
00:22:02
◼
►
I expect the Siri cylinder to be primarily sold
00:22:07
◼
►
on privacy, the screen itself, and being good
00:22:11
◼
►
'cause it will be the first screen,
00:22:12
◼
►
one of these things to market probably,
00:22:15
◼
►
or at least it'll be close to Amazon's
00:22:16
◼
►
that's coming out at the end of this month.
00:22:18
◼
►
I also expect Apple to push sound quality hard.
00:22:22
◼
►
Apple still has big foothold in music
00:22:24
◼
►
and they have a lot of people there who care about music
00:22:26
◼
►
And frankly, it wouldn't be that hard
00:22:28
◼
►
to sound better than the Echo.
00:22:29
◼
►
So I expect them to push sound quality hard.
00:22:31
◼
►
It is totally possible to sound good in a small enclosure.
00:22:36
◼
►
And I know that because I have a Sonos Play One speaker
00:22:39
◼
►
right next to my Echo that I hardly ever use anymore
00:22:42
◼
►
because it's so much less convenient.
00:22:44
◼
►
But the Play One is almost the same size as the Echo
00:22:47
◼
►
and it sounds way better, it's not even close.
00:22:50
◼
►
And so I know Apple would have the expertise
00:22:52
◼
►
to develop something really good sounding
00:22:54
◼
►
in that size class if they want to.
00:22:56
◼
►
and they probably do want to,
00:22:57
◼
►
'cause that could be a great selling point.
00:22:59
◼
►
I would also suggest that this is also Apple,
00:23:04
◼
►
and this is also Tim Cook's Apple,
00:23:06
◼
►
so there is almost no chance
00:23:08
◼
►
there's gonna be just one of these.
00:23:09
◼
►
It's probably gonna be like,
00:23:12
◼
►
the Amazon one with the screen is like 230 bucks,
00:23:15
◼
►
something like that.
00:23:17
◼
►
I'm guessing the cheapest one you can buy from Apple
00:23:20
◼
►
is 300, maybe even more,
00:23:23
◼
►
and that that's not gonna be the one anybody wants to buy.
00:23:25
◼
►
that there's gonna be upsell models.
00:23:27
◼
►
Maybe there'll be different materials, different colors.
00:23:30
◼
►
Probably there are gonna be things like bigger
00:23:32
◼
►
or differently specced speakers.
00:23:35
◼
►
And that's what Sonos does.
00:23:35
◼
►
They have the small ones, medium, big ones.
00:23:37
◼
►
And the big ones are really expensive.
00:23:39
◼
►
Maybe they'll even go as far as to have
00:23:42
◼
►
different storage tiers like the Apple TV,
00:23:44
◼
►
but that was kind of my comedy option.
00:23:46
◼
►
I don't actually believe they're going to do that.
00:23:47
◼
►
I hope they don't 'cause the actual storage tiers
00:23:50
◼
►
on the actual Apple TV are a comedy option
00:23:53
◼
►
that make no sense.
00:23:54
◼
►
So I hope they've learned and I hope they don't do that here
00:23:57
◼
►
but I'm guessing like roughly 300 bucks for a base model
00:24:01
◼
►
but the one you're gonna actually want
00:24:03
◼
►
is gonna be more than that for some premium reason,
00:24:06
◼
►
probably better speakers or something like that.
00:24:09
◼
►
And then otherwise I think, you know,
00:24:13
◼
►
if it runs, it would make sense for it to run apps
00:24:16
◼
►
and the way they would probably do that
00:24:17
◼
►
is very similar to how the watch is doing it.
00:24:20
◼
►
So the iOS app would be the host/container
00:24:25
◼
►
and it would have a special extension
00:24:27
◼
►
that runs on the Siri speaker
00:24:29
◼
►
and that the companion app would manage
00:24:31
◼
►
that relationship for you if you wanted
00:24:32
◼
►
to install or delete them,
00:24:34
◼
►
but that it would be an iOS extension
00:24:36
◼
►
that is not running on the phone,
00:24:38
◼
►
it's running on the speaker,
00:24:39
◼
►
but it's managed by the parent app on the phone
00:24:42
◼
►
and by the companion app.
00:24:44
◼
►
And then my only other kind of long shot on this,
00:24:48
◼
►
Obviously they're gonna heavily push Apple Music
00:24:50
◼
►
and music is gonna be, I think,
00:24:51
◼
►
one of the biggest selling points of this thing.
00:24:53
◼
►
I think long shot number two, besides the Beats brand,
00:24:57
◼
►
is that they might even pull a Sonos
00:25:01
◼
►
and attack them head on and do multi-room audio from day one
00:25:05
◼
►
which currently, Amazon doesn't do it all yet.
00:25:09
◼
►
I know Google announced they were going to
00:25:11
◼
►
but have they actually shipped that yet?
00:25:12
◼
►
- I don't have the famous idea.
00:25:14
◼
►
- Jon, you're in charge of Google Home on this show.
00:25:16
◼
►
- I only have one of them, why would I know?
00:25:18
◼
►
- I've got a second one, I'm gonna answer the question.
00:25:19
◼
►
All right, so yeah, I think it would be really cool
00:25:23
◼
►
if Apple did Sonos multivroom audio.
00:25:26
◼
►
Now that I've had a Sonos system for a couple of years,
00:25:29
◼
►
I do really enjoy that, like it's really nice
00:25:31
◼
►
to have speakers in multiple rooms of your house.
00:25:34
◼
►
So like when you're doing things around the house,
00:25:36
◼
►
you can have the same music playing on all of them.
00:25:38
◼
►
It's really nice.
00:25:39
◼
►
And the main reason I don't use that anymore
00:25:41
◼
►
is because it's so much more convenient
00:25:42
◼
►
to have everything voice controlled.
00:25:44
◼
►
So if Apple can combine those things,
00:25:46
◼
►
Amazon, I'm kind of surprised they haven't,
00:25:48
◼
►
but they haven't.
00:25:49
◼
►
So if Apple can be the first one to combine those things,
00:25:52
◼
►
and if they're gonna have a heavy music focus,
00:25:54
◼
►
and if they're gonna have good speakers in these things
00:25:57
◼
►
to begin with, that could be a really strong,
00:25:59
◼
►
competitive advantage, because they're probably
00:26:01
◼
►
not gonna be as strong with the voice accuracy,
00:26:04
◼
►
or the reliability, or the speed,
00:26:06
◼
►
or the third-party integrations.
00:26:08
◼
►
So they can try to get advantages in other areas
00:26:10
◼
►
where Apple is strong.
00:26:11
◼
►
So things like physical design, the UI of the thing,
00:26:16
◼
►
sound quality, multi-room audio,
00:26:18
◼
►
major music integration.
00:26:19
◼
►
That's where I expect Apple to go with this.
00:26:22
◼
►
- You have such a specific vision
00:26:23
◼
►
of this entire ecosystem of products
00:26:25
◼
►
that makes me think you have inside information
00:26:27
◼
►
that we don't have.
00:26:28
◼
►
- I, so here's the thing, I don't--
00:26:29
◼
►
- That's a lot of specifics, that's a lot of specifics.
00:26:32
◼
►
- No, but I don't, but what I basically did was
00:26:34
◼
►
I started writing out this note of like,
00:26:36
◼
►
what I expect this thing might be.
00:26:39
◼
►
And then I started thinking about,
00:26:39
◼
►
okay, well, does it run apps?
00:26:42
◼
►
If it runs apps, where do the apps come from?
00:26:45
◼
►
And once you're thinking through it,
00:26:47
◼
►
how might they do this?
00:26:49
◼
►
- Yeah, no, every one of those things sounds like,
00:26:51
◼
►
yeah, that's exactly the way they would do it
00:26:53
◼
►
if they were doing that.
00:26:53
◼
►
But what I have trouble with is,
00:26:55
◼
►
you just listed out, if they were to catch up
00:26:57
◼
►
with everybody on all fronts at once,
00:26:59
◼
►
this is how they'd do it, and I agree.
00:27:00
◼
►
I'm pessimistic that they are going to do that.
00:27:05
◼
►
And what I'm thinking of is,
00:27:07
◼
►
of all the things you described, it's like,
00:27:08
◼
►
okay, you're not gonna get all this stuff.
00:27:10
◼
►
With the first product,
00:27:12
◼
►
it's gonna concentrate on one area or another.
00:27:13
◼
►
So for example, one angle could be, again, if this thing is even announced,
00:27:17
◼
►
WWC, a multi-room audio, no screen, Siri speaker, right?
00:27:22
◼
►
That alone seems like a version one product from Apple.
00:27:25
◼
►
Like none of the other things you mentioned are there.
00:27:27
◼
►
There's no screen, there's no apps.
00:27:28
◼
►
There's no, you know, home kit, a central home hub thing.
00:27:31
◼
►
There's no, you know, it's just, it's just Siri speaker.
00:27:34
◼
►
You can talk to it and it's multi-room audio and that's it.
00:27:37
◼
►
And they're expensive in this two of them.
00:27:39
◼
►
I'm on board with that.
00:27:40
◼
►
Or it could be a home hub thing,
00:27:42
◼
►
but then no multi-room audio,
00:27:44
◼
►
but just like one good speaker in the thing.
00:27:46
◼
►
Or it could be a little app platform thing
00:27:48
◼
►
that isn't a speaker, but that, you know, it's like,
00:27:50
◼
►
I have trouble making myself believe that today's Apple
00:27:53
◼
►
is going to come out of the gate
00:27:55
◼
►
with something so comprehensive.
00:27:56
◼
►
But if they did, like I agree with you,
00:27:58
◼
►
that if they did attack on all those fronts,
00:28:00
◼
►
that's probably how they would attack
00:28:02
◼
►
on every single one of those fronts,
00:28:03
◼
►
because it's based on, you know,
00:28:05
◼
►
something they've done before, technology they already have,
00:28:07
◼
►
things they're already good at,
00:28:09
◼
►
and enhancements to things that they, you know,
00:28:11
◼
►
we're obviously assuming enhancements to Siri
00:28:13
◼
►
to go along with this to make it more capable
00:28:15
◼
►
just in general, right?
00:28:16
◼
►
- Well, but what I'm describing is a smaller scale
00:28:21
◼
►
than the first version of the Apple Watch.
00:28:23
◼
►
And it's way easier to make
00:28:24
◼
►
'cause it's this big chunky thing.
00:28:26
◼
►
- The Apple Watch was so incredibly hyped and rumored
00:28:29
◼
►
that it was like the, you know,
00:28:30
◼
►
and it just, the Apple Watch came out
00:28:33
◼
►
and it did do all those things all at once,
00:28:34
◼
►
but the lead up to it matched that.
00:28:38
◼
►
Like it was not, I mean, they, what they, they built that whole temporary thing
00:28:41
◼
►
and had this giant special event for it.
00:28:43
◼
►
And we all knew it was coming.
00:28:44
◼
►
It was just like, and what is it going to be?
00:28:46
◼
►
Is it going to be a holographic wrist thing that floats on it?
00:28:48
◼
►
Like it was just, it was out of control.
00:28:51
◼
►
And they did do a really good job on it.
00:28:53
◼
►
And you know, they figured out the software eventually too.
00:28:54
◼
►
But the series stuff is like, I wonder if Apple will ever have a tube thing.
00:28:59
◼
►
Yeah, maybe.
00:28:59
◼
►
Oh, I hear it might be WWC.
00:29:01
◼
►
Maybe we'll have a screen.
00:29:02
◼
►
Maybe it won't probably have a speaker.
00:29:04
◼
►
Like, like it's getting back to like the scope of like Apple could make a really
00:29:07
◼
►
a good Bluetooth speaker, as I think I said
00:29:08
◼
►
a couple of shows ago.
00:29:09
◼
►
It's like, yeah, they could, if they felt like it, right?
00:29:12
◼
►
And you're like, no, Apple can dominate this whole market
00:29:15
◼
►
by doing everything super awesome way
00:29:17
◼
►
and just charging us twice as much.
00:29:18
◼
►
- Well, no, I didn't say that.
00:29:20
◼
►
I didn't say that because there are gonna be major areas
00:29:22
◼
►
of this that Apple's not gonna be competitive on
00:29:24
◼
►
because it's all based on Siri.
00:29:26
◼
►
And there are major areas that Siri isn't competitive on.
00:29:28
◼
►
Things like speed, reliability,
00:29:30
◼
►
and certain levels of intelligence.
00:29:31
◼
►
- Well, and again, the underlying premise is that
00:29:35
◼
►
this comes along with a new and improved version of Siri.
00:29:38
◼
►
Like, that Siri in this tube is better
00:29:40
◼
►
than Siri in all other places.
00:29:41
◼
►
And it's an interesting question of whether,
00:29:43
◼
►
say they even do that.
00:29:43
◼
►
- Oh, I don't believe that at all.
00:29:44
◼
►
I think it's gonna be exactly the same Siri.
00:29:47
◼
►
- You think so?
00:29:47
◼
►
I mean, at the very least, I would hope
00:29:48
◼
►
that it would hear me better than the microphones
00:29:50
◼
►
in a watch or in the phone,
00:29:52
◼
►
just because they've got more room for more microphones,
00:29:53
◼
►
right? - Well, it might,
00:29:54
◼
►
but honestly, I don't have much problem
00:29:57
◼
►
with Siri hearing me properly.
00:29:58
◼
►
Like, the words that I say
00:29:59
◼
►
are usually transcribed very accurately.
00:30:02
◼
►
It's what they do afterwards.
00:30:03
◼
►
That's usually the problem.
00:30:04
◼
►
I have some trouble with activations, but yeah, but like on the Siri tube speaker screen,
00:30:12
◼
►
whatever thing, I'm currently filing this in the category of a thing that I totally
00:30:18
◼
►
believe Apple has worked on and may still be working on, but that it would not shock
00:30:23
◼
►
me if there was no dedicated Siri related hardware announced at WWDC.
00:30:30
◼
►
So I'm not pinning my hopes on this being a WWDC, even if it's a thing they're working
00:30:35
◼
►
on, even if they are going to ship it later, I don't know.
00:30:40
◼
►
Just think of the Apple TV that missed WWDC, remember when that happened?
00:30:43
◼
►
Like the new Apple TV and they were going to have it for everybody and it just didn't
00:30:45
◼
►
quite make it, right?
00:30:46
◼
►
So I'm putting this in that bin right now, which would be a shame, but looking down the
00:30:51
◼
►
list of the rest of the things, I still feel like they would have enough stuff to make
00:30:53
◼
►
a good keynote without any serious stuff.
00:30:57
◼
►
And if they did have it, would they save it for the end?
00:31:01
◼
►
Is that the biggest announcement that they save towards the end slot where the good stuff
00:31:06
◼
►
They obviously lead with WatchOS and macOS updates and then build up to the stuff that
00:31:09
◼
►
we really care about, right?
00:31:11
◼
►
And this is the last thing?
00:31:14
◼
►
I guess we'll find out.
00:31:15
◼
►
But anyway, that's how I feel about the Siri thing in terms of predictions, that it will
00:31:18
◼
►
be more constrained than all the things that Marco listed and that I would not be shocked
00:31:23
◼
►
if it didn't appear.
00:31:24
◼
►
And I'm not going to -- and honestly, if everything else comes out, everything else has reasonably
00:31:29
◼
►
good announcements of fulfilling some of my hopes and dreams, I'll be okay with that.
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(upbeat music)
00:33:47
◼
►
- All right, so I'm sorry boss, what are we doing right now?
00:33:49
◼
►
- iOS, iOS, 'cause we're going for the biggest,
00:33:51
◼
►
I feel like now, please Marco wanted to go right
00:33:53
◼
►
for the dessert and talk about the Siri,
00:33:55
◼
►
which is like the new hardware, new product category,
00:33:57
◼
►
like the most, probably the most exciting thing
00:33:59
◼
►
that could be announced at WWDC.
00:34:02
◼
►
Introducing a new product category
00:34:04
◼
►
that Apple was in before, a thing that rarely happens.
00:34:06
◼
►
We did that one and I feel like iOS
00:34:08
◼
►
is the next biggest possible announcement,
00:34:11
◼
►
because there's a lot of rumors and ideas around
00:34:17
◼
►
iOS not just improving its capabilities, improving capabilities of the iPad and adding features
00:34:23
◼
►
that people have wanted and getting back on the bandwagon of advancing iOS, but also the
00:34:30
◼
►
possibility that major foundational interface paradigms in iOS could be rethought, particularly
00:34:37
◼
►
about how applications deal with files and drag and drop, which drag and drop is not
00:34:43
◼
►
at all, and files is in a way that is not like the old way where there was no access
00:34:49
◼
►
to the file system, but is kind of this awkward middle ground.
00:34:52
◼
►
So there's a lot of rumors surrounding that.
00:34:55
◼
►
And again, when we say file system, we don't mean like the literal file system, which is
00:34:58
◼
►
APFS now, yay.
00:35:00
◼
►
But like in terms of file management, there's a lot of rumors about that.
00:35:04
◼
►
Any and all of those things are significant for iOS.
00:35:08
◼
►
And most of it, I feel like, is focused on sort of the high end of iOS, the devices that
00:35:12
◼
►
are big and fast and have a lot of memory, not so much on your phones, like what is this
00:35:18
◼
►
going to do about your phones, more about like, hey, I've got this big powerful 12.5
00:35:23
◼
►
inch iPad Pro with the stylus, but multitasking hasn't changed much in many years and there's
00:35:30
◼
►
no drag and drop and dealing with files is still kind of a pain.
00:35:34
◼
►
And for many years there have been rumors about that being rejiggered, but this certainly
00:35:39
◼
►
seems like the year when the announcement, kind of like iOS 8, where the announcements
00:35:43
◼
►
for iOS will be things that have been a long time coming that are super impressive that
00:35:47
◼
►
people look at and say, "A, this is going to change how I use my iOS device in a positive
00:35:52
◼
►
way," and developers are going to say, "B, I can't wait to add support for that for my
00:35:55
◼
►
application," which is a perfect fit for WWDC. iOS is the glory OS, and they can start adding,
00:36:02
◼
►
for lack of a better word, pro features to iOS. The crowd will love it. Developers will
00:36:06
◼
►
love it. Users will love it.
00:36:07
◼
►
Yeah, I don't know what to make of all that. I was asked by a friend of the show, Steven Hackett, to do a piece for his members' newsletter.
00:36:16
◼
►
And so I wrote a piece that I'll eventually post on my website, but probably not for a few weeks, about why I think that the iOS--or the iOS, geez, the iPad is not for me anymore.
00:36:27
◼
►
And since I just made this public declaration that the iPad is not for me anymore
00:36:33
◼
►
I expect that whatever is done at WWDC this year will make me go crawling
00:36:38
◼
►
Directly back to the iPad and tell everyone about how I never doubted the iPad and the iPad has always been the thing for me
00:36:45
◼
►
But I think it's obvious that this is going to be a year. That's heavy on iPad
00:36:50
◼
►
I think I think it's possible that Federico Vatici smile may not fit through the doors on the way out of the keynote
00:36:57
◼
►
note, which to me, truth be told, is a good thing. I don't dislike the iPad, I just feel
00:37:04
◼
►
like I'm neutered, or not neutered maybe, but handcuffed is a better word for it, handcuffed
00:37:08
◼
►
by it. And so if a lot of the pain points that I have when using the iPad went away,
00:37:19
◼
►
that would be really great. But to come back to the ostensible point of all this, which
00:37:23
◼
►
is Hopes and Dreams. I do Hope and Dream for a better Siri API. I think it would be somewhat
00:37:30
◼
►
useful for what I do at my day job, but I think it would be super useful for things
00:37:35
◼
►
like Overcast. There's been many times that I've wanted to say, you know, "Hey, Dingus,
00:37:41
◼
►
play," I don't know, "Fatal Error in Overcast," or something like that. Or, you know, "Hey,
00:37:46
◼
►
Dingus, play Dubai Friday in Overcast." And having the ability to do that would be really,
00:37:50
◼
►
really awesome.
00:37:53
◼
►
I'm a little disappointed that Swift is open source in that, as far as I know, a lot of
00:38:02
◼
►
the things that I want from Swift aren't happening because if they were happening, I would know
00:38:07
◼
►
them because open source.
00:38:09
◼
►
And so I'm hopeful that maybe some stuff has been happening behind the scenes that is Swift-specific.
00:38:15
◼
►
I've been yearning for reflection, I've been yearning for async/await.
00:38:20
◼
►
There's a bunch of other things that I've wanted
00:38:21
◼
►
that I can't think of off the top of my head,
00:38:23
◼
►
but every indication is that I'm not getting
00:38:26
◼
►
any of those things because if I was,
00:38:27
◼
►
I would know about it because open source.
00:38:29
◼
►
However, that being said, any improvements to Xcode
00:38:32
◼
►
to make writing Swift a little better,
00:38:36
◼
►
to make using Swift a little better would be great.
00:38:39
◼
►
And I know that's tangentially related to iOS,
00:38:42
◼
►
but that is what-- - Very, very tangentially.
00:38:45
◼
►
- Well, it's good.
00:38:47
◼
►
- I was gonna say, I ran you in,
00:38:50
◼
►
but I will allow you to make the bold prediction
00:38:51
◼
►
that there will be a new version of Xcode announced at WWDC.
00:38:54
◼
►
- No, no, no, no, but I want to see,
00:38:57
◼
►
like as an example, they added,
00:38:59
◼
►
I forget the official term for the feature,
00:39:01
◼
►
but like the memory graph visualizer,
00:39:04
◼
►
and they added the reveal clone, which is also excellent.
00:39:08
◼
►
And those are great, but that's sort of a change
00:39:11
◼
►
is not what I'm looking for.
00:39:13
◼
►
What I'm looking for is something that makes
00:39:15
◼
►
writing Swift better and easier,
00:39:18
◼
►
like being able to refactor Swift code.
00:39:21
◼
►
Like the fact that we can't do that
00:39:23
◼
►
is kind of preposterous now.
00:39:25
◼
►
And I've been talking to some people at work about Kotlin,
00:39:29
◼
►
about some of these other languages,
00:39:30
◼
►
about the way .NET matured.
00:39:33
◼
►
And if you look at the differences in .NET
00:39:35
◼
►
over the same stretch of time as Swift has had,
00:39:38
◼
►
I feel like C#,
00:39:40
◼
►
but maybe I should use C# rather than .NET,
00:39:42
◼
►
C# moved way, way quicker.
00:39:45
◼
►
And I wish that Swift could pick up the pace a little bit,
00:39:49
◼
►
which is funny because maybe the only way
00:39:50
◼
►
for them to pick up the pace a little bit
00:39:52
◼
►
might be to take away some of the community involvement
00:39:55
◼
►
and make it more dictatorial rather than democratic.
00:39:59
◼
►
But anyway, I digress.
00:40:00
◼
►
The point I'm driving at--
00:40:01
◼
►
- I don't think that's gonna go faster.
00:40:02
◼
►
You really think C# moved faster?
00:40:04
◼
►
Like did it have backwards incompatible syntax changes
00:40:08
◼
►
as rapidly as Swift did?
00:40:09
◼
►
Because I feel like that was unprecedented.
00:40:11
◼
►
- No, I mean, generally it was additive
00:40:14
◼
►
any time that C#, I mean, it wasn't always,
00:40:16
◼
►
but generally my recollection is it was always additive.
00:40:18
◼
►
And there were always humongous features
00:40:22
◼
►
in pretty much every version.
00:40:23
◼
►
Like I don't remember the exact history offhand,
00:40:25
◼
►
but 1.1 didn't have generics, then 2.0 had generics,
00:40:28
◼
►
that's when the language actually got usable.
00:40:31
◼
►
I forget what 3.0 brought, but then when you had link,
00:40:34
◼
►
and then you had async/await, and so there's been consistent.
00:40:36
◼
►
- But you're up to, by that,
00:40:38
◼
►
Swift is in the three to four stage now, right?
00:40:41
◼
►
- I'm talking in terms of equivalent calendar time though,
00:40:43
◼
►
Maybe I'm misremembering.
00:40:44
◼
►
Maybe I'm wrong.
00:40:45
◼
►
- Yeah, I think you have to check those calendar days
00:40:46
◼
►
'cause I think actually what has been moving pretty quickly
00:40:48
◼
►
and I think it took a long time for C#,
00:40:50
◼
►
check the timelines.
00:40:52
◼
►
I feel like C# moved at a similar rate
00:40:54
◼
►
but didn't break syntax as much
00:40:56
◼
►
and went for longer until it got,
00:40:59
◼
►
certainly before it got async await
00:41:01
◼
►
and maybe even before it got link.
00:41:04
◼
►
- Yeah, I don't remember off the top of my head
00:41:06
◼
►
when link came out, but it was,
00:41:09
◼
►
It has always been, to my eyes, moving quicker than Swift.
00:41:17
◼
►
So Link was released as a major part of .NET 3.5 in '07.
00:41:21
◼
►
So 2000, 2001-ish was .NET 1.1.
00:41:26
◼
►
Swift hasn't been out for six years.
00:41:28
◼
►
That's true.
00:41:29
◼
►
That's a fair point.
00:41:30
◼
►
It seems more compressed because it's in the past.
00:41:33
◼
►
And maybe ID is coming along better.
00:41:34
◼
►
But yeah, I think--
00:41:35
◼
►
Oh, it's the truth.
00:41:36
◼
►
So I expect, obviously, there to be new version of Xcode.
00:41:40
◼
►
And some of those things that you talked about
00:41:43
◼
►
feel like they should be coming around this time
00:41:45
◼
►
as Apple turns the giant ship that is its DevTools division
00:41:49
◼
►
slowly but surely over a multi-year period entirely
00:41:51
◼
►
towards Swift.
00:41:53
◼
►
Still no ABI compatibility.
00:41:55
◼
►
We're still waiting on that.
00:41:56
◼
►
But that's, as many people point out,
00:41:57
◼
►
every time we bring this up, is more of a concern for Apple
00:41:59
◼
►
than it is for developers, people
00:42:01
◼
►
say, who don't mind shipping slightly
00:42:02
◼
►
larger than normal applications, which I guess is everybody,
00:42:05
◼
►
the App Store. But things like refactoring and other features that
00:42:09
◼
►
like aren't available for Swift but have been available in some limited form for
00:42:14
◼
►
Objective-C or seem like they'll be reasonably easy to do given that the
00:42:20
◼
►
entire IDE is built on the same compiler platform as the language and so on and
00:42:23
◼
►
so forth that uh yeah I expect people to be happy with with the features they get
00:42:29
◼
►
there but honestly it seems to me from looking at those public mailing lists and
00:42:33
◼
►
everything, that there is still a pretty big emphasis on the basics, you know, compile
00:42:41
◼
►
quickly, correctly without crashing, you know, that type of stuff, that maybe they're still
00:42:47
◼
►
not quite in a position to start giving you all the frills that you want, and that's probably
00:42:50
◼
►
the best place for them to be concentrating.
00:42:52
◼
►
You know, they're getting more serious about source compatibility now, and every developer
00:42:56
◼
►
there wants their thing to compile in a sane amount of time, and they don't want the compiler
00:43:00
◼
►
to crash and they don't want there to be bugs.
00:43:03
◼
►
We're kind of think we're coming out of that phase for Swift slowly but surely and maybe
00:43:07
◼
►
they'll have some things to brag about.
00:43:08
◼
►
Like look, I don't know, they usually don't brag about how many times Xcode crashes, but
00:43:11
◼
►
they will brag about compile times.
00:43:12
◼
►
"Hey look, you enable whole module optimization and compile this big project and it was garbage
00:43:17
◼
►
in the past version, but the new WWDC beta version is like 10 times faster and everybody
00:43:22
◼
►
It's always a crowd pleaser, WWDC, compile times.
00:43:26
◼
►
But in terms of like iOS directly, shrug, I don't know.
00:43:31
◼
►
And like there's nothing I can think of that I can point to that really grinds my gears
00:43:37
◼
►
on a daily basis.
00:43:39
◼
►
And I think that's largely because I don't use the iPad very much at all.
00:43:44
◼
►
So do you think, so you know, if you're not an iPad user or we're setting aside the iPad
00:43:47
◼
►
where we think Apple needs to do stuff and they will do stuff, I think that if they're
00:43:53
◼
►
rethinking how applications deal with and share their data.
00:43:58
◼
►
Not the drag and drop business, because on a phone you still just got one app on the
00:44:01
◼
►
screen at the same time, probably.
00:44:02
◼
►
Although, who knows what the hell they'll do with the giant phone.
00:44:06
◼
►
But if they change how apps deal with data, that could surface itself on the phone.
00:44:12
◼
►
I'm trying to think if that would change something about how we use the phone, right?
00:44:18
◼
►
Because that wouldn't be a paradigm that only changes on the iPad.
00:44:21
◼
►
It would change everywhere across iOS.
00:44:23
◼
►
And if they have a good idea about how to do it,
00:44:25
◼
►
that would change the way we all use our phones
00:44:28
◼
►
in some small way.
00:44:28
◼
►
I imagine maybe even--
00:44:30
◼
►
god, I don't know.
00:44:31
◼
►
I was trying to think of what do we do with our phones?
00:44:33
◼
►
We deal with photos a lot, but we don't deal with them
00:44:35
◼
►
We deal with them as these abstract things.
00:44:37
◼
►
So yeah, I'm also struggling to think of any specific thing
00:44:42
◼
►
that they desperately need to do on the phone specifically
00:44:46
◼
►
But I'm sure there will be something.
00:44:48
◼
►
And obviously, you know, neat new small features,
00:44:51
◼
►
performance improvements, you know, bug fixes,
00:44:53
◼
►
all sorts of stuff like that,
00:44:55
◼
►
but we're not really counting those.
00:44:56
◼
►
But yeah, I feel like this will be,
00:44:58
◼
►
this will be a pro year for iOS
00:45:01
◼
►
if all the rumors are to be believed,
00:45:02
◼
►
and it should be, because that's where iOS
00:45:06
◼
►
needs the most attention.
00:45:08
◼
►
- Yeah, I mean, I would say that, you know,
00:45:10
◼
►
all the rumblings we've heard about the iPad
00:45:14
◼
►
productivity enhancements do sound very plausible.
00:45:17
◼
►
I think a lot of it could come to the phone.
00:45:19
◼
►
I mean, some of the stuff like side by side multitasking
00:45:22
◼
►
obviously won't be coming from the phone in all likelihood,
00:45:25
◼
►
but they could do drag and drop.
00:45:27
◼
►
What if they did some kind of thing,
00:45:29
◼
►
this is just totally random that I just thought of right now,
00:45:31
◼
►
but what if they did some kind of thing where
00:45:33
◼
►
if you force pressed on a selected piece of content, say,
00:45:38
◼
►
then you got something kind of like what Exposé on the Mac
00:45:41
◼
►
is where it kind of zooms out to a grid
00:45:46
◼
►
of the last couple of most recently used apps
00:45:48
◼
►
and you can drop it onto one of them
00:45:50
◼
►
and then that pops in and you can drop on
00:45:52
◼
►
onto a specific part of the app.
00:45:53
◼
►
There are ways to do it on the phone.
00:45:56
◼
►
I'm not saying they will do this
00:45:57
◼
►
or this may even be a terrible idea.
00:45:59
◼
►
I just thought of it now.
00:46:00
◼
►
So I haven't thought this through, so could be terrible.
00:46:03
◼
►
But they could totally do drag and drop
00:46:07
◼
►
and inter-app communication and data sharing
00:46:11
◼
►
without actually having side-by-side multitasking
00:46:14
◼
►
where the screen is too small, like on the iPhone.
00:46:17
◼
►
So I wouldn't rule that out,
00:46:19
◼
►
but I would just say in general,
00:46:21
◼
►
I'm very excited to see if the rumors
00:46:23
◼
►
are to be believed here,
00:46:24
◼
►
the elevation of iCloud Drive probably,
00:46:29
◼
►
into the desktop or the document's folder for iOS.
00:46:34
◼
►
And that is a really, I think since the dawn of iOS,
00:46:42
◼
►
there has been this constant fight within Apple,
00:46:47
◼
►
probably from what we've heard,
00:46:49
◼
►
spearheaded by Steve Jobs personally,
00:46:51
◼
►
and possibly even Forstall,
00:46:53
◼
►
and kind of that line of thought
00:46:54
◼
►
of trying to get rid of having to deal with files.
00:46:59
◼
►
They have worked so hard to get rid of files,
00:47:03
◼
►
because files are the old way of doing things,
00:47:05
◼
►
and people find them confusing them,
00:47:06
◼
►
whatever else, whatever else.
00:47:07
◼
►
Files have problems just like everything else.
00:47:10
◼
►
But I think what we've found over the years
00:47:12
◼
►
is that people understand files better than Apple
00:47:16
◼
►
gave them credit for, and that so much of work
00:47:20
◼
►
that people do on computing devices
00:47:23
◼
►
really comes down to dealing with files.
00:47:25
◼
►
And no matter what you try to do with the app model,
00:47:28
◼
►
with having these little containers that the apps work,
00:47:31
◼
►
that use their own data,
00:47:31
◼
►
that's kind of like file-less architecture,
00:47:34
◼
►
or that you kind of hide the files
00:47:38
◼
►
in these little dark places,
00:47:39
◼
►
like the document picker that we have now,
00:47:41
◼
►
and you kind of reluctantly deal with files
00:47:44
◼
►
as the system.
00:47:46
◼
►
I think what we found over these eight or whatever years
00:47:49
◼
►
that we've had the iPad, that we've had iOS, 10 years, wow.
00:47:53
◼
►
Geez, been a long time.
00:47:54
◼
►
No, 11, oh my God.
00:47:57
◼
►
Anyway, all these years that we've had iOS,
00:47:59
◼
►
I think what we found is that files are here to stay.
00:48:03
◼
►
That we can reduce the ways we deal with files,
00:48:07
◼
►
we can design apps that don't need to deal with files,
00:48:10
◼
►
and maybe that should even be the default way
00:48:12
◼
►
most apps are designed, depending on what they do,
00:48:15
◼
►
but that we can't get rid of files,
00:48:17
◼
►
that they're here to stay, that people use them,
00:48:20
◼
►
that they aren't necessarily even bad.
00:48:24
◼
►
For many types of work, that is less bad
00:48:28
◼
►
than the alternatives that we've been trying to shove
00:48:30
◼
►
down people's throats for the last decade.
00:48:32
◼
►
So maybe this is finally the time when Apple
00:48:35
◼
►
has finally embraced files on iOS,
00:48:38
◼
►
because everything they've done prior to this
00:48:40
◼
►
has really not been that.
00:48:41
◼
►
It's really been like reluctant, back alley stuff.
00:48:45
◼
►
Now, like, from what we, if what we've heard is at all true,
00:48:50
◼
►
it sounds like they have finally taken the step
00:48:53
◼
►
of making files easier to work with on iOS.
00:48:57
◼
►
- Yeah, that's definitely the rumor,
00:48:59
◼
►
but I feel like they already took a big step
00:49:02
◼
►
in that direction when they adopted a modified version
00:49:06
◼
►
of the Dropbox model with iCal drive.
00:49:08
◼
►
Like that was a big change.
00:49:09
◼
►
That was kind of, and not that I agree
00:49:11
◼
►
that it didn't solve the problem in the same way,
00:49:13
◼
►
but that was the turning point, I feel like,
00:49:14
◼
►
where you could see from the outside,
00:49:16
◼
►
you could see aha, inside the company,
00:49:19
◼
►
the argument that you just described,
00:49:20
◼
►
like the supposed jobs forced opposition
00:49:23
◼
►
totally against files that the tide had turned, right?
00:49:26
◼
►
Obviously they couldn't come out at that point and say,
00:49:28
◼
►
"Oh, we've revamped the entire way
00:49:30
◼
►
"we deal with files in iOS."
00:49:31
◼
►
Like it took a while.
00:49:32
◼
►
And a lot of these things, by the way,
00:49:33
◼
►
a lot of the iOS rumored things,
00:49:35
◼
►
A lot of them are like, "Oh, that was almost ready for iOS 10 and didn't quite make it."
00:49:40
◼
►
Like, they have been a long time coming.
00:49:41
◼
►
Some of them could have in theory almost made it to iOS 10, but they have just, you know,
00:49:45
◼
►
they've missed releases and so they've built up and so now it's all landing now.
00:49:48
◼
►
But iCloud Drive did come out.
00:49:49
◼
►
It came out to the Mac and iOS, and it did change away a lot of applications.
00:49:53
◼
►
You do things, and you mentioned like the Dropbox picker, which that was something unheard
00:49:56
◼
►
of in the early days of iOS.
00:49:58
◼
►
So this could be like the coming out party for a strategy that was embarked upon multiple
00:50:03
◼
►
years ago and now finally comes to fruition.
00:50:07
◼
►
And in terms of the files, every time I think about different ways of dealing with files
00:50:10
◼
►
that are not actual files or not actual file systems and stuff like that, I think a little
00:50:14
◼
►
bit about Google's take on this, which I know is different because all their stuff is in
00:50:19
◼
►
the cloud, but what's the difference between files and documents?
00:50:23
◼
►
Well, there's not really any difference.
00:50:25
◼
►
It's just alternate ways of viewing the same thing.
00:50:27
◼
►
But it's the way Google is pretty relentless about dealing with documents and documents
00:50:34
◼
►
that are organized into things that look like little folders, but at no point are there
00:50:37
◼
►
anything – is there any abstraction that is identifiable as a file, really?
00:50:41
◼
►
I mean, even when they give you like a list view, like – in my experience using Google
00:50:46
◼
►
Docs and Google Sheets and all that, Google Presentations and Google Drive at work with
00:50:51
◼
►
with a bunch of other people, seeing how other people
00:50:53
◼
►
both talk about and deal with documents, Google documents,
00:50:58
◼
►
is subtly different than how they talk about
00:51:02
◼
►
and deal with files, because we do have shared drives
00:51:05
◼
►
with files and everything.
00:51:06
◼
►
And I'm not sure one way is better than the other,
00:51:08
◼
►
but Google has made a pretty convincing case for me
00:51:12
◼
►
that dealing with things like documents,
00:51:16
◼
►
even with awkward, weird, shareable URLs,
00:51:19
◼
►
but the URLs that still work, even if you quote unquote
00:51:22
◼
►
move the documents to a different quote unquote folder,
00:51:24
◼
►
like it's weird, it's like this weird half measure
00:51:27
◼
►
that I don't think is appropriate for iOS.
00:51:28
◼
►
But it shows me that there is,
00:51:30
◼
►
that it is possible to have a middle path
00:51:33
◼
►
that people find at least as usable and in some aspects
00:51:37
◼
►
better than the old way of dealing with files.
00:51:39
◼
►
Obviously the multi-user collaboration helps tremendously
00:51:43
◼
►
to, I think it bounces off the awkwardness
00:51:46
◼
►
of like the people would, in the grand scheme of things,
00:51:48
◼
►
people probably would rather be dealing with files and folders, but because Google does
00:51:52
◼
►
so well with live multiple person editing and permissioning on documents, that makes
00:51:57
◼
►
a group of people like a company who are working on files together forgive a whole bunch of
00:52:00
◼
►
other things.
00:52:01
◼
►
Unfortunately, I don't feel like Apple can bring that.
00:52:05
◼
►
If history is shown, Apple cannot bring the seamless multi-user editing of all data types
00:52:12
◼
►
with constant synchronization in the cloud, a source of truth, and blah, blah, blah, blah,
00:52:15
◼
►
in the style that Google does.
00:52:16
◼
►
So they have to bring something else.
00:52:20
◼
►
And this is probably a bad time for me to be pondering the future of an iCloud Drive-style
00:52:27
◼
►
revolution for the entirety of iOS, bringing it more in line with—enhancing its capabilities
00:52:33
◼
►
by taking the shackles off and not confining to a very simple paradigm, because I just
00:52:37
◼
►
got done today reading a sad tweet thread from our friend CGP Grey about his battles
00:52:43
◼
►
with iCloud Drive and the amount of free spaces Mac thinks he has, and also Marco with his
00:52:48
◼
►
potentially exhausted file descriptors, which may or may not be attributable to this.
00:52:52
◼
►
All this is to say that, at least on the Mac, iCloud Drive is still in the doghouse as far
00:52:59
◼
►
as I'm concerned, and I kind of don't relish that paradigm expanding much more until reliability
00:53:07
◼
►
gets better.
00:53:08
◼
►
But on iOS, I have to confess I haven't had any of those problems on iOS, and in iOS everything
00:53:13
◼
►
is much more locked down and maybe it will be fine.
00:53:16
◼
►
But the thing you described, Marco,
00:53:18
◼
►
with the force press and the dragging onto things,
00:53:20
◼
►
if, like you were talking about dragging data, right?
00:53:26
◼
►
- But if there is any kind of file picker interface,
00:53:28
◼
►
some way to grab one of those documents or files
00:53:33
◼
►
or whatever and bring it somewhere seems like a necessity.
00:53:37
◼
►
And obviously that interface you described
00:53:39
◼
►
works even better on a big screen,
00:53:41
◼
►
because then you've got the second hand to swipe.
00:53:42
◼
►
Like that's the whole problem with like, once you've grabbed it, quote, unquote,
00:53:45
◼
►
grabbed it, what if the thing you want to drag it to isn't there because it does
00:53:49
◼
►
the grid of things like then you have to do like, it's, it's the springboard
00:53:53
◼
►
re-arranging problem.
00:53:53
◼
►
Like when you grab a thing to rearrange springboard and it's, and you want to
00:53:56
◼
►
rearrange it to a different screen, you got to drag it to the edge and hold it
00:53:59
◼
►
And it's generally, it's an operation that people find awkward and unsatisfying.
00:54:03
◼
►
Whereas if you can grab it on your iPad, but with your other hand, swipe around to
00:54:08
◼
►
find the thing you want to drag it on top of that works on a phone, it works less
00:54:12
◼
►
So I almost think that that interface you described, A, will almost certainly be a part
00:54:15
◼
►
of a bunch of demos, even if it's not files or data, but just like, there has to be some
00:54:20
◼
►
kind of grab a file and then zoom in or out to a different view and put it on something
00:54:26
◼
►
It can't just be side by side, at least I feel that way.
00:54:27
◼
►
There could even be some kind of little like shelf thing to kind of temporarily hold it
00:54:30
◼
►
while you use your other, while you use the same hand to pick the destination.
00:54:35
◼
►
But I almost think that interface is actually better suited to a bigger screen.
00:54:38
◼
►
It's not as though they won't do it on a smaller one.
00:54:40
◼
►
In fact, they have no choice but to do it on a smaller one, because like I said, you
00:54:42
◼
►
can't split it.
00:54:43
◼
►
And even a shelf on a smaller one, it's like, well, an iPhone 5 or iPhone SE, whatever the
00:54:48
◼
►
hell that thing is called, you're going to have room for a shelf to put?
00:54:51
◼
►
I don't know.
00:54:53
◼
►
But I'm kind of excited about, like I said, the coming out party of this file-based paradigm,
00:54:58
◼
►
because – and I think there's also no guarantee that it will be the solution everyone seeks.
00:55:03
◼
►
Obviously nerds will love it way better, but we'll see.
00:55:07
◼
►
Again, with my experience with Google products,
00:55:12
◼
►
nothing about them made people better
00:55:13
◼
►
about dealing with files.
00:55:16
◼
►
But it brought a bunch of features with it
00:55:19
◼
►
that everybody loves.
00:55:20
◼
►
And I guess the only improvement to the file paradigm
00:55:23
◼
►
it brought with it is sharing that people seem
00:55:26
◼
►
to be able to figure out, which is not true of sharing
00:55:28
◼
►
in a lot of other systems, and the fact
00:55:30
◼
►
that you can move things around and people's links to them
00:55:33
◼
►
don't break, which is convenient.
00:55:35
◼
►
I have kind of middle of the road hopes for iOS 11,
00:55:40
◼
►
but I expect it to be the true star of the keynote
00:55:43
◼
►
if there's no Siri tube.
00:55:45
◼
►
- I would also expect some degree of redesign.
00:55:49
◼
►
We've seen little rumblings here and there about this.
00:55:52
◼
►
I think if you look at the conditions
00:55:56
◼
►
that were right before iOS 7, so like the iOS 6 era,
00:56:01
◼
►
It was a time when the system stock UI widgets
00:56:06
◼
►
started looking more dated than usual,
00:56:09
◼
►
and there started, like, apps started coming out
00:56:13
◼
►
that people considered to be really good new design
00:56:15
◼
►
that was kind of fresh and different,
00:56:17
◼
►
that also was kind of converging on some similar principles.
00:56:20
◼
►
So back then it was like letterpress and Vesper,
00:56:24
◼
►
like these apps that were, back in the iOS 6 era,
00:56:27
◼
►
that were doing flat shapes, no big textures,
00:56:32
◼
►
mostly color and accent color based design,
00:56:36
◼
►
things that ended up being very close to what iOS 7 was.
00:56:40
◼
►
And then iOS 7 came out,
00:56:41
◼
►
it was kind of like the right time for it.
00:56:43
◼
►
Well I think now is the right time for a redesign,
00:56:46
◼
►
not on the scale of iOS 7's redesign,
00:56:49
◼
►
but maybe on the scale of when we went from iOS 5 to 6.
00:56:53
◼
►
'cause remember iOS 6 was kind of a half step in a redesign.
00:56:57
◼
►
Like it kind of, it got rid of a lot of the iOS 5
00:57:01
◼
►
extravagance of things like textures.
00:57:02
◼
►
Like certain things were flattened and toned down
00:57:04
◼
►
and sanded away and things like that.
00:57:07
◼
►
So I think we're gonna have that level of redesign here
00:57:10
◼
►
because we can see, even if you look around,
00:57:13
◼
►
even Apple's own apps, if you look at iOS 10,
00:57:16
◼
►
the iOS 10 music app and Maps especially I think
00:57:20
◼
►
has a different look than everything else
00:57:23
◼
►
And a couple days ago, they released the WBC 2017 app.
00:57:27
◼
►
- I was gonna say, isn't that the thing we always do,
00:57:29
◼
►
where we all look at the WBC app and we say,
00:57:30
◼
►
this is what the new iOS is gonna look like.
00:57:32
◼
►
And sometimes there's an element of truth to that,
00:57:35
◼
►
and other times, it's not.
00:57:37
◼
►
- Right, but there are, I think we can see common elements
00:57:42
◼
►
that are now considered good, fresh, new design
00:57:46
◼
►
that are kind of being agreed upon or converged upon
00:57:49
◼
►
that are very different from iOS 7.
00:57:51
◼
►
Some examples of this would be things like
00:57:54
◼
►
kind of layered sheets with rounded corners
00:57:57
◼
►
instead of navigation controllers and iOS 7
00:58:01
◼
►
that push big white sharp rectangles side to side.
00:58:04
◼
►
Now you have these like softer rounded sheets that slide up.
00:58:08
◼
►
You pull things with swipes
00:58:09
◼
►
and swipes are your primary navigation often
00:58:12
◼
►
for a lot of apps.
00:58:14
◼
►
You move controls, you scoot them kind of in
00:58:18
◼
►
away from the edges and corners so much
00:58:20
◼
►
'cause they're harder to reach on big phones.
00:58:22
◼
►
This is a lot of stuff I did with Overcast,
00:58:24
◼
►
and the reason I did it was 'cause I saw
00:58:25
◼
►
all this stuff happening, I saw this trend happening,
00:58:27
◼
►
I wanted to get ahead of it.
00:58:29
◼
►
You have buttons that look a little bit more like buttons.
00:58:32
◼
►
Like in the WWDC app is a great example,
00:58:34
◼
►
they're like, they're rounded rectangles
00:58:37
◼
►
that are, they're not textured, there's a solid fill.
00:58:40
◼
►
- Solid color instead of just an outline,
00:58:42
◼
►
because then I went with just the text,
00:58:45
◼
►
and then there was outlines around the text,
00:58:47
◼
►
and now we're slowly creeping back up
00:58:49
◼
►
onto the old style button where it is a solid
00:58:51
◼
►
rounded rectangle with text in the middle of it.
00:58:53
◼
►
- Exactly, yeah, now you just have a flat shaded filled,
00:58:57
◼
►
solid filled rectangle, or rounded rect,
00:58:59
◼
►
and it's with a bold color too.
00:59:01
◼
►
It isn't like a subtle thing, it isn't a gray,
00:59:04
◼
►
it's a bold color, and it seems like apps
00:59:07
◼
►
are now kind of permitted to use more than one color
00:59:11
◼
►
at a time, like the iOS 7 design was largely based upon
00:59:15
◼
►
using mostly white, some thin gray lines,
00:59:19
◼
►
and then you'd have one tint color,
00:59:22
◼
►
and that would be like your one accent color for your app.
00:59:25
◼
►
And you'd use that, so you basically had like
00:59:27
◼
►
single color design, grayscale plus one color.
00:59:31
◼
►
Now I think we're having multiple colors are now okay
00:59:35
◼
►
to have in apps again.
00:59:37
◼
►
And so, you know, again, if you look at like,
00:59:38
◼
►
look at Apple Music, look at the iOS 10 Maps app,
00:59:42
◼
►
and this new WBC 2017 app, and I think you see
00:59:45
◼
►
this clear convergence of a refresh design language
00:59:50
◼
►
that is not on the scale of iOS 7's redesign,
00:59:53
◼
►
but the same or more maybe as the iOS 6 redesign was.
00:59:58
◼
►
- I think you're gonna keep the,
01:00:01
◼
►
I mean I guess they have to probably in some way,
01:00:02
◼
►
the buttonless buttons, like even just for things
01:00:06
◼
►
that are in whatever you call the top bar
01:00:07
◼
►
where you hit done or you go to--
01:00:10
◼
►
- Yeah, the navigate, yeah that was a big question I had
01:00:12
◼
►
when writing this up, it was like,
01:00:13
◼
►
what do they do with navigation bar buttons?
01:00:15
◼
►
because in the iOS 6 days they would have outlines
01:00:18
◼
►
and textures and I don't think that would look good here,
01:00:22
◼
►
but I think that can be done well.
01:00:25
◼
►
Part of the answer, honestly, might just be that
01:00:28
◼
►
navigation bars are going out of style
01:00:30
◼
►
and that most apps are not using these kind of sheets
01:00:33
◼
►
and cards and things that are not as often
01:00:35
◼
►
using navigation bars or not putting buttons there.
01:00:38
◼
►
- Yeah, 'cause you can't reach that anymore.
01:00:40
◼
►
- But they're still gonna be in the OS.
01:00:41
◼
►
I think they're going to keep them in the OS,
01:00:44
◼
►
especially for legacy applications,
01:00:45
◼
►
they obviously have to keep supporting them.
01:00:47
◼
►
And I think they will continue to be unadorned
01:00:49
◼
►
because at this point, like the bar itself serves
01:00:52
◼
►
as a pretty good framing device.
01:00:55
◼
►
To be, the tint color plus the bar,
01:00:58
◼
►
this is one area where I think they were right,
01:00:59
◼
►
makes it pretty clear that by this point,
01:01:02
◼
►
if you have an iPhone for any period of time,
01:01:03
◼
►
that that done thing is a button and then you can hit it
01:01:06
◼
►
and you kind of have an idea of what it will do.
01:01:09
◼
►
One of the most awkward elements that was added recently,
01:01:11
◼
►
what was it, iOS 9, where they add the back arrow thing,
01:01:13
◼
►
they jam up into the upper left corner to get you back to the previous application.
01:01:17
◼
►
I would love for them to come up with a better solution for that.
01:01:19
◼
►
I don't have an idea for them, but it always strikes me as the most awkward, Johnny Ive
01:01:25
◼
►
painting inappropriately composed text jammed up into the corner.
01:01:30
◼
►
It's like the beginning of a kernel panic.
01:01:31
◼
►
Like it starts writing your screen with this tiny little thing.
01:01:34
◼
►
And I appreciate the functionality.
01:01:35
◼
►
Like I use it all the time.
01:01:37
◼
►
Although sometimes it fakes me out because sometimes I want to hit the thing that's in
01:01:40
◼
►
the navigation bar underneath that thing.
01:01:42
◼
►
not a fun operation to like carefully, you know, here's the thing I do, like, I go from
01:01:48
◼
►
my mail application and click a link and then I'm at the Safari, the navigation thing on
01:01:52
◼
►
the top says go back to mail, right? And then you're scrolling through the web page that
01:01:56
◼
►
opened in Safari and you navigate and you navigate and you realize, oh, I want to go
01:01:59
◼
►
back to the previous page in Safari. And yes, if you didn't have a case on your iPhone,
01:02:03
◼
►
you'll probably edge swipe, but I have difficulty with that because I do have a case. So what
01:02:06
◼
►
I want to do is hit the back button in Safari, which A, isn't visible right now because I've
01:02:11
◼
►
right? And B, when I find a way to make it visible, is nestled snugly under the
01:02:17
◼
►
back to mail link. So very frequently I go to hit the back button and instead I
01:02:21
◼
►
hit the two pixels away back to mail thing and instead of going back as far I
01:02:25
◼
►
go into an entirely different application and then I'm sad. So I would
01:02:29
◼
►
love for them to sort that out. Speaking of, there you go, there's something they
01:02:32
◼
►
could do for iOS on the phone, for small screens, sort out that mess up there
01:02:38
◼
►
somehow. And if the solution is, like you said, navigation bars, the advice is don't
01:02:45
◼
►
do that because people can't reach them anymore. And here are different paradigms, either just
01:02:49
◼
►
edge swipes or a lower navigation bar thing or those rounded rec sheets or whatever. I'm
01:02:56
◼
►
ready for that because I think that an iOS interface, best practices shift that better
01:03:05
◼
►
reflects the size of phone screens these days is a little bit overdue.
01:03:11
◼
►
The double tap to move things down, like it was nice that they put that there, but that's
01:03:16
◼
►
another, like that little back thing, that's another like, "Well, what can we do in the
01:03:20
◼
►
timeframe of this release to help people with large screens?"
01:03:22
◼
►
Well, they could tap on the thing and make the screen fall down.
01:03:25
◼
►
Yeah, all right.
01:03:28
◼
►
That I think is the more embarrassing hack compared to the status bar back button thing.
01:03:32
◼
►
- The reachability feature is so embarrassing.
01:03:35
◼
►
- Honestly, I think it probably has some utility,
01:03:40
◼
►
but I just never remembered that it exists.
01:03:42
◼
►
The only time I remember it exists
01:03:43
◼
►
is when I accidentally activate it,
01:03:45
◼
►
and then I go, you know, I could probably benefit
01:03:47
◼
►
from using that intentionally every once in a while,
01:03:48
◼
►
but then I never, never do.
01:03:50
◼
►
I don't think I've ever used it intentionally.
01:03:53
◼
►
- Eventually I just disabled it.
01:03:54
◼
►
There's an option in settings to disable it,
01:03:56
◼
►
because I would only ever accidentally invoke it,
01:03:58
◼
►
and it drove me nuts, so I just turned it off,
01:04:00
◼
►
and it's been fine.
01:04:02
◼
►
So anything else about iOS?
01:04:04
◼
►
- We just assume 11.
01:04:06
◼
►
They're just gonna keep going up with the numbers.
01:04:07
◼
►
- Yeah, yeah.
01:04:08
◼
►
- Somebody had an interesting theory.
01:04:10
◼
►
I wanna say it was either Mike or Jason
01:04:12
◼
►
that everything will go to 11 this year.
01:04:15
◼
►
So it'll be Mac OS 11, iOS 11.
01:04:18
◼
►
- Yeah, that was Jason.
01:04:20
◼
►
I highly recommend if you haven't heard
01:04:22
◼
►
by the end of this episode,
01:04:23
◼
►
this like probably four hour long episode,
01:04:25
◼
►
if you haven't heard enough W2C predictions,
01:04:28
◼
►
I highly recommend this week's episode of Upgrade.
01:04:31
◼
►
there's a lot of good stuff in there.
01:04:32
◼
►
- Yeah, very much so.
01:04:33
◼
►
They do a whole draft.
01:04:35
◼
►
It's very funny and it's very much worth listening to.
01:04:38
◼
►
I mean, the show is in general,
01:04:39
◼
►
but particularly the WWDC episodes are great.
01:04:41
◼
►
But anyway, yeah, going to 11.
01:04:44
◼
►
- I mean, they took the numbers.
01:04:45
◼
►
They took the Roman numeral off macOS
01:04:47
◼
►
and I don't see why they'd put the number back on
01:04:50
◼
►
at this point, you know what I mean?
01:04:52
◼
►
Like iOS 11, macOS has the place names.
01:04:55
◼
►
And I like the yearly flavor, the yearly flavor.
01:05:00
◼
►
Honestly, it would be cool if iOS had those too.
01:05:02
◼
►
I know they don't do it or whatever,
01:05:03
◼
►
but it's kind of like a legacy thing for macOS
01:05:07
◼
►
when it had the code names, then it had the cat names,
01:05:09
◼
►
and now it's got the place names
01:05:10
◼
►
and give macOS some fun stuff.
01:05:12
◼
►
It had to endure this terrible capitalization
01:05:15
◼
►
squished up name so it matches all their other
01:05:17
◼
►
stupid OS names.
01:05:19
◼
►
At the very least, continue to give it the place names
01:05:22
◼
►
'cause there's lots of fun things you can do with that.
01:05:25
◼
►
If they were to get rid of that
01:05:26
◼
►
and just go with macOS 11 and iOS 11,
01:05:28
◼
►
certainly fits with the human formity story.
01:05:29
◼
►
Like I said, they want everything to be all the same
01:05:32
◼
►
and look now we're synchronized,
01:05:33
◼
►
but then what the hell would the 11 mean?
01:05:34
◼
►
'Cause it's not the version number, I can tell you that.
01:05:36
◼
►
Like, do they just bump the version number to be 11?
01:05:39
◼
►
I think, I feel like they should have learned their lesson
01:05:41
◼
►
when they went to, you know, from 10.9 to 10.10
01:05:44
◼
►
and everyone's like version number, you know,
01:05:46
◼
►
everyone's incorrect version number checks
01:05:48
◼
►
in their applications got all freaked out
01:05:49
◼
►
to change the first digit from 10 to 11 in the version.
01:05:53
◼
►
I mean, I don't know, they didn't do it at once,
01:05:55
◼
►
I suppose they can do it,
01:05:56
◼
►
but it just seems like not a big marketing win
01:05:58
◼
►
because 11 is more boring than like Sacramento or whatever.
01:06:02
◼
►
- I think changing the first digit makes total sense.
01:06:05
◼
►
And as Jason said on the upgrade,
01:06:07
◼
►
if they're ever gonna do it,
01:06:09
◼
►
it makes total sense to do it now
01:06:10
◼
►
so it then matches the iOS version
01:06:13
◼
►
for future marketing purposes.
01:06:15
◼
►
And right now the first digit has been 10 for so long,
01:06:20
◼
►
it's basically meaningless.
01:06:23
◼
►
You can just ignore the first digit,
01:06:24
◼
►
it doesn't matter at all.
01:06:25
◼
►
Which kind of raises the question
01:06:26
◼
►
of why even bother keeping that for,
01:06:28
◼
►
It's like, what purpose is it serving,
01:06:31
◼
►
just being 10 point something forever?
01:06:33
◼
►
- It's making people's incorrect version number checks
01:06:35
◼
►
continue to function correctly.
01:06:37
◼
►
- That was a Windows thing.
01:06:38
◼
►
That's why they went from eight to 10.
01:06:39
◼
►
That's not a Mac thing.
01:06:41
◼
►
- No, on the Mac they had it when they went
01:06:42
◼
►
from 10.9 to 10.10, because a lot of things
01:06:45
◼
►
would interpret 10.10 as 10.1 and being less than 10.9,
01:06:47
◼
►
because yeah, I mean, it's not a big deal.
01:06:49
◼
►
Like, it's not gonna stop them from doing it,
01:06:51
◼
►
certainly, if they feel like it,
01:06:52
◼
►
especially for marketing reasons.
01:06:54
◼
►
But it's, you know, I think the bigger reason
01:06:57
◼
►
to not do it is because place names are more fun than numbers.
01:07:02
◼
►
And haven't we all been asking, like, Mac OS, stop trying to keep pace with iOS?
01:07:06
◼
►
Would it be more comfortable if you waited a little bit longer between releases and got
01:07:09
◼
►
things settled because that's your role?
01:07:11
◼
►
Your role is the more slow-moving one?
01:07:13
◼
►
But they're not doing that.
01:07:14
◼
►
They're already not doing that.
01:07:15
◼
►
They're already releasing them both once a year.
01:07:16
◼
►
I know, but if they make the numbers sync, then that's like saying we're signed up for,
01:07:21
◼
►
you know, an unlimited number more years where every year they have to be in lockstep.
01:07:26
◼
►
I don't like that.
01:07:29
◼
►
Well anyway, what else do you,
01:07:31
◼
►
besides naming things aside,
01:07:32
◼
►
I love that every year this discussion happens
01:07:35
◼
►
about like Mac OS naming, it's always heavily discussed.
01:07:39
◼
►
'Cause it is more interesting,
01:07:41
◼
►
and everyone has an opinion, myself included,
01:07:42
◼
►
like much more than we think we will.
01:07:45
◼
►
Anyway, so let's--
01:07:46
◼
►
- Yeah, we have to know what their new
01:07:47
◼
►
default desktop backgrounds will be.
01:07:49
◼
►
That's the most exciting part of Mac OS.
01:07:50
◼
►
It's like, and it's kind of,
01:07:52
◼
►
and you know, I speak as someone who wrote reviews
01:07:55
◼
►
for the Mac operating system for a long time.
01:07:58
◼
►
I enjoyed the visual theming and branding,
01:08:03
◼
►
and on the Mac, the default desktop picture
01:08:07
◼
►
is the biggest, boldest branding thing of the running OS.
01:08:12
◼
►
On iOS, the best they do with branding
01:08:16
◼
►
is the lock screens they show and the PR stuff,
01:08:20
◼
►
and maybe the selections of the springboard backgrounds,
01:08:23
◼
►
but they're always much more hidden.
01:08:25
◼
►
If you see a Mac desktop of it, like a newly booted Mac,
01:08:29
◼
►
even if it has a few windows open,
01:08:31
◼
►
the desktop background is so dominant,
01:08:33
◼
►
whereas the springboard background is much less dominant.
01:08:35
◼
►
So there's not much in iOS to massively brand the OS
01:08:40
◼
►
outside of the widgets themselves
01:08:42
◼
►
and the UI and stuff like that.
01:08:43
◼
►
So I do enjoy, like you're making a joke,
01:08:46
◼
►
like, oh, who cares what the default desktop background
01:08:49
◼
►
is in the Mac?
01:08:50
◼
►
That's a big part of the excitement
01:08:52
◼
►
of a new version of the Mac operating system for me.
01:08:54
◼
►
I don't know if I'm an anomaly,
01:08:55
◼
►
but like the big posters they put up
01:08:57
◼
►
with whatever the theme is or the big waves from Mavericks
01:08:59
◼
►
and the cool pictures of Yosemite.
01:09:02
◼
►
And I like that stuff.
01:09:04
◼
►
And in the absence of them,
01:09:06
◼
►
particularly changing the Mac UI,
01:09:08
◼
►
which doesn't seem like they're interested in these days,
01:09:11
◼
►
all we get is a cool name and a cool desktop picture.
01:09:14
◼
►
And sometimes that's enough to make an association
01:09:17
◼
►
of my mind that I will link those images
01:09:20
◼
►
and that branding and that sort of mood and theme
01:09:22
◼
►
with whatever features they add,
01:09:24
◼
►
whether they be, oh, this is the one that had Siri,
01:09:26
◼
►
or this is the one where they added Spotlight,
01:09:28
◼
►
or this is the one that had Time Machine,
01:09:29
◼
►
or this year, this is the one with the new Fosse system
01:09:31
◼
►
that they won't even mention in the keynote, so.
01:09:34
◼
►
- So that leads into my next point here on macOS,
01:09:38
◼
►
which is, you know, first of all,
01:09:40
◼
►
I think we all assume, based on how they did iOS's rollout
01:09:43
◼
►
and their promises last year,
01:09:45
◼
►
that APFS is most likely going to ship
01:09:48
◼
►
with whatever the next version of macOS is,
01:09:51
◼
►
and I would even say most likely even the default,
01:09:54
◼
►
and I would go a little bit further and say,
01:09:56
◼
►
what if it's the only option?
01:09:58
◼
►
What if you have to convert your boot drive?
01:10:01
◼
►
Other drives you can probably do whatever you want,
01:10:02
◼
►
but what if you have to convert your boot drive
01:10:05
◼
►
to APFS upon installation?
01:10:07
◼
►
- I think that won't be that big of a deal,
01:10:10
◼
►
because A, we know they can do it really, really well,
01:10:13
◼
►
so that, it's not like it's gonna trash people's data,
01:10:16
◼
►
And of all the things be like a boot drive,
01:10:18
◼
►
the only time that messes with you
01:10:20
◼
►
is if you frequently use target disk mode, right?
01:10:23
◼
►
Because every other way that that disk is read,
01:10:27
◼
►
you don't have to worry that it's not HFS+ anymore.
01:10:29
◼
►
Target disk mode, all of a sudden your other Macs
01:10:31
◼
►
can't read it anymore if they're not upgraded as well.
01:10:34
◼
►
But if you're sharing it, like it's SMB or whatever,
01:10:37
◼
►
like it's not, it doesn't matter what format it is.
01:10:39
◼
►
And so I think that's a reasonable thing to do.
01:10:42
◼
►
I'm just wondering like what would be the advantage, right?
01:10:44
◼
►
Oh, this operating system doesn't have to run HFS+.
01:10:48
◼
►
Maybe if there's some kind of headlining feature
01:10:50
◼
►
that demands APFS, like the newly rejiggered version
01:10:53
◼
►
of Time Machine that's like way more efficient and stuff,
01:10:56
◼
►
but they have an old version of Time Machine
01:10:58
◼
►
that works with HFS+, I don't know.
01:11:01
◼
►
Personally, I don't think there's gonna be
01:11:03
◼
►
the fancy new version of Time Machine
01:11:05
◼
►
that works with APFS yet anyway,
01:11:07
◼
►
so I think this is not the year for forcing,
01:11:09
◼
►
unless there's some other feature that I'm not thinking of,
01:11:11
◼
►
of forcing the boot volume to be APFS.
01:11:14
◼
►
I think they could do it, but I'm looking for a reason why they would want to do that.
01:11:22
◼
►
Maybe simplicity.
01:11:23
◼
►
Again, with all the Mac things, I just feel like, do they care enough about the Mac to
01:11:27
◼
►
be that aggressive with the advancement of the platform?
01:11:30
◼
►
Or were they just, this is one area where they will take a slower pace.
01:11:33
◼
►
This year, APFS rollout, a couple new features that are based on it.
01:11:36
◼
►
Next year, if we're lucky, the new version of Time Machine that takes advantage of all
01:11:40
◼
►
the cool stuff.
01:11:42
◼
►
I have a hard time gauging how much of a big deal
01:11:47
◼
►
Mac OS is gonna be this year.
01:11:48
◼
►
There's a whole bunch of things that the Mac could,
01:11:53
◼
►
if they're gonna be putting more effort into the Mac
01:11:55
◼
►
than they have been recently,
01:11:56
◼
►
there are areas that could be really cool.
01:12:00
◼
►
Things like a new time machine
01:12:01
◼
►
based on APFS snapshots and everything.
01:12:04
◼
►
And that's incredibly powerful.
01:12:06
◼
►
The things you can do by having a snapshot-based
01:12:08
◼
►
time machine, and there's two.
01:12:11
◼
►
you can do not only the external drive backup,
01:12:13
◼
►
but even just giving Snapshot support
01:12:16
◼
►
to the internal time machine,
01:12:18
◼
►
like the time machine on its own drive kind of thing,
01:12:20
◼
►
like kind of like mini time machine.
01:12:21
◼
►
- So they can get rid of the terrible local time machine hack
01:12:24
◼
►
that we all have running on our Mac laptops
01:12:26
◼
►
whether we know it or not,
01:12:27
◼
►
which is, in my experience, extremely unreliable
01:12:30
◼
►
and yet still there grinding away
01:12:31
◼
►
trying to do something useful for you
01:12:33
◼
►
and it's just like, oh, just please stop,
01:12:34
◼
►
and you can't turn it off, yes I know.
01:12:36
◼
►
- Exactly, there's all this cruft in Mac OS
01:12:40
◼
►
because of having to do these advanced features on HFS Plus,
01:12:44
◼
►
that if they just make APFS the only option
01:12:47
◼
►
that just your boot drive automatically gets converted
01:12:49
◼
►
when you install the next Mac OS,
01:12:53
◼
►
which is exactly what they did with iOS,
01:12:55
◼
►
then they could stop supporting
01:12:58
◼
►
a whole lot of that legacy stuff.
01:13:00
◼
►
It would be much better for their efforts
01:13:03
◼
►
to bring the APFS features forward
01:13:05
◼
►
if they knew the OS was only running on APFS.
01:13:08
◼
►
So I think it's plausible.
01:13:10
◼
►
But they still have to support all HFS+ anyway,
01:13:12
◼
►
because you can time machine back up external volumes
01:13:15
◼
►
and they're going to be HFS+ and so on and so forth.
01:13:17
◼
►
So it's not like they can get rid of all the legacy
01:13:19
◼
►
cruft code anytime soon.
01:13:20
◼
►
That's why I'm thinking of, well,
01:13:22
◼
►
what if there's a feature that they just--
01:13:23
◼
►
like they wouldn't want to have a feature that says,
01:13:25
◼
►
oh, let's demo this awesome new feature,
01:13:26
◼
►
say it's the new time machine.
01:13:28
◼
►
And also have to say, oh, and you can only
01:13:30
◼
►
use this feature if you convert your boot volume.
01:13:32
◼
►
That's the case where they would say,
01:13:34
◼
►
A, they probably wouldn't even mention it,
01:13:35
◼
►
but B, it would convert your boot volume no matter what.
01:13:38
◼
►
But even in that case, they still have to support the old crap way of Time Machine,
01:13:42
◼
►
because people, I have external drives that I backup through Time Machine, and they're
01:13:45
◼
►
HFS+ and asking people to, you know, not asking, but forcibly upgrading their boot drive as
01:13:51
◼
►
part of the upgrade process like they did in iOS, you could swing that.
01:13:55
◼
►
Telling them, "Oh, and by the way, you also have to convert all your external drives,"
01:13:58
◼
►
not gonna happen.
01:13:59
◼
►
- Yeah, maybe.
01:14:00
◼
►
I'm still optimistic that they might require it on the boot drive, though.
01:14:05
◼
►
- That's a question for me for PredictionWise.
01:14:07
◼
►
- Do you think the letters APFS in that order,
01:14:10
◼
►
all capitals will appear on any slide
01:14:12
◼
►
or be spoken by any presenter?
01:14:13
◼
►
I guess it'll be spoken in passing maybe.
01:14:16
◼
►
- But will it appear on a slide?
01:14:17
◼
►
- Yes, absolutely.
01:14:18
◼
►
Worst case scenario, it'll appear on the word cloud slide.
01:14:21
◼
►
- Yeah, it is.
01:14:22
◼
►
I mean, obviously in the state of the union and stuff
01:14:23
◼
►
would be, I'm trying to think of the keynote.
01:14:24
◼
►
Does it make, 'cause it didn't make the keynote last year
01:14:27
◼
►
and that's when it was introduced.
01:14:28
◼
►
Remember, we found out about it when we left the building
01:14:30
◼
►
and it was like, oh, and by the way, APFS.
01:14:32
◼
►
- I remember that moment very specifically, yes.
01:14:34
◼
►
- I remember it too.
01:14:35
◼
►
But the fact that it didn't make the keynote, not good enough for the keynote, sorry, replacing
01:14:42
◼
►
a 15-year-old, 19-year-old, depending on how you trace it back to HFS file system, not important.
01:14:50
◼
►
It made the State of the Union, and it totally will this time too, and there'll be sessions
01:14:53
◼
►
about it, and I'll be all happy and everything.
01:14:55
◼
►
But I really, that's, speaking of hopes and dreams, give me this one.
01:14:59
◼
►
- We'll talk about APFS, at least in passing,
01:15:03
◼
►
during the Mac section of the VRC keynote.
01:15:05
◼
►
You hear that, Craig?
01:15:06
◼
►
Make it happen.
01:15:07
◼
►
- Do you, so here's a long shot.
01:15:10
◼
►
There was a thing that I think ATP Tipster told us
01:15:14
◼
►
forever ago that was like being considered,
01:15:16
◼
►
and I haven't heard a thing about it since,
01:15:18
◼
►
so it probably isn't happening.
01:15:19
◼
►
Long shot though, do you think they would offer
01:15:22
◼
►
iCloud Time Machine as an online backup?
01:15:26
◼
►
And so one reason I think they might,
01:15:29
◼
►
besides the fact that they now would have
01:15:31
◼
►
the technical infrastructure with APFS
01:15:34
◼
►
to reasonably do it, I think one of the themes
01:15:39
◼
►
that I expect to see here is Apple pushing people
01:15:42
◼
►
even harder into subscribing to iCloud data plans,
01:15:47
◼
►
and into buying more iCloud storage space,
01:15:50
◼
►
giving more and more compelling reasons
01:15:52
◼
►
for people to start paying Apple three, five,
01:15:55
◼
►
or $20 a month for this iCloud storage space because there's going to be more and more
01:15:59
◼
►
features that can use it. iCloud Time Machine would use a ton of it. So what if they did
01:16:06
◼
►
Well, they're totally going to do that. It's just a question of whether it's this year
01:16:08
◼
►
or not. And speaking of Apple services, I think, I mean, we still always complain about
01:16:12
◼
►
their pricing and how they're sometimes competitive, sometimes not, depending on the year, depending
01:16:17
◼
►
on the thing you're looking at, depending on how you're measuring it. But I've always
01:16:20
◼
►
felt like the Apple way to do things, and we mentioned this many times in the context
01:16:22
◼
►
of iOS, and now I think of it again in the context of iCloud Time Machine, is not to
01:16:28
◼
►
buy an amount of space, because that's a techie nerd thing and people don't like to think
01:16:32
◼
►
about that, especially because it's like more price, you know, higher price for more, but
01:16:36
◼
►
to sell a backup my Mac plan, right?
01:16:41
◼
►
Like I mean, you know, like backblaze or any of these other things too.
01:16:43
◼
►
Like you don't buy based on space, you buy based on I want to backup this Mac.
01:16:48
◼
►
Like you buy like a membership in a club,
01:16:50
◼
►
and then you break the association between,
01:16:53
◼
►
like Apple loves to do,
01:16:54
◼
►
break the association between the dollar amount and a spec.
01:16:58
◼
►
The dollar amount and storage space.
01:17:00
◼
►
And now it's the dollar amount and a result.
01:17:03
◼
►
And the result is your Mac is part
01:17:05
◼
►
of the iCloud backup club.
01:17:06
◼
►
And just like your phone is backed up to the cloud,
01:17:08
◼
►
your Mac is backed up.
01:17:09
◼
►
Obviously the phone has the same problem
01:17:11
◼
►
that you buy storage space and people run out of it
01:17:12
◼
►
and they freak out.
01:17:13
◼
►
And we've talked about this a million times.
01:17:14
◼
►
If Apple's gonna charge more than everybody else,
01:17:16
◼
►
way to hide that extra cost is to, I mean, essentially like go unlimited, but not really.
01:17:22
◼
►
Like to make it, to make it that you're buying the result and obviously how much storage
01:17:27
◼
►
space you would use would be based on the size of your, your, your boot drive or your
01:17:32
◼
►
device or they're like, obviously there would be a limit and you know what I mean? But like
01:17:36
◼
►
to frame it in that way, or maybe it doesn't have to be a way, honestly, if backblaze can
01:17:39
◼
►
do it, why the hell can't Apple, right?
01:17:41
◼
►
- Can't is very different than won't.
01:17:44
◼
►
- Yeah, anyway, iCloud Time Machine has to come.
01:17:48
◼
►
I don't know if local Time Machine is even coming this year,
01:17:53
◼
►
let alone Cloud Time Machine.
01:17:54
◼
►
I think that is entirely a matter of,
01:17:58
◼
►
because they could have done that years ago,
01:17:59
◼
►
like they could have done it badly,
01:18:00
◼
►
but like, you know, they did it on the phones with HFS Plus,
01:18:03
◼
►
and obviously on the phones it's easier
01:18:04
◼
►
because you know exactly what you need to back up
01:18:06
◼
►
and you can discard lots of stuff
01:18:06
◼
►
because you can get it from the store
01:18:08
◼
►
and yada, yada, yada.
01:18:10
◼
►
But Apple loves services, and you're right,
01:18:11
◼
►
this is a way to charge more for services,
01:18:13
◼
►
and they have the technical underpinnings
01:18:15
◼
►
to do a much better job of this.
01:18:17
◼
►
So it's only a matter of time and a matter of, you know,
01:18:19
◼
►
how much attention is the Mac getting?
01:18:21
◼
►
- Yeah, I really do think that what Apple wants,
01:18:24
◼
►
and what, you know, they're pushing
01:18:26
◼
►
for more and more services revenue, obviously.
01:18:29
◼
►
It's the, it's an area of growth that they can use
01:18:32
◼
►
that is probably easier to achieve
01:18:34
◼
►
than some of the other areas of growth to maintain,
01:18:37
◼
►
just the different scales and everything.
01:18:39
◼
►
So they're gonna be pushing this heavily,
01:18:40
◼
►
as they have been the last couple years.
01:18:42
◼
►
I expect in general, I expect there to be things like
01:18:45
◼
►
very, very heavy pushes towards subscribing to Apple Music.
01:18:48
◼
►
That's gonna be a big one.
01:18:49
◼
►
And I think iCloud Drive, or just iCloud Storage,
01:18:53
◼
►
is going to be one of those things too.
01:18:55
◼
►
Basically, my theory is that
01:18:57
◼
►
within probably the next few years,
01:18:59
◼
►
Apple wants to try to make it so that
01:19:02
◼
►
using an iPhone or Mac or any Apple device
01:19:06
◼
►
without having a decent amount of iCloud storage space
01:19:09
◼
►
that you're paying for every month,
01:19:11
◼
►
should feel like using it without an Apple ID.
01:19:14
◼
►
Like there should be like all this stuff
01:19:15
◼
►
that you're missing out on by not paying Apple
01:19:18
◼
►
five or 10 bucks a month for this additional storage.
01:19:21
◼
►
That's where I think they wanna push this,
01:19:22
◼
►
and I think they will.
01:19:24
◼
►
And it's not like purely cynical,
01:19:25
◼
►
there's lots of great things they can offer
01:19:27
◼
►
once you do that.
01:19:29
◼
►
But I do think there's certainly a big motivation there
01:19:32
◼
►
to increase that services revenue,
01:19:34
◼
►
and that's gonna be one of the ways they do it,
01:19:36
◼
►
that happens to correspond to things
01:19:37
◼
►
that are also nice for users.
01:19:39
◼
►
- My stretch hope and dream for macOS
01:19:42
◼
►
before we leave this topic is,
01:19:44
◼
►
I laugh thinking about this,
01:19:46
◼
►
but an announcement of vastly improved 3D API support,
01:19:51
◼
►
whether that be OpenGL, Vulkan, or whatever,
01:19:53
◼
►
like an inexplicable announcement
01:19:55
◼
►
because they wouldn't have any hardware associated with it.
01:19:57
◼
►
It'd be like, why?
01:19:58
◼
►
All right, that's great,
01:19:59
◼
►
but like, no one games on a Mac
01:20:01
◼
►
and all your GPUs are really weak.
01:20:02
◼
►
Why are you touting your improved OpenGL support,
01:20:06
◼
►
like that you're caught up with the spec and that you're like--
01:20:09
◼
►
and we would know the answer is like,
01:20:10
◼
►
there's another shoe that's going to drop,
01:20:12
◼
►
but it's called the Mac Pro that they're going to make someday,
01:20:13
◼
►
and maybe it'll have awesome GPUs, right?
01:20:16
◼
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No, not DirectX for Mac OS.
01:20:18
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Blammer in the chat.
01:20:20
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I would be excited by that, because it's an area where
01:20:23
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they are super behind, and they've been paying attention
01:20:25
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to Metal, and you know, like--
01:20:29
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I don't know.
01:20:30
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►
I don't predict it.
01:20:31
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but I would be super excited about that.
01:20:34
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- So I have a couple of stretch goals.
01:20:37
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I mean, first of all, we should,
01:20:38
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before we leave the more plausible section,
01:20:40
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we should also cover that I think the rumored
01:20:45
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iPad Pro drawing tablet mode is realistic
01:20:49
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and plausible for this year's release.
01:20:51
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- Oh, you're lumping that in with Mac OS
01:20:53
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instead of the iPad, I suppose.
01:20:54
◼
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- Yeah, it's really a Mac OS feature.
01:20:56
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The idea behind this feature, as rumored,
01:20:58
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is that an iPad Pro with a pencil could be attached
01:21:03
◼
►
in some, I don't know if it's only gonna be working
01:21:05
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►
over a wire or whether they can do it wirelessly,
01:21:08
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but can-- - They'll be able
01:21:09
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to do it wirelessly. - Hopefully.
01:21:11
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But basically, they can enter a mode where a Mac app
01:21:14
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can use the iPad and its pencil
01:21:17
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as a stylus surface of some kind.
01:21:20
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And we don't really know anything more than that,
01:21:21
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or whether this is even in for this year or not.
01:21:24
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►
But I think the way they would probably do this,
01:21:27
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if they're going to do this, would not just be
01:21:30
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that it would be like a second screen
01:21:33
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that you could just move windows onto, no.
01:21:35
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I think it would be more like the way they did the touch bar
01:21:38
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which is it would be a separate type of output display,
01:21:43
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slash input display, that apps would have to specifically
01:21:46
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write support for so that they would specifically say
01:21:49
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what would be shown on it and specifically receive
01:21:52
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the events from the pencil from it.
01:21:54
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So it would, if they do it that way,
01:21:57
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I think it's a much nicer feature.
01:21:58
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►
I think it's better.
01:21:59
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►
And it would have slower adoption
01:22:01
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if you have to wait for all the apps
01:22:02
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that could benefit from this to integrate
01:22:05
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►
this potential new API, just like the touch bar.
01:22:09
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►
But I think if that works out,
01:22:12
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►
that could be a way better way to do it,
01:22:14
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►
and that's probably the way
01:22:15
◼
►
that they would do such a feature.
01:22:17
◼
►
- Yeah, like everyone's talking about it
01:22:18
◼
►
as the single phrase for this feature is,
01:22:22
◼
►
oh, you can use your iPad as a Cintiq,
01:22:23
◼
►
but a Cintiq behaves as essentially a monitor
01:22:26
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►
that you can draw in.
01:22:27
◼
►
Like it appears as a second monitor,
01:22:28
◼
►
you can arrange it with the other monitor.
01:22:30
◼
►
The full UI of your Mac can be there.
01:22:32
◼
►
You can drag the little menu bar down to it
01:22:33
◼
►
so that it is actually your primary display.
01:22:35
◼
►
But that's not how you just described
01:22:40
◼
►
this feature working on the iPad.
01:22:41
◼
►
That it wouldn't just be,
01:22:42
◼
►
'cause there are apps now you can get for your iPad
01:22:43
◼
►
that do this.
01:22:44
◼
►
Like, oh, your iPad is a second screen from your Mac
01:22:46
◼
►
and now you can draw in your drawing app with the stylus
01:22:49
◼
►
because of course it's a second screen and you have input.
01:22:51
◼
►
This seems like a more,
01:22:53
◼
►
the rumors are a lot of a more targeted interface.
01:22:56
◼
►
like you said, like the touch bar,
01:22:57
◼
►
that is specifically addressable by the applications.
01:22:59
◼
►
It is not just like, hey, every application gets this free
01:23:01
◼
►
'cause it's just a second small screen,
01:23:02
◼
►
which they could also do as a mode or whatever,
01:23:05
◼
►
but to really, to leverage their,
01:23:09
◼
►
the capabilities of the high refresh rate
01:23:12
◼
►
and the stylus input and all that other stuff,
01:23:14
◼
►
it seems to me that it has,
01:23:16
◼
►
is it a better solution to have apps support it
01:23:20
◼
►
specifically in the same way they support the touch bar,
01:23:22
◼
►
to be able to draw a UI over there
01:23:24
◼
►
and to be able to have the iPad handle a lot of the drawing,
01:23:29
◼
►
you know, the local drawing to make it as responsive
01:23:33
◼
►
as we know the pencil can be in the good applications,
01:23:36
◼
►
having that collaborate with the Mac app.
01:23:38
◼
►
And it could be good and it will make people's iPads,
01:23:41
◼
►
you know, more powerful and capable,
01:23:43
◼
►
but not that I'm gonna say this reminds me of the old world,
01:23:47
◼
►
but I think of that arrangement and it seems cool
01:23:50
◼
►
and useful and a great way to leverage Apple's existing
01:23:52
◼
►
hardware with a clever software solution,
01:23:54
◼
►
but then I think of the Microsoft Surface Studio
01:23:56
◼
►
sitting over there, kinda glaring at me,
01:23:58
◼
►
gone, you know, tapping its fingers,
01:24:00
◼
►
going, you know, hello, guys,
01:24:03
◼
►
I don't know what you're doing over there
01:24:04
◼
►
with your multiple devices and your steampunk windows,
01:24:07
◼
►
but here I am, a giant screen,
01:24:10
◼
►
touch me, draw on me, and put me up, no, anyway, yeah.
01:24:15
◼
►
- I don't understand why this is something that people want.
01:24:18
◼
►
Like, I mean, for like artists and stuff, I guess,
01:24:21
◼
►
But why would a regular Shmo want their iPad Pro
01:24:24
◼
►
as like a Wacom tablet for their computer?
01:24:27
◼
►
- Yeah, as far as, I mean, in this way we're describing it,
01:24:32
◼
►
yes, totally for artists,
01:24:33
◼
►
because Cintiqs are super expensive and I have one,
01:24:37
◼
►
they're not that great, like they're okay.
01:24:40
◼
►
If you already have an iPad with a stylus
01:24:43
◼
►
and you like drawing on it,
01:24:45
◼
►
but you also like Adobe Illustrator,
01:24:47
◼
►
the full version of which does not,
01:24:48
◼
►
or Photoshop or whatever,
01:24:49
◼
►
doesn't ship for iOS, just these cut down versions.
01:24:52
◼
►
This is an interesting solution to the pro app problem.
01:24:56
◼
►
To get more people to buy iPads to use with their Macs
01:24:58
◼
►
that they might buy anyway,
01:24:59
◼
►
but this pushes them over the edge.
01:25:01
◼
►
Because if it doesn't work as a second monitor,
01:25:03
◼
►
like a Cintiq, I don't see people buying it
01:25:06
◼
►
as a way to use your Mac through a stylus.
01:25:08
◼
►
And again, there are iOS apps you can buy today
01:25:11
◼
►
to remotely use your Mac,
01:25:12
◼
►
to use your iPad as a second screen,
01:25:14
◼
►
to use your iPad as a Cintiq-like device for your Mac.
01:25:19
◼
►
presumably when Apple invoents it, they will do it a better job because they have, you know, low-level access to all that good stuff.
01:25:25
◼
►
And so that's what people are waiting for. And it is narrow, but like, in terms of, you know, the potential/promised focus on pros,
01:25:35
◼
►
both with iOS 11 and making iOS more capable on the big iPads and the Mac Pro,
01:25:40
◼
►
this seems like a move that is aimed towards creative pros and app developers who think they can make a cool application with this capability
01:25:48
◼
►
and think they can sell it for a fair price
01:25:50
◼
►
in the app store.
01:25:51
◼
►
- Just seems to me like it would be a lot of investment
01:25:54
◼
►
for not a lot of return.
01:25:56
◼
►
I don't know, maybe I'm missing the boat.
01:25:57
◼
►
- It's not that much investment though, like I said.
01:25:59
◼
►
I feel like they're almost there with the,
01:26:01
◼
►
third parties can do it, the plumbing must be there,
01:26:04
◼
►
Apple's just gonna do the better lower latency job of it
01:26:07
◼
►
and have an opinion about how it should be done
01:26:11
◼
►
in terms of APIs and stuff like that.
01:26:12
◼
►
- I think it could be really cool too.
01:26:13
◼
►
I mean, if you think about,
01:26:15
◼
►
obviously there's lots of artistic uses for this
01:26:17
◼
►
and I wouldn't use any of those.
01:26:20
◼
►
- Oh, you wanna use that audio, I see it coming.
01:26:23
◼
►
- Well, obviously I would consider, I would try that,
01:26:25
◼
►
but I think there's a lot of areas of common tasks
01:26:29
◼
►
that people do that could benefit from
01:26:33
◼
►
being able to quickly alternate between pen input,
01:26:37
◼
►
especially really good pen input like this,
01:26:39
◼
►
like the iPad Pro, really good pen input,
01:26:41
◼
►
and also a keyboard and mouse,
01:26:43
◼
►
and to be able to kinda alternate between
01:26:47
◼
►
having that incredibly awesome pen thing
01:26:50
◼
►
that only has been available directly in iOS so far,
01:26:53
◼
►
but also integrated with Mac workflows.
01:26:56
◼
►
That could apply to lots of things.
01:26:58
◼
►
That could be as simple as like,
01:27:00
◼
►
if I'm working in Apple Notes, which I really like Notes.
01:27:03
◼
►
I've been using it more and more,
01:27:05
◼
►
and I did have one problem a couple months ago
01:27:08
◼
►
where like one device just wouldn't sync,
01:27:10
◼
►
and it just was stuck for a long time,
01:27:13
◼
►
and I tried a bunch of crap,
01:27:13
◼
►
and eventually it started syncing again,
01:27:15
◼
►
And I've heard a few other people
01:27:16
◼
►
who've had similar problems.
01:27:18
◼
►
So that's a little concerning.
01:27:19
◼
►
I hope Apple works it out. - Corrupt note
01:27:21
◼
►
that you must hunt down and expunge.
01:27:22
◼
►
- Right, exactly, yes, who knows.
01:27:24
◼
►
But one of the things Notes has is you can integrate
01:27:27
◼
►
doodles and drawings with the pencil and everything.
01:27:30
◼
►
And so right now if I want a note to contain a drawing,
01:27:34
◼
►
I have to go over to my iPad and add it there.
01:27:37
◼
►
But if I'm working on my Mac,
01:27:39
◼
►
that's kind of not convenient.
01:27:41
◼
►
But if I was working in,
01:27:44
◼
►
If I had this and my iPad was on my desk,
01:27:47
◼
►
I could just reach over, doodle something,
01:27:49
◼
►
and then just put my hands right back on the Mac keyboard
01:27:52
◼
►
and go right back to work on the Mac,
01:27:53
◼
►
not have to wait for a sync to happen
01:27:54
◼
►
but up and down to the cloud and everything else.
01:27:56
◼
►
I'd be working in the document right here.
01:27:58
◼
►
Stuff like that.
01:27:59
◼
►
I think there's a lot of potential workflows,
01:28:02
◼
►
whether it's basic things like doodling
01:28:04
◼
►
or annotation, marking up documents.
01:28:06
◼
►
There's so many different things
01:28:08
◼
►
that aren't just freehand drawing in Photoshop
01:28:11
◼
►
where this could be really helpful.
01:28:13
◼
►
Not to mention the freehand drawing in Photoshop,
01:28:16
◼
►
or even things like if you're drawing something
01:28:18
◼
►
in Illustrator, in a vector program,
01:28:20
◼
►
where you're doing less freehand stuff,
01:28:22
◼
►
and more kind of like drawing with math and parameters,
01:28:25
◼
►
but you do wanna add a freehand element to something.
01:28:28
◼
►
It's easy to just add that,
01:28:29
◼
►
and then go back to your keyboard and mouse
01:28:31
◼
►
for all the precise stuff.
01:28:32
◼
►
And this all might not happen,
01:28:36
◼
►
'cause this all depends on lots of good, high-quality,
01:28:39
◼
►
third-party integration happening,
01:28:41
◼
►
and that's always a crap sheet.
01:28:42
◼
►
You never know what developers will take advantage of
01:28:45
◼
►
and how soon and how well.
01:28:47
◼
►
But there's a lot of potential for this kind of feature.
01:28:50
◼
►
So if it isn't a massive deal for Apple to add this,
01:28:53
◼
►
if it's not like a huge three year undertaking
01:28:56
◼
►
where they can do nothing else,
01:28:57
◼
►
this would be nice to have, yes.
01:28:58
◼
►
And it's something that, you know,
01:29:01
◼
►
I think features that can really change
01:29:05
◼
►
the way people work on the Mac
01:29:07
◼
►
are hard to come by these days.
01:29:09
◼
►
So I think when they come by them,
01:29:10
◼
►
there's actually a decent chance,
01:29:13
◼
►
as long as there's not massive downsides,
01:29:15
◼
►
they actually might consider doing them.
01:29:16
◼
►
So this I consider plausible,
01:29:19
◼
►
and if they actually do it,
01:29:21
◼
►
I think it could be really cool.
01:29:23
◼
►
- They haven't had a good Adobe Mac app demo
01:29:26
◼
►
at a keynote in a really long time.
01:29:28
◼
►
That's the old world.
01:29:29
◼
►
Wouldn't it be nice to come back to the old days
01:29:31
◼
►
and have a Photoshop demo on a Mac,
01:29:34
◼
►
granted with an iOS device, fine.
01:29:35
◼
►
- Yeah. (laughs)
01:29:37
◼
►
Win some, you lose some.
01:29:39
◼
►
I should run some filters and time them.
01:29:41
◼
►
- Now I do have two stretch goals.
01:29:43
◼
►
You had one for the Mac, I have two.
01:29:45
◼
►
Because it goes back to my earlier question of like,
01:29:48
◼
►
I don't know how much effort they put
01:29:50
◼
►
into the Mac this year.
01:29:51
◼
►
Like if they put in a good amount,
01:29:53
◼
►
these are actually kind of plausible.
01:29:55
◼
►
But that's, you know, with the Mac you never really know
01:29:58
◼
►
whether it's gonna be a, not even a big year,
01:30:01
◼
►
a medium size year or a small year, let's be honest.
01:30:03
◼
►
And so I think my number one stretch goal
01:30:07
◼
►
is the beginning of the iTunes replacement.
01:30:11
◼
►
Now I'm not sure it would be complete.
01:30:13
◼
►
- Oh, you're getting greedy.
01:30:14
◼
►
- I know. - Getting greedy.
01:30:15
◼
►
- I'm not sure it would be complete in one pass.
01:30:17
◼
►
It would probably not be.
01:30:19
◼
►
But I'm thinking we would probably start seeing apps
01:30:24
◼
►
with new names that maybe the idea that the iTunes--
01:30:29
◼
►
- Yeah, that the iTunes app would still exist.
01:30:32
◼
►
But it would be in utilities or buried somewhere.
01:30:34
◼
►
And then, so like if you plugged in an iPod, okay,
01:30:37
◼
►
here's your ancient app for your ancient device that--
01:30:40
◼
►
- It would be the iPod app, a second app called iPhone.
01:30:44
◼
►
It's gonna be the worst.
01:30:45
◼
►
- Yeah, but I think it's plausible this year,
01:30:48
◼
►
I wouldn't say likely, but plausible
01:30:51
◼
►
that we have an Apple Music app on the Mac.
01:30:55
◼
►
And what that is is up in the air.
01:30:57
◼
►
That could be, it could literally be,
01:31:00
◼
►
like as the first version, it could be a fork
01:31:03
◼
►
and rename of iTunes with just the music stuff enabled
01:31:06
◼
►
and everything else stripped out.
01:31:07
◼
►
- And then mask everything else, all the code is still there
01:31:09
◼
►
the preference dialogue is still modal
01:31:10
◼
►
but the app is now called music.
01:31:12
◼
►
- It's an if def at the top.
01:31:13
◼
►
So it could be as simple as that
01:31:17
◼
►
or it could be a total from scratch app
01:31:20
◼
►
that only does Apple Music.
01:31:22
◼
►
So it would only have the Apple Music streaming service.
01:31:25
◼
►
It would not have local library playback
01:31:27
◼
►
or even the iTunes store
01:31:29
◼
►
'cause that's not Apple Music, that's different.
01:31:31
◼
►
- And it would be a port of the iOS Apple Music app
01:31:33
◼
►
Don't forget that, it would use UXKit for everything, right?
01:31:35
◼
►
It's like photo is all over again.
01:31:37
◼
►
- Honestly, I had that on my list.
01:31:40
◼
►
Because if you think about it,
01:31:42
◼
►
one of the reasons why it would be hard
01:31:44
◼
►
to do this all in one year is that
01:31:47
◼
►
if they don't want it to just be Apple Music,
01:31:49
◼
►
if they want it to be Apple Music
01:31:52
◼
►
plus local library support plus store support,
01:31:55
◼
►
they would probably do one of those weird
01:31:57
◼
►
like iOS port kind of apps to the Mac
01:32:00
◼
►
where it would be kind of weirdly IOS-y.
01:32:02
◼
►
Maybe it would use UXKit or maybe it would use
01:32:04
◼
►
its own version of that 'cause that might just be
01:32:05
◼
►
for the photos team, who knows.
01:32:07
◼
►
It would be weirdly limited, it wouldn't feel very Mac-like,
01:32:10
◼
►
but it could be an Apple Music app.
01:32:13
◼
►
And I think that goes along with,
01:32:14
◼
►
obviously they'd have a video app or TV for the Mac.
01:32:18
◼
►
They'd have the TV app obviously, duh.
01:32:20
◼
►
Why did I think of that?
01:32:21
◼
►
Anyway, and then also the iTunes podcasts
01:32:25
◼
►
were recently renamed to Apple Podcasts.
01:32:28
◼
►
So maybe there would be an Apple Podcast app on the Mac.
01:32:30
◼
►
So this stuff all makes sense.
01:32:33
◼
►
It's very aggressive to have all this planned for this year,
01:32:36
◼
►
which is why this was my stretch goal.
01:32:38
◼
►
I don't, again, I wouldn't say it's likely,
01:32:41
◼
►
but I do think it's plausible,
01:32:43
◼
►
and I do think that it is something they will get to.
01:32:47
◼
►
I just don't know when.
01:32:49
◼
►
- Sometimes I think about the sort of
01:32:52
◼
►
concentrated political capital
01:32:54
◼
►
that must be in the iTunes team app.
01:32:57
◼
►
because there's gotta be a lot of important people
01:33:01
◼
►
associated with their product at the high and low levels.
01:33:03
◼
►
At various times in Apple's history,
01:33:04
◼
►
it was arguably the most important product
01:33:07
◼
►
that Apple was currently making and had ever made,
01:33:10
◼
►
like in the heyday of the iPod and everything,
01:33:11
◼
►
like iTunes was where it was all happening.
01:33:13
◼
►
And then it managed to hitch a ride
01:33:15
◼
►
on the iPhone rocket a little bit.
01:33:18
◼
►
But the fact that it has remained so long
01:33:20
◼
►
and that every year it gets these,
01:33:22
◼
►
it gets so much more attention
01:33:25
◼
►
then the improvements that are actually made by this attention seem to warrant.
01:33:29
◼
►
Like year after year, "Oh, we've moved stuff around and we've changed the UI but fundamentally
01:33:33
◼
►
have not fixed this application."
01:33:34
◼
►
It's like, there must be people working on it, and every year they have new things that
01:33:38
◼
►
they do, and not small things, they have big new ideas about how the UI can be different,
01:33:45
◼
►
and apparently this year they think the mini-player should be not so mini anymore, and it's just
01:33:49
◼
►
always something, but the preference dialogue is still modal and it's still old iTunes,
01:33:53
◼
►
and you just, like, what is, there must be such a concentration of power there, that
01:33:58
◼
►
they, that, like, power and, like, the power to make these people continue to add features
01:34:04
◼
►
combined with the neglect to say we don't care enough to make you do all those things
01:34:08
◼
►
that Marco just said that are inevitable, but, like, we always wait for the first one
01:34:12
◼
►
to come. So the only one of those things I will believe is that an Apple Music app is
01:34:16
◼
►
the closest to not being a stretch goal, but all those other things, like, I don't even
01:34:21
◼
►
Well, you know, I don't really understand how we could have somebody with a media app
01:34:29
◼
►
or a group of people with a media app pay so little attention to the Mac after years.
01:34:33
◼
►
Imagine being in a position where you have a media app and you just completely ignore
01:34:40
◼
►
I mean, Marco, how could one ever get in that position?
01:34:43
◼
►
What would their headspace have to be to just completely neglect the Mac for a media-based
01:34:49
◼
►
application?
01:34:50
◼
►
people who know AppKit though. Like, that is key. Like, they're not going, "Oh, AppKit,
01:34:54
◼
►
I'm scared. It's not like UIKit."
01:34:56
◼
►
You could have stopped that sentence at "Apple has people."
01:34:59
◼
►
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
01:35:00
◼
►
"Apple has a staff of more than one developer."
01:35:03
◼
►
Well, haven't you heard? You can charge way more for your Mac app.
01:35:06
◼
►
Oh, yeah. Yeah, why don't you ask the other Mac podcast players how well they're doing?
01:35:11
◼
►
It's a booming market.
01:35:12
◼
►
Casey will just have to pull a Twitter reference for the Mac and just, you know, spend an obscene
01:35:16
◼
►
amount of money for his copy. Kickstarted, right?
01:35:20
◼
►
truth be told I actually don't really need it as much anymore because I've just been
01:35:23
◼
►
using my AirPods to connect to whatever device I need to connect to. So when I listen to
01:35:28
◼
►
podcasts, I connect to my phone. But in principle, we have to all agree that there is some amount
01:35:34
◼
►
of humor to Marco lamenting iTunes as Overcast for the Mac is simply a URL.
01:35:40
◼
►
Not much because, again, Marco is not the world's largest corporation, so let's just
01:35:43
◼
►
keep that in mind. Fair, fair.
01:35:45
◼
►
Now, if you wanna talk about stretch goals,
01:35:48
◼
►
I have the mother of all stretch goals.
01:35:49
◼
►
This is probably--
01:35:51
◼
►
- A Mac Pro?
01:35:52
◼
►
- No, I think the Mac Pro being released
01:35:56
◼
►
is more likely than this, but I have it on here.
01:35:59
◼
►
- This is gonna be good.
01:36:00
◼
►
- In the realm of fantasy now.
01:36:02
◼
►
- My number two stretch goal,
01:36:03
◼
►
my final stretch goal for Mac OS is
01:36:06
◼
►
significant improvements to the Mac App Store
01:36:09
◼
►
and sandboxing.
01:36:13
◼
►
- Okay, sure.
01:36:15
◼
►
- So here's, okay so, okay so just brief background.
01:36:21
◼
►
So both the Mac App Store and Sandboxing launched in 2011.
01:36:27
◼
►
I had to look it up, this was so long ago, 2011.
01:36:30
◼
►
They had a ton of shortcomings.
01:36:33
◼
►
It was really like, they were both the App Store
01:36:36
◼
►
and Sandboxing were really very, very rough 1.0s.
01:36:42
◼
►
and they have been completely untouched since.
01:36:45
◼
►
They have been a rough 1.0 for six years.
01:36:49
◼
►
And so I actually did hear rumblings
01:36:55
◼
►
of a little while back that there was an effort
01:36:58
◼
►
to actually rewrite the Mac App Store app
01:37:00
◼
►
and to really improve it.
01:37:02
◼
►
And we've seen, ever since Phil took over the App Store,
01:37:05
◼
►
there really has been substantial progress.
01:37:09
◼
►
And there were some before that,
01:37:10
◼
►
Now there's a lot of progress in the app stores.
01:37:13
◼
►
And I still think this is a very long shot for this year.
01:37:17
◼
►
I do think it is probably finally on the road map.
01:37:20
◼
►
I think somebody is finally working on this.
01:37:21
◼
►
The only question is when it comes out.
01:37:23
◼
►
- Are they racing the iTunes replacement team,
01:37:25
◼
►
those two teams?
01:37:28
◼
►
I mean, honestly, the Mac App Store has a long way to go
01:37:30
◼
►
before it earns the stripes that iTunes have
01:37:33
◼
►
in terms of being the crusty old application
01:37:35
◼
►
that you can't get rid of on the system
01:37:36
◼
►
because it's essential but that is,
01:37:38
◼
►
I mean, I guess iTunes does improve.
01:37:40
◼
►
Like, I laughed before, but does it?
01:37:42
◼
►
I think, I mean, the Mac App Store app has been improved
01:37:46
◼
►
in ways that are not visible to users.
01:37:48
◼
►
Like, I believe that they have addressed reliability
01:37:50
◼
►
under the covers to make it not as awful as it was.
01:37:52
◼
►
- They haven't.
01:37:54
◼
►
- I mean, it is still buggy.
01:37:56
◼
►
I totally grant you that, but I have to think that
01:37:59
◼
►
there has, even if it's just messing with the demons
01:38:01
◼
►
that are underlying the thing,
01:38:03
◼
►
'cause the Mac App Store is this strange application
01:38:05
◼
►
like so many of these cloud powered things
01:38:06
◼
►
where it's really just a thin, partially web-based UI
01:38:11
◼
►
on top of a bunch of persistent processes
01:38:13
◼
►
that are running whether the App Store is launched or not,
01:38:15
◼
►
which is why you can click the update thing
01:38:17
◼
►
to update your things or install an application,
01:38:18
◼
►
then quit the Mac App Store app
01:38:20
◼
►
and your installation proceeds,
01:38:21
◼
►
because it's not your app that's doing it,
01:38:22
◼
►
it's just communicating to background demons,
01:38:24
◼
►
and I feel like that--
01:38:25
◼
►
- Also, why you clicked that update button,
01:38:26
◼
►
and just nothing happens.
01:38:28
◼
►
- Yeah, well, that's just-- - Just nothing happens.
01:38:31
◼
►
- But I think the reliability of it
01:38:32
◼
►
actually communicating to the background demons
01:38:34
◼
►
and telling them to do their thing
01:38:35
◼
►
has improved over time.
01:38:37
◼
►
But I think it is plausible for them to do an iTunes style
01:38:42
◼
►
refresh, where you aren't fundamentally changing
01:38:44
◼
►
the nature of the application in any way,
01:38:46
◼
►
but you moved a bunch of crap around and recolored some things.
01:38:49
◼
►
Or maybe you add tab support and just say,
01:38:51
◼
►
look, significant improvements to Mac App Store,
01:38:53
◼
►
which I think does not fall into the category of significant
01:38:56
◼
►
as far as I'm concerned.
01:38:56
◼
►
Because like I said, it's an iTunes style update,
01:38:58
◼
►
where it visually looks different,
01:39:00
◼
►
and people think it's the new Mac App Store.
01:39:02
◼
►
But fundamentally, it is still the same demons
01:39:05
◼
►
and the same weird web-based UI communicating with it,
01:39:07
◼
►
and they just added tab bar support or some crap like that.
01:39:10
◼
►
I could see them doing that, but I am 100% willing to believe
01:39:14
◼
►
that the project is underway somewhere to massively improve
01:39:19
◼
►
the Mac App Store by making a new application
01:39:22
◼
►
with the same name that works way better.
01:39:25
◼
►
I'm sure it's in progress, but I will be flabbergasted
01:39:29
◼
►
if we see it this year.
01:39:31
◼
►
I still think my OpenGL thing is even more far-fetched, though.
01:39:33
◼
►
- Probably, yeah. - Of course.
01:39:35
◼
►
- We are sponsored this week by Casper,
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for mattresses that you can lie on for five minutes
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at a mattress store and then pay extra
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01:41:44
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►
- It's weird because both for iOS and macOS,
01:41:51
◼
►
there's nothing I can think of right now
01:41:53
◼
►
that I'm like, oh man, I can't imagine them
01:41:56
◼
►
delivering blank. I feel like, and I think Marco had talked about this a lot last
01:42:01
◼
►
year, that a lot of the low-hanging fruit has been plucked. And so at this
01:42:06
◼
►
point, like, what do we really want? And what it comes down for both for me is
01:42:11
◼
►
more about hardware than software, and WWDC in the last few years has not
01:42:16
◼
►
really been a hardware event. But that being said, what do we want from Macs this
01:42:21
◼
►
this year and I can tell you I want a MacBook
01:42:25
◼
►
adorable update, that's all I want in the world.
01:42:29
◼
►
Please, can I have a MacBook adorable update?
01:42:32
◼
►
- Yeah, I think the hardware rumors are unusually
01:42:36
◼
►
strong this year and usually in previous years,
01:42:39
◼
►
you are right that WBC is almost always a no hardware event
01:42:43
◼
►
but usually in previous years when the hardware rumors
01:42:46
◼
►
would start up, Apple would shut them down
01:42:48
◼
►
with a carefully placed controlled leak
01:42:51
◼
►
so that there would be some kind of reliable report
01:42:53
◼
►
from the Wall Street Journal or something like that saying,
01:42:55
◼
►
there's definitely not gonna be new hardware announced
01:42:57
◼
►
as they saw for Focus Event.
01:42:59
◼
►
And that hasn't happened this year.
01:43:00
◼
►
There's a lot of hardware noise
01:43:02
◼
►
and there's been no denial like that
01:43:04
◼
►
or no expectation setting statement like that anywhere.
01:43:07
◼
►
So I'm guessing that there is some fire under the smoke.
01:43:12
◼
►
The only question is which of the hardware rumors
01:43:15
◼
►
are actually scheduled to come out this time,
01:43:19
◼
►
like now instead of the fall or some other time.
01:43:23
◼
►
And you know, Apple schedule wise,
01:43:26
◼
►
I don't expect there to be an event in mid July or anything.
01:43:28
◼
►
Like it's, you know, the hardware's gonna either come out,
01:43:31
◼
►
or it's either gonna be announced
01:43:32
◼
►
when it ships is a different story,
01:43:33
◼
►
but it's either gonna be announced Monday
01:43:36
◼
►
or in September or October.
01:43:38
◼
►
You know, I wouldn't expect anything
01:43:39
◼
►
in the meantime there.
01:43:41
◼
►
So I would say the rumors this time
01:43:44
◼
►
are a little all over the place.
01:43:46
◼
►
It's, the rumors are basically
01:43:48
◼
►
that everything is getting updated.
01:43:50
◼
►
But the ones that seem most plausible
01:43:52
◼
►
and most concentrated are the,
01:43:56
◼
►
pretty much every modern MacBook and MacBook Pro.
01:43:59
◼
►
So the 12 inch and then the modern generation
01:44:03
◼
►
of 13 and 15 inch MacBook Pros
01:44:05
◼
►
are all rumored to get Kaby Lake Intel CPU updates.
01:44:10
◼
►
That would be nice.
01:44:12
◼
►
It is, as far as I know, all of these parts are available.
01:44:16
◼
►
like from Intel, I don't think we're waiting on any chips
01:44:19
◼
►
being available or anything like that.
01:44:20
◼
►
I think it is therefore plausible for all these things
01:44:23
◼
►
to get these updates.
01:44:26
◼
►
There are some people who are saying,
01:44:27
◼
►
"No, it's way too soon," but the fact is,
01:44:29
◼
►
these all came out in October,
01:44:30
◼
►
they were already late even then,
01:44:33
◼
►
and going like nine months between updates
01:44:37
◼
►
is not unheard of.
01:44:39
◼
►
They used to do things like that all the time
01:44:41
◼
►
when new CPUs came out faster
01:44:42
◼
►
and Apple would get on top of them faster.
01:44:45
◼
►
So that is a thing that happens sometimes,
01:44:47
◼
►
not often, but sometimes.
01:44:49
◼
►
So it is totally plausible for them to update these things
01:44:51
◼
►
so quote soon.
01:44:53
◼
►
And if they do, you know, everyone has this like wish list
01:44:58
◼
►
of things they want to be changed
01:45:00
◼
►
with the new Mac approach.
01:45:00
◼
►
We talked about this recently,
01:45:01
◼
►
so I won't go too far into it,
01:45:02
◼
►
but basically I would expect no major external changes.
01:45:07
◼
►
I wouldn't expect different ports or more ports
01:45:11
◼
►
or the return of an SD card reader
01:45:13
◼
►
or anything that people want that was removed.
01:45:16
◼
►
I would not expect any external changes whatsoever.
01:45:20
◼
►
If they have revised the keyboard to fix the issues
01:45:23
◼
►
that I've been complaining about with reliability,
01:45:25
◼
►
especially with heat, I think if they fix that,
01:45:28
◼
►
they won't say so, it'll be a silent update.
01:45:30
◼
►
The one area that I think they might hit,
01:45:35
◼
►
of the main areas of complaints, well two.
01:45:38
◼
►
One, I think it is possible they will offer
01:45:42
◼
►
a 32 gig RAM option on the 15 inch.
01:45:45
◼
►
And even though it would, I think it still would need
01:45:47
◼
►
to use the higher battery draw RAM,
01:45:51
◼
►
but I don't think the battery draw,
01:45:53
◼
►
like I haven't looked into the fine details of this,
01:45:55
◼
►
I don't think I'm really qualified,
01:45:56
◼
►
but the difference between the super low power RAM
01:45:59
◼
►
and the kind of low power RAM would probably only make
01:46:02
◼
►
maybe like a 5% difference to battery life
01:46:05
◼
►
off the top of my head, like it's probably,
01:46:06
◼
►
that's probably the ballpark we're talking about here.
01:46:09
◼
►
And it makes total sense why Apple would not want that
01:46:13
◼
►
to be on all of the MacBook Pros of a certain size,
01:46:16
◼
►
but it would not surprise me at all
01:46:19
◼
►
if they have that as an option.
01:46:20
◼
►
So if you wanna trade 5% of your battery life
01:46:23
◼
►
for 32 gigs of RAM, fine.
01:46:25
◼
►
That's within the realm of Apple component options
01:46:29
◼
►
they've offered before.
01:46:30
◼
►
That's within the realm of different CPU options,
01:46:34
◼
►
or things like whether you get the discrete GPU
01:46:37
◼
►
or integrated only on certain models
01:46:40
◼
►
that used to offer that.
01:46:41
◼
►
- It would be great if they combined the 32 gig RAM option
01:46:43
◼
►
with the option for a no discrete GPU.
01:46:46
◼
►
I don't think they will, but that would be a way
01:46:47
◼
►
to offset it maybe in future models.
01:46:49
◼
►
- Right, and that's one thing too.
01:46:51
◼
►
I also do think, I think are the GPUs in Kaby Lake
01:46:54
◼
►
powerful enough to do an integrated only 15 inch now?
01:46:57
◼
►
I know 'cause with Skylake, there was a thing
01:47:00
◼
►
where basically like Intel's integrated GPUs
01:47:02
◼
►
for that generation sucked and so Apple probably
01:47:05
◼
►
wouldn't think they were good enough.
01:47:06
◼
►
I think KBLiC they've improved them.
01:47:08
◼
►
And so one of the biggest complaints
01:47:11
◼
►
about the new MacBook Pros is that they've been
01:47:12
◼
►
more expensive than the old ones.
01:47:14
◼
►
So I think Apple will try to address this in some small way
01:47:18
◼
►
with not necessarily price drops,
01:47:21
◼
►
but lower specced entry prices for things.
01:47:23
◼
►
So the 15 inch would probably be the first one
01:47:27
◼
►
to get such a thing, maybe even the only one
01:47:29
◼
►
to get a meaningful lower price.
01:47:32
◼
►
But maybe they could do a discrete,
01:47:34
◼
►
sorry, an integrated GPU only 15 inch,
01:47:36
◼
►
like they used to do before,
01:47:38
◼
►
which I've always been a big fan of,
01:47:39
◼
►
'cause the battery life is usually substantially better
01:47:41
◼
►
and more consistent and more controllable.
01:47:44
◼
►
So integrated only 15 inch,
01:47:47
◼
►
I do not expect a touch bar less, like 15 inch escape,
01:47:51
◼
►
I don't expect that at all.
01:47:52
◼
►
Maybe later, like in a couple years, probably not soon.
01:47:56
◼
►
But I do think having a cheaper entry level configuration
01:48:01
◼
►
is likely, probably IGPU only,
01:48:04
◼
►
and then also a 32-meg option on the high end,
01:48:08
◼
►
and with no other changes to the lineup.
01:48:10
◼
►
I suspect that will address a lot of people's concerns.
01:48:14
◼
►
It'll really turn around the discussion on these,
01:48:16
◼
►
on whether they're pro or not,
01:48:17
◼
►
if anyone's still having that discussion.
01:48:18
◼
►
I think Apple wanted to hit that,
01:48:20
◼
►
and I think they will in these two ways.
01:48:23
◼
►
- It might have good PR,
01:48:25
◼
►
but looking at those actual changes,
01:48:28
◼
►
I think they actually don't address that many of the problems because it's like, it's perception
01:48:34
◼
►
like, "Oh, we'll lower the entry price."
01:48:36
◼
►
But if you get the 15-inch MacBook Pro you want, it's still really expensive.
01:48:40
◼
►
And we'll add 32 gigs of RAM, but it's not like we're making things thicker or adding
01:48:44
◼
►
more batteries so you're sacrificing for it and you still have to get a discrete GPU.
01:48:47
◼
►
Like it is superficially making changes in the direction that people want, but it doesn't
01:48:53
◼
►
fundamentally change the trade-offs that these machines make.
01:48:57
◼
►
It just kind of, it's like better press, except for the 32, which is a capability they didn't
01:49:00
◼
►
have before.
01:49:01
◼
►
And so, you know, kudos for that.
01:49:03
◼
►
That's going to be mostly a win.
01:49:05
◼
►
But I would still be awaiting an actual revision that reimagines these machines with the new
01:49:16
◼
►
demands of the market in mind.
01:49:18
◼
►
But what the cranky part of the market has been saying about these, like make a new set
01:49:23
◼
►
of machines that take that into account.
01:49:25
◼
►
for the MacBook adorable in no case you just want them to revise it and like whatever they
01:49:28
◼
►
revise it and he'll get it.
01:49:30
◼
►
I'm going to put a 25% chance, it's not even going to be a stretch of it, I'm going to
01:49:33
◼
►
say like I think it is plausible that there could be another USB port in that sucker.
01:49:38
◼
►
Not 50%, 25% chance because they know it's a thing that people want.
01:49:44
◼
►
They're going to do it eventually I think.
01:49:47
◼
►
This is probably not the year to do it, it's just like oh let's just do an internal swap,
01:49:50
◼
►
Kaby Lake, blah, blah, blah.
01:49:52
◼
►
But, yeah, just, I don't know.
01:49:55
◼
►
That's my max stretch goal, aside from the Mac Pro stuff,
01:49:59
◼
►
which we'll get to in a second.
01:50:00
◼
►
That's my max stretch goal.
01:50:01
◼
►
That MacBook, adorable.
01:50:03
◼
►
If it's revised, throw it.
01:50:05
◼
►
I have a vision in my head of Phil Schiller's
01:50:08
◼
►
understated way that he would have mentioned that.
01:50:10
◼
►
I wish I could do a Phil Schiller impression
01:50:11
◼
►
and be like, "And we've got another USB port
01:50:13
◼
►
"around the side there.
01:50:15
◼
►
"Isn't that nice?"
01:50:16
◼
►
Like, you know how he would say that?
01:50:18
◼
►
You know, he would like undersell it, right?
01:50:20
◼
►
He would just go through the slides quickly, not dwell on it too long.
01:50:23
◼
►
I'm ready for that to happen.
01:50:25
◼
►
But Casey will be happy no matter what.
01:50:27
◼
►
He just wants an internals revision.
01:50:30
◼
►
All I want is to give Apple my money.
01:50:31
◼
►
That's all I want.
01:50:32
◼
►
Is that so much to ask?
01:50:33
◼
►
It'll be so exciting when you're like, "Yes, they came out, and we can order them," and
01:50:36
◼
►
you get them and your keys start sticking.
01:50:38
◼
►
Boy, the shows will get out of that.
01:50:41
◼
►
No, because I won't be able to bring it up.
01:50:43
◼
►
I won't be able to bring it up because if I do, then—
01:50:45
◼
►
We can tell when you type in chat and there's no "E"s in your text anymore.
01:50:49
◼
►
Oh, there's that.
01:50:50
◼
►
Now, if I bring it up, then I have to admit #MarcoWasRight, and if we know anything about
01:50:55
◼
►
me, we know that I don't like to do that.
01:50:56
◼
►
He doesn't have a hashtag.
01:50:57
◼
►
He's just got a broken keyboard.
01:51:00
◼
►
There's the hash symbol.
01:51:02
◼
►
Doesn't work.
01:51:03
◼
►
And it would only say, "Mark was right," because my O key would be stuck down.
01:51:08
◼
►
That's hysterical.
01:51:09
◼
►
They're good keys, Marcus.
01:51:13
◼
►
So, what about the Mac Pro?
01:51:14
◼
►
Can we just get it over with?
01:51:15
◼
►
I don't have a drink handy, so let's make it quick.
01:51:17
◼
►
take out the Mac Pro is I still keep people hearing like, "Oh, they're gonna tease the
01:51:20
◼
►
Mac Pro." It's like, what can they even do? I don't need anything from them. I'm patient.
01:51:26
◼
►
I'm content to wait. We already had our Mac Pro moment. We had our shows about it. There
01:51:29
◼
►
was a round table. Things were discussed. Apologies were made. Like, I think everything
01:51:34
◼
►
is fine there. If they want to tease something, get us to say, "I'm not a monster. I don't
01:51:40
◼
►
object to being teased. I just have a hard time believing that there is anything worth
01:51:47
◼
►
Worth teasing at this point
01:51:49
◼
►
Like the best account was they have a logo. I honestly at this point
01:51:53
◼
►
I hope they don't have a case design that they can tease
01:51:56
◼
►
I hope they haven't finalized that yet because I want them to do a really good job
01:52:00
◼
►
Like I said, I'm well, I don't want them to rush to market with a box with a bunch of stuff in it
01:52:05
◼
►
I want it to be cool in all the ways that cool Mac can be cool and I'm willing to wait a couple extra months
01:52:08
◼
►
For that right? I have a hard time believing they have a case they could show I have hard to believe me
01:52:12
◼
►
They would show the case I Marco pointed out when we were talking about this
01:52:15
◼
►
I think in Slack before I pointed out like well they teased the 2013 Mac Pro
01:52:18
◼
►
But I feel like that was practically a finished machine a granted didn't ship for months
01:52:22
◼
►
But they knew the design they knew everything was going into it like this was there was nothing that wasn't like a we're gonna show
01:52:28
◼
►
You the case design of our work in progress like that was the machine that shipped like those
01:52:33
◼
►
Everything about it right?
01:52:35
◼
►
And they're not at that point within a Mac Pro I imagine so if they want to show a logo and a tone poem kind
01:52:40
◼
►
of video like the little dots connecting iOS 7 thing that they showed 700 times? Sure,
01:52:45
◼
►
but I don't expect anything and I won't be mad if I get nothing.
01:52:48
◼
►
Yeah, I'm with you on all of that basically. I really think it's very, very soon to be
01:52:55
◼
►
showing anything meaningful. It would be nice if they did, but I would put the likelihood
01:53:01
◼
►
fairly low on that. But I do think it's worth asking about the iMac Pro. In that Mac Pro
01:53:08
◼
►
Pro press briefing.
01:53:09
◼
►
- In the Mac section in the notes,
01:53:10
◼
►
I had laptops and then I said desktops, ha!
01:53:13
◼
►
Remember, at Mike's desktops?
01:53:15
◼
►
- But the iMac is overdue for an update
01:53:18
◼
►
and they confirmed the existence of pro configurations
01:53:21
◼
►
of the iMac during that Mac Pro press briefing.
01:53:25
◼
►
And those, I believe they said those were for this year.
01:53:29
◼
►
So the Mac Pro, they said not this year.
01:53:32
◼
►
But the iMac, I think they specifically said this year.
01:53:35
◼
►
- They can come in the fall still.
01:53:36
◼
►
- Right, and so it's either now or the fall event basically
01:53:40
◼
►
is when these are likely to be happening.
01:53:43
◼
►
I am still incredibly curious to learn
01:53:48
◼
►
what is a pro configuration of an iMac
01:53:51
◼
►
and how does that differ from the Mac Pro
01:53:53
◼
►
and how does this product not make either
01:53:57
◼
►
the other configuration of the iMac or the Mac Pro
01:54:00
◼
►
very redundant, like what is this middle ground?
01:54:04
◼
►
There are things they could do there
01:54:06
◼
►
but they're all kind of weird and obscure,
01:54:08
◼
►
like high-end Intel CPUs and maybe like
01:54:11
◼
►
one or two Mac Pro features, but I don't know.
01:54:13
◼
►
- Slightly better GPUs, like with the--
01:54:15
◼
►
- Yeah, like I don't, that's why it's, it sounds,
01:54:18
◼
►
that's why I'm incredibly curious about
01:54:21
◼
►
what the iMac Pro is and what makes it different
01:54:25
◼
►
from the iMac and the Mac Pro.
01:54:27
◼
►
- I think the joke I made in Slack the other day
01:54:29
◼
►
was Pinstripe, but now that I think about it,
01:54:32
◼
►
Casey's matte black iPhone, put that finish on the iMac,
01:54:35
◼
►
- Make no other changes, call up the iMac Pro,
01:54:37
◼
►
people will buy it.
01:54:38
◼
►
- There you go, I'd probably buy one.
01:54:39
◼
►
That is possible that the iMacs could come out,
01:54:43
◼
►
this event, but I think it feels, it's weird,
01:54:48
◼
►
it feels late for the regular iMac,
01:54:50
◼
►
but it feels a little early for the iMac Pro,
01:54:52
◼
►
depending on what they're putting in it.
01:54:53
◼
►
So I would say that's more likely
01:54:56
◼
►
to be pushed to the fall event.
01:54:57
◼
►
And there's also, there is this rumor
01:55:01
◼
►
that the MacBook Air would be updated
01:55:04
◼
►
with no changes other than it would get modern guts.
01:55:07
◼
►
And I think it's unspecified whether that means
01:55:09
◼
►
Skylake or Kaby Lake.
01:55:10
◼
►
- Same old TN screen, but modern guts, right?
01:55:13
◼
►
- And that actually sounds incredibly plausible to me
01:55:16
◼
►
because Intel at some point is going to stop making
01:55:21
◼
►
whatever ancient CPUs it has.
01:55:23
◼
►
That point is probably soon.
01:55:24
◼
►
So they're gonna have to stop,
01:55:26
◼
►
like they're gonna have to like finally
01:55:29
◼
►
put something else in here.
01:55:31
◼
►
- Can that screen manufacturer stop making that screen,
01:55:33
◼
►
so we can get an improvement there.
01:55:37
◼
►
Yeah, and yeah, if they were to do such a thing,
01:55:40
◼
►
I definitely think that,
01:55:43
◼
►
I agree with the rest of the predictions I've heard,
01:55:45
◼
►
which is that it will not be mentioned.
01:55:47
◼
►
It would probably, it would be barely indicated
01:55:51
◼
►
even on the website.
01:55:53
◼
►
There might be a new badge. - They'll put a yellow
01:55:54
◼
►
new tag on it, right?
01:55:55
◼
►
- Yeah, at best.
01:55:56
◼
►
Like, I think that would be the only change.
01:55:58
◼
►
Like, I wouldn't expect a retina, I wouldn't expect USB-C,
01:56:02
◼
►
I would expect no other modernization of this platform
01:56:05
◼
►
except Skylake Guts or even, or Kaby Lake,
01:56:08
◼
►
but probably even Skylake,
01:56:10
◼
►
'cause they don't even wanna be too modern
01:56:12
◼
►
with what they're putting in here.
01:56:15
◼
►
So yeah, I would not expect big things there,
01:56:18
◼
►
just a very basic update.
01:56:19
◼
►
And if you are a fan of the ancient MacBook Air platform,
01:56:24
◼
►
that actually would be a pretty nice computer
01:56:27
◼
►
if you don't care about anything modern or retina.
01:56:29
◼
►
- And you don't have eyes.
01:56:30
◼
►
- Right, yeah, exactly.
01:56:32
◼
►
- Like imagine if they don't actually change the case size
01:56:36
◼
►
or the battery size,
01:56:38
◼
►
that's gonna get incredible battery life.
01:56:40
◼
►
- Yeah, that's what I'm saying.
01:56:41
◼
►
Like the danger of that thing,
01:56:43
◼
►
the longer you keep it around,
01:56:44
◼
►
the more people realize, you know,
01:56:45
◼
►
if they just put a retina screen on this thing,
01:56:47
◼
►
it would be Apple's best selling laptop again.
01:56:49
◼
►
Shh, don't tell anybody.
01:56:51
◼
►
We wanted to buy these other things for way more money.
01:56:53
◼
►
- Well the sad part is it probably still
01:56:54
◼
►
is Apple's best selling laptop.
01:56:56
◼
►
- Yeah, I know, 'cause it's cheap.
01:56:57
◼
►
But you know what I mean,
01:56:58
◼
►
like it would be the one that we,
01:56:59
◼
►
Back when we were all recommending 13-inch MacBook Air
01:57:02
◼
►
is like the default recommendation, right?
01:57:05
◼
►
We'd be in those times again.
01:57:07
◼
►
- All right, what do we think about the iPad rumors?
01:57:10
◼
►
- Well, you just skipped over the Mac Mini,
01:57:11
◼
►
let's just say no updates.
01:57:13
◼
►
- Oh yeah, definitely not.
01:57:14
◼
►
- Was that seriously an option in there?
01:57:16
◼
►
- Here's the problem, like all the stuff we've gone through,
01:57:19
◼
►
so many things were like, oh maybe,
01:57:21
◼
►
or they could do this, but they can't.
01:57:23
◼
►
There's not enough time in the keynote for all of this.
01:57:25
◼
►
- Well, but so like, you know, the MacBooks,
01:57:27
◼
►
I guarantee you we just spent more time talking
01:57:30
◼
►
about the MacBook Pros than they will.
01:57:31
◼
►
- Yeah, they wouldn't mention that,
01:57:33
◼
►
but even just the stuff that we have mentioned,
01:57:35
◼
►
there's only so much time,
01:57:37
◼
►
they got a lot of stuff to cover.
01:57:39
◼
►
Whether or not there's a Siri tube thing,
01:57:41
◼
►
I just feel like we've overstuffed the thing
01:57:44
◼
►
with things that we think there are over 50% chance
01:57:47
◼
►
of being mentioned in the keynote already.
01:57:49
◼
►
- Yeah, and keep in mind also,
01:57:50
◼
►
the keynote is gonna also have a ton of time
01:57:54
◼
►
consumed by things like retail updates.
01:57:56
◼
►
Like on the talk show, Gruber and Dallerin were
01:57:59
◼
►
respectively like maybe this is when they announce
01:58:02
◼
►
a major retail thing and then maybe they have
01:58:04
◼
►
Angela Ahrens out on stage and like that all
01:58:06
◼
►
sounds very plausible.
01:58:07
◼
►
There's probably also gonna be some kind of
01:58:10
◼
►
Jeff Williams like social, medical, environmental
01:58:13
◼
►
good initiative, something like that.
01:58:14
◼
►
Like so there's gonna be time with that
01:58:16
◼
►
and there's gonna be demos of any new stuff they have
01:58:18
◼
►
and there's gonna be all these segments
01:58:21
◼
►
that will take up a lot of time and so the stuff
01:58:24
◼
►
we're talking about is gonna be squeezed
01:58:26
◼
►
to little intermediate sections between it all.
01:58:29
◼
►
So we're gonna sit here spending two and a half hours
01:58:31
◼
►
on this, but they're gonna spend 20 minutes
01:58:34
◼
►
on what we're talking about here for two and a half hours.
01:58:37
◼
►
- I think if they have a lot of announcements,
01:58:39
◼
►
I think what they'll do is they'll end up squeezing out
01:58:42
◼
►
the less tech-focused things.
01:58:45
◼
►
'Cause in the years where they have a lot of those,
01:58:47
◼
►
especially if it's tied to one of the tech announcements,
01:58:49
◼
►
fine, but not that they feel like filler,
01:58:51
◼
►
but you don't have the luxury of an extended segment
01:58:55
◼
►
about health monitoring thing or whatever, right?
01:59:00
◼
►
Unless it's tied to, oh, and by the way,
01:59:01
◼
►
here's the new Apple Watch with a glucose measuring thing.
01:59:04
◼
►
That's the only time you get to have that segment.
01:59:06
◼
►
Or if you have a keynote that doesn't have a lot of stuff
01:59:07
◼
►
in it and they need some time to fail, they'll do that.
01:59:09
◼
►
But if anything close to what we've gone through is there,
01:59:12
◼
►
they're gonna have to be super efficient to be like,
01:59:15
◼
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we got a lot of stuff to get to, there's this, there's this.
01:59:17
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That's what, for the Tim Cook's little thing
01:59:20
◼
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where he comes out and says stuff,
01:59:21
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I expect his spiel to be,
01:59:24
◼
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we've got a jam-packed thing,
01:59:25
◼
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we have a lot of stuff to get to.
01:59:26
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►
He always says that, but like,
01:59:27
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to actually mean it or to emphasize it slightly more
01:59:30
◼
►
before he gets off stage
01:59:30
◼
►
and the parade of other executives come out.
01:59:33
◼
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- All right, so any thoughts on iPad hardware?
01:59:37
◼
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- So my prediction is that this is this year's iPad event.
01:59:43
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►
I don't think there's gonna be iPads in the fall.
01:59:45
◼
►
I think this is the iPad event for the year
01:59:47
◼
►
because it goes in with all the software advances
01:59:50
◼
►
that they're announcing.
01:59:51
◼
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- And there's so much time left in the keynote,
01:59:53
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►
you might as well, right?
01:59:53
◼
►
- Yeah, yeah, yeah, might as well get shoved in there.
01:59:56
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You know, I think the incredible rumors,
01:59:59
◼
►
incredibly strong rumors about this 10.5 inch
02:00:02
◼
►
or whatever it is, 10 point whatever inch iPad
02:00:04
◼
►
being basically the new 10 inch class size,
02:00:08
◼
►
just bigger screen, roughly same body shape and size,
02:00:11
◼
►
that is so incredibly strongly rumored,
02:00:14
◼
►
it's very likely to be true.
02:00:16
◼
►
I think what we see basically is the new 10.5
02:00:22
◼
►
is the new high-end iPad Pro.
02:00:25
◼
►
I think the 9.7 goes basically unchanged
02:00:29
◼
►
and just has its price dropped a little bit
02:00:30
◼
►
because if you look now in the lineup,
02:00:32
◼
►
we mentioned a couple episodes ago,
02:00:33
◼
►
there's this massive price gap
02:00:35
◼
►
between the new cheap 9.7 inch iPad
02:00:38
◼
►
and the iPad Pro and like the 9.7.
02:00:42
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It's 329 to 600.
02:00:45
◼
►
Like that's the price jump there.
02:00:46
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It's a huge price jump.
02:00:48
◼
►
So something's up.
02:00:50
◼
►
that seems like a temporary thing
02:00:53
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►
that we're waiting to be filled in with that gap
02:00:55
◼
►
by other things or by changes.
02:00:57
◼
►
So I'm guessing basically the existing 9.7
02:01:00
◼
►
gets dropped in price, probably 100 bucks.
02:01:03
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►
So it's not gonna close the entire gap
02:01:06
◼
►
or it's not gonna come all the way down
02:01:07
◼
►
to like 400 or anything, but it'll go from 600
02:01:10
◼
►
to 500 starting price, that's my best guess there.
02:01:13
◼
►
So you have the 329 base one,
02:01:16
◼
►
you have 500 for the iPad Pro,
02:01:18
◼
►
Nobody cares about the iPad Mini anymore, sorry Casey.
02:01:21
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►
And then the new 10 point whatever will be 600.
02:01:26
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►
That's my best guess.
02:01:27
◼
►
The question, one question I have though,
02:01:30
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►
is the 12.9 dead?
02:01:32
◼
►
I think there's a very strong chance of this.
02:01:36
◼
►
I think there's a very strong chance the 12.9
02:01:39
◼
►
gets no update and is basically left for dead
02:01:42
◼
►
similar to the Mini.
02:01:43
◼
►
- We'll never hear the end of that on certain mother podcasts
02:01:47
◼
►
No, they're all gonna switch to the 10 point whatever because it's gonna be the same screen resolution in a smaller body
02:01:51
◼
►
Because they all have nine point sevens because they're better
02:01:54
◼
►
all the 12.9 users like that are like like like I'm I can fatigue she like they all also bought nine point sevens and
02:02:02
◼
►
In many ways like them better because the nine point seven is a way better size to actually hold
02:02:08
◼
►
I kind of hope they kill the twelve point nine and make an even bigger one because you know, I want bigger
02:02:14
◼
►
I know you want that but that's a different thing though
02:02:16
◼
►
Like, I think, what I noticed with the 12.9,
02:02:20
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►
and part of this is 'cause I actually did resell
02:02:24
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►
the one that I bought at a substantial loss.
02:02:27
◼
►
What I noticed with 12.9 is that,
02:02:30
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very quickly after release,
02:02:33
◼
►
it was being indefinitely discounted
02:02:36
◼
►
by a large amount of money at places like Best Buy
02:02:40
◼
►
And Apple does this sometimes to kind of unload things
02:02:42
◼
►
at lower prices that aren't selling very well.
02:02:45
◼
►
Like Apple didn't want the PR maybe of dropping the price
02:02:49
◼
►
so soon, but it was within a very short time of release
02:02:53
◼
►
that these other retailers that work closely with Apple
02:02:56
◼
►
and sell very large volumes were suddenly able to sell
02:02:59
◼
►
these things at like $150 below retail
02:03:03
◼
►
or $200 below retail.
02:03:05
◼
►
And this wasn't like a temporary weekend sale,
02:03:07
◼
►
it was like this was just kind of the new price.
02:03:09
◼
►
And it seemed like there was quite a fire sale going on
02:03:12
◼
►
on the 12.9, very soon after it's released,
02:03:15
◼
►
that never stopped.
02:03:16
◼
►
So I'm guessing it did not sell to Apple's expectations.
02:03:20
◼
►
And I really think that there's a very good chance
02:03:24
◼
►
that if they're able to cram in the functionality
02:03:29
◼
►
of the 12.9 into something with that 10.5 inch screen,
02:03:33
◼
►
into a 9.7 inch style body--
02:03:36
◼
►
- Which they will.
02:03:37
◼
►
That's the whole point of that form factor.
02:03:38
◼
►
- Which all of the rumors say
02:03:40
◼
►
that that's exactly what they've done,
02:03:42
◼
►
I'm guessing that the 12.9 is not long for this world.
02:03:46
◼
►
- Well, but you gotta remember Tim Cook's Apple.
02:03:49
◼
►
All that means is they'll just keep selling it.
02:03:51
◼
►
- Right, but what I'm saying is
02:03:53
◼
►
I bet it doesn't get an update.
02:03:55
◼
►
- But it's more than that though, right?
02:03:56
◼
►
Because even though this Phantom 10-whatever-inch iPad
02:04:01
◼
►
is theoretically the same screen resolution,
02:04:04
◼
►
screen resolution is not the same as screen size.
02:04:08
◼
►
And that's why, you know, the iPad Mini is the same resolution as a full-size iPad, and by that I mean the 9.7-inch iPad.
02:04:16
◼
►
But some people like the 9.7, and some people like the portability of the Mini.
02:04:21
◼
►
And so I don't think just because this phantom 10-inch iPad will have the same resolution as the iPad Mega,
02:04:29
◼
►
I don't think that that by default means that the 12-inch iPad Pro just goes away.
02:04:34
◼
►
I think there are people like Vitici like CGP Grey like Mike that want an a
02:04:40
◼
►
12 inch iPad Pro in their stable of
02:04:45
◼
►
504 iPads I think the digital switch but and then and remember like 10 10 point whatever is much closer to 12.9
02:04:52
◼
►
The minis the 9.7 right in terms of area
02:04:55
◼
►
I think I think all those people you listed the teacher just wants the productivity
02:04:59
◼
►
right? And I think he might take the size reduction as a win. Like, he just needs to
02:05:03
◼
►
be able to have two full-size things next to each other and blah, blah, blah, and he'll
02:05:06
◼
►
get that in a 10.5.
02:05:08
◼
►
He still has young eyes.
02:05:10
◼
►
Yeah. Yeah. Setting aside the random people that we happen to know, market-wise, the selling
02:05:19
◼
►
point of a 12.9 over a 10-point something that has the same resolution, maybe the Arbicume
02:05:27
◼
►
made for artists that you just want a bigger, you know, a bigger canvas to draw on because
02:05:31
◼
►
you're physically moving the stylus over the silhouette, which is again why I argue for
02:05:35
◼
►
an even bigger one.
02:05:37
◼
►
But I'm having a hard time thinking of someone outside that problem domain who would actually
02:05:47
◼
►
prefer a 12.9 over a 10 point something with exactly the same resolution, especially if
02:05:54
◼
►
they don't update the 12.9s and turn-alls.
02:05:56
◼
►
And again, getting back to Tim Cook's Apple, maybe they just continued to sell the 12.9
02:06:00
◼
►
because why not and some people still want it.
02:06:03
◼
►
But it's really getting, if that 10 point whatever comes out, it's really pressing hard
02:06:08
◼
►
up against the 12.9 and it's pressing hard against a product that hasn't been updated.
02:06:12
◼
►
Yeah, I don't know.
02:06:16
◼
►
Things don't look good for the future of that product.
02:06:19
◼
►
I really hope things look good for the future of a larger size iPad.
02:06:23
◼
►
They just need to widen the gap a little bit
02:06:25
◼
►
because they're getting encroached from below.
02:06:28
◼
►
- I will also predict on the iPad section,
02:06:31
◼
►
I would like to see updates to the pencil and the keyboard.
02:06:35
◼
►
If they do, I would expect, based on what I just said,
02:06:38
◼
►
basically damning the 12.9 into nothingness,
02:06:41
◼
►
I would expect that it would only come
02:06:44
◼
►
to the new 10.5 inch size.
02:06:46
◼
►
Maybe the 9.7 would also get it
02:06:49
◼
►
if it could be the same size, like for the keyboard,
02:06:52
◼
►
but I'm guessing we got a pencil two and a keyboard two
02:06:57
◼
►
with improvements kind of all around.
02:07:00
◼
►
Not like massive earth-shattering improvements,
02:07:02
◼
►
but improvements.
02:07:03
◼
►
The keyboard, I don't know, better key somethings,
02:07:07
◼
►
I don't know, I loved Gruber's idea of the keyboard.
02:07:10
◼
►
I love that idea that Gruber kind of branched around
02:07:13
◼
►
on the talk show and then wrote up a big post.
02:07:14
◼
►
I love the idea of the trackpad that's only used
02:07:17
◼
►
for like cursor movement, that's an awesome idea.
02:07:20
◼
►
I don't think they're going to do it this year,
02:07:22
◼
►
but maybe in the future.
02:07:24
◼
►
That's a great idea.
02:07:25
◼
►
And then the pencil, I would love to see improvements
02:07:30
◼
►
for the pencil.
02:07:30
◼
►
The biggest gain for me would be if there were some easier,
02:07:37
◼
►
better way to carry the pencil with the iPad.
02:07:41
◼
►
Maybe a sequel to the keyboard cover could have
02:07:44
◼
►
a pencil slot somewhere in it, maybe.
02:07:46
◼
►
I think it's unlikely.
02:07:48
◼
►
But something that's more likely with today's Apple,
02:07:51
◼
►
that maybe the Pencil 2 gets better battery life.
02:07:56
◼
►
- Eh, it's not bad.
02:07:58
◼
►
It charges really fast.
02:08:00
◼
►
- It's bad if you don't constantly use it,
02:08:03
◼
►
but you carry it around with you.
02:08:05
◼
►
Then the battery life is really bad.
02:08:07
◼
►
Because the Pencil has no on/off switch.
02:08:11
◼
►
It basically tries to intelligently manage its power state
02:08:15
◼
►
based on things like motion and proximity to your iPad.
02:08:19
◼
►
if you carry it in the same bag as your iPad
02:08:22
◼
►
or if it kinda hangs out on a table
02:08:23
◼
►
or kinda next to your iPad, the battery's always dead.
02:08:27
◼
►
Because it's always nearby and kind of in motion
02:08:30
◼
►
and ready to go. - You don't get the alerts
02:08:31
◼
►
that tell you your pencil battery's running low
02:08:33
◼
►
and remind you to plug it in?
02:08:34
◼
►
- Sorry, your battery's always alerting you
02:08:36
◼
►
that it's 5% full.
02:08:37
◼
►
So it could really benefit from certain things
02:08:43
◼
►
that I don't think Johnny and I would ever add to it.
02:08:45
◼
►
Things like a power switch.
02:08:46
◼
►
I think it would strongly benefit from a power switch.
02:08:49
◼
►
I don't see that happening.
02:08:50
◼
►
So what do you think about smart connector or magnetic connections or other Microsoft
02:08:54
◼
►
Surface-y style things?
02:08:56
◼
►
Because that's, I agree that's a problem.
02:08:57
◼
►
Like what the hell do you do with your pencil?
02:08:59
◼
►
And I don't think the solution is a bunch of loops or pockets and cases to shove it
02:09:03
◼
►
I want to be able to magnetically clip it, hopefully in a way that is still charging
02:09:07
◼
►
But I mean, they could have done that in the original release and they decided not to,
02:09:10
◼
►
which makes me think they don't want to put holes in the side of their precious pencil
02:09:12
◼
►
to deal with the smart connector.
02:09:14
◼
►
Like it's sitting right there.
02:09:15
◼
►
a place that provides power that has a magnetic connection points but it's just too big and
02:09:20
◼
►
unwieldy for them to ward up their phone with it. But I also think that there's got to be
02:09:25
◼
►
a better solution for charging than the little, you know, the little spiny horn that we, when
02:09:31
◼
►
you plug the pencil into your iPad and it makes this terrible, ungainly, horrifyingly
02:09:35
◼
►
breakable arrangement of hardware.
02:09:37
◼
►
- Yeah, I mean the pencil right now is,
02:09:40
◼
►
it really embodies much of the skeptical take
02:09:45
◼
►
of a Johnny Ive design, where it looks like
02:09:48
◼
►
a beautiful object in isolation,
02:09:50
◼
►
but the way you have to actually use it
02:09:52
◼
►
has lots of design flaws.
02:09:54
◼
►
One of them is, yes it does still roll.
02:09:56
◼
►
It is weighted, doesn't roll very far sometimes,
02:09:59
◼
►
but it does roll.
02:10:01
◼
►
The biggest design flaw by far for me is that cap.
02:10:03
◼
►
That cap on the end that is very easily lost.
02:10:06
◼
►
If you drop it, it will break, the ring will pop out.
02:10:09
◼
►
And the fact that you then, while charging it,
02:10:14
◼
►
have to take this cap off and you have nowhere to put it,
02:10:17
◼
►
it's not captive in any way, it doesn't hang on to anything,
02:10:19
◼
►
it doesn't go anywhere.
02:10:20
◼
►
So it's just begging to be lost as you charge the pencil.
02:10:24
◼
►
Not to mention, you know, the aforementioned way
02:10:26
◼
►
you charge the pencil.
02:10:27
◼
►
You know, either you have to have this weird like,
02:10:30
◼
►
you know, gender change your adapter
02:10:32
◼
►
on a lightning plug somewhere,
02:10:33
◼
►
on a lightning cable somewhere,
02:10:35
◼
►
to charge it from a cable, then you have another tiny,
02:10:38
◼
►
white, precious thing that you can easily lose
02:10:40
◼
►
'cause there's nowhere to keep it.
02:10:41
◼
►
Or you do the thing where you shove it
02:10:43
◼
►
into the bottom of your iPad and have it sticking out
02:10:44
◼
►
and as you mentioned, it's kind of crazy looking
02:10:47
◼
►
and really seems very dangerous and is very unnerving
02:10:49
◼
►
and doesn't charge as quickly.
02:10:51
◼
►
So charging the Apple Pencil is just a series of frustration
02:10:56
◼
►
and form over function design choices.
02:11:03
◼
►
and this would be alleviated largely
02:11:07
◼
►
if they could have one that didn't need
02:11:09
◼
►
to be charged as often.
02:11:11
◼
►
So, and I think that's much more likely
02:11:14
◼
►
than Johnny and I have adding buttons
02:11:15
◼
►
or reasonable charging methods.
02:11:17
◼
►
- I just want it to magnetically attach to everything.
02:11:19
◼
►
I want it to magnetically attach to the smart cover
02:11:21
◼
►
if you have one, I want it to magnetically attach
02:11:23
◼
►
to the actual device if you don't have it,
02:11:24
◼
►
I want it to inductively charge through those things.
02:11:27
◼
►
- That'd be great.
02:11:28
◼
►
- That's not coming, I think.
02:11:29
◼
►
There are pretty strong rumors
02:11:30
◼
►
of an actual pencil revision, right?
02:11:32
◼
►
I forget what the rumored things that they were improving about it.
02:11:36
◼
►
Maybe the charging thing was changed, but all of our wish lists for pencils is surely
02:11:41
◼
►
Because, again, like, it's not like the smart connector didn't exist when the pencil
02:11:46
◼
►
It did, and they chose not to use it for various reasons, so I don't see them changing their
02:11:50
◼
►
mind on that.
02:11:51
◼
►
But, yeah, like, the—what do you call it—the logistics, the packaging, the, in Marco Camera
02:11:57
◼
►
parlance, the handling of the pencil is pretty awful.
02:12:00
◼
►
- Yeah, and the smart connector is wonderful.
02:12:03
◼
►
One of the reasons why I enjoy
02:12:05
◼
►
the smart connector keyboard so much
02:12:07
◼
►
is that I never have to worry about its power state.
02:12:11
◼
►
When it's connected, it's on.
02:12:13
◼
►
It has no battery life.
02:12:15
◼
►
It's amazing.
02:12:16
◼
►
When I'm using my iPad, I want to use the keyboard,
02:12:19
◼
►
I can just use the keyboard.
02:12:21
◼
►
I never have to think about it.
02:12:23
◼
►
I never have to wait for it to charge.
02:12:24
◼
►
I never go to it and find it uncharged.
02:12:27
◼
►
It's a thing that is no longer a concern.
02:12:30
◼
►
And so anything that can bring the pencil closer to that
02:12:33
◼
►
would be a huge upgrade for everyday pencil usability.
02:12:37
◼
►
- Anything else on iPad?
02:12:40
◼
►
- I don't think so.
02:12:41
◼
►
Again, I think this is the iPad event for the year.
02:12:43
◼
►
I would not expect to see, like,
02:12:45
◼
►
if the 10 point whatever inch iPad is announced next week,
02:12:50
◼
►
I would not expect to see
02:12:51
◼
►
any other iPad hardware release this year.
02:12:54
◼
►
- I think this will absolutely be the WWDC of iPad software.
02:12:59
◼
►
I will go on record as saying I do not think
02:13:01
◼
►
we're going to see hardware.
02:13:02
◼
►
I think it'll be in the fall.
02:13:04
◼
►
- That's possible.
02:13:05
◼
►
- All right, iPhone, obviously no new hardware.
02:13:09
◼
►
- That's definitely the fall.
02:13:10
◼
►
- Yeah, and it's gonna be nerdy.
02:13:11
◼
►
- If you think about kind of what we've pushed to the fall,
02:13:13
◼
►
I think makes for a pretty good event.
02:13:15
◼
►
So what we've pushed to the fall so far is iPhone hardware,
02:13:19
◼
►
almost certainly the iMacs, maybe Mac Pro info,
02:13:25
◼
►
but probably not, and then, you know,
02:13:28
◼
►
We haven't talked about the watch or TV yet.
02:13:30
◼
►
My best guess is that watch and TV
02:13:33
◼
►
both have hardware in the fall.
02:13:36
◼
►
And then there also might be things like
02:13:38
◼
►
the rumored Apple Pay peer-to-peer thing
02:13:40
◼
►
where you can pay people directly with Apple Pay.
02:13:42
◼
►
So if you think about that,
02:13:43
◼
►
that could be a fall event right there.
02:13:45
◼
►
New iPhone, massive iPhone year, right?
02:13:48
◼
►
So new iPhone is most of the event.
02:13:50
◼
►
Person-to-person Apple Pay,
02:13:52
◼
►
minor revision to the watch,
02:13:54
◼
►
4K Apple TV with 4K iTunes content and iMacs.
02:13:58
◼
►
That's a fall event.
02:14:00
◼
►
So you don't need to also shove in iPads
02:14:03
◼
►
and everything else into that.
02:14:04
◼
►
That's enough right there.
02:14:06
◼
►
- Yeah, I think the iPads will go to fall
02:14:08
◼
►
only if they're not ready.
02:14:09
◼
►
Like I don't think they would delay them for the,
02:14:11
◼
►
I think they would announce them
02:14:12
◼
►
if they're gonna ship any time in the next three months.
02:14:16
◼
►
But if they're not, then fall.
02:14:20
◼
►
- All right, so software for the Apple TV, anything?
02:14:23
◼
►
"The content deals is what we care about."
02:14:26
◼
►
Because the software and the remote suck and we all hate them and we have complaints.
02:14:30
◼
►
But what makes that device more or less valuable if they're not going to change the hardware?
02:14:37
◼
►
It's not as if they can put another new interface.
02:14:39
◼
►
It's all about the content.
02:14:41
◼
►
I suppose the only software thing they could do is say, "Hey, remember that single sign-on
02:14:44
◼
►
thing that we touted and no one signed up for?
02:14:46
◼
►
Well, we got some of the important people to sign up for it."
02:14:50
◼
►
I feel like the only big software win
02:14:52
◼
►
that they could trot out that would have
02:14:54
◼
►
an appreciable effect on the life of people
02:14:57
◼
►
who are newly buying Apple TVs,
02:14:59
◼
►
like to not have to go through that,
02:15:01
◼
►
sign in, type these letters that appear
02:15:02
◼
►
on your whatever thing.
02:15:04
◼
►
- Yeah, I think TV, it's gonna be, I think,
02:15:07
◼
►
a very quiet year for the TV, for the most part,
02:15:11
◼
►
at least for the summer.
02:15:12
◼
►
I would expect maybe announcements of new content deals.
02:15:16
◼
►
Maybe we'll hear about that Amazon deal, who knows?
02:15:19
◼
►
They'll announce some new partners that are all,
02:15:21
◼
►
that will all be cable companies and TV providers
02:15:23
◼
►
that none of us subscribe to.
02:15:24
◼
►
And oh, now you can get to all these things with a TV app,
02:15:27
◼
►
but you still can't get to Netflix or whatever.
02:15:28
◼
►
You know, it's gonna be like moderate updates
02:15:30
◼
►
to the TV app thing.
02:15:31
◼
►
They're gonna really push it hard,
02:15:32
◼
►
but it's gonna not have a lot behind it.
02:15:35
◼
►
And all of the, you know, like what I said a minute ago,
02:15:37
◼
►
like I do expect this to be the year
02:15:40
◼
►
of new Apple TV hardware that can almost certainly
02:15:43
◼
►
play 4K video and would probably then at the event
02:15:47
◼
►
come with announcement of 4K content deals
02:15:49
◼
►
with both iTunes and maybe other things
02:15:51
◼
►
like Netflix and Amazon, but I would expect that
02:15:54
◼
►
to be in the fall event, not next week.
02:15:56
◼
►
So very quiet on the TV OS front is my prediction.
02:15:59
◼
►
I don't expect any massive new APIs
02:16:03
◼
►
for developers or anything.
02:16:04
◼
►
Honestly, I think the developer story for TV OS
02:16:08
◼
►
has largely not panned out, and I think at this point
02:16:12
◼
►
it's pretty clear it probably isn't going
02:16:13
◼
►
to largely pan out.
02:16:14
◼
►
I think it's pretty much done and limited to
02:16:18
◼
►
major video apps and a very small handful of games.
02:16:22
◼
►
- Any time they wanna do 24 frames per second output
02:16:25
◼
►
on the Apple TV, sitting there waiting for 'em.
02:16:27
◼
►
You don't even have to do it in 4K,
02:16:29
◼
►
you can do it on the old model, anytime.
02:16:32
◼
►
My radar that I filed for that I checked
02:16:34
◼
►
is still sitting there marked as duplicate,
02:16:37
◼
►
never to be read from again.
02:16:39
◼
►
- As with all things radar.
02:16:40
◼
►
- WatchOS, I would expect just a small evolution
02:16:44
◼
►
of what we're used to, kind of a deprioritization of apps,
02:16:48
◼
►
a continued prioritization of notifications
02:16:51
◼
►
and things like that.
02:16:52
◼
►
Are we gonna get watch faces this year?
02:16:55
◼
►
- I had that as a stretch goal,
02:16:56
◼
►
'cause I wrote maybe in italics,
02:16:59
◼
►
maybe third-party watch faces,
02:17:02
◼
►
but I think it's unlikely.
02:17:04
◼
►
And I do think too, again, I think this is gonna be
02:17:08
◼
►
a pretty quiet year for WatchOS too.
02:17:10
◼
►
and last year was a big year, they had a lot to do
02:17:12
◼
►
and they really did it last year.
02:17:14
◼
►
With watchOS 3 that was a major update,
02:17:16
◼
►
solved a lot of the watches major problems
02:17:18
◼
►
in a pretty good way.
02:17:20
◼
►
So this year I would be surprised
02:17:23
◼
►
if we see more major progress.
02:17:26
◼
►
I feel like this is probably gonna be
02:17:27
◼
►
like a down year for now.
02:17:30
◼
►
Maybe they'll do something like improve the design
02:17:32
◼
►
of the weird honeycomb app screen
02:17:35
◼
►
or maybe they'll add something like
02:17:37
◼
►
third party watch faces, but I think the more likely
02:17:40
◼
►
long-term goal is to add features such as an always-on
02:17:45
◼
►
like dim clock mode or things like sleep tracking
02:17:48
◼
►
or the rumored diabetes tracking thing,
02:17:51
◼
►
whether that's a separate add-on
02:17:52
◼
►
or whether it's part of the watch, who knows?
02:17:54
◼
►
But all of these things would require new hardware.
02:17:57
◼
►
Like they're not gonna add a new always-on screen mode
02:18:01
◼
►
that the current models don't have the battery power to do
02:18:04
◼
►
and still have good battery life all day.
02:18:07
◼
►
And I think having the screen always be on,
02:18:10
◼
►
even to a very dim level, and even if nothing's animated,
02:18:13
◼
►
and even if it hardly ever updates,
02:18:15
◼
►
that's still a massive increase in power draw.
02:18:18
◼
►
So I'm guessing the current models probably can't do that,
02:18:22
◼
►
and still have good battery life for anything else.
02:18:24
◼
►
So I'm guessing that all of that stuff
02:18:27
◼
►
would wait for new hardware,
02:18:29
◼
►
which should almost certainly be in the fall, not now.
02:18:32
◼
►
- They could fix your audio player API,
02:18:33
◼
►
install your audio dreams, right?
02:18:36
◼
►
- That wouldn't be in the keynote obviously,
02:18:37
◼
►
but that could happen to W3C for watchOS,
02:18:39
◼
►
it's relevant to you at least.
02:18:40
◼
►
- It could, you know, man I would love
02:18:43
◼
►
if they would make it easier for me to make a good watch app
02:18:47
◼
►
'cause right now I made a watch app, it's okay,
02:18:50
◼
►
like with local playback, it's okay,
02:18:52
◼
►
and it could be good if they would bring over a few more
02:18:56
◼
►
of the iOS audio APIs, things like getting remote control
02:19:00
◼
►
events from headphones, you could like use the play/pause
02:19:03
◼
►
or back/forward buttons on your headphones
02:19:05
◼
►
and that would actually control it.
02:19:07
◼
►
Volume control of the system volume level,
02:19:09
◼
►
not just the local app zero to one volume level
02:19:12
◼
►
that I have now.
02:19:13
◼
►
Any kind of now playing center access
02:19:17
◼
►
like you have on the Mac, or on iOS rather.
02:19:21
◼
►
There's lots of things they could do there,
02:19:23
◼
►
but I just think those are probably
02:19:25
◼
►
a really low priority for them.
02:19:26
◼
►
'Cause I don't think anything on the watch is a priority
02:19:31
◼
►
that doesn't have to do with health or notifications.
02:19:34
◼
►
And that's probably with good reason,
02:19:35
◼
►
because those are the things that almost everyone's using
02:19:37
◼
►
their watch for, and those are the things
02:19:38
◼
►
that the watch is really good for.
02:19:40
◼
►
So I think those things get priority,
02:19:42
◼
►
everything else is probably pretty far down the list,
02:19:44
◼
►
pretty secondary, so I wouldn't expect
02:19:46
◼
►
a lot of motion there.
02:19:48
◼
►
- Where, I forget if you had thought that watch,
02:19:51
◼
►
where does the watch go, like the rumored watch
02:19:53
◼
►
with the special bands and the next watch hardware revision,
02:19:57
◼
►
does that go to the fall or does that go to next year?
02:19:59
◼
►
- I suspect fall.
02:20:01
◼
►
And whether it's gonna have the fancy blood sugar one,
02:20:06
◼
►
or whether that's a separate thing, I don't know.
02:20:09
◼
►
I have no idea.
02:20:11
◼
►
From people who've been writing about this recently,
02:20:13
◼
►
it seems like that's a ridiculously hard problem to solve,
02:20:15
◼
►
and many companies have tried,
02:20:17
◼
►
and it takes a very long time.
02:20:18
◼
►
So it wouldn't surprise me if that part doesn't come soon.
02:20:21
◼
►
But they did watches last fall,
02:20:24
◼
►
and so if they're gonna do something
02:20:27
◼
►
that would require new hardware with the watch platform,
02:20:30
◼
►
things like sleep tracking or always on faces
02:20:34
◼
►
so that you could, like things that would need
02:20:35
◼
►
better battery life, things like that.
02:20:37
◼
►
I think this fall is a totally plausible
02:20:39
◼
►
and reasonable time to do that.
02:20:41
◼
►
Not to mention the fact that it's usually
02:20:42
◼
►
a big holiday seller.
02:20:44
◼
►
The watch sells a lot over the holidays,
02:20:46
◼
►
even more so than phones and iPads, I think,
02:20:48
◼
►
based on little bits and pieces
02:20:49
◼
►
I'm able to pick up here and there.
02:20:50
◼
►
- It's the new iPod.
02:20:52
◼
►
- Yeah, it is a massive holiday seller,
02:20:54
◼
►
so it would make sense for them to really try
02:20:56
◼
►
to get updates out there in the fall event
02:20:57
◼
►
right in time for the holiday shopping.
02:21:00
◼
►
- Yeah, I agree with everything you said, Marco.
02:21:02
◼
►
All right, so to kind of round this out and end the episode,
02:21:07
◼
►
maybe some, I don't know how to describe it,
02:21:09
◼
►
but like some touchy feely or like--
02:21:11
◼
►
- Hey, wait, wait, we're not done, we're not here yet.
02:21:13
◼
►
We're talking about services.
02:21:16
◼
►
This is the show that will not end.
02:21:18
◼
►
- Oh, that's the document.
02:21:19
◼
►
- Okay, well, services.
02:21:21
◼
►
I think continued push to iCloud, all the things,
02:21:25
◼
►
and continued grumbling from everyone involved
02:21:27
◼
►
about how successful that will be.
02:21:29
◼
►
- Yeah, and so basically my list of services
02:21:32
◼
►
includes a lot of things I've already said,
02:21:33
◼
►
things like heavy push towards iCloud storage
02:21:35
◼
►
and getting you to buy those plans.
02:21:37
◼
►
Massive push to Apple Music.
02:21:39
◼
►
I think it's gonna be, as always,
02:21:44
◼
►
Apple Music's gonna get a lot of keynote time.
02:21:47
◼
►
It might not all go smoothly,
02:21:51
◼
►
but it's gonna be a lot of keynote time.
02:21:52
◼
►
I expect it to get another redesign.
02:21:54
◼
►
It's still gonna be confusing.
02:21:57
◼
►
- The keynote time, it'll be like,
02:21:58
◼
►
Apple Music, your home for television shows.
02:22:00
◼
►
'Cause isn't that the pitch now?
02:22:03
◼
►
Like it's Apple Music, come for our TV shows, what?
02:22:08
◼
►
- Yeah right, and I totally expect them to do
02:22:11
◼
►
incredibly heavy-handed promotion of Planet of the Apps
02:22:15
◼
►
and Carpool Karaoke and anything else they might be,
02:22:18
◼
►
they might want to announce any new production.
02:22:21
◼
►
- But you really think, you're making a joke
02:22:22
◼
►
about the music app redesign,
02:22:23
◼
►
do you really think that's gonna happen again?
02:22:25
◼
►
- No I really think it's gonna happen again.
02:22:26
◼
►
I think the music app redesign is the new iTunes redesign.
02:22:30
◼
►
Like it's gonna happen just every year.
02:22:32
◼
►
It's never gonna be good.
02:22:33
◼
►
- Does that mean I have to disable
02:22:35
◼
►
Connect to My Toolbar again?
02:22:37
◼
►
Or whatever new social network they launch at this time.
02:22:41
◼
►
So yeah, my prediction is very heavy hand-to-hand promotion
02:22:46
◼
►
of their app music shows, of app music itself.
02:22:49
◼
►
At least one really awkward skit or video.
02:22:55
◼
►
and something's just really heavy handed and awkward.
02:22:58
◼
►
- I hope there is just not time for this in the keynote.
02:23:00
◼
►
Not that I hope that it doesn't come,
02:23:02
◼
►
but I really hope that there is not time.
02:23:04
◼
►
- Oh, they'll make time?
02:23:06
◼
►
Beyond that, iCloud Drive, I expect, as I said,
02:23:10
◼
►
I expect it to be a big focus.
02:23:11
◼
►
I'm hoping that comes with some additional features.
02:23:14
◼
►
One of the big things for iCloud Drive,
02:23:17
◼
►
when I used it for a couple, I am now back on Dropbox,
02:23:19
◼
►
just for various workflow reasons,
02:23:22
◼
►
but when I was using only iCloud Drive
02:23:24
◼
►
for that month or two, the biggest things I missed
02:23:28
◼
►
were shared folders and public share links for files
02:23:31
◼
►
that I could just like get a share link to this file
02:23:33
◼
►
and send it to somebody.
02:23:34
◼
►
And again, shared folders for things like,
02:23:37
◼
►
let me share this folder with you guys
02:23:38
◼
►
and we can drop files here and work them together.
02:23:40
◼
►
This is something that Dropbox and its competitors
02:23:42
◼
►
have offered basically forever.
02:23:44
◼
►
It's a really big feature.
02:23:46
◼
►
It's not easy to do these things,
02:23:49
◼
►
but if Apple added share links and shared folders,
02:23:53
◼
►
Those are major steps towards a lot more people
02:23:56
◼
►
being able to use iCloud Drive
02:23:58
◼
►
as their primary document sync thing
02:24:01
◼
►
and to replace or never even use in the first place
02:24:03
◼
►
things like Dropbox.
02:24:05
◼
►
So that, I really hope they add that.
02:24:07
◼
►
That is, I think, within the realm of possibility.
02:24:11
◼
►
You know, these are the kinds of things
02:24:13
◼
►
that Apple typically has not done aggressively or well.
02:24:16
◼
►
But they already have the concept
02:24:18
◼
►
of shared editing in Notes.
02:24:20
◼
►
and there are shared photo albums and photos.
02:24:23
◼
►
So there is this concept of inviting people
02:24:26
◼
►
to collaborate with you on a resource that is in iCloud.
02:24:29
◼
►
They have this infrastructure already in certain places.
02:24:32
◼
►
Let's get one more, let's get shared folders
02:24:34
◼
►
in iCloud Drive.
02:24:35
◼
►
And I'd actually say the shared folders
02:24:37
◼
►
are more likely for them to do
02:24:39
◼
►
than the public share links for files,
02:24:41
◼
►
'cause that's more of like a--
02:24:43
◼
►
- A web thing and Apple's allergic to the web, yeah.
02:24:45
◼
►
- Yeah, and it has piracy concerns and things like that,
02:24:48
◼
►
so I'm not sure they would do that.
02:24:50
◼
►
I think that's less likely, but shared folders
02:24:53
◼
►
would be a huge thing, I really hope they do that.
02:24:56
◼
►
- I'm still terrified of iCloud Drive.
02:24:58
◼
►
- Me too, me too.
02:24:59
◼
►
- Also, one thing they might do for iCloud Drive
02:25:02
◼
►
is Time Machine, 'cause a lot of the other services
02:25:06
◼
►
like this have versioning for the files,
02:25:08
◼
►
some kind of recovery or point in time or versioning
02:25:11
◼
►
for resources that are stored in things like Dropbox.
02:25:13
◼
►
It would be nice if they had that in iCloud Drive,
02:25:16
◼
►
and they don't now.
02:25:17
◼
►
- So they're playing catch up with a company
02:25:18
◼
►
that refused to be purchased by them that they called just a feature back when Steve
02:25:21
◼
►
Jobs was still alive. Here we are so many years later and they're still catching up
02:25:25
◼
►
with that basic feature set of Dropbox.
02:25:27
◼
►
You know, sometimes Jobs was wrong.
02:25:29
◼
►
Well, he did try to buy them. It's more of a sour grape situation there. He was trying
02:25:36
◼
►
to bring down that you should be happy that we're even talking to you. Your thing is just
02:25:40
◼
►
a feature. But they were interested in buying them, so it's not like he was really saying
02:25:44
◼
►
your thing is, yeah.
02:25:46
◼
►
- Who's trying to get it for a good price?
02:25:49
◼
►
- So I definitely think it could benefit strongly
02:25:52
◼
►
from these things.
02:25:53
◼
►
And if they called this time machine for iCloud Drive
02:25:57
◼
►
versus if they called it versioning, who knows?
02:25:58
◼
►
Doesn't really matter.
02:25:59
◼
►
- That's confusing, but we'll see.
02:26:01
◼
►
Do we have to go into a star field?
02:26:03
◼
►
I missed a star field.
02:26:04
◼
►
Do you miss a star field?
02:26:06
◼
►
- A little bit, yeah.
02:26:07
◼
►
- 'Cause the current time machine interface is so boring
02:26:10
◼
►
When it doesn't work, it's less exciting.
02:26:14
◼
►
I also think service-wise, photos should and probably will
02:26:19
◼
►
have finally sinking of the metadata,
02:26:23
◼
►
of the object recognition, faces, places, all that stuff,
02:26:27
◼
►
as we talked about last week.
02:26:29
◼
►
I also think that it is very likely
02:26:31
◼
►
that we're gonna see a little bit of promotion
02:26:33
◼
►
for Apple News.
02:26:35
◼
►
It's a thing Apple launched that, you know,
02:26:37
◼
►
it's going somewhere, but I don't think
02:26:39
◼
►
it's going massively quickly there.
02:26:42
◼
►
So I think we're gonna see a little, you know,
02:26:44
◼
►
So some kind of announcements of some kind of minor
02:26:45
◼
►
improvements here and they're gonna push us to use it
02:26:48
◼
►
a little bit more.
02:26:49
◼
►
And finally in my services category,
02:26:52
◼
►
I think we're gonna see stretch goal here,
02:26:55
◼
►
group FaceTime finally.
02:26:57
◼
►
We've had a couple little rumors here and there.
02:26:59
◼
►
Taster's been talking about it a lot over the last year.
02:27:02
◼
►
I think this is finally the time for group FaceTime.
02:27:06
◼
►
Here's hoping that that gets in.
02:27:09
◼
►
We had group iChat forever ago.
02:27:12
◼
►
- Yeah, that's, now finally.
02:27:14
◼
►
- And speaking of iChow, I know this is like a dorky thing,
02:27:16
◼
►
but I would like to be able to share a document
02:27:18
◼
►
in the old parlance, right?
02:27:20
◼
►
Multiple people and also,
02:27:21
◼
►
hey, let's all look at this photo together,
02:27:23
◼
►
like to pull a photo from photos so we can all see it.
02:27:26
◼
►
That's a feature that I frequently wish for.
02:27:28
◼
►
- And maybe that'd be part of like the whole
02:27:30
◼
►
file collaboration or the file management stuff.
02:27:34
◼
►
- It's not collaboration, I just wanna see it.
02:27:35
◼
►
Like I can't tell you how many times I've pointed
02:27:37
◼
►
one iOS device at the screen of another
02:27:39
◼
►
to show my parents who I'm FaceTiming with a photo.
02:27:43
◼
►
- So they don't have to leave the app
02:27:45
◼
►
'cause you can't do both of them.
02:27:46
◼
►
It's like, we have technology here.
02:27:48
◼
►
I should be able to throw a photo up here.
02:27:49
◼
►
Yeah, that sounds like the most keynote-worthy feature
02:27:52
◼
►
of all the service things
02:27:53
◼
►
'cause I really hope that they don't talk about Apple Music,
02:27:55
◼
►
but multi-person FaceTime, so easy demo, crowd-pleaser.
02:27:58
◼
►
Everybody loves it.
02:27:59
◼
►
If they have it, it's a shoe-in for the keynote.
02:28:02
◼
►
And then finally, my final prediction for the night,
02:28:05
◼
►
I think we will hear absolutely nothing
02:28:08
◼
►
about iMessage apps.
02:28:10
◼
►
They were announced last year, they launched,
02:28:14
◼
►
we got some cool fun stickers out of it,
02:28:16
◼
►
but I think the app platform itself beyond stickers
02:28:20
◼
►
has gone basically nowhere.
02:28:23
◼
►
There's a small chance we might see stickers on the Mac,
02:28:27
◼
►
in the Mac version of it.
02:28:29
◼
►
- Mac iMessage parody would be another thing
02:28:33
◼
►
that they won't do because they don't care
02:28:34
◼
►
that much about the Mac.
02:28:34
◼
►
- Right, and it would never get the full blown app platform.
02:28:38
◼
►
I think it would, at best, it would only get stickers.
02:28:41
◼
►
But even that, I just think the iMessage platform,
02:28:45
◼
►
it ended up being kind of like the watch.
02:28:48
◼
►
It ended up being used for a much smaller subset
02:28:53
◼
►
of what it could do than what I think
02:28:55
◼
►
they probably intended or guessed.
02:28:57
◼
►
They massively overdesigned the system
02:29:01
◼
►
for apps to plug into iMessage when in reality,
02:29:04
◼
►
what most people would want to do is have a few stickers
02:29:06
◼
►
and call it a day.
02:29:07
◼
►
And that hasn't been helped by the fairly awkward
02:29:12
◼
►
and cumbersome and unintuitive interface
02:29:14
◼
►
within messages to browse and add and manage
02:29:18
◼
►
your different message apps.
02:29:19
◼
►
There's room for that to make it a lot better
02:29:21
◼
►
and maybe this would change things,
02:29:23
◼
►
but I don't think it would change things enough.
02:29:25
◼
►
I think ultimately iMessage apps were a thing that,
02:29:30
◼
►
you know, they tried, but similar to tvOS
02:29:34
◼
►
being like a massive app platform,
02:29:37
◼
►
I just don't think it's really going anywhere.
02:29:39
◼
►
- You know, I use the GIF Wrapped app in every capacity,
02:29:43
◼
►
including the iMessage app, a lot.
02:29:46
◼
►
I was really into stickers for like a day.
02:29:50
◼
►
It wasn't a day, but it was very briefly
02:29:52
◼
►
that I really enjoyed stickers.
02:29:53
◼
►
And now I almost find it surprising
02:29:56
◼
►
anytime somebody uses one in a conversation I'm in.
02:29:59
◼
►
I don't have anything against them.
02:30:01
◼
►
Like I'm not opposed to them.
02:30:03
◼
►
Like I think a lot of people were when they first came out.
02:30:05
◼
►
but I too have been largely underwhelmed
02:30:10
◼
►
by iMessage offerings with the exception of gift wrapped
02:30:13
◼
►
which is as perfect as it can be
02:30:16
◼
►
given the world in which it lives.
02:30:19
◼
►
- I mean in a lot of ways the iMessage apps and watch apps
02:30:23
◼
►
and maybe even TV apps all suffer
02:30:26
◼
►
from the long standing thing I always say
02:30:28
◼
►
which is don't fight against the smartphone
02:30:30
◼
►
or don't bet against the smartphone.
02:30:32
◼
►
In most of these cases,
02:30:34
◼
►
you could go and use this other kind of app for this app
02:30:39
◼
►
that you're trying to do, but in most of these cases,
02:30:42
◼
►
it's easier and faster and it's already in your head,
02:30:46
◼
►
you already have the habits to just go launch the app
02:30:48
◼
►
and just do whatever you wanna do from the app,
02:30:50
◼
►
like from the main app, rather than going
02:30:53
◼
►
to these weird little extension points
02:30:54
◼
►
and doing stuff there.
02:30:55
◼
►
There are some cases where it makes sense to do that,
02:30:58
◼
►
but I think those cases are a lot fewer and lesser used
02:31:04
◼
►
than what maybe Apple intended or guessed
02:31:07
◼
►
when launching these platforms.
02:31:08
◼
►
And in reality, almost every Messages app I've seen
02:31:12
◼
►
that isn't stickers, you could just do it from the app
02:31:16
◼
►
almost as well, if not better.
02:31:19
◼
►
And it turns out that's just what most people do.
02:31:21
◼
►
And it is possible to make an awesome Messages app,
02:31:26
◼
►
but again, the system of managing and installing them
02:31:28
◼
►
and everything is so cumbersome
02:31:29
◼
►
that a lot of people just don't do it.
02:31:31
◼
►
So I think they're fighting against the convenience
02:31:35
◼
►
and inertia of the full-blown app,
02:31:39
◼
►
which everyone knows how to do already
02:31:41
◼
►
and everyone is already using for these things.
02:31:43
◼
►
So it's like, I don't know,
02:31:44
◼
►
I feel like it's a losing battle there.
02:31:47
◼
►
- Speaking of Casey and stickers and messages,
02:31:49
◼
►
it reminds me of the one feature of iOS
02:31:51
◼
►
that they do need to add that will benefit phone users
02:31:53
◼
►
and everybody, Emoji Search.
02:31:59
◼
►
How long do we have to wait for that?
02:32:00
◼
►
That would be a massive crowd pleaser.
02:32:02
◼
►
It's almost like they think they added it when they added that thing where it suggests
02:32:06
◼
►
Like, "Oh, we have emoji search.
02:32:07
◼
►
Just start typing the word and we'll give you the suggested list of emojis."
02:32:10
◼
►
It's kind of true, but that just feels like the wrong way to do it.
02:32:14
◼
►
Like, you know how many times I drag downward on the emoji picker expecting a search field
02:32:18
◼
►
to appear and forgetting for the millionth time that it doesn't, that it's the one thing
02:32:22
◼
►
on iOS that you can't drag downward to see a search field appear at the top?
02:32:26
◼
►
Oh, emoji search.
02:32:27
◼
►
Maybe I just need to memorize where everything is, but I spent so long trying to find popcorn
02:32:32
◼
►
the other day before I just gave up and did a web search for it so I could copy and paste
02:32:35
◼
►
it into a tweet.
02:32:36
◼
►
Oh my goodness, that's so sad.
02:32:37
◼
►
Now it's in the food section.
02:32:40
◼
►
Can't find it.
02:32:41
◼
►
Tiny little images, too many of them, scrolling, scrolling.
02:32:43
◼
►
All right, so what else are we looking forward to?
02:32:47
◼
►
Maybe that wouldn't be covered in the keynote or something that's different.
02:32:51
◼
►
So I'll seed the conversation with a couple of thoughts.
02:32:54
◼
►
I'm interested to see what San Jose is like.
02:32:56
◼
►
I'm kind of excited that Apple seems to be more involved
02:33:01
◼
►
with the ancillary goings on around the conference.
02:33:06
◼
►
They're putting up a booth for podcasters,
02:33:09
◼
►
which we will not be leveraging in part,
02:33:12
◼
►
but not exclusively because Marco doesn't have
02:33:14
◼
►
a WWDC ticket and it stands to reason you need one
02:33:17
◼
►
to get through the door to go to the studio.
02:33:20
◼
►
But it's certainly--
02:33:21
◼
►
- I think the bigger limitation is that it's limited
02:33:23
◼
►
to 60 minute blocks.
02:33:24
◼
►
There's no way our show is under an hour.
02:33:27
◼
►
- Yeah, certainly not.
02:33:28
◼
►
Given that we've just spent two and a half hours
02:33:31
◼
►
blabbing about what could possibly happen,
02:33:33
◼
►
let alone what will and did.
02:33:36
◼
►
But anyway, that's kind of cool.
02:33:38
◼
►
They've been, over the years, embracing community events
02:33:41
◼
►
like Layers and AppCamp for Girls and the talk show
02:33:44
◼
►
and AltConf and things of that nature.
02:33:47
◼
►
So I'm looking forward to seeing kind of what
02:33:50
◼
►
San Jose brings to the table and what it has to offer.
02:33:53
◼
►
And additionally, and completely wildly unrelated,
02:33:57
◼
►
I am super excited to play Mario Kart
02:34:01
◼
►
against all my friends in person.
02:34:04
◼
►
And speaking of, Marco made a reference
02:34:07
◼
►
to his packing list for WWDC,
02:34:10
◼
►
and actually had dropped an image in the chat room,
02:34:12
◼
►
which I forgot to add to the show notes,
02:34:14
◼
►
so probably won't be there.
02:34:16
◼
►
But I spied something interesting on that list, Marco.
02:34:20
◼
►
Would you like to tell us about that?
02:34:23
◼
►
The list ends with Nintendo switch and pro controller question mark.
02:34:29
◼
►
Who's Nintendo switch would you be bringing Marco?
02:34:33
◼
►
Are you sure?
02:34:35
◼
►
No, I didn't get a second one.
02:34:36
◼
►
No, I'm surprised.
02:34:37
◼
►
It's our family.
02:34:38
◼
►
It's our family switch.
02:34:40
◼
►
Tiff is a wonderful, wonderful wife.
02:34:44
◼
►
And she, after upon hearing the previous discussions, she decided to grant me permission to take
02:34:51
◼
►
- Did Adam grant you permission?
02:34:53
◼
►
Does he even know it's going?
02:34:55
◼
►
- I don't think he knows.
02:34:57
◼
►
We will find out, but.
02:34:59
◼
►
- Just wait until he says, "Time to play Zelda, Mommy."
02:35:02
◼
►
- Yeah, then you're gonna pay for that.
02:35:03
◼
►
- Yeah, I'm hoping that doesn't happen,
02:35:06
◼
►
but I know in reality it probably will,
02:35:07
◼
►
and it's gonna be, it's just doing me a big favor here.
02:35:10
◼
►
And I will not forget that.
02:35:13
◼
►
- No, that's awesome, that's very kind of her.
02:35:15
◼
►
All right, so John, what are you looking forward to
02:35:18
◼
►
in the not keynote parts of the conference.
02:35:22
◼
►
- On earlier shows I said warmer weather,
02:35:24
◼
►
but now that I've actually seen a weather report,
02:35:25
◼
►
maybe it's too warm.
02:35:27
◼
►
Because it's getting to the point where
02:35:30
◼
►
I'll feel like I'll be hot outside,
02:35:32
◼
►
but in the blasting air conditioning of the indoor spaces,
02:35:35
◼
►
I'll still need to carry with me something warmer
02:35:37
◼
►
so I don't freeze to death.
02:35:38
◼
►
So I guess I suppose that's preferable to the WWDC thing
02:35:41
◼
►
where the outdoors is freezing.
02:35:43
◼
►
We'll see. (laughing)
02:35:45
◼
►
But anyway, at any rate, there should be more sun.
02:35:47
◼
►
- At the very least, and maybe people will actually
02:35:49
◼
►
get to see the various nerdy t-shirts that I wear,
02:35:51
◼
►
because I'll actually not be wearing a t-shirt
02:35:53
◼
►
underneath a long sleeve thing.
02:35:54
◼
►
- Excellent, Marco.
02:35:57
◼
►
- I am incredibly excited to do all these podcasts,
02:36:01
◼
►
to do live shows out there, to meet people,
02:36:05
◼
►
to laugh at how big Jon's wallet is,
02:36:08
◼
►
all the wonderful things we get to do
02:36:09
◼
►
when we meet in person, I'm looking forward to that.
02:36:12
◼
►
It's gonna be-- - I'll show you
02:36:13
◼
►
my metal credit card.
02:36:15
◼
►
- Yeah, it's gonna be fun, and I like seeing
02:36:17
◼
►
everybody, seeing all my friends, making new friends,
02:36:20
◼
►
and yeah, I'm excited about Layers, and I'm going to that.
02:36:24
◼
►
That's gonna be fun, and yeah,
02:36:26
◼
►
it's gonna be a very, very busy week,
02:36:29
◼
►
but busy in all the good ways.
02:36:30
◼
►
We're gonna have lots of, presumably,
02:36:32
◼
►
lots of good, exciting stuff coming out of Apple.
02:36:35
◼
►
We're gonna have lots of new APIs to play with.
02:36:37
◼
►
We're gonna have a huge batch of new people
02:36:39
◼
►
installing my app on beta one, telling me how it breaks,
02:36:42
◼
►
and complaining that I haven't fixed it yet.
02:36:44
◼
►
It's gonna be glorious and I look forward to this week,
02:36:47
◼
►
every year and yeah.
02:36:49
◼
►
Thanks to our three sponsors this week,
02:36:51
◼
►
Casper, Betterment and Jet.
02:36:53
◼
►
And we will see you next week, live from WODC.
02:36:58
◼
►
(upbeat music)
02:37:00
◼
►
♪ Now the show is over ♪
02:37:02
◼
►
♪ They didn't even mean to begin ♪
02:37:05
◼
►
♪ 'Cause it was accidental ♪
02:37:08
◼
►
♪ Oh it was accidental ♪
02:37:11
◼
►
♪ John didn't do any research ♪
02:37:13
◼
►
Marco and Casey wouldn't let him
02:37:15
◼
►
'Cause it was accidental
02:37:17
◼
►
(it was accidental)
02:37:18
◼
►
It was accidental
02:37:19
◼
►
(accidental)
02:37:21
◼
►
And you can find the show notes at ATP.FM
02:37:26
◼
►
And if you're into Twitter
02:37:29
◼
►
You can follow them
02:37:31
◼
►
@C-A-S-E-Y-L-I-S-S
02:37:35
◼
►
So that's Casey List M-A-R-C-O-A-R-M
02:37:40
◼
►
♪ A-T-M-A-R-C-O-R-M-N ♪
02:37:42
◼
►
♪ S-I-R-A-C ♪
02:37:45
◼
►
♪ U-S-A-C-R-A-C-U-S-A ♪
02:37:47
◼
►
♪ It's accidental ♪
02:37:49
◼
►
♪ It's accidental ♪
02:37:50
◼
►
♪ They didn't mean to ♪
02:37:53
◼
►
♪ Accidental ♪
02:37:54
◼
►
♪ Accidental ♪
02:37:55
◼
►
♪ Tech broadcast ♪
02:37:59
◼
►
- So is it legal to wear shorts in San Jose?
02:38:05
◼
►
'Cause like I know, maybe we should ask the Europeans.
02:38:07
◼
►
- I know a lot of people consider shorts
02:38:10
◼
►
to be like a huge fashion faux pas
02:38:12
◼
►
and that men should never wear shorts.
02:38:14
◼
►
- Whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa,
02:38:15
◼
►
why are we asking Europeans?
02:38:16
◼
►
This is America, dammit.
02:38:17
◼
►
- Yeah, they don't really have weather over there.
02:38:19
◼
►
They don't have like real heat.
02:38:21
◼
►
They don't even have air conditioning.
02:38:23
◼
►
Like they don't know what to talk about.
02:38:25
◼
►
- They are wholly unqualified to weigh in
02:38:27
◼
►
on this particular discussion.
02:38:30
◼
►
- All right, good.
02:38:30
◼
►
- I don't care what they have to say.
02:38:31
◼
►
- So, 'cause it seems like the weather's gonna be
02:38:33
◼
►
in the '80s, right?
02:38:35
◼
►
And whatever that is in Celsius, I don't care.
02:38:36
◼
►
You guys don't have hot weather.
02:38:37
◼
►
So in America, it's gonna be like in the 80s, right?
02:38:40
◼
►
'Cause to me, like 80s means shorts.
02:38:43
◼
►
- Well, if you're spending your whole day
02:38:44
◼
►
inside an air-conditioned building,
02:38:46
◼
►
maybe you won't be indoors as much as we are,
02:38:48
◼
►
but that's my concern,
02:38:51
◼
►
like that I actually will be hot outside with pants,
02:38:54
◼
►
but that there's no way I would wear shorts,
02:38:56
◼
►
not for fashion reasons,
02:38:57
◼
►
but just because I would be freezing inside
02:38:59
◼
►
what is surely the super-degree air-conditioned
02:39:01
◼
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whatever convention center where all the sessions are.
02:39:03
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- Actually, this is the problem with shorts,
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is that you want to wear them outside,
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but you can't wear them in air conditioning
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'cause then you freeze.
02:39:11
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And not to mention the fact that half the world
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thinks that you're committing some kind of
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massive fashion crime by wearing shorts.
02:39:18
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Also, I will mount the defense of cargo shorts.
02:39:21
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I think that non-cargo shorts look a little bit weird.
02:39:26
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Like cargo shorts, I admit, are not like
02:39:29
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the best looking things in the world,
02:39:30
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but I think non-cargo shorts look weirdly flat.
02:39:35
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I don't know. I think you have a cargo shorts fetish or something. I think non-cargo shorts look like shorts.
02:39:40
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Marco, do you have any idea how much email you/we are going to get thanks to this?
02:39:46
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I don't care. I'll be in California. I'll delete it all.
02:39:49
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I don't answer your email in California.
02:39:52
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Do you answer email ever? No.
02:39:54
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Yeah, I've gotten accustomed to the
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completely bananas San Francisco weather, which has perks but also has plenty of drawbacks, too.
02:40:05
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This is going to be a definite change and I think what it's going to amount to is I will probably end up choosing comfort inside
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Over comfort outside, but you will probably see me rolling into these events
02:40:18
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With a light sheen on my face. I've gotten sweaty walking between buildings. Yeah, there's gonna be even more sweaty nerds
02:40:26
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I feel like that's a good safe prediction sweatier nerds that we never see 2016 2017 whatever the hell year it is
02:40:34
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Man, we'll see what happens, but I'm looking forward to I'm super excited to see you too. I'm super excited to see all our mutual friends
02:40:39
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I'm just I'm stoked. I'm happy to have a ticket to the big show this year since I missed out last year
02:40:44
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I'm just super duper pumped