211: Hardware Mind Virus
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The on gold that's really the name of this thing. It's the on pro gold. Yeah extreme
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Special edition. I mean if they're released in sky lake AP, I don't care what they call it, but that's really a stupid name 18 cores
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Zeon gold are they gonna make a gold Mac Pro? That would be amazing
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There could even be an addition. That's solid gold
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John it if the next Mac Pro is only available in rose gold and like actual rose gold not like pink aluminum
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But actual rose gold that would probably raise the price by $15,000. Would you buy that Mac Pro? No, can't swing it
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What if it had a gaming video card in it?
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Still no, that's cold Marco. No
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$15,000 computers. Sorry
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Well, I mean at the rate that you replace them that actually isn't that ridiculous
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Like how many cars have you had during the time you've had this Mac Pro?
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Well, I got a lot more value out of the cars
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All right, so we should start with follow-up as we always do
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Tyler lock loc loc has some APFS boot experiments that he has performed. Would you like to tell us about that?
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Mr. File systems. He was the person who last week
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tweeted about booting a Mac off of APFS and we talked about it in follow-up and
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one of the points that I made during that segment was that he had posted a screenshot of the get info window in the finder
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of the volume that he booted from and it said APFS case insensitive and
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what I thought that meant was that
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the APFS on his volume that he booted off was case insensitive and therefore all the weird problems that we discussed about
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trying to run Mac OS and its applications on case-sensitive file systems wouldn't apply.
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I should have looked a little bit farther down his tweet timeline because apparently he subsequently tweeted that
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Finder and other utilities are confused about whether the volume is case insensitive or not. Rest assured, it is case sensitive.
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So it's kind of weird that the get info window says case insensitive, but he's telling me, "No, no, this APS
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volume is case sensitive." So again, he's doing weird stuff on an unreleased,
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you know, beta, everything.
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So it still doesn't tell us what the final incarnation of this is going to be, whether
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it's in a point release of Sierra or whether it's in the next major version of MagOS, but
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that's super weird that the Finder thinks it's case insensitive but knows that it's
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APFS, but that the actual volume is case sensitive.
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>> Whoo, riveting.
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It's because this will be an important—even though this seems esoteric as the follow-up
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We had a couple last week or whatever, but your programs won't work if it's case sensitive
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Like or they won't work for some period of time till the developers update them. It will make you sad so
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Better hope they sort this out
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Fair enough, and then we have a little bit of talk about the various cesspools in Silicon Valley. Is that redundant anyway?
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Tesla apparently is having some problems with harassment surprise surprise
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There's an article in the Guardian, which I haven't had the chance to read but I intend to read tomorrow
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A female engineer sues Tesla, describing a culture of "pervasive harassment."
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You don't say.
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A technology and car company.
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That's surprising.
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Yeah, I put that in there just because, not so much about the specific story, which this
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is actually interesting in that it's a current employee suing the company, so that's another
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twist in this.
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But just to reinforce the idea that we touched on last week about Uber, that although Uber
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is surely an extremely egregious example that this problem is not isolated to a single company,
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to a single person, to a single bad apple. I think it's not even isolated to a single
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industry, although, you know, in the circles we travel and we tend to see tech things.
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It is everywhere, and when one of these stories comes up, what it does is it makes the other
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stories come to the surface, you know, because it's, you know, a media trend or people feel
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more emboldened to come forward or people want to report on it more, and they come in
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But anyway, it's everywhere and if you want to see another example, there you go.
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Yep, and then we have an entry in the show notes to Uber or not to Uber and I presume that this is because a
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handful of listeners, very very astute listeners,
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called out the fact that one of us, and very well may have been me, had talked about
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with regard to WWDC
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flying into like San Francisco rather than San Jose and
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You know, maybe we could just catch an uber to get down to San Jose after flying into San Francisco
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And you know a few people had said hey that seems kind of disingenuous after you spent you know a fair bit of time
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Complaining and you know railing against uber to then immediately say oh, yeah
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I'll totally take an uber after that so it's actually me. I'm pretty sure was me that said that yeah
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It was Marco and he used it as a verb. He said like uber up to uber down to San Jose
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And the reason why is because when we recorded last week,
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we didn't have time for the Uber topic during the main show,
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so we did it in the after show.
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During the edit, I decided it was too important
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to have as an after show topic,
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so I moved it forward in the show
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and kind of promoted it in the edit
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to a regular main core show topic,
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so I thought it was important enough.
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Then, I probably wouldn't have said that
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after having that discussion,
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and I just kind of said it without even thinking about it,
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like at the time.
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As soon as I said it, I regretted saying it,
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because that is exactly the kind of thing
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that I'm usually conscious of,
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and it's the kind of thing where like,
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yeah, I kinda don't wanna take Uber anymore
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after all how horrible they are.
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So anyway, I personally have since deleted Uber off my phone.
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There were plenty of previous reasons to do it,
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but this is the big one to do it, to do it like now.
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And I figure, you know, I don't actually use it that often
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because in my home city, I don't need it.
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but when I'm traveling I would use it often,
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but I think I'm gonna install Lyft now
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and try that instead because yeah,
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it's not worth supporting that if we don't have to.
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- It's kind of like, as some people who tweeted at us
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about this point, like the Kleenex situation
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where because Uber was first and is so famous
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and so prominent, that to Uber it is like,
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even though you are saying the word Uber,
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which is the name of a company,
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it's just a generic term for a thing
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that makes a car come and get you
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because you tap stuff on your phone.
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And so you could Uber from one place to the other with Lyft
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or whatever.
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But anyway, either way, the larger question
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is, given all of this stuff, are we
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going to continue to use Uber?
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And I think all of us in the places where we actually live
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never have a need for a service like Uber at all.
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So it's not really relevant.
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It's only really relevant when we're traveling.
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And there have been a lot of people
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deleting Uber off the phone or otherwise
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vowing to never use it. One of the interesting things I read about the people who drive for
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Uber is that very often the drivers are working for multiple ones of these companies at the same
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time. So if you call for a Lyft or you call for an Uber, it could be the same person answering,
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they just change what app is up on their phone, which is interesting. So it's not as if the car,
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the person you get is actually dependent on the company and Lyft, like every other company,
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I'm sure has its own fair share of problems and you know, or as people putting out in the chat room,
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problems dealing with down to the application itself, you know, always putting location
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on. Oh no, this is the opposite, they're complaining that Uber always has location on.
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Anyway, I recall reading lots of scary things about Lyft as well and that very often they were
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presented as the better alternative to Uber merely because Uber is so incredibly terrible
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that the bar is low. In some respects it's a little bit like airlines that we've talked
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about before where we all know angry travelers. Maybe we have been this angry traveler who has
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a bad experience with an airline and vows to never fly in them again. And if you travel at all
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Frequently you will eventually have that same experience with every airline and then you will literally be unable to fly
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Because that because all airlines do something that is enough to anger people is that that's it
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I'm never flying Delta again and they stick to it and they never fly Delta again
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If you if you do that for five years of constant traveling you will be out of airlines
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And I wonder if ride-sharing services especially ones subsidized by VC money that are basically trying to put taxi companies out of business
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so they can dance on their grave and then raise their prices.
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I wonder if there are any good ride sharing companies.
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And it's not as if taxi services are all that great either.
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Every one of these things seems to have some kind of problem.
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So, you know, I've certainly-- what
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I heard somebody say recently was that I'll still use Uber,
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but I'll hate myself every time I do it.
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I don't know if that's the solution.
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Is the solution deleting Uber?
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What if you use Lyft and you find all sorts of horrible
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things about Lyft?
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you can not use any rideshare services. It's hard to know what to do in these type of situations.
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I think it is very similar to an airline type situation. But when there are alternatives,
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obviously, if you have any kind of choice at all, and you really do think Uber is the worst of the
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worst, don't pick them. Pick another company, right? And I guess you just keep doing that
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until you're out of ride-sharing companies, or you know, ride-hiring companies. What are they called?
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it's not ride sharing, what do you call a thing like Uber?
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- I don't know, private taxis?
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But it's not a car service, I don't know.
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Whatever it is.
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But like, you know, usually this argument of like,
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well, they're all probably terrible,
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when we might, we just might not know
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how terrible the other ones are,
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'cause they're like less in the public eye.
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- Or we do know, but it was like two news cycles ago.
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- Right, and so like, and like I've talked about this
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previously with like, you know,
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how I buy things from Amazon,
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even though I know that in many ways,
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Amazon as a retail company is kind of horrible.
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but I've worked in other retail companies before
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just enough to know that they're all pretty horrible
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and retail is just a horrible business.
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And so, you know, like the smaller ones,
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like what am I gonna do?
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Like, oh, I'm not gonna buy this thing at Amazon,
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I'm gonna buy it at Walmart.
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And like, you know, where else am I gonna,
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like maybe I'll go to Target.
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Well, they're probably horrible in some other way too.
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Because retail is a horrible business
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and all the incentives kind of force everyone in it
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to be pretty horrible or to go out of business.
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And so I decided it's worth it to me to shop at Amazon
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'cause it's just so much better than everything else
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and their offenses aren't bad enough to offend me enough
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to overcome the difference between them and anybody else
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in morality versus the incredible convenience
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that they offer.
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With Uber though, I think it's a little bit
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of a different situation because first of all,
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Uber in the grand scheme of things is pretty young
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And so it's hard for anybody to look at what Uber gives them
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in their life and say, "I can't be without that."
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Because like, well you were without that,
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like what, five years ago?
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Like it wasn't that long ago.
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Chances are five years ago you weren't using
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anything like that, and you still lived.
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You still got around.
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You still found a way to make that work.
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How did you do that, right?
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Like could you just go back to that?
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How bad would it really be?
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Even if there's no other ride-hailing companies
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like Lyft or like, even if you can't get any
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of the other ones in your area, if Uber's the only one
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serves your area, how bad would it be not to use them?
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And in some cases, it actually is really bad.
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Like in some cases, if your alternative is like,
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well, I can get an Uber in 10 minutes,
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or because of where I am, like if you're like,
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you know, in like nowhere Brooklyn,
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and no cab will pick you up out there,
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believe me, I've been there, this was before I used Uber,
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and you have to wait like, literally,
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you have to wait an hour and a half
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from midnight to 1.30 a.m. on a pier in Brooklyn,
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because there's no cabs around,
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and you had to call a car service,
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and that's the soonest they can come get you.
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In that kind of case, okay, if Uber's really the only thing
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that will serve you, I can't really fault you for using it.
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However, most of the time, for most people,
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if Uber serves you at all, other options probably do too,
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whether it's your regular taxi service
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or other car hailing services or mass transit
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or other private car service and stuff like that.
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Chances are, if you use Uber at all,
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you probably have other options.
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And they might be a little bit less convenient.
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You might have to wait one or two extra minutes for a ride,
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or you might have to pay a dollar more.
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But you have to decide for yourself
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if that's worth the moral savings or not.
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And for me, I think it's worth it.
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- Yeah, there was that other one I heard about
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called Fasten, like fasten your seat belts.
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I think that's another one that's,
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at the very least in the Pacific Northwest,
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I heard a bunch of people talking about.
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So it's not just Uber and Lyft.
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There are probably other options.
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Maybe not all of them are nationwide, so I guess check the app store and ask around to
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see what the other options are in your area.
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You too can live an Uber-free lifestyle.
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And hopefully, though.
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And I mean, it's easy for the three of us to say because we're white dudes.
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But you know, I've understood that in some ways it can be better if you're, you know,
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like a minority or if you're a woman that maybe it's better for some reason to call
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an Uber or perhaps a Lyft.
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Well, maybe not an Uber.
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There's been a lot of horror stories about women getting picked up by Uber.
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Okay, maybe women was a poor example, but you know, maybe if you're a person of color
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or something like that, you know, maybe a taxi cab would not take your fare where an
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Uber or perhaps a Lyft would.
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You know, I guess what I'm driving at is it's all nuanced, right?
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It's just a balancing act and you do what works best for you.
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But I plan to, before I go to San Jose, which I think I'm going to be doing, I plan to look
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into Lyft and understand if there's any differences in procedure or like, you know, tipping paradigms
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or anything like that. I plan to try to understand what that is before I go. So this way I can
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use Lyft rather than Uber. And I should mention that a friend of the show, Jean McDonald,
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who in the past has run or been deeply involved with, I guess she is still deeply involved
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with AppCamp for Girls, which is an organization that's near and dear to all of our hearts.
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Anyway, she, just for fun, decided to drive, I thought, and I'm pretty sure I have this
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right, for both Uber and Lyft, and then ended up not doing it for Uber anymore because she
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had some really bad experiences.
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I don't have her tweets handy where she talked about this, unfortunately, but you can look
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at her timeline or just ask her about it, and she'll tell you that she drives for Lyft
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from time to time because she's just felt better about it.
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I wish I could remember what was better,
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but she seemed to think that Lyft
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was a better experience for drivers
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and probably for riders too.
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- The pink mustaches, right?
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- Well, I mean, here's the thing too.
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It's kinda hard to be worse than Uber.
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Literally everything they do is horrible
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with the exception that they are kind of everywhere now.
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But the company is horrible.
00:14:58
◼
►
The people at the top leading the company are horrible.
00:15:01
◼
►
The app is horrible.
00:15:03
◼
►
The app itself is its own incredible case study of horrendous, abusive, fraudulent app
00:15:11
◼
►
Like, it does so many creepy, immoral things that honestly should be or might even are
00:15:19
◼
►
prohibited on iOS.
00:15:21
◼
►
It's just a terrible app in front of a terrible service run by some really horrible people.
00:15:28
◼
►
Again, like in most cases, most of the time if you're deciding between big, crappy companies
00:15:33
◼
►
like airlines or retail stores, I think the differences are usually smaller between them,
00:15:38
◼
►
but in this case, my god is Uber horrible.
00:15:41
◼
►
It would be really impressive for any other company in this business to be as horrible
00:15:45
◼
►
as they are.
00:15:46
◼
►
Well, that's what the competition is for.
00:15:48
◼
►
So here's one article from Dlofnik saying Uber is quietly terrible for women and black
00:15:53
◼
►
people, study says.
00:15:54
◼
►
So there's an article on that, so much for Uber being better for minorities or women.
00:16:00
◼
►
And then another article saying, "New business model, same racist cab drivers."
00:16:05
◼
►
That just talks about both Uber and Lyft making it harder for people with black-sounding names
00:16:09
◼
►
to get rides.
00:16:10
◼
►
So like, as with so many of these things, I was trying to emphasize, it's not a problem
00:16:15
◼
►
with a particular company or particular domain.
00:16:16
◼
►
It's a cultural societal problem, because all these companies are made up of people
00:16:22
◼
►
who come from this culture and this society.
00:16:25
◼
►
Granted, very often they are the worst people, but you know, like the CEO of Uber who was
00:16:29
◼
►
called in video arguing with one of his drivers which just just boggles my mind that maybe
00:16:34
◼
►
he was drunk you don't have the self awareness to understand that i don't even i don't even
00:16:40
◼
►
know if you can't if you can't be if you are the ceo of a company and you can't manage
00:16:43
◼
►
to be respectful and magnanimous for five minutes to one of your employees who's angry i i do
00:16:49
◼
►
boggle my mind that you could be this bad at everything having to do with it anyway
00:16:54
◼
►
yeah so if you you know if you want peace fight for justice as they say. if you want to solve the
00:17:03
◼
►
problem you really have to solve it at the root. you're not going to solve it by scolding spoiled
00:17:09
◼
►
tech CEOs but if you can at all if you could at all avoid giving money to what really seems to be
00:17:18
◼
►
the worst of the very worst of a business that is already in a slightly precarious situation in
00:17:24
◼
►
in terms of all the articles going around about the fact
00:17:27
◼
►
that Uber is not profitable and is basically
00:17:29
◼
►
being funded by venture capital to put tax companies out
00:17:32
◼
►
of business.
00:17:32
◼
►
And if they ever succeeded in that,
00:17:33
◼
►
they would just raise their prices.
00:17:35
◼
►
And by the way, they exploit their workers.
00:17:36
◼
►
And that's half of what the argument with the CEO
00:17:39
◼
►
was about, saying I used to get paid x amount,
00:17:41
◼
►
and now I get paid so much less.
00:17:43
◼
►
And the Uber CEO is saying, he's just
00:17:45
◼
►
waiting to replace all these drivers with self-driving cars
00:17:48
◼
►
And they're self-driving cars running through red lights,
00:17:49
◼
►
and then Uber lying about it.
00:17:51
◼
►
Oh, it's a mess.
00:17:52
◼
►
So bottom line is stay in your house and never go anywhere.
00:17:56
◼
►
- Wow, that is definitely the John Siracusa answer
00:17:59
◼
►
to this problem.
00:17:59
◼
►
- Yeah, you wish that was the answer.
00:18:01
◼
►
- Solves a lot of problems, doesn't it?
00:18:03
◼
►
- It solves your problems.
00:18:04
◼
►
- Yeah, I don't think I've ever actually taken an Uber
00:18:07
◼
►
on my account.
00:18:08
◼
►
My wife has an account that we used it
00:18:10
◼
►
when I was in San Francisco,
00:18:11
◼
►
and I gotta tell you, it was convenient.
00:18:13
◼
►
- I mean, my experience, my personal experience with Uber
00:18:16
◼
►
has really been very good, truth be told.
00:18:19
◼
►
I've never had a bad experience,
00:18:21
◼
►
and it's always gone pretty well for me.
00:18:23
◼
►
But like I said earlier,
00:18:24
◼
►
I'm not comfortable with the way the company as a whole,
00:18:30
◼
►
and certainly the CEO, seems to do business.
00:18:32
◼
►
And that doesn't mean that there's nothing
00:18:34
◼
►
but mean, terrible people at Uber,
00:18:36
◼
►
but certainly the people that are running the show
00:18:38
◼
►
seem to be pretty consistently mean and terrible.
00:18:41
◼
►
So because of that, I intend to, like I said,
00:18:43
◼
►
try out Lyft next time I'm out there.
00:18:45
◼
►
- Yeah, and that's the weird,
00:18:46
◼
►
like every time I've ever been in an Uber
00:18:50
◼
►
or even a taxi for that matter.
00:18:52
◼
►
The people who are actually driving,
00:18:53
◼
►
like the leaf nodes of the org chart,
00:18:56
◼
►
I've had good experiences.
00:18:57
◼
►
Now obviously that's not universal,
00:18:58
◼
►
and again, all the articles we just listed
00:19:00
◼
►
about them refusing to pick up people with black-sounding names
00:19:02
◼
►
and picking up women and driving them around longer
00:19:04
◼
►
than they should be driving them and hitting on them
00:19:06
◼
►
and doing all sorts of terrible things,
00:19:07
◼
►
like obviously that happens.
00:19:08
◼
►
But it's kind of like when you get met at Delta
00:19:12
◼
►
and vow that you'll never fly with them again.
00:19:13
◼
►
Does that mean every employee of Delta is an evil person?
00:19:15
◼
►
Certainly not.
00:19:16
◼
►
And so it's a complicated thing where you're like,
00:19:19
◼
►
You're trying to punish the company by withholding your business, but what about the people who
00:19:26
◼
►
work for the company?
00:19:27
◼
►
Oh, they can just quit and work for a better airline.
00:19:29
◼
►
What if they work in Atlanta and it's Delta's hub?
00:19:31
◼
►
I don't know.
00:19:33
◼
►
The whole effectiveness and the sort of ethics of boycotts have always been complicated when
00:19:44
◼
►
it's not like a black and white kind of pervasive issue like segregation or the bus boycott
00:19:54
◼
►
and stuff like that.
00:19:55
◼
►
This is slightly more nuanced, but I think if there's something you can do that's straightforward,
00:20:02
◼
►
like Mark would have said, just call a cab, use a different company, it's so easy to
00:20:05
◼
►
do, you should just do it.
00:20:08
◼
►
We are sponsored this week by Squarespace.
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00:20:20
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And if you have a project to do, it probably needs a website.
00:20:24
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But I bet the website itself probably isn't the project.
00:20:27
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You probably have something else.
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Whether the website is for a blog or a gallery or a new hobby or a new storefront.
00:20:35
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Those things all need websites.
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But the thing is, if you spend all your time working on your website itself, if you have
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days and weeks on end, or hiring someone to help you with all that stuff, you're not going
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And doing things in Squarespace is so incredibly easy
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00:21:25
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'Cause they give you a free trial, no credit card required.
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see how easy it is.
00:21:32
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I bet you're gonna be so impressed after that,
00:21:34
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that you're gonna just finish it up
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in probably another 15, 20 minutes.
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It's really fast, I'm telling you.
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And then you're done.
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to do whatever it is you made the site for.
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If the site's for somebody else,
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if they have any problems with it,
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00:22:14
◼
►
- So Marco, you had a big day today.
00:22:19
◼
►
As we record on Wednesday as per usual,
00:22:22
◼
►
Overcast ads are available for purchase
00:22:24
◼
►
from anyone that has an Overcast account,
00:22:27
◼
►
and that's exciting.
00:22:28
◼
►
And what surprised me, but really shouldn't have surprised me, you have a really neat
00:22:34
◼
►
little table here that's presumably all integrated with your ad backend that shows availability
00:22:39
◼
►
and prices and some analytics, sort of, kind of, some estimated analytics.
00:22:44
◼
►
And it's all much more mature than I would have expected.
00:22:47
◼
►
The way you painted it when we've talked, both on the show and privately, I don't know,
00:22:52
◼
►
I just got this impression that this was a little bit, I don't know, grab ass.
00:22:55
◼
►
But as it turns out, this is legit.
00:22:58
◼
►
This is the real deal.
00:22:59
◼
►
And you've clearly put a whole lot of work in it.
00:23:01
◼
►
- This is grab ass plus CSS.
00:23:05
◼
►
- Touche, sir.
00:23:06
◼
►
But anyway, this is super exciting.
00:23:08
◼
►
And you've already had a few categories sell out.
00:23:10
◼
►
So how's things going?
00:23:12
◼
►
I mean, it certainly looks from the outside
00:23:13
◼
►
like it's going really well.
00:23:15
◼
►
- I mean, so far it's going great.
00:23:17
◼
►
And you know, this is not an indication
00:23:19
◼
►
of how it's going to be going long term.
00:23:21
◼
►
Because no one, including me,
00:23:24
◼
►
and the people buying the ads,
00:23:26
◼
►
has any idea what is a podcast ad worth?
00:23:29
◼
►
'Cause some of these ads are for websites or apps,
00:23:33
◼
►
but most of them, by far, most of them are for podcasts.
00:23:37
◼
►
By the way, I love that ratio.
00:23:42
◼
►
I do want the ability to advertise for both types of things,
00:23:46
◼
►
but I also would prefer if most of the ads
00:23:48
◼
►
were podcast ads.
00:23:49
◼
►
And I actually considered having it actually be
00:23:52
◼
►
to separate inventory types.
00:23:55
◼
►
So it would actually sell separate slots,
00:23:57
◼
►
possibly at different prices.
00:23:58
◼
►
Like maybe podcast ads would be cheaper than website ads.
00:24:01
◼
►
And that was too much complexity,
00:24:03
◼
►
so I just didn't build that out.
00:24:04
◼
►
And I might do it later, but probably not.
00:24:07
◼
►
Basically, it's kinda cool that in a podcast app,
00:24:11
◼
►
I can now have ads for other podcasts,
00:24:14
◼
►
because it makes it kinda not feel like an ad anymore.
00:24:17
◼
►
And this is one of the reasons why I added the option
00:24:21
◼
►
for paying subscribers who normally just automatically
00:24:24
◼
►
wouldn't see any ads, I added a setting in settings
00:24:28
◼
►
for them, a checkbox, for them to turn the ads on.
00:24:31
◼
►
You know, for everyone else it just is on
00:24:33
◼
►
and they can't turn it off, but for paying people,
00:24:35
◼
►
one of the benefits normally that you're paying for
00:24:37
◼
►
is not to see ads, but these ads are kinda nice.
00:24:40
◼
►
Like it turned out really well and so far
00:24:43
◼
►
there are like podcasts and a good number of them
00:24:46
◼
►
and good quality ones buying the ads.
00:24:49
◼
►
I mean, I'm literally only about four hours or so
00:24:53
◼
►
into the ad sales, so it's very hard for me
00:24:57
◼
►
to really know what this is gonna be like long term,
00:24:59
◼
►
but in the short term, it's really easy.
00:25:02
◼
►
It's really nice, it's really nice.
00:25:05
◼
►
So I built the system, it's a pretty straightforward
00:25:08
◼
►
like basic database thing with basic tracking in the app
00:25:13
◼
►
of views, taps, and subscriptions.
00:25:15
◼
►
The payment is all through Stripe,
00:25:17
◼
►
'cause Stripe is amazing.
00:25:19
◼
►
I love Stripe so much.
00:25:21
◼
►
What did we do before Stripe?
00:25:23
◼
►
Actually, I'll tell you what we did before Stripe.
00:25:25
◼
►
PayPal, and it was a dark time.
00:25:27
◼
►
Oh my, was it a dark time.
00:25:29
◼
►
- I'm gonna tell you about dark times.
00:25:31
◼
►
Before PayPal, we had banks of modems
00:25:33
◼
►
that would dial the credit card companies
00:25:36
◼
►
and transfer information using archaic protocols
00:25:38
◼
►
from our Linux servers.
00:25:40
◼
►
Phone lines, actual phone lines.
00:25:41
◼
►
That's how we did credit card processing.
00:25:43
◼
►
- Was that actually worse than PayPal?
00:25:45
◼
►
I don't know.
00:25:46
◼
►
- Yes, it was worse.
00:25:47
◼
►
Have you ever tried to do subscriptions in PayPal?
00:25:49
◼
►
- Phone lines and modems are among the least friendly things
00:25:53
◼
►
you ever want to be wrangling at a data center
00:25:54
◼
►
that is not in the same building as you.
00:25:56
◼
►
- Have you ever used PayPal?
00:25:59
◼
►
I mean, PayPal will eventually freeze your account
00:26:01
◼
►
and take all your money,
00:26:02
◼
►
but the phone line situation made it so hard
00:26:04
◼
►
to even get money in the first place.
00:26:06
◼
►
- Yeah, well anyway, so this is all built using some,
00:26:09
◼
►
you know, nice easy stuff with Stripe as the payment gateway.
00:26:12
◼
►
I even accept Apple Pay, which is kind of cool
00:26:15
◼
►
'cause they make it really easy.
00:26:17
◼
►
So I literally, you put in a few HTML divs
00:26:19
◼
►
and you enable this thing on your site
00:26:21
◼
►
and then you have Apple Pay.
00:26:22
◼
►
So you can go to my site and buy an ad
00:26:24
◼
►
with your fingerprint in like three seconds.
00:26:27
◼
►
It's kind of awesome.
00:26:29
◼
►
It's incredibly satisfying.
00:26:31
◼
►
And so yeah, that's what I've been working on
00:26:33
◼
►
the last week or so is just building this system out.
00:26:37
◼
►
And there's still a lot I have to do.
00:26:39
◼
►
Like basically tomorrow I have to build a system
00:26:41
◼
►
to notify people when categories become available
00:26:44
◼
►
that are sold out.
00:26:45
◼
►
That's something I kind of added last minute tonight
00:26:46
◼
►
because a bunch of things sold out
00:26:48
◼
►
and I immediately got a bunch of emails from people saying,
00:26:49
◼
►
hey, I got here too late, my category sold out,
00:26:53
◼
►
can you put me up for the next one?
00:26:55
◼
►
And I don't really wanna get in the business
00:26:56
◼
►
of having to maintain a thousand different relationships
00:26:59
◼
►
with people and emailing them
00:27:00
◼
►
and then what if it sells beforehand,
00:27:01
◼
►
then they're out of luck and I email them.
00:27:03
◼
►
So I'm just gonna be able to very simple notify me thing.
00:27:06
◼
►
I already built the system to record your intention
00:27:09
◼
►
to be notified, I just haven't actually
00:27:10
◼
►
made the notifications yet
00:27:12
◼
►
because now I have 30 days to do that
00:27:14
◼
►
because all these ads have 30 day emails.
00:27:16
◼
►
- That is the most Marco thing.
00:27:18
◼
►
The most Marco comment I've ever heard.
00:27:20
◼
►
Oh, I don't have to worry about that for a month.
00:27:22
◼
►
- Yeah, and similarly, like, I want the ad to email
00:27:26
◼
►
the person who bought it when it expires to tell them,
00:27:29
◼
►
"Your ad has expired, click here if you want
00:27:31
◼
►
"to buy another one."
00:27:32
◼
►
And I haven't built that yet either,
00:27:34
◼
►
because I have 30 days to build that too.
00:27:37
◼
►
But yeah, so for the most part though,
00:27:38
◼
►
the system is pretty much, like, it's, you know,
00:27:41
◼
►
three quarters of the way done.
00:27:42
◼
►
Like, all the core stuff is there,
00:27:43
◼
►
accepting the payments, my admin interface to approve
00:27:48
◼
►
or reject and refund them, all sorts of payment handling
00:27:53
◼
►
things that were actually surprisingly easy
00:27:55
◼
►
'cause Stripe is so good.
00:27:56
◼
►
I mean, geez, Stripe kind of embarrasses
00:28:01
◼
►
everything else I do.
00:28:03
◼
►
Like, in like, every other part of this
00:28:06
◼
►
was more complicated and took more work and more fiddling
00:28:09
◼
►
than the entire payment processing.
00:28:12
◼
►
which is kind of amazing.
00:28:13
◼
►
- You would think that would have been the worst
00:28:15
◼
►
because that's arguably the most important
00:28:17
◼
►
since it involves money, but no, apparently not.
00:28:20
◼
►
So I have some questions.
00:28:21
◼
►
So you had made mention that you had,
00:28:23
◼
►
this took you like a week?
00:28:24
◼
►
So last I had heard, you had demo ads in the app.
00:28:28
◼
►
You know, obviously I'm on the beta,
00:28:31
◼
►
so I'm seeing these canned ads that,
00:28:33
◼
►
well I guess they weren't entirely demoed.
00:28:34
◼
►
They were kind of like first run ads.
00:28:36
◼
►
- They were real ads.
00:28:37
◼
►
I had just inputted them manually into the database.
00:28:40
◼
►
for people to buy them.
00:28:43
◼
►
- And so that was running for a little bit,
00:28:44
◼
►
and then how long did it take you to do this whole back end?
00:28:47
◼
►
You said about a week?
00:28:48
◼
►
- Yeah, about a week.
00:28:49
◼
►
Well, 'cause I already had the system
00:28:51
◼
►
between the app and the sync service,
00:28:54
◼
►
I already had the system to serve the ads to the app,
00:28:57
◼
►
have the app show them, record their stats,
00:29:00
◼
►
and then transmit the stats back on the next sync.
00:29:04
◼
►
And so I had basically the whole back end
00:29:07
◼
►
like serving and tracking the ads.
00:29:10
◼
►
So all I had to do was the creation, editing,
00:29:14
◼
►
and buying of the ads.
00:29:16
◼
►
And that's not a small amount of work,
00:29:18
◼
►
but in the grand scheme of things,
00:29:19
◼
►
it's only about half of it.
00:29:21
◼
►
- So when one goes to buy an ad,
00:29:23
◼
►
you select a price, and the first thing you're presented
00:29:27
◼
►
with is choose an ad type, and you can either search
00:29:28
◼
►
for a podcast or you can provide a URL.
00:29:31
◼
►
What happens after that?
00:29:33
◼
►
Would I be providing art or Blurb?
00:29:36
◼
►
what is customizable here?
00:29:40
◼
►
You don't have to pay until the very end.
00:29:41
◼
►
- So I'm not gonna--
00:29:42
◼
►
- I'm not gonna like send you an invoice.
00:29:43
◼
►
- Fair enough.
00:29:45
◼
►
- You will know when you're paying.
00:29:48
◼
►
- Works for me, I got a little scared,
00:29:50
◼
►
I don't wanna mess with it.
00:29:51
◼
►
All right, so I have a title, description--
00:29:52
◼
►
- You gotta support arrow keys in returning
00:29:54
◼
►
your auto completes, come on.
00:29:56
◼
►
- Oh, my big search, the podcast search box?
00:29:58
◼
►
Yeah, that's a big custom thing.
00:29:59
◼
►
- Yeah, if I hit down arrow to select and hit return,
00:30:02
◼
►
it's like nope.
00:30:04
◼
►
- Oh, I haven't looked at that code since 2014.
00:30:05
◼
►
It might support it easily, I'm not sure.
00:30:07
◼
►
I'm using this pure framework,
00:30:09
◼
►
which probably doesn't even exist anymore, I don't know.
00:30:12
◼
►
It was the smallest CSS type framework I could find in 2014,
00:30:17
◼
►
so I put it in, but anyway, it doesn't really matter.
00:30:20
◼
►
- It does not.
00:30:21
◼
►
- Oh, this is very slick.
00:30:22
◼
►
Okay, so I've put in,
00:30:24
◼
►
this is the difference between Jon and I.
00:30:25
◼
►
Jon is advertising for a podcast,
00:30:27
◼
►
presumably one that has other people on it.
00:30:29
◼
►
Me, I put in my own URL.
00:30:31
◼
►
But anyway. - Oh yeah.
00:30:32
◼
►
Marmot.org was this frequent test URL, don't worry.
00:30:36
◼
►
So I have a title, description, a URL, an optional image,
00:30:40
◼
►
and then what I really like is you have a little preview
00:30:43
◼
►
right then and there that shows you approximately
00:30:45
◼
►
what it'll look like, and then like you said,
00:30:47
◼
►
when you're ready, either Apple Pay or Pay with Card.
00:30:49
◼
►
Super cool, I really like this.
00:30:50
◼
►
And so basically the idea is you are either advertising
00:30:55
◼
►
for a podcast or anything that can relate to the web,
00:30:59
◼
►
anything that has a URL.
00:31:00
◼
►
- Yeah, so you know, apps, websites,
00:31:03
◼
►
You know, any website.
00:31:06
◼
►
- That's pretty cool.
00:31:07
◼
►
And so the initial take rate seems pretty good
00:31:11
◼
►
from what I can tell.
00:31:12
◼
►
I mean, you're sold out in a few different things.
00:31:14
◼
►
There's nothing that has no purchases.
00:31:19
◼
►
- Nope, that slot's available.
00:31:21
◼
►
- Oh, I'm sorry, I misread.
00:31:22
◼
►
- So health has no purchases.
00:31:24
◼
►
But there are other categories that have,
00:31:26
◼
►
all the other categories have at least one.
00:31:28
◼
►
- Ah, fair enough.
00:31:29
◼
►
- Well, so you obviously massively underpriced this stuff.
00:31:31
◼
►
I actually raised the prices about an hour ago
00:31:34
◼
►
because they sold too fast.
00:31:36
◼
►
- I noticed that.
00:31:37
◼
►
- I know, but it's too late.
00:31:39
◼
►
But anyway, live and learn.
00:31:40
◼
►
There'll be another 30 days.
00:31:42
◼
►
- I did kind of want this to be a quick sale
00:31:45
◼
►
because one of the big challenges that I went into this with
00:31:48
◼
►
is all those categories that say not enough data yet
00:31:52
◼
►
because I just haven't had test ads in those categories.
00:31:56
◼
►
And so I really need to know
00:31:59
◼
►
what categories even get good traffic?
00:32:02
◼
►
And then the pricing is kind of a guess.
00:32:04
◼
►
Like, you know, business sold out really quickly,
00:32:07
◼
►
and I had it in the low price category
00:32:09
◼
►
'cause I didn't think it was as high traffic
00:32:11
◼
►
as the other ones in Overcast.
00:32:13
◼
►
But now I'll find out if that's true or not.
00:32:16
◼
►
And if it is true, I'm gonna move it up
00:32:17
◼
►
to the dark gray section between all and the others.
00:32:20
◼
►
That's like the mid-price tier.
00:32:22
◼
►
- That's why you should have done an auction system
00:32:24
◼
►
because the market will decide what's valuable
00:32:26
◼
►
'cause it's not just the traffic,
00:32:27
◼
►
it's like how valuable are the people
00:32:28
◼
►
who listen to business podcasts.
00:32:29
◼
►
and maybe they all have lots of money
00:32:30
◼
►
and buy expensive stuff all the time
00:32:31
◼
►
so they're more valuable to advertise to.
00:32:33
◼
►
- Maybe, I mean, you know, I can adjust the prices
00:32:35
◼
►
obviously individually if I need to,
00:32:37
◼
►
but ultimately I would rather have the inventory
00:32:41
◼
►
sell out more often than to extract
00:32:44
◼
►
every possible last dollar out of the highest bidder
00:32:47
◼
►
because I want there to be a lot of ads in the system
00:32:49
◼
►
because that way people see a nice variety in their apps
00:32:51
◼
►
and it kinda gives more people a chance
00:32:54
◼
►
to advertise in the app.
00:32:56
◼
►
So that, I would prefer sold out inventory
00:32:59
◼
►
to necessarily the absolute highest price.
00:33:02
◼
►
Again, I have no idea how hard it's going to be
00:33:05
◼
►
to sell these ads in six months, a year.
00:33:09
◼
►
I have no idea.
00:33:10
◼
►
It could be really easy.
00:33:11
◼
►
This could require very little effort on my part,
00:33:13
◼
►
or I might have to actually start keeping this email list
00:33:16
◼
►
and quote, "Reaching out to people,"
00:33:19
◼
►
and reaching all over them to get them to buy an ad.
00:33:21
◼
►
I don't know.
00:33:22
◼
►
- If I then you'll be onto the next business model anyway,
00:33:24
◼
►
so it'll be fine.
00:33:26
◼
►
- That's true.
00:33:27
◼
►
- It's gonna be hard to beat this.
00:33:28
◼
►
If this keeps going, anywhere near what it is now,
00:33:32
◼
►
first of all, I've made today enough for something
00:33:37
◼
►
like eight months of the Google Ads.
00:33:39
◼
►
- Wow, that's awesome.
00:33:40
◼
►
- And I don't know if I'm gonna make this every month,
00:33:42
◼
►
but it certainly shows this was probably the right move.
00:33:47
◼
►
And if I even get a quarter of this, I'm happy with that.
00:33:52
◼
►
- Yeah, I feel like it's gonna go up.
00:33:54
◼
►
I feel like next month it's gonna be higher,
00:33:56
◼
►
because you have to raise the prices.
00:33:58
◼
►
you just have to. And then even if it slowly tapers off over the course of a few years,
00:34:01
◼
►
the only thing that will make you stop it, which is a thing that may happen, but the
00:34:05
◼
►
only thing that will make you stop it is if you find it too annoying. That is the thing
00:34:09
◼
►
that's going to gate this, I feel like.
00:34:11
◼
►
- Yeah, I mean that's certainly the main limiting factor is how much of my time will
00:34:15
◼
►
it take. But the good thing is, this is a really easy thing to have someone else help
00:34:20
◼
►
- Yeah, that's very true.
00:34:21
◼
►
- But right now, I'm doing it myself right now because I don't want to immediately
00:34:25
◼
►
outsource something like this because I wanna know,
00:34:26
◼
►
first of all, how it's doing.
00:34:28
◼
►
And the only way to do that is to really
00:34:29
◼
►
kind of run it myself.
00:34:30
◼
►
So I wanna know how it works for everybody
00:34:32
◼
►
all right up front.
00:34:33
◼
►
I wanna know what all the needs are,
00:34:35
◼
►
what the pain points are so I can fix them.
00:34:38
◼
►
And then I need to know, is this even the kind of thing
00:34:41
◼
►
I need to outsource to someone else?
00:34:43
◼
►
Or is it so little work that I can just do it myself?
00:34:46
◼
►
If it's sending 50 emails on one day a month,
00:34:50
◼
►
that's a decent amount of work,
00:34:51
◼
►
but I could probably just do that myself.
00:34:53
◼
►
So, you know, we'll see what it actually ends up being.
00:34:57
◼
►
Again, it's way too early to tell,
00:34:59
◼
►
but the very early indication suggests
00:35:02
◼
►
that it's pretty good.
00:35:04
◼
►
- This is super awesome.
00:35:04
◼
►
Now, so you're doing all the approving by hand
00:35:08
◼
►
using your little admin interface?
00:35:10
◼
►
- Have you had to deny anyone as yet
00:35:13
◼
►
that wasn't clearly just spamming you
00:35:15
◼
►
for the sake of being a jerk?
00:35:16
◼
►
- No, I mean, one of the things is
00:35:18
◼
►
you have to pay to even submit it.
00:35:19
◼
►
Like-- - Oh, right, yeah, sure.
00:35:21
◼
►
- In like the CRUD web app terms,
00:35:23
◼
►
it literally doesn't even save the database record
00:35:26
◼
►
until it has a payment.
00:35:27
◼
►
The payment's all in the temporary session post variables
00:35:32
◼
►
until it's paid.
00:35:34
◼
►
So that basically makes it un-spamable
00:35:36
◼
►
from a pure spam perspective.
00:35:38
◼
►
It puts up a pretty big barrier.
00:35:41
◼
►
And I am human reviewing them all
00:35:44
◼
►
to just make sure they're not obscene
00:35:46
◼
►
or hate content or anything else.
00:35:48
◼
►
And there was one, one person submitted one
00:35:51
◼
►
that had a word that some people might consider a bad word.
00:35:55
◼
►
It's not like one of the big ones,
00:35:56
◼
►
but it's like a kind of ancillary one.
00:35:58
◼
►
So I went back to that person.
00:36:00
◼
►
I'm like, hey, do you mind if I edit this?
00:36:02
◼
►
And we worked out a different copy,
00:36:03
◼
►
and then that was it, and I approved it.
00:36:04
◼
►
So that was the only one that even
00:36:06
◼
►
required any review at all.
00:36:09
◼
►
- And you know what's amazing about this?
00:36:11
◼
►
When Google sells ads on my behalf,
00:36:14
◼
►
I get something like, I think, 60% of it.
00:36:18
◼
►
When Apple sells anything on my behalf,
00:36:22
◼
►
I get 70% of it, or maybe a year later for subscriptions,
00:36:27
◼
►
if I'm lucky, 85% of it.
00:36:29
◼
►
When Google pays me money, it's money that I earned
00:36:33
◼
►
like six weeks ago that I finally get paid for.
00:36:35
◼
►
When Apple pays me my money, it's, again, similarly,
00:36:38
◼
►
about money I earned about six weeks ago.
00:36:40
◼
►
With these Stripe ads, I'm earning, I think,
00:36:43
◼
►
about 97% of what they sell for,
00:36:46
◼
►
and it gets deposited in my bank account in two days.
00:36:49
◼
►
- That's amazing.
00:36:50
◼
►
- It's really kind of amazing to be out of the
00:36:53
◼
►
walled garden ecosystem for once.
00:36:56
◼
►
- That's super cool.
00:36:57
◼
►
So, initial reaction, things are going great.
00:37:02
◼
►
- How do you think you're going to play
00:37:03
◼
►
with the pricing for now?
00:37:05
◼
►
Like, are you going to, I guess,
00:37:08
◼
►
suppose you sell out in the next 48 hours.
00:37:10
◼
►
There's really no impetus to mess with pricing
00:37:12
◼
►
until the end of the month, unless you wanna cut down
00:37:15
◼
►
of the people that ask to be notified, right?
00:37:18
◼
►
- Well, I guess, I mean,
00:37:21
◼
►
that's probably not a good business plan
00:37:22
◼
►
to cut down on the number of interested parties.
00:37:26
◼
►
- I guess what I'm saying is there's no reason
00:37:28
◼
►
for you to raise your prices now once you sell out
00:37:31
◼
►
unless you wanna prevent people from saying notify me.
00:37:34
◼
►
Let's say the all goes from, as we record,
00:37:37
◼
►
it's less than $1,000 and let's say
00:37:39
◼
►
it becomes 3,000 tomorrow.
00:37:41
◼
►
All you're really accomplishing since it's sold out
00:37:43
◼
►
is you're preventing me from being interested
00:37:46
◼
►
because maybe I would have spent less than 1,000
00:37:48
◼
►
but I'm not gonna spend 3,000, you know what I mean?
00:37:50
◼
►
So you don't really need to mess around with pricing
00:37:53
◼
►
for like 30 days, right?
00:37:55
◼
►
- Yeah, I mean for the most part,
00:37:57
◼
►
unless things are not selling,
00:37:58
◼
►
and then I might lower the price
00:37:59
◼
►
on things that are not selling, like that health category.
00:38:02
◼
►
But for the most part, I think I'm gonna treat this
00:38:05
◼
►
the same way I've treated any other kind of thing
00:38:07
◼
►
where I set the price for an ad.
00:38:09
◼
►
So our podcast ads, my website ads,
00:38:13
◼
►
when I sold RSS sponsorships, things like that.
00:38:16
◼
►
And the way I've done this basically is
00:38:18
◼
►
if they sell out way too fast when I go to sell them,
00:38:21
◼
►
I raise the price a little bit.
00:38:22
◼
►
Until things start selling still at a reasonable pace,
00:38:25
◼
►
like I don't want it to be like pulling teeth
00:38:26
◼
►
to get things sold, but slowly enough
00:38:29
◼
►
that it's not like a stampede
00:38:31
◼
►
and then I get 50 angry emails from people saying,
00:38:33
◼
►
oh I missed my chance to buy.
00:38:35
◼
►
Like you know, that's no good either.
00:38:36
◼
►
That also is not great for business necessarily.
00:38:39
◼
►
So I think I'm just gonna control the prices slowly
00:38:44
◼
►
and maybe when next month rolls around,
00:38:46
◼
►
I will see how it sells at the new higher price
00:38:50
◼
►
from an hour ago instead of the initial prices,
00:38:52
◼
►
which are about, I think about 30% lower.
00:38:54
◼
►
I'll see how it sells at these new kinda higher prices.
00:38:59
◼
►
And if it sells out just as fast,
00:39:01
◼
►
then maybe for the month after that,
00:39:03
◼
►
then maybe I'll raise it a little bit more.
00:39:04
◼
►
But if it's selling out at a reasonably healthy rate,
00:39:09
◼
►
then I'll just leave it the way it is, really.
00:39:12
◼
►
- You really nailed it, this looks great.
00:39:14
◼
►
- So let's assume this is super successful for a year,
00:39:18
◼
►
just for the sake of discussion.
00:39:20
◼
►
Are you at all interested in expanding,
00:39:22
◼
►
I think we talked about this a little bit,
00:39:23
◼
►
but are you at all interested in expanding
00:39:25
◼
►
into being like iAd for other people, so to speak?
00:39:29
◼
►
And either white labeling your ad platform
00:39:33
◼
►
or just extending your ad platform to anyone else's apps?
00:39:38
◼
►
- Probably not.
00:39:40
◼
►
Because once you become an ad network for other people,
00:39:43
◼
►
that's a very different business.
00:39:45
◼
►
And it's a much higher needs business
00:39:47
◼
►
for just dealing with people,
00:39:49
◼
►
dealing with everyone else's money,
00:39:50
◼
►
dealing with staffing, and dealing with people's issues.
00:39:53
◼
►
And it's a much bigger business.
00:39:55
◼
►
It's a much higher touch business.
00:39:57
◼
►
And this system I built kind of in response
00:40:01
◼
►
to other types of advertising I've done
00:40:04
◼
►
where it's like blog ads and podcast ads
00:40:06
◼
►
where a lot of times you have to reach out to sponsors,
00:40:10
◼
►
you have to coordinate with them
00:40:12
◼
►
via four or five different emails,
00:40:14
◼
►
you eventually put the ad in your,
00:40:15
◼
►
you book the ad in your system, you do the ad,
00:40:17
◼
►
and then you have to invoice them.
00:40:19
◼
►
And then they might take six months to pay the invoice.
00:40:21
◼
►
Like we've seen the whole spectrum.
00:40:24
◼
►
Some people pay the next day,
00:40:26
◼
►
some people pay a year later or not at all.
00:40:28
◼
►
And it's a very just intensive process.
00:40:32
◼
►
And there are tools like FreshBooks that make it easier,
00:40:35
◼
►
but it's still a lot of just human work
00:40:39
◼
►
and just dealing with administration
00:40:41
◼
►
to just do the basics of selling and getting paid.
00:40:44
◼
►
And so with this, I really created this
00:40:46
◼
►
to be as simple as possible.
00:40:48
◼
►
And this is actually one of the things
00:40:49
◼
►
that's gonna keep the prices kinda low
00:40:51
◼
►
because most big companies who would sponsor things
00:40:55
◼
►
like this, who would buy these ads,
00:40:56
◼
►
if it's below a certain price,
00:40:58
◼
►
oftentimes that's $1,000, it requires less of a process
00:41:02
◼
►
for them to approve the payment.
00:41:04
◼
►
So a lot of the big companies, if it's more than that,
00:41:06
◼
►
you'll have to go through an official requisition process
00:41:10
◼
►
or some other garbage full of paperwork and overhead.
00:41:13
◼
►
But if it's lower, if it's a sub $1,000 price for something,
00:41:19
◼
►
a lot of times you can just put that on a credit card
00:41:23
◼
►
and be done with it and not have to worry too much about it.
00:41:26
◼
►
So I wanna keep these prices in that range
00:41:29
◼
►
so that way I can have the system I have now,
00:41:31
◼
►
which is, look, if you want one of these,
00:41:33
◼
►
It's self-serve.
00:41:34
◼
►
You go to my site, you set it up, you pay right there.
00:41:39
◼
►
I don't even see it until you pay,
00:41:41
◼
►
because I don't wanna have to be chasing you down
00:41:43
◼
►
in a year 'cause you didn't pay your invoice.
00:41:44
◼
►
I hate that so much.
00:41:47
◼
►
And so this system is very much keeping it
00:41:49
◼
►
as simple as I possibly can keep it.
00:41:51
◼
►
And part of that, it requires that the prices be kinda low.
00:41:54
◼
►
That definitely requires that everything remains self-serve,
00:41:57
◼
►
and it requires that not a lot that I'm doing
00:41:59
◼
►
involves human interaction from me,
00:42:01
◼
►
because if that's what it ends up needing to be,
00:42:04
◼
►
I'll have to hire someone else to help me
00:42:05
◼
►
'cause I don't have the time to be dealing
00:42:07
◼
►
with a lot of effort into the system.
00:42:10
◼
►
But in order to keep it that size and that scale,
00:42:14
◼
►
I basically have to keep it my app only.
00:42:16
◼
►
I can't become an ad network for any other apps
00:42:19
◼
►
because that will by nature make it a bigger,
00:42:23
◼
►
more complicated thing, the prices would probably go up,
00:42:26
◼
►
I'd have to start dealing with people's
00:42:27
◼
►
stupid invoice systems, and I just don't wanna deal with that
00:42:30
◼
►
It's not the business I want to be in.
00:42:32
◼
►
- Oh, this makes a lot of sense.
00:42:33
◼
►
The thing that impresses me about you is that,
00:42:37
◼
►
maybe I'm just a big wimp,
00:42:39
◼
►
but the audacity of doing something like this,
00:42:41
◼
►
like, oh, screw it, I'll sell my own ads, why not?
00:42:44
◼
►
There's no way in a million years,
00:42:46
◼
►
maybe I would have had the thought if I were in your shoes,
00:42:49
◼
►
but I'd look at this and be like,
00:42:50
◼
►
yeah, I'm not gonna do that.
00:42:51
◼
►
There's no way that'll work.
00:42:52
◼
►
And good on you for not only having the,
00:42:57
◼
►
I don't know, fortitude to do it,
00:42:59
◼
►
but to make it happen so far seems successful.
00:43:02
◼
►
Like Jon has said, I think the ticking time bomb
00:43:05
◼
►
is about a year away until you do
00:43:07
◼
►
another business model change,
00:43:08
◼
►
so I'm expecting this will fail miserably.
00:43:09
◼
►
- I mean, I was just mostly doing that as a joke,
00:43:12
◼
►
'cause like Marlowe said, if it continues like this
00:43:14
◼
►
or better, there's no reason to do it.
00:43:16
◼
►
- Totally. - Like I said,
00:43:17
◼
►
unless somehow it becomes too much of a burden
00:43:19
◼
►
for Marco to deal with it, I don't see how it would,
00:43:21
◼
►
because everything he just outlined
00:43:22
◼
►
about how he doesn't have to do anything
00:43:24
◼
►
and doesn't have to chase people for money
00:43:26
◼
►
and doesn't have to get money on behalf of other people,
00:43:28
◼
►
Like, you know, again, maybe he's leaving money
00:43:31
◼
►
on the table by saying, oh, I'm gonna try to keep it
00:43:33
◼
►
in the petty cash range, but if that's enough money,
00:43:36
◼
►
then it's fine and it should be sustainable.
00:43:39
◼
►
Same, could've probably been set up at all the past plans,
00:43:41
◼
►
so again, we have to wait to see how it's gonna be,
00:43:43
◼
►
but if it actually continues like this sustainably,
00:43:46
◼
►
I don't really see any reason for him to change models.
00:43:49
◼
►
- Yeah, I mean-- - I completely agree.
00:43:50
◼
►
- And 'cause like, the sales would have to go down a lot
00:43:54
◼
►
for it to make sense for me to look at another model again,
00:43:57
◼
►
because right now I have pretty much everything I want.
00:44:00
◼
►
I have a way to get sustainable income.
00:44:03
◼
►
I have my paying subscriber still,
00:44:06
◼
►
which is its own nice sustainable income
00:44:09
◼
►
that can almost support the whole business by itself.
00:44:12
◼
►
So this is kind of just bonus money
00:44:13
◼
►
and this is monetizing all the free users finally
00:44:16
◼
►
in a way that actually works
00:44:17
◼
►
because the ads really didn't do that well enough,
00:44:19
◼
►
the previous ads.
00:44:21
◼
►
So this is kind of a great system.
00:44:23
◼
►
As long as it continues to sell the inventory
00:44:26
◼
►
at any reasonable rate.
00:44:28
◼
►
And day one, again, it's impossible to say.
00:44:31
◼
►
I mean, once you have the kind of audience that my app has,
00:44:36
◼
►
I could sell out day one pretty easily.
00:44:40
◼
►
But the question is, what happens on day 365
00:44:44
◼
►
when people have had a year worth of buying these ads
00:44:47
◼
►
to see what they're actually worth,
00:44:48
◼
►
and what if they're worth a lot less
00:44:50
◼
►
than what I'm charging?
00:44:51
◼
►
Obviously I have to lower my prices,
00:44:52
◼
►
but what are they worth?
00:44:53
◼
►
We don't know.
00:44:55
◼
►
I don't think there's ever been a system
00:44:57
◼
►
where you could advertise for a podcast
00:44:59
◼
►
in a podcast player.
00:45:01
◼
►
So this is really a complete unknown
00:45:03
◼
►
for both me and the advertisers.
00:45:06
◼
►
We have no idea what a subscriber is worth,
00:45:09
◼
►
or how much these subscribers stick around.
00:45:13
◼
►
If you get a subscriber through an ad,
00:45:15
◼
►
how many of them are still subscribed in a year?
00:45:16
◼
►
We don't know.
00:45:18
◼
►
And so it's the great unknown right now,
00:45:20
◼
►
but day one suggests that there's basically
00:45:25
◼
►
a very wide buffer here for things to need
00:45:31
◼
►
to be scaled down if necessary,
00:45:32
◼
►
if it ends up the economics don't work very well.
00:45:35
◼
►
I can scale this way down and it's still worth doing.
00:45:38
◼
►
So that to me shows that this is probably a good idea.
00:45:42
◼
►
By the way, there's also other controls I have,
00:45:44
◼
►
like I can increase the number of slots that sell.
00:45:48
◼
►
You know, like in certain categories,
00:45:49
◼
►
If they demand that the price be below a certain level
00:45:54
◼
►
to sell them very often, I can just put more slots there.
00:45:57
◼
►
This is a known thing to do.
00:46:00
◼
►
People have been dealing with ad-based business
00:46:02
◼
►
for quite a long time now.
00:46:03
◼
►
We know how to do it.
00:46:04
◼
►
And as long as the ads are valuable at all,
00:46:08
◼
►
you can usually make it work.
00:46:10
◼
►
And I think what we're seeing so far
00:46:12
◼
►
is that I think these are valuable.
00:46:13
◼
►
The only question is just how valuable.
00:46:15
◼
►
But that's really just minor tweaks over time.
00:46:17
◼
►
that's not like having to rethink the whole system.
00:46:20
◼
►
- Yeah, that's super cool.
00:46:21
◼
►
I'm really impressed, really proud of you.
00:46:23
◼
►
That's good work.
00:46:25
◼
►
- Couple other very quick questions.
00:46:27
◼
►
Would you consider open sourcing this ad backend
00:46:30
◼
►
so that other people can copy all your hard work for free?
00:46:33
◼
►
- Probably not, but it's not out of like a
00:46:36
◼
►
guarding my hard work kind of attitude.
00:46:38
◼
►
It's more just like a lot of it is pretty intertwined
00:46:41
◼
►
with Overcast, so it wouldn't make a lot of sense
00:46:44
◼
►
for this to be used for anybody else.
00:46:47
◼
►
You know, like, this is really an ad network
00:46:49
◼
►
for podcasts on Overcast that happens
00:46:51
◼
►
to also work for websites.
00:46:53
◼
►
So, like, you know, it's not,
00:46:54
◼
►
it's pretty custom to Overcast.
00:46:58
◼
►
And most of the hard stuff is payment processing,
00:47:02
◼
►
which I don't even, you know,
00:47:04
◼
►
anybody can integrate Stripe and do that.
00:47:06
◼
►
So it's, yeah, there's not a lot of value to that.
00:47:09
◼
►
- Fair enough.
00:47:10
◼
►
And finally, where's my swipe to delete?
00:47:14
◼
►
- I was doing this.
00:47:15
◼
►
So I haven't done that yet.
00:47:16
◼
►
I'm gonna tackle that probably next week.
00:47:18
◼
►
- It's got 30 days to do swipe to delete,
00:47:20
◼
►
is that how this works?
00:47:22
◼
►
Well, I have 29 days to do it,
00:47:23
◼
►
and then one day to make all these notifications.
00:47:25
◼
►
- Fair enough.
00:47:26
◼
►
I take back all the nice things you said,
00:47:28
◼
►
unless you give me my swipe to delete.
00:47:32
◼
►
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So today, I think it was today, there was a rumor that broke that came out of the Wall Street Journal,
00:49:21
◼
►
which is usually pretty well sourced. In fact, usually well sourced enough that we all kind of
00:49:26
◼
►
believe that Apple goes to the Wall Street Journal and says, "Hey, would you talk about this, please?"
00:49:30
◼
►
And the Wall Street Journal has said that the iPhone 8, or whatever it may be called,
00:49:36
◼
►
will have USB-C. And at first I thought, oh, this means that it'll have lightning on the
00:49:43
◼
►
phone and USB-C on the other end of the cable instead of USB, what is it, B? A? I always
00:49:49
◼
►
get it confused.
00:49:51
◼
►
>> Whatever the, A, thank you, whatever today is.
00:49:53
◼
►
>> B is the Pentagon on printers.
00:49:54
◼
►
>> Ah, right, okay. So anyway, so I assumed, oh, that just means that the cable will go
00:49:59
◼
►
from lightning to USB-C, that makes sense, most, pretty much all the laptops are USB-C,
00:50:04
◼
►
fine. But upon further inspection it sounds like no no no the phone itself
00:50:09
◼
►
will actually be USB-C. And I have really conflicting opinions about this because
00:50:16
◼
►
my gut reaction is no no I do not want this. I have a crud load of lightning
00:50:23
◼
►
cables, lightning is really small, and I don't want to mess with that. What good
00:50:29
◼
►
does this do me?" And I think that that's in large part because off the top of my head,
00:50:35
◼
►
I don't think I own a single device that supports USB-C. So I guess you could make the argument
00:50:42
◼
►
I'm living in the past, and if you make the argument I'm living in the past, then I guess
00:50:45
◼
►
really this is the future? And maybe I should be using USB-C and I should embrace my future
00:50:52
◼
►
USB-C overlords. So John, Marco and I were talking a lot earlier. What do you think about
00:50:58
◼
►
all this. This is a weird rumor because like you said it is in the Wall Street Journal which is
00:51:06
◼
►
usually like the end stage of life for rumors if they graduate all the way up to potential leak and
00:51:12
◼
►
end up in the Wall Street Journal. But as so many people have pointed out it is so poorly written
00:51:18
◼
►
that we can't even tell. It's like it was written by someone who doesn't understand any of the
00:51:22
◼
►
things involved. They don't understand how phones work. They don't understand what these different
00:51:26
◼
►
standards for connectors are. They don't understand what a port is because they wrote it in such a way
00:51:30
◼
►
they were all reading it going, "What are you even trying to say?" Just like Casey said, "Are you just
00:51:35
◼
►
saying that the other end of the connector will be C? Are you saying the phone will have a USB-C port?
00:51:41
◼
►
Are you saying iPads will have USB-C ports in addition to the lightning bolt? What are you even
00:51:44
◼
►
saying? This is the worst leak ever. You have to leak in a coherent way so we can at least understand
00:51:50
◼
►
the thing that you're telling us is supposed to be coming. But so I've kind of discounted,
00:51:54
◼
►
or not discounted, but I've set aside how this rumor is being communicated. I've chosen to believe
00:52:01
◼
►
that what these things are trying to tell us is exactly what Casey said, and that if you pick up
00:52:06
◼
►
an iPhone in the future and look at the bottom of it, instead of a lightning port, you'll see a USB-C
00:52:11
◼
►
port like every other, you know, Android phone and all the other things that are out there, right?
00:52:15
◼
►
That's what I'm choosing to think this is trying to tell me, and then I'm thinking about that.
00:52:19
◼
►
If it's trying to tell me something different, like, "Oh, the other end of the lightning
00:52:23
◼
►
cable is going to be USB-C," that is a super boring rumor, and I guess we could kind of
00:52:28
◼
►
get upset about that because, as has been pointed out in many places before, that's
00:52:31
◼
►
cool for Apple's ecosystem, and it kind of makes sense, and it kind of gets back to the
00:52:35
◼
►
whole iPhone 7 thing where, like, "Oh, you buy an iPhone 7 and a new MacBook Pro, and
00:52:38
◼
►
you can't even plug them in because there's no place to put the USB-A connector."
00:52:42
◼
►
That's true and all, but USB-A is everywhere as a charging port.
00:52:45
◼
►
It's on my luggage, for crying out loud.
00:52:49
◼
►
It is everywhere.
00:52:51
◼
►
So there's an argument to be had there that Apple doing that would be maybe an Apple-y
00:52:55
◼
►
thing to do.
00:52:56
◼
►
It would be like, "Oh, you should just, you know, you should be in an Apple ecosystem.
00:52:59
◼
►
Our Power Brooks have USB-C connectors.
00:53:01
◼
►
That's the future of LBLOB."
00:53:03
◼
►
Anyway, I'm ignoring that and I'm just pretending they're telling me that there's going to be
00:53:06
◼
►
USB-C port on iPhones.
00:53:09
◼
►
And I'm of two minds on this.
00:53:13
◼
►
Like I feel like there are strong arguments on both sides, both strong arguments for why
00:53:18
◼
►
this would be good and bad and also surprisingly strong arguments for why Apple wouldn't wouldn't
00:53:24
◼
►
do this. Like usually it's the opposite. It's like, okay, well there's arguments for and against not
00:53:29
◼
►
a tech wise, but then when you bring Apple into the picture and you say, would Apple do this? Like
00:53:33
◼
►
there's only one strong argument for like that tech stuff aside, we know Apple would definitely
00:53:39
◼
►
do a thing like this or would never do a thing like this. And with Apple in the state it is,
00:53:44
◼
►
I think you can look to Apple and say very strongly they both would do something like this
00:53:51
◼
►
and wouldn't do something like this and for the tech you can say this is an awesome tech idea
00:53:54
◼
►
and this is a bad tech idea. So on the tech side I would say why is this a bad idea?
00:53:59
◼
►
Because lightning is smaller and you know that every connector every millimeter on a connector
00:54:06
◼
►
is some number of months or years off its life as Apple makes things ever thinner and thinner
00:54:11
◼
►
you're going to hit the limit of USB-C before you hit the limit of lightning. Not much before,
00:54:16
◼
►
it's like probably like fractions of a millimeter or something, but a little bit before. Lightning
00:54:20
◼
►
is smaller than USB-C, so there's that. On the other side of the tech thing, and this is a little
00:54:25
◼
►
bit of an unknown here, lightning, we don't know how unreliable lightning is. Like we have anecdotal
00:54:31
◼
►
evidence of weird connector scorching and stuff. Apple knows for sure what their warranty repair
00:54:36
◼
►
thing is, you know, and also there's the Apple cables themselves, which really has nothing to do
00:54:40
◼
►
to do with connector and everything to do with Apple's uncomfortable relationship with
00:54:44
◼
►
strain relief on cables, where they apparently make things that don't hold up that well under
00:54:52
◼
►
rough usage.
00:54:54
◼
►
But there is a tech argument to be made for the fact that lightning is smaller, but also
00:55:01
◼
►
the fact that USB-C, and someone will correct me if I'm wrong, inverts the relationship
00:55:07
◼
►
of springy pieces of metal and stationary pieces of metal,
00:55:11
◼
►
where the connector is stationary and solid
00:55:13
◼
►
and has these contacts on it, which is great
00:55:14
◼
►
and makes that connector sturdy.
00:55:16
◼
►
But the inside of the device has the little
00:55:18
◼
►
springy metal fingers that touch the contact points.
00:55:20
◼
►
So if those little springy metal fingers
00:55:22
◼
►
get fatigued or bent up or fail to make good contact,
00:55:27
◼
►
that's inside your phone and you've got a problem.
00:55:29
◼
►
Whereas a USB-C connector is,
00:55:32
◼
►
I believe the springy bits are in the cable
00:55:35
◼
►
and inside the connector is the stiff stationary thing.
00:55:37
◼
►
I'm using the tactical terms for all this, I'm sure.
00:55:40
◼
►
And so if the little springy bits that make contact with the stationary thing fatigue,
00:55:46
◼
►
throw out the cable and get a new cable.
00:55:48
◼
►
So that is a tech argument on the side of USB-C. And then again, I guess on the connectors
00:55:55
◼
►
themselves you've got the business side of like, well, Apple gets money for Lightning
00:55:59
◼
►
connectors, people can't make peripherals without it, and that's a good and a bad thing
00:56:01
◼
►
because good Apple makes money and can control it.
00:56:03
◼
►
bad that apple has to approve every peripheral. um yeah so that's like you can is there arguments
00:56:11
◼
►
about side for the tech thing and then let's move over to apple is this a thing apple would do or
00:56:16
◼
►
is this an apple thing apple wouldn't do and i think probably as soon as like a couple years
00:56:22
◼
►
in the past we all would have said regardless of all that tech stuff we just talked about
00:56:27
◼
►
apple will never do this because apple loves things super thin and apple love things proprietary
00:56:32
◼
►
and Apple is not so much in love with conforming to industry standards just for the hell of it,
00:56:36
◼
►
right? That would be the only side of this argument. You'd all be like, "Yep, totally,
00:56:40
◼
►
like that's the Apple." But today's Apple? Today's Apple is doing things the old Apple
00:56:46
◼
►
didn't do, both good and bad, and has sowed enough doubt in my mind that I'm now envisioning
00:56:52
◼
►
these boardroom conversations where somebody high up says, "Tell me again what the advantages are
00:57:01
◼
►
of the our proprietary lightning connector versus USB-C and maybe this comes up because of
00:57:06
◼
►
large numbers of warranty repairs or you know who knows what the inciting incident is but someone
00:57:13
◼
►
says remind me again why we've been doing this lightning thing for five years like what advantage
00:57:17
◼
►
do we continue to have over USB-C especially now that we spread USB-C to all of our max and our
00:57:27
◼
►
power brick connectors and you know all that stuff and presumably if they ever release new
00:57:33
◼
►
max they will expand it to even more of them. why are we still using lightning n? i'm not saying
00:57:38
◼
►
there's not a reason but just you know just go over it again for me like tell me again what the
00:57:42
◼
►
advantages are for someone like here's our revenue from our made for iphone program and here's what
00:57:47
◼
►
we've been able to do with the connector but changing the pins through software and we're
00:57:51
◼
►
We're not beholden to the USB consortium and here this blah blah blah and
00:57:57
◼
►
There's an argument within the company. It says that's those are compelling arguments now
00:58:01
◼
►
Here's what we would get with USB C everywhere would be the same one connector for power data
00:58:10
◼
►
adapters for networking like across
00:58:13
◼
►
Max and all IOS devices including the future much bigger iPads that we're surely making with multiple USB connectors on them
00:58:19
◼
►
Right, right Apple? Making those? Anyway.
00:58:22
◼
►
Yeah, I'm sure there's a reason to make that.
00:58:23
◼
►
Once you standardize on just literally one omnidirectional connector that's really small
00:58:30
◼
►
across all your products, that's an advantage. And you get to take advantage of the ecosystem
00:58:37
◼
►
of existing USB-C peripherals, which presumably will only grow as other things adopted. So,
00:58:42
◼
►
in Apple five years ago, I can't imagine this discussion even taking place in serious ways.
00:58:48
◼
►
Apple today, I can imagine this discussion being had prompted by whatever, and I can imagine the
00:58:53
◼
►
USB-C contingent inside Apple winning the argument and saying, "We're going to go with the industry
00:58:58
◼
►
standard, even though it is worse in a few ways tech-wise, because it's also better in a few ways
00:59:03
◼
►
tech-wise." And there's an ecosystem advantage, not just for Apple and non-Apple companies,
00:59:09
◼
►
but for Apple's own products internally to standardize them. Because there's never been
00:59:13
◼
►
been a chance to do that before. At no time in the past has there been any viable choice
00:59:18
◼
►
for a standard connector for like iPods and all Macs, except for I guess when it was Firewire,
00:59:23
◼
►
but that was hardly viable and Firewire was definitely not the standard across all Macs.
00:59:27
◼
►
They had Macs that didn't even have it on it. So here we are and I find myself incredibly
00:59:34
◼
►
believing a rumor that a future iPhone would have a USB-C connector on it because, you
00:59:38
◼
►
know, it's not a slam dunk and I'm not even saying it's higher than 50/50, but I would
00:59:42
◼
►
say it is 50/50 in my mind, that tech-wise, coin flip.
00:59:48
◼
►
Would Apple do it?
00:59:50
◼
►
That's where I come down on this.
00:59:52
◼
►
Do you want them to?
00:59:53
◼
►
I kind of do, because if they're going to standardize on USB-C everywhere, I'm sold
01:00:01
◼
►
on the uniformity win.
01:00:03
◼
►
And I'm also kind of sort of sold on the durability win, with the little bendy finger thingies.
01:00:10
◼
►
I have no data on the reliability thing.
01:00:12
◼
►
And of course all my connectors still work, and I don't have these problems that people
01:00:17
◼
►
Of course they do.
01:00:18
◼
►
Of course, you know.
01:00:19
◼
►
Although my wife said she had one of hers that had the little scorch mark.
01:00:21
◼
►
I looked at it, it wasn't like Markoz was.
01:00:23
◼
►
But just mechanically speaking, I love the Lightning connector to the fact that it was
01:00:28
◼
►
solid and didn't have any little fragile pins in it and everything, but the fact that
01:00:32
◼
►
those little fragile fingers are inside the phones, I can see that being a problem.
01:00:36
◼
►
But anyway, I don't have data on this.
01:00:39
◼
►
But I'm willing to believe.
01:00:41
◼
►
And so if they did it, I won't be angry.
01:00:43
◼
►
I'll be kind of proud of them for being surprisingly pragmatic and courageous.
01:00:48
◼
►
And for—yeah, kind of.
01:00:51
◼
►
Not so much courageous in terms of like, we're willing to take the heat.
01:00:55
◼
►
Because I think they wouldn't actually—that's the other aspect of this.
01:00:58
◼
►
Some people are getting angry like, "You just changed the connector.
01:01:02
◼
►
You're changing it again."
01:01:03
◼
►
Well, first of all, "just" is a relative term.
01:01:05
◼
►
The 30-pin connector was around for almost 10 years.
01:01:08
◼
►
And so, you know, I think that's a good run.
01:01:12
◼
►
This is slightly more than half of that.
01:01:14
◼
►
If they ended up swapping this out and slowly transitioning, it would be like five, six
01:01:17
◼
►
years by the time they were done transitioning everything, right?
01:01:20
◼
►
All the products they sold.
01:01:22
◼
►
That's a little bit, that's, you know, it's shorter than a 30 pin, but unlike the 30 pin
01:01:28
◼
►
to Lightning, they wouldn't be changing one proprietary connector for another.
01:01:32
◼
►
They would actually be moving to where everybody else already is.
01:01:35
◼
►
So I think actually people wouldn't be all that mad about it.
01:01:38
◼
►
you'll be mad, I'll have these lightning cables. What the hell do I do with them?"
01:01:41
◼
►
There is a PR and real win there to say, "But we moved to the standard. We moved to the industry
01:01:48
◼
►
standard." So now, if you're in a mixed household with Android and iOS devices, you don't have to
01:01:52
◼
►
have two separate charging cables. And the thing that you use to charge your Mac can also charge
01:01:57
◼
►
your phone. And there's a story to be had there to sell this so that it is less impact. So that it's
01:02:04
◼
►
It's basically, even though it hasn't been around
01:02:06
◼
►
for 10 years, we're not moving to another proprietary one.
01:02:09
◼
►
We're not screwing you over, moving to the
01:02:11
◼
►
industry standard, so people will be less angry
01:02:13
◼
►
for a shorter period of time, I think.
01:02:16
◼
►
- Yeah, I pretty much agree with Jon.
01:02:18
◼
►
If you would've asked me a year ago, I would've said,
01:02:21
◼
►
"Oh, why would they kill Lightning?
01:02:23
◼
►
"That's dumb, this might even come up a year ago."
01:02:25
◼
►
I might've said exactly that, who knows?
01:02:26
◼
►
But the way I feel about it now, now that I've had
01:02:30
◼
►
my USB-C MacBook Pro for a few months,
01:02:33
◼
►
and I have a few USB-C cables,
01:02:36
◼
►
and now I have the stupid thing
01:02:37
◼
►
where I have half of my cables are that kind
01:02:39
◼
►
and half are another kind, and it's really annoying.
01:02:42
◼
►
And on the phone, it's a little bit different
01:02:45
◼
►
than a laptop 'cause it's the other end of the cable,
01:02:47
◼
►
but it is kind of annoying when I'm packing for a trip
01:02:51
◼
►
and I'm packing my charging cables
01:02:53
◼
►
that most of what I use charges via Lightning,
01:02:57
◼
►
but not all of what I use.
01:02:59
◼
►
I still have to have some mini USB cables,
01:03:02
◼
►
and now I have a USB-C cable for this new laptop
01:03:05
◼
►
and probably anything I get in the future
01:03:07
◼
►
will be USB-C cables.
01:03:08
◼
►
There is a lot, you know, like the EU has mandated
01:03:11
◼
►
certain charge cable standards for a while
01:03:13
◼
►
and the reason why is because this actually generates
01:03:17
◼
►
tons of waste, like all the different waste cables
01:03:20
◼
►
that people have to buy separately
01:03:22
◼
►
and then wear out separately, throw away separately
01:03:25
◼
►
and have all these different connectors and everything.
01:03:28
◼
►
It actually does hurt progress in a number of big ways
01:03:30
◼
►
to have all these proprietary things.
01:03:33
◼
►
I think all you have to do to decide
01:03:36
◼
►
whether this is a good idea or not,
01:03:37
◼
►
kind of in theory, is to think if they were designing
01:03:42
◼
►
the iPhone 5, the first cable,
01:03:45
◼
►
the first phone not to use the dock connector,
01:03:47
◼
►
if they were designing that today,
01:03:49
◼
►
would they still make lightning today
01:03:51
◼
►
in a world where USB-C exists,
01:03:53
◼
►
or would they just use USB-C?
01:03:55
◼
►
And it's kind of, if you do the mental exercise,
01:03:57
◼
►
what would be the right thing to do
01:04:00
◼
►
if they had a clean start today,
01:04:02
◼
►
if there was no legacy to worry about,
01:04:04
◼
►
no established devices out there in the world,
01:04:07
◼
►
what would be the right choice?
01:04:09
◼
►
And I think it's very clear USB-C would be the right choice.
01:04:13
◼
►
Assuming it is probably more resilient
01:04:15
◼
►
because of having the pins on the cable instead of the plug,
01:04:18
◼
►
things like that, but also just because it is clearly
01:04:22
◼
►
a really good, very soon to be very widespread
01:04:26
◼
►
industry standard, and there's a lot of benefits to that.
01:04:30
◼
►
Like, Apple does love a good proprietary port
01:04:33
◼
►
when they can make one.
01:04:34
◼
►
They do love that.
01:04:35
◼
►
They'll take advantage when they can.
01:04:37
◼
►
But not always.
01:04:38
◼
►
Sometimes they just use standard things,
01:04:40
◼
►
like USB, like on the Macs.
01:04:42
◼
►
For a long time, they used a standard headphone jack
01:04:46
◼
►
because it wasn't worth making
01:04:48
◼
►
their own custom headphone jack.
01:04:50
◼
►
Like, the world had a standard for this thing
01:04:52
◼
►
and they used it.
01:04:53
◼
►
And most of the time, they do that.
01:04:56
◼
►
Most of the time, that's the choice they make.
01:04:58
◼
►
And right now I think it's very, very clear that,
01:05:01
◼
►
you know, like when they made the dock connector,
01:05:02
◼
►
that was a special purpose thing they made for iPods,
01:05:05
◼
►
then they later adapted it.
01:05:06
◼
►
When they made Lightning,
01:05:07
◼
►
there was nothing better for them to move to.
01:05:09
◼
►
Like the industry, you know, the USB consortium
01:05:12
◼
►
and their people were designing God knows what
01:05:14
◼
►
with all those crazy, like the USB 3B connector.
01:05:17
◼
►
- Mini micro USB, the seven connectors they have
01:05:20
◼
►
to my digital cameras in the house.
01:05:22
◼
►
- Yeah. - They all look
01:05:23
◼
►
almost the same.
01:05:24
◼
►
- Yeah, and that like, pretty much everything
01:05:26
◼
►
the USB people have ever designed from a cable perspective,
01:05:29
◼
►
or from a connection perspective rather,
01:05:31
◼
►
has been horrendous before USB-C.
01:05:32
◼
►
It's no coincidence that Apple allegedly
01:05:35
◼
►
had a very big role in USB-C,
01:05:36
◼
►
possibly even designing the whole thing themselves
01:05:38
◼
►
and just like handing it to the USB people and saying here.
01:05:40
◼
►
- Yeah, that's another reason by the way
01:05:41
◼
►
that this argument could be won inside Apple,
01:05:43
◼
►
because whatever sort of not invented here,
01:05:46
◼
►
Apple pride things may be preventing it,
01:05:48
◼
►
like with Lightning we made,
01:05:49
◼
►
they'd be like, we kinda made USB-C too,
01:05:51
◼
►
so we're all good in the pride area.
01:05:54
◼
►
Even if the world doesn't know it,
01:05:55
◼
►
here at Apple know that we kind of made this too.
01:05:58
◼
►
So that's why I can imagine this argument
01:06:01
◼
►
being one inside Apple.
01:06:03
◼
►
And so today, no question, the right move,
01:06:08
◼
►
if you were starting fresh, would be USB-C.
01:06:11
◼
►
And so the only question is, is it worth it for Apple
01:06:14
◼
►
to endure the transition costs to get to that point?
01:06:19
◼
►
And I think, you know, Apple, I made a joke about
01:06:23
◼
►
courage earlier referring to their wonderful justification
01:06:26
◼
►
for moving the headphone jack,
01:06:27
◼
►
but I think ditching Lightning this year
01:06:30
◼
►
and going to USB-C in this new fancy phone,
01:06:33
◼
►
that would be real courage,
01:06:35
◼
►
because they are gonna hear better from the users
01:06:37
◼
►
if they do this.
01:06:38
◼
►
They are definitely gonna hear from people.
01:06:40
◼
►
I mean, people are still mad today about Lightning.
01:06:43
◼
►
Like, they're still mad almost five years later
01:06:47
◼
►
that they can't use their dock connector
01:06:49
◼
►
that they bought 10 years ago to charge their iPhone.
01:06:51
◼
►
I do hope though, like maybe Apple has numbers in this, because Android phones are so
01:06:55
◼
►
perverse, I think I saw like what their market share is among smartphones, I think it's like
01:06:58
◼
►
80% or something, it's some really really high number. I'm hoping that every house that
01:07:03
◼
►
has a, or some high percentage of the houses that have angry people who are angry about
01:07:07
◼
►
like dropping lightning, there'll be USB-C charging cables hanging around within a couple
01:07:12
◼
►
years to charge the Android phones in the house.
01:07:15
◼
►
Exactly, and so if you think about like, what does an all USB-C world look like? Well, we're
01:07:20
◼
►
already gonna be halfway there because all Android phones
01:07:23
◼
►
are gonna have it, if they don't already,
01:07:25
◼
►
they're gonna have it probably within the next year, right?
01:07:27
◼
►
And so you're gonna start seeing now in places
01:07:31
◼
►
like hotel nightstands and charging cables
01:07:36
◼
►
in airports and terminals and stuff like that,
01:07:39
◼
►
you're gonna start seeing, where you used to see
01:07:42
◼
►
maybe you'd have a lightning port or a lightning cable
01:07:45
◼
►
and maybe you'd have one of those dual lightning
01:07:46
◼
►
and micro USB things, you're gonna start seeing
01:07:49
◼
►
USB-C all over all those things now
01:07:50
◼
►
for all the Android phones.
01:07:52
◼
►
And wouldn't it be great if they could just do USB-C
01:07:56
◼
►
and have that cover all phones?
01:07:58
◼
►
That would just be the new standard
01:08:00
◼
►
for charging your phone.
01:08:01
◼
►
Like that would be amazing.
01:08:03
◼
►
I think Apple had big plans for Lightning
01:08:06
◼
►
for it being this like amazing universal port
01:08:09
◼
►
that could do all these different data things
01:08:10
◼
►
and everything and I think part of the justification
01:08:13
◼
►
for removing the headphone jack last year was,
01:08:16
◼
►
you know, it turns out we live in a wireless world.
01:08:18
◼
►
like most of what we do is wireless.
01:08:20
◼
►
Still, I'll go look at audio stuff,
01:08:23
◼
►
like try to buy a decent microphone
01:08:25
◼
►
or sound interface for iOS devices.
01:08:27
◼
►
And a lot of them didn't even make the jump
01:08:30
◼
►
from 30 pin to Lightning.
01:08:31
◼
►
I think Lightning largely hasn't panned out
01:08:34
◼
►
in being the universal accessory port Apple wanted it to be.
01:08:38
◼
►
And for a number of reasons,
01:08:39
◼
►
one is wireless things are so good.
01:08:42
◼
►
Another is that Android is more of a presence
01:08:44
◼
►
than I think Apple thought it would be
01:08:46
◼
►
wanted it to be in that market.
01:08:49
◼
►
It's similar to like, one of the reasons everyone said why they wouldn't maybe do this is well
01:08:54
◼
►
they just had to make lightning headphones this past year.
01:08:57
◼
►
Well no, lightning headphones have actually been around for a couple years but there's
01:09:01
◼
►
been like three pairs of them.
01:09:03
◼
►
Like there's been almost none and almost nobody uses them.
01:09:06
◼
►
The only ones that have any reasonable use are the ones that Apple includes in the box
01:09:10
◼
►
for free with the iPhone 7 but if they changed to USB-C they would probably just include
01:09:15
◼
►
USB-C version, and just like it was basically no big deal
01:09:19
◼
►
for all the people who got the ones in the box for free
01:09:21
◼
►
with the iPhone 7, it would be similarly no big deal
01:09:24
◼
►
for all the people who would get the new USB-C ones
01:09:26
◼
►
in the box with the iPhone 8 or whatever it's called.
01:09:28
◼
►
So like that, you can rule that argument right out,
01:09:30
◼
►
that doesn't matter, that doesn't matter enough, right?
01:09:33
◼
►
If you also look at the iPad in particular,
01:09:36
◼
►
the iPad really needs help, you know,
01:09:39
◼
►
it needs to become more of a work device
01:09:44
◼
►
to boost its sales, 'cause it seems like they nailed
01:09:47
◼
►
the passive consumption market pretty well.
01:09:49
◼
►
If you want a--
01:09:51
◼
►
- The passive consumption by rich people market.
01:09:53
◼
►
- Yeah, the high end of the passive consumption market,
01:09:57
◼
►
they have that covered now.
01:09:59
◼
►
Where I think they need to make a lot more headway
01:10:02
◼
►
is in the productivity market,
01:10:04
◼
►
and they are starting to see things like the surface
01:10:08
◼
►
hurting them, not in a massive way yet,
01:10:11
◼
►
but in a way that they should really be noticing,
01:10:14
◼
►
and that they probably are.
01:10:16
◼
►
And for the iPad to grow, they are making it more PC-like.
01:10:20
◼
►
They added the smart keyboards,
01:10:21
◼
►
they added the smart connector, they added the pencil.
01:10:24
◼
►
They're gonna hopefully keep pushing in this direction.
01:10:27
◼
►
Who knows what the software has coming next month
01:10:29
◼
►
or this month, whatever it is, we'll see, I guess.
01:10:31
◼
►
But I think there is large potential
01:10:35
◼
►
if you would put a USB-C port on an iPad.
01:10:38
◼
►
Because right now, I mentioned earlier
01:10:41
◼
►
about sound devices and things,
01:10:42
◼
►
Very few of them are available for lightning.
01:10:44
◼
►
Everything is available for computers.
01:10:47
◼
►
Every kind of peripheral you can think of
01:10:50
◼
►
is available with a USB interface on the end of it.
01:10:53
◼
►
And maybe not a USB-C port necessarily,
01:10:55
◼
►
but it could plug into a USB-C port
01:10:57
◼
►
through a very easy, cheap cable,
01:10:59
◼
►
or a very easy adapter that you probably
01:11:01
◼
►
would already have three of in the bag.
01:11:03
◼
►
If Apple wants the iPad to become
01:11:06
◼
►
more of a computer replacement,
01:11:09
◼
►
adding a USB-C port or two or three is not ridiculous.
01:11:13
◼
►
You know, it's the kind of thing like--
01:11:14
◼
►
- Yeah, I remember when I suggested that.
01:11:16
◼
►
Was that on this show?
01:11:17
◼
►
I suggested maybe a couple years ago
01:11:19
◼
►
adding a bunch of USB ports to the iPad,
01:11:21
◼
►
and I'm pretty sure both of you laughed at me very heartily.
01:11:24
◼
►
- Because every Apple commentator
01:11:26
◼
►
would have laughed at the suggestion a year ago or more.
01:11:30
◼
►
Since the iPad won--
01:11:32
◼
►
- Well, I didn't laugh at it.
01:11:33
◼
►
Like I said, you have so much room on the side of the iPad,
01:11:35
◼
►
and they want it to be more capable, it's the place to put.
01:11:38
◼
►
I was thinking of USB-A ports. That's how long ago it was. Like I was envisioning USB-A
01:11:42
◼
►
ports on the side of like the iPad One because there was actually room for them back then.
01:11:46
◼
►
But you know, the Apple, I want more than one port on the 12-inch iPad Pro. I don't
01:11:52
◼
►
want just one centered in the bottom replacing the Lightning port. You have the opportunity
01:11:57
◼
►
to put more than one. There's plenty of room. And if you want it to be the Pro iPad, like
01:12:02
◼
►
Surface hardware, it doesn't have just one port for power and all USB like the MacBook
01:12:07
◼
►
one does, so you gotta compete.
01:12:10
◼
►
- Yeah, so I think the iPad, there's lots of new uses
01:12:15
◼
►
or uses that would be better if the iPad had USB-C ports,
01:12:19
◼
►
at least one.
01:12:20
◼
►
And if they're gonna do that,
01:12:22
◼
►
why would they keep the Lightning port also?
01:12:24
◼
►
It would make very little sense to keep the Lightning port--
01:12:27
◼
►
- That's for your headphones, right?
01:12:30
◼
►
Speaking of that, I just realized the other day
01:12:31
◼
►
when reading these stories about
01:12:32
◼
►
Lightning headphones and stuff,
01:12:34
◼
►
I realized I actually don't know
01:12:35
◼
►
where my lightning headphones that came with my iPhone 7
01:12:38
◼
►
are right now in the house.
01:12:39
◼
►
I don't think I lost them, but I don't
01:12:41
◼
►
know where they are in the house,
01:12:42
◼
►
because I've been using AirPods.
01:12:43
◼
►
And if they get out ahead of this,
01:12:46
◼
►
if they do the transition now with the anticipation--
01:12:49
◼
►
anticipating two things.
01:12:50
◼
►
One thing Margaret said that USB-C, it's not pervasive now,
01:12:54
◼
►
but presumably in a few years it will be pervasive
01:12:56
◼
►
thanks to Android phones and everything, right?
01:12:58
◼
►
So they'll be out ahead of that.
01:13:00
◼
►
So they will be saving their customers
01:13:02
◼
►
from the experience of being like, oh, I'm on vacation.
01:13:05
◼
►
And, oh, I can't use my iPhone with this thingy or this charge cable because it's not USB.
01:13:10
◼
►
So it's saving them from that.
01:13:12
◼
►
And then two, the thing that Apple kind of knows and controls is, what is the time horizon
01:13:15
◼
►
for wireless charging, right?
01:13:17
◼
►
Is that just around the corner?
01:13:18
◼
►
Is it one or two years?
01:13:19
◼
►
I feel like Apple, if they switch now, will be saying, "We believe that by the time we
01:13:23
◼
►
get our devices so thin that we can't use USB-C anymore, we'll have the wireless charging
01:13:27
◼
►
thing covered."
01:13:28
◼
►
So again, they're in a position to know, and those all seem like reasonable things that
01:13:32
◼
►
could happen.
01:13:33
◼
►
is like, I mean, this doesn't sound a lot more likely
01:13:36
◼
►
than Apple adding USB to an iPad,
01:13:38
◼
►
but what if the phone is getting thicker
01:13:41
◼
►
because they're getting rid of the bezels
01:13:42
◼
►
and they need somewhere to put things like the camera?
01:13:45
◼
►
The reason why those bezels are there
01:13:47
◼
►
is partly out of looks and grip and everything,
01:13:50
◼
►
but mostly because that's where you have to put
01:13:51
◼
►
a bunch of components that are too deep
01:13:53
◼
►
to fit behind the screen.
01:13:55
◼
►
And if they're moving to these larger screen,
01:13:57
◼
►
like more edge-to-edge phone designs
01:13:59
◼
►
that can be smaller in the hand,
01:14:01
◼
►
like have a smaller width and height in the hand,
01:14:05
◼
►
they might have to get thicker in order to just have space
01:14:08
◼
►
for things like a decent camera.
01:14:09
◼
►
- Get ready for some bigger camera bumps.
01:14:12
◼
►
- Well, probably.
01:14:13
◼
►
- I mean, that seems like a more aptly,
01:14:15
◼
►
as judged by the iPhone 7, they'll just make a bigger bulge
01:14:18
◼
►
rather than make the whole thing wider, thicker,
01:14:20
◼
►
but we'll see.
01:14:21
◼
►
- Yeah, maybe.
01:14:22
◼
►
Anyway, so my point is basically that in a perfect world,
01:14:25
◼
►
if they started from scratch today, had no legacy,
01:14:27
◼
►
they'd probably go USB-C,
01:14:28
◼
►
that would probably be the best option.
01:14:30
◼
►
If you look at the iPad, the iPad could really use USB-C,
01:14:33
◼
►
and it wouldn't make a lot of sense,
01:14:35
◼
►
it wouldn't be very Apple style
01:14:36
◼
►
to still keep Lightning on there,
01:14:38
◼
►
they could just replace that.
01:14:39
◼
►
We are already not using Lightning
01:14:42
◼
►
for much else besides charging.
01:14:45
◼
►
Like it's not being used for a whole lot more
01:14:47
◼
►
by most people than just charging your phone.
01:14:50
◼
►
And they're already pushing things like Bluetooth
01:14:54
◼
►
for a lot of peripherals, for audio output,
01:14:56
◼
►
and things like that.
01:14:57
◼
►
And of course, then also you look at the Mac,
01:14:59
◼
►
and the Mac, if you have USB-C on both things,
01:15:04
◼
►
everything shares the same peripherals,
01:15:06
◼
►
everything shares the same cables.
01:15:08
◼
►
You can charge them everywhere,
01:15:09
◼
►
even with the Android device cables.
01:15:11
◼
►
You can use all of the devices for Android right now
01:15:16
◼
►
that are made by companies like Sony,
01:15:17
◼
►
that if Sony has to pick between making something
01:15:19
◼
►
for Lightning or making something for USB-C
01:15:23
◼
►
for Android phones, they pick Android,
01:15:24
◼
►
'cause they're more of an Android-focused company.
01:15:27
◼
►
There's lots of companies like that where
01:15:28
◼
►
You kinda have to like, when you pick teams,
01:15:31
◼
►
like you see some of the headphones,
01:15:32
◼
►
like there are some USB-C headphones now for Android phones,
01:15:36
◼
►
and there are some Lightning headphones for iPhones,
01:15:38
◼
►
and usually the same headphone isn't available in both.
01:15:40
◼
►
Like you kinda have to pick, and it sucks
01:15:42
◼
►
having this format war really going on
01:15:45
◼
►
between these companies and these different ecosystems
01:15:47
◼
►
where you can't use the same headphones
01:15:49
◼
►
between two different devices.
01:15:50
◼
►
Wouldn't it be great if you could just have one standard?
01:15:54
◼
►
And USB-C is good enough,
01:15:56
◼
►
and it's gonna be good enough for quite some time.
01:15:59
◼
►
We're not gonna have to change cables again
01:16:00
◼
►
in like three years from now, it's gonna be a while.
01:16:03
◼
►
And it would be amazing to have that.
01:16:05
◼
►
Now, there is one other part of this
01:16:07
◼
►
that is worth pointing out,
01:16:08
◼
►
and that is the other end of the cable,
01:16:10
◼
►
the end that plugs into the power brick,
01:16:12
◼
►
or the computer, if the case may be.
01:16:15
◼
►
I think, personally, I think it's more likely
01:16:19
◼
►
that this rumor has been misunderstood,
01:16:21
◼
►
and that the more likely outcome here
01:16:24
◼
►
is that Apple's not changing the phone to USB-C,
01:16:26
◼
►
but they're just gonna ship it in the box
01:16:28
◼
►
with a USB-C cable that plugs into a USB-C brick,
01:16:31
◼
►
but it's still gonna have lightning on the phone end.
01:16:33
◼
►
That is way more likely.
01:16:35
◼
►
- That's totally what I thought,
01:16:38
◼
►
and I think that's so much more boring of a rumor,
01:16:40
◼
►
so that's why I was like, I don't wanna talk about that,
01:16:42
◼
►
'cause it's like, all right, fine.
01:16:44
◼
►
If I do that, all you can do for that one
01:16:46
◼
►
is get angry about the fact that now you have no place
01:16:48
◼
►
to plug in your charging cable,
01:16:49
◼
►
but that would make such perfect sense
01:16:51
◼
►
along with everything we have.
01:16:52
◼
►
But why is that a story?
01:16:53
◼
►
That's not a Wall Street Journal-caliber story,
01:16:56
◼
►
'cause who cares, whatever.
01:16:59
◼
►
I really hope that's not it.
01:17:00
◼
►
- And the thing is, in many ways,
01:17:03
◼
►
having USB-C on the charger end is actually worse
01:17:05
◼
►
than having USB-A on the charger end,
01:17:07
◼
►
because as I ransomed on Twitter earlier,
01:17:09
◼
►
basically the entire world right now
01:17:11
◼
►
has tons of infrastructure in place
01:17:13
◼
►
that has USB-A ports everywhere
01:17:17
◼
►
for people to plug their phones into to charge them with.
01:17:21
◼
►
And this isn't just the phone owner
01:17:25
◼
►
having to buy a new power brick,
01:17:26
◼
►
or having to use a different one that comes in the box
01:17:28
◼
►
and throw away all their old ones.
01:17:30
◼
►
This is like, again, it's like airplanes, cars, hotels,
01:17:35
◼
►
like all these different-- - Luggage.
01:17:36
◼
►
- Yeah, luggage, all these different places
01:17:38
◼
►
where you have USB-A ports.
01:17:39
◼
►
- Those travel things that we all have
01:17:41
◼
►
with like 12 USB-A ports on them,
01:17:43
◼
►
you take the hotel so you can charge
01:17:44
◼
►
the whole family's devices with you.
01:17:45
◼
►
Now, there's nothing to say that all those devices
01:17:47
◼
►
won't also convert to USB-C at some point,
01:17:49
◼
►
it's just the question of,
01:17:50
◼
►
if you're changing the non-phone end of the cable,
01:17:52
◼
►
which is what we're talking about now,
01:17:54
◼
►
even though it's boring,
01:17:54
◼
►
if you're changing the non-phone end of the cable,
01:17:57
◼
►
is now the right time to change away from A?
01:17:59
◼
►
'Cause you're not gaining much, except for,
01:18:02
◼
►
the only thing you're gaining is uniform sanity
01:18:04
◼
►
within Apple's lines, where you no longer have
01:18:06
◼
►
the embarrassing situation where you buy a MacBook Pro
01:18:08
◼
►
and an iPhone and you can't charge them and each other.
01:18:09
◼
►
But that's it, that's all you get out of it.
01:18:11
◼
►
- Yeah, and so like, you know, it would be fine
01:18:15
◼
►
to have USB C to C as the main thing,
01:18:18
◼
►
or see the lightning as the main thing, that would be fine.
01:18:21
◼
►
But I think see the lightning as the cable
01:18:23
◼
►
that comes with the phone and as a thing
01:18:24
◼
►
that most people have is actually less convenient now
01:18:28
◼
►
and for the foreseeable future than adal lightning would be
01:18:31
◼
►
because there are so many A ports everywhere in the world
01:18:36
◼
►
that people already have installed or bought
01:18:38
◼
►
or everything else and it goes way beyond
01:18:40
◼
►
just buying a new power brick and it goes into things
01:18:42
◼
►
like buying a new car or retrofitting airplanes
01:18:45
◼
►
and those are things that just don't happen very often.
01:18:47
◼
►
So we're gonna have USB-A ports as the new power outlet
01:18:51
◼
►
for phones for a long time to come.
01:18:54
◼
►
And you can't adapt a USB-A port
01:18:59
◼
►
to have a USB-C cable plugged into it.
01:19:02
◼
►
You can go the other direction
01:19:03
◼
►
with all these little wonderful $9 adapters
01:19:04
◼
►
that Apple sells, but you can't go the other way.
01:19:07
◼
►
You can't plug a USB-C device into a USB-A port.
01:19:11
◼
►
It violates the USB spec because there's lots
01:19:13
◼
►
of weird things that can go wrong if you do it wrong
01:19:16
◼
►
and lots of weird combinations they didn't want to allow
01:19:18
◼
►
with what do you do with the massive amount of power
01:19:20
◼
►
on these pins and things like that.
01:19:21
◼
►
And so that direction can't be like legally adapted
01:19:24
◼
►
by the USB spec, and for very good reasons
01:19:28
◼
►
that are probably unlikely to change.
01:19:30
◼
►
So if you're gonna have a cable
01:19:32
◼
►
that you're gonna wanna plug into whatever you find
01:19:34
◼
►
as you travel or go throughout the world
01:19:36
◼
►
or in and out of your car or wherever else,
01:19:38
◼
►
you're probably gonna want a, whatever the phone has,
01:19:42
◼
►
Lightning or USB-C, to USB-A,
01:19:44
◼
►
and then maybe have a dongle with your laptop
01:19:46
◼
►
so you can plug it in there sometimes.
01:19:47
◼
►
- You wanna save yourself some email?
01:19:50
◼
►
- You have to tell them that you know
01:19:51
◼
►
that there's connectors that go from A to C.
01:19:52
◼
►
You have to say that.
01:19:53
◼
►
- Yes, I know there are,
01:19:55
◼
►
I know you can go on lots of places
01:19:57
◼
►
and buy one from some kind of no-name brand,
01:19:59
◼
►
but there's a reason why there aren't that many of them,
01:20:01
◼
►
and why you don't see people like Apple selling them,
01:20:03
◼
►
because they're bad.
01:20:06
◼
►
Bad things can happen, please don't use them.
01:20:08
◼
►
- So, speaking of saving email,
01:20:10
◼
►
I forgot to mention that I do have a modern Apple TV
01:20:13
◼
►
in the house, and that is USB-C.
01:20:16
◼
►
Would either of you care to wager a guess
01:20:17
◼
►
how many times I've plugged a USB-C cable
01:20:20
◼
►
into that Apple TV.
01:20:21
◼
►
- Isn't that just a diagnostic port?
01:20:23
◼
►
I don't think it's supposed to be a user.
01:20:25
◼
►
- No, it's for diagnostics and it's for developers.
01:20:27
◼
►
When I installed Providence, the emulator that I use,
01:20:29
◼
►
it's similar to how you plug in a phone to run devices,
01:20:33
◼
►
or to run apps that you write from Xcode
01:20:35
◼
►
onto the phone through USB.
01:20:36
◼
►
Same thing with the Apple TV.
01:20:37
◼
►
You plug it into the USB port
01:20:39
◼
►
and it becomes an output device for Xcode
01:20:40
◼
►
that you can run stuff on.
01:20:41
◼
►
- Speaking of USB-C, the Nintendo Switch has USB-C,
01:20:44
◼
►
which is out soon.
01:20:45
◼
►
And someone tweeted earlier today that if you plug a Nintendo Switch into a MacBook
01:20:49
◼
►
Pro, the Switch charges the laptop, not the other way around.
01:20:53
◼
►
That's pretty great.
01:20:54
◼
►
In the world of ubiquitous connectors, it is kind of a weird situation because we have
01:20:57
◼
►
the—it's kind of based on size.
01:20:59
◼
►
That's like you expect if you're using your laptop and you're like, "Oh, my phone's
01:21:03
◼
►
I'm going to plug it into my laptop."
01:21:04
◼
►
That's a thing we've all done, right?
01:21:05
◼
►
You fully expect that when you plug your phone into your laptop, the laptop will charge your
01:21:10
◼
►
The phone won't charge your laptop.
01:21:11
◼
►
And why do you think that?
01:21:12
◼
►
Well, because the batteries in the laptop is bigger, I guess.
01:21:16
◼
►
But when you do it with the Switch, I guess they don't know how big they are.
01:21:18
◼
►
It's like the little dog that thinks he's the big dog.
01:21:20
◼
►
It's like, "I got you, MacBook.
01:21:22
◼
►
Here's some juice.
01:21:24
◼
►
I don't even know.
01:21:26
◼
►
It could be that just the Mac thinks it's being charged, and it actually isn't, because
01:21:27
◼
►
I don't understand why the Switch would output charge for anything.
01:21:30
◼
►
But in this world of ubiquitous USB-C, our future world where everything has USB-C ports,
01:21:36
◼
►
it can be confusing as to what the actual relationship between devices with batteries
01:21:41
◼
►
and then will be when you plug them into each other.
01:21:43
◼
►
- And I'm sure part of the standard is for that,
01:21:46
◼
►
but they probably just didn't quite do it right
01:21:48
◼
►
or something.
01:21:49
◼
►
- Yeah, or again, why the hell
01:21:50
◼
►
is the Switch charging anything?
01:21:51
◼
►
I don't think there are any peripherals
01:21:52
◼
►
that plug into the Switch and derive power from it,
01:21:55
◼
►
so who knows?
01:21:56
◼
►
- Yeah, what do its various external control,
01:21:58
◼
►
like the Pro Controller, what are those,
01:22:00
◼
►
are those all just wireless with their own chargers or what?
01:22:03
◼
►
- I would guess so.
01:22:04
◼
►
I mean, all existing console controllers I have
01:22:07
◼
►
use one of the terrible micro USB things.
01:22:09
◼
►
Maybe the Switch Pro Controller has USB-C.
01:22:13
◼
►
I wouldn't know, 'cause I don't have a pre-order for it.
01:22:16
◼
►
But I'm working on that.
01:22:18
◼
►
By the way, so everybody knows, I do have orders.
01:22:20
◼
►
I do now have pre-orders for the Switch
01:22:23
◼
►
and for the Zelda game that I want,
01:22:25
◼
►
thanks to some very helpful fans of the show.
01:22:28
◼
►
So far, still no Pro Controller.
01:22:31
◼
►
- Yeah, you're gonna have to tell me at some point
01:22:32
◼
►
how I'm supposed to get a Pro Controller
01:22:34
◼
►
when I get my Switch.
01:22:35
◼
►
Also, can I buy the games?
01:22:37
◼
►
I heard that Pete, when I mentioned that I had these games
01:22:40
◼
►
in my Amazon cart, ready to pre-order,
01:22:42
◼
►
I got a number of helpful people saying,
01:22:43
◼
►
"Why don't I just buy a giant SD card and download them?"
01:22:46
◼
►
Is that a thing I can do?
01:22:47
◼
►
- Yeah, but like the only reason I'm on the Zelda
01:22:49
◼
►
is 'cause it's like the special edition
01:22:50
◼
►
that comes with a bunch of little tchotchkes and stuff,
01:22:52
◼
►
and it comes with a soundtrack CD.
01:22:54
◼
►
- I would throw all that away, or I'd mail it to you.
01:22:56
◼
►
- Exactly, so if you don't care about that,
01:22:59
◼
►
I'm pretty sure every single game is downloadable,
01:23:02
◼
►
and the storage on the Switch itself is not that big,
01:23:03
◼
►
so everyone's telling you to buy an SD card,
01:23:05
◼
►
but I think if you just get the Switch
01:23:06
◼
►
and just want to play Zelda, you can just get it and then download Zelda and play it.
01:23:10
◼
►
And did you see the other story, speaking of Switch, about the Zelda cards? Have you
01:23:14
◼
►
seen pictures of how big the little, the Switch cartridges are?
01:23:18
◼
►
No. Like, they're really small. Like, they're
01:23:20
◼
►
not as small as the micro and micro SD cards, but they're smaller than you think they are.
01:23:25
◼
►
And that poses a problem, because, like, what if kids find these little games and stick
01:23:29
◼
►
them in their mouth and swallow them or do something else bad with them, right? So Nintendo's
01:23:33
◼
►
solution to this was to coat the cartridges they sell with a very, very bad-tasting substance.
01:23:39
◼
►
So people are now licking Nintendo Switch cartridges.
01:23:42
◼
►
That's the backstory?
01:23:43
◼
►
I had seen people say, "Oh, yes, they really do taste like garbage."
01:23:46
◼
►
I didn't know what the backstory was, though.
01:23:49
◼
►
Yeah, that's what I've heard.
01:23:50
◼
►
It's a plausible theory, because it is like kind of a swallowing choking hazard.
01:23:54
◼
►
They're small enough, and they're going to be around kids, because it's not like
01:23:58
◼
►
they're – you're not worried about a kid swallowing the SIM card from your phone,
01:24:01
◼
►
kids aren't playing with the SIM card on your phone,
01:24:03
◼
►
but kids will be around these loose cartridges
01:24:05
◼
►
for the Switch, or they bring a bunch of them
01:24:07
◼
►
in the back of the car with them
01:24:08
◼
►
and play them on a car trip and stuff,
01:24:09
◼
►
and their younger sibling gets ahold of them,
01:24:11
◼
►
and so apparently they taste terrible.
01:24:14
◼
►
- Wait, and so I have a question.
01:24:15
◼
►
All right, so I used to bite my nails,
01:24:18
◼
►
and one of the ways I stopped was I got one of those
01:24:20
◼
►
horrible-tasting nail polish things.
01:24:22
◼
►
- Same theory. - And yeah.
01:24:24
◼
►
However, one of the shortcomings of that
01:24:26
◼
►
is that it would rub off on food I was preparing,
01:24:30
◼
►
or anything that I touched would taste horrible.
01:24:33
◼
►
So if you handle a Switch cartridge
01:24:37
◼
►
and you go make a sandwich,
01:24:39
◼
►
is it gonna rub off at all?
01:24:40
◼
►
Are you gonna taste that?
01:24:41
◼
►
- So I have to say that this is the internet
01:24:44
◼
►
and I've just read some tweets.
01:24:45
◼
►
So for all I know, this is totally false
01:24:48
◼
►
and people just got some weird foul-tasting stuff
01:24:51
◼
►
on their Switch cartridges.
01:24:52
◼
►
But I will say that now, assuming this story is true,
01:24:55
◼
►
I would think that the coding they put in these cartridges
01:24:59
◼
►
would have some of the same problems as the nail-biting stuff. One, that it would eventually
01:25:03
◼
►
be able to wear off or be sucked off, as very determined nail-biters know well, that if
01:25:08
◼
►
you really want to go to town, you can A) build up a tolerance to, and B) eventually
01:25:13
◼
►
remove that substance.
01:25:15
◼
►
Not this stuff. I quit with one application. That's how bad it was.
01:25:20
◼
►
You're not as determined as some little children. Yeah. I can tell you from personal experience
01:25:28
◼
►
with people in my family who I will not name, who are not me, that it is possible, if you
01:25:34
◼
►
are stubborn enough, to get rid of that stuff. And two, like you said, that like, will it
01:25:39
◼
►
come off on your hands? I think it has to necessarily come off your hands if your hands
01:25:44
◼
►
are wet, because if it doesn't come off on your hands when they're wet, it also won't
01:25:47
◼
►
come off on your tongue when you're wet. And so I think those are real things. But what
01:25:50
◼
►
I'm hoping is that cartridges don't get handled much under normal circumstances, and that
01:25:55
◼
►
hands are not wet enough to pull off the stuff. Again, assuming this entire story is true.
01:25:59
◼
►
But all we know is that when any of us gets or encounters a Nintendo Switch cartridge,
01:26:03
◼
►
it is incumbent upon us, as part of the homework for the show, to lick it.
01:26:07
◼
►
You've just given me a really good reason to just download all my games and not ever
01:26:12
◼
►
Now you have to get one to lick. You have to. Tiff's going to want to lick it.
01:26:15
◼
►
I just have to lick my SD card and see if that has the same coding on it.
01:26:19
◼
►
That's right. You need to ABX test this.
01:26:22
◼
►
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(upbeat music)
01:27:19
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Anyway, I think the thing that bothers me
01:27:24
◼
►
about the iPhone USB-C thing is if the USB-C
01:27:28
◼
►
is on the device itself, is on the iPhone,
01:27:31
◼
►
what technical thing does that solve?
01:27:34
◼
►
Like, yes, I understand that there's a consistency
01:27:36
◼
►
with the rest of like the laptop line,
01:27:38
◼
►
but what does that actually do for an iPhone
01:27:41
◼
►
that makes the iPhone itself better?
01:27:44
◼
►
- Don't we get the advantage
01:27:46
◼
►
of dedicated analog audio pins so that we don't need the DAC
01:27:49
◼
►
and the things anymore and we could have cheap headphones
01:27:51
◼
►
to connect to USB-C or am I misremembering this?
01:27:54
◼
►
- Both USB-C and Lightning have ways to do that.
01:27:57
◼
►
However, we also did find that in the little Apple dongle
01:28:00
◼
►
is a little tiny DAC 'cause DACs cost nothing.
01:28:03
◼
►
And it's not a very good one, but it doesn't matter
01:28:05
◼
►
for most people for what they're using.
01:28:08
◼
►
- So anyway, that's a potential advantage that you could get
01:28:11
◼
►
if Apple decides to take advantage of it and if there,
01:28:14
◼
►
I have no idea if there are any existing headphones that
01:28:17
◼
►
take analog audio signals and have,
01:28:19
◼
►
instead of a regular headphone jack command,
01:28:21
◼
►
they have a USB-C one.
01:28:22
◼
►
But in theory, that's one.
01:28:24
◼
►
There's also, tech-wise, the thing with the bendy pins
01:28:27
◼
►
that we talked about.
01:28:28
◼
►
Who knows how big a problem that is?
01:28:30
◼
►
But it stands to reason that it is better
01:28:35
◼
►
to have the parts that eventually fatigue or bend
01:28:38
◼
►
or wear out on the cable that you can throw away and not
01:28:41
◼
►
inside the device.
01:28:42
◼
►
So that's another tech advantage.
01:28:44
◼
►
I guess, I just, there's nothing that you guys have said,
01:28:48
◼
►
or that I can think of, that makes me think,
01:28:51
◼
►
oh, this is a technical problem
01:28:52
◼
►
that's being solved with USB-C.
01:28:54
◼
►
It is worth, that juice is worth the squeeze
01:28:57
◼
►
of pissing off the entire world
01:28:59
◼
►
for another cable change, or another port change.
01:29:04
◼
►
- Don't you think, do you guys not agree?
01:29:05
◼
►
You both said that you thought people would be angry,
01:29:06
◼
►
but I totally think people will be less angry
01:29:09
◼
►
than 30-pin to lighting.
01:29:10
◼
►
Even though 30-pin was 10 years old,
01:29:12
◼
►
I think they'll be less angry about this
01:29:13
◼
►
because it's a switch to the standard.
01:29:15
◼
►
Because, yes, you're gonna be grumbly.
01:29:18
◼
►
- You're assuming though that people have USB-C devices.
01:29:20
◼
►
I am cheap, and I don't buy expensive things terribly often,
01:29:25
◼
►
but I always keep up to date on iPhones and iPads
01:29:30
◼
►
and whatnot, and I don't have a, like I said,
01:29:33
◼
►
the only USB-C device I have is an Apple TV
01:29:35
◼
►
that I've never plugged USB-C into.
01:29:37
◼
►
- They'd be a little bit ahead of the curve.
01:29:39
◼
►
Like I agree, people don't have,
01:29:40
◼
►
but I think every story about this
01:29:42
◼
►
would be Apple concedes or like the most negative story
01:29:46
◼
►
you can have, Apple finally concedes
01:29:47
◼
►
and does what everyone else does.
01:29:49
◼
►
Apple finally gets in line.
01:29:50
◼
►
Ever finally does the industry standard thing.
01:29:52
◼
►
I think that would be the negative Apple spin
01:29:54
◼
►
on these stories.
01:29:55
◼
►
And again, with the European regulations requiring
01:29:58
◼
►
whatever it was, mini USB and probably going to require USB-C
01:30:01
◼
►
like I think that's the spin on the story.
01:30:03
◼
►
And yes, it's like, oh, I don't care
01:30:05
◼
►
what the hell the standard is.
01:30:06
◼
►
I got a house full of fricking lightning cables
01:30:07
◼
►
that are now worthless to me, right?
01:30:08
◼
►
Like people will be angry, but I think the story will be
01:30:12
◼
►
Apple gets in line with everybody else.
01:30:13
◼
►
And that will soften the blow.
01:30:15
◼
►
- Again, I think if you're gonna do that though,
01:30:18
◼
►
you wait another year or something like that,
01:30:21
◼
►
because everyone is still sensitive to this.
01:30:24
◼
►
'Cause I still within the last month
01:30:25
◼
►
have heard people whining about lightning ports.
01:30:27
◼
►
And so if you're gonna make this jump,
01:30:31
◼
►
you make the jump where it's preposterous
01:30:34
◼
►
that Apple isn't on USB-C.
01:30:37
◼
►
Right now, I don't think anyone-
01:30:37
◼
►
- You wanna be a latecomer though?
01:30:39
◼
►
Do you want them to feel like?
01:30:40
◼
►
- In this case, yeah.
01:30:42
◼
►
- 'Cause again, the thing that I can't get past is
01:30:44
◼
►
it's not solving any technical problem that I'm aware of.
01:30:47
◼
►
Maybe on like an iPad, maybe if you wanted to plug in,
01:30:50
◼
►
say, an external display, which I guess you can do that
01:30:52
◼
►
with a HDMI cable on a phone or a pad anyway, iPad anyway.
01:30:55
◼
►
So I'm failing to see what technical problem
01:30:59
◼
►
that makes the iPhone itself better.
01:31:02
◼
►
What technical problem are they solving by doing this?
01:31:05
◼
►
'Cause otherwise, why bother?
01:31:06
◼
►
- Well, we also don't know how pervasive
01:31:08
◼
►
the lightning connector problems are.
01:31:10
◼
►
Like, I don't know, how many people do we know
01:31:12
◼
►
who've had this problem?
01:31:13
◼
►
I know two people, Marco and Merlin, right?
01:31:16
◼
►
Who have both had problems with the contacts,
01:31:19
◼
►
the bendy little bits coming out of the thing
01:31:21
◼
►
and then scorching the little connectors.
01:31:22
◼
►
And I believe, Marco, did you get your phone replaced
01:31:26
◼
►
because of that?
01:31:27
◼
►
- Yeah, I did.
01:31:28
◼
►
- And then Merlin, I don't know if he got anything replaced,
01:31:30
◼
►
but he had like, we were calling it the hardware virus
01:31:32
◼
►
because once one of the little bendy pieces of metal
01:31:35
◼
►
doesn't contact with the shiny gold bits
01:31:38
◼
►
on the lightning connector and starts arcing,
01:31:40
◼
►
it can cause a little burny spot there
01:31:42
◼
►
and that makes the connection even worse
01:31:43
◼
►
and more working and so on and so forth.
01:31:44
◼
►
And now you have a lightning connector
01:31:47
◼
►
that has a little burny spot on it.
01:31:48
◼
►
And then if you put that lightning connector
01:31:50
◼
►
into another device, now you have poor contact
01:31:52
◼
►
between the burny spot and the little bendy metal thing.
01:31:54
◼
►
And it causes that to arc.
01:31:56
◼
►
And so it's like a hardware virus
01:31:57
◼
►
is as you plug this plug into a bunch of other devices,
01:32:00
◼
►
eventually they all get this little burny spot
01:32:02
◼
►
on the same place and that's bad.
01:32:05
◼
►
And is this just a problem that is really rare and esoteric and really much smaller
01:32:10
◼
►
in the grand scheme of things than Apple's bad strain relief?
01:32:12
◼
►
I don't know.
01:32:14
◼
►
But I do know two people, and it did cause a warranty replacement for sure on at least
01:32:18
◼
►
one of them.
01:32:20
◼
►
That I think would fall into the category of potentially a tech problem that USB-C is
01:32:26
◼
►
But without numbers, it's hard to know without numbers, you know.
01:32:30
◼
►
I guess I just—but here again, that's like, that's solving a problem for Apple
01:32:35
◼
►
that your average consumer, even I, don't really care about.
01:32:38
◼
►
Well, but Marco didn't want to get his phone—well, maybe he did because of the microphone thing,
01:32:41
◼
►
but like, people don't want to have to bring in their thing to get it swapped, right?
01:32:45
◼
►
I mean, does USB-C solve the lint problem?
01:32:47
◼
►
That's another sort of anecdotal thing we don't have numbers for, but like, how many
01:32:49
◼
►
people have you heard about, like, "My thing wouldn't charge, and I had to get out the
01:32:53
◼
►
dentist gear and start pulling out the little lint balls or cat hair from inside the thing,"
01:32:57
◼
►
I brought it to an Apple store and they had to do it for me.
01:33:01
◼
►
My parents have had this problem where they had to have lint pulled out of their thing,
01:33:05
◼
►
pulled out of their lighting connector by like an Apple store person, right?
01:33:10
◼
►
Does USB-C suffer from that as much as lighting?
01:33:12
◼
►
I have no idea, but that is another potential tech problem.
01:33:15
◼
►
Not just for Apple, for warranty repairs, but people don't want their crap to break
01:33:18
◼
►
and have to bring it to the store either.
01:33:19
◼
►
Especially it's so hard to get an appointment and it's annoying to be in there and everything.
01:33:23
◼
►
I don't know.
01:33:24
◼
►
I feel like if I were to wager a guess, I think it's what our initial interpretation
01:33:30
◼
►
was, which is it's going to—the cable included in the box may be Lightning to USB-C. That
01:33:37
◼
►
falls down, though, because of what Marco was describing about how the entirety of power
01:33:40
◼
►
charging in the world is all done via USB-A.
01:33:46
◼
►
I think Apple—this is one of the old-school things where I would say, "Would Apple do
01:33:49
◼
►
100 percent.
01:33:50
◼
►
I totally believe Apple would go Lightning to USB-C. Despite everything we just said,
01:33:54
◼
►
we all agree on that USB-A is more common. Why would Apple do it? Because they'd be like,
01:33:58
◼
►
"This is our connector for our stuff, and our power bricks, and our computers. And by the way,
01:34:03
◼
►
we sell the other one for a reasonable price, so buy more peripherals from us, and buy more
01:34:08
◼
►
adapters, and it's fine." I 100% believe Apple would do that. It's just hard to tell from this
01:34:13
◼
►
rumor. And speaking of hardware virus, I hope this rumor is a different kind of hardware virus,
01:34:18
◼
►
and that even if Apple is either doing the boring thing or not doing anything,
01:34:23
◼
►
and they just come with plain old USB-A to Lightning Connectors like every other thing.
01:34:25
◼
►
The fact that this story is out there and that every tech site and the Wall Street Journal and
01:34:31
◼
►
podcasts and everybody are talking about it, and it seems to me, collectively slowly convincing
01:34:36
◼
►
ourselves that this would be a good idea, it would be great if somewhere at Apple they're like, "No,
01:34:41
◼
►
Wall Street Journal, that's not what you were supposed to be leaking at all. It's just that
01:34:44
◼
►
we were going to change the other end of the cave." And then come the time when the new iPhone
01:34:48
◼
►
is released, we're all disappointed that it doesn't have USB-C, Apple will be like, "How did this get
01:34:51
◼
►
- It's getting away from us.
01:34:52
◼
►
So it's like a hardware mind virus.
01:34:56
◼
►
Yeah, I don't know what to make of it.
01:34:57
◼
►
It wouldn't entirely surprise me if the phone itself
01:35:00
◼
►
had a USB-C port on it, but I just keep coming back to it
01:35:03
◼
►
and I can't get past what is it really doing for the device?
01:35:07
◼
►
Like what problem is it solving for the device?
01:35:10
◼
►
I'm not saying there isn't one.
01:35:11
◼
►
- It's making a lot of things more convenient.
01:35:13
◼
►
And in the very, very likely future that we're gonna have,
01:35:17
◼
►
because Android is doing this,
01:35:19
◼
►
so we're gonna have all these USB-C cables
01:35:21
◼
►
out there in the world.
01:35:22
◼
►
It's gonna be very, very convenient
01:35:24
◼
►
if we not only can just have one cable,
01:35:26
◼
►
but then you can plug in your iPhone
01:35:28
◼
►
to any of these things anywhere.
01:35:29
◼
►
That's gonna be incredibly convenient.
01:35:31
◼
►
It's also gonna be convenient for just people who travel
01:35:33
◼
►
with an iPhone and a laptop.
01:35:36
◼
►
And then you can have one charger
01:35:38
◼
►
that you kinda switch between them as needed,
01:35:40
◼
►
or you can swap cables between them
01:35:41
◼
►
if you forget one of the cables,
01:35:43
◼
►
or one of them goes bad,
01:35:44
◼
►
or you only have one long cable and one short cable
01:35:47
◼
►
and you need to flip where they are
01:35:49
◼
►
for a certain arrangement that you have
01:35:50
◼
►
when you're traveling or something.
01:35:51
◼
►
Like there's all sorts of like everyday
01:35:53
◼
►
practical advantages that this could bring
01:35:57
◼
►
in a world where everything else is USB-C.
01:35:59
◼
►
And I think it's very clear we are heading
01:36:00
◼
►
towards that world.
01:36:01
◼
►
Like the world where everything else is USB-C,
01:36:04
◼
►
that's happening.
01:36:05
◼
►
Apple is leading the charge with the Macs.
01:36:08
◼
►
So that's obviously happening.
01:36:11
◼
►
Like if you've bought a new MacBook Pro
01:36:13
◼
►
in the last five months,
01:36:15
◼
►
you already are in this world, at least partially.
01:36:17
◼
►
and as they update the iMacs hopefully in a few weeks
01:36:20
◼
►
and everything else, over the next couple years,
01:36:23
◼
►
if you buy a new Mac, it is almost certainly
01:36:25
◼
►
going to be all USB-C.
01:36:27
◼
►
So again, this world is here.
01:36:30
◼
►
This is happening.
01:36:31
◼
►
This is already a thing.
01:36:33
◼
►
There's all sorts of great accessories for USB-C now.
01:36:36
◼
►
Think of all the standard, just how iOS has had support
01:36:41
◼
►
for standard USB devices, like standard HID things,
01:36:44
◼
►
standard sound devices, things like that,
01:36:46
◼
►
without any drivers or anything for a long time now,
01:36:48
◼
►
but in order to plug them in,
01:36:49
◼
►
you had to get one of those light into USB camera
01:36:51
◼
►
connection kit adapters,
01:36:52
◼
►
and this would actually allow the phone to have
01:36:56
◼
►
a standard port that is always there
01:36:59
◼
►
that can support a whole bunch of new devices
01:37:01
◼
►
that can make your phone more useful
01:37:02
◼
►
in certain specialized scenarios.
01:37:05
◼
►
So there's the everyday practicality
01:37:06
◼
►
of all these different charge cables
01:37:07
◼
►
that are gonna be everywhere.
01:37:08
◼
►
There's carrying it with you in a bag full of a USB-C laptop
01:37:12
◼
►
with all the USB-C cables you're gonna have for that,
01:37:13
◼
►
not having to have two separate sets of cables
01:37:15
◼
►
with different sets of connectors and everything.
01:37:17
◼
►
It's just tons of everyday practicality,
01:37:19
◼
►
plus all this edge case power that you could have
01:37:22
◼
►
by having this device be a member of the USB-C ecosystem,
01:37:25
◼
►
a first class member, have it be a USB-C host device
01:37:28
◼
►
that can have other USB-C things put into it
01:37:31
◼
►
and have that just work,
01:37:32
◼
►
in addition to being charged and everything.
01:37:34
◼
►
- And eventually have Thunderbolt 3,
01:37:35
◼
►
or Thunderbolt 7 on your phones, right?
01:37:38
◼
►
- Maybe, I mean they wouldn't probably even need that
01:37:40
◼
►
'cause USB 3 is already really fast
01:37:42
◼
►
for most things a phone would be transferring
01:37:44
◼
►
over an external bus.
01:37:45
◼
►
- You would do it for a video outlet
01:37:47
◼
►
on the 27-inch iPad Pro,
01:37:49
◼
►
so you could have two of them next to each other.
01:37:51
◼
►
- That actually is pretty cool, but yeah.
01:37:52
◼
►
Yeah, and again, and then also think of the iPad,
01:37:54
◼
►
where like, if they wanna bring the iPad forward
01:37:57
◼
►
in a big way, one of the ways to do that
01:37:59
◼
►
would be to give it a USB port of some kind,
01:38:01
◼
►
and of course, these days, that would be a USB-C port,
01:38:04
◼
►
and if you have that, why would you keep lightning there?
01:38:06
◼
►
And if you're getting rid of lightning there,
01:38:08
◼
►
might as well also get rid of lightning on the phone,
01:38:10
◼
►
and also be a lot more comfortable
01:38:12
◼
►
with the European Union in the process.
01:38:14
◼
►
So there's lots of reasons to do it.
01:38:17
◼
►
And Casey, so as I think the one of us
01:38:20
◼
►
who's most cool on this idea,
01:38:23
◼
►
would you at least agree that if they were starting
01:38:25
◼
►
clean today with no legacy baggage,
01:38:28
◼
►
would USB-C be the right choice?
01:38:30
◼
►
- Oh, oh, without question.
01:38:32
◼
►
And sitting here thinking about it,
01:38:34
◼
►
I feel like the only way this makes,
01:38:40
◼
►
that this feels better to me is if inductive charging really is a thing, right? Because,
01:38:46
◼
►
although I plug in phones constantly because I'm a developer, like Erin for example, the only time
01:38:54
◼
►
she ever plugs her phone into anything, it's just the wall to charge it. And yeah, it would be kind
01:39:00
◼
►
of a pain in the butt if she had to bring her like charging pad everywhere she goes in order to
01:39:05
◼
►
charge your phone, but that makes it sting a little bit less, I feel like. I don't know why.
01:39:11
◼
►
Now that I'm saying that out loud, it seems bananas to me, because it's really no different.
01:39:15
◼
►
Because, you know, if it's USB-C, then we would have to bring that specific USB-C cable, because
01:39:20
◼
►
it would be the only one in the house. But if it's an inductive charging pad, suddenly that's better,
01:39:25
◼
►
because I don't know why. But it just feels better to me, even though I admit that that makes no
01:39:30
◼
►
sense. So maybe that's the fix is inductive charging is the thing since it's wireless
01:39:36
◼
►
and Apple hates wires and USB-C for Apple TV style if you need it. I don't know.
01:39:42
◼
►
I think inductive charging is probably a separate thing. It's the kind of thing where if it
01:39:48
◼
►
ever makes sense to do it in an iPhone, which so far it seems like the uses that have been
01:39:53
◼
►
out there in the world so far have not been very compelling for lots of different reasons,
01:39:59
◼
►
some of which seem insurmountable,
01:40:00
◼
►
but we'll see if that ever changes,
01:40:02
◼
►
but things like the horrible efficiency of it
01:40:06
◼
►
and the incredible close proximity you need to have
01:40:09
◼
►
to the charging device, but anyway,
01:40:11
◼
►
or the pad or whatever it is.
01:40:13
◼
►
But I see this as separate things.
01:40:15
◼
►
You know, like, it's very,
01:40:17
◼
►
and even like Apple has said this on multiple occasions,
01:40:19
◼
►
I think Phil has made a few comments to this degree,
01:40:22
◼
►
you know, you have a wire, you can plug things into charge,
01:40:24
◼
►
it's no big deal, like wireless charging sounds great
01:40:28
◼
►
If you think about like, oh, I could just walk around everywhere, my whole house, my
01:40:31
◼
►
whole work, the whole world outside maybe, and my phone just always charged from the
01:40:37
◼
►
But that probably isn't what it would be.
01:40:38
◼
►
It would probably be like you just have these wireless charging pads like on your desk and
01:40:43
◼
►
stuff, but like that isn't that much better than a cable.
01:40:45
◼
►
Oh, that's a lot.
01:40:47
◼
►
It's pretty better than a cable, I think.
01:40:48
◼
►
I think if you could just have – think of the area in everybody's house where they
01:40:51
◼
►
dump all their devices to charge and the rat's nest of wires that they have there.
01:40:55
◼
►
if it was just a nice pad and they could just pile things on top of it.
01:40:58
◼
►
And that's assuming they just go with like inductive charging with this type of thing.
01:41:01
◼
►
If they go with the, what was that company called, the, wasn't it Steve Pearlman, the
01:41:06
◼
►
OnLive guy, I forget.
01:41:07
◼
►
Anyway, the beamforming Wi-Fi kind of tech that could be used to deliver power.
01:41:12
◼
►
Peace something.
01:41:13
◼
►
That's the thing that you're talking about.
01:41:15
◼
►
Like I'm wandering around my house and my thing is charging and that is way, way, way
01:41:18
◼
►
slower but even if it's just like within the same room, like imagine putting your phone
01:41:23
◼
►
on your nightstand to charge at night,
01:41:25
◼
►
but not plugging it in and not having to put it on a pad,
01:41:28
◼
►
and not having your brain slowly microwaved
01:41:29
◼
►
by the thing that's in your room.
01:41:31
◼
►
- Yeah, that's a little concerning, to be honest.
01:41:34
◼
►
And then my phone just scratched up by my nightstand.
01:41:36
◼
►
Like, I have a little dock, it's great.
01:41:38
◼
►
See, I think the real reason why Apple--
01:41:41
◼
►
- The dock industry.
01:41:42
◼
►
- Yeah, no, I think the real reason why Apple
01:41:44
◼
►
is going to switch to USB-C on the phone
01:41:46
◼
►
is that I just got these awesome studio neat docks
01:41:49
◼
►
for everything, and they're really nice.
01:41:51
◼
►
So whenever I buy new docks,
01:41:53
◼
►
last time when they changed to Lightning
01:41:55
◼
►
was right after I bought the Elevation dock.
01:41:57
◼
►
And so now that I bought new docks finally,
01:42:00
◼
►
I finally replaced my Elevation docks after five years
01:42:02
◼
►
or however long it's been.
01:42:04
◼
►
Now Apple is going to change away from Lightning
01:42:07
◼
►
and make me buy all new docks.
01:42:08
◼
►
- Well, the good news for the Kickstarter
01:42:12
◼
►
for iOS device docks made of like, you know,
01:42:16
◼
►
fancy burled walnut and all sorts of other things like that,
01:42:18
◼
►
the good news is that once wireless charging is here,
01:42:21
◼
►
can still sell those same docks, it's even easier because they don't have to even charge
01:42:24
◼
►
it. It's just basically like a little stand for your phone, like a little home for it.
01:42:29
◼
►
It props it up and makes it look cute. Because in the end, I mean, I know you think that
01:42:34
◼
►
"Oh, it's a charging dock, it's very important that it charges." In the end, it's a little
01:42:37
◼
►
stand for your phone. It's a nice stand for my phone. I know, I'm just saying that industry
01:42:43
◼
►
will not be decimated by wireless charging. In fact, that industry will be freed from
01:42:46
◼
►
having to worry about the silly electronics and they can concentrate where they really
01:42:50
◼
►
care about which is fine materials and craftsmanship and so on and so forth.
01:42:55
◼
►
And you can use all the money you're saving by not buying two sets of cables for everything
01:42:58
◼
►
and just dump it all into docks.
01:43:00
◼
►
That's right.
01:43:01
◼
►
You can have one made from, what is your little heavy cylinder made out of?
01:43:07
◼
►
Thanks to our three sponsors this week, Casper, Betterment, and Squarespace.
01:43:10
◼
►
And we will see you next week.
01:43:15
◼
►
Now the show is over, they didn't even mean to begin
01:43:19
◼
►
'Cause it was accidental, oh it was accidental
01:43:25
◼
►
John didn't do any research, Marco and Casey wouldn't let him
01:43:30
◼
►
'Cause it was accidental, oh it was accidental
01:43:35
◼
►
And you can find the show notes at ATP.fm
01:43:41
◼
►
And if you're into Twitter, you can follow them @C-A-S-E-Y-L-I-S-S
01:43:49
◼
►
So that's Kasey Liss, M-A-R-C-O-A-R-M
01:43:54
◼
►
Auntie Marco Arment, S-I-R-A-C-U-S-A-C-R-A-C-Uza
01:44:01
◼
►
It's accidental (it's accidental)
01:44:05
◼
►
They didn't mean to (it's accidental)
01:44:10
◼
►
♪ Tech podcast so long ♪
01:44:13
◼
►
- What is going on?
01:44:15
◼
►
My mouse, every great once in a while this happens.
01:44:17
◼
►
My beloved magic mouse is like lagging to hell
01:44:21
◼
►
and it just--
01:44:22
◼
►
- Wants to be harpooned.
01:44:23
◼
►
- Yep, it happens to me too.
01:44:25
◼
►
You see me tweeting about that a few days ago?
01:44:26
◼
►
- Oh yeah, you're right.
01:44:27
◼
►
I think I told you it never happens to me in fact,
01:44:31
◼
►
I'm a darn dirty liar.
01:44:33
◼
►
That just happened to me
01:44:34
◼
►
and it's not the first time it's happened.
01:44:36
◼
►
- It appears to happen to everybody
01:44:38
◼
►
who has any Apple Bluetooth pointing device.
01:44:41
◼
►
It happens to the track pads and the mice.
01:44:43
◼
►
It happens to the old mice that used AA batteries
01:44:46
◼
►
and the new one that have the rechargeable harpoon thing.
01:44:48
◼
►
It happens whether you're at a high battery level
01:44:50
◼
►
or a low battery level.
01:44:52
◼
►
There seems to be very little correlation
01:44:55
◼
►
to any of these factors.
01:44:56
◼
►
It just seems to happen to all of Apple's Bluetooth devices.
01:44:59
◼
►
So it's probably an issue with either all Bluetooth devices
01:45:02
◼
►
or at least Apple's Bluetooth devices.
01:45:05
◼
►
- Doesn't happen to my wired keyboard
01:45:07
◼
►
of my wired Logitech mouse from 1992.
01:45:09
◼
►
- Oh, you're so old.
01:45:11
◼
►
- Never, doesn't stutter, doesn't need to be recharged.
01:45:15
◼
►
- Now, the Mac Pro that you have,
01:45:17
◼
►
I'm pretty sure Bluetooth was optional.
01:45:19
◼
►
Do you have Bluetooth on that?
01:45:21
◼
►
- I don't know, let's go find out.
01:45:24
◼
►
- I think it was like a $60 option.
01:45:27
◼
►
- Turn Bluetooth on, there is a button that says that,
01:45:29
◼
►
I think I can click it, it is currently off.
01:45:31
◼
►
So I'm gonna assume I have it.
01:45:33
◼
►
- Oh yeah, you probably do have it.
01:45:34
◼
►
- I did not get the Wi-Fi option on this, by the way.
01:45:36
◼
►
- Maybe that's what I'm thinking of.
01:45:38
◼
►
- So my Mac does not have Wi-Fi.
01:45:40
◼
►
- Maybe on the, I wonder if the 2006 Mac Pro,
01:45:43
◼
►
maybe Bluetooth was optional on that one?
01:45:45
◼
►
And maybe it was only Wi-Fi on yours?
01:45:46
◼
►
- It might have been optional on mine.
01:45:47
◼
►
I might have checked the Bluetooth boxes
01:45:49
◼
►
and I'm like, maybe I'll get Bluetooth peripherals here
01:45:51
◼
►
or 'hem eight years later, still no Bluetooth peripherals.
01:45:54
◼
►
- What else did I talk about?
01:45:58
◼
►
- You can talk more about the Mac Pro if you want.
01:46:00
◼
►
- Hard pass and I gotta go.
01:46:02
◼
►
- I mean, Tim Cook said nothing again.
01:46:04
◼
►
- Yeah, that's why, that's why it's not,
01:46:06
◼
►
You notice it's not even on the topic list.
01:46:09
◼
►
Because there's nothing to discuss, because there was nothing said.
01:46:12
◼
►
Well, I'll give my two cents that I already gave and slack to put this one to bed.
01:46:18
◼
►
He was asked in the shareholders meeting about pro hardware and all the stuff we always whine
01:46:21
◼
►
about, and he gave the same kind of non-committal, like, "Oh, you know, we have things coming
01:46:26
◼
►
for pros, and we do care about them despite all our actions to the contrary."
01:46:30
◼
►
But he didn't say, "I'm being sarcastic now."
01:46:32
◼
►
But anyway, he gave the same kind of non-answer he did last time that we talked about that
01:46:35
◼
►
led us to believe that an iMac Pro is coming or something. And there was some discussion about
01:46:39
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like, all right, what's so bad about this? Like in the hierarchy of things that Tim Cook could have
01:46:44
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said or done in relation to that, where does this fall? And I feel like saying nothing would have
01:46:50
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still been worse. I feel like at this point, when there's a problem that a bunch of people see,
01:46:55
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like some people are cranky about Pro Mac hardware, right? Saying nothing is the worst
01:46:59
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choice because that's just like, it just makes people angry. It's like you're ignoring them or
01:47:02
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►
or you're burying the head in the sand,
01:47:04
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people want some kind of answer.
01:47:05
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Saying something boring and noncommittal and vague
01:47:08
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that's basically like Apple saying,
01:47:10
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"We think we have something for you,"
01:47:12
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is better than nothing because at the very least it says,
01:47:15
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"All right, well, whether it's true or not,
01:47:19
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Apple thinks they have something
01:47:20
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that we're gonna like in the future."
01:47:22
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And that's kind of vague, but it strings us along.
01:47:27
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And then I feel like the best thing they could have done
01:47:30
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is give a strong, definitive answer
01:47:32
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that acknowledges the issue and then comes to a conclusion.
01:47:37
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And so that could be, we hear your concerns,
01:47:40
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or we've decided we don't wanna be
01:47:41
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in the pro hardware business anymore.
01:47:43
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Perfectly valid, it puts an end to all of our whining,
01:47:45
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right, because like, well, what's done is done.
01:47:47
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You know, we can yell at them about it,
01:47:48
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but at least we have a definitive answer.
01:47:50
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Or they could say, we've heard your concerns,
01:47:52
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we realize we dropped the ball,
01:47:54
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but we are going to rededicate ourselves to pro hardware.
01:47:57
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They didn't say that either.
01:47:58
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►
So we get the middle one,
01:47:59
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the vague answer that tells us nothing,
01:48:01
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►
that is still better than nothing, but is still much worse than Apple definitively coming
01:48:06
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down in one direction or another. They don't have to announce new products. They don't
01:48:09
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►
have to promise anything they could have just said. They have to acknowledge the situation
01:48:13
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►
and say, "We realize we've dropped the ball, but we've decided to get out of this market
01:48:18
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►
or we are going to rededicate ourselves." And they didn't do either one of those things,
01:48:22
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►
so it's business as usual.
01:48:23
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►
I think you and I just have different definitions of what "nothing" means. You think he didn't
01:48:29
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say nothing, I think he did say nothing.
01:48:31
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Well, no, because by not saying, like, "We're sorry you feel—" like, remember the Final
01:48:38
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Cut Pro X thing?
01:48:40
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►
What they basically said with that was like, "We're sorry you feel this way, but Final
01:48:43
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►
Cut Pro X is the future, get used to it."
01:48:45
◼
►
So instead of saying, "We're sorry you're sad about the Pro hardware, but we're not
01:48:48
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doing that anymore, get used to it."
01:48:50
◼
►
Like, what he was trying to say, what he tries to say every time in this vague thing is like,
01:48:55
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"I know you're sad now, and I will not acknowledge that your sadness has found it in anything.
01:49:00
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►
I know you're sad now, but we have some really great stuff coming in the future."
01:49:04
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And he always says that.
01:49:07
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►
It's a Tim Cook-ism to say, "Boy, we have a great roadmap.
01:49:10
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We have great things coming."
01:49:13
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►
He says it frequently in earnings calls.
01:49:14
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For years and years, he's been saying it in earnings calls.
01:49:17
◼
►
If you look back on those earnings calls and you try to say, "Three years ago when he
01:49:20
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►
said that in the earnings call, what was he talking about?
01:49:23
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►
What product was he so jazzed?"
01:49:25
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►
like we have some great things coming we have amazing product line I think you're
01:49:29
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►
gonna be super duper impressed and we get all excited and then if you go
01:49:31
◼
►
forward three years like when he said that what was he even talking about like
01:49:35
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►
was he talking about the watch or was that was that like the new retina iPad
01:49:39
◼
►
mini it you can't even tell what he was talking about even after the fact but he
01:49:43
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►
always says like hang in there guys just because you don't know that we're gonna
01:49:48
◼
►
do a thing trust me in the future we're gonna do a thing and you're gonna like
01:49:51
◼
►
it and I think that is materially different than literally saying nothing
01:49:55
◼
►
like you know not answering the question and it is also different than then
01:49:59
◼
►
actually definitively saying they are aren't going to going to rededicate
01:50:03
◼
►
themselves to the pro market but see it's because you can't associate what he
01:50:08
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►
says with anything even after the fact it basically means nothing because it
01:50:13
◼
►
can you can apply his words to whatever you want them to be and he knows that
01:50:19
◼
►
like it that it's it's a non-committal statement so if he says we have great
01:50:22
◼
►
things down the pipe and it isn't at all what you want,
01:50:26
◼
►
then by the time, but then like, you know,
01:50:27
◼
►
when later comes and the great things they release
01:50:30
◼
►
aren't what you want, it doesn't invalidate what he said.
01:50:33
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►
It just, then there's just a new excuse of,
01:50:35
◼
►
well, they made something new, it just wasn't for you.
01:50:39
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►
You know, that's the--
01:50:39
◼
►
- Yeah, right, but what if they never made another thing
01:50:42
◼
►
that they even pretended was for pro people?
01:50:44
◼
►
They never made an iMac Pro like,
01:50:46
◼
►
because then we could call him on it.
01:50:47
◼
►
By him saying this, it's clear that Apple thinks
01:50:50
◼
►
they have something that pro people will like.
01:50:52
◼
►
They may be wrong.
01:50:53
◼
►
No, it's not.
01:50:54
◼
►
They've been wrong in the past, but at the very least, I think what this says is, it's
01:50:57
◼
►
them saying, "We're going to release a new Mac that we think will appeal to pros."
01:51:02
◼
►
And all of us can say cynically, "Well, you're probably wrong.
01:51:04
◼
►
It probably won't appeal to pros because your track record here is crap."
01:51:08
◼
►
But at least you think you have something that will appeal to pros, which is more substantive
01:51:12
◼
►
than just saying, "Vague, we have something coming."
01:51:14
◼
►
I mean, it eventually built up to the point like it did right before the trash can, where
01:51:18
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►
At that point they were like, stay tuned for exciting new pro hardware, which we all thought
01:51:26
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►
was going to be a new Mac Pro and totally was a new Mac Pro.
01:51:29
◼
►
And so we'll see if it builds to that.
01:51:31
◼
►
But I feel like what Tim Cook is saying on this hardware front here is like, we're going
01:51:35
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►
to introduce a product that we think people who like the old Mac Pro will like, and we
01:51:39
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probably won't because it'll be an iMac Pro, but whatever.
01:51:42
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►
That's what I think is coming.
01:51:43
◼
►
That is even what he said.
01:51:44
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►
What he said was things for pro markets
01:51:47
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►
and especially creative pros.
01:51:49
◼
►
You know what Apple pitches for creative pros?
01:51:51
◼
►
The iPad Pro.
01:51:52
◼
►
- And the MacBook Pro.
01:51:54
◼
►
- Everything Tim Cook said could be just in reference
01:51:57
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►
to the updated iMacs and iPad Pros
01:52:00
◼
►
they're gonna launch in two weeks or whatever it is.
01:52:03
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►
That's the thing, it doesn't mean anything.
01:52:05
◼
►
- I don't buy that.
01:52:07
◼
►
All right, so that's what I said.
01:52:08
◼
►
If in a year there's been no motion
01:52:11
◼
►
on anything that Apple is even pitching
01:52:13
◼
►
as a Mac made for pros, I think people will be angry
01:52:18
◼
►
and they'll come back at Tim Cook and say,
01:52:19
◼
►
"You didn't deliver on those things."
01:52:21
◼
►
As opposed to as other, we have this great roadmaps.
01:52:23
◼
►
The problem is that we could say,
01:52:24
◼
►
"Well, they did release a lot of cool stuff
01:52:26
◼
►
"and any of that stuff could have applied.
01:52:27
◼
►
"We just can't tell what the hell he was talking about."
01:52:29
◼
►
But it's not as if they didn't deliver
01:52:30
◼
►
because every year Apple releases great new stuff somewhere.
01:52:33
◼
►
It's just never desktop Macs, right?
01:52:36
◼
►
So I think that if it really is just like the new iPads,
01:52:40
◼
►
people will be like, "Well, that's not what we thought
01:52:42
◼
►
"you were talking about at all."
01:52:43
◼
►
and they'll be pissed about it and they'll come back
01:52:44
◼
►
even angrier with the same question.
01:52:46
◼
►
Whereas if Apple releases an iMac Pro,
01:52:48
◼
►
people are like, oh, all right, well I guess
01:52:50
◼
►
this is what he was talking about,
01:52:51
◼
►
but surprise, we're not happy
01:52:53
◼
►
'cause we wanted a better Mac Pro.
01:52:54
◼
►
- My concern with Cook's remarks in this area
01:52:58
◼
►
and the resulting products that come out of Apple
01:53:01
◼
►
is that, especially 'cause he specifically called out,
01:53:05
◼
►
he said, some of the lines of like, you know,
01:53:07
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►
prusers, especially creative pros,
01:53:09
◼
►
and they keep referring to, oh, creative pros,
01:53:11
◼
►
creative pros, it seems like Apple's image
01:53:15
◼
►
of what a creative pro is, is somebody drawing
01:53:19
◼
►
with a pencil and an iPad.
01:53:21
◼
►
And that's one type of creative pro,
01:53:24
◼
►
but that's a very, very small percentage of them.
01:53:27
◼
►
And that's also, and like creative pros aren't all pros.
01:53:32
◼
►
And Apple used to really own the market
01:53:36
◼
►
for so many kinds of pros.
01:53:39
◼
►
They really owned those markets so well
01:53:41
◼
►
for such a long time.
01:53:43
◼
►
And it seems like all the market share
01:53:46
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►
that they've shaved off in recent years
01:53:48
◼
►
by just neglect or cutting off support
01:53:51
◼
►
or cutting off product lines or features or whatever else
01:53:53
◼
►
are almost all the pro users that had more complex
01:53:58
◼
►
or higher end needs than somebody drawing on an iPad.
01:54:03
◼
►
And it doesn't seem like,
01:54:04
◼
►
it seems like Tim Cook's Apple just either doesn't care
01:54:09
◼
►
about the other kinds of pro work and needs
01:54:12
◼
►
that are out there,
01:54:13
◼
►
or they fundamentally don't understand it,
01:54:16
◼
►
both of which are scary possibilities to me.
01:54:19
◼
►
But I think it's very clear
01:54:20
◼
►
that at least one of those is true.
01:54:22
◼
►
- Did you see that MKBHD video
01:54:23
◼
►
where he was complaining about his Mac Pro?
01:54:26
◼
►
- No. - Yeah, I did.
01:54:27
◼
►
- He was basically saying that he's got
01:54:29
◼
►
the old 12-core trashcan Mac Pro,
01:54:31
◼
►
the old slash current. - Current, yes,
01:54:33
◼
►
the one that you can still buy for like $8,000.
01:54:36
◼
►
- And he uses Final Cut Pro to edit his videos,
01:54:39
◼
►
And what he was basically saying is like, people were like,
01:54:40
◼
►
why are you even using that crappy old Mac?
01:54:42
◼
►
Why don't you get like a fancy PC?
01:54:44
◼
►
And he was like, well, I like Final Cut for video editing.
01:54:46
◼
►
I'm sure it's what he's used to.
01:54:47
◼
►
And he's like, I have plugins for Final Cut
01:54:48
◼
►
that aren't available elsewhere and so on and so forth.
01:54:51
◼
►
I think that's a good canary, the whole Final Cut Pro thing.
01:54:54
◼
►
So like Aperture is gone, right?
01:54:56
◼
►
Final Cut Pro is kind of the last bastion of pro-ness,
01:55:01
◼
►
like the video market, right?
01:55:05
◼
►
And it is currently being woefully underserved,
01:55:09
◼
►
by their current trash can and anything else. I feel like, maybe I'm wrong, maybe people
01:55:14
◼
►
are editing entire movies on their MacBook ones and I'm just silly for thinking this,
01:55:17
◼
►
but whatever. MKBHD, who does video for a living, wants his Mac Pro. Maybe it's just
01:55:22
◼
►
because he's like a computer gearhead like we are. No, no, he actually needs it. Yeah.
01:55:28
◼
►
And he says that even despite that 12 core being old and creaky, that he does still get
01:55:32
◼
►
better performance than he would with Adobe Premiere, which is not an apples to apples
01:55:35
◼
►
comparison obviously, than he does on Adobe Premiere on a fancy PC. But you know, bottom
01:55:40
◼
►
line is he just likes Final Cut, right? If they drop Final Cut, if they stop making it
01:55:45
◼
►
in the same way they stop making Aperture, that will be an extremely strong signal. Because
01:55:50
◼
►
you're right, Marco, like what's left? Is it just people making artisanal sketches on
01:55:55
◼
►
virtual napkins? Is that it? Is that the only creative pro? Because even like real creative
01:55:58
◼
►
pros need to use freaking Adobe Illustrator. Like let's get real here. Photoshop and Illustrator
01:56:02
◼
►
what they need to use to do their jobs, and maybe a page layout type of thing.
01:56:06
◼
►
Creative professionals? When they say that, I would think of things like
01:56:12
◼
►
Aperture, oops, that's not there anymore, or Lightroom, because that's a Mac application too,
01:56:15
◼
►
or things like Final Cut and Premiere. And so many markets, again, we complain about it so we
01:56:21
◼
►
get a lot of emails, so this is self-selecting people saying, "I work in this industry,
01:56:25
◼
►
and I've watched my entire industry dump Macs as soon as they can and switch all to PCs,"
01:56:28
◼
►
because they realize Apple doesn't care about them.
01:56:30
◼
►
Apple makes Final Cut.
01:56:32
◼
►
It's their own program.
01:56:33
◼
►
Presumably there is a team working on it, right?
01:56:35
◼
►
And they put a lot of effort into the Final Cut Pro 10,
01:56:38
◼
►
being a big leap over the other one
01:56:39
◼
►
and endured all of the problems with that program.
01:56:41
◼
►
And you know, like, they as a company seem dedicated
01:56:45
◼
►
to resourcing and believing in that product
01:56:47
◼
►
in the same way they used to for Aperture, I suppose.
01:56:50
◼
►
If they drop that, then it will really be like,
01:56:52
◼
►
all right, Tim, stop talking about professionals
01:56:56
◼
►
of any kind, creative or otherwise, 'cause what the hell?
01:57:00
◼
►
- By the way, on this MKBHD video,
01:57:02
◼
►
you know what he says right before New Mac Pro?
01:57:06
◼
►
- Oh, he's talking about USB-C, yeah?
01:57:08
◼
►
- Well, it's in the news.
01:57:09
◼
►
It's in the news, he's reading the same stories we are.
01:57:11
◼
►
- Yep, he wants USB-C everywhere.
01:57:13
◼
►
- He's so much cooler than us.
01:57:15
◼
►
- That's a pretty low bar.
01:57:17
◼
►
- I don't know, he's pretty nerdy.
01:57:19
◼
►
You think he's cooler 'cause he's young and handsome,
01:57:21
◼
►
but he's pretty nerdy.
01:57:23
◼
►
- No, I'm pretty sure he's cooler than us.
01:57:25
◼
►
- Yeah, I'm pretty sure he's considerably cooler.
01:57:27
◼
►
- All right, all right, so it's a low bar.
01:57:28
◼
►
Is he cooler than Casey?
01:57:30
◼
►
Let's see, well, I don't know.
01:57:31
◼
►
- That's also a low bar.
01:57:32
◼
►
That's very flattering and complimentary of you.
01:57:34
◼
►
- So I'm trying to put the coolest among us
01:57:37
◼
►
to try to see if we can reach up to that lever.
01:57:40
◼
►
- I mean, the coolest among us is definitely Casey,
01:57:42
◼
►
and sorry Casey, I think he's cooler than you.
01:57:44
◼
►
So I think therefore that solves the question right there.
01:57:48
◼
►
- Yeah, I guess, I guess you're right.
01:57:50
◼
►
Maybe if we combine all three of our coolnesses,
01:57:53
◼
►
then maybe we can--
01:57:54
◼
►
Maybe. Maybe all of us combined, like Voltron. It would still be, I think it would still
01:57:59
◼
►
be a fight. Anyway, coolness counts for nothing in this industry. Witness Bill Gates, Steve
01:58:06
◼
►
Wozniak, Andy Hertzfeld, Bill Atkinson, not cool people. They're cool in their own way.
01:58:13
◼
►
Bill Gates is cool in no ways, but. He is the antimatter of cool. Curing malaria. Not
01:58:22
◼
►
keeps not carrying it but you know what I mean.