208: Your Face Is Your Face
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that is going to make an awesome after show.
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It's not really because it's going to be just a white dude
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thinking and moaning about his expensive car.
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It's going to be a terrible after show.
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And we're going to keep it in and people are going to like it.
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And the one or two people that don't like it have long since stopped listening.
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Fair enough.
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All right, so people have suggested that this phantom
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version of the Mac, which includes an ARM coprocessor, if you will,
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Maybe that's used for Power Nap. I still am skeptical that would be a reasonable use case, but be that as it may,
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the—people have used an example of apparently there's something in the PlayStation 4,
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which apparently is a console that people apparently play video games with. I didn't realize that was still a thing.
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But anyway, it has a rest mode that I guess works similarly, right, Jon?
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Yeah, so this—the last show we were talking about, the ARM CPU
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actually being able to function and do useful work when the Intel CPU is off,
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which would mean that the ARM CPU would need access to all the same stuff,
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you know, all the I/O and networking and all the other stuff,
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regardless of what software it runs, whether it runs just, you know, a bunch of Apple software
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that Apple supplies as part of the OS or whether third parties can ship ARM compiled binaries to it,
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that it would be a full-fledged CPU able to do useful work.
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And I was saying how that is pretty complicated if the only benefit you're getting out of it is
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we can do power nap on the arm CPU instead of the Intel CPU.
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And it remains to be seen if the next item involved we have some more suggestions of
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things this thing could do to justify that complexity, but the PS4 is actually an example
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of this actual thing in practice because the PS4 is an x86 CPU and when you put it into rest mode
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it's basically like the thing is turned off, the fans are off and everything, like it doesn't make
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make any noise, it just sits there, but it's not completely off off. And what it does in
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this mode is it will like download, update giant updates to your games, it will charge
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your controllers, it will do other sort of background tasks that don't require it to
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be on, but still mean that it's doing useful work. It will do, obviously with downloading,
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is using stuff over the network. And in that rest mode, it's, according to this feedback
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we've gotten, which I'm perfectly willing to believe, although I haven't looked into
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it extensively. It's not using the Intel CPU, it is using a separate ARM chip just to do this stuff.
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And that's an example of an x86 and an ARM CPU in a box and when the the x86 CPU is turned off,
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the ARM CPU is able to do all that stuff. It's able to do, you know, manipulate stuff on the
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hard drive, it's able to use networking, it's able to do all the, you know, the things and
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That is an additional complexity that is worth it for the PS4, because it is fixing all the sins of the PS3.
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Every time you wanted to turn the thing on and play a game, you had to download 50 updates,
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and it's like, "Why didn't you do that for the 12 hours I wasn't home, PS3?"
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It wouldn't even charge your controllers when it was turned off the PS3.
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You plug them in, you know, you're like, "Oh, I'm done playing the game, I'll plug in..."
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Like, it's the worst. So the PS4 fixes all this, and so it's an obvious win on the console.
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And it's, you know, it's down to the instruction set exactly what they were talking about for this rumored Apple laptop.
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The question remains, is that additional complexity, and I'm sure it's additional complexity, worthwhile for a Mac?
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And so we had one other suggestion for something that the ARM CPU could do that is useful,
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that doesn't require third-party developers to make extensions with ARM code compiled to it and ship it off there and do all sorts of stuff like that.
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David Boroditsky suggested good old photos and face recognition. You know like when you first
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get your Mac or at any point like wandering over your photos finding all the faces and doing the
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image recognition now nowadays like figuring out everything that's a house or whatever so you can
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do searches later that would be a perfect thing to do when your Mac is in rest mode or asleep or
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whatever and it would require maybe networking access depending on how much cloud stuff they
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they do for the image recognition,
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but certainly would require disk access.
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Is that worth the added complexity of making a Mac
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that can run either on an x86 CPU or on an ARM CPU,
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depending on what mode it's in?
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- First of all, the photo recognition thing,
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I hope they fix that in this fall's software updates.
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Make that sync already.
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Everything else about photos syncs.
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The fact that every device has to do that
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is not only a terrible hack with awkward results sometimes,
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but it just destroys the battery life and performance
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of computers and iOS devices for the first three days
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that you get them, and that's just a bad initial
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user experience for everybody.
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- But somebody's gotta do it.
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I know people might have multiple devices,
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but one of the devices has to do it,
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and that device is the victim no matter,
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it's great that it'll be shared,
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but I would imagine for a lot of people,
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the phone would be the victim, because that's where they take the pictures, and who knows
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if people even have photos syncing on their mind. I feel bad that any device has to be
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subject to this. I mean, they could change the policy by saying, "We won't do image recognition
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unless nobody's using the device and it's plugged in." Like, basically, only do it when
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you're sleeping and it's plugged in.
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- Well, they already attempt to do that.
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Like, it does stop when you are unplugged
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on the laptops most of the time.
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However, it takes forever to the point where, like,
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you never know when you plug it in,
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like, is it best to spin the fan up?
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And then when you unplug it,
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like, how long will it take before it pauses?
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It uses the discrete GPU,
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which exacerbates any kind of GPU sticking on bugs.
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It's just kind of a mess.
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On iOS, it's even worse,
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'cause then, like, your phone gets really hot
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for, like, the first while that you have it,
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and you're like, "Why is my phone so hot?
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something wrong with it, is it gonna catch fire?
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It's just really inelegant and really sets up
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very bad user experiences for anybody who's setting up
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an iOS or Mac device that isn't their first one ever.
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And that's, they really, really need to address that
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in this year's updates, like that cannot wait.
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- Yeah, so I'm not sure it would be better if instead
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it did it while it was asleep, 'cause obviously
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it will take way longer to do it while it's asleep.
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really only Apple knows for sure but like what are the usage patterns for
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devices that are plugged in not iOS devices because they're they're never
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asleep awake like when the screens off basically that's a you know asleep like
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when they're plugged in overnight and charging that's when they should be
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doing their photo stuff if that's the only device but for Macs I don't know
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what the defaults are but I imagine if you walk away from your Mac it'll be on
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for some period of time and then I think the default is to go to sleep after like
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not that long of a time.
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And if you can't do any photo recognition stuff
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in the background in sleep mode normally,
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like if Power Nap doesn't do any of it now,
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that's all a waste of time.
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So the only time your Mac has to do photos
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is when it's unattended,
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is like the one hour between when you stop using it
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and when it goes to sleep
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according to the default energy saver settings or whatever.
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Whereas it could have had 12 hours
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just plinking away with this little ARM CPU.
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So maybe that would help a little bit,
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but again, I have to, you know,
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complexity of having a second full-fledged CPU with access to all the same things as the Intel CPU
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is significant. And I'm still, so far I'm still on the page that it's much smarter to use that CPU
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for auxiliary functions that have to do with the hardware, like I said last time, a proximity
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sensor, camera, microphone, you know, sort of like a glorified M1 or M7, what was that, the original
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motion detecting step counting thing on the iPhone.
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- Was it the M8?
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- No, we're getting to be a BMW on the brain.
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- There you go.
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- It's the 1M because the M1 was a totally different car.
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Anyway, yeah.
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Yeah, just having dedicated hardware,
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her functions related to the hardware.
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And that's perfect for a little CPU.
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And again, the only reason we're talking about this at all
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is it's already there to run the touch bar.
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It's like, it's already there.
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And so you're just saying,
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how can I get more bang for my buck
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from this thing that I already have to put in?
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It's not like we're looking to throw a bunch of new chips into the thing.
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It's already in these laptops, so I believe that a next version or a version after that
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of this, they'll find new things to do with the chip they should, because they're paying
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for the chip and it's there, and when it's not doing anything fancy on the screen, give
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it something else to do.
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They have good ARM chips and they have a good OS to run on them, so why waste it?
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Speaking of face recognition, Windows Hello, whatever that may be, does some really weird
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and fancy stuff with their face recognition.
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Yeah, I made a joke about face recognition not being good for security because someone
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just prints out a picture of your face and holds it up and then they unlock your laptop.
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Didn't specifically say that that was a vulnerability of Windows Hello because they didn't know
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much about it, but many people wrote in to say that Windows Hello actually uses depth
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maps so that you can't just hold up a picture because it wants something that not only looks
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like your face but is contoured and shaped like your face. So people would have to make
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a basically a mannequin of your face instead of just a picture, which is harder. And then
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the faces versus fingerprints thing, because a lot of people bring up like, well, it's
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just like fingerprints, like people can lift your fingerprints pretty easily. I feel like
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it's still the apt comparison is local versus remote exploit. Local exploits, like there's
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a million of them, basically, if someone has physical access to your computer, in most
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cases game over as far as security for a variety of reasons. For fingerprints they
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need to have physical access to either you or something you've touched to lift
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your fingerprints and there's been many demonstrations the web like oh you can
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lift someone's fingerprint you can unlock their iPhone because you know
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fingerprints are a series of ridges and we can get them out and make a little
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plastic mold of it and you're gone. Right now usually you can't get fingerprints
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from a normal photo of people like if you're walking down the street and
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someone snaps a picture of you they can't lift your fingerprints from that
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picture or if they Google you they probably won't find close-up pictures of
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your fingerprints or anything you've touched at a resolution where they can
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lift your fingerprints. But for most people you can find plenty of pictures
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of their face and you could fairly, not easily but much more easily, remotely
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without ever being anywhere near that person or anything they've touched
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reproduce their face in a 3D manner from a series of photos that are taken a
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whole bunch of different angles and make it use a 3D printer to make a little
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mold and then print out a picture of their face and slap it onto the mannequin and it
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fools the depth sensors and it fools the the camera and you've unlocked their thing with
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Again this is kind of like mission impossible whatever stuff if someone is this determined
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to attack you it's probably much better just to call you and tell and tell you they're
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from Microsoft and they want to reset your password because that's much easier way to
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get into your stuff but thinking about this and how easy it is to pull your fingerprints
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versus make a 3d model of your face versus whatever has reminded me once again of the
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trouble with all biometric security which we all you see in like the future you know sci-fi movies
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they're always putting their hands on things or doing retina scans or where you know we're living
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in the future now with fingerprints i use my fingerprint to unlock my phone all the time i
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love it it's awesome but the trouble with all biometrics is if they are compromised in any way
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if people have your fingerprints or have a nice 3D mold of your face,
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you can't change those things. You can't say, "Well, I'm going to use a new set of fingerprints."
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Always rotate your fingerprints. Don't use the same fingerprints in multiple sites, guys.
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Your fingerprints are your fingerprints, and for the most part, your face is your face.
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So once compromised, they are compromised forever. You can't use your fingerprint.
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If the whole world has high res images of your fingerprints, your fingerprints are useless.
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Never mind that in this country, anyway, law enforcement can make you put your stupid finger
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on the thing anyway. But just in general biometrics, they're unlike passwords that
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you can change and rotate or whatever, you can't change them. Even your retinas,
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if you do a retina scan and someone has like a detailed map of your retina and
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makes a little fake eyeball with your retina scan, you can't use retina scans
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anymore. It's bad. And if it became commonplace,
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it's the definition of repeating your password. You only have 10 fingers,
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right? You have a different finger on each secure thing.
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So in general biometrics are a great convenience, but if
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in sci-fi movies, or our youth anyway,
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they were always presented as a much more secure way,
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like, "Ha ha, you can't get in
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"because you don't have my eyeball or my finger."
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And then it didn't take long for the movies
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to shift into gouging people's eyeballs out
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and cutting off their hands to get their fingerprints.
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There's another downside of biometrics,
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but in general, I think biometrics are settling in
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to be the casual convenience feature.
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Like it's the reason I unlock my phone with it,
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because who wants to type in some big long password
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every time you unlock your phone?
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but not for increased security.
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For increased security, we're still stuck with for now
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big giant passwords and multiple factors.
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- I love that ripping out somebody's eyes
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and cutting off their fingers is described by you, John,
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as a downside.
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- I mean, it is.
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- It's a pretty significant downside in my book though.
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- No one's gonna do that unless you're in a sci-fi movie,
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like, 'cause no one cares that much about your crap.
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And again, there are much easier ways to get at your crap,
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like just forcing you to put your finger on it
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because you're not a big tough guy.
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But in the movies, to get into the evil villains lair,
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the, you know, you cut off the guy's hand,
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cut off the henchman's hand
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and you just shove it on the panel.
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- Didn't Tom Cruise's character do that in Minority Report?
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- You got new eyes.
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- It's been done so many times, so many times.
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and you just pay this low monthly rate.
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to try out Setapp, see for yourself.
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Thank you very much to Setapp for sponsoring our show.
00:15:31
◼
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(upbeat music)
00:15:34
◼
►
- All right, so there's been a little bit of
00:15:38
◼
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sort of kind of back and forth between our show
00:15:42
◼
►
and one host across two other shows,
00:15:45
◼
►
which is a friend of the show, Mike Hurley.
00:15:48
◼
►
He has talked on his two podcasts, Upgrade and Connected,
00:15:53
◼
►
about some arguments or counterarguments
00:15:57
◼
►
about whether or not the iPad is worth Apple's attention.
00:16:00
◼
►
And you really should listen to both Upgrade and Connected
00:16:03
◼
►
in, well, in general, but particularly the latest episodes,
00:16:06
◼
►
and we'll put links in the show notes.
00:16:09
◼
►
I'm going to try to unfairly summarize Mike's points,
00:16:15
◼
►
- I can't wait to hear this.
00:16:17
◼
►
- Yeah, yeah, and Marco can add his two cents
00:16:20
◼
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about all this.
00:16:21
◼
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What I got from what Mike said was,
00:16:25
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hey, if you look at modern iPads and modern Macs,
00:16:29
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where you define modern slightly arbitrarily,
00:16:34
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but basically can run the most recent versions
00:16:37
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of iOS and macOS,
00:16:39
◼
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I don't remember the exact numbers, but modern Macs by that definition go back between five
00:16:45
◼
►
and ten years, and modern iPads go back I think around five years, something like that.
00:16:49
◼
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The particular numbers don't really matter that much.
00:16:52
◼
►
The conclusion though that Mike came to was, hey, if you look at the sales and thus assumed
00:16:59
◼
►
install base of modern Macs and modern iOS devices, or excuse me, iPads, there are like
00:17:07
◼
►
twice as many iPads as there are Macs.
00:17:10
◼
►
So if there's that many iPads in the wild, shouldn't that be where Apple puts most of
00:17:16
◼
►
its attention?
00:17:17
◼
►
Because presumably, all of these iPads are still in use, and presumably at least a subset
00:17:23
◼
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of these owners, iPad owners, are using them for—and I'm doing scare quotes here—work
00:17:29
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►
So shouldn't that be where Apple puts all of its attention?
00:17:32
◼
►
Or maybe not all, but a lot of its attention?
00:17:35
◼
►
And that's a super, super, super summarized version.
00:17:37
◼
►
Again, listen to Connected and Upgrade,
00:17:40
◼
►
actually in the reverse order, listen to Upgrade first.
00:17:42
◼
►
But anyway, listen to them to get the longer versions.
00:17:44
◼
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But that's kind of what I got from it.
00:17:46
◼
►
Is that fair to say?
00:17:48
◼
►
- Yeah, I think so.
00:17:49
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I mean, and this was in response to what a lot of people
00:17:53
◼
►
were talking about after the earnings came out,
00:17:56
◼
►
what, two weeks ago now,
00:17:57
◼
►
about how iPad sales continued to drop.
00:18:01
◼
►
And many people commented on this with theories,
00:18:03
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►
myself included, both on my blog,
00:18:05
◼
►
and then we talked about it on the show last week.
00:18:07
◼
►
And many, many people,
00:18:10
◼
►
every time there's quarterly earnings that come out
00:18:12
◼
►
and it shows that the iPad sales are going down,
00:18:14
◼
►
which has happened a lot in the last few years,
00:18:17
◼
►
everyone has these theories about,
00:18:18
◼
►
well, here's why the iPad has failed or is failing,
00:18:21
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►
or you can't get real work done on it or whatever else.
00:18:24
◼
►
And so if you are an iPad Pro heavy user,
00:18:28
◼
►
like Mike and Federico and some of our other friends are,
00:18:32
◼
►
then this makes sense to be defensive about
00:18:36
◼
►
because it's very hard to separate out these arguments
00:18:40
◼
►
into like individual things to talk about.
00:18:44
◼
►
A lot of times people are arguing past each other
00:18:46
◼
►
because they're not quite hearing
00:18:49
◼
►
what the other argument was
00:18:50
◼
►
or they're responding more to a general feeling
00:18:53
◼
►
or to a general kind of trend of where the commentary is
00:18:57
◼
►
or has been rather than what somebody actually said
00:19:01
◼
►
what people are actually trying to figure out.
00:19:02
◼
►
And there's nuance to all this stuff.
00:19:04
◼
►
So part of what Mike and Jason on Upgrade were responding to
00:19:09
◼
►
was not just what we said, but I think a lot of it
00:19:12
◼
►
was based on us and what we said,
00:19:14
◼
►
and what I wrote in my blog post about
00:19:16
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►
what if the iPad isn't the future of computing.
00:19:18
◼
►
And so I did want to address this, hopefully briefly, here.
00:19:23
◼
►
And I'm actually, I'm working with Mike,
00:19:25
◼
►
we actually might do a little special
00:19:26
◼
►
with just me and Mike arguing about it
00:19:27
◼
►
maybe next week sometime, but we'll.
00:19:29
◼
►
- Do I get not to get to participate in that?
00:19:32
◼
►
- 'Cause I'm right about everything
00:19:33
◼
►
and you guys just have to argue about
00:19:34
◼
►
which one is gonna be more wrong.
00:19:36
◼
►
- Ooh. - Ooh.
00:19:37
◼
►
- Yikes. - We'll have to--
00:19:38
◼
►
- I didn't know that I listened to these episodes
00:19:39
◼
►
but it seems like it was Mike versus Marco
00:19:41
◼
►
but I said stuff too.
00:19:43
◼
►
Didn't anyone disagree with the stuff I said?
00:19:45
◼
►
- You got hit too, don't worry.
00:19:47
◼
►
You and I were kinda lumped in together.
00:19:48
◼
►
Anyway, so-- - Oh, that's unfair.
00:19:50
◼
►
Now that's ridiculous. (laughing)
00:19:52
◼
►
- I knew that would get you.
00:19:53
◼
►
Anyway, so here's my actual position here.
00:19:59
◼
►
Obviously people are getting real work done on iPads.
00:20:01
◼
►
Not every iPad owner of course,
00:20:03
◼
►
but as Mike accurately pointed out,
00:20:06
◼
►
not every Mac is sold and used to do quote,
00:20:08
◼
►
"real work," whatever that means.
00:20:10
◼
►
Mike's main point was also that the iPad,
00:20:13
◼
►
obviously even with the downward slope of its sales curve,
00:20:17
◼
►
is still selling like two to two and a half times
00:20:20
◼
►
unit sales of what Macs are selling.
00:20:23
◼
►
And there are still way more iPads out there than Macs,
00:20:27
◼
►
and so therefore this really is a serious platform.
00:20:30
◼
►
And I'm not arguing against any of that actually.
00:20:35
◼
►
My main argument with my post,
00:20:38
◼
►
and hopefully if I express it properly last week,
00:20:41
◼
►
is that the iPad is presented in so many views
00:20:46
◼
►
both from Apple and from analysts and fans
00:20:50
◼
►
as quote, the future of computing.
00:20:52
◼
►
And what I interpret that to mean is
00:20:55
◼
►
a replacement ultimately or largely a replacement
00:20:58
◼
►
for the PC and the Mac.
00:21:00
◼
►
What we're mostly seeing is that, you know,
00:21:03
◼
►
PCs have been a little bit contracting for a while,
00:21:06
◼
►
but Mac sales have been pretty solid.
00:21:09
◼
►
The rise of the iPad over, it's been seven years now,
00:21:13
◼
►
and it's been popular the whole time.
00:21:15
◼
►
So like, it's selling a lot, the iPad's selling a lot,
00:21:17
◼
►
but during that entire rise, sales of Macs haven't gone down.
00:21:21
◼
►
So if the iPad were really like the future of computing,
00:21:24
◼
►
in quotes, I'm doing finger quotes here, sorry,
00:21:27
◼
►
in the way that that means replacing PCs and Macs
00:21:31
◼
►
for a lot of people, I think the numbers
00:21:33
◼
►
are showing otherwise, and I made the case last week
00:21:36
◼
►
that for a lot of people, if you're gonna choose
00:21:39
◼
►
between only being able to afford or only wanting
00:21:41
◼
►
to own either an iPad or a computer,
00:21:45
◼
►
they're still picking that computer.
00:21:47
◼
►
I think the sales show that, and there's lots of reasons
00:21:49
◼
►
as we got into last week about why that might be,
00:21:52
◼
►
things like the limitations of doing things on the iPad
00:21:56
◼
►
and how many limitations you have there
00:21:58
◼
►
versus what limitations tend to be on PCs
00:22:01
◼
►
and differences in usability and everything.
00:22:03
◼
►
We argued about this, so I'm not gonna repeat the whole thing.
00:22:06
◼
►
All this is not to say that you can't get worked on
00:22:08
◼
►
on an iPad or that iPads are only for consumption.
00:22:11
◼
►
I never said that.
00:22:13
◼
►
This is also all not to say that nobody is replacing
00:22:17
◼
►
their PC or Mac with an iPad.
00:22:20
◼
►
I didn't say that either.
00:22:21
◼
►
but I think very clearly my argument here
00:22:25
◼
►
that I'm clarifying now again,
00:22:26
◼
►
my argument is that on a large scale,
00:22:31
◼
►
it doesn't appear that tablets are replacing PCs.
00:22:34
◼
►
And the Windows world is a little bit messier
00:22:38
◼
►
'cause they kind of have these combo things.
00:22:39
◼
►
But on the Apple side, I think it's very, very clear
00:22:42
◼
►
that the iPad is not replacing the Mac.
00:22:45
◼
►
It seems that most people who buy the iPad
00:22:47
◼
►
are buying it as the third device.
00:22:50
◼
►
However they order it in their minds,
00:22:52
◼
►
they still have a phone and a computer,
00:22:55
◼
►
and the iPad is added to that mix.
00:22:57
◼
►
Again, not everybody, not all iPads,
00:22:59
◼
►
but this is added to the mix for so many of these people.
00:23:03
◼
►
And so while everyone can name someone who got an iPad
00:23:08
◼
►
and doesn't use their computer anymore,
00:23:10
◼
►
a lot of people also use computers and don't buy iPads.
00:23:13
◼
►
So I think the sales reflect the reality here.
00:23:16
◼
►
The iPad, like so many things in technology,
00:23:19
◼
►
has not destroyed what came before it, it has added to it.
00:23:23
◼
►
And so in a world where it is one of many devices
00:23:27
◼
►
that people used to get computing on,
00:23:28
◼
►
as opposed to the device that is replacing the computer,
00:23:33
◼
►
I worry about the direction that Apple is taking
00:23:36
◼
►
between the Mac and the iPad,
00:23:38
◼
►
because it sure looks like, from Apple's point of view,
00:23:41
◼
►
and we'll get to this crazy slash it rumor in a little bit,
00:23:44
◼
►
but it sure looks like, for the most part,
00:23:45
◼
►
what we see from Apple, is that the Mac is kind of like,
00:23:48
◼
►
as I said last week, it's kind of like
00:23:49
◼
►
in maintenance mode, it seems like they're not really
00:23:51
◼
►
putting a lot of huge effort into moving
00:23:54
◼
►
the Mac paradigm forward.
00:23:55
◼
►
It seems like they consider the Mac basically done
00:23:58
◼
►
and they're doing fairly minor things to it.
00:24:01
◼
►
Touch bar hardware engineering aside, yes, okay,
00:24:03
◼
►
but the software model seems like it's been fairly minor
00:24:06
◼
►
and not seeing a lot of meaningful changes
00:24:08
◼
►
or engineering effort put into it.
00:24:10
◼
►
Could be wrong, but this is what we're seeing
00:24:11
◼
►
from the outside.
00:24:13
◼
►
Whereas the iPad, if that were to be the future
00:24:16
◼
►
computing, then that needs more investment.
00:24:19
◼
►
What we're seeing instead is that that's not the future
00:24:22
◼
►
computing, and Apple's kinda neglecting both of these
00:24:23
◼
►
platforms, but that's a story for another day, I guess.
00:24:27
◼
►
But I just wanted to clarify my argument on this,
00:24:29
◼
►
is not that the iPad is useless or dead or not possible
00:24:33
◼
►
to get worked on, simply that it is showing itself
00:24:37
◼
►
through sales to be, in reality, a third device
00:24:41
◼
►
for a lot of people, and to not be replacing the Mac.
00:24:45
◼
►
- While you were talking about that,
00:24:45
◼
►
was thinking about a fan comment I think was the last show that Apple doesn't
00:24:50
◼
►
make best best anymore and thinking about Mac sales not that they're
00:24:56
◼
►
declining but as as the Mac has become over many years proportionally less of
00:25:04
◼
►
what Apple sells mostly because the iPhone honestly you know because they
00:25:07
◼
►
sell bazillion iPhones right but even you know the iPad has pointed out that
00:25:10
◼
►
sells as much or more than the Mac these days. To go back to our favorite
00:25:16
◼
►
well, the good old car analogy, in the car world if you sell a small number of cars
00:25:23
◼
►
and you are a going concern in the car business, chances are good that the small
00:25:28
◼
►
number of cars you sell are extreme in some way. No one sells a small number of
00:25:33
◼
►
Toyota Camry's. Like you can't run a car business by selling 5,000 Toyota Camry's
00:25:39
◼
►
a year. that's not a thing, right? but you can sell 5000 ferraris a year and be okay.
00:25:46
◼
►
you can sell 5000 humvees maybe and be okay, or that's a bad example to this GM. but anyway,
00:25:52
◼
►
if you sell in small volume, you specialize. and very often you charge tons of money, like
00:25:58
◼
►
way out of proportion to the quality of the car that you're selling, you know jaguar or
00:26:02
◼
►
whatever, sorry, you know, maybe that's not true these days, i know they're better. anyway,
00:26:07
◼
►
If the Mac, again, not low volume but proportionally lower volume, if the Mac becomes the minor
00:26:15
◼
►
player in the world of the iPhone, which is the Toyota Camry, right, and maybe even the
00:26:20
◼
►
iPad is selling more than it, you know, on an ongoing basis, that would be the perfect
00:26:26
◼
►
time for them to look at that line and say, "Well, who is still buying Macs?
00:26:29
◼
►
Why would someone want a Mac over an iPad?
00:26:31
◼
►
Oh, they have more demand and need than the more sophisticated tasks."
00:26:35
◼
►
Go back to the old world Apple, which was perfectly willing to have a machine that could
00:26:41
◼
►
be configured with an obscene amount of RAM, with a ridiculous number of the most expensive
00:26:46
◼
►
CPUs, with a very large hard drive and a very big hot expensive GPU, and overcharge for
00:26:54
◼
►
That's the old Apple way.
00:26:56
◼
►
Make a machine that I can configure to be as much as an Apple Watch edition.
00:27:00
◼
►
be able to configure, you used to even with the old 2013 Mac Pro, a 15-20,000 dollar Mac.
00:27:07
◼
►
It's not worth that much money. It's overpriced in the same way that a Ferrari is not worth
00:27:11
◼
►
that much more than a Corvette that has almost the same performance. But for people in certain
00:27:15
◼
►
markets, whether it's because you need the absolute biggest best and you're willing to
00:27:19
◼
►
pay for it like it's a blip on your radar, or just because you want a Ferrari because
00:27:23
◼
►
you think it's cool, as your volumes get lower in proportion to the rest of your business,
00:27:27
◼
►
becomes a way to extract more money from this product line.
00:27:31
◼
►
And so it seems that they are losing interest in the Mac.
00:27:33
◼
►
I wish they would have enough interest to say, "Can't we fleece those people?"
00:27:36
◼
►
Because at this point, I'm begging to be fleeced.
00:27:39
◼
►
Can't we, you know...
00:27:41
◼
►
Have you priced out a Touch Bar MacBook Pro by any chance, Jon?
00:27:44
◼
►
I know, I know.
00:27:45
◼
►
I mean, that's a thing too, but it's still within the realm of reason.
00:27:48
◼
►
You can't even get it with 32 gigs RAM, right?
00:27:52
◼
►
And if there are people who have those demands, there's nowhere to go in the Mac world for
00:27:57
◼
►
Regardless of where we want to draw the line between, where is the line between people
00:28:02
◼
►
who really need a personal computer-style thing and people who need an iPad and people
00:28:06
◼
►
who just need a phone, there's a continuum there.
00:28:08
◼
►
But at a certain point, we all agree that the Mac is at one end of that spectrum, right?
00:28:14
◼
►
No one's arguing that the Mac is in between the iPad or the phone or something.
00:28:17
◼
►
It is one end of that spectrum.
00:28:19
◼
►
You just need to extend that line out and make sure that if someone is forced into a
00:28:24
◼
►
a Mac or has to use a Mac because of their work, that they can go all the way up.
00:28:29
◼
►
And you know, because it's a low volume relative to the phone market, charge tons of money,
00:28:34
◼
►
get super high margins, maybe be less into the $500 increases on your laptop model, which
00:28:42
◼
►
is more of a mainstream thing, and just put all that money into, I don't know, like a
00:28:45
◼
►
Mac that's for professionals, like you could shorten the name, but whatever.
00:28:49
◼
►
I know we're in circles here, but I was just...
00:28:52
◼
►
- The sad part is they have been doing that to the Mac Pro.
00:28:55
◼
►
Every Mac Pro generation is more expensive
00:28:57
◼
►
than the last one.
00:28:58
◼
►
- I know, but then they didn't give you one
00:28:59
◼
►
with two CPUs in it, right?
00:29:01
◼
►
And then they stopped-- - They still raised the price.
00:29:03
◼
►
- I know, I know, but it just seems like it's frustrating
00:29:06
◼
►
when at any price you can't throw your money at Apple
00:29:09
◼
►
and say just give me as much RAM
00:29:12
◼
►
as will physically fit in the machine
00:29:13
◼
►
because I'm doing some weird application
00:29:15
◼
►
and I don't care how much it costs.
00:29:16
◼
►
And it's like nope, not interested in selling you that.
00:29:19
◼
►
and you should be because it's a good way
00:29:22
◼
►
to make money off suckers like us.
00:29:23
◼
►
- And also, to bring it back a little bit
00:29:27
◼
►
just to the iPad discussion,
00:29:28
◼
►
I did wanna also mention a great post
00:29:31
◼
►
that our friend David Sparks made over at Max Sparky
00:29:34
◼
►
about his interpretation.
00:29:37
◼
►
He is also a very iPad Pro user.
00:29:40
◼
►
And his interpretation basically of trying to explain
00:29:43
◼
►
the way the iPad sales dip is, in short,
00:29:47
◼
►
I hope I'm summarizing this accurately,
00:29:48
◼
►
In short, that basically most people aren't pushing
00:29:52
◼
►
their iPad hard, that's why so many people are able,
00:29:56
◼
►
even people who have decided to make the iPad
00:29:59
◼
►
a part of their life or a part of their workflow or both,
00:30:02
◼
►
they're still perfectly okay using a four year old iPad.
00:30:06
◼
►
And the main reason why that he's saying,
00:30:09
◼
►
which I think is right on, is that they're just not
00:30:13
◼
►
pushing it hard enough because what people do on iPads,
00:30:17
◼
►
what the software does, what is possible to do well on it,
00:30:23
◼
►
is usually pretty light workload kind of stuff.
00:30:26
◼
►
It isn't that the hardware is not getting better,
00:30:28
◼
►
the hardware is getting way better,
00:30:30
◼
►
but just what most people are doing on the iPad
00:30:31
◼
►
doesn't need better hardware.
00:30:33
◼
►
And the blame for that and the duty to fix that
00:30:36
◼
►
or to try to push that forward mostly lands on Apple
00:30:39
◼
►
because a lot of that has to do with the OS
00:30:41
◼
►
the way it's structured and various limitations.
00:30:44
◼
►
A lot of that has to do with the app ecosystem,
00:30:46
◼
►
which much of that is on Apple to try to fix
00:30:51
◼
►
or to enable fixes to happen.
00:30:54
◼
►
We've seen this theme from a lot of iPad users' responses
00:30:57
◼
►
over the last two weeks to this.
00:30:59
◼
►
People love the iPad.
00:31:01
◼
►
People want to use it for more.
00:31:03
◼
►
They want to be able to do more of their work on it
00:31:06
◼
►
if they can't currently do all of it on it.
00:31:08
◼
►
But iOS needs to move forward in a way
00:31:13
◼
►
that lets people get more worked on more efficiently.
00:31:15
◼
►
I mean, there are so many really basic things
00:31:19
◼
►
or that we consider basic from the PC era
00:31:21
◼
►
of just things like managing multiple emails
00:31:24
◼
►
and attachments and moving photos around,
00:31:27
◼
►
moving documents around, things that are very hostile
00:31:31
◼
►
to do on iOS, that are very clunky
00:31:34
◼
►
or sometimes even just impossible without crazy hacks
00:31:37
◼
►
or sometimes just outright impossible.
00:31:40
◼
►
Simple stuff like moving media around
00:31:43
◼
►
and dealing with people's files.
00:31:46
◼
►
iOS really fights people a lot.
00:31:47
◼
►
Basic multitasking stuff,
00:31:49
◼
►
the multitasking implementation now is very limited
00:31:52
◼
►
and could really use some enhancement
00:31:54
◼
►
and whether that's coming down the road this year or not,
00:31:57
◼
►
we'll see, I hope it does.
00:31:58
◼
►
But the point is there's still tons of room
00:32:01
◼
►
to improve iOS on the iPad.
00:32:03
◼
►
And I hope Apple tries to do that in some way
00:32:07
◼
►
because tons of people want that,
00:32:09
◼
►
and it just seems like,
00:32:12
◼
►
it seems like regardless of which side
00:32:14
◼
►
of the future of computing you fall on,
00:32:16
◼
►
whether you think it's the iPad or the Mac,
00:32:19
◼
►
it seems like there's plenty to complain
00:32:21
◼
►
about Apple neglecting your platform either way.
00:32:24
◼
►
I hope Apple cares enough about
00:32:26
◼
►
the actual future of computing
00:32:28
◼
►
to invest very heavily in at least one of these platforms,
00:32:30
◼
►
'cause it seems right now that
00:32:32
◼
►
the Mac is in maintenance mode indefinitely,
00:32:34
◼
►
and the iPad gets occasional updates from iOS
00:32:39
◼
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when it's convenient for them.
00:32:40
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On the idea that the iPads, like people keep using them because it still does
00:33:57
◼
►
what they want to do even though they could buy a much better one. I think
00:34:00
◼
►
is another situation where Apple probably has data about this, but trying to think about it
00:34:06
◼
►
anecdotally, there's two things that make you, two things that come to mind immediately that
00:34:11
◼
►
make you buy a new whatever. One is the usual tractor of software. Basically if you have a
00:34:17
◼
►
vibrant software ecosystem, eventually your old phone doesn't run the cool new app that all your
00:34:21
◼
►
friends are talking about. So the more vibrant the ecosystem is, the more apps take advantage
00:34:27
◼
►
of new hardware or are being dragged along by the platform by like not supporting 32-bit apps anymore
00:34:32
◼
►
or whatever, you know. The more that is a thing, it'll make you say, "Oh, I don't like my phone
00:34:38
◼
►
anymore because all my friends are using AppX and I can't use that because it says it doesn't run on
00:34:44
◼
►
my phone or something," right? So software ecosystem, which again is lacking on the iPad,
00:34:49
◼
►
like there's more of that on the phone than there is on the iPad in terms of social pressure and
00:34:55
◼
►
software, you know, action in the software market to put it along.
00:34:59
◼
►
And the second one, and this is where Apple would have the data, is how many people
00:35:03
◼
►
replace their phones because they break them.
00:35:04
◼
►
I see a lot of broken phones.
00:35:07
◼
►
Um, and I see fewer broken iPads.
00:35:10
◼
►
I do see cracked iPads.
00:35:11
◼
►
You see them in airports and stuff, but I also see kids in airports with iPads dropping
00:35:16
◼
►
them like they're a juice box and just bounce in the giant rubbery case they're in.
00:35:21
◼
►
So I'm going to say probably percentage wise, phones and their lives because they break
00:35:28
◼
►
more often than iPads, just based on my personal experience and anecdotally.
00:35:32
◼
►
But again, Apple would know because they probably in all these surveys say, "Why are you buying
00:35:36
◼
►
a new phone?"
00:35:37
◼
►
It seems to me that those two tractors are making the phone replacement cycle.
00:35:44
◼
►
Notice I didn't list as one of the things that's making people replace their phones
00:35:46
◼
►
is that their phone feels slow.
00:35:48
◼
►
In general, I think iPhones aren't like Windows computers where you use them for two years
00:35:53
◼
►
and they're so crapped up that you just need to get a new one.
00:35:56
◼
►
Again, this is based on my experience and talking to other people.
00:35:58
◼
►
That doesn't happen with phones as much.
00:36:00
◼
►
Not saying it doesn't happen at all.
00:36:01
◼
►
Sometimes your phone does get slow and you know, I upgraded the OS and then my phone
00:36:04
◼
►
feels slow and that is another factor in it, but I feel like it is far behind software
00:36:11
◼
►
ecosystem pressuring you into upgrading your phone and just plain dropping it.
00:36:15
◼
►
if none of those things are true for the iPad, then it is protected. And it kind of makes me fear for the day
00:36:20
◼
►
when Apple makes an iPhone that you can drop all day long and it never breaks, will the phone suddenly become like the iPad?
00:36:26
◼
►
If again, if this theory is correct that you know, the people aren't buying new iPads because the one they have is working just fine.
00:36:32
◼
►
I think people's phones would be working just fine
00:36:34
◼
►
if there wasn't some new app they wanted to play if they didn't keep dropping them. Maybe I'm overestimating the dropping and maybe I
00:36:41
◼
►
Notice cracks too much because I'm always amazed at the vast percentage of people I see like on the train or whatever
00:36:47
◼
►
Just swiping their thumbs along totally shattered phones
00:36:50
◼
►
You know I was or not because people drop them and they're made of glass and it's a problem. So I don't know
00:36:56
◼
►
really need to get
00:36:59
◼
►
Product marketing from Apple on the show now that we're mad with power and say what are your percentages?
00:37:03
◼
►
Why do people replace their phones?
00:37:05
◼
►
Is it because they have an Android phone and it's getting old and slow?
00:37:08
◼
►
Is it because they drop their old one or is it because they want to play a new game?
00:37:10
◼
►
- I, first of all, that's okay, that'll be question number
00:37:15
◼
►
one for when we get Phil, well question number two.
00:37:18
◼
►
Question number one will be about the Mac Pro.
00:37:20
◼
►
- I have many other questions earlier in the queue,
00:37:22
◼
►
we may never get to that one, sorry folks.
00:37:24
◼
►
- That's fair, but I do think you are underestimating
00:37:27
◼
►
how many people replace their phone because it's old and slow
00:37:31
◼
►
- Do you think it's just OS upgrades?
00:37:34
◼
►
- I brought that up and I have heard that from a lot
00:37:36
◼
►
of people and it is a real thing, but I was gonna say
00:37:39
◼
►
I know it's forcing you to upgrade your phone,
00:37:41
◼
►
but Apple's pretty pushy these days, aren't they?
00:37:42
◼
►
- Yeah, Apple really, really pushes the upgrade pretty hard,
00:37:46
◼
►
and sometimes like a critical app for people will require it,
00:37:51
◼
►
so that kind of forces them to--
00:37:52
◼
►
- I mean, they pushed you on the iPad too.
00:37:53
◼
►
Like, I had iPads that I regret upgrading the OS for
00:37:56
◼
►
because they're just so old,
00:37:57
◼
►
and you upgrade to the very last,
00:37:59
◼
►
and like, oh, I should've stayed one version back,
00:38:01
◼
►
so why wouldn't that make people
00:38:02
◼
►
replace their iPads in the same way?
00:38:04
◼
►
- Well, that's a good question, worth thinking about.
00:38:06
◼
►
I think one of the reasons for that,
00:38:08
◼
►
maybe one of the biggest reasons for that
00:38:10
◼
►
is the types of apps that you use on the iPad
00:38:14
◼
►
versus the types of apps that you use on the phone.
00:38:17
◼
►
And like, is there an app that's pushing you
00:38:19
◼
►
to upgrade or not?
00:38:20
◼
►
On the iPad, I think the data shows
00:38:25
◼
►
that despite the community of people
00:38:28
◼
►
who get a lot of work done on the iPad,
00:38:31
◼
►
a lot of iPad users are using it mainly
00:38:34
◼
►
for video watching, web browsing, and email, Facebook.
00:38:38
◼
►
Like the basic email web video kind of workflow.
00:38:43
◼
►
And for that, probably nothing's really gonna push you
00:38:46
◼
►
to really upgrade your OS.
00:38:47
◼
►
Like you can still use Apple's Mail app
00:38:49
◼
►
and whatever OS you have, you can still use the web browser.
00:38:51
◼
►
You can probably, like I would imagine like Facebook
00:38:54
◼
►
and Netflix and stuff probably keep
00:38:55
◼
►
their minimum version pretty low.
00:38:57
◼
►
- Oh, they'll upgrade the OS, but it doesn't matter
00:39:00
◼
►
if you upgrade the OS.
00:39:01
◼
►
If you're just using to play video,
00:39:02
◼
►
it really doesn't matter exactly how clunky the animation is
00:39:04
◼
►
and springboard when you launch the Netflix app.
00:39:06
◼
►
All you care about is once the video starts playing,
00:39:08
◼
►
- That's fair, but anyway, regardless,
00:39:10
◼
►
I think the way most iPads are used,
00:39:15
◼
►
it probably has a slower upgrade cycle
00:39:18
◼
►
from the software side simply because
00:39:20
◼
►
they're not often using a lot of apps
00:39:22
◼
►
that require the newest version of the OS,
00:39:24
◼
►
whereas on the phone, you have a lot more like,
00:39:27
◼
►
you know, new games that come out,
00:39:28
◼
►
new cutting edge apps that come out,
00:39:29
◼
►
usually come out on the phone first or only,
00:39:31
◼
►
and you have more early adopters using it.
00:39:33
◼
►
It seems like there's more driving that,
00:39:34
◼
►
but also, there's this consistent narrative with the iPad
00:39:39
◼
►
that explains a lot of this, that is probably correct,
00:39:42
◼
►
and there is some data to back it up,
00:39:44
◼
►
that basically, while you can get work done on it,
00:39:48
◼
►
a lot of people do use it for mostly consumption.
00:39:51
◼
►
That's not a judgment, that's just what people do.
00:39:54
◼
►
That's also true of computers, that's also true of phones,
00:39:56
◼
►
however, that is true of iPads,
00:39:58
◼
►
and that people's needs on iPads are fairly simple,
00:40:02
◼
►
most of the time.
00:40:04
◼
►
Whoever's fault that is doesn't really matter.
00:40:06
◼
►
The point is, people do pretty simple things
00:40:08
◼
►
on iPads most of the time.
00:40:10
◼
►
- You know, it's only one data point,
00:40:12
◼
►
but I feel like it's relevant.
00:40:15
◼
►
The aforementioned iPad 3 that we had
00:40:18
◼
►
after we stopped using it,
00:40:22
◼
►
because we found it to be too old,
00:40:24
◼
►
it was collecting dust for months.
00:40:27
◼
►
And then, just a couple months back,
00:40:29
◼
►
I had my, I had, you know, reset it all,
00:40:32
◼
►
And I had my dad bring it to my grandparents.
00:40:37
◼
►
They live in Pennsylvania, I'm in Virginia, and although they come down from time to time,
00:40:42
◼
►
we haven't been up there in a long time.
00:40:44
◼
►
And, you know, they're not that young at this point, because I'm turning 35 pretty soon,
00:40:50
◼
►
and these are my grandparents.
00:40:53
◼
►
But we gave them this iPad 3, mostly so they could FaceTime with us and Declan and, you
00:40:58
◼
►
know, I guess my parents from time to time as well.
00:41:02
◼
►
From what I understand, they were beyond overjoyed
00:41:06
◼
►
to have received it, not only because of FaceTime,
00:41:11
◼
►
but because it's a much easier device for them to use
00:41:14
◼
►
than their PC, and I think it's a reasonably modern PC,
00:41:17
◼
►
but they were overjoyed to receive an iPad 3
00:41:21
◼
►
late in 2016.
00:41:25
◼
►
When was the iPad 3 new, like 2012 or something like that?
00:41:28
◼
►
Probably before that, actually.
00:41:32
◼
►
- It was a 2012, okay.
00:41:34
◼
►
So yeah, so they were beyond excited
00:41:36
◼
►
to receive this old device,
00:41:38
◼
►
which for them is more than enough.
00:41:40
◼
►
Now obviously they have nothing to compare to.
00:41:42
◼
►
Obviously, in a perfect world,
00:41:45
◼
►
I'm sure they would prefer a brand new one.
00:41:47
◼
►
But for someone who hadn't had one before,
00:41:52
◼
►
it was way more than enough.
00:41:55
◼
►
And not every iPad user's gonna be like that.
00:41:57
◼
►
And I'm sure that there's tons of iPad users
00:42:00
◼
►
upgrade regularly that are not using it for work. They just really love the iPad. But
00:42:05
◼
►
to speak of the longevity of the iPad, this is a device that's nearly five years old now
00:42:11
◼
►
that brought genuine joy to their household when they received it.
00:42:16
◼
►
>> Well, because that's the thing. This is why old iPads are so useful and so many of
00:42:21
◼
►
them are still in use, because most people's needs are pretty low-end. Most people just
00:42:25
◼
►
want a thing that they can browse the web and send emails and see Facebook on. That's
00:42:30
◼
►
that's pretty much what most people do
00:42:31
◼
►
with any of their computing devices,
00:42:33
◼
►
phone, laptop, or tablet.
00:42:35
◼
►
And so this device is delightful for that.
00:42:39
◼
►
Again, but I think that that doesn't preclude
00:42:43
◼
►
people doing real work on it,
00:42:45
◼
►
and also my theory that I'm putting forth
00:42:48
◼
►
with these sales graphs that this is mostly
00:42:51
◼
►
just additive to the world technology.
00:42:53
◼
►
- There aren't any real answers here.
00:42:56
◼
►
The data that we have is shallow,
00:43:00
◼
►
And we have to extrapolate a lot from it.
00:43:03
◼
►
And so because of that, there's so much judgment involved
00:43:07
◼
►
and there's no clear right or wrong.
00:43:08
◼
►
And I think that's why we're going to talk about it
00:43:10
◼
►
in bits across 17 different podcasts for a little while.
00:43:15
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But yeah, so let's talk about something
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that's indisputably awesome.
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I'll tell you what, once you've made a site with Squarespace,
00:44:01
◼
►
you will wonder why anybody does it any other way.
00:44:03
◼
►
Because most other ways to make websites
00:44:05
◼
►
are way more complicated, way more time consuming,
00:44:09
◼
►
much harder to support over time.
00:44:12
◼
►
And people ask us to make websites all the time.
00:44:13
◼
►
You know, people who listen to this show,
00:44:15
◼
►
probably a lot of you, have people in your life
00:44:17
◼
►
who ask you to make websites for them.
00:44:19
◼
►
You don't wanna support that, you don't wanna do that,
00:44:21
◼
►
you don't wanna have to like patch that or upgrade that
00:44:23
◼
►
or deal with them whenever their server goes down
00:44:26
◼
►
or whatever else.
00:44:27
◼
►
You want someone else to take care of that
00:44:28
◼
►
and Squarespace can do that.
00:44:29
◼
►
Whether it's for your site or for a site
00:44:31
◼
►
someone else wants you to help them set up,
00:44:34
◼
►
set it up on Squarespace because their platform
00:44:37
◼
►
takes care of everything.
00:44:38
◼
►
Hosting, you never even have to think about
00:44:40
◼
►
software updates or patches, obviously support,
00:44:43
◼
►
which is a huge thing.
00:44:44
◼
►
If you're setting up a website up for somebody else
00:44:46
◼
►
and they need help with something,
00:44:47
◼
►
they ask Squarespace, not you.
00:44:49
◼
►
You wanna get yourself out of that business,
00:44:51
◼
►
let Squarespace take care of it.
00:44:53
◼
►
And no matter what you're making,
00:44:54
◼
►
whether it's for you or somebody else,
00:44:55
◼
►
you will be surprised how fast it is
00:44:58
◼
►
to make everything with Squarespace.
00:45:00
◼
►
You just put things up there and it's just done.
00:45:01
◼
►
You can mess with the design if you want to,
00:45:03
◼
►
but you don't even have to.
00:45:04
◼
►
The stock stuff is beautiful.
00:45:06
◼
►
If you wanna make little customizations,
00:45:07
◼
►
you can in like two seconds.
00:45:09
◼
►
Try it, just try it.
00:45:10
◼
►
Next time you need to make anything,
00:45:12
◼
►
make your next move with Squarespace.
00:45:14
◼
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See for yourself.
00:45:15
◼
►
When you're ready to check out,
00:45:17
◼
►
use offer code ATP to get 10% off your purchase at Squarespace.
00:45:21
◼
►
Make your next move at Squarespace.
00:45:23
◼
►
- So there was this crazy, ah, dammit, sorry.
00:45:30
◼
►
There was this crazy rumor, or sort of rumor,
00:45:34
◼
►
that was posted on Slashdot as a comment.
00:45:38
◼
►
And this was a, in Slashdot parlance, an anonymous coward,
00:45:44
◼
►
which is to say somebody that didn't wanna leave their name.
00:45:47
◼
►
But they went on and on about how there are several
00:45:51
◼
►
arm-powered laptops that are drifting around internally
00:45:53
◼
►
at Apple, and this individual claims to have seen several
00:45:56
◼
►
with their own eyes.
00:45:58
◼
►
And they had a lot to say about it.
00:46:02
◼
►
I don't know the best way to summarize it,
00:46:04
◼
►
partially because I read this days ago,
00:46:05
◼
►
and I haven't looked back since,
00:46:07
◼
►
which was in part because it seemed kinda bananas to me.
00:46:11
◼
►
- Right. (laughs)
00:46:12
◼
►
But it seemed like the short, short version was,
00:46:17
◼
►
yeah, there's some apps that run on ARM,
00:46:20
◼
►
and the OS is really iOS-ish, even though it isn't iOS.
00:46:25
◼
►
A lot of things that we like to control as,
00:46:30
◼
►
not even necessarily power users, but users on macOS,
00:46:35
◼
►
not a lot of that is available
00:46:37
◼
►
on these supposed phantom ARM Macs.
00:46:40
◼
►
I didn't think this—something about this didn't feel right to me.
00:46:45
◼
►
Like I'm not sure I can point to a specific passage and say, "Yes, this is why it's
00:46:49
◼
►
But a lot of it just didn't feel right to me, and from what I gathered from people
00:46:52
◼
►
that I've spoken to, it didn't feel right to a lot of them.
00:46:55
◼
►
But we wanted to acknowledge its existence, and we will put a link to the show notes,
00:46:58
◼
►
and I'm sure that the two of you have some thoughts on it as well.
00:47:01
◼
►
I want to do more than just acknowledge it.
00:47:04
◼
►
Because I don't want to entertain it as a possibility because it's not a credible
00:47:09
◼
►
pretend like hypothetically, let's talk about this thing
00:47:12
◼
►
if it existed, right?
00:47:14
◼
►
Because again, I don't think the sourcing is enough
00:47:16
◼
►
to say that this does exist, but.
00:47:18
◼
►
- I would say in fact the incredible shadiness
00:47:20
◼
►
of this post and so many of the like weird things
00:47:23
◼
►
that don't really sound very appley
00:47:25
◼
►
or don't reflect how they actually work,
00:47:27
◼
►
I would say this is very unlikely to be true.
00:47:30
◼
►
But the reason I wanna talk about this too,
00:47:33
◼
►
I was very happy to see it in the notes,
00:47:34
◼
►
is that this was an interesting idea
00:47:37
◼
►
for where the Mac could plausibly go.
00:47:39
◼
►
because while the details of this are very suspicious
00:47:42
◼
►
that make you discount the validity of this report,
00:47:46
◼
►
I do think the overall idea of such a product is plausible.
00:47:50
◼
►
And the idea that Apple would take you in this direction
00:47:52
◼
►
is very plausible.
00:47:54
◼
►
- It's not just plausible, this is like,
00:47:55
◼
►
this is the, as soon as iOS appeared,
00:47:59
◼
►
this is basically the exact, not exemplar,
00:48:02
◼
►
but like, this is the prototype of this rumor.
00:48:05
◼
►
The very second the first person said, iOS Mac merge,
00:48:08
◼
►
Like the very second someone said that many, many years ago,
00:48:11
◼
►
this is exactly what they were talking about.
00:48:12
◼
►
It says, "A Mac running on ARM CPUs
00:48:16
◼
►
can only get apps from the App Store.
00:48:17
◼
►
Everything locked down, all binary sign,
00:48:20
◼
►
can restore from the internet like a phone."
00:48:22
◼
►
Like there is nothing in this that is even outside the realm
00:48:26
◼
►
of the things that are being taught.
00:48:26
◼
►
The only reason it is, you know, it's interesting again,
00:48:29
◼
►
is because it's being presented as truth.
00:48:30
◼
►
It's kind of the same way when you tell a joke,
00:48:32
◼
►
you pretend it's a real story that happened to you
00:48:33
◼
►
to make the joke funnier.
00:48:34
◼
►
That's exactly how this is working here.
00:48:36
◼
►
But, because we haven't had, like, the reason it's worth talking about it again is because
00:48:41
◼
►
we haven't revisited this idea of the iOS and Mac merged totally locked down Mac thing
00:48:48
◼
►
And in light of the actual appearance of ARM CPUs inside Macs with the Touch Bar Mac Pros,
00:48:52
◼
►
and in light of all the Intel stuff and so on and so forth, and our own revisiting of
00:48:56
◼
►
when is it going to be time to flip the Mac over to ARM, I think it's worth revisiting
00:49:00
◼
►
this old rumor of the merged iOS Mac, not so much the merging of the U.S. interface-wise,
00:49:09
◼
►
but of literally buttoning down the Mac in all the same ways that iOS has buttoned down.
00:49:14
◼
►
As an example of what we talked about last show, like either expanding the capabilities
00:49:18
◼
►
of iOS or making the Mac easier.
00:49:22
◼
►
This would be an example of taking all of those sharp edges in the Mac and filing them
00:49:25
◼
►
down as much as possible to make something that is hopefully almost as easy to use as
00:49:30
◼
►
- This is an iPad but still much more capable.
00:49:32
◼
►
- Yeah, and so I think it's worth going over
00:49:34
◼
►
some of the details because our chief summarizer
00:49:36
◼
►
and chief failed to.
00:49:39
◼
►
- It's okay, you've had a long day,
00:49:41
◼
►
we'll get to that in the after show.
00:49:42
◼
►
But, yeah, sorry.
00:49:46
◼
►
But yeah, so basically the idea put forth
00:49:48
◼
►
by this comment basically is that it is a,
00:49:53
◼
►
it is like the next generation of laptop presumably,
00:49:55
◼
►
or possibly of all Macs.
00:49:57
◼
►
It is an ARM processor, all custom Apple ARM hardware,
00:50:00
◼
►
just like the iPads and phones.
00:50:02
◼
►
It only boots the signed OS images
00:50:05
◼
►
that come over the internet.
00:50:08
◼
►
I assume not every time, not like a Netboot,
00:50:10
◼
►
but it only boots, similar to iPhones and iPads,
00:50:13
◼
►
there is no physical install media,
00:50:15
◼
►
there's no downgrading, it just,
00:50:18
◼
►
here's the software update for you,
00:50:19
◼
►
here's what you get, you can't downgrade,
00:50:21
◼
►
you can't choose what version you run,
00:50:22
◼
►
just here's what you get, period.
00:50:24
◼
►
They said a lot of the OS X legacy utilities
00:50:28
◼
►
and stuff are missing, there's no more X11,
00:50:30
◼
►
there's no audio MIDI setup, a lot of that stuff.
00:50:34
◼
►
No disk utility, no terminal, which is interesting.
00:50:36
◼
►
System preferences and a lot of functionality
00:50:38
◼
►
has been moved into a new app called Settings to match iOS.
00:50:41
◼
►
The App Store is mandatory,
00:50:44
◼
►
including even things that require hardware drivers.
00:50:47
◼
►
Sounds kind of similar to when you plug in,
00:50:50
◼
►
or when you connect a Bluetooth or lightning device
00:50:52
◼
►
to a phone and it can associate itself
00:50:54
◼
►
with an app on the App Store that lets it work.
00:50:56
◼
►
Similar to that, but for drivers on the Mac.
00:50:58
◼
►
So you get a new scanner or something, you plug it in,
00:51:01
◼
►
and it launches you to the Mac App Store
00:51:05
◼
►
to download the driver for that.
00:51:07
◼
►
Similarly, all drivers would be kind of like iOS sandboxified
00:51:11
◼
►
where something could install one of these drivers
00:51:14
◼
►
at the deep level of system,
00:51:15
◼
►
but then you could just go into a system pref pane
00:51:17
◼
►
and delete it and it's gone.
00:51:19
◼
►
It doesn't leave files behind.
00:51:21
◼
►
It's very iOS-y in that way.
00:51:23
◼
►
With iOS, you can delete an app,
00:51:25
◼
►
and you know everything about that app is gone.
00:51:27
◼
►
There's no remnants of it left in your phone or anything.
00:51:30
◼
►
And of course the Mac doesn't work that way now.
00:51:32
◼
►
You know, Macs get gummed up over time with all this crap.
00:51:34
◼
►
And you have all this junk in your library folder
00:51:37
◼
►
and everything else.
00:51:38
◼
►
And so, and then, just a couple other things.
00:51:41
◼
►
But yeah, basically, oh, and the file system is kind of like,
00:51:46
◼
►
how do you pronounce C-H root in Linux world?
00:51:50
◼
►
Is it chroot?
00:51:51
◼
►
I don't know.
00:51:52
◼
►
But basically the file system is like chroot.
00:51:55
◼
►
So basically, what appears to be at root
00:51:59
◼
►
is your home directory,
00:52:01
◼
►
and you don't even see the system files.
00:52:03
◼
►
They're not even there.
00:52:05
◼
►
They exist in the file system,
00:52:07
◼
►
but you don't see them from your point of view,
00:52:09
◼
►
from your user space.
00:52:10
◼
►
You see at root your files and nobody else's.
00:52:13
◼
►
And they said there was no concept,
00:52:15
◼
►
seemingly, of multi-user stuff.
00:52:16
◼
►
But I don't wanna get too much into the specifics
00:52:19
◼
►
of this post because, again,
00:52:20
◼
►
I think the credibility of it is pretty low.
00:52:23
◼
►
But as a future direction of Mac OS
00:52:27
◼
►
and of the Mac hardware platform,
00:52:30
◼
►
I do think this is worth talking about,
00:52:31
◼
►
not only because it's so plausible
00:52:33
◼
►
based on what Apple seems to want to do,
00:52:35
◼
►
but also I think, I will have the seemingly,
00:52:39
◼
►
in this community, very unpopular opinion
00:52:42
◼
►
that I think this could be really good.
00:52:46
◼
►
With a few minor exceptions,
00:52:48
◼
►
I think this could be really good.
00:52:50
◼
►
The only things about this
00:52:52
◼
►
that give me a lot of pause are that it said
00:52:57
◼
►
that everything has to come through the Mac App Store.
00:52:58
◼
►
That's number one and I think, you know,
00:53:00
◼
►
the Mac has this wonderful gatekeeper system
00:53:03
◼
►
and has this kind of like code signing
00:53:05
◼
►
without app review system called developer ID.
00:53:09
◼
►
If the developer ID and gatekeeper come forward
00:53:12
◼
►
into whatever this is, again, assume this is real
00:53:15
◼
►
even though it probably isn't.
00:53:16
◼
►
Thought experiment time, okay.
00:53:19
◼
►
If this were to have some kind of like developer mode
00:53:22
◼
►
where you could build open source stuff
00:53:24
◼
►
and however it's container,
00:53:27
◼
►
if it's in your own little choruda jail, fine,
00:53:29
◼
►
but if you can build open source stuff,
00:53:31
◼
►
if you can develop code, if you can compile code
00:53:34
◼
►
with your C compiler or whatever else
00:53:35
◼
►
and just run it on this thing
00:53:37
◼
►
without the OS's code-telling stuff
00:53:39
◼
►
interfering badly with that,
00:53:41
◼
►
if that's possible to do here,
00:53:43
◼
►
and if you can distribute software through developer ID,
00:53:47
◼
►
which would bypass the Mac App Store,
00:53:50
◼
►
then I think this is not only plausible and could be good,
00:53:55
◼
►
but it might be great, because a lot of this
00:53:58
◼
►
solves real problems with the Mac and with PC style OSs.
00:54:02
◼
►
One of the biggest problems is like,
00:54:04
◼
►
how apps spread themselves out all over the place,
00:54:06
◼
►
all over the system.
00:54:07
◼
►
You know, they are, like it isn't, as I said with iOS,
00:54:10
◼
►
you know, iOS, you delete the app, it's gone.
00:54:12
◼
►
On the Mac, you delete the app,
00:54:13
◼
►
and there's garbage everywhere,
00:54:15
◼
►
and you have to use Mac cleanup utilities
00:54:17
◼
►
to clean all the garbage out sometimes.
00:54:18
◼
►
You have to go find these files
00:54:20
◼
►
that are spread all over your system
00:54:21
◼
►
and you can't be sure what an app is doing
00:54:23
◼
►
when you install it and all this stuff.
00:54:25
◼
►
The PC and Mac style of app security is outdated.
00:54:30
◼
►
We've talked about this before,
00:54:33
◼
►
how the Unix idea of anything you run
00:54:36
◼
►
just has access to your entire user account
00:54:39
◼
►
and everything you've ever made on a user account
00:54:41
◼
►
and all your files and it can delete files at will,
00:54:43
◼
►
it can read everything of yours.
00:54:46
◼
►
That is an outdated model.
00:54:47
◼
►
that is not great for the future of computing.
00:54:49
◼
►
And one of the things that makes iOS so appealing
00:54:52
◼
►
to a lot of people for a lot of reasons
00:54:54
◼
►
is the additional simplicity and security
00:54:56
◼
►
that the sandboxing model that it has enforces.
00:54:59
◼
►
I think it is possible to do this well.
00:55:02
◼
►
A lot of Mac diehards are really against this idea
00:55:07
◼
►
when they saw this comment and assuming it might be real.
00:55:10
◼
►
And I can see why, why you would be so against this.
00:55:14
◼
►
But I think, again,
00:55:16
◼
►
it's just like that very slight tweak of a developer mode
00:55:19
◼
►
and being able to distribute software with developer ID,
00:55:23
◼
►
that's pretty much all I would need for this.
00:55:26
◼
►
It sounds like it would be really good
00:55:29
◼
►
in a lot of other ways.
00:55:30
◼
►
Either the Mac is in maintenance mode,
00:55:33
◼
►
as I keep saying, it seems that way,
00:55:35
◼
►
and nothing ever changes and that's fine,
00:55:38
◼
►
or if it is going to change,
00:55:40
◼
►
if Apple really is working on the next generation of OS,
00:55:45
◼
►
not just 10 dot something else, the entire next generation,
00:55:49
◼
►
like when they went from classic to OS X.
00:55:52
◼
►
If they are indeed working on such a thing for the Mac,
00:55:55
◼
►
which I would argue they should be
00:55:57
◼
►
because it would be ridiculous
00:55:59
◼
►
to continue a computing platform forward
00:56:01
◼
►
with no plans to ever do that,
00:56:02
◼
►
then I think this is exactly the kind of thing they would do
00:56:08
◼
►
and we should be prepared for it
00:56:10
◼
►
and we can see a preview of what it's like
00:56:12
◼
►
by looking at iOS,
00:56:14
◼
►
'cause iOS is even more restrictive than this.
00:56:16
◼
►
And so if this is plausible and if this happens
00:56:21
◼
►
and if it's done well with those couple of little holes
00:56:24
◼
►
pumped through the wall for developers
00:56:26
◼
►
and for distribution through developer ID, as I said,
00:56:29
◼
►
I think this could be a great move forward.
00:56:33
◼
►
This could be the simplicity and security of iOS,
00:56:37
◼
►
but with windowing and file management
00:56:40
◼
►
and access to your files in a traditional paradigm
00:56:43
◼
►
and stuff like that.
00:56:45
◼
►
And yes, it would require a lot of apps to be rewritten,
00:56:48
◼
►
some things that worked in the old system
00:56:50
◼
►
wouldn't work anymore, but a lot of this stuff is ancient.
00:56:53
◼
►
Like, I don't need X11 anymore.
00:56:55
◼
►
I don't, like, there's a lot of this stuff is so ancient.
00:56:59
◼
►
Mac OS is very old, it has accumulated cruft over time
00:57:02
◼
►
because everything does.
00:57:04
◼
►
This new way of doing things sounds like it could really be
00:57:09
◼
►
the actual future of computing that blends together
00:57:12
◼
►
the greatness of iOS with a PC style paradigm
00:57:16
◼
►
to allow more types of work to get done for more people.
00:57:19
◼
►
This sounds really good to me.
00:57:20
◼
►
- The actual future of computer.
00:57:23
◼
►
I spend all this time explaining myself
00:57:24
◼
►
and you just ignore me.
00:57:28
◼
►
Last week we talked about how the iPad was like,
00:57:30
◼
►
was making progress in terms of expanding its capabilities
00:57:32
◼
►
with multitasking and the pen and the bigger size and stuff,
00:57:35
◼
►
but like, but kind of slowly.
00:57:37
◼
►
The Mac has been doing that same thing,
00:57:40
◼
►
but in the other direction,
00:57:42
◼
►
but even more slowly.
00:57:44
◼
►
'Cause if you think about the Mac,
00:57:46
◼
►
the Mac trying to simplify itself,
00:57:49
◼
►
trying to be friendlier, this has been a process.
00:57:53
◼
►
The process took a pretty big leap
00:57:54
◼
►
with classic to OS X actually,
00:57:57
◼
►
because many things that were way more complicated
00:58:00
◼
►
in classic were massively simplified.
00:58:02
◼
►
The dock is the best example of that.
00:58:04
◼
►
All the ways that you could manage the same stuff
00:58:07
◼
►
that the dock is supposed to do on classic Mac OS
00:58:10
◼
►
the time we transitioned. The doc was just like the most dumbed down version of all the other
00:58:16
◼
►
options we had, not even including third-party things of which there were many. This was this
00:58:20
◼
►
one first-party thing, no you can't use the private APIs to make your own doc type thing,
00:58:26
◼
►
we will fight you on that, and it is way simpler and don't worry about it because that's all
00:58:30
◼
►
everybody needs, right? And sandboxing, another example, a long slow painful slog trying to get
00:58:37
◼
►
some of the benefits that you get in iOS. All your crap in one place, protect applications,
00:58:42
◼
►
protected from each other, blah blah blah. It's been slow going. We haven't been able to get there
00:58:48
◼
►
because sandboxing is incompatible with lots of cool things that Mac apps have done and still
00:58:52
◼
►
want to do. And it's very difficult for Apple to ever get slowly incrementally get it to the point
00:59:02
◼
►
where Mac applications are sandboxed in the same way as iOS applications.
00:59:06
◼
►
Instead, they've been saying, "You can be a Mac app, and your stuff can still be in
00:59:11
◼
►
seven different places because it kind of has to be, but we'll put some constraints on you."
00:59:15
◼
►
And it's this weird mismatch between having to do that, but also having to be protected
00:59:22
◼
►
from yourself and isolated from other applications. Even so far as how many Mac apps have struggled
00:59:27
◼
►
with the sandbox because the integration point on PC style operating systems is very often the file
00:59:33
◼
►
system and that's how applications share things with each other is I write a thing here and you
00:59:39
◼
►
open that same thing over there and the user is allowed to make little folders and put stuff in
00:59:43
◼
►
them and you're trying to sandbox things so each application only sees its own files but like
00:59:46
◼
►
it's been difficult and so this description of the iOS-ified Mac which again has been in people's
00:59:55
◼
►
minds and talked about for many many years now, the question is always how do you get
01:00:00
◼
►
from where we are to there?
01:00:01
◼
►
Because it's a big leap and trying to do it incrementally has been very difficult.
01:00:07
◼
►
It's been taking a long time.
01:00:09
◼
►
It hasn't been particularly successful.
01:00:10
◼
►
A lot of things, efforts have stalled out despite a lot of effort put into it.
01:00:14
◼
►
It you know it gets back to the question from the last week's show, is it easier to make
01:00:20
◼
►
the iPad more capable or make the Mac friendlier and simpler?
01:00:24
◼
►
And on question, I think it's still easier to make iOS more capable because if you try
01:00:29
◼
►
to make the Mac simpler, everything about the system and the users and the developers
01:00:34
◼
►
fights you at every step because there's so much entrenched tradition in software and
01:00:39
◼
►
conventions and capabilities and attitudes and just like, and cruft, like Marco said,
01:00:44
◼
►
just plain old cruft.
01:00:48
◼
►
It's difficult to get there.
01:00:49
◼
►
So this, the host here is almost kind of like wishful thinking.
01:00:54
◼
►
Like wouldn't it be great if we could snap our fingers and be there and like Marco said,
01:00:58
◼
►
one way you can do that is say, okay, well it's not macOS anymore, it's a new OS called
01:01:02
◼
►
something else, you know, like people would have said macOS 11 back in the days before
01:01:05
◼
►
the 10 got dropped, right?
01:01:08
◼
►
But this really would be a leap of that size if it appeared wholesale.
01:01:12
◼
►
You can still get there piecemeal.
01:01:14
◼
►
It's going to take a long time.
01:01:15
◼
►
You might have to wait for some people to die and there are many places where this can
01:01:20
◼
►
go terribly wrong.
01:01:21
◼
►
For example, it's obvious to us on this program as rabid Mac users that of course you'd have
01:01:28
◼
►
to have some mode that most people wouldn't use but that would give you access to the
01:01:32
◼
►
terminal that will let you build software because we're software developers and we know
01:01:35
◼
►
any software developer who uses a Mac, no matter what kind of development you're doing,
01:01:39
◼
►
even if you're doing everything in Xcode I would imagine, but definitely if you're doing
01:01:42
◼
►
development for any kind of server-side software, you're used to being able to install and run
01:01:48
◼
►
software that is not signed with Apple's Developer ID thing.
01:01:52
◼
►
All that Unix open source stuff, that's not signed with Developer ID.
01:01:55
◼
►
And if you literally can't run binaries that are not signed, if you don't have that final
01:02:00
◼
►
option in Gatekeeper to launch applications with the right click and the open, and all
01:02:04
◼
►
that, or just launching it from the command line, if that option literally does not exist
01:02:08
◼
►
as it doesn't on iOS unless you jailbreak, and I really don't want to be jailbreaking
01:02:11
◼
►
my Mac, that eliminates just so many users.
01:02:16
◼
►
This is not even an edge case anymore.
01:02:17
◼
►
This is like a large percentage of people who, you know, whole professions who use Macs
01:02:22
◼
►
at their desks need the ability to do that type of stuff and are going to need it for
01:02:27
◼
►
the foreseeable future.
01:02:28
◼
►
So if you cut them off, then you're just marginalizing the Mac too much, I think, because they would
01:02:33
◼
►
be eaten up by iOS on one side and you abandon everybody else who's using those features
01:02:38
◼
►
And so that's a danger zone as well.
01:02:40
◼
►
But the general idea of like, let me just close my eyes and open them again, and the
01:02:45
◼
►
Mac, at the very least, solves one or two or three of the biggest problems.
01:02:49
◼
►
It still wouldn't be solving the file system problem, even with the chroot stuff and everything.
01:02:54
◼
►
But at least you'd solve app install, management, drivers.
01:02:59
◼
►
Regular users wouldn't have to see disk images anymore.
01:03:04
◼
►
Settings and preferences would be more coherent and familiar because they're used to iOS.
01:03:08
◼
►
Just those wins would be huge.
01:03:10
◼
►
And if you can get those wins while also allowing people to do their work in the old way if
01:03:15
◼
►
they want to, like that's, talk about progressive disclosure, like no one, if it's a developer
01:03:20
◼
►
mode or whatever, like no one, believe me, people aren't going to be like, I wish I want
01:03:23
◼
►
to have developer mode turned on.
01:03:24
◼
►
No, nobody wants that.
01:03:25
◼
►
They want it to be simple and nice.
01:03:27
◼
►
It's like Casey's grandparents, they're overjoyed when it's like, oh, this is simple.
01:03:30
◼
►
I just do this, do this, and it all makes sense to me.
01:03:32
◼
►
There's no place I can get into trouble.
01:03:33
◼
►
They're not going to go looking for the thing to turn on developer mode.
01:03:36
◼
►
That's for power users, quote unquote.
01:03:38
◼
►
Yes, there is a class of person who will go looking for it and turn it on and you know
01:03:42
◼
►
Because they're interested in out there, you know, they're geeks. They're nerds. That's fine
01:03:45
◼
►
But regular people trust me do not want the complexity like all of us when we go into a
01:03:49
◼
►
Preference of screen and we see an advanced button we click it immediately
01:03:52
◼
►
Other people don't even want to go to the preference screen like they don't even want another preference screen exists
01:03:56
◼
►
They probably don't know the parent screen is it's like it doesn't need to exist. They just want it to work and work fine
01:04:01
◼
►
So I'm pretty much with Marco that I would love a Mac that work like this
01:04:06
◼
►
As long as I had the option to you know, the developer mode or the way to do other stuff. I just I'm not sure
01:04:13
◼
►
How long it will take to get there?
01:04:16
◼
►
Whether Apple has the will and wants to dedicate the resources to get there
01:04:21
◼
►
Because it just seems like still a much more straightforward path to continue to enhance iOS
01:04:27
◼
►
I feel like iOS is getting this right iOS is still getting more sophisticated at a faster rate than the Mac is getting simpler
01:04:33
◼
►
Which is fine with me as an old Mac user, but if I start drawing lines on graphs and
01:04:38
◼
►
seeing how this ends up, it just seems to me that unless Apple has a massively renewed
01:04:43
◼
►
interest in the Mac, that iOS will eventually overtake it because for whatever their interest
01:04:49
◼
►
is in the Mac, their interest in iOS seems much stronger on the phone and still even
01:04:55
◼
►
a little bit stronger on the iPad.
01:04:58
◼
►
And who knows what other weird devices they're planning.
01:05:00
◼
►
I mean, you've got the Watch Store on the mix there too.
01:05:02
◼
►
iOS as a legacy free basis for innovation seems like a much easier path
01:05:08
◼
►
than continuing to bang their head against the Mac. You know the by and
01:05:13
◼
►
large I agree with you guys but I can't help but think a couple things. One, it
01:05:19
◼
►
almost sounds like you're saying I want the good parts of iOS and and none of
01:05:24
◼
►
the parts that bother me and that's okay like I mean yeah that does sound good
01:05:29
◼
►
in and of itself, but I mean, for two people that really don't seem to be too terribly
01:05:36
◼
►
interested in the iPad, it's interesting hearing you say, "Ooh, I'd love all that stuff on
01:05:42
◼
►
Who's people of those?
01:05:43
◼
►
I use the iPad every day.
01:05:45
◼
►
I use the iPad more than I use my Mac.
01:05:46
◼
►
Well, I can't say that, but I do use the iPad at home.
01:05:48
◼
►
At home, I use—definitely.
01:05:49
◼
►
Obviously, I work all day on a Mac, so that's the majority of my time, but in my house,
01:05:54
◼
►
I use my iPad literally every day, and many days go by when I don't wake my Mac up from
01:05:58
◼
►
- Well, but I think to clarify this,
01:06:02
◼
►
it's not that all of iOS is bad,
01:06:04
◼
►
there's tons of great stuff in iOS,
01:06:05
◼
►
there's tons of advantages of iOS.
01:06:08
◼
►
There's a, between the way iPads work
01:06:12
◼
►
and the way Mac OS works, there's a huge difference
01:06:16
◼
►
in interaction paradigm, the whole difference
01:06:20
◼
►
between being, you know, Mac OS is very file-centric,
01:06:24
◼
►
like most PCOSs, where as iOS is app-centric,
01:06:28
◼
►
like these are massive differences
01:06:30
◼
►
in just the way these systems work.
01:06:32
◼
►
Of course you can take some of what's good about one
01:06:35
◼
►
and apply it to the other.
01:06:37
◼
►
The only question is, where's your starting point
01:06:39
◼
►
and where are you going?
01:06:40
◼
►
And as Jon said, it's a lot easier to make iOS
01:06:44
◼
►
more capable than to make Mac OS simpler.
01:06:47
◼
►
However, no matter what you do to iOS,
01:06:50
◼
►
it's still going to feel like a big phone
01:06:53
◼
►
that's app-centric and not file-centric and everything else
01:06:56
◼
►
'cause that's just like the entire design of the system.
01:06:58
◼
►
Whereas on the Mac, if what you want
01:07:01
◼
►
is the PC style of computing,
01:07:05
◼
►
it is totally possible with something like this crazy scheme
01:07:09
◼
►
that this crazy comment that is probably BS,
01:07:11
◼
►
it is totally possible to take the best
01:07:14
◼
►
of PC style computing, make it still work
01:07:17
◼
►
the way that people who want that are accustomed to,
01:07:21
◼
►
but bring in the modern advantages of iOS.
01:07:24
◼
►
- Yeah, that summary makes a lot more sense to me.
01:07:27
◼
►
- Imagine if you gave your grandparents
01:07:30
◼
►
this Mac described in here.
01:07:33
◼
►
I think with the possible exception
01:07:35
◼
►
of the keyboard being intimidating,
01:07:37
◼
►
they could be just as delighted
01:07:38
◼
►
because from their perspective,
01:07:41
◼
►
if it's simple and they can figure out how to use it,
01:07:43
◼
►
like if it was basically as simple
01:07:45
◼
►
as the only way you could launch applications
01:07:46
◼
►
is with Launchpad.
01:07:47
◼
►
Launchpad was always visible in the thing.
01:07:49
◼
►
It would probably have to be touch, which is another issue entirely in terms of bridging
01:07:54
◼
►
that divide.
01:07:55
◼
►
But if they were never faced with the complexity of an OpenSave dialog box, or never had to
01:08:00
◼
►
look at a bunch of files or little documents on the desktop, or never even looked at the
01:08:04
◼
►
desktop and it was just basically they'll have the simplicity of an iPad, but happened
01:08:08
◼
►
to be a Mac, they would be just as delighted because they just want to accomplish a task.
01:08:13
◼
►
task is video, you know, a video conference with with my family and be able to send emails
01:08:19
◼
►
or whatever. And you and I could say, oh, if you had a MacBook adorable, you could do
01:08:22
◼
►
it just fine. But the difference between a MacBook adorable and an iPad to them is huge.
01:08:27
◼
►
So all you need to do to delight them with a Mac is make it so that when they use it,
01:08:32
◼
►
it is just as simple as an iPad. It can still have lurking under the covers all the other
01:08:37
◼
►
complexity. The file system stuff is a place where we continue to punt and Apple continues
01:08:42
◼
►
to punt. I hold out hope that there is still a better way to collaborate on things than the
01:08:47
◼
►
completely app-centric island model of iOS and the completely file-centric world of the PC, but
01:08:53
◼
►
considering no one has figured it out yet, you know, we'll just leave that off to the future.
01:08:56
◼
►
But again, we are talking about the future of computing, not the present. But anyway,
01:09:00
◼
►
that's why I think this type of Mac is appealing, because it will start to blur the lines that we're
01:09:08
◼
►
we're all thinking in terms of,
01:09:09
◼
►
because once something like this appears on the scene,
01:09:12
◼
►
it's not, we can't have the same conversation anymore.
01:09:14
◼
►
It's a different conversation entirely.
01:09:16
◼
►
- Yeah, the thing that I'm curious to see
01:09:21
◼
►
if this becomes real one day,
01:09:23
◼
►
and if the three of us are still blathering on on the show,
01:09:27
◼
►
is what are the restrictions and how egregious are they?
01:09:31
◼
►
And I mean, Marco talked about this some,
01:09:33
◼
►
but like, you know, if there's a developer mode,
01:09:36
◼
►
what does that really give you?
01:09:37
◼
►
And do you have file system access just to your change-rooted route area?
01:09:43
◼
►
Can you get all the way to the route route?
01:09:45
◼
►
Can I install a kernel extension?
01:09:47
◼
►
Would I want to?
01:09:49
◼
►
I just can't help but feel like, let's say this dropped on our laps tomorrow, and Marco
01:09:56
◼
►
or you or me or all three of us buy one.
01:09:59
◼
►
I think inevitably what would happen is it would put roadblocks in our way in ways we
01:10:04
◼
►
find frustrating.
01:10:06
◼
►
And what I'm not sure about is, would your average developer, when looking to his or
01:10:11
◼
►
her left and seeing the Touch Bar MacBook Pro, and then looking to his or her right
01:10:16
◼
►
and seeing this phantom arm-based Mac, I mean, certainly I would choose the Touch Bar MacBook
01:10:22
◼
►
Pro because it doesn't limit me at all.
01:10:24
◼
►
And this hypothetical new Mac, while it does fix a lot of problems for people in general,
01:10:30
◼
►
I don't think it solves any problem that I'm seeing today.
01:10:34
◼
►
And so I can just see, I have visions of this being like a less extreme version of me saying,
01:10:41
◼
►
"Well, I don't like working on the iPad because I feel like it constrains me, and I feel like
01:10:45
◼
►
the Mac is freeing."
01:10:46
◼
►
Because that is how I feel.
01:10:48
◼
►
And I think that this hypothetical new ARM Mac would be a lot of the same in that regard
01:10:53
◼
►
if perhaps a little bit less of it.
01:10:56
◼
►
- A lot of what we would want as developers could be accomplished through VMs.
01:11:02
◼
►
Like if it was still possible to have virtual machines
01:11:06
◼
►
running on this in some form,
01:11:07
◼
►
a lot of this could be solved by containering
01:11:09
◼
►
and by virtual machines.
01:11:10
◼
►
Of like, you know, right now, like oh jeez,
01:11:13
◼
►
I just, I lost a day this week on Monday.
01:11:16
◼
►
I spent a whole day finally fixing my local Apache
01:11:21
◼
►
and PHP MySQL installations between my iMac and my laptop,
01:11:26
◼
►
both of which, my laptop never had a working one
01:11:29
◼
►
'cause I did a clean install when I got it
01:11:31
◼
►
and I just never finished setting it up
01:11:32
◼
►
and fixing Homebrew and fixing PHP
01:11:35
◼
►
and fixing the built-in Apache
01:11:36
◼
►
to use the right version of PHP and all this crap.
01:11:40
◼
►
And I tried MAMP and then I didn't like it
01:11:42
◼
►
so I stopped trying MAMP and like fiddling
01:11:44
◼
►
with all this stuff that's like all over the file system,
01:11:47
◼
►
all the stuff that Homebrew puts
01:11:49
◼
►
and different other package managers do it
01:11:51
◼
►
and then Homebrew complains
01:11:52
◼
►
that other package managers exist.
01:11:53
◼
►
And it's like dealing with all this crap
01:11:56
◼
►
all over the file system that gets upgraded
01:11:57
◼
►
when the system gets upgraded
01:11:58
◼
►
that I'm trying to put my own stuff into
01:12:00
◼
►
and edit the config files and everything else.
01:12:03
◼
►
During a lot of that, I'm like, you know,
01:12:05
◼
►
why don't I just install VirtualBox
01:12:07
◼
►
and just make a Linux VM
01:12:09
◼
►
and just run all the stuff in there and be fine.
01:12:12
◼
►
- Try Docker.
01:12:13
◼
►
You've got a modern enough Mac that you can run Docker.
01:12:15
◼
►
- I know I should know about Docker.
01:12:17
◼
►
I know nothing about Docker.
01:12:18
◼
►
I know the general high-level concept of what it is.
01:12:22
◼
►
I've never seen it, never used it,
01:12:24
◼
►
no idea how it works, but anyway.
01:12:27
◼
►
- You should try it before you go the full VM route.
01:12:29
◼
►
- And in the meantime, you should compile everything
01:12:31
◼
►
from source and install in user local like I do.
01:12:34
◼
►
- Well, and I did actually, I eventually moved
01:12:37
◼
►
to the full Homebrew setup.
01:12:40
◼
►
Took me a while to realize that Homebrew installs
01:12:41
◼
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its own version of Apache.
01:12:43
◼
►
But it did finally do that, but it was so much messing around
01:12:48
◼
►
and so much crap, and I know that future OS updates
01:12:51
◼
►
will probably break it.
01:12:52
◼
►
- Never touch the system files.
01:12:54
◼
►
You can only mess in user local.
01:12:56
◼
►
Do not touch anything else.
01:12:57
◼
►
Pretend it doesn't exist.
01:12:59
◼
►
- Yeah, and I did eventually move to that system,
01:13:00
◼
►
but my point is, that is not that different
01:13:03
◼
►
from what if on this hypothetical, you know,
01:13:07
◼
►
next generation Mac OS lockdown mode,
01:13:10
◼
►
which would be the only mode,
01:13:12
◼
►
what if in this OS, developer mode existed,
01:13:15
◼
►
which I think, again, I do think that developer mode
01:13:17
◼
►
needs to exist, where you can just compile stuff,
01:13:20
◼
►
or you can run open source software
01:13:22
◼
►
that is compiled from source
01:13:23
◼
►
through package managers or whatever else.
01:13:25
◼
►
Somehow you can run open source stuff,
01:13:26
◼
►
you can build it yourself and just run it,
01:13:28
◼
►
and somehow there needs to be a way to distribute software
01:13:33
◼
►
out of the app store with developer ID, gatekeeper,
01:13:35
◼
►
whatever, so given those two exceptions,
01:13:39
◼
►
suppose developer mode is rooted in such a way
01:13:42
◼
►
that you basically get your own version of user local
01:13:45
◼
►
in this little virtualized environment
01:13:46
◼
►
within your home directory.
01:13:48
◼
►
That's not that different from what we have now,
01:13:50
◼
►
and that's totally fine.
01:13:51
◼
►
We could totally work with that.
01:13:52
◼
►
It would be fine.
01:13:54
◼
►
As long as there's still a way to have a terminal
01:13:57
◼
►
and a way to compile software you get from other places,
01:14:00
◼
►
all of these workflows don't break.
01:14:02
◼
►
Just the file paths might change slightly.
01:14:05
◼
►
- Yeah, it could be done well, like,
01:14:07
◼
►
so that you don't feel constrained, in case you like,
01:14:10
◼
►
so you don't feel like you're suddenly trapped,
01:14:11
◼
►
because it would just be a matter of coming onto the machine
01:14:13
◼
►
and flipping a few switches and you'd be like,
01:14:14
◼
►
"Ah, back to normal."
01:14:15
◼
►
But really, the ultimate cure for this is the same thing
01:14:19
◼
►
that solved the exact same situation and the change
01:14:21
◼
►
from classic Mac OS to OS X, which was a big increase
01:14:26
◼
►
simplicity and downgrade in customizability with the elimination of
01:14:30
◼
►
whole categories of interfaces and ways of working and lots of third-party
01:14:35
◼
►
things being replaced by first-party things that could not be enhanced or
01:14:40
◼
►
replaced in a supported manner. The solution is, guess what, there is no more
01:14:45
◼
►
classic Mac OS. So, nah. Like, that was the solution. It's like, well, you
01:14:49
◼
►
know, go use Windows or Linux or this is the future of the Mac. Like, I don't
01:14:53
◼
►
envision the Mac described in this this comment here existing alongside the
01:14:59
◼
►
other Macs for any appreciable amount of time there would be a transition and
01:15:03
◼
►
you're either you're on board or you're not and you know like take it like
01:15:06
◼
►
that's exactly how it would have to work and especially if they go there by
01:15:09
◼
►
increments but again if you could blink and you know open your eyes and this
01:15:12
◼
►
thing was here they wouldn't keep them both around the old thing would go away
01:15:15
◼
►
so that would basically solve the problem for you and hopefully like I
01:15:18
◼
►
said you wouldn't feel construing. Well maybe Tim Cook would keep selling the
01:15:20
◼
►
thing for 10 more years after it.
01:15:22
◼
►
Yeah. Well, you know, the software, they're a little bit better about that. They do upgrade
01:15:26
◼
►
it, but like that you wouldn't in the same way I, you know, initially a lot of classic Mac users
01:15:32
◼
►
felt constrained in OS X because it was very young and slow and it was missing a lot of things.
01:15:35
◼
►
It was simpler. And in some respects, I still feel constrained by some of the interface things
01:15:40
◼
►
in OS X, but you get used to it and eventually it becomes the new normal and you accept that
01:15:45
◼
►
it comes with many other benefits. So I would imagine that this type of Mac
01:15:49
◼
►
would be power level to you if not immediately then in short order as again as long as they
01:15:54
◼
►
didn't screw it up because i feel like one of the ways that apple especially today's apple could
01:15:58
◼
►
massively screw this up is by going too far and cutting off all these other avenues because
01:16:03
◼
►
if the mac can't support that type of user like why bother having the mac now i'm saying that's
01:16:08
◼
►
the only reason for the max existence but it's like then what are you even doing you're just
01:16:12
◼
►
you're squeezing the mac from both sides until it so it's basically like a really weird ios because
01:16:18
◼
►
because presumably iOS would still be advancing.
01:16:20
◼
►
So it's like this really weird iOS version
01:16:21
◼
►
that can't do the things that a Mac used to do,
01:16:24
◼
►
but isn't as simple as iOS,
01:16:25
◼
►
and they put all these resources into morphing the Mac
01:16:28
◼
►
into this thing, and it's like, what's the point?
01:16:30
◼
►
At that point, you have to concede
01:16:32
◼
►
that Microsoft had the right approach,
01:16:33
◼
►
and that you've just been wasting your time
01:16:34
◼
►
with this dual OS strategy as you shave one of your OSes
01:16:37
◼
►
from both sides until all that's left
01:16:39
◼
►
is this little skinny spindle that just topples over.
01:16:41
◼
►
- Well, and if they did this, again, like I said earlier,
01:16:45
◼
►
We haven't had a major OS transition in a while from Apple,
01:16:49
◼
►
not since '99 or whenever it was.
01:16:51
◼
►
John, I'm sure, has some idea of when that was.
01:16:54
◼
►
- 2001 was 10.1?
01:16:55
◼
►
- There you go. - Or 10.0?
01:16:56
◼
►
- Yeah. - That's my guess.
01:16:58
◼
►
- Yeah, so we haven't had a transition since then.
01:17:01
◼
►
In the Windows world, they have them a little more often,
01:17:04
◼
►
but it still doesn't come that often.
01:17:05
◼
►
And when you have a major OS transition like that,
01:17:09
◼
►
one of the luxuries of this, I mean, it's painful,
01:17:13
◼
►
no question, it's painful.
01:17:14
◼
►
it's time consuming, for a while there's a transition period
01:17:18
◼
►
that just sucks for everybody.
01:17:20
◼
►
However, it is an opportunity to modernize app frameworks,
01:17:25
◼
►
to add new capabilities, to do things,
01:17:29
◼
►
to basically take the opportunity that you have,
01:17:33
◼
►
that you're kind of forcing app makers to do something new,
01:17:36
◼
►
to do a major update or to even do a rewrite,
01:17:41
◼
►
to take the opportunity to make it better for everybody.
01:17:44
◼
►
So for instance, some of the things they could do
01:17:46
◼
►
with the Mac if they did this,
01:17:48
◼
►
and if they presumably broke a lot of old apps,
01:17:50
◼
►
they could finally make a more unified UI framework for one.
01:17:55
◼
►
Like make UI kit for the Mac,
01:17:58
◼
►
and I don't mean make everything
01:17:59
◼
►
look like navigation controllers
01:18:00
◼
►
and make it all function the same way in the UI,
01:18:02
◼
►
but there's some of the simple low-hanging fruit,
01:18:04
◼
►
like unify the way table views load their data,
01:18:09
◼
►
and make it so we don't have NSColor and UIColor anymore,
01:18:12
◼
►
and stuff like that.
01:18:13
◼
►
There's a lot of stuff they could do
01:18:14
◼
►
to unify those two frameworks.
01:18:16
◼
►
They could do things like, as I mentioned previously,
01:18:18
◼
►
cellular Macs, because they could implement
01:18:21
◼
►
better control over networking and do all this stuff.
01:18:24
◼
►
Like, it would give them the opportunity to,
01:18:29
◼
►
it would force us to live for a while
01:18:32
◼
►
with incompatible software, with oh, well we can't do this
01:18:35
◼
►
in the new OS yet because this app hasn't updated
01:18:38
◼
►
or whatever, we have to drag along Microsoft and Adobe
01:18:40
◼
►
or whatever else.
01:18:41
◼
►
But then when we got there, it could be so much better
01:18:44
◼
►
because app makers have been forced to update.
01:18:46
◼
►
Right now, the Mac software ecosystem is,
01:18:48
◼
►
you know, there are some bright spots,
01:18:51
◼
►
but a lot of it's just a graveyard,
01:18:52
◼
►
because most people who make Mac apps,
01:18:55
◼
►
it's a low priority for them,
01:18:57
◼
►
because they can keep making the same old app
01:18:59
◼
►
over and over again, and it's fine,
01:19:01
◼
►
and they can focus their efforts on iOS and stuff.
01:19:03
◼
►
If the Mac changes, yes, some of them will get lost,
01:19:08
◼
►
but the ones that wanna stay on the Mac
01:19:09
◼
►
will have to put effort into it.
01:19:11
◼
►
and that will make their apps better,
01:19:12
◼
►
that will make it better for all of us.
01:19:13
◼
►
So like, there would be a substantial silver lining,
01:19:17
◼
►
not to mention all the benefits of the OS itself,
01:19:20
◼
►
as I said, of things like the better security,
01:19:23
◼
►
the better sandboxing of the apps,
01:19:24
◼
►
like not having their crap go all over the system.
01:19:27
◼
►
This could be really good on a number of ways
01:19:30
◼
►
if something like this were to happen.
01:19:32
◼
►
It would definitely be painful,
01:19:34
◼
►
and some stuff that you could do now on Mac OS,
01:19:37
◼
►
you'd never be able to do on this.
01:19:39
◼
►
but look at, trying to get back together,
01:19:42
◼
►
look at how many people do everything they need to do
01:19:46
◼
►
on phones and iPads.
01:19:48
◼
►
This can do more than that.
01:19:51
◼
►
Everyone who says they can't do stuff on iOS,
01:19:54
◼
►
sometimes it's because of a capability that iOS
01:19:56
◼
►
just will never be able to do because of its security model,
01:19:59
◼
►
but sometimes it's just because it doesn't have
01:20:00
◼
►
a very good multi-tasking model
01:20:01
◼
►
or a very good file system model
01:20:03
◼
►
or things that this would actually have.
01:20:06
◼
►
So I think it would be a painful transition
01:20:10
◼
►
to go to something like this,
01:20:12
◼
►
but it wouldn't be impossible.
01:20:14
◼
►
We would all grumble, we'd all complain,
01:20:16
◼
►
but then we'd get on board.
01:20:18
◼
►
A few things wouldn't be possible anymore forever,
01:20:20
◼
►
and we'd deal with it, we'd find new solutions.
01:20:23
◼
►
Like if I couldn't use Audio Hijack anymore
01:20:26
◼
►
to record this phone call from Skype,
01:20:28
◼
►
then we'd probably either stop using Skype,
01:20:31
◼
►
or we could switch to one of those
01:20:33
◼
►
web-based podcast recorder things.
01:20:34
◼
►
There's already like five of those,
01:20:36
◼
►
and there's only gonna be more by the time
01:20:37
◼
►
this thing ever exists.
01:20:38
◼
►
So there's always workarounds, there's always things,
01:20:42
◼
►
time would solve any pain that would be there.
01:20:45
◼
►
So I think even though this is probably all wrong
01:20:49
◼
►
and based on this one weird post on Slashdot
01:20:52
◼
►
that's probably BS, this kinda sounds cool
01:20:55
◼
►
and if it happened, assuming it had those two exceptions,
01:20:59
◼
►
developer mode and developer ID distribution,
01:21:02
◼
►
I think that'd be really nice.
01:21:04
◼
►
- You have to throw cold water on this,
01:21:05
◼
►
we have to bring back to our old brief frame.
01:21:06
◼
►
Anytime we discuss anything radical happening to the Mac
01:21:09
◼
►
is like, yeah, but that would cost a lot of money
01:21:11
◼
►
and take a lot of time and resources.
01:21:12
◼
►
And does Apple want to put that much money
01:21:14
◼
►
into its legacy platform
01:21:16
◼
►
or however you want to describe the Mac?
01:21:18
◼
►
Because sales volume wise,
01:21:20
◼
►
you can justify almost any investment in iOS.
01:21:22
◼
►
Can you justify that same?
01:21:25
◼
►
And the iPad is along for the ride
01:21:26
◼
►
because even though the iPad's volume is similar to the Mac,
01:21:29
◼
►
guess what, it's got the same OS as the phone.
01:21:31
◼
►
So congratulations, you get a lot of development stuff,
01:21:33
◼
►
quote unquote, for free.
01:21:34
◼
►
but this would be a hell of an investment in the Mac.
01:21:36
◼
►
It would be on the scale of the classic to OS X transition,
01:21:39
◼
►
or at least close, maybe not that big, but it would be close.
01:21:41
◼
►
And it would be the biggest investment
01:21:43
◼
►
in the Mac software-wise in many, many, many years.
01:21:47
◼
►
And so I think it could, you know,
01:21:50
◼
►
I'm not saying it couldn't be.
01:21:51
◼
►
The right people pitch it.
01:21:53
◼
►
It could be sold within the company,
01:21:54
◼
►
but it would be a departure
01:21:56
◼
►
from the historic investment in the Mac, which has been good.
01:22:00
◼
►
And it's, you know, it hasn't been as high
01:22:01
◼
►
since the transition from OS is as, you know,
01:22:03
◼
►
as is appropriate or even the transition
01:22:05
◼
►
for CPU architecture,
01:22:06
◼
►
but this would be an architecture transition
01:22:09
◼
►
and an OS transition that is the second biggest one
01:22:11
◼
►
that Apple has ever done.
01:22:12
◼
►
And you know, we're all on board for it
01:22:16
◼
►
and would be ready for it,
01:22:17
◼
►
but I'm not entirely sure that Apple is ready
01:22:20
◼
►
to put that money into the Mac,
01:22:22
◼
►
which not that that is the most dubious thing
01:22:25
◼
►
about this random slash.com.
01:22:28
◼
►
But again, like I wouldn't characterize it
01:22:30
◼
►
as novel or interesting.
01:22:31
◼
►
characterizes it as a reiteration of the prototypical idea of a Mac merged with iOS resurfacing
01:22:39
◼
►
now in a new context. And the new context is the new Apple and the new state of Intel
01:22:44
◼
►
versus ARM and the new sales figures for iPad and all of us new people being older and wiser
01:22:51
◼
►
and having seen more of the tech world reconsidering the same thing.
01:22:54
◼
►
Well, in that case, I will put it in terms they will understand. You can sell iPad hardware
01:23:01
◼
►
- They already do.
01:23:02
◼
►
That's not including all the cases.
01:23:05
◼
►
And that's our end.
01:23:07
◼
►
- Thanks to our three sponsors this week,
01:23:09
◼
►
Betterment, Squarespace, and Setapp,
01:23:11
◼
►
and we will see you next week.
01:23:12
◼
►
- It's a lot better hardware for MacBook Pro prices.
01:23:16
◼
►
- There you go.
01:23:17
◼
►
(upbeat music)
01:23:20
◼
►
♪ Now the show is over ♪
01:23:22
◼
►
♪ They didn't even mean to begin ♪
01:23:24
◼
►
♪ 'Cause it was accidental ♪
01:23:26
◼
►
♪ Accidental ♪
01:23:27
◼
►
Oh it was accidental John didn't do any research
01:23:32
◼
►
Marco and Casey wouldn't let him Cause it was accidental
01:23:38
◼
►
It was accidental And you can find the show notes at ATP.FM
01:23:45
◼
►
And if you're into Twitter You can follow them @C-A-S-E-Y-L-I-S-S
01:23:54
◼
►
So that's Casey List, M-A-R-C-O-A-R-M-N-T-Marco-R-M-N-S-I-R-A-C-U-S-A-C-R-A-C-U-S-A-C-R-A-C-U-S-A
01:24:06
◼
►
It's accidental (it's accidental)
01:24:09
◼
►
They didn't mean to (accidental, accidental)
01:24:14
◼
►
Tech podcast so long
01:24:19
◼
►
So Casey, I hear you're having some car trouble.
01:24:23
◼
►
- Yes, indeed.
01:24:26
◼
►
So I brought my car in to get the oil changed.
01:24:30
◼
►
I don't care that you think that's preposterous.
01:24:33
◼
►
I don't have the time to change my own oil.
01:24:35
◼
►
- Why is that preposterous?
01:24:36
◼
►
'Cause are you talking to us
01:24:38
◼
►
or the audience who's scolding you?
01:24:38
◼
►
- No, the audience.
01:24:39
◼
►
I'm hopefully preventing all the people--
01:24:41
◼
►
- No one in the audience is scolding you
01:24:42
◼
►
about not changing your own oil.
01:24:43
◼
►
- Oh, okay, you can send a tweet to @Saracusa
01:24:47
◼
►
about how angry you are that I'm not changing my own oil.
01:24:49
◼
►
- Even people who change their own oil,
01:24:51
◼
►
I feel like now realize that they are outliers.
01:24:55
◼
►
So I had a coupon, I was very excited, I had a coupon,
01:24:58
◼
►
so my BMW oil change was supposed to be $90,
01:25:01
◼
►
which I understand is expensive.
01:25:03
◼
►
- Wait, you were getting into the dealership?
01:25:04
◼
►
Now it's time for me to scold you.
01:25:06
◼
►
- Yeah, I was going to the dealership.
01:25:08
◼
►
- Now you're gonna hear from them.
01:25:10
◼
►
- Yep, so okay, I understand I am not innocent
01:25:14
◼
►
and I have made mistakes, mistakes have been made.
01:25:18
◼
►
- I do the same thing.
01:25:20
◼
►
- Well, you don't get your oil changed anymore.
01:25:21
◼
►
- But anyway. - But I did.
01:25:22
◼
►
- If you're going to the dealership anyway, okay.
01:25:25
◼
►
But if you're going to the dealership
01:25:26
◼
►
to get your oil changed, no, don't do that.
01:25:28
◼
►
- Well, I don't trust like a Jiffy Lube
01:25:31
◼
►
or anything like that.
01:25:33
◼
►
You don't have a Ferrari.
01:25:34
◼
►
We have to go to this special little Italian person.
01:25:37
◼
►
- It requires synthetic.
01:25:38
◼
►
It doesn't matter.
01:25:39
◼
►
The point is-- - By the way,
01:25:40
◼
►
for the record, I think it might be covered
01:25:42
◼
►
when you have a lease.
01:25:43
◼
►
I'm not sure, but just for the record there.
01:25:45
◼
►
- If it's free, then yes, yes, by all means.
01:25:48
◼
►
- I believe they are.
01:25:48
◼
►
It was free for me when I first owned the car,
01:25:50
◼
►
'cause I still had some of the maintenance program left.
01:25:52
◼
►
- Yeah, it was like five years, right?
01:25:54
◼
►
- I forget, it was four, I think, it doesn't really matter.
01:25:57
◼
►
But anyway, so I had my $90 coupon,
01:26:00
◼
►
I'm all excited with myself.
01:26:02
◼
►
The wherewithal to ask for a loaner,
01:26:03
◼
►
which I was very glad for, and we'll see why in a moment.
01:26:06
◼
►
But here's my $90 coupon,
01:26:08
◼
►
I should expect to see you later today.
01:26:10
◼
►
I probably didn't even need to bother getting a loaner,
01:26:12
◼
►
I'm going to drive it the handful of miles to work,
01:26:15
◼
►
and then probably immediately later,
01:26:17
◼
►
you know, a handful of miles back, and that'll be that. I get a call as I'm out to lunch,
01:26:22
◼
►
and they say in so many words, "Oh, things relating to the drivetrain in the front..."
01:26:28
◼
►
I have an all-wheel drive BMW before you get all angry. "Things relating to the drivetrain
01:26:33
◼
►
in the front, like tie rods and bushings and things of that nature, and the adjustment screw
01:26:38
◼
►
that you use in order to do an alignment has seized, things are breaking, that'll be $1,000,
01:26:43
◼
►
please. Oh, and you'll get your car back tomorrow because we don't have all the parts.
01:26:46
◼
►
Fine. So in and of itself, okay, fine. The car has almost 70,000 miles on it, if I remember correctly.
01:26:54
◼
►
It is not unreasonable that things would be going wrong. But in the last year and change,
01:27:03
◼
►
I had a five or six thousand dollar repair of the VANOS system. I had a thousand dollar
01:27:11
◼
►
water pump issue that was almost last month.
01:27:15
◼
►
It was just barely in December.
01:27:17
◼
►
And now I have this $1,000 issue.
01:27:19
◼
►
And I think this is the universe giving me a sign
01:27:22
◼
►
that this car is not long for this world.
01:27:24
◼
►
So I'm getting some pressure from Aaron,
01:27:27
◼
►
and I think it's completely justified to unload the thing
01:27:30
◼
►
because it's just, I can't keep the damn thing on the road.
01:27:33
◼
►
And at first I was resisting,
01:27:35
◼
►
but now I'm to the point that I'm like, screw it.
01:27:37
◼
►
This thing is not worth my time anymore.
01:27:39
◼
►
I wanna get rid of it.
01:27:41
◼
►
Now on paper the right answer is get a brand new 3 Series, maybe an M3 if I want to spend
01:27:45
◼
►
too much money.
01:27:47
◼
►
Maintenance will be covered, at least in the beginning, it'll have a nice big fat warranty.
01:27:51
◼
►
Problem solved.
01:27:52
◼
►
Except I feel like I've been burned by BMW.
01:27:55
◼
►
I think new ones are, as I think we talked about recently, new ones are just unaffordable.
01:28:02
◼
►
And then that becomes, okay, well fine, get a pre-owned one.
01:28:04
◼
►
Well, I just did that.
01:28:05
◼
►
And yes, this hypothetical new pre-owned one would be with the CPO warranty, which goes
01:28:12
◼
►
to like 100,000 miles.
01:28:13
◼
►
And yes, that's possible.
01:28:14
◼
►
But even if I'm not paying out of pocket constantly for my car to be in the shop, my car's still
01:28:19
◼
►
in the damn shop all the time.
01:28:21
◼
►
And I feel like the moment a BMW gets past lease time, things start falling apart.
01:28:29
◼
►
And I have friends that have had similar experiences.
01:28:32
◼
►
I just don't want to be bothered by it.
01:28:34
◼
►
So I have many options in front of me.
01:28:38
◼
►
If you recall, my requirements, which are somewhat loose, are I don't want front-wheel
01:28:44
◼
►
drive, I want it to get to 60 in under six seconds.
01:28:47
◼
►
I don't care that that's not necessary on regular roads.
01:28:51
◼
►
That's what I want.
01:28:52
◼
►
I want three pedals, and that's mostly it.
01:28:56
◼
►
So what are my options?
01:28:59
◼
►
I'm only thinking about new right now, and then I'm going to start trying to rack my
01:29:04
◼
►
brain for used, because I'm not opposed to going used.
01:29:08
◼
►
But looking at it, I think every single one of my options has problems.
01:29:16
◼
►
A friend of mine actually just written in, Cadillac ATS, great call, but the infotainment
01:29:21
◼
►
is from everything I've ever understood, unusable.
01:29:24
◼
►
Just utterly unusable.
01:29:26
◼
►
And I don't know if it has carplay.
01:29:29
◼
►
I'd have to check that out.
01:29:30
◼
►
So that is a potential.
01:29:33
◼
►
If I'm willing to--
01:29:34
◼
►
- It's also hideous.
01:29:35
◼
►
- Yeah, it's too ugly to be seen in.
01:29:37
◼
►
Sorry, great car.
01:29:39
◼
►
- Fairly hideous.
01:29:40
◼
►
I'm not arguing.
01:29:41
◼
►
Fairly hideous.
01:29:42
◼
►
Okay, so let's just, it sounds like the brain trust has eliminated that.
01:29:46
◼
►
So if I'm willing to have wrong-wheel drive, Focus ST.
01:29:50
◼
►
The problem with that, other than it being a Ford, which in and of itself is fine, but
01:29:55
◼
►
It's front-wheel drive, which I don't particularly care for.
01:29:58
◼
►
And then the RS is also, is it the RS?
01:30:01
◼
►
Whatever the super hot-roddy one is.
01:30:04
◼
►
That one is just too 18-year-old for me.
01:30:07
◼
►
I'm turning 35 next month, just no way.
01:30:09
◼
►
The ST is a reasonable compromise, but wrong-wheel drive.
01:30:13
◼
►
If I'm willing to go back to Deutschland,
01:30:15
◼
►
I have the Volkswagen GTI, the Golf R,
01:30:17
◼
►
which is the thing that I think I'm most interested in,
01:30:19
◼
►
the A4, and the S3, which is basically a Golf R,
01:30:22
◼
►
but in sedan form, if I'm not mistaken.
01:30:26
◼
►
- What's what?
01:30:27
◼
►
What do you want to go over?
01:30:28
◼
►
- You listed a series of little Euro hatchbacks
01:30:29
◼
►
and then you lump the A4 on the S3
01:30:31
◼
►
and then like, oh, it's the same thing.
01:30:33
◼
►
- No, the A4 is wildly different.
01:30:35
◼
►
The S3, I thought, was basically the drivetrain
01:30:37
◼
►
of the Gulf R.
01:30:38
◼
►
I am on dating--
01:30:39
◼
►
- No, yeah, under the cover, sure,
01:30:40
◼
►
but it's a whole, like, from the outside,
01:30:42
◼
►
it's the difference between driving around in a rabbit
01:30:45
◼
►
and driving around in a regular car.
01:30:47
◼
►
- You're dating yourself even calling it a rabbit.
01:30:49
◼
►
- Here's the thing, I mean, I could rule out
01:30:51
◼
►
all four of these right now for you, because--
01:30:53
◼
►
- Oh, the A4 is a good car. - No, you can't.
01:30:54
◼
►
- It's a little boring, but I think Keisha should try it
01:30:56
◼
►
before he decides it's too boring,
01:30:57
◼
►
'cause it's nice looking, if it has the features he wants,
01:30:59
◼
►
it's reasonably nice inside and out.
01:31:01
◼
►
The main slam against it is that it's more boring
01:31:04
◼
►
than the BMWs, but I think he should test drive it.
01:31:06
◼
►
- Is the A4 even available in stick?
01:31:10
◼
►
- Oh, it is?
01:31:10
◼
►
Okay, I didn't know, I thought it was.
01:31:11
◼
►
Anyway. - Yes.
01:31:12
◼
►
Oh no, it is.
01:31:13
◼
►
- All right, so the A4 is basically a three series
01:31:17
◼
►
that's slightly worse.
01:31:18
◼
►
Like, I-- - Eh, it depends
01:31:20
◼
►
on what you want. (laughing)
01:31:21
◼
►
- If you want less, if you want it smoother,
01:31:25
◼
►
kind of nicer, even keel experience.
01:31:27
◼
►
- If you want a crappier interior and higher prices,
01:31:30
◼
►
crappier interior, no.
01:31:32
◼
►
- I would disagree with you there.
01:31:33
◼
►
- They look nice, they don't feel nice.
01:31:35
◼
►
- I'm not sure I agree with you there.
01:31:38
◼
►
- Also, iDrive is way better than their weirdo system.
01:31:40
◼
►
- iDrive is light years better than MMI,
01:31:44
◼
►
at least as of about a year ago.
01:31:46
◼
►
Now, I think it might be an MMI.
01:31:47
◼
►
- I forget if the A4 has the updated one
01:31:48
◼
►
or if it's still in the old one.
01:31:49
◼
►
- Yeah, see, I don't know either.
01:31:51
◼
►
I thought it had the new hotness one, which I have yet to try.
01:31:56
◼
►
But the A4 supports CarPlay.
01:31:58
◼
►
I don't think it's wireless CarPlay, but it's CarPlay.
01:32:03
◼
►
The S3 is basically a Golf R, although a buddy of mine is saying it might be DSG only, which
01:32:10
◼
►
might eliminate it from contention.
01:32:13
◼
►
Then the Golf R, obviously.
01:32:15
◼
►
All of these are appealing because they are not front-wheel drive, but that's going back
01:32:21
◼
►
to Germany and I can't tell if this is a German car problem or if it's a BMW problem.
01:32:27
◼
►
It's a expensive car problem because every car around 60,000 miles, especially if you
01:32:32
◼
►
live in the Northeast, which you don't really, but if you did, like around 60 or 70,000,
01:32:36
◼
►
crap starts falling apart and breaking or whatever.
01:32:39
◼
►
The problem is that when crap falls apart and breaks on a BMW, it costs a bazillion
01:32:41
◼
►
dollars to fix.
01:32:43
◼
►
That's where your problem is.
01:32:44
◼
►
Any car you keep for that number of miles, you're going to have, like, if you have a
01:32:47
◼
►
car for 100,000 miles you have to replace the water pump it's not a surprise I
01:32:51
◼
►
guess nothing that happens right that's but if the water pump cost you 1,500
01:32:54
◼
►
bucks then you're you know you're driving BMW right that's the thing is
01:32:59
◼
►
that in and of itself any one of these repairs fine whatever well maybe not the
01:33:02
◼
►
Vanno is exploding but generally engine stuff I feel like if you had a Honda it
01:33:07
◼
►
would still be fine you would not need to put that much money into the engine
01:33:11
◼
►
the entire body would rust off the car before the engine would need any work on
01:33:14
◼
►
Honda. So yeah, so I could go back to Germany, Gullfar, A4, S3 apparently is definitely DSG
01:33:25
◼
►
only, from what I'm being told, so that's eliminated from contention. It's also really
01:33:29
◼
►
overpriced for what you're buying. That's probably true. I forgot to mention the GTI,
01:33:34
◼
►
well I think I mentioned the GTI, I've heard the Performance Pack is phenomenal, the GTI
01:33:39
◼
►
performance pack, however that is also wrong wheel drive. So, so far, still in contention,
01:33:45
◼
►
Focus ST, wrong wheel drive, GTI performance pack, wrong wheel drive, R, German, A4, German,
01:33:51
◼
►
a little bit boring. And then now I get into like the real slim pickins. If I'm willing to go
01:33:57
◼
►
extremely slowly, I could get an Accord, which I cannot option the way I want, or a Mazda 6,
01:34:03
◼
►
which I cannot option the way I want.
01:34:06
◼
►
And then if I'm willing to live inside of my car
01:34:09
◼
►
because I will be divorced and never get to see
01:34:11
◼
►
my wife or child again, I could get a Tesla.
01:34:13
◼
►
- Okay, so here's one of the big questions here is,
01:34:17
◼
►
do you want this to be a car
01:34:19
◼
►
that can comfortably hold your kid?
01:34:21
◼
►
- Sitting here now, yes.
01:34:23
◼
►
That's probably ruining everything,
01:34:25
◼
►
but yeah, we're gonna go with yes on this one.
01:34:27
◼
►
- Because then your only options on this list
01:34:29
◼
►
that can go fast are the Model S, that's it.
01:34:32
◼
►
- No, that's not true.
01:34:33
◼
►
The A4 is-- - The A4 goes plenty fast.
01:34:35
◼
►
- It's about the same speed as my car.
01:34:37
◼
►
It's a little slower, but not too much slower.
01:34:39
◼
►
- Don't do the A4.
01:34:40
◼
►
If you're gonna get-- - And the R, R's fast.
01:34:42
◼
►
- Otherwise I'll get the A4.
01:34:43
◼
►
I think you need to go to a dealer,
01:34:44
◼
►
and Casey needs to go to a dealer and get one of the A4.
01:34:46
◼
►
Now you're not buying, just go in there to look at it.
01:34:49
◼
►
Maybe take a test drive, poke around,
01:34:50
◼
►
you're not even thinking of buying, just check it out.
01:34:52
◼
►
'Cause I feel like Marco's anti-Audi bias is--
01:34:56
◼
►
- No, Audi's great. - Unwarranted.
01:34:57
◼
►
- Audi is great, but BMW's better.
01:34:59
◼
►
It's simple as that.
01:35:00
◼
►
Audi makes great cars.
01:35:01
◼
►
- Not the current ones, not the current 3 Series
01:35:03
◼
►
with the weirdo electric steering and the ugly outsides
01:35:05
◼
►
and the bazillion dollars worth of options.
01:35:08
◼
►
- Well, but I mean, talk about bazillion dollars
01:35:09
◼
►
worth of options, Audi is also the same way
01:35:11
◼
►
about the option pricing and the repair costs
01:35:13
◼
►
and everything else.
01:35:15
◼
►
Basically, in most of the downsides, they're the same,
01:35:18
◼
►
or roughly the same, and I think BMW's upsides are better,
01:35:22
◼
►
basically, I think Audi's are, again, they're nice cars,
01:35:25
◼
►
some of them are really nice cars,
01:35:27
◼
►
But the interior, I've always thought
01:35:30
◼
►
felt noticeably cheaper than BMWs.
01:35:32
◼
►
- I deeply disagree. - The media system
01:35:34
◼
►
is a major step backwards.
01:35:36
◼
►
- I deeply agree. - Yeah. (laughs)
01:35:39
◼
►
And they, I'm actually kind of surprised
01:35:42
◼
►
that they still offer a stick,
01:35:42
◼
►
'cause I think most of their cars,
01:35:43
◼
►
they don't even offer that as an option anymore,
01:35:45
◼
►
although to be fair, BMW is not that different
01:35:46
◼
►
in that regard.
01:35:48
◼
►
So basically-- - So yeah, you can get,
01:35:49
◼
►
you can get an A4 Premium Plus with all-wheel drive,
01:35:54
◼
►
and actually the only available transmission
01:35:57
◼
►
is the six-speed.
01:35:59
◼
►
- It does have CarPlay, by the way.
01:36:00
◼
►
I was just flipping through their website,
01:36:01
◼
►
they got a big screenshot of it.
01:36:02
◼
►
- So there you go.
01:36:03
◼
►
It's not wireless, but it is CarPlay, nevertheless.
01:36:06
◼
►
So that would, so if--
01:36:08
◼
►
- Wait, wait, wait, hold on, the A4, which one?
01:36:10
◼
►
The Premium Plus?
01:36:11
◼
►
- Just the plain old A4.
01:36:12
◼
►
I'm just swapping through the things.
01:36:13
◼
►
- With front-wheel drive or all-wheel drive?
01:36:15
◼
►
- No, all-wheel drive.
01:36:17
◼
►
- Oh, okay, they have that and a stick?
01:36:19
◼
►
- Yeah, that's what I'm saying.
01:36:19
◼
►
- Oh, that's a six-speed manual.
01:36:20
◼
►
- It's basically my car.
01:36:21
◼
►
I mean, it's a, well, it's a four-cylinder turbo,
01:36:23
◼
►
but otherwise it's basically my car,
01:36:24
◼
►
six speed, all wheel drive, et cetera.
01:36:26
◼
►
- I was nowhere that they were still making
01:36:28
◼
►
all wheel drive with stick.
01:36:29
◼
►
That's pretty good.
01:36:30
◼
►
- Well, and I think this is new.
01:36:31
◼
►
I think they just added the manual transmission option
01:36:35
◼
►
like this model year, even though I think the refresh
01:36:37
◼
►
happened months and months ago, maybe even
01:36:39
◼
►
the last model year. - Yeah, that's the thing
01:36:40
◼
►
about the time to get rid of your car.
01:36:42
◼
►
It's not so much whether your car is falling apart,
01:36:44
◼
►
is that the longer you wait, the less chance you have
01:36:46
◼
►
to get any car with a stick.
01:36:47
◼
►
- That's true. - Purely true.
01:36:48
◼
►
- But I mean, you would have some warning
01:36:51
◼
►
when that was going to happen.
01:36:52
◼
►
But anyway, that is in broad strokes, that is true.
01:36:55
◼
►
So I would say for you, I'm telling you as a friend, Casey.
01:37:00
◼
►
- I'm not buying a damn Tesla, Michael.
01:37:02
◼
►
- No, no, I'm telling you as a friend,
01:37:04
◼
►
this is my intervention here.
01:37:05
◼
►
I would rather you buy an overpriced German hatchback than--
01:37:11
◼
►
- Oh, not a hatchback, no.
01:37:13
◼
►
- I would rather you buy an overpriced German hatchback
01:37:16
◼
►
than to have you compromise on what's really important
01:37:19
◼
►
to you and to have you get an Accord or a Mazda.
01:37:22
◼
►
Well that's the thing, the Accord is a nice car.
01:37:25
◼
►
- But what about versus the A4?
01:37:27
◼
►
Why don't you just eliminate that one?
01:37:28
◼
►
I can understand what you're saying,
01:37:29
◼
►
like I'd rather have you get a sporty hatchback
01:37:31
◼
►
than a boring sedan, fine, right?
01:37:33
◼
►
Well I'd rather have you get a sporty hatchback
01:37:34
◼
►
than a sporty sedan, like the A4?
01:37:37
◼
►
- The A4 is fine, you know, you've driven one before, Casey,
01:37:42
◼
►
you know what they are.
01:37:43
◼
►
- Yes, but I haven't driven one of the new ones.
01:37:46
◼
►
The last one I drove was the pre-refresh version,
01:37:49
◼
►
My understanding is a lot changed with this refresh.
01:37:54
◼
►
- Then it's worth, it's definitely worth seeing
01:37:56
◼
►
because as we know, BMW has had some shortcomings
01:37:59
◼
►
with the new 3 Series.
01:38:00
◼
►
- I completely agree with you guys.
01:38:01
◼
►
The A4, absolutely, absolutely worth a look.
01:38:04
◼
►
I think the Golf R would probably be a more exciting car
01:38:08
◼
►
and certainly I'm pretty sure it'd be considerably quicker.
01:38:12
◼
►
But the A4, I think would be sufficient
01:38:15
◼
►
in every metric that I can think to throw at it.
01:38:19
◼
►
- Also expensive to repair and maintain, by the way.
01:38:21
◼
►
- Well, and that's the thing. - You're still shopping
01:38:22
◼
►
in German luxury sedans, and so,
01:38:24
◼
►
but especially if you got it new, you'd have a good--
01:38:27
◼
►
- So here's the question.
01:38:28
◼
►
Would you consider either new financing or leasing,
01:38:31
◼
►
which would then take care of the maintenance issue
01:38:33
◼
►
for the most part, if not entirely?
01:38:35
◼
►
- Yeah, see, I mean, financing, whatever, that's, whatever.
01:38:39
◼
►
- Lease it, do it, just lease it.
01:38:41
◼
►
- I don't wanna lease a car, like, I don't.
01:38:43
◼
►
- 'Cause then when it leases up,
01:38:44
◼
►
you can get a Model 3 if you're lucky.
01:38:46
◼
►
- Well, that's true.
01:38:47
◼
►
So the thing with leasing is, is that in a perfect world,
01:38:51
◼
►
what I want is the situation we have with Aaron's car.
01:38:55
◼
►
Aaron's car has been in the shop for repairs
01:38:58
◼
►
fewer times in the 10 years we've owned it,
01:39:00
◼
►
well, nine and a half at this point,
01:39:02
◼
►
than my car has in the last 10 months.
01:39:04
◼
►
- What is it?
01:39:05
◼
►
A boring, reliable Japanese car.
01:39:07
◼
►
- It's a boring, reliable Japanese car.
01:39:09
◼
►
- It's boring, slow, and reliable.
01:39:11
◼
►
You don't want that.
01:39:12
◼
►
That would crush your soul.
01:39:13
◼
►
- But I want something, it will crush my soul,
01:39:15
◼
►
but I want something that'll last
01:39:16
◼
►
more than 10 frickin' minutes.
01:39:18
◼
►
- You have it, it's called Aaron's car.
01:39:21
◼
►
It's called all my Honda Accords.
01:39:23
◼
►
- Yes, no look, if you want to have a boring, reliable car,
01:39:27
◼
►
there's lots of great options.
01:39:29
◼
►
Pretty much everything from Honda, Toyota,
01:39:31
◼
►
there's lots of good options.
01:39:32
◼
►
- Honda's aren't boring, Toyota's boring.
01:39:33
◼
►
Honda is as exciting as it can be given the horsepower.
01:39:36
◼
►
All right, I'm not saying this is,
01:39:37
◼
►
this is, have you got a powerful engine in it?
01:39:41
◼
►
- It's a thinking man's BMW, Raves Car and Driver.
01:39:47
◼
►
Okay, but anyway.
01:39:49
◼
►
- Test drive one of those anyway.
01:39:50
◼
►
You won't be able to find a stick to test drive,
01:39:51
◼
►
but you should, well, I don't know.
01:39:53
◼
►
Maybe next time you visit,
01:39:54
◼
►
you can test drive mine and see what it's like.
01:39:56
◼
►
- I mean, the thought has crossed my mind
01:39:58
◼
►
that maybe it is worth testing it,
01:39:59
◼
►
'cause, oh my God, it's just, it's bananas that all,
01:40:03
◼
►
I mean, okay, I understand that what I'm about to say
01:40:06
◼
►
is a bit preposterous, but all I want is a six-speed,
01:40:10
◼
►
not front-wheel drive car with four doors
01:40:14
◼
►
that gets to 60 in less than six seconds
01:40:18
◼
►
that will last for more than 60,000 miles.
01:40:20
◼
►
Is that so much to ask?
01:40:22
◼
►
- How fast is this A4?
01:40:24
◼
►
- I think five and a half-ish, something like that.
01:40:26
◼
►
It's actually much quicker than one would think.
01:40:28
◼
►
- I mean, you can go to the S4 if you want more out of it.
01:40:31
◼
►
It's a lot more money though, right?
01:40:32
◼
►
- I certainly wouldn't be doing that new, for sure.
01:40:35
◼
►
- So here's the thing.
01:40:36
◼
►
Look, I mean, this is one of those
01:40:38
◼
►
project management triangle situations.
01:40:40
◼
►
- It is, it is.
01:40:41
◼
►
- For what you want, basically you have to either pick
01:40:45
◼
►
like fast but crappy, or like slow but nice,
01:40:50
◼
►
or use and expensive to maintain.
01:40:54
◼
►
It's like you have to pick one of these things.
01:40:57
◼
►
Or you raise the budget and you get divorced.
01:41:00
◼
►
I mean one of these things has to budge,
01:41:04
◼
►
or you have to be willing to tolerate something
01:41:07
◼
►
that you don't want to tolerate right now.
01:41:09
◼
►
So whether that is the shame of driving an Audi,
01:41:13
◼
►
or whether it's-- - It's not shameful.
01:41:15
◼
►
- Whether it's spending more than you wanted to spend,
01:41:18
◼
►
or whether it's having more high-priced maintenance
01:41:20
◼
►
down the road, or giving up your entire soul
01:41:23
◼
►
and driving an Accord.
01:41:26
◼
►
And I say this as somebody who bought an Accord at one time
01:41:28
◼
►
and enjoyed it for a couple years.
01:41:30
◼
►
- Opportunity costs, think about how much,
01:41:31
◼
►
what you could buy with the money you save
01:41:33
◼
►
buying the Accord and how much happier that would make you.
01:41:35
◼
►
- Is there anything that would make Casey happier
01:41:37
◼
►
than a fast car, Jon?
01:41:38
◼
►
Come on. - Yeah, that's the thing.
01:41:39
◼
►
- I understand what you're driving at, but--
01:41:42
◼
►
- This is Casey we're talking about.
01:41:44
◼
►
- How about college education for your children?
01:41:46
◼
►
Just saying.
01:41:47
◼
►
- This is not gonna make or break
01:41:48
◼
►
Declan's college education for 26.
01:41:50
◼
►
- Right, so therefore, I think basically
01:41:53
◼
►
you have a tough decision to make.
01:41:55
◼
►
Jon will push you towards the Accord.
01:41:57
◼
►
- I'm pushing him towards the Audi.
01:42:00
◼
►
I'm just saying the Accord isn't as bad
01:42:01
◼
►
as you make it out to be, but he wants something faster,
01:42:04
◼
►
so the Accord isn't it, so try the Audi.
01:42:06
◼
►
- Oh yeah, basically since none of the three
01:42:09
◼
►
of us have driven the current generation,
01:42:11
◼
►
apparently the newest A4.
01:42:13
◼
►
Yeah, I guess I've come around.
01:42:14
◼
►
I think you should try that because I do find
01:42:18
◼
►
the F generation of BMWs, the F30 generation of BMWs
01:42:22
◼
►
to be pretty underwhelming in a lot of ways.
01:42:24
◼
►
And as you mentioned, quite expensive for what you get.
01:42:27
◼
►
That being said, so is the Audi.
01:42:29
◼
►
However, I think it's certainly worth trying.
01:42:32
◼
►
- Well, but let's go build one.
01:42:34
◼
►
We can keep talking, but let's build an Audi.
01:42:36
◼
►
I started down that path and I got sidetracked.
01:42:37
◼
►
- It looks like there is currently no S4.
01:42:40
◼
►
Is it between update generations, 'cause I just did the A4?
01:42:44
◼
►
- I think that's correct.
01:42:45
◼
►
What color would I get?
01:42:46
◼
►
Let me turn off flux and blind myself.
01:42:48
◼
►
- I don't know what color you would get.
01:42:50
◼
►
- Shut up. - That would be a very--
01:42:51
◼
►
- God, you're such a jerk.
01:42:53
◼
►
- I don't know how to even consider picking a color for you.
01:42:56
◼
►
- You gotta get with the program.
01:42:57
◼
►
It's the year of the red car.
01:42:59
◼
►
So that's what you gotta do, right?
01:43:01
◼
►
- Oh, is it?
01:43:02
◼
►
Okay, we can go red.
01:43:03
◼
►
- Marco got a red car, I got a red car, come on.
01:43:06
◼
►
- I'm not sure how this looks in red.
01:43:07
◼
►
- It looks okay, but I wonder if we see what else.
01:43:10
◼
►
Audi historically makes a very good premium black.
01:43:13
◼
►
- That is a nice black, actually.
01:43:14
◼
►
I can't do a black car, stop, stop, I can't do a black car.
01:43:17
◼
►
- I mean, look, they have like four different shades of white.
01:43:20
◼
►
Literally, they have, let's see,
01:43:22
◼
►
there's Glacier White Metallic,
01:43:24
◼
►
there's Florit Silver, which is so light,
01:43:25
◼
►
it's basically matte, it's basically white,
01:43:27
◼
►
there's Cuvee Silver, which is kind of champagne,
01:43:30
◼
►
but almost white, there's Ibis White, which is another white,
01:43:34
◼
►
and there's Monsoon Gray, which is a pretty light gray,
01:43:36
◼
►
almost white.
01:43:37
◼
►
So maybe this actually is your brand.
01:43:39
◼
►
Maybe all these years talking about BMWs
01:43:41
◼
►
that we've been wrong all this time
01:43:43
◼
►
and you actually wanted a brand that has
01:43:45
◼
►
five different shades of white on it
01:43:46
◼
►
and every new car to choose from.
01:43:49
◼
►
- The 19 inch wheels because I'm an idiot.
01:43:51
◼
►
- No, no, no, you gotta pick the Sport Plus package.
01:43:53
◼
►
Go with 18 because the 19s don't look that much better
01:43:56
◼
►
than 18s and the ride will be better than 18s.
01:43:59
◼
►
- You're such an old man.
01:44:00
◼
►
- No, I'm just serious.
01:44:01
◼
►
- He's right.
01:44:02
◼
►
- What do you, it's one inch difference.
01:44:03
◼
►
You're not gonna be able to eyeball it.
01:44:05
◼
►
It's not like, you'll just have to deal with the fact
01:44:07
◼
►
that your wheels are smaller than mine, but it'll be fine.
01:44:09
◼
►
- Oh, listen to this guy.
01:44:11
◼
►
- But see, and here's the thing though,
01:44:12
◼
►
like performance-wise, you're roughly in like
01:44:15
◼
►
the 328 category of performance here,
01:44:17
◼
►
but you're spending like $45,000 at least.
01:44:22
◼
►
- That's the thing, like price-wise,
01:44:24
◼
►
I think it's pretty much the same as BMW.
01:44:27
◼
►
Like once you option it up the way you want it,
01:44:29
◼
►
you're like, they're both very expensive
01:44:32
◼
►
for what you're getting.
01:44:33
◼
►
That doesn't mean you shouldn't do it.
01:44:34
◼
►
As you know, I often argue on the other side of this.
01:44:37
◼
►
But I'm just pointing out that this is not a great value
01:44:40
◼
►
compared to BMW, it's gonna be about the same,
01:44:42
◼
►
in the same ballpark.
01:44:44
◼
►
- Doesn't, of course it doesn't mention the zero to 60 time,
01:44:46
◼
►
why would it?
01:44:46
◼
►
I could swear I read it-- - 5.7 seconds.
01:44:48
◼
►
It's in the technical specification.
01:44:48
◼
►
- Oh there you go, I was gonna say, okay.
01:44:50
◼
►
I thought it was around five and a half.
01:44:51
◼
►
- I mean, that's good, but is that $50,000 in 2017 good?
01:44:56
◼
►
- Yeah, see now I'm coming back to the Golf R.
01:44:59
◼
►
Let's see, where is that?
01:45:03
◼
►
- You're too old for this car.
01:45:04
◼
►
- No, I'm not.
01:45:05
◼
►
- Like, how far?
01:45:06
◼
►
Yeah, you're too old for this.
01:45:07
◼
►
- No, I'm not.
01:45:08
◼
►
Our friend Brad has one, and he's not too old for it.
01:45:11
◼
►
Well, we're all the same age, but he's not.
01:45:13
◼
►
- He pulls it off.
01:45:13
◼
►
We wouldn't pull it off.
01:45:15
◼
►
- You make a good point, actually.
01:45:18
◼
►
- He's also a lot cooler than us.
01:45:20
◼
►
He lives in California.
01:45:21
◼
►
Like, he can pull that off.
01:45:25
◼
►
- You know, if you wanna go two doors,
01:45:27
◼
►
speaking of jamming your kid in the back,
01:45:29
◼
►
the Accord Coupe does 0.60 in 5.6 seconds.
01:45:32
◼
►
I do not want to go two door.
01:45:34
◼
►
Is the Volkswagen site not working for you or are my bananas?
01:45:37
◼
►
- Volkswagen doesn't work for me.
01:45:38
◼
►
- They're just gonna come out.
01:45:39
◼
►
Oh, stop you.
01:45:41
◼
►
- What about the last item on this list?
01:45:42
◼
►
- Which one is that?
01:45:43
◼
►
- The divorce option? - The Tesla?
01:45:45
◼
►
- Yeah, it's just not.
01:45:47
◼
►
It's $100,000, Marco.
01:45:49
◼
►
I could buy two A4s.
01:45:50
◼
►
- What about a used Model S?
01:45:52
◼
►
You can get a used Model S for 50K?
01:45:55
◼
►
- That's where things get interesting.
01:45:57
◼
►
- Buy it from MKBHD, I don't think he wants it anymore.
01:46:00
◼
►
When you talk about maintenance costs,
01:46:03
◼
►
I would definitely not wanna keep a Model S
01:46:06
◼
►
past the big battery powertrain warranty,
01:46:08
◼
►
but I think that's 100,000 miles.
01:46:11
◼
►
So if you get one that's right off lease,
01:46:13
◼
►
that's like 30-ish k miles,
01:46:16
◼
►
then it would probably need almost no work
01:46:21
◼
►
for the next five years,
01:46:23
◼
►
until you really wanted to,
01:46:25
◼
►
until the mileage started getting really high,
01:46:26
◼
►
and then you would probably trade it in
01:46:28
◼
►
for something else at that point.
01:46:29
◼
►
But because like, you know, there are used model Ss,
01:46:34
◼
►
there aren't a lot of them because three years ago,
01:46:36
◼
►
they weren't selling that many.
01:46:38
◼
►
So, you know, there aren't many of them to choose from,
01:46:40
◼
►
but they do come in, they are usually like,
01:46:42
◼
►
you know, you have to like call the dealer sometimes,
01:46:44
◼
►
like they're not usually gonna be--
01:46:45
◼
►
- Well no, they have a list.
01:46:46
◼
►
- Okay, there you go.
01:46:47
◼
►
- I put it in the chat, but the problem is,
01:46:49
◼
►
there's no 90 Ds, which is what you and Underscore have,
01:46:53
◼
►
and I think would be a perfectly reasonable--
01:46:55
◼
►
- Well, the 90 only existed for like a year and a half.
01:46:58
◼
►
- Okay, well there you go.
01:46:59
◼
►
So what you'd be looking at maybe would be the 85D,
01:47:01
◼
►
but all of the Ds, all the dual-motor ones
01:47:05
◼
►
have only existed for I think about two years or so.
01:47:08
◼
►
- So the problem is I would want the dual-motor
01:47:10
◼
►
for the acceleration,
01:47:11
◼
►
not because I necessarily need all-wheel drive.
01:47:13
◼
►
- It is better, I mean, just in general.
01:47:15
◼
►
The dual-motor was a substantial improvement to the car,
01:47:17
◼
►
so you do want that.
01:47:18
◼
►
- So P85D, the cheapest one they have is 80 grand.
01:47:23
◼
►
So I could buy--
01:47:23
◼
►
- That's the P model, that's the one that's new
01:47:25
◼
►
for like $130,000.
01:47:26
◼
►
- That's the cheapest, the first entry they have
01:47:29
◼
►
that has dual motor is the P85D for 80 grand
01:47:32
◼
►
with 15,000 miles.
01:47:34
◼
►
- That's kind of awesome.
01:47:35
◼
►
- What do you mean that's kind of awesome?
01:47:38
◼
►
That's $80,000.
01:47:38
◼
►
- Do you know how fast that is?
01:47:40
◼
►
That's the one that I test drew
01:47:42
◼
►
and I felt like it was getting smacked in the face
01:47:44
◼
►
and I said no, this is too fast.
01:47:46
◼
►
- I understand that.
01:47:46
◼
►
- It was a P85D.
01:47:47
◼
►
- But you're talking about, I could almost buy an A4
01:47:50
◼
►
and a Golf R for one of these.
01:47:53
◼
►
I can't justify it.
01:47:53
◼
►
- Or five accords.
01:47:55
◼
►
- Or five accords, I can't justify it, I can't.
01:47:58
◼
►
I'm not saying you're wrong, but--
01:47:59
◼
►
- There's a 70D on here for 67,000.
01:48:02
◼
►
- You could drive a different accord
01:48:03
◼
►
on every day of the week.
01:48:07
◼
►
- Oh my god, that 70D is a hideous color though.
01:48:13
◼
►
- Yes it is, that weird like champagne,
01:48:15
◼
►
it's like you spilled some champagne into some snow slush.
01:48:20
◼
►
- I've seen more of the little mustache Model S's
01:48:24
◼
►
and they've really grown on me
01:48:25
◼
►
and now I like it better than the fish mouth.
01:48:27
◼
►
- Get out of here.
01:48:28
◼
►
- They look less hideous to me now,
01:48:30
◼
►
but they still look weird.
01:48:31
◼
►
Like I'm sure I'll like,
01:48:32
◼
►
by the time it's time for me to renew my lease,
01:48:35
◼
►
I will be okay with it,
01:48:36
◼
►
but it's still weird right now.
01:48:38
◼
►
- Yeah, I mean, it's worse in white obviously, right?
01:48:41
◼
►
But, or in lighter colors,
01:48:42
◼
►
but it's turned me around having seen them.
01:48:44
◼
►
Now when I see one of the old ones, I go, ugh.
01:48:47
◼
►
I mean, I never really liked the big ball gag,
01:48:48
◼
►
but the pinch nose,
01:48:50
◼
►
the pinch nose looks better in real life
01:48:54
◼
►
than a dozen photos.
01:48:55
◼
►
- Oh man, I disagree.
01:48:56
◼
►
I've seen it a couple times, it is not good.
01:48:59
◼
►
- The point is, this is a lot to choose from already,
01:49:01
◼
►
and because the dual model versions have only existed
01:49:05
◼
►
for like a year and a half or two years,
01:49:07
◼
►
there's probably about to be lots of them coming in
01:49:12
◼
►
like in inventory over the next year.
01:49:15
◼
►
It is certainly worth considering heavily.
01:49:19
◼
►
I'm not gonna necessarily say
01:49:21
◼
►
that you should definitely do this,
01:49:22
◼
►
but it solves a lot of problems.
01:49:25
◼
►
- It solves a lot of problems.
01:49:27
◼
►
- It is faster than everything else you're looking at,
01:49:29
◼
►
first of all.
01:49:30
◼
►
It is way lower maintenance in all likelihood,
01:49:34
◼
►
especially the newer you go,
01:49:36
◼
►
once you're into the D generation,
01:49:38
◼
►
they iron out a lot of the early problems,
01:49:40
◼
►
and when you're still covered under the warranty,
01:49:42
◼
►
that solves everything right there.
01:49:43
◼
►
You pay something like, I think it's like 500 bucks a year
01:49:47
◼
►
for this giant, big inspection they do every year,
01:49:49
◼
►
but that's it, that's your entire total maintenance cost.
01:49:52
◼
►
Until I need to spend $20,000 to replace all the batteries because whatever one I am hypothetically buying has between 15 and 30
01:49:59
◼
►
Thousand miles on it. I think it's like 10 years. It's it's really far into it
01:50:03
◼
►
It's basically you don't really keep the car that long. That's the answer to that question
01:50:07
◼
►
You remember that I'm telling you that Aaron's car is nine and a half years old almost everything you're looking at
01:50:13
◼
►
You're all these pics. You're not gonna keep those pics for 10 years
01:50:18
◼
►
Like not none of them you're gonna you're you will you will own none of those when they are 10 years old
01:50:22
◼
►
Some of the accord obviously you will own none of those when they're 8 years old
01:50:25
◼
►
How old how old is your car now like six or something? It's not even that old, right? It was
01:50:30
◼
►
Delivered to the original owner in December of 2010 if I remember right? Yeah, so it's six
01:50:36
◼
►
Mm-hmm, and it's already so expensive to maintain that you're trying to get rid of it
01:50:39
◼
►
Yeah, but that's because I didn't buy a boring Japanese car. That's the problem, right?
01:50:43
◼
►
And so my point is, you're gonna have high maintenance costs
01:50:46
◼
►
on all of the cars in this list.
01:50:48
◼
►
Any car that you're gonna be happy driving,
01:50:50
◼
►
that's not gonna crush your soul and ruin you as a person,
01:50:52
◼
►
you are going to have high maintenance costs
01:50:54
◼
►
if you wanna keep it past year like six or seven, basically.
01:50:58
◼
►
It's probably about as far as you can go
01:51:00
◼
►
without things getting a little too crazy.
01:51:02
◼
►
You're gonna have to pay a lot for every car.
01:51:05
◼
►
None of them are particularly good investments or values.
01:51:09
◼
►
No matter how you own a car, you're gonna pay a lot.
01:51:12
◼
►
Because you want a fast car, you're gonna pay more.
01:51:17
◼
►
Simple as that, no matter how you slice it,
01:51:19
◼
►
no matter how you arrange it,
01:51:20
◼
►
no matter whether you buy new or used or lease,
01:51:22
◼
►
whether you get bitten by bad maintenance luck
01:51:25
◼
►
like you did with this one or whether you don't,
01:51:27
◼
►
no matter what, there is no way
01:51:30
◼
►
to continuously drive fast cars
01:51:34
◼
►
without spending a ton of money on them.
01:51:37
◼
►
This is a place you have chosen to spend your money.
01:51:41
◼
►
You are an adult, you are a good person,
01:51:44
◼
►
you make a decent living, you can do that.
01:51:46
◼
►
It's totally fine.
01:51:47
◼
►
You don't indulge yourself in very many other things.
01:51:50
◼
►
This is what you do.
01:51:53
◼
►
- This is the sound of the devil
01:51:54
◼
►
that's on Marco's shoulder all the time.
01:51:55
◼
►
- I know, right?
01:51:56
◼
►
You are the best worst influence.
01:51:58
◼
►
- It's on both of his shoulders,
01:51:59
◼
►
he doesn't have an angel in one,
01:52:00
◼
►
it's just two little devils saying this to Marco constantly.
01:52:02
◼
►
- Yeah, you are the best worst influence in the world.
01:52:05
◼
►
- Like, this matters a lot to you.
01:52:08
◼
►
You get a lot of joy out of this.
01:52:10
◼
►
You take a lot of your life happiness
01:52:12
◼
►
from driving a nice fast car.
01:52:15
◼
►
- Which actually maybe makes me wonder
01:52:17
◼
►
if my priorities are screwed up,
01:52:19
◼
►
but I understand what you're saying.
01:52:19
◼
►
- No, look, everyone has something like this, you know?
01:52:22
◼
►
Be happy that yours is something
01:52:24
◼
►
relatively harmless like this and not like drugs.
01:52:26
◼
►
A lot of people's devices are way worse than this.
01:52:30
◼
►
- Drugs are Mac Pros.
01:52:34
◼
►
I mean, on the plus side,
01:52:36
◼
►
I don't like expensive watches, yet.
01:52:38
◼
►
- Yeah, exactly.
01:52:39
◼
►
That's way worse.
01:52:40
◼
►
- Seriously, it could be so much worse.
01:52:42
◼
►
Just look at Marco.
01:52:44
◼
►
It could be way worse.
01:52:45
◼
►
So what I'm saying basically is like--
01:52:46
◼
►
- Or look at Sam Penns for crying out loud.
01:52:49
◼
►
- So basically what I'm saying is,
01:52:51
◼
►
don't feel guilty that you like nice fast cars,
01:52:56
◼
►
and don't try to talk yourself down
01:52:58
◼
►
from what you really want.
01:53:00
◼
►
Because a car, it's a long-term choice.
01:53:03
◼
►
You have to make this decision,
01:53:04
◼
►
and you have to be driving whatever you pick.
01:53:06
◼
►
That's gonna be your car for the next at least few years.
01:53:09
◼
►
And so it matters a lot.
01:53:11
◼
►
You shouldn't talk yourself down
01:53:13
◼
►
out of like, you know, Casey's self-doubt.
01:53:17
◼
►
Like, let your friends encourage you, at least this one,
01:53:21
◼
►
don't listen to that one talking about something
01:53:23
◼
►
foreign Japanese, listen to this friend encourage you.
01:53:26
◼
►
- Tell them to go test drive an A4,
01:53:27
◼
►
that's what I tell them to do.
01:53:28
◼
►
- I think that's fair, I think test driving an A4
01:53:30
◼
►
is reasonable, I think if I were a betting man
01:53:32
◼
►
I'd probably get the Gullfar,
01:53:34
◼
►
because it's the least amount of compromise all in all.
01:53:37
◼
►
Basically the only thing I'm compromising on
01:53:39
◼
►
is I don't really want a hatchback,
01:53:41
◼
►
although there is some convenience that comes from it.
01:53:43
◼
►
- That's a big thing.
01:53:44
◼
►
- But-- - Interior quality's
01:53:47
◼
►
gonna be worse than the A4 by a lot.
01:53:49
◼
►
- I don't think it'll be a lot.
01:53:50
◼
►
Now, I have not sat in a Golf in a long time,
01:53:54
◼
►
but people that are friends of mine
01:53:56
◼
►
that are also car nuts swear by Volkswagen interiors
01:54:01
◼
►
and by proxy Audi as well.
01:54:03
◼
►
I happen to like BMW interiors.
01:54:05
◼
►
I happen to like the way BMWs think
01:54:07
◼
►
because I think the same way.
01:54:09
◼
►
And I'm trying to figure out what a specific thing
01:54:14
◼
►
I can cite, I don't have any off the top of my head.
01:54:16
◼
►
But iDrive has always made sense to me, stuff like that.
01:54:20
◼
►
But everything I've understood is that
01:54:23
◼
►
Volkswagen gets interiors right.
01:54:25
◼
►
You can debate the exteriors, you can debate a lot of things.
01:54:27
◼
►
You can debate whether or not they make diesels
01:54:29
◼
►
that get more than four miles a gallon.
01:54:32
◼
►
But they do interiors right, from what I'm told.
01:54:36
◼
►
And I mean, I think the plan is,
01:54:38
◼
►
if I'm really serious about this, which I think I am,
01:54:40
◼
►
the plan is first to get Erin a car
01:54:42
◼
►
because she needs one worse and she's next in line.
01:54:46
◼
►
But after that, test drive a Golf R, test drive an A4,
01:54:50
◼
►
and that's probably the entire,
01:54:51
◼
►
may I probably test drive a Focus ST just to see?
01:54:55
◼
►
But it's probably one of these.
01:54:57
◼
►
- So may I suggest an alternative?
01:54:59
◼
►
So you are prepared to spend probably $50,000
01:55:05
◼
►
$10,000 on a nice a4
01:55:07
◼
►
potentially yes potentially okay, the a4 is
01:55:11
◼
►
Pretty much what you have now
01:55:15
◼
►
It's moving you to the the newest version of what you're already driving with a different shape logo on the front
01:55:21
◼
►
It is it is not an upgrade. It is not probably a downgrade in any meaningful way slightly
01:55:27
◼
►
It's gonna be a little bit slower if that's where I end up. Okay, so we actually getting slower. Okay, right
01:55:31
◼
►
Okay, you're losing a couple cylinders, etc. Okay
01:55:34
◼
►
That's about $50,000 to do that
01:55:36
◼
►
For 55 you could have a brand new fully loaded m2
01:55:44
◼
►
Stop with that noise the problem is the waiting list for an m2 is the waiting list for an m2 is like two years
01:55:49
◼
►
My car will be exploded by then think at the m235i close enough
01:55:53
◼
►
Look the BMWs are really nice cars when you don't have to pay to maintain them. Well, that's true
01:55:58
◼
►
Like doing is punting my problem down the road. I'm kicking the yeah
01:56:02
◼
►
- Yeah, so look, I mean, I know you.
01:56:05
◼
►
As much as I want you to drive a Tesla,
01:56:08
◼
►
I know that your left foot would fall off
01:56:11
◼
►
and you'd be upset.
01:56:12
◼
►
As much as I want you to have something nice and fast
01:56:17
◼
►
that is a little, nice and fast in other ways,
01:56:19
◼
►
like your little like, you know,
01:56:21
◼
►
GTI and R and Focus options, I can't let you do that.
01:56:25
◼
►
I just can't let you drive a hatchback.
01:56:27
◼
►
You're too old for that.
01:56:28
◼
►
That's, you're done with that.
01:56:30
◼
►
- I realize all of Europe, any age group,
01:56:33
◼
►
drives a hatchback. - It's different.
01:56:33
◼
►
Europe is different, California is different.
01:56:36
◼
►
We live here on the East Coast,
01:56:37
◼
►
and we are boring geeks in our 30s.
01:56:39
◼
►
You can't drive a hatchback.
01:56:40
◼
►
- I can drive a hatchback. - You have a kid,
01:56:41
◼
►
for Christ's sake, you can't, no.
01:56:43
◼
►
All right, so that's out.
01:56:45
◼
►
The A4 is a great car, I'm sure.
01:56:49
◼
►
It doesn't, does it not have a six cylinder option anymore?
01:56:53
◼
►
Is that not a thing? - No, it does not.
01:56:55
◼
►
- Okay, maybe when the S4 comes back, presumably.
01:56:57
◼
►
- Probably is. - But that would then be
01:56:59
◼
►
more money than this, I bet.
01:57:00
◼
►
What you really want, deep down in your heart,
01:57:05
◼
►
what you really want is a six-speed rear-wheel drive BMW.
01:57:12
◼
►
- It's, well, I want it until the moment
01:57:14
◼
►
that the warranty runs out,
01:57:16
◼
►
and then I need to get something different again.
01:57:18
◼
►
- If only there is a way to have a car
01:57:21
◼
►
where you're always under warranty.
01:57:22
◼
►
- Stop, stop.
01:57:24
◼
►
God, the white M2 is hideous.
01:57:26
◼
►
- You get the blue one, right?
01:57:28
◼
►
I think you'd have to get the blue one.
01:57:29
◼
►
- Oh, absolutely.
01:57:30
◼
►
You absolutely get long beach blue.
01:57:30
◼
►
- When I priced yours out here just now,
01:57:32
◼
►
I picked the blue one for you.
01:57:34
◼
►
'Cause I also, surprisingly,
01:57:36
◼
►
I also think the white is hideous.
01:57:37
◼
►
And I think black is a little bit boring for that car.
01:57:40
◼
►
So yeah, I think blue is the only option for that car.
01:57:43
◼
►
You could also do the M240i,
01:57:45
◼
►
which is very good in itself.
01:57:47
◼
►
- I've driven the M235, a friend at work has one,
01:57:50
◼
►
and it was phenomenal.
01:57:53
◼
►
- Rear wheel drive M240i is only 46.
01:57:57
◼
►
It's like 10,000 less.
01:57:59
◼
►
That is interesting.
01:58:00
◼
►
- That's actually a pretty good compromise
01:58:02
◼
►
if I don't mind never being able to put Declan in the car.
01:58:05
◼
►
- I mean, you could.
01:58:06
◼
►
It's a two-door. - Yeah, sure.
01:58:07
◼
►
- It would suck, you could, but you wouldn't want this
01:58:10
◼
►
if you were gonna do that a lot.
01:58:12
◼
►
But really, what you would be happiest with
01:58:16
◼
►
is probably something like this.
01:58:18
◼
►
It's probably not settling for a Volkswagen group
01:58:21
◼
►
made hatchback, and the A4 would be fine,
01:58:25
◼
►
except it's pretty much a sideways step.
01:58:27
◼
►
It's, you're getting what you already had
01:58:30
◼
►
and actually slightly slower
01:58:32
◼
►
'cause you're losing a couple cylinders.
01:58:33
◼
►
BMW makes good cars that you like a lot.
01:58:36
◼
►
They just suck to maintain.
01:58:37
◼
►
- You know, the thing that pisses me off,
01:58:40
◼
►
so I just priced my M2 and I came up with 55, 202.
01:58:44
◼
►
But the thing that really pisses me off about it
01:58:45
◼
►
in the summary page, it says you're M2 coupe
01:58:47
◼
►
and there's a panoramic view that you can,
01:58:50
◼
►
well, a quasi-panoramic view of the car
01:58:52
◼
►
and man, does it look good.
01:58:53
◼
►
But right under that, estimated lease $829,
01:58:56
◼
►
MSRP is billed 55,202.
01:58:58
◼
►
The next item on the list, 060, 4.1 seconds.
01:59:03
◼
►
Like, you get me, BMW.
01:59:04
◼
►
You really get me. - Yes.
01:59:06
◼
►
- Ugh, I can't do another BMW.
01:59:09
◼
►
I'm so angry about it right now.
01:59:10
◼
►
I just can't.
01:59:12
◼
►
I'm over it.
01:59:12
◼
►
- Wait, cool off, run some numbers,
01:59:15
◼
►
and consider all your options, really.
01:59:17
◼
►
Like, don't rule anything out
01:59:19
◼
►
unless it wouldn't make you happy to drive.
01:59:22
◼
►
Then rule it out.
01:59:23
◼
►
So goodbye Accord, goodbye Mazda, sorry.
01:59:27
◼
►
I'm not sure the A4 would make me terribly happy,
01:59:29
◼
►
but it's worth a shot.
01:59:30
◼
►
- Right, exactly!
01:59:31
◼
►
You're actually getting slower than your current car.
01:59:34
◼
►
That's what I'm saying.
01:59:35
◼
►
During the good days,
01:59:39
◼
►
when you've been owning your wonderful white BMW,
01:59:42
◼
►
during these good days, were you ever thinking
01:59:44
◼
►
that your next car would be slower?
01:59:47
◼
►
- Oh, certainly not.
01:59:48
◼
►
- Right, exactly!
01:59:49
◼
►
You were thinking, "Man, this is a great car,
01:59:51
◼
►
"and my next one's gonna be even faster."
01:59:53
◼
►
You were thinking about getting an M3 next.
01:59:54
◼
►
And I totally agree with you
01:59:56
◼
►
that the current M3 is ridiculously expensive
01:59:59
◼
►
and is probably not the right move.
02:00:01
◼
►
But, and also it sounds just disgusting.
02:00:06
◼
►
There's now finally enough of them in the world
02:00:08
◼
►
that I'm starting to see and hear more of them in real life.
02:00:11
◼
►
My goodness, is that a hideous sounding car.
02:00:14
◼
►
But the M2 isn't.
02:00:15
◼
►
The M2 sounds nice and is kind of like
02:00:17
◼
►
what the M3 should be but isn't.
02:00:20
◼
►
the M2 is a good car.
02:00:22
◼
►
I really think that you should consider it.
02:00:25
◼
►
And if not the M2, then the M240,
02:00:27
◼
►
which is very, it's also very good.
02:00:30
◼
►
- I'm not gonna do that.
02:00:31
◼
►
I'm not gonna get a coupe.
02:00:32
◼
►
It's not gonna happen.
02:00:33
◼
►
- I mean, it's kind of like a sedan,
02:00:35
◼
►
just with the doors removed.
02:00:37
◼
►
But you're riding at sedan height,
02:00:39
◼
►
you're not on the floor like you are in an S2000.
02:00:42
◼
►
You're riding at sedan height,
02:00:43
◼
►
you're roughly sedan shaped,
02:00:46
◼
►
you have similar sedan weight distributions,
02:00:49
◼
►
Or say screw it and get an M3 and just be done with it
02:00:51
◼
►
and just never drive it near my house
02:00:53
◼
►
so I don't have to hear it.
02:00:55
◼
►
- Wow, there's no way I'd get an M3.
02:00:57
◼
►
No frickin' way, not a chance.
02:00:59
◼
►
I'm pretty much telling myself I will not buy another BMW,
02:01:03
◼
►
if ever, at least next.
02:01:05
◼
►
I'm just not gonna do it.
02:01:06
◼
►
I can't bring myself to it.
02:01:08
◼
►
- Then you can get a worse car for you, that's fine, but--
02:01:11
◼
►
- I'm telling, what is worse about a Golf R?
02:01:13
◼
►
What is worse?
02:01:15
◼
►
the size, the refinement, the interior.
02:01:19
◼
►
- The only thing that's worse about the Golf
02:01:22
◼
►
is for people who hate hatchbacks.
02:01:24
◼
►
But, Carl and Casey doesn't.
02:01:26
◼
►
- No, I hate them, but I don't like them, too.
02:01:28
◼
►
- And so, that eliminates my main objection
02:01:31
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to the Golf is that it's a hatchback.
02:01:32
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Every other aspect of it,
02:01:34
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sounds like Casey would have fun with it.
02:01:36
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And he's somehow not bothered by driving around in a rabbit,
02:01:39
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so that's fine.
02:01:40
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You're such a jerk.
02:01:41
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- No, Casey, look, you need to forgive yourself.
02:01:45
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Let yourself get something nice.
02:01:47
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- We need to forgive him for getting a hatchback.
02:01:48
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That's what we need to do.
02:01:49
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- He needs to forgive himself for getting a hatchback.
02:01:51
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- $40,472 for a brand new Golf R.
02:01:55
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- You could also, although if you do get that,
02:01:57
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we'll have to have like a seminar
02:01:58
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on how to pronounce the name of the car.
02:02:00
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- What are you, are you a golf person?
02:02:02
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What do you mean? - No, he keeps saying
02:02:03
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like the of Mexico, blank of Mexico.
02:02:05
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That's what he keeps saying,
02:02:06
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but that's not the name of the car.
02:02:09
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(door slams)