178: Mama Needs That Pokémon
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So you go back to your car analogy.
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- That's terrible, I'm gonna cut it.
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- Well, no, but--
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- You're gonna cut it, I was gonna say bad things
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about your analogy, but now you're just gonna edit it
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out of existence.
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- Yeah, I always edit out jokes that don't land.
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That's the privilege of being the editor.
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- All right, so we should start
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with some follow-up as always.
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There are approximately seven hackintosh users
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on the planet, and every single one of them has written us
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to tell us how it's possible to get everything to work,
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asterisk, dagger, double dagger, double asterisk.
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**Matt Stauffer** We got some people also writing in saying,
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"Oh, I've had, you know, all your worries are founded. I have a hackintosh and I ran into all
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the problems you described and it's kind of a pain." But other people are like, "Not a pain at
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all. I got everything to worry about. You just got to follow the right guides and do the right
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things and flash the right stuff and wait for the drivers to be updated with each update." And
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it's not a problem. I mean, these are two sets of people describing the exact same situation.
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It's just that from one person's perspective,
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oh, you just do this series of steps and everything,
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And the other person's perspective,
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oh, you gotta do these series of steps
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before everything's fine.
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Like it's the same situation, right?
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It just all depends on how you look at it
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and if it's something that you enjoy doing
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or something that you would find a hassle.
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- If we could kind of pick a theme of what we heard,
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we were pretty much correct about the trade-offs
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about it is a pain sometimes for most people.
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How much of a pain it ends up being for you
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depends a lot on your component choices
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and that if you follow these guides
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and if you choose exactly the components they say
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and if you don't have special needs or requirements,
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oh, I have to make this other WiFi card work
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'cause that's the one I have or whatever else.
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If you're willing to buy exactly the right components,
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if you're willing to buy all new components to do this,
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it's probably a lot easier
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and you'll have an easier time with it.
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But if you're trying to get it running
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on components you already had for other reasons,
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you might have a harder time.
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I think that's a pretty good summary actually.
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Charles Perry wrote in and he had said, "Hey, you know, you guys joked about Apple Store
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employees not knowing about the Mac Mini.
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That actually happened to me.
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In September of 2015, I was at the Apple Store and I told the salesperson that I wanted to
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buy a Mac Mini and I got a blank stare and reply.
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The salesperson had never heard of it for real."
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So that is the thing that has actually happened.
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That's awesome.
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I always wonder about like the kind of training they get.
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Like I thought every Apple, well, I used to do it
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like they would fly you off to Cupertino
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and give you this whole training course
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and like you'd be briefed on Apple's entire line.
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And it's the type of thing where
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you're not gonna remember everything they tell you.
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They're gonna fill your head with a bunch of information.
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And especially if you're new to Apple,
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you can't remember all the details,
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but I would think that forgetting an entire line
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of computers exists,
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especially when Apple's Mac product line
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doesn't contain that many products
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in the grand scheme of things,
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would be a thing that wouldn't happen.
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So I think they must have dropped their training
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open for the floor staff, for the salespeople?
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- Well, I mean, this is what happens
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with every retail place, you know?
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Like, the Apple stores are really big,
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there's lots of them and they have to hire lots of staff.
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From what we've heard rumblings of here and there,
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it seems like maybe they don't pay as well as they used to
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or whatever reason, they have a hard time, you know,
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attracting and/or training high quality staff consistently.
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So you end up getting like, yes,
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there are some people there who really know their stuff,
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but a lot of them don't, because that's just the reality
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of hiring a massive retail staff these days.
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All right, we should also talk about the crazy weird mouse
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that I believe Jon had brought up last episode.
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- Yeah, I think it was called the IsoPoint Trackbar
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from Outbound back from the '80s.
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Well, this design apparently lives on probably
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because they either bought the patents for it
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or the patents expired because it was so long ago
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in Contour Design's Roller Mouse,
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which is a thing that you can buy
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for your computer today, apparently.
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and it looks like kind of one of those keyboard wrist rest things that you should never ever
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actually rest your wrists on.
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It's got some buttons and right along the top edge of it it's got the little roller
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ball thingy you can roll back and forth like a little pencil for vertical and slide left
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I'm not quite sure if the bar itself slides or if it's just like touch sensitive or whatever.
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There's a YouTube video of someone messing with it and it still doesn't quite make it
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clear because the YouTube video's not very illuminating.
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But anyway, this still exists.
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- YouTube's very good at that.
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YouTube is very good at having lots of videos
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that report to review a product,
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but don't actually tell you the useful information
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about that product.
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They just kinda like hold it up and spin it around,
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or unbox it, and they don't actually try it,
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or show you, or do anything useful.
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Not that I'm complaining.
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- Well, you need to have different camera angles.
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Like what you need to do,
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if you don't understand how this product works,
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which I have some questions like,
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oh, does the bar slide back?
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You need like close-ups, and like macro photography,
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and cutaways and if you can't just have one continuous shot
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of a person sitting on a desk,
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connecting it to their keyboard
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and showing it's got little feet
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and it's got little connectors, it's got little this,
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but it's just like you're too far away.
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I can't see what you're doing with your fingers.
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You need a multi-camera, multi-shot edited sequence
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instead of just one big long take.
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- Usually when I'm looking for product reviews on YouTube
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for a product I'm considering buying,
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at least half the videos I find,
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I suspect I'm the first person to ever have watched them,
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regardless of what the view count says,
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those must all be bots,
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I think I'm the only person who's ever watched it,
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including the creator.
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I don't think they've even watched it,
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because if they watched it,
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they would notice all the problems,
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or at least some of the problems,
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like hey, you can barely hear what they're saying,
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or you know you could have cut out this entire segment,
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or unfortunately most commonly,
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this entire video serves no purpose
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and adds nothing to the world, I'm sorry.
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- Well, some of them have really high production values,
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where I can tell they've really nailed the lighting,
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and it's crisp and the audio is really good,
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but they didn't actually provide a good product review
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because they didn't have the closeups and the other details.
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- None of those people review microphones.
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- Yeah, the most fun thing is when I'm looking for,
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not specific videos, but usually it's what I find,
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for questions I have about household stuff,
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like how to repair a self-raising,
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or how to repair a cordless blind-raising mechanism thing
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or something or how to fix a flapper on your toilet
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or whatever.
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And if you're looking for like this specific make and model
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and seeing how some, or even when I was doing that,
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replacing the battery in my key fob or whatever, right?
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Those are the best videos
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because these are not professional YouTubers.
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This is just a person who just says,
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"Look, I've decided to film myself doing this thing."
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And like they're holding their camera under their chin
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against their chest to film their two hands doing something.
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The camera is a candy bar phone from 1997.
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And they're talking really weird because their chin is holding the camera while their fingers fumble.
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And I love these people. You know why? Because if they didn't do that terrible video,
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there would be zero videos on the entire internet.
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I'm like, "I just want to see one other living human do this." And they do it, I'm like, "Oh, that explains it!"
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Like, it's so much better to have a video than no video.
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So I would encourage everybody that if you're even remotely thinking of putting a video about how you repaired the specific toilet seat that you have
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for some specific 80s toilet, do it. Put it up online. If it has five Us, it doesn't matter.
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If I'm one of those five, I'm like, "Thank you. Thank you for putting this online," because
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it's so hard to find any information about certain things. And I love the fact that people
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are doing, especially about home stuff, are doing home repairs and filming themselves
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doing it and filming their mistakes. And I don't care that the audio is horrible. I don't
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care that it's all blurry. I don't care that the camera is shaking. I wish there were more
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I'm just saying, if you're gonna review a microphone,
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what is the one thing that somebody watching that review
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might be interested in that video containing?
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- An audio sample from the microphone?
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- Go look at, like pick a microphone, go to YouTube,
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and search for a video reviewing that microphone,
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and see how many you can find that actually contain
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an audio sample of the person talking to that microphone,
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let alone what would be more useful is maybe comparing it
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back to back to like one other microphone maybe,
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the one built into the camera or the phone would be good enough. Just compare it to something
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else. Like, you can't even find samples of people talking into the mic. I cannot believe,
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like, oh man, I'm in the wrong business. I'm gonna take over YouTube.
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Well, I bet they show you the microphone coming out of the box. They show you all the different
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outfits you can put on the microphone.
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Yeah, they do!
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And they show you all the articulations and the different points on it. It's like the
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toy unwrapping videos are the template upon which all product reviews on YouTube are based.
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It's probably okay if you're unwrapping toys, but probably not good for a product that actually
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is supposed to do something.
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It's difficult, especially for something like an input device or a chair or something like
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It's not actually easy to illustrate in video all the different features because you do
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need lots of weird camera angles and camera rigs to get lighting in the right place to
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sort of convey the… and you probably need diagrams at a certain point, like with overlay
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on top of the video.
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It's not an easy gig.
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(upbeat music)
00:11:03
◼
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- All right, there is another item in the follow-up
00:11:06
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which I told myself I wouldn't bring up,
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but I don't wanna get yelled at later.
00:11:09
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There's a bullet that says Casey's Ongoing iMac Woes,
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which I don't wanna talk about,
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because I don't want the internet telling me
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about how wrong I am about everything, so we can move along.
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- Well, we already talked to you about it in Slack,
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but I think we need to talk about it again.
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- Ah, I really don't wanna talk about this.
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- You need to bring in your iMac for repair and you won't.
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- No, well, yes, that's actually, yes, that's the summary.
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Is that, so how can I briefly recap this?
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So let me put on my summarizer,
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chief summarizer and chief hat.
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So a couple episodes ago, I sounded like garbage
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because my iMac croaked in the middle of recording.
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No, it did not involve water or any other liquid.
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Thank you, the entire internet for making that joke.
00:11:48
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Anyway, so it croaked in the middle of recording, it hard froze, rebooted itself.
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This had happened, I had noticed, from time to time, but it had never been during a recording,
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so it didn't really make that big of a difference.
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The only thing I lost out on was Plex.
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Couldn't see my media files because it wouldn't auto reconnect to the Synology.
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So anyway, so this happened.
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Suddenly I actually need to take action on things because it affected the show, and that's
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So I tried to figure out what to do.
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I did a hardware test and after much cajoling from Mr. Syracuse, it showed no problems.
00:12:25
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I think I might have tried one or two other things, but what I ended up doing was I swapped
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out my Mac sales RAM.
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I had gotten 32 gigs of RAM for this thing the moment I bought it.
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And I put in the 8 gigs of OEM RAM, and that's what's running in it right now.
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And it seemed to me, empirically, that it'll go about a week before it has one of these
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locks and reboots itself.
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►
And up until this morning, it had been eight days since I had any such problem.
00:12:55
◼
►
This morning, I went to, not unsleep it, but the screen had slept, but the machine was
00:13:03
◼
►
So I hit the space bar on my keyboard in order to wake the thing up, and the backlight on
00:13:09
◼
►
screen came on, but I could see nothing. I ended up forcing a reboot, I did a hard reboot,
00:13:13
◼
►
I looked at the console when it came back up, and it had a bazillion messages, I don't
00:13:18
◼
►
have it handy in front of me, but something along the lines of, "I can tell that the GPU
00:13:22
◼
►
driver is not responding, and that's probably not good." So, my hopeful and I stand by my
00:13:29
◼
►
going theory is that it's the non-OEM RAM that's pissing it off and causing problems.
00:13:35
◼
►
I have nothing but anecdotal evidence to go on.
00:13:39
◼
►
And Jon and Marco both are insistent that I take this thing to the Genius Bar, but I
00:13:43
◼
►
really, really, really don't want to, because it is a royal pain to bring it there, let
00:13:49
◼
►
alone be gone, have it be gone for like a week or more, only for a Genius to say, "Geez,
00:13:54
◼
►
it never happened to me.
00:13:55
◼
►
Everything looks good here.
00:13:56
◼
►
Here you go.
00:13:57
◼
►
Come back if it happens again."
00:13:59
◼
►
So I don't want to bother with it, and I would rather just deal with the 8 gigs of RAM and
00:14:03
◼
►
and then maybe start whining at Mac sales
00:14:06
◼
►
or other world computing, whatever they call themselves.
00:14:08
◼
►
Whine at them and see if I can get replacement sticks
00:14:11
◼
►
if that really does seem to be the problem.
00:14:14
◼
►
If you're gonna keep the OWC RAM out of the computer
00:14:19
◼
►
and it's going to have this problem occasionally.
00:14:21
◼
►
- You know it's not the RAM.
00:14:22
◼
►
- What exactly do you expect OWC to do about that?
00:14:26
◼
►
- But like you just said, you said,
00:14:27
◼
►
I still think it's the RAM,
00:14:28
◼
►
but it just froze when the RAM wasn't in it.
00:14:30
◼
►
How does that even work?
00:14:32
◼
►
No, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no.
00:14:33
◼
►
It was a different kind of freeze.
00:14:34
◼
►
It was a very different kind of freeze.
00:14:35
◼
►
First of all--
00:14:36
◼
►
It doesn't matter!
00:14:37
◼
►
I'm serious!
00:14:38
◼
►
I'm not trying to be funny.
00:14:39
◼
►
Oh, God, I'm going to get so many emails.
00:14:40
◼
►
You are being very funny.
00:14:41
◼
►
I understand it's a different kind of freeze, but the problem is it's another thing that
00:14:46
◼
►
your Mac shouldn't be doing, right?
00:14:48
◼
►
Like, especially since you're not doing anything with it.
00:14:50
◼
►
You don't have any weird programs that you're running or you're not stressing.
00:14:53
◼
►
It's just sitting there idle, essentially, and you come back to it and you can't get
00:14:56
◼
►
it to wake up and you see a bunch of GPU messages and the thing.
00:14:59
◼
►
Yeah, but that was the first time I'd ever seen anything in the console. Any of the other
00:15:02
◼
►
times it locked up, it was like it was running and turning and chugging along fine, and then
00:15:08
◼
►
next thing you know I see, "Oh, boot time." You're grossly overblowing the effect this
00:15:12
◼
►
problem has on me, with the exception of that one episode, which I do genuinely feel deeply
00:15:16
◼
►
sorry about. With the exception of that one episode, it has never really caused any problem
00:15:21
◼
►
for me. And I think that today's freeze was just a fluke of modern computing.
00:15:25
◼
►
No, this doesn't happen.
00:15:27
◼
►
That is not the behavior of healthy hardware.
00:15:31
◼
►
That is not normal, that is not something
00:15:33
◼
►
you should just consider.
00:15:34
◼
►
You know what, that's acceptable.
00:15:35
◼
►
I'm going to live with that forever.
00:15:37
◼
►
No, and especially because this is gonna run
00:15:40
◼
►
on a warranty at some point.
00:15:42
◼
►
If you didn't get applicator,
00:15:42
◼
►
it's gonna be in what, six months?
00:15:45
◼
►
This is not normal.
00:15:47
◼
►
This is not supposed to happen.
00:15:49
◼
►
This is not acceptable.
00:15:51
◼
►
Something in there is broken,
00:15:52
◼
►
and it is most likely not the RAM
00:15:54
◼
►
that is not currently in the computer
00:15:57
◼
►
when this problem is still happening.
00:15:58
◼
►
- It was a different problem though.
00:16:00
◼
►
- Well, it might have reacted worse with that RAM.
00:16:02
◼
►
Maybe, it sounds like there's something wrong
00:16:04
◼
►
with the GPU or the logic board.
00:16:06
◼
►
Whether or not it is worse with the OWC RAM in it,
00:16:10
◼
►
the fact is this problem exists without the OWC RAM in it,
00:16:14
◼
►
so therefore that RAM is not the problem.
00:16:17
◼
►
That RAM might be a problem, but it is not the problem here.
00:16:21
◼
►
- I'm assuming you googled the error message
00:16:23
◼
►
because like to rule out software type of bugs
00:16:25
◼
►
where it's like, oh, unbeknownst to you,
00:16:27
◼
►
this version of OS X ships or Mac,
00:16:30
◼
►
it's still OS X, right?
00:16:31
◼
►
Oh God, this transition's gonna be rough.
00:16:33
◼
►
Ships with a driver for your particular GPU
00:16:37
◼
►
that is flaky in this way.
00:16:39
◼
►
Usually googling for the console message
00:16:41
◼
►
will land you 100 people asking the same question
00:16:44
◼
►
on Apple's discussion forums,
00:16:45
◼
►
none of which are actually getting an answer,
00:16:47
◼
►
but then you can kind of like ballpark,
00:16:49
◼
►
like, look, is this a thing that's happening
00:16:51
◼
►
to a lot of people?
00:16:52
◼
►
as judged by whatever ratio commands people to go onto Apple discussion forums and talk
00:16:59
◼
►
Like for every one person you see there, there's probably like hundreds more who don't know
00:17:02
◼
►
where the discussion forums are.
00:17:03
◼
►
But I've had situations like this, and it doesn't mean that the software problem you
00:17:07
◼
►
see other people having it, but occasionally you'll get lucky and you'll see that, "Oh,
00:17:11
◼
►
actually I'm someone who knows whether I'm an Apple employee or not, and there's a bug
00:17:15
◼
►
in this driver for this Nvidia GPU or whatever."
00:17:17
◼
►
It's not what you have in yours.
00:17:19
◼
►
But anyway, and that's what the problem is, and this software update either has fixed
00:17:24
◼
►
it or will fix it or whatever.
00:17:26
◼
►
So it's still conceivable that that GPU, that freeze thing, could be a software issue.
00:17:32
◼
►
The hard rebooting thing with no messages in the console definitely looks like a hardware
00:17:35
◼
►
thing, and like you said, you haven't had that with the RAM out, so who knows.
00:17:38
◼
►
But either way, either of these things I think are a problem.
00:17:43
◼
►
So maybe you kind of convinced me with your reticence to bring this thing in, maybe you
00:17:47
◼
►
wait for the next one, the next freeze, and see with the RAM still out like do
00:17:52
◼
►
you get a repeat of the GPU thing or do you get the hard resetty type thing. I
00:17:56
◼
►
still think it's weird that the RAM test would pass maybe the RAM tests are not
00:17:59
◼
►
particularly thorough and you need to run those tests that like go through every
00:18:01
◼
►
byte of RAM like hundreds of times and runs for days at a time to really test
00:18:06
◼
►
it I'm not entirely sure but anyway all this is to say that both Marco and I
00:18:09
◼
►
have 5k IMAX and ours just don't do this so you shouldn't you shouldn't accept
00:18:14
◼
►
this as a state of being and you should resign yourself to taking this big heavy
00:18:16
◼
►
computer in three times, not once, because the first time you take it in, if you're lucky,
00:18:20
◼
►
they'll find something wrong, but they'll probably send it back to you and say it's fine. Then you
00:18:24
◼
►
have to wait for it to happen again, then you have to bring it in again, then they say it's fine,
00:18:27
◼
►
then you have to wait for it to happen again, then you bring it in again, and then after they've
00:18:30
◼
►
denied you three times, then you get satisfaction of some kind, or you get to be more indignant
00:18:37
◼
►
about it. Okay, well let me just make a couple things very plain, because apparently nobody's
00:18:40
◼
►
listening to me. I did the Apple Hardware Diagnostic Test, or whatever it is called,
00:18:45
◼
►
when you start the computer and mash down on the D-key.
00:18:48
◼
►
I did this with the OWC RAM in,
00:18:50
◼
►
and it said everything was peachy keen,
00:18:52
◼
►
everything was fine.
00:18:53
◼
►
- That's what I was saying,
00:18:54
◼
►
like maybe it runs like a wimpy RAM test,
00:18:56
◼
►
because a full RAM test takes a really, really long time.
00:18:58
◼
►
So it doesn't, you know,
00:19:00
◼
►
because I'm suspicious of the RAM too, right?
00:19:02
◼
►
So maybe the Apple hardware test didn't test it thoroughly,
00:19:05
◼
►
or maybe it didn't trigger the problem or whatever.
00:19:07
◼
►
- Well, and like with this kind of intermittent problem
00:19:09
◼
►
that happened, you know, you get like a weird crash.
00:19:12
◼
►
It used to be every few days, now it's like once a week.
00:19:15
◼
►
Yeah, it used to be about once a week.
00:19:18
◼
►
It has happened once, which to be fair was about eight days after I put the stock RAM in.
00:19:25
◼
►
It has happened once.
00:19:26
◼
►
And on the surface that looks like it's probably the same crash, but like I said earlier,
00:19:29
◼
►
I'd never ever ever seen any console messages previously.
00:19:33
◼
►
And I should add that it would always just reboot itself, and this time it did not.
00:19:38
◼
►
It seemed like it was fine until it powered on the backlight, and then it wouldn't show anything on screen.
00:19:44
◼
►
So I don't think this is the same thing.
00:19:47
◼
►
- Either way, these are two different symptoms
00:19:50
◼
►
of some kind of underlying problem
00:19:53
◼
►
that is probably the same problem
00:19:54
◼
►
with or without the OWC RAM in it.
00:19:56
◼
►
So it probably is not the RAM.
00:19:57
◼
►
It's probably a problem with Apple's hardware in here.
00:20:00
◼
►
And normally functioning computers don't behave this way.
00:20:03
◼
►
Normally functioning Macs don't behave this way.
00:20:06
◼
►
Even Macs running betas don't behave this way.
00:20:09
◼
►
Tipster in the chatroom says his beta hardware
00:20:11
◼
►
doesn't behave this way.
00:20:13
◼
►
Something is wrong.
00:20:14
◼
►
Whether or not the hardware test passes or fails
00:20:18
◼
►
does not say there is or isn't a problem.
00:20:21
◼
►
It just says whatever that is testing for
00:20:23
◼
►
is or isn't failing at that moment.
00:20:26
◼
►
What that means to you is that this will be annoying
00:20:28
◼
►
to get fixed, but that doesn't mean there isn't a problem.
00:20:31
◼
►
It just means the problem didn't happen during that test.
00:20:33
◼
►
- So an appropriate analogy to this situation is
00:20:37
◼
►
my car, every great once in a while,
00:20:39
◼
►
the stereo decides to turn itself off
00:20:41
◼
►
and then turn itself back on. It is mildly inconvenient, mildly inconvenient. And then
00:20:46
◼
►
one time, one time I was in the middle of a podcast and I had no idea where I was in
00:20:52
◼
►
that podcast in terms of like the timestamp or anything. And then it restarted itself
00:20:56
◼
►
and I had to start the podcast over because I just couldn't find where I was in the podcast
00:21:00
◼
►
for whatever reason. That's this analogy. I am not taking my car to the shop for them
00:21:04
◼
►
to say, "Oh, we can't reproduce it." Four different times, just so they can say, "Oh,
00:21:09
◼
►
we can't reproduce it." I do not have the confidence.
00:21:11
◼
►
- No, but there's no reasonable hope that the BMW dealer
00:21:14
◼
►
would ever fix a problem like that.
00:21:15
◼
►
- There's no reasonable hope in Apple, Pete.
00:21:18
◼
►
- Yes, no, there is a reasonable hope
00:21:20
◼
►
that you will get some kind of satisfaction
00:21:22
◼
►
from Apple about it.
00:21:22
◼
►
I know, I've dealt with these problems before.
00:21:24
◼
►
Car dealer, forget it.
00:21:24
◼
►
If you have some electronic gremlin in your car,
00:21:26
◼
►
there's no hope, like don't even bother.
00:21:27
◼
►
Like maybe try the dealer once,
00:21:29
◼
►
but it's not like they have,
00:21:30
◼
►
they don't deal with electronics.
00:21:31
◼
►
Like they can fix your mechanical parts,
00:21:33
◼
►
but in general, unless there's some sort of,
00:21:34
◼
►
well, we flashed it with the manufacturers,
00:21:35
◼
►
latest blah, blah, blah,
00:21:36
◼
►
they have no idea about the electronics in your car,
00:21:38
◼
►
and half that stuff doesn't work right
00:21:40
◼
►
even when it's working entirely according to,
00:21:42
◼
►
you know, like it's working perfectly.
00:21:43
◼
►
This is exactly how it was designed.
00:21:44
◼
►
It's just filled with bugs
00:21:45
◼
►
that are never gonna get fixed.
00:21:46
◼
►
But for hardware,
00:21:48
◼
►
like I had the same thing with a Thunderbolt display,
00:21:50
◼
►
which is really weird and flaky,
00:21:51
◼
►
and I had to keep bringing in and bringing in,
00:21:53
◼
►
but eventually, I feel like eventually,
00:21:55
◼
►
they will give you an entirely new insides
00:21:57
◼
►
or an entirely new refurbished thing,
00:21:59
◼
►
or, you know, like you will,
00:22:01
◼
►
especially when it's under warranty
00:22:02
◼
►
and it's relatively new,
00:22:03
◼
►
now is the time to start going through the annoying sequence
00:22:06
◼
►
because it will be worse if you just let this slide
00:22:08
◼
►
and the warranty runs out and you're just annoyed for years at a time by this thing and then
00:22:13
◼
►
your only recourse is then at that point is to pay out some of your own money. Do it while it's still
00:22:17
◼
►
under warranty. With Apple you will eventually, something eventually will happen and there's not
00:22:21
◼
►
a hundred percent chance it's going to get fixed, but it's non-zero and it's way higher than the car
00:22:25
◼
►
dealer fixing something about electronics in your car. So let me just plainly state it'll be in the
00:22:30
◼
►
show notes, but the actual error on the most recent time when the backlight came on and nothing was on
00:22:35
◼
►
screen was Windows Server colon GPU driver appears to be hung parenthesis
00:22:39
◼
►
over five continuous seconds of unreadiness that was the actual error
00:22:43
◼
►
the only thing I could come up with on a quick Google search as I'm recording is
00:22:47
◼
►
the stupid Mac Pro so the Mac Pro is haunting me you know what's really
00:22:51
◼
►
common in the Mac Pro GPU failures yeah go figure I also consider that this is
00:22:56
◼
►
my second or remember that this is my second retina 5k iMac and I'm already
00:23:02
◼
►
already kind of not wanting to deal with going back to the Apple store. And it is not that
00:23:07
◼
►
far from my house, don't be creepy, but I just don't want to deal with it. And there
00:23:12
◼
►
are people that are in the chat, and I'm sure there are people listening to this, that are
00:23:15
◼
►
furious with me that I'm not leaping into my car to get this fixed.
00:23:19
◼
►
I guarantee you everybody is really mad at you for listening.
00:23:22
◼
►
See, this is why I didn't want to bring it up.
00:23:24
◼
►
Everyone's probably yelling at their pockets, "Come on!"
00:23:26
◼
►
Whatever. I just, I have, these things have a year warranty, do they not?
00:23:31
◼
►
how this works. Okay, I bought this thing in like late January, maybe mid-January at
00:23:37
◼
►
the earliest. I can look it up. I have plenty of time to make myself happy and let this
00:23:43
◼
►
run with my piddly 8 gigs of RAM for another month and see if it crashes and how often
00:23:48
◼
►
it crashes and what the story is. Because if it is as simple as it doesn't crash with
00:23:55
◼
►
the stock RAM, then okay, I get different RAM. I either buy different RAM, I live with
00:24:01
◼
►
it with 8 gigs of RAM, it actually is working just fine to be honest with you.
00:24:04
◼
►
Except that it rebooted this morning.
00:24:05
◼
►
Oh, now you see where we replaced the RAM. Like, I've only seen you replace RAM after
00:24:09
◼
►
like 8 years with me. Like, they have a ridiculously good warranty.
00:24:12
◼
►
Yeah, no, it's not the RAM. It's not.
00:24:15
◼
►
Well, the RAM's not even in the computer. But anyway, if you're gonna let it stew for
00:24:20
◼
►
another month, just like, it's gonna be kind of a pain to find this stuff in console later,
00:24:24
◼
►
especially if it like gzips up the logs and everything and you have to go hunting through
00:24:28
◼
►
Just make a note of copy and paste all the surrounding log lines for each reboot.
00:24:32
◼
►
Make a note of the date and the time, because if you don't do this while it's happening,
00:24:35
◼
►
it'll be a pain to go back and research it later.
00:24:37
◼
►
And then you can come to the Genius Bar, eventually be like, "Look, here's a record of all the
00:24:40
◼
►
stuff that's happened.
00:24:41
◼
►
Here are the console logs surrounding the events."
00:24:44
◼
►
And you can plot them out and say how many days there were between them and all that
00:24:47
◼
►
other stuff.
00:24:48
◼
►
That'll be very useful for you.
00:24:49
◼
►
I agree and I would suspect that there will come a time that I will have to bring this in
00:24:55
◼
►
Because it's just something happens that makes me think okay. It's not the RAM and yes
00:25:00
◼
►
I understand Marco that you can do a mark hashtag Marco was right. That's fine. Whatever. I don't care, but I am so
00:25:05
◼
►
Not wanting to deal with the hassle of making this dance happen
00:25:09
◼
►
Four or five times to get a genius that actually understands that something's broken. It's just not worth it to me
00:25:15
◼
►
It's not worth it. If it's worth it to you be that Marco be that John or random listener
00:25:19
◼
►
That is furious with me and thinks I'm an idiot fine. It's worth it to you at this very moment tonight
00:25:26
◼
►
It's not worth it to me yet
00:25:28
◼
►
And I am oh so overjoyed to read all the emails about how much more on I am
00:25:33
◼
►
So just please send them to Marco
00:25:36
◼
►
What's it gonna take? Oh, that's supposed to be gonna be your threshold like it at what point will you know?
00:25:42
◼
►
Hypothetically if X happened that would be like that's it this thing is going in
00:25:45
◼
►
I think if I see a similar crash with nothing in the console literally there was nothing in the console
00:25:52
◼
►
Everything was going as happy as a clam and then next thing you know
00:25:55
◼
►
Boot time if that happens again, and it happens on the stock RAM
00:26:00
◼
►
Which is what's in it that will probably in and of itself be enough for me to say
00:26:05
◼
►
I probably have to take this in and certainly if these crashes random crashes for whatever reason even the GPU thing
00:26:12
◼
►
thing that I saw today. If that happens consistently, some you know consistently
00:26:17
◼
►
enough between today the 13th of July 2016 and around Christmas time which is
00:26:24
◼
►
around the time that the warranty expires I will bring it in. I just think
00:26:28
◼
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it's really aggressive and premature to go through that entire friggin hassle
00:26:31
◼
►
today. That's all I'm saying. Does that answer your question?
00:26:36
◼
►
- Yeah, well, there'll be more follow up, I'm sure.
00:26:39
◼
►
- I'm so, so looking forward to it.
00:26:42
◼
►
- We just want your computer to be happy.
00:26:44
◼
►
We want you to be happy.
00:26:45
◼
►
- And we don't want to lose any more audio.
00:26:48
◼
►
- He's got that covered with his--
00:26:50
◼
►
- We've taken alternate arrangements.
00:26:52
◼
►
Oh, God, I'm so looking forward to this follow up.
00:26:56
◼
►
(upbeat music)
00:26:57
◼
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Thank you very much to Hover for sponsoring our show.
00:28:13
◼
►
- Moving on, Planet of the Apps,
00:28:17
◼
►
I almost said Planet of the Apes.
00:28:19
◼
►
So Planet of the Apps has a website now.
00:28:21
◼
►
This is the app creation show thing
00:28:26
◼
►
that Apple had talked about at some point.
00:28:29
◼
►
I don't remember when or where it was,
00:28:30
◼
►
But they talked about it at some point, said, "Hey, we're going to do like a reality show
00:28:33
◼
►
about making apps."
00:28:34
◼
►
And now it has a website at PlanetoftheApps.com.
00:28:38
◼
►
And so they're starting to solicit people to join up and film.
00:28:43
◼
►
And apparently there's going to be events, and I'm not entirely clear what that means.
00:28:47
◼
►
I don't know if it's like American Idol style casting, or if it means they're just going
00:28:50
◼
►
to go to these places, but they're going to New York, Austin, LA, and San Francisco sometime
00:28:55
◼
►
over the next few months, I guess.
00:28:58
◼
►
So anyway, what do we think about this,
00:29:01
◼
►
about Apple dipping into the TV world?
00:29:05
◼
►
- It's weird that Apple's first original content
00:29:08
◼
►
that it is like overtly funding is about like its own stuff.
00:29:13
◼
►
It's not a fiction show, it's about apps.
00:29:17
◼
►
I think that's weird for two reasons.
00:29:18
◼
►
One, when you think of a company funding
00:29:21
◼
►
original TV content, I guess just because historically
00:29:24
◼
►
we think of like fiction, like, oh, we're gonna pay
00:29:25
◼
►
a bunch of people money and they're gonna write a story
00:29:28
◼
►
have a bunch of actors in a script and that's what all the other services have done to promote
00:29:32
◼
►
their, you know, their headlining original content is all fiction stuff. I mean, they
00:29:38
◼
►
have reality shows, but that's not the stuff that we hear. You know, House of Cards being
00:29:40
◼
►
the big first one and then, you know, Orange is the New Black and all sorts of other things.
00:29:44
◼
►
So that's weird. And the second thing is that it is a reality show about things that Apple
00:29:51
◼
►
does and the reason I think that's weird is because in general when there's a reality
00:29:56
◼
►
show about a topic, whatever it is, fishing or baking cupcakes or like whatever it may
00:30:01
◼
►
be, I tend to view the reality show about that thing as not reflective of the thing.
00:30:10
◼
►
It doesn't have to be, it's just entertainment, right? But I would imagine that someone who
00:30:13
◼
►
is really, you know, a professional woodworker, seeing a reality show about woodworking and
00:30:19
◼
►
being like, "Well, that's not what woodworking is actually like. This is a reality show."
00:30:22
◼
►
which is fine, but it's always a distorted view because in reality I don't have to make
00:30:28
◼
►
a chair with one hand tied behind my back or I don't have to incorporate pine cones
00:30:32
◼
►
into the next project. That's not what actual woodworking is like and in reality these people
00:30:38
◼
►
are cutting away and they're not showing the amount of time and I would use a different
00:30:40
◼
►
tool for that. I can just imagine anyone watching a reality show thinking that this is not reflective
00:30:46
◼
►
of my profession. They may think it's entertaining and it's fun or whatever, but I think if you
00:30:51
◼
►
were Apple and you decided your first original content is going to be about developing for
00:30:56
◼
►
your platforms, you would want it to be either reflective of what it's like to develop your
00:31:02
◼
►
platform or make it look better. Whereas most reality shows make it look more difficult and
00:31:08
◼
►
more fraught and just weird. I can't imagine the view you get of app development from watching this
00:31:15
◼
►
program being something that Apple would be like, "Yeah, we want people to think that's what it's
00:31:20
◼
►
like to develop apps for our platform.
00:31:21
◼
►
I know they're going to try to spin it to make it like, look, it's great.
00:31:24
◼
►
And these people are going to get rich and they're all wonderful.
00:31:25
◼
►
And developing it for our platform is, is really fun, but that's an infomercial.
00:31:29
◼
►
No one wants to watch that either.
00:31:30
◼
►
There has to be like reality show drama and silly events and stuff like that.
00:31:34
◼
►
And it's, it just doesn't seem like a good idea to me.
00:31:39
◼
►
I don't see, even if it's the best show ever and people enjoy it and it's super
00:31:42
◼
►
entertaining and we come to love the contestants and it's a bonding experience
00:31:45
◼
►
and everything, I don't see how it's going to be a net positive for Apple, and that,
00:31:51
◼
►
like, before this show, X number of people were into app development, and now even more
00:31:56
◼
►
are and it looks even better. I think it'll make it into, like, more of a circus or just,
00:32:01
◼
►
I don't know, it just doesn't seem like a good idea to me.
00:32:05
◼
►
We actually spoke about this on today's Clockwise, which I guested on Clockwise #145, and basically,
00:32:12
◼
►
I forget who was it brought it up, but somebody asked, "Hey, are you gonna watch this and
00:32:16
◼
►
are you interested in it?"
00:32:18
◼
►
And the four of us all basically said, "Yeah, I'm at least gonna give it a shot.
00:32:22
◼
►
I'm curious to see it."
00:32:24
◼
►
I agree with you, Jon, that "reality" TV is never that real or is very rarely that real.
00:32:33
◼
►
I'm also curious to see how they make developing apps exciting because the actual act of development
00:32:38
◼
►
is boring as crap, or at least watching it is boring as crap.
00:32:42
◼
►
I think the social network, you know, the movie The Social Network did a pretty good
00:32:45
◼
►
job of making it dramatic and exciting, but if you think about it, there was very little
00:32:48
◼
►
actual programming going on, generally speaking.
00:32:50
◼
►
It was more drinking that was adjacent to programming.
00:32:54
◼
►
But I don't know, I'm not entirely clear what the motivation is.
00:32:58
◼
►
I think you're right that it's fraught with peril and it could go wrong in a lot of ways,
00:33:02
◼
►
but I am very intrigued to see how they handle it and intrigued to see how they present it.
00:33:08
◼
►
Is it gonna be a bunch of tech bros from Silicon Valley
00:33:11
◼
►
that are brogramming and being idiots?
00:33:13
◼
►
I would assume not, but you never know.
00:33:16
◼
►
Or is it going to be like an interesting
00:33:18
◼
►
and genuine struggle of someone trying
00:33:20
◼
►
to be an independent developer
00:33:21
◼
►
and trying to release this app?
00:33:23
◼
►
Yeah, what was that indie game, "The Movie"
00:33:25
◼
►
and like that chronicle?
00:33:27
◼
►
What was that one guy who did Fez?
00:33:30
◼
►
- Phil Fish?
00:33:31
◼
►
- Yeah, yeah, yeah.
00:33:32
◼
►
Like I was riveted by his story.
00:33:35
◼
►
- But it wasn't about game development.
00:33:36
◼
►
Like to get back to what you're saying
00:33:37
◼
►
about how are they going to make application development interesting.
00:33:42
◼
►
When saddled with an activity that generally isn't that interesting to watch, like sitting
00:33:46
◼
►
in front of a keyboard, you fall entirely back on what normally reality shows only lean
00:33:50
◼
►
on 90%, which is it's all about the people, the characters, the stories, and only if you
00:33:55
◼
►
have an activity that is photogenic, for example like cooking because people get hungry when
00:34:00
◼
►
they see yummy food or whatever.
00:34:02
◼
►
But even in cooking reality shows, mostly it's about the people, the characters, the
00:34:06
◼
►
interpersonal relationships than the story behind them.
00:34:08
◼
►
Where do they come from?
00:34:09
◼
►
What do they hope to achieve?
00:34:10
◼
►
It's why they're always asking people
00:34:11
◼
►
what their hopes and dreams are.
00:34:12
◼
►
Very, very little about the cooking.
00:34:14
◼
►
And cooking is really photogenic, right?
00:34:16
◼
►
When you have something that's not photogenic at all,
00:34:18
◼
►
like sitting in front of a computer on a keyboard typing,
00:34:21
◼
►
it's gonna be entirely concentrated on the people's stories
00:34:25
◼
►
and maybe the app idea, because the audience can say,
00:34:27
◼
►
"I use apps, I know what apps are like.
00:34:30
◼
►
Tell me your app idea,"
00:34:31
◼
►
kind of like in the Shark Tank type things.
00:34:32
◼
►
"Tell me your business idea."
00:34:33
◼
►
I don't want any of the details of how you incorporate
00:34:35
◼
►
and how you do accounting in your business
00:34:37
◼
►
and how you run your business from day to day,
00:34:39
◼
►
I don't wanna put things that I can relate to.
00:34:40
◼
►
So that's how reality shows work.
00:34:43
◼
►
It's about people, it's about relationships,
00:34:45
◼
►
it's about interpersonal conflict.
00:34:47
◼
►
They're probably not gonna show a lot of programming,
00:34:49
◼
►
but they probably will show here's my app idea
00:34:51
◼
►
and then programming happens off camera,
00:34:54
◼
►
here's a phase of development,
00:34:56
◼
►
programming happens off camera,
00:34:57
◼
►
here's an idea, judges look at the idea,
00:34:59
◼
►
which is kind of a shame because I think a lot of the people
00:35:03
◼
►
or a lot of the nerds are like,
00:35:04
◼
►
I would like to see the programming part.
00:35:05
◼
►
Are people making jokes like,
00:35:07
◼
►
are they gonna have activities where you have to like
00:35:08
◼
►
refactor a controller or something
00:35:11
◼
►
and change your model layer?
00:35:13
◼
►
No, they're not gonna have that.
00:35:14
◼
►
We would like to see that, but we have a very small audience.
00:35:17
◼
►
They can't do anything that's real programming type stuff
00:35:20
◼
►
that has to be all about the personal drama,
00:35:22
◼
►
which I think Apple thinks maybe is gonna be like,
00:35:25
◼
►
oh, it shows these people and they're pulling themselves up
00:35:28
◼
►
by the bootstraps and they're gonna become bazillionaires
00:35:30
◼
►
and they have these great app ideas
00:35:32
◼
►
and app is to empower the world or whatever,
00:35:34
◼
►
but then again, you have to have the drama,
00:35:37
◼
►
and the drama may be really entertaining
00:35:41
◼
►
and people will like the program,
00:35:42
◼
►
but I don't think it's gonna make people
00:35:43
◼
►
want to become a developer on Apple's platforms.
00:35:46
◼
►
- I know, Marco, you've been pretty quiet.
00:35:47
◼
►
What do you think?
00:35:49
◼
►
- I mostly don't know what I think about this yet.
00:35:53
◼
►
I agree with what both of you said that,
00:35:56
◼
►
you know, Casey, I agree that it is a little weird sounding.
00:36:00
◼
►
I'm willing to reserve judgment until I see it.
00:36:03
◼
►
It's a little unclear as to what kind of show it is.
00:36:07
◼
►
It sounds a little bit like it is kind of like a Shark Tank
00:36:10
◼
►
or a competition show, and it sounds like the prize
00:36:14
◼
►
is VC money.
00:36:20
◼
►
- Yeah, like, I mean.
00:36:21
◼
►
- Not much of a prize.
00:36:22
◼
►
I mean, one of those prizes that sounds like it's a prize,
00:36:24
◼
►
like make it big.
00:36:26
◼
►
It's like you landed a record contract
00:36:28
◼
►
like for the American Idol or the original,
00:36:29
◼
►
it was like, "Congratulations, you are assigned
00:36:32
◼
►
"to a major label with a terrible deal."
00:36:34
◼
►
- And you are chained into that deal
00:36:36
◼
►
and you think it's a big deal when you're a nobody
00:36:38
◼
►
but once you realize you're in it,
00:36:39
◼
►
it's really not a great thing.
00:36:41
◼
►
- I think you're right, Jon, that this is mostly
00:36:43
◼
►
just gonna be about interpersonal stories
00:36:46
◼
►
and depending on how well they do it,
00:36:49
◼
►
hopefully they're low on artificial drama.
00:36:52
◼
►
But I think it's mostly gonna be a long version
00:36:56
◼
►
of the feel good videos they show before their keynotes,
00:36:59
◼
►
especially WWDC keynotes, where it's like,
00:37:02
◼
►
you're showing these developers all over the world
00:37:04
◼
►
doing all sorts of cool things to empower themselves
00:37:08
◼
►
and the people around them and showing all this
00:37:11
◼
►
like cool stuff with accessibility
00:37:15
◼
►
and diversity and everything.
00:37:16
◼
►
If that's gonna be what it is, that's fine.
00:37:18
◼
►
I don't know how many people--
00:37:20
◼
►
- That's an infomercial, that's not entertaining.
00:37:22
◼
►
That's great for an ad and it makes us feel good,
00:37:25
◼
►
but people aren't gonna tune in week after week
00:37:26
◼
►
to watch that show.
00:37:27
◼
►
- Right, and so if it's going to be some kind of,
00:37:31
◼
►
if it's going to try to be a mass appeal show,
00:37:34
◼
►
like a mainstream show, they're going to have to have
00:37:38
◼
►
almost none of the development side,
00:37:40
◼
►
and they're gonna have to just make it basically
00:37:43
◼
►
American Idol for apps, or basically like Shark Tank,
00:37:48
◼
►
and I don't expect that to be good.
00:37:51
◼
►
Just, you know, instinctively, my gut reaction is
00:37:54
◼
►
I probably won't like this,
00:37:56
◼
►
and I probably won't know a single person on it,
00:37:58
◼
►
but that's not to say that it won't be good
00:38:02
◼
►
for other people, I guess.
00:38:03
◼
►
I mean, like a lot of people have asked me today
00:38:05
◼
►
whether I'm going to apply to be on it,
00:38:07
◼
►
and I don't think I will, because again,
00:38:11
◼
►
it's like the end game here, like what's the end game?
00:38:14
◼
►
I go through all this, I get represented somehow
00:38:19
◼
►
in a way that their producers edit it,
00:38:21
◼
►
and it's not gonna be like Tim Cook editing this.
00:38:23
◼
►
you know, it's gonna be some other, you know,
00:38:25
◼
►
reality TV producer editing this.
00:38:28
◼
►
So, you know, if you apply to this,
00:38:29
◼
►
you're gonna be handing over control
00:38:31
◼
►
of how you are represented to the world
00:38:33
◼
►
to somebody who is probably an expert in making TV drama
00:38:38
◼
►
and in creating drama where there wasn't drama before
00:38:40
◼
►
to make them origin to watch,
00:38:41
◼
►
'cause that's probably what they did before this.
00:38:44
◼
►
- Yeah, I don't think any one of us wants to see
00:38:45
◼
►
the reality show character that we would become.
00:38:48
◼
►
Because everyone has like, you have the input as this person
00:38:51
◼
►
and then the reality show editor's thing is like,
00:38:52
◼
►
"Alright, I gotta slot you in here. What kind of character are you?"
00:38:55
◼
►
So it's like getting a caricature at the fair, right?
00:38:57
◼
►
They're gonna take whatever aspect of you that they think is the most entertaining or makes the most drama,
00:39:02
◼
►
and they're going to design a character with you as the input.
00:39:05
◼
►
And if there's anything remotely weird about you, and there's plenty weird about all three of us,
00:39:10
◼
►
we probably would not want to see the reality show character that we would become,
00:39:13
◼
►
because we probably wouldn't be the one that is the typical hero that everybody relates to and thinks is awesome.
00:39:21
◼
►
I would say maybe Casey would be, though.
00:39:23
◼
►
He should be.
00:39:25
◼
►
Because everyone seems to love him. He's the everyman.
00:39:27
◼
►
So maybe he would be turned into the underdog everyman.
00:39:30
◼
►
Until he refuses to take his Mac in, even when he has problems, and then it's like, no, he's got his hang-up still, I guess.
00:39:35
◼
►
Exactly! Until this episode.
00:39:39
◼
►
So, honest question, Marco, and Jon, you as well, actually.
00:39:43
◼
►
So, it says here, uh, crap, I just lost it.
00:39:46
◼
►
"Who will be the tech experts and mentors?"
00:39:49
◼
►
- Just say, this is in the FAQ,
00:39:50
◼
►
we are excited to announce our tech experts and talent
00:39:53
◼
►
in the coming weeks, stay tuned for more info.
00:39:55
◼
►
Would you be willing to be a tech expert,
00:39:57
◼
►
like someone on the judging side of the table
00:39:59
◼
►
as opposed to the more participatory side of the table,
00:40:02
◼
►
if that makes sense?
00:40:03
◼
►
- I don't know, I would certainly be more likely
00:40:07
◼
►
to consider that, but honestly the reality is
00:40:10
◼
►
they would never ask me.
00:40:11
◼
►
Like I-- - Oh, surely not.
00:40:13
◼
►
- Not even, I'm not even close to famous enough for that.
00:40:18
◼
►
not even in the ballpark.
00:40:20
◼
►
I wouldn't even be on the WB version of this show.
00:40:26
◼
►
Not even close.
00:40:27
◼
►
And so it's not even, that's like saying,
00:40:30
◼
►
would you accept it if they offered you
00:40:32
◼
►
to be the new head of the App Store?
00:40:33
◼
►
It's like, well, yeah, I'd probably consider that,
00:40:35
◼
►
but they won't, so there's no reason
00:40:38
◼
►
to really give much thought to it.
00:40:40
◼
►
- Head of the App Store would be a better gig, though,
00:40:42
◼
►
because even though being a judge is slightly better
00:40:44
◼
►
than being a participant, it's not much better,
00:40:47
◼
►
because you're not the showrunner,
00:40:48
◼
►
you don't just make editorial decisions,
00:40:50
◼
►
you are just another character on the show
00:40:52
◼
►
and you have more free reign to define your own character
00:40:54
◼
►
if you're a judge, but you will play a character
00:40:57
◼
►
in that role and you won't have control
00:40:59
◼
►
with the final edit, you won't even have control
00:41:01
◼
►
over all the decisions that are made on the show.
00:41:03
◼
►
So it is entirely like, you would be a cog
00:41:05
◼
►
in someone else's machine in that situation.
00:41:07
◼
►
Marco was really bad at being a cog
00:41:09
◼
►
in someone else's machine, so I think he should not take it
00:41:11
◼
►
even if they offered it to him.
00:41:12
◼
►
I wouldn't take it just because I wouldn't wanna be on TV.
00:41:15
◼
►
I mean, I don't even do public speaking for "Crying a Lot",
00:41:17
◼
►
I want to be on a TV show, but I thought I could think of a lot of other people who I think would be good
00:41:22
◼
►
celebrity judges like people who are
00:41:24
◼
►
You know would feel that role
00:41:27
◼
►
Well be not because they're the best, you know tech expert or the best mentor
00:41:31
◼
►
But that's not what these things are about a reality show is about you have to have an entertaining cast of characters
00:41:35
◼
►
Hopefully they have some skills and you know you like and have some stake in it and they're genuine or interesting people not just saying
00:41:41
◼
►
They're all like a bunch of phonies, but that's what makes for good television. So you need
00:41:46
◼
►
Different types to mix together like I would say that for example Larry Ellison would be an interesting judge
00:41:52
◼
►
And that's just because he's so like
00:41:54
◼
►
cartoonish the evil like the persona that is the public persona that he has and
00:41:57
◼
►
Usually there's a spot on a reality show for someone to be like the cartoonish the evil mustache twisting villain, right?
00:42:03
◼
►
So he could slot right into that, you know
00:42:05
◼
►
We in the various messages that I'm going around slacks and stuff
00:42:10
◼
►
I've seen a few developed people that we know consider applying as participants
00:42:14
◼
►
Just as a lark type of thing. I haven't seen anyone interested in applying for judge things
00:42:21
◼
►
but I think that's the type of thing where they have to call you but I have a feeling that the
00:42:25
◼
►
People who would be good would also say no
00:42:30
◼
►
their judging panel is not going to have the brightest lights ever industry in it and
00:42:34
◼
►
It's gonna be difficult to find
00:42:37
◼
►
To make interesting characters out of well-known celebrities
00:42:41
◼
►
I think that the best bet is to have three or four people
00:42:43
◼
►
who we've never heard of but who turn out to be really good
00:42:46
◼
►
as judges on a reality show.
00:42:48
◼
►
- Well, it's probably gonna be people who want or need
00:42:52
◼
►
to be in Apple's good graces for Apple Music promotion
00:42:56
◼
►
It's gonna be that combination.
00:42:57
◼
►
You're gonna have a couple of probably B-list celebrities
00:43:01
◼
►
or musicians who were popular five years ago.
00:43:05
◼
►
You're gonna have somebody like that.
00:43:06
◼
►
You're gonna have a couple of celebrities and VCs.
00:43:10
◼
►
and that's the story.
00:43:11
◼
►
Like, the judges, you know,
00:43:14
◼
►
with these kind of reality shows,
00:43:15
◼
►
the judges are often used to attract the audience.
00:43:18
◼
►
You know, so that's why they try to get celebrity judges,
00:43:21
◼
►
because they know that people will tune in
00:43:22
◼
►
to watch those judges judge the apps, right?
00:43:25
◼
►
And then you're gonna have VCs,
00:43:26
◼
►
because they're gonna be the ones
00:43:27
◼
►
who actually know a little bit more about the business.
00:43:29
◼
►
I feel like I kind of have to point out,
00:43:31
◼
►
the world that Apple is going to promote here
00:43:34
◼
►
is most likely not the world that like,
00:43:37
◼
►
we and our friends and the apps that we talk about
00:43:40
◼
►
on our podcast, it's not the world that we all live in.
00:43:43
◼
►
It's the entire rest of the App Store where it's,
00:43:46
◼
►
well, not the rest of the App Store,
00:43:47
◼
►
but it's the rest of the big money side
00:43:49
◼
►
of the App Store at least, where it is VC funded,
00:43:52
◼
►
it is driven by these hit-driven, usually,
00:43:55
◼
►
IAP games or things like that.
00:43:58
◼
►
It's gonna be that kind of stuff in all likelihood.
00:44:01
◼
►
It's not going to be one person toiling away
00:44:05
◼
►
to really polish the crap out of one amazing productivity app
00:44:09
◼
►
and try to sell it for 10 bucks a year.
00:44:12
◼
►
That's not gonna be what this show is about
00:44:13
◼
►
in all likelihood.
00:44:14
◼
►
It's way more likely that it's gonna be like,
00:44:16
◼
►
we're making a startup that's gonna help connect people
00:44:18
◼
►
to do this amazing task together,
00:44:21
◼
►
and we're gonna get 10 million users in the first year,
00:44:23
◼
►
and then figure out monetization later.
00:44:24
◼
►
It's gonna be that kind of app.
00:44:26
◼
►
It's not gonna be, you know, drafts.
00:44:28
◼
►
- I feel like I have more faith in, for example,
00:44:31
◼
►
a music executive's ability to judge musical talent
00:44:35
◼
►
to say, "Can I take this person and make an album with them
00:44:38
◼
►
that will sell a lot of copies.
00:44:40
◼
►
That, I would say, is a more refined
00:44:44
◼
►
and more predictable art,
00:44:44
◼
►
even though it's still difficult to pick,
00:44:46
◼
►
but the people who are good at that,
00:44:47
◼
►
I feel like are much better at that than VC,
00:44:49
◼
►
which is just a bunch of people who all know nothing.
00:44:51
◼
►
In fact, almost all have exactly the wrong idea
00:44:53
◼
►
about everything.
00:44:54
◼
►
VC is like two orders of magnitude,
00:44:56
◼
►
more unpredictable, more difficult to figure out
00:45:00
◼
►
what is gonna be a hit.
00:45:02
◼
►
That's why VCs throw money everywhere.
00:45:04
◼
►
You throw the money at a thousand companies,
00:45:05
◼
►
just hoping one of them will be your magical unicorn
00:45:08
◼
►
that makes you billions of dollars,
00:45:09
◼
►
but that means you're wrong 999 times.
00:45:13
◼
►
And I think you're right that it's gonna be a bunch of VCs
00:45:16
◼
►
and there's nothing worse than hearing VCs be like,
00:45:19
◼
►
hmm, I'm gonna tell you why your business is gonna,
00:45:23
◼
►
like they'd have no idea what's gonna succeed
00:45:24
◼
►
and what's gonna fail,
00:45:25
◼
►
especially just a small handful of VCs, forget it.
00:45:29
◼
►
Like it's gonna be hard for me to take them,
00:45:31
◼
►
any of them seriously.
00:45:32
◼
►
Every time they make a judgment, it'd be like,
00:45:35
◼
►
What current unicorns did you pass on and tell me the 999 things that you funded that
00:45:41
◼
►
thought were going to be the next big thing that were all dumb ideas that fizzled out,
00:45:45
◼
►
It's a lot easier to go to a record executive and say, "Tell me all of the people who turned
00:45:51
◼
►
out hits for you and how many people did you take under your wing that turned out to do
00:45:56
◼
►
nothing good?"
00:45:57
◼
►
The ratios are just so hard in venture capital for technology companies that this is going
00:46:02
◼
►
to be comical.
00:46:03
◼
►
it's easier on like on Shark Tank to come up with like business ideas for concrete things because
00:46:07
◼
►
in the world of apps and you know digital stuff and software and all that it's just
00:46:14
◼
►
it's so unpredictable and pretty much every idea that turns out to be really big
00:46:19
◼
►
is the idea that most people hate when they first hear it.
00:46:22
◼
►
Oh goodness yeah I am not looking forward to the unbelievable complaining and moaning that will
00:46:30
◼
►
happen from our community when we realize, as both of you have said, that this show was
00:46:34
◼
►
not made for us. One other interesting point that's on their FAQ, "Will I be required
00:46:39
◼
►
to give up a percentage of equity?" Answer, those that appear on the show will not be
00:46:43
◼
►
required to give up equity unless they choose to accept an offer from one of the angel advisors
00:46:48
◼
►
or investors, which is just further reason to make me believe this is basically Shark
00:46:53
◼
►
Tank but for apps.
00:46:54
◼
►
- Well, that's good to know though,
00:46:56
◼
►
'cause that means that the VC component is optional,
00:47:00
◼
►
which is nice.
00:47:00
◼
►
You know, that would make it a little more interesting.
00:47:03
◼
►
- But then what do you win?
00:47:04
◼
►
- I guess you win like prestige and promotion.
00:47:07
◼
►
- Like bragging rights and now your name is out there
00:47:09
◼
►
and it's easier for you to find funding
00:47:10
◼
►
because you're the guy that won on the show or whatever.
00:47:12
◼
►
It would be better if it was just a plain old cash prize.
00:47:14
◼
►
- Okay, those accepted will have a chance to receive.
00:47:16
◼
►
This is from the about page.
00:47:18
◼
►
One, mentorship, hands-on guidance
00:47:19
◼
►
from some of the world's best experts
00:47:20
◼
►
in tech and entertainment.
00:47:21
◼
►
Two, funding, those who make it to the final round
00:47:24
◼
►
We'll meet with top tier VCs investing up to $10 million
00:47:27
◼
►
over the course of the season.
00:47:29
◼
►
Three, marketing promotion.
00:47:30
◼
►
Featured placement on the app store at the end of the show.
00:47:32
◼
►
Also the potential to reach millions of viewers
00:47:34
◼
►
around the world on Apple platforms.
00:47:36
◼
►
So that is what you're potentially going to receive.
00:47:40
◼
►
Participation in the show is limited to 100
00:47:42
◼
►
of the world's most talented app creators.
00:47:44
◼
►
If that's you, please join us, and that's a link.
00:47:47
◼
►
So that's the playing field that we're dealing with.
00:47:50
◼
►
- So they get nothing, they get featured,
00:47:51
◼
►
which happens to people for free all the time,
00:47:53
◼
►
Granted, you don't have control of it,
00:47:54
◼
►
and this is a guarantee of being featured,
00:47:56
◼
►
but so what, being featured is not going to make you,
00:47:58
◼
►
guaranteed to make you a bazillionaire.
00:47:59
◼
►
You got the VC, which is like a monkey's paw
00:48:03
◼
►
if ever there was one.
00:48:05
◼
►
If you really do have a good app idea,
00:48:07
◼
►
you probably don't need the VC
00:48:08
◼
►
unless your business model demands
00:48:09
◼
►
a huge amount of upfront costs,
00:48:11
◼
►
then you're making a deal with the devil, most likely.
00:48:13
◼
►
I can't imagine that the best friendliest VCs
00:48:16
◼
►
are gonna be part of this thing,
00:48:17
◼
►
and it's only $10 million anyway.
00:48:18
◼
►
- And that's up to 10 million total.
00:48:21
◼
►
So each app you're looking at,
00:48:23
◼
►
if you actually have these people invest in your app,
00:48:26
◼
►
how many apps are, you might get a few hundred thousand
00:48:28
◼
►
dollars, which is, sounds like a lot of money,
00:48:31
◼
►
but for VC money funding an app,
00:48:33
◼
►
that's not that much money really.
00:48:35
◼
►
- Yeah, and then like, but there's no,
00:48:38
◼
►
there is no like guaranteed big like,
00:48:41
◼
►
you're gonna get 10 million dollars in cash.
00:48:43
◼
►
Like guaranteed, you know, here you go,
00:48:45
◼
►
that's your prize in the show,
00:48:47
◼
►
like getting to the end of a game show or whatever.
00:48:49
◼
►
The winner will get, whatever it is,
00:48:51
◼
►
even if it was just $1 million in cash,
00:48:53
◼
►
I think that would be more attractive to more people
00:48:57
◼
►
because who is going to read this and say,
00:49:00
◼
►
"I really wanna go on this show and I really wanna win."
00:49:03
◼
►
Only somebody who doesn't have like,
00:49:07
◼
►
I think the reason Marco shouldn't do it
00:49:08
◼
►
is if he had a good idea for an app,
00:49:10
◼
►
he wouldn't spend his time trying to convince
00:49:11
◼
►
a bunch of doofus VCs that it's a great idea.
00:49:14
◼
►
He would just make the app
00:49:15
◼
►
and he doesn't need other people to help him make the app
00:49:17
◼
►
unless his idea is again, one of those ideas where it's like,
00:49:19
◼
►
"I can't even get this app off of both the ground
00:49:20
◼
►
until I have millions of dollars,
00:49:22
◼
►
because it's kind of one of those things
00:49:23
◼
►
where you need a critical mass before it becomes,
00:49:25
◼
►
like Uber or something.
00:49:26
◼
►
If you had the idea for Uber,
00:49:28
◼
►
you can't really make that app yourself
00:49:29
◼
►
because you need drivers and people to manage them,
00:49:32
◼
►
and there's much more to it to even just get off the ground
00:49:34
◼
►
to get a critical mass of like,
00:49:36
◼
►
in one city can someone actually use my app
00:49:38
◼
►
to actually get a car?
00:49:39
◼
►
That takes a lot of money just to get to that point, right?
00:49:42
◼
►
So the Uber is an example idea that you would need VC for,
00:49:45
◼
►
but for an app that you're gonna make on a show by yourself,
00:49:48
◼
►
just make it yourself.
00:49:49
◼
►
So the only people I think who would be attracted to this are like, "I've never done this before
00:49:52
◼
►
and this seems like a way that I can become successful faster if I happen to win."
00:49:57
◼
►
And who knows, maybe it is, but I just like, that's why I think it's going to attract new
00:50:02
◼
►
people and not people who already know how to make apps because why don't they just make
00:50:07
◼
►
the app then?
00:50:08
◼
►
Like why spend your time arguing to the Shark Tank people that you have a great idea?
00:50:12
◼
►
If it's a great idea, it'll be a great idea.
00:50:13
◼
►
If it isn't a great idea, it won't be a great idea.
00:50:15
◼
►
mentorship and their advice is probably not going to mean that much because every successful
00:50:21
◼
►
app has had tons of people tell them it's a terrible idea and every app that is a dud
00:50:25
◼
►
has had tons of people tell them it's awesome. So it's a crapshoot.
00:50:29
◼
►
Yeah, I would also point out for anybody who has never dealt with the role of VC before
00:50:35
◼
►
that when you get VC investment money, this is not a gift. This is not a prize. This is
00:50:41
◼
►
a massive obligation. You basically hire yourselves a whole bunch of bosses who really want a
00:50:51
◼
►
certain way of doing things because you're taking a lot of their money. Again, not a
00:50:55
◼
►
gift. You are taking a lot of their money and investing it in your company and you are
00:51:01
◼
►
responsible from that point forward for providing them a large return at some point in the future
00:51:06
◼
►
and they're a little bit impatient about when that is. Understandably because you're
00:51:10
◼
►
taking a lot of their money.
00:51:11
◼
►
So, if you take VC money, you basically get put on a track
00:51:16
◼
►
where, okay, now the next step is,
00:51:18
◼
►
first of all, you have to spend a slice of this money
00:51:20
◼
►
setting up the company exactly the way they want you to,
00:51:22
◼
►
legal fees, corporate, all this stuff.
00:51:25
◼
►
Then you have to hire a staff on their time scale.
00:51:27
◼
►
They are going to tell you,
00:51:28
◼
►
"We want you to do this, this, and this.
00:51:30
◼
►
"We want you to hit these growth targets,
00:51:31
◼
►
"and you better have a plan.
00:51:32
◼
►
"How are you gonna do that?
00:51:33
◼
►
"And you better show us that plan
00:51:34
◼
►
"before we even consider it."
00:51:36
◼
►
It's a very high pressure track
00:51:40
◼
►
that you're put on, they aren't interested
00:51:42
◼
►
in investing in something that is going to bring you
00:51:45
◼
►
$100,000 a year for the next 10 years as a personal income.
00:51:49
◼
►
They don't care about that at all.
00:51:50
◼
►
They don't wanna give you money out of their pocket
00:51:54
◼
►
to get that kind of return.
00:51:56
◼
►
They're investing in you and they want you to grow
00:51:58
◼
►
as big and as quickly as possible
00:52:00
◼
►
because there is a chance, as I mentioned, a small chance,
00:52:02
◼
►
but there is a chance that if you do that,
00:52:05
◼
►
you will get them millions of dollars in return.
00:52:07
◼
►
That's how their business works.
00:52:09
◼
►
that's how it operates, that is what funds it, is those big hits that come along. So
00:52:14
◼
►
they aren't interested in your lifestyle business. To them, lifestyle business is a
00:52:18
◼
►
derogatory term, even though that describes everything I've ever done besides Tumblr.
00:52:22
◼
►
But they don't want that because that's not what their money is, you know, that's
00:52:25
◼
►
not, you're too risky taking their money to just try to do that. They need big things
00:52:30
◼
►
out of you and so the pressure will be on you from that moment forward to make your
00:52:34
◼
►
thing big and huge and grow very quickly and take over the world and at least try to. Their
00:52:40
◼
►
goal is to make you burn through that money really quickly because they want you to be
00:52:45
◼
►
spending it on growth, on hiring people, on scaling, on acquiring new users or whatever
00:52:50
◼
►
the case may be. They want you to be burning that money quickly and unsustainably because
00:52:54
◼
►
they know if you hit that growth you can always get more VC money. You can raise additional
00:52:57
◼
►
rounds if you're growing. If you're not growing, you'll crash and burn. They don't care. They
00:53:01
◼
►
move on. There are advantages to the system. There's lots of things that require this
00:53:05
◼
►
kind of funding to really get off the ground, but this is what they're awarding you with
00:53:13
◼
►
this show. That is the path that they're trying to put you on here. And it might work
00:53:17
◼
►
for you and it might not, but if you're the kind of person like me who prefers to
00:53:21
◼
►
do things like independently as "lifestyle businesses" and just have things that are
00:53:25
◼
►
sustainable over long periods, this is not for you.
00:53:28
◼
►
I think the one upside potentially is that the only reason VCs are on this program is
00:53:33
◼
►
not that they have any expectation that the winner is going to return an investment.
00:53:36
◼
►
In fact, I think there'll be less pressure on the winner because I think the main reason
00:53:41
◼
►
VCs are on the show is to increase their stature in the VC community.
00:53:44
◼
►
Like, "Oh, you were the judge on that show."
00:53:46
◼
►
And during the course of the judging, they're going to try to demonstrate how wise they
00:53:50
◼
►
are and how knowledgeable they are about the market and how they can judge good ideas from
00:53:54
◼
►
bad in an effort to get more people to come to them. And you know, like they're, they're
00:53:59
◼
►
basically doing it as a giant advertisement for themselves to become more prominent, more
00:54:04
◼
►
powerful VCs, right? And the fact that they're going to give some winner some amount of money,
00:54:08
◼
►
I think there's less pressure on them because they feel like, even when this thing does
00:54:13
◼
►
not give me any return on investment, me starring on this show will be that's the that's the
00:54:18
◼
►
real return on investment I'm getting that I get to do this fun thing for a short period
00:54:21
◼
►
of time and it will raise my profile in the VC community, provided I play my cards right
00:54:28
◼
►
and end up not being the doofus judge that everybody hates or whatever, or it looks like
00:54:32
◼
►
they don't know what they're doing, right? So that little bit of return takes a little
00:54:36
◼
►
bit of pressure off the person who wins to say, "Oh yeah, no, whatever. Do whatever
00:54:40
◼
►
you're going to do with your business." But I feel like I already got my money's
00:54:42
◼
►
worth by getting my name out there on this TV show.
00:54:46
◼
►
One thing I'm also really curious to see creatively about this show is a lot of the
00:54:51
◼
►
challenges of app development and a lot of what makes it a really tough grind is things
00:54:57
◼
►
about Apple that are bad. How are they going to frame this exactly? Are they even going
00:55:06
◼
►
to try to accurately portray what it is like being an app developer, the good and the bad,
00:55:11
◼
►
including the bad that is a result of Apple's shortcomings or Apple's policies or Apple's
00:55:15
◼
►
- Oh, they're gonna paper over that.
00:55:18
◼
►
- Like how do they paper over that
00:55:19
◼
►
in a way that is at all genuine?
00:55:21
◼
►
And then how valuable is the resulting show, really?
00:55:24
◼
►
- Like I don't think they're gonna show them
00:55:25
◼
►
submitting their apps to the App Store,
00:55:27
◼
►
but they're just gonna say,
00:55:27
◼
►
"Whoever wins this thing,
00:55:30
◼
►
"Apple will make sure that their app
00:55:32
◼
►
"gets through to the App Store.
00:55:33
◼
►
"They will work privately, individually,
00:55:35
◼
►
"with the winner to do whatever it takes
00:55:37
◼
►
"to fix their sandboxing bugs,
00:55:38
◼
►
"and that will all happen off camera."
00:55:40
◼
►
And it's just like,
00:55:41
◼
►
"Don't worry, when you're done,
00:55:42
◼
►
"your app will be up on the App Store."
00:55:44
◼
►
They're never gonna show the process of submitting
00:55:46
◼
►
and getting your app rejected and then getting
00:55:48
◼
►
these form letters back and trying to explain,
00:55:49
◼
►
no, you don't understand, I'm not opening that file.
00:55:52
◼
►
It's something in your framework.
00:55:53
◼
►
Here's a demo program, sorry.
00:55:55
◼
►
They're never gonna show that.
00:55:57
◼
►
A, it's too esoteric, and B, that entire part of the process
00:56:00
◼
►
is going to be just hand-waved away.
00:56:03
◼
►
It'll just be a sentence at the end of the thing,
00:56:05
◼
►
and your app will be in the App Store eventually.
00:56:08
◼
►
'Cause the apps don't need to be in the App Store
00:56:10
◼
►
until you're essentially the winner, right?
00:56:11
◼
►
So it's not as if they need to be constantly submitting.
00:56:13
◼
►
It says here in the FAQ, how far along in the development process
00:56:17
◼
►
does my app have to be?
00:56:18
◼
►
The app must be in a beta or functional state by October 21.
00:56:22
◼
►
So that does not by necessity means it need mean it needs to be in the app store.
00:56:26
◼
►
So I was wrong about that.
00:56:27
◼
►
Well, anyway, that part of the process will be like.
00:56:29
◼
►
It will be, if you don't know what submitting to the app store is like, it
00:56:32
◼
►
will seem like it's just as simple as sending something in the mail to somebody.
00:56:36
◼
►
Oh, you just submit it to the app store.
00:56:37
◼
►
Like I can't imagine they would focus on rejection.
00:56:40
◼
►
And I mean, unless they want to make that the dramatic part of the program to show your
00:56:44
◼
►
app was rejected because it crashed and it looks like it's your fault.
00:56:46
◼
►
Like none of it is, if they do that at all, it's not going to be shown to be Apple's
00:56:51
◼
►
And either rejections will not be a misunderstanding in Apple's fault.
00:56:52
◼
►
It'll just be like, "Oh, your app got rejected from the store because it crashed."
00:56:55
◼
►
Because every viewer can understand that, "Oh, you did that.
00:56:58
◼
►
That was your mistake.
00:56:59
◼
►
Apple is perfect and nice and they would never reject your app for any reason, except for
00:57:03
◼
►
because it doesn't work right or it's malicious or it crashes."
00:57:05
◼
►
- Yeah, I mean this is the kind of thing where
00:57:08
◼
►
just creatively it seems like it would probably have
00:57:11
◼
►
way better chances of being a good show
00:57:14
◼
►
if Apple wasn't involved in it.
00:57:16
◼
►
But unfortunately, this is an Apple produced show.
00:57:20
◼
►
You can look at some companies and they're able to like
00:57:22
◼
►
be producers of things but still have jokes made
00:57:24
◼
►
at their expense or have themselves made look bad.
00:57:27
◼
►
Apple is not one of these companies.
00:57:29
◼
►
Apple does not have any flex on like the sense of humor
00:57:34
◼
►
about itself and its own flaws,
00:57:37
◼
►
like they would never in a million years
00:57:40
◼
►
produce something like this
00:57:42
◼
►
that would show any part of them in a bad light.
00:57:45
◼
►
So is this really gonna be watchable
00:57:48
◼
►
or is it gonna just seem like
00:57:50
◼
►
an overly long WWDC promotion video?
00:57:53
◼
►
- We'll see, so that actually is a nice segue
00:57:56
◼
►
to what I was going to bring up.
00:57:58
◼
►
I noticed at the bottom of at least a couple of the pages
00:58:02
◼
►
on planetoftheapps.com,
00:58:03
◼
►
it says something about Prospect Productions. And so I did a smidge of digging, and I believe
00:58:08
◼
►
I've come up with the right Prospect Productions. And this is prospectproduction.com, and if
00:58:12
◼
►
you go to prospectproduction.com/works, you can see some of the stuff they've done in
00:58:16
◼
►
the past. And much to my surprise, a large majority of what they've worked on is sports-related.
00:58:25
◼
►
So just looking at the sections they have, there's a music video by James Taylor, but
00:58:32
◼
►
it's the Angels of Fenway, which is a baseball stadium. There's an on-the-trail section,
00:58:37
◼
►
which I figured you'd be confused. There's an on-the-trail section that is not sports-related,
00:58:43
◼
►
but then there's legendary, which is about sports. 30 for 30 shorts, which is sports.
00:58:48
◼
►
Victory Journal/Powerade Sports, Major League Soccer, Major League Soccer Insider, something
00:58:52
◼
►
unrelated, ESPN Sunday Night Baseball. And so there's all sorts of sports-related stuff.
00:58:58
◼
►
And then some stuff for the Huffington Post as well.
00:59:00
◼
►
So it is not exclude or their history is not exclusively sports, but seems overwhelmingly
00:59:06
◼
►
to be sport related, which I think is a good thing because that'll probably I'm hoping
00:59:14
◼
►
that that'll they'll understand how to make something that sometimes is inherently boring
00:59:18
◼
►
like baseball into something exciting.
00:59:21
◼
►
So maybe they can make something else that's inherently boring like development into something
00:59:25
◼
►
exciting which would be neat.
00:59:27
◼
►
This is way easier to make exciting because it's a competition and there's winners and
00:59:30
◼
►
losers and points scored and...
00:59:32
◼
►
But there is here!
00:59:34
◼
►
Yeah, but it's artificially a competition.
00:59:37
◼
►
It's not a zero-sum game where there's a winner and loser in the App Store like a baseball
00:59:40
◼
►
game is where there's two teams face off and one is gonna win and one is gonna lose or
00:59:44
◼
►
it's gonna get rained out.
00:59:46
◼
►
But sports are so much easier to make dramatic.
00:59:51
◼
►
All those sort of long segments that run in the Olympics where they tell you the backstory
00:59:54
◼
►
and what hometown the person came from and how long she trained and she woke up at 5am for years
00:59:59
◼
►
and she overcame this and one of her parents died and then she's like that's so easy to do in terms
01:00:05
◼
►
of personal drama and because like all of it at the end is gonna will they get the gold medal
01:00:09
◼
►
will they win will they vanquish their rivals every one of these sports has a clear like first
01:00:14
◼
►
second third fourth place you know gold silver bronze app development is not like that like
01:00:19
◼
►
yeah you know steve job said it for apples to succeed microsoft doesn't have to lose
01:00:23
◼
►
and for you to win, only in this artificial reality show do your other app developers
01:00:27
◼
►
have to lose. In reality, for you to win, you don't have to sabotage your other app
01:00:32
◼
►
developers by adding stray semicolons to their Swift code or whatever.
01:00:36
◼
►
We're sponsored tonight by Betterment. Betterment is the largest independent automated investing
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Betterment, investing made better.
01:01:28
◼
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- Quick spot of real time follow up.
01:01:33
◼
►
Listener Rob Travis has written in via Twitter,
01:01:37
◼
►
and I'm quoting, "I had the same random reboot problem
01:01:41
◼
►
"with a new 5K iMac and 32 gigs of OWC RAM.
01:01:44
◼
►
"OWC swapped the RAM and it has not happened since.
01:01:47
◼
►
not happened since. Boom! That may or may not have anything to do with my issue, but
01:01:52
◼
►
I'm claiming it as fact that that's the problem. Anyway, let's move on before you yell at me.
01:01:58
◼
►
Let's talk about Pokemon Go. It's not Pokemon, right? It's Pokemon, I think? Something like
01:02:03
◼
►
I have no idea. Are you trying to make us forget about the GPU freeze? Is that what's
01:02:06
◼
►
happening now?
01:02:07
◼
►
Yeah, pretty much. Moving on. So Pokemon Go--
01:02:09
◼
►
It could be multiple issues.
01:02:11
◼
►
Damn it, you too.
01:02:13
◼
►
So Pokemon Go is a new kind of augmented reality, kind of not game that came out, I guess in the last week.
01:02:22
◼
►
And I'm not really sure what to make of it. Have either of you guys installed and/or played it?
01:02:29
◼
►
Good talk. So is this all on me?
01:02:31
◼
►
I was going to say, all three of us, I would imagine that none of us have installed or played this game.
01:02:35
◼
►
played this game. So the only thing we can talk about is the phenomenon that we observe
01:02:39
◼
►
from the outside of other people installing and playing this game.
01:02:42
◼
►
No, I've played it. Oh, you have? You have an install?
01:02:44
◼
►
Mm-hmm. That surprises me. Did you play any other Pokémon
01:02:47
◼
►
games? I did not. And in fact, also plugging my appearance
01:02:51
◼
►
on Clockwise 145, because we've talked about this today as well, when I was in high school
01:02:56
◼
►
and early on in college, I worked at a Babbage's, which was kind of like an electronics boutique.
01:03:01
◼
►
It was basically a video game and software store.
01:03:04
◼
►
And this was around the time that Pokemon cards were popular.
01:03:08
◼
►
And this was a collectible card game much like Magic the Gathering, which was popular,
01:03:12
◼
►
well, more popular a couple of years prior.
01:03:15
◼
►
And so every day when I was working, at least every weekday when I was working in the evenings,
01:03:22
◼
►
or afternoons rather, the phones would light up as soon as the elementary and middle schools
01:03:29
◼
►
were let out.
01:03:30
◼
►
And it would go approximately like this, "Brrring!
01:03:33
◼
►
Hi, thank you for calling Babbages, this is Casey, how can I help you?
01:03:36
◼
►
Do you have any Pokemon cards?
01:03:38
◼
►
Nope, sorry, we're sold out, try again in a week.
01:03:41
◼
►
Do you have any Pokemon cards?
01:03:43
◼
►
Nope, I'm sorry, that was like three hours of work, was just answering the non-stop phone
01:03:48
◼
►
for people looking for Pokemon cards.
01:03:50
◼
►
I don't like it when people say that they had PTSD about things that are not stressful,
01:03:54
◼
►
and so I won't say that, but let's just say I am predisposed to not like Pokemon.
01:03:59
◼
►
That being said, I've installed the game and I can see why it would be fun.
01:04:01
◼
►
Did you ever play the card game when you were working there?
01:04:04
◼
►
I did not, and I've never played the video game either.
01:04:07
◼
►
So this is your very first Pokémon game, and I'm assuming the only reason you downloaded
01:04:11
◼
►
it is because it's so popular and you're seeing everything about it, other people talking
01:04:16
◼
►
And because you have a phone and you're like, "Hey, I can run that game."
01:04:18
◼
►
And I was vaguely familiar with the premise of the game, very, very vaguely.
01:04:25
◼
►
I know you have to collect these little monstery things, and like, you fight the monstery thing
01:04:29
◼
►
I think. It doesn't matter if I'm wrong. You don't have to write in and correct me.
01:04:33
◼
►
I'm just telling you what I thought at the time.
01:04:35
◼
►
And so I've installed the game, and it doesn't tell me a whole lot more about what the purpose of everything is.
01:04:42
◼
►
It's like the cat game. You need Tiffer to explain it to you.
01:04:45
◼
►
Oh, God. Hi. That was random and unexpected.
01:04:48
◼
►
John said my name, so I appeared.
01:04:51
◼
►
I summoned her. If you say her name once, she appears.
01:04:54
◼
►
No, no. You say it into the mirror at night.
01:04:56
◼
►
I thought it was three, but it would be wrong of me to compare you to Beetlejuice.
01:05:01
◼
►
Apologies for being so confused. That was like eerily great timing. I was not prepared
01:05:05
◼
►
for that, and we were not warned.
01:05:07
◼
►
Well, I figured I'd replace myself with Tiff because I haven't installed the game, but
01:05:11
◼
►
she has, so I quit. Here's Tiff.
01:05:14
◼
►
Okay, so to set you up, Tiff, since I presume you haven't heard much of what we were just
01:05:19
◼
►
talking about, basically—
01:05:20
◼
►
I just heard you talking that you worked in a store and there were cards and yeah, yeah,
01:05:26
◼
►
So tell me, what is the purpose of Pokemon Go?
01:05:29
◼
►
Because I've played enough that I think I understand it, but I probably do not understand
01:05:32
◼
►
it as well as you do.
01:05:34
◼
►
From what I understand is that you walk around, you gather Pokemon, and they have different
01:05:40
◼
►
points and then there are gyms at public places that you can go to and you form teams with
01:05:46
◼
►
people and once you are a certain level, you're able to train at the gym and you can train
01:05:52
◼
►
your Pokemon to get more hit points and then you can fight other Pokemon and
01:05:56
◼
►
it's your kind of goal is to take control of the gym from other teams so
01:06:01
◼
►
you can like at different times of times of day one team can show up take control
01:06:07
◼
►
of the gym with like a really high level Pokemon if then they leave it because
01:06:11
◼
►
you can't stick around you have to be at the location in order to play at the gym
01:06:15
◼
►
and then so they leave and another team can come in and take control of the gym
01:06:20
◼
►
also so it's kind of like a locational strategy kind of thing I don't know my
01:06:25
◼
►
experience from Pokemon before was the card game my brother played it when he
01:06:29
◼
►
was young because I was just a little bit too old for it I just missed it and
01:06:33
◼
►
then I remember he used to watch the TV show so I do remember that so I think
01:06:38
◼
►
it's kind of like the TV show oh that's right I forgot there was a TV show yeah
01:06:41
◼
►
it was like a cartoon right so right right right right I forgot about that
01:06:44
◼
►
yeah I mean I was playing it Marco got pretty pissed with me on the walk the
01:06:49
◼
►
other day because I kept stopping to catch Pokemon and he is like this is the
01:06:53
◼
►
worst walk he was getting so mad I'm like you need to chill. Nothing is worse than if you are trying to walk
01:07:01
◼
►
somewhere with somebody else who is playing Pokemon Go. It was just once I mean come on it's not
01:07:06
◼
►
like every walk I'm running around playing Pokemon but I was driving today
01:07:10
◼
►
seeing this kid like kind of wandering on the side of the road it says right in
01:07:14
◼
►
the beginning of the game like please be aware of your surroundings because like
01:07:17
◼
►
people walk into polls and stuff apparently while playing this and some
01:07:21
◼
►
I'm driving and I'm like watching this kid kind of like swervy walking next to
01:07:26
◼
►
the road I'm like oh this kid's totally playing Pokemon go and I drive past
01:07:30
◼
►
really slow he's reading a book like a real book I thought that was even more
01:07:34
◼
►
strange than Pokemon go like walking around reading a real book but anyway
01:07:39
◼
►
oh goodness Pokemon all right how so have you any so have you dudes played
01:07:43
◼
►
yet yeah so I have and apparently John and Marco have not and it's funny you
01:07:47
◼
►
talk about Marco getting frustrated during the walk because in the evenings
01:07:51
◼
►
for the last few weeks I've been taking Declan on a walk and giving Erin a
01:07:54
◼
►
little time to herself because she's been with him all day and today I had my
01:07:58
◼
►
phone out just kind of periodically glancing to see if there were any
01:08:01
◼
►
Pokemon nearby and at one point there was and so I stopped long enough to
01:08:04
◼
►
catch it and I hear this little voice from the stroller in front of me push
01:08:08
◼
►
push telling me and telling me basically would you get the show on the road I'm
01:08:13
◼
►
tired of standing still. So even Declan was frustrated. So what level are you? Ah shoot,
01:08:19
◼
►
I don't know. Let me, well, let me keep running my mouth while I look. But um, well see, I just
01:08:23
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got to level five so that means I get to go to the gym. So I'm pretty psyched. Oh, you are ahead of
01:08:27
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me. So what's fascinating, and all kidding aside, like whether or not you find the game to be
01:08:32
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interesting or worthwhile, this collective you, what's fascinating to me about this game is that
01:08:36
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it's got several different very interesting components all in one. I am level three,
01:08:40
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by the way. It's got several different components that are all rolled in. It's such a noob that are
01:08:45
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all rolled into one. So there's the location awareness sort of thing. And this is what Tiff
01:08:50
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was talking about earlier. There are gyms and there are, what are they? Poke stops? Yeah,
01:08:55
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that's where you can pick up Poke balls or you can get eggs there. And eggs you have to, do you know
01:09:00
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about the eggs yet? Like the eggs? I've been told about them. What language is this? This is nowhere
01:09:05
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near Destiny, so don't even start your whining. But what I find great about it is that you have
01:09:09
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to actually walk to physical locations to do these things and you have to be at
01:09:14
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the location for a certain amount of time so just driving around you can't
01:09:18
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hit up all of these things because by the time you're driving past it and kind
01:09:22
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of the flow of traffic you can't like you have to spin the poké stops in order
01:09:28
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to collect the poké balls to catch your pokémon wait just to clarify when you
01:09:32
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were out driving today were you trying to play pokémon to test all this out
01:09:35
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not while I was driving I mean but while other people were driving like when I
01:09:39
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went to Target with Tanya the other day, I was like, "I'm totally gonna try and play Pokemon while
01:09:44
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we're driving," and pretend I was listening to what we were talking about. But no, I tried it,
01:09:50
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and it didn't work, and so I put my phone away like a gentleman. Wow. So to build on what Tiff
01:09:55
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was saying, so there's these Poke stops where you can, like Tiff said, you can collect items
01:10:00
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and whatnot, and then there's the gyms where you can get into, I guess, like royal rumbles with
01:10:04
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other people, and then as you're walking around, you can just stumble upon the Pokemon, these pocket
01:10:09
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monsters or whatever they are. But what's fascinating to me about this is that there's
01:10:12
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this real world component to it that you can't, well, okay, yes, I'm sure there's a way to
01:10:17
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cheat, but if you play the game the way it's intended to be played, you can't just sit
01:10:21
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there in your house and collect a bunch of Pokémon. And part of the fun of the game,
01:10:25
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besides this whole gym and team versus team competition, if I understand it right, part
01:10:30
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of the fun of the game is collecting all these different Pokémon.
01:10:34
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Gotta catch 'em all.
01:10:35
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You gotta catch 'em all, that's right. So you have to get off your butt and walk
01:10:39
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around in order to catch them all and apparently the ones that are water
01:10:44
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oriented I guess there's some like fish esque ones or something like that there's
01:10:48
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some that you can tell are designed to or they're animated in such a way that
01:10:51
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they look like they belong around water well apparently you have to go to a
01:10:55
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small body of water generally speaking to find these Pokemon not to say you have
01:10:59
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to go to the ocean just you have to go to like a little pond or a lake or a
01:11:01
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river or what have you Tiff might have diverted our walk to go past a pool to
01:11:05
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to see if that counted.
01:11:06
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Yeah, I might have done that.
01:11:08
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They also tell you, "Please don't look for Pokémon in volcanoes, because there are fire
01:11:13
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Please do not try and go into volcanoes to find Pokémon."
01:11:17
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So the thing that I find fascinating, whether or not you think this is a complete waste
01:11:20
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of time, like candidly, I never tried the cat game, I never, everything I saw of it,
01:11:25
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it just looks stupid to me.
01:11:26
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Cat game's amazing.
01:11:27
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Shut your face.
01:11:28
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And hey, other people enjoy it, that's fine.
01:11:31
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You like what you like, that's fine.
01:11:33
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or not you, collective you, thinks that Pokémon is interesting or fun or what have you, I
01:11:38
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still think it's fascinating that it has these different aspects, right? So it has the collectible
01:11:43
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aspect where you want to try to catch them all. It has the real world tie-in that you
01:11:49
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have to go places in order to play. It has the team versus team, it's us against them
01:11:55
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aspect at the gyms. And it's all of these different things all rolled together, which
01:11:59
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is I think what makes it so fascinating and so interesting. And the tipster in the chat
01:12:04
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is joking, "Hey, Casey's learning what a video game is." But I used to be a pretty frequent
01:12:10
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video gamer way long ago, and I personally have not witnessed a game that got all of
01:12:15
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these different pieces connected together, even vaguely similar to the way this was.
01:12:20
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Except apparently, what was the name of the game that was the predecessor for this? Like
01:12:24
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Infuse or... No, not Infuse.
01:12:27
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And another one of the things that I find so fascinating about this game is that it knew in the areas in which I work, for example, it knew of some landmarks that are relevant to people who know the area really well, but are completely unremarkable and irrelevant to anyone that doesn't live or work in the area in which I live and work.
01:12:52
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live and work. And I was wondering earlier on Twitter, like, how did they come up with
01:12:57
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these different spots for the gyms and for the Pokéstops and whatnot? And apparently
01:13:03
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the same company that did pretty much all of the work for this game, whose name I'm
01:13:08
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also forgetting, Jon.
01:13:10
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Yeah, I think that's right. Niantic. Thank you. Apparently, Ingress was a very, very,
01:13:14
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very similar game that they had done in the past. And involved in that, from what I'm
01:13:20
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untold, and again, the actual particulars don't really matter. The gist of it, though,
01:13:24
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is that you could, as a player in the game, submit, like, locations and whatnot, and from
01:13:30
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what I've understood, they took all of that data and turned all of those points of interest
01:13:34
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that were made by people playing this game, local players playing this game, and turned
01:13:39
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those into the gyms and the PokéStops and whatnot. And again, the game, I don't know
01:13:44
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if I'll stick with it. It's certainly one of those, like, everyone's talking about it,
01:13:48
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so I feel like I'm missing out
01:13:49
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if I don't also participate lightly.
01:13:51
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I mean, you should hear the conversations at work about it,
01:13:53
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but I just find this combination
01:13:55
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of all these different pieces utterly fascinating.
01:13:58
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So I've been talking a long time.
01:14:00
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Marco, Tiff, John, questions or thoughts?
01:14:03
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- I don't know.
01:14:04
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I wanna bring up something Marco brought up in the car today
01:14:06
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when we were talking was about how perfect of a time
01:14:10
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for this game to be released, right?
01:14:12
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It's summer, kids are off, it's beautiful weather,
01:14:15
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like you can be outside.
01:14:17
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It's just, it's fantastic.
01:14:19
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We see a whole bunch of people gathered
01:14:21
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at different locations all over town playing this game.
01:14:25
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The release timing for this couldn't have been better.
01:14:28
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- Yeah, I agree.
01:14:29
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- Yeah, and like nothing else is going on.
01:14:31
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There's no other major releases,
01:14:32
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there's no major news happening,
01:14:34
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no one else really has anything to do,
01:14:35
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lots of people are taking vacation anyway.
01:14:37
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It really is an amazing time release here.
01:14:40
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And like, I just wanna say like in general,
01:14:43
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my thoughts on this, having only seen screenshots of it
01:14:46
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for a second here and there.
01:14:48
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Tiff tried to show me how she threw Pokeballs at a Pokemon
01:14:52
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to try to Poke it into her phone or something.
01:14:53
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I don't know how this works.
01:14:55
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It doesn't really matter.
01:14:56
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- She threw them in the balls.
01:14:59
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However it works, this game,
01:15:01
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just seeing what it's doing to people in the world
01:15:04
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just makes me happy.
01:15:05
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It's just a very delightful feeling
01:15:07
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because seeing that it's getting these people outside,
01:15:10
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walking around, gathering together,
01:15:11
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oftentimes with strangers,
01:15:13
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and just sitting and having a peaceful, fun time,
01:15:16
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That in real life, in person, that is very rare,
01:15:20
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to have that kind of effect.
01:15:22
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And the fact that it just took off so quickly
01:15:24
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over the weekend, it just boom,
01:15:25
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all of a sudden everyone's doing this,
01:15:27
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that's just really delightful.
01:15:28
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And it is like a nice, happy human interest story.
01:15:32
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And I really like seeing that.
01:15:34
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- I mean, there are moms walking up and down the street
01:15:36
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with strollers just like you, Casey,
01:15:37
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who are playing Pokemon Go, you know what I mean?
01:15:40
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Everyone is playing it,
01:15:41
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and people start talking to each other about it,
01:15:43
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and you notice someone else playing it,
01:15:45
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and you talk to them and you're like,
01:15:47
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"Oh, I just caught a Pokemon over here.
01:15:48
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Did you see that one? Not a lot, a lot."
01:15:50
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And, you know, I don't really care what I'm catching
01:15:53
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or catching them all.
01:15:54
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I don't really, but I don't know.
01:15:56
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I just kind of want to play it
01:15:57
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because everyone else is doing it.
01:15:58
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- So have you guys put any money into the game?
01:16:00
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- Not yet. - I haven't.
01:16:02
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You get a lot of stuff just by walking around
01:16:04
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and hanging out at spots and spinning the little doodad.
01:16:08
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And plus, like, you have to incubate the eggs.
01:16:09
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There's a lot to do before you have to put money into it.
01:16:12
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I think you had to walk in order to incubate the egg.
01:16:15
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So it gives you a distance that you have to move.
01:16:18
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So it kind of keeps you busy.
01:16:21
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- I keep wondering, like,
01:16:22
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the reason I asked about the money is I wonder
01:16:23
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►
what the total, like the net new trainers will be
01:16:26
◼
►
to use a business-y stat.
01:16:28
◼
►
Yes, a lot of people are into this game now,
01:16:30
◼
►
but if you are already into Pokemon, you don't count
01:16:33
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►
because you were gonna buy new Pokemon games
01:16:35
◼
►
wherever they come out anyway.
01:16:36
◼
►
So those people are already, you know, this is just--
01:16:40
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►
- Invested in the franchise.
01:16:41
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►
Right. If you're not invested in it, tons of people who have never played it,
01:16:46
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►
but I'm gonna have people who've never been into Pokemon before try this out,
01:16:49
◼
►
because it's a thing that people are doing, it's a fun thing to do.
01:16:51
◼
►
But I'm wondering if those people are going to be the type of people who put money into the game.
01:16:55
◼
►
Like, I don't know how the game is structured. Is it structured in a way that you can?
01:16:58
◼
►
If you're just like, "Oh, I've never played a Pokemon game, and I'm not, like,
01:17:01
◼
►
too seriously into it, but it's kind of a fun thing to do, and I'll just keep doing it."
01:17:04
◼
►
Can you just keep doing it at that pace without ever giving any money,
01:17:07
◼
►
and you'll just be perfectly happy with the experience?
01:17:09
◼
►
because that doesn't really benefit the game maker or Nintendo or anyone else particularly.
01:17:15
◼
►
It seems like you can though, like just go on if you're playing it really casually. I think
01:17:19
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►
what I'm seeing probably I might be totally wrong here, but the people who are very much
01:17:25
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►
in competition for the gyms and they are into forming their teams. I'm feeling a lot of Clash
01:17:31
◼
►
of Clans kind of situation happening here for the people that get very serious about it. If you
01:17:36
◼
►
don't put in the money then you're not going to find the rare Pokemon or you're not going to be
01:17:41
◼
►
able to train them to a high level that's that's kind of what I'm seeing so if you're really
01:17:46
◼
►
invested in a team then you're going to feel that pressure to contribute money in order to
01:17:51
◼
►
be better for your team and then take control of these gyms but I think that the casual person just
01:17:56
◼
►
walking around gonna catch them all kind of situation might not feel that kind of pressure
01:18:02
◼
►
yeah like all these games I mean there's a balance you can strike with how how much you want
01:18:06
◼
►
people to be able to play before they put money in, how much of a timer do you want
01:18:11
◼
►
to put on, whatever energy mechanic to frustrate people. You can tune a game so that even the
01:18:15
◼
►
most casual player is so frustrated that they have to give up or give money, or you can
01:18:19
◼
►
tune a game that almost no one feels like they need to give money. But in the grand
01:18:22
◼
►
scheme of things, historically these type of free-to-play massively multiplayer games
01:18:26
◼
►
like Clash of Clans or whatever make all their money from what everyone calls whales. Most
01:18:31
◼
►
of the money comes from a small group of people who put a tremendous amount of money into
01:18:34
◼
►
to them, sometimes in like an unethical amount of money and that you feel bad that you're
01:18:38
◼
►
taking this much money from these people, right? And most people put in a piddling amount
01:18:42
◼
►
of money. And that piddling amount could still be more than the $1.99 that people might have
01:18:45
◼
►
paid for it up front. Like, the piddling amount might be $5 a year, but $5 these days in the
01:18:50
◼
►
App Store is a pretty good price when games are going for $1.99 or $0.99 or whatever.
01:18:55
◼
►
So I'm not, like, what I'm trying to gauge out of this phenomenon is long-term, you know,
01:19:01
◼
►
how much money is this going to make and how many new customers is it going to make, how
01:19:03
◼
►
How many new Pokemon players is it gonna make?
01:19:05
◼
►
Is this gonna build so that when next year comes out with a new augmented reality Pokemon
01:19:09
◼
►
game with a different name, will all those same people come back?
01:19:12
◼
►
Like, are there people out there who have never been into the Pokemon franchise that
01:19:17
◼
►
this is gonna bring them on board?
01:19:18
◼
►
And I think there are, because I think there's a lot of people who have never been into the
01:19:21
◼
►
Pokemon franchise because historically the only place you could play Pokemon was on platforms
01:19:24
◼
►
that these people have never owned.
01:19:26
◼
►
Like young people and old people alike, if you've never owned a Nintendo gaming system
01:19:30
◼
►
at all, which then is plenty of people who haven't, especially in a handheld system where
01:19:35
◼
►
most of the Pokemon games have come out. You may have never had an occasion to be exposed
01:19:40
◼
►
to this, and by releasing it on smartphone platforms, a vastly larger audience can now
01:19:45
◼
►
be exposed to Pokemon, and now maybe you're building that audience for the next version.
01:19:50
◼
►
Before they worry about their audience, they have to get their servers under control, because
01:19:53
◼
►
man, that game crashes a lot. It freezes all the time.
01:19:57
◼
►
Yeah, that's a lot of... So Nintendo is very bad at online stuff. They were very late to online stuff.
01:20:04
◼
►
They don't quite get it. They're not good at it, kind of like Apple. Well, Apple isn't really late,
01:20:07
◼
►
but they're just not good at it anyway. And they've been doing a lot of outsourcing to other
01:20:11
◼
►
companies like this Niantic company. Lots of different companies that they've partnered with,
01:20:16
◼
►
or invested in, or are working with on their games, who supposedly bring the expertise that
01:20:22
◼
►
Nintendo doesn't have. "Hey, you guys have already run a game exactly like this called Ingress.
01:20:27
◼
►
We want you to do that, but replace all the BS you had before with Pokemon, right?
01:20:31
◼
►
And you've got the servers and you know how it works and you've done it before,
01:20:34
◼
►
and that seems like a good idea for a small company, a relatively small company like Nintendo,
01:20:37
◼
►
as compared to, you know, Microsoft or Sony, to get this game out the door.
01:20:41
◼
►
But these companies that they're outsourcing to have also never been exposed to the combination
01:20:47
◼
►
of the game they knew how to run plus the Pokemon IP that makes millions of people want to play it.
01:20:52
◼
►
They weren't ready for that either. So it's not really a clean win. And as you've noted,
01:20:56
◼
►
The servers are often down.
01:20:58
◼
►
I've seen a lot of people tweeting it that the app itself
01:21:00
◼
►
has a lot of difficulties with concurrency.
01:21:05
◼
►
It's very easy to confuse.
01:21:06
◼
►
When the server is slow, you can induce race conditions
01:21:08
◼
►
where the app is just hung because it wants you
01:21:10
◼
►
to click on a button that you can no longer see
01:21:12
◼
►
or all sorts of simple programming mistakes
01:21:16
◼
►
exacerbated by slow server response times.
01:21:18
◼
►
Overall, not making for a particularly convincing
01:21:22
◼
►
or it has to be said,
01:21:23
◼
►
not a particularly Nintendo-like experience for you.
01:21:25
◼
►
where all you can say about Nintendo, in general, their console games are not horribly buggy
01:21:30
◼
►
and broken. Their online stuff is always horribly buggy and broken. In this case, the online
01:21:35
◼
►
stuff is slow and bad, and also the app that talks to the online stuff is not particularly
01:21:40
◼
►
And yet it makes $1.6 million a day, so it kind of calls into question whether any of
01:21:44
◼
►
that really matters.
01:21:45
◼
►
Well, I mean, it matters in that it's not a particularly good showing for the company.
01:21:52
◼
►
is a good idea and people are going to copy it, right? And there are other IPs that can
01:21:56
◼
►
do similar things, right? I mean Clash of Clans also makes a lot of money and came before this,
01:22:00
◼
►
but that wasn't an AR type thing. But anyway, however much money they're making, they could
01:22:06
◼
►
potentially be making more if they weren't crashing and not letting people log on, you know,
01:22:09
◼
►
like, or having that bad reputation or having people leave the game because they're frustrated
01:22:13
◼
►
by it crashing or whatever. Like, you can always be making more money, so it is a downside. It just,
01:22:18
◼
►
Success hides problems and your big success of like, "Oh, look at all this money we're making."
01:22:22
◼
►
There are still problems to be had there, especially if this is the future of gaming,
01:22:27
◼
►
Nintendo better get a lot better at it pretty quickly. The same way that Sony had to try to
01:22:31
◼
►
catch up with Xbox Live when they realized that the way people deal with consoles now
01:22:35
◼
►
is not just you plug it into your TV and you sit on your couch and the world outside your house
01:22:38
◼
►
doesn't exist. That wasn't the case and Sony was later to that than Microsoft was and Nintendo was
01:22:44
◼
►
was later than all three of them. So anyway, I think Nintendo has a lot of work to do.
01:22:51
◼
►
These partnering deals are a fast way for them to get a game out that they couldn't
01:22:54
◼
►
develop on their own because they don't have the expertise, but it also means that these
01:22:57
◼
►
other companies get a lot of the money. Some people have been tweeting the various breakdowns
01:23:00
◼
►
of like, well, 30% goes to Apple and X% goes to the developer and then the leftover 10%
01:23:05
◼
►
goes to Nintendo. I don't know if that was a legit figure to someone trying to do like,
01:23:09
◼
►
you know, guestimations, but like the upshot of the tweet was that Apple is making more
01:23:14
◼
►
money from this game than Nintendo is, which is also not a great situation for Nintendo.
01:23:18
◼
►
So I'm happy to report I've just caught an Eevee and a Pidgey as I was sitting here.
01:23:22
◼
►
They were on my desk. How the heck do you have all these Pokémon?
01:23:26
◼
►
Everyone has these Pokémon at their house. We have like a dead zone. There is nothing
01:23:29
◼
►
around here. Generally speaking, I have not seen one at
01:23:32
◼
►
the house, but apparently they were sitting on my desk. Who knew?
01:23:35
◼
►
Wait, maybe they're the ones breaking your iMac.
01:23:37
◼
►
It very well could be.
01:23:39
◼
►
Sneaky bastards.
01:23:41
◼
►
I'd also like to publicly complain that after all the time I spent on Ramp Champ, I should be way better at catching these stupid Pokémon with my stupid Pokéballs than I really am.
01:23:52
◼
►
Is it possible that maybe, because we have a dog and you don't, maybe there's a reason why we don't have any Pokémon left around the house?
01:24:00
◼
►
We have deer and weird animals all over the place. Come on. We should have some Pokémon.
01:24:05
◼
►
I'm just saying maybe we did have Pokemon and then Hopps found them and now we don't have Pokemon
01:24:08
◼
►
It's all the people that live in the cities
01:24:10
◼
►
All they had to do is sit on their couch and there's just like pokestops and everything
01:24:13
◼
►
You can like reach virtually anywhere and it's so frustrating. We have to like go places
01:24:18
◼
►
Everything's in Yonkers. I don't know what the heck's going on. Oh, man, that's awesome
01:24:23
◼
►
So, I don't know I I just think it's really cool the bits and pieces they put together and the timing to your guys's point
01:24:30
◼
►
earlier, the timing of all this. And I've heard plenty of stories of people from
01:24:36
◼
►
all different walks of life coming together and bonding over this really
01:24:41
◼
►
kind of silly game. And like I said, you know, certainly at work it's made
01:24:45
◼
►
quite the splash. And I know that people were going to lunch and the
01:24:50
◼
►
driver of the car like handed her phone to one of the passengers. So the
01:24:55
◼
►
passenger was like spinning the little disk thing on the pokey stops for
01:24:59
◼
►
both himself and the driver, and then there's a little lake right by where I work, don't
01:25:04
◼
►
be creepy, and people are going on long walks around the lake to catch Pokémon over lunch
01:25:09
◼
►
Like, it's surprising how much effect this silly little game has had so quickly.
01:25:13
◼
►
And I'm also a little surprised, Jon, that you haven't at least tried it yet.
01:25:16
◼
►
But I don't know, do you plan to, Jon?
01:25:18
◼
►
No, I'm not into Pokémon games.
01:25:20
◼
►
They're not my thing, like, so the AR aspect of it is not enough to make me get into Pokémon.
01:25:25
◼
►
It's not like I dislike the AR part.
01:25:27
◼
►
I would be more likely to play an AR game with a different property attached to a different
01:25:31
◼
►
type of game.
01:25:32
◼
►
I don't just land into Pokemon.
01:25:33
◼
►
So no, I doubt I'll ever play it.
01:25:34
◼
►
But you have so many nice places to walk where you live, Jon.
01:25:37
◼
►
Like it's so easy.
01:25:38
◼
►
You could just kind of go on a little family trot and you could all catch some Pokemon
01:25:42
◼
►
It'd be great.
01:25:43
◼
►
I considered having my kids play it and like seeing if they get into it because, you know,
01:25:48
◼
►
I don't have to be playing it.
01:25:49
◼
►
I can just be with them on the walk.
01:25:50
◼
►
Although Marco tells me that's not a fun thing to do.
01:25:52
◼
►
No, don't do that.
01:25:54
◼
►
I did hand my phone to Adam when Marco was getting mad
01:25:57
◼
►
while he was sitting in the stroller.
01:25:58
◼
►
I'm like, all right, you need to look at this
01:25:59
◼
►
and tell me if you see any little animals popping up
01:26:02
◼
►
and then you need to tell mommy.
01:26:05
◼
►
I tried to put him to work, but you know,
01:26:08
◼
►
what you gonna do, he's four.
01:26:09
◼
►
- So in the olden days, people would put their kids to work
01:26:12
◼
►
like plowing a field or something, and this is what we do.
01:26:15
◼
►
- No, no, just, yeah.
01:26:16
◼
►
- Get to work, catch some Pokemon from mama.
01:26:18
◼
►
Mama needs that Pokemon.
01:26:21
◼
►
making your kids Goldfarm and free-to-play massively multiplayer games. That's next.
01:26:26
◼
►
All right. I think we're probably good here.
01:26:29
◼
►
All right. So thank you very much to our sponsors this week, Betterment, Hover, and Pingdom.
01:26:34
◼
►
And thank you very much to Tiff for joining us.
01:26:36
◼
►
Thanks, guys. It's always a pleasure.
01:26:39
◼
►
Anyway, all right. Thanks, everyone, and we'll talk to you next week.
01:26:48
◼
►
Cause it was accidental Oh it was accidental
01:26:55
◼
►
John didn't do any research Marco and Casey wouldn't let him
01:26:59
◼
►
Cause it was accidental It was accidental
01:27:05
◼
►
And you can find the show notes at ATP.fm And if you're into Twitter
01:27:13
◼
►
You can follow them at C-A-S-E-Y-L-I-S-S
01:27:19
◼
►
So that's Casey List M-A-R-C-O-A-R-M
01:27:23
◼
►
Auntie Marco Arment S-I-R-A-C
01:27:29
◼
►
USA, Syracuse It's accidental
01:27:34
◼
►
They didn't mean to Accidental
01:27:39
◼
►
Tech by Cas, so long
01:27:43
◼
►
Is there anything fun in the neutral world?
01:27:47
◼
►
Uh, has there been any scandals?
01:27:51
◼
►
Volkswagen, Tesla? There have been autopilot, or whatever they call it,
01:27:55
◼
►
issues. I don't know the details of any of these other crashes, but
01:27:59
◼
►
it's pretty clear to me that this is not
01:28:03
◼
►
intended to be a "don't pay attention to what's going on in front of you"
01:28:07
◼
►
sort of autopilot. You had a really great post about this a little while ago, Marco.
01:28:11
◼
►
I don't see why these are happening all the time,
01:28:15
◼
►
unless these are human failings on top of computer failings.
01:28:19
◼
►
I don't know, I feel like this is kind of a non-story.
01:28:21
◼
►
- That's, I mean, the main conclusion here so far
01:28:26
◼
►
is that we don't really know enough yet
01:28:28
◼
►
about any of these accidents to really know
01:28:31
◼
►
whether the system was at fault
01:28:32
◼
►
or whether the person was at fault.
01:28:34
◼
►
The big one that came out two weeks ago,
01:28:36
◼
►
whenever that was, where the guy hit the truck,
01:28:39
◼
►
went under the truck.
01:28:41
◼
►
That one, allegedly he was watching Harry Potter,
01:28:45
◼
►
like the movie, instead of watching the road.
01:28:48
◼
►
So you could argue that the system
01:28:50
◼
►
should have seen the truck and stopped,
01:28:52
◼
►
but the fact that the driver might not have been
01:28:55
◼
►
even looking at the road at all,
01:28:57
◼
►
I think kind of excuses the system to some degree
01:28:59
◼
►
from the fault of that particular accident.
01:29:01
◼
►
But the main problem here is that the system
01:29:06
◼
►
is not fully autonomous driving.
01:29:09
◼
►
It is not a self-driving car.
01:29:12
◼
►
And people keep kind of trying to treat it like one,
01:29:15
◼
►
and that's just irresponsible.
01:29:16
◼
►
It is basically advanced cruise control.
01:29:20
◼
►
You wouldn't, like if people did the same thing
01:29:23
◼
►
with cruise control, or if they just stopped paying
01:29:25
◼
►
attention and started watching a movie with cruise control,
01:29:26
◼
►
which I'm sure people have done and have gotten
01:29:28
◼
►
in accidents as a result of,
01:29:30
◼
►
that's not a problem with the cruise control.
01:29:34
◼
►
That's a problem with the people.
01:29:36
◼
►
And the autopilot is not a direct comparison there
01:29:40
◼
►
because first of all, I do think that it has been named
01:29:44
◼
►
and marketed in such a way to imply that it's smarter
01:29:47
◼
►
and more capable than it really is.
01:29:48
◼
►
But the fact is, it still requires you to pay attention.
01:29:51
◼
►
And they tell you that.
01:29:54
◼
►
When you turn it on, it tells you that in the dash.
01:29:57
◼
►
It measures how much, I think it's measuring resistance
01:29:59
◼
►
on the steering wheel 'cause when it's on,
01:30:01
◼
►
it steers for you.
01:30:03
◼
►
and if you steer in a way that it wouldn't have
01:30:07
◼
►
by more than like a certain amount of degrees
01:30:10
◼
►
of turning the wheel, it deactivates itself
01:30:12
◼
►
and it beeps to tell you it's off.
01:30:14
◼
►
So it has a way to measure the turning of the wheel
01:30:17
◼
►
and the resistance that you're putting on the wheel
01:30:19
◼
►
and as far as I can tell, it's using that
01:30:21
◼
►
to determine whether your hands are on the wheel or not.
01:30:23
◼
►
So if you don't provide any resistance for a while,
01:30:25
◼
►
it will yell at you and gradually slow down and stop
01:30:28
◼
►
if you don't intervene.
01:30:30
◼
►
Anyway, the system isn't a really weird
01:30:34
◼
►
kind of like Uncanny Valley kind of thing.
01:30:37
◼
►
Not the Uncanny Valley technically,
01:30:38
◼
►
but like that kind of concept where like,
01:30:40
◼
►
it's so good, it's so autonomous that
01:30:44
◼
►
it kind of encourages you, not directly, not verbally,
01:30:49
◼
►
it doesn't come out and say it, but like,
01:30:51
◼
►
you are kind of encouraged to stop paying attention
01:30:53
◼
►
because you just kind of see like,
01:30:54
◼
►
you know what, my input's not really needed here for a while
01:30:57
◼
►
But it's not good enough that you actually can stop
01:31:00
◼
►
paying attention responsibly and safely for very long,
01:31:03
◼
►
if any time at all.
01:31:05
◼
►
And some people are being completely idiots with it
01:31:08
◼
►
and like getting in the back seat with it on something.
01:31:11
◼
►
I don't know, those people are crazy.
01:31:12
◼
►
I mean, that is not at all safe,
01:31:14
◼
►
and nobody should do that 'cause you're gonna kill somebody.
01:31:16
◼
►
But the design of the system is such that
01:31:18
◼
►
the system is not really helping because like,
01:31:21
◼
►
it is a little bit too smart for a system
01:31:25
◼
►
that people are supposed to be still paying attention
01:31:28
◼
►
to the road while using it, but again,
01:31:29
◼
►
it's not smart enough that you actually can't stop.
01:31:31
◼
►
So it's in this weird kind of gray area,
01:31:33
◼
►
and I also, as I said in my post,
01:31:36
◼
►
I think it should not be allowed on side roads.
01:31:41
◼
►
I think it should only be allowed on interstates
01:31:42
◼
►
and maybe on other divided highways.
01:31:45
◼
►
Right now, you can enable it on any road,
01:31:47
◼
►
and the only thing is that when it is not
01:31:49
◼
►
on what it detects as being a divided highway or interstate,
01:31:53
◼
►
it limits itself to five miles per hour
01:31:56
◼
►
over the posted speed limit signs.
01:31:58
◼
►
So you can still use it,
01:31:59
◼
►
you just can't speed by more than five.
01:32:01
◼
►
So that's not really that much of a limit, really,
01:32:04
◼
►
and it prevents what people were initially doing
01:32:06
◼
►
when it first came out and people were being all crazy,
01:32:08
◼
►
trying to use it like going really fast
01:32:10
◼
►
on twisty side roads.
01:32:11
◼
►
That was also really dumb and dangerous,
01:32:14
◼
►
but I think it needs more restrictions
01:32:17
◼
►
because, as I said in my post,
01:32:19
◼
►
it doesn't read like red lights or stop signs
01:32:23
◼
►
or anything like that, so the usefulness of it
01:32:25
◼
►
on side roads is pretty limited anyway.
01:32:28
◼
►
It really should only be allowed on interstates,
01:32:30
◼
►
in my opinion.
01:32:31
◼
►
- It takes a certain kind of person to know all that,
01:32:35
◼
►
I presume, all these people know about the system,
01:32:37
◼
►
and yet still to be so, I don't know,
01:32:41
◼
►
to wish a technology into existence
01:32:43
◼
►
that doesn't actually exist, or to,
01:32:45
◼
►
'cause from my perspective, if you know
01:32:49
◼
►
that you may be asked to take over control
01:32:51
◼
►
the car loses track of the road, right? You know that, like intellectually, I bet all
01:32:55
◼
►
these people understand that about the autopilot thing, because it tells you on the screen,
01:32:59
◼
►
and like they these are probably, you know, Tesla owners who know all about it, like most
01:33:02
◼
►
Tesla owners are into their cars, because it's a very rare car, it's an expensive car,
01:33:06
◼
►
you're not just find yourself owning a Tesla, right? Everything makes me think that these
01:33:10
◼
►
people know that they will be asked to take over control if, you know, something goes
01:33:15
◼
►
wrong. And I know, because of my personality type, if I was driving in a car where I knew
01:33:20
◼
►
that I would have to be asked to take over if something went wrong, you don't know when
01:33:23
◼
►
that's going to be. That's the nature of the event. You don't know, okay, in five minutes
01:33:28
◼
►
you're going to be asked to take over. It could be at any second. How do you know when
01:33:31
◼
►
it is that you will be asked to take over? How do you know when you will decide that
01:33:35
◼
►
you need to take over because a kid ran out into the road and the system didn't see him
01:33:39
◼
►
or whatever, you know, whatever thing, like the truck that the guy went under. The only
01:33:43
◼
►
way you will know is if you are always continually paying attention. You can't stop paying attention
01:33:48
◼
►
for a second just like regular driving because you don't know when that event will come. So it seems
01:33:53
◼
►
to me that there should be zero change in behavior when driving with the system. But as Margo said,
01:33:59
◼
►
that's not how people act. And somehow they're able to square the idea that they may be asked to take
01:34:03
◼
►
over at any second with the idea that they don't have to pay attention because it seems like they'll
01:34:07
◼
►
never be asked. But you know you might be asked, but it seems like you won't be. And I haven't been
01:34:11
◼
►
asked for a long time. So your brain decides, you know what? I'm never going to be asked to take
01:34:15
◼
►
over everything will be fine and then you get your head chopped off by a semi right like and then you
01:34:19
◼
►
think then you think you can watch a movie right and maybe that's just like a trap for people's
01:34:24
◼
►
brains where they're like i know intellectually that i may be asked to take over control at any
01:34:28
◼
►
moment but my lizard brain is telling me that i haven't been asked to do anything with this
01:34:33
◼
►
car for the last hour and i just cannot sustain the attention right whereas if you're a paranoid
01:34:39
◼
►
person like me and you'd be like it's been an hour since i've been asked to take over it's you know
01:34:44
◼
►
it's going to happen at any second, right? You know, like you're just becoming more and more
01:34:47
◼
►
paranoid. But regular people, I think, are just, that is the signal for you to stop paying attention
01:34:51
◼
►
and for you to think, you know what, I can probably play a card game. I can watch a movie.
01:34:55
◼
►
Like, they tell me I'm going to be asked to take over, but you know what, maybe they're just
01:34:58
◼
►
low-balling it because of lawyers. It's probably better than I think it is. I'll probably be fine
01:35:03
◼
►
now I'm decapitated. Like, it's not, you know, so I agree with Marco that like, until you, like,
01:35:10
◼
►
this may be a trap for human nature. This may be a set of rules that is not compatible with
01:35:17
◼
►
the way humans work, right? So you have to say, "Look, you've got to steer, and everything else
01:35:24
◼
►
is like radar control, cruise control, and then there's a gap, and then we do full autonomous."
01:35:29
◼
►
Because I'm not sure that maybe habits will change if this becomes widespread, but I'm not sure that
01:35:38
◼
►
this particular set of features will survive both the lawyers and the public perception
01:35:43
◼
►
long enough for people to change their habits and it could be that changing habits is not
01:35:48
◼
►
sufficient and this is just it's human nature you're going to stop paying attention if you
01:35:51
◼
►
haven't been asked to do anything in the car for an hour and that's when you're going to die.
01:35:54
◼
►
I would never enable this feature by the way I would do radar cruise control because if cruise
01:35:59
◼
►
control like you're like oh well cruise control is the same thing you don't have to do anything
01:36:02
◼
►
for hours no you still have to steer even on the road you still have to steer a little bit and
01:36:06
◼
►
if you're going 70 miles an hour and you don't make that tiny steering input, very shortly you
01:36:11
◼
►
will be in a ditch, right? You have to be paying attention, right? And just that little bit of
01:36:15
◼
►
realizing this huge hurtling hunk of metal is under my control and even though I don't have to
01:36:20
◼
►
do much, I have to do something that is enough to keep the tiny sort of subconscious, even if it's
01:36:25
◼
►
not like fully conscious like I'm really paying attention, this sort of subconscious driving and
01:36:29
◼
►
that subconscious driving if a semi pulls in front of you, you will notice like because your eyes are
01:36:33
◼
►
They're outgoing out the windshield,
01:36:36
◼
►
looking at the road, not looking at Harry Potter.
01:36:38
◼
►
- And that's the thing, like, as I said in my post,
01:36:40
◼
►
like the difference between,
01:36:42
◼
►
the difference in usefulness to the driver
01:36:44
◼
►
between the radar cruise control that you get also
01:36:48
◼
►
and the auto steer autopilot mode is,
01:36:51
◼
►
like the auto steer doesn't really make it
01:36:53
◼
►
that much nicer for the driver.
01:36:55
◼
►
Like, you get the vast majority of the value
01:36:58
◼
►
of these features with just the cruise control part of it,
01:37:01
◼
►
the radar cruise control, 'cause it will stop
01:37:03
◼
►
and go, it'll maintain proper distance,
01:37:05
◼
►
it uses all the same hardware as far as I know
01:37:07
◼
►
like to do this, it is a very advanced system.
01:37:11
◼
►
Like I've tried the one in Tif's car, it's a 3 Series,
01:37:15
◼
►
I tried the adaptive cruise on that a few times
01:37:16
◼
►
on a few trips and it's almost as good but not as good.
01:37:20
◼
►
The Tesla adaptive cruise is really good, it is amazing.
01:37:23
◼
►
And the BMW one, I had a couple of little
01:37:27
◼
►
unsettling incidents where like the car
01:37:29
◼
►
would start accelerating hard in traffic
01:37:31
◼
►
and there was still a car in front of us,
01:37:33
◼
►
and I had to like override it,
01:37:34
◼
►
"Wait, wait, stop!" and brake.
01:37:36
◼
►
That has not happened once in the Tesla,
01:37:37
◼
►
and I've used it way more in the Tesla.
01:37:39
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It is a really amazing system
01:37:42
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for the adaptive cruise control.
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The autopilot, on the other hand,
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is, or the auto steer part of it, is scary,
01:37:50
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and I use that a lot, too.
01:37:51
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I've been using it more even since I published that post.
01:37:54
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You just kind of get an idea of like,
01:37:56
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did I have the wrong impression?
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Do I just need more time with it
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to really get to know it better?
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And so far, no, I don't need more time to get to know it better.
01:38:05
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I still do use it on the highway here and there,
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but I still can't trust it because sometimes it does things
01:38:15
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that I consider dangerous.
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And whether, academically, it is dangerous or not,
01:38:19
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I don't know, but just things like getting too close
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to the edge of the lane when there's a car
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right on the other side or a barrier on the other side,
01:38:25
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like, it does not keep you centered perfectly.
01:38:29
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It tries to, it's doing some kind of smoothing, I think,
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where it tries to not jerk you too hard
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to keep you centered, so it kinda smooths you over.
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And so you kinda drift toward the lines
01:38:39
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and then drift back from the line.
01:38:41
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It's a little unsettling a lot of times
01:38:44
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where I will get a little too close to things,
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and especially if there's a car next to you
01:38:49
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in the lane next to you that is too close
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to the line on their side, it'll still drift near that line.
01:38:56
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I don't know how it's detecting that.
01:38:57
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If it's just the ultrasonic sensors on the side,
01:39:00
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it might not be, it might be too far to detect it,
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which would be a little unsettling.
01:39:03
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It's not, it's a system that makes me nervous
01:39:07
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whenever it's on.
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It also does things like, you know,
01:39:11
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when I'm driving on a multi-lane highway,
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no matter what speeds we are going,
01:39:17
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I will not hang out in somebody's blind spot.
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I will speed up or slow down so that I am not like
01:39:23
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right next to another car in the next lane over
01:39:26
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or like right, you know, slightly behind them
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in their blind spot.
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I will not hang out there because I know,
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like, you know, you develop these skills
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as a responsible driver over time,
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you start realizing like, okay, well,
01:39:35
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I should minimize the chances that I'm going to get hit.
01:39:39
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You know, so like, and even if I can legally stay
01:39:42
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right here in this person's blind spot for a while,
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I shouldn't do that because they could merge
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and not see me if I hang out here for a while.
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That's not good, so I won't do it.
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The auto steer and auto drive,
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they don't have that kind of intelligence.
01:39:56
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They will not do things like that to avoid
01:39:59
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possible accidents that haven't started to happen yet.
01:40:02
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They won't minimize the chance of danger.
01:40:04
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They'll just happily go, and you might be hanging out
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in somebody's blind spot for 10 minutes
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and not even know it.
01:40:09
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It does kind of create this expectation
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that it's gonna be super safe and awesome
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and is the best thing to use,
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and you don't have to pay attention,
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but I don't know how many of those things are true,
01:40:21
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and I suspect not all of them.
01:40:23
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- You're wise to get nervous too,
01:40:25
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because, again, when you're surrendering control to the car
01:40:28
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and it's getting close to the edge of the lane,
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what you know and that the car is not currently designed
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to have any awareness of is that you have just come
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fractions of a second closer to you getting into an accident.
01:40:42
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Right, because so if there is some erroneous steering input
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or the car gets confused for a moment,
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fractions of a second matter.
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And you being in the middle of the lane
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and the car suddenly lurches a foot to the left,
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if you're paying attention as you should be,
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your reaction time is probably enough to keep you in the lane.
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You riding the line and you're paying attention
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and the car alert is to the left,
01:41:01
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it could be that your reaction time,
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even if you're paying 100% attention,
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your reaction time is not sufficient to get your car
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before it hits the guardrail
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or runs into a bridge abutment or who knows what else.
01:41:12
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Like, as you get closer to the edge at high speed,
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things happen really fast.
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Human reaction time is only so fast.
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There's a reason we don't ride the edges of the lanes
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because we know that our own reaction time is not sufficient.
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reason we don't ride, unless we're real jerks, within a foot of someone else's bumper, because
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we know our reaction time is not fast enough at 80 miles an hour to make that stop, no
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matter how slowly the person in front of us stops.
01:41:34
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You can do the little timings, how long does it take for you to move your foot over to
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the brake pedal, start pressing it down?
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Distances get covered very quickly at high speeds, so the highway is exactly the spot
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where you wouldn't want that to happen.
01:41:47
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You keep saying, "I think it's safer to have it on this highway than the side roads."
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At least the side roads, you're going at slower speeds.
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So if it does make a mistake, you can correct it.
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- Relative speeds though, like the person hitting you
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on the highway is probably gonna hit you
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at a relative speed of like five miles an hour.
01:42:00
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- Well, it's not that it's not the hitting you,
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it's you hitting bridge or buttons,
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you going off the ditch.
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- Yeah, yeah. - That's the type of thing.
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Or you going under a semi or whatever.
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It's all moving vehicle versus stationary hazard,
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whether that stationary hazard is a truck crossing over
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or whatever, whereas everything being at slower speed.
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Anyway, I would never enable it.
01:42:19
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Because like as it starts to bring you
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towards the edge of the lane,
01:42:21
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you're like, "Wait a second, I would never do this
01:42:24
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if I was driving the car because I know
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that my reaction time is not fast enough.
01:42:27
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Like, why would I be riding the edge?
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Even if it's just like debris that's gonna pop a tire
01:42:31
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and like pull me off the side."
01:42:32
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And that's taking out of the equation the idea
01:42:34
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that the car might suddenly get confused
01:42:36
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and turn in a weird direction
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or start accelerating or decelerating.
01:42:39
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Like, that's just me driving the car
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under my complete control.
01:42:43
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I wouldn't ride the edge of the line
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because I know that's dumb.
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And you know, we're coming up on a bridge now
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and I'm gonna take off my side mirror.
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Like, I wouldn't do that.
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and to let a car do it, and to know that during that time,
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the car is still in control and can do something weird,
01:42:58
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it's just a terrible idea to deal with the system at all.
01:43:01
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Like drive your car or don't drive your car.
01:43:03
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And currently we don't have the option
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of not driving your car, so just drive your car.
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[door closes]