83: Entering the iTouch Phase of My Life
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We apparently just missed an Amazon announcement.
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Amazon just released another tablet.
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I thought it was another Kindle.
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No, I gotta look it up.
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Yeah, whatever.
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Do we actually give a sh—
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No, it doesn't—I mean, how—you know, if you look at the impact that the Kindle Fire
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in general, the tablet line—I mean, not the stupid phone—if you look at the impact
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that the Kindle Fire tablets have had on the tablet market as a whole, I think almost everybody
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would be able to look at it and say, "That's not nearly as big of a deal as we thought
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when it was released. I think we all said, "Oh, this tablet's so cheap, they're going
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to get a huge market share, it's going to be a big deal." And from what we can tell,
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it seems like it sells okay, but it's not really setting the world on fire or anything.
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It isn't the only cheap Android tablet anymore, and it was never the best cheap Android tablet.
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And so it ended up not really mattering that much. There's tons of cheap Android tablets
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out there, many of them cheaper than this, Amazon software has always been mediocre at
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So yeah, it just never seems to matter as much as we think it will.
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You know, these devices must be awesome because the subheadline or whatever you call this
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is inexpensive may not have to be garbage.
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Could be garbage but may not.
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Like that's not, "Oh, these are the best Amazon Kindle Fire tablets ever."
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It's inexpensive, may not have to be garbage.
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So let's start with talking about quad 27 inch retina displays.
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Again, this is awesome.
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I love this.
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I'm so excited.
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There should be a link there, I guess, back to the same thing.
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But no, it's because last week when Marco talked about it, he mentioned that the only
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Mac that's for sale that this could conceivably work with is the Mac Pro because it's the
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only one with two Thunderbolt buses and everybody heard two Thunderbolt buses as
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two Thunderbolt ports and then we got all the email from everyone telling us
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all the other Macs that have two Thunderbolt ports on them. Ports are not
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the same thing as buses. There's a limited amount of bandwidth per bus and
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even though you may have two ports if they all lead to the same bus it's not
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like you get twice the bandwidth. Two buses like the Mac Pro has, it's only two
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Is it three maybe it's three it is thank you anyway
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The Mac Pro has a whole bunch of Thunderbolt buses and there's a diagram showing you all it was like six ports on the back
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or something
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Yeah, and then and it also connects the HDMI port and and it's the reason why it can have three is
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Not because like they spend an extra 30 bucks on the ports on the motherboard. It's because if Thunderbolt
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Basically connects directly to the CPU and so the CPU has to support
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this and it has to have a certain number of PCI Express lanes run into it all these like these bandwidth limited things that run to
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the CPUs and
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the reason why the Mac Pro uses Xeon CPUs well one of the many reasons that uses the ons is
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Because Xeon the Xeon e5 series which it uses has tons more
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PCI Express lanes that run directly to the CPU and so they can do things like
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Have two GPUs that can talk to each other at extremely high bandwidth and also have enough PCI Express lanes
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so they can run three individual Thunderbolt buses, for the most part purely to the CPU.
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There's a little bit of a trick there with the switch, but yeah, look at Anatex review.
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Anyway, Intel's consumer CPU line, which is what every other Mac uses, never has enough
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ports for this. I mean, maybe in the future they might add this, but it's very unlikely.
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Not ports, buses.
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Buses, right, right. So it isn't only that the Mac Pro is the only one that can do this,
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but it's not like next year there's going to be a MacBook Pro that can do this.
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Like it's probably going to be not until Thunderbolt 3,
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and Thunderbolt 3 is arriving with the Skylake something like?
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Skylake? Yeah, the codename after, whatever comes after Broadwell, I believe it's called
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Skylake or it's S something like. When that arrives, then you'll, then
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the consumer CPUs will be able to have enough bandwidth to run these kind of
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displays over one cable into one bus. But
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is still probably at least a year and a half off where that can even start to become a thing.
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So like I was saying, we should put in the show notes the diagram on the back of a Mac Pro,
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which tells you which of those six ports is connected to bus number one, which is connected
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to bus number two, and so it's not as straightforward as like the ones on the left or on one bus and the
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one on the right or another. It's this weird pattern. But anyway, that's that's why the
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Mac Pro would be the only option for this. Now DisplayPort 1.3 was announced, and I think you
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posted about that as well, Marco, how does that factor into this?
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Thunderbolt 3 has enough bandwidth to run one of these. So Thunderbolt 2, basically what you need is
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depending on whether you can trick it into running at 24-bit or whether you keep sending 32-bit like
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most display interfaces do because it's easier, you need either 21 gigabits per second or 28
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gigabits per second. The current Thunderbolt 2 limit is 20, so neither of those will fit no
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matter how you do it. As long as it's 60 hertz you still can't do it. And anything lower than 60 hertz
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It sucks, so that's no good.
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Thunderbolt 3, I think raises it up to 30 or something.
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It raises it higher than the 28,
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so it can then handle this.
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What I expect to happen here,
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I expect that we have a very good chance
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of seeing a retina iMac this year,
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because an iMac, when you have a built-in display,
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whether it's a laptop or an iMac-style computer,
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those displays don't connect
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over internal Thunderbolt cables.
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They connect over a different bus.
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I know it used to be like the LVDS thing.
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Do you know, Jon, is that kind of stuff still used?
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- I have no idea how the display in an iMac is connected,
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but other than the fact that it's not a Thunderbolt cable
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that's connecting it from one place to another.
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- So in a laptop or in an iMac,
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you can avoid these issues with the way their displays
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are interfaced to their video cards.
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It's more of like a direct connection.
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And I guess, Casey, you don't know either, do you?
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- No, not off the top of my head.
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- Okay, so none of us know exactly how this works,
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but I know that it's roughly that these things
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use their own kind of like internal signaling mechanisms
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that don't have the same limitations
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as these external cable standards.
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So I think because, like so if Apple released this,
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you know they're calling it 5K,
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well Dell's calling it this,
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if Apple released a 5K resolution or quad 27
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or quad retina, whatever you're calling it,
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if Apple releases one of these monitors,
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only the Mac Pro could run it.
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And that's not a particularly graceful product launch.
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I don't think they would do that.
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I think they would probably wait
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until every new Mac could do it.
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And that's probably gonna be two more years.
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But the Retina iMac could happen this year, theoretically,
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or late this year or early next year.
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I don't know if it will, but it could.
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And so I suspect we're gonna see Retina 5K panels in iMacs
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before we're gonna see them from Apple as external monitors.
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- I mean, I think that sounds fair.
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- All right, moving on for more follow up.
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Optical image stabilization.
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Tell me about how you were wrong, Marco.
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- Yeah, sure.
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So I was under the impression from forever ago,
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I don't know where I read this,
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that the way optical image stabilized SLR lenses worked
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was that there was actually a spinning glass element in them
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and that it spun quickly enough
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that it would have its own kind of gyroscopic stabilization
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so that when you move the lens,
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the lens would, or the spinning element would shift
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to kind of undo that.
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Turns out that's completely wrong,
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and the way SLR image stabilization works
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is very similar or identical to the way that it works
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in the new iPhone 6, which is, or the 6 Plus,
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which is that an accelerometer detects motion,
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and then using electromagnets shifts around the,
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or actuators or something, electrically shifts
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around the lens, you know, X times per second
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to compensate for it.
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There is a floating element in that it's not tied down,
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but it does not spin.
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So yeah, I was totally wrong about that.
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- So if you'll allow me to piggyback on that briefly,
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today was the day, or last night, whenever,
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recently was the time that the six and six plus reviews
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all came out, so the embargo was lifted.
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And one thing that I saw fairly consistently
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between all the six and six plus reviews
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was people saying that the six plus battery life
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really is demonstrably better and longer
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than previous phones and even the six itself.
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And I don't know about you guys,
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but when they flashed the chart on the screen of,
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you know, standby time's a little bit longer
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and this and that is a little bit longer,
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none of that looked that dramatic to me
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except like playing music.
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But nevertheless, a lot of people are saying,
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and Matt Panzorino at TechCrunch is a great example of this,
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are saying that the six plus actually
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has somewhat considerably better battery life.
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And that actually surprised me quite a bit.
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- I think it's just perception
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versus seeing numbers on a table.
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You're doing the math in your head,
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you're subtracting 14, 11, that's a difference of three.
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That's three hours.
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And the experience of three extra hours of time
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is much greater than you seeing
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those two numbers up on the screen.
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So I think Apple's numbers are probably in the ballpark.
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All this stuff is fuzzy anyway.
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I just think any difference in battery life gets magnified
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when the plus is just consistently still alive
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while the iPhone 6 is dead.
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And if it's still alive for like one hour, two hours,
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like that feels like forever.
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It feels like, oh wow, this iPhone 6 Plus is amazing
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when it's just, I think, probably a reasonable reflection
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of the numbers Apple put up.
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- I mean, from like a raw capacity perspective,
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I believe the parts leaks indicated
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that the 6 Plus's battery was something like 50% larger
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than the 6's battery.
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So there is a lot more capacity there.
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Of course, the question is, you know,
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how much more does it use for that big screen and everything?
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and the display scaler.
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- And the upclock CPU too.
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- Yeah, yeah, I posted a link earlier on Twitter
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to a BareFeets benchmark where I don't think,
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has anyone else confirmed this yet?
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It sure looks like from this BareFeets benchmark
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that the 6+ does have a slightly higher clock speed,
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probably in the range of five to 10% on its CPU.
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So it does have like five to 10% better CPU performance
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than the 6, which is similar to the Retina iPad Mini
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and the iPad Air both have the A7 CPU
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and they're both technically identical in most ways,
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except that on the iPad Air it is clocked slightly higher,
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similar, like 5% or 10% higher.
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So the iPad Air is slightly faster than the Retina Mini
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with the quote same CPU.
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So it looks like we have basically that exact same
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difference between the 6 and the 6 Plus.
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The 6 Plus is slightly faster.
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In reality, the 6 Plus has all these
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fairly minor improvements over the 6 beyond the screen.
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So it has more battery life, maybe in practice,
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maybe it's 20, 25% more,
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once you account for the screen and everything.
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It has a higher DPI screen, so it's a sharper screen.
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Even like according to John Gruber,
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even with the scaling it's doing,
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it still ends up being sharper looking
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than the other screens.
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Now we know it has a slightly faster CPU
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and then it has the optical image stabilization,
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which people are saying does make a small difference,
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but it is a difference and it is better.
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- Yeah, speaking of, I don't have it handy,
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so I'm gonna butcher the description,
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but in Panzareno's review, he was saying,
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I think that you get a couple of f-stops more
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with the optical image stabilization, is that right?
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I don't know anything about photography.
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- Yeah, the way this works,
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and this is what actually impressed me way more.
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So, Panzareno, and I saw this mostly
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in the ones he was tweeting last night,
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when he was tweeting the stats and everything,
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and tweeting what the ISO was,
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what the shutter speed was for these shots.
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What's interesting is, so image stabilization,
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keep in mind that it cannot stabilize your subject.
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So if you are moving, if you're in a moving vehicle,
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or if you're otherwise moving substantially,
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or your subject is moving, if it's a person, for instance,
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or a pet, image stabilization does not help you there at all
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you still need a fast shutter speed to freeze the motion.
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Where image stabilization does help quite a lot
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is if you're taking a picture at night
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of a building or something or a landscape,
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that helps tremendously there.
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And so what it allows you to do basically
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is compensate for the very small hand movement.
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So if you try to take a long exposure shot
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without a tripod, just handheld,
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it's pretty hard to get that to be remotely sharp
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just because of tiny movements you make
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without even realizing it with your hands and your body
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while you're holding the shutter down.
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Image stabilization lets you generally,
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like on an SLR, a good stabilizer,
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I've been able to handhold a shot
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up to roughly a second exposure,
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which is very, very long for a camera
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to have a one second exposure.
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I can handhold that with a good stabilizer
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and the picture turns out sharp.
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It's gonna be a little bit different
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with one that's this small for various reasons,
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but the result is that the shutter can stay open longer
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and it can still be sharp
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compared to an unstabilized image.
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What this means is that the phone
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is able to drop the sensitivity down.
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So the sensitivity also, it's called ISO in the EXIF data.
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You know, so the numbers are like 400, 800, 1600.
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So the higher sensitivity generally,
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and I'm sorry for anybody who knows this already,
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the higher sensitivity,
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you're basically amplifying the signal.
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And so you get, you don't need as much light to be captured,
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but you're also amplifying the noise that's present
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at like the baseline.
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And so that's what makes pictures grainy and noisy,
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especially if you ever see like the color grain,
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that's called chroma noise,
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it's one of the more obvious ones.
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And post-processing can attempt to remove some of this
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and oftentimes it does, but then it looks kind of muddy
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or low contrast or like a watercolor painting.
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Anyway, image stabilization lets the camera
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capture more light before your hand motion matters,
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if the subject is being still.
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And therefore it can drop the sensitivity down
00:14:08
◼
►
so that way you get less noise, better colors,
00:14:11
◼
►
better contrast.
00:14:12
◼
►
Where that helps is in nighttime shots.
00:14:14
◼
►
So, Panzorino was posting these shots
00:14:16
◼
►
and the one on the iPhone 6 of this dark building at night,
00:14:20
◼
►
the one on the iPhone 6 without stabilization
00:14:23
◼
►
was ISO 1200 or something like that.
00:14:27
◼
►
And then the one on the iPad 6 Plus with stabilization
00:14:30
◼
►
was at ISO 400.
00:14:31
◼
►
Way lower sensitivity, massive difference in noise,
00:14:35
◼
►
And so, that's where stabilization is going to seemingly
00:14:38
◼
►
help a lot in the iPhone is, you know,
00:14:40
◼
►
and generally, you know, it picks the ISO for you,
00:14:42
◼
►
but it looks like it's making intelligent decisions
00:14:45
◼
►
on how, what's the minimum sensitivity we can use here
00:14:50
◼
►
to capture the image given the scene.
00:14:52
◼
►
And so the Image Stabilizer gives you a lot more headroom
00:14:54
◼
►
with avoiding noise in darkness.
00:14:57
◼
►
- So the f-stop is telling me how long
00:14:59
◼
►
the shutter remained open, is that correct?
00:15:02
◼
►
- In this context, basically, yes.
00:15:03
◼
►
But it's not a complete definition, but yeah.
00:15:06
◼
►
That's basically saying in this context,
00:15:09
◼
►
like you can get a lot more light in
00:15:11
◼
►
and therefore the sensitivity can be lower.
00:15:14
◼
►
- Cool, all right, thank you.
00:15:15
◼
►
I was just curious because like I said,
00:15:17
◼
►
I know almost nothing about photography,
00:15:19
◼
►
so I recognize those terms as photography related,
00:15:22
◼
►
but I wasn't sure what specifically that was leading onto.
00:15:26
◼
►
Since we've opened this Pandora's box,
00:15:27
◼
►
anything else about the hardware?
00:15:29
◼
►
None of us have any of the hardware yet,
00:15:30
◼
►
but anything else from the reviews or anything?
00:15:32
◼
►
- Well, the chat room says that Jason Snell confirmed
00:15:35
◼
►
that the 6 Plus is at 1.4 gigahertz versus 1.2 for the 6.
00:15:39
◼
►
So there's some exact numbers on the CPU speed.
00:15:41
◼
►
And by the way, Gruber mentioned that the 6 Plus--
00:15:44
◼
►
it's kind of an iPad 3 situation where the 6 Plus may
00:15:46
◼
►
be clocked higher, but it may actually
00:15:48
◼
►
need to be clocked higher.
00:15:49
◼
►
Not so much the CPU, but the GPU,
00:15:51
◼
►
because he was saying that he saw a couple of stutters
00:15:53
◼
►
on the 6 Plus just because it's slinging so many pixels around,
00:15:56
◼
►
like a 3x image on this giant screen, that
00:15:58
◼
►
may be having a little bit extra clock speed, assuming this clock
00:16:02
◼
►
speed applies to the GPU as well.
00:16:04
◼
►
that if it's higher than six plus,
00:16:07
◼
►
maybe it needs it and maybe it's not,
00:16:10
◼
►
it's maybe a little bit overdrawn on its CPU
00:16:13
◼
►
and GPU power bank account.
00:16:15
◼
►
This first generation big giant screen iPod,
00:16:19
◼
►
again, like the first retina iPad was a little bit,
00:16:22
◼
►
you know, a little bit too much.
00:16:24
◼
►
- All right, so speaking of people that were wrong,
00:16:26
◼
►
although I'm sure John, you're about to tell me
00:16:27
◼
►
that I'm wrong in saying you're wrong,
00:16:29
◼
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let's talk about Google Wallet.
00:16:31
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00:18:42
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Okay, John. So tell us about Google Wallet
00:18:45
◼
►
That's not the first
00:18:47
◼
►
Android thing that I got wrong. The first one was when we were discussing
00:18:50
◼
►
Smart watches and I was talking about the idea of taking a phone and shrinking it down and having like a little phone on your wrist
00:18:57
◼
►
I used the wrong brand name for the Android wearable
00:19:01
◼
►
It's been so many of them that multiple names are floating around in my mind. I kept saying and Android wear
00:19:06
◼
►
That's not what I was thinking of was actually Galaxy gear
00:19:08
◼
►
Which was the one that predates Android wear Android wear is actually much more like
00:19:12
◼
►
Apple's interface
00:19:14
◼
►
Maybe a little bit more limited because we don't really know what kind of stuff can actually run on the watch
00:19:18
◼
►
But the interface is don't look like you're not you're not like
00:19:20
◼
►
Flicking through the equivalent of table views and looking for stuff like you were on the galaxy gear
00:19:24
◼
►
So I was thinking of Galaxy Gear, not Android, where my apologies for the mistake.
00:19:29
◼
►
OK. Now Google Wallet.
00:19:32
◼
►
Oh, yeah. So last week we talked about the NFC thing with Apple Pay,
00:19:37
◼
►
and I noted that Apple gets the card present rate, even though a card is not actually present,
00:19:43
◼
►
they get the card present rate because of the inherent security in their NFC thing.
00:19:48
◼
►
And I thought the touch ID might have been part of that. But Dion Garrett sent me a link to a
00:19:52
◼
►
Quora article explaining that Google Wallet
00:19:54
◼
►
also gets the card at present rate,
00:19:56
◼
►
and of course that's not reliant on Touch ID,
00:19:58
◼
►
so apparently NFC alone is secure enough
00:20:01
◼
►
that people can get these deals
00:20:04
◼
►
where you get the card at present rate.
00:20:06
◼
►
It doesn't have anything to do with Touch ID.
00:20:09
◼
►
Although there was one more article
00:20:10
◼
►
that unfortunately I didn't get a chance to read,
00:20:12
◼
►
maybe we'll throw it in the show
00:20:13
◼
►
and see if people can read as well,
00:20:14
◼
►
but Tim Breadshoe pointed out that,
00:20:16
◼
►
I linked to an article in the Financial Times
00:20:18
◼
►
trying to explain how much money Apple is getting
00:20:22
◼
►
from each transaction and who was giving them that money.
00:20:24
◼
►
And he made it seem like that Apple is actually skimming
00:20:28
◼
►
more off of each transaction than previous people
00:20:32
◼
►
who attempted to insert themselves into the payment chain.
00:20:37
◼
►
And that I assume most of this payment is coming
00:20:39
◼
►
from the credit card companies and the banks
00:20:40
◼
►
and not the consumers.
00:20:42
◼
►
But again, I haven't read that article,
00:20:44
◼
►
we'll put it in the show notes.
00:20:44
◼
►
And by the way, Tim Bradshaw got Tim on Twitter @Tim,
00:20:48
◼
►
which he must've been pretty early, huh?
00:20:52
◼
►
I should note with regard to Apple Pay that I got an email from Bank of America today
00:20:56
◼
►
saying, "Oh, we're going to support Apple Pay.
00:20:59
◼
►
Don't worry.
00:21:00
◼
►
It's coming, it's coming, it's coming," which I can't remember Bank of America being that
00:21:04
◼
►
forward thinking about just about anything.
00:21:06
◼
►
Now, I'm one of the six humans that doesn't think Bank of America is pure, unadulterated
00:21:11
◼
►
I've always had okay luck with them, but I'm very surprised that they're trying to be on
00:21:17
◼
►
the ball with this Apple Pay thing.
00:21:18
◼
►
And I know that it was mentioned that they were one of the partners during the keynote,
00:21:22
◼
►
but actually receiving an unsolicited communication from them saying, "Apple Pay is coming, Apple
00:21:26
◼
►
Pay is coming," that kind of took me back.
00:21:28
◼
►
Not a bad thing, just surprised.
00:21:30
◼
►
So let's talk about some feedback from Pomo.
00:21:34
◼
►
I'll see if I can summarize this.
00:21:36
◼
►
He basically says, "I know you're not into Android, but it always hurts to hear things
00:21:41
◼
►
like 'How will the market react now that there is feature X?' for a feature that has existed
00:21:44
◼
►
before in the concept of NFC payments.
00:21:48
◼
►
Obviously Apple will fare better at NFC payments than Google.
00:21:52
◼
►
Companies seem protective when Google tries to enter a market.
00:21:58
◼
►
As for how large iPhones will fare, you don't have to guess these things.
00:22:01
◼
►
Large high end phones have been around for a while, there should be no shame in checking
00:22:04
◼
►
how they fare in the Android world.
00:22:06
◼
►
It's fine that you're not into Android, but it's sad, and in such topics occasionally
00:22:09
◼
►
nerve-wracking (2) when you don't seem to know about what's happening outside of the
00:22:14
◼
►
outside of the Apple bubble.
00:22:17
◼
►
So basically, you know, Pomo's complaint is,
00:22:20
◼
►
it's annoying when we talk about things Apple does
00:22:23
◼
►
as if they're the first things of those type to exist,
00:22:25
◼
►
and that we don't even look at the Android world to see,
00:22:28
◼
►
like, hey, you know, this, not only is this not the first,
00:22:31
◼
►
but we can already see in the Android world
00:22:33
◼
►
how these things do in reality.
00:22:35
◼
►
So my response to him or her, is it,
00:22:38
◼
►
I don't think we know, I don't know off the top of my head.
00:22:40
◼
►
Anyway, my response to him or her,
00:22:42
◼
►
our pronouns are terrible in this language,
00:22:44
◼
►
is basically, you know, there's two things.
00:22:47
◼
►
Number one, yeah, of course we don't pay attention
00:22:49
◼
►
as much to Android as we do with iOS
00:22:50
◼
►
'cause we don't use Android.
00:22:51
◼
►
You know, none of us really use it on a regular basis.
00:22:53
◼
►
So there's a little bit of that.
00:22:55
◼
►
But mainly, you know, his examples of like, you know,
00:23:00
◼
►
trying to predict how NFC will do,
00:23:02
◼
►
trying to predict how large screen phones will sell.
00:23:05
◼
►
Yeah, Android has those things already.
00:23:09
◼
►
But the fact is it's different
00:23:10
◼
►
when Apple does things like that.
00:23:12
◼
►
It doesn't, like the market does not work the same way
00:23:15
◼
►
when Apple does something as an Android does something
00:23:16
◼
►
because there's so many other factors at play.
00:23:19
◼
►
So like, you know, the payment stuff,
00:23:22
◼
►
the NFC payment stuff, yeah,
00:23:24
◼
►
Android phones have had that for a while
00:23:25
◼
►
and no one in the US even knows about it.
00:23:29
◼
►
You know, and granted the rest of the world,
00:23:31
◼
►
NFC payments are bigger in general
00:23:33
◼
►
and non-dumb old credit card payments
00:23:36
◼
►
are bigger in general.
00:23:38
◼
►
With the chip and pin stuff
00:23:39
◼
►
and everything that came before that, you know,
00:23:41
◼
►
But in the US, which is admittedly not the whole world,
00:23:44
◼
►
but it's also a pretty big market
00:23:46
◼
►
and pretty important to Apple and us,
00:23:48
◼
►
Apple has a lot of clout.
00:23:51
◼
►
When Apple announces something like this,
00:23:53
◼
►
people pay attention, people hear it,
00:23:54
◼
►
and Apple is offering basically an integrated solution
00:23:58
◼
►
to people top to bottom.
00:24:00
◼
►
It's branded, it will be used.
00:24:03
◼
►
It's gonna be in people's faces.
00:24:05
◼
►
It's gonna have all this press and marketing behind it.
00:24:08
◼
►
It's gonna have all these deals made with the retailers.
00:24:10
◼
►
like no Google device manufacturer or Google itself could have that kind of integration
00:24:16
◼
►
power. So when Apple is going to attempt NFC, it's way more likely to succeed, I think,
00:24:24
◼
►
than any of Google's efforts. And not necessarily to the exclusion of Google's efforts, Google's
00:24:28
◼
►
efforts might also end up succeeding. But I think Apple's effort will be exactly what
00:24:34
◼
►
Android fans hate the most. It will succeed as if it was the first one there. And I'm
00:24:39
◼
►
I'm sorry, but that's just very likely to happen.
00:24:42
◼
►
And it's not because no one gives Google credit, I guess.
00:24:47
◼
►
It's because no one even knew about the Android ones
00:24:50
◼
►
in the US for the most part.
00:24:51
◼
►
And it's just different.
00:24:53
◼
►
- We don't know if it will succeed or not.
00:24:55
◼
►
But the sections that I quoted from email says,
00:24:58
◼
►
hurts to hear how the market will react for a feature
00:25:02
◼
►
as if it hasn't existed before.
00:25:04
◼
►
And then the very next sentence is,
00:25:05
◼
►
obviously Apple will throw better.
00:25:08
◼
►
So I mean, obviously this person's been, you know,
00:25:10
◼
►
well, if you think it's gonna fare better,
00:25:12
◼
►
then why are you just saying it's the same?
00:25:14
◼
►
See, the second part that you read
00:25:17
◼
►
is even more on the nose.
00:25:19
◼
►
As for how large iPhones will fare,
00:25:21
◼
►
you don't have to guess these things.
00:25:22
◼
►
Now, first of all, I don't think we were guessing, all right?
00:25:24
◼
►
We've been discussing the market's appetite
00:25:29
◼
►
for large phones since episode one,
00:25:31
◼
►
literally, of this podcast, right?
00:25:35
◼
►
And so we're not guessing how large iPhones are fair.
00:25:39
◼
►
The large phones have been around for a while.
00:25:41
◼
►
It's right there in the sentence.
00:25:43
◼
►
Large iPhones.
00:25:44
◼
►
We know how large Android phones sell roughly.
00:25:47
◼
►
We don't know how large iPhones will sell.
00:25:49
◼
►
There's just so many, and that's what we're talking about.
00:25:51
◼
►
We're not pretending, oh, who will buy these things?
00:25:53
◼
►
Because it's different.
00:25:54
◼
►
It's a large iPhone.
00:25:55
◼
►
It's not a large Android phone.
00:25:56
◼
►
It's a very different product,
00:25:57
◼
►
selling into a very different market.
00:25:59
◼
►
And I don't think we were ignorant at all
00:26:01
◼
►
that larger phones existed or whatever.
00:26:05
◼
►
You can't just extrapolate from past events and say,
00:26:07
◼
►
well, these things have always been popular,
00:26:09
◼
►
therefore we know Apple.
00:26:10
◼
►
I mean, what is it that we should have done
00:26:12
◼
►
that we weren't doing?
00:26:13
◼
►
Acknowledge the existence of Android phones?
00:26:16
◼
►
Incorporating the appetite for large phones in general
00:26:19
◼
►
into the possibility of a large Apple phone existing
00:26:22
◼
►
and how it's going to do?
00:26:23
◼
►
Like, I feel like we checked up all the check boxes on this.
00:26:26
◼
►
We were totally incorporating all the information at hand,
00:26:29
◼
►
but we then have to say, how is Apple different?
00:26:31
◼
►
And as this person's feedback says,
00:26:34
◼
►
Even he thinks, I think it's he, that Apple will fare better.
00:26:37
◼
►
Why will they fare better?
00:26:38
◼
►
Well, it's a different product with a different feature
00:26:41
◼
►
set and different deals behind it.
00:26:42
◼
►
And that's what we discussed.
00:26:43
◼
►
I don't know.
00:26:44
◼
►
That's probably too long.
00:26:45
◼
►
But anyway, this feedback, I understand the frustration
00:26:49
◼
►
from hearing a podcast from people
00:26:51
◼
►
whose usage and knowledge centers
00:26:53
◼
►
on a different platform than you.
00:26:55
◼
►
But I do think we incorporated as much information
00:27:00
◼
►
about the precursors to these products
00:27:03
◼
►
as was relevant to predicting how we think they might do.
00:27:07
◼
►
On a somewhat related note, I think
00:27:09
◼
►
it was after the last episode that I
00:27:12
◼
►
saw a bunch of Europeans tweet at any one of us saying,
00:27:17
◼
►
wait, you guys don't have chip and pin?
00:27:20
◼
►
Yeah, they don't know how bad it is over here.
00:27:22
◼
►
Yeah, it was hysterical.
00:27:23
◼
►
Tell them about the cable companies.
00:27:25
◼
►
Oh, it's atrocious.
00:27:26
◼
►
But to extremely quickly give you
00:27:28
◼
►
an idea of how bad it is here in America,
00:27:31
◼
►
we don't have chip and pin.
00:27:32
◼
►
although now that everyone is getting all of our credit card numbers, that's supposedly
00:27:37
◼
►
And the other thing that Europeans could not understand is if you're at a restaurant,
00:27:41
◼
►
the general way things work is you ask for a check, they bring you the check, you give
00:27:46
◼
►
the server your credit card, they run away to some terminal that could be in the back
00:27:51
◼
►
of the restaurant well out of your line of sight, swipe your card, hopefully not skim
00:27:57
◼
►
your card, bring it back, and then you are to add the tip that you want to add, sign
00:28:03
◼
►
the paper, and leave it.
00:28:04
◼
►
And just hope that A, they didn't skim your card, and B, they actually put the amount
00:28:10
◼
►
you want them to put into the point of sale system in order to charge you.
00:28:15
◼
►
It is completely backwards here, and that's one of the reasons why I think Apple Pay or
00:28:21
◼
►
Or any other equivalent credit card less or any sort of NFC based payment system might
00:28:28
◼
►
actually work because we are so backwards anything will be an improvement.
00:28:34
◼
►
The only thing and I think I might have asked or wondered this in either this show or the
00:28:38
◼
►
I wonder if it's going to be socially awkward at the beginning to be like, "Do you have
00:28:43
◼
►
Can I do this thing with my phone?
00:28:44
◼
►
I've never really tried it but I kind of want to try it.
00:28:46
◼
►
Is that okay?
00:28:47
◼
►
Do you mind?"
00:28:48
◼
►
I think kind of socially weird,
00:28:50
◼
►
but I hope that we all get over that very quickly
00:28:52
◼
►
because we are so behind Europe
00:28:54
◼
►
when it comes to this credit card business.
00:28:55
◼
►
It's just beyond description.
00:28:58
◼
►
- Yeah, no, I was thinking like, you know,
00:28:59
◼
►
the restaurant thing is probably the biggest example,
00:29:02
◼
►
but there's all sorts of things in the US
00:29:03
◼
►
where like you have to give your credit card to somebody,
00:29:06
◼
►
they swipe it and they bring it back to you,
00:29:08
◼
►
oftentimes like far away.
00:29:10
◼
►
Like I was like in New Jersey,
00:29:12
◼
►
it's all full service gas stations.
00:29:14
◼
►
And so you, as the person, you have to stay in your car
00:29:18
◼
►
and you sit there while somebody else pumps your gas for you
00:29:22
◼
►
and puts your credit card into the pump for you.
00:29:24
◼
►
And there's all sorts of things like that in America,
00:29:27
◼
►
with restaurants being the biggest,
00:29:28
◼
►
where they're gonna have to completely revamp
00:29:32
◼
►
the way they charge people, the physical process,
00:29:36
◼
►
how they charge people.
00:29:38
◼
►
And whether that's gonna be little wireless terminals
00:29:40
◼
►
or what they bring to you, I don't know.
00:29:42
◼
►
There's all sorts of options,
00:29:43
◼
►
but there's gonna be a lot of like major disruption
00:29:48
◼
►
of minor things in the US to make this happen.
00:29:52
◼
►
- We got feedback about that as well,
00:29:53
◼
►
which I think directly echoing something
00:29:56
◼
►
that Marco said in the last show,
00:29:58
◼
►
then the idea is that, you know,
00:29:59
◼
►
so Chip and Pin is coming to our country
00:30:01
◼
►
because the fraud rates have ticked up a little bit
00:30:04
◼
►
and now it is economically feasible for them to do that.
00:30:06
◼
►
And so there'll be new point of sale hardware.
00:30:08
◼
►
And as Marco said in the last show,
00:30:09
◼
►
new point of sale hardware is an opportunity
00:30:11
◼
►
to also have NFC in that new point-of-sale hardware.
00:30:14
◼
►
Like Apple is coming in at more or less just the right time
00:30:17
◼
►
when there's gonna be a lot of turnover
00:30:18
◼
►
in point-of-sale hardware and retail anyway.
00:30:20
◼
►
And adding NFC to the mix is a good thing to do
00:30:24
◼
►
is that retail stores are gonna wanna buy
00:30:26
◼
►
whatever the most forward-looking point-of-sale hardware is
00:30:28
◼
►
so they don't have to replace it again soon.
00:30:31
◼
►
So we expect the state of the art
00:30:36
◼
►
in payment processing in the US
00:30:38
◼
►
to slowly lurch forward towards the future.
00:30:40
◼
►
Will it be Apple Pay everywhere?
00:30:42
◼
►
Will it just be Chip and Pin everywhere?
00:30:44
◼
►
Will it be some mix?
00:30:45
◼
►
Anything's gotta be better than where we are today.
00:30:47
◼
►
So I look forward to that over the next few years.
00:30:49
◼
►
Although knowing how slowly these things go,
00:30:52
◼
►
it could be many years, so we'll see.
00:30:54
◼
►
- Do you guys like full service gas stations?
00:30:56
◼
►
- No, nobody likes full service.
00:30:57
◼
►
- I do. - Nobody likes New Jersey
00:30:58
◼
►
and nobody likes full service gas.
00:31:01
◼
►
- Why? - Yeah, there's someone
00:31:02
◼
►
here who does.
00:31:03
◼
►
- Why do you like full service gas?
00:31:05
◼
►
That just seems so weird.
00:31:07
◼
►
Like whenever I go, say, to your house,
00:31:09
◼
►
Like say I did, what was it, last weekend,
00:31:11
◼
►
the weekend before, we always go up the Jersey Turnpike
00:31:14
◼
►
and go to the token Sanoko's
00:31:17
◼
►
and we get our full service gas
00:31:19
◼
►
and it's always so awkward to me.
00:31:21
◼
►
And then they like do your windshield, which is really nice.
00:31:23
◼
►
And then there's that ambiguous moment where you're like,
00:31:25
◼
►
should I tip this person?
00:31:26
◼
►
Do I need to tip this person?
00:31:27
◼
►
- They do your windshield and you think, both of you,
00:31:30
◼
►
I can't believe both of you, like, first of all,
00:31:32
◼
►
do you, what they're doing your windshield with
00:31:34
◼
►
is this like bucket full of disgusting, dirty water
00:31:37
◼
►
filled with sand that's gonna scratch your windshield.
00:31:40
◼
►
And then both of you, do you want someone else
00:31:41
◼
►
messing with your gas cap and just shoving the thing
00:31:43
◼
►
in there and do it?
00:31:44
◼
►
Like, it's terrible.
00:31:46
◼
►
Why would you let someone touch your beautiful,
00:31:47
◼
►
precious, super expensive car?
00:31:49
◼
►
Like, they don't care about any of that stuff there.
00:31:51
◼
►
They're just, oh, no, not good.
00:31:54
◼
►
- Well, I don't mind them doing the windshield,
00:31:55
◼
►
but I don't like the idea of full service gas to begin with.
00:31:58
◼
►
I do like that Jersey gas is considerably cheaper
00:32:01
◼
►
than any other of the surrounding states,
00:32:03
◼
►
but I do not like full service gas,
00:32:05
◼
►
and I would even rather get out of my car in the winter
00:32:07
◼
►
when it's freaking freezing and handle my own gas business,
00:32:11
◼
►
then have someone come to me and ask, what do you want?
00:32:15
◼
►
And then you got to tell them, oh, well, I want premium.
00:32:16
◼
►
And then you have to like give them the eagle eye side eye,
00:32:19
◼
►
making sure they actually put in premium.
00:32:21
◼
►
I hate full service gas.
00:32:23
◼
►
- Well, the gas is cheaper in New Jersey
00:32:24
◼
►
because it just condenses out of the air over newer.
00:32:30
◼
►
- Oh, you're gonna get so much email.
00:32:31
◼
►
Oh, that's fantastic.
00:32:33
◼
►
Oh, that's good times.
00:32:34
◼
►
Anyway, all right, let's talk about something awesome.
00:32:37
◼
►
- Can I tell you why I like full service?
00:32:38
◼
►
- Oh, if you wanna try to defend
00:32:40
◼
►
that ridiculous opinion, feel free.
00:32:42
◼
►
- I'm gonna go with he's really lazy, what's your guess?
00:32:44
◼
►
- He's too spoiled.
00:32:46
◼
►
- The same thing kind of, all right, go ahead.
00:32:48
◼
►
- I like full service, well first of all,
00:32:49
◼
►
there's two gas stations in my town.
00:32:51
◼
►
They're both full service,
00:32:53
◼
►
and they're both like little independently owned things.
00:32:55
◼
►
And the reason I like it so much is because
00:32:58
◼
►
I don't have to get out of my car
00:32:59
◼
►
and get my hands covered in that gas hand smell.
00:33:05
◼
►
Why don't you just put like hand sanitizer in your cars?
00:33:07
◼
►
- I have, I have a like a little bit.
00:33:09
◼
►
It's the only time I use hand sanitizer ever
00:33:11
◼
►
is I have this little thing in my car.
00:33:13
◼
►
- Hand sanitizer spells worse than gas hands.
00:33:16
◼
►
Both of them are very volatile.
00:33:16
◼
►
- Actually I tend to. - They will evaporate quickly
00:33:18
◼
►
and you don't have to worry about it.
00:33:19
◼
►
It's not like a lingering smell
00:33:20
◼
►
like that you're not gonna be able to get off it.
00:33:22
◼
►
It will evaporate.
00:33:23
◼
►
It'll be fine, trust me.
00:33:24
◼
►
- I actually think I would agree
00:33:25
◼
►
that gas hands smell better than antiseptic hands,
00:33:29
◼
►
but whatever.
00:33:31
◼
►
It does not surprise me Marco
00:33:32
◼
►
that you do not wanna get out of your M5
00:33:35
◼
►
in order to pump your own fuel.
00:33:36
◼
►
- But you should not want those people
00:33:37
◼
►
touching your car at all.
00:33:39
◼
►
And Casey, you should not want whatever water
00:33:41
◼
►
they're washing your windshield with.
00:33:42
◼
►
Just go look, get out of your car
00:33:44
◼
►
and look where they're dipping and rubbing on your,
00:33:46
◼
►
they're making it dirtier.
00:33:47
◼
►
They're not cleaning your windshield.
00:33:49
◼
►
- You say that, but especially in the summertime
00:33:51
◼
►
and especially late in the evening,
00:33:53
◼
►
my windshield is often so disgusting from bugs
00:33:56
◼
►
that it's actually almost to the point
00:33:58
◼
►
of being a safety hazard.
00:34:00
◼
►
And so I appreciate the fact that I can now see something,
00:34:03
◼
►
even if it's a little cloudier perhaps than it once was.
00:34:06
◼
►
At least it's not completely opaque because of bugs.
00:34:11
◼
►
Anyway, Igloo is an internet you'll actually like.
00:34:13
◼
►
Igloo is built with easy to use apps like shared calendars,
00:34:17
◼
►
Twitter like micro blogs, file sharing,
00:34:18
◼
►
task management and more.
00:34:20
◼
►
You can have all of this in your internet for your company.
00:34:23
◼
►
And you know, most internets are terrible
00:34:26
◼
►
as almost anybody who's ever used one can attest.
00:34:29
◼
►
Igloo is so good.
00:34:32
◼
►
It is everything you need to work better together
00:34:34
◼
►
in a very configurable cloud platform.
00:34:37
◼
►
You can learn more at igloosoftware.com/atp.
00:34:42
◼
►
With igloos responsive design,
00:34:43
◼
►
your internet already works like a champ
00:34:45
◼
►
on virtually any device, iOS, Android, even Blackberry.
00:34:49
◼
►
If you actually, I guess in the corporate world,
00:34:51
◼
►
it's probably important to have Blackberry support,
00:34:53
◼
►
but even there, I mean, do people still use Blackberries?
00:34:57
◼
►
- Jon, do you see any Blackberries at your job?
00:34:58
◼
►
- I have, I still do see them.
00:35:00
◼
►
they still do exist.
00:35:02
◼
►
- You probably are like the most normal job,
00:35:05
◼
►
you're probably exposed to the most normal people
00:35:07
◼
►
in your job, the three of us.
00:35:08
◼
►
Would you say that or Casey,
00:35:09
◼
►
you think you are with clients and stuff?
00:35:10
◼
►
- Yeah, see it's a tough call.
00:35:11
◼
►
My actual employer is relatively progressive and small,
00:35:15
◼
►
but a lot of the companies we work with
00:35:17
◼
►
are huge financial services companies
00:35:19
◼
►
and they're, let's just go with different.
00:35:22
◼
►
- Nice, anyway, if your company still is unfortunate enough
00:35:28
◼
►
to have Blackberry users, Igloo will even work on those.
00:35:31
◼
►
They are that good.
00:35:32
◼
►
It also even works on your new iPhone 6 Plus
00:35:34
◼
►
right from the very start.
00:35:36
◼
►
They've already tested it and it works.
00:35:38
◼
►
So you can review a document,
00:35:39
◼
►
you can post a project update,
00:35:40
◼
►
you can change your administrative settings
00:35:42
◼
►
or talk about how that U2 album
00:35:43
◼
►
snuck onto your iTunes library all from your phone,
00:35:46
◼
►
no matter who makes your phone or what size it is.
00:35:48
◼
►
Plus, when you design your Igloo internet,
00:35:50
◼
►
any change you make to the look and feel
00:35:52
◼
►
carries across all of these devices.
00:35:55
◼
►
The file preview engine is also fully HTML5 compatible.
00:35:59
◼
►
So if one of your coworkers uploads a proposal
00:36:01
◼
►
or a JavaScript file, you can preview in line,
00:36:03
◼
►
add comments, upload new versions or assign action items.
00:36:07
◼
►
That's a thing, action items from your phone.
00:36:10
◼
►
Just this peak, Gartner, the big analyst firm,
00:36:12
◼
►
I'm an analyst, you know,
00:36:13
◼
►
released their famed Magic Quadrant
00:36:15
◼
►
for social software in the workplace.
00:36:17
◼
►
That sounds awesome.
00:36:19
◼
►
Igloo appears in this Magic Quadrant report
00:36:21
◼
►
for the sixth consecutive year,
00:36:23
◼
►
alongside tech giants like Microsoft, IBM, Google,
00:36:26
◼
►
VMware, Salesforce.com, and SAP.
00:36:28
◼
►
Is it S-A-P or SAP?
00:36:31
◼
►
- I'm gonna go with SAP.
00:36:32
◼
►
In a report that values the size of the vendor,
00:36:34
◼
►
in Gartner terms, that means viability,
00:36:37
◼
►
Igloo is praised for their responsiveness
00:36:39
◼
►
and customer experience.
00:36:41
◼
►
This quadrant thing, oh man, I saw this once at a company.
00:36:44
◼
►
Oh, there are so many, it's all full of business terms.
00:36:48
◼
►
To me, it might as well be written in a different language.
00:36:51
◼
►
Business people understand it, I don't.
00:36:53
◼
►
But anyway, if you understand it,
00:36:55
◼
►
igloo ranks very well in it.
00:36:56
◼
►
Here's an excerpt from Gartner's profile of igloo.
00:36:59
◼
►
Feedback from igloo's reference customers,
00:37:01
◼
►
reference customers, oh man, was consistently positive.
00:37:04
◼
►
They praised the product's quick deployment,
00:37:06
◼
►
configuration and customization flexibility
00:37:08
◼
►
with self-service options for non-technical users,
00:37:10
◼
►
control over branding and information organization
00:37:13
◼
►
and ease of use.
00:37:14
◼
►
They also praised the responsiveness of igloo
00:37:15
◼
►
as an organization.
00:37:17
◼
►
So if you understood that and your company
00:37:18
◼
►
has a legacy internet built on SharePoint
00:37:20
◼
►
their old portal technology,
00:37:22
◼
►
you should definitely give Igloo a try.
00:37:23
◼
►
They're way better than that.
00:37:24
◼
►
They're cool people.
00:37:26
◼
►
They're big fans of our work and all of our friends' work.
00:37:28
◼
►
They said they've supported us for years.
00:37:30
◼
►
And I can't say enough, if you need an internet,
00:37:34
◼
►
start with them.
00:37:35
◼
►
And one of the cool things is,
00:37:36
◼
►
you can get up to 10 people on Igloo for free.
00:37:39
◼
►
They have this free tier, zero to 10 people,
00:37:41
◼
►
I guess zero isn't really a usage,
00:37:43
◼
►
but one to 10 people on Igloo, it's free.
00:37:46
◼
►
After that, it's very reasonably priced.
00:37:48
◼
►
So check it out.
00:37:49
◼
►
go to igloosoftware.com/atp.
00:37:52
◼
►
Once again, igloosoftware.com/atp
00:37:55
◼
►
for an internet you will actually like.
00:37:58
◼
►
- You know, just to build on that,
00:37:59
◼
►
I am not a fan of the Gartner analyses,
00:38:03
◼
►
but I am a fan of iglo.
00:38:04
◼
►
- The quadrant report.
00:38:05
◼
►
- Yeah, oh, it's so bad.
00:38:06
◼
►
It's so businessy, I need a shower.
00:38:08
◼
►
- They're magic quadrants.
00:38:09
◼
►
Regular quadrants are boring and unmagical.
00:38:12
◼
►
Magic quadrants can revolutionize your industry
00:38:14
◼
►
with reference customer relationships.
00:38:16
◼
►
- Oh, it's so bad.
00:38:17
◼
►
But igloo is very good.
00:38:18
◼
►
So if you're turned off by hearing the word Gartner,
00:38:22
◼
►
don't be turned off about Igloo 'cause they're awesome.
00:38:25
◼
►
Anyway, we can talk about the Apple Watch.
00:38:27
◼
►
- Yes, that was right after we finished the last show
00:38:30
◼
►
where we were talking about, you know,
00:38:32
◼
►
the Apple Watch starts at 3.49, where does it end?
00:38:35
◼
►
And we were all given our different numbers and stuff.
00:38:37
◼
►
- Oh, we were way off.
00:38:38
◼
►
- Right after it was over, I saw a tweet that said,
00:38:41
◼
►
"Did you know the Apple Watch is solid gold?"
00:38:43
◼
►
And no, I did not know they have,
00:38:45
◼
►
I mean, we think we even said gold-plated on the show.
00:38:47
◼
►
Apparently the gold watch is not some other metal
00:38:50
◼
►
with gold plating on it, but is in fact solid gold alloy,
00:38:53
◼
►
some metal that is a very odd portion of gold.
00:38:55
◼
►
And so that takes all of our estimates
00:38:57
◼
►
and just based on the raw materials alone,
00:39:00
◼
►
just shoves them up thousands of dollars.
00:39:02
◼
►
So forget about what we said on the last show,
00:39:04
◼
►
solid gold totally changes the equation.
00:39:06
◼
►
Now there's still the question of,
00:39:07
◼
►
all right, so it's solid gold,
00:39:09
◼
►
all of our estimates go up by a few thousand bucks,
00:39:12
◼
►
The remaining question is,
00:39:13
◼
►
what we were getting at last show,
00:39:16
◼
►
will Apple be willing to charge a price for its product
00:39:19
◼
►
that is just massively out of whack
00:39:22
◼
►
with the cost of materials and labor
00:39:24
◼
►
and so on and so forth?
00:39:25
◼
►
So for example, if they could get a 50% product margin
00:39:30
◼
►
selling their high-end watch for $8,000,
00:39:33
◼
►
would they say, "Well, that's a 50% margin.
00:39:36
◼
►
Why don't we sell it for 16,000?
00:39:38
◼
►
No additional cost of materials."
00:39:39
◼
►
But I was saying, "But you know what?
00:39:41
◼
►
At this price range, what the hell?
00:39:43
◼
►
Just crank that number up."
00:39:45
◼
►
- I think so.
00:39:46
◼
►
And that's the question, like when you get to,
00:39:48
◼
►
like you, Chris, there's a name for this.
00:39:50
◼
►
- Veblen Goods or, yeah.
00:39:51
◼
►
- It's like when, instead of the, when the demand,
00:39:55
◼
►
oh, I'm gonna get this wrong.
00:39:56
◼
►
Someone Google it so I don't have to try to say it,
00:39:59
◼
►
since it's off the top of my head.
00:39:59
◼
►
But anyway, it's once you reach the very high end,
00:40:02
◼
►
the rules of supply and demand go all wacky,
00:40:05
◼
►
and suddenly the price starts going up and up and up
00:40:08
◼
►
as the number of people who can afford it goes down,
00:40:10
◼
►
and it just becomes like a status symbol
00:40:13
◼
►
or something that you want to buy because if it's rarity,
00:40:18
◼
►
kind of like, you know,
00:40:19
◼
►
there's not gonna be many people with this watch.
00:40:22
◼
►
Anyway, we don't know what Apple's gonna do in that area.
00:40:25
◼
►
We should buy, still think it's really interesting
00:40:26
◼
►
to see what the price is gonna be,
00:40:27
◼
►
but I think we already know just based on the fact
00:40:29
◼
►
that it's solid gold,
00:40:30
◼
►
that the price of this thing is gonna be huge.
00:40:33
◼
►
So high that it'll eliminate almost everybody
00:40:36
◼
►
from even looking at that watch, except for the very wealthy.
00:40:39
◼
►
And Gruber had his watch review up
00:40:41
◼
►
and he talked about this as well,
00:40:43
◼
►
and we didn't really talk about it too much.
00:40:44
◼
►
Now that we know that these things are gonna be
00:40:46
◼
►
comfortably into the super expensive jewelry category
00:40:49
◼
►
at the high end, so many more questions open up.
00:40:52
◼
►
One of the ones that has been discussed is,
00:40:54
◼
►
who's gonna buy something that expensive
00:40:58
◼
►
when it has built-in obsolescence
00:41:00
◼
►
in a way that like a Rolex does not?
00:41:02
◼
►
- Yeah, that's a big one.
00:41:03
◼
►
I wonder, first of all, I definitely recommend
00:41:07
◼
►
anybody interested in the watch and its pricing
00:41:09
◼
►
and the watch market read Gruber's article about this,
00:41:12
◼
►
we'll link to it in the show notes,
00:41:13
◼
►
it's very, very good and very relevant to this,
00:41:15
◼
►
because he knows, clearly he knows more
00:41:17
◼
►
about the watch market than we do. (laughs)
00:41:19
◼
►
And so I think, you know, it's looking very, very likely,
00:41:24
◼
►
based on how much watches that are just made
00:41:28
◼
►
from these metals usually sell for.
00:41:30
◼
►
Yeah, I think it's safe to say the gold one
00:41:33
◼
►
is probably gonna be at least $5,000,
00:41:36
◼
►
probably at least $10,000,
00:41:38
◼
►
just because of the amount of gold in it.
00:41:39
◼
►
I mean, gold is very, very expensive, and it's solid gold.
00:41:42
◼
►
It's just a lot of metal, as we said.
00:41:44
◼
►
So the question, I think, is,
00:41:47
◼
►
you know, you can look at this and you can say,
00:41:50
◼
►
all right, well, Apple might be in this
00:41:52
◼
►
for just wanting the kind of margins
00:41:55
◼
►
that these kind of high-fashion things command,
00:41:57
◼
►
especially something like this.
00:41:59
◼
►
It's made of, it's priced as some multiple
00:42:03
◼
►
of a precious metal's value.
00:42:06
◼
►
So it's already, you know, it's a decent multiple
00:42:09
◼
►
of an already expensive source material.
00:42:12
◼
►
So you can look at it and say,
00:42:13
◼
►
well maybe Apple wants just the margins.
00:42:15
◼
►
Maybe Apple wants that kind of product in their line,
00:42:19
◼
►
you know, to be fancy and profitable.
00:42:22
◼
►
The other possibility that I thought of is maybe,
00:42:25
◼
►
you know, maybe Apple's goal here is not necessarily
00:42:29
◼
►
to make a ton of money on watches,
00:42:32
◼
►
but to sell a lot of watches.
00:42:34
◼
►
and that many people, because a watch is something you wear,
00:42:37
◼
►
it's an accessory, it's a fashion item,
00:42:39
◼
►
it's a, you know, they kept saying personal,
00:42:42
◼
►
intimate, all this stuff, but it really is,
00:42:44
◼
►
it's a fashion item.
00:42:45
◼
►
Maybe they realize that there's a whole lot of people who,
00:42:49
◼
►
any smartwatch out there today,
00:42:51
◼
►
like all the Google Wear ones and the other ones,
00:42:54
◼
►
they're so ugly, and they're so like, you know,
00:42:57
◼
►
kinda cheap relative to these fancy watches,
00:42:59
◼
►
like maybe Apple has to offer watches
00:43:03
◼
►
in these high-end metals that are at these high-end prices
00:43:06
◼
►
just to get a certain group of people
00:43:08
◼
►
to even consider wearing and buying them.
00:43:10
◼
►
So maybe their goal is,
00:43:13
◼
►
we want these people to be wearing an Apple Watch,
00:43:16
◼
►
using it with their Apple phone,
00:43:18
◼
►
and maybe the only way to get them to wear a watch
00:43:20
◼
►
is to offer a stainless steel one and to offer a gold one.
00:43:24
◼
►
And so there's gonna be certain people
00:43:25
◼
►
for whom that is the case,
00:43:27
◼
►
where they won't consider a cheap plastic
00:43:30
◼
►
and aluminum electronic watch.
00:43:32
◼
►
that'll be too geeky for them,
00:43:33
◼
►
but if you make it out of this high-end stuff,
00:43:37
◼
►
then you can reach a certain number of customers
00:43:39
◼
►
who otherwise would never consider
00:43:40
◼
►
wearing a computer watch on their wrist.
00:43:42
◼
►
- I don't know if it's about reaching that audience,
00:43:45
◼
►
'cause I understand wearing something
00:43:47
◼
►
is very, very different than just holding it,
00:43:49
◼
►
but I don't think that it looks less geeky enough,
00:43:54
◼
►
but when you dress it up, when you doll it up
00:43:56
◼
►
and make the fancy wristbands and all that other stuff,
00:43:58
◼
►
which by the way, those wrist things
00:43:59
◼
►
are probably gonna cost a bazillion dollars too,
00:44:02
◼
►
But if you dress it all up, it's still a watch
00:44:05
◼
►
that's basically a screen.
00:44:06
◼
►
It's still a little computer on your wrist.
00:44:08
◼
►
So I don't know how much geekiness you are removing.
00:44:14
◼
►
If there's some audience out there that says,
00:44:16
◼
►
"Well, I don't wanna wear anything.
00:44:17
◼
►
"I don't wanna wear something
00:44:18
◼
►
"that looks like I'm wearing a computer on my wrist."
00:44:19
◼
►
It's still gonna look like you're wearing a computer
00:44:21
◼
►
on your wrist no matter how nice the band it is
00:44:22
◼
►
and no matter what precious metals it's made of.
00:44:26
◼
►
And by the way, I looked up on the Wikipedia page,
00:44:28
◼
►
BeblinGood is a good whose demand
00:44:30
◼
►
is proportional to its price.
00:44:31
◼
►
So it's like, as we raise the price,
00:44:34
◼
►
suddenly the demand goes up because all it's,
00:44:36
◼
►
I'm not interested in an $8,000 watch because who cares,
00:44:38
◼
►
but make that same watch $30,000
00:44:40
◼
►
and suddenly I'm interested because,
00:44:41
◼
►
well, I have a $30,000 Apple watch.
00:44:44
◼
►
So anyway, I don't know if Apple's going to be entering
00:44:46
◼
►
that realm and the obsolescence issue is definitely there.
00:44:49
◼
►
The angle that I've seen thrown around about that is like,
00:44:52
◼
►
well, that's even more of a status.
00:44:53
◼
►
It was like, I bought this $30,000 watch.
00:44:55
◼
►
It's going to be a paperweight in two years
00:44:57
◼
►
because the new one's going to be out.
00:44:58
◼
►
Look how rich I am.
00:44:59
◼
►
It's like the, I am rich application, but.
00:45:01
◼
►
- Yeah, and I think the obsolescence thing
00:45:04
◼
►
is gonna prove to be a really big deal
00:45:07
◼
►
and a really big problem for Apple
00:45:08
◼
►
trying to sell these premium price watches
00:45:10
◼
►
because even if you're some really super rich guy
00:45:15
◼
►
in a place that really values showing your wealth like that,
00:45:19
◼
►
of which there are many places,
00:45:20
◼
►
although I'm pretty sure that the tech geek world
00:45:23
◼
►
in California is pretty much the opposite of that,
00:45:25
◼
►
which is interesting and worth talking about on its own,
00:45:26
◼
►
but even if you're in a place like that,
00:45:30
◼
►
If you have a $30,000 watch, that's a really cool thing.
00:45:33
◼
►
That's like, wow, that's a nice watch.
00:45:36
◼
►
That's gonna be a family heirloom.
00:45:38
◼
►
If you have a $10,000 gold iWatch
00:45:42
◼
►
that's three years ago's model,
00:45:45
◼
►
that's like carrying around an iPad One.
00:45:47
◼
►
- It's not even gonna work anymore.
00:45:49
◼
►
Once the battery is dead, you'll have to replace the battery
00:45:52
◼
►
and I don't know how long they're gonna,
00:45:54
◼
►
how long you're gonna be able to find
00:45:56
◼
►
the exact, correct, weird little battery
00:45:58
◼
►
that fits inside there, 'cause it's gonna,
00:46:00
◼
►
It's not going to be easily replaceable.
00:46:01
◼
►
You're going to have to take the whole thing apart
00:46:02
◼
►
and find the weird bet.
00:46:03
◼
►
Like, it's just not going to have longevity
00:46:06
◼
►
of the other devices, which may be fine.
00:46:08
◼
►
Like, I talked about the Mac 2FX last time.
00:46:10
◼
►
I think I tried to guess about the prices,
00:46:11
◼
►
and someone either emailed or tweeted today
00:46:13
◼
►
that actually I was low in my price.
00:46:15
◼
►
Like, how much was the Mac 2FX in today's dollars?
00:46:18
◼
►
And some were in to say that it was like $22,000,
00:46:21
◼
►
not like $16,000.
00:46:22
◼
►
And so that's the other thing where it's like,
00:46:24
◼
►
well, Apple's going to sell a watch for $10,000.
00:46:27
◼
►
That's outrageous.
00:46:27
◼
►
Like, you can spec a $10,000 Mac Pro right now.
00:46:29
◼
►
It's all about what do you think is worth $10,000?
00:46:32
◼
►
Is the utility provided by the Mac Pro worth $10,000?
00:46:36
◼
►
Maybe if you work at Pixar, right?
00:46:38
◼
►
And that's a tool that you need to make your movie
00:46:40
◼
►
that's gonna make hundreds of millions of dollars,
00:46:42
◼
►
you can justify buying a $10,000 computer.
00:46:44
◼
►
Is $10,000 close to the price of goods in the Mac Pro?
00:46:47
◼
►
I think the margins are probably pretty good on that,
00:46:49
◼
►
but Apple has to buy the GPUs from AMD
00:46:52
◼
►
and it's gotta buy the CPUs from Intel
00:46:54
◼
►
and it's manufactured nicely
00:46:55
◼
►
and it has to buy the RAM from somebody.
00:46:58
◼
►
It's in the ballpark.
00:46:59
◼
►
maybe, you know, 100% margins or something.
00:47:02
◼
►
It's not like, you know, well, the Mac Pro goes $3,000,
00:47:07
◼
►
$5,000, and then goes $50,000.
00:47:09
◼
►
Like there's no 50 or $100,000 Mac Pro,
00:47:11
◼
►
except for that like weird red one.
00:47:12
◼
►
- There was a million dollars.
00:47:13
◼
►
- Weird red one that Marco tried to bid on,
00:47:16
◼
►
but thanks to collectors, I don't remember.
00:47:17
◼
►
- I got dramatically out of it.
00:47:19
◼
►
- So I still think we have to watch to see, huh,
00:47:22
◼
►
to see what the top end price is gonna be.
00:47:25
◼
►
And this is one of those cases where I actually will be
00:47:27
◼
►
looking at sort of the eye supply type of breakdown not so much from my supply
00:47:30
◼
►
but from people who know things about jewelry and stuff to say what it's
00:47:35
◼
►
difficult because again as we were putting it out in his article he was
00:47:38
◼
►
comparing it against Rolexes and stuff but those aren't priced based on the
00:47:42
◼
►
goods and labor plus a percentage either they're priced based on how much they
00:47:45
◼
►
think the market will bear which has almost no connection to they you know
00:47:49
◼
►
anything else in them it's just like the scale goes crazy where you just it's the
00:47:52
◼
►
same exact watch with the same movement you do it in gold if you just take that
00:47:56
◼
►
Other watch and its movement and then add in the price of the weight of the gold
00:47:59
◼
►
plus a little bit extra for like shaping it into that shape and then like triple it and that's the price of the gold one if
00:48:05
◼
►
for no reason just because well, you know just because
00:48:11
◼
►
I think this is mostly academic because as soon as you start entering into the realm of
00:48:15
◼
►
multi whether it's multi thousand dollar computers like the Mac Pro or
00:48:18
◼
►
Multipousand-dollar watches like this hop and I watches so few people buy those like that's not how Apple's going to make its money
00:48:24
◼
►
It's not like oh apples getting greedy like they are not making their money by selling $10,000 Mac pros
00:48:29
◼
►
They're not gonna make their money by sending selling $10,000. I watch is there god damn it this
00:48:34
◼
►
Maybe this is it maybe like I'm entering the eye touch phase of my life anyway
00:48:39
◼
►
They're not gonna make their money that way when you see in the big financials
00:48:44
◼
►
they have to sell tons and tons of the the cheaper ones, but
00:48:49
◼
►
If Apple really wants to move into the the realm of fashion
00:48:53
◼
►
Which I think is probably a good move at this point as technology shrinks and as the price of compute drops to zero
00:48:59
◼
►
That's a better market to be in than trying to sell technology
00:49:03
◼
►
It's a typical Apple move to say well
00:49:08
◼
►
We should get the high-end like we want all the best customers in the market and that includes the people who buy ten thousand on
00:49:13
◼
►
Mac pros like we want some of that market. We're not just gonna say oh well. They'll have to buy different computer
00:49:18
◼
►
But you know it's like look at PC. Do we want the the people who buy $300 PCs?
00:49:23
◼
►
No, we want the whole top end of the market from like $900 up to 10,000
00:49:26
◼
►
We want that whole market and we know we're not going to sell a lot of $10,000 max, but we're going to offer one
00:49:31
◼
►
And I think they know they're not going to sell a lot of $10,000 watches
00:49:35
◼
►
But they're going to offer one
00:49:36
◼
►
And I think that leads to the next question about these watches these gold watches and the bands and everything like that
00:49:42
◼
►
How the hell do you buy one? We talked about this a little bit in the last show
00:49:45
◼
►
But Scott McDelty had a good tweet today. He said if I'm buying a $20,000 watch
00:49:49
◼
►
I don't want to raise my hand so some teenager with an iPad can check me out
00:49:52
◼
►
He's referring to the experience of going to an Apple store and trying to I wonder if you do self-checkout with $20,000 gold
00:49:59
◼
►
They go think can I just scan this take a picture with my phone? I'm just walking out. Yeah, how are they gonna sell this?
00:50:04
◼
►
Yeah, well a couple other people pointed out like are they even gonna stock this in the store?
00:50:08
◼
►
Yeah, like is it behind is it behind a big case with a key?
00:50:11
◼
►
No, I don't think so
00:50:12
◼
►
Like is it under a jewelry counter or their separate section of the store where there's like a jeweler and a velvet like
00:50:16
◼
►
The just the logistics of how do you let someone see this this watch with this band with this X?
00:50:22
◼
►
Is it all gonna be through third party sellers? Like I don't understand how they're gonna sell this in the Apple Store
00:50:28
◼
►
I mean, I'm guessing first of all
00:50:30
◼
►
I bet it's I bet it's gonna be very rare to actually find one of these in stock in an Apple Store
00:50:35
◼
►
Second of all, I I would I would go also Gruber said this I I would say that
00:50:41
◼
►
There there has to be some kind of store redesign on the horizon
00:50:45
◼
►
I'm guessing one of the reasons why Apple has hired people like Angela Ahrens, however, you say her name. I'm sorry
00:50:52
◼
►
one of the reasons why people has hired why Apple has hired people who are from
00:50:56
◼
►
luxury retail brands and luxury retail experience and fashion retail experience is
00:51:01
◼
►
Because they're they're most likely working on a major redesign to their stores to integrate things like to integrate the watch first
00:51:09
◼
►
and then potentially future fashionable items or even just a redesign in general. I think their stores are
00:51:15
◼
►
They're okay, but they don't really have like an upscale feel anymore
00:51:20
◼
►
They did when they first launched but now there's just too many people. It's kind of old. It's plenty upscale
00:51:26
◼
►
It's just yeah, it's just too many damn people there like and they're not gonna solve that problem
00:51:30
◼
►
That's that's the issue is like they could solve that something by opening different kinds of stores like boutique stores or whatever
00:51:35
◼
►
but even within their current product line,
00:51:38
◼
►
like the Beats headphones, the iPhone 5C,
00:51:41
◼
►
and basically just like the existence of all the cases
00:51:44
◼
►
for their existing phones.
00:51:45
◼
►
There's already that problem of when you go into a store,
00:51:48
◼
►
you say, which phone do I want?
00:51:49
◼
►
You can go from table to table
00:51:50
◼
►
and see all the different colors.
00:51:52
◼
►
A lot of the time you're like, which case do I want?
00:51:53
◼
►
And the Apple Store people are really good about,
00:51:55
◼
►
oh, we'll just take that case out of the box
00:51:57
◼
►
and put it on to see how you fit.
00:51:58
◼
►
But like, it's a very informal process.
00:52:00
◼
►
And once you get into, and the Beats headphones,
00:52:02
◼
►
like I know they come in all sorts of colors
00:52:04
◼
►
and everything too.
00:52:05
◼
►
it's more like picking out clothes where you have to have,
00:52:08
◼
►
or I don't know what the best equivalent is.
00:52:09
◼
►
If you can mix and match things
00:52:11
◼
►
and you wanna see which combination you like,
00:52:13
◼
►
do I like the iPhone 5C in this color with this color case?
00:52:17
◼
►
Do I want this?
00:52:18
◼
►
If it's more than just picking
00:52:19
◼
►
from one of five different colors that are available,
00:52:21
◼
►
once you get into combinations,
00:52:23
◼
►
they have to come up with a way to make that an experience
00:52:27
◼
►
that people want.
00:52:29
◼
►
Even if they don't buy it in the Apple Store,
00:52:31
◼
►
even if they buy it online from the online store,
00:52:33
◼
►
They want to go to the store and see what does the, you know, maybe they'll have like
00:52:37
◼
►
dummy watches like what does this this band look like with this watch and the watch itself
00:52:42
◼
►
is not gold, but it's just like maybe you just do it all with the aluminum one because
00:52:45
◼
►
they're all compatible anyway, or maybe they have one that's painted gold like it's a fake
00:52:50
◼
►
I don't I don't know how they deal with that.
00:52:51
◼
►
I'm not sure that the bands are going to be sold separately.
00:52:54
◼
►
Do we know that they have some separately because people are going to want multiple
00:52:57
◼
►
bands for the same watch.
00:52:59
◼
►
I'm guessing, like the cheap one, the sport one,
00:53:03
◼
►
which is probably what they mean
00:53:04
◼
►
when they say it starts at 350,
00:53:06
◼
►
and it basically is like, you know, it's aluminum,
00:53:08
◼
►
it doesn't even have sapphire, it's aluminum and glass,
00:53:10
◼
►
it's basically an iPhone construction,
00:53:12
◼
►
and it has these like neon rubber bands, basically.
00:53:16
◼
►
I'm guessing they're gonna use that as a differentiator
00:53:20
◼
►
so that if you want the nice,
00:53:22
◼
►
like one of the metal or leather bands,
00:53:25
◼
►
I bet you gotta buy up.
00:53:26
◼
►
I bet you gotta get the thousand dollar stainless steel
00:53:28
◼
►
and Sapphire model.
00:53:30
◼
►
- But they can't do that.
00:53:30
◼
►
They have to sell them separately.
00:53:32
◼
►
As long as they're physically compatible,
00:53:33
◼
►
and I think they are,
00:53:34
◼
►
they have to sell them separately
00:53:36
◼
►
because the rich people are gonna wanna mix and match
00:53:39
◼
►
within their own watch, right?
00:53:40
◼
►
So you're gonna, if you want- - That's true.
00:53:42
◼
►
- If you want the fancy watch,
00:53:43
◼
►
they have to sell them like that.
00:53:45
◼
►
But even regardless,
00:53:47
◼
►
there are many possible combinations.
00:53:51
◼
►
You have to provide a store environment
00:53:53
◼
►
where people can safely,
00:53:55
◼
►
and without you getting robbed all the time,
00:53:57
◼
►
try out these combinations.
00:53:59
◼
►
And that's it.
00:53:59
◼
►
And like, when someone, as Scott said, basically,
00:54:01
◼
►
you know, in a snarky way,
00:54:03
◼
►
when someone is going to drop $20,000 on a watch,
00:54:06
◼
►
they don't want to wade through a sea of people angry
00:54:08
◼
►
about their, you know, their iCloud,
00:54:11
◼
►
losing all their photos of their kids
00:54:12
◼
►
or whatever is going on, you know, in an Apple store,
00:54:15
◼
►
to get someone to help them to see,
00:54:17
◼
►
like, they want it to be a nice, quiet environment,
00:54:19
◼
►
and they want someone to pay attention to them
00:54:22
◼
►
and serve their needs,
00:54:23
◼
►
because they're going to drop a huge amount of money.
00:54:24
◼
►
That's just what they're used to.
00:54:25
◼
►
So I don't I don't think you can sell a $20,000 watch in that kind of store unless especially if there are options
00:54:31
◼
►
There's no options like they decide before they go in they they wade through the massive humanity
00:54:35
◼
►
They find someone to check them out and maybe like like Casey said maybe they don't even have them in the store
00:54:40
◼
►
Maybe they mail them to you afterwards or whatever that's feasible. But as soon as it that you have to choose and like try on
00:54:46
◼
►
Different sizes and see what this watch looks like with this band or whatever current Apple Store is not equipped for that in any way
00:54:53
◼
►
Well, but is that entirely true? I think you're you're mostly right, but what just occurred to me was the Grand Central store is
00:55:01
◼
►
Suddenly looking like a much better layout than I initially thought and if you haven't been to the Grand Central store
00:55:06
◼
►
It's like several different rooms that are connected of course, but it's not like they're these big wide
00:55:13
◼
►
Hallways if you will between the rooms like one of the rooms. I think was where the beats were was like upstairs
00:55:19
◼
►
Is that right Marco? You've probably been there
00:55:21
◼
►
You can have like a department you're thinking of.
00:55:23
◼
►
Like, I want to go up to the jewelry department.
00:55:26
◼
►
That works in the Grand Central store,
00:55:28
◼
►
but we know what most Apple stores look like.
00:55:29
◼
►
It's a big rectangle in a mall.
00:55:31
◼
►
- Sure, and that's why I think you're mostly right.
00:55:33
◼
►
But it just occurred to me that maybe
00:55:34
◼
►
the Grand Central store almost becomes the flagship store
00:55:38
◼
►
rather than the Fifth Avenue one,
00:55:39
◼
►
because it's got these like different sections
00:55:41
◼
►
in different rooms.
00:55:42
◼
►
And I think one of you said something
00:55:43
◼
►
about like personal shopping earlier.
00:55:45
◼
►
Maybe there's, you know, the velvet rope
00:55:46
◼
►
before the Apple Watch room in the Grand Central store.
00:55:49
◼
►
But I agree with you, Jon.
00:55:51
◼
►
I don't know what we're going to do about the regular Apple stores, which are easily
00:55:55
◼
►
as much about getting help as they are about buying a product.
00:55:59
◼
►
That was speaking of redesign Apple stores.
00:56:00
◼
►
That was one of the theories behind what's in that big giant white box other than a hands-on
00:56:04
◼
►
area, which guess what?
00:56:05
◼
►
It turned out to be hands-on area.
00:56:06
◼
►
Although if we take that as a preview, I don't think we can.
00:56:10
◼
►
Like it had all the watches and those little sticks like rotating.
00:56:13
◼
►
I don't think that's the store environment.
00:56:15
◼
►
There just looks like a press hands-on area, but yeah, we're all expecting some kind of
00:56:19
◼
►
redesign to the Apple store.
00:56:20
◼
►
It's due that you know everyone has copied their current design which means it's time for Apple to change
00:56:24
◼
►
Well, they've had this design for like 10 years at least right when it when are they when they launched the first stores like 2003
00:56:32
◼
►
2004 something like that and
00:56:34
◼
►
We're talking about design like people might think we're thinking like are they gonna do dark colored wood on the tables or a different floor?
00:56:39
◼
►
But no we're talking about is like you know design is how it works like what where do you go in the store?
00:56:44
◼
►
To to try out the the iPhones are like now
00:56:48
◼
►
Now they just have everything on tables because you can just walk up to it, try it out, get
00:56:50
◼
►
a feel for it, maybe get a little bit of help.
00:56:52
◼
►
But if it's going to be, "I need to see this watch with this band with this set of Beats
00:56:55
◼
►
headphones with this," whatever, you need someone behind a counter to help you.
00:57:01
◼
►
It's a totally different environment.
00:57:03
◼
►
I don't think you can do that freeform.
00:57:04
◼
►
I don't think you can have people sort of self just wandering around the store, entertaining
00:57:08
◼
►
themselves and then if they need help, they'll come and get you or they'll ask you if you're
00:57:12
◼
►
finding everything or whatever.
00:57:13
◼
►
You can't have someone rummaging through like a bin of gold Apple watches and trying the
00:57:18
◼
►
different bands and everything like I just don't know how it's going to work.
00:57:21
◼
►
I think maybe the Apple edition watches won't even be available in regular Apple
00:57:26
◼
►
stores. You have to go to the fancy Apple stores and no one will go to the fancy
00:57:29
◼
►
Apple store except for rich people because they'll only sell, you know, I wish
00:57:33
◼
►
this is not actually happening, but it wouldn't be great if they only sold like
00:57:35
◼
►
Mac Pros. I'm sorry, the only Mac we have here is the Mac Pro. I know nobody needs
00:57:40
◼
►
this and I know you wouldn't even want it, but.
00:57:41
◼
►
This is this is the problem I see like with with getting into a luxury store and
00:57:46
◼
►
high-end watches that cost $10,000 for a gold one.
00:57:50
◼
►
This isn't Apple.
00:57:53
◼
►
Like this doesn't fit the culture of the company,
00:57:56
◼
►
the people, the stores, the customers.
00:57:59
◼
►
It just doesn't fit.
00:58:01
◼
►
- But it does though.
00:58:02
◼
►
It fits because they're going after the watch market
00:58:06
◼
►
from 300 bucks and up.
00:58:08
◼
►
And just like they went for the PC market
00:58:10
◼
►
from $900 and up.
00:58:13
◼
►
And it just so happens the end up in both cases
00:58:15
◼
►
ends in five figures.
00:58:17
◼
►
- What I said earlier about some people
00:58:18
◼
►
might only wear solid gold or whatever,
00:58:20
◼
►
like that's one thing.
00:58:21
◼
►
I think if we would have predicted
00:58:24
◼
►
how Apple would approach this,
00:58:25
◼
►
the most Apple-like way to approach this
00:58:27
◼
►
would be to make one model that was so good on its merits
00:58:31
◼
►
that people would forget about wearing solid gold watches
00:58:35
◼
►
and be willing to wear this one because it's so good,
00:58:39
◼
►
and even though it's not made of solid gold.
00:58:42
◼
►
And that's not what Apple is doing here.
00:58:44
◼
►
And I think it's worth questioning why.
00:58:46
◼
►
And I've seen a few people that seem a little bit alarmed,
00:58:51
◼
►
possibly why Apple is going this way.
00:58:54
◼
►
And I think there is cause for concern,
00:58:57
◼
►
because what I said earlier,
00:58:59
◼
►
where if they think they can only get people
00:59:02
◼
►
to wear a watch if it's made of these premium materials
00:59:05
◼
►
and costs a lot of money, like certain people,
00:59:07
◼
►
if that's the case, okay.
00:59:09
◼
►
And if that's why they're doing it, that's interesting.
00:59:12
◼
►
But if Apple's doing it because they just want to be
00:59:17
◼
►
in the business of selling $10,000 watches,
00:59:19
◼
►
that's kind of weird from Apple.
00:59:22
◼
►
Like if you think about, and granted,
00:59:24
◼
►
I know the world is way bigger than us.
00:59:25
◼
►
I'm very much aware of this,
00:59:27
◼
►
and I know that we do not represent the world at large.
00:59:31
◼
►
But can you imagine anybody we know,
00:59:34
◼
►
let's say we go out, let's say we're at a conference
00:59:37
◼
►
or something, a geek conference, or even just at work,
00:59:41
◼
►
you're at work somewhere, you know,
00:59:42
◼
►
you're programmers at work with other programmers
00:59:44
◼
►
and people in offices.
00:59:46
◼
►
Like, do you think when this comes out,
00:59:49
◼
►
do you think if you're at a bar at WWDC,
00:59:53
◼
►
and if you look around, will anybody who,
00:59:57
◼
►
in the entire conference, will any attendee
00:59:59
◼
►
of that conference be wearing a gold Apple Watch?
01:00:02
◼
►
- Yeah, anybody who had a big exit from their startup will.
01:00:04
◼
►
- Will they?
01:00:05
◼
►
I don't think so.
01:00:06
◼
►
I think the startup people are still wearing
01:00:08
◼
►
jeans and t-shirts.
01:00:09
◼
►
I don't see that happening.
01:00:10
◼
►
- I know, but they won't have a gold one,
01:00:12
◼
►
'cause gold is tacky,
01:00:13
◼
►
but they'll have the stainless one for sure.
01:00:15
◼
►
- Yeah, maybe, but still, see this is the problem.
01:00:18
◼
►
In this business, and in this culture,
01:00:21
◼
►
and in much of Apple's culture,
01:00:23
◼
►
what is in fashion and what is socially acceptable
01:00:26
◼
►
is to be relatively understated for the most part,
01:00:28
◼
►
and to not be super ostentatious
01:00:32
◼
►
with big gold jewelry and stuff.
01:00:34
◼
►
That's not cool.
01:00:36
◼
►
I would feel like a (thud)
01:00:39
◼
►
toll wearing a gold Apple watch.
01:00:41
◼
►
- Oh, you'd get over it.
01:00:43
◼
►
- I just can't imagine anybody we know,
01:00:46
◼
►
like any of our friends,
01:00:48
◼
►
being willing to wear a gold Apple watch in public,
01:00:51
◼
►
'cause you'd be surrounded by a whole bunch of people
01:00:53
◼
►
who would all recognize it
01:00:56
◼
►
and know that you paid 10 grand for that.
01:00:58
◼
►
- All right, well, hold on.
01:01:01
◼
►
I could not possibly disagree more
01:01:03
◼
►
with like every freaking thing you just said.
01:01:06
◼
►
So let's start with it would be remiss of me not to point out that you're saying a gold watch is
01:01:11
◼
►
Ridiculous and silly and a waste of money yet your car was to be frank not cheap
01:01:17
◼
►
And I would argue that if you really think about the purpose of your car especially in America
01:01:24
◼
►
It makes no damn sense. You can't go more than 70 anywhere sure you can get to 70 very quickly
01:01:30
◼
►
But there's no purpose in it and really I don't as much as I love your car
01:01:35
◼
►
It's a silly waste of money for America. I completely agree. So let's start there
01:01:40
◼
►
the other thing is I think you're taking to myopic of you of what you expect of
01:01:45
◼
►
Apple and our friends because our friends I
01:01:48
◼
►
Agree, none of us would wear solid gold watches. It would be silly. It would be ridiculous and it would be very tasteless but
01:01:56
◼
►
You were saying earlier that you thought that maybe the bands would kind of be you get a band with the watch and that's that
01:02:03
◼
►
especially with the cheap one and I'm looking at the picture of the Apple watch sport on the web on Apple's website and it's
01:02:09
◼
►
very clear that the little disengage button for lack of a better word to
01:02:13
◼
►
Switch out the bands is there and there's this like peachy pinky
01:02:17
◼
►
salmony colored band on this particular picture and
01:02:20
◼
►
It's zoomed way into the bottom of the watch and those buttons are there so you can remove the bands and all I keep thinking
01:02:28
◼
►
Apple seems to be going more and more towards
01:02:31
◼
►
making everything a little more personal. You see evidence of this and the fact that there's now
01:02:36
◼
►
not just one iPhone that is black and you will like it. There's not only three colors,
01:02:42
◼
►
but there's two sizes and that's eliminating the 5s and the 5c.
01:02:46
◼
►
There's a commercial that came out not long ago where these beautiful Macs were tainted or enhanced depending on how you look at it
01:02:55
◼
►
with all of these stickers. And I think when it comes to the watch, they would be out of their day of mind
01:03:01
◼
►
minds not to offer a hundred different bands because you can personalize and make it match
01:03:08
◼
►
your outfit if you're into that or you can make it the opposite of your outfit if you want to
01:03:12
◼
►
call attention to it in the same way that sometimes people might sport more than one case. I happen to
01:03:19
◼
►
use a case for my phone on my 5s I have the apple leather case but even I have an additional case
01:03:24
◼
►
for which is a battery case kind of like a mophie but an off-brand for when I'm out at like a
01:03:29
◼
►
conference or something like that.
01:03:31
◼
►
So I am like the least fashion conscious person in the entire world and yet I have more than
01:03:35
◼
►
one case for my iPhone.
01:03:37
◼
►
Although I guess to be fair it's more about utility than it is fashion.
01:03:40
◼
►
But I guess what I'm saying is all of our views, and I'm including myself in this, are
01:03:47
◼
►
centered around our friends would never be into a $30,000 solid gold watch.
01:03:53
◼
►
But celebrities could be, Wall Street could be, there's so many people that could be reached
01:03:59
◼
►
by this. And just because we don't think it makes sense and it doesn't really add up in our heads,
01:04:05
◼
►
doesn't mean that it won't add up for anyone else in the world. And that's also a good point,
01:04:09
◼
►
that we're taking a very myopic American view of this. And from what I've gathered from Ben Thompson
01:04:14
◼
►
and others, that Asia takes a very different view of this. And a lot of Asia, or so it appears,
01:04:21
◼
►
is about expressing your wealth as extravagantly as you possibly can.
01:04:25
◼
►
>> BRIAN KARDELL Oh, yeah, and that's what I'm saying. Like, I don't mean to say that this is
01:04:29
◼
►
everybody, but that this is such a big part of Apple culture that this seems to be working
01:04:36
◼
►
against and conflicting with. >> MATT FESTA But the Apple culture,
01:04:39
◼
►
previously, had been based on technology. They're getting into fashion with this,
01:04:42
◼
►
and when you get into fashion, everything that comes with it is, you know, like, functionally,
01:04:47
◼
►
all the watches, like, the more expensive ones, it's not like they get, like, better battery life
01:04:53
◼
►
or anything like that, like they're functionally the same. And so in that respect everyone,
01:04:58
◼
►
it's like the Mac, hey, if you can afford the lowest price, well, now that all the non-retina
01:05:04
◼
►
is gone, anyway, the lowest price of retina MacBook Pro, that is a reasonable price that
01:05:09
◼
►
someone who has a good job could get, they could buy that. And it works really well,
01:05:15
◼
►
and it's a very similar experience to spending 10 grand on a Mac Pro because really you're not
01:05:19
◼
►
you're not gonna use the extra power
01:05:21
◼
►
that the Mac Pro provides.
01:05:22
◼
►
So if you can afford the cheapest watch,
01:05:26
◼
►
Apple Watch, you will have the same experience
01:05:28
◼
►
as someone who bought the more expensive one.
01:05:30
◼
►
So it's not like they're saying we are no longer egalitarian.
01:05:33
◼
►
We don't believe that our technology
01:05:35
◼
►
should be accessible to everybody.
01:05:37
◼
►
It's like I said before, they want the watch market
01:05:39
◼
►
from a couple hundred bucks and up,
01:05:41
◼
►
and it just so happens the and up goes up really high.
01:05:43
◼
►
And the fashion market, the and up goes really high
01:05:46
◼
►
without an additional utility.
01:05:49
◼
►
At least in the Mac Pro, you can argue
01:05:50
◼
►
that there's some utility that you're not tapping into.
01:05:52
◼
►
In the fashion market, there is no extra utility
01:05:54
◼
►
for a Gucci bag or some expensive pair of shoes.
01:05:57
◼
►
In fact, there's often less utility,
01:05:59
◼
►
'cause that's the way fashion works, right?
01:06:01
◼
►
If Apple wants to be in the fashion market,
01:06:04
◼
►
and I think this, again, I think this is a good plan,
01:06:06
◼
►
because long-term, as the price of compute
01:06:09
◼
►
goes down and down, that's what you're selling,
01:06:13
◼
►
is a fashion device.
01:06:14
◼
►
You're selling, yes, a solution to make your life better,
01:06:16
◼
►
but especially for things that you wear
01:06:18
◼
►
or attach to your body,
01:06:19
◼
►
the fashion market is just different.
01:06:20
◼
►
And Apple entering into that market,
01:06:22
◼
►
it's not being on Apple-like if Apple thinks
01:06:25
◼
►
that they want to be also to sell fashion items.
01:06:29
◼
►
Because once Apple says,
01:06:31
◼
►
"We want to be in the fashion business,"
01:06:33
◼
►
then them behaving as everyone else
01:06:35
◼
►
in the fashion industry does is still Apple-like
01:06:37
◼
►
because Apple is entering into that market.
01:06:39
◼
►
It's like, I don't think it's out of character.
01:06:41
◼
►
I think it's just, it would be wrong for Apple
01:06:43
◼
►
to try to sell fashion devices like they are Macs
01:06:47
◼
►
or even iPhones, right?
01:06:48
◼
►
Because I mean, iPhones are kind of, you know,
01:06:50
◼
►
do you wear an iPhone?
01:06:51
◼
►
No, but you do keep it in your pocket.
01:06:52
◼
►
It's more personal than the Mac.
01:06:54
◼
►
It's like a continuum.
01:06:55
◼
►
But once you're strapping things onto you,
01:06:56
◼
►
it gets, or even beats headphones
01:06:58
◼
►
once you're putting them on your head,
01:06:59
◼
►
that becomes very, very different.
01:07:01
◼
►
And so I think they have to change their strategy
01:07:03
◼
►
of how they sell into that market.
01:07:05
◼
►
And again, I don't think, like,
01:07:07
◼
►
we're getting all upset about the high-end watches
01:07:08
◼
►
and everything.
01:07:09
◼
►
They're mostly gonna sell the cheap ones.
01:07:11
◼
►
Like that's all Apple cares about for their bottom line.
01:07:13
◼
►
You know, but if you're going to be in that market and not sell the high-end ones
01:07:17
◼
►
maybe it like it makes you lesser like
01:07:20
◼
►
The respected fashion brands are not always the ones that only sell super expensive stuff
01:07:26
◼
►
I bet even Rolex has affordable models or reasonable models for watches watches are weird because
01:07:31
◼
►
The utility of them is basically zero at this point
01:07:34
◼
►
So it's entirely about you know
01:07:36
◼
►
Fashion and all that other stuff except for maybe I guess like sport watches for running and being waterproof and stuff like that
01:07:41
◼
►
But Apple's not in that market either. I think if we see them enter another fashion category
01:07:46
◼
►
That has more of a utility value. I don't know Apple shoes. I can't that I don't think Nike would like that very much
01:07:52
◼
►
We'll see how they behave in that respect. I guess Beats is another thing when we'll see it
01:07:57
◼
►
How do they deal with the Beats headphones because the utility is you know, it's kind of there and those things but
01:08:04
◼
►
But they're you know, they're popular because they're fashion accessories. So
01:08:08
◼
►
I I don't think this is a sign of doom and gloom
01:08:13
◼
►
I think Apple is out ahead of the other technology companies in realizing that
01:08:17
◼
►
Long-term, I mean they've been ahead out for years like selling things based on the amount of RAM and the CPU speed was was no
01:08:24
◼
►
Good, so Apple stopped doing that way before everybody else and now they're there
01:08:28
◼
►
I think ahead of the other people and saying we're going to sell goods where the technology
01:08:31
◼
►
Isn't practically isn't even a factor in the price the exact same CPU the exact same screen the exact same storage
01:08:38
◼
►
and a price range from hundreds to tens of thousands.
01:08:42
◼
►
That and the other technology companies
01:08:44
◼
►
would be like, what the hell is Apple doing?
01:08:45
◼
►
But other fashion companies are like, oh, we do that.
01:08:47
◼
►
We sell leather shoes, price range from a couple hundred
01:08:50
◼
►
bucks to a thousand bucks,
01:08:51
◼
►
and it's all made of the same leather.
01:08:53
◼
►
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01:11:23
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►
- All right, so we're not quite done with the Apple Watch.
01:11:25
◼
►
- We're never gonna be done with the Apple Watch.
01:11:26
◼
►
- No, we're not.
01:11:27
◼
►
So we got-- - I love that we're probably
01:11:29
◼
►
not even gonna get to iOS 8 at all.
01:11:32
◼
►
I don't think we will and I'm not kidding.
01:11:34
◼
►
This is still a follow up just to be clear.
01:11:37
◼
►
We learned a little more about the offline capacity or not capacity, features of the
01:11:43
◼
►
Apple Watch.
01:11:45
◼
►
And apparently an Apple rep said that the watch's offline abilities include Apple
01:11:50
◼
►
Pay, music via Bluetooth and via storage within the watch itself, activity tracking and some
01:11:57
◼
►
apps, which makes it more useful than I think most of us expected, actually.
01:12:02
◼
►
The Apple Pay one, as I mentioned this in the last show, is mysterious because there's
01:12:06
◼
►
no Touch ID on the thing.
01:12:07
◼
►
So you're going to be able to Apple Pay with it, but Touch ID won't be involved at all,
01:12:12
◼
►
which gets back to the earlier point about getting the card present rate if you just
01:12:16
◼
►
So, yeah, Touch ID not being a factor there reinforces that.
01:12:22
◼
►
Music, Bluetooth, yeah, fine.
01:12:27
◼
►
That gets confusing to me because what wouldn't, you know, I guess.
01:12:32
◼
►
This is the last we were discussing last time, like, is it a bunch of binaries that you ship
01:12:36
◼
►
over to the watch that you run on the watch using the watch's CPU?
01:12:40
◼
►
Is it like CarPlay where the phone is projecting a UI into someplace else?
01:12:43
◼
►
I seriously doubt that.
01:12:44
◼
►
But then why would it only be some apps?
01:12:46
◼
►
Why couldn't you run all the apps?
01:12:47
◼
►
Or are there some applications that are going to communicate over ad hoc Wi-Fi to your phone?
01:12:51
◼
►
I don't know.
01:12:52
◼
►
I don't even know if Apple knows the answer to all these questions yet.
01:12:54
◼
►
But but yeah, the offline capabilities of the watch,
01:12:58
◼
►
I would imagine that anything you see people doing in an Apple ad
01:13:02
◼
►
don't assume they always have their phone in their pocket when they do it.
01:13:07
◼
►
Like they're out for a run or whatever doing like checking.
01:13:10
◼
►
I guess it can count your steps like it can't do GPS,
01:13:13
◼
►
but it can do something offline. I don't know.
01:13:15
◼
►
This is they're limited by physics here.
01:13:19
◼
►
But I think their goal, five, 10 years from now,
01:13:24
◼
►
is to make the Apple Watch be able to do everything
01:13:27
◼
►
that an iPhone can do.
01:13:28
◼
►
Obviously, that's a long ways off,
01:13:29
◼
►
but that's where they're headed.
01:13:31
◼
►
The fact that it's a companion device now just always
01:13:33
◼
►
reminds me of how iOS devices-- before they were iOS devices--
01:13:37
◼
►
were companion devices to your Mac and now aren't anymore.
01:13:41
◼
►
Real time follow up from friend of the show Ben Thompson.
01:13:43
◼
►
He said, if the watch loses contact with your skin, which
01:13:47
◼
►
which you would know by way of the sensors
01:13:49
◼
►
on the bottom of the watch,
01:13:50
◼
►
you have to reenter the PIN code.
01:13:52
◼
►
I'm not sure what PIN code that is.
01:13:53
◼
►
I'm assuming there's either the shared PIN code
01:13:55
◼
►
with your phone or maybe a watch-specific PIN code,
01:13:58
◼
►
but nevertheless, you have to identify yourself as yourself
01:14:02
◼
►
if it loses contact with your skin.
01:14:04
◼
►
- See, I kind of disagree with Jon,
01:14:06
◼
►
your assumption that the watch will become
01:14:10
◼
►
basically the new digital hub.
01:14:12
◼
►
- No, no, I'm not saying the new digital hub.
01:14:13
◼
►
I'm saying the fact that it's tethered to the iPhone now
01:14:15
◼
►
purely a limitation of technology and that eventually if it had the storage capacity,
01:14:22
◼
►
battery power and everything else, like it could be, you know, if it could have its own
01:14:25
◼
►
GPS, its own Wi-Fi, its own cell radio, everything, if you could take all the technology and the
01:14:30
◼
►
iPhone and put it there, they totally would, they just can't at this point.
01:14:33
◼
►
I'm not, you know, so I'm sure this is one of your like, well on an infinite timescale
01:14:38
◼
►
It's not infinite, but like, you know, you can imagine it, like, it's, that's not outside
01:14:41
◼
►
realm of possibility. Like if you look at, you can do it with a big ugly watch right now, right?
01:14:47
◼
►
I see this, I mean, I've said so many times before, like, it is unwise to bet against or
01:14:52
◼
►
compete with the smartphone. The smartphone almost always wins. The smartphone is amazing and awesome
01:14:59
◼
►
and extremely powerful and disruptive to everything and it is unwise to bet against the
01:15:05
◼
►
smartphone. The watch as a smartphone accessory makes a lot of sense. As its
01:15:12
◼
►
own device or as an eventual replacement to the smartphone, I see that I have a
01:15:18
◼
►
hard time with that because... It's not gonna replace it. I'm just saying it
01:15:20
◼
►
will be independent of like you'll be able to do more. You won't need to always
01:15:23
◼
►
carry your phone around when you want to use your watch to do something the watch
01:15:26
◼
►
can do. Obviously there's only so many things you could do on a screen the size
01:15:29
◼
►
of a postage stamp, right? The screen is not going to be the new 5.5 inch iWatch,
01:15:34
◼
►
Right, it's always going to be a small little thing
01:15:36
◼
►
But the thing is there are things you can't do on the Apple watch now
01:15:39
◼
►
I think I said I watch nine times. Sorry
01:15:41
◼
►
There's things you can't do on the Apple watch now
01:15:43
◼
►
That you can't do not because it would be a bad idea to do them on a watch
01:15:47
◼
►
But simply because it needs to have the iPhone next to it for this thing
01:15:50
◼
►
Oh, you don't have any kit like connection to the internet for example
01:15:53
◼
►
Well, the I watch doesn't have one so you want to do anything has anything to do with the internet
01:15:57
◼
►
Like just receive a text message if you're out for a run look up at your watch text message
01:16:01
◼
►
says, "Oh, try to be home in five minutes
01:16:02
◼
►
"because you have to pick up the kids or whatever."
01:16:04
◼
►
You can't see that unless you also have your iPhone with you.
01:16:06
◼
►
That's a technical limitation
01:16:08
◼
►
that if Apple could get rid of right now, they would,
01:16:11
◼
►
and you're maybe five, eight years out
01:16:13
◼
►
from them being able to do that.
01:16:15
◼
►
- Okay, yeah, I'll give you that.
01:16:16
◼
►
That is fair.
01:16:18
◼
►
And I realize, Casey, I mean, really,
01:16:20
◼
►
the Apple Watch, it seems like Fast Text
01:16:24
◼
►
is the killer app for this thing.
01:16:26
◼
►
I assume you're not gonna wait as long
01:16:27
◼
►
as you have with your iOS 7 update
01:16:29
◼
►
to get your iWatch, sorry, your Apple Watch.
01:16:32
◼
►
See, I did it now, you finally caught me.
01:16:33
◼
►
- He'll have to, 'cause we're assuming
01:16:35
◼
►
that's the only way you're gonna be able
01:16:38
◼
►
to distribute Apple Watch apps is embedded inside.
01:16:41
◼
►
- That's true.
01:16:42
◼
►
- And I also have to update fast text merely
01:16:44
◼
►
as a Trojan horse tent, it's a vehicle
01:16:46
◼
►
to distribute the Watch Kids stuff.
01:16:49
◼
►
- Yes, yes, yes.
01:16:51
◼
►
It will happen eventually.
01:16:52
◼
►
Actually, I just told someone on Twitter,
01:16:54
◼
►
I don't remember who it was, that at this point
01:16:56
◼
►
I'm thinking in my copious spare time,
01:16:58
◼
►
as we're planning for a child, and then we'll
01:17:00
◼
►
soon have said child, maybe I'll just write the darn thing over
01:17:05
◼
►
And I was thinking--
01:17:05
◼
►
Well, Chase and LKC, we just want you to release it.
01:17:08
◼
►
You just set it back another year.
01:17:10
◼
►
You can fix one auto layout bug.
01:17:11
◼
►
Yeah, I know.
01:17:13
◼
►
Actually, there's also an animation bug,
01:17:14
◼
►
which I realized, but it's minor.
01:17:17
◼
►
Anyways, I will get to it one day, maybe as I'm up feeding
01:17:21
◼
►
Sprout at 2 in the morning, and then I'm
01:17:23
◼
►
unable to go back to sleep.
01:17:24
◼
►
Yeah, you'll be totally in the mood
01:17:26
◼
►
to do iOS development at that point.
01:17:29
◼
►
- You'll have like, you know, no sleep for three days
01:17:32
◼
►
straight and like, you know what, I think what would be
01:17:34
◼
►
a good use of my time right now is rewriting my app
01:17:38
◼
►
in a new language.
01:17:39
◼
►
- Screaming babies are really conducive to that kind
01:17:42
◼
►
of concentration flow you need to get into
01:17:44
◼
►
to do good programming.
01:17:45
◼
►
- Well, look at it this way, the bar is so low
01:17:47
◼
►
that even if it's rewritten kind of in a crummy way,
01:17:50
◼
►
it won't look that different.
01:17:53
◼
►
So going back to the watch as I try to steer away
01:17:56
◼
►
from being embarrassed and miserable.
01:17:59
◼
►
One thing that was pointed out to us,
01:18:00
◼
►
and we have in the show notes by Matthias,
01:18:03
◼
►
but several people had said this,
01:18:05
◼
►
that the Apple Watch would actually be a really great way
01:18:10
◼
►
to send text messages or really picture messages
01:18:13
◼
►
in languages like Chinese,
01:18:14
◼
►
where single characters or images,
01:18:19
◼
►
forgive me, I don't know the terminology,
01:18:21
◼
►
can represent kind of complex thoughts.
01:18:24
◼
►
And so this person said most simple messages can be transmitted in four or so characters.
01:18:28
◼
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And, you know, depending on how this is all implemented, that could be easier than getting a phone out,
01:18:35
◼
►
unlocking it and either tapping away or doing that crazy thing that I know you can do in Japanese,
01:18:40
◼
►
where you like draw simplified versions of the characters and it figures out what you need.
01:18:44
◼
►
And that's a really clever point that I certainly didn't think about because I'm used to using a Germanic language or whatever,
01:18:51
◼
►
where we need a whole bunch of letters to make one word,
01:18:55
◼
►
let alone many words to make one thought.
01:18:57
◼
►
- Yeah, one of you last week brought up the whole idea
01:18:59
◼
►
of bringing back graffiti,
01:19:00
◼
►
which is the simplified writing technique to draw
01:19:03
◼
►
regular English alphabet.
01:19:07
◼
►
- Yes, that's the letter I was looking for.
01:19:09
◼
►
Without typing all the strokes,
01:19:11
◼
►
so an A is just an upside down V,
01:19:13
◼
►
you don't have to draw the cross stroke.
01:19:15
◼
►
- Every letter is one stroke.
01:19:16
◼
►
- Right, and that would obviously still be super painful
01:19:19
◼
►
for us to do, we did that already with the palm things,
01:19:21
◼
►
but with languages like Chinese,
01:19:24
◼
►
that have pictogram type characters,
01:19:27
◼
►
they have to do that now a lot of the time
01:19:29
◼
►
because if you have thousands and thousands of characters
01:19:31
◼
►
to choose from, no keyboard can present them to you
01:19:34
◼
►
in a reasonable way anyways.
01:19:35
◼
►
You have to go to the root character
01:19:37
◼
►
and then it breaks up sub-menus and so on and so forth.
01:19:39
◼
►
And it would actually be more efficient
01:19:40
◼
►
to be able to draw little scribbles
01:19:42
◼
►
to do stuff like that.
01:19:43
◼
►
Now I'm not sure how fun it would be
01:19:45
◼
►
to draw those scribbles with your finger
01:19:47
◼
►
on a watch size screen, but someone will try it
01:19:51
◼
►
And if it works, I'm sure it will become very popular.
01:19:53
◼
►
I think Casey's fast text idea or Apple's own idea
01:19:56
◼
►
of like you receive a text message
01:19:58
◼
►
from somebody who has some sort of keyboard,
01:20:00
◼
►
whether it's an iPhone or a computer or whatever,
01:20:03
◼
►
and that the watch tries to interpret what was said
01:20:06
◼
►
to give you like three options to reply with,
01:20:08
◼
►
that type of, I just wanna push a button
01:20:11
◼
►
to confirm or cancel or whatever,
01:20:14
◼
►
or even just recording an audio message.
01:20:16
◼
►
Almost any other option is preferable
01:20:17
◼
►
to scratching anything out on that screen in that phone,
01:20:20
◼
►
because the audio ones,
01:20:22
◼
►
even a little animated emoji or something,
01:20:26
◼
►
like a yes/no answer,
01:20:28
◼
►
I would not want to draw little pictures.
01:20:30
◼
►
If you're on the go,
01:20:32
◼
►
once you start drawing little pictures,
01:20:33
◼
►
you're gonna have to stop walking probably.
01:20:35
◼
►
'Cause I don't think you can draw anything sensible
01:20:37
◼
►
while you're walking.
01:20:37
◼
►
Or if you are doing it,
01:20:39
◼
►
you're gonna walk into a lamp post or something.
01:20:41
◼
►
But while you're walking,
01:20:42
◼
►
you can hold the thing up to your mouth
01:20:43
◼
►
and send a little audio thing, go,
01:20:45
◼
►
"Yeah, I'll be there in a second, bloop,"
01:20:47
◼
►
and then it goes out.
01:20:48
◼
►
That is much more feasible.
01:20:49
◼
►
So like I said last week, Apple demonstrated what it thought
01:20:53
◼
►
were like a whole bunch of different ways
01:20:55
◼
►
that you could communicate from this tiny little screen
01:20:58
◼
►
without having to type anything.
01:20:59
◼
►
And I think they're just hoping that one or two of those
01:21:02
◼
►
stick or work out or end up not being terrible.
01:21:06
◼
►
- Yeah, I hear you.
01:21:07
◼
►
I don't know, I'm curious to see how it all works.
01:21:09
◼
►
And other things that people pointed out to us,
01:21:11
◼
►
and we saw this a lot, was there was no apparent
01:21:16
◼
►
battery indicator ever shown on the watch at any point that I'm aware of.
01:21:21
◼
►
And that could mean any number of things. What I wonder is,
01:21:26
◼
►
is will it be that since the watch to some degree is largely about surfacing notifications,
01:21:34
◼
►
would it perhaps be that you would just get a notification when your battery is low,
01:21:40
◼
►
not unlike the iPhone, but perhaps a little less annoying. And it would just say, "Hey,
01:21:45
◼
►
I'm kind of running low on juice you might want to plug me in soon or alternatively
01:21:49
◼
►
If you have a Bluetooth headset that will report battery status over Bluetooth
01:21:54
◼
►
Well, I'm just saying that you know you could have the same kind of battery indicator for the Bluetooth headset on the status bar on
01:22:01
◼
►
The iPhone that but instead of being for Bluetooth headset of course it's for the watch
01:22:06
◼
►
Well your watch will report to you that all five devices that are within this little Bluetooth cloud are all low on battery power
01:22:13
◼
►
Yeah, it's just like Marco with not putting the indicator badges on instapaper and stuff like that like hey
01:22:18
◼
►
Did you see the t-cheese review of the new instapaper?
01:22:21
◼
►
He mentioned he basically mentioned that
01:22:23
◼
►
About like that's what brought him back to instapaper after trying other ones was he liked
01:22:28
◼
►
He overall liked it better. And one of the reasons he liked it was the lack of those badges
01:22:32
◼
►
Yeah, that is a that is a stress relief thing not having the badges not even having the option to add them
01:22:38
◼
►
I know a lot of people who obsessively look at the battery on their phone and
01:22:42
◼
►
In some ways, like, the phone is important enough that I think you have to show the battery so people can manage it,
01:22:48
◼
►
but the watch as an ancillary device, like, what are you gonna do about it? A phone,
01:22:53
◼
►
it's like, you can plug it into a charger, or when you're sitting at your desk or whatever, the watch, to charge it,
01:22:58
◼
►
you have to take it off. There is no, like, you have to take it off.
01:23:01
◼
►
So it's like, why bother even telling you? There's nothing you can do to manage the battery on this thing.
01:23:05
◼
►
Don't worry about it. Don't look at it. Obviously when the battery gets low,
01:23:08
◼
►
I'm sure something will appear on the screen to say, "Hey, you're almost out of juice."
01:23:11
◼
►
It's not like the thing's just gonna turn off one, you know, and you're gonna turn up to look at it
01:23:15
◼
►
It'll be black and be like, oh, I guess I ran out of battery
01:23:17
◼
►
Like there will be something towards the end, but the screen is super small. Like there's no status bar
01:23:22
◼
►
Do they have to show like what on iOS devices on the status bar? We have a clock
01:23:26
◼
►
Well, I think the watch has that covered sort of like they're not it's not gonna be a status bar on these apps showing you
01:23:30
◼
►
Battery power Wi-Fi signal strength, you know Bluetooth on or off
01:23:34
◼
►
Rotation lock on or off do not disturb on like all that information
01:23:39
◼
►
There's just not enough room in that watch to show they just want that out of your face
01:23:42
◼
►
They don't want you staring at they don't want you obsessing over
01:23:44
◼
►
What the watch is doing in a particular moment?
01:23:47
◼
►
So I think the combination of all those factors means don't expect to see a bunch of status stuff having to do with how the watch
01:23:53
◼
►
Is doing because that's not?
01:23:55
◼
►
That's not you know I
01:23:58
◼
►
Don't think even regular traditional watches have ever had battery gated
01:24:02
◼
►
Like you're not supposed to monitor your watch to see how it's doing and I I'm assuming they're thinking since it's so non-critical
01:24:09
◼
►
Mmm battery dies like well regular watches didn't need battery indicators because they lasted months or years or forever and if
01:24:16
◼
►
The battery died it would be very obvious the watch would stop moving or working
01:24:20
◼
►
It'll be obvious on this too the screen won't turn on
01:24:23
◼
►
I'm sure there'll be some kind of little buzz or notification or whatever thing when the battery is going down and we'll have a little
01:24:30
◼
►
Warning or something, but you don't need to be monitoring it all that you don't need to be looking at it going
01:24:33
◼
►
Oh, I'm not gonna check the time that often for the next right. It's like what kind of control
01:24:38
◼
►
do you even have? It's not like you're choosing to, I mean I guess maybe you go
01:24:41
◼
►
into a not launch apps or something but it's not like a phone where you can
01:24:46
◼
►
modify your behavior like oh I'm not gonna watch that YouTube video now
01:24:48
◼
►
because I'm running low on battery. No I'm guessing it's very simple I'm guessing
01:24:52
◼
►
like it doesn't even tell you anything until the battery is low and then it
01:24:55
◼
►
tells you that. I think you're right however I take a little bit of issue
01:24:59
◼
►
with saying you don't need to manage the watch's status because what if you
01:25:03
◼
►
really want to go for a run after work but you've been using the watch a lot
01:25:07
◼
►
And now you're nervous as to whether or not it will last the duration of your run
01:25:11
◼
►
If you're like me your runs last like 15 minutes, so it's no big deal
01:25:14
◼
►
But but you know what I'm driving at but what do you like using your watch a lot?
01:25:19
◼
►
I always see the watch as something that like things will come in on the wall
01:25:22
◼
►
Like you're not gonna what are you doing on the watch unless it's playing games?
01:25:25
◼
►
Which I don't know how that is even gonna work out
01:25:27
◼
►
Like are you initiating activities from the watch that you're choosing not to initiate them from that anymore?
01:25:32
◼
►
Absolutely. There were like 60 little bubbles on the watch home screen during the demo
01:25:37
◼
►
There's got to be that many bubbles for a reason and also I should point out that my
01:25:44
◼
►
traditional citizen watch
01:25:46
◼
►
Actually does have a low battery indicator and what it is is because it's one of the eco drive watches
01:25:52
◼
►
Which I think Gruber might have mentioned in his
01:25:54
◼
►
watch review if
01:25:56
◼
►
If you don't get it within light in over the course of like two or three months or something absurd like that
01:26:01
◼
►
When you look at the watch instead of ticking every single second, it'll tick in like two or three second increments
01:26:08
◼
►
So it'll go from 10 seconds to 12 seconds to 14 etc
01:26:11
◼
►
and that's the indicator to you that that thing's running out of juice and I
01:26:15
◼
►
Don't know what happens if it completely runs out of gas so to speak
01:26:20
◼
►
It may be that you have to take it in for service or it may be as simple as you just got to put some
01:26:25
◼
►
Light on it, but even my traditional mechanical watch actually has a battery indicator to some degree
01:26:30
◼
►
Like that's what we're talking about a thing that basically says low battery. It's not like a little bar graph like oh, I'm at 73%
01:26:36
◼
►
Oh now. I'm down to 62% like that type of
01:26:39
◼
►
micromanagement of the battery it's just yeah, we all hope that will go away eventually in in you know phones as well
01:26:47
◼
►
But you know we're not holding your breath for that like watch their goal
01:26:50
◼
►
And we'll see how well they achieve this is put it on in the morning
01:26:53
◼
►
You take it off at night for a reasonable day worth of average usage
01:26:56
◼
►
you should be fine. If they don't meet that goal, the lack of anything except for a low battery indicator
01:27:02
◼
►
maybe you'll put a damper on things like I'm sure there'll be some screen you can go to as Casey pointed out and all those
01:27:08
◼
►
little bubbles on the screen one of them is gonna be settings and it's gonna tell you about your battery usage and you know do
01:27:12
◼
►
all the which applications are using a lot of battery and bubble like I'm sure they'll bring over all that iOS 8 style stuff it
01:27:19
◼
►
buried in some screen somewhere, but I
01:27:22
◼
►
I think the idea of obsessively monitoring it, especially to the degree that you have an always
01:27:27
◼
►
visible user interface element like the status bar on such a tiny screen, is just not going to
01:27:33
◼
►
be ported to the watch. And kind of in the same way that a lot of the complexities and traditions
01:27:40
◼
►
of desktop computers did not make it to iOS, now going from iOS to the watch is yet another
01:27:45
◼
►
opportunity to shed some things that you know you're always supposed to have. And a battery
01:27:49
◼
►
indicator is one of those things. Oh, you always have access to the file system. Well,
01:27:52
◼
►
in iOS you don't. Deal with it. Oh, well you always see a battery indicator. Well,
01:27:55
◼
►
on the watch you don't. Deal with it. All right. Thanks a lot to our three sponsors this week.
01:27:59
◼
►
Squarespace, Igloo, and Lynda.com, and we will see you next week.
01:28:12
◼
►
Cause it was accidental, oh it was accidental John didn't do any research, Marco and Casey
01:28:22
◼
►
wouldn't let him Cause it was accidental, oh it was accidental
01:28:29
◼
►
And you can find the show notes at ATP.fm And if you're into Twitter, you can follow
01:28:38
◼
►
them at C-A-S-E-Y-L-I-S-S, so that's Casey Liss M-A-R-C-O-A-R-M, E-N-T, Marco Arment,
01:28:50
◼
►
S-I-R-A-C, USA, Syracuse. It's accidental. They didn't mean to. Accidental.
01:29:03
◼
►
Tech podcast so long.
01:29:08
◼
►
Of course, the other option is they just didn't have time to mock up where the battery indicator
01:29:11
◼
►
is going to go when the release version will have one up in the corner. Because as we know from the
01:29:16
◼
►
yet another developer release of Yosemite, sometimes Apple's just not entirely done with
01:29:21
◼
►
the graphics for stuff and they have to change it in every freaking release. I took all my,
01:29:27
◼
►
did I tell you I did all my screenshots? I thought it was done with screenshots except for if any
01:29:32
◼
►
few little things changed and then they do no build and I'm like, "Oh, it looks the same,
01:29:36
◼
►
I should be fine. And I start digging and it's not. And it's terrible.
01:29:40
◼
►
So how is the review? I'm starting to now read what I wrote.
01:29:44
◼
►
Oh, that's good. Yeah. So it doesn't mean I'm done. There are still things that I skipped over
01:29:48
◼
►
and things that I couldn't get to work and things that they changed and, you know, new builds. But
01:29:53
◼
►
I went back to the beginning and said, let me see what I wrote and I'm going back through it now.
01:29:57
◼
►
So I still do not have anything publishable. And there are still things that I can't get to work
01:30:04
◼
►
right. Something that should be pointed out is if you want to support us in ways
01:30:12
◼
►
that don't involve our sponsors which the number one best way to
01:30:15
◼
►
support us is to to try out our sponsors to check them out and see what they
01:30:20
◼
►
have to do. But if you want to support us and by us I mean John, when the review
01:30:25
◼
►
comes out it will presumably be available as an e-book go ahead and buy
01:30:28
◼
►
that e-book. While you're there buy fast text. Oh god don't because I'm gonna just
01:30:34
◼
►
feel even more guilty about the fact that it's not updated.
01:30:37
◼
►
- I would love to see a FastTech sales spike
01:30:40
◼
►
just come out of nowhere.
01:30:41
◼
►
- That would be kind of funny, but no.
01:30:44
◼
►
- Come on listeners, you can do it.
01:30:45
◼
►
Everybody go out and buy FastTech this week.
01:30:47
◼
►
- We didn't even, speaking of things that might be
01:30:49
◼
►
on your iOS device that you never use and want to get rid of,
01:30:51
◼
►
we didn't even talk about the YouTube thing.
01:30:53
◼
►
- Oh, thanks.
01:30:55
◼
►
- Well, it's saying like you can buy the ebook
01:30:56
◼
►
as a form of support.
01:30:57
◼
►
You don't have to ever read it.
01:30:58
◼
►
You can buy it and just delete it.
01:31:02
◼
►
But anyway, we didn't talk about the U2 thing.
01:31:05
◼
►
I know Marco didn't post about that, and I just agree with everything he said, but it
01:31:08
◼
►
would've been worth talking about probably.
01:31:09
◼
►
Well, we just did.
01:31:13
◼
►
Oh, except for now, one thing we didn't post about is you're supposed to do, "Oh, I tried
01:31:17
◼
►
to give it a fair shot, but I stopped after the first song and a half."
01:31:20
◼
►
That's not a fair shot.
01:31:21
◼
►
You have to actually listen to the album.
01:31:23
◼
►
I listened to the rest of it before the livestream tonight.
01:31:26
◼
►
Well, that's what I'm saying.
01:31:27
◼
►
Like, you said, "I think," did you say that you gave it a fair shot, or you tried to give
01:31:32
◼
►
I don't remember you I said something like I wanted to give it a fair shot and I stopped after one and a half songs
01:31:36
◼
►
Oh, yeah, so you wanted to but you did not well, hold on though
01:31:40
◼
►
I mean, you know
01:31:40
◼
►
I listen to albums if an album does if an album the head is like
01:31:44
◼
►
Unbearably boring and doesn't grab me like fish after the first song and a half
01:31:48
◼
►
So after 40 minutes of is it really gonna get better like well
01:31:52
◼
►
No, like I said your favorite song in the entire world could have been the last song on that album
01:31:55
◼
►
You would never know if you stopped you gotta listen to at least once
01:31:57
◼
►
I mean some people would say you have to listen to it more than once to give it a fair shot
01:32:01
◼
►
I'm just saying like limit bottom line each song you must listen to one time to know that you hate all of them
01:32:05
◼
►
Which may be the case fine, but you can't say well, I hate it the first two
01:32:08
◼
►
So I'm sure I hate the last six. I didn't say that
01:32:10
◼
►
I know but you said you get true you wanted to give it a fair shot
01:32:13
◼
►
But I don't think you did I think you have to listen to it
01:32:15
◼
►
and so I did before the show and
01:32:17
◼
►
The rest of the album sounds very similar to the first song and a half and I still don't like it
01:32:22
◼
►
It's usually the case but like just right after that you have to listen to because you never know
01:32:28
◼
►
There are many albums that I've listened to that I dislike all the tracks except for like one or one or two
01:32:34
◼
►
And you'll never know that if those one or two are like mixed in the middle of the thing if you stop in the beginning
01:32:39
◼
►
Well, and I would say also that you know to me like again, I listen to full albums only
01:32:44
◼
►
I don't listen to singles. I listen to full albums
01:32:46
◼
►
I listen to them in order and so it is important like the first song on an album matters and what most albums are made
01:32:54
◼
►
Not to put like the biggest hit first, but but some kind of song first to like open it up
01:32:59
◼
►
You know get the rhythm going, you know establish the tone for the rest of the album. It's that's old world thinking though
01:33:05
◼
►
Well you two how old is you two?
01:33:07
◼
►
I know what you're talking about
01:33:08
◼
►
but like I think even you two has been gotten really bad at that for their last several albums of like
01:33:13
◼
►
Building an album like the way the way everybody used to when they built an album now, it's like I don't think people care anymore
01:33:21
◼
►
They don't care about play order. They don't care about building anything
01:33:24
◼
►
They just want ten tracks and every single one of them needs to be a top ten hit like I don't know
01:33:29
◼
►
You I don't listen to enough music to know who I think Radiohead is still building albums that way
01:33:33
◼
►
But I don't listen to enough different bands to know if that is a thing that
01:33:36
◼
►
that some bands still do like
01:33:40
◼
►
think of it as a whole and
01:33:41
◼
►
Arrange it as a whole and compose it as a whole rather than just taking a collection of tracks and maybe like
01:33:45
◼
►
Reordering them once you've got the track set together. I think there is still some thought put into it
01:33:50
◼
►
It's questionable whether there's enough people in the world who listen the way I do to that it's worth it
01:33:56
◼
►
But there it there is definitely thought put in most of the time to that sort of thing even in fish albums
01:34:03
◼
►
I don't even know fish to fish have albums. They just start playing they do
01:34:06
◼
►
But they're pretty unimportant to actual fish fans actual fish fans. Usually just listen to the live shows
01:34:10
◼
►
Did you like the u2 album John not really you actually like you too? Yeah, I do but the last few albums they
01:34:18
◼
►
gone in a musical direction that is not as interesting to me and I
01:34:22
◼
►
Since I'm a big YouTube fan, I'm pretty supposed to like a lot of what they do
01:34:27
◼
►
I'm giving this album a longer shot than Marco to see if it grows on me or not because
01:34:33
◼
►
It's not like it's not like outside the realm of possibility that some of my girl a lot of the you know for the past
01:34:39
◼
►
Several albums has been at least one or two songs that have grown on me
01:34:42
◼
►
Even though for the past several albums my initial listen to most of them has been like yeah
01:34:46
◼
►
I mean, they're just they they did a
01:34:49
◼
►
They kind of like a band this old has like
01:34:53
◼
►
Backlash and then backlash backlash and then backlash back
01:34:57
◼
►
but they're like nine levels deep in backlash in terms of
01:34:59
◼
►
What fans think of them and what they think of their own sound and like they've circled back around so many times
01:35:05
◼
►
They're just into this they've spiraled back into what they think of as the the u2 sound but it's not really the u2 sound anymore
01:35:10
◼
►
and it's just a
01:35:13
◼
►
Little bit boring to me musically speaking. So I'm I'm not that into it, but we agree
01:35:18
◼
►
There are some glimmers of interest in in some of the the production on the album, but there's a lot of sameness. I
01:35:26
◼
►
Completely agree on the last part of that sentence
01:35:29
◼
►
Yeah, if you're not a YouTube fan
01:35:32
◼
►
like maybe like it's kind of if you don't know
01:35:35
◼
►
If you're not hearing glimpses of the old YouTube if you don't know the old YouTube didn't like the old YouTube having glimpses of them
01:35:42
◼
►
show through is meaningless. And so all you're left with is like what you've got there.
01:35:46
◼
►
Whereas some day Apple will be in decline and we'll see some glimmer of the old Apple
01:35:50
◼
►
and you'll understand what I mean.
01:35:51
◼
►
All right. So you want to do titles?
01:35:54
◼
►
I think John won it already.
01:35:56
◼
►
Entering the "I touch" phase in my life?
01:35:58
◼
►
Yeah, that's it. I mean, how can we not pick that?
01:36:01
◼
►
I completely agree.
01:36:02
◼
►
All right, let's go through the capitalization now. Now go through the capitalization.
01:36:08
◼
►
I was the one who did that and as I was typing it,
01:36:10
◼
►
I knew that what I typed was wrong.
01:36:12
◼
►
- I don't wanna know, I can't leave it to chance anymore.
01:36:14
◼
►
So Marco, go ahead.
01:36:15
◼
►
How are you going to capitalize this?
01:36:17
◼
►
- Capital entering phase and, hmm.
01:36:22
◼
►
I'm stuck on the my.
01:36:24
◼
►
- The my gets a capital.
01:36:25
◼
►
- Yes. - It does?
01:36:26
◼
►
- Yes, I think so.
01:36:27
◼
►
I mean, we need to just have a standard
01:36:29
◼
►
and you can use titlecase.com if you want.
01:36:31
◼
►
- All right, so the only lowercase words
01:36:32
◼
►
are the and of in this title,
01:36:34
◼
►
besides the itouch which is camelcase, but you know.
01:36:37
◼
►
See, this looks stupid.
01:36:38
◼
►
This is why I just, I capitalize everything
01:36:40
◼
►
because it's just consistent.
01:36:43
◼
►
It never looks this weird.
01:36:45
◼
►
- No, it totally looks weird when you capitalize of.
01:36:49
◼
►
Are you crazy?
01:36:50
◼
►
That just looks, yeah.
01:36:52
◼
►
- And we didn't talk about anything that came out today.
01:36:55
◼
►
- Yeah, the Tim Cook privacy thing,
01:36:56
◼
►
whichever was posting in the chat room a million times.
01:36:58
◼
►
- Well, that just came out during the show.
01:37:00
◼
►
I haven't had time to read it yet.
01:37:01
◼
►
- Slightly before, but yeah, I read it.
01:37:03
◼
►
We didn't talk about the Charlie Rose interview,
01:37:05
◼
►
which I made sure I watched all of before the show
01:37:07
◼
►
'cause we might talk about it, but we didn't.
01:37:09
◼
►
- Yeah, we're gonna have months of stuff
01:37:11
◼
►
to talk about that happened this week.
01:37:13
◼
►
- Oh, someone put the Charlie Rose thing in the notes
01:37:14
◼
►
so we don't, so we remember it.
01:37:16
◼
►
Charlie Rose and the privacy thing,
01:37:17
◼
►
just throw them in there for topics for next week.
01:37:20
◼
►
- Yeah, so I guess that's it.
01:37:22
◼
►
I could talk about the iPad thing,
01:37:23
◼
►
but we're almost two hours already, I'm exhausted.
01:37:25
◼
►
Let's go to bed.
01:37:26
◼
►
- What iPad thing?
01:37:28
◼
►
- I accidentally released an iPad app today.
01:37:30
◼
►
- Oh, that iPad thing, yeah.
01:37:31
◼
►
- There's not much to say.
01:37:33
◼
►
I accidentally released an iPad app.
01:37:35
◼
►
It doesn't look that bad, but it looks pretty bad.
01:37:37
◼
►
- The storyboard thing, are you essentially
01:37:40
◼
►
like wiring up a UI with constraints as a storyboard
01:37:44
◼
►
so that the interface elements in the default,
01:37:47
◼
►
like what would be equivalent to the default ping,
01:37:49
◼
►
like is it all basically just a fake like facade,
01:37:52
◼
►
but it's a facade that's resizable?
01:37:53
◼
►
Is that how the storyboards work?
01:37:54
◼
►
- Yeah, so I don't actually use storyboards
01:37:56
◼
►
anywhere else in the app.
01:37:58
◼
►
But what you can do is you can set a storyboard
01:38:03
◼
►
a storyboard or a zib file instead of your launch image.
01:38:07
◼
►
You can set it as your launch image on iOS 8.
01:38:09
◼
►
And it's fairly undocumented and pretty poorly understood
01:38:14
◼
►
and pretty poorly supported.
01:38:15
◼
►
The simulator doesn't even support it yet.
01:38:17
◼
►
There's this post by, is it Olay Olbergeman?
01:38:22
◼
►
I'm sorry, I forgot exactly his name,
01:38:24
◼
►
but I'm going to in the show notes.
01:38:27
◼
►
In theory, it's great because so the way,
01:38:30
◼
►
When iOS, in case listeners don't know,
01:38:33
◼
►
iOS apps always had these files called default.png.
01:38:37
◼
►
They're called the launch images.
01:38:39
◼
►
And when you first launch the app,
01:38:42
◼
►
if it wasn't running in the background,
01:38:43
◼
►
when you first launch the app, it shows this image first.
01:38:47
◼
►
Then it takes like a second or two for the app
01:38:49
◼
►
to actually load in the background,
01:38:51
◼
►
and then the app pops in in place of the image.
01:38:53
◼
►
And so the way that Apple's old apps used to do it,
01:38:56
◼
►
and the way that kind of became the standard,
01:38:58
◼
►
is that you would have the image basically showing
01:39:02
◼
►
an empty version of your UI.
01:39:04
◼
►
So like an empty table with blank toolbars
01:39:06
◼
►
or something like that.
01:39:07
◼
►
And so then you would show it,
01:39:09
◼
►
it would show the empty table with blank toolbars
01:39:11
◼
►
and then as soon as your app was actually loaded,
01:39:12
◼
►
it would pop in right into those placeholders.
01:39:16
◼
►
So your table would pop content in,
01:39:18
◼
►
your navigation bars would pop titles in and stuff.
01:39:21
◼
►
The problem with this is that because it's just
01:39:23
◼
►
a static image, you had to make one for every orientation,
01:39:26
◼
►
once the iPad came out and once you could launch
01:39:28
◼
►
in non-portrait orientation.
01:39:29
◼
►
So you had to make one for every orientation.
01:39:31
◼
►
You had to make one for every screen density,
01:39:33
◼
►
and you had to make one for every device.
01:39:35
◼
►
So once new screen sizes came out,
01:39:38
◼
►
you had to make a different one for that.
01:39:40
◼
►
You had to talk about 2x, 3x, 1x versions of all of them.
01:39:44
◼
►
And it just became a big pain.
01:39:45
◼
►
And then once the system or your app
01:39:48
◼
►
changes its style of navigation bars or whatever,
01:39:51
◼
►
you had to remake all the images to match the new style.
01:39:54
◼
►
It's an interesting system to make loads look like they're faster.
01:39:59
◼
►
And it's important that you have a useful launch image, but the old system of making them was clunky.
01:40:05
◼
►
So anyway, iOS 8 has this thing where you can replace it with a storyboard or a zib file so that
01:40:10
◼
►
you can replace it with a dummy UI that has no code behind it,
01:40:15
◼
►
no logic behind it, but like a dummy UI file instead of a static image.
01:40:20
◼
►
So I did that.
01:40:21
◼
►
I, for Overcast 104, the iOS 8 update
01:40:25
◼
►
that was released today, I replaced it with that
01:40:27
◼
►
and I deleted all my launch images, which is great
01:40:29
◼
►
because then I don't have to worry about
01:40:31
◼
►
what size device you're running it on at all
01:40:33
◼
►
or what orientation you're launching it on.
01:40:34
◼
►
- And it's just one storyboard, right?
01:40:36
◼
►
- Yeah. - One storyboard
01:40:37
◼
►
with a bunch of auto layout constraints
01:40:39
◼
►
and a bunch of fake controls not wired to anything.
01:40:41
◼
►
- In fact, mine is even easier.
01:40:42
◼
►
Mine is literally like just the navigation controller
01:40:46
◼
►
because all I'm showing is a title bar,
01:40:50
◼
►
an empty table view in the middle,
01:40:51
◼
►
and a toolbar at the bottom, that's it.
01:40:53
◼
►
And so, and it's like the simplest interface document ever.
01:40:57
◼
►
Anyway, the problem is, there's a bug,
01:40:59
◼
►
and I've had a couple other people confirm it,
01:41:01
◼
►
that their apps did this too.
01:41:03
◼
►
There's a bug that if you run this on an iPad,
01:41:07
◼
►
for an app that is otherwise marked iPhone only
01:41:10
◼
►
in the info.plist file,
01:41:11
◼
►
it runs it at the iPad's full size,
01:41:15
◼
►
instead of running it in a little iPhone simulator
01:41:18
◼
►
on the iPad.
01:41:19
◼
►
so that even if your app is marked iPhone only,
01:41:23
◼
►
it basically makes you have an iPad version of your app.
01:41:26
◼
►
Unexpectedly.
01:41:27
◼
►
If you didn't try to just drag over the IPA file
01:41:30
◼
►
onto an iPad during development, which I didn't.
01:41:32
◼
►
So that happened and it turns out
01:41:33
◼
►
I've accidentally launched an iPad version
01:41:35
◼
►
because of this bug.
01:41:36
◼
►
The question of course is like what to do about it.
01:41:39
◼
►
So it works.
01:41:41
◼
►
It actually like, because of auto layout,
01:41:43
◼
►
because I had adjusted some of the constraints
01:41:45
◼
►
and I made the interface work for the iPhone 6 Plus.
01:41:49
◼
►
So I already made the interface big screen friendly.
01:41:53
◼
►
So it just doesn't look broken.
01:41:55
◼
►
It's not good, it isn't optimized for it.
01:41:58
◼
►
A lot of people said it's like the way
01:41:59
◼
►
Android tablet apps were when Android tablets first came out
01:42:02
◼
►
where they were just blowing up phone apps.
01:42:03
◼
►
It's basically just like that.
01:42:05
◼
►
Where it is literally just a blown up version
01:42:08
◼
►
of the phone UI.
01:42:10
◼
►
All the table views are giant
01:42:12
◼
►
and the cells are all wide and skinny.
01:42:14
◼
►
It looks ridiculous.
01:42:16
◼
►
So the question is what to do about it.
01:42:18
◼
►
And it's actually an interesting question.
01:42:21
◼
►
So I did plan to have an iPad version,
01:42:23
◼
►
but I also planned to do it right,
01:42:25
◼
►
to actually like custom make an iPad interface.
01:42:28
◼
►
And there are people who have been using it
01:42:30
◼
►
on the iPad before who just ran it
01:42:33
◼
►
in a little windowed iPhone mode,
01:42:34
◼
►
and you know, where he blows it up to the iPad screen.
01:42:37
◼
►
And that sucks.
01:42:38
◼
►
And no question, like if you're on an iPad, that sucks.
01:42:41
◼
►
So I think overall, having a blown up iPhone interface
01:42:44
◼
►
actually sucks less than running it
01:42:48
◼
►
in the iPhone windowed mode.
01:42:50
◼
►
So I think I've made an accidental improvement
01:42:53
◼
►
with an accidental iPad app.
01:42:55
◼
►
But I don't intend to actually leave it that way.
01:42:57
◼
►
So what I think I'm going to do instead is,
01:43:02
◼
►
I'm not gonna pull this version off the store or anything.
01:43:05
◼
►
I'm also not gonna revert it back to iPhone only
01:43:07
◼
►
in the next update because that will anger anybody
01:43:09
◼
►
who got used to it now.
01:43:12
◼
►
So I think what I'm gonna do is,
01:43:14
◼
►
as soon as I reasonably can,
01:43:15
◼
►
which is probably the next update,
01:43:17
◼
►
actually try to make a slightly better adaptation
01:43:21
◼
►
of the interface for the iPad.
01:43:23
◼
►
Probably a basic split view kind of layout,
01:43:26
◼
►
a very stock basic UI kit version of what I have now,
01:43:30
◼
►
but just some kind of tweaks to do that.
01:43:34
◼
►
So that's what I'm gonna do.
01:43:35
◼
►
And I still need to support rotation, that's a big one.
01:43:38
◼
►
I have to support landscape orientation.
01:43:40
◼
►
On the iPad, that'll be easy.
01:43:41
◼
►
On iPhones, it won't be,
01:43:43
◼
►
and so I have to deal with that.
01:43:45
◼
►
So this is what I'm gonna do basically,
01:43:47
◼
►
but it's unfortunate that I accidentally launched
01:43:51
◼
►
an iPad version.
01:43:52
◼
►
On the other hand, it actually is kind of freeing,
01:43:55
◼
►
like I retweeted somebody saying this earlier,
01:43:56
◼
►
it's kind of freeing because like the pressure,
01:43:59
◼
►
I don't feel any pressure now to like make sure
01:44:01
◼
►
my iPad version is perfect.
01:44:02
◼
►
- Well you should hurry up though,
01:44:04
◼
►
because Apple's gonna fix that bug
01:44:06
◼
►
and then your iPad version is gonna go away
01:44:08
◼
►
and people are gonna complain.
01:44:09
◼
►
- You think there's any chance they're gonna fix that bug?
01:44:11
◼
►
I don't think so.
01:44:12
◼
►
- Yeah, I mean it is, it seems like a pretty clear bug.
01:44:14
◼
►
Like it's just misreading the, you know,
01:44:17
◼
►
is this, should we run this on an iPad?
01:44:20
◼
►
Well I'll just look at the default images.
01:44:21
◼
►
Oh, it's got a scalable one, that must mean it's ready.
01:44:23
◼
►
You know, like that seems like a pretty easy bug to fix
01:44:26
◼
►
and they'll probably get around to it in 601, I assume.
01:44:30
◼
►
And then your app will go back to being scaled.
01:44:32
◼
►
- 801 you mean, but yeah.
01:44:33
◼
►
- Or 801, yeah, sorry.
01:44:34
◼
►
- Yeah, yeah, I touched it, sorry.
01:44:38
◼
►
You're probably right.
01:44:39
◼
►
So yeah, I mean, I intend to do this
01:44:40
◼
►
like within the next couple of weeks.
01:44:41
◼
►
Like that's what I'm now working on.
01:44:43
◼
►
I'm not like, once I finish editing and publishing
01:44:46
◼
►
this episode of our show,
01:44:47
◼
►
I'm going to go back to working on
01:44:49
◼
►
making my accidental iPad interface
01:44:51
◼
►
a little bit more intentional.
01:44:53
◼
►
- I hope we don't have to wait weeks for 8.01
01:44:55
◼
►
because 8 is not getting along with my iPod touch.
01:44:59
◼
►
Every once in a while, Twitter, I think,
01:45:01
◼
►
just stops being able to launch
01:45:02
◼
►
and then I have to restart my phone.
01:45:05
◼
►
- Maybe you should get an iPhone.
01:45:06
◼
►
- Maybe I will.
01:45:07
◼
►
Maybe I'll go to the store and check them out sometime,
01:45:09
◼
►
see what it's like.
01:45:11
◼
►
I will absolutely crap my pants if you suddenly say on the show one day, not only did I buy
01:45:16
◼
►
an iPhone, but I bought a 6 Plus in gold.
01:45:20
◼
►
I'm not going to buy a 6 Plus.
01:45:22
◼
►
Go look at the 6, you know exactly which one I'm going to get if I get it.
01:45:26
◼
►
I assume I'm going to, unless it's like seeing it in person, I'm just overwhelmed by something
01:45:31
◼
►
weird about it.
01:45:32
◼
►
But anyway, it'll happen, especially if they're not going to make new iPod touches.
01:45:36
◼
►
So I'm probably gonna wait until after whatever event in October they're gonna have
01:45:40
◼
►
No, man, can't have all the options on the table before I choose. There's no it's not a race
01:45:45
◼
►
I don't want to get the first ones off the assembly line anyway
01:45:48
◼
►
[BLANK_AUDIO]