50: Disk Light Observer Effect
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Want me to put more bad music on?
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I have lots to choose from.
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Actually, I have nothing to complain about anymore.
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That music was fantastic.
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I have something to complain about.
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It was like turning on the radio, like Top 40
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Radio in the '90s.
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That's not an attractive thing.
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[MUSIC PLAYING]
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All right, so how about that iPad Pro?
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Yeah, I put that in there just to make a second run at this,
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because after the last show where
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we talked about this in the after show and hearing it back, I'm not sure I
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Successfully communicate what I was trying to say was when I listen to myself
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I don't think if I didn't already know what I was thinking I would have understood myself
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So I thought I'd start by asking you two to see if you can summarize what I was trying to say about
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The iPad Pro and then when you fail to say what is in my head. I will try to clarify
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Wow dude that happened like a week ago, I don't remember what you said come on I
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I have some idea.
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Give it a shot.
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You were asking why does anyone ever want an iPad for an iPad.
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I tried to give you the reason why I think a larger, more capable iPad is an inevitable
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thing that will happen someday.
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I tried to explain why.
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I think your reasoning for why it had to be larger was that as the OS gets more advanced
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and allows more advanced types of usage, that you will have to at some point have some kind
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of multiple window kind of arrangement, or the possibility for multiple windows, whether
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it's split or, you know, whether it's like a fixed setup or a flexible setup, you know,
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but it was something, it was mainly about it has to get bigger because it will get more
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advanced and more advanced needs more window space. Was that the gist?
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That was like the secondary thing we ended up talking about, but the main thing, I think
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I'll take another shot at it here, the main thing I was trying to get at was what I have
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in the show notes here, but it's the better for people metric. And we got back to it,
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We circled around back to it a little bit at the end,
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but I was thinking of it in terms of like,
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in the days, the DOS days,
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before the graphical user interface,
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when the graphical user interface came along,
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it was clear that GUIs are better for people,
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meaning that, yeah, the command line with UNIX and DOS
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and all the things that preceded it is good and powerful
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and you can get stuff done and a lot of people can use it,
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but overall, you look at the GUI,
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you look at the command line,
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you say the GUI is better for people to use.
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more people are going to be able to successfully use a computer with the GUI. It's more pleasant
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to use, it's easier, and maybe you guys didn't live through this because you don't remember
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the debates, but there were real debates about whether this whole GUI thing is a useful idea
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at all or whether it's just some silly diversion.
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What do you mean we didn't live through this? I lived through this.
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Well, you were very young. Maybe you were still fighting, though.
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We were alive.
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Yeah, you were alive.
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We were also in preschool.
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Well, no, that's not true. I mean, well, okay.
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Well, no, in 1984 we were barely human, but I mean, if you consider that both of us were
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PC guys, you know, we were around, or at least I was using computers before Windows had really
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become a thing.
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And I remember using Windows 3.1 and thinking it was a piece of crap, because, well, it
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was a piece of crap.
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And I remember slinging AutoExec bat files like you couldn't even imagine, and config.sys
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files to figure out for which game I needed a mouse and which didn't and so on and so
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We don't need to turn this into another retro podcast.
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I'm just saying I was around for the transition in my own way.
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Maybe not on an industry level, but on a personal level.
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When you were that age, though, you probably weren't thinking about what the GUI means
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for the future of the industry.
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You know, like that type of thing.
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The people who were writing articles in magazines about whether this was a good idea or not.
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But in hindsight, it's so clear.
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GUIs are better for people.
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And there was a big debate about it, and it took a long time, and eventually all computers
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said, "All computers are GUIs."
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No, they're not.
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I've got a command line on my Mac.
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it's like, no, the GUI took over because it's better for people to use.
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iOS, I think of in relation to the regular Windows mouse pointer
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menus WIMP type interface.
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I think of iOS as not as big a step from a command line to the GUI,
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certainly not, but as another sort of discontinuity in that type of thing.
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iOS and that type of touch interface is better
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for people than having a mouse and windows and menu bars
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right-clicking and docs and taskbars and all the stuff that regular Windows-type interfaces,
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Mac-type interfaces use today.
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iOS is better for people.
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You see it yourself and how much more willing people are to use iPads and iPhones and all
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these technology devices that people use that same people would be much more intimidated
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by a "real computer" with a GUI.
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And again, doesn't mean that the traditional Windows menu pointer interface is going away,
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or that we still have the command line today, we'll have GUIs for a similar period of time.
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But in general, the iOS interface, touch interfaces, are better for people.
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And when I see that, that makes me think, there's no fighting against the interface
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that's better for people.
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Like, it will eventually become the most common way that people use computers, if it isn't
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already if you can't like smartphones as computers and everything, right?
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And when I see that, I think it can't be the thing that most people use for computing and
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remain as limited as it is now.
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Because otherwise, you know how many people today continue to have to use computers because
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they can't get what they want to get done on this new thing.
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And so my logic is the thing that's better for people to use is here.
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It's not quite good enough or capable enough to subsume enough of the functionality of
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other things.
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Just like Windows 3.1 sucked, you couldn't do anything.
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Things you can do on DOS or UNIX command line were not even close to being possible on the
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But eventually the GUI became good enough and subsumed enough of the functionality of
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the command line that the command line was relegated to a very small window.
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And in the same operating system, it's there, it's here, we can use it when we want to.
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important for developers and stuff like that, but a regular person who buys a Mac does not
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use the command line, and someday that'll be true of iOS.
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A regular person who buys an iOS device doesn't have to use a Windows mouse pointer GUI.
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So it's just that simple logical progression.
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If that's going to be the progression, it's silly to think that this next thing that's
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better for people won't have to become more capable and take on the mantle of the thing
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that it's replacing in some respects.
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That's what I was trying to get at.
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And you can disagree with it.
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You can say, well, I don't think iOS is better enough,
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or I don't think iOS is really better for people,
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or I think iOS will not have to take on any of the capabilities
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of the Mac, and the Mac will stay exactly the way it is,
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and iOS will just go off into the future,
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and it does enough for people as it is.
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But I see all the people who use a Mac every day,
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and I'm like, that's not-- the number
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of people who use a command line every day is really small.
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The number of people who use a Mac every day is humongous.
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Those people will want to move through the thing that's
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better for people to the iOS-style touch interface eventually if that device becomes capable
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enough for them to do their work on it.
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How many of those people can you bring along?
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How many people have to be stuck using a Mac?
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Well, it's probably similar to the proportion of people who are stuck using a command line.
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I use a command line every day.
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Certain professions and contexts will require the use of a plain old GUI the same way they
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require the use of a command line today.
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But there's tons and tons more people who use a Mac who never use a command line, and
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And those people will be using something like a tablet-type form factor that's much bigger
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and more capable many years in the future when it becomes possible to do so.
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So let me play devil's advocate for a second.
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So everything you just said, which sounds reasonable, but everything you just said is
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based upon an implied or stated assumption that the way that we have touch interfaces
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and tablets now is better for people than the desktop and Windows and everything else.
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What if that's not the case? So here's some things to consider. So first of all, there's
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a few things about it that are worse. I think we can pretty much all look around regular
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people and us and we can see that text input is definitely worse on tablets than on laptops.
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No, don't include that at all, because there's no reason that you wouldn't have a hardware
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Well, okay, so...
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You know what I'm saying?
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Like, what I'm talking about mainly is, like, a menu bar, windows with little window widgets
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on, sliding them around on the screen, you know, clicking and right-clicking, having
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a mouse instead of a finger, like, all of that is what I'm getting at.
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The text input is an artifact of the form factor, you know what I mean?
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Like the small tablet that you expect to carry with you, versus something that would sit
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at your desk. I'm not saying people are going to have tablets and be walking around with them.
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If you are in design or some field where you're going to be using this future thing,
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I envision you having something as big as your monitor, but laid down on an architect's drafting
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table with a keyboard in front of it or something, so that you can get your work done in that
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context. Well, okay. So let's say this comes true. Let's say you have a keyboard. The text input is
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solved for you. You have easy ways to reach the interface from the keyboard in
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some kind of relatively ergonomic way so you know it wouldn't be like a tablet on
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a stand and having to reach your hand up and touch the screen constantly. So you
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have to address that somehow some kind of some kind of like precision pointing
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of some sort more precision than a finger whether that's a pen whether it's
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a mouse whether it's a touchpad kind of thing whether it's just a giant
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touch screen so the touch targets are small enough relatively speaking that
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They can be precise, who knows.
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It would have to be a stylus, I would imagine.
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Because again, in creative fields, there are people already using styluses, so that's
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not even that big of a change.
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So—and I actually enjoy the experience of using a pen, although I don't use one regularly,
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but—because I enjoy a mouse more.
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But I think a stylus is a perfectly fine solution to that, you know, out of everything that
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So let's say you've added all this.
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You have advanced ways for people to get more work done.
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What if the reason why there's this idea out there in people's heads that the iPad and
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everything is easier for people, what if the reason why is because it can't support all
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that stuff, it can't do complicated workflows and much multitasking to speak of and all
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this other stuff.
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And then what if the process of adding those things to enable people to "get more work
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done on iOS makes it more like traditional PCs and therefore removes that whole advantage
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that it supposedly had by being so much easier? And is it possible to add all those things
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without having that side effect? And I'm not sure it is.
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It's the closeness of, you know, I was saying the gap between the GUI and the Mac is huge,
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and the gap between the Mac and iOS is much smaller, but I still think it's significant
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enough. And in the case of the, you know, the command line to the GUI, it was almost
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not possible to bring over enough command line stuff to negate the advantage of the
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GUI. I mean, Windows tried by basing it on DOS and by having you boot into DOS and having
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so many things still involving DOS and having DOS underpin the thing for so long and having
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it in your face and exposed to you. But that wasn't enough to kill the GUI. If you wanted
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kill iOS, you could do that by bringing over all the bad things from the Mac.
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But I think that you don't need to bring over too many complexities from the Mac to make
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iOS more capable.
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And I don't think anyone would make the crazy mistake of bringing over the worst things
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about the Mac.
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Like I don't think anyone would ever say, "I've got an idea.
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Why don't we have a bunch of windows on our iPad screen with tiny little widgets in the
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Because if you've ever seen anyone deal with a bunch of overlapping windows, it's just
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Why don't we bring over the file system?
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how well people deal with navigating through folders and files. Why don't we just have a
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big file system that they expose on the iPad? Again, I don't think that would ruin it. You're
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right. But I don't think anyone would do that. Or at least I don't think Apple would do it. Maybe
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Android would do it. Maybe they already have it. I don't know for about Android.
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It is possible to ruin it because it is close enough. It's a close enough neighbor. It's not
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some like a big, you know, or for example, bring over a mouse pointer and make you use a mouse
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pointer for everything. Like, and then all of a sudden things aren't responsive to touch controls.
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because it's like, oh, well, it's hard to use this app, because they expect you to have
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a mouse pointer to work with the little window widgets or whatever.
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I don't think that Apple, at least, would be dumb enough to bring over this.
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If anything, Apple has been very reticent to bring over any of the more powerful things,
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and they're bringing over very, very slowly, and there's just no way they would bring over
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those horrible things.
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And then most of the horrible things I'm thinking about are things people don't want to deal
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with like, I mean, I guess stalling printer drivers is like a thing from, you know, the
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ancient world, but Apple kind of already addressed that with AirPrint, saying we're not doing
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the printer driver's ring anymore. It's your problem. We're going to tell you how we're
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going to speak. You better deal with it." Which is one way to get rid of printer drivers.
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And the file system, I don't think Apple's going to be bringing that back. Dealing with
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apps the old way, I don't think that's coming back. I think the new way is better. Dealing
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with Windows, Apple has to come up with something, but I don't think they would bring over plain
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old Windows because that would be pretty stupid. So it's possible to ruin it, perhaps, unlike
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it is in the GUI's case, from the GUI to the command line, but I think it's unlikely that
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they'll ruin it. And as I said last show, the other alternative is rather than making
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iOS more capable, why don't you make the Mac simpler? And I think it's easier to make iOS
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more capable than it is to make the Mac simpler, especially since a lot of the complexities
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the Mac have to live on, because some people will always need them the same way some people
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will always need the command line.
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Well, but they are making the Mac simpler. I mean, isn't that what things like Gatekeeper
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and Launch Center Pad thing, whatever you call it, isn't that what that's all about?
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But you can't get rid of the overlapping windows.
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Well, you can run an app full screen.
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Yeah, but that just adds complexity, as we talked about last time.
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Now you have yet another mode that you have to worry about.
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If you've seen people deal with windows, adding full screen doesn't help them, because now
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they're trapped in some mode they don't understand.
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It's very difficult to take away complexity from the Mac to even get it close to the level
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of friendliness that iOS has.
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Whereas if you add capabilities to iOS, it can remain friendly to the people who don't
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want those advanced abilities in the same way that if you don't want to enable the multitasking
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gestures, that doesn't bother any people.
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If you don't know how to get to the multitasking switcher, you can just hit the home button
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and go back to the home screen every time.
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It still works for you in that simple mode.
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They've added capability without adding complexity.
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I'm thinking long term.
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Like this gets tied up in, that's the other thing I think people are, it gets tied up
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in like, will Apple announce an iPad with Pro at the end of its name this year and it'll
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Like who knows, who cares?
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Like it's not what I'm talking about.
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about an upcoming imminent product or Apple's plans for the next year or two or what iOS 8 is
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going to be. I'm thinking long term. And you're right, Marco, the entire thing is based on the
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premise that iOS is better for people. And it's inevitable that many, many more people who
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currently can't use iOS or anything like iOS to do their job will have to be served by this better
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thing. Like it's that's the tide that's coming. Because if there's a thing out there that's
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better for people and people use it all the time, and I think most people would agree
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that using their phone or their iPad is better, they'll want to use that to do more stuff,
00:15:17
◼
►
and if they can't, they'll want more capability out of it.
00:15:23
◼
►
Another assumption that might be worth questioning is whether iOS's simplicity today is overall
00:15:30
◼
►
easier for people, because as we discussed last episode with the storage limits and when
00:15:37
◼
►
people hit their storage limits and it's kind of crappy to figure out where that's going
00:15:41
◼
►
and how to recover from that.
00:15:45
◼
►
iOS's simplicity, a lot of times,
00:15:48
◼
►
will create the question in people's minds of,
00:15:50
◼
►
how do I do this?
00:15:51
◼
►
Or how do I fix this limitation?
00:15:53
◼
►
And a lot of times, the answer is you can't.
00:15:55
◼
►
Or it's so complicated that it's not even worth doing.
00:15:58
◼
►
Simple things that on a computer might
00:16:01
◼
►
be accomplished by drag and drop,
00:16:03
◼
►
or by hitting the Open dialog button in an app
00:16:07
◼
►
to open a file from somewhere else from some other app.
00:16:10
◼
►
stuff like that, that people, you know, attaching files to emails, stuff that people generally
00:16:14
◼
►
know how to do on computers, you know, after not that much usage. A lot of those kinds
00:16:19
◼
►
of things are still even more complicated on iOS than they are on a computer because
00:16:27
◼
►
of its design and because of its limitations.
00:16:29
◼
►
>> You think more people would be more successful at attaching a file to an email using a Mac
00:16:32
◼
►
than they would doing that same thing in iOS?
00:16:35
◼
►
>> Definitely. No question.
00:16:36
◼
►
>> No, I don't think that's the case.
00:16:38
◼
►
Because in iOS you can't do it from the email.
00:16:40
◼
►
Yeah, but I don't know if that's the way people think about it.
00:16:43
◼
►
Just because that's the way it works in desktop mail application, we're used to it.
00:16:47
◼
►
I think people are just as likely to... holding down your finger on a picture is not great,
00:16:51
◼
►
but I think they're just as likely to figure out holding down your finger on a picture or hitting the little share icon.
00:16:55
◼
►
I mean, it's not completely intuitive, but I think they're just as likely to come to it from that direction.
00:17:01
◼
►
And the main problem with attaching an email on the Mac is drag and drop, forget it.
00:17:05
◼
►
doesn't even occur to people, you can drag a little picture onto the... I just...
00:17:08
◼
►
that's... I think that's outside the realm of most people's experience. But they do
00:17:11
◼
►
know how to click the little paperclip icon, and when they click the little
00:17:14
◼
►
paperclip icon and whatever their mail application is, they get an open save
00:17:17
◼
►
dialog box, and then you're just off in the weeds and it's like 50/50 whether
00:17:21
◼
►
anyone's gonna know what the hell to do with that, and they'll just maybe hope that
00:17:23
◼
►
they know how to click on the thing that takes them to the desktop and they'll
00:17:25
◼
►
find the file in the desktop, which is where all their files are because it's
00:17:28
◼
►
the one place in the file system they can use. Running out of space, I
00:17:32
◼
►
I think is another thing where it's like, there are limits.
00:17:35
◼
►
There are hardware limits to any piece of hardware.
00:17:37
◼
►
And when you run into those limits, at that point,
00:17:42
◼
►
that's when the reality of the computer
00:17:44
◼
►
smacks the user in the face.
00:17:45
◼
►
And you can't do anything to protect them from it.
00:17:46
◼
►
You don't have infinite space on your device.
00:17:49
◼
►
Maybe some super clever cloud thing in the future
00:17:52
◼
►
could make it appear as if you have infinite space.
00:17:54
◼
►
But you don't have infinite space.
00:17:56
◼
►
It's kind of like how multitasking makes it seem
00:17:58
◼
►
like you have infinite memory.
00:17:59
◼
►
They're trying to, they're never gonna say,
00:18:00
◼
►
"Oh, you're out of memory.
00:18:01
◼
►
please quit some applications so you can launch some more.
00:18:03
◼
►
Well, the combination of virtual memory
00:18:05
◼
►
and the expunging stuff is an iOS simplification
00:18:08
◼
►
that makes people not have to worry about
00:18:10
◼
►
whether an application is running or not,
00:18:11
◼
►
or at least try to worry less about it.
00:18:13
◼
►
When you run out of space,
00:18:14
◼
►
have you ever seen anyone run out of space on a Mac?
00:18:16
◼
►
First of all, the Mac OS X behaves very, very badly
00:18:19
◼
►
when you're out of disk space, extremely badly.
00:18:21
◼
►
Freaky things happen.
00:18:23
◼
►
It's very easy to get into a situation
00:18:25
◼
►
where the OS can't create another swap file
00:18:27
◼
►
and it seems like your entire OS is frozen.
00:18:29
◼
►
And you get those warning dialog boxes before that.
00:18:31
◼
►
that the OS will warn you, oh, running out of space.
00:18:33
◼
►
What do people do about that?
00:18:35
◼
►
Like best case scenario, they randomly start
00:18:38
◼
►
trying to drag things to the trash.
00:18:39
◼
►
That's best case.
00:18:40
◼
►
And like if you've seen people, this library folder,
00:18:42
◼
►
I don't need that, do I?
00:18:43
◼
►
Like that's the way they made it invisible.
00:18:45
◼
►
Like God forbid they get into that library folder
00:18:46
◼
►
and start going to their preferences folder,
00:18:48
◼
►
or like I don't understand what this is,
00:18:49
◼
►
I'm throwing that out.
00:18:50
◼
►
Application support?
00:18:51
◼
►
My applications don't need any support.
00:18:53
◼
►
That's best case.
00:18:55
◼
►
At least iOS protects them from doing that,
00:18:57
◼
►
but you run into those hardware limits.
00:18:59
◼
►
That's one of the hardest problems.
00:19:00
◼
►
What do I do when all of the space for stuff is filled with stuff, whether that be memory
00:19:05
◼
►
or Flash space or whatever?
00:19:08
◼
►
You know, to go back a step, I almost think that the attachment thing is an example of
00:19:16
◼
►
the iPad, or I guess I should say iOS in general, getting a little more strong is a poor choice
00:19:22
◼
►
of words, a little better for power users.
00:19:24
◼
►
And that's because, you know, Markowitz said, well, there's no way to attach something from
00:19:29
◼
►
And you actually can.
00:19:30
◼
►
get the little context menu up, and there may be a different term for that on iOS, but
00:19:33
◼
►
the little black pop-up menu, if you go like 35 levels deep in that past bold italics underline
00:19:39
◼
►
and all that, you can actually insert picture or video, I believe is the terminology used.
00:19:45
◼
►
Wait, really? Yeah.
00:19:46
◼
►
I knew you could copy and paste, but there's actually like a button there to proactively
00:19:51
◼
►
Mm-hmm. Mm-hmm.
00:19:52
◼
►
Wow. I didn't know that.
00:19:54
◼
►
Exactly. And that only came in the last one or two versions of iOS. I don't recall exactly
00:19:57
◼
►
when it was.
00:19:58
◼
►
people who grew up on smartphones, though, it's more natural for them to start from the
00:20:03
◼
►
picture that they want to send to somebody and then say, "Okay, send this picture to
00:20:06
◼
►
Sue," instead of start from the email application, compose a message to Sue, and then insert
00:20:11
◼
►
the picture. That's totally a desktop computer user's mindset, I think.
00:20:14
◼
►
It absolutely is. And as someone who grew up on a desktop computer, that is what, up
00:20:18
◼
►
until whenever it was in iOS that they added this feature, every time I wanted to send
00:20:23
◼
►
picture to someone, I'm just hardwired to start an email, send it to Aaron, let's say,
00:20:30
◼
►
and then go, "Ah, crap.
00:20:31
◼
►
I got to start from photos."
00:20:33
◼
►
And then I got to leave my email, start from photos, and then I've lost my email that I've
00:20:37
◼
►
written unless I copy and paste, etc., etc.
00:20:40
◼
►
And so once I discovered that you can actually kick off the picture and video chooser from
00:20:46
◼
►
within an email, that actually helped me a lot because I'm so hardwired.
00:20:49
◼
►
That's my internal mental workflow, is to start the email and then go get the attachment.
00:20:55
◼
►
I think the most likely scenario for what I just described about the iPad Pro not coming
00:21:01
◼
►
to pass is that it turns out that for the people who are currently using Macs and Mac-like
00:21:07
◼
►
systems to get their work done, the advantages of iOS are not compelling enough to make them
00:21:14
◼
►
leave behind all the things that annoy them.
00:21:18
◼
►
They would prefer to use iOS.
00:21:19
◼
►
They do prefer sitting on the couch with their iPad and browsing through the web in their
00:21:23
◼
►
off time or whatever.
00:21:26
◼
►
But all of the things that annoy them about the Mac and multiple windows and dealing with
00:21:30
◼
►
multiple applications and dealing with the little fidgety things that you don't have
00:21:33
◼
►
to deal with in iOS, don't annoy them enough to be willing to put up with what is the inevitable
00:21:38
◼
►
transition period when iOS is not quite capable enough.
00:21:43
◼
►
And there's going to be that middle period where, who's going to be the first person
00:21:48
◼
►
to try to get their work done in iOS.
00:21:49
◼
►
And you kind of see it now with the people
00:21:51
◼
►
bravely trying to use an iPad when they should just
00:21:53
◼
►
be using a MacBook Air just for the novelty factor of it.
00:21:56
◼
►
But that's on a very small scale.
00:21:58
◼
►
On a larger scale, you need to get
00:21:59
◼
►
the people who are using their computers--
00:22:02
◼
►
like they did for the GUI.
00:22:03
◼
►
People are using their computers for real work.
00:22:04
◼
►
There were some people who had to say,
00:22:05
◼
►
I'm actually going to try this Windows thing or this Mac thing,
00:22:08
◼
►
even though I'm not even sure how
00:22:10
◼
►
I'm going to be able to get my job done,
00:22:12
◼
►
because I do everything in VisiCalc.
00:22:14
◼
►
And VisiCalc isn't available.
00:22:15
◼
►
And I'll try this new Excel thing.
00:22:17
◼
►
and maybe that'll work out, I'm not sure.
00:22:20
◼
►
So that transition period could prevent iOS-type interfaces
00:22:26
◼
►
from taking the mantle of the personal computer
00:22:28
◼
►
in our lifetime.
00:22:30
◼
►
That, I think, is the most likely scenario for it not happening.
00:22:33
◼
►
You know, I can't help but wonder if the three of us
00:22:36
◼
►
are participating in one long troll of the tiji in this topic.
00:22:42
◼
►
He's like an outlier, I would say.
00:22:44
◼
►
If you were like, make your living right about technology,
00:22:46
◼
►
Those are the people who keep trying to do it.
00:22:48
◼
►
Like, I'll see what it's like to do my work.
00:22:50
◼
►
Do I need a laptop?
00:22:51
◼
►
I'm going to leave the house without a laptop and just take my iPad and see how it goes.
00:22:55
◼
►
And we're all trying that experiment to varying degrees.
00:22:57
◼
►
If you have a laptop and an iPad, sometimes you might just take the iPad to see how that
00:23:00
◼
►
goes and you learn whether it works for you or not and why it doesn't or does.
00:23:04
◼
►
But I'm thinking of all the people who just spend all day at work in front of a computer
00:23:08
◼
►
and that computer is not running iOS or Android.
00:23:11
◼
►
It's running Windows or OS X.
00:23:14
◼
►
Hey Marker, what's cool these days?
00:23:16
◼
►
We've got some new ones this week.
00:23:18
◼
►
Our first sponsor is HelpSpot.
00:23:20
◼
►
Go to helpspot.com/atp.
00:23:25
◼
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So if you're still using email clients for customer support, you're probably losing
00:23:29
◼
►
track of important tickets, or you're trying to do these weird hacks like using Mark as
00:23:33
◼
►
unread to keep something new because you haven't responded to it yet, or you're IMing your
00:23:38
◼
►
coworkers to see who's working on what message in the big inbox.
00:23:41
◼
►
This is all really...
00:23:43
◼
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That doesn't scale very well.
00:23:44
◼
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time for you to get organized. With HelpSpot of course. So most help desk apps try to be
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all things to all people. They pile on tons of features, tons of all these complicated
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◼
►
things. HelpSpot is focused. It deals only with customer inquiries and self-serve knowledge
00:23:59
◼
►
bases. There's no like crazy asset management systems or API integrations with your account
00:24:05
◼
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systems or other unnecessary features to get in your way or require complex integrations.
00:24:11
◼
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help desk software is usually really expensive. It's usually around $600 per user per year.
00:24:18
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Help Spot is just $299 per user one time, not per year, not per month, just $299 per
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it and host it yourself on your own servers if you want to, or you can have it hosted
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for you. Either way, you always have access to the database to directly query it or dump
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it out and take it elsewhere. And HelpSpot, they've been around for a long time. It isn't
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just like some bleeding-edge startup that just started yesterday. They've been around
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support teams. So start your free trial today at helpspot.com/atp. Remember how I said it
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and don't forget to use coupon code ATP14 for $100 off.
00:25:20
◼
►
You know, I have to say that somebody in the chat had already disappeared. Oh, Sulpene?
00:25:27
◼
►
Anyway, they said Macs will be ARM within the next five years.
00:25:30
◼
►
It's logically next.
00:25:32
◼
►
And as someone who relies on a Windows VM in order to get their job done on a Mac, I
00:25:38
◼
►
surely hope not.
00:25:40
◼
►
Or I hope that I switch my career into a different segment.
00:25:45
◼
►
Because unless I'm missing something, if Macs go ARM, that's going to make virtualizing
00:25:51
◼
►
x86 really stinky, just like it used to be before Macs were Intel.
00:25:56
◼
►
Arm just came out with their new server platform and they're sort of defining the platform
00:26:01
◼
►
for Arm and the data center and trying to make a common platform for Arm-style, you
00:26:07
◼
►
know, personal computers more or less.
00:26:09
◼
►
I don't think that, you know, if you wait long enough, in theory, if the Arm destroys
00:26:15
◼
►
everything comes to pass, then the Mac could be the last thing to switch to Arm and by
00:26:20
◼
►
that point everything is running Arm and the data set is running Arm and all your servers
00:26:23
◼
►
are running ARM and personal computers are running ARM and then Macs running ARM.
00:26:27
◼
►
So then you'd be virtualizing Linux on ARM and Windows on ARM, inside your virtual machine
00:26:32
◼
►
on ARM, and everything would work out.
00:26:34
◼
►
But yeah, you don't want to be the first one to go there and have everybody else still
00:26:36
◼
►
on x86 and then you lose your ability to do that virtualization.
00:26:42
◼
►
I think, "Well, what do I virtualize?"
00:26:43
◼
►
Well, I virtualize Windows because I have to for stupid work things because they still
00:26:46
◼
►
use Windows.
00:26:47
◼
►
And that is actually a legitimate concern about the future of computing because Apple
00:26:52
◼
►
doesn't want that business.
00:26:53
◼
►
The business being selling your company like their mail server and stuff.
00:26:56
◼
►
Google kind of wants it.
00:26:57
◼
►
They want them to use like Google Apps, but it's such a difference between having your
00:27:01
◼
►
own software and doing everything through the cloud, especially Google's cloud, that
00:27:05
◼
►
I'm not even sure that's a good fit.
00:27:08
◼
►
So if Google isn't a good fit for that business, and Apple doesn't want that business, who
00:27:12
◼
►
gets that business?
00:27:13
◼
►
And if the answer is Microsoft keeps it forever, then yeah, maybe we'll forever be stuck running
00:27:18
◼
►
Windows and a VM so we can use our works mail thing because I don't know yeah, but but that would be so much slower
00:27:25
◼
►
I got to imagine like I remember even as a non Mac person
00:27:29
◼
►
I remember many many many years ago that you could get some sort of card that was basically a PC on an expansion card
00:27:36
◼
►
And you could virtualize within
00:27:38
◼
►
OS 7 8 9 don't even know by using this PC on an expansion card you would know more about this
00:27:44
◼
►
Do you know what I'm thinking of?
00:27:45
◼
►
>> Yeah, they had like a 486 on a card that you could, they had them for the Mac LC even
00:27:49
◼
►
so you could run like Windows software on your education computers inside your school.
00:27:53
◼
►
Yeah, they, I know the cards you're talking about.
00:27:55
◼
►
The better analogy for you is like virtual PC, which was you would emulate x86 on the
00:27:58
◼
►
Power PC and it would barely sort of run, but it was super slow.
00:28:03
◼
►
And that's, that's why my lovely Mac Pro is a dream machine.
00:28:06
◼
►
It runs everything natively.
00:28:08
◼
►
>> Unix, Mac, and Windows.
00:28:10
◼
►
One of the reasons why the Intel switch was so easy for Mac owners for the most part is
00:28:15
◼
►
because switching to Intel came with a massive performance boost also.
00:28:20
◼
►
And so when combined with the awesome emulation by Rosetta, it was almost penalty-free to
00:28:27
◼
►
emulate stuff on Intel that was made for PowerPC.
00:28:30
◼
►
If we went to ARM though, we wouldn't have that kind of headroom in our likelihood.
00:28:35
◼
►
We would probably be taking a step down in CPU performance at that point.
00:28:39
◼
►
And so it would be really inconvenient to have an architecture change that did not come
00:28:45
◼
►
with a giant performance boost also, where you'd have to emulate this stuff to some degree
00:28:50
◼
►
if you wanted to run it, and it would not be pretty.
00:28:54
◼
►
If you wanted the big boost, like, the reason Apple got the big boost for doing x86 is two
00:29:00
◼
►
One, their past CPU vendor stopped making them good CPUs, so like they were stuck with
00:29:05
◼
►
with the G4s in the powerbooks because IBM wouldn't make
00:29:08
◼
►
anything better to go in there.
00:29:09
◼
►
And even on the G5, IBM's, you know,
00:29:13
◼
►
well Steve said they were gonna give us
00:29:15
◼
►
three gigahertz in a year or whatever,
00:29:16
◼
►
whether IBM said that or not, they sure as hell didn't.
00:29:18
◼
►
And we were stuck with the G5 for way too long
00:29:21
◼
►
and it wasn't improving better.
00:29:22
◼
►
So you have to have the CPU you're on stagnate.
00:29:25
◼
►
And it doesn't seem like that's gonna happen
00:29:26
◼
►
if we stay on x86, that like, will there be a period
00:29:29
◼
►
when x86 stagnates?
00:29:31
◼
►
Doesn't seem like that's anywhere in the near future.
00:29:33
◼
►
The second thing is that not only did the CPU apples on stagnate the CPU they moved to
00:29:37
◼
►
got out of a rut because the CPU they were going to move to was like in the netburst architecture that was crap and
00:29:42
◼
►
Apple was sold on x86 by Intel showing them look
00:29:47
◼
►
Here's the core architecture and trust us is going to be awesome and lo and behold the core architecture was awesome
00:29:52
◼
►
So that's a combination of two factors that almost certainly is not going to exist again
00:29:56
◼
►
Where the CPU Apple is using stagnates and gets crappy and the CPU they're going to jump to makes a huge leap over where it?
00:30:02
◼
►
was because it's not like Apple switched from the awesome newly introduced PowerPC G5 to
00:30:09
◼
►
the Pentium 4. That would not have given them a giant boost in performance. The G5 was reasonably
00:30:13
◼
►
competitive with its contemporaries, but when they did make the switch, you're right, they
00:30:19
◼
►
were able to hide the Rosetta thing underneath the carpet of this two-sided advantage to
00:30:24
◼
►
make it so that they could do PowerPC software at a reasonable speed.
00:30:29
◼
►
So let me ask you both, and I have a feeling that this is a you two are poor audience for
00:30:34
◼
►
this question, but would you trade a somewhat significant hit in performance, especially
00:30:42
◼
►
when virtualized?
00:30:43
◼
►
Let's assume that non virtualized performance is roughly on par, but virtualized performance
00:30:48
◼
►
Would you trade that in favor of dramatically improved battery life?
00:30:53
◼
►
And I'm making this up, but you know, arm tends to be a little bit more power frugal.
00:30:58
◼
►
So let's say that a Phantom MacBook Air that runs on ARM has twice the battery life of
00:31:04
◼
►
whatever the modern Intel MacBook Air's battery life is.
00:31:07
◼
►
So 30 hours instead of 15?
00:31:09
◼
►
Well, no, seriously.
00:31:10
◼
►
I mean, let's just suppose as a fun thought experiment, would you make that trade even
00:31:15
◼
►
if Windows virtualization or any, well, anything, you know, x86 virtualization is crummy?
00:31:21
◼
►
I mean, let's start with you, Jon.
00:31:23
◼
►
I don't think that that's a hypothetical scenario that would never come to pass because I don't
00:31:29
◼
►
believe that ARM can equal the performance of Intel and offer double the power efficiency.
00:31:34
◼
►
And that's fair.
00:31:35
◼
►
And even if ARM was fabbed by Intel, I don't think it'd do that.
00:31:39
◼
►
It's not as if Intel has an easy doubling of, you know, it's like x86 is worth, it's
00:31:44
◼
►
killing your performance.
00:31:45
◼
►
So if you get twice the performance, the overhead of x86, as crummy as it is, is not, you know,
00:31:51
◼
►
50% reduction.
00:31:52
◼
►
So I don't think that would ever happen.
00:31:54
◼
►
And I also think that Intel is already good enough that like once you get your battery
00:31:58
◼
►
life into the long enough to last for the entire waking time of a human, 15 hour battery
00:32:04
◼
►
life on a MacBook Air, granted they're not retina yet and it's going to take a hit when
00:32:07
◼
►
they grow retina.
00:32:08
◼
►
But I think Intel is already in the ballpark.
00:32:11
◼
►
So I don't think that that will ever be offered.
00:32:14
◼
►
And if they did offer it, I personally wouldn't take it because my calculus would be battery
00:32:18
◼
►
life is already all day long enough and is only going to get better by small increments,
00:32:23
◼
►
give me the speed please. You know what I'm like, speed, I want the fastest thing. So
00:32:27
◼
►
I would not personally take that and I also don't think that it could ever offer that.
00:32:31
◼
►
And that's fair. What about you, Marco? Well, first I think it's hilarious that you're asking
00:32:35
◼
►
this to two people who not only want speed but hardly ever use laptops. That's exactly
00:32:39
◼
►
why I knew this audience was not the right audience. But nevertheless, indulge me. Alright,
00:32:44
◼
►
So, I mean, for me, I mostly agree with John.
00:32:48
◼
►
I think, you know, I wouldn't be that excited
00:32:51
◼
►
about such a product because I'm not currently
00:32:53
◼
►
having battery life laptop issues.
00:32:56
◼
►
The modern laptops, especially if I'm gonna go buy
00:32:58
◼
►
a new one, the new ones have even better battery life
00:33:01
◼
►
than the ones I've had before.
00:33:02
◼
►
And so, you know, even the new Intel ones
00:33:06
◼
►
are really just awesome, and they're just only
00:33:10
◼
►
gonna get better as we go through more process strengths
00:33:13
◼
►
and more circuit shutoff technology steps
00:33:16
◼
►
and stuff like that, it's only gonna get better.
00:33:18
◼
►
So it's not really a problem that I have.
00:33:22
◼
►
Already I have an awesome laptop that's two years old,
00:33:29
◼
►
or a year and a half old, that is awesome
00:33:32
◼
►
and has great battery life, and it's never a problem for me.
00:33:34
◼
►
Like I never have not enough battery life on my laptop
00:33:37
◼
►
for what I need when I am using it full time.
00:33:40
◼
►
So that's not really, it's not really for me.
00:33:45
◼
►
I think you can maybe judge the market for such a thing by how many people are walking
00:33:50
◼
►
around all day with dead MacBook Air batteries, basically.
00:33:55
◼
►
Because the MacBook Air, especially the 11 inch, where there's not nearly enough room
00:33:59
◼
►
in there for a big battery.
00:34:00
◼
►
So I think if you're walking around with an 11 inch MacBook Air and your battery is
00:34:04
◼
►
always at 5% and dying and you've got to stop using your computer to plug it in for
00:34:07
◼
►
for a while, then you're the market for this sort of thing,
00:34:10
◼
►
'cause you actually really need that.
00:34:11
◼
►
You're pushing the boundaries.
00:34:13
◼
►
But as the boundary keeps getting expanded
00:34:16
◼
►
to have six hour battery life, eight hour battery life,
00:34:19
◼
►
12 hour battery life, we keep pushing this forward
00:34:22
◼
►
by pretty impressive margin over the last few years.
00:34:25
◼
►
So I think the need for making a dramatic
00:34:29
◼
►
battery life improvement on a laptop is shrinking.
00:34:32
◼
►
Certainly you can imagine some uses for it,
00:34:34
◼
►
but I don't think it's a mass market use anymore.
00:34:37
◼
►
For the 11-inch Air, I think if you had Broadwell and a low temperature polysilicon or whatever
00:34:42
◼
►
that is, the more energy efficient LCD, Broadwell plus a better LCD would give you acceptable
00:34:49
◼
►
battery life.
00:34:50
◼
►
You'd be up to the point where I don't think many people will be walking around with a
00:34:53
◼
►
dead battery in there at 11-inch Air anymore.
00:34:56
◼
►
And that's like next generation, you know, a year or two from now.
00:34:59
◼
►
It's not like way over the horizon.
00:35:01
◼
►
So the window for an ARM would make any sort of sense for battery purposes.
00:35:05
◼
►
It seems to be closing.
00:35:06
◼
►
So we should ask you Casey, you're the laptop guy. Would you make the trade you just offered?
00:35:10
◼
►
It depends on whether or not I'm still using Windows almost exclusively for my job and
00:35:17
◼
►
If not, I probably would assuming that the performance penalty was not
00:35:22
◼
►
egregious, which is funny because to be honest I
00:35:25
◼
►
Accepting going to and from work. I for the most part treat my laptops like desktops
00:35:30
◼
►
Well, my personal MacBook Pro, which is unusable because it has a platter hard drive, is effectively a desktop.
00:35:36
◼
►
My work MacBook Pro, like I said, other than moving it to and from home, I generally speaking just treat it as a desktop.
00:35:45
◼
►
And so it's kind of hypocritical of me to say that yes, I'd love tremendously more battery life,
00:35:51
◼
►
but also consider that this is a pre-Retina 2011 MacBook Pro.
00:35:55
◼
►
So I only get three, maybe four hours tops of battery life as it is, and it has dual
00:36:03
◼
►
So anytime I have VMware Fusion running, that absolutely toasts my battery.
00:36:07
◼
►
So I'm coming from a place of soreness, if that makes sense.
00:36:11
◼
►
But I would make that trade if I didn't need to worry about virtualization and the
00:36:16
◼
►
performance penalty was not absolutely egregious.
00:36:18
◼
►
I would love to have a laptop with, wherein I didn't need to worry about the battery
00:36:25
◼
►
You just need to buy a new laptop and you'll have that.
00:36:28
◼
►
The current, especially like the Retinas have insane battery life.
00:36:32
◼
►
I know they do, and we're issuing those at work now, but we're on a three year cycle
00:36:37
◼
►
I think, and I'm on year one and a half, so...
00:36:39
◼
►
Oh, who cares?
00:36:40
◼
►
You're famous!
00:36:41
◼
►
You can get one, you can get one faster than that.
00:36:43
◼
►
You are Casey Liss.
00:36:45
◼
►
Uh huh, something like that.
00:36:47
◼
►
I've heard that our work is on an 18 month cycle, and my Mac on my desk is like five
00:36:55
◼
►
Maybe trade that credit for Casey.
00:36:57
◼
►
No, I'm saving that credit to trade up to a fancy iMac when the time comes, but I'm
00:37:03
◼
►
not ready to give it up yet.
00:37:04
◼
►
Yeah, but it's funny because I upgraded my iPad situation from a third-gen Retina
00:37:12
◼
►
full-size iPad to a Retina iPad Mini.
00:37:16
◼
►
And I don't know if I – I wouldn't say I have a lemon, but I don't know if it's
00:37:20
◼
►
my particular iPad mini, but I feel like the battery life is not nearly as good as the
00:37:25
◼
►
Retina iPad and certainly not as good as my original iPad.
00:37:32
◼
►
And I find that to be really frustrating.
00:37:35
◼
►
And this is the world's biggest first-person problem, or first-world problem, I have a
00:37:41
◼
►
first-person problem, but I don't know, I feel like I'm charging my iPad a lot more
00:37:47
◼
►
these days and that it kind of puts this fear in me. It's the same reason I don't put the
00:37:52
◼
►
battery percentage on my phone because I know if I see it drop 2% I'm going to start stressing
00:37:56
◼
►
about it. Come to think of it I should turn it off on my iPad. But nevertheless I feel
00:38:01
◼
►
like I'm getting to the same point with my iPad as I do with my computer where if I'm
00:38:05
◼
►
without an outlet for more than a couple hours I start freaking out. And I bring this up
00:38:10
◼
►
because even what is probably a very small difference in battery life in this new iPad
00:38:15
◼
►
has created an unreasonable amount of stress in my world, which probably says a lot about
00:38:19
◼
►
me as a person, but having a lot more battery life in my laptop would be really tremendous.
00:38:24
◼
►
And I think you guys are completely right that perhaps just a brand new laptop today
00:38:29
◼
►
would be enough. But I don't know, the thought of an ARM laptop that would run for two days
00:38:32
◼
►
straight, that's enticing.
00:38:35
◼
►
- Because also, the massive gain that we had with Haswell in the last cycle, that was not
00:38:43
◼
►
not part of a die shrink. So when they do a process shrink with Broadwell this coming
00:38:49
◼
►
fall or whenever that's supposed to happen, it keeps getting delayed, but probably late
00:38:53
◼
►
this year there's going to be the Broadwell shrink, that's going to be even better. I
00:38:56
◼
►
mean, that might add another hour. If you have a 13, 14 hour battery, do you think that
00:39:03
◼
►
would relieve your stress? And this isn't like the BS battery specs that we used to
00:39:08
◼
►
hear back in the day. All the tests back this up and real world usage back this up. If you
00:39:13
◼
►
If they say you've got 12 hours,
00:39:16
◼
►
under regular usage, you probably at least get 10.
00:39:19
◼
►
It's pretty good, it's pretty close to what they say.
00:39:23
◼
►
How far do you think it would need to go
00:39:27
◼
►
for you to have that stress relieved,
00:39:29
◼
►
or will you always have that stress
00:39:30
◼
►
because you grew up with very scarce battery,
00:39:33
◼
►
like a laptop battery depression?
00:39:37
◼
►
- No, you're absolutely right,
00:39:38
◼
►
and I think to some degree I will always have that stress.
00:39:42
◼
►
But I think, and this is going to take all the wind out of my own sails, but I think
00:39:47
◼
►
if I had complete confidence that under whatever you define as regular use, whatever I define
00:39:54
◼
►
as regular use, I could go an entire work day, like an 8 to 10 hour work day, without
00:39:59
◼
►
even thinking about whether or not I need to plug in, that would be enough to make me
00:40:05
◼
►
And the way it is right now, I absolutely cannot do that.
00:40:08
◼
►
without VMware Fusion running and kicking on the discrete CPU, I would probably only be able to get
00:40:14
◼
►
half a day-ish. And so to be able to go a whole entire workday without even blinking an eye,
00:40:20
◼
►
and if I leave my power adapter at home, meh, oh well, that would be very liberating.
00:40:26
◼
►
You should wait for Broadwell then, because even with the current crop,
00:40:29
◼
►
you could make it through most of a workday if you're nice to VMware, but if you include
00:40:36
◼
►
12 hours, you're not going to make it working hard. It'll come close and you'll have much
00:40:41
◼
►
less stress than if you just plug it in when you back your desk, but you'll have to wait
00:40:44
◼
►
for Broadwell to get you into that type of thing where you can not have a charger at
00:40:48
◼
►
work, not bring your charger from home and still be comfortable that you can do your
00:40:51
◼
►
work without worrying about like, "Oh, am I hammering on VMware too much?"
00:40:54
◼
►
Have you considered solving this problem by spending 80 bucks on a second power adapter
00:40:58
◼
►
and just leaving it at work? Oh, I do. I do. I absolutely do. I have one
00:41:02
◼
►
powered adapter at my desk at home and one at work and the the real cure to
00:41:06
◼
►
happiness or the real secret to happiness is having an additional one in
00:41:09
◼
►
my laptop bag so I never have to move the one at work or the one at home but I
00:41:13
◼
►
don't transport the power adapter to and from work but nevertheless I I don't know
00:41:19
◼
►
I wish I didn't have to even think about it and to go back just one quick second
00:41:25
◼
►
a lot of people in the chat are saying well the reason your iPad rear-end iPads
00:41:28
◼
►
battery life sucks is because you're using it more and that very well could
00:41:31
◼
►
be but I feel like the battery drops the battery percentage drops quicker than I remember it having
00:41:36
◼
►
done in other iPads. They should have made the Retina Mini thicker thicker than they did. They
00:41:43
◼
►
did make it thicker by some tiny amount I forget how much but it's like imperceptibly thicker but
00:41:47
◼
►
the iPad 3 was perceptibly thicker than the iPad 2 and so when the Mini went retina in order to get
00:41:52
◼
►
the sim you know to keep to maintain battery life they probably should have made the Mini larger than
00:41:58
◼
►
than it currently is to fit more battery in.
00:42:01
◼
►
And then I think you would have been a little bit happier
00:42:04
◼
►
You also got it around the same time as iOS 7 and background
00:42:07
◼
►
So I would check if there's some background app doing
00:42:09
◼
►
something stupid that you're not aware of,
00:42:11
◼
►
and also turn off Bluetooth.
00:42:12
◼
►
Bluetooth is off.
00:42:13
◼
►
I will say that.
00:42:14
◼
►
But you could be right about background apps.
00:42:16
◼
►
I don't think-- off the top of my head,
00:42:17
◼
►
I don't think there are any that are on there that would be
00:42:19
◼
►
running, other than iOS just kicking on apps in general.
00:42:23
◼
►
What I mean is it's not like pod wranglers sitting there
00:42:26
◼
►
downloading podcasts constantly or anything like that.
00:42:28
◼
►
But nevertheless, you very well could be right.
00:42:31
◼
►
All right, that went to a place I did not expect,
00:42:35
◼
►
but that's okay.
00:42:36
◼
►
It was accidental.
00:42:37
◼
►
♪ Accidental ♪
00:42:38
◼
►
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So really quick, I have to confess that the first time I actually used Squarespace myself
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personally was a week or two ago when I was fiddling with a side project that may or may
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Squarespace is the right answer if you don't know what you're doing Squarespace is the right answer
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so thanks to them I was asking a minute ago did you guys get me anything gold today
00:45:21
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All right. I ask because this is our 50th episode, is it not?
00:45:27
◼
►
Now wait, which anniversary gift calendar is gold on 50?
00:45:32
◼
►
Because aren't there like three competing gift calendars for that sort of thing?
00:45:36
◼
►
Yep. And I'm looking at Hallmarks, and it says gold is the 50th anniversary.
00:45:40
◼
►
I can get you some gold, Schlager.
00:45:42
◼
►
I would be happy with that, actually.
00:45:45
◼
►
Do you have a gold hypercritical t-shirt?
00:45:48
◼
►
No, I do have a Hypocritical t-shirt, but it is blue.
00:45:52
◼
►
Oh well. That would have been... That was my gift for you. I put up for sale a gold t-shirt that you did not buy.
00:45:59
◼
►
Thanks, John. I appreciate it.
00:46:01
◼
►
So your gift was the opportunity to buy a special shirt.
00:46:05
◼
►
You would think it's a gift for the number of people who email me and say, "Hey, are those shirts still available?" The answer is no.
00:46:10
◼
►
Missed out. Speaking of Hypocritical, you wrote a post about the 30th anniversary of the Mac.
00:46:16
◼
►
Yeah, I should have put that in my calendar.
00:46:18
◼
►
I knew it was coming up like three or four days ahead of time, like, "Oh, I should write
00:46:22
◼
►
something about that."
00:46:23
◼
►
And I tried to write something, but when I started writing it, it ended up being exactly
00:46:26
◼
►
the same thing as what I wrote when Steve Jobs died, because I guess the two things
00:46:29
◼
►
are linked in my life, Steve Jobs and the Mac, much more so than I think most people
00:46:35
◼
►
who came to Apple stuff later.
00:46:37
◼
►
So yeah, we'll put the link in the show notes.
00:46:41
◼
►
It's not that exciting.
00:46:42
◼
►
reason I put it in there was because Macworld was doing a podcast where they
00:46:46
◼
►
were collecting short like five-minute remembrances from people who use the Mac
00:46:51
◼
►
but it wasn't a like a live podcast with other people they wanted us to pre-record
00:46:55
◼
►
stuff and I'm terrible at pre-recording things and that's all I had to bail I
00:46:58
◼
►
couldn't do it but I did think of something I wanted to say about the
00:47:01
◼
►
original Mac and after hearing Marco Perez's Mac newbie-ness on the talk show
00:47:05
◼
►
I figured that was the most epic troll to you no no there's lots of people that
00:47:12
◼
►
Lots of people will care.
00:47:13
◼
►
Actually, a friend of the show Guy English was not happy.
00:47:16
◼
►
Yeah, and he's like your age.
00:47:18
◼
►
I don't know.
00:47:18
◼
►
Maybe he isn't.
00:47:19
◼
►
No one knows how old he really is.
00:47:21
◼
►
It's very difficult to tell with Canadians.
00:47:24
◼
►
It's the beard.
00:47:24
◼
►
You just can't see past it.
00:47:26
◼
►
What is he hiding?
00:47:28
◼
►
Anyway, so here's my brief little remembrance thing
00:47:31
◼
►
that I was going to do for Macworld,
00:47:32
◼
►
but didn't, about the original Mac.
00:47:34
◼
►
And I think it will be good for young people and noobs
00:47:37
◼
►
And the thing I was going to say that I remembered about the Mac,
00:47:39
◼
►
original Mac in 1984 was what it was like to walk up to the computer and turn it on.
00:47:45
◼
►
Which sounds weird, but hear me out, I think it has some foundation.
00:47:49
◼
►
Or not, we'll find out.
00:47:51
◼
►
So the power button on the Mac was on the back and you used your left hand to reach
00:47:57
◼
►
the back of the computer and flick it and it was a rocker switch that tilted up and
00:48:01
◼
►
down and the Mac itself was very upright.
00:48:04
◼
►
I don't know if people must know what the original Mac looked like, kind of like a vertical
00:48:07
◼
►
rectangle in front of you with a little square screen near the top.
00:48:11
◼
►
So you'd reach around the back left side and flick the switch.
00:48:14
◼
►
And it was a big mechanical flicky switch that you would see on a 70s mixing board or
00:48:20
◼
►
This was not some tiny little button or a circle with a little power symbol on it that
00:48:24
◼
►
depresses 3mm in.
00:48:25
◼
►
This was a big switch that made a noise.
00:48:28
◼
►
You flick that switch, the CRT came on, and the thing made a beeping noise at the start
00:48:32
◼
►
Pretty loud, but not like cool chord music, but a beeping noise.
00:48:36
◼
►
And the reason this motion of walking up to this vertical computer, reaching around behind
00:48:41
◼
►
and flicking the switch and sitting down in the chair at the same time, sticks in my mind
00:48:45
◼
►
is because you did it so often.
00:48:47
◼
►
You didn't put the computer to sleep.
00:48:49
◼
►
There was no sleep for the computer.
00:48:50
◼
►
You didn't leave it on all the time because that would be crazy.
00:48:52
◼
►
It would be like leaving your TV on all the time or a light on all the time.
00:48:56
◼
►
When you wanted to use the computer, you walked up to it, you turned it on, and you used it.
00:49:00
◼
►
And it would boot up and it would take forever to boot up off the floppy disk.
00:49:04
◼
►
you know, you do whatever you're going to do with the computer.
00:49:06
◼
►
And the second reason the power switch sticks in my mind was because when you're done using
00:49:11
◼
►
the computer, you reached around the back of it and you turned the power switch off.
00:49:16
◼
►
Right in the middle of what you, you know, there was no shutdown command at the bottom
00:49:19
◼
►
of what was then the special menu.
00:49:21
◼
►
No shutdown, no nothing.
00:49:23
◼
►
When you were done using the computer, you turned it off.
00:49:25
◼
►
And we like to think that the computers we're using today are just like fancy versions of
00:49:29
◼
►
the Mac that was back then.
00:49:30
◼
►
Like, "Oh, they got a GUI.
00:49:31
◼
►
They got the menu bar.
00:49:32
◼
►
or even the same file edit, the special menu's gone,
00:49:36
◼
►
but the Apple menu is in the corner
00:49:38
◼
►
that had Windows with widgets in them
00:49:40
◼
►
and resizing and scrolling, it's like the same thing, right?
00:49:42
◼
►
But the incredible distance between that and now
00:49:46
◼
►
is represented by how we treated the computer.
00:49:48
◼
►
We treated it like you treated the television set.
00:49:50
◼
►
When you wanna use it, you turn it on.
00:49:51
◼
►
When you wanna use it, you turn it off.
00:49:52
◼
►
There was no software interconnect preventing you from,
00:49:56
◼
►
or telling you when it was safe to turn it off
00:49:58
◼
►
or preventing you from turning it off at any time.
00:50:00
◼
►
Now, you can turn it off on Mac anytime you want now.
00:50:01
◼
►
I got hold on the power button for 10 seconds like if it gets hard frozen or whatever
00:50:05
◼
►
But clearly that power button is not a mechanical interconnect that you know, the computer had no control like when you flick that switch
00:50:10
◼
►
Electricity stopped flowing to the computer that was it and when you turn it on, you know electricity started flowing
00:50:15
◼
►
And so that is my one of my lasting memories of the computer that I think most people who are not around back then using
00:50:21
◼
►
Computers can't relate to because maybe they're like, oh I turned on my common Commodore 64 that way that's how I use my Atari
00:50:25
◼
►
That's how I use my NES and I think a lot of people I think like to think that's how they're using their current
00:50:30
◼
►
PlayStation stuff not knowing those buttons are software buttons that just tell the thing to shut down because you can't turn off
00:50:35
◼
►
You know a real game console like that without consequences most of the time
00:50:39
◼
►
But back then it was just it was a GUI computer that looks like what we have today
00:50:43
◼
►
But it behaved like a toaster you'd flick the switch on you flick the switch off
00:50:47
◼
►
That I did not know that and that seems really wild to me. Oh and also there were no lights
00:50:53
◼
►
No indicator lights telling you the drive activity. I was PC is it used to for a long time pieces
00:50:57
◼
►
were still like that. You're like, "How do I know when I can push the eject button to
00:51:00
◼
►
get the disk out? Oh, wait for the light to stop blinking. Is it done? Wait, no, one more
00:51:03
◼
►
blink. Wait, no. Okay, now, one more blink." That was crazy making as well. No light on
00:51:07
◼
►
the front of the Mac. So how did you know? What if it was in the middle of writing data
00:51:12
◼
►
to a floppy disk and you turned it off? Well, you probably just hosed yourself if that was
00:51:14
◼
►
the case. But there was no light, I guess, because they wouldn't want to have some stupid
00:51:18
◼
►
blinking light. There was no eject button because they wanted the computer to control
00:51:21
◼
►
that. You still had to unmount a disk by dragging it to the trash or hitting eject or whatever,
00:51:25
◼
►
and it would safely eject and unmount the disk.
00:51:27
◼
►
But when you were done using the computer, presumably,
00:51:30
◼
►
you're not in the middle of saving
00:51:32
◼
►
and don't have any outstanding stuff.
00:51:34
◼
►
You would just reach behind and hit the switch.
00:51:36
◼
►
See, that was the best thing about the original Mac,
00:51:38
◼
►
is that wonderful, unintuitive design, right from the start,
00:51:43
◼
►
of, oh, to eject a disk, you do the same thing you do
00:51:46
◼
►
when you want to delete data.
00:51:49
◼
►
Well, here was the best thing about that.
00:51:51
◼
►
Well, so first of all, that was a shortcut.
00:51:52
◼
►
Like, the way you were supposed to do it,
00:51:53
◼
►
the same way you would do anything,
00:51:55
◼
►
you select it and then select an item from the menu.
00:51:57
◼
►
It's like you would select the noun
00:51:59
◼
►
and select the verb from the menu.
00:52:00
◼
►
So there was an eject thing you could get a disk out.
00:52:02
◼
►
But the best was, since there was only one floppy drive,
00:52:05
◼
►
and you couldn't get much done with one 400K floppy,
00:52:08
◼
►
you could eject the system disk that you booted from,
00:52:11
◼
►
and it would remain on the desktop
00:52:13
◼
►
as a grayed out floppy disk icon,
00:52:15
◼
►
and then you would put in, say, your Mac Paint disk,
00:52:17
◼
►
which application on a separate disk, put that in,
00:52:19
◼
►
and then the Mac Paint floppy disk would appear
00:52:21
◼
►
on your desktop as a little floppy disk icon,
00:52:22
◼
►
but not grayed out.
00:52:25
◼
►
And you could launch MacPaint, and sometimes it
00:52:27
◼
►
would ask you to swap disks back and forth.
00:52:29
◼
►
Eventually, you get to the point where the system disk is back in.
00:52:31
◼
►
You've got a grayed out icon of the MacPaint floppy disk on there.
00:52:35
◼
►
And the MacPaint floppy disk is in your hand, right?
00:52:37
◼
►
Then you would drag the ghostly image of the MacPaint floppy disk
00:52:40
◼
►
to the trash, and nothing would eject, because you've already
00:52:43
◼
►
got the disk out.
00:52:44
◼
►
The ghost disk would disappear.
00:52:46
◼
►
It was a very strange metaphor for, what am I throwing out here?
00:52:50
◼
►
I'm not ejecting a disk, because it's in my hand,
00:52:52
◼
►
but I'm throwing out this little image and the image does disappear. Did I erase everything
00:52:55
◼
►
on the disk? But how could I have erased everything? The disk gets in my hand, but nothing ejected,
00:52:58
◼
►
so I wasn't injecting. Very, very confusing. Of course, it made totally intuitive sense
00:53:03
◼
►
to, you know, an eight-year-old, nine-year-old me because, like, anything you learn, of course,
00:53:07
◼
►
that's how the way it works. Don't you know how ghost images work for diskes? You know.
00:53:13
◼
►
Things make sense to kids that you don't question, but it was very strange.
00:53:17
◼
►
Then the terribleness of the disk and virtual disk and ghost disk and disk image kind of
00:53:23
◼
►
metaphor continues to this day when you still have Mac software being distributed in DMGs.
00:53:28
◼
►
Yeah, at least those don't get grayed out.
00:53:31
◼
►
But yeah, you're like, "Where is the disk?
00:53:33
◼
►
Is it, what's a disk image?"
00:53:34
◼
►
Like, what I'm saying is an image of a disk, not disk image, which is an entirely different
00:53:39
◼
►
That's what you're talking about.
00:53:40
◼
►
But still, it's like that whole thing with like, kind of complicating the disk metaphor.
00:53:44
◼
►
uh... that yet
00:53:46
◼
►
like that's that's about that was it was one of the weirdest things with the
00:53:50
◼
►
thank god they they've mostly
00:53:52
◼
►
dodged it now at the ap store
00:53:54
◼
►
uh... you know but by pushing people to do that as the as the installation
00:53:58
◼
►
free for decades if he hears at least there will not none i guess i was ten
00:54:03
◼
►
inches just images right so for
00:54:07
◼
►
the way to install software on a map you have to like tell your parents
00:54:10
◼
►
was re-downloads disk image
00:54:12
◼
►
it mounts it. It's a virtual disk. It's not a real disk. You have to look for where the
00:54:15
◼
►
disks are in your computer and find this fake disk that you just downloaded. Don't run it
00:54:19
◼
►
from there, though. You've got to move it to your real disk, then eject the fake disk.
00:54:23
◼
►
Nothing will actually eject from your computer. And then you've got to delete this file that
00:54:26
◼
►
represents that fake disk when it's not mounted.
00:54:28
◼
►
>> Disk images existed before OS X, but before OS X, the way most software was distributed
00:54:32
◼
►
was in stuffit or stuffit.hqx, because stuffit files had resource forks for a short period
00:54:37
◼
►
of time, or any other compressed file format. And what you would get when you decompressed
00:54:41
◼
►
is if you were lucky you would get an application,
00:54:43
◼
►
and if you're unlucky you would get an installer.
00:54:45
◼
►
And there was a series of bad installers
00:54:47
◼
►
doing their installer thing.
00:54:49
◼
►
But yeah, the root problem with disk images
00:54:53
◼
►
is not so much that it's the concept of a virtual disk
00:54:55
◼
►
image, but the entire concept of mounting and unmounting disks,
00:54:58
◼
►
whether they're virtual disks, real disks, or not.
00:55:00
◼
►
Mounting and unmounting is beyond the can of regular people.
00:55:03
◼
►
Well, you say that, but it's actually beyond a lot of people.
00:55:06
◼
►
So this past Friday, I was at a work meeting,
00:55:09
◼
►
And it was all of the developers at my office, which
00:55:12
◼
►
is only 10 or 15 of us, I'd say.
00:55:15
◼
►
And a developer that doesn't typically use a Mac
00:55:19
◼
►
ended up using my boss's Mac in order
00:55:24
◼
►
to do a quick PowerPoint presentation.
00:55:26
◼
►
And that also involved using Safari or Chrome
00:55:29
◼
►
or whatever his browser of choice was in order
00:55:32
◼
►
to show a few things that he had worked on.
00:55:35
◼
►
And firstly, he had a really hard time figuring out
00:55:38
◼
►
to scroll because there was no scroll bar, which in and of itself I thought was kind of funny,
00:55:43
◼
►
but made sense. I mean, I can't fault him for that. Secondly, he fell under the same trap that
00:55:48
◼
►
Erin falls under anytime she tries to use my Mac, which is, for most power users, I have to assume
00:55:54
◼
►
that they have hot corners and they have gestures set up. And if you're not familiar and used to
00:55:59
◼
►
that, it's very off-putting because you do, you feel like you haven't touched anything and then
00:56:06
◼
►
then suddenly random crap happens that makes no sense.
00:56:09
◼
►
Well, anyways, the reason I bring this up is because he had had his presentation on
00:56:12
◼
►
a USB key, and when he was all done, what did he do?
00:56:17
◼
►
Do you want to take a guess, John?
00:56:19
◼
►
Just yanked out like they do in the movies.
00:56:21
◼
►
Just like they do with Windows and just like they do in the movies.
00:56:23
◼
►
And so he just yanked that bad boy out.
00:56:25
◼
►
And of course, instantly, my boss's Mac goes, "Whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa.
00:56:30
◼
►
You didn't unmount that bad boy.
00:56:31
◼
►
I don't even know what's going on with that thing."
00:56:33
◼
►
It was interesting to me because, all jokes aside, here's someone who writes code for
00:56:39
◼
►
a living and he knows what he's doing, but because he's not familiar with OS X, it didn't
00:56:46
◼
►
even cross his mind to unmount the USB key.
00:56:50
◼
►
Why would you?
00:56:51
◼
►
You just yank the thing out like you do on Windows, right?
00:56:54
◼
►
And so it was just interesting to me.
00:56:56
◼
►
Well, even on Windows, you have to do the blinking light dance, which is why so many
00:56:59
◼
►
USB keys have little lights on them, because you can yank it on a Windows, but if you yank
00:57:03
◼
►
it out in the middle when the little light is blinking, your USB key now has garbage
00:57:07
◼
►
on it. So congratulations.
00:57:08
◼
►
Which, by the way, when I first got my Mac, my first Mac, and I think it was 2010, one
00:57:15
◼
►
of the things that I found extremely disconcerting was there were no hard drive lights or anything
00:57:20
◼
►
like that. And to this day, I still have iStat menus running constantly. And I don't have
00:57:26
◼
►
it showing hard drive activity, but I do have it showing throughput through my network card
00:57:32
◼
►
CPU load because I just I can't I don't know why but I
00:57:37
◼
►
Feel you're one of those people who would have bought in the back in the day
00:57:40
◼
►
There was a program for the Mac called disk light
00:57:42
◼
►
It would put a little blinking black and white thing and your little black and white menu bar to make people like you feel comfortable
00:57:47
◼
►
Well, and again, it's not actually about disk usage
00:57:50
◼
►
But it bothers me if something is happening slowly which to be fair on my work MacBook Pro with its SSD is not
00:57:58
◼
►
terribly often. But if something's happening slowly or if my jet plane, I mean my fans are spinning,
00:58:03
◼
►
I want to know why. And so I run iStat menus, which is absolutely the best 30 or so dollars
00:58:11
◼
►
I've spent in a long time. I look at my little menu widget, whatever that thing is called,
00:58:16
◼
►
and I see my CPU usage right there. And if I click on it, I can see the top five most expensive
00:58:21
◼
►
processes. And I don't know, it just freaks me out not having that there. And I keep telling myself
00:58:26
◼
►
to get rid of it.
00:58:27
◼
►
And like, for example, I've gotten rid of--
00:58:28
◼
►
Well, and I've gotten rid of my memory meter,
00:58:31
◼
►
but I still have CPU and I still have internet throughput.
00:58:33
◼
►
You should get rid of it, because it's
00:58:35
◼
►
kind of the quantum whatever uncertainty principle
00:58:38
◼
►
of computer performance.
00:58:40
◼
►
That by observing it, you are necessarily
00:58:43
◼
►
altering the behavior.
00:58:44
◼
►
And I always wonder, how much am I altering it by observing it?
00:58:47
◼
►
I don't leave activity monitor open.
00:58:48
◼
►
I don't leave top running in a terminal window,
00:58:50
◼
►
and I don't run the iSTAT menu things.
00:58:52
◼
►
Unless I'm curious.
00:58:52
◼
►
If I'm curious about something, it's
00:58:53
◼
►
like turning on all the instruments,
00:58:55
◼
►
or running instruments in Xcode. Sometimes you want to fire all that stuff up to sea,
00:58:59
◼
►
but people who run it all day every day? Not great.
00:59:01
◼
►
Oh, okay. Well, I'll tell you what. Suppose you're buying a new Mac Pro. What CPU do you
00:59:09
◼
►
I don't know. I'm talking about laptops. Who cares about desktops? You burn all the power
00:59:13
◼
►
Fine. Laptops. Do you get a 13-inch with only a dual-core, or do you get a 15-inch with
00:59:19
◼
►
a quad-core?
00:59:20
◼
►
I don't know what I would get with a laptop. What are you getting at? That I would want
00:59:23
◼
►
a more powerful computer?
00:59:24
◼
►
No, I'm saying, so I've been running iStat menus also forever. I ran, there were some
00:59:30
◼
►
other thing that did the same thing before that and it was worse, so I switched to iStat
00:59:33
◼
►
menus and probably, I don't know, probably four or five years ago by now, and I've been
00:59:39
◼
►
running it for a while and just like Casey, I used to have the hard drive indicator on
00:59:43
◼
►
there. Once I switched to SSDs I removed it because it was pointless at that point, but
00:59:48
◼
►
I still have the CPU and the network ones up. So the network ones, first of all, is
00:59:51
◼
►
very useful if you want to see like am I currently uploading tons of stuff on podcasting that's
00:59:55
◼
►
bad and you can go check our check Dropbox check back please you know and then the CPU
01:00:01
◼
►
meter is great because it gives you an idea of how much CPU power you're actually using
01:00:08
◼
►
with the work you do and where you're hitting bottlenecks and what kind of bottlenecks you're
01:00:13
◼
►
hitting so that you can make intelligent decisions about what to upgrade and then what to buy
01:00:17
◼
►
off your next computer.
01:00:18
◼
►
I still think that's an activity you could do when you're curious about that.
01:00:22
◼
►
When your computer is feeling slow, take a look at why it's slow.
01:00:24
◼
►
When you're interested in whether this application takes advantage of how many cores, fire it
01:00:30
◼
►
But I don't think you need to run it all day, because you're not looking at it all day.
01:00:32
◼
►
It's mostly just in the corner, animating, distracting your eye, and you're not looking
01:00:35
◼
►
at it to gain information from it during that time.
01:00:38
◼
►
I glance at it a lot.
01:00:40
◼
►
That's another reason you should get rid of it.
01:00:41
◼
►
It's like the thing you always have to keep looking at.
01:00:43
◼
►
It's like looking at the time on the clock on a wall.
01:00:45
◼
►
Gotta keep looking up, gotta keep looking up.
01:00:46
◼
►
the clock away, concentrate on what you're doing, and you'll spend less time looking
01:00:49
◼
►
at the clock.
01:00:50
◼
►
I don't know. I think basically whenever I'm being made to wait for something at
01:00:55
◼
►
all on my computer, usually I will glance at that to see like am I maxing out a CPU?
01:01:01
◼
►
Before it would be like am I maxing out a disk? It helps a lot to know what your performance
01:01:07
◼
►
needs are, generally speaking. So I know now how much of my stuff is going to benefit from
01:01:13
◼
►
having more cores and how much of it isn't and how much of it is going to benefit from
01:01:16
◼
►
having like one super fast core rather than more cores that are slower.
01:01:22
◼
►
I have a good idea of what I need because I've been running this for years and because
01:01:27
◼
►
it's always running and so I can always just kind of glance up there so I know how my stuff
01:01:31
◼
►
behaves and what my needs actually are.
01:01:33
◼
►
Whereas if you don't do this kind of thing, you're kind of buying blind or your computer's
01:01:39
◼
►
slow and you might think, "Okay, I guess I'll add some RAM or something," but you don't
01:01:41
◼
►
really know, like, is it slow because of X, Y, or Z? And you're just kind of guessing.
01:01:46
◼
►
I don't know how many conclusions you can get from just looking at that. Because when
01:01:49
◼
►
my computer is slow, I mean, I go right either—I mostly go to the command line, because I'm
01:01:53
◼
►
going to run sc_usage, fs_usage to see who's hitting the file systems, because for me and
01:01:58
◼
►
my non-SSD systems, that's usually the big one. But I don't want to just know, oh, there's
01:02:01
◼
►
a lot of I/O going on. How many IOPS are there in activity monitor? What is the data throughput?
01:02:06
◼
►
I want to know who is using the file system, and what are they doing with it? What files
01:02:09
◼
►
are they modifying?
01:02:10
◼
►
So that's why I want the FSC usage with the wide output for the file system type to get
01:02:15
◼
►
that information.
01:02:16
◼
►
You're not going to get that from iStat menu.
01:02:17
◼
►
I think you do, actually.
01:02:18
◼
►
I think the main reason both of you are running iStat menu is probably the only reason you
01:02:23
◼
►
should run iStat menu is because you like blinking lights and pretty things.
01:02:27
◼
►
And that's a reasonably legitimate reason.
01:02:29
◼
►
A lot of people run, for example, transparent terminal windows, which make things in their
01:02:34
◼
►
terminal windows harder to read.
01:02:36
◼
►
But they like it because it looks cool.
01:02:37
◼
►
See, I disagree.
01:02:39
◼
►
I really do think that I, everything Marco said, I was shaking my head yes.
01:02:45
◼
►
In that if there's any delay on my computer, particularly my SSD MacBook Pro, I'm looking
01:02:50
◼
►
at that CPU meter to see what's going on.
01:02:52
◼
►
And if there's a spike that I don't expect, then darn it, I'm going to click on that CPU
01:02:56
◼
►
meter to see what the top processes are.
01:02:58
◼
►
And if air mail or if crash plan is going berserk, then I need to investigate why that
01:03:06
◼
►
And additionally, that's why, to go back in the episode, that's why I said I would probably
01:03:11
◼
►
trade a less powerful Mac for a MacBook for one that has a much better battery.
01:03:17
◼
►
If you want to get better battery life, why not just turn that off?
01:03:22
◼
►
Actually when Mavericks came out, I did crank back the update frequency from like one second
01:03:27
◼
►
to like five or something like that.
01:03:28
◼
►
But anyway, the reason I'm so willing to make that trade is because I know generally speaking
01:03:32
◼
►
my CPU usage really isn't that much.
01:03:34
◼
►
Now when I have VMware running, okay, then it's not too awesome in that I'm using
01:03:40
◼
►
probably a third of my CPU all the time.
01:03:43
◼
►
But excepting when VMware is running, most of the crap I do on my computer I really don't
01:03:48
◼
►
need a very powerful CPU for.
01:03:49
◼
►
So that's why I think I would be willing to make that trade.
01:03:52
◼
►
And that's why I think Marco is onto something with it gives you some kind of passive feedback
01:03:57
◼
►
on where your bottlenecks are.
01:03:59
◼
►
And if you're burning power unnecessarily.
01:04:01
◼
►
Like if you have a four core machine and you got some runaway process burning 100% all
01:04:06
◼
►
the time because it's stuck on something, you might not notice that for days because
01:04:12
◼
►
it is not really affecting you at all.
01:04:14
◼
►
And all that time then, your battery life's getting worse, your system's running a little
01:04:18
◼
►
bit too warm or the fans are running a little bit too fast.
01:04:22
◼
►
If it's a process that's writing log files, like I have this weird problem a lot of times,
01:04:27
◼
►
I don't know if it's because of the hijacking setup
01:04:30
◼
►
with this live stream.
01:04:31
◼
►
I had this problem recently where iTunes agent,
01:04:34
◼
►
some kind of iTunes airport agent
01:04:38
◼
►
crashes repeatedly in the background
01:04:39
◼
►
and it burns up a CPU for a while
01:04:42
◼
►
and as it's doing this, it's dumping tons of crap
01:04:46
◼
►
to the console log, like hundreds of megabytes of text
01:04:49
◼
►
to the console log and the only way I can really tell
01:04:51
◼
►
is either by looking up there and seeing,
01:04:52
◼
►
oh, there's that core that's been running for a while.
01:04:55
◼
►
I wonder what it's doing, and clicking the icon,
01:04:58
◼
►
and it shows me what it's doing.
01:04:59
◼
►
Or my terminal window will start taking forever
01:05:02
◼
►
to reach the login prompt, and then you have to go purge
01:05:06
◼
►
out the directory and find the Mac hint that does that.
01:05:10
◼
►
But if you don't see, if you can't see those kind
01:05:13
◼
►
of indicators, like if I didn't launch terminal for a while,
01:05:16
◼
►
that would take days, and I wouldn't notice it.
01:05:18
◼
►
I'd be sitting here burning power, and running too hot,
01:05:21
◼
►
and filling up my disk with all this crap,
01:05:23
◼
►
and not even noticing.
01:05:24
◼
►
But the difference between you and I, Marco and John, is that we are not one with our
01:05:29
◼
►
machine like he is.
01:05:31
◼
►
He can feel the menu meters.
01:05:32
◼
►
That's what it was called, menu meters.
01:05:35
◼
►
If you don't notice that something is taking an entire core and you don't notice that something
01:05:39
◼
►
is dumping 100 megs to your thing, then it's probably actually not a problem.
01:05:42
◼
►
I know it's a problem and that you shouldn't be doing that, but I'm mostly content to wait
01:05:48
◼
►
until my machine is not performing the way I think it is and investigate why that is,
01:05:53
◼
►
versus if something like that happened and like it cured itself or I just never noticed
01:05:56
◼
►
it, like again, I'm not using a laptop, I'm plugged in, I don't notice the fans going
01:06:00
◼
►
up, I don't notice, you know, maybe I'm using slightly more power or whatever, but like,
01:06:04
◼
►
I think for me, if something was dumping 100 megabytes, I would notice that and I would
01:06:08
◼
►
go and, you know, investigate it like that.
01:06:10
◼
►
You don't have an SSD yet.
01:06:11
◼
►
No, yeah, that's right.
01:06:12
◼
►
I would definitely notice it.
01:06:13
◼
►
Hell, I would hear the hard drive going tick, tick, tick.
01:06:18
◼
►
But things, there are many things that go off and you don't notice and I'm perfectly
01:06:22
◼
►
content to let them be below my notice.
01:06:25
◼
►
If the only reason I would notice them is because of the stat, you know, some kind of
01:06:28
◼
►
stat counter thing, then that's like drawing my attention unnecessarily, right?
01:06:33
◼
►
Like intellectually, yes, I would like to know that thing is crashing and see if I can
01:06:37
◼
►
investigate it or do something about it.
01:06:38
◼
►
But practically speaking, if I would not notice if it was not for the stat stuff, I'd just
01:06:44
◼
►
as soon not notice it.
01:06:45
◼
►
You know what I mean?
01:06:46
◼
►
Because you don't run a laptop.
01:06:49
◼
►
That's very true.
01:06:51
◼
►
with a laptop I would say at least just decrease the upgrade frequency. Like every one second
01:06:56
◼
►
is too much. And I really hope the people who make iStat menus get religion about the
01:07:00
◼
►
Mavericks power saving stuff, because if you're going to make an app that's like that, there
01:07:04
◼
►
are probably a lot of things you can do to your app itself to make it more power efficient,
01:07:09
◼
►
even with the same update frequency.
01:07:11
◼
►
Yeah, and usually, is it Django? It's B-J-A-N-G-O, I believe. I'm probably mispronouncing it,
01:07:18
◼
►
I'm sorry, but they're usually pretty pretty on the ball with with getting the latest
01:07:23
◼
►
I don't want I don't want to say trends that sounds dismissive, but but getting those newest features supported
01:07:29
◼
►
Yeah, they're pretty good citizens on the platform. That's that's a much better way of phrasing it
01:07:33
◼
►
Hey, do we have any other new sponsors this week by chance? We have one more new sponsor this week
01:07:38
◼
►
It is our friends at cards against humanity
01:07:41
◼
►
Wait, wait, wait what yeah cards against humanity that awesome game that you and I have played and it's fantastic
01:07:48
◼
►
It's sponsored by Cards Against Humanity, but they asked us not to read an ad and to
01:07:54
◼
►
just enjoy the show.
01:07:56
◼
►
That was it?
01:07:58
◼
►
That's the whole thing?
01:07:59
◼
►
Isn't that great?
01:08:00
◼
►
I'm not at all surprised by this, but that's ridiculous.
01:08:02
◼
►
Oh, those guys are the best.
01:08:04
◼
►
Anyway, they didn't ask us to tell you, but it's cardsagainsthumanity.com, because they're
01:08:08
◼
►
just awesome.
01:08:09
◼
►
So thanks a lot to Cards Against Humanity.
01:08:12
◼
►
That was our big moment?
01:08:13
◼
►
I have been so excited for them to maybe possibly one day sponsor our show, and that's what
01:08:17
◼
►
they decide to do. I'm both like a little sad and overwhelmed with happiness.
01:08:22
◼
►
It's pretty awesome. Well thanks guys. Yeah. We should play that. We should do that on
01:08:28
◼
►
air sometime. That, yeah, well we might lose our clean rating if we do. We just might.
01:08:34
◼
►
Well I feel like we're dishonoring their, their, the motive there so we should just
01:08:39
◼
►
move on. Alright, let's get back to it. Lenovo bought some things recently. Do we
01:08:44
◼
►
care about that? Do we have time to care about that? I don't know, do we? Are we done? Is
01:08:49
◼
►
that a hint? Only our show could spend the first, you know, almost hour and a half, today
01:08:56
◼
►
of all days, with all the stuff in the news happened today, and we haven't talked about
01:08:59
◼
►
any of it. Not even a bit. But is it like, is it news, is there anything that we really
01:09:05
◼
►
care about if you don't care about like the meta-game of company vs company and who owns
01:09:10
◼
►
what and stuff like that. I don't know if there's much about the industry that any
01:09:15
◼
►
of these particular deals change other than continuing existing trends that everyone already
01:09:20
◼
►
is familiar with.
01:09:21
◼
►
Yeah, I mean, I don't know. It seems like Lenovo is basically just becoming IBM's
01:09:26
◼
►
hardware, and I know IBM still does big, big hardware, big server hardware, but, you know,
01:09:32
◼
►
they took the PC business and, I don't know, I'm very hipster about all this, but
01:09:36
◼
►
They killed the ThinkPad, and now they're taking the x86 server business, and apparently
01:09:42
◼
►
Motorola as well.
01:09:43
◼
►
Well, they're in an economy that's up and coming in a way that the US economy is not.
01:09:48
◼
►
Like they are us many, many years in the past.
01:09:52
◼
►
It kind of makes sense that businesses that are not interesting or profitable or profitable
01:09:56
◼
►
enough or have enough growth potential for us could have enough growth potential for
01:10:01
◼
►
them, be more profitable for them, more interesting for them.
01:10:04
◼
►
So they would like to make a phone.
01:10:06
◼
►
would like to sell PCs, they'll happily sell PC class server hardware.
01:10:12
◼
►
I don't know how they remember that.
01:10:14
◼
►
What is this?
01:10:15
◼
►
The low-end server hardware.
01:10:16
◼
►
Low-end just means x86, which is basically like the server hardware that almost everybody
01:10:21
◼
►
Not a bad business.
01:10:22
◼
►
I mean, I know you're upset about what they did to your beautiful ThinkPad, but for the
01:10:26
◼
►
most part, Lenovo took IBM's PC business and didn't screw it up.
01:10:32
◼
►
At the very least, can you give them that?
01:10:33
◼
►
They didn't screw it up?
01:10:34
◼
►
Yeah, they have a pretty good record of that, of not screwing up the things they've bought
01:10:39
◼
►
too badly. I mean, I think even most people who are ThinkPad fans would agree that the
01:10:47
◼
►
Lenovo transition really didn't change much.
01:10:50
◼
►
Well, compare it to Google buying Motorola, and well, they screwed up Motorola, but Motorola
01:10:57
◼
►
came pretty screwed up, so that's not fair. But a lot of times, you'll acquire a company
01:11:02
◼
►
and just like you won't be able to figure out how to make any money with it and the
01:11:05
◼
►
products will be worse under you and it will just fizzle.
01:11:08
◼
►
People might say that Lenovo's products are worse in some ways than IBM or lost some of
01:11:12
◼
►
the specialness they had with IBM or aren't as interesting as they were under IBM, but
01:11:16
◼
►
it's still an ongoing business.
01:11:18
◼
►
And that was my fear when they bought them because who would have ever heard of Lenovo
01:11:21
◼
►
when they took IBM's PC business that in two years you won't be able to buy a Lenovo PC
01:11:28
◼
►
because they'll not be able to make a go of this.
01:11:30
◼
►
It'll just be fizzle out and they just won't be successful
01:11:32
◼
►
But you can still buy Lenovo PCs and laptops and maybe they're not as special as I think bad with a butterfly keyboard
01:11:39
◼
►
You know they're they're reasonable PC. It's like what would you rather have a Lenovo laptop or a Dell Lenovo or an HP laptop?
01:11:46
◼
►
No slim pickings there, but is none an option exactly right?
01:11:55
◼
►
Fun fact my dad has worked for IBM for I don't know probably about 30 years and I vividly
01:12:02
◼
►
vividly remember seeing think
01:12:04
◼
►
pads floating around the house when I was really little
01:12:07
◼
►
Because the think pad in case you didn't know is named after these pads that they used to hand out to the employees
01:12:13
◼
►
It just said the word think on the front and that was it and I vividly remember seeing those all over the place
01:12:18
◼
►
And so I grew up on on
01:12:20
◼
►
on Thinkpads and I grew up using a trackpoint pointing device and if you've never seen the XKCD about this go go
01:12:27
◼
►
Google it and check it out, but I still I still miss that I genuinely do and in Apple
01:12:32
◼
►
Trackpads are are as good as they get or touch pads whatever they're called
01:12:38
◼
►
They're as good as they're as those sorts of things get but I still miss and prefer the track point. I
01:12:44
◼
►
Don't know maybe I'm the only one which actually I meant to ask you guys to either of you guys use the magic trackpad
01:12:49
◼
►
No. No, what are you crazy?
01:12:51
◼
►
Okay, that's what I thought too, but a lot of people I know are starting to get really excited about the trackpad.
01:12:57
◼
►
I'm always suspicious of somebody when they tell me they prefer a trackpad to a mouse.
01:13:01
◼
►
I tend to agree.
01:13:02
◼
►
Any kind of trackpad. I know people who use that. I know people who use trackpads at their desk with their desktop computer,
01:13:08
◼
►
and I also know people who prefer the trackpad, the centered trackpad underneath their keyboard on their laptop to using a mouse on their desktop.
01:13:15
◼
►
And those people should be eyed with great suspicion.
01:13:18
◼
►
All right, so we don't really care about them buying Motorola and Google unloading
01:13:25
◼
►
I mean, it's like a terrible, failed, I don't know what.
01:13:30
◼
►
I mean, they got the patents.
01:13:31
◼
►
They're keeping the patents.
01:13:33
◼
►
When they bought Motorola, the only interesting thing about that acquisition, like the A-store
01:13:38
◼
►
is like, "Okay, they're just going to — they're buying Motorola for the patents."
01:13:41
◼
►
Like, "No, but I think they might be buying them because they're going to make their own
01:13:44
◼
►
phones and Motorola makes hardware."
01:13:46
◼
►
And so that turned out not to be the case.
01:13:48
◼
►
They admitted as much in their thing.
01:13:50
◼
►
We originally bought them for the...
01:13:51
◼
►
I guess there was a chance that if Motorola's new phones took off, Google would say, "Hey,
01:13:56
◼
►
wait a second.
01:13:57
◼
►
We can sell the OS to other people, but then compete with them by making our own hardware
01:14:00
◼
►
that sells in huge numbers instead of the Nexus, which sell in smaller numbers, I would
01:14:05
◼
►
But turns out no one wants a Motorola phone either.
01:14:09
◼
►
It's a shame because the most recent Motorola phones are pretty decent.
01:14:14
◼
►
They're interesting, they're nice looking.
01:14:15
◼
►
They work pretty well for Android phones.
01:14:18
◼
►
They're not terrible phones.
01:14:20
◼
►
I'm certain Lenovo will continue to make not terrible phones out of them.
01:14:27
◼
►
They're well positioned to do well in China.
01:14:30
◼
►
So if that business starts picking up, they're going to be right there, ready to sell cheap
01:14:34
◼
►
Android phones to all of China.
01:14:37
◼
►
Do you think it has anything to do with a possible Google-Samsung future partnership
01:14:42
◼
►
of some sort?
01:14:45
◼
►
getting Motorola out of the way.
01:14:46
◼
►
You know, like Google couldn't buy Samsung, they're too big, as far as I know.
01:14:50
◼
►
But do you think that, you know, the news came out today also that Google has apparently
01:14:58
◼
►
pressured Samsung to stop doing their incredibly different interface on their tablets that
01:15:03
◼
►
they were working on, and possibly on their phones as well.
01:15:07
◼
►
I don't know all the details of it.
01:15:08
◼
►
But clearly Google is pressuring Samsung to work more closely with them.
01:15:17
◼
►
What if getting Motorola out of the way, besides being financially wise because they kept losing
01:15:23
◼
►
even more money on it every year that they kept it, what if that helped that too?
01:15:27
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►
I don't know.
01:15:28
◼
►
It sounds like a stretch, but you never know.
01:15:31
◼
►
Honestly, all of this makes me think that the way they bought Motorola out of the blue
01:15:37
◼
►
and then spent way too much on it. Even back then, everyone said that was way too much.
01:15:42
◼
►
Supposedly it was maybe for patents, but the patents turned out to not really be worth anything.
01:15:48
◼
►
**Matt Stauffer** I think the patents are worth something,
01:15:51
◼
►
not the crazy billion dollar numbers they're giving there, but they're definitely worth
01:15:54
◼
►
something. They're not worth it in that you're going to be able to sue everybody else for
01:15:58
◼
►
violating your patents, but I think having that big staple, it's like it sows enough uncertainty
01:16:03
◼
►
in the people who are going to come at you with their stupid patents. They're like, "Well,
01:16:07
◼
►
We have a lot of stupid patents too, and you're not sure and maybe the few they've used have lost in court
01:16:12
◼
►
But it's a hell of a lot of patents, and they're really stupid
01:16:15
◼
►
So I think it serves its purchase as as the mutually assured destruction sort of black bag of crap
01:16:21
◼
►
You know that massive massively overpaid for that, but it's it's better than not having it at all
01:16:29
◼
►
You know so I don't know and as for like the pressuring like Samsung saying all right
01:16:34
◼
►
"Oh, if you want us to do more stock Android appearance, you need to get rid of that Motorola."
01:16:38
◼
►
I don't think Samsung was threatened by Motorola selling the piddling number of crappy phones
01:16:42
◼
►
that they were selling, and I don't think Samsung was in a position to bargain like
01:16:46
◼
►
At least they shouldn't have been.
01:16:47
◼
►
If they made that threat and Google believed it and acted based on that threat being an
01:16:52
◼
►
actual thing they should be scared of, that was stupid, because that's an insane threat.
01:16:57
◼
►
The threat would be basically, "We'll do your default Android appearance thing, but you
01:17:03
◼
►
have to do this thing for us." And Google will say, "Why do we have to do that thing
01:17:06
◼
►
for you?" Well, if you don't, we're not going to make our phones use the stock Google appearance.
01:17:12
◼
►
And we don't need your stinkin' maps, and we don't need your stinkin' Gmail. We'll do
01:17:15
◼
►
everything ourselves, and Google should have said, "Okay, good luck with that." Because
01:17:18
◼
►
I don't think Samsung is in a position—I mean, Apple was barely in a position to not
01:17:23
◼
►
use Google Maps. I'm not sure Samsung is in a position to do away with all the things
01:17:28
◼
►
that Google gives them. They're an Android vendor, for crying out loud. You know, it's
01:17:31
◼
►
hard. They could do like the Kindle route where you're like Amazon's like we don't
01:17:35
◼
►
really need anything from you Google except for your OS thanks. I don't think
01:17:39
◼
►
that's a viable strategy for Samsung. It's possible that Samsung is diluted
01:17:43
◼
►
enough that they think that's a viable strategy for them that they don't need
01:17:45
◼
►
we don't need you Google any second we could go off on our own and we'll be
01:17:48
◼
►
just as successful without you. I think that strategy would work for like a year
01:17:52
◼
►
and then Samsung would realize they're not Google. So I'm not sure but I hope
01:17:56
◼
►
Google didn't give any credence to that but I think getting rid of Motorola is
01:18:00
◼
►
the right move, because if you're not going to use Motorola as your hardware wing and
01:18:03
◼
►
become like an Apple-style, like we make the hardware and the software, if you're not going
01:18:06
◼
►
to do that, what the hell point is there in having a phone maker?
01:18:08
◼
►
All it's going to do is make your relationships with all the people you license your OS to
01:18:12
◼
►
more fraught with angst than it needs to be.
01:18:16
◼
►
And yeah, you pay $12.5 billion for it, but cut your losses.
01:18:20
◼
►
So who has the real leverage between Samsung and Google?
01:18:24
◼
►
Do you still think it's Google?
01:18:25
◼
►
And I ask because it seems to me like most of the phones that I see that are Android
01:18:31
◼
►
phones—and I won't even wager guesses to the percentage—but it seems like well
01:18:36
◼
►
over half are Samsung phones.
01:18:39
◼
►
So is Google getting to the point that they're getting beholden to Samsung?
01:18:43
◼
►
I mean, what you just said made me think no, but do you think so?
01:18:47
◼
►
No, because Samsung is making all the money in the Android market, and Google hates that.
01:18:53
◼
►
not beholden to Google. They just want Samsung. They just want to, A, Google needs to figure
01:18:57
◼
►
out a way to make money from Android. And B, the power of Samsung is making that more difficult.
01:19:03
◼
►
They're making the money. And so that's Google leaning on them to say you have to have a more
01:19:06
◼
►
of a default Android experience is them trying to say what we want is an undifferentiated sea of
01:19:12
◼
►
people shipping on our OS on commodity hardware. They want to go back in time and pretend like
01:19:17
◼
►
they're Microsoft and selling Windows to every PC vendor. And Samsung doesn't want to be every
01:19:21
◼
►
PC vanger they want to differentiate but it's not as if Samsung like if Google's already not making most of the money in the Android ecosystem
01:19:28
◼
►
What is Samsung taking away sometimes already reaping all the profits from Android right there are they've already done that to Google
01:19:34
◼
►
So I don't see how Samsung has any leverage over Google say well
01:19:38
◼
►
We'll just change everything to Windows phone and stop using Android like fine
01:19:41
◼
►
We weren't making any money off you use an Android anyway, so it's sure their their relationship is not
01:19:47
◼
►
they're not two happy campers next to each other and I
01:19:51
◼
►
I don't know, Google at least has a stop gap of like,
01:19:54
◼
►
well, this whole Android thing was silly,
01:19:56
◼
►
we're gonna switch to Chrome OS for everything.
01:19:58
◼
►
- Yeah, I think it's even, you can look at the relationship
01:20:04
◼
►
between Apple and Samsung, not with the lawsuits and stuff,
01:20:07
◼
►
but just with the hardware manufacturing deals
01:20:10
◼
►
that they have where Apple still needs Samsung
01:20:14
◼
►
for so much of their component manufacturing,
01:20:17
◼
►
especially the more complicated processors and stuff.
01:20:20
◼
►
and it doesn't look like they're gonna stop needing Samsung
01:20:25
◼
►
in the next few years.
01:20:26
◼
►
Maybe they'll slowly work towards that
01:20:29
◼
►
by bringing up different fabs and stuff,
01:20:30
◼
►
but they're gonna keep using Samsung
01:20:33
◼
►
as a manufacturing partner for a while,
01:20:37
◼
►
or a component partner for a while.
01:20:39
◼
►
And so Samsung and Apple, you could tell
01:20:42
◼
►
they don't really like each other,
01:20:43
◼
►
but they keep working together
01:20:45
◼
►
because Samsung will take the money
01:20:46
◼
►
'cause it's a lot of money,
01:20:48
◼
►
and Apple needs their capacity and their chip manufacturing.
01:20:52
◼
►
So I think similarly, Google and Samsung
01:20:56
◼
►
kind of need each other too.
01:20:58
◼
►
By having Android, Samsung is making a killing.
01:21:04
◼
►
And Samsung, personality-wise,
01:21:07
◼
►
it's pretty hard to get a read on them in much detail,
01:21:09
◼
►
but it does seem like, personality-wise,
01:21:12
◼
►
they're not like a stubborn, principled company.
01:21:15
◼
►
If there's a way to make money doing something,
01:21:19
◼
►
they're just gonna do it.
01:21:19
◼
►
They don't really care what it is.
01:21:21
◼
►
They're not gonna hold a grudge against Google
01:21:23
◼
►
and say, "Oh, well, you're kicking us around,
01:21:25
◼
►
"so we're gonna stop using Android."
01:21:27
◼
►
No, they won't.
01:21:27
◼
►
They might make their own additional line of phones
01:21:30
◼
►
with something else on it,
01:21:31
◼
►
but they're not gonna stop selling Android phones.
01:21:32
◼
►
They don't care.
01:21:33
◼
►
If they can make money selling Android phones,
01:21:35
◼
►
they'll keep selling Android phones,
01:21:36
◼
►
and they'll keep making a lot of money.
01:21:38
◼
►
And Google needs them because,
01:21:40
◼
►
yeah, like as you said,
01:21:41
◼
►
there's not really a lot of other people
01:21:43
◼
►
making Android stuff that serves Google well. Amazon is selling a good amount of it, but
01:21:48
◼
►
that's not really helping Google very much. And there's other manufacturers, mostly regional
01:21:53
◼
►
ones, like in China and India, there's manufacturers that also make a ton of Android stuff, but
01:21:57
◼
►
that doesn't help Google very much because it doesn't run a lot of their services or
01:21:59
◼
►
any of their services. So Samsung is probably the only company making a good amount of Google
01:22:08
◼
►
service connected Android things and actually selling them worldwide. And so, you know,
01:22:14
◼
►
they kind of can't afford to have animosity toward each other. You know, like, I think
01:22:18
◼
►
you're right. Google wanted, with Android, I think they expected there be all these manufacturers
01:22:22
◼
►
with a diverse ecosystem providing healthy competition. And in reality, everyone else
01:22:27
◼
►
has died because Samsung was really good at it and everyone else was really bad at it.
01:22:33
◼
►
And so it totally is dysfunctional to have one giant manufacturer making the majority
01:22:40
◼
►
of your stuff.
01:22:41
◼
►
Well, and not just the number of manufacturers.
01:22:44
◼
►
They expected, "Well, we're going to make the software part, and the margins on software
01:22:47
◼
►
are massive, so we're going to make huge margins on the software we sell, and those poor suckers
01:22:52
◼
►
making the hardware are going to make tiny little hardware margins."
01:22:54
◼
►
Where as it turns out, Samsung's making the bulk of the profit in what you would define
01:22:59
◼
►
is the Android market because they make way more profit on the phones they sell than Google
01:23:03
◼
►
makes on the licensing of the OS to Samsung. And so that's the imbalance there. The vast
01:23:10
◼
►
majority of the money in the Android ecosystem is being made by a hardware manufacturer,
01:23:14
◼
►
and Google's got to be like, "But doesn't software have higher margins? How are we not
01:23:17
◼
►
making money?" And so I think Google's trying to go back to its bread and butter and saying,
01:23:21
◼
►
"It seems like no matter who's out there, even if there were 15 hardware makers, the
01:23:26
◼
►
accumulated profit made by those 15 hardware makers that evenly divided the
01:23:29
◼
►
market would still dwarf the license fees that we get. It doesn't seem like
01:23:33
◼
►
that we're gonna make money, you know, because they get the magic of like
01:23:38
◼
►
subsidized phones in the US and getting all that money for giving you a
01:23:41
◼
►
subscriber for a long period of time and the hardware itself has reasonable
01:23:44
◼
►
margins and they're not making enough money off Android itself. So I think they
01:23:48
◼
►
want to go back to their old style which is, alright, we're gonna make money by
01:23:52
◼
►
people using Google services. And that's why they switched to, "Never mind all the
01:23:56
◼
►
profit stuff, let's just make sure that the people who are selling Android phones
01:23:59
◼
►
continue to, they continue to be a gateway to get people into our Google
01:24:04
◼
►
services so we can show them our Google ads and get information about them in
01:24:07
◼
►
Google+ and all the googly things we do." I think we're done. Thanks to our three
01:24:14
◼
►
sponsors this week, Help Spot, Squarespace, and Cards Against Humanity, and we'll see
01:24:19
◼
►
See you next week.
01:24:26
◼
►
to begin, cause it was accidental. Oh it was accidental. John didn't do any research, Marco
01:24:33
◼
►
and Casey wouldn't let him, cause it was accidental. Oh it was accidental. And you can find the
01:24:42
◼
►
show notes at ATP.fm. And if you're into Twitter, you can follow them at c-a-s-e-y-t-e-s.
01:24:51
◼
►
You can follow them at C-A-S-E-Y-L-I-S-S
01:24:57
◼
►
So that's Kasey Liss M-A-R-C-O-A-R-M
01:25:02
◼
►
Auntie Marco Arment S-I-R-A-C
01:25:07
◼
►
USA, Syracuse
01:25:09
◼
►
It's accidental (It's accidental)
01:25:12
◼
►
They didn't mean to accidental (Accidental)
01:25:17
◼
►
Tech podcast so long
01:25:23
◼
►
Seem to recall maybe hearing about this somewhere on the internet
01:25:26
◼
►
It might have been a pocketful some people saying oh, we'll get the email about this people in the show
01:25:30
◼
►
People who preferred to play a first-person shooters for the trackpad instead of a mouse
01:25:34
◼
►
What what that's the same reaction to have the people who prefer to play first-person shooters with a thumbstick instead of a mouse
01:25:40
◼
►
But that's a whole other thing
01:25:41
◼
►
But I pretty sure I've heard at least one person who preferred playing first-person shooters with a trackpad
01:25:45
◼
►
It's just like people who grow up with trackpads. I don't there's something wrong with them
01:25:50
◼
►
I don't know.
01:25:52
◼
►
Kids these days with their input methods.
01:25:54
◼
►
No, but like, it would be fine if it was actually better.
01:25:57
◼
►
Like, if you could make a challenge where there was like a series of dots on the screen
01:26:02
◼
►
and they would, you know, you ever see those challenges where a dot will appear in a random location,
01:26:05
◼
►
you have to click on it and as soon as you click on it, another dot appears?
01:26:07
◼
►
There are objective ways to measure how efficient you are with your input device.
01:26:12
◼
►
And go ahead, trackpad people. Bring it on against the mouse person.
01:26:17
◼
►
with first person shooters. Auto-aim has bred an entire generation of people who think that
01:26:21
◼
►
they're better with a thumbstick than with a mouse, when in reality it's the game drawing
01:26:25
◼
►
their fire to the enemy because they happen to be somewhere near where they are.
01:26:31
◼
►
Paraps is swearing in the chat that he or she is much better with a trackpad, which
01:26:35
◼
►
means he or she is crazy. Or using auto-aim and not realizing it, or
01:26:39
◼
►
not wanting to admit it. If you're playing with a PC game, a Mac game,
01:26:44
◼
►
It doesn't know you're using a trackpad.
01:26:46
◼
►
I don't think it's auto-aiming because you're using a trackpad.
01:26:48
◼
►
Maybe just people don't know how to use a mouse?
01:26:50
◼
►
I don't know.
01:26:52
◼
►
Maybe it's like grade inflation.
01:26:54
◼
►
You want to just make everyone feel better, like they did better, even though they still
01:26:59
◼
►
And they're like, "Oh, well, hey, you hit him.
01:27:00
◼
►
We'll call that a hit.
01:27:02
◼
►
Everyone's a winner here.
01:27:06
◼
►
One thing we should talk about at some point is what will we reflect on in 20 or 30 years
01:27:12
◼
►
as being the clear sore spot in computers today.
01:27:17
◼
►
And before--
01:27:18
◼
►
- Spinning disks.
01:27:19
◼
►
- I was gonna say exactly that.
01:27:20
◼
►
So let's assume that spinning disks are already in the past
01:27:25
◼
►
and we can't use that as an answer.
01:27:26
◼
►
What would it be?
01:27:28
◼
►
Because we all have gigs and gigs and gigs of RAM.
01:27:32
◼
►
We generally speaking have big enough hard drives
01:27:35
◼
►
that you could make an argument
01:27:36
◼
►
that the SSDs being considerably smaller
01:27:39
◼
►
because they're much too expensive otherwise.
01:27:41
◼
►
I would allow that as an answer, but if not those, then what?
01:27:46
◼
►
What's the bottleneck?
01:27:47
◼
►
- Non-retinous screens, or are you gonna also put that in the past?
01:27:50
◼
►
- No, I would allow that.
01:27:51
◼
►
I think that would be fair.
01:27:53
◼
►
- I would say having very short laptop battery lives, because that, depending on what time
01:27:58
◼
►
you're talking about it, if we're talking about this year, then maybe not, but even
01:28:03
◼
►
just three years ago, in that era where almost everyone at that point was buying laptops
01:28:09
◼
►
if they were a normal person. Hardly anybody bought desktops even as of five years ago.
01:28:15
◼
►
So laptops really took over in the last decade so strongly. But they weren't very good. So
01:28:22
◼
►
I think having laptops being very hot and with short battery lives and maybe big and
01:28:27
◼
►
heavy also, but that fixed itself towards the end of the decade, I think that might
01:28:33
◼
►
be it. Because remember, we're talking about moving from desktops in the 90s to laptops
01:28:38
◼
►
in the 2000s.
01:28:40
◼
►
If you're already fast-forwarding us past SSDs and Retina screens, which I think is
01:28:43
◼
►
kind of fair, because if you just start from the best of modern computers and say that's
01:28:47
◼
►
the status quo going forward, like a baby is born and they never see a spinning disk
01:28:50
◼
►
or whatever, that's not what they're going to ding us for.
01:28:52
◼
►
So I think the babies born today will probably ding us for phones that break when you drop
01:28:57
◼
►
them if we're lucky.
01:28:58
◼
►
Ooh, good call.
01:29:00
◼
►
I mean, that's a tough call because you're not sure if there's going to be material science
01:29:03
◼
►
breakthroughs that lead to that.
01:29:05
◼
►
But all of us now know that you drop your phone on cement and you're like, "Maybe it's
01:29:09
◼
►
going to break, maybe it's not, maybe it'll just get dinged."
01:29:11
◼
►
But it's weird.
01:29:15
◼
►
If there's a material science breakthrough that allows that not to be something we have
01:29:17
◼
►
to worry about so much, it will look ridiculous that we have these things that were so fragile
01:29:22
◼
►
that cost so much money that we carry around with us and it's like, "Well, if you dropped
01:29:25
◼
►
it on cement, it was over."
01:29:26
◼
►
It's like saying to someone today, "If you drop your keys on cement when you're fumbling
01:29:30
◼
►
with them to get into your car, never mind that it won't need keys to get into cars in
01:29:34
◼
►
that way because they'll all be Marcos' proximity key. But anyway, the idea that if you drop
01:29:39
◼
►
your keys on the ground, your keys are still fine, right? Well, our phones, if you drop
01:29:43
◼
►
them on the ground, they're not fine anymore. And I feel like it's possible in our lifetime
01:29:46
◼
►
that it could be a material science breakthrough that makes that seem ridiculous.
01:29:49
◼
►
And the same way that there could be a battery breakthrough.
01:29:53
◼
►
And that also is worth pointing out too that, you know, we, in the same ways that like it's
01:29:58
◼
►
kind of irrelevant to us what happens with mainframes these days. I think our kids are
01:30:04
◼
►
not going to really care what computers were like in today's era. They're going to be talking
01:30:10
◼
►
about what mobile phones were like in today's era.
01:30:12
◼
►
And so from that point of view, maybe battery life is the thing. Because battery life on
01:30:17
◼
►
laptops, as we said earlier, is getting pretty solid to the point where most people don't
01:30:23
◼
►
really run into issues that often anymore with the newest models. And that's probably
01:30:27
◼
►
going to keep going in that direction. Whereas with phones, it seems like we're kind of at
01:30:31
◼
►
this standstill where the industry is still so competitive with moving the hardware forward,
01:30:35
◼
►
making everything more powerful, making the screens bigger and brighter and higher density
01:30:39
◼
►
and all this stuff. So we're kind of at battery stagnation where, and sometimes it even gets
01:30:44
◼
►
worse, where as everything gets more complicated and more advanced and more powerful and bigger,
01:30:51
◼
►
we're still getting about a day of casual use and less than a day of heavy use. And
01:30:57
◼
►
we've kind of been there for a while now. Hopefully by the time our kids, at least my
01:31:02
◼
►
kid by the time he's old enough to care, John your kids probably already care, but by the
01:31:06
◼
►
time my kid's old enough to care, maybe having a multiple day battery life on a phone will
01:31:12
◼
►
be the common case.
01:31:14
◼
►
John: Phone batteries are tough because you have to transmit. That's the killer I think
01:31:19
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on phones. Like you can make the phone consume zero energy for its screen and CPU. You have
01:31:25
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to transmit so that some tower, I guess, you know, if they come up with whatever a successor
01:31:30
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to LTE is able to use even less power, but I worry that that's the limiting factor.
01:31:35
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It's like you are a physical distance and you must send, unless we have quantum entanglement,
01:31:40
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where we can just, you know, convey information without transmitting radio waves.
01:31:45
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Well, but look at how cell phones progressed over time.
01:31:48
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Over time, cell phone towers have gotten more dense, so you have to transmit less distance.
01:31:53
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have gotten more crowded and noisy as well, it's a separate issue, but they've gotten
01:31:56
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closer to you most of the time, and we've switched to lower power and faster protocols.
01:32:02
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The old analog phones had to use a ton of power to reach some tower that was 30 miles
01:32:06
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away because there weren't a whole lot of them. These days we have these nice fast digital
01:32:10
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networks that are much, much lower power on the transmit side, and as the networks get
01:32:14
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faster it's like the race to sleep thing on CPUs. You can keep the radio on for a shorter
01:32:20
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time, transmit more data, and then be done and go back into sleep.
01:32:23
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Yeah, but what I'm thinking of it
01:32:24
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is that eventually it will become the limiting factor,
01:32:27
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because the other parts can progress
01:32:29
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at sort of the pace of technology,
01:32:31
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but the radio parts can only progress
01:32:34
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at the rate of infrastructure.
01:32:36
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Like how long does it take to build out new towers,
01:32:38
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to convert the networks, to do all that?
01:32:40
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That moves so much more slowly.
01:32:41
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And if current trends continue, that
01:32:44
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will become the dominant factor in power use.
01:32:46
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Whereas right now, it's not the dominant factor.
01:32:48
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The dominant factor now is if you
01:32:49
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have some app that's running in the background all the time,
01:32:50
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it will kill your phone before it gets a chance
01:32:52
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to waste all its energy on cell phone,
01:32:54
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talking to cell phone towers to get data.
01:32:56
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But I think by the time our kids are up,
01:33:00
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that especially given the way the glacial-pasted
01:33:04
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infrastructure changes over in the US,
01:33:06
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that talking to the cell network will be the dominant power
01:33:10
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source, if we're lucky, I guess.
01:33:11
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►
I mean, I guess they could continue
01:33:13
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to do what you were just saying, which is like, well,
01:33:15
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they never spend their energy on better battery life.
01:33:18
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►
They always spend it on better features and CPU speed
01:33:21
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►
stuff and just maintain parity in battery life.
01:33:23
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►
And thinking about that with my dumb phone, I almost think that multi-day battery life
01:33:28
◼
►
is a little bit of a curse as well as a blessing, because I forget to charge my phone, because
01:33:33
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►
it lasts like six and a half days on a charge, right?
01:33:37
◼
►
And if you have to charge your phone every day, if you have 18 or 20 hour battery life,
01:33:42
◼
►
you're probably okay, but once you get like 50 hour battery life, now you forget to charge
01:33:46
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►
Yeah, that's true, actually. That's how I was with Kindles when I used them more,
01:33:52
◼
►
Eint Kindles, is like, I would not charge my Kindle ever. And most of the time it wasn't
01:33:57
◼
►
a problem. One day of every two months, maybe, I'd go to read and I couldn't because it
01:34:02
◼
►
was dead. So I'd plug it in. And then I wouldn't care for two more months.
01:34:05
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►
Yeah. I mean, that's the extreme case. I think that is acceptable. But with my phone,
01:34:09
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►
my wife was always complaining because my phone's not charged. And why is it not charged?
01:34:12
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►
Because there's no--I don't need to charge it every day or every other day, every three
01:34:15
◼
►
It's like, seriously, maybe once a week I need to charge it, but I need to remember,
01:34:19
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►
"Oh, you know, it's not once a week, it's like every five and a half days or something."
01:34:25
◼
►
I don't know, it's interesting to me trying to pick out what is the obvious downfall of
01:34:33
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►
stuff today.
01:34:34
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►
And the other thing that we haven't really mentioned that I wonder is, will home broadband
01:34:38
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still be a thing?
01:34:40
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►
And I'm not sure.
01:34:43
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►
Because if you think about it, as I've said numerous times on this show, LTE, even in
01:34:49
◼
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reasonable speeds, is quicker than my broadband at home five years ago.
01:34:53
◼
►
Granted, five years is a long time, but LTE at burst, ridiculously awesome speeds, is
01:35:01
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►
almost as quick, if not in some rare cases as quick as my beloved Fios today.
01:35:06
◼
►
And granted, Marco, you have the Super Baller Fios, but for us regular humans, it's almost
01:35:11
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►
on par. And if it wasn't for bandwidth limits, then there's an argument that maybe we wouldn't
01:35:19
◼
►
need home internet. And I keep thinking back to like AOL and back when, back when you would
01:35:25
◼
►
have a limited amount of minutes, you actually you were talking about this on the talk show
01:35:28
◼
►
when you had a limited amount of minutes, and it was like $3,000 a minute to be online.
01:35:33
◼
►
And then eventually everything became unlimited, because even ISPs had that if memory serves,
01:35:37
◼
►
or a lot of ISPs took that approach of it's timed, and you only get so much time a month
01:35:41
◼
►
and so on. But eventually it was a race to, I don't know if the bottom is the right way
01:35:45
◼
►
of phrasing it, but it was a race to unlimited. And I wonder if the cell phone companies will
01:35:52
◼
►
eventually race to unlimited. It's kind of like what Sprint is supposedly doing. And
01:35:57
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►
I don't know, I mean, there are places where that won't work, of course, where you're in
01:36:01
◼
►
the middle of nowhere. But actually, I have some friends at work that do live in the middle
01:36:06
◼
►
of nowhere, and the quickest internet they can get is a Verizon MiFi, or perhaps just
01:36:12
◼
►
make their phone a hotspot, because the only other option they have is DSL. So sometimes,
01:36:18
◼
►
in some certain circumstances, being in the middle of nowhere, that makes broadband—or
01:36:23
◼
►
I'm sorry—cellular internet the best option.
01:36:27
◼
►
I think that's in the even more distant future, because anyone who writes a sci-fi
01:36:31
◼
►
book doesn't involve wires going to people's houses. The sci-fi book, like the super-fast
01:36:36
◼
►
network that connects all the computers on the super advanced planet is always wireless,
01:36:41
◼
►
And I think the main thing that will make that happen for us is the inability of us
01:36:46
◼
►
to do infrastructure projects in this country in a reasonable amount of time.
01:36:49
◼
►
Because running wires to everybody's house, it seems beyond the capabilities of any private
01:36:54
◼
►
company or government or the combination thereof, because it's some big combination of eminent
01:36:58
◼
►
domain for the wires and the people owning the existing things and stuff like that.
01:37:02
◼
►
So given that incredible screwed-up-edness, it's ripe for someone for wireless to get
01:37:08
◼
►
good enough and say, "We don't need to do that stuff.
01:37:10
◼
►
We don't need to dig trenches and run wires and deal with the government and stuff.
01:37:14
◼
►
We just need to—I guess they still need to deal with the government for the spectrum."
01:37:17
◼
►
But assuming they can make use of the spectrum that's already available, that they already
01:37:19
◼
►
have, that's definitely ready for it to happen.
01:37:24
◼
►
And it seems more sci-fi-like.
01:37:25
◼
►
But I think if it wasn't for our complete inability to run wires to people's houses
01:37:30
◼
►
in a reasonable fashion, that the wired would still maintain its hold because as fast as
01:37:36
◼
►
wireless is ever going to get, again unless you go with some crazy quantum entanglement,
01:37:40
◼
►
you know, super advanced sci-fi thing, if you have the technology to do that, think
01:37:45
◼
►
of the technology you have for the wireless.
01:37:48
◼
►
And even though you can't think of a use for 100 times faster than LTE now or a thousand
01:37:53
◼
►
times faster, if you had it, you would come up with the uses for it.
01:37:57
◼
►
not going to be 8K television. Who knows? It'd be like holograms or neural imprint.
01:38:01
◼
►
We're talking far future or whatever. So, you know, maybe. I think wireless is inevitable
01:38:08
◼
►
for us because of our inability to run wires, but I think if, you know, if everything was
01:38:13
◼
►
on an even keel and you could get the wires to people's houses, that would continue to
01:38:17
◼
►
be a thing just because it's so much more capable.
01:38:20
◼
►
Well, but wireless has a pretty big problem where it has the ceiling at which it slams
01:38:27
◼
►
into limitations of spectrum and space and density. Where wires, like wires can run in
01:38:36
◼
►
a very, very dense area, in a very dense arrangement and doesn't really affect them. It doesn't
01:38:41
◼
►
really matter that much. You know, they have some challenges at some of the big, you know,
01:38:45
◼
►
bottleneck piping points of the backhaul,
01:38:48
◼
►
but not major problems.
01:38:50
◼
►
And most of the time that can also be solved
01:38:51
◼
►
by just running more wires.
01:38:53
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►
Whereas if you're in like a dense city area
01:38:55
◼
►
and the radio spectrum is just jammed full
01:38:59
◼
►
and it's still not enough capacity
01:39:02
◼
►
and there's no more spectrum to be had
01:39:04
◼
►
that's available in the area for a while or ever,
01:39:08
◼
►
that's a problem.
01:39:09
◼
►
You hit this hard ceiling with wireless.
01:39:12
◼
►
- Well, but wireless is a wired system.
01:39:14
◼
►
In cities, wireless is a wired system.
01:39:16
◼
►
All you're getting rid of is that Latin, the last mile,
01:39:18
◼
►
they call it, but in an apartment building,
01:39:20
◼
►
it's that last 200 feet.
01:39:21
◼
►
Because your cell tower could be connected by a fiber optic
01:39:26
◼
►
cable to some backbone or whatever.
01:39:28
◼
►
It's just that your house isn't connected to the cell tower
01:39:31
◼
►
by any kind of cable.
01:39:32
◼
►
You connect to the cell tower.
01:39:34
◼
►
You know what I mean?
01:39:35
◼
►
Especially in cities, where your building
01:39:36
◼
►
would have some kind of cell tower in it,
01:39:39
◼
►
but your building would be wired to the backbone.
01:39:42
◼
►
So it's just getting rid of that last mile.
01:39:45
◼
►
But what it means is that you don't have to have some wire
01:39:47
◼
►
to your house that you pay for,
01:39:48
◼
►
that you're paying for this amorphous service
01:39:50
◼
►
that exists everywhere in the air.
01:39:52
◼
►
I think that's what Casey's getting at.
01:39:53
◼
►
Like when he says, broadband goes away,
01:39:55
◼
►
you mean a thing I pay for that goes to my house.
01:39:58
◼
►
Instead, you're just going to pay for access to the air
01:40:01
◼
►
over the entire country,
01:40:02
◼
►
and you're not paying for that one wired house.
01:40:04
◼
►
But the wires are all still gonna be there.
01:40:06
◼
►
It's just a question of how dense can you get the towers
01:40:07
◼
►
and stuff like that.
01:40:08
◼
►
And what Marco was saying about the limitations,
01:40:10
◼
►
That's why having a wire going to your house, and not a wire, but like a fiber optic thing or whatever,
01:40:14
◼
►
it's always going to win. Like, it's, you know, it's better to not have to send signals through
01:40:19
◼
►
the air, right? It's much, you'll have much more capacity there. Just the question is,
01:40:23
◼
►
you know, is the difficulty of running those wires to people's houses good to make it so that
01:40:28
◼
►
wireless just comes in and, you know, disrupts them old fashioned disruption? Like,
01:40:32
◼
►
while you guys are busy over there arguing about cable packages and fiber optic and last mile crap,
01:40:36
◼
►
we're just going to offer this for everybody for free. They're already paying for it. And
01:40:39
◼
►
to say, "Hey, it's good enough to be your broadband. Ditch everything," and we went.
01:40:43
◼
►
Yeah, I mean, I think it matters more in rural areas where you already have issues getting
01:40:50
◼
►
high-speed cable and high-speed DSL and certainly fiber is out of the question in rural areas
01:40:55
◼
►
where wireless covers them way more easily by area. So it's going to be, I think, a lot
01:41:01
◼
►
like having well water from the city pump to you versus having to pump your own water
01:41:07
◼
►
or having natural gas pipeline to your house rather than having to use liquid propane.
01:41:13
◼
►
There's going to be the city hookups, the main infrastructure hookups are probably always
01:41:18
◼
►
going to be better if you can get them. But the advantage is that you don't have to get
01:41:22
◼
►
them in a lot of places. And wireless has started covering rural areas much more slowly
01:41:29
◼
►
than cities, but it's covering them more slowly than you can get LTE in Manhattan, but a lot
01:41:36
◼
►
faster than you can get Fios in the rural areas, you know?
01:41:40
◼
►
Yeah. Although I want to go back a step. You know, John, you had made mention that there
01:41:44
◼
►
will be some new thing like 4K TV or maybe even holograms that will necessitate a really
01:41:51
◼
►
fat pipe coming into your house. But I don't know. I mean, I remember vividly trying to
01:41:56
◼
►
download an MP3 from some weirdo FTP site that was surely installing a thousand viruses
01:42:03
◼
►
on my Windows PC. And I remember doing this over dial-up and thinking to myself, I can tell,
01:42:09
◼
►
even as a teenager at the time, I can tell that this is not going to be as painful in the future.
01:42:14
◼
►
And then once it got to the point that I could download an MP3 with some modicum of a quickness,
01:42:20
◼
►
then I would try to download a video and I could tell, you know what, this is going to get a lot
01:42:26
◼
►
better in the future. And I think that maybe you're right, that maybe there'll be a hologram or
01:42:32
◼
►
or something like that.
01:42:33
◼
►
But I don't know.
01:42:35
◼
►
I was saying that that's silly.
01:42:36
◼
►
Like, it's not going to be like, you know, increasingly high-resolution video.
01:42:39
◼
►
That's a silly extrapolation of what we have now.
01:42:42
◼
►
But if you want to take something that we have now that will get worse in the future,
01:42:46
◼
►
that already needs more capacity, as we talk about it all the time, it's backups.
01:42:50
◼
►
And not from a backup perspective, but just like if you produce all this digital content
01:42:54
◼
►
in your life, those video you create, the pictures you take, that's only going to get
01:42:58
◼
►
bigger up to a point, you know, because it's the point where getting you're taking 4k videos
01:43:02
◼
►
in your cell phone, it probably doesn't need to be much better than that, maybe twice as
01:43:05
◼
►
good or whatever. But over a lifetime, you will build up a lot of that. And I still think
01:43:10
◼
►
it's ridiculous to make people accept that that that stuff could go away at any time,
01:43:15
◼
►
and you don't really own it and it just disappears. So if there was some way to sort of like,
01:43:19
◼
►
again, I get back to the transporter ad, if, if there was sort of this series of little
01:43:23
◼
►
devices at home at work at all your friend's house, and your data could be pushed among
01:43:27
◼
►
it so that when your house burned down you know you wouldn't lose all your data.
01:43:30
◼
►
Like that's the ultimate extension of the internet.
01:43:32
◼
►
But to do that you need massive bandwidth between all these nodes.
01:43:36
◼
►
How is it feasible to move a lifetime worth of information amongst these nodes in real
01:43:41
◼
►
Like can I move video as fast as I can grab it on my phone?
01:43:44
◼
►
Of course you can't.
01:43:45
◼
►
Ah, but if you have these gigantic pipes going to and from your house, many interesting things
01:43:48
◼
►
are happening.
01:43:49
◼
►
That's why I think like we don't need 10,000 times the bandwidth we have.
01:43:52
◼
►
But if you go to someone, okay, picture that you have 10,000 times the bandwidth.
01:43:56
◼
►
Can you think of something you knew you can do with that?
01:43:58
◼
►
Those type of numbers, like water magnitude increases, open up things to the realm of
01:44:03
◼
►
possibility that were not even a twinkle in anyone's eye, but you're like, "Okay, boom,
01:44:07
◼
►
you have it.
01:44:08
◼
►
Now what can you do?"
01:44:09
◼
►
And, like, that's, you know, downloading video over the internet to watch movies and high
01:44:14
◼
►
If you had proposed that to someone in 1962, they would have probably thought of that.
01:44:17
◼
►
They would have said, "Wow, if I have that kind of bandwidth, I can send moving pictures
01:44:21
◼
►
And lo and behold, you can.
01:44:22
◼
►
And, like, how did we get from point A to point B?
01:44:23
◼
►
It's not like, "You need to build this network because we can send movies," and it's not
01:44:27
◼
►
like, "We need to send movies, you need to build this network."
01:44:29
◼
►
They kind of go hand in hand.
01:44:31
◼
►
But data backup and moving all your personal data amongst this big cloud, that would require
01:44:36
◼
►
massive bandwidth.
01:44:37
◼
►
We'll have to rethink cities.
01:44:41
◼
►
That to me is the best example.
01:44:42
◼
►
Yeah, and if we all had segues, that would be...
01:44:45
◼
►
I got that, Revens Margot.
01:44:47
◼
►
No, I think that makes the most sense.
01:44:48
◼
►
The backups makes the most sense because that's something that you're right.
01:44:52
◼
►
I can tell today that that's too slow and it shouldn't be that slow and it probably
01:44:58
◼
►
But we wouldn't call it backups.
01:44:59
◼
►
Like that would not be a backup.
01:45:01
◼
►
That would be the the up.
01:45:02
◼
►
There would be the it would be the up that we're backing, you know, like there is no
01:45:06
◼
►
It's just like, of course, of course, all our information is just there.
01:45:10
◼
►
And of course, it is redundant and separated and travels with us and synchronized between
01:45:15
◼
►
these things.
01:45:16
◼
►
And whether it's because we buy these little, you know, thumb sized transporter type things
01:45:19
◼
►
and spread them around or whether there's some sort of cloud storage solution that somebody
01:45:23
◼
►
does like this wad of data that we already make, we already each make this wad of data.
01:45:29
◼
►
It's too big for us to do anything with. We can barely have one primary location and then
01:45:33
◼
►
one backup that we put it to, let alone having it instantly synchronized everywhere. There's
01:45:37
◼
►
not enough bandwidth for that and we've talked about it many times before. And that's just
01:45:40
◼
►
with current generation video and current stuff. Algorithms will increase, but then
01:45:44
◼
►
I think sole resolution will increase a little bit more. And think of people who have a lifetime
01:45:49
◼
►
stuff versus people who started taking high def video in 2007? How about people who start
01:45:53
◼
►
taking high def video in 2007 and they're eight years old and they do it for their entire
01:45:57
◼
►
life? How much data are they going to have by the end of it? Maybe they don't want to
01:46:01
◼
►
keep it all, but it seems like you're going to want to keep some of it somehow.
01:46:04
◼
►
Yeah, that makes sense.
01:46:06
◼
►
Oh, and before we leave this topic, I want to get back to the easy one that none of us
01:46:09
◼
►
picked for Casey saying, "What's going to look weird to our kids?" The easy one that
01:46:13
◼
►
I don't know if it's not worth even mentioning is that of course all our crap is going to
01:46:16
◼
►
humongous and ridiculous. Like, of course it is. The same way when you look at, like,
01:46:20
◼
►
full-height hard drives or your full-height tower PC case or, like, even our Mac Pro cheese
01:46:25
◼
►
grater is eventually going to get used to these Mac Pros. Everything's going to look
01:46:28
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gigantic. It's like, "You carried this around?" Like, I have a Newton on my desk now. My Newton
01:46:32
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looks ridiculous next to my iPod Touch, right? Of course that's going to happen with everything.
01:46:36
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Laptops, phones...
01:46:37
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Well, will it?
01:46:39
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Yeah, I'm not so sure.
01:46:41
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Laptops and phones have both reached the point, and not even recently, they've both reached
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the point where they're pretty much like as small as they can be and still have the screen
01:46:53
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size that they have. And in the case of laptops, still have like the keyboard size that they
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have. Like they -- there's not a whole lot of room to make them a lot smaller and still
01:47:00
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keep those keyboards.
01:47:01
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John Wallis if your iPhone 5 looked exactly like it does,
01:47:04
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but it was the thickness and weight of a credit card, your current iPhone 5 would look ridiculous
01:47:08
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compared to it.
01:47:08
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John Wallis That's true. But we're talking about such
01:47:11
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a small scale. Like the differences are so much smaller. And some parts of computing
01:47:15
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have gotten bigger. I mean, look how small that original Mac looks. You know, it turns
01:47:20
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out things that are good to get bigger, we've gotten bigger.
01:47:22
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Well, it's like screen size. Like, even if you just look at the thickness of my 23-inch
01:47:26
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Apple Cinema Display in front of me now, compared to the thickness of an iMac, which has a whole
01:47:29
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computer behind it, that is thinner than my monitor. I mean, it doesn't have to be that
01:47:34
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big of a deal. If I compare my current iPod Touch to the first generation iPod Touch,
01:47:39
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that looks ridiculous. And the difference is like two millimeters. But you put it in
01:47:43
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your hand, you're like, "Oh, how did you ever use this iPod touch?" It's like, you know,
01:47:47
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twice the thickness of the, you know, it's not that big of a difference, but that tends to be
01:47:51
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glaring to people in retrospect, how big and thick and heavy things were.
01:47:54
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No, I think that's a good point. But I think that Marco's also right that in terms of
01:47:59
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width and height, I'm not sure that most devices are going to get that much smaller. I think you're
01:48:04
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absolutely right that in terms of depth, they will get smaller.
01:48:07
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I mean, look at the Newton message pad has a small, it's similar, probably similar screen
01:48:12
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size to an iPad mini, but way thicker and heavier. And so that's what stands out. It's not so much
01:48:16
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that like the width and height, it's different proportions than an iPad mini, but the area is
01:48:20
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similar. But it's because it's like a brick, then you feel like, oh, well, you know, it feels old.
01:48:26
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You know, and it's funny, this is a bit of a tangent, but from our tangent,
01:48:30
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I have a tangent of a tangent of a tangent. But on this show, yeah, exactly. I got for Christmas,
01:48:36
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the Apple leather case, a black one for my iPhone 5s.
01:48:41
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And I didn't typically, I had a bumper on my 4s
01:48:45
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for a long, long, long time.
01:48:47
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I probably, at least half the time I had the 4s.
01:48:49
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And I liked it, but I mean, it wasn't my favorite,
01:48:51
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but I didn't trust myself not to have a case at all,
01:48:53
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which I don't really argue is the better way to go.
01:48:56
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And I wanted to try the leather case for the 5s
01:48:59
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because I felt like it would be a really nice compromise.
01:49:03
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It didn't seem to add that much thickness
01:49:05
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And it seemed to be pretty nice.
01:49:08
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And I've had it since Christmas, like I said.
01:49:10
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And I actually really, really like it a lot.
01:49:13
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And it's the first real case I've ever had,
01:49:18
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not a bumper or anything like that.
01:49:20
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And I really, really, really like it.
01:49:21
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I got the black one.
01:49:22
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So as it fades, if it's faded, I can't tell.
01:49:26
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But it doesn't add that much thickness,
01:49:30
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which is what made me think of it.
01:49:31
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Or I don't feel like it adds that much thickness.
01:49:34
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having come from a 4S not that long ago,
01:49:37
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it doesn't add enough thickness to make it feel
01:49:39
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like it's ruined the phone.
01:49:40
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And I really, really like mine.
01:49:42
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I'm not saying that a case is right for you, Marco,
01:49:45
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and I know, John, you don't believe in iPhones for yourself,
01:49:47
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but I do really like it.
01:49:50
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- I often wonder why it seems, I mean, is it just me,
01:49:53
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and saying this as somebody who doesn't buy a lot of cases,
01:49:56
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is it just me or is there basically no competition
01:50:02
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for Apple's cases for the iPhone and iPad in how small and thin and light they tend
01:50:10
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to be and also how high quality they tend to feel and look. Like, it seems like every
01:50:16
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other case I've seen, there are high quality ones, but they're substantially bulkier.
01:50:22
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And all the ones that are super small and thin are like, you know, silicone crappy things
01:50:27
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that feels like crap and looks like crap.
01:50:30
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Marco, how quickly we forget the iPad One case.
01:50:33
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- Oh, yeah, that was a disaster.
01:50:35
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- Or the current like non-leather wrap around
01:50:38
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the back of the iPad cases, those are not good either.
01:50:41
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- I have one, and actually I don't particularly care
01:50:44
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for the one on the iPad Mini.
01:50:46
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In fact, I take it off quite often
01:50:48
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just while I'm using the iPad,
01:50:50
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because the damn magnet that holds it
01:50:53
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to the back of the iPad is nowhere near strong enough.
01:50:56
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I feel like, John, you've said this in the past,
01:50:58
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somebody has said this in the past, but--
01:50:59
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Having the cases be minimal, though, I'm not sure if there's much competition, for example,
01:51:04
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for the leather one.
01:51:05
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And I think a lot of that is because I think people like big—they want to feel like they're
01:51:10
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spending money on something like a big case.
01:51:12
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It seems like if you're going to get a case, you want to feel a case, and if you buy something
01:51:15
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and it's barely there, then you don't feel like you're getting anything.
01:51:18
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So maybe that's why in the third parties, they're more of a marketer.
01:51:21
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But I mean, remember, you've seen my iPod Touch case, right?
01:51:25
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And everyone who sees the iPod Touch case takes a double take to think, "Does this
01:51:29
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a case on it yet, or is this what the back of the iPod Touch is like? And it's just a
01:51:33
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run-of-the-mill Belkin plastic case. But because the iPod Touch is so incredibly thin, with
01:51:39
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the case on, it feels almost like there's no case there. And it's very tightly fitting,
01:51:44
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and it's not made of some loosey-goosey material and stretchy around the edges and everything,
01:51:50
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and the buttons line up with all the things and feel nice when you're pressing them. In
01:51:54
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that way, like the leather case. It made me think of, as my wife's got, the red leather
01:51:57
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case for 5S. In the same way where you're like, well, you're pushing buttons through the case or
01:52:01
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whatever, it can be done well, reasonably well. And I think there are case makers who do sort of
01:52:06
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compete in that realm, if only on the iPod touch in this case, but I bet there's something out
01:52:10
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there for the 5S as well. But mostly when I see people with cases, they are comical and huge and
01:52:15
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people love them. People love them. Although I will say very quickly, the Achilles heel of this
01:52:20
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case is absolutely the lock button. The lock button feels considerably more mushy than it
01:52:26
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did when it was caseless. You mean the silent, the ring silent button? Yeah, the one at the
01:52:31
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top. The sleep/wake button. Whatever. It feels a lot mushier. And I was told, and I think
01:52:39
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it's true, that it would get better over time, and it has gotten somewhat better over the
01:52:43
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last month or so, but it's still not as crisp as I would like. You mean the power button?
01:52:48
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The sleep/wake button. Whatever. The one on the top. The one on the top. I'm thinking
01:52:54
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Speaking of the one on the side, they have a cutout for it.
01:52:57
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You stick your fingernail in there and you switch it to ring.
01:53:00
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That's what I was talking about.
01:53:01
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That one is actually, they don't cover up, because I guess they couldn't.
01:53:03
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It wouldn't make any sense.
01:53:04
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But yeah, the squishiness of the button on top, you're right.
01:53:07
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In that case, I think my cheap Belkin case from iPod feels better, because it's more
01:53:11
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of a positive kind of click, because it's a material with less squishiness than leather.
01:53:16
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Leather itself is going to give, so it's harder for them.
01:53:18
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That's why I think they should have made a leather case with metal through buttons.
01:53:21
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That would have been really nice and high quality, right?
01:53:24
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And it would have cost $80.
01:53:26
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Or $90, I don't even know how much that would have cost.
01:53:28
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I don't want to know.
01:53:29
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The leather case, it was a gift, but I want to say it was $40 or $50, I think.
01:53:33
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Something like that.
01:53:34
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I don't remember.
01:53:36
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It was expensive enough that I didn't want to buy it for myself.
01:53:40
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To me, that's the perfect gift.
01:53:41
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It's where it's something that you want, but you don't really think you want to spend your
01:53:46
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own money on it.
01:53:47
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And of course, you could take this as a terrible thing.
01:53:49
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"Oh, well, why don't you buy it for me instead?"
01:53:50
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But that's the perfect gift, because it's something you know you want, but it's not
01:53:55
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something you necessarily want to buy for yourself.
01:53:57
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But man, if somebody else buys it for you, that's awesome.
01:53:58
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Well, the best thing would be if your wife buys it for you with your shared pool of money.
01:54:01
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Because then what have you done?
01:54:04
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It's like this crazy mental game you're playing with yourself.