48: Marco Bought Four
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We have some follow up?
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Okay, guess not, I'm waiting for John to jump in there, I guess we're done.
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Alright, moving on.
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Is it okay for me to take a drink of water before the show starts?
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I thought I had time, you just jump right in.
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No, I'm a professional, John, I'm Johnny on the Spot.
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We got an email from someone who works at an Apple store who prefers to remain anonymous
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as those people tend to do on the subject of Apple's messages program and the iMessage
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service, and I will quote this little part from the email, "People who stop by the Apple
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store with problems are obviously not representative of iPhone users in general, but iMessage is
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probably the top problem among the folks who do stop by.
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Problems with iMessage are probably the top frustration with Apple's products and services
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among the specialists in our store."
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"We got a number of people writing in saying it's always been fine for me, you know, but
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I think there's been enough reports of it being not fine for many people, and something
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like that, that's a really good data point."
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Yeah, because obviously they only see the people with problems, but they see everybody's
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They are in the best position to decide what is the most common problem amongst all users
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of Apple products, period.
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He's not just iPhone users or whatever, just across all of Apple's products and services.
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He also says, "In contrast to the common podcast, blog, fodder, other iCloud problems,
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other than those stemming from obvious gross user error, are relatively rare."
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So he's saying that problems that are directly attributable to iCloud are not as big a deal
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as they're made out, but iMessage is the number one frustration from people who come in to
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I mean, just as a user of iCloud, I use it kind of gently. I use, basically, Calendar
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and Contact Sync, and not a lot of other features that it offers. You know, the documents in
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the cloud I don't really use, and stuff like that. And by using it lightly like that, I
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rarely see any problems. And I think that's probably how most people use it. You know,
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you mostly hear complaints about iCloud being weird and buggy and potentially awful is from
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developers who are trying to develop against the sync APIs, which as we discussed before
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have a lot of issues and possibly some pretty fatal designs.
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And so the developer point of view of iCloud is very different from what the public are
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Yeah, and I wonder, for people who are not fiddling around with stuff, if they have undemanding
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use and they have like maybe three contacts and they don't modify them that much, then
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maybe they don't notice a big deal.
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But like if you have tons of stuff and want it to work just so, and want to play with
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all those little iCloud syncing switches and everything, and then something doesn't work
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and it gets hosed and goes off into the weeds, I don't know if those people ever bother going
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to an Apple store.
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Because those are the type of people who are going to try to figure it out themselves.
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And I think in a lot of cases when iCloud doesn't work, people just don't notice.
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Or like you said, they blame the application and they don't blame the phone or whatever.
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But the number of people who go into the Apple Store with software problems, that I guess
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is a different class of people, because I would never go into the Apple Store with a
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software problem, I think, as long as I could actually determine it was a software problem.
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Because what are they going to do for me?
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They're just going to poke the same buttons that I can poke.
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It's people who don't know how to fix this stuff, you know.
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Or if you want to say, maybe it is a hardware problem, they'll take it into the back room
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and hook it up to whatever machine they have that'll run some diagnostic.
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But yeah, that was an interesting data point.
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else also. What percentage of iPhone users do you think don't have any other Apple
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products and therefore don't really see the syncing issues necessarily?
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Yeah, that could be the case too. I think only Apple knows this number, how many iPhone
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users also have a Mac, but I would love to know those.
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Yeah, I would assume it's getting smaller and smaller as PCs are doing less and less
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well in the marketplace and Macs are doing better and better. I'm sure that that's getting
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to be smaller and smaller, but to use an anecdotal piece of evidence, you know, the first Apple
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device that I believe my dad got was either an iPad or an iPhone. I want to say it was
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an iPhone. And now, fast forward two or three years later, and pretty much my entire immediate
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family as in Aaron and I, as well as immediate family as in my parents and brothers, they're
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almost exclusively Mac now.
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Yeah, but you just got to look at the sales numbers, though. How many iPhones has Apple
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sold in the past three years versus how many Macs have they sold. And I know sales are
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not the same as installed base, but the number of iPhones just massively dwarfs the number
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of Macs in existence by this point. I'm thinking of like, you know, like the all the old Macs
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that are sitting around and how long do you keep counting like some ancient Mac with the
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PowerPC and it is still hanging around or whatever. But there's just so many more iPhones
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and iOS devices than Macs that you have to say most people who have iOS devices do not
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Yeah, I mean, I would say if I had to take a guess at what percentage of iPhone owners
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that was their only Apple device, I would say it's probably like 50 percent or maybe
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I think it's like if you want to know the percentage, if you look at all people who
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buy iPhones and say what percentage of those have a Mac, I bet it's very similar to the
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percentage of the general population that has a Mac at this point.
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Because the iPhone is a mass market general purpose product.
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I don't think people see any real connection to the Mac, but they just like it would never occur to them that if you've got
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An iPhone that there was any connection to the Mac that you had to have a Mac that you should have a Mac anything and
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Honestly, it's true. There's nothing there's nothing you're gonna get out of having a Mac really
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I guess maybe a desktop version of the notes application, so why don't you build a gaming PC? Yeah, all right?
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Don't make my friggin iPod shuffle stink better. I
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Hate that thanks so much
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I mean most people don't even sync their phones to their computers
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which is why Apple had to push for so long to get all this stuff over iCloud and backups
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and sync and wireless and iTunes match and all that other stuff. Keep in mind, it wasn't
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that long ago. It's easy to forget, but it was only iOS 5 that brought most of that stuff
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that made you stop having to sync with iTunes to get a lot of these features. That was not
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that long ago.
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Do you remember the jailbreak app that would allow you to do Wi-Fi sync? And it was such
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a big deal. This was roundabouts of iOS 4 or 5. And it was such a big deal because you
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could sync over Wi-Fi and people were like, "Oh my God, Apple, you have to do this immediately!"
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They were like expecting a point release of iTunes the next day to enable Wi-Fi sync.
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And I don't recall exactly when it actually showed up in iOS. But I remember that being
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such a big deal. And that was the brief window of time. It was around the brief window of
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time when I had actually had a jailbroken iPhone. And so I had thought about, I think
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at this point, re-jailbreaking just for that. And it was so silly. But yeah, it really wasn't
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that long ago. You're exactly right. And then they implemented a Wi-Fi sync and nobody
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uses it. Yeah, pretty much. Yeah, actually I'm curious. What do you guys do for sync
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and backup? I always connect with a cable. Yeah, typically I do as well. I think I have
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Wi-Fi sync enabled, but I believe I'm backing up my iPhone to my computer and my iPad to
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iCloud. But I actually have a gripe about this, which is branching away from follow-up,
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since I'm talking I'm just going to continue.
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I think that because of SMS logs, which I'm a pack rat and I don't delete barely any of
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my SMS logs, and I probably should go and cull all of them, but I think it's because
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I have four years of SMS logs or something like that.
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My iCloud account, which I just have the free one which is I believe five gigs, it is full
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the moment I start backing my iPhone up to it.
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I've looked at the usage in settings and this has I haven't looked in a while so
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I'm a little fuzzy on the details but there was nothing that jumped out and
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said oh I'm you know there's no app or anything that said oh I'm using 34 gigs
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or anything like that and the only thing I can guess because I believe I turned
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off the the app backups to iCloud for just about everything and it still was
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whining about not having enough space and the only thing I can think of is
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I've got a gazillion SMS's and perhaps more importantly MMS's that that have
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been around since 2008 when I got my 3GS that I think are trying to go to iCloud and failing
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miserably. And that's kind of a bummer. And as everyone in the chat is saying, yes,
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I am the king of sending animated GIFs to people, which is certainly not helping. So
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that's probably a self-created issue.
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When you first started saying it was SMS, I was thinking, yeah, that's like filling
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up a terabyte with Word documents. But now that you say, you know, yeah, that you get
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a lot of MMS and do a lot of image sending and receiving, that actually makes a lot of
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sense because where is that stored? What is that categorized as? And yeah, that really
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could be the problem. Plus your billions of emoji and especially, imagine if Apple stores
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your emoji as images, oh, you'd be screwed.
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Oh, I'd be so doomed.
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It actually stores high DPI images of the text bubbles.
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Yeah, exactly.
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But you know what I'm saying, and it's frustrating. So maybe I'm abnormal in that
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I don't go through and call text messages and maybe most people are paranoid or whatever.
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But for me, by me not taking action, in other words by me not going through and deleting
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old text messages and picture messages, I have put myself in a position where iCloud
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backup effectively doesn't work for me unless I pay for it.
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And that's not necessarily a bad thing and it pretty much is my fault, but it's interesting
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to me that when I do something that you would assume an average user would do, which is
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just let SMSs and MMSs fly by and just let them go into the ether.
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By doing that, I've set myself up in a position where I can't use iCloud, or not effectively
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Does anybody pay for extra storage on iCloud?
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I would if I wanted to use it.
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If it was better than local backup in more of a way, like if it was as fast, if it kept
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all my passwords and encrypted it.
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There's still things that iCloud backup does slightly differently.
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I've thought about paying for it many times and just go, "Well, yeah."
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And the reason I use a cable to do my backups is not because I'm against Wi-Fi syncing or
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anything, it's just because my battery almost always needs to be charged by the time I end
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up back at the computer.
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I'm plugging it in anyway to charge it.
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Why not also do the backup then, right?
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And I don't particularly like it.
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Maybe I'll go wireless eventually, but for now I'll keep doing it the old-fashioned way.
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And I believe iMike pays for iCloud backup, and I think he is the only person on the planet.
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Yeah, and his setup, according to his statement on the prompt, sounds pretty weird in general.
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Is either very uncommon, or every other non-geek in the world is just like him and we just
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don't see it?
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I think what happens is people get the free iCloud and then they run out of space on it
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because it's not hard to blow through that space.
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And then they go to the Apple store because they can't figure out why their phone isn't
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and it's giving them some message about being out of room or something or keeps asking them.
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They don't understand what it's saying to them, and eventually someone explains to them.
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It's telling you that if you want to keep using your phone like you've been using it,
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you have to pay some amount of money.
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They hate that, and they complain about it, but it's better than learning a new way to
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So, I wonder if a lot of people just end up not disliking Apple and having a bad feeling
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about Apple, and that happens, which is why I said so many times that they need to figure
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that little taste is just setting them up for bad feelings later. But for most people, it's easier
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than changing the way they do things. It's like, "Well, I just want to keep doing whatever it is I
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was doing, make this go away." Or maybe they could just like, or I guess the other alternative is
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they could just turn off iCloud backup. I'm not sure how many people take that alternative. I
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don't need backups. Nothing will ever happen to my phone. Oh goodness. All right. So talk to me
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about a squished Mac Mini. This is from Zed Mata on Twitter, and he offers
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a theory about why the Mac Mini got squished. I said in the last show that I didn't like
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that it got squished. I liked it better when it was taller and skinnier. And his theory
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is, or her theory, is that it's because now it fits in a 1U rack. Which I kind of buy.
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Like before they used to rack them vertically when they were fatter. The fat Mini, they
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just turned them on their sides, and I guess they would take up 2U at that point.
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Oh, more than that. I think four or five, probably.
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Yeah, I don't remember what it was like. But anyway, the Mini is not really a rack-mountable
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machine. People have rack-mounted it because it's small and it will fit, and squishing
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it down to one U maybe was a nod to the people racking them. But if you're going to make
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something good for racking, you wouldn't make something like the Mini. It would be made
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differently. Put it that way. At the very least, it would have little flanges or something
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you could actually put in a mounting thing.
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So the Mini still looks to me like something
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that's meant to be on a desk somewhere.
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Yeah, I would agree.
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And if they wanted to rack mount a Mac,
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don't you think they would have some serve or server,
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and it would run OS 10, but you would maybe abbreviate it
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as like X or something?
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One more piece of follow up.
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This is from an anonymous industry source.
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That's how closely I'm going to get to identifying this person.
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talking about the Dolby CS demo, which I found out after the end of the show that neither
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one of you knew what the hell I was talking about last week.
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At CES, Dolby showed this experimental, like, this is not a product, but let's just show
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you what this would look like, this experimental crazy television setup thing that was demonstrating
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what I was talking about, you know, in terms of better pixels, a much larger range between
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the darkest and the brightest spot on a television. If you think about when you go outside in the
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real world, what is the difference in brightness between a place that's under direct sunlight
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at noon and a place that's shaded under an umbrella?
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Or if you're looking up at the sky and the sun is in the corner of your eye, what is
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the difference in brightness between that and the dark thing in the corner?
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It's a gigantic dynamic range.
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I don't know what his number was, but it's way more than it is on a TV.
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TV has bright areas and dark areas, but they're much closer together.
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Some of that is, practically speaking, you're going to have to limit.
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If your television had the same dynamic range as real life and a show panned the camera
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up to a sunny sky and you stared at the TV, you would go blind.
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So that's bad if you had televisions emitting the full electromagnetic spectrum of the sun
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at the same brightness, A, that would take a lot of power, and B, it would not be good
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for your vision.
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But that's not what we're talking about.
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We're saying there's a heavy medium between the current incredibly small dynamic range
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of televisions today and the outdoors.
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And so this demo was like, here's what we can do with current technology if we just
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make this crazy experimental set, and it looks strikingly different than a regular television.
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Regular television starts to look like a completely low contrast pool of mud compared to this
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greater dynamic range.
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And so this industry that they're in is the video entertainment industry.
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And the source says, "High dynamic range has two big wins.
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It looks stunning and is, in my opinion, the most interesting feature added to cinema recently.
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adds more to the experience than stereo 3D, high frame rate, or 4K.
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Also since most studio and other content creators are already producing 16 bit per channel images
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with over range values, it's almost free.
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There's some stuff that has to be done in post and color grading, but there's no re-rendering
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as there is with 3D and 4K.
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I've seen Adobe Tech and it's great for the home, but I'm not sure how they're going to
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get this into theaters, which is where the money is for the studios.
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So the thing about the source is a good point, because saying that most of the content is
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is already created with color values that
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are outside the range that can be displayed
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by any current output device.
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So all of their content is shot with 16 bits of value
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per component and scaled down to 8 bits or less
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or whatever the current output devices that we
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have in our home.
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So they don't have to reshoot the footage.
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They don't have to re-render to do anything like that.
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They already have source material
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that is outside the range that can be displayed.
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So if someone could make a commercial set that
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could display a larger dynamic range, a lot of the content
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that we already know of that's been created
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in the past few years already has,
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the source material is already sufficient
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to show that extra dynamic range.
00:15:40
◼
►
But again, Dolby was not demonstrating a product
00:15:43
◼
►
that you could buy, it was just kind of a,
00:15:46
◼
►
wouldn't it be cool if kind of tech demo.
00:15:48
◼
►
So I really hope that that's where people concentrate,
00:15:51
◼
►
especially after 4K comes and goes and does its thing.
00:15:55
◼
►
The next thing they should be looking at is,
00:15:57
◼
►
I mean, they should be looking at it now,
00:15:58
◼
►
but it seems like 4K is what they're gonna do
00:16:00
◼
►
because it's easier, but higher dynamic range,
00:16:02
◼
►
I'm much more excited about.
00:16:03
◼
►
So I'll watch for that in 10 years.
00:16:06
◼
►
- Sounds good.
00:16:08
◼
►
Hey Marco, you wanna talk about a friend of ours?
00:16:09
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- I would love to.
00:16:10
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It is possibly our best friend.
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For a free trial and 10% off,
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go to squarespace.com and use offer code Marco.
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They have new features, new designs,
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and you can customize them in any way you want to. You can customize the CSS, you can
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any code. It's all up to you. They have over 20 highly customizable templates to choose
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from and these templates have won awards and then, you know, design awards, and then they
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also have incredible customer support. Their customer support team works 24 hours a day,
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seven days a week and they have also won their own awards.
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They're just awards all over Squarespace.
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They have over 70 employees devoted to support
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So Squarespace starts at just $8 a month
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and that includes a free domain if you sign up for a year.
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And you can start a free trial today,
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When you do decide to sign up, please use our offer code,
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00:17:39
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Interestingly enough, this week my wife
00:17:41
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decided to move her photography site over to Squarespace.
00:17:45
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You can check it out at tiffanyarmint.com.
00:17:47
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And she moved it over.
00:17:49
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And she is so happy at how easy it was to use.
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Before, she was kind of wedging it into Tumblr.
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Tumblr really is not made to do what she wanted to do exactly.
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And it was using the wrong tool for the job.
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Squarespace, turns out, is the right tool for the job in this case.
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And it, oh man, it was so much easier for her to do the photos she wanted, embed them
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the way she wanted, and do the layouts.
00:18:14
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And she was happy.
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Like every day she was happy to be working on it and thrilled and so motivated.
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She put up a bunch of new posts.
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Huge difference in productivity and customizability for what she actually wanted to do with it.
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So she's very happy with Squarespace.
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So thanks a lot to Squarespace for sponsoring.
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Once again, go to squarespace.com, use offer code "marco" for 10% off.
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Thank you very much to Squarespace for sponsoring the show.
00:18:38
◼
►
Some pretty big stuff has happened over the last couple of days.
00:18:41
◼
►
We're recording on Wednesday the 15th.
00:18:44
◼
►
And on the one hand, I don't know if there's really that much more to say about it.
00:18:49
◼
►
But on the other hand, I know the three of us well enough to know there's probably
00:18:51
◼
►
some stuff to say.
00:18:53
◼
►
So are you tearing the thermostats off your wall, Marco?
00:18:57
◼
►
Everyone keeps asking me this. Yeah, so the story in case you've been living under a rock
00:19:01
◼
►
and somehow listen to podcasts are that Google has bought Nest, or is about to buy Nest,
00:19:08
◼
►
pending regulatory approval I believe, but Google is probably going to buy Nest for three
00:19:13
◼
►
point something billion dollars, 3.2, whatever it was, a little over three billion dollars.
00:19:18
◼
►
And so I have Nest thermosets in my house. They're okay. My favorite feature of them
00:19:23
◼
►
is the remote control iPhone app. I turned off all the learning stuff because it kind
00:19:26
◼
►
just fought with me all the time. But imagine that, something that wanted to control didn't
00:19:31
◼
►
get along with me because I wanted to control. So, big surprise, right? So, no I'm not ripping
00:19:38
◼
►
them off the wall yet because first of all one of the reasons I got them is because nothing
00:19:41
◼
►
else really does the remote control aspect while also looking reasonably nice in the
00:19:46
◼
►
rooms. So that's one problem. One of the problems though is that, this is still a very new thing
00:19:54
◼
►
So I'm not going to rip the thermostats out of the wall out of some spite or speculation
00:19:59
◼
►
of what Google/Nest might do in the future.
00:20:03
◼
►
That being said, I wrote a post about it so I'm not going to go too far into it, but I
00:20:06
◼
►
don't think it's wise for anybody to assume that these things are going to magically remain
00:20:10
◼
►
completely separate.
00:20:11
◼
►
Obviously, if they're going to remain completely separate, why would Google spend a lot of
00:20:16
◼
►
money on it?
00:20:17
◼
►
That's probably not what happened.
00:20:18
◼
►
And I think you can look at what Google, how Google does acquisitions on this scale. When
00:20:25
◼
►
Google bought YouTube for 1.6 billion forever ago, back when, I mean, at the time, nowadays,
00:20:31
◼
►
acquisitions for a billion dollars are almost commonplace, but back then they weren't, and,
00:20:36
◼
►
at least in the tech business. And so, you know, when they bought YouTube, it was very
00:20:42
◼
►
clear, like, video is a big thing on the internet. And I think history has supported that since
00:20:49
◼
►
then, that that was a very wise decision. If they didn't buy it, Yahoo or Microsoft
00:20:54
◼
►
were probably going to buy it, and it's a very good thing Google got it for them, because
00:20:58
◼
►
video is very, very important and represents tons of traffic and activity on the internet.
00:21:02
◼
►
So they kind of had to do that. When Facebook bought Instagram, that was also
00:21:08
◼
►
over a billion, wasn't it? Or was it exactly, it was exactly one billion, right?
00:21:12
◼
►
Something like that. I believe it was around a billion, yeah. So,
00:21:15
◼
►
Facebook bought Instagram because they were threatened and freaked out. Because
00:21:19
◼
►
Facebook's primary, like, most used application is photo sharing. And there was this huge world
00:21:26
◼
►
of photo sharing happening on this social network that was dominating mobile. So, it was competing
00:21:32
◼
►
with the thing Facebook uses the most on mobile, where Facebook was still pretty weak and was,
00:21:37
◼
►
did not have a strong foothold. So this was a major threat to Facebook. That's why Zuck
00:21:42
◼
►
rushed the deal through and regardless of it being right before their IPO and possibly
00:21:47
◼
►
having problems with that, he pushed it through because he's a smart guy. He knew this was
00:21:53
◼
►
So going back to Google, they recently, more recently than YouTube at least, they bought
00:21:56
◼
►
Motorola Mobility for, was it 12 billion?
00:21:59
◼
►
I don't even remember.
00:22:01
◼
►
I think Google wishes it didn't remember too.
00:22:04
◼
►
Yeah, I think you're right. So Google buys motor mobility for something like 12 billion,
00:22:10
◼
►
and it seemed like the reason they bought it was because they were threatened and freaked
00:22:13
◼
►
out. Again, just like buying YouTube, they were threatened and freaked out. Facebook
00:22:19
◼
►
buying Instagram, they were threatened and freaked out. So Google buying Motorola, they
00:22:25
◼
►
were threatened and freaked out because all this patent stuff was going on around Android
00:22:29
◼
►
and Android is very important to them and the Android market was kind of becoming the
00:22:33
◼
►
Samsung market and it was kind of nice to prop somebody else up a little bit, just for
00:22:37
◼
►
diversity's sake and competition. But it was mostly about patents, I think. I think
00:22:43
◼
►
the industry bears that out so far. But looking at that, it didn't turn out so well. It
00:22:48
◼
►
seems like it was a sloppy move. It seems like it was maybe not thought through, maybe
00:22:54
◼
►
not enough diligence done on what the value of these patents actually might be. Whatever
00:22:58
◼
►
the reason, it seemed like it was kind of a rash decision at the time that caught a
00:23:02
◼
►
a lot of people by surprise and so far has proven not to have really been worth it.
00:23:08
◼
►
So this brings us to Nest. What the heck do they want with Nest? There is a good post
00:23:13
◼
►
on our friend Ben Thompson's site, Stratechery. Am I saying that right, finally?
00:23:17
◼
►
I think it's Stratechery.
00:23:18
◼
►
It's a long E. It's got the little thing on the E.
00:23:21
◼
►
I pronounce it in my head, Stratechery, but I believe it's Stratechery.
00:23:25
◼
►
Okay, I think you're right. So anyway, Ben Thompson at Strategery wrote this nice piece,
00:23:32
◼
►
I think yesterday I'll link to it in the show notes, about this might be Google's new business
00:23:37
◼
►
model they're getting into, that all of their previous business models have been focused
00:23:41
◼
►
on advertising and the number of people using the internet continuing to grow tremendously,
00:23:49
◼
►
but that apparently we're starting to reach limits of the world population and economic
00:23:53
◼
►
realities such that the number of people using the internet, the growth peak of that is going
00:23:59
◼
►
to end in a couple of years. That growth is going to start slowing down significantly.
00:24:04
◼
►
So if Google's relying on more and more people just using the internet and looking at their
00:24:09
◼
►
ads every day for all their future business, it's almost saturated. It's not going to start
00:24:16
◼
►
shrinking. It's not going to stop all growth, but the growth is going to slow down a lot.
00:24:22
◼
►
So his theory is that getting into devices, getting into hardware, might be their next
00:24:28
◼
►
new business model arm because advertising might be saturated for them or close to it.
00:24:35
◼
►
I don't know because...
00:24:38
◼
►
So let's look at what they bought here.
00:24:41
◼
►
They bought a company that is not very old, sells products to a good volume, but not like...
00:24:49
◼
►
not talking like an Apple or Samsung kind of volume of products that they're shipping
00:24:53
◼
►
here or manufacturing. So like, they're not buying a huge supply chain. They're buying
00:24:58
◼
►
some good retail connections, certainly, but not something, you know, not the kind of retail
00:25:03
◼
►
connections that like a phone or computer OEM would have, for instance.
00:25:08
◼
►
So I think one of the biggest things is that they're buying what appears to be a pretty
00:25:12
◼
►
good staff. Having Tony Fadell on the team is probably going to be a pretty big win,
00:25:18
◼
►
but they're saying they're keeping Nest separate and he's gonna keep running the Nest part
00:25:22
◼
►
of it. So, I don't know. It kind of feels like that's a lot of money to have spent on
00:25:29
◼
►
a company that I'm not entirely sure how Google is really going to get that amount of value
00:25:35
◼
►
out of this company. What do you think?
00:25:39
◼
►
So could it be an AquaHire?
00:25:41
◼
►
It's way too expensive for that.
00:25:43
◼
►
For three billion? How many employees do you think Nest has?
00:25:47
◼
►
I mean, probably a couple hundred. I don't know. I'm just guessing.
00:25:49
◼
►
A couple hundred? That's way high.
00:25:52
◼
►
Yeah, I would say it's between 50 and 100 would be my guess based on no facts.
00:25:57
◼
►
You're thinking like programmers. No. Companies have way more staff than programmers tend
00:26:04
◼
►
to estimate, myself included, because once you leave the engineering department and you
00:26:08
◼
►
get into retail sales, support, manufacturing, all that stuff, it's massively people intensive.
00:26:14
◼
►
They probably have a couple hundred, I'm guessing.
00:26:16
◼
►
Do Nest even do – I thought you had to order Nest Online. Are they in retail stores?
00:26:20
◼
►
Yeah, they're in Best Buy. They had a big, long deal with Best Buy.
00:26:23
◼
►
And they're in the Apple store, aren't they?
00:26:26
◼
►
Like, whatever it is, $3.2 billion is a lot of money for a product that, I guess, is a
00:26:31
◼
►
luxury product that I don't think sells in any kind of – both of their products are
00:26:35
◼
►
luxury products. Because if you just want a smoke detector or a thermostat, you can
00:26:38
◼
►
get them way cheaper, right? And your house already has a thermostat. Only, you know,
00:26:42
◼
►
people with expendable income or tech nerds want to replace something. You want to get
00:26:46
◼
►
smoke detector people are just going to go to Walmart and get the cheapest smoke detector
00:26:49
◼
►
they can to be up to code or they'll just let the take the battery out and never put
00:26:53
◼
►
Like, these are luxury items.
00:26:55
◼
►
They have to be low volume.
00:26:56
◼
►
There's not a lot of employees.
00:26:57
◼
►
There's not a lot of intellectual property there, I would imagine.
00:27:01
◼
►
You're getting a superstar Tony Fidele, Mr. iPod, but like that's one person.
00:27:05
◼
►
You're not paying 3.2 billion for him.
00:27:08
◼
►
I think the penetration of internet, you know, the growth peak thing is a real thing, but
00:27:14
◼
►
I'm not sure that's particularly related to the Nest acquisition.
00:27:18
◼
►
I think the easiest explanation for the Nest acquisition is the obvious one, which is Google
00:27:23
◼
►
loves information.
00:27:26
◼
►
It's not so much like they love advertising or that they love information.
00:27:30
◼
►
And some people think it's because they're evil and they want to spy on everything, but
00:27:34
◼
►
I see it a lot from their perspective as a sort of nerd perspective.
00:27:38
◼
►
Think of the cool things you could do if we had more information.
00:27:40
◼
►
What if we had pictures of every street in the United States?
00:27:43
◼
►
What if we did the inside of buildings like that?
00:27:46
◼
►
You could go right from the street into the inside of buildings and walk around.
00:27:49
◼
►
If they could have live cameras on every street in the United States, they would do that instead
00:27:52
◼
►
of having old pictures, you know, and the satellite footage and stuff like that.
00:27:57
◼
►
What if we could tell where location is?
00:27:59
◼
►
GPS and the phones is a great tool.
00:28:00
◼
►
We can tell you're on your way home from work and what your traffic is like and when you're
00:28:04
◼
►
going to be there and all that other stuff that you can do.
00:28:06
◼
►
What if we had sensors in your home?
00:28:07
◼
►
They could tell what temperature it is, whether you're home or not, the temperature outside.
00:28:12
◼
►
You can do cool things with information.
00:28:14
◼
►
What they have is basically a massively distributed computing infrastructure for information.
00:28:20
◼
►
What is their motto?
00:28:22
◼
►
Like to organize the world's information?
00:28:25
◼
►
The temperature of your house is part of that world's information.
00:28:27
◼
►
Which is of course what freaks people out about it.
00:28:30
◼
►
But think of what Nest does.
00:28:33
◼
►
Nest makes things that gather information from inside people's homes.
00:28:36
◼
►
I agree with everything you just said, that they can derive value out of that, out of
00:28:43
◼
►
the data, the connections, the installed base of being in people's houses.
00:28:48
◼
►
But I can't see them getting $3 billion worth of value out of that from this company.
00:28:52
◼
►
Well, this company figured out a way to sell people sensors that go in their homes that
00:28:56
◼
►
are connected to the network.
00:28:57
◼
►
And thus far, Google has been bad at that.
00:28:59
◼
►
I'm sure Google would love to have more sensors in people's homes that are connected to the
00:29:04
◼
►
Nest is like, well, we don't sell a lot of them, and we just sell it to early adopters
00:29:08
◼
►
for now, but we found a way to sell it.
00:29:10
◼
►
They have enough style and cache to be interesting to nerdy people.
00:29:13
◼
►
Marco bought one, right?
00:29:15
◼
►
That was right in their meeting.
00:29:16
◼
►
They said, hey, Marco bought one.
00:29:17
◼
►
I bought four.
00:29:18
◼
►
There you go.
00:29:19
◼
►
That's what they should, right in their slide, and they're, you know, Google, you should
00:29:22
◼
►
Next slide, Marco bought four.
00:29:24
◼
►
3.2 billion.
00:29:25
◼
►
Like, you know, baby steps, right?
00:29:28
◼
►
If this is part of a big initiative, I don't think it's because Google wants to start selling,
00:29:33
◼
►
you know, iPods or consumer hardware.
00:29:35
◼
►
They want to sell things that feed information back
00:29:38
◼
►
into this giant thing that is Google.
00:29:41
◼
►
Yes, and I think you're right.
00:29:42
◼
►
But we're also not considering that it's
00:29:45
◼
►
more than just Tony Fadell.
00:29:47
◼
►
It's also, as per some people who probably don't know,
00:29:51
◼
►
like the chat-- and I'm not talking about them--
00:29:53
◼
►
but the chat has been quoting, oh, 100 or 100
00:29:56
◼
►
plus ex-Apple employees.
00:29:58
◼
►
And do you think that 3 billion--
00:30:01
◼
►
or that 100 Apple employees that are presumably very good,
00:30:05
◼
►
plus Tony Fidell is worth $3 billion?
00:30:07
◼
►
I don't think so, but maybe there's more talent there
00:30:11
◼
►
than we realize.
00:30:13
◼
►
You have to retain that talent, though.
00:30:15
◼
►
Depending on who gets what stock options
00:30:17
◼
►
and what your golden handcuffs are
00:30:19
◼
►
and how long you have to stay at the company
00:30:20
◼
►
to get your whatever you're going to get,
00:30:23
◼
►
it is a good way to get good employees,
00:30:25
◼
►
but the best employees are always restless.
00:30:30
◼
►
they get the startup they make the cool thing they get acquired by the big
00:30:33
◼
►
company they say the big company was years and they repeat that process
00:30:36
◼
►
because they just want to move on to new things and don't want to be
00:30:39
◼
►
a cog in the big machine
00:30:41
◼
►
but i mean i don't like
00:30:43
◼
►
of all the companies they could've acquired
00:30:45
◼
►
nest is not so outlandish the price seems outlandish to me even with the
00:30:49
◼
►
the supposedly two hundred five hundred plays it still still seems like heck of
00:30:53
◼
►
a lot of money but uh...
00:30:55
◼
►
you know they're but they're buying based on what they think the future
00:30:57
◼
►
value to google is us that's the way the sales work
00:30:59
◼
►
It's not how much Nest is worth, it's how much Nest is worth to Google.
00:31:02
◼
►
And I think Nest, for example, how much would Nest be worth to Apple?
00:31:06
◼
►
Is it worth 3.2 billion to get those 100 employees back?
00:31:09
◼
►
Maybe, maybe not.
00:31:11
◼
►
Are Nest's products worth that much?
00:31:12
◼
►
I think that Apple would turn its nose up to the product and say, "If we wanted to design
00:31:16
◼
►
a thermostat, we could have done just as good a job, if not better."
00:31:20
◼
►
And same thing for the smoke detector.
00:31:21
◼
►
But Google cannot say that.
00:31:22
◼
►
Google would say, "If we tried to design a thermostat, it would be shaped like a sphere
00:31:24
◼
►
and no one would buy it and it would never ship."
00:31:26
◼
►
I think it was Ben Thompson who said this in one of his articles, or correct me if I'm
00:31:33
◼
►
wrong, that Tim Coco always says, "Keep the company simple. We do a few things well."
00:31:40
◼
►
Apple would never buy it because they—Apple doesn't buy companies that have existing
00:31:44
◼
►
products in the marketplace that they have to keep supporting. They don't do that.
00:31:48
◼
►
That's not their style.
00:31:48
◼
►
Well, they do. They buy Logic and then stop making it for anything except for the Mac,
00:31:53
◼
►
I always want them to buy Intel and say, "And we're not selling chips to anyone else anymore.
00:31:57
◼
►
Sorry, guys."
00:31:58
◼
►
That would be amazing.
00:31:59
◼
►
It would have been amazing like four years ago.
00:32:01
◼
►
AMD would just take all that business like guess, but that would make everyone hate Apple.
00:32:07
◼
►
That would also like...
00:32:09
◼
►
If Apple really cared about personal computer market share, it would buy Intel and stop
00:32:13
◼
►
selling their chips to anyone else.
00:32:15
◼
►
Honestly, what that would hurt the most would be the server world.
00:32:18
◼
►
Because on PCs, who cares?
00:32:20
◼
►
People will use whatever the heck is cheap and they don't care.
00:32:22
◼
►
And the PC market is dying anyway.
00:32:24
◼
►
But in the server world, Intel has a massive lead over everybody else, and that would suck.
00:32:29
◼
►
I will never do that because Intel would be super expensive and Apple shareholders would
00:32:33
◼
►
punish it severely for buying a super expensive company and then cutting off almost all of
00:32:38
◼
►
Well, I have to imagine, too, the Department of Justice would possibly have a problem with
00:32:43
◼
►
I don't know if they would, because Intel is the big dog in the chip space, but there's
00:32:48
◼
►
There's a bunch of people who fab ARM chips, and there's AMD sitting over there going,
00:32:52
◼
►
"Hey, we sell chips that go on servers too."
00:32:55
◼
►
That nobody wants.
00:32:56
◼
►
Yeah, well, because Intel ones are always slightly better.
00:32:58
◼
►
Oh, it's more than slightly.
00:32:59
◼
►
That's the problem.
00:33:00
◼
►
Well, it's not night and day.
00:33:02
◼
►
Like they're in the fight.
00:33:03
◼
►
There's not, I mean, hey, what are all the game consoles?
00:33:05
◼
►
AMD got that contract.
00:33:07
◼
►
Yeah, well, because that was about price.
00:33:09
◼
►
In servers, it's about performance per watt.
00:33:12
◼
►
I've always wondered why Intel didn't compete harder for the game, because surely Intel
00:33:16
◼
►
could have gotten the game console thing if it wanted it, but it was like, "We don't
00:33:19
◼
►
want that, but let AMD have it."
00:33:21
◼
►
Well, it's probably because, correct me if I'm wrong, aren't all of these game console
00:33:25
◼
►
CPUs not x86?
00:33:26
◼
►
No, they're x86.
00:33:27
◼
►
It's AMD, x86 strips.
00:33:29
◼
►
I mean, AMD has particular assets that make it good because it can put, you know, it has
00:33:35
◼
►
the—I forget what their interconnect buses used to be, hypertransport, whatever it is.
00:33:39
◼
►
Like, AMD is good at making, you know, integrated single-chip solutions, which is what the game
00:33:44
◼
►
consoles needed, so they... I think they were better tailored to that, and the margins have
00:33:49
◼
►
to be way, way low on the game consoles, so why would Intel bend over backward to make
00:33:54
◼
►
its custom tailored single chip solution for game consoles, and their reward is super low
00:33:59
◼
►
margins? I mean, just compared to the margins they're getting on the CPUs that they're selling
00:34:03
◼
►
less and less of, but they sell into the server space, those margins are much nicer, so...
00:34:07
◼
►
I don't know, Intel has a problem in terms of what their future business is going to
00:34:11
◼
►
to be like, but they didn't go for the game consoles. Maybe it would have been good for
00:34:15
◼
►
them to give them an outing. But anyway, they started reacting to something in the chat
00:34:19
◼
►
room that was saying, "What would be the equivalent purchase for Apple?" You know, "Google buys
00:34:23
◼
►
Nest, what does Apple buy?"
00:34:25
◼
►
>> Oh, beats me.
00:34:27
◼
►
>> I wish a few years ago they would have bought Twitter, because I think that would
00:34:30
◼
►
have given them not only a massive foothold in a very important area called social networks,
00:34:36
◼
►
that you might have heard something about in the last few years, but it also would have
00:34:39
◼
►
given them a massive staff that knows how to run major web services.
00:34:43
◼
►
Yeah, I think they tried, right? Well, I mean, they might have tried years ago, but it's
00:34:47
◼
►
not their style to buy large established companies that are not directly related to what they're
00:34:52
◼
►
doing. I wouldn't see them really doing something like this. That's the problem, is like, there
00:34:58
◼
►
is no Apple equivalent to this because they wouldn't do something like this in all likelihood.
00:35:03
◼
►
But Apple likes to have their cake and eat it too. They need other companies' help, but
00:35:08
◼
►
They want the other companies to assume all the risk.
00:35:11
◼
►
And they want a bunch of other companies to compete for the honor of assuming all of their
00:35:14
◼
►
risk for them.
00:35:15
◼
►
So they will pay billions of dollars for some company to buy equipment to build their stuff.
00:35:19
◼
►
But it's like, after you finish making all those widgets for us, the next widget might
00:35:24
◼
►
go to a different factory and we say goodbye to you.
00:35:26
◼
►
You're not our problem anymore.
00:35:27
◼
►
We don't have to worry about your employees.
00:35:28
◼
►
We don't have to worry about how you're going to make money in the future.
00:35:31
◼
►
It's like totally, they're in a power position.
00:35:34
◼
►
They say, "We have lucrative contracts to build things.
00:35:36
◼
►
wants our contracts, why would we ever buy a chip manufacturer with a fab or whatever.
00:35:42
◼
►
I mean, the fab is the one thing that's different than the other stuff, because there are only
00:35:46
◼
►
few fabs in the world. Fabs are so insanely expensive, and Intel has the best one. And
00:35:51
◼
►
Apple seems to be saying, "We can make our own chips. We can give them little names with
00:35:53
◼
►
A's and letters, just like Audi." And they're cool, and we design them, and we pay someone
00:36:00
◼
►
else a fab, but whatever. But they fancy themselves like, "We control our own destiny because we
00:36:05
◼
►
We have an ARM license and we pay someone to fab them and now we're not beholden to
00:36:10
◼
►
Intel for our chips, which is true, you know, you don't have to worry about paying Intel
00:36:13
◼
►
for these big margins, but you're now at the mercy of three possible fabs, one of which
00:36:19
◼
►
is Intel and ARM, which I assume will continue licensing its things far and wide, or we don't
00:36:25
◼
►
need ARM, we'll just make our own architecture, it would be fine.
00:36:28
◼
►
But those fabs, like, I guess it would be collusion if they all got together and said
00:36:32
◼
►
said, "We're going to crank up the prices for Apple," but they're not really in control
00:36:36
◼
►
of their own destiny.
00:36:37
◼
►
I mean, for crying out loud, Samsung is fabbing so much of their stuff still.
00:36:41
◼
►
That should tell them something.
00:36:42
◼
►
So I would actually encourage Apple to consider buying Intel sometime in the future when they're
00:36:47
◼
►
weaker and smaller.
00:36:48
◼
►
Intel, that is.
00:36:50
◼
►
And you don't think they would want Dropbox?
00:36:53
◼
►
I don't think they would.
00:36:55
◼
►
But I'm thinking, what are Apple's big weaknesses at the moment?
00:37:00
◼
►
And I think relying on other fabs is a great example.
00:37:03
◼
►
And as we've whined about ad nauseam on this show and just about every other podcast that
00:37:08
◼
►
covers Apple, cloud services are an issue.
00:37:12
◼
►
And who is really, really good at cloud services?
00:37:15
◼
►
Twitter has gotten there.
00:37:16
◼
►
Instagram is, but too late.
00:37:19
◼
►
Tumblr is, but too late.
00:37:21
◼
►
So what's left?
00:37:23
◼
►
And since Steve flirted with the idea of Dropbox, if memory serves...
00:37:28
◼
►
No, they wanted to buy Dropbox, totally.
00:37:32
◼
►
If any of those stories are to be believed in, I didn't see Apple people categorically
00:37:36
◼
►
denying them or anything like that, they wanted to buy Dropbox.
00:37:38
◼
►
I mean, it's the same thing with the Twitter thing.
00:37:40
◼
►
I don't think we have any concrete evidence that they wanted to buy Twitter, but it's
00:37:43
◼
►
I didn't read the Twitter book, so maybe that's in there.
00:37:46
◼
►
And Dropbox, as soon as Steve Jobs visits your company and tells you your product is
00:37:50
◼
►
crap, that means Apple wants to buy you.
00:37:52
◼
►
Well, and people always talk about that incident with Dropbox, and "Oh, Apple should have
00:37:56
◼
►
bought them, and I wish Apple bought Dropbox."
00:37:58
◼
►
Trust me, you don't wish for that if you like Dropbox at all.
00:38:01
◼
►
Because if Apple bought Dropbox, it probably
00:38:03
◼
►
would have been for the talent, and maybe
00:38:07
◼
►
some of the algorithms or sync techniques, maybe,
00:38:10
◼
►
but mostly for the talent.
00:38:12
◼
►
And they probably would have shut down the product
00:38:14
◼
►
or ruined it.
00:38:16
◼
►
And not having a FAB is not a weakness of Apple.
00:38:18
◼
►
Again, I think Apple's in a strength position.
00:38:20
◼
►
Like, we don't need to assume all this risk of having
00:38:22
◼
►
these big expensive things.
00:38:23
◼
►
Other people will assume all the risk,
00:38:25
◼
►
and we'll get all the benefit as long
00:38:26
◼
►
as we manage these relationships.
00:38:28
◼
►
But it's a minor difficulty of the uncomfortable situation of relying so heavily on one of
00:38:34
◼
►
your biggest competitors that just, it's like, well, that just kind of happened.
00:38:38
◼
►
But by the same token, like, that's billions of dollars changing hands.
00:38:41
◼
►
And it's, it's kind of weird that you're paying Samsung, but on the other hand, Samsung is
00:38:44
◼
►
not going to be saying, we refuse your billions of dollars.
00:38:47
◼
►
Like no, they're going to keep taking your billion dollars as long as you can.
00:38:49
◼
►
So Apple is trying to transition away, but it's not like, oh no, we're in a weak position
00:38:54
◼
►
because at any moment, Samsung can refuse our billions of dollars to fab our chips.
00:38:57
◼
►
Samsung's going to keep taking that money as long as you keep offering it.
00:39:00
◼
►
It's just that I keep looking at Intel because that is a strategic advantage.
00:39:05
◼
►
Intel is sitting there off to the side with an architecture that nobody wants for mobile,
00:39:09
◼
►
but the best fabs in the world. And I'm not sure what their plan is, but if I was at any of these
00:39:13
◼
►
companies, Samsung, Google, Apple, it'd be like, "You know, we could have an easy 10, 15, perhaps
00:39:19
◼
►
larger percent advantage over all of our competitors if we could just fab at a smaller
00:39:25
◼
►
process size than they could, sooner than they could.
00:39:29
◼
►
And that would, and it's not something they can, you know, if you get Intel's fabs, what
00:39:34
◼
►
is your competitor's recourse?
00:39:35
◼
►
They can't like, catch up to you.
00:39:37
◼
►
They can't like, whip TSMC harder, say, "Work harder!
00:39:42
◼
►
They're at 14 nanometers, come on!
00:39:44
◼
►
You guys gotta do better!"
00:39:46
◼
►
I think that's what the Taiwan semiconductor's been doing for its entire life, is trying
00:39:50
◼
►
to get better.
00:39:51
◼
►
And they are getting better, but for now, Intel has the lead, so I keep looking at them.
00:39:55
◼
►
Well, and a few people pointed out when we last brought this up and when a bunch of people,
00:40:00
◼
►
including our friend Ben Thompson, were talking about this, one of the problems is that supposedly
00:40:05
◼
►
people who are smarter than me at this stuff figured out that Intel actually doesn't have
00:40:09
◼
►
anywhere near the capacity to fab things for Apple. To fab things for iOS, rather, specifically.
00:40:15
◼
►
Well, that's a soft lie. Did you just see that story that Intel closed a brand new fab
00:40:19
◼
►
in Arizona before even opening it, before even starting to fab chips on it?
00:40:24
◼
►
I missed that.
00:40:25
◼
►
There's a multi-billion dollar fab.
00:40:26
◼
►
They built the building and everything.
00:40:28
◼
►
They just didn't buy the fab, the super expensive fab equipment.
00:40:31
◼
►
It's like two-thirds of the cost of the entire center.
00:40:33
◼
►
But instead of buying that equipment and installing it, they're just saying, "Just leave that
00:40:36
◼
►
aside for now," because they were going to fab their 14-nanometer stuff there.
00:40:39
◼
►
Instead, they said they were going to fab their 14-nanometer stuff in their existing
00:40:43
◼
►
And the reason it's speculated they're doing that is because they don't have enough customers
00:40:47
◼
►
to warrant opening an entire new fab.
00:40:49
◼
►
So it's like, if you buy it, they will build.
00:40:53
◼
►
I don't know, I'm mangling that thing.
00:40:54
◼
►
But basically, if Apple suddenly said,
00:40:57
◼
►
"Hey Intel, we want you to fab all of our stuff,"
00:41:00
◼
►
suddenly they would say, "Great, well,
00:41:01
◼
►
we have all this excess capacity
00:41:03
◼
►
that we're currently not using.
00:41:04
◼
►
We'll buy that fabbing equipment,
00:41:05
◼
►
we'll install it in that building,
00:41:06
◼
►
we'll start building more."
00:41:08
◼
►
That's a problem Intel is happy to have.
00:41:10
◼
►
But right now it looks like they have the opposite problem,
00:41:12
◼
►
that they were building with the expectation
00:41:14
◼
►
that the growth would continue on the current trend,
00:41:16
◼
►
but the dip in the PC market
00:41:18
◼
►
like the prominence of mobile is making it so well. Many, many years ago, we set out
00:41:23
◼
►
to build this giant fab in Arizona, and it looks like we're not even going to need
00:41:26
◼
►
it. So just keep it on pause there, and maybe we'll need it later. I think Intel would
00:41:30
◼
►
love to fulfill Apple's needs by greatly increasing its capacity.
00:41:36
◼
►
Do you think Intel will eat crow anytime soon? Do you think it will stop being so proud and
00:41:40
◼
►
allow themselves to have Apple bully them into a deal? Because you know Apple, to your
00:41:45
◼
►
point earlier won't go into a deal unless it's extremely lucrative for Apple as well,
00:41:49
◼
►
or perhaps maybe if it totally screws Samsung.
00:41:53
◼
►
So do you think that Apple would get—I don't know if "desperate" is the right word—but
00:41:57
◼
►
punchy enough to give Samsung the middle finger, and simultaneously Intel will get desperate
00:42:03
◼
►
enough to take on Apple?
00:42:06
◼
►
I think that's—the only thing you could scare Apple with would be like, "Well, Apple,
00:42:11
◼
►
I know we've been going back and forth and we keep saying you've got to take x86 and
00:42:14
◼
►
keep saying just fab our A8 chip as is on ARM and we can never come to agreement, but
00:42:18
◼
►
you know Samsung is over here and they're talking to us and they want us to get – like
00:42:23
◼
►
the only way you can try to make them jealous is like, look, if you don't do it, Samsung
00:42:25
◼
►
is going to. You know Samsung is stupid and makes dumb deals and they'll get our fabs
00:42:31
◼
►
and you won't.
00:42:32
◼
►
Oh, they're not stupid. They're shameless. There's a big difference. They are quite
00:42:38
◼
►
You know, I don't see that – I think we're at an impasse until someone's power position
00:42:42
◼
►
changes drastically until Intel gets way weaker, until Apple gets way stronger, until Samsung
00:42:47
◼
►
gets way stronger.
00:42:48
◼
►
In the current scenario, I think in any negotiation between these three companies, between any
00:42:54
◼
►
pairs of these three companies, we're kind of at the status quo.
00:42:58
◼
►
There's no reason that Intel should bend over backwards and say, "Apple's deal is now."
00:43:01
◼
►
And there's no reason that Apple should bend over backwards and say, "Oh, Intel, we need
00:43:04
◼
►
you so badly," because they don't.
00:43:06
◼
►
Nobody needs anybody that badly to make a dumb deal at this point.
00:43:09
◼
►
So nothing happens, right?
00:43:10
◼
►
But just look how long it took to get Intel into Macs.
00:43:14
◼
►
And for a long time, the writing was on the wall that Apple was in the weak position,
00:43:19
◼
►
Apple desperately needed a CPU solution, and Intel was willing to offer it.
00:43:22
◼
►
And even that took forever to come to pass.
00:43:24
◼
►
So I think we're far from that kind of power imbalance here.
00:43:28
◼
►
That's fair.
00:43:30
◼
►
Anything else about Nest stuff?
00:43:32
◼
►
What do you guys think about the privacy paranoia stuff?
00:43:37
◼
►
Well, before we get to that, let's do the second thing we like this week. It is our
00:43:41
◼
►
friends at Transporter. So Transporter, we've talked about Transporter a lot before to review
00:43:47
◼
►
and then I have some new stuff, but to review, Transporter is this cool product which is
00:43:52
◼
►
basically, it works in software like Dropbox, but it's a hardware external drive enclosure
00:44:00
◼
►
that you own and control. So you buy this enclosure or their new product called Transporter
00:44:05
◼
►
sync which just has a USB port and you plug in any external hard drive that you already
00:44:10
◼
►
have. So you buy this enclosure or this adapter for your existing enclosure and your hard
00:44:17
◼
►
drive becomes a cloud storage drive. And it's private and it's secure, everything's encrypted
00:44:22
◼
►
back and forth over the internet, so you can have this thing in your house and you can
00:44:27
◼
►
have another one in somebody else's house or your office and you can have certain folders
00:44:31
◼
►
or the whole things sync to each other. You can install software on your computer or on
00:44:35
◼
►
on any of your computers, or even on your iPhone or Android devices, and, iOS Android
00:44:40
◼
►
devices, excuse me, and you can access everything over the internet from that hard drive that's
00:44:46
◼
►
sitting in your house. And all these folders, all these files are not stored on the cloud,
00:44:52
◼
►
they are stored only on that drive, or whatever computers you're syncing to it, so everything
00:44:58
◼
►
is private, it's secure, it's easier for certain regulatory compliances, it's easier for personal
00:45:04
◼
►
privacy and for, you know, if your principles or standards are such that you don't want
00:45:08
◼
►
to store your stuff on cloud drives, if you're worried about security or the NSA, it's really
00:45:13
◼
►
this very nice product for this kind of hard to explain thing, but trust me, it's awesome.
00:45:19
◼
►
Just think of it like Dropbox, where you own the hard drive that everything's stored on.
00:45:24
◼
►
And they have this awesome software, you install it, it's called connected desktop. They have
00:45:29
◼
►
a new feature in version 2.4,
00:45:33
◼
►
now you can select to automatically sync
00:45:36
◼
►
your special user folders on Mac OS X. You can say, like,
00:45:39
◼
►
sync the desktop documents, downloads, movies, pictures, music, like, you know, all
00:45:43
◼
►
these special
00:45:45
◼
►
media or destination folders. You can have those
00:45:47
◼
►
sync with folders on your transport automatically and sync between any
00:45:51
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computers you have connected to the transporter.
00:45:53
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So think about the possible uses of that. I mean, that's incredible.
00:45:56
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You can have all your photos synced
00:45:58
◼
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from your photos directory, no special directories, not in this Dropbox folder or anything, not
00:46:03
◼
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on a network share, you can have everything synced locally, that's really powerful.
00:46:07
◼
►
You can also upload photos directly from your iOS device to your transporter with their
00:46:11
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iPhone and iPad apps.
00:46:14
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Really great stuff going on there, they're really, they're doing a lot of improvements
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to the software, they're adding new capabilities all the time to these things, and best of
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all, their prices were already pretty good, and now they've cut their prices for the transporters
00:46:26
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hard drives in them by $50. So now, the 2 terabyte transporter model is just $349. A
00:46:33
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1 terabyte transporter is just $249. 500 gigs, just $199. And you can get the transporter
00:46:40
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sync, it's like a little disk almost. And that's the one you can plug in your own hard
00:46:46
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drive. And that's just $99. So it's a really, really good deal here. And there's no monthly
00:46:52
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fees. You know, any kind of cloud service you're going to pay monthly fees. With Transporter,
00:46:57
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you own the drive. You just buy it up front and then that's it. There is no monthly fee
00:47:01
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to access things, even the syncing procedure that happens over the internet. There's no
00:47:05
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fee for that. It's just yours. You just own it. So, really great. Go to filetransporter.com/atp.
00:47:13
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You can watch the sandwich video, which we love. We love our friend Adam's sandwich,
00:47:17
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so you can go watch the sandwich video
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at filetransporter.com/ATP.
00:47:23
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And besides those already low prices
00:47:26
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you can save another 10% off
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Use discount code ATP, and you can save another 10%.
00:47:36
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So thanks a lot to File Transporter
00:47:38
◼
►
for sponsoring our show once again.
00:47:40
◼
►
- So John, you had just asked about privacy.
00:47:43
◼
►
Do you care to restate the question, sir?
00:47:46
◼
►
Yeah, well, it's mostly DeMarco because he's the most anti-Google amongst us.
00:47:51
◼
►
A lot of people are freaking out over privacy concerns that not only are their Nest devices
00:47:56
◼
►
going to start spying on them, but now Nest, previously the company that they loved and
00:48:02
◼
►
trusted is going to start making new products that come pre-installed with Google's evil
00:48:07
◼
►
and they'll spy on you and steal your skull and do whatever they do.
00:48:11
◼
►
So you said you're not going to get rid of your Nest things, but how do you feel about
00:48:14
◼
►
like previously if we asked you how do you feel about the company nasty bug
00:48:18
◼
►
yeah they're right whatever and now it's like oh no Google has them there now
00:48:21
◼
►
they're evil I would certainly hesitate before ever buying another one that's
00:48:27
◼
►
that's for sure but I think you know I'm not gonna I'm not gonna rip the curtains
00:48:31
◼
►
off the wall I mean my I don't hate Google I'm a I'm kind of just a maybe a
00:48:37
◼
►
skeptic or maybe a cynic but certainly a skeptic and and by that I mean you know
00:48:42
◼
►
I don't mean that I look at everything and try to find the worst possible interpretation.
00:48:47
◼
►
I just try, I look at things and I try to cut through the corporate speak and the, you
00:48:52
◼
►
know, "Hey, we're all friends here," kind of, you know, patronization.
00:48:56
◼
►
Patronization?
00:48:57
◼
►
Patronization?
00:49:00
◼
►
Try to cut through all that and because corporate communication is just infected with bloat
00:49:06
◼
►
and euphemism and just diversions.
00:49:11
◼
►
All this crap to candy-coat bad news
00:49:15
◼
►
or to hide things that they don't really want you
00:49:18
◼
►
to think about or that are inconvenient for you
00:49:22
◼
►
to think about.
00:49:23
◼
►
And we used to think that the tech industry
00:49:26
◼
►
was different and real, and now the tech industry
00:49:29
◼
►
is big enough that that's not the case.
00:49:30
◼
►
The tech industry has just as much corporate crap
00:49:32
◼
►
in all of its communication as everybody else does.
00:49:34
◼
►
So I try to cut through all that and look at things realistically because history has
00:49:39
◼
►
proven that all of these nice candy-coated statements from the big tech companies, there's
00:49:45
◼
►
usually a real truth there that's less pretty if you think about it.
00:49:52
◼
►
And again, history has proven that that is usually the case.
00:49:55
◼
►
Once you see what companies say versus what happens and what happens next and what happens
00:49:59
◼
►
two years later, I think I'm not being unreasonable with a lot of this stuff.
00:50:04
◼
►
So, and I'm not saying I'm always right
00:50:06
◼
►
that everyone's always, you know, turns evil or anything,
00:50:08
◼
►
but I think history has shown that there's good reason
00:50:12
◼
►
to be skeptical of what companies tell you,
00:50:14
◼
►
and there's good reason to try to cut through
00:50:16
◼
►
some of this crap that tries to candy-coat and spin things.
00:50:18
◼
►
So, I look at what they're doing here, and I say,
00:50:22
◼
►
well, you know, obviously they say now
00:50:25
◼
►
that you don't have to worry.
00:50:27
◼
►
We're keeping these companies as separate units,
00:50:30
◼
►
and Nest data will only be used
00:50:32
◼
►
improve Nest products and services. But obviously that doesn't really mean anything because
00:50:37
◼
►
they can always change that, because privacy policies can always be changed. So they can
00:50:40
◼
►
always change that. And the definition of what exactly a Nest product and service is
00:50:45
◼
►
can be so broad once they're owned by Google, then it doesn't really matter.
00:50:50
◼
►
So if you're concerned about Nest data being used by Google, then that's a valid concern.
00:50:58
◼
►
and I don't think you can trust anything that they say
00:51:00
◼
►
to the contrary that you shouldn't be concerned about that.
00:51:03
◼
►
I think if you don't want Google knowing stuff
00:51:06
◼
►
that your nest can find out or can infer,
00:51:11
◼
►
then that's a valid concern and their statements
00:51:17
◼
►
have not done anything to really alleviate that
00:51:19
◼
►
to any critical eye.
00:51:21
◼
►
That being said, me personally,
00:51:22
◼
►
I don't care that strongly about it.
00:51:26
◼
►
If I cared so strongly, I would block Google in my hosts file
00:51:30
◼
►
and just not ever use any of their services
00:51:33
◼
►
and block all of their embeds everywhere
00:51:35
◼
►
and just be fine with that.
00:51:38
◼
►
I don't care that strongly about it.
00:51:41
◼
►
I try to keep a somewhat healthy distance from Google,
00:51:44
◼
►
but I still use their stuff when it's the best tool
00:51:46
◼
►
for the job for what I'm doing.
00:51:48
◼
►
And so I still use search.
00:51:49
◼
►
I still use maps and probably some other stuff
00:51:53
◼
►
I'm not even aware of.
00:51:54
◼
►
I still use analytics on my site, even though I hate it.
00:51:57
◼
►
I still use it.
00:51:59
◼
►
And so I don't care that strongly about it.
00:52:02
◼
►
And I think caring so strongly to try to avoid one company--
00:52:07
◼
►
like bending over backwards to avoid one company
00:52:10
◼
►
is usually just hurting yourself.
00:52:13
◼
►
And it's like when people have a bad experience flying
00:52:17
◼
►
And then they're like, oh, I'm never going to fly Delta
00:52:19
◼
►
or whatever again.
00:52:20
◼
►
They're out of airlines at five years.
00:52:24
◼
►
all suck. Exactly. And so that's how this stuff is. Like every tech giant, Apple included,
00:52:29
◼
►
does stuff that I don't like and that offends me. And so you just kind of have to look at
00:52:34
◼
►
pragmatism and say, "Well, okay, you know, I could go full Stalman or I could be useful."
00:52:42
◼
►
And it's, you know, I choose to have things be a little bit easier. And everybody makes
00:52:46
◼
►
the same trade-off. That's why all these ad-supported, creepy services are able to exist and thrive
00:52:51
◼
►
so well because everybody's making that same trade-off. People say, "I don't want to pay
00:52:54
◼
►
for email hosting." Fine, I'll go to Gmail. It's good enough or it's the best in their
00:52:59
◼
►
opinion and that's fine with them. So, you know, everyone has a line where they draw
00:53:04
◼
►
to say like, "Well, I will tolerate, you know, X amount of ad/creepiness/cost to me. I will
00:53:12
◼
►
tolerate that in exchange for the service or product that I want to use." And, you know,
00:53:19
◼
►
I'm not saying that you should necessarily move that line and where you draw it.
00:53:24
◼
►
I just think it's worth knowing what you're getting into and looking at things critically.
00:53:30
◼
►
I think I'm probably the biggest Google fan amongst us.
00:53:33
◼
►
I use more of their products.
00:53:34
◼
►
I use Gmail as my mail.
00:53:37
◼
►
I use their calendar.
00:53:38
◼
►
I use Analytics.
00:53:39
◼
►
I use their search.
00:53:42
◼
►
How I even use Google+ sometimes.
00:53:43
◼
►
I have, of course, YouTube and everything.
00:53:47
◼
►
I think where a lot of the commentary on Google Nest and Google privacy concerns from you,
00:53:54
◼
►
Marco, but also from other people, goes wrong is not so much in what's going to happen,
00:54:02
◼
►
So the thing about, you know, so obviously Nest and Google stuff is going to be integrated
00:54:06
◼
►
and, you know, they're going to share data and anything Nest does by definition is to
00:54:13
◼
►
improve Nest products.
00:54:14
◼
►
So that's a meaningless statement and blah, blah, blah.
00:54:16
◼
►
So Google Nest are going to be connected.
00:54:18
◼
►
Google is going to connect up all that information too, all the way through all of its other
00:54:21
◼
►
products because that's what Google does.
00:54:23
◼
►
And I think a lot of those things could be cool, could enhance Google's products, could
00:54:28
◼
►
enhance Nest.
00:54:29
◼
►
It will make Nest better.
00:54:30
◼
►
It will make your Android phone better.
00:54:31
◼
►
It will make Google Search better.
00:54:33
◼
►
It will make Maps better.
00:54:34
◼
►
It will make driving directions better.
00:54:37
◼
►
There's a lot of synergy, as they say in the business, between this because more sensors
00:54:43
◼
►
and more data makes more intelligent decisions, and that's all good. And I think that's mostly
00:54:49
◼
►
how Google sees it, because the people who work there are thinking sci-fi, like what can we do
00:54:54
◼
►
if we had all this information? People always wanted sensors and stuff in the home and smart
00:54:59
◼
►
homes and all this other crap, and Google sees a way to make that happen. So we know that's going
00:55:04
◼
►
to happen, right? And the next thing is like, okay, well, once that happens, this is all happening
00:55:11
◼
►
kind of within one company, you know, Google, even though it's Google Nest or whatever,
00:55:16
◼
►
this is all happening, like, there's some centralization of power. Google was already
00:55:19
◼
►
so powerful because it had search and everything, and now just more and more information is
00:55:22
◼
►
accumulating into Google, which is why people get pissed off at Google+ integrating with
00:55:26
◼
►
YouTube comments and everything. It's like, they want to think of it as silos, even though
00:55:30
◼
►
it's totally not behind the scenes, and once it becomes clear to them this is all going
00:55:33
◼
►
to one place, they think, "Oh my god, this one company knows so much about me. If I think,
00:55:37
◼
►
what does Google know about me?" They know everything about me. You know, you're worried
00:55:40
◼
►
about like the NSA having metadata on your phone calls and everything. If you use all
00:55:44
◼
►
of Google services, they have way more information than the NSA. Now obviously that's different
00:55:48
◼
►
because the NSA is taking it unwillingly and they're the government and I'm not saying
00:55:51
◼
►
this is your equivalent, but I'm just saying there's a lot of information about you and
00:55:55
◼
►
And here's where I think it goes wrong. The danger of Google having all this information
00:56:01
◼
►
is not that Google is going to do terrible things with it. The danger of Google having
00:56:05
◼
►
all this information is that Google will do something stupid or people will hack them
00:56:10
◼
►
Although get them I mean just look at the target thing of getting all information all this credit card information on target
00:56:14
◼
►
whatever any giant pool of
00:56:15
◼
►
information about people as a target and the more centralized that pool is in the more valuable the information is and the more of it
00:56:21
◼
►
There is the more it's a target, and I don't think Google is going to
00:56:25
◼
►
Get all this information and be evil with it although depending on your definition of evil that that may have already happened
00:56:31
◼
►
I think what the danger is all this information is gathering into this big funnel into Google and
00:56:37
◼
►
Google will allow that information to leak out into the world accidentally people will get it from them. It will leak out
00:56:42
◼
►
unintentionally
00:56:43
◼
►
Because that's the nature of the thing like if you if you we've been putting credit cards into these giant databases for years
00:56:48
◼
►
And we just kept doing that and kept doing that until finally
00:56:51
◼
►
You know there's like a little chink in the dam and some credit cards get stolen or whatever eventually
00:56:54
◼
►
It's going to be look every credit card every issue has now been stolen like that's good
00:56:58
◼
►
That's that's gonna happen eventually because you this information is in too many places
00:57:01
◼
►
It's all over the place, and I think where people go wrong with their criticism
00:57:06
◼
►
like, "Google is mean and evil, and they're doing this because they're evil." No, it's
00:57:09
◼
►
incompetence that's going to happen. What's going to happen is they're doing it because
00:57:12
◼
►
they are well-intentioned and they want to make cool products, and then that information
00:57:16
◼
►
will get out because it's impossible not for it not to get out, and then we're all
00:57:21
◼
►
Yeah, you know, I think the thing that people find alarming is that Google is getting demonstrably
00:57:30
◼
►
better over time at figuring you out and getting a more complete picture of who you are and
00:57:37
◼
►
what you do. For example, at work, I was sitting there, this was two or three months ago, and
00:57:45
◼
►
somebody started like kind of spazzing out at their computer and they were kind of muttering
00:57:48
◼
►
to themselves, "Whoa, whoa, what? Huh?" And then the same almost exact same thing
00:57:53
◼
►
happened just a week or two ago. And what was going on was when that person, one of
00:57:58
◼
►
co-workers went to Google.com, it had like, I didn't see it myself, but it had like confetti
00:58:05
◼
►
or something and it said, "Happy birthday, John Smith," because it knew that that day
00:58:11
◼
►
was that person's birthday because they were signed into Gmail or whatever the case may
00:58:16
◼
►
And so on the Google homepage, it said, "Hey, happy birthday, John," and that they found
00:58:20
◼
►
to be very creepy, not necessarily because wishing you a happy birthday is bad, but it
00:58:26
◼
►
It was taking information that, yes, they willingly provided to Google, but to maybe
00:58:31
◼
►
Gmail for example, and using it on Google.com.
00:58:35
◼
►
And just like you said, Jon, it's not really siloed, but it sort of feels siloed to a normal
00:58:42
◼
►
person and to myself included.
00:58:44
◼
►
I use Gmail and I use Google Calendar.
00:58:46
◼
►
I don't know if I go so far as to say I use these services begrudgingly, but I'm giving
00:58:52
◼
►
it harder and harder side-eye with each passing year.
00:58:55
◼
►
And I think that, again, the real problem is that Google is getting a more complete
00:58:59
◼
►
picture of who we are.
00:59:01
◼
►
And to think that they're getting a more complete picture of who we are, even at home,
00:59:07
◼
►
when we are most unreserved, is creepy.
00:59:10
◼
►
Now to argue with myself for a moment, a friend of the show, Stephen Hackett, had a couple
00:59:15
◼
►
of really good tweets earlier today that I'm going to read real quick.
00:59:21
◼
►
He said, "Maybe we should keep our pants on.
00:59:22
◼
►
I don't particularly care for Google's policies, but fearing your thermostat spying on you
00:59:27
◼
►
Then he went on to say, "I'm more upset about what seemed to be a cool, innovative
00:59:32
◼
►
company leaving the market, and I left Gmail months ago."
00:59:36
◼
►
And I think that that was a nice way of saying, "We all need to relax, and this may not
00:59:42
◼
►
And I think that's both right and wrong.
00:59:43
◼
►
I don't think it's going to be bad soon.
00:59:46
◼
►
It may not be bad at all.
00:59:48
◼
►
But the thing that creeps me out is when I was in college, I was just graduating from
00:59:54
◼
►
Virginia Tech in 2004, and this was right around the time that Gmail came out.
00:59:59
◼
►
I remember coveting a Gmail invite like nobody's business.
01:00:04
◼
►
Oh my goodness.
01:00:05
◼
►
They were for sale on eBay for like $100.
01:00:08
◼
►
And so I wanted one so, so badly.
01:00:11
◼
►
And so I eventually had a friend at school that got one and he gave me an invite and
01:00:19
◼
►
oh my god I was so excited because Google doesn't do evil.
01:00:22
◼
►
It says it in their friggin' motto, "They don't do evil."
01:00:25
◼
►
And I was so excited to have a Gmail invite I could get away, well I knew I was going
01:00:29
◼
►
to have to leave my Virginia Tech email address and I didn't want to have to go back to like
01:00:33
◼
►
Hotmail from when I was 10.
01:00:35
◼
►
And so, oh man, I was so excited to be on Gmail.
01:00:39
◼
►
fast forward from 2004 to 2014, a decade later,
01:00:43
◼
►
and every time Google does something,
01:00:45
◼
►
I end up giving it harder and harder side-eye.
01:00:48
◼
►
And I look at it again and be like, hmm, that--
01:00:51
◼
►
- I think you're doing the same thing, though,
01:00:53
◼
►
that got your friend who was freaked out
01:00:54
◼
►
about the birthday thing,
01:00:55
◼
►
and you are both misattributing your discomfort to Google.
01:00:59
◼
►
Google does not have, your personal information
01:01:02
◼
►
does not have any value to Google in the way that you mean.
01:01:05
◼
►
Like, now they know that you're cheating on your wife
01:01:08
◼
►
they have this information, they're going to attack you with it.
01:01:11
◼
►
That information is useless to Google unless they can sell you like, you know, what is
01:01:16
◼
►
that, ashleymadison.com or whatever that website is that you, you know, like, it's, they, there
01:01:20
◼
►
is no, there is no person there salaciously trolling through the details of your information.
01:01:26
◼
►
But the discomfort you feel is founded and it's founded in not that Google is going to
01:01:30
◼
►
do evil things with your thing, is that once Google has that information, everybody else
01:01:35
◼
►
who would want that information knows exactly where to get it.
01:01:38
◼
►
They go to Google.
01:01:39
◼
►
If you want to find out what's going on in someone's life, well, guess what?
01:01:42
◼
►
I know where there's enough information.
01:01:44
◼
►
Think of a politician who uses Google services.
01:01:47
◼
►
I bet their competitor in a close race would love to get every bit of information Google
01:01:51
◼
►
has about them.
01:01:52
◼
►
Google's not going to use that information.
01:01:53
◼
►
It is not in Google's best interest, probably, to sway the outcome of political races or
01:02:00
◼
►
any—maybe politics is a bad choice because it actually probably would be in Google's
01:02:04
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►
like more mundane things like I know you know that you didn't go to school today
01:02:08
◼
►
because I tracked where your GPS was on your Android phone because your check-ins
01:02:12
◼
►
and I'm going to tell your parents that you didn't go to school. Google is not
01:02:14
◼
►
going to do that. It is really dumb to do evil things with that information but
01:02:18
◼
►
once Google has that information, once that information is in one place
01:02:22
◼
►
everybody else who wants to do bad things to you, the mundane you know your
01:02:27
◼
►
random jerky guy down the block or a bunch of hackers who want to get it and
01:02:31
◼
►
sell it to people who want to use it or whatever. That's the problem. So when people, when you're
01:02:35
◼
►
giving Google your hard side eye, it's not that you shouldn't be afraid that Google is
01:02:40
◼
►
going to do evil stuff, because that would be incredibly stupid for Google to do evil
01:02:43
◼
►
stuff to you. It would not be in their interest. But you do know that they have this information,
01:02:49
◼
►
and you do know that there's someone out there who could want it, and now they know where
01:02:53
◼
►
Yeah, and I think you're right, but it's not necessarily about Google doing evil. It's
01:02:58
◼
►
It's about mundane things that you think should fly under everyone's radar don't anymore.
01:03:06
◼
►
And let me give you a concrete example.
01:03:08
◼
►
A friend of mine at work, my buddy George, he said to me, "Oh, you know, I was looking
01:03:12
◼
►
up how much it would be to pay off the rest of the loan on my car."
01:03:17
◼
►
And he said, "I did this on Saturday," or something like that.
01:03:20
◼
►
"Well, get this, Casey," he says, "Come Monday, I got a call from my dealer that I
01:03:26
◼
►
bought the car from saying, "Hey man, did you ever think about coming in and upgrading
01:03:32
◼
►
And there was something else he had said to me, and I don't recall what it was, but it
01:03:35
◼
►
was a couple, like maybe he got an email from someone else that wanted to get him into a
01:03:42
◼
►
He has a BMW now.
01:03:43
◼
►
And so it was very creepy that him doing nothing but looking at how much it would cost to finish
01:03:50
◼
►
his loan presumably, I mean we don't know this for sure, but presumably led to some
01:03:57
◼
►
dealer calling him and saying, "Hey, do you want to get into a new BMW? I bet we can
01:04:02
◼
►
make that happen." And so the point I'm driving at is this was a very mundane thing
01:04:07
◼
►
that he didn't think would make any difference and suddenly he's now getting heckled from
01:04:11
◼
►
a dealer because of it. And I think Google having a more complete picture of who each
01:04:16
◼
►
one of us is could lead to things like that.
01:04:19
◼
►
Another example is, Tyty in the chat earlier said, and I read the same article but I forget
01:04:24
◼
►
the details, that Target had started emailing some woman's, some young lady's dad because
01:04:32
◼
►
they like shared a credit card or something like that, information like, "Hey, we think
01:04:37
◼
►
you might like the following things."
01:04:39
◼
►
And the things were all things for new moms.
01:04:41
◼
►
So Target had deduced, based on the purchases that the young woman made, that she was probably
01:04:47
◼
►
pregnant and would probably need the following things.
01:04:50
◼
►
And so her dad found out that his daughter was—that the daughter was pregnant by way
01:04:55
◼
►
of Target saying, "Hey, we think you might want the following."
01:04:58
◼
►
And that's just weird.
01:04:59
◼
►
But that's like—that was old world tech.
01:05:01
◼
►
We've been tracking up purchases on credit cards for decades and, you know, that you
01:05:05
◼
►
don't need too much information to do that.
01:05:07
◼
►
But what I'm thinking about is where—how do you make this system work?
01:05:09
◼
►
Because in some respects, it's inevitable that there's going to be more information
01:05:12
◼
►
about all of us out there and it's going to be more interconnected.
01:05:13
◼
►
And that's just the bottom line.
01:05:15
◼
►
Like there's no turning back on that.
01:05:16
◼
►
Because the usefulness of it is too great.
01:05:17
◼
►
It outweighs the same thing with credit cards.
01:05:20
◼
►
When you pay for everything with cash, nobody knew what you bought.
01:05:22
◼
►
But credit cards are way too convenient.
01:05:23
◼
►
We were willing to live with the fact that the credit card company knows everything we
01:05:26
◼
►
We made that decision decades ago.
01:05:28
◼
►
Everyone's okay with it.
01:05:29
◼
►
The fallout of it is sometimes Target sends you a thing for baby toys and your dad finds
01:05:33
◼
►
out you're pregnant.
01:05:34
◼
►
I think that's the tradeoff we've made, right?
01:05:37
◼
►
But as the volume of information goes up,
01:05:38
◼
►
I think our laws need to keep up with it.
01:05:40
◼
►
And I think what we're missing here in these laws--
01:05:42
◼
►
and again, setting aside the NSA for now,
01:05:44
◼
►
because that's extra legal.
01:05:46
◼
►
They are the law, like Judge Dredd.
01:05:51
◼
►
What we're missing here is, I think
01:05:53
◼
►
there's no turning back the tide.
01:05:55
◼
►
There's no going full Stahlman and saying
01:05:57
◼
►
you can't collect this information or whatever
01:05:59
◼
►
or trying to do some sort of informational antitrust
01:06:05
◼
►
monopoly thing.
01:06:05
◼
►
like, oh, no one company can have X amount of information
01:06:08
◼
►
I don't even think that's going to work.
01:06:10
◼
►
What you have to do is say, look,
01:06:11
◼
►
we know you're going to collect all the information,
01:06:13
◼
►
but it's illegal to do X, Y, and Z with that information.
01:06:16
◼
►
How about it's illegal to look at that information?
01:06:19
◼
►
It would have to be privately encrypted.
01:06:20
◼
►
It's illegal for you to sell that information.
01:06:22
◼
►
But right now, once Google has that information of yours,
01:06:25
◼
►
there are very few limits on what they can do with it.
01:06:28
◼
►
And it should be like, you can collect all this information,
01:06:32
◼
►
but understand that you're collecting it for my benefit.
01:06:34
◼
►
I can know how long my commute's going to take.
01:06:36
◼
►
So my phone can tell me that my wife is running late and just went to the store.
01:06:40
◼
►
But certainly you can't give that information to anyone else.
01:06:44
◼
►
And if we find out someone in your company is looking at that information, it's a felony,
01:06:49
◼
►
and they go to jail, there is a gap in the law because the laws don't expect any one
01:06:54
◼
►
company to know that much about one person.
01:06:56
◼
►
And right now the law's like, "Hey, you totally clicked agree.
01:06:59
◼
►
You totally signed up.
01:07:00
◼
►
You gave them that information.
01:07:01
◼
►
Google owns that information.
01:07:02
◼
►
You don't own that information.
01:07:03
◼
►
That's not part of your life.
01:07:04
◼
►
And that's the gap that we have that needs to be addressed.
01:07:07
◼
►
Because there's no way you're going
01:07:08
◼
►
to stop them from collecting it.
01:07:09
◼
►
And I think we all want them to collect it.
01:07:11
◼
►
We just want to know that that information is being collected
01:07:13
◼
►
on our behalf, and there are strict limits on what they
01:07:15
◼
►
can do with that information.
01:07:17
◼
►
And if you violate those limits, bad thing
01:07:19
◼
►
happens to individuals, to companies.
01:07:22
◼
►
I don't know what chances that we'll ever get laws like that.
01:07:24
◼
►
But I think that's what needs to happen,
01:07:27
◼
►
because the other things are just not going to happen.
01:07:29
◼
►
We're not going to stop them from collecting it.
01:07:31
◼
►
Yeah, that makes sense.
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01:10:34
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I was thinking about laws that protect privacy of information held by private companies,
01:10:40
◼
►
and the thing that should have occurred to me because it's related to my work is HIPAA,
01:10:43
◼
►
which is the existing law for protecting your health information.
01:10:47
◼
►
And that's a case where the information was sensitive enough that there was the political
01:10:53
◼
►
capital to make laws to address this because they're like, "Okay, well, your doctors have
01:10:57
◼
►
this information about your health," and most people feel that that's so sensitive that
01:11:01
◼
►
like, "Okay, I'm giving you this information about my health, but you just can't give it
01:11:05
◼
►
to anyone you want.
01:11:06
◼
►
You don't own the information about my health.
01:11:07
◼
►
You can't tell my boss that I have some incurable disease or even my wife for that matter.
01:11:14
◼
►
That information is private."
01:11:15
◼
►
And so there are laws saying what people who deal with health information can and can't
01:11:20
◼
►
Now, those laws I think are still too lax.
01:11:22
◼
►
I say this working for a healthcare company, in terms of like what the punishments are.
01:11:27
◼
►
Because if you, first of all, people who sort of work with healthcare information, if they
01:11:33
◼
►
have a business-related reason to see it, it's okay for them to see it as part of their
01:11:38
◼
►
work, working on information systems to deal with it.
01:11:40
◼
►
Otherwise, how could they deal with it, right?
01:11:44
◼
►
But if you see information that you're not supposed to, or there technically isn't a
01:11:47
◼
►
work-related reason, the penalties to the company and the individual are probably not
01:11:51
◼
►
as severe as they should be, especially at the company level, like where they do fines
01:11:55
◼
►
and the fine values were set sometime when the law was made and it's like, that's like,
01:11:58
◼
►
you know, seven hours of revenue for our company. Who cares? It's not a big deal. Like, you
01:12:02
◼
►
don't want it to be like the cost of doing business. So, any kind of law that's protecting
01:12:06
◼
►
information like this? Does Google have a healthcare information? Well, I think they
01:12:09
◼
►
probably had some healthcare initiative like every other company has at some point. But
01:12:12
◼
►
for the most part, no, they don't have...
01:12:15
◼
►
HOFFMAN, Wasn't that part of the island plan, that all your health information would be
01:12:20
◼
►
open source or something?
01:12:21
◼
►
Yeah, every company has done something involving healthcare, fictional, unreal.
01:12:29
◼
►
But if you look at a certain point, I think the accumulation of information that Google
01:12:33
◼
►
has about you will be more of a privacy concern than information protected by HIPAA.
01:12:40
◼
►
Especially for most people who maybe don't have that much health, but Google would know
01:12:45
◼
►
where you are every second of the day, what you're doing, what your comings and goings
01:12:49
◼
►
what your searches are, what every email to and from you said, what your text messages said,
01:12:53
◼
►
they will know. Put it this way, getting back to the evil political opponent, if you were given
01:13:01
◼
►
two choices, you can have complete access to your political opponent's healthcare records,
01:13:04
◼
►
or you can have complete access to everything Google knows about them.
01:13:07
◼
►
If you were a betting man, you would say, "I'll take the Google information, please."
01:13:11
◼
►
Because unless there's some health information, like he has a terminal disease or something,
01:13:15
◼
►
that's your only real chance. Don't elect him, he's going to die soon.
01:13:18
◼
►
But the Google information, boy, especially if it's ongoing, give me the Google information
01:13:24
◼
►
feed on my opponent.
01:13:25
◼
►
That's super valuable.
01:13:26
◼
►
So the laws the government of Google can do with the information we give them should already
01:13:31
◼
►
be stronger than HIPAA.
01:13:33
◼
►
And HIPAA, I think, could be stronger still.
01:13:35
◼
►
So we're far from that, but what else is new?
01:13:38
◼
►
Welcome to America.
01:13:40
◼
►
One thing that gives me hope is here.
01:13:43
◼
►
I'm going to put this link in the notes.
01:13:47
◼
►
It's an article on The Verge by Nielai Patel, who hates me, but I like him.
01:13:51
◼
►
And it's about—he posted a couple of days ago, yesterday, about, you know, called "Why
01:13:56
◼
►
Is Everyone Disappointed by Google Buying Nest?"
01:13:58
◼
►
And at the end, he says, "Google—" like, people are becoming skeptical of Google's
01:14:02
◼
►
motives and becoming a little afraid of here, afraid of an unchecked Google.
01:14:08
◼
►
What's the date on this, Lake?
01:14:09
◼
►
Because I'm pretty sure we all had this conversation, like, three years ago.
01:14:13
◼
►
About, "Hey, people are becoming—I swear.
01:14:16
◼
►
on an actual podcast, maybe exactly three years ago, I remember being on a podcast where
01:14:22
◼
►
we were talking about this, the tide had turned. Maybe it was Google thinking of buying Twitter
01:14:28
◼
►
or something, and that was the talking point. It's like, "Hey, remember when we used to
01:14:31
◼
►
be excited when Google would buy somebody, and nowadays, or excited when our favorite
01:14:36
◼
►
startup got bought, and nowadays when Google buys somebody, we're like, 'Aw, well, that's
01:14:41
◼
►
the end of that, and now they're going to be evil.'" This, I think, you could keep rerunning
01:14:46
◼
►
this story every year every time they buy something?
01:14:49
◼
►
Well, I think I've felt a shift in this myself, just anecdotally, because I've been
01:14:56
◼
►
skeptical of Google and expressing fear of an unchecked Google, I think a few years longer
01:15:03
◼
►
than most people have in the tech writing world. And I kind of felt like I was being
01:15:10
◼
►
like my own crazy paranoid self out in the middle of the woods.
01:15:15
◼
►
That's true, but it felt like I was the only one who felt this way, who wasn't that excited
01:15:21
◼
►
whenever Google would roll out some new feature that would crush a whole industry.
01:15:26
◼
►
I was never all in on Google.
01:15:31
◼
►
Maybe it was the Déjà Nous.
01:15:32
◼
►
I think maybe that was the thing I'm thinking.
01:15:34
◼
►
Remember when they bought Déjà Nous?
01:15:36
◼
►
Do you remember what Déjà Nous was?
01:15:38
◼
►
That's what I'm saying.
01:15:39
◼
►
It's way back in time.
01:15:40
◼
►
Déjà Nous was the thing that had all the Usenet posts.
01:15:41
◼
►
Oh, and that's how they got it all?
01:15:43
◼
►
Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.
01:15:44
◼
►
That became Google Groups.
01:15:46
◼
►
And Deja News was like, oh, Deja News is great.
01:15:47
◼
►
You can find stuff in-- because Usenet was terrible to use
01:15:50
◼
►
the native way.
01:15:51
◼
►
And so you would use Deja News.
01:15:53
◼
►
And they Google bought them.
01:15:54
◼
►
And everyone was like, oh, that's too bad.
01:15:55
◼
►
And I don't know what date that is.
01:15:57
◼
►
Someone in the chat room could look it up.
01:15:58
◼
►
But that was a long time ago.
01:15:59
◼
►
And that was, I think, the first time that conversation came up
01:16:02
◼
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of, we all love Google.
01:16:04
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We all love Deja News.
01:16:05
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Why aren't we happy when Google buys Deja News?
01:16:08
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Well, Google Groups is why, I guess.
01:16:11
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What gives me hope is that this is no longer an isolated
01:16:14
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opinion. This is no longer a minority opinion. And it was. Even back then, it was. Even a
01:16:19
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►
year ago, it was. Now, though, people are starting to get a little bit creeped out by
01:16:24
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Google, and I think that's the best for everybody, including Google, that people are finally
01:16:29
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►
getting a little bit skeptical, a little bit like, "You know, maybe we should put a little
01:16:34
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►
more critical thought into this before we go celebrate and throw all of our data in
01:16:38
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here." And that's very good.
01:16:40
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Well, it's spreading wider, right? Like, the nerds have always been concerned, and by the
01:16:44
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The chat room says it was 2001 when Google bought DejaNos.
01:16:46
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But now it's spreading wider.
01:16:47
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I guess The Verge is still a tech nerd site.
01:16:49
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But I don't guess I can read enough of The New York Times
01:16:53
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and stuff to know.
01:16:54
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Is it coming up at that point?
01:16:56
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But I think now if you asked the average person,
01:17:00
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how do you feel about Google acquiring a company,
01:17:02
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they're going to say, I don't know what Nest is.
01:17:04
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Explain it to me.
01:17:05
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If they think about it for a little while,
01:17:07
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it will probably occur to them, Google's getting
01:17:09
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a lot of information about us.
01:17:10
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And I think it's just been slowly ramping up.
01:17:13
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Once we get that mainstream kind of acceptance, but you can take a microphone to anyone on
01:17:16
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the street and say, "Hey, Google is thinking of buying X. What do you think about that?"
01:17:20
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And they groan, then that's it.
01:17:22
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►
They will have made complete penetration.
01:17:24
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So I think it's escalating.
01:17:27
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And I guess you measure it in our nerdosphere by the number and volume in terms of loudness
01:17:36
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►
of posts whenever Google buys somebody.
01:17:39
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►
And so maybe like this time, there's even more articles and they're even more strident
01:17:43
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►
and angry about it. But I'm not quite sure it's crossed over to USA Today yet. Maybe
01:17:48
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USA Today will run a story about this, but will the tone of the USA Today story be, "Look
01:17:54
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at all this extra information Google is getting about you, and isn't it unsafe that one company
01:17:58
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►
has all that information?" And again, I cringe every time it's like, "Because Google is going
01:18:02
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►
to do evil things with it. Google is going to do stuff that makes them money with it."
01:18:05
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And maybe that's selling it to advertisers and stuff like that, and maybe you consider
01:18:08
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►
that evil. But Google is not going to tell your wife that you're cheating on her. It's
01:18:11
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►
not in Google's interest to do that. Not on purpose anyway, they'll do it accidentally,
01:18:14
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►
but not on purpose. But once Google has that information, it is extremely dangerous that
01:18:20
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►
anybody has that information, especially a company like Google that doesn't care anything
01:18:23
◼
►
about you or your life. They're just like, "Well, we'll protect it as best we can, but
01:18:27
◼
►
if you're stupid and someone gets it through your error, or we're stupid and someone gets
01:18:30
◼
►
it through our error, or we're really smart and someone just breaks in, or we have a bad
01:18:33
◼
►
employee or, you know, whatever else happens." It's dangerous, and hey, there's no real punishment
01:18:38
◼
►
for us other than you stopping using our services, but what are you going to do? Use Bing? Use
01:18:44
◼
►
Pete: Does that mean we're done?
01:18:48
◼
►
John: I think so. Thanks a lot to our three sponsors this week, Squarespace, Ting, and
01:18:53
◼
►
Transporter, and we will see you next week.
01:18:56
◼
►
Now the show is over, they didn't even mean to begin, 'cause it was accidental.
01:19:06
◼
►
Oh it was accidental.
01:19:08
◼
►
John didn't do any research.
01:19:11
◼
►
Marco and Casey wouldn't let him.
01:19:14
◼
►
Cause it was accidental.
01:19:16
◼
►
It was accidental.
01:19:19
◼
►
And you can find the show notes at ATP.FM.
01:19:24
◼
►
And if you're into Twitter, you can follow them.
01:19:29
◼
►
C-A-S-E-Y-L-I-S-S, so that's Casey Liss M-A-R-C-O-A-R-M
01:19:38
◼
►
A-N-T-M-A-R-C-O-R-M-E-N-T-M-A-R-M-E-N-T-M-A-R-M-E-N-T-M-A-R-M-E-N-T-M-A-R-M-E-N-T-M-A-R-M-E-N-T-M-A-R-M-E-N-T-M-A-R-M-E-N-T-M-A-R-M-E-N-T-M-A-R-M-E-N-T-M-A-R-M-E-N-T-M-A-R-M-E-N-
01:19:38
◼
►
Anti-Marco Armin S-I-R-A-C
01:19:43
◼
►
USA, Syracuse It's accidental
01:19:48
◼
►
They didn't mean to Accidental
01:19:53
◼
►
Tech podcast so long
01:19:58
◼
►
What are you going to do? It's a two party system.
01:20:02
◼
►
Go ahead, throw your vote away!
01:20:05
◼
►
What the hell is that from?
01:20:07
◼
►
I actually know this one for the first time ever!
01:20:10
◼
►
Hey, Marco watches TV!
01:20:12
◼
►
Marco watches it!
01:20:13
◼
►
Well, I watched TV, you know, twelve years ago when that episode of The Simpsons Halloween
01:20:16
◼
►
special aired.
01:20:17
◼
►
There you go.
01:20:18
◼
►
Look at that, he knows exactly what it is.
01:20:19
◼
►
Wow, look at you.
01:20:20
◼
►
Casey wasn't born yet, but that's okay.
01:20:22
◼
►
Yeah, that's alright.
01:20:23
◼
►
I'm older than Marco, for Christ's sakes.
01:20:25
◼
►
I know, but it was convenient for...
01:20:28
◼
►
You're not mentally and psychologically older.
01:20:31
◼
►
Marco is aged.
01:20:32
◼
►
He's aged by...
01:20:33
◼
►
Is he got too close to the ring for too long?
01:20:36
◼
►
I was spending all the time in the room with David Karp
01:20:39
◼
►
No, that should be reverse aging is David David's like six years old. That's how do you think?
01:20:44
◼
►
He's just it's like Dorian Gray just sucks the life right out of you
01:20:47
◼
►
No, actually it's having a kid that does it. Yeah, that's that's more likely
01:20:52
◼
►
I mean they I mean geez David is like a ball of constant energy and enthusiasm. It's
01:20:59
◼
►
Where did all that energy come from?
01:21:00
◼
►
You have to brush it all off to prevent it from seeping into you too much.
01:21:04
◼
►
Oh my goodness.
01:21:06
◼
►
Oh man, that's funny.
01:21:09
◼
►
Yeah, we didn't get to talk about net neutrality back in the old days.
01:21:12
◼
►
The iPad Pro, it's been in there forever.
01:21:14
◼
►
We'll get to it next year.
01:21:15
◼
►
And someday we will get to software methodologies.
01:21:17
◼
►
Oh, I didn't get the AV receiver stuff though.
01:21:19
◼
►
It would have been good if I had prepared for it all, which I didn't.
01:21:21
◼
►
We keep getting questions on Twitter from people saying, "Hey, when was the methodologies
01:21:27
◼
►
I think I missed it."
01:21:28
◼
►
I got another one for you. When are we going to get to the fireworks factory?
01:21:34
◼
►
No, Marco doesn't get that one. All right. Let's notice we'll get it.
01:21:40
◼
►
Somebody will get it.
01:21:41
◼
►
Whatever. Do you want to do titles?
01:21:44
◼
►
I haven't seen anything better than Marco bought four. I think that's my top choice.
01:21:47
◼
►
I can come around to that.
01:21:49
◼
►
Did you see – speaking of Marco buying four, did you see the flat LED light bulbs?
01:21:54
◼
►
Oh, yeah, the Philips ones?
01:21:57
◼
►
As soon as I can buy one, I'll order one just to try it out.
01:22:00
◼
►
But it's getting to the point now where there's tons of pretty decent LED bulbs that are roughly
01:22:06
◼
►
60 watts equivalent in brightness for roughly $12.
01:22:10
◼
►
Why do they keep doing only 60s?
01:22:12
◼
►
I would start buying them maybe if they did hundreds equivalent.
01:22:14
◼
►
Well, I did find a good hundred equivalent, but it's still like $55.
01:22:18
◼
►
So I bought one of them.
01:22:20
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►
And it's awesome.
01:22:21
◼
►
I put it in the one pole lamp next to my desk that I was keeping a CFL in all these
01:22:27
◼
►
these all these years. I think I think I know why they're all, well there's probably some
01:22:31
◼
►
technical reason for the low wattage, but you know in terms of marketing and selling
01:22:36
◼
►
them I think the low wattage because people who have enough money to buy LED light bulbs
01:22:39
◼
►
also have houses with many fixtures. And a lot of a lot of fixtures will use like like
01:22:45
◼
►
one to three 60 watt bulbs. Well I bet I'm saying like if you have a lot of fixtures
01:22:49
◼
►
you don't put a hundred watt equivalent bulb in in 17 fixtures right whereas my house which
01:22:54
◼
►
which is ancient and decrepit, has very few fixtures.
01:22:57
◼
►
So I need those fixtures to be super duper bright.
01:22:59
◼
►
So I will be willing to buy the highest output
01:23:02
◼
►
bulb you can put in there.
01:23:04
◼
►
And I would love it if that didn't actually
01:23:06
◼
►
consume 100 plus watts of electricity
01:23:09
◼
►
and transferring most of it to heat
01:23:12
◼
►
and putting out a little bit of light too.
01:23:14
◼
►
Well, also, I think one of the reasons--
01:23:16
◼
►
I mean, first of all, I think the technical reason for it
01:23:18
◼
►
is substantial.
01:23:19
◼
►
And that is, I believe, mostly heat related.
01:23:23
◼
►
because yes, LEDs produce way less heat than incandescents, but they're also a lot less
01:23:28
◼
►
tolerant of heat themselves.
01:23:30
◼
►
No, it's that heat is concentrated in a smaller area.
01:23:33
◼
►
You know, I've heard that said.
01:23:35
◼
►
I don't think that's the problem.
01:23:36
◼
►
I think the problem is just that LEDs themselves are not that tolerant of operating in extremely
01:23:42
◼
►
high temperatures for a very long time.
01:23:44
◼
►
Well, that's probably true too, because they'll melt or whatever.
01:23:46
◼
►
But the Philips bulb that I was talking about, the flat one, the innovation on it is they
01:23:50
◼
►
spread the things out so it dissipates heat better.
01:23:53
◼
►
It's the same amount of heat output, but it's spread out.
01:23:56
◼
►
It's like, instead, and they don't have to put a big giant metal heat sink on it.
01:24:00
◼
►
It's kind of like the air-cooled equivalent.
01:24:02
◼
►
They spread everything out in a big fan shape on this flat plane.
01:24:05
◼
►
Apparently that helps cooling, and it's way cheaper to do that than it is to put a big
01:24:10
◼
►
expensive metal heat sink on the thing.
01:24:13
◼
►
As of January 2014, it is, I'm pretty sure it's now illegal to sell or manufacture
01:24:18
◼
►
hundred watt bulbs in the US, which is why there's all of a sudden a few more hundred
01:24:23
◼
►
watt equivalent LEDs on the market.
01:24:25
◼
►
Yeah, there's plenty of hundred watt equivalent CFLs, so.
01:24:30
◼
►
Yeah, but CFLs are so awful.
01:24:32
◼
►
Yeah, my house is filled with them.
01:24:34
◼
►
And they're awful, right?
01:24:35
◼
►
I'm not as sensitive to light color as you are, apparently, because they don't bother
01:24:39
◼
►
me nearly as much as they seem to bother you, and the flickering or whatever that seems
01:24:43
◼
►
to bother people doesn't, either I don't see it or it doesn't bother me, and they take
01:24:47
◼
►
less energy than incandescent. So I replaced all of my—because they're so cheap. The
01:24:51
◼
►
CFLs are so cheap compared to LEDs. So I don't think we have any incandescents left in the
01:24:55
◼
►
house. It's all CFL.
01:24:56
◼
►
A part of me wishes that I had more nice things. Like, there's a slim part of me that wants
01:25:03
◼
►
a big fancy TV like John has, or has fancy light bulbs in the house. But about 99% of
01:25:11
◼
►
me is so freaking happy that I don't care. I'm so glad I don't care. Because you
01:25:17
◼
►
know what I do when I need a light bulb? I go to Home Depot or Lowe's and I buy whatever
01:25:20
◼
►
the first light bulb I find that fits is. It's so nice. I don't have to worry about
01:25:25
◼
►
anything. It's great. You should try it.
01:25:27
◼
►
I think with this audience of me and Jon, there's no chance of me and Jon caring less
01:25:34
◼
►
about things.
01:25:36
◼
►
Yeah, like the light bulb—I don't notice the light quality difference as much, but
01:25:38
◼
►
stupid ballast or whatever the thing that drives the CFLs, some of them buzz, and that
01:25:45
◼
►
I cannot stand.
01:25:47
◼
►
And it's not like they buzz like every one of these models buzz, you just get unlucky,
01:25:50
◼
►
you get a buzzing one, and then you just gotta either return it or get a different one.
01:25:54
◼
►
My problem with CFLs was always that it was a lot like desktop Linux and Android, where
01:25:59
◼
►
everyone always says, "Oh, now they're good.
01:26:02
◼
►
All those problems you've had before with CFLs, now we've fixed them."
01:26:05
◼
►
And then I go buy new ones and they're bad still.
01:26:07
◼
►
Like, it's—no, like—and you never know what you're buying, whether the ones you're
01:26:11
◼
►
buying are actually good or not, and it's—oh, CFLs—I have spent so much money on so many
01:26:17
◼
►
CFLs in so many different apartments and houses over the last five years or ten years, and
01:26:22
◼
►
almost all of it I regret.
01:26:24
◼
►
How is that unlike LEDs?
01:26:25
◼
►
Because you keep doing the same thing with those.
01:26:27
◼
►
You keep buying them and seeing they're crappy, except for, like, the one that you
01:26:30
◼
►
like, but then the next round comes and all the new ones are better than the one that
01:26:34
◼
►
Most of the ones that I've bought are still in full-time use in my house, because most
01:26:39
◼
►
of the ones I've bought have actually been really good.
01:26:41
◼
►
Trust me, there's a huge difference in satisfaction between CFLs and LEDs.
01:26:50
◼
►
CFLs were mediocre when they were new, and then as they aged, their colors would shift
01:26:56
◼
►
and get even worse and take longer to warm up to full brightness, and it was just a disaster.
01:27:02
◼
►
time somebody say, "Oh, this CFL is good, so I'd go try that one and it wouldn't be."
01:27:06
◼
►
And ugh, disaster. Plus all the mercury and the complexity, yeah. It's not a good scene.
01:27:15
◼
►
This is exciting. This is what people tune in for. It's not the car talk, it's this.
01:27:18
◼
►
I'm the one who does the lightbulb posts on your blog. What are you talking about? This
01:27:21
◼
►
is what you live for.
01:27:22
◼
►
No, it's exciting to me. People love those posts. I get so much feedback on those posts,
01:27:27
◼
►
way more than I expect.
01:27:28
◼
►
I'd rather have you buy them and find out which ones are good than me buy them and find
01:27:31
◼
►
which ones are good. When the day comes that I actually, you'll tell me when they get down
01:27:35
◼
►
to the price where it makes sense for me to buy them, and then I'll look at your post
01:27:39
◼
►
and buy whichever one you say is good. If they have more than 60-watt equivalent.
01:27:42
◼
►
Yeah, I would say if you, for all the things in your house that use 40 or 60 watts, you
01:27:48
◼
►
can do that now. Yeah, well how much are they, though?
01:27:51
◼
►
They're like $10 to $15 each. I guess maybe the next time the kitchen ones
01:27:55
◼
►
go. That's the problem with these CFLs, they last forever. I have all these CFLs and stuff.
01:28:00
◼
►
the ones in the kitchen go bad, I got new ones. Well, that'll be five years from now.
01:28:04
◼
►
Yeah, well, yeah, but the problem is like CFLs, like I said earlier, they age poorly.
01:28:09
◼
►
You know, they usually, almost always the colors will shift or the ballots will start
01:28:12
◼
►
bugging out or something. They don't, and that's not the problem I have with them,
01:28:16
◼
►
is you buy them thinking, "Oh, they're going to last for, you know, five, ten years,"
01:28:19
◼
►
like they're claiming, and they might work for that long, but you might not want them
01:28:25
◼
►
in that long, you know? Yeah, the only one that I have to die frequently
01:28:29
◼
►
is the one in the room that I'm in now, which I think lasts like a year and a half on average.
01:28:34
◼
►
You know, I would like to say that I also enjoy reading the LED posts on your site,
01:28:40
◼
►
so this way I know what lightbulb I'm never going to bother buying.
01:28:43
◼
►
Exactly. It's good to know. Valuable information.
01:28:45
◼
►
Oh, goodness. Anything else going on?
01:28:49
◼
►
I think that's it. Do you have anything else besides software methodologies?
01:28:53
◼
►
Yeah, but nobody wants to hear about that, apparently. Ahem, Marco.
01:28:56
◼
►
It's not my fault that news keeps happening.
01:28:59
◼
►
We'll get there.
01:29:00
◼
►
Well, I guess we're out of time.
01:29:00
◼
►
[BLANK_AUDIO]