154: A Rich Toddler’s Toy
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I hate looking at text manipulation and
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JavaScript just makes me sad
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of course we got a for loop with an
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iterator that's great good language for
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RI equal zero I less than words that
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length i plus plus seriously that's
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every sea-based language come on oh wait
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no not necessarily it already even even
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got objective c kit has been interesting
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/ collections without an explicit
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iterator for many many years now in fact
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it's been like seven different versions
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of the iterating over collections even
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PHP has that just depressing every
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single javascript library influence
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their on each thing you know and all the
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the es6 and all the other you know yet
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maybe even the later version cs5 have
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stuff like this but then you gotta go
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back down to just the very bottom
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javascript is the new PHP I'm saying
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don't forget to use triple equals avoid
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those corporations we should probably do
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some follow-up so chris adams in rodents
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tell us about audio bus do you want to
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talk to us about that John sure was I
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think it was Marco who misled us on the
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last program yet that's what about audio
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bus being a network thing chris says the
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audio was never relied on network back
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for interprocess communication there's a
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blog post by Michael tyson i think is
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one of the creators will put a link in
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the show notes and it explains that the
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earliest versions of us used to midi sis
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text messages which allow for arbitrary
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buffers of data to be sent across the
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minibus later migrated to mock reports I
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know what those are which apples many
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messaging is built on top of so there's
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audio boss audio processor is getting a
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bad rap on last episode is not as crazy
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as we made it sound and how about the
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internet audio framework
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yeah and so the last episode we're also
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talking about supported better supported
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AP is rather not that put random
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third-party thing is bad necessarily
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especially since this building on top of
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existing facilities like the midi thing
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and mach port structure part of the
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colonel that's underneath the iOS and OS
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10 and apple TV OS and the watch OSN so
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on and so forth
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well there is added in ios7 to the audio
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unit framework something called interact
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audio IA
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that enables a the ability to send midi
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commands and stream audio between apps
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on the same device and so if there are a
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bunch of applications that support this
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mechanism as I imagine there are after
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iOS 7 things like you know virtual
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effects pedals you know for audio
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applications that you can send a new
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audio for one out together but of course
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says marker pointed out last time skype
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doesn't support these type of things
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probably is never going to support these
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type of things so there's still a place
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for and officially supported by the OS
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way to route audio arbitrarily because
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all the audio is going through or the OS
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are being over the is aware that it's
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happening and the routing capabilities
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are probably in there which is how tools
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like loopback and audio hijack work
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their magic but they're the fact that
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they're using private api's makes them a
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little bit dangerous that too to support
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over the long term home so be better of
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apple instead of you know instead of
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forcing every single application
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developer on an entire system to write
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to a new API especially those
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applications don't consider themselves
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audio apps like the most is a geyser for
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people who are making music applications
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to work together it would still be nice
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for the OS to expose the mechanisms that
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are so clearly there to control the
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audio routing at the ls level rather
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than just the individual app level
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cooperating with each other through the
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US so Marco tell us about lightning only
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headphones as John Casey asked about yes
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this is not confusing at all so John
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Casey asked about something crazy and i
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will be talking about
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so basically he he throughout the
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industry idea regarding the future of
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the iphone 7 not having a headphone jack
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probably and a future makes headphones
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are lightning only he said many phones
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come with detachable and replaceable
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cables any chance Apple might make a
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replacement cable not just an adapter
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dongle the idea there would be that
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apple sells you a eight just a straight
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replacement cable for your for your
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legacy headphones and so one and
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highlighting the rain has a little
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skinny to plug in the headphones at the
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top and instead of just being this cold
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feet after the bottom this and of course
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in the middle they could put a really
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good clicker it should be great so
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this is a great idea in in theory in
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practice it would probably not work very
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well because the problem is the the end
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of the cable at the headphone at the
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earcups end of it that end is not
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standard now usually it is either
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another three-and-a-half a shack just
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like that just like the end by the phone
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or its it could be a smaller one the
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two-and-a-half inch version of the two
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and a half millimeter and then around it
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you have a similar problem to the very
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very first iphone or had that big
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plastic surround and you couldn't fit
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every kind of headphone plug into it
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sometimes the plug would be too wide
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like the the plastic around around the
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plug would be too wide and it just
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wouldn't fit around the housing around
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the port that problem exists big time on
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on headphones with replaceable cables
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we're so often i'd say most of the time
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a headphone can't actually even a
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headphone that has a detachable cable
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usually can't use another cable made for
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a different headphone usually something
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about it doesn't fit or it doesn't click
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in right after some kind of locking
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mechanism or something like that so in
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practice the end of the headphone cable
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on on the headphone on the earcup is not
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standardized enough even among the ones
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with removable cables to make it
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possible for somebody to make like a
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general-purpose aftermarket replacement
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that fits a lot of them
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that being said Apple could of course
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make like one that works for all Beats
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or at least the most common beats don't
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have that many popular models they could
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cover those and and cover a large
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portion of the apple headphones using
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population that is not saying it's
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likely they would do this i think the
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most likely answer is they wouldn't
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dress at all and the answer would just
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be well by new headphones or use our
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adapter do all beats have detachable
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cables my you know I don't know enough
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about them to save all do i know many of
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them do and and generally speaking
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detachable cables are something i always
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hope the headphones have and I always
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always doing them if they don't in the
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review because especially reporting for
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desk headphones not as necessary because
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you tend not to wear those out
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portable headphones you know they are
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constantly being wrapped up and
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unwrapped and putting back to taking out
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and everything and select there's a lot
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of stress on the cable
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in the end usually what makes headphones
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died what makes it fun to go bad or stop
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being usable is usually one of two
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things usually either the wire phrase
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near one of the ends usually the phone
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and but if it's a permanent cable could
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also frame at the place where it meets
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the earcup or if their beats they
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literally break in half because the head
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literally because if you're if you're on
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if you have a plastic headband when when
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you put headphones on the headbands to
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stretch out a little bit and that is so
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it's constantly being stretched and on
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stretching stretching and rest of the
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stress of that if you have an all
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plastic headband very often results in
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the headband cracking right in the
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middle that is usually how bad
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headphones break good headphones usually
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eventually break is the cables go bad
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somewhere on the way
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alright anyway we have some super
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important follow-up the internet and
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prosper possibly the country or maybe
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even the world would like to know John
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what's going on with your destiny had we
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talked about my when I had to move my
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playstation 4 off of my plasma
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television onto a separate gaming
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monitor because i was playing destiny a
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lot and I noticed that the HUD is up on
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the screen while playing destiny was
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burning into my plasma screen so i had
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to evict the entire console from the
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television which is kind of a shame
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because it looked way better my TV that
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doesn't this terrible little monitor
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that i'm using right now but when i
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moved it away i also set a calendar
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reminder for a year in the future to say
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course mom it reminding me to check
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whether the Destiny HUD has finally worn
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off of my television because of what i
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heard from people had people have the
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same model as me is that yes and
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retention is a problem but in most cases
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it's not actually permanent it just
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takes forever to go away so it's fine
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i'll put a thing for years some people
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say it took many months some people they
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took multiple years so i figure i'll put
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a reminder for a year
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it's not like I forgotten about it i'm
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watching TV and I've been looking at it
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fact i'm always looking my television i
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was noticing that the you know the
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cartoon network along with that I've
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complained about impact shows was
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burning in anyway this is the year
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anniversary today I think probably the
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day so I took a look at my television in
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the various ways that you can do what
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you put in solid colors behind it and a
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pure white screen and stuff like that
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and i can say that the from a normal
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setting distance if I didn't know where
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the HUD was supposed to be I wouldn't be
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able to see it i think a normal person
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would not be able to see it I can barely
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see only the superb are the big bar that
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feels with a with color as your super
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gets charged up and turns the other ones
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for charge
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I can barely kind of make out where that
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used to be no other part of the hundred
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visible and that even like I i got
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really close to television like am I
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just imagining that it's there because i
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remember where it was trying to love to
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see this
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so I its it is almost entirely gone you
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can totally see the big c and the little
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bit of the end cartoon network's that's
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a good you know
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thing to compare it to like I can see
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the CN and Cartoon Network has been
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banned from this television as well now
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but so I say that the the estimated
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experiment is not coming back to my TV
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ps4 is not coming that evo x I might
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move back for individual game or two but
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i won't play destiny over there anyway
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it has faded substantially so what look
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like a permanent image retention was not
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actually permanent just took a really
[TS]
00:09:56
◼
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really long time to go away so i suppose
[TS]
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◼
►
i put another calendar on him for a year
[TS]
00:10:00
◼
►
from now or visit for a second year to
[TS]
00:10:03
◼
►
see if it's really really gone but at
[TS]
00:10:04
◼
►
some point is one replaces TV with the
[TS]
00:10:06
◼
►
fancy old one so people need to start
[TS]
00:10:07
◼
►
making better televisions the name of
[TS]
00:10:11
◼
►
every episode people to start making
[TS]
00:10:13
◼
►
better television they do John
[TS]
00:10:15
◼
►
Syracuse's our noses the bad time for
[TS]
00:10:17
◼
►
tvs trying to wait about I i bought i
[TS]
00:10:20
◼
►
felt like i bought at the right time
[TS]
00:10:22
◼
►
about the peak of the previous
[TS]
00:10:23
◼
►
generation of televisions and now just
[TS]
00:10:26
◼
►
got just endure this until we can't go
[TS]
00:10:27
◼
►
outside
[TS]
00:10:28
◼
►
yeah it does seem like you bought
[TS]
00:10:29
◼
►
probably the best 1080p plasma that will
[TS]
00:10:32
◼
►
ever exist and probably the best plasma
[TS]
00:10:35
◼
►
that will ever exist and now you just
[TS]
00:10:37
◼
►
kind of have to wait for like when 4k
[TS]
00:10:39
◼
►
gets non stupid
[TS]
00:10:41
◼
►
well yeah they got to work out all the
[TS]
00:10:43
◼
►
stuff and work out their standards there
[TS]
00:10:45
◼
►
and then get the the old kinks worked
[TS]
00:10:47
◼
►
out like there was a fancier model than
[TS]
00:10:49
◼
►
the 1i got but had started lower
[TS]
00:10:50
◼
►
brightness and so I sacrificed and it
[TS]
00:10:52
◼
►
was also more money and I was like it's
[TS]
00:10:54
◼
►
very similar it's really too close to
[TS]
00:10:56
◼
►
call and I think the extra brightness
[TS]
00:10:58
◼
►
will be a what i want to be i bought
[TS]
00:11:00
◼
►
pretty much at the right time and I
[TS]
00:11:02
◼
►
lucked out with the the fan noise and
[TS]
00:11:04
◼
►
everything which I was afraid of that
[TS]
00:11:06
◼
►
turned out not to be an issue especially
[TS]
00:11:07
◼
►
compared to my previous television but
[TS]
00:11:09
◼
►
right now I when I finally did read up
[TS]
00:11:11
◼
►
on all the tvs and see us and everything
[TS]
00:11:12
◼
►
and now it's like just a battle over the
[TS]
00:11:15
◼
►
high dynamic range standards and you
[TS]
00:11:18
◼
►
know that all those different standards
[TS]
00:11:20
◼
►
and which channels are going to support
[TS]
00:11:23
◼
►
what for broadcast and we'll netflix
[TS]
00:11:25
◼
►
supported and what things the ultra HD
[TS]
00:11:28
◼
►
blu rays are supporting and what
[TS]
00:11:30
◼
►
television manufacturers are and it's
[TS]
00:11:32
◼
►
just it's a big mess i really want to
[TS]
00:11:34
◼
►
just be settled and then it and then of
[TS]
00:11:37
◼
►
course i'll let you have to make you
[TS]
00:11:38
◼
►
have to make a few generations always
[TS]
00:11:40
◼
►
before they get that worked out so the
[TS]
00:11:42
◼
►
long way to go here I mean a lot of the
[TS]
00:11:43
◼
►
HDR standards are being supported by
[TS]
00:11:45
◼
►
televisions the can actually display the
[TS]
00:11:46
◼
►
entire range of the HDR stuff yet so
[TS]
00:11:49
◼
►
yeah two or three years probably
[TS]
00:11:52
◼
►
now just to prevent us from getting a
[TS]
00:11:54
◼
►
crudload of email would you mind
[TS]
00:11:55
◼
►
reminding listeners what TV you ended up
[TS]
00:11:57
◼
►
I oh I don't remember the name for its
[TS]
00:12:00
◼
►
panasonic a vt60 excellent the zt60 was
[TS]
00:12:04
◼
►
the fancy this is the slightly fancier
[TS]
00:12:07
◼
►
alright thank you very much now do you
[TS]
00:12:09
◼
►
want to tell us about pirate eye patches
[TS]
00:12:11
◼
►
because we got a surprising about 15
[TS]
00:12:14
◼
►
back about pirate eye patch is never in
[TS]
00:12:17
◼
►
my life did I think we would be getting
[TS]
00:12:18
◼
►
this series about pirate eye patches on
[TS]
00:12:20
◼
►
the accidental text podcast but here we
[TS]
00:12:23
◼
►
I opened the door the pirate eye patch
[TS]
00:12:24
◼
►
organized well finish closing here so
[TS]
00:12:26
◼
►
the first thing to point out which is
[TS]
00:12:27
◼
►
not something we discussed last time is
[TS]
00:12:29
◼
►
not whether or not the things we said
[TS]
00:12:32
◼
►
about a pirate eye patch is helping you
[TS]
00:12:34
◼
►
see in the dark or actually you know it
[TS]
00:12:37
◼
►
was actually true doesn't actually help
[TS]
00:12:38
◼
►
you see in the dark as we didn't like
[TS]
00:12:39
◼
►
the Mythbusters episode about that but
[TS]
00:12:41
◼
►
the larger issue of did lots of pirates
[TS]
00:12:44
◼
►
have eye patches and the consensus on
[TS]
00:12:47
◼
►
that seems to be probably not like
[TS]
00:12:50
◼
►
there's no evidence of that the only
[TS]
00:12:51
◼
►
reason we think that is because you know
[TS]
00:12:52
◼
►
Hollywood
[TS]
00:12:53
◼
►
and various movies and stories and
[TS]
00:12:55
◼
►
famous pirates and black beard and all
[TS]
00:12:57
◼
►
that other business or whatever but
[TS]
00:12:58
◼
►
historical records of parts like for
[TS]
00:13:00
◼
►
there a lot of one re odd parts were all
[TS]
00:13:02
◼
►
the Pirates wearing eye patches i can
[TS]
00:13:03
◼
►
see better under decks there's no
[TS]
00:13:05
◼
►
evidence for that so that is basically
[TS]
00:13:06
◼
►
probably really powerful you know and
[TS]
00:13:09
◼
►
not really based on anything but the
[TS]
00:13:12
◼
►
other part that we're talking about it
[TS]
00:13:14
◼
►
does that actually help you see
[TS]
00:13:15
◼
►
underdecks and this I think is a great
[TS]
00:13:17
◼
►
example of what i would call testing
[TS]
00:13:19
◼
►
versus explaining some somebody sent us
[TS]
00:13:22
◼
►
a link to this other podcast that had I
[TS]
00:13:25
◼
►
was I forget what it's called but it's a
[TS]
00:13:27
◼
►
like acuminate I podcast we asked
[TS]
00:13:29
◼
►
questions that an expert on to answer
[TS]
00:13:31
◼
►
and the question was like hey if you put
[TS]
00:13:32
◼
►
an eye patch over your I would that help
[TS]
00:13:34
◼
►
you see better because 1i will be
[TS]
00:13:36
◼
►
adjusted to the dark or whatever and
[TS]
00:13:37
◼
►
then the person on the show said their
[TS]
00:13:40
◼
►
answer contained all correct information
[TS]
00:13:42
◼
►
but didn't really lead to the correct
[TS]
00:13:43
◼
►
conclusion and the idea was that you
[TS]
00:13:45
◼
►
keep one eye under an eye patch and the
[TS]
00:13:48
◼
►
other eye out of it it's not as if the
[TS]
00:13:49
◼
►
eye on the eye patch of the people is
[TS]
00:13:51
◼
►
going to dilate massively and the eyes
[TS]
00:13:53
◼
►
out of the eye patch that people's not
[TS]
00:13:54
◼
►
going to because in general if one of
[TS]
00:13:57
◼
►
your pupils is way bigger than the other
[TS]
00:13:58
◼
►
you probably just got hit really hard
[TS]
00:14:00
◼
►
you should see a doctor like they they
[TS]
00:14:02
◼
►
tend to be the same size favors called a
[TS]
00:14:04
◼
►
consensual response or whatever like
[TS]
00:14:05
◼
►
that your pupils are basically you've
[TS]
00:14:07
◼
►
heard on all the television shows you
[TS]
00:14:08
◼
►
know are equal and reactive when they
[TS]
00:14:10
◼
►
did a little nightlight thing in your
[TS]
00:14:12
◼
►
eyes to make sure that a your eyes
[TS]
00:14:13
◼
►
respond to light by you know you people
[TS]
00:14:16
◼
►
getting smaller and be that they're
[TS]
00:14:17
◼
►
equal if one of them stays open
[TS]
00:14:20
◼
►
they want you to go to the doctor really
[TS]
00:14:22
◼
►
quickly right and so they said therefore
[TS]
00:14:25
◼
►
the whole idea of our iPad is silly
[TS]
00:14:28
◼
►
because it's not as if the one under the
[TS]
00:14:30
◼
►
eye patch is going to have a really
[TS]
00:14:31
◼
►
dilated people just waiting for you to
[TS]
00:14:33
◼
►
go under decks and flip up the eye patch
[TS]
00:14:34
◼
►
right now what the Mythbusters did
[TS]
00:14:36
◼
►
instead was rather than trying to think
[TS]
00:14:38
◼
►
of a theory why when Morgan said well
[TS]
00:14:39
◼
►
this is easy enough to test we just make
[TS]
00:14:40
◼
►
a dark place and put my passion
[TS]
00:14:42
◼
►
someone's eye and given some silly task
[TS]
00:14:44
◼
►
let's see how fast that we're an episode
[TS]
00:14:46
◼
►
but see how fast they can accomplish a
[TS]
00:14:48
◼
►
bunch of tasks and its really dark room
[TS]
00:14:49
◼
►
and tried with throughout without the
[TS]
00:14:51
◼
►
eye patch and the eyepatch just crushed
[TS]
00:14:52
◼
►
the non eyepatch one it was extremely
[TS]
00:14:55
◼
►
efficient way to see better in the dark
[TS]
00:14:56
◼
►
and so how do you how do you square this
[TS]
00:14:59
◼
►
circle that where the explaining things
[TS]
00:15:02
◼
►
went wrong is
[TS]
00:15:03
◼
►
the idea that the size of your pupils
[TS]
00:15:06
◼
►
the only thing that determines how well
[TS]
00:15:08
◼
►
you see in the dark that is one aspect
[TS]
00:15:09
◼
►
that would people opens up more to let
[TS]
00:15:11
◼
►
more light in the other aspect of it is
[TS]
00:15:13
◼
►
how sensitive little things in the back
[TS]
00:15:15
◼
►
of your IR and someone sent us a link to
[TS]
00:15:18
◼
►
think about astronomy red lights in
[TS]
00:15:20
◼
►
astronomy and wide running these red
[TS]
00:15:21
◼
►
lights when you're you know looking up
[TS]
00:15:22
◼
►
at the stars and that contains another
[TS]
00:15:25
◼
►
another theory of what helps you see in
[TS]
00:15:28
◼
►
the dark and it's the sensitivity of the
[TS]
00:15:30
◼
►
rods at the back of your eye that help
[TS]
00:15:32
◼
►
you see in the dark from this article
[TS]
00:15:35
◼
►
during daylight hours you're Roger
[TS]
00:15:36
◼
►
overexposed and so they're less
[TS]
00:15:37
◼
►
efficient as life gets them are chemical
[TS]
00:15:39
◼
►
change allows them to become even more
[TS]
00:15:40
◼
►
sensitive in your eyes become dark
[TS]
00:15:42
◼
►
adapted it only takes brief exposure to
[TS]
00:15:45
◼
►
bright light for the rods to overexpose
[TS]
00:15:47
◼
►
once that happens you have a half an
[TS]
00:15:48
◼
►
hour or more to regain dark sensitivity
[TS]
00:15:50
◼
►
so you really wanted to be on the
[TS]
00:15:53
◼
►
eyepatch not to change the size of your
[TS]
00:15:54
◼
►
people but to get the rods in that I
[TS]
00:15:56
◼
►
which are not consensual with the
[TS]
00:15:57
◼
►
resonator I'm like your your iris
[TS]
00:15:59
◼
►
dilation to get them to be more
[TS]
00:16:01
◼
►
sensitive to light and it's important
[TS]
00:16:03
◼
►
because if you expose them just for a
[TS]
00:16:04
◼
►
short period of time it's gonna take
[TS]
00:16:05
◼
►
like half an hour for them to get back
[TS]
00:16:07
◼
►
to super dark sent away because chemical
[TS]
00:16:08
◼
►
change in the eye and not just a
[TS]
00:16:10
◼
►
physical change and you know that simply
[TS]
00:16:12
◼
►
adjusting the aperture of your eyeball
[TS]
00:16:14
◼
►
is over is aperture basically yeah
[TS]
00:16:17
◼
►
so there you go everything you ever
[TS]
00:16:19
◼
►
wanted to know about pirate probably not
[TS]
00:16:21
◼
►
because people are still gonna want to
[TS]
00:16:22
◼
►
know why the hell did we think parts of
[TS]
00:16:24
◼
►
ipads i forget which particular pop
[TS]
00:16:27
◼
►
culture thing cost us to think that but
[TS]
00:16:29
◼
►
we're going to see whether or not they
[TS]
00:16:30
◼
►
have I patches if they did they could
[TS]
00:16:32
◼
►
use them just like the Mythbusters and
[TS]
00:16:34
◼
►
would help them see in the dark better
[TS]
00:16:36
◼
►
fair enough when do you want to talk
[TS]
00:16:40
◼
►
about how this relates to programming
[TS]
00:16:42
◼
►
well I don't know how like the testing
[TS]
00:16:44
◼
►
versus explaining i guess like one of my
[TS]
00:16:46
◼
►
pet peeves as an old cranky programmer
[TS]
00:16:48
◼
►
is if you hear it whether it's going on
[TS]
00:16:52
◼
►
between you and another programmer are
[TS]
00:16:53
◼
►
you here to other programmers sitting
[TS]
00:16:55
◼
►
here you talking to each other about
[TS]
00:16:57
◼
►
usually some sleep corner of the
[TS]
00:17:00
◼
►
language things people have talked about
[TS]
00:17:02
◼
►
language but even Google be an API or
[TS]
00:17:03
◼
►
whatever well if you do this you do that
[TS]
00:17:05
◼
►
it does that and you know if you if you
[TS]
00:17:08
◼
►
call it this way that will happen and
[TS]
00:17:10
◼
►
this thing doesn't have blonde and let's
[TS]
00:17:11
◼
►
go back and forth for what seems like a
[TS]
00:17:13
◼
►
really long time especially if they're
[TS]
00:17:14
◼
►
sitting near you and talking to you
[TS]
00:17:15
◼
►
going to get work done and didn't try
[TS]
00:17:18
◼
►
morning last seconds
[TS]
00:17:19
◼
►
yeah trying to help with like you know
[TS]
00:17:21
◼
►
explain to each other no actually
[TS]
00:17:24
◼
►
language works with all your not
[TS]
00:17:25
◼
►
accounting visible blah where there's no
[TS]
00:17:28
◼
►
reason to have this discussion because
[TS]
00:17:29
◼
►
in 20 seconds of typing you can find the
[TS]
00:17:31
◼
►
answer definitively like you don't have
[TS]
00:17:33
◼
►
to speculate about what the language
[TS]
00:17:35
◼
►
features like so is that a syntax error
[TS]
00:17:36
◼
►
or how would you do that expression of
[TS]
00:17:38
◼
►
this is the correct way to do references
[TS]
00:17:39
◼
►
or whatever don't speculate not debated
[TS]
00:17:42
◼
►
for 10 minutes just type it in pop up
[TS]
00:17:44
◼
►
there's your answer and then you can
[TS]
00:17:46
◼
►
talk about why that's the answer or
[TS]
00:17:48
◼
►
whatever but you don't have to do Google
[TS]
00:17:49
◼
►
searches not doing anything like
[TS]
00:17:50
◼
►
especially if your language of the rebel
[TS]
00:17:52
◼
►
just just find out so it's testing
[TS]
00:17:53
◼
►
versus explaining that explaining and
[TS]
00:17:56
◼
►
theorizing and thought experience a good
[TS]
00:17:57
◼
►
idea but when it's really really easy or
[TS]
00:18:00
◼
►
you know simple or very rarely available
[TS]
00:18:02
◼
►
to test it just testing this is faster
[TS]
00:18:04
◼
►
and better and will lead you wrong in
[TS]
00:18:08
◼
►
its own type of ways if you do your
[TS]
00:18:09
◼
►
testing badly but sometimes it things
[TS]
00:18:11
◼
►
are just very simple so the eyepatch
[TS]
00:18:12
◼
►
thing is like we have a theory we think
[TS]
00:18:14
◼
►
I patches help you see better in the
[TS]
00:18:15
◼
►
is that true so easy to test you can
[TS]
00:18:18
◼
►
spend all day talking to you know
[TS]
00:18:20
◼
►
doctors and neurologists and theorizing
[TS]
00:18:23
◼
►
about know probably get the right answer
[TS]
00:18:24
◼
►
but if you get off on the wrong track
[TS]
00:18:26
◼
►
and think about all the dilation that's
[TS]
00:18:28
◼
►
not you know that that's not going to
[TS]
00:18:29
◼
►
help you there
[TS]
00:18:30
◼
►
it's just so much easier to test
[TS]
00:18:31
◼
►
something advisors knows or cares why it
[TS]
00:18:34
◼
►
they just tested it and assuming the
[TS]
00:18:36
◼
►
test is reasonably sound they come to a
[TS]
00:18:38
◼
►
useful conclusion in much less time
[TS]
00:18:40
◼
►
before we do the last bit of incredibly
[TS]
00:18:43
◼
►
incredibly exciting follow up our first
[TS]
00:18:46
◼
►
bunch of this week is Harry's go to
[TS]
00:18:48
◼
►
Harry's calm and use promo code ATP to
[TS]
00:18:50
◼
►
say five dollars off your first purchase
[TS]
00:18:51
◼
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Harry's offers high-quality razors and
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blades for a fraction of the price of
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the big razor brands they started by two
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00:18:58
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guys who wanted a better product without
[TS]
00:19:00
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paying an arm and a leg they make their
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00:19:01
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own blades from their own factory an
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oblate factory in Germany that they
[TS]
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actually bought these are high quality
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00:19:07
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high performing German blades crafted by
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shaping experts give you a better shave
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respect your face and your wallet here
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is our first factory direct pricing at a
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fraction of the big-brand prices there
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about half the price of what used to
[TS]
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paying for big brand razor blades in the
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supermarket now the starter set is an
[TS]
00:19:22
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amazing deal for fifteen bucks you get a
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razor moisturizing shave cream or gel
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and three razor blade cartridges when
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you need more
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00:19:29
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blades just two dollars each or less so
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in a package is fifteen bucks a 16 pack
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00:19:34
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is just 25 bucks 16 blade for 25 bucks
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00:19:38
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is roughly half the price of what you
[TS]
00:19:41
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would pay for the big brands you're
[TS]
00:19:43
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probably thinking of that sells the
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00:19:45
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expensive razor blade in the store and I
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00:19:46
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would say these are very comfortable to
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those quality and performance wise half
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the price
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00:19:50
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so with Harry's you get comfort closest
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and comedians at the ridiculously low
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price of under two dollars per blade
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00:19:57
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it's also very tastefully designed to
[TS]
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get these nice you know heavy weighty
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00:20:01
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handles kinda like like a modern madmen
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00:20:04
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kind of aesthetic really nice aesthetic
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00:20:06
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high-quality stuff feels good looks good
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00:20:08
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comes in great packaging the website
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00:20:10
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nice and easy to use and shave quality
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00:20:12
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is very good with Harry's you get all
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00:20:14
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this all at the half the price of the
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big brands get started today with a set
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00:20:18
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that includes handle three blades and
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shaving cream for just 15 bucks
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including free shipping right to your
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00:20:24
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harrods.com use promo code ATP to save
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five dollars off your first purchase
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00:20:28
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thank you very much to harry's now the
[TS]
00:20:31
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incredibly interesting follow-up that
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we've been holding off on this whole
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00:20:35
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yes this is riveting and really
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important actually I joke because it is
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kind of silly but I was really
[TS]
00:20:41
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interested to know where the crap is the
[TS]
00:20:44
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serial code or serial number on a visa
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00:20:48
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mounts imac and we discovered last week
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that the serial number for a regular
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00:20:53
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imac with the Bigfoot is on the bottom
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00:20:56
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of the foot right and so the question
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00:20:58
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was if you get one with with the VESA
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00:21:00
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mount that is like that custom on around
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00:21:03
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the back doesn't have the foot doesn't
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come with the foot where they put the
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serial number right and so we figured
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you know probably would be somewhere on
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the mount or what-have-you because where
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else would it be
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00:21:14
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and sure enough James McCain has written
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00:21:17
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in and included a picture this is
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00:21:19
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professional level follow up right here
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included a picture of exactly where the
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00:21:24
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serial number is on his visa mount imac
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and so it turns out it is if you flip
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00:21:31
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the entire machine upside down its kind
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00:21:33
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of printed in there right by the fan is
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00:21:35
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that the exhaust or intake in the back
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00:21:37
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that is exhaust intake is it is the big
[TS]
00:21:39
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bridge in the bottom enough so anyway so
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00:21:41
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that's where it is
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00:21:42
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as it turns out i was waiting for Jason
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00:21:44
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smell to let us know but apparently he's
[TS]
00:21:46
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not caught up on the show I'm very upset
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00:21:47
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him but James McCain has saved the day
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so thank you James
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00:21:51
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i remember back in the day speaking of
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00:21:52
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serial numbers that if you've got
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00:21:54
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certain repairs done to say your laptop
[TS]
00:21:56
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mac the serial number would change
[TS]
00:21:57
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because they give you a full
[TS]
00:21:58
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motherboards a pop or whatever and if
[TS]
00:22:01
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that's still the case you especially
[TS]
00:22:03
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that's why i was asking if this is a
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00:22:04
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sticker or etched onto the thing you
[TS]
00:22:06
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could end up
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00:22:07
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I mean you could end up with that they
[TS]
00:22:08
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replaced the guts of your imac with a
[TS]
00:22:11
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machine that has a different serial
[TS]
00:22:12
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number than the one that is actually
[TS]
00:22:13
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etched into the metal on the device
[TS]
00:22:14
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which can be very confusing to all
[TS]
00:22:15
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involved if you're not aware that i
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00:22:17
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think i remember we actually had
[TS]
00:22:18
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repaired only that maybe to a white
[TS]
00:22:20
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ibook maybe like my mom's why I book or
[TS]
00:22:22
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something we had some repair and they
[TS]
00:22:24
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said just so you know your serial number
[TS]
00:22:25
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will be changing but even though have
[TS]
00:22:27
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the same external case anyway I don't
[TS]
00:22:30
◼
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know if that's still an issue but it
[TS]
00:22:31
◼
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always struck me as weird it that they
[TS]
00:22:32
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would attach the serial number 22 the
[TS]
00:22:36
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physical device but it's really
[TS]
00:22:38
◼
►
connected to the innards of the device
[TS]
00:22:40
◼
►
you could end up in these are scenarios
[TS]
00:22:42
◼
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where things are wrong i think they can
[TS]
00:22:43
◼
►
also like I don't know what does nothing
[TS]
00:22:45
◼
►
for geniuses consensus I think they used
[TS]
00:22:47
◼
►
to be able to change the serial number
[TS]
00:22:49
◼
►
of your motherboard by like flashing it
[TS]
00:22:50
◼
►
back to the old value but I don't know
[TS]
00:22:52
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if that's the thing that they did
[TS]
00:22:53
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yes so as a friend of the show Stephen
[TS]
00:22:55
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hacking in the chat is saying crap i
[TS]
00:22:58
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lost now they have to reseal realize the
[TS]
00:23:00
◼
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boards and usually that comes with a
[TS]
00:23:02
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►
sticker you put over the edge serial
[TS]
00:23:04
◼
►
number also the tipster the chat is
[TS]
00:23:07
◼
►
saying the serials change for laptops
[TS]
00:23:08
◼
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they will often swap the bottom cover
[TS]
00:23:10
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with one that has no cereal like to give
[TS]
00:23:13
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you a sticker all the Indian the
[TS]
00:23:15
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►
indignities yeah we we fixed your mac
[TS]
00:23:18
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which by the way here's a sticker to put
[TS]
00:23:19
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►
over the the beautiful laser etched in
[TS]
00:23:22
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serial number that's there
[TS]
00:23:23
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no thanks yeah i would mean the good
[TS]
00:23:25
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thing is that they're you mean on
[TS]
00:23:26
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laptops is it a problem on the desktop
[TS]
00:23:28
◼
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at least they're like hidden away in
[TS]
00:23:29
◼
►
places that you'd never see it but if it
[TS]
00:23:31
◼
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sits on your laptop like now the modern
[TS]
00:23:33
◼
►
ones that's on the outside on the bottom
[TS]
00:23:36
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we you would totally see that
[TS]
00:23:37
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►
well as I'm getting about
[TS]
00:23:38
◼
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thing that has no serial numbers and you
[TS]
00:23:40
◼
►
can be like steve jobs with no license
[TS]
00:23:41
◼
►
plates on his car
[TS]
00:23:42
◼
►
yeah totally off the grid untracked by
[TS]
00:23:45
◼
►
Apple serial number readers I'm
[TS]
00:23:46
◼
►
untraceable except every other aspect
[TS]
00:23:49
◼
►
trees will accept by all the software i
[TS]
00:23:54
◼
►
just love how deeply offended you guys
[TS]
00:23:55
◼
►
are about the thought of having a
[TS]
00:23:56
◼
►
sticker on your computer
[TS]
00:23:58
◼
►
look either you're a sticker person or
[TS]
00:23:59
◼
►
you're not if you're not the idea of any
[TS]
00:24:02
◼
►
sticker on there is like is horrible
[TS]
00:24:04
◼
►
that's the whole reason we buy max we
[TS]
00:24:06
◼
►
wouldn't have intel inside and video
[TS]
00:24:08
◼
►
power all these like powered by
[TS]
00:24:10
◼
►
invention by asus like all this stupid
[TS]
00:24:12
◼
►
so they put on their computers then and
[TS]
00:24:14
◼
►
on the pc world and here we don't have
[TS]
00:24:16
◼
►
that if you are a sticker person you
[TS]
00:24:19
◼
►
probably want better stickers then
[TS]
00:24:21
◼
►
stupid apple secret them open
[TS]
00:24:24
◼
►
alright so moving out of follow-up apple
[TS]
00:24:27
◼
►
earnings were as we record last night it
[TS]
00:24:30
◼
►
turns out they made a lot of money go
[TS]
00:24:33
◼
►
but there's a couple things that I think
[TS]
00:24:35
◼
►
are interesting first of all their
[TS]
00:24:38
◼
►
guidance for iphone sales is down a bit
[TS]
00:24:41
◼
►
so they haven't said if I if I
[TS]
00:24:44
◼
►
understood things correctly they haven't
[TS]
00:24:46
◼
►
said that they've sold less iphones
[TS]
00:24:47
◼
►
already but they are expecting to sell
[TS]
00:24:49
◼
►
SI phones in the next quarter is that
[TS]
00:24:51
◼
►
accurate as compared to compared to the
[TS]
00:24:53
◼
►
year-ago quarter right unless you're
[TS]
00:24:55
◼
►
there were a number of reasons and
[TS]
00:24:57
◼
►
liking the last year they there were
[TS]
00:24:58
◼
►
some overflow from the holiday quarter
[TS]
00:25:00
◼
►
that was very strong like some of those
[TS]
00:25:01
◼
►
happen in the next in you know the next
[TS]
00:25:03
◼
►
quarter and so we're not going to have
[TS]
00:25:05
◼
►
that this year and also last year's tons
[TS]
00:25:07
◼
►
of pent-up demand for the bigger screen
[TS]
00:25:09
◼
►
phones and this year that has been
[TS]
00:25:11
◼
►
alleviated and then there's currency
[TS]
00:25:13
◼
►
fluctuations and economy fluctuations
[TS]
00:25:16
◼
►
and everything else and I do we care
[TS]
00:25:18
◼
►
doesn't matter well i mean i don't think
[TS]
00:25:21
◼
►
we care about the details in the way
[TS]
00:25:22
◼
►
that the people of financial called do
[TS]
00:25:24
◼
►
like tell us exactly why this quarter
[TS]
00:25:26
◼
►
will be weaker than ever but like I'm
[TS]
00:25:29
◼
►
looking at a Jason sex college course
[TS]
00:25:31
◼
►
with all the pretty graphs and
[TS]
00:25:32
◼
►
everything you just look at the you know
[TS]
00:25:34
◼
►
the 24 according to a quarter moving
[TS]
00:25:36
◼
►
average graphs and try to get a shape of
[TS]
00:25:38
◼
►
the lines of the various products and
[TS]
00:25:39
◼
►
how they're doing and it's some kind of
[TS]
00:25:42
◼
►
our job because a lot of it is revenue
[TS]
00:25:43
◼
►
instead of units in these graphs but you
[TS]
00:25:46
◼
►
can get a kind of idea of where the
[TS]
00:25:48
◼
►
company is that with it
[TS]
00:25:49
◼
►
various product lines you guys looking
[TS]
00:25:51
◼
►
at this page mhm like look at Apple
[TS]
00:25:53
◼
►
revenue for quarter moving average
[TS]
00:25:55
◼
►
showing the total and the iphone ipad
[TS]
00:25:57
◼
►
and the mac mhm right so wait you get a
[TS]
00:26:01
◼
►
picture of the company here the total
[TS]
00:26:02
◼
►
line shows you the company still going
[TS]
00:26:04
◼
►
you know from the lower left of the
[TS]
00:26:07
◼
►
upper right more or less if you could
[TS]
00:26:08
◼
►
enter a trend line growth right good and
[TS]
00:26:11
◼
►
then we're gonna come from using his
[TS]
00:26:13
◼
►
iphone line that is going up but it's
[TS]
00:26:15
◼
►
starting to get a little hump at the top
[TS]
00:26:17
◼
►
of it not you know it's not going hockey
[TS]
00:26:19
◼
►
stick it upwards now starting to go more
[TS]
00:26:21
◼
►
like you know ski mobile monkey know
[TS]
00:26:27
◼
►
whatever you want to call it a mound
[TS]
00:26:29
◼
►
right the the slope is decreasing right
[TS]
00:26:31
◼
►
along the bottom you have the mac which
[TS]
00:26:33
◼
►
always on these graphs looks like just a
[TS]
00:26:34
◼
►
flat line because the fluctuations the
[TS]
00:26:36
◼
►
mac is so low below the iphone the
[TS]
00:26:38
◼
►
fluctuations are barely visible and
[TS]
00:26:40
◼
►
maybe at the ipad which like starts off
[TS]
00:26:42
◼
►
around the same as the mac makes a
[TS]
00:26:44
◼
►
tentative bid to go to the higher parts
[TS]
00:26:47
◼
►
of the chart and says nevermind and
[TS]
00:26:49
◼
►
actually dips below the mac in the most
[TS]
00:26:51
◼
►
recent year
[TS]
00:26:52
◼
►
yeah this was not a good report for the
[TS]
00:26:54
◼
►
ipad no yes look at that look at the
[TS]
00:26:57
◼
►
ipad one look at ipad units for quarter
[TS]
00:26:59
◼
►
moving average that now it looks like
[TS]
00:27:00
◼
►
it's like you know it's a it's hump it's
[TS]
00:27:03
◼
►
an upside-down you
[TS]
00:27:04
◼
►
it starts at the bottom goes up top and
[TS]
00:27:05
◼
►
starts going down again and now we're
[TS]
00:27:07
◼
►
getting like an actual proper hump but i
[TS]
00:27:09
◼
►
think is a better one later on if you
[TS]
00:27:10
◼
►
ever see like the ipod graft your single
[TS]
00:27:13
◼
►
graph with the ipod on it to the ipod
[TS]
00:27:15
◼
►
just looks like it comes out of nowhere
[TS]
00:27:16
◼
►
makes this big lump and goes back down
[TS]
00:27:18
◼
►
to basically zero it makes a nice
[TS]
00:27:20
◼
►
mountain in the graph like hearing on
[TS]
00:27:22
◼
►
the ipod oh nevermind had a good run
[TS]
00:27:26
◼
►
yeah it's over the course of many many
[TS]
00:27:28
◼
►
years but like that official can find
[TS]
00:27:30
◼
►
that graph the things that struck
[TS]
00:27:30
◼
►
striking out looking at the ipod is like
[TS]
00:27:33
◼
►
that the ipod is like it's hump is even
[TS]
00:27:35
◼
►
smaller than the ipad some for similar
[TS]
00:27:37
◼
►
size to the iPads and we thought the
[TS]
00:27:38
◼
►
ipod was this whole big world changing
[TS]
00:27:40
◼
►
apples the ipod company kind of thing it
[TS]
00:27:42
◼
►
is nothing compared to the iphone the
[TS]
00:27:44
◼
►
problem with all these graphs as soon as
[TS]
00:27:45
◼
►
you put the iphone the graph it totally
[TS]
00:27:47
◼
►
blows the y-axis and you can't read
[TS]
00:27:49
◼
►
anything anymore because it's a
[TS]
00:27:51
◼
►
ridiculously huge make so much money so
[TS]
00:27:54
◼
►
many units that everything else starts
[TS]
00:27:56
◼
►
to kind of even out but anyway I I the
[TS]
00:27:58
◼
►
one thing I put in the journals about
[TS]
00:27:59
◼
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this is I think the ipad is the the real
[TS]
00:28:02
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story that i'm interested in at least
[TS]
00:28:03
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and learning the results yet one also
[TS]
00:28:06
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want one thing before it before we move
[TS]
00:28:08
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onto the ipad is obviously the iphone is
[TS]
00:28:11
◼
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the company you know the iphone is the
[TS]
00:28:14
◼
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most important thing in the company by
[TS]
00:28:16
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numbers and then by many other metrics
[TS]
00:28:19
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it by a longshot it's not even close
[TS]
00:28:21
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like it says it down here in on those
[TS]
00:28:23
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charges cause it's the iphone made
[TS]
00:28:26
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sixty-eight percent of the revenue in
[TS]
00:28:28
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the entire company the average selling
[TS]
00:28:30
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price of the iphone is incredibly
[TS]
00:28:32
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important to the company's financial
[TS]
00:28:35
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outlook and this is why you know it when
[TS]
00:28:39
◼
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I when I make predictions or when i try
[TS]
00:28:40
◼
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to explain things that that use the
[TS]
00:28:43
◼
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iphone average selling price as a
[TS]
00:28:45
◼
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justification for why Apple did or might
[TS]
00:28:48
◼
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do something this is this kind of shows
[TS]
00:28:51
◼
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you why that might override decisions
[TS]
00:28:54
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from Apple about things like what's
[TS]
00:28:56
◼
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actually best for the customer or what
[TS]
00:28:59
◼
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actually might be the best product
[TS]
00:29:00
◼
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because it's everything's in balance
[TS]
00:29:03
◼
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with apple with any company everything's
[TS]
00:29:05
◼
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in balance
[TS]
00:29:06
◼
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no company is like pure good are pure
[TS]
00:29:08
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evil everything's always these you know
[TS]
00:29:10
◼
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contending factors that are that are in
[TS]
00:29:12
◼
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a trying to reach equilibrium but
[TS]
00:29:13
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there's there's always the always
[TS]
00:29:15
◼
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contention between them i don't have
[TS]
00:29:17
◼
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contending is a word but it is now
[TS]
00:29:18
◼
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anyway so with Apple they're always kind
[TS]
00:29:20
◼
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of fighting between what they can make
[TS]
00:29:22
◼
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you know what's possible to make what
[TS]
00:29:24
◼
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they can ship on time
[TS]
00:29:25
◼
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what's profitable and what's best for
[TS]
00:29:27
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the customer in the case of like the
[TS]
00:29:29
◼
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iphone average selling price i think
[TS]
00:29:30
◼
►
they are definitely willing to do moves
[TS]
00:29:33
◼
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that will raise the average selling
[TS]
00:29:34
◼
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price by a substantial amount even if
[TS]
00:29:37
◼
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it's kind of crappy for the customer and
[TS]
00:29:39
◼
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I think you can look at the 16 gig base
[TS]
00:29:41
◼
►
size of the phones as one of the biggest
[TS]
00:29:45
◼
►
examples of this that there is almost no
[TS]
00:29:47
◼
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other justification for that you can
[TS]
00:29:49
◼
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look at almost every other reason people
[TS]
00:29:51
◼
►
get for that back when we all you know
[TS]
00:29:53
◼
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disgusted two years ago or whatever and
[TS]
00:29:56
◼
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you can you can rule almost all them out
[TS]
00:29:58
◼
►
by other supporting reasons that people
[TS]
00:30:00
◼
►
like well we buy all these phones in our
[TS]
00:30:02
◼
►
company and no one ever uses more than
[TS]
00:30:03
◼
►
16 gigs
[TS]
00:30:05
◼
►
well you could also say a lot of phones
[TS]
00:30:06
◼
►
don't use the ear positive in the box
[TS]
00:30:08
◼
►
but they still include them like they're
[TS]
00:30:10
◼
►
or you don't
[TS]
00:30:10
◼
►
no your company doesn't use necessarily
[TS]
00:30:12
◼
►
like 3d touch but that thing's in every
[TS]
00:30:14
◼
►
phone to like so you can look at any
[TS]
00:30:16
◼
►
part of it and you can say like you
[TS]
00:30:18
◼
►
don't use this
[TS]
00:30:19
◼
►
that's not necessarily a reason why the
[TS]
00:30:21
◼
►
16 gig thing has to be there and be
[TS]
00:30:23
◼
►
sucking be problematic for so many
[TS]
00:30:24
◼
►
people anyway so Apple is willing and
[TS]
00:30:26
◼
►
possibly i wouldn't say forced to but
[TS]
00:30:30
◼
►
there's their strong pressure for Apple
[TS]
00:30:33
◼
►
to keep that iphone asp up and growing
[TS]
00:30:35
◼
►
and so for them to to do things that
[TS]
00:30:38
◼
►
will increase the average selling price
[TS]
00:30:40
◼
►
by even a little bit it matters enough
[TS]
00:30:42
◼
►
and there's huge motivation to do it and
[TS]
00:30:45
◼
►
so you look at something like the
[TS]
00:30:45
◼
►
headphone jack thing and we're all
[TS]
00:30:47
◼
►
saying Apple always includes headphones
[TS]
00:30:49
◼
►
in the box
[TS]
00:30:50
◼
►
what if this fall the iphone 7 comes out
[TS]
00:30:53
◼
►
with no headphone jack and they don't
[TS]
00:30:54
◼
►
include headphones in the box then a
[TS]
00:30:57
◼
►
huge portion of iphone buyers are gonna
[TS]
00:30:59
◼
►
go spend 30 more dollars when they buy
[TS]
00:31:00
◼
►
that phone that's gonna be attachments
[TS]
00:31:02
◼
►
that counts towards the average selling
[TS]
00:31:04
◼
►
price i think of the phone itself anyway
[TS]
00:31:06
◼
►
however they can't really account for
[TS]
00:31:07
◼
►
that they're going to make a lot more
[TS]
00:31:08
◼
►
money if they do that you know you can
[TS]
00:31:10
◼
►
look at the cynically and you can see
[TS]
00:31:11
◼
►
you know you can say like Apple will do
[TS]
00:31:13
◼
►
this for sure because it'll make them
[TS]
00:31:15
◼
►
more money and it sucks for us or you
[TS]
00:31:16
◼
►
can look at it the opposite way and you
[TS]
00:31:18
◼
►
can say Apple always wants to do what's
[TS]
00:31:19
◼
►
best for customers they would never do
[TS]
00:31:21
◼
►
that for that reason i do that the truth
[TS]
00:31:22
◼
►
is somewhere in the middle there so we
[TS]
00:31:24
◼
►
have to consider that meat and we look
[TS]
00:31:26
◼
►
at what Apple does with a product line
[TS]
00:31:28
◼
►
especially in regard to the iphone and
[TS]
00:31:31
◼
►
how that impacts their profitability
[TS]
00:31:32
◼
►
even for kind of sucks for us and all
[TS]
00:31:35
◼
►
this financial stuff that comes out
[TS]
00:31:36
◼
►
every quarter is a perfect reason why
[TS]
00:31:39
◼
►
they have very strong reasons to to have
[TS]
00:31:41
◼
►
some contention there don't feel like
[TS]
00:31:44
◼
►
they're so wet average selling price
[TS]
00:31:45
◼
►
because they have in the past I've done
[TS]
00:31:47
◼
►
things that have heard there is a low
[TS]
00:31:48
◼
►
cross selling price in their products to
[TS]
00:31:50
◼
►
you know like the iPad Mini is a great
[TS]
00:31:51
◼
►
example but margins I feel like a lot of
[TS]
00:31:54
◼
►
their those decisions are just as easily
[TS]
00:31:57
◼
►
explained if not better explained by
[TS]
00:31:58
◼
►
margins because like the 16 gig think
[TS]
00:32:00
◼
►
the average sales price selling price
[TS]
00:32:02
◼
►
argument is this is going to push pull
[TS]
00:32:03
◼
►
up to the bigger model because they
[TS]
00:32:04
◼
►
don't feel like they can fit in 16 but
[TS]
00:32:06
◼
►
also just result in more people like 16
[TS]
00:32:08
◼
►
you don't quite know example doesn't
[TS]
00:32:09
◼
►
break it down like that for us right but
[TS]
00:32:11
◼
►
surely one thing it does is increase
[TS]
00:32:12
◼
►
margins because it's like 64 already had
[TS]
00:32:14
◼
►
good margins and by keeping the lower
[TS]
00:32:16
◼
►
116 you know like and try keeping the
[TS]
00:32:20
◼
►
price is basically the same that 16 gigs
[TS]
00:32:22
◼
►
they've including on there
[TS]
00:32:23
◼
►
the phone for years and years it just
[TS]
00:32:24
◼
►
got to be getting cheaper for them and
[TS]
00:32:26
◼
►
get the phone price hasn't been dropping
[TS]
00:32:28
◼
►
year-over-year over here so their
[TS]
00:32:30
◼
►
markets go up and I think there are
[TS]
00:32:31
◼
►
really sensitive to their margins their
[TS]
00:32:33
◼
►
margins of things like forty percent or
[TS]
00:32:34
◼
►
something across the board on all their
[TS]
00:32:36
◼
►
stuff so even if they have to drop the
[TS]
00:32:39
◼
►
average selling price by selling the
[TS]
00:32:40
◼
►
ipad mini I bet they're very sensitive
[TS]
00:32:42
◼
►
about what are the margins on the ipad
[TS]
00:32:44
◼
►
mini how can we bring that down by
[TS]
00:32:46
◼
►
putting crap your stuff in it you know
[TS]
00:32:47
◼
►
that's kind of always what they're
[TS]
00:32:49
◼
►
looking for
[TS]
00:32:50
◼
►
can we sell you something with last
[TS]
00:32:53
◼
►
year's technology and in some aspect
[TS]
00:32:55
◼
►
because it saves us money whether it's
[TS]
00:32:57
◼
►
like putting the the creditor camera and
[TS]
00:32:59
◼
►
the ipod touch that's not subsidizing
[TS]
00:33:00
◼
►
they have to have to maintain their
[TS]
00:33:02
◼
►
margins or you know whatever they put in
[TS]
00:33:04
◼
►
their low end phones or even on their
[TS]
00:33:05
◼
►
highest end phones will keep the price
[TS]
00:33:07
◼
►
is more or less the same but will give
[TS]
00:33:08
◼
►
you 16 gigs for years and years because
[TS]
00:33:10
◼
►
every year that gives us a little bit
[TS]
00:33:12
◼
►
more on the margins and like you said
[TS]
00:33:14
◼
►
Marko any anything you do whether it's
[TS]
00:33:15
◼
►
average selling price of margins
[TS]
00:33:16
◼
►
multiplied by the number of phones they
[TS]
00:33:18
◼
►
sell is a tremendous amount of money and
[TS]
00:33:20
◼
►
now that's a lot of what this call was
[TS]
00:33:22
◼
►
about was like a foreign exchange rates
[TS]
00:33:25
◼
►
and you know various other quote unquote
[TS]
00:33:27
◼
►
head winds these fluctuations and how
[TS]
00:33:30
◼
►
the dollar is valued against the other
[TS]
00:33:32
◼
►
currencies in the world as you know it
[TS]
00:33:34
◼
►
seems like it's not that big a deal it's
[TS]
00:33:36
◼
►
not like we're in some financial
[TS]
00:33:37
◼
►
meltdown where the dollar is like it
[TS]
00:33:39
◼
►
worthless or worth ten times more than
[TS]
00:33:41
◼
►
the other currencies in the world right
[TS]
00:33:42
◼
►
but even my new movement and in the
[TS]
00:33:45
◼
►
foreign exchange rates x apples revenue
[TS]
00:33:48
◼
►
equals these tremendous number of other
[TS]
00:33:50
◼
►
things that's all getting thrown around
[TS]
00:33:51
◼
►
on Twitter like the amount of money
[TS]
00:33:54
◼
►
Apple lost due to currency fluctuations
[TS]
00:33:56
◼
►
is larger than the amount of money
[TS]
00:33:57
◼
►
facebook made the entire year or
[TS]
00:33:59
◼
►
something like that like just the
[TS]
00:34:00
◼
►
numbers are so mind-bogglingly huge that
[TS]
00:34:02
◼
►
any like the fluctuations in the chart
[TS]
00:34:04
◼
►
looks like nothing like well you know
[TS]
00:34:06
◼
►
it's a few pixels lower or whatever but
[TS]
00:34:07
◼
►
like those pixels are billions and
[TS]
00:34:09
◼
►
billions and billions of dollars so it's
[TS]
00:34:11
◼
►
it's it's mind-boggling even consider
[TS]
00:34:13
◼
►
this and that's why I'm so glad another
[TS]
00:34:15
◼
►
financial world because trying to judge
[TS]
00:34:18
◼
►
Apple as a from a financial perspective
[TS]
00:34:20
◼
►
is just so so weird because of the way
[TS]
00:34:23
◼
►
the things they value seemed so out of
[TS]
00:34:26
◼
►
whack with the things that like a
[TS]
00:34:27
◼
►
regular person would value about a
[TS]
00:34:29
◼
►
company all they make a lot of money
[TS]
00:34:30
◼
►
they're profitable to have lot of money
[TS]
00:34:31
◼
►
in the bank boy that must be good stock
[TS]
00:34:33
◼
►
like no where's the growth
[TS]
00:34:36
◼
►
yeah this is like when something happens
[TS]
00:34:38
◼
►
i am so happy that I no longer buy or
[TS]
00:34:41
◼
►
sell individual stocks like you know i'm
[TS]
00:34:44
◼
►
i'm like why I have mutual funds that
[TS]
00:34:46
◼
►
include some of these things I'm sure
[TS]
00:34:47
◼
►
but I don't manage that myself and I
[TS]
00:34:50
◼
►
don't buy and sell stock anymore i'm so
[TS]
00:34:53
◼
►
glad because I like I would think of
[TS]
00:34:54
◼
►
things like you know the way you were
[TS]
00:34:55
◼
►
like I would think of things like well
[TS]
00:34:57
◼
►
you know apples doing great they have
[TS]
00:34:58
◼
►
great prospects they're making a lot of
[TS]
00:35:00
◼
►
money why this doctors take a dive like
[TS]
00:35:02
◼
►
and it would it would frustrate me like
[TS]
00:35:03
◼
►
crazy and of course that isn't how the
[TS]
00:35:05
◼
►
market works at all like the market
[TS]
00:35:07
◼
►
everyone says the market is stupid and
[TS]
00:35:09
◼
►
understand Apple know the market is
[TS]
00:35:10
◼
►
doing its own thing it's not stupid
[TS]
00:35:12
◼
►
there's a there's a lot to be said about
[TS]
00:35:14
◼
►
the bad but it's not stupid
[TS]
00:35:16
◼
►
there's some stupid like really doesn't
[TS]
00:35:18
◼
►
manifest in the other way where
[TS]
00:35:19
◼
►
companies are overvalued for like
[TS]
00:35:23
◼
►
because it means that my sister the farm
[TS]
00:35:25
◼
►
gambling buy low sell high how do I know
[TS]
00:35:26
◼
►
what slow well no it's something that's
[TS]
00:35:29
◼
►
gonna be high later and so people at a
[TS]
00:35:30
◼
►
bunch of people get together and say
[TS]
00:35:32
◼
►
look at that company that's going to be
[TS]
00:35:34
◼
►
super high later and you know it up and
[TS]
00:35:37
◼
►
have astronomical evaluation of it
[TS]
00:35:39
◼
►
because based on the potential this
[TS]
00:35:40
◼
►
could be really high later boys
[TS]
00:35:42
◼
►
everybody decides to buy this person's
[TS]
00:35:44
◼
►
this will be great but you know it's
[TS]
00:35:47
◼
►
basically it's speculation what do you
[TS]
00:35:49
◼
►
thinks gonna be high next year is going
[TS]
00:35:51
◼
►
to be apple is Apple going to go up by
[TS]
00:35:52
◼
►
fifty percent by next year or this
[TS]
00:35:54
◼
►
little company never heard of you can
[TS]
00:35:55
◼
►
buy the stock for pennies you know so
[TS]
00:35:57
◼
►
that's yeah it's not it's kind of
[TS]
00:35:59
◼
►
soccer's bed
[TS]
00:36:00
◼
►
not really because you can in theory
[TS]
00:36:02
◼
►
have some knowledge that will help you
[TS]
00:36:05
◼
►
do better witness people like Warren
[TS]
00:36:06
◼
►
Buffett and everything are pretty sure
[TS]
00:36:08
◼
►
not cheating
[TS]
00:36:09
◼
►
they're just a little bit better playing
[TS]
00:36:11
◼
►
this particular game of poker than other
[TS]
00:36:13
◼
►
so there is a skits and it's not a walk
[TS]
00:36:15
◼
►
there is a skill-based aspect but for
[TS]
00:36:17
◼
►
the most part like I don't get too mad
[TS]
00:36:20
◼
►
about the way Apple is treated by the
[TS]
00:36:22
◼
►
market because i have to think like I
[TS]
00:36:23
◼
►
mean this is whatever is something for
[TS]
00:36:24
◼
►
years and years like well but there's
[TS]
00:36:26
◼
►
nowhere to go but down there at the top
[TS]
00:36:28
◼
►
if you had thought that five years ago
[TS]
00:36:29
◼
►
in five years before that in five years
[TS]
00:36:31
◼
►
you just put him in wrong wrong wrong
[TS]
00:36:32
◼
►
wrong that's what all the animals always
[TS]
00:36:33
◼
►
point out it's like every time someone
[TS]
00:36:35
◼
►
says that Apple's at the top and they
[TS]
00:36:36
◼
►
can only go down you just wait five
[TS]
00:36:38
◼
►
years and you make fun of those people
[TS]
00:36:39
◼
►
right but at some point they'll be right
[TS]
00:36:41
◼
►
because it's not apple have all the
[TS]
00:36:42
◼
►
money in the world
[TS]
00:36:43
◼
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you literally have no money example at
[TS]
00:36:44
◼
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all and it's like Moore's law you can't
[TS]
00:36:46
◼
►
you can't keep doubling forever because
[TS]
00:36:49
◼
►
eventually you will have all the monies
[TS]
00:36:50
◼
►
RX ponder this week is Squarespace start
[TS]
00:36:54
◼
►
building your website today at
[TS]
00:36:55
◼
►
squarespace.com enter offer code ATP at
[TS]
00:36:58
◼
►
checkout to get ten percent off
[TS]
00:36:59
◼
►
Squarespace build it beautiful now look
[TS]
00:37:01
◼
►
I've built many websites using
[TS]
00:37:03
◼
►
Squarespace now I've got many websites
[TS]
00:37:04
◼
►
using other means and Squarespace is by
[TS]
00:37:07
◼
►
far the easiest way to do it and it is
[TS]
00:37:10
◼
►
by far the least ongoing hassle and the
[TS]
00:37:13
◼
►
easiest way to get a lot of advanced
[TS]
00:37:14
◼
►
functionality up quickly start any
[TS]
00:37:16
◼
►
website you make today at Squarespace if
[TS]
00:37:18
◼
►
you have to make something try it there
[TS]
00:37:20
◼
►
first and see how much you can get done
[TS]
00:37:23
◼
►
in an hour and you will be shocked how
[TS]
00:37:25
◼
►
far you get
[TS]
00:37:26
◼
►
how much functionality it has and how
[TS]
00:37:28
◼
►
little work you have to do to get there
[TS]
00:37:30
◼
►
if you're going with it for other people
[TS]
00:37:32
◼
►
to even better is if someone asked you
[TS]
00:37:33
◼
►
but actual site for them if you don
[TS]
00:37:35
◼
►
Squarespace not only can you hand it off
[TS]
00:37:37
◼
►
to them and say here now you do it you
[TS]
00:37:41
◼
►
help yourself
[TS]
00:37:42
◼
►
not only that but if they need more help
[TS]
00:37:44
◼
►
if they need support if they need any
[TS]
00:37:46
◼
►
kind of hosting thing or any kind of
[TS]
00:37:47
◼
►
technical support they asked Squarespace
[TS]
00:37:49
◼
►
not you you don't support it
[TS]
00:37:51
◼
►
Squarespace does if that's not a reason
[TS]
00:37:53
◼
►
to do it I I can't help you if they hate
[TS]
00:37:55
◼
►
it here making a website for somebody
[TS]
00:37:57
◼
►
and you want to support yourself every
[TS]
00:37:59
◼
►
time something has to be changed or
[TS]
00:38:01
◼
►
something breaks or the help but more
[TS]
00:38:03
◼
►
power to you that is not me though
[TS]
00:38:05
◼
►
for me I tell people to build if it's on
[TS]
00:38:06
◼
►
Squarespace they can usually do it
[TS]
00:38:08
◼
►
themselves right from the start they use
[TS]
00:38:10
◼
►
a slight push me and say here try this
[TS]
00:38:12
◼
►
so that's what I advise all of you try
[TS]
00:38:14
◼
►
making a site on Squarespace to make a
[TS]
00:38:16
◼
►
website given our CFR you get and I bet
[TS]
00:38:20
◼
►
you will stick with it and just leave it
[TS]
00:38:21
◼
►
there because then you're done and you
[TS]
00:38:22
◼
►
can move on to do anything else with
[TS]
00:38:24
◼
►
your life
[TS]
00:38:25
◼
►
check it out today squarespace.com to
[TS]
00:38:27
◼
►
start your free trial site there's no
[TS]
00:38:29
◼
►
credit card required to do a free trial
[TS]
00:38:31
◼
►
Squarespace squarespace.com start a free
[TS]
00:38:33
◼
►
trial and make a site if you like it
[TS]
00:38:35
◼
►
please make sure to use the offer code
[TS]
00:38:37
◼
►
ATP when you sign up to get ten percent
[TS]
00:38:40
◼
►
off your first purchase once again its
[TS]
00:38:41
◼
►
code ATP and sign up to get ten percent
[TS]
00:38:43
◼
►
off your first purchase Squarespace
[TS]
00:38:46
◼
►
build a beautiful
[TS]
00:38:47
◼
►
what I found interesting about this is
[TS]
00:38:50
◼
►
that the ipads are down and down fairly
[TS]
00:38:56
◼
►
which in and of itself and we have
[TS]
00:38:57
◼
►
already covered that but having just
[TS]
00:38:59
◼
►
gotten a new ipad and now being able to
[TS]
00:39:03
◼
►
unlock if you will all the multitasking
[TS]
00:39:05
◼
►
features in iOS 9 I have fallen in love
[TS]
00:39:10
◼
►
with my ipad again and i know that a lot
[TS]
00:39:13
◼
►
of our friends even let in ones like my
[TS]
00:39:16
◼
►
curly who were kind of aggressively
[TS]
00:39:20
◼
►
anti-pattern very recently are now
[TS]
00:39:23
◼
►
falling in love with her iPad pros so
[TS]
00:39:26
◼
►
what gives am i weird in that I really
[TS]
00:39:29
◼
►
love my ipad mini and is Mike weird in
[TS]
00:39:32
◼
►
that he really loves his ipad pro a what
[TS]
00:39:35
◼
►
what is going on that apparently a lot
[TS]
00:39:38
◼
►
of people have fallen out of love with
[TS]
00:39:39
◼
►
the ipad can answer the easy questions
[TS]
00:39:41
◼
►
for us yes you're both weird but that's
[TS]
00:39:42
◼
►
not funny got there is a separate thing
[TS]
00:39:45
◼
►
exactly what i was thinking about this
[TS]
00:39:47
◼
►
and I think like now that we have a nice
[TS]
00:39:48
◼
►
shape to this graph and now you can
[TS]
00:39:50
◼
►
clearly see that it's like this
[TS]
00:39:52
◼
►
enough time has passed we could be like
[TS]
00:39:53
◼
►
it's not replacement cycle it's not some
[TS]
00:39:56
◼
►
other thing that would like it's just
[TS]
00:39:58
◼
►
basically like this this is starting to
[TS]
00:39:59
◼
►
take the shape of the other type of
[TS]
00:40:00
◼
►
devices and I'm although I still totally
[TS]
00:40:03
◼
►
saw and signed up with the idea of the
[TS]
00:40:06
◼
►
interface that we all know and love in
[TS]
00:40:08
◼
►
our phones being eventually being the
[TS]
00:40:10
◼
►
thing thats the plants will be currently
[TS]
00:40:11
◼
►
no is the pc whether or not the ipad
[TS]
00:40:13
◼
►
doesn't i'm not sure but what the way
[TS]
00:40:16
◼
►
I'm conceptualize the ipad now which I
[TS]
00:40:18
◼
►
think kind of explains like your case
[TS]
00:40:20
◼
►
your attitude towards it and Mike's and
[TS]
00:40:21
◼
►
everything is that currently for now the
[TS]
00:40:24
◼
►
ipad is a specific product not like the
[TS]
00:40:27
◼
►
tablet in general the ipad a specific
[TS]
00:40:29
◼
►
product ID c is to feeling two main
[TS]
00:40:32
◼
►
roles first it is a rich toddlers toy
[TS]
00:40:37
◼
►
and because i mean and i'm loving myself
[TS]
00:40:41
◼
►
in that my kids have iPads there-there
[TS]
00:40:44
◼
►
the kids rich people write in general
[TS]
00:40:46
◼
►
like I most of the people i know who
[TS]
00:40:48
◼
►
live in a similar place that I do have
[TS]
00:40:50
◼
►
suburban lies professional jobs they
[TS]
00:40:53
◼
►
have ipads think of to the kids
[TS]
00:40:54
◼
►
sometimes their hand-me-down iPads or
[TS]
00:40:56
◼
►
whatever but just like I CLI pads that
[TS]
00:40:59
◼
►
are used by kids right so it is it and I
[TS]
00:41:02
◼
►
say toddlers because once the kids all
[TS]
00:41:03
◼
►
they want to phone right
[TS]
00:41:05
◼
►
yep and that's that's obviously you know
[TS]
00:41:07
◼
►
that's everything any
[TS]
00:41:08
◼
►
other thing the ipad is is to you Steve
[TS]
00:41:11
◼
►
Jobs province
[TS]
00:41:13
◼
►
it's a truck the ipad has the truck of
[TS]
00:41:16
◼
►
the world of you know iOS and touch
[TS]
00:41:19
◼
►
devices or whatever
[TS]
00:41:20
◼
►
most people don't need a truck most
[TS]
00:41:21
◼
►
people get away with the car which is
[TS]
00:41:23
◼
►
called the phone that does everything
[TS]
00:41:25
◼
►
they could possibly need but some people
[TS]
00:41:26
◼
►
the weird people need a truck not just
[TS]
00:41:29
◼
►
add pros the truck but the entire ipad
[TS]
00:41:31
◼
►
line is now revealing itself as the
[TS]
00:41:32
◼
►
truck was everyone else is saying you
[TS]
00:41:33
◼
►
know what the phone is fine
[TS]
00:41:35
◼
►
the phone is all I need phone does
[TS]
00:41:37
◼
►
everything i want and then in the other
[TS]
00:41:39
◼
►
realm that you could say it's not a rich
[TS]
00:41:41
◼
►
tell their story what about the non-rich
[TS]
00:41:43
◼
►
toddlers I think tablet still have a
[TS]
00:41:45
◼
►
role for you know for everybody for
[TS]
00:41:49
◼
►
little kids in particular this is a
[TS]
00:41:50
◼
►
great that's like you know a great
[TS]
00:41:51
◼
►
little child's toy but this is my cheap
[TS]
00:41:53
◼
►
android tablets they can watch youtube I
[TS]
00:41:54
◼
►
think like if i replace my kids iPads
[TS]
00:41:56
◼
►
with like $99 android tablets just
[TS]
00:41:59
◼
►
played youtube they will be mostly
[TS]
00:42:01
◼
►
satisfied like that's mostly what they
[TS]
00:42:03
◼
►
do with it is used to watch youtube
[TS]
00:42:04
◼
►
doesn't take too much to run youtube so
[TS]
00:42:06
◼
►
in the current the current life of the
[TS]
00:42:08
◼
►
ipad product line they seem like you
[TS]
00:42:12
◼
►
know a a product that is as a much much
[TS]
00:42:15
◼
►
narrower appeal then the phone and
[TS]
00:42:17
◼
►
that's what they're really competing
[TS]
00:42:18
◼
►
with is the phone not the laptop at this
[TS]
00:42:20
◼
►
point or whatever so it in that light
[TS]
00:42:22
◼
►
I think it's a good move for Apple to
[TS]
00:42:24
◼
►
finally gotten off its button down the
[TS]
00:42:26
◼
►
ipad pro which by the way doesn't factor
[TS]
00:42:27
◼
►
at all these results and I wouldn't
[TS]
00:42:29
◼
►
expect them to move
[TS]
00:42:31
◼
►
I mean factor somebody like the ipad pro
[TS]
00:42:33
◼
►
came at the tail end of the results that
[TS]
00:42:35
◼
►
we're looking at right here but it's not
[TS]
00:42:37
◼
►
that's not a mainstream product right
[TS]
00:42:38
◼
►
it's never you know so anyway the ipad
[TS]
00:42:40
◼
►
is going to be a truck make a better
[TS]
00:42:42
◼
►
track for crying out loud right you know
[TS]
00:42:44
◼
►
what I mean that's I mean like you know
[TS]
00:42:45
◼
►
the in the in the original analogy the
[TS]
00:42:47
◼
►
pc or that you know that like that the
[TS]
00:42:49
◼
►
the computer was the truck and the you
[TS]
00:42:52
◼
►
know iOS devices were the cars and I
[TS]
00:42:55
◼
►
think like I think the pc still is the
[TS]
00:42:57
◼
►
truck and the ipad is like the maybe the
[TS]
00:43:01
◼
►
El Camino or like that whatever that
[TS]
00:43:03
◼
►
well that's your room half truck thing
[TS]
00:43:05
◼
►
oh god I know exactly what you think
[TS]
00:43:07
◼
►
about by can I can't place the Baja
[TS]
00:43:09
◼
►
that's it is yes it's like it's not even
[TS]
00:43:12
◼
►
it's neither a great car nor a great
[TS]
00:43:15
◼
►
truck it's it's kind of in the middle
[TS]
00:43:17
◼
►
there do it there's maybe there's a
[TS]
00:43:19
◼
►
reason why the El Camino is not made
[TS]
00:43:21
◼
►
anymore
[TS]
00:43:21
◼
►
the subaru baja is not is not the most
[TS]
00:43:24
◼
►
popular car I had nobody looks at the
[TS]
00:43:27
◼
►
subaru baja and said this is the future
[TS]
00:43:29
◼
►
of cars you know the same way like
[TS]
00:43:31
◼
►
everyone looks at the ipad and says this
[TS]
00:43:33
◼
►
is the future of computing but it is
[TS]
00:43:35
◼
►
what it is like a totally is like yet no
[TS]
00:43:37
◼
►
it totally is i mean we we have borne
[TS]
00:43:39
◼
►
out one way when they said that they
[TS]
00:43:40
◼
►
mean like us like that a thing that is
[TS]
00:43:42
◼
►
not a PC because it's totally not a pc
[TS]
00:43:44
◼
►
right that you interact with mostly by
[TS]
00:43:46
◼
►
touching and it is the future of
[TS]
00:43:47
◼
►
computing because that's what everybody
[TS]
00:43:49
◼
►
does it but it's also that they do it on
[TS]
00:43:50
◼
►
their phone it's like always the tablet
[TS]
00:43:52
◼
►
separate thing for the phone or is it
[TS]
00:43:53
◼
►
just the same exact thing as the phone
[TS]
00:43:55
◼
►
to get a bigger size and it is but it's
[TS]
00:43:56
◼
►
like why would you think that bigger
[TS]
00:43:58
◼
►
size so most people don't most people
[TS]
00:43:59
◼
►
especially the big honkin phones most
[TS]
00:44:01
◼
►
people that's all they're ever gonna
[TS]
00:44:02
◼
►
need like the pc is still this separate
[TS]
00:44:04
◼
►
separate thing but if you just set aside
[TS]
00:44:06
◼
►
the pc entirely and just look at the
[TS]
00:44:09
◼
►
computers that most people use for that
[TS]
00:44:10
◼
►
person their personal computers are
[TS]
00:44:12
◼
►
their smartphones at this point and why
[TS]
00:44:14
◼
►
would you ever need one that's bigger
[TS]
00:44:16
◼
►
than your big phone
[TS]
00:44:17
◼
►
well that's kind of like the truck of
[TS]
00:44:19
◼
►
the of the phone were like if you
[TS]
00:44:20
◼
►
pretend pcs don't exist which basically
[TS]
00:44:21
◼
►
as far as my kids are concerned they
[TS]
00:44:22
◼
►
might as well not exist like so many
[TS]
00:44:24
◼
►
kids like like your parents have a
[TS]
00:44:26
◼
►
computer but why would you like I'm
[TS]
00:44:28
◼
►
waiting to see if my kids will ever ask
[TS]
00:44:30
◼
►
to have their own computer they asked to
[TS]
00:44:32
◼
►
have their own iOS devices and phones
[TS]
00:44:34
◼
►
without any prompting very very early
[TS]
00:44:35
◼
►
none of them even said hey I'd like to
[TS]
00:44:38
◼
►
have my own computer because the
[TS]
00:44:39
◼
►
computer is something that your parents
[TS]
00:44:40
◼
►
you so it's categorically different
[TS]
00:44:42
◼
►
that's why I'm refocusing and saying now
[TS]
00:44:43
◼
►
forget about that crap that your parents
[TS]
00:44:45
◼
►
use that you don't understand that in
[TS]
00:44:46
◼
►
some other room has this thing attached
[TS]
00:44:48
◼
►
to it with a with or without a wire and
[TS]
00:44:51
◼
►
think about your world of computing
[TS]
00:44:54
◼
►
which is a bunch of these screens most
[TS]
00:44:57
◼
►
of them are like I just want to phone I
[TS]
00:44:58
◼
►
can talk my friends I can I can watch
[TS]
00:44:59
◼
►
youtube videos I guess music I'm good to
[TS]
00:45:02
◼
►
go right and maybe i'll go into my
[TS]
00:45:04
◼
►
parents room to type the papers or
[TS]
00:45:06
◼
►
whatever but sometimes they might want
[TS]
00:45:07
◼
►
something bigger to do more truck like
[TS]
00:45:09
◼
►
things and i'm not entirely sure that
[TS]
00:45:11
◼
►
this upcoming generation is going to
[TS]
00:45:13
◼
►
occur to them immediately to sail now
[TS]
00:45:15
◼
►
any DPC rather they might say I have
[TS]
00:45:19
◼
►
weird needs so I want one of those big
[TS]
00:45:20
◼
►
fancy iPads now that the subaru is the
[TS]
00:45:23
◼
►
by that was the brat but anyway that
[TS]
00:45:25
◼
►
they're they're both true the brad is
[TS]
00:45:27
◼
►
the very old one which is actually what
[TS]
00:45:28
◼
►
i was thinking of in the Baja the newer
[TS]
00:45:30
◼
►
one is actually called the brat
[TS]
00:45:33
◼
►
yes they read
[TS]
00:45:34
◼
►
it's written on the side of it was great
[TS]
00:45:36
◼
►
we're a little like a c-pillar
[TS]
00:45:38
◼
►
equivalent on the pickup truck hybrid
[TS]
00:45:40
◼
►
thing can't imagine why they changed it
[TS]
00:45:42
◼
►
yeah but like the reason that i think is
[TS]
00:45:45
◼
►
apt is because we all recognize that the
[TS]
00:45:47
◼
►
ipad is not a great truck and yeah I Pad
[TS]
00:45:49
◼
►
Pro is a step in the right direction to
[TS]
00:45:52
◼
►
say give us an even bigger screen gives
[TS]
00:45:54
◼
►
a stylist make more room for the
[TS]
00:45:55
◼
►
multitasking stuff that you've added
[TS]
00:45:57
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right it's a baby step in the right
[TS]
00:45:59
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direction to really being like if you're
[TS]
00:46:00
◼
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gonna go truck go all the way but even
[TS]
00:46:03
◼
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if they succeed in that endeavor even if
[TS]
00:46:05
◼
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they say oh now the ipad is the truck of
[TS]
00:46:07
◼
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the new family of computing devices
[TS]
00:46:08
◼
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because this entire family collectively
[TS]
00:46:10
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as the future of computing and some
[TS]
00:46:11
◼
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people need to do fancy stuff like say
[TS]
00:46:13
◼
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run xcode on their iPad or wherever
[TS]
00:46:14
◼
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they're going to be doing 10 years in
[TS]
00:46:15
◼
►
outright does that suddenly means this
[TS]
00:46:18
◼
►
ipad sales curve that we see making a
[TS]
00:46:20
◼
►
big humping on talent was gonna reverse
[TS]
00:46:22
◼
►
know because most people don't need
[TS]
00:46:24
◼
►
trucks like nothing nothing can save the
[TS]
00:46:26
◼
►
truck from being the truck nothing can
[TS]
00:46:28
◼
►
save the computer that most people don't
[TS]
00:46:30
◼
►
need nothing is ever going to make the
[TS]
00:46:31
◼
►
mac pro like sell like the iphone
[TS]
00:46:34
◼
►
nothing is ever going to hockey stick
[TS]
00:46:35
◼
►
any of these things up and so for now
[TS]
00:46:37
◼
►
for the ipad product specifically just
[TS]
00:46:39
◼
►
use pogo stick as a verb
[TS]
00:46:40
◼
►
that's right I did it it's a
[TS]
00:46:42
◼
►
well-established have on the show my god
[TS]
00:46:46
◼
►
nothing is going to change the the
[TS]
00:46:47
◼
►
inherent nature of of that the and even
[TS]
00:46:50
◼
►
even the pc is like what if i pass
[TS]
00:46:52
◼
►
replace all the pcs go look at the pc
[TS]
00:46:54
◼
►
trendlines those aren't great either the
[TS]
00:46:55
◼
►
only thing that is going that has been
[TS]
00:46:57
◼
►
going upward like a hockey stick has
[TS]
00:46:59
◼
►
been the phone and even the phone is
[TS]
00:47:00
◼
►
loving off a little bit at a certain
[TS]
00:47:02
◼
►
point and the reason the phone is
[TS]
00:47:03
◼
►
leveling off I feel like not that Apple
[TS]
00:47:05
◼
►
specifically but eventually with
[TS]
00:47:06
◼
►
everybody eventually there's only a
[TS]
00:47:08
◼
►
certain number of phones you can sell in
[TS]
00:47:10
◼
►
the world once every single human
[TS]
00:47:11
◼
►
everything human alive babies adults
[TS]
00:47:14
◼
►
everybody has a smartphone then you're
[TS]
00:47:16
◼
►
just fighting over how many you know
[TS]
00:47:18
◼
►
they're just fighting of who gets this
[TS]
00:47:19
◼
►
album right so you can have a hundred
[TS]
00:47:21
◼
►
percent market share I cell phones every
[TS]
00:47:22
◼
►
single human alive in the planet but
[TS]
00:47:24
◼
►
you're never gonna get more than that
[TS]
00:47:25
◼
►
right so eventually all these curves
[TS]
00:47:27
◼
►
have to level off and smartphone really
[TS]
00:47:28
◼
►
is a type of product that can have that
[TS]
00:47:30
◼
►
kind of penetration so I when I look at
[TS]
00:47:33
◼
►
the ipad curve and I see it going down
[TS]
00:47:36
◼
►
and I see the phone leveling off the
[TS]
00:47:38
◼
►
phone is like well Apple you gotta
[TS]
00:47:40
◼
►
compete with the other phones that are
[TS]
00:47:41
◼
►
out there to make sure you maintain your
[TS]
00:47:43
◼
►
market share in the ipad i just feel
[TS]
00:47:44
◼
►
like it is slowly growing in
[TS]
00:47:47
◼
►
it's destiny as the truck of the new
[TS]
00:47:49
◼
►
world of computing but I just just like
[TS]
00:47:52
◼
►
it should be a better truck i agree with
[TS]
00:47:55
◼
►
some of what you just said but I i just
[TS]
00:47:57
◼
►
i see a better future for the pc than
[TS]
00:47:59
◼
►
that I think you do and a lot of people
[TS]
00:48:01
◼
►
do and you and again I think you're
[TS]
00:48:03
◼
►
right it's not going to be it's not
[TS]
00:48:05
◼
►
going to really go up from from where it
[TS]
00:48:07
◼
►
has been you know I i think it's gonna
[TS]
00:48:09
◼
►
go down a little bit and then just kind
[TS]
00:48:11
◼
►
of level off at some point where like
[TS]
00:48:13
◼
►
the pc really is the general utility
[TS]
00:48:15
◼
►
computing device and and that is
[TS]
00:48:18
◼
►
incredibly powerful and there are so
[TS]
00:48:20
◼
►
many things that you know we we can all
[TS]
00:48:23
◼
►
call them edge cases we can we can say
[TS]
00:48:25
◼
►
like you know like you like you look at
[TS]
00:48:27
◼
►
you look at so much of of what iOS
[TS]
00:48:30
◼
►
devices can't do and so many of them
[TS]
00:48:32
◼
►
seem like well almost no one needs that
[TS]
00:48:34
◼
►
and that's true but almost everyone
[TS]
00:48:37
◼
►
needs like one of those things and it's
[TS]
00:48:40
◼
►
kind of like that the world of of people
[TS]
00:48:43
◼
►
who need computing computing tasks or or
[TS]
00:48:47
◼
►
abilities that the iOS devices and and
[TS]
00:48:49
◼
►
that that worldview of computing can't
[TS]
00:48:52
◼
►
address is a pretty big group of people
[TS]
00:48:54
◼
►
so i think the computer will always be
[TS]
00:48:57
◼
►
relevant in the same way like Microsoft
[TS]
00:48:59
◼
►
has always been relevant they used to be
[TS]
00:49:01
◼
►
dominant and the only game in town and
[TS]
00:49:03
◼
►
now Microsoft is this kind of like
[TS]
00:49:05
◼
►
mostly ignored boring company that no
[TS]
00:49:10
◼
►
one talks about but that still has a
[TS]
00:49:11
◼
►
great business and still you know very
[TS]
00:49:14
◼
►
useful to a lot of people no one we
[TS]
00:49:16
◼
►
talked about microsoft but their stuff
[TS]
00:49:19
◼
►
is still very very popular it's
[TS]
00:49:21
◼
►
financially seemingly ok and the end
[TS]
00:49:24
◼
►
like a lot of people relying on stuff
[TS]
00:49:26
◼
►
together worked on and i think that the
[TS]
00:49:28
◼
►
pc in general whether it's windows or
[TS]
00:49:30
◼
►
mac and I don't make that distinction
[TS]
00:49:31
◼
►
right now I like the pc in general is so
[TS]
00:49:35
◼
►
general purpose it is so capable
[TS]
00:49:38
◼
►
it is so unbounded by so many of the
[TS]
00:49:41
◼
►
restrictions that modern mobile devices
[TS]
00:49:43
◼
►
have it both physical and software
[TS]
00:49:45
◼
►
restrictions there is always going to be
[TS]
00:49:47
◼
►
a market for a more customizable more
[TS]
00:49:51
◼
►
open architecture more like hardware
[TS]
00:49:53
◼
►
diversity kind of platform because
[TS]
00:49:55
◼
►
there's always going to be edge cases
[TS]
00:49:57
◼
►
and as these mobile devices get smaller
[TS]
00:50:01
◼
►
simpler more lockdown fewer ports
[TS]
00:50:04
◼
►
everybody come on you know if you like
[TS]
00:50:06
◼
►
all the all the stuff that we celebrate
[TS]
00:50:07
◼
►
as consumers as like oh wow this is
[TS]
00:50:10
◼
►
great is getting thinner and lighter and
[TS]
00:50:11
◼
►
and everything is even more lockdown was
[TS]
00:50:13
◼
►
before thanks a lot like this all that
[TS]
00:50:16
◼
►
is very powerful in certain ways and if
[TS]
00:50:18
◼
►
you're making something that's going to
[TS]
00:50:19
◼
►
sell as many units as possible to as
[TS]
00:50:21
◼
►
many people as possible that is a good
[TS]
00:50:23
◼
►
way to do it and that's that's going to
[TS]
00:50:25
◼
►
keep working i always say never bet
[TS]
00:50:26
◼
►
against the smartphone's very powerful
[TS]
00:50:28
◼
►
but i don't think that has to come at
[TS]
00:50:31
◼
►
the expense of the entire pc business it
[TS]
00:50:35
◼
►
will come at the expense of some of the
[TS]
00:50:36
◼
►
pc business but again I don't think like
[TS]
00:50:39
◼
►
not a lot of people are saying you know
[TS]
00:50:42
◼
►
what I don't even need of computer
[TS]
00:50:44
◼
►
anymore i'm just going to use my phone
[TS]
00:50:45
◼
►
for everything
[TS]
00:50:46
◼
►
some people say that with the ipad and
[TS]
00:50:48
◼
►
so the ipad is certainly more of a
[TS]
00:50:50
◼
►
threat than the phone is but i think
[TS]
00:50:52
◼
►
it's much more likely that like the
[TS]
00:50:55
◼
►
people who are still using PC's today
[TS]
00:50:57
◼
►
even when good tablets are available i I
[TS]
00:51:01
◼
►
don't see a whole ton of them making
[TS]
00:51:04
◼
►
that jump if they haven't already know
[TS]
00:51:06
◼
►
what those people died i guess that's
[TS]
00:51:08
◼
►
the way it works those people died and
[TS]
00:51:09
◼
►
the people who were formerly using PC's
[TS]
00:51:11
◼
►
like we're waiting for maybe not the
[TS]
00:51:13
◼
►
ipad specifically but tablets in general
[TS]
00:51:15
◼
►
the idea that something without the the
[TS]
00:51:18
◼
►
paradigms and the complexities that we
[TS]
00:51:20
◼
►
currently associated with the personal
[TS]
00:51:22
◼
►
computers that tablets can eventually
[TS]
00:51:25
◼
►
replace them and that maybe eventually
[TS]
00:51:28
◼
►
the things that we think of as tablets
[TS]
00:51:30
◼
►
now will eventually be called pcs that
[TS]
00:51:31
◼
►
to distinguish them from the phones but
[TS]
00:51:33
◼
►
they won't because they won't be running
[TS]
00:51:34
◼
►
windows are running OS 10 they won't
[TS]
00:51:36
◼
►
have that they won't have like discs
[TS]
00:51:39
◼
►
that you mount and volumes and expose
[TS]
00:51:42
◼
►
file systems and all the things that we
[TS]
00:51:43
◼
►
associate with personal computing now I
[TS]
00:51:46
◼
►
like that's why I'm starting its do
[TS]
00:51:48
◼
►
important to differentiate between the
[TS]
00:51:49
◼
►
ipad is a product which apple may never
[TS]
00:51:50
◼
►
get their act together on right and the
[TS]
00:51:53
◼
►
tablet is a whole the idea that a future
[TS]
00:51:56
◼
►
computing device should be more
[TS]
00:51:57
◼
►
appliance like and probably also mobile
[TS]
00:52:00
◼
►
visiting with the moore's law stuff like
[TS]
00:52:02
◼
►
having lots of headroom to put powerful
[TS]
00:52:03
◼
►
he hungry things and there is fine but
[TS]
00:52:05
◼
►
at a certain point you can't like a
[TS]
00:52:07
◼
►
certain point we need another
[TS]
00:52:08
◼
►
technological breakthrough to think
[TS]
00:52:10
◼
►
we compute and if we can't do that then
[TS]
00:52:14
◼
►
you just basically say well the fastest
[TS]
00:52:16
◼
►
cpu and the entire world that's in a
[TS]
00:52:17
◼
►
battery-powered device and we haven't
[TS]
00:52:19
◼
►
figured out how to make faster because
[TS]
00:52:20
◼
►
we have very bad into quantum computers
[TS]
00:52:21
◼
►
or optical computing or anything yet so
[TS]
00:52:23
◼
►
in the meantime enjoy your quote-unquote
[TS]
00:52:25
◼
►
pc which is basically a big honkin
[TS]
00:52:29
◼
►
tablet because that's what are the two
[TS]
00:52:30
◼
►
generations of children know how to use
[TS]
00:52:32
◼
►
and they have no idea what the hell
[TS]
00:52:33
◼
►
you're doing with that freaking mouth I
[TS]
00:52:34
◼
►
just want to touch the screen right so
[TS]
00:52:36
◼
►
whether Apple is the one that does that
[TS]
00:52:37
◼
►
to somebody else long-term after we're
[TS]
00:52:39
◼
►
all dead
[TS]
00:52:40
◼
►
i think the the total market for people
[TS]
00:52:42
◼
►
who need to computing besides using the
[TS]
00:52:44
◼
►
appliances in their home and their phone
[TS]
00:52:45
◼
►
will probably about the similar size of
[TS]
00:52:49
◼
►
the quote-unquote pc market today but i
[TS]
00:52:52
◼
►
would expect tablets to slowly
[TS]
00:52:53
◼
►
cannibalize that but maybe the whole
[TS]
00:52:55
◼
►
line on the graph stays about the same
[TS]
00:52:57
◼
►
while above it floats all the other
[TS]
00:52:58
◼
►
mass-market devices but that's that's
[TS]
00:53:01
◼
►
where the tablets are battling down
[TS]
00:53:02
◼
►
there with the pcs who is going to who
[TS]
00:53:05
◼
►
is going to be to get these people who
[TS]
00:53:07
◼
►
need more than a phone can do their job
[TS]
00:53:09
◼
►
who who's going to serve them and right
[TS]
00:53:12
◼
►
now it's the mac vs windows computers
[TS]
00:53:15
◼
►
versus a whole panoply of tablets vs
[TS]
00:53:17
◼
►
surface vs chromebook sources you know
[TS]
00:53:19
◼
►
all these things that are like pcs and
[TS]
00:53:22
◼
►
post pcs battling and I just have to
[TS]
00:53:23
◼
►
give the edge to the ones with less
[TS]
00:53:26
◼
►
legacy crap that are more understandable
[TS]
00:53:28
◼
►
for people to use even if right now
[TS]
00:53:30
◼
►
they're just not powerful enough as we
[TS]
00:53:31
◼
►
talked about the last show to actually
[TS]
00:53:33
◼
►
replace those i think i think we'll be
[TS]
00:53:34
◼
►
gone by the time it happens by just look
[TS]
00:53:36
◼
►
at my kids and my kids kids having a
[TS]
00:53:39
◼
►
television is gonna be I can't even
[TS]
00:53:40
◼
►
think of a good analogy but it's just
[TS]
00:53:41
◼
►
it's going to seem like having like a a
[TS]
00:53:44
◼
►
plow in your backyard to tell the fields
[TS]
00:53:46
◼
►
i don't know it seemed the same same but
[TS]
00:53:48
◼
►
you know I agree with you John more than
[TS]
00:53:51
◼
►
I do Marco that I think that the pc as
[TS]
00:53:53
◼
►
we know it again like Marco said Mac or
[TS]
00:53:55
◼
►
PC that the personal computers we know
[TS]
00:53:57
◼
►
it is not terribly long for this world
[TS]
00:53:59
◼
►
for almost everyone and i agree John
[TS]
00:54:02
◼
►
that the future is going to be touched
[TS]
00:54:03
◼
►
the futures or you know something after
[TS]
00:54:05
◼
►
touch or VR writing or Bihar well i
[TS]
00:54:08
◼
►
think the future is not the this
[TS]
00:54:11
◼
►
beautiful new imac that i just bought
[TS]
00:54:13
◼
►
myself but what I'm where I'm having
[TS]
00:54:16
◼
►
trouble is why then is the ipad so
[TS]
00:54:20
◼
►
sharply down like I understand what
[TS]
00:54:21
◼
►
you're saying is powerful
[TS]
00:54:23
◼
►
if it's not doing enough right now but
[TS]
00:54:24
◼
►
she's if the IP it really is the futures
[TS]
00:54:28
◼
►
don't you think it would at least
[TS]
00:54:30
◼
►
maintain or not have such a stark
[TS]
00:54:32
◼
►
downward slope now because i think that
[TS]
00:54:35
◼
►
misfired on the ipad i think i think
[TS]
00:54:37
◼
►
they they thought things were further
[TS]
00:54:39
◼
►
along than they were and so there was
[TS]
00:54:40
◼
►
the initial burst of like a this is the
[TS]
00:54:42
◼
►
future everyone's going to love it and I
[TS]
00:54:44
◼
►
never realized you know what i can do
[TS]
00:54:45
◼
►
all the same stuff on my phone
[TS]
00:54:46
◼
►
especially when the phones got bigger
[TS]
00:54:48
◼
►
and more powerful than was like oh well
[TS]
00:54:50
◼
►
nevermind just get those ones to the
[TS]
00:54:51
◼
►
kids like it sits like a burst of
[TS]
00:54:53
◼
►
enthusiasm followed by the realization
[TS]
00:54:55
◼
►
that it does not provide enough
[TS]
00:54:57
◼
►
additional value and so that's that's
[TS]
00:54:58
◼
►
why I feel like it's tapering off
[TS]
00:55:00
◼
►
well I think there's I mean there's a
[TS]
00:55:01
◼
►
number of factors here first of all I
[TS]
00:55:03
◼
►
think that the the value of a tablet in
[TS]
00:55:06
◼
►
general if you use it for productivity
[TS]
00:55:09
◼
►
tasks then the the ipad is is very
[TS]
00:55:13
◼
►
competitive but i think what most people
[TS]
00:55:15
◼
►
use tablets for is entertainment and i
[TS]
00:55:18
◼
►
think i'm not saying you can't do work
[TS]
00:55:21
◼
►
on ipad but i think a lot of people i
[TS]
00:55:22
◼
►
think the market bears that out that a
[TS]
00:55:24
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lot of people use their tablets
[TS]
00:55:25
◼
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primarily for entertainment purposes and
[TS]
00:55:27
◼
►
if you're doing that there's a lot less
[TS]
00:55:30
◼
►
reason to get specifically an ipad over
[TS]
00:55:34
◼
►
any other tablet out there and there's
[TS]
00:55:36
◼
►
tablets you know its cost nothing
[TS]
00:55:37
◼
►
expenses at tablets are cheaper than
[TS]
00:55:40
◼
►
like gasps big if you can put if you can
[TS]
00:55:42
◼
►
play play flappy bird and you can watch
[TS]
00:55:45
◼
►
youtube videos like yet cover you know
[TS]
00:55:47
◼
►
you can play a couple of really simple
[TS]
00:55:49
◼
►
games and watch YouTube as far as my
[TS]
00:55:51
◼
►
kids are concerned it would be like
[TS]
00:55:52
◼
►
indistinguishable from an ipad because
[TS]
00:55:54
◼
►
they are not using any of the ipad eNOS
[TS]
00:55:56
◼
►
of the ipad they're just literally
[TS]
00:55:57
◼
►
watching YouTube forever and then
[TS]
00:55:59
◼
►
playing a couple games
[TS]
00:56:00
◼
►
exactly so that's problem number one
[TS]
00:56:03
◼
►
that has is that like in phones i think
[TS]
00:56:05
◼
►
what people tend to use phones for kids
[TS]
00:56:07
◼
►
are a different story and and I i do
[TS]
00:56:10
◼
►
want to separately address that you know
[TS]
00:56:11
◼
►
John you you and and many other people
[TS]
00:56:14
◼
►
make predictions about the future pcs
[TS]
00:56:17
◼
►
being dead because their kids don't ever
[TS]
00:56:19
◼
►
want to use a pc but a lot of people are
[TS]
00:56:21
◼
►
making that assumption on based on kids
[TS]
00:56:25
◼
►
who are I think too young to make that
[TS]
00:56:28
◼
►
determination because like if you think
[TS]
00:56:29
◼
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about the kind of things that has really
[TS]
00:56:31
◼
►
good at the kind of things computers
[TS]
00:56:33
◼
►
really good at ipad isn't very good at
[TS]
00:56:35
◼
►
the overlap
[TS]
00:56:36
◼
►
between like what most kids used to use
[TS]
00:56:38
◼
►
computers for which is a lot of
[TS]
00:56:40
◼
►
entertainment stuff and like some very
[TS]
00:56:42
◼
►
light browsing and light work like that
[TS]
00:56:44
◼
►
kind of stuff you can do i have had much
[TS]
00:56:46
◼
►
better but that's not to say like what
[TS]
00:56:49
◼
►
if your kid starts wanting to like be
[TS]
00:56:50
◼
►
productive in different like
[TS]
00:56:53
◼
►
multitasking kind of ways think things
[TS]
00:56:55
◼
►
that you can do on the ipad but it's
[TS]
00:56:58
◼
►
easier or better on a computer or if
[TS]
00:57:00
◼
►
they develop a hobby of like you know
[TS]
00:57:02
◼
►
what I want to try programming that's
[TS]
00:57:03
◼
►
hard to do one right again not
[TS]
00:57:05
◼
►
impossible but hard and sometimes aren't
[TS]
00:57:07
◼
►
possible and so far but you know they're
[TS]
00:57:10
◼
►
there are things that like as kids get
[TS]
00:57:11
◼
►
older if they want to type a type of
[TS]
00:57:14
◼
►
paper for school or whatever like you
[TS]
00:57:16
◼
►
yes you can do it on ipad but in many
[TS]
00:57:19
◼
►
ways it's easier on a computer and you
[TS]
00:57:20
◼
►
haven't met any kids who prefer using
[TS]
00:57:22
◼
►
the keyboard on a screen a physical one
[TS]
00:57:24
◼
►
have you met those kids yet because they
[TS]
00:57:26
◼
►
exist you know I know they exist but
[TS]
00:57:27
◼
►
terrifying
[TS]
00:57:29
◼
►
what I'm saying is I don't think we can
[TS]
00:57:31
◼
►
make the call to say kids these days are
[TS]
00:57:33
◼
►
going to ever use computers because i
[TS]
00:57:35
◼
►
think his these days are too young to
[TS]
00:57:37
◼
►
know that everything's computers and for
[TS]
00:57:38
◼
►
us to know that well I mean it takes it
[TS]
00:57:40
◼
►
takes multiple generations they were
[TS]
00:57:41
◼
►
just like it takes multiple generations
[TS]
00:57:43
◼
►
for turnover like I said we were all
[TS]
00:57:45
◼
►
going to be that maybe our kids will be
[TS]
00:57:46
◼
►
dead because it's the same way that like
[TS]
00:57:47
◼
►
you still do things that your parents do
[TS]
00:57:48
◼
►
just because your parents didn't like it
[TS]
00:57:50
◼
►
takes a while to turn over but I the
[TS]
00:57:54
◼
►
options available you said the options
[TS]
00:57:55
◼
►
available to them let like my kids are
[TS]
00:57:58
◼
►
all in a house with plenty of Max and
[TS]
00:58:00
◼
►
plenty of iOS devices and the only
[TS]
00:58:02
◼
►
reason they ever touch the max is to
[TS]
00:58:05
◼
►
play Minecraft on a bigger screen and
[TS]
00:58:06
◼
►
maybe that's a valid use cases like all
[TS]
00:58:08
◼
►
see they like they like the big screen
[TS]
00:58:10
◼
►
but if I had my playstation attached to
[TS]
00:58:12
◼
►
the television that probably played
[TS]
00:58:13
◼
►
their the controller i don't know anyway
[TS]
00:58:15
◼
►
as we can see from the ipad curve i
[TS]
00:58:18
◼
►
think the current crop of tablets ipad
[TS]
00:58:21
◼
►
and always included are not yet up to
[TS]
00:58:23
◼
►
the task of doing things of the cases so
[TS]
00:58:25
◼
►
the kids have to type papers they do end
[TS]
00:58:27
◼
►
up using it or like using Chromebooks
[TS]
00:58:28
◼
►
and school or something like that and
[TS]
00:58:29
◼
►
the microwave services another take on
[TS]
00:58:31
◼
►
this is like hey we're both things at
[TS]
00:58:32
◼
►
one where the old computer and the new
[TS]
00:58:34
◼
►
computer the same time that definitely
[TS]
00:58:35
◼
►
seems like a transitional fossil to me
[TS]
00:58:37
◼
►
but what I'm looking at long-term is
[TS]
00:58:41
◼
►
like we're not there yet but that seems
[TS]
00:58:43
◼
►
the direction things are going and it
[TS]
00:58:44
◼
►
only takes a couple of generations of
[TS]
00:58:46
◼
►
people dying
[TS]
00:58:47
◼
►
before all these concerns that we have
[TS]
00:58:49
◼
►
on someone listens to this podcast like
[TS]
00:58:51
◼
►
a hundred years from now it will seem
[TS]
00:58:53
◼
►
ridiculous that we even debating this in
[TS]
00:58:55
◼
►
the same way they would seem ridiculous
[TS]
00:58:56
◼
►
of something if you're listening to
[TS]
00:58:58
◼
►
people debate about whether you know
[TS]
00:59:00
◼
►
people actually be able to use a
[TS]
00:59:01
◼
►
computer with the mouse to the real work
[TS]
00:59:03
◼
►
i mean i was alive for that debate and
[TS]
00:59:05
◼
►
it was fierce and and people were like
[TS]
00:59:07
◼
►
you included in the same things like
[TS]
00:59:10
◼
►
well my kids been born into a world with
[TS]
00:59:12
◼
►
mice and they're going to only use
[TS]
00:59:13
◼
►
myself when i get a job they'll have to
[TS]
00:59:15
◼
►
use a computer without a mouse to do
[TS]
00:59:16
◼
►
actual work because the only computer
[TS]
00:59:18
◼
►
that miser toy computers
[TS]
00:59:20
◼
►
that's just the way things go like so it
[TS]
00:59:22
◼
►
maybe it's a it's a pointless thing to
[TS]
00:59:23
◼
►
even talk about because of all dead do
[TS]
00:59:25
◼
►
we really care that much but i think
[TS]
00:59:28
◼
►
it's interesting in light of this ipad
[TS]
00:59:29
◼
►
graph because it's like the it's the
[TS]
00:59:32
◼
►
future that we think is coming but the
[TS]
00:59:34
◼
►
graph shows that it's not here yet and
[TS]
00:59:36
◼
►
what the graph may also show is that
[TS]
00:59:38
◼
►
Apple may not be the company to to nail
[TS]
00:59:41
◼
►
it because this was their shot and
[TS]
00:59:43
◼
►
either they were too early or they just
[TS]
00:59:45
◼
►
they just fumbled the ball and didn't
[TS]
00:59:47
◼
►
you know I didn't hit the mark with
[TS]
00:59:50
◼
►
their first attempt this type of product
[TS]
00:59:51
◼
►
and you know as we keep saying we're
[TS]
00:59:53
◼
►
basically you know totally outplayed by
[TS]
00:59:57
◼
►
their star product the iphone which
[TS]
00:59:57
◼
►
their star product the iphone which
[TS]
01:00:00
◼
►
everyone has basically voted with their
[TS]
01:00:01
◼
►
wallets Neffe to say this is what we
[TS]
01:00:03
◼
►
want right now
[TS]
01:00:04
◼
►
ipads you know convinces later maybe
[TS]
01:00:07
◼
►
I'll because like at the same time that
[TS]
01:00:09
◼
►
the ipad has been you know going along
[TS]
01:00:12
◼
►
and and getting into improving every
[TS]
01:00:13
◼
►
generation the iphone has gotten better
[TS]
01:00:17
◼
►
and bigger and the mac has gotten
[TS]
01:00:21
◼
►
smaller and lighter and so it's it
[TS]
01:00:23
◼
►
really is being squeezed on both ends if
[TS]
01:00:26
◼
►
you if you're willing to carry something
[TS]
01:00:28
◼
►
now especially with the macbook one only
[TS]
01:00:30
◼
►
a little bit bigger than ipad then if
[TS]
01:00:34
◼
►
you if you need keyboard and touch input
[TS]
01:00:37
◼
►
and a pc style OS the macbook one is
[TS]
01:00:40
◼
►
going to be better for you than an ipad
[TS]
01:00:41
◼
►
even an ipad pro at that kind of task on
[TS]
01:00:45
◼
►
the lower on the small and if you need a
[TS]
01:00:47
◼
►
portable entertainment and consumption
[TS]
01:00:50
◼
►
and communication kind of device an
[TS]
01:00:54
◼
►
iphone is now you know able to take a
[TS]
01:00:57
◼
►
lot of that and especially with the six
[TS]
01:00:59
◼
►
plus line it's taking even more of a
[TS]
01:01:02
◼
►
potentially and cuz that's has the
[TS]
01:01:03
◼
►
benefit of its always in your pocket is
[TS]
01:01:05
◼
►
always with you and you probably paid
[TS]
01:01:06
◼
►
less for it up front then you would
[TS]
01:01:08
◼
►
refer not always always benefits so it's
[TS]
01:01:10
◼
►
being squeezed on both sides then it's
[TS]
01:01:12
◼
►
being squeezed from the bottom with the
[TS]
01:01:13
◼
►
low end because all these cheaper
[TS]
01:01:15
◼
►
tablets that also can play youtube and
[TS]
01:01:18
◼
►
play some games and browse the web all
[TS]
01:01:21
◼
►
those cheaper tablets are coming and
[TS]
01:01:23
◼
►
eating the whole bottom end of it so
[TS]
01:01:25
◼
►
it's it's being attacked on so many
[TS]
01:01:27
◼
►
fronts and you know the good thing is
[TS]
01:01:29
◼
►
two of his friends are owned by apple
[TS]
01:01:31
◼
►
and so you know it being cannibalized by
[TS]
01:01:33
◼
►
other parts of Apple so it's not
[TS]
01:01:34
◼
►
necessarily a horrible thing for Apple
[TS]
01:01:36
◼
►
but I think I I don't see a way out of
[TS]
01:01:40
◼
►
this for the ipad anytime soon I may be
[TS]
01:01:42
◼
►
long-term maybe you're right you might
[TS]
01:01:44
◼
►
be right long-term I'll give you that
[TS]
01:01:45
◼
►
but in in the near-term the things that
[TS]
01:01:48
◼
►
tend to improve quickly and relatively
[TS]
01:01:50
◼
►
in computing is like you know that the
[TS]
01:01:53
◼
►
basic hardware specs the speed the the
[TS]
01:01:56
◼
►
you know the quality of like the screen
[TS]
01:01:58
◼
►
and stuff like that like that stuff
[TS]
01:01:59
◼
►
improves in the short-term the biggest
[TS]
01:02:03
◼
►
challenges to the ipad i think are
[TS]
01:02:05
◼
►
pretty deeply rooted software
[TS]
01:02:08
◼
►
architecture and software limitations
[TS]
01:02:10
◼
►
and input both of which are not
[TS]
01:02:13
◼
►
it's also quickly and easily so I i
[TS]
01:02:16
◼
►
don't think you like to talk about like
[TS]
01:02:18
◼
►
how how iOS could get better for
[TS]
01:02:20
◼
►
productivity use this it's things like
[TS]
01:02:22
◼
►
it'sit's things like rethink
[TS]
01:02:24
◼
►
multitasking and files and hits like
[TS]
01:02:27
◼
►
those are big things those take years to
[TS]
01:02:30
◼
►
to possibly develop or 2222 realize that
[TS]
01:02:34
◼
►
you need to rethink if you do that's a
[TS]
01:02:37
◼
►
very slow-moving thing and then input is
[TS]
01:02:40
◼
►
oftentimes not solvable like there just
[TS]
01:02:44
◼
►
isn't a way to make like a nine inch
[TS]
01:02:46
◼
►
laptop with a keyboard that humans can
[TS]
01:02:48
◼
►
use comfortably you like this like
[TS]
01:02:50
◼
►
there's like there's limitations like
[TS]
01:02:51
◼
►
that where you're just fighting physics
[TS]
01:02:54
◼
►
and you know the physical world and you
[TS]
01:02:57
◼
►
just can't win those fights a lot of
[TS]
01:02:58
◼
►
times and tablets certainly are
[TS]
01:03:00
◼
►
challenging in in regards to have him
[TS]
01:03:02
◼
►
how to fix input how to make input that
[TS]
01:03:05
◼
►
is that is good for both casual lean
[TS]
01:03:07
◼
►
back on the couch use and also
[TS]
01:03:08
◼
►
productivity use and that is a very hard
[TS]
01:03:11
◼
►
problem it might not be possible to
[TS]
01:03:13
◼
►
solve and it's the kind of thing where
[TS]
01:03:15
◼
►
progress is made very slowly if at all
[TS]
01:03:18
◼
►
now you're talking about cannibalization
[TS]
01:03:19
◼
►
and thats enough thats a the other
[TS]
01:03:20
◼
►
takeaway of this thing is like when you
[TS]
01:03:22
◼
►
look at these little lines like you look
[TS]
01:03:23
◼
►
at that ipod hump it's like here comes
[TS]
01:03:25
◼
►
the ipod and then it did marks over and
[TS]
01:03:27
◼
►
then you look at the mac that like every
[TS]
01:03:29
◼
►
time I try to find this graph but I
[TS]
01:03:30
◼
►
think someone tweeted and i can't find
[TS]
01:03:32
◼
►
it but it was a graph over many many
[TS]
01:03:33
◼
►
years not just like the last five or ten
[TS]
01:03:35
◼
►
years but like from the nineties all the
[TS]
01:03:37
◼
►
way up to the current time and you look
[TS]
01:03:40
◼
►
at the products and it's like a little
[TS]
01:03:41
◼
►
fireworks like the ipod launches up into
[TS]
01:03:43
◼
►
the sky not to higher than its the
[TS]
01:03:44
◼
►
ground again right and the ipad launches
[TS]
01:03:47
◼
►
up into the sky and is arcing over to
[TS]
01:03:48
◼
►
starting to be on its way down again you
[TS]
01:03:50
◼
►
look at the phone and if the iphone goes
[TS]
01:03:52
◼
►
like an stratosphere with and eventually
[TS]
01:03:53
◼
►
starts leveling off right and so you
[TS]
01:03:56
◼
►
can't see the other side of that things
[TS]
01:03:57
◼
►
are the only line and the entire graph
[TS]
01:03:59
◼
►
that is basically has any kind of you
[TS]
01:04:02
◼
►
know uphill slope for the entire length
[TS]
01:04:05
◼
►
of it is the mac and it's like way down
[TS]
01:04:07
◼
►
at the bottom kind of blending with with
[TS]
01:04:09
◼
►
the x-axis you can barely see it but you
[TS]
01:04:11
◼
►
can see it is little bit higher it does
[TS]
01:04:13
◼
►
go up over Europe you are tiny little
[TS]
01:04:15
◼
►
bit and it's insignificant or whatever
[TS]
01:04:17
◼
►
but it's interesting that that trend
[TS]
01:04:19
◼
►
line because it because it started off
[TS]
01:04:21
◼
►
as like the loser in the pc market so it
[TS]
01:04:23
◼
►
never had a lot of money
[TS]
01:04:24
◼
►
never had a high to come down from and
[TS]
01:04:26
◼
►
it has been steadily gaining on you know
[TS]
01:04:28
◼
►
has been gaining market share while
[TS]
01:04:29
◼
►
windows loses it whatever so it does
[TS]
01:04:31
◼
►
have a good graph you know an uphill
[TS]
01:04:33
◼
►
climb even though it's insignificant but
[TS]
01:04:35
◼
►
we look at all those other things what
[TS]
01:04:36
◼
►
Apple is hoping for when you mentioned
[TS]
01:04:38
◼
►
is alright so Apple makes products that
[TS]
01:04:40
◼
►
make these little arcs right every
[TS]
01:04:41
◼
►
product has a lifetime the iphone arc
[TS]
01:04:43
◼
►
doesn't seem like it's even half over
[TS]
01:04:44
◼
►
maybe it's exactly half over right maybe
[TS]
01:04:47
◼
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you would extend that graph out however
[TS]
01:04:49
◼
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optimistic and pessimistic you want to
[TS]
01:04:50
◼
►
be about the iphone arc you draw that
[TS]
01:04:53
◼
►
what you need is another lump you need
[TS]
01:04:55
◼
►
another big arch in that thing
[TS]
01:04:57
◼
►
so what is the new product that is going
[TS]
01:04:59
◼
►
to come like the watches invisible
[TS]
01:05:01
◼
►
because it's to know so who knows what
[TS]
01:05:02
◼
►
that's gonna be like but apples whole
[TS]
01:05:05
◼
►
thing is what is the next big thing what
[TS]
01:05:08
◼
►
is the next line is going to be on our
[TS]
01:05:09
◼
►
graph maybe i will never grow up as high
[TS]
01:05:11
◼
►
as the phone or whatever maybe we will
[TS]
01:05:12
◼
►
maybe some be our thing out there maybe
[TS]
01:05:15
◼
►
it's the car if you want to do revenue
[TS]
01:05:16
◼
►
because a lot of people have cars and
[TS]
01:05:18
◼
►
they cost a lot more than a mac or phone
[TS]
01:05:20
◼
►
so the ESPYs really good on cars but the
[TS]
01:05:23
◼
►
margins are much lower you know so I
[TS]
01:05:25
◼
►
don't know what it is but like that's
[TS]
01:05:26
◼
►
that's one of the reasons that investors
[TS]
01:05:28
◼
►
are cranky about Apple because they look
[TS]
01:05:30
◼
►
at all these lines and see all these
[TS]
01:05:31
◼
►
little arcs and like all right well I
[TS]
01:05:33
◼
►
think we've played this out and we feel
[TS]
01:05:36
◼
►
pessimistically that the iphone is at
[TS]
01:05:37
◼
►
its peak and how it's gonna go down
[TS]
01:05:39
◼
►
so where is the next arc apple and right
[TS]
01:05:42
◼
►
now there is no convincing answer and
[TS]
01:05:44
◼
►
it's apples job to complement like and i
[TS]
01:05:45
◼
►
agree with you the ipad pro is not going
[TS]
01:05:47
◼
►
to turn the ipad thing around cause even
[TS]
01:05:48
◼
►
if if professionals love the ipad pro
[TS]
01:05:51
◼
►
there's not a lot of them right so you
[TS]
01:05:53
◼
►
have to either let the ipad arc follow
[TS]
01:05:56
◼
►
its course down to the baseline and
[TS]
01:05:58
◼
►
start again within the tablets product
[TS]
01:05:59
◼
►
or you need to somehow transform the mac
[TS]
01:06:02
◼
►
into a tablet is product I don't know
[TS]
01:06:04
◼
►
how you do that like just you know
[TS]
01:06:07
◼
►
semantically how you could ever get
[TS]
01:06:09
◼
►
that's why I still feel like the ipad
[TS]
01:06:10
◼
►
must rise again in a new form some point
[TS]
01:06:13
◼
►
in the future or if not then maybe Apple
[TS]
01:06:15
◼
►
losses that someone else does it right
[TS]
01:06:17
◼
►
maybe you know who knows what ends up
[TS]
01:06:20
◼
►
winning this but I just feel confident
[TS]
01:06:21
◼
►
that the pc is the past and we are the
[TS]
01:06:25
◼
►
left the last great pc generation is
[TS]
01:06:27
◼
►
already alive of people i mean well it
[TS]
01:06:30
◼
►
it also you know a lot of a lot of
[TS]
01:06:33
◼
►
people like in our in our walk of life
[TS]
01:06:35
◼
►
here and by that I mean geeks like us a
[TS]
01:06:38
◼
►
lot of geeks just deny the role of
[TS]
01:06:42
◼
►
fashion and trends in things and you
[TS]
01:06:46
◼
►
know we try to make everything more
[TS]
01:06:48
◼
►
logical we try to justify things and and
[TS]
01:06:50
◼
►
and we don't understand fashions for
[TS]
01:06:53
◼
►
fads really what if tablets have been a
[TS]
01:06:58
◼
►
fat i know this is crazy i know this
[TS]
01:07:00
◼
►
sounds like the the champion of the
[TS]
01:07:03
◼
►
computer trying to optimistically say
[TS]
01:07:05
◼
►
that the tablet or just a fad and
[TS]
01:07:07
◼
►
computers are going to come back you
[TS]
01:07:09
◼
►
know so that i know this sounds crazy
[TS]
01:07:10
◼
►
and i'm not even said I'm not even
[TS]
01:07:12
◼
►
saying I believe this but I think it's
[TS]
01:07:14
◼
►
worth thinking about you're not you're
[TS]
01:07:15
◼
►
not saying computers are going to come
[TS]
01:07:17
◼
►
are you just saying tablets are fast two
[TS]
01:07:18
◼
►
separate things right right so I i think
[TS]
01:07:21
◼
►
it's worth considering though what if
[TS]
01:07:23
◼
►
the entire idea of tablets had their
[TS]
01:07:26
◼
►
peak already and that you know in the
[TS]
01:07:30
◼
►
future like the kind of casual the the
[TS]
01:07:33
◼
►
future of computing was already here
[TS]
01:07:35
◼
►
earlier than that it's the mobile phone
[TS]
01:07:37
◼
►
is the smartphone and and that you know
[TS]
01:07:40
◼
►
what if that is really the future and
[TS]
01:07:43
◼
►
the tablets were just kind of this thing
[TS]
01:07:44
◼
►
that for a brief time the whole world
[TS]
01:07:46
◼
►
was kind of like in love with it kind of
[TS]
01:07:48
◼
►
infatuated with but it was actually just
[TS]
01:07:50
◼
►
a fad and now we're kind of Rosings and
[TS]
01:07:52
◼
►
you know what I think I'd rather just
[TS]
01:07:54
◼
►
have a good phone and then maybe a good
[TS]
01:07:56
◼
►
laptop also alright I've considered and
[TS]
01:07:58
◼
►
rejected that's fair but but i think a
[TS]
01:08:01
◼
►
lot of people are not considering that
[TS]
01:08:02
◼
►
as a possibility but i think i think the
[TS]
01:08:04
◼
►
data actually like if you look at this
[TS]
01:08:06
◼
►
ipad sales graph that looks exactly like
[TS]
01:08:08
◼
►
what's going on but that but that's just
[TS]
01:08:10
◼
►
the ipad that's why keep differentiating
[TS]
01:08:12
◼
►
like there's the ipad which may be a
[TS]
01:08:14
◼
►
blue it on and then there's the concept
[TS]
01:08:16
◼
►
of a screen about the size of a piece of
[TS]
01:08:18
◼
►
paper or bigger that you hold in your
[TS]
01:08:19
◼
►
hands and i would even including tablets
[TS]
01:08:21
◼
►
the screen that's much bigger than a
[TS]
01:08:23
◼
►
piece of paper like the ipad
[TS]
01:08:24
◼
►
bro that you hold in your hand right or
[TS]
01:08:26
◼
►
even a bigger thing that sits on your
[TS]
01:08:28
◼
►
desk i would say is basically a big
[TS]
01:08:29
◼
►
piece of glass that you touch dead
[TS]
01:08:31
◼
►
extends down into the portable range but
[TS]
01:08:34
◼
►
I've always said i can imagine a desktop
[TS]
01:08:35
◼
►
replacement that is like more like a
[TS]
01:08:37
◼
►
drafting table and just the utility of
[TS]
01:08:40
◼
►
essentially having a magic piece of
[TS]
01:08:41
◼
►
paper that can show anything that is
[TS]
01:08:43
◼
►
piece of paper size like what's that
[TS]
01:08:45
◼
►
becomes like ninety-nine cents like that
[TS]
01:08:47
◼
►
did the computing part of that is so you
[TS]
01:08:49
◼
►
know again as the price of compute drops
[TS]
01:08:50
◼
►
to 0 of course people are gonna want
[TS]
01:08:52
◼
►
that people want to hold things in their
[TS]
01:08:53
◼
►
hand and read them and look at them and
[TS]
01:08:55
◼
►
watch a video and maybe that won't be an
[TS]
01:08:58
◼
►
ipad anymore maybe it'll be something
[TS]
01:09:00
◼
►
that comes in your cereal box that you
[TS]
01:09:01
◼
►
unroll and it's like there's no and you
[TS]
01:09:03
◼
►
say oh that's not a tablet it is though
[TS]
01:09:05
◼
►
it's like basically a screen that you
[TS]
01:09:06
◼
►
hold in your hand is way bigger than a
[TS]
01:09:07
◼
►
phone and that is absolutely not going
[TS]
01:09:09
◼
►
to die whether Apple has any role at all
[TS]
01:09:12
◼
►
in that product line remains to be seen
[TS]
01:09:14
◼
►
which is why i say the ipad is an open
[TS]
01:09:15
◼
►
question but there's a reason everyone
[TS]
01:09:17
◼
►
was all gaga like the fat part that I
[TS]
01:09:19
◼
►
think you're sensing about tablets was
[TS]
01:09:20
◼
►
like oh this is like the science fiction
[TS]
01:09:22
◼
►
books i read this is like those movies i
[TS]
01:09:24
◼
►
saw its like the future like how many
[TS]
01:09:25
◼
►
movies had no you just hold this magic
[TS]
01:09:27
◼
►
even before you know flat-screens
[TS]
01:09:28
◼
►
existed when everything was all CRT's
[TS]
01:09:30
◼
►
every science fiction story you know
[TS]
01:09:32
◼
►
back hundreds of years like oh I just
[TS]
01:09:34
◼
►
hold something that looks like a piece
[TS]
01:09:35
◼
►
of paper but I can show them any image
[TS]
01:09:36
◼
►
anywhere i can see anywhere in the world
[TS]
01:09:37
◼
►
and I can watch moving pictures on that
[TS]
01:09:40
◼
►
idea is never going away because it has
[TS]
01:09:41
◼
►
amazing utility for people like us who
[TS]
01:09:43
◼
►
have eyeballs in the front of her head
[TS]
01:09:45
◼
►
and hands that we can hold things up
[TS]
01:09:46
◼
►
with like it's you know unless vr
[TS]
01:09:49
◼
►
retinal imaging or other any sort of
[TS]
01:09:51
◼
►
like interior mind type thing happens or
[TS]
01:09:54
◼
►
scrapped your eyes thing until that
[TS]
01:09:56
◼
►
comes and wipes all this away having
[TS]
01:09:59
◼
►
something big that you hold in your hand
[TS]
01:10:00
◼
►
that is a screen that idea it will never
[TS]
01:10:03
◼
►
die because it has such amazing utility
[TS]
01:10:05
◼
►
it just could be that Apple is not the
[TS]
01:10:07
◼
►
company that he brings that to us
[TS]
01:10:09
◼
►
benefits from it or like it gets it
[TS]
01:10:12
◼
►
right because if you just play out
[TS]
01:10:14
◼
►
current trends eventually what will it
[TS]
01:10:17
◼
►
take to have something that to give your
[TS]
01:10:19
◼
►
toddler to watch whatever the equivalent
[TS]
01:10:20
◼
►
of YouTube is right maybe that'll be a
[TS]
01:10:23
◼
►
dollar ninety-nine in a drugstore that's
[TS]
01:10:25
◼
►
a rolled-up piece of plastic that the
[TS]
01:10:27
◼
►
kid can just do anything they want to
[TS]
01:10:29
◼
►
when i get somebody gets destroyed us
[TS]
01:10:30
◼
►
throw it away right because seriously
[TS]
01:10:32
◼
►
the the electronics the cost of the
[TS]
01:10:35
◼
►
electronics and everything to sort of
[TS]
01:10:37
◼
►
get into
[TS]
01:10:37
◼
►
and access and play video and stuff
[TS]
01:10:39
◼
►
that's going to in our lifetimes be so
[TS]
01:10:42
◼
►
incredibly trivial little bit nothing
[TS]
01:10:43
◼
►
you know I was going to ask you
[TS]
01:10:47
◼
►
John what what would make the ipad you
[TS]
01:10:50
◼
►
know cross that hump in and be the thing
[TS]
01:10:52
◼
►
or burst any tablet but and I think it
[TS]
01:10:55
◼
►
just just covered in a lot of ways but I
[TS]
01:10:56
◼
►
was thinking you know when I got my
[TS]
01:10:59
◼
►
first ipad mini so this is two years ago
[TS]
01:11:01
◼
►
now the the ipad mini with retina
[TS]
01:11:03
◼
►
display i had given air in my ipad3 so
[TS]
01:11:08
◼
►
the first full-size iPad with Retina
[TS]
01:11:10
◼
►
display and I given to our night set it
[TS]
01:11:12
◼
►
up with her iCloud account and I message
[TS]
01:11:14
◼
►
account and you know some of the apps i
[TS]
01:11:16
◼
►
thought she would use a lot and I gave
[TS]
01:11:18
◼
►
it to her and I think in those two years
[TS]
01:11:22
◼
►
she is used that ipad 5 or 10 times
[TS]
01:11:26
◼
►
because it always ends up that she's
[TS]
01:11:29
◼
►
either what she starts with her phone
[TS]
01:11:31
◼
►
almost always everything she does is on
[TS]
01:11:34
◼
►
her phone and then if for some reason
[TS]
01:11:36
◼
►
something she's working on it is easier
[TS]
01:11:39
◼
►
or just better suited for the truck for
[TS]
01:11:42
◼
►
her mac then she'll go to her macbook
[TS]
01:11:45
◼
►
air and do that thing there but
[TS]
01:11:47
◼
►
generally speaking for Aaron it's her
[TS]
01:11:50
◼
►
phone and the ipad isn't even a thought
[TS]
01:11:52
◼
►
in fact most of the last two years the
[TS]
01:11:54
◼
►
battery has been dead because neither of
[TS]
01:11:55
◼
►
us ever touches it and granted this is
[TS]
01:11:58
◼
►
only one data point that doesn't exactly
[TS]
01:11:59
◼
►
make a line by any stretch of the
[TS]
01:12:01
◼
►
imagination but it's certainly bears
[TS]
01:12:05
◼
►
what Apple's results are seeing which is
[TS]
01:12:08
◼
►
that the iphone is going crazy the Mac
[TS]
01:12:12
◼
►
isn't doing that and the ipad is just
[TS]
01:12:13
◼
►
not even their well-being like but you
[TS]
01:12:16
◼
►
know by three fair by like unit sales
[TS]
01:12:18
◼
►
the ipad in the matter are kind of neck
[TS]
01:12:21
◼
►
and neck right now but at the trendline
[TS]
01:12:23
◼
►
is very clear that the ipad is on its
[TS]
01:12:25
◼
►
way down while the mac is still on its
[TS]
01:12:27
◼
►
yeah barely out of the way I played with
[TS]
01:12:29
◼
►
dice security and tried to give a bunch
[TS]
01:12:32
◼
►
of charge that's not the one I was
[TS]
01:12:33
◼
►
thinking one showed all the lines
[TS]
01:12:35
◼
►
together all different colors you just
[TS]
01:12:36
◼
►
saw the only one that was like steadily
[TS]
01:12:38
◼
►
climbing up like a snail over the course
[TS]
01:12:40
◼
►
of decades was the mac and it was just
[TS]
01:12:42
◼
►
like hugging the bottom of the graph
[TS]
01:12:44
◼
►
totally insignificant volumes compared
[TS]
01:12:46
◼
►
to the other
[TS]
01:12:46
◼
►
kharghar products but it's like we're
[TS]
01:12:48
◼
►
still here still call on our way up like
[TS]
01:12:50
◼
►
you know that's that's both sad and
[TS]
01:12:54
◼
►
hardening at the same time and I yeah I
[TS]
01:12:57
◼
►
what I think about the car and there
[TS]
01:12:59
◼
►
were some rumors about the car this this
[TS]
01:13:00
◼
►
week everything I think like is that the
[TS]
01:13:02
◼
►
next thing that's going to I try to
[TS]
01:13:04
◼
►
imagine what a car line would look like
[TS]
01:13:05
◼
►
on this graph like imagine they do as
[TS]
01:13:07
◼
►
well as Tesla and they sell you know
[TS]
01:13:09
◼
►
some piddling amount of really expensive
[TS]
01:13:11
◼
►
cars two people a lot of money and the
[TS]
01:13:14
◼
►
self-driving stuff doesn't work yet
[TS]
01:13:16
◼
►
because it's not ready
[TS]
01:13:17
◼
►
like what cars are really expensive and
[TS]
01:13:19
◼
►
so the revenues will be high but the
[TS]
01:13:21
◼
►
margins will necessarily be lower and
[TS]
01:13:22
◼
►
it's like what does that look like
[TS]
01:13:24
◼
►
does does the carline look like the ipod
[TS]
01:13:27
◼
►
line doesn't look that certainly was
[TS]
01:13:28
◼
►
more like the iphone line because it
[TS]
01:13:30
◼
►
looks like the mac line where claws its
[TS]
01:13:31
◼
►
way up or do they just can't the car and
[TS]
01:13:33
◼
►
it's a bad idea and they should really
[TS]
01:13:35
◼
►
concentrate on something else like and
[TS]
01:13:36
◼
►
then the lines we can't even think of
[TS]
01:13:37
◼
►
the ER is the current ? in the world of
[TS]
01:13:41
◼
►
like it's something people are going to
[TS]
01:13:42
◼
►
want to do because at this point the
[TS]
01:13:44
◼
►
number of people who have done vr stuff
[TS]
01:13:45
◼
►
is just a bunch of gaming enthusiasts
[TS]
01:13:47
◼
►
and that will be the case for a long
[TS]
01:13:49
◼
►
time I don't know what the next big
[TS]
01:13:52
◼
►
thing I remember several years ago we
[TS]
01:13:54
◼
►
were talking on the show like maybe the
[TS]
01:13:56
◼
►
watch is the next big thing
[TS]
01:13:57
◼
►
maybe it is but if it is definitely got
[TS]
01:13:59
◼
►
a slower ramp up its as far as we can
[TS]
01:14:01
◼
►
well you know like at this point it's
[TS]
01:14:03
◼
►
still early right but the watches the
[TS]
01:14:05
◼
►
next ipod it in the sense that not
[TS]
01:14:08
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listen to the ipod like it was gone now
[TS]
01:14:10
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but in the sense that like it's an
[TS]
01:14:11
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accessory
[TS]
01:14:12
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it's something that serves a narrow
[TS]
01:14:14
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range of roles very well but not
[TS]
01:14:18
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everybody needs the devices for that
[TS]
01:14:19
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narrow range of roles and also that is
[TS]
01:14:21
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not going to replace your phone
[TS]
01:14:23
◼
►
yeah i mean like our maybe just
[TS]
01:14:25
◼
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wearables in general like it'sit's just
[TS]
01:14:26
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it's very difficult to think of
[TS]
01:14:28
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something that is ever going to be like
[TS]
01:14:31
◼
►
the next iPhone because the very thing
[TS]
01:14:32
◼
►
about a phone is that literally every
[TS]
01:14:34
◼
►
every adult in the world probably could
[TS]
01:14:37
◼
►
conceivably use one right and that's a
[TS]
01:14:39
◼
►
big market now how many products can you
[TS]
01:14:41
◼
►
say that about maybe cars not really
[TS]
01:14:44
◼
►
because most people don't have cars in
[TS]
01:14:46
◼
►
the world have bicycles motorcycles are
[TS]
01:14:48
◼
►
lucky and you know whatever like you're
[TS]
01:14:49
◼
►
just trying to think of something that
[TS]
01:14:50
◼
►
that everybody could find some utility
[TS]
01:14:55
◼
►
for some values of everybody and it's
[TS]
01:14:56
◼
►
very difficult to think about a watch
[TS]
01:14:58
◼
►
is one like well sure of something you
[TS]
01:15:00
◼
►
hold your wrists and tells you the time
[TS]
01:15:01
◼
►
that seems like a brother useful thing
[TS]
01:15:02
◼
►
you could sell a lot of but can someone
[TS]
01:15:04
◼
►
for that much money and I don't know if
[TS]
01:15:08
◼
►
you're ever going to be able to sell
[TS]
01:15:09
◼
►
everybody in the world at 691 dollar
[TS]
01:15:12
◼
►
which I think was there asking you what
[TS]
01:15:13
◼
►
I phone 691 dollar watched everyone the
[TS]
01:15:15
◼
►
world know like somebody just get the
[TS]
01:15:18
◼
►
high end of the watch market just like
[TS]
01:15:19
◼
►
they had behind the phone market i don't
[TS]
01:15:21
◼
►
know i'm i don't know what the next
[TS]
01:15:23
◼
►
thing for apple is but when i look at
[TS]
01:15:25
◼
►
these graphs of everyone if i was to
[TS]
01:15:27
◼
►
continue the x-axis and your girlfriend
[TS]
01:15:30
◼
►
2016 and extend that out for another 50
[TS]
01:15:32
◼
►
years and let me just draw it continue
[TS]
01:15:35
◼
►
drawing the lines of all their current
[TS]
01:15:36
◼
►
product lines i see like how optimistic
[TS]
01:15:40
◼
►
can you be with the iphone like you're
[TS]
01:15:42
◼
►
going to continue to draw the iphone
[TS]
01:15:43
◼
►
line you know it looks like it's a big
[TS]
01:15:44
◼
►
thing goes up up in the slow parts love
[TS]
01:15:46
◼
►
how do you do that let us draw a
[TS]
01:15:47
◼
►
straight line and into the future and
[TS]
01:15:49
◼
►
say well smartphones will continue for
[TS]
01:15:51
◼
►
the next 50 years pretty much as is or
[TS]
01:15:53
◼
►
do you make it go up more or do you make
[TS]
01:15:55
◼
►
it slowly go down like the rest of the
[TS]
01:15:56
◼
►
things I don't know we also sponsor this
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01:15:59
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week by fracture fracture prints photos
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01:16:02
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in vivid color directly on glass go to
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fracture me.com and use code ATP 10 to
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get ten percent off now fracture prints
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look amazing
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they are these nice little like squares
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or rectangles or big if you want to go
[TS]
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big go bigger home
[TS]
01:16:17
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nice these nice little or big squares
[TS]
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where you can close that they offer what
[TS]
01:16:21
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options and these prints look great
[TS]
01:16:23
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they're modern they're clean they go
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01:16:25
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edge-to-edge they don't need a frame or
[TS]
01:16:27
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anything they are their own
[TS]
01:16:27
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self-contained thing that they may
[TS]
01:16:29
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replace the need for a frame it just
[TS]
01:16:31
◼
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looks like a nice modern photo
[TS]
01:16:33
◼
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presentation you can hang it on a wall
[TS]
01:16:35
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you stand up on a desk they make
[TS]
01:16:37
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fantastic gifts and we have them all
[TS]
01:16:40
◼
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around the house we've given many of
[TS]
01:16:41
◼
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them as gifts as well
[TS]
01:16:42
◼
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people love these things they always
[TS]
01:16:43
◼
►
they always compliment them we always
[TS]
01:16:45
◼
►
hear about people how much people love
[TS]
01:16:47
◼
►
them and you can do everything of course
[TS]
01:16:48
◼
►
online so it'sit's great like if you
[TS]
01:16:50
◼
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need last minute gift for somebody you
[TS]
01:16:52
◼
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know do it online have it sent to them
[TS]
01:16:54
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and and you're all set
[TS]
01:16:55
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it's a perfect way to celebrate holidays
[TS]
01:16:57
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fun whatever else you know Valentine's
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01:17:00
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Day is coming up you do it for that i
[TS]
01:17:02
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really recommend checking out fracture
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01:17:03
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for these beautiful photo prints in
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01:17:06
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vivid color directly on glass and
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they're all assembled by by hand by the
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01:17:10
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small team in gainesville florida
[TS]
01:17:12
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so there's quality checking in
[TS]
01:17:13
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everything and is a very very nice human
[TS]
01:17:15
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you know small company here you're
[TS]
01:17:16
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dealing with some good people over there
[TS]
01:17:18
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you can get ten percent off with code
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01:17:20
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ATP 10 just go to fracture me.com to
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check it out thanks a lot to fracture
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01:17:24
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once again code ATP tend to get ten
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01:17:26
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percent off thanks to fracture for
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01:17:28
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sponsoring our show
[TS]
01:17:29
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alright Marco is the iphone 7 going to
[TS]
01:17:32
◼
►
be waterproof running a bit long so
[TS]
01:17:34
◼
►
let's keep it to just that question is
[TS]
01:17:36
◼
►
going to be waterproof why I mean my we
[TS]
01:17:40
◼
►
talked about this and I i think the
[TS]
01:17:41
◼
►
answer i think the answer is probably
[TS]
01:17:43
◼
►
it'll probably be very close it you know
[TS]
01:17:48
◼
►
just just like the iphone 6s is very
[TS]
01:17:52
◼
►
water resistant it is not waterproof but
[TS]
01:17:54
◼
►
if if you if it happens to get wet
[TS]
01:17:56
◼
►
bye-bye most people's estimation and
[TS]
01:17:58
◼
►
some little test here and there it seems
[TS]
01:18:00
◼
►
to fare better than the other ones
[TS]
01:18:02
◼
►
it gives water a stern talking to ya
[TS]
01:18:04
◼
►
because ya know it has extra seals it
[TS]
01:18:07
◼
►
has like these extra little like little
[TS]
01:18:09
◼
►
seals like all over all the things on
[TS]
01:18:10
◼
►
the board and everything and so it is
[TS]
01:18:12
◼
►
certainly water resistant to some degree
[TS]
01:18:15
◼
►
it's on advertise this way but it that
[TS]
01:18:17
◼
►
is how they seem to do it if they drop
[TS]
01:18:19
◼
►
the headphone jack
[TS]
01:18:20
◼
►
you know it that might be a reason to to
[TS]
01:18:23
◼
►
make waterproofness a headlining feature
[TS]
01:18:25
◼
►
because that might that might help tame
[TS]
01:18:28
◼
►
some of the anger that will result from
[TS]
01:18:30
◼
►
losing the headphone jack from from
[TS]
01:18:31
◼
►
customers so i think it's it's possible
[TS]
01:18:34
◼
►
I i think the 6s and the watch both show
[TS]
01:18:38
◼
►
that Apple is and at the watch i think
[TS]
01:18:41
◼
►
is it is a more interesting example of
[TS]
01:18:43
◼
►
this because the watch has openings it
[TS]
01:18:45
◼
►
has a speaker it has a microphone as as
[TS]
01:18:49
◼
►
the crown to oh yeah right yeah and
[TS]
01:18:52
◼
►
actually an international watches the
[TS]
01:18:54
◼
►
crown is usually the hardest part to
[TS]
01:18:55
◼
►
water prevents its opening with a moving
[TS]
01:18:57
◼
►
partner and everything anyway so you
[TS]
01:18:59
◼
►
know you have a date they clearly have
[TS]
01:19:01
◼
►
the ability to make things that are very
[TS]
01:19:02
◼
►
water resistant possibly waterproof the
[TS]
01:19:04
◼
►
only question i think is how waterproof
[TS]
01:19:07
◼
►
will it be and whether they will
[TS]
01:19:09
◼
►
advertise this as a feature or whether
[TS]
01:19:11
◼
►
it just be quietly water resistant to
[TS]
01:19:13
◼
►
his successes
[TS]
01:19:14
◼
►
yes that was the question what's your
[TS]
01:19:17
◼
►
answer right i would say probably too
[TS]
01:19:22
◼
►
which one of those like that
[TS]
01:19:23
◼
►
rising over the the fact that will
[TS]
01:19:24
◼
►
actually be i would say it is very
[TS]
01:19:27
◼
►
likely that it will be that it will be
[TS]
01:19:29
◼
►
more water resistant than the success
[TS]
01:19:30
◼
►
which is already pretty good so I say
[TS]
01:19:32
◼
►
the the chances of it getting getting
[TS]
01:19:35
◼
►
more water resistant are very good the
[TS]
01:19:37
◼
►
chance of the advertising that i would
[TS]
01:19:38
◼
►
give it maybe like a sixty percent
[TS]
01:19:40
◼
►
chance they probably will advertise it
[TS]
01:19:43
◼
►
but not necessarily but i do think if
[TS]
01:19:45
◼
►
they do actually delete the headphone
[TS]
01:19:47
◼
►
jack then that would be that would make
[TS]
01:19:49
◼
►
it more likely that they would advertise
[TS]
01:19:51
◼
►
that is a feature because that would
[TS]
01:19:52
◼
►
help justify that decision
[TS]
01:19:54
◼
►
yeah i think i'm mostly agree like the
[TS]
01:19:56
◼
►
reason i put this in there is because
[TS]
01:19:57
◼
►
like electronic devices don't become
[TS]
01:20:00
◼
►
more water resistant by accident so in
[TS]
01:20:03
◼
►
the past phones that have been at that
[TS]
01:20:05
◼
►
Apple seems to have been taking making
[TS]
01:20:07
◼
►
more of an effort to seal them up
[TS]
01:20:09
◼
►
getting totally not advertised as you
[TS]
01:20:11
◼
►
probably shouldn't you know put your
[TS]
01:20:12
◼
►
phone in water many people killed our
[TS]
01:20:14
◼
►
phones by putting them in water right
[TS]
01:20:16
◼
►
but some part of the engineering process
[TS]
01:20:18
◼
►
of these phones is even if it's not
[TS]
01:20:20
◼
►
about water maybe just about dust or
[TS]
01:20:22
◼
►
whatever like they're making an effort
[TS]
01:20:23
◼
►
to see all these phones up tighter
[TS]
01:20:26
◼
►
I don't see any reason that effort trend
[TS]
01:20:29
◼
►
would diminish especially since many of
[TS]
01:20:32
◼
►
their competitors do try to advertise
[TS]
01:20:35
◼
►
advertise their phones as waterproof and
[TS]
01:20:37
◼
►
Apple knows better than anybody how many
[TS]
01:20:38
◼
►
people drop their phones in the toilet
[TS]
01:20:40
◼
►
and come into the store said about
[TS]
01:20:41
◼
►
another whole water resistance for their
[TS]
01:20:42
◼
►
warranties like they have this info they
[TS]
01:20:45
◼
►
are trying to make their phones more
[TS]
01:20:46
◼
►
order system so i think the only
[TS]
01:20:48
◼
►
question is do they start advertising
[TS]
01:20:51
◼
►
they're like have they crossed the
[TS]
01:20:52
◼
►
threshold at which they can start
[TS]
01:20:54
◼
►
advertising is obviously they know like
[TS]
01:20:55
◼
►
they're not going to advertise until
[TS]
01:20:57
◼
►
they can be very sure like they are with
[TS]
01:20:58
◼
►
the watch like to spec it out and say
[TS]
01:21:00
◼
►
here's how we think will perform a ball
[TS]
01:21:02
◼
►
right over even the watch
[TS]
01:21:04
◼
►
they barely advertise that it's
[TS]
01:21:06
◼
►
water-resistant everybody's expectations
[TS]
01:21:07
◼
►
while I get under promise and over
[TS]
01:21:09
◼
►
deliver the watch because it's like you
[TS]
01:21:11
◼
►
totally shouldn't put this in the water
[TS]
01:21:12
◼
►
but realistically speaking it's like and
[TS]
01:21:14
◼
►
cranberry swimming in the ocean with his
[TS]
01:21:16
◼
►
like every single week for God's how
[TS]
01:21:19
◼
►
long like if when he tells us that his
[TS]
01:21:21
◼
►
watch has been killed by the water them
[TS]
01:21:23
◼
►
well maybe know that they know what the
[TS]
01:21:25
◼
►
limits are but seriously like it's
[TS]
01:21:27
◼
►
basically well you know waterproof
[TS]
01:21:29
◼
►
enough but they don't say it like you're
[TS]
01:21:31
◼
►
right they don't say much about it
[TS]
01:21:32
◼
►
because like they have the specs and
[TS]
01:21:33
◼
►
it's like it's like watch specs in going
[TS]
01:21:35
◼
►
and you can see with low number
[TS]
01:21:36
◼
►
bizarre on the help of these standards
[TS]
01:21:37
◼
►
or whatever but the phone they don't say
[TS]
01:21:39
◼
►
anything about that i do not bring your
[TS]
01:21:41
◼
►
phone your water in anyway right
[TS]
01:21:43
◼
►
and so some point they'll be able to say
[TS]
01:21:45
◼
►
something about the phone with respect
[TS]
01:21:47
◼
►
to water so I i think that is coming
[TS]
01:21:50
◼
►
I just don't know if it's the iphone 7
[TS]
01:21:52
◼
►
or 8 or 9 or whatever and ever had to
[TS]
01:21:54
◼
►
put a percentage on it for the seven i
[TS]
01:21:56
◼
►
would say I i I'm so the reason is i so
[TS]
01:22:02
◼
►
want this to be an advertising feature
[TS]
01:22:04
◼
►
of the iphone 7 but I just I just feel
[TS]
01:22:06
◼
►
like that even if it is the headphone
[TS]
01:22:08
◼
►
port they need one more generation to
[TS]
01:22:09
◼
►
really go for water but I hope I'm wrong
[TS]
01:22:11
◼
►
so I'm going to put it slightly under
[TS]
01:22:13
◼
►
fifty percent but I hope I'm wrong so
[TS]
01:22:14
◼
►
even if they ditched the headphone port
[TS]
01:22:17
◼
►
there's still lightning port right
[TS]
01:22:19
◼
►
unless we go full inductive yeah i mean
[TS]
01:22:21
◼
►
like this there's always going to be
[TS]
01:22:22
◼
►
openings i don't think the headphone i
[TS]
01:22:23
◼
►
did at put marker said like it's not so
[TS]
01:22:26
◼
►
much to get into the headphone something
[TS]
01:22:27
◼
►
makes it possible to waterproof it's
[TS]
01:22:29
◼
►
that it's a nice it's a nice thing to be
[TS]
01:22:31
◼
►
able to say when telling people that you
[TS]
01:22:32
◼
►
took away their headphone port
[TS]
01:22:34
◼
►
yeah they like because you know there
[TS]
01:22:36
◼
►
are ways to to waterproof certain ports
[TS]
01:22:38
◼
►
and and the design of the poor can make
[TS]
01:22:40
◼
►
it easier or harder
[TS]
01:22:41
◼
►
I'm sure lightning was probably designed
[TS]
01:22:44
◼
►
with that in mind with with in mind to
[TS]
01:22:47
◼
►
to have future devices be more water
[TS]
01:22:49
◼
►
resistant or to make it easier to do it
[TS]
01:22:51
◼
►
well it all that being said one thing
[TS]
01:22:53
◼
►
that I find promising about this is that
[TS]
01:22:56
◼
►
one of my common criticisms of apple
[TS]
01:22:58
◼
►
design especially recently that I think
[TS]
01:23:00
◼
►
seems to be getting worse honestly it
[TS]
01:23:03
◼
►
seems like the the newer products that
[TS]
01:23:04
◼
►
come out oftentimes seem to ignore what
[TS]
01:23:08
◼
►
customers actually need like the
[TS]
01:23:09
◼
►
problems that we face in the real world
[TS]
01:23:11
◼
►
and what we actually one of our devices
[TS]
01:23:13
◼
►
instead you know give us things that we
[TS]
01:23:15
◼
►
were really asking for even though they
[TS]
01:23:18
◼
►
might be nice but just things we were
[TS]
01:23:19
◼
►
only asking for like you know increased
[TS]
01:23:21
◼
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thinnest and lightest is one more cut
[TS]
01:23:22
◼
►
most common things so you know yet
[TS]
01:23:24
◼
►
things like you know like the macbook
[TS]
01:23:26
◼
►
one with it's you know really
[TS]
01:23:27
◼
►
controversial keyboard
[TS]
01:23:30
◼
►
I'll be nice to it tonight well I really
[TS]
01:23:31
◼
►
controversial keyboard that's that was
[TS]
01:23:33
◼
►
made in the name of thinness it's like
[TS]
01:23:35
◼
►
we didn't need to be that the necessary
[TS]
01:23:37
◼
►
things like the iphone it in the best
[TS]
01:23:39
◼
►
example that I can give on the phone is
[TS]
01:23:41
◼
►
battery life where so many people with
[TS]
01:23:43
◼
►
love their phone to get better battery
[TS]
01:23:45
◼
►
life and most people don't say I wish my
[TS]
01:23:48
◼
►
phone was thinner
[TS]
01:23:49
◼
►
in general I I see some I see this
[TS]
01:23:51
◼
►
happening at apple and I'm a little a
[TS]
01:23:53
◼
►
little saddened by some of this however
[TS]
01:23:54
◼
►
if you look at what else
[TS]
01:23:57
◼
►
people really want out of their iphones
[TS]
01:23:59
◼
►
very high on the list is resistance to
[TS]
01:24:02
◼
►
damage and the two kinds of damage that
[TS]
01:24:04
◼
►
happen most phones is water damaged and
[TS]
01:24:07
◼
►
dropping damage and so if they can make
[TS]
01:24:09
◼
►
it more more durable and more more
[TS]
01:24:13
◼
►
resistant to shattering or scratching or
[TS]
01:24:16
◼
►
cracking of the glass surfaces and if
[TS]
01:24:19
◼
►
they can make it more water resistant
[TS]
01:24:20
◼
►
that will seriously benefit a large
[TS]
01:24:23
◼
►
number of customers that is very
[TS]
01:24:25
◼
►
promising and that Apple is clearly
[TS]
01:24:28
◼
►
trying not only to make things super
[TS]
01:24:30
◼
►
thin so Johnny I can be proud of them
[TS]
01:24:31
◼
►
because it seems like they don't really
[TS]
01:24:33
◼
►
know what else to do with the physical
[TS]
01:24:34
◼
►
designs but they can also at least solve
[TS]
01:24:37
◼
►
real customer problems things that were
[TS]
01:24:40
◼
►
really big and really affect a lot of
[TS]
01:24:41
◼
►
people so that i think is great and if
[TS]
01:24:44
◼
►
they're if they're doing stuff like this
[TS]
01:24:45
◼
►
if they're improving waterproofness and
[TS]
01:24:48
◼
►
shockproof penis at all those will pay
[TS]
01:24:50
◼
►
off big time and an actual customer
[TS]
01:24:52
◼
►
benefit
[TS]
01:24:53
◼
►
ok so what's your answer I think that if
[TS]
01:24:56
◼
►
the headphone port goes absolutely i
[TS]
01:24:59
◼
►
think it might even be so far as hey we
[TS]
01:25:02
◼
►
made it waterproof but oops we had to
[TS]
01:25:04
◼
►
make the headphone port go away it's
[TS]
01:25:05
◼
►
just the way it had to be I think it's
[TS]
01:25:07
◼
►
probably going to be I don't know if it
[TS]
01:25:09
◼
►
will be advertised as you know full-on
[TS]
01:25:11
◼
►
waterproof but i do think we will hear
[TS]
01:25:13
◼
►
something advertised about it
[TS]
01:25:14
◼
►
significantly increased water protection
[TS]
01:25:18
◼
►
for like a better way of phrasing it a
[TS]
01:25:20
◼
►
more water resistance i guess i'm having
[TS]
01:25:23
◼
►
trouble wrapping my mind around how this
[TS]
01:25:25
◼
►
would work while still having a
[TS]
01:25:27
◼
►
lightning port I can't help but wonder
[TS]
01:25:28
◼
►
you could we do not only inductive
[TS]
01:25:32
◼
►
charging but inductive data I believe
[TS]
01:25:35
◼
►
that's called Wi-Fi well how to chez
[TS]
01:25:37
◼
►
Pierre point
[TS]
01:25:38
◼
►
yeah but like I don't think you died I
[TS]
01:25:39
◼
►
think they're going to still have a
[TS]
01:25:41
◼
►
lighting board and I think lighting port
[TS]
01:25:42
◼
►
probably because it's their own part and
[TS]
01:25:45
◼
►
they can do whatever the hell they want
[TS]
01:25:46
◼
►
with it and it has always been kind of
[TS]
01:25:47
◼
►
like a non-traditional sort of software
[TS]
01:25:50
◼
►
control port where it's not as if you're
[TS]
01:25:51
◼
►
making aspect for the whole world to
[TS]
01:25:52
◼
►
build you tell them with the pinouts are
[TS]
01:25:54
◼
►
you have no control of what's at the
[TS]
01:25:55
◼
►
other end of those pins because they're
[TS]
01:25:56
◼
►
all like hardwired pins for different
[TS]
01:25:58
◼
►
voltage levels or whatever like it is
[TS]
01:26:00
◼
►
entirely up to the apple so I feel like
[TS]
01:26:01
◼
►
lightning port
[TS]
01:26:02
◼
►
the least of their concerns like
[TS]
01:26:03
◼
►
probably the trickiest parts are like
[TS]
01:26:05
◼
►
the battles around the speakers and
[TS]
01:26:07
◼
►
microphones and stuff because I mean
[TS]
01:26:09
◼
►
they've done it on the watch already but
[TS]
01:26:10
◼
►
to do that and still have a reasonably
[TS]
01:26:12
◼
►
high quality speaker and microphone
[TS]
01:26:14
◼
►
assembly which they seem to be
[TS]
01:26:15
◼
►
concentrating on and recent iOS devices
[TS]
01:26:17
◼
►
it all seems a little bit around
[TS]
01:26:19
◼
►
possibility that's why I think like in
[TS]
01:26:20
◼
►
the past the past few years of devices
[TS]
01:26:22
◼
►
they have been slowly but surely gain
[TS]
01:26:24
◼
►
expertise in how to do this all the
[TS]
01:26:27
◼
►
while not telling you anything about it
[TS]
01:26:28
◼
►
all the only reason we're finding out
[TS]
01:26:29
◼
►
about it is because people youtuber
[TS]
01:26:31
◼
►
dropping their phones in the water and
[TS]
01:26:33
◼
►
then fill me getting see what happens
[TS]
01:26:34
◼
►
when i was at least gonna start blending
[TS]
01:26:36
◼
►
them i think that phase is probably over
[TS]
01:26:38
◼
►
did you hurt your all the things like
[TS]
01:26:39
◼
►
the best the best waterproof electronic
[TS]
01:26:41
◼
►
things they just use distilled water or
[TS]
01:26:43
◼
►
something without any like free ions or
[TS]
01:26:45
◼
►
whatever so they can conduct electricity
[TS]
01:26:46
◼
►
you put present any electronics in that
[TS]
01:26:48
◼
►
or so the theory goes
[TS]
01:26:50
◼
►
whereas if you use tap water or
[TS]
01:26:51
◼
►
something with minerals or impurities or
[TS]
01:26:52
◼
►
whatever that it'll short out your phone
[TS]
01:26:54
◼
►
uh-huh yeah do not put your phone in
[TS]
01:26:57
◼
►
water the lesson like even when if they
[TS]
01:27:00
◼
►
make the water-resistant one don't make
[TS]
01:27:01
◼
►
it and I think marco was never trying to
[TS]
01:27:03
◼
►
give us just a waterproof like that is
[TS]
01:27:05
◼
►
smart to bring up the the dropping thing
[TS]
01:27:07
◼
►
because Apple is kind of stuck on that
[TS]
01:27:11
◼
►
one until some kind of materials change
[TS]
01:27:15
◼
►
because they picked last for a reason
[TS]
01:27:16
◼
►
they try to keep making tougher glass
[TS]
01:27:18
◼
►
the glass that is that's more resistant
[TS]
01:27:20
◼
►
to to breaking and bending like that
[TS]
01:27:22
◼
►
super gorilla whatever glass and trying
[TS]
01:27:24
◼
►
sap like but bottom line is if you put
[TS]
01:27:27
◼
►
plastic on it would be super durable
[TS]
01:27:28
◼
►
that it would be terrible you think
[TS]
01:27:30
◼
►
Johnny I've can handle things now with
[TS]
01:27:32
◼
►
the camera protruding although entirely
[TS]
01:27:35
◼
►
agree with that but uh forget it then
[TS]
01:27:37
◼
►
they want glass because it is it feels
[TS]
01:27:39
◼
►
nice it feels expensive it doesn't get
[TS]
01:27:42
◼
►
all scratched up and gross like it all
[TS]
01:27:44
◼
►
of the great qualities of glass that we
[TS]
01:27:45
◼
►
love the reason why glasses the right
[TS]
01:27:47
◼
►
choice for the thumb the one thing as
[TS]
01:27:48
◼
►
against it is does tend to shatter if
[TS]
01:27:51
◼
►
you drop it onto asphalt just the right
[TS]
01:27:52
◼
►
way so I don't know how they get out of
[TS]
01:27:55
◼
►
find because if the whole if the goal
[TS]
01:27:57
◼
►
was make it so i can take this phone and
[TS]
01:28:00
◼
►
throw it on the ground like I'm spiking
[TS]
01:28:01
◼
►
the football and it survives make the
[TS]
01:28:03
◼
►
whole thing out of fisher-price plastic
[TS]
01:28:04
◼
►
like it's not as if there's a hard drive
[TS]
01:28:06
◼
►
disk head to crash inside there is
[TS]
01:28:08
◼
►
extremely durable all except for the
[TS]
01:28:10
◼
►
fact but it would feel terrible if we
[TS]
01:28:11
◼
►
made it official price plastic and we
[TS]
01:28:13
◼
►
get scratched up and it would look gross
[TS]
01:28:14
◼
►
and it would be a worse product so at
[TS]
01:28:16
◼
►
least waterproof something I can do with
[TS]
01:28:19
◼
►
with dropping not quite sure what they
[TS]
01:28:21
◼
►
can do their and instead we all just
[TS]
01:28:23
◼
►
cover our phones in cases that look like
[TS]
01:28:25
◼
►
big fisher-price plastic well some
[TS]
01:28:27
◼
►
people do I mean my case is not saving
[TS]
01:28:29
◼
►
my phone that I tell you my wife dropped
[TS]
01:28:31
◼
►
her her big plus
[TS]
01:28:34
◼
►
no success that was awhile ago it was
[TS]
01:28:36
◼
►
like a week after she got it and it just
[TS]
01:28:38
◼
►
like slipped out of her pocket or
[TS]
01:28:40
◼
►
whatever from basically waist height
[TS]
01:28:41
◼
►
onto the cement sidewalk completely
[TS]
01:28:43
◼
►
shattered
[TS]
01:28:44
◼
►
well that's why you get applicator plus
[TS]
01:28:47
◼
►
yeah well in her defense the plus is
[TS]
01:28:49
◼
►
really easy to drop
[TS]
01:28:50
◼
►
yeah well it was her first like she's
[TS]
01:28:52
◼
►
gonna use it was in the silicon case but
[TS]
01:28:53
◼
►
that didn't save it but ya know and
[TS]
01:28:55
◼
►
shattered we also chatter phones all the
[TS]
01:28:57
◼
►
time I just thought there's no way out
[TS]
01:29:00
◼
►
of that other than to keep leaning on
[TS]
01:29:01
◼
►
your last manufacturers to make it
[TS]
01:29:03
◼
►
stronger and better but the you know
[TS]
01:29:05
◼
►
until we get transparent aluminum I
[TS]
01:29:07
◼
►
guess from the star trek movie
[TS]
01:29:08
◼
►
Wow would that be worth something to you
[TS]
01:29:11
◼
►
and we're done
[TS]
01:29:14
◼
►
alright thanks 143 sponsors this week
[TS]
01:29:16
◼
►
Harry's Squarespace and fracture and we
[TS]
01:29:18
◼
►
will see you next week
[TS]
01:29:22
◼
►
now the show is over they didn't even
[TS]
01:29:25
◼
►
mean to begin as it was accidental
[TS]
01:29:29
◼
►
it was accidental
[TS]
01:29:32
◼
►
John didn't research Marco and Casey
[TS]
01:29:36
◼
►
would let down
[TS]
01:29:37
◼
►
because it was accidentally was
[TS]
01:29:40
◼
►
accidental and you can find show know
[TS]
01:29:45
◼
►
DP died and it for twitter you can
[TS]
01:29:51
◼
►
follow them
[TS]
01:29:53
◼
►
yes eyl ISS so that's Casey listen ma
[TS]
01:29:58
◼
►
osseo erm Angie Marco Arment our AC at
[TS]
01:30:07
◼
►
Syracuse it
[TS]
01:30:19
◼
►
why do we still have a liking for why
[TS]
01:30:23
◼
►
not go inductive charging and just say
[TS]
01:30:25
◼
►
the hell with it to having a port at all
[TS]
01:30:27
◼
►
my friend has one of those things I
[TS]
01:30:28
◼
►
forget what it's called like the key
[TS]
01:30:30
◼
►
charger or something q I or whatever you
[TS]
01:30:33
◼
►
use it with his iOS devices a case that
[TS]
01:30:35
◼
►
you basically put on your phone and it
[TS]
01:30:36
◼
►
plugs into your lighting board and it's
[TS]
01:30:37
◼
►
a very thin case because all really has
[TS]
01:30:39
◼
►
to do is have a big like sort of
[TS]
01:30:40
◼
►
inductive contact thing and you just put
[TS]
01:30:42
◼
►
it on he likes it he just put it on
[TS]
01:30:44
◼
►
these little stands and charges that i
[TS]
01:30:46
◼
►
would assume slightly slower than the
[TS]
01:30:48
◼
►
other things but why do they not have
[TS]
01:30:50
◼
►
that i don't know i'm not entirely sure
[TS]
01:30:54
◼
►
it is a clean windows like isn't that
[TS]
01:30:56
◼
►
better in all ways than a wire setting
[TS]
01:30:59
◼
►
aside performance entirely I is it
[TS]
01:31:02
◼
►
I don't think it's better and always
[TS]
01:31:04
◼
►
been a wire because the charging them
[TS]
01:31:06
◼
►
takes up more room
[TS]
01:31:07
◼
►
yeah it's like imagine imagine if you're
[TS]
01:31:09
◼
►
traveling with your phone you go to plug
[TS]
01:31:10
◼
►
it in like a hotel or something
[TS]
01:31:12
◼
►
look at what is with the watch today and
[TS]
01:31:14
◼
►
imagine imagine like the watch but
[TS]
01:31:15
◼
►
bigger basically like bringing the watch
[TS]
01:31:18
◼
►
with you is kind of a pain in the butt
[TS]
01:31:19
◼
►
because that big table and it like
[TS]
01:31:21
◼
►
doesn't really stick very well to it
[TS]
01:31:23
◼
►
like when you're like traveling
[TS]
01:31:25
◼
►
somewhere that kind of sucks
[TS]
01:31:26
◼
►
where's the phone like you plug in this
[TS]
01:31:27
◼
►
thing and it holds you can like you can
[TS]
01:31:29
◼
►
swing the phone around like like a rope
[TS]
01:31:31
◼
►
from the cord and it holds it i mean you
[TS]
01:31:35
◼
►
shouldn't but you probably can and it
[TS]
01:31:37
◼
►
will probably hold like it its it
[TS]
01:31:39
◼
►
accords are just really really practical
[TS]
01:31:42
◼
►
in the real world even though they are
[TS]
01:31:44
◼
►
totally unsexy and they may offend the
[TS]
01:31:48
◼
►
sensibilities of the key slice like why
[TS]
01:31:50
◼
►
can't everything be Wireless but the
[TS]
01:31:51
◼
►
reality is like in practice they are
[TS]
01:31:54
◼
►
just really good really simple really
[TS]
01:31:57
◼
►
cheap and they they suffer from very few
[TS]
01:32:00
◼
►
of the downsides of inductive charging
[TS]
01:32:03
◼
►
for like I know speed is actually a big
[TS]
01:32:05
◼
►
issue of that how much current you can
[TS]
01:32:07
◼
►
get through another charger once safely
[TS]
01:32:10
◼
►
and i kinda in that kind of situation
[TS]
01:32:12
◼
►
and i'm pretty sure that a pretty sure
[TS]
01:32:15
◼
►
that the court still wins at a pretty
[TS]
01:32:17
◼
►
big margin and looking forward to the
[TS]
01:32:19
◼
►
future it would be ideal of our phones
[TS]
01:32:22
◼
►
charged even faster especially the
[TS]
01:32:24
◼
►
batteries keep getting smaller it would
[TS]
01:32:26
◼
►
be idealistic if they could charge
[TS]
01:32:27
◼
►
faster which means more current which
[TS]
01:32:30
◼
►
means the capable still win so they're
[TS]
01:32:31
◼
►
capacitors that's all you need to be
[TS]
01:32:33
◼
►
dr. that supercapacitors that's the
[TS]
01:32:35
◼
►
current 5-10 year technology is going to
[TS]
01:32:37
◼
►
make a phone started 15 seconds
[TS]
01:32:38
◼
►
Emily study together the current across
[TS]
01:32:40
◼
►
though but you were mostly interesting
[TS]
01:32:42
◼
►
inductive but i think the other thing
[TS]
01:32:43
◼
►
out there is the whole trying to cook
[TS]
01:32:47
◼
►
the people in the room by carefully
[TS]
01:32:48
◼
►
directing microwaves to exactly where
[TS]
01:32:50
◼
►
your phone is sitting in that case you
[TS]
01:32:51
◼
►
would go to the hotel you have all your
[TS]
01:32:53
◼
►
devices with you and all you do is plug
[TS]
01:32:54
◼
►
one wall art into the wall and it would
[TS]
01:32:56
◼
►
charge every device in the room at the
[TS]
01:32:57
◼
►
same time hopefully not cooking your
[TS]
01:32:59
◼
►
insides when it doesn't
[TS]
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yeah you'd be sleeping five inches away
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from one of them yeah well you know like
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it technically you can do that kind of
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sort of i don't know if that would be
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legal but like I'm trying to think of
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things that like I'm trying to think of
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things that would be with that would be
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a clean way because I think we would all
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agree that that could work and not cook
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people you know we're using whatever
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technology want to make up about some
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future technology that would be win
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because it's better than plugging things
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in you don't have to have a bunch of
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pads with you it does all of them at
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once and it's just it's fire-and-forget
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like the same way that Wi-Fi is like oh
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now you know for most people i don't
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have to wire my house so I just put this
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one thing in the corner of my house and
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then internet is everywhere people what
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is one thing in the corner of my house
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and charging is everywhere
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that would be cool i would buy that if
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it didn't cook me
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