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599: Where Did Salad Go?

 

00:00:00   We never decided if we had a preshow.

00:00:02   - Oh apparently we don't.

00:00:03   (laughs)

00:00:05   - I have a very boring preshow.

00:00:06   - It's perfect, perfect for the summer.

00:00:09   Let's give it a shot.

00:00:10   What do you got?

00:00:11   - Let me put it this way.

00:00:11   There are times that I'll find out or notice

00:00:13   that Marco has removed something that I've said

00:00:15   from the show.

00:00:17   I would say 70 to 80% of the time.

00:00:19   It's a good call.

00:00:21   It's for the best.

00:00:22   10 to 15% of the time I'm like what the hell, man?

00:00:25   And then 5% of the time it's something else entirely.

00:00:28   But this is one of those things where you are probably

00:00:31   going to remove it and it's for the best.

00:00:34   But no, so--

00:00:35   - Wait, is your preshow something that you think

00:00:37   Marco's gonna remove?

00:00:38   - Yes.

00:00:39   - 'Cause that's not a good preshow 'cause we can't use

00:00:41   that as the preshow.

00:00:42   - Look at it this way.

00:00:42   Anytime I try to come up with a preshow,

00:00:44   we end up going off on the rails, off the rails,

00:00:46   not on the rails, it's opposite of that, off the rails.

00:00:48   And then we find something actually interesting

00:00:50   to talk about.

00:00:51   So here we go.

00:00:52   (upbeat music)

00:00:54   And that's the preshow that's only for the bootleg

00:00:56   'cause Marco's gonna remove it.

00:00:57   - Absolutely.

00:00:58   Exactly as promised.

00:01:00   (upbeat music)

00:01:02   - Let's start with an apology tour.

00:01:03   Let's do some follow up.

00:01:05   What happened with the theme song there, Marco?

00:01:08   - Okay, so last episode I accidentally put in the old

00:01:10   theme song about Twitter rather than the new theme song

00:01:13   about Mastodon.

00:01:14   My bad.

00:01:15   Ending theme one which I used for 10 years or whatever

00:01:19   it's been.

00:01:20   Have a bit of a habit on that one and I accidentally

00:01:22   picked that one instead of picking endingtheme2024.af.

00:01:26   So my bad, sorry.

00:01:28   It happens to the best of us.

00:01:30   The offending parties have been sacked as they say.

00:01:32   No big deal.

00:01:33   I would also like to go on an apology tour.

00:01:35   Last episode we were talking about overcast and call sheet.

00:01:39   And coincidentally today is the day, is the one year

00:01:41   anniversary of call sheet.

00:01:42   - Hey, congrats.

00:01:43   - Hey, thanks.

00:01:44   - Are you looking forward to the App Store Connect report

00:01:46   tomorrow morning?

00:01:48   - Yeah, I don't even know how this works.

00:01:49   I've never had a subscription app before.

00:01:50   So I'm scared to look to be honest with you.

00:01:53   Mike on analog, we talked about this and Mike had advised.

00:01:57   Just expect like half of what you had originally.

00:02:00   And I thought, you know what?

00:02:01   He's probably right.

00:02:02   That's probably a good place to start.

00:02:04   Is that whatever money I made a year ago,

00:02:05   just expect half that.

00:02:06   And hopefully that's a good place to reach.

00:02:08   And hopefully I'll achieve that.

00:02:11   - Wait, don't you have to wait more than just like,

00:02:12   I know it's like the anniversary, but like isn't there kind

00:02:15   of, wasn't there several days between like the announcement

00:02:18   and the publication of the episode where you talked about it

00:02:21   and when people got around to listening to the episode?

00:02:22   Isn't this gonna be kind of smeared out over

00:02:24   at least a week?

00:02:25   - Although that's part of the reason why I didn't plan

00:02:26   on looking tomorrow.

00:02:27   I figured whenever we hit like September-ish

00:02:31   is when I'll start like looking into it

00:02:33   or just wait for, you know, hopefully a check from Apple

00:02:35   that hopefully is more than $10 and say, you know,

00:02:38   oh, that went well or, oh, wow, that really stinks,

00:02:41   you know, one way or the other.

00:02:42   So, but I digress.

00:02:44   So we were talking about Call Sheet and Overcast

00:02:47   and I had made a comment that I thought was very clear

00:02:51   what I was saying and it appears that a lot of people

00:02:53   did not understand 'cause I saw a lot of grumpy people

00:02:56   on Reddit, which is arguably redundant, but here we are,

00:02:58   and a handful of people reached out via Mastodon.

00:03:02   And what I was talking about was, and admittedly,

00:03:05   I used kind of like a mocky, you know, dorky voice,

00:03:07   but what I was trying to say was whenever an app

00:03:10   changes its interface, no matter if the change is better,

00:03:13   worse or whatever, just by virtue of the fact

00:03:16   that it is different, that pisses a lot of people off.

00:03:19   And a lot of times what those people will do

00:03:22   is they'll run to the App Store and do a one-star review.

00:03:24   Oh, it's different, one star.

00:03:26   I stand by that.

00:03:28   Now, maybe my delivery wasn't exactly the best,

00:03:30   but I stand by that, I still believe it.

00:03:32   But a lot of people seem to hear me say,

00:03:35   oh, anyone who whines about it being different is wrong,

00:03:39   which is not at all what I was trying to say.

00:03:40   There are legitimate reasons why one could complain

00:03:43   about Overcast, about Call Sheet.

00:03:46   You know, John's apps are so simple,

00:03:47   nobody could complain about them, but--

00:03:49   - If only that were true.

00:03:51   - Right?

00:03:52   But all kidding aside, you know,

00:03:53   there are very legitimate reasons to complain

00:03:55   about the changes that Marco has made,

00:03:57   or anything that I have done on Call Sheet.

00:03:58   Like, they are not above reproach,

00:04:00   and I think that that's what people got

00:04:02   from what I was saying, which I'm not really sure how or why,

00:04:05   but here we are, but I just wanted to be absolutely clear.

00:04:07   - I think it was the funny voice.

00:04:08   I think most people-- - I guess.

00:04:09   - The funny voice, you're putting yourself

00:04:10   in the place of the person complaining by saying,

00:04:12   these people sound like this.

00:04:14   That's, I think that's the main source of the complaint.

00:04:16   If you hadn't done the funny voice,

00:04:18   I think it would have worked out a lot better,

00:04:19   because it's like you're making fun of the people

00:04:21   who have this complaint.

00:04:22   When you do that voice, you're saying these people

00:04:24   are not justified in their complaints.

00:04:26   - What if they do sound like that, though?

00:04:28   (laughing)

00:04:30   - You still shouldn't make fun of them,

00:04:31   'cause that's just their regular voice, then.

00:04:32   (laughing)

00:04:33   - Yeah, I mean, to be fair, like,

00:04:35   there are a lot of people who do sound like that

00:04:37   in their interviews, but also, like,

00:04:39   I see why people do the one-star thing,

00:04:42   because if you think about, like,

00:04:43   the perspective of a typical iPhone user,

00:04:49   what they are accustomed to is big companies

00:04:53   redoing their apps all the time, messing up their habits,

00:04:56   messing up their, you know, making their apps worse

00:04:59   for their customers, with their customers

00:05:01   having basically no power whatsoever.

00:05:03   Like, so customers feel powerless and kind of helpless,

00:05:08   and the one tool they have, the one lever they can pull

00:05:11   that they know will have some effect on every single app

00:05:16   is the one-star nasty review.

00:05:17   Like, they know that.

00:05:18   And so, I understand why people jump to that,

00:05:21   because the entire rest of the market and industry

00:05:24   has told them, has trained them, like,

00:05:26   that is your only power.

00:05:27   And, by the way, we don't care

00:05:30   about anything else you might do.

00:05:31   Like, you know, if you just write into support

00:05:32   for most companies, that's going to be, you know,

00:05:35   even less effective than emailing me,

00:05:38   which is really saying something.

00:05:40   But, so, you know, so I get why people do it.

00:05:45   I still think it's not the nicest thing to do if,

00:05:49   you know, so the one-star review,

00:05:51   what they are often saying is,

00:05:55   "I dislike a change that's been made to this app."

00:05:58   But what one-star, you know, like,

00:06:01   the lowest rating you can give an app,

00:06:03   what that means, ostensibly, is,

00:06:07   this is a horrible, like, broken or dysfunctional app.

00:06:11   Like, this means this app is, like,

00:06:13   0% useful to you or to me or to whatever.

00:06:17   And so I feel like it is, it's part of the problem

00:06:20   with the star rating scale.

00:06:21   We see this all over everything

00:06:22   that uses star ratings, not just apps.

00:06:24   You tend to get a lot of people who use

00:06:27   five stars and one star, and what they really,

00:06:30   I think, probably mean is, like, thumbs up or thumbs down.

00:06:34   But the scale, the rating scale gives the impression

00:06:39   of more granularity and more, kind of, you know,

00:06:42   consideration on what, is this a two-star,

00:06:44   is it a three-star, like, it gives the impression of that

00:06:47   and kind of the math is assuming that,

00:06:50   but what people actually do does not really reflect that.

00:06:53   So what I get annoyed by is when people are like,

00:06:57   this app that I use every day changed something

00:07:00   that I don't like, one star.

00:07:02   Well, you use the app every day?

00:07:05   And it's literally, you're giving it

00:07:08   the worst rating you can give it.

00:07:09   Like, that seems like an overreaction

00:07:12   or a misrepresentation of the feelings that you're feeling

00:07:15   or what you're trying to communicate.

00:07:17   But I understand, again, why people do it,

00:07:19   because they think this is the only chance I have

00:07:22   to maybe do something that works,

00:07:24   that gets noticed, that gets, you know,

00:07:26   that affects change.

00:07:28   So I see why people do it.

00:07:29   It's a crap system, but it is the system we have.

00:07:32   And so we have to deal with it as app developers,

00:07:35   and we have no choice, maybe,

00:07:36   because of the way the app store works.

00:07:37   Like, you know, if you do what Apple thinks never existed

00:07:41   and sell software on your website, for instance,

00:07:43   you can choose whether you display star ratings

00:07:47   from users or not, and you can kind of sell your products

00:07:50   however you want to sell them.

00:07:51   When you're on iOS, your only choice,

00:07:54   outside of the EU, I guess, but your only choice

00:07:57   is you have to accept that there's gonna be a star rating

00:08:00   and random reviews from random people

00:08:03   very prominently displayed on your app page

00:08:05   before anybody downloads it.

00:08:07   So you're stuck with the system that we have,

00:08:09   and you kind of have to play in it.

00:08:11   So that being said, like, the one star review dynamic

00:08:16   is incredibly dysfunctional, extremely harmful

00:08:19   to lots of developers, but also it's the tool people have

00:08:22   and they use it for a reason.

00:08:24   I wish they would use it with a little bit

00:08:26   more consideration.

00:08:27   I wish they would actually use the other ratings

00:08:30   that are not just one or five more often,

00:08:33   but hey, it's the system we got, we gotta live with it.

00:08:36   - Yeah, I would agree with that.

00:08:37   Although I will say, and I think I'm probably speaking

00:08:40   for you, Marco, but you can jump in and correct me if not.

00:08:43   For me, I don't actually pay close attention

00:08:47   to like reviews and star ratings and whatnot.

00:08:49   I do glance from time to time, but to me,

00:08:52   the best way to affect change in my apps

00:08:54   is to use the in-app contact form,

00:08:57   or which is really just sending an email,

00:08:58   but they effectively send me an email

00:09:00   and tell me what's bothering you and why it's bothering you.

00:09:02   And for triple bonus points, if you have a suggestion

00:09:05   as to what to do differently, like I don't like this.

00:09:09   Well, that's not necessarily actionable.

00:09:11   I don't like this because, well, okay, now we're talking.

00:09:14   Or even better, I don't like this because whatever,

00:09:17   and I suggest, well, you're my new best friend,

00:09:20   because now, even if I don't agree,

00:09:23   now I at least understand what the problem is,

00:09:25   why it's a problem, and here is what you consider to be,

00:09:28   and I don't mean this to be dismissive,

00:09:29   like I mean this genuinely, what you consider to be

00:09:32   a worthwhile and reasonable fix for the problem.

00:09:35   And that, to me, is way better and way more actionable.

00:09:39   And I agree with what you were saying, Marco,

00:09:41   that in terms of leverage, the only real leverage

00:09:45   anyone has other than stopping a subscription or something

00:09:48   is a one-star review, and I agree with that.

00:09:50   But in terms of actually achieving the goal

00:09:53   you're looking for, then to me anyway,

00:09:56   the best thing you can do is email me

00:09:58   or use the in-app feedback or what have you

00:10:00   in order to give me the justification for it,

00:10:04   not because I'm the king and I don't wanna be bothered,

00:10:07   but because I don't understand otherwise.

00:10:09   If you don't give me that justification and just say,

00:10:11   well, I don't like the way this works,

00:10:13   well, I don't know what to do with that.

00:10:15   Obviously, this was the best option I could come up with,

00:10:18   so explain to me why, or like I said, even better,

00:10:20   give me a suggestion.

00:10:22   - Yeah, and the problem is, the one-star review thing

00:10:26   does work in the sense that, like,

00:10:29   I saw some news earlier, like Sonos is really,

00:10:32   they're still kind of reeling from their big app thing,

00:10:35   which scared the crap out of me when I saw it,

00:10:37   and now I'm still seeing, like,

00:10:39   my overcast reviews are terrible since the redesign.

00:10:43   Like, they are awful, to the point where, like,

00:10:46   my business is on fire.

00:10:48   It's a small fire on a pretty big building,

00:10:52   but it is on fire.

00:10:53   I need to react, I need to take action.

00:10:56   This is not optional.

00:10:57   If I do not take action, my business will go away soon.

00:11:00   Like, not too soon.

00:11:02   I have a lot of, you know, it turns out,

00:11:03   over, you know, when you don't reset your star ratings

00:11:05   over 10 years, the math works pretty well in your favor,

00:11:08   that, like, it takes a lot to move the average down,

00:11:10   because it's like, even, you know,

00:11:12   even a few straight weeks of one-star reviews,

00:11:14   there's, you know, thousands of reviews to balance it out

00:11:17   from the last 10 years, mathematically, with the average.

00:11:20   But all of these one-star reviews that I'm getting

00:11:23   are forcing me to take action.

00:11:25   I am being forced to make changes,

00:11:28   to, like, you know, consider, you know,

00:11:30   I had to re-add, you know, one-tap play,

00:11:33   I'm having to make design changes,

00:11:35   I'm going to have to add more options to the app,

00:11:37   I'm going to have to, like, add more buttons,

00:11:40   compromise my design, compromise my simplicity.

00:11:43   I'm actually going to have to make the app,

00:11:45   in certain ways, worse, in my opinion,

00:11:49   in order to placate the one-star review people,

00:11:51   because I have no choice.

00:11:53   As an iOS developer, if you're getting a ton

00:11:55   of one-star reviews over something, you have to fix it.

00:11:58   If you care about the future of your app,

00:12:00   because if your star rating goes down, like,

00:12:03   in a meaningful way on the average,

00:12:06   you will get way fewer downloads,

00:12:08   and it's really bad for your business.

00:12:10   So, the fact is, like, this method works,

00:12:13   and I kind of hate that it works,

00:12:15   but, again, this is the system we're in.

00:12:18   We have no choice.

00:12:19   If there are that many people leaving you one-star reviews,

00:12:22   you have to fix whatever they're complaining about,

00:12:25   whether you agree with it or not.

00:12:26   So, it is kind of frustrating, as a developer,

00:12:29   to have to give your customers that much power

00:12:31   over what you do, 'cause, you know,

00:12:33   your app design is not a democracy,

00:12:35   but they kind of turn it into one in a way.

00:12:38   And so, I can, again, I understand why people

00:12:42   use the one-star review lever,

00:12:45   because it's the only lever they have, as users,

00:12:48   but I also understand why developers are like,

00:12:51   I kind of hate that they hold this over me,

00:12:54   because it is quite a dysfunctional system,

00:12:58   and there is no way to opt out of it.

00:13:00   - Yeah, just to put a bow on this, though,

00:13:01   and to be absolutely clear, you know,

00:13:03   I am sorry that I came across in a not-so-kind way.

00:13:07   I try to be a decent guy, and I think I failed there.

00:13:10   But, you know, again, there's plenty of things

00:13:12   that are worth complaining about.

00:13:14   Just don't complain just because it's different,

00:13:15   and that's all I was asking.

00:13:17   - We are sponsored this week by Revenue Cat.

00:13:21   Now, last week, you might recall in the after show,

00:13:23   Casey brought up that if he could start Call Sheet

00:13:25   all over again, he'd consider using Revenue Cat

00:13:27   for managing his in-app purchases.

00:13:29   And then he jokingly challenged them to sponsor the show.

00:13:32   Well, Revenue Cat's developer advocate is Charlie Chapman,

00:13:35   who you might know from his launch podcast,

00:13:37   which I think is great, and you should go listen to it.

00:13:38   It's wonderful.

00:13:39   And so, he's a listener of this show,

00:13:41   and he said maybe let's actually sponsor them.

00:13:43   So, they got in touch, and here they are.

00:13:46   This might be the first sponsored follow-up in a way.

00:13:48   So, here's the deal with Revenue Cat.

00:13:50   They build an SDK and backend infrastructure

00:13:53   to make adding in-app purchases and subscriptions

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00:14:02   and they can even handle your paywall UI

00:14:05   with their backend configurable,

00:14:06   but fully native paywall UI framework.

00:14:10   So, you can do stuff with this,

00:14:11   like run A/B tests with the experiments feature,

00:14:14   and that's, again, with a native UI.

00:14:15   You configure it on the backend,

00:14:16   but then it's using native code in the app.

00:14:19   So, you can do full A/B tests with that feature.

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00:14:31   called the Prediction Explorer

00:14:33   that uses a predictive model to project

00:14:34   how much revenue to expect from users in the future,

00:14:37   which is exactly the kind of information

00:14:39   Casey was interested in last week.

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00:15:12   Thank you so much to Revenue Cat for sponsoring the show.

00:15:15   (upbeat music)

00:15:18   - All right, so we had a lot of genuinely

00:15:21   interesting feedback with regard to curbside charging

00:15:24   in the United States.

00:15:25   And I will try to make this as quick as possible,

00:15:27   but a bunch of people wrote in and said, surprise, surprise,

00:15:30   in some bigger cities, there is curbside charging.

00:15:33   So, it turns out Gareth Edwards pointed us to Plug NYC,

00:15:37   which was apparently in August, 2021.

00:15:40   Reading from untappedcities.com,

00:15:44   some neighborhoods in New York City

00:15:45   are welcoming Plug NYC,

00:15:46   the city's new curbside electric vehicle chargers

00:15:48   that are being tested as a pilot program

00:15:50   run as a partnership between NYC DOT, Con Edison, and FLO,

00:15:54   one of the largest electric vehicle charging networks

00:15:56   in North America, which is interesting

00:15:57   'cause I've never heard of it, but that's right.

00:15:59   And an initial 34 stations with 100 plugs

00:16:01   are coming across the five boroughs.

00:16:03   - I do wonder, like this is just starting from 2021

00:16:05   where they had an initial 34 stations.

00:16:07   How many stations are there now in 2024?

00:16:09   I don't know.

00:16:10   But anyway, it seems like there's a pilot program

00:16:12   in New York City, at least one.

00:16:13   Then James Brown, presumably not the godfather of soul,

00:16:16   from Berkeley writes, "Berkeley launched a pilot program

00:16:19   in 2018 for homeowners to install curbside EV chargers.

00:16:23   Part of why it's so impractical,

00:16:24   they recommend a homeowner's budget

00:16:26   between $5,000 and $20,000 for the install,

00:16:30   including," that's like, what, half a Rivian repair?

00:16:32   Hey-o, "for the install, including $2,500 of permit fees.

00:16:36   I've seen exactly one of these, ever."

00:16:38   And we'll link in the show notes

00:16:40   something that James provided

00:16:41   with regard to how to make this happen.

00:16:44   Kiel from Seattle writes, "I drive an EV in Seattle,

00:16:47   and we have some city-sponsored

00:16:48   curbside fast charging, very convenient."

00:16:50   We'll put a link in the show notes for that.

00:16:53   Vault is a great podcast about green technology.

00:16:55   They recently had an episode

00:16:56   about expanding curbside charging in the US.

00:16:58   They provided a overcast link, which 404s,

00:17:01   so I think I've dug up the right link,

00:17:04   and I'll put that in the show notes.

00:17:06   But if it's wrong, I guess blame me and not Kiel.

00:17:10   Seth Karras writes, "Baltimore has been

00:17:12   installing curbside electric chargers.

00:17:14   See the photo of the chargers along Boston Street

00:17:15   in Baltimore's Cannon neighborhood."

00:17:17   And I don't know if we're gonna include the photo,

00:17:19   but we saw it, and it looked cool.

00:17:21   Juan Boyce writes, "Pole vault," P-O-L-E-V-O-L-T.

00:17:24   That's very clever.

00:17:25   Curbside charging in North Carolina is a thing,

00:17:27   and included a link to Plugshare,

00:17:29   where you can see a photograph of that.

00:17:32   And finally, Sam Grover writes,

00:17:34   "Neighborhood EV charging also exists in Portland,"

00:17:36   which I think we've kind of talked about already,

00:17:38   but that's all right.

00:17:39   No, we didn't, never mind.

00:17:40   It exists in Portland,

00:17:41   and there's a link to the information on that

00:17:44   from the city of Portland as well.

00:17:46   - Seeing all these things of programs

00:17:48   that were started many years ago

00:17:50   makes me feel like there was some effort

00:17:52   to get curbside charging in some US cities,

00:17:55   and it just maybe didn't quite get critical mass, right?

00:17:59   But it's good that they're trying.

00:18:00   It's good that they're doing it.

00:18:03   Every little bit helps.

00:18:04   I just hope it really starts to snowball somewhere.

00:18:07   - Yeah, the problem with charging infrastructure

00:18:09   is that I think it's kind of like when companies hired

00:18:14   a bunch of consultants to make their iOS apps,

00:18:16   and then said, "All right, thanks, bye."

00:18:18   And then a couple years later, like,

00:18:20   "Wait, we need to update the app now,

00:18:22   "'cause iOS changed, and we have no idea.

00:18:25   "We didn't budget for ongoing maintenance of this expense.

00:18:29   "We just thought it was a one-time thing.

00:18:30   "We make an app, check, done."

00:18:32   And that's curbside,

00:18:34   or any kind of EV charging infrastructure.

00:18:36   The problem is it takes maintenance and follow-through,

00:18:40   and it isn't just like a one-time,

00:18:41   "Hey, let's put a bunch of chargers there,"

00:18:42   and then profit.

00:18:44   You know, it takes more than that.

00:18:45   It takes ongoing maintenance,

00:18:47   as we will get to maybe in the after show.

00:18:49   It's more difficult than you might expect

00:18:52   to maintain these things over time,

00:18:54   and at least it seems to be according to the failure rate

00:18:58   I'm seeing on Electrify America chargers.

00:19:01   - Yeah, so the curbside ones is an interesting case of that,

00:19:04   and I kind of understand why Berkeley

00:19:06   was doing the thing of basically making the homeowners

00:19:08   essentially pay for it and own it,

00:19:09   because if it's a thing that you paid for,

00:19:11   you have some stake in keeping it going,

00:19:14   'cause presumably you're using it for your car.

00:19:16   That's why you did it, and it's your charger,

00:19:18   you know what I mean?

00:19:19   And so that's sort of distributing

00:19:21   the responsibility for maintenance.

00:19:23   For chargers where you, like destination chargers,

00:19:25   I don't know what the right term is,

00:19:26   like chargers that are like gas station.

00:19:27   There's a place where you go that's a charger,

00:19:29   and there's a whole bunch of chargers lined up

00:19:30   just like there'd be a whole bunch of gas pumps.

00:19:32   For those type of charger things--

00:19:34   - DC fast chargers, also called level three chargers.

00:19:36   - Right, but what I'm saying is they're not curbside

00:19:39   where it's just like they're dotting the streets.

00:19:40   There's a place you go where a bunch of cars

00:19:42   park and charge, right?

00:19:44   - Yeah, destination chargers are actually something else.

00:19:46   That's like the ones in the hotel parking lot

00:19:47   at some hotels. - Yeah, okay, got it.

00:19:49   - Those are level twos, yeah.

00:19:50   - Yeah, although I would say for the hotel ones,

00:19:52   that's an example of where you feel like the hotel

00:19:54   presumably pays for and owns those chargers,

00:19:55   or maybe gets rent for them or whatever.

00:19:57   There's some responsible body.

00:19:58   For the ones that are like a place that you go

00:20:00   that's like a gas station, we would hope,

00:20:03   and I think this was the hope,

00:20:04   but apparently there are economics

00:20:06   that don't work out for this,

00:20:08   that whoever owns that place where the chargers are

00:20:13   would maintain them in the same way

00:20:14   that someone who owns a gas station maintains the pumps.

00:20:17   How often do you go and see pumps

00:20:19   out of order at gas stations?

00:20:20   It happens, but if you live near one, for example,

00:20:22   and one of the pumps is out of order,

00:20:23   you would expect like by next week,

00:20:25   the pump's not out of order anymore.

00:20:26   The people who own the gas station got it fixed, right?

00:20:30   And I know the economics of gas stations,

00:20:32   at least I've read, I think the economics of gas stations

00:20:33   very often has to do with selling things

00:20:35   from the convenience store,

00:20:36   and the gas is like a loss leader

00:20:37   to get people to buy potato chips or whatever, right?

00:20:40   And maybe there's just not enough places

00:20:41   where you can buy potato chips at like Tesla chargers,

00:20:43   and it's a bad example 'cause they maintain theirs,

00:20:45   but I feel like the failure rates on electric chargers

00:20:48   are so bad it's because people had that mindset.

00:20:50   It's like, oh, it's electricity.

00:20:51   It's not like a gas pump that has to be maintained

00:20:54   and inspected, you see those inspection stickers

00:20:56   and everything, and it's like all this whole infrastructure

00:20:58   of the big trucks come and they fill the big tanks

00:21:01   and the pumps are inspected and signed off on

00:21:03   and the people own things.

00:21:04   It's not like that, it's just a plug.

00:21:06   So like the iOS app you just described,

00:21:08   once we install the plugs, we're done, right?

00:21:10   It's like, no.

00:21:11   Someone needs to be looking at every single plug

00:21:13   every single day, just like at a gas station.

00:21:15   Someone who works at the gas station

00:21:17   notices if one of the pumps stops working

00:21:19   because they work at the gas station and someone says,

00:21:21   hey, the pump's not working, and they're there all day,

00:21:23   and they say, oh, pump number three is out,

00:21:25   and then they arrange to get pump number three fixed.

00:21:27   And it seems like an electric charger thinks,

00:21:29   A, there's nobody there,

00:21:30   and B, when it breaks, it just sits there

00:21:32   for months and months and months, and it's just like,

00:21:33   is anyone ever gonna notice that this plug has not working,

00:21:37   that the cord got yanked out, that it's fraying,

00:21:39   that the machine is on the fritz,

00:21:41   that the software update failed or whatever?

00:21:43   They just need someone to take ownership.

00:21:46   I'm holding up gas stations.

00:21:49   This is a paragon of responsible stewardship

00:21:52   of infrastructure, but honestly,

00:21:54   I don't think it's asking too much.

00:21:56   Gas stations, we're able to maintain those,

00:21:58   and they're just, I would argue,

00:22:00   mechanically more complex than chargers,

00:22:03   if not technologically more complex.

00:22:04   So I hope this does get better.

00:22:06   It seems like it could,

00:22:07   but maybe the economics needs to work out

00:22:08   to pay someone to sit there and sell you potato chips

00:22:10   at the Tesla charging station.

00:22:11   (laughing)

00:22:13   - All right, moving along,

00:22:14   we've got some color information.

00:22:17   Apparently, there's been some leaks over the last few weeks,

00:22:20   or week or so, with regard to iPhone 16 and 16 Pro colors.

00:22:25   So we've got a couple of posts from 9to5Mac

00:22:27   that include some pictures.

00:22:29   For the iPhone 16 and 16 Plus,

00:22:32   we've got white, very, very black,

00:22:36   blue, green, and pink.

00:22:38   And interestingly, this camera bump is different, right?

00:22:41   Because it's vertically up and down

00:22:43   with a flash kind of separated and not in the camera.

00:22:46   - That's what I was saying last week.

00:22:47   If you were expecting that just,

00:22:48   "Oh, it's great when there's gonna be top and bottom,

00:22:50   "it'll be a narrow opening."

00:22:51   But no, 'cause you gotta have that flash exposed.

00:22:53   And unless you wanna do a punch hole cutout for the flash,

00:22:55   which you probably don't wanna do

00:22:56   'cause it won't be exact and it'll throw shadows,

00:22:58   it's gonna end up being like a triangular cutout,

00:23:00   don't you think, for cases on this design?

00:23:02   - Yeah, probably.

00:23:03   - Yeah, I think so.

00:23:04   But the colors look good.

00:23:06   The black and blue in particular look very good to my eyes.

00:23:09   I can see why one would like the green.

00:23:11   It's a little bit on the bluey, turquoisey side,

00:23:14   just a touch, but it's, I mean,

00:23:15   actually all of them look pretty good.

00:23:17   - They are more saturated than all,

00:23:18   but they seem kind of pale, still a little bit pale to me.

00:23:22   And I kind of miss, my daughter's got the purple phone.

00:23:24   I think that's more fun.

00:23:25   There's no yellow, there's no red, but you know,

00:23:27   at least, like you said,

00:23:29   at least the black is black and the white is white.

00:23:30   Like those seem to be more solid and saturated.

00:23:33   And you know, anyway, not a great color year,

00:23:36   but not the worst.

00:23:37   But that's of course the 16 and the 16 Plus,

00:23:40   the phones for people who like colors.

00:23:42   - Mm-hmm, but if you are a professional,

00:23:44   you don't like color. - No.

00:23:46   - You still will not like color this September

00:23:48   because according to 95 Mac,

00:23:51   your choices are natural titanium, which is what I chose

00:23:54   and actually does look really good,

00:23:55   but that's neither here nor there.

00:23:56   You get natural titanium, rose titanium,

00:23:58   white titanium or black titanium.

00:24:01   Now in the defense of these colors,

00:24:03   I do genuinely think, and I am biased,

00:24:05   that natural looks really damn good.

00:24:07   And this black is freaking black.

00:24:09   Like this is a mighty black, black titanium,

00:24:12   but still can we not have fun colors on professional devices?

00:24:15   - Yeah, not very colorful.

00:24:17   Like I do like the black and white

00:24:18   and I do like the natural titanium

00:24:20   and the rose one presumably is red tinted.

00:24:22   We don't have like a picture of that,

00:24:23   but that's not really colors.

00:24:26   It's just shades of gray.

00:24:28   And a nice set of shades of gray

00:24:29   and one of the shades of gray has a tint of color in it.

00:24:32   But that's it. - Mm-hmm.

00:24:33   - I mean, just like all the pro phones

00:24:35   that pretty much have ever existed,

00:24:37   it's like, well, you can have very light gray,

00:24:39   which they call white, very dark gray,

00:24:41   which they call some form of black or space or whatever.

00:24:44   Then you can have maybe a medium gray

00:24:47   that has a color whiffed by it, but it's not,

00:24:50   it's basically like, and this year was even,

00:24:52   this year was like comically bad, but the 15 Pro line,

00:24:55   like now we have like four different shades of gray

00:24:57   and then a blue gray. (laughs)

00:24:59   - Yeah, I mean, people put cases on most time anyway,

00:25:01   it's not a big deal,

00:25:01   though like I said on my daughter's phone,

00:25:03   she has a purple 12 that she had a clear case on

00:25:07   and we recently got a new clear case

00:25:09   to replace the old yellowed one.

00:25:11   Looks really good in a clear case.

00:25:12   Clear cases do show off the color of the phone.

00:25:14   You know, it's like that purple is a great color.

00:25:16   She's gonna be sad when eventually

00:25:18   she has to replace that phone and her choice.

00:25:20   If she had to pick from these colors,

00:25:22   I don't know what she would do.

00:25:23   I mean, maybe she would like the pink or the pale green,

00:25:25   but that purple was great, I miss it.

00:25:28   - I wonder like if, I mean, this is wish casting

00:25:30   more than actual prediction, but I wonder if,

00:25:34   assuming that the iPhone slim rumor actually

00:25:37   has something behind it for next year,

00:25:39   I wonder if they would take advantage of the likelihood

00:25:42   that like I think slim owners might be less likely

00:25:45   to use cases than everyone else,

00:25:47   just 'cause they would wanna like kinda show off

00:25:49   the slimness of it.

00:25:50   Maybe it wouldn't need a case as much

00:25:52   because it would be much lighter, who knows.

00:25:54   Or maybe people would use more clear cases

00:25:56   to help show it off, you know.

00:25:57   But I wonder if they would take the opportunity

00:25:58   to maybe have some more desirable or more flashy colors

00:26:03   in the slim line, we'll see.

00:26:06   - Well, I guess that last week,

00:26:07   if it is going to be the most expensive phone,

00:26:09   that means no colors.

00:26:10   - That's true, I guess, yeah, following their trend,

00:26:12   like the less expensive phones have the most color,

00:26:15   the pros have only many shades of gray.

00:26:18   So I guess maybe the slim would only come

00:26:21   in like just an average, you know, 50% gray shade.

00:26:23   Like that's it, just the most average color

00:26:26   that is no color.

00:26:27   - Yeah, I mean ultimately the pro phones

00:26:29   have about as much color in them

00:26:31   as my martinis have removed.

00:26:32   You just wave it nearby and call it a day.

00:26:34   All right, CrowdStrike, we're there.

00:26:37   So we have a lot of feedback about CrowdStrike

00:26:39   from various anonymous peoples.

00:26:41   And I will read at least a little bit of one.

00:26:45   One anonymous person writes,

00:26:47   "I am not a lawyer, but I have quite a bit of experience

00:26:50   in negotiating and then enforcing software agreements

00:26:52   between security vendors like CrowdStrike

00:26:53   and large organizations.

00:26:55   I can say definitively the type of click-through EULA

00:26:58   or end user license agreement individuals are subject to

00:27:01   are not in play when multinational giants do deals.

00:27:04   Each contract is spoke with vendors and customers

00:27:07   going back and forth over months

00:27:08   before inking deals lasting multiple years

00:27:10   and millions of dollars.

00:27:11   So any CrowdStrike lawsuits won't add or subtract

00:27:14   to case law about EULAs.

00:27:16   CrowdStrike Falcon isn't something they sell to just anyone

00:27:18   and for sure not to individuals

00:27:20   who would click through a one-sided EULA.

00:27:22   The final contracts between giants always have clauses

00:27:25   about things like software development life cycles,

00:27:27   supply chain management, security practices

00:27:29   and service level agreements.

00:27:30   It's very common to see these phrases like quote,

00:27:32   "Reasonable efforts" quote,

00:27:33   and quote, "Consistent with industry best practices" quote

00:27:36   scattered around.

00:27:38   One of the deals are in, excuse me,

00:27:39   once the deals are in place,

00:27:40   there are often squabbles

00:27:42   about what reasonable efforts look like,

00:27:43   but customers generally win

00:27:45   because vendors want to keep customers happy

00:27:47   and have a hope of renewal.

00:27:48   It's rare for disputes to see the inside of a courtroom

00:27:50   since litigation is so expensive.

00:27:52   Most of the time,

00:27:53   if a vendor isn't meeting their obligations

00:27:54   under the contract and shows no sign of improving,

00:27:57   it's much cheaper to just migrate to a different vendor,

00:27:59   providing similar capabilities

00:28:00   and then bad mouth them to your entire security network.

00:28:03   I guess that's the equivalent of a one star, huh?

00:28:05   This is not a typical outage

00:28:06   and there will be tons of litigation,

00:28:08   both by customers directly

00:28:09   and by their cybersecurity insurance underwriters,

00:28:11   today I learned that's a thing,

00:28:13   seeking to recover damages.

00:28:14   CrowdStrike clearly fell down

00:28:16   on the reasonable efforts part of many clauses

00:28:18   around their development and release practices,

00:28:21   so there's a pretty strong case.

00:28:23   - Yeah, I remember from my jobby job,

00:28:24   we had a contract that basically said

00:28:27   that sort of the downtime stuff of like,

00:28:29   hey, I'm paying for you to do the service

00:28:32   and you're like a web based company,

00:28:33   but what if your site goes down?

00:28:35   That hurts my business.

00:28:36   What's the deal there?

00:28:37   And the deal was basically like,

00:28:39   okay, we guarantee X amount of uptime per unit

00:28:44   for a month, a week or whatever,

00:28:46   and if we fall below the amount that we guarantee,

00:28:48   we start paying you money for every minute that we're down

00:28:52   and it's just the negotiation,

00:28:54   just saying like, okay, well,

00:28:55   how many hours per month do we need to be up?

00:28:58   Like you can have one hour of downtime a month,

00:29:01   five minutes of downtime a month,

00:29:03   and how much do we have to pay

00:29:04   for every minute that we're down after that?

00:29:06   And that is clarifying to all involved,

00:29:08   both to the engineers who are running the sites

00:29:10   and also to the organization

00:29:12   to try to have quality control

00:29:13   and very often we would come close to,

00:29:15   I forget what the phrase was,

00:29:17   we would come close to our threshold

00:29:18   of the downtime for a month for a particular client

00:29:21   or a particular contract or all of our contracts or whatever

00:29:23   and you have the classic change freeze,

00:29:26   which is like, you know what,

00:29:27   let's just wait for the next two days to run out

00:29:28   so we can clear the end of the month and reset the clock

00:29:31   on the service level agreement, right?

00:29:33   And that's one way to do it,

00:29:34   but this type of thing is like,

00:29:37   in case of catastrophic failure like CrowdStrike,

00:29:40   what is the remedy there?

00:29:42   What was written into the contract?

00:29:43   What contracts did people agree to?

00:29:45   Does CrowdStrike have the same contract

00:29:47   with every single person that it sells to?

00:29:49   Probably not, so this is gonna be quite a mess.

00:29:52   - Yep, Marius writes,

00:29:54   the update was not released by timezone,

00:29:57   it was released globally at the same time.

00:29:59   I thought that's what we said last episode,

00:30:00   but I guess not. - No,

00:30:01   we were thinking that people in New Zealand

00:30:03   were noticing it first,

00:30:03   so my assumption at the time

00:30:05   was that it was released by timezone.

00:30:07   So one part of the world got it first

00:30:09   and then slowly as it went across timezones,

00:30:11   but according to Marius, that is not the case.

00:30:13   - Marius continues, the update propagation

00:30:15   took a few minutes to almost all their customers.

00:30:17   The source of this is the Risky Business Podcast,

00:30:19   episode 756, which we will link in the show notes.

00:30:22   But anyways, Marius writes,

00:30:24   I'm not sure why Australia and New Zealand reacted first.

00:30:26   Maybe it was during their afternoon,

00:30:27   but all the customers were affected at the same time.

00:30:30   - Yeah, this seems even more bonkers to me.

00:30:32   (laughs)

00:30:33   - Yeah, I feel like,

00:30:35   maybe we didn't say this on the show,

00:30:36   but I feel like we knew this even last week.

00:30:39   - I didn't know it, so that's why I put it in there.

00:30:40   But anyway, we have a source for it

00:30:41   from the Risky Business Podcast.

00:30:43   You can listen to the podcast inside,

00:30:44   but that's, you know, I believe it.

00:30:46   - All right, so another anonymous person writes,

00:30:48   a phased rollout approach for CrowdStrike updates

00:30:50   has its risks unique to the nature of CrowdStrike's product,

00:30:54   that bad actors will obtain the early rollout update

00:30:56   and through reverse engineering,

00:30:58   obtain information about ongoing attacks or vulnerabilities

00:31:00   and take that information and use it to attack

00:31:02   un-updated CrowdStrike customers and also everyone else.

00:31:05   CrowdStrike does a great deal of research

00:31:07   on the most sophisticated threat actors in the world.

00:31:09   They take that research funded by customers

00:31:11   who are at extremely high risk,

00:31:13   you know, government, news organizations, finance, et cetera,

00:31:16   and funnel the results into the Falcon sensor product.

00:31:18   The exploits used to get the malicious code running

00:31:21   are captured and sent back to the CrowdStrike mothership.

00:31:24   It's a virtuous cycle.

00:31:25   That cycle is disrupted if CrowdStrike

00:31:27   cannot respond to new threats in unison.

00:31:29   By not having patches shoved down to all high risk customers,

00:31:32   blog posts with data signatures, sample binaries,

00:31:34   ready for the entire industry,

00:31:36   then CrowdStrike expands access to really bad vulnerabilities

00:31:40   to everyone who wants them.

00:31:42   All a bad actor needs to do

00:31:43   is have a bunch of different CrowdStrike subscription accounts

00:31:45   on a bunch of different machines

00:31:46   and monitor those machines for updates.

00:31:48   If you get lucky and get selected

00:31:49   for an early update program, analyze the update.

00:31:51   I get that.

00:31:52   - Yeah, this is an argument against the phased rollout,

00:31:55   but I feel like that maybe we weren't specific enough

00:31:58   for this, phased rollout doesn't have to mean

00:32:00   like how Apple does it or some companies do it

00:32:01   where you release to like 1% on the first day

00:32:04   and 10% on the second day and whatever.

00:32:06   Phased rollout can be over the course of 30 minutes

00:32:08   for the globe, right?

00:32:10   It doesn't have to be, or an hour or whatever it is.

00:32:12   Whatever window is too small for someone to get your update,

00:32:16   analyze your binary, figure out the exploit like this,

00:32:19   you're racing against that.

00:32:20   How fast can they figure that?

00:32:21   If they can figure that out in 10 seconds,

00:32:23   then yeah, phased rollout is difficult.

00:32:24   But honestly, any kind of phased rollout,

00:32:27   even if it's 10 second gaps between time zones, right,

00:32:30   and you just do 24 time zones or whatever,

00:32:33   even if it's just like any,

00:32:35   I know from experience, like when you're monitoring

00:32:37   during a release and something goes wrong,

00:32:40   especially something this catastrophic,

00:32:42   everything lights up within seconds.

00:32:44   You don't have to wait for a long time, right?

00:32:47   Phones start ringing, emails start coming,

00:32:50   alerts start turning red on the board, like things happen.

00:32:53   It's not, you know, this is what you're looking for

00:32:55   and rolling out with a 30 second gap between time zones,

00:33:00   you'll know four time zones in that this is catastrophic

00:33:03   and you pull the big stop everything thing.

00:33:06   And you can say, well, you stopped everything,

00:33:07   now they learned about your exploits.

00:33:08   Like it's better than bricking all of your customers

00:33:11   like CrowdStrike did.

00:33:12   So I still think that a phased rollout

00:33:15   is exactly what CrowdStrike should be doing.

00:33:17   I can't tell them exactly what those phases should be

00:33:19   and how long the gap should be

00:33:21   and what the risk is or whatever,

00:33:22   but all at once the entire world

00:33:24   is a capability they should have in cases of emergencies,

00:33:27   but should not be their standard practice.

00:33:29   That's just my opinion.

00:33:30   - No, I completely agree.

00:33:31   - Well, and it also seems like they didn't even have

00:33:33   like a staging environment.

00:33:36   Like before you roll out to anybody public,

00:33:38   why don't you try rolling out to some test servers

00:33:40   or some test clients?

00:33:42   - Yeah, no, obviously their QA process

00:33:44   all fell down or whatever.

00:33:45   I'm just saying like this, as with all security things,

00:33:47   it's a multi-level thing.

00:33:48   You have staging environments, you have test customers,

00:33:51   you have a QA plan, you have automated testing,

00:33:53   you have validation, you have people signing off

00:33:55   and you have a phased rollout.

00:33:57   Those are many different layers of trying to make it

00:33:59   so you don't screw something up, right?

00:34:01   And yeah, they fell down lots of ways.

00:34:03   I mean, you look at their analysis, like clearly,

00:34:06   hey, you pushed out a thing that didn't work.

00:34:07   That's a thing that you could have determined

00:34:08   before you pushed it out.

00:34:09   That is obviously what we're wrong here.

00:34:11   But like, we're always looking at like the very last thing.

00:34:13   Like the last line of defense is if it gets past

00:34:16   all your other systems and you messed up your QA

00:34:18   and all that other stuff, your last line of defense is

00:34:21   watch as you roll it out and see if you're hosing customers

00:34:24   as it goes up.

00:34:25   - Another anonymous person writes,

00:34:27   "CrowdStrike's driver is not the NVIDIA driver."

00:34:30   I'm sorry, I should give some context here.

00:34:31   This is with regard to how do you disable

00:34:33   a crashing kernel extension?

00:34:34   So back to anonymous.

00:34:36   "CrowdStrike's driver is not the NVIDIA driver.

00:34:38   If the NVIDIA driver keeps crashing, sure,

00:34:39   unload it and continue to boot.

00:34:41   But not the cybersecurity driver.

00:34:42   I imagine every IT admin's head exploded

00:34:46   upon reading Tom Warren's quote unquote brilliant idea

00:34:48   to just unload endpoint protection

00:34:51   if it crashes enough times in a row.

00:34:52   That machine not booting is a much better outcome

00:34:54   than flying blind with my entire organization on the line."

00:34:57   That's very much the vibe of a security professional,

00:35:00   but I do understand what they're saying.

00:35:02   - But yeah, I mean, you still,

00:35:04   we're talking about what can Microsoft do?

00:35:06   Microsoft isn't responsible for CrowdStrike's thing,

00:35:09   but they make the OS,

00:35:10   and the OS could be resilient against failure by,

00:35:13   if something keeps crashing on load,

00:35:15   don't load that thing next time.

00:35:17   But it doesn't mean silently don't load that thing.

00:35:20   It could immediately send out some kind of alert

00:35:23   through some kind of Windows thing to say,

00:35:24   "Hey, I just booted into safe mode

00:35:28   because this thing kept crashing."

00:35:29   And that should light up somebody's board somewhere anyway.

00:35:31   So you don't have to,

00:35:33   this doesn't have to imagine that the worst case scenario

00:35:35   of like it silently doesn't load your endpoint protection

00:35:37   and you're running unprotected for months at a time

00:35:39   because you don't realize,

00:35:40   like a smart implementation of this feature

00:35:43   would light up people's boards in the knock

00:35:46   just like any other thing would.

00:35:49   It's just that your machine wouldn't be down, right?

00:35:51   Maybe it would just be booted into safe mode

00:35:53   where it doesn't actually load anything,

00:35:54   but it just says, "I'm sitting here waiting for you

00:35:55   to update me because I couldn't boot all the way."

00:35:57   And that is, for some people,

00:35:59   preferable to it not booting at all.

00:36:01   And on that topic is the next item.

00:36:03   - Right, so what happens if you need to recover

00:36:05   an unbootable Windows machine?

00:36:07   Enterprise Windows machines often have

00:36:08   lights-out management technology.

00:36:11   An IT department can reach out

00:36:12   and touch Windows clients from anywhere.

00:36:14   Just pull up the ILO, integrated lights-out,

00:36:16   management product you use

00:36:17   and remote into your non-functioning client.

00:36:20   You can push out an EFI application

00:36:22   that boots the machine, decrypts the disk

00:36:23   with the boot locker key,

00:36:24   deletes the bad CrowdStrike update and reboots the host.

00:36:27   You can script Windows itself,

00:36:28   have your Windows clients boot into safe mode,

00:36:30   log in, delete the bad file and reboot.

00:36:31   All via integrated lights-out.

00:36:33   - Yeah, that is a cool feature that you can have,

00:36:35   which is essentially like,

00:36:36   when they say pushing an EFI application,

00:36:38   that's like the firmware.

00:36:39   That's like before the OS boots.

00:36:40   It's just the firmware that's bringing up the computer

00:36:42   before it even starts loading an OS from a volume somewhere.

00:36:45   So if you have the ability to sort of

00:36:48   remotely push something, push out an EFI application,

00:36:51   you can get that part of the machine up and running,

00:36:54   get the EFI program to run,

00:36:56   and as they said, decrypt the disk and do the video.

00:36:58   That is complicated and invasive,

00:37:00   but the thing is, not everybody has that.

00:37:01   Yes, maybe it's industry best practice,

00:37:03   but as I think we're learning the Delta lawsuit,

00:37:05   even big companies sometimes don't follow

00:37:07   industry best practices that are up to date

00:37:09   within the current decade.

00:37:10   That was what Microsoft's big slam on Delta was.

00:37:12   They said, you know,

00:37:13   because Delta's yelling at Microsoft,

00:37:14   and Microsoft was like,

00:37:16   Delta, unlike some of its competitors,

00:37:17   has not updated its IT infrastructure.

00:37:19   I think something, I'm paraphrasing what they said,

00:37:21   but yeah, best practices may provide a solution

00:37:24   to a non-booting machine,

00:37:25   but they're not ubiquitous,

00:37:26   and even just reading this description,

00:37:28   it seems fairly sophisticated and complicated,

00:37:30   so I would imagine there are a lot of companies

00:37:32   that don't have that capability,

00:37:34   even though they technically could.

00:37:36   - And then finally, with regard to CrowdStrike,

00:37:37   Michael Cook writes,

00:37:39   "Do you think there is any chance the CrowdStrike incident

00:37:41   "will lead to requirements for heterogeneous systems

00:37:43   "in companies, either in OSs or security software,

00:37:46   "to try to prevent future incidents

00:37:47   "from taking out all systems at once,

00:37:49   "or would it be judged too risky/expensive for the benefit?"

00:37:52   I am not the most recent actually employed person,

00:37:56   that would be John,

00:37:57   but to my eyes, knowing IT folks to the degree that I do,

00:38:02   I feel like this is a perfectly reasonable question,

00:38:05   but I think most IT security professionals

00:38:09   that I've ever worked with emphasize simplicity

00:38:12   more than anything else,

00:38:13   and making their jobs and lives simpler.

00:38:15   So yes, what Michael's saying makes sense,

00:38:18   like if you have a bunch of Macs

00:38:19   as well as Windows computers,

00:38:20   and if you have CrowdStrike

00:38:21   as well as one of their competitors,

00:38:22   that does cover this base

00:38:25   so that if CrowdStrike breaks everything Windows,

00:38:28   you either have Macs that you can use

00:38:30   or something that's not on CrowdStrike,

00:38:32   but I just don't see that juice being worth the squeeze

00:38:34   from the perspective of IT folks.

00:38:36   - Yeah, so there's two kinds of heterogeneity here.

00:38:38   One is across the industry,

00:38:41   and I think we kind of have that,

00:38:42   like this affected like 1% of Windows machines,

00:38:46   which there's obviously not some,

00:38:49   CrowdStrike was not a 99% of machines, right?

00:38:51   So I think across different companies

00:38:54   across the entire world,

00:38:55   there's enough heterogeneity

00:38:57   that not everybody is running CrowdStrike.

00:38:59   Maybe they're running one of CrowdStrike's competitors,

00:39:00   maybe they're running nothing at all.

00:39:02   So I think we have that.

00:39:03   Within a given company, like should Delta Airlines

00:39:06   not use CrowdStrike on all their machines?

00:39:08   No IT person wants to do that, right?

00:39:10   They really want a unified solution

00:39:13   because running something CrowdStrike

00:39:15   plus a CrowdStrike competitor on half your machines,

00:39:18   now you have two places where things can go wrong, right?

00:39:20   And also, it's not like the company

00:39:22   can keep running successfully

00:39:23   if only half of its computers are affected, right?

00:39:26   You know, 100%, half, any significant percentage,

00:39:29   even just a few in key areas is bad.

00:39:32   And I think in general, people don't want to,

00:39:35   which is why like why CrowdStrike is available

00:39:37   for Mac and Linux and everything too.

00:39:38   They don't want to have seven different

00:39:40   endpoint protection solutions deployed in their company.

00:39:43   It's a hassle to manage,

00:39:44   it's difficult to keep up with all those different things.

00:39:47   You have to sign seven different contracts,

00:39:49   and now your user base slash machine base

00:39:52   are divided into sevenths,

00:39:54   all of which can fail for different reasons.

00:39:56   I don't think this will change much.

00:39:58   It may make vendors consider,

00:40:01   make companies consider other vendors

00:40:03   than CrowdStrike, obviously,

00:40:04   and the contact renegotiations for CrowdStrike

00:40:07   will probably be very interesting

00:40:08   in the coming year for the company.

00:40:10   - If the company still exists in a year.

00:40:13   - But I think that,

00:40:15   I think that actually the world of computing

00:40:19   showed some resilience given that this company

00:40:22   and this update was just as catastrophic

00:40:23   as you can imagine it,

00:40:24   and it was only like a story for a week

00:40:26   and only affected 1% of Windows PCs.

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00:42:29   - There's been a whole kerfuffle as we record this today

00:42:36   about macOS Sequoia.

00:42:39   And it apparently has added a weekly permission prompt

00:42:43   for anything, any app that takes a screenshot

00:42:46   or does a screen recording or anything along those lines.

00:42:48   So reading from 9to5Mac,

00:42:51   with macOS Sequoia this fall,

00:42:52   using apps that need access to screen recording permissions

00:42:55   will become a little bit more tedious.

00:42:56   Apple's rolling out a change that will require you

00:42:57   to give explicit permission on a weekly basis.

00:43:01   And every time you reboot your Mac,

00:43:04   multiple developers who spoke to 9to5Mac

00:43:06   say they've received confirmation from Apple

00:43:07   that this is not a bug.

00:43:08   In the current macOS Sequoia beta, this prompt says,

00:43:11   whatever the name of the app is,

00:43:13   can access this computer screen and audio.

00:43:14   Do you want to continue to allow this access?

00:43:16   This application may be able to collect information

00:43:18   from any open applications on your desktop

00:43:19   while the app is running.

00:43:21   Users can choose to continue to allow that app

00:43:24   to have screen recording access

00:43:25   where they can click open system settings

00:43:27   and immediately be taken to the preferences pane

00:43:29   for screen recording permissions.

00:43:30   This prompt is designed to appear on a weekly basis.

00:43:35   This has made a lot of people, justifiably,

00:43:38   very, very, very upset.

00:43:40   And Jason Snell did the Lord's work.

00:43:42   He did the thing that nobody wants to do.

00:43:46   He filed a feedback.

00:43:47   - Oh no.

00:43:48   - I know.

00:43:49   Which generally speaking is an entire waste of time

00:43:52   for anyone outside of Apple, but here we are.

00:43:54   Jason filed a feedback number 14689927,

00:43:58   asking for one week permissions is untenable and insulting,

00:44:01   which Jon then duped as feedback 14698922.

00:44:04   We'll put links in the show notes.

00:44:06   And then, or I guess the numbers in the show notes,

00:44:08   I should say.

00:44:09   And then finally, Jason was so fired up

00:44:11   and my favorite Jason is Salty Jason,

00:44:13   was so fired up that he wrote an entire post

00:44:15   about all these features

00:44:16   because it's basically the Windows Vista-ing of Mac OS.

00:44:20   And it's gotten bad.

00:44:22   It's gotten real bad.

00:44:23   But before we discuss it, the rest of the news

00:44:26   with regard to this is a dear friend of the show,

00:44:28   Craig Hockenberry, came up with a possible solution.

00:44:32   There's a new API, or I guess a new entitlement really.

00:44:35   - It's an entitlement, yeah.

00:44:36   - Com.developer.

00:44:38   Excuse me, com.apple.developer.persistent-content.

00:44:41   -capture.

00:44:42   This is an entitlement for persistent content capture.

00:44:45   Craig writes, "The issue here is that Apple's provided

00:44:47   "no documentation."

00:44:48   Imagine that.

00:44:50   Or any other guidance on how to get this entitlement

00:44:52   to prevent an app from becoming NagWare.

00:44:55   In the defense of Apple,

00:44:55   they've actually gotten much, much better

00:44:57   with their documentation,

00:44:58   but I feel triggered whenever I see something like this.

00:45:01   - Yeah, click through on the page.

00:45:02   That's why, the thing I quoted there,

00:45:03   persistent content capture,

00:45:04   that is the extent of the documentation

00:45:06   of what this entitlement is for or does

00:45:08   or anything about that.

00:45:09   - Well, is it no overview provided or something like that?

00:45:11   - I forget what it is.

00:45:12   - No, it's not that bad, but you can click on the link.

00:45:13   Take a look at the page for this.

00:45:14   It's not particularly informative.

00:45:16   So on this whole topic,

00:45:17   just to give a brief review for people

00:45:19   who are less familiar with this

00:45:21   or just familiar with it from the perspective of an end user

00:45:23   being annoyed by these dialog boxes,

00:45:25   the thinking behind stuff like this,

00:45:28   and it happens on iOS with a different system as well,

00:45:30   is Apple's trying to prevent the case

00:45:33   where someone gets an application,

00:45:36   and that application asks for some very

00:45:38   potentially invasive permissions,

00:45:40   screen recording permission is a great one,

00:45:42   because that's like you're allowing this thing

00:45:43   to record your screen,

00:45:44   and you can imagine all the things

00:45:46   an evil application could do with that ability.

00:45:48   So they get this application,

00:45:50   and on their initial run up to,

00:45:51   they were highly motivated to get it

00:45:53   because it seemed like some cool game or thing or whatever,

00:45:55   and they're like, yeah, yeah, yeah, whatever, whatever.

00:45:57   The prompts come up, they're like, allow, allow, go, go,

00:46:00   and they wanna play the thing,

00:46:00   and they're like, do it,

00:46:01   and then they find out it's a scam app or it's stupid

00:46:03   or they don't like it, or they're just like,

00:46:04   all right, they leave it and don't think about it again.

00:46:06   But unbeknownst to them,

00:46:08   they gave that permission, that app,

00:46:10   screen recording permission,

00:46:12   and on the Mac, maybe it installed a background agent

00:46:14   that they also said, yeah, allow, fine, or whatever.

00:46:16   Now there's this thing that's on their computer

00:46:18   that has the ability to record their screen,

00:46:20   and they completely forget about it.

00:46:21   And so what Apple's trying to do is every once in a while

00:46:23   and go, hey, I know maybe you forgot about this,

00:46:26   but a while ago, you said that this app

00:46:29   could do this extremely invasive thing.

00:46:31   Do you still want it to be able to do that?

00:46:33   And I think on iOS, it says no,

00:46:34   uninstall the app or whatever.

00:46:36   It's kind of like preventing people from clicking

00:46:39   through something and then forgetting about it.

00:46:41   That's the motivation for features like this.

00:46:43   Why wouldn't they just take my answer and just say,

00:46:45   I told you, it's supposed to be allowed.

00:46:47   Don't bother me about it again.

00:46:48   Because human nature is that people will sometimes

00:46:50   click through those things without reading

00:46:52   and they want to remind you.

00:46:53   The reverse side of that is,

00:46:56   and Apple made fun of this in its famous Windows Vista ad,

00:46:59   the more of these dialogues you throw in someone's face,

00:47:01   the more you are training them to just say,

00:47:03   okay, allow, okay, allow, whatever, okay,

00:47:06   just let me use my computer.

00:47:08   And doing it once a week, plus on every system reboot,

00:47:11   is way, way, way too frequently.

00:47:14   That is annoying people to death.

00:47:16   Not only will that make people click through dialog boxes

00:47:18   and say, okay, okay, okay, they're gonna be so annoyed

00:47:21   and related to our previous topic,

00:47:23   they're probably gonna think it's the developer doing it.

00:47:26   And the developer has no choice

00:47:28   'cause this is an Apple thing or whatever.

00:47:31   This is way too frequent.

00:47:32   I just, I can't even believe that they would think

00:47:34   that this is okay.

00:47:35   And this is on a system, like Jason and I

00:47:37   have been riding this hobby horse for a while.

00:47:39   On the Mac, where in recent years,

00:47:41   they've been getting worse and worse

00:47:42   throwing more and more dialogs.

00:47:44   At least when iOS does it,

00:47:45   I don't know what algorithm it uses,

00:47:46   but it's like, just so you know,

00:47:49   Google Maps is allowed to use your location

00:47:51   while on the background.

00:47:52   You want it to keep doing that?

00:47:53   I see stuff like that occasionally,

00:47:55   but it's not every week.

00:47:56   It's not every time I reboot my phone

00:47:58   and it seems to basically take my word for it

00:48:00   after I've said yes to it maybe once or twice.

00:48:03   So it's a balancing act.

00:48:06   That's what the title of Jason's blog post about this is,

00:48:08   that Apple's permissions features are out of balance.

00:48:12   It's not saying that they're good, bad, indifferent.

00:48:15   There's a balance to be struck

00:48:16   between making something secure

00:48:18   while still not annoying people

00:48:21   and also not inducing alert fatigue, approval fatigue.

00:48:26   And they're just way over that line on Mac OS.

00:48:28   And I really hope, that's why I duped the feedback.

00:48:30   Like I wrote my own feedback and I didn't reference this,

00:48:32   but I basically filed the exact same bug.

00:48:34   They said, this thing where you ask every week

00:48:36   and every reboot, it's terrible.

00:48:38   You need a way to allow someone to say,

00:48:41   you know, allow permanently.

00:48:42   And when Jason was really angry about it on Maston,

00:48:45   I was basically saying, and I agree with him,

00:48:47   what you're basically saying Apple,

00:48:48   is that I as a user can never be trusted

00:48:52   to give an application permission

00:48:53   to record my screen permanently.

00:48:55   That's what you're saying to me,

00:48:56   that I am so infantile that I am not a fully,

00:48:59   I cannot never make this,

00:49:00   not that I have to be asked twice, fine.

00:49:02   Ask me twice, ask me are you sure or whatever,

00:49:04   but that at no point will I ever be qualified to say yes.

00:49:08   I swear to you Mac OS,

00:49:09   it is okay for this application to record my screen.

00:49:11   It is my preferred screenshotting application.

00:49:15   I've been using it for years.

00:49:16   I'm saying yes.

00:49:17   What you're saying Apple is you are never going to be able to,

00:49:20   you never are never competent to make that decision.

00:49:23   And that's insulting.

00:49:24   That's insulting your users.

00:49:25   Your users aren't babies.

00:49:26   Like yes, your users are human and fallible or whatever,

00:49:29   but there's a difference between making sure people

00:49:32   are aware of what's going on

00:49:33   and deciding that they are not legally capable,

00:49:36   not mentally capable of ever making that decision.

00:49:39   That's absurd.

00:49:41   - Yeah, it's real bad.

00:49:43   And it's incredibly frustrating when you have a new computer

00:49:47   and at least last time I did an OS upgrade,

00:49:50   it was the same story.

00:49:50   Just okay, I'm finally ready to go.

00:49:53   I'm excited.

00:49:54   - The user's brand new machine is so pretty and beautiful.

00:49:56   Oh, oh, oh yep, yes, that's loud.

00:49:59   Oh, that's loud, all right.

00:50:00   - There's good news here on that front though.

00:50:02   - Well, apparently yes.

00:50:04   So Jason writes on Mastodon,

00:50:06   I haven't verified it yet, but it's my understanding

00:50:07   that permissions now survive a system migration,

00:50:10   meaning that when you migrate,

00:50:11   you won't have to approve 200 dialog boxes

00:50:13   and check boxes and settings to get apps up and running.

00:50:15   - That'll be great 'cause that is one huge source

00:50:17   of a barrage of these dialogs.

00:50:19   'Cause you kind of do them gradually over time

00:50:20   as you install apps, but then you migrate to another Mac

00:50:23   or something and suddenly you get them all at once.

00:50:25   And this is what we were saying

00:50:26   when we discussed this topic last time.

00:50:28   If they can migrate these settings to say,

00:50:30   okay, if you already approved these on your old Mac,

00:50:32   they're also approved on your new Mac, that will be great.

00:50:34   So hopefully if they did that work

00:50:37   and that seems like it would be a lot of work,

00:50:38   hopefully they are willing to hear feedback on this

00:50:41   and are trying to make changes,

00:50:43   but this weekly screen recording thing, right?

00:50:45   And the entitlement, right?

00:50:48   If they're doing this weekly screen recording thing,

00:50:50   they should have A, documented it,

00:50:52   B, announced it and C said,

00:50:53   and by the way, if you don't like this,

00:50:55   please request the new persistent content capture thing.

00:50:57   'Cause I don't even know

00:50:58   if that persistent content capture thing

00:51:00   is the entitlement that will stop these things from coming.

00:51:02   And how hard is it to get that entitlement?

00:51:04   How long would it take to get that entitlement?

00:51:06   Sequoia is gonna come out, I don't know,

00:51:08   maybe not soon, maybe in October, but whatever.

00:51:10   This seems like people who have applications

00:51:12   that require screen recording permissions

00:51:14   are kind of getting caught with their pants down here

00:51:17   of like, wait, what are we doing?

00:51:18   What is my app throwing up now?

00:51:20   What can I get?

00:51:20   Can I get this entitlement?

00:51:22   Is this undocumented entitlement?

00:51:22   Is that the thing I should be asking for?

00:51:24   This is just not a great way to support your developers

00:51:29   in their applications.

00:51:30   And if there is this one that allows you to do persistent,

00:51:33   what's the whole point of alerting for weekly?

00:51:34   'Cause won't all the bad actors have requested this one?

00:51:36   How will you stop them from getting it?

00:51:38   Maybe this will all be resolved by next week,

00:51:41   but it is an upsetting regression

00:51:43   in Apple's handling of permissions on macOS.

00:51:48   - Yeah, it's just,

00:51:50   it's one of the things where I don't think

00:51:53   any of this happened spitefully or anything like that.

00:51:56   But if you look at security professionals,

00:51:59   we've spoken a lot about this episode,

00:52:00   a security professional's job is to come up with

00:52:04   effectively infinite amounts of dialogues and nag screens

00:52:08   and so on and so forth, because their job is to make sure

00:52:10   that their users are as safe as possible.

00:52:13   But as you said, it's a balancing act.

00:52:15   And ultimately, I think this pendulum has swung

00:52:18   way too far in the bad direction,

00:52:21   to the point that I don't often pay attention to these.

00:52:25   And I'm the kind of nerd that usually reads every dialogue

00:52:28   and reads every word of every dialogue.

00:52:29   And most of the time, I'm just like,

00:52:30   yeah, whatever, whatever, whatever.

00:52:32   It's just so disruptive and so frustrating.

00:52:34   And Apple was right to poke fun at Vista,

00:52:36   because it really was that bad.

00:52:39   I mean, I think Marco was mostly gone at this point.

00:52:41   I was half in that world. - I never used Vista.

00:52:44   - Okay, I was half in that world at this point.

00:52:46   It was real bad, it was real, real bad.

00:52:48   And my recollection anyway,

00:52:51   and admittedly I have a terrible memory,

00:52:52   but my recollection is that this is worse.

00:52:55   It's just incessant, and it's not helping anyone.

00:52:58   And hopefully, somebody with a little bit of,

00:53:02   I was going to say design sense,

00:53:03   but really just empathy for the user.

00:53:05   Hopefully, someone will be the voice of reason

00:53:07   within Apple and say, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa,

00:53:09   let's pump the brakes on this

00:53:10   and figure out a better approach.

00:53:11   - As I said, it's not just empathy for the user.

00:53:13   It is in the service of better security,

00:53:15   because alert fatigue or approval fatigue reduces security.

00:53:20   It's a thing you want to avoid for security purposes.

00:53:22   So if you're in the security team,

00:53:24   your job is to increase security,

00:53:25   you should know enough, and I'm sure they do,

00:53:27   that too many dialogs reduces security.

00:53:29   It doesn't increase it

00:53:30   because that's how people react to them, right?

00:53:33   People don't react the same way to one alert

00:53:37   as they do to 100.

00:53:38   It changes how they deal with alerts,

00:53:40   and it changes that on a going forward basis

00:53:43   so that from now on, they will be less inclined

00:53:46   to read any alert that you put in.

00:53:47   Even if you reduce the number massively,

00:53:49   you've trained them, I never want to read these,

00:53:51   okay, okay, okay, you make them angry about it, right?

00:53:54   That's the last thing you want.

00:53:55   That's bad for security.

00:53:58   - Well, and I can see why,

00:54:00   I'm sure Apple's engineers and product people

00:54:04   who are making these decisions to add these alerts,

00:54:07   I'm sure they have all the best intentions

00:54:09   because the reality is, yeah, some of these alerts,

00:54:11   especially on iOS, you look at the possible attack surface,

00:54:14   the possible damage done, some of the actual sleazy things

00:54:18   that companies, big and small, have done,

00:54:22   you can kind of see why they think they have to do this

00:54:25   or why they think this is the best approach moving forward.

00:54:27   But because there are these downsides and these costs

00:54:32   to having these controls and warnings and everything,

00:54:35   both to the user experience and, as Jon was just saying,

00:54:37   to security itself, I feel like there has to be

00:54:41   a known amount of damage that was being done

00:54:45   or that we've seen in the wild being done

00:54:48   to prompt this kind of change.

00:54:50   And I just don't, I've never heard of that level of damage

00:54:54   happening on the Mac that would cause anyone,

00:54:57   any user to say, oh, thank God they're making this

00:55:01   harder for me.

00:55:02   I don't think we're seeing where is the justification

00:55:07   out there in the wild for tightening these things down.

00:55:10   Now obviously, you don't want to just let security problems

00:55:15   happen to your users and then only react to them afterwards.

00:55:19   But I feel like there has to be some balance of

00:55:22   is there really a significant threat that's really actually

00:55:27   even ever being seen to have happened here?

00:55:30   Is there a lot of Mac malware that's using

00:55:33   screen recording permissions and not just security holes

00:55:37   to cause problems for people?

00:55:40   I don't know, we've never recently ever heard of that.

00:55:42   Maybe it happened or was starting to happen

00:55:45   and Apple tamped down on it and that nip it in the bud,

00:55:48   who knows, but we've never seen any evidence of that.

00:55:51   So it's hard for us to see as the users,

00:55:54   what justifies this level of annoyance and alert fatigue?

00:55:59   - I think the right tool for that, if you have,

00:56:03   if there was that type of outbreak, and again,

00:56:05   maybe Apple would be quiet about it.

00:56:06   I think the right tool for that is Apple having the ability

00:56:10   and they probably either already have this ability

00:56:12   or could make it easily to essentially cause all the Macs

00:56:15   to reprompt for a screen recording permission

00:56:19   because due to an acute outbreak,

00:56:21   to nip it in the bud, but that's so different

00:56:24   than every week and every reboot forever.

00:56:27   That's situational, that's like here's a situation,

00:56:29   everyone, here's a one-time push to every Mac out there

00:56:32   that's on the network,

00:56:33   re-approve the apps for screen recording.

00:56:37   Maybe you could even have a system where you could put

00:56:38   a message to that effect that says just, you know,

00:56:41   due to a recent outbreak or whatever,

00:56:43   I don't know how you're gonna do it,

00:56:44   but anyway, like a one-time thing, it's understandable,

00:56:47   it's justifiable, even Apple doesn't wanna talk about it.

00:56:49   Everyone would just be like, huh, it's weird,

00:56:50   I got reprompted for screen recording,

00:56:52   but anyway, going on with my life.

00:56:53   It's so different than as Jason was snarkily putting it,

00:56:57   making a schedule on your weekly,

00:56:59   making a slot on your weekly schedule

00:57:00   to re-approve screen recording of the application

00:57:02   you've been using since the '90s, right?

00:57:04   It's just, it's absurd to say,

00:57:06   then the solution is weekly and on every reboot,

00:57:08   that's the wrong frequency.

00:57:10   I don't know what the right frequency is,

00:57:11   but that ain't it, right?

00:57:12   So think again.

00:57:13   - Yeah, somebody just wrote in and wondered,

00:57:16   could this be in response to rewind.ai or Limitless

00:57:18   or whatever they're calling themselves right now?

00:57:20   - No.

00:57:21   - Okay, good talk.

00:57:22   - I mean, I don't think Apple has anything against rewind,

00:57:24   and that's like, that product is so clear.

00:57:26   Like, you know it's recording your screen,

00:57:28   it's part of the functionality.

00:57:29   You go back and look at the recordings to find things.

00:57:31   Like, that is not the threat actor

00:57:34   that Apple is worried about, right?

00:57:37   And that would make using rewind super annoying,

00:57:39   but still, like, I love rewind, I use it all the time,

00:57:41   it's important to my workflow,

00:57:42   and I have to approve it every week.

00:57:43   And every time I reboot, like, if you're like Jason,

00:57:45   who I think still, which boggles my mind,

00:57:48   reboots his Mac every single day,

00:57:49   you're approving it every single day, not every week.

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00:59:52   (upbeat music)

00:59:55   - Google is apparently a monopolist in a US antitrust case.

01:00:00   This is reading from The Verge.

01:00:02   A federal judge ruled that Google violated US antitrust law

01:00:05   by maintaining a monopoly

01:00:06   in the search and advertising markets.

01:00:08   Quote, "After having carefully considered and weighed

01:00:10   "the witness testimony and evidence,

01:00:12   "the court reaches the following conclusion.

01:00:14   "Google is a monopolist and it has acted as one

01:00:17   "to maintain its monopoly," according to the court's ruling.

01:00:20   It has violated section two of the Sherman Antitrust Act.

01:00:24   Google's fate will be determined

01:00:25   in the next phase of proceedings,

01:00:26   which could result in anything from a mandate

01:00:28   to stop certain business practices

01:00:29   to a breakup of Google search businesses.

01:00:32   Judge Amit Mehta rejected Google's arguments

01:00:35   that its contracts with phone and browser makers like Apple

01:00:38   were not exclusionary and therefore shouldn't qualify it

01:00:41   for liability under the Sherman Act.

01:00:42   The prospect of losing tens of billions

01:00:45   in guaranteed revenue from Google,

01:00:46   which presently comes at little to no cost to Apple,

01:00:49   disincentivizes Apple from launching its own search engine

01:00:51   when it otherwise has built the capacity to do so.

01:00:55   Time and again, there's another quote,

01:00:57   "Time and again, Google's partners have concluded

01:00:58   "that it is financially infeasible to switch

01:01:01   "the default general search engines

01:01:03   "or seek greater flexibility in search offerings

01:01:06   "because it would mean sacrificing the hundreds of millions,

01:01:08   "if not billions of dollars

01:01:09   "that Google pays them as revenue share," the judge wrote.

01:01:12   In 2022, Google paid Apple $20 billion

01:01:16   to be the default search engine in Safari.

01:01:19   During the closing arguments,

01:01:20   the judge honed in on these payments,

01:01:22   wondering how other players in the market

01:01:24   could possibly displace Google from that position.

01:01:26   Quote, "If that's what it takes for somebody

01:01:28   "to dislodge Google as the default search engine,

01:01:31   "wouldn't the folks that wrote the Sherman Act

01:01:33   "be concerned about it?"

01:01:34   Then continuing in a different post from The Verge,

01:01:40   according to Eddie Q, Apple's senior vice president

01:01:42   of services, there's no other meaningful alternative

01:01:44   to Google.

01:01:45   During the trial, he said that quote,

01:01:46   "There's no price that Microsoft could ever offer,"

01:01:48   to Apple to get the company to preload Bing and Safari.

01:01:51   Quote, "I don't believe there's a price in the world

01:01:53   "that Microsoft could offer us," Q said at another point.

01:01:55   "They offered to give us Bing for free.

01:01:58   "They could give us the whole company."

01:02:00   Geez, Eddie. - Sick burn.

01:02:02   - I think you might wanna talk to Tim about that,

01:02:03   'cause I'm pretty sure Microsoft is worth

01:02:05   more than $20 billion, but maybe before you turn down

01:02:10   Microsoft offering to give you the whole company,

01:02:12   Eddie may be right there.

01:02:12   Obviously, he was humorously exaggerating there,

01:02:14   although it is a quote that ended up in a bunch of stories.

01:02:17   - I love Eddie Q.

01:02:18   - According to the judge, it's not just that Google

01:02:21   pays Apple not to challenge its search supremacy,

01:02:23   it would be unbelievably difficult for Apple

01:02:25   to get in on the action at all.

01:02:27   Unsurprisingly, both Google and Apple have looked into this,

01:02:28   and their own internal estimates came out at trial.

01:02:31   Apparently, Apple has calculated that, quote,

01:02:33   "It would cost $6 billion annually,"

01:02:35   on top of what it already spends developing

01:02:37   search capabilities to run a general search engine.

01:02:40   Meanwhile, in late 2020, Google estimated how much

01:02:42   it would cost Apple to create and maintain

01:02:44   a general search engine that could compete with Google.

01:02:45   Apple would have to spend something in the rough order

01:02:47   of $20 billion in order to reproduce

01:02:50   Google's technical infrastructure dedicated to search.

01:02:53   - I do like that.

01:02:54   I love the stuff that comes out in trial,

01:02:55   like the fact that both Apple and Google

01:02:57   had done some math to say, you know,

01:02:58   if we did, if Apple did make a competitor to Google search,

01:03:02   how much would that cost?

01:03:02   And Apple's estimate is like $6 billion a year,

01:03:04   and Google's estimate is $20 billion.

01:03:07   And you would think Google would know more,

01:03:08   'cause Google has built Google,

01:03:10   and Apple's like, "Ah, probably $6 billion,

01:03:13   "like not even as much as the car we never shipped."

01:03:16   So, this is, I mean, these things take years and years

01:03:20   to go, so there'll be more about this trial or whatever,

01:03:23   but this is a verdict, and the verdict is,

01:03:25   does Google have a monopoly in search,

01:03:26   and did they abuse it?

01:03:27   Yes, that's the straight up, like,

01:03:29   there was even quotes in the thing of like,

01:03:30   I think some Google argument in court was like,

01:03:33   you know, "This isn't illegal,

01:03:35   "'cause we've been doing this for years."

01:03:36   And the judge pointed out, it's like,

01:03:37   "Things that you did when you weren't a monopoly were okay,

01:03:39   "but when you become a monopoly, they become illegal,

01:03:41   "and guess what, you're a monopoly."

01:03:42   And this is like the Windows antitrust case,

01:03:45   where it's like, there is no question

01:03:47   that Google has monopoly-sized market share.

01:03:51   Like, how many people run Windows?

01:03:53   It was like, everybody, right, 90-something percent.

01:03:55   Google search has just the massively dominant play,

01:03:58   like 90-plus percent in search.

01:04:00   It's fine to be a monopoly.

01:04:02   Did you abuse that monopoly to extend or maintain it?

01:04:04   And the courts say, "Yes, you totally did

01:04:06   "by various things that you do,

01:04:08   "including making contracts that, for example,

01:04:11   "dissuade Apple to the tune of $20 billion a year."

01:04:14   You shouldn't make a Google search competitor now.

01:04:16   They've been rumors for years that Apple

01:04:18   was considering making a Google search competitor,

01:04:20   and I always looked at those,

01:04:21   especially in the early days of like,

01:04:23   that is not Apple's strength.

01:04:25   But one of the strongest arguments with respect to that

01:04:28   is the very early spat between Apple and Google over Maps.

01:04:31   And Apple said, "You know what?

01:04:33   "We're gonna make our own Maps."

01:04:34   And they were bad, and Apple wasn't good at it.

01:04:37   But Apple kept plugging away,

01:04:39   because there was apparently no reconciliation

01:04:42   between Apple and Google with regard to Maps.

01:04:44   And today, Apple Maps is a viable competitor to Google Maps.

01:04:48   Who would've thunk that?

01:04:50   I mean, it took years and years, right,

01:04:51   and still some people like Google Maps better,

01:04:53   but I use both of them on a regular basis.

01:04:55   And I'm not gonna say Apple Maps is better than Google Maps.

01:04:58   I'm not even gonna say it's as good as Google Maps,

01:04:59   but it is definitely a viable competitor.

01:05:02   It does some things better, it does many things worse,

01:05:04   but Apple built that with tons of money,

01:05:07   and that's a competing product to Google.

01:05:09   What if Google had been paying Apple $20 billion a year

01:05:12   to make Google Maps the default mapping service?

01:05:14   Apple would've never made that.

01:05:15   That's anti-competitive, right?

01:05:17   I mean, we're not talking about mapping,

01:05:18   we're talking about search, but like,

01:05:20   that's what, you know, the judge isn't saying,

01:05:22   there's no remedies here.

01:05:23   It's not like, what are we gonna do about this?

01:05:24   That's a whole other phase, and they're gonna appeal,

01:05:26   and they could appeal all the way to the Supreme Court,

01:05:27   and they might be overturned, and like,

01:05:30   with court cases, you don't know what's gonna come of this,

01:05:32   if anything.

01:05:33   Change in administration could change stuff.

01:05:34   Like, there's so many factors here,

01:05:37   but this is a significant finding and victory

01:05:39   for the Department of Justice of saying,

01:05:42   Google, you're a monopoly.

01:05:43   You did stuff that's against the Sherman Antitrust Act

01:05:45   to maintain it, and we're gonna figure out

01:05:48   what that means for you.

01:05:50   And the reason this is fun to talk about

01:05:53   is because Apple's over there going, wait, what?

01:05:55   (laughing)

01:05:57   We get $20 billion a year for Google

01:06:00   for having like, a URL and a P-list somewhere, right?

01:06:05   It's the easiest money we ever made.

01:06:06   It has essentially 100% profit margins.

01:06:09   And this is relevant because Apple's services revenue,

01:06:13   and the story about services,

01:06:15   service is where the growth is for Apple.

01:06:17   As it came out in the earlier trials,

01:06:19   when we all kind of learned the magnitude of this,

01:06:22   a huge chunk of Apple's services revenue,

01:06:25   and also, services profit, services income,

01:06:29   is that 20 billion.

01:06:30   It's like 25% of their services profit.

01:06:33   That's not a small amount.

01:06:34   It's not like a 2% thing or whatever,

01:06:36   and if Apple's whole story for their company is like,

01:06:39   yeah, the phones aren't growing anymore,

01:06:40   and other stuff is kind of stable too,

01:06:42   but services is growing like gangbusters year over year,

01:06:45   what if I told you, Apple, that potentially in five years,

01:06:49   some court decision could say,

01:06:52   yeah, 25% of your services revenue,

01:06:55   that's going to zero, starting now.

01:06:57   That would be bad for Apple, for their stock,

01:07:00   for their story about services growth.

01:07:02   I mean, that, I mean,

01:07:03   and what did Apple do to bring that about?

01:07:06   Like, did Apple do anything wrong by taking that 20 billion?

01:07:09   Like, the courts would say no.

01:07:10   Apple, you know, the courts would potentially say,

01:07:13   they could say, agreements like the one

01:07:15   you made with Apple, those are illegal,

01:07:16   so you gotta cut off that deal,

01:07:17   and Apple's like, oh, they have to cut out that deal.

01:07:19   We like that money.

01:07:20   But according to the courts, and I can see their point,

01:07:24   that money is Google using its monopoly in search

01:07:29   to prevent competition, to say,

01:07:31   we are dominant and we are going to use that dominance

01:07:34   to make sure nobody else ever challenges our dominance.

01:07:36   We're gonna make sure that Bing doesn't get to be the default

01:07:38   because they can't match our 20 billions

01:07:40   that we're paying Apple.

01:07:41   We're gonna make sure Apple never makes a competitor,

01:07:43   one of the few companies in the world

01:07:45   that could potentially even have the funds

01:07:47   to try to make a competitor.

01:07:48   We're gonna make sure they don't do that

01:07:49   because we'll literally pay them off every single year

01:07:51   to the tune of 20 billion dollars

01:07:52   to make sure they don't even think

01:07:54   about making a competitor.

01:07:55   That's anti-competitive.

01:07:56   But looking at it from Apple's perspective,

01:08:00   it's like, this sucks.

01:08:01   We like getting 20,

01:08:03   'cause I don't think Apple wants to make a search engine,

01:08:05   and Eddy Cue's there in court saying,

01:08:07   I don't know what his motivation was,

01:08:08   but he's basically saying, honestly,

01:08:09   it's like, from his perspective,

01:08:11   Apple thinks, or Eddy Cue thinks,

01:08:13   that Google is better than Bing.

01:08:15   And Apple's saying, we wanna ship the best product

01:08:17   to our users, when it comes time

01:08:19   to choose the default search for Safari,

01:08:21   we're gonna pick what we think is the best one,

01:08:23   and we think Google is the best one.

01:08:25   And the 20 billion dollars doesn't hurt,

01:08:26   but he's making the argument that,

01:08:29   Microsoft could give it to us for free,

01:08:30   and we wouldn't take it,

01:08:31   because it would be making a worse experience

01:08:33   for users on our phone.

01:08:34   And obviously, the EU would say,

01:08:38   why not give them a choice screen

01:08:39   where they get to pick what their thing is?

01:08:40   And honestly, that's always been a question

01:08:42   about the 20 billion.

01:08:43   Like Google, if Apple just gave people a choice

01:08:45   of what they want their default search engine to be,

01:08:47   even if they randomized the list,

01:08:49   most people are gonna pick you anyway,

01:08:50   because you got to your dominant place,

01:08:53   not through illegal deals or anything,

01:08:55   but because people love Google search.

01:08:57   So if you just let everybody pick,

01:08:58   95% of the people are probably gonna pick Google anyway,

01:09:01   but still, good business is like,

01:09:03   why would I give them that chance?

01:09:05   Why would I take that risk?

01:09:06   That 20 billion dollars is money well spent,

01:09:08   because it prevents Apple from ever wanting to do this,

01:09:10   it puts us as the default search engine,

01:09:12   in the handheld platform where people spend the most money,

01:09:15   it's no brainer that we should do this.

01:09:16   So if the remedies of this court case,

01:09:20   if one of the remedies is that they can't do deals

01:09:22   like that anymore, I think it makes sense,

01:09:24   and I think it kind of sucks for Apple,

01:09:25   but honestly, we've talked about Apple's,

01:09:28   how services revenue have been distorting Apple for a while,

01:09:31   not with respect to this so much,

01:09:32   much more with respect to what are your incentives

01:09:35   when your growth is service revenue,

01:09:38   in terms of product design,

01:09:40   and how many ads you throw on people faces,

01:09:41   how many come ons you have,

01:09:42   but this is another aspect of it,

01:09:44   it's like, what is this money preventing Apple from doing?

01:09:49   How is this money causing Apple to become misshapen

01:09:52   in its decision making to say,

01:09:54   well, we could do X and we think it would be better,

01:09:57   but 20 billion dollars,

01:09:58   like 20 billion dollars is a big counterweight

01:10:00   to lots of people who might have notions about things

01:10:02   inside Apple, like, oh, what about this, what about that?

01:10:05   And someone says, 20 billion dollars,

01:10:06   and you're like, okay, nevermind, right?

01:10:08   Little things like that,

01:10:09   how many little things just never got going

01:10:11   because 20 billion dollars, right?

01:10:13   So I think, in the end,

01:10:15   although it will be painful

01:10:16   to remove this 20 billion dollars from Apple,

01:10:19   it will make them a more effective organization

01:10:22   that makes better decisions.

01:10:24   It doesn't at all solve the problem

01:10:26   of Apple being motivated to throw stupid come ons

01:10:28   for their services interface constantly,

01:10:30   which I think is the worst aspect of their services revenue,

01:10:33   like sort of focusing on

01:10:34   how can we extract more money from people

01:10:36   on a monthly basis rather than how can we satisfy people,

01:10:39   but that's a whole separate issue.

01:10:41   - Yeah, I feel bad, not for Apple,

01:10:43   but for, I think Mozilla people have said repeatedly

01:10:47   that almost all their revenue

01:10:48   comes from their own Google search deal,

01:10:51   and even though I haven't personally used Firefox

01:10:55   in 20 years or something like that,

01:10:58   nevertheless, it's just, it's too bad.

01:11:01   Like, I think Mozilla, by and large,

01:11:02   is doing pretty good work, and for them to--

01:11:04   - No, like, you haven't been keeping up

01:11:05   with the Mozilla thing.

01:11:06   They've been-- - Oh!

01:11:07   - They've been building adware into their browser

01:11:09   to try to essentially get money from, like,

01:11:11   they're, the same thing happened to them.

01:11:15   This revenue sort of enabled a set of leadership

01:11:19   that's like, we got the Google gravy train,

01:11:21   and now we can get the whole ad tech

01:11:24   built into our browser gravy train,

01:11:25   and Firefox users are like, we hate this.

01:11:28   The reason we use this Firefox

01:11:29   is not to have to deal with this stuff.

01:11:31   You're betraying us or whatever,

01:11:32   and it's like, if Mozilla didn't have that money from Google

01:11:36   and had to find some other way to fund itself,

01:11:38   one argument is, like, they'd be gone,

01:11:39   and there'd be no Firefox, doesn't that suck?

01:11:41   But the other argument is they would've been forced

01:11:43   to find some other way to make money,

01:11:45   and maybe that would've led them down

01:11:46   this ad tech thing faster, I don't know,

01:11:48   but like, having this amount of money from monopolists

01:11:51   just swayed you from ever thinking about doing anything

01:11:54   except for using them is not healthy for anybody involved,

01:11:58   even though it seems like it is.

01:11:59   Like, oh, it's keeping Firefox alive, that's good,

01:12:01   and you know, it's kind of, from Google's perspective,

01:12:05   it's a double benefit of kind of the same way

01:12:07   that like, Microsoft invested in Apple to keep Apple alive,

01:12:10   so they could say, see, we have a competitor.

01:12:12   We're not a monopoly, didn't work out really for them,

01:12:14   but you know, Chrome being able to say, Firefox exists,

01:12:18   see, we're not the only browser, people have lots of choices.

01:12:20   You could use Edge, you could use Firefox, and you know,

01:12:23   but I don't, like, getting that kind of money,

01:12:26   it's not healthy to be getting that money

01:12:28   for essentially doing nothing from a monopolist, right?

01:12:31   And I think it just, it makes an unhealthy organization,

01:12:34   if only because it's, now your organization is susceptible

01:12:37   to like, guess what, if that money went away,

01:12:39   do you no longer have a business?

01:12:40   And what were you getting that money for anyway?

01:12:42   We were getting that money because Google thinks

01:12:44   it's important for there to be some tiny browser

01:12:47   that they can think of, that they can point to that says,

01:12:49   see, there are competitors, and also to make sure

01:12:51   no one will ever, ever, ever compete

01:12:52   with their Google search monopoly, right?

01:12:55   And that's not healthy, like, it's, you know,

01:12:58   ripping that money away is gonna be bad,

01:12:59   but again, this is gonna be a multi-year case

01:13:01   and it might even get overturned,

01:13:02   and who knows what will happen,

01:13:03   so maybe this will all come to nothing,

01:13:05   but Apple, Mozilla, all these companies now have a lot

01:13:09   of time to think about this, and although I did,

01:13:11   I don't think these are connected, I don't know,

01:13:13   I don't know if these are connected at all,

01:13:14   so take this as pure speculation,

01:13:16   but a related story that I forgot to put in the notes

01:13:18   is that Warren Buffett, who owns a just absolutely

01:13:22   tremendous amount of the Berkshire Hathaway Company,

01:13:24   owns a tremendous amount of Apple stock,

01:13:26   sold half of his Apple stock like a few days

01:13:28   before this verdict came out, and for years he'd been saying

01:13:31   like, I love Apple, I'm gonna hold it, nothing, you know,

01:13:33   unless something extraordinary happens,

01:13:34   I would never get rid of it or whatever,

01:13:36   then he sold half his Apple stock,

01:13:37   and then this verdict comes out,

01:13:39   and I don't know if they related,

01:13:42   but if Apple's story for the past many years

01:13:44   has been service revenue, it's where the growth

01:13:46   for the company is, and this one story says,

01:13:48   maybe 25% of that service revenue is now gone.

01:13:52   - Yeah. - Is that a reason

01:13:53   for Warren Buffett to sell half his stock?

01:13:54   I don't, I don't even pretend to know

01:13:56   what goes through the mind of someone like Warren Buffett

01:13:58   when deciding to sell, and why would he only sell 50%

01:14:00   and not all of it, and he's really old,

01:14:02   and how much money does he need,

01:14:03   and it just confuses me in many ways, right?

01:14:06   But I don't think this is good news

01:14:10   for Apple's services narrative,

01:14:12   and I hope it makes them reconsider.

01:14:15   I really, honestly, I wish they would break that out

01:14:17   somewhere else, I'm not even included in service revenue,

01:14:20   'cause what service are they providing there?

01:14:21   It's like monopoly agreement, monopoly maintenance payments,

01:14:25   right, it's not a service that Apple is providing.

01:14:28   Even without that money, they can leave that same value

01:14:30   in the P list and still have Google searches their default.

01:14:33   - It makes sense if you are a professional investor.

01:14:36   This suggests that Apple's revenue in a high growth area

01:14:41   has a pretty high chance of going down all of a sudden.

01:14:45   So I see why somebody would sell the stock.

01:14:47   That being said, I think it would be better for Apple

01:14:50   as a whole in the long run to not have this giant chunk

01:14:55   of this revenue being on their books in this place,

01:14:57   because again, as you're saying,

01:14:59   it kind of suggests a different source of revenue

01:15:02   than what it actually is.

01:15:03   I'd say it's actually somewhat misleading.

01:15:06   Even calling it services revenue,

01:15:08   I would suggest as kind of misleading shareholders.

01:15:10   I mean, I don't know if that legally qualifies as that,

01:15:13   I'm not a shareholderologist, but it definitely seems like

01:15:17   it is a little misleading to say,

01:15:20   we are providing all these wonderful services to our users,

01:15:22   things like Apple TV Plus and iCloud,

01:15:24   and it's like, well, where does it come from?

01:15:26   A huge amount comes from the Google Commission

01:15:28   and App Store taxes.

01:15:30   Is that services?

01:15:32   - And at least the App Store taxes, you can say,

01:15:34   well, this is, we run the App Store

01:15:36   and this is the commission we charge.

01:15:38   At least there is a service there,

01:15:39   which is the App Store and the in-app payment thing,

01:15:41   and Apple will tell you a million different ways

01:15:43   about how that's such a wonderful service,

01:15:44   but at least it's a thing that Apple is doing and made.

01:15:46   This is just like we accept the check,

01:15:48   and in exchange for the check,

01:15:49   we do not change this string in our source code.

01:15:52   - I think it is not good for Apple,

01:15:55   like kind of psychologically almost,

01:15:58   and certainly, it creates some weird incentives

01:16:02   that I think it would be better for them

01:16:04   if they didn't make a huge chunk of this money this way.

01:16:07   So even though, if there is a transition away from this

01:16:10   that is forced by the government or whatever,

01:16:12   I think that will be some short-term pain

01:16:14   for the stock and the earnings and things like that,

01:16:16   but I think longer term, it will be better for them.

01:16:19   But unless the government intervenes,

01:16:22   this will never change.

01:16:24   It's kind of like an addiction for them,

01:16:27   but it's understandable why, of course,

01:16:30   they would take this money if they can,

01:16:32   but it would be better off if they were forced not to.

01:16:34   - Yeah, and the whole point of this thing is like,

01:16:36   so, you know, Eddy Cue was saying,

01:16:38   Microsoft could give us Bing for free

01:16:40   and we wouldn't take it, right?

01:16:41   But say this money goes away, right?

01:16:42   Say this actually does happen,

01:16:43   which is, again, still not a foregone conclusion.

01:16:46   At that point, I think Apple would be receptive

01:16:49   to accepting a few hundred million from Microsoft

01:16:53   for, to be in a choice screen, for example,

01:16:56   or to be an option in settings, right?

01:16:58   Like, deals could be made.

01:16:59   Like, one of the things deals like this do

01:17:01   is they don't even allow competitors to get a foothold.

01:17:04   And suddenly, if Google is legally forbidden

01:17:07   from paying off Apple to stay as the default,

01:17:09   the door opens to other people being willing to pay Apple

01:17:13   more than zero dollars to say,

01:17:15   just put us in a choice screen.

01:17:16   Just let us have an extension that, you know,

01:17:18   like anything, like how much money can we give you

01:17:21   in exchange for how much?

01:17:22   Leave Google as a default, fine, right, whatever.

01:17:24   But like, can we have like a one button press way

01:17:27   to switch us where we can put it on our website?

01:17:28   Do you wanna use Bing as your default?

01:17:30   Press this, and we'll pay you 100 million dollars

01:17:32   for that or whatever.

01:17:33   Because Bing is not a monopoly in the search market, right?

01:17:36   How do you ever get more competition, right?

01:17:39   Google has abused its monopoly, you know,

01:17:41   has used its monopoly to maintain and extend itself

01:17:43   in ways that are legal according to this act,

01:17:45   according to the judge or whatever.

01:17:47   And the remedy is let's try to bring more competition

01:17:50   back to the search market.

01:17:51   It doesn't mean Apple's gonna suddenly make a search engine,

01:17:53   'cause I still think that it's not Apple's strength

01:17:55   and it'll be very, very, very difficult, right?

01:17:57   But Microsoft already made one, right?

01:17:59   It's called Bing, it exists, and it's not as good as Google,

01:18:02   but it's never gonna get anywhere if it's like boxed out

01:18:06   of even being a choice on platforms like iOS, right?

01:18:09   So I mostly agree with the verdict here

01:18:14   that what Google was doing was distorting the market

01:18:18   and reducing competition, and they shouldn't be allowed

01:18:20   to do it despite the fact that it's gonna end up,

01:18:22   you know, hurting Apple.

01:18:24   And, you know, I agree with Marco that like,

01:18:26   it's that Apple should take this pain

01:18:28   and move forward from it.

01:18:29   And, you know, Jason Stell has a bunch of charts

01:18:31   on his story about this that we'll link,

01:18:33   showing just how big, this is revenue, not income,

01:18:36   but just how big services revenue is for the company now.

01:18:39   Used to be when you look at the graph of

01:18:41   where does Apple's money come from?

01:18:42   It was like the biggest piece is iPhone,

01:18:44   and it used to be, I think, even closer

01:18:46   to bigger than 50% or whatever.

01:18:48   And then you'd see like the Mac and iPad

01:18:50   and whatever the other categories were.

01:18:51   And it used to be this little wedge called services

01:18:53   that was a similar size, and services started growing

01:18:55   and growing and growing, and now it's like iPhone,

01:18:58   and the second biggest category, services.

01:19:01   Now this, you know, to the earlier point,

01:19:04   what Apple lumps into these categories, you know,

01:19:06   Mac makes sense, it's Macs, iPhones make sense, it's iPhones,

01:19:09   but wearables contains a lot of stuff, iPad makes sense

01:19:13   there, and then services a whole bunch of other things,

01:19:14   right, but services is getting worryingly large

01:19:17   if you don't like the things that Apple has been doing

01:19:19   in response to its services.

01:19:20   And remember, services is really $20 billion from Google,

01:19:24   in-app purchase for games, other App Store stuff,

01:19:29   and then that's most of services, and then, oh,

01:19:32   everything else, a whole bunch of little pie wedges

01:19:33   for like Apple TV+, and blah, blah, blah.

01:19:35   People hear services and they think it's like,

01:19:36   it's Apple Music and Apple TV+, it's not.

01:19:38   It's App Store, it's this $20 billion payment,

01:19:41   and it's mostly games on the App Store stuff, right?

01:19:43   So it's not even what it appears to be.

01:19:46   And then the other graph was products,

01:19:48   profits versus services products.

01:19:50   If you combine all the products, profit from all the products

01:19:53   Mac, iPad, wearables, iPhone, that profit,

01:19:56   and compare it to the services profit,

01:19:58   the product profit is spiky because it's like

01:20:00   holiday season and stuff, or iPhone launch,

01:20:02   I don't even honestly know what the spikes are.

01:20:03   But anyway, the products thing is spiky.

01:20:05   And then when the product line spikes up,

01:20:07   it's way higher than services.

01:20:09   But at the current state where we're not in a spike

01:20:11   in the yearly product thing, the services line

01:20:14   is getting real close to the product line.

01:20:16   So as Snell said in his article,

01:20:19   Apple made 22 billion in profit from products

01:20:21   and 18 billion from services.

01:20:22   This is in the last quarter.

01:20:24   22 billion versus 18 billion.

01:20:25   I think services are a thing that Apple should provide.

01:20:29   And I agree with their new slogan of like,

01:20:32   the best providers are hardware, software, and services.

01:20:35   I just think they need to be more careful about

01:20:38   not distorting the other two, the hardware and software,

01:20:43   in service of the services.

01:20:45   Like services should be, it's a prerequisite.

01:20:48   You sell hardware and software, today that's not enough.

01:20:51   You have to also sell services.

01:20:52   Because just as hardware is useless without software,

01:20:56   hardware and software these days in the internet age

01:20:58   are also essentially useless without services.

01:21:00   And if you're not gonna provide them, somebody else will.

01:21:02   So why not make your own services that work the best

01:21:06   with your hardware and your software?

01:21:08   It's a thing they should do.

01:21:09   They should do it even better

01:21:10   than they're currently doing it, right?

01:21:12   Doesn't mean they have to make Apple TV+,

01:21:13   but all the iCloud stuff, all those APIs,

01:21:17   the email address they provide, the Apple ID system,

01:21:20   and expanding onto the developer program,

01:21:23   and yes, Apple TV+, and Apple Music,

01:21:26   Apple should be making those things.

01:21:28   But they should be careful,

01:21:29   the values that led them to make great products

01:21:31   and great software on those products,

01:21:33   they should be careful to say,

01:21:35   those values don't matter anymore

01:21:36   because services are growing.

01:21:37   So screw those values,

01:21:39   whatever we need to do to make services grow,

01:21:40   we're gonna do it, so we're gonna start putting ads

01:21:42   for our own stuff in settings, right?

01:21:44   That is the anti-pattern they should be avoiding.

01:21:46   So I don't really care that the services line

01:21:48   is getting close to the product line,

01:21:50   I care what that services line represents.

01:21:53   I care if that services line represents a new set of values

01:21:57   that are not the values that led them to become the Apple

01:22:00   that has these great products, right?

01:22:01   Because services can infect the products

01:22:03   with an incompatible set of values and philosophy.

01:22:07   That's the problem.

01:22:08   I don't care if this graph looks like services

01:22:10   are more than 50% in 10 years.

01:22:12   That's great, let them be a services company

01:22:14   that sells hardware and software that work on them.

01:22:16   I just want the whole unit to work together

01:22:20   based on the values that led to the creation

01:22:22   of the original iPhone.

01:22:24   - And I think also, just continuing to call the services,

01:22:28   I think is really fundamentally dishonest and misleading.

01:22:31   I think a better word for most of this money,

01:22:36   which is the App Store taxes and the Google search deal,

01:22:39   'cause remember, keep in mind, the Google search deal,

01:22:42   the way it is apparently structured

01:22:44   is not a flat $20 billion a year.

01:22:48   It is a commission from Google's ad income

01:22:52   that results from Safari searches

01:22:54   from being the default in Safari.

01:22:56   And I think maybe part of that contract,

01:22:57   which is part of the DOJ's problem,

01:23:00   I think part of that contract is that Google is the default.

01:23:03   But the way it's structured, also,

01:23:07   Apple has $20 billion of motivation to keep them default

01:23:10   because it is a commission from ad income

01:23:15   from Google searches.

01:23:16   So I would actually call this category,

01:23:19   I would not call this services.

01:23:20   When you look at, it's coming from the commission

01:23:22   from Google searches and it's coming from the App Store tax,

01:23:25   I would call this category commissions, not services.

01:23:29   Now, if they wanna call it commissions and services, great.

01:23:33   But calling it services when seemingly at least

01:23:35   the majority of the money seems to be from commissions

01:23:39   on activity generated by other people, not serving.

01:23:43   Again, services is a very misleading word here.

01:23:46   This category should be called commissions

01:23:48   and they should either break it out separately

01:23:51   from services, which would look real bad,

01:23:53   or call it what it is, commissions and services

01:23:55   or just commissions.

01:23:56   - I think they could leave App Store stuff in services

01:23:58   'cause that's a service they run, though.

01:24:00   At least like App Store, they run that.

01:24:01   - Yeah, I think that's a very tough call

01:24:03   to say the App Store tax is considered a service.

01:24:07   Again, I think this is fundamentally misleading.

01:24:08   - I don't think they would like the characterization

01:24:10   of calling it an App Store tax, by the way.

01:24:12   I think their preferred terminology would be different.

01:24:15   - And Tim Cook's terminology was our commission.

01:24:18   So I say, hey, let's call it what it is.

01:24:20   It's commissions.

01:24:22   'Cause otherwise, I really do think

01:24:23   you're misleading investors into thinking that

01:24:25   things like Apple Music and iCloud and Apple TV+,

01:24:30   you're misleading investors into thinking

01:24:31   that that's driving a bunch of revenue to the company

01:24:33   that it's really not.

01:24:34   While those are successful services,

01:24:36   that is not 28% of their revenue.

01:24:38   That is not even close to making all that up.

01:24:41   So I really do think this continued quote,

01:24:45   services narrative is fundamentally misleading

01:24:48   to investors and to analysts like us

01:24:50   who don't look too much into it.

01:24:51   Because when you look into where this money's coming from,

01:24:55   I think most people would be hard pressed

01:24:56   to describe that as services.

01:24:58   - I don't think they would consider it misleading,

01:25:00   both legally and just practically speaking.

01:25:02   Because one of the things that all companies do,

01:25:04   including Apple, is they don't necessarily

01:25:07   break down their finances to the granularity

01:25:10   that you as an analyst might want.

01:25:12   For every company, this is true.

01:25:13   They don't tell you exactly of how many of each widget,

01:25:15   of each color, of each style, of each whatever, right?

01:25:17   And so by lumping things into these larger categories,

01:25:20   always the analyst's job is to try to suss out

01:25:23   what percentage of that is X, Y, and Z.

01:25:25   And they can have guesses,

01:25:27   and their guesses may be wildly wrong,

01:25:29   but I don't think you can say that Apple is misleading.

01:25:31   It's a form of like, look,

01:25:32   how much information are we gonna give you?

01:25:33   Apple could say, you're lucky we're telling you

01:25:35   what iPhone, Mac, you know, hey, we break it down at all.

01:25:37   We don't have to do that.

01:25:38   We could just say, here's our profits, here's our revenue,

01:25:40   here's our margins, and we can let you figure it out.

01:25:42   And there is a trade-off there of like,

01:25:45   the more Apple tells analysts,

01:25:47   the more control over they have

01:25:49   what analysts say about them,

01:25:50   and the more control they have

01:25:52   over what analysts think about them,

01:25:54   but the less they tell them,

01:25:55   the more they can hide a bad thing here,

01:25:57   a bad, you know, a product that didn't sell well there,

01:26:00   or whatever, like where is Vision Pro hiding in this thing?

01:26:02   I guess it's in wearables or whatever, right?

01:26:04   So like, you don't wanna tell them everything

01:26:07   'cause that highlight, that can cause them to like,

01:26:09   you know, zoom in on your weaknesses or whatever,

01:26:12   but if you tell them nothing,

01:26:13   if you just said, here's our profits, here's our revenue,

01:26:15   here's our margins, just as one big pie thing,

01:26:17   and we're not gonna break it down any farther,

01:26:19   then they're left to wildly speculate

01:26:21   about how everything is doing,

01:26:22   and they could have weird notions

01:26:23   that cause the stock to go way down.

01:26:24   So this is a dance that Apple has always been playing,

01:26:27   and in general, as Apple has become more successful,

01:26:31   they have reduced the granularity

01:26:32   of the stuff that they tell.

01:26:33   Like a while ago, I think they even used

01:26:34   to give unit sales on stuff,

01:26:36   and they don't do that anymore at all, right?

01:26:38   So I, you know, you could say it's,

01:26:42   it is not as informative as if they broke it down more,

01:26:44   and the name is misleading

01:26:45   because of things they put in the categories,

01:26:47   but the names of the categories,

01:26:48   and the categories themselves,

01:26:49   have changed so much over the years.

01:26:51   Like this is just, this is part of the analyst game of like,

01:26:53   can I back solve to figure out this stuff?

01:26:56   And what we know about this from the billions

01:26:58   in service revenue from the Google search thing,

01:27:01   we only know that because it came out

01:27:03   in discovery in court cases, right?

01:27:05   Like Apple didn't offer that up,

01:27:07   like it was wrenched from them by the law.

01:27:09   That's the only reason we even know that,

01:27:10   and now suddenly we can see into that pie wedge,

01:27:12   and be like, oh, that wouldn't have been my guess.

01:27:14   Like people didn't think it was that high, right?

01:27:16   That wouldn't have been my guess to what it is,

01:27:17   but now we know that,

01:27:18   and now we're like peering into it or whatever.

01:27:20   So again, I don't think it's specifically misleading,

01:27:23   and I agree the name is not great.

01:27:24   The Google thing definitely doesn't belong in there.

01:27:27   Maybe App Store is arguable,

01:27:29   but things like Apple TV and Apple TV Plus

01:27:32   and Apple Music certainly are in there,

01:27:35   and iCloud and stuff like that.

01:27:37   Like anything that like,

01:27:38   do you pay Apple for iCloud storage, right?

01:27:39   So you can use iCloud photo library.

01:27:41   That's a service.

01:27:41   They run a bunch of servers.

01:27:42   It's a service that works with the hardware and software.

01:27:44   That should be services revenue,

01:27:45   but yeah, without knowing about this stuff,

01:27:48   a lot of people can look at that services revenue,

01:27:50   and like you said before, like just think like Apple TV

01:27:52   and Apple Music must be doing great.

01:27:54   - You're killing it.

01:27:55   - Not that great.

01:27:56   Yeah, but the thing is like, you're right.

01:27:58   Obviously, they control the messaging around this

01:28:01   for lots of reasons,

01:28:02   and they try to figure out what they have to

01:28:05   and should break out and what they don't,

01:28:07   and they keep a lot close to the vest, of course.

01:28:10   The thing is though, like by making a lot of your money

01:28:14   in a way that's kind of cagey and not what people expect

01:28:18   can actually work against you as well.

01:28:20   So for instance, now first of all,

01:28:21   I should go back and clarify.

01:28:23   Because the Google revenue is a commission

01:28:27   on Google search revenue, if Apple is forced,

01:28:32   or if Google is forced to stop the exclusivity clause,

01:28:35   that doesn't mean $20 billion needs to go away

01:28:38   from Apple's books.

01:28:39   What that means is probably something like Apple

01:28:41   has to have some kind of choice screen

01:28:43   like they do in the EU.

01:28:44   It's probably gonna be something like that

01:28:46   as the remedy to fix this violation.

01:28:48   - Yeah, guesses about remedies are like,

01:28:51   remember, one of the guesses about remedies

01:28:52   is like on the table is Google could be broken up.

01:28:55   Obviously that's probably not gonna happen,

01:28:56   but I'm saying the spectrum is wide of possibilities.

01:29:00   So yeah, they could say you have to have a choice screen,

01:29:02   or they could say Apple and Google can't do any kind

01:29:04   of deal related to search, or they could say

01:29:06   Google is broken up, or they could say nothing

01:29:07   'cause this gets overturned on appeal.

01:29:09   So the possibilities are numerous and wide,

01:29:12   but you're right, one of the possibilities is

01:29:14   that it could be like, oh, you can still have the deal,

01:29:15   you just need a choice screen.

01:29:16   Which as I said before, everyone would pick Google anyway.

01:29:18   - Exactly, and so if that's how this goes,

01:29:21   if Google just can't be exclusively the provider anymore,

01:29:25   then Apple puts up a choice screen,

01:29:27   and almost everyone picks Google,

01:29:28   and then Google continues to pay Apple a commission

01:29:31   on the ad rates, they probably won't lose much at all.

01:29:34   So obviously maybe Google's willing to pay a lower rate

01:29:37   per user if it's not exclusive,

01:29:39   'cause it's long-term less valuable to them.

01:29:42   - Or if Google is smart, maybe Google would say,

01:29:44   our price is this, nothing.

01:29:46   We're not gonna pay you anything.

01:29:48   What are you gonna do now?

01:29:49   Just give people the choice,

01:29:50   they're not gonna pick us anyway, right?

01:29:51   'Cause the whole thing is we were paying you

01:29:53   to be exclusive, and now if we can't be exclusive,

01:29:56   we'll take the 90% we're gonna get anyway.

01:29:58   - Right, exactly.

01:29:59   So there's lots of things that could go there,

01:30:00   but here's the problem with Apple calling this services

01:30:04   when it's clearly commissions.

01:30:07   Then, if they do lose a big chunk of money from this,

01:30:11   then the analyst narrative that they have been crafting

01:30:13   for years that Apple services are a big revenue-based

01:30:17   and growth area for the company,

01:30:19   then everyone starts saying the wrong thing.

01:30:21   Everyone starts saying Apple services took a huge hit.

01:30:25   - Oh, but the analysts would know,

01:30:26   and Apple would explain to them,

01:30:27   Apple would say, we have a 25% decline

01:30:30   in services income this quarter

01:30:31   because of the DOJ Google thing,

01:30:34   and analysts would know that and subtract it out,

01:30:35   and then what analysts would be doing is saying,

01:30:38   okay, we understand where that hit came from

01:30:39   and your stock's gonna go down, so tough luck,

01:30:41   but also, next quarter, what we're gonna look at is,

01:30:44   of the remaining pie wedge, is that growing?

01:30:47   And that's where they would take the hit.

01:30:48   If that's not growing.

01:30:50   And I don't actually honestly know,

01:30:51   and I don't think anybody knows,

01:30:52   'cause we just have these points in time of like,

01:30:54   you know, what percentage of that pie wedge

01:30:56   is Google's revenue, and is the Google percentage

01:30:59   of the pie wedge growing or shrinking?

01:31:01   I don't think we actually know.

01:31:02   If you subtract out the Google payment from services,

01:31:06   what has the rate of Apple service growth been

01:31:09   over the past three years?

01:31:10   Maybe it's been declining minus that,

01:31:12   and maybe that's been keeping it up,

01:31:13   or maybe actually the Google revenue has been declining,

01:31:16   and it's been growing faster than that,

01:31:18   but we won't know that until it's subtracted out.

01:31:19   So the first time it disappears,

01:31:22   they're gonna explain it, and the analysts are gonna be,

01:31:24   yeah, this is the OG thing, you didn't get the money,

01:31:25   you didn't renegotiate a deal,

01:31:27   we're gonna punish your stock for it,

01:31:28   because you lost $20 billion or whatever, fine,

01:31:31   but the next time, they're gonna say,

01:31:32   now we can look at the remaining services and say,

01:31:35   is it actually growing?

01:31:36   And I don't actually know,

01:31:39   and I'm not sure anybody actually knows,

01:31:41   again, maybe services is growing faster

01:31:43   than it has been on a percentage basis

01:31:45   without the Google thing,

01:31:46   or maybe it's been growing much slower

01:31:47   than all the growth has been in Google,

01:31:49   but we'll find that out only after it is removed.

01:31:51   - Yeah, I mean, ultimately,

01:31:53   I don't think the classification is really that big a deal,

01:31:56   because any investors worth their salt,

01:32:00   or any analyst, I should say, that's worth their salt,

01:32:02   is going to be able to figure out what this is about,

01:32:04   and average day-to-day investors, like the individuals,

01:32:09   if they decide to sell because the revenue is down,

01:32:11   then so be it.

01:32:11   I don't really think they're gonna sweat that part of this.

01:32:15   I mean, I think they're gonna sweat losing that money,

01:32:17   but I feel like they can talk their way through it

01:32:20   in a way that would probably be satisfactory,

01:32:22   at least at first, to anyone that's paying attention.

01:32:25   And then, like John just said,

01:32:26   the rubber will hit the road the following quarter

01:32:28   to see, you know, can they make up some of that space?

01:32:31   And that's fine.

01:32:32   I mean, ultimately,

01:32:33   I don't have terribly strong opinions about this.

01:32:35   I think people choose Google,

01:32:38   like you both have been saying.

01:32:39   Like, they choose Google

01:32:40   because Google is in many ways the best,

01:32:42   and I think where it becomes gross,

01:32:44   and this is what Ben Thompson's been saying

01:32:46   on like dithering and on his own website,

01:32:48   where it becomes gross is when Google is contractually,

01:32:53   you know, entrenching themselves as a monopolist.

01:32:56   Like, if you got to be a monopolist by being really good,

01:32:58   then, well, okay, so be it.

01:32:59   But if you stay there by way of, you know,

01:33:02   contracts and law, that's, or maybe not law, but contracts,

01:33:06   you know, that's where it becomes gross

01:33:08   and apparently illegal.

01:33:09   - Yeah, and also, like, Google is the best,

01:33:12   partially because they have done everything they can

01:33:15   to box out competition.

01:33:16   So they'll stay the best if you never let anybody

01:33:18   who could potentially compete with you from getting better.

01:33:21   If you, you know, that like, it's sort of,

01:33:23   you can't just say like, well,

01:33:25   Google is the best 'cause everyone picks them,

01:33:26   and everyone picks them because they're the best.

01:33:28   If you don't also acknowledge, like, okay,

01:33:29   well then how is someone supposed to get better

01:33:31   and start competing with Google

01:33:32   when those exclusive contracts exist

01:33:33   that prevent competition?

01:33:34   And so I think things like this have been holding back Bing.

01:33:38   It's all speculative.

01:33:38   You can say, well, Bing would suck no matter what.

01:33:40   Maybe, maybe Bing would suck

01:33:42   even if these things didn't happen, right?

01:33:43   But we don't know, right?

01:33:44   The whole point is we actually want to have

01:33:46   a more level playing field.

01:33:48   Do not let the dominant player use their dominance

01:33:51   to prevent you from ever getting good enough, right?

01:33:53   And so even though we're all dismissively saying,

01:33:55   well, if you put a choice here,

01:33:56   and everyone's gonna pick Google anyway,

01:33:57   it's like maybe part of the reason that's true

01:34:00   is because Google has made sure

01:34:01   no one can compete with them.

01:34:03   - Yep, that's a really good point.

01:34:04   And I think the thing that I'm most interested in

01:34:09   about this is what it means for Apple's perspective

01:34:12   on services.

01:34:13   We glanced off this a few minutes ago,

01:34:14   but this is what Jason's post was largely about.

01:34:16   And I think the thing that kind of gives me pause

01:34:21   and creeps me out isn't really the right turn of phrase,

01:34:24   but I can't think of a better way to phrase it,

01:34:26   is that we just had a discussion

01:34:27   about how the security dialogues,

01:34:29   which are user hostile,

01:34:31   are constantly being thrown in our faces,

01:34:35   and there's becoming more and more and more of them.

01:34:37   And as we discussed already,

01:34:39   at a detriment to the user,

01:34:42   we're seeing more and more of these.

01:34:43   And whoever used to fight against these sorts of things

01:34:46   isn't winning that fight anymore.

01:34:48   We're also seeing more and more and more,

01:34:50   hey, have you heard about dark matter?

01:34:52   Hey, have you heard about that thing with Jake Gyllenhaal?

01:34:54   Hey, have you heard about MLS, whatever, whatever?

01:34:57   Hey, have you heard about Friday Night Lights?

01:34:59   We're getting more and more and more of these advertising,

01:35:01   and push notifications and things in settings and whatnot,

01:35:05   in a way that that doesn't feel like the Apple that,

01:35:08   not that I grew up on,

01:35:09   but for lack of a better turn of phrase, that I grew up on.

01:35:11   And the fact that all these things are happening,

01:35:14   that the people who used to say no to these things

01:35:19   apparently can't or won't say no anymore,

01:35:21   or maybe just aren't there anymore,

01:35:23   that's what gives me pause and gives me the heebie-jeebies,

01:35:26   is that I don't want Apple,

01:35:28   and this was the thesis of Jason's post,

01:35:29   I don't want Apple to lose sight

01:35:31   of what makes Apple so great,

01:35:32   and why we are so enthusiastic about Apple,

01:35:34   that we have done damn near 600 episodes of this show,

01:35:37   largely about this silly company.

01:35:40   I don't want them to lose that,

01:35:42   and I fear that I'm starting to see a little bit of smoke

01:35:46   around them losing sight of what makes them so special.

01:35:50   And things happen, sometimes mistakes are made,

01:35:55   and maybe they'll course correct, and maybe it'll be fine,

01:35:57   but I don't love this feeling that I just got this like,

01:36:00   ugh, that they're prioritizing services

01:36:04   to the detriment of other things,

01:36:06   that they're prioritizing security in some ways

01:36:09   to the detriment of other things like the user experience.

01:36:11   And I just, I don't love that,

01:36:12   and I feel like they're going too far

01:36:15   on a few of these things,

01:36:16   and I want there to be a better balance,

01:36:19   and this is one of those things where I want a better balance.

01:36:21   - Yeah, it was one of the places where

01:36:23   some aspects of Apple's corporate structure

01:36:26   have helped it in this way,

01:36:28   and I'm not quite sure how this works with the services

01:36:30   things, I mean, in a company that was really divided up

01:36:33   by like division, you could say, well,

01:36:34   the people in the services department

01:36:35   are totally incentivized to throw ads on our face

01:36:37   'cause their whole point is make the line go up

01:36:40   on their services, right?

01:36:41   It makes sense, but like Apple has had counterbalances

01:36:45   against that by, for example, having back in the old days,

01:36:49   despite some of his bad decisions,

01:36:50   Johnny Ive as the head of user experience or UI or whatever

01:36:54   for the whole company, for everything,

01:36:56   every single product, hardware and software,

01:36:58   at one point it was like Johnny Ive and his department,

01:37:01   it's like, there's no division like,

01:37:03   oh, you're an Apple TV, oh, I can't tell you anything.

01:37:05   No, I cut across the whole company,

01:37:08   and I am in charge of the user experience,

01:37:10   of the Apple experience of using our product,

01:37:12   so whether it's a Mac, an iPhone, a pencil,

01:37:16   the music app on Mac OS, like software, hardware, anything,

01:37:24   someone was overseeing that and that group had expertise

01:37:28   and incentives to make good user experience

01:37:30   because they were judged on,

01:37:32   do people like Apple's products?

01:37:35   Do they think they're easy to use and pleasant to use?

01:37:38   Do they induce surprise and delight, right?

01:37:41   That's what they're motivated to do,

01:37:43   and maybe you in the Apple TV+ thing

01:37:45   is motivated to get more subscriptions,

01:37:46   but guess what, you gotta go through them

01:37:48   because you don't have your own UI team,

01:37:50   you gotta go through the Apple-wide UI team,

01:37:52   I forget what they call that type of organization,

01:37:54   but it's like, it's the opposite of divisions,

01:37:55   it's the opposite of having the Mac division,

01:37:58   the iPhone division, the iPad division,

01:37:59   and having them just have their own little kingdoms

01:38:02   and their own little worlds and own motivations

01:38:03   because that can distort each one of those products

01:38:07   because the people in that group are motivated

01:38:09   to like sell more iPhones or sell more iPads or whatever,

01:38:11   and for example, if you had the iPod as a division,

01:38:14   they'd be motivated to sell more iPods,

01:38:16   but sometimes the best thing to do

01:38:17   is not to sell more iPods,

01:38:18   it's to have the iPhone totally cannibalize the iPod.

01:38:21   That's the best for the company,

01:38:22   but if you had the iPod as a division,

01:38:24   they'd be fighting tooth and nail

01:38:24   to prevent that from happening,

01:38:25   and that's not healthy, right?

01:38:27   And I look at things like,

01:38:28   how the hell do come-ons about like,

01:38:31   you know, Apple payment and the Apple card and MLS

01:38:34   get into the settings app?

01:38:36   Like where is the cross-cutting user interface

01:38:39   design team on that?

01:38:42   'Cause I know why like the Apple card people

01:38:44   want that to be there,

01:38:46   but to your point, Casey, like,

01:38:48   shouldn't there be the user experience team saying,

01:38:51   you may want that, but you can't have that,

01:38:53   and how are they losing that fight now?

01:38:54   Like how is that not taking place?

01:38:56   Where is that?

01:38:57   Like, I know Johnny Ive's gone,

01:38:59   and maybe they just know,

01:38:59   but like that department still exists,

01:39:01   and it still, as far as I know,

01:39:02   cuts across hardware and software.

01:39:04   Does it not cut across services?

01:39:06   This is a structural thing that's too much

01:39:08   like sort of inside baseball about how Apple works

01:39:11   that I'm too far removed from that I don't actually know,

01:39:13   but I would hope that the structures that prevented this

01:39:17   when with the hardware software divide

01:39:19   with like not having the iPod team, you know,

01:39:21   fighting to keep that product alive

01:39:22   when it was so clear that the iPhone

01:39:23   should sweep it away, right?

01:39:25   Whatever allowed that to happen,

01:39:27   I would hope those same checks and balances

01:39:28   are still in place,

01:39:29   but everything from the services side makes me think

01:39:32   that somehow they are excluded

01:39:35   from these checks and balances,

01:39:38   and that somehow are able to infect

01:39:39   the rest of the products, which is not great.

01:39:41   And like I said, it's not about the revenue.

01:39:43   I'm not worried about the services line going up

01:39:45   and the product line going down.

01:39:46   I would love it if the products were sold at cost

01:39:48   or were loss leaders,

01:39:49   and they made all their profit from high margin services

01:39:51   as long as the holistic experience

01:39:55   was the Apple experience that I know and love, right?

01:39:58   And it wasn't the throw ads in your face,

01:40:00   you know, crappy experiences

01:40:02   that the services people seem to want.

01:40:04   - All right, thank you to our sponsors this week,

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01:40:37   (upbeat music)

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01:41:39   - So Marco doesn't really believe in the show notes

01:41:43   for the most part.

01:41:44   And every great once in a while,

01:41:46   little snippets will arrive.

01:41:47   And sometimes I just, I don't even know.

01:41:51   And sometimes I don't even wanna know what they're about.

01:41:53   In the after show section of our internal show notes,

01:41:56   I see the following, Marco's Rivian drama.

01:41:59   I'm sitting down, I'm leaning back.

01:42:03   All right, Marco, what's going on?

01:42:05   - I feel like we already did Rivian drama.

01:42:07   Could there possibly be more Rivian drama?

01:42:10   - Narrator says, "Oh wait, there's more."

01:42:12   All right, so there's two areas of drama.

01:42:15   One is, remember when John said

01:42:19   after I got half of my car disassembled,

01:42:21   he's like, at some point if that happened to my car,

01:42:24   there'd be like rattles and stuff everywhere.

01:42:26   - I don't think that's a fair paraphrase,

01:42:29   but I always said I worry about if a large amount

01:42:32   of a complicated product is disassembled, like in the shop,

01:42:35   I worry that it's not gonna go back together

01:42:37   the same way it was.

01:42:38   - Well, I now have a substantial amount more wind noise

01:42:42   coming from the right side of my car than I did before.

01:42:44   - Oh no, oh no.

01:42:46   - So I'll have to get that looked at.

01:42:47   It was not perfect before.

01:42:48   Before the repair, if Tiff ever rolled down

01:42:51   the passenger side window while the vehicle was in motion,

01:42:54   when she rolled it back up again, you'd hear wind noise.

01:42:57   Until we stopped, she would open the door

01:43:00   and close the door, and that would fix it.

01:43:01   So there's obviously somewhat of a seal issue on that window.

01:43:05   - So strange, it seems like such an error

01:43:07   to have a vehicle.

01:43:08   (laughing)

01:43:09   It's brick-shape, it cheats the wind.

01:43:12   (laughing)

01:43:13   - Now there is substantially more wind noise

01:43:16   from the right side and some occasional hums

01:43:19   at certain speeds, so.

01:43:20   - You just need to back into a stump

01:43:21   with your other side of the bumper.

01:43:23   - Yeah, that'll fix it.

01:43:23   (laughing)

01:43:24   - Then you balance out the wind noise,

01:43:25   it will cancel out like force-canceling woofers.

01:43:28   - Yeah, so I have to deal with that at some point.

01:43:30   God knows if it's gonna be a mess of like,

01:43:32   who deals with it, the body shop or Rivian service?

01:43:35   Who knows?

01:43:36   We'll find that out.

01:43:37   That's part of the problem.

01:43:40   So I took a long trip with the Rivian this past weekend.

01:43:45   After the first fast charge at a Rivian charger,

01:43:50   the Rivian Adventure Network charger, which is very good,

01:43:53   I pulled away from the charger and I got a bunch of warnings

01:43:57   on the dash saying, "Battery fault, service SUV immediately."

01:44:01   - Oh, that's definitely reassuring

01:44:04   as you're presumably two to three to four hours

01:44:06   away from home.

01:44:07   - On a multi-hour trip that I intend to keep going on,

01:44:11   going to an event that, you know,

01:44:12   we were going to a friend's wedding in Canada,

01:44:15   so it's a bit of a drive.

01:44:17   So I'm like, well, let's see if I can just defer this service

01:44:22   'til I get home, try to go,

01:44:24   and I notice the car's going extremely slowly.

01:44:29   - This sounds all too familiar

01:44:30   and I am having real bad flashbacks right now.

01:44:33   - It's running on half the number of cylinders.

01:44:36   (laughing)

01:44:37   - So I pulled into a gas station and I'm like,

01:44:39   it's barely usable, I'm like, what do I do?

01:44:43   So I thought, let me try, this is a computer product.

01:44:47   - Yeah, you gotta reboot it.

01:44:48   - I'll try rebooting it, that's it.

01:44:50   - Never fails, never fails, number one diagnostic technique.

01:44:53   - Yep, and I had to do this for Tesla

01:44:56   on a fairly regular basis as well.

01:44:58   You figure out, oh, you push the steering wheel button

01:45:00   and something else for a few seconds.

01:45:01   With Rivian, it's so funny, it's like you push

01:45:03   the left steering wheel button and the emergency flasher

01:45:07   button on the roof, so it feels just like

01:45:10   control alt delete for a car.

01:45:11   - You should have to hold down the horn as part of it.

01:45:14   (laughing)

01:45:14   You hold down the power button and the horn is like,

01:45:16   ha, what is that, oh, somebody's just rebooting the Rivian.

01:45:19   - Right, exactly.

01:45:20   So it's this ridiculous process, but I did the full reboot

01:45:24   and they even warn you when doing that,

01:45:27   there's a couple of minor reboots,

01:45:28   but if you do the big reboot, they even say,

01:45:31   don't do this more than once an hour

01:45:33   because certain subsystems might take that long

01:45:36   to come back up.

01:45:38   Like, okay, that's a little disconcerting as well,

01:45:41   but fine, we'll deal with that.

01:45:43   So anyway, I do the full reboot, the car,

01:45:46   it takes like five minutes to reboot.

01:45:47   It comes up, it's fine, okay.

01:45:50   - This is basically what happened with us,

01:45:52   if I recall correctly.

01:45:53   When it came back up, it was not fine for just a moment

01:45:56   and then within moments of you driving away,

01:45:58   if I recall correctly, it was fine.

01:46:00   - Yeah, this was fine immediately this time.

01:46:02   So I'm like, okay, well, I guess I need to get service,

01:46:04   but maybe I can continue this trip

01:46:05   and get service like next week

01:46:07   and not right now and canceling this trip

01:46:10   or getting a rental car and leaving my car

01:46:12   in Newburgh or whatever.

01:46:13   So anyway, so, continue on the trip, fine.

01:46:17   At the next charging stop,

01:46:21   when I plugged in the fast charger,

01:46:24   now I should clarify, at the next charging stop,

01:46:27   this was the only charger in a pretty big area.

01:46:32   I knew it was there and so I kinda took a risk to get to it.

01:46:37   I arrived at it with like 10% charge.

01:46:40   It's a pretty low amount of charge

01:46:41   and it was like, if I really had to go to another charger,

01:46:44   I could maybe make it, but it would be a stretch.

01:46:48   I really needed to charge here.

01:46:50   So I get there, 10% and I plug in

01:46:53   and the charger will not start.

01:46:55   Every time it's about to start,

01:46:58   the car shows a message saying,

01:46:59   battery fault, please service immediately.

01:47:02   - Oh no.

01:47:03   - So I'm like, oh, now my car won't charge

01:47:07   on a trip when I'm in the middle of nowhere at 10%.

01:47:11   This is not good.

01:47:12   So I try, let me reboot again.

01:47:18   After the reboot, it comes back up,

01:47:20   the problem is fixed, I can charge again.

01:47:22   Okay, woo!

01:47:24   On the way home, I arrive at this charger.

01:47:28   Now I should clarify what this charger is.

01:47:30   This is an Electrify America charger.

01:47:31   Now I have, when I first got the Rivian a year ago,

01:47:35   I believe I said on this show,

01:47:37   Electrify America chargers are fine.

01:47:39   They're plentiful, they work, some of them are pretty fast.

01:47:43   So it's fine and it's competitive with the superchargers

01:47:47   in terms of like utility that it offers on a long road trip

01:47:51   and a vehicle that has a CCS plug

01:47:53   and has no supercharger access is fine to own

01:47:56   because Electrify America stations are pretty decent.

01:47:59   And I believe I gave an update to that statement

01:48:01   a few months ago that my experience with them

01:48:05   was declining rapidly, that it seemed like

01:48:08   even within the span of one year

01:48:11   that Electrify America's chargers,

01:48:13   which are the primary decent fast chargers

01:48:17   that are not Tesla's port in the US,

01:48:21   but that Electrify America's chargers were,

01:48:23   in my experience, declining quickly,

01:48:25   that there were way more breakages of them.

01:48:27   Like you show up and half of them aren't working

01:48:30   to our earlier conversation.

01:48:32   And way longer lines, you have to actually wait

01:48:35   to get to them sometimes because there's been so many EVs

01:48:38   sold in the last couple of years in the US,

01:48:41   which is great, EVs are taking off.

01:48:43   They're everywhere, especially in wealthy areas

01:48:45   like New York, they're getting very, very common.

01:48:49   But the problem is that the Electrify America network

01:48:53   and chargers not only have not scaled

01:48:57   to address the growth, but also are actually getting worse

01:49:02   because they keep breaking and it seems like

01:49:04   no one is fixing them.

01:49:05   So this is what this station was.

01:49:08   I stopped there, on the way up, it has four chargers

01:49:12   in the middle of this giant parking lot surrounded

01:49:14   by big box retail stores, four chargers.

01:49:16   On the way up, only three of them were working.

01:49:19   And I had to wait 20 minutes.

01:49:21   And then when I actually finally plugged in,

01:49:24   it advertised that it could go up to 350 kilowatts

01:49:27   and it went 90.

01:49:28   So okay, not a great showing.

01:49:30   When I get to the same station on the way home,

01:49:33   only two of them are working.

01:49:35   - Why would you go to the same one?

01:49:36   Go to a different one.

01:49:37   - There's nothing else around.

01:49:39   That's why.

01:49:41   So I get there, only two of the four are working.

01:49:45   They're all full, of course, when I get there.

01:49:47   Now of course, I do what everyone does

01:49:50   when they pull up to Electrify America charger

01:49:52   that has two open bays because the things are dead.

01:49:55   I pull into one of them and say, let's try it.

01:49:58   What the heck?

01:49:58   Maybe it'll work for me.

01:50:00   And of course, I pull in and it doesn't work for me,

01:50:02   so I back out and I kind of get in a position

01:50:05   that suggests I'm in line.

01:50:08   'Cause see, this is the problem with car chargers.

01:50:11   - It's like the Apple store.

01:50:12   - Yeah. (laughs)

01:50:13   Imagine the Apple store, but with way higher stakes

01:50:17   and everyone's mad and there's no one working it.

01:50:20   - And they're the size of cars.

01:50:22   - Right.

01:50:22   - So you can't easily jockey for jostling around

01:50:25   to form some amorphous blob of checkout.

01:50:27   Imagine that, but with pieces of steel,

01:50:28   they can't touch each other.

01:50:29   - Exactly, or it'll cost $20,000.

01:50:32   So anyway, so the problem with EV charging.

01:50:35   Now again, before this I had Teslas, of course,

01:50:38   so I've done a lot of EV charging.

01:50:40   EV charging logistics, when you're at a fast charger

01:50:43   on a highway trip, again, these are unstaffed.

01:50:46   No one is working the chargers.

01:50:48   No one is watching the chargers.

01:50:49   No one is policing the chargers.

01:50:51   It is just unstaffed, almost public infrastructure.

01:50:55   You show up and you hope that nothing bad happens

01:50:59   and you hope your car can get there

01:51:01   and people won't mess with it

01:51:03   and other people won't be a problem,

01:51:05   because again, there's no one working it.

01:51:07   - That's why they should be selling potato chips

01:51:08   in a little hut with a strolling teenager in there,

01:51:10   'cause then he at least knows, hey,

01:51:11   one of the things went out and send an email

01:51:14   to somebody who comes and fix it eventually,

01:51:15   but with nobody there and with Target doesn't care.

01:51:18   You know what I mean?

01:51:19   It's just there's literally zero people to notice,

01:51:21   hey, everything is breaking.

01:51:23   Call the people who come and fix it.

01:51:26   That probably happens on a week or a month lag

01:51:29   when just enough people get angry about showing up there

01:51:31   and having it not work and send some angry email

01:51:33   when they get home.

01:51:34   - Right, exactly.

01:51:35   And so, the thing is, when I was first in the EV,

01:51:40   first in the EV world, it was pretty much only Teslas

01:51:45   that were getting any kind of traction,

01:51:47   and certainly at Tesla's own chargers, it was only Teslas.

01:51:49   Superchargers tend to be built with lots of bays.

01:51:53   Even back when I first got Tesla,

01:51:55   I mean, 2016 I think was my first one, it was a while ago.

01:51:59   So even back then, the superchargers that would be built

01:52:02   with like six, eight, 12 bays,

01:52:05   so there were a lot of bays,

01:52:06   and because it was only Teslas

01:52:08   and because it was so long ago, there was never a wait.

01:52:11   There was always capacity, and you would show up,

01:52:14   and the only other car that would be there

01:52:16   would be some other nerd or hippie who bought a Tesla.

01:52:20   So it was a very different crowd,

01:52:23   and a much smaller one than what is at

01:52:28   a modern Electrify America charger today.

01:52:32   So today, you show up to these chargers,

01:52:34   and they are almost always full or almost full.

01:52:39   Now, the entire idea of an unmonitored, unstaffed,

01:52:44   unpoliced charger totally falls apart when you have to wait,

01:52:50   'cause now it's anarchy.

01:52:53   Like when you have to wait, now it's like,

01:52:55   okay, we're gonna kind of form a weird queue,

01:52:58   and everyone's gonna kind of keep track,

01:52:59   oh, you were here first, then you, then you,

01:53:02   but what happens if someone jumps the line

01:53:05   or is a jerk or has a dispute over who was first?

01:53:09   - You should just put your quarter up on the charger.

01:53:11   (laughing)

01:53:13   Kids listening, a quarter is a unit of currency

01:53:16   that comes in coin form.

01:53:17   (laughing)

01:53:18   See, I thought I was gonna explain the arcade thing,

01:53:20   but now I'm trying to explain coins.

01:53:21   - Yep, I sure did.

01:53:22   - 'Cause how many kids know what coins are?

01:53:24   - Fair enough.

01:53:26   They barely know what cash is anymore.

01:53:28   Anyway, so we arrive at this charger on the way home.

01:53:31   Again, I have something like 12%,

01:53:34   like I'm not gonna make it to the next one.

01:53:37   And the two that are working are, of course, taken,

01:53:40   and there's another car waiting.

01:53:41   So I'm gonna be the second in line for the next one.

01:53:45   And of course, there's nowhere to park

01:53:47   that would form a natural line.

01:53:49   It's just like these things on the side of a parking lot

01:53:51   with one of those kind of parking lot through streets

01:53:54   right in front of it, so there's not even really space

01:53:56   around it to form a weird queue.

01:53:59   So we just kind of pull up near it and hope for the best.

01:54:02   The car on the end, one of the active cars,

01:54:05   is parked comically diagonally across two spots.

01:54:09   Like, it's chaos.

01:54:12   So I'm like, all right, I'll wait.

01:54:14   And because EV charging takes a half hour or whatever,

01:54:18   most people who charge their car don't stay in it.

01:54:21   They get out of the car and they go over

01:54:23   to one of the big box stores that's nearby

01:54:25   and go to the bathroom, do some shopping, whatever.

01:54:29   - Now it's the communal laundry machine at college

01:54:31   where it's like, the person's not there,

01:54:33   but their load is done, so you take those wet clothes out

01:54:35   and you shove it on top of the machine

01:54:36   and you put your clothes in,

01:54:37   but kind of hard to do that with a car.

01:54:39   - Interesting that you mention that.

01:54:41   So, as we're sitting there waiting,

01:54:44   this becomes, this is a pretty long wait,

01:54:46   and so everyone's upset.

01:54:48   So the one car waiting is upset, everyone else is upset.

01:54:51   Eventually, one of the cars finishes,

01:54:55   the one person in front of me,

01:54:56   they get to take that spot.

01:54:58   Okay, so now I'm next in line.

01:55:00   The diagonally parked car is still there.

01:55:01   It's been there for a while.

01:55:03   So I'm like, I wonder how close they are to finish.

01:55:06   Let me get out and look.

01:55:06   I get out, I walk over, their screen says 81%.

01:55:10   I'm like, great, that means this person

01:55:12   is gonna be done really soon.

01:55:15   I'm gonna get this spot next, this'll be great.

01:55:17   And a few minutes later, a woman walks up to this car

01:55:20   and I'm like, yes, this is it, finally gonna be us.

01:55:23   She walked over the car, she opens the door,

01:55:25   pulls out of the car, one of those clear, square

01:55:28   to-go containers full of salad, opens it up

01:55:32   and starts eating the salad and closes the car door

01:55:34   and walks away with the salad to disappear

01:55:37   into the nearby shopping center.

01:55:40   - No, no. - Yeah, and I'm like, uh-oh.

01:55:42   She's not leaving, but her car's, at this point,

01:55:45   probably well into the 80s.

01:55:47   Like, what's gonna happen?

01:55:48   Like, what, where is she going?

01:55:49   No, go! - She wants that 100%.

01:55:52   And so Tiff and I are like, where, like,

01:55:55   and of course, so we name her Salad.

01:55:56   We're like, where did Salad go?

01:55:58   Like, when's Salad coming back?

01:56:00   And like, surely the car has to be like,

01:56:01   in the 90s by now.

01:56:02   And then, as we're wondering where Salad went,

01:56:05   another car pulls up and two dudes get out.

01:56:09   And I use the term dudes with some emphasis here.

01:56:13   These are the kind of guys who, if they walk up

01:56:16   to a bunch of people at an elevator,

01:56:18   who are standing waiting for the elevator to come,

01:56:20   they're the kind of guys who will tap the button

01:56:22   like this.

01:56:23   Like, really, like, just like tap it a thousand times,

01:56:26   just 'cause they assume, of course,

01:56:27   none of you thought to push the button.

01:56:29   And not only do you not think to push the button,

01:56:31   but if you push the button very aggressively,

01:56:32   maybe the elevator will come faster.

01:56:34   It's those kinds of dudes who come up.

01:56:37   They come up, of course, they try both of the other spots

01:56:40   that don't work, 'cause again, it doesn't work

01:56:43   for anyone else.

01:56:44   The app says it doesn't work, but hey, maybe,

01:56:46   maybe it'll work for these dudes.

01:56:48   Of course not.

01:56:49   Then, they look over at Salads' car,

01:56:52   and they unplug it.

01:56:55   - Wait, that's possible?

01:56:57   I didn't think that was possible.

01:56:58   Some of them have locking mechanisms, but not all of them.

01:57:01   - Exactly.

01:57:01   Some of them, the cables lock in, for this reason.

01:57:05   (laughs)

01:57:06   Keep in mind, and this is one of the things,

01:57:07   all Teslas lock their cables in.

01:57:09   The reason why is because, first of all,

01:57:12   things like this, but when Tesla was first

01:57:14   entering the market, there was, and still in some places is,

01:57:18   but especially back then, there was a lot of,

01:57:21   let's say, conservative people who would even vandalize,

01:57:26   or try to vandalize EVs.

01:57:28   Their mere existence angered certain people in the US.

01:57:32   Tesla had to design their systems

01:57:36   to be a little bit defensive.

01:57:38   That's one of the reasons why the Tesla plug

01:57:40   locks into the vehicle, and why you can't stop a Tesla

01:57:44   from charging if the car is locked

01:57:46   and the person's not there.

01:57:48   I mean, you can try to cut the cable, I guess,

01:57:50   but that would be quite an operation.

01:57:52   - Don't do that, please.

01:57:53   - Yeah, for lots of reasons.

01:57:55   You will probably kill yourself,

01:57:56   and also you shouldn't do it for lots of other reasons.

01:57:58   But anyway, Salad's car is unplugged.

01:58:01   Now, we are in line right behind Salad,

01:58:03   and we're like, when she comes back,

01:58:06   she's gonna think we unplugged it.

01:58:08   - Sure is.

01:58:09   - And then there's gonna be a conflict

01:58:11   that I really don't want, and I'm like, oh, God.

01:58:13   This makes me look really bad,

01:58:16   'cause these dudes came and unplugged it.

01:58:18   And oh, and the dudes motioned to me to say,

01:58:20   oh, come pull up next to her and start plugging into it.

01:58:23   They want me to pull up diagonally next

01:58:25   to her diagonally parked car.

01:58:26   - Oh, no.

01:58:27   - Which, of course, I'm like, then I'm gonna walk away.

01:58:30   She's gonna come back thinking I did this,

01:58:32   and maybe vandalize my car or something.

01:58:34   There's another $20,000.

01:58:36   (laughing)

01:58:37   There's so many parts of this that I do not want this.

01:58:40   I'm like, now what?

01:58:41   So I told these guys, no, I'm gonna wait for her to come back.

01:58:45   I'm not taking that, I'm not doing that.

01:58:47   But they had unplugged it.

01:58:50   They even then closed her flap to the plug.

01:58:55   And I'm like, I can't believe the gall of these dudes.

01:58:59   - What were they driving?

01:59:01   - The Kia thing that I like, the hatchback-y one.

01:59:05   - The EV6? - EV6?

01:59:07   - No, the good one, the five, I think.

01:59:09   - The Ionic 5? - Yeah, that's it.

01:59:11   Yeah, okay, Nokia, right, okay.

01:59:13   Whatever, yeah, the head of the Ionic 5.

01:59:15   Anyway, now the car's unplugged.

01:59:18   It's starting to rain.

01:59:19   We're like, where the heck is Salad?

01:59:21   Now it's raining, she's stuck in the mall somewhere.

01:59:23   I'm like, now what do we do?

01:59:25   Oh God, she's gonna come back, she's gonna see us.

01:59:28   We're gonna have to explain to her.

01:59:29   Tiff's like, don't worry, I'll explain to her.

01:59:31   I'm a woman, she'll get it.

01:59:32   No, that's not, I don't want any of this.

01:59:34   I'm freaking out.

01:59:36   - Tiff's gonna get beat up.

01:59:37   - If there was any other charger nearby,

01:59:40   I would've just left.

01:59:40   I'm like, I don't wanna deal with this,

01:59:41   but I couldn't go anywhere else.

01:59:43   Eventually, the other car, eventually,

01:59:48   the other one that was working, that car finishes.

01:59:52   Thank God, I'll take that spot.

01:59:54   I position myself, I would say extremely aggressively

01:59:58   as they pull out so that the dude car

02:00:01   does not take this spot.

02:00:03   - Suddenly you don't care about another $20,000 repair.

02:00:05   - Yeah, I'm like, I am not gonna have a conflict

02:00:08   with Salad over this unplugging incident

02:00:10   that I would never do.

02:00:12   So finally, I pull in, I get my spot, I start.

02:00:16   Of course, the dudes immediately go diagonally

02:00:19   parked next to Salad and take her cable.

02:00:21   I'm like, if you don't, fine.

02:00:22   But you're plugged in, we got out,

02:00:24   the dudes get over there.

02:00:25   And of course, Tiff was like, the way the dudes

02:00:29   use their car was the car version of manspreading.

02:00:33   Like, they opened, they parked next to Salad diagonally,

02:00:36   and they opened up every door and the trunk,

02:00:39   and the car was just like spread out across the whole,

02:00:42   and we're like, of course these dudes.

02:00:45   But anyway, so we get out and we're like, this is perfect.

02:00:51   Now, when Salad comes back, she can deal with these dudes

02:00:54   who actually did it.

02:00:55   We are outta here.

02:00:58   So we go do some shopping ourselves.

02:01:01   - Wait, you went to do some shopping?

02:01:02   I would be in that car waiting for Salad to come back.

02:01:04   There's no way I'd wanna miss that.

02:01:05   - Yeah, I would wanna watch, absolutely.

02:01:07   I want the, I'm so conflict avoided.

02:01:09   I'm like, I don't even wanna see this.

02:01:11   I don't want any part of this.

02:01:12   - You could get splash damage from the conflict though.

02:01:16   Get to defend your car.

02:01:18   - So anyway, we're shopping.

02:01:20   The charge is going actually impressively fast.

02:01:22   That time it went to 150 kilowatts.

02:01:23   Like, all right, that's good.

02:01:25   And then I get a notice as I am shopping

02:01:29   that charging has stopped on my car at about 82%.

02:01:34   - Oh, well that's not so bad.

02:01:35   - I'm like, well, I mean, I need it.

02:01:37   I was hoping to get until like 85, 90, but okay.

02:01:40   That's weird though.

02:01:41   Why did the charger stop charging my car?

02:01:43   And the app just said like waiting on charger or something.

02:01:46   I'm like, I bet they tried to unplug me.

02:01:49   - Does the Rivian lock in?

02:01:50   - It sure does.

02:01:52   But if you push the release button

02:01:55   on Electrify America charger, it stops charging.

02:01:58   So you are able to stop someone's charge,

02:02:01   but if their cable's locked in, you just can't take it.

02:02:04   So you've just now stopped it for no reason

02:02:06   and then you're just wasting time.

02:02:08   So, (laughs)

02:02:10   so sure enough, I go back to the car.

02:02:13   Those dudes have since left.

02:02:15   Now there are two new vehicles waiting.

02:02:20   One of them is of course a giant truck

02:02:23   with a guy who is exactly what you'd expect

02:02:25   the kind of guy to be driving a giant truck.

02:02:28   And the other one is just some other dude.

02:02:29   And you could tell they are having a heated discussion,

02:02:33   possibly over who goes next.

02:02:36   And I walk up and Tiff and I get in the car

02:02:39   and I unplug my charger and we just get

02:02:43   the hell out of there.

02:02:44   I said nothing, I didn't look at them.

02:02:47   I said nothing to them.

02:02:48   I'm just like, you know what?

02:02:49   Screw these guys.

02:02:50   They can fight it out themselves.

02:02:52   I am getting the hell out of here.

02:02:54   We went to the next charger down the road to top off.

02:02:58   And it was one of those that's a combo supercharger

02:03:02   and Electrify America in the same parking lot.

02:03:04   And there were 12 chargers.

02:03:07   Four were occupied.

02:03:09   There was a family playing catch in a field next to them.

02:03:13   It was like an oasis of peace.

02:03:15   (both laughing)

02:03:18   Anyway, that's all that is to say.

02:03:20   The Electrify America charging experience

02:03:23   is really I think degrading quite a lot

02:03:28   to the point where even as my car is breaking,

02:03:32   oh and I did have to reboot it two more times

02:03:34   at different chargers on the trip.

02:03:35   Even as my car is weirdly breaking

02:03:38   and I have to maybe get it serviced.

02:03:39   - Maybe get it serviced?

02:03:41   You have to get it serviced.

02:03:42   I hope it's already in the shop.

02:03:43   - Yes, seriously. - Well, it's not yet.

02:03:44   I have to schedule it now.

02:03:45   But I've been traveling until yesterday.

02:03:48   So it's been an ordeal.

02:03:51   But I will never buy any EV for the foreseeable future

02:03:57   that cannot at least also use Tesla's superchargers.

02:04:02   There's so many great options on the market right now

02:04:05   that only have CCS plugs for the next year

02:04:07   or two or three maybe.

02:04:08   And then they'll convert to NACS.

02:04:11   There are certain brands that have deals with Tesla

02:04:13   or can use adapters.

02:04:15   I will not buy any other EV.

02:04:17   And I cannot recommend that anybody else buy any EV

02:04:22   that cannot somehow either natively or through an adapter

02:04:25   use Tesla superchargers in the US.

02:04:28   Because the rest of the charging scene

02:04:30   is getting bad very quickly.

02:04:32   It's only going to keep getting bad.

02:04:34   And what if you were in a situation

02:04:36   where you have to stand up for yourself in a charger

02:04:39   and say you're a woman.

02:04:41   And the other people at charger

02:04:42   are aggressive seeming dudes.

02:04:44   This could be really bad.

02:04:45   This could cause bad situations for sure.

02:04:48   Again, I have had only positive experiences

02:04:52   with Tesla superchargers.

02:04:54   And I have had so far only quite negative experiences

02:04:58   with Electrify America and other CCS chargers.

02:05:01   And so I gotta say, use Tesla chargers whenever you can

02:05:05   people out there with EVs.

02:05:06   And do not buy any more EVs that can't use them.

02:05:10   - I hope this whole experience has made you more prepared

02:05:12   for the coming water wars.

02:05:14   - Oh God.

02:05:15   - I'm sorry, what?

02:05:16   - Climate change, you know, water wars.

02:05:18   Come on, keep up, science fiction.

02:05:20   But not really science fiction.

02:05:21   Now it's science fact.

02:05:22   Yeah, resource scarcity.

02:05:24   Brings out the best in everyone, said no one ever.

02:05:26   (door slams)