14: Pouring Champagne Onto Rap Stars
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my mind defaulters not to accept an invitation to anything social so that
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serves me well to receive pay so you had an interesting week a bit anything
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where's your car that's the interesting part I don't have my beginning tomorrow
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or the next day or maybe maybe this weekend you know it's it's the same the
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same BS so it's interested so yeah anything else happen
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yeah I guess tumblr sold so you here so I hear ya any thoughts on that
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me know I don't want to rehash my blog post too much but I mean what do you
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wanna know I don't know where should I even begin there there's a lot there's a
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lot to cover there there's there is practical aspects of who they're selling
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to what what there may be doing what they might have sold why this is good or
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bad what this means for tumblr what this means for me what this means for you
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what this means for the animated GIF format there's there's so many things
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that they began about how you start extremely selfishly myopic Lee and you
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can blame me for this when you get a lot of flak for it and then will migrate our
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way out to whether this is a good fit but for the two companies that's unfair
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that works so you've bought how many opps how many cattle how many
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helicopters and I do believe I speak for John and asking when is his Ferrari
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arriving in one is my Aston arriving
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well first of all I should also mention the other awesome thing that happened
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this past week and that is that my wife and I visited the Syracuse's at their
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house under that tree in part to the jury though I want him off
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know we visited the house I stood under the tree and I managed to the head I
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managed to stay conscious and and and dodge although the phone acorns however
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I did witness the destruction that they have caused on these cars and and I do
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agree with John that if he's going to park a car in his driveway it would it
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would be a shame if it was a really awesome car getting all those dance
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however I will also say that
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one block away from John I passed a brand new black f10 m5 parked on the
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street that's where your car is
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yeah right exactly and and there are there were lots of nice cars in John's
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vicinity that were parked on the street and so I think maybe street parking
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might be good enough
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well you can like that for half the year you can park in the winter cuz they plow
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they don't allow it or you shouldn't notice to you can't tonight allowed
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overnight anyway
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ok yeah how many are there in the winter
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yeah you know something in my garage but it's a small garage I could wedge car
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and therefore need to think the same about the scars how to both covered with
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dance for the most part all those dance for created like early on before I got
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wise to you know what was going on certainly the ones of the Civic were all
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made before I realized what was happening because they just notice it
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then they accord it's like well tried to minimize it didn't care that much of a
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fancy car I would park on the street all time are talking into the garage in both
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places it would be totally safe for the garage will be tough because you can't
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put the car into the garage with kids and they can't get out 'cause i cant
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open the doors because the ground is too small so like I said I would need an
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entire new house to go with the new car maybe like one of those things like the
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apartments in hong kong something ready cargo not an elevator and then you can
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look at it all day behind a glass wall yeah so the visit was good though I am
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very jealous you and I had briefly colluded and I had thought about perhaps
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crashing your visit but as it turns out I had a very busy week of going to prom
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amongst other things and your weekend going to prom amongst other things and
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that's not a joke and it's a story that I'm not gonna bother telling but I was
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very disappointed that we couldn't that Aaron and I couldn't join you guys I
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would've been really awesome but there was a good visit the original plan was
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that would drive my new car there
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and I'll be fun new car didn't didn't get here in time so and we were we were
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going to messages for other reasons so so we figured but still visit the
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Syracuse's even though I had my old slow car and the driver crappy BMW
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practically terrible first world problems we should probably move so
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let's talk about how your filthy stinking rich in never have to worry
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about money except do it's not quite that simple there was a so there's
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there's two things on this topic but they were really good here up in here
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this is the link to one of them in the shower put the show notes by Dave Winer
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from back in the year 2000 back when all the planes are supposed to fall out of
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the sky and that one guy got a really overdo blockbuster bill accidentally so
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in the year 2000 he is basically an article about you know theoretically
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thinking about how much money do you need to be set and be fine and be secure
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and then how happy with the actually make you in practice and even number of
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good points like you know if you if you don't spend your money totally
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irresponsible if you only buy things that you actually use so that rules out
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things like you know fifteen different cars cars like only buy things you're
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going to use and you know don't be totally crazy about it like how much
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money do you really need before you can just live off the interest and you know
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be be fairly secure and his point is that it's probably lower than you think
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once you start realizing like well if you exclude things that you don't really
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ever use then then you know it's not that much of the things that you won't
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use but the point is the whole point being rich one of one of his point was
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hilariously true and and and I might need to think about it at some point he
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said that we get more practical buying things like second houses third cars
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vacation homes big things that I wonder if most people would be comfortable
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actually maintaining three cars have to be registered three times a year
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your second home needs to be furnished to maintain even when you're not there
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you say you can hire people to do these things for you then you to spend to time
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in your life dealing with employees is this happiness it might not be as happy
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as you think and you go so true it's like I just sold my fun car because I
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didn't like having multiple cars like it was so inconvenient in so many ways that
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I I'd rather just get one great car instead of having one decent car and one
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fun car rather have one bigger fun car and just combine the roles and that's
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that's that's what he's saying here is like you know if you if you start
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limiting yourself to like only things you actually would feel comfortable
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maintaining without being too much of a pain in the butt then then then a you
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don't need as much money as you think to reach that point and be money won't make
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you happy
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by itself the chatroom got into the same thing I was thinking like you have to
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break through that barrier so he could hire people to deal with the people that
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you hired him in danger of their homes like that's that's the break through
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barriers being rich rich is like no I don't want to deal with it the second
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house and worrying about it hired dealing with employees you have to get
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all way through to the point where you can hire people to deal with people did
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you hire and then you just have to hire like maybe two or three good people and
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you're all set and so having to deal with like incrementally as you buy more
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things having to hire more people to deal but i think thats like that's a
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whole other level like the same reason why I like you know there's this ancient
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John Stauffer article that talks about enterprise software pricing and how
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they're there's there's very little software price between $1,000 and
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$15,000 because once you cross over that threshold of $1,000.00 so you need to
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start sending sales people out to businesses and everything in your costs
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go up tremendously by having overhead of committing the business and its ok to
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spend this kind of money is a need to raise your prices like this big price
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gap I feel like there's a big like you know rich person management alike if you
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where you can't like it would suck to hire like a person to manage your
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vacation house for you and in my opinion also sucks to maintain a vacation house
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like my in-laws have always had like there
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r their regular house in their vacation house and my mom has has she said the
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same setup now she's back to one house but maintaining two houses really does
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suck like my my mom and my endless day they like doing it so that was fine and
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you know they that was fine for them maybe it's fine for Merlin but I think
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like the idea of maintaining multiple houses like it's the same reason why
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didn't want to cause any more like I just I hate all that crap and and you're
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right yeah I guess I guess like the super rich will then have have tears of
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people that are maintaining but that's really expensive and so you have to have
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to be like
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substantially wrecked it even manage that and be even if I got that kind of
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money I don't think I feel good about spending it like that you know that if I
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were talking you know once once the rumors are flying about the number thing
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on I think it was Friday night when they first came out we start talking like ok
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what if this is really you know what will we do if we if we get a chunk of
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money from this and we we both know we're talking through really no I don't
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think we really gonna buy anything immediately and I don't think we're
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gonna make any substantial changes in our life like it and didn't tell her
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about the pci-express SSD I guess I I told her it installed for you guys this
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is this is how much I like you guys it's installed in my computer right now and
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I'm not using it because the transfer would have taken too long and I would
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have run over into the show ya so this move your email and try to copy all your
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data at the same time the email is a separate issue I was actually deleting
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80,000 notification emails from PayPal from various Instapaper subscription
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things over the years cuz everytime people as anything the email you even if
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it's something like that we're like an API will be a lot better
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nope nope somebody has to get an email so people are so so bad please I i
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prayed to the gods of programming out there don't let anybody ever used PayPal
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again by the way this is a topic we talk about when its launch but
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this Jolla square cash thing looks really interesting you see this thing
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that your iPad goes into to make a point of sale
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know that that's something that's the register this is square is apparently
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beta testing or by by invitation only testing a service where you can send
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anybody what appears to be an ACH payment for $0.25 no matter what the
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amount of the payment is to an email address and email address and they log
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in and they they claim that the deposit in the bank and now you're Philadelphia
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$0.25 yeah now so and if true that would that would make it substantially cheaper
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than almost any other easy way to send amounts of money larger than a few
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dollars it's it would be it would be very very nice like three percent or
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2.9% plus $0.30 minimum or something like that ever and as a percentage of
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you send someone ten grand also has ties to be spending right exactly and and so
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like you know if if you know your if your space or buy something for like
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$1000 or $500 or something online and you know if if the vendor or if you are
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you know somebody's eating three percent off that that actually add up to be good
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money and so an end to the most part there really isn't a good way to do big
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transfers like that in the us- and I know the rest of the country for the
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rest of the world has like all these electronic payments in in very common
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usage we really don the USA everything here is backwards and you can you can
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help somebody a paper check which I don't even know if people in the world
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even know what we mean by that you would spell it with a qu at the end and it's
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it's like I feel like the rest of the world looks at the way we deal with
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money in the USA with transferring money the same really we look at our parents
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of all they ever use of those vacuum tube things they never used ATMs you
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know like it too so backwards anyway but I forgot I lost track so you did not
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know in advance you were not briefed that's correct and so so i cant actually
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this is not for the show's just for me what happens when you're sitting at home
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on a Friday night you see holy cow
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God the company that I have at least a shred of interest and is going to sell
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four billion dollars I think how do you react to that
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well I was very very cautious in in my emotional responses because it wasn't
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definite
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I I wanted like I didn't hear about it in any kind of official capacity until
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after the press release out on Monday morning so you know I learned in the
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press the same way everyone else learned and not at all no because think about
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Yahoo's a public company so I guess I knew in advance that could cause
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problems with some kind of trading think of it like i dont wanna I don't want to
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deal with that crap you know that's the last thing I do is get into like weird
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financial regulations and put myself at risk or anything you know like so I'm
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very glad that I was I was just as informed as the public on this but I
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didn't want to mentally admit to myself that it was happening until I knew for
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sure that it was happening and I'm still a little bit reserved in my head because
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like the cell hasn't technically closed yet like I don't have the money yet so
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like that that takes weeks or months of various paperwork and everything so i
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don't i don't think I even know when it will close I know it's going to happen
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eventually but you know so I think once once I actually have some kind of
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tremendous bank deposit you know then I'll feel real until it's still kinda
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like now it feels almost real because it's been confirmed but over the weekend
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it was really just like I think this might happen because the reports they
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were from AllThingsD and there were multiple reports and that's that's a
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pretty good sign they're pretty well sourced and also you know and every
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little bit about this in the post from everything I know about David and Tumblr
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the reports sounded extremely plausible it was like OJ Simpson's like if I
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didn't book like lisa has heard about that took me a second to realize what it
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was like like if they were gonna sell it
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this is how it go you know so I so I knew like looking at these reports like
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this looks just looks real and so I I was pretty sure that they were
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definitely negotiating this I but just like everyone else you know it was
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hinged upon the Yahoo board approving it and then I didn't know it was going to
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approve it
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United know what's going on so so I believed hundred-percent that there were
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talks but I did not know whether whether it would result in an actual sale or not
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you know cause I mean when you have a company that size is always talks has
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talked all the time with people right now you didn't immediately start making
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a list of where you're going to buy a second garage and what caused you can
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fill it with or not it's a thing like this great day one article I i dont
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really wanna make any changes like that in my life because you know I i've kind
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of been lucky in in when I've made money in my life that if I can say that
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without sounding too much like an arrogant
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you know I started out from a pretty modest background and so I always I
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always had a pretty good sense of money I always had to work for my money i we
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had to save my own money you know I was bought my own stuff with my money so
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that's why I have like my side of things like reviewing the best like trying to
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find the best headphones try to find the best light bulbs like that's that's
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where that comes from in me it that that's that's the part my personality
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comes from is like trying to try to get a goodbye try not to like waste money
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unnecessarily stuff like that so it helped that then in a way with
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Instapaper and for a while having two incomes and wisdom I was doing in this
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paper and homework the same time I started getting some extra money and
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because it happened gradually and because I had come up from that
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background I was never like blowing money wastefully I was never like you
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know I don't think I mean least excessively is never late being totally
[TS]
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responsible about it and so now that I have more than that
[TS]
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that I will eventually have more than that I'm kind of glad that I had this
[TS]
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intermediate steps because you see like when people when people win the lottery
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and you use it like working class people who have never had access money in their
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lives they win the lottery and parliament has an issue this week they
[TS]
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win the lottery and then like like like statistically so many of them are
[TS]
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actually not very well off like a year to lean more like not very happy if they
[TS]
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have problems you know there's so many ways like I think no matter who matter
[TS]
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whatever and making my life no matter how much money I have or make in the
[TS]
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future I don't want to do things like have had a iPhone and iPhone you know
[TS]
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and by the way I should point I got a really nice email from Dave Morgan he
[TS]
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did you yeah he's here you know the more I never met the guy but but I've emailed
[TS]
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him a few times I really do think he's a decent person who just got caught with a
[TS]
00:18:27
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terrible interview like you get you know hehe I i dont wanna say what he said i
[TS]
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think is private but it sound like he was definitely like a victim of of a
[TS]
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sensational editor and writer that like almost everything he said there was
[TS]
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probably taken out of context and and so he's he's not as bad as it sounds but
[TS]
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anyway so you know there's things like that and I think are are just
[TS]
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unnecessary and wasteful and no matter how much I have or don't have always
[TS]
00:19:02
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think that and so I already have most of what I want because most of what I want
[TS]
00:19:08
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is affordable and have been able to afford it so I don't really like I don't
[TS]
00:19:13
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this is why this is not really going to change like I'm really happy that we
[TS]
00:19:18
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bought our house back when I was working at tumblr so just on a it was a good job
[TS]
00:19:24
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it was still a regular salary job so we bought a mid-price house for our area
[TS]
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and we didn't go crazy we didn't spend like millions of dollars on some giant
[TS]
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mansion
[TS]
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and I feel like if I didn't yet own a house and I suddenly came into a big
[TS]
00:19:41
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lump sum of money I might be tempted to spend a big chunk of the house and now
[TS]
00:19:46
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that temptation is gone because we already bought a house we are to have
[TS]
00:19:49
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this house and moved the concept of the idea of moving is so unappealing to me
[TS]
00:19:55
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that you know it doesn't really matter that we matter if we come into big sums
[TS]
00:20:03
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of money at any point now live from this point forward we have a house we want
[TS]
00:20:07
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for the foreseeable future and so I don't need to I don't need to blow all
[TS]
00:20:13
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the money on on a big house or something like that you know it's interesting to
[TS]
00:20:18
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me that dear friend of the show david smith said in the chat and I completely
[TS]
00:20:23
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agree with him independence is the vert virtue I value most some of which money
[TS]
00:20:27
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can buy but moreover is about how you make choices and I think that's very
[TS]
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true and I would I would build onto onto that that everything is relative and so
[TS]
00:20:36
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I think to Miami I make a decent living we're very comfortable and I think
[TS]
00:20:41
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myself man it would be pretty cool to be able to go and just buy or lease
[TS]
00:20:45
◼
►
whatever brand new m5 I think that beat it's arguably within reach maybe but
[TS]
00:20:51
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it's it's still a stretch if not a little bit outside of the edge of my arm
[TS]
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that makes any sense
[TS]
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similarly I'm sure there are people that would say man I would love to have a
[TS]
00:21:01
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lightly used three series and then there are people that would say man I would
[TS]
00:21:05
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love to have a lightly used accord were or whatever in and I'm not trying to say
[TS]
00:21:10
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that that that we are ranked in any sort of way financially it's just that
[TS]
00:21:15
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everything is relative and everything is a choice and I think I speak for both of
[TS]
00:21:21
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you guys I feel like I know both you pretty darn well that we make choices
[TS]
00:21:24
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about how we want to spend our money in such a way that we are not really
[TS]
00:21:28
◼
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longing for more of course everyone always wants more money but it's not the
[TS]
00:21:33
◼
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sort of thing where our lives would be demonstrably different if any one of us
[TS]
00:21:38
◼
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had say double the salary that we have today on John doesn't make sense to you
[TS]
00:21:42
◼
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would you agree with any of my crazy might be different but not
[TS]
00:21:45
◼
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many important way beyond important way is still be cool he would absolutely be
[TS]
00:21:51
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cool like I think I always feel like I would be excellent rich person I will
[TS]
00:21:59
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►
never actually be a rich person that that's just like those stories of people
[TS]
00:22:05
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who win the lottery and do foolish things money or like recording artist
[TS]
00:22:08
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Sibylle or the money just like man like you know the money was wasted on them
[TS]
00:22:13
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because they had no idea what they're doing and just you know and I don't know
[TS]
00:22:17
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what it is I don't know how it is any connection at all between the people who
[TS]
00:22:22
◼
►
end up getting rich and and are smarter than many of the people I think maybe
[TS]
00:22:25
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the only thing that I could come up with is that you mostly hear about the people
[TS]
00:22:29
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who get a lot of money and screw it up there is tons and tons of people get a
[TS]
00:22:33
◼
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lot of money and don't screw it up and it's boring so you don't hear stories
[TS]
00:22:37
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about them so you know they just have a nice life and live within their newly
[TS]
00:22:42
◼
►
expanded means perfectly fine and and that's boring and you'll hear about
[TS]
00:22:46
◼
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their do you know the person who gets old but I you know that's and I don't
[TS]
00:22:53
◼
►
know if there's anything you do it like that the market is that it's nice to get
[TS]
00:22:55
◼
►
money gradually learn to deal with it I don't think if you got it all of a
[TS]
00:22:59
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sudden you you would have blunted anyway like I think it's just a personality
[TS]
00:23:02
◼
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type thing where you know I'm no amount of training with gradual because what
[TS]
00:23:07
◼
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you see with the gradual ramp-up of money and I'm sure we've all seen this
[TS]
00:23:09
◼
►
is it you know someone graduates college or something and I start their first job
[TS]
00:23:13
◼
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and they get like a low salary and they get an apartment to keep getting raises
[TS]
00:23:16
◼
►
a nicer apartment and they get married and get a better job of two incomes and
[TS]
00:23:20
◼
►
buy a house in like that can just continue to creep creep up where people
[TS]
00:23:24
◼
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every time that people get a little more disposable income like oh wow we can
[TS]
00:23:27
◼
►
afford a better house you can afford a better over now we can afford a better
[TS]
00:23:30
◼
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this and they just there never are content to live within their means need
[TS]
00:23:34
◼
►
to chase their income to the point where they're like boy I need to be making
[TS]
00:23:40
◼
►
three hundred grand a year just to maintain my lifestyle and my wife needs
[TS]
00:23:43
◼
►
to also make 300 grandkids now our lifestyle requires six hundred grand a
[TS]
00:23:47
◼
►
year just to get by just to pay for all the cars and houses and private schools
[TS]
00:23:51
◼
►
and fancy clothes and vacations that we're now accustomed to and
[TS]
00:23:55
◼
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a decrease in my income is now a sacrifice my lifestyle and that that's
[TS]
00:23:59
◼
►
the the the the travels of gradually rushing things if you're not smart about
[TS]
00:24:03
◼
►
your money is that you just constantly as soon as you get some more disposable
[TS]
00:24:07
◼
►
income you want to upgrade everything in your life so that's likely more
[TS]
00:24:11
◼
►
insidious version of the OS gonna blow it all on you know fast cars and women
[TS]
00:24:15
◼
►
can be broken and I know I definitely know people like that who they're living
[TS]
00:24:22
◼
►
within their means but always just and that is a foolish may have pushed me to
[TS]
00:24:26
◼
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live I mean I can also play with me like I also have I guess some personal traits
[TS]
00:24:33
◼
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that they keep this in check like one of them is that I hate any kind of debt I
[TS]
00:24:37
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really I I prefer to not have any debt if I can and fortunately for most of my
[TS]
00:24:43
◼
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life have been able to maintain that that's not entirely sure I had a car
[TS]
00:24:48
◼
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payment back anyway
[TS]
00:24:49
◼
►
tax shelter for your mortgage interest to keep that one right and but also you
[TS]
00:24:56
◼
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know I have a pretty boring life style by most people's measurements you know
[TS]
00:25:00
◼
►
what I don't go out and party I'm not gonna be buying $1,000 bottle of
[TS]
00:25:05
◼
►
champagne to pour onto rap stars or anything I i dont know im still like no
[TS]
00:25:12
◼
►
matter how much money I ever have and probably always going to wear jeans and
[TS]
00:25:16
◼
►
a t-shirt most days like you look at Steve Jobs the way he lived he had a
[TS]
00:25:23
◼
►
ridiculous car that he got a new one every few months we would have to have a
[TS]
00:25:26
◼
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license plate but he lives in a pretty normal house like it was a nice house
[TS]
00:25:33
◼
►
but it wasn't like some kind of tremendous state you know with horses
[TS]
00:25:36
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and tennis courts and he was like a regular house in a neighborhood he wore
[TS]
00:25:40
◼
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regular clothes he wore regular shoes you know he had nice computers but
[TS]
00:25:45
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that's understandable and it's also not that much money relatively speaking
[TS]
00:25:50
◼
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you know I feel like I feel like it in in the way that that John you say you'd
[TS]
00:25:56
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be a really good rich person I think I'd be pretty terrible one because
[TS]
00:26:00
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I don't do any of those things that you think of as rich people doing and I have
[TS]
00:26:06
◼
►
no desire to like I don't intend to join a country club I thought I would I would
[TS]
00:26:12
◼
►
have to kick my own but if i dont a country club I don't intend to like even
[TS]
00:26:18
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golf which have actually enjoys got quite a bit but I don't I don't intend
[TS]
00:26:26
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to do that myself like the idea of even like her like I i don't want to do
[TS]
00:26:35
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anything that would cause the rest of my working-class family to think I'm a dick
[TS]
00:26:40
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you know that makes sense like that's the the sensibilities of regular people
[TS]
00:26:46
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have been so bad into my personality that I never even I have the ability to
[TS]
00:26:51
◼
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blow any amount of money on some particular thing I don't want to do it
[TS]
00:26:57
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cuz i dont want I want to do it myself i dont wanna know that I did that and I
[TS]
00:27:01
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don't want my family to find out here in the thing that struck me was I i dont
[TS]
00:27:09
◼
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number what day it was but I noticed either Friday or over the weekend or
[TS]
00:27:13
◼
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maybe it was Monday night one of you guys are you hurt if posted a picture
[TS]
00:27:18
◼
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from the restaurant that the four of us have been to a couple times that's right
[TS]
00:27:24
◼
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near you and I thought to myself you know if I had had some amount of
[TS]
00:27:28
◼
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windfall be that a thousand bucks 10,000 bucks whatever doesn't matter but some
[TS]
00:27:33
◼
►
amount of windfall I think what area and I would probably do is go to a nicer
[TS]
00:27:37
◼
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dinner you a nice city or something like that
[TS]
00:27:39
◼
►
not something absurd not thousand dollar bottles of wine or whatever or champagne
[TS]
00:27:43
◼
►
or whatever what have you got a nice dinner and here it is that you guys have
[TS]
00:27:49
◼
►
ostensibly just earned a significant amount of money granted it's not there
[TS]
00:27:55
◼
►
yet but in principle you've earned a significant amount of money and here it
[TS]
00:27:58
◼
►
is you went to the same restaurant that the four of us have gone to I think
[TS]
00:28:02
◼
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every time if not every time we visited you then nearly every time and it is not
[TS]
00:28:05
◼
►
a bad restaurant by any stretch but it's an average American restaurant casual
[TS]
00:28:09
◼
►
family pub you know like not on trees like 10 bucks you know it's not yet and
[TS]
00:28:15
◼
►
you know I went there because we have a one-year-old like them at fancy
[TS]
00:28:21
◼
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restaurants we used to go to this place like once a week ever since we had the
[TS]
00:28:24
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kid we now go to like once every five months because I so don't want to be
[TS]
00:28:28
◼
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that guy whose kids are screaming in the restaurant serving on the floor I'm so
[TS]
00:28:32
◼
►
afraid of being that guy that we hardly ever go out to restaurants anymore and
[TS]
00:28:37
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►
that's like that's how I spent that day I didn't shower until right before when
[TS]
00:28:41
◼
►
the restaurant I was in a crappy white t-shirt I swept my patio cuz they were
[TS]
00:28:46
◼
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flowers from a tree all over it like I did I'm a regular person doing regular
[TS]
00:28:51
◼
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things like that my day to day life is not going to change people shower and go
[TS]
00:28:56
◼
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to work in the morning just let it slip that you want to see i've been i've been
[TS]
00:29:03
◼
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showering inappropriately times the day for like a year and a half now
[TS]
00:29:06
◼
►
unemployed people do that too
[TS]
00:29:08
◼
►
why don't you just want to ask you about Yahoo
[TS]
00:29:12
◼
►
our first sponsor this evening like I don't know when you're listening to this
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00:29:17
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but for the live listeners are for sponsor this evening is Squarespace this
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Squarespace is everything you need to create an exceptional website know thank
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00:30:37
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you for sponsoring them sponsors for like the 95th time you imagine how much
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00:30:41
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the podcast Robert sockets Christmas it would suck so hard it would be to turn
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00:30:46
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their seriously supporting like half the podcast industry it's absolutely true
[TS]
00:30:51
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and I don't know how they do it but I'm glad they do and not just for the
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00:30:55
◼
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chauffeur for all the different shows they sponsor so I want to start by
[TS]
00:31:00
◼
►
asking John and I wanna hear Marco you can wrap this up
[TS]
00:31:04
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John what do you think about the idea of Yahoo and Tumblr being one sort of but
[TS]
00:31:11
◼
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not doesn't make sense to you too that is that is that a good marriage if you
[TS]
00:31:15
◼
►
will or does that make no sense it makes sense in a cynical way that these
[TS]
00:31:20
◼
►
acquisitions make sense in the Yahoo is clearly like in turn around I guess
[TS]
00:31:25
◼
►
you'd call it you know the new CEO bold new strategy cut the fat recon straight
[TS]
00:31:31
◼
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on the good things are so it's it's in the mode where it's trying to turn
[TS]
00:31:35
◼
►
itself around and it used to be the hip cool thing but isn't anymore and it
[TS]
00:31:40
◼
►
makes sense that it would be up there shopping for something that is hip and
[TS]
00:31:43
◼
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cool and something that has a lot of users and Tumblr on the other hand it is
[TS]
00:31:47
◼
►
insanely popular tremendous growth but very little but in a way of ways to turn
[TS]
00:31:55
◼
►
all that popularity and money they did what they sell premium themes and some
[TS]
00:31:59
◼
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sort of promoted post stuff like not the type of you know that they have all
[TS]
00:32:03
◼
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these users and they want to monetize them and they haven't quite figured out
[TS]
00:32:06
◼
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how to do it in a way that scales with the size of their business so they're
[TS]
00:32:12
◼
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more than happy to take Yahoo's money and I was more than happy to give it
[TS]
00:32:16
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like what is Yahoo need lots of users and cool and I need money because it has
[TS]
00:32:21
◼
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been how to make enough on its own so in that sense the marriage makes sense but
[TS]
00:32:25
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then when I think about what are we left with is this combination
[TS]
00:32:29
◼
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is gonna help Yahoo as much certainly was gonna help tumbler with money but is
[TS]
00:32:36
◼
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it just like ok well now we have assured that you we can continue to be tumblr to
[TS]
00:32:40
◼
►
be cool but also continue not to make money that's not really a great outcome
[TS]
00:32:44
◼
►
in its kind of neutral her tumblr but not great for Yahoo so I wonder how much
[TS]
00:32:49
◼
►
tumblers really gonna help Yahoo how they gonna they're gonna figure
[TS]
00:32:52
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something out together to become more than they were individually remains to
[TS]
00:32:56
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be seen
[TS]
00:32:58
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I completely agree and I just don't understand how this Billy benefits Yahoo
[TS]
00:33:04
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released in the near term in any way other than hey look that company that
[TS]
00:33:09
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that website that all the kids these days really like yeah that's arms baby
[TS]
00:33:14
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but they get all the users to them like that now all of those users are their
[TS]
00:33:19
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users and you know when you have that number one is maybe Marco knows what is
[TS]
00:33:24
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nice and graphs on how many millions of people on tumblr now it's like its big
[TS]
00:33:29
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number and and so even if those people like well then I like you have access to
[TS]
00:33:36
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them in some way like you have a shot like they're yours their captive and so
[TS]
00:33:40
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if you call for some great new idea for some new property or something really
[TS]
00:33:44
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just want to promote the new Flickr to them or something suddenly you can do
[TS]
00:33:48
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that and you know what the PayPal blur to put like one little hey check on
[TS]
00:33:50
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Flickr thing in the upper right-hand corner that you can just do that really
[TS]
00:33:53
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easily that's a stupid example but like having access to those people psycho it
[TS]
00:33:59
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is a big to try making if Yahoo tried to say we're going to make a new service
[TS]
00:34:02
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and it's going to become a popular stomper good luck with that right but so
[TS]
00:34:05
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just getting time but you get those people so you still have a good time and
[TS]
00:34:08
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money from them not to piss them off and all those other things but at least at
[TS]
00:34:12
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least there there that equals billion dollars I guess yeah and the show David
[TS]
00:34:18
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Spencer said 300 million monthly unique visitors 220,000 sign ups everyday David
[TS]
00:34:23
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Smith is basically a real-time follow whenever you see her naturally but they
[TS]
00:34:28
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agree 13 times the show which is not surprising but I agree
[TS]
00:34:34
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thank you I don't see how Yahoo can really capitalize on having all these
[TS]
00:34:42
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users without taking off all these users in the sense that if I were developed
[TS]
00:34:46
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tumblr users and my blog that I write on once every seven years these days is on
[TS]
00:34:51
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tumblr but that being said if I were fighting really know the backstory and I
[TS]
00:34:56
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just heard in the news Yahoo now on Tumblr and all of a sudden I start
[TS]
00:35:02
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seeing links told his Yahoo properties immediately I'm starting from my hands
[TS]
00:35:05
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in the air and saying how they sold out and now I feel like I'm just another
[TS]
00:35:08
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eyeball to show up to their other properties to do in a crappy think think
[TS]
00:35:13
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of the newly revised Flickr on Flickr was it a much beloved service that
[TS]
00:35:18
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seemed to stagnate and now they revised it is mostly the revisions also getting
[TS]
00:35:21
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a thumbs-up right thing about this right so wouldn't it be great if you could
[TS]
00:35:26
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very easily plus pictures from Flickr to your tumblr does that hurt you as a
[TS]
00:35:31
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tumblr users know now it may be easier for you I suspect maybe you didn't use
[TS]
00:35:34
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Flickr be like oh well since it integrates all of tumblr now may be a
[TS]
00:35:38
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sign up for the Flickr thing and you someday become a Flickr user Flickr does
[TS]
00:35:42
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have a business model maybe perhaps not a great one yourself standing on but it
[TS]
00:35:46
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does have some way to collect money from you and that's kind of you know it's
[TS]
00:35:49
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like a sack type things like how well there was free and integrate well
[TS]
00:35:54
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integrated with tumblr and I'll sign up for it and then you start looking sexy
[TS]
00:35:57
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pretty cool you start using an like you didn't feel like it was shoved in your
[TS]
00:36:01
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face but merely because they're under the same umbrella they can do deep you
[TS]
00:36:05
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know really cool integration that wouldn't be possible through just if
[TS]
00:36:08
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they were just talking to each other in API over the internet as two separate
[TS]
00:36:12
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companies and that's that's one small example but I really I think it is
[TS]
00:36:16
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possible I think Apple stuff is integrated with each other it is
[TS]
00:36:19
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possible to do integration in a way that customer see as friendly and beneficial
[TS]
00:36:23
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and not as shoving each other services in my face and then that makes me wonder
[TS]
00:36:30
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is it really worth a billion dollars for that
[TS]
00:36:33
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potential integration and that potential way of making these eyeballs look in
[TS]
00:36:39
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these other directions and I would guess marcus says yes but super user you know
[TS]
00:36:45
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like you have added up like think carl does it cost of someone share another
[TS]
00:36:49
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cost of acquiring new customers if you do the math Mike how many new potential
[TS]
00:36:53
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customers that just grab under its umbrella how much should I pay for each
[TS]
00:36:57
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of them but I think things are worth what people are willing to pay for them
[TS]
00:37:00
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and so that's just how r capitalism works so someone was going to pay a
[TS]
00:37:06
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billion that it that it is by definition worth a billion you know and it's
[TS]
00:37:12
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certainly I found it refreshing in market promise I'll give you a chance
[TS]
00:37:15
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here in a second but I found it refreshing although odd that their press
[TS]
00:37:18
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release was so self-deprecating as a self-deprecating guy I that made me
[TS]
00:37:24
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happy to see somebody else to talk the way I talk but it was odyssey that a
[TS]
00:37:28
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press release I think the second I tweeted something like the second line
[TS]
00:37:32
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of the official press release this wasn't the thing that that David posted
[TS]
00:37:35
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on tumblr it was the official Yahoo press release the second the
[TS]
00:37:40
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sub-headline was promises not screwed up and I thought that was so remarkable and
[TS]
00:37:45
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it was it was also my thought it was awesome anyway and in that was to me
[TS]
00:37:50
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that was a very good sign that that that they know not to screw in a light on the
[TS]
00:37:57
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other side don't you kind of by definition need to screw it up in order
[TS]
00:38:01
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to get any real tangible value out of it and John I think your point a minute ago
[TS]
00:38:06
◼
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so great counterargument that no maybe if you just do a really good and sought
[TS]
00:38:11
◼
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all job of integrating with your existing properties maybe you don't need
[TS]
00:38:14
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to screw it up in order to get your money's worth
[TS]
00:38:16
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but it's it's a maybe I'm just not imaginative but it's a very big leap for
[TS]
00:38:21
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me to see how you can really get a billion dollars worth out of just
[TS]
00:38:27
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integrating with liquor and I know that was a silly example but you did it
[TS]
00:38:31
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doesn't make sense
[TS]
00:38:31
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tumblr tumblr is a little bit of a puzzle because tumblr had a long time on
[TS]
00:38:36
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its own
[TS]
00:38:36
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during which it cannot figure out how to get its money's worth out of its
[TS]
00:38:42
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tremendous number of users I don't think that Twitter has the same type of
[TS]
00:38:46
◼
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situation you're not going to get money out of them but like they like you feel
[TS]
00:38:50
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like you should be getting Facebook's size and money out of a facebook size
[TS]
00:38:55
◼
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number of users Facebook as well over 200 million never been a bit like they
[TS]
00:39:00
◼
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got enough surely enough money to keep themselves going and everything happens
[TS]
00:39:04
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just like man just just just so many people like how do we how do we get the
[TS]
00:39:08
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money that we know is there like these people like our product they using it
[TS]
00:39:11
◼
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but probably not willing to pay more than likely just gotta be something
[TS]
00:39:14
◼
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locked up in there and and just didn't feel like company ever figured out how
[TS]
00:39:17
◼
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to get the amount of money that thought it should get out of there maybe Yahoo
[TS]
00:39:21
◼
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doesn't need that kind of money out of these users because it uses themselves
[TS]
00:39:25
◼
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just having them happy and using this something that that Yahoo owns is in
[TS]
00:39:30
◼
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worthwhile so they don't need to get more money out of it but I don't think
[TS]
00:39:34
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you can just suddenly turn on the money for Citroen Tumblr and say now we just
[TS]
00:39:39
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believe these people drive because that will that will go running away and
[TS]
00:39:42
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you're never you're never gonna get that kind of money under these people that
[TS]
00:39:47
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did you think you should just because someone else but not gonna pay to use
[TS]
00:39:51
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Tumblr not that many of its Marco and let us havin what do you think well I
[TS]
00:39:58
◼
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should preface this first of all with a tremendous disclaimer that I don't have
[TS]
00:40:04
◼
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any inside information here really I love Tumblr in 2010 even then I hadn't
[TS]
00:40:12
◼
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gone to the board meetings in years I really wasn't that familiar with the
[TS]
00:40:15
◼
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finances the company or even the girls at that point I was focused entirely on
[TS]
00:40:19
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just my job because service stuff but certainly since 1955 had minimal contact
[TS]
00:40:27
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with them I see the people they're here in there socially but we don't talk
[TS]
00:40:31
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business and I'm usually used her that much since then because I what I want to
[TS]
00:40:38
◼
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write my own BlogEngine and support that so anyway I should preface this by
[TS]
00:40:41
◼
►
saying that this is not based on any kind of inside information about the
[TS]
00:40:44
◼
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company and I'm still a bit nervous to even comment on this but I'll do my best
[TS]
00:40:50
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to give you some kind of content without getting myself into any kind of trouble
[TS]
00:40:55
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I think in in very general terms I think that Yahoo has a lot of money but they
[TS]
00:41:04
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don't have a lot of relevance and tumblr has a lot of relevance and they don't
[TS]
00:41:08
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have a lot of money and so i i think it if you look at the dollar value for a
[TS]
00:41:17
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while because I don't think the dollar value matters that much for looking at
[TS]
00:41:22
◼
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why these companies benefit from each other I think tumblr first of all the
[TS]
00:41:31
◼
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discussions on whether Yahoo's gonna screw it up I think you to consider
[TS]
00:41:38
◼
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first of all that the alternative is not tumblr adjusting as it exists now
[TS]
00:41:43
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forever
[TS]
00:41:44
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►
alternative would be tumblr securing it up or Tumblr not screwing it up and so
[TS]
00:41:49
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you can look at some of my Twitter where twitter twitter had a similar growth
[TS]
00:41:54
◼
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patterns tumblr about a year and a half before it and rather than get acquired
[TS]
00:42:00
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and some kind of massive mega-deal like this twitter has has led to just keep
[TS]
00:42:05
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going independently and and you know try to make a profit reliably and and and
[TS]
00:42:11
◼
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you know maybe eventually have an IPO who knows but you can look at what
[TS]
00:42:16
◼
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winners had to do to pull that off and it's really angered a lot of people
[TS]
00:42:20
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included so you have to consider also you know what of tumblr didn't get
[TS]
00:42:27
◼
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acquired right now what would the next few years of tumblr look like and the
[TS]
00:42:34
◼
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company was growing so quickly and as a result of course I'm sure again this is
[TS]
00:42:39
◼
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not based on inside information I i assume their costs were growing a lot
[TS]
00:42:44
◼
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too and the problem is right now Facebook's IPO was a huge disappointment
[TS]
00:42:52
◼
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before that Zynga's IPO was a huge disappointment and a huge
[TS]
00:42:59
◼
►
disappointments
[TS]
00:43:00
◼
►
big consumer web tech companies having IPOs have not done very well recently
[TS]
00:43:06
◼
►
and so when your company gets really really big to the point where almost
[TS]
00:43:11
◼
►
nobody can afford to buy you any more like Twitter is a great example when you
[TS]
00:43:17
◼
►
think about what they have to do you know if if they have to keep raising
[TS]
00:43:22
◼
►
money from investors those investors going to start thinking about what's the
[TS]
00:43:24
◼
►
exit plan here you know how we ever gonna get this
[TS]
00:43:27
◼
►
get a good return on this money you know if we're gonna be dropping you know
[TS]
00:43:31
◼
►
hundreds of millions of dollars into your company if the IPO market isn't
[TS]
00:43:35
◼
►
very good you know if if our out if are possible outcome is what happened to
[TS]
00:43:39
◼
►
Facebook with their crappy botched IPO than you know that's not very good for
[TS]
00:43:45
◼
►
the investor so I think it's probably hard to raise money when you're that big
[TS]
00:43:50
◼
►
of a company I kind of reasonable terms and that's why I think we see what
[TS]
00:43:55
◼
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Twitter's been doing this past year to is trying to make a lot of money as
[TS]
00:44:01
◼
►
quickly as they possibly can so again this is not based on inside information
[TS]
00:44:06
◼
►
the speculation but I think it's probably worth considering whether
[TS]
00:44:12
◼
►
tumblr would have reached that point and if so when
[TS]
00:44:15
◼
►
and now that Yahoo has bought it if they were gonna be anywhere near that point
[TS]
00:44:22
◼
►
they probably wouldn't be any more or at least the pressure will be significantly
[TS]
00:44:26
◼
►
reduced in the times gonna be more flexible not to say that Yahoo has
[TS]
00:44:30
◼
►
bottomless pockets but you know Yahoo can afford for this unit of their
[TS]
00:44:36
◼
►
business to lose money for a few quarters are for a few years before it
[TS]
00:44:40
◼
►
starts making money or as an independent company can't really do that very well
[TS]
00:44:44
◼
►
you can but then I mess up your finances and so this is not a great time to be a
[TS]
00:44:51
◼
►
company like Twitter where the hope of an IPO making a big is pretty low and
[TS]
00:44:58
◼
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you're so big nobody can by you and you can only raise money on good terms
[TS]
00:45:02
◼
►
anymore so that's why Twitter kinda had to do what it did to be bought and I
[TS]
00:45:10
◼
►
didn't want to be but most people could afford
[TS]
00:45:13
◼
►
you know most most people who were likely to want to buy Twitter whenever
[TS]
00:45:17
◼
►
really hard time justifying a kind of purchase and Twitter doesn't want to be
[TS]
00:45:21
◼
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like you said that was a decision so that's different than not being able to
[TS]
00:45:25
◼
►
like me on facebook the same thing face because the classic example where we got
[TS]
00:45:28
◼
►
who's speaking of wanted to buy facebook four tons of money at various points and
[TS]
00:45:34
◼
►
taste said no and that was you know that was his call and it seemed at the time
[TS]
00:45:39
◼
►
but now Facebook is much bigger than they were then and you know worked out
[TS]
00:45:43
◼
►
for him
[TS]
00:45:44
◼
►
Twitter seem to follow the same playbook people wanted to buy them they said no
[TS]
00:45:47
◼
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we want to go to longer going to be the next Facebook and now we're waiting to
[TS]
00:45:50
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►
see if that's the case so yes i know im so I think you can make a pretty good
[TS]
00:45:56
◼
►
case for why tumblr benefits from Yahoo because there's this whole set of
[TS]
00:46:04
◼
►
massive financial pressures that not to say that that all pressure off them but
[TS]
00:46:11
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►
now they have a lot more flexibility in that presumably and plus a look at what
[TS]
00:46:18
◼
►
you what tumblr has tumblr has like you know all these users and all his
[TS]
00:46:23
◼
►
relevance on these cool people in all this hip content being created all this
[TS]
00:46:27
◼
►
engagement and they don't really have much of an ad sales force yet as Yahoo
[TS]
00:46:33
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►
has a massive ad sales force and they're desperate for use of engagement so again
[TS]
00:46:37
◼
►
I think it makes a lot of sense why do companies go together and you look at it
[TS]
00:46:42
◼
►
from Yahoo's point of view and as an outsider a look at Yahoo and think
[TS]
00:46:46
◼
►
here's a company that nobody pays attention to any more and I think on
[TS]
00:46:50
◼
►
their news call this said that their average demographic is is getting older
[TS]
00:46:53
◼
►
and that's not good form for money so like you see this company kinda losing
[TS]
00:46:59
◼
►
relevance and and just like if Yahoo News Service
[TS]
00:47:05
◼
►
even talked about it nobody blogs about it and none of the geeks like us even
[TS]
00:47:09
◼
►
try it and so they they have to make drastic moves to get more relevance and
[TS]
00:47:17
◼
►
to get back on track
[TS]
00:47:18
◼
►
they also need the social network they did you know that Google has Google+
[TS]
00:47:22
◼
►
which might or might not be actually used but they at least have it they have
[TS]
00:47:26
◼
►
database table somewhere with a lot of ideas and that's why they call
[TS]
00:47:29
◼
►
themselves users Facebook has itself having social really Xbox Live ok that's
[TS]
00:47:39
◼
►
something that's sort of sort of a few pieces here and there but Xbox Live is
[TS]
00:47:45
◼
►
not a piece that's full-fledged social but yeah a little bit I don't know why I
[TS]
00:47:49
◼
►
think it's a little bit different but OK
[TS]
00:47:53
◼
►
that they have some good pieces I think Yahoo need something like that and so
[TS]
00:47:58
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►
now the habit so you can look at all these things there's a lot of reasons
[TS]
00:48:02
◼
►
why these companies benefit from each other without even considering the money
[TS]
00:48:06
◼
►
aspect of how much they bought it for so much about it for I have no idea what is
[TS]
00:48:11
◼
►
based on you have no idea that's based on it doesn't really matter honestly
[TS]
00:48:13
◼
►
like it matters to the shareholders but it doesn't really matter to the world
[TS]
00:48:17
◼
►
you know how much you paid for it would be fun to see the slides though because
[TS]
00:48:21
◼
►
you know there is a slight it says we protect the value of our people over
[TS]
00:48:24
◼
►
this amount of times this amount of money so we feel that by his company
[TS]
00:48:27
◼
►
you're buying the future you know like you know this BS graphic explaining why
[TS]
00:48:33
◼
►
1.1 doing this the number is not one billion but you know all those are all
[TS]
00:48:38
◼
►
in all those grass like the along the x-axis the thing at the left edges like
[TS]
00:48:43
◼
►
the current and everything else is the future so just like projections of
[TS]
00:48:47
◼
►
fantastical future they may or may not come to pass will also keep in mind too
[TS]
00:48:52
◼
►
like there's a lot of value here not just you know there's value to Yahoo in
[TS]
00:48:57
◼
►
buying this particular social network site publishing thing because they
[TS]
00:49:02
◼
►
didn't have a social network and there aren't that many that are meaningfully
[TS]
00:49:05
◼
►
size that they can afford that's one big problem they have why they are they
[TS]
00:49:09
◼
►
really going to Tumblr one reason why I told him I might need to guide you in
[TS]
00:49:12
◼
►
particular to be the buyer gonna sell is the Yahoo is in this place of humility
[TS]
00:49:19
◼
►
and change and progress and I know David pretty well and David David is not
[TS]
00:49:25
◼
►
somebody who wants to be told what to do with this product constantly you know
[TS]
00:49:29
◼
►
he's gonna want his own say and from all the reports that sounds like you know he
[TS]
00:49:33
◼
►
Marissa Meyer see eye-to-eye lot and he got
[TS]
00:49:36
◼
►
you know he's locked into work for them for a little while and and and she's you
[TS]
00:49:41
◼
►
know she was apparently promising some kind of autonomy or at least you know
[TS]
00:49:45
◼
►
giving him a good good amount of authority so it matters like who buys
[TS]
00:49:50
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►
you but if you look at one of the reasons why why you might wanna Saudi
[TS]
00:49:54
◼
►
Yahoo instead of say Google it because Google has not shown that the very good
[TS]
00:49:59
◼
►
acquire and are so many things that go bump my Google and then either get
[TS]
00:50:03
◼
►
stagnated or shut down or the people get annoyed about internal stuff and they
[TS]
00:50:08
◼
►
leave so you know if it matters who buys you and if you care about your future
[TS]
00:50:14
◼
►
happiness and the future health of your product you gotta make sure you sell it
[TS]
00:50:17
◼
►
to somebody who works right you gotta make sure that you sell to somebody who
[TS]
00:50:22
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►
you trust to to be decent to work with and to do well but the product you can't
[TS]
00:50:28
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sell to anybody willing to pay a good price
[TS]
00:50:30
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Yahoo would have been much better off tho buying the Tumblr as it existed
[TS]
00:50:35
◼
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several years ago like you do you really want you really bad idea is to buy the
[TS]
00:50:39
◼
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hip new things just as its kind of breaking like as I almost feel like
[TS]
00:50:44
◼
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Tumblr not the time to time has passed but tumblr has already gotten to the
[TS]
00:50:48
◼
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point where you need to spend a billion to get it right because if you look at
[TS]
00:50:51
◼
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the graphical user wrote you would really love to about it before the
[TS]
00:50:54
◼
►
little needy and in the graph right then you feel like you got in on something on
[TS]
00:51:01
◼
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the ground floor and it just takes off while you have it where the worst-case
[TS]
00:51:03
◼
►
scenario tumblr is it's massively popular now it was a big thing everyone
[TS]
00:51:08
◼
►
has a temper is really popular and then just like tapers off like you bought at
[TS]
00:51:11
◼
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the top of the market
[TS]
00:51:12
◼
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draw something that I mean that was that was an example of being by a terrible
[TS]
00:51:18
◼
►
acquire that everybody hates that screws everything up that's why we can laugh at
[TS]
00:51:21
◼
►
it because like who cares if Zynga loses money like this horrible people that
[TS]
00:51:28
◼
►
companies like nobody cares if I mean it like in this deal like you had to think
[TS]
00:51:33
◼
►
in this deal of marcos you know it's taken tumblr side would you rather be
[TS]
00:51:38
◼
►
Yahoo that now on tumblr would you rather be the investors are employees of
[TS]
00:51:41
◼
►
tumblr you too much rather be just as hard for me to look at this in any way
[TS]
00:51:45
◼
►
tumblr people got the better half of the steel but see I don't know I really do
[TS]
00:51:50
◼
►
think that I think Yahoo needed this to my I think both companies are doing
[TS]
00:51:55
◼
►
quite well as a result of this but like Yahoo now has to deliver whereas tumblr
[TS]
00:51:59
◼
►
like made an amazing product they got really big they got sold on trade terms
[TS]
00:52:04
◼
►
of birds seem to be very favorable to them and like a very success or even
[TS]
00:52:08
◼
►
matter what happens from now on and Yahoo it remains to be seen like their
[TS]
00:52:12
◼
►
future is still to be written the pressure is now on them to us they said
[TS]
00:52:15
◼
►
not screwed up that's certainly true but you know just looking at like who got
[TS]
00:52:21
◼
►
their money's worth here looks like a pretty pretty good mutual benefit anyway
[TS]
00:52:26
◼
►
speaking of business terms actually pretty cool this is a sponsor is Windows
[TS]
00:52:35
◼
►
Azure mobile services now because you're all probably nerds like us you've
[TS]
00:52:40
◼
►
probably heard this advertising other nerdy podcasts and other blogs but this
[TS]
00:52:44
◼
►
is this is interesting Windows Azure mobile services by Microsoft guests
[TS]
00:52:48
◼
►
Microsoft make it faster and easier to build a cloud powered iOS app so it's
[TS]
00:52:56
◼
►
basically a cloud platform you write the code in Java Script actually it's
[TS]
00:53:01
◼
►
believed to have a node NodeJS interface as well as I believe a couple of
[TS]
00:53:06
◼
►
languages sorry about not knowing that that wasn't part of the script but I
[TS]
00:53:12
◼
►
heard it was pretty cool they take care of the glue code necessary for storing
[TS]
00:53:17
◼
►
data in the cloud and authenticating users via Facebook or Twitter and even
[TS]
00:53:21
◼
►
sending Apple's push notifications and if you've written push notification code
[TS]
00:53:26
◼
►
and haven't having to having to deal with all those various tickets and
[TS]
00:53:30
◼
►
everything you'll know that this is this is great to have someone else do this
[TS]
00:53:33
◼
►
for you so anyway mobile services you can I pushed your app it's a single
[TS]
00:53:38
◼
►
command post are a pianist dots and you can see the API pretty awesome you know
[TS]
00:53:45
◼
►
you shouldn't need to build your own massive server infrastructure if you
[TS]
00:53:49
◼
►
don't want to you know it's nice to have options we've talked about this in the
[TS]
00:53:52
◼
►
show in the past and one of the people's blood by this before it was talked about
[TS]
00:53:55
◼
►
is Brent Simmons and Brent Simmons actually is
[TS]
00:53:58
◼
►
kind of a spokesperson for Windows Azure mobile services he he did a few videos
[TS]
00:54:04
◼
►
for them you can see if you go to the site go to Windows Azure dot com slash
[TS]
00:54:09
◼
►
iOS and you can go see Brandt talking in videos showing how to do this and what
[TS]
00:54:15
◼
►
this can do it's pretty awesome you know it's it's we think of Microsoft is being
[TS]
00:54:20
◼
►
this company that we as Mac people can kind of ignore but they're good they're
[TS]
00:54:25
◼
►
getting to the server business in the service of business pretty well and this
[TS]
00:54:28
◼
►
is worth looking at I i I tell myself it looks pretty interesting so anyway if
[TS]
00:54:35
◼
►
you looking to build an iOS app or the connection at you already have to the
[TS]
00:54:39
◼
►
take a look at as your mobile services you can start today for free so good a
[TS]
00:54:43
◼
►
Windows Azure dot com slash iOS and thanks again for sponsoring the show
[TS]
00:54:48
◼
►
used to be like when these things like ec2 and other services first came out
[TS]
00:54:55
◼
►
and I was like oh well this is great you know I won't have to setup man serving I
[TS]
00:54:58
◼
►
can try this thing with people who are ya but if you ever wanna be like a real
[TS]
00:55:01
◼
►
player on the internet you have to do all this yourself now the real players
[TS]
00:55:05
◼
►
use easy to write and now like I was just reading you know some Twitter
[TS]
00:55:09
◼
►
something saying the netflixs something like twenty thousand ec2 instances like
[TS]
00:55:13
◼
►
there's no there's no one like you know you got to play with the big boys
[TS]
00:55:17
◼
►
Netflix is a big boy like a third of all internet traffic and something that was
[TS]
00:55:22
◼
►
never an easy to like that you know back in the nineties you Marc Andreessen or
[TS]
00:55:27
◼
►
whatever
[TS]
00:55:27
◼
►
saying like in the future we're all going to buy computing services are like
[TS]
00:55:31
◼
►
you know i i at a retail and biamby compute and storage in the cloud in like
[TS]
00:55:37
◼
►
Yeah Yeah Yeah right and then like without us noticing that it's basically
[TS]
00:55:40
◼
►
happens on things like Windows Azure and everything like I think a lot of people
[TS]
00:55:45
◼
►
who are least people my age look at it like that's fine and everything but like
[TS]
00:55:49
◼
►
I really want my my iOS a position to be like a serious apps are going to do this
[TS]
00:55:55
◼
►
myself because you know those things are just people who are just starting out no
[TS]
00:55:58
◼
►
like the biggest companies in the world are using these type of retail
[TS]
00:56:03
◼
►
infrastructure services
[TS]
00:56:05
◼
►
if they're good enough for Netflix believe me they're gonna figure you're
[TS]
00:56:09
◼
►
feeling a lot of this year we talked a lot about this stuff and development
[TS]
00:56:14
◼
►
whenever technology is gonna move up the stack and get further away from the bare
[TS]
00:56:19
◼
►
metal and in some kind of way you see it with language is going from from
[TS]
00:56:23
◼
►
assembly to see to higher level stuff and memory manage stuff and as always
[TS]
00:56:28
◼
►
these arguments about this new thing is only for you know X small segment or or
[TS]
00:56:34
◼
►
only for you know new people to programming or whatever and then you see
[TS]
00:56:39
◼
►
those things always slowly become a hipster because like you know it
[TS]
00:56:43
◼
►
actually looking at you start realizing well these days it really isn't worth it
[TS]
00:56:47
◼
►
for almost anybody to write assembly language and and you know something
[TS]
00:56:51
◼
►
server side stuff you see like it's already almost not worth it frame by
[TS]
00:56:55
◼
►
Article ok server to actually unit actually buy a physical server and put
[TS]
00:56:59
◼
►
it somewhere like that that's worth doing for almost nobody and even
[TS]
00:57:04
◼
►
dedicated servers now I mean I've been a huge dedicated server fan for years and
[TS]
00:57:08
◼
►
years and years just like you know just leasing a dedicated server somewhere
[TS]
00:57:11
◼
►
that's that's meant the harbor is maintained by somebody else even that
[TS]
00:57:14
◼
►
though is really hard to justify today cos VPS are so good and cheap and now
[TS]
00:57:20
◼
►
you have the other platforms you have as your you have things like Heroku for
[TS]
00:57:23
◼
►
reals and and and your PC to a look at a lower level and things that are built on
[TS]
00:57:29
◼
►
ec2 like I think her but you know you have all these days new iCloud at
[TS]
00:57:34
◼
►
platforms where you don't even have to manage server instances anymore you
[TS]
00:57:38
◼
►
don't have too many virtual servers anymore there's even these things are
[TS]
00:57:41
◼
►
getting abstracted away and and it's it's gone way beyond like tinkering
[TS]
00:57:46
◼
►
hobbyist territory to the point where as johnnie said there's a lot of serious
[TS]
00:57:49
◼
►
stuff that's built on this and and it's you know it's it's no longer just for
[TS]
00:57:54
◼
►
newbies to programming but it happens to be really nice if you are correct it
[TS]
00:58:00
◼
►
seems to me like with every movement up the stack all the old-timers say you
[TS]
00:58:06
◼
►
whippersnapper zand not having to worry about memory management oh you're a
[TS]
00:58:10
◼
►
bunch of wimps and then eventually everyone realizes you know what
[TS]
00:58:14
◼
►
working memory kinda sucks
[TS]
00:58:16
◼
►
and I don't do that and so this is just another example of that and as her in
[TS]
00:58:23
◼
►
particular group were posted
[TS]
00:58:25
◼
►
linked list post earlier tonight about how if you think heavily paraphrasing
[TS]
00:58:32
◼
►
but if you think that Microsoft needs to go forward and it needs to do so in
[TS]
00:58:37
◼
►
arguably two categories one is services and one is devices will you could easily
[TS]
00:58:43
◼
►
argue that Azure is the services component and as a hopefully decent
[TS]
00:58:49
◼
►
segue into our next topic
[TS]
00:58:51
◼
►
the Xbox is very likely going to be the device that brings Microsoft into the
[TS]
00:58:56
◼
►
post-pc era so which are you talking about the Xbox one Xbox 360 or the Xbox
[TS]
00:59:03
◼
►
one exactly I'm talking about the good one thats 359 less than the previous one
[TS]
00:59:11
◼
►
but it's still good in fact that supposed to be better I like despite
[TS]
00:59:15
◼
►
what john thinks I think it was a great system
[TS]
00:59:18
◼
►
the first Xbox the Ferrari love for her to call the Xbox you could have a more
[TS]
00:59:26
◼
►
enjoyable for you to that do you wanna talk about the Wii U's abysmal
[TS]
00:59:31
◼
►
performance at all but that hasn't sold any of them like they're having major
[TS]
00:59:37
◼
►
problems over there but nobody else I think I think maybe like a typical
[TS]
00:59:42
◼
►
actors item boy I did notice a in John's living room that not only to have the
[TS]
00:59:50
◼
►
two wheels of course still set up because I believe you mentioned
[TS]
00:59:53
◼
►
hypercritical second last episode while you're keeping the old way for some kind
[TS]
00:59:56
◼
►
of control issue but then on top of your TV you had both censor bars perfectly
[TS]
01:00:00
◼
►
stacked on top of each other centered exactly yeah but it would be nice if you
[TS]
01:00:06
◼
►
could share them but as tagged me throw off the balance like the better I was
[TS]
01:00:10
◼
►
just one and deal with it
[TS]
01:00:12
◼
►
first world problems II you intended to build the wrong thing so it's a bummer
[TS]
01:00:20
◼
►
for them
[TS]
01:00:20
◼
►
but the one thing to things and tender has going for it
[TS]
01:00:25
◼
►
1 it is owned by people who are not history and foolish and like it or not
[TS]
01:00:35
◼
►
the windows like greedy shareholders who is one bad quarter it's time to sell the
[TS]
01:00:38
◼
►
whole company and start making you know fried dough instead or something right
[TS]
01:00:42
◼
►
and to have a lot of money in the bank I don't know if an internal privately held
[TS]
01:00:46
◼
►
some of the chatroom can tell me but that's not like you know it you s
[TS]
01:00:49
◼
►
companies we're like an apple for instance oh my god you're province did
[TS]
01:00:53
◼
►
you grow at the rate you said they're going to and now you're doomed and you
[TS]
01:00:56
◼
►
need to change something everyone panics and everything and they get slammed
[TS]
01:00:59
◼
►
right that's not the way it works I mean if that was the Nintendo would have sold
[TS]
01:01:04
◼
►
to a larger company years ago if they thought it that way but they don't
[TS]
01:01:08
◼
►
they're sort of you know very proud in it for the long haul not likely
[TS]
01:01:11
◼
►
acquisition targets and have money in the bank from all the good years so
[TS]
01:01:16
◼
►
hopefully they weather the storm
[TS]
01:01:19
◼
►
do terribly this generation of consoles and come out the other side with some
[TS]
01:01:24
◼
►
better ideas so what do you think about the Xbox won the second Xbox won the
[TS]
01:01:30
◼
►
deklerk's 123 but you can say it's the third Xbox Xbox 360 Xbox lenny is easy
[TS]
01:01:39
◼
►
very easy really you can plan a plan called Xbox to than just out someone
[TS]
01:01:45
◼
►
showed like you know it was being searched google image search of whatever
[TS]
01:01:49
◼
►
her Xbox so any and all you see pictures of marcos beloved bloated black and
[TS]
01:01:54
◼
►
green at sustain a loss of what I do that's what comes up because like I said
[TS]
01:01:59
◼
►
you're trying to text box one well that's the thing right now actually so
[TS]
01:02:03
◼
►
don't get him started don't do it man don't do it for framing for framing of
[TS]
01:02:07
◼
►
the stuff like you know the future of Microsoft thing devices and services
[TS]
01:02:13
◼
►
the only reason that framing comes up I think it's done so badly with its
[TS]
01:02:20
◼
►
desktop windows
[TS]
01:02:22
◼
►
and you know and the mobile space like forever because that's why logo well
[TS]
01:02:27
◼
►
okay so Microsoft has shown that they kind of people losing interest the
[TS]
01:02:30
◼
►
desktop in general and so Microsoft strength there is no longer interesting
[TS]
01:02:35
◼
►
and and mobile Microsoft has failed for years and continues not to get traction
[TS]
01:02:39
◼
►
despite the fact that they had a reasonably good product right so it's
[TS]
01:02:42
◼
►
like looking elsewhere ok well nevermind about that stuff
[TS]
01:02:46
◼
►
Microsoft 101 else if you got that might be good for those those are good and as
[TS]
01:02:51
◼
►
your that's really good you know it's like the younger products that are
[TS]
01:02:54
◼
►
actually doing well
[TS]
01:02:56
◼
►
pushed to the forefront mostly by their complete failure to make a crack in the
[TS]
01:03:01
◼
►
mobile market and the diminishment of the stock market so that's I guess a
[TS]
01:03:07
◼
►
positive spin on it was the future the company but I see it as a negative it's
[TS]
01:03:11
◼
►
like a man shouldn't shouldn't they be read in their slugging it out with
[TS]
01:03:16
◼
►
Android and iOS instead of like a distant third over if they are that's
[TS]
01:03:20
◼
►
kind of sad and depressing but do we know to go back to the moment do we know
[TS]
01:03:25
◼
►
that as your isn't making money like Xbox I think it's probably safe to say
[TS]
01:03:30
◼
►
that make good money off that but is as you're making money or his xbox Windows
[TS]
01:03:35
◼
►
and Office basically carrying all of Microsoft Azure looks like an investment
[TS]
01:03:40
◼
►
kinda like easy to wear in the beginning like you're investing in the future like
[TS]
01:03:43
◼
►
this business of retailing services is going to be a good one and by all
[TS]
01:03:48
◼
►
accounts a user is a good product and people like it and it is providing
[TS]
01:03:52
◼
►
something that that mark is not that crowded how many people have the ability
[TS]
01:03:57
◼
►
to provide what has your provides you can't just start to start up in your
[TS]
01:04:00
◼
►
garage provide what they what they did was it especially their case likely
[TS]
01:04:03
◼
►
require such tight integration of like they control the OS and like the the
[TS]
01:04:07
◼
►
metal platform that we have it all together and I need data centers need
[TS]
01:04:10
◼
►
all that stuff
[TS]
01:04:12
◼
►
Amazon bootstrap thing by having a very successful very very high revenues not
[TS]
01:04:17
◼
►
profit online store and let them build easy to use it as your I'm sure has been
[TS]
01:04:23
◼
►
funded by all the profits from office
[TS]
01:04:26
◼
►
places Microsoft make some money but it's a good investment in the future so
[TS]
01:04:29
◼
►
I don't think microsoft's logo man when is that going to make money I think they
[TS]
01:04:33
◼
►
are just like just make the product better get people to use it because this
[TS]
01:04:36
◼
►
is clearly a thing that people want and very few other people are providing it
[TS]
01:04:40
◼
►
so we can make a good product in the space and only two or three other people
[TS]
01:04:43
◼
►
in space we feel good about it so I think they're okay with that
[TS]
01:04:49
◼
►
so is the Xbox 1221 xbox Xbox is that any good does that excite you at all or
[TS]
01:04:57
◼
►
not so much it's kind of boring that all of the predictions about what the
[TS]
01:05:02
◼
►
current generation of console would be came out to be true but you know that's
[TS]
01:05:06
◼
►
the day that's the world where everything is and we write stuff so it's
[TS]
01:05:12
◼
►
exactly the box that run thought it would be got this text everyone thought
[TS]
01:05:15
◼
►
it would have this speculation of all why does it have the specs like way back
[TS]
01:05:22
◼
►
when asked why does it have a gig of ram when the ps4 supposedly has foreign some
[TS]
01:05:27
◼
►
people thought the ps4 was going down for before the actual announcement that
[TS]
01:05:31
◼
►
it also has a well the reason that the new Xbox is going to have eight is
[TS]
01:05:35
◼
►
because it's not just gonna be a game console their own also wanted to grant
[TS]
01:05:38
◼
►
all sorts of home entertainment TV time functionality in it and that totally
[TS]
01:05:43
◼
►
made sense because Xbox it's not the most popular Netflix ps3 is actually
[TS]
01:05:49
◼
►
more popular than a bit like Microsoft likes to sell you stuff through the Xbox
[TS]
01:05:53
◼
►
it also you can buy movies music and also some other things I believe you can
[TS]
01:05:58
◼
►
watch or not flex like it is it's it's a gateway to do things that are not gaming
[TS]
01:06:03
◼
►
so it made perfect sense that Microsoft's next console would go
[TS]
01:06:07
◼
►
further in that direction is why wouldn't they like they have a popular
[TS]
01:06:10
◼
►
service to people like that they can sell you things through and you know it
[TS]
01:06:15
◼
►
and i also have to play games they would clearly go forward that's our place as
[TS]
01:06:19
◼
►
it turned out both the ps4 and Xbox one and the same amount of RAM but as
[TS]
01:06:25
◼
►
predicted the Xbox one does all kinds of TV stuff you know
[TS]
01:06:29
◼
►
integrated TV experience with Skype are relying on the side of your television
[TS]
01:06:34
◼
►
being able to have an electronic program guide and also those things and that's
[TS]
01:06:38
◼
►
what they're like this whatever this was press conference and that's what they're
[TS]
01:06:41
◼
►
promoting they said we'll tell you more about the games at e3 which is the
[TS]
01:06:44
◼
►
gaming focus conference today we're gonna tell you about all these great TV
[TS]
01:06:48
◼
►
features and they did and I mean if you look at the thing that looks like an
[TS]
01:06:52
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HDTV like it's a big rectangular square looking thing it does not look like a
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01:06:58
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dedicated gaming system because it really is and it's a game console it
[TS]
01:07:02
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also does a whole bunch of other things as well I'm kind of happy that the US
[TS]
01:07:07
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now phase of console gaming is over I'm hoping is over where everyone had to
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01:07:12
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make their console shaped like some weird thing because boxes you can stack
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01:07:16
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on top of each other but everything is shaped like a snail you can find
[TS]
01:07:19
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someplace to wage of things in like it sideways or vertically you can't put 23
[TS]
01:07:23
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sixties 360 and Playstation 3 and Wii is kind of Starbucks blonde top choice and
[TS]
01:07:31
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hopefully the ps4 is also rectangular shape than me on a fighting chance of
[TS]
01:07:35
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sticking things in our home entertainment centers but for the most
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01:07:39
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part it's because it's what everyone predicted now it's kind of like a
[TS]
01:07:43
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wait-and-see type thing ok well can you sell millions and millions of these
[TS]
01:07:46
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things because you can and it works as advertised
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01:07:50
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now you have a special game console and a way to sell stuff to people throughout
[TS]
01:07:55
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the game and that sort of the ball in his court was ok well go you tried to do
[TS]
01:08:00
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Google TV and it's up to know about it so tough luck on that Apple you keep
[TS]
01:08:04
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this is rumors about television stuff and you have Apple TV but so far you
[TS]
01:08:09
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know there's no absolute at
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01:08:11
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and the things you sell through it are you suffering from the iTunes Store but
[TS]
01:08:14
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natural experts not quite the same thing as it could be you know where you take
[TS]
01:08:19
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an entire television provider program guide and you know being a gateway for
[TS]
01:08:23
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the Xbox juan has HDMI input like that is the if you had to express its
[TS]
01:08:29
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philosophy in terms of one hardware future that's what it would be doesn't
[TS]
01:08:33
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just send a signal to your television where you can see the out but it takes
[TS]
01:08:35
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input wants to be the center of your television watching experience did you
[TS]
01:08:42
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see the supercut that somebody did of the press conference where it was like a
[TS]
01:08:47
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minute and a half long and it was just every time I said the word TV or
[TS]
01:08:50
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television that it was every time they said sports I believe and then was every
[TS]
01:08:55
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time they said call of duty and it lasted like a minute and a half and it
[TS]
01:08:57
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was hysterical I trust trying to watch the actual thing before so the supercut
[TS]
01:09:03
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yeah like if you're a gamer your watch it or tell me about the games right but
[TS]
01:09:11
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you know Microsoft clearly thinks that it's not the gaming part of it is it is
[TS]
01:09:18
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only perhaps equally important to the nine-game parts of it and from boxes
[TS]
01:09:26
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connected TV the Xbox one comes maybe 50% of the way to what I've always
[TS]
01:09:34
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wanted in the box and no no one will ever make any sense economically for
[TS]
01:09:39
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them but it would be great for me as my on everest box where I wanted to take
[TS]
01:09:43
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all the millions of places that entertainment can come to me send them
[TS]
01:09:48
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all into this one box and provide me with a single unified interface to all
[TS]
01:09:52
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those things so I don't have to change fifty different in putting his seven
[TS]
01:09:56
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different modes and deal with all these different services I just want something
[TS]
01:09:59
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to paper over that mess for me actually goes home theater receivers almost do
[TS]
01:10:04
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that they don't paper over they just provide your way to automatically switch
[TS]
01:10:08
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inputs into a guy I wanted to surprise you know a single unified really nice
[TS]
01:10:12
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interface to hide the fact that these are totally destroy service is owned by
[TS]
01:10:16
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competing companies that hate each other
[TS]
01:10:18
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have varying degrees of competence and in creating their hardware and their
[TS]
01:10:21
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software just hide all that for me because like you know you want something
[TS]
01:10:25
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better probably going to be great if you didn't have a different sources for this
[TS]
01:10:28
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crap in the Dena stock like okay well we can't solve that everything all still
[TS]
01:10:32
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sucks and is it busy wires behind me but they all go into this one awesome box
[TS]
01:10:36
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and makes it look beautiful in Google TV try to do that but socked and Xbox one
[TS]
01:10:41
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does happen it like it tries to say okay well you and watch TV 3d TV in fact your
[TS]
01:10:48
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cable box and put it into the Xbox one and just talk to your Xbox one or use
[TS]
01:10:53
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the remote in your phone to Riverview know just what you want to watch it will
[TS]
01:10:56
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switch to it that's good you're trying to unify the world of crap by Hal I have
[TS]
01:11:00
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a cable thing that I have to pay for I pay for FiOS TV and go in the back of
[TS]
01:11:04
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Xbox one and it lets me control watching TV but no DVR functionality in the Xbox
[TS]
01:11:09
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one so if you want something that's not on right now what if I believe you are
[TS]
01:11:14
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watching TV DVR back into playing now you don't really have control the DVR
[TS]
01:11:20
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through Xbox Mon and tonight we have two inputs for life television and the new
[TS]
01:11:24
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record stuff
[TS]
01:11:25
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flex their consuming an application but what are you using different strings
[TS]
01:11:29
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Amazon streaming service what about Hulu Plus like they're not it's not Xbox one
[TS]
01:11:36
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is not I'm never sits a picky eater it will take a couple of select input to
[TS]
01:11:40
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unify them a particular way but I can't imagine anyone who's in the market for
[TS]
01:11:44
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an expired one specially gonna buy them lunch who is not still going to be
[TS]
01:11:47
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switching inputs to get things done they want to get done so it's a step in the
[TS]
01:11:51
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right direction but the lack of time shifting in particular makes it a
[TS]
01:11:56
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non-starter for me like it's not going to unify my life
[TS]
01:11:59
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the thing that struck me about what you just said is that when you're describing
[TS]
01:12:04
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this on numerous box that consumes all these different services for a flash I
[TS]
01:12:09
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felt like you were describing the Apple TV and I know I'm oversimplifying and I
[TS]
01:12:13
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know Apple TV doesn't consume traditional terrestrial TV and it
[TS]
01:12:18
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doesn't can see in a dozen play games or arbitrary absent you may want to do but
[TS]
01:12:22
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to a large degree I almost feel like the Apple TV is trying to do exactly that if
[TS]
01:12:27
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you look at the fact that it has Netflix and Hulu Plus it has MLB TV if I'm not
[TS]
01:12:31
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mistaken
[TS]
01:12:32
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as NHL TV it has all these different things and it's one interface that you
[TS]
01:12:38
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know that that will expose off them in and a quarter of the stuff because I
[TS]
01:12:43
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call ya my television that i watch comes through my stupid bundled Cape Coral
[TS]
01:12:49
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Gables even those files a subscription I pay for like all these premium channels
[TS]
01:12:54
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a paper HBO pay for Showtime and all that stuff and you know they have him
[TS]
01:12:59
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put a video input it is merely an internet plan that's what i'm talking
[TS]
01:13:02
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bout like well the real solution is not to have all the programming spread all
[TS]
01:13:06
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over the place and have these stupid cable TV cartel bundling deals that just
[TS]
01:13:11
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force you to have all these channels like yes that is the real solution the
[TS]
01:13:14
◼
►
resolution is to get rid of all these huge entrenched interest with you know
[TS]
01:13:18
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infrastructure contracts but like it's not happening it's hard to get rid of
[TS]
01:13:22
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them so in the interim while we're waiting for the world to realign it
[TS]
01:13:26
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would be nice if someone to make something that could would just tackled
[TS]
01:13:32
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the incredibly hard problem taking all these things and unifying them and
[TS]
01:13:36
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providing a better experience you know I maybe maybe that's never gonna happen
[TS]
01:13:40
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maybe maybe the Apple TV is the only possible play it's like it's not on the
[TS]
01:13:44
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internet you deal with yourself tonight will try to bring it through an Xbox one
[TS]
01:13:48
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is like okay well we'll we'll have our under that services are going to tell
[TS]
01:13:51
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you and will resell you know Netflix and every 30 but I don't think they have a
[TS]
01:13:54
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deal Hulu I don't think they have a deal with Amazon and they'll take in your
[TS]
01:13:59
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cable boxes output but I don't think they have any control of your DVR and
[TS]
01:14:03
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I'm not sure how the integrated you have a DVR with your cable system and it's
[TS]
01:14:06
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it's just one more complication
[TS]
01:14:09
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you know it's not it's not a simplification of anyone's life I don't
[TS]
01:14:13
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think especially with all these gestures and voice controls so you're saying is
[TS]
01:14:20
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you want a company to take something that's extraordinarily complex make it
[TS]
01:14:28
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really really simple and make it pretty do we know any companies that may be
[TS]
01:14:32
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interested in
[TS]
01:14:33
◼
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back in 2005 r6 unlike boy you know Apple in a TiVo is really falling down
[TS]
01:14:40
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I would love it if you would make something like this but then Steve Jobs
[TS]
01:14:43
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going to the All Things D conference and I think it was 2008 or something and
[TS]
01:14:46
◼
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someone in the audience asked a similar question and he said flat out we're not
[TS]
01:14:50
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gonna make that thing because the business model makes no sense and I
[TS]
01:14:54
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agree with him his reasoning was virtually sound like this the reason
[TS]
01:14:57
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this thing doesn't exist one super hard and too because like you can't usne ray
[TS]
01:15:05
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can't be done with all these cable companies are not going to give you
[TS]
01:15:08
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their programming and and the cable companies by the programming and his big
[TS]
01:15:12
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bundles that you can't afford to match the price of if you're going to sell
[TS]
01:15:15
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this thing to people I guess it's just can't be done in terms of the the money
[TS]
01:15:20
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so it's like well why would we ever make that we would lose money on it and it
[TS]
01:15:23
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would be really hard to to make work right and we would be basically trying
[TS]
01:15:27
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to usurp the value from companies hate us and have the ability to screw us by
[TS]
01:15:31
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changing how they do things you know that's why the box doesn't exist right
[TS]
01:15:35
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that's why TV is a big mess that's why we're all hoping for something better
[TS]
01:15:39
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and so this Xbox thing is I move in that direction but I don't buy the
[TS]
01:15:46
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simplification they were trying to sell them like that's the real reason bizzle
[TS]
01:15:50
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won an Xbox 1 I'm assuming this because in some meeting when the talking about
[TS]
01:15:54
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the name in like well what a crazy guys but
[TS]
01:15:58
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box one ever said what do you mean the first Xbox people called it now just
[TS]
01:16:01
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listen one box that would unify your entire television experience right
[TS]
01:16:06
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video conferencing browse the internet and Netflix play games watch live TV one
[TS]
01:16:11
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box does everything that's where I assume the one is coming
[TS]
01:16:14
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finish watching the press conference thing that I something to lean on that
[TS]
01:16:19
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and it falls short of fulfilling a dream it is not one box stores and you will
[TS]
01:16:23
◼
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still be changing input just because the world of content you watching television
[TS]
01:16:29
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too so byzantine that it's almost impossible for one box to do everything
[TS]
01:16:33
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for you
[TS]
01:16:34
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►
yeah I guess the point I'm driving out is even though it doesn't make business
[TS]
01:16:39
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sense to potentially get an antagonistic relationship with content owners it
[TS]
01:16:44
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doesn't make business sense to try to conquer all these disparate systems
[TS]
01:16:47
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on the other hand it's a company like Apple that is used to selling what most
[TS]
01:16:52
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would consider expensive products and if you if Apple said to you John for a
[TS]
01:16:58
◼
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thousand bucks or 1500 bucks we will make all those devices the TiVo in in
[TS]
01:17:04
◼
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the Netflix and all that they will all be consumed by this one box and by the
[TS]
01:17:08
◼
►
way you can run apps on it so no you may not be able to play Halo on it but
[TS]
01:17:12
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you'll be able to play you know real racing on it would would you pony up
[TS]
01:17:16
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►
$1,000 $1,500 for that and i know im over simple question I mean I don't
[TS]
01:17:21
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think Apple could actually do like everything about what happens really
[TS]
01:17:25
◼
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good at Apple's really good at editing what's possible deleting options
[TS]
01:17:31
◼
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saying no to things to make something that's overall grade but limited in some
[TS]
01:17:38
◼
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way and those limits make it great or unable to be great in other ways with
[TS]
01:17:44
◼
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the TV business the TV industry whatever you know whatever this is if you say no
[TS]
01:17:49
◼
►
to anything you're out you know your irrelevant and and so imagine you know
[TS]
01:17:54
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if you have a cable company to launch without supporting a spin like they're
[TS]
01:17:59
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just like there's nothing that there's no way to succeed right and so like
[TS]
01:18:03
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people aren't used to not having everything with TV most people have
[TS]
01:18:10
◼
►
cable TV and they have a billion channels and if they want anything else
[TS]
01:18:15
◼
►
to it they just plug it in and that's fine if Apple were to come together and
[TS]
01:18:19
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say here's a box that does eighty percent of that no one's gonna behind it
[TS]
01:18:25
◼
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or people already will buy it but only people who were you know who want just
[TS]
01:18:30
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happened that's that's what they already sell its Apple TV that's the play of
[TS]
01:18:34
◼
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your Apple as you want to shift you want to shift people away you want to shift
[TS]
01:18:37
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their value away from these cable packages like cable cable companies have
[TS]
01:18:41
◼
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nots not so much monopolies black duopoly is maybe one or two choices for
[TS]
01:18:45
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companies and have all this money and infrastructure and they're hard to
[TS]
01:18:48
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displace but if you can
[TS]
01:18:50
◼
►
their worst nightmare is to become dumb pipes for Internet connections and
[TS]
01:18:53
◼
►
that's what Apple wants to companies like 12 shift the value away from those
[TS]
01:18:57
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premiums
[TS]
01:18:58
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and towards content that's available over the internet because the internet
[TS]
01:19:02
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you know it's free for everybody or whatever it's not tied up with these
[TS]
01:19:06
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►
dunno so if we can just get like a house of cards Netflix person if we could have
[TS]
01:19:11
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Netflix in our box then we've got house of cards not popular content right and
[TS]
01:19:15
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HBO that's you know they can get HBO Go and finally we can airplane to our
[TS]
01:19:19
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television but still you need a cable subscription to get in like they're
[TS]
01:19:23
◼
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trying to pull the value out of the hands of the cable companies into the
[TS]
01:19:27
◼
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realm that they control rather than trying to say okay well we accept the
[TS]
01:19:31
◼
►
fact that right now cable companies have this valuable content and you have to
[TS]
01:19:34
◼
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deal with watching one thing one place one thing either so let's try to make a
[TS]
01:19:37
◼
►
box in front of a market that's not the Apple philosophy philosophy is not just
[TS]
01:19:41
◼
►
a big mess and we will try to hide that from you it's we're gonna new world that
[TS]
01:19:46
◼
►
isn't a mess and we're just gonna go there and it will be up there headed you
[TS]
01:19:51
◼
►
and not a lot of people follow us but hopefully we'll be able to slowly drawn
[TS]
01:19:55
◼
►
the value out of that ecosystem and then one day care becomes a wake up and
[TS]
01:19:59
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►
realize hey wait a second if if we don't have a house of cards over the popular
[TS]
01:20:04
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►
Netflix thing is we're screwed and people don't want to buy cable package
[TS]
01:20:08
◼
►
because I say hey what about the popular show that I go but that's only available
[TS]
01:20:12
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►
for some internet TV thing I like it's a battle between same thing with a cap on
[TS]
01:20:16
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►
the phone carriers like every month every month the carriers who suck at
[TS]
01:20:20
◼
►
everything to be dumb pipes acceptable carriers themselves right so cell
[TS]
01:20:25
◼
►
carriers cable companies none of them want to be like utilities were you just
[TS]
01:20:30
◼
►
so we just bring you the Internet over a pipe and every other company entire
[TS]
01:20:33
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world this please just be a company that brings a fascination over dumb pipe and
[TS]
01:20:36
◼
►
let everyone else competes content with absent channels and stuff like that so
[TS]
01:20:41
◼
►
in this tragedy transition stage we just all suffer and I don't know who's going
[TS]
01:20:46
◼
►
to win that battle but I really hope it's not the carriers and cable
[TS]
01:20:48
◼
►
companies gunbattle a spokesman for a second one conversation I'd love to have
[TS]
01:20:54
◼
►
is is just the timing of this and and kinda generational aspects of this will
[TS]
01:20:59
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give you look the the Xbox 360 came out in 2005 and if you think about what kind
[TS]
01:21:07
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►
of world this was in 2005 you know think about
[TS]
01:21:11
◼
►
as I don't put it like that was before tumblr started so it seems like you know
[TS]
01:21:17
◼
►
it's been around for a while but the Xbox 360 has been around longer and that
[TS]
01:21:23
◼
►
would be for the iPhone came out that was before the entire smartphone
[TS]
01:21:27
◼
►
revolution like smartphones existed but only rich businesspeople had them
[TS]
01:21:31
◼
►
because they're really expensive and they sucked so that was so long ago that
[TS]
01:21:36
◼
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the system was envisioned this is before Netflix streaming existed before almost
[TS]
01:21:43
◼
►
any streaming service for video existed I think certainly before May people used
[TS]
01:21:47
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►
them and it was before all these massive changes in how we entertain ourselves
[TS]
01:21:55
◼
►
how we get our video content how and where we watch videos and play games and
[TS]
01:22:00
◼
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that's what we've been using all this time and when you know what will be
[TS]
01:22:04
◼
►
that's that's that's the game console type that's what that whole game comes
[TS]
01:22:07
◼
►
have been designed for a long time and Microsoft has been pretty good about
[TS]
01:22:13
◼
►
jumping on stuff with the Xbox they did they need to jump on quickly and well
[TS]
01:22:19
◼
►
like Xbox Live was the first good online place service for video game consoles
[TS]
01:22:24
◼
►
and might still be the only good one I don't know I don't know if the place is
[TS]
01:22:29
◼
►
one of the better but certainly Xbox Live is really good and people loved it
[TS]
01:22:33
◼
►
and people use it all the time and so and then you know once once you get
[TS]
01:22:38
◼
►
netflix on devices streaming the Xbox was on that and they they had that very
[TS]
01:22:44
◼
►
early on and it is very very common anything about you know how people are
[TS]
01:22:49
◼
►
are entertained themselves now how many people are are getting these things
[TS]
01:22:53
◼
►
using the 360 as a Netflix streaming device is an extremely inefficient use
[TS]
01:23:00
◼
►
of the hardware and you know said they were hearing the big fans and strong god
[TS]
01:23:05
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knows how many water slowly burning itself out secrets the red ring of death
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michael has to replace that are you sue them all these this this whole mess of
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of using something of that power level to do something relatively simple like
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what Netflix's the people sitting there for hours a night doing that and so
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obviously like
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01:23:24
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the previous type of console was designed in a way that doesn't really
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match with how people do things in this day and age and this has been a very
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01:23:33
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long console generation so it seems like you know nintendo's with the Wii U
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attempted to modernize it a little bit and just didn't really go far enough or
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just didn't do it well enough for a compelling enough package I think sony
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has done pretty well with the ps3 and it looks like the ps4 is really interesting
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but we don't have a good execute yet I would say Microsoft looks like they're
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in the best position to take the next eight years and actually have this
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console be strong be relevant be well-liked be well thought I would say
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01:24:11
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looking at these three day we don't even know that much but the ps4 yet but just
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looking at like like for instance there is there is great hardware analysis
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01:24:20
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today on on Anandtech international as well about the Xbox one announcement and
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then what it means in there compared to ps4 announced hardware and it looks like
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in general the Xbox one will have a less GPU power but will then also almost
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01:24:40
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definitely runway cooler and quieter as a result the thing about that the power
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01:24:46
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you suggest that the Xbox one is meant to be turned on all the time exactly
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right and so they wanted to have lower sort of idle power whereas the ps4 is
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01:24:58
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still for the most part of pure gaming console and ps4 has a super low power
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01:25:03
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mode where it looks like it's basically off kind of like power nap on a Mac but
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it still does not like download updates in the background stock so the ps4 usage
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pattern as you go to use a u-turn on you do stuff you're trying to quote unquote
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off and it's not really off but it's like basically completely dead silent no
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fans anything like that and that's it sort of mode to be like you know the
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01:25:22
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overall power usage I think for UPS Store will be lower because you have it
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in that take off most of the time whereas the Xbox one is procedures be on
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all the time like
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non-union time the television is on that thing is on because you're watching your
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01:25:35
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television through it so it can't be like the ps4 where it's in some super
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01:25:40
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duper low-power modes always gotta be on and some state in both of these things
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01:25:43
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as the Anandtech article said you are made with modern system on a chip set up
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our getting the GPU is about to turn off execution units in cars that are not
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running so they should all have much better kind of not idle power but no
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power when they're not being asked to play the Xbox one had that had has kind
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of like mid-level thing where it has this stripped-down OS 44 lower power
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01:26:04
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stuff like watching streaming video and and I think that's that's kind of an
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acknowledgement that the way people use these things really often these days is
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not for playing games for hours and turning it off and that's it it's like
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maybe playing game for little bit but then every night watching an hour of
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01:26:22
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Netflix like that and use case now that I feel like it's really really smart for
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Microsoft to be optimizing for that and Sony is like Sony's backer mode seems
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01:26:32
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like it's more for downloading game content it was like that's the thing is
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01:26:36
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basically off at that point the chips at work where is the Xbox on the whole
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system on a chip is powered up in the things on its running it's running the
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01:26:44
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20 S plus the hypervisor and everything all the time and at the game OSU not
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01:26:48
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playing game to game us not doing anything interesting there but it's all
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you know everything is powered up and running
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you're just relying on the fact that you can shut down like six of the eight
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chorus of that currently being used and if you're not doing anything with the
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01:27:00
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GPU most of that is an idle state as well so you're getting here
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your power down but it's not the same as the ps4
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hillary Adams billion armchair presenting some of the little wimpy chip
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on the motherboard that runs and does the little background something i think
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is basically off I don't know how I feel like you know time will tell but I feel
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like history will look back on the Xbox one's desires being smarter than the ps4
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is designed for people actually use these things as like someone said on
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Twitter today or maybe not a chronicle it basically depends on whether you
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think the the console for high-performance the market
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01:27:37
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high-performance game consoles has peaked or not because it would be
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01:27:39
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granted smart move not to make one
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01:27:41
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that is like super duper powerful but instead start going off in a new
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direction which is to steve hasn't peed the ps4 is a better game consoles for
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01:27:49
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you hear about our games right and that's the bed Microsoft is making that
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01:27:53
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games are not enough anymore that having a super duper awesome game console is
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not a sufficiently compelling product and you need to have something else and
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01:28:02
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by having something else people will more than forgive the slight slower game
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01:28:07
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performance because of all this other stuff I think that definitely remains to
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be seen because I think both of these devices because the xpac one is not as
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01:28:15
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simplifying and a unifying as Microsoft thinks it is I think it will still
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01:28:20
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appeal mostly to not just hardcore gamers be kind of like did you type
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01:28:24
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people like I when I would give my parents and Apple TV but I would not
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01:28:27
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give them an Xbox console I think both of these things are going to end up
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01:28:31
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targeting game console type of nerds and early adopters and in that race between
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them I think it seems like a fog machine exactly like this console generation did
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01:28:45
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the Microsoft gonna win and they're going to sell more but that Sony will do
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pretty well and I don't think the television's great stuff will save
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01:28:52
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Microsoft and give them sort of a runaway success and just bury the
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01:28:56
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peaceful we all just agree that US crude
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01:28:59
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yeah I think you're right about that I don't see Sony had an is roughly time as
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01:29:05
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Nintendo at all i mean obviously they have a big following and is intended but
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01:29:10
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I think I think Sony is making almost the right kind of system and I think
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01:29:14
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you'll be good enough to be so I think they're tender unfortunately is still
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01:29:18
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making the GameCube like how many people are nervous about getting the first Xbox
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01:29:24
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one like all the port red ring people like how many people is totally unfair
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01:29:28
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because of all the companies in the world
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01:29:30
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the one that is probably the most careful that he then it's game consoles
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01:29:33
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probably Microsoft for this generation they've lost so much money on the 360
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01:29:37
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warranty repairs and stuff so you think that night but the past generations like
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01:29:41
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will you know Sony made this insane machine with this crazy CPU and they
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01:29:47
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should have been the one over hitting all-time but like their hardware has
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01:29:50
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been really reliable
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01:29:51
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can say well I guess only really just kind of consumer electronics oh right or
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01:29:56
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coming in this generation I feel like I have so much more faith in the
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01:30:00
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reliability of whatever the heck the ps4 I was in look like maybe we'll all be
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01:30:03
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proven wrong and maybe that the ps4 will be think overheating screen out that
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01:30:07
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like going into it you know I think Microsoft has to prove especially
[TS]
01:30:12
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considering how humongous an ugly in Newton this thing looks just looks like
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01:30:17
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a shoulder he'd dropped almost certainly will not right but it's like you know
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01:30:21
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its Xbox is huge lol alright with that let's wrap and thanks to our sponsors
[TS]
01:30:29
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01:30:35
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mobile services good Windows Azure dot com slash iOS to learn more about that
[TS]
01:30:39
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thanks guys
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01:30:41
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now the show they didn't even mean to begin
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01:30:48
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accidental accidental
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01:30:59
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because it was accidental and you can show no
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01:31:07
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be there and a team article
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01:31:42
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titles I do like david smith's leading title champagne the poor and rap stars
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01:31:51
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like it's a little long though I don't understand why you like the rap star's
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01:31:56
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don't part of its most since language report on the rap stars like a thousand
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01:32:17
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dollars a bottle like nothing is wrong I love you can't wait for I cannot wait
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01:32:27
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for you
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